NVDA

AIPAC_SPEAKS

The company's sole reason for existing is to funnel investor and lender money into NVDA chips, rent them to openai who rightfully doesn't want a massive pile of debt and overpaid for chips, and then eventually something goes bad and they can't pay back the 9% debt and they die for everyone's sins like debt jesus. A new generation of "neoclouds" replaces them and the party goes on. Why would you buy a company who just exists to funnel idiots money away?

impulsivetwerp

Planning to invest 30K spread across the following stocks today: MU GOOG SMH AVGO ORCL NVDA AMZN WDC/STX New investor here. Any advice from seasoned veterans? Any other stocks you’d recommend?

bearhunter429

⚔️ BULLS VS. BEARS 1996 SNES JRPG — Wall Street Edition 🎮 🎵 16-bit battle music intensifies 🎵 🐂 BULLHUNTER uses PATRIOTIC RALLY! 🇺🇸🦅 S&P 500 rises 3%! NASDAQ rises 5%! All Bulls gain +50 morale! 🐻 BEARHUNTER uses FEAR OF RECESSION! NASDAQ falls 4%! NVDA takes 2,000 damage! Reddit Ape is confused! 🏦 FED WIZARD uses POWELL'S HAMMER! "WE ARE DATA DEPENDENT." CRITICAL HIT! All growth stocks lose 30% HP! 🤌 SIR WILLIAM uses COVERED CALL! Collects $847 in premium. Theta meter fully charged! 🦅 BULLHUNTER uses BALD EAGLE — BUY AMERICAN STOCKS! SUPER EFFECTIVE! 🇺🇸 S&P 500 +2.8%! Bears flee! Reddit Apes begin chanting! ⚠️ THE ALGORITHM HAS ENTERED THE BATTLE! Market closes +0.03%. RESULT: TECHNICAL DRAW. LMAO🤌

Notorious_Quan

AMD and NVDA easily!

Waste_Bad1924

You have enough money in your account to recover. Just go slow. Buy good companies on this dip like Dell, HPE, AMD, NVDA , VST. with all the remaining money and you recover in 2 months

my_garagegym_name

5ea 90dte NVDA @235 calls

Gambler136

NVDA, easily.

Allahboutdabenjamins

NVDA

Nerd504

* turning 19 this month US * Unemployed college studnet * I just got my investment account of $2300 transfered to me. I want to get it to grow quickly * I need liquid money often * Blackjack level risk tolerance * Current holding: $TSM 417 NVDA: $217 AMZON: $252 GOOGL: $343 * No debt only expense is food parents pay for everything else Question: Is my portfolio reasonable?

powerboner

Last year, NVDA, OPEN and OKLO. Not even joking LOLLLLL.

Txliven

NVDA

InternationalKiwi401

this is the part people keep missing imo. NVDA and TSMC already got paid, in cash, at 70% margins. If a neocloud blows up the losses land on whoever holds the debt and the equity checks, not on the chip suppliers order books, somebody else just buys the capacity cheaper. The selloff treated the whole chain like it had the same risk and it just doesnt.

Tim_Apple_938

The best hope is that Alphabet becomes largest mkt cap and Gemini does well which would make the market a lot more robust to NVDA OpenAI and Anthropic blowing up

TickTockTaudit

Tech earnings will be strong, of course. If they hold rates at the Fed meeting (the meeting that’s the week before elections 👀 👀), look out above. Extremely bullish until the week prior to NVDA earnings

Charming_Raccoon4361

who is going to save NVDA from circula financing ? :wendys:

theRedlightt

NVDA 2200 shares

Connect_Ad6302

NVDA didn’t go up, did it?

jraiv420

Bers really thought NVDA would let CRWV fail 😂

NotTheRightHDMIPort

I dont think NVDA is going to be down for long. Hoping for a panicked sell off so I can buy

Acceptable_Bed_6033

About to gamble the whole port on NVDA 220 c for 12/18

Enlighten_YourMind

Brother you have enough $ you can just buy NVDA & GOOGL leaps and log out of the app till this time next year and be rich. Please do that 🙏🏼

Medical-Lecture-6053

NVDA buys out CRWV for 90 a share just out now

TickTockTaudit

Upcoming calendar: \-Ichabod Crane Rally \-Pocahontas Rally \-5% pullback on NVDA earnings bc NVDA earnings is always CRAZY GAY \-Santa Rally QQQ 789 EOY

