Reddit Posts
Am I dum dum or should we not long GOOG/Short MSFT?
We’re in an anti-bubble bubble
How to turn $20,000 into $$216 million with $MSFT in one easy step [time travel involved].
Genuinely scared , NQ could be down nearly 3% by NY OPEN
EBAY has outperformed AMZN, GOOG, MSFT and META over the past year
EBAY has outperformed AMZN, GOOG, MSFT and META over the past year
Amazon misses on earnings and holds capex steady, adding to AI spending jitters
So it turns out that a year ago the bears were RIGHT: AI is cannibalizing Google Search
GOOGL: Everyone Was Bullish Yesterday, Now Google Is Suddenly Dead?
Oracle is backing off from cash burning. Will more companies follow?
Anthropic S-1 DD: the $80.7B loss is a mark on Amazon's notes, and Broadcom is backstopping $29B of Anthropic's rack leases
Holding both GOOG and MSFT into Wednesday's earnings: the 3 things I'm actually watching for each
Anthropic S1 - solid Growth. Encouraging direction..But ... Extreme Client Concentration and $450 Billion commits: The hidden operational Debt anchor
Anthropic - solid Growth. Encouraging direction...can they be the Google or SpaceX of the market?
Anthropic S1 - solid Growth. Encouraging direction but what about valuation? Inside Anthropic's Pre-IPO Financials
Anthropic S1 - who is ready to Buy the absolute top of the AI hype cycle. Inside Anthropic's Pre-IPO Financials
Dell is up over 200% in a year while almost everyone actually buying the racks has been getting smoked
DeepSeek just open-sourced its production inference engine (running on Huawei & Nvidia) the exact same day DHS banned it across all US federal supply chains.
Anthropic's $2 Trillion IPO Could Be the Biggest Insider Cash-Out in History. Don't Be the Sucker Left Holding Silicon Valley's Bags
Anthropic's $2 Trillion IPO Could Be the Biggest Insider Cash-Out in History. Don't Be the Sucker Left Holding Silicon Valley's Bags
Forget the distractions, the AI trade hinges on Metas earnings report this week
We have now entered the next phase of the AI super cycle and here are the likely winners and losers
MSFT options collar: Avoiding constructive sale designation and understanding if strategy is sound.
If you had $100k to put into just one stock, what would you pick?
How do you think about holding concentrated positions after big gains?
The AI capex boom is increasingly a bet on AGI, not current economics
Bearish thesis on Microsoft ($MSFT): My DCF model indicates extreme overvaluation due to AI capital intensity. Tear my assumptions apart.
Nasdaq closes at fresh record as tech shares rise and traders look past higher yields
3 ways to invest in OpenAI and Anthropic (pre-IPO)
September: +130k in 10 days. Started trading 0–2DTEs on the 21st
Microsoft - Going Long / Burry is going Short
I Bought MSFT, Betting Against Michael Burry
Dooming on META: The Social Reckoning releases Oct 9th and Zuck wants to dilute you
2-year update 37, blue collar lawn care business owner. $173k then, $248k now. Still aiming for $1M or retire by 45. Posted here two years ago at $173,000 and got a ton of advice, some of it good. Figured I owed an update.
Apple-Microsoft Correlation Analysis and Option Strategy
My Earnings IV crush story on MSFT and sharing October data
Apple and Microsoft Correlation Analyses and Option Strategy
AI Rotation from Harness to Model: How To Play It
$NOK & $MSFT are Bringing Agentic AI Into Telecom Network Operations
Why so little discussion on the capability of AI models in investing subreddits? Isn't it the most important question right now?
$DMGI.V / $DMGGF — why the Christina Lake tenant is probably a real one, and why Canada is the point
44k from META since selling MSFT a month ago
Since selling my MSFT to META I have made $44k, while MSFT and the rest are bleeding
Back to breakeven with MSFT after about 6 months - worth holding?
The Two Trillion Dollar Bottleneck: AI & Energy
Mag 7 already did their 100x (and more). So where does the next trillion-dollar (or multitrillion) company come from?
Simple circular financing explained: it’s only bad if the AI companies being invested in ends up bombing
Is the AI Capex vs. Semi decorrelation a buying op?
Gamers here, do you invest in a game company like Nintendo, Sega, etc?
