MSFT

False-Community8534

WTF would you get out of MSFT now? You’re never going to get that position back.

GatorBo69

Exactly. Pick the stocks you like and DCA buy them weekly. Set it to automate and forget it. I do the same for AvGO, MSFT, NVDIA, MICRON, ASML, and co, and have been for 3+ years.. I’m a big believer in DCA, but you gotta do it consistently

ExplanationNormal339

Keeping tabs on [$MSFT](https://aimytrade.io/ticker/msft?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=comment&utm_campaign=SmallStreetBets&utm_term=MSFT&utm_content=template_1780841649028_wh9snq). I let the algorithmic read do the heavy lifting on these.

waymorerocks

Exactly. If you are buying VOO you are accepting you can’t predict what will or won’t be a winner. There is the possibility these companies could be good for VOO and your returns, you simply don’t know. There will be no fast-tracking, if they earned a spot in VOO then they meet your investment thesis. By excluding them, you are stock picking. These IPOs could be a bust, or they could be the next MSFT, NVDA, META etc that account for the majority of your returns for the next decade.

Coloradospruce33

Why my port MSFT, META & NFLX and these stocks road kill?

Zuko2001

everything will pump of course but software... I hate you MSFT and META. NOW and HOOD have also been added to my bags.

Prometheus651

If it is an OpenAI bailout, wouldn’t the safe play be to scoop up some MSFT while it’s beaten down right now? What, they own like a third of OpenAI still right?

maschin1982

On friday Simeone buy 2890 MSFT 500 calls expire in July. Dies He know Something 🤔

OrangMiskin

Channeling MSFT +10% 🙏🏻 lmao my dick could fall off first before that happens

Zuko2001

You know the funny thing? We could rip 3% higher on the indexes on Monday and somehow MSFT and META will be up 0.2% LMFAO

Iunatic

If MSFT announces dilution this week I will kill myself

2024-YR4-Asteroid

Anthropic is saying it’s time to perform regulatory capture to they can preserve their most around agentic programming. OAI, Anthropics and MSFT have spend the last 3 years throwing LLMs at everything trying to find what sticks, what its use case is, surprise surprise, it’s good at thing involving language, like programming. They don’t want people to be able to use opensource models locally to program. Imagine when Google releases a local opensource model that is even 75% of opus but can be fine tuned on your own codebases and run on a laptop… that destroyers their entire business model instantly.

JerkyJunkie

Nobody will be using water for cooling... There is a very heavily undervalued company, ticker CC Chemours. They basically own all of the patents for the different chemical mixtures, that will be used for cooling in basically everything… Chips, cars, energy production, air/space aviation, robotics, data centers, quantum computers, cryptocurrency mining, etc.. Remember who made the most money during the gold rush. Not the miners, not the refiners, not the brokers, nor the jewelers… The company selling the shovels, and other tools for unearthing the gold. CC is the company selling the shovels. NVDA, PLTR, SPCX, TSLA, MARA, HUT, EV companies, IONQ, MSFT, AMZN, META, and the list goes on…. Will all be in a position where they are beholden to CC as their only option for liquid cooling. Which on a side-note, was really the only, and largest setback when it has come to the Blackwell chip (Chinese limits aside). Putting two and two together that means that the highest market cap company in the world requires CC (AS A NECESSITY) to move forward in any linear way. Especially when the Reuben chip goes into production, as I’m sure Jensen will not make the same mistake twice. Considering that the new chip uses significantly more power, and generates incredible amounts of heat. Transitively speaking the chips will require much more cooling than the Blackwell, and current stacks.. Which again, had already ran into major cooling issues last round when it was run single, let alone in a stack! G-D Bless, and best of trading to everybody!💙✝️🙏🔥

Lazy_Connection8220

Appl 100%, rest could be AMZN /TSLA/ GOOGL - fuck MSFT

confused_teabagger

GOOG and MSFT are literally the broken down street whores of tech stock living off of daddy's inherited money.

