Reddit Posts
All BS aside, how’s calls on MSFT looking this week?
Me going into earnings week with $5000 in SMCI, MSFT, & AMD calls
Need to practice option trading with paper money
Who’s ready to burn their life savings this week
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
This is a small dumb little thing but it's HUGE in its Implications - Google Puts Chrome On Windows ARM - Effectively Seeding Chromebooks
Who’s buying MSFT & AMD calls for earnings?
I took too long to move my MSFT stocks and now I don't know if I should wait after the weekend to buy.
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Wall Street Newsletter S03E06: All-time highs are here. What's next?
Poor Man’s Covered Call What it is, why I’m doing it with $30k worth of MSFT calls , and why you should consider trying it. TLDR at TOP
MSFT has now overtaken AAPL in market cap.
Some predictions for Microsoft, Palantir, AMD, Amazon, Spotify and Tesla.
Is it normal for the index funds to be weighted this heavily by mega caps?
What are your top picks for the top performance stocks for this year?
Epic V Continues to Show How Little Risk Exists
Has anyone seriously looked at Global Foundries [$GFS]
$CBDW News 1606 Corp. CEO Attends Consumer Electronics Show (CES) For Collaboration Meetings
$MSFT has potentially created a "new battery" with AI - Musk / $TSLA Says Interesting
Top 10 S&P 500 companies by market cap weighting since 1980. MSFT is the reining champ for persistence.
The true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
A true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
Lumen $LUMN Insider & Big Boys Buying Spree Post Dividend Halt, Kate Johnson & Co. Personally Buying the Dip
LUMEN $LUMN INSIDER & BIG BOYS BUYING SPREE POST DIVI HALT, KATE JOHNSON & CO. BACK THE DIP HARD!
And the AI Show Goes On - GPT 4.5 Turbo Leaks - $MSFT - Its Real And Available -https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/ai-services/openai
Taiwan Semi (TSMC) will be 'back to strong growth in 2024' - JPMorgan (holding small position)
Potential for massive shorts/puts tmrw (Jan 4th) after the release of the Epstein List (likely today after market close, Jan 3rd)?
If Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s list is this a great put buying opportunity for MSFT?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on the Jeffrey Epstein Client List sound like a bad idea?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s client list sound like a bad idea?
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if Buffet needs a new #2.
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if buffet needs a new #2.
How would you spend $1500 if you regularly forget stocks exist for months at a time? How do you decide which stocks are to be held and which losses cut?
Keep an eye on $MSFT (potential put money making opportunity)
If you had $40k to invest right now, what would you do with it?
The NYTs is suing Microsoft and I think there is a profitability play on their stocks
New York Times sues Microsoft and OpenAI for copyright infringement
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
Do you ever buy stocks outside of the indexes and Mag 7 near all time highs?
Question regarding this type of Play Option?
The biggest lesson that I've learned in my 10 year investing career.
MSFTs Open Ai will raise funds with valuation of $100B
Mentions
where’s that agent getting its data from though? you need a data and identity governance layer. That’s MSFT. The problem with AI is that its a SaaS by default, if you want it to work on your data then it has to be transferred to the LLM. And unless you are MSFT then that LLM is “somewhere else” with a different legal, regulatory and cybersecurity context. So much easier just to stick to the pre-vetted MSFT environment. That’s how a lot of larger enterprises think.
Am I reading this right? Bought call option for 30k shares for $1.7 for 4 days and need MSFT to shoot up super fast or end up at like 422 to break even?
Good shit for your age. I’m personally holding 80k worth of MSFT/ 40k HOOD in addition to my ETFs
I added options at $400 that run for three quarters. I expect this to be a purchase that out performs the market given that time frame. Hedgeye considers MSFT a short as they predict Azure and AI will not work out for them. I disagree and put my money where my mouth is.
man, that's a pretty intricate setup you've got going on! layering a dynamic iron condor on top of a PMCC sounds interesting, especially if you're looking to cushion that downside while still capturing upside with MSFT. i get your AI capex thesis, but tbh, with all the market noise lately (like that whole G7 call on energy prices and the Iran crisis), it feels like we're in a bit of a bumpy ride. your idea of using a bear call to offset losses makes sense, but just keep an eye on those OTM strikes—like you mentioned, you’re still exposed below them. also, rolling the bear call up sounds solid for managing that friction, just make sure you're not getting too tight on strikes if MSFT starts jumping on good news. the long call lotto hedge is a smart play though, can't hurt to have some cheap protection if things get crazy. what’s your target for the short OTM call, you thinking just to play it safe or aiming for something more aggressive?
