Reddit Posts
Back to breakeven with MSFT after about 6 months - worth holding?
The Two Trillion Dollar Bottleneck: AI & Energy
Mag 7 already did their 100x (and more). So where does the next trillion-dollar (or multitrillion) company come from?
Simple circular financing explained: it’s only bad if the AI companies being invested in ends up bombing
Is the AI Capex vs. Semi decorrelation a buying op?
Gamers here, do you invest in a game company like Nintendo, Sega, etc?
Why i think AAOI will moon this coming week
Value / Margin of Safety Stocks to Consider?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Nebius ($NBIS): The Catalyst Set to Explode Tonight at 18:00 ET
Why is Buffet & Abel aggressively accumulating so much Google but none of the other hyperscalers?
With most 13Fs released, here are superinvestors' top 10 buys from Q2
Made $375k CAD day trading using margin in 60 days
MSFT has accepted delivery of IREN's 50MW Horizon 1 facility
$IREN delivers first 50MW Childress Horizon 1 facility to $MSFT
First ever closed trade on moomoo, and it's a solid win thanks to Microsoft
I'm deciding to sell NASA (tema) etf for tax loss harvesting, since I made around $300 in profit so far in 6 months. Should I do it or no? Needed thoughts.
Put ~$1.17M into MSFT. 29 days later walked away +$340K. 🫡
Ban bets Nintendo to $16 EOY and MSFT to 500 (when it was at 367) guy here. Ban bet to $25 by EOY.
free tool where you can enter any S&P 500 ticker and compare its historical performance
MSFT - bought the dip June 29th, when to sell
MSFT - bought the dip Jun 29th, when to sell
MSFT - bought the dip Jun 29th, when to sell
MSFT hits positive net gamma exposure right now
I’m rotating around 80% of my MSFT position into META. Here’s my reasoning.
Ban bet Nintendo stock to $16 by EOY and if it hits $16 I’ll donate some switch 2s to children Hospitals
Where would you put surprise inheritance money
Big Tech's Anthropic and OpenAI stakes are distorting the corporate earnings picture
four green days, one red, and the red one is the only one i learned anything from
FOLLOW UP POST - Full Port Microsoft - Undervalued !!! 🚀📈
[LIVE Webinar, Sunday, August 2 at 11:00 AM ET] Top Stocks for August 2026 Based On Artificial Intelligence: AI's Highest Conviction Stock Picks | LIVE Forecast for NOW, MSFT, PLTR
How The F*ck is OpenAI Going to Pay 1.4 Trillion??
There’s no way these ppl at simpler trading make money
Crazy week, what should I do with my remaining calls?
You can guess where I bought GOOGL then MSFT
$7700 Gain on the day from scalps on $MSFT, SAMZN, and $NVDA
Loss porn with a profitable day to cap off the month
Gambled my girlfriends account on MSFT and paid off
New to options, so far doing okay, but I feel the big red coming one day
Me after selling my 6 mo MSFT bags for $170 profit and texting my mom that I made a killing of Microsoft stock
Revenge traded a NFLX loss into a $700,000 MSFT profit 💰
I see you out here freezin' like a bum, eatin' out the dump. MSFT the illest out the bunch. The butterfly was a caterpillar once.
I wish I never invested into LUNR and NASA. been waiting for a few weeks to sell, but ofcouse dip keeps dipping....
How to properly evaluate MSFT's capex (including neocloud contracts)?
US Stocks are Reddish..What’s Your Go-To Short-Term Pick
I have been saying for the last 4 months to buy Microsoft. Check my post history
Mentions
I like those names specially Googl, TSM, and NVDA. I would also suggest AMZN, Meta, MSFT, AMD, Sofi, reddit. I personally like to be well diversified, so I have about 70 names in my port.
Wait. Why do you think it's over for MSFT here?
Great job locking in the profits! I hope that's what you wanted out of this whole thing, because to own that many shares in an American Blue Chip like MSFT is an accomplishment on its own! There would've been absolutely no shame in holding onto that chunk and selling CC's. Honeslty, get paid for your stress and if they every get called, you get to relinquish your shares at a profit! I know people shit on MSFT, but it's an incredible American success story, those shares (in my opinion) will always be worth more than cash (especially USD under Trump) But great job, nonetheless and enjoy in good health!
