TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Mentions (24Hr)
-44.44% Today
Reddit Posts
+TLT -selling near term OTM covered calls for steady income - good strategy?
On what timeframe does the bond market price interest rate changes in?
What do you guys think? SQQQ and TLT?
Inherited a bit of money, any good advice?
Thoughts on buying TLT now that JPow said rate cuts are on the table?
Risk free and guaranteed high return investment?
TLT Options Play / FED Cut Early Mid 24? / Vix Low
Is it the right time to invest in long-term bonds?
Is there a way to realize gains in one stock and move those realized gains into another stock without being taxed?
Investing in a treasury bond ETF a good idea? Please advise and don't make me talk to boomers at r/bonds
Why long-duration, low-coupon treasury bonds are about to return 25%
Why would a long term investor buy stocks rather than long term bonds, currently?
Potential 6 Month Trade on TLT Targeting >14% Annualized Return
what's the point of tlt if it's just as volatile as stocks
TLT covered call(buy-write) will yield around 14%. Is this a good place to park money I won't need for 3 years?
I made a free theta gang options group. Trying to build a community of non degenerates
Just made a 10K loan to gamble in bonds
Oil Tanker Stock Investors vs TLT Bag Holders
Powell will Powell the Economy + Bond ETFs for 🏳️🌈 🐻
Powell will Powell the Economy + Why I'm buying TLT as a 🏳️🌈 🐻
how to maximize Exposure to interest rate movements with bonds ?
Rates are not high and the market is not crashing especially when Apple is still near ATH and not $120.
Generational buying opportunity on TLT
How Do Bond ETFs Work, and What Happens to the Principal at Maturity
Why is the yield and SEC 30 day yield of TLT so different? Which one tells you the annualized rate of the next dividend?
Find most correlated stock to TLT (treasury bond)
10Y Bonds at 4.8% Are Attractive,Especially Now
What if WSB could ignite the spark that sends $TLT parabolic?
Expected moves this week: SPY, QQQ, TLT, USO and earnings from Citi, JP Morgan, Wells and more.
With the sky high Bond Yields would it be a good idea to buy US Treasury Bond ETFs right now?
$70k Puts QQQ: The World Will Burn Edition
Is it finally, finally, finally time for TLT / long dated treasuries?
Are TLT Leaps so cheap they are worth it?
30 year US treasury yield is much better than TLT which has avg maturity of 25 years
Considering Long Duration Bonds as an Opportunity
Is TLT Hitting its Bottom? My Play for the Upcoming Rebound.
Putted 20k in bonds and down -20%
Looking for a Simple Backtest Analysis to Do. Any Ideas?
Wall Street Newsletter S03E02: Four Research papers from Jackson Hole Symposium 2023.
How to get rid of my trading habit to invest properly! Fear of losing the money!!
Doesn’t need to make sense needs to make money
Boomers Getting Flushed With Their "Balanced" Portfolios
Why is TLT still falling despite disinflation, looming recession fears and China deflation (exporting it to RoW).
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 14th, 2023
Increasing order of risk. IEI < HYG < JNK < TLT 😂
Just sold all my VOO and QQQ to put 90% in TLT and 10% in Bitcoin. Am I dumb?
Mentions
I sold half my $SQQQ position today when the $QQQ hit 600. We will most certainly have a relief rally. The question is whether we will put in new ATH's. I believe we already had a blow-off top once $NVDA hit $5T market cap last week. You could also mark J-Pow not promising a December 025 bps cut as the blow-off top. I will be waiting to add to $SQQQ and once again short $NVDA once the bulls start burning their cash BTD in this Sam Altman AI bubble. If you are a long term buy and holder, DCA into $SCHD, $TLT, or $GLD. Even $RSP would be a better choice than the $SPY or $QQQ. But stay away from reddit's fave Sam Altman stocks.
I work at Wendy's. TLT has a nice ticker, rolls off the tongue. It's yielding over 4%, and we're surely headed into some rate cuts. Good nuff for me.
