Reddit Posts
S&P futures swung about 69 points on Fed day and gave it back today. Do you change your position size around FOMC?
Why is there not more /NQ or /ES posts on here?
Trading SPX levels on a CPI day - profits locked on Friday
SPX pcs 7550 - profits taken - here is the reason for taking the spread - (9/10)
SPX respected the levels today - light profit of $480, missed additional $600 - (9/4)
SPX Pinned in a Tight Overnight Range — 7700 Resistance, 7625 Support in Focus (9/3)
SPX Pinned in a Tight Overnight Range — 7700 Resistance, 7625 Support in Focus (9/3)
SPX Respected Both Levels Today — Now Eyeing a 7600-7730 Range for Tomorrow (9/2)
Nearly $800 Profit After a Volatile SPX Reversal Day — and a Lesson on Greed (9/1)
SPX Coiled Between 7700 Resistance and 7648 Support Heading Into Tuesday (8/31)
SPX Held 7700 All Day Friday After Rejecting 7770 and SPX 7650 Could Be Next Level Down (8/28)
Only 30 Minutes Into Cash Session and Taking the $970 Profit (8/25)
SPX/ES Pre-Market Levels Held All Session — Missed a Planned Fill by $0.05, Still Closed +$362 on a
Look, folks, we’re looking at the charts, we’re looking at the ES, and frankly, it’s a disaster.
Split market, but pockets of strength are emerging
Can anyone explain to me what it’s like to trade SPX after hours? What chart do you look at? How do you track it at night?
while everyone was buying 0DTEs, i was slowly grinding ES
Weekly credit put diagonal on ES and NQ as a partial hedge
Flat SPX while MAGS and semis rotate in opposite directions
What is the Tax rule for "constructive sale/straddle treatment" of futures on SPY
$HSI bounces off support looking for a strong rebound
Nio ES9 to hit 10,000 deliveries this month as exec disputes Li Auto chassis test
$NIO Due Diligence: 112% YoY Revenue Growth Meets a Commodity Reality Check
$NIO Due Diligence: 112% YoY Revenue Growth Meets a Commodity Reality Check.
Market Feels Weird Right Now With All the Iran Headlines
Market Protect order on ES futures option filled at 4.50/5.00 while Time & Sales showed ~32/35
Comparison of the 5 prop firms that let you trade options
Comparison of the 5 prop firms that let you trade options
Am I missing something by not using order flow? (TOS + TopstepX user)
Someone has been farming SPX 0DTE options with fake geopolitical headlines all week - receipts here.
April 14: $ES leading and Stocks working with Friday’s highs
April 14: $ES leading and Stocks working with Friday’s Highs
I built a multi-agent AI system that produces institutional-grade stock research reports in 10 minutes
UPRO $432 YOLO, avg 99.16, stop at 105: poor man's 3x SPY trade
April 8: Price Discovery + Conditional Momentum $ES
April 8: Price Discovery + Conditional Momentum $ES
NIO Stock Surges as ES8 Deliveries EXPLODE — What’s Next?
Why are Members of Congress so bad at making money?
Why are Members of Congress so bad at making money?
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures steady after relief rally on Trump's hint of Iran deescalation
Just five minutes before the announcement to halt the strikes on Iran an insider bought $1.5 billion in S&P and sold $192 million.
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures soar as Trump postpones Iran strike, citing 'very good' talks
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures fall as 4-week down spiral continues, Trump threatens Iran
Tips on layering directional risk management onto a premium selling strategy (tools and indicators)
NFP Shock Was Mechanical, Not Fundamental - And Small Caps Took the Hit
NIO signals first-ever quarterly operating profit $100 million to $172 million. Stock up 10%
Finally stopped blowing my accounts, by removing my dumbass🤡
Interesting 0DTE trade on futures last night (Jan 19)
1 Year Trump. SP500 underperforming all other markets.
Tuesday, January 20th. 2026. Premarket LIVE: /ES, /NQ, TSLA-Key Levels TSLA 5-Min Open Range Trade.
