Reddit Posts
The Two Trillion Dollar Bottleneck: AI & Energy
Mag 7 already did their 100x (and more). So where does the next trillion-dollar (or multitrillion) company come from?
Simple circular financing explained: it’s only bad if the AI companies being invested in ends up bombing
Is the AI Capex vs. Semi decorrelation a buying op?
Gamers here, do you invest in a game company like Nintendo, Sega, etc?
Why i think AAOI will moon this coming week
Value / Margin of Safety Stocks to Consider?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Nebius ($NBIS): The Catalyst Set to Explode Tonight at 18:00 ET
Why is Buffet & Abel aggressively accumulating so much Google but none of the other hyperscalers?
With most 13Fs released, here are superinvestors' top 10 buys from Q2
Made $375k CAD day trading using margin in 60 days
MSFT has accepted delivery of IREN's 50MW Horizon 1 facility
$IREN delivers first 50MW Childress Horizon 1 facility to $MSFT
First ever closed trade on moomoo, and it's a solid win thanks to Microsoft
I'm deciding to sell NASA (tema) etf for tax loss harvesting, since I made around $300 in profit so far in 6 months. Should I do it or no? Needed thoughts.
Put ~$1.17M into MSFT. 29 days later walked away +$340K. 🫡
Ban bets Nintendo to $16 EOY and MSFT to 500 (when it was at 367) guy here. Ban bet to $25 by EOY.
free tool where you can enter any S&P 500 ticker and compare its historical performance
MSFT - bought the dip June 29th, when to sell
MSFT - bought the dip Jun 29th, when to sell
MSFT - bought the dip Jun 29th, when to sell
MSFT hits positive net gamma exposure right now
I’m rotating around 80% of my MSFT position into META. Here’s my reasoning.
Ban bet Nintendo stock to $16 by EOY and if it hits $16 I’ll donate some switch 2s to children Hospitals
Where would you put surprise inheritance money
Big Tech's Anthropic and OpenAI stakes are distorting the corporate earnings picture
four green days, one red, and the red one is the only one i learned anything from
FOLLOW UP POST - Full Port Microsoft - Undervalued !!! 🚀📈
[LIVE Webinar, Sunday, August 2 at 11:00 AM ET] Top Stocks for August 2026 Based On Artificial Intelligence: AI's Highest Conviction Stock Picks | LIVE Forecast for NOW, MSFT, PLTR
How The F*ck is OpenAI Going to Pay 1.4 Trillion??
There’s no way these ppl at simpler trading make money
Crazy week, what should I do with my remaining calls?
You can guess where I bought GOOGL then MSFT
$7700 Gain on the day from scalps on $MSFT, SAMZN, and $NVDA
Loss porn with a profitable day to cap off the month
Gambled my girlfriends account on MSFT and paid off
New to options, so far doing okay, but I feel the big red coming one day
Me after selling my 6 mo MSFT bags for $170 profit and texting my mom that I made a killing of Microsoft stock
Revenge traded a NFLX loss into a $700,000 MSFT profit 💰
I see you out here freezin' like a bum, eatin' out the dump. MSFT the illest out the bunch. The butterfly was a caterpillar once.
I wish I never invested into LUNR and NASA. been waiting for a few weeks to sell, but ofcouse dip keeps dipping....
How to properly evaluate MSFT's capex (including neocloud contracts)?
