MSFT

Wise-Start-9166

Some folks are talking about hedging/shorting, but most retail individuals have no kind of training for it. Switching to VIG will keep you in exposure to AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, and META. VIG will also have a lot of our favorite guys from VOO like Costco, Visa, and JPM. You will miss out on AMZN, so you could just buy shares of that one. VIG has not done as well holding VOO, but I will also be moving some stuff around if the S&P comittee circumventd their standards for any of these sits. I won't be closing my entire SP5 position, but I won't consider it my core any more. It is becoming more like a highly needs technology fund in my mind.

Ozqi

MSFT will stay $400 until exactly 12/19/2026 which is when my LEAPS expire, then overnight it will go to $700. You’re welcome for the insider info.

Bazzer82

MSFT actually went up very slightly since Friday. Very defensive.

Zuko2001

We're going to have the biggest greenest day and meanwhile MSFT and META will be up 0.1%.

Iunatic

Dumped my MSFT position for VOO... thought I was done holding SPACs and didn't think fear of dilution was something I had to think about holding a fucking Mag7 LMAO

National-Log5203

To all my MSFT bagholders out there - don’t worry, it’s still red.

Nice_Selection8747

There are so many more options. MSFT has been a dud at that level in comparison to all the other movers

NeuroManXy

It's painful to hold MSFT while my other other SOXX is almost doubling

NeuroManXy

Don't. MSFT is just POS.

Angel_Diaz17

What calls are yall buying TM? Imma go all in MSFT

Demonic_Maidens

Sold MSFT 420 calls expiring tomorrow. Easiest money ever

captain_casino

Need to add MSFT to complete the shitfecta

Zuko2001

I hope MSFT, HOOD, META and NOW choke on a bag of dicks. Absolute pieces of shit. Should have just stayed in MU.

NeuroManXy

I should have sold MSFT and bought MU.

NeuroManXy

The obvious move on Friday's close was selling MSFT and buying SOXX. This POS has no upside potential at all.

WSB-mods-are-

Death, Taxes, and MSFT closing red

A_Dragon

How about MSFT or META or NVDA’s drop last year? Did they seem deserved? Stocks top on good news…it’s the way it’s always been.

Odd_Library_3953

MSFT really got me with that pump and dump last week. I'm disappointed in myself

Iunatic

I can single handedly destroy MSFT by continuing to hold.

claytondpark

Need mag7 to catch up to semis for the rest of Mondays retracement, especially googl and MSFT

Temporary-Basil-3030

MSFT you fucking pos.

Coloradospruce33

Why MSFT feces?

xeratice1

if would help if you told us what stock, if it's MSFT you're good don't worry

JayRoo83

MSFT, get your ass back above 420 and fucking stay there

bitchfart007

MSFT is still fucking red fuck this dogshit company

Standard_Tea8250

So glad I got rid of MSFT

Pereise1

Unless they're MSFT bears 😂

AnaIyze

blows my mind how its PE is 50% higher than MSFT all because of some flight to safety no capex hedge narrative

Candid_Consequence94

MSFT will show power this week

ez399017

MSFT is red? So glad everything is back to normal

No_Current3675

MSFT red semis green. It's gonna fkn rip.

WordsHappenedHere

🌽 seems to be correlated with IGV since last October. Probably means software going to run tomorrow. Calls on MSFT

Ozqi

BREAKING NEWS: MSFT TO ABANDON ALL DOGSHIT AI MODELS AND REMOVE SLOPPY NUTELLA AS CEO. MSFT TO $700 (Is what I wish I would see, too bad he’s going to run the company into the ground)

OrangMiskin

Please just save my MSFT bags lmao

Spac55

Who knew SpaceX, a private company go to space & return astronauts smoothly. When NASA was cutting down space shuttles, even after big spending many decades Technology adoption not easy, few can see dream & change for all. $MSFT $AAPL $META $GOOG $NVDA $AMZN big monopoly, now AI race to win Economy is digital, no AI win without semiconductor

Spac55

World was never calm last 100 years, social media nowadays highlights & amplify more. Market digest it and move on. $MSFT $META $NVDA $GOOG $AAPL $AMZN $TSM global tech sector use by whole world, 8.5 Billion population. BigTech combine revenue over 2 Trillion. $QQQ $SPY $SMH

iShitBloodandCumShit

But I also plan on buying fuckloads of INTU, CRM, MSFT, LULU, ADBE. That way we can all lose money together.

