NVDA

Solid-Mood9571

Well I guess Michael Burry was right I better sell my NVDA stock… NOT

Pitiful-Market8662

Dear Regards: the fed is going to announce a .25 rate hike on Weds. Bank of Japan will announce at least a .25 rate hike Friday morning- this is important because as Japan normalizes their rates (historically near zero) there will be a flow of capital repatriated to Japan which will put upward pressure on US long term treasury yields. This complicates the situation for Oracle who is deep in debt and flirting with junk bond status. As their senior bonds (lower rate) mature, they will have to roll them to higher rate bonds further increasing servicing costs. If they fall off the debt cliff faster than their RDO turns into revenue their valuation will suffer and likely cause a knock on effect to the industry hurting NVDA directly and indirectly thru its heavy venture capital AI investments. Big red turd inbound.

Solid-Mood9571

Ready for ATH on NVDA

Pitiful-Market8662

Imagine the cope when NVDA opens at 197

thenorthernwhiteboy

If NVDA hit 70$ I would sell 1/4 of my VOO and put it all in

Own-Recipe5908

NVDA would start pushing edge compute. They bought huggingface for a reason.

Mongaloiddummy

I did my first bear call/put spread on NVDA last week 4 contracts.  20 dollar spread expiry oct/16/2026.

Ketamine-Cuisine

NVDA will open at 240

artbystorms

Can we go just one day without an AI apologist yelling at clouds saying "I don't care if you think I'm wrong! I'm gonna keep buying MSFT, GOOG, NVDA, SPCX, etc" You are literally that buzz lightyear meme gif where it pans out and there are rows and rows of identical buzzlightyears. It takes a special kind of insecurity to have such boisterous confidence in something you have no control over. Bordering on religious faith.

BadMantaRay

Mostly VTI. But I have like 15 or so percent in a few individual stocks. JNJ, NVDA and AMZN

1098duc_w_the_termi

You realize if they wanted to stop the jailbreaks and hacking of websites like the hugging face incidents, they would figure out a way yesterday. Like say Sam Altman was indicted tomorrow, the hacking would stop immediately. They’re being reckless because it’s good for business. It’s no surprise that hugging face was purchased by NVDA, a company that has a massive vested interest in OpenAI. They’re all in it together to try to keep the financial hype gain going as long as they can

Acrobatic-Ostrich168

When it rains it pours. As an NVDA holder, I am starting to get concerned at this point.

Bagholder147

NVDA would be biblical

Efficient-Shallot684

NVDA is backing them with financing

SpiderWil

Here's the explanation - The macro backdrop is the reason I would not simply maximize premium. This is a Fed week, so higher Treasury yields or a renewed oil spike can pressure large-cap tech quickly, especially higher-duration names like NVDA. That makes NVDA’s richer premium logical—it is compensation for materially more downside volatility, not free money. AAPL has stronger weekly momentum and a wider cushion to the 315 strike, so I’d use it as the portfolio anchor. GOOGL is the opposite case: its premium is poor, but that is exactly why it serves as the lower-volatility allocation. With the entire $169k deployed, I prefer spreading collateral across AAPL + NVDA + GOOGL rather than concentrating everything in NVDA or META right before the Fed. The main Monday checks should be Nasdaq fu

HowIsEmuWarriorTaken

if we get a circuit breaker this week, i am fucked. got leveraged above my Persanal Risk Tolerance in QQQ and NVDA

SpiderWil

| Trade | Fri stock price | Weekly change | Contracts | Capital / collateral | Stale premium / contract | Total stale profit | | ----------------------- | --------------: | ------------: | --------: | -------------------: | -----------------------: | -----------------: | | **AAPL 315P 9/16 CSP** | **$332.27** | **+3.84%** | 2 | **$63,000** | $23 | **$46** | | **NVDA 210P 9/16 CSP** | **$218.29** | **-5.24%** | 2 | **$42,000** | $61 | **$122** | | **GOOGL 320P 9/16 CSP** | **$338.50** | **+0.01%** | 2 | **$64,000** | $15 | **$30** | | **TOTAL** | — | — | **6** |

owngoalmerchant

$RRX for actuators (Kollmorgen division). Japanese company called Harmonic Drive does them as well with an OTC ticker $HSYDF. $CGNX does visual input systems as well. Something to consider, though, is that not all bottlenecks are built the same. It’s about margin and a lot of these companies in robotics don’t have it from a manufacturing standpoint because of cyclicality, even with pricing power. The software stack is more likely to be where the margins expand in robotics. And that is still $NVDA to a large degree because of CUDA, but other edge compute names like $QCOM might be able to enter the space if they execute their pivot.

