NVDA

CowboyPhewPhew

NVDA back to 200

E39_CBX

NVDA pt this week?

BlackNair

Made 70% selling NVDA at 206. Then just bought it again last friday, I have high hopes for the company, but might put my money elsewhere after it pumps up again.

modder9

How many of them sold at open Thursday though? The same people celebrating their January NVDA calls that night are begging it to go to 220+ to breakeven.

handsomeprints

For myself, I believe the single most deciding factor is valuations. You can follow the avg trailing P/E ratio of the S&P 500 here: [https://www.gurufocus.com/economic\_indicators/57/sp-500-pe-ratio](https://www.gurufocus.com/economic_indicators/57/sp-500-pe-ratio) Look at the 3-year chart because the weighting of higher earnings growths companies like NVDA etc. have increased significantly over the past few years: [https://userupload.gurufocus.com/1992674727335993344.png](https://userupload.gurufocus.com/1992674727335993344.png) As u/electricboogaloo suggested, forward P/E's give a better picture, you can follow the forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 here: [https://en.macromicro.me/series/20052/sp500-forward-pe-ratio](https://en.macromicro.me/series/20052/sp500-forward-pe-ratio) Personally, I see the forward P/E coming down to 20 in the next few months in part from a small drawdown in the market (say 6% to 7%) and in part because earnings go up over time. Opinions on that will vary. I started selling on August 11th and bought my first put option that day and another two thereafter. Beginning on, and since that date I have sold portions of 15 positions (trimmed my largest positions which were high flying, typically higher beta stocks) effectively increasing my cash by 20%. The basket of stocks I sold is down 11% and overall the selling and hedging, including gains on put options, has saved/made me 3% overall on my portfolio. When valuations are extremely high, this system works for me. My ytd gain is 24.3%. In the previous correction, I started the process a little too early, but still outperformed the indexes from the high to the day the index was 10% lower by 4.5%.

dangernext

VIX spikes to 40 this week, NVDA goes to 156… thoughts??? Am I idiot?

Wowmuchrya

!banbet NVDA 189.99 290h

iMakeGOODinvestmemts

Pick your port A - META , AMZN, MSFT B - GOOG, RDDT, NVDA C - AMZN, MSFT, GOOG

thirdcountry

NVDA is a great company. Many investors are full of it. He’s not wrong. If they do great, people complain about a possible bubble. If they do poorly, people will complain and say the bubble is over. Whatever people say… does not overcome the fact that THEY DID GREAT. The market rally continues. The bull is almost out.

apurimac777

Im over this fake and gay market as much as the next bear But i hope they get rekt Monday What they did to NVDA after a 50b quarter is shameless and must be avenged

E39_CBX

Anyone still holding NVDA calls?

thirdcountry

No bubble just afraid of a bubble. No time to sell, but time to buy the dip. NVDA strong results, google even stronger, Trump is showing he’s still in charge, things are looking good and a rate cut is very possible.

HugeAd5056

It’s really funny how strangles were the ideal bet for NVDA’s earnings. I said it was the play a week ago… but it’s funnier how you played the chart upside down lol

Ballaroz

The MM continues shorting the market regardless of NVDA's earnings results.

Xelonima

I don't even believe in AI I just call NVDA because I believe smart money is stupid enough to believe in AI

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANG Members checking in

Fine_Specialists

Been in since pre stock split when the price was only $80 per shares NVDA changed my life for the better.

manofjacks

NVDA's recent pullback is because of the overall market's correction and not specifically NVDA itself. Back in April, headline news is US was going into a recession. Sentiment changed after the April correction and markets exploded north, not just back to all time highs but 11% higher than the previous 613 high on SPY . Market's are now consolidating/correcting again, this time it seems the headline news is the AI bubble that's supposedly right around the corner from exploding. So when this current news dissipates, which it will, NVDA and overall markets will get back on their horse and continue climbing as they always do

