Reddit Posts
All BS aside, how’s calls on MSFT looking this week?
Me going into earnings week with $5000 in SMCI, MSFT, & AMD calls
Need to practice option trading with paper money
Who’s ready to burn their life savings this week
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
This is a small dumb little thing but it's HUGE in its Implications - Google Puts Chrome On Windows ARM - Effectively Seeding Chromebooks
Who’s buying MSFT & AMD calls for earnings?
I took too long to move my MSFT stocks and now I don't know if I should wait after the weekend to buy.
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Wall Street Newsletter S03E06: All-time highs are here. What's next?
Poor Man’s Covered Call What it is, why I’m doing it with $30k worth of MSFT calls , and why you should consider trying it. TLDR at TOP
MSFT has now overtaken AAPL in market cap.
Some predictions for Microsoft, Palantir, AMD, Amazon, Spotify and Tesla.
Is it normal for the index funds to be weighted this heavily by mega caps?
What are your top picks for the top performance stocks for this year?
Epic V Continues to Show How Little Risk Exists
Has anyone seriously looked at Global Foundries [$GFS]
$CBDW News 1606 Corp. CEO Attends Consumer Electronics Show (CES) For Collaboration Meetings
$MSFT has potentially created a "new battery" with AI - Musk / $TSLA Says Interesting
Top 10 S&P 500 companies by market cap weighting since 1980. MSFT is the reining champ for persistence.
The true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
A true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
Lumen $LUMN Insider & Big Boys Buying Spree Post Dividend Halt, Kate Johnson & Co. Personally Buying the Dip
LUMEN $LUMN INSIDER & BIG BOYS BUYING SPREE POST DIVI HALT, KATE JOHNSON & CO. BACK THE DIP HARD!
And the AI Show Goes On - GPT 4.5 Turbo Leaks - $MSFT - Its Real And Available -https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/ai-services/openai
Taiwan Semi (TSMC) will be 'back to strong growth in 2024' - JPMorgan (holding small position)
Potential for massive shorts/puts tmrw (Jan 4th) after the release of the Epstein List (likely today after market close, Jan 3rd)?
If Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s list is this a great put buying opportunity for MSFT?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on the Jeffrey Epstein Client List sound like a bad idea?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s client list sound like a bad idea?
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if Buffet needs a new #2.
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if buffet needs a new #2.
How would you spend $1500 if you regularly forget stocks exist for months at a time? How do you decide which stocks are to be held and which losses cut?
Keep an eye on $MSFT (potential put money making opportunity)
If you had $40k to invest right now, what would you do with it?
The NYTs is suing Microsoft and I think there is a profitability play on their stocks
New York Times sues Microsoft and OpenAI for copyright infringement
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
Do you ever buy stocks outside of the indexes and Mag 7 near all time highs?
Question regarding this type of Play Option?
The biggest lesson that I've learned in my 10 year investing career.
MSFTs Open Ai will raise funds with valuation of $100B
Mentions
Cip 2.4% and MSFT AMZN APPLE ON THE ROOF
MSFT 0.01% green Take a GOOD look, that's your green for the day value investors!
MSFT is now pre-2025 GOOG.
Another day, another MSFT shit the bed session
HOOD, MSFT, MU and RDDT are going to make so much money if and when the market finally turns and SPY breaks the fabled 700.
You're making a claim based on fundamentals and trends, but market has been running for years now on vibes. MSFT will continue to tank just because everyone freaks out that AI will somehow destroy whole software industry.
I had 10x Apr17 500C @ $20ea.. bought in Dec-ish when MSFT was like 490. Doubled down when it dumped after earnings and bought 10@$4, then 10@$2.. They're $1ea now. I'm a retard. Rolled 10 into Feb27 435C & 10 into Mar20 465C in a desperate attempt to trade time for delta. But MSFT either goes sideways or down.. I'm cooked
I think I posted the same thing after it dumped after earnings to like 460? My calls would give my left nut for MSFT to be 460 rn..
Tech stocks have been dead in premarket lately. I miss 2025. MSFT can't even keep itself at 400 anymore
MSFT all day. Do you really want the baggage that is Amazon's retail business? AWS is the biggest but slowest growing and has most to lose. MSFT will push AI down all our throats (at work) and extract the money for it from businesses.
I hope you're right and MSFT gets a pump, maybe AMD and AAPL today too. God damn I'm cooked 😭😭😭
Good thing holding AMZN and MSFT today is they can't go down much more lol... right? Guys, right?
