MSFT

TranzitBusRouteB

I mean buying MSFT isn’t crazy, it’s still at a decent valuation, just had a great earnings, even if it falls a bit it’s not like the post earnings pump is gonna immediately reverse

Kickboy21

Sold MSFT at $425 and missed out on 44k by selling one day early

Rain_In_Your_Heart

It's a lot more than just MSFT too.

Oly_Champ_16

I did 6k selling MSFT, MU and BE puts last week, although I have 98k in stocks.

cyphr0n

Microsoft in the 1980’s was growing at 60%+. The difference between a 15% and 60% growth is 20x over 10 years. You’re basically evaluating MSFT at 15% in the 1980’s and say that’s it overvalued.

Full_Pear449

Level 3 assets are hard-to-value financial holdings that rely on unobservable inputs and internal pricing models because active public markets do not exist for them. For high-tech firms, these typically include private equity investments, proprietary startup shares, and complex contingent consideration or embedded derivatives from recent mergers and acquisitions. Notice one thing: Orcl is siitng around 200BP's they are a horse of a differnet color because of Paramount. META -80bps's, NVDA high 70's, GOOGL high 60's, AMZN low 60's and MSFT mid 60's . Tyupically High tech firms run between 40-60bps. so these numbers are not that scarrrrrrrry

PenguinOfB00m

Friday rally was actually a trim for core hardware AI stocks, establishing a overhead resistance roughly 3% lower by end of day. Most of that rotated into MSFT and AMZN of course, but still that implies that there's very little more liquidity in the market, possibly mostly coming from end of month rebalance. That on itself is not a bearish signal, but a sign that the short term trend is still unresolved. Imo it's a flat monday at best.

cyphr0n

If you assume GOOGL, NVDA, and MSFT to grow at 15% all of those stocks will be worth less as well. Garbage in, garbage out.

Informal-Lime6396

MSFT and META are good companies (subjective, but they are huge) that are down from ATH. According to your methology, when would be a good time to buy?

GlokzDNB

My biggest tip is patience, avoiding crowds, the fact your stocks have new ath doesn't mean it's your money yet, diversification is byproduct of finding good businesses under their value over time rather than starting with 10-20 companies within first year. You shouldn't have 100 ideas, all you need to haveis 1 or 2 stocks that trade under their value and only buy that. If you have great stocks like MSFT and you're not buying it if it trades at 18 forward p/e when sp500 hits ATH but you chase stocks that grow 100% a month on leverage and hype, you're going to miss out great entry of long term compounding stock. So the process of finding these stocks is most complicated, like if I told you servicenow or SoFi are now In buy territory - there are real risks associated with this trade. Can it go lower ? Yes. But if you keep your patience enter it now, buy on dips and keep positions about 1-2% of your portfolio - you can make money if they deliver results and market will reprice it's multiple up. So that's two sides of it - finding best stocks beaten up (maybe meta in couple weeks) and building larger position, and finding smaller but still quite decent quality stocks (SoFi,now) and buying the risk for short term multiple rerating

DrScitt

I keep adding more. MSFT is a good bet.

donniedarko1010

What do you think now about META? and MSFT at this price, though it has run up, but it's still a bit from it's ATH.

GlokzDNB

There will always be part of population which can't stand waiting 10,20 or 30 years for compounding. That's the harsh truth, if you want to build generational wealth the money need 3 decades of compounding and the amount of increase between 30 and 40 years is even more these people could get with trading in their dreams. But for long term investors there's also chance to get 20% over 10 instead 10%. Buffet had checked these two things - getting 20% average over maaany decades. He started at 11 but most of his wealth was created after he was 80. Im on my way, started in perfect time of a small bear market, thanks to good stock selection and understanding fundamentals, took some risks and im at +100% on GOOG just within one year, +100% on panw in just few months. And have more of these. I think avoiding crowds and still selecting quality stocks that market doesnt like (MSFT for 350 was hated stock, but for 460 now is glorified) we can be little bit like buffet. But it takes courage and taking risks. Some will result in a loss, that's fine but we don't need to invest in stocks that go parabolic. I think investing is very hard, harder than trading because you're constantly bombarded with news, you're constantly pushed towards trading and speculating. While investing is boring and needs to be so, good stocks can do shit for months or years and then go parabolic for few weeks. Good luck everyone, I'm trying hard to keep my 30% CAGR with twr, beating nasdaq, staying sane on the road.

GuwopGOAT

This is just like buying a battle pass, why does nobody get mad when Sony or MSFT do it?