Friday, January 16th. 2026. Premarket LIVE: /ES, /NQ, TSLA-Key Levels TSLA 5-Min Open Range Trade.
Collecting questions for SnP market maker
Nice start to the week, 2 winners
Why are CME margins $25,000/contract for the S&P500 e-mini contract (ES)?
U.S. stocks extend gains as the Christmas rally continues.
I usually wait for 3 Indications before going Long or Short. I use this overlay for GC / ES / NQ on the 15 minute chart
Mentions
Yields looking like they are getting tamed, oil red, gold moving back to green. Still /ES calls
Gold is headed up, oil is retreating momentarily, keeping an eye on yields, still sticking with /ES calls
With /ES tanking this hard, TSLA should be at like $250
/ES could be all ghetto pretty soon. Blue wave coming looking at 0.00% retracement level and offering 1/2 of the ask
/ES bear trapped last friday and ripped 100 points.
/ES 7700 by market close tomorrow. Lolz Bears!
literally as soon as amazons earnings hit it was a doom candle on ES and everything was fucked
Iran war will be over this weekend and ES will pump 5% breaking ATH by Monday. (kek)
You have it wrong buddy its the opposite. if you are playing 0dte you want to take profits along the way. Your contracts loses value due to theta decay and esp any small bounces as its accerlated. Last 30 minutes or 10 minutes theres MOC Market-on-close and lately theres alot of volatile moves either direction if youre trading SPX/SPXW. You want to exit your contracts ideally before when this happens. If you look at the previous days/weeks last 10 minute you might find MOC playing out If you want to be holding contracts without decay, you want to be playing futures ES!
ES futures market desperately looking for bidders at 7700. keep drilling buddy. We will bid at 7600
We were at 7760 on ES - why the name calling?
Probably shouldn’t have sold all those GOOG, MU, and /ES puts 💀
ES futures gonna stay pinned at 7700 until morale improves
Idk why some of you are panicking. ES is only down -0.31% on a 1 month chart. Bears still got 2.44% to eat on the 3 month chart
Variations of S&P 500 (spy spx /ES voo)
oh look a 10 point V on ES futures. let's go out and celebrate bulls
I just sold a naked 7650 /ES put for tomorrow. So it’s guaranteed to tank another 100 points at least. Do with this info what you will.
Never. Supreme retard says nuclear hellfire before ES6
Bought /ES calls will sell at 7773
Anyone know what caused the huge spike in ES futures after close?
/ES still have upper targets to backtest.
ES doin me a big scary. Its up a little but this is what it does before barfing at market open
going from NQ to ES feels like drinking tea instead of chain smoking cigarettes
ES put entry, thanks exit liquidity.
Pro-tip. Look at the 4am (EST) 1 hour candle on ES. It will give you most of the info you need for the day.
/ES up almost 100 points from last friday's bear trap.
Bers….. I think we know what’s forming on ES and NQ. Hint: it’s bullish and starts with a f and ends with a g 😋😋😋😋😋
700 -0 bid to ask icebergs on ES
something I thought of this morning is that since you prefer to be assigned, you could do ES futures or microes future options. depending on you how much you want to risk and that would give you the tax benefit on the same market, just the futures version and then you could also be assigned. you just would want to be careful about how late into the quarter you do that because you don't want to be assigned and then have the contract expire. just food for thought
Show me that head and shoulders on the daily ES charts :kek: :kek: :kek: :kek:
ES either dumps here or dumps at 7714 is my guess. Maybe 7721ish to trap 🤣
Eh, just a casual .15% drop in 60 seconds in ES. I'm sure you guys will be fine tomorrow. Ahahahahhahahaloloolololoo bols
Then just trade ES futures options. You apply for margin and futures trading privileges? Request level 3 or 4 options trading privileges and get that futures trading open!!!
Can we get a tweet or massive green dildo on ES?
