Reddit Posts
Oi, get on the car. The market took a sharp dive.
YOLO (~20k in puts): If $TSLA hits $200 by Friday I donate $5.5k to Special Olympics
Investing in AI as opposed to a specific company
Everything there is to know in premarket 29.01. Including positioning analysis of GOOGL NVDA and AAPL
The AI innovation storm has swept through CES 2024, The annual CES has become a Tech-Stage
Who should replace Tesla as the newest member of the “Mag 7?”
I present you a $27K NVDA yolo - I seem to offended quite a few NVDA bears and haters with my gains post for earlier 😂😂
NVDA share gains from last week … overall $35K ish in gains to date. Bears are you winning yet? Idgaf actually - I realized my gains
Any advice on what to YOLO on this week?
Would it be a bad idea investing in the same investments in a Roth IRA and a regular brokerage account?
$6k profit this week from flipping NVDA calls within 1st hour after open.
$6k profit this week from flipping NVDA calls within 1st hour after open.
Strangely the US wants to Intel to succeed but their price does not look that way
Seeking Advice on NVDA Investment Dilemma - Diversify, hedge or ride the wave?
Question for people who profited from both TSLA and NVDA ?
Down the rabbit hole we go. What should I yolo my last on?
Damnit to heck, Cramer just recommended NVDA
CES 2024: AI field still have a large potential
I believe them puts on NVDA and AMD I guess?
My top suggested post is a 6 year old NVDA WSB post
KitKat Canada AI Ad? I’m Bullish on NVDA, AMD, & SMCI
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Nancy Pelosi Made $500,000 From Her Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) Bet, Doubling Her Annual Government Salary In Just 2 Months
Anyone buy 0DE Spy Puts to hedge their weekly NVDA calls?
Follow up from my previous post! Still holding NVDA and up a 105% gain
Anyone get frustration with themselves not buy more Magnificent 7 ?
How much longer is NVDA going to run?
I'm 100% certain that if I buy SPY calls expiring 02/15/23, the market will reverse direction.
If NVDA keeps pumping 2-3% a day, it’ll be the biggest company on earth by end of February
Part two- been practicing option trading (80 % success rate)
PART 2 Been practicing option trading for a year
NVDA bears - TY ❤️ for your sacrifice. $11.5K in gains (+44%). Apologies in advance for upsetting people that don’t know how to take profit.
Jensen Huang Illustrating How big of Dump NVDA Stock will take
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
$PYPL Ad: Six innovations that will revolutionize commerce
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
Ticker that is 40% shorted, beaten down, 100M float, and runs with NVDA
All in on AI today over 40% short and bottomed for reversal!!!!!
💰Going Long on TSM: The Unseen Goldmine Behind NVDA’s Success💰
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
TSM - I was right, kind of, and i think there's still more value here.
Update: NVDA yolo - I’m gunna keep holding. Probably sell some covered calls. For the NVDA bears, the color you are seeing is called “green”
Am I too late for NVDA calls?
Everything you need to know about AMD in 8 bullet points, before the ER.
How can NVDA be "ignored" when it is a $1.5Trillion company?
How I am Positioning myself in the Markets going into 2024
Mentions
Will NVDA EVER CLOSE ABOVE 185? I HAVE HAD THIS "MIRACLE" STOCK FOR 6 FUCKING MONTHS AND IT HASNT MOVED?
The downside is that you are risking $20,000 to make $200 a month. You are completely capping your upside while taking on 100% of the downside risk. Nvidia trades at a premium multiple (\~36 P/E), which means any slight miss in expectations gets punished severely. Here is the typical scenario: you buy 100 shares of NVDA at $200 ($20,000 invested). You sell a covered call and collect a $200 premium. Then the stock drops 10% to $180 on a standard earnings sell-off. You are now down $1,800 net. To keep collecting meaningful premiums, you are forced to sell calls at lower strikes, risking your shares getting called away for a permanent loss if the stock bounces back. Your biggest risk isn't just volatility, it is disruption. Just look at how the market reacted to DeepSeek. A cheaper Chinese alternative or a breakthrough in unified memory could make current GPUs obsolete overnight. Yes, you can "hold and keep selling calls because you believe in the stock", but after factoring in the massive drawdowns and your capped gains on the way back up, you often just break even or make a marginal profit. If simply buying the top of a hype cycle and selling calls guaranteed wealth, we would all be multimillionaires.
