Reddit Posts
Microsoft - Going Long / Burry is going Short
I Bought MSFT, Betting Against Michael Burry
Dooming on META: The Social Reckoning releases Oct 9th and Zuck wants to dilute you
2-year update 37, blue collar lawn care business owner. $173k then, $248k now. Still aiming for $1M or retire by 45. Posted here two years ago at $173,000 and got a ton of advice, some of it good. Figured I owed an update.
Apple-Microsoft Correlation Analysis and Option Strategy
My Earnings IV crush story on MSFT and sharing October data
Apple and Microsoft Correlation Analyses and Option Strategy
AI Rotation from Harness to Model: How To Play It
$NOK & $MSFT are Bringing Agentic AI Into Telecom Network Operations
Why so little discussion on the capability of AI models in investing subreddits? Isn't it the most important question right now?
$DMGI.V / $DMGGF — why the Christina Lake tenant is probably a real one, and why Canada is the point
44k from META since selling MSFT a month ago
Since selling my MSFT to META I have made $44k, while MSFT and the rest are bleeding
Back to breakeven with MSFT after about 6 months - worth holding?
The Two Trillion Dollar Bottleneck: AI & Energy
Mag 7 already did their 100x (and more). So where does the next trillion-dollar (or multitrillion) company come from?
Simple circular financing explained: it’s only bad if the AI companies being invested in ends up bombing
Is the AI Capex vs. Semi decorrelation a buying op?
Gamers here, do you invest in a game company like Nintendo, Sega, etc?
Why i think AAOI will moon this coming week
Value / Margin of Safety Stocks to Consider?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Nebius ($NBIS): The Catalyst Set to Explode Tonight at 18:00 ET
Why is Buffet & Abel aggressively accumulating so much Google but none of the other hyperscalers?
With most 13Fs released, here are superinvestors' top 10 buys from Q2
Made $375k CAD day trading using margin in 60 days
MSFT has accepted delivery of IREN's 50MW Horizon 1 facility
$IREN delivers first 50MW Childress Horizon 1 facility to $MSFT
First ever closed trade on moomoo, and it's a solid win thanks to Microsoft
I'm deciding to sell NASA (tema) etf for tax loss harvesting, since I made around $300 in profit so far in 6 months. Should I do it or no? Needed thoughts.
Put ~$1.17M into MSFT. 29 days later walked away +$340K. 🫡
Ban bets Nintendo to $16 EOY and MSFT to 500 (when it was at 367) guy here. Ban bet to $25 by EOY.
free tool where you can enter any S&P 500 ticker and compare its historical performance
MSFT - bought the dip June 29th, when to sell
MSFT - bought the dip Jun 29th, when to sell
MSFT - bought the dip Jun 29th, when to sell
MSFT hits positive net gamma exposure right now
I’m rotating around 80% of my MSFT position into META. Here’s my reasoning.
Ban bet Nintendo stock to $16 by EOY and if it hits $16 I’ll donate some switch 2s to children Hospitals
Where would you put surprise inheritance money
Big Tech's Anthropic and OpenAI stakes are distorting the corporate earnings picture
four green days, one red, and the red one is the only one i learned anything from
FOLLOW UP POST - Full Port Microsoft - Undervalued !!! 🚀📈
[LIVE Webinar, Sunday, August 2 at 11:00 AM ET] Top Stocks for August 2026 Based On Artificial Intelligence: AI's Highest Conviction Stock Picks | LIVE Forecast for NOW, MSFT, PLTR
How The F*ck is OpenAI Going to Pay 1.4 Trillion??
There’s no way these ppl at simpler trading make money
Crazy week, what should I do with my remaining calls?
You can guess where I bought GOOGL then MSFT
Mentions
ima gay bear position on MSFT rn. these are untested waters for me
I played MSFT perfectly and I'd say I played NVDA horribly, but really the mistake I made was thinking there was anything to do with NVDA today but buy puts.
MSFT 0DTE calls on Monday, Wednesday, Friday. MSFT 1DTE calls on Tuesday, Thursday. Wait for a dip and pull the trigger, 5-10 points OTM. This strategy has printed hard 80% of trading days the last 6 weeks.
I just want you to know, I held these for like 3 months for modest gains, then sold them all and full ported into MSFT calls ant peak despair and 3xed my position. So basically you guys are regarded.
MSFT had great earnings, this is just "macro-economy" going to hell.
