SPY

emblemboy

I have about 1100 shares of FLY stock that I got through stock options at my old company. Post IPO lockout ended in February and I've held so far. I'm currently thinking of taking a little bit of risk with this. My stock basis is like $0.60 a share. The total amount cost me $670 to get. Currently they are worth around 35k since FLY is currently at $33 a share. The talks of a space x IPO seems to be inflating lots of space stocks. My current plan is to sell 10% or so and re-invest I to SPY/QQQ, whatever. For maybe half of the remaining I'm really considering doing covered calls as a way to get some credit. And then just holding the rest. Or am I just overthinking all this and I should just sell all of it an reinvest into an index fund.

Monk_Boy

Why not just sell puts on the SPY or QQQ at whatever you think the bottom will be.

Equivalent-Coat-7605

I will be on long dated puts waiting. As for SPY up and to the right

UnivalveX

boots on the ground any second now. the question is how high will SPY pump once it happens?

UnivalveX

boots on the ground any second now. the question is how high will SPY pump once it happens?

madhewprague

War in Iran will cause such a economic colapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens milions lay offs. If strait is not opened and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash bellow 300$. Spy can fall 90% in next year. Imagine spy bellow 100, that would be very much likely if fullscale war in Iran were to happen.

NoFuckingValue

I've never seen SPY trade as flat as it's been today. Literally so shocked I can't look away from the ticker. Absolutely nothing

BiblicalAss

War in Iran will send SPY to all time highs.

ShittyUsernane1222

If SPY was pricing in fundamentals, it would be trading below 100 dollars lmao

SeaweedLeft9746

!banbet SPY 640 7d

DKtwilight

If you’re long term you don’t care. If you’re a trader, say swing, knowing when not to trade can be the difference between a solid CAGR and one that’s not beating SPY

SeaweedLeft9746

Banbet! SPY 630 7d

Fast-Reply6409

Boomers will buy stocks on Monday to show their patriotic support for America. SPY up 3% after futures down 4% overnight

madhewprague

!banbet SPY 550 2w

paq12x

I am a little younger than you are, and I am buying like crazy. In my 401 (k) account, I always buy since it's automatic, and with a great match. Every 2 weeks, I have $3k going into the index from my 401k contributions. In my taxable account, I always buy. I've been buying since forever, so I have a lot of unrealized gain. So what if the last few hundred VOO/SPY come out at an unrealized loss? I'll use that to offset the gains when I need to sell the shares during retirement. I just looked. I bought 1150 SPY during March. Only 150 of those shares are in the green. I am not worrying about the current situation at all. The money came from bonds and SGOV. My biggest regret was not dumping everything I had into the market during the dot-com bust. I made up for that by putting everything into the 2008 crash and the COVID crash. I literally had almost no emergency funds during that crash. My "emergency" fund was my Roth contributions and my 401 (k) loan if I ever need it. I was 100% confident in my employment, and it worked out in my favor at the end.

Wulfric05

!banbet SPY 640 76h

Intelligent-Claim193

All the degens, stay away from this—I’m looking for a real answer so I can have some peace of mind after how much I lost on Friday. Why is the market green right now? Oil was up 11% and showed no signs of dropping, yet SPY still moved up. What caused the push in the morning, and why did it consolidate around 654 for the rest of the day? Shouldn’t it have dropped closer to 640? I’m not looking for a degen take—I just want to understand what’s going on so I don’t get burned again on Monday.

tombrady011235

Very low volume on SPY today. It's like it's not moving at all

Put_Er_There_Sport

If we can impeach mango and the rest of this administration by sunday, the war will end and SPY will go up 15%

SuspiciousStable9649

SPY is green! 😏

No_Type1123

if you want to retire but still want to participate in the market, just put your money in the SPY not individual stocks, and get out when price goes below the 50 or the 200 sma, depending on your risk tolerance. and get back in when it cross above that same sma

option-trader

Shit, I just came from two posts losing money on 0dte SPY/SPX puts, and here you are losing 20K on 0dte puts and calls.

option-trader

Interesting, I hardly see anyone use the 9 and 21 ema. I use both on my minute chart and they work great. I'll use them for SPY 0dte option in the morning, but I tend to trade SPX 0dte towards the afternoon at strike with prices around $1-$3. These 0dte SPX trades in the afternoon have been a money maker over the last 2-3 weeks.

