Reddit Posts
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
PCE Tomorrow… 1-25-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis
PCE Tomorrow… 1-25-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis
PCE Tomorrow… 1-25-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis
Dear TDA or Schwab peeps - can you help out? - CFTC combos with opts & spot
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Trading SPY + QQQ off /ES and /NQ chart anybody else do this?
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 2 +$519.03 Net Realized)
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
Buying a naked call or a Futures contract on strong directional days
Need advice about index option and option on future.
Someone close to me made an interesting bet against ES NQ IWM TSLA, the semiconductors, but is long on PSNY, China, oil, cereals, wheat pall
Why not use index future /ES for leverage instead of a margin loan for holding 2x SPY?
A cancer drug just got approved in China and thus far hasn't hit English news yet. SRNEQ
US Broker Recommendation with a market that allows both longs/shorts
Here's a Breakdown of My Recent Strategy - SPX Long Strangle Plays
Different brokers showing different Delta values for the same strike
$DPRO DD - A deeper look into the company
Yesterday was a great day. Strangle paid off beautifully.
Successful Trading Partner : 1 trade per day, Long only, 0 DTE, ATM/1 OTM, 1 leg SPX, NY Session
Where can I find the daily average IV crush on /ES?
Is there a good 3rd party software for options charting?
$DPRO DD - A deeper look into the company
$DPRO DD - A deeper look into the company
$DPRO DD - A deeper look into the company
Could military drone production be a good investment with a looming world war III?
Could military drone production be a good investment with a looming world war III?
Anyone out there working with a delta neutral strategy using futures and options?
"Going the Extra Mile: NIO's Journey Towards a Greener Future"
NIO: Embrace the cycle of rising gas prices and join the future of transportation with cost-effective and eco-friendly electric vehicles.
Swingtrading the S&P500? Question To all people that know/trade the S&P500 and its instruments.
Swingtrading the S&P500? Question To all people that know/trade the S&P500 and its instruments.
Going into next week SPX 4300 remains a key level of gamma exposure worth watching
What level of margin is required when futures options are exercised?
Difference in ES / MES quotes and current bid / ask price
ALBERTSONS / KROGER MERGER OPPORTUNITY
S&P September Stats: headed for doom or potential for a rally?
NIO Earnings Are Coming. Investors Are Nervous.
/ES Technical Analysis for Week of 8-28-23: Potential Squeeze?
SPX 4400 is a key level to watch based on full chain options positioning
Bought a 20 contracts of SPX 4390/4400 CDS but picked AM settled by accident...
Grid Battery Metals Inc. (OTC:EVKRF)(TSX.V:CELL) - Focused on Lithium and Nickel while currently fully funded with $4.5M cash & 6M shares (worth $3.6M) of recent high grade discovery Surge Battery Metals (TSXV:NILI) entering exploration on multiple properties. - Due diligence summary
"SPX options are priced based on ES"...So does this mean I ignore the SPX chart?
ES complex options orders only trade in 25c increments?
VolSignals Weekly SPX Recap PT 2 / 3 → ARE WE DUE FOR A THETAGANGBANG? 👀 / WHY is SPX positioning *so* dangerous? 🦈
VolSignals Weekly SPX Recap PT 2 / 3 → ARE WE DUE FOR A THETAGANGBANG? 👀 / WHY is SPX positioning *so* dangerous? 🦈
🚀 $NIO: Igniting the EV Revolution with Game-Changing Innovations! 🔥🌟
Diamond Hands and some risk management.
SPUS down $60 coming from 9% realized vols? Uh oh... 💥 Recapping our SPX Whales + a 🔮into flows / positioning
SPUS down $60 coming from 9% realized vols? Uh oh... 💥 Recapping our SPX Whales + a 🔮into flows / positioning
Why Treasury bond with the same Maturity Date has such big difference in coupon rate?