Why i think AAOI will moon this coming week
Value / Margin of Safety Stocks to Consider?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Nebius ($NBIS): The Catalyst Set to Explode Tonight at 18:00 ET
Why is Buffet & Abel aggressively accumulating so much Google but none of the other hyperscalers?
With most 13Fs released, here are superinvestors' top 10 buys from Q2
Made $375k CAD day trading using margin in 60 days
Mentions
I've used Word and Excel for ~20 years. Excel daily, Word less so. Both are (particularly Excel) genuinely fantastic products for their time. They will die. If you can't see Word dying, I think you might need immediate medical attention. Markdown files will be how documents work. In 5 years, nobody will be using spreadsheets for anything serious, and I think this will even mean that small quick spreadsheets for prototyping will die out. I'd be happy to put my money where my mouth is, but I think MSFT have a chance to grow in other areas, so not keen on shorting the whole company.
Short MSFT is dum dum. Enterprise market is MSFT's house
Buy MSFT and GOOGL 50/50 and I'd be shocked if you didn't beat the market over the next 5 year period.
I think it's worth noting that when the market sold off this week, MSFT held up. Most of the rest of the Mag 7 did not. I'm not sure I'd short MSFT. Google's problem is that one thing AI is good at is cutting through their enshitified search engine to get people what they need to find. They might be able to enshitify their AI assistant, which quite frankly makes plenty of mistakes as is, but they aren't going to be able to compete against ChatGPT, Claud, Muse, etc. GCP may grow its revenue, but until the AI bubble pops, Google's search monopoly is in trouble and they have no answer for that. It should bottom at some point, but I'd probably be wary of trying to time that.
Tbh, if OpenAI goes bust because they cannot keep on running / ran out of cash flow, they will just be reabsorbed into MSFT (who owns all their IP) while Anthropic's competitive position will likely allow them to continue being OK. Ant isn't that bad, they barely burned any of the cash they raised since founding.
By this logic, this is every major company. Google - search is dying, MSFT - their software is trash and AI will come up with something better over time, Apple - expensive hardware out pricing people and expensive cloud for photos, NVIDIA - once capex slows they are fucked, META - pretty much have already squeeze every cent they can out of the billions of people they have, Amazon - re-used products and cloud. At this point all this data centers being build will be a commodity companies just choosing the lowest bidder, destroying margins.
OpenAI and Anthropic will both collapse, but they will take most of Mag7 with them. TSLA will get black swan'ed a cluple years. The debt is too high and with open source models and cheaper, efficient and more capable hardware entering the market, AI will become a cheap commodity. Very useful tool, but not beholden to access bazed on expensive tokens. If hyperscalers were smart, GOOG, MSFT and META should cut their losses (capex) and save their businesses. They are diversified enough.
Wish I was a bit smarter back then like you. I had about 50k worth of MSFT @400ish and was down for months. Ended up selling it a little above cost when it started to bounce, not believing it. I learned a hard lesson in patience there
I remember the miserable energy here when MSFT was down. Sweet, sweet tears are being licked as we speak **LMAO**
sharks tasted blood and want to eat the whole thing they will force OpenAI to liquidate and MSFT or Oracle will pick up the pieces
I usually look at forward pe and 250 day moving average. If macro environment looks ok, I add to my positions where I have conviction. But this is in my Roth and I’m holding for at least 10 years. I started doing this in 2016 and have outperformed VT by 82% in my “play money account” (which I limit to about 100k). You can’t win them all, but the pullbacks in 2018, 2020, 2024 (tariff tantrum) and 2025 (Iraq war) did wonders for my individual positions. That said, 90% of my investments are in VT or TDFs. This year I’ve added to MRVL, AMD and TSM in April, CRWD in July, MSFT in August, and Google and AMZN on Friday (first time buying AMZN). I still hold AAPL (my first stock pick in 2016, followed Buffet) and NVDA from 2020. Play the long game and be patient. I’ll be retiring 3 years early bc of my winners. 👍🏽
I think MSFT buys OpenAI out of bargain bin this year. Not sure if that’s calls or puts
**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **MSFT** | $550.00 (above) | $522.43 | +5.3% | Sat, Nov 14, 6:40 AM ET |
!banbet MSFT 550 2w
It doesn't work because you're seeing it from the perspective of a consumer at home. These corporations primarily sell to other businesses. As I was saying in this braindead subreddit back when MSFT was at $350, nobody cares what the average Joe feels about Windows and Xbox because that's not where Microsoft makes their real money.
