Reddit Posts
1 Month Update/Retrospective on broken wing butterfly/condor strategy.
Histogram Insights on 1-15 Day Returns Across Various Assets
GLD move after Bitcoin ETF approval
Deciding REITS for my portfolio. But lack the confidence in knowing how to valuate each choice.
GLD (Gold ETF) Jan 2026 OTM Long Call. Good idea or not?
Lower Cost ETFs: SPY vs VOO, QQQ vs QQQM, GLD vs GLDM, etc
US and Venezuela agree to prisoner swap because US knows Venezuela is about to invade Guyana and the US will have to intervene. Long oil
Thoughts on gold and silver as a trade
Doubled account. What next?
Starting my investing journey. Gonna put 40% each in VOO and QQQM and 20% into GLD so what is everyone’s opinions on these?
Starting my investing journey. Gonna put 40% each in VOO and QQQM and 20% into GLD so what is everyone’s opinions on these?
Diversifying a portfolio that is heavily correlated with SPY
GLD briefly pulled back to the 180 head and shoulders neckline this morning.
Grid Metals Announces Final Drill Results from Donner Lake Supporting a Maiden Resource Estimate by the End of June
Stock suggestions for quick gains and long term holding
GLD Trade Analysis: Are You Too Dumb To Predict Stock Prices? Me Too.
Inflation To Moon On Supply Side Risk
The Advantages of Futures Options Trading over Stock Options: I Increased My Profits 4X
The Advantages of Futures Options Trading over Stock Options: I Increased My Profits 4X
Gold and Gold Miners are about to RIP FACES!
Thoughts on this? Could this lead to a GLD gamma squeeze?
Precious metals, miners give up recent gains as banking fears ease (NYSEARCA:GLD)
Gold shines through the chaos as investors seek safe haven (NYSEARCA:GLD)
Banks are a melting pot and SAfe heavens are back.
Can the Fed really dare not raise rates next week? Who would have thought that gold could rise 6% in a week?
Can the Fed really dare not raise rates next week? Who would have thought that gold could rise 6% in a week?
Miners rise with gold and silver prices on bank sector worries, jobs data (NYSEARCA:GLD)
Anyone invested in a gold or other commodity ETF?
Gold books best week since mid-January as dollar, Treasury yields pull back (NYSEARCA:GLD)
Q3-Q4 Blood Bath? How to play stock Armageddon?
Gold slides below $1,900 after stronger than expected U.S. jobs report (NYSEARCA:GLD)
Gold and silver prices seen rising this year, analyst survey says (NYSEARCA:GLD)
1.1 million people are dead from covid-19. What's next for the economy, stonk prices, interest rates and gold prices?
Gold climbs to best level since April as greenback, Treasury yields slide (NYSEARCA:GLD)
GDXU, JNUG, GLD going to the moon!!!!! I am up 108% in 3 months!!!!!!!
Looking for alternatives to GLD ETF for European investors
Study finds that COVID was the leading cause of death globally in 2021
BREAKING NEWS: Study finds that COVID was the leading cause of death globally in 2021
How does this EMP look in terms of stability and viability?
The progress on inflation using pairs trades
Stop pushing $SPY and $VOO as the answer to everything.
2022-11-09 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-10 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-04 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
How to Fight Russia with Gold and Oil
I derive pleasure from market pain🌈🌈🌈🐻🧸📉=📈🕺
no one can tell me this isnt peak diversification
Central bank net purchasers rise for third consecutive month $GOLD $GLD More Net Buyers Of Gold Then Sellers
Why Gold is The Best Play | Hint: Not Because of A Recession
Trinary Event Horizon - The Fed Has to Choose - Bet The Farm on Tech or Revive Volcker
Unsolicited Technicals post FOMC Update
Gold Is Holding Up as Stocks, Bonds, and Crypto Plunge $GLD, $GDX, $GOLD
Both bonds and gold have been resisting the last few days of selling, and if March 2020 is anything to go by, that is a very good sign for the market.
Week of 6-13-22: Most Important Charts #004
Week of 6-13-22: Most Important Charts #004
Mentions
I will go full port cash if GLD hit 500 and then I will reconsider my life choises
How manay days can we sustain those uptrend in GLD + SPY + OIL + DXY ? Something gotta gives
I sold GLD yesterday. It will probably hit ATH today.
There’s a risk on component for me due to inflation yes, but I’m also holding liquidity and higher GLD exposure than typical.