CPI Week… 7-10-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Bears had their day… 7-6-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Post-FOMC Minutes… whats next? 7-5-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
FOMC Minutes are upon us… 7-3-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
2 week modified straddle. Gamma experience: Ticker /ES
2 week modified straddle. Gamma experience (learn from my loss)
7-3-23: Short Week Index Moves (part 2) - EEs OnlyCrayons
Are the bulls back in control? 6-27-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Tight ranges and market wide oddities… 6-26-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Here it is.. The BIG Short Squeeze on the /ES and $SPY.
JPOW day 1, one more day to go… 6-21-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Buy the dip attempts to continue… 6-20-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily market Analysis
6-19-23 Short Week Index Moves - EEs OnlyCrayons
6-19-23 Short Week Index Moves - EEs OnlyCrayons
SPY Technical Analysis for Tuesday June 20, 2023 - SPY’s H1 Analysis: Market Shift Points to Bearish Bias
Is it time to short Spy yet? 6-16-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Weekly Market Analysis
Quad Witching Day is Upon Us… 6-15-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
The Hawkish Pause… 6-14-23 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis
Mentions
You can trade micro futures and even a single ES mini for very little margin and get unfathomable leverage. If you play it smart and don’t get greedy that’s all you need. At least you’re not fighting the Greeks like with options
Usually trade it and ES. Just don’t have the time for minute by minute trading today…
> SPX trades almost 24hrs You mean S&P futures, ES?
Butterflies rock for neutral plays, but skip SPY starters; go stocks or /ES minis for tighter spreads. Target 0.10-0.20 delta wings, 21-45 DTE, enter when short strike hits 15-16 delta for max POP. Size tiny (1-2 contracts), aim for 30c debit on $10 wings; exit at 50% profit or 21 DTE to avoid gamma bombs; paper trade 50 first.
I totally understand the frustration - US brokers do charge way more in fees compared to what you're used to in Brazil, and that's a real pain point for international traders. Unfortunately there's no major US broker offering zero fees on options right now, but Interactive Brokers and Tastytrade are generally the cheapest for options trading if you're comparing commissions. That said, the fee structure is only part of your cost - bid-ask spreads, liquidity, and contract selection matter a lot too. Before you commit to a broker, I'd also suggest thinking about which specific S&P 500 options you actually want to trade (SPY, ES, SPX) since liquidity varies and that affects your real execution costs. We built FunRobin to help traders quickly identify which contracts are actually liquid and worth trading without getting lost in the noise, which might help you avoid overpaying on spreads once you pick a broker. But honestly, the broker choice itself is the bigger decision here. Happy to chat more if you have questions about evaluating contracts once you're set up.
Per trade for options is anywhere from $100 to $600ish usually. For futures, MNQ I risk about 25-30 points per trade, ES around 5 -8 points.
Anyone else feeling like we’re about to get a -200 point ES day?
That's why ES is basically flat.
How bad are those ber ES shorts 😂.
>/ES=F: -0.12% Don't fucking play with me you lying bitch
/ES trapped bears overnight then recovered support and squeezed.
BaaS will only be a plus if they have many cars on the roads and deliveries are high month after month. If you compare it with Lucid or Rivian, they are doing way better, but still very low valuation because of "risk of bankruptcy", which I don't get. As soon as they want to cut down on research, they turn quickly to profits. Now that they haven their own chip, their margins are as good as they were, but better pricing than the competence. It's about time that they'll do the third generation of the already existing cars, and get the same numbers as with the ES8. I would have wished them to focus more on cars than developing the phone and whatelse. But that is already done, so...
Im long on NIO too, i’ll list a few points: Improved deliveries (finally) Improved financials (not great, expected to hit their first profitable quarter) Their relaunched ES8 orders (hope they can do the same for other models ET5/ET7)
Can’t tell whether to short an ES or an NQ contract lol. I think this will blow over or get tied up in court by the tie his term ends.
