Reddit Posts
All BS aside, how’s calls on MSFT looking this week?
Me going into earnings week with $5000 in SMCI, MSFT, & AMD calls
Need to practice option trading with paper money
Who’s ready to burn their life savings this week
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
This is a small dumb little thing but it's HUGE in its Implications - Google Puts Chrome On Windows ARM - Effectively Seeding Chromebooks
Who’s buying MSFT & AMD calls for earnings?
I took too long to move my MSFT stocks and now I don't know if I should wait after the weekend to buy.
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Wall Street Newsletter S03E06: All-time highs are here. What's next?
Poor Man’s Covered Call What it is, why I’m doing it with $30k worth of MSFT calls , and why you should consider trying it. TLDR at TOP
MSFT has now overtaken AAPL in market cap.
Some predictions for Microsoft, Palantir, AMD, Amazon, Spotify and Tesla.
Is it normal for the index funds to be weighted this heavily by mega caps?
What are your top picks for the top performance stocks for this year?
Epic V Continues to Show How Little Risk Exists
Has anyone seriously looked at Global Foundries [$GFS]
$CBDW News 1606 Corp. CEO Attends Consumer Electronics Show (CES) For Collaboration Meetings
$MSFT has potentially created a "new battery" with AI - Musk / $TSLA Says Interesting
Top 10 S&P 500 companies by market cap weighting since 1980. MSFT is the reining champ for persistence.
The true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
A true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
Lumen $LUMN Insider & Big Boys Buying Spree Post Dividend Halt, Kate Johnson & Co. Personally Buying the Dip
LUMEN $LUMN INSIDER & BIG BOYS BUYING SPREE POST DIVI HALT, KATE JOHNSON & CO. BACK THE DIP HARD!
And the AI Show Goes On - GPT 4.5 Turbo Leaks - $MSFT - Its Real And Available -https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/ai-services/openai
Taiwan Semi (TSMC) will be 'back to strong growth in 2024' - JPMorgan (holding small position)
Potential for massive shorts/puts tmrw (Jan 4th) after the release of the Epstein List (likely today after market close, Jan 3rd)?
If Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s list is this a great put buying opportunity for MSFT?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on the Jeffrey Epstein Client List sound like a bad idea?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s client list sound like a bad idea?
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if Buffet needs a new #2.
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if buffet needs a new #2.
How would you spend $1500 if you regularly forget stocks exist for months at a time? How do you decide which stocks are to be held and which losses cut?
Keep an eye on $MSFT (potential put money making opportunity)
If you had $40k to invest right now, what would you do with it?
The NYTs is suing Microsoft and I think there is a profitability play on their stocks
New York Times sues Microsoft and OpenAI for copyright infringement
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
Do you ever buy stocks outside of the indexes and Mag 7 near all time highs?
Question regarding this type of Play Option?
The biggest lesson that I've learned in my 10 year investing career.
MSFTs Open Ai will raise funds with valuation of $100B
Mentions
So.. with wind projects and solar projects no longer subsidized by government.. I would say nuclear is the only way to invest in energy going forward… oil.. 🤷♂️ I like CCJ plutonium maker and CEG with contracts with MSFT for three mile island to be reopened.. plus a billion dollar loan.. from the government.
#TLDR --- Ticker: MSFT Direction: Up Prognosis: Buy $450 Calls Masayoshi Son: "Shut up and take my money"
I like AMZN META MSFT but all depends January 2026 if market can keep holding these highs
I'm not an analyst, and honestly don't care about the numbers of this deal. Netflix is one of the few companies that my strategy would just be to load up on if I had any extra cash. There's always rotating bad narratives on various MAG7 stocks and the core ones always come back hard and print money. GOOG APPL MSFT AMZN NFLX Netflix has great management and is a great product. Young people basically only care about YouTube Premium and Netflix. They keep adding more and more things that give them pricing power. Amazon is the biggest subscription everyone has, right? Netflix has nearly double the subscribers as Amazon. And maybe that's the problem as they don't have as much room to grow at the same rate subscriber wise. Maybe not a great deal, maybe not a great stock for years even. But no way am I betting against Netflix long term....they now forever own libraries like DC Comics, Batman, Lord of the Rings, Harry Potter, and so many WB movies and TV shows they have in various libraries they own. The entire HBO library/Max streaming platform. On top of all that, they'll get to make the money from theater releases. Netflix is going to have that pricing power locked in forever. I'd be buying the dip if I were a long term investor. But I'm also regarded.
