FDX

HuskersMakeMeSad

After 90 seconds of research: Puts on FDX, Calls on NKE

StirChef

FDX anyone? What’s your thoughts

civillyRange

FDX MU NKE earnings I swear there is earnings every fuckin week that can send the market into the stratosphere or dump it into the abyss

Harp-Note

FDX calls, MU calls, MKC puts, NKE calls My uneducated opinion of course. We always need at least one for the thread. I will also pretend like I have money on these when I don't lol.

MicroRootAI

The Strike on Iran: A Geopolitical Shock With Market Rattling Potential Israel’s airstrike on Iran is more than just another headline — this could reshape global market dynamics across oil, bonds, equities, and even central bank policy. Let’s break down what could come next: ⸻ 🌍 Oil and the Strait of Hormuz Roughly 20% of global oil passes through the Strait. If Iran retaliates or threatens shipping lanes, $100+ oil isn’t a fantasy — it’s probable. That’s bullish for energy stocks ($XLE), but it’s a nightmare for: • Airlines ($DAL, $UAL) • Shipping & logistics ($FDX, $UPS) • Industrials and manufacturers with tight margins ⸻ 🏦 Banks and the Fed Dilemma Higher oil = higher inflation. Higher inflation = the Fed stuck between a rock and a hard place. Do they: • Hold rates steady and risk recession? • Cut rates and risk runaway inflation? If they misstep, banks could suffer: weaker loan demand, rising defaults, and tighter margins. ⸻ 🇮🇷 Iran-Russia Dynamics & Global Conflict Risk Iran has strategic ties with Russia — but with Russia bogged down in Ukraine, don’t expect full-blown retaliation. Still, Iran won’t just sit idle. After years of assassinations and sabotage, this could escalate fast. And no matter who’s in the White House, Israel has bipartisan U.S. backing. That won’t change. Geopolitics isn’t about emotions. It’s about leverage, energy, and alliances. ⸻ 🔮 The Market’s Future: Flight to Safety or Controlled Chaos? • Expect gold and treasuries to shine if the conflict drags out • Watch for volatility spikes ($VIX) and equity pullbacks • Long term, if escalation is contained, markets will eventually price it in and move on But… If this becomes a multi-front conflict with oil above $110 and persistent inflation, we might be staring down stagflation-lite — slow growth + sticky prices. ⸻ Wild Card: Will Trump get his guy (Scott Bessent?) to lead the Fed and engineer rate cuts to juice the markets before the election? Powell’s days might be numbered if markets buckle and political pressure mounts. ⸻ 👉 What’s your move? Staying in equities? Loading up on oil and defense stocks? Going to cash and treasuries? We’re in uncharted waters again. Let’s hear your strategies.

Puzzleheaded_Debt493

Holding them. I got puts on AMD and FDX, but that's about it.

SeriuoslyCasual

Only some segments of market. I buy things like GS, FDX, DD and HON in addition to my fav tech stocks (own all mag 7). The tickers I listed are not affected by the gamblers much

Electrical_Maize3587

Why is FedEx so stupid? They gave me an option to opt out for signature upon delivery and I agreed that it’s on me if something happens and they still couldn’t deliver because I wasn’t home. PUTS on FDX

Rivercitybruin

AAPL, MSFT etc are not really the economy... Value stocks much more so.. Maybe look at FDX and UPS... Or Nordstrom if still a stock. macy's

Toobrazy622

I know I know. The worst part is, I bought OTM FDX calls, IONQ calls, and NVDA calls too …. I need a miracle here before 2:30pm Friday

Narcissus_on_LSD

u/Basis_404_ u/cyclingkingsley u/Alive_Worth_2032 u/blueboy1988 What do we think is the specific play here? Puts on UPS and FDX? Or maybe some sort of trucking/transpo ETF? Concerned mainly about premiums already being super high on this strategy and one of these companies being more disproportionately affected than the rest

LyrMeThatBifrost

FDX is ass so no surprise there

Nota-downer

FDX lost the USPS account. That pooped their express business.

tyfe

Cause FDX sucks. UPS is far superior.

Murdocjx714x

I fly for UPS. We’re flying around half empty airplanes the last 2 weeks or so. But FDX has it worse. I have buddies that have had whole week flight schedules cancelled a month in advance.

dizzlemcshizzle

Need the institutions to flood back into FDX. This week. Two fiddy by five two. Make it rain for daddy.

dizzlemcshizzle

If anybody wants sloppy seconds on my $FDX calls, they're just about ready for you.

FIRE_WARDE_MANUEL

calls on FDX, they can straight up lie about attempting to deliver packages with zero recourse for the customer and it doesn't seem have a negative impact on their business at all

dizzlemcshizzle

Even FDX joining in on the overnight fun. My calls like it.

dizzlemcshizzle

I go back and forth, tbh. Turned 20x on a small lotto 0dte SPY play early in the week, rolled it all into FDX 5/2 calls. I needed the multiplier on the first one, wanted more time to be right on the second.

