AMAT

Turbulent-Bet-7133

So ai Capex went to gpus, now cpus and tpus. Will suppliers like AMAT be lifted with the rising tide?

Fun_Pay_992

You’re hitting on the $700 Billion question: Are we building a digital cathedral or just buying a lot of very expensive bricks? As someone tracking the macro shifts, the ROI gap is the "Elephant in the room" for 2026. While the "Picks and Shovels" guys (NVDA, AMAT, TSM) are feasting, the downstream "Gold Miners" are mostly staring at empty pans. Here is the breakdown of why the needle isn't moving yet: 1. The CapEx vs. OpEx Trap The hyperscalers are in a "Prisoner's Dilemma." If Google stops spending, Microsoft wins. If Meta stops, Amazon wins. They are forced to spend $700B+ not necessarily for immediate revenue, but for "Strategic Survival." We are currently in the most expensive infrastructure build-out in human history, surpassing even the early railroad or fiber-optic booms. 2. The "Feature" vs. "Product" Problem Most companies outside of Semi-conductors are integrating AI as a Feature, not a revenue-generating Product. Example: Microsoft Copilot adds utility, but does it justify the massive increase in seat price for every enterprise? Not yet. Until the cost-per-inference drops by another 80-90%, AI remains a high-margin cost for the customer, which kills the "Downstream" revenue line you’re looking for. 3. Valuation Distortions (The Palantir Paradox) Trading at a P/S of 86 is essentially pricing in 2030 earnings today. When 7% of the S&P 500 is tied to one chip designer, the concentration risk is astronomical. We aren't just in an AI bubble; we are in a "Liquidity Concentration" event. The Verdict: The money will eventually flow downstream, but only when the "Utility Phase" kicks in. Right now, we are building the tracks. The trains (revenue) are still in the station. If those trains don't start moving by the end of 2026, the "Infrastructure Overhang" will lead to a massive market correction.

Much_Dealer8865

I'm a long term holder but I think most of us are kind of afraid to have good expectations from AMD. That said all of my semiconductor stocks and funds are going hog wild right now and I love it. Another that I like is AMAT, picked up some more last year at 165 after overreaction to a conference call.

Retropixl

Right, when Google was an 18 PE it was a terrible buy right? Or TSM at a 20, or AMAT at a 14. I could go on, really goes to show you have no clue what you’re talking about.

RandomC6

man why are INTC AMC TXN all mooning while LRCX MU ASML AMAT are all flat and sleepy.

DancingCow

Find what make company slow, buy that. Need more sand rock? AMAT Need more chip? J, EME, PWR More science air? APD, LIN etc.

3point21

I’m mildly bullish about the whole semi-sector for the next 3-9 months. Doesn’t matter to me if it’s MU, NVDIA, TSM, AMAT or any other. It’s gonna run hot and keep running hot and overbought until there’s a glut and brutal 30-75% pullback. The Titans will come off those lows in months. The softer tickers will take 12-24 months to recover those heights. For now I’m all cash and selling otm puts against strong names that are testing highs with slight pullbacks. If I get assigned I might ride it higher for a bit, but not too high. I’ll close the position and sell puts again. Hell, I’m selling puts on the likes of WMT and TJX on some days. Steady climbers over the years and a good place to pull in a little cash until my next theta-delta play.

SeaofSounds

VisualMod what is AMAT looking like today?

SeaofSounds

Hey VisualMod what are your thoughts on AMAT versus AVGO....