Might be TLT and chill time boys
sold to open TLT puts at 9:57, been ripping since then
My TLT calls are ITM. The more SPY dumps, the more TLT is pumping. But don't want to get greedy.
Long term gov bonds. Yields higher than all of the above and are ultra safe. They appreciate i value as rates drop fed usually drops rates in a recession. So you both get high yield, and appreciation in underlying asset. TLT baby!
TLT is massively underperformed my expectations all things considered. Fuck the government, embrace anarchy.
Apparently TLT puts a week ago was the play. 92p's from 10/28 - 11/5 woulda been $0.54 -> $2.70 sold yesterday at close.
i think it’s liquidity issue? people shit on Treasuries ETF TLT. it’s the new safe heaven.
congrats to GOOGL and TLT for being green today
I have CALLs, but they're in UVXY and TLT.
This has been a very profitable day. I cashed out a 20% gain shorting $NVDA, my $SQQQ position finally turned green, my largest position $TLT finally caught a bid and gold is just flat doing gold's thing. Now I just need to remember to buy some popcorn tonight so I can watch this drama again tomorrow : )
You want a **short-term** treasury fund. >TIP (iShares TIPS Bond ETF) Crashed hard in 2008 because CPI cratered and Lehman was the largest holder of TIPS at the time and dumped them all to raise cash. Also took a beating in 2022 from the rate hikes because intermediate duration (6 years). Both of these things are visible on TIP's full chart (why do people not look at charts?). A **short-term** TIPS fund like VTIP/STIP will have less volatility. VTIP/STIP returns have been better than BSV (nominal treasuries + investment grade corporates) in recent years because higher inflation. >AGG (iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF) Not short-term. Treasury holdings will keep it stable tho. Longer duration treasury funds have "crisis alpha" -- they *rise* in value during deflationary shocks. See the performance of TLT or EDV during 2008, Covid, or even this past April for an example. But they are not short-term. Only put in money you don't need for a long time.
Bears are gay and puts are un-American, that's why I have VIX and TLT calls today.
Thinking of 1DTE TLT $89.50 calls. But TLT often screws me over.
Ytd corn almost as flat as TLT
I reinforced my diagonal spread on SLV. If it drops, I sell. If it crabs, I hold and let theta win for me. If silver drops to 42ish, I'll probably sell my monthly puts, check the orderbook, and buy some monthly calls. 42.5 seems to be my entry point. I will write new covered calls for TLT. The puts have saved me from the worst of bagholding, and I should be able to DCA my way into more shares.
if we tank TLT coming with us
If TLT is only going up cause markets are down then this is only a short term push by TLT
TLT soaring I'm gonna be snoring good tonight
Read up on the 4 year crypto cycle before you buy any. Historically, it doesn't V after the dump (i.e. crypto winter). I like TLTW instead of TLT for the 15% yield. I'm an older investor (Gen X, not boomer), and I've learned, as hard as it is to do, sometimes it's best to sit on your hands and wait it out. We always return to historical averages.
Not really but I am))What do you guys think about the market? I really feel that it’s a good time to put some money into the crypto market because it’s overall down 20–30%, and maybe buy a bit more gold since it went from 4,500 to 4,000 even with the rate cut (also, the TLT price isn’t really moving because the real interest rate is kind of the same since inflation is high). But I really don’t get why the S&P 500 and the stock market in general are at all-time highs over and over again. I’m afraid that if I invest now in crypto, for example, and the stocks crash, everything will go down by a lot. I’m also afraid that if I don’t enter now, I’ll miss another rally in the crypto and gold markets. What do you guys think?
What do you guys think about the market? I really feel that it’s a good time to put some money into the crypto market because it’s overall down 20–30%, and maybe buy a bit more gold since it went from 4,500 to 4,000 even with the rate cut (also, the TLT price isn’t really moving because the real interest rate is kind of the same since inflation is high). But I really don’t get why the S&P 500 and the stock market in general are at all-time highs over and over again. I’m afraid that if I invest now in crypto, for example, and the stocks crash, everything will go down by a lot. I’m also afraid that if I don’t enter now, I’ll miss another rally in the crypto and gold markets. What do you guys think?
