Reddit Posts
I have 235k to invest. How should I split it?
How to ensure you're not investing too wide as opposed to too deep?
Would love some honest feedback on my portfolio - heavy on tech, open to criticism
Would love some feedback on my stock portfolio - heavy on tech, open to criticism
NVDA Government Contract Analysis: Not Compelling
That is all i need to know about SPCX
The most interesting SpaceX trade might not be SpaceX.
Picking Option strikes based on Delta is not enough - Volume profile can change your decision
Picking strikes by delta alone has a blind spot: what's underneath them matters to
Is Blackberry Primed For a Comeback?
Is Blackberry Primed For a Comeback?
New midweek expiration dates getting approved by regulators
The most interesting SpaceX trade might not be SpaceX.
I Sold All My VOO for a Concentrated NVDA Bet. Should I Have Just Bought Options Instead?
🚀🚀 $OCC, THE FIBER OPTIC ROCKET WALL STREET FORGOT ABOUT 🚀🚀
“Book Talking” from Jensen – NVDA’s Jensen Huang called a global tech stocks selloff a buying opportunity
AAPL officially a NVDA customer: Blackwell B200s powering new Siri on GOOGL Cloud
RELL (Richardson Electronics): The most misclassified AI infrastructure play Wall Street is completely ignoring? (Deep Dive)
chip names ripped today after friday's bloodbath, but the tape under INTC looks weird
chip names ripped today after friday's bloodbath, but the tape under INTC looks weird
Bought AMD 180 calls last week thinking earnings would rocket it, now staring at -45% and bagholding like a dumb ape
I Think MU Beats NVDA From Here And Yes I Know That Sounds Insane
NVDA update – slow grind higher, nothing exciting yet
spacex is going to bend every retail investor over a rocket and elon is going to personally charge us for the lube
Alright degenerates, memory just got taken to the woodshed on June 5. SOX down 10%+ in a day, MU/MRVL/SNDK 11-17%. Now what?
OpenAI files for US IPO after Anthropic as AI giants head to public markets- Moneycontrol.com
Why does Jensen want to pump QCOM?
spacex is going to bend every retail investor over a rocket and elon is going to personally charge us for the lube
spacex is going to bend every retail investor over a rocket and elon is going to personally charge us for the lube
'Big Short' Star Steve Eisman Warns SpaceX Will Be A 'Retail Cult Stock' With A 'Crazy' Valuation Compared To NVDA
Everyone wants SpaceX. That’s the problem.
Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) — The AI Infrastructure Chokepoint Nobody's Talking About
Despite Friday's pullback, I'm still +65.8% YTD
While everyone fights over NVDA, IBM just made a bet on $THREE
I ran NVDA and AAPL through 15 frameworks today and here’s what came back.
SpaceX Could be $22.5 billion on selling pressure in the first 5 minutes - A 16x of the highest averaged minute trading volume on a given day (NVDA)
SpaceX could be $22.5 billion in selling pressure in first 5 minutes - a 77x of highest ever trading volume day
Posted in r/investing w/ good feedback, sharing here: NVDA's Q1 FY27 earnings call graded for credibility, guidance claims vs financial data
That one guy who bought $NVD thinking it is $NVDA yesterday.
I went through the AVGO transcript line by line. Here's what I actually found.
I graded NVDA's Q1 FY2027 earnings call for credibility by cross referencing guidance claims against actual financial data
$725B AI Capex Arms Race: If AI Is “Crashing,” Why Are Big Tech and SpaceX Raising to Build More Compute?
I sold everything. AI is a trillion-dollar hallucination and you’re all exit liquidity.
I’m all-in on $NVDA and I have no idea what I’m doing.
$NVDA is a goddamn psychological warfare – are we buying the dip or catching a falling knife?
Broadcom grew AI revenue 143% and lost $280B in a day. What broke
Thoughts on Potential for SpaceX IPO Day 1 Pop - May be Enough IPO liquidity to actually minimize or prevent a pop
Thoughts on Potential for SpaceX IPO Day 1 Pop - May be Enough IPO liquidity to actually minimize or prevent a pop
$RUM Heavily Shorted Rumble Soars After Landing "Largest Customer Commitment To Date" In $270M AI Cloud Deal
THE BIGGEST BILLIONAIRE HAS SPOKEN OF A RECESSION , WHERE DO YOU THINK THE RECESSION CRACK WILL HAPPEN
The timing on this is impeccable. Senator Sheldon Whitehouse sold up to half a million of Nvidia shares on May 7th
The Nvidia China Dilemma: Is Wall Street Blind to the Looming Tech Decoupling?
