AMAT

HotEmu463

Is anyone holding AMAT before earnings? I'm not sure if I should sell.

actuallyrealperson

AMAT calls seem intriguing

HaveTwoBananas

CRWV Calls NBIS Calls AMAT putd

UberBoob

I like AMAT puts and BBAI Puts, I'm balls deep in SKYT $20 calls atm.

Happy-Champion1661

this week seems kinda shit ngl AMAT puts? should I buy $BULL for next week?

naked_space_chimp

Alright! you beautiful losers... I'm back with my shitty trades & you are going to love it. We are staring at a potential end of the government shutdown but saw consumer sentiment hit near 3.5-year lows last week, with a record job layoff year since 2009 and to top that last week we saw S&P 500 broke below its 50-day moving average for the first time since April. Bearish, right? But you know what the fck up is... markets are trading near all-time highs with valuations stretched to the moon, mega-cap concentration at record levels & everyone's still betting on a year-end Santa rally fueled by Fed rate cuts and high on AI euphoria. So here we go... * 🐂 **DIS — Nov 29, $105 CALL** — Theme park + streaming momentum. Position for post-earnings drift. * 🐂 **CSCO — Nov 29, $75 CALL** — AI networking, capital returns, solid guidance. Buy after earnings pop. * 🐻 **AMAT — Nov 29, $220 PUT** — ITM trade as semi cracks, inventory warnings, fading hot money. These trades are around 4 trading weeks out on expiration but you get to play through earnings which are volatile so be there or be squared. Fight enough to live another day, stay solvent as the market will stay regarded. Market doesn't give a fck about your feelings so trade carefully. Now go and make some monies & make yourself less sufferable. Later Alligator!

SlfImpr

I own stocks of TSM, NVDA, AVGO, AMD, INTC, AMZN, GOOG, AMAT, META, and bunch of others One side is buying and other is selling Price hikes are neutral for me

5thExpansion

AMAT price target raised to 256 by Morgan Stanley 🚀

Jerikolol

wait terminate investigations on semis? so NVDA, who else was it, uhhh AMAT or smth? one of the USA chip tool guys? Did Xi just save us from black monday? I LOVE CHINA

Vegetable-Bug-9779

I would also add TSMC. After all they will have to produce most of the chips. And the other players on the chain, AMAT, ASML.

Downtown-Raisin8724

Look out for AMAT, up 30% over the last 3 months. They make the machines used to build computer chips

VegetableBus6977

Fair enough. I’m thinking companies like KLAC, AMD, AMAT, etc. but even something like MSFT is up 30% YTD and ofc NVDA.

SnoozleDoppel

ASML AMAT LRCX klac etc are very safe investments with marker beating returns but they won't match NVDA and other AI darlings for reasons discussed here... However these equipment makers and TSM are also not going to drop.. their technology is extremely complex ... And they have deep moat and low competition ... Well Amat and LRCX are competitors but you get the point. As for the market being limited.. it's both true and false. The true is evident .. but as demand for chips go up... You need more and more of those machines... Which requires massive maintenance and upkeep plus you can sell software enhancement and SAAS kind of services. So there is growth as long as AI compute and data center demand is there.. as TSMC and others have to manufacture more and hence need multiples of these machines.

grammarsalad

1. I think it greatly depends. Living with your parents with few expenses? Maybe 1-3 months. Are you the only breadwinner in a family of 5? Maybe 1 year at least.  2. I put about 10% of my investments in XHLF for this exact reason in my brokerage. If you do put some aside to 'buy the dip', I suggest you have it in _something_ gaining you interest in the interim. On the other have, nothing wrong with dollar cost averaging into investments you feel confident in.  3. Depends. I have a traditional IRA, a Roth, and a brokerage each with different goals. My Roth is just GLDM, AMZN, and VGT, about equal shares of each. I should add VOO, and probably SCHD, but I don't have much in there ATM. The goal here is just growth with some preservation. My IRA is mostly dividend assets I believe in, including SCHD, though with some growth and preservation in there as well (even a bit of TQQQ for some spice). This will likely be my main source of income in retirement, and I'm really just focused on that. My brokerage is mixed, with individual stocks I believe in (e.g. AEM, AMAT) and high income yielding ETFs that I might lean on in hard economic times (e.g. QQQI).  But, this is just me. It's _essential_ you think about what you want out of these products before deciding how to invest.  4. I basically listen to Buffett and instigate stocks he has confidence in to see if they will work for me.  5. Real Estate if you have the money and patience to deal with tenants.