Acrobatic-Ostrich168

I’m yolo googl and NVDA and mu

Pitiful-Market8662

Sure hope NVDA doesn’t step on my peener tomorrow

An_Acc0untant_

It’s over bro, Samsung, SKH, NVDA and other chip / memory names are going bankrupt /s The timeline and capacity of this thread is 24 hrs

Any_Mud_1628

Yea its nothing like AMD or NVDA from 5+ years ago

juuular

Here’s the AI slop version for the regards: Stock Reddit implied move Historical average* Initial interpretation NOK ±10.28% 3.3% Unusually expensive-looking BE ±12.15% 16.5% Worth checking for underpriced volatility DECK ±10.56% 11.3% Close to historical WDC ±10.73% 9.4% Roughly in line CLF ±12.38% 11.8% Roughly in line UAL ±7.08% 7.2% Roughly in line 1. Nokia (NOK) — potentially overpriced volatility Earnings: Thursday, October 22, before market open 10.28% implied move vs. 3.3% historical peak intraday average This is the most dramatic discrepancy in your screenshot. A separate options-data source confirms the approximately 10.3% weekly implied move. But there’s a reason Nokia might behave differently now. Nvidia invested $1 billion in Nokia in October 2025, tying its investment story much more closely to AI networking. Possible strategy to examine: An iron condor or another defined-risk premium-selling position, if the actual premiums adequately compensate for the risk. The danger is assuming Nokia’s old low-volatility behavior still applies to a company whose investor base and business narrative have changed. 2. RingCentral (RNG) — potentially underpriced large moves Earnings: Thursday, October 22, after market close 13.26% implied move This one deserves attention because its recent earnings reactions have been extreme. Previous report Stock reaction July 2026 +25.1% May 2026 +0.5% February 2026 +34.4% November 2025 −8.3% Historical earnings reactions reported by TipRanks. Two of its last four reported earnings reactions exceeded 25%. That’s interesting when the current option market implies about 13%. Possible strategy to examine: An at-the-money long straddle or wide strangle if the total debit and bid–ask spreads are reasonable. However, two extreme observations out of four are not enough to establish a statistical advantage. The stock has changed substantially over that period, and two of those four moves would have disappointed a buyer paying today’s 13% implied move. 3. Western Digital (WDC) — a directional AI sentiment trade Earnings: Thursday, October 22, after market close 10.73% implied move Western Digital is particularly interesting because the company has benefited from cloud-storage demand, but AI-related technology stocks have recently sold off sharply. Its fiscal 2026 results showed substantial revenue and margin improvements. However, its customer concentration and dependence on hyperscaler spending are also meaningful vulnerabilities. The implied move isn’t obviously cheap compared with its history. I wouldn’t buy a straddle solely because of that 10.73%. Possible strategy to examine: A call debit spread if you’re independently bullish on guidance, or a put debit spread if you expect a worsening AI capital-spending outlook. This is more of a fundamental directional opportunity than an obvious volatility-pricing discrepancy. 4. Bloom Energy (BE) — a high-volatility AI infrastructure event Earnings: Thursday, October 22, after market close 12.15% implied move Bloom has become closely linked to the AI data-center power buildout. Recent selling reflects concerns about the financing of that investment cycle, rather than simply the demand for electricity. This creates the possibility of an especially meaningful earnings reaction if management either confirms strong demand or warns about financing-related project delays. But the more comparable recent historical data suggests that the 12% implied move is approximately fair, not obviously underpriced. Possible strategy to examine: A defined-risk directional debit spread, rather than automatically paying for both sides of a straddle. I’d want a specific view about earnings guidance before making that trade. Two names missing from the Reddit list There are two other interesting discrepancies in the broader earnings calendar. Stock Current implied Historical average* Tesla (TSLA) 7.6% 9.6% Meta (META) 6.9% 10.4% *Ten-year historical peak intraday earnings-move averages from EarningsWatcher, which aren’t directly comparable with closing option payoffs. At first glance those look like potentially underpriced straddles. However, using more recent closing-price history, Optionomics estimates Meta’s average reaction over its recent sample at 6.86%, versus an average implied move of 7.35%. So the apparent bargain largely disappears. Tesla’s recent average realized earnings move was 8.56%, compared with 7.49% implied, leaving a more interesting—but still unproven—case for buying volatility. For your existing NVDA calls, though, Meta’s earnings may be the most consequential event of the entire week. Its capital-spending outlook could affect sentiment toward Nvidia and other AI infrastructure providers. One warning about the Reddit list I found at least one apparent calendar discrepancy. AMC Entertainment appears in the Reddit earnings list with a 9.28% implied move, but another earnings calendar currently estimates its report for November 4, not October 19–23. That doesn’t necessarily make the quoted options percentage wrong. But if the earnings date is wrong, the intended event trade may be completely different. And Cleveland-Cliffs is reporting before the market opens Monday, October 19, so waiting until Monday’s regular session to buy options would mean entering after the announcement. Always verify the precise reporting date and use the expiration immediately following earnings when evaluating event premiums. The actual opportunity test If I were screening these as a professional, I’d want to see the following before putting money into one of them: Requirement Why it matters Actual ATM call + put ask Determines the real cost of buying the straddle Actual ATM call + put bid Determines what you can recover immediately Last 8–12 earnings closing moves Better comparison than just historical intraday highs Expected post-earnings IV decline Essential for estimating the value remaining after earnings Available spread widths and liquidity Determines whether a theoretical advantage survives execution costs For premium-selling positions I’d also model a much larger-than-expected move, not just the average historical reaction. Where I land Nokia and RingCentral are the two names I’d investigate first for potential volatility-pricing discrepancies. They represent opposite hypotheses: Nokia’s 10% move may be too expensive, while RingCentral’s 13% could be inadequate if its recent large-reaction behavior persists. Western Digital is interesting for a more traditional earnings-direction thesis. Bloom Energy is fascinating but doesn’t appear clearly underpriced on a like-for-like volatility comparison.