InspectorDabbit_

Nobody cares about Hyperliquid LOL A whole $1.9M exchanged on MSFT, oh woooow

jdav0808

Buying MSFT @ $40.60. Still own it.

circadiggmigration

*ANALYSTS* are even in on it this week #**Wells Fargo upgrades MSFT** #**Morgan Stanley upgrades MU** #**TD Cowen upgrades AMD** Finally these tards are good for something

circadiggmigration

ANALYSTS are even in on it this week #**Wells Fargo upgrades MSFT** #**Morgan Stanley upgrades MU** #**TD Codwn upgrades AMD** Finally these tards are good for something

OneTwoThreePooAndPee

AAPL has decided to sit out the insanity of the AI battles until the tech is more proven and figured out, but holds the gold standard platform that any AI would want to be the primary on. Much like Google Search or Maps. It's what they do. Apple has never chased the cutting edge, they wait for tech to prove out a bit then take a crack at it. Obviously they're not perfect (Vision Pro) but also the first version of a lot of their products have taken a couple versions moment to catch on, and they've probably got a fat margin on the Vision Pro anyway. I was on the fence with Apple for a while but watching how these AI wars are turning out, I think they're actually just saving hundreds of millions/billions in unnecessary capex and AI training effort. Honestly I think MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG are all solid holds right now. MSFT is the most questionable, but they've got a lot of strength in the cloud and AI could benefit that. AMZN and GOOG both have STRONG internal plays for AI that doesn't require anything outside their internal capex, so even if the bubble pops, I think they've got a road to profitability with their AI directly; Amazon with logistical robotics and delivery, Google with Waymo and Android.

Xx360StalinScopedxX

I did the same initially till I looked at MSFT’s performance since the Covid bubble and realized it’s time to just sell it all.

Iunatic

Should I dump my MSFT for VOO? I can't believe I have to worry about fucking dilution like I'm holding a SPAC lol

False-Community8534

WTF would you get out of MSFT now? You’re never going to get that position back.

GatorBo69

Exactly. Pick the stocks you like and DCA buy them weekly. Set it to automate and forget it. I do the same for AvGO, MSFT, NVDIA, MICRON, ASML, and co, and have been for 3+ years.. I’m a big believer in DCA, but you gotta do it consistently

ExplanationNormal339

Keeping tabs on [$MSFT](https://aimytrade.io/ticker/msft?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=comment&utm_campaign=SmallStreetBets&utm_term=MSFT&utm_content=template_1780841649028_wh9snq). I let the algorithmic read do the heavy lifting on these.

waymorerocks

Exactly. If you are buying VOO you are accepting you can’t predict what will or won’t be a winner. There is the possibility these companies could be good for VOO and your returns, you simply don’t know. There will be no fast-tracking, if they earned a spot in VOO then they meet your investment thesis. By excluding them, you are stock picking. These IPOs could be a bust, or they could be the next MSFT, NVDA, META etc that account for the majority of your returns for the next decade.

Coloradospruce33

Why my port MSFT, META & NFLX and these stocks road kill?

Zuko2001

everything will pump of course but software... I hate you MSFT and META. NOW and HOOD have also been added to my bags.

Prometheus651

If it is an OpenAI bailout, wouldn’t the safe play be to scoop up some MSFT while it’s beaten down right now? What, they own like a third of OpenAI still right?

maschin1982

On friday Simeone buy 2890 MSFT 500 calls expire in July. Dies He know Something 🤔

OrangMiskin

Channeling MSFT +10% 🙏🏻 lmao my dick could fall off first before that happens

Zuko2001

You know the funny thing? We could rip 3% higher on the indexes on Monday and somehow MSFT and META will be up 0.2% LMFAO

Iunatic

If MSFT announces dilution this week I will kill myself

2024-YR4-Asteroid

Anthropic is saying it’s time to perform regulatory capture to they can preserve their most around agentic programming. OAI, Anthropics and MSFT have spend the last 3 years throwing LLMs at everything trying to find what sticks, what its use case is, surprise surprise, it’s good at thing involving language, like programming. They don’t want people to be able to use opensource models locally to program. Imagine when Google releases a local opensource model that is even 75% of opus but can be fine tuned on your own codebases and run on a laptop… that destroyers their entire business model instantly.

