Reddit Posts
What are Benefits and Downsides of a Long/Short Portfolio vs Direct Indexing?
I built the most honest VRP put credit spread backtest I could. 7 years, 5 symbols. Terrible
Broker that let's me set trades based off % of portfolio? i.e. buy as much SPY with100% of portfolio or cash available. Also set a time?
April NFP Preview: 60k Exp. Is a "hot" print the only real threat to this tape?
Built a real-time catalyst scanner - looking for feedback/if anyone interested
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Oil and 10Yr at war time highs. Stocks still near ATH. At what point do we acknowledge stocks are being propped for nefarious reasons?
Jeez what a roller coaster $5,300 in 5 minutes is crazy fast $IWM
Day 1. IWM $274 0DTE puts paid today. I wish I got in earlier but profit is profit.
SPY's the only short-gamma leg of the index complex right now
SPY Market Recap - Positive Gamma Floor, Iran Bid, VRP Trap
Dealer positioning read: $8.38B GEX at SPY 700, QQQ below flip, vanna -$181B
Why does the market keep pushing toward highs even when the macro backdrop still looks bad?
Selling premium right now but not really loving it
Started trading credit spreads last week! Looking for helpful info & opinions from option sellers !
Welcome input on my AI-powered monthly investment review workflow
Welcome input on my AI-powered monthly investment review workflow
What the hell happened March 9th??!!!! 🤯
You need to understand what is going on geopolitically
This is not a dip buying opportunity
THE MOST IMPORTANT NEWS TODAY FROM THE FED , THAT WILL MAKE OR BREAK YOUR BETS ON THE STOCK MARKET ?
Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Option Expiry (OpEx) strategies positions/strategies?
SPY and IWM lotto calls looking tempting.. 🤔
The Invisible Buyers: How Passive Capital Flows Into Small-Cap Stocks Like NXXT
Game theory on when VCs will pull the rug from under the AI bubble
How Russell Index Inclusion Can Change the Playing Field for $NХХT
I was digging through the FTSE Russell ESMA Compliance Quarterly Membership Weights document recently and noticed something interesting regarding $NXXT
Somebody knew....IWM put volume exp. today
Reasonable trader turned unemployed degenerate gambler
Quick midweek thoughts on market direction - SPY, QQQ, IWM
Weekly Market Map: SPY 681 Decision Zone, QQQ 600 Line in Sand
where to deploy capital in case there's a correction/crash?
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
Moving $ Systematic Book from IBKR to Clear Street: Custom Credit & Execution Latency Questions
AI Fear" Resurfaces in Software – Potential Sector Pivot Brewing?
Day 3 of copying my friends trades till I’m rich
Day 1 of 450-10k while copying my friends trade
Anyone land the jackpot at the spx casino today? 1/21
Vanguard and BlackRock Scaling In Slowly
Mittal Steel: Decade high breakout + insane fundamentals + play on Ukraine War Ending
Futures First Look 12/05/25
ROGUE:OPS ~ 0DTE Strategy Breakdown: SPY + IWM VWAP Reclaim Setup (12/05)
Futures Last Look 12/04/25
Mentions
I was looking thru some of your results posts. I am still in the learning phase of all this. There were a couple days like may 18ish… IWM you first bought some puts on IWM as it looked like the price was falling. The price fell below your strike, then you sold that put at a healthy profit. Is my assessment of how that transpired correct? I think i saw the same thing just the opposite direction with calls a few days layer.
I thinking small caps is the play. They'll benefit from lower gas prices and lower interest rates. Bonds will drop when oil comes down because expectations of a rate hike from the fomc will dissappear. Buying $IWM, or $TNA calls 🚀 🚀 🚀 if there is a real deal by Tuesday morning.
Glad to see you also made money on IWM and QQQ 😁 Very well, just check my profile and you will see the posts I started since last 4 weeks on the subreddit showing my trade with entry times. From Jan to Mar, the screenshot are burried in comments. IWM is very good at getting profits, but take your profit, I see when I try to get more than $20 per contract, it is stretching it. Yes it happens on some days to get $50+ per contract but trying to get it every day is not good. \- I am doing IWM as I re-started with a small cash account to grow it from $300 to $60,000 in 6 months and it fits my strategy and this year I switched to 0dte. I am working full time, so I don't have much time to watch the chart for hours. 1h or so is good nowadays. \- I'll probably switch back to QQQ/SPY when my account is bigger later. They are money generating for day trading. You can see in my video from 12 months ago (see my channel in my profile), I was making profits on SPY and I show also the broker statement. I don't have time to make videos, I'll make some in a month or so.
