AAPL

1098duc_w_the_termi

If Anthropic IPOs even a month before OpenAI, OpenAI won’t be able to get out of the gates. This isn’t the 2010s when FB, GOOG, and even AAPL were still growing, nascent businesses with a valuation in the 10s of billions. The adoption of AI has been so fast and quick that they’re much more mature. What kind of returns will there be following their IPO? Tepid take, but bubble pops after the Anthropic IPO pop fades.

vandalizethethief

As an Apple user my whole life it’s like I’m a junkie who like a sports fan was born into it. I have tried Linux and had to use Windows all the time for work plus Google Docs & Android but I can fix my Mac easily because like a sports fan I was born into it. My Dad once slammed the table in anger and screamed, “We do not talk ill about the late Steve Jobs ever. He hasn’t done shit wrong business wise. Steve Jobs gave us the Apple II, Macintosh, and his reward was they threw him out on his ass so the former Pepsi CEO could run AAPL into the ground. He left Apple and helped start Pixar. You know the animated films you love? He then rode in on a white horse and pointed at a hard drive and said I want my music in there with intuitive controls. He had some losses like when Microsoft stole Bungie and Halo after it premiered at MacWorld to raucous applause and astonishment at the graphics. Grow up, you little shit. This is you, “wahh no games for Mac”. Go play a real game like Fruit Ninja!” At this point he stopped and looked towards the heavens and said, “His final miracle was the iPhone demo and then he soon ascended to silicon heaven.”

daddydunc

Buddy is talking about AAPL like it’s a growth stock lol.

Solid-Mood9571

If AAPL could go to 400 that be great

WorldlyWar2143

down from 26k to 18k back to 22k, holding new positions in AAPL, META, RDDT

ParticularWarthog319

Bought AAPL weeklies on Friday up over 100% at close

NerdSlamPo

weirdly enough I think the easy calls are AAPL and RDDT for relief bounces 1DTE expiring Tues

Fhyzikz

Everything blood green except AAPL

borb86

Sitting on $300 AAPL calls I got for $4.10. Hoping for a good morning.

verified-trader

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 2W - 0L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **AAPL** | $320.00 (above) | $307.07 | +4.2% | Aug 7, 9:57 PM |

Anzel731

!banbet AAPL 320 5D

Lanky-Fisherman-6341

I don’t get any of it yet, cuz I really am a regard in all the senses. But, here if it matters at all to you or anyone. OPUS 5 responded: Ha — fair. Though the structure clarification does change the picture: if the active sleeve is half the equity bucket, that's roughly 30% of total, which is a satellite, not the strategy. That's a much more defensible thing than the original post implied. The sharpest thing in your reply is the Apple trim: the shares you sold were up about the same as the ones you kept. That's a clean separation of two activities that usually get bundled together. The returns came from picking three names that compounded and sizing them big enough to matter. The trim/rebuy cycle is doing something else — it's managing concentration and generating tax events, and on that lot it neither added nor cost you much. Worth keeping those in separate mental buckets, because if you attribute the returns to the timing, you'll keep doing the timing in a regime where it stops working. On the beautiful problem — one thing worth naming: three names isn't three bets. AAPL, GOOG, and AMZN share a factor exposure. Whatever repriced mega-cap tech in 2022 hit all of them at once, and would again. The question that usually resolves the sell-vs-hold tension isn't a tax calculation, it's whether the boring core alone already funds the retirement. If it does, the concentrated sleeve is surplus capital, drawdowns there are regret rather than ruin, and paying LTCG to diversify buys insurance you may not need. If it doesn't, the concentration is load-bearing and the tax bill is the price of not having your plan depend on three correlated positions. *BSSS* Tools that sidestep the binary, if you haven't already looked at them: donating appreciated shares through a DAF if there's any charitable intent (kills the gain entirely), exchange funds (7-year lockup, defers), harvesting losses elsewhere to offset trims, and a systematic trim schedule instead of a discretionary one — the "wait for strength" instinct is exactly what keeps a position overweight. And if bequest matters at all, step-up at death changes the whole calculus.*BSSSSS* Still not a financial advisor — but which side of that funding question you're on is the fork worth answering first.

refrigeratorsHD

Buying more AAPL

Independent_Spot7937

Buying the dips on AAPL and META. Buying NVDA for earnings run up

WordsHappenedHere

AAPL

RaisinZRH

If there is one stock to buy right now, it’s GOOG. And AAPL.

