ET

alexh22_

I am not a bear, but this pump does not matter until 8:30 am ET tomorrow

SpiderWil

Tomorrow is worse, PCE n a bunch of shit at 8:30 ET

Beginning-Fig-9089

Trump and Vance unveil AI-powered America.gov platform in Washington 10 AM ET

SpiderWil

| Time ET | Report | Expected | If ABOVE expected | If BELOW expected | |---|---|---:|---|---| | **8:15** | **ADP private jobs** | **+72K** | 🔴 More hiring → yields may rise → **QQQ/tech pressured** | 🟢 Weaker hiring → yields may fall → **tech relief** | | **8:30** | **Core PCE MoM** | **+0.3%** | 🔴 **Biggest danger.** Hot inflation → yields/Fed expectations ↑ → **QQQ, SMH, AAPL, DELL ↓** | 🟢 **Best outcome for tech.** Inflation cooling → yields ↓ → tech potentially ↑ | | **8:30** | Headline PCE MoM | ~**+0.4%** | 🔴 Inflation hotter, especially problematic with expensive oil | 🟢 Inflation pressure easing | | **8:30** | Core PCE YoY | roughly **3.3–3.4%** | 🔴 If materially above that → stronger “higher-for-longer” reaction | 🟢 Below that → favorable for bonds/tech | | **8:30** | Per

SpiderWil

Nvidia AI industry meeting (time TBD) 12:00–2:00 PM ET

skymagic

*oooo* 😋😋😋 DO ET!

OurNewestMember

I think this is the reason I always choose brokers that offer futures in case I need to make an emergency pre/post market trade. Also the reason I learn the trading hours -- options fix at 4 pm ET, some trade until 4:15 pm, futures until 5pm, exercise instructions until up to 5:30 pm, after hours in some names until 7pm or 8 pm, futures reopen 6pm Sunday, spx global 8 pm, pre market as early as 4 am, futures pause at 9:15, options open at 9:30. Knowing that lets you pick products and strategies where you can fix mistakes instead of just stewing about it for the weekend. You can also just not leave open positions that could cause you to worry. But yes, many traders have also just figured out how to take care of their risk before Friday and survive 2 days without worrying

amanj41

Lol. In all seriousness, in this market 1DTEs bought right before close actually make way more sense than 0DTEs. All the movement happens overnight or early morning before 10:30AM ET. Still risky, but 0DTEs have worse risk profile these days than they’ve ever had. Extreme risk, low p90 reward.

CMTTrader

President Trump's 2PM ET Announcement: \*TRUMP TO UNVEIL PLANNED $15B IOWA STEEL PROJECT: WHITE HOUSE \*LARGEST STEEL PLANT IN AMERICAN HISTORY TO BE BUILT BY MESABI METALLICS IN IOWA

Federal-Watch

Britpoor market closed!!! CRUMP ET!!! :screech: :screech:

FlowerLizard

Is it dumping because insiders already know what Trump is going to say at 2pm ET?

TinaMangat

We should all buy calls before Trump’s speech at 2pm ET. Easy money to be made!!!

Long-Time-Coming77

The official industry cutoff for submitting final option exercise instructions or a Contrary Exercise Advice on expiration day is 5:30 PM ET (90 minutes after the regular market close at 4:00 PM ET) So if you called the brokerage shortly after 4pm they still had the ability exercise your options. If they didn't and won't make you whole then I would file a complaint with FINRA

atrox3838

Damn the fat boy gonna sing today at 2pm ET? Over under on him blaming Iran war on Biden?

ChewbaccaIsBear

*TRUMP TO MAKE AN ANNOUNCEMENT 2PM ET MONDAY: WHITE HOUSE What he gonna do

hb2xdr

TRUMP TO MAKE AN ANNOUNCEMENT 2PM ET MONDAY: WHITE HOUSE It’s over for bers Gg

jerome-yellen

"President Trump is set to make an announcement at 2PM ET Monday." 👀

yahooms

# WH: THE PRESlDENT TO MAKE AN ANNOUNCEMENT 2PM ET MONDAY

gardeal23

I thought markets open at 8pm ET. Do futures open before that?

