AMAT

Burnratebro

Interesting how “most semiconductor companies” suddenly became AMAT. Even better, AMAT just reported record quarterly revenue of $9.12 billion, up 25% year over year, with EPS growing 43%. That’s your example of struggling operations and low growth??? You can argue valuations are excessive, but the financials directly contradict your narrative. LOL “little boy” and “the poors” tells me exactly how confident you are in your argument. No need to get all emotional, lil bro.

NoRisk_NoRarri

You are entitled to your opinion. Of course there were players in semiconductor space who did scale and had meaningful operation and sales growth. My comment did not refer to them. My comment was oriented towards equipment manufacturers, like AMAT which came to mind. Their operation continued to struggle, low growth, and the stock quadrupled. From what I saw, the tech was lagging and chamber production ramp was crazy slow. Also thank you for the passive dig, but I understand business evaluations just fine little boy. I usually don’t talk to the poors. You can save your time and mine.

All_YourBase

|Stock|YoY EPS growth|Trailing P/E|Forward P/E| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |PG|\-3.1%|24.4x|22.8x| |KO |\+12.3%|27.8x|27.1x| |PEP|\+51.2%|17.3x|16.2x| |COST|\+14.0%|48.8x|44.4x| |WMT|\+4.2%|44.8x|41.1x| |NVDA|\+125.3%|25.9x|16.9x| |MU|\+879.3%|11.9x|5.0x| |SNDK|N/M\*|9.3x|4.8x| |AMAT|\+38.3%|33.7x|22.1x| |AVGO|\+100.0%|41.6x|18.7x| This. Some examples. The highest P/E out of all of these if Costco. With 14% growth.

Astronaut100

Yeah a 5% minor loss. Was about 8% of my portfolio when I sold. I’d much rather own the gainers of this capex cycle so I added to my winners instead: LRCX KLAC AMAT. I’m hoping to buy back GOOG if/when it hits the 250s.

MtGloomy0420

Thanks for the distinction…I’ve played enough Israeli stocks that I don’t really trust them as a hold, so that particular wedge you’ve found is intriguing. I’ve followed $LASE and $LAZR, still invested in $AMAT, work in the tech industry, so understand the semiconductor and manufacturing well. If a new phototonic tech can be developed and built at scale, it would be a game changer for the industry.

Astronaut100

I was one of those sellers at open. Was bullish all year but this ER broke my patience. Sold it and bought LRCX KLAC AMAT, which are luckily available at decent valuations.

davidbigham

TXN AMAT LRCX AVGO . Some of them down 50% from ATH . Good dip to get in

bjay1290

AMAT AND BE

ArkanenCastle

I'm watching over 80 names, but I have some starter positions in AMAT, BE, CRDO, KLAC, LRCX, MXL, and SKHY. Stop loss at their recent lows.

unwanted_hair

Individual - AMAT

Far_Feature2702

Where’s AMAT and MRVL?

ClassicHistorian9013

just checked AMAT, its up 40% YTD, is this a troll post?

SnS2500

\> I guess I'm just glad I never jumped on that bandwagon. Year to date... LRCX is up +35%, AMAT +47%, KLAC +22%. Why are you glad to not have made these returns? What did you invest in that did better?

AristotleBeing

The three aren't one trade. The dispersion inside that 50% is about China exposure and memory/logic mix, not about AI beta. AMAT, LRCX and KLAC sell into the same WFE pool but their geographic revenue split and their memory vs logic exposure differ a lot. A 50% drawdown is the market pricing a 2027 WFE cut. What actually decides whether this is the bottom is (a) how much of the 2025-26 AI capex was pull-forward from 2027 rather than new capacity, (b) whether NAND capex restarts, and (c) China domestic tool share continuing to climb. ASML down only ~22% is the tell, and not because of valuation: EUV backlog gives visibility that deposition/etch/inspection orders don't have. That's an order-book difference, not a multiple difference. What I'd check before calling a bottom: each company's latest 10-K geographic revenue split and the deferred revenue trend. If China share is still in the high-20s or above and trending down, this is a repricing, not a discount. (No position. I keep a WFE tracker for my own notes.)

davidbigham

AMAT and LRCX is down like 50% from their ATH. 🤷‍♂️

thatsmymayo

So buying AMAT was not a good idea

ThanklessWaterHeater

I agree, and have sizable holdings of both. The guidance is surprising, though. With massive new fabs being built as quickly as possible all around the world, you’d think there’d be a sizable uptick in sales of LRCX and AMAT equipment on the horizon. Yet there’s little sign of that in LRXC’s guidance.

housemouse431

did AMAT go into bankruptcy?

