MSFT

Necessary_Ad_9800

Tuesday predictions SPY $760 MU $850 NVDA $240 SNDK $1750 MSFT $390

circadiggmigration

> people do not change old habits. Yes they do, if they're financially incentivized. I don't even know where this dumb saying comes from. How come people replaced landlines with cell phones? How come cable tv is losing subscribers every quarter? If AMZN, GOOG OR MSFT can load an intuit-like software into their stack and cut the price by 50%, that "old habits die hard" mantra will go right out the window.

MarginCalledMom

I hear you on the sentiment aspect of it, and recognize there could be significant upside from these prices, but also informed on the risks. While sentiment can change, I don’t think the Google comparison makes sense here. I’d say that makes more sense in the MSFT scenario where we are down 20-25% from all time highs largely due to sentiment around software despite the fact that MSFT is a legitimate and significant player in AI and has one of the most robust businesses in the world. Google was and is a leading AI company despite the risks AI present to search (which are still valid). Reddit is way more “beta”, and due to that, sentiment could easily cause another 40-50% drawdown, and if risks are actually realized we could see even greater than that. Google had forgotten value that the market remembered and priced accordingly. Reddit not so much, but can prove the market is wrong despite the facts being present

Sea-Post-5572

Just get into MSFT dude

Jemmani22

Oh shit let me try. Ahem... MSFT will stop being dogshit and actually go up next week like 10%. It will be the best stock that week. Better than any stock before!

Dbx84

MSFT 🚀

Deadsea3132

everything is going to fucking rip on tuesday except for META and MSFT. fuck those dogshit stocks genuinely

beerandgardening

OP’s assumption is that this loop won’t break when MSFT-OpenAI monetize their AI outside of their loop to their individual customers. The market is essentially pricing this in now. Who will succeed, no one can predict with certainty. However the biggest danger to the American companies comes from Chinese companies selling much cheaper models and computation that can do 99% of what American models can do. This might drive down price and mess up projections.

Yukas911

If they successfully execute their vision and grow, then nothing "collapses". Microsoft has a good investment that increases in value, and OpenAI used money they didn't have to grow faster in exchange for giving a stake to MSFT. If OpenAI fails, then Microsoft loses money on their investment and their share price likely takes a hit too. I don't see how this results in a catastrophe though like some people are portraying it.

Maayyyaaaaa

HOLD META & MSFT fr

bshtein

Well, I bought MSFT 12 years ago and can't really complain. Still holding 😄

Mean-Evidence-4056

The war is over, market at all time highs, oil btc and interest rates all elevated, the only thing that isn't up is my port, thanks MSFT

Purple_Bearkat

MSFT Teams would have to capture these names if I were to provide a recap.

vermilli21

Gonna need Iran to do more with MSFT to save my June calls

Icommandyou

🚨details of the deals emerge per Axios: * Iran to buy MU 0dte calls $1000 * Iran US agree to invest $700bn in SPY * Iran will purchase $400bn worth of MSFT PowerPoint slides * NATO Iran China will jointly launch attacks on anyone trying to short this market

throwingitanyway

as a MSFT bagholder i understand the truth of this

Icommandyou

MSFT to $1000, we need excel to open the strait

Past-Palpitation7063

What is the play then. Should we buy high tech stocks like MSFT and META since they are both undervalued now and the new fed is leaning towards AI to achieve this new money system reset?

JonRadian

MSFT to the Moon! https://preview.redd.it/4qy14dazgy2h1.png?width=620&format=png&auto=webp&s=8030b5a4bdb2d14d1312d457afa1a804aded3914

aDonkeyWithACarrot

Ok.. so let’s recap I wanted to sell some RDDT calls so that I can buy more MSFT calls so that I can watch 🌽 during the weekend I ended up deciding against that

Apollo948

War is over. MSFT -2%

Expert_CBCD

GREAT news on the potential US-Iran agreement MSFT -2% Monday no doubt.

da-pkitty

MSFT, NVDA, Netflix will sit out the party. Guaranteed

Brigantius

Did I hear right that MSFT is planning to be red on Tuesday?

