Reddit Posts
Oi, get on the car. The market took a sharp dive.
YOLO (~20k in puts): If $TSLA hits $200 by Friday I donate $5.5k to Special Olympics
Investing in AI as opposed to a specific company
Everything there is to know in premarket 29.01. Including positioning analysis of GOOGL NVDA and AAPL
The AI innovation storm has swept through CES 2024, The annual CES has become a Tech-Stage
Who should replace Tesla as the newest member of the “Mag 7?”
I present you a $27K NVDA yolo - I seem to offended quite a few NVDA bears and haters with my gains post for earlier 😂😂
NVDA share gains from last week … overall $35K ish in gains to date. Bears are you winning yet? Idgaf actually - I realized my gains
Any advice on what to YOLO on this week?
Would it be a bad idea investing in the same investments in a Roth IRA and a regular brokerage account?
$6k profit this week from flipping NVDA calls within 1st hour after open.
$6k profit this week from flipping NVDA calls within 1st hour after open.
Strangely the US wants to Intel to succeed but their price does not look that way
Seeking Advice on NVDA Investment Dilemma - Diversify, hedge or ride the wave?
Question for people who profited from both TSLA and NVDA ?
Down the rabbit hole we go. What should I yolo my last on?
Damnit to heck, Cramer just recommended NVDA
CES 2024: AI field still have a large potential
I believe them puts on NVDA and AMD I guess?
My top suggested post is a 6 year old NVDA WSB post
KitKat Canada AI Ad? I’m Bullish on NVDA, AMD, & SMCI
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Nancy Pelosi Made $500,000 From Her Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) Bet, Doubling Her Annual Government Salary In Just 2 Months
Anyone buy 0DE Spy Puts to hedge their weekly NVDA calls?
Follow up from my previous post! Still holding NVDA and up a 105% gain
Anyone get frustration with themselves not buy more Magnificent 7 ?
How much longer is NVDA going to run?
I'm 100% certain that if I buy SPY calls expiring 02/15/23, the market will reverse direction.
If NVDA keeps pumping 2-3% a day, it’ll be the biggest company on earth by end of February
Part two- been practicing option trading (80 % success rate)
PART 2 Been practicing option trading for a year
NVDA bears - TY ❤️ for your sacrifice. $11.5K in gains (+44%). Apologies in advance for upsetting people that don’t know how to take profit.
Jensen Huang Illustrating How big of Dump NVDA Stock will take
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
$PYPL Ad: Six innovations that will revolutionize commerce
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
Ticker that is 40% shorted, beaten down, 100M float, and runs with NVDA
All in on AI today over 40% short and bottomed for reversal!!!!!
💰Going Long on TSM: The Unseen Goldmine Behind NVDA’s Success💰
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
TSM - I was right, kind of, and i think there's still more value here.
Update: NVDA yolo - I’m gunna keep holding. Probably sell some covered calls. For the NVDA bears, the color you are seeing is called “green”
Am I too late for NVDA calls?
Everything you need to know about AMD in 8 bullet points, before the ER.
How can NVDA be "ignored" when it is a $1.5Trillion company?
How I am Positioning myself in the Markets going into 2024
Mentions
The UAE and their neighbors will now be buying a lot of NVDA chips for their data centers. I’m sure the plans for the year are intact.
NVDA holders will gladly take up arms that is not a fight you wanna pick
how do you bears short NVDA, the only AI chip making company that matters?
My dumbass is just waking up now. Missed the NVDA pump smh
NVDA will be back to $175 by tomorrow and you'll feel quite stupid
Damn made alot but just went short... Chat GPT Said dealers will have to sell gamma, I think we dip hard soon due to the JPM Collar trade. Gonna lose my ban bet yet again even though I made 18k on my NVDA calls...
Just Buy NVDA Calls
Ummmmm… most young AI companies providing LLMs (OpenAI, Anthropic) have NO profit margin. They are burning through cash on each user to build market share. This is also something you can just Google. NVDA makes hardware and is quite different. Microsoft is not and AI company. It sells some AI services on its cloud, which also handles e-commerce and anything else you can think of. Your examples of companies of large profit margins are the either not AI companies or one cherry picked examples. Why not instead talk about OpenAI and crew’ money burning and what impact oil has on that.
For my gravestone "He sold some PLTR and NVDA above $200 and MU at $460." Please don't engrave anything about all of my terrible trades.
NVDA is like an AI ETF at this point
NVDA like Oprah to keep the AI circle jerk alive. You get a $2B investment, you get a $2B investment!
If you’re not shorting this you’re regarded, NVDA did the same with Nebius and look where NBIS is at now 😆
I just need NVDA up 10% is that so much to ask?
“NVDA 60% net margin, 34 trailing p/e, already priced in years of gains in advance during the standard bull market” Walmart is sitting at 2% net margin, 45 trailing p/e. While NVDA has only 20 forward p/e, Walmart has 43, forward means a year from last earnings report. And Walmart is still running. Could you tell me how many years (centuries?) of gains are priced in Walmart and pretty much anything like Costco, Mcdonalds, Caterpillar?
