Reddit Posts
All BS aside, how’s calls on MSFT looking this week?
Me going into earnings week with $5000 in SMCI, MSFT, & AMD calls
Need to practice option trading with paper money
Who’s ready to burn their life savings this week
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
This is a small dumb little thing but it's HUGE in its Implications - Google Puts Chrome On Windows ARM - Effectively Seeding Chromebooks
Who’s buying MSFT & AMD calls for earnings?
I took too long to move my MSFT stocks and now I don't know if I should wait after the weekend to buy.
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Wall Street Newsletter S03E06: All-time highs are here. What's next?
Poor Man’s Covered Call What it is, why I’m doing it with $30k worth of MSFT calls , and why you should consider trying it. TLDR at TOP
MSFT has now overtaken AAPL in market cap.
Some predictions for Microsoft, Palantir, AMD, Amazon, Spotify and Tesla.
Is it normal for the index funds to be weighted this heavily by mega caps?
What are your top picks for the top performance stocks for this year?
Epic V Continues to Show How Little Risk Exists
Has anyone seriously looked at Global Foundries [$GFS]
$CBDW News 1606 Corp. CEO Attends Consumer Electronics Show (CES) For Collaboration Meetings
$MSFT has potentially created a "new battery" with AI - Musk / $TSLA Says Interesting
Top 10 S&P 500 companies by market cap weighting since 1980. MSFT is the reining champ for persistence.
The true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
A true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
Lumen $LUMN Insider & Big Boys Buying Spree Post Dividend Halt, Kate Johnson & Co. Personally Buying the Dip
LUMEN $LUMN INSIDER & BIG BOYS BUYING SPREE POST DIVI HALT, KATE JOHNSON & CO. BACK THE DIP HARD!
And the AI Show Goes On - GPT 4.5 Turbo Leaks - $MSFT - Its Real And Available -https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/ai-services/openai
Taiwan Semi (TSMC) will be 'back to strong growth in 2024' - JPMorgan (holding small position)
Potential for massive shorts/puts tmrw (Jan 4th) after the release of the Epstein List (likely today after market close, Jan 3rd)?
If Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s list is this a great put buying opportunity for MSFT?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on the Jeffrey Epstein Client List sound like a bad idea?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s client list sound like a bad idea?
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if Buffet needs a new #2.
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if buffet needs a new #2.
How would you spend $1500 if you regularly forget stocks exist for months at a time? How do you decide which stocks are to be held and which losses cut?
Keep an eye on $MSFT (potential put money making opportunity)
If you had $40k to invest right now, what would you do with it?
The NYTs is suing Microsoft and I think there is a profitability play on their stocks
New York Times sues Microsoft and OpenAI for copyright infringement
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
Do you ever buy stocks outside of the indexes and Mag 7 near all time highs?
Question regarding this type of Play Option?
The biggest lesson that I've learned in my 10 year investing career.
MSFTs Open Ai will raise funds with valuation of $100B
Mentions
Felt so freeing unloading all my MSFT
MSFT and NVDA trading in 20x on forward earnings is unironically retarded
MSFT next fridays 360 puts if you want a good high probability trade
There's a reason that MSFT is one of the only 2 stocks in the world to be rated AAA
You don't matter to MSFT. Their enterprise clients that pay them 10,000X than you haven't and won't be cancelling anything. That's why they tolerate retail not activating and even pirating their softwares. The other big chunk of their revenue comes from cloud which you're using to see this.
$MSFT CEO why not fired yet???
I don't have Meta, been holding MSFT that is worst ... Hahaha
How is the Iran war affecting META, MSFT, SOFI? Their revenue is tied mostly and even only for SOFI tied to the US. This is just the market de-risking and they're getting sold off more than the index. 3,6 and 12 month calls!
MSFT is way overpriced - their copilot no body uses, founder is pedo, excel is outdated, all their products has bugs
FFS MSFT just go up a little.... it's not illegal!!!
why MSFT always the leader of the landslide
I’m gonna need MSFT to stop being a bitch and 🚀🚀🚀
How many of you fell for the MSFT pump fakeout lol
Whenever I see the ticker $LUNR, I read it as "Lunar" instead of "intuitive machines" Whereas when I see tickers like $MSFT, I read it as "Microsoft" Anyone else do this?
