NVDA

No_Stand5622

People used to fight over a big screen TV on black Friday. Now nobody want it NVDA chips in 5 five years.

Krammsy

It helps to look at more than just charts and valuation metrics, AVGO has been taking market share from NVDA because they make the TSU chips that use dramatically less energy than NVDA's.... at a time when the public's starting to complain about sharing the costs of AI energy use.

mollusc_in_the_wind

You’re basically valuing Broadcom as a “worse Nvidia” – i.e. asking whether its current P&L justifies being 40% of NVDA’s market cap – but that isn’t really the business Broadcom is building. Broadcom’s edge is that they’re the category leader in custom silicon. Their whole strategy is to sit next to the OEM / hyperscaler and design the ASICs that stop those customers being held hostage by any one merchant chip vendor. Google TPUs, Meta’s custom silicon, the OpenAI work, the network silicon in all the big clouds, that’s exactly the sort of thing AVGO does. Is it really that far-fetched that this spreads well beyond a few hyperscalers? Cars, industrial equipment, networking gear, consumer electronics (basically anything at scale with a tight power/cost envelope) is a candidate for an application-specific chip. If Siemens, BMW, Schneider, etc. all decide they want their own silicon, who’s the obvious partner? The company that already designs, integrates and manufactures custom ASICs at scale. In that world AVGO isn’t some “mini Nvidia” that has to match NVDA’s growth to justify its price. It’s the toll-collector on the secular trend of everything getting its own ASIC. If that plays out, today’s valuation is paying for a durable custom-silicon franchise, not just current VMware optics or a one-off TPU deal.

dimdada

AVGO, on a bullish run due to the TPU frenzy with Google. Basically the flavor of the month right now. NVDA, AMD had their moment in the sun. As for expectations after earnings, I’m also expecting a pullback. Par for the course probably as most of the earnings announcements have seen pullbacks short term.

Xelonima

!banbet NVDA 190 7d

falling_knives

NVDA is too big to fail. It's holding up the economy. If it fails, everyone is screwed. Therefore, it won't fail no matter what. Calls.

E39_CBX

NVDA gonna do anything rest of year or nah

Loperenco

Dec 2026 NVDA call 190

Pereise1

What NVDA thing? Can't find any news articles about it.

E39_CBX

How much of a nothingburger is this NVDA thing gonna be tomorrow?

sacandbaby

NVDA chips are a generation ahead of google. per jensen.

AncientRoller

Full ported NVDA 175p 12/05 at 176, am I cooked

gqreader

Micron sells commodities NVDA sells the best processors

shinigami_2245

I’m thankful for this casino we can “invest” in, I can have hope that I can make a lot of money, maybe I can own a home in the city all my friends live in, maybe I can actually live life, be happy, maybe I’m just thankful for hope. NVDA 220c 3/20/26

E39_CBX

NVDA is so oversold. I expect 210 this year and will not settle for less.

LabDaddy59

Well, first, it's not a wheel if it's based on a LEAPS, or any, long call. You don't state your underlying thesis, but if you wish to maintain long term exposure to NVDA via a LEAPS, have you considered rolling up the strike? What's your current expiration/strike/# contracts?

nitoupdx

Great write up. People are telling Sam Altman “no”. NVDA’s channel stuffing is (finally) falling under scrutiny. I still have serious reservations on the hyperscaler capex spend, including GOOG.

E39_CBX

Is there really an NVDA announcement tomorrow

Hot-Ticket9440

They do have a lot of partnerships though. Shopify, Walmart, UiPath, Microsoft… I’m sure there’s more. So there will be a lot of indirect users besides just personal subscriptions. Hard to say they will fail. Also, Gemini pro is not free. I have a google workspace subscription and I can’t barely use it. I don’t see a reason to switch just yet, and I can say I hate subscriptions but this one has been quite sticky. Last thing, open ai had such a lead in capturing users and Chat probably knows all of us better than google knows us. There’s definitely value there, and I think they haven’t tapped into it just yet. Finally, I hope open Ai doesn’t fail just yet, and I hope they can be successful. Not because I like them, but because they are driving the cycle. Google has been sitting on their hands with AI for a long time. Why do you think we have Nano Banana now?? > Chat! The world will be a lot more boring if google wins and we only use TPUs and NVDA goes to 0. Food for thought