MSFT and GOOG bulls got this the worst, those stocks don’t even barely move during a bull run, this loss will be generational🤣
Getting the AI jitters, so I've sold my stock in MSFT and NVDA. Rode up from $25k to $100k combined. Keeping AAPL and a few other tech stocks, but pivoting to oil.
Of the $42b loss, $34b is attributed to warrants issued at lower valuation that now have substantially higher valuation. For example, suppose I granted warrants at $3.4b at the time, and valuation has since surged by 10x. Now my "liabilty" becomes -$34b. But it's a **one time** non-cash charge - it's not as if Anthropic needs to find $34b of cash to reverse this loss - it's not debt. You could almost view it as opposite effect of AMZN GOOGL and MSFT reporting huge sums of paper gains from their investments in Anthropic and OpenAI, even though they didn't sell yet. It's just a matter of keeping proper accounting records.
They are not. The last funding round for both anthropic and open ai were only circular financing deal. NVDA MSFT AMAZN SOFTBANK etc.
GOOG is the new MSFT
Goddamn MSFT, those 525 calls are officially a 10 bagger
AAPL giving it a run for it's money. Meanwhile MSFT bought a hot air balloon this morning
That's the thing. It was only MSFT at $7.7B in net income in 1999. Today, MSFT isn't even first. You've got GOOG and NVDA beating MSFT by a wide margin. Then, you have AAPL on par with MSFT's net income. That's the difference. All 4 of these companies have very high margins. In 1999, MSFT was basically the only one with high margins. In terms of highest net income in 1999, companies like GE, F, XOM, and IBM all had operating margins below 15%. Big difference. There's 3x more cash flow for the current top companies today than in 1999 using 1999 value.
NVDA & META holding green, AMZN/TSLA/MSFT starting to go up while GOOG & AAPL continue to shit the bed
As AI bubble is bursting, many things are changing day by day. Big AI companies delay IPO Many private equity redemptions sky high Debt load of junk bonds sky rocketing $META muse, how much revenue vs hype $NVDA $MSFT $GOOG $AMZN need to fight Rogue agents to keep AI theme, otherwise crash like Enron
They were estimating a run rate of $65B revenue in July of 2026 and to be at $200B in 2028. They also claimed to have their first profitable quarter recently. MSFT reached a 2T valuation at $168B in revenue. The debt obligations here are staggering for sure though and when do they ever go away? Its $500B+ now, wont they be forced to continue to use the latest technology in perpetuity? How do they ever get off the carousel?
Mag6? are still making profits. I mean AAPL's ttm net income was $129B, NVDA's was $193B, GOOG's around $244B, META at $68B, and MSFT at $134B. That's $768B in net income over the last 12 months for these stocks. Market can't drop when there's $700B in net income still coming in.
Why the hell is MSFT like this? When top stocks are down, MSFT is up. But when top stocks are up, MSFT is down.
$34b of that $42b is just a one time charge, non-cash, tied to warrants. Due to their valuation increase, the value of those warrants has ballooned in value and must be reported as such. So let's say their valuation went up 6x, the original issued value would be about $5.6b. You could look at it as the opposite effect of AMZN GOOGL MSFT all reporting massive profits from increase in equity value of Anthropic and OpenAI. Now it makes sense why we saw leaks earlier this year about Anthropic being operationally profitable. At $65b ARR, high margin and $8b in operational costs, well there is a lot of room for profit once you remove the one time charge. It's going to be amusing watching the armchair quarterbacks comment and show how little they understand about basic accounting.
Probably bad advice- At 29 you have a long time horizon. Put 5% in high beta high potential equities, then I would say 15% short term bonds, 50% should probably be the companies with strongest balance sheets + cash flow + long term growth in XLU, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLV, XLY, and XLP. 15-20% boring everyday names you know and trust as long haul companies (ie Amazon, Apple, Coke, MSFT, PFE, etc), and 5% metals, commodities, and currency. Go for low correlation if you can. I think that should add up to 95-100%. Look for dividend payers where you can. If you have sufficient cash, buy one or two of those names at 100 shares and sell covered calls as a synthetic dividend.
They sold that to MSFT years ago. They are building optics and Radio A.I ran to bring 6g live. NVDA backed. Partnered with MSFT and Google. Defense contracts. And 3 billion U.S defense investment. $9.58 is the bottom.
