Reddit Posts
Back to breakeven with MSFT after about 6 months - worth holding?
The Two Trillion Dollar Bottleneck: AI & Energy
Mag 7 already did their 100x (and more). So where does the next trillion-dollar (or multitrillion) company come from?
Simple circular financing explained: it’s only bad if the AI companies being invested in ends up bombing
Is the AI Capex vs. Semi decorrelation a buying op?
Gamers here, do you invest in a game company like Nintendo, Sega, etc?
Why i think AAOI will moon this coming week
Value / Margin of Safety Stocks to Consider?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Nebius ($NBIS): The Catalyst Set to Explode Tonight at 18:00 ET
Why is Buffet & Abel aggressively accumulating so much Google but none of the other hyperscalers?
With most 13Fs released, here are superinvestors' top 10 buys from Q2
Made $375k CAD day trading using margin in 60 days
MSFT has accepted delivery of IREN's 50MW Horizon 1 facility
$IREN delivers first 50MW Childress Horizon 1 facility to $MSFT
First ever closed trade on moomoo, and it's a solid win thanks to Microsoft
I'm deciding to sell NASA (tema) etf for tax loss harvesting, since I made around $300 in profit so far in 6 months. Should I do it or no? Needed thoughts.
Put ~$1.17M into MSFT. 29 days later walked away +$340K. 🫡
Ban bets Nintendo to $16 EOY and MSFT to 500 (when it was at 367) guy here. Ban bet to $25 by EOY.
free tool where you can enter any S&P 500 ticker and compare its historical performance
MSFT - bought the dip June 29th, when to sell
MSFT - bought the dip Jun 29th, when to sell
MSFT - bought the dip Jun 29th, when to sell
MSFT hits positive net gamma exposure right now
I’m rotating around 80% of my MSFT position into META. Here’s my reasoning.
Ban bet Nintendo stock to $16 by EOY and if it hits $16 I’ll donate some switch 2s to children Hospitals
Where would you put surprise inheritance money
Big Tech's Anthropic and OpenAI stakes are distorting the corporate earnings picture
four green days, one red, and the red one is the only one i learned anything from
FOLLOW UP POST - Full Port Microsoft - Undervalued !!! 🚀📈
[LIVE Webinar, Sunday, August 2 at 11:00 AM ET] Top Stocks for August 2026 Based On Artificial Intelligence: AI's Highest Conviction Stock Picks | LIVE Forecast for NOW, MSFT, PLTR
How The F*ck is OpenAI Going to Pay 1.4 Trillion??
There’s no way these ppl at simpler trading make money
Crazy week, what should I do with my remaining calls?
You can guess where I bought GOOGL then MSFT
$7700 Gain on the day from scalps on $MSFT, SAMZN, and $NVDA
Loss porn with a profitable day to cap off the month
Gambled my girlfriends account on MSFT and paid off
New to options, so far doing okay, but I feel the big red coming one day
Me after selling my 6 mo MSFT bags for $170 profit and texting my mom that I made a killing of Microsoft stock
Revenge traded a NFLX loss into a $700,000 MSFT profit 💰
I see you out here freezin' like a bum, eatin' out the dump. MSFT the illest out the bunch. The butterfly was a caterpillar once.
I wish I never invested into LUNR and NASA. been waiting for a few weeks to sell, but ofcouse dip keeps dipping....
How to properly evaluate MSFT's capex (including neocloud contracts)?
US Stocks are Reddish..What’s Your Go-To Short-Term Pick
I have been saying for the last 4 months to buy Microsoft. Check my post history
Mentions
For the next few years 490-500 will be a soft cap, triggered by price break auto sell triggers (like the recent sale from Satya). If you can hold for >10 years you’re likely to realize maybe 1k and/or a split. My average strike was $34 and I got out of everything at $500. I’m a former MSFT employee, kept every share and maxed out my ESPP. There is a pleasant and unexpected sensation of liberty associated with a brokerage balance well exceeding the remaining note on the house.
My hold it forever is basically apple and spy. MSFT is a high tier but I have more confidence in Apple than any company. And I only buy android phones.
It’s a fair question whether it’s overvalued right now. A stock can absolutely be a “hold forever” type of company, but that doesn’t mean you should hold it at literally any price. Sometimes the stock runs up so far that the valuation becomes too good to ignore. If MSFT suddenly went to $1,000, for example, you’d probably sell, not because Microsoft suddenly became a bad business, but because a fantastic business can still be a bad investment at the wrong price. Microsoft might be a fantastic business at $500, but that doesn’t automatically make it a fantastic buy at $1,000.