greenpride32

Forget about AI GPU compute for a minute. The reason why AMZN and MSFT have soared in the past decade is due to wide adoption of their CPU based hyperscaling. I don't think you can really call an NVDA GPU a commodity because AI for past 10 years was developed on CUDA platform. You don't just replace NVDA with AMD in this case. But CPU's and servers had already been a commodity for 2 decades. If AMZN and MSFT can get high margin for those commodities, just imagine what they can do with limited supply NVDA GPU? And AMD will probably come in with some inferencing too. Something to keep in mind is when you rent capacity from the hyperscalers, you aren't just buying the pure output power of resources - you are paying for a services layer, a physical protection layer, a security layer, a connectivity layer etc. Imagine I delivered a GPU rack to your house or even your general office business location. What can you do with it? You don't have the power, the cooling, probably not even the know how etc. You pay the hyperscaler premiums because you can login to a browser and with a few clicks you have something operational, or login and deploy a snipet of code and boom you have access to a resource.

Original_Drama_1094

how are NVDA earnings real when they give money to customers to buy their gpus? shit wouldn't have a market at 1/3 the price

SilentExtinction

I'm going to say NVDA probably drops under 210 and maybe heads down to 200 if there aren't any changes in the narrative. If tomorrow remains a relatively calm day in terms of new development in the ai trade, I could see NVDA coming back up to the 210-215 range during the week. Then again, if we see widespread panic, a 10% drop on NVDA would not be impossible. I don't think it goes green tomorrow, though, there's just too much negative news going around.

Arrowhead_Pride15

If any pocket of NVDA or AVGO chip capacity opens up it will get gobbled up by sidelined demand, and it would take a dramatic, prolonged slowdown to change that. GPU rental rates are going up, AWS is booked through the end of next year, Azure and GCloud are capacity capped, Elon Musk wants to triple the number of NVDA cards at Colossus.... If TSM.opens up even 1% manufacturing capacity someone is filling it. That's why OpenAI and Anthropic are in such a precarious/dire position. They have to either spend billions every quarter hand over fist on as much comoute as they can possibly procure, and if they slow down at all they open up space for their competitors. Having "runner up" models doesn't matter at all to Gemini or Co-Pilot, they have distribution and the product is "good enough", for OpenAI and Anthropic of their products aren't "good enough" they fail. TLDR the picks and shovels are still sold out for years to come but the gold miners are playing a risky game.