GLD and SLV. Locked n loaded.
GLD, SLV, not investment advice, I don't hold large positions just a percent or two. Sprotts offers quite a few options. [https://sprottetfs.com/setm-sprott-critical-materials-etf/](https://sprottetfs.com/setm-sprott-critical-materials-etf/)
Sell all your GLD and SLV to buy tech and SPY calls
GLD and SLV up 10% and 8% YTD respectively again despite crashing like 6 times since January, amazing
Pretty much… BE, OKLO, NVDA, AMD, PLTR, CVNA, META, GLD, LRCX. The list of runups I missed is horrendous
Not in a global financial crisis! I'm not talking GLD. I'm talking physical gold.
Everything is a scam now. USD is a scam and Fed is laughing at us poors as they print money for the rich. Almost 6 years of high inflation. Even the cooked PPI number is 4% lmao. US stocks have no cash flow. All of it goes into "AI" hardware that will need to be replaced every couple years. Shareholders ain't gonna see any of that. So much money is being lit on fire they're going into debt to pay for it. Shiny rock is cool I guess as an idea? But it's run a lot and if we head to Weimar having, GLD ain't gonna mean anything anyway.
The transports used to always predict recessions before as well. The transports didn't lead to a recession this time. You're prolly right on the USA being much less dependent on Crude Oil in 2026 than 90's & 2000's recessions. We all have our own trading strategy. I'm usually too pessimistic. But being bearish in 2025 did me no good. BTD on $VXUS, $VT, $EWJ, and $GLD did work very well this time. I'll stick to my DXY devaluation trade. If $SPY hits new ATH's my positions should still outperform cash. Good Luck.
I've noticed I might just be getting just a little too cocky and just sold 10% of my $GLD position. Maybe the market is getting just a bit ahead of itself. Selling on Green Days is funner than selling on Red days anyway.
You should never listen to anyone on reddit for financial advice. We are all gambling addicts. But this repatriation of foreign capital out of the USA back to their home countries/economies has me rethinking the need to hold $TLT. I'm now moving towards 50% (World ex US) $VXUS, $EWJ , $VPL, 25% $VT (World plus US since these ETF are very overweight US stocks anyway), 15% $GLD, and 10% US dividend stocks. I've unfortunately been around boomers too long, who despite growing up entitled w/ a silver spoon in their mouth, were right about dividends & cashflows. What good are buybacks over dividends if you fave AI cap ex hyperscaler decided to spent all their cashflows buying their stock back at market tops before then deciding to spend all their cashflows on AI cap ex w/o ever giving a shit about their shareholders?? Good Luck.
I've been buying At&T which has managed to underperform $TLT by 4% since I started buying. I've mastered finding hedges to underperform the markets. Thank gawd everything else I bought has gone straight up. The crazy thing is $TLT is still my 4th largest holding behind only $VXUS, $GLD, and $EWJ. That's how bearish I was in 2025 & Gold saved my entire portfolio last year from being way too bearish. You can't make money always being bearish. Even if you are right and the markets crash and is cut in half, missing out those other 10 BTD that you never pulled the trigger on puts you in a huge ass hole you won't ever easily recover from.
The $SPY is more liquid w/ avg daily volume of 88M shares traded vs $VOO 10M. Traders want the juice of higher volume of shares sold. It's the same reason I mostly mention $GLD for Gold even if I might own a larger position in $PHYS for my long term gold holdings. Buy & hold vs traders.
$VXUS, $VT, $GLD, $EWJ. I'm not as bullish as you are on either AI or the $SPY. I decided to cast a much wider fishing net when BTD the last 2 weeks in March. But I'm also not an idiot that's in love w/ cash when bears are cheering higher crude oil prices not making the connection that cash is the worse position to hold with higher crude oil prices.
$VXUS, $VT, $EWJ, $GLD. When markets are selling off like they were at the end of March, I try not to pretend that I am smarter than I am & that I know which stocks are a buy. I just buy entire world indices, entire country indices, and gold. I don't need to die a hero.
GLD will never breach 4800 ever again
Sit down son, I'm going to tell you about a time GLD went up 1% every trading day
For what it’s worth, I’d be very surprised if GLD drops below 4,500 any time soon
SLV and GLD ever coming back?