slimkay

This is very simplistic way to look at this. Boeing is propped up by its status as a military contractor. ASML won’t ever be valued like TSMC or NVDA as it’s effectively a capital goods company. Longer lead time, concentrated customer base and more inherently cyclical. ASML should be comped against AMAT, LRCX, not TSMC

SpongEWorTHiebOb

AMAT finally breaking out. Must be the cheapest semi equipment playa out there.

Frozen_Shades

AMAT has a shit ton of momentum. MACD 10.99 Fuck the G rides, I want the machines that are making them!

2Hosslovescash

AMAT is not ABAT

JusGimmieMyMuuuhney

RIP AMAT dayummm

MikeHoncho1323

ASML and AMAT gave shit tier guidance last earnings and now they’re hopeful asf issuing higher guidance when absolutely nothing has changed in the market in regard to China, make it make sense.

Plastic-Yesterday113

Qualcomm (QCOM): 96% non-U.S. sales Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR): 95% non-U.S. sales Lam Research (LRCX): 90% non-U.S. sales NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI): 89% non-U.S. sales KLA (KLAC): 88% non-U.S. sales Jabil (JBL): 86% non-U.S. sales Applied Materials (AMAT): 85% non-U.S. sales Broadcom (AVGO): 81% non-U.S. sales

Substantial_Lake5957

NVidia GPUs, MU Rams, Intel and AMD CPUs, and stuff from TSMC, ASML, AMAT, LAM… Along with LLMs from OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, Alphabet/Google and xAI/Grok… Which explained that China’s new move is mostly defensive and reactionary.

Expert_CBCD

Bought AMAT, HOOD and TQQQ tv it’s day near end of day and then pop! At least it’s only shares - if it’s anything like April I should be fine in a month (or is this intense copium?)

Klutzy-Ganache2566

!banbet AMAT 180 7d

greenpride32

AMD NVDA MSFT AVGO TSM ASML LRCX AMAT MU don't have real revenues and profits? Most of these companies have long history of profitability long before AI gained traction. Only OpenAI is losing money, which is typical for a first moving, ground breaking technology firm.

Salty_Cookie67

AMAT is doodoo how u tank $12 on good future news

Waiting4Reccession

When AMAT is down, im down :(

Maz00nga

$LWLG Next generation photonics, HPC and AI data centers need faster interconnections with minimal power consumption. Superstar leadership team with long history in photonics, and newcomers from INTC, AMAT, Coherent, Lumentum. $GWH Long duration energy storage (LDES) systems, substantial institutional ownership by Honeywell and SoftBank, renewables need LDES so that energy keeps flowing when the sun and wind are having a rest. LON:ENSI Complex mixed signal ASIC designer and supplier, ASTS are using their designs, will most likely have a trajectory similar to Filtronic (LON:FTC)

HeightSea5673

wow, for the first time market didn't inverse me after i sold my defensive stocks and went all in to AI and semiconductors. makes me wonder why i even hold safe stocks when 1 day of gains outgain 1 year of dividends. now i feel greedy seeing AMD can go up 30% in a day, MU AMAT LRCX SMCI potential +30% next?

essgee9

Some of my highest conviction positions I haven't seen mentioned: SYK - for surgical robotics & med tech ABBV - drug portfolio & discovery AMAT - semiconductor tech TSM - the best semiconductor fab CRWV - complex AI infrastructure

FeelTheH8

AMAT right before the AI run-up 🤦‍♂️ Had like 5 figures worth of it too.

Big_Fix9049

Quite frankly, I hope for some more downturn of META before it goes to $1000 I'm eyeballing the $650 range, then I'll load up. Look at ASML, LRCX and AMAT in the Semiconductor industry. They were hated the last couple of months until recently.

ImJoeontheradio

Yesterday Dell corrected a bit, today it's AMAT. Who makes the schedule and can I get a copy?