>[*“Doesn't matter what the press says. Doesn't matter what the politicians or the mobs say. Doesn't matter if the whole country decides that something wrong is something right. This nation was founded on one principle above all else: The requirement that we stand up for what we believe, no matter the odds or the consequences. When the mob and the press and the whole world tell you to move, your job is to plant yourself like a tree beside the river of truth, and tell the whole world -- "No, YOU move.”*](https://www.reddit.com/media?url=https%3A%2F%2Fi.redd.it%2Fi1un7mkv3dr11.jpg) I still think bears are dumb af. I was bullish AF in 2022 and 2023, started deleveraging out of UPRO in 2024, got out of BRZU 2025 while building up 10-20% cash/note/defensive position, got out of INTC 2026, and hopefully will deleverage out of TNA/URTY/UWM to IWM/UWM this year or next year if it doesn't collapse. Lowering leverage from 2-3x and single stocks to more defensive mix is a process and not a fucking sell out complete 1 day before black Monday.
How are you doing with IWM these days? I used to be able to churn pretty well but not lately. QQQ has had to bail me out the last few times.
Yes, see my posts with the entries and exits. Some are in comments from Jan to March. I am doing 0dte since start of the year. One trade a day and maybe 2-5 times a week. Only on ETFs like SPY, QQQ, IWM etc
*in a loud shrill voice* IWM just rejected off the 50! Reeeeee!
MACD going Negative on the IWM. BOLS... *reflects on past comments by Bols toward Bers* ...um, nevermind nothing. 😉
One more Clifford in IWM to bust that 50 EMA Bolussy open in the islands of Waikikiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii !
C'mon c'mon IWM fail that 50!!!!!
Aside from the desperate attempt to breakout around 1:30 ET, IWM has been showing a rising wedge pattern all day off of the 50. I think something's about to break.🤞🤞🤞
IWM will be your indicator today to see which direction the market is going to go. Plus Warsh sworn in at 11:00am, so hedge your plays because its going to be a wild one today
So I suppose IWM goes up $9 today for no reason
Why is IWM preforming so well this year? I thought more rate cuts were needed for these companies.
If a deal is signed tonight my calls on SPY and IWM for tomorrow should be a like a local lotto hit. 🤞
IWM looks like we're due for another hard dump and it has happened starting 4pm ET sharp.
shouldve held my IWM calls longer FUCK
Such bullshit… watching IWM posting lower highs and lower lows, enter a 280p and start making a nice profit and this fucker once again blows everything up. Technical Analysis is useless, I’m just using a magic 8 ball the rest of this asshats tenure…
IWM is the most surprising. I guess the new guy really is going to cut rates... for reasons.
Bloom energy up 12% today is whats holding up IWM
Ok IWM, as long as you have your pager with you, I'm ok woth you partying with Theta Gain. But you need to be in a suit and tie showing some respect for this Ber consolidation by 3:30 ET.
eh, i’m not much into options these days. lightly swing trading the s/p with shares but, i’m all in VOO/VXUS/IWM looking back i see i was tossing 10/20k on 0dte options. man it’s embarrassing to even look at lol
IWM fucking me in the ass
I hate IWM. Can never get it right. Need to remove from my watchlist.
Why in the fuck would IWM be up?
Tweezers pattern forming possible twin towers on IWM 5m.
Imagine IWM out preforming Microsoft with rate hikes being discussed. Oh wait I don’t have to imagine.
Tomorrow seems like a IWM kind of day
IWM being up this much is so retarded
IWM if you just give up 1% you're still up over 1% jfc. 😡
If IWM doesn't go to $15 by 4pm, I'm toast
MMs fighting for their lives trying to hold onto IWM like Regarded Spider Man holding onto a derailing NYC train. Plenty of New Yorkers left just let this one go lol.
The AI stocks in IWM are doing even better than the ones in qqq. It’s cool.
Locked in IWM call gains on that candle. I have trust issues to think it would actually stick.
At this point, IWM at $280 is a foregone conclusion.
Today is small cap day look at IWM
275P IWM they chopping ..im hoping they are just selling calls now and shit dios after 1030
10Y 4.65. IWM Up 1%. Makes sense.
Panicked and bought a strangle on $IWM last minute lmao 🤌
If IWM closes green I am done trading. Fuck this shit
I got 288C IWM 5/27 this morning. They were like .11 cents. Let the TACOs fly.
