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You MUST factor in US dollar strength in this climate.
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positive news for the us economy is that usd purchasing power is increasing again [https://de.tradingview.com/symbols/VANTAGE-USDX/](https://de.tradingview.com/symbols/VANTAGE-USDX/)
You're not wrong...ish? A high USDX doesn't align with the DJT US tariff policies. Imports will get cheaper and exports are more expensive. DJT wants more manufacturing in the US and wants to be a net exporter of basically everything. A lower USDX helps that be very profitable. A high USDX makes imports cheaper which helps US consumers more than corporations that are now investing in manufacturing in the US. I don't think it's going to completely de-dollarize.
> The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX, DXY, DX, or, informally, the "Dixie") is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies,[1] often referred to as a basket of U.S. trade partners' currencies.[2] The Index goes up when the U.S. dollar gains "strength" (value) when compared to other currencies.[3] > The index is designed, maintained, and published by ICE (Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.), with the name "U.S. Dollar Index" as a registered trademark.[4][5] > It is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar's value relative to following select currencies: > Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight > Japanese yen (JPY), 13.6% weight > Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight > Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight > Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight > Swiss franc (CHF), 3.6% weight TIL bro
Warsh is the most experienced of the candidates and has built a career in the fed and is a serious person. The markets are responding positively for the USD on the news. Gold is down almost 7%. USDX is up .5%. This was good news today.
Futes down 1.4%, USDX down 0.73% Mayday, mayday
Alright USDX under 5 minutes. Let's knock it off.
Inverted bid ask on USDX is just after hours BS, right. Like wonky option prices? Yes?
When the dollar (USDX) goes down to the 94 zone, everything will be different.
I will preface by saying I am a bear and own Oct SPY puts and VIXX calls, However, tough to ignore the signals from other major asset classes today. USDX down, GOLD Up, Vixx UP all signs of an equity top - Buying more puts today
UDN: The investment seeks to track the changes, whether positive or negative, in the level of the Deutsche Bank Short U.S. Dollar Index Futures Index. The index reflects the changes in market value over time, whether positive or negative, of a short position in the DX Contract which expires during the months of March, June, September and December. The fund seeks to track the index by establishing short positions in DX Contracts. DX Contracts are linked to the six underlying currencies, or the index currencies, of the U.S. Dollar index (USDX®), or the USDX®. The index currencies are Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swedish Krona and Swiss Franc. They hold AGPXX and short it. They have to pay out from their holdings. But, if you look at the overall performance of UDN (-.68%), they are losing nearly all of that income for you. AGPXX Invest in short- term, high-credit-quality money market instruments, including direct obligations of the U.S. Treasury and other securities issued or guaranteed as to principal and interest by the U.S. Government or by its agencies or instrumentalities, as well as repurchase agreements secured by such obligations.
USDX at -10% YTD due to Diddlin Don SP500 still not to where it was at the beginning of the year in Euros: https://ycharts.com/indices/%5ESPXEUR
USDX at -10% YTD due to Diddlin Don SP500 still not to where it was at the beginning of the year in Euros: [https://ycharts.com/indices/%5ESPXEUR](https://ycharts.com/indices/%5ESPXEUR)
Good to keep in mind USDX is down 10%ish.
>So you rather Trumps average yearly inflation rate from his first 4 year term of 1.8% ? If you had any semblance of brain cells you would've averaged out the unemployment rate as well, so no, I wouldn't trade 2.7% to 1.8% so that unemployment can go up another 3% to Trump term average, what a stupid question, not to mention how stupid it was to begin with considering Covid caused the worst inflation spike for every first world country on the planet. >The inflation rate was 3% when Trump started his 2nd term. Lmao, and the GDP contracted for the first time in 3 years. USDX also fell 10% in 3 years. I love how his defenders are so inept that they unironically try to spin a 10% drop in the USD value as either a good thing, or a nothing-burger. >Tariffs have been being collected since February. Right, but if you've been paying an inkling of attention you'd know that a majority of tariffs and increases are set to occur on Aug 1st. Ffs just a few days ago he announced India is going from 0% to 25% potentially. And again, companies have this thing called INVENTORY, where you have items that you purchased weeks, months or years ago, meaning the price isn't going to change overnight for everyone.
>So you rather Trumps average yearly inflation rate from his first 4 year term of 1.8% ? If you had any semblance of brain cells you would've averaged out the unemployment rate as well, so no, I wouldn't trade 2.7% to 1.8% so that unemployment can go up another 3% to Trump term average, what a stupid question, not to mention how stupid it was to begin with considering Covid caused the worst inflation spike for every first world country on the planet. >The inflation rate was 3% when Trump started his 2nd term. Lmao, and the GDP contracted for the first time in 3 years. USDX also fell 10% in 3 years. MAGA is so stupid that they unironically try to spin a 10% drop in the USD value as either a good thing, or a nothing-burger. >Tariffs have been being collected since February. Right, but if you've been paying an inkling of attention you'd know that a majority of tariffs and increases are set to occur on Aug 1st. Ffs just a few days ago he announced India is going from 0% to 25% potentially. And again, companies have this thing called INVENTORY, where you have items that you purchased weeks, months or years ago, meaning the price isn't going to change overnight for everyone.
Go check the index for me real quick. Trump stayed tariffs another 90 days. USDX is bouncing.
USDX -0.8% 📉📉📉 SPY + 0.6% 📈📈 = Negative day for Europeans investing. US are left with less purchasing power even if you don't¨feel it directly. Don't smile just yet
if the pedo in chief fires JPOW is that bullish for stocks, bearish for USDX?
What caused USDX to rebound????
