Reddit Posts
NVDA and TSLA closed below their gamma flip. Five mega-caps closed above their call wall.
Is 0.70 Delta Really Enough to buy LEAP? (BE vs NVDA)
I started at the beginning of Covid. Made a few VERY smart decisions that I regret not putting more into. Had one extreme loss of $10k
Yolo but internally you know its not yolo with this $IONQ play
POV: You’ve been the lunchlady of NVDA for 20 years and just looked over your shoulder…
Why I am incredibly bullish in 2026 and beyond and interesting stocks to watch
When are tech stocks finally going to feel like May-June again ?
Can we break out of the QQQ channel that we’ve been in since 2023
Doubling Sandisk Guy but at a Quarter of his Cost
$30,000 YOLO NVDA $225 strike 8/28 put - Be a Good Player, Risk giving half of it all back
$50,000 YOLO NVDA 8/28 exp $217.5 strike call - when to take profit?
NVDA Confirms the Memory Bottleneck, PCE Stays Mechanically Hot & Positioning Turns Bullish Into Jackson Hole
We buying IREN ahead of earnings?
Amazon and NVIDIA to Deliver 2 Million Additional GPUs and Next-Generation Infrastructure for Agentic and Physical AI
Graphical representation of the NVDA after hours dip we saw yesterday
MRVL update – overnight ripping to $255, earnings tonight
From almost blowing up my $80k account to now 3x original investment.
ChatGPT has opinions on NVDA and a run on AI stocks tomorrow
Don’t let NVDA blind you from the real objective
The streak is broken, NVDA STOCK RISES AFTER 5 QUARTERS
Globe Newswire Reports $AMZN AWS and $NVDA to Deliver 2 Million Additional GPUs and Next-Generation Infrastructure for Agentic and Physical AI
"AI has reached its inflection point. It’s doing useful work. Its tokens are productive and profitable. Now, compute is revenue."
NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Second Quarter Fiscal 2027
Is the AI Capex vs. Semi decorrelation a buying op?
$NVDA is gonna kill the market after earnings
Just bought a NVDA call. 232.50 strike for Friday. Paid 77 cents.
I bought NVDA put options. Now I'm just waiting for the earnings call
AI is a bubble? Sorry, can’t hear you. NVDA earnings today
POV: You’re short $NVDA and Jensen comes out like this during the earnings call
The whole market hinges on NVDA earnings tomorrow
The AI Trade Part 2: How to play the current Market
every woman is getting on ozempic
The AI Trade is Dead, OpenAI and Anthropic undershot the moon, pressure private equity
Gamers here, do you invest in a game company like Nintendo, Sega, etc?
Can we collectively agree to stop making the same donation before NVDA earnings?
The Better Investment Is Often One Step Away From the Headline
$NVDA Is Spending $6 Billion to Build a Powerful U.S. Alternative to Chinese Al, According to WSJ
SPX one month premium at zero into NVDA, Jackson Hole, jobs, CPI and the Fed
NVDA raising prices 15% on certain chips per Bloomberg
Nvidia customers notified about AI-related price hikes above 15%, Bloomberg News reports
Nvidia customers notified about AI-related price hikes above 15%
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Semis Are Green Again, But I’m Watching What Happens After Nvidia Earnings
Nvidia in Talks With Chip Startup Rebellions for Potential Deal - Bloomberg
Earnings week watchlist — these are the ones I'm watching next week
I built a free dealer-gamma + live options-flow terminal for SPX/SPY/QQQ. No signup. Tear it apart.
NVDA is getting a fresh China tailwind after limited H200 shipments were reportedly approved for ByteDance and Tencent, but the upside is still capped by restrictions on both sides.
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
21M, was up 101% YTD, sold half of everything Monday. Regard?
The queen of circular financing: $NVDA shelling out 105B to build a datacenter with SB Energy that uses NVDA chips exclusively. OpenAI is supposed to rent it after construction.
My bullish thoughts on Penguin Solutions $PENG and why I've been buying - CGPT edited
NVIDIA (NVDA) steps on the brake with AI spending, cuts in half AI guarantee commitment to OpenAI!