TLT and short QQQ. Metals have run-up too much already. TLTW has a nice divi so you get paid to wait, if your port is large enough for that to matter.
#Also added 40,000 TLT, I see Rate cuts get slash where JPO wants to or not!
the only options are; real estate, treasuries of various duration, gold, or corn....and corn is imploding so it's not the last option. TLT ticked up today so that could be the rotation just for today tho...I don't see how long term treasuries are a good pick during a time rates are being cut while inflation is reanimating.
Anything long duration tbh. I use TLT but I'm sure other etfs are better or just as good
only safe assets right now is TLT and short/puts. Metals ran up too much. If the market really tanks (15%+) then metals should do fine
Market falling, yields dropping, and inflation doesn't seem to be as bad as predicted, is the trifecta for a TLT pump. I like TMF and TLTW (for fat divi)
TLT to $92 by end of week. Reality continues to set in and yields continue to fall.
Real estate and TLT/TMF are the only things green that I see. Metals had too big of a run recently to be a hedge now. BTC never was a good hedge
TLT might be the only good thing to hold for the next month or 2
The manufacturing numbers were horrific. Producers overstocked, no one buying from the states. Can only imagine unemployment numbers are equally horrific. The move in yields is the wrong one and I’m buying more TLT. Rates need to be cut asap.
I actually followed him into an inflation based play quite a few years back that was genius, something about shorting TLT because inflation would cause the bond market to collapse. Puts went nuts back then just as he predicted. He was right about the inflation, wrong about the market bubble bursting because he failed to realize that more and more would be pumped.
Ahh...TLT...what happened?
JPOW scared long-term treasuries and today is the ex-dividend for TLT, and I ran a protective collar with some extra puts. I'll ride it down and DCA into a lower cost-basis.
honestly good take, rates prolly won’t reflect a drop so TLT is gonna take a dump along with my calls
Wtf, why is TLT so flaccid?
Pretty good. But I would put some in VOOG, MAGS, SOFI, CHYM, and leftover cash in TLT/SGOV.
AMDL put spread seems rather tempting. Collect the premium from your short put. Sell the long put once Lisa Su speaks. Get assigned. Wait for the V. I'm probably going to just continue DCA'ing into TLT and writing silver contracts though.
Generational wealth bout to come for TLT shorts this week
TLT bulls going to cry this week
I only trade ETFs now because I've been burned too many times by individual stocks. And I trade them on 3-month momentum. My 3 current favorites (which along with GLD and TLT make up my whole portfolio) are: ICLN, SMH, XBI [This is what they look like](https://imgur.com/a/jebeFaQ) over the past 3 months. If they continue that average 9%/month rate for just the next month or two, capture it with the \~3x leverage of 80-90-delta LEAPS Calls. And when those taper off, find replacements.
Treasury bond ETFs are especially useful if you want readily available money. Putting money in SGOV is much more flexible and higher-yielding than a CD or Savings account. TLT if you are more adventurous, especially during the current Fed interest rate cuts. The Treasury bond ETFs' monthly dividends only get Federal tax.
If you plan to have money on the side for "safer havens", then consider parking some money in the Treasury ETFs such as SGOV, which offers a better interest rate than your Savings account. TLT if you are more adventurous, especially during the current Fed interest rate cuts. The Treasury bond ETFs' monthly dividends only get Federal tax.
SGOV is unlike BND. SGOV is like putting money into a Savings account and not have to worry about it. The dividend from SGOV ETF only gets Federal tax. The Treasury bond ETF that is somewhat volatile but usually goes up with interest rate drop is TLT. Could get substantial gain or loss and it is not nearly as safe as SGOV.
Sure, but that isn’t a treasury bill. You’re also taking on *significantly* more risk. Go compare the TLT chart and SGOV chart for an idea of just how much you’re taking on.
TLT, 2 rate cuts and the 10 year yields are going to ease.
