TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Mentions (24Hr)
1200.00% Today
Reddit Posts
June CPI missed big but I'm not buying the full rally yet
Warsh's first FOMC is tomorrow and I have no clue what to do with my port
Bogle vs. Buffet vs. Dalio - Long-Term Investment Strategies Backtested over the last 20 Years
Bogle vs. Buffet vs. Dalio - Long-Term Investment Strategies Backtested over the last 20 Years
$14k yolo on $TLT May/June calls (I know nothing about bonds)
Senate Banking committee to vote on Warsh this coming Wednesday, Bloomberg
I analyzed 584 Fed Chair speech events. Here is what it means for the SPY.
Welcome input on my AI-powered monthly investment review workflow
Welcome input on my AI-powered monthly investment review workflow
We backtested 80+ tactical allocation strategies over 30 years, here's what actually holds up
Sec. of State Marco Rubio heading to Israel March 2-3 to talk Iran, Lebanon, Gaza peace plan – State Dept just announced.
US orders non-essential embassy staff to leave Israel ASAP as Iran war risks spike.
Has anyone noticed how high IBKR's theta calculations are?
Pre-Market Alert: PPI comes in HOT (+0.5% / +3.3% YoY). The "Inflation Reboot" trade.
Pre-Market Prep: "AI Anxiety" hits Software, PPI Inflation & Big Oil Earnings tomorrow.
Made some money off a spy put at ope-n, now swinging TLT calls til tmr
taking advantage of interest and slb rates with deep itm put options on tlt/tmv
I'll just leave this here for $TLT
$TLT - SHORT INTEREST AT RECORD HIGHS
The "Silent Default" Algo. Why the $40T debt is a feature, not a bug (and how we mimic 1945).
The "Silent Default" is here. Why the $40T Debt doesn't matter and SPY is going to the moon.
Penny stock trading: a multi-level-player game that you can win if you are prepared
Markets are ignoring an impending bank crisis, is TLT the next big play?
Four ETFs that thrive on multiple interest rate cuts and a probable strong Q4.
ETFs that benefit from the likely multiple interest rate cuts and a probable strong Q4.
Treasury bonds are gaining popularity as today is likely the start of the first interest rate cut this year.
Bubble worries have sparked my interest in a particular bond ETF
After-Hours Gainers and Losers for Today (September 15, 2025) 📈 📉
Why this algo doesn’t just YOLO one stock.
After-Hours Gainers and Losers for Today (September 12, 2025) 📈 📉
Betting on TLT 20 years and REIT seems a good bet with probable rate cut soon
What is your strategy for the Bond ETFs in light of the probable upcoming rate cut?
What is your plan for the Bond ETFs with the upcoming probable rate cut?
What is your plan for the Bond ETFs with the upcoming probable rate cut?
$600,000 $AMD call option trade + $1.2m hedge
$AMD leaps $TLT Spread trade $1.8M portfolio
Trump lashed out at Powell again, but this time he might not be wrong? $SPY $QQQ $TLT
How I crushed the SnP500 by 200% the past 3 years, shares only
Lowering interest rates will blow-up the economy
Long term Versus Short term is the wrong view point
I've read the book and watched the movie...but I'm still not sure what to do here...
The USD must weaken and three other convictions I have. How would you invest under these assumptions? It's a sincere question and despite my best efforts I'm still 49% moron.
how high can treasuries go before it causes the stock market to crash?
Vertical Put Credit spreads on GLD, SPY, and TLT with small account??
My analysis shows that Market dynamics favour more pressure again today, possibly spilling into Monday, so be patient. However, still supportive into June OPEX it seems, so out of this we will get a nice Buy the Dip opportunity
A FULL TIME TRADER'S THOUGHTS ON THE MARKET 27/05 - AFTER TRUMP ROLLS BACK EU TARIFFS. What does the market look like in terms of dynamics? What are the expectations? What Am I doing? 👇👇
22/05 - The market pulls back as expected. Bond auction was the catalyst but the path as already laid. Here I break down a few more important datapoints and expectations going forward through the rest of the week
I'm a full time trader and these are all my market thoughts 21/05 - VIX expiration - what is the effect going to be? Possible unclench coming. A look at the skew data for indices, and a look at why the oil option market is telling us that the Israel Iran news is a nothingburger.
New to investing – want to buy ETFs long-term without overthinking it. Any advice?
