NVDA

Low_Check5376

I agree and time frame difference is a fact. All you need is $2k collateral for a spread either cash or margin. I also agree with NVDA’s potential downside can destroy the put spreads, so you can use 1 standard deviation or -17 delta on your short leg to be on the save side. It’s an awkward situation because you are forming an inverted synthetic strangle, but the DTEs are different, it’s doable. It is indeed higher risks, but keep doing it until it’s no longer inverted your risk will be much lower, then more aggressive put strikes can be considered.

gamer52599

I would suggest to you two to at least place a put option on your NVDA just in case.

onerandomcomputerguy

Wut about NVDA

lee_suggs

Why is ASICs the shoe company going to take inference from NVDA? Stopped reading after this

dominic_l

GPU is only one aspect of NVDA dominance. theyre building a whole cloud computing and networking exosysytem around their product. NVDA has simply transcended the game. AMD is the dirt under NVDAs fingernails

ApathysLastKiss_

Was hoping for NVDA $213't9 enter calls. Probably missed that opportunity now

Enough-Beginning3687

Just add 30% / year to the valuation of NVDA. Maybe it will. Maybe it won't. At 30% per year, NVDA would hit a ~20T valuation in 5 years. How likely is that? 5.2×1.3×1.3×1.3×1.3×1.3 = 19T

onerandomcomputerguy

Sold an NVDA call at a loss, went long oil. Follow me for more bangers

Sharp-Direction-6894

Did NVDA 600k in calls Guy survive?

Jazzlike_Praline_385

Guesses for NVDA open Tues?

Jazzlike_Praline_385

Guessed for NVDA open tues?

ZaraBloom418

My $20k NVDA investment is worth $250k now. I think it’s time I sell $10k to pay half my student loans. The loan I took during covid at 2.2% can inflation away

ZaraBloom418

My $20k NVDA investment is worth $250k now. I think it’s time I sell $10k to pay half my student loans. The loan I took during covid at 2.2% can inflation away

apurimac777

Ofc, still retarded price action Like Ive said if NVDA had TSLA P/E Jeson could just buy the S&P

nateccs

NVDA is known to run hot before earnings and then disappoint. Made 20k on the run up.

apurimac777

NVDA prints money Gets rekt

Background-Nothing71

Bought NVDA June 18 - $220 calls on Friday. Hot or not?

SpyBagholder

So OpenAI is selling compute? I thought the demand was infinite or did Jensen tell a fib on the NVDA earnings call. This should be a bad sign for the market but number go up!

TranzitBusRouteB

already priced in, back to 205 NVDA goes

Artistic_Chicken_557

NVDA had the highest quarter revenue in the history of capitalism... The prior record was Amazon on 11% margins NVDA posted 75% margins.

Fhyzikz

NVDA back over 220 next week

___positive___

Side note, but AMD is proof that we are nowhere near AGI, and LLMs are still largely useless at anything other than boilerplate and CRUDs. Every single tech person, from the small time local LLM hobbyist to the multi-billion capex OpenAIs and Anthropics, would love to have another source of cheap and powerful training/inference chips. There is tremendous pressure and demand, yet the AMD software stack is still not even remotely competitive with CUDA. There are literally billions if not trillions of dollars worth of demand for real NVDA alternatives, yet everyone universally prefers CUDA. This is despite programming being "solved" and the existence of Mythos, GPT5.5 Pro, and so forth. Even low-end "easy" stuff like WAN/LTX etc still does not work as well on AMD, nevermind something as complicated as training GPT6. If anything, Huawei will probably overtake AMD because Deepseek etc actually do training runs on it. AMD has every single incentive to improve its software stack, as does every other AI researcher, but, nope, AMD still sucks. Proof that LLMs are useless at actual tech problems.

carlos5577

Charts don’t matter, valuations do. All you have to do is look at the most valuable company at the time of the bubble. MSFT had a PE of 70x at dot com. NVDA is halfway there at 33x. Meaning we’re halfway done with this bubble unless we surpass it even higher.

pineapplekiwipen

i'm still waiting for my NVDA shares to pay for an RTX 6090 😔

BenisSpaghetti

I remember when the second drought hit, the river ran low and you couldn't even get through Clarke's pass. I thought we going to be eating wool for dinner. Same will be said about NVDA GPUs in 5 years. 🫠

Jdog86788888

Well it depends what your goal is. If it’s income, I’d say O or KO. If it’s growth and just let it ride, I’d say NVDA. If it’s just a regular hold and chill path: VOO. And it depends the account: Roth vs taxable.