ThatOneRedditBro

es. Here are the **last 20 monthly University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index readings**, using final readings except **September 2026, which is still the preliminary 47.8 reading**. The final September number is scheduled for **10:00 a.m. ET today (September 25)**. [ISR Statistical Consulting Archive](https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/?os=__&utm_source=chatgpt.com) |Month|Sentiment|MoM change|Direction| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |Feb 2025|**64.7**|—|—| |Mar 2025|**57.0**|\-7.7|🔴| |Apr 2025|**52.2**|\-4.8|🔴| |May 2025|**52.2**|0.0|➖| |Jun 2025|**60.7**|\+8.5|🟢| |Jul 2025|**61.7**|\+1.0|🟢| |Aug 2025|**58.2**|\-3.5|🔴| |Sep 2025|**55.1**|\-3.1|🔴| |Oct 2025|**53.6**|\-1.5|🔴| |Nov 2025|**51.0**|\-2.6|🔴| |Dec 2025|**52.9**|\+1.9|🟢| |Jan 2026|**56.4**|\+3.5|🟢| |Feb 2026|**56.6**|\+0.2|🟢| |Mar 2026|**53.3**|\-3.3|🔴| |Apr 2026|**49.8**|\-3.5|🔴| |May 2026|**44.8**|\-5.0|🔴| |Jun 2026|**49.5**|\+4.7|🟢| |Jul 2026|**55.2**|\+5.7|🟢| |Aug 2026|**51.7**|\-3.5|🔴| |**Sep 2026**\*|**47.8**|**-3.9**|🔴|

TheVirginVibes

Adding BLRX (BioLineRx) to this list. They have a mini-oral at EANO in Rome tomorrow (Fri 9/25, 6:00pm CEST / noon ET) on GLIX1, SNO in November, and a Phase 2b pancreatic futility readout still due this year. Small market cap with a lot of H2 catalysts finally coming. It’s been like watching the grass grow this year, but finally ready to take a leap.

Late-Tadpole-2318

PEZESHKIAN SET FOR FOX NEWS INTERVIEW TONIGHT Iranian Prez Masoud Pezeshkian is scheduled for a Fox News interview today at 1:00 PM ET. The interview will be conducted by Bret Baier. Oh shit lol

atrox3838

Is there any way to watch the bond auction later today or do we just have to wait for the data to be released 2pm ET

Middle-Conclusion-67

The U.S. Treasury's $6 billion debt buyback operation on September 24, 2026, is scheduled to run from 1:40 pm to 2:00 pm Eastern Time (ET)

Spy300

>In just a few hours (1:00 PM ET), the Treasury must sell $44 Billion of 7-Year Notes (91282CRM5) plus $175 Billion of T-Bills into a market where the 30Y is at 5.44% and Williams is threatening more hikes. >Primary Dealers were already stuffed with $11B of unwanted 5Y paper and 40% of the 2Y FRN yesterday. >If today's 7-Year auction tails into this tape, the 30-Year yield will pierce 5.50%, and 10-Year yields will cross 5.15%–5.20%.

Eastern-Joke-7537

“ET phone home.”

Aggravating-Drag-207

I am in this for quite some time and what I learned the most is that you don't want to take stocks overnight. Always sell the same day. Buy after 8:00 a.m. (ET) Sell before 4:00 p.m. (ET)

tldamico

The preliminary (flash) U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for September 2026 from [S&P Global](https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Release/PressReleases) is scheduled for release today at 9:45 a.m. ET. \[[1](https://www.ad-hoc-news.de/boerse/news/nebenwerte/s-and-p-global-stock-ends-the-day-higher-at-the-close/70159654), [2](https://thenqmarketwizard.substack.com/p/nq-trade-plan-923-e29)\] 📊 What Markets Expect Today * **Manufacturing PMI:** Forecast at 53.5 (down slightly from 53.9 in August). \[[1](https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/us-pmi-data-drops-today-114037592.html)\] * **Services PMI:** Forecast at 56.0 (easing from 56.5 previously). \[[1](https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/us-pmi-data-drops-today-114037592.html)\] * **Composite PMI:** Expected to reflect ongoing private-sector resilience above the key 50-point growth threshold. \[[1](https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/us-pmi-data-drops-today-114037592.html)\] ✅ Key Indicators to Watch * **Growth vs. Contraction:** Any number above 50 signals expansion; anything below points to contraction. \[[1](https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/us-pmi-data-drops-today-114037592.html)\] * **Inflation & Costs:** Executives continue to monitor input price pressures tied to fuel and tariffs. \[[1](https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/manufacturing-pmi)\] * **Employment Trends:** Surveys track whether job creation maintains momentum amid steady business optimism. \[[1](https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/manufacturing-pmi)\]

tldamico

The preliminary (flash) U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for September 2026 from S&P Global is scheduled for release today at 9:45 a.m. ET.📊 What Markets Expect TodayManufacturing PMI: Forecast at 53.5 (down slightly from 53.9 in August).Services PMI: Forecast at 56.0 (easing from 56.5 previously).Composite PMI: Expected to reflect ongoing private-sector resilience above the key 50-point growth threshold.✅ Key Indicators to WatchGrowth vs. Contraction: Any number above 50 signals expansion; anything below points to contraction.Inflation & Costs: Executives continue to monitor input price pressures tied to fuel and tariffs.Employment Trends: Surveys track whether job creation maintains momentum amid steady business optimism.

