Reddit Posts
I model dealer gamma daily. Right now all three big index ETFs are negative-gamma below their flip,
June CPI missed big but I'm not buying the full rally yet
Small caps up 22% in H1 2026, best since 1991. Is the Russell 2000 actually for real this time?
Small caps are having their best year since 1991 and nobody I know is talking about it
How much Short float is too much float short?
Disregard Private Credit Liquidity Tests. Acquire BLACKROCK. Long $BLK
AI is disruptive. Individual companies have never been more volatile. What’s the argument to not just buy indexes?
Warsh's first FOMC presser is Wednesday and nobody seems to be talking about the dot plot risk
Week 5 - Day 5 - One and done option trade. Growing a small account $300 to $60,000
Week 5 - Day 4 - One and done option trade. Growing a small account $300 to $60,000
It’s SO fair! I LOVE you all I LOVE you all!
SPX at 21x P/E with 30-yr at 5.08% — is this a "mania phase" or just a new regime for rates?
What are Benefits and Downsides of a Long/Short Portfolio vs Direct Indexing?
I built the most honest VRP put credit spread backtest I could. 7 years, 5 symbols. Terrible
Broker that let's me set trades based off % of portfolio? i.e. buy as much SPY with100% of portfolio or cash available. Also set a time?
April NFP Preview: 60k Exp. Is a "hot" print the only real threat to this tape?
Built a real-time catalyst scanner - looking for feedback/if anyone interested
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Jeez what a roller coaster $5,300 in 5 minutes is crazy fast $IWM
Day 1. IWM $274 0DTE puts paid today. I wish I got in earlier but profit is profit.
SPY's the only short-gamma leg of the index complex right now
SPY Market Recap - Positive Gamma Floor, Iran Bid, VRP Trap
Dealer positioning read: $8.38B GEX at SPY 700, QQQ below flip, vanna -$181B
Why does the market keep pushing toward highs even when the macro backdrop still looks bad?
Selling premium right now but not really loving it
Started trading credit spreads last week! Looking for helpful info & opinions from option sellers !
Welcome input on my AI-powered monthly investment review workflow
Welcome input on my AI-powered monthly investment review workflow
What the hell happened March 9th??!!!! 🤯
You need to understand what is going on geopolitically
This is not a dip buying opportunity
THE MOST IMPORTANT NEWS TODAY FROM THE FED , THAT WILL MAKE OR BREAK YOUR BETS ON THE STOCK MARKET ?
Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Option Expiry (OpEx) strategies positions/strategies?
SPY and IWM lotto calls looking tempting.. 🤔
The Invisible Buyers: How Passive Capital Flows Into Small-Cap Stocks Like NXXT
Game theory on when VCs will pull the rug from under the AI bubble
How Russell Index Inclusion Can Change the Playing Field for $NХХT
I was digging through the FTSE Russell ESMA Compliance Quarterly Membership Weights document recently and noticed something interesting regarding $NXXT
Somebody knew....IWM put volume exp. today
Reasonable trader turned unemployed degenerate gambler
Quick midweek thoughts on market direction - SPY, QQQ, IWM
Weekly Market Map: SPY 681 Decision Zone, QQQ 600 Line in Sand
where to deploy capital in case there's a correction/crash?
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
Moving $ Systematic Book from IBKR to Clear Street: Custom Credit & Execution Latency Questions
AI Fear" Resurfaces in Software – Potential Sector Pivot Brewing?
Day 3 of copying my friends trades till I’m rich
Day 1 of 450-10k while copying my friends trade
Anyone land the jackpot at the spx casino today? 1/21
Vanguard and BlackRock Scaling In Slowly
Mittal Steel: Decade high breakout + insane fundamentals + play on Ukraine War Ending
Mentions
On the durability question: this reads more like a structural feature for IWM specifically, less so for SPY. If IWM was negative gamma every single day for three weeks while the Russell was basically flat, dealers never got a realized move that would force them to buy back that short gamma. So the reading isn’t waiting on a catalyst to resolve, it’s just the ambient state until put demand in that wrapper actually changes. That’s a different animal from a one-print artifact. SPY is more likely to be the one-print case you’re worried about. Right after monthly OpEx, a chunk of positive gamma from the expiring contracts rolls off before the next cycle’s positioning gets rebuilt, so the print right after tends to look more negative than the underlying trend really is. I’d want to see it hold for a week or so past the 17th before trusting the direction, especially with the July 29 FOMC pulling fresh hedging demand into near dated strikes right now. The split you’re seeing between the wrappers and the six names that weight them is consistent with a crowded dispersion setup: index level downside protection getting bought while the concentrated single names get call flow written against them. Those two tend to show up together, and it’s been a persistent pattern this cycle given how top heavy SPY and QQQ both are.