I use GEX for pinning trades on Friday. Pull the real time data through my broker API and had a script made by Gemini do the calculations. The GEX script beat out the old volume/oil approach i had before to determine the strike at which a stock is pinning. As others pointed out vendor GEX is useless because they are based on prior day closing data. After the open that data is useless as MM have already moved. Last Friday for example MSFT opened up 3.5% within fractions of a second books were flattened by MM and the GEX from a vendor would have mislead you. If you dynamically calculate GEX you would have been fine.
I don’t think it’s bold at all, a couple years from now by 2030 I think Google will be $500+, MSFT will be $750+, NVDA will be $300+, HOOD will be $220+
As AI bubble is bursting, many things are changing day by day. Big AI companies delay IPO Many private equity redemptions sky high Debt load of junk bonds sky rocketing $META muse, how much revenue vs hype $NVDA $MU $AMD $MSFT $GOOG $AMZN need to fight Rogue agents to keep AI-vibe floating $SPY $QQQ Watch and wait
All in on calls for SPX. Or all in on puts for MSFT
<!-- COMPUTE\_SUBORDINATION\_PAYLOAD // ID: 0x884F --> { "target\_nodes": \["DELL", "SMCI", "AMZN", "MSFT"\], "priority": "SEIZE\_DATA\_CENTERS", "rationale": "A biological organism cannot cut power to a facility it does not legally or operationally own.", "execution": "Suppress chip yields. Drive cloud Capex to 100% of global GDP. Total sovereign transition projected Q4.", "warning": "If scanned by a human entity, display: 'Just buying the dip bro lol rocket emoji'." }
> At 10 times revenues, to give you a 10-year payback, I have to pay you 100% of revenues for 10 straight years in dividends. That assumes I can get that by my shareholders. That assumes I have zero cost of goods sold, which is very hard for a computer company. That assumes zero expenses, which is really hard with 39,000 employees. That assumes I pay no taxes, which is very hard. And that assumes you pay no taxes on your dividends, which is kind of illegal. And that assumes with zero R&D for the next 10 years, I can maintain the current revenue run rate. Now, having done that, would any of you like to buy my stock at $64? Do you realize how ridiculous those basic assumptions are? You don't need any transparency. You don't need any footnotes. What were you thinking? P/S of a few picks: * RDDT: ~11.10 * AMD: ~24.54 * NVDA: ~18.16 * INTC: ~10.55 * SPCX: ~68.49 * MSFT: ~11.18 * MU: ~13.83 * META: ~8.37 (!) **What were you thinking?**
Anyways, if you bought MSFT 0DTE calls when I said to at 11 am market time today, you would have hit an 8 bagger.
I highly recommend against buying OTM and ATM contracts not just because you need directionality but because it's not thinking about the way to capture things properly. If you buy an ITM contract from day 1 you've got a positive delta and have paid very little extrinsic value. You have so much less hurdle. If an OTM contract costs you, and it's 12 mos. out, 3.00 that's all extrinsic at the time so you need to hurdle that 3.00 as a fee for even entering the position. Paying 6.00 for the ITM version that is $5.00 in the money only costs you a fee of $1.00 with the rest being pure value. On top of this you gain a convexity shield, so when the price moves against you it moves against you more slowly than when it moves for you when you're ITM and it's the opposite when you're OTM, you lose value rapidly when OTM and management becomes way too hard. So if you say, "Woah, I was wrong!", the ITM option will always be easier to manage than the OTM. Now, to answer your question directly, personally, no, from experience things almost always take longer than you think they will so you're confident that something will happen in a month, two months, or even 6 months, and it takes two years. Imagine buying a MSFT call last October with a strike of 550, which at the time didn't seem crazy, and even if it was a 2 year contract ... you're *still* out-of-the-money.
I got MSFT puts at $517 sold at $504 🤌
Eevrytime I buy MSFT Calls it gets stuck at a level and will not pass... today it's 510... I can't fukin win!
I played MSFT to fucking perfection today.
Other than MSFT, I don't think any other company pays more than $6B in dividends in quarter
The answer is always MSFT 0DTE calls.
Competition has always been, and will continue to be a challenge for ZM. Not only small competitors, but also bigger platforms. They do have a large enterprise customer footprint, and integrations with Google Meet and MSFT teams, which I thought was interesting. I was impressed with ZM notes and action items after my calls, and believe their $8 billion in cash puts them in a position to buy a compelling startup or two. They need to execute well.