MU follows NVDA last earnings
That all-time curve just matches NVDA. You rode one stock and claimed you were a genius to your wife didn’t you? 😂
Microsoft (MSFT) — 22% Most stable + diversified revenue (cloud, AI, enterprise) NVIDIA (NVDA) — 20% AI backbone, but slightly trimmed due to volatility Apple (AAPL) — 15% Strong cash flow, ecosystem lock-in Alphabet (GOOGL) — 14% Undervalued relative to AI + ads dominance Meta Platforms (META) — 12% High growth but more cyclical (ads) Amazon (AMZN) — 10% AWS strong, retail margins still meh Tesla (TSLA) — 7% High upside, but highest risk in the group
Believing it will still be here is not the same as believing it's current valuation, or the fundamentals underlying it, won't massively change. Ask me how I know (owned NVDA when it was a gaming GPU company at $13 and sold at $23).
The S&P 500 dropped 1.36% today. NVDA only dropped 0.83%. Look at it like NVDA gained 0.53%.
NVDA option premium in the gutter this week Can’t even sell calls to get cash
I should’ve bought that small retail plaza instead of parking my shit into NVDA I’m a fucking retard
Micron has brought my portfolio to completely neutral today. I’ve paid the debt to the NVDA gods for holding through the last earnings and I am now break even 🙌🙌
A.I generation slop and you did not go to the convention, since you didn't mention LWLG which was set up right beside NVDA
Just wondering out loud, what are we suppose to do? Sell all our VOO and NVDA, which we pay taxes on and then use that cash to wipe with? the market looks grim, everyone needs to sell everything? Tell me what to do coach.
I would do 0% TSLA, 50% META 50% NVDA, if I was feeling really wild 10% MSFT and 10% GOOG, I would not buy amzn and I would never buy TSLA if my company had it's valuation my small business grossing between 100-200k a year would be valued at like 43 million dollars.
Everyone is starting to get nervous about how the people buying Nvidia chips are being paid by Nvidia to buy their chips. Those same companies (who are getting paid by nvidia for promising to buy nvidia chips) are themselves valued at literally 1,000,000% or more of their annual revenue. It would be like if the whole world's GDP was driven by twelve people in an auction house buying and selling the same painting back and forth to each other for an extra trillion dollars every time. It's ok, because even if you're at negative $1T from buying it, you can just get someone else to promise to buy it for $2T. Consider yourself educated on the modern stock market. Just like tulips, TSLA and NVDA will never, ever crash no matter how silly the numbers get...
I did leaps and NVDA back last July and now I’m fucked
It is always the same recurring theme for NVDA. “Hyper scalers are paying billions for their chips this quarter, very cool. What about the next quarter? And the quarter after the next?” And then fear sets in.
Man DLSS getting roasted this could be the beginning of the end for NVDA
Exactly. NVDA's revenue growth has been priced in. They'll need to do way more to surprise the market.
MU margins are now past NVDA and on PLTR level If we give MU a PLTR multiple, its shares would be trading at....close to $5000
$NBIS $RKLB NVDA event basically told us - data centres in space will be the big money makers
Yer I don't know, the stock didn't even pop on that news. I know the current macro isn't amazing but usually good news has a noticeable pop on the charts even if it does get sold off. Maybe they just don't believe him? The street has NVDA doing about 300 bil the next 4 quarters. So 1 trillion over 8 quarters is a step up from 300 over 4.
Dawg if you don’t understand NVDA is overvalued yet idk what to tell you
NVDA has become a control, a prime mover, if you will, for the market. Small movements, big ripples. Thinkabootit
Median price target error for Mag 7. Stock Median Error (tight estimate) AAPL ~15–18% MSFT ~14–18% GOOGL ~15–20% AMZN ~18–25% META ~20–30% NVDA ~25–40% TSLA ~30–50% What the data tells me is they are terrible at their jobs.
Burry's been hitting the headlines a lot lately, but yeah, this NVDA short is old news. I'm more interested in seeing how smaller, niche AI hardware companies fare – easier to get in early, you know?
The math works in a vacuum but delta as probability ITM overstates your real edge because of vol skew. OTM puts on NVDA carry elevated IV so you’re collecting less premium per unit of true probability than the model suggests The bigger hole is your loss scenario. When NVDA is ITM on a short put it’s not a $4 BTC, it’s $12 to $20 by the time you act. That blows up the EV calc The actual edge in premium selling isn’t “delta = win rate.” It’s high volume, small size, 50% profit targets, and mechanical management. The framework is right, the execution layer is where it falls apart for most people.