Elons-Musky-Balls

Helping a older family member get finances in order because they need to go into assisted living because they can’t live alone anymore. They have always been a little nuts to begin with but long story short I found an investment account they inherited and didn’t know existed. In 2013 it had 100k and they owned Micron , AMAT, Broadcom, Cat, Deer, and Exxon. I’m just laughing because dummy is a millionaire many times over and never even knew because they don’t check the mail. Can’t make this shit up now we gota track it down because last trace of it was from 2013 lol. Shout out to that financial advisor who is now dead homie didn’t miss

shreveair

His analogy supports your comment he was replying to. You need the WFE that TSMC buys to create the processes required for producing NVIDIAs chips. I work for a WFE supplier. The supply chain runs deep. The analogy I like to use is a bakery. TSMC owns the bakery and they buy all the pots and pans (WFE) needed to make the cookie recipes (NVIDIA chips). TSMC is the bakery, companies like AMAT, LRCX and TEL provide all the pots and pans and NVIDIA creates the secret recipe needed for the tasty cookies

paulmichael777

Elon's TeraFab buildout which is reported to aim for a 50x larger chip output than current total global will surely require precision equipment from Applied Materials. While it may eat into TSMC's share there are certain patented processes which grandaddy semi equipment manufacturer Applied Materials can only supply to the "100 million square foot" facility in planning. This news could push $AMAT quickly to $600-700 by July. 

Specialist_Exam_8433

ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC all gonna sink tmrw

The-Real-Recruit

helium is a real input cost for semis but the market isn't pricing it yet.. when it does, watch $AMAT, $LRCX, and $KLAC before you touch $NVDA

Specialist_Exam_8433

Semiconductors are at bonker valuations right now. Both suppliers (ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC) and traditional chipmakers (AVGO AMD MRVL). NVDA is reasonable, memory stocks debatable if it's another boom bust cycle or permanent. A correction to semis would send the market tumbling. I think that may happen off the next Nvidia or Broadcom earnings.

Crazy_Donkies

Hey bears. Learn from the past 17 times this has happened.  You desperately need to well time your puts and exits, and that you should NOT hold overnight.  I will be buying the dip.  Not a lot, but a little every day. Especially my favorites.  MRVL, LITE, ALAB, AMAT, COHR, GOOG, AMZN, AMD, AVGO, and more.   You do you.  You may make a buck, but when it reverses I'm going to make 3 bucks.

Specialist_Exam_8433

We got ASML and TSM this week. AMAT, LCRX, KLAC soon, and then AMD AVGO MRVL NVDA May June

Specialist_Exam_8433

Last earnings season they dumped big tech. This time they're gonna dump semiconductors when they all cut or issue unimpressive guidance. The PE on INTC AMD MRVL are bonkers + same with ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC (ASML probably best out of these though). Then NVDA earnings will be the ice on the cake and send the stock to the 140s. Look at NVDA graph, historically is due for a massive correction. Then probably bottom there and hit 200 in 2027. This is not financial advice.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Talking about AMD, MRVL, ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. Also MU is cyclical and will crash eventually. AI isn't magically making that different now.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Even if the war ended today how much higher can we realistically go. Semiconductor stocks have pumped through the moon at completely hype levels that are based on greater fool's theory than fundamentals (INTC, MRVL, AMAT, etc). They obviously won't live up to next earnings, but they may just keep going up the way INTC ignored its last earnings and pumped anyways.

Retropixl

How are they a good risk reward are you dumb? These semi equipment stocks are trading at some of the highest valuations they’ve ever been at. If you said this 2 years ago I would’ve agreed with you, but now no way. KLAC AMAT, are extremely overvalued. I think people are forgetting that this is a cyclical industry and there will be a downturn eventually. These stocks will crater when spending stops for this stuff. I love these companies, but you’re insane to claim they’re a good risk reward currently.

ryallen23

The best risk reward you’ll get right now is stuff like ASML, AMAT, KLA, AVGO, MRVL, and to a lesser extent MU. Couple weeks ago would have been much better valuations for all of those but the way things are going, you might get another shot in a couple more. Then in the lower risk level, like others are saying, power and related stuff. ETN, NEE, VRT, VST, and when it calms down a bit, CAT.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Do I just ape into semiconductor suppliers? ASML probably will hit 1 trillion and AMAT/LRCX/KLAC will hit 500 billion at this rate within a year or two.

VictoriaAutNihil

Left it alone. Instead added to AMAT, AMD, MRVL & NVDA from last April to the end of '25. Have now been adding ORCL, CSCO and will see if PANW heads lower and then add to them as well.

