ES

dontslambro

Ive got 12 ES futures right now

w562d67Z

This is interesting to me. I typically sell far otm puts on ES due to the overpricing on those as you described. I always felt that commodities markets were skewed on the call side so otm calls should exhibit the vol risk premium that's present in otm puts in equities. Is your research showing that both calls and puts are underpriced relative to realized vol for most of these commodities?

iShitBloodandCumShit

Market needs a catalyst. Someone, go short ES.

Bubbly-Fly-205

/ES bears took control overnight.

CUbuffGuy

Sold my ES contracts last night at a 4k loss because it just kept ticking up lol. I was positive we would see some downside before data but the market was being aids lol. Would be up like 10-12k now instead lol. Fucking hate pajama traders sometimes

HalversonKathy14

Market has been wonderful lately. Those ES shorts have been quite a ball. 

BlendedNotPerfect

holding ES without a stop is basically letting the max drawdown decide for you, one overnight gap against the position can wipe multiple days of gains., so the practical check is defining your risk in points before entry and confirming the contract margin and maintenance rules with your broker

spyputs1

Time to stretch your dong and go long ES tonight

spyputs1

Time to stretch your dong and go long on the ES tonight, they might be pumping into Friday expiration

Imaginary_Tear_2328

Did make about $4500 today. Only plan remaining - and need to look at Spy not just ES— if Spy hits $675 sometime between 2-2:30pm gonna V from there and I’m going long

PlasticDiscussion590

https://youtu.be/CFG5dk1GyRo?si=9ES8nkQPxJKysfWr

demi9od

A .05 increment on SPX is a .005 increment on SPY, half a cent. They are more granular, not less. In addition SPX effectively has half dollar strikes, equiv to SPY 680.5, 681.5, etc, also more granular. The commissions are the only drawback, but with this low frequency trading I don't think that would be an issue. I wonder though if MES/ES futures are not the better trade here. That is easily backtested.

iShitBloodandCumShit

*whips out the fancy crayons on ES futures* We either pump to 6970 or dump to 6650.

OptionGamble

I got money on ES so it matters to me

EvolvingDior

ES (SPX futes) rejected 6900 pretty resoundingly.

Competitive-Elk9326

This is how you know the bers are getting nervous, live updates on the ES 1s chart 🤣

MarginCalledManager

that equals ES 6900… hard to pull of with this price action

Theipodrookie

Cope harder 🤣 I said SPY would be 687 from 679 and now it's ES is 30 points away ok

EvolvingDior

ES still 30 points away from 6920. Don't move the goalpost now.

MarginCalledManager

so close to taking out the highs and exploding over ES 6900 and towards SPY 690… gogogo

MarginCalledManager

ES 6900 plz

Kind_Initiative_7567

This is the last 5 min candle for ES - been noticing it gets hammered back here for past few days 😂

sport912x

Buying Power is for Options, Margin is where you borrow to buy stock, you still need 50% of the price of stock. If you are doing CSP's in a Margin Account then you do not understand Buying Power. It is great to have the cash to buy any stock you are assigned , it is just a waste of leverage to do the trade that way. If you Sell a Put 200 Strike , a Csp takes 20k, but only 2k-4k in BP. You still have the 20k you just are keeping it liquid , probably earning interest. The only wrinkle is you have to be approved for Selling Options, which is hard at some brokers, easy at others. Also you are never charged interest on BP. What is the downside, well BP can double in a selloff , so that 4k BP for the 200 Strike could become 8k if the ES is down 200. Need more info on BP, here is the founder of Tos and Tasty with a tastylive vid. [https://ontt.tv/3jAf4Ba](https://ontt.tv/3jAf4Ba) Buying Power Factors Oct 28, 2020 STOCKLESS TRADING [https://www.tastylive.com/shows/tasty-extras/episodes/a-refresher-on-bpr-06-29-2020](https://www.tastylive.com/shows/tasty-extras/episodes/a-refresher-on-bpr-06-29-2020)

InfiniteNerve1384

Yep! https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ES%3DF/

Competitive-Elk9326

If you think🥭 isn’t watching ES and NQ 1 min chart 24/7 to know when to leave Iran you’re crazy

Ok-Piano8789

if u dont have ES or NQ bids outside the -3 bollinger u aint black

LadderAdmirable

Nikkei and Kospi down 3% and 8%. ES and NQ futures - i guess I will go down .25% and then go green by open lmao.

Bubbly-Fly-205

/ES trapped bears this morning.

SignalX_Cyber

Sold a bunch of put options on ES futures options, so far it's going well if we don't flip back down than Imma head to both the mosque and church because God is amazing

Soybeanrice

I be scalping ES long like a dawg rn 😎

TargetMaleficent

Should have just used ES

zedder1994

Overnight on 10 year treasury bonds tells the story. Bonds down greatly and it looks like a lot further to fall. ES is getting smoked.

fuf3d

His PUTS are good for Tuesday. Blood Moon Eclipse brought /ES Futures down 125 points at present 5AM EST.

