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I think it’s going to hit r/financialcareer the hardest. All anyone asks is “how do I get into IB/PE/HF?” PC is one side of the coin (which is more like 35% of the coin) with PE as the other side. - It’ll probably blow up, - it’ll probably take down lot of PEs. - A third of r/financialcareer will get crushed - it probably won’t hit financial systems like GFC - it is levered but derivatives on top of that seems to be very limited - banks are less exposed to the PC…we hope…lack of disclosures is a problem So yea some sectors maybe feel like 07, but broader market probably not. They’re feeling pains from other areas like we’re probably already in a recession or something.
Equities will surely fall. Can’t get money from your PC investment, pull from your HF or equity allocation, both of which push equities down. And that doesn’t consider if PC collapses, there’s less new capital being injected which will also drive down equities.
Somehow OP got “Former_HF_Employee” for his username too lmao
If it gets to $150..... it'll take a while for it to go down. Iran is probably shutting their oil fields by now. So is Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and I'm sure UAE. It'll take weeks to ramp up to 100% production if the conflict ends today. Venezuela is using outdated equipment and won't be able to crank it up to meet demand. That leaves Russia. Lots and lots of oil that can be pumped immediately. GL HF world. I'm moving to the Southern Hemisphere where's there's no nukes deployed.
Think we re in an interesting level here in terms of the dealers books. HF community max short delta here - if we continue to break, could be relatively ‘orderly.’ Huge gamma wall at 7k, terrible macro, constant overwriters, and LT holders happy to take profits. Right tail cheap for a reason!
Definitely agree. I have read "momentum" is basically the best performing factor now. Make sense with the HF Algos dominating. I think you're right about saving jobs. It the whole "nobody ever got fired for buying MSFT" or whatever the hot name is. Just keep your head down and don't make noise. Until you realize how many of the best companies do the opposite. It's sad.
The video with the guy predicting Iran will target GCC desalination plant... that would be devastating for those countries. If you haven't seen it yet, it's worth a watch. It's on TikTokCringe. The Iranians have activated a heretofore unknown HF numbers station. The Russian LNG carrier that was taken out was supplying China. Most of Asia's oil comes through the Strait of Hormuz. This could get ugly quick.
So market is rallying in the face of awful news and things being worse than expected because HF positioning is bearish. How is the market ever supposed to actually drop lol. Every time theres any weakness, people position bearish, then the powers that be just get the algos to pump for no reason. Insane market.
Premarket Watchlist: **$INDO** & **$EONR** & **$TPET** **$TMDE** & **$RBNE** & **$NAT** **$PRZO** Week Ahead: **$AZTR** : Mar-2/3 Catalyst: https://finviz.com/news/315522/azitra-inc-to-present-at-bio-investment-growth-summit **$BCDA** : Mar-2 PH3 presentation : https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/2/3/3231040/0/en/BioCardia-Announces-Late-Breaking-Echocardiography-Results-from-the-CardiAMP-HF-Trial-to-be-Presented-at-Technology-and-Heart-Failure-Therapeutics-THT.html **$BIVI** : Mar-4 webinar presentation: https://finviz.com/news/318436/join-biovies-exclusive-live-investor-webinar-and-qa-session-on-march-4
BCDA Phase 3 CardiAMP-HF heart failure data being presented this Monday (March 2) at THT Boston. Company only sitting around a $13M market cap going into results. Might be worth keeping on watch next week.
Even worse, they have privileged partner access status with these commodity ETFs and are classed as a “trader” not HF so they don’t have to report their options and futures dealings
Finally HF found their change behind the sofa
Exactly, What will happen if we get an 2009 crash. HF.
Most of the same arguments apply to big software vendors too, if only slightly less capital intensive. There always have been cheaper alternatives to MSFT, INTU, CRM products etc. yet they have commanding market shares that keep growing. Now we're to believe that a garage vibe coder will replace them overnight (not to mention that these companies have armies of actual AI experts already in place to prevent that). Look into Ben Reitzes of Melius, he is the coordinating lynch pin behind the HF software short.Also the clown behind the GOOG short of last year.
