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Made some okay investments - Thought someone may be interested?
Trade failure - Havent recieved money from selling 24 shares of LRCX. Please help.
Comeback so close. $TSM, $LRCX, $AMZN are my road to a better life
Lam (LRCX) light valuation: solid fundamentals, seems to be trading around intrinsic value
Help! AMAT / LRCX / KLAC- Which are good for the long term?
Big week coming here are my positions and thoughts
7 tech stocks that are most worthy of "cheap": Micron's forward price-earnings ratio is only 5.8 times
Most "good" stocks beat VTI over 5 or more years.
People who invested in commodities before the crash started this year, how did you realize it was the right time? Did you also have investments in tech before the crash? Did you sell them off before investing in commodities? Which commodity etfs/stock would you recommend to cope with stagflation?
AMD’s earnings outlook expected to give a clearer picture of where the chip sector is headed
I put together a list of the top 10 publicly traded semiconductor companies in the US. Which company's stock are you bullish on?
Managed to sell some LRCX puts at juuuust the right time.
Watchlist: US companies reporting this week
Great buying opportunities despite being down as much as $14k this morning . . .
Earnings season kicks off this week for chip stocks such as ASML, which could see increased volatility.Will chip stocks see a rally this week?
Cash in on Pelosi and the CHIPS and FABS Acts
Cash in on Pelosi and the CHIPS and FABS Acts
Premarket . . . Ready for take off (LRCX, BA, ATVI).
Why do some stocks with apparently strong fundamentals move sideways for years while others take off?
Long LRCX - Jan 2024 Calls $560 Strike Price - YOLO
Into the end of 2nd year of my investing career, I seek more guidance/advice from you.
Why I think people are sleeping on semiconductor tooling manufacturers.
Any chances $LRCX beats US$ 700 tomorrow? I think I am going to call it a loss.
Looking for "Chip Shortage" buys? Here are the companies that make the things that make the chips! ASML , AMAT , LRCX , KLAC
Why does Google finance show earnings beats and misses before the quarters? Example LRCX?
LRCX is the semiconductor play for 2021-2022
Ok I'm selling all my tech stocks. What stocks should I buy?
The growth/value rotation really takes hold over the next 1-3 months, with most cyclically sensitive names getting hit and inflationary/industrial/energy names showing relative strength.
After a long time . 10X and 8X on the same day . Thank you AMD and LRCX
Mentions
If LRCX can stay up and TSLA dumps, that would be great.
F $NOW, I got the choice between $NOW and $LRCX and I chose poorly
**Lam Research (Nasdaq: LRCX)** reported March quarter revenue of **$5.84 billion** and U.S. GAAP diluted EPS of **$1.45**. Gross margin was **49.8%** and operating margin was **35.0%**. Cash and equivalents declined to **$4.77 billion** from $6.20 billion, driven by capital returns, debt principal payments, and capex. For the June quarter, Lam guides revenue of **$6.60 billion ± $400 million**, gross margin \~**50.5%**, and EPS \~**$1.65 ± $0.15**.
$TXN Texas Instruments, 4:00 pm $CSX CSX, 4:00 pm $TSLA Tesla, 4:05 pm $LRCX Lam Research, 4:05 pm $LVS Las Vegas Sands, 4:05 pm $IBM IBM, 4:10 pm $NOW ServiceNow, 4:10 pm $URI United Rentals, 4:15 pm $MOH Molina Healthcare, 4:15 pm $HXL Hexcel, 4:15 pm $KMI Kinder Morgan, 4:05 pm
VM calls or puts for LRCX post earnings today
VM calls or puts for LRCX with earnings today
$LRCX Analysis - Earnings Today ❄️ COLD Stock - Historically moves LESS than the expected move The Setup: * Options: EXPENSIVE (IV running hot vs. typical Q2 levels) * EPS Trend: -86.65% YoY (declining hard) * PE Ratio: 53.49 (expensive for a chip equipment name under pressure) * Post-ER Range: Chaotic — direction is a coin flip Historical Behavior: * Stock RARELY touches the expected move (only 29% of the time all-time) * Magnitude averages -17% below what the market prices in * This specific Q2? Typically comes in 32% below expected move What This Means: The market is paying up for a move that historically doesn't come. When a COLD stock has expensive options, that's a double headwind for premium buyers. Structure > direction here. TL;DR: Cold mover, tends to undershoot. Expensive options = edge against buyers. Fundamentals ugly. Position: sold iron condor at expected move edges
VM $LRCX thoughts on earnings? I’m thinking way out the money calls
VM should I sell my LRCX shares before the market closes?