US Stocks are Reddish..What’s Your Go-To Short-Term Pick
I have been saying for the last 4 months to buy Microsoft. Check my post history
Mentions
Sorry please could you clarify this comment. The fees on a LEAP on IBKR are 1 USD or less even. The premium is neutral whether you buy three calls on one day or buy one each month. What do you mean you are not reducing the risk just spreading it? I am not disagreeing I am just trying to understand whether I should buy all my LEAPS on one day (with different expiry dates perhaps) or buy them at intervals. At present I have 3x MSFT, 2x AAPL, 2 NVDA and one SPY all for late 2028. All bought on Monday. All deep underground
| Ticker | Mon 8/31 | Tue 9/1 | Wed 9/2 | Week so far | | --------- | ---------: | ---------: | ---------: | ----------: | | **AAPL** | -0.89% | **+2.61%** | -0.05% | **+1.65%** | | **MSFT** | -1.22% | -1.24% | -0.84% | **-3.26%** | | **GOOGL** | -2.09% | -1.28% | +0.88% | **-2.49%** | | **AMZN** | -2.50% | -1.87% | +0.02% | **-4.30%** | | **META** | -0.98% | +1.08% | **+2.50%** | **+2.59%** | | **NVDA** | +1.48% | -1.51% | **+3.21%** | **+3.16%** | | **TSLA** | **+5.51%** | -3.22% | +0.26% | **+2.38%** |
Yeah, I bought a lot of SAAS stock in June and July because they were cheap compared to semiconductors. And now they all have ran so much so they have given me some between 50% to 200% returns each. and now most of them are above fair value but only some of them are at their fair value, such as MSFT, CRM, WDAY, ADBE, INTU. Already sold out of PATH, TEAM, NOW, SAP, ZETA, ESTC, ADBE and INTU bcz of their overvaluation or sustainability issues. And only holding onto MSFT, CRM and WDAY. Simply because they are still slightly below their fair value. But none of those stocks even come close to where semiconductors such as AVGO are trading, AVGO is trading at half the value of the cheapest SAAS stock right now. So no SAAS is definitely not the answer. The closest competitor would be the industrials. But I don’t think even that beats the semiconductor valuations right now.
my tip is buy mag7 because they are long term gravity well of capital. AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN over TSLA/META in this current juncture of the economy.
Is this saying because TSM is the supplier to AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, AMZN, META, GOOG etc?
Broadcom’s drop from $495 to $350 seems eerily similar to MSFT from $555 to $350. Hopefully there will be a similar recovery
It sure seems like it though. When I wait for market open to make a move, it's always the wrong move, or the market doesn't set up into something I feel I can take an entry on. If I buy right at close and hold overnight, I get fucked like when META drops 3% at open. I play earnings like I did with AAPL and that shit drops 10%. I don't play earnings, and it rockets like AMZN, MSFT, and SNOW. I can't fucking win dude.
You said DELL is trading at the same price as GOOGL and MSFT Do you believe share price has anything to do with the relative value of two companies
That’s my 2nd biggest had over a decade now and I think I might just roll with it for another 10 years. It’s had for me to question them. My mother is 84 years old and 40% of her money is in MSFT. Go try telling her to sell it.
Not enough and you're MSFT.
MSFT suking ass, as is tradition. It's what bers crave!
Agree with you right here. 0.14% isn't a dividend play other than being able to, technically, call themselves a dividend stock. Imagine if Meta had paid out the invests into the metaverse as dividends instead...that would have made them incredibly attractive with their FCF plus dividends. But, instead of returning value back to investors, they put it into metaverse, AR, and now AI build out when they are laggards. Even MSFT isn't a dividend play. They are still a growth stock. And the reason why they and the other Hyperscalars have risk now is they are sacrificing FCF for building the future. If their business is mature, without other CAPEX investment, I would expect a conversion of FCF into dividends.
WARNING: do not fall for the fake V on MSFT
Intel is a meme stock. It's the MSFT of semis.
So let me see if I got this right. MSFT is 10% of your portfolio. Next largest is 1% of your portfolio. You need 90% to fill out your portfolio. You have 90+ positions?
MSFT is my biggest position by about 10x to the next largest but only 1/10 of my portfolio. I bought when it was under $30 so it's just become a habit to hold it at this point.
MSFT still down on 1 year. Can it go to 525 soon
That’s what everyone told me about MSFT too. Gl finding an average below 400 there now.
Funny you mention MSFT. I am slowly getting out of MSFT at 510. It is my 2nd biggest position.
SPX has hit 7681 twice and been rejected now. That is the resistance we will not pass. Instead, I keep reading comments like "Huiuaaaa MSFT WHY YOU GO DOWN" "STOP GOOGL I JUST BOUGHT CALLS" like WHAT THE FUCK happened to WSB
lmao MSFT is such a pos
GOOGL and MSFT are absolute dumb fks
Semis, MSFT, GOOGL, and save 90% of your retirement money for the Anthropic IPO
I was scared to buy MSFT at $400 so im going to buy 300 shares at $500 https://preview.redd.it/0yj7e9tjd4nh1.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=0880ebb6e4b8c5c4af24e3e8faab22e6232e8c6b
OK MSFT.... what am I missing today you POS!