Dry_Cardiologist3881

TELWY + AMAT + LAM golden triangle of memory stocks

Antique_Practice_403

WOW LRCX & AMAT are below what they before the march to june Run up now. Its like they never had a run up hehe. Crazy how things turn in a space of 6 months. Looking at forward guidance they seem ridiculously cheap

johnw100883

lRCX/AMAT free money, buying now

CUbuffGuy

Say it with me: SOFTWARE is going to make bank and go parabolic, HARDWARE is going to lag. Stop asking about LRCX and AMAT. This happens every tech cycle. Even if hardware doesn't go down it'll never match the margins on software. There's a reason the big boys have been spending so much, it's time to reap the rewards. Get in now or forever be left behind. Software is the next sector to drag everything up. Sit in VOO and get your 10% or buy literally any big software name like META, GOOGL, even SNOW and stuff like that... easy bank to be made.

xlmtothemoon

KLAC and AMAT shitting the bed too

Odd-Block-2998

LRCX and AMAT are garbage stocks!

Sufficient_Nose629

AMAT missed

davidbigham

Fk, AMAT LRCX really just up 1%

davidbigham

AMAT LRCX MRVL for tmr pump .

Designer_Sir7789

AMAT is a great company at a good price right now. They have great returns on capital, broad semiconductor exposure, and excellent cash generation.

VetFinPilot

There will be winners and losers in the AI supply chain just like every market cycle of the past centered around revolutionary new technology. We've seen it with the birth of the internet in the 1990s, the automotive industry in the 1920s, railroads in the 1870s, etc. AI isn't going anywhere, but just like the dot com bubble there are companies that are being way too aggressive and relying on too many optimistic assumptions for future growth, while there are others that are not. Those using an irresponsible amount of debt to finance expansion will be punished, (i.e. CoreWeave) while others that take a measured approach aren't as exposed, but still exposed nonetheless. Your APLD example is interesting and a strong case for it being oversold at the moment can certainly be made, but there are three problems that I see with the neocloud business and neocloud adjacent companies like Applied Digital: 1) As hyperscalers continue to grow and expand their compute capacity, the moat for neoclouds erodes because they loose pricing power. 2) Nobody agrees on what D&A and opportunity costs are for GPUs (i.e. what's the useful life of my H100 and what does it cost me to keep my Blackwell chips as opposed to investing in Vera Rubin). 3) The entire AI supply chain is contingent upon the long term financial viability of AI models. So far, we've seen leaks form Anthropic's S1 and how massively unprofitable it is, we don't know how much money agents like Muse/Dots is making for Meta/OpenAI, and open source labs as a business model is foggy at best (at least I haven't seen data on it). All this to say that for now I'm keeping all my shares in AMAT, SKHY, META, SNDK, IREN, and others, but I'm paying much closer attention to this market than I was a year ago. There's still more runway remaining for this bull market, but there's no doubt this is a bubble and it will eventually pop.

yummynothing

Here’s my shares allocation: AMAT 599 ASTS 1638 VOO 76 I am not doing good and currently at $104k unrealized losses with $76k losses YTD from biotech stocks. In a dark place. Praying I can at least I can break even.

visionarymind

You were supposed to bail when it rejected $450 the first time It was doomed to retrace to the 200dMA once that happened Now it’s even rejected the 200dMA so the future looks bleak I think AMAT🇺🇸💾 faced a similar challenge

davidbigham

WDC down 60% from ATH. AMAT LRCX down like 40% from ATH .