SELL $MSFT BUY $META X $AMZN $HII for ship building is the next big theme.
I invested some money in personal brokerage when I was in college. Individual stocks that did quite well- $35k in NVDA up 800%, MSFT/AAPL/GOOGL $10k each up 115%. I plan on selling $20k in NVDA to help fund a down payment on a condo, the rest coming from HYSA (will still have 6 months emergency leftover). Does it make sense to sell even more shares (probably a mixture of what I own) so that I can max a Roth IRA in 2026, which my budget otherwise wouldn't fit?
Nice little pump for UBER and ORLY today. Sadly MSFT didnt follow
I bought META, AVGO, AMD, MSFT during then recent dip last few weeks. Still holding spy and continue to DCA into it
April, 2025 Bought 300k worth of NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, SPY, QQQ November 2025 Sold all my GOOGL($53k gain), most of NVDA(28k gain with 10k left unrealized), AMZN(13k gain), MSFT(16k gain), and QQQ(12k gain). Roughly $122k realized gains and I paid about 24k in estimated taxes
It sounds like enterprises are trying to see if it makes financial sense and that it may require a lot of employee training to make better use of it. The growth of the services is definitely there as the cloud companies are buying hardware. The question is if enterprises are paying for the services. And there's this: # Microsoft denies report of lowering targets for AI software sales growth *Dec 3 (Reuters) - Microsoft on Wednesday denied a report from The Information that multiple divisions at the company lowered sales growth targets for certain artificial intelligence products after several sales staff missed their goals in the fiscal year that ended in June.* *The source-based report cited two salespeople in the Azure cloud-computing unit, which is closely watched by investors as it is the main beneficiary of Microsoft's* [*(MSFT.O)*](https://www.reuters.com/markets/companies/MSFT.O)[*, opens new tab*](https://www.reuters.com/markets/companies/MSFT.O) *AI push.* *An* [*MIT study*](https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/big-tech-report-earnings-under-specter-ai-bubble-2025-10-27/) *from earlier this year had found that only about 5% of AI projects advance beyond the pilot stage.* *The Information report said Carlyle Group* [*(CG.O)*](https://www.reuters.com/markets/companies/CG.O)[*, opens new tab*](https://www.reuters.com/markets/companies/CG.O) *last year started using Copilot Studio to automate tasks such as meeting summaries and financial models, but cut its spending on the product after flagging Microsoft about its struggles to get the software to reliably pull data from other* [https://www.reuters.com/technology/microsoft-lowers-ai-software-sales-quota-customers-resist-new-products-2025-12-03/](https://www.reuters.com/technology/microsoft-lowers-ai-software-sales-quota-customers-resist-new-products-2025-12-03/) I have a fairly new Co-Pilot laptop and I played around with it and determined that I didn't have any reason to use it. And I haven't found anyone that's provided a good reason why I need it. Apple doesn't have an AI strategy. And I don't think that it's hurting them in sales at all. AI has been the buzzword but does having something in silicon on your device help at all? I'm sure that there's a tiny number of people that may be able to make use of it but I don't think that anyone cares if their laptop is AI enabled unless you're working on LLMs on your laptop and then there are specific specs and hardware that you want.
The joke was about MSFT price action. But good to know you were triggered :P
The year is 2040, Musks robot army enforces order, Drunk flying is the #1 cause of death in the US, and MSFT still trades around $480
AMZN is all Chinese sellers. Also, 🥭 hates Jeff. So much, he gave a govt cloud contract to MSFT over AMZN and even MSFT was shocked they got it.