HungryMatumbo

I need some insider tips for ***NVDA*** I wanna YOLO in US Tech Tell me that I need to go long with leverage

HungryMatumbo

I need some insider tips for ***NVDA*** I wanna YOLO in US Tech Tell me that I need to go long with leverage

WickedSensitiveCrew

I agree—there are plenty of infrastructure companies that rarely get discussed. The focus seems to be mostly on semiconductors, but there are many other critical areas needed to build robots, data centers, and advanced tech that also create value. For example one I been buying is Western Digital. I barely hear it mentioned on this sub despite being a high quality company. Focus be on NVDA/AMD for the hardware layer.

sudharsansai

Idk why Jensen cares so much about the stock price these days... As an NVDA shareholder, it's making me uncomfortable

RussianSavage

!banbet NVDA 18d

RussianSavage

!banbet NVDA 200 14 days

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANG Members checking inb

TraderFanFXE

NVDA, MSFT and other big names are just too big. For them to grow at a robust pace, their clients must find the money somewhere. Naturally, NVDA wants MSFT as a client, but they must also help fund growth for smaller firms so that they have demand for their products outside of the megacap circle. As for overcapacity, they must find enough energy to support this overcapacity. It does not look like a near-term risk.

E39_CBX

NVDA Christmas price prediction?

TickTockTaudit

GOOGL and NVDA are both giving us little discount to hop aboard for 2026 🚂

Machine8851

If only NVDA would start picking up the pace. The YTD ratings are only a little over 30% which is nothing compared to other semi stocks

WickedSensitiveCrew

That is basically what Palantir’s CEO said in the interview that made it to the top of this sub a couple of weeks ago. He argued that the hype-heavy part of AI the LLMs that typically impress in demos but don’t drive sales or margins is already “dissipating.” He consistently emphasizes that the real value in the AI sector comes from those who harness both the LLMs and the underlying hardware. The hardware layer seems widely accepted now, with NVDA recognized as a key place to capture AI value. What doesn’t seem as accepted in this sub is that Karp could very well be right: companies like Palantir could emerge as the software winners.

stoked_7

Look at the charts, anyone who has held NVDA for a period of time has seen great swings. In 2018 the stock price was cut in half.

stoked_7

I'm not sure how you read valuations, but maybe you are missing that NVDA forward P/E is low for a growth company.

DopeBook

Dump on Monday darling. All the dirty TSLA, NVDA, ORCL can go

lurker165473

NVDA so oversold, the market doesn't seem to understand the difference between GPU and ASIC t. Sold AVGO calls yesterday to buy more NVDA calls

stocksmakeyourich

Spreads on NVDA aren’t wide. They are wider on these LEAPS, however

AwkwardNovel7

NVDA goes up right?

Separate_Fold5168

My own uneducated opinion: Nvidia continues to lead the way with the best cutting edge chips that sell faster than they can make them and... the stock doesn't go up much more from here. Maybe it settles in for a while near the 210s but in order to grow the market cap even more they either need to: 1. Rapidly increase their production rate in order to capture the insane demand. 2. Somehow put to bed any thought that other chip players (AMD, Google, and many more but most importantly China) are coming for their ~~lunch~~ margins. Preferably they need to do both. But there may not be much they can do for #2 given the major players gunning for them. And from what I know about #1, that takes enormous time and effort to get going on new output plants. And time is not on their side. The more we move forward, the more likely it is that "lesser" chips become a more viable option for *most* use cases. That doesn't mean the market in general can't continue to climb as long as AI spending going at the same rate to *someone* even if it's not NVDA.