Analog Devices $ADI could be the next Micron $MU
Analog Devices $ADI could be the next Micron $MU
I just realized NVDA is stable because tomorrow is the ex-div date
I messed up again— “best of luck to you” - Schwab Risk Management Team
STMicroelectronics (STM) is one of the best and most undervalued European stocks - DD update 2.5 years later
The market has discovered electricity and now everything is bullish
Am I Crazy For Thinking The N1X Announcement Is Bigger Than Most People Realize?
Spacex, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs are investment opportunities and don’t let anyone tell you otherwise
LAM research, the next AI slop stock that will reach 1T USD.
Mentions
Is NVDA going to reclaim its title as the 👑 daddy and pump 7% today?
Same thing for me if NVDA reaches 225 today
So I'm hearing buy more NVDA?
Someone said this was the top so I checked my NVDA calls and saw Im up 40% in 30 minutes. Thank you regard.
754C for .07 sold at 1.47, rotate into 0.30 212.5c on NVDA, lets see a rally to 220 jensennnnnn
I know it's too much to ask, but could NVDA reach ATH by Wednesday?
Shorting NVDA is the next NVDA
Glad i sold those NVDA 210c I bought at open right before the rip so everyone else can benefit from it
NVDA was good call. Lots of room til ATH. 220c 6/22.
NVDA getting smoked at 210.
What kind of bubble are we talking about here? VGT forward P/E is like 24.3x. This is literally way below average for the last 6 years. Mostly because the big caps MSFT, NVDA, valuations have kind of crashed because of both an earnings boom and fears about AI overspend. Like you might argue a bubble with a magnifying glass on specific Non-Nvidia chip stocks, but what kind of bubble is this? VGT forward valuations were 31.3x in 2021.
Stop selling NVDA at 210 you crazy bastards
Balls deep NVDA 220 6/17 calls, LFG!
NVDA can’t even get a semi Shrek
NVDA is an embarrassment to the semi industry. Even MSFT is up 2%
21k --> 27k this week. holding TQQQ, SPXL, AMZU, GGLL, IBM, AVGO, NVDA, INTU
fuck NVDA next time only buying calls on spy or qqq
Just go red for fucks sakes NVDA 🙄
Why is NVDA so allergic to 5T market cap. Is is just the consensus that a stock can't go above 5T for the time being?
Is NVDA the new MSFT?
No price target, just an upgrade talking about NVDA is coming for Google.
NVDA still cannot beat the Nasdaq what a shift
virgin NVDA sits in the cuck chair watching AMD gap +8%
NVDA couldn’t even hold its gains properly Garbage boomer trash
GOOG, NVDA, MSFT, all will jump 5% from here just today. (These are all my current positions I am coping heavily)
another day, another NVDA upgrade. Derr
Memory so expensive even NVDA can’t afford it
Wait why? The have like 100B in FCF every quarter, I expected it from the hypers not from NVDA
NVDA needs to issue $20b in bonds? I though they would have that cash lying in the sofa cushions
NVDA has had a very hard time moving with great earnings, now they need money. How the hell do they need money? Something seems off and I'm gonna bet against it near term
NVDA puts on their $20B bond sale announcement this morning
NVDA puts, just announced dilution $20B
It's from a bond sale, would that NVDA to drop?
NVDA plans to raise 20B soon. It is going to 150$ soon.
First time they are raising money this way since 2021. They are supposed to be cash flow positive, and swimming in money... First GOOGL, then META, MSFT, SMCI, etc. Now NVDA too.
More NVDA December calls.
ARM red NVDA headed red MSFT and META crave the red. Otherwise green af.
Send NVDA to $500
"NVDA plans on raising at least $20B from high-grade bond sale" Uhhh why? How are all these hyperscalers running out of cash
NVDA selling bonds for cash?? Why?? I thought demand was infinite LMAO 🤌
So Tesla and spacex make money? The other M7 outside of NVDA make money off of AI? They don’t. Only NVDA profits.
SNDK is like NVDA, pre-split
Is marvel the next best thing since NVDA?
We are not in a dot com bubble because the dot com bubble was based on insane valuations of internet companies, almost none of which were actually profitable at the time. Sure if the AI bubble deflates, companies like the shoe company suddenly saying they're an AI company will probably not survive, but it's otherwise largely carried on the shoulders of massive tech companies that are profitable and essential. NVDA is not going away, GOOG is not going away, and even LLM companies are not going away because profitable or not everyone's hooked on them.