Lanky-Fisherman-6341

Here’s Claude AI being a negative nancy for *shits and giggles*: The screenshots and the per-lot SPY comparison are the weakest part of his case, even though they're the flashiest. A "Lot Details" screen only shows positions he still holds. His own strategy is to trim into strength — so every lot he sold, and every position he exited at a loss, is invisible here. Three names that happen to be AAPL, GOOG, and AMZN over 2020–2026 isn't evidence of dip-buying skill; it's evidence he owned three of the biggest mega-cap winners of the era. Anyone who bought those on *any* schedule beat SPY. What his numbers can't separate: - **Stock picking vs. timing.** Buying the dip in AAPL beat SPY. So did buying AAPL at random. The dip-timing premium is the gap between those two, and he hasn't shown it. - **Regime vs. edge.** Post-COVID, essentially every drawdown recovered within months. That made "buy fear, sell strength" nearly unloseable. 2000–2013 would have handled it very differently. - **The portfolio claim.** "2x the index over 6 years" is the real assertion, and none of the lot screenshots test it. That said, the boring parts of what he describes — few positions, real liquidity, willingness to buy when it's uncomfortable, not touching options with the core — are legitimately the habits that separate people who do okay from people who churn. On the $10m comment: percentage returns don't care about account size, so the math scales down fine. What doesn't scale is the position. Holding 40% cash for a year is a rounding error in his life and a serious opportunity cost in a $10k account. And a 30% drawdown means nothing to him and can mean everything to someone whose savings that is. The advantage isn't the strategy — it's being able to be wrong for a long time without consequences. I'm not a financial advisor, and this is a read on his argument rather than a recommendation either way.

Accurate-Exchange298

Thank you for your input. Much appreciated . To your comment about - 'You dont have to react each week to a price swing to shave a coupe bucks.' .. As a rule, if a stock I am trading falls enough that the option can be bought back for a 40-50% profit, I buy back the call and sell a new expiry date call. The reason is that if the stock keeps falling, the next roll might not give enough premium to shield against additional drops or might have to be written further out in time than i would like. This trade was a regime where the entire AI trade was being questioned by the markets(ROI on capex by hyperscalers , earnings of AAPL. AMZN, MSFT, META etc, drop in semi conductor stock prices etc) and so I rolled more frequently than I normally do to keep in step with the stock price drop. If you see the % change in the option price on the dates I rolled, some were below my 40% rule , but in the absence of clarity on the AI trade environment, I wanted to be a little more cautious. https://preview.redd.it/9gy06if2i0hh1.png?width=335&format=png&auto=webp&s=3d3e475d0fa70975048077ad899cd4fbd7e4e6fa

micheelay

Potential sales on AAPL NVDA AMD and SNDK this week woohoo

GodForgotAboutMe

My trade tomorrow 0dte AAPL calls

Educational-Play-465

No AAPL position. Congrats on the trade. The part I'd be careful about turning into a rule is "big run-up = buy puts." A 1DTE 10x says the realized move beat the option market's expected move in your direction; it doesn't prove pre-earnings momentum itself is predictive. Log the implied move, strike and entry for the next 20 setups. If the edge survives that, you found a strategy. If not, you still found one very good trade.

Federal_Radish_1421

My dad has been in the market since practically the day he turned 18 in the late 60s, so he’s been through everything and nothing has shaken him. He prefers to stay patient and buy when there’s blood in the streets. Even the dot com crash couldn’t shake his faith in tech. His defensive stocks he picked up in the aftermath of the GFC, because he figured if we’re going to have a functioning economy we’ll need national banks and industrials like CAT. I doubt he’s added since. They’re really not his thing. But he has let them run ever since. He got into mega cap tech long before they were the Mag7, several from IPO, and has been doubling down on them ever since. He does like to get a piece of all the highest profile IPOs. They’re not all winners but sometimes they become the GOOG we know today. AAPL he started buying a year or so before the GFC because my sister wanted a Mac for college, and that surprised him. He asked his niece and she said all the kids want Macs, so he figured there’s something there. He’s owned a MU and LRCX since the GFC. I don’t know why he chose those specifically, but he has added to them since. I know he was a buyer during the Covid crash. In addition to shares, he also likes leap calls two years out when price is weak, and he pauses new calls when the market feels toppy to him. Mostly tech but not exclusively. I randomly called him once and he was talking about WMT calls. He doesn’t catch every top or take advantage of every bottom. But he has the kind of patience that many investors today lack. I look at MU and see cycle after cycle of disappointment before a parabolic run. He says, “It just kept moving higher so why would I sell?”

vulgarbas3rd

I bought META, AAPL, HOOD, RDDT, GOOG. All after earnings. Easy profits.