They're eating the Calls, the people at the HF, they're eating the Puts, they're eating, they're eating the options of the people that are investing
MM's and HF's want it to go up.. simple AF.
MM's and HF's bought CVNA when it dipped 25%.. so obviously they will pump it back to new all time highs now.. what a scam market..
Why would HF get crushed by, or even be sensitive to what's happening in any macro that retail can touch? Aren't they just in a race to beat out other HF shops in a nano scale front-running sprint which has almost 0 net effect on anyone working at a time scale greater than a few seconds?
Even as someone who sells a GEX tool I'm the first person to DRILL this point- that AT BEST, EVEN WHEN YOU KNOW YOU HAVE CORRECT POSITIONS AND MODELING... you have a probabilistic edge. You have a prescription for the flows of ONE large cohort. It's a piece of the pie. Some days, that piece is bigger because the piece is bigger. Some days, that piece is bigger because the pie is smaller. You can't think 'binary' edge here, it's shaping the price discovery process and turning a random walk into 2-3 "best guess" price processes that should be generally tradable to someone competent with options or futures, and risk management. And I'm surprised to hear you say that about retail- every time I look at the latest research they keep saying retail is crushing it (at the expense of HF/Quant) but I don't know what to believe in that arena. IMO retail flow is mostly noise because it typically nets out to something less concentrated than institutional flows. However, I'm index-first and for single names that may not be the case as a rule
Fuck if I know, I'm in the life sciences, don't know a ton about computers. Surely there's some quant HF working on this tho. The problem to me would be: what is the action item? I'm pretty convinced the economy is doing way worse than the official numbers suggest, but as long as everyone keeps putting their head in the sand in plowing money into the markets people playing puts and shorts are gonna keep getting their faces ripped off. V frustrating
Totally, and why we tried them - Hello Fresh. I'd steer away from them if you do want to try one. There are a lot of similar companies, just don't have the patience to look for one that's good after our experience with HF - lol
Yes but it’s much better than when MMs using HF was robbing people blind by forcing sells on stop losses then buying the dip.
All these movements are just a way for HF to get rid of longs and shorts, hence cashing in
Banks use bots to execute trades for their clients. Like say your company wants to buy 10000 shares of something but just going to the market and buying that many will drive the price up while you're buying, so they ask the bank to buy it over the course of several days. Hedge funds collect investments and use them to make money. The different strategies are packaged and sold to retail investors or institutional investors. E.g. your bank calls you and says hey would you like to invest some of your money into a pension fund, and then they set up meeting and try to sell you a investment package. Prop shops and HF traders are more cowboy, they are like if the people on this reddit had a bit higher IQ.. basically just trading their own money, to make a quick buck, and then if that goes well they try to borrow some money from here and there... And where does all the money come from, much of it from idiots. It's like poker, if you sit at a table and don't know who the sucker is, it's probably you.
It is absolutely rigged in the sense that Hedge Funds and Market Makers control the price of stocks. The only way you can really make money (aside from some edge cases) is to invest in the companies that these HF's and MM's want to see rise. Market Makers have openly admitted that they drive the price of stocks to where THEY think they should be - Thats absolutely insane and should have everyone questioning what right they have to do that. The market is literally supposed to that - a market. You bid for a stock and if someone's willing to sell for that price you get to buy it. If not, you have to offer more until they're willing to sell. Instead, we now have 'infinite liquidity' where MM's will sell a stock even if there are no sellers and then settle it later down the line. The problem is they never actually settle and there are billions upon billions of 'failure to delivers' where shares don't get correctly assigned to people. You don't see any difference in your trading app, as far as you're concerned you have the shares but they buy order never got filled at the other end so the price of the stock never got influenced by your order. I'd imagine there's also an element of them using price differences to their benefit. You buy a share for $50. They give you the share but don't actually fulfill the order. They drive the price down to $48 dollars and then they purchase it and pocket the $2 difference. Obviously they're not doing it specifically to you but I'd imagine they have the mechanisms to see that a certain stock has X number of orders and the balance has shifted to more buys than sells so now they should drive it down and fulfill at cheaper prices. But honestly given the sheer about of FTD's I'd be surprised if any orders get fulfilled.