JerkyJunkie

Nobody will be using water for cooling... There is a very heavily undervalued company, ticker CC Chemours. They basically own all of the patents for the different chemical mixtures, that will be used for cooling in basically everything… Chips, cars, energy production, air/space aviation, robotics, data centers, quantum computers, cryptocurrency mining, etc.. Remember who made the most money during the gold rush. Not the miners, not the refiners, not the brokers, nor the jewelers… The company selling the shovels, and other tools for unearthing the gold. CC is the company selling the shovels. NVDA, PLTR, SPCX, TSLA, MARA, HUT, EV companies, IONQ, MSFT, AMZN, META, and the list goes on…. Will all be in a position where they are beholden to CC as their only option for liquid cooling. Which on a side-note, was really the only, and largest setback when it has come to the Blackwell chip (Chinese limits aside). Putting two and two together that means that the highest market cap company in the world requires CC (AS A NECESSITY) to move forward in any linear way. Especially when the Reuben chip goes into production, as I’m sure Jensen will not make the same mistake twice. Considering that the new chip uses significantly more power, and generates incredible amounts of heat. Transitively speaking the chips will require much more cooling than the Blackwell, and current stacks.. Which again, had already ran into major cooling issues last round when it was run single, let alone in a stack! G-D Bless, and best of trading to everybody!💙✝️🙏🔥

Lazy_Connection8220

Appl 100%, rest could be AMZN /TSLA/ GOOGL - fuck MSFT

confused_teabagger

GOOG and MSFT are literally the broken down street whores of tech stock living off of daddy's inherited money.

No-Alarm3762

MSFT up almost 5% on HyperLiquid, $447, it’s right 90%+ of the times https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/MSFT/USDC

booobReviewer

Tesla and Apple are the two I'd flag. TSLA's valuation still prices in a robotics/AI/autonomy dream scenario that keeps getting pushed out. AAPL at 30x+ earnings with single-digit revenue growth is priced for perfection — services revenue is growing but hardware replacement cycles are lengthening. GOOGL and MSFT look the most reasonably priced on forward earnings. AMZN's AWS margins keep expanding so the multiple has support. NVDA's forward P/E is actually dropping as earnings catch up — depends on whether you think AI capex sustains.

booobReviewer

I don't think selling at $460 was a mistake. MSFT is at $417 today, so you'd be buying back cheaper. On the $500 by 2027 question — analyst consensus is $560, and with fwd P/E of 21.5x (cheap for mega-cap tech historically), $500 by 2027 is well within reach. That's only ~20% from here over 18 months. The bigger question is whether AI monetization through Azure and Copilot continues accelerating. Microsoft has the distribution advantage that most AI competitors don't.

booobReviewer

Tough call, they're in different risk buckets. NVDA at $205 has a forward P/E around 16x, which is actually cheap for them historically — analyst targets average $298, so there's upside if AI capex holds. But beta is 2.2, so you're along for the ride when semis correct (as we saw this week). MSFT at $416 is steadier — forward P/E ~21.5x, beta 1.1, diverse revenue across cloud, enterprise, AI. Upside to the $560 consensus is there but over a longer timeline. Comes down to risk tolerance: NVDA if you want higher upside with more volatility, MSFT if you want compound growth you can sleep through.

stuntondeezh0es

Where do you see OpenAI has 10b annualized revenue? They’re operating at a loss every month. This was found out when MSFT invested in them and it was discovered. They’re gonna IPO at like $900B but they’re negative revenue? This isn’t a bubble?

CALAND951

Anthropic and OpenAI are selling to hundreds of enterprises — insurance companies, law firms, banks, hospitals, software startups. OpenAI is over $10B annualized revenue. That money isn't coming from NVDA or MSFT — it's coming from completely separate industries paying per token to build real products. NVDA sells chips → hyperscalers use them to run inference → enterprises pay for that inference → those enterprises generate real economic output. That's a supply chain, not a circle. Ford buys steel, steel companies book revenue — is the auto industry a Ponzi? The circular revenue argument would indict every supplier relationship in every industry.