arslanefe

Hi, the analysis here utilized rolling 1-month 4-hour candle closes. I understand your concerns and acknowledge the valid points you raised; the objective is essentially to evaluate the "realm of possibilities" based on supporting data from the correlation regime analysis. https://preview.redd.it/6818ycfwb9rh1.png?width=1199&format=png&auto=webp&s=c0215fd8c7a03f5ec0ce569e039afae7020f76ac Furthermore, a quick check reveals that the regime mentioned in the post has ended: a downtrend at the +0.26 level began on September 2 at 12:00 ET and concluded on September 15 at 12:00 ET (32 candles, 128 trading hours). During this period, NVDA fell 6.64% and TSLA rose 2.10%. Since September 15 at 12:00, the correlation between them has been in an uptrend (22 candles, 88 trading hours), with NVDA rising 7.83% and TSLA rising 4.97%.

financiallythriving

QQQ hit ATH during 4am-4:10am ET candle by the way

nutsbonkers

Check top gainers at 930am ET, find something with high volume going up, buy an otm 0dte call, sell before it drops. It's a gamble. Or just buy $400 of that same stock and hold until your huevos shrivel and you panic sell for a nice 8% when it starts to go down fast.

lobeams

1) If you don't know the answer to this question quit trading options until you do know. 2) Depends on if you have a margin account. If you don't then there is no margin for you, and if you don't have the assets to cover assignment, expect the LEAPS to be closed sometime after 3:00 pm ET on expiration day. 3) You need to give access to your brokerage account to someone you trust before you croak. If you're not married, I recommend using someone who's legally bound to do the right thing (CPA, lawyer, etc).

financiallythriving

Major AI Capex cut announcements at 9am ET tomorrow

Deep_Fennel638

This bear made 5.5% and liquidated his positions at 11AM ET.

beeArebel

2-year Treasury Auction at 1 pm ET could be interesting for stonks

_Der_Auslaender_

9.55 ET

Play_Background

It's all fun and games, then 7am ET hits and you blow this up

D_Pablo67

Your risk profile warrants more conservative approach to investing. I do not believe we are in a financial crisis, just the opposite with AI, fixed investments and productivity booms. Here are some of my more conservative holdings designed to add portfolio balance and income: Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT), Realty Income (O), Enterprise Products (EPD), Energy Transfer (ET), East West Bancorp (EWBC), Newmont Mining (NEM)

ThanksDependent1001

I hope you all remember where you were during the great ber market 9/16/26 2:15ET-4PM.

SeaworthinessFast161

NOK posts some great news for the company. Stock moves accordingly when Europe wakes. 930am ET, Americans start trading. NOK takes a massive shit

Live_Throat_5252

Someone on the correct side of addition by subtraction, I suppose. Some real ET phone home type shit. Or is that a roller coaster?

nateccs

can't wait for the 'open the casino already' posts between 8-9pm ET

orcofmordor

The deal would remove the last significant hurdle the media mogul David Ellison faced to create a news and entertainment empire, home to movie studios, HBO, CBS and CNN. By Benjamin MullinDavid McCabeShawn Hubler and Laurel Rosenhall Sept. 21, 2026, 11:03 a.m. ET Paramount reached an agreement on Monday to resolve an antitrust lawsuit delaying its $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, according to four people familiar with the negotiations, eliminating the last significant barrier to the creation of an entertainment and media colossus. A group of states, led by California’s attorney general, Rob Bonta, a Democrat, sued Paramount in July, arguing that an acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery would concentrate too much power over cable TV and blockbuster films under one company. After weeks of on-again-off-again negotiations, Paramount and the states agreed to a number of concessions to complete the deal, according to the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss details not yet made public. The entertainment giant has agreed to establish a board of journalists to ensure the editorial independence of CNN and CBS News and committed to distributing 30 movies in theaters every year. The company also pledged to spend an additional $1.5 billion on film production over the next five years. A completion of the blockbuster deal would create one of the largest entertainment companies in the world. It would pair Paramount’s movie studio with Warner Bros., which has made films like “Superman,” “A Minecraft Movie” and “Sinners.” The combined company would also own two major streaming services, Paramount+ and HBO Max, and control both CNN and CBS News. The deal would make David Ellison, Paramount’s chief executive, one of the most powerful people in the entertainment industry, backed by the fortune of his father, the billionaire Oracle co-founder, Larry Ellison. The Ellison family’s ties to President Trump — which included a dinner David Ellison hosted this spring “honoring the Trump White House” — have made Democrats and many journalists at CNN wary of the deal. Paramount and Mr. Bonta did not immediately respond to requests for comment. This is a developing story. Please check back for updates. Benjamin Mullin reports for The Times on the major companies behind news and entertainment. Contact him securely on Signal at +1 530-961-3223 or at benjamin.mullin@nytimes.com. David McCabe is a Times reporter who covers the complex legal and policy issues created by the digital economy and new technologies. Shawn Hubler is The Times’s Los Angeles bureau chief, reporting on the news, trends and personalities of Southern California. Laurel Rosenhall is a Sacramento-based reporter covering California politics and government for The Times.