Waiting4Reccession

Nooo AMAT why warn of a chyna sales hit, things were going so well, just lie, say ai, say itttt

Frozen_Shades

ORCL, MU and AMAT are pumping too

HeightSea5673

inversing my plays, AMAT crashed cause of bad earnings, but now it magically shot back up to all time highs with 0 catalyst. Logic says to short right? so im inversing my logic

visionarymind

Why AMAT🇺🇸💾❓

HeightSea5673

after holding consumer defensives for so long, i have sold at the bottom and all in to tech stocks bought STX, MU, WD, HOOD, AMAT since market still goes up on shutdown, this can't go wrong right? impossible that it will fall the moment i start buying

Napster-mp3

I will eat Cabot Extra Sharp Cheddar Cheese off of all of your necks, backs, 🐱s, and your cracks, if these AMAT 260 Calls hit 😈

Apprehensive_Two1528

I regretted selling AMAT. That's pretty much the only one i sold. Of course it has gained in my other ticker, but it's not as much as 46%

The_Wombat2081

My options watch-list/paper entries are PUMPING SPY $667 10/1 call = 236% AMAT $200 call 1/16 = 423% PATH $12.50 call 1/16 = 75% My purchased options on the other hand… UAA $6 call 17/10 = -93% WRD $12.50 call 1/16 = -22% 🫠💀🥲

bobbybeansss

AMAT and KLA, otherwise known as the gifts that keep on giving

BraveDevelopment253

It is much more nuanced. A TSMC fab in Taiwan is significantly more dependent on outside supplies from the US than a TSMC fab in the US would be on outside supplies from Taiwan. The reason lies in where each country holds its "choke points" or dominant positions in the supply chain. The US dominates foundational, hard-to-replicate areas of the industry (equipment and software), while Taiwan's dominance is in the physical act of manufacturing and its surrounding ecosystem. Here is a breakdown of the dependencies by category: --- ### 1. Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment (The Tools) This is the most critical category and the primary reason your statement is correct. * **TSMC Fab in Taiwan:** This fab is **highly dependent** on equipment from the United States. It cannot function without tools from American companies like Applied Materials (AMAT), Lam Research, and KLA. These companies are world leaders in deposition, etch, and process control, which are fundamental steps in chipmaking. The fab is also 100% dependent on EUV lithography machines from ASML (Netherlands), a key US ally. * **TSMC Fab in the US:** This fab uses the exact same equipment. However, its supply of tools from AMAT, Lam, and KLA is now *domestic*. Its primary foreign equipment dependency is still on ASML (Netherlands) and perhaps Tokyo Electron (Japan). Its dependency on equipment from *Taiwan* is virtually zero. **Conclusion:** In the crucial area of manufacturing tools, the Taiwan-based fab relies heavily on the US, while the US-based fab has almost no reliance on Taiwan. ### 2. Electronic Design Automation (EDA) Software & IP This is another foundational area of US dominance. * **TSMC Fab in Taiwan:** Every single chip design that TSMC manufactures for its customers (like Apple, Nvidia, AMD) is created using EDA software. This market is almost entirely controlled by three US companies: Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens EDA (formerly Mentor Graphics). Without access to this American software, the entire global semiconductor design industry would halt. Therefore, the Taiwan fab is **completely dependent** on the US in this regard. * **TSMC Fab in the US:** The situation is identical. The location of the fab does not change this fundamental dependency on US-based software for chip design. **Conclusion:** Both fabs are equally and fully dependent on the US for the software that designs the chips they produce. This heavily weighs the dependency toward the US. ### 3. Raw Materials (Wafers, Chemicals, Gases) This area is more globally diversified. * **TSMC Fab in Taiwan:** Taiwan has built a very strong local ecosystem of chemical and gas suppliers. However, it is still heavily reliant on foreign companies for the most basic and critical raw material: silicon wafers. The wafer market is dominated by companies from Japan (e.g., Shin-Etsu, SUMCO). So, while the Taiwan fab has a strong local materials supply chain, it's not self-sufficient. * **TSMC Fab in the US:** The US fab will also source its wafers from the same Japanese giants. It will need to develop a local ecosystem of high-purity chemical and gas suppliers. In the initial phase, it might be more reliant on importing some specialized materials from the established Asian supply chain, which could include some Taiwanese suppliers. **Conclusion:** This category is more balanced. The US fab may have a slight initial dependency on the established Asian materials ecosystem, which could include Taiwanese firms. ### 4. Talent and Operational Expertise This is the one area where the dependency is completely reversed. * **TSMC Fab in Taiwan:** This is the global center of advanced semiconductor manufacturing expertise. Taiwan has a deep, experienced talent pool that is self-sufficient and sets the world standard. Its dependency on US talent for day-to-day operations is very low. * **TSMC Fab in the US:** This fab is **highly dependent** on expertise and personnel from Taiwan, especially in its initial years. TSMC sent hundreds of its Taiwanese engineers to Arizona to install equipment and train the American workforce to replicate its successful manufacturing processes. **Conclusion:** The US fab is, at least for the short-to-medium term, critically dependent on the talent and know-how of its parent company in Taiwan. --- ### Summary Table | Supply Chain Component | TSMC Fab in Taiwan (Dependency on US) | TSMC Fab in the US (Dependency on Taiwan) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Manufacturing Equipment** | **Very High** | **Very Low** | | **EDA Software & IP** | **Very High (Total)** | **Very Low** | | **Raw Materials** | **Medium** (reliant on Japan for wafers) | **Medium** (building out its ecosystem) | | **Talent & Expertise** | **Very Low** | **Very High (initially)** | ### Final Verdict Even with the critical dependency on Taiwanese talent for the new US fab, your assertion holds true. The dependency of a Taiwan-based fab on foundational US technology (equipment and software) is absolute and permanent. Without it, the fab cannot operate. Conversely, the US-based fab's dependency on Taiwan is primarily for operational know-how, which is a transferable skill that will decrease over time as the local workforce gains experience. The other dependencies on Taiwan are minimal. This entire dynamic is a core driver of geopolitical initiatives like the CHIPS Act, which aim to onshore the *manufacturing* part of the value chain that Taiwan currently dominates, while leveraging the US's existing strength in equipment and design.