VM what do you think about LRCX
Why not? Watch people take profits once LRCX and VRT report
Started watching LRCX in 2021 at $6, got burned on other semiconductor stocks and never pulled the trigger. Closed at $267 today.
His analogy supports your comment he was replying to. You need the WFE that TSMC buys to create the processes required for producing NVIDIAs chips. I work for a WFE supplier. The supply chain runs deep. The analogy I like to use is a bakery. TSMC owns the bakery and they buy all the pots and pans (WFE) needed to make the cookie recipes (NVIDIA chips). TSMC is the bakery, companies like AMAT, LRCX and TEL provide all the pots and pans and NVIDIA creates the secret recipe needed for the tasty cookies
I see others say pull the $3k out, I wouldn’t do that. Buy Some Leap calls. Atleast 6 months out. LRCX, LITE, NVDA, WMT, COHR, MSFT Any of the Mag7 besides TSLA. Which ever one where you can get it close to the current price of the stock. Because these are either Down right now or are continuing to reach all new high’s because of Earnings and investments and Forecasted future earnings growth
Pretty much… BE, OKLO, NVDA, AMD, PLTR, CVNA, META, GLD, LRCX. The list of runups I missed is horrendous
ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC all gonna sink tmrw
helium is a real input cost for semis but the market isn't pricing it yet.. when it does, watch $AMAT, $LRCX, and $KLAC before you touch $NVDA
Of course when I bought LRCX it goes down lol
I sold my MU calls for a loss and it pumps afterwards I’m in LRCX now
Semiconductors are at bonker valuations right now. Both suppliers (ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC) and traditional chipmakers (AVGO AMD MRVL). NVDA is reasonable, memory stocks debatable if it's another boom bust cycle or permanent. A correction to semis would send the market tumbling. I think that may happen off the next Nvidia or Broadcom earnings.
Last earnings season they dumped big tech. This time they're gonna dump semiconductors when they all cut or issue unimpressive guidance. The PE on INTC AMD MRVL are bonkers + same with ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC (ASML probably best out of these though). Then NVDA earnings will be the ice on the cake and send the stock to the 140s. Look at NVDA graph, historically is due for a massive correction. Then probably bottom there and hit 200 in 2027. This is not financial advice.
Talking about AMD, MRVL, ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. Also MU is cyclical and will crash eventually. AI isn't magically making that different now.
Do I just ape into semiconductor suppliers? ASML probably will hit 1 trillion and AMAT/LRCX/KLAC will hit 500 billion at this rate within a year or two.
ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC is basically my entire long term portfolio
AEIS, AVGO, AMAT, MU, LRCX….just….beautiful.
Feels like ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC are all going to double by 2030.
Moving cash from HYSA to taxable brokerage. No immediate purchases planned but want to maintain some liquidity while focusing some capital towards growth and long term holdings. Wanting so capture some of the potential AI growth. Been educating myself via most available online tools but looking for thoughts, opinions and recommendations. TIA $77k Total 30% Cash - SPAXX Core 30% Treasuries - 50% SGOV - 50% USFR 40% Growth - 40% VOO - 20% SMH - 20% AMAT - 20% LRCX
We literally sell the equipment to TSMC regard. AMAT LRCX are American companies
If Musk is genuinely crazy enough to throw $20B-$30B at this just to try, doesn't that make the equipment suppliers the ultimate "picks and shovels" play? Even if TeraFab produces a 0% yield for 5 years, $ASML, $AMAT, and $LRCX still get paid upfront. If he actually starts issuing purchase orders, which equipment ticker do you think gives the best asymmetric upside right now?
Wow my $LRCX calls actually green
Lol yeah my long term holdings are 25% split 4 way among ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. I think they are the 4 most solid technology stocks to own right now.