Emilio___Molestevez

$AAPL only ever pumped because retards needed FURTHER confirmation on AI ROI. now even people that fucking stupid can't deny that the future is here. $AAPL 220p

crustang

Android user, literally unreadable (Long AAPL)

GrossFleshSack

On one hand, memory is down so bad it feels like it cant go any lower, on the other hand, SPY is at all time high. If the market decides it wants to go up, memory and semis are going to rally even further, NVDA to 250, but if semis and memory have continued weakness, not even falling much further, SPY will be the one to come down strongly. Perhaps this moment is where rotation will go out of Mag 7, (especially AAPL) and we get another wave of Bag 7, big dick semis, SPY stays relatively flat but slightly up still.

Capital-Stay-5657

Pivot to SAAS stocks and AAPL.

Ok_Cry7572

YTD returns: AMZN +19.9% AAPL +14.0% GOOGL +13.0% NVDA +6.3% MSFT -1.7% META -14.4% TSLA -28.9%

eddie_yvp

Yeah my basis in AAPL is around $0.40 per share. If I took OP’s advice, I would have sold after a 3x and watched a conviction stock continue to run up the past 15 years while chasing the market. I rarely sell covered calls - I generate income selling puts using margin backed against my AAPL. I can appreciate the general sentiment of what the OP is saying. Don’t let taxes dictate strategy. But to essentially criticize people who are holding stocks like AAPL for decades is hilarious.

eddie_yvp

Yeah the original post is kinda funny. Don’t be investors - be short term traders / gamblers. I’m not avoiding selling my AAPL stock that I acquired in 2004 because I’m scared of paying taxes - it’s because I still view it as a good long term investment (which I can borrow against if I need some cash) compared to what I would do with the after tax cash if I sold. If I was doing what the OP suggested I would have a fraction of the net worth I have today. But sure, if you are just chasing a pump and don’t believe in the long term value, then sell and take profits. But that’s speculating / gambling and not investing.

ppr1227

My cost on AAPL is around $4.07 from 2009. I bought quite a lot but not as much as I wanted. My friend the portfolio manager said i should have a less concentrated position. I made millions but his advice cost me ten figures. I’ve held it all and also have a drip. Thought about divesting last summer but dithered on where to redeploy, which turned out well in hindsight.

C2theC

AAPL right now!

Extension_Diet4064

If the explicit goal is weighting heavier into mega-caps without picking single stocks, VUG does that. Just be clear on the look-through overlap. In an 80/20 VOO/VUG setup, your top 5 holdings (NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL) make up over 27% of your portfolio. If tech multiples contract, that tilt doesn't protect you from drawdown depth compared to a simple core holding.

option-trader

Yep, it's clearly a shakeout of the weak hands. Fundamentals actually look stronger after seeing SKHY post profits on par with MSFT, GOOG, and AAPL. It posted Q2 operating profits of $41.5 B compared to $40.6B, $40.77B, and $35.69B for the other three, respectively. Then we saw STX with blowout numbers telling us the memory play here is intact. WDC and SNDK will report on Wednesday after the market closes, and I expect more blowout numbers. WDC is at $550, and it'll be above $700 by year end. I expect SNDK to be above $2500 by year end. SNDK is going to report EPS above $35 and then guide FY27 to $225-$250. At $2500, that's a p/e of 10 making it reasonable at least until FY28 can be more visible.

Extension_Diet4064

Holding 35% in cash creates a massive hurdle rate drag against the equity risk premium over full cycles. When your picking bucket holds 8 to 10 mega-caps like GOOG or AAPL, it doesn't add much diversification since you're just doubling down on the top 30% concentration of the S&P core. The hardest part of this setup isn't buying fear. It's maintaining margin of safety discipline on exits when multiples expand past historical norms. Without mechanical trim targets, cash drag eats into the excess return generated from stock selection.

WordsHappenedHere

13% cash. Mostly ETFs. SPY RSP ROBO. Sold my AAPL before earnings. It was my largest single stock position. Hold a few individual names like IONQ, JOBY, PATH.

Vast_Cricket

I have seen individuals with quality stocks like AAPL cost basis of $1-2. Obviously from an earlier employee through their company options. Apple is local. Rather than taking a massive tax hitm they sell cover calls for additional income. Unless there is specific reason I don't see why sell them for gain either.