OrangMiskin

MSFT will still take a dump lmao there’s no saving this shit stock

livin_in_the_land

Picked up 6/18 MSFT $335 Tuesday and bled this week but the quick pumps give me hope

Scared-Signature-452

I am really worried about all my nasdaq stocks. Should I go to all cash for the next few months? does anyone have any suggestions -- I have MSFT, ASTS, META, ROKU, INTC, PLTR, AMD, RKLB

Sunkettle

Bought a MSFT $420 Call EXP 6/5 yesterday at 3pm. Hoping to see some gains on Tuesday 💪

shawman123

based on how their revenue is growing, I think it wont hit 9 trillion in next few years. But they are steady and will keep growing. the brand moat is not going away. Even though chinese flagships have phenomenal specs, even in China Apple is selling well. I could see them do well with their Specs and other not so crazy priced hardware. Even Macbook neo can do 5x sales if they can improve the supply. So I would hold on to my AAPL shares. For some reason I am scared to own NVDA but they can easily double if they keep growing at this crazy rate. I can see them hit 10-12Trillion in next 2 years. GOOG can grow from current price though not sure about doubling. AMZN/MSFT have good potential. Dont like META at all despite them pushing gazllion ads to FB/Insta. But their market cap can grow from current levels. TSLA is not my cup of tea and so I am staying out of it.

StonkGoUp

When you use the search bar on a Windows system it will literally give you every single result on Earth minus the actual file or program you have saved on your actual computer. Short MSFT

Radun

yes i have been trading since 2018, didn't always do 0dte though. It is also not the bulk of my trading. I mostly do swings or leaps, but I do 0dte on SPX, and some of the mag 7 0dte ever since they added mon/wed/fri for most of the mag 7. TSLA is great for doing 0dte since it has swings of 10 dollars a day most times. Lately MSFT , and NVDA, GOOGL, and AMZN have also been great

actias_selene

When I run the number and think about the situation: \- Big tech still has room for growth. Especially those that does not rely on AI completely. MSFT, APL, GOOG, META, AMZN. \- NVDA is good, but still even if 20-30% slowdown of data center investment, could impact valuation very negatively, but still, the company itself will remain strong. \- MU and other DRAM/storage companies are where the bubble is. The investment in this area is continuously increasing and the supply will increase no matter what. If the demand cannot keep up, they will crash, and they will crash hard. The issue is, I think even 2 years to expire leap puts are very soon to make any call. So I will wait it out longer before deciding if I take any short position on these. \- Inflation will be high and remain high for next 5-10 years. Increased oil prices, to governments trying to inflate out their debt. Central banks will increase their interest rates, but not at the rate of inflation. \- Large AI companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI are all deep in red. If they can increase their prices a lot, they can make it out, but all or most of them will just spiral down after IPO imo. I believe a crisis will be triggered by: \- BNPL schemes. \- Private equity. \- Bond market. What I do: \- Keep buying MSCI and S&P 500 ETFs. \- Keeping more than regular amount of cash in highest interest possible saving accounts. \- Large amount of low interest fixed rate mortgage debt. I am not paying it off. \- I never liked bonds, I steer away from them.

potato111a

MSFT 50.0 - Wen?

Coloradospruce33

MSFT $500 - Wen?

Jerikolol

nah its just bad vibes mainly openai is 'bad' now instead of being an AI darling, xbox sucks, MSFT in-house copilot is the worst of the models (and is barely more than a chatgpt wrapper, AND there core software office 365 is boring and stagnating. oh and theyre also a SaaS now, so they get sold off every time anthorpic nukes IGV with some new claude update/plug-in. Now are any of these fundamental issues that will never get resolved? nah, prolly not. Kind of how GOOG was dead 1 year ago, and now its back to being the best company in the world. MSFT shall rise again (when tho, idk thats harder to say... 6 months? 1 year? more?)