AI industry run and and lead by historic fraudsters like Amodei, Altman and Elon pushing obvious scams with no hope of ever turning a profit and historic debt traps, using circular financing and creative accounting with NVDA's collusion that would make Theranos, Enron and the original Ponzi blush, and literally the most obvious rug-pull pump and dump IPO plans in history even openly planning to exit and grab F shares on Week 1 just hoping for enough retail regards to get exit liquidity. Except unfortunately even META, GOOG, AMZN, MSFT and of course ORCL have joined in the regardation and lemming-racing and that's all sucked in even the hyperscalers and shovel sellers like CRWV, INTC, AMD and NVDA itself (and even AAPL indirectly) into charging off the same cliff.
Lol this, we took a hit too, fortunately exited most of our earlier positions but still took AI bubble losses and kicking ourselves for not seeing the light sooner. So ridiculous how the AI industry is now sucking in even old Big Tech titans like AMZN, GOOG, META, MSFT and of course ORCL, to the point they seem committed to collective hara-kiri as a business strategy. Or volunteering to be lemmings off the cliff for better analogy. Cut off their own cash cows for sake of massive blind data center capex with not even a hope and a prayer of actually making money, when [the ROI stinks](https://www.apollo.com/wealth/insights-news/insights/daily-spark/no-signs-of-ai-payoff-outside-the-tech-sector), [Americans overwhelmingly hate it](https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/americans-turn-against-ai-poll) and China and Europe can just be the mole in whack-a-mole and pop up perpetually [with cheaper](https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/businesses-experimenting-cheaper-chinese-ai-185931713.html) [and](https://enlyft.com/tech/products/mistral-ai) often [better AI options](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/07/chinese-ai-models-costs-us-openai-anthropic.html). Even NVDA, AMD, SPCX, INTC and the other shovel sellers are getting sucked in or already hitting negative cash flow or debt, even AAPL isn't untouched, the memory cost insanity is helping cut it's sales and their earnings don't back up that P/E anymore. The dumbest part is the "leaders" of the industry are such obvious no-profit mass scams for Big Tech to get sucked into, it's like putting together all the biggest hits of financial and business fraud from the Ponzi scheme through Enron and Theranos, complete with circular financing and creative accounting, and hundreds of billions in rising commitments that even the dumbest fantasy math can't ever repay, even with the AGI BS or if they had half the economy. It's basically a cash-burning machine, except Amodei and Altman could give Elizabeth Holmes a run for her money with the latest BS. Putting up an IPO begging for $2 trillion while you have junk bond status, historically massive debt and losses, oh and you alter the IPO rules so you the big insiders can basically unload on Day 1 and most of the rest shortly after, oh and they get the majority F shares so the small fry shareholders can't even steer the company? As bad as SpaceX was, this is such an obvious rug pull and pump and dump that even the dumbest retail investors should know they're just bagholders for exit liquidity. So Dario and Sam can grab it and run and maybe sell it to the big names. It's just a mystery why Meta, Google, Amazon and Microsoft would fall for the snake oil themselves, and Oracle basically speed-running a bankruptcy in tag team with CoreWeave to fund this disaster.
NVDA is interesting. Briefly up for a bit this year, and its back to where it was last year. Average price targets have it around a 60% upside. Even if half of rhe most bullish targets are high, then its still a 20-30% higher projection. I think it might go on a similar run like MSFT did back late this summer
I play both sides, only it didn’t work on Amazon or MSFT. Success so far in Goog, META, INTC, SPCX Have positions in PLTR and Tim Apple
After GOOG fell so much and even MSFT fell, I KNEW reddit, Intel and Sandisk will also fall no matter the earnings. Yet, I did not take a short position. You did. Good job.
I don't know if it's worse than chatgpt / other LLMs because I don't use it. I just know that they did not want to push it to consumers, despite actually inventing the first widespread language model*. The Chatgpt posed a huge threat to them and they had no choice. I think putting it into search was their idea to save search. Then OpenAI cut that deal with MSFT. *You could say AI was invented in the 80s even if not technically possible. Google invented the first wide language model.