trontomoon

AMAT at $60, shouldn’t have sold

Bits-n-Byte

AMAT that I fomoed into during covid. Then there is GALE, an old pharma stock that a buddy told me about. Failed to mention he already secured his bag. Watched it go to 0. And finally, PET. Was up a good amount before it too went to 0. It's rough out there.

Zanerax

That is my play for the whole silicon-stock boom - the fab equipment suppliers. ASML/AMAT/KLAC/LRCX. Best case you take a cut of the fab capacity build out and a tight market for their products. Worst case end of line demand hollows out and companies/people take a bath on that end; but the fab suppliers' P/Es are semi-reasonable and even if the bubble bursts leading edge node progress means there is no sitting to wait for demand to meet supply. There's risk, but it's more bounded.

Petit_Nicolas1964

AMAT is dependent on how semiconductors are doing and is therefore a cyclical stock as semis. The sector is doing well in general, but I can‘t say how they are positioned compared to the other semiconductor equipment manufacturers. Buying beaten down stocks is an option if their fundamentals are solid, but you have to be patient and there is always a reason why they are beaten down. Examples are Adobe, Paypal or Duolingo, very solid numbers but the stocks are performing lousy for a long time now. All due to the fear that they are going to be disrupted. They may or may not be disrupted, but you have to be patient if you invest into them and the risk is of course the concern that disruption will be reality. I prefer growth stocks with increasing revenue, earnings and margins.

expensivemiddleclass

Thanks that’s very good advice. I got lucky because i opened the account at the end of April when everything was discounted. So I joined when a lot of stuff were low I have an account that’s 4 years old and that consistently did well but then we are in a bull run they say? How would that work in my situation though? I intentionally seek out stocks that have been around awhile are undervalued and go all in. For example AMAT

copingstoic

Missed the AMAT run up. Jesus F Christ. I was following that right up to RSI 30 and then forgot about it.

AlGAdams

AMAT is like MU in that they have a very predictable earnings response of tanking on EPS beats. Unlike MU though AMAT seems to intentionally sandbag with future earnings predictions. The winning strategy with AMAT is to buy calls after earnings/IV crush and sit on them for 1-2 months (42 days on average for recovery based on last 6 earnings).

