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Options Profit Calculator - Feedback on Potential Trades
Everything there is to know in premarket 29.01. Including positioning analysis of GOOGL NVDA and AAPL
GOOGL April 19'24 $170 Calls - Up 100%... Thoughts?
GOOGL stock outlook uncertain because of declining ads?
#3 reason why I'm backing out of Google in my portfolio: Chrome updates Incognito warning to admit Google tracks users in “private” mode
Offsetting Previous Losses While Continuing to Invest for the Future
Google, Amazon, and Unity are among the tech companies implementing layoffs to start 2024
Probability of profit from below calls? Expiring on 26 Jan
Anyone else doing a cut and run with GOOGL/AMZN?
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if Buffet needs a new #2.
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if buffet needs a new #2.
What stocks usually benefit the most from an election year. META & GOOGL are the big ones are there any others?
Thoughts on selling covered calls - AAPL, AMD, GOOGL, AMZN
Advise on selling some of my holdings - GOOGL, META, INTU, CRM
Weekly recurring stock investments a viable strategy?
I'm a professional regard and these are my notes 19/12
What Options Activity is Saying About the Market
Mistral AI and Google Cloud Forge Alliance to Revolutionize AI Accessibility. $CALLS on $GOOGL
What yall think of the picks for my Roth IRA. Needs any changes? include different sectors?
Google's best Gemini demo was faked. $PUTS on $GOOGL
Arbitraging the AI potential misspriced in some stocks that will become the leaders
Should i purchase 100k$ of GOOGL? Big google gemini launch.
1700% gain on my option and I’m still losing money.. I suck so bad at this.
Market trading at high valuations given rates, economy slowing expectations
Got Stuck Holding 220 TSLA shares at $296
How much reasonable risk should I take on to maximize profit?
Taking out all my money from VOO and dumping it into MSFT
ChatGPT preys at Google $GOOG, $GOOGL search's dominance
Microsoft stock hits a record high. Why its next move might be lower
Google faces second major U.S. antitrust trial over Play Store monopoly allegations
Down 11% on taxable account. Planning on buying a house in the next 2.5-3 years. Should I sell or change strategies?
Palantir Ranked No. 1 Vendor in AI, Data Science, and Machine Learning
$GOOGL stock has its worst day since start of the Covid pandemic in March 2020
Am I doing this right? :D [GOOGL EARNINGS CALLS]
Most Important Stock Market Earnings from Today - (10/24/2023)
Can anyone explain to me how $GOOGL drops 5% immediately after closing?
GOOGL to the moon confirmed by Bollinger Bands
Suggestions on how to recover losses if I am not selling my winners
I wanted to try to invest in 10 completely random stocks to see if this beats the market in 1 year, so I asked ChatGTP...
Recommendations for stocks that are similar to AMZN and GOOGL pre-split
If you could invest $ 1 million but only in one stock, what would it be?
TAMING ROBOTS: US Gov Meets Tech Giants ($META, $GOOGL, $TSLA) Over AI Regulations!
Experienced traders preferably, SPY, QQQ, AAPL, GOOGL?
I am about to make the bet of my life - Financial Freedom by 2025 or Nothing
The idea that the stock market will crash is utterly preposterous
Is it Bear Feeding Season or will the Bulls pull through?
How to get rid of my trading habit to invest properly! Fear of losing the money!!
“The attempt to escape from pain, is what creates more pain.”
Butterflies & Iron Condors: Assignment Risk vs. Duration & Stock Selection
ENPH - What caused it to spike to $336 and what caused it to drop to now $136?
Is there an updated list of the all Single-Stock ETFs?
Stick to U.S. stocks that offer experience over hope
Goldman's Tactical Flow of Funds: "The largest bears in the room have capitulated." 👀... "Are we there yet?" (Yes, we are)
Goldman's Tactical Flow of Funds: "The largest bears in the room have capitulated." 👀... "Are we there yet?" (Yes, we are)
Question about GOOGL calls for Nov 17.
Microsoft $MSFT and Alphabet $GOOGL Earnings Are Critical for This Stock Market Rally. Here’s Why:
Using TSLA, AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, APPL as my makeshift 401k. In theory, what could go wrong?