CALAND951

This is the best bear case in the thread and you're not wrong that it's the right framework. But the Cisco analogy breaks down on the fundamentals. Cisco in 2000 was priced on the assumption that every business would need networking gear *once*. The buildout was real but the monetization was a one-time event — after enterprises bought routers, they stopped. Revenue collapsed because the demand curve was a spike, not a sustained ramp. NVDA's situation is structurally different. The hyperscalers aren't buying GPUs to build static infrastructure — they're buying them to run inference workloads that grow with usage, then replacing them with the next generation 18 months later. MSFT, GOOG, META, and AMZN have all *raised* capex guidance this year and said demand is outstripping supply. That's not analysts projecting future adoption. That's current, paid, recurring demand from the four largest companies on earth. You're right that in a bubble everything looks cheap on forward estimates. But "looks like a bubble" isn't a valuation argument. The Cisco comparison only works if you can show the FY27 estimates are as disconnected from reality as the 2003 broadband projections were. What's your specific estimate for where NVDA earnings land in FY27, and what assumption breaks it?

Consistent_Grab_69

There's Github Copilot CLI which is basically a copy of Claude CLI. But MSFT has one of the best B2B distribution networks. In the AI race, currently models are the moat because almost every other feature can be straight copied and there exists parallels across every provider. Kiro CLI is the Amazon equivalent.

Xx360StalinScopedxX

MSFT is cooked

KrimzonK

MSFT, PG, PEP, usually div stock

NerdSlamPo

Based on recent insider moves and public signals, my largely uninformed guess is that the main players announced besides OpenAI/Anthropic will be META and MSFT (plus some kickbacks to AVGO, Oracle and Service Now... somehow)

biglebowskidude

MSFT — Options Activity Analysis Price $416.67, down 2.66% today, sitting \~22% below 52-week high. What retail gets wrong about options flow: • Big put volume 7 crash prediction. A fund buying 50,000 puts at $400 is probably hedging a $5B equity position, not calling a crash • You can't tell if large blocks are opening or closing trades • Market makers generate massive volume daily with zero directional conviction What actually matters: • Persistent open interest at the same strike = institutional anchoring • Volatility term structure spikes in longer-dated options = genuine uncertainty • Put/call ratio alone is a weak signal MSFT specific: Trading 22% below yearly highs with Azure AI growth intact. Options fear looks more like macro hedging than conviction bearishness. Bottom line: Don't trade MSFT based on options flow alone. Watch earnings and Azure growth numbers instead.

Temporary-Basil-3030

MSFT is a fucking pos. Don't go near it.

HomeworkAdditional19

MSFT

Temporary-Basil-3030

MSFT that fucking pos.

Chookity-poks

I am interested in more details of your plan if you don’t bother to share. Personally I will “cut” more on volatile stocks rather than The ones I have more faith in. For example, even at these valuations, I rather cut more (percentage-wise) on META and MSFT than I would on Apple or GOOGL (although google has been a bit volatile itself the last few months, but mostly due to growth).

Bazzer82

More chance of MSFT going up 30% in the next month. Not gonna happen.

OneTwoThreePooAndPee

I might swap MSFT or AAPL for AMZN.

Samjabr

MSFT - eww

VoidMageZero

Not too worried about MSFT. There are lots of overvalued stocks right now, MSFT is not one of them.

ga643953

But would you say companies like CRM,META, or even MSFT have been running hot? They are all still red YTD, why are they also being sold off?

Coloradospruce33

Why MSFT, META and NFLX dog shit?

stonksf

Rate my port VOO 15.63%, QQQM 9.38%, INTC 12.50%, NVDA 9.38%, QCOM 6.25%, AVGO 7.81%, NOW 10.94%, MSFT 14.06%, ORCL 6.25%, MRVL 7.81% :)

OrangMiskin

My MSFT calls need some saving

music_is_gud

From that list? I have only NVDA (very small position), MRVL, IREN and AVGO. My port right now is a bit skewed towards rebound plays from Friday which I normally won't buy. I have AAOX, MVLL, AVGX, IRE, KORU, MULL, NVDA, DRAM and MSFT. But before Friday, I didn't have half of those. Planning to sell most of them post a small rebound

RD_006

MSFT? It's been down since before Billy Bob caught an STD.