Haha this is so true 😂 From experience, but you gotta lose money on daily/weekly MSFT calls like 5 times just to make sure 👌🏻
Week 31 of buying MSFT 500c weeklies until it randomly moons and makes me incredibly rich
This AAPL MacBool Neo is the shits, wonder if it will be an overall positive or cannibalize the higher end Macs? Puts on MSFT either way
I dont believe MSFT AH price action one pit that MF going to 403.30 1 min before the market opens
no wonder MSFT is going down, thanks SAM
Oil this oil that, I just want my MSFT to move a little bit, man :(
Only have a few index funds in the US and like 14 shares of MSFT left 😂 Other than that I’m about 40 % in a mix of japanese, korean, swedish, danish, norwegian boring index funds, like 30% in DOFG shares, like 10 % boring norwegian consultancy companies, bank stocks and 20 % WWIIB shares. Then some play money on the side for gambling (everything from metals, oil, wheat, ghourds etc 🤠)
I've done a little hedging. I bought some OTM calls for April on XOM. If oil goes nuts....gravy. If not... I'm out a few bucks. I also mentioned last week that I bought some calls NTR and ADM. Both have been doing well regardless and will benefit from the closure. Same deal, I might make money regardless, but won't lose a ton, and stand to do well. It's also pretty apparent from futures pricing last week the market was not pricing in higher oil for longer. Summer and fall contracts barely moved. Of course, now the Treasury is saying they're going to short futures to artificially suppress the price...which works til it doesn't. So you can make some asymmetric bets. I don't think it's an either or with a MSFT. Very different play. If you buy MSFT, I'd assume you're buying and holding. In comparison, anything with commodities has a shelf life. Also, if oil goes nuts, MSFT is not going to work in the same timeframe. So it's nice to have a little insurance.
Cause dude''s retarded and on r/wallstreetbets Not saying I'm much better. Sold MSFT put right after earnings thinking the knife would get me. Assigned 100 $430. Doubled down by buying shares even as it has continued to decline.
Can’t wait for MSFT to go up 30% the moment I sell my calls
ORCL help our little buddy MSFT tomorrow, will ya?
Risked 5k in weekly MSFT calls for 14 whole dollars 😎
Sold my 5k of weekly MSFT calls that I was down 1k on for 14 dollars 😮💨🙌
I think you can't know the future but can make very strong educated guesses. I think the worst case fears of a 20 years war seem way overblown and feel confident it won't happen. Moreover, at these prices it has to be a binary bet. If it resolves quickly many commodities are going to collapse. If that risk is not something you want to take there are tons of great companies like software that have been pummeled to the ground like MSFT still delivering 60% profit growth.
Put 5k into MSFT weekly calls two hours ago and have averaging down and much stress I’m Proud to say I sold for 14 DOLLARS 😂
MSFT short is so dumb bro
!banbet MSFT 410 1d
!banbet MSFT 410 2d
1) anyone doing anything to "play" CPI tomorrow? I am not but I am worried that it meets expectations then everything shoots up 2) anyone else have been trying to buy the dip in MSFT? This sub used to discuss it non-stop but every MSFT fan has disappeared. I've been trying to buy the dip for days and officially gave up today and bought 20 shares in my Roth IRA to forget about. It's been painful, I've repeatedly bought in dips, held through losses, then sold at cost. This thing has zero momentum
Time to buy more MSFT I guess 🥹
There is no way that's going to print. MSFT doesn't swing wide enough to approach that in the time necessary to break even. You're going to be destroyed by theta burn.
It fell because in the last few months investors rotated from software to industry, this because of lack of liquidity along with concerns about the "AI bubble" and an incoming market correction, also war. After this war resolves liquidity is coming back and money is expected to flow into software and tech again. When that happens MSFT should rise quickly to $500. This will probably happen within the next 2 months, maybe sooner.
MSFT 400-404 buy calls. 406-410 sell calls. Wash. Rince. Repeat.
Oracle shit affects MSFT
The spread in the current price and buyout price is parts risk (will the deal actually go through) and parts opportunity cost. If you continue to hold WBD today, let's round up to $28/share for simplicity, well absolute best you can do is $3 profit or about 10.7%; that is the ceiling. This deal could take months or possibly year plus. The SP500's annual average return with dividends reivnested is a little over 10%. So by holding WBD, and let's assume the deal takes 1 year to close, you're just matching the SP500 return. Opportunity cost simply means, there will be many who would rather take the money out of WBD, and use it to try and capture a larger profit margin. As the deal closing date approaches and as risk erodes, you will start to see the share price slowly creep to $31. That's because the opportunity cost of the money declines with the time window. I have a year to beat 10%, or I have 3 months to beat 7% or I have 1 month to beat 3% etc. Same pattern plays out for any buyout. If you see something else it means the deal was at risk for whatever reason (another bidder, regulatory approval threat). MSFT and ATVI was an example that bounced all over the map due to regulatory issues. IBM and HCP followed standard playbook.
The fact that MSFT has the ability to keep being pure trash is pretty astonishing
Trying to use copilot to make a PowerPoint. Now I can see why MSFT tanked. These tools are absolute garbage.
MSFT bagholders at 500
alright here's why I think PLTR is going to go up tomorrow. It's down hard today -3% on nothing while everything is green or at least flat. Whatever happens in Middle East, it only helps Palantir. The biggest optimism is based on Oracle earnings, regardless of what happens they will announce shit ton of CAPEX spending on AI which is heavily tied to PLTR, NVDA, MSFT, and cloud stocks. 160 strike 3/13 expiring is at $0.60. That's a 10 bagger right there I have 20 options.
Need one of you to make sure the coroner puts MSFT as the cause on my death certificate
It’s okay MSFT you go when you feel like it
Imagine buying MSFT shares while simultaneously being ass fucked daily by their shitty AI slopified OS with dogshit performance and it only keeps getting worse after every single "update" they do in order to push more AI bullshit into their "ecosystem" Now that's what I call peak cuckery
MSFT moving with oil now, TF lol
Can't wait for Oracle to send MSFT on it's next leg down after hours
It's impossible for MSFT to be green
I agree with your positive sentiment but this is likely to be a slow burn. With all of the volatility in the market as of late, a true buy and hold position is a refreshingly low stress way to see some significant upside if we're patient. Watching other stocks move while MSFT is range bound can be somewhat frustrating, but turning off the chart and just waiting this out seems like a solid move to me.
"Great question! But no, it is not dead. Rubin is in production, but not yet in customers' hands—meaning the chip exists, but it is currently being demonstrated to show how it actually works. At CES, Jensen did say rollouts would begin mid-year. He is trying to pitch this as an addition to Blackwell, positioning Blackwell as the generative AI workhorse and Rubin as the AI specialist." so far... these guys are signed up to get them: MSFT, AMzn Goog, Oracle, Coreweave,Nebius, Lambda, nscale...
Lol too funny...The minute I sold MSFT this shit literally starts recovering. Mr. Market really is watching me. Oh well, fuck you.
Picked up some MSFT 401’s and they do the thing
Okay so I just closed MSFT. It should take off now, but I am done with this shit.
Remember all those people talking about MSFT $350 a few weeks ago. They alive?
Sell MSFT pls, Satya's bald head is reflecting pumps
MSFT the biggest pile of dog shit I've ever seen
Fucking MSFT. Useless fuck.
Is MSFT a real company? 1. no, fake and gay 2. no, gay and fake 3. no, windows 12 will keep it at 400$ forever, bbecause it will suck balls Also - i am a forever investor it seems. One might say... bagholderikus retardikus
Been tracking options flow on MSFT today and noticed something interesting. Total options volume: 177k Calls: 100k Puts: 77k Net dealer gamma: +$167K Flip level: $408.75 Seeing a bunch of sweeps hitting the tape. Not sure if this is positioning ahead of something or just hedging. Anyone else watching MSFT today?
FUCK YOU MSFT. FUCK YOU and your fucking homopilot.
Told you about MSFT. Two year of nothing and still underperforming like a shit. Puts are free money
US Market and Jane Steet fake pumping MSFT
MSFT is the king of cuck stocks.
MSFT stop fucking around come on
Waiting QQQ pull back, then MSFT puts gonna print
MSFT does the complete opposite of the market. Market crashes MSFT is green…Market climbs MSFT dives
MSFT is my largest position and i always lost money
who murdered MSFT?
Can MSFT just shove a green candle up the stock market
Even fucking TSLA is green, what the fuck are you doing MSFT.
Oracle earnings could also tank Meta and MSFT if data center build out doesn’t meet expectations (it won’t). With CPI also hitting tomorrow AM, tread lightly
Wtf why is MSFT red when half the market is green
MSFT IS a bargain. I just gotta do it? Anyone else
MSFT the king of gays. I am never getting out of this piece of shit am I?
You got this MSFT follow nvidia
MSFT I'm crying bruh you are SO ass
Why is MSFT such a weak limp dick company lmfao
Free $700 a week from my MSFT Cc’s cuz people can’t read retarded anthropic diagram showing AI adoption is non existent lmao.
Bols in this sub bought MSFT and became bagholders cursing MSFT every day here. You guys are regarded
MSFT has a "kick me" sign on its back
MSFT you fucking piece of shit!
WTF is up with MSFT... all I read is about how cheap it is... well somebody doesn't think so!!!!!
MSFT do you just wake up wanting to be fucking gay? FUCK
>the job market is rolling over, High quality state benefits data shows the opposite. Layoffs are still at historic lows. https://i.imgur.com/gr7vPsz.png Even continuing claims, which measures how quickly people land on their feet is improving: https://i.imgur.com/iMcdflK.png Job creation and hiring, particularly of entry level jobs disrupted by AI is slowing, but job market is not rolling over. That doesn't mean people are not hurting out there or K-shape isn't real. Re valuations, S&P forward PE is 21, not much higher than the 5 year average of 20. When companies like MSFT are delivering 60% YoY growth and S&P as a whole 14%+ earnings growth, it doesn't look so expensive.
MSFT tanking. Looks like we are actually back to normal.
Down hard on MSFT CRM PG would love to be flat! Consistently learning not to buy dips too soon, down a thousand here and there fucking sucks
with a vertical you're fighting two legs, your spread width caps your recovery options, and rolling gets expensive fast. i'd rather take the margin hit on a naked put at 0.18 delta on something like MSFT and have full flexibility to roll down and out for a credit when i need to.
(been saying nonstop) no correction while MSFT, etc & are 1/2 off. Simply too obvious a place to fully relocate. Same with healthcare. Quality never leads a correction.
Averaging in AVGO, MSFT, GOOG, META, TSM - all 20-30% off ATH. The war doesn’t change AI/tech long term thesis, although watching out if there is a prolonged impact which may delay some of the capex commitments in a recessionary economy. Hard to stomach so much volatility though, so position sizing is as small as it can be - spread weekly vs monthly earlier
If I did that, I'd have sold MSFT at 50 instead of hodling until it reached $400 Sounds like you're gonna make a small fortune out of a bigger one
ORCL is still at a higher PE than MSFT META and those dumped hard. Market is rewarding the ones with a moat (VRT, AVGO, MRVL, BE) and dumping the ones that are dime a dozen. There's nothing inherently special ORCL CRWV NBIS etc are doing. Disclaimer: I am shorting BE, expecting it to dump on ORCL earnings because it has run up so much
Nice I caught MSFT at near the current bottom shortly after the open doing the same thing lmao
For PATH? Im generally a longerterm investor. This to me is just a positive asymmetric risk bet. The pros out weight the cons for now I dont have a long term view of them. I think for them to survive they need to sell or merge. The hyperscalers will own the inference layer very soon. Basically the infrastructure layer over software will be owned by the MSFT, GOOG, AWS, OAI, ANTHROPIC very soon. They are just able to outcompete them. I think they need to be bought by someone. dell, orcl, hpe, etc.
And alot of the "buy now at any price" crowd hasn't lose $5K, $10K in a week, right after investing. It is literally burning money. There is no reason to rush into stuff either. Look what would've happened if you rushed into consumer staples last year. You'd have lost 15%. If you went into CRM or MSFT or ADP two months ago, you'd be down 20%, etc.