Treasury bonds are absolutely a safer, less volatile structure than corporate debt, especially regarding the tax situation you mentioned with TLT. The core problem, however, is that liquidity risk now dominates credit risk in the corporate segment, explaining up to $25percent of cross-sectional yield variation. The question is whether the market is actively mispricing that specific liquidity premium in the 2 to 5 year corporate sweet spot right now, compared to the volatility of TLT.
Treasury Bonds are much safer and are only subject to Federal tax. TLT usually thrives in lowering interest environment like the one we have now.
TLT max chart is psychology of a bubble chart lmao
Today was fun. I spent the day essentially playing with the price movement of TLT, and firing off short-dated puts and calls within its rangeband, while also firing off some covered calls. I may be down 150 bucks on my shares, but I've also realized 114 gains from option-trading I'll call it solid cost basis reduction. Only 8900 left to go before it's house money. Writing puts against silver is still slowly accumulating cash.
True; all stocks will drop!! If you can decrease the % of high risk stocks in portfolio (sell), you can then be in dividend or mega caps that buy you time (days) —to then get all out! But it all depends on what crashes first of course. The 60/40 funds are safer. WMT is safe. There are safe plays ya just need to do homework and diversify. Healthcare, XLv, Gold, TLT, XLP, WMT, Euro, XLI
$TLT is is a popular choice if the crash is caused by recession/recession fears. Oil/oil firms is good if the crash is caused by war or other inflationatory events. Gold is good if the crash is caused by stagflation but imo gold is overpriced atm. You can short stocks long-term if you expect a crash if you use no leverage or maximum 2x leverage, but keep in mind this is risky. Last option would be hedge funds, hard to access if you're not very wealthy but there are some "feeder funds" which allows the public to access the hedge fund, like BH Macro Ltd $BHMG. Personally I have $TLT and $BHMG atm
Shuddup TLT nobody asked you
Only buy puts in the context of a straddle. True bears buy TLT GLD and USFR
I sold my MAGS today, converted it into a strangle to derisk, and parked on TLT with some defensive puts. Thankfully they kicked in, so I may wait to see how the market reprices, and DCA in for a new dividend base. I also sold my last IAU call at a small profit when I saw it wouldn't hold up. I expect silver to test for a new bottom tomorrow. Once it stops, I plan to write some 41-strike CSPs expiring Friday to harvest more theta.
Well I should definitely take these gains on GOOG calls since my RKT and TLT calls are fucked. But I won’t.
could that explain why the bond etf's (TLT, VGLT, etc.) took a shit?
My TLT calls did not pan out as expected
The last rate cut was a forgivable mistake, this one was reckless. They have no new data and the most recent data available showed full employment and inflation 50% above target and rising. Financial conditions are so easy that every day a new mega cap gains >$100b of market cap overnight on rumors, plans, and circular revenue. The long end is going to blow out on treasuries. TLT 80 and GLD 400 by EOY. SPY could go either way
Where is TLT going?
I rarely ever short stocks, so I am the wrong person to ask. My largest positions are $PHYS (Gold) and $TLT. But when I see a meatball being thrown over the plate, sometimes I like to take a swing for the fences. The doesn't mean its going to hit. But I feel the potential to hit a HR on this trade is quite high.
Here is TLT with a few extra ticers, and option A. Check your DM # Covered Call Analysis - Base Metrics |Ticker|Current Price|Qty|30-Day Strike|Premium ($)|Yield % (30d)|Annualized %|Assignment Prob %| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |NVDA|$208.06|100|$230.00|$420.00|2.02%|24.2%|25.9%| |TLT|$91.78|100|$93.50|$38.50|0.42%|5.0%|25.4%| |RIVN|$13.74|100|$16.00|$41.50|3.02%|36.2%|26.5%| # Option A: Assignment Risk & Breakeven |Ticker|Break-even Price|Max Assignment P&L ($)|Max Loss ($)|Risk/Reward Ratio| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |NVDA|$203.86|$2614.00|$-20386.00|0.128| |TLT|$91.39|$210.62|$-9139.38|0.023| |RIVN|$13.33|$267.00|$-1333.00|0.200|
If I want to make my long term port 🌈proof is it better to buy SGOV or TLT
As is tradition, dump TLT before rate cut. ALWAYS.
