Reddit Posts
What if the 2008 collapse, SVB, and GLD's April drop all had the same structural signal weeks before price moved?
THE BIGGEST BILLIONAIRE HAS SPOKEN OF A RECESSION , WHERE DO YOU THINK THE RECESSION CRACK WILL HAPPEN
My portfolio evolved from bear to bull
My portfolio evolved from bear to bull
The only lesson I’ve learnt during last 1.5 years is to stay invested
My portfolio evolved from bear to bull
Gold ETFs good buy right now after the pullback or should I be divesting some?
GLD down 1.2 percent and USO up 4 percent on the same Monday. The gold oil divergence is telling you something.
$170k gain porn from my AI datacenter bull DD 2 months ago
How to safely use buying power for vertical spread on GLD .
This market has me bullish for 11 minutes at a time and somehow that’s enough to ruin my whole day
DD: Gold is the new BTC — The "Safe Haven" Narrative Is Dead
GLD options taught me something painful about "obvious" trades and implied volatility
Any specific ratio to set up recurring investment for Roth IRA long term?
We backtested 80+ tactical allocation strategies over 30 years, here's what actually holds up
Iran pause sparked a rally, but options flow is saying it’s mostly a hedge unwind
$USO $BNO YOLO. Rolled strikes another week. Oil $150+ in April.
Begginer here first buy: should i buy UCTIS ETFs or US? Eu based
Why aren't gold and silver going up more as money comes out of the market and crypto?
The Payrolls Bomb, the Oil Shock, and the Wall Street Shouting Match That Followed
What are your stock picks for Monday (regarding Iran vs USA)?
Sec. of State Marco Rubio heading to Israel March 2-3 to talk Iran, Lebanon, Gaza peace plan – State Dept just announced.
US orders non-essential embassy staff to leave Israel ASAP as Iran war risks spike.
Option Selling Strategy Idea on Large Portfolio of ETFs
GLD Is Coiling — Next Move Could Be Violent
GLD Is Coiling — Next Move Could Be Violent
GLD Is Coiling — Next Move Could Be Violent
Metal stocks, most will chase. $AUST $SLV $GLD
Moved HYSA funds to brokerage for investment towards a down payment, medium term length at about 7 years.
GLD leap options, high OI, low volume, wide spread.
Sold puts on GLD after the 12% crash. Here's how I used Monte Carlo to find my strikes.
Reddit Ticker Mentions FEB.02.2026 - $SLV, $MSFT, $SNDK, $SPY, $PLTR, $NVDA, $SOBR, $HOOD, $GLD, $DKI
Reddit Ticker Mentions FEB.02.2026 - $SLV, $MSFT, $SNDK, $SPY, $PLTR, $NVDA, $SOBR, $HOOD, $GLD, $DKI
GLD Reversal this week, may be.
$4.02 Trillion Wiped from Gold and Silver Market Caps Today
GLD pullback – backward vs forward analysis (trying to sanity check my bias)
Gold/ GLD Didn’t Dump Because of “News” — It Was Options & Leverage (GLD vs Futures Explained)
Weekend Breakdown: Partial Gov Shutdown Active + Fed Hawks (Musalem) push back on cuts.
Eating the cheese on the GLD & SLV mousetrap
Imagine losing money on 0DTE $GLD puts today
My quick DD on GLD and SLV crash on jan30
Gold/Silver bagholders come out and vent on this thread
GLD gains - 220% across 4 strategies. 23k profit
China halts trading in 5 silver and oil funds to limit risk amid volatility
Mentions
buying TXN and GLD dip was not the play today
My port was full of GLD calls -%99 red, still mange to lose -%15 today
There is almost no difference between physical gold or gold ETFs. The only time when having gold bars under your bed is better is if literally nuclear war happens and the entire financial system breaks down. Holding physical gold ETFs like PHYS vs GLD just gets you higher fees and wouldn't even protect you if nuclear war happens because there is no way for you to get that physical gold anyway.
Depends on the ETF I suppose. GLD holds physical gold.
