ES

dontslambro

ES futures are up 3.5% since yesterdays open. NQ is 4.27%

lordbell21

Next leg up once ES punches through 7k

WillTheGreat

It means dealers have to buy /ES futures to cover the top of the bread

-IQ200

I feel like a hard slap at ES 7000 is due for reality check.

LynoaFox

Sry I was looking at ES.. so you still have 0.3% of SPY going up left but then what... I am curious. I am mostly in cash now, I don't believe this shit.

NAh94

Well you see, speculators are shorting WTI to go long on /ES. This will of course have no negative implications come delivery time when spot oil prices are still sitting at 130 despite the imaginary contract price they sold at.

Significant_Speed854

/ES price exactly at YTD POC

ModeForJoe

**BREAKING NEWS:** The war in the Middle E-mini took a dramatic turn, with *Bearistan* taking brutal strikes across its industry, resulting in 5 out of the 7 *Magnificent Leaders* bankrupted or wounded in the attack. Bullrabia's successes, however, merely recover some lost ground in recent days. Bearistan Premier Mikhail Burryni still has capital hidden throughout his nation, and has rejected going to cash. He believes the nation of Bullrabia to be wildly overbought and out of position. In furtherance of his asymmetric warfare strats, he continues to hold puts against any hostile nation. Bullrabia Prince Tomáš Lee also remains committed, and will not remove his positions in the Gulf of Portfolio. "These bearorrists... they're not even people" in a statement given to Al Ja Zyn. Asked about the future, he responded "Which ones? ES? Our faith will never waiver from contango."

Due_Marsupial_969

A few hours before NY open I notice ES heading up. Why? Do they know the blockade will be lifted or something? Friggin market took off like everyone has inside info but me. I shorted at 6907 to show who's boss and will be holding for a few days.

Bubbly-Fly-205

/ES up almost 100 points from bear trap.

-IQ200

No shot ES breaks 6900 today… right? 🤔

NAh94

VIX is the only safe trade. Everytime it slips below 20 this admin does something nuts and jacks it up again. As for right now, speculators are shorting oil to buy /ES despite no signs the spot barrel price will get anywhere close to what they are selling at. Oil speculators are going to get death star’d.

ParlayTheHard8

ES chart today tells all you need to know

Significant_Speed854

I’m genuinely afraid to press the sell button on /ES or buy on /CL bc of manipulation

Cav829

Think of it this way: the market is made up of new shorts, new longs, old shorts, and old longs. If the market isn't acting the way you think it should, you should think about which of the four is probably not doing their job. In the case of most of the day to day price movement, especially on the ES futures, that's a good indication that new longs are currently the majority of the price action, i.e. ,the buy the dippers. Since the buy the dippers have historically been the ones who act first and ask questions later, everyone else has likely gotten out of the way. On the old longs side, most of the overhead supply is above here. That 616-676ish area just doesn't contain much volume. So they're trapped and unless they want to eat the loss, they'd rather wait for us to return there. On the shorts side, they've created too much of a playbook for the buy the dippers and are likely tired of playing into it. If the market wants to rally and people want to put money into it, let it happen and figure things out once levels are there to trade off of. The tl;dr of everyone waiting to see if the TACO happens to not feed the buy the dippers.

Neat-Concentrate-239

if trendlines hit ES at current volume we could gamma delta hedge into epsilon alpha. trade accordingly

Swiftnice

You can buy options on ES futures

Honest-Capital-4472

$ES and Stocks: While the market and its listings/stocks have been sideways since September/October… …Forward earnings have increased - so it kind of reads as good value (cheaper stocks) so rather than a dynamic pullback because of value or multiples - it was largely technical and events driven. Value corrected by time and also helped by price Increase in M2 supply or lower interest rates (in August perhaps) could add further value if it likes converting to equity investments or buybacks

Honest-Capital-4472

$ES and Stocks: While the market and its listings/stocks have been sideways since September/October… …Forward earnings have increased - so it kind of reads as good value (cheaper stocks) so rather than a dynamic pullback because of value or multiples - it was largely technical and events driven. Value corrected by time and also helped by price Increase in M2 supply or lower interest rates (in August perhaps) could add further value if it likes converting to equity investments or buybacks

ngr_fqt

market mechanics. we are in a positive gamma region. hard to break down unless shit hits the fan. ask ai for more explanation. and theres big liquidity level around ES 6800 going back to oct last yr.

shmito17

If ES stays above the 55 EMA. calls.

Independent_Ad1086

what does this mean? ES went from -1.2% to -0.7% in the span of 8 hours and it climbs more aggressively, no reason to think it won't be green no?