financiallythriving

Imagine this being the final squeeze and the bubble pop starts at 10:04 am ET

First-Hotel4694

Me I've been buying a diverse portfolio of dividend stocks along with tech, financials, retail, material, etc.. The way I look at it is if everything goes under I can still collect the dividends which secures me an income even if it is less than I had been getting it's still an income. Some like VZ are aristocrats, others like ET are fairly high yield and stable due to being toll collectors, and still others are banks. I have a couple of Reits but looking to quit them and move to another asset class of dividend payer. I don't keep much cash as every time I accumulate some I say to myself it's just sitting there not really earning anything so I invest it which has gotten me into trouble in the past when I get caught with the shorts but to me that's part of trading as long as I finish ahead I'm happy.

SpiderWil

US-China meeting starts at 10:30 AM ET on Sunday, September 20 in New York - enjoy your daily torture but on a weekend

financiallythriving

Imagine having an ice cold Coke Zero at 9am ET

VotedOut

Nice try, but the article doesn't go into expenses either. I looked up the article and didn't see anything in it that goes into expenses or costs. [Here](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/18/technology/anthropic-ipo-ai-safety.html) is the New York Times article from today that I'm assuming is the article being referenced by OP (it's behind a paywall, so I went to [archive.is](http://archive.is) and put the link in it to see the text). Here is a copy/paste of the text here. Tell me which part goes into expense/cost numbers: >**Anthropic Moves Ahead With I.P.O. Plans Amid A.I. Safety Debate** >The company is expected to generate $100 billion in annualized revenue this year, even as chief executive Dario Amodei calls for slowing down development of some advanced A.I. models. >Sept. 18, 2026, 4:03 p.m. ET >Dario Amodei, Anthropic’s chief executive, roiled Wall Street and Silicon Valley recently when he called for more guardrails on the pace of artificial intelligence development. >But even as Dr. Amodei became embroiled in a contentious A.I safety debate, his company — which makes the Claude chatbot — continued to prepare for a blockbuster initial public offering that may shape up to be the biggest listing ever. >The company is expected to generate more than $100 billion in annualized revenue this year, according to four people familiar with the matter. That’s up from $65 billion in annualized revenue as of July. Investors seeking to get a piece of the I.P.O. are using those soaring numbers to justify Anthropic’s staggering potential valuation of $2 trillion. >The A.I. lab could publicly release financial documents detailing its offering as soon as in the coming weeks, which could put it on track for its shares to start trading as soon as November, said two people with knowledge of the situation who, like others quoted in this article, spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the confidential plans. >The people stressed that the plans could still change. The timing of I.P.O.s are always subject to change because of factors like shifting investor sentiment and market volatility. >That is particularly the case for a company that is a leading force in an unpredictable industry in which many executives, including its own leader, are increasingly warning about sizable risks. >That the giant I.P.O. is plowing ahead highlights a broader tension surrounding A.I.: Despite worldly concerns about the technology’s disruptive powers, the returns these companies promise to investors are enormously tantalizing. >Going public could give Anthropic quick access to capital to help fund its large financial needs, in particular the substantial computing costs necessary to build and run its A.I. models. >Investors expect the company to have about [five gigawatts’ worth of compute](https://archive.is/o/eAELh/https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/18/business/dealbook/ai-legal-liability.html) — the industry term for computing power — available to use by the end of the year, and would roughly double that capacity by the end of next year, according to three people familiar with the figures. That would put it on par with its rival OpenAI. >On Thursday, Anthropic hosted about 100 investors from venture capital firms at its San Francisco headquarters to discuss its technology offerings in a customer event, according to two people familiar with the event. >Jared Kaplan and Ben Mann, two of Anthropic’s co-founders, and Boris Cherny, the head of Claude Code, made presentations alongside Andrej Karpathy, a researcher and co-founder of OpenAI who joined Anthropic this year, the people said. >Anthropic’s bankers and its executives, including Dr. Amodei and its chief financial officer, Krishna Rao, have also met with potential investors in the I.PO. in recent weeks. The company has taken meetings with those who are willing to write large checks, or are pre-existing investors in Anthropic, four people familiar with the discussions said. >Some smaller investors are hoping to invest at the I.P.O. but haven’t yet managed to obtain an audience with management, these people say. >In some of these meetings, the company has pointed to the positive aspects of artificial intelligence, including its research into biology and potential to cure diseases, according to three people familiar with the pitch. >When asked about the potential threat from China offering cheaper [open-weight](https://archive.is/o/eAELh/https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/28/technology/open-weight-ai.html) A.I. models — which publicly provide the underlying calculations of their systems — Anthropic has downplayed the competition. The company has told investors that only a small portion of businesses rely on such models, one person familiar said. >Several investors also said they believe Anthropic can expand its business even if it slows certain A.I. development, as Dr. Amodei recently called for. That’s because the company generates a majority of its revenue selling Claude to business customers, who are still early in their adoption of the technology. >Still, bankers and lawyers say Anthropic is wading through largely uncharted territory with its I.P.O. >Dr. Amodei’s safety warnings raise questions about potential liabilities for the company if, for example, a rogue agent leads to litigation. (These risks are not generally insured.) Dr. Amodei called for the development slowdown shortly after a former Anthropic researcher warned the chance that A.I. could make humans extinct within a decade was greater than 10 percent, creating more cosmic concerns. >“My experience is, it’s a bit like political risk, investors just kind of get their arms around it and just deal with it,” said Craig Coben, a former global head of equity capital markets at Bank of America. >Anthropic’s I.P.O. also raises questions about whether Dr. Amodei can ensure the safety of advanced A.I. models and withstand the pressures of running a publicly traded company that is subject to the whims of public investors clamoring for growth. >Some Anthropic investors argue that as a public company, it can achieve those goals simultaneously. >“Anthropic will IPO,” wrote Brad Gerstner of Altimeter Capital on [social media](https://archive.is/o/eAELh/https://x.com/altcap/status/2098881125699797320) on Sept. 12. He added, “And its beneficial / critical that we bring even more transparency, scrutiny, accountability, & participation to these grt American companies!” >As a public company, Anthropic would provide insights into its business, most notably its financials. It would also spread the wealth it generates beyond a handful of private shareholders, potentially giving more of the country a direct stake in the success and safety of A.I. >There may be limits to that transparency, said Jesse Fried, a law professor Harvard Law School, who has studied Anthropic’s governance. Anthropic would still be able to keep some data — like what is transpiring in its lab — confidential. >“If you’re worried about, like, agents emerging from the testing dungeons of Anthropic and taking over the world, it doesn’t really help,” Mr. Fried said. >OpenAI is taking a different approach. Last week, its chief executive, Sam Altman, said the company was putting off its public listing until 2027. The company had already been [weighing a 2027 listing](https://archive.is/o/eAELh/https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/25/technology/openai-ipo-artificial-intelligence.html) as it shores up its finances and tries for a $1 trillion valuation. (It is in talks to privately [raise](https://archive.is/o/eAELh/https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/business/dealbook/openai-new-funding-round.html) funds at a $1.5 trillion valuation.) >(The New York Times has [sued](https://archive.is/o/eAELh/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/27/business/media/new-york-times-open-ai-microsoft-lawsuit.html) OpenAI and Microsoft, claiming copyright infringement of news content related to A.I. systems. The two companies have denied those claims.) >OpenAI’s delay may make it even more appealing for Anthropic to go public now, said Edward Best, a partner in capital markets at the law firm Willkie Farr & Gallagher, before any regulation forced broad change upon the industry. >“If you can get your valuation out, I would say strike while the iron’s hot,” Mr. Best said.