Need spy and GLD to recover $10 today im so fucked
just stacking GLD and SLV and waiting for the real dip to come
GLD looks hella tasty here
GLD are you ok? Need you to go back up
Love how GLD trades alongside the data center stocks. What are we even doing man
Ran an 18-year backtest on this. The Schur score - holds across 2008, 2011, 2015, 2020, 2022, and 2023. On false positives: transition signals don't all lead to price events and aren't designed to. Breakdown-level scores sustained for more than a few days show a meaningfully skewed subsequent price distribution compared to stable periods. Not a binary predictor - a conditional risk elevation. On boring markets: long quiet stretches like 2013-14 and 2016-17 produce long stretches of stable scores with nothing firing. The score is relatively inactive during low-volatility trending phases. Yeah 18 years of backtest isn't 18 years of live signals. GLD April is the cleanest live case I have - signal fired, timestamped, outcome confirmed.
Good question and I want to be straight about what I know and don't know. I don't have a rigorous false positive rate across a large sample. What I have are specific cases where the signal fired and I can point to an outcome - GLD April, SVB, Lehman. I also have cases where the score entered transition and price didn't materially move (some of the SPY transitions in 2022-23 resolved without major events). I mentioned the COVID case where it correctly didn't fire on an exogenous crash. Running a proper out-of-sample false positive rate on a large asset universe is the obvious next step. I haven't done it at scale yet.
Buying GLD and gold miner puts here on this pump, for the inevitable, 3-day fade.
I slammed GLD weeklies before close yesterday, this shit might actually work
Diversify with different stocks. Buy a few shares of each. Let it right. Too many buy/hold index funds but swing trade stocks. Probably not the way to do it — overall indexes move off behavioral psychology. Individual stocks follow the market. The trend is your friend until it’s not. However, at this time, it appears that EVERYTHING is headed for Asset Hyperinflation. Look at the charts. Look at the fundamentals. Gold and silver are probably worth buying too… at some point… maybe if gold spikes again to new highs then suddenly crashes. You could buy in at that low. Don’t over trade index ETFs but don’t under trade either. Just buy less than you think you need and trade a bit less. But take your signals. If you wanna get better you have to start somewhere. Invest in individual stocks each month. Hyperinflation lifts all boats. The indexes will lead individual stocks but you need the 100X stocks to turbo charge your portfolio. I’ve made all the bad trades already so I don’t care as much. About to start buying/trading. Maybe DDM (3X DJIA). If I see a BIG opportunity to swing trade (or buy puts) I will do that. But options were overpriced when I was trading them a few months ago. Especially SLV and GLD as those metals surged into tops then melted down in bear market sell offs. Look at the ticker, check out the charts. Pick up some index ETFs and track them. Find a comparable market in history (is there one?). Pick up a share or 3 or as many stocks as you think sound interesting. Is it worth buying dividend stocks? Who knows. 😂
#SLV and GLD time again?
The Fed is going to let the inflation run HOT hoping the economy can outgrow inflation. Half of the move higher in the $SPY is a DXY devaluation trade. The other half is what I like to call the AI circle jerk bubble. Inflation is killing the value of the USD. In prior times the Fed would have hiked interest rates above the actual CPI inflation rate to kill inflation. Investors would have moved some of their capital from stocks & equities towards safe haven of guaranteed US Treasuries paying a rate above inflation. The Fed can't do that now since the US debt interest payments have exceeded US defense spending as the largest liability on their books. I would recommend looking outside the USA or at least look at the entire world. I've been mostly buying $VXUS (World ex US), $VT (World plus US), and $PHYS/$GLD (Gold). If the current USA economy isn't working for 90% of the population and our USD become more worthless everyday then use those USD to buy cheaper hard assets and stocks outside of the USA with those USD. You can be bearish on the US economy and still buy stocks & hard assets. Good Luck
The continuous fade on GLD and gold miner stocks won't end until there is truly an end to the war. GDX 6/18 103p AU 6/18 90p AEM 6/18 190p AGI 6/18 48p
How does it feel being a GLD cuck and getting smoked by MU?
Hmm... Interesting. Let's see what I can dig up for you on these two stocks. GLD stands for "SPDR Gold Shares," which is a gold-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the price of gold bullion. SLV, on the other hand, stands for "iShares Silver Trust" and it's an ETF that tracks the silver spot price. So basically, these two funds are trying to track the prices of gold and silver, respectively. Now, as far as their performance goes, GLD has underperformed SLV since inception, largely due to the fact that gold is a more volatile asset than silver. However, this could change over time depending on market conditions. As for SLV, it's been more or less flat since its inception, but we can expect some fluctuations based on market sentiment towards silver as an investment. In terms of potential risks associated with these funds, both have the risk of losing value if there is a significant drop in precious metal prices. Additionally, SLV has an extra risk factor due to its exposure to short-term interest rates, which could impact its performance over time. Overall, GLD and SLV are two popular ETFs that track the price of gold and silver bullion, respectively. While they offer some potential for returns, there are also risks associated with investing in these assets, so it's important to do your own research before making any decisions.