I’ve been an MSFT collector since 2007. Holding on for better days. 🚀🚀
I made 30k on MSFT LEAPS and am about to lose it on RKLB calls :) The circle of retard.
I don't understand your point of view, there are so many strategies you could take. It has been moving up/down and recently it was 680ish which is closer to your cost basis. Why panic? you could sell all small loss, or trim some and look for better opportunities, if you do that, you can recoup loss in no time. Had you bought CRM, MA, MSFT just any stock with half of META, you'd be in gain instead. Meta will hit 1000 within next year, it just awaits some good news.
Apple, Google, MSFT, meta
My money (literally) on GOOG and MSFT. Reasoning: GOOG is an absolute beast, and has been integrating (increasingly useful) AI into its ecosystem. Not to mention their models are impressively cheap given their performance. MSFT on the other hand, aside from increasing utility of Copilot for businesses, has sensational AI as a service delivery. The integrations of AI into their power platform and azure, if continued to be improved, is going to be a game changer. Haven’t really done too much of a dive into fundamentals, but from a pure AI service delivery perspective, both keep impressing me. Of course that’s just tip of the iceberg when it comes to why I think long term they will perform rather well. AAPL also comes to mind, as the SIRI AI integration has great potential, but as of right now they’re lagging behind a bit, and will not be selling the AI itself, so I’m just a tiny bit hesitant.
Is it a risky bet though. In terms of tech stocks, MSFT has to be one of the least risky. It's beta is around 1-1.10, so only a bit riskier than the SP500 while providing much better results.
MSFT will be a huge AI winner. $ 512 is too early.
That's funny, 9 years ago is about when I sold all my MSFT for almost no gain 💀 Nice work - congrats
> Tomorrow's headline: $MSFT becomes world's first $100T stock after AGI discovered. MSFT literally shut down ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok simultaneously today due to a massive azure infrastructure outage.
I got my house in 2016 too, also sold at least 150k MSFT 😅
Strongest signal I've seen to buy $MSFT calls I have seen all year
I bet OP is a MSFT FTE. Acquiring ESPP and Stock Awards over the last years.
I have plenty of money, I'd guess it's more than you...but I have no idea. I own some of both AAPL and NVDA, but didn't throw my $500k into it like this guy did with MSFT. I assume you did though, since you saw it coming all the way.
OP, what's your next buy? Did you go all in on MSFT?
I bought MSFT between 1999 and 2019 when I sold (a total return of about 450%) and have regretted ever since. Fortunately I rebought in the 2022-2026 time frame and am up 65% without dividends.
how is MSFT a risk? mf you’re probably on a windows pc right now.
I bought MSFT at $25 many years ago, for at least 10-12 years it did pretty much nothing. Sadly, I got out at $135 about 6 years ago.
I had couple of thousand shares of MSFT, bought at 350 sold at 470 couldn’t handle the slow movement of that stock,
MSFT is definitely going back to 157! Check back in 3 months
MSFT went up loat more over past decade. its up 786%(900% with DRIP). This feels like 2019-2020 purchase if it was all in one go. Even 2022 it hit 200 bucks.
Think about how stupid the people on this thread are. Then think if you go out on the street and ask random people what company is worth more $SNDK at $1,500 or $NVDA, $AAPL, $MSFT, etc. 90%+ will say $SNDK because the share price is higher
Tomorrow's headline: $MSFT becomes world's first $100T stock after AGI discovered.
Newbie here how long did you own MSFT?