Longtimereader69

AMAT looks choppy af

SpongEWorTHiebOb

AMAT and ACLS still have a lot of room to run. Way cheaper than the other semi equipment plays.

NFG89

made 30% in a month with AMAT. Enough for a Wendy's baconator meal.

AlGAdams

I play over reactions to earnings. Specifically fear type reactions based on TTM PE, PEG, EV/EBITA. The past few I recall were AMAT, DELL, LULU, CAVA, AMZN. I buy after IV crush and wait for recovery sling back.

groceriesN1trip

Same. Went heavy on AMAT and SNPS post dip, trimmed appropriately.

-s5y-

I know this post is old, but I made an API with a free tier to track politician stock trades. politiciantradetracker.us The usefulness of the data really depends on the specific trade. There is definitely a lot of junk where it would be hard for someone to invest along side with. Politicians seem to looooovvveee investing money in their real estate developing landlord friends. However, I've seen some pretty insane trades such as Marjorie Taylor Greene buying AMAT:US which sells equipment for semi conductor manufacturing. After she bought it, there was a 20% bull run the month after. She disclosed in within 12 days so people could have totally copied it. It was pretty recently, too. And it goes without saying that there is massive government backing for a company such as the aforementioned. I also put all of the trades on my website, and im in the process of developing an app. All free of course.

NagumoStyle

Man, today was good but also kind of fucked. The strike on all my covered calls got hit. AMAT, NVO, MRVL. All three plowed through it. I *really* need to stop selling those fucking things, I only ever lose on them.

Josepth_Blowsepth

QCOM is just like AMAT. You are better off getting a findom that pegs you nightly

Where_is_Gabriel

I bought Intel 2 years ago and some leaps 2 months ago. I am bullish on Intel even if I lose money. I sold some shares on green 3 days ago but they are into AMAT shares. I am safe anyway.

bobbybeansss

really sad i sold 100 shares of lrcx a few weeks ago to lower my semi exposure, very happy i held my 50 shares AMAT and shares of kla. life is funny

SpongEWorTHiebOb

ACLS and AMAT let’s go!

Wendys-Employee-0069

$AMAT pump

scottie6384

Of course if you’re bullish on the sector, you could easily put together a sector basket of shares in KLAC, ASML, AMAT, LRCX, TER. Easy peasy.

Recent_Register_2952

AMAT you sad bastard

bobbybeansss

i got KLA and AMAT in the port but man do i regret selling LRCX for teeny gains a few weeks back

alt1122334456789

AMAT ripping??

TheyCallMeSardonic

Why is AMAT up 4%?

doorstopperinyourass

KLAC and ONTO for inspection. Also wdym by "raw materials" and how do AMAT and LRCX fit that?

Big_Fix9049

Weren't most semiconductor companies lowering their guidance due to China tension? ASML, LRCX, AMAT just to name a few. So it doesn't come as a surprise that SNPS is in the same corner despite being fundamentally strong. But yeah I can see that short term, there might be pain ahead in this sector.

bobbybeansss

opened up a position in AMAT today. looking at LRCX and KLA if they ever drop

WSB-Rizzler

Overvalued PE-wise and AMAT and ASML both disappointed a few weeks ago

hopopo

Recently I purchased AMAT and NVDA based on the fact congress members were buying it... and I'm down on both.

This-Manufacturer388

Did you call Airbus a tech company and bring up game studios? Lol List of tech companies with over 100 billion market cap. US: Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Google, Amazon, Meta, Crowdstrike, Broadcom, Tesla, Oracle, Netflix, Palantir, Cisco, AMD, Salesforce, IBM, Uber, ServiceNow, Intuit, Artista, Booking, Qualcomm, Texas Instruments, Adobe, AppLovin, Micron, Palo Alto, Lam, AMAT, Analog Devices, ADP, KLA, Synopsys, Intel , Doordash, Cadance (Over 27 trillion in mkt cap) EU: Spotify and SAP.... (450 billion mkt cap)

IGuessBruv

AMAT has a dominate market share across the whole supply chain why is it down 12% the past year

groceriesN1trip

If you didn’t buy KLAC and ISRG at bottom prices then sorry I’m not sorry. Throw in META AMAT yesterday and DHR today

Coffin_Flop

AMAT should be on this list. Trading at a discount to industry peers

casey-primozic

Should I sell my AMAT? I've had it for 4 years at 50% gain. This stock is just a stick in the mud. Although the moment I sell it, I'm 100% sure it will go on a month long rampage to $1000.

casey-primozic

Should I sell my AMAT? I've had it for 4 years at 50% gain. This stock is just a stick in the mud. Although the moment I sell it, I'm 100% sure it will go on a month long rampage to $1000.