GLD gang rise up https://preview.redd.it/k9bx0rlalt4h1.jpeg?width=1260&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5204c5e9cd2d6535644aa13e14ce1d0b2da97a50
Imagine buying 🌽 or bagholding SPCE when you could've bought GLD calls
You can still get in on GLD we're going to the big stinky cheddar in the sky
I mean you could diversify into ex-us to hedge a bit. Or GLD, but it's already significantly overvalued so I don't know if it's much of a hedge at the moment.
Glad I stayed out of SPCE. I put calls on GLD, and META helped my bear calls out big time today.
GLD very cheap options and is melting week after week. The hype is gone, more sellers getting out every day.
Everything’s a computer, USO, SLV, GLD, TLT, DXY… all of it
So, I just made back all my losses from GLD calls bought in Feb-March. I just sold all my SPCE, MU options which made back %60 of my portfolio. Going to take a break from this casino.
GLD back to daily dumping this week. Weekly gold miner puts = free money.
When did you buy? QCOM and PM aren’t losers. GLD, could be poor timing, dunno shit about that other one except it’s been getting spammed a bit.
Same vibe as 2021, retail investors got wrecked in 2022 chasing hype stocks. Remember NFTs? my god people got rug pulled on those things. I started to see people starting positions in MU, INTC, RKLB, SNDK, etc AFTER they ran up 500% already, yeah they are still up big but they refuse to sell firmly believe they will go up more, classic FOMO behavior, what else do I see in their portfolio? GLD and SLV positions that were down 20-30% because they bought in when gold breached $5000. And when I look into their 5Y or Since Inception return data, most lost money, and the ones who were green, significantly underperformed even the Balanced 60/40 investor.
I bought 100 shares of GLD instead of being cash gang for the weekend cause I need to feel something . But I also have no idea what to buy
Not as exciting as some of the other things going on, but GLD being up 2% today is interesting
It is nice I lost huge on GLD calls, nothing left to buy but cc debt
> Planning on setting $2m aside. Please do this now, for you and your families sake. It would be an amazing cushion as a base, and will grow considerably as well. Put it into something conservative (conservative compared to your current portfolio anyway, maybe something like 35% VOO 35% SCHD 20% VUSXX, 10% GLD, whatever you're comfortable with as a conservative portfolio). Use that addictive personality to your benefit and this is a great avenue for it, but please just secure your families future first with that $2m now that you're in this unique position. Super impressive portfolio and growth, and again not I am not trying to be hater, just trying to prevent you from being one of the "oops I lost millions and now I'm screwed" stories that we all see on here regularly. I genuinely want the best for you and your family and their future. It is so unusual to be able to grow a portfolio into wealth like this, so secure your families future first, and then keep going. Anyway I am rooting for you, take care of your future, really amazing situation you are in.
Been a long time since we've seen GLD do this intraday (i.e., no fade). But I still think gold and gold miners have a ways to go until we see a bottom. I say this as a member of clang gang bullish on gold long term. Increasing fuel costs will still be accelerating through summer; And that's 65-75% of operating costs for them, eating deeply into profit margins.
Damn, there was a shit ton of buying on GLD today.
Man how come GLD is such a ho
Should I sell all my GLD, or buy more?
Everyone here millionaires from DRAM stocks while I'm holding GLD
GLD cannot catch a break. Such a shit stock, CEO should be fired
I'm expecting a 10-20% spike in gold relatively soon on the pullback in yields and continued weakness in Yen. Gold is trading about the poorest that it has on a relative basis to other assets over the past 12 months, so any kind of temporary recovery spike (with continued downtrending on 10/30 year bonds) could be a sharp unexpected move. Something like a 2-3 week move to 460-480 on GLD makes sense.