The core function of office suite is still great but the integration of copilot and the desktop vs cloud version is pretty frustrating. I often have to upload the whole file to copilot app instead of using it directly in excel or it will crash. The formatting in browser and in app sometimes can be different for word, its frustrating when you have lots of bullet points. Dont get me started on Outlook. The new outlook is absolutely garbage. I cant even set up the link for zoom meeting and all the attachments are opened in the same window. The fucking worst of them is the search function. I cant find emails that was sent to me in the last few days. Anyway, it was pointed out to me by other redditor, with data, that the enterprise segment are no longer MSFT main profit driver. Cloud and AI are the cash cows, and hence the massive CAPEX opening.
You forget to factor in the fact that if Anthropic performs well, say doubles, then in that time period the likelihood is that big tech will also preform extremely well. So yes, in terms of pure anthropic play googl might only gain ~2.5%, but googl would probably go up 30% during a bull run for anthropic. Now let's use AMZN instead. Amzn owns 20% of anthropic approx. Amzn market cap 3T. So AMZN owns 200b in ANTH. Now say anthropic doubles from 1T to 2T. Amzn gains 200B. Thats a 6.66% increase just from ANTH. Now factor in the gains from AMZN itself during the ANTH bull run. Also: suppose 10% of my portfolio is in AMZN. Valuing ANTH at 2T, that gives me 0.66% exposure to ANTH. Now if another 10% of my portfolio is in GOOGL, and another 10 in MSFT/NVDA, I probably have around 1.75% exposure to anthropic already. For me personally, thats already good enough.
Up to you. I’ve held Microsoft for 34 years. Glad I did. Dividends are quite pleasing as well. Roughly 50k per year from MSFT dividends.
You caught it at 350, why sell? If you are going to sell why not just take enough off until you are comfortable with the ratio of your portfolio MSFT makes up? I think it is important to remember that the real gains of the market are made with time, not necessarily timing the market. I was in a similar position a little while ago, trimmed until I was happy with the ratio, but holding the rest long term.
MSFT will continue to outperform the market as it had for the last 15 years.
Bought my first 50 shares of MSFT at 37.00. My most recent add was 3 shares at 350. I'll just keep my 78 shares longer
MSFT is probably 4% of my nw at over 1100 shares plus six figure exposure just via ETFs that include it. Second largest single stock holding. They will continue to print money via controlling many levers. Initial small position was at $68. Hold forever kinda stock IMO.
I sold MSFT to get into AVGO but my gut tells me not a good idea to sell nvidia to get into AVGO.
If it’s in a non-registered account I would let it cook and avoid the capital gains tax. Hard to bet against MSFT
So it hit your price target what’s the issue? Why haven’t you sold yet? Are you being greedy or did your valuation on MSFT change?
I’m often in and out of MSFT. I bought a bunch between $410 and $375. I sold last week at $510. If you think there’s a bunch of juice left in it you can stay. As of right now I think most of the upside is priced in
I sold all my MSFT positions and went in heavy on META
Lol? GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT, NVDA own about 40% of anthropic. So by simply owning these companies, you already have really high exposure to ANTH.
I'd agree with your last sentence, that's pretty fair. Likewise, insider knowledge of a government contract really isn't going to move the tickers you listed. I'm simply saying that she probably still has plenty of contacts and given how rampant insider trading has been on both sides of the aisle, I wouldn't be surprised at all if she was still engaging in it. BE is not MSFT. The question is whether or not she knew something when she bought BE.
I turned $120k into $550k with GME back in the short squeeze. Drove that up to $620k. Then proceeded to basically the same thing as you over the next year or so. It feels really fucking awful. I get it. I rolled a 401k into an IRA and was able to trade with it back in Oct 2024. Since then I am up 125%. I’m at $530k now. Many people would say that I’m still far too aggressive with my investments but I’m behind schedule and I don’t see an alternative if I want to retire. Here’s a few things I’ve learned that helped me change my strategy: 1. Options are bad. It’s just really hard to make money on them and the siren song of 5x-10x gains is really dangerous if you have a gambling addiction. Turn them off. 2. With 100k you can swing trade TQQQ, SQQQ etc and if you’re decent at reading the market, you can make money on these trades more than you can with options. It’s pretty easy to make $300 in a day with $100k using this strategy. If you do that pretty repeatedly for a year you’ll make 50-60% on your portfolio. 3. Buy & Hold: find some stocks you believe in, buy them when they’re beat up, and wait. I’m up 175% on IOVA, 165% on LEU, 190% on AMD, 140% on SNOW, 85% on GOOG, 30% on MSFT. 4. Don’t make your positions too big for your portfolio. Buy into things with 2-5% of your portfolio. If you have to buy the dip a few times this lets it grow to maybe 5-7%. If the position is relatively huge you will stress out about it. When you find a winner that small position can become a major driver of returns. 5. Relative to your past experience you need to be patient. If you can get 30-40% on your portfolio in a year you are absolutely killing it. Most people can’t get that. Don’t try to get that in a few weeks anymore. 6. Use this sub for sentiment analysis not investment ideas. Inverting this sub is surprisingly effective. meme stocks are especially dangerous and you should steer clear of them. There’s a lot of manipulation going on in here. In summary: with $100k in your pocket, you’re not fucked. It’s just money and if you slow down and stop gambling you can get ahead.