Delly2times

Lol, I’ll bet you 5k you don’t buy one single NVDA call tomorrow.

cujokila

Everything above the NVDA line are ETFs, not stocks

tequilamigo

NVDA idk but the token demand is just going one direction. There will be efficiency gains at some point but there will also be a proliferation of physical AI and agentic systems that is just barely started.

Sick0h

NVDA? Cucked. Corn? Shucked. Penis? Tucked. Bers? You know.

NoDragonfruit3996

This is one of the best anti‑NVDA / anti‑AI-capex posts I’ve seen on here, ngl. My only pushback is timing. Railroads and dotcom both overshot *way* longer than the “smart bears” expected and nuked anyone who was early. I like your thesis as a 2027+ play, but between now and then I still think NVDA and the shovel crew get one last face melting blowoff top that makes your eventual short even juicier.

Atrox_Blue

I have different things in different accounts. I bought my first $20 of Micron when it was like $60/share or something like that and have been adding to it ever since. Sold a while back but got back in. I’ve got SMH around like $150 and NVDA at like $56. NBIS at $89. I’ve got AMAT too, that’s a recent position. That’s all basically other than some other broad market ETFs. Edit: corrected some details after double checking

CheffromNowhere

Does NVDA break the backs of shareholders this week?

FreeChemicalAids

To be fair, people are expecting NVDA to lose its grip on thE market some. Otherwise NVDA should be trading at a much higher forward PE.

mrksmb

Because the time frame is so different on the put spread vs. CC it's almost like a separate trade. If the NVDA price drops your put spread might be in trouble, but you can't do anything with your CC since you already rolled to max expiration. Maybe this makes more sense if there is more room to roll out?

mrksmb

Because the time frame is so different on the put spread vs. CC it's almost like a separate trade. If the NVDA price drops your put spread might be in trouble, but you can't do anything with your CC since you already rolled to max expiration. Maybe this makes more sense if there is more room to roll out?

mrksmb

Because the time frame is so different on the put spread vs. CC it's almost like a separate trade. If the NVDA price drops your put spread might be in trouble, but you can't do anything with your CC since you already rolled to max expiration. Maybe this makes more sense if there is more room to roll out?

arenikal

One sure way, with limited applicability, is if you have personal knowledge that a product is very good. That’s how I found NVDA in its computer graphics days. Another way, again, with limited applicability, is if you know an industry very well, and you read an analyst report that is COMPLETELY WRONG. Going the other way can be lucrative.

AnotherThroneAway

This. China is still getting chips in. And frankly, the Chinese market was priced out of NVDA months ago. Besides, we're still supply-constrained, so what does it matter? Nvidia doesn't exactly have warehouses of chips sitting around gathering dust.

boofpack123

😂 buddy ur over a year late. AMD buy opportunity was tariff crash when it was 5% the valuation of NVDA. AMD will hover at 700B for a bit. NVDAs best GPU is still king and controls the pace of AI

shortvol_trader

The gamma/theta relationship is the most underteached concept in retail options education. Everyone learns what theta is on day one but the fact that it's inseparable from gamma — that you can't have one without the other — takes years to internalize. The practical implication most retail traders miss: when you sell premium you're not just collecting theta, you're short gamma. That means you're implicitly betting that realized vol will be lower than implied vol. If the stock moves more than the market priced in, your gamma losses exceed your theta gains regardless of what direction it moves. This is why IV vs RV spread matters so much for short vol edge. You need implied to exceed realized consistently over many trades — that's the volatility risk premium. Black-Scholes assumes they're equal, which is why it needs all those extensions you mentioned. The Heston model adding stochastic vol is the minimum realistic upgrade for anyone pricing seriously. Even then the jump-diffusion correction matters for names like NVDA where the distribution has fat tails that neither BS nor Heston captures cleanly. Good explainer. This should be pinned.

Neoshinryu

Put your money wherever you have the most conviction. You've run into one of the major downsides of concentration. Yes it can often lead to faster growth than diversification, but you're tying everything to the move of one ticker. You're rubbing up against two different "don't"s. Don't stock pick, it almost never beats the market. Don't try to time the market. I personally like to keep a healthy slice of companies like NVDA and RKLB. Any of the leaders in the hot industries driving this bull market. You may not always have the cheapest entry, you may lose a few percent buying before a downturn. Over the long run though you get the best of both worlds irt explosive growth and price stability, without FOMOing and worrying about shifting position everytime Huang's leather jacket is at the cleaners.