TinkTonk101

He hasn't been seen since late October after buying NVDA calls with 1 month expiry

BNA-mod

The market is obsessed with the fed reserve, which is pathetic since the fed rate really does NOT have a big influence on consumer or business loans and barely affects monetary flow. If you look at history, it is not fed rate that stimulates the economy or increases the job market. Certainly, flooding the market with freshly printed dollars devalues the dollar and pushes inflation up, a policy Trump practiced in his first term. These effects support inflationary pressures over the course of 1-3 years. Cutting the federal lending rate makes overnight borrowing by banks cheaper, thus increasing liquidity marginally and helping banks make short term investments, but the key word here is “marginally”. Economic stimuli requires federal spending on infrastructure and job programs along with specific tax incentives for employers to add employees to the market. All that aside, Nvidia has a good 6 quarters of strong profitability ahead. If you look at price targets set by analysts covering the sector, you’ll see their 12 month expectations are generally $220-250 per share. Swing traders and scalpers are causing dramatic volatility in the market this year partially fueled by unpredictability of the White House policies. “America First” is not a bad stance, but the current administration is pushing isolationist policies, which generally constrict the US economy. So where is this all going with regard to Nvidia? I believe Nvidia’s AI and software market will remain strong and increasingly profitable over the next decade despite economic concerns. We are not dealing with simple consumer goods, although even consumer products such as gaming GPUs are increasing for Nvidia at present. Corporate spending is fairly detached from consumer spending in the US economy. I expect Nvidia to continue to appreciate in value despite the doomsday predictions and naysayers. Of course, you’re listening to someone who began investing in Nvidia many years ago based on the rising popularity of their gaming GPUs. However, I do believe in the company and their R&D which has put them in the position they are in now. Bull case: Corporate buildouts of AI overrides economic concerns and the sky is the limit. Stock hits $250 easily in next 12 months and possibly much higher. Bear case: Restrictive policies and the largest tax increase in history drag the US and world economy into a mild recession and NVDA maintains $178-210 for next 12-24 months with occasional dips and surges. However, I think we’ve all seen the market’s ability and willingness to buy up shares at the lower end of this price channel. Strong support exists, which lends a bullish sentiment rather than bearish.

nick_riviera24

So…instead of listening to RK in 2013 (when he recommended silver) I bought NVDA. I’m up 26 times. Predicting future market downturns is like saying “tomorrow you will wake up and do a bunch of stuff and then go back to bed). RK is…..

Due_Contact_8271

Yeah you’re right. NVDA is up 23% over the last year. What a horrible time to be an NVDA holder 😒

E39_CBX

NVDA Christmas miracle incoming 220 EOY

568Byourself

Reallly should’ve waited til eod to buy this 670c instead of at 664 when that NVDA/china news dropped

sekak77

unpopular opinion … Burry’s analysis on NVDA is actually quite sound ….

568Byourself

I should have waited til close. When the NVDA/China news dropped and spy was at 664 I bought a 670 for Monday, looking pretty toasted on it right now bit we’ll see

Ill-Ad1603

NVDA calls, AMD calls

Aggressive-Panic-355

As much as people think that NVDA is the most important company, without the hyperscaler it wouldnt be as close to where it is. The focus should be on the hyperscalers and not NVDA

Rav_3d

PE is hardly a good indicator for a growth company, but if it were, then I cannot see how you can use PE to call NVDA overvalued, unless you believe they are lying about guidance. Certainly understand that the capital cycle will come to an end, and when that happens, NVDA may be cut in half and take down the whole market with it. But for all I know that is 3 years away. Nevertheless, I’ll be watching prices carefully for clues. All signs point to a local bottom having been put in, or maybe with a good old fashioned turnaround Tuesday. If the bounce stalls before all-time highs, I’ll start to get very defensive in stocks.