FFS MSFT.... its only 485!!!!!!
Google is definitely a competitor, but that does not mean OpenAI should be valued as $0 as you claimed. OpenAI gives 20% of all *revenue* to MSFT. So it does not matter if OpenAI is profitable or not, MSFT still gets paid.
ORCL, MU, and MSFT calls expiring in February should print. Happy holidays yalls see yall in Jan
NFLX MSFT just go up for a change
For the love of God why is MSFT stuck at 485?
The only stocks that really screwed me today are META MSFT and IREN, I hope mfer ceos get coal and an explosive diarrhea from Santa this Christmas
Yes… earnings reports would look better if companies could post huge revenue increases without corresponding CapEx investment. MSFT is the bellweather here. For the entirety of 2024 MSFT kept talking about being meaningfully undersupplied in infrastructure relative to demand. A full year later and Azure is posting 39% YoY growth.
I know I’m gonna regret the choppy movement but I got MSFT calls
>The moat is their brand. Google has a stronger more recognizable brand, is actually hugely profitable and has a lot of products AI can go into, mainly Android. Google also has its own TPUs (that it will sell to Meta), meaning that it doesn't fully rely on Nvidia, and has its own cloud. And let's not forget that it's Google that invented the transformer architecture that is driving all this frenzy. OpenAI had the first mover's advantage but everyone is caught up now. >Also MSFT has already paid back their initial $13 billion investment many times over. How?! From where? >The investment was not $13 billion in cash, it was $13 billion worth of azure compute to help train the chat models. Azure compute that could have been sold to someone else and that Microsoft pays for. >In exchange, MSFT has a *revenue* sharing model where they take money right off the top line of OpenAI. Yeah, but OpenAI isn't profitable and won't be for a long time. I read they burn a crazy amount of cash everyday, I think around $15M and they lost $13.5B in 2025.
The moat is their brand. Same with most consumer products. My wife was watching some realty show and the people literally just talk to chatGPT all day. “Hey chat, blah blah blah” They reportedly have something like 800 million weekly users. That’s not a technology moat, but it is a brand recognition moat. They are the Kleenex of consumer chatbots. Also MSFT has already paid back their initial $13 billion investment many times over. The investment was not $13 billion in cash, it was $13 billion worth of azure compute to help train the chat models. In exchange, MSFT has a *revenue* sharing model where they take money right off the top line of OpenAI. In addition to that, OpenAI was and still is spending real cash on additional Azure compute credits.
Dan Ives says MSFT to the moon in 2026.
why not adding Googl and MSFT?
yes PG offers better protection but less reward potential. MSFT is offering a nice growth outlook but you will be exposed to high valuation in the tech industry. Splitting according to your conviction would be a good decision.
i will buy: GOOGL MSFT ASML MONGO KINETIK
MSFT. Double bottoming on the 200 plus great earnings last quarter
Good buying levels IN 2026 $GOOGL $170 $PLTR $20 $AMZN $90 META $140 $RKLB $8 $MSFT $100 $NVDA $30
Amazon needs a new ceo. Make it indian They know what they doing $GOOGL $MSFT $SNOW $PANW
Wild to me people place all of their money on companies like this. If I ever decide to park money on stocks it’ll be on a boring ticker like AAPL or MSFT.
I'm not invested in your particular stocks, but I tend to keep 15% of dry powder and start going in with longer term leaders whose leadership I like when down 20%, and really in if down more than that. I've done is several times with AAPL / MSFT / GOOG, most recently with UNH around $270-$280 (will see how it works out).
Amazon, MSFT, and Google are basically online infrastructure at this point.