Nah it's theta heaven usually. That's why I chose it for csp. Only thing you have to watch out for on NVDA when you're running theta is that when it isn't doing nothing at all but ranging, it will randomly jump or dump like $10 on basically no news
NVDA was 209.30 when I went to sleep and is 209.50 right now. What that means to me is that this pump isn't particularly real and there's still a lot of selling pressure. Might close my cash secured puts at open and take the easy $350
Personally no, I do think it’s overvalued long term but currently the financial performance and balance sheets are delivering the results to justify it (specifically revenue, margins and growth). Examples being GOOG and NVDA, they’re expensive sure but pe and forward pe are not as unreasonable as my gut would have expected. You add to this inflation remaining high, deregulation by the current admin and the oligarchal behaviour we’re seeing clearly exhibited. Are you more worried about a few high buys or missing the party? That doesn’t mean it won’t be a monumental bloodbath when the bubble does pop. It’s at those moments when valuations will contract and the overinflated hype driven stock will be hit the hardest. If you’re investing for a 10+Y horizon then don’t worry about it, if you’re investing <5Y consider your strategy and true risk appetite.
"How concerned should I be about the NVDA concentration at this level?" Nothing against NVDA - I've owned it for years - but wouldn't have 43% in anything. Becomes ultimately too reliant upon it and in an time where people on here act like a 10% correction is the apocalypse, I think a lot of people are not patient enough to make a big bet that underperforms for a period. "Would you trim or rebalance, or stay the course given the AI tailwinds?" I think the tech/AI portion could be trimmed a bit + with the remainder perhaps a bit more diversity rather than just mega caps. If you're trying for aggressive growth, there has to be more than just the giant companies everyone knows about, you have to pick some next big things rather than just the current very big and obvious things. Additionally, as others have noted some overlap with mega cap tech and your etfs like SPMO. Not sure what the strategy is. As someone else noted, SCHD at about 5% isn't going to provide a meaningful buffer if that's what the intent is.
wait what did Nasdaq do to QQQ shareholders? you're talking about the special rebalance to cap MSFT/NVDA/etc weights right? genuinely curious what the
wsb baby MU gonna double to 2000 if NVDA were gonna go to 240
The China visit timing is definitely strategic — H20 chip restrictions cost NVDA $4.5B in inventory charges already. But let's not overread the breakout move. FY2026 numbers stand on their own: $215.9B revenue, 55.6% net margins, $96.7B free cash flow. The balance sheet is pristine: $157.3B equity, 3.91x current ratio. The real variable isn't China access — it's whether hyperscalers can sustain this capex pace. When your biggest customers are spending 60%+ of their capex on your product, any deceleration hits hard. That's the risk, not geopolitics.
I would make a banbet for NVDA to 230, but I am afraid I'd kill the rally 😅
I think the bigger risk is assuming you'll know which one ends up being the next NVDA ahead of time. Most of us only see the winners clearly in hindsight. What helped me was separating ideas into core and high conviction. The core gets most of the capital, then I keep a smaller bucket for sectors or themes I want exposure to without pretending I have a huge edge. That way I can follow AI, space, defense, etc. without turning the portfolio into 30 tiny positions that never move the needle.
Please let us know when you find the next NVDA. You diversify once you realize that you are asking people on the internet what to buy.
How do you guys deal with the temptation to over-diversify? Or, better said, too invest too wide and not deep enough? I get that it's generally safer to diversify, but I know that there are explosive gains to be made when you find your NVDA, SNDK, etc. and invest some decent capital into it. I want to be in quantum, photonics, space, software, AI, defense, etc., but I know that I'm likely leaving material gains on the table by stretching too thin. Thoughts? Anyone else struggling with this?
Honestly if you Swap NVDA weight to SPMO, would be better IMO.
NVDA below 200 was the bottom
I'd rebalance NVDA to about 10%, given the overlap with SPMO. Divest the FBCG position. Take your profits and spread them out. One option would be to increase your relatively small international exposure.
1. MU is an example of a cyclical industry - swimming in money while there're supply shortages, then going down just as fast once the supply catches up to demand. This will happen, that's the purpose of market economy to fix imbalances, the question is only when - 2026, 2027, 2028? 2. NVDA, AVGO - big revenue growth in the past 2 years as a result of huge capex from hyperscalers, plus openai, anthropic and other customers. Will this sharp demand for their AI enabling products continue forever? Likely, no - hyperscalers won't be able to maintain 500b capex costs for decades, even a couple of years of such expenditures bear the risk of drowning them. Look at what's happening to oracle already.
So bullish NVDA might even jump. Unbelievable.
MU, NVDA, DRAM, SNDK Nuff said ...
