Reddit Posts
Closed IWM $299.00P 08/05/26 for -$51,950.00 loss (-58%)
I model dealer gamma daily. Right now all three big index ETFs are negative-gamma below their flip,
June CPI missed big but I'm not buying the full rally yet
Small caps up 22% in H1 2026, best since 1991. Is the Russell 2000 actually for real this time?
Small caps are having their best year since 1991 and nobody I know is talking about it
How much Short float is too much float short?
Disregard Private Credit Liquidity Tests. Acquire BLACKROCK. Long $BLK
AI is disruptive. Individual companies have never been more volatile. What’s the argument to not just buy indexes?
Warsh's first FOMC presser is Wednesday and nobody seems to be talking about the dot plot risk
Week 5 - Day 5 - One and done option trade. Growing a small account $300 to $60,000
Week 5 - Day 4 - One and done option trade. Growing a small account $300 to $60,000
It’s SO fair! I LOVE you all I LOVE you all!
SPX at 21x P/E with 30-yr at 5.08% — is this a "mania phase" or just a new regime for rates?
What are Benefits and Downsides of a Long/Short Portfolio vs Direct Indexing?
I built the most honest VRP put credit spread backtest I could. 7 years, 5 symbols. Terrible
Broker that let's me set trades based off % of portfolio? i.e. buy as much SPY with100% of portfolio or cash available. Also set a time?
April NFP Preview: 60k Exp. Is a "hot" print the only real threat to this tape?
Built a real-time catalyst scanner - looking for feedback/if anyone interested
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Jeez what a roller coaster $5,300 in 5 minutes is crazy fast $IWM
Day 1. IWM $274 0DTE puts paid today. I wish I got in earlier but profit is profit.
SPY's the only short-gamma leg of the index complex right now
SPY Market Recap - Positive Gamma Floor, Iran Bid, VRP Trap
Dealer positioning read: $8.38B GEX at SPY 700, QQQ below flip, vanna -$181B
Why does the market keep pushing toward highs even when the macro backdrop still looks bad?
Selling premium right now but not really loving it
Started trading credit spreads last week! Looking for helpful info & opinions from option sellers !
Welcome input on my AI-powered monthly investment review workflow
Welcome input on my AI-powered monthly investment review workflow
What the hell happened March 9th??!!!! 🤯
You need to understand what is going on geopolitically
This is not a dip buying opportunity
THE MOST IMPORTANT NEWS TODAY FROM THE FED , THAT WILL MAKE OR BREAK YOUR BETS ON THE STOCK MARKET ?
Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Option Expiry (OpEx) strategies positions/strategies?
SPY and IWM lotto calls looking tempting.. 🤔
The Invisible Buyers: How Passive Capital Flows Into Small-Cap Stocks Like NXXT
Game theory on when VCs will pull the rug from under the AI bubble
How Russell Index Inclusion Can Change the Playing Field for $NХХT
I was digging through the FTSE Russell ESMA Compliance Quarterly Membership Weights document recently and noticed something interesting regarding $NXXT
Somebody knew....IWM put volume exp. today
Reasonable trader turned unemployed degenerate gambler
Quick midweek thoughts on market direction - SPY, QQQ, IWM
Weekly Market Map: SPY 681 Decision Zone, QQQ 600 Line in Sand
where to deploy capital in case there's a correction/crash?
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
Moving $ Systematic Book from IBKR to Clear Street: Custom Credit & Execution Latency Questions
AI Fear" Resurfaces in Software – Potential Sector Pivot Brewing?
Day 3 of copying my friends trades till I’m rich
Day 1 of 450-10k while copying my friends trade
Anyone land the jackpot at the spx casino today? 1/21
Vanguard and BlackRock Scaling In Slowly
Mentions
How are IWM puts for Monday looking?
buying an (M)ES future is basically buying voo on leverage except and gains (or losses) are immediately added to your account cash balance (they’re mark to market). gains also have the advantage of being taxed as 60/40 long/short term cap gains regardless how long you hold it. 1 MES is about equal to buying 40k VOO and 1 ES is like 400k. the carry cost is similar to buying stock on margin at 3% interest. however you pay nothing upfront and only pnl is reflected in your account. (they do count against your account’s margin though) if the index is flat, the price will slowly decay—that’s your interest/carry cost. you can also buy YM for the dow, NQ for QQQ or RTY for russell 2000 (IWM). i’m treating them as if i actually bought that much stock as that’s how the pricing moves. e.g. if VOO moves 1% you’d get +/- $400 (MES) or $4000 (ES). you don’t get any dividends but that’s reflected in reduced carry costs. the contracts expire so you’ll have to roll them ever 3 months if you stick to the front contracts.