5 year returns. Some of the mag 7 are boomer stocks at his point SPY 77% MSFT Microsoft ~64% TSLA Tesla ~53% AMZN Amazon ~20%
The chart for Microsoft (MSFT) over the past six months shows a significant decline from a peak around $520-$530 down to the current level of $401.84. However, the price has recently found strong support around the $398-$400 level, as per ChartScanner.AI analysis, showing signs of stabilization after a prolonged downtrend. This could be indicative of an accumulation phase or the early stages of a double bottom formation, particularly if the price can break above the immediate resistance. While the overall trend is down, the recent price action suggests a potential reversal or at least a significant bounce from oversold conditions. A successful double bottom would typically lead to a strong upward move, with initial targets often at previous resistance levels.
Lol same, just got liquidated yesterday on my 20x MSFT long
Bullish MSFT? https://www.windowscentral.com/artificial-intelligence/microsoft-confirms-plan-to-ditch-openai-as-the-chatgpt-firm-continues-to-beg-big-tech-for-cash
That was a tough call. I decided to distribute its allocation between the others. Amazon has a stronger cloud business and has the added diversification of the retail side. I think they can expand margins using warehouse robotics and advertising revenue. BABA adds a bit of international diversification and long term China energy grid connection, GOOGL has a lot of overlap on business model but with stronger vertical AI integration. Oracle offers a (small) pure-play bet on OpenAI infrastructure. MSFT has the weakest internal chip program and has struggled to incorporate Copilot in a convincing way. They're getting lapped by Anthropic Cowork (largely owned by Amazon and Google) in their productivity apps. It's still an excellent business and a strong part of any portfolio though, I just wanted to reduce the number of picks.
Based on the current value i‘m focused more on MSFT but as the majority says, both are good investments long term. Nevertheless there is also an effect which might be negative is the factor Europe. Since Trump started It’s tariff battle, Europe started to think about the dependency on US companies. As an example, can SAP do the Cloud Job of MSFT etc. I‘m Not that Deep into it yet that I can Share any Expertise here about it but it is just on my mind for Long Term.
I've lost so much money on MSFT calls that the only way I have to make some back is by selling them Sold 1x Feb13 395C @$5.50 on Thursday, so you watch MSFT pump to $430 on Friday.
I got to 100K with gold and then pivoted to MSFT/Tech. It really took off - now I have 40K.
But it's not just microsoft. In fact, all big Capex spenders are down 10-20%. It's not MSFT problem. It's debt problem
MSFT is my whole bag
I think it means NVDA, AMD, AVGO, etc stock is gonna go up as MSFT starts pumping capex into them for their in house AI.
For the short term I think we've bottomed. Beta stocks like RKLB OKLO are battered, big tech like MSFT and AMZN way off from ATH. Earnings have generally been extremely solid on AI companies and I don't think there's enough to justify selling off further. Maybe that changes by next earnings season, but I think for now S&P won't go below 6800, I anticipate we are bound between 6800 and 7300 until at least May.
They’ve successfully FUD tanked Meta MSFT Apple Amazon Tesla is somehow above 50 dollars NVIDIA has disgusting 1yr chart AVGO tanked after earnings Netflix was overpriced but still look @ Tesla Google next?
MSFT dropping so hard it makes me wonder if an executive order signed to delist it
I’m down -25% on my MSFT 7/17 $450 calls. Should I sell, hold, or buy one more?
(I also bought MSFT before earnings hoping for a pump, so that makes three of us to share the bags)
You think after the last 4 months of sideways & dump, that shit is gonna pump to 700? Did you also buy MSFT thinking it would go back to 550 after earnings?
https://preview.redd.it/22j7zbwup6jg1.jpeg?width=823&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=09abd73ca343e0961a63c870eca92b1017beb022 MSFT deserves everything it’s getting and a whole lot more
I know the labor market is starting to soften and there is unknown over ai, but this the cheapest the Mag 7 has been in a long time. Meta is like 22x next earrings, Amazon/MST are like 25x, Google is 27x, Nvidia is like 30x, but keep in mind, these companies are not only making massive investments that are losing significant GAAP earnings on their investments. Meta losing a ton on reality labs and either they are going to enter the frontier model race or they are going to take changer offs and they earnings will improve. Google is spending a fortune on Gemini/Waymo, Amazon is in autonomous/robotics/salelites, MSFT is mostly just cloud and a lot from ai (least interesting), nvidia’s earning estimate just look stupid los for 2026 given the capex announcements. I think we are within a margin of safety even in a bad economy where mag 7 will do well or at least way more upside than downside. Right now the market simultaneously thinks ai is going to kill software, but hyper scalers/autonomous won’t be winners as if ai will always be available at subsidized prices.