Sick0h

The only thing you need to know is that MSFT and AMZN each rallied 15% in a single fucking day. The market couldn’t give a more obvious sign of being risk on than tattooing it to your pupils.

peterpeer9

I turned $10 into $743,000 in just 12 months using my trading bot I co-developed with Claude. Stocks only, no options, major tickers only with high-liquidity, it makes about 2-3 days every session. My biggest draw down was losing $48,000 in a single day (MSFT) and my biggest one-day win so far is $73,000. I've successfully turned this into a popular twitter persona that now has 5,500 followers and 129 subscribers earning me about $13k/mo, passively, with basically just a few hours every month documenting my trades and posting reviews. I also lie on the internet, but Claude doesn't help me with that.

wannabecat2000

100 MSFT

Hi_Keyboard_Warriors

I’m buying saas like no tomorrow. Already up on TEAM and MSFT Next is ORCL and UBER

AgitatorSupreme

I cant fucking believe i got shafted yet again with MSFT.  I had a nice return of $4500, same situation as OP a few quarters back and since then no matter what position I took with MSFT it got shat on.  This time the rally happened and I got shafted because I FORGOT to buy in.  

Yogurt_Up_My_Nose

cash gang makes sense when it's a small amount of your gambling port. but man, if you missed out on the MSFT / GOOG / AMZN run in your primary account. that's fucked.

RetroSalad_

Yeah sold a few MSFT & AMZN yesterday. Have been rugged pull a lot of times this year

MrAccountant67

What do we think MSFT does this week

Mrsir300

When did he start his software short because SAAS is beat to fucking shit - it only just started recovering a bit the past month or so. If he started a little while back he’d still be deep green on some of those shorts like MSFT, SNOW, ADBE, CRM. All still down overall from highs

Etherius

AMZN and MSFT and GOOG are already profitable on AI Meta is close The question is “is Anthropic profitable?” And we won’t know that until we see their operating margins in October

CryptoBoy-007

I'm not suggesting anything, only stating a corporate reality. No company executive in the S&P500 / EU/ UK will take a decision to authorise the use of a Chinese AI. Why do you think ChatGPT, Gemini , Anthropic and MSFT are developing their cyber security tools? The next phase in this development is exploite the systematic weakness these AI vibe coding is generating.

PaperHandsTheDip

MSFT & AMZN are both reaching profitability, and anthropic is expected to have its first profitable quarter this quarter. The "nobody is making money" is no longer true...

Ok_Cry7572

YTD returns: AMZN +19.9% AAPL +14.0% GOOGL +13.0% NVDA +6.3% MSFT -1.7% META -14.4% TSLA -28.9%

JefeDiez

I agree with this. Democrats will try and have some of the AI profits go 'to the people' which to a degree is fair if it totally blows up. The companies should be taxed more- the tax picture if nothing else will LARGELY change. I also don't think every company is being valued as if it this is creating a winning bottom line in 5 years. Meta is a great example. They're going to have to show it first. One revenue stream with a successful ads business and some 'great ideas' on how to monetize AI isn't near enough anymore. You are seeing a lot of trepidation in nearly every hyperscaler now. MSFT appears to be potentially starting a new bull run along with AMZN but their earnings reports were pretty stellar- they're using AI positively.

Recent-Animator6941

My puts gonna print !! Glad that I got out from my MSFT trade at USD450. This shit stock heading back to USD350 now

SirBuysHighALott

Can Microsoft ever get a break? Yahoo Finance: Microsoft (MSFT) Faces Consumer Probes Over Microsoft 365 And Copilot Changes. UK, Australian, and Italian regulators have opened investigations into Microsoft (NasdaqGS:MSFT) regarding Microsoft 365 subscription changes and the integration of Copilot features.

Wise-Dig-5123

Yep. MSFT. AMZN. GOOGL. All killing it.

CD274

PYPL, Adobe, MSFT are all up 😂

No_Distance_4905

How big of an issue do you think it would be for Goog, Amzn and MSFT? Is it really that big issue of having an excess capacity? At worst they will be selling it without margin. But these companies still have very strong core business. I wonder how much of all this is priced in already. Maybe it is and if the AI is really that good and returns happen this is not priced in. Or maybe it's somewhere in the middle and the stocks will jump around 🤣.

HystericalSail

As did MSFT, before the run-up on Friday. Still, in the low 120s, and P/E of around 20 as you say, it may be worth an initial tranche.