Sidney_Godsby

Yes, we’re both looking at the ES chart, but you still missed the point. Tonight’s drop is significantly sharper than last night’s relative to the previous days close.

UnivalveX

ES low was 6768

fuf3d

I should have took more, /ES down over 100 points rn.

Coffeewin

Who has the balls to long /ES into this falling knife. Bottom ticking has to be the best dopamine feeling in the world

the_humeister

Futures don't seem to matter. /ES went from -1% to green today 

d33p7r0ubl3

/ES

Bubbly-Fly-205

Incredible 100+ point /ES bear trap.

FurlessSasquatch

I also have no doubt you doubt my reality because you are regarded. You don't even know what the ES is I bet

FurlessSasquatch

I'm not mad I'm bewildered that you are the type of people I trade against and there are so many of you. Which is why I have done so well for the last decade. Acting like the SPY didn't shit the bed and that the ES dropping under 6770 was insignificant is the real comedy. I could have certainly traded the dead cat bounce right back to gap fill but I don't need to touch another trade until next Sunday restart

FurlessSasquatch

Yes and yes, just because you are slower than a dying turtle, doesn't mean the rest of us aren't paying attention. Tell us you've never traded the ES without telling us you've never traded the ES....you clearly aren't too bright. THEN TO TOP IT OF YOU FINISH WITH "GOOD LUCK WITH YOUR PUTS" 😂👌. You don't need puts little fella it's futures contracts. Stick to your sandbox

FurlessSasquatch

Are you dumb or just regarded? The ES collapsed to sub 6770 no negative impact????

Ok-Piano8789

ES gap filled, if u did want to short nows the time. im not though

FurlessSasquatch

The smart guys made their cash before market opened. ES has me covered for the week while everyone was still sleeping

FurlessSasquatch

Tell that to my cons on the ES, thanks

CUbuffGuy

Hey, so I trade for a living full time using ES and SPX. I’m here to confirm that these guys are dumb as rocks. There have been 352 times SPX has gapped down over 1% since 1993. The average return of all those days from open (starting at -1%+), is +0.09%. Intra-day movement average was positive 51.4% of the time, but only recovered a tiny bit on average. Only on about 3% of those days did we recover the entire gap and end the day green. But this guys seen it before.. so ignore all data and yolo calls! Just make sure to post in WSB for me with your outcome :)

EvolvingDior

Is /ES gonna break 6800 tonight?

DarthGlazer

I mean the ES and NQ are down pretty decent. I expect MM will push it all higher by eod

Specialist-Poem-505

ES futures is usually 15 points above spx so it’s at 6840 spx will open low 6825

Jason_Steakcum

My short puts from last week being up on ES open say otherwise. If you think “this is the big one” you’re a delusional bear.

FurlessSasquatch

Well the ES has some work to do on the restart if we going up Monday....

JabriniSandwich

So tempted to long the overnight with a micro ES… give me a test of February low at 6751 and I’ll do it. 🙏

Ok-Piano8789

ES -1%

AliceNullptr

My /ES dip buying orders didnt even trigger 😅 PANIC OVER

Coffeewin

Closed /ES shorts, switching long with /ES and /VX short

claytondpark

I demand a V in ES by open. I made $0 in Feb need to start march properly...

Ok-Piano8789

closed -3 ES, made $10k, gg

MarginCalledManager

ES bid/ask just dropped to 6835!

MarginCalledManager

ES futures bid/ask now 6859

Strangerdanger8812

I like to watch the ES order book on the dom at the open.... immediately will drop. resting orders being placed below. I think we go to 6830-40 before going after 6970 or we flat out moon.

MarginCalledManager

bid/ask open at 6868, now at 6866.50 for ES futures... down 20, will trend lower before open

MarginCalledManager

ES futures bid/ask opens at 6868, down 20, this will likely trend much lower before 5 p.m. open

Ok-Piano8789

AMP announced full overnight maintenance for ES some brokers saying 200% of maintenance required for CL

MrFyxet99

There’s more than 1 reason they did the strike when they did.By the time the market opens on Monday they a betting on the Iran conflict being over.This imho will be bullish, not bearish.But we will see.I plan on watching /ES tonight for clues.

hitman133295

Oh i know. But ES is just bigger MES. It’s the same thing like spx and spy. Save so much money on fees

ReceptionSmall9941

Most people are looking at overnight products (ES futures once Globex reopens) or broker “weekend” synthetic quotes, so they’re seeing indicative moves before cash equities open. No position; I’d treat weekend prints as directional, not perfect price discovery.

Dismal_Rabbit658

Why trade 15 MES when he could’ve just traded 1 ES?

