TIME

momodemom

As an ex-bear, THANK YOU MR BEZOS GIVING MY BOOTY SOME TIME TO RECOVER

portfoliorating

BOTH AT THE SAME TIME

imstaringataplant

just yolod my entire gambling acct into rddt for earnings, then yoloing into the dumb rklb dip, and then yoloing into the asts dip...I WILL TIME THIS!!!

Towerbythebay

Half of the time I went to Chipotle they'd tell me I could only get 2 scoops of rice and nothing more. I've had different managers give me a different answer EVERY OTHER TIME I went. I would have to argue with a sales worker to get 1-2 extra scoops of rice. It wasn't worth it and I stopped going because its wildly disrespectful.

JustLurkCarryOn

BYND GETTING READY TO RUN NOW IS THE TIME TO GET IN. 🚀 Lmfao jk y’all still holding are fucked.

BigIce7944

WTF VIVK raing from the dead BIG TIME..thats a surprise

Extreme-Direction-78

China won long ago! USA has a literal traitor criminal who has ZERO ability to negotiate! TACO EVERY FUCKING TIME!

OrdinaryMix4013

#breaking: TACO and Great Leader Xi announce another FRAMEWORK and TICK TOCK DEAL DELAYED FOR THE 20TH TIME

Strong_Razzmat

I thiiiink its tomorrow at 11am AMERICAN TIME est

powerboner

Is Chyna meet Thursday EASTERN TIME or Thursday SOUTH KOREA TIME aka now?

isospeedrix

The ONE TIME i don’t get meta puts

CRAZYJOEDAVOLA90

GOOOOGLEEE THIS TIME it’s Google who pumps and Microsoft and Meta who dumps

Full_Boysenberry_198

THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY - JPow

sailortyx56

POWELL: MUCH OF THE TIME THE LAYOFFS ARE ABOUT AI; YES IT COULD HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR JOB CREATION [](https://x.com/DeItaone/status/1983609660042330359)

unhappyreach_

WHAT TIME IS

STFUNeckbeard

Bears really are the same as the cultists calling the apocalypse every few months and then somehow doing mental gymnastics for the 30th time about how THIS TIME it’s for real lmao

Jerikolol

DONT FUCK UP GOLD THIS TIME. Dont talk about it in public, stick to the Signal group. If someone asks you about gold just say you dont know, its possibly in a correction, digesting its earlier gains. Do NOT talk about the chart. Deflect to AI/semis "have did u see NVDA, pretty crazy keynote yesterday right". We got a second chance goldtards, lets not fuck it up again.

TheFutureIsAFriend

"Thanks to the low ratings, far-left, extremist ANTIFA terrorism, my everlasting peace, which was working perfectly, has been interrupted. But worse than that, someone spilled the beans about SNAP being cut, and so, again, ANTIFA doing what it can to make me look bad. SAD! Stock indexes are at ALL TIME HIGHS, yet the liberal media says the economy is in a shambles. DON'T BE A SUCKER! Now is a great time to buy stock! THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!"

Galaxy_AI

Whatever they say. I think 🥭 is doing exceptionally well. The US stock market is experiencing its highest rise ever; each day marks a new all-time high. BEST STOCK MARKET OF ALL TIME.

cheddarben

Just wait guys... tomorrow rates will be cut because inflation has gone up .7% in the last 6 months and unemployment is going up! Also, we are looking down the barrel of a framework of a plan that may happen, maybe. ALL TIME HIGHS!!!!

Maximum-Magazine-333

Imagine this fat bastard drops the “ITS A GREAT TIME TO BUY, DONT MISS OUT” tweet 1k spy eoy

fatitude

Love it. 1. Explain why when I search the CEO's name, William B. Horne, it's a bunch of fake articles. The same type of articles you see from fake gurus that pay to be "listed in Forbes" or "interviewed by TIME magazine." 2. Where is their hyperscale data center? When was it purchased? Why do I see other businesses operating out of their "data center" when I streetview the address? And yes, the streetview is years after they acquired it.

spellbadgrammargood

no one can beat NVDA's CUDA... TIME TO BUY AMD AND QUALCOMM

NativePlant870

CNBC: MARKET CLOSES AT ALL TIME HIGH FOR THE 1000th DAY IN A ROW AS INVESTORS SHAKE OFF TARIFF FEARS.. I want to get off the ride

jer72981m

THERES STILL TIME GET IN NOW! Going to $100!!!!!!!!

CoolWerewolf

Warren Buffett still sitting on the sidelines like a stupid retard TIME TO RETIRE OLD MAN

_FIRECRACKER_JINX

I am stuck in GLD too. WHY IS IT DUMPING THIS TIME

Overall-Fold-9720

Ok, but THIS TIME it will rip Right ?

i_dont_like_turnips

So here is what happens: 1. You die. My condolences.to your loved ones. 2. If you have a joint account WITH RIGHT OF SURVIVORSHIP, (WROS) the investments pass seamlessly to the surviving joint owner/owners. 3. If you have an individual account, with a defined TIME OF DEATH BENEFICIARY (TOD) the assets in your account immediately becomes available to that time of death beneficiary when they produce your death certificate. 4. If you do not have the above, the assets will become part of your estate and will be handled as part of probate court with all of your other assets. A will controls this. The downside is probate and liquidating the estate can take years. So if you have enough invested that people in your family are relying on distributions from the account for day to day life you want to avoid this as much as possible. Your will can control what happens in probate, but it does not guarantee how things will actually roll out. All creditors need made whole first or else the estate will be liquidated to ensure they get paid. My parents will was more or less ignored because creditors had to be paid first by the estate which required everything be liquidated, essentially making the will worthless. That is easily possible with any death that entails significant medical cost of in patient care. I capitalized the important features above to look for. Probate can be brutal and you really want to avoid it as much as possible.