Others said it. If NVDA drops to 150, your BTC will be at LEAST 17.50 on a 167.50 put, and likely way more since that drop will blow up the market IV. Tbh, given what I'm reading, and I mean this for your sake… stick to puts only when you have the cash to handle assignment, or other “Schwab level 1” trades.
You can make the exact same amounts with credit spreads..far less capital at risk. Doesn’t matter if you have the cash..or don’t mind getting assigned, just use a credit spread. If it goes against you, sell the long put and you have the short put just the same. Iron condors are ideal for NVDA. 3/27 $195/$192.50 $170/$172.50 ~$.51 credit for $200 cash. Put on 5 and that’s $250.
Genuinely great advice, thanks! I guess I went wrong by choosing NVDA, I promise it was just supposed to be a well known name ! Though it has been trading in a bit of a range for awhile, I agree I wouldn’t want to sell naked puts on it.
Sure things are a gamble. But I also can’t envision NVDA gaining 0% from July 25-July 26
Weekly’s are fun the Theta decay is crazy. You said stable stock then you mentioned NVDA ! Consider this: if a fire breaks out in the factory you’ll be feeling the burn. Each assignment is around $18,000 and it will happen. ETFs are considered a bit more stable. Personally I only sell CC weekly’s. No naked weekly puts unless I want / afford to get assigned. Or hedging my naked calls 😂. Good luck 🍀
B/C it takes an entire year of Japan's GDP to pay for the market cap that $NVDA currently is trading at. I'm not talking cashflows, or fwd earnings. The numbers have gotten so big that $NVDA is currently worth 22 years of Japan's entire GDP per forward earnings. Let's hope $NVDA hits those projections. Otherwise you could have bought a world ETF of the 4th largest country in the world instead.
If that is more than hearsay (if actually true), then it is time to short NVDA.
The second largest quarterly guidance raise was NVDA in May 2023 with a $4b guidance raise -Gemini
>If $NVDA has a market cap that is equal to Japan's annual GDP, than it would be realistic to expect Japan's GDP to double if $NVDA stock price was to double. How are the two things related ? The argument against NVDA is whether they can keep growing at the same rate they have been or not, there is no link between their market cap and the GDP of Japan.
I've gotten some rude comments here from some loser accusing me of spreading disinformation b/c of whatever. Let me explain my thinking on cycles & trends. If $NVDA has a market cap that is equal to Japan's annual GDP, than it would be realistic to expect Japan's GDP to double if $NVDA stock price was to double. What is more likely? For $NVDA to do a 2x or Japan GDP to do a 2x?? And what is more riskier?? $NVDA market cap to be cut in half or Japan's annual GDP to be cut in half?? The risk & upside for $NVDA and these other tech stocks just isn't there for the risk you are taking. And the world is full of cycles. At one time the railroad was the biggest industry by GDP. If you hate Japan substitute India or Great Britain, the 5th & 6th largest economy by GDP in the world. And do you expect this current market trend to continue forever?? Then ask yourselves am I diversified??
I made about $225,000 last year selling naked weekly puts (primarily on SoFi before the dip) and a little NVDA and PLTR mixed in. It was a good run. NGL, that SoFi made me realize how lucky I was. Thinking about things differently now. Gearing up to switch to SPY and QQQ.
4 DCA 20’s because I could and saving has always been important to me. NVDA early on Daily I trust what makes sense to me, try not to get greedy and take profits without worrying about what I miss out on. I listen to certain people around me that I trust and most importantly DCA.
Haha that was just supposed to be an example as everyone knows NVDA, nor would I start with NVDA -- again this would be assuming stable and generally neutral/bullish plays. I'm looking to understand what I may be missing as I KNOW the math/idea cannot be generalized this simply. I have always pushed the idea of trading on margin, though I'm open to learning so long as it's not done irresponsibly; no YOLOs here !
NVDA: $1T revenue. Market: fuk off!! MIcron: Double beat and $12 EPS Market: fuk off!! I'm starting to think market does not care about AI anymore.