At this point better to invest in ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC if you want exposure to semiconductors than NVDA/AVGO
Sorry LRCX bols I bought calls
Everything I bought has gone down and went up after I sold. Here is what happened, I bought $MU calls Friday so of course it eats shit today. Now I bought $LRCX calls
I got some LRCX ages ago that's been a star for me over the last 5 years. Looking at drone stuff now like Lantronix and Airo. Picks and shovels for me; I bet on mining happening, not individual miners winning.
I’ve averaged 18% since 2009. Mostly thanks to holding a lot of AAPL, LLY, LRCX and MU.
China can easily make a ballpoint tip. You keep underestimating China industrial capability. Making an EUV machine similar to ASML is hard but overtime and budget China will definitely capable to make one. Even none of US companies: AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, and others is able to make a similar EUV machine.
Yeah lol. Ignore the copers. LLMs are here to stay for the foreseeable future. MU, NVDA, ASML, LRCX, and TSM are all great options(heh) over a \~3-4-year timeline.
I think ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC aren't going to go down much even if the market correction continues. Together you could argue that they're the most important group of companies on the planet without which no chips and hence no technology could be made.
The only stocks that probably won't go much lower are ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. MU/SNDK/WDC/STX will depend on MU earnings tomorrow.
Exactly. I'm primarily a bull-call-spread type, so it's always fun to hear people telling me that I don't want to hold the positions to expiration. Um, yes, I do.... As a not-really-that-extreme example, the LRCX 180/185 spread that expires this Friday is just under ***7 spread widths ITM***, and is happily sitting there *not* closing at $4.95.
Memory (MU, SNDK, WDC, STX) and semiconductor suppliers (ASML, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC) have been straight up hulk dicking it while other stocks crumble
Hear me out; we are selling off not because of the Iran war, but because stocks were way overvalued in the first place and now we need an excuse to correct. And this is why you see certain sectors doing well ex. MU/SNDK/etc. and fab suppliers ex. ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC
The semiconductor equipment providers have been beat up pretty bad so buying the dip on KLAC, AMAT, LRCX etc.
You made this yourself right? [Here’s the actual figures.](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SJIM/performance/) And it was never an “inverse Cramer” fund. Tuttle did lots of these silly gimmick titled funds. An actual inverse Cramer fund would collapse almost instantly. You couldn’t have been fully short things like NVDA, CRM, AAPL, LRCX, HON and more during that year or you would have had your face ripped off. They just went long in things that they subjectively decided weren’t his favorites. And they tanked.
Been nibbling into more stocks today, just like of all the other days in March so far. Still pretty bullish. Besides a bunch of satellites, I made bought a LEAPS bull call spread on LRCX, and also a YOLO throwaway bet on the VIX collapsing (and thus the market returning to normal) by the end of next week.
Fuck you MMs The moment my $MU calls got anal fisted, it decides to pump and undo its entire dump The moment I bought $LRCX calls, it barely moves Fuck you MMs
Any hope for my LRCX June $220c’s?
The equipment demand being downstream of the chip demand point is legitimate and I should have addressed it more directly. The 'they sell equipment not chips' framing does gloss over the fact that if long-term chip demand growth slows, eventually the equipment cycle feels it. My counter would be that the current backlog at AMAT and LRCX is already locked in for 12–18 months, so the near-term impact is limited even if the long-term thesis gets complicated. The LNG / TSMC angle is one I hadn't fully connected and honestly it's more interesting than the export control story right now. If Asian spot LNG is getting squeezed and TSMC runs on gas, that's a direct operational risk that doesn't show up in the chip export narrative at all. Appreciate that, going to look at this more carefully.
the flip flop pattern is real and it's a fair point. this draft could get watered down or reversed entirely before finalization. but the China supply chain acceleration is actually part of why i'm more focused on equipment than chips right now. if China builds out domestic fabs regardless of what the US does, AMAT and LRCX still sell into that cycle. the restriction on finished chip exports doesn't touch the equipment layer the same way.