CALMER_THAN_YOU_

More like NVDA, AMD, GOOGL, MU, SKHY, suck it

Janubeary

NVDA? Wow

Complete_Attempt_249

NVDA

sciuridae

I thought stocks were safer than 0DTEs until I saw my NVDA bag evaporate overnight with margin. lol

Flat-Focus7966

Some people who bought calls at NVDA 245....will be loading puts tomorrow Different actions....same result

greenpride32

Yep this is where we see the difference between an investor and a speculator. I could look at the 5-7 year stock chart for GOOG MSFT AMZN NVDA and might conclude their businsses sufferred major setbacks a few times. Yet if I looked at 10Q's and 10K's instead it paints a different picture and the one I like to see.

originalpjy

10x $100p 12/27 PLTR @ $5 10x $100p 12/28 NVDA @ $4 50x $100P DELL 3/27 @ $.09 10x $30p CRWV 3/27 @ $1.35

Informal_Weekend9503

$NVDA and $META and have been for years.

i_empathetic

Seriously, "too big to fail" part 2 ain't gonna be government bailouts, its gonna be NVDA backstopping everything or starting to give sweetheart deals with lower margins to ease the pressure on their preferred partners.

Impossible_Way7017

Oh NVDA is definitely in the best position. Unless it’s customers go out of business.

lasooch

Hundreds of billions worth of NVDA GPUs that were ‘sold’ are in a similar limbo. Pop.

TheFamousHesham

NO. They literally got loans from NVDA to buy those GPUs... only 25,000 of Nscale's 400,000 contracted GPUs have been fully paid for by Nscale. I think it's about high time everyone sees the writing on the wall. The issue isn't that AI is useless or expensive, but that there literally isn't enough money in the world for this build out... and NVDA is adding fuel to the fire by lending its own customers, basically ensuring that if the market goes belly up... all companies crash and burn (even the legitimately good ones).

No_Proof_2736

NVDA with a healthy lead in front of AMZN, AAPL and AMD AMD was tied for 2nd place not long ago but dropped to 4th 🤬

HungryColquhoun

If you say so. The paper gains are only a little less than NVDA over the same period.

SpecialGrapefruit208

NVDA

ALMessenger

This is crazy . . . broad index funds aren’t what they were 10 years ago. What happens to S&P 500 when NVDA has its mean reversion? Or is the purchase of the broad index fund now a bet that NVDA never has that mean reversion?

tano-01

It kind of is. Just like the deepseek drop, CXMT suddenly announces that they’re going to produce RAM and so semiconductors routed. But there’s other factors as well. Interest rates / bond yields. AI company profits and their borrowing. Inflation. High tech valuations. The rest of the economy. But build out is continuing… Yes. Lots of earnings reports starting this week so let’s see what happens. I’ll be watching a few closely, META, Google, Hynix, WDC, SNDK, MSFT. I’m hoping for a rebound. Not sure if this is the end just yet. End of November NVDA reports.

l0gicgate

NVDA is my only position. $1.3m

Lugoe

I mean GOOG and MSFT are both doing the spending not gaining from it so that's kind-of a moot point and NVIDIA even if sales drop %70 of expected income they are still gonna be making more by 2027 than they were last year. I also just don't see NVDA's sales dropping that much long term even with an AI CAPEX decline

music_is_gud

GOOG does more like 100B a quarter. Why is that not a fraud? NVDA does like 70-100B a quarter too... Yeah you are high as a mofo

ScantBureaucracy12

your problem isn't NVDA or TSM specifically, it's that you went from a setup you were comfortable with to one that's making you anxious in the span of a single trading day 2 years is a weird in-between horizon, long enough to ride out some volatility but short enough that a prolonged slump could leave you stuck if you actually need the money then. being all-in on big tech when that's already the crowded trade isn't ideal if you're losing sleep over it if you're already second guessing yourself this hard maybe keep what you bought but next time just ease into a position instead of deploying everything at once. nothing wrong with taking a swing but if the regret is eating at you that's your gut saying you overcorrected

ThePotentialHD

NVDA Shares, AAPL LEAPs.

Bosto2025

NVDA and SNDK. So my position is anal right now.

Kidatsfresh

NVDA HYPE and Cash

MstHaze

GOOGL, MSFT, NVDA, TSMC, MU all long-term hold

SpiritualApricots

Meta and NVDA 😒 💀

Hot-Pineapple7877

GOOGL, MSFT, and NVDA. Yeah I'm basic, I also don't care.

