NVDA

Onions-and-garlic

Probably the best methodology post on WSB in a while. If you have a GitHub for this, I'd genuinely love to contribute. Happy to send patches. Two ideas for Part 3: Event based alpha - You already say macro/event calls need a different framework. Easy way to do it: tag each call with the nearest event (FOMC, earnings, election, wars), then score returns over a tight window like T-2 to T+5 instead of rolling 30/60/90d. "Hedge into election week" or "buy XYZ into earnings" or "buy this ETF during the war" should live in its own scoring lane. Confidence/Clarity based scoring-- Since your biggest limitation is noisy extraction on hedged writing. Fix: score each call by hedge-word density ("could," "may," "remains constructive"), bucket into high/low clarity, compare alphas. I’d score each call on a simple rubric: exact ticker named, explicit direction, clear time frame, concrete trigger, and low hedge-word density. Then bucket calls into high vs low clarity and compare alpha. Something like: high clarity calls show +4.1% 60d alpha, low clarity show -0.6%. Tells you if the edge is real or just the parser reading clean writing more accurately. "Buy NVDA into earnings" and "we remain constructive long term" should not be scored the same way.

I_am_Nerman

Grabbed a bunch of SPY, NVDA, PLTR, GDX calls and sold puts on FLY, IREN, CIFR this week Open The Casino!

bayruss

Do mine. The most recent play I've looked into was Plug. I can explain a little bit of the research process. PLUG: is a Hydrogen Fuel cell company I've seen rise and crash. I saw an article back in 2023 marking the first profitable hydrogen company in Germany working on green hydrogen. So how does Plug generate revenue and are they profitable? Plug Power makes money by selling hydrogen fuel cell systems, electrolyzers for green hydrogen production, and related infrastructure and services, primarily targeting material handling (forklifts) for companies like Amazon and Walmart. The company generates revenue through direct product sales, long-term service contracts, and fuel delivery. Are they profitable now? Quarterly Progress: In Q4 2025, the company reported a positive gross profit of $5.5 million (a 2.4% margin), a significant recovery from the -122.5% margin loss in Q4 2024. Are they undervalued? Undervalued Perspective: Some analysts peg fair value around 2.74 to 2.79 marking an ~18%–23% discount from recent prices. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model from Yahoo Finance suggests potential for a much higher valuation (up to ~66% undervalued) if long-term projections are met. Bottleneck in Hydrogen Distribution Jeopardises Billions in Clean Energy. January 19, 2026 at 10:40 AM EDT Heriot-Watt University research finds hydrogen transport infrastructure is developing at half the pace of other clean tech, putting net zero targets at risk. A recent study from Edinburgh Business School at Heriot-Watt University found that while hydrogen production, storage and fuel cell technologies are advancing rapidly, the hydrogen distribution infrastructure is developing at half the speed, creating a critical bottleneck that could put billions in clean energy at risk. The findings, published in the journal Sustainable Futures, are an important milestone in recognising that, while other hydrogen technologies improve and costs fall, distribution expenses could take up a large share of hydrogen system budgets, significantly limiting overall efficiency and growth of the hydrogen sector. The research team analysed 777,000 patents and 1.3 million citations spanning 182 years of hydrogen technology development, revealing clear differences in progress across the system. Dr David Dekker, a research fellow at Edinburgh Business School, Heriot-Watt University and the paper’s lead author, said: “Distribution will become the dominant cost in any hydrogen system. Even as we get better at producing and using hydrogen, getting it where it’s needed stays expensive. At this point I've identified a growing company that's undervalued with a great future because of the renewable energy movement. I continue to track it's progress as it moves above its 50 MA and 200 day MA. If I invest now there's a good chance of 20% return in the next year, but the growth of the hydrogen industry is huge. 12% of market share by 2050. The potential is not limited to the fundamentals of the company similar to GameStop or AMC. Plug Power (PLUG) is heavily shorted, with approximately 23% to 26% of its public float sold short as of late February/March 2026. This high short interest reflects investor skepticism regarding the company's cash burn and profitability, often making the stock volatile and susceptible to short squeezes. Plug Power (PLUG) has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 so far this month (as of late March 2026), with shares gaining over 25% in the past month compared to a decline in the broader market. In all seriousness this is as close to an AMC level play I've found this year. Other than calling MU at 180 when they dropped the Video teardown of NVDA GPUs. They casually dropped the fact they produced almost all the memory for NVDA. I avg 30% yearly compared to SP500s 12-15%. I usually sell covered calls. I skipped selling Monday and Tuesday because there's a lot of noise suggesting the war is ending and oil is declining. Expect a huge pop for SPY on Wednesday. TLDR: This probably won't get read by anyone. Plug is undervalued by 20%.(Price target is 2.75+) Has huge short pressure (25% of shares). Company had its first profitable quarter in Dec 2025. The green energy push along with rising oil prices paves a long runway for PLUG. Play is $3.50+ calls deep into 2027. But spread the ape strong together message for more gains than the company fundamentals suggest. PLUG power + Reddit = rocket 🚀🌝.