https://preview.redd.it/yirwf2j3szdh1.jpeg?width=1320&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7e3847e0b82348df556b38a17b32ae74f48a84d9 Some free sauce for you. Check this option out and look at the chart. I’ve been watching this one and was meaning to get into it but lost all my money on 0DTE IWM calls. If Google has good earning this could be a very good one. Make me proud with this one boys 🫡
Imagine you could have just full ported IWM
come on IWM . Elevator up , jump out of window down
tax death and IWM pumping for no fucking reason
SPY/IWM/QQQ/TSLA/NVDA/AAPL/GOOG Best stocks are liquid ones
Yeah this has been crazy for me. SPY most of the day was above yesterday's lows and yet I see a lot of shit 50% down from highs. Agreed how dissonant this is. I mean IWM at ATHs too. I'm cash, but do daily trades that I close out at the end of the day, and I see a lot of things I'd like to pick up (as they're 50% off) but I think "what will happen when IWM and SPY dip...."
IWM went back to flat. Fuck this fake ass market
The rotation into IWM might be the dumbest shit I've seen
Highkey yes. Selling these IWM puts before close and d switching to calls
Everything red but SPY and IWM hanging in there
The fuck was that IWM pump?
IWM legit just said ,"nah." Lol
Thank you made 3.6k on IWM puts 😊
SPY red but IWM is green. Yeah makes total sense.
idk boys IWM reversing a bit, the true chad index
Can you believe IWM is this year's chad index?
Probably a good play as a hedge, if SPY tanks IWM will tank harder.
IWM pump is stupid, puts on IWM anyone?
Amazing that the IWM still flat with TLT lower (rates higher)
Don’t worry, IWM which holds the most profitable company’s on earth is doing just fine.
https://preview.redd.it/f9maj0g4xedh1.png?width=2304&format=png&auto=webp&s=433d5f28171ad7aef2646547d9420f2f3380a69d Here's my parameters. Of note: notice the Exclude box above the filters group. I created a watchlist that includes the major index ETFs (SPY, QQQ, IWM, VOO, SPX, TQQQ, SQQQ etc.) to filter out excess noise.
"I have seen the future of horror, and his name is IWM." - Stephen King
Watching IWM movement all day long is self-imposed torture
Ffs, IWM has been glued to 294.50 all damn day. Just bouncing back and forth around it every few minutes. Just turn it off.
Currently IWM on the 5min. Wtf. https://preview.redd.it/qkzgixsf18dh1.jpeg?width=1753&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4cf23b5986139f28aa7a98408b7f57a3e6611149
Get to 296 IWM you fat pig fuck
Was playing divergence today with a mostly negative bias and port is up %350. Lets go. Playing SPY, IWM, TSLA, NVDA, AMD, RDDT, NOW, PLTR
I have an incredible urge to puts on oil calls on IWM expiring friday. But there is a very high chance I blow up as early as tomorrow doing that
Lol I should've stuck with TSLA instead of going with IWM. Am I stupid or something??
You say you have a SPY V, the IWM dump determined THAT WAS A LIE. SPY , YOU ARE NOT THE PUMPER!