AssignmentMammoth696

Why are you measuring the market by looking at single stocks? If the SPY is not even down 10% and your single stocks are down that much, expect it to get a lot more bloodier when SPY goes down to 20% or 30%

MikeyB7509

I average in every month. Shooting for 11 years to retire if I can keep up saving rate and make 8% but I’m keeping a decent amount on the sidelines for for a correction. Looking for 580-620 in SPY

GullibleSky1269

There are no bears anywhere - a bear would hold a March27Put at 390..if you’re under age 40 you’ve never “felt” a recession or market downturn for 15 months- There are zero fundamentals behind SPY 690- the whole system is debt and the lenders are cutting off the heroine to private credit- it is over you just don’t realize it yet- time to stop inflation and print another 6-10 Trillion- how do you think they will get inflation under control to print more ?- the same crash they used in 70’s 82’ 87’ 91’ …blah blah- maybe one last run with all the fluffy FAKE fiat created and then reality around August ..enjoy :)

GoZukkYourself

On the third day, SPY rose 🤲

UnivalveX

can already imagine SPY pumping +2%

Conrad3k

At this point a nuclear exchange in the middle east will end with SPY closing at +0,5%.

Flat-Focus7966

Lost banbet for SPY 660 this week but got pretty close. Ban comes into effect today evening Will be back in a week with SPY at 655-665

1-gp

SPY $850 6/1/2027 💪💪💪

raptorsfan93849

SPY futures went up like 1.5 percent at 830 am . BULLISH

teh_herper

Even people are getting rugged in SPY futes now lmao

spellbadgrammargood

SPY Mar 1-Mar 30: -7% SPY Mar 1- Apr 1: -3.7% Is this bullish?

Ken385

There is no April 4th expiration for SPY options. The next expiration date is Monday April 6th.

jennysonson

did people forget covid made oil drop to the negatives briefly and then skyrocketed past 100 along with supply chain issues for almost a whole year? Everyone doom posting about oil being high for the next 3-4months making it sound like itll be worse than what we experienced just 5 years ago … like market (SPY) went from a peak to drop of ~30% into a recovery in just span of less than 2 months. There is unlikely ever going to be crash that can globally ruin the world, governments around the world are way more financially intertwined amongst each other now than 20years ago and energy sources are more diverse

Specialist_Exam_8433

I think we're just gonna start going vertical all the way to SPY 800. Big tech still making insane amounts of money, American consumers spending like there is no tomorrow. I think eventually that tops out when we start seeing mass layoffs due to AI. But right now too early for a correction.

Wide_Neighborhood_49

Yesterday, oil went up 11%, and the attorney General was fired for not sending the presidents domestic perceived enemies to prison on made up charges fast enough, and SPY ended green. We are truly fucked.

Consistent_Panda5891

You know buying UPRO outperforms SPY holding forever & dcaing if you buy it in any recession, right? You should have listened 🥭, the king of bears. A bear is not someone who wants a bad market, just a pullback to profit the short and then the upwards later. That's how fortunes are made and kept in

Hot_Delivery5122

SPY just grinding at highs in premarket… feels like one of those days where it either breaks out clean or fake pumps and rugs everyone by open, watching for first 30 min direction tbh, not touching anything before that WSB gonna full port calls regardless tho lol

teh_herper

dem SPY futes not looking so good

AlGAdams

Yeah I pretty much emptied my cash reserves to buy SPY at under 630 last week when every single post I could see across all investment forums was negative and fearful.

Consistent_Panda5891

Lol, do you know yesterday only went up because low volume pump necessary to save options expiry of JPM collar options, right? In no other world with USD gaining value and oil +13% market would end green. We are in bear market since SPY was 7000 despite they called kangaroo. Soon you understand, soon you will stop loosing money.

Superente_

Man, we're really gonna get SPY 670, aren´t we? I wanted to load up on more cheap shares. Still have some money on the sideline. Pretty sad :(

Arkadelt

If you put the 253k into SPY when you started in 2021 you'd have 436k

MeYouThemEveryone

The way everyone is talking like WW3 will happen before SPY700. Keep calm, WW3 will definitely happen after next week, I mean SPY700.