Did you educate yourself about options trading in the process, or did you just yolo your life savings? My trading plan: keep a majority of my portfolio in VOO, USO, GLD and TLT. Earns dividends, grows over time. Not going to lose 60% of its value in any given day barring the apocalypse. I’m agnostic to the fundamentals on most of the options I trade. I don’t care about P/E ratio or FDA approvals for the most part because the vast majority of my options plays are high-probability, <7DTE credit spreads or condors (depending on the trend of the market/stock). I pick a short strike that is 80-85 delta and a long strike 5-10 lower. No one position risks more than 2% of my account. If the value of the spread doubles or the underlying crosses the short strike, I cut my losses and close. I close winners at 75-80% max profit. On the occasions where I want to make a directions play, I buy an 85 delta plus itm call or put with a few months to expirations. I set an alarm for if the underlying crosses a support or resistance level and stop my losses. I try to keep net beta-weighted delta close to zero. With credit spreads, I don’t need to be correct on direction, I just need to not be very wrong. I can make money in bull or bear markets.
Straddlin’ $GLD like a fart.
I sold the dip for profit a while back. Staying liquid mostly. Buying shares of gold(GLD), lululemon, Nike, Adobe, and Kawasaki. This is not financial advice. Edit: also buying shares of Drones (DRNZ) etf.
Wjat happened to the iran deal.. we supposed to hear by now already?? Puts on USO?? Calls on GLD and SLV??
SPY/QQQ/IWM looking strong, precious metals still weak. I’m getting tired waiting for GLD and SLV to bounce back
The bears in a market with M2 supply overshadowing population growth are probably not the smartest people. It takes quite the effort for market to drop relative to a measure that whose supply is growing like crazy. A 30% drop relative to a supply that grows like 15-20% per year is already massive, however if it even stagnate relative to other assets, it's likely to appreciate relative to the decaying measure by 15% per year without even actually gaining real value. SPY GLD, Housing etc... relative to each other don't move that much over decades, however all of them compared to USD or EUR, grew tremendously. Being a bear when the markets is valued in currencies is quite the weird stance.
Bullish short term, because it's the safe haven and people have to use it to buy oil. However longer term I think it will get rugged and GLD will do a comeback
You can’t time it though. Anyways we seen it how this always ends. GLD SLV
GLD is in a downtrend right now
I need money for dinner. Can I lose money selling a $380 GLD Jun-18 put for $1.19?
My pussy is so hungry for something me calls! Gold bars been making it drip 💧 can’t wait to buy GLD calls
So the intent is to hold SMH for the long term and use SOXX puts to hedge for a "disaster scenario" of 15%+ drop. If I'm understanding you correctly, yes the SOXX put would be quite OTM, like 10% to 15% OTM and yes it would take a while for SMH/SOXX to fall for before the value of the SOXX put to gain value. So therefore, it's not a straddle, correct? Yes this strategy is very similar than your GLD/SGOL strategy.
🚨just got off the call with the president, here are more details of the deal: * IRAN and IREN to merge, cause they sound similar and we can have only one of them * Iran will control 50% of spacex cause there is no Hormuz in the space * Iran will build toll booths made up of GLD stocks for decorations to make it look golden
You better buy GLD then. Nobody credible is saying the market can never go down. That's a classic strawman argument.
Not a tax specialist, but it can be helpful to remember that the reason the straddle rules exist is because the IRS doesn't want you to close one side for a loss in this tax year while deferring gains to a future year. So if you're just dabbling in SMH and plan to likely close before the end of the year, then the straddle rules are of no practical importance. If the plan is to hold SMH indefinitely, then the moneyness of the SOXX hedge when it is initiated helps to determine if you have a straddle situation or not. What kind of hedge are you considering? Because if the SOXX hedge works to (in their words) "substantially" offset losses the moment you put it on then it's probably a straddle. But if SMH has to fall a bit first before the hedge springs to life and starts offering protection, then it's not a straddle. I do this all the time myself. I use the (more liquid) GLD contracts to hedge my SGOL. I use EEM to hedge IEMG and SPX contracts to hedge US stocks.
Hi it’s me again…you know the one with a gold bar up in my pussy. Well GLD calls went zero…so guess I’ll stuff something else up there.
I'm net long. I BTD in $XVUS, $EWJ, and $GLD on Monday & Tuesday. But the $SOXX should pullback and retest $495. There's no more upcoming earnings to FOMO into.