I made a similar mistake last month, but with Gold. I thought I had enough time as the contract was for 30th April . Then I realized the broker issues FND is the latt day of previous months. Also they don't actually deliver physical gold. They just send you the certificate of deposit which incurs storage charges etc... So to avoid that I decided to take a loss and exit. Recovered those losses by trading GLD and NEM. I decided never to trade futures contracts ever again. https://preview.redd.it/ki1ga4jg40vg1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=0069bfdff0b6b7ee350fe249e9ca9c2786da0247
Listen up. Buybacks only make stocks more valuable, inflation is completely fucked, private equity is completely fucked, the world is completely fucked, GLD is completely fucked, BTC is completely fucked. US equities are poised for an astonishing rebound this year.
Not enough information. You gave the size of your margin equity, which is the basis for making a risk management calculation, but not the size of your put spread trade. Quantity 1 GLD 20-pt spreads? No problem. Quantity 5000 GLD 20-pt spreads? Big problem. You also didn't clarify if you are long or short the put spreads.
I like to do IC condors that are at least 30 days out especially after a big move because of the spike in IV. I’ll choose a .10 to 0.15 delta on both sides after the big move. Then I’ll have a plan in place. For example, roll call side up 2 strikes if the call delta gets to .40. Then close the position out if the call side gets touched after the roll. I will choose strikes where I think the underlying shouldn’t be. If it touches the strike, that means I’m wrong on the trade and I will, therefore, close the position. This keeps my losses minimal. If the underlying is trading within the range, I will consider closing out at 50% of credit but I will try to stay in the trade for a long as I can to capture more theta decay but I have to move my stops closer to lock in a profit in case it has a large move in either direction. Sometimes it can gap up or down beyond your stops and you give back some of your gains but that’s trading for you. I have been doing this on GLD this year and have been successful as volatile as it has been. I just started doing it on XOM and BNO and both were profitable.
I'm around 10M Buying power and 1.6M Excess liquidity , as of now I'm not using it so well . I want to reduce my risk exposure and waana stick to GLD , PUT vertical spread with 10 or 20 width for a 30 delta put combo. Given my buying power , how safe is it to do such trades on GLD ? Or is there something else , my goal is to preserve capital ,collect premium and no to less chances of assignment . Thanks .
I'm up over 8% on $VXUS and $EWJ, and over 6% on $GLD and $VT since buying the bottom 5-10 days ago? And these are indices and not stocks. We are way overdo for a pullback. Just wait until this place turns bearish again and buy & add more. There's no reason to chase here. The 200 DMA has been a great buy indicator for World plus US and World ex US ETF's. Buying $GLD when gold pulls back to $4400-$4600 has been a good buy indicator as well. I've been spending a little money here & there & buying this pullback in AT\&T; but I'm sticking w/ 90% EFT's. I'm not smart enough to pick the winners in this crazy market. Don't get too bearish, but also don't get too greedy.
Looks like the move for me today is close out on winners and buy losers. See ya GLD, MU and SDNK. Hello megahard and oracle!
Are we gambling SPY or GLD for today CPI?
I’m sticking with my plan of loading GOLD and some long dated GLD calls. With uncertainty and talks of UBI, it’s prime imo
GLD going up with USO tomorrow, none of this shit is real like these 2
None of this shit makes sense: SPY/QQQ/IWM ⬆️, USO ⬆️, GLD/SLV ⬆️, VIX ⬇️. Literally nonsensical. And this the year I’m unemployed and decide to try options 🤦♀️
Oil goes up, SPY goes up, GLD goes up. Everyone happy
GLD/SPY/OIL decoupling more everyday... My wet dream of long oil and gold port at the same is starting to be really tempting, will feel like a true late 19th century robber baron
Damn. GLD about to go red :sadpepe:
$VXUS and chill. Well don't chill, but BTD's. We are arguing the same side. US stocks are expensive. The economy is in the shitter. But the money printers are gonna go Brrrrrrrrrrr Hedge w/ 10% $GLD position.
GLD just cannot hold a lead, jfc.
You're doing great, just keep maxing your Roth IRAs, avoid debt besides the house and you'll have a great retirement. There's always going to be doomsdayers, and there will always be reasons it's scary to invest, but the stock market is the best growth engine for your extra money. Even in the great depression, if you had invested in US and foreign equities and some bonds, and a little gold & re-invested dividends, you would have made a little money over a 10-20 year period. All that to say, just keep doing what you're doing. One note, even though you didn't ask, personally, I would change the VTWAX (or just switch future contributions) to VTIAX- it's 100% ex US. VTWAX is still 60% US, so you've really only got 12% ex-us. I would try to get at least 20% ex-us. If you're worried about flat or negative time periods, you can add like 10% of a bond fund and 5% GLD etf. Or don't- as long as you keep investing and don't sell, long term 100% stocks should beat a portfolio with bonds and gold.
