PPI
Investment Managers Series Trust II
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3.6k to 43k in a week. Got lucky and got SPY puts when it peaked. PPI announced and was deep in the money.
Is there anyone who holds or entered bullish positions today?
Mentions
Whatever happen to the one PPI or PCE print where it was shockingly high as fuck the everyone and their families bought puts while the market gave no shits? I want one of those tomorrow
It certainly is, but sentiment drives us more than valuation at the moment. That just leaves a bigger gap to fill and increased risk. However, descent jobs data and rate cuts pretty locked in. Just can't have an outrageous CPI or PPI.
So we getting CPI/PPI for Oct/Nov on Dec 12 right and Jpow meeting also on Dec 12
Cooked PPI numbers coming in on Tuesday
oil price and ferrtilzier price would crater. Countries that were previously threatened with secondary sanction for buying russia oil would ease. PPI would likely drop, chinese product might start routing through russia to us to avoid tariff. Cause for some reason the reciprocal tariff doesnt apply to russia. So oil producer would get kill, while their down stream user would gain. I guess short exon, long soybean and cattle since they are unlikely to lower their price to the consumer but can now user cheaper fertilizer and energy transport cost. Wallet all that as profit.
lowest consumer confidence since liberation day, big retail sales miss, PPI meeting high expectations. PUMP IT
PPI surprised with .1% today. That isn't prominent inflation.
Core PPI came in at .1% today. Inflation is waning. The greater risk is to the economy now.
that gap to 600 had to fill. i think September PPI good or bad would have dropped it some.
so it appears that PPI was a nothingburger
All data combined today came in ugly. Every major component is flashing warning signs: ✅ Labor market: Deteriorating rapidly✅ Consumer: Spending falling, confidence collapsing✅ Manufacturing: Deep contraction (Richmond -15)✅ Services: Now contracting too✅ Business confidence: Inventories frozen at zero✅ Housing: Prices falling, though pending sales had a bounce BUT: Inflation still sticky at 2.9% core PPI YoY
Yeah considering the PPI numbers, I think that V was a trap
you should try zooming out, then reading todays PPI report, then deleting the app. hope that helps 🫡
PPI Sept 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PPI Sept Ex food and energy 0.1%, Exp. 0.2% PPI Sept 2.7% YoY, Exp. 2.6% PPI Sept Ex food and energy 2.6%, Exp. 2.7%
good PPI gives fed more of a reason to not cut LOL
Peace treaty, PPI, Rate cuts Where the fuck is my 2% day
Core PPI less than estimate. Pump!
QQQ shruging that algos dump on PPI release 🤹
Well obviously not core PPI because that is hardly relevant (excludes too much). 0.3 MoM PPI with a decline in sales points to a stagflation with CPI above target. That might not allow for much more than the december rate cut. Oh and this is data for Sept, so already outdated.
Bol r fuk. Retail poor, PPI up, ass up, face down
PPI confirms cash is for fools.
**Increased likelihood of another 25-point rate** || || |**Retail Sales (Headline)**|**Consumer**|**+0.4%**|**+0.3%**|**Beat (Stronger)**| |**Retail Sales (Ex-Auto)**|**Consumer**|**+0.5%**|**+0.1%**|**Beat (Stronger)**| |**Retail Sales (Control Group)**|**Consumer**|**+0.7%**|**+0.3%**|**Big Beat**| |**PPI (Headline Y/Y)**|**Inflation**|**1.8%**|**1.6%**|**Hotter**| |**PPI (Core Ex-Food/Energy)**|**Inflation**|**+0.2%**|**+0.2%**|**In Line**|
**Increased likelihood of another 25-point rate** || || |**Retail Sales (Headline)**|**Consumer**|**+0.4%**|**+0.3%**|**Beat (Stronger)**| |**Retail Sales (Ex-Auto)**|**Consumer**|**+0.5%**|**+0.1%**|**Beat (Stronger)**| |**Retail Sales (Control Group)**|**Consumer**|**+0.7%**|**+0.3%**|**Big Beat**| |**PPI (Headline Y/Y)**|**Inflation**|**1.8%**|**1.6%**|**Hotter**| |**PPI (Core Ex-Food/Energy)**|**Inflation**|**+0.2%**|**+0.2%**|**In Line**|
Core PPI is correlated to PCE, Fed is cutting in Dec. Market rally just switched into turbo pump.