People learn nothing and it will have to bust, the destiny of all market bubbles is to bust. We just dont know when. People bring up [pets.com](http://pets.com) but they were a very small company, like $500mil at the time. Now there's $20B quantum companies with zero revenue. Yes there's good companies involved now that make a lot of money, but there were decent companies in 2000 too, MSFT, INTC, ORCL, CSCO, Amazon, Sun Micro, etc. This time its all revolved around who can spend the most on a race to the bottom. ChatGPT only makes $12B rev per year atm so next year all these chatbots will start to be plastered with ads to show rev growth and the services will probably become awful. Users will be pissed and maybe stop using them altogether. Put in the mix of this bubble Crypto, and other massive bubbles like TSLA, PLTR and all the other software trading at 20-100xs revenue. Cisco and AOL traded at 20xs sales at their peak. PLTR is 100xs sales. Its unsustainable.
GOOG after it doubles profit margins and can directly correlate it to the massive cost savings AI provides and spends less than META or AMZN or MSFT on AI and APPL jumps on board with them because it's cheaper than all other potential providers. GOOG is still undervalued.
"Diversification" means spreading out your investments between more companies/sectors. VFAIX (and other S&P500 funds) are already diversified between the hundreds of companies in the S&P500. Adding VGT or something similar wouldn't change much, for example you can look at the top holdings of both FXAIX (NVDA, APPL, MSFT, AMZN, & AVGO) and compare it to VGT (NVDA, APPL, MSFT, AVGO, & PLTR) and you'll see a lot of similarities... so it wouldn't add any diversification.
I am a retired investor and lived through both of these events. The real issue, in my opinion, of the dotcom era was the speculative hype around a new transformative technology called the "internet". many companies saw the value and burst into existence. Some (MSFT, CSCO, AMZN, etc.) were very successful. Others (pets.com, webvan, etoys, etc.) were very unsuccessful. Those that fizzled had no real earnings, burned through cash, and had unsustainable business models. Other than the SOX act of 2002 (which many would argue had minimal impact), I do not recall many other impactful legislative changes that came out of the [dot.com](http://dot.com) bust. The GFC had a little bit different flavor. Certain legislation changes that were implemented in the 1930's that limited the banks involvement in speculative trading were repealed. The banks then began dealing in an instrument called "default credit swaps", which essentially "guaranteed" repayment of all bonds sold that were underwritten by real estate mortgages for peenies on the dollar. Hence the Frank/Dodd Act of 2010. AI is the new "internet". It will transform the economy in ways yet unseen. Just like the dotcom era, there are good companies and bad ones. Just like 1929, there are companies (AI) that are beginning to do circular financial deal. This is where company A invests in Company B. Then Company B takes those funds and buys product from Company A. Company A now has increase earnings. Examples of this are Nvidia and OpenAI, OpenAI and Oracle, OpenAI and CoreWeave, Microsoft and OpenAI. I certainly hope Sam Altman has figured out something that history says isn't good. Because if not, when OpenAI is forced to unwind these deals, the market will get bloodied. Oh, and do some research on the default credit swaps for Oracle.
PG is trading closer to it's historical averages, so better downside protection vs MSFT. Neither is very attractive at these prices however.
Dot com was about loose listing standards (which have since been outlawed) for tiny companies with bad fundamentals. Lots of public firms went bust completely like a domino. It was bad. GFC was about housing speculation + insane leverage levels (that have since been outlawed), along with opaque securitization that was basically fraud (also outlawed). Totally a one off and not really a risk of repeating. AI is different since the firms that are most exposed are also already hugely profitable and financially sound. Yes there is speculation and likely overvaluation. But GOOG, NVDA, MSFT are not going to buckle and go bankrupt even if AI implodes, and there is zero indication of fraud (though they do invest in one another, but that is transparent and basic risk hedging behavior). If there is a downturn, it will just be a standard correction, not a global catastrophe.
Thank you market gods for giga pumping MSFT and AAPL yesterday to save my contracts
Solid list already. I’d personally stick heavy on GOOG and AMZN, maybe add MSFT or NVDA for quality growth, and keep the ETF as your anchor so you don’t overtrade again.