I think I read NVDA parodies the S&P on earnings now so I wouldn't think it will drop too much more than SPY
MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, pretty much all Mag 7 stocks at ridiculously low P/E ratios. Mark my words if you buy today a year from now you will literally double your money.
ngl NVDA looks like its about to roll over and go to 100
I think the overall market has another 5-10% correction to price in the macro environment (extended war and increase in fuel costs impacting margins) and deflate inflated valuations. If you are selling now, I think you may be late and may be selling closer to the bottom than the top. I took profit and actualized 1 small loser about a week after the US involvement in the war. Global instability is a headwind. Held onto a heavy OXY position bought between 38-44 a share for a bit longer… 40$ a barrel is below Saudi production cost… 60 is break even. Hate that war made that trade play out… Strategic positioning… Increased and adding to a position in a CEF (closed end fund- BDJ) that pays a 0.0619 dividend per share per month set on drip (dividend reinvest). As share price declines, the dividend buys more shares. Dividend is fixed, so share price decline is a positive (cheaper share price = more shares every month). Have 20% cash position to buy my favorite blue chips at a discount. While the war is the main catalyst, certain areas of the market were overbought / inflated and due for a correction. Looking to dca into NVDA and Amazon. Just my opinion… If you sell now, I think you are reacting late. When retail get to the point of selling to preserve capital (fear) it is a signal we are closer to the bottom than the top. If you don’t need the money, just sit on it. Certain asset classes will see the impact of increased energy prices / shipping costs in the next two quarters. Consumer non discretionary will be impacted by decreased margins due to increased cost of transport (increased oil prices) and targets will miss. All companies will see margin compression. Earnings will miss or hit low end of targets. I think we are entering an inflationary environment. 6-9 months unless the Middle East conflict ends tomorrow. Then only 2 quarters / 4-6 months. I also think capital will move into crypto and crypto adjacent companies. NFA and I don’t know shiz. Just sharing a perspective i haven’t seen anyone posting about. Good luck 🍀 All that said, the entire market could crash tomorrow and never recover…. But that bet has never worked out for anyone ever in the long term.
With a forward p/e <20, 65% revenue growth and 50% earnings growth, more NVDA right now
With an elevated VIX (currently around 30), for a bullish bet, how further dated and what moneyless (ITM, ATM, OTM) offer the least risk to get VIX crushed, yet still decent leverage? I get IV crush for events like earnings. It's harder for me to gauge with overall VIX and how it affects everything. I've heard stuff like during the covid crash, where people bought bullish single stock LEAPs near the bottom, but still barely made any money because of the associated VIX crush I'm asking not for index level, but for single stock, liquid megacap names, like say $NVDA. I want to place a leveraged option bet eventually it will rise. My understanding is the further OTM, the more you pay for volatility with more extrinsic value. Going deeper ITM since you have more intrinsic value, but less leverage. Is 6 months dated out, ATM, or even slightly OTM offer the best value for the money with high VIX? .
NVDA isn’t even moving as much as the index yet. They waiting to use it to push higher I wonder…?
If I had more money I’d full port NVDA and GOOGL rn
Extremely rare NVDA puts.
MSFT, META, NVDA (That shit haven't moved in months despite the insane results), MU, V and MELI
I see your QQQ puts, and raise you NVDA puts, June 2026
The fact OP used LLMs is IMHO an additional factor to stay long NVDA.
Nasdaq is average 30-35 PE. RDDT current PE is 47. Even if you look at future revenue, a fair price would be around $130. I rather put my money on NVDA, GOOGL, META or MSFT at their current price levels and not on RDDT. I do love the company and held it in the past, but at this point, there are just better options out there for better potential upside, imho.
that guy who bought NVDA $115p a while back suddenly doesnt seem so regarded
I started out with SCHD ($14K) and JEPI ($6K), did a little research and realized VOO would be a great growth stock, NVDA and MU gives me tech exposure, LMT (possibly good with the current geopolitical situation), VXUS covers international and O for real estate. Basically I was looking to add structured diversity. The amounts are allocated based on when I have $$ available and what I feel is a good dip. I’m still learning…
#NVDA GANG Members still here not in fear
NVDA puts after the first fake pump.
NVDA is going to earn $15+ per share in FY 2029 (which is basically 2028 because Of their fiscal year) unless there is an apocalypse. If their PE drops to 30 that is $450. Seems like a no brainer to buy at these levels.
MU just getting absolutely liquidated, after posting the kind of earnings and guidance that NVDA posted in 2023
the “the ‘ai play is dead cause of oil’ guy hasnt ever read an income statement” guy clearly has never traded NVDA earnings markets threw a fit when they announced margins going from 75.1 to 75.0
Something tells me going full port into NVDA was not the best idea.
Imagine how fast and far stocks like NVDA and SPY will go after a real end to this Trump nonsense. Geez. I am thinking like up 300 on SPY, easy. Of course Trump could nuke Iran and it’s the complete opposite.
NVDA about to lose the 3 trillion market cap 🧢
CVNA - Carvana - Forward P/E = 28.72 NVDA - NVIDIA Corp - Forward P/E = 14.86 Wall St logic. Selling used cars is a far more elite business than making the chips every AI company on earth is fighting over.
Why is NVDA being neglected lol
Yes, it is an excellent entry or top-off point for NVDA right now! I’m so tempted to buy more shares but am over-allocated already there.
I knew I would have bout NVDA back then, I mean I am up 3000% but I would rather be up 412,825%!
Too many to list, but the ones I see with the most potential right now for the price they are at: MSFT, RKLB, NVDA, ELF, EME, SOFI, and CELH. Others who are not quite there yet