VictoriaAutNihil

When the chip shortage from a few years ago was in full bloom and you couldn't even buy a new car, I started buying AMD, AMAT, NVDA, MRVL, MU. So far so good. I'm no Harvard Business School grad, I played a hunch and it's payed off. It could have bit me in the ass, but it's not as if I was buying unknown dot.com crap like in the 90s.

Specialist_Exam_8433

ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC is basically my entire long term portfolio

VictoriaAutNihil

I guess a mea culpa is forthcoming. I honestly thought the markets would get hammered yesterday. The DOW closed well off its low (-500) to finish the day -85. Pre-market AMD +10, MRVL +6.5, AMAT +21 (too bad I sold some of the position on Monday), NVDA +6.5, GOOG +12, AMZN +9, ORCL +6, PANW +4 ( yesterday +8),QQQ +20 etc. Obviously all based on the two week moratorium concerning the Iran conflict. Once again, those "in the know" will make a killing today. If anything is a get in and get out type of day if you bought on Monday, it's today. Short-term capital gains, pay the 40% and sit pretty with a 60% profit, or hope after two weeks this nonsense is resolved and the markets start behaving normally, so you hold good companies and not worry (too much) about geopolitical issues, inflation issues, GDP issues, unemployment issues etc. By 3:00pm est yesterday, it was very clear the markets were not going to nosedive, so if you had cash on the sidelines, you could have bought some well known, well run, forward thinking companies. I'm already 75% equity portfolio based, at my age I should be 40%, but I retired earlier than I wanted to, for family reasons, so I played the markets in a riskier fashion because I had much less income. Funny, I wanted to selloff last October/November and pay the 20% capital gains this year, but I decided on one more year (read: a bit too greedy) and pay capital gains in 2027. Who saw this Iranian debacle coming? It really came out of nowhere. So, I will definitely be paring down and headed to a more safe haven, but still holding some blue chip stocks. For those investors in the 25-45 range and could stomach the ups and downs (I dealt with '00, '07-'08, '20, '22) I firmly believe, (unlike the dot.com/internet bubble burst) AI is going nowhere. The surface has barely been scratched. If you have twenty five to thirty years of investing to look forward to, even if you want to play it safe by buying index funds/etfs, you should do very well for yourselves. I only wish!

FarkGrudge

AEIS, AVGO, AMAT, MU, LRCX….just….beautiful.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Feels like ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC are all going to double by 2030.

NonStopGravyTrain

What are your goals? To beat the market while managing risk, or swinging for the fences with the understanding you might lose a lot? Either way, AMAT and VRT are s-tier businesses but the markets are aware of it and have priced in perfection. BW is basically one step above meme stock in my opinion, in that it actually does have a legitimate business case, but up 5000% YOY and still not profitable. Not the bag I'd want to be holding.

VictoriaAutNihil

DOW already down 300 (9:50am est). I sold off some stuff yesterday: AMAT, IBM, CSCO, made a nice gain, as I didn't have large positions in any of them, I figured take the money and run. Keep it in a t-bill and when the dust settles from this Iranian debacle, jump back in. Holding my bigger positions, NVDA, AMD, MRVL, GOOG, AMZN & AAPL. They'll probably get hammered, but I think these companies have the ability to bounce back quickly. Using last April's tariff fiasco as an example, and even the Covid-19 correction, these aforementioned stocks recovered in a relatively short period of time. Unfortunately, Trump is such a loose cannon and Hegseth is an incompetent moron, that if this escalates into something long term, recovery could take longer than expected.