Confusing a shorter time stock price overreaction with the actual underlying business is the exact mistake retail makes every single earnings season. The "market" also dumped Meta to $88 in 2022 and MSFT to $360 a few months ago over capex fears before both ripped to new all-time highs. Did you even listen to the actual earnings call? The underlying business just grew revenue 25% YoY to $127.6B, grew operating income 30% to $40.6B, and doubled Google Cloud (+103% YoY) to $30.7B with a $561B backlog. The stock sold off because Wall Street panicked over $51.4B in upfront data center capex. Also, if we are talking about who knows more, Berkshire Hathaway is literally involved here and bought in more back in June around $350. I'll gladly take the underlying fundamentals and Buffett's playbook of buying great cash-flow machines during short-term capex panics over a short time sell-off.
Yes, poor MSFT. They had to dump 60,000 "teammates" who are "like family" and wall st totally didn't even appreciate it.
Lmaoooo funny how 2 months ago people were saying MSFT should replace their ceo
It’s just panic a couple of months back MSFT was trending at 380 and NVDA below 200 but no one was shitting their pants at that time because NBIS and micron were printing. Now MSFT is at 500+
AMZN is down 3% and MSFT is flat for the week. What are you all talking about?
It's like armchair RDDT posters think that leadership at the top companies in the world are willing to spend large sums of money on resources without knowing if there is actual demand to consume such resources. Your AMZN/GOOGL/MSFT and your frontier AI labs are bidding on any new neocloud capacity that is made available because they don't have enough. Imagine being in the business of selling compute, and at same time willing to pay a neocloud their margin markup on same compute. There is only one scenario in which that happens, and that is you can leverage the resource for even more.
Any time bears are spreading FUD on RDDT, the bottom is in. They pulled the same on Liberation Day. I see the same kind of regard posting that GOOGL is going to 250 as the MSFT ones who were saying 310. GOOGL back at 320 by Friday 🤌💰👍
Just a couple months back MSFT had lower share price than GOOGL
The neo clouds came up before the chip sales began(goog and amzns). Thats what i meant when i said different semis would behave differently. Because of the complex inter relationships. Sndk is needed by everyone, nvidia isnt. Idle chips is manifesting in 2 ways, ready to go datacenters because no power for them. And winter is coming. Another case is those chips sitting in the warehouses because the DCs haven't even been built out yet. Those can be sold back into the market if cash flow trimming is needed, especially if demand looks to taper( not any time soon). MSFT is overstretched, amy said that their new DCs capacity get taken up entirely as soon as it's turned on. Add that to customer complaints on the subs like azure and other places proves that msft will lose their loyal customers if they don't build out fast enough. They need the buildout and power on like yesterday. Canada having power isn't going to help, if at all they do, because it's the American grid that's weak, the power would need to be brought all the way to Virginia and Texas. Both are already heavily stressed out and can't handle the additional gigawatts of flow needed. And Grid buildout isn't going to happen anytime soon atleast 7 years out. Also canadian dams are running out of water. On-site generation it is for foreseeable near term. One hurricane or a storm could wreak havoc to the existing grid in a way that'll cripple operations. It will be interesting to see how on site generation will keep up during the winter.
I'm not sure if its hedge funds, but yes, people are selling off other AI plays to free up cash for the Anthropic IPO. If Anthropic has $50-$100B available on day one, thats the entire market cap of some of the neoclouds, so people are dumping stuff like CRWV and IREN for the bigger player. But there's more at play. They aren't dumping NVDA or the hyperscalers en masse. Those are crashing because AI is proving to be a lot of smoke and wrecking the financials of GOOG, MSFT, etc. Google is spending money to destroy its own moat ffs.
Yup especially MSFT, AAA rated
To the people comparing MSFT to GOOGL I never knew MSFT's main business was search lmfao
Holy crap, just noticed MSFT built in a "help-me-type" blue dot over the text cursor in edge. Lemme see how it works... LMAO I called it a dumbass while asking it to explain why it exists and its output was blocked by MSFT.
There is more upside with Google and Reddit compared to holding MSFT. Also no capital gains taxes where I live, so I can rotate into other stocks pretty easily.
Why dump the MSFT with such a low cost basis? I'm a little higher at $390 and not as large of a position ($60k) it's my most confident hold currently and as much as I'd want to lock in some of that profit I don't know why I'd give up the one stock that had good news this week
BigTech are global. They have big cashflow. They saw future with AI adoption As big cash flow growing. They keep spending for AI-infrastructure build up Look coding jobs, now all coding by AI $MSFT $META $GOOG $AMZN $NVDA $AMD $AVGO $ASML $QQQ $SMH $SPY Watch liquidity today
MSFT holding up so well fr
Just a few months ago, this sub was full of crying MSFT bagholders. How the tables turn
MSFT AMZN META are far better equipped to navigate the AI world than GOOG so GOOG calls will definitely print soon
I had about 100k in RDDT at around $120 average. Added another 60k today at $94. Similarly had about 80k in GOOG at $240 average. Added another $100k today at $279. I funded this by selling 160k of my MSFT position at $523. I have an average of $365 on MSFT.