No_Current3675

LRCX KLAC TSM WDC AMAT are my pickups.

wang2-dev

Worth separating these. MU, LRCX and AMAT aren't three dips, they're one bet on the same capex cycle. And this week's selloff is about the funding side of that cycle: data center debt trading at a discount, neoclouds getting squeezed on credit. Equipment is the second derivative. If anyone trims AI capex, wafer fab equipment orders are what gets cut next. Buying AMAT at 459 is a bet that hyperscaler capex guidance holds when they report later this month. I'd rather wait for those numbers than call it a dip now. Disclosure: I trimmed and then fully exited AMAT this week, no position.

amagithecruiser

I am alredy stacked up on AMAT,LRCX,SKHY,TSMC easiest buy ever

Abe2025

WDC, AMAT, VRT, GLW, NBIS to name a few

callesucia

I've been eyeing AMAT and LRCX for a while now. For AMAT I'm eyeing a $415 entry and for LRCX $265-270.

owenmills04

I think you're missing the point. Yes alot of high beta growth stocks are getting wrecked. Do you notice how the broad indexes are not though? These are what most people are invested in, via their brokerage or much more often their 401ks The point is these are being propped up by a handful of companies, and if those stumble there will be a huge correction TLDR; the vast majority of people aren't invested in NBIS or AMAT. They are invested in broad index funds or mutual funds. Those are in fact trading near ATH, but only because a handful of companies are propping them up

visionarymind

It’s not the index, it’s $70,000-$90,000 salary worker pouring all their extra monies into 🅰️ℹ️ & semis that are getting nuked rn People are losing a lot actors NBIS CRWV AMAT SNDK MU etc.

Biggacheez

I sold my AMAT about 6 months too soon hehe 

visionarymind

I felt bad not selling AMAT🇺🇸💾 @ $642.50 instead of $700+ Not anymoar 😮‍💨

Wild_Following_7475

So when will you realize a gain ? Look at the yields : |Stock|Your price|Earnings yield|FCF yield| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |AMAT|$459|2.5%|1.5%| |MU|$939|8.0%|5.5%| |FN|$414|3.1%|0.03%| |NVDA|$224|3.5%|2.3%| |NBIS|$189|\~0.1%|Negative| |LRCX|$295|2.0%|1.3%| |NU|$15|4.9%|Negative\*|

davidbigham

This is the dip .Intel AMAT looking good dip to buy

yummynothing

AMAT

Trevv901

I'm just hoping its time for an AMAT recovery \*fingers crossed\*

EpsteinPie

scooped up some AMAT calls for tomorrow given asml earnings, cpi and anthropic investor conference. if those tank, then ill soak my call cost and well, buy in another 20% lower 😂

ElkQuiet1541

what is happening with AMAT? jesus

visionarymind

Selling AMAT🇺🇸💾 @ $642.50 after not selling above $700 seems SUPER INTELLIGENT AF rn 🤙😎

davidbigham

Other semi has recovered, but AMAT and MU still fked.

Happy-Champion1661

AMAT tf?

davidbigham

holy fk AMAT down 9% like it is bankrupting soon .

Okasama

Anyone know why AMAT getting bummed today?

Waiting4Reccession

I heard that its cyclical for years now. AMAT has gone up nonstop, so have many chip names. We use more chips and ram and will continue to use more than the 10 years ago cyclical baseline that people keep using to say that it will all crash.

yummynothing

$AMAT $DRAM not looking good for tomorrow. :(

Shakib_KhanX

Hey guys what do you think about $AMAT post recently on X about some unveiling something tomorrow

yummynothing

Hello Dear God - if you are seeing this chat, please make the market green. Please pump AMAT and DRAM. Thank you for listening to my prayers.

davidbigham

ASML INTC AMAT all hurting me today. 🤡

davidbigham

AMAT INTC QCOM GOOGLE all down becoz I own them .

yummynothing

AMAT wtf 😪

yummynothing

why AMAT and DRAM not mooning)

yummynothing

somebody please ask AMAT to moon?

yummynothing

Wtf AMAT crashing why?

iwantcoffeeandwine

AMAT?

jetpilot6969

I'm going balls deep in AMAT calls tomorrow :kek:

MtGloomy0420

Getting gamed just like $NOW did. Just like $AMAT did. Just like $INTC did. Just like $TXN did.

yummynothing

AMAT back to ATH wen?