Unless you had MSFT, NVDA IV crush + memory not even reach monthly highs. NVDA long (+5% last 3M), memory -10%
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Next - Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
Celestica (CLS) — Quick Reddit Consensus Snapshot Investment Thesis & Growth Drivers • AI Infrastructure Exposure: CLS is repeatedly framed as a direct beneficiary of AI/data‑center capex and high‑speed networking demand. "This isn’t just another contract manufacturer anymore; it’s becoming one of the key suppliers enabling the AI infrastructure boom." • Large Revenue Re‑Rating / Guidance: Management's aggressive FY guidance is central to bull cases — "the Q1 beat... their new 2026 revenue outlook: $19.0 billion." • Picks & Shovels Positioning: Supporters argue CLS benefits regardless of which AI players win because it supplies the physical networking/assembly layer. "They build and integrate things like servers, networking gear, storage systems and aerospace technology." Valuation, Risks & Dilution Concerns • High Valuation / Volatility: Multiple posters warn CLS trades at stretched multiples and is volatile. "I’m interested but extremely concerned with overvaluation here, the $ 300 range seems more like a ceiling at this point." • Equity Offering / Dilution: Recent equity raise sparked pushback about dilution and purpose of capital. "The base offering therefore increases the share count by roughly... 8.4% dilution - I'm not happy about it, but I get it." • Customer Concentration & Execution Risk: Repeatedly flagged as a core risk — big hyperscaler exposure and the need to execute capex. "Main risk I see is customer concentration + AI capex cooling." Market Behavior & Sentiment • Highly Cyclical / Sentiment‑Driven Moves: Redditors note that CLS often moves with sector/market sentiment more than fundamentals. "If MSFT can -12%, CLS can -15% just because ... gotta swing it nowadays" • Strong Past Returns, Mixed Positioning: Some investors report outsized gains and ongoing conviction; others sold on valuation or insider moves. "I had 140 shares and after going up 400% sold half... Going to hold the remaining 70 shares into 2026." and "Nope, they are cashing out on the very high valuation." What Redditors Are Doing / Suggested Approaches • Buy-and-Hold Long Term: Bulls who view CLS as a structural AI supply‑chain winner are holding or adding: "Personally my favorite stock... after a breather and maybe another leg down I would add but I have a pretty big position already." • Cautious DCA / Wait For Pullback: Several suggest averaging in or waiting for digestion after strong runs: "I did add more, slowly, but recently got burned by CLS too many times, kinda losing faith in it..." • Avoid / Take Profits: Contrarians cite overvaluation, dilution or sector risk and either exited or avoided adding: "Got out of it a while ago. It's very expensive." and "in revenue this year. In" Direct Quotes Illustrating Key Views • Bull thesis on AI demand: "of these higher-profile AI names, CLS seems to have less hype and attention, despite being exposed to similar demand tailwinds. A few things I’m trying to understand: \* Is CLS still in a strong long-term" • Dilution tradeoff debate: "A lot goes into this question... More debt means more cash flow needs to be used to service that debt... sometimes a company does both which is the double whammy." • Volatility reminder: "Its just going down and down.." • Hype / caution: "in revenue this year. In plain English, they're guiding to add more revenue in"
The markets get things wrong all the time. That's why stocks like MU shot up then came back down and might shoot up again, or not. It's why MSFT suddenly went to mid-300s then back up to 500s. Constantly adjusting, but it's not perfect.
I still get enjoyment from watching cnbc but man they’re so late about everything. Running headlines today like “time to buy software?” The time to buy software was when MSFT was $350 and NOW was $92. Price drives sentiment
this is what people were saying a month ago about MSFT
Selling my MSFT. Had a nice pump today. taking profits home 😁
All the paper hands selling MSFT before it pulls a Google and goes absolutely parabolic to $600
RDDT is the new MSFT, if it’s red everything else green
It’s baffling to say the least AVGO is a key player in AI. They have their hands in the networking side and AI ASIC design side. I don’t own them myself because I’m all in on NVDA and MSFT.
Are you guys selling MSFT and NOW ?
22% of SPY is on a moon mission (AAPL, NVDA, MSFT) and its slowly decaying. Wild times.
Just checked: my CRM is up 71% (bought in June), another stake that I bought earlier at higher price point was up 20% (sold). MSFT is up 30%.
Thank you NVDA and MSFT best stocks ever fuck you archer aviation
So AVGO dumps -6% but they pump all the other mag7 enough to make SPY +0.60% ? MSFT at all time high with pe 30 and google treading water at pe 17? The foil hats are right, this shit is fake as fuck.
