NVDA

GlumTopic2026

NVDA

GlumTopic2026

My predictions for tomorrow / this week: 1) Oil ends at ballpark $66 tomorrow unless a specific event causes a spike but $66 is the heightened price given the uncertainty but with no major events; 2) NVDA rises back to high $180’s low $190’s after getting clobbered last week for no apparent reason; 3) VIX jumps to $25-$35 until the market has more clarity; Thoughts?

Ok_Cry7572

Wen NVDA 200?

modder9

NVDA Bols have a mental illness or hate money.

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANG Members

FullCopy

NVDA bols bought the dip on Friday. 😆

dogefool88

NVDA gang - keep cash ready to buy shares at $100

hazxrrd

I really appreciate the question! A professional equities analyst has resources the general public does not, such as being able to do “channel checks” with customers and the company and having access to the most sophisticated models currently used in finance. They also use public data such as historical, industry, macro, and peer information to add inputs. A retail analyst (me) is really only able to utilize the public data, company guidance, and whatever modeling tools they’ve created. Since we know *how* to calculate EPS from revenue, more assumptions/modeling happens and you get an output EPS. Guidance is a little trickier because it is the company’s expectation as of the release, so things that seem like a sure thing (china), cannot be added to official analyst forecasts. NVDA being business to business rather than to consumer also makes things tougher. Overall it’s a lot of math, some assumptions, and some incorporation of macroeconomic factors over the period. “Forecasts tell you more about the forecaster than the future” -Warren Buffet

Top_Cranberry_3254

!Banbet NVDA 166 at open.

Fangslash

Earning headlines are just a summary of what the company has done, there’s a lot of thing underneath the hood For example NVDA had a blowout earning, but a lot of it is in the form of acquiring asset/securities from their customers, as a result their cashflow is not as good so the stock dropped

Crazy_Donkies

No.  It's priced perfectly and people need to move to other data center stocks.  Seriously.    Sorry NVDA bulls.  Love the stock but now it's just a store of value, but not growth.  And that's not a BTC type shot.

DiamondHands667

Anyone eyeing NVDA calls tomorrow?

IDrinkSulfuricAcid

Relax, NVDA's rejected 170 like 5 times since November

DrummerCompetitive20

Most major stocks are already down 20-50% and peeps are surprised they arent down another 10% right now LOL....like yeah NVDA needs a single handle PE LOL

SnooMacaroons4024

So I’m a relatively new investor, however my question is: is it too late to put a ticket in to buy UCO or USO ? My NVDA and TQQQ hit my stop gap based off of my risk management system I use so I have capital to get involved with.

ComprehensiveDoor130

NVDA calls.

HaveAKlondike

Thank god NVDA recovered

ser_kingslayer_

Watch risk assets skyrocket with $NVDA leading the way, and oil and gold actually fall by 11 am tomorrow. Iran war doesn't mean jackshit, and has been overhedged for

VictoriaAutNihil

I own AMD, NVDA, AMAT; but the one I own that I've been adding to since 04/25 (owned it pre-tariff dip) is MRVL. Many analysts have them by 4th quarter 2027 at $150-60. Currently sitting at $82.

ch0c0l8cake

NVDA going green 🤣

codespyder

NVDA calls at close was the play

Specialist703

OpenAi saving NVDA after that partnership lol

b_fellow

I might have asked too much for NVDA 0dte 165p

Aromatic-Ad-6244

Is NVDA building nuclear now?! Fuckkk! 🚀

Deadsea3132

Holy shit NVDA green dildo just flew over my house

KittyLover-7

Holy NVDA strength

craig_k20

NVDA shrekking

FloppyButtholeJelly

And NVDA is what sector? 

FineJuggernaut3295

NVDA 190 this week

Cav829

NVDA might retest $170 the way things are going.

HuckleberryFit4084

NVDA calls ?

