Reddit Posts
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
PCE Tomorrow… 1-25-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis
PCE Tomorrow… 1-25-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis
PCE Tomorrow… 1-25-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis
Dear TDA or Schwab peeps - can you help out? - CFTC combos with opts & spot
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Trading SPY + QQQ off /ES and /NQ chart anybody else do this?
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 2 +$519.03 Net Realized)
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
Buying a naked call or a Futures contract on strong directional days
Need advice about index option and option on future.
Someone close to me made an interesting bet against ES NQ IWM TSLA, the semiconductors, but is long on PSNY, China, oil, cereals, wheat pall
Why not use index future /ES for leverage instead of a margin loan for holding 2x SPY?
A cancer drug just got approved in China and thus far hasn't hit English news yet. SRNEQ
US Broker Recommendation with a market that allows both longs/shorts
Here's a Breakdown of My Recent Strategy - SPX Long Strangle Plays
Different brokers showing different Delta values for the same strike
$DPRO DD - A deeper look into the company
Yesterday was a great day. Strangle paid off beautifully.
Successful Trading Partner : 1 trade per day, Long only, 0 DTE, ATM/1 OTM, 1 leg SPX, NY Session
Where can I find the daily average IV crush on /ES?
Is there a good 3rd party software for options charting?
$DPRO DD - A deeper look into the company
$DPRO DD - A deeper look into the company
$DPRO DD - A deeper look into the company
Could military drone production be a good investment with a looming world war III?
Could military drone production be a good investment with a looming world war III?
Anyone out there working with a delta neutral strategy using futures and options?
"Going the Extra Mile: NIO's Journey Towards a Greener Future"
NIO: Embrace the cycle of rising gas prices and join the future of transportation with cost-effective and eco-friendly electric vehicles.
Swingtrading the S&P500? Question To all people that know/trade the S&P500 and its instruments.
Swingtrading the S&P500? Question To all people that know/trade the S&P500 and its instruments.
Going into next week SPX 4300 remains a key level of gamma exposure worth watching
What level of margin is required when futures options are exercised?
Difference in ES / MES quotes and current bid / ask price
ALBERTSONS / KROGER MERGER OPPORTUNITY
S&P September Stats: headed for doom or potential for a rally?
NIO Earnings Are Coming. Investors Are Nervous.
/ES Technical Analysis for Week of 8-28-23: Potential Squeeze?
SPX 4400 is a key level to watch based on full chain options positioning
Bought a 20 contracts of SPX 4390/4400 CDS but picked AM settled by accident...
Grid Battery Metals Inc. (OTC:EVKRF)(TSX.V:CELL) - Focused on Lithium and Nickel while currently fully funded with $4.5M cash & 6M shares (worth $3.6M) of recent high grade discovery Surge Battery Metals (TSXV:NILI) entering exploration on multiple properties. - Due diligence summary
"SPX options are priced based on ES"...So does this mean I ignore the SPX chart?
ES complex options orders only trade in 25c increments?
VolSignals Weekly SPX Recap PT 2 / 3 → ARE WE DUE FOR A THETAGANGBANG? 👀 / WHY is SPX positioning *so* dangerous? 🦈
VolSignals Weekly SPX Recap PT 2 / 3 → ARE WE DUE FOR A THETAGANGBANG? 👀 / WHY is SPX positioning *so* dangerous? 🦈
🚀 $NIO: Igniting the EV Revolution with Game-Changing Innovations! 🔥🌟
Diamond Hands and some risk management.
SPUS down $60 coming from 9% realized vols? Uh oh... 💥 Recapping our SPX Whales + a 🔮into flows / positioning
SPUS down $60 coming from 9% realized vols? Uh oh... 💥 Recapping our SPX Whales + a 🔮into flows / positioning
Why Treasury bond with the same Maturity Date has such big difference in coupon rate?
CPI Week… 7-10-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Bears had their day… 7-6-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Post-FOMC Minutes… whats next? 7-5-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
FOMC Minutes are upon us… 7-3-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
2 week modified straddle. Gamma experience: Ticker /ES
2 week modified straddle. Gamma experience (learn from my loss)
7-3-23: Short Week Index Moves (part 2) - EEs OnlyCrayons
Are the bulls back in control? 6-27-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Tight ranges and market wide oddities… 6-26-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Here it is.. The BIG Short Squeeze on the /ES and $SPY.