Paul_Robert_

SPY is going to be so flat today 😔

ImLemonized

Somewhere in the future: \- WW3 turns into a nuclear war \- US and global economies collapse, inflation and unemployment at new record highs SPY +2%

LarsTarkas

Hilarious that XOM looks like an inversed SPY

TrueDoge007

Oil bulls celebrate that the Kuwait’s refinery been hit. Dont they know SPY is going up with Oil now?

hudson701

Can't trade SPY in the U.K. as not available. Can trade SPX but have to wait until power hour when the contracts drop to 1.50-2.00 in price as few hours into market open they're 11.20 - 22.00, just far too much money

PremiumFentanylGouda

SPY always go back up up LMAO

marketmispricing

What you're describing is an options P&L calculator — several exist. OptionStrat, [Optionsprofitcalculator.com](http://Optionsprofitcalculator.com), and Tastytrade's analyzer all let you input your entry price and model what the underlying needs to do for a given P&L target. The nuance nobody mentions: mid-contract, you're not just solving for price movement — you're solving for delta, theta decay, and IV changes simultaneously. A $1 option hitting $0.90 intraday could mean SPY barely moved but IV crushed your premium. This is exactly where mispricing analysis earns its keep. Are you primarily trying to set profit targets, or also using it to size positions before entry?

Uniquename34556

Looks like you’re investing in a lot of individual stocks. Standard advise is invest in an index fund in a Roth IRA. You can open one up on vanguard or fidelity and just put it in VOO, IVV, or SPY. These are called ETFs and follow the S&P 500 which are the top 500 companies in the US. It’s self managed (think way smarter than us in general) and they only take $3 for every $10,000 you invest (expense ratio) per year. It’s ridiculously cheap. Historically the S&P grows 10% a year (some years are lower some are higher). This is your low risk option. Mid risk option include other ETFs that focus on growth, tech stocks, etc. High risk is you learn about and play around with options (puts and calls basically betting that a stock will go down or up within a certain amount of time). It’s a glorified roulette table. This is gambling and many of lives and loved ones have been ruined by this. I’m simplifying things but I hope you get the idea.

Uniball38

Huh? SPY was up tues, weds, and today

LadderAdmirable

Dreamt that SPY is opening at 600 on Monday. Regard bols were screaming for rate cuts, fully knowing that Jpow cant do much with inflation.

lysergalien

SPY will be 1000 from the inflation alone, so yeah

shmito17

I need SPY back to 650 next week. Too much to ask? Lol

Future-Call8541

This is so dumb. If I bought during that 10% correction and I hold SPY for 5 years what will happen? If the answer is I'll make money then I don't even know what your point is.

magneticpasta9

The year is 2036, the US have just finished their weekly Iran airstrikes and have gone to truth social to claim victory of the war for the 520th straight week. Elon musk claims that this week for real spacex will IPO. Jim cramer tweets the market will surely feel the effects of the strait of hormuz being closed for the past 10 years next month. The SPY is at 1500 down from its high of 2000.

d33p7r0ubl3

Yeah I doubt it, but you never know with this guy. Too early to say for Monday. Today could have easily been a bull trap that will see downside on Monday so I’m a bit weary. If we pass 658 on SPY then I’ll consider calls

Jericho3434

Some guy a couple days ago put a -640 for his ban bet thinking the - meant downwards. It really went in as SPY negative 640 😂

Gp38Super

99% of my trades are naked Calls/Puts based on market trend. I tend to trade Qs, SPY and SPX puts, rather than individual tickers, when market is volatile or in up trend. VERY seldom more than 4DTE. I look at 130 tickers every day and narrow down to top 20, plus the big boys(Mags) and Qs, SPY and SPX. I then load to excel spreadsheet to filter options that have best profit potential(mostly delta driven since I scalp, seconds to several mins, avg), and open interest to help determine max contract qtys. Anything less than 80% potential on a Monday doesn’t get loaded. By Friday, as profit potential increases(AND RISK), anything under 150% and some Fridays, 200%, doesn’t get loaded. I use TV to chart since TOS lags HORRibly with too many charts, but I use TOS ActiveTradeLadder to enter/exit all trades. SUPER critical, especially with wider spreads. I don’t generally use stop losses or take profit stops, but on options with wide spreads, I often drop a template order, +25%/-15%. I will cancel if price stabilizes. Generally, S/R levels and price action determine SLs. Best advice I’ve heard: when your reason for entering the trade changes, prob best to get out of it. FYI, it’s a RARE day I don’t pull at least 1 100% gainer, and days like today, 3-5, with at least 1 or 2 gaining 300-600%+. I avg about $20k in total trades daily, $2.5-5k each, and look for $3k/day profit. Days like today can easily turn $8-10k profit on that $20k. Couple weeks ago, $3200 dropped to $1850 in a few seconds, so I took my winnings and ran. Left over $75k on the table, $10k within an hour or 2, and the rest later in the day after news ran the market up. Not every day is green, BUT, if I only averaged $1k/day, across 20days, I’ve doubled my $20k. How good of a leap do you need to pick to constantly turn 100% in only 20days? OR, how much more do you need to make $20k in 20days at a lower percentage? YES, takes babysitting EVERy trade. But while I can and want, I’m good with that. When things change and I wanna be less hands on, maybe THEN leaps will be an option. Ha. Option🤣