I want to be hedging my GOOG and AMZN and AAPL shares for earnings......
"Unfortunately, SigFig does not currently support this holding"--recs for other portfolio trackers?
Mentions
The 30-delta Dec call on GOOGL is $25 away. It's gone up more than that in the last week and a half.
The numbers done lie. GOOGL was such an obvious buy 6 months ago and yet people here still tried to argue the stock went down so it’s not a good investment The glasses sales are great for such an early product, the ads are printing money and maga TikTok will only make them bigger This is such an easy investment
GOOGL and MSFT, yes. I still don’t see how Meta is going to turn that Capex spending into revenue.
GOOGL never misses. MSFT never misses. But guess who is missing a 3rd time in a row and will likely turn a loss next? TSLA. fair value: 50$ and it will show, sooner or later. Just read Grokpedia article of Elon Musk. Jesus Christus - i did not know that one can be this much a narcist. He never fails - he just "iterates" to new revolutionary inventions.
That's how it is in this game. You never know till it hits you. I will not sit here and pretend that I know why GOOGL could fall by 50%. I know a thing or two about tech. Their main revenue is ad business which they tag with their search stuff. It's well known that others are trying to get a bite out of that business (like MSFT with the help of Chat GPT). Markets usually overreact. So if BING really manages to incorporate Chat GPT effectively to boost the ad business of MSFT, then there you go. You just have to get people to use Chat GPT more and more. BING will know more about them, and their targetted ads can beat GOOGL. That theory will have big holes in'em. Like I said before, you will never know until it happens. Key is to be prepared. Anticipate, and protect your investments.
When you sell covered calls, and buy options with the credit you got, where are you losing money? You are doing this on weekly options. And on earnings day, you don't sell the covered call. Just buy the put. Anyway you did not answer my question. How do you know "for a fact" that GOOGL and NVDA will never see a 50% down day? You know that "for a fact?" How exactly?
Crazy how $GOOGL lost all it's earnings gains.... When 295 google
Sore tech heavy. And semi conductor. GOOGL, NVDA, KLAC, AMC, APLD, Apple, AMZN, MSFT etc .
Got GOOGL 350 calls for next year…if we enter an official recession, it’s so over 🫨
This is the first I bought META for earnings because I got burned by GOOGL last time
META better fucking recover next week. Nothing has changed about it, why are they getting punished over spending on AI, where as GOOGL and AMZN get praised? Shit is fucking bullshit dude.
Well, here's the deal... MSFT has committed to a $34.9B capex with a $392B contracted backlog. GOOGL has committed to $24B capex with a $155B contracted backlog. AMZN has committed to a $31.4B capex with a $200B contracted backlog. NVDA has over $500B in backlogged orders (no committed capex) well into 2026. If you're following along that's a 11.2x multiple of backlog-to-capex for MSFT, 6.5x for GOOGL, and 6.4x for AMZN. These are just a few of the many examples demonstrating that AI demand is drastically outpacing supply well into the foreseeable future. AI spending is rapidly accelerating and won't be dropping anytime soon. MSFT, GOOGL, and AMZN's capex is entirely justified and if anything, is probably conservative for what's needed to even have a prayer of catching up with demand. Investors need to get over this sticker shock.
I just love getting on GOOGL and AAPL calls after great earnings
I mean, just look at the breakeven price and that will tell you everything. Current price only went up $2/share and the potential catalyst is gone - so is there a reasonable chance of GOOGL reaching the breakeven by 11/7?
Why can’t Reddit and GOOGL rocket to $300? 🫠
Full ported GOOGL today after realizing its gains from the past few months. Actually own shares now 😂
Post your loss porn GOOGL $300C buyers LOL
Yeah the metaverse was dumb as hell. But punishing META for spending on AI, why doesn't MSFT/GOOGL/AMZN/NVDA get punished for that too? It's some bullshit dude.
Time to short more TSLA, PLTR and ARM. Naked - no options. Hedge with: GOOGL, MSFT, BYDD, TM No way they gonna outperform those (and stay above 250.0 P/E) long-term.