JPOW day 1, one more day to go… 6-21-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Buy the dip attempts to continue… 6-20-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily market Analysis
6-19-23 Short Week Index Moves - EEs OnlyCrayons
6-19-23 Short Week Index Moves - EEs OnlyCrayons
SPY Technical Analysis for Tuesday June 20, 2023 - SPY’s H1 Analysis: Market Shift Points to Bearish Bias
Is it time to short Spy yet? 6-16-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Weekly Market Analysis
Quad Witching Day is Upon Us… 6-15-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
The Hawkish Pause… 6-14-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Mentions
Go long if ES goes above 6680. Short if it’s below 6615. Not touching this in between.
/ES flagging and trend move incoming.
Either trade credit spreads, or trade ES futures options instead, they use SPAN so the margin requirement is smaller. However, they are half the size in terms of multiplier so you will have to pay more commissions to ibkr. And it's not cash settled so unlike SPX if you get assigned you will receive a long or short ES futures position which may not be optimal for some
a way to hedge your options after hours on days like this. I am holding $SPY Debit Call Spreads right now and there is a possibility this rally fades by open So I sell short /MESM26 (Micro ES futures) contract. Now if futures retrace I can close it and capture some of this rally before market even opens. Can get cucked if futures jump evne higher but thats what stop losses are for
Suddenly I can trade futes till 5 Used to close 4:15 and open at 6 If i had known I would have bought some ES futures after Barron texted me the news
Did his buddies front-run it with ES futures again? Saw the moon candles right after the 4:15 EST options close 👀
Rugpull soon on futures when they realize futures are fake…..despite someone going long with 51k ES contracts at close.
yeah ES calling bs on ceasfire
Written order for 82nd airborne division probably going to come out after hours. 6400 by friday? 🔮 ES futures puts, short eur/usd futures & longs puts, long nat gas calls. HOLD ON TO YOUR BUTTS!
18-point ATR on 5-minute chart for ES is not normal.....
Someone bet 1.3bn in ES futures shortly before the announcement and like 130m in oil shorts hmmm
My condolences...BUT ES direction and risk management over the long term are two things you should get right at a minimum. Now that it's all over you are STILL blaming Trump.
ES saw the oil crisis and said, “Fine, I’ll drill for it myself” LMAO
big boys are out to play in ES tonight
Just because someone bought 1.5 billion in ES futures 5 minutes before 🥭 announcement doesn’t mean they had prior knowledge. Stop crying!
BREAKING: Just five minutes before Trump's announcement to halt the attacks on Iran, massive trades reportedly hit the market. In one move, $1.5 billion in S&P 500 (ES) futures was bought while $192 million in oil (CL) futures was sold. These orders were 4–6x larger than anything else at the time. The trader seemingly made huge gains.
Why the fuck didn’t you specify you bought options on ES futures for example instead of using weird language and then falsely calling someone retarded for not knowing? You could have just said “bought options on futures” instead of being a tryhard and purposefully disingenuous. What platform do you use? CME?
Yep, 4500 ES contracts at a 250 point gain, give or take, is $12,500 per contract or $56,000,000 in PROFIT.
Not trashing this at all, but I do want to clarify that it was 1.5 billion of notional value. So, somewhere around 4,500 ES contracts or so. Still absolutely wild.
5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x–6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!
Guess the criminals are done cashing out their ES & Oil futures, so back down we drip.
5 minutes before 🥭’s announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!
**5 minutes before Trump’s announcement:** **\* $1.5B** notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. **\* $192M** notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than **4x-6x** any other trade size during the market close.
Fuck these insiders > 5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: >* $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. >* $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. >More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. >Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!
“Someone” bought 1.5 billion worth of ES futures 5 minutes ahead of the announcement at 7 am. The layers of corruption this brazenly public is genuinely insane.
5 minutes before 🌮 announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close Source: https://x.com/adamscochran/status/2036070980754239563?s=46
\* $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. \* $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close.
[LOL](https://x.com/adamscochran/status/2036070980754239563) 5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold.
put down the crack pipe It was a 230pt move on /ES in 5 minutes in the middle of the night you get moves like that maybe a couple of times a year, and only on big new
I don't even doubt that insider trading is a thing with this administration (it's probably a thing in any admin, but I wouldn't be surprised if it's much more in this one). But seriously? A 3% jump in ES 20 minutes before any outsider knows why? All in a few seconds? The capital required to do that in that time makes it a conspiracy wilder than the moon landing being fake or Bush bombing the Twin Towers. Reddit at this point is just a collective version of Alex Jones. Actual rotted brains.
Yeah they do and if you were short, you’re totally royally fucked this morning. ES moved 220 pts in 5 minutes. Why? Because of a tweet, that might be a complete lie.