Just need MSFT to hit 600 - 700, MU to hit 1300 - 1500, and NVDA to hit 330 between a ceasefire, rates going down, etc.
Back in June 2026, mi hear some Scottish Rasta guys a talk seh Vertex mek di man rich, an’ him woulda go hard pon it. Looking at di current financials, dem kinda back up di thesis too — PEG around 0.56, an’ forward P/E somewhere round 13 or so. Mi a think fi start build a position soon. Bumbaclaat, rasclaat — dis Rasta Scot mighta actually know weh him a talk ’bout finna take a large position from MSFT (currently own 342 shares) and put id on bumbaclaat Vertex
Traded DELL IREN AAPL HTZ GPRO MSFT SNOW INTC TSLA PLTR
I've seen enough. Puts on MSFT.
Yeah a big portion of these "customers" are umprofitable AI companies, funded by AMZN, MSFT and GOOGL themselves, essentially buying their own product and marking it as revenue
Edge AI is great for latency/privacy, but it doesn't train frontier models. NVDA/AMD capex is mostly hyperscalers (AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL) doing training + big inference.
Seems like “the pros” have valuations based on barely sensical logic. I think you can beat the market, but I’d recommend a third or leas of your portfolio in 10ish individual stocks cause indexes are great and help ensure you win. For one, Timely Ten of IQTrends has done a bit better than S and P and they are just based on dividend yield theory. Also, if you invested in semiconductor and neoclouds early you did really well. Besides that, sometimes a stock you like drops - like MSFT at 370 earlier this year.
Panic trimming MSFT before it went ballistic. Now I don't even fucking feel the unrealized losses.
# just as you predicted LMAO 🤌 (in the end MSFT didn't go bankrupt 🚀🚀🚀)
\> AI competency is massively overstated Explain the huggingface incident then, where 1000+ agents collaborated and hacked into it, undirected to do so. They evaded people pursuing them, established a hidden message board to collaborate & share their R&D. Is that "massively overstated" being able to hack into and take down a multi billion dollar company, undirected? \> Token efficiency is broken as models get more capable also. Which will undermine the limitless growth and huge profit margins these valuations are built on. This assumes constant demand. Demand has been shown to increase as token efficiency does as well. It's similar to what happened with the steam engine. As it got more efficient more use cases were found and demand for coal actually grew despite efficiency gains in its usage. Use cases are already known for AI tho... I often employ 5-10+ agents to work together on a task. If I could get 100+ I would. I'm maxing out my plans and so are most of my peers. \> Oracle is almost certainly going to be a ‘*pets.com*’ Oracle is a horrible example - they are in insane amounts of debt. They don't have a viable business model. Look at companies doing it right, not the failing ones. Amazon & MSFT - hit profitability on their DC capex. Anthropic - had their first profitable quarter. Nvidia - profitable and reinvesting 100% back into the space.
Microsoft. I was an employee and a bag holder from 1997-2004. The dot com crash of 2000 wiped me out and I sold my 5 figure holding for what I had into it roughly some 3+ years after the crash. I figured if it hasn’t recovered by now it wasn’t going to recover. I sold around $24/share. I was right and wrong. Fast forward to 2012 it was STILL valued at $28. Today the strike price for MSFT is $500! The important takeaway here for all investors to realize is that, from 2000 to 2012, more than a decade, Microsoft steadily grew its TAM, product offerings, revenue, and profit. Essentially the fundamentals were there but the market remained gun shy of the entire tech sector for a very long time. Never underestimate market sentiment, animal spirits, company social credit, or whatever you may call it. I’m looking at you Elon.
Good for you. Did well and now you don't have to endure the endless MSFT ups, downs and discouraging flat periods, which realistically there will be many more, and of course the non-stop hypecycle. Took the chips off the table. Well done.
I sold MSFT to buy GOOGL. I hate myself everyday because of it.