Unique_Mortgage_7827

Moving cash from HYSA to taxable brokerage. No immediate purchases planned but want to maintain some liquidity while focusing some capital towards growth and long term holdings. Wanting so capture some of the potential AI growth. Been educating myself via most available online tools but looking for thoughts, opinions and recommendations. TIA $77k Total 30% Cash - SPAXX Core 30% Treasuries - 50% SGOV - 50% USFR 40% Growth - 40% VOO - 20% SMH - 20% AMAT - 20% LRCX

VictoriaAutNihil

Well since the April 2025 tariff fiasco, in May I added MRVL, AMD, AMAT, NVDA, GOOG lowering my dollar cost average. During the Iranian debacle, I've laid rather low. However I did sell my XLC & XLY and bought AMZN @ 207, they're down 7+% ytd, and most analysts are forecasting the stock to be at 300-350 by the end of 2027. I'll settle for 250-275.

VictoriaAutNihil

Any reason why you didn't jump in after Trump's tariff fiasco in April of last year started an obvious upward swing by mid-May? I bought MRVL, AMD, NVDA, PLTR, AMAT, GOOG. Even with the Iranian debacle, I'm still up quite a bit. Sometimes, you just have to say eff it, and take a shot. I recently sold my xlc and xly and added 300 shares of NVDA ($174), I believe it will be 275-325 by the end of 2027. Obviously, this could all backfire, but t-bills @ 3.5-3.75%? Short term CD @ 4.0-4.25%? I'll take my chances in quality companies with proven track records.

ZombieSkipper

I sold AMAT, added more ASML. It’s a dominant moat with over 90% market share. literally every chip manufacturer relies on them

NoMorning5015

I regret selling my AMAT a few months ago, they are so solid

Ok-Basket-9164

It's supply constrained until all of the sudden, it isn't and everybody catches up. But LAM and AMAT are fine

BobSacamanosRatHat

Yes; I’m also waiting for the semis and ‘picks and shovels’ to creep lower. Whenever there’s an war/conflict/energy chokepoint the semis go down 30-40% KLA, AMAT, ONTO, ASML, etc

Cool_Business_5396

We literally sell the equipment to TSMC regard. AMAT LRCX are American companies

Waiting4Reccession

I have stocks and trade options. Majority of my paper loss today is just from my AMAT shares which is my largest stock holding.

Smart-Plantain4032

Micron, AMD & AMAT

itpaystohavepals

Yeah for sure. I'm a big fan of both MU and AMAT, so they're among my long term holds. It's just always funny to me when I open a position and then nearly instantly get fucked

Ok-Assistant-1761

Why was this downvoted? I’d agree Nvidia is much better positioned given they actually have grown meaningful revenue vs. AMAT which is simply pretending a boom is coming that hasn’t appeared in its financials

Beetlejuice_hero

Eventually you're gonna pay taxes on it so I don't really see the big deal. You're just paying them now instead of later. I'd only be super pissed if I'd planned on paying LTCG and mistakenly sold in the short-term window (which you did not). If you're so hell bent on not paying the taxes, then gamble on some weekly options with what'd you owe. You either hit it big and then won't care or you wipe out your gains. This was a pretty immaterial "mistake". There are way way way way worse fuck ups one can do in the stock market. Wanna ask me about how I sold $225,000 worth of AMAT shares at ~12/share in 2012 for like a measly ~$12k gain?

Gamma_Gains

If TeraFab actually gets off the ground, which of these names do you think benefits most - NVDA, ASML or AMAT?

Trader-Trader-Trader

If Musk is genuinely crazy enough to throw $20B-$30B at this just to try, doesn't that make the equipment suppliers the ultimate "picks and shovels" play? Even if TeraFab produces a 0% yield for 5 years, $ASML, $AMAT, and $LRCX still get paid upfront. If he actually starts issuing purchase orders, which equipment ticker do you think gives the best asymmetric upside right now?

Tradingland

ATOM FAB news due any day. NVDA INTC AMD TSM BRCM MU SNDK AMAT

Cav829

Based on the way AMAT is soaring perhaps all these companies need to replace the AI word drop with "next generational AI memory."

Vegetable_Push6542

Lol yeah my long term holdings are 25% split 4 way among ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. I think they are the 4 most solid technology stocks to own right now.