ColtonOrr69

Should have sold MSFT at 460 or think it eventually hits 500 by 2027?

IjustWorkHere98

The [dot.com](http://dot.com) was a different bubble because many of those companies weren't profitable or established. All the chip companies have been around at least 10-20 years, and have been profitable. Same for hyperscalers (Google, MSFT, AMZN). Even data centers. That doesn't mean we don't need a healthy correction - maybe that started yesterday. Some of the run-ups in the last 2 months are scary, and need some more days like yesterday (Friday, June 5th) to smooth things out.

Ok_Entrepreneur_dbl

If you bought Nasdaq index on April 3rd 2001 it was $1800 and by 2007ot was over $2000. Incidentally, if you bought AMZN around the same time - it was all gains from there. Also investing into companies like MSFT after 2002 were just fine. You mention S&P but there were plenty of other opportunities not mention DCA helps with recovry as well. While sever drops or crashes are scary at the moment for many, it is an opportunity for others.

Much_Candle_942

I didn't understand it well. You mean to say, around end-June (15 days after June 12th), the nasdaq heavyweights like NVDA, AAPL, MSFT etc. will drop? Because the nasdaq linked ETFs need to "make room" for SpaceX. If that happens, naturally most people would jump in on buying calls/stock of these companies. But again, this may not necessarily happen - because weight of SpaceX in the index might just be 2%. What may work better is - covered call on QQQ? Because I doubt if QQQ would run up higher strongly no matter whatever happens with SpaceX.

DryBicycle5629

MSFT will pump back up right before next earnings for sure, just need it to go back to 480 and I’m out for real..

OrangMiskin

Doubled down on MSFT calls before close on Friday. Lmao am I fuk

Moepenmoes

I've just looked at how sperm donating works and holy shit what a world. They literally use a dating app-like system to match the donors with the receivers, and you can set preferences for nationalities, hobbies, looks, religion and so on, even more filters than dating apps have. Then I checked for what it takes to become a sperm donor, and apparently less than 10% of the donors will get through the screening. Also, you're asked to visit weekly for 1-2 years and you're asked to never jerk off in between the weekly visits because it could affect the volume and quality. Anyway, 70% of my port is holding onto $MSFT for dear life and I'm expecting next week to be pretty volatile because of the SpaceX ipo. The other 30% on META and GOOG for a stable non-AI dependant tech tilt. Dumped $AVGO right after earnings because they're clearly a lost case, their forecast is way below the AI industry's average at the moment. This was a cashflow update. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

Jericho3434

I understand, I owned it too. I just saw the market didn’t care and kept going up but leaving MSFT behind. It’s frustrating and hard to watch everything and everyone make money and you’re stuck with something doing nothing in a raging bull market. I’m thinking the market is anticipating lower revenue due to AI replacing seats.

uberiffic

I mean, I believe MSFT is one of if not the most undervalued Mag7 stock right now. I didnt buy it because Reddit said it was good. I hate the stock because this is what it does. It will go up 3%+ in a single day, then give it all back and then some the next day or within a few days. It's just frustrating to watch daily.

Jericho3434

Yeah, Reddit really bought into the MSFT turn around story. When you have tickers getting spammed at you every day, it’s hard to not buy whatever is being presented. I actually bought it too and sold it after it kept going down when the Nasdaq would go up 2%. I knew the market didn’t care for the stock. I bought DRAM (which I already sold) instead and made out handsomely.

uberiffic

Not sure, but since April 30th I've been entirely back in MSFT and went from up 12.5% to only up 4% in the last 3-4 days. I hate this stock. From +$45k to +$12k. I knew I should have sold and bought the dip at +$45k.

Coloradospruce33

Should I sell my MSFT I bought 2-3 weeks ago and load the boat with RDDT?

H1ghlan_der_only1

I have 7. PLTR. MRVL SNOW RBRK AVGO MSFT and FIGR. Go figure.

Bud_Dawg

Meh. MSFT will be back

SoonToBeBanned666

MSFT, ICE, CPRT cause I’m not into gambling