Karzap

NVDA

OG_Tater

I have 3,000 shares of NVDA at $12. Survivor bias. Otherwise it’s mostly VT and SPY.

BimmerBro98

So NVDA go up or down?

Mediocre_Gap2236

I’ve already accepted that AI has invalided about 15 years of technical experience I have and what made me a highly paid accountsnt, but yes I am a candidate subject to be laid off. But I am also hot shit with execs right now because I keep up with the latest AI development, experiment with AI agents in my spare time, and push things to the limit with AI implementation at work, so I’ve just been doing AI facilitation and training sessions in the new found time that I have. I still do my old role, nothings changed from that front, other than the fact that I’ve automated it all with Python/SQL scripts and connected to our systems with MCPs for end to end automation. I just monitor that the agents I’ve set up doing that flow are working as intended. I’ve full ported my savings into tech about 6 months ago , GOOG NVDA MSFT SPCX and SNOW Once the mass layoffs (including to me) happen these shares should also reflect the corresponding shift in value.

DubiousChemistry

It was a couple months after the tariff bottom, growth was recovering and AMD had a really good story with the MI series chips being able to take market share off NVDA.

GhettoMuppet

bring her onstage for NVDA earnings to really pump

JerseyshoreSeagull

None of what Doctor Chang said is "unhinged" all of it is practical and plausible and a very likely scenario. If he were to say "buy NVDA" and Yolo. I'd be skeptical. But war, midterms, a crash... these are all things more likely than me making money in the stock market

Ratherbeeatingpizza

Wait for a bounce than ditch or trim some of those. You don’t need to make it back where you lost it. And then buy some NVDA, APPL, TSM and something like Costco, Netflix etc and then get an index fund or 2. SPMO, QQQ, for example. Still growth but won’t Titanic in a correction.

Medical-Lecture-6053

no because CRWV has to blow up to 30's first and force NVDA to backstop them

LawyersGunsAnd_Money

Calling this normal rotation while Treasuries rally and CoreWeave debt gets smoked is missing the bigger picture. That's credit repricing, not just profit-taking. Now Anthropic is reportedly offering Blackstone north of 10% on chip financing, versus 8.5% on an earlier deal. Demand for compute can be enormous and the economics can still be terrible. And hyperscalers needing capacity doesn't mean they're obligated to rescue anyone's balance sheet. They'll protect their compute, not necessarily the creditors or equity holders. I'd be watching credit spreads a hell of a lot closer than another oversold NVDA chart.

la_lunamoon

lol panic sold my $NVDA puts for +400k. oops.

Ok_Cry7572

think we see a huge gap up on Monday, led by semis. Not a chance they head down for the 11th day in a row. Looking for a 2-3% reversal on $NVDA specifically

Legitimate_Risk_1079

NVDA | NVIDIA - Current Price: $214.13 (Friday close) - Market Cap: ~$5.17T - Bull Target (12–18m): $290–$330 - Bear Target: $175–$190 - Upside: +35% to +54% - Downside: -11% to -18% - Reward-to-Risk: ~3.0:1 🟢 - Success Probability: 70% - Expected ROI: ~+26% - Forward P/E: ~17.7x 🟢 - Debt-to-Equity: ~0.17 🟢 - Cash + Marketable Securities: ~$56.6B 🟢 - Dividend Yield: ~0.5% - TTM Revenue: ~$303B - Q2 Revenue: $96.2B, +106% YoY 🟢 - Q2 Data Center Revenue: $89.0B, +117% YoY 🟢 - Q2 Net Income: $59.7B, +126% YoY 🟢 - Gross Margin: 75.0% 🟢 - Share Count: -1.0% YoY 🟢 - Buyback Authorization: $235B remaining through FY2028 🟢 - Price Trend: Strong long-term uptrend, currently correcting from $243.37 52-week high 🟢 - Bull-Case Market Cap: ~$7.0T–$8.0T 🔴 - Comparable Companies: AMD, Broadcom, TSMC - Risk: Moderate - Conviction: 8/10 - Grade: B+ NVIDIA remains the dominant AI-compute company with extraordinary growth, profitability, margins and cash generation. At $214.13, the valuation has become surprisingly reasonable relative to its growth, but the $5.2 trillion starting market cap means even a $300+ target requires trillions of dollars of additional valuation, so despite the excellent fundamentals and reward-to-risk, I keep NVDA at B+ rather than A-range.