MSTR and MSFT going to somewhere way way up high
all i need is $510... pleaseeee MSFT
you were probably saying the same thing about MSFT a couple months ago
Sorry please could you clarify this comment. The fees on a LEAP on IBKR are 1 USD or less even. The premium is neutral whether you buy three calls on one day or buy one each month. What do you mean you are not reducing the risk just spreading it? I am not disagreeing I am just trying to understand whether I should buy all my LEAPS on one day (with different expiry dates perhaps) or buy them at intervals. At present I have 3x MSFT, 2x AAPL, 2 NVDA and one SPY all for late 2028. All bought on Monday. All deep underground
| Ticker | Mon 8/31 | Tue 9/1 | Wed 9/2 | Week so far | | --------- | ---------: | ---------: | ---------: | ----------: | | **AAPL** | -0.89% | **+2.61%** | -0.05% | **+1.65%** | | **MSFT** | -1.22% | -1.24% | -0.84% | **-3.26%** | | **GOOGL** | -2.09% | -1.28% | +0.88% | **-2.49%** | | **AMZN** | -2.50% | -1.87% | +0.02% | **-4.30%** | | **META** | -0.98% | +1.08% | **+2.50%** | **+2.59%** | | **NVDA** | +1.48% | -1.51% | **+3.21%** | **+3.16%** | | **TSLA** | **+5.51%** | -3.22% | +0.26% | **+2.38%** |
Yeah, I bought a lot of SAAS stock in June and July because they were cheap compared to semiconductors. And now they all have ran so much so they have given me some between 50% to 200% returns each. and now most of them are above fair value but only some of them are at their fair value, such as MSFT, CRM, WDAY, ADBE, INTU. Already sold out of PATH, TEAM, NOW, SAP, ZETA, ESTC, ADBE and INTU bcz of their overvaluation or sustainability issues. And only holding onto MSFT, CRM and WDAY. Simply because they are still slightly below their fair value. But none of those stocks even come close to where semiconductors such as AVGO are trading, AVGO is trading at half the value of the cheapest SAAS stock right now. So no SAAS is definitely not the answer. The closest competitor would be the industrials. But I don’t think even that beats the semiconductor valuations right now.
my tip is buy mag7 because they are long term gravity well of capital. AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN over TSLA/META in this current juncture of the economy.
Is this saying because TSM is the supplier to AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, AMZN, META, GOOG etc?
Broadcom’s drop from $495 to $350 seems eerily similar to MSFT from $555 to $350. Hopefully there will be a similar recovery
It sure seems like it though. When I wait for market open to make a move, it's always the wrong move, or the market doesn't set up into something I feel I can take an entry on. If I buy right at close and hold overnight, I get fucked like when META drops 3% at open. I play earnings like I did with AAPL and that shit drops 10%. I don't play earnings, and it rockets like AMZN, MSFT, and SNOW. I can't fucking win dude.
You said DELL is trading at the same price as GOOGL and MSFT Do you believe share price has anything to do with the relative value of two companies
That’s my 2nd biggest had over a decade now and I think I might just roll with it for another 10 years. It’s had for me to question them. My mother is 84 years old and 40% of her money is in MSFT. Go try telling her to sell it.
Not enough and you're MSFT.
MSFT suking ass, as is tradition. It's what bers crave!
Agree with you right here. 0.14% isn't a dividend play other than being able to, technically, call themselves a dividend stock. Imagine if Meta had paid out the invests into the metaverse as dividends instead...that would have made them incredibly attractive with their FCF plus dividends. But, instead of returning value back to investors, they put it into metaverse, AR, and now AI build out when they are laggards. Even MSFT isn't a dividend play. They are still a growth stock. And the reason why they and the other Hyperscalars have risk now is they are sacrificing FCF for building the future. If their business is mature, without other CAPEX investment, I would expect a conversion of FCF into dividends.
WARNING: do not fall for the fake V on MSFT
Intel is a meme stock. It's the MSFT of semis.
So let me see if I got this right. MSFT is 10% of your portfolio. Next largest is 1% of your portfolio. You need 90% to fill out your portfolio. You have 90+ positions?
MSFT is my biggest position by about 10x to the next largest but only 1/10 of my portfolio. I bought when it was under $30 so it's just become a habit to hold it at this point.
MSFT still down on 1 year. Can it go to 525 soon
That’s what everyone told me about MSFT too. Gl finding an average below 400 there now.
Funny you mention MSFT. I am slowly getting out of MSFT at 510. It is my 2nd biggest position.