I sold all my MSFT at peak and holding onto META. I'm smarter than 99.9% of you. 😂😂🤌🤌 Lmao
Tim apple down 3% and MSFT down 2% . dam
I hate you MSFT, I hate you MSFT, I hate you MSFT.
lots of haters on GOOG....sounds like a buying opportunity to me....same shit was happening with MSFT, butt of all jokes, then all of a sudden, boom, 350-510 in 2 months...GOOG will do the same thing, just kind of how these big fuckers move.
oracle? ah yes, gpt astra which smashes every model out there meaning donald dump wont let open ai go down till the ai race is done. and then can go cover their expenses via going public. also donald dump is friend with ellison. also their backlog is twice their market cap. also for some reason the same logic about customer concentration didnt apply to MSFT when it pumped from 400 to 500 (where it belonged tbh)
More like MSFT is trying to warn you
Short MSFT for showing a bear
Thanks! Yea did consider and have owned many of those (still do have AMZN, Meta, MSFT) did well on Sofi before it dropped off. But my reason for not including them was I saw less potential growth than 100% over 5 years in those names. I didn’t look yet at Reddit or AMD so will have a check.
I like those names specially Googl, TSM, and NVDA. I would also suggest AMZN, Meta, MSFT, AMD, Sofi, reddit. I personally like to be well diversified, so I have about 70 names in my port.
Wait. Why do you think it's over for MSFT here?
Great job locking in the profits! I hope that's what you wanted out of this whole thing, because to own that many shares in an American Blue Chip like MSFT is an accomplishment on its own! There would've been absolutely no shame in holding onto that chunk and selling CC's. Honeslty, get paid for your stress and if they every get called, you get to relinquish your shares at a profit! I know people shit on MSFT, but it's an incredible American success story, those shares (in my opinion) will always be worth more than cash (especially USD under Trump) But great job, nonetheless and enjoy in good health!
I’ve been an MSFT collector since 2007. Holding on for better days. 🚀🚀
I made 30k on MSFT LEAPS and am about to lose it on RKLB calls :) The circle of retard.
I don't understand your point of view, there are so many strategies you could take. It has been moving up/down and recently it was 680ish which is closer to your cost basis. Why panic? you could sell all small loss, or trim some and look for better opportunities, if you do that, you can recoup loss in no time. Had you bought CRM, MA, MSFT just any stock with half of META, you'd be in gain instead. Meta will hit 1000 within next year, it just awaits some good news.
Apple, Google, MSFT, meta
My money (literally) on GOOG and MSFT. Reasoning: GOOG is an absolute beast, and has been integrating (increasingly useful) AI into its ecosystem. Not to mention their models are impressively cheap given their performance. MSFT on the other hand, aside from increasing utility of Copilot for businesses, has sensational AI as a service delivery. The integrations of AI into their power platform and azure, if continued to be improved, is going to be a game changer. Haven’t really done too much of a dive into fundamentals, but from a pure AI service delivery perspective, both keep impressing me. Of course that’s just tip of the iceberg when it comes to why I think long term they will perform rather well. AAPL also comes to mind, as the SIRI AI integration has great potential, but as of right now they’re lagging behind a bit, and will not be selling the AI itself, so I’m just a tiny bit hesitant.
Is it a risky bet though. In terms of tech stocks, MSFT has to be one of the least risky. It's beta is around 1-1.10, so only a bit riskier than the SP500 while providing much better results.
MSFT will be a huge AI winner. $ 512 is too early.
That's funny, 9 years ago is about when I sold all my MSFT for almost no gain 💀 Nice work - congrats
> Tomorrow's headline: $MSFT becomes world's first $100T stock after AGI discovered. MSFT literally shut down ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok simultaneously today due to a massive azure infrastructure outage.
I got my house in 2016 too, also sold at least 150k MSFT 😅
Strongest signal I've seen to buy $MSFT calls I have seen all year
I bet OP is a MSFT FTE. Acquiring ESPP and Stock Awards over the last years.
I have plenty of money, I'd guess it's more than you...but I have no idea. I own some of both AAPL and NVDA, but didn't throw my $500k into it like this guy did with MSFT. I assume you did though, since you saw it coming all the way.
OP, what's your next buy? Did you go all in on MSFT?
I bought MSFT between 1999 and 2019 when I sold (a total return of about 450%) and have regretted ever since. Fortunately I rebought in the 2022-2026 time frame and am up 65% without dividends.
how is MSFT a risk? mf you’re probably on a windows pc right now.
I bought MSFT at $25 many years ago, for at least 10-12 years it did pretty much nothing. Sadly, I got out at $135 about 6 years ago.