Icebxrg_

AMAT and ASML fighting against MU and MSFT on whether my port is red or green today

albearcub

You can't really believe in AMAT, ASML, or Lam independently. They each play a separate role in the fab process that is dep, litho, and etch, respectively. If you think any of these companies will do well, there's no reason not to think they all will. Imo it's mainly just about what you think of this ai hardware phase.

CUbuffGuy

Not really. This guy is talking like he’s SUPER CONFIDENT that AMAT is going to absolutely crater… so why wouldn’t he take a position? Unless of course he’s just talking out of his ass and doesn’t believe what he’s saying? Or perhaps his oracle like visions have failed him in the past and he lacks the funds to do so… Either way, really good analysis here. I’m definitely going to sell my 85k position I’ve had for 3 years because this guy know for sure the stock is tanking in the next 3 weeks. !remindme 3 weeks to mock this loser OP some more

fmf1991

I sold my AMAT a year ago 😭

madalytical

AMAT is gonna tank HARD be very weary and dont get caught holding the god damned bag week(s) away

Embarrassed-Sea-6078

How do you feel about AMAT at the current price? I had always been wanting to get in, but it’s been trending so high now that I just worry that it’s too expensive to get in, but yet I kept waiting for a pullback that never came…

Vegetable_Push6542

At this point better to invest in ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC if you want exposure to semiconductors than NVDA/AVGO

Peace-Love-303

I think AI buildout, energy & defense are good. AMAT, LCRX, RTX, XAR,DEV

charon-

UCTT and ICHR. Service all the large semiconductor manufacturers. 7%+ of costs for ASML, LRCX, and AMAT. Beaten down but vital to performance.

tomjava

China can easily make a ballpoint tip. You keep underestimating China industrial capability. Making an EUV machine similar to ASML is hard but overtime and budget China will definitely capable to make one. Even none of US companies: AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, and others is able to make a similar EUV machine.

unwanted_hair

Somehow I am still up 107% on AMAT... the fcker never dips.

NotMe357

"MU -i would sell MU if AMAT and KLA and LAM were pumping out equipment.. It isn't like that though. I would sell it if Sandisk, WDC and STX were ramping capacity but they aren't. That's why when the smoke clears you buy not sell" --- Jim Cramer

Low-Cranberry100

I think ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC aren't going to go down much even if the market correction continues. Together you could argue that they're the most important group of companies on the planet without which no chips and hence no technology could be made.

ZombieSkipper

I have some money in AMAT, just a fraction, but I see small returns on it.

Vegetable_Push6542

The only stocks that probably won't go much lower are ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. MU/SNDK/WDC/STX will depend on MU earnings tomorrow.

bihari_baller

> in the following order - ASML, AMAT, LAM, KLA = TEL Process control intensity is only going to go up with more advanced chips, not down.

JustCan6425

I have ATM Jan 2027 leaps for MU, WDC and AMAT that are split equally in my portfolio in terms of worth. I wonder whether not to move everything to MU by selling WDC and AMAT ahead of MU’s earnings 👀👀👀

JustCan6425

I have ATM Jan 2027 leaps for MU, WDC and AMAT that are split equally in my portfolio in terms of worth. I wonder whether not to move everything to MU by selling WDC and AMAT ahead of MU’s earnings 👀👀👀

JustCan6425

But why WDC if MU partnered with AMAT recently?

JustCan6425

Why WDC if MU partnered with AMAT recently?

VictoriaAutNihil

Enough that on Monday, I'm selling what I'm in the green/black: PLTR, AMAT, IBM, QQQ. My current losers are high quality, but if they drop another 10%, they're going as well. I'd rather a t-bill until this Iranian debacle shows some possibility of soon ending. I'm not in my 20s, 30s, 40s; otherwise my strategy would in all likelihood be more aggressive.