Friday IWM 280 calls. Started loading up mid day yesterday and bought a handful more over the last few hours
IWM just wiped out all May gains in like 2 days of trading
looking for a double whammy in IWM today
0dte is great only if you have been trading successfully with a strategy and not being greedy. If you start with 0dte, it will burn you and learn very quickly. Your issue, I think is that you are not taking the profits on the 0dte, you are letting it ride or staying for a long time. This year I am trading 0dte only, consistency is key. I restarted recently with a small cash account of $300 and growing it to $60,000 in 6 months. Posting trades in the subreddit, posts are public. - I day trade only options, once a day on ETFs like SPY, QQQ, IWM etc. Maybe 2-3 times a week. - too many people think they need more cash to grow a small account or limit they trading to certain tickers as they think they need to trade SPX for some tax advantages. At the end you need to pay your tax, however if you are getting profits v/s a full time job, I think it is worth it
Meh small caps are not what they used to be. Now that no one wants to go public until after they are mature the IWM is mostly left with low quality garbage that underperforms in almost every environment. Fck private equity…
wen IWM 275? Askin' for a fren...
My dumbass was planning to buy puts on IWM all weekend and then open came and I done mixed it up with XLY puts on accident. Realized my mistake and bought 1 IWM put with remaining buying power. XLY puts are flat and IWM put is up 60%.. 🤡
Just curious, if IWM does surprise you and starts moving higher, how would you manage your put spreads? Would you leg out, sell out, roll up, hold?
Chasing absolutely stupid IWM Calls and withdrew remaining funds to stop myself lol.
Thanks to IWM we're finally going to learn what's at the Earth's core.
looking for a fat Clifford weekly candle IWM
Best passive strategy in your case is probably not trading options but quite honestly just buy SPY/IWM/QQQ and chill.
No stock picking. Could work on RUT or IWM, QQQ
You can usually find cheap cons like this on IWM. Sometimes you can double it by the spread alone, just put it in as a limit order
The math is right but the input is wrong. Delta is risk neutral probability, not real world probability of ITM, and on OTM puts the divergence goes in your favor on the right underlying. The variance risk premium (VRP) is the empirical observation that implied volatility on equity index options has been persistently above realized vol since the 1990s. On SPX the long run average is implied roughly 17 percent and realized roughly 13 to 14 percent. That gap translates to delta overstating real world ITM probability on OTM puts by something like 30 to 50 percent. So a 10 delta put has roughly a 6 to 7 percent real world probability of expiring ITM, not 10. That flips your EV calc positive on an SPX style underlying. The problem with your specific position is the underlying. TQQQ is 3x leveraged QQQ, and the daily rebalancing structure means realized vol often runs hot relative to implied because path dependent moves get magnified. Empirically the VRP on 3x leveraged ETFs is much smaller and sometimes negative. So on TQQQ specifically, delta as a proxy for ITM probability is probably closer to accurate, and your math saying you need real probability below 7.2 percent to be positive EV is probably real. Two structural points: first, the strategy works on broad indexes (SPY, IWM, QQQ) where VRP is well documented, not on leveraged products. Second, even where VRP exists, it's not a free lunch. The same VRP that gives you positive EV in calm regimes turns sharply negative during vol expansion events (Feb 2018, March 2020, Q4 2022). The historical return profile is small steady gains punctuated by occasional large losses, so the realized Sharpe is not great even when EV is positive.
full port short IWM + long Natural Gas
IWM same price it was at 9:45am, today is so fkn lame
IWM hit its head on VWAP and got smacked down, pretty sure we will see a new low today on it
Stick to SPY, QQQ, & IWM. Buy LEAPS 18-24 months out. Run “covered calls” against the LEAPS. I do 1DTE until price breaches the strike. Then just roll it out enough until you can get a credit and let time do its thing. Roll your LEAPS when they have gained significant value, or at 3-6 months DTE. You make money/income regardless of which direction the market goes.
Whoopsie. Not even on SPY or QQQ; I bought IWM calls. I think i might be a regard, guys.
It’s been the most fun this year. High beta make up, when SPY and QQQ hold their ground together IWM tanks. If there is any dip, IWM sometimes dips 50-75% more as people dump moonshots and hold blue chips
IWM 1dte 283 puts what can I say 🤷
ATM 1dte IWM Puts let's roll! 🎰🎰🎰
IWM not joining the rally right now, telling yall IWM is gonna be the first one to dump. cant even get to ATH this week
IWM gave a great dip and delay for solid 0DTE calls today. Big help in rebuilding the account I blew up last week averaging down to nothing on my calls. 31.6k this week from the 2k I had to scrounge up to put myself back in the game. I'm eatin' nuggets tonight.