SPX has hit 7681 twice and been rejected now. That is the resistance we will not pass. Instead, I keep reading comments like "Huiuaaaa MSFT WHY YOU GO DOWN" "STOP GOOGL I JUST BOUGHT CALLS" like WHAT THE FUCK happened to WSB
lmao MSFT is such a pos
GOOGL and MSFT are absolute dumb fks
Semis, MSFT, GOOGL, and save 90% of your retirement money for the Anthropic IPO
I was scared to buy MSFT at $400 so im going to buy 300 shares at $500 https://preview.redd.it/0yj7e9tjd4nh1.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=0880ebb6e4b8c5c4af24e3e8faab22e6232e8c6b
OK MSFT.... what am I missing today you POS!
MSFT has had its time in the sun and has gone back to being the Lag7 dog!
MMs hard at work on MSFT freezing it into place to kill options on both sides
MRVL is a generational buy right now. Forward PE under NVDAs forward PE when it crossed $1T market cap. About to see revenue expansion with expanding revenue streams with AMZN and MSFT and new deal with Google. Easily could double in market cap by mid 2027
At least MSFT is within a range. GOOGL on the other hand has been just straight down for weeks non stop.
Why can’t GOOGL and MSFT be normal
As usual MSFT and GOOGL suking balls, or as the delusional say "a great buying opportunity"
Me when I lie … Look at any financial report from Microsoft: \- OpenAI pays MSFT for Azure / Cloud Infra \- OpenAI pays revenue sharing agreement to MSFT MSFT doesn’t “pay” OpenAI, they provide capital / equity financing, like I said.
You waited two weeks to respond to this and never once took the time to look at the earnings reports and listen to the earnings calls for MSFT, AMZN, META, and GOOGL? Are you stupid?
@EpicGames and $AAPL and $T have en-têtes entered the streaming chat. $Sony waited to get in. $MSFT won't leave $GOOGL and $AVGO out of zir's mouth. Imagery Invader Zim would be proud.
This is bollocks. MSFT invests $30B in OpenAI so it can get access to OpenAI tech at lower price. Open AI does not pay MSFT anything.
Asts leaps have been one of my biggest financial loss, too. I still have six months and the best chance I see is to roll them to a future date (at best). Now I do leaps on MSFT, goog, meta, amazn7
MSFT 480 puts printing by end of month?
How does the rest of Mag7 have a pass? They are all pretty fair to undervalued, except Apple, because they avoided spending all their profits. MSFT only just came out of their funk, and that is cause they proved that their Capex spending is paying off with growth. Meta has not shown any noticeable return directly correlated to their AI spend. Their models lag premium models, no one is really using them. Their ad business is doing great, but their spending is out of control, until proven otherwise. And Zuck has already shown that sometimes their investments do not pay off (metaverse). So I tend to disagree. Great company and they will hit all time highs again, but not till either they reduce Capex spending, or prove the growth from AI is paying off.
Maybe, but I'm a lot more confident in MSFT, GOOGL and AMZN as higher quality stocks.
Since July 1st (44days), MSFT had 28 green days (overall +34%), CRM 25 (+65%) NVDA (+9%) MU (-19%) QQQ (-4%) had more red days than green (about 25) and so did GOOG with 26-18 negative record (-6%) ***why does this matter?*** idk I am just sick of 🍟RDDT🍟 going down, it was red for fucking 28 days and has lost 17%🤡🤡🤡. Thank you for your attention to my bags! LMAO 🤌
Leaps are for investing in growth companies during deep corrections (e.g. if ASTS dropped to $10) and profitable companies when they are undervalued (e.g. MSFT at $360)
I don't understand why anyone invest in ORCL knowing that it is acquiring so much debt to build data centers, in order to compete with giants Google and Amazon and MSFT who have huge balance sheets! It is a matter of time before AI LLMs become a commodity and the data centers revenue never materialize and ORCL files bankruptcy. And it doesn't help that it has an Isra3l-first CEO who is a staunch supporter of the djdjenn o side in Gaza.
Attack on Hormuz done it’s over, think for tomorrow earning from AVGO Possibly $AVGO spike at earning 420 possibly like $MSFT