B1g_C4p1T4l

logging off for a month is honestly the best part of the plan lol. just know MU, hynix, NVDA, MRVL and CRWV mostly move on the same AI capex story, so it's one big bet more than 6 dip buys imo

Quirky_Push_2506

Monday closing price SPY: 650 QQQ: 500 MU: 500 SNDK: 800 NVDA: 150 SPCX: 0.99

Perfect_Painter_7863

I really got 60k worth of SOXL at 103 50k of GGLL at break even same with 50k of AMZU and 11k worth of AMZN 245 call for Jan. Not counting my NVDA and NBIS.

JJZinna

S&P PLTR NVDA CVNA CRWV or just YES?

FuckingJPMAlgos

https://preview.redd.it/txhnnufsq2wh1.png?width=320&format=png&auto=webp&s=a0820af3773a3ad4092bae89bf04fc5fea0a2e59 Fuck you INTC HOOD MSTR MARA RIOT CRCL NVDA CRWV SPCX

refinedwarrior

I meant down not done and it’s not loss until you sell and I don’t do options so how is it a shock? I bought 370 shares of SNDK at 1715 refusing to sell this stock at a loss - and it’s been downhill since Oct 7th when my orders filled. Then NVDA due to market conditions has been dumping too. Why would I sell when it’s not due to fundamentals but market conditions. And not options and it’s been a week. Only reason SNDK stings is bc I didn’t want to get back in on Oct 7th but broke my own rule and used margin so I’m just paying interest seeing it crash this hard. In the end, if bitching I do is related to trading and not health or more important things like a roof over my head, I’ll consider myself blessed. But yes, mine was def degen and never something I’d advise anyone to do LOL but congrats to those who shorted…should’ve joined lol

refinedwarrior

Def not alone - done 150k just since Oct 7th in SNDK & NVDA 😵‍💫😵‍💫😵‍💫

CascadianSailor

If you measure "best" by percentage return, then my best was buying Tesla (TSLA) in November 2012 at a split-adjusted $2/share, and selling the last shares of that lot in December 2024 for $457 per share. I bought more shares many times and sold many shares off to trim some profit along the way, but if you trace one share's journey, that was my best. If you measure "best" by total dollar return, then it has to be NVDA. Between December 2020 and May 2021, I bought NVDA 4 times at a total cost basis of $13.5k. I've sold some shares 13 times since May 2023, trimming some profit each time to bring it back to a comfortable percentage of my portfolio, for total realized gains of $60k, and I still have another $59k in unrealized gains, for a total gain of $119k. The worst by percentage return is Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB), which I bought in 2020, then sold at a 99.37% loss after it collapsed in 2023, but even that near-total loss was only $3.3k The worst by total dollar return is Upstart (UPST). I put 18k into this company from June 2021 to January 2022, only to see it drop to $1.5k by December 2022. I held on to those shares, since $1.5k is such a small bet at this point, and I still believe in the company's long-term vision. I bought another $1.5k worth in May 2023, bringing my total cost basis to $19.5k, but I don't want to sink any more money into this company, so I've held back from buying more shares. I haven't sold any shares, and it's now worth $4.7k, which is still a small bet for me, but I'm not sure how much longer I'll hold on. If they don't turn around in the next year or two, I'll sell it and take the write-off on taxes. Another way to measure "worst" is by looking at how much I could have made if I had invested in an S&P 500 instead. By this measure, Disney (DIS) is my worst. A little over 10 years ago, I bought $2.6k worth of DIS. Today, those shares are worth $2.9k (I still own them), which is a modest 11% gain (19% if you include dividends). However, if I had invested that same $2.6k into an S&P 500 Index Fund, it would be worth $10.6k, plus $0.8k in dividends for a total of $11.4k. $11.4k / $2.6k = 4.38, so that's a 338% gain over a decade. So, the way I see it, I lost 319% (19% - 338%) by investing in Disney instead of an S&P 500 Index Fund over the last decade. But overall, the lesson is that all it takes is a few big winners to make up for many losers. The most I can lose is my cost basis, as demonstrated by SIVB, but I can gain much more than that with my winners, as demonstrated by TSLA and NVDA. In the end, my gains from just TSLA and NVDA are higher than the losses from my 18 worst picks. But those losers are the price of admission to finding the winners. If I'm scared of the losers, then I won't take the risk of investing in the future winners. Also, you have to let the winners run. If I had sold TSLA or NVDA at some arbitrary gain of 100% or even 1000%, then I would have lost out on the gains beyond that. Winners tend to keep on winning. Once you find a winner, hold on to it rather than searching for the "next big thing."