GOOGL holders saw their payoff two days ago… Just a reminder that tech never stays down for long, especially after strong earnings runs. NFLX is absolutely still a tech giant. A 10% drop in one day after months of steady climbing? That’s a setup, not a selloff. My calls run through late November, so I’m chilling. Can’t believe more people aren’t scooping this dip. Don’t say I didn’t warn you.
You should really compare sector to sector and just the index. Like 25% of of the SP500 is going to be like MSFT/NVDA/GOOGL. [https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/\~adamodar/New\_Home\_Page/datafile/pedata.html](https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/pedata.html) That being said, still cheaper than a lot of those names. I always like using PEG more than PE, since PEG takes into PE and EPS growth. So basically something can have a high PE, but can also be growing their EPS rapidly too. I don't think it's a bad investment by any means, but the company is growing their revenue like low single digits now. It's been like that for 10 quarters now. Paypal just seems more like a value company at this point. They will continue to buyback stock and pay dividends. Just feels more of like a boomer stock or bank than a growth name. Probably why the PE is lower. Having a low PE just usually means the market is expecting that slow growth.
Well.. if it worked twice in a 21 year time span.. Did the algos learn trading from prior examples? They are “data dependent “?!? I actually do not know if they are… but a lot changed from 87 to 2008.. and the same indicators worked then. History repeats itself, if we do not learn from it and stop it. …or third time is the charm in this case…. with AI taking peoples jobs.. and I am just speculating.. less people making money.. less stuff bought.. look at the outlook from CMG, TGT, AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, and many others, their last earnings reports. Whether you feel it is going to right or not, you should still keep it as information to make future choices… there is a reason Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on a huge pile of cash. 🤷♂️
Look at the 3 month chart. $GOOGL kept reaching new all time highs so they didn’t think it was gonna pump more for earnings
For what it’s worth GOOGL was very obviously undervalued (relatively) 6 mo ago. So the “pump” since then was just catching up to peers which are also at ATH. And if you are buying deep ITM LEAPS it’s basically synthetic long stock position so this doesn’t seem that crazy to me.
Bought calls for earnings QCOM HIMS SNAP HUT Still holding major long call positions in GOOGL and leaps in UUUU, small ones in CORZ and BB Puts on CVNA and QBTS still in the red after down moves
GOOGL fucking up too. they're below post earnings. I swear I should've sold everything right after earnings. is Meta doesn'tgo up on monday its game over
GOOGL gave up all gains from blowout earnings again.. 😮💨
To those patiently holding AMZN and GOOGL, you will be rewarded handsomely by year’s end. This is for your sake, not mine, at all.
like clockwork. GOOGL green before noon
>but who are the people buying it? Stocks such as PLTR and TSLA have been heavily pumped in social media. When your reach is tens or hundreds of millions of people, it doesn't take big money to hold the stock up, it's crowd sourced. I don't know why so many are triggered by PLTR and TSLA. I personally would not touch either stock due to outsized valuation. Therefore I own stocks such as NVDA AVGO NFLX MSFT AMZN AAPL GOOGL etc. I'm up just as much if not more, and I can sleep at night holding these stocks.
all that huff and puff ytd for nothing huh GOOGL.
Up 60% on amzn leaps, 50% on NET leaps, 40% on GOOGL leaps. In my watchlist 😭😭
GOOGL merely minutes away from going green
GOOGL now up a full 1.5% since posting record earnings two days ago.
If GOOGL would go green, ill have a record day for the port.
Dude fuck this market Any GOOGL or AAPL gains got wiped the fuck out
I assumed everything was crashing judging by my port. Apparently not, just GOOGL/MSFT/META. Wtf
GOOGL. You fucking piece of shit.
TSLA is pumping and GOOGL drilling? the guy who called "logic does not apply to TSLA ticker" is a legend
Dip buying opportunity of a lifetime for GOOGL
Everybody on earth knows this is going to do a full V shape recovery and go to all time highs today that's why QQQ is still up 1% even though AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, META are all red
Everybody on earth knows this is going to do a full V shape recovery and go to all time highs today that's why QQQ is still up 1% even though AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, META are all red
Fuck, missed out on 1k on GOOGL calls.
Ok GOOGL.. enough of the red.. let’s do some green candles all the way back up to 290 please..🙏
GOOGL and being trash Name a more iconic duo
GOOGL $298 to $278 in two days!
