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Why does BTC deserve its current market cap? Is it actually more secure? When you compare its economic security to ETH, the numbers don’t really add up. Bitcoin consumes vastly more energy, yet launching a 51% attack on Ethereum would be orders of magnitude more expensive. **BITCOIN BLOCK REWARDS** 3.12500000000 BTC (2024) 1 ^(||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||) 1.56250000000 BTC (2028) 1/2 ^(||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||) 0.78125000000 BTC (2032) 1/4 ^(||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||) 0.39062500000 BTC (2036) 1/8 ^(||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||) 0.19531250000 BTC (2040) 1/16 ^(||||||||||||||||) 0.09765625000 BTC (2044) 1/32 ^(||||||||) 0.04882812500 BTC (2048) 1/64 ^(||||) 0.02441406250 BTC (2052) 1/128 ^(||) 0.01220703125 BTC (2056) 1/256 ^(|)
Every investment is a risk MrHand. Every prediction on anything in life that hasn't happened yet can be lazily tabbed "speculating". The difference is learning details, fundamentals, using logic and calculating risk vs reward. I didn't find out about BTC at $10 either. It in the hundreds and around 50x from 10. There were quite a few old reddit users and youtubers giving immense detail, statistics, perspective, and logic for bitcoins massive potential. Everyone was not guaranteeing Bitcoin's success, but using convincing evidence that it was illogical to not be owning Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, Litecoin, because at least 2 of those investments were sure end to at worst maintain, or gain wealth in the face of the should be crime of massive fiat printing with zero backing to anything and unlimited supply. People could see where these 4 things were going because we could see where endless money money printing was going. Was investing in BTC 10 years ago a massive risk? That's subjective and has varying details between each an every person's unique personal and financial situations. For e.g. If a millionaire put a $1k in it back then compared to someone in complete debt putting 25k, one would be seen by most as a minor risk and one a massive risk. However the point of the message above was simply that it makes the least amount of sense for BTC to be worth somewhere between 5k and 200k in 10-20 and or 50 years from now. It makes the most sense by far that BTC will either fail completely, or succeed like something never seen before (already doing this). The reason it will keep succeeding in a great way is simple supply and demand with a hard capped 21 million supply vs unlimited fiat printing. Tack on it now that it has the digital gold narrative put not but on by me, but leading financial companies, institutions, and even governments around the globe, and this thing still has massive potential. The point was even 10 years ago that Bitcoin had MASSIVE potential while also being risky (varying risk depending on investment size), yes. But the thing is is with something with massive potential you don't need to put 100k in it and make it a massive risk. you could've/still can simply DCA $10 a week ($520 a year). Or do a one time larger payment and sit on it for years. The return will either be great or nothing. $1k is still a lot of money to me now, but if you came up to me with an investment showing me how it was logical that this 1k investment had a 50/50 shot of hitting $0 or 100k+ in 5-20 years i wouldn't see that as a massive risk at all; even though 1k is a lot of money to me. It would be stupid not to invest in the great potential because the REWARDS MASSIVELY OUTWEIGH THE RISK (LIKE WITH BITCOIN). I still see most of my most family and friends still tick their nose up at BTC calling it fake money, or they don't have the money to invest. All while these people have way higher salaries then me, drop tens of thousands on weddings, thousands on vacations, tens thousands investing in stocks and bonds, and thousands over the year eating out and other nightlife festivities. A way it can also be seen is the MASSIVE RISK has never been investing in Bitcoin, its been not investing in it at all. Back then i was recommending 1-10% of someone's NET should be in it and still do. A decade ago it did however have way bigger short term boom potential so i obviously don't recommend it anyone for short term. I do refer to it now as a great mid to long term investment and can be someone's "additional savings account on steroids", and/or still be a 100x+ investment long term. 1 million dollar+ BTC is only 10x from here now, which is inevitable if it simply survives the upcoming years. Still is a damn good small to moderate mid-long term investment to have some exposure too for anyone imo. For anyone investing massive amount in BTC for the short term or even mid term (5 years or less) only that would/could be a Massive risk for sure.