oh_no_the_claw

$2 trillion is not normal because vibes and NVDA chips expire like loaves of bread.

bubblegum-rose

The sheer balls you need to short NVDA

Psyops101

Week was brutal, all across the boards. I’m down as are lots of others. I’m day trading successfully, focused on beat down blue chips like GS, MSFT, CAT. I day trade options only for leverage, my daily average has been a solid $3,000 a day. Still, this infusion hasn’t upped my overall account. unfortunately I bought CALLS ITM with Jan expirations when sndk was bouncing around 1600 to 1650. I’ve ridden them down to - $90,000 in negative equity. Smaller positions, calls in MU, TSLA.SPAX, STX, ALAB, NVDA with plenty of negative equity. No, I didn’t grab highs. Has the bubble popped, I don’t agree. I see shorts, robo negative articles, day traders really f&$king the daily movement up. I’ve also seen large block trades coming in at interesting levels, the highest were at $1650 to $1600. My bet is by March ‘27, there will be people in here bragging about stock or calls they bought in the $1200 - $1300 range that by March will be huge in the money. SNDK may dip to $1000 again, 1150 to 1200 more likely. I’m buying put options for me day trades, no calls until I see those lower numbers. Loading up (stock) on GS, CAT, MSFT and NVDA.

ResidualSodium

Because it’s artificial. In that, RAM, GPUs, and other components are being set aside to get these data centers up and running. Also, see RAM producer collusion. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if in 2 years we had an equivalent of ASIC chips for AI, making the GPUs NVDA is making currently obsolete before their contracts with these centers are up.

PSLGods

You Lose, NVDA Wins

Sweaty_Platypus69

$NVDA will still be around when you pass your shares to your grandkids.. not so sure about $CRWV though :kek:

Charming_Raccoon4361

dude its over, NVDA 8% of GPUs goes to CRWV and CRWV will delist soon

PSLGods

Buy calls on NVDA yolo 420 bong

PSLGods

Anyone else be selling calls and puts on AAPL and NVDA?

TheOpeningBell

You can have actively managed SMAs. Imagine you own an S&P SMA. Let's also say you already own 1MM of MSFT stock. So number 1, direct indexing is also about screen outs so you screen MSFT out of your SMA as you don't need more. Then to your question let's say there's a correction in NVDA, GOOGL, AAPL, and say AMZN. 1. Sell those positions at a loss. 2. Buy an ETF that has the loss positions at a decent weighting so portfolio direction exposure is roughly the same. 3. Wait 31 days. 4. Sell the ETF, and re buy the individual positions. Signed, CFP in the industry with years of SMA experience.

SpiderWil

NVDA isn't going to the toilet but it's gonna have a price correction for sure

TickTockTaudit

Qs took a 6% haircut. Now tech will pump until NVDA earnings and then sell the news. We’ve all seen this before

PSLGods

thoughts on NVDA? pill me

pickle9977

You are way off, and are missing a key datapoint. The profit margins at tsmc, Samsung, NVDA, mu etc. Their margins are not only insane at 70+%, they are increasing, why, because everytime some moron gives any of these tech companies more money they just turn around and try to buy the same stuff. It’s a supply constraint, there are only so many chips we can make in a year, the amount of money we have pumped into this over two years far outstrips that supply. Given these margins the collateral underlying these loans is worth less than 1/3rd of the borrowed amount, it’s like taking out a $120k car loan for a Honda Civic. This is quite literally the definition of dumb money, and if the debt holders are the dumb money the shareholders are sheep waiting to be skinned.