Michael Burry Loads Up On QQQ Puts, Boosts MU Short As He Braces For ‘Larger Fall’ — Here’s What He Did To NVDA, PLTR And TSLA
Mentions
terms of second Memorandum of Understanding: Ayatollah offering 3 trillion dollar investment into SNDK, MU and NVDA
BREAKING: Iran is begging for peace again - ayatolla to invest 2 trillion in NVDA and MU as part of the deal
My three biggest is GOOG, NVDA and VTI
**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** | $215.00 (below) | $217.70 | -1.2% | 23h 60m |
Fuck you $NVDA dump you cunt
NVDA will 100% lose all gains before market open
Can't wait for NVDA to close at 210 today
Image not buying NVDA calls at close on Friday🙃
Yeah dude. I was too damn poor for good NVDA GPU's back in the day. I remember having shitty Radeon graphics cards. And while purchasing AMD back then would have paid off big too, I just wasn't really an enthusiast, I just bought 1 GPU every 5-6 years and that's it.
The split into two groups is the part that matters. If you treat Friday's line as still sitting there Monday, the snapshot is already stale. NVDA and TSLA in one bucket, the five names sitting on the ceiling in the other. Overnight the book changes, so the question is whether those two still feel slippery into the open, or whether the corridor already moved. Did Friday feel like TSLA was fighting to leave a box, or like nothing was in the way.
I own 1713 NVDA shares and did a covered call option for December 2028 the day after the earning call which paid a premium of $57,7777. The next day the stock dropped $10.40 so I bought it back at a cost of $50,650 with a profit of $7,127. I can't tell the future but I think I did the right thing considering there are now no restrictions on my stock and I can do this all over again once the price increases again.
NVDA shares cost about the same as they do now in 2020
Probably lose money because I loaded NVDA on Friday
Must be fucking nice dude. How the fuck does it seem that everyone and their mom was in NVDA in 2020. What the fuck dude. Shit was just a gaming GPU company back then.
NVDA will save the market 🐂🐂
Actually and NVDA straddle is pretty reasonable. Low IV
We would all say call NVDA at $220 is reasonable?
Michael Burry Buys NVDA Calls As A ‘Hedge,’ 👀
Friday twas a bad day to buy NVDA calls at close huh
I was there 3000 years ago instead of buying NVDA
Maybe those 215 Puts on NVDA I got on Friday weren't a bad idea
People telling you to sideline have been sidelined this entire run up, and have been getting railed trying to short it. Your goal is long term? Good, these valuations have never been cheaper. If you have a long term outlook, buying into NVDA now is like buying apple stock when they made the iphone. Low pe, new tech, revolutionizing the way the world uses technology. But more importantly, the most important companie son the planet are their #1 customers for life. You better believe Nvidia is a FANTASTIC investment choice. You may not 10x your money right away, but it is a forever hold stock, absolutely.
Just wait until the AI sex robots (powered by NVDA) get released.
**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** | $240.00 (above) | $217.70 | +10.2% | Sep 29, 10:48 PM |
Clowns in here don’t know how to buy weakness or have any conviction in anything. They only know how to chase. Smart money was loading MU last year at $65 and retards in here have a cost basis of $1000. There are hundreds of tickers that can turn into the next NVDA or MU. But no one in here would buy them
Nice! I looked it up after asking.. was going to guess May of 2023… my wife and I have owned NVDA since it was first recommend by The Motley Foole.. like 2012? It is a great one just to hold on to. Good luck. Winner for many more years to come!
No better option than NVDA and APP right now
Bear case is that AI is not sustainable in its current form. If the end users ultimately see it as not worth it or only worth a bit of money like paying for M365 then the sector will be red more than gree. NVDA/chips are also making a lot of money on the fact that they are still buying the cutting edge. If end users ultimately just want a bit of a helper app there is no need for the cutting edge hardware, just any old shit will do. People are running local AI on their shit computers and it's not completely terrible. NVdia pivoting to data centers doesn't really address this, as customers will just run to the cheapest service they can get. It all ends in margins getting smaller. I'm not sure why anyone would invest in NVDA when you can invest in MU or related companies for a higher upside with a similar bear case. You take the risk either way, get some possible upside at least.
Post your shares of NVDA & gains from them now, and we can compare what’s “insanity”.
In this case I discovered NVDA before most other Investors heard about NVDA, and I bought the stock for cheap in 2021. I haven’t sold the stock since, and NVDA has grown to be one of the biggest companies in the world. My “technique” was reading about new technology, and the companies producing it. NVDA started making custom GPUs for blockchain mining & then realized they could make custom chips for anything (ASICs). Do your research & invest in companies you believe in!