bayruss

No where honestly. I just spend time reading the news and I'm autistic. You learn critical thinking and have no job outside of trading or you're extremely intimate with the sector. The most recent play I've looked into was Plug. I can explain a little bit of the research process. PLUG: is a Hydrogen Fuel cell company I've seen rise and crash. I saw an article back in 2023 marking their first profitable hydrogen company in Germany working on green hydrogen. So how does Plug generate revenue and are they profitable? Plug Power makes money by selling hydrogen fuel cell systems, electrolyzers for green hydrogen production, and related infrastructure and services, primarily targeting material handling (forklifts) for companies like Amazon and Walmart. The company generates revenue through direct product sales, long-term service contracts, and fuel delivery. Are they profitable now? Quarterly Progress: In Q4 2025, the company reported a positive gross profit of $5.5 million (a 2.4% margin), a significant recovery from the -122.5% margin loss in Q4 2024. Are they undervalued? Undervalued Perspective: Some analysts peg fair value around 2.74 to 2.79 marking an ~18%–23% discount from recent prices. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model from Yahoo Finance suggests potential for a much higher valuation (up to ~66% undervalued) if long-term projections are met. Bottleneck in Hydrogen Distribution Jeopardises Billions in Clean Energy. January 19, 2026 at 10:40 AM EDT Heriot-Watt University research finds hydrogen transport infrastructure is developing at half the pace of other clean tech, putting net zero targets at risk. A recent study from Edinburgh Business School at Heriot-Watt University found that while hydrogen production, storage and fuel cell technologies are advancing rapidly, the hydrogen distribution infrastructure is developing at half the speed, creating a critical bottleneck that could put billions in clean energy at risk. The findings, published in the journal Sustainable Futures, are an important milestone in recognising that, while other hydrogen technologies improve and costs fall, distribution expenses could take up a large share of hydrogen system budgets, significantly limiting overall efficiency and growth of the hydrogen sector. The research team analysed 777,000 patents and 1.3 million citations spanning 182 years of hydrogen technology development, revealing clear differences in progress across the system. Dr David Dekker, a research fellow at Edinburgh Business School, Heriot-Watt University and the paper’s lead author, said: “Distribution will become the dominant cost in any hydrogen system. Even as we get better at producing and using hydrogen, getting it where it’s needed stays expensive. At this point I've identified a growing company that's undervalued with a great future because of the renewable energy movement. I continue to track it's progress as it moves above its 50 MA and 200 day MA. If I invest now there's a good chance of 20% return in the next year, but the growth of the hydrogen industry is huge. 12% of market share by 2050. The potential is not limited to the fundamentals of the company similar to GameStop or AMC. Plug Power (PLUG) is heavily shorted, with approximately 23% to 26% of its public float sold short as of late February/March 2026. This high short interest reflects investor skepticism regarding the company's cash burn and profitability, often making the stock volatile and susceptible to short squeezes. Plug Power (PLUG) has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 so far this month (as of late March 2026), with shares gaining over 25% in the past month compared to a decline in the broader market. In all seriousness this is as close to an AMC level play I've found this year. Other than calling MU at 180 when they dropped the Video teardown of NVDA GPUs. They casually dropped the fact they produced almost all the memory for NVDA. I avg 30% yearly compared to SP500s 12-15%. I usually sell covered calls. I skipped selling Monday and Tuesday because there's a lot of noise suggesting the war is ending and oil is declining. Expect a huge pop for SPY on Wednesday. TLDR: This probably won't get read by anyone. Plug is undervalued by 20%.(Price target is 2.75+) Has huge short pressure (25% of shares). Company had its first profitable quarter in Dec 2025. The green energy push along with rising oil prices paves a long runway for PLUG. Play is $3.50+ calls deep into 2027. But spread the ape strong together message for more gains than the company fundamentals suggest. PLUG power + Reddit = rocket 🚀🌝.