Sharp-Direction-6894

Type * ! banbet TICKER - PRICE / PERCENT CHANGE - TIME FRAME * Remove the space between ! and banbet Examples: ! banbet SPY $700 2d ! banbet NVDA -3% 2 weeks

starwarsjunkie7

I mean, I've gotten 60% last year in my Roth buying Tesla at the lows, and I got AMD at the lows this year and am sitting at 57% currently...so yeah, I can sustainably earn over 50%, lol. Then again, I look at charts all the time and learn balance sheets ALL THE TIME in my free time. So yeah, I've earned 50% per year. Forget money managers who only earn average market returns. Use a Roth and buy great assets at CHEAP prices! I happily pay our money manager 1.5% out of my annual 50+% because he helps me hold the stocks and not sell them. Now, if this were a bear market, it would be a different story, but I ONLY buy big in major market corrections...and most don't even understand the concept of a correction, let alone knowing what to buy when a market actually corrects. I've earned my damn 50% per year.

WallStreetInvestor98

🚨Setting Up for a Potential Short Squeeze Ahead of Earnings + FDA Catalyst🚨 🧨 Short Interest: 15.4% of float 📈 Utilization: ~95% (almost maxed out) 💰 Borrow Fee: ~90–110% (shorts paying big $$$ to stay in) 🔥 Avg Volume: 11.5M shares / day 💎 Float: ~65M (low float = fast moves) Shorts are cornered — it’s expensive to hold, and shares are drying up. If earnings or FDA pipeline updates surprise to the upside, we could see a quick squeeze back toward that $2 zone it hit last winter. RVPH tends to run in Q4, and this setup looks eerily similar. RVPH has: ✅ 15% short interest ✅ 90%+ borrow rate ✅ 95% utilization ✅ Earnings Nov 13 ✅ FDA drug catalysts in play If good news drops, shorts might get roasted. Keep it on your watchlist 🔥 CALLS ARE CHEAP $0.13 PER CONTRACT JANUARY 16 2026 AND IT WENT UP ON FRIDAY BE 19% FALL/WINTER TIME IT USUALLY PUMPS 26k OPEN INTEREST COMPARISON TO BEYOND THIS HAS POTENTIAL TO GO HIGHER THAN THAT ESPECIALLY IF YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION THE FDA APPROVAL COMING UP

WallStreetInvestor98

🚨🚨You guys should look into RVPH CALLS ARE CHEAP FOR JANUARY 16 2026 GOOD DELTA EXPOSURE WITH GOOD GAMMA EXPOSURE AND IN THE FALL-WINTER TIME IT RUNS GOT EARNINGS IN 20 DAYS PLUS FDA CATALYSTS🚨🚨

d3g4d0

He'll no you're not cooked. Give it one month. Look at other short squeezes. They take TIME

Seauxregard

BYNDtards hear me! Sell for a loss (ffs if youre up sell wtf is wrong with you?!) and get in ASST right now. AND SELL AT $5 THIS TIME

Lapidated_Llama

Made 1000 with gold on Wednesday and I lost it already. Back to my portfolio AT TIME LOWS of 72.5k. Nothing makes sense

thomasv_a

This is some bullshit, I bought at 3 held to 2.2 waited a fucking hour the MINUTE I FUCKING SOLD IT STARTED PUMPING LIKE A MF I WAS AVERAGING DOWN THE WHOLE TIME MY BREAK EVEN WOULDVE BEEN 2.60 FUCK YOU GAY MEAT

MutaliskGluon

negative jobs numbers, inflation above target, credit cracking, trump increasing global trade tensions FUCK IT ALL TIME HIGHS WEEEEEEEEEEE

BackstrokingInDebt

So I just spend a few nights running through a Roth and trad analysis. We went a little deep than conventional wisdom on it (tax rate now vs when you retire) and went well deeper into late retirement and estate. My advice is get out and excel sheet and work out the scenarios because it’s more complicated than “I’m retiring at 65”. Since you have 1M in pretax, you may have similar assumptions variables as I had. High levels: - everything you already heard to death. Traditional (calling it T) pay taxes at distribution as income. Roth (R) pay tax at current rate and gains tax free - R is tax free and not subjected to distribution rules after 65 - T there is an RMD to consider at 73 (75 after 2033) - additional variable to consider “how much is my pretax lump sum 10 years after retirement” - current rate is about 1/24 of your lump sum to be distributed 75 - if you’re in a scenarios of accumulating to 65 then modest retirement withdraw until RMD then you could be looking at a pretty high tax bracket. - there’s an additional benefit to consider then which is Roth is not subjected to rmd and there are benefits to convert at the RIGHT TIME…if you’re in a period of reduced income then you can do a conversion at a lower tax bracket. Basically it means you need to do in-depth research or seek some consultation and plan it out because….its actually pretty complicated…you’re in the mo money category now.

BladeFireQ

Is this the equal of "ITS A GREAT TIME TO BUY"?Maybe calls it is

Onlypizzafans69

Naaah, let the idiots lose their money. I enjoy reading all the delusional posts about gme, bbby, now fake meat, and how NOW IS THE RIGHT TIME TO BUY!!

blakebendeck

It's TACO TIME BABY. My PUTS ARE RDY!!!!