RisingSerpent222

My trade on Monday 0dte AAPL calls

Allout-Okarun

These past three months I’ve been on a roll and it’s a mix of indicators I use, geopolitics, earnings season, and AI cloud monsters. Amazon was so obvious to me too but again, risk tolerance prevented me from dumping the rest of my liquidity into it at the same time as aapl puts. I’ve been burned so many times on earnings calls I stayed away from them for years. AAPL was comfortably sailing above the 50 and 200 MA and I felt it was time it would come down to that range.

FourScoreAndSept

Far out of the money covered calls helps with this. Definitely helped me with AAPL this week

Independent_Spot7937

AAPL above 320 next week

Vegetable-Bug-9779

The market cap of big companies will continue raising with inflation. Inflation>price increase>bigger profit in $$$>bigger market cap. 10 years ago people weren't buying AAPL because it was too big, almost $1T. Think about that...

notreallydeep

>"is the market cap low enough that this company can grow significantly" Meanwhile the 10 largest market cap companies over the past decade: AAPL: 1,100%, 28% CAGR GOOG: 900%, 26% CAGR MSFT: 750%, 24% CAGR BRK: 300%, 15% CAGR XOM: 100%, ~11% CAGR with dividends AMZN: 800%, 25% CAGR META: 470%, 19% CAGR JNJ: 160%, ~12.5% CAGR with dividends JPM: 500%, ~22% CAGR with dividends WFC: 75%, ~9% CAGR with dividends

2Hosslovescash

AAPL already crumbled today.

DerFahrt

AAPL puts would have been good yesterday if you were into puts.

account-names

Hold on, I didn't realize RDDT had a -22% day today, and AAPL had a -8% day. Are we in penny stock sub now?

BeefyMcPissflaps

That's the wrong way to think about this. AAPL is treating AI as a commodity and paying GOOG 1bn a year for Gemini to run their 2bn installed devices. GOOG is paying AAPL 20bn to be the search engine on 2bn installed devices. AAPL has 1.8% Capex on AI. Let's talk about who's winning and who's left exposed.

swagmans69

AAPL’s price action today was Tim Apple preparing us for when John is going to Ternus gay.

CareerProgressor

https://preview.redd.it/dlqihg9lfngh1.jpeg?width=1206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=05e22e7acc3273d6b37ee9948822a71d68e826b4 Cooked homie, AAPL isn’t pulling margins like its tech peers and has a considerably higher pe ratio than most. It won’t fall off any time soon but the valuation seemed too high from the last year or so run.

Sandvicheater

As long as Gen Alpha kids think Androids are ghetto and iphone are cool, i'm still bullish on AAPL

Vlisa

lmao MU gonna be down worse than AAPL by the time AH closes

Aggravating-Buy-1695

Is AAPL 8% drop in a day normal? 😳

deevee12

It’s crazy how AAPL has been holding up through all the RAM bullshit Did the market finally remember what phones are made of

DirectionOl

Casino gave me AMZN gains and AAPL pain

_Clit-Commander_

Yes sir options on XSP and AAPL. Same to you!

Anzel731

!banbet AAPL 320 7D

Novalll

AAPL is such an easy buy

Moist-Guava-732

AAPL long 300p and short ATM puts will print for the rest of the year

lobsterspider

Yolo’d $350k of AAPL today

tessie_trades

Yep AAPL Calls regret it . absolutely no redemption,memory stocks decided to tank earlier on to make it worse .what a day

uncsucks

Summary of my week: Bought MSFT puts, AAPL calls, AMZN puts. I am retart

Harp-Note

Last minute AAPL calls wouldve been a 7 bagger 😳. Sadly couldn't buy them. Did make an easy 10% off 3 day calls though.

Solid-Mood9571

Imagine being bearish on AAPL 🤡

nycimt

AAPL!!!!!!!

wolfavino

AAPL is no longer up

Capital-Row6633

Sadly regards in /AAPL are "smart long term holders" who refuse to accept that

eboyuwue

AAPL / NVDA / NFLX CALLS - took profit on AAPL puts before earnings :)

Snoo-90587

Go home AAPL you’re drunk

nycimt

AAPL 3dte calls.

Rich-Badger-7601

AAPL said I aint hear no bell

GrnBlu

Seems no brainer with AAPL, but why RDDT tho? What's your rationale?

tldamico

Got impatient with AAPL $302.50 calls. Pumps 2 minutes after I sell. I suck at this. Been burned too many times now I have paperhands syndrome.