So, PPI data is better than expected; but QQQ still turns RED, LMAO
US SEPT. PRODUCER PRICES RISE 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.3% US SEPT. PRODUCER PRICES RISE 2.7% Y/Y; EST. +2.7% US SEPT. CORE PPI RISES 0.1% M/M; EST. +0.3% US SEPT. CORE PPI RISES 2.6% Y/Y; EST. +2.7% Im late
Lowe PPI means better chance for rate cuts
PPI should be released in 5 minutes.
True but it was specifically today, I was wondering if it had anything to do with PPI
Means PPI will come in as expected or lower
probably will be obvious by open. . . especially with PPI adding more arguments for both sides.
PPI data released at 8:30am EST will send all bools into shambles. You have about one hour left, to get out and avoid the rug pull. Besides, QQQ is hitting the top of a strong downtrend channel; a pull-back is expected.
You would wonder why part of Fed had been hawkish recently. PPI is gonna be a rug-pull, get out while you can.
Our portfolios will be saved by a bogus PPI. Taco has his puppet in charge of the BLS.
Is there any way I can model what the market is pricing in before data releases? Specifically PPI in this case, I want to try and understand if the market is expecting it to be under, over or inline ahead of a data releases. If anyone with a brain can please let me know, I would appreciate it lol
If PPI comes in cool we fking moon gents
Y’all reckon under expected PPI is priced in?
I beg PPI comes under expected. Gimmie a rate cuts
If PPI comes lower than expected (est is 0.3%), would that be a bullish sign due to potential rate cut?
PPI bad = rate cuts = still pump
The markets say we have 82% chance for a rate cut which should mean that PPI can only be neutral or bearish since we basically priced in the rate cut
"sir what would you like us to put in today's retail and PPI numbers"
PPI data coming out today??
PPI is usually nothingburger compared to CPI
PPI not too bad. CPI dice roll.
Surprised nobody’s talking about PPI tomorrow What’s the sentiment?
Today PPI news Time 6:30 pm
Thoughts on PPI tomorrow?
Last week, Buffett bought Google and NVDA good Earning and today TACO announce "Launches the Genesis Mission". It means that the government now fully support A.I. so the fear of A.I Bubble decreased alot. Plus, chance of rate cut for December jump from 70% to 84% today. It was below 40% last week. Tomorrow PPI will be release about 1 hour before the market open and if it's good then we'll keep pumping. In other words we're slowly on our way to our yearly 🎅 Rally.
Any whisper on PPI data that's gonna come out tomorrow?
I dont need them to have PPI, I need them to cut rates and say that outlook is soft landing
Imagine they just are like no PPI, we don’t have the data.
Future is not gonna move any way until PPI is out tomorrow.
Nah, that is the case with employment numbers, but if PPI comes in "bad = hot," it means rate cut bets decrease, stocks plummet.
It's going to be close to that at open after PPI
PPI tomorrow. What we thinking? Guessing it can't be too bad because they didn't cancel it.
Of course PPI is going to cancel out every gain by open
I think were cooked. PPI data being released tomorrow I believe. Could swing things. But Google is mooning after hours right now. I’m very tempted to roll into a call with a longer DTE with a higher strike price even if it means taking a hit.
Key Events This Week: Tuesday: - September PPI inflation - September retail sales - November CB consumer confidence - October pending home sales Wednesday: - US Q3 2025 GDP - September durable goods orders - September PCE inflation - September new home sales Thursday: - Markets closed for Thanksgiving Friday: - Markets close at 1 PM ET
🟩 𝗘𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗰 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 TOMM #815ᴀᴍ ADP Employment #1000ᴀᴍ Consumer Conf #830ᴀᴍ Core PPI #1000ᴀᴍ Pending Home Sales #830ᴀᴍ Retail Sales #1200ᴘᴍ Atlanta Fed GDPNow #915ᴀᴍ Industrial Prod #100ᴘᴍ 5-Year Note Auction
Okay, dipshits. I'm only going to say this once. Investing.com site or app has a calendar. You can set it to only have US stuff. You can add other countries if you want. You tell it your tone zone and it tells you when things are happening for the week. CPI, PPI, Rate decisions, Fed members talking. It even has three bull heads next to each thing to tell you how much of a potential market impact it will have since none of you will know what any of it means. Use it and stop asking when everything is going to happen. Also, fuck you.