I had couple of thousand shares of MSFT, bought at 350 sold at 470 couldn’t handle the slow movement of that stock,
MSFT is definitely going back to 157! Check back in 3 months
MSFT went up loat more over past decade. its up 786%(900% with DRIP). This feels like 2019-2020 purchase if it was all in one go. Even 2022 it hit 200 bucks.
Think about how stupid the people on this thread are. Then think if you go out on the street and ask random people what company is worth more $SNDK at $1,500 or $NVDA, $AAPL, $MSFT, etc. 90%+ will say $SNDK because the share price is higher
Tomorrow's headline: $MSFT becomes world's first $100T stock after AGI discovered.
Newbie here how long did you own MSFT?
Unless you had MSFT, NVDA IV crush + memory not even reach monthly highs. NVDA long (+5% last 3M), memory -10%
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Next - Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
The markets get things wrong all the time. That's why stocks like MU shot up then came back down and might shoot up again, or not. It's why MSFT suddenly went to mid-300s then back up to 500s. Constantly adjusting, but it's not perfect.
I still get enjoyment from watching cnbc but man they’re so late about everything. Running headlines today like “time to buy software?” The time to buy software was when MSFT was $350 and NOW was $92. Price drives sentiment
this is what people were saying a month ago about MSFT
Selling my MSFT. Had a nice pump today. taking profits home 😁
All the paper hands selling MSFT before it pulls a Google and goes absolutely parabolic to $600
RDDT is the new MSFT, if it’s red everything else green
It’s baffling to say the least AVGO is a key player in AI. They have their hands in the networking side and AI ASIC design side. I don’t own them myself because I’m all in on NVDA and MSFT.
Are you guys selling MSFT and NOW ?
22% of SPY is on a moon mission (AAPL, NVDA, MSFT) and its slowly decaying. Wild times.
Just checked: my CRM is up 71% (bought in June), another stake that I bought earlier at higher price point was up 20% (sold). MSFT is up 30%.
Thank you NVDA and MSFT best stocks ever fuck you archer aviation
So AVGO dumps -6% but they pump all the other mag7 enough to make SPY +0.60% ? MSFT at all time high with pe 30 and google treading water at pe 17? The foil hats are right, this shit is fake as fuck.
MSTR and MSFT going to somewhere way way up high
all i need is $510... pleaseeee MSFT
you were probably saying the same thing about MSFT a couple months ago
Sorry please could you clarify this comment. The fees on a LEAP on IBKR are 1 USD or less even. The premium is neutral whether you buy three calls on one day or buy one each month. What do you mean you are not reducing the risk just spreading it? I am not disagreeing I am just trying to understand whether I should buy all my LEAPS on one day (with different expiry dates perhaps) or buy them at intervals. At present I have 3x MSFT, 2x AAPL, 2 NVDA and one SPY all for late 2028. All bought on Monday. All deep underground
| Ticker | Mon 8/31 | Tue 9/1 | Wed 9/2 | Week so far | | --------- | ---------: | ---------: | ---------: | ----------: | | **AAPL** | -0.89% | **+2.61%** | -0.05% | **+1.65%** | | **MSFT** | -1.22% | -1.24% | -0.84% | **-3.26%** | | **GOOGL** | -2.09% | -1.28% | +0.88% | **-2.49%** | | **AMZN** | -2.50% | -1.87% | +0.02% | **-4.30%** | | **META** | -0.98% | +1.08% | **+2.50%** | **+2.59%** | | **NVDA** | +1.48% | -1.51% | **+3.21%** | **+3.16%** | | **TSLA** | **+5.51%** | -3.22% | +0.26% | **+2.38%** |
Yeah, I bought a lot of SAAS stock in June and July because they were cheap compared to semiconductors. And now they all have ran so much so they have given me some between 50% to 200% returns each. and now most of them are above fair value but only some of them are at their fair value, such as MSFT, CRM, WDAY, ADBE, INTU. Already sold out of PATH, TEAM, NOW, SAP, ZETA, ESTC, ADBE and INTU bcz of their overvaluation or sustainability issues. And only holding onto MSFT, CRM and WDAY. Simply because they are still slightly below their fair value. But none of those stocks even come close to where semiconductors such as AVGO are trading, AVGO is trading at half the value of the cheapest SAAS stock right now. So no SAAS is definitely not the answer. The closest competitor would be the industrials. But I don’t think even that beats the semiconductor valuations right now.
my tip is buy mag7 because they are long term gravity well of capital. AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN over TSLA/META in this current juncture of the economy.
Is this saying because TSM is the supplier to AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, AMZN, META, GOOG etc?