Despite the rip in the market, SLV and GLD are still safe plays considering the war is not over just a “2 week” smoke screen. Random bombs dollar down slv gld up
Not really…have 10x GLD 420 calls which will print…
I BTD on more World stocks ex-US & Pacific Asian ETF's than anything else this time around. $EWJ, $VPL, $VXUS, and $GLD made up 80% of my BTD buys for the last 2 weeks. There's so much growth to like in this region & the stocks were hit harder than most since they are more energy dependent than many other regions. Higher risk, but also higher rewards.
Gold is not speculative. It is conservative. Over long periods of time (20-25), gold and the S&P 500 have about the same appreciation, but move in opposite. Accordingly, many believe allocating 10% of your portfolio to gold (GLD) or gold miners (GDX) is wise diversification. Gold ETF like GLD does not pay dividends, where most S&P 500 companies do, as do most gold miners. I own EMXC (emerging markets ex China) for diversification beyond the USA. I would buy EMXC at $78 or lower and allocate up to 10% of portfolio.
Was right about GLD. Up from $422 on Monday open to $442 right now. XLE did dump on the peace deal though, so you got that right.
I think GLD and SLV about to rip.
GLD and SLV about to go off.
so funny when, SPY, USO, GLD and VIX all trade higher together... ok who's fibbing?
GLD holding surprisingly well
My GLD calls are killing me
SLV and GLD been a little to quiet lately 👀
Lol I didnt read all that, but I did something similar. Saw market freaking out, saw GLD drop a bit. I bought a call. Motherfucker dropped to 420 from 450 overnight. I just took the L and moved on. I think gold does go up long term, but not yet. Hodl shares now or wait.
Gimme one more fake GLD rally and I promise I'll dump my calls and never touch the fucking thing again.
Hedge with calls? Lmao I actually have conviction. If I’m wrong I’m wrong it’s not that much of my portfolio. Also why not buy puts on BTC? Bruh. 1. BTC IV is significantly higher, so if I think they’re both equally impacted GLD puts are just a cheaper way to bet on this thesis. 2. BTC already crashed for essentially this reason. My entire thesis is that BTC already lost a huge premium when people realized it had a high delta, while GLD hasn’t faced the same correction
My GLD calls are only down 39% since I opened them last week, it's usually goes down more when I jump back so this is promising.
90% ETF's, 10% stocks. $VXUS, $GLD, $EWJ, $IGV is how I'm weighted now. I might add $VT and I'm not totally convinced $IGV is a long term hold. It's just more reasonably priced than the value $SPY names right now. Long foreign stocks & gold.
Just bought sofi, GLD, and nbis
I see the $SPY, $QQQ, and $GLD are all Green w/ less than 20 mins to market open. Yet, a large part of Reddit is as bearish as ever waiting for the latest oil rig tanker zombie apocalypse headline tweet from Iran terrorists to justify their narrative. I'm beginning to wonder if any of these oil rig tanker zombie apocalypse people have ANY money in the market. Consider that before listening to anyone here & why would you listen to that noise before making your financial decisions.
Already sold my SLV GLD to pay for Dino blood
GLD call makes sense XLE put probably gets you nothing SPY put probably gets you nothing if held too long If you’re trading a scenario setup, you have only one high probability scenario: inflation will show up in CPI reports and everyone knows GLD hedges inflation. World wide inflation is inevitable at this point. The only question is how much and for how long. SPY is too resilient thanks to passive holders and optimists. And there’s evidence the war is cooling down, even though two jets were shot down (one of which is an A/10 which is slow enough to be shot down even when it was newer 4 decades ago; this isn’t evidence of much new difficulty). In essence, I doubt SPY pulls back much from here at all really. But if that’s a scenario you envision, you’d be far better off with VXX calls out of the money because they’re way cheaper and if SPY is going to drop that much, VXX will be moving sky high. That and SQQQ. XLE lags oil price. And even if oil decreases but stays elevated you can expect XLE to only go up. This isn’t like past scenarios, and you and others have outlined why where you’ve mentioned it’s not only the Strait that is impeded but also Russian oil. Oil is definitely going to be elevated for a while… XLE’s value isn’t going anywhere. I’d simplify to GLD calls and VXX calls. Less waste. Even if the war was concluded tonight, GLD still rises as inflation hedge. If you don’t think so then the combo might as well be: GLD calls - **inevitable**, lasting inflation (world wide; only question is how much) VXX calls - in case sentiment get worse SPY calls - in case of early resolution
Right? I bought defensive yesterday with proceeds from a stock that had been under performing. Bought VDC, GLD, BEP, and threw in a little RCAT. Kept about 1/4 in cash. Didn't close out my position totally, but reduced some old MITTX since the tech exposure is higher than I currently like. I don't know if I'd call this timing the market though; I expect to hold these stocks for at least a year, and probably longer.