Inifity

they are talking about NQ and ES futures, not oil

prana_fish

I'm long ES futures right now so yes it absolutely matters.

Secure_Dog3810

ES futes already recovered by 50 points lmfao

fuzzywuzzy123

ES futures now at -1.28%

Significant_Speed854

Nearly 10% is good. Much more sensible than ES down 1%.

ramdomvariableX

With all the supposed panic, /ES is not even down by 100. It'll be a green day tomorrow.

SPY_0DTE

why is ES going up

BooBrew32

Lord, give me the optimism of VIX futures right now. Oil is back over $100, ES\_F is down 1%, and bonds are starting to get yippy again.

Tocharian

ES opens 83 pts down.

Dylhole09

I’ve never even seen the “Weekend DOW” by IG International, but after entering an extremely stupid and I’ll-advised put position on ES futures, I have to ask - anyone who has looked at these in the past before real futes open at 6pm, how accurate are they?

Consistent_Panda5891

Your mistake was buying QQQ. I assume you can only trade it within market hours. You should have bought ES futures, at least you could sell before Nikkei opened so you had a chance to exit before -3% index

Kwkatnip

So chart says its bull run now, after MES/ES broke above 6675. I believe the uncertainty is priced in. Look at the day after Israel broke the ceasefire. We should have gone straight down, but we’re near all time highs. I mean 🌮 attended a freaking UFC event yesterday night after negotiations failed.

kirmizikopek

/ES will first go up about 40–60 points as shorts take profits at the open, then fall 150+ points from there. Don’t short immediately at the open if you don’t want to get stopped out.

FG-Oracle

The divergence also looks bad for ES, lower highs on RSI and Volume but higher highs on the chart. I think next week we drop

Content_Inspector778

/ES broke out of a month long bull flag and rallied 300 points rally last week.

ModeForJoe

Deal is D-E-A-D... for now. Asia will freak out, so sunday evening, a bearish spread on ES might print. 8PM EST is 9AM Tokyo. Asian markets will be VERY upset about losing their dino juice.

shmito17

Ideally, from a technical point of view - need to stay above the 55EMA (ES 6800). Stay long till then.

charlesleestewart

Stay delta neutral do not be directional. Exploit the fact that volatility will be coming back soon. I have a long strangle on /ES for that purpose.

slamtt

Trump talking shit on twitter ES: "Best we can do is -5".

slamtt

Ceasefire - +250 ES TRUMP PREPARING MILITARY IF IRAN FAILS TO COMPLY IN TALKS - NYP enjoy your -20ES

grantern2

Thinking about longing an /ES futures contract tonight before I go to sleep. Stonks only go up, right? Why would we sell off tonight? Bulls are in control

JourneymanInvestor

I have a feeling /ES is gonna run all the way back to the 7000+ highs, grab all that hype liquidity and then waterfall downward

SighRamp

until /ES fails the 200SMA if you short, it better be quick.

FG-Oracle

Bought ES at 808 sold for 2k gain, would be up like 30 grand now

MilesDelta

UPRO $432 YOLO, avg 99.16, stop at 105: poor man's 3x SPY trade **Position** * 4 shares UPRO @ 99.16 avg * 68.93% of port (do not ask about the other 31%) * Open P&L: +$35.57 / +8.97% * Stop: $105. Hard. No moving it, no "just let it breathe bro" **The trade** I'm long 3x leveraged SPY into a tape where every large cap with three letters and a GPU is signing nine-figure capex deals before lunch. Meta just committed another $21B to CoreWeave this morning. Amazon is stocking Lilly's weight-loss pill in kiosks like it's Red Bull. The machines are buying, the boomers are buying, and the only thing the Fed is doing is watching. If you believe the AI capex cycle has another quarter in it, the cleanest way to express that without picking which hyperscaler ate the most glue is long index. And if you want 3x the pain with 3x the upside, that's UPRO. **Why UPRO and not SPY or futures** * SPY: boring, I'm not a pension fund * ES: I don't have the margin and I like sleeping * SPXL: same thing, Direxion just has worse swag * UPRO: 3x daily reset, tight spreads, and the decay only kills you if you buy chop. I did not buy chop. I bought the breakout. **The stop** 105 is \~3% below spot. On 3x that means SPX needs to drop \~1% through my line to clip me. Below 105 the chart loses the short-term structure I bought on and I'd rather eat a $15 loss than sit here arguing with the tape for two weeks. If we hit 105, I'm out. No averaging down. No "maybe just half." Out. **Risks** * AI capex trade finally gets the cold shower. Meta's $21B got a lukewarm reception this morning and if the next hyperscaler print misses on margins, the whole complex rolls * Hot CPI or labor print drags yields back above 4.5% and the multiple expansion thesis dies in a ditch * Leverage decay if we chop sideways for a week. UPRO bleeds in range-bound tape * I have four shares. Four. If I'm right, I buy a nice dinner. If I'm wrong, I buy a less nice dinner **Positioning** $432 notional, \~$1,300 equivalent SPY exposure at 3x. Stop at 105 = \~$12 max loss from here, \~$15 from avg. R:R at this point is basically free roll because I'm already sitting on +$35. https://preview.redd.it/u14h6df4o6ug1.png?width=924&format=png&auto=webp&s=9cfa923a73416a167d87c44c1fb858c8616374b5 Not financial advice. I'm a guy with four shares of a leveraged ETF. Take trading cues from me at your own regardation.