DrHarrisonLawrence

Roulette is way worse odds than NVDA lol nobody listen to this guy

XSC

Yeah you should definitely sell NVDA at a loss and put it on NBIS, RKLB who are also both at ATHs. Genius!

trackdaybruh

>I know NVDA will almost surely grow if given time, but I can't help thinking that my portfolio would be better off if I sell some NVDA at a loss, since I could be making more money If your reasoning is you could be making more money and if you know that NVDA will surely grow if given the time then just hold? What's the issue?

Real_ilinnuc

Dude you missed the ACTUAL stock people are sleeping on! NVDA! Basically a mom and pop stock right now. Cmon guys! /s

Clyde3221

I ran a CTRL+F in NVDA 13F and NOK was in there so calls it is. Adding more next week.

kethalmanden12

Not from NVDA. My original investment was only about $700.

Original_Training786

biggest mistake i did. Missed on huge gains by not buying stocks like NVDA, NFLX, META etc.,.

richtopia

Chin up: $1000 of gold bought in 2003 should be worth about $13,600 today. Compared to being responsible with $1000 of SPY you beat the market (SPY would be worth about $11,250 today). Now go pawn that ring and buy some NVDA.

dragonbits

I track the broader market. Was looking at NVDA 220 may puts. Before earnings the may 220s were $5, thought it was too expensive. After, saw the 220s trade at 1.5, thought that seemed more reasonable, but didn't want to make myself crazy (again). It would have worked. Back in the day, I traded virtually everything(bonds, futures, commodities, options, stocks long/short), but got so burned out I hadn't traded for 10 years, so never traded crypto as when I was extremely active crypto didn't exist. Had some epic trades, neg and pos. Once I bot junk bonds, 12K>150K in 4 months. Then again, once I was upside down 50K for a month, and that was 30 years ago when 50K meant something. Reading the penny stock forums, reminds me too much of some of my past. The "options are not an option" brothers are back, they seem to push ads near market tops, wonder if this is the same book they were pushing decades ago.

gamblingPharmaStocks

You are just spitting buzzwords lol. They integrated NVDA because they lacked compute. They put the 90 day termination clause precisely because they still prefer to run TPU only, which is the reason why they made the deal for Microsoft chips: TPU are cheaper and Anthropic will do anything to avoid running on NVDA.

Trick_Key6742

AMD was a widowmaker for years but ngl the last run saved my dumb ass. I was DCAing from 60s down into the 50s getting roasted by “just buy NVDA bro” every day. Still holding, still not selling, Lisa Su is my only conviction play that hasn’t completely blown up yet 😂

Doctor_Raymos

Any global etf is going to be.. global. They will position in a way that reduces exposure to any single company. It will be no different than NVDA or any big mag7, they could drop 5-10% and these ETFs will drop a bit, but absorb it via other sector gains. What's the point in wanting any larger ETF while simultaneously caring about the individual stocks on it? That is not the point of the ETF. If you don't like the exposure, don't use them.

No-Improvement3164

I’ve been trying to make a ban bet for SPY 776 for the 250th anniversary. I wouldn’t be surprised if King NVDA was 250 to join in on the meme market.

Karzov

I actually looked at the Jervon's Paradox. It's certainly a bull argument for more compute demand, but that only lasts for as long as end demand is validated...and as my post says there are demand, supply, and financial risks (liquidity) converging. I guess the broader question would be with even Jevons paradox, would compute demand = capex needs at 12.5% of GDP or higher? And how much does 100 bps drop in capex as % of gdp affect the companies like NVDA etc?

SuperNewk

China is def coaching Iran on how to play the USA. I suspect China makes a pressure play on Taiwan to see if UsA backs down. NVDA will go down 40% overnight if they can’t get their Rubin chips out of Taiwan

hailfire27

In your opinion what will be the next industry where funds will go? If capex winds down and the debt comes knocking, NVDA, Sndk, and mu will drop heavily. Instead of shorting, I plan to just exit these positions when the first signs of weakness shows in 2027. Is space industry a good bet on the next gold rush?