PPI 8:30 am is the big one, I think new home sales is also in there
will be a big day for futes, PPI 🚀🚀🚀
🥭 putting the health care subsidies back on. 6800+ tomorrow after PPI
PPI tomorrow at 8:30? Will that confirm rate cut?
Delayed data from aug/sep plus PPI
NVDA red MSFT red Don’t worry the rest will come down. Nothing changed from last week. Worse news coming. PPI tomorrow.
tomorrow is PPI. . . fearing this could be another negative catalyst.
Can we hold off on the pump until tomorrows PPI pretty please
Tuesday is make or break day. PPI data coming in. Please be cooked and make rate cuts propability 80%+
Key Events This Week: 1. September PPI Inflation data - Tuesday 2. September Retail Sales data - Tuesday 3. October Pending Home Sales data - Tuesday 4. US Q3 2025 GDP data - Wednesday
watch tuesday PPI report from sept come in lower than expected and rate cut odds jump back over 90% and everybodys calls print! even tho that still doesnt tell the fed where we are currently at! man its good to be bol!
PPI and ADP employment change on Tuesday, PCE and Unemployment changes on Wednesday. Let's get some more 1%-3% swings this week.
Can we please get a bad PPI tomorrow and price in 0% of rate cuts and get done with the downtrend until Thanksgiving ? So we comeback stronger later and no rate cuts for December is no suprise?
"...what types of stocks do you guys typically trade?" **SPX**. That's all. Boring as heck I know. Same drill everyday. 8:00AM (ET) - 9:00AM (ET) Asian market review (closed), Europe market review (mid-day), US market review (premarket) including Futures market activity and prices, upcoming economic reports (especially FOMC, FED, Jobs, PPI and CPI reports), upcoming earnings reports, world and domestic news that may affect the markets. 9:00AM (ET) walk the dog (she insists). 9:30AM (ET) Market opens, watch for credit spread opportunities. Enter first trade at 10:00AM(ish), Sell 0DTE credit spreads, using repeating patterns (on the VIX, VVIX, & VIX1D), same strategies (10 Δ short position, 3-5Δ long position,) 2-3 strikes wide, ***collect profits*** at 4:00PM (ET). 4:00PM (ET) Follow SPX options prices until the 4:15PM (ET) close then end of day review. Repeat all that the next day. # Δ
modest green candles in last 10 mins after UK CPI/PPI came in below estimates.
"BLS now says CPI and PPI are -100,000% with healthcare basically free. I've made America great again! And now TIPS holders will now be required to PAY the TIPS TARIFF for ripping off the American people. They've been screwing us for so long under Biden. He's the worst president ever. I never sucked Bill Clinton's dick but if I did it would have been way better than Hillary's BJ. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER."
looks like we rise because no PPI . . . yet
PPI and CPI still releasing today?
In how much time will PPI be released today?
Is PPI being released today?
Well that all depends on the PPI numbers tmrw. If they come in hot the market is fucked. In they come in mild then growth is back on the menu baby
Apparently we have PPI and retail sales
i think the unemployment rate is not going to be released but PPI CPI will be in one or two weeks, thats the critical part. fomc cares more about inflation numbers than labor numbers from what they've indicated in their speeches. if inflation numbers look good we will get a small cut
Everyone else gets PPI, you just get PP
I think could be a -3 if PPI is not good
Donny and the boys better cook that fucking PPI
Speeches from 1 voting and 2 non voting fomc members, which are leading indicators to what the fed is thinking. Long story short, getting a cut in December is looking like a tall order barring a miraculous PPI report tomorrow because at least half the committee thinks inflation is too high