SighRamp

don't short as long as /ES is above 200DMA boys

SighRamp

don't short long if /ES stays over the 200SMA you know better boys

slamtt

/CL +6.66% ES no fuks given bers begging for WW3 cooked

Unique_username93_

You guys do you think we’ll get ES minis at 6600 again soon

StrifeRaZoR

Guess I'll throw some bullshit chart astrology in here for those that practice the dark arts. Going by a pretty damn accurate and reliable volume action at certain prices on the SPY and ES1 futures (the historical reasoning is that both SPY and ES1 always return to the price/strike with the highest overall trading volume...until it doesn't...and then all hell breaks loose) something weird just happened. ES1 price with highest volume: 6850 (with 6872 really close). SPY price with highest volume: 683 (with 685 really close). ES1 just pretty much tested that price after-hours around 7:30p EST. SPY, however, has yet to re-test the volume heavy price of 683. What does this mean? Fuck if I know man, I'm just pointing this shit out. (PS, probably means SPY will flush 683-ish before doing something crazy/going flat, and that could be after-hours knowing the current kangaroo market)

DeezCodeNutz

Hurry up and open Gyna. Maybe you can fuck some sense into the ES / SPY's

DeezCodeNutz

ES stuck in the land between realities (MA's).

DeezCodeNutz

SPY / ES eerily quiet tonight.... 👻

DeezCodeNutz

Almost as good as the 6800 contracts of May-8 6950 ES calls traded a few hours before 🥭 TACO.

Nanas_700k

Nice wedge on ES 👀

fairlyaveragetrader

It doesn't necessarily mean we're going to continue higher but it does mean that you have a confirmed break out and the low is very likely in. ES was basing just under the hourly flip the past couple days looking for a reason. Today, massive rally, things are up Add on pullbacks and scary news

shmito17

ES needs to stay above the 50EMA at 6799. Otherwise, down we go.

nnnthrow

Opened positions just now. Calls USO. Short /ES. The opposite of buying the dip. Will it work? Stay tuned

neutralpoliticsbot

**Micro Russell** futures **/M2K** is the dopamine fix you need. **No PDT rules:** trade all day and night with no limits. **No Theta decay:** unlike options, you can hold and roll futures contracts forever at virtually no cost to you. **Tax benefits:** Futures (Section 1256): 60% long-term / 40% short-term, Options are 100% short term gain. **No IV risk:** VIX volatility can't fuck you. You always get full Realized Volatility. **Bid–ask spreads:** An options trader paying $0.20 in spread needs a ~20%+ option move just to break even. **Small margin requirement:** on /ES (E-Minis) you need $26,000 margin just to open a contract. On Micro Russell 2000 (/M2K) margin is only $1,100 per contract and still provides a nice 10.7x leverage. Futures > options.

w33dw1zard420

Literally buy 1 ES instead and use the other 250k for hookers and blow. What are you even doing?

shadowhand00

The MM provides liquidity. They are not incentivized on wanting to win a trade based off direction; they sell the call and then automatically hedge their delta by buying the underlying. (I believe they're usually buying ES futures in this case). They profit from the bid-ask spread plus gamma scalping as they rebalance. You have to consider MMs are doing thousands of these transactions at any given point so even if they're losing on this particular trade, they're profiting across a huge amount of transactions.

Tradewell3845

Sweet, on the most bullish night in trading ES (SPX futures) is up 160 and hitting new highs. This may make you feel a little better. On a Friday about 6 months ago I thought it was going to be a bearish weekend, serious stuff with China maybe ? Can’t remember but I bought OztM QQQ puts 200 contracts at .07. It went exactly 10 the opposite way and my $1400 vaporized, poof- like this play. The sickest and most cruel part is yet to come are you ready for it??? QQQ went 10 points UP and my $1400 would have turned into $200 K. Sorry man regroup …

Full_Cash6140

You're not wrong but Ive been trading futures less due to the fees and this time I only wanted a small amount of risk on. My account is too small right now to buy single leg calls on ES without risking way too much capital. And I didn't want spreads because I knew it could fly. So I did the next best thing.