Appropriate_Ice_7507

The bull in me says let it ride, the bear in me says puts all the way. I gave in and closed my calls and bought puts on AMAT 520p tomorrow. Am I retarded? If I had to ask I’m guessing I’m the most retarded 🥹

tomtaietot

it my only one lagging. AMAT / CRDO doing well today. WDC - suking dick

noonecarestho

Pray for AMAT to shoot back up to 530 🙏🏻🙏🏻

music_is_gud

I think they will go pretty high coz of the MU earnings. When memory companies increase capex and guidance, it's feasting for AMAT, LRCX and another I'm forgetting

yummynothing

any magician here who can figure out how high AMAT gonna go?

yummynothing

this is just very early innings of AI boom innit? To capitalize the next innings would you agree DCAing in these stocks would be the safest? AMAT, TSM? What else?

music_is_gud

I'm watching INTC too. But also some suppliers to Micron. Gonna watch the earnings call once I get home to see what they hunted at in terms of their capex. LRCX, AMAT, ASX seem interesting

MtGloomy0420

Sure.. awesome. There ya go. I have plenty of shares of $NVDA, $AMD, $MSFT, $AMAT, $TSM…I think I’ll be okay.

music_is_gud

Meh it's okay same as AMAT, there are several semi names looking like that. It just made the first higher low.

Mosnet99

Ahhh yes, we have finally defeated $AMAT bears

yummynothing

AMAT

Feisty_Level_1412

AMAT relies on customers' willingness to invest, but capital flows are behaving strangely right now. You could buy it if you're looking at the long term, but I'd skip it for the short term. I can't speak to DRAM I’m bullish on MU, but that doesn't mean I’m bullish on other memory stocks

yummynothing

Nice! DRAM and AMAT good too then?

No_Current3675

i ain't buy that AMAT dip these past weeks hard enough

visionarymind

I used to feel bad 🅰️👢 not selling AMAT🇺🇸💾 above $700 as I sold @ $642.50 Not anymoar tho 😌

Tales-by-Moonlight

Sorry meant AMAT.. LOL

All_YourBase

AMAT has turned the corner. I'm up 15% on it this week.

RightCut4940

Didn't recover since it was overrated in the first place. APLD, AMAT, similar.

Difficult-Thing6128

Why are you fighting with a stock which has lot of competition and less growth. Buy DELL, CRWV, COHR, AMAT, LRCX , GOOG, AMZN. You make more money. If you want a single stock for your $1M. buy CRWV.

tomtaietot

So, guys here is my WISHLIST: MU 890 SNDK 1200 RKLB 60 ASTS 54 CRWV 78 NBIS 180 LEU 130 AMAT 420 AVGO 330

PositiveFluffy968

In my experience, when a stock is going to rip it first goes thru 3 phases: Phase 1 = It crashes down lower. Phase 2 = It gets a bit flat for a while. Phase 3 = The stock suddenly bursts out of it's cocoon and rips. Same thing happened with my Micron and with my AMAT stock.

davidbigham

ARM AMAT actually green today

Abe2025

I need WDC and AMAT to fckin pump hard already

ElkQuiet1541

AMAT seems strong.. up everyday

Abe2025

If you are looking for good entries, AMAT, ALAB, WDC, VRT, and GLW

be_o3

When will AMAT stock rip to ath 

be_o3

Now I just need AMAT to go up 40%

Aggressive-Ad-2707

I was referring to ALAB. AMAT is good. I will buy some

All_YourBase

Update - Here's some of the many movements that happened in minutes just before close today for the "irrelevant" "nothingburger" that "never matters". AMD - went from 545->548 NVDA - 219+ to 222+ in seconds MRL - 239 to 244 SNDK - 1738 to 1796 AMAT - 438 to 445 Even QQQ - 719 to 722

All_YourBase

I picked up 100 shares of AMAT yesterday. I've been watching it for a while. It entered bargain territory for me.

Unfair_Adeptness_838

puts on AMAT, SOFI and APP when market opens. Those 3 are extremely week ladt couple of month

MekIsAss

Fuq it 200 shares of AMAT

MekIsAss

Guys is AMAT gonna be ok 😢

davidbigham

AMAT LRCX TXN all going down when every semi is pumping 🤡