MSFT is a great buy at this point. When it rebounds is anyone’s guess.
MSFT and META are looking pretty interesting if anybody is looking to add some tech into their portfolio. Bought some QCOM and V this morning.
i wish i full ported MSFT at 384 rather than 405 like a regard
Another day of getting downvoted by the MSFT bag holders as I continue to say it’s still a great short right here
MSFT wtf? Retirement fukt soon to be fukt behind Wendy's.
Thank you to whoever talked me out of buying MSFT 450 june leaps
Chuck Norris died doing what he loved doing best, bagholding MSFT Leaps 😭
Shout out to MSFT for offering generational buying opportunities every day for months.
currently down 40k on my MSFT position, GUH
Is MSFT gonna ever recover? Windows 11 is horrendous and everyone hates copilot, no redeeming qualities so far.
I offloaded all my MSFT shares and I’m dancing boys. Bitch ass CEO kwik-e-mart looking motherfucker
I offloaded all my MSFT shares and I’m dancing boys. Indian bitch ass CEO quickie Mary looking motherfucker
Finally sold MSFT. Fuck that company who even uses that anymore. Stocks going below $300
Holy fuck bro tell me how I managed to pick MSFT and META to be my biggest BAG7 holdings
All the bers on MSFT finally convinced me to open a position, will dca from here
Just sold MSFT and loaded up on RIVN
Just sold 1,072 shares of MSFT and I feel so RELIEVED. Fuck that mark ass company
Lmao. I bought these last year when MSFT was 490. I've eaten nothing but shit since then. My worst trade yet.
where is that guy who bet 12k on MSFT for his surgery? RIP, broski
Thinking of the guy on the front page that YOLOd on MSFT calls lmaooo
MSFT going tits up. WTF? My retirement is getting fukt. Pretty soon Imma be joining the young retards and $CORN bros behind Wendy's. This sux.
my MSFT calls are not doing so hot
everyone bearish on MSFT i’m buying calls
How about below my buy price? Looking at you MSFT. Bought in way too early.
MSFT bols sweating blood rn
MSFT 450 seems as distant as this war ending
another day, another red dump for MSFT. Already down 1.5%
I guess we no longer need MSFT, GOOG or Meta .
You all thought MSFT will be safe even though SaaS is dead? No MSFT is going to $500B valuation
Thanks for that MSFT. Just lost 3k in 5 minutes
MSFT versus META battling for most worthless company
Anyone have the MSFT CEOs email
MSFT i just wanna beat the livi9ng crap out of you until my fucking hamnds break of my arms u dont fucking undersatnd how bad u fucked me over
MSFT too. I don’t think Microsoft seen green since 24’
If Trump wants to leave a legacy he needs to tweet rn that the USA is investing $500 billion in MSFT
WOW... MSFT is fucked!
Is this the MSFT "Dip"
I wanna see bitch as MSFT go to zero. Then maybe the cocksuckers at corporate will say something. Bitch ass company
MSFT about to be a penny stock and I need to practice my sloppy toppy technique for Wendy’s
So will MSFT bounce off 380 or just plummet through all the way to hell?
buy MSFT and join us in Viking Valhalla
same here, MSFT please reach 500$ in 1 year, i cannot wait too long ...
MSFT chart now displays an NSFW warning due to gaping bol anoos
I try to ignore buy price and instead focus on target allocation. But META, MSFT, NVDA and BRK are particularly dirt cheap rn.
SPY bears probably celebrated too early. MSFT bears are probably safe and should party like it's 1999
MSFT such dogshit. Nothing has felt better recently than selling the top on that bounce
MSFT about to head to 380 shits a fucking piece of shit
Might sell some MSFT and buy TSLA calls. It'll pop back quicker than everything except CVNA.
I’m gonna go shit in MSFT hq lobby. Not the lobby bathroom. But the lobby floor. They shit on me. I shit on them.
MSFT below both its 20 and 50 day EMA right now. When it gets this oversold the weekly bounce has about a 60% hit rate. Cold comfort staring at red, but it does tend to snap back from here.
MSFT has been stuck below its 20 and 50 day EMAs for over a week. Needs to reclaim those before 550 is even in the conversation. Hope the surgery goes well though.