I'm a full time trader and these are all my market thoughts 20/05 - Market still grinding higher, Tax receipts inform our view on current economic conditions, and a look at VIX dynamics. Portfolio management recommendations 👇
Market Analysis 12/05. China trade is what everyone's talking about but please also follow Trump in the Middle East, since this is a key market narrative that most overlook. Many signals including VVIX suggest supportive price action into May OPEX, and likely into June also.
The dots still aren't connecting right now for us to have sustainable upside. Yesterday's action was far from bullish IMO. And that's true across multiple data points. Here's why.
I've only traded options twice, Covid(-$16K) and now on track do it again
Is Zroz/Tlt the best trade of the decade?
Yes, another $VIX post - $11M+ between the C25 and C40 July 16. More pain ahead probably.
33,000 open contracts on a bond ETF that’s supposed to be safe...
China selling off US treasuries = calls on treasuries?
Let my dead TLT calls be a warning to you all
too afraid to gamble any real money, but i'm up for the first time
Mentions
Bruh, TLT has been beaten down for nearly four years now. The only way out of the debt trap is to inflate out of it.
I can’t help but notice that you don’t address what TLT is especially with the backdrop of our treasury and president. Good luck bud
Long term yields will go up to 7%. TLT will get crushed. Hard pass
The TLT etf does not = all bonds...
TLT chart is a real winner
I was in some leveraged ones during the carry trade flare up in 2024. I didn’t sell to avoid taxes and basically came out break even. An incredible amount of debt has been created by reckless Republican spending. It has no end in sight. Tariffs backfired in terms of more debt and less gdp. Oil shock now… avoid TLT, dca into gold. Bonds in your 401k are also at risk because of AI debt. Money market into oil goes back down.
Door A: Inflation & financial repression: TLT down Door B: Reduced military and social insurance spending: TLT up I wonder which door the US will choose (not).
Nothing yet since i expect a blow off top in risk on assets (stocks, crypto, gold). Real estate has already rolled over. I will be slowly DCAing into TLT and cash while keeping the gold allocation just in case it reverts back to a risk off asset.
TLT already down even with a bad jobs report. May god save us
Yeah i will build a bond position predicting a deflationary recession in the next 6 months. Could even buy ZROZ for max rate sensitivity. Incredible how TLT has lost as much as bitcoin.
Yeah pretty crazy how long yields have been pinned high. A major recession should drop them though. For every 1% drop in the the 30y yield TLT should rise 15% nominally. (But also fall if they keep creeping up)
I remember watching a stock youtube talk about TLT back in… 2023. I held it for about 3 months and sold at a slight loss. If I held it to now, I would be down a fuckton of money.
This good trade unless we start Iran war again. TLT will most likely bounce to 86-87 by October.
Go ahead and say, Im not buying TLT but I dont know what youre getting at.
TLT giving up basically all of the premarket move.
* forward PE \~20x. 50% of the s&p is 5 companies debt circlejerking each other and OpenAI. One of them has like no revenue and no profit * You're barely getting paid to hold equities over Treasuries. Treasuries can go way lower than they currently are. The fiscal credibility of the US has never been questioned this hard in living memory. TLT about to break all time low * Slow grind on decent growth? Market absorbs it. There's many examples of foreign markets that show there's a point at which that stops
Every time TLT is below 83, the market falls. Simple as that.
I’ve reviewed Government Bond Funds at various durations, SHy, IEI, IEF, TLT six months to 20 years. They have one thing in common - they ALL provided lower total return than cash for YTD, 1, 3,5 and 10 years periods. With more volatility than cash. Less return in each period. All of them. Just awful.
> 40% allocation to bond ETFs like BND and TLT moved in positive correlation with the stock market in 2022. Depending on your composition, the drawdown in that bond allocation even exceeded the broad stock market downturn. A few things: * No one should have 40% in bonds. Not even retired individuals. * If you look at Total Return, instead of "BND" stock chart it still did better than VTI. [Check this out.](https://totalrealreturns.com/n/VTI,BND) 2022 was a ~20% loss for VTI while a ~13% loss for BND. However if you look at 2008, the story was different. But you're right, bonds expose you to interest rate risk, which in the COVID days was actually significantly worse than anything recent-ish.
I am not taking about "buying a 30 year bond" In a 60/40 portfolio, a 40% allocation to bond ETFs like BND and TLT moved in positive correlation with the stock market in 2022. Depending on your composition, the drawdown in that bond allocation even exceeded the broad stock market downturn.
buying $1100 worth of TLT leaps at open, will be nice to write off that loss on my taxes
I just need a 1.5% day and I'm done for the year. So of course, everything will go the opposite of what I buy. Bought a lot of TMF/TLT friday, so interest rates up, right?