But I love that Indian too much like how I love Mr Nutella from MSFT
Feels like both MSFT+GOOGL are. Not selling off hard.
Shares on RKLB bought in the teens. Leaps on Goog bought yesterday, leaps on MSFT bought back when it was sub 400, leaps on BE bought yesterday
Even MSFT got punished…. For what? Nobody knows. Just in this market AI bad.
This might be the AI bubble popping but I'm skeptical because the markets are focusing on the wrong things. They're focusing on AMZN, GOOG and INTC missing guidance targets but they should be focusing on the far more bearish story of MSFT beating because they undershot capex due to datacenter delays and cancelations. This is a capex bubble and it will pop when it becomes obvious that far from growing forever, a vast majority of guided capex is unrealistic to spend in any sort of reasonable timeframe. My guess is the banks lower their expectations for NVDA's guidance on 11/18 and leave Jensen an easy layup for his usual narrative pumping bs. They can then go back to saying the AI trade is back on and trigger a relief rally so that Anthropic can safely list this bonus year for the sell side. I'm taking profits on my Nov expiry semiconductor puts today and will wait for a pop to reload for a Jan expiry.
I made a lot of money buying MSFT at 355 and 380. Every time some hug megacap tech company that's fully entrenched in our lives takes a dip, it's a buying opportunity. I'm not talking about adobe. I'm talking about google. microsoft. amazon. the future will bring more names too.
Everybody got spooked by the AMZN FCF and INTC earnings. AMZN and GOOG are basically acting like start ups in terms of how much money they're burning to build out AI. MSFT is at least still FCF positive and should be for much of next year.
btw I never had the chance to thank you, you are the one that led me to buy MSFT Calls on Apr 13, my first USD 150k
Lol, dude, you need to relax. Ive closed half my MSFT position over the last 20 days. Ill manage my money, you manage yours. I know my side works just fine, you need to do you.
Agree the doom posts get old, since these companies still print cash. The fair worry is narrower: when several of them raise spending in the same quarter, investors want to see the payback sooner. I hold GOOG, META and MSFT, and I'm watching cloud growth against spending, not daily market cap swings.
Same MSFT. June Dip low: $350; current day: $530
This investing shit is only as hard as you make it. Bought the large MSFT dip earlier this year, sold for 33% gain. Recently bought the large MCD dip, green on that, will sell once it’s past $300. Today I will take a large position in TQQQ and GOOG. Will be 30%+ within 12 months or less. gg.
This might be the AI bubble popping but I'm skeptical because the markets are focusing on the wrong things. They're focusing on AMZN, GOOG and INTC missing guidance targets but they should be focusing on the far more bearish story of MSFT beating because they undershot capex due to datacenter delays and cancelations. This is a capex bubble and it will pop when it becomes obvious that far from growing forever, a vast majority of guided capex is unrealistic to spend in any sort of reasonable timeframe. My guess is the banks lower their expectations for NVDA's guidance on 11/18 and leave Jensen an easy layup for his usual narrative pumping bs. They can then go back to saying the AI trade is back on and trigger a relief rally so that Anthropic can safely list this bonus year for the sell side. I'm taking profits on my Nov expiry semiconductor puts today and will wait for a pop to reload for a Jan expiry.
AMZN recovered almost all of it with several misses lol. MSFT dropped more on amazing earnings than AMZN did on theirs
Colossus, the nebius one, and the Google+MSFT arizona ones
The reality is AMZN and GOOGL didn't care about their short term numbers because they are focused on their longer term growth. Companies of this size with in demand products and services can easily hit "the numbers" by some combination of sales and promotions or delaying spend until the next quarter. Your "lower tier" companies do this all the time. But I don't think they even care. The real money is made by investing in a company that grows over time, and you invest and hold and maybe buy more over time. It's the balance sheet that matters, not the short term stock price. If you looked at long term charts for MSFT AMZN GOOGL of top and bottom line, well it's basically up and to the right. Had you just looked at the stock chart you see a very different picture. In the longer term, that former chart will propel the latter chart up and to the right - but it won't always be a consistent pattern.