financiallythriving

Major AI CapEX collapse announcements at 4:01pm ET

financiallythriving

At 4:01pm ET all the tech giants will announce a 90% reduction in CapEX and then at 4:02pm ET China will flood the market with 99% cheaper memory

Agreeable_Factor_458

Epd, ET, Wells Fargo and Jaaa

FaithlessnessOk7379

Trader Read: Weak/flat rigs = WTI ↑ | Inflation ↑ | 10Y ↑ | Tech pressure. Strong rigs = WTI ↓ | Inflation pressure ↓ | 10Y pressure ↓ | Tech relief. release at 1:00 PM ET today, Friday, September 18, 2026.

FaithlessnessOk7379

Morning Economic Data Releases9:15 AM ET: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization (August)10:00 AM ET: The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) (August)10:00 AM ET: State Employment and Unemployment Monthly Data (August) from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Routine-Agent-160

Anyone watching USDJPY? Mother of God. Massive short squeeze. Forex traders are net short on USDJPY. Because of 7-2 vote instead of 9-0, and just a 0.25% hike, the bond traders are showing their fuck you to the government. If the BoJ governor at 2:30 AM ET doesn’t go out with his dick swinging, the yen will absolutely collapse.

financiallythriving

The Bank of Japan announces its policy rate decision between 11:00 PM and 1:00 AM ET, with Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference following at around **2:30 AM ET** Rate hike is already priced in by the way