The IWM price action today was bullshit. Small caps outperforming everything like wtf on what planet.
Puts on the Russell seem cheap. And this looks like a good hedge against a market wide sweep next week, and will also pay if money rotates into large cap/mega cap. Picked up 8/21 and 8/28 IWM puts
All part of keeping VIX down. QQQ down .3%, IWM up .3% everything in balance
IWM consistently pumping this week. I thought small caps were supposed to be "more vulnerable" to the economy or something
speak for yourself i been making bank on IWM puts every time it touches 304.60+
I swear whenever I sell calls on IWM the thing just goes up straight to the strike
IWM back to open would be nice
IWM back to 300 would be really nice.
IWM approaching 304 letting me earn my call theta early
Spy dumping and I got IWM PUTS NO WAY IWM HOLDS
Only trade I can see is either NBIS or IWM puts but they both aren’t pumping enough for me to comfortably buy puts
Going in IWM puts, it’s stupid idea that’s why I know it’s gonna work
IWM is the most egregious example of MM just blatantly manipulating price action.
IWM is detached from economic reality, IMO. But timing a crash is incredibly difficult in this environment, where market valuations are mostly about (fake) media headlines, hype and vibes. I have a single $260 put expiring next June, but I'm not holding my breath. A sharp rise in fuel costs strangling the economy once crude reserves are depleted could knock some sense into the markets.
I was just thinking about IWM puts today. Thanks for reminding me not to be a fucking maroon.
Okay your post as others have stated is really all over the place. Instead of cash secured, just run a synthetic long and short against it. This is also called a double diagonal or a "poor mans covered strangle". Essentially you would be purchasing a long dated strangle (1 year or more) at very very very deep ITM strikes. Deltas should be .9 or higher. At this level you are strictly playing for intrinsic value and extrinsic is non-existant. What this means is while you will 100% take the max loss on the long, you can sell shorts weekly, bi-weekly, monthly against it. So if set up correctly your max loss on the long will be roughly 2 - 3 weeks worth of strangle premium. If your shorts are managed correctly and keep hitting you can make some good returns. Real would example: I ran this on IWM. I purchased the long contracts 1 year out for around 7,500$. When I sold it 3 months before expiry, it was negative $346 dollars. So Total loss was $346. However, in that 9 months I made roughly $4,200 dollars from selling weeklies. Thats around a 60% return on expended capital for 9 months. Best thing here is the initial 7.5k to purchase the longs is the only collateral you need. It uses the long as collateral to your shorts. Risk and negatives (no free lunch). 1) If your short positions get away from you, your long will prevent unlimited losses but they can get pretty large. 2) You dont own stock so no benefit to dividends or anything like that. Other than that it works pretty good and is relatively safe if ran on a larger index fund or large cap stock that doesnt have crazy volatility non-stop.
SPY and IWM were literally hitting near channel highs. This is a lot of rebalancing into the Qs now that they've broken out again. I fail to see anything particularly bearish here other than the standard we're up in the stratosphere.
wtf that volume and candle on IWM some algo is going insane
SPY straight line up IWM in theta day all is perfect in the world
Only trade I had left in this market was puts on IWM and they crashed IWM before I could do that. They really don’t let you trade in this market
SPY zigzagging for the past hour while IWM is a straight line up
I sold an IWM 305 call so the pre-market's gonna pump to 304 and then we'll see 305 at the end of day
Bought 100 shares of IWM at $299.75, so it's gonna start drilling
sold IWM 300 put at $0.46 if I get assigned, I'm simply wheeling it
I got assigned 2500 shares of IWM after Friday close, if we pump by open I'm ultra fucked
If you degens want to make money, simply short IWM at opening. This index cant hold gains to save its life.