optimaleverage

NVDA

under-it-all

I still like NVDA

greenpride32

>I think Burry claims is simply NVDA grants the shares as Stock-based compensation recorded in balance sheet using date of issuance price say 8$/share in 2018, while NVDA later has to buy it back at 100$+/share with share repurchase from 2018 till 2025. The SBC is about 20B while the cash spent on repurchases is 100B. All these occur while there isn't much reduction in outstanding shares (i.e. not much benefit to shareholders), thus essentially the cost of SBC is 100B not 20B. Not sure if you fully understand how this works or if you're trying to present Burry's skewed view. But stocks issued for RSU grants do not come from buy backs - they come from dillution. That's why during earnings calls you might hear the term "earnings on a fully diluted basis" - it accounts for all the additional shares that the board has granted that could be claimed in the future, such as RSU's. Simple example, board creates a new pool of 1,000,000 shares of restricted stock that will be used for new hires and refreshes for next 2Q. The stock will be granted if the employee meets the requirements and be part of the float. Or it will expire and not be issued if the employee does not meet requirements. It costs the company "nothing" in the sense no cash was spent - it only has the cost of dilution; every existing share is now a smaller slice. When NVDA buys back shares on the open market, those shares are retired to reduce the float. It's really the opposite effect - it makes each existing share a larger slice. But these are distinct levers and again one is using actual cash, the other is not. Oh and buy the way, this is how EVERY other corporation does it. These comments/tweets are just meant to prey on those who don't have deeper understanding. It's like the circular money argument - NVDA has sold near $400b product in past 3 FY. NVDA doesn't have anything near $400b cash to give to their customers only for them to give it back - so the money is coming from drumroll please... elsewhere. NVDA investments are miniscule in the grand scope. Just as MSFT invested "only" $13b in OpenAI, but valuation gains of OpenAI makes that investment worth $125b now. But hypothetically you can only buy $13b of NVDA GPU and Azure services with $13b - again in grand scheme it's drop in the bucket.

KittyLover-7

Not sure, but did you load up calls on that NVDA dip?

HFT0DTE

Finance bros aren't telling Tech bros how to do their work so maybe this guy should stick to his lane. The market is forward looking and price is a reflection of future earnings. What this dork is missing that all the demand that's there has already been priced in. NVDA is not an infinite money machine over every possible future time horizon. The pullback is not a reflection on current demand but what demand is going to look like once Apple and others including powerhouses like Google double down on inferencing over TPUs by Broadcom instead of inferencing by GPU. He likely knows all this, but is also likely personally invested at NVDA $200 and him and his wife is wondering why they're down 15-20% instead of up 15-20%. Relax tech bro Amir, your salary will keep you alive until the next boom cycle.

crunchsoop

Google: We do everything tech. If we do it, we do it well. We will become sky net. Tscm: We do one thing extremely well. Better than anyone but we should've spent more on packaging r and d. NVDA: Too much of the s and p relies on me but at the same time, for a 4.5T company my p/e ain't bad. Circular investing bullshit narrative will not slow my cash printing. GPUS will be outdated at some point but not for a while. Talk to me about that shit then. Not financial advice.

No_Cell6708

Wasn't BABA just named a CCP military asset or something? Will NVDA be allowed to sell to them either way?

Me55y

Just got paid, do I put it all in the NVDA dip or the META dip?

KittyLover-7

NVDA gap up coming Chinese tech moving ai model training overseas to get chips even though they have energy and subsidies domestically? Fuck those tpus

JimmyInvestor

NVDA is still down 17%...