Pitiful-Market8662

There will be crying in the casino when NVDA opens at 200

Spear_n_Magic_Helmet

when AI conquers humanity NVDA shareholders will be spared right

prana_fish

Now it makes sense why $NVDA was weak all last week lmao. People knew the AI doomer narrative slowdown was coming and were slowly selling it off.

Pitiful-Market8662

NOPE! The fed is going to announce a .25 rate hike at 2pm on Weds. Bank of Japan will announce at least a .25 rate hike Friday morning- this is important because as Japan normalizes their rates (historically near zero) there will be a flow of capital repatriated to Japan which will put upward pressure on US long term treasury yields. This complicates the situation for Oracle who is deep in debt and flirting with junk bond status. as their senior bonds (lower rate) mature, they will have to roll them to higher rate bonds further increasing servicing costs. If they fall off the debt cliff faster than their RDO turns into revenue their valuation will suffer and likely cause a knock on effect to the industry hurting NVDA directly and indirectly thru its heavy venture capital AI investments. And ORCL boned too obviously.

EmergencyFair6786

Who has also said that he's not financially betting on any of it. So he's just a non-stop doomer who won't put money where his mouth is. NVDA could crash 60% and Zitron wont make a dime. 

Pitiful-Market8662

Dear Tegards: the fed is going to announce a .25 rate hike at 2pm on Weds. Bank of Japan will announce at least a .25 rate hike Friday morning- this is important because as Japan normalizes their rates (historically near zero) there will be a flow of capital repatriated to Japan which will put upward pressure on US long term treasury yields. This complicates the situation for Oracle who is deep in debt and flirting with junk bond status. As their senior bonds (lower rate) mature, they will have to roll them to higher rate bonds further increasing servicing costs. If they fall off the debt cliff faster than their RDO turns into revenue their valuation will suffer and likely cause a knock on effect to the industry hurting NVDA directly and indirectly thru its heavy venture capital AI investments. Big red turd inbound.

MtGloomy0420

So you don’t individual shares of $NVDA?

inotparanoid

Time to gamble with NVDA Puts on Monday.

thompshma

NVDA has already started to move in the perps market. https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:NVDA

diefy7321

NVDA will be the shining light this week. Amen.

yahooms

Weekend AI stocks on Hyperliquid: $NBIS — 5% $IREN — 6% $MU — 4.5% $SNDK — 3.5% $NVDA — 2.3% $MRVL — 4.3% $AAOI — 3.5% $INTC — 4% # Give my money back

GrokkingTroika

This post lacks critical understanding. As it stands right now, only one AI company classifies as being part of US crititcal infrastructure/defense manufacturer, and thats SpaceX. In the event of other lead frontier labs defaulting or running into funding drought (pipe dream) they would be viciously dissected and bought for pennies on the dollar by their partners. Anthropic would be splayed and bought by amazon and several private equity firms, and openai would be absorbed by the entirety of microsofts body and perhaphs NVDA. The US does not need to get involved in the slightest here.

FonkyFong

NVDA is now a private bank. They'll never go bust because if they lose then everybody loses.

thompshma

NVDA perps are responding accordingly. Tomorrow is going to be fun. https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz%3ANVDA

derdubb

Buy NVDA

5amadh1

Segment splits are in the 10-K but painful to pull out by hand. There are platforms that can give you visuals of that, most are paid though. This one is free [https://tenq.co/report/NVDA?c=kpi-segments](https://tenq.co/report/NVDA?c=kpi-segments)

Pitiful-Market8662

Gonna be a lot of crying when NVDA opens at 190

EpicOfBrave

NVDA dropped -7% in a week. Good luck holding the bag! Be prepared once the demand decreases.