Interesting_Leg_4130

A good strategy right now is to set up an alert for RSI on one hour or 30 min chart to alert you when over 70 with the period set to 10 on spy, SPX, or /ES. Wait for a divergence to form and sell 21 dte .20 delta bear call spreads with a 100% max credit stop loss and a 60 to 70% profit target. You will win everytime. But that’s only during this regime. Normally it would be for if RSI is under 30. As soon as this regime changes it wont be as much of a guarantee

Backtester4Ever

17% in 19 days with Sharpe > 3 on a small sample is not a green light. It’s a warning that the sample is too small. Fly/condor “risk-free after conversion” logic usually breaks on three things: liquidity, path dependency, and margin reality. First, fills. Multi-leg structures with up to six strikes do not fill cleanly in size, especially in fast ES moves. Backtests almost always assume cleaner execution than you’ll get live. Second, timing. Your conversion depends on Trade 2 filling at a debit below the original credit. That is conditional on volatility, skew, and microstructure. In stress moves, the window disappears. Third, margin and capital efficiency. “Negative VaR” on paper doesn’t mean your broker frees capital the way your model assumes. Real margin models are not theoretical payoff diagrams. In something like WealthLab, I’d deliberately worsen fills and spreads until the edge almost dies. If it still holds, then maybe you’ve got something. Right now, you’ve got an interesting structure with insufficient data.

worthyofriches

What are your all in round trip costs for NQ and ES minis and micros?

secondxanga

why would you not just trade ES at that point, jesus

hitman133295

For that many trades why not just do a few big ES contracts lol

falling_knives

He would've saved some money trading ES by either spending less in fees or just blowing the 3k 10 times faster.

IntrepidSoda

Gold up on monday - ES/NQ down

Open-Yak-3708

Circuit breakers coming soon /GC 10,000 /SIL 5000 /ES down 400

Ok-Piano8789

like today i had -3 ES on all day and after the morning it basically did nothing. if thats 0 DTE it burns to 0. instead it just chilled doing mostly nothing, taking some heat at the end of day but the basis is higher from yesterday so w/e.

Ok-Piano8789

fuk a gap risk, leaving short ES going over the weekend 🫡

orangeyougladiator

Just buy ES futures options now then..

Parunreborn

NVDA and AAPL you shits preventing ES to fly

Bubbly-Fly-205

/ES bears in control.

WickOfDeath

Same as in all other things you can trade you must have an edge. When trading options you must know when the underlying - a stock, a commodity, an index future, bonds... makes a jump nobody expects. E.g. you can buy puts on the ES with strike at 5000 when it is at 7000, but you make the cash only ... when it makes the giant move. But is that realistic? IMO not... and most option traders put together less aggressive approaches, with longs, shorts, calls, puts to neutralize the time value decay, to limit the risk ... and limit the possible gains.

systerix

honestly I would be very excited for that - I have a ton of dry powder to hedge by PCS position via ES futures and CCS, and more importantly that would bring VIX up to mid 20s which would get me FAT premiums for the following weeks. Fingers crossed we drop HARD

John-AtlasGames

My lucky stars I had good timing, unloading my /NQ and /ES long futures shortly after close

Ok-Piano8789

long CL short ES, trailing stops in place, its either a good day or a great one

ReconnaisX

thank you nvda for rescuing my ES shorts

John-AtlasGames

Maybe I won't feel so dumb about holding /ES and /NQ short when the futues reopen in half an hour

Bubbly-Fly-205

/ES just keeps hitting targets

iShitBloodandCumShit

CME ES futes better have technical difficulties now to fuck up all the Greek bullshit.

Roygbiv-Turtle-98

"NQ minis" is not a thing. Because NQ literally IS the E-Mini - so there is no need to say "NQ Mini" Those of us that trade NQ all day every day just call it "NQ" and if you want to trade MNQ you just call it MNQ... Same applies to ES and MES GC and MGC Calling something "ES mini" or "GC Mini" is how you get caught being a noob. And if you do trade NQ, metals and gas being halted right now means nothing.

iShitBloodandCumShit

Someone short ES quick. That’ll get the algos moving again.

1098duc_w_the_termi

ES looks so bullish rn its crazy

optimaleverage

idk it's looking kinda bullish. Outside and up nearing the top of the week's opening range. We could see a breakout for the Feb OR top around ES 7025, or SPY 699... Watching for supply pressure but I'm just not seeing any yet.

katrav86

aaaand CLOSED my /ES short position. that was fun. in and out hour within an hour with around 1.5 grand

Ok-Piano8789

cuz algos gonna be trading his bullshit and hes gonna say "corporate tax cuts" and that'll make ES go up so ppl are front running that

1098duc_w_the_termi

ES and NQ fighting to keep 6900 and 25k respectively. We’re either going to fade hard or rocket into close to confirm the move

iShitBloodandCumShit

The state of the union would be an awful time to announce how he’s going to get markets to double. Short here. It definitely isn’t going to happen. Shorting NQ and ES. Good luck bolz.

iShitBloodandCumShit

Shorting ES here. The top is in bolz time to get rekt.

iShitBloodandCumShit

Just shorted ES1. Enjoy your green dildo bulz