Swiifttx

He was in the WSB Discord talking about it all the time! We have a Daily Market Talk voice channel ran every day from 8:30am ET to market close. [discord.gg/wsbverse](http://discord.gg/wsbverse)

amanj41

Genuinely insane how consistent this pattern has been on S&P besides FOMC day. Small to moderate overnight move, HOD / LOD set by 11am ET, pin for the rest of day

financiallythriving

SPY about to eat today’s loss and it’s not even 8pm ET yet lol

Beginning-Fig-9089

FOMC Press Conference with Chair Warsh 2:30 PM ET - [WATCH LIVE](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yPYZpwSpKmA)

Dagger_000

Fed rate decision at 2PM ET today. Expect volatility across the market as the announcement hits. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference follows at 2:30 PM ET..

Dry_Register_4641

I amma sit out until 2pm ET today.

financiallythriving

Why can’t FOMC be like at 10am ET?

DayTradeJ

More like sell the wings before 2ET and watch the volatility crush cash you win.

remilk123

2:30 p.m. ET aka judgement day :clifford:

financiallythriving

2pm ET tomorrow for the initial real jerk 2:30pm ET decides the real move

tinim9

I asked Claude AI agent this: *"Schwab filled 10 SPX options contract $10 cheaper than intrinsic value. Please look at the attached images and let me know your take on this issue.*" Below is the response. OP, you have case. Looking at your images: you had a **stop-market** sell order on the SPXW 7690 put (stop = $85.00), and it filled in three pieces at 11:05 AM — $75.30, $74.90, and $74.90 — for an average fill around **$74.94**. Here's the intrinsic value problem: * At **11:05 AM**, SPX was at **$7,594.84** (image 3). Intrinsic value of the 7690 put = 7690 − 7594.84 = **$95.16**. * At **11:06 AM**, SPX was at **$7,605.16** (image 2). Intrinsic value = 7690 − 7605.16 = **$84.84**. Either way you slice it, your contracts filled roughly **$10–20 below intrinsic value** at the moment they executed. That's the issue you're flagging, and it's a legitimate one — for a cash-settled, European-style index option like SPX/SPXW, the price should almost never trade meaningfully below intrinsic value, because there's no early-exercise arbitrage but market makers still generally won't sell below intrinsic (they'd be handing away a "free" $10–20 per contract, ×10 contracts ×100 = $10,000–20,000). **What likely happened:** 1. **Stop-market orders have no price protection.** Your order was a *stop*, not a *stop-limit*. Once SPX hit the level that triggered your $85 stop, the order became a plain market order and filled at whatever the prevailing bid was — not at $85, and not tied to intrinsic value at all. 2. **The chart shows exactly the kind of whipsaw that causes this.** Between \~10:40 and 11:15, SPX was swinging violently (down to the 7590s, back up, down again). During fast, volatile moves like that, option quotes/bids can go stale, gap, or get temporarily thin, so a market order can print well away from fair value for a few seconds. 3. **Multiple small fills at the same lousy price (8 contracts at $74.90) suggests you hit a thin/stale bid**, not necessarily a "flash crash" print — likely a market maker's resting bid that hadn't updated fast enough during the swing, and your market order swept it. **What this does** ***not*** **necessarily mean:** it doesn't automatically mean Schwab did something wrong — the exchange, not the broker, determines whose bid gets hit, and Schwab is obligated to route for best execution among *displayed* quotes, not to guarantee intrinsic-value pricing. But a fill that far below intrinsic, especially across multiple fills, is exactly the kind of thing brokers and exchanges will review as a **potential erroneous trade / "clearly erroneous execution."** **What I'd do:** * Call Schwab's trading desk (not just chat) and specifically ask for a **trade execution review / clearly erroneous trade claim**, citing the SPX level at 11:05 AM ET vs. your fill price. * Ask Schwab to check whether **CBOE (SPX's listing exchange)** flagged that print as erroneous — exchanges have rules (e.g., CBOE Rule on erroneous trades) for options executed a set dollar/percentage amount away from theoretical value in fast markets. * Get the **time & sales / NBBO snapshot** for SPXW 7690P at 11:05 AM from Schwab — if the NBBO bid was actually higher than $74.90 at that instant, you have a strong case your order was filled outside the NBBO, which is a real violation. I'm not a lawyer or financial advisor, so treat this as informational, not a guarantee of outcome — but the numbers you've shown are a legitimate basis to push Schwab for a review or adjustment.

Beginning_Juice_4296

it's 4am ET... i got my whole week's worth of plays laid out... yall is not fucking with me...