7666 on ES futures. SPX gonna open sub 7600. my long dated SPX puts gonna open at 180+ hopefully. bought for $99
ES was +38 at the open and now its +8 relinquished the entire opening pump
/ES green, /NQ green, is this "Black Monday" in the room with us right now?
ES=F and NQ=F open in three hours
why on gods green earth would any AI-forward company not be using ES 8 or 9 if theyre using ES
I don't believe in ServiceNow. Although many organizations use it, my opinion is that the product sucks, their tech is legacy (still using ES5 which is 17 years old).
Every single one of my buy high, sell higher trades started life as buy low, sell high. Especially in ES and NQ.
It was down 0.6% last weekend and ES opened up 0.5%. Don’t trust it
The way I go about sizing the positions: * Worst possible 1 day SPX drop: 20% is the worst SPY day ever, you could say 15% below your strike is the worst that you believe can happen * Max realistic loss (on 1 contract): `SPX value * 15% * 100 = 7700 * 0.15 * 100 = $115k` * Share of your account you're comfortable having at risk: say this is 80% (for me, I go with 50%) * Min account size: `max loss / account allocation = 115500 / 0.8 = $144k` Depending on your risk appetite, you could run this at a higher allocation, but around the $125k is the minimum I'd say. There are folk out there who run the same thing, but with /ES, which is 1/10th the size, but the liquidity is worse and fees eat into your profit more. Personally, I'd ony run this in a 150k + account.
I’ve been in long dated puts for 2 weeks, and last week alone I took 40k from exit liquidity on short term ES options.
Is NQ finally going to catch up to ES?
I doubt that unless you're just straight up calling the trend wrong every single time. But yea longer dated options would have 100% fixed this issue. Once my long options turned short I should have rolled but I didn't because I was convinced it would rebound then when it didn't I kept holding thinking it would be the next day and securing more loss making me even more committed to my broken strat. The tldr is that you should stick to your original strat... Eat the loss if you deal with a rebound and roll if you believe your original hypothesis still stands. I was convinced of my factors resulting in a ES drop to around 7600 in Dec. Goes to show you can be right and still lose money 🤑
ES tanking and NQ lagging behind.
Committed to the bull today. Heavy bet for /ES calls. Think this turns around 🤞
Pennies in front of a steam roller is right. I was advised by a very experienced options trader not to sell single digit deltas because they can get gamma blasted in a heavy selloff. He’d rather sell a 20 delta on ES and manage it if it becomes a problem than sell multiple single digit deltas. The single digit deltas will expand exponentially in a selloff.
Opened a futures account in late August with 100k in it. Intention was always to scalp futures. Cause of my regarded moves yesterday, I am down 40k from my ATH of 140k - convinced myself that the ghey red will become green so I went to bed, only to wake up seeing a sea of red. This is going to be some glorious loss porn if NQ and ES don't revert in time.
Caught a quick long scalp on ES. Tried for a 2nd one and got out of it for like $25. Glad I got the fuck out of dodge. Green $375 on the day. I think I'm going to sit out the rest of the day and get work done at my actual job.
Pent up rage on a 1.78% Gold decline. /ES isn’t tracking since before 7am. Might hurt a lil if it doesn’t correct before market open.
SPY bottom of the daily vwap band is 765. ES is 7720
hol up im still short TSLA and SPCX i meant i covered ES
the market continues to stairstep down. i make $25 a second. everyone wonders what this retard is doing. i add 2 more ES to the 5 short position.
everyone complains about the cost of going out why dont u correctly slang 5 ES on your way there and make $4K :kek:
I was ES short on top of that shit lmao. Thanks 🥭 :happy:
I probably shouldn’t’ve sold those /ES calls 🤷
ES going back to 7734 before end of week
Just opened 3 contracts on ES. Looks we're going to drop to 2008 lows.
tf is a 740 ES put it's at 7780
I have 200 ES puts at 740 that I didn't sell yesterday now I'm wondering if I cut losses or pray for a dump ... But premarkry is not looking good
This is terrible advice, but for anyone who wants to trade all day and night but don't want to risk much, there are now nano futures so you can go long ES (SPX} and not go bankrupt on a 5% pullback. Gonna be my new hobby
I deposited 45k on my brokerage account a couple of days ago and bought some calls on ES futures, I only spent 15k but my brokerage keeps sending me warning alerts "capital threshold low" and I can't use the 30k that is left anymore, what's happening??