That next morning after NVDA he would have had a very small window to get out. After that it was all down hill. By Friday those contracts were 0.50
I have two NVDA $217.5 calls 9/18 exp how cooked am I
Huh? Cramer has been owning NVDA since 2017 or so iirc
Do my NVDA puts expiring tomorrow stand a chance yes or no
shorted semis after NVDA earnings
Car makers financing their overpriced trucks and SUVs = cool NVDA financing their overpriced GPUs = not cool
Monday NVDA back to $230
The CFO for NVDA referred to it as the "flywheel". When the CFO of a multi-trillion dollar company starts talking about perpetual motion and magical flywheels we should all be scared of what's to come.
Voodoo5 was the coolest graphics card, sorry NVDA bolls
> once weights are public... There is licensing > Not their business model today... Doesn't mean they cannot pivot > why devs is it... Lots of companies (that were not historically AI first) use it cuz they don't have the in-house expertise and resources to do it on their own . My previous company which was a startup used it for this exact reason. Like I said, the more important reason for this acquisition is the Jevons paradox. Own the AI stack and provide it to the user for free/cheap so it indirectly supports your hardware growth. NVDA already tried this with their Nemo efforts in house, so this makes a lot of sense.
NVDA biggest shareholder is Vanguard group.....second biggest is blackrock......black rock's biggest shareholder is vanguard group....and somehow i suspect citadel in everything
If AI gets commoditized, hugging face will be at the forefront of selling cheap open source AI models. Not to mention, selling cheap AI to smaller companies would enable them to use AI more which will translate to more sales for NVDA. It's a clever move.
So let’s match moneyness. NVDA $200 is about 8% ITM. The equivalent BE strike is roughly $195. That BE LEAP costs around $93.50, or 44% of the stock price, for roughly 75 shares of delta-equivalent exposure. The high volatility explains the price — it doesn’t make the leverage attractive. That’s exactly what I’m trying to measure. So with both validations you reach the same poor leverage . The PAR give you all this info quickly
Nice. I just pulled out a quarter mil after making a killing on NVDA and put it into my house which is something not enough peeps do around here. Just added a couple more Nov contracts on oracle. I’ll get out of those when there’s a month to go or sooner. 9/10 will be exciting. I don’t see oracle going much lower. https://preview.redd.it/mevqj0ecdjmh1.jpeg?width=2752&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4843ab451abfc117febe40f84762380acb8a95a7
**RED FLAGS** - To all readers of this OP, please think about the following claims and ask yourselves these questions: * OP defines "premium at risk" to be total premium (not just extrinsic value) / stock price. What is the derivation of this metric? What does it prove or disprove? * The NVDA to BE comparison compares an ITM call to an OTM call. Is that a fair comparison? * No effort is made to account for intrinsic value. The NVDA "premium at risk" includes $2, or about 1%, of intrinsic value. The BE case, being OTM, has no intrinsic value. Consider XYZ shares at $200 and a 100 call whose premium is $100, i.e., all intrinsic value. The "premium at risk" would be 50%. Is that bad? It's more than either of the examples in the OP. Oddly enough, most people could call that 2 to 1 leverage, which is a good thing. * The OP asserts, "Both also have IV near the lower end of their own one-year range," and yet, the OTM call for BE is 0.70 delta. Think about that. An **OTM call has a delta greater than 0.50.** Unfortunately, this being a Sunday, I can't look at live quotes to verify that the deltas for OTM calls are being that inflated by IV, as would be necessary for an OTM call to have a delta above 0.50. But assuming that is not a typo, it's a hint that the IV on BE calls is many times larger than the IV on NVDA calls, which make comparisons between the premiums of calls on both tickers even more problematic.
My prediction: Next week flat broadly af as we all are on a slow death march to Anthropic IPO. We will get another titan of the tech world warn we "have moved beyond Terminator 1 and are more at a T2 type scenario" or something similar. The bols desperately seeking leverage to buy catepillar because every data center needs a panic room while Burry says that while T2 is very much on the cards, NVDA will see a drawdown first tldr; theta week, maybe pump on earnings for something retarded
Fuck it dude just buy 9/2 230 calls for NVDA at open. 50k might retire you. Or you work until you die.
If NVDA goes to $600 by Wednesday I’m a millionaire!
I didn't go into stocks intending to have a Roth IRA made up of MSFT and NVDA but it has been working.
Nah NVDA and AAPL both crush them
I know. I have covered calls sold on both. NVDA is somewhat of a slow burn compared to BE which is a more exciting name (and so more risk and so more premium and so more need to roll aggressively if/when needed) and that is all in summary is high volatility.