Tradewell3845

I’m in some ES puts right now

bjxxjj

yeah 6645 feels like the line in the sand rn, if ES can’t hold there I don’t see VIX hanging under 25 for long. ngl the high put/call still makes me cautious even with the higher-lows, feels like one bad macro headline and this bounce gets slapped.

PremiumProprietor

Yeah, I have been a little. There is no way ES is holding a 150 point pop all day. Iran won't stand for that, LOL

w33dw1zard420

I have a banbet already but ES back to +0.5% by 9:30 AM or ban

WillTheGreat

Some pretty big resistance at 6813-6820 on the /ES. Think it'll have some room to run, I'd probably get some puts around that level. Lots of chasing on positive news that's mostly temporary, and contingent on the Homo Strait opening...which neither side has shown any good faith.

1bizzyone

Futes /ES Spy up a mere 137

DefiantDelta

literally hit 6750.00 on ES are you serious

Bubbly-Fly-205

/ES broke out of downtrend channel and running.

Bubbly-Fly-205

/ES technical are so bullish

Significant_Speed854

Keep a look out for a very #large #candle on CL or ES... that will be the insider trading. Then trade that.

gamethe0ry

Here comes the last minute /ES dump

Significant_Speed854

“So, sir, are you saying if we tweet something with the words Trump and negotiation, and place a long order on ES, we can make millions”

ItInProg

how do you track call volume on ES futures?

DefiantDelta

12:23PM large call volume on ES futures 1:00PM Barak Ravid drops another fake article repeating the same bullshit he’s been pumping for days the insider trading happening WITHIN “news” organizations is a new level of sinister. HANDCUFFS NOW!

br0botic

Insane man with nuclear codes threatens an entire civilization. ES Futures: best I can do is -0.4%

Significant_Speed854

Look for /ES, /NQ, /YM (Dow), /CL (oil) https://preview.redd.it/emiulj55jrtg1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2ddb6965d6ca25e12a506bc93be72cf9cc70b698

slamtt

bers cooked if we lose ES 6610 we might see 6609

epictantrum

ES really just said sike

Salty-Bid1597

ES: moves 0.2% WSB: It's pumpin'!

k3t4mine

I don't see any news. Random pumps on 6x normal volume usually precede a market positive truth social post. Might buy some ES calls.

Honest-Capital-4472

True that’s the play momentarily with ES and VIX Yeah crude tends to overshoot levels - but currently also factoring in that a lot of the flow is increasingly shadowed - most volume is official and shows up on the exchange so it’s more legit to deliver or hedge commercially. Tracking the XLE as a front-run and factoring in a break below 108s and perhaps deeper inside 106s for it to become a de-facto VIX Cheers thanks for sharing should be helpful

rimbusblogym

Good levels. That 6645 area on ES is key, if it holds above there with the VIX pulling back under 25 that sets up nicely for a grind higher. The put/call ratio being elevated is almost bullish at this point since all that hedging becomes fuel if we don't sell off. Curious how you're watching crude here because that 108 to 111 range feels like it breaks one way or the other this week and that could drag everything with it. If anyone wants to see how traders are actually positioned going into this week [siriussignals.com](http://siriussignals.com) shows real portfolio activity, useful when you're trying to read whether people are actually buying these levels or just talking about it

Honest-Capital-4472

$ES April 7: Tracking EU and US session’s first hour range incl VIX’s resolution of 25 as a follow-on from April 6’s note

Honest-Capital-4472

$ES April 7: Tracking EU and US session’s first hour range incl VIX’s resolution of 25 as a follow-on from April 6’s note

ModeForJoe

CL up 1.9%, ES also up 0.4% Obviously I need to go back to technical analysis via ouija board

Honest-Capital-4472

Yes true the VIX/ES relationship seems to suggest the same - cautious optimism

rotorylampshade

/ES up half a percent since it opened , even thought it's pretty much flat since Friday close. Back to that initial low today?

claytondpark

ES rejected around this level for 5th time since 3/19 😕😡😗

Bubbly-Fly-205

/ES bear trap at open.

chasingjulian

/ES futures is flat right now as well. I was expecting to be down.

BVVanceRefrigeration

Going long ES here, low volume on the pullback and people are too bearish so they need to get wiped out before we can go down for real

Commercial_Ease8053

How many ES cases do you have? (I assume you mean booster box cases of 4)

shmito17

Big green candle on ES. Someone knows something.

ijustreally

Futs are down about 40 handles on ES as of 7 eastern

HaveTwoBananas

ES and NQ barely red for how high oil is