FloppyButtholeJelly

NVIDIA’s stock have been up swinging since way before last year……news flash the stock market and NVDA weren’t just created last year. 

tika_dengu

what a damp squib, all hopes of NVDA 120 squashed

tika_dengu

what a damp squib, all hopes of NVDA 120 squashed

LocalExamination6691

Not sure how you arrived at 5x eps is p/e of 40? Current EPS gives a P/E of 80ish? If the EPS x5 how is the P/E ending up at 40 lol... Looks more likely to be around 15 P/E if and EPS of 20+ is acheived. And P/E of 15 for a rapidly growing Ai chip supplier sounds a little low :) Just looking at NVDA+Avgo P/E right now even after their drawbacks?

1337Scott

Hows NVDA going to look tomorrow?

Crazy_Donkies

I was way more nervous for NVDA.  

FrontQueasy3156

I think you're about to hit the jackpot my friend. All these idiots in here saying it'll be green by the end of day/week are about to be very fucking suprised. My reasoning is this. NVDA had solid earnings surpassing very lofty expectations even. That should have been the catalyst for 700+ on SPY if it were going to happen. Instead the S&P sold off on Thursday and Friday. Its going down next week and if SPY breaks support at 675 there's a lot of room for you to make outsized gains. Id diamond hands this mf into expiration if it were me holding these contacts. I held vix calls over the weekend and am expecting a similar result for my play. The whole Iran thing did factor into my decision to make my play but I think its just the icing on the cake now. This thing was going down hard anyway. Best of luck to you. Let's both hope im right!

breadlover96

1. Last week they announced a big investment in OpenAI right before Altman said he got the Death Star contract from Kegsbreath. 2. Nvidia also announced a new chip platform on Friday. I bet the whole market tumbles at open and recovers. NVDA extra green.

ch0c0l8cake

Wanna do the NVDA show butt hole bet?

tekkers_for_debrz

Nvda succeeds with the war in Iran. Those rockets are legit powered by NVDA chips.

TheWokenessInjector

90% of my port is gld 500 leaps, 5% is rnmby and 5% is NVDA leaps. Should be a nice Shrek tomorrow.

early-retirement-plz

After seeing NVDA selloff, you’d have to be a moron to buy calls on AVGO. Which is exactly why calls is the play.

SwingLord420

Ya I don't think this take gets enough credit.  Iran is off the table as a contributing factor to Russian aggression and Chinese oil (atm).  I think this is bullish for the dollar and might possibly change the odds of Chinese aggression re taiwan (which effects NVDA).   If this is a quick hit job and we are out, I can see it as a bullish move overall, derisking USA competition.  Monday, who knows 

AConsciousApe

Silver and gold about to print money. NVDA about to rape my asshole.

AFTCP

This sub has been in a state of hysteria since the NVDA earnings

SignificantStuff5446

Great post. Thanks for the perspective. And Friday, NVDA closed at a 16.3 FPE next fiscal year.

ANR2ME

Most of them are major tech companies like NVDA (highest portion), MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, META.

LeakingAlpha

Came here to say this. I think the mag7 minus Tesla actually has slightly lower valuations than the S&P as a whole right now and it's gonna look crazy in a year when NVDA trailing PE is in the low 20s assuming no price appreciation.

Happy-Champion1661

yeah nice joke lmao, so KO is the new NVDA? or will it go bankrupt as well?

GlumTopic2026

NVDA is too hard to ignore in the $170’s

GlumTopic2026

Generally ViX calls. Individually, hard to ignore buying NVDA at these levels even in a negative market.

Personal-Walrus-3682

The defense department's AI will become the US government's AI, and as a result that company will better scale in the private sector first with government contractors then with everyone turning to the status quo company. This was great news for OpenAI and their investors like MSFT, NVDA, etc.

VirtualParzival

I’m the idiot who bought a NVDA call on Friday so…. You’re welcome.

isolated-cat

the war was priced in last week. recent precious metals pump decoupled from DXY, and NVDA dump was traders hedging and positioning themselves for the war. not expecting the market to move much this week

FutureNativeLawyer

I’m going to buy $NVDA if it dips below $170

CEOofBeanz

Dang bruh, NVDA 200 soon

JJZinna

I dont understand this myth of great earnings and the stock going down. They have a 50+ p/e and are the #1 market cap stock. Even with doubled earnings it wouldn’t be a cheap stock at this valuation. NVDA isnt prices to meet expectations, its priced to shatter them and forecast growth on top.