One major thing I haven't seen anyone mention yet: "In the U.S., physically-backed gold ETFs are taxed as "collectibles" rather than traditional stocks, resulting in a maximum long-term capital gains rate of 28% for holdings over one year. Short-term gains (held $\\le$1 year) are taxed as ordinary income. High earners may also face an additional 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax (NIIT). **Key Gold ETF Tax Considerations:** * **Long-Term Gains (Held > 1 Year):** Taxed at a maximum rate of 28%, higher than the 20% cap for most stocks. * **Short-Term Gains (Held** **1 Year):** Taxed at your ordinary income tax rate. * **Tax Treatment:** Physical gold ETFs (e.g., GLD, IAU, SGOL) are treated as collectibles by the IRS. * **Alternative ETFs:** Gold ETFs that use futures contracts rather than holding physical gold may have slightly different tax rates (e.g., 26.8% top rate). * **Tax-Advantaged Accounts:** Gold ETFs held in IRAs or 401(k)s are not taxed until withdrawal, allowing investors to avoid the immediate collectible tax rate. * **Alternative Investments:** Gold mining stocks or ETFs that hold mining companies (rather than gold itself) are taxed as regular stocks, benefiting from the lower 15-20% long-term capital gains rates."
Sold most of my calls this morning but holding December calls for USO, GLD, LNG, and other energy plays
Gold miners are a leveraged bet on gold i.e. are path dependent. GLD does not dilute over time Average miner does High quality royalty companies avoid this pitfall but sell at a premium.
I am 40% in SPY/VOO, 25% in QQQ, 15% BRK, 10% cash, 5% GLD, and 5% Bitcoin. If you are holding tech (or QQQ, you would have noticed that the downturn had already started before the war. I have just been increasing my cash position since the war started and kinda regret not buying some SPY when it hit 630 earlier this week. I think any moves below 640 wil be bought quickly from now on.
Panic sold half my GLD position at open in case it actually drilled, it didn't, bought back in and now I'm back to almost being flat on the position. What a silly day it's been.
GLD seems to be starting to behave less like a risk asset now based on the chart. Nice. All you regards get shaken out?
Nobody in WSB cares about GLD or SLV anymore. That means it's time to start scaling in. Everyone here is jacked to the tits on oil now which is a strong bearish signal for oil. Sell
You don’t understand correlated returns or risk adjusted expected returns are and speaking out of your ass. These are extremely basic concepts that any half decent investor should know. Are you a bot? My positions are literally posted IN THE POST. They have more than doubled in value since I acquired them. The fact that someone with your level of financial literacy is so ardently advocating for GLD without understanding the basics of why institutions buy it is making me even more bearish
This last year has been VERY good to me regarding GLD and COPX, and I look forward to continued wealth accumulation from gold and copper sectors. Let's not beat around the bush. Basing an argument on 'correlations' is at the very BOTTOM of argument strength. Power bottom, much? :) That's why noone is throwing data back at you because you have yet to provide anything worthwhile. I mean, if you're so down on gold, post your positions, and let's see who ends up being right. Best of luck!
$EWJ, $VXUS, $GLD, and $IGV. All my buys for the year have been over the last 2-3 weeks. I know you asked about stocks; but I've moved entirely to ETF's minus small positions in $CASY, $T, and $DE that I would have to pay way too much in capital gains to sell.
GLD to 370 because that means the US dollar is strong. Do it for America.
I might have just done one of the dumbest trades I have ever done and fallen into the next bull trap. I hate tech stocks. But I just bought 100 shares of $IGV to hedge against my $GLD, $VXUS, and $EWJ heavy portfolio. I decided to buy reddits fave software stocks as a hedge against my gold & world stocks : P
I agree and disagree with you. The Fed will absolutely print. But so will the BOJ, BOC, India, etc. They're all gonna print. It's race to the bottom. The Fed is no longer the only one using the license to print playbook. Hedge w/ a 10% position in $GLD.