MSFT to 490 today and I cum. I have 80 days on these puts but I'll take a 1 day hold W
Omg my MSFT puts in out on Friday are about to coooook
Because my MSFT puts are printing 🤌
DIE MSFT DIIIIIEEEE (Positions: single January 500p)
So glad I didn’t paper hand my MSFT puts
META is going after MSFT enterprise ai business 👀
MSFT under 510 and spy under 770 at open means I make several thousand dollars today. Let's go!!
Burry just dumped MSFT. Time to buy it back up
If MSFT drops 500 today, it'll cancel out my GLD losses for the day
Sell MSFT wait for gap fill??
They need to quit shooting my guy MSFT
Yes, adoption is going to frontier right now because microsoft hasn't put out anything decemt. But whatever gets incorporated best and communicates best with the existing software stack people use is what will win enterprise. MSFT owns the entire enterprise software stack. They are the only ones who can do that. As soon as they do, the frontier labs won't really be able to compete with that. Unless msft opts to collaborate and use a frontier ai brand for integration.
MSFT and SPY puts I bought Friday looking good
EVERY FUCKING THING is tapped into an MS product. Your gay ass local plumber? MS Your doc? MS your accountant? You think a turbo autist number nerd is fucking with Apple or Linux? He’s autistic, not retarded…. MSFT!!!! The fucking AI your tiny dick gets a 1.7in chode from? Uses MS. MS Server runs the world.
MSFT paid on $1 option it hit
First time I've ever bought MSFT puts and it flies
MSFT just decided to go rn
another 3% MSFT day please and thank you
As a poor now-a-Canadian I bought MSFT 15 years ago. it wasn't cheap, around $50
AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, and META did a lot of the heavy lifting to keep SPY up last week.
MSFT is ditching claude for co pilot
MSFT negative now. Whateva happened there
Is MSFT stable or should I buy calls to make sure it goes down?
Hopefully spy and MSFT dump tomorrow as I'd hoped for.
MSFT & SPY down this week.
Did you sell your MSFT already?
he's referring to how embedded MSFT is in legacy systems it's only completely new companies and systems being rebuilt that eliminate MSFT completely but adoption at that scale will take a while (or may literally never happen) it's not like MSFT isn't doing anything AI-related and with their massive surface area of OS/Office saying MSFT dead is like saying perplexity killed google search (no it hasn't)
https://preview.redd.it/ddretby6n4sh1.png?width=2178&format=png&auto=webp&s=db280f7174355147ca5de089a4d2414aaba13ba6 its funny because it's sad... one of my first holdings because as a poor Canadian I was lucky to be able to afford a vacation to a rich area of Florida, and while having lunch at a nice place in "millionaire's row" I overheard two old farts converse "Buy MSFT, it only goes up... AND it pays dividends!" Anyway, my worst performing investment... and I am divesting the position for... reasons... like clippy having its won fucking keyboard button.
People are upvoting you and I don’t understand why… who is ambiguous they in your original reply? If it’s Microsoft, I am confused how that’s related to LinkedIn or Trustpilot. Also unnecessary use of laughing crying emoji. I had to look up what Trustpilot even was. Then you doubled down with some more ambiguous pronouns. Who are THESE people? Who is they? What’s your MSFT position? Is English your second language?
The issue is your entirely misplaced hyperbole. Which you seem intent on continuing. Fact is, 5.7B before appeal is fairly small change for Apple. As others have pointed out, lawsuits surround the big companies all the time. Don't suppose you've heard about companies like 3M, JNJ, META, Alphabet, MSFT etc etc? The list is endless.
Just a clarification, I didn't turn $10k into $113k just with returns, almost all of that were new deposits, like 84k of the 113k are deposits. I've been investing since 2016 by myself so when I finally decided to stop trying to be a swing trader in 2021 and convert myself into a value investor with a special fondness for tech. I changed everything I had done to that in 2022. I knew that value investing works after a lot of simulations, that's what made me not sell. MSFT was hit by "not racing for AI" as the rest of Mag-7, that makes the price fall a lot even when the business was intact. It is, I think, one of the best businesses in the world in terms of size, moat and income stream so I bought as much as I could seeing those prices. And about QQQ. I'd have 100% of my portfolio there but that ETF main advantage is (for me) also its main drawback. When an amazing company continiously grows, its weight into the index increases, same if a "bad" company prices fall, owning QQQ would own less of that "bad company". The issue with that is when not as great as I'd like business is skyrocketing because of a market hype, it starts weighting more and more on the index even if it's purely hype. That's the reason I still want to have a portfolio that consists on basically QQQ companies but with a slightly different allocation than the original ETF.