10:40ct time I bought $284 puts on IWM at 47c a pop. Not for a single moment I was up. Just lit up my money on fire
Grabbed more IWM July Puts. This Recession might make 2007 look like just a dip but at the very least could be mistaken for it's twin.
IWM puts are the play, no semis to keep dragging them up, rate and oil sensitive. IWM will be first to drop
I closed both OA and Tradier because of Tradier. Just could never get good fills with Tradier and they would take 3-4 hours to finally fill. Schwab fills in < 10 minutes (normally instant), E*Trade fills in seconds to minutes. Manually trade now with both of them (Schwab and E*Trade). Have been thinking of opening an IBKR account (mainly to hold alternative currencies - not trade, just have in "savings account"). I was using Tradier because of the free OA, but OA not worth the price they charge for the limited trades I would do through them. Plus OA does not trade RUT directly, only through IWM, which does not cut it for me either. Nice concept, good execution of the trade engine, just poor back ends for the actual trades.
Probably never see it again, but my dumbass sentiment is we've seen IWM pelnty of times in the past, but on the flipside I've never seen IWM $286.82 (or whatever the new ATH + $0.01 is). 🤷♂️
Going in and out of IWM $205 July 17 Puts. Same same but different answer to your question I think.
Come on IWM... just need one more dollar...
Right back into those July IWM Puts 🤑🤑🤑 This is the out of control pump due to crazy inflation phase. Recession on the way when the pendulum swings hard back to Deflation It's a Bol trap but actually a natural one and not by any MM design. It masks the underlying companys' surging liability costs due to the same inflation and is a great/maybe last time for Smarter Money to gtfo. Videos on 100 meals to make with a crock pot for pennies on the dollar start to surge too.
I need IWM at $283. Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Sold my IWM and SPY puts for a nice profit. Eventually switched to IWM calls and now making profit on those. Only problem is I have trust issues, so I'm sure to paperhand those IWM calls.
IWM taking a breath before the real dive?
IWM may turn green before market open on an insanely high inflation reading showcasing that rates will NOT be coming down this year, and will now potentially see a rate hike. You can't make this shit up
Tell Bols it'll be ok and just talk about those rabbits on the farm so I can grab some cheap IWM Puts. 🤞
I bought $IWM Calls and made 70 - 400% depending on the strike. Act first. Think second. There is always time to get out of a trade but waiting to get into a trade can cost you. I am paraphrasing Stanley Druckenmiller there.
Because that's just the thing. It wasn't. IWM and QQQ ended the day almost down 1% after being down nearly 2%. Everything's even redder after hours. Bols in here acting like they figured out how breathe underwater. Bers actually won.
Tomorrow Bols either finally start to show a little respect and feel a healthy amount of dread, or I buy into cheap IWM Puts once again. Maybe both. 🤔
I look forward to getting back into IWM Puts after this encouraging 1 week lower high. IWM will be the leading anchor in dragging the more tech-heavy Indexes straight to Hell.
Thats not the only bubble, look at IWM, the small cap index where most of companies aren't profitable, it hit ATH. At QQQ, at least the companies like Intel, NVDA are profitable with positive earning.
Let's go V! About to buy back into those IWM Puts. Maybe September instead of July this time though. 🤔
I'm not askin' for much. Just another pump on IWM by a buck (or more).
The fact that IWM is up 15% ytd when hikes next year are more likely than cuts is mind boggling. It’s not like it has the large cap AI exposure either
What are the odds of IWM breaking above $282? Askin' for a fren...
SPY being -1% is less remarkable than QQQ and IWM being -2.5% AND a flat VIX
IWM PUTs gain was not enough to offset SOFI Share losses today 😞
Sold out the IWM Puts on that rip. Just waiting on the fake tweet of lies to jump back in.
Jfc -2.37% on IWM so far. Maybe pumping 2000 of the most consumer and energy sensitive stonks along with tech during an oil and employment crisis wasn't the most sensible trend?
I sold my IWM 284p for a 30% loss yesterday, because I thought CPI wouldn't drop it enough. At least today I made the smart play and bought SPY calls!
Somehow all of my puts (IWM, TSLA) and calls (NVDA, AAOI) worked. Tf is happening 🤣