it's a weird line of event but it is as follows: 1) anthropic released this new legal enterprise software 2) spooked a lot of investors and they shorted a lot of software stocks (mostly legal but had spill over effect) 3) this led people to realize PE & private credit invest in a lot of B2B software (which is exactly the type of market anthropic&OpenAI is trying to get into) 4) this caused even more panic and HF smelled and shorted, adding to selling pressure, causing even more firms to hedge and re-balance portfolio to rotate out of software industry as a whole 5) Hence this bloodbath that we see here today Voila.
How it started: HF GL How it should have ended: GG How it actually ended: QQ noob
Im out here trying to time the market with a mouse click. Meanwhile, HF using millions of $s of hardware to beat me.
market RED and tomorrow Friday. I'm off . GL HF
"Selling attracts sellers, buying attracts buyers." IMO MSFT now is oversold. HF's will grind at MSFT in the press to get you to sell your shares down so they can have them for less. Side note FWIW, it was printed two days ago that, Aswath is holding his MSFT while exiting NVDIA. I trust the foremost valuation Guru over BB bobbleheads any day.
Sorry I quickly responded, I meant trading as in export and imports of goods. You are incorrect to pin the yen carry trade as the reason for intervention. Bessent has repeatedly called for a weaker dollar and they could care less about select HF's who still decide to carry trade, the core carry trade has been dead for months especially regarding equities. (Weaker dollar further kills this trade) The Fed wants to make sure US exports are strong in Japan and vice versa. This is a trade intervention not for financial stability. We have a very complex but necessary trade relationship with Japan that means currencies can't disconnect too far. I work in S&T so I hear from our banks economists every morning. News of the HSBC rate check spread to every BD within 30mins.
> The concern is that this growth isn’t coming from real value creation. Um...no shit? Publicly traded equities are priced based on historical financial information. They're priced based on unknown, future financial information (discounted back to today, at *some* rate). Any time you buy-or-sell a share of stock, you're doing so based on how you think the company will perform in the future + what level of "riskiness" or risk-deflator you are applying to those future cash flows -- any / all stock price or market cap math shows this (on math skills most middle schoolers posses, no less...) Or, to put it another way, think about it from the two publicly traded companies and ignore the secondary market for their equity. * You deploy capital because you think the investment will eventually reap positive, risk-adjusted returns on aforementioned capital. * You accept that capital investment because you need the liquidity to...you know....actually spend capex and go through the series of steps that result in *actual growth* ....Which begs the question "So what causes price appreciation at announcement?" Answer is two-fold * If you're working at a HF or S&T desk at an investment bank, you're probably running the DCF math on what the incremental liquidity does to near-term future cash flows + probably applying a range of cost-of-capital discount rates to give you a window on what you think share price appreciation looks like * You're doing less sophisticated forecasting / browsing the front page of /r/investing and say to yourself "Wow, Oracle dumped $50bn into NVIDIA, better go buy 3x levered 0DTE calls on NVIDIA!" I'll let you guess which bucket most of the participants in the Financial Social Media Twittersphere^^TM fall into...
The funniest thing is that trading is purely discretionary. Mercedes and BMW cars. Rolex watches. Chocolates. Champagne. And French cheeses. Tourism. Financial products. Am I forgetting something? On the other hand, the market will crash on Monday, much to the amusement of the HF (high-net-worth individuals).
You must be absolutely plastered out of you fucking mind to keep shorting this stock! If i was a manager and my HF manager still holds a short position here, I would fire him on the spot!