wright_on_

Every additional Karpathy tweet sends NVDA down another 5%

banditcleaner2

Buddy you could’ve been at a million if you sold at 500-600k and then just bought ATM NVDA calls lol

Hungry-Brain-3287

I made a decision a year or two ago to make Google my core holding (15%). When everybody was losing their minds about "They are going to have to sell off Chrome", I was literally buying as much GOOG and GOOGL as I could pickup in my IRA and PCRA. This community was shitting on GOOG buyers, telling us we were going to regret it because "Google's getting left behind". I saw what a lot of you saw. Google wasn't being left behind, they were quietly getting work done. They leaped years ahead of Elon, with Waymo. They developed TMUs to reduce reliance for Gemini on NVDA. They raised capital by selling bonds, because you don't use your own cash if you can get others to give it to you for cheap. Google is playing chess. OpenAI is playing connect four.

Baozicriollothroaway

Dude those 38 INTC and 205 NVDA calls are done for it, <60 DTE, he needs a before-Christmas miracle to save that. 

KittyLover-7

How long before we get a gov x NVDA 1T deal

IcyCap6870

NVDA will hit 200 by early 2026

Far_Pen3186

Exactly. There is no bubble. NVDA earning are based on circular spending, so be careful

hiphopanonomos

People buying btc at 80k+ hoping for the same returns of people who bought at 1k is like people buying NVDA at $180 expecting the same returns as people who bought at $10

E39_CBX

Do my March NVDA 200c have any chance

Vlisa

Anyone know where I can listen to NVDA's earnings call? Was busy at the time and Yahoo removes them after a few days. Googling just returns a bunch of shitty finance Youtubers. Appreciate it.

BacktestAndChill

In those terms my investing experience is a bit limited(about a decade give or take) but I turned into a finance geek once I got into all of this. I love doing the research into companies, reading the historical accounts of various investors and traders, designing portfolio models and strategies, all that good stuff. Part of why I picked data science as a second degree after engineering was to enhance my existing skills here.  My co-workers know the market is having a rough time whenever I'm getting absolutely *giddy* because I tend to be making more money in downturns. This past week for example I was playing both sides of NVDA earnings using NASDAQ futures. It was a good time.  Anyway tl;dr if the market goes into a major downturn I'll be pretty excited in all likelihood. 

Ok-Finger-7720

Hey CHATGPT, how did this random Redditor nuke his account? Bro, this guy didn’t lose $27k in a month on normal stocks — he was clearly nuking himself with Robinhood’s 24/7 prediction markets (basically casino bets dressed up as finance). The clues: 1. The chart shape Straight down in sudden cliffs + weird spikes = gambling contracts going to zero, not stocks. 2. His confession He literally says he trades “volatile/hype tech” and got sucked into prediction markets while bored and recovering from surgery. That’s peak degenerate behaviour. 3. His buying power $10,100 buying power with only $10,330 portfolio value = he sold everything at losses and the cash just settled. That happens when you place tons of rapid-fire bets. 4. Speed of loss You don’t lose 72% in one month with NVDA. You lose it by YOLOing prediction contracts and weekly options. Verdict: He wasn’t investing — he was basically pressing the “roulette button” on Robinhood until his money evaporated.

Leroy--Brown

People read comments and assume my strategy is to put 100% in NVDA. 60% VTI. 20% defensive strategy. 20% growth strategy. Oh no! A portion of my fund dropped while I'm still in the accumulation phase! What will I do? Buy more.

Iunatic

What if NVIDIA is just hiring third world people as labellers and the GPUs are all a farce? NVDA to 50T

Overall-Fold-9720

I mean, having all the money it would have wasted to ask a ~~slave~~ skilled data reviewer, to analyze tens of emojis from thoudands of subreddits ... Ain't no money for that. One more trillion to NVDA

Sandvicheater

Credit where credit is due NVDA and MSFT has the right idea not betting all their chips on the OpenAI horse both companies have been diversifying away and investing in OpenAI's competitors

WorkSucks135

Google doesn't have to buy NVDA's chips, they have their own, much cheaper and efficient chips.