I’m up 13%. Most of that was from substantial gains in GOOG, as well as moderate gains from SPY, NOBL, BRKB, KO, V, APPL and MSFT. This is not as good as the 20% return I had last year, but I’m quite happy with it. I did receive some gains from Day Trading although the gains from this trading activity is minimal because I don’t risk much in the day trading arena I just do that for fun
HXGBY, releasing a robot 2026 and partnered with NVDA & MSFT. Getting overlooked completely imo. Apart from that RKLB, could easily x2 or x3
I think I'm up about 80%, not gonna open ibkr when I'm in the bus ATM. Have about 270k-ish usd last time I checked. Most of it is from MSFT and GOOG. Just long term buying and holding. I dappled in other risker investment before, penny stocks, meme stocks, lost money always. Finally decided to just listen to what everyone keep saying. Gave up on "trading my way into millionaire before 35", now I'm just buying blue chips.
AVGO, MSFT, AMD, META. Also slowly DCA into SPY
We've all been there. Panic selling feels like relief in the moment, then regret hits when you see the rebound. The good news: you didn't lose the money, you just moved to cash. The positions are still there to buy back. Yeah, you might pay a bit more, but that's tuition, not a disaster. For stable stocks that help you sleep: \- \*\*GOOGL / MSFT / AMZN\*\* - Big tech but less volatile than NVDA \- \*\*BRK.B\*\* - Buffett's portfolio, boring but steady \- \*\*COST / WMT\*\* - Consumer staples with pricing power \- \*\*Dividend aristocrats\*\* (JNJ, PG, KO) - Won't make you rich quick, but won't keep you up at night either The real fix is position sizing. If a normal pullback costs you sleep, you were probably too concentrated. Spread it out, size down, and the dips won't feel like emergencies.
The stocks I would recommend are: NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT, AVGO, PWR, VST, 000660.KS, 005930.KS.
“other PC and smartphone companies (MSFT/AAPL and the like) have long term contracts to LOCK IN prices for their supply.” That’s the extent of your analysis, right? Dell’s not a smartphone company so I don’t know why you mention that. And what’s your source regarding other PC companies? How much inventory does HPE have? How long are their contracts? You think HPE is immune? Dell is ruthless when it comes to cost management. They will lay off thousands of employees if they have to. They do it all the time. They will cut bonuses. So yes, some costs go up, other costs go down. ISG revenue is growing hand over fist. Servers and racks up 37% last quarter compared to previous year. And their operating margins are so much better than CSG. ISG has slightly higher revenue, but more than double the operating margins. Meanwhile interest rates are getting cut, lowering hurdle rates for their customers. Data volume is increasing exponentially, there is a real need for the product. Problem with your thesis is you’re taking a bunch of surface level generalizations and pretending you know more than analysts who follow Dell religiously. CSG is already underperforming, this is already priced in. Dell underperformed SPY this year and their P/E is already so low.
Last minute META, AMAZON dump and GOOGL, AAPL, MSFT pump rebalancing 🤣🤣
Apple MSFT Google movement was demonic
What do you mean, exactly, about MSFT trading within a range?
Holy fuck my MSFT and AAPL calls were saved and I got the fuck out
AMZN drilling, GOOGL and MSFT god candles up. something mustve happened lol
MSFT god candle saving my calls
AAPL and MSFT going the wrong way today
Who the fuck actually invests in MSFT
Why does everything go up besides MSFT
MSFT poots bill gates will 100% be in the files
Cashed out some space gains to buy AAPL MSFT. I'll come back in the next extreme fear zone
TSLA goes up, MSFT goes down. They are playing us. And I cant quit!
\> big tech company Which one? MSFT or AAPL? TSLA or PLTR? Big difference in risk there. Even if you are sure you want to unwind, if you own one of the first two, you can test out these enhanced folks with 10% or something like that. If it is something like one of the latter two, more speed in unwinding probably makes more sense.