MikeHoncho1323

I know that’s my point, AMAT and ASML both beat earnings and expectations, but issues poor/cautious guidance JUST like NVDA did, but the market absolutely tanked after AMAT/ASML and now with nvdia SOXL /Semis recovered in less than 10 hours back to its closing price

MikeHoncho1323

How in the hell did semiconductors recover so fast?? We dumped HARD after bullshit AMAT/ASML and INTC poor guidance but not when nvdia does it? Come on

Permaboolish

List of every company NVDA is going to pump: Cadence design systems Synopsys Coreweave NEBIUS Vertiv SMCI Uber Tesla Google Microsoft Broadcom Meta Palantir Salesforce Amazon Apple Galaxy Applied digital ARM AMD AEVA Ouster Intel TSM IBM Cisco Oracle AMSL AMAT LAM reason Micron Marvell Dell QQQ SPY Bitcoin

SnS2500

Choice between those two, take LRCX. AMAT still has legal issue baggage. If this is an investment account, don't pay taxes by seeling one of these just to buy the other. Too similar. But, omg, 37%? Get SMH if this is a tax advantaged account.

lJustLurkingl

ICHR. $600m+ cap. $200m-$250m avg quarterly rev. Manufactures equipment that semi manufacturers need to make semis. Their biggest customers are AMAT, LRCX, and ASML who sit together at \~$500b cap. ...Politicians buying in... Volume spike (earnings). Bounced off monthly support. Avg target price 30% up from here. 30% nosedive last earnings on CEO transition plan / miss. Already back to where it was.

RPG_Creator

To be honest, as much as I like AMAT, they are almost too broad in the industry. I'm looking at building a position in LRCX, KLAC, ASML. This covers almost everything AMAT does but they are all specialists.

fn_gpsguy

I unloaded my position in AMAT earlier this year. The most I have in an individual stock might be 3,5% of my portfolio. I can’t remember how much I had - maybe $40k. I’m a buy and hold investor, but occasionally sell. I have a diversified portfolio across different sectors, but do own positions in many of the top tech and semiconductor companies. AVGO has been doing well for me lately. I don’t expect them and NVDA to keep up their current returns, but plan to hold them for the next 5+ years.

TheyCallMeSardonic

Is AMAT punished enough, calls?

WildConsideration376

AMAT wants to take off💥🔥💨🦸

95Daphne

The Nasdaq reacted a lot more strongly to AMAT earnings, so I don't see it, personally. We'd need to see a lot more data imo before we can say TLT and QQQ down together is back in style, and then if it is, then maybe in a few months it'd be in deep, 2022 style trouble.

95Daphne

No offense, but I am just really, really not seeing it. Not all market movements have to be political. This appears to have been jumped off by AMAT, which did reveal a potential bear case involving semis last week.

95Daphne

Don't think that's roleplaying at all because if this continues, you can really start this off at the AI infra sell on Wednesday last week and it accelerates on AMAT getting blasted.

Recent_Register_2952

Stocks I hate that are fake and gay: PANW AMAT

TheHyenaofWallstreet

I got too lucky last week with AMAT puts so your calls are probably safe

WildConsideration376

AMAT $190 eow

WildConsideration376

AMAT calls😭

The_Wombat2081

So AMAT says some shit Friday, tanks LRCX, AMAT green today, But LRCX…

visionarymind

Fuk AMAT🇺🇸💾, allergic to $200

CptRTRD

AMAT calls printing

ishfish1

AMAT tank hard, just like a bunch of high-flyers lately. Earnings roulette never fails to humble people. Watching semis now feels like waiting for the next domino to fall.

bsharma127

Definitely AMAT calls

thePebble13

After its 14% drop, will be starting a position in AMAT.