Dry-Fold-9664

Ive gotten soo much shit done over the past few days Ive almost forgot how much Ive lost the past few weeks. Two oil changes knocked out, engine and cabin air filter replaced, truck completely cleaned up. Fixed a dent and a fucked to wheel. Great distractions from my shit NVDA calls.

mustang_67_2k8

Soooo puts on NVDA?

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANB Members checking in

ai-moderator

#TLDR --- Ticker: SOUN Direction: Up Prognosis: The dip is a gift. Big money is buying while retail is panic selling. This is the future of AI and the CEO was mentored by NVDA's CEO. Load up for the long term. Price Target: $30 by EOY 2026, triple digits eventually. Author's State: A tad high.

daviddjg0033

I bought shares -it was one of my first investments. I have added to the position. Because I owned NVDA at times I would trim. After a spectacular ER a year ago I sold Lennar to buy more Broadcom. I am biased- I even wrote a post long ago where I bought call options on the stock when it had a 3% yield. Lately I sold into strength. If you are playing with house money you care less. I will always keep shares I bought long ago. My first positions were TSLA, AVGO, LEN, BRK and bitcoin. I own no Tesla right now but I own it through ETFs.

KittenMcnugget123

NVDA is, but Burry was talking about the buyers. Same applies though, if you arent buying the best chips you fall behind. Then again, if they aren't generating much revenue and the cap ex outlay is huge, maybe thats not as a big a deal as people think. Hard to say right now obviously

ArtistJazzlike7303

all i know about these certain companies is there play in future technologies. IMSR and SMR have a part in the development thorium reactors GOOGL since they have a part in the development of fusion energy IONQ and MSFT due to their play in quantum computing  BTC for a crypto investment and solana because i want to invest in the meme coin market but I don't want the huge risk that comes with it. CVX to invest in hydrogen becoming a potential fuel source. GXO due to their play in logistics and  I felt like investing in a logistics company with tariffs going on could be a wise choice. PLTR and NVDA due to their play in AI im investing for the long term and i feel like investing in these companies working towards future technologies would be a wise decision, and honestly i would love to speak to a professional about this to get their insight so i could improve.

SamtenLhari3

That is why I am sold on NVDA. It is a great company. You invest in the people — not the product.

pressurechicken

NVDA is still up over 30% YTD lol.

fn_gpsguy

I wouldn’t pick NVDA, since it’s the top holding in VOO at about 8% of assets.

Mountain_Snow3613

Single most outlandish company valuation in the market ever? Tesla p/e is 261, palantir is a 362 p/e. NVDA current p/e is a 44 and they're growing net profit at 65% yoy. Apple is at 37 p/e and they're growing net profit at 9% yoy. Not that outlandish when you really lay the numbers out.

skilliard7

>Based on the fact that their chips from 3 years ago are still being utilized to 100% capacity due to NVDA software integration (at least according to them), I would say this worry is probably overstated. Older chips like A100's and H100s are leasing for more than 50% less than they leased for a year ago

frogboyjr

just buy any NVDA dip, always works

RoyalFail6

I need NVDA back around 204 to see profits, so I’m pumped 🥴

zztop610

NVDA to the mooooooon baby

KittenMcnugget123

The only thing is that they arent useless after that point, so how big that depreciation issue is is debateable. NVDA said their chips from 2022 are still running at full capacity now because of its CUDA software. So who knows for sure, but Burry is obviously contending its too long and is artificially boosting earnings for the mag 7

RoyalFail6

NVDA got the government contracts on lock, so buy both NVDA and GOOGL 😪

RoyalFail6

My NVDA 200c bags are so heavy 🫩

niofalpha

I was drunk day trading Friday and thought my NVDA calls were 10x as much as they were Well I guess I’m making a few grand…