Gamma_Gains

If TeraFab actually gets off the ground, which of these names do you think benefits most - NVDA, ASML or AMAT?

Bravadette

One day Xylem and other water stocks will be the new NVDA at this rate.

ManBearPig_1983

Iran’s biggest mistake was threatening NVDA. They’ve absolutely fucked themselves with big daddy Huang as an enemy.

InvestingMonkeys

VSGX has Nestle in it, probably the worst of all companies. ESGV has NVDA in it, which PLTR runs on so I assume OP doesn't want to invest in NVDA either.

mrtomd

This is good for multiple companies: $NVDA, $QCOM, $TXN, $MU, $NXPI, $AVGO, $ADI, etc. The question is: how much $TSM will try to f... it and block suppliers like $ASML providing the machines.

WordsHappenedHere

NVDA back to 190s

Tradingland

ATOM FAB news due any day. NVDA INTC AMD TSM BRCM MU SNDK AMAT

Maximum-Counter-4904

i’m in NVDA 177.5 and they already printing

LaserAid69

A real YOLO would’ve been buying LEAPS on NVDA with that 56K.

Weak-Pomegranate-435

I sell weekly or bi-weekly out-of-money PUTs. And vast majority of them expire worthless. Usually on fundamentally cheap, high beta, below the support level and below 20 delta OTM puts. Till now I did NVDA, RDDT, CRDO, KLAR on regular basis. and did DUOL, SE, MRVL, CRWV, and RBRK on the earnings day to take advantage of high IV. For example i sold $58 2DTE Puts for CRWV while the current price was ~$100. And it expired worthless. Therefore, pocketing me my weekly 0.5% yield in 2 days.

ai-moderator

#TLDR --- Ticker: VCX Direction: Down (eventually) Prognosis: Short it with every penny (if you have the pain tolerance) Valuation Premium: Pure Crayon-Sniffing (Trading at $10.7B Market Cap for $437M NAV) Implied OpenAI Valuation: $16.82 Trillion (More than MSFT, NVDA, GOOG, and AAPL combined)

pineapplekiwipen

it's just hard for NVDA to move at current market cap unless something huge happened like gold and money market liquidity suddenly entering equities

greyenlightenment

NVDA will be 175-185 forever

Pancheel

What if SpaceX reaches 2T very fast? Everyone is saying space x is so good right now. That happened to Tesla, that happened to NVDA, if you got those tickers a couple of years ago then you have big profits now!!1!! Space X to Mars!! Long live orbital trash!!1!

hv876

Ay yo, how many chips are META going to buy. They had chip from NVDA and AVGO. Now ARM’s launched their first chip with META as customer. How much chip does one need for their shitty Threads slop?

potato111a

So.. NVDA 190 EoW?

KinglexNUM

So just cause 50 stocks of EURO exchanges are highly correlated, that means that 500 stocks of US exchanges will mean revert to become highly correlated again (since historically the spread between the 2 metrics correlate)? Bro what stocks does the SX5E have? 50 stocks vs 500 stocks, with fundamentally different sectors. US has AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, EU has Hennesy, LOREAL lol

ConstantAd1

Does the ceasefire include NVDA AI chips being sold to Iran? 👉👈🥺

IdkAbtAllThat

If he bought shares it's not like he was risking a lot. NVDA wasn't gonna go to zero.