The equipment layer point is underappreciated. Export controls on finished chips don't touch the capital equipment cycle that supplies every foundry globally. AMAT, LRCX, KLAC sell into TSMC, Samsung, and the emerging Chinese fabs regardless of where the end chips ship. And TSMC's advanced node capacity is already committed years out. The real risk to watch is whether the licensing friction slows hyperscaler capex decision timing, not whether it kills demand. A delayed order is not a cancelled order, but it can mess with quarterly guidance in ways the market tends to overreact to short term.
the equipment companies are "neutral" framing is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. ASML just reported flat Q4 bookings and guided cautiously. if chip export controls tighten further, foundries outside the US reduce capacity additions, and suddenly ASML, AMAT, LRCX have fewer customers building new fabs. the whole "they sell equipment not chips" argument ignores that equipment demand is downstream of chip demand. also the "domestic demand is exempted so everything is fine" angle misses the bigger picture. the entire AI capex thesis depends on hyperscalers eventually monetizing that spend internationally. if Microsoft builds $80B worth of US data centers but can't fully deploy AI services in half the world because of restrictions on the underlying chips, the return on that capex gets harder to justify over time. honestly though, while everyone debates this export control draft, the actual underpriced risk to the chip supply chain right now is energy. Qatar's Ras Laffan going offline means Taiwan's LNG supply is getting squeezed hard. TSMC runs on gas. 60 days of reserves sounds comfortable until you realize Asian spot LNG just went vertical and every available cargo is getting outbid by desperate buyers. the intersection of the Hormuz energy disruption and semiconductor manufacturing is where i'd actually be looking, not some bureaucratic licensing framework that'll probably get watered down before it's finalized anyway.
I’d look to the semi-cap equipment companies instead who benefit so matter what. The LRCX, AMAT & KLAC
On the same day, March 23rd, MU, LRCX, AMAT, and GEV are being added to the S&P 100.
I sold Ter with a big profit. I dont feel like they will continue to move up. COHR and ONTO are great plays. I don't think either have reached their potential. LRCX and ALAB are also good picks. I own them all and they are on sale. I've held them for awhile but am in negative land with Onto and Lrcx. Ill continue to hold. My entire portfolio is wrapped around ai data center builds. I do not own Tsm or any stock that isn't owned in the US except CLS which has kicked my ass and I regret the buy but honestly think its a great stock in the but zone.
depends on your timeframe. if you are buying for 3+ years then ASML is the one i would look at first because they have a literal monopoly on EUV lithography and every chipmaker on earth needs their machines. the selloff is a gift if you have patience. TSM is the other obvious one since they manufacture for everyone and the geopolitical risk is already priced in more than it should be. for a more speculative play, LRCX and KLAC are the picks and shovels of the industry. avoid trying to catch the exact bottom. set a price you like and start a position, then add more if it drops another 10-15%. the semiconductor cycle is real and we are closer to the bottom than the top of this correction.
What does this mean for MU, LRCX and AMAT. I have seen addition to S&P 500 causing a jump in stock price, but not sure about S&P 100
MU, LRCX and AMAT please fly
I bought an ungodly amount of LRCX, POET and MTSI. Do _not_ fuck this up for me while I am sleeping.
The ETF has about $46b USD in AUM. When the ETF rebalances, it both buys and sells equities to the point where the percentages are at their new desired weights. But the total value is still about $46b. Of course as the market moves, the AUM moves. Hypothetically, if I had $10b worth of NVDA. And I sold $2b, and bought $1b AMAT and $1b LRCX, it's still $10b worth of assets composed of different mix.
Mine is about 35%, not because I intended it that way, but because my semis have gone up so much (NVDA AVGO are the 2 biggies). I don't feel the need to diversify out yet... because the companies are still growing with no end in sight. Here's the thing, semis were hot back starting in 2017-18-ish timeframe. That's because the world is moving more digital, electric, "smart" and connected - all of this grows the semi market - it's not just about AI. AI made it go exponential since big tech is trying to accelerate AI advancements with huge upfront capex spend. Just look at your charts for LRCX ASML CDNS AMAT ADI SNPS KLAC and many others - upwards since 2017.
I raise you within LRCX
Yea semis are a pretty obvious secular bull market too. They do still have a cyclical nature though. A company’s capex will eb and flow. But strong cybersecurity is increasingly mandatory. I’m long TSM and LRCX. TSM is probably one of the most important companies in the world. semis, payments (v/ma) and cybersecurity, have been my favorite sectors for a decade
MU, TSM, GEV, LRCX. Bought on Liberation day last April.