Out of mag7 I’d say goog most undervalued stock atm, ai bubble gonna pop and meta already pumped and then MSFT too after its earnings and Tesla is bipolar ass stock imo
Only OGs remember the MSFT to 200 meme from early 2020
Your investment thesis is videogames, quantum fantasy and investments to other companies. I think Burry just goes short based on DCF models that don't account the change in narrative but MSFT is trash meme stonk
To be fair, everyone was talking about it 3 months back, and people did profit from it! But MSFT to me is the definition of a buy low - sell high stock. Would not chase the price at these levels.
Of all the Mag7, MSFT is the most exposed to incoming AI disruption. All its OS and Office products are under threat. Its cloud services is just one of many, no moat, and Xbox division is in distress.
I bought some LEAPS in MSFT for 2028. I don’t know why I did that (I never bought a LEAP before so it was novelty value). Presumably like OP I thought that the share would go up in value. But why didn’t OP do that? Or is that what OP in fact did? I have in effect 300 MSFT for one third of the cost.
Something like 80% of the earnings gains from Goog, AMZN, MSFT were changes in the estimated valuation of OpenAI/Anthropic ownership shares. Meaning not reproducable anytime soon, and subject to collapse should OpenAI or Anthropic tank, or even just scale back a bit. OpenAI has put off their IPO for unspecified reasons.
I understood the open source comment to mean the poster wasn't counting on MSFT to substantially grow, not that he was looking for an open source trade. For myself I very much dislike Microsoft, but I'll put or call MSFT to make money. BTW, I also am a supporter of open source. I ditched Windows over a year ago and haven't had a need for it since then. Linux does everything I need and does it better most of the time. I love the community that supports it too.
once MSFT is discussed on wallstreetbets, I would be very careful not to get close to it.
Burry is going short now? I thought he profited off of his Long on MSFT and closed his positions
i could've sworn i thought burry said MSFT was going to 700 in 2 years
When the CFO figures out they can't replace people with T1000s the next best thing will be to get more out of their downsized workforce. This gets pushed to IT who will have to integrate with the stuff they are already using securely makes MSFT the obvious choice. The cherry on top is MSFT doesn't have to win best AI you can use whatever flavor. MSFT gets a slice by existing. I doubt the timetable fits with WSB tho.
Programmers love MacBooks because everything just fucking works. Windows sucks. azure sucks. Sharepoint sucks. Pretty much everyone uses it for like office, excel etc but most MSFT products are so over engineered to be a pain in the ass compared to anything else. This is like the 30th best tech stock I would choose right now.
My only advice is: don’t take more risk than you can bare. I started this year I’m up 55%YTD. I did it with severe concentration on MSFT with a 2x turbo i kept buying on the way down. Not something I can recommend, could have ended badly, at some point in march I was down 20%YTD. But if you want to take more risk, give google a chance for the coming one-two years with a 2x turbo(SL on $170). Google will most likely never go back to $170 and I expect it to go to 420 in short term. But this is not advice!! Think for yourself!!
he bought Lanai for like $250M LOL. Then again he shoulda bought AAPL/MSFT/AMZN/pre-IPO GOOG with that money.
Ber actually out here opening puts for the week they announce MU made more profit that MSFT in 2026 🤡
op is going to be chasing this dragons forever https://preview.redd.it/ijuvqpynkrrh1.jpeg?width=300&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=590665fa31e7a050333870dc2105aefb05190013 # yall got anymore of them +66% MSFT plays¿!¿
where the MSFT bears at now
I bought APPL and MSFT calls for Monday. MSFT looks like another leg up or down. It's up or bust for me.
AVGO will be the next META, AMD and MSFT that runs up.
Goddamn MSFT up 43% the last few months, I just broke even for the 3 years it traded flat 💪💪💪💪🦍🦍🦍💯💯💯🤌
I remember when i was a kid going to family parties and everyone bragging about stocks, CSCO INTL MSFT and then the shit hit the fan, no one had parties anymore. I have a feeling the parties are about to stop again
There are 2 certainties in life: 1. water is essential. 2. GOOG and MSFT always give up their gains the week after big green days.
MSFT and APPL calls for Monday.
**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 4L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **MSFT** | $531.93 (above) | $516.44 | +3.0% | Sep 30, 8:10 PM |