Left-Signature-5250

Yeah, look at MSFT with their capex! They really got rewarded for it lol

Jerikolol

MSFT is going to 0$ B A N K R U P T and removed from SP500/QQQ as it should be

Left-Signature-5250

Market reward capex... looks at MSFT 🤔

zendaddy76

Just hold for longer, set a trailing stop, maybe 20%, if you’re worried about losing money. Or sell 1/2 at ATH and keep the rest. I’ve successfully used this strategy with some big wins (MSFT since 98, AAPL since 2012, NVDA since 2020, currently holding AVGO AMD TSM MRVL GOOG - all with trailing stops that haven’t triggered, still riding them on the way up). Also I bought META when PE was low, around 200 a share, these aren’t dogshit stocks if you hold for longer and have conviction. Tha said, 90% of my money is VT and chill, 10% play money is for fun.

Temporary-Basil-3030

I bought 200 shares of MSFT at 170 p/s and some MSFT leaps. Otherwise I’ve been mostly farming premium. My LT holdings in my IRA have performed well.

SkepticalInvestor21

This is giving me serious 2000 vibes, and not in a good way. When the top performers are running 784% average gains on pure narrative, it historically ends one way. The difference from dot-com is that the underlying businesses (NVDA, MSFT, etc.) actually have earnings. But the AI-adjacent names with no real revenue and 500% gains? That's where the tulips are. Position sizing accordingly - the bull can run longer than you'd think, but sizing for a melt-up means having a real exit plan.

Agreeable-Bee-3449

Not a financial advisor but I like to do a core + satellite approach. Where the bulk of my money is in a broad index etf (like VOO or VTI, VXUS, VT etc) and then I supplement that with more risky individual investments. My satellite rn is GOOG, MSFT, MU and RKLB

Altruistic-Pin3207

Solid — 8 of 11 is well above darts, and the AAPL/MSFT/AMZN "didn't pin exactly but stayed in range" is the part most writeups skip. Curious whether your hit rate splits cleanly across the king-magnitude buckets. Big absolute-GEX kings (SPY/QQQ where dealer hedging is biggest) should be more reliable pins than the meme-y single names. I started logging mine in [strikerate.ca](http://strikerate.ca) by underlying and the result was less flattering than I assumed — most of my "GEX edge" was really the index ETFs, not the single names. One Friday is signal but not a sample size, so the underlying-level split is where the actual edge call is.

Moepenmoes

I wish I invested 1000$ into MSFT before I was born, then I'd have 5 mil by now and I could retire

culturefan

I suspect you're not holding your stocks long enough. You should hold them at least a year, and then decide if you need to sell them or not. I'd continue to hold MSFT & META. The Mag 7 stocks are still the way to go, AI is still in its infancy. So MSFT, META, AMAZN, GOOG, NFLX, etc. It probably wouldn't hurt any to find some stock pundits on Youtube you think are worthwhile to listen to--there are many.

RichChocolateDevil

I bought NVDA when they were making MSFT Xbox chips because I liked playing XBox. I got lucky with the AI stuff that they decided to get into. Haven't sold it yet. Still think that it can go up quite a bit. Held MSFT for that 10-year period when it was basically flat. Sold it, Sataya took over and it roared and I was sad. You never really know.

FriendlyGold1717

Can you do me a favour and sell your MSFT holdings. Thanks

ForeverInTheSun82647

Buy quality stocks. Good companies with real revenue. Not companies that are on the verge of collapse. Just stocks that are beaten up by Wall Street. A great example right now would be NOW. Great earnings. Solid company. Everyone uses them. Software is beaten up. It’s a great opportunity. MSFT was also a great opportunity. When it fell under 380 I bought all I could afford. Buying Reddit pump and dumps might workout a couple times. But you’ll eventually get left holding the bag. Buy good companies and you’ll be fine.

Coloradospruce33

* META & MSFT: Come on, man. You know I'm a little short. Hook me up, man. * META & MSFT: Man, I got these cheeseburgers. They some double cheeseburgers. * META & MSFT: Come on, man. I'll suck your dick, man.