Sad-Cry-8755

I mean the guy literally wrote a book about shorting NVDA and MU in late 2026 but you want someone else to do reading for you lol Basic plan is wait for OpenAI IPO pop, watch their actual numbers for couple quarters, then short the shovel sellers when everyone realizes the AI companies aren't printing money like expected

_Acklex

You’re fucking welcome TLDR: The AI infrastructure boom mirrors past capex bubbles (railroads, dotcom fiber) where the “shovel-makers” like Nvidia profit massively — then crash hardest when the cycle ends. Financing is shifting from cash to debt to IPOs (a sign of liquidity stress), inference efficiency gains are reducing compute demand, and GPU depreciation accounting tricks will reverse. When OpenAI/Anthropic go public and actual ROI becomes visible, institutional money may pull out, killing capex demand. Plan: short NVDA, MU, and similar names after the IPO pop, late 2026–2027.

ImAvoidingABan

NVDA makes GPUs. I spent my first few paychecks on them back. 2014. Then they became part of my DCA plan since they never went down really. Then I got in on GME, moved all my gains to nvidia and retired at 31.

Internal-Science2137

China was already gutted in NVDA's last 10-K from export controls. if Huang is saying theyre fully out now, data center revenue gets even more concentrated in a handful of US hyperscalers.

Internal-Science2137

NVDA just sells chips. Their revenue is hardware delivered, cash collected. The circular trick is the cloud giants and AI labs passing money back and forth — NVDA is upstream of that.

goodbodha

CLX, PFE or similar stocks. Beaten up price but still good companies with strong track record. Or go schd. Perhaps rsp if you think we won't have a recession and the market will eventually broaden out with growth. If the market continues to run the dividends are decent. If the market collapses they both have great dividend histories and will likely pay well through a downturn while the market in general goes down. Tech could continue to run, but history suggests fairly strongly that concentration of the sp500 doesn't last long at these levels. Either the stocks involved collapse back to earth or the rest of the market has to take off in a massive broadening out. Who here thinks conditions are going to support a massive broadening out of the market? Who here thinks the broader market is struggling mightily from a whole host of issues that makes broadening out highly unlikely? The most likely resolution is the AI companies either fall back hard at some point or they trade sideways for a long period of time while the rest of the market slowly expands to shrink the concentration. That could happen soon or in several years or over several years. No idea. But buying those stocks right now is a bet on a different outcome that flies in the face of how concentration gets resolved. That's nothing against the companies themselves, just the stock price and market cap have gotten to absurd levels. NVDA for example is over 5 trillion dollars which is 3x the gdp of Mexico or 1.5x the gdp of France. Think about that for a minute. Are you seriously buying the idea that a single company, any single company should be worth that much relative to the gdp of either of those nations? Just to maintain its market cap that company has to continue to grow at some incredible rate well above the rate of inflation so it's expected to become even bigger relative to the rest of the economy. Idc what company you are that is a fantasy and it will run into trouble long before that price can be justified.

SassyBlaster

What if you bought BTC instead of NVDA?

Suckmesideways204

This is why NVDA is the 🐐 Buy all large dips and just hold forever, you can't go wrong!!

Altair82

If you bought just 5 shares of NVDA in 2019, Epstein didn't kill himself.

Quirky_Row_2080

Update: Deal ongoing NVDA +2.8% Tuesday

FreeTheDimple

If you bought $1,000 of NVDA on Thursday then you would now have $960.

w-tech

Im curious about this view as I am learning about stocks and there are a lot of indicators that this stock could be a good buy. 1. 1.1 billion in sales up over 41% yoy 2. Adjusted EBITDA - 370m up 62% yoy 3. Net income 167 million last quarter (consistently in the green) 4. 35% increase in members yoy 5. Forward PE of 27 6. Debt to Equity is an astounding 0.20 7. Current RSI of around 40 8. Total valuation is 20 billion 9. Price to book sits at around 1.85 vs AMD 12x, NVDA 26x, Snowflake 30x, compared to other banks, Wells Fargo avgs about 1.3, Chase about 2.4 so its not a great number comparitive to banks but for what people are willing to shell out for other tech stocks its a compelling buy. Sofi seems like a pretty low risk, easy play looking long could easily double in 12 months from its current price of ~16 What are the risks here compared to the other stocks your invested in?

circadiggmigration

You make it sound like NVDA stock is some finite resource that can never be replenished. It was one grand. He had plenty of opportunities to buy it back. He didn't because he didn't believe in it. Even if he had held, he would have sold some other time.