I was just pointing out the fact that the USDX is weakening
USDX still down 10% since January tho
The USDX evaluates the strength of the USD based on the what it’s trading for with other major currencies. Basically it’s comparing the value of the USD to a basket of other currencies. 2022-2024 was the most dominate the dollar has been in exchange rate since the early 2000s
look up my comment to previous comment mentioning USDX. It’s UP, not DOWN.
It's a tracking index, it definitely exists. It's also an answer to your question of how the value of the dollar can be measured. Go buy USDX if you want a ticker you can trade, it tracks the dollar the same way
Okay, thanks, I’ve looked it up and remembered seeing it before. USDX is up 0.x% though for the YTD, 3months, 6months, and 1 months.
The Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is designed to track the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of other major currencies.Specifically, it aims to reflect the changes in value of the US dollar as measured by the ICE U.S. Dollar Index. This index, also known as the USDX, is a weighted average of the dollar's value against six major currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc.
Falling knife. There's a lot more Trump to come. USDX is at support right now but I expect it to fall through
Setting up $USDX staking was pretty quick, just a few steps once your wallet’s connected to the WhiteRock's app. Tip for beginners: start small, read the docs, and double-check APR vs lock-up terms so you’re not surprised later.
Freedom hits different when your stablecoin’s working for you. $USDX staking just makes sense fr.
$USDX is the passive income play, and $WHITE is the powerhouse behind it.
Would you trust a stablecoin like $USDX, backed by U.S. Treasury bonds, as a core part of your passive income plan?
With $USDX tied to Treasury bonds, what’s the vibe on counterparty risks or platform security? You mentioned researching risks, so any red flags you’ve dodged from WhiteRock?
Looks like a great opportunity for earning passive income with $USDX staking! I'll check it out
I love the idea of using passive income to travel! I’ve been wanting to visit Tokyo too. How long did it take you to set up your $USDX staking, and do you have any tips for beginners?
How long are you on $USDX Staking?
Hey, have you tried their 5% yield APR for USDX stablecoin on their platform. So passive bruh! Just sit, relax and earn
trade this on WhiteRock to avoid taxes and deductions. That is a TradFi to DeFi bridging. Like Buy those stocks/bonds/commodities with your USDT/USDX or WHITE
I'm kind of wondering what a 10% decrease in USDX means in terms of parity purchasing power.
Maybe options on USDX futures which trade on the ICE platform. You might be able to get access through interactive brokers. I imagine the market for this is sort of niche so I would expect wide bid/asks for this.
The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) is a measure of the dollar's strength against a basket of major foreign currencies, including the Euro, British Pound, Japanese Yen, and others. The Federal Reserve created the index in 1973 to track the dollar's value as it fluctuated against global currencies. The USDX is a geometrically-weighted average of the six currencies, with the Euro carrying the most weight due to its importance in global trade.
Now mix in a sub/near $1 USDX and that means?
True but you apply a somewhat logical thesis to 0DTE such as our current Bull Market, USDX, Bond Market, Economic Headlines, Earnings, etc
Maybe, maybe not. But consider also inflation adjustent on realized inflation, and consider asset prices may experience inflation differently than consumer products without necessarily being "over inflated". If long term inflation expectations are anchored higher, this may play out in compounded way for assets that are expected to have significant positive positive return despite inflation. "A rational market" would price in the future cash flows of an investment into net present value. If a company is expected to be able to transfer inflation into pricing without losing sales, this will play out positively in the calculation of present value. And especially this will be a more attractive investment compared to the options that offer a fixed return, such as bonds, and as the number of possible investments is limited, equity might centralize into the most attractive ones even when their returns would come down. Also consider sp500 is not equal to the stock market. Top 7 companies make up 30% of the index value and top 30 companies make up maybe half. So its very centralized to few tech stocks and tech is booming due to investments in ai. Nasdaq composite is up maybe 20% in 3 years... roughly equal to inflation. Also consider the value of usd. While usd has increased in value within the last decade, USDX index aka usd value compared to a basket of international currencies has depreciated around 10% compared to the peak in sept/oct 2022, coinciding with the SP500 lows. I'd say USD will likely depreciate when the FED lowers interest rates, which might make SP500 grow in USD terms, as large part of sp500 earn foreign currency which is converted to usd. Moreover, depreciation might increase exports. Currently sp500 top companies are experiencing significant growth and markets are expecting growth to continue. So they are pricing in future growth expectations which are unpredictable and volatile. I would not be surprised if there was a 10% correction when earnings growth stagnates. I would not be surprised either if we see a rally up 10% in short term.
No, despite having a ticker USDX on the Nasdaq exchangewa, that is the *SGI Enhanced Core ETF*, which >seeks to generate current income and enhanced yield by utilizing a diversified portfolio of higher-yielding, high quality short-term money market instruments and ultra- short-term options strategies. UUP is the *Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund*, which tracks >long U.S. Dollar Index futures contracts that trade on the ICE futures exchange. The USDX® futures contract is designed to replicate the performance of being long the U.S. dollar against a basket of the six major world currencies - the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona and Swiss franc. I'm not sure what you are looking for in a US Dollar Index ETF.
It was so obvious! 1. USDX reached support level with high volume 2. copper exploded and reached too high levels so a pullback was needed 3. crude oil had already been sky rocketing for the past three days without pulling back or resting 4. SPX reached resistance level, reversed, broke first support level with high volume so continuation of downward movement was expected 5. TNX made a high, pulled back, gone sideways, so continuation of up movement was expected. Economic data isn’t very bullish, Powell speeches aren’t supporting the up move, Taiwan earthquake affected one of the most sensitive sector on earth (even if the factory itself wasn’t damaged as claimed, how about shipment? Roads affected? Logistics?) All signs indicated a bearish movement is coming but no one was willing to see it. Now as many of you would ask: did I capitalize on that information? Yes i did happily closed my long QQQ puts that i bought for $1 and sold for $32.