Blood_Casino

The FDX chairman disagrees, he just unloaded 25 million in stock a few hours ago

dizzlemcshizzle

On positive trade news, FDX going to smash through recent resistance to give my calls a good gargle.

dizzlemcshizzle

Still holding my 30x 5/2 FDX $240c. Make International Logistics Great Again

dizzlemcshizzle

Parlayed yesterdays winnings all in on 5/2 FDX $240 calls. Just need a good bump before then. If we keep folding on tariffs, will be in good shape.

Chrg88

Logistics carriers are absolutely fucked. Puts in FDX & UPS

ShadowBets

Sorry, not very “stock” literate, but if you’re referring to what stock it is, it’s FDX (FedEx). Earnings Thursday I believe. I guess I understand and hope that it makes it to Friday so that I could close it, but in the case the person exercises, say, Wednesday for whatever reason, would it not result in the loss? I’d be selling them 100 shares I don’t have at $240, but could buy those 100 shares at $240 with my long call. Which if it were automatically exercised to cover those shares I owed, i would net lose what I bought the call calendar spread for, right? Hypothetically it gets exercised early

ErinG2021

Calls on MU. Puts on NKE, FDX, PF, & LEN.

No-Improvement3164

I’ve seen WMT TGT SNAP FDX each tank the market at different times. But nothing beats the Tariff sheriff and 10 tweets a day.

XarXes458

So FDX has to be puts?

DutchAC

Using FDX as an example, 1. As of the close of trading on 03/13/2025, the Implied Volatility = 51.49%. 2. There are several different expirations starting with 14 MAR 25 and ending with 15 JAN 27. Next to each of these expirations, there is an Implied Volatility value. For example: \- 14 MAR 25 expiration = 49.09% (±6.414) \- 21 MAR 25 expiration = 79.88% (±24.01) \- 18 DEC 26 expiration = 32.18% (±88.428) 3. Under any given expiration, e.g. 21 MAR 25, for any given strike price for a put or call, there is an IV value for that put or call option. For example, the 255 CALL is 70.62%, the 235 PUT is 79.70%, the 195 PUT is 90.12% So we have an implied volatility for the stock (#1), another for each expiration (#2) and another for each call or put under each expiration (#3). How do all three of these types of implied volatility relate to each other?

GreentongueToo

My first was FDX. It had just gone public and I bought what I could afford. Wish I could have gotten more.

Right_Archivist

What swings? Every small-capper that peaks once then immediately dips. Half the planet is sold on the propaganda that thinks tariffs are the equivalent of nuclear war. Look into slower volatility like FDX, AIR, EOG, ANET, ebbs and flows.

samwehl

Oh and FDX 260 earning calls on the dip. Probably sell those before though

Sean_VasDeferens

FDX down over 8% on tiny insider sale of only $3.1m, that could be a down payment on a house. Anything else happening with them?

Additional_Fox4668

i also did well on FDX when earnings came out.. Thought i would do the same with ADBE.. im holding some ugly bags with them.. im tempted to jump on this but letting my butthole breathe a little with these adbe calls

alpha_omega31

The one big catalyst to be looking out for is the Vans are now open to others outside of Amazon. Which testing has been going on for several months with top logistic companies. One big announcement with DHL, UPS, FDX. Even Walmart! Saying they will be purchasing 100k Plus is a huge win.

letsLurk67

Not sure mate but last time I plaid FDX earnings they had a decent beat and up a decent amount as soon as market opened my cons lost all their value. It wasn’t IV crush as a bought a month out and IV was low on the cons, anyway since that day I ain’t play earnings fuck that shit.

Own-Wolverine-5361

Puts of FDX

Helldiver15

Have you tried an uncorrelated portfolio? I'm wheeling WMT FDX AMD and GOOG and they all pretty much move in their own directions.

sexdaisuki2gou

UPS, FDX green dildo time 

Woodrow-Wilson

FDX and UPS went on sale today

BVB_TallMorty

FDX under 250 is a buy

The_GASK

What do you think FDX does?

EnginrA

Why is FDX down so much

dvdmovie1

> What's the alternative view? UPS shrinks and <blank> takes the market share? Who is that? Just Amazon? Amazon is their largest customer (was at about 12%, now it's going to dial down to around 6% and it wouldn't surprise me if Amazon eventually went in house.) About 12% of the business going (combined with the fact that Amazon's logistics business is enormous) is hard to be bullish about in/of itself. UPS/FDX aren't going anywhere but - for lack of a better comparison - feel sort of like the logistics Walgreens/CVS. If Amazon starts taking empty space in their distribution network and shipping the packages of non-customers that's going to impact FDX/UPS. "People aren't going to stop shopping online, so this space will continue to grow." It'll grow but they have half the Amazon business now and wouldn't surprise me if they lose the rest eventually. They'll have to try to hold on to every bit of the non-AMZN business. Again, it's not going away but imo it's one of those things that maybe you can play for a bounce but not seeing the medium/long-term appeal given the current state of the business.