Been a part of Angel Squad for a few years now. TLDR: My experience has been incredible...get involved. First, great people...it is truly a community....folks are always eager to help and share experiences. They have a no-A-Holes rule - and it works. Oh, and the events are awesome. Second, the education....I have taught (and still teach) graduate-level business classes....and I have found one of the best - if not the only way - to learn angel investing is to be in it and go thru it. AngelSquad can help you get the reps. I have personally watched people go from zero investments to becoming experienced angels in a few quarters. Third, the approach - AngelSquad and HustleFund do it differently....and it works. They have demystified investing and actually made it fun and exciting.....we look forward to the calls. Fourth, the deals - AngelSquad/HF has an incredible network and amazing deal flow. Full stop. I could not begin to source deal flow with the volume and quantity I see. Plus, there is a veritable army of others who help to engage in diligence and often open doors to help the portcos grow (the impact of this cannot be overstated). Would recommend signing up for the trial - you will know quickly - I sure did Hope that is helpful!
They do this with their food distributor companies as well. Another company under the parent company buys from one distributor and sells to the other. Hindenburg Research did an entire exposé on HF Food Group.
No it's not dude, you can't use your own ideas, logic or opinions on facts. Investors in HF don't expect growth, you can't invest in HF just like that, there are some funds that have 0.5 billion$ as minimum investment. HF don't chase growth. Brk has a history of buying, investing and so on, all major shareholders don't expect short term gains, no one cares about it, just the yearly interest of their cash convertibles is higher than revenue of many publicly traded companies. This is wrong stock for you.
HF's probably using them for some shady swap/leveraging shit risking the entire financial system nbd
Keep coping, cult brainwash. Quants hedge and trade HF. Look up any FAANG stock. Tell me you're too stupid to pick a FAANG stock. 4th grader can. FB up 20x since 2011 IPO. 4th grade logic. AMZN. Up 2500x since IPO. Yup, rocket science. AAPL was $1 when iPod/iPhone. Takes a real genius to beat the market. Up 250x. GOOG? What's that? HurDur. 15x since IPO. Index investing is for the profoundly stupid. 4th grader can picked FAANG.
The tools they have are enormous amounts of capital, which they are free to use however they like, albeit also obeying the rule of risk management. There are many many instances of market manipulation, and these firms are no exception. This manipulation is never random and works only when it's done at a precise time, just like a good trader knows when to strike at the right time. To assume manipulation, these firms must have access to information in order to minimize the risk of the said manipulation to lead them astray, aka, major losses. This is exactly how major MM and HF firms keep their wealth and expand on it. Without reliable information and precise timing, having millions of dollars to trade for an individual is just as useless as having 10k to trade. It also explains very clearly why individual millionaires lose money in trading because capital does not equate to having access to information. Major MM and HF firms simply know much more than an individual just as an FBI agent knows more than a police officer. Both have positions of power, but the former is simply entrusted with greater and deeper access to classified data. The trading world is exactly that, albeit with financial sauce.
My2c. Significant different company and time - 52 week high = $6.75. Sure financing was at 1.30, public offering and whoever wanted out got out, assume opportunistic HF, + 100% they are out The golden dome + $25mm in bank (+residual $12m from prior reporting). I believe this will hit speculation target of $4.00
Former IB from GS here. Don't do it, IB is dead. If you're smart enough go to a HF. If you're not go into tech. The money in IB for how much you work is shit compared to the other two. IB used to be the cream of the crop but has changed and is filled with mid retarded fin bros.
How much liquidity you got? HF are betting on puts but this ape stock can swing either way, premiums are too spenny both sides long term atm
Thanks for this breakdown. I’m looking at building a heavy position in the oil and gas space and am looking at a few stocks that I’ll be researching and by researching I mean reading a few seeking alpha articles to see what metrics I should be focusing on and then try to deduce their financial statements. Am I headed in the right direction with these companies? Talos Energy PBF ENERGY HF Sinclair Corporation Delek US Holdings
I work at a HF. BTC collapse = short TSLA. Market will dump then.
The big MMs are significantly more scaled than Medallion Fund. The strategy clearly does not scale given how bad their external, more traditional hedge fund vehicles have performed. RT as a whole has performed quite poorly for many years. In contrast Citadel HF has $70B+ AUM and still manages to deliver returns. And if you’re comparing Medallion Fund you might as well add in CitSec which is insanely profitable and is a more analogous business model anyways.
https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMonitoring/s/HF3K59ytP6
Well, less opportunity cost buying power for other tickers i want, for one. Thats the downside. Upside, I'd probably get a huge gain soon, but could also end up chasing averaging down if some HF reads this and decides to buy millions of puts to weigh it down for a week. 🤷♂️
Netflix is the most fraudulent stock on the market right now. Every single HF and MM know it's going to 130.0 or at least 120.0 but they are manipulating it down as low as possible to get better leverage on their calls right now. Imo 98-96 is their goal, not sure they will get it by manipulating the media and news, but they're trying. Joke market manipulation.