Troy31_

Leave it alone then. You need to be ok with owning for a day to a few months at most! Don’t chase bad stocks over juicy premium. Chase good stocks and descent premium or sell during earnings but make sure you do research on the anticipated move and sell just below that💪🏽👍🏽 If you do it right, the stock will go up and you can buy back the option quickly for half of what you sold it for. Get out and look for another trade! Only focus on good stocks that have been beat down that day … like 5 percent or more! Don’t buy it until the last few minutes of the trading day. I only do weeklies as TIME DECAY is on our side.. Good Luck and this is information people pay for… but I’m not about capitalizing off of retail traders ONLY BIG COMPANIES!

_jviews

I mean….this is a company that could grow IN TIME. I respect the turn quick mentality, but this seems like something worthy of holding and watching for at least the end of the year.

eska089

“BEYOND MEAT ANNOUNCES RELEASE AT 5:00 P.M., NEW YORK CITY TIME, OF LOCK-UP RESTRICTIONS ON SHARES THAT WERE EXCHANGED FOR EXISTING CONVERTIBLE NOTES IN ITS EXCHANGE OFFER” October 16, 2025 https://investors.beyondmeat.com/news-releases/news-release-details/beyond-meat-announces-release-500-pm-new-york-city-time-lock

prana_fish

Bro, most of Big Tech pits internal groups against each other ALL THE TIME. The politics with internal competition is often an eye opener to fresh grads lmao.

Hussle_Crowe

But THIS TIME bro

White_Sugga

Those that feel they missed it, NOW IS YOU TIME TO SHINE

SemenSlayer9000

MEAT TIME 

eggplant_parm827

Another wasted day for Bears. Same thing EVERY SINGLE TIME. You will never learn that the drops are bullish and they trigger the V.

Lapidated_Llama

TIME TO RUN IT TO ATH’s

No-DD-Just-Vibes

SQUEEZE MY MEAT 🥩!! MEAT MEAT MEAT 🥩🥩🥩 BEYOND THE MOON 🌕 TIME TO SQUEEZE THOSE HEDGIES 👔 CANT STOP WONT STOP 📈 BANBET EOW 100000000000 🤑🤑🤑 I LOVE EATING VEGAN MEAT SUBSTITUTES 🥕 IMAGINE NOT FULL PORTING 🤌 ITS CALLED A SHORT SQUEEZE 🍋☝️🤭 # The only meat you're gonna get is the one behind Wendy's dumpster, get fucked you retards 😎

Buff_me_plz

How is this market boring as shit AND CRUSHING MY NUTS AT THE SAME TIME?

BlackKnightsOptions

Ok most profits locked in. THIS TIME I WON'T CHASE MORE TODAY Unless we get a circuit breaker on SPY. Then I'm going balls deep on puts when it reopens 

Kokypup

Someone said shorts liquidate in 2-3PM ET today, TIME TO BUY MORE

Tim_Wick1

Someone needs to let me know when these things start. I buy at the peak EVERY SINGLE TIME! I am like William H Macys character in 'The Cooler'.

tripstermcgee808

FIRST TIME? Thank you for your attention to this matter!

fire_alarmist

WTF WHY CANT SPY JUST REJECT ATH 7 TIMES AFTER BEING FAKE PUMPED UP TO IT 7 TIMES WITHOUT IT GOING DOWN!!!!??? WTF SPY WAS ABOUT TO GO HIGHER BRO JUST LET IT TRY AN 8TH TIME ITS NOT FAIR. Dunce

xTooGoDLy

HOLD STRONg THERE SIY TTICKS WOMT EORK ON US THIS TIME!

mrzoccer00

BROOO BREAKS RESISTANCE AND CRASHES A 3rd TIME YOU CANNOT MAKE THIS SHIT UP

hoff4z

TIME to gtfo bynd

Cultural-Self9015

Going to 2 $ AIRE TIME $$$

Temporary_Ad_1573

Got 3k more to add to BYND, fuck them hedgies, fuck them big companys making money off of us retailers. ITS TIME TO SHOW THEM WHAT WE CAN DO WITH DETERMINATION! 

Conscious-Novel-8936

Dude I missed the hype by 3 days… got in at $1.04 and it started to crash but got out at $.90. Watched it go to .60 and was contemplating on buying it back because I just had a hunch (before all the hype came out)… Monday morning it went from $.60 to to $1.50 give or take so I looked on Reddit and saw all the hype and luckily got in when I did… I’d be throwing fists in the air if I sold at $.90 and never got back on 😅 IM HOLDING IT THIS TIME!!! 🚀🚀🚀

No-DD-Just-Vibes

It's just shaking off the paper hands. # THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! 😎

connsmythe97

Don’t sell shit. ALL TIME HIGH is what we want!!!

MOONTOANDROMEDA

“THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY $GLD $SPY!!!” -TACO Apr 4, 2025.

Secure-Fly6213

BOTTOM IS IN. GOLD CALLS ENTRY TIME. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