I completely agree with this. I bought MSFT early and held until 1999. I sold it and paid off my house. The price I sold at was within a 5% of the top it hit in 2000, then the stock languished years afterward until Balmer left. I was pissed they didn't fire the idiot. Having no house payment improved my ability to invest. While Walmart is a good stock I completely agree with the you never know. What will make this work is if you invest in yourself after paying off the loan with that freed up 1.1K/mo. ( Don't buy a frigging car with it. Hahaha. )
For the last frfr, buying MSFT calls in hopes there's a run leading into earnings next month
Getting calls on AAPL and MSFT was not it today
Somebody sold a colossal amount of MSFT at the open
Yo MSFT what the fuck?
MSFT quietly creeping up every day. Like me to the Jeni’s pancake and maple syrup ice cream
**Millions of professionals are already testing their skills with LinkedIn’s daily puzzle games** - an ad came to my email. Literally, MSFT has obsessed with selling whatever shit they can. Puts on MSFT.
MSFT stopped innovating years ago, unless you think bloatware and subscription services is "innovation".
I wrote this to reply to someone here so I figured might as well post it to everyone else: TLDR: crypto converted HDC providers actually make money 1, Core scientific, their ER presentation says profit margins will be 75%-80%, they have a 10B / 12yr contract, upon full delivery by end of 2026: projected eps based on assumptions provided in their own guidance is $1.4-$2/share, stock is $14 today. They also claim to complete an entirely new customer contract before next ER in mid/late February, further boosting upside. 2, APLD, similar situation but they need to find their own financing and debt, so probably lower profit margins. At 60% their current contracts suggest $1.6-$1.9/share, stock is $23 today CEO also claims to have 2 contracts in late stage discussions and aims to complete terms by end of year, assuming 200MW capacity each would mean EPS of $2.2 - 2.8/share by end of 2026 or mid 2027. 3, Iren has a 3GW capacity for sale and has only sold ~200MW capacity so far, my own projections at full utilization suggests tens of billions of ARR. they also have similar messaging about being in talks with clients with much bigger capacity demand than the MSFT contract they announced in early November At a 40X P/E multiple: CORZ has about a 400% upside for just completing delivery APLD about 300% upside for doing the same thing IREN I’m less certain about because neo clouds have more complex structures but probably higher profits if they execute well Also 40x PE is probably low because obviously HDC hosts would be signing new contracts over these two years so growth will likely be higher than just 300-400%
TLDR: crypto converted HDC providers actually make money 1, Core scientific, their ER says profit margins will be 75%-80%, they have a 10B / 12yr contract, upon full delivery by end of 2026: projected eps based on assumptions provided in their own guidance is $1.4-$2/share, **stock is $14 today**. They also claim to complete an entirely new customer contract before next ER in mid/late February, further boosting upside. 2, APLD, similar situation but they need to find their own financing and debt, so probably lower profit margins. At 60% their current contracts suggest $1.6-$1.9/share, **stock is $23 today** CEO also claims to have 2 contracts in late stage discussions and aims to complete terms by end of year, assuming 200MW capacity each would mean EPS of $2.2 - 2.8/share by end of 2026 or mid 2027. 3, Iren has a 3GW capacity for sale and has only sold ~200MW capacity so far, my own projections at full utilization suggests tens of billions of ARR. they also have similar messaging about being in talks with clients with much bigger capacity demand than the MSFT contract they announced in early November At a 40X P/E multiple: CORZ has about a 400% upside for just completing delivery APLD about 300% upside for doing the same thing IREN I’m less certain about because neo clouds have more complex structures but probably higher profits if they execute well Also 40x PE is probably low because obviously HDC hosts would be signing new contracts over these two years so growth will likely be higher than just 300-400%
I'm down 89% on MSFT calls that expire in January and I still think I have a chance. Haha
So calls on AAPL, PLTR, RTX, ORCL and MSFT?