Specialist_Cup_3603

I got 1630$ to invest monthly , i’m 23 , i will continue buying $MSFT $NVDA $GOOG $ORCL $NVO $INTC , if i got more money i will buy QQQ ETF

dvdmovie1

" How the hell are ya'll keeping your sanity? " It's not been difficult. In the nearly dozen years I've been on Reddit I've never seen more complaining and frustration over what continues to be a very good market. Sentiment on here at times you'd think that the market was down 20%. "trade war / supply chain / energy volatility" And yet how much of Reddit owns energy companies? All the discussion of an energy crisis on here and what % of Reddit owns energy companies and was buying when this all started in March? So much of Reddit just wants to buy the MSFTs of the world that they don't have to think about and when things happen where that playbook doesn't work, people complain and act like the market is broken rather than trying to look for what benefits. Reddit used to be great for talking about a much wider variety of businesses, now all anyone seems to want to talk about and invest in are the same dozen or two companies. "spacex (ridiculous valuation)" The level of upset over SpaceX (nobody had a problem with all the shitty things included in the indexes in recent years - including SMCI at the top before all the various corruption issues, for example - but OMG SPACEX IF THATS IN MY INDEX I CAN'T INDEX ANYMORE) is feeling "inverse Reddit"-y. I bought SATS when there was the SpaceX share deal because I thought it would create interest in SATS as effectively a SpaceX tracking stock; did well. Have sold some recently, will sell more into the IPO but will probably keep some. "US is no longer looked at like a stable partner/investment due to its governmental instability wars are breaking out, and will likely only grow as people recognize the US as a paper tiger" So buy the gold dip. Buy defense. Buy real assets. Buy land names. Buy actively managed commodity futures funds. I thought last year that we had clearly moved towards a multi-polar world (fantastic interview with the PM of Singapore last Fall with the financial times where that was a big topic - great response by him: "So we are in an uncomfortable position where **the old rules do not apply anymore, but the new ones have not been written**, and we must brace ourselves for more turbulence ahead.") "massive wealth inequality leading to higher taxes and government instabilities" The issue I have is this: do you have confidence broadly for the government to fix this? To fix healthcare? Education? I don't. The can will continue to get kicked no matter who is in office until it cannot. Massive wealth inequality at some point risks social unrest and then more money will be thrown at the problem. Many years ago, Volcker raised the fed funds to nearly 20% to stop inflation. If we went to half of that today, it would be game over before we got there. In 2008, policy barely saved the day - I honestly think the idea of another 2008 is so unpalatable (and probably unfixable) at this point that it would not be allowed to happen and money printer go brrr would be viewed as more appealing. Politics has become so all-encompassing/win at all costs that difficult decisions that might create better long-term outcomes are likely never going to be chosen. Above goal inflation for the foreseeable future is - imo - a baseline scenario. Worst case, 2022 but worse and faster. All the people on here who talk about the risks given the global environment and then in the next sentence talk about going to cash (not OP, but have seen this plenty of times over the last couple of years particularly) I don't get it. I don't get the mentality that every little dip is apocalyptic, which has turned into the norm on Reddit over the last couple of years in particular. People want to own all the popular stocks but don't want any of the volatlity that comes with growth stocks. Or are worried about inflation but keep buying the MSFT dip and ignore anything that's not tech - it really feels like for a lot of people that there is little interest beyond the playbook that worked for years. This, despite the fact that you could have done better in boring WMT over the last half decade than MSFT. Could have done much better over the last 5 years in boomer favorite XOM than MSFT. There are other things out there besides Mag 7 but it feels like a lot of people don't want to explore those options then complain when the MSFT dip becomes a 7 layer dip. Again, Reddit used to be so much better about having a wider variety of names discussed. All the semicap stuff, memory, optics, photonics, etc that has mooned this year would have been a much bigger topic on here pre-covid, now those things aren't discussed much until they're already up 100% for the year and even then a bigger topic is complaining about MSFT - but when you say "why not invest in something else?" it's nOOOO. "a lot of people will lose their jobs very quickly (much more quickly than previous industrial revolutions)" It's UBI or eventual social unrest. The concern becomes these people can't fix healthcare or agree on anythiing, so what's the confidence on coming up with an effective UBI plan to address the AI scenario where massive amounts of layoffs occur? Long story short, are things a mess? Yes. Do I have a lot of concerns over the next 5 years? Yes. But what I do with investing is try to figure out how to postion myself to benefit from those things and if I don't get something right I keep trying to figure it out until I do. The things that might benefit from those issues are not in every case going to be the things that are shiny and exciting and that everyone wants to talk about owning.