Puts on AMZN and /ES
ES futes charts look like bol's EKG after getting coked up and doing autoerotic asphyxiation over and over.
They have very real reasons to significantly weaken Saudi Arabia. I can highly recommend this DropSite News discussion with two scholars on the region: https://youtu.be/In_ES34T9MU
I’m never looking at weekend Futes again. It was saying -.7% and then ES futures opened +.6% 🤣
When I bought my ES puts it stopped going up
wait for the right entry. DCA when 7750-7770 ON ES futures
ES is always the real market
And here’s your ES and NQ put entry
0.6% NQ and 0.35% ES is red to you?
Holy shit I thought that dip on ES was a glitch in TVs charts but that shit actually got bought up
i just went all-in short on ES pop, no way this holds , unless its insiders and trump drops a taco right up between my cheeks
guys what stop losses have been triggered yet? answer nothing.. so why do you think it will bounce, every noob has their stop at 50 EMA daily on ES
I had the same question and did a Google search on it and the AI gave a pretty good example explaining it: **AI Overview** A **conversion trade** is a neutral options arbitrage strategy used when a call option is overpriced relative to a put option and the underlying stock, violating put-call parity. \[[1](https://www.tradestation.com/learn/options-education-center/the-art-of-options-conversion-trading-options-market-inefficiencies/), [2](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ES9Of8D-AEo&t=13), [3](https://medium.com/@MarketXLS/conversion-arbitrage-options-strategy-8c5ba22e715c)\] The Structure of a Conversion Trade To execute a standard conversion, a trader simultaneously enters three legs with the same underlying asset, strike price, and expiration date: \[[1](https://www.tradestation.com/learn/options-education-center/the-art-of-options-conversion-trading-options-market-inefficiencies/)\] 1. **Buy 100 shares** of the underlying stock (long stock). \[[1](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ES9Of8D-AEo&t=13), [2](https://www.tradestation.com/learn/options-education-center/the-art-of-options-conversion-trading-options-market-inefficiencies/)\] 2. **Buy 1 Put option** at a specific strike price (long put). \[[1](https://www.tradestation.com/learn/options-education-center/the-art-of-options-conversion-trading-options-market-inefficiencies/), [2](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ES9Of8D-AEo&t=13)\] 3. **Sell/Write 1 Call option** at the same strike price and expiration (short call). \[[1](https://www.tradestation.com/learn/options-education-center/the-art-of-options-conversion-trading-options-market-inefficiencies/), [2](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ES9Of8D-AEo&t=13)\] Step-by-Step Numerical Example Suppose **XYZ Corp** stock is trading at **$100** per share. You notice a pricing mispricing in the 1-month options at the **$100 strike price**: \[[1](https://www.talkoptions.in/post/conversion-an-option-trading-strategy)\] * **Stock Price:** $100 per share (Total for 100 shares = $10,000) \[[1](https://www.talkoptions.in/post/conversion-an-option-trading-strategy)\] * **Call Option ($100 strike):** Sells for a premium of **$5** ($500 total for 1 contract) \[[1](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/kwickresume_conversion-reversion-option-strategies-activity-7293614463419658240-pyp7)\] * **Put Option ($100 strike):** Costs a premium of **$3** ($300 total for 1 contract) \[[1](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/kwickresume_conversion-reversion-option-strategies-activity-7293614463419658240-pyp7)\] 1. Entering the Trade * **Buy 100 shares of stock:** Pay $-10,000 * **Buy 1 Put option ($100 strike):** Pay $-300 * **Sell 1 Call option ($100 strike):** Receive +$500 * **Net Initial Cash Outflow:** \\(\\text{Net\\ Cost}=\\text{Stock\\ Cost}+\\text{Put\\ Cost}-\\text{Call\\ Received}\\) \\(-10,000-300++500=-\\$9,800\\) *(Your net entry cost is $9,800, meaning you captured an immediate net credit/discount of $200 compared to just holding the stock naked, or locked in a risk-free profit if options were mispriced).