Low_Plastic363

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to its highest level since 2007 on Tuesday as a sell-off in U.S. government debt deepened ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision. The 10-year yield jumped more than 6 basis points to 5.025% as of 1.10 a.m. ET. On Monday, the 10-year yield had briefly crossed 5%, before sliding a little.

amanj41

Almost every day within the past few weeks S&P has set daily high or daily low by noon ET and either chopped sideways or slightly in the opposite direction for the rest of the day. In this regime it’s best to open positions overnight and close in the morning IMO

crumpus

I don't buy anything in the first hour of market open. I use it to gauage my range. I've seen enough days where options $0.15 to $0.25 cents ended up being $2 to $4 by market close that I've been trying to catch one for months. I already did two plays that put me up $700 and decided to buy these around 10:30 ET. There appears to be some resistance building at 758 when looking back over the past week it seemed like a reasonable bottom.

082426grateful

Bond yields retreating slightly at 2:40pm ET. Who got tipped off early?

No_Cable_3346

And some people will still believe and support them lmao. Unreal. 

BigWarning8696

"The halt was triggered at approximately **6:58 AM ET** under the code **"News Pending,"** ahead of a major corporate announcemen"

arslanefe

Hi. Correlation regime detection often relies directly on the raw Pearson method, which is problematic. It is unsuitable for financial instruments by definition—since financial instruments do not follow a normal distribution, Pearson becomes invalid—and it yields an overly sensitive coefficient. In this case, the Meta-GOOGL correlation coefficient is calculated using the logarithmic values ​​of 4-hour candle closing data. The correlation coefficient itself is a composite score incorporating Pearson, Spearman, and EWMA; I actually outlined the methodology in the post. I assume you wouldn't claim that the Meta-GOOGL correlation failed to diverge. So, I am unclear on why you consider the correlation analysis flawed. I don't mean to sound condescending, but I hold a degree in econometrics; I graduated in January and have been focusing specifically on correlation ever since. If you have a superior calculation method that guards against "incorrect filtering," I would be interested to learn about it. As for the timing... as I understand it, you are claiming that this news—or this regime shift—dates back to September 9th. If you re-examine the post, the algorithm actually entered a downtrend on September 8th at 12:00 PM ET. In other words, I received the alert about the Meta-Google regime shift even earlier than you expected (the system sends out emails). The reason I mentioned in my previous reply that I posted it late was simply that \*I\* was late posting it to the subreddit; I didn't feel like doing it right away, I was trying to format it for the sub, I had other things to attend to, and so on. I could have published the post at 12:01 PM ET on September 8th—that probably would have made for a happier outcome. All the best.

Apprehensive-Size150

Im up substantially, not even including dividends. Average costs being ET at $16.05, T at $16.89, and WMB at $32.63 So no, it’s not a poor choice

perceptive_AI

Tesla Roadster Unveil 10.01 PUMP ET

Level_Werewolf_8901

Is this real? This is dated for tomorrow 9-12-26 at 2:08am... its currently 9-11-26 630pm ET.... i do not understand

papakong88

https://preview.redd.it/basu4k2oeyoh1.png?width=207&format=png&auto=webp&s=4101ba8914ced465911628c066ea3a6a0d7cda2c At 5:30 ET.

Affectionate-Idea690

Bruh,..here is The Catch (Watch out at 8:30 AM ET)The green you are seeing in futures is highly fragile pre-market positioning.The Bab el-Mandeb takeover is a structural, long-term supply chain disaster that will take weeks to fully bleed into corporate earnings reports and retail margins. Conversely, macro traders care about the exact second the CPI data drops. If that inflation print comes in hot this morning, the minor relief rally in futures will evaporated instantly, and the market will aggressively pivot back to panic mode over both interest rates and the energy crisis.  GL regards see ya in a few hours at Wendy's don't be late.

financiallythriving

Gonna wait till 10:45am ET to make a move tomorrow Not gonna get IV crushed + gaped

jarMburger

CPI report at 8:30ET

julian_jakobi

🚨 Reminder: [$BLGO](https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BLGO) earnings call + shareholder townhall today BioLargo will review Q2 2026 financial results, recent milestones, and hold an extended public Q&A. 🗓️ Thursday, Sept. 10 ⏰ 1:00 PM PT / 4:00 PM ET 🎥 Webcast: [webcaster5.com/Webcast/Page...](https://stkt.co/R9nf5Y23) Join a few minutes early to register and make sure the webcast is working. Looking forward to hearing the update and the answers to the questions from shareholders.

thewaterb0yyyy

Sold my $OXY and $ET for profit so expect some big green candles tomorrow

CGPictures

It starts at 1pm ET.

building-block-s

Scott has ET hands

financiallythriving

cash settled, roughly 10 times larger than SPY contracts, and qualify for Section 1256 tax treatment (60% long-term / 40% short-term). Can also trade extended hours, 8:15pm-9:25am, 9:30am-5pm ET

Da1lyGa1ns

Conference CEO speaking at the 2026 Cantor Global Healthcare Conference 8:35 am ET

terrybmw335

I loaded up on pipeline MLPs last year like ET and EPD, and I'm glad I did. They are up 30-40% and pay great tax efficient dividends (return of capital).