_icarcus

Nvidia dropping $1b into them was not part of the thesis, that's for sure lol. I've been watching them and marking TA on their chart since 2021 because they've always had solid financials and kept advancing their networks and expanding contracts (MSFT Azure data center deal in Nov 2024 for example). They were priming to do \*something\* but wasn't sure when. AI was still a major deal back then but still had a lot of unanswered questions then everything drastically shifted come 2025. They've traded in this high $5 to low $3 channel for nearly a decade with them trying to break past $7 multiple times. If they could break out of that \~$6ishrange, they were headed to $7-8 which is why I went 2027 (nearly a 1.5 years out) for only $7. The Nvidia deal is basically a positive black swan event for NOK and the price surge represents that. Open up their all time chart on the monthly timeframe and you'll see what I'm talking about.

MrBlack1111

Just hold MSFT and META for couple of years and you will be fine. You pick good stocks, just nead to learn to be more patient.

Few-Improvement9978

When I first started my career as a CPA I realized everything I was doing with PCs was in windows. Great DD I know So in like 2016 I maxed my 401k into MSFT at like $60 a share. Haven’t touched it since then. I actually never bought more MSFT until very recently. Everybody seems so jaded about it and I’m just thinking the same shit about azure now. You can’t escape it

acreed3412

MSFT 🚀

Super_Highway_3405

Let me know when you sell META and MSFT.

FreshOutOfGeekistan

Oracle seems to be in a scary place with its AI investments. I don't recall the numbers. Also, financial news said that Microsoft will cut back on external AI offerings to customers and just use it internally due to cost but not enough revenue. I doubt that either Oracle or MSFT are leveraged using private debt though. Unlike Lehman and ING, Oracle and MSFT still have huge cashflow from operations. I don't know about amount of cash on hand.

Mysterious_Swim1923

You’re not really a bad stock picker you’re just judging yourself based on hindsight. Every example you gave includes “if I held” which is something literally every investor goes through. Winners always look obvious after the move, but in real time it never feels that clean. The bigger risk here isn’t META or MSFT it’s switching mindset into options because of frustration. That’s usually where things spiral instead of improve. If anything, your positions are just showing normal volatility, not failure.

MDthrowItaway

I stil like the company and feel they have room to grow, but I would not invest nearly as agressively now as I did last year. Their benefit is their time to implement their fuel cells beats pretty much any other option out there short of just connecting to the grid. Relative to other options like gas turbines which are noisier and have longer lead times (several years!) The opportunity for bloom is that current data center buildouts facing significant community opposition due to noise and environmental pollution from turbine engines and concern for impacting local power costs if connecting to the grid. The contract you are talking about between BE and NBIS was likely due to power supply issues with NBIS's Vineland data center build - they were facing air permitting issues with their plan to use gas turbines so I beleive they signed a last minute deal with BE ( I diont know if this has been explicitly confirmed, but the amount of MW of that contract aligns with the planned 300MW capacity of the Vineland location. Nebius presold the vineland capacity to MSFT and has specific tranches of capacity that they need to deliver - so they are under time pressure. The problem is that BE's power solution is \~3x the capex of traditional gas turbines and that will impact NBIS's margin (good for BE though - but I dont know how NBIS convinced BE to jump to the front of their line as BE has signed a ton of new contracts - but perhaps no one in advance of developement as Vineland). I assume that NBIS's power problem will not be an isolated problem for data center builders and that data center builders ar e realizing access to electricity is one of the bottlenecks. DC builders are considering power before even looking at sites - some are reactivating dormant nuclear plants etc - however this will all take time and I believe Bloom's product, while expensive, can allow these data centers to go live sooner. If you see electricity as a bottleneck, you can consider IREN - they are a bitcoin miner who is making the transition to AI data centers - their moat if you can call it that is that they have 4.5GW of contracted power. Their issue is that their racks are optimized for bitcoin mining and need to upgrade their racks to AI hardware and they are doing it via dilution (192M shares outstanding in 2024 to 357M shares in 2026). FWIW I've been researching IREN recnetly and havent entered a position (I might if it drops 20%, but at this point I'm not in any hurry). I believe their strongest moat is their access to electricity, but I don't beleive they have the vision to build a vertically integrated AI factory as NBIS seems to be doing (this will translate to IREN risking being a commodity and not being able to charge a premium likely NBIS and CRWV.. in the near term, when there are shortages of everything including power, nothing else might matter and that might drive short term price action for IREN. In the long run, it might mean lower margins when all of these data centers come on line 5 yeras down the line and computing power becomes a commodity.