CarlWh3ezer

FDX calls ez

rednewuser100

They have a higher PE than FDX, while performing way worse. I think UPS needs to be repriced this earnings.

george_kaplan1959

FDX finally started climbing today. The news ain’t all bad!

KTRyan30

AMZN, GOOGL, & FDX Bonus moonshot illogical Yolo plays.... LCID and MSTR

SeveralBollocks_67

Made bank from FDX calls last week. Insane you're putting this out for free!

Rorke1320

FDX is going to be a catch 💰🔥🔥 $300 end of week

Puts_on_my_port

FDX got IV crushed so hard

The_Cornwallis

FDX lmao

Ok-Geologist5545

Absolutely cucked on FDX 😂 

Tay_Tay86

$FDX rug pulled 

SeveralBollocks_67

FDX calls showed so much promise premarket, almost cresting $300/share... Now its red. You had a 42 millisecond window to sell your calls at open. Why does retail even try?

alien-observer-37491

This market is whacky. Even FDX is red now

AdPurple4902

Well FDX fucked everyone including me 🥹

dreamwagon

FDX options destroyed. Iron condor the only way to play that stock.

Playful_Stick488

Why are both the Calls and Puts red for FDX?

reddituserzerosix

Damn F for FDX IV crushed

SeveralBollocks_67

Why the fuck does pre-market exist? FEDEX almost crested $300 and my calls would have went up 240% but literally a NANOSECOND after open, $FDX drops to 285. Who is selling off that quickly?

SeveralBollocks_67

WHAT THE FUCK $FDX, how do they sell their calls .0001 seconds after market open????

True-Bet269

FDX and NKE earnings win became just FDX huh

SeveralBollocks_67

holy shit guys $FDX up 9% overnight and I bought 45x 290c Tuesday

SeveralBollocks_67

WHY THE FUCK cant I cash in my FDX calls pre market

TomatoSpecialist6879

FDX nuts in yo mouth

IndependentUsual7444

I haven’t seen one person mention FDX tonight

Ok-Geologist5545

This is highly regarded, so be warned. One of the reasons I held my FDX shares for earnings is last week I had a dream that I was backing up on the highway in an Uber (the driver angrily let me drive after telling me it was his Uber) and a FedEx van had to slam the brakes and almost T-boned me.  Hand to god I have specific tickers show up in dreams and then they pump in the coming days. So I trust these at this point. 

seanws30

Knew i should have bought FDX calls. Fml

AJB_1125

FDX calls or puts? Or just puts for the whole fucking market?

behindcl0seddrs

I think NKE and FDX switched places 

only_gainz_abc123

Need a FDX earrings call rug pull 

only_gainz_abc123

Fookin FDX split company bullsheeiittt pump

TayKapoo

The one time I gave up on playing earnings every damn thing moons - FDX, NKE etc. I am fucking cursed!!

only_gainz_abc123

Fookin FDX go down

Euphoric-Magazine300

Be more worried about an FDX fade. FDX a great reflection on the world economy.

AffectionateHawk4422

So... My guy. FDX up, BB up nke as well. The three you said puts in, the three are up. I need to inverse correlate you. We all make mistakes, but 3/3. Impressive. I was truly planning on buying puts for BB

Mean-Evidence-4056

How does anyone trade FDX it's a gap every single earnings. It's gambling, not like what we do here

Gemini_Of_Wallstreet

Nke and FDX why no bag shitting this time?

OrangMiskin

I was too poor to buy FDX calls and bought UPS instead, might still print. 

indigo_dreamer00

FDX printing

pineapplekiwipen

NKE and FDX both up bigly what recession 

EnginrA

I bought puts on FDX and NKE for earnings how they lookin

eskhalaf

FDX 🔥🔥

DaLoubie

Grats to FDX calls holder

kmung

FDX IV was jacked to the tits

MrForever_Alone69

So how did FDX did?

Dark_Overlord335786

Lmfao FDX 

Sh1ba_Tatsuya

I was close to buying FDX puts… glad I didn’t

Areisrising

Dammit I forgot to buy FDX. Getting in at 305 let's hope I don't regret it

baller1able

Loaded up on UPS calls as a sympathy play on FDX earnings 

MikeTysonsfacetat

FDX just yeeted. The inverse myself is still in effect. Follow me for more inverses

Ready2gambleboomer

*FDX currently have a spaz attack.*

DesignerSea494

Holy fuck, FDX… I needed 287.5 and you just blew right past it.

putsellingregard

FDX omg 

pineapplekiwipen

Recession cancelled by FDX 

AdPurple4902

Glad I went with my gut and got FDX calls. So many ppl saying puts lol

MikeTysonsfacetat

I’m in FDX puts, I’ve been wrong on every option I’ve played for the last 3 months lol. Feel free to inverse me and most likely make bank.

CarElectronic6700

I shorted AVGO and had calls on MU.. Calls on FDX just for you.