AAPL had a higher 10 year return than META. And GOOG. And MSFT.
should have put it all on $SPY or $TSLA , $NVDA , $AMD , $GOOG , $MSFT. you'd be chilling now.
I made 30% today on MSFT call. Today was a good day.
• Core: broad ETFs like VTI, SPY, or VT • Add 1 solid stock: names like AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, or GOOGL, businesses that are profitable, durable, and easier to hold through swings Skip options for now. They’re rough on small accounts. Build the base first, then take more risk later when the portfolio’s bigger.
Lol TSLA and MSFT trading at exact same price
$100k today, long-term focus: \- 50% VTI/VOO - boring but works. Don't overthink the core. \- 20% big tech (GOOGL, AMZN, META) - AI tailwinds, reasonable valuations vs NVDA/MSFT \- 15% international (MELI, SE, NU) - diversification + growth outside US \- 10% high-conviction picks - individual stocks you've done DD on \- 5% cash - dry powder for volatility Strategy: DCA over 3-6 months, don't dump it all at once at ATHs. Rebalance annually. Boring wins. Not chasing yield or swing trading. Time in market > timing the market.
28% on their 2025 picks is solid. Value tilt makes sense after growth ran so hard this year. AMZN as a "laggard catch-up" is interesting - it's underperformed MSFT and GOOGL but AWS is still the cloud leader. Feels like the easiest pick on this list. DIS is the real contrarian bet here. Streaming losses narrowing but ESPN/parks still question marks.
$2000 next year is impossible unless something absolutely insane happens. That would put GOOG at about $26 TRILLION. Even if Google somehow blasted off and stole the entire market from NVDA and ChatGPT and MSFT, that would only add what, 10 trillion in market cap? Even if Waymo somehow steals the ENTIRE ride share market from Uber/Lyft, that would add about $200 billion in market cap (that is 0.007% of 26 trillion). Even if the robotaxi market 10x'd the market cap of the two current leaders in ride shares in one year, that would still only add $2 trillion of the required $22 trillion to reach $2000/share. This isn't a penny stock, this is one of the largest corporation juggernauts that ever existed. It simply cannot 10x in a year. I'm long Google but this is fucking retarded.
NVDA is a gigantic piece of shit. MSFT, AAPL, and GOOG are all going to overtake it in market cap.
Dude MSFT deal alone is worth more than the current market cap. It’s oversold and due for a rebound
Sold my MSFT dec 26 calls for about $1.20 two days ago, rn its over $5 and going higher. I don't know what to do with my self.
MSFT breakout, about to pump imo
Did some calculations last night and feel comfortable buying MSFT, NVDA and GOOGL. Very comfy PEG multiples. Speaking of peg, which one of you ladyboys wants the bottom bunk.
9 billion market cap with 9,6 billion MSFT deal. Feels free
No doubt on revenue growth, the real question is profitability. The core of the business is GPU rentals. As long as they can raise capital they'll be able to grow revenue exponentially. Whether they'll ever be able to turn a profit is what's up in the air, for this type of business margins will be limited even in the best case scenario. When tech leaders like MSFT, who is a cloud service giant themselves, goes signing a $19.4B deal with NBIS, you need to ask why. Does MSFT lack the expertise that NBIS has? No, it's because the deal is too good and it would cost more for MSFT to do it themselves.
You’re sooo right bruh. The “steal of the century” for sursies 👍 No worries though if that’s your thing, I don’t buy and hold stocks like that. Don’t have the stomach to watch it chop around up and down 50% or more and wait five years for it to all maybe work out. MSFT is at 34 times, now that is for real a potential steal. META at 28 times another one.