Itchy_Purpose5269

Futures were red on extremely low volume holiday trading, starting to pick up now as standard futures trading kicks in after 8pm ET

Bright_Mix_773

There is a free way to see it in the first minute rather than the first hour, and it is not any of the aggregators: go to EDGAR directly. The release is a filing. It goes up as an 8-K carrying item 2.02, "Results of Operations and Financial Condition", and it is public the moment the SEC accepts it, ahead of Yahoo, Nasdaq or anything that has to crawl it. Per company there is an Atom feed you can poll or just leave open in a tab: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=AAPL&type=8-K&output=atom The press release comes attached as an exhibit, usually EX-99.1, so what you get is the company's own document with the actual numbers in it, not somebody's summary of them. Two things that make a 25-minute wait feel wrong when it isn't. "After the close" mostly means straight after: across 64,938 S&P 500 item 2.02 filings from April 2003 to September 2026, 41.8% went out after the close, and 13.4% of the whole file landed in the fifteen minutes from 16:00 to 16:14 ET. That is about a third of the entire after-close group out inside the first quarter hour, so at 25 minutes with nothing showing, it probably was never coming at the bell. And a company can post the release on its investor relations page before the 8-K is accepted, or after; the two are minutes apart in either direction and neither reliably leads. On the chatbot answer, since it is the one that worked here: 40 minutes after the close a model is reading whatever got crawled, and for a fresh release that is often still the estimate rather than the reported figure. Worth checking the number it hands you against the exhibit. The counts above come out of a file I keep of those filings. The pipeline that reads them is written by a language model and a person decides what gets published.

Bright_Mix_773

Yes. Not often, but a long way from never, and the answer has a number. An earnings release is filed with the SEC as an 8-K carrying item 2.02. I have every one of those filed by S&P 500 constituents from April 2003 to September 2026, 64,938 filings, each with the minute it reached EDGAR. Where they land: * before the open: 46.4% (30,101) * after the close: 41.8% (27,142) * during the session: 11.7% (7,593) * not classifiable: 0.2% (102) So roughly one in nine goes out with the market open. Worth adding that the post-close group is not spread across the evening either: 13.4% of all filings land in the fifteen minutes from 16:00 to 16:14 ET, right on top of the bell. Caveat on my own figures, because it bears on the ones above. Those timestamps come from EDGAR's acceptance record, and I have that column marked provisional in the file itself, since a few minutes of error either way relabels anything sitting on the 16:00 boundary, and that is where a lot of the mass is. On knowing the day: the company tells you, ahead of time, on its investor relations page, and it lands on the free calendars from there. Which is the hole in the plan in your post. Everyone has the same date, so the option prices already carry the event; you are not buying a known catalyst cheaply, you are paying the going rate for it. The date is public, the direction is not, and the direction is the only thing you would actually be betting on. The counts are counts out of that file, not estimates. The pipeline that reads the filings is written by a language model and a person decides what gets published.

Da1lyGa1ns

Monday the market is closed. I anticipate buying on Tuesday before the major conference happens on Wednesday 9/9 at 8:35 am ET! I think the ceo will give good news.

Relevant123568

8:35 am ET is oddly specific timing

timee_bot

View in your timezone: [9/9/26 at 8:35 am ET][1] [1]: https://timee.io/20260909T1235?tl=%24TENX+To+present+at+Cantor+Global+Healthcare+Conference+9%2F9%2F26+%40+8%3A35+am+ET.

spxspreads

For those who follow, I have updated the ES chart with the levels. Note, we have the NFP report at 08:30 am ET today. We expect repositioning. https://preview.redd.it/a1y3pyigqgnh1.png?width=1738&format=png&auto=webp&s=503c957eeb41c011b1dc372b3d654a244a7d7714

MischievousDoor

8:30 ET

Delicious_Put_5857

go show up at 9 ET the night before the official date

klipsetrades

Yeah, I didn’t take the CCS side until SPX broke to the upside around 11:00 AM PT/2:00 PM ET. I was already holding a PCS, so I just let that work. Once SPX broke the consolidation structure later in the day, I took the CCS against that upside pressure, keeping it above the resistance level I had marked

stockratic

# Additional intraday context (same source) Fintel’s feed shows CYCU availability fluctuating throughout the morning: * **300K shares @ 78.8% fee** (most recent) * Earlier spikes: * **153.6% fee** when availability briefly dropped to **35K–150K** * **81.7% fee** at 12:47 ET with 300K available