No_District_2371

MSFT entered the chat

No_Distance_4905

That's a good point, so all these headlines Google, Amzn, MSFT, Nvidia about latest round is basically propping their own paper gains. It will be interesting to see what happens. It's either AGI and huge productivity gains or years of financial ruins.

Str8rDay

Oh man you memory freaks come out of the woodwork to ruthlessly defend your portfolios. Momentum trades have not been this bad since 2020 and 2008 (critical dates). This is readily available to fact check in TradingView. You can focus on the fundamentals all you want. They do make a lot of money. Maybe they will make even more money in the future. But you’ve also got to look at the technicals and right now SNDK is down 50%. MU is down 30%. Quote Amy hood all you want. Share NAND prices rising like crazy. None of that matters if the share prices are falling. SNDK dropped 5% on Friday while the Q’s rose 0.65%. Are you just gonna buy the dip forever? Finally, he isn’t spreading misinformation. Quit using buzzwords. MSFT did not raise their previously issued FY26 CAPEX guidance. They *may* increase it FY27 going forward. Getting all emotional and defensive with stocks is how you get taken advantage of by the institutions.

Ok-Age5784

The thing is co pilot might not be the best AI for coding but it’s the “best” AI to cooperate non-tech. Proprietary data kept in house and it integrates with all the office software that corps run off. It’s the “best” to the people making purchasing decisions in those companies and will remain so aslong as it is within 10-20% functionality wise to the top AI models. MSFT enterprise moat paying off

95Daphne

The slowdown/reversal is going to be priced before it actually happens. And honestly, the cues are there that it's happening, and you're just biased and not seeing them. I mean, the whole reason for the MSFT pop was because they announced they're going to be cash flow positive and are not increasing CAPEX any further. I do not expect for the SOXX to top its June highs for a while. The damage has been too severe.

Extension_Diet4064

If the explicit goal is weighting heavier into mega-caps without picking single stocks, VUG does that. Just be clear on the look-through overlap. In an 80/20 VOO/VUG setup, your top 5 holdings (NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL) make up over 27% of your portfolio. If tech multiples contract, that tilt doesn't protect you from drawdown depth compared to a simple core holding.

option-trader

Yep, it's clearly a shakeout of the weak hands. Fundamentals actually look stronger after seeing SKHY post profits on par with MSFT, GOOG, and AAPL. It posted Q2 operating profits of $41.5 B compared to $40.6B, $40.77B, and $35.69B for the other three, respectively. Then we saw STX with blowout numbers telling us the memory play here is intact. WDC and SNDK will report on Wednesday after the market closes, and I expect more blowout numbers. WDC is at $550, and it'll be above $700 by year end. I expect SNDK to be above $2500 by year end. SNDK is going to report EPS above $35 and then guide FY27 to $225-$250. At $2500, that's a p/e of 10 making it reasonable at least until FY28 can be more visible.

suizman

AMZN and MSFT puts in 1 week or the pump will continue for a while?

Iwubinvesting

I am smarter than the market. I bought the google dip. I bought the AMD dip. I bought the MSFT dip. I BOUGHT THE GME DIP. I AM SMARTER. No i will not post my loser stocks.

Aggravating-Big3858

Thanks for sharing ... not here to hate on this fairly sensible strategy. I've essentially been 100% SPY for 25 years, and now that base is big enough that picking stocks and trying to outperform is relatively pointless. Of course I'd love to find the next MU and ride to the moon, but we all know that ain't happening. Buying MSFT or GOOG on a dip is basically just buying the SPY, so unless I start day trading biotech penny stocks I'm SOL

Emilio___Molestevez

retards in here are fucking **STILL** going on about an AI bubble after $GOOG $MSFT $AMZN earnings is the most bullish thing I've ever seen

Unusual_Statement_64

I’m too cowardly to put too much of my portfolio, but did some similar trades. Made 70% on UNH myself, but closer to 5% of overall holdings. Bought in August last year with the buffet news, and had a few scares With it dropping even further with some 10%+ drops. Held on and up 70% for a one hear return is pretty awesome. Bought a small amount of MSFT as well and up 25% on that over 2 months. Will probably take those gains here soon and back to index.