Overall-Fold-9720

You could count 🥭's hair on the TIME picture

derpyou

Alright, let me be brutally honest with you because I've watched too many people learn this lesson the expensive way. #Your Sample Size is a Joke September 9 to October 17, 2025? That's maybe 27 trading days. You're basically saying "I tested my parachute by jumping off my couch 27 times and it worked great!" You know what didn't happen in your testing period? * Federal Reserve surprise rate decisions * Major bank failures (like SVB in March 2023) * VIX spikes above 35 * Flash crashes (August 2024's Japan carry trade unwind hit 6% intraday) * Earnings surprises from mega-cap stocks that move SPY 2%+ * Geopolitical shocks (remember when COVID first hit and SPY had multiple 5-10% days?) Your backtest caught the market equivalent of "sunny with light clouds" weather. Cool. Now what happens during the hurricane? The Math is Hilariously Bad Let me break down what you're actually doing here: "both wings together cost only 10% of the Premium that we collected" So you collect $2.78 in premium, spend $0.28 on protection. That means: * Maximum gain: ~$2.50 per contract (minus $6 fees = $2.44) * Maximum loss: Depends on wing spacing, but looking at your purple lines, it's probably $15-50+ per contract You're risking 20-30x your maximum gain. This is literally the definition of a negative expectancy trade. You need to win 95%+ of the time just to break even over the long run. And spoiler alert: you won't win 95% of the time when volatility comes knocking. Look at your own equity curve - you're grinding out $50-150/day profits, but those purple max-loss lines show potential $1,000+ losses. One bad day wipes out 2-3 weeks of gains. #Why This Strategy Has a 100% Historical Failure Rate This isn't theoretical - this EXACT strategy (short vol, collect premium, minimal protection) has destroyed countless traders and funds: * OptionSellers.com (2018): Professional fund that sold options. Lost clients $150 million in a single November day when natural gas spiked. Guy had to release a crying YouTube video apologizing. * LJM Preservation and Growth Fund (Feb 2018): Down 82% in THREE DAYS during the Volmageddon event. $1+ billion fund, gone. * XIV ETF (Feb 2018): Short volatility ETF, lost 90%+ overnight and was liquidated. People had their entire retirement accounts in it. The pattern is ALWAYS the same: 1. Make steady profits for months (just like your backtest) 2. Get confident, increase position size 3. Volatility event hits (happens 1-3 times per year) 4. Lose 6-12 months of profits in a single day 5. Either blow up completely or quit #The Real-World Execution Problems ###Bid-Ask Spreads Explode During Volatility Your backtest probably uses mid-prices or last-traded prices from Yahoo Finance. In reality: * Calm market: SPY 0DTE spreads might be $0.05-0.10 per leg * Volatile market: Spreads widen to $0.25-0.75 per leg When you need to exit a losing position at 3:45pm because SPY just dropped 1.5%, you're paying the ASK to close your shorts and hitting the BID to sell your longs. That's $1-3 per contract in slippage across all four legs. On a $2.78 credit, you just lost 40-100% of your profit to slippage. Your backtest doesn't account for this. ###You Can't Exit When You Actually Need To At 3:55pm on a volatile day, try getting filled on a 4-leg iron butterfly at reasonable prices. Market makers KNOW you're desperate. They'll quote you garbage. Your options: * Eat massive slippage (50%+ of your credit) * Let it expire and pray SPY doesn't land near your strikes (pin risk) * Get assigned and wake up Monday with positions you didn't want ###Yahoo Finance Data is Garbage for This "This Data is collected via Yahoo Finance" Yeah, no. Yahoo Finance options data is notoriously bad because: * 15-minute delay means stale prices * Shows last traded price, not real-time bid/ask * Doesn't capture the actual order book depth * Many strikes have zero volume and stale data The reason CBOE DataShop costs $2,000 is because it's REAL exchange data with actual quotes. Your backtest is like planning a road trip using a map from 1995. ###Pin Risk Will Destroy You You're trading 0DTE that expires at 4:00pm. If SPY closes anywhere near your short strikes (within $0.50), you have massive pin risk: * SPY closes at $580.05, your short call is $580 * You get assigned on the call (now short 100 shares) * Your $582 long call expires worthless * Monday morning SPY gaps up to $582 * You just lost $200 per contract overnight This happens ALL THE TIME with 0DTE and it's not in your backtest. ###Margin Calls at the Worst Possible Moment At 3:45pm, SPY drops 1%. Your position shows a $2,000 unrealized loss. Interactive Brokers sees you're under margin requirements and force liquidates your position at market prices when spreads are widest. You don't get a choice. You don't get to "wait it out." They close you out at the worst possible prices, locking in your loss. This is literally in IB's margin policies - they can liquidate without notice. What Your First Real Month Would Look Like Days 1-8: 1. "Holy shit! I'm making $100-150/day! This is amazing!" Total: +$1,000 2. Day 9: Small loss, SPY moved 0.8% in last hour. Close at -$350.Total: +$650 Days 3. 10-15: Back to winning. Confidence restored. Total: +$1,500 4. Day 16: CPI data comes in hot. SPY drops 1.5% in 30 minutes at 2:00pm. You try to close but spreads are 5x wider than normal. You panic. Close for -$1,800.Total: -$300 5. Days 17-20: Reduce size, scared. Make tiny gains. Total: +$100 6. Day 21: FOMC announcement. SPY volatility explodes. Your shorts go deep ITM. Margin call. IB liquidates you at terrible prices. Final loss: -$2,500 Account blown by 25% in less than a month. #The Statistical Reality Check You need to backtest through these periods (at minimum): * March 2020: COVID crash, SPY moved 5-10% daily * February 2018: Volmageddon, VIX 15→50 overnight * August 2024: Japan carry trade unwind, SPY dropped 3% in minutes * March 2023: SVB banking crisis, massive intraday swings * All of 2022: Constant 2-3% daily moves in bear market I guarantee your strategy would have multiple -50% to -100% drawdowns in those periods. Not because the strategy is bad in theory, but because the risk/reward is fundamentally broken. The Warning Signs You're Ignoring Your own equity curve is screaming the problem at you: * Small consistent gains: ✓ (classic premium selling) * Occasional larger losses: ✓ (classic blow-up pattern forming) * Maximum loss WAY bigger than maximum gain: ✓ (terrible risk/reward) * Short time period: ✓ (haven't seen a real volatility event) This is textbook "works until it doesn't" strategy. What You Should Actually Do If you're dead-set on doing this: 1. Backtest 2020-2025 minimum 2. Paper trade for 3 months - Not backtest, LIVE paper trading to feel real execution 3. Risk max 1-2% per trade - If your account is $10K, risk $100-200 max 4. Skip high VIX days - If VIX > 20, don't trade that day 5. Have mechanical stop loss - Close at -3x max gain, no exceptions 6. Don't trade around events - No trading on FOMC, CPI, NFP days But honestly? Just don't do this. The math doesn't work. You're picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. The Bottom Line Truth Your backtest shows this works when: * Markets are calm ✓ * Volatility is low ✓ * No major news events ✓ * SPY moves less than 1% ✓ Cool story. What happens when any of those conditions change? Because they WILL change. Regularly. The question isn't "can I make money in calm markets?" It's "what happens when the market isn't calm?" Answer: You lose 10-20 days of gains in one trade. Then it happens again a month later. Then you quit with a blown account. I'm not trying to be harsh - I'm trying to save you money. This strategy has a 100% failure rate over long enough time horizons. It's not if you blow up, it's when. If you have $10K and you're willing to lose $3-5K learning this lesson the hard way, go ahead. But don't say nobody warned you when you lose 6 months of profits in a single Thursday afternoon because Powell said something unexpected. The graveyard of retail traders is paved with profitable short-vol backtests. Good luck, you're gonna need it.