MSFT has had its time in the sun and has gone back to being the Lag7 dog!
MMs hard at work on MSFT freezing it into place to kill options on both sides
MRVL is a generational buy right now. Forward PE under NVDAs forward PE when it crossed $1T market cap. About to see revenue expansion with expanding revenue streams with AMZN and MSFT and new deal with Google. Easily could double in market cap by mid 2027
At least MSFT is within a range. GOOGL on the other hand has been just straight down for weeks non stop.
Why can’t GOOGL and MSFT be normal
As usual MSFT and GOOGL suking balls, or as the delusional say "a great buying opportunity"
Me when I lie … Look at any financial report from Microsoft: \- OpenAI pays MSFT for Azure / Cloud Infra \- OpenAI pays revenue sharing agreement to MSFT MSFT doesn’t “pay” OpenAI, they provide capital / equity financing, like I said.
You waited two weeks to respond to this and never once took the time to look at the earnings reports and listen to the earnings calls for MSFT, AMZN, META, and GOOGL? Are you stupid?
@EpicGames and $AAPL and $T have en-têtes entered the streaming chat. $Sony waited to get in. $MSFT won't leave $GOOGL and $AVGO out of zir's mouth. Imagery Invader Zim would be proud.
This is bollocks. MSFT invests $30B in OpenAI so it can get access to OpenAI tech at lower price. Open AI does not pay MSFT anything.
Asts leaps have been one of my biggest financial loss, too. I still have six months and the best chance I see is to roll them to a future date (at best). Now I do leaps on MSFT, goog, meta, amazn7
MSFT 480 puts printing by end of month?
How does the rest of Mag7 have a pass? They are all pretty fair to undervalued, except Apple, because they avoided spending all their profits. MSFT only just came out of their funk, and that is cause they proved that their Capex spending is paying off with growth. Meta has not shown any noticeable return directly correlated to their AI spend. Their models lag premium models, no one is really using them. Their ad business is doing great, but their spending is out of control, until proven otherwise. And Zuck has already shown that sometimes their investments do not pay off (metaverse). So I tend to disagree. Great company and they will hit all time highs again, but not till either they reduce Capex spending, or prove the growth from AI is paying off.
Maybe, but I'm a lot more confident in MSFT, GOOGL and AMZN as higher quality stocks.
Since July 1st (44days), MSFT had 28 green days (overall +34%), CRM 25 (+65%) NVDA (+9%) MU (-19%) QQQ (-4%) had more red days than green (about 25) and so did GOOG with 26-18 negative record (-6%) ***why does this matter?*** idk I am just sick of 🍟RDDT🍟 going down, it was red for fucking 28 days and has lost 17%🤡🤡🤡. Thank you for your attention to my bags! LMAO 🤌
Leaps are for investing in growth companies during deep corrections (e.g. if ASTS dropped to $10) and profitable companies when they are undervalued (e.g. MSFT at $360)
I don't understand why anyone invest in ORCL knowing that it is acquiring so much debt to build data centers, in order to compete with giants Google and Amazon and MSFT who have huge balance sheets! It is a matter of time before AI LLMs become a commodity and the data centers revenue never materialize and ORCL files bankruptcy. And it doesn't help that it has an Isra3l-first CEO who is a staunch supporter of the djdjenn o side in Gaza.
Attack on Hormuz done it’s over, think for tomorrow earning from AVGO Possibly $AVGO spike at earning 420 possibly like $MSFT
Whichever handsome big dick hedge fund manager is dumping MSFT, I beg you to stop. Please
MSFT gonna pump soon. It’s the only one still deep red
Red Day APPLE, MSFT, NVDA, GOOG, AMZY, META, TSLA...are known as the magnificent seven and largely influence the market, even can with penny stocks, especially around sentiment. 5 of the 7 are red right now.
I don’t get why I never just moved my money amongst Apple nvidia and MSFT. Why play indexes like qqq and spy lol
I got MSFT calls. The dip at close seemed fake at that time 😭
It was part of a strategy where every month I'd only buy $500 of a stock that was in the top 10 of the S&P500. Worked for a while but then $META, $MSFT and Oracle all shat the bed. Made a tidy profit off the others. BBut fuck Oracle in particular. They dropped 40% since I bought the top.
wtf happened to MSFT ?!