No-Alarm3762

MSFT up almost 5% on HyperLiquid, $447, it’s right 90%+ of the times https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/MSFT/USDC

booobReviewer

Tesla and Apple are the two I'd flag. TSLA's valuation still prices in a robotics/AI/autonomy dream scenario that keeps getting pushed out. AAPL at 30x+ earnings with single-digit revenue growth is priced for perfection — services revenue is growing but hardware replacement cycles are lengthening. GOOGL and MSFT look the most reasonably priced on forward earnings. AMZN's AWS margins keep expanding so the multiple has support. NVDA's forward P/E is actually dropping as earnings catch up — depends on whether you think AI capex sustains.

booobReviewer

I don't think selling at $460 was a mistake. MSFT is at $417 today, so you'd be buying back cheaper. On the $500 by 2027 question — analyst consensus is $560, and with fwd P/E of 21.5x (cheap for mega-cap tech historically), $500 by 2027 is well within reach. That's only ~20% from here over 18 months. The bigger question is whether AI monetization through Azure and Copilot continues accelerating. Microsoft has the distribution advantage that most AI competitors don't.

booobReviewer

Tough call, they're in different risk buckets. NVDA at $205 has a forward P/E around 16x, which is actually cheap for them historically — analyst targets average $298, so there's upside if AI capex holds. But beta is 2.2, so you're along for the ride when semis correct (as we saw this week). MSFT at $416 is steadier — forward P/E ~21.5x, beta 1.1, diverse revenue across cloud, enterprise, AI. Upside to the $560 consensus is there but over a longer timeline. Comes down to risk tolerance: NVDA if you want higher upside with more volatility, MSFT if you want compound growth you can sleep through.

stuntondeezh0es

Where do you see OpenAI has 10b annualized revenue? They’re operating at a loss every month. This was found out when MSFT invested in them and it was discovered. They’re gonna IPO at like $900B but they’re negative revenue? This isn’t a bubble?

CALAND951

Anthropic and OpenAI are selling to hundreds of enterprises — insurance companies, law firms, banks, hospitals, software startups. OpenAI is over $10B annualized revenue. That money isn't coming from NVDA or MSFT — it's coming from completely separate industries paying per token to build real products. NVDA sells chips → hyperscalers use them to run inference → enterprises pay for that inference → those enterprises generate real economic output. That's a supply chain, not a circle. Ford buys steel, steel companies book revenue — is the auto industry a Ponzi? The circular revenue argument would indict every supplier relationship in every industry.

CALAND951

This is the best bear case in the thread and you're not wrong that it's the right framework. But the Cisco analogy breaks down on the fundamentals. Cisco in 2000 was priced on the assumption that every business would need networking gear *once*. The buildout was real but the monetization was a one-time event — after enterprises bought routers, they stopped. Revenue collapsed because the demand curve was a spike, not a sustained ramp. NVDA's situation is structurally different. The hyperscalers aren't buying GPUs to build static infrastructure — they're buying them to run inference workloads that grow with usage, then replacing them with the next generation 18 months later. MSFT, GOOG, META, and AMZN have all *raised* capex guidance this year and said demand is outstripping supply. That's not analysts projecting future adoption. That's current, paid, recurring demand from the four largest companies on earth. You're right that in a bubble everything looks cheap on forward estimates. But "looks like a bubble" isn't a valuation argument. The Cisco comparison only works if you can show the FY27 estimates are as disconnected from reality as the 2003 broadband projections were. What's your specific estimate for where NVDA earnings land in FY27, and what assumption breaks it?

Consistent_Grab_69

There's Github Copilot CLI which is basically a copy of Claude CLI. But MSFT has one of the best B2B distribution networks. In the AI race, currently models are the moat because almost every other feature can be straight copied and there exists parallels across every provider. Kiro CLI is the Amazon equivalent.

Xx360StalinScopedxX

MSFT is cooked

KrimzonK

MSFT, PG, PEP, usually div stock

NerdSlamPo

Based on recent insider moves and public signals, my largely uninformed guess is that the main players announced besides OpenAI/Anthropic will be META and MSFT (plus some kickbacks to AVGO, Oracle and Service Now... somehow)

biglebowskidude

MSFT — Options Activity Analysis Price $416.67, down 2.66% today, sitting \~22% below 52-week high. What retail gets wrong about options flow: • Big put volume 7 crash prediction. A fund buying 50,000 puts at $400 is probably hedging a $5B equity position, not calling a crash • You can't tell if large blocks are opening or closing trades • Market makers generate massive volume daily with zero directional conviction What actually matters: • Persistent open interest at the same strike = institutional anchoring • Volatility term structure spikes in longer-dated options = genuine uncertainty • Put/call ratio alone is a weak signal MSFT specific: Trading 22% below yearly highs with Azure AI growth intact. Options fear looks more like macro hedging than conviction bearishness. Bottom line: Don't trade MSFT based on options flow alone. Watch earnings and Azure growth numbers instead.