IWM is being a real cunt right now
What checks out: * CapEx figures verified: \~$410B actual 2025, \~$725B guided 2026 (Amazon \~$200B, Microsoft \~$190B, Google $175-185B, Meta $115-135B). His 2023/2024 numbers match reported actuals too. * The 4-5x rule is real: Bain's latest tech report says \~$500B/yr of capex by 2030 needs \~$2T of new AI revenue and still flags an $800B shortfall. Sequoia's "$600B Question" used the same logic shape. * The math is internally consistent: $400B to \~$2.75T in 4 years is a \~62% CAGR. Correct. Where he's too generous (real hurdle is higher): * His "pre-AI baseline" of $250-300B contradicts his own 2023 figure of $151B. True baseline is \~$150-180B, so incremental AI capex is \~$720-750B, not $600-650B. * Counting all of AWS/Azure/Google Cloud as "AI revenue today" ($400B) is very generous. Bain pegs genuinely new AI revenue at a small fraction of that, which pushes the required growth rate well past 70%/yr. Where he overstates: * The 3-year GPU life is the weakest claim, and the commenters are right to push back: hyperscalers depreciate servers over 5-6 years, 6-year-old A100s still rent profitably, and roughly a third of data-center capex is buildings and power gear with 20-40 year lives. * Returns don't all have to arrive as new revenue. Cost savings and defending the core ad/search/cloud franchises count, and Google/Meta already attribute ad gains to AI. Net: the framework is sound and the conclusion matches what Bain and Sequoia themselves publish. Revenue has to grow at a rate almost no industry has sustained at this scale, or timelines stretch and multiples compress. Whether that resolves as a pop or as returns quietly landing in the core businesses is the genuinely open question, and the post doesn't (can't) answer it. One portfolio note: your IWM calls aren't AI-heavy, but if this repricing thesis hits, small caps sell off with everything else. Your existing 7/14 CPI trim plan is the right hedge for that. Sources: [Bain press release](https://www.bain.com/about/media-center/press-releases/20252/$2-trillion-in-new-revenue-needed-to-fund-ais-scaling-trend---bain--companys-6th-annual-global-technology-report/), [Tom's Hardware on Bain's $800B gap](https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/bain-says-compute-demand-is-outpacing-capital), [2026 capex breakdown](https://valueaddvc.com/blog/big-tech-ai-capex-in-2025-microsoft-google-meta-amazon-and-the-spending-race), [CNBC on \~$700B 2026 spend](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/06/google-microsoft-meta-amazon-ai-cash.html)
I guess IWM isnt worthy of fraudulent pumping. RIP my calls.
wouldnt do anything silly but kinda feels like it'd be irresponsible not owning a couple VIX call or otm IWM put or w/e your fav max negative convexity thingamajig is
Wish IWM would get off its ass and join the party.
IWM algos not even pretending to have human trading activity today
I knew I should've stuck with IWM puts today. JFC.
first time I decide to buy a dip IWM and shit starts going my way and he has to open his fucking orange mouth
I feel like it's been a $3 chop on IWM for about 3 weeks lol
How does the Russell 2k (IWM) climb up on news of the strait of Hormuz going hot? And why did I buy puts when I know stocks only go up.
It's bad when IWM is doing better than SPY and QQQ
IWM’s magical regard strength remains intact.
Been digging into [$IWM](https://aimytrade.io/ticker/iwm?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=comment&utm_campaign=SmallStreetBets&utm_term=IWM&utm_content=template_1783586936892_3i4i51). Earnings tends to swing it so I check the pattern first.
IWM going to moon into the stratosphere in around 55 minutes
IWM drilling makes my day and I don’t even have puts
IWM/RUSSELL have a chance to do something extraordinary today....just can't shit the bed, like it's doing right now...reverse damnit!
This actually tracks for the post-2022 world and the Korean market is something that is similar to what happened very early in fall 2020 (just sub Japan for Korea then). What’s been tending to happen since the Nasdaq bottomed out from that worst bear market since the financial crisis (that index specifically) is that it’ll get tripped up on stuff that’s arguably not even directly US macro fundamental based initially. Sometimes at the same time, you’ll see the Dow/IWM try to outperform initially, but it ends up failing to fully work out and everything eventually sells for a brief time. This is 100% an Iran day though for the first time in at least a few weeks if the dip isn’t bought. Futures looked sleepy until Trump comments were made.
There’s the IWM we all once knew.
I think memory-tards and MU/SNDick enjoyers should go create their own sub. This sub exclusively tracks great American indices like SPY/QQQ/IWM which never crash LMAO.