Am I regarded for buying some TLT Looks like a pretty hard floor to me https://preview.redd.it/nrn4d2mqh7hh1.png?width=1392&format=png&auto=webp&s=49b7fbab9198214d8ee01cc73760b51da4bf1cf0
Honestly, treasuries are almost always a better bet. Open a brokerage account with one of the major ones (ETrade, Schwab, Fidelity, etc...). Transfer the money in. If you want to get savvy, you can buy treasuries and different maturation periods. If you want easy mode, just buy a ETF like SGOV (all short term treasuries, pays monthly dividends). If you don't mind a tiny little bit of volatility, you can get a ETF like TLT (all long term treasuries) You can sell your stake at any time with no penalty. If you have more than $25k, you can make your account a margin account. Then you can also borrow against it at any time up to 50% for whatever you need. No questions asked, nothing on your credit report. Plus CD's are only insured up to $250k per bank. So if you have a lot more, you have to split between banks. With treasuries, you don't have to worry about that. The government isn't allowed to default on them, and you personally own them. As an added benefit, the taxes from the interest income are not state taxable whereas they are with CD's. So, if you live in a high tax state like California, you save a chunk in treasuries. If you are comfortable with risk but want to stay with bonds, check out municipal or government agency bonds or high quality corporate debt.
I can’t be the only eyeing TLT down here 🤔
I need TLT to decent to the depts of the abyss. Thank you for your matter to this attention.
Either this pump is fake or TLT price is fake
Look at USO and TLT - We finnin to drill Monday
So short term TLT puts? Got it
Ironically enough, calls on TLT - last time they nearly blew up the carry trade, my tlt calls went from $3 to $200. Would love to have that happen again while I'm hold 100 of them, instead of 2..
Ironically enough, calls on TLT - last time they nearly blew up the carry trade, my tlt calls went from $3 to $200. Would love to have that happen again while I'm hold 100 of them, instead of 2..
Are 20 year included in TLT? If yes, then STFU and go back to buying $147 worth of 0 DTE calls.
Damn, calls on TLT would’ve printed bigly bigly
TLT at 22 year low 🥴 The safe haven portfolio diversifier. Obligated by law in many pension funds. Or at least used to, probably not anymore after this disaster. Who could have foreseen that rates could go up and stay up.
Liquidity sucks on EDV options. Even though TLT isn't quite as long duration the better liquidity more than makes up for that. Even TMF is better.
TLT only trades long duration US treasuries though, and that's what's getting destroyed. Buying duration is a safer bet now than it was then... At least in terms of current yield. The thing that's making bonds look interesting now is because of the fact that current holders of duration are bleeding.
TLT is still down 50% from covid.
Calls on bond funds? They should go up in value if the yield comes down. TLT has decent volume.
Keep in mind one of the biggest bond funds, TLT, is called "iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF" That's why they look at the 20.
It's TLT, which is 20-30 year. That's why people look at the 20.
Been nibbling here on TLT (20 year US Treasury ETF). I know alot of folks are saying don't touch long term yields right now. However, if the yield gets to high 5's that's some GFC-2008 type stuff, and closer to 7 puts the US close to a Mad Max situation anyway.
Generational dip on TLT lol. Almost at an all time low.
Picked up some AUG 07 TLT $82.00 puts. Just for that whole Japan yen carry trade thing that's going on. I'm sure I'll regret it.
Until we have a deflationary recession and TLT facerips 50% 😂
TLT lmao. Bro the US is going bankrupt. Bullish or bearish?
If you own TLT, you may be entitled to compensation (or long term disability)
I'm genuinely disgusted. TLT holders are eviscerated.
Where’s that TLT and chill guy from 3 years ago now that we’re bailing out the yen. You can’t make up this 🤡 show
what's going to happen with the TLT situation
is there a better way that $TLT to play interest rates dropping?
Locked in big gains on that rebound to flat. Which is good because TLT is gaping me. Could use some good ol government intervention in these bonds.
TLT is 10 cents away from being negative all time lol
TLT getting close to dotcom lows lmao
Welp gold didnt last long after having a good days yesterday, TLT 52-week low can we get a new round of peace talks?