Not sure if micro tbh. It’s 50 per point on ES, so maybe 10%? Which would be your figure yeah
If you would’ve sold ES contracts when I said 2 hours ago they would be worth $1k for every contract you sold already. And market isn’t even open.
Anyone buying the dip on futures (MNQ/NQ/MES/ES) or even just the equity indexes? I remember the last time jpow got threatened, it was an awesome dip buy. But there seems to be so much crazier going on right now....
Smart people selling ES contracts rn
spx is spy is ES is all the s and p
Do me a favor, if you want it safe... put your money in T-notes. Or in the SPY. If you want some thrill there are some ETFs with 3x, 5x or even 10x leverage on the SPY. Or just buy some ES futures with 10% of your cash and let them run, that's around 20x leverage per contract and 2x for your account. Otherwise... you are getting hurt and broke. You dont know what the market does next, but you know for now that you are 120K up. Other people contribute to their pension account for 5 years to be up like that.
I switched to ES this year and am having trouble with my returns this week (-$55k) because I haven’t adjusted to the less volatility yet, but I can fill 5x the contracts for even more returns if I get my shit right
I maintain my etrade port at minimum 110,000 - need that for portfolio margin. they let me short naked options on any dumb shit even if the notional risk is multiple times the account size. and yet, even if the notional risk on a micro e-mini is only around 25000 (or /mes for example and that's assuming spy goes to zero), they won't let me do it. all i want is to get assigned /ES at a strike i want and get paid daily in exchange for having to wait. nothing fancy.
Good move. Looks like you’re correct in your assessment. I had an ES short 7003 but never hit 😭
Probably a pop and run day. VIX will bleed and the rest of the fat will be a melt up since we already had ES pop and fade over 7k earlier this week.
Didn't they already announce it like 1 or 2 years ago that they would be using Gemini/OpenAI? At least I could find a new from june 2024 https://openai.com/es-ES/index/openai-and-apple-announce-partnership/ And https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-05/apple-plans-to-use-1-2-trillion-parameter-google-gemini-model-to-power-new-siri?embedded-checkout=true alt least from November
ES overnight high at 69.50. We all know it’s going to hit that again. Doubt it’ll go for the low today. Whole chart looks primed for a bounce.
wtf we’re those candles on ES and NQ
Yoooo that ES futures candle was the craziest overnight candle I’ve ever seen.
ES 7000 is light work baby. We’re heading to 7150 by end of month.
Right after the whole Venezuela thing, some more on Saturday on here thought we would open up 300 points down in ES futures Sunday. We’re 15 points from ATH right now. I love you fucking regards so much
7000 ES. absolute insanity lol
ES just passed 7000. Nothing makes sense.
You agreed to sell 1 ES contract at the strike price to the Call buyer. So you'll be assigned which means you'll be short 1 ES contract at the strike price. If strike sold was 6900 and the current price is 6950, then you'll be 50 points in the red (=$2,500) Not taking the credit you received for selling the call into consideration here.
/ES futes have moved within an 8 point range for hours. This is insane.
Wow ES stuck in a 3 point range for 2 hours now. This is ATH mooning?
Gonna buy the ES dip on the low of the day at the 10:30 reversal
ES close at 4950, followed by an AH rally and gap up tomorrow. If you don’t see it, idk what to tell you
i was doing MES at first which is just the S&P futures, but small version. Then I did ES which is the regular size. But the correlation to the market was 1:1, so when the S&P went down I went down hard because of the leverage. So then I started to diversify to the commodity futures. Then I eventually noticed that with the commodities (I trade 6 asset classes), I have enough beta, so I dropped ES completely. So now I'm just doing the commodity side of the futures (currencies, energy, meats, metals, grains, treasuries).
A mini V in ES to crush the mini bers.
I was hoping for an ES6 update but I think the poor starfield reception has them backpedaling on some things
I trade options based on futures data. Watching $ES $NQ $RTY $YM and trade the equivalent ETF.