garynuke

View NVDA’s stock chart using 1-week candlesticks over the past 5 years; then I’ll think you’ll see the perspective that this is not an issue. I’ve traded stocks over 30 years and I’ve seen that the whales make most of their money on volatility. So this is good for them. Either up or down. And activity, I do the same thing using options, just with a smaller scale. Most young investors are minutely focused on day to day direction. They feel a good story should only rise. I have seen several times where a stock will fall after excellent earnings. I don’t have the exact answer; it’s different every time. Sometimes it’s because the stock has risen so much on good news that yet another good earnings report just can’t hurdle it yet to a new high and so the opposite happens, until it attracts enough buyers to then cause a reversal and now the momentum buying catapults it to the new high. Bottom line, I absolutely will trade the volatility. But I only trade those stocks, like NVDA, that I believe the longer term story. That way, seven though it can technically go to zero, I’m confident that it won’t. There will always be those with far more money than I to step in and buy it at the low price, unless the company you choose is truly broken by some catastrophic event or you didn’t really choose a company with a solid moat that revised its king term success. As long as I don’t trade more than any margin I can cover, the big whales have my back to save my stock. Review the fundamentals of NVDA. There’s lots in there to convince you that in no world, does this company not succeed. That being said, does it last forever. No. Nothing lasts forever. But companies like this, if you remain objective, you should be able to predict their demise and it will not happen overnight. You should have plenty of time to ruminate over whether or not you should start stepping out of it. It should take months to years.

Little_Top3815

Did you saw NVDA reveal for friday? Something about robotics

Shoty6966-_-

I bought all those on Friday. And doubled down on my NVDA calls when it tanked on Monday

Shoty6966-_-

Google calls week before buffet news. But sold way too early. NVDA calls at 170. Meta 600 calls at 585. Palantir calls at 156. Only thing trading sideways is my Netflix calls I bought

NotMe357

So Alibaba need to move outside of China to get their hands in NVDA A.I chips so they can train their A.I? Well........NVDA above 200$ next week.

wearahat03

Two years out is anyone's guess. But given the baseline valuation, if AI continues strongly, NVDA has the greater upside in an AI bull case scenario. Numbers were laid out by OP, if AVGO were not 43% the valuation of NVDA today, it would make sense.

SpitefulRobbin

Agreed, there have been several stock splits with NVDA. My return is almost 5,000% from 2019 so return rate from 2008 would be insane.

ajsharm144

If you think that he influenced NVDA price you're fucking stupid. That stock is bloated as a pig. Peter Thiel sold all of his position in the stock. Burry is just sounding the alarm for the retarded ones.

wearahat03

NVDA already provided their guidance. The bar is high for people who make claims that deviate hugely from NVDA's guidance. I could use your "if" argument for any company. Someone could state that if Google search loses all their ad revenue due to AI, then... x, y, z (these claims were made) I've seen all sorts of plausible but dubious claims that only distract from investing Seeing it logically: NVDA has consistently posted revenue figures above their guided figures for how many quarters now? If a company releases guidance and exceeds it consistently, then I consider it reliable. Random articles and posts online have been bearish on NVDA for years, and all were wrong. Even reddit has consistently been wrong so many times, so I consider reddit completely unreliable. When there are multiple sources giving conflicting conclusions, it only makes sense to trust the one that has consistently been correct.

jensenskawk

The more NVDA calls you buy the more you save!

jensenskawk

Jensen says NVDA is not Enron and their chips are better than GOOGL. All good now buy calls.

Few-Chemist-3463

Conversely, if NVDA starts losing orders from the hyperscalers, they will become extra reliant or lower quality clients that need debt to fund their purchases. That could result in margin pressure, if they decide they need to compete on price to keep the orders flowing.

wearahat03

The think the reason the market is putting money into other stocks is because after NVDA became the largest company in the world, people thought further upside is limited, so they're looking for the 'next NVDA'. Yet no other company has actually delivered or guided to anything close to what NVDA has delivered. AVGO's own guidance for this quarter will be 17.4B, which is 24% growth YoY. There's a chance that they guide to accelerated revenue growth. NVDA guided to 65% revenue growth YoY. There's no other company that comes close to that. There's nothing wrong with the market being cautious to the downside, but it means if NVDA just hits their guided figures, there is substantial upside.