You can get an IWM or Apple contract with that. I’ve had a $3 contract on Apple move pretty good when it’s trending
bro I just needed IWM to not sit in the smallest intraday range it's had in months but full port Sandick calls sounds good too
spent all day watching paint dry (IWM do absolutely nothing all day) it's okay, just down 100% on the port this week
You got billion dollars? If yes short IWM with all that money
Went all in on puts just now FUCKING CRASH IWM CRAHS THIS SHIT COME ON
you thinking IWM 0dte or swinging it, i know a tad bit about spy but looking for some insight
I don’t get it, the IWM went down, how did the puts not print?
There’s always a chance. After a particularly bad Monday, an entire market overreaction in October last year, I bought 70 IWM calls@ .03 for about $240. At the end of the week they were worth 1.89 each or $13,230. So yeah, there’s always a chance…but like someone else mentioned-the pressure at $25-50 compared to $5K compared to 5 & 6 digits is uncharted territory for many traders & something most don’t & won’t experience.
One suggestion I would make is that if you don't want to get rid of your shares, stop trading covered calls. I trade covered calls on SPY, to which I obviously own the shares. However, I am ok getting called away, so I never take a loss. I simply buy them back at the higher price and continue. The point is that I am looking for income on my covered calls. If you are looking for capital gains, then CC's are the wrong choice in my opinion. Also, I used to trade CSPs on SPY as well. Then I found a better solution where I never had to worry about assignment. If assignment doesn't bother you or that's your thesis, then disregard. But, in my case, I now take the same strategy I used for CSPs and now sell an SPX Vertical Credit Spread. What I love about SPX is that there is no early assignment. And if you live in the US, the taxation is 60/40, with 60% of your gains being taxed at long term capital gains with the other 40% at short term capital gains. That's quite a savings in taxes to Uncle Sam's sticky fingers. I started as a stock options trade, but now just trade SPY and SPX and I'm now testing IWM. I like the index ETFs because there's no research to do on a particular company and the volatility is much tamer compared to individual stocks. My last point is about psychology. This is by far the most important aspect when it comes to trading and investing in my opinion. Most strategies work, but what always gets in the way is that little demon on your shoulder. You know, the one that tells you to cut your profits and get out early because he just knows the stock is going to dump. Mindset in trading is 80% and strategy is 20%. A good book to read is "The Psychology of Money" by Morgan Housel.
!banbet IWM delisted 1d
0 Day to Expiration and 1 Day to Expiration options trading. QQQ, SPY, and IWM are the tickers with the most liquid options chains, so you can get in and out easily. I've been scalping moves. Today I caught a move for 108% gain on my account, then caught a 40+% move after that for a total of 196% gain on the day. Both plays were QQQ option calls.
All off 0DTE and 1DTE options, mostly on QQQ with a couple SPY and one IWM.
iono i bought some OTM spy and IWM calls tho
IWM and SPY calls at open, should’ve at close
I just can't stop thinking about IWM puts, no way this pump holds on IWM
anyone wanna do IWM puts here? anyone
IWM broke over 299. Is 300 in the cards?
I'm gonna need IWM above $299 at market open. Thank you for your matter to this attention.
about 400k on calls in IWM yolo
BUY PLTR call at open and PUT at IWM if reach to 300. i'm thinking small rotate to tech
I don’t many ODTE contracts. I bought a 2DTE call IWM on Thursday and rang the bell a little too early just before 11:00. I should’ve waited would’ve made for a much better day.
Bulls. SPY +1.50%, IWM +1.86%, DIA +1.47%. Broad sweep across large and small caps. Not debatable today.
IWM wants to explode eh
Russelll/IWM seems like the play the rest of the week. Way stronger looking chart than the S&P and the Nasdaq.
Wrong. Literally the day this SEC ruling happened was the bottom. [https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/04/02/2026-06365/order-regarding-the-collateral-broker-dealers-may-pledge-when-borrowing-customer-securities](https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/04/02/2026-06365/order-regarding-the-collateral-broker-dealers-may-pledge-when-borrowing-customer-securities) The SEC stepped in, quietly changed the rules and removed the contingency that brokers have to back certain transactions/stock loans with US dollars, bank vouchers or US dollar equivalents. Instead said they can start using SPY, IWM, QQQ and other index funds or even baskets of individual stocks in those funds marked to market. What this did is explode the level of risk in our markets and supercharged the level of leverage based on loaning stock shares in the market. They now borrow shares from other brokers based on shares they have. There is really no limit to how insanely leveraged based on nothing they can get now. AI summary for you - Order Regarding the Collateral Broker-Dealers May Pledge When Borrowing Customer Securities on March 30, 2026, allowing broker-dealers to use specific large-cap equity baskets as collateral under Rule 15c3-3. This update expands permissible collateral, improves liquidity, and modifies operational standards for U.S. securities lending.