_rockthemike

No one really knew though. There’s another NVDA out there right now trading at $20. If you knew, you’d buy as much of it as you could today and wouldn’t sell for anything

No-Cash-4287

Congratulations. My only concern is you are treating a growth stock as bond. So, you are missing out growth returns on stocks. Fundamentally we are in 2nd innings of AI era. Nobody knows how many innings are there. If NVDA crashes to $150, it will be like CSCO crash in dot com time. I don’t think you want that. Nobody wants that to happen.

bzl33

Private stakes account for 58% of $GOOG's net profit, 52% of $AMZN's, and 27% of $NVDA's. these companies are not nearly as profitable as they appear to be and they won't be able to easily unload their stakes of $SPCX and $OAI without disrupting the stock price.

Fhyzikz

Short AMD and long NVDA here. Anything under 220 is decent value for NVDA imo.

Thecreamcheeze

NVDA just reported its worst earnings in years. Def not the time to buy

Necessary_Ad_9800

Tuesday predictions SPY $760 MU $850 NVDA $240 SNDK $1750 MSFT $390

MagicMushroomsMM

Trump is actually helping you guys make money. Just buy NVDA and keep holding it for a month or 2. It can't go wrong. Making money has never been easier. Don't waste it.

MagicMushroomsMM

But speculation does not need facts, just like peace in Hormuz. Even though peace is impossible, there is still a narrative for it. NVDA just like Tesla and Intel are Americans strongest IT and technology stocks. This narrative will continue for as long as possible. Just buy NVDA and hold wait for 2 months. Confirm profit.

MagicMushroomsMM

Just keep buying NVDA and hold.

_motormayhem_

Those both operate in automotive/mfg + energy If you want to compare to tech Tesla still looses to NVDA, Apple, Google. Does beat Amazon I guess.

Intelligent_Heat451

# NVDA GANV Members checking in

demonhunterking

I checked put transactions options and realised bear gonna burn on MU, POET, NVDA and GOOG.

slicer718

NVDA isn’t gonna stroke your cock.

havnoclue

How did you know at that point what NVDA was? I’m sort of new to investing and curious to know how people hear of up and coming companies way before they make it… obviously at that point you have no idea it would blow up like it eventually did

Thousand_Hairs

Who buys NVDA 23 years ago? If you hadn't gotten the engagement ring, you would have sold that nvidia crap and bought AOL stock.

ktempo

I’ve had NVDA since 2016 because I built my PC in 2015 and loved my GTX 970. Bought shares for $42 before any splits. Roughly $1.25 in today’s price if you look at the graph

AsstronaughtToUranus

You can’t just extend to 46 without also extending the future worth of NVDA. It’ll still be more expensive than $400 per fuck at twice a week.

SynapticMelody

24% is still insane concentration for your entire portfolio, especially since SMH itself is 18% NVDA. If you can tolerate the risk long-term, then go for it, but you could at least diversify more across the semiconductor industry by moving some profits into SOXX.

circadiggmigration

You keep shilling that stupid stock but every time I ask you about it, I never get an answer: Why should I buy an apparel company facing declining sales, high debt and bearish analysts when the have a P/E ration lower than NVDA?

007baldy

Damn dude. Nice returns. I bought the stock on the NVDA news and have done well but not that well.

imawolfsux

Oh boy, sounds like a painful learning experience. Still, thanks for sharing. I guess your plan is to keep rolling? What happens if NVDA keeps going and going up?

Successful-Grab6091

okay, this is a bit much. Nvda could absolutely be 10x in the future but in just 2-3 years seems unrealistic, even for the biggest of bulls. That being said, NVDA could more reasonably 2, 3, … 5x in 2-3 years… Looks more than reasonable to at least double in the next couple years, imo.

Jazzlike_Praline_385

Markets closed Monday so I’m gonna it’s still gonna be SPY 743.74 NVDA 214.28

BigPlayCrypto

Greatness bro!!! I am rapidly buying AAPl, NVDA, AVGo as I get paid for small jobs fractions sometimes holla at me in 15 years to see the elation.

ConstantStrike5438

using around $2M of margin for CSP and own 14.5K of NVDA for CC.

Aggressive_Pear_5431

So Wall Street AIs know NVDA knows the future.

Valkyrie_Skuld

Only you have the power to move NVDA

reddituser_05

NVDA - that stock was going nowhere.

Jadeclone1

AMD currently 481.44 NVDA currently 220.59