Except companies involved in the AI buildout - MU, NVDA, AVGO, etc. - are making insane amounts of money and are very cash flush. This is not even remotely the same thing… much bigger different in the bet being on unqualified consumers paying on loans that never should have been originated and securitized than $500B-$1T corporations investing capex capital into the most single most influential piece of tech since the advent of the car. Feel free to be bear, but this is not a fair comparison lol.
Your portfolio is basically: 50% NVDA 75% concentrated in 5 stocks 85% concentrated in top 10 S&P500 or nasdaq 100 stocks 90% tech stocks Very volatile and vulnerable to market rotations. I'm not seeing how SPMO, FDMO, and FBCG work together. You're likely better simplifying to just SPMO or look for other etfs to compliment your strategy. Ideally a well diversified portfolio won't let any individual stock positions exceed 10% without serious consideration to trim and rebalance.
NVDA will be flat or red Monday morning
# NVDA Long-Term Path Forward (5 & 10 Years) • 5-Year Outlook Over the near-to-medium term, NVIDIA’s path is paved by the rollout and maturation of its Blackwell Ultra and Rubin architectures. Within the next five years, NVIDIA is positioned to successfully cross the bridge from being a hardware provider to a recurring-revenue software powerhouse via its NVIDIA Enterprise AI and Omniverse platforms. If the company maintains its current market share of accelerated compute and Coatue's "10X paradox" thesis holds true, NVIDIA is statistically the most likely candidate to graduate from the $1 Trillion club to become the world's first $10 Trillion company, driven by steady margin expansion and the democratization of localized AI factories. • 10-Year Outlook Looking a decade ahead, NVIDIA's primary goal is to become the invisible, ubiquitous operating system of the automated world, powering everything from physical robotics to climate simulation and autonomous transportation. However, long-term buy-and-hold investors must heavily monitor the disruptive risk of custom silicon. As hyperscale's grow weary of NVIDIA's pricing power, they will pour hundreds of billions into developing their own bespoke chips. NVIDIA’s durable moat over this decade will not rely on raw processing speed, but rather on its CUDA software ecosystem and NVLink networking standards, which lock developers into NVIDIA's paradigm and make switching to rival hardware economically unviable. **Growth Catalysts** • **Sovereign AI and Mega-Cluster Deployments:** The demand for AI infrastructure is expanding beyond traditional tech companies into sovereign nations and enterprise AI factories. Deals like the six-year strategic collaboration with Sharon AI—which will see the deployment of up to **40,000 Grace Blackwell GB300 GPUs**—demonstrate how growth can remain explosive without straining NVIDIA's own balance sheet, utilizing revenue-sharing and credit-support models. • **The Hyperscaler Capex Tsunami:** Major cloud providers and tech behemoths are locked in an arms race that leaves them with no choice but to buy NVIDIA hardware. Hyperscalers are projected to deploy over **$630 billion** in total capital expenditure in 2026, with the lion's share earmarked for AI data centers and accelerated processing. As long as AI models require exponential compute power to train and run inference, NVIDIA remains the primary tollbooth for this capital expenditure. • **The Agentic AI PC Revolution:** NVIDIA is successfully aggressively pushing its dominance from the cloud down to the edge. The recent unveiling of the NVIDIA RTX Spark superchip brings a staggering 1 petaflop of AI performance directly to Windows laptops, fundamentally reinventing the personal computer into an AI teammate rather than a simple productivity tool. Hope this helps.
**How concerned should I be about the NVDA concentration at this level?** Not knowing your goals or financial situation, impossible to say. **Would you trim or rebalance, or stay the course given the AI tailwinds?** Oh, I would absolutely rebalance. But I'm some random guy on the internet, the likelihood that our goals and financial situation line up are pretty small. **Anything obviously missing or redundant in this mix?** SMPO already has NVDA, TSLA, AMZN, GOOG, AVGO...in fact these 5 stocks probably make up 90% of your "portfolio." **I’m a long term investor (10+ years horizon), not looking to day trade. I would really appreciate any honest feedback.** My honest feedback is that I can't figure out what you're trying to do with these picks. It feels like vibe investing.
I deliberately picked GOOG and not, say NVDA, because back in 2011 GOOG was a safe bet
Nah, that’s MSFT NVDA may be up 3% at most haha
watch NVDA be red or flat as always
!banbet NVDA 250 1 week
SPCX gonna peak above NVDA this week at this rate
So do we get $NVDA 220 tomorrow ?