Whats the best way to short SPY during pre market or after hours? I dont have futures activated (non-American) so can't trade ES minis or whatever yet.
Watch there be a 200 point wick on ES.
Already lost 110 points on ES lmao.
ES 9000 by Friday. Lfggggggg /s
Closed out ES futures on that spike...too much crazy
Dude buys calls on Friday hoping for market bottom. Trump announces war ending for the 3rd time after market close. $SPY up +0.5% in AH. Dude believe Trump and celebrates. Prepares steak for dinner. War escalates over the weekend. Trump news was unreliable. Dude feels betrayed. Back to ramen dinner Saturday night. Checks on weekend wall street chart every 30 minutes. ES futures open Sunday red. Now, he is certain bottom is coming on Monday as it's even more oversold. Will average down Monday at open. The end.
The 60/40 and mark to market treatment on SPX can be benefit. But there are other factors Cash settlement and no contrary exercises cuts the pin risk. This is the place to start European style exercise saves the potential cost of early assignment. Also a key difference SPX has more expirations listed at a given time, plus AM expirations, also narrower strikes SPX also doesn't have big adjustments for dividends like SPY SPX can cross margin with securities (like SPY but unlike potentially similar alternatives like ES options) SPX options trade around the clock. But if the broker doesn't support SPX options, there's certainly a decent list of services not offered by that broker. That could be more important than not getting to trade index options.
Cmon don't be obtuse. Would you sell a 1 week ATM ES straddle for 5 points?
They keep edging bulls 2-3 pts from green on ES futures just to dump LMAO These guys at least have a sense of humor Anyways SPY 500 EOW
Just say "went long ES" "futures" is implied.
they're looking at CME S&P futures right now, ES1! on tradingview, /ES in your brokerage, or [https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures?cid=1175153](https://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-futures?cid=1175153) if you're a regard
$27k BP reduction in one ES contract on TastyTrade. This is fucking ridiculous.
/ES paid longs after bear trap today.
Hoping futes gap fill then a hard reject sell off for Asia open. ES back below 6505 (~SPY 643) by NY session plz.
I think this first half hour was fake. Oil is going up, ES down
just shorted ES, longed CL, bout to long more red wine, join me in valhalla bros
Load puts on ES, they manipulate CL when there's low volume, it will quickly get back to where it should be
ES is trading relative to CL which is a manipulated market
My plan right now is to deploy 25% capital into Googl and Meta at ES 6400, 20% into AMZN and 5% into IBIT leaps at ES 6100, and all remaining capital into NVDA and BRK.B at ES 5800 Will we get there, who knows, but 5800 is close enough to 20% correction and Golden fib from tariff low for me to go all in and hold without regret
ES only down 0.61% so far... load puts while you still can.
yea there's options on lots of futures although ES, CL and GC are the most liquid. Some of the others have almost no volume.
There’s options on ES futures? Lol
Options on ES futures give you so much leverage it's crazy
For some reason decided to jump into a silver futures short when it hit first $100 thinking I could catch a decent sell off, I usually just trade ES… yeah that hurt. Guess I wasn’t wrong but that pain became too much once it touched $110+. Biggest hit I ever took in a day
I sleep like a baby. And cry like one when I moss the 200 point ES rally
**Sunday 6pm ET / 3pm PT** When ES futures reopen.
It was nothing more than a weekly sweep on ES1. Period.
Right. My bad. I’m an options trader. Sometime I forget ES and NQ are more than just indicators. 😂
very legal and cool how you can see on the ES chart the ppl who got the whisper panic buying at 4:40-4:50ish
ES -3 stdev bollinger soon, possible support, it really doesnt like closing outside that, but this is also extraordinary circumstances so who knows
ES at 6600, we either bottom here or I sell everything
Quick scale on that ES bounce, thank you very much 🥰
I will be careful with ES and NQ, the notional is too high and one big overnight move can wipe you. I have paid the price in every vol moves expect this one as my notional exposure is in check now.
im kinda digging Micro futures on Russell and Micro ES small margin requirements, no PDT rules
SPY can't get lower until ES breaks retests and fails 6616.
wait until ES breaks, re-tests and fails 6616 before buying SPY puts.
Agree... Im loving the volatility. Selling 3-5 delta puts on ES and NQ and pulling in 1k a week easy with no stress.
Im loving the volatility. Selling 3-5 delta puts on ES and NQ and pulling in 1k a week easy with no stress.