GOOG/MSFT/AMZN are actually making money off AI right now. It's just that their CapEx is larger because they expect even more customer demand in the future. AI is not completely unprofitable on the top. OpenAI is crap but Anthropic has a good chance to be profitable in another year and that's fucking amazing (I hate them BTW).
Doesn’t look like after hours folks care. MSFT still holding.
Mostly for the first, but like Paul said it's also a good place for fast stock news I don't do options though and I'm cautious with hypes (bought deep into $SLV the day it reached ATH on january 29th because this sub kept yapping about how it was only the beginning, resulting in me losing like 30% of my cash the next day. Took me half a year to recover to become green again, mostly thanks to MSFT). MSFT is also the one I invested most in for almost 10 years (both sold and bought at certain moments), but that's also because I work at a MSFT partner and therefor understand their activities pretty well - I hope.
I was 100% sure that MSFT will get last 10 minute pump. Oh boy I was so wrong.
Got MSFT calls at close. I hope this was an end of month rebalancing move down.
Jfc MSFT fucks me more often than my wife
My Outlook app has been down all day! DUMP $MSFT
Made money swinging MSFT today.
GOOG and MSFT preferred position is face down, ass up
MSFT is only 300 billion away from GOOG now
If AMZN is being dumped, can we pump MSFT then? Got a 0dte lotto and want it to hit
Don't remember who but somebody in here suggested MSFT 0DTE $520 calls when it was $511.80 so a nice little 75% loss
When you don’t see a way up is when the stock is at its most undervalued point. Like Warren said, be greedy when… Same thing to GOOGL 2025, MSFT mid 2026, no one sees a way up until it’s up a lot then everyone goes “of course we should’ve seen this”
MSFT might be the underrated play of the day (don’t take my advice though, I’m still in the red for the day 😅)
Look at GOIG OR MSFT OR META net incomes. Are they not cash cows now??
told you all majn GOOG was the next MSFT. MMs always pick a MAG7 to sell off only for it to pump back up 6 months later
SPY indicator MSFT is red…spy calls ?
so, bluntly said, the big companies actually made sure not to go under and only pay a middle man to take on debt for them that they promised to pay them."if they deliver". so them stopping delivering makes them default, but MSFT and others just stop paying and that's it. right?
Of course SPCX pumps, its the new MSFT
I'm going full retard into MSFT and GOOG, wish me luck
Sold everything except MSFT and MA once again
You are not "wrong" but you are underestimating the risk of their balance sheet. almost 400% debt to equity ($167B debt so far). Oracle is not expensive, but I still prefer to invest in AMZN, Meta, Goog, MSFT. And here is why: If for whatever reason AI story gets to a rough patch, the hyperscalers will survive, but the likes of Oracle, Nebius, Coreweave and Iren, which are arguably at a weaker position, will bankrupt. Remember future growth and profitability is speculative, while debt is a fact. Just my 2 cents.
MSFT 500 so I can make rent plz
So since MSFT is open ai's sugar daddy what happens when scam altman's shit company goes tits up?
software is trash MSFT is so exposed to open shit I They will lose half their value once the altman fraud is fully exposed
Biggest piece of dogshit ive owned and ive owned MSFT before
Thank you. Fvwhew. Anywho.... CALLS ON MSFT
I agree MSFT has a much better balance sheet. It also isn’t trading anywhere close to Oracle’s valuation. That’s kind of the point. I’m not arguing ORCL is the safer company — I’m arguing the market is pricing the balance-sheet risk too aggressively relative to the earnings growth that OCI could produce. If I wanted the safer AI infrastructure trade, MSFT is obvious. I’m buying ORCL because I think the risk/reward at this valuation is better.
MSFT to me seems like it has the same bull thesis while having a million times better financials.
I didn't go into stocks intending to have a Roth IRA made up of MSFT and NVDA but it has been working.
OP said “I wrote a bear call credit spread on MSFT about 10 days ago. Oct. 2: 510/515, 149 credit.“
First thing first, thank you for your input. I went all in on MSFT at $350. One thing about Msft. Almost their entire growth is depended on compute/AI cloud sale. If anyone who needs to spend every dollar on capex for AI infrastructure it is msft.
MSFT had 20b$ in FCF in the last quarter, and 67b$ for the last year. Of all the hyperscalers, they still have the healthiest balance sheet. Then Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle (the shittiest one).