VictoriaAutNihil

I've survived 2000-01, 2008, 2020 and last year's short April tariff crash. If this Iranian debacle prolongs into the summer, there will be inflation and in all probability a 10% equity pullback. Crash? More than 20% drop? I don't see it, but of course intense, geopolitical negativity could eventually have a profound effect in spiraling the economy downward. P.S. Yesterday I sold my XLC and XLY and bought 300 shares of NVDA. Not gonna run and hide.

hermeskino715

Had NVDA calls on my mind. Fml

Repulsive-Canary9080

Bro bought NVDA 😭 ts has been no gain trading sideways since August of last year. You could have bought SLV and done better

Derpy_Mc_Burpy

Iran war is making spy look like NVDA on earning day

WorldWide_Wiz

How people are not buying NVDA at this level is insane to me. Do yall hate money? https://preview.redd.it/s4wk1iqfz1rg1.png?width=1674&format=png&auto=webp&s=04ed9fa6ed266fe8997316bd80ac996bc9dcd591

WorldWide_Wiz

Thank god the only stock I'm holding is NVDA.

Time_Independence355

Each and every hyperscaler took a dump and yet $NVDA is flat, guess what they going to do with their "projected capex" and how it will affect $NVDA lmao

Time_Independence355

Each and every hyperscaler took a dump and yet $NVDA is flat, guess what they going to do with their "projected capex" and how it will affect $NVDA lmao

Largeshmarge

NVDA won’t give up

Comfortable_Guitar

Totally and I mean totally serious question! Is it possible for NVDA to open below $169 tomorrow? Asking for my stupid puts that will probably expire horny and worthless tomorrow

Zealousideal-Shoe527

NVDA was 100usd a year ago, msft is at 33%, the rest of mag7 also in the red. Look at gold and silver, btc.. Sp500 droped below 5000 on april tarifs.. There is crash almost everyday.

trsx5

im lost for words on NVDA's price action today. wtf

iamtracefree

If NVDA’s GPUs became the “chip for AI”, AMFN’s Texatron reactor and “energy chip" could be the “electricity for AI” [How AI's energy problem gets solved ](https://www.realcreativeagency.com/american-fusion-inc-amfn/?reddit-the-lounge)

gls2220

The Mag7 stocks are all or mostly down right now. The better long term bets, in my opinion, are GOOGL, NVDA, and AAPL.

jhoosi

Downvoted probably because it’s coming from NVDA stockholders that actively don’t want to hear or see arguments disseminated against NVDA’s stock, especially since NVDA’s stock has stagnated YTD.

nosebeerz420

If NVDA breaks green we goin straight up

WorldWide_Wiz

QQQ broke support and is currently down -.60% today... NVDA hasn't broken support and is down -.15%. Volume is key...one good move in the markets and NVDA gonna pump 15%.

WorldWide_Wiz

NVDA is so juiced to pop. Been so strong during all the volatility. Not buying sub $180 means you have no long term vision or hate money or gay.

A55BAG

Semis that do circular financing AMD, NVDA, AVGO are in a 6M long downtrend. Semis that only take cash like TSM and ASML have been only going up.

sandygws

MU $500 SNDK $800 GOOGL $400 NVDA $200 MSFT $500 Then I woke up. 🤣

Oldschoolhype2

Bye bye NVDA teehee

SerMumble

Sure, at any point where stuff is being added to a portfolio blindly, chasing hype, or without any good justification: it is over diversified. At the very least a small slow growing satilite asset can be used as an emergency shield or maybe someone wants to invest a little into the stocks of their company because they are working there long term or a little in the country they live in because the dividends cover their utility bill. It just needs a decent reason that aligns with the person's goals. Concentration is risk, volatility, and maximizing growth. Ex. 100% NVDA portfolio (this is dumb, do not do this) or 100% S&P500 or 100% QQQM (typically for very young people where time can even out volatility) Diversification is derisk, slowing growth, captial preservation, maximizing counterbalance. ex. 100% VT (this can be too boring or slow for some people especially when they are not near retirement) Over diversification is collecting several funds that all move in approximately the same direction. Ex. QQQ, QQQM, SPMO, SCHG (pick one for most people). At the end of the day, a portfolio is a tool and it must be a tool that fits your needs and psychological style in a consistent and repeatable pattern. There is no one size fits all.