MSFT and AMZN down 50% soon 😅
MSFT really is dead as a doornail isn't it. 20% dump and not even a decent dead cat bounce. Just down down down like it works for Coles.
Thank you for providing liquidity and powering the future of AI software🙏🏻 I don’t have the capital for longer-dated options at the moment as I’ve using profits for bills & food, but been considering getting into MSFT calls as well 😊
I’m not waiting on theoretical fleets of robot for my gains. MSFT, then Netflix & Amazon.
If you want nuclear go with established utilities that are currently producing or working on plats, VST and CEG are the two largest nuclear producers in the US and will be running 3 mile island and producing for MSFT and META. GEV is another one. They make the gas turbines that produce the actual power.
All in on MSFT shares, i'm all out of dry powder now and at the mercy of the markets
At their current value? Easily MSFT or AMZN. Both have taken a beating and are oversold. They have the most growth opportunities. Who is doing the best right now? Google but they are too expensive right now. Might as well put money in VTI or VOO and will probably get better returns.
Good eye. I see MSFT holding 365, 380 a more likely bottom. Unless the market tanks, but rn the churn is healthy and SaaS is on sale
Buying for the first time and keeping powder for bigger drops. Not like MSFT though, building a huge position there.
How do we feel about my $450C MSFT 2/27 Fucked or no
My research has concluded that the thread is currently Pro-Chicken Francese sandwiches and Anti-MSFT
Currently holding short dated QQQ puts and long dated MSFT calls. Then there’s my Physical Corn position, of course.
3 month charts. $HOOD down 45%, $AMD down 20%, MSFT down 20%, $PLTR down $30%, $SOFI down 35%, $UNH down 15%. This is just to name a few. If you look at more speculative tickers even ones with real revenue and potential it’s even worse. So no.. you could get caught in a bad sell off and be down bad without investing in ‘shitty’ stocks.
Mag 7’s ytd: META +2.8% AAPL +1.7% NVDA +.6% GOOG -1.3% TSLA -2.2% AMZN -9.9% MSFT -14.5%
Good luck man, I’m also in a precarious spot but with MSFT. Hoping for a good day tomorrow 🤞🏼
imagine being upset at multiples compression instead of viewing it as long term opportunity long MSFT
Sorry it’s all my fault for buying into MSFT and HOOD https://preview.redd.it/fvnfas63i5jg1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f4c9f310ec8ac7c111e71b9613a12b713bdbbce3
When it gets as dumb as Grok, I'll start buying MSFT again.
*it’s the way that hair net kinda covered up her ear* *had me askin’ why the* **fuck** *she was even workin’ here* *but next time I get hungry* *i’ma drive to Pasadena* *’Cuz I just gotta see her* *Mi linda cucina* Bro says “my beautiful kitchen” instead of what I assume was meant to be “my beautiful cook” at the end their but “cocinera” wouldn’t rhyme and i guess you do what you gotta do MSFT is a stupid obvious buy at this price. Short dated options will cuck you. Buy leaps or shares. Shit could go lower in the short term. Honestly, all of this bullshit is pretty normal. If I had a 10 bagger for every time we almost invaded Iran and the market freaked out about it, I’d be a billionaire. Shit ain’t gonna be WW3, Russia does not care that much. No mutual defense or security guarantees in their treaty. Now, a boots on the ground invasion of Iran, idk. Honestly my worry there is more credit downgrades for the U.S. because a major war would be expected to balloon our deficit. Iran’s big and its geography is fucked. Would be way worse than Afghanistan/Iraq. But fuck all of that. The only concerning thing is gold, the USD, and this vague sense that everyone is looking to cut us out because we’re talking shit and renegotiating constantly.
Shall I sell my CRWV and take the 1,3k loss like a man to diversify in software stocks and MSFT or shall I clench my butt and ride it out?
what in the actual fuck is happening to MSFT
That was a tough call. I decided to distribute its allocation between the others. Amazon has a stronger cloud business and has the added diversification of the retail side. I think they can expand margins using warehouse robotics and advertising revenue. BABA adds a bit of international diversification and long term China energy grid connection, GOOGL has a lot of overlap on business model but with stronger vertical AI integration. Oracle offers a (small) pure-play bet on OpenAI infrastructure. MSFT has the weakest internal chip program and has struggled to incorporate Copilot in a convincing way. They're getting lapped by Anthropic Cowork (largely owned by Amazon and Google) in their productivity apps. It's still an excellent business and a strong part of any portfolio though, I just wanted to reduce the number of picks.