Omg you are crazy. Naked Put on NVDA at 165 for $1…. China invades Taiwan stops all exports and NVDA crashes hard. Like 125 would’ve a hopeful stop… they have no product without TSCM. Or what if some Chinese firm shows that they have GPUs that outperform Nvidia’s at 1/10th the cost… don’t think that can happen either. You know what, go ahead and do it, let me know how that works out.
Didn't he close his big NVDA short position? Lol
Ah yes, January 2024 would have been a terrible time to buy NVDA
You buy NVDA at $200. You sell a CC and collect $2. NVDA goes down $5 to $195 You sell another CC and collect $2. NVDA goes down another $5 to $190 You sell one more CC and collect $2. NVDA goes back up $10 and your shares get called. Let's say for argument's sake your strike price was $192. You have collected $6 in premium, but you also sold your $200 shares for $192. You have, on net, lost $2, when if you had just held you'd be back to flat.
NVDA 0.01% green 😎 Random WSB user - WE ARE SOOO BACK !!!!!
You do Realize they wouldn’t be able to buy NVDA chips if they did that
Based on current prices: - NVDA: 25% - GOOG: 25% - MSFT: 25% - AMZN: 15% - META: 15% - AAPL: 5% - TSLA: -10%
Fuck my goddamn life dude. Held NVDA calls overnight, saw them pop pre-market. Kept holding because the whole market was green and I thought it would continue. Continued to hold, turns out NVDA shat the bed during the day and now I'm deep in the fucking red. Fuck my goddamn life dude.
NVDA RKLB PLTR OKLO NVTS BBAI and a bunch more
GOOG>AMZN>AAPL>NVDA>MSFT. META is being stupid with money. TSLA is kinda falling behind in the EV market. MSFT is being stupid with decissions but their OS releases are always 1 version sh-t 1 version actually good. 10 was good, so 11 had to be sh-t, 12 will be good. Since everything is relatively expensive I'll just base it on the ammount of least stupid decissions and user or customer retention.
NVDA 21 forward is actually insane. Still not buying it tho. It's getting the MU rating.
AMD and LULU been up all day. NVDA ORCL MSFT been on their 🩸🐱
I’m gonna lose 6k on NVDA calls because I couldn’t sell my calls in time during that 15 second spike on Monday
Actually, this is quite interesting to me, particularly since it caused me to look at my 3 Fidelity accounts, where I have a total of $2.2 million, albeit, approximately $500k is managed by a Fidelity Team\* (they call it "Fidelity U.S. Large Cap Strategy"). Specifically, I was wondering about the %s in this managed account. It should also be noted that I own 2500 shares of NVDA in my regular Fidelity account, along with a 1000 AMZN shares, and 1100 shares of AVGO (which just joined the "trillion" dollar club a month or so ago). Anyway, I highlighted the "% Of Account" column and of the approximately 150 stocks this Fidelity Team has me in, VOO is the highest at 9.96%; NVDA 7.83%; AMZN 4.56%; MSFT 4.13%; GOOGL 3.32%; META 2.73%; AAPL 2.40% (note: AVGO 2.58% and XOM 2.56% were ahead of AAPL). \*Minimum investment of $100k required for an account with this Fidelity Team.
Same pattern on Yahoo Finance yesterday as well as today on a lot of tech stocks. Same with MU, NVDA, GOOG and others
Interesting weights. Some people will cut AAPL down to 8, it's the most mature of the 7 with the least AI upside near term. Take that and add it to NVDA. TSLA at 2 feels right, more of a sentiment stock than a fundamentals play at this point.
MU had Q2 guidance at $8.42 on $18.7B back in December, and they posted $12.20 on $23.86B. Net income was $13.78B for a profit margin of 57.7%. This is on par with NVDA. And they are guiding this quarter to $18.90 on $33.5B. That's a net income of $21.2B. Crazy numbers.
well NVDA was there just a month and a bit ago so idk what you were doing then
We still haven't reached my no brainer buy NVDA price of 175. So definitely some room to dump
NVDA has a market cap of 4 trillion..MU is nowhere near topped out. Everyone is just wary of AI stocks right now and it doesn't help that we are in a war that is causing even more inflation
Honestly I’m gonna stay mostly checked out on looking at my MU holdings moving forward the rest of the year. I’ve got 500 shares and I’m up 6% even in this after hours -3% despite crushing earnings. It’s a long hold stock that’ll be fine and I need to look at it as if I’m holding NVDA and it’s 2020, just chill for a while.