Solid-Mood9571

AAPL rebound

razeusv2

Got hit hard with META yesterday, now today with AAPL. This kind of shit is demoralizing.

GrassOrAss954

You definitely belong here, because i’m not sure what math you’re using where its up 5%. AMZN is up like 2% and has been treading water since 9am. AAPL is basically flat since open.

VoidMageZero

u/Steak_Itchy good thing you held off from buying AAPL eh?

tldamico

Come on AAPL. Get your butt over that $302.50 strike price. No wonder everyone hates you.

StatusRich3992

One has to be highly retarded to go long on AAPL just before earnings after a massive run. Seek medical help.

GrassOrAss954

How in the fuck does AMZN and AAPL both make monster moves overnight and then just do absolutely fuck all during cash? Make it make sense.

CEOofBeanz

AAPL psyop for further wealth transfer from retail to institutions. AAPL is the best stock in history

disishowedoit

Yeah i think that makes sense at all. This is def buying territory for AAPL.

PooPooPointBoiz

Fuck AAPL dude, how the fuck does it drop more than fucking META. Fucking POS META (which also fucked me). And AAPL says hold my fucking iphone, and fucking drops 10 fucking %.

PooPooPointBoiz

Thanks for the encouragement. I'm going to sit in AAPL for a bit more, on the chance that it's oversold and rebounds a bit. 10% for a MAG7 stock is fucking insane. There's no way it keeps going down.

PooPooPointBoiz

Yes, I'm aware. But price doesn't fucking matter going into earnings. A stock like GOOGL could have ripped for weeks and still go up 10% for earnings, which it did last April. AAPL had momentum, it was sitting as the number 1 market cap stock in the world. I thought that momentum could hold and it would go up a bit more. I definitely did not see a 10% drop from earnings coming. Not at fucking all.

Moepenmoes

People are paranoid about AAPL for no reason lmao, it'll recover just fine over time

PooPooPointBoiz

Dude, fucking of course AAPL has the worst earnings drop in over a decade when I'm holding. Of fucking course dude, it wouldn't happen any fucking other way.

PooPooPointBoiz

Dude, fucking of course AAPL has the worst earnings drop in over a decade when I'm holding. Of fucking course dude, it wouldn't happen any fucking other way.

imustbegthequestion

I gave AAPL and SPY an aggregate 47 % of my port. You Regards better not make me regret this.

Spac55

$RDDT $MU $GOOG $AAPL watching AI winter going Remember Crypto winter SPAc winter 2022

imustbegthequestion

Can y'all just buy AAPL. I'm doing you a favor.

TheFreshOne

AAPL below 5T. Tim Apple might as well pack it up and declare bankruptcy...

Chokeslam2Hell

!banbet AAPL 5% 7d

VoidMageZero

The split between MSFT/META and AAPL/AMZN this week has been interesting.

Detail4

Ive been in the market a long time and have seen a lot of cycles. It’s not often that the winners of a group just disappear and go bust. Chances are, the winners of today will be the winners of tomorrow. Amazon was a household name in 2002 just as it is now. Netflix widely used, Google dominated search at the time of their IPOs. AAPL split adjusted cost about $0.37 per share when they released the IPod. So the main lesson I’ve learned is buy the winners, hold them. Of course, use risk management and I’m not YOLO’ing my entire portfolio in it, but I’ll average in to a $25k ish position and plan on holding it for 10+ years.

1098duc_w_the_termi

Lmao so they took their AAPL money and dumped it all in on GOOG. This should tell yall bearish regards that this rally will continue because degenerates are desperate for yield in a high inflation environment

Oranier-Citizen

I also shorted AAPL at $333 and cashed out today. But I had an optimal position size. You seem like a smart guy, but your positioning was incredibly dumb. You know about the Kelly Criterion? Apple could have pulled something out of a hat and render your puts zero, and you would have lost your all precious IRA funds. Really fucking dumb. Do not do this again. For this kinda play, max 10% allocation, not more.

E39_CBX

AAPL 310 close?

Samjabr

Made so much $ today on my QQQ Calls (dumped at open) and AAPL puts, buying a crap ton of lotto Puts for the end of the day QQQ 679 - who's coming with me!

Top-Meaning2626

Its over for AAPL, 275 SOON

InvestigatorPlus3229

thats gotta be one of the biggest one day drops in AAPL for the last decade