I mean, paying 50% of the full stock ownership is still better capital deployment than owning stock. For example the jan 28 NVDA $150 strike goes for $85. This is still 2.7x better capital deployment than buying 100x NVDA for 21.7k
> Higher BE volatility explains the premium, but it doesn’t make the LEAP attractive. That’s why I like looking at Premium at Risk as a separate filter. Or you just look at IV... All you're saying here is heavy call skew and high IV made BE options more expensive than NVDA.
You're paying more premium on BE because it's a higher volatility name and the market knows it can move a lot. NVDA is also volatile but the options are priced relative to each stock's own history, not against each other. For me if I'm paying over 30% of share price in premium I start looking at just buying the stock instead, unless I have very strong conviction the stock will run far past my strike. That 41% on BE means you need the stock to go to like $306 just to break even at expiration, which is a lot to ask even in two years.
Right — NVDA doesn’t need a crazy move to work. That’s the point. With much lower Premium at Risk, a smaller move can still give a good return. BE has a much higher hurdle because so much premium is at risk.
Fair point — the BE call is basically all extrinsic while the NVDA call has intrinsic value. That actually makes BE even less attractive to me as a LEAP buyer. Going deeper ITM would reduce the extrinsic portion and make it more stock-like, but then I’m committing even more premium. And make stock buying much better R/R That’s the reason I look at Premium at Risk in addition to delta. At some point the capital saving versus owning the shares just isn’t worth the option risk.
NVDA isn’t gonna swing up 100 points in a week at 5 trillion. Unless it unwinds to the downside
NVDA will be a great pickup at 10$/share in 6 months post ai bubble pop.
Exactly that's what i keep saying! It was back in the 2010s, people worried on antennagate, iphone market saturated, end of the 2 years phone carriers deal, end of the smartphone upgrade cycle, blablabla, lots of fears AAPL dropped like 20% from its peak, lots of crying and then ...it just kept going up, then for those who were patient, Buffet jumped in... then in 2026, they are crying again over NVDA... Lol.. Lots of buying opportunities here while we can....before Buffet jumps ... again ...into the AI trade ... History often rhymes...
I don't know anything about this stock, but the AI trade is not dead. There will be another major bull run later this year or next. I prefer major companies, NVDA, MU, AMD, etc.
NVDA itself looks fine. I’m more worried about whether the guys buying all these GPUs eventually make money on them lol
NVDA earnings is always a coin flip. The main risk here isn't just direction, it's the IV crush right after the call. Even if NVDA pulls back, if the drop doesn't beat the priced-in straddle move, the delta gains won't offset the vega crush on those puts. Hope you have a strict exit plan for market open!
should have paper handed on MRVL was up $20k the night before earnings thanks to NVDA
Yup. GOOG was the easiest to scalp and swing trade last year. It is now anti-correlating during the day time with AI CapEx sell offs. MRAM looks like some juicy bullshit, do you know diff between MRAM and DRAM? I scalped SKHY after the NVDA print and sold off for a nice profit.
I’d go 70% NVDA and MU (both still fairly valued) and 30% VOO. Also, I’m A big Jenson fan!
Being 18 gives you a huge advantage: time. But I don't think having a long time horizon means you need to take maximum concentration risk. NVDA, TSM, Broadcom, Micron and AMD may look like five different stocks, but many of the same forces drive them: AI spending, semiconductor demand, capex expectations and market sentiment toward AI. So this is much closer to one concentrated bet than five independent bets. The other thing I'd separate is "AI will keep growing" from "AI stocks will keep outperforming." Both can be great companies in a great industry, while the stocks still disappoint if today's prices already reflect very optimistic expectations. At 18, you don't need to choose between boring index investing and going all-in on AI. You could build a diversified core and use a smaller portion of the portfolio for the AI thesis you strongly believe in. Your biggest advantage isn't that you can afford to gamble more. It's that you have decades for compounding to work.
what do you think? maybe think in terms of consistent base hits instead of home runs. like buying NVDA on the dip
Are we done with NVDA? No movement for 3 more months?