i wonder what it was like back in the old days, when different indexes like didn't move in lockstep. SPY, QQQ, IWM, triplets today, finishing each others' sentences
Swan dip iron buttcheeks forming on IWM 5m. If it continues, she gone
IWM is crashing, and it'll affect large caps sooner than later
Breadth collapsing. RSP and IWM breaking down. Market narrowing. 10yr mooning. Oil mooning. Confidence in the Fed collapsing. Hedge funds going tits up. Memory stocks pumping and dumping 300 points in days. Yea. This is probably where you want to take your profits. Raise cash and wait it out.
Looking at SPY vs IWM daily, you can tell which 1 is the meme
Again IWM pull through for me. 293 bruh
$IWM is going to bankrupt me…. Why are we RED??
SPY and IWM free fall, followed by QQQ
the worse part is i gave up day trading because i cant keep track of the market that close and have a job, and i fucking sucked at it. I decided I would just buy some shit and sit on it. •So here is mostly: NLR, VRT, SPY, VXUS, IWM, •with some under 300$ plays in: IE, IBIT, Himx, sldp, nbis, sqqq. and after a year to be in the negative is great. so i sold everything except SPY, VXUS, IWM put most my money in SPY going to wait for my 6k to give me 60$ in a year and buy some shotgun rounds and repaint my ceiling fuck this bs.
I really gotta take a look at whats been working for me. My retirement port is down menially in comparison to my gambling port, and the only difference is 3x versus 1x etfs lol. Maybe I should really just sell the rip, if it ever comes, and dump it all in my 3 fund port gradually. VOO/VXUS/IWM has been kicking ass for me and I should probably just stick to that
IWM 291 0dte put from 0.03 to 2.6 who had the balls?
Grabbed some IWM calls expiring Friday on the dip, LFG make me some dinner money.
gold & IWM mooning.
115% gain on IWM today
IWM calls or puts. if a cut or flat, buy near to the money calls. if a hike, buy far OTM puts.
For the first time in 3 months, I wasn't burned by IWM puts. WOOOOHOOOO
DIA +9.14% YTD (+16.50% annualized) SPY +7.73% YTD (+13.89% annualized) QQQ +8.01% YTD (+14.40% annualized) IWM +18.02% YTD (+33.56% annualized)
going in on IWM. call me lame... going to sell options around it of course
Look, I get it. We want to relate everything to macro fears if we can. This is not a macro/rate fears move though because I can link this to exactly where it began (and really that would be Broadcom earnings with memory just pouring gas on the fire), and rates were going down initially then, plus IWM is holding up well. This, believe it or not, is probably at least the 3rd time the Nasdaq has pitched a fit with it at least starting out not being US macro fundamental based fears in the past few years. Maybe macro pours gas on the fire again, who knows, the last time was EXTREMELY tricky because it looked like the Dow/IWM was going to hide tech falling flat perfectly for a good LONG while.
Not quite sure what you mean "on the way down to this level" . It's still up 18% ytd, and only down 2% this last month, and 3.26% from it's all time high. The IWM had three things going for it. Low PE and projected lower interest rates and projected lower inflation. There is a risk to that now. I'm surprised that it hasn't dumped, if that's what your point is.
And IWM is doing just fine.
What's been interesting to see is SPY and IWM both holding up very well
Low beta breaking out vs high beta does tho. Look, I'm just completely jaded from the past couple years. I think this Dow/IWM outperformance deal is going to fail to keep US markets up yet again, as usual. In fact, I think there's already been signs of a slow turn to boot too.
You still didn't tell me your DTEs for your money losing IWM puts yet. Did they expire on Friday? If not, how much are you down? [https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1v56gxq/comment/ozi17ve/?context=3](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1v56gxq/comment/ozi17ve/?context=3)
Right... and all of those are very sensitive to rate adjustments and we have all but confirmed rate hikes coming with the new Fed chair. Even without that, IWM has been on a tear and we got like 2 of the last 6 rate cuts that were priced in late 2024.
well i own KRE which is the regional bank ETF most of IWM are components
How does IWM literally NEVER move down. I cant fathom it. Can anyone even name ONE company in the Russell 2000? There is zero bull catalyst for that index yet all it does is go up an inordinate amount on no news and never go down.