I Bought 4 ES contracts at the low Friday yet none of you rang the whale alert, wtf guys
Some people are actually successful 😂 my biggest positions are ag futures, and I went long with a couple contracts on NQ ES and YM in April and reversed them right at the obvious tops. Made a FUCKING killing on UNH when it crashed then on the rebound. Making smart moves pays off.
Day 1/252 More trades than I would’ve liked but today’s action was bipolar af. Trading ES futures. https://preview.redd.it/fw9wkl1q20bg1.jpeg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=16cb08a15f91ee0b27eb08f78e0b2414c0ce6090
I’m long ES here, fukkkkk it
go big or go home! longed five /NQ hedged with a tiny hedge of two /ES short contract.
My gut (+ a few other more tangible data points) says ES Futures gunna reclaim some last territory over night & it then is a dice roll after RTH begins.
lol yea will do. Sounds like you think it is an okay idea? I understand that marketconditions change and you have to be nimble. It comes down to risk and reward. Also willing to hold the ES a while if thats feasable. I was looking into TQQQ too which I would like to hold.
I am in bed… ES was “attempting” when I commented.
I started something new this week. Every day, I will buy one /ES and immediately sell one CC at the money. I won't even look at it until 4:30 pm (lie). then I will again sell a CC. this is an infinite money glitch. there are practically ZERO drawbacks. the reason you don't find this information easily that that the big guys are tryin to keep me down. so don't tell anyone about this. hedgies hate this one trick. lambo soon
Worst case scenario. ES drops from today's 6950 to 6400 and I am stuck with100 pts/5000 dollar deficit or something worse. I presume I can manage the loss before that?
looks like my daily /ES buy and write will pay out like it usually does. when it does not, just wait for a day or two, it will. even at these dogshit premiums
Basically ES gotten tick a few cents ?? PUMPPP IT PLS
ES is green, rip my puts
More people are talking about Silver futures over ES :(
7000 ES would make my weekend rn
Some constructive criticism. 1. You want SPX and SPY and ES. Each one in isolation is not going to give you a complete picture. If you can only do one, use SPX/SPXW 2. You don’t give much insight about how you arrived at these numbers so my prior is that it’s mostly trash. 3. If you are doing it properly, it’s very impressive
protip anyone talkin bout SPY price instead of ES/SPX is retarded and ignorable
Took a small chort ES (/MES) position because we dropped 2.5% last year between xmas and the new year. Might make $5.
Rofl you are a gay bear, look at the 4 hour, if a technical breakout is a sell off, then why does ES have a big ol green dildo? Your puts gonna get smoked, blessings on your sacrifice https://preview.redd.it/ah7sn6fyy89g1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0830b0f613ff5993dc9b760867274203c8dbcb21
ES to 8900 by Jan 1st
don’t forget me with my 1 single e-micro pico ES contract where every dollar move in SPX is worth 2 cents
Something like what I did with my ES chart.. it’s pretty awesome https://preview.redd.it/4qzheuqodw8g1.jpeg?width=2532&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=edebb74799d316e0e3912498d0b2746a4df07053
I’m with ya on the thesis of that level breaking leading to downside momentum… I just think it’s not likely. SPX chart is telling traders to buy the dips. Spy and ES charts would’ve had me out, but I have ways of factoring in all three.
Watching ES for a rejection at all time highs
I'm up over 60%. Shorted oil /CL, went long /CL gold, shorted /ES before "liberation day"(lol), sold SPX puts shortly after liberation day to collect theta once risk was priced in but while liquidity was growing. Now I sit in MUNI bonds with an /ZN short to hedge DV01 risk. Also long 40% of portfolio as Gold. Gold currently has once again become uncorrelated to stocks - meaning that if your afraid of inflation, it may be safer as a hedge again. Ofc that can change. Equity risk premium is negative by -.6% which is really bad. Liquidity was contracting, but fed pivot might change that. My custom mini Bloomberg dashboard shows 7 bullish, 7 bearish, 2 neutral signals. Id rather enjoy tax free dividends while I keep my risk exposure lower until a cleaner signal comes out.