Here's the block reward schedule for anyone interested. Last time I checked fees only accounted for 1% of miner revenue - after 16 years. Remember that the average price of BTC needs to more than double every 4 years to offset the halving and devaluation of the dollar. Because miners pay for electricity and hardware with dollars and those bills get bigger and bigger every 4 years. You don't really want the difficulty to decrease because that makes a 51% attack easier. That won't go on forever. Bitcoin might be cooked. **BITCOIN BLOCK REWARDS** 3.12500000000 BTC (2024) 1 ^(||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||) 1.56250000000 BTC (2028) 1/2 ^(||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||) 0.78125000000 BTC (2032) 1/4 ^(||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||) 0.39062500000 BTC (2036) 1/8 ^(||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||) 0.19531250000 BTC (2040) 1/16 ^(||||||||||||||||) 0.09765625000 BTC (2044) 1/32 ^(||||||||) 0.04882812500 BTC (2048) 1/64 ^(||||) 0.02441406250 BTC (2052) 1/128 ^(||) 0.01220703125 BTC (2056) 1/256 ^(|)
The problem with Bitcoin is that you can’t secure the network without miner rewards. Would you take a job where your income gets cut in half every four years? Some argue that the price of BTC will keep doubling to offset this, but it would also need to outpace dollar devaluation just to maintain miner profitability. I ran some spreadsheet calculations comparing average BTC prices from 2021 to 2025, and miners are earning less in dollar terms today with the smaller block rewards. There’s no guarantee this trend won’t continue. Yes, Ethereum has no fixed supply cap, but its issuance is predictable - and with enough network activity, it can even turn deflationary. I’d take Ethereum’s unlimited supply but predictable security model over Bitcoin’s hard cap combined with uncertainty about how it will remain secure in the long term. BITCOIN BLOCK REWARDS 3.125000 BTC (2024) 1 \################################################################ 1.562500 BTC (2028) 1/2 \################################ 0.781250 BTC (2032) 1/4 \################ 0.390625 BTC (2036) 1/8 \######## 0.195313 BTC (2040) 1/16 \#### 0.097656 BTC (2044) 1/32 \## 0.048828 BTC (2048) 1/64 \#
BITCOIN BLOCK REWARDS 3.125000 BTC (2024) 1 \################################################################ 1.562500 BTC (2028) 1/2 \################################ 0.781250 BTC (2032) 1/4 \################ 0.390625 BTC (2036) 1/8 \######## 0.195313 BTC (2040) 1/16 \#### 0.097656 BTC (2044) 1/32 \## 0.048828 BTC (2048) 1/64 \# Even if block rewards go to 0, there’s no rule that says users must pay $50 per transaction. If there’s little demand for block space, users will offer low fees. If too many people use Layer 2s (which don’t touch Layer 1 often), fee pressure drops. If people stop using Bitcoin, fee revenue collapses. So miners could be unprofitable in a low-demand, low-reward future. That leads to: Less mining → lower hash rate Less security → higher 51% attack risk Possible collapse of trust in Bitcoin’s safety
Thanks. Best of luck with Bitcoin’s shrinking miner rewards. After 16 years, transaction fees still make up only about 1% of miner income - hardly a sustainable foundation for long-term network security. BITCOIN BLOCK REWARDS 3.125000 BTC (2024) 1 \################################################################ 1.562500 BTC (2028) 1/2 \################################ 0.781250 BTC (2032) 1/4 \################ 0.390625 BTC (2036) 1/8 \######## 0.195313 BTC (2040) 1/16 \#### 0.097656 BTC (2044) 1/32 \## 0.048828 BTC (2048) 1/64 \#
BTC needs miners to secure the chain. And they are walking blindly into a dark tunnel, not knowing what energy prices, inflation, or the price of BTC will be. That's a lot of uncertainty that could cook Bitcoin's economic security and open it to numerous 51% attacks. So far Bitcoin investors have been lucky. But the clock is ticking and it might be musical chairs with Bitcoin before you know it. BITCOIN BLOCK REWARDS 3.125000 BTC (2024) 1 \################################################################ 1.562500 BTC (2028) 1/2 \################################ 0.781250 BTC (2032) 1/4 \################ 0.390625 BTC (2036) 1/8 \######## 0.195313 BTC (2040) 1/16 \#### 0.097656 BTC (2044) 1/32 \## 0.048828 BTC (2048) 1/64 \#
Are you nuts? ETH has an ecosystem. Bitcoin does not. Stablecoins. Defi. None of that on Bitcoin. BTC is also slow as fuck and a diminishing miner incentive. The chain might literally be screwed in two decades and prone to 51% attacks. Ethereum's economic security dwarfs Bitcoin's. None of this has been priced in because BTC is shilled to the masses 24/7 on MSM and by even governments. Most BTC investors have no understanding of the block reward decay: BITCOIN BLOCK REWARDS 3.125000 BTC (2024) 1 \################################################################ 1.562500 BTC (2028) 1/2 \################################ 0.781250 BTC (2032) 1/4 \################ 0.390625 BTC (2036) 1/8 \######## 0.195313 BTC (2040) 1/16 \#### 0.097656 BTC (2044) 1/32 \## 0.048828 BTC (2048) 1/64 \#
TRUTH SOCIAL EXPLORES LAUNCH OF UTILITY TOKEN AND DIGITAL WALLET FOR SUBCRIPTIONS AND REWARDS: SHAREHOLDER LETTER trump gonna top the market again?