GOOGL and META red? I’ll indulge.
Lmao GOOGL and AAPL dumb but RDDT is up. Nothing makes sense
Yup. I don’t feel bad for the retards losing money on stupid gambles, but I’ve built two sizeable positions in AMZN and GOOGL, and watching them sell-off after remarkable earnings with clear growth projections is just mind-boggling.
GOOGL, if you really want to drop, drop to 260 so I can buy more shares
Just go long the cash printers like GOOGL, AAPL, META, NVDA. You'll be a lot less angry.
AAPL, GOOGL and META all getting cucked hard.
no way GOOGL goes red... is there?
META. Ask yourself one question: why would anyone buy META rather than NVDA, GOOGL or APPL.
GOOGL only sold off the following day when US paperhands dumped the stock. Same will happen to AMZN today.
+238k / +76% YTD also heavy on NVDA GOOGL etc. Standing right behind you my brother in arms, wishing you good health!
This my plan with my AMZN calls (I buy 80 delta calls). I will roll to same DTE at the new 80 delta strike. I did this with my GOOGL calls yesterday and rolled for a $5000 credit.
You want to buy LEAPs AFTER GOOGL pumped 80% in 6 months? Go ahead!
You were not totally wrong to do so. The leading indicators and intel on AMZN were bad and scary. Further, I expect their future earnings to be more lumpy than GOOGL, and their retail operations may be harmed by a worsening consumer recession. Amazon has a lot of challenges and I'm not really happy with the way current management has been handling it. I own it and was expecting a sideways report today.
LEAPS are a long term leveraged bet. Buy them if you would also buy and hold lots of shares of the stock on margin. That’s pretty much what you’re doing, except instead of paying your broker’s margin rates, you’re paying a premium. So with that said, if you like the stock so much in the long term, then you shouldn’t worry too much about timing the market like your post describes. Buy when you have the capital and sell before theta decay ramps up. Personally, I love LEAPS and I love GOOGL so I roll my LEAPS if they get to 50%+ and hold them otherwise. I don’t see any reason to change that going forward.
And GOOGL had their ad revenue as well so if they continue growing their cloud cash, they’ll be pretty safe
ORCL and META are borrowing tens of billions to fund these data center buildouts... IF the AI bubble does collapse, those 2 will be the ones that take it the hardest (other than Open AI of course). MSFT, AMZN, and GOOGL are funding most of this through their cloud cashflows; that's the huge difference. Those 3 will be relatively insulated though you'd expect stock corrections in any AI bust scenario. But ORCL and META are literally betting their companies on AI, and that's the difference.
1st I’m balls deep in amzn. 2nd last earnings both msft and GOOGL killed it but Amzn tanked so yes it’s possible.
Cause GOOGL moved so much before leading up to earnings and for whatever reason alot have been doubting AMZN this whole quarter/year! 🤷
BIG TECH Forward PE: Apple $AAPL: 35 PE Nvidia $NVDA: 34PE Microsoft $MSFT: 34 PE Amazon $AMZN: 33 PE Alphabet $GOOGL: 29 PE Meta $META: 23 PE
Everyone telling me to sell my 300 shares of GOOGL. I’M NOT DOING IT.
No, lol, there was no way GOOGL would’ve stayed down this year. I’m no stranger to volatility; check my posts from a couple years ago ;)
This Tequila Old Fashioned messing me up. Celebrating my 40k profit on GOOGL.
Can you help me understand why your AMZN would’ve been fine unlike OP’s GOOGL? Is it because it’s well ITM?
Among the Mag 7 stocks, AMZN and GOOGL were kind of lagging behind for a long time. A lot of funds are still underweight on them. AMZN has been underperforming big tech for almost like 5 years now. There were concerns about deceleration in AWS growth due to Azure and Google Cloud competition but looks like AWS growth is picking back up. That is AMZN's main money maker and investors love when it shows higher than expected growth.