Lmao!! CalliNG NVDA slow and somehow you do not have 1 trillion downvotes! Reddit in a nutshell
Stoked about a deal but I’m holding Meta and NVDA calls and they are allergic to green right now
"Say NVDA falls to 165. With a naked 195 CSP I get assigned the shares at 195. I'm underwater, but I own the stock I wanted and I start grinding it back with covered calls. With the 195/190 spread in that same drop, the long 190 caps my loss but I walk away with no shares." You are still welcome to be assigned at 195 with the credit spread, all you have to do is sell your long put. Using the option prices displayed over the weekend, which may not be correct, you can sell the 195 put for 5.00. The 195/190 spread can be sold for 1.35. So here's the scenarios. 1. NVDA goes up. You would make more with the CSP. 2. Between 195 and 185.35, the CSP is a better option by a varying amounts. At 185.35, both positions have lost 3.65. 3. Below 185.35, the spread is the winner if you're going to sell the long leg and take assignment on the short. Given your example of a price at expiration of 165, you would collect 1.35, sell your long leg for 25+, and pay 195 for the shares. Total is 168.65 or less per share, depending on when you sold the long leg and how much extrinsic value it had remaining.
Man what the fuck is gonna happen to the market when this AI bubble finally pops. NVDA going back to gaming chips?
I have 22k shares in RDDT and will buy more if it drops further. I always buy quality stocks when they're down—I made over $1M on Google last year buying in the $150s and made several hundred thousand on each of AAPL and NVDA on sale too 😎
WTF are you are talking about. I said I’ll be a big buyer if it goes below $100. How is that getting worked? And regardless of your take here, people are getting incredibly emotional about the IPO. They’re either enraged that it’s overpriced or offended that people think it’s overpriced. Nobody is worked up about Visa’s valuation or even NVDA.
Sorry it took me a bit to think through the second one properly. The roll thing makes sense. I had not considered that. The long leg gaining value on a big drop gives you something to work with that a naked put just doesn't, since a deep ITM put has no extrinsic left to harvest. That is an absolutely fair point. Where I land though is that it's a different goal. Say NVDA falls to 165. With a naked 195 CSP I get assigned the shares at 195. I'm underwater, but I own the stock I wanted and I start grinding it back with covered calls. With the 195/190 spread in that same drop, the long 190 caps my loss but I walk away with no shares. So in the exact move where the wheel hands me cheap stock to work with, the spread closes me out instead. This is great if I wanted defined risk and an exit. But it is not what I want if the whole point is to own NVDA. So I see it less as a better entry and more as a different strategy which is risk-defined income with an escape hatch vs. wheeling into the shares. Both valid, just different aims. I think one thing applies either way . Wherever you roll that CSP to, you still want a shelf under it. If the stock just dropped 20%, you're selling into the same falling knife from the post, just lower down. Same check still applies. Good addition, appreciate you laying it out.
" So you have two choices. (A) go further down to the 190 strike (~25 delta, ~$4.31) to buy additional safety cushion (B) wait for price to reclaim 208.69 and sell the put after there is a shelf under it again." These aren't the only two choices when looking for a margin of safety. These are only entry options, not commentary on your indicator. If you're not desperate for a fill, you can set a GTC order at a higher price and wait to see if the market trades through your ask. I typically use the average premium of the strike I want and the next strike closer to the money, with the assumption that there might be a further dip before recovery. Additionally, on more volatile names, initially placing the trade as a credit spread allows greater flexibility in rolling into a CSP or covered call closer to money if there is a large move. If NVDA drops 20%, rolling a 5 dollar wide bull put spread into an ATM back month CSP that pays at least $5 in premium is going to be easier than rolling a deep ITM put down to ATM for a net credit.
Also NVDA will reach 2000$ and MSFT will reach 1000$
This is a massive misconception around what happened the last few weeks. The SpaceX IPO had next to zero impact on liquidity flow. Yes the market cap broke $2t, but the IPO was not for $2t. The active float is 5%. The offering was $75b. If every single dollar was funded via selling nvda it would represent a sell off of 1.5%, of literally just NVDA; or 0.33% of the Mag7. This sell off to rotate into the IPOs is misguided and not at all what we saw last week. OpenAi and Anthropic will each likely offer 5-10% of float at offering, assuming both are valued at around $1.25T, you’re talking maybe $250b, 1% of mag7, of liquidity required until lockup periods end. What we actually saw was much simpler. We had a surprisingly strong jobs print. In an elevated inflation environment, a weak job market is what kept the idea of rate cuts realistic. With strong jobs growth, rate cut probability dropped dramatically and the market stalled along with it as it puts direct pressure on EPS growth estimates and in turn forward PE. This is why there’s a resurgence in the peace talks leading into the FOMC meeting on the 17th. Without a peace deal in place which Warsh can deliver along with his adjustment CPI calculation, rate cuts will be off the table