Icy-Stock-5838

No one will shed a tear that Jensen is making a few billion less.. He can always surrender Taiwan to CCP if he wants China market so much.. For too long the world got addicted and fooled by China profits.. It's TIME to do the RIGHT THING, DeRisk from China..

JimboD84

Canada here. The trust wont come back once trump is gone either. Not for a while anyway. You guys elected this guy a SECOND TIME. Now we know that even if the next prez is good, we can always be just 4 years (or less) away from another trump being elected and trashing everything. Fool me once….

Ok_Currency_6390

Dumb and wrong. What, you forgot that nuanced exists? Guess what: You can be both bullish and bearish AT THE SAME TIME 🤯 Do I think the S&P 500 is a fundamentally good investment? OBVIOUSLY NOT. It's an absolutely ridiculous investment vehicle from a valuation perspective. But, when you see it drop sharply, and considering it's massive price insensitive bid, I bought the fuck out of that thing on the way down. Here's something: I was making money with gold and the S&P 500 at the same time this spring, all while screaming about the coming inflationary bubbles

Impressive-Bee-5183

Alright, let me be brutally honest with you because I've watched too many people learn this lesson the expensive way. Your Sample Size is a Joke September 9 to October 17, 2025? That's maybe 27 trading days. You're basically saying "I tested my parachute by jumping off my couch 27 times and it worked great!" You know what didn't happen in your testing period? * Federal Reserve surprise rate decisions * Major bank failures (like SVB in March 2023) * VIX spikes above 35 * Flash crashes (August 2024's Japan carry trade unwind hit 6% intraday) * Earnings surprises from mega-cap stocks that move SPY 2%+ * Geopolitical shocks (remember when COVID first hit and SPY had multiple 5-10% days?) Your backtest caught the market equivalent of "sunny with light clouds" weather. Cool. Now what happens during the hurricane? The Math is Hilariously Bad Let me break down what you're actually doing here: "both wings together cost only 10% of the Premium that we collected" So you collect $2.78 in premium, spend $0.28 on protection. That means: * Maximum gain: ~$2.50 per contract (minus $6 fees = $2.44) * Maximum loss: Depends on wing spacing, but looking at your purple lines, it's probably $15-50+ per contract You're risking 20-30x your maximum gain. This is literally the definition of a negative expectancy trade. You need to win 95%+ of the time just to break even over the long run. And spoiler alert: you won't win 95% of the time when volatility comes knocking. Look at your own equity curve - you're grinding out $50-150/day profits, but those purple max-loss lines show potential $1,000+ losses. One bad day wipes out 2-3 weeks of gains. Why This Strategy Has a 100% Historical Failure Rate This isn't theoretical - this EXACT strategy (short vol, collect premium, minimal protection) has destroyed countless traders and funds: OptionSellers.com (2018): Professional fund that sold options. Lost clients $150 million in a single November day when natural gas spiked. Guy had to release a crying YouTube video apologizing. LJM Preservation and Growth Fund (Feb 2018): Down 82% in THREE DAYS during the Volmageddon event. $1+ billion fund, gone. XIV ETF (Feb 2018): Short volatility ETF, lost 90%+ overnight and was liquidated. People had their entire retirement accounts in it. The pattern is ALWAYS the same: 1. Make steady profits for months (just like your backtest) 2. Get confident, increase position size 3. Volatility event hits (happens 1-3 times per year) 4. Lose 6-12 months of profits in a single day 5. Either blow up completely or quit The Real-World Execution Problems 1. Bid-Ask Spreads Explode During Volatility Your backtest probably uses mid-prices or last-traded prices from Yahoo Finance. In reality: * Calm market: SPY 0DTE spreads might be $0.05-0.10 per leg * Volatile market: Spreads widen to $0.25-0.75 per leg When you need to exit a losing position at 3:45pm because SPY just dropped 1.5%, you're paying the ASK to close your shorts and hitting the BID to sell your longs. That's $1-3 per contract in slippage across all four legs. On a $2.78 credit, you just lost 40-100% of your profit to slippage. Your backtest doesn't account for this. 2. You Can't Exit When You Actually Need To At 3:55pm on a volatile day, try getting filled on a 4-leg iron butterfly at reasonable prices. Market makers KNOW you're desperate. They'll quote you garbage. Your options: * Eat massive slippage (50%+ of your credit) * Let it expire and pray SPY doesn't land near your strikes (pin risk) * Get assigned and wake up Monday with positions you didn't want 3. Yahoo Finance Data is Garbage for This "This Data is collected via Yahoo Finance" Yeah, no. Yahoo Finance options data is notoriously bad because: * 15-minute delay means stale prices * Shows last traded price, not real-time bid/ask * Doesn't capture the actual order book depth * Many strikes have zero volume and stale data The reason CBOE DataShop costs $2,000 is because it's REAL exchange data with actual quotes. Your backtest is like planning a road trip using a map from 1995. 