Vegetable_Push6542

Memory (MU, SNDK, WDC, STX) and semiconductor suppliers (ASML, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC) have been straight up hulk dicking it while other stocks crumble

Vegetable_Push6542

Iran War has nothing to do with this. Look at how stocks like MU, SNDK, ASML/AMAT are doing. The Iran War is being used as an excuse to sell off stocks that were overpriced for a long time and then when we get some sort of resolution we'll pump back up. This isn't a bear market, we may have some correction in 2028 or 2029 but not now, markets are going to be fine within the next few months.

Vegetable_Push6542

Hear me out; we are selling off not because of the Iran war, but because stocks were way overvalued in the first place and now we need an excuse to correct. And this is why you see certain sectors doing well ex. MU/SNDK/etc. and fab suppliers ex. ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC

No_Proof_2736

The semiconductor equipment providers have been beat up pretty bad so buying the dip on KLAC, AMAT, LRCX etc.

AgitatedMistake1412

Oh I’ve been investing in stocks for several years now. I don’t make a lot of trades though. Most of my positions are in large cap tech companies (MSFT NVDA ANET GOOG AMAT). So i definitely won’t YOLO into anything. I’m too scared of my wife to do anything dumb lol. But yes I’ve read other Reddit posts where ppl got absolute winners on here. Crazy.

Interesting_Leg8859

uhh are u talking about applied materials (AMAT) or APLD

Tradingland

ATOM huge potential for game changing tech in trillion dollar semiconductor industry. Today's AMAT news is a prelude to what's coming for it's tech.

sylphvanas

Well I feel even more shit for selling AMAT, still going up

Tradingland

ATOM. AMAT partnering with MU and SK Hynix for energy efficient faster memory chips

Rezasol67

my pick would be QCOM-AMAT-NVDA if you are really aiming for a long term play! There are many other good choice but those 3 are solid choices

acceinvestments

The equipment demand being downstream of the chip demand point is legitimate and I should have addressed it more directly. The 'they sell equipment not chips' framing does gloss over the fact that if long-term chip demand growth slows, eventually the equipment cycle feels it. My counter would be that the current backlog at AMAT and LRCX is already locked in for 12–18 months, so the near-term impact is limited even if the long-term thesis gets complicated. The LNG / TSMC angle is one I hadn't fully connected and honestly it's more interesting than the export control story right now. If Asian spot LNG is getting squeezed and TSMC runs on gas, that's a direct operational risk that doesn't show up in the chip export narrative at all. Appreciate that, going to look at this more carefully.

acceinvestments

the flip flop pattern is real and it's a fair point. this draft could get watered down or reversed entirely before finalization. but the China supply chain acceleration is actually part of why i'm more focused on equipment than chips right now. if China builds out domestic fabs regardless of what the US does, AMAT and LRCX still sell into that cycle. the restriction on finished chip exports doesn't touch the equipment layer the same way.

dten1112

The equipment layer point is underappreciated. Export controls on finished chips don't touch the capital equipment cycle that supplies every foundry globally. AMAT, LRCX, KLAC sell into TSMC, Samsung, and the emerging Chinese fabs regardless of where the end chips ship. And TSMC's advanced node capacity is already committed years out. The real risk to watch is whether the licensing friction slows hyperscaler capex decision timing, not whether it kills demand. A delayed order is not a cancelled order, but it can mess with quarterly guidance in ways the market tends to overreact to short term.

No-Understanding2406

the equipment companies are "neutral" framing is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. ASML just reported flat Q4 bookings and guided cautiously. if chip export controls tighten further, foundries outside the US reduce capacity additions, and suddenly ASML, AMAT, LRCX have fewer customers building new fabs. the whole "they sell equipment not chips" argument ignores that equipment demand is downstream of chip demand. also the "domestic demand is exempted so everything is fine" angle misses the bigger picture. the entire AI capex thesis depends on hyperscalers eventually monetizing that spend internationally. if Microsoft builds $80B worth of US data centers but can't fully deploy AI services in half the world because of restrictions on the underlying chips, the return on that capex gets harder to justify over time. honestly though, while everyone debates this export control draft, the actual underpriced risk to the chip supply chain right now is energy. Qatar's Ras Laffan going offline means Taiwan's LNG supply is getting squeezed hard. TSMC runs on gas. 60 days of reserves sounds comfortable until you realize Asian spot LNG just went vertical and every available cargo is getting outbid by desperate buyers. the intersection of the Hormuz energy disruption and semiconductor manufacturing is where i'd actually be looking, not some bureaucratic licensing framework that'll probably get watered down before it's finalized anyway.