thekoonbear

Change in option price = change in underlying price * delta Change in underlying price = change in option price / delta Buy 10 delta call for $1 when SPY is $650. Call goes down to $0.90. Change in option price = -0.1 so change in underlying price is -0.1 / 0.1, or -1. SPY is now $649. This is obviously a GROSS oversimplification as it ignores the effects of literally every other input, but that’s the simple math. No one’s creating a website just to do it.

TJMBeav

I will admit that today was very strange and confusing market moves. A bull win, no doubt, but oil remaining elevated while the market rallies almost 2% is definitely confusing. I have three days to ponder. Positions over the long weekend are $SPY 680 and $USO 100 puts.

tdogger88

SPY is flat since September 2025, almost 8 months, despite two of the best earnings cycles we’ve seen in some time. Mag7 is trading for the lowest forward PE since 2022 bear market when oil spiked to $120, inflation was 8%, and interest rates were rising 50bps almost every meeting.

trothechemist

!banbet SPY 635 1w

Virtual_Seaweed7130

Except 1r0nyman leveraged his account like 3000x, having 1.5M in notional exposure to SPY on a 5K account. His calls getting assigned didn't do anything. It was the cascading forced deleveraging at terrible prices that obliterated the account. This is a \~1% position for me. That event can't happen.

fatmummy222

Oil ripping but SPY not dumping. Hmmm 🤔

Retaining-Wall

This is the thing that will take out the markets. SPY 12P 9APR

theipd

You’re absolutely right about the secondary Greeks but it is still a very useful tool. The UI is one of the best and I’ve made money using it. Since I’m mainly trading SPY and SPX I can get vanna etc from other sources and I’m not reliant on OptionStrat (OS) for that. I’ve also built my own tools to work with OS. I love the tool because I can see in real time a lot of things that are going to happen. I do have a folder in the app called Experiment where I have exact same play and deliver what amounts to a stress test with the volatility and close outs on a long position. A lot of the times the simulation keep coming up with the same answer that the actual OS plays show. I’ve been really happy with the software. But I may be an N of 1.

hiphopanonomos

If you told me last year USO would go up 11% in one day and SPY would end green I would have got out of the market then

DiamondG331

Yeah I was 800 points out on NDX Tuesday and it ran all the way against me..I held overnight hoping to break even but nope..I only trade SPY the index funds make my margin numbers go crazy.

Defiant_Regular3738

I didn’t follow my own advice but I also haven’t won recently. Lost 4k on UAMY and SPY poots. Everybody lost on Spy today lol.

Scannerguy3000

What you’re doing is performing as a tight-rope walker because you believe there’s a net. At some point you’re going to find out the crew never actually rigged up the net and you’ve been walking naked the entire time, then you faint. What you’re doing is playing aggressive SPX naked calls and puts. Those orbital distance long positions aren’t doing anything for you. They’re basically checking a box for your broker. Right now SPX, SPY, XSP can whipsaw up and down in a day based on news that hits the market before Yahoo even has time to publish the headline that Trump tweeted. When your essentially naked option gets pierced; your long pays nothing. You’re doing to be $10,000 deep in minutes. You’re lucky to be getting away with this. But in 0DTE, you have no theta on your side. Positions can change faster then VIX can come down or theta can eat the position. You will get wrecked doing this, and it will take out all your past wins.

hiphopanonomos

SPY 750 next month, because why not. they won't let it correct for more than two days

iFunnyImmigrant

!banbet SPY +5% 1w

Actual_Difference617

And SPY was like 300 man.

champagnesupernova62

On SPY Technical analysis is rooted in the past but when a chart rolls over and there's no support a downside capitulation is totally in the cards. Spy could go down 30%. From here. We have a maniac in charge. I've got my life savings in spy,etc, but at least 3 or 4 years of cash. This market sucks. Some will make money and some will not

Spiritual_Taste_1253

If SPY doesn’t move much AH until Monday and no improvements in the war occur over the weekend. I feel like a slightly OTM 0DTE or 1DTE put at like 653 or something will print.