The bigger elephant in the room is where all of this money is coming from… the debt market. So it’s not just MSFT paying $30 billion in cash, all of these companies are levered up to their eyeballs. If there is so much as a hiccup in one or two of these companies, the effects will be magnified with interest obligations.
Not a bad choice. If it says some off the loss would offset but you'll be in trouble if MSFT keeps rising.
I like these plays. I was checking option heatmap on ThetaPal just now for MSFT and this seems like it has solid chance of profit. good luck bro
Bought BRK-B as a hedge. It is profitable. It's adding to its cash reserve. It has a proven investment model. Example of what may happen. Bought MSFT and CAT for around $20, and added to it. They went nowhere for years, gradually building cash. Took years, but the change in share price has been dramatic. If BRK continues to go sideways, I'll buy more.
I work for $MSFT. And I see Figma everywhere.
I will ask Google to explain this to me. I am buying deep in the money calls on NVDA, MSFT, Apple for 2028. The premium more or less corresponds with the difference between current price and the strike price. So if the share price stays flat for 2 years I am neutral (more or less). If it falls to 0 I am no worse off than if I’d bought the underlying shares, in fact better off - and can just buy the shares at their new low price. Isn’t that all there is to it? Why do I also need to sell a call?
Okay a few things to unpack from what you’re saying. \- You’ll struggle with selling had you bought stock, reasonable, you could put a sell order in at a price you’re comfortable at, set and forget. But if there’s a tax implication, then I totally understand why you’d be hesitant to do that. \- If you need money now to put into other stocks and you’re using the premiums of this to support that, then your cost base isn’t 506, it’s the strike of your put (520). And you’re still on the hook to buy 52k worth of MSFT. Which you could have put some into other stocks, like you said you’re planning on doing. My take is that, your bullish take on the underlying is fine, nothing conceptually wrong with it. Just the logic you’re using to trade seems to me like you’re over trading or over rationalising your positive thoughts on the stock. Anyway, good luck with it. I hope I didn’t miss anything.
Okay a few things to unpack from what you’re saying. \- You’ll struggle with selling had you bought stock, reasonable, you could put a sell order in at a price you’re comfortable at, set and forget. But if there’s a tax implication, then I totally understand why you’d be hesitant to do that. \- If you need money now to put into other stocks and you’re using the premiums of this to support that, then your cost base isn’t 506, it’s the strike of your put (520). And you’re still on the hook to buy 52k worth of MSFT. Which you could have put some into other stocks, like you said you’re planning on doing. My take is that, your bullish take on the underlying is fine, nothing conceptually wrong with it. Just the logic you’re using to trade seems to me like you’re over trading or over rationalising your positive thoughts on the stock. Anyway, good luck with it. I hope I didn’t miss anything.
> Im going to do that but I want to know how much does stock selection matter when your on the sell side of the option. That depends on your method. "Sell side" covers a lot of different trading strategies that range from mattering extremely much on good stock selection, and The Wheel is included in that group, to not mattering at all, and everything in between. In some methods, you could literally trade a different ticker every day and not care what each ticker is. For most people using The Wheel, stock selection is limited by their budget. It's fine to want to trade blue chips like MSFT for META, but most people don't have over 50k to spend on a single lot. And unfortunately, when people are limited by their budget, they almost always make the same mistake: Trade a cheaper stock that lacks fundamental value. Cheap stocks are cheap for a reason. That fact is inescapable no matter how optimistic you may be. The correct decision to make when your budget doesn't allow you to trade fundamentally sound stocks (blue chips) is to NOT trade the Wheel. Use a cheaper strategy that doesn't require as much up-front capital, like a vertical spread.
To your point, they are only starting to realize the return on CAPEX investments. I only follow MSFT but the last earnings call was wild. Ackman is using a 1.19x growth multiple for MSFT valuations, implying that he anticipates doubling his investment in under 4 years. Higher rates might create lower debt issuance but I just don't see that as the concern - the hyperscalers are still demand constrained, a 25-50bps hike isn't stopping the build out. Much bigger concern for them is that they will fall behind each other, they could give a fuck about a 1% cost of capital hike when growing net revenue at 20%.
Looks like $GOOG is the new $MSFT :screech: