Reddit Posts
Posted GEX levels before market open Friday— 8 out of 11 held at king by close
Back to back days of huge volume in MSFT after hours…
Verified my portfolio app's math manually — $57.9K US portfolio, +25.7% — here's the full breakdown
OpenAI-Linked Stocks Slump on Report of Startup Missing Targets
SPY closed at a new alltime high ($715.17) but the foundation underneath is shaky
Trump: Market Manipulator Supreme. A Volatility Study on Trump's Effect on the Stock Market while in Office
MSFT defended $400 and someone yolo'd call flies
GOOGL Smashes Q4 With Massive Cloud Growth and AI Catalysts
MSFT, META, and TSLA Reported Earnings Yesterday
In 2025 SILVER has passed Berkshire Hathaway, Saudi Aramco, TSMC, TSLA, AVGO, META, BTC, AMZN, MSFT, GOOG, & AAPL to make it to #3 on the world’s largest assets by market cap list passing the $4T mark for the first time in history - Watch out #2 NVIDIA - $5T silver incoming… Hi Ho SILVER awayyyy!
Congress Insider Trade Alert: Senator on Subcommittee Over Fish & Wildlife Buys Water Treatment Stock
MSFT cuts A.I software sales quota
This AI bubble has degrees of separation from the actual bubble
Why did Michael Burry choose PLTR puts as opposed to any of the listed companies in his recent X post?
Meta is currently the cheapest of all the big tech companies based on current earnings estimates.
Detailed breakdown of GOOGL, MSFT, META earnings, and my thoughts and takeaways as a full time trader/investor.
The Magnificent Seven's combined market cap has surpassed $22 trillion, making up 37.4% of the S&P 500
NVDA DD: The Greatest Moat of All Time 🐐 - Vera Rubin ULTRA CPX NVL576 is Game Over - MSFT Announces 'World's Most Powerful' AI Data Center
CRWV: Core Analysis Technical DD - A financial model and projections of what to expect by year-end-2025 for CoreWeave and NBIS based on the reality of Price/Annual Recurring Revenue
Here are the key points & takeaways from the Nvidia earnings call yesterday.
MSFT crazy move is driving me crazy.
What caused MSFT to drop suddenly in the last 15 minutes today?
Your source for MAG 7 Analyst Ratings
It seems to me like a sign of extreme weakness.
Microsoft (MSFT) Analyst Upgrades, Price Targets and commentary from Wall Street.
Insane line up today: FOMC -> JPow Press Conference -> Earnings: MSFT, META, HOOD. What’s the expectation?
Imagine YOLO into NVDA in 2022
Roblox: The Digital Playground Turning Into an Investment Goldmine for Investors
Oracle Stock: Better Buy Than $MSFT? Here’s Why | Oklo Stock Cata...
These 3 Nuclear Stocks Should Be on Your Energy Radar $DNN $NXE $PDN
Chatgpt to make cool graphs for your investment journey
Last year, I created "the Neckbeard Index 2.0". This silly portfolio is SIGNIFICANTLY outperforming the market
$GOOG Evercore ISI analysts said in a Wednesday note that while they “don’t believe there will be only one AI winner … we think Google has successfully proven that it will remain a leader in the AI race.”
BAC MSFT NFLX SPOT TSLA stocks resistance
Lean Investing- what do you think of this investment philosophy?
AI isn’t just hype when half a million chips are involved
Is investing in stocks already heavily favored by ETFs smart? Furthermore, is 100% stock portfolios worth the risk?
OpenAI, Microsoft, AMD To Present Senate With AI Wishlist To Beat China
APPL or MSFT ? Which Stock Will AI Choose
My 2025 strategy so far: concentration > diversification ina high volatility market: PLTR, COST, MSOS
Microsoft Stock Lands Rare Downgrade After ‘Exceptional’ Quarter — But It Has Nothing To Do With Fundamentals: Retail’s Bullish
A flawless $355k MSFT option order at 3:57pm Wednesday, right before market close and earnings, earning a nice ≈$1.2m profit overnight
How are companies still beating EPS estimates?
I'm a full time trader and these are all my thoughts on the market 21/04, including a deep dive into geopolitical developments, the USD's collapse, Earnings this week and some expectations there, as well as VIX.
Apple share no longer the most valuable company on the stock exchange. Now MSFT again
Just read someone say their Microsoft stock was flat for 14 years… now I’m shook.
All BS aside, how’s calls on MSFT looking this week?
Me going into earnings week with $5000 in SMCI, MSFT, & AMD calls
Need to practice option trading with paper money
Who’s ready to burn their life savings this week
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
This is a small dumb little thing but it's HUGE in its Implications - Google Puts Chrome On Windows ARM - Effectively Seeding Chromebooks
Who’s buying MSFT & AMD calls for earnings?
I took too long to move my MSFT stocks and now I don't know if I should wait after the weekend to buy.
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Mentions
The war is over, market at all time highs, oil btc and interest rates all elevated, the only thing that isn't up is my port, thanks MSFT
MSFT Teams would have to capture these names if I were to provide a recap.
Gonna need Iran to do more with MSFT to save my June calls
🚨details of the deals emerge per Axios: * Iran to buy MU 0dte calls $1000 * Iran US agree to invest $700bn in SPY * Iran will purchase $400bn worth of MSFT PowerPoint slides * NATO Iran China will jointly launch attacks on anyone trying to short this market
as a MSFT bagholder i understand the truth of this
MSFT to $1000, we need excel to open the strait
What is the play then. Should we buy high tech stocks like MSFT and META since they are both undervalued now and the new fed is leaning towards AI to achieve this new money system reset?
MSFT to the Moon! https://preview.redd.it/4qy14dazgy2h1.png?width=620&format=png&auto=webp&s=8030b5a4bdb2d14d1312d457afa1a804aded3914
Ok.. so let’s recap I wanted to sell some RDDT calls so that I can buy more MSFT calls so that I can watch 🌽 during the weekend I ended up deciding against that
GREAT news on the potential US-Iran agreement MSFT -2% Monday no doubt.
MSFT, NVDA, Netflix will sit out the party. Guaranteed
Did I hear right that MSFT is planning to be red on Tuesday?
MSFT will still take a dump lmao there’s no saving this shit stock
Picked up 6/18 MSFT $335 Tuesday and bled this week but the quick pumps give me hope
I am really worried about all my nasdaq stocks. Should I go to all cash for the next few months? does anyone have any suggestions -- I have MSFT, ASTS, META, ROKU, INTC, PLTR, AMD, RKLB
Bought a MSFT $420 Call EXP 6/5 yesterday at 3pm. Hoping to see some gains on Tuesday 💪
based on how their revenue is growing, I think it wont hit 9 trillion in next few years. But they are steady and will keep growing. the brand moat is not going away. Even though chinese flagships have phenomenal specs, even in China Apple is selling well. I could see them do well with their Specs and other not so crazy priced hardware. Even Macbook neo can do 5x sales if they can improve the supply. So I would hold on to my AAPL shares. For some reason I am scared to own NVDA but they can easily double if they keep growing at this crazy rate. I can see them hit 10-12Trillion in next 2 years. GOOG can grow from current price though not sure about doubling. AMZN/MSFT have good potential. Dont like META at all despite them pushing gazllion ads to FB/Insta. But their market cap can grow from current levels. TSLA is not my cup of tea and so I am staying out of it.
When you use the search bar on a Windows system it will literally give you every single result on Earth minus the actual file or program you have saved on your actual computer. Short MSFT
yes i have been trading since 2018, didn't always do 0dte though. It is also not the bulk of my trading. I mostly do swings or leaps, but I do 0dte on SPX, and some of the mag 7 0dte ever since they added mon/wed/fri for most of the mag 7. TSLA is great for doing 0dte since it has swings of 10 dollars a day most times. Lately MSFT , and NVDA, GOOGL, and AMZN have also been great
When I run the number and think about the situation: \- Big tech still has room for growth. Especially those that does not rely on AI completely. MSFT, APL, GOOG, META, AMZN. \- NVDA is good, but still even if 20-30% slowdown of data center investment, could impact valuation very negatively, but still, the company itself will remain strong. \- MU and other DRAM/storage companies are where the bubble is. The investment in this area is continuously increasing and the supply will increase no matter what. If the demand cannot keep up, they will crash, and they will crash hard. The issue is, I think even 2 years to expire leap puts are very soon to make any call. So I will wait it out longer before deciding if I take any short position on these. \- Inflation will be high and remain high for next 5-10 years. Increased oil prices, to governments trying to inflate out their debt. Central banks will increase their interest rates, but not at the rate of inflation. \- Large AI companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI are all deep in red. If they can increase their prices a lot, they can make it out, but all or most of them will just spiral down after IPO imo. I believe a crisis will be triggered by: \- BNPL schemes. \- Private equity. \- Bond market. What I do: \- Keep buying MSCI and S&P 500 ETFs. \- Keeping more than regular amount of cash in highest interest possible saving accounts. \- Large amount of low interest fixed rate mortgage debt. I am not paying it off. \- I never liked bonds, I steer away from them.
nah its just bad vibes mainly openai is 'bad' now instead of being an AI darling, xbox sucks, MSFT in-house copilot is the worst of the models (and is barely more than a chatgpt wrapper, AND there core software office 365 is boring and stagnating. oh and theyre also a SaaS now, so they get sold off every time anthorpic nukes IGV with some new claude update/plug-in. Now are any of these fundamental issues that will never get resolved? nah, prolly not. Kind of how GOOG was dead 1 year ago, and now its back to being the best company in the world. MSFT shall rise again (when tho, idk thats harder to say... 6 months? 1 year? more?)
Yeah, look at MSFT with their capex! They really got rewarded for it lol
MSFT is going to 0$ B A N K R U P T and removed from SP500/QQQ as it should be
Market reward capex... looks at MSFT 🤔
Just hold for longer, set a trailing stop, maybe 20%, if you’re worried about losing money. Or sell 1/2 at ATH and keep the rest. I’ve successfully used this strategy with some big wins (MSFT since 98, AAPL since 2012, NVDA since 2020, currently holding AVGO AMD TSM MRVL GOOG - all with trailing stops that haven’t triggered, still riding them on the way up). Also I bought META when PE was low, around 200 a share, these aren’t dogshit stocks if you hold for longer and have conviction. Tha said, 90% of my money is VT and chill, 10% play money is for fun.
I bought 200 shares of MSFT at 170 p/s and some MSFT leaps. Otherwise I’ve been mostly farming premium. My LT holdings in my IRA have performed well.
This is giving me serious 2000 vibes, and not in a good way. When the top performers are running 784% average gains on pure narrative, it historically ends one way. The difference from dot-com is that the underlying businesses (NVDA, MSFT, etc.) actually have earnings. But the AI-adjacent names with no real revenue and 500% gains? That's where the tulips are. Position sizing accordingly - the bull can run longer than you'd think, but sizing for a melt-up means having a real exit plan.
Not a financial advisor but I like to do a core + satellite approach. Where the bulk of my money is in a broad index etf (like VOO or VTI, VXUS, VT etc) and then I supplement that with more risky individual investments. My satellite rn is GOOG, MSFT, MU and RKLB
Solid — 8 of 11 is well above darts, and the AAPL/MSFT/AMZN "didn't pin exactly but stayed in range" is the part most writeups skip. Curious whether your hit rate splits cleanly across the king-magnitude buckets. Big absolute-GEX kings (SPY/QQQ where dealer hedging is biggest) should be more reliable pins than the meme-y single names. I started logging mine in [strikerate.ca](http://strikerate.ca) by underlying and the result was less flattering than I assumed — most of my "GEX edge" was really the index ETFs, not the single names. One Friday is signal but not a sample size, so the underlying-level split is where the actual edge call is.
I wish I invested 1000$ into MSFT before I was born, then I'd have 5 mil by now and I could retire
I suspect you're not holding your stocks long enough. You should hold them at least a year, and then decide if you need to sell them or not. I'd continue to hold MSFT & META. The Mag 7 stocks are still the way to go, AI is still in its infancy. So MSFT, META, AMAZN, GOOG, NFLX, etc. It probably wouldn't hurt any to find some stock pundits on Youtube you think are worthwhile to listen to--there are many.
I bought NVDA when they were making MSFT Xbox chips because I liked playing XBox. I got lucky with the AI stuff that they decided to get into. Haven't sold it yet. Still think that it can go up quite a bit. Held MSFT for that 10-year period when it was basically flat. Sold it, Sataya took over and it roared and I was sad. You never really know.
Can you do me a favour and sell your MSFT holdings. Thanks
Buy quality stocks. Good companies with real revenue. Not companies that are on the verge of collapse. Just stocks that are beaten up by Wall Street. A great example right now would be NOW. Great earnings. Solid company. Everyone uses them. Software is beaten up. It’s a great opportunity. MSFT was also a great opportunity. When it fell under 380 I bought all I could afford. Buying Reddit pump and dumps might workout a couple times. But you’ll eventually get left holding the bag. Buy good companies and you’ll be fine.
* META & MSFT: Come on, man. You know I'm a little short. Hook me up, man. * META & MSFT: Man, I got these cheeseburgers. They some double cheeseburgers. * META & MSFT: Come on, man. I'll suck your dick, man.
I got 1630$ to invest monthly , i’m 23 , i will continue buying $MSFT $NVDA $GOOG $ORCL $NVO $INTC , if i got more money i will buy QQQ ETF
" How the hell are ya'll keeping your sanity? " It's not been difficult. In the nearly dozen years I've been on Reddit I've never seen more complaining and frustration over what continues to be a very good market. Sentiment on here at times you'd think that the market was down 20%. "trade war / supply chain / energy volatility" And yet how much of Reddit owns energy companies? All the discussion of an energy crisis on here and what % of Reddit owns energy companies and was buying when this all started in March? So much of Reddit just wants to buy the MSFTs of the world that they don't have to think about and when things happen where that playbook doesn't work, people complain and act like the market is broken rather than trying to look for what benefits. Reddit used to be great for talking about a much wider variety of businesses, now all anyone seems to want to talk about and invest in are the same dozen or two companies. "spacex (ridiculous valuation)" The level of upset over SpaceX (nobody had a problem with all the shitty things included in the indexes in recent years - including SMCI at the top before all the various corruption issues, for example - but OMG SPACEX IF THATS IN MY INDEX I CAN'T INDEX ANYMORE) is feeling "inverse Reddit"-y. I bought SATS when there was the SpaceX share deal because I thought it would create interest in SATS as effectively a SpaceX tracking stock; did well. Have sold some recently, will sell more into the IPO but will probably keep some. "US is no longer looked at like a stable partner/investment due to its governmental instability wars are breaking out, and will likely only grow as people recognize the US as a paper tiger" So buy the gold dip. Buy defense. Buy real assets. Buy land names. Buy actively managed commodity futures funds. I thought last year that we had clearly moved towards a multi-polar world (fantastic interview with the PM of Singapore last Fall with the financial times where that was a big topic - great response by him: "So we are in an uncomfortable position where **the old rules do not apply anymore, but the new ones have not been written**, and we must brace ourselves for more turbulence ahead.") "massive wealth inequality leading to higher taxes and government instabilities" The issue I have is this: do you have confidence broadly for the government to fix this? To fix healthcare? Education? I don't. The can will continue to get kicked no matter who is in office until it cannot. Massive wealth inequality at some point risks social unrest and then more money will be thrown at the problem. Many years ago, Volcker raised the fed funds to nearly 20% to stop inflation. If we went to half of that today, it would be game over before we got there. In 2008, policy barely saved the day - I honestly think the idea of another 2008 is so unpalatable (and probably unfixable) at this point that it would not be allowed to happen and money printer go brrr would be viewed as more appealing. Politics has become so all-encompassing/win at all costs that difficult decisions that might create better long-term outcomes are likely never going to be chosen. Above goal inflation for the foreseeable future is - imo - a baseline scenario. Worst case, 2022 but worse and faster. All the people on here who talk about the risks given the global environment and then in the next sentence talk about going to cash (not OP, but have seen this plenty of times over the last couple of years particularly) I don't get it. I don't get the mentality that every little dip is apocalyptic, which has turned into the norm on Reddit over the last couple of years in particular. People want to own all the popular stocks but don't want any of the volatlity that comes with growth stocks. Or are worried about inflation but keep buying the MSFT dip and ignore anything that's not tech - it really feels like for a lot of people that there is little interest beyond the playbook that worked for years. This, despite the fact that you could have done better in boring WMT over the last half decade than MSFT. Could have done much better over the last 5 years in boomer favorite XOM than MSFT. There are other things out there besides Mag 7 but it feels like a lot of people don't want to explore those options then complain when the MSFT dip becomes a 7 layer dip. Again, Reddit used to be so much better about having a wider variety of names discussed. All the semicap stuff, memory, optics, photonics, etc that has mooned this year would have been a much bigger topic on here pre-covid, now those things aren't discussed much until they're already up 100% for the year and even then a bigger topic is complaining about MSFT - but when you say "why not invest in something else?" it's nOOOO. "a lot of people will lose their jobs very quickly (much more quickly than previous industrial revolutions)" It's UBI or eventual social unrest. The concern becomes these people can't fix healthcare or agree on anythiing, so what's the confidence on coming up with an effective UBI plan to address the AI scenario where massive amounts of layoffs occur? Long story short, are things a mess? Yes. Do I have a lot of concerns over the next 5 years? Yes. But what I do with investing is try to figure out how to postion myself to benefit from those things and if I don't get something right I keep trying to figure it out until I do. The things that might benefit from those issues are not in every case going to be the things that are shiny and exciting and that everyone wants to talk about owning.
Nvidia dropping $1b into them was not part of the thesis, that's for sure lol. I've been watching them and marking TA on their chart since 2021 because they've always had solid financials and kept advancing their networks and expanding contracts (MSFT Azure data center deal in Nov 2024 for example). They were priming to do \*something\* but wasn't sure when. AI was still a major deal back then but still had a lot of unanswered questions then everything drastically shifted come 2025. They've traded in this high $5 to low $3 channel for nearly a decade with them trying to break past $7 multiple times. If they could break out of that \~$6ishrange, they were headed to $7-8 which is why I went 2027 (nearly a 1.5 years out) for only $7. The Nvidia deal is basically a positive black swan event for NOK and the price surge represents that. Open up their all time chart on the monthly timeframe and you'll see what I'm talking about.
Just hold MSFT and META for couple of years and you will be fine. You pick good stocks, just nead to learn to be more patient.
When I first started my career as a CPA I realized everything I was doing with PCs was in windows. Great DD I know So in like 2016 I maxed my 401k into MSFT at like $60 a share. Haven’t touched it since then. I actually never bought more MSFT until very recently. Everybody seems so jaded about it and I’m just thinking the same shit about azure now. You can’t escape it
Let me know when you sell META and MSFT.
Oracle seems to be in a scary place with its AI investments. I don't recall the numbers. Also, financial news said that Microsoft will cut back on external AI offerings to customers and just use it internally due to cost but not enough revenue. I doubt that either Oracle or MSFT are leveraged using private debt though. Unlike Lehman and ING, Oracle and MSFT still have huge cashflow from operations. I don't know about amount of cash on hand.
You’re not really a bad stock picker you’re just judging yourself based on hindsight. Every example you gave includes “if I held” which is something literally every investor goes through. Winners always look obvious after the move, but in real time it never feels that clean. The bigger risk here isn’t META or MSFT it’s switching mindset into options because of frustration. That’s usually where things spiral instead of improve. If anything, your positions are just showing normal volatility, not failure.
I stil like the company and feel they have room to grow, but I would not invest nearly as agressively now as I did last year. Their benefit is their time to implement their fuel cells beats pretty much any other option out there short of just connecting to the grid. Relative to other options like gas turbines which are noisier and have longer lead times (several years!) The opportunity for bloom is that current data center buildouts facing significant community opposition due to noise and environmental pollution from turbine engines and concern for impacting local power costs if connecting to the grid. The contract you are talking about between BE and NBIS was likely due to power supply issues with NBIS's Vineland data center build - they were facing air permitting issues with their plan to use gas turbines so I beleive they signed a last minute deal with BE ( I diont know if this has been explicitly confirmed, but the amount of MW of that contract aligns with the planned 300MW capacity of the Vineland location. Nebius presold the vineland capacity to MSFT and has specific tranches of capacity that they need to deliver - so they are under time pressure. The problem is that BE's power solution is \~3x the capex of traditional gas turbines and that will impact NBIS's margin (good for BE though - but I dont know how NBIS convinced BE to jump to the front of their line as BE has signed a ton of new contracts - but perhaps no one in advance of developement as Vineland). I assume that NBIS's power problem will not be an isolated problem for data center builders and that data center builders ar e realizing access to electricity is one of the bottlenecks. DC builders are considering power before even looking at sites - some are reactivating dormant nuclear plants etc - however this will all take time and I believe Bloom's product, while expensive, can allow these data centers to go live sooner. If you see electricity as a bottleneck, you can consider IREN - they are a bitcoin miner who is making the transition to AI data centers - their moat if you can call it that is that they have 4.5GW of contracted power. Their issue is that their racks are optimized for bitcoin mining and need to upgrade their racks to AI hardware and they are doing it via dilution (192M shares outstanding in 2024 to 357M shares in 2026). FWIW I've been researching IREN recnetly and havent entered a position (I might if it drops 20%, but at this point I'm not in any hurry). I believe their strongest moat is their access to electricity, but I don't beleive they have the vision to build a vertically integrated AI factory as NBIS seems to be doing (this will translate to IREN risking being a commodity and not being able to charge a premium likely NBIS and CRWV.. in the near term, when there are shortages of everything including power, nothing else might matter and that might drive short term price action for IREN. In the long run, it might mean lower margins when all of these data centers come on line 5 yeras down the line and computing power becomes a commodity.
The market and people who invest in Elon are not rational. That being said the market is not the economy and fundamentals only matter to a certain extent. SPCX is going to rocket because the market is manipulated for it to do so, only about 5% or so of the company is going to be publicly traded (low float, artificially low scarcity meets FOMO conditions means price skyrockets) and the NASDAQ changed its rules specifically for Elon/SpaceX so that 7 days after it lists, if you have a retirement account that simply holds NASDAQ index funds (something like QQQ) you are also going to own some SpaceX. This has never been the case before. SpaceX is going to have a 24-48 hours of FOMO and aggressive institutional buying to keep the floor high for when the index funds start selling off portions of MSFT, NVDA e.t.c. to buy SpaceX, which is just going to drive it up again. GOOGL also owns a lot of private SpaceX shares so if you own Google you will also be getting some exposure to the IPO.
Learn to trim positions rather than bailing out entirely. And your positions in MSFT and META are ones you will kick yourself for not holding into 3 years later if you sell these now. If I were you, I'd add some MELI and sprinkle in a little ZVIA right now before they also launch over the next 5 years.
MSFT was dead money for about 15 years. It hasn't ended up as many people's worst investment, unless they were impatient. Sometimes the market misprices a stock for a very long time. With this level of buyback going on, this is a best case scenario for a long term investor.
Bro market is closed, stop thinking about it. Enjoy your weekend. As for MSFT, it's a POS stock but I think it will start going up soon with the SaaS comeback
What the hell is up with MSFT guys?
I bought MSFT in 2011 (had to look it up on Fidelity) and still hold. Cost basis is $24/share. Why did I buy? I was dividend and value shopping at the time. Pre Azure and everyone publicly hated them and wanted to get off the Office+Exchange apparently. The dividend was around 4%ish. I bought because even with all the controversy, they were generating incredible free cash flow making the dividend play a safe bet. My gains are 1200%. I wish I bought more than 300 shares.
I sold some of mine at quite a profit after holding 5 years. I hate to do it but seeing companies like MSFT and META at sub-20 fwd PE pre-AI buildout I felt I would be smarter swinging into those for now. But I want to buy back in in a few months.
Bought MSFT and EME in 2008, before they were cool. But then I gave the bulk of my stock away in a divorce, so thankfully I'll never have to pay taxes on them /s.
Sector ETFs. Wind down on individual stocks by selling your loss and gains to a net zero. Rather than MSFT and META, buy VGT, rather than NVDA, do SMH, etc.
Yeah sell MSFT and META and let us know so they go up 50% in a month.
https://preview.redd.it/0g6aw5m9os2h1.jpeg?width=1320&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cfb2610f44c83ebb55b9b979ed49b2035ca64519 Me every time MSFT goes up……..
Im planning to slowly load up on some "boring" stocks such as ULVR whilst the market gets further into the greed territory. I also have a sizeable position in HIVE which has recently gone insane so deciding wether to sell or keep holding. Another one i really like at its current price is MSFT
Made 8k this month on spy, microsoft, nvidia, asts, archr calls. donated to broadcomm and asts puts. exited my weeklies today and am now: MSFT 450c 6/18 BETA 20c 10/16 ACHR 7c 7/17 UPS 120c 1/15 Bought Quantum,RGTIW,QUBT,QBTS,IONQ shares and up over 30%. should have bought more instead of asts puts
DUDE STOP SELLING!!!!!!! The ideal holding period is forever. Or at least 20-30 years. Or at a minimum, say, five years. MSFT and META will do amazing in the next 3-5 years. It doesn't matter if they are down right now. If you can't handle the volatility, buy ETFs, not stocks. Do you mind if I ask, why would you sell Nebius or Nvidia at those prices, especially when you probably hadn't held them for long?
People do like the technologies MSFT has developed - they have a whole developer ecosystem which is very hard to replicate. People hate SAP - it’s a hard one to replicate (like Adobe) but with AI this is easier to develop these kind of software, but more importantly AI can do things the Adobe software also does (and potentially better) Chevron is totally different because even if you don’t fill up your car with them, everything you use has oil inputs a which may be from Chevron’s oil - even if tomorrow we stay all driving electric cars, oil consumption will still be very high. So Adobe is a value trap - even if it has a short term rally (unlikely)
10 years ago I figured stock that gives a dividend. 'Cause that means its stable. But also tech, because that's the only sector I know. So my portfolio is all NVDA and MSFT.
I get that you want that, but MSFT is waiting for you to get frustrated and sell before that happens. There’s literally no other way.
Lol, I do exactly this, I even own the exact same, MSFT META & RDDT, your post convinces me to hold
Yeah i know. I made about 27k total on separate occasion from MSFT but i also had unrealized loss of 30k in march. Still bullish on MSFT but recently very bullish on RDDT. I sold cash secured puts on RDDT for next week
If you are confident about a strong stock the correct move is to DCA the days it goes down. If its a good company I believe MSFT is good long term, so basically you get emotional and bitch out early instead of having patience. Remember shares last forever.
Do you know why you bought those stocks? You should have a defined criteria. Do you know why you sold them? Again, you should have a defined criteria. FOR THE LOVE OF GOD do not try options, why would that be better? Instead of losing a small amount you will lose everything. Answer this question: what about options will make me profitable? Is it the timeframe? Is it my personality? Or am I a gambler who picks good stocks and doesn't know why? Also, MSFT looks good to me here and I have some. Not sure about META. Why do you think MSFT is bad? Why did you buy it? What makes a stock good or bad? Get into index funds and hold forever if you don't want to try to answer those questions. Index funds always win in the long run.
Most investors have stocks that were sold at a loss - you are not the worst by a long shot. I started when typical stock fees to brokers were 5%, in the churn and burn era of 100 share minimum - no commissioned stockbroker would ever recommend buy and hold. No-fee e-trading any share quantity is so much better. I also own CAT, NVDA, MSFT, META that you have/had. Why sell? These are great companies that have no end in sight. Lesson learned for me "bubble will burst" doesn't happen to great companies, they will go down in bears but long term up, up, up especially re-invest div. Your winners will outperform losers in the long run if you don't sell.
Time to sell both MSFT and META.
I'm working with much less capital than you but I've been struggling with the same emotional selling and poor timing. I keep trying to tell myself it is what it is and it's a lesson pretty much every investor has to learn at some point. Nobody's line ever just goes straight up. I recently took a $7k loss on LULU after finally deciding I was done with it after holding and averaging down for almost 2 years, then I see it starting to move up again although the value is still way off its highs, I sold MELI a few weeks ago and again that's going back up, sold out of half my UNH position at the bottom and lost a little money despite knowing I bought in really cheap and probably could've held it all, I made $4k instead of the $10k I should have had I held. The thing is though you have to move on once you sell a stock. Beating yourself up and, I'm guilty of it, I made a similar post in the value investing sub about how over the last few years I traded like $300k just to barely break even, but beating yourself up and dwelling does no good for your mental health or investing strategy it will only cause you to keep losing money. Not financial advice in the slightest but I think if you let go of META and MSFT you'll find yourself feeling sad again once they go back up. MSFT is my largest position so far and I'm not selling until it at least doubles which could take time but I don't think as much as the projections are showing. If it drops below my entry price of just under $400 again I'm loading the boat. It's the one stock I have 100% conviction in right now they'll never go away, corporate America runs on their products I wouldn't bet against that at all. META is riskier but I hold that too although much less. Earnings are good, no reason the stock should stay this low for long. I would just close the app and hold and see where things go if I were you. And also it sounds like you already have about $400-500k liquid net worth so you're already ahead of most people, if you're smart and can get a handle on the emotional aspect which is just as important as the technical analysis side of investing, you can make that money compound quickly. No need to be chasing anything too risky like options when you have that much to lose. If anything sell your current positions after you're in the green and throw it in VOO/VTI/VXUS/VTSAX take your pick at whatever low cost index fund and then just never sell. That's the beauty of index investing, if it goes down it just means you can buy more cheaper, unlike individual stocks where your gambling it all on horse to win it all but with indexes they pretty much always go up in the long term. Even buying at the top of the market you're still guaranteed to come out profitable unless a nuclear war breaks out or something of that magnitude.
you are picking the right companies just not the right time. META and MSFT are low right now and i would hold. Only a matter of time. NVDA is still super strong and i would keep. Even at 215 a share. I might wait till it comes to 200 or less. RDT sucks bc META is releasing a product that will hurt them but still should be ok long term. I like your picks just keep positive and keep buying. Youll eventually hit.
Funny because META and MSFT are the ones to buy and hold LT IMO
Sounds like we should all buy MSFT, META, and RDDT. Right after you sell, of course, just let us know.
If you hold MSFT for 10 years I guarantee you will make money. But if you are as emotional about it as you’ve been, then you might very likely lose more money in the short term. There’s no market scenario where you’d win if you keep buying high and sell as soon as it dips. Be patient.
Well don’t sell META and MSFT
META could pump on their next earnings after the mass layoffs and if they keep printing money with their ads so better DCA and hope to break even, on the other side MSFT is pure ass and I don’t see it going up anytime soon, windows 11 is shit, copilot too, OpenAI is burning their money and the only redeeming qualities are their already established enterprise user base and azure.
I think the valuation is going to come in crazy. Even if I could buy shares on day 1 I wouldn’t. It’s going to drop. Determining when to buy in at the drop is going to be the question. As much as I’m personally not a fan of Elon, I wouldn’t bet against him when it comes to the market. I’m hoping my one options contract on RKLB blows up more because of it. I have a decent sized portfolio but am smallstreetbets when it comes to options. Just started doing them a few months ago, have made money in spite of my knowledge and have a handful of open contracts but most are single contract LEAPS that I’m hoping I can double or more but if not, I’m not overexposed. As fun as it is to watch a single stock blow up, I’m to the point where a decent daily return in QQQM and VOO are good. I have some MSFT and AMZN shares that I’ve had for a while that I know are already in VOO and QQQM but I’ve owned them longer.
How does somebody this impetuous, impatient, and even stupid have enough money to spend over $300k on MSFT stock and over $100k on META stock? Yeesh.
Just saw META & MSFT under a bridge cooking rats on a rotisserie. Damn have they fallen
Port down 8% today because AMZN GOOGL MSFT are worthless pieces of dog crap apparently
I don't see how 200-300k would be life changing when you have more than that just in your MSFT position. You could cash out both positions and there you have your life changing money.
ngl the market wants to shake out people like OP and me. Watching as the market rips high and MSFT flat. Going to wait out for the move up.
The missed opportunity holding 103 shares of MSFT is disgusting
Huh I've been thinking about re-entering MSFT, maybe I can buy your shares... Seems like you're just a bit trigger happy, if you've got conviction in a stock maybe just sell a portion of your position instead of the entirety. That's what I do these days, I never fully exit an equity position unless I've totally lost faith in my investment thesis.
You remind me of myself when I was a younger investor. I’d buy something think I’m gonna make some money off of it, it would go down a bit, I’d get discouraged and sell it. Only to look at it years later and realize that if I had held I’d be a millionaire already. You didn’t say this, but the impression I get is you are letting your emotions get in the way. Most of the stocks you mentioned are the big popular headline grabbing names. There are thousands of stocks that are not listed in your post. I’d move away from companies that grab headlines. This makes it easier to not see news about your holdings that drive you to sell too early. Buy stocks that you think are good long term companies, not something to turn a quick profit. If you own a company you are convinced is a good company that makes it easier to see it go down and think, “it’s just temporary, no need to sell.” If you want the quick profit you should go over to the day trading sub. Trading is a WHOLE different endeavor. Where do you get your investing information from? Maybe change your investing media outlets, there are a lot of bad actors in the investing space (like anywhere really). You said MSFT is dogshit. Why? Is there a lot of current negative press around MSFT? I think MSFT is probably a pretty good long term investment. I do not see them going bankrupt anytime soon or becoming obsolete. But if the stock price has been battered recently and is down a bunch and it is a good long term buy and hold, then now might be a great time to buy it. But I don’t really follow MSFT, so I have no idea what makes you think it’s shit.
I was a MSFT Bagholder and now have RDDT 😭
OP, tell me when you're planning to sell MSFT so I know when my holdings are going to go up
Its called buy and hold. You buy low and sell high. You only sell when a stock reaches your internal valuation or there is a fundamental change to the underlying business. Buffets ideal holding period was forever. MSFT and RDDT are great stocks to own. They are solid businesses which will eventually go up in value. Do not sell.
5% down is big when the S&P 500 is making all new time highs. whats going to happen if the s&p has a correction to 7000? dogshit MSFT is going to see at least 320.
For me, it's both the overleveraging itself and the fact that this creates an exploitable vulnerability in our entire financial system, not unlike the World Trade Centers in 2001. The issue isn't necessarily the belief itself - it's the manifestation of the belief in overleveraging to the point of irrationality. Historically, overleveraging results in bubbles and crashes - whether it be tech stock, real estate, oil, etc... Diversification offers protection. The thing that makes this situation unique is that it is the entire SP500 index that is overleveraged in AI, instead of just banks, which is the gold standard against which every other benchmark is made and is considered the main source of diversification for the average person, particularly when it comes to things like 401ks. It makes this particular crash somewhat more haunting, especially given that we are heading into inflation and an unprecedented proportion of our population relying on retirement income sources. Social security ends basically in 7 years, 14 if they cut the benefits in half - combine that the only real other financial support retirees will have shortly being 401k and this is a massively risky and scary situation. The younger generation doesn't make enough to support their parents when things crash - 60% of the population is paycheck to paycheck. So, what happens to the entire market when the younger population can't spend because they are paycheck to paycheck and potentially trying to bail out their parents, and the older generation can't spend because their entire main 2 sources of income tanked in relative proximity to each other? You have a market collapse. Nobody makes money if nobody can spend money... It's a bubble collapse because it is precipitated by overleveraging in one sector or group of companies within a sector. Nobody gives two shits about AI services if they can't eat. The government will likely be forced to step in and force AI back to allow jobs to be made so people can get income, but that will also make the AI bubble crash harder and those 401ks tank harder. It's a lose-lose for government intervention - basically they will be forced to consider bailing out those companies, but that is going to be WAY WORSE than the 2008 bailout, causing inflation and pressing the market down. This is looking like 2008 all over again, but instead of banks being the source, it's the lack of diversification in the assets that were intended to be naturally regulated for diversification, and thus THE primary source of investment for much of America. There's also the fact that in a free-market, ultra capitalistic society, overleveraging the entire market does not represent just a financial vulnerability, but a strategic, national security issue. If I wanted to send the US into financial turmoil, I'd just Luigi Mangione the Execs of those companies, or bomb their R&D divisions and headquarters. Literally, one well placed bomb, not unlike the trade centers in 2001, can crash the ENTIRE market governing nearly every US citizen's financial future - in fact, it's EASIER than the trade centers. I'm surprised the government is allowing such a vulnerability to persist, except that they all are inside traders (their own admission) and can easily retire rich by not doing anything and making it someone else's problem. Quite frankly, NVDA, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, and GOOGL/GOOG should all be removed from the SP500 index entirely. I think 50x the median value of the index would be a decent limit for index inclusion to limit over-representation. Give them their own tech index instead of basically just making the entire SP500 index another tech index. 30+% of the index is too much for one technology to be THE FULCRUM of it all.
>there's no evident concern nowadays LOL.. dude, yeah there is good earnings for Ai companies like META and MSFT. You realize everything is relying on OpenAi and Anthropic to pull through right? Good thing they are making 20 billion in revenue while spending billions more.
Was up 200% at three different points this week on my MSFT calls. Sold them 10 minutes before close for a 20% gain.
MSFT son or bought ath MU daughter
why can’t 🥭 notice his operating system on his laptop and write about it and how great MSFT is, fucking ungrateful