Temporary-Basil-3030

MSFT is a fucking pos. Don't go near it.

HomeworkAdditional19

MSFT

Temporary-Basil-3030

MSFT that fucking pos.

Chookity-poks

I am interested in more details of your plan if you don’t bother to share. Personally I will “cut” more on volatile stocks rather than The ones I have more faith in. For example, even at these valuations, I rather cut more (percentage-wise) on META and MSFT than I would on Apple or GOOGL (although google has been a bit volatile itself the last few months, but mostly due to growth).

Bazzer82

More chance of MSFT going up 30% in the next month. Not gonna happen.

OneTwoThreePooAndPee

I might swap MSFT or AAPL for AMZN.

Samjabr

MSFT - eww

VoidMageZero

Not too worried about MSFT. There are lots of overvalued stocks right now, MSFT is not one of them.

ga643953

But would you say companies like CRM,META, or even MSFT have been running hot? They are all still red YTD, why are they also being sold off?

Coloradospruce33

Why MSFT, META and NFLX dog shit?

stonksf

Rate my port VOO 15.63%, QQQM 9.38%, INTC 12.50%, NVDA 9.38%, QCOM 6.25%, AVGO 7.81%, NOW 10.94%, MSFT 14.06%, ORCL 6.25%, MRVL 7.81% :)

OrangMiskin

My MSFT calls need some saving

music_is_gud

From that list? I have only NVDA (very small position), MRVL, IREN and AVGO. My port right now is a bit skewed towards rebound plays from Friday which I normally won't buy. I have AAOX, MVLL, AVGX, IRE, KORU, MULL, NVDA, DRAM and MSFT. But before Friday, I didn't have half of those. Planning to sell most of them post a small rebound

RD_006

MSFT? It's been down since before Billy Bob caught an STD.

ColtonOrr69

Should have sold MSFT at 460 or think it eventually hits 500 by 2027?

IjustWorkHere98

The [dot.com](http://dot.com) was a different bubble because many of those companies weren't profitable or established. All the chip companies have been around at least 10-20 years, and have been profitable. Same for hyperscalers (Google, MSFT, AMZN). Even data centers. That doesn't mean we don't need a healthy correction - maybe that started yesterday. Some of the run-ups in the last 2 months are scary, and need some more days like yesterday (Friday, June 5th) to smooth things out.

Ok_Entrepreneur_dbl

If you bought Nasdaq index on April 3rd 2001 it was $1800 and by 2007ot was over $2000. Incidentally, if you bought AMZN around the same time - it was all gains from there. Also investing into companies like MSFT after 2002 were just fine. You mention S&P but there were plenty of other opportunities not mention DCA helps with recovry as well. While sever drops or crashes are scary at the moment for many, it is an opportunity for others.

Much_Candle_942

I didn't understand it well. You mean to say, around end-June (15 days after June 12th), the nasdaq heavyweights like NVDA, AAPL, MSFT etc. will drop? Because the nasdaq linked ETFs need to "make room" for SpaceX. If that happens, naturally most people would jump in on buying calls/stock of these companies. But again, this may not necessarily happen - because weight of SpaceX in the index might just be 2%. What may work better is - covered call on QQQ? Because I doubt if QQQ would run up higher strongly no matter whatever happens with SpaceX.

DryBicycle5629

MSFT will pump back up right before next earnings for sure, just need it to go back to 480 and I’m out for real..

OrangMiskin

Doubled down on MSFT calls before close on Friday. Lmao am I fuk

Moepenmoes

I've just looked at how sperm donating works and holy shit what a world. They literally use a dating app-like system to match the donors with the receivers, and you can set preferences for nationalities, hobbies, looks, religion and so on, even more filters than dating apps have. Then I checked for what it takes to become a sperm donor, and apparently less than 10% of the donors will get through the screening. Also, you're asked to visit weekly for 1-2 years and you're asked to never jerk off in between the weekly visits because it could affect the volume and quality. Anyway, 70% of my port is holding onto $MSFT for dear life and I'm expecting next week to be pretty volatile because of the SpaceX ipo. The other 30% on META and GOOG for a stable non-AI dependant tech tilt. Dumped $AVGO right after earnings because they're clearly a lost case, their forecast is way below the AI industry's average at the moment. This was a cashflow update. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