QuirkyClaim12

I’d look to the semi-cap equipment companies instead who benefit so matter what. The LRCX, AMAT & KLAC

old_Spivey

On the same day, March 23rd, MU, LRCX, AMAT, and GEV are being added to the S&P 100.

albearcub

Having worked in the tool space for my entire career, I'd argue that you should prioritize investing in the tool companies in the following order - ASML, AMAT, LAM, KLA = TEL. I really don't see good long term arguments for investing in Lam > Applied as deposition and product diversity is just so much more important. Once (if) the memory cycle dies down, Lam just goes back to being an solely etch company. ASML's litho monopoly is definitive but the closest one following is AMAT's dep dominance, then followed by Lam's etch dominance.

theInquisitivePanda

What does this mean for MU, LRCX and AMAT. I have seen addition to S&P 500 causing a jump in stock price, but not sure about S&P 100

MeldMeldMeld

MU, LRCX and AMAT please fly

greenpride32

The ETF has about $46b USD in AUM. When the ETF rebalances, it both buys and sells equities to the point where the percentages are at their new desired weights. But the total value is still about $46b. Of course as the market moves, the AUM moves. Hypothetically, if I had $10b worth of NVDA. And I sold $2b, and bought $1b AMAT and $1b LRCX, it's still $10b worth of assets composed of different mix.

Diddly_eyed_Dipshite

I hold some of all the main ones mentioned here all over, but I never see people mention these companies that have been doing solid, any holders? TER Teradyne CLS Celestica AMAT Applied Materials And I'm hopeful for POET too

kool_mandate

Some are pretty liquid though ? MU and AMAT should have very liquid options markets? Maybe that rule of thumb is becoming less true ? I’ve found leaps on Googl/amzn/msft/ma etc. to be very liquid .

janygonewild

Before selling, force yourself to answer three following questions: 1. Is this event permanently damaging MU, AMAT or WDC’s long-term business? 2. Can I naеe an exact re-entry price and timing with real confidence? 3. Is the expected drop clearly bigger than my total round-trip friction? If you cannot answer those precisely, you are not executing a plan, you are reacting to fear. With 300+ days to expiry, your edge is time. Most geopolitical spikes are noise for long-dated semiconductor LEAPS. Acting on short-term fear usually benefits market makers more than you.

bonehammerbulldog

Why AMAT 400?

CriticalBlackberry90

Any thoughts on if AMAT or KLAC can outperform VTI over the next 20 years

VictoriaAutNihil

I own AMD, NVDA, AMAT; but the one I own that I've been adding to since 04/25 (owned it pre-tariff dip) is MRVL. Many analysts have them by 4th quarter 2027 at $150-60. Currently sitting at $82.

elgrandorado

AMAT does this, dunno why more firms don't do this

greenpride32

Mine is about 35%, not because I intended it that way, but because my semis have gone up so much (NVDA AVGO are the 2 biggies). I don't feel the need to diversify out yet... because the companies are still growing with no end in sight. Here's the thing, semis were hot back starting in 2017-18-ish timeframe. That's because the world is moving more digital, electric, "smart" and connected - all of this grows the semi market - it's not just about AI. AI made it go exponential since big tech is trying to accelerate AI advancements with huge upfront capex spend. Just look at your charts for LRCX ASML CDNS AMAT ADI SNPS KLAC and many others - upwards since 2017.

callsonreddit

My friend who works at AMAT said stock will hit 400s My cat confirmed

Due-Reporter-7004

Im still in AI bottlenecks like AMAT,ASML, or TSM