4. Pin Risk Will Destroy You You're trading 0DTE that expires at 4:00pm. If SPY closes anywhere near your short strikes (within $0.50), you have massive pin risk: * SPY closes at $580.05, your short call is $580 * You get assigned on the call (now short 100 shares) * Your $582 long call expires worthless * Monday morning SPY gaps up to $582 * You just lost $200 per contract overnight This happens ALL THE TIME with 0DTE and it's not in your backtest. 5. Margin Calls at the Worst Possible Moment At 3:45pm, SPY drops 1%. Your position shows a $2,000 unrealized loss. Interactive Brokers sees you're under margin requirements and force liquidates your position at market prices when spreads are widest. You don't get a choice. You don't get to "wait it out." They close you out at the worst possible prices, locking in your loss. This is literally in IB's margin policies - they can liquidate without notice. What Your First Real Month Would Look Like Days 1-8: "Holy shit! I'm making $100-150/day! This is amazing!"Total: +$1,000 Day 9: Small loss, SPY moved 0.8% in last hour. Close at -$350.Total: +$650 Days 10-15: Back to winning. Confidence restored.Total: +$1,500 Day 16: CPI data comes in hot. SPY drops 1.5% in 30 minutes at 2:00pm. You try to close but spreads are 5x wider than normal. You panic. Close for -$1,800.Total: -$300 Days 17-20: Reduce size, scared. Make tiny gains.Total: +$100 Day 21: FOMC announcement. SPY volatility explodes. Your shorts go deep ITM. Margin call. IB liquidates you at terrible prices.Final loss: -$2,500 Account blown by 25% in less than a month. The Statistical Reality Check You need to backtest through these periods (at minimum): * March 2020: COVID crash, SPY moved 5-10% daily * February 2018: Volmageddon, VIX 15→50 overnight * August 2024: Japan carry trade unwind, SPY dropped 3% in minutes * March 2023: SVB banking crisis, massive intraday swings * All of 2022: Constant 2-3% daily moves in bear market I guarantee your strategy would have multiple -50% to -100% drawdowns in those periods. Not because the strategy is bad in theory, but because the risk/reward is fundamentally broken. The Warning Signs You're Ignoring Your own equity curve is screaming the problem at you: * Small consistent gains: ✓ (classic premium selling) * Occasional larger losses: ✓ (classic blow-up pattern forming) * Maximum loss WAY bigger than maximum gain: ✓ (terrible risk/reward) * Short time period: ✓ (haven't seen a real volatility event) This is textbook "works until it doesn't" strategy. What You Should Actually Do If you're dead-set on doing this: 1. Backtest 2020-2025 minimum 2. Paper trade for 3 months - Not backtest, LIVE paper trading to feel real execution 3. Risk max 1-2% per trade - If your account is $10K, risk $100-200 max 4. Skip high VIX days - If VIX > 20, don't trade that day 5. Have mechanical stop loss - Close at -3x max gain, no exceptions 6. Don't trade around events - No trading on FOMC, CPI, NFP days But honestly? Just don't do this. The math doesn't work. You're picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. The Bottom Line Truth Your backtest shows this works when: * Markets are calm ✓ * Volatility is low ✓ * No major news events ✓ * SPY moves less than 1% ✓ Cool story. What happens when any of those conditions change? Because they WILL change. Regularly. The question isn't "can I make money in calm markets?" It's "what happens when the market isn't calm?" Answer: You lose 10-20 days of gains in one trade. Then it happens again a month later. Then you quit with a blown account. I'm not trying to be harsh - I'm trying to save you money. This strategy has a 100% failure rate over long enough time horizons. It's not if you blow up, it's when. If you have $10K and you're willing to lose $3-5K learning this lesson the hard way, go ahead. But don't say nobody warned you when you lose 6 months of profits in a single Thursday afternoon because Powell said something unexpected. The graveyard of retail traders is paved with profitable short-vol backtests. Good luck, you're gonna need it.