JellyfishLarge3794

NVDA could have just bought Israel and Iran

chiswis

NVDA is not software

Tay_Tay86

So MSFT is basically worthless now because of claude right? This is going to become a dino company? It would be a real shame if, say, at the index level it had like 5% weight in a list of 500 companies or something that dictates how the entire global market moves. Close call fellas. Thank God we haven't stuffed it into every ETF and index level position it could possibly be in. We never thought to ourselves, hey, i'll build an etf, but what ingredients do I use to dilute this speculative shit co with? OH! I know! MSFT AAPL and NVDA! BINGO BANGO NEW ETF

_rockthemike

Killer deals right now on GOOG, MU, NVDA. MSFT too but holy shit I’m not touching that

Tradingland

ATOM Wink wink. Game changing semiconductor technology for trillion dollar industry. INTC TSM NVDA AMD BRCM

trsx5

How is NVDA struggling here. If the world falls apart, we can melt down the chips for fire. Hello?

Fine_Specialists

NVDA bouncing back vix going down. Good signs here don’t freak out

DuAbUiSai

NVDA!!

Oldschoolhype2

More NVDA put for me 🐻

InevitableAd2436

If you look at the 6 month chart NVDA violently bounces up after kissing $172 Probably gonna fuck around with $180 tomorrow

No_Cod972

You can install NVDA graphics drivers now without interrupting your youtube watching and you're bearish? calls all day

Acceptable_Dirt69

TSLA, aapl, NVDA all green

knoqd_

> $MSFT $NVDA - MICROSOFT: ANNOUNCING AN AI FOR NUCLEAR COLLABORATION WITH NVIDIA MSFT must not be allowed to enrich uranium

No_Animator4564

One thing that is easy to overlook in times of volatility, the rest of the world sees an opportunity to rotate into American equities, especially cash cows like $NVDA or $APPL. Moan about manipulation, the reality, money flows back to US markets as safe havens. Being a bear in the US is a tough gig.

Oldschoolhype2

Give up NVDA. 🐻🐻🐻

magneticpasta9

Another day NVDA and AMD completely unaffected by market blood, b urry u could have shorted anything else

Commercial_Seat_3704

Last August there was serious competition between MSFT and NVDA for largest market cap on the exchange. Crazy how fast that changed.

country-mac4

I think it's just Anthropic taking the lead in AI, and NVDA getting into inference recently. Who knows

Sawgambler

Should I buy NVDA 177 call?

AwkwardNovel7

why you bleeding NVDA? 😩

Commercial-District1

At what price are we all buying NVDA?

Krammsy

That aside, do us a favor, stay active in this sub. Your trading style & experience level is a lot more in my neighborhood than the average "buy NVDA calls to get rich quick" noob, it'd be nice to have more like you to exchange ideas. .

Oldschoolhype2

NVDA cant hold off the bears at the gates. Let us innnn. 🐻

BioRam

NVDA you were to be the chosen one!!

WarenBoffet

its just getting dragged with the rest of the market, its not a NVDA issue

Scriptum_

Yeah, especially when you buy 5 different etfs that all concentrate in NVDA.

_pout_

NASDAQ red and NVDA isn't behind it? What's going on?

LeftBullTesty

## Think, BOL. THINK! This WAR will outlast every fragile, insignificant call on this planet. You'll live to see NVDA, SPY, and CORN crumble to dust and blow away! everyPORT and everyBOL you know will be gone! What will you have after 5 weeks?" ##

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANG Members checking in

kashola17

why index traders don’t just buy AMD or NVDA is hard to understand. Are they not conservative enough?

iShitBloodandCumShit

https://preview.redd.it/bc0roilczyqg1.jpeg?width=784&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c1d8afe272cda5e42bbc3d667b3595a3954bef96 Perfect timing NVDA. Permabolz are excited.