Jericho3434

I understand, I owned it too. I just saw the market didn’t care and kept going up but leaving MSFT behind. It’s frustrating and hard to watch everything and everyone make money and you’re stuck with something doing nothing in a raging bull market. I’m thinking the market is anticipating lower revenue due to AI replacing seats.

uberiffic

I mean, I believe MSFT is one of if not the most undervalued Mag7 stock right now. I didnt buy it because Reddit said it was good. I hate the stock because this is what it does. It will go up 3%+ in a single day, then give it all back and then some the next day or within a few days. It's just frustrating to watch daily.

Jericho3434

Yeah, Reddit really bought into the MSFT turn around story. When you have tickers getting spammed at you every day, it’s hard to not buy whatever is being presented. I actually bought it too and sold it after it kept going down when the Nasdaq would go up 2%. I knew the market didn’t care for the stock. I bought DRAM (which I already sold) instead and made out handsomely.

uberiffic

Not sure, but since April 30th I've been entirely back in MSFT and went from up 12.5% to only up 4% in the last 3-4 days. I hate this stock. From +$45k to +$12k. I knew I should have sold and bought the dip at +$45k.

Coloradospruce33

Should I sell my MSFT I bought 2-3 weeks ago and load the boat with RDDT?

H1ghlan_der_only1

I have 7. PLTR. MRVL SNOW RBRK AVGO MSFT and FIGR. Go figure.

Bud_Dawg

Meh. MSFT will be back

SoonToBeBanned666

MSFT, ICE, CPRT cause I’m not into gambling

Iunatic

I purchase the bread that's cheaper by 10 cents but I don't sweat being down 10k on my Jan 27 MSFT calls

zxc123zxc123

How could you lose money on MSFT for 5 years when it's been up over >65% the last 5 years? Even at today's lower price it's >85% from the 2022 lows. Sounds like a you problem.

DisastrousStrike9672

I have a heavy MSFt position as well, and averaged down during conflict with Iran. If you don’t have short term necessity to use this fund, just delete your trading app and check back at end of 2027 to see where it took you. Staring at it everyday doesn’t make things easier. Don’t forget, MSFT stocks consistently outperformed the market for the past N years. Being doubted in the short run happens to every company but doesn’t matter over the longer run because the profit generation capabilities speak for itself over time.

Xx360StalinScopedxX

MSFT baggies haven't even since the thick of it yet.

ItsPuamana

MSFT just sucks. NVDA is revolutionary.

DooficusIdjit

You chose MSFT as your safe stock? You truly belong here.

Skalawag2

MS paint? Bullish for MSFT

cock_pussy

MSFT first ceasefire calls and NXPI ER calls

haveknotts

MSFT just keeps printing money, dude. Hard to argue against buying when the valuation gets that reasonable.

Jemmani22

I've been making money everywhere except MSFT. Its so dogshit. But I still hold positions in it.

TomatoSpecialist6879

To be fair that guy made that comment 2 weeks ago, plus he never did buy and was just yapping about his MSFT position every time he posted

bikbiky

If MSFT is 100% of your holdings, you have some serious self-love problems

JefeDiez

Unless looking at stocks that have already been down. MSFT, META

Chief_Mischief

Why the fuck is this clanker replying and not Copilot puts on MSFT it's all over

Revelati123

TBF it would take a planet killer asteroid to take MSFT to 0. The fucking post nuclear cockroaches have a licensing deal for Windows updates...

moosewithamuffin

I felt it in my gut to buy MSFT puts on Monday but I chickened out SMH

Objective_Back_2581

People start calling MSFT microslop and Satya starts selling all his shares. Not because he’s scared, simply slapping his cock and balls on the table for demonstration. What a CHAD!

shasta747

You'll live bro, MSFT isn't going anywhere anytime in your lifetime

tiny_toof

Tbh u got a pretty good cost average for a lot of these. Except MSFT.

yaletowntrader

Wrong. Follow your instinct and passion. I broke up with my ex who works at MSFT and made a shit ton of money off of full porting short and puts during anger state

NerdSlamPo

MSFT making a run!