TLT about to crash through the floor
TLT is almost the lowest it has ever been
TLT making a new low not seen it’s 2023. That’s no bueno
TLT is less than 3% away from making an ATL. I don't know if that's important. Like what happens if it does? Probably nothing.
I typically close at nearly a full winner for a $0.01 or $0.02 Debit. Here is some more background and why that works for me. I’ve been trading Put Credit Spreads for over six years with excellent returns. It is slightly boring, but is low stress and provides time freedom (only trade about 15 minutes per week). Sell highly liquid underlyings (I use NDX, GLD, RUT, IBIT, SPX, USO, DIA, IYR, SMH, TLT, XBI, VIX). 15 Delta (Out of the Money with 85% Probability of Profit). Short Term (28-32 DTE) with a laddered approach so one rolls off while another is opened each week. Little Management (only close positions out at a 200% loss if needed). Typically use $5 wide, but I go to $25 wide on RUT & SPX and $100 wide on NDX.
I wish my TLT puts were doing gooder.
$TMF for $TLT Interest rate drop soon
I'm gonna need TLT to drill to the Earth's core. Thank you for your matter to this attention.
Inflation 3.3%, Cooling 10 yr crash down $TLT
Like an idiot, I went "all in" and held TLT $82.50 puts overnight, regardless of the number of times I told myself I wouldn't hold much short dated options overnight. Don't be like me.
I made 900% on my TLT puts today It was so fucking obvious and I only put like $300 in. I hate myself rn
I've been trading Put Credit Spreads for over six years with excellent returns. It is slightly boring, but is low stress and provides time freedom (only trade about 15 minutes per week). Here is my strategy if you would like to give it a shot. Sell highly liquid underlyings (I use NDX, GLD, RUT, IBIT, SPX, USO, DIA, IYR, SMH, TLT, XBI, VIX). 15 Delta (Out of the Money with 85% Probability of Profit). Short Term (28-32 DTE) with a laddered approach so one rolls off while another is opened each week. Little Management (only close positions out at a 200% loss if needed). Typically use $5 wide, but I go to $25 wide on RUT & SPX and $100 wide on NDX.
The fact that TLT and GLD are tanking at the same time is very bad....
long term bond prices getting nuked just as hard too(TLT down 2%), so it's not a "risk off" trade. It's more of a yield related trade because of the fed meeting.
Makes sense. My TLT puts are printing, also cut my hand on some falling knives.
Kospi back to March lows TLT crashing. Not a great look
TLT making new 52 week lows lol. We're fucked.
I am not happy I put out some TLT puts to hedge i would rather be WRONG - I’d rather those stay a hedge.
TLT with an 82 handle is something I haven't seen before.
Omg I just saw TLT wtf???
Bro, what are you doing to bonds!!??? TLT 💀
someone should show him a live chart of TLT while he's giving these answers
I can't believe TLT is going to drill to the Earth's core. Oh the huge manatee.
With regard to treasuries, Warsh must have said the N word. Look at TLT go...
I mitigate my risk by buying bonds directly and buying gold/silver (though not in the past 6 months on that). I avoid shit like TLT like the plague.
TLT taking a dump? Or will it dead cat? My gut tells me dump given the whole Japan Yen carry trade thingy. But what do I know? What I learned was from YouTubers.
How is easy. You simply sell to get back to your target allocation. Wait, you don’t have a target allocation? You’re going about this all wrong then. As for my personal perspective, that’s too much gold. Gold has had one of its best run-up in recent times, even if it has given some back. I’d take some winnings off the table. You need to know what you’re investing for and how your portfolio helps you get there. Mine is a drawdown portfolio, so my primary aims: 1. Maximize withdrawal % 2. Minimize volatility And my allocation: 21% SCHG (growth engine) 21% AVUV (still growth but less correlated to SCHG) 26% TLT (crash insurance) 16% GLD (diversifier in certain environments) 10% DBMF (trend following) 6% cash but currently in 3% EFG and 3% AVDV I rebalance once a year or sooner if any asset hits a 20% rebalancing band. That’s it. This gives me 5% withdrawals adjusted for inflation forever with less than 1/3 the volatility of equities. Drawdowns are shallow and short. Helps me sleep at night.
It could put in the low for gold and TLT before the recession becomes evident and we get major cuts.
No rate hike -> rate hike fear feaverpitch in september -> generational low for gold and TLT, possibly mstr -> recession fears and rate cuts -> stock market 35% collapse in december/january -> stocks more or less sideways for a year or more -> final orgasmic faceripper spy 2000$ until great depression in 2034