Why does this feel overpriced, while NVDA now seems like a value? I don’t see why I should buy any MU at more than double the current price of NVDA.
Sounds just like NVDA.
They'll just count orders taken this year into their revenue and omit delivery dates, that's what NVDA has been doing since 2023
NVDA just got added to the S&P 500 Low Volatility Index because it's fucking stuck at $180
You could have just put your money in NVDA lmao
MU gross margins higher than NVDA, it will probably generate $50+ per share in profits, stock should be $1000 and still be cheap
Should be no surprise the market reaction after what happened to $NVDA.
No idea why people are surprised on $MU drop on what are objectively ridiculously good earnings and guide. You saw what happened to $NVDA and its earnings run-up + sell the news. wtf were you expecting. No way paying that IV was worth the risk in either direction. Probably $MU short dated puts tomorrow 30 minutes past market open.
Things can change fast, all these companies make these massive guidance predictions but all it takes is one customer to pull off to change things. Feel like SSD, NAND, RAM are the commodity piece that can be undercut by China? Maybe the Market is starting to price these massive Q's as peak ai revenue which is why AVGO, AMD and NVDA are on a downtrend. RAM was the hot trade the past 6 months. For the spending party to continue all the big software companies like MSFT, META, GOOG, AMZN, ORCL, CRM, etc need to keep banging and start to see a ROI. but their stocks have been declining too, esp MSFT, CRM and ORCL. Its becoming a game of chicken as to who will crack first and if it keeps going down they're going to need that cash for payroll and share buybacks to keep the price up. my 2 bear cents.
parabolic gains were over the moment they added NVDA to the dow
I think NVDA bulls are finally at the end of their rope lol They might actually be ready to admit the parabolic gains are over haha
I mean, given that the growth is due in part massively to chip shortages, it's a bit different than say, when NVDA was on the run-up. It's a fair question to ask/be skeptical about for those who didn't get in at like, $100.
The bubble is doing bubble things. People are chasing the next best thing and each time the bubble is getting bigger and bigger. People will chase new things trying to find the next NVDA until they start betting on terrible businesses. Just look at MU, SNDK, LITE, and many others. (Not saying these are bad companies, just that quality erodes as people try to find the next stock that will 10x).
NVDA is going to make me call up marge and pay her that interest if we get below $170
>Edit:....and its red...wtf Because MU's growth expectations has been priced in for months. Were you earnestly expecting it to like, pop or something? We've had enough NVDA earnings calls to understand this by now lol.
Yeah but that's because investors are already confident the projections will be met or slightly exceeded; share prices are already bid up. You sell through all inventory, there isn't anything else to extract. At least NVDA has new services segment that could have upward surprises in the future. But hardware, you can only sell as much as you produce.
MU getting the NVDA treatment. Report blow out earnings, go down anyway.
MU pulling a NVDA, it will now drop 10% come Friday
It's like you can see all the cash getting vacuumed out of everything else by NVDA and Semiconductors.
Want to say I saw something around some rumors around NVDA and APH. Possibly like a supplier cut or something, can't seem to find it now.
LMAO WATCHING MMs TRY TO KEEP NVDA UP IM TELLING YOU ONCE NVDA BREAKS, INDEXES ARE LEGGING DOWN AGAIN ITS SO OBVIOUS
I bought NVDA @ $181 this morning and then swing traded IWM futures for a quick $70 profit after the Fed announcement. I’m gonna call it for the day. I think there’s an oil play brewing but I’ve learned not to lose a small win chaining a big one.
NVDA and FOMC meetings: two things that always sell off
Fuck NVDA joined the rest of the bag 7
The one day NVDA has some green and you gotta fucking shank it
Short everything. Short tesla, short carvanna. MU. NVDA. Dont give these pigs any room to move
You should go NVDA puts instead
They need to take a page from NVDA's keynote bangers
Nah. No chance. Im not crazy like some of the people here. My IRA is my "safe" account and I've had over 20% gains every single year. Just by loading on easy stocks like NVDA, RKLB etc I do play options on Robinhood but nothing crazy
Just dump already NVDA. Tired of this flat nonsense
One day we are all gonna look back and see NVDA @ $182 and think “That was a no brainer to buy as much as possible” The only question is, do we go through a period where $182 looks like a complete rip off first.
Rddt and NVDA to the moon
Which of you mofos aped in on NVDA calls and made it tank?