Did people finally figure out that anthropic and openAI are just taking all the investment money and loans and giving it to NVDA, SpaceX and MSFT? It's such a pyramid scheme. They're never paying anyone back.
The entire stock market was down on MSFT. SoFtWaRe was dead. It wasn’t fun holding MSFT for a dead year, yet here we are almost back to all time highs.
MSFT gonna be green when everyone red again?
Month 10 of that war with no end in sight. Korea, China, and Brazil stock markets have crashed. Every hyperscaler went cash flow negative (save MSFT which is hanging on by a thread and gutting its work force to avoid it). Rates skyrocketed higher with the Fed likely to hike twice more in the next few months, meaning this temporary dip in rates is not likely to hold long. Every tech company is choking under massive debt the debt market is increasingly not touching without insane rates. Do you want more? That's really the difference. March was essentially the "too early" correction to everything that has finally happened.
Thank you 🩷 Either that, or selling calls seems to be the go-to strategy. META and MSFT proved that even "good" results fade and kill calls anyway.
Yes, I am retired and have everything in NASDAQ (+ Mag7 individual stocks like AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, etc), it's always outperformed S&P since I've been in it (2005), although it is slightly more volatile (which is normal, you can't get higher high's without lower lows). In addition to several $M in QQQ (NASDAQ) I moved a $1M to QQQi which pays monthly dividends (around 14% per year) which is what I can live on, although QQQi is also NASDAQ it grows slower in exchange for monthly dividends and a slightly (2%) lower downside when the market turn bear because it's using covered calls on the NASDAQ index... either way, the fixed income is perfect for me and the rest continues to grow at a good clip for the last 20 years. S&P is a dog IMHO.
During a gold rush, sell shovels. During an AI race, sell cloud computing services. Parts of MSFT's business can be dumpster fires (looking at you xbox) but Azure is a money printer.
MSFT says fuck your correction and pick better stocks next time
K, fuck MSFT then, laykng off 60000 csn onky get you so far
Hey guys is MSFT laptop any good? My friends have AAPL but I'm not sure how reliable it is based on their Q2 earnings report.
MSFT to other tech stocks - well well how the turned table have turnt..
people said the same shit at MSFT 350-380 range & I loaded up i think goog is one of the same
$GOOG $AMZN $META $MSFT. too many emotional jokers playing Algo game. Time to load for big year end rally, earnings not bad
MSFT is down for the heck of it. It doesn't want to be alone.
Wut It’d be like 13,xxx shares and 7.2mil without drip. You are taking the corrected share price and then splitting it again when in fact, the actual price range was \~$70-$120 back then. Also a relative put a similar amount in MSFT back in ‘89 and still holds today and the figures align up with my math.
Gemini says Google uses 75%-85% of their total compute capacity is run on their TPUs while the remainder is NVIDIA to satisfy Google Cloud customers who rely on the NVIDIA ecosystem. So this is actually crazy how much a leg up in making their buildout and investments go further than MSFT, META or Microsoft who rely on the Semis.
Not Apple and MSFT or even AMD
The math assumes you actually hold it and dont sell when the P/E ratio hits 60 or when Windows 8 flops. Most people who "invested" in MSFT back then cashed out years ago to buy a Lambo, missing the real compounding window entirely
Competes in is meaningless. Apple has a moat with an monopoly on phone IOS. MSFT has a moat on windows OS. Email and maps Google is the best but it is very hard to monetize without destroying your market share. The only moat is in search and that's what the business should be valued for.
Y'all remember when MSFT dropped under $400? Fun times. I wonder if we will get an opportunity like that again...
MSFT gets rewarded by going down 1% instead of 13%. No prisoners. This market is hunting big tech down until the streets are red with their blood.
every Magnificent 7 dropped the day after their earnings. $MSFT Red $TSLA Red $META Red $GOOGL Red $AMZN (tomorrow) Red $AAPL reports on Monday Nov 2nd $NVDA reports Nov 17th Will Apple break the trend or continue the trend?
that's for sure. Bought in late last week, we had good fed, we had good MSFT, I thought 'all I need now is for Google not to completely fuck this up' ...