Impressive-Bee-5183

Oh man, I've seen this movie before and it doesn't end well. But let me give you the brutal honest truth since you're asking for realism. ## The Elephant in the Room: Your Sample Size is Basically Nothing You tested from **September 9 to October 17, 2025**. That's like 25-30 trading days, maybe? Dude. That's not a backtest. That's a *vibe check*. You need to see this strategy through: - Major Fed announcements (FOMC, CPI, NFP) - [VIX spikes above 30-40](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.VIX) - Flash crashes (like August 2024's Japan carry trade unwind) - Circuit breaker days - Election results - Bank failures - Random Trump tweets that move markets 5% **Your timeframe literally caught none of these.** You backtested during what looks like a relatively calm period. That's survivorship bias on steroids. ## The Math That Will Kill You Let's talk about your risk/reward here: > "both wings together cost only 10% of the Premium that we collected" So you're collecting $2.78 in premium and spending $0.28 on protection. That means: - **Max gain per trade:** ~$2.50 (after fees) - **Max loss per trade:** Could be $20-50+ depending on strike spacing You're risking **10-20x your max gain** on EVERY trade. This is the textbook definition of "picking up pennies in front of a steamroller." Look at your equity curve - you're making $50-150 per day but your purple max loss lines show you could lose $1,000+ in a single bad day. **One bad day wipes out 10-20 good days.** ## Real World Issues ChatGPT Missed **1. Pin Risk is Your Worst Enemy** You're trading 0DTE options that expire at 4pm. If SPY closes near your short strikes (say within $0.50), you have **massive pin risk**. You might get assigned on one leg but not the other, leaving you with a huge overnight position you didn't want. Example: SPY closes at $580.05, your short call is at $580. You might get assigned on the call (now short 100 shares per contract) but your long call at $582 expires worthless. You're now naked short shares overnight. If SPY gaps up Monday morning, you're fucked. **2. Bid-Ask Spreads During Volatility** Your backtest uses historical mid prices. In reality: - Normal market: 0.05-0.10 spread per leg = $0.20-0.40 slippage per butterfly - Volatile market: 0.20-0.50 spread per leg = $0.80-2.00 slippage per butterfly When you need to exit a losing trade fast, you're paying the ask on your shorts (to close) and selling at the bid on your longs. **That slippage could eat 30-50% of your premium collected.** **3. You Can't Always Exit When You Want** At 3:58pm on a fast-moving day, good luck getting filled on all four legs at reasonable prices. The market makers KNOW you're desperate to close and they'll quote you garbage prices. You might have to: - Eat massive slippage - Let it expire and pray - Get assigned and deal with the consequences Monday **4. The Real Fee Structure** You said $1.50 per contract on Interactive Brokers. But there's more: - Regulatory fees (exchange fees, OCC fees, SEC fees) - Assignment fees if you get exercised - Margin interest if you get assigned and hold overnight Real all-in cost is probably closer to $2-3 per contract, so $8-12 per butterfly. That cuts your small winners even smaller. **5. Margin Calls Will Liquidate You at the Worst Time** Let's say SPY drops hard at 3:45pm. Your account shows a big unrealized loss. Interactive Brokers sees this and says "your margin is insufficient" and **forcibly closes your position at market prices** right when spreads are widest. You don't get a choice. This happens ALL THE TIME with 0DTE traders. You get margin-called out of positions at the worst possible moment. ## The Historical Precedent: This Strategy ALWAYS Blows Up Eventually Go look up: - **OptionSellers.com** (blew up in 2018, lost clients $150M) - **LJM Preservation and Growth Fund** (down 82% in February 2018) - **Rogue Wave Capital** (similar short vol strategy, destroyed) These were professional funds with PhDs and millions in capital. They all ran variations of "sell options, collect premium, it's free money!" **They all blew up.** The pattern is always the same: 1. Make consistent small gains for months/years 2. Get overconfident, increase position size 3. Black swan event hits 4. Lose 50-100% of capital in one or two days 5. Fund closes, lawsuits begin ## What Would Actually Happen in Your First Month of Live Trading **Week 1-2:** "Holy shit this is working! I'm making $100-200/day!" **Week 3:** Small loss day, -$300. "That's fine, still up overall." **Week 4:** Another small loss, -$250. "Variance is normal." **Week 5:** CPI comes in hot. SPY drops 2% in 30 minutes. Your shorts are now deep ITM. You try to close but spreads are 10x wider than your backtest assumed. You close for -$2,000. **You just gave back 3 weeks of gains in one trade.** **Week 6:** You reduce size, scared. Make smaller gains. Confidence slowly returns. **Week 8:** Fed announcement. SPY moves 3% in the last hour. You can't exit fast enough. Margin call. IB liquidates you. **Final loss: -$5,000 on a $10,000 account.** ## The Data Quality Issue You're Ignoring > "This Data is collected via Yahoo Finance" Yahoo Finance options data is notoriously bad for backtesting because: - It shows the last traded price, not real-time bid/ask - It doesn't show the actual quotes available when you'd need to trade - It doesn't capture the bid-ask spread widening during volatility - Many strikes have stale prices or no trading volume [CBOE DataShop](https://datashop.cboe.com/) costs $2K for a reason - it's the actual exchange data showing real quotes. Your backtest is built on data that doesn't reflect what you'd actually face in live trading. ## The One-Month Timeframe is Laughable You need to test this through: - The COVID crash (March 2020) - SPY moved 10% daily - The Volmageddon event (February 2018) - VIX went from 15 to 50 overnight - The August 2024 Japan unwind - SPY gapped down 3% in minutes - The SVB banking crisis (March 2023) - The 2022 bear market with constant 2-3% daily swings **I guarantee your strategy would have blown up the account in ANY of those events.** Go get free data from somewhere and backtest 2020-2025. I bet you'll see your equity curve has multiple -80% to -100% drawdowns. ## What You Should Actually Do If you REALLY want to trade 0DTE: 1. **Test on 5+ years of data minimum** 2. **Paper trade for 3 months first** (not just backtest, actual live paper trading to feel the executions) 3. **Size tiny** - risk only 1-2% of account per trade, MAX 4. **Have hard stop losses** - close at -3x your max gain, no exceptions 5. **Skip high-volatility days** - if VIX > 20, don't trade 6. **Don't trade around major announcements** (FOMC, CPI, etc.) 7. **Have an exit plan BEFORE entry** - know exactly when you'll close But honestly? **This strategy is a ticking time bomb.** The math is against you. You're selling insurance with terrible risk/reward. Eventually, the crash comes, and it wipes you out. ## The Bottom Line Your backtest shows this works in calm markets. Cool. Everyone knows that. The question isn't "does this work when markets are calm?" It's **"what happens when markets aren't calm?"** And the answer is: you lose big, fast, and without warning. If you have $10K to trade with and you're okay losing $5K+ in a single day for a chance at making $100/day, then go for it. But don't say nobody warned you. The graveyard of retail traders is filled with people who had profitable 0DTE backtests. **TL;DR: Your backtest timeframe is way too short, you're not accounting for tail risk, the risk/reward is terrible (risking $1000 to make $100), and this strategy has a 100% historical failure rate over long enough timeframes. It WILL blow up your account eventually.** Anyone else here blown up an account on short premium strategies? I'd love to hear war stories.