* \[[1](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/kwickresume_conversion-reversion-option-strategies-activity-7293614463419658240-pyp7), [2](https://www.talkoptions.in/post/conversion-an-option-trading-strategy)\] 2. Outcomes at Expiration (When Stock Price is $105) * **Stock Value:** Your 100 shares are worth $10,500 ($105 × 100). * **Call Option ($100 strike):** In-the-money by $5. The buyer exercises it, and you deliver your 100 shares for $10,000. * **Put Option ($100 strike):** Out-of-the-money, expires worthless (cost of $300 was already factored into the net entry). * **Net Result:** You relinquish the stock for $10,000 against a net entry cost of $9,800, locking in a **$200 profit** regardless of whether the stock went up, down, or stayed flat. \[[1](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ES9Of8D-AEo&t=13)\] 3. Outcomes at Expiration (When Stock Price is $90) * **Stock Value:** Your 100 shares are worth $9,000 ($90 × 100). * **Call Option ($100 strike):** Out-of-the-money, expires worthless. * **Put Option ($100 strike):** In-the-money by $10 ($100 strike minus $90 stock price). You exercise your put to sell your shares for $10,000. * **Net Result:** You sell the stock via the put for $10,000 against a net entry cost of $9,800, still locking in a **$200 profit**. \[[1](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/kwickresume_conversion-reversion-option-strategies-activity-7293614463419658240-pyp7), [2](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ES9Of8D-AEo&t=13)\] Key Takeaways * **Risk-Neutral / Arbitrage:** The net payoff is locked in upfront and does not depend on the direction of the stock price. * **Modern Constraints:** In today's automated markets, true mispricings that cover transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, and borrow/interest rates are rare and usually captured in microseconds by institutional high-frequency traders. \[[1](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/conversion-arbitrage.asp), [2](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ES9Of8D-AEo&t=13), [3](https://www.bajajfinserv.in/conversion-arbitrage-options-strategy), [4](https://marketxls.com/blog/conversion-arbitrage-options-strategy)\] \-
Good thing we can also just wait until Sunday and buy ES
They won't let ES fall more than 5 points.
Unsure why this Warsh talk really matters. We just had two consecutive days of shit ass numbers and are down less than 2% NQ and less than 1% ES (FROM ALMOST ALL TIME HIGHS). Like this will move the markets.
ES: -0.,26% NQ: -1.09% What a disparity.
ES futures may be down overnight, but if you bought SPY for a bounce at the close today then what gold is doing should put you at ease. SPY and Gold have had a positive correlation, and where Gold leads SPY typically follows.
Barely moved, alright. LOL. ES looks very similar. https://preview.redd.it/urd340gxgfvh1.png?width=1102&format=png&auto=webp&s=32b057eacecf3f862822d6eddd8d9449a58d3ba6
Its only bullish as long as vol stays where it is or drops further. (Hard to do when its at ~15) at 7800: +1 vol point = ~900 ES sold. +3 = ~2,500. -1 = ~1,000 bought. at 7700 (down 1.4%): ~18,800 ES already sold from the spot move alone, then +3 vol = ~2,200 more. index down with vol up = both push the same way.
Realized: -170 /ES, -200 /CL, +130 /GC, +70 TSLA (market short positions), +166 CVNA (short), +41 MU (mostly short), +13 /BTC. So barely positive. About +12.5%
Where are the S&P futures at right now? The market is open and you can hedge your SPY exposure by shorting ES futures (e-mini). They are worth $50 a point, so calculate how many you need to adequately hedge. You won’t need to post a cash margin as you’re reducing the portfolio beta.
I noticed that last night. Nikkei was down 2.6%. Kospi down 6%. ES_F was basically flat.