AA and MSFT is red again. *Sigh*
$NTDOY was the first stock I ever bought back in 2015. Tae Kim [https://x.com/firstadopter](https://x.com/firstadopter) has placed Nintendo on his stock picks of 2026, (Dell, MSFT and Nintendo -top 3). Tae is great on semi-conductor stuff if you're interested. He picked up Nvidia and Vertiv in 2025 as his top performer. Here's Tae's articles on Nintendo: [https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-tech-stocks-to-buy-now-2026-dac5ca73](https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-tech-stocks-to-buy-now-2026-dac5ca73) >Fortunately technology is about more than just enterprise product cycles. There’s fun to be had in there, and Nintendo has that category nailed down. >The videogame maker had a banner year in 2025. Its new Switch 2 console, which launched in June, has been a massive blockbuster, becoming the fastest-selling Nintendo console ever at launch. In November, the Japan-based videogame publisher raised its sales forecast for the console to 19 million units from 15 million units for the fiscal year ending in March. For context, the first Switch sold 15.05 million units in its first full fiscal year. >I predict Switch 2’s second year will be even better as more games are released from its core franchises. Among the youngest generation, Nintendo has also become the next Walt Disney. It has dominated the box office and found success at several theme parks. Look for more buzz to build when the Super Mario Galaxy Movie is released in April. >Though Benton plays down valuation, Microsoft, Dell, and Nintendo come with the benefit of not being particularly expensive. Microsoft and Nintendo both trade at 28 times Wall Street’s per-share earnings estimates for the next 12 months, while Dell trades at just 12 times. >All three stocks could benefit from a virtuous product cycle. Better-than-expected sales will drive earnings higher, which, in turn, could push the multiples to grow. It’s an ideal combination for gains. Happy stock-picking everyone. [https://www.barrons.com/articles/nintendo-switch-2-console-sales-stock-d258b3f8?gaa\_at=eafs&gaa\_n=AWEtsqcCCDRlrh8Y\_FY93fVA4Dp4TbW4qeATPezLhUOLGmFy9HDqgevh7JSwE0Kgd6Q%3D&gaa\_ts=69436bcc&gaa\_sig=yqd4BdHJ2uwCrbgl-r\_ZFfQPtu8oUmIjSs9rXkF9XE64SQvaeqV1yBPNlKaxvOX18Zl\_Hi8uzKsYRB3Ugwt5Fg%3D%3D](https://www.barrons.com/articles/nintendo-switch-2-console-sales-stock-d258b3f8?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqcCCDRlrh8Y_FY93fVA4Dp4TbW4qeATPezLhUOLGmFy9HDqgevh7JSwE0Kgd6Q%3D&gaa_ts=69436bcc&gaa_sig=yqd4BdHJ2uwCrbgl-r_ZFfQPtu8oUmIjSs9rXkF9XE64SQvaeqV1yBPNlKaxvOX18Zl_Hi8uzKsYRB3Ugwt5Fg%3D%3D)
* **Jensen = smartest + prettiest CEO on earth** because NVDA gud, chips gud, AI gud. * **Scam Altman = gud** because he’s “the LLM genius” and OpenAI is the center of the universe. * **Satya = gud** because Microsoft “controls” OpenAI, so MSFT automatically wins. * **Lisa = smartest + hottest CEO on earth** because AMD gud, and “selling 10% of the company to OpenAI is a great idea” * **CRWV = hottest chick in the room** because “cool AI datacenters” = instant god-tier stock. * **ORCL = gud** because “deal with OpenAI and Microsoft” = free credibility. * **FIG = gud** because “deal with OpenAI” = AI halo effect. * **GOOG = gud** because TPU. So obviously **NVDA = bad.** Then: * OpenAI / ORCL / CRWV start borrowing money from everywhere, * Shift from “infinite growth” to “who tf is paying for this,” * Same crowd that was calling them geniuses starts screaming “it’s all a scam.” Result: If those three look shaky, then everything else**:** datacenters, semis, and tech must be bad, because the market can’t separate “some players are overlevered" from “the whole sector is dead.” # The whole market is basically a Soap Opera.
If I could go back to July I would probably buy Google at 175, but since I can't time travel, nvda at July prices is also good. Can also get AVGO, MSFT, AMZN, and META at July prices or better right now.