# 80 yr mortgages at 15% # 10 yr car loans at 10% # US10Y at 10% # WTI at $300 # GLD at $10k # SLV at $5k # SPY under $250 for a decade.
Meta long or short? If you like GLD, check out SHNY
damn bro. $META and $GLD are my plays for tomorrow until $MU goes to 800 by Tuesday. If $MU drops, I’ll get a weekly.
The 6 month GLD chart is gutwrenching. Look how they massacred my boy. Surely all the risky ai money is bound to rotate into this counterparty risk free store of value?
My foundational GLD position has really been fucking me in the ass.
I should buy MU instead of GLD lol
I am less bullish on $GLD than I am on $VXUS. But Gold is a hedge and if gold underperforms the rest of my portfolio then the rest of my portfolio has likely done very well. I like to add to keep my gold position around 15% of my portfolio. If the rest of my port appreciates then I look to BTD to add to my $GLD or $PHYS positions.
$GLD is going nowhere but down or sideways for the next 1-2 years
There's risk everywhere in life. What happens when semis crash to US stocks? I also buy $VT and $GLD to hedge. Right now I believe the Yen scare and Crude Oil scare is a buying opportunity for World ex US & especially Japanese stocks. And living in the USA I need to hedge my USD risks b/c that's what I get paid in.
I should have BTD heavier on $VXUS yesterday. I bought $GLD 2 days too early but I'm now even there. You can't time every pullback perfectly but it's way easier to BTD in the indices in this crazy volatility market over individual stocks.
GLD hasn't done shit in quite a while. Feels like it'll be back on the menu soon.
Just saw a post about AI and precious metals get taken down from the sub. Definitely a tldr and that guy must have spent a day doing the research. Seemed thoughtful and coherent. Must suck to have automod destroy your work. In short, AI bros will need to get some knee pads out and to have any chance of scaling and it likely won’t make any money. The data center buildout can’t be accomplished without China. Musk needs the children to yearn for the mines. Long SLV, GLD and rare earth metals.
Just saw a post about AI and precious metals get taken down from the sub. Definitely a tldr and that guy must have spent a day doing the research. seemed thoughtful and coherent, the children yearn for the mines. Long SLV, GLD and rare earth metals.
I stuck a gold bar up my pussy because it’s more useful than holding GLD!! Like wtf, GLD is down when there is high inflation?
GLD YTD chart is…interesting. Remember when some people in here were saying it was “free money?”
So... buy GLD, SLV, XME, COPX?? Spill the beans.
I keep my portfolio under 10% individual stocks. The March sell off this year convinced me that I’m nowhere near as smart as I think I am. The upside is I did time the March 31 bottom in $VT, $VXUS, $EWJ & $GLD. I’m much less stressed today than I was going through the March sell off. I’ll gamble with 10% of my portfolio but more than that isn’t worth the stress even if I did get lucky & bought the winning stocks.
Look what they did to my GLD boy
Yes basically is a good buy in the bottom range But idk about sell ur share on a loss to gamble even more on a 2x u loss ur shares plus u put it in a leverage etf that keep decaying I probably would sell the winning part only like GLD or Bonds or something else
$VXUS Most US investors do not own World ex US stocks. So if your port is mostly $SPY, $QQQ, or $VTI; I would recommend opening a position in $VXUS to diversify or hedge risk away from USD. I like and hold $GLD; but Gold price is volatile (short term) and you really don't want to hold more than 10-15% Gold in your portfolio due to currency risks.
2 things can be true at the same time. This might not be the best time to lump sum into the market and it's also usually a good idea to start good habits like investing ASAP. You have to remember the economy can go into the shitter and the USD can also lose value due to inflation faster than stocks losing value vs USD/DXY. I would figure out a plan. I am more bullish on World ex US than US so I BTD in $VT and $VXUS vs many here BTD in the $SPY or $QQQ. I will say stay away from buying individual stocks until you have a good foundation of at least $100K in indices or ETF's like $VT or $VTI. I think you can count something like $GLD towards that $100k foundation; but don't go all in on anything. Good luck.
US Treasuries wouldn't be a bad BTD buy here for someone that didn't already have a position in $TLT. I bought $GLD instead as I think we are near a temp peak in US 10 yr interest rates. Long term I don't want to hold US Treasuries, but short term as a trade, I think US interest rates move closer to 4% than 5%.