TechBubbleTrouble

Damn NVDA crashed from 1100 to 170

ChairmanMeow1986

First I would suggest you have a decent amount of comfort around trading and options (like when, where, and why to roll). If you uncomfortable with managing shorter DTE options, you'll probably have some trouble managing to roll or close at the proper times. The only reason I've ever really sold LEAPS were CC's and that's as much about capital allocation and appreciation than anything. Someone competent with rolling LEAPS running a long-term investment portfolio is actually one of most consistent compounding strategies imo. I'd actually put that up-there with the Wheel for consistency and would say it's more suited to larger account sizes (although you should at least be able to run the Wheel or sell CC's profitably around 30-60 days first) and it's best paired with at least moderate fundamental analysis and stock picking. \-------------------------- Let's just say you hold the length of the contract as a way to make a simplistic example: You buy 100 shares of NVDA today for 175$ for 17,500$ I just checked and you can sell a slightly OTM 180$ march 19th (so not technically a LEAPS) 180 strike for 3165$. Realizing 18% of capital for holding the position immediately (because you are largely selling time value to try to harvest risk- incidentally this is why the,loose, 5% option cost to underlying rule only applies to short-term buying and depends on OTM/ITM/ATM). At expiration if NVDA is higher than 180$ you end with the shares called away and returned around a 21% gain on invested capital (premium 3165$ + 500$= 3665$ / 17500). Which seems pretty good unless is grinds up to 240$ over the year or something (34%). The ***real*** risk though is if NVDA is trading at say 150$ at expiration though and things aren't looking positive for the company or the economy and hasn't for awhile (volume down, volatility down, no one want to buy a call let alone an OTM call). What do you do with your 100 shares? Market sucks, people are hating on AI? Close out right for a 2500$ loss? 3665$-2500$= 1165$ for 17500$ of capital tied up for 1 year (6.65% return on capital). There might not even be any/many buyers at your original cost basis anymore. \---------------------------- I see no real reason any retail investor should be selling ***naked*** LEAPS honestly though, it might give you time to be right, but it's also telling me your going to be try to hammer that nail in with a spatula. Maybe you'll get it done in the end with all the time you have, but it's not the right tool.

IHaveInflatableShoes

Bro I just need NVDA to be great again and go to $300

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANG Members checking in

PinkySwearNotABot

nice explanation. i hope NVDA and TSLA are like this since i'm invested in both. one of them i'm more comfortable with than the other..

ewwhamza

This IV drop is wild even for NVDA. We usually get a small weekend dip but this is way more extreme than the usual moves.

Vesploogie

If that happens to NVDA, it’s definitely also going to happen to your boring stocks.

superfi

just think if you had just bought $NVDA at the beginning and let it sit, you’d be a millionaire

stocksmakeyourich

NVDA has options expire 3x a week. Whats complicated about that? And this Friday is the last DTE for March. Ridiculous comment

Vegetable_Push6542

At this point better to invest in ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC if you want exposure to semiconductors than NVDA/AVGO

averysmallbeing

If NVDA cuts in half the world economy literally implodes. 

potato111a

NVDA 185 would feed me for a couple of months

greyenlightenment

NVDA in same $5 range forever

Intelligent_Heat451

#NVDA GANG Members still here and not in fear

YongeBlood

FT always using notional value in headlines to make it sound bigger. My 33,000 NVDA 0DTE 500Cs also have a notional value of $580mn. Will cost me about tree fiddy though.

CriticalAnybody6686

Good thing I have them.. and NVDA, TSM, and AMD. I like getting fucked in every hole possible

Apple2o

Gonna be NVDA someday when this AI bubble pops

TomorrowSavings7579

Oh my biggest holdings are $PLTR $MU $NVDA

Snowman33001

NVDA and BTC and MSFT and AMZN. This is my brokerage. My other account is VTI, VXUS, and QQQM but don’t trade at all in that.

Tradingland

ATOM Final FAB result due any day for game changing semiconductor manufacturing. NVDA INTC ATML TSM MU SNDK BRCM TXN SOXL. Previous all time high 47.

drew-gen-x

I agree it's very possible that this is a bull trap. However, you always miss every shot never taken. I'd rather take my shot now over taken my shot in October when reddit was in euphoria about AI & $NVDA having a $5 Trillion market cap.

RothTo0DTE

My boss is in NVDA. He was asking about selling. I said just hold. He’s up like $30 a share

Swiftnice

NVDA bulls must feel so much stress every day. Maybe you should just sell and never look back for your mental health lol

qman1963

Ok but my mom actually did just ask me if she and my dad should buy NVDA. It’s so over.