BigSeth

Yeah but I think the value of NVDA stock, plus teslas overall failure to deliver on ALL of their promises as both a car, tech, AI, and robotics company needs a final nail and maybe this is it. That dude with the $5 put, there’s still hope

Mean-Thing-8448

I love getting dicked down shorting NVDA

BigSeth

If NVDA actually gets into the robotics space Tesla is so cooked.

Missylovebug223

I no longer like SPY options. They drain my account I use a screener to find bullish stocks that are high in volume usually it’s tickers like META GOOG NVDA the popular tickers but occasionally I’ll catch a gem

Few-Chemist-3463

NVDA has a lower PE because they dominate the market. Their projected growth is reliant on the hyperscalers continuing to buy product regardless of price in mass and an expanding AI market. As we have seen, there are threats to that premise in the name of cheaper and more energy efficient products. Ultimately the market could grow to such an extent that it won’t matter much to NVDA / AMD. Remember the market is forward looking and AVGO partnering with most of the Mag7 is why they’re getting a higher PE. Hock Tan has already stated he sees custom ASIC overtaking GPUs in the future. Meanwhile Jensen believes most of those ASIC projects will never materialize. Idk make your bet, but deciding on PE alone is foolish.

AdApprehensive4272

Most people thought that NVDA is invinsible and no-one else can make similar powerful chips. Now we can observe you need not to make similar chips to keep the pace.

wearahat03

I hold the stock but you're right. If you compare any company to NVDA, everything is overvalued compared to it. The best semi plays are NVDA, TSM and semi equipment makers. There is no point trying to convince other people, it will never work, wait until next earnings releases for everything to unfold.

Doctor_Raymos

The fact JANUARY is on the table? Our economy is about to collapse. Don't hold long unless it's gold. This wasn't just a flip, this was a "our economy is in worse shape than we thought" The average consumer already feels it, we already know "market =/= economy", except our market is based on sentiment and not fundamentals. It is why things like NVDA corrections while other Mag7 keep pushing up makes no sense. I believe the economy is going to catch up to the market and most stocks will be significantly devalued. The only question is, when? The 5 million dollar question. Like I previously predicted (and have tripled my portfolio from), the fed is going to cut the rates, and it won't be enough. Consider every lever possible is going to be pulled in the next year to prevent stagflation & recession. Volatility is settling for now, but it is going to skyrocket. The fact that NVDA & AMD both sink 5-10% because of RUMORS Google is moving in with TPUs? We are in an incredible time. Play light on your feet, there are millions to be made here.

UOkayBrah

The fact you're still parroting that is insane. Is it really so hard to understand that you compare dollars invested to Z security at X time to the same amount of dollars invested in Y security at X time? 10k invested in NVDA in 2008 + 174K invested in NVDA in 2020 >>>>>>> 10k invested in QQQ in 2008 + 174K invested in QQQ in 2020.  You can do the math yourself if you don't believe me. The dates don't even matter, as long as the dates the assets were purchased were the same between the two comparisons. Maybe you can find an exact scenario where a DCA into QQQ at multiple dates out performs NVDA DCA at the same dates but given NVDAs beta is over 2, NVDA is the best performing tech stock and the ETF now ties 10% of itself to NVDA, I'm going to say you cannot.  Did he earn enough risk adjusted return to make it worth over a large sample size? No idea. We don't know his port size, his other trades, his port beta, or anything else really. If you wanted to have a risk adjusted rate of return conversation you could, but that's a different conversation. The point stands that what you said about underperforming the market is 100% wrong. 

FullCopy

On Friday, the algos will drive NVDA higher. Too many bers with expiring puts.

FullCopy

I’m back to being NVDA bull. GOOG is Netscape and NVDA is chrome.

kluv85

I’m missing something here. I checked NVDA vs QQQ including splits and dividends reinvested and NVDA dominated QQQ returns since 2016. https://preview.redd.it/e9pybaq13q3g1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b1a9abfff3c0d20e3290063ca059dce084d9071b

Ok_Cry7572

$150k in NVDA stock from 2018 to now is worth over 2million. Sounds unbelieve right

JJZinna

NVDA has a fraction of the earnings and revenue GOOG does and is priced higher. What are you surprised about?

silverfutes

i got my dad an NVDA tshirt to remind him of who told him to buy and when.