GOOGL gonna rip back to 290
"I opened a GOOGL call position with strike price $305 expiring April 17, 2025...What are your thoughts on why the change in IV was minimal after earnings?" Because the contracts had expired 6 months ago? 😉
In GOOGL's case, the **implied earnings effect** was likely smaller than the overall IV level suggested. Here's what probably happened: 1. **Pre-earnings IV of 37.1%** wasn't all earnings premium - much of it was already structural volatility 2. **Historical 30-day average of 31.2%** is your baseline, but the market was pricing elevated volatility for other reasons (tech sector uncertainty, macro events, etc.) 3. **The actual earnings effect** embedded in that 37.1% IV might have only been 2-3 points, not the full 6-point spread you calculated **Post-earnings IV climbing back up** (35% → 35.67%) often happens when: * The earnings results introduce *new* uncertainty about forward guidance or business outlook * Broader market volatility remains elevated * Options markets reprice for upcoming catalysts (Fed decisions, sector rotation, etc.) The fact that IV didn't collapse suggests the market is still pricing uncertainty in GOOGL beyond just the earnings event. Your April expiration gives plenty of time for other volatility drivers to matter. Check out [optionbuddy.ai](http://optionbuddy.ai)
GOOGL is undervalued. Should be $350
GOOGL was already massively undervalued **and** grew earnings 33%. AMZN is not even up much YoY. Very much justified assuming: * Rate cuts, low yields coming. * Inflation. * Low tail risk.
NVDA is my daddy and GOOGL is my Uncle
Same thought, that's why I didn't jump in today, rather wait for the dusts to settle. This massive spending will eat into their margin, same drill they went thru with Metaverse. Plus they 100% relies on ads, at least GOOGL/AMZN have cloud.
I also bought some GOOGL options
damn I almost went 6/6 with calls on UPS, UNH, GOOGL, META, AAPL, AMZN... META was the only miss
Biggest positions are AAPL, AMZN and GOOGL. It's been a good week. I like investing companies do more quarterly revenue than most countries GDP.
!banbet GOOGL 300 2w
Chase will be on tomorrow; gangbuster beats and AMZN has a lot of room to run with AWS firing on all cylinders again. AMZN feels cheap compared to the rest of the megacaps. Huge and growing backlog for AWS to keep growing at this kind of 18-22% rate. "Only" $2.5 trillion market cap on what is the biggest business in the world (AWS + their marketplace); easy path to $3-3.5 trillion. Would be a shock if AMZN isn't at $280-300 over the next few months. Just like GOOGL caught up the past few months, AMZN is the next runner for tech.
GOOGL to 300 by end of next week. Lez go!
GOOGL cloud and AWS completely crushing it lately.
GOOGL is more diversified imo. AWS is strong, but there are competitors and Amazon the market is not growing that much.
funds who are underweight GOOGL and AMZN will be buying up tomorrow as it is last day of the month. Also through the rest of the year. Bill Ackman must be smiling, big 2 days fo rhim. He went in heavy on both GOOGL and AMZN when they were underperforming the market.
GOOGL is gonna win. They have DeepMind, Google AI, are leading in quantum, search, YouTube, Waymo (the only legit full self driving company), and most importantly build their own AI chips (TPU's). That means no paying NVIDIA and funding their 80% profit margins. They're just too good. IMAGINE HAVING 5 NOBEL LAUREATES IN YOUR COMPANY JUST IN 2024-2025. Anyone who isn't buying Google shares hand over fist is a regard.
GOOGL is gonna win. They have DeepMind, Google AI, are leading in quantum, search, YouTube, Waymo (the only legit full self driving company), and most importantly build their own AI chips (TPU's). That means no paying NVIDIA and funding their 80% profit margins. They're just too good. IMAGINE HAVING 5 NOBEL LAUREATES IN YOUR COMPANY JUST IN 2024-2025. Anyone who isn't buying Google shares hand over fist is a regard.
GOOGL being up only 2.5% after those earrings is INSANE
They missed on iPhone sales which is almost half its revenue. iPad and Mac didn’t hit home runs either. It wasn’t that good of a quarter in comparison to AMZN and GOOGL
yes but then why would you buy before earnings, just buy regular calls on the dip and you don't get IV crushed. Issue is most people wouldn't sell at open after seeing 300 premarket, so they just held and sold at the bottom when they got scared it was going to 0. But yeah GOOGL was and still is a very good stock to hold imo
You won't lose much, look at GOOGL lol