AMD, NVDA, AMAT, GOOG, MSFT, MRVL, ORCL. I wouldn't do anything until Q1 is over, I suspect more bloodshed is on the horizon. Rather buy on a 5-10% upswing and see something positive. Lately, even blowout quarterly earnings are having no effect on stock prices. So many good companies that had excellent earnings still saw their share price drop 10% or more.
Yep ... Just like how we saw them all have incredible runs for the last 3 1/2 years, it's gonna collapse and go way too far the other direction. META 550, MSFT 340, AMZN 170, GOOGL 260 ... all we need is a few more bad reports, back-to-back tweets, geopolitical uncertainty and it all comes tumbling down.
Any high quality stock that you buy 200WMA is a great buy. MSFT already there. AMZN almost there. I don’t think you would lose on any of them.
Less capex is generally bad. As long as Amazon has a positive ROIC you’d want as much spending as possible, you just don’t want them to cancel projects due to overestimated FCF. Considering Amazon has one of the most sticky revenue segments with AWS, it’s honestly possible they take mkt share away from MSFT. MSFT has operating margins going for them, but AI is about embedding early.
>Looks at MSFT >*Have you ever danced with the devil in the pale moonlight?*
All the growth stocks are down 40-50% HOOD PLTR RDDT ORCL MSFT
Google MSFT holding strong today. While Amazon keep dumping 😂😂
5 year returns. Some of the mag 7 are boomer stocks at his point SPY 77% MSFT Microsoft ~70.5% TSLA Tesla ~42.5% AMZN Amazon ~40.7%
look at this MSFT chart. It’s gonna have another bounce.
LT AMZN for sure even though both are good buys. Their retail margin expansion will print money as they replace human packers with robots. MSFT doesn’t have the same potential imo, but ride will be smoother along the way.
I say AMZN so probably MSFT
Im gonna get down voted and maybe yelled at. But I also recommend the Bible my friend. Reading a Gospel. Seriously. Thanks for the write up. I went big on MSFT, too.
Speedrunning how to lose money. Basically making my own triple leveraged strategy. It's the same way that TQQQ works - but I isolated it to a single stock (MSFT) and added in CC's cause why the fuck not.
I consider MSFT and CSCO as boomer stocks🙄
There's no guarantee it won't go to zero. That's the nature of risk. The question is: what is the likelihood of a bad outcome? I approached it from 3 ways: 1. Mean Reversion: Currently, the only time MSFT has been this far below its exponential mean growth trendline (not counting a mathematical artefact tail in the 1980s) was during the great financial crisis. So I asked myself: "is this a great financial crisis, or not?" and my answer is, "probably not." So...from a mean reversion perspective, probably it's going up from here. 2. Historical drawdown patterns: MSFT has only been this far off its ATH a few times: dot-com plus gfc period, fed tightening in 2022, and a bunch of weird volatility in the 1980s. So historically speaking, it's a fair guess that this is at or near a bottom--unless this is a dot-com level crash. Additionally, every time except the dot-com-gfc period, even if it went farther off its ATH, it immediately ripped back to a new ATH in a relatively short period. So again...it's just a bet that it's going up, as long as this isn't a dot-com-gfc level event. 3. Historical PE: At a 25 PE (24ish at the time I bought it), it's historically near the lowest PE you could've ever bought MSFT, outside of the dot-com-gfc period. Again, if this isn't a dot-com-gfc period, then the multiple will likely expand from here, which means price will increase. I'd provide charts, but r/stocks doesn't like pics. You can get the % off high and historical PE from ycharts. You can do the exponential growth trendline calculations yourself relatively easily in Excel. Download a table of MSFT historical prices. Select a column and all the cells in it equal to the number of rows in your price and date colums. The formula is =growth(price column, date column), then hit shift+ctrl+enter to matrix it into the selected cells. Then you just have a column to calculate % off the mean trendline and chart it.
I’m buying up MSFT at this price point but I’m not touching the indexes until we drop below QQQ 590 and I see permabears buying QQQ 500p I think the floor is 560-580. Lot of support at 580.
MSFT 1 year chart looking like a tumor. Bullish
Man, MSFT chart really had me excited today too.
If two or three of us pick up some extra shifts at Wendy's and agree to buy MSFT all at once, I think we can really move the needle on this thing
Huge win for MSFT bulls, it ended only down -0.5%! 🤑 (anything better than -2% on MSFT is basically a green day)
MSFT chart looks completely ridiculous today lmao
agreed. The way I am bullish and the bulls are bears is funny/sad. Even if AMZN or MSFT keep nosediving, eventually these companies will do damage control or the media will change narratives. Wall St isn't going to let their stocks go to zero
There are triple leveraged ETF's that do the same thing - but they charge a 1% management fee. No fee if I just manage it myself. It's like TQQQ - but instead of operating on QQQ it's just MSFT.