That Friday candle on NVDA is just another nail in the coffin of the semi trade. At this point, I'll be interested in soxl when it gets below its previous ath of 60 bucks
NVDA bro I do not want a new driver every week just to play on excel and watch porn I miss one driver update and it's like fucking stranger things just tryna open one browser tab
MU is one of the strongest among the semis sector atp. Idk why some of your talk out of your ass, not sure if that's what you "think" is happening or what. You look at relative strength and NVDA, MU and MRVL are the 3 best stocks in the semis sector
The best returns you ever could have had was invested in every company you knew about (NVDA, AMD, MU, etc.) as an addicted gamer in 2016. Right now, you should be asking what dumb shit your terminally online nephew is using right now and just buy that.
price action "reports" are pure slop. They only exist to generate ad revenue. Just look at NVDA's most recent earnings calling the market's response tepid... until the next day when it jumped to 229
OK I'm going to stop complaining and actually think about my moves because the casino WILL open soon. 1. I am probably buying IREN and swinging it for a couple days, weeks or until the next earnings. 2. I am probably buying NVDA for the same reason 3. I am watching for LITE to make a doodoo move and heavy scalp it or hold overnight. 4. I am basically buying dum dum stuff that bounces like bouncy ball. I'm probably waiting until Wed, my prediction is tape will be red for a few days. If monday's tape is good, I'm in, but more conservative sizing.
NVDA 220 calls expiring Wednesday close
Never buying NVDA again. I don't give a fk if they make a $Trillion in revenue.
I sold my sons bike to buy NVDA calls. He doesn’t understand money anyway.
Strike and expiry are fine. It's the $400 target I'd push back on. You'd make about 4.5x gross there, which is a great payoff, no argument. But $400 from $228 is +75% in 1.4 years. That's 49% a year, compounded. NVDA just doesn't move like that anymore. Look at how far it actually traveled each year, high to low as a % of the low (split-adjusted): 2023: 260% 2024: 223% 2025: 145% 2026 so far: 44% Peaked in 2023 and it's been coming down every year since. Vol says the same thing, 52% in 2024, 50% in 2025, and trailing twelve months is 37.7%. Quietest it's been in five years. Which is the annoying part, because that $300 Jan 28 call is marked at 40.54% IV. So you're paying up for vol the stock hasn't actually delivered. https://preview.redd.it/rz8i6sawlcmh1.png?width=1500&format=png&auto=webp&s=22c13a761eb56d1c3fa1c9f438ccacc818d17dce Rough odds from where it sits now: $300, +31.6%, call it 24% Breakeven around $321.90, +41.2%, about 19% $400, +75.5%, about 9% So $10,900 for roughly a 1 in 5 chance of even getting past breakeven. I'm not saying don't do it. If you've got a specific 2027 thing you're betting on, revenue ramp, margin story, whatever, then fair enough, that's a real thesis. But if the reasoning is basically "it's run hard before," that's the exact thing the numbers say has changed.
he claimed a $230k profit shorting NVDA but never posted proof so it might just be talk? :hug: Michael Burry over here but not posting gains at all?
Please. I got Wednesday calls for NVDA. Fuck I lost everything I gained lmaaooo
I will ask Google to explain this to me. I am buying deep in the money calls on NVDA, MSFT, Apple for 2028. The premium more or less corresponds with the difference between current price and the strike price. So if the share price stays flat for 2 years I am neutral (more or less). If it falls to 0 I am no worse off than if I’d bought the underlying shares, in fact better off - and can just buy the shares at their new low price. Isn’t that all there is to it? Why do I also need to sell a call?
NVDA back to 230 on Monday
I read a bunch of comments and it seems the consensus is: Don't do it! Don't buy the option you specified. IVR on NVDA is super low right now so a good buy for LEAPS most likely, I didn't look. But go with a smaller position and choose a strike at least at or near the current price and better still is DITM 80 delta or higher. Practice that with 1 contract and set your gain for a 50% gain.... Milk it and move to the next one.... Gather the experience by making smaller and more trades rather than large trades fewer times. It's safer and you'll learn more, quicker. I like the Jan 21s.
applying AMD's p/e to NVDA and calling it a valuation argument is backwards, AMD's the one priced for perfection here. it's sitting right on its 465 put wall with dealers net negative gamma, that's a name priced for volatility…
You just described a strategy called The Wheel: https://www.reddit.com/r/Optionswheel/comments/1gpslvk/the_wheel_aka_triple_income_strategy_explained/ Downsides are underperformance compared to just holding the stock, the high up-front capital requirement, over 50k for just one lot of NVDA, for example, and the inherently bullish bias of the strat. If you are in a bear market that lasts many multiples of your desired holding time, you'll end up bagholding.