Sounds like you've made a lot of progress, and I'm glad my trading plan fit with other things you've heard and thought. Once you started looking at ETFs it was eye-opening, wasn't it? If we can find those ones doing 30, 40, 50% per quarter and ride them for a month or two of that, then we ought to be able scalp some of that return ourselves. And then the leverage of LEAPS Calls makes them all the more worthwhile. Good for you starting to sell CCs! They're the simplest thing you can do with options, but few do them. They do have drawbacks when the stock runs too hard and they cap gains, but I like the dampening effect they have when the stock goes down. So read up on them more, and play with them more, but know that you literally can't lose money if you sell them above the Cost Basis of your stock. Yesterday I put on these 5 ETFs in my sister's rollover IRA, and today the same 5 in mine and my wife's: GLD TLT ICLN SMH XBI Gold and Treasuries will always be part of my accounts, then 3 ETFs chosen on momentum. 20% in each. As the momentum choices flatten and roll over, they'll be replaced with the current best ones.
TLT has been great for selling puts this year. And when you get assigned you got an easy 5% yield until recently.
TLT holders this is our time 😫
TLT up more than SPY, lol
These TLT calls are actually so hot
GOOG, TLT, RKT calls
A safe way to do it would be selling CSP on both TLT and SPY, the proportion should allways tilt toward the undervalued and away from the overvalued. Cant think of a better way, maybe 150k would be enough.
TLT slowly V-ing back, with the end of QT, lower rates and Bessent rolling over US debt with less interest, you might think US treasuries are attractive... however there is freaking $38 trillion and rising excruciating debt burden for the US tax payer that presses down the credibility of those bonds. Still low volatility so leaps are cheap.
The valuations of tech are high, yes. But they’ve got us coming and going and they’ve bribed the US government to get off their case about antitrust this and that. If you want to put new money into RSP, or move money into RSP, or TLT, go for it. Not an awful idea. The reason I like the S and P 500 as an instrument is that the front runners are often overvalued, dumb and hyped, in my lifetime. But winners change, and just tracking a basket of winners with little bits of cash on the regular works. Also, I worked for the FAANGs, so those profits are my unpaid wages there.
I took profits. I’m just accumulating wealth now so while I hang out in WSB I’m in wealth preservation mode mostly. I’m heavy in an extremely unpopular trade with TLT here which’s long dated treasuries. People in WSB don’t like bonds, but I have a thesis that I’m waiting to see if it plays out and in the mean time I collect 4% interest as if I held bonds on it regardless so about $800 a month.
has TLT always had negative beta or am I just stoned all the time?
gold is a safe haven asset, you're supposed to buy physical and hold it for emergencies or a couple decades. I bet short term we get a little pump if the vix goes up and TLT goes down. Short term, just look at vix and TLT as gold typically short runs with vix and inverse to TLT
Look at TLT for comparison over the last 5 years... way worse. I wouldn't read too much into 2010s performance
Today was mildly annoying. My SLV calls are down, but my puts are up. Assuming it stays in this rangeband, I have a ladder to wheel into. MAGS looks promising as well as TLT. Realized gains vs unrealized loss ratio is still acceptable.
All cash then SQQQ on the way down, + TLT, then GLD.
Lmaoooo, in this environment you should be long ANYTHING except dogshit TLT
I need a 10 bagger. Is TLT a good choice? What about BND?
Fuck it, let’s go TLT 11/14 92 calls, Fed going to confirm end of QT this week
I have 70% in TLT,TMF now, 30% cash position.
OPENAI needs to announce a deal with $TLT
Rebalance the port. Close my position on SGOV, it was just cash-parking. Add some deep otm leap puts on SLV. I saw .72 ask for Jan 2028, strike 25, so I'll probably grab some of them as a hedge for my wheel. Buy 100 shares of MAGS, with a protective put for this week, given five of the seven companies have earnings, then hope NVDA doesn't shit the bed next week :) Close my covered call on TLT, and pocket the spare change. I have a protective put for this week, just in case JPow pulls a surprise and says "no rate cut".