SF_1_

Rare earth stock is not anywhere near done folks. Don't let the profit taking selloff by Wallstreet Scum scare you and flush you out of your positions. Washington is going to invest BIG TIME in rare earth material wit or witout Cina, especially US based companies.

SweetEffort8250

BUY CALLS when vix is low/ falling. Buy PUTS when vix is rising/ high and stable. THIS IS THE TIME TO BUY CALLS. VIX IS FALLING HARD

JusGimmieMyMuuuhney

Bears 😂🫵🏻 CONGRATS TO ALL DIP BUYERS…. AGAIN FOR THE MILLIONTH TIME THIS WEEK

LizzieBuzzy

Setup weekly auto-investing into ETFs that cover the NASDAQ and the S&P. I like SPY and QQQ. By weekly investing, you are maximizing your cost averaging ability. Buying a home, in a good location with good bones and then paying off that mortgage as a goal. This will enable you to really crank up your investing money. Always max out employer 401k offerings to get that company match. Just stay consistent and know there's hard times in life and in investing. No worries though as consistency and TIME in the market is your best friend, plus compounded interest and DRIPs.

regardedbulll

Every time this shit market does the opposite of me EVERY FUCKING TIME

Key_Abroad7633

Lmaooo all dips get bought in seconds it’s free money EVERY SINGLE TIME

AirportMaterial5917

Theta gang be like: TWO BAD BITCHES AT THE SAME DAMN TIME AT THE SAME DAMN

Individual_Error_428

Retard elites, IT’S TIME TO DEPLOY

No-DD-Just-Vibes

You're not ready for this one yet, but: # THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!

themid99

It’s SUDOKU TIME!!! 🥷

FireMaster1294

It’s incredible - normally I cut profits early. But this ONE TIME I decide to let my winners run, Trump makes ONE TWEET and tanks everything

TECHSHARK77

I've been in the Stock Market & I've worked many jobs, I chose Stock Market EVERY TIME. 😁

Due_Economist6866

why havent I been buying GLD THIS WHOLE TIME?!

TheBigFrank666

V TIME i guess

Old-Cantaloupe-1711

GOOD TIME TO dump AMD longs I was in at 164 SELL NOW BEFORE PLUMMET TO 100

XstraCrispy

Trump: “ITS A GOOD TIME TO BUY CRITICAL MINERALS”

GetDaCrypto

Reposting because haters downvote this instantly (which probably means someone doesnt want YOU to read it): Someone here just said BURU is a "wannabe" defense company...which is false and a stupid argument.l considering NUAI just pivoted too lol. Read this so you guys get educated 👇 BURU isn't a defense "wannabe" company. They are a legitimate defense company now with over 60 patents who recognized their real value is in military defense. A well-respected former Director of Defense is even representing them. Companies big and small pivot ALL THE TIME or expand their use case like BURU is doing. 👉 Look at NUAI...they just pivoted too and they went from 40 cents to almost 5 dollars in 1 month. Now BURU is going to do something very similar. Just watch (or buy it now under 40 cents and learn to hold for more than a few days so you csn actually make money).

GetDaCrypto

Someone here just said BURU is a "wannabe" defense company...which is false and a stupid argument.l considering NUAI just pivoted too lol. Read this so you guys get educated 👇 BURU isn't a defense "wannabe" company. They are a legitimate defense company now with over 60 patents who recognized their real value is in military defense. A well-respected former Director of Defense is even representing them. Companies big and small pivot ALL THE TIME or expand their use case like BURU is doing. 👉 Look at NUAI...they just pivoted too and they went from 40 cents to almost 5 dollars in 1 month. Now BURU is going to do something very similar. Just watch (or buy it now under 40 cents and learn to hold for more than a few days so you csn actually make money).

GetDaCrypto

Don't listen to this guy NoRhubarb...he just proved he's a child with no understanding of how companies actually work. BURU isn't a defense "wannabe" company. They are a legitimate defense company now with over 60 patents who recognized their real value is in military defense. A well-respected former Director of Defense is even representing them. Companies big and small pivot ALL THE TIME or expand their use case like BURU is doing. Look at NUAI...they just pivoted too and they went from 40 cents to almost 5 dollars in 1 month. And BURU is going to do something very similar. Just watch.

pseudo_rockstar

Chant it with me: ALL TIME HIGH

dhx020

QSI going to $5 before EOY IT'S TIME!!!

asher030

Well maybe, here's a thought, if they stopped seeing profitable stocks rising because of retail support, and immediately go in their head "MIGHTY MORPHIN SHORTIN TIME!!!11!!!1" and try their damnest to burn the bridge out from those in the middle of actively building it...they'd have better returns. Why tf would you bet against the house and complain when you lose just because you're a selfish little shit that can't stand to see others do well? Makes no sense. 0 sympathy. Go after UNH, they deserve it. "Nah, better to go after safer bets, wait why isn't it going down, why do they keep buying more?!" And yes, the shortshits will downvote this hard, too bad. Stop being selfish and intentionally trying to undermine everyone else, we won't have a problem

TigerWooded

As soon as things start to happen TACO TIME!!!

CoolWerewolf

Time to make Taiwan the 51st state YOUR TIME IS COMING CHINA YOU FUCKS

pseudo_rockstar

Bers, you disgusting fucking retards, hope you are ready for ALL. TIME. HIGH!!!