MEM7, don’t leave my boy LRCX out. Up 1,000% (on shares, I know I’m ghey)
I bought LRCX because goldman sachs said it's a good stock
They’re in the semiconductor equipment sector and may see growth if the current mania for chips continues. But looking at their financials, they have lower revenue and profit now than they did in 2022, and have in fact lost money every year since 2022. That seems bad, especially at a time when related companies like LRCX and AMAT have seen ballooning revenue and profits (and share prices). I would want to know exactly what is boosting the share price now before investing myself. I’m not seeing any reason for the rise in their numbers.
Money leaving Mag 7 for AI infrastructure building. My latest buys were CAT, APLD, AMAT. See also energy like GEV, NLR. Already loaded with LRCX, MU, SNDK.
There is a genuine reason to think buying software stocks right now is a good idea. The market is fueled by narratives and the narrative about AI replacing software companies is complete BS. When an entire industry is getting hammered that’s an opportunity to buy high quality names in that industry. If it was just one company I’d question it, but it’s not. Good luck buying semis at all time highs though, you clearly aren’t very educated on what happens when they do that. Go look at the historical valuations of equipment names. Something like LRCX trading at a 50 PE is not sustainable. [Bubble](https://imgur.com/a/J2NOFUf)
Glad I bought the dip on the hardware layer of SNDK, LRCX, and KLAC. It feels like the market wants to shake people out of those. But after seeing VRT earnings which I also hold my conviction is higher that the AI cycle isnt over yet.
Coreweave, if they can pull off their debt fueled expansion will be a beast. NBIS, NVDA, LRCX, MU, GEV, MSFT
I called MU and LRCX as this year’s winners. I’m sticking with them. I called VRT for the last two years and they’ve gone up tremendously. I have a 99% chance of being wrong like everyone else though, but when you talk about growth stocks that bring in real revenues and have a strong outlook, these fit the narrative.
LRCX, MU, and a little bit of SNDK for me.
I'm remaining heavily invested in the 'AI ecosystem' (WFE equipment, semiconductors, data centers, electric grid buildout and - increasingly - robotics). But I have a high risk tolerance. I view this as an opportunity. I'm buying more shares of companies like VRT MPWR PWR ETN MU AVGO LRCX. They will all invest from the higher than expected capex from Amazon and Google. Some software has become an opportunity - EDA software (SNPS and CDNS) and cybersecurity stand out, though cybersecurity has already been in a downtrend).
Do not panic. Do not make any rash decisions. Relax, if you're young then time is on your side. Don't be like me and sell LRCX at $70.
SOXX below $300 and then load up on KLAC, LRCX, and AMAT.
I haven’t owned META in a long time, and I don’t see the point in booking profits in other holdings like NVDA and LRCX to buy GOOG (which is already 9% of my portfolio).
I actually did lmao. MU and TSM. Will likely sell LRCX during the next pump.
My LRCX positions were down over 50% and I kept buying. Up 125% now.
LRCX...bought it around 2020
ASML, Applied Materials, LRCX, KLAC, Tokyo Electron are an oligopoly in this space. Pick one and hold as TSMC, Samsung, Micron, Intel, etc. depend on their tools to produce microchips.
Wild LRCX hasn’t been mentioned here
Right now: * Memory: SNDK WDC STX MU * Semi: LRCX TER ASML Keep in mind that I swing trade. So if semi's take a shit then I could avoid for a few days
Here are the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 through the first month of 2026 🥇 Sandisk $SNDK +143%🟢 🥈 Moderna $MRNA +49%🟢 🥉 Seagate $STX +48%🟢 Micron $MU +45%🟢 Western Digital $WDC +45%🟢 Lam Research $LRCX +36%🟢 Lockheed Martin $LMT +31%🟢
Its also good. But the reason I chose LRCX and KLAC. KLAC boasts the highest operating margin among the group at 41.8% LRCX has a solid margin of ~33.0%, higher than AMAT's ~29.9% and ASML's ~18.8%,
Buy and hold. Also, SNDK, WDC and LRCX
Meanwhile MU and LRCX each up about 60% in the last three months. Maybe people are starting to think the Mag 7 have gotten to be a little too magnificent for their own good.