IMO, just buy shares. Even if you can only afford one share now, time in the market is more important than timing the market. And expiration dates force you to time the market. If you really, really want to leverage the S&P 500 for a very long time horizon, like you are in your 20s and you plan to retire at 70 and this is a retirement portfolio investment, using /ES futures would make more sense and be more cost effective for leverage. You also get favorable tax treatment through Section 1256, although you also have to pay mark-to-market taxes yearly.
You have it right. If settlement was 56.49 the long would have been in the money and automatically exercised. American style options work the same in future as equities. You can be assigned at any time. I am a little unsure of the timing of delivery with different futures settlement times across different products. I have seen equity futures like /ES deliver assigned/exercised contacts during the break between 4-5pm Central.
I'll believe this pump if ES is over 6850...otherwise I'm sitting out
ES remained flat for the remainder of the 21st century, taking theta gains to entirely new levels
the chart is saying we're taking out SPY 675 and going back to ES 6700 go back to sleep
I buy puts when IV is low otherwise I’m short ES
I bet against it with ES puts back in 2015… did pretty well from memory. Not as well as I did going long ES futures just after Christmas that year… man, stocks were cheap back then.
If you will have withholding in 2026 that will be at least as much as your 2025 tax, then you don't need to make estimated tax payments, even though your 2026 tax will be much higher. See the 1040-ES instructions for details.
Who is on ES puts right now ? LOL
lol? We literally just got another Fed rate cut with higher forecasts, **ES** shouldn't be flushing this hard. This price action is completely disconnected from the macro.
Please just dump ES out of this range dear lord
The new ES futures contracts are already underwater and not ripping 🤣 bols are fucked
33 points on ES is a wonderful day for me
Why is there such a big price divergence between /ES and SPY? Shouldn't SPY be around 690 right now?
Go to your broker's app and look at /ES or /NQ or literally any stock that trades in the overnight session.
You can tell the 🤡 who don’t trade futures. Thinking ES is at 6882 when it’s actually 6827
Robinhood will show you live ES and NQ TradingView will give you delayed by 10 minutes unless you pay extra for live data
/ES futes gaparooni, going down
Protect? Sell everything. If you wanna keep it you can just hold until it recovers, or throw some sell orders in to ES futures as a hedge
This was my first time holding options into the 2 pm decision. I was holding ES calls, they were performing badly, I was down $150, then BOOM, was happy to see them rocket up, had horrific bid/ask spread of like 9 and 28. I put in a limit order for $26 and they were sold. I’ve decided ES is not for me at this time. You can really lose your ass, the spreads are terrible, etc etc.
0-DTE is the final boss of trading. I personally love it but you gonna size really small until you can definitely prove your system works and has positive expectancy. If you insist on 0DTE then start with defined risk spreads on /ES that have at least 1:2 risk to reward such as at the money debit spreads where the long strike in ATM and the short strike is 2-4 strikes above or out of the money
did you diversify at all just ES alone?
MES and ES are more liquid than 0dtes even
I guess I'm going to hold my shorts on all kinds of Crypto/AI stuff while offsetting it with long futes positions on /ES and /NQ. Hypothesis is that either it hedges me against a broad market V, or maybe it lets me profit from sector rotation within the indexes. Switched from short to long /NQ last night after that sharp sell-off when the Asian markets opened; so far the strategy seems to be working, as Oracle and friends are still in the toilet while the futures indexes came up sharply from the overnight lows. Really wonder what's going to happen at the opening bell tho.
Lol, ok gobbledygook. Based on ES liquid distillation fractures and monolith timing gradients, we open red and time shift fractally to slight greenish brown after close. What now, pointdexter?
Back to what? Back to ES 40s just like last few weeks? Lol