All HF's and MM's know how to do is swap, swap the fucking world... until it all collapses. lmao
They have a commodity fund, it doesn't show on the list? Leverage from options is with box spreads. My advisor has used futures in the past too. It's like Hedgefundie's but more diversified (HF was only S&P500 and treasuries, mine has alternative assets like commodities, some long-short funds and a far more diversified stock sleeve), lower fees (my advisor charges a fraction of what ProShares and Direxion charge in the ETFs) and far more tax advantaged (HF if you recall, said only in retirement accounts precisely because it was so tax inefficient. Mine is in taxable). In 2022-2023, I was not zeroed out because I had little treasury exposure. While the dorks at BHs were feasting on 1% 30Y bonds, my advisor told me to stay away because his optimizer didn't allocate to it. Two years later, long-term bonds are finally attractive and he has me dump $2.4M into EDV, which is in the positive (see positions in OP). Meanwhile, HF acolytes all in ruins. Ratios change based on what my advisor says. The rebalancing I'm sure is just based on bands, keeping taxes in mind of course. He can probably explain it better than me.
"Who in the world ever said 4x leverage was the norm or standard?" Nobody. Optimal leverage depends on the portfolio. If it's high risk (all stocks), it's around 2:1. If it's an arbitrage book, like a HF, it's probably 30:1. I'm somewhere in between with this multi-asset portfolio. "If the positions are true and not just on paper then what happened during the flash crash back earlier this year?" [I bought the dip](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1k74q6y/borrowing_42m_buy_the_dip/)
AH pump of google will erode by close, TPU sales begin in 2027. I dont think HF are that optimistic
Here's a decayed HF arb system I built. This one made over 7m that year in aggregate. [https://imgur.com/Woh434U](https://imgur.com/Woh434U)
**Bull Case for Ares Strategic Mining (OTC: ARSMF)** **1) Only Domestic Fluorspar Producer: Strategic Scarcity Premium** Ares Strategic Mining's Lost Sheep mine in Utah is the only permitted and operational fluorspar mine in the United States. This positions the company as a singular domestic supplier of a critical mineral that the U.S. largely imports. imports. That scarcity can support pricing power and priority with U.S. industrial buyers. 2) Mission-critical end markets with policy tailwinds Fluorspar (metspar & acidspar) feeds steel/aluminum making, hydrofluoric acid, fluoropolymers, Li-ion battery materials, and even nuclear-fuel value chains—all areas seeing re-shoring and resilience funding. Fluorspar is on the U.S. Critical Minerals list, a designation that tends to attract permitting focus and financing support. 3) Near-term production milestones de-risking the story In early Nov 2025, Ares reported completion of a secondary ventilation system clearing the way for industrial-scale ore extraction; earlier updates highlighted processing-plant construction restarted/advancing and the arrival of the flotation plant (key to producing higher-value acidspar). Hitting these build/commission steps converts the story from 'promise' to 'tonnes & cash flow.' 4) Integrated U.S. processing footprint The company is building out a 50-acre industrial site in Delta, Utah with a metallurgical lumps plant (for steelmakers) and a flotation plant (for acidspar). Vertical integration onshore can compress logistics, improve margins, and deepen offtake relationships versus import alternatives. 5) Potential revenue mix uplift from acidspar Acidspar (97%+ CaF■) commands higher pricing and underpins HF/fluorochemicals used across energy-transition supply chains. The specific push to commission flotation capacity is a clear lever for price/margin per tonne vs. metspar alone. 6) Capital progress without heavy dilution In mid-2025 Ares highlighted non-dilutive cash injections via sharing agreements, and in Oct-2025 the company closed tranches of a LIFE private placement—evidence of continuing access to capital to bridge into operations. Less dilution + rising capacity = more operating leverage to shareholders if commissioning stays on track. 