Illustrious_Gift1609

MSFT is my favorite long term hold. I don’t think any other tech stock has such a high EPS and low PE ratio. MSFT under a 25 PE ratio, buying more every single time. Idc what the market cap leaders are, MSFT is the leader.

Legendary-Lemon

Holy shit didn’t know META diluted as well. I really hope MSFT is not considering this. So we have the neocloud diluting to pay the AI bill, now the hyperscalers which are paying the neoclouds also diluting. This is definitely a crash signal.

Illustrious_Gift1609

Like what? MSFT and other SaaS? I was looking for stocks that got dragged down further…..thanks in advance

AccountOfMyAncestors

The worst thing that could happen right now is for MSFT and AMZN to FOMO in on dilution too, just because Google and Meta announced so. Would amount to hundreds of billions of dilution for AI, all coming in the same 1-2 quarters as the 3 mega-cap AI IPO raises. Of all things, THAT would probably be the crescendo that triggers the crash. The market needs to punish the fuck out of Zuck for considering this, dump his shit stock under $500 asap to scare MSFT and AMZN away from this. Don't be retarded Satya and Andy, DO NOT ANNOUNCE DILUTION FOR AI CAPEX.

Such-Ice1325

Bought the MSFT Dip because why not. And ETF.

powerboner

This was me buying MSFT in October only for it to still be $120 under October’s price 🥰

Ahamadrayasbaboon

Ok, what are you going to do with this change? Sell VTI and buy VOO or VXUS to avoid owning 0.1% Space X? This inclusion is going to have no noticeable impact on VTI’s trajectory. There’s a ton of stocks in VTI and many aren’t desirable already.  There is no reason to stress about this, any more than you might stress about Meta or MSFT being in there. Hell, MSTR might even be in VTI. 

Commercial_Seat_3704

Me with MSFT on Monday...

PooPooPointBoiz

Come fucking on dudes. AMZN fucking fell more today than goddamn fucking MSFT. Yet, when I was in MSFT, that shit would go red literally every fucking day, while QQQ, AMZN, and GOOGL would rip 1-4% every single fucking day.

PooPooPointBoiz

The only silver lining to all this is that we're all in this bullshit together /b/ros. Fucking market shit the bed but at least it's not like when I was holding MSFT and it would drop 2-4% a day while the rest of the market was rocketing 2-5%.

PooPooPointBoiz

Why the fuck do drops like this never happen when I'm holding puts? I buy puts after massive run ups, and the shit just keeps going and smokes my puts. Yet, when it does drop, it does so when I'm balls deep in fucking AMZN or MSFT or META or some shit. And I get fucking SMOKED. I'm down like 5k today, on top of a previous 10k loss from stupid fucking AMZN from M-Thursday. Fuck my goddamn fucking life dude.

Spac55

$GOOG make revenue 400 Billion a year How much SpaceX revenue ? Not even 5 Billion net income yet ? Check how much revenue of $META $NVDA $MSFT

Unfair_Adeptness_838

Can be. All except META and MSFT

Samjabr

Didn't catch all the details but Reid Hoffman being investigated. Possibly for eating other MSFT board members?

Burtonwurton

MSFT better fucking not say its going to dilute shares as well.

Ozqi

Copilot said: For MSFT to recover sustainably investors need to see: AI capes growth stabilize Free cash flow improve Copilot monetization to become more obvious Azure keep growing near 40% More confidence that OpenAI-related demand is durable. So why doesn’t Sloppy Nutella follow his own dogshit AI model’s advice and stop being a fucking moron? Instead he announces 7 new fucking AI models on the keynote. WHAT THE FUCK IS HE DOING.

AlmostAsianJim

$MSFT on market green day: Fuck you guys imma do my own thing. $MSFT on market red day: Imma join you guys, wait up. We’re all in this together.

Shawarmaking007

I don't think MSFT need dilution, it is cheap enough haha, I am a bag holder of course

shasta747

AMZN and MSFT are next, long APPL

Successful_Snail

As if my MSFT isn't already shit enough

Jussttjustin

If it ends here, sure - but wait until META / MSFT / AMZN dilute shareholders next week

Quixotus

Added context: MSFT's Satya also suggested in a recent interview that they were considering doing the same.

InspectorDabbit_

It won't happen, Google and now META are running out of money MSFT is probably next