Kattilaeikka

!banbet NVDA 168 5d

saaga2024

I would buy at ~$170 but NVDA price is just more attractive right now.

Nachtbeest23

Iran & Israel will sell gold and NVDA for the war, I don't think it will be bullish.

Haowuxi

OP, you are judging yourself on what ifs against the result that is already revealed. What matters is whether your process was good when you took that decision. When you judge yourself in hindsight based on the result, you never get a chance to develop reliable criteria for assessing your trades. You are not controling what the stock actually does, and you can't predict the future. You can only react to what is happening. I would also be running away, NVDA has institutional backing, a lot of incentive to dip for liqudiity, pump for FOMO, or to keep the price levels for quarterly results. Then you have retail willing to throw itself at it as soon as it goes up, or eat up distribution. Read "One Good Trade" by Mike Bellafiore. It's not a toolbox, but rather a great book about developing coherent attitude in trading. Still, I recommend it. :D

NeighborhoodDry1821

People look to reduce risk, money is moved from NVDA which is 99.9% of the market to more defensive stocks that will benefit more from current events

DrummerCompetitive20

NVDA 140 tomorrow

helloWorldcamelCase

As mentioned in your post, usually you buy AMD to play the relative discount against its peer NVDA, but with NVDA approaching 200 day moving average and no sign of dwindling business in their recent prints, I am not sure if there will be enough risk appetite for AMD. Like if you already have deep cost basis advantage it'd be fine to hold and see what they deliver, but new buy here seems rather mediocre risk/reward unless there is big fundamental narrative shift. Just being cheap isn't enough anymore.

Top_Cranberry_3254

Good for you. Yep, I was in on that back in April, too, which is kind of my point lol. I thought 104 was the bottom, but it eventually hit around 80-85, which was nuts. I can never get NVDA right lol. I will say though that I'll never forget the doomers and morons on reddit saying their financial adviser expert told them it was going to 65 and was a worthless company at the time lol.

Big_Bad_Fish11

Can't decide if I want to swing trade SNDK shares tomorrow or TSLA/NVDA calls one month out on a dip at open.

Top_Cranberry_3254

I got 2 shares at 177 close on Friday so expect a big drop at open. Any time I buy NVDA, it falls so hoping to AVG down at 160-166 tomorrow morning.

Top_Cranberry_3254

!banbet NVDA 166 tomorrow. Why? Because I bought on Friday.

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANG Members checking in

Ok_Cry7572

Y'all I need to get a 20% gain in the next 2 months. Should I hold 2x TSLA or 2x NVDA?

Got_Engineers

I analyzed option contracts from last week and there were far more NTM/ITM puts than calls on QQQ SPY NVDA especially for Monday. My interpretation from options flows from Friday for this week is that we will sell off Monday, rally into Wednesday, and than see the catalyst events Thursday and Friday.

Chilkoot

This is fanboi wishful thinking. Let's take a realistic look at the 3 markets where AMD does business right now, and their position in each: 1. AMD can't compete with NVDA in the consumer product space. NVDA controls >90% of the consumer GPU market, yet it's still just a sliver on their overall revenue pie chart. 2. AMD spent years fighting for control of the x86 space. That market as a whole is stalled and even contracting by some reports. Being the big fish in a shrinking pool is what put Intel in their current predicament. 3. AMD does not have the financial chops to compete in the AI space. If the AI hardware moat is going to be filled in, it will be a company with much deeper pockets that does manages it. There's tons of insightful commentary on the subject throughout this thread and others. There is absolutely nothing interesting about AMD to serious investors other than knee-jerk AI buy/sell cycles, and the fact they happen to be **adjacent** to that market by way of their GPU's and x86 silicon. They are not a leader or even a major player in any growth market, and the markets where they do compete are stagnant. Their stock is no better than a craps table. Make no mistake that buying into AMD right now is just rolling the bones, not executing on some carefully calculated risk.

Chilkoot

This is fanboi wishful thinking. Let's take a realistic look at the 3 markets where AMD does business right now, and their position in each: 1. AMD can't compete with NVDA in the consumer product space. NVDA controls >90% of the consumer GPU market, yet it's still just a sliver on their overall revenue pie chart. 2. AMD spent years fighting for control of the x86 space. That market as a whole is stalled and even contracting by some reports. Being the big fish in a shrinking pool is what put Intel in their current predicament. 3. AMD does not have the financial chops to compete in the AI space. If the AI hardware moat is going to be filled in, it will be a company with much deeper pockets that does manages it. There's tons of insightful commentary on the subject throughout this thread and others. There is absolutely nothing interesting about AMD to serious investors other than knee-jerk AI buy/sell cycles, and the fact they happen to be **adjacent** to that market by way of their GPU's and x86 silicon. They are not a leader or even a major player in any growth market, and the markets where they do compete are stagnant. Their stock is no better than a craps table. Make no mistake that buying into AMD right now is just rolling the bones, not executing on some carefully calculated risk.

mks_csw

I just want to live in a world where I can buy calls on NVDA every day and win every day

Difficult-Quarter-48

I'll bite. Why is Lisa Su giving away the company for customers - AMD is aggressively abusing financial engineering to an extent that far exceeds NVDA. AMD products are not competitive with NVDA and they won't be at any point in the near future. Lisa has been able to overcome this by giving away the company in exchange for orders, but I believe this will actually become a bigger and bigger problem going forward, and that the gap between NVDA and AMD will also probably widen. Why: 1. We are entering the period of physical bottle necks. We are seeing the memory bottle neck narrative play out. Likely in late 2026/2027 we will see bottle necks around physical shells and access to power. This could be exacerbated if the democrats win mid terms which seems likely. Over the past couple of years the narrative from hyperscalers has been "I need all the compute I can get my hands on" - this will shift to "I need the most efficient compute I can get given I only have access to X number of shells and Y GWs" - ask yourself who wins and who loses in this environment? AMD will never be the most efficient choice from a $/token or token/watt perspective. In this environment, NVDA only becomes MORE attractive. 2. Similarly, the world is constrained by fab space and by memory. This actually benefits NVDA. NVDA can outbid any competitor on any bottle neck because they have the premium product and can take the largest hits on margin. Of course TSMC and memory producers will probably throw AMD somewhat of a bone, but nonetheless AMD will be hit the hardest. Theoretically, TSMC could just say "All wafers go to the highest bidder" and their entire capacity would effectively be bought out by NVDA. Additionally, this space is getting more competitive. You have a lot of proprietary solutions already out there and more being developed. You have intel partnering with NVDA on a rack probably after feynman although maybe they will work together on feynman on some level as well? Intel has the force of the US government behind it, AMD does not. While AMD has out executed intel in the past, this may not continue to be the case. The US gov is behind intel for its fabs, but the effect is that the US gov is just behind intel full stop, including products. This is a tailwind to every aspect of intel's business, and a headwind to AMD on some level.

WiseIndustry2895

Trump just needs to say they used NVDA chips in the missiles are we are hulk dicking to ATH

MrNo_Balls

so dude's position is to sell your NVDA stock???

TomatoSpecialist6879

Could you say this in Chinese so I can show my tax guy why I lost money on NVDA

Vind2

25% of NVDA’s sales are to “singapore”. Its pretty obvious massive amounts of NVDA chips are bound for China

hotsauceboss222

Watch Bitcoin price this afternoon as it’s a risk on asset and liquid over the weekends. I’m betting buy the dip opp for NVDA and SPY breaking 700 over the next week or 2. Logically you would think war equals puts. Take that logic and inverse.

LocalExamination6691

But if that is true why is she claiming 20 EPS? And she reaffirmed it in an interview a few days ago, potentially hinting at it being higher now the Meta deal is singed. Bofa even came out in the last few days and said the EPS target is more like 22-25 post Meta deal. If the supply chain is taking all the profit how is NVDA sitting on those insane margins? I don't buy it, if Lisa su saw huge supply chain spending, I do not think she would continue to qoute the 20+ Eps number.

AlexandredeRavel

C'est le phénomène classique du "buy the rumor, sell the news". Le marché anticipe les résultats pendant des semaines avant l'annonce, les gros fonds et traders institutionnels accumulent des positions en amont. Quand les résultats tombent, même excellents, c'est le signal pour prendre ses profits. Résultat : la hausse after-hours suivie d'une baisse à l'ouverture que tu observes. NVDA en particulier est tellement suivi et analysé que ses résultats sont pricés dans le cours bien avant l'annonce. Pour que le titre monte significativement après des résultats, il faudrait qu'ils dépassent des attentes déjà astronomiques. C'est de plus en plus difficile à ce niveau de valorisation. Ce n'est pas décourageant, c'est de la mécanique de marché pure. Si tu es investisseur long terme sur NVDA le bruit court terme ne devrait pas t'affecter.

Tommybbq1

I used to sit in a cigar lounge in town every week a young (I won’t mention his name) came in opened his laptop 💻 and I’d ask what are you reading / investing in these days ? “2019-2020ish” HE SAID GET ON THIS ITS CALLED NVDA!! I did buy $4,000 way later 2023 but man what could’ve been…

Ok-Introduction-1940

Vulnerabilities like debt overload, rate compression, and interdependencies could amplify a downturn.  However, the poster amplifies risks (e.g., Nvidia’s $110B figure, GPU “death” in 1-3 years) while downplaying strengths like explosive growth, $66.8B backlog, and Nvidia’s cash fortress. If AI demand sustains (projected $17-19B run rate by end-2026 for CoreWeave), this could continue to be a high-growth story. Otherwise, the leverage could indeed trigger a cascade. It’s not Lucent, but worth monitoring. My take is it’s early days and these skeptical takes are healthy. I’m still long NVDA and keep a close eye on things.

NVDA_Gaped_Me

Yep. MSFT over 400, NVDA over 200.

Acceptable-Arm6606

Yeah am a big etf 2x guy. When deep throat(lol that’s what I called deep seek BS) crushed markets in Jan 2025 I switched all my NVDA to nvdl and doubled down in April.

Hopeful-Climate-3848

It didn't. NVDA beat expectations, if the expectations were different it wouldn't have been the expectations.

dljmonkeyboiz

U.S. keeps the straight closed and controls oil exports from that region. China and Russia’s oil supply gets cut off. That why America secured Venezuela before this. China restricts rare earths. Puts on NVDA.

Weekly_One8412

I feel like it has to be psychological relating their market cap. The company has a $4.5-$5 trillion dollar market cap. And it's almost unbelievable it only has a 20x pe ratio at these valuations. NVDA can and definitely will go higher but I think like Wall street and large investors can't seem to justify a $6-$7 trillion company psychologically.

WordsHappenedHere

Feels like it’s going to go to $350 at least. NVDA is actually one of the cheapest you can buy. Forward PE is far below every other chip company.

Pin-Last

META & AMZN are decent, NVDA at 175 better, MSFT EASILY the best. Best overweight opportunity for MSFT I can think of.

ElPoeop

If so, not for Iran and more so for downgrades on US market and NVDA dropping. NVDA is the largest % position on the S&P and all the S&P clone ETFs and dropping-- but if NVDA steadies (177-190), and it probably will and more than likely barcode due to the huge amount of options expiring a few weeks out after earnings. Nothing happened when they pulled this shit in Venezuela

One-Till1444

NVDA

ArthurBucco

I'm definitely a holder of NVDA stock, but it's been off top for quite a while now. It's been a long term play and will be a long term hold for me. AI and support infrastructure is on the edge of a brand new era. I do believe we're seeing profit taking when the stock runs toward $200. So many interested parties, so much $$$ in play. International demand is not going to cease with military need expanding. Every quarter the P/E keeps getting better with the stock not coming back to it's 52 week high.

Grand_Ordinary_4270

Believe it or not. Puts on NVDA

Mavnas

Yeah, my 30d returns around the time NVDA split make these guys look like amateurs, but long term... not so much.

Aromatic-Ad-6244

NVDA is always a buy. Just be prepared to live in the streets.

Me-Regarded

NVDA might double this week

King_Shurik

In case I didn't understand you, are you convinced that semiconductor stocks (NVDA, TSM, ASML, etc.) will rise on Monday because of the attack on Iran?