This might be a bull trap, but I bought back a bit of the $GLD than I sold yesterday. I had a bit of extra cash since I made a dumb bet and bought $SQQQ yesterday. I just moved my $SQQQ position & gains into $GLD. This might blowup in my face. I'm not particularly bullish, but instead of debating politics; I just look at charts. The world is what it is.
Gonna sell my SPY puts at open then go back to bed. I already know what my GLD calls are gonna do I don't need to see it.
We've all been trying to be nice about this but thankfully we no longer need to be. You are a moron and your post is drool-catcher worthy. You use words that you likely don't know what the hell they mean. Nobody made the claim that gold is a hedge. Everyone who has any form of money treats gold like a store of value. Recent events have not changed the long term view. The financialization of gold makes short term plays viable given asset treatment such as GLD, converting a piece of the market into risk on/off, while the war evaporated chances for interest rate cuts, putting pressure on gold/silver and strength in the dollar. Expected market behavior otherwise. None of this shit is a surprise, beyond your lack of understanding, that is. Your complete inability to fathom any of this means.......you don't belong here.
I feel like MM is gonna pin me down and ass r@pe me for the next 8 hours. All my calls like MU, msft and GLD will expire worthless and my puts on USO, definitely expires worthless. Sad thing is, I won’t even get to come as I’m not ghey and don’t like ass play 😭
Golden Dome was just a diversion, I knew it! Buy GLD!
Where were you when GLD WAS KILL???
For the most part, still heavy on S&P and still invest on the regular but I have been branching out to add GLD and a couple individual AI stocks in my “fun money” portfolio and playing with some foreign stocks
I sold a week after it started. I'm still holding INTC but bought oil like DVN and my DOW is finally even. I also dumped gold miners but still hold GLD. Planning to buy PSLV later. Miners are not profitable if oil hits 200. It's better to hold the raw material instead.
Fucking boolshiet, closed my GLD and spx puts y'day and bought calls, fml
So what happens to GLD/SLV next week
Compare the $SPY vs $GLD or $VXUS or nearly any other world indices YTD or 1 yr charts. The $SPY has been losing for awhile now ever the Trump tariffs. There's just soo much infighting lately that few have zoomed out and looked at the bigger economic picture.
You may want to get more granular than 5 year periods. Plot the 30 or 90 trading day correlation coefficient between GLD and SPY since 2020 and then add a plot of M2. You’ll see that your argument works against you. From 2020 to early 2022 both assets rise in a correlated fashion with increasing M2. Once the Fed stopped cutting rates they decorrelated, with GLD outperforming. They’ve resumed correlation over the last month(ish) because liquidity is sloshing around and nobody knows what the post-war landscape will be. Once things settle down we’ll see GLD continue to outperform; the war has interrupted the trend, not killed it.
Pretty good day. S&P up +0.72%, $QQQ up +1.22%, $GLD up +1.72% I guess the markets will live to fight another day. I'm down -0.61% YTD. I can live w/ that all things considered.
>Bitcoin already went through this exact narrative repricing and never recovered the "uncorrelated asset" premium Bitcoin was never a safe haven asset except in the collective delusions of crypto bros. >Edit 2: Really excited to revisit all of these GLD fanboy comments in 6-12 months from now. Even if gold is down for the year, your DD is bad. Gold is moving moving with the economy because the shock in prices (bad for the economy) means lower chance of fed dropping interest rates and likely increasing which is bad for gold since U.S. bond yields will go up. The second order affects of the war you're referring to (If they happen) take time to understand. Central banks are continuing to purchase gold at increased rates. I'm not arguing that gold will close the year up or down I'm just saying your underlying thesis that Gold is somehow now the same as some digital gambling currency because "gold go down with stock" is a little retarded.
Made up for all my losses this week today and decided half porting into GLD calls at the top was the play. I really do belong here.
You literally found the reason GLD dumping in your post, it's the oil price action, no need to wander too far off that. Most serious traders have gold in their port and likely sitting on profit, when the stock market dips and they want to buy and raise cash, that's when liquidation comes into the equation. What do you think they would sell? I see nothing changes in gold fundamentally, I think you could make profit short term but $150P is quite regarded, it's cheap for reasons :))