Started running a triple leveraged strat on MSFT with daily reset & CC's to milk extra premiums. Literally cannot go tits up - unless microsoft drills in which case I'ma lose 100%. Strat: full port MSFT with shares so that "margin utilized" always \~= 300%. The next day: if it's less than 300%, buy enough shares to make it roughly equal to 300%. If it's over 300%, sell enough shares to make it roughly 300%. Then sell slightly OTM CC's on it with shortest possible expiration for free premiums. It's basically free money as MSFT has gotta eventually bottom.
I buy from Amazon every month. I can't remember the last time I bought something from Microsoft directly. The only way I indirectly give them money is every time I buy a new computer every 10+ years, and they get what $139-$199 every 10 years for the new Windows version? If I ever hate Windows, I can switch to Linux and they get $0 so... Take what you will from that. I tend to think stocks are safer when they cater to the average person. Nobody is going to stop buying things on Amazon if they are cheaper than store prices for certain items AND they get delivered so you don't have to go anywhere. I think MSFT will make a lot of its money from businesses? Well, tech workers keep getting laid off....
absolutely brutal. caught the google run today but MSFT and DKNG calls into tomorrow are my last gamble for now
Pls mag7. Why are you doing this to me?! Down big on GOOG, AMZN, NVDA, MSFT, AAPL fuckkk
MSFT getting wrecked for the 17th time this week.
Nobody is interested in buying AAPL MSFT AMZN it seems
Fair question and I again asked AI (Gemini) the same question, i.e., I asked, "Is this statement true or false, "Amazon has been outperformed over the last 5 years by McDonald's, Coke and JNJ. MSFT has been outperformed by Phillip Morris, Walmart, Waste Management and Exxon over the last half decade." This is what it said: Based on data through **early 2026**, the statement is **False**. While it is true that slow-growth, defensive stocks like McDonald's (MCD) or Coca-Cola (KO) sometimes outperform tech stocks over very short timeframes (like the 2022 market downturn), the statement is false over a 5-year **total return** horizon (which includes reinvested dividends). Here is the data-driven breakdown: # 1. Amazon (AMZN) vs. MCD, KO, JNJ Amazon has significantly outperformed these consumer staples over the last five years. * **Amazon (AMZN):** Has benefited from massive growth in Amazon Web Services (AWS) and e-commerce dominance, resulting in a **higher total return** despite a sharp drop in 2022. * **Staples:** While McDonald's, Coke, and Johnson & Johnson are stable income generators, they have grown at a much slower rate. # 2. Microsoft (MSFT) vs. PM, WMT, WM, XOM Microsoft has dramatically outperformed this group over the last five years. * **Microsoft (MSFT):** Driven by cloud computing (Azure) and the integration of AI, Microsoft has been one of the market's best performers. * **The Comparison:** * **Walmart (WMT):** While performing exceptionally well for a retailer, it has not matched Microsoft's returns. * **Exxon Mobil (XOM):** Despite a massive surge in energy prices, Exxon's 5-year total return is still lower than Microsoft's. * **Waste Management (WM) & Philip Morris (PM):** These are stable, slower-growth stocks that have not kept pace with the tech sector.
This is the accurate criticism of MSFT Their future revenue projections are too dependent on gro wth from openAI. They need to diversify that future revenue to derisk from a pre-revenue company.
Its all institutions. Lots of different reasons for stocks to move, regular buying, options buying/hedging etc etc. Barely any retail orders hit the market. [https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nasdaq-msft/exchange-volume/dark-pool-levels/#darkpoollevels](https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nasdaq-msft/exchange-volume/dark-pool-levels/#darkpoollevels) 50% of MSFT's volume is off exchange, a lot of retails orders get internalised so they don't affect price. The market will always be rigged by the few against the many.
MSFT, AMAZON and hood holders have to be the most stupidest boomers ever. You guys all fail and act like it’s gonna suddenly pop back up 5%.
Buying ATM leaps for DEC 28 at this point on MSFT, AMZN, and Googl. expensive but only thing that feels safe at this point.
why won't MSFT fucking go down
MSFT only down -.22% - thats a win!
Of all stocks to be green, the fucking turd MSFT is one of them wtf
MSFT is a single digit stock. Just bought next week $9 strike puts.