7) Optionality from trace critical elements Ares reported germanium (and earlier, gallium) presence associated with its fluorspar ore. If recoverable at scale, these by-product credits could become a meaningful upside kicker given strategic With a sub-$100M market cap, even modest production ramp and offtakes can move the needle. Rising domestic demand and any long-term contracts could re-rate the equity quickly as the mine transitions from buildout to sales. 9) Macro setup supports domestic sourcing USGS and Interior emphasize supply-chain vulnerability and import reliance across critical minerals; policy momentum (funding, procurement preferences, financing tools) improves the backdrop for U.S.-based producers like Ares. What to Watch (Bullish Catalysts) • Commissioning & first sales: Mechanical completion, commissioning, and first shipments from the lumps and flotation plants. • Offtake agreements: Formal long-term take-or-pay deals would validate demand and support financing. • Unit economics: Realized prices for metspar/acidspar vs. C1 costs post-ramp—key for proving margin profile. Quick Risk Check Execution risk on plant commissioning, working-capital needs through ramp, and commodity-price cyclicality remain the main headwinds; verify claims (e.g., 'only operating U.S. fluorspar mine' and offtakes) as the ramp progresses, since peer restarts globally are also occurring.
Goodbye Oklo, next microcrap, think the HF are dumping? lol
There’s a hella lot of dark pool puts in the market waiting to be unleashed, could be that a HF pulled the trigger today and didn’t tell the others lol
If I was a HF, perfect day to trim my positions
There’s a price squeeze in middle value, top value tickets are still increasing, while middle ticket items are being purchased for lower cost. Middle brands in all sectors are losing market share across the board. Hence low cost and high cost ticket vendors are doing well whilst the middle is being crushed. Amazon is a weird one given guidance for next year for markets is a drop in share price even on beating of earnings, could be due to a number of factors I’ve seen. A correction is needed but what will be the catalyst for it, no one knows. HF are trimming a little but nothing major. Who knows lol I’m still calls
lol omg you have no idea what you’re talking about. Only 20 billi was a swap from the treasury the other day half was from the private market aka HF. You can’t bail yourself out. Wanna know why we did the swap, and why the gay Soros trained previous hf manager who is known for breaking banks is now the treasury secretary
Burry making his HF private: YOU PEOPLE NO LONGER DESERVE MY SECRETS
We do EveryPlate and have really loved the food and recipes. Plus they’re cheaper than HF. Just made crispy chicken sandwiches with potato wedges tonight! It was great.
We have a busy life. Use Hello Fresh for 3 meals a week. Helps remove meal planning stress. And it's not that much more expensive that our current habits. Although if we put more effort into it we could obviously save some money. So it's HF for 4/7 days since we usually combine all leftovers from the first 3 meals to make up a 4th.
I've been using HelloFresh for two years now and I love the model. Meal planning and grocery shopping are time consuming/not enjoyable and I throw away so much food when I don't plan well. HF is not any more expensive than shopping myself, there's hardly any waste and I don't have to eat the same thing day after day. Most meals can be ready in under 30 min so I never have the excuse of no time to cook after work. I wouldn't call many of their meals "delicious" but I forget what I ate 30 mins after eating anyway - while I'm a "foodie" most meals are just fuel. The downside is that as they expand and search for greater profit the quality and variety of ingredients has been decreasing. So I've been auditioning other services. Unfortunately while some have better tasting meals I haven't found another that can match the variety and prep speed - like I'm trying MarleySpoon rn and the food is much better but lack the variety and they take much more time to make. It seems I'm not alone as HF is profitable so there are tons of others like me out there.
Hardly, everyone MM and HF is starting to trim so this is just the start
HF coming in Bloomberg talking about trimming their positions as they heard the bird chirping in the coal mine
Retail buy orders go straight into dark pools…months or years ago. All the market makers are doing now is swapping hedge fund sells with old retail buy money. When it drops it will drop hard. Little guy will be fucked. HF’s and MM’s will be just fine.
It’s not even clear if he stays on the family office. If he wanted to just gample he would keep the hedge fund and take the management fees especially as a known investors with access to capital. He can’t gamble the same way he does with the HF because he would not get outside capital if a trade goes against him. The risk of margin calls and personal liability is much higher for him. Family offices are first and foremost wealth preservation.
That seems to be the issue, yes. https://www.reddit.com/r/scotus/s/HF2sfIX8RV
Only supreme regards follow HF pros blindly. Well played.
Being invested in low fee products over time will do the best. Unless you can really choose stocks and time the market, but that’s pretty much limited to select few hedge fund managers at this point. There is no BlackRock/vanguard PM that will outperform, if they do, they’d be at a HF. Buffets style is also somewhat antiquated. What the fed has done and how the economy has changed is clearly a lot different
Tbf, he has accelerated a lot of technology which was available but wasn’t sexy for PE or HF to pour into. I still think this ‘believe’ is either the greatest marketing campaign ever or he is just buying time to swallow up companies in the near future to expand his vision. If the general population has no drive to work/no jobs, least they can bang their robot and end those bloodlines without rioting in the streets lol. Win win
Lol which HF pumped DASH this morning then dumped it
Lol, Tesla is going to have a recession all on its own if HF/MM coordinate or scramble to get out while they're ahead. The longest overarching pump and dump would be historic.
Thanks, appreciate it. Today was bad bc there was no warning and it's not like we havent had worse news in the last two months and it didn't react this bad so it caught me off guard after hours. I still have some ptsd from liberation day/weekend. And specifically, it's bc I'm in a margin account with no day trades left so I was locked out of selling until 8pm bc I averaged down on a lot of them. My other Vanguard account has the 25k for unlimited day trades, but the app isn't user friendly for averaging down, chart reading, quick refresh, navigation, etc. If I move my money out of there I have to pay a 10% tax and I hate the thought of that. I want to be in cash account but when things are this choppy and bearish I usually offload some sales before midnight and can't switch bc the cash has to settle before switching back so I basically walked into a bad time to be in my margin and more leveraged than I wanted to be. Sometimes I even momentarily forget I'm in margin when I buy a big dip, forgetting I can't sell until after 8pm in these instances or else I would've offloaded in the day on the dead cat bounces. Instead, I got locked out AH with no moves. Thanks for advice, yeah I heard that before a lot and know it's right. Think sometimes I like to buy those AH dips on most days, but not like today when there's nobody buying and every minute it was dropping until 8pm more and more... Like that advice though on selling into the HF buy orders in heavy fear, very simple to remember. That's how I could have looked at it to hold a little longer to get this rebound probably. This felt like liberation day, and I just have ptsd from that, when the dip kept dipping, things that looked like incredible dip steals turned out to only be the halfway points to the bottom. Etc.
sell sell sell so the HF's can take your shares on the cheap and pump in december
Speaking to your last point - it didn’t really work like that for me. I was the guy with during Covid with a $2k acct. I was making $50-60k in my job back then and was slightly removed from being paycheck-to-paycheck. I could save like $3-5k max every year. So my $2k acct went to $10k. I told one of my wealthiest buddies that I went 5x in 12 months. I was active in the market every day. He was not active in the market at all. He heard about me doing that and said “dude I will pay you 10% commission to do that for me next year and will have you manage $50k. If you get that to $100k I’ll give you $10k. Anything past that we can split 50-50.” Regardless of how ridiculous that would be on a retail traders desk, I declined because I didn’t want the responsibility and I told him my plays were not about wealth preservation. He said he was perfectly fine if I lost 50% of his $50k, he was going from growth and not retention. But he was interested because of my percentage gains. He saw that prototype, and wanted to apply it to more sizable wealth. If you can do 100% YoY for 5 years straight, you can get an IB or HF job on Wall St without a finance degree.
Yeah this goober doesn’t realize it works until it doesn’t unless he’s using a HF algo
In other news, My dead ass zombie stock, is somehow up 33.2%. This usually means a HF used it to cover with.