Small caps breaking down. $300 was the short term top on IWM
Any chance IWM goes green? Askin' fer a fren...
whats the vibes on IWM today
L0L Just went to look at the IWM chart and actually burst out laughing. What a joke. Overnight session is straight line up for the past few hours with gaps between literally EVERY single candle.
Why does IWM hate 300 so much?
IWM going sideways for a month is a robbery no mask..
IWM go up or i’ll have to ask for a refund thank you very much
why tf is IWM dumping, please go to 300
IWM tanks , I bought put spreads at the top. Somehow my spreads are down like 50%, its just straight up fraud, deception and cheating bro. If I were to try to sell these they literally wouldn't even fill them either.
IWM go below 300 i’ll do anything
IWM top Puts are free money now
If IWM closes above 300 i’m quitting trading forever
Why is IWM not going down with spy but is totally fine pumping with spy fml
$QQQ $SPY $IWM $IGV $SMH Too Big to Fail ? When bubble burst, how many Trillion market cap wipeout?
IWM i need 299 please thank you very much ill be very rich thanks 🙏
IWM please 299 please please please
- make a trading plan/strategy around your life with real daily profits which are real. You can ask AI to help with the trading plan/strategy. Most people skip this and then start crying that they blow up everything - Practice your strategy, start small which you can afford to lose - practice for at least 2-3 months before you use real money - don't be greedy, stick to your targets I day trade options once a day on ETFs like SPY, QQQ, IWM etc. I do long puts/calls, not selling options. I post my entry/exit since the last 10 weeks, you can see all the posts on the sub reddit if you click on my profile Growing $300 to $60k in 6 months
IBM & IWM looking good
IWM 299P free money rn
IWM eod? Swings are sooo cheap rn
Calls on IWM , idk how this useless pile of shit has such absolute retard strength but its not going down with the other stuff.
All the action is in IWM or QQQ lately. SPY barely moving
IWM moved really clean in June vs QQQ or SPY.
I ran across IWM a while back. Spreads, liquidity, and delta/gamma/movement seemed favorable so I dove in. I am familiar with SPY but not RUT. Which don’t prefer of the 3?
So why IWM and not SPY? More importantly, why not RUT to save on commissions and taxes.
I’ve used them for several years now. Often trading SPY and IWM 0dte’s. My orders on those always go right through. On stock options they are fine on higher volume low spread options but some of the lower volume higher spread options it seems like Webull and others get a better price inside the spread. As I guess you have already noticed the charting isn’t advanced. They do have an options wizard but it’s just on the site and not the app. The options menu is very simple and straightforward. The only change I would make to it is have it automatically update pricing in real time. You have to hit refresh. I have had issues 2-3 times with the app not connecting (usually at market open).
I just need 1% dump on IWM, come on. With this I summon MICHAEL BURYYY
Have noticed this a few times, particularly IWM/RUT. There is an arb there when you see it but it's rare and quickly resolved on SPY. The IWM/RUT one is usually corrected around open. For example if you notice the IWM gap is disproportionately larger than RUT/RTY you can usually expect a violent inventory correction/gap fill at open. You can write a script to monitor the fair value of ES in SPY terms, RTY in IWM terms. Just don't expect to make a living from it. But yeah you've basically noticed an inefficiency which is one component of edge and exactly the kinds of thing you should be noticing.
IWM up over 1% last week while QQQ and SPY down, now it's QQQ and SPY up while IWM is down over 1%. The speed of this rotation looks like increased desperation to try and get into a lasting pump. It's going to cause eveything to fly apart and crash out soon.
Why IWM down so much? I approve of it, but why?
Okay, maybe buying IWM when flipping to calls wasnt the move. I swear I instantly lose money whenever I try trading anything other then spy. With Spy/QQQ at least there is a chance to make money for me
Reversed to 304 IWM calls expiring 2nd. Banking on potentially good Fed commentary tomorrow. If it ticks up even a little I'll sell into high IV pre jobs data. Let's see though if the word "hike" comes up once this goes to 0
How tf did I end up stuck with IWM calls again?
IWM probably gave away the Bol trap happening on SPY.