MSFT bag holders, your pounding continues today
MSFT red again nothing new
GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN and shorting DAL are going to be my coffin nails
I'm bagholding both META and MSFT, I must be very wise
US is on track to surpass WW2 debt to GDP ratio in next few years easily All US fund managers are balls deep invested at ATH lol with little money to buy dips: https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/VT68UeYQXR Stagflation is on the horizon (inflation is sticky and looks like it will continue like even disregarding the Iran war which is gonna accelerate it + we have job losses now in the official numbers, though anyone trying to get a new job in 2025 knew the economy was cooked already)... This means Fed cannot do QE very easily and even if they do you cannot really print your way out of Stagflation very easily, plus I doubt QE will be a magic bullet that stops mass layoffs and white collar offshoring in America and this whole K shaped economy that is teetering despite consumer spending being 70% of GDP BTW!!! Private credit and venture capital is in the shit hole being over leveraged to the balls on GPT wrapper dogshit startups OR on SaaS that is being rerated lower from 48493944x PE ratio (see like Atlassian stock, Figma stock, Asana stock, basically any fucking SaaS stock even MSFT or NOW which are blue chip SaaS lol)... (look at $KKR or $APO stock and all of YC's and 16z's and etc.'s investments) Circular financing deals and debt that must see a return eventually for AI bubble spending, I'm talking both the AI labs and all the infrastructure providers (if this debt has to be paid back, stocks that were at ATH will be sold to do so btw)... You can't use ChatGPT or Claude forever while burning tens of billions of $$$ annually... Uber and Spotify and all these unicorns did it for years, but the magnitude of their capex burn into an oven to do so was nothing compared to OpenAI and Anthropic.... Mango is in office, non zero chance bro gets a stroke randomly in next 4y or like does other regarded shit to fk the economy over more and accelerate all of above said reasons Tell me what is bullish? Like genuinely idk The only thing i can think of is stocks are not as overpriced as in 1928 or 1999... Otherwise I don't know legit
The thing people forget about MSFT is they own ~30% of openAI, and get a flat 20% rev share from them until 2032. The stock is under-valued imo
The problem is not so much Theta itself but the crazy OTM strike with a delta of 0.14. daily theta is still -0.04. He also bought it when it was at like $410. For OPs sake I hope this pans out, but if I had the same bullish bias I probably would’ve considered one contract with a 300 strike at delta .8 same expiration bought with MSFT at $390. He needs a decent move even to get back to where he bought these at which may take until after the Iran bullshit. I don’t see MSFT popping anytime soon, so timing actually is a problem here once the clock starts ticking against OP.
It's really that shrimple. Some stocks are definitely suffering (MSFT being down over 30% from ATH is a big oof for example) but if we are keeping it real, the market as a whole is pretty stalwart through all this bullshit. SPY is a much better indicator for general market sentiment and all you have to do is zoom out. We are barely down. The constant pingponging up and down makes it feel worse than it actually is because it's ultimately sideways action. Like you said, until SPY takes like a 20% haircut, I'm yawning bro.
Theta, it's barely a factor at the beginning of this trade. Just hope MSFT will move $50 in the next couple of months, and you will make your money OP. Good luck.
wtf. Just buy ITM at least. * **The Good:** You gave yourself the gift of time. The burn of Theta is minimal. * **Umm:** exceptionally far OTM. Twats that, 40% above the current. $8.07 entirely in extrinsic premium. Delta is low. Must get significantly closer to $550 before you capture any movement in your value. Legit requires a sustained bull run just to reach $558 breakeven. Instead of buying deep OTM, sell now - and look at ITM or ATM so you can pull out of the ATM a year from now lol. Fewer contracts obviously, but mathematical probability of profit increases significantly. I used a Black-Scholes pricing model (assuming an implied volatility of \~29.2% based on your $550 strike's $8.07 premium) to estimate $12,105 of capital could have bought: * **OTM ($550):** 15 contracts at $8.07 = $12,105 deployed. * **ATM ($390):** Cost roughly $49.64. You could buy **\~2.44 contracts** for $12,105. * **ITM ($350):** Cost roughly $72.15. You could buy **\~1.68 contracts** for $12,105. If MSFT is trading at $600 on exp. day, net profit for each scenario minus $12,105. All ya'll monkeys can correct me if ya have better data to work from. * **Your Current OTM ($550):** $62,895 profit * **Alternative ATM ($390):** $39,100 profit * **Alternative ITM ($350):** $29,840 profit Here's a table, and here's why you should switch now in my ape opinion. |MSFT Post Exp.|**Result**|**OTM ($550 Strike)**|**ATM ($390 Strike)**|**ITM ($350 Strike)**| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |**$400**|*(+2.5%)*|**-$12,105 (Total Loss)**|\-$9,666|\-$3,716| |**$450**|*(+15%)*|**-$12,105 (Total Loss)**|\+$2,525|\+$4,673| |**$500**|*(+28%)*|**-$12,105 (Total Loss)**|\+$14,716|\+$13,062| |**$550**|*(+41%)*|**-$12,105 (Total Loss)**|\+$26,908|\+$21,451| |**$560**|*(+43%)*|\+$2,895|\+$29,346|\+$23,128| |**$600**|*(+53%)*|**+$62,895**|**+$39,100**|**+$29,840**| If MSFT is going to rocket past $560 to $600+, OTM calls are superior lottery tickets. I wish you luck. Let me join you with 1 contract XD
MSFT nuked my port from like 90k to 30 odd in the space of a week. I bought my April 500C back in Nov when it was like 480-490 ish. Thought I was making the expensive but relatively safe gamble 😂 made my winnings last year with far OTM short dated calls. Lost it all on relatively long near ITM ones. Ironic really
MSFT's been printing money anyway so honestly could work out, healthcare system's just built different I guess.
Why not bet on a higher leverage AI play. The only way MSFT beats ATH in time for your surgery is if AI revs ramp up hard in the next 4ish months. So you must know about some big upcoming IT spend decisions to make this bet, so you should find better returns elsewhere, right?
The post below yours is titled “Murder by $MSFT” Good luck 🍀
Guy/gal, there are actually good trades to still be found in this shit market. When MSFT rebounds to $405 again in the short term sell those calls for break even.
I managed to lose $1000 on covered calls MSFT, promised not to look at this sh.t stock ever. I saw your post &their progress did not surprise me. F U loser Bill gates
I agree, this time is a bit different from last 4-5 memory super cycles. The demand is so big that those 20 steps forward could even be permanent, hence 10% position conviction in memory despite unpredictability nature of this sector. Despite that, my point still stands, P/E is designed to be able to compare current cashflow, future cashflow, and predictability compared to other equity like MSFT or Bonds to be able determine intrinsic value. There's a reason why SaaS are so expensive, and Hardware/Semis are so cheap. Predictability is key. Unpredictability like MU breaks this model. Not even top firms in wallstreet could model intrinsic value of MU correctly. Otherwise, If MU Announces that those revenue are sticky and won't decrease, stock would've been over $1000 by now
Can't tell if the people claiming that AMZN, MSFT, META are going to keep falling / stay flat for 2 years because of capital expenditures reducing eps are serious or trolling. Surely most investors know that the market is forward looking...
MSFT will be $600 before this expires. Massive increase in hardware and VM software licensing is pushing companies to make the switch from managing their own DCs to pushing to the cloud. Only downside to cloud is the 3x price tag. Now that it’s less than 2x, IT departments will switch from self hosting to cloud and cut headcount in the process.
lost 30k in my MSFT shares position right now, still holding …
I need more of you retards to post MSFT loss porn so it can pump
Maybe look at MSFT last report. AI is generating revenue. They are still growing at a huge rate. People are afraid of the CapEx
Guys like OP are paying the salaries for MSFT’s new Indian employees
My regard tried a few call with MSFT and it burn me everytime.
This is one of the worst leaps you could buy right now lol. The thing about the massive Capex Meta/MSFT/Amazon all the mag 7 are doing and the reason their stock prices have gone done since those announcements, is that it is going to significantly lower their eps growth over the next few years with the depreciation costs. They will likely stay pretty flat for the next little while until AI actually starts generating significant returns for them over what they are dishing out.
You’re a little early. Bottom for MSFT $350