SanDisk_Made_Me_Rich

I'm going to be honest with you all and this an uncomfortable reality you may need to accept: Judging by the memory & storage shortage & high prices we see today, expect to see high prices & a shortage of sex robots in 2030+ That may mean some of you may need to share a sex robot just like technically you're sharing a woman with other men when you hire an escort. And I'm going to take a page out of $MSFT, $AMZN, $GOOG playbook and amass as many sex robots as I can and then rent them out. I'll be a sex robot pimp 🕴

Ok-Personality-6630

doing all the above after 1 year. Thanks to many bits of advice etc people post here and other subs. Buying in times of fear for undervalued companies. Recent examples; EasyJet MSFT Google

SanDisk_Made_Me_Rich

These companies are not stupid $AMZN, $MSFT, and $GOOG. They’re spending even more money because it’s incredibly profitable to increase capacity Look, if you were running a business that was capacity constrained and had really high margins, you would beg, borrow and steal to expand that business.

notreallydeep

>"is the market cap low enough that this company can grow significantly" Meanwhile the 10 largest market cap companies over the past decade: AAPL: 1,100%, 28% CAGR GOOG: 900%, 26% CAGR MSFT: 750%, 24% CAGR BRK: 300%, 15% CAGR XOM: 100%, ~11% CAGR with dividends AMZN: 800%, 25% CAGR META: 470%, 19% CAGR JNJ: 160%, ~12.5% CAGR with dividends JPM: 500%, ~22% CAGR with dividends WFC: 75%, ~9% CAGR with dividends

Valkanaa

It depends how you look at it. GOOG issued 87M in new shares this year and that money is already spent. MSFT hasnt issued any.

GrnBlu

Have you been patient? Has it paid off? Keep us posted. Congrats from a fellow MSFT leap holder.

GlokzDNB

MSFT Amazon google

onemanstrong

Thanks. I also held AMZN, MSFT, NFLX, and TSM.

patricktu1258

What’s the Best Buy now to long AI if I want to diversify away from semi and memory? I am considering GOOG, MSFT, AMZN.

Due_Fennel_8965

MSFT and AMZN mooning after earnings was a pretty good tell GOOG follow to some extent, but betting on 350 0dte is crazy...

Substantial_Ring9690

GE, JPM & MSFT aren’t boomer stocks?

ApathysLastKiss_

Charts that aren't boomer stocks that actually look constructive right now: CRWD(all of cyber), MSFT, ANET, JPM, GE

DoubleFamous5751

https://preview.redd.it/5qz82fd7oogh1.jpeg?width=188&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4c09d32b56af6f1aa7b9ae12cf52d754edda0035 My biggest position in my long term account became MSFT a few weeks ago. I took an 8% portfolio position because this prolonged dip/dump seemed highly regarded as every company needs Microsoft seats, every year, so the cash flow is there. The dip was a high conviction buy. Glad you did this with leverage 🙌 now sell before it goes to zero, regardless

No-Most2405

current port AMZN GOOG MSFT AVGO SNDK and INTC, what am I missing

hermeskino715

Now AMZN has the "this stock has recently experienced elevated Volatility". Nice to join MSFT in meme status

Micheal_Hancho

Will MSFT get back to 475, or go back down to 400? Not even the wisest can tell.

House_Junkie

I sat on Netflix and watched it drop for months and finally said fuck it, ate the loss and bought MSFT.

TastyTrading

nice moves on the MSFT gains, gotta love deploying that house money lol. UBER's been a tough one, feels like it's been consolidating forever, but that Pelosi mention definitely catches the eye. i've been keeping an eye on the politician tracker on ThetaPal for a while and its wild how often those moves line up. what are your exit targets on NFLX if it pops?

Astronaut100

WMT and MSFT are a tad more essential to the economy than RDDT. But yeah I wouldn’t touch WMT at this valuation.

DrfluffyMD

Imagine if I didn’t ape into MSFT when it was the lowest this year.

arcademachin3

I feel like Google has the better talent moat and innovation. MSFT has the institutional knowledge and tech heritage to figure it out, but feels bloated outside of Azure.

TofuPapa

MU, TSLA and MSFT calls will rip next week.

Particular_Rice9607

News came out late about MSFT fudging numbers...lawsuit just dropped

StonkGoUp

You have like $45k of MSFT?

rocier

My MSFT was called away. I'm okay with it. Good riddence

rain168

So just buy MSFT and get best of both worlds then 🤷‍♂️

CD274

Is this MSFT mag7 one

imacompnerd

RDDT is absolutely *not* valued as a high growth stock. It has a PEG of something like 0.6. Fucking WMT has a PEG of 4, which is 7 times *worse* than RDDT. Hell, MSFT has a PEG of 2, which is 3 times “more expensive” for growth than RDDT, and RDDT doesn’t even have meaningful capex like MSFT does.