Saffuran

The market and people who invest in Elon are not rational. That being said the market is not the economy and fundamentals only matter to a certain extent. SPCX is going to rocket because the market is manipulated for it to do so, only about 5% or so of the company is going to be publicly traded (low float, artificially low scarcity meets FOMO conditions means price skyrockets) and the NASDAQ changed its rules specifically for Elon/SpaceX so that 7 days after it lists, if you have a retirement account that simply holds NASDAQ index funds (something like QQQ) you are also going to own some SpaceX. This has never been the case before. SpaceX is going to have a 24-48 hours of FOMO and aggressive institutional buying to keep the floor high for when the index funds start selling off portions of MSFT, NVDA e.t.c. to buy SpaceX, which is just going to drive it up again. GOOGL also owns a lot of private SpaceX shares so if you own Google you will also be getting some exposure to the IPO.

1stGearDuck

Learn to trim positions rather than bailing out entirely. And your positions in MSFT and META are ones you will kick yourself for not holding into 3 years later if you sell these now. If I were you, I'd add some MELI and sprinkle in a little ZVIA right now before they also launch over the next 5 years.

TangerineTrades

MSFT was dead money for about 15 years. It hasn't ended up as many people's worst investment, unless they were impatient. Sometimes the market misprices a stock for a very long time. With this level of buyback going on, this is a best case scenario for a long term investor.

music_is_gud

Bro market is closed, stop thinking about it. Enjoy your weekend. As for MSFT, it's a POS stock but I think it will start going up soon with the SaaS comeback

debitagebandit

What the hell is up with MSFT guys?

Ok_Ad5628

$MSFT wen?

angcritic

I bought MSFT in 2011 (had to look it up on Fidelity) and still hold. Cost basis is $24/share. Why did I buy? I was dividend and value shopping at the time. Pre Azure and everyone publicly hated them and wanted to get off the Office+Exchange apparently. The dividend was around 4%ish. I bought because even with all the controversy, they were generating incredible free cash flow making the dividend play a safe bet. My gains are 1200%. I wish I bought more than 300 shares.

JefeDiez

I sold some of mine at quite a profit after holding 5 years. I hate to do it but seeing companies like MSFT and META at sub-20 fwd PE pre-AI buildout I felt I would be smarter swinging into those for now. But I want to buy back in in a few months.

FormerFastCat

Bought MSFT and EME in 2008, before they were cool. But then I gave the bulk of my stock away in a divorce, so thankfully I'll never have to pay taxes on them /s.

Informal-Lime6396

Sector ETFs. Wind down on individual stocks by selling your loss and gains to a net zero. Rather than MSFT and META, buy VGT, rather than NVDA, do SMH, etc.

rsanchan

let me guess, MSFT

jer72981m

Yeah sell MSFT and META and let us know so they go up 50% in a month.

Dbx84

https://preview.redd.it/0g6aw5m9os2h1.jpeg?width=1320&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cfb2610f44c83ebb55b9b979ed49b2035ca64519 Me every time MSFT goes up……..

Wandering_trader99

Im planning to slowly load up on some "boring" stocks such as ULVR whilst the market gets further into the greed territory. I also have a sizeable position in HIVE which has recently gone insane so deciding wether to sell or keep holding. Another one i really like at its current price is MSFT

Lanky_Chard3288

Made 8k this month on spy, microsoft, nvidia, asts, archr calls. donated to broadcomm and asts puts. exited my weeklies today and am now: MSFT 450c 6/18 BETA 20c 10/16 ACHR 7c 7/17 UPS 120c 1/15 Bought Quantum,RGTIW,QUBT,QBTS,IONQ shares and up over 30%. should have bought more instead of asts puts

LPHutz

DUDE STOP SELLING!!!!!!! The ideal holding period is forever. Or at least 20-30 years. Or at a minimum, say, five years. MSFT and META will do amazing in the next 3-5 years. It doesn't matter if they are down right now. If you can't handle the volatility, buy ETFs, not stocks. Do you mind if I ask, why would you sell Nebius or Nvidia at those prices, especially when you probably hadn't held them for long?