RothTo0DTE

Entries are the hardest and most critical. I have four levels, previous day high and low, previous day close, and pre-market high and low. I automatically get in the pre-market high and lows: puts off the high and calls off the low. I also do calls or puts off the 200MA on the 1 minute. Those are trickier cause the trade likes to break and come back (re-test). Previous day high and low are riskier and I have to see how the momentum is before I get in those. I also have levels where that ticker hits over time like AMD and $200. Exits are easy: look for a trend change. I use the 9 and 21 EMA's for that. If SPY or whatever is going up and never breaks below the 9 EMA then I don't get out. If it does break then I either lighten the load or get out completely. Same goes for the 21 EMA.

LakeShowForLife24

Not necessarily. SPY is still down 4% on the year. Double digit earnings growth expected. Markets typically have positive returns when that’s the case. Fed still gonna cut rates later in the year. Markets are fairly random day to day but when you zoom out we are kinda where we are supposed to be with a near term shock but long term still intact.

Other_Information_16

You will eat that shit no matter what. Musk has a deal to get spaceX into qqq after just 1 week. He will most likely get in SPY as well less than a month. So every 401k that buys QQQ and SPY will be eating this giant pile of shit.

Happy-Champion1661

you missed both sell and re-entry, impressive. Sell when SPY was @ 680-685 (first week of March, not even the top of 698) and buy back @ 630 last Monday when we hit almost -10% on SPY

Zipski577

And now that the week has finished with SPY up 6% from the lows, inverse Reddit retains its 100% track record. All of the 0DTE puts expired worthless. The puts that haven’t expired will now decay over a 3 day weekend. And the funny part is, they paid a PREMIUM for them.

Zipski577

I hope you didnt lose too much on puts. My post was 100% right. The week has now ended with SPY up 6% from the lows. Inverse Reddit remains undefeated

TheOriginalBushToad

Jesus gonna see his shadow on Sunday and declare 6 more weeks of war. SPY 600 eom

looool_k_libtard

Who is excited for spaceX to IPO at 2 trillion, get pumped like crazy/added to SPY, and then proceed to tank hundreds of billions in market cap over the following 12 months as everyone unloads their shares

No-Improvement3164

Fuk Cramer for saying when oil is up this much SPY has always been down 20% the last couple days. Said it again this morning and SPY ripped 2% and roasted my puts I waited til 10:30 to buy. WTF is going on. Seriously

Flat-Focus7966

Cash gang be like - I will enter at SPY 550. And it may turn out that the bottom was last week... Some cash on side is good, but exiting completely is as risky as staying completely invested

ProfessionalPomelo20

How to follow this? I have some calls too, hopefully we both get paid… $15 SPY up by market open

Singularity-42

SPY barely green. My portfolio closed red. 

Oneok-Field

Boots on the ground -> SPY 700 Lets fucking LFG!

AstockcollapseNow

Numb nuts you had enough money to buy the underlying. Why are you trading like that? The second SPY crossed 652.50 you should have been buying shares.

PaperHandsTheDip

If you're actively investing in the market - it's basically a game of betting on news that hasn't been priced in yet / people don't know about yet. Do you know something we don't? I sold most my index funds when SPY was \~685 (feb) due to the rising tensions / war. That's when I made the trade you're considering entering into now. I haven't re-bought yet... I'm considering doing it soon to "lock in the profit". I can increase my units by \~4-5% tomorrow / lock the profit in. That's a fantastic trade (increase shares / holdings of index funds by 4-5%) in less than 2 months is fantastic. This is why people say it's "already priced in". Active investors looked at events that might occur & made bets on it. Once they occur & market reacts, they lock in the profits. IE: I'm an active investor (also passive) who made this same trade, but am looking to lock in profits / for my exit soon.

TheOriginalBushToad

If you're engaging in a holy war against the Islamic state, Easter weekend is the time to do it. SPY 600 eom

RothTo0DTE

I do nothing but 0DTEs. They can be traded and you can make money from them, but you can't be in them all freaking day. Especially on shit like SPY/SPX. Ride whatever wave they give you whether it's a 10 second or 10 minute trade then move on to the next wave.

kal14144

SPY was kil and then rose from the dead today. Jesus can’t pull that off until the end of the weekend. Who’s the real god now

Over-Computer-6464

SPY is fine, but I prefer the more diversified total US market ETF like VTI. Since SP500 is 80% of the total US market there is not a huge difference between SPY and VTI but I prefer the slightly better diversification. And you should also have some international exposure like VXUS or IXUS.

TheOriginalBushToad

BREAKING NEWS; HEGSETH TO FIRE US ARMY CHIEF OF STAFF. Boots on the ground for sure. SPY 600 eom