E39_CBX

Believe it or not, NVDA 220 EOY

ThatGuyFrmBoston

AI Bubble is cancelled .. CALLS on NVDA & AMD

LargeSinkholesInNYC

NBIS is a falling knife. I really would buy NVDA instead at this moment.

kwijibokwijibo

NVDA and google are the shovel sellers of the gold rush They're saying the gold itself isn't worth as much as expected That said, I fucking love my shovel stocks. They're keeping my portfolio afloat

zztop610

Let’s print NVDA

Machine8851

NVDA is bound to rally soon

Competitive_Crow_802

Some people would blame NVDA's max pain from the option chain which was $180.  

virtual_adam

This article is from Wednesday. It didn’t help OKLO, NVDA and other break even for the week. I think it’s still YMMV of any money coming their way as a result

LargeSinkholesInNYC

Don't invest in them until NVDA makes an all-time high. Momentum is a powerful thing.

ixvst01

It most certainly affects stocks. Who's going to buy the products and services from companies if everyone is unemployed and has no money? AI is short term bullish. I'm heavily invested in SOXX, QQQ, AMD, NVDA, etc. like everyone else here. I make money when AI drives the market up, but I also think long term if AI reaches a point where it can replace most jobs, then it could be devastating for the stock market. Consumers with no job have no money to buy stuff, which means companies have no customers and earnings go down.

brucekeller

!banbet NVDA 222.22 666h

ArganMurker

you are Legend ! look at bitcoin - NVDA going to Short Squeeze come 4AM Monday !

brucekeller

!banbet NVDA 240 42.069d

barelysmash

I’m with you. I sold 1/2 my tech stocks on Halloween. Bought 2x inverse shorts on NVDA and $170 11/28 puts at $1.4. Earnings came out Wednesday and it jumped to $197 — my puts crashed. Bought more puts at $0.37 Thursday morning. $197 collapsed to $173. Sold puts Friday morning for $4.22 plus the inverse shorts and immediately bought NVDA at $173.5.

Usual_Nerve3503

NVDA/Google are raking in cash. Whats your thesis here, short Google? I mean, by all means I hope the shit "were AI!" crap companies with absurd valuations get destroyed. But the big players? Filthy with profit from the AI boom. And I am not betting that extremely smart people moving billions of dollars around in google with investments don't know what theyre doing - I ain't going short on NVDA/GOOG.

Goldenstate_Korea

The problem is not NVDA. It is the weak companies borrowing so much to over their limits to build Ai infrastructure. Once these weak companies run out of money, we could see credit issues

Wooden-Broccoli-913

If you’re referring to Vertiv, it has a higher PE than NVDA. Don’t think anyone is sleeping on the picks and shovels here

Usual_Nerve3503

NVDA beat earnings. Google beat earnings. It's already beating the "returns that shareholders were expecting"

Usual_Nerve3503

Berkshire Buffet & his crew know more then people on WSB. Way more. Google smashed earnings. NVDA beat earnings (WHICH WERE IN-FUCKING-SANE TO BEGIN WITH). If google says the demand is there, you better believe I'm buying every NVDA share I can. Doubling theyre AI capacity every 6 months? Thats so many data centers, an insane amount of NVDA Blackwell chips. It doesn't matter if "AI isn't making money" like wallstreet is crying (not going to be true, google aint doing this for shits and grins) -- NVDA is making a FUCKLOAD of MONNEEEYYYYYYY

Turbulent_Shame_3969

Lol, NVDA is getting paid with IOUs ( "accounts receivable "). Of course they have high demand! What could possibly go wrong?

0K-go

I just got a targeted ad advising me to sell NVDA and AMZN. So uncomfortable. This is what I get for using Reddit’s app instead of an alternate to filter out the ads.