MacFrausty

I’m moving into MSFT puts. Hit recent highs so we’ll see how this plays out. Going out to November on these.

Moepenmoes

I can't imagine MSFT dipping enough any time soon, it's still cheap

Yukas911

There's nothing wrong with anything you described. Whether Microsoft was paid with cash or borrowed money makes no difference to MSFT. They still get paid and the earnings are real. And borrowing money doesn't automatically mean a business is doomed. That's how businesses grow. They raise capital, borrow, and invest to build up and then make profit. Whether OpenAI succeeds or not is a different conversation, but the mere borrowing factor itself isn't a smoking gun.

joe4942

AMZN, GOOGL, NVDA, and MSFT made the market look a lot better than it was today. Everything else was quite weak, notably DRAM which had a -9% reversal from the highs and closed near the LoD.

AnotherThroneAway

What are you talking about? We are great at logic! If A = B, then B = buy MSFT QED!

BullishGoblin

Need some advice guys, I have 28 shares of MSFT @386. Should I trim or just hold? It’s about 35% of my port

dogefool88

That META and MSFT pump in last minutes was crazy. 0dte lottos went up crazy

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/ResponsibleAnt8049 (0W - 2L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **MSFT** ▼ | $450.42 → $414.39 | -8.0% | 1d | Lost |

uncsucks

Summary of my week: Bought MSFT puts, AAPL calls, AMZN puts. I am retart

DoughnutCharming8066

So was a good week for me, been stacking MSFT 3x leveraged at 370 levels since February, became 2/3 of portfolio and hold through earnings. Been stacking AMZN and google 2,5 leveraged the last couple of weeks during the dip and bought myself in to Nebius yesterday very early @148 levels.

AwakenedBeast616

I would not hold long into a weekend after it got ripped up on EOM window dressing into an active war after a bunch of shorts got blown out and we bounced off their dead corpses In fact I am very short right now. MSFT 8/7 450p

Elidan123

MSFT and GOOG gang eating good this weekend!

AwakenedBeast616

all the retards swarming into MSFT are going to get rinsed next week

atdharris

Man what a run the last two days for AMZN/MSFT shareholders. It's about time.

comancheranche

Feel like this is a good spot to sell my MSFT.. which means when I do it will rip up to $500 lol

Pin-Last

TLDR: play the range, even if it’s still forming. The first time Microsoft went up to 460, then dropped HARD, so I sold everything on the way down at 424. It almost immediately dropped back down below 400, so once again, I started buying heavily. \*\*This time, I used that 460 as my selling guide\*\*, so I sold half around 450 after earnings, much better than my original 424. But it feels like there’s a re-rating for software, Microsoft and ServiceNow especially, finally getting some respect, so this time I’m gonna watch the price action and maybe hold the other half (it’s A LOT) for a long time. Buying is a science, selling is an art. btw NOW stock: identical story to MSFT, basically identical timeline, u can overlay the charts and see.

Fit-Marionberry5248

For everyone saying this is crazier than 2021, its not.  I remember how MSFT missed earnings in 2021 Q3 and it dived -6% only to be on green 10 seconds after it.  The volatility on large caps was even back then undescribable

Far-Requirement9180

MSFT recovered in two days two months worth of losses. This is a casino truly lol

GloomyMembership4197

Ok, MSFT - pumped GOOGL - pumped AMZN - pumped, Next in line, NVIDIA When? August in month when NVIDIA reports. When exactly? August 26. What's afterwards: China meets US in Washington (september)+ NVIDIA keynote

Aggressive-Bother341

GOOG MSFT my sweet loves come here so that I may suckle on you

atdharris

Just a guess, but probably because they do not have a proven cloud service yet. MSFT and AMZN are showing that these investments are paying off. Look at the Azure and AWS growth rates.

Sufficient_Habit5091

I said the earnings are a mirage and I stand by it. MSFT just increased their lifespan of data centers to 25 years. >which is where your point lives. My point is much bigger than that. The real expense is never ending exponential growth of these assets. Just looking at the latest quarter income doesn't say anything meaningful. If we go back to OP, he was using earnings to justify the market.

SerialStrategist

MSFT all day

GloomyMembership4197

NVIDIA is KING MSFT is his eldest SON AMZN is his second SON

VoidMageZero

MSFT too, but why not META?

CFA_BR_Advisor

Fuck apple Shit stock MSFT will overtake as world most valuable company