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Also it doesn’t matter if this time is different due to QE, business cycle, super duper bull run. What matter is the 4 year cycle has occurred and TREND is FRIEND till END. Well it ain’t the over yet so expect the trend until the end. Simple.
I've been working in Cryto for about 3 years now but have been in the space for far longer. I feel exactly the same way. I've worked at a large blockchain company and a very successful startup (all members also came from crypto) and it feels soul destroying: It goes like this: There is some good signal; you finally get excited as new laws that benefit crypto are on the horizon, you see that fintech are interested in stablecoins, you see that mass adoption CAN happen and then... NEW LATEST TREND THAT MAKES BILLIONS OF DOLLARS Sweeps in and suddenly everyone is shifting focus; everyone is pivoting and trying to be part of the next big thing. Everyone is panicking, VC's are asking you to shift and then suddenly you're throwing out new words like 'prediction markets.' out and now Crypto gets thrust into the limelight in the most negative way, AGAIN. Now, those laws aren't being passed, gamification is coming back and we're right back to square one - No-one gives a fuck about real helpful use cases. Then you go back to your original ideals: KYC still stucks, the entire ecosystem is complicated and unintuitive, everyone outside of crypto thinks/knows it's a scam.. It's tough. I'm thinking of leaving all together.
Brother, the cycle is a meme. Crypto hasnt been around long enough for a cycle. Not only that, but the macro indicators are different each time, meaning there is simply NO TREND to constitute a cycle. Dont over complicate it. Buy low. Sell high. Dont leverage unless you like losing money.
> It's funny how the ETH holders without fail always talk in the future tense. Because that's all the story is for ETH. Future promises and assumptions. This is quite literally the whole premise of investing. You look at current trends and adoption of a new technology and then extrapolate that. Ethereum is still dominating all important measures of institutional adoption, non-speculative use cases and technological innovation. >When do you draw the line and actually consider that you may have been wrong? When the statistics prove that I have been wrong. Currently everything except price still puts ETH far in the lead. Two adversarial nations are not going to use a chain like Solana which primarily runs in US data centres to settle financial transactions since it's not credibly neutral. Ethereum is quite literally the only thing credibly neutral enough at this point which allows for smart contract logic. >How much more value does ETH need to bleed out against BTC and continue losing dominance in all metric areas? BTC is not a competitor to ETH. BTC's relative performance to ETH has no impact on actual adoption of Ethereum. >but any halfway decent investor knows how to recognize a TREND. Ah here we go, still mid-curving it with the following trends investing lmao. You're actually completely lost and confused at this point. It blows my mind.
It's funny how the ETH holders without fail *always* talk in the *future tense.* Because that's all the story is for ETH. Future promises and assumptions. "ETH **will be** the global settlement layer. ETH blobs **will** generate enough revenue. Demand **is going to be** explode." And on, and on and on. It's typical copium and rationalization that people tell themselves when they are holding a losing investment. This behavior isn't specific to crypto- it's typical irrational sunk-cost fallacy behavior. How much longer are you going to keep telling yourself these things? After your time horizon of 15 years?! LOL. When do you draw the line and actually consider that you may have been wrong? How much more value does ETH need to bleed out against BTC and continue losing dominance in all metric areas? I wish you luck, and you can talk about past performance future gains all you want...but any halfway decent investor knows how to recognize a TREND. The trend is very, very clear about ETH. Good luck to you
A piece of advice that will last a lifetime! ✨ If you learn this, it's something you'll remember forever 🧠🔥 NEVER TRADE AGAINST THE TREND! 📈 👀
Some lines from my terminal: “Powell: Slowing down the pace doesn't mean we have to move at every other meeting. Slowing the pace could mean going at 2 of 3 meetings.” “POWELL SAYS HAVEN'T MADE DECISION TO HIKE AT EVERY OTHER MEETINGS” “POWELL: GETTING BACK TO 2% HAS A LONG WAY TO GO” “POWELL: REDUCING INFLATION LIKELY TO MEAN BELOW-TREND GROWTH” “Powell: Not Using Term 'Optimism,' But There Is A Path to Soft Landing” “I don’t see us to get to the target 2% before 2025 or so” But please guys do your own research. I could potentially just be a troll spreading misinformation - the speech is only 40-50min long and worth a check 
“Powell: Slowing down the pace doesn't mean we have to move at every other meeting. Slowing the pace could mean going at 2 of 3 meetings.” “POWELL SAYS HAVEN'T MADE DECISION TO HIKE AT EVERY OTHER MEETINGS” “POWELL: GETTING BACK TO 2% HAS A LONG WAY TO GO” “POWELL: REDUCING INFLATION LIKELY TO MEAN BELOW-TREND GROWTH” “Powell: Not Using Term 'Optimism,' But There Is A Path to Soft Landing” “I don’t see us to get to the target 2% before 2025 or so” Those are my reports from Bloomberg. And additionally, he said chances for recession are way lower which also suggest chances for early cuts / pivot are pretty much gone Where does he say pause again?
Cool! NOW DO IT ALL CAPS! I'LL! LET'S TREND THIS MF!