Shot-Ground-9898

People saying bubble are just regarded when companies like meta, AMZN and googl are trading at super reasonable pe. I mean lol May META. Does this shit look like s bubble? Hell no. Big money just puts this sht on airwaves to drive the narrative. NVDA is going to hope on edge computing in the future this company is going to be a monster 

option-trader

I see the Cisco meme has moved from NVDA to GOOG. NVDA's ttm p/e at 45 is closer to Cisco's 190 than GOOG, but both are not even close to Cisco's 2000 price. I wouldn't mind seeing NVDA at $767 or GOOG at $1,924 per share just to reach Cisco's 190 p/e.

lipmanz

NVDA never even got close to CSCOs dotcom 400 PE ratio…some bubble

E39_CBX

Is this even a big deal or more taco shit? NVDA even going to react?

KittyLover-7

Me and my calls patiently waiting for that mango NVDA China approval Get a move on grandpa, we ain’t got all year

WorkingGuy99percent

It’s not about useful life, it’s about depreciation. Basically the chips loose 20% of original cost per year, so a five year to zero value. Meaning they can’t sell it for any money. Makes their assets versus liabilities look good if 5 years to zero instead of less. They can still earn money for up to 10 years, supposedly. However, they are starting to say that the rate to zero is far less than 5 years, and maybe as short as 2 years if performance gains are 1000x every year. Basically the overall value of companies assets could be greatly reduced. All these companies spending billions on chips may not be able to keep spending I guess, so their value is less because their assets are worth less quicker and I guess they are saying spending in NVDA chips will slow. I don’t buy the affect to NVDA though…as their chips start going into cars and robots, they will keep selling billions of dollars worth of GPUs.

0o0o0o0o0o0z

> It’s not companies, it’s sentiment in the US. ^ ----- 100% this. I had made a bet that PLNT, NVDA would crush earnings and I was right, but it still didnt pay off -- *INSERT SADFACE*

moldyjellybean

Generally this is true but I’ve been doing that. Every OpenAI/NVDA announcement has been a pump and dump. Look at ORCL, AMD, AMZN, NOK, QCOM and every other announcement every time it’s like a 30% pop which isn’t sustainable.

dokka_doc

MSFT's yearly EPS is $13.70. Their share price is $472. They're trading at a multiple of 34.5x EPS. MSFT's PE is 33.6. NVDA, which some people are starting to consider overvalued and fueling a bubble, has a PE of 44.3. PLTR's yearly EPS is $0.47. Their share price is 155. They're trading at a multiple of 330x EPS. PLTR's PE is 360. PLTR is wildly overvalued, unless they can deliver world changing growth. [https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/) [https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/) [https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/PLTR/palantir-technologies/eps-earnings-per-share-diluted](https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/PLTR/palantir-technologies/eps-earnings-per-share-diluted) [https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/MSFT/microsoft/eps-earnings-per-share-diluted](https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/MSFT/microsoft/eps-earnings-per-share-diluted)

E39_CBX

NVDA please. PLEASE

josephgunit

AVGO will take NVDA’s place

Riskismyapellido

ok. Then let's take 10 years. NVDA is a crazy outlier. Just like BTC. But in another note: It doesn't matter that NVDA outperformed BTC. BOTH were/are tremendous investments. So just do both: My conviction plays over the medium to long term horizon (12-36 Months): GOOG, RBRK, ZS, TXN, BTC

______deleted__

>I’m not arguing Google doesn’t make money. I think we’re on the same page, the rest doesn’t really matter because all I care is they make money now and invest in their future to make more money later. If you think it’s dumb shit, I hope more people think that way too. Bad sentiment is good for a good company, prevents large volatility swings and bubbles like we see in NVDA, TSLA, AMD, etc. I don’t see investing into dumb shit that will be profitable in the future as poor money management for a company that has to keep up with the latest tech. To you, it’s AI slop, to the younger kids, it’s new and interesting - it’ll get clicks, get ad money. That’s all that matters.

Fentois-42069-Beauf

VIX expiration and NVDA volatility draining out of the options.