So MSFT did indeed pull a META earnings 🤡
I think Elon’s comments triggered this. The market is realizing that trillions of dollars have been “invested” in order to generate futures revenues that will most likely never materialize. “Hyper-scalers” (LOL) taking on debt to finance AI expansion is not a good sign. MSFT offering packages to 1/3 of its staff in order to avoid taking on more debt to finance AI expansion is also not a good sign. So much money has been thrown at this and it’s now dead money. The market is finally waking up.
Yes, MSFT doesnt give a fuck about ad spend
I went in big on MSFT and bought 343 shares at 410. It continued to go down as low as 350 usd/share before smashing an earnings report and since going up significantly. I imagine the same scenario will happen to GOOGL. Most of all, I look at PEG/PEGY ratios, FCF, EPS, and various other ratios and buy based on what is cheapest. MSFT fit the bill earlier this year. As of now, GOOGL is getting there but I actually want to see it sink more before I consider it a worthwhile buy. There is definitely a case to be made it is better to say screw GOOGL and buy AVGO, LLY, ABBV, and plenty of other companies as well. Victoria Secret has done much better, as wel**l**, and I can say anecdotally I see that Victoria Secret Pink clothing all over nowadays.
Companies like $MSFT beat on objectively great earnings and has it's rip sold off HARD the following day. Market is telling you to step off the hetero bull pedal. Can't blame war, interest rates, FOMC, or any other macro bullshit.
I just get obsessed with trying to predict certain tickers for extended periods of time. It all started with the UNH landslide. Right now Im on MSFT. I have MSFT puts and Im bearish on the entire market. Its gonna be a fucking bloodbath tomorrow and watch me not make any money because MSFT will stay at a cool 521 or some stupid shit
Imma need MSFT to report earnings again
Well you are the one who is delusional. Companies maximise share price by investing back into business. Amzn and Google's prime business brought them lower earnings than expected, their cloud growth exploded - all the more reason to continue investing into clouds as their previous business model is not possible to scale much higher. On the other hand you have also MSFT, SPCX who not only have great business but also insane cloud growth. All the hyperscalers results point to one conclusion - data center business is booming
MSFT staying strong. My cock is so hard rn
and the Koreans love MSFT
MSFT more credit worthy than the US government!
What? Are you just pulling out stocks. Have you seen the pattern? The hyperscalers (GOOG, AMZN, META, and MSFT) have taken a hit because of their AI buildout. What do you think happens if they stopped building their AI infrastructure? It will create the AI meltdown you are talking about. Now think hard about this. That also means they won’t have any capex anymore. That’s $51B not spent per quarter. That means they’ll have more cash, which means their market cap will not drop like the rest of the AI related stocks. They are practically the banks for all the other AI stocks like MU, AMD, DELL, etc. If you look at the last 12 months, the AI related stocks have mooned while these hyperscalers have done almost nothing. That’s because they are paying a premium to these smaller companies. Hence, the inverse relationship in their stocks.
To get into the weeds a bit, the S&P 500 uses a cap weight rather than equal weight. That is, the more the market cap a company has, the larger percentage it is within the S&P 500. Here is the top ten, as of May from this Investopedia article: * Nvidia (NVDA) 8.59% * Apple (AAPL) 6.87% * Microsoft (MSFT) 4.71% * [Amazon.com](http://Amazon.com) (AMZN) 4.13% * Alphabet Class A (GOOGL) 3.67% * Broadcom (AVGO) 3.09% * Alphabet Class C (GOOGL) 2.92% * Meta Platforms Class A (META) 2.11% * Tesla (TSLA) 1.96% * Micron Technology (MU) 1.42% 1, they are ALL tech. 2, notice that google is included twice. So google exposure is actually closer to 7 percent. (wat?!?) 3) Add those percentages up, and thats 40 percent of the S&P 500 there alone. There are 490 other companies (ok, a bit more or less, its not EXACTLY 500 companies) that comprise the other 60%. Do we see a problem with this situation? Worse, people sometimes like to 'diversify' by buing S&P 500 funds, total market funds and other large cap funds. But if you look what those funds hold and what percentages they are, you'll see there is a lot of overlap. Even some midcap funds buy megacap stocks to goose their returns a bit. Be safe out there, do your research, know what you are buying.
Nebius and coreweave have major customers including MSFT and meta
If you listened to AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, SPCX investors calls you'll buy more of any cloud with actual scale and spot pricing access (NBIS and MAG7)
there's some thiccies at MSFT bro, just not in engineering 😂