FewUnderstanding2214

People do like the technologies MSFT has developed - they have a whole developer ecosystem which is very hard to replicate. People hate SAP - it’s a hard one to replicate (like Adobe) but with AI this is easier to develop these kind of software, but more importantly AI can do things the Adobe software also does (and potentially better) Chevron is totally different because even if you don’t fill up your car with them, everything you use has oil inputs a which may be from Chevron’s oil - even if tomorrow we stay all driving electric cars, oil consumption will still be very high. So Adobe is a value trap - even if it has a short term rally (unlikely)

jglenn9k

10 years ago I figured stock that gives a dividend. 'Cause that means its stable. But also tech, because that's the only sector I know. So my portfolio is all NVDA and MSFT.

a_wintersmith

I get that you want that, but MSFT is waiting for you to get frustrated and sell before that happens. There’s literally no other way.

OkEffective8588

Lol, I do exactly this, I even own the exact same, MSFT META & RDDT, your post convinces me to hold

Kickboy21

Yeah i know. I made about 27k total on separate occasion from MSFT but i also had unrealized loss of 30k in march. Still bullish on MSFT but recently very bullish on RDDT. I sold cash secured puts on RDDT for next week

ShittyBidet123

If you are confident about a strong stock the correct move is to DCA the days it goes down. If its a good company I believe MSFT is good long term, so basically you get emotional and bitch out early instead of having patience. Remember shares last forever.

Technical_Earth_3871

Do you know why you bought those stocks? You should have a defined criteria. Do you know why you sold them? Again, you should have a defined criteria. FOR THE LOVE OF GOD do not try options, why would that be better? Instead of losing a small amount you will lose everything. Answer this question: what about options will make me profitable? Is it the timeframe? Is it my personality? Or am I a gambler who picks good stocks and doesn't know why? Also, MSFT looks good to me here and I have some. Not sure about META. Why do you think MSFT is bad? Why did you buy it? What makes a stock good or bad? Get into index funds and hold forever if you don't want to try to answer those questions. Index funds always win in the long run.

Nyzip

Most investors have stocks that were sold at a loss - you are not the worst by a long shot. I started when typical stock fees to brokers were 5%, in the churn and burn era of 100 share minimum - no commissioned stockbroker would ever recommend buy and hold. No-fee e-trading any share quantity is so much better. I also own CAT, NVDA, MSFT, META that you have/had. Why sell? These are great companies that have no end in sight. Lesson learned for me "bubble will burst" doesn't happen to great companies, they will go down in bears but long term up, up, up especially re-invest div. Your winners will outperform losers in the long run if you don't sell.

Kiddie_Lover67

Time to sell both MSFT and META.

Icy-Sheepherder-7595

I'm working with much less capital than you but I've been struggling with the same emotional selling and poor timing. I keep trying to tell myself it is what it is and it's a lesson pretty much every investor has to learn at some point. Nobody's line ever just goes straight up. I recently took a $7k loss on LULU after finally deciding I was done with it after holding and averaging down for almost 2 years, then I see it starting to move up again although the value is still way off its highs, I sold MELI a few weeks ago and again that's going back up, sold out of half my UNH position at the bottom and lost a little money despite knowing I bought in really cheap and probably could've held it all, I made $4k instead of the $10k I should have had I held. The thing is though you have to move on once you sell a stock. Beating yourself up and, I'm guilty of it, I made a similar post in the value investing sub about how over the last few years I traded like $300k just to barely break even, but beating yourself up and dwelling does no good for your mental health or investing strategy it will only cause you to keep losing money. Not financial advice in the slightest but I think if you let go of META and MSFT you'll find yourself feeling sad again once they go back up. MSFT is my largest position so far and I'm not selling until it at least doubles which could take time but I don't think as much as the projections are showing. If it drops below my entry price of just under $400 again I'm loading the boat. It's the one stock I have 100% conviction in right now they'll never go away, corporate America runs on their products I wouldn't bet against that at all. META is riskier but I hold that too although much less. Earnings are good, no reason the stock should stay this low for long. I would just close the app and hold and see where things go if I were you. And also it sounds like you already have about $400-500k liquid net worth so you're already ahead of most people, if you're smart and can get a handle on the emotional aspect which is just as important as the technical analysis side of investing, you can make that money compound quickly. No need to be chasing anything too risky like options when you have that much to lose. If anything sell your current positions after you're in the green and throw it in VOO/VTI/VXUS/VTSAX take your pick at whatever low cost index fund and then just never sell. That's the beauty of index investing, if it goes down it just means you can buy more cheaper, unlike individual stocks where your gambling it all on horse to win it all but with indexes they pretty much always go up in the long term. Even buying at the top of the market you're still guaranteed to come out profitable unless a nuclear war breaks out or something of that magnitude.