RussianSavage

Can NVDA hit 200 and MSFT 500 by Christmas

mikeatx79

Probably was or is an NVDA employee.

xShiftfaced

I indirectly help NVDA gangsters but I’m with y’all

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANG Members checking in

Ambitious_Designer97

You are wrong. You are comparing a lump-sum investment of the entire principal into QQQ in 2008 versus splitting the same principal into multiple installments through dollar-cost averaging on his NVDA position.

optimaleverage

This is a perfect storm of factors but here's a big one... S&P is rebalancing their position of NVDA because of how overweight it already was. The divergence of these 2 recently makes it pretty obvious that something is happening here. But if that's how you feel, this should be a steal of a price!

CleMike69

My buddy had NVDA like early On he did the math if he held until now he’d have 20 million lol. He beats himself up every day over it

CUbuffGuy

Always chuckle at this logic.. I get the inflation line but “picking up NVDA at 5 dollars” lmao Equivalent to saying “bro you’re retarded you didn’t get BTC under a dollar” you lost so much opportunity buying SPY.

Senior_Professional4

someone just bought $2.8M of nvda leaps SOMEONE ALSO SOLD 2.8M NVDA LEAPS REGARDS

mathewgilson

I believe a few very influential traders tried to orchestrate/influence a crash and NVDA pulled their hoe card and saved the market. Time will tell, I believe chips are only the beginning and NVDA has their hands in every layer.

False_Secret1108

You knows what’s really bullish? When you reject the head and shoulders formation. That’s what NVDA is

nleachdev

Damn, should've been buying NVDA in 2008 instead of being in middle school like a dumbass

orangeyougladiator

I think NVDA is like $300m per employee or something stupid

jcpopm

If NVDA sees $155 again it's because the whole house of cards has already come down and then it doesn't matter anymore.

WatermelonRelishMan

Look pal that’s a lot of words and I just took enough weed edibles to send Willie Nelson to mars. You lost me at bonds. Bonds are what my great grandfather yolo’d his paychecks on. Just tell me what NVDA call to buy and how far out

False_Secret1108

If you missed the rally like all these bearish retards, NVDA is giving you a lifeline. It went down because of something that makes no difference at all. Market is already sniffing this out and that’s why you saw Google go down today. But it’s still early considering how much of a laggard NVDA is

graps2

The NVDA copium overdose is worse than the fent epidemic. If it ever sees 200 again it will be short lived 

Commercial_Seat_3704

NVDA back to 200 by end of year at the latest

enc-nyc

I need Zelensky not only to sign tomorrow; he also needs to announce that with all money he's getting from frozen russian assets he's gonna buy NVDA chips.

Bivore

Your QQQ and VOO are already heavily tech stocks but also your closest thing to diversification. You could reduce some of the individual tech positions to increase those ones, thus keeping you tech heavy but also getting a bit more exposure elsewhere. But I think you’re fine either way, the bubble will pop at some point - but tech will remain the future and what people get the most excited about. Personally, NVDA is the one I’d deduct from if I were to do that.

dont_downvote_SPECIL

Stock can still go up even if it doesn’t have the same growth rate as Nvidia or AMD. “Best in semis” doesn’t have to mean literally #1 it means top-tier profitability, returns, and consistency relative to the group. PEG is still within a reasonable band of 1 - 2 and a company doesn’t need to beat Nvidia’s PEG to appreciate NVDA is an outlier, not the required benchmark for upside.

Mysterious-Device-53

NVDA had absolutely stunning earnings, and is down since then.. this is not math or science folks

apurimac777

NVDA 1000

E39_CBX

Getting tired of how boring NVDA has been lately. Just give me 200 again before Christmas so I can get out. Clearly that’s the top.