HF bot campaign, do not do it
Could be done. It's a good lottery ticket. The 'normalized' price if the shares are diluted by 300% would be the $2.01 / 3 so $0.67 which is in the ballpark of what the stock when down to. For me, I like the company, and the product is solid. However, the bond holders are NOT PE or turnaround groups; i.e. not long term holders. So they control the company now. Breakdown of Bondholder Profiles (Based on 13D/G Filings, Deal Terms & Market Behavior) |Holder|Type|Strategy|Evidence of Intent| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |D. E. Shaw Valence Portfolios|Distressed Hedge Fund|Active, restructuring-focused|Filed 13D (not 13G) → signals intent to influence. Known for distressed convertibles and event-driven bets.| |Wolverine Asset Management|Convertible Arbitrage / Distressed HF|Opportunistic, vol-driven|13D filing + history in BYND converts since 2023. Likely long volatility, short equity (hedged).| |Context Capital Management|Private Credit / Distressed Debt|Control-oriented, medium-term|5.2% stake via 13G, but part of SteerCo — signed TSA, got $12.5M premium in new notes. Not passive.| |Unprocessed Foods, LLC (and affiliates)|Ad Hoc Bondholder Vehicle|Likely fund-backed SPV|\~12.5% stake pre-close; SteerCo member, received premium. Name suggests special-purpose entity for restructuring.| |Other SteerCo Members (47% of notes)|Mix of HFs, CLOs, private credit|Control & exit|Locked in via Transaction Support Agreement (TSA) — committed to full exchange, board seats, governance changes.|
Bro it’s always the HFs and Market Makers. Always. Citadel has both a HF and acts as MM… you do the math.
HF manager went on tv yesterday saying her clients are asking when the next black swan event is and want liquid to capitalise, even the big dogs know something is brewing
I’m sidelined on fake meat. I’m just trying to understand how people roundtrip their ports at the top and think they know better than HF’s sitting on billions of assets, dry powder, tech, and personnel. All because of a legendary shart squizz that happens once a decade.
Every strategy that has a component that needs to be held more than a week i think starts to be out of the radar from algo and hi speed trading. A lot of prop firm and HF tends to close their positions overnight. For example im currently finishing a backtester to trade volatility with an automat : buying and sell options + hedging greeks. The options are 1 month expiry to 3 months and my greeks rebalancing is fairly slow so i think im under the radar. so my time window would be 1 week for algo trading
Shorts are trapped until they get let out. Stay in... add at dips. Smoke them out until they cover. HF's were buying ferociously to create this momentum downward (and pull paperbands into the fire.)
I am more than certain and tbh that’s good for us, so we can buy those other picks at discount again once we make the HF go bankruptcy 😂
When you see HF on Bloomberg saying apes are stupid
Pennystock paid mods removing anything related to BYND from this sub , shorts HF are in full panic attack mode
They banned capybara, took down all BYND posts, X is exploding with BYND, shorts HF are in full panic, this is getting big
Reminder: the stock is shorted 62% of the float. If this thing pops to a dollar suddenly, it runs. Just need some enterprising HF or bored multi millionaire to put in a buy order for like 5mil shares at $1-1.5 and this thing flies.
HF and whales watching wsb regards post and buy gld calls. “Easy puts.” 😂🫵🏼
Until HF decides to make money both directions. Pump it right after open to get out of calls while loading on puts and let it dump for puts to print.
Yknow what, I can kinda see that. The market wants to bleed so bad, but these HF and whales keeps pumping it every dips Him tweeting a tariff shit again tom will probably be the nail in the coffin. Or the market will be irrational as usual and give us mega green dildos tom. We’ll see. I have cash waiting for it
Just feel like a lot people feel bearish about it due to dilution. I think we need to hold it for at least a month or two, the longer we hold to more interest HF need to pay. Dont give up yet.
If these HF are so great, why didn't the majority of them beat the market? The majority of them aim to minimize draw down at the expense of run up. This is from the guy who didn't take the $350k + bonus offer from an investment firm. I get more than that sitting on my ass w/o all the silly restrictions.