SPY won't go lower until ES breaks retest and fails 6616
ES 6616 needs to break retest and fail for next downside
thank fuck I forgot to sell my 1dte SPY puts yesterday afternoon because I know my dumbass would've bought 0dte calls on ES futures 2 hours ago
Wow good thing you didn’t trade a full ES contract. What a regard
That's the whole reason for futures in the first place. A lot of big fund managers and institutions use them this way, they buy and sell futures to maintain a certain delta / beta / whatever. Investors usually don't hold them for long positions because you have negative carry. Ie the price of an ES futures contract is Spot \* (1 + (r \* 90/365)). So at the current interest rate, 6000 on SPX would be 6054 at the start of the 3m contract period. Negative carry is the fact that, over time, that spread compresses so they expire with no carry left. Essentially, you pay the risk free rate to hold futures, so over a year you are paying 3.75% currently. That eats into returns.
Major divergence between ES and Jap and Euro futures. What's he done now?
Holy shit i was shorting /ES that day too 😭 my heart beat out of my chest as i watched the charts alllllll day. Never again…
Time to go long ES she going to 6660
Only broke bitched trade MES. I trade ES all night son
Did news come out? Why was there actual volume on that ES candle
Peak to trough on /ES for the day was 2.35% ...that's a lot of swinging around, esp overnight.
i have shorts in COIN, solana and ES futures
8 PM is going to be a fucking bloodbath when Asia dumps ES futures
Me watching while jacked to the tits with ES mini shorts 🚬 🚬🚬🚬
There's so much at play that I think there's alot of uncertainty in the markets. Golds epic run fueled by BRIC's introducing currency "Units" that was backed by gold is now in jeopardy that Russia agreed to sell oil in us dollars. Where do we go from here is units dead? ES and NQ have been in a 6 month range near ATH's, While a good amount of stocks are 50% off of highs, due to AI scare, Private credit scares. MAG7 is literally holding up the market. On top of Stagflation and a weakened job market, will it continue to weaken with more AI job layoffs? Now China positioning it self to surround Taiwan, which the US told them to not touch. possible ww3? I think until we start getting some firm answers to some of these questions we're going to see choppy markets that have no rhyme or reason.
Shorted the fuck out of ES. Made 10k. except it was paper trading :(
Literally sold my ES short at the high of last night 😪
bers acting like they shorted ES at the top of this 🤣
Looking good, took a short ES while I'm awake taking a piss. Will close when I wake up again. Hopefully up, if not such is life.
Why? ES, NQ, YM, RTY all kinda trade in parallel overnight until the morning session.
Tanuki 0dte filter seemed to line up with geeks of finance 0dte filter they were just a little bit off mind you I am comparing tanuki NQ futures gamma exposure to geeks of finance QQQ gamma exposure since geeks of finance does not have futures NQ and ES gamma exposure obviously they are SPX and QQQ so the comparison is very much similar when I am looking at both of them on different platforms and but since one is an ETF and the other is a futures they will not line up perfectly but looking at both next to each other they both were giving the same modeling and where the exposure is for example today NQ was basically limited to a number at its highest today before it sold off in the afternoon and tanuki showed no high level or a significant level you can say price action was climbing too and on geeks of finance QQQ they have an option on platform where it shows a “Dealer cluster zone” those zones are where market makers will buy and sell” and QQQ showed that it was in the dealer selling zone on their platforms so they made were projecting the same model geeks of finance have YouTube videos to show to show you their platforms they post daily.
I ended up going with tanuki and geeks of finance for now. I think tanuki is great especially since it gives you gamma exposure for futures too for NQ and ES I mainly bought geeks of finance for their education and their insights I think they are fantastic but after I get a strong understanding from their insights and platform I will most likely keep tanuki and switch to quant data or vol signals to try them out
Some crazy better gambles out there, hell if you are willing to take a 270k drawdown just fucking load up on /ES or /NQ
Correct. Except due to tax rules on 1256 contracts (spx is an example), your gains get taxed differently than regular spy options or just plain old spy shares. Instead of the normal short term vs long term time based rules for normal stocks, spx (and other index options like it) get taxed at a 60/40 split no matter if you hold for 1 second or 10 years. It’s like futures contracts if you’ve ever traded NQ or ES Don’t know how to make it any more clear than that on how that’s “legal”
US stock futures climbed early Monday as investors looked to stabilize after another weak week for equities, while keeping a close watch on surging oil prices from the war between the US and Iran. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) rose 0.4%, S&P 500 futures (ES=F) and Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ=F) both made gains of around 0.5%. lmao bers