Travisthe_poisson

NVDA gonna open at 180 tomorrow

Complex-Video-2202

so NVDA have more time earn Gazilion

FOMO_Gains

I recycled cans and plastic bottles as a kid and then bought some NVDA in 2017

Ambitious_Snow840

You fearful bunch are adorable. NVDA has $99b in investments after years of investing. 1 quarter of NVDA revenue is $99b. So at max your circular theory is 25% of their revenue had investments been in 2026 only. Seems to me that even if their investment recipients spent 100% of their money on Nvda GPUS, there are still 3 more buyers for everything else. 1 vs 3. Yeah. Shut down NVDA. Crap business

BenySpaghetty

I use AI to create Mitch porn. It's pretty intuitive. His body is flabby, yet riddled with weird red marks. NVDA 300 EOY.

bikkhu42

Nothing or little to do with the economy. I think there's not enough compute to go around. Anyway puts on NVDA on Monday for sure, I'd be willing to get kicked in the nuts if its not blood red for semis and ai infra

SilentExtinction

I mean NVDA's fundamentals are just completely insane but it could drop further. I don't even understand why it's at the same level as before earnings, but what can you do...

Over-Young8392

all money eventually flows back to NVDA

-Bluffet

NVDA boolish or berries on moonday? (thinking emoji)retardation activado!🤔

ZCL_LAX_ATL

Sir this is a 2011 SugarCRM thread and you are about to lose your house. "Why pay Salesforce $150/seat when I can spin up Postgres for free" was said by every CTO with a Blackberry. Postgres is free. Salesforce is $300B. Sugar is a Wikipedia stub. I have personally been paid for 12 years to clean up the smoking craters of companies who tried this. I am the ATM. You are the gambler. The weights aren't the product regard. The weights are Postgres. The product is the 40 person team you now need to keep your GPUs from sitting at 30% utilization while your "open model is only 6 months behind" is 6 months behind on the one thing your sales team needs today. You didn't buy a server, you adopted a science project with a burn rate. And the trade itself: long NVDA, short AI. Bro. Who buys the shovels if the gold is worthless. Your long leg is your short leg wearing a hat. Also you can't short Anthropic, it's private, so your "short AI" is shorting MSFT and GOOG who are also the ones buying all the GPUs. You've constructed a position where both legs get liquidated at the same time. Impressive. Truly. Same thing happened in CRM. Bottom got crushed to $0 (HubSpot free tier, Zoho, 6000 Indian dev shops). Top got fatter. Basic inference goes to zero, frontier keeps pricing power, and the hardware guys running under Salesforce captured exactly none of it. Positions or ban. Mine is 12 years of Salesforce admin invoices and it prints every single time someone in this thread gets promoted to VP of Engineering.

ndpowell23

Dimmmm! I thought i lost money this week. 16k on just NVDA, sheesh. I'm just 1k down on TSLA.

confused_teabagger

Don't worry! NVDA is working on another round of financing for them. This is like when you plug the end of a power strip into itself and claim you have infinite electricity

Toohotz

Just start off selling SPX 0dtes for some experience on selling options. Like others have mentioned I don’t suggest you walk down the path you proposed with SNDK. IMO it would be beneficial to understand how to sell options on a ticker that you have confidence in its expected moves. I’ve been selling calls on NVDA and have only been assigned once. Currently selling a batch of NVDA 10/15 250s when NVDA ticked the $23x range recently. $5.4 a con and currently at 82% of premium kept and will likely ride into exp as NVDA isn’t in a range that I’m interested in selling at the moment. All that to say you really need to understand **when** to sell because you’re short gamma and when delta starts tipping out of your favor, managing the short position can quickly become uncomfortable

jda823

Ai slowdown? Rip NVDA stock. Scratch that, RIP all stocks

Downtown-Text6587

Nice work. That’s more than what I’m up holding AAPL since the tariff selloff so over a year. Were you buying at the money short dated calls? I’m still getting the hang of options. I got an at the money call on NVDA the day before earnings and the effect of gamma is crazy. I only had one contract but I was up over 50% in less than 24 hours. Happy birthday 🥳🎂🎁

SurpiseCurrencyDebas

Lending like the Bank of NVDA

IndependentUsual7444

Is NVDA making an unprecedented amount of equity investments or was I just not aware of how common that was?

Lootoholic

at least you didn't short NVDA

Bman282828

NVDA will rule the 🌎

SignumHQ

One thing from Friday's close that is worth a look before Monday, and it is not a call on anything. **SPY closed at 765.04. Its max pain for that expiry was 765.** A gap of 0.01%. Before anyone gets mystical about that: max pain is not a magnet and nothing forces price toward it. It is an accounting fact — the strike at which the largest total dollar value of open options expires worthless. It is computed, not predicted, and it moves as open interest moves during the week. So what does a 0.01% gap actually tell you? Mostly that Friday's close landed where the largest concentration of option value sat. That happens more often on index products than chance alone would suggest, and the boring explanation is the likely one: a lot of that open interest belongs to dealers and systematic sellers who hedge continuously, and that hedging tends to dampen movement near the heaviest strikes. Mechanics, not intent. Nobody steered it there. What it does **not** tell you is anything about Monday. Open interest resets, new positioning comes in, and the level itself will move. If you find yourself building a trade off "it pinned at max pain", you have converted an observation about the past into a forecast, and the data did not do that for you. --- Rest of the board for Friday's session, ranked by how far each name moved from **its own** 30-day baseline rather than by absolute size — otherwise you just get NVDA and TSLA every single day: * **SWKS** — option premium $2.31M against a $224k baseline. 10.3x, and a z-score of **23.75**, the highest on the board. * **ALLY** — $269k against $17.9k. **15.1x**, z = 13.4. * **GAP** — call open interest 38,542 against a 12,339 baseline. 3.1x at z = 20.8. * **KR** — moved on two axes at once: put OI 4.2x its normal *and* put/call ratio 4.1x. Two independent measures on the same name is rarer than either alone. * **HRL** — the odd one. Put/call ratio 0.22 against a **6.55** baseline, z = **−12.9**. That is puts collapsing, not building, which almost never shows up in these scans because everyone screens for the other direction. Scanned 2,001 tickers; 1,118 cleared the threshold on a full end-of-week run. Each compared to itself, with the market-wide multiple for the day divided out so a broad risk-off session does not light up the whole board and look like signal.

DontChangeIt

Oracle is a 'boomer' company structurally critical to the technology, language models, that NVDA, is also structurally critically needed for compute. Oracle's growth parallels the growth of its data centers, not it's RDMS business.

Separate_Baker7280

I’d never put on NVDA

Valkyrie_Skuld

I was here this morning for a little, said buy NVDA puts

weHaveThoughts

I could never take the responsibility for another trader. All I can say is trade one thing so you recognize the pattern. I trade QQQ and SPY. Never buy options in the first 5 minutes of market open. Heavy premiums. Learn about Max Pain and how the dealers work including gamma flips. Don’t get over leverage and don’t let bad trades keep running. Watch VIX NVDA TSLA etc when trading. Learn how those coordinate. Keep aware of Fed announcements and be prepared for the results. I buy quick when I see the move, and then set a limit order to sell for X cents more than I paid. Develop your own trading plan and stick to it. Make rules for yourself when you fuck up. After a bad trade, take a deep breath, walk away and refresh your head before making another trade. Don’t think about the profit left on the table. Profit is profit. I think that’s all I got and what works for me.

Room_101_Escapee

Imagine losing money on NVDA

Delicious_Put_5857

how will NVDA make any money if a pumping station in al-mesba'ah needs to be repaired 😫😫😫

ThinkingOfTheOldDays

Remarkable sell discipline by NVDA investors 🫪

RuleSafe6767

Nice to see even NVDA got a bit of tailwind into the close

SurpiseCurrencyDebas

anyone else notice NVDA been pegged all day at 219

Spac55

If Fed hike rate, market not ready like 1987 October yet, black Monday Now feels NVDA. CEO more powerful than Fed chair, by Options gambling semi

ShankThatSnitch

MMs pulled a master class in Theta decay on NVDA today.

prana_fish

lmao $NVDA can't even match $QQQ or $SMH on this pump

Ok_Mind8366

Dell rising on 9/11 and NVDA flat really shows u who was responsible

Ghost_nut

Can I get some upside movement on NVDA or what, everything range bound

SurpiseCurrencyDebas

I sold NVDA over 221 today

Spac55

Why AI hype crashing today, SNDK, WDC , LITE, STX etc, and waiting $DELL $ORCL $MU $NVDA crash next

Ghost_nut

Bought aapl puts at 9:15 and NVDA calls at 11:15 god fucking dammit LOL

bulgar88

I also bought NVDA calls yesterday but with a expiration 2 weeks out with $225 strike. Cashed out a small gain of $500 within 30 minutes of market open.

ChampionshipOdd947

MU: Red SNDK: Red NVDA and NBIS: Barely green SOXL: Up 7% Someone pls to explain, because it can't just be MRVL keeping it up

SignumHQ

Funny thing about the bond tape right now: while everyone is arguing about how to save treasuries, somebody already put the biggest bond bet on the board - and it went the opposite way from the panic. Yesterday's single largest new options position in bonds was TLT **calls**. 106,885 contracts, roughly $900M notional, opened in the session right before a hot core CPI print. TLT calls pay if long bonds go up, i.e. yields come down. So that is real money betting on treasuries rallying, placed straight into the print that pushed hike odds higher. Either a contrarian duration view, or cheap convexity bolted onto a book that is already short duration. Both are real trades. For scale, the rest of what got opened the same session: * GLD puts - ~$2.97B * IWM puts - ~$2.44B * NVDA calls - ~$2.42B * META calls - ~$1.75B * SMH puts - ~$1.17B * TLT calls - ~$0.90B Gold, small caps, semis and high-yield credit all took puts in the same session that NVDA and META took calls. That is a book keeping its upside and paying up for protection. It is not a everybody-out panic, whatever the headlines say. One thing worth understanding about this data, because it is the part people miss: these are open-interest changes, not volume. Volume cannot tell you whether a trade opened a position or closed one. OI can - but it only settles after the close, so you are always looking one session back. It shows what got *put on*. It tells you nothing about who took the other side. I pull this off the tape every morning. It is consistently the most useful thing on the board and the least talked about.

EdoTensei10

everything up 2-3%, NVDA up a measly .8%

Solid-Mood9571

NVDA

SignumHQ

Worth adding what positioning looked like going *into* this print, because it did not line up with the hike narrative. Largest **new** options positions opened Thursday across the whole US market, by notional. These are open-interest changes - what was opened, not what merely traded: * GLD puts - 74,750 contracts, ~$2.97B * IWM puts - 84,976 contracts, ~$2.44B * NVDA calls - 111,407 contracts, ~$2.42B * META calls - 25,776 contracts, ~$1.75B * SMH puts - 23,204 contracts, ~$1.17B * TLT calls - 106,885 contracts, ~$0.90B Two observations: **TLT calls are the odd one out.** That is a long-bond position - it pays if yields fall. About $900M of it was opened the session before a core print that pushed hike odds higher. Either a contrarian duration view, or convexity bought against an existing short-duration book. **The equity side is hedged, not bearish.** Gold, small caps, semis and high-yield credit all took put flow in the same session that NVDA and META took call flow. That combination reads as tail protection on a book that is still long, rather than a move to risk-off. Data caveat: open interest only settles after the close, so this is one session behind by construction, and closing trades are excluded. It shows what was put on, not who was on the other side of it.

SignumHQ

Everyone is pricing the hike. The single biggest new bond position on yesterday's tape went the other way. Largest **new** options positions opened Thursday, ranked by notional. This is open-interest change, not volume - what got *put on*, not what got traded: * GLD puts - 74,750 contracts, ~$2.97B * IWM puts - 84,976 contracts, ~$2.44B * NVDA calls - 111,407 contracts, ~$2.42B * META calls - 25,776 contracts, ~$1.75B * SMH puts - 23,204 contracts, ~$1.17B * TLT calls - 106,885 contracts, ~$0.90B TLT calls are a bet on long bonds going **up**, i.e. yields down. Roughly $900M of them opened in the session right before a hot core print. Either somebody is very wrong, or it is cheap convexity stapled to a book that is already short duration. Both of those are real trades. The rest of the board is a hedge cluster, not a tech-crash bet. Gold, small caps, semis and high yield all got puts in the same session while NVDA and META got calls. That is "keep the upside, buy the tail", not "sell everything". Caveats so nobody reads more into it than is there: OI settles after the close, so this is always one session behind. Closing trades are excluded. And it tells you nothing about who took the other side - a put buyer needs a put seller.

SignumHQ

If you want to know how the biggest books are hedging this exact risk, you can just read the options tape. Open interest changes tell you what was *opened* - not merely what traded. From Thursday's close (last fully settled session), the largest **new** positions opened across the entire US market, by notional: * GLD puts - 74,750 contracts, ~$2.97B * IWM puts - 84,976 contracts, ~$2.44B * NVDA calls - 111,407 contracts, ~$2.42B * META calls - 25,776 contracts, ~$1.75B * **SMH puts - 23,204 contracts, ~$1.17B** * HYG puts - 91,760 contracts, ~$0.71B Three things that bear on your question: **1. SMH puts are the literal answer.** SMH is the semis ETF - the cleanest single-instrument expression of "AI/tech risk". About $1.2B of *fresh* downside protection went there in one session. Not QQQ, not SPY. If you want the same hedge shape as the size, that is the wrapper they used. **2. It is not a one-way bet.** The same tape opened ~$2.4B of NVDA calls. The big books are not net-short AI - they are holding the upside and paying for tail protection on the sector wrapper. That is a very different trade from "rotate out of tech", and it is usually the cheaper one. **3. The company it keeps matters.** IWM and HYG puts were opened alongside it. Small caps and high-yield credit are liquidity hedges, not semis views. So at least part of that SMH put flow is a macro hedge wearing a tech costume - worth knowing before you copy it as a pure AI-risk trade. Caveat so you can weigh it properly: OI settles only after the close, so this is always one session behind, and it shows what was *put on* rather than direction. Closing trades are excluded - these are new positions only. It tells you nothing about who is on the other side. No position in any of the above.

That-Decision-7194

Why is NVDA on the downward move?

Bravadette

NVDA is drawing the towers

Rosella2562

wtf happened to NVDA?

FLRugDealer

These F’s ain’t gunna D themselves. Let’s go NVDA

LetsGoBucs09

NVDA coiling a little bit...let's see if it pushes past $222

maschin1982

Big Volume NVDA

Aggravating_Fig6288

Oh thank god was able to get outta NVDA for a minor loss. Going to puts this shit wants to crash so badly today

Stop_The_Rain

Why is NVDA being such a dog?

Aggravating_Fig6288

NVDA can’t break 220, it’s fucking over damn. This is going to crash to zero today

Aggravating_Fig6288

NVDA please don’t do this today. One Shrek so I can get out

clownus

Because it is beneficial for OpenAI to call a human not AGI. They don’t have a clue how to approach getting to AGI based on the preconceived notion of it being human intelligence. For NVDA statement to be true; OpenAI would need to be hiding their tech, the technological breakthrough would need to be proven. Neither of these are likely when you consider the current version of AI we have right now.

Dear__Bruce

NVDA ATH today

Fine-Pen6423

damn, I lucked out - my NVDA swing call is looking like a beauty this morning

Flat-Focus7966

NVDA rocket upcoming.......

DividendPower

NVDA is solid company with unprecedented demand. However, competition is increasing. Also, it is making investments in OpenAi and other companies that are turning around and buying Nvidia's chips.

WiseIndustry2895

Burry dumps NVDA puts

Formal-Property4577

Yeah the Implied volatility of NVDA and DELL is not 300% during earnings boss. It's much lower. Here, the $170 OTM premiums were at $6 and the expiry is today ! Stock was at $152 yesterday.

gioadamski

Thats not true, and biggest point of gambling pre market is to catch price swing, like NVDA or DELL. Its risky but if earnings go in your favor you win big, what you saying is completely different play from what OP did.

maschin1982

NVDA🚀🚀🚀Go in before it is to late https://www.kucoin.com/news/flash/goldman-sachs-maintains-buy-rating-on-nvidia-with-300-target-price?hl=de-DE