Garnatxa

sell MSFT, let see if it doubles

Gamerxx13

you are picking the right companies just not the right time. META and MSFT are low right now and i would hold. Only a matter of time. NVDA is still super strong and i would keep. Even at 215 a share. I might wait till it comes to 200 or less. RDT sucks bc META is releasing a product that will hurt them but still should be ok long term. I like your picks just keep positive and keep buying. Youll eventually hit.

GitDaHellOuttaDoge

Funny because META and MSFT are the ones to buy and hold LT IMO

jcpopm

Sounds like we should all buy MSFT, META, and RDDT. Right after you sell, of course, just let us know.

No_Lengthiness1631

If you hold MSFT for 10 years I guarantee you will make money. But if you are as emotional about it as you’ve been, then you might very likely lose more money in the short term. There’s no market scenario where you’d win if you keep buying high and sell as soon as it dips. Be patient.

CoachDennisGreen

Well don’t sell META and MSFT

ChristianM97

META could pump on their next earnings after the mass layoffs and if they keep printing money with their ads so better DCA and hope to break even, on the other side MSFT is pure ass and I don’t see it going up anytime soon, windows 11 is shit, copilot too, OpenAI is burning their money and the only redeeming qualities are their already established enterprise user base and azure.

Xryanlegobob

I think the valuation is going to come in crazy. Even if I could buy shares on day 1 I wouldn’t. It’s going to drop. Determining when to buy in at the drop is going to be the question. As much as I’m personally not a fan of Elon, I wouldn’t bet against him when it comes to the market. I’m hoping my one options contract on RKLB blows up more because of it. I have a decent sized portfolio but am smallstreetbets when it comes to options. Just started doing them a few months ago, have made money in spite of my knowledge and have a handful of open contracts but most are single contract LEAPS that I’m hoping I can double or more but if not, I’m not overexposed. As fun as it is to watch a single stock blow up, I’m to the point where a decent daily return in QQQM and VOO are good. I have some MSFT and AMZN shares that I’ve had for a while that I know are already in VOO and QQQM but I’ve owned them longer.

SadCowboy3

How does somebody this impetuous, impatient, and even stupid have enough money to spend over $300k on MSFT stock and over $100k on META stock? Yeesh.

Coloradospruce33

Just saw META & MSFT under a bridge cooking rats on a rotisserie. Damn have they fallen

moosewithamuffin

Port down 8% today because AMZN GOOGL MSFT are worthless pieces of dog crap apparently

rueggy

I don't see how 200-300k would be life changing when you have more than that just in your MSFT position. You could cash out both positions and there you have your life changing money.

Plane_Debt_6229

ngl the market wants to shake out people like OP and me. Watching as the market rips high and MSFT flat. Going to wait out for the move up.

iBoughtYourCar

The missed opportunity holding 103 shares of MSFT is disgusting

Aerospaced0ut

Huh I've been thinking about re-entering MSFT, maybe I can buy your shares... Seems like you're just a bit trigger happy, if you've got conviction in a stock maybe just sell a portion of your position instead of the entirety. That's what I do these days, I never fully exit an equity position unless I've totally lost faith in my investment thesis.