I took the road less traveled by (IWM). That is going to make all the difference (at open)
Interesting split. The caveat about inferred dealer positioning is the key one. Have you stress-tested net GEX and the flip levels under alternative positioning conventions? OI identifies open contracts, but not who owns which side, so a central estimate with sensitivity bands would be more useful than one exact flip. How are you moving the volatility surface when solving for the flip: sticky strike, sticky delta, or a refitted smile at each spot? Holding each contract’s IV fixed while moving spot can materially shift the flip, particularly post-OpEx when near-dated gamma dominates. Are these deliberately ETF-chain calculations, or do you incorporate SPX/NDX/RUT and futures options? Without those, I’d interpret the figures as SPY/QQQ/IWM option exposure rather than total dealer gamma for the underlying indexes. The clean validation target seems non-directional: whether subsequent realized variance and short-horizon return persistence change with net gamma and distance from the flip, tested out of sample. Are you planning to publish that validation as the history grows?
I had a good week! Traded in and out of qqq. I lost money on IWM the other day though. I guess that was yesterday.
YTD Performance: 📈S&P: +8.27% 📈Nasdaq: +7.46% 📈Dow: +8.06% 📈Small Caps: +18.67% 🥇Gold: -6.20% 🛢️Oil: +56.43% 💵US Dollar: +3.25% ₿ Bitcoin: -26.26% \#YTDPerformance $SPY $QQQ $DIA $SPX #GOLD $GLD #Bitcoin $BTCUSD $IWM $RUT $USD
Haha ok, did you lose all your money yet on this puts? IWM has rebounded
I know more about options than you bro, I know the greeks. You are using outdated information, the greeks are made up now. No one uses black scholes to price options anymore. Look how linearized the options chain prices are now, you dont even see any exponential drop off anymore, its a straight linearized , AI statistical analysis price regime now. Gone are the days of options prices dropping drastically outside a 3 sigma move. SPX 0dte is the engine for market manipulation, VIX is based off SPX options prices. Their SPX+VIX is an unbreakable anchor for the market. They manipulate VIX through the futures and presidential actions, which then lets them manipulate the SPX options with total precision. Then they use the NDX index for rocket fuel to launch the broad market up higher and take everything with it, then deploy the SPX/VIX anchor to keep it from retracing. IWM and DOW are just quietly in the background as illiquid market manipulation tools that literally no one pays attention too. Its all a statstical pricing model and they backfill the greeks to be whatever they need them to be to rig it however they need to now. Vix isnt down, vix is suppressed to a massive degree due to the treasury department shorting front month futures + selling massive amounts of vix straddles + buying back month vix futures. Bessant was a hedge fund manager, he is pulling literally every single wall street manipulation trick with the authority and backing of the US treasury department to keep this shit propped up.
I cant with this fraud man... I bought a 1% OTM put around 9:37. IWM has since moved .5% down from where I bought and now my put is worth less than when I bought it 25 mins ago up .5%. This entire market runs on just gaslighting everyone that puts arent printing when they should be and stealing that option premium to fake pump.
On the durability question: this reads more like a structural feature for IWM specifically, less so for SPY. If IWM was negative gamma every single day for three weeks while the Russell was basically flat, dealers never got a realized move that would force them to buy back that short gamma. So the reading isn’t waiting on a catalyst to resolve, it’s just the ambient state until put demand in that wrapper actually changes. That’s a different animal from a one-print artifact. SPY is more likely to be the one-print case you’re worried about. Right after monthly OpEx, a chunk of positive gamma from the expiring contracts rolls off before the next cycle’s positioning gets rebuilt, so the print right after tends to look more negative than the underlying trend really is. I’d want to see it hold for a week or so past the 17th before trusting the direction, especially with the July 29 FOMC pulling fresh hedging demand into near dated strikes right now. The split you’re seeing between the wrappers and the six names that weight them is consistent with a crowded dispersion setup: index level downside protection getting bought while the concentrated single names get call flow written against them. Those two tend to show up together, and it’s been a persistent pattern this cycle given how top heavy SPY and QQQ both are.