ALMessenger

I’ll be pretty shocked if they don’t quickly rally back . . . rally are reflexive at this point. It will take sustained bad news to kill this market I think the going in assumption should be that what is happening to Coreweave this week will happen to NVDA and the other big AI players at the end of this and that everyone in S&P 500 will experience what you are going through This is a very dangerous market and people with FOMO will not let themselves de-risk

moorhound

Alright, I'm a little buzzed, pretty high, and bearin the fuck out. There is an actual fucking apocalypse on the brink in the AI sector. The entire lynchpin of this thing relies of AI inference being hardware-intensive; it's why NVDA popped, it's why neoclouds popped, it's why SOXL popped. It's why power transformers, nuclear, glassware, copper mining, photonics, and every nook and cranny of the AI rally has happed. The *entire underpinning* of this AI boom is that this magic thinking machine requires a lot of stuff to make it happen. Samsung Littlebit destroyed all of that. It an AI weight quantization technique that decimates - in a literal sense - the RAM requirements for model weights to function, while retaining most of the model's quality. There's other AI compression techniques that LittleBit can be combined with. It's gonna be the thing, technology demands it. Samsung even released the paper and technique for free, under a non-commercial open license. It might shape up to be one of the most pivotal actions in human history; they made native, locally-hostes personal AI accessable to the common man. But it absolutely *fucks* the AI industry. Every company went full-steam to gain an edge on a frontier market, and they all did it with the same thing in mind; local inference was so resource-intensive that it was unfeasible, it required too much RAM to run on a phone or single computer. The cloud model was the only reasonable way to do it, so they went along with what that requires., which is $750 billion dollars worth of capex to build the datacenters to process all this shit and beam it to everybody. Littlebit2 combined with compatible AI optimization tech like TurboQuant (KV cache compressor) allows formidable models to be ran or hardware people can buy. It's a panacea to the RAM shortage; after QAT, it'll shrink memory requirements of shit like Kimi K3 (2.8T parameter) from 1.4TB of HBM RAM to as low as 200GB of *DDR RAM*. 16B models could be shrunk down to run comfortably on most midrange+ phones. It is just too fucking good not to take off. Samsung published the first study results [back in February](https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.13771), but it just started making Korean circles last week, it's why their institutionals have been dumping ass. Anybody with the compute and the knowhow can run QAT on open-weight models; Chinese models will probably be rolling out with these by November. OpenAI, Anthropic, and all the other fuckos were so focused on the threat of someone else achieving anything closer to AGI-focused high inference that they didn't consider the threat of optimization towards functional inference; no one needs the AI in their roomba to solve millennium problems, they just need it to do its job, which lower weight focused models are efficient at. US AI companies will copy the formula, but they're married to this datacenter buildout and all of the debt it entails. Dropping damn near a trillion dollars into what's essentially pooling RAM, and then finding out you need way less RAM, isn't an option when the contracts are already signed and the concrete is already poured. Besides server-side AI, there *is no other need* for this much compute, we were talking about doubling the US power grid for this shit. We'll still need a lot of it for training, but everyone's been racking debt under r the premise that inference would take even more. Everyone stuck in that $750B investment will have a depreciated asset. CRWV will go to zero, a lot of their debt is collateralized on their GPU racks and if they depreciate past amortization rate their creditors can call in the debt at-will, so it will be torn literally to pieces. Don't get me wrong, I'm extremely hyped for this tech. It takes the idea of the thinking machine away from the monopolistic grasp of sociopaths like Altman, Zuck, etc and allows almost everybody to have their own personal, private, non-subscription, ad-free, auxiliary brain. But for the love of God cowboy, *hedge your fucking shit*. The shitstorm is coming, randy. The shitbirds are up there, flying around, ready to take a big old shit. Especially on CRWV.

Ceyenne18

NVDA not taking a big hit is assuring because it means this sell-off is not an AI bubble popping.

Bagholder147

It's like Coreweave doesn't make money. NVDA has it hands in so many companies. It could never fail.......

moorhound

He's not dumb. He knows what's coming, he's known for a while, and it's why NVIDIA has put their stake into open-weight. NVDA will live because the world will still need high-context models for big shit; most will not live because it's no longer the only option for inference.

Ok_Cry7572

Jensen Huang told Bloomberg today that the AI selloff is "all going to pass," and honestly I get why he'd say it. $NVDA closed at $214.13, down 1.4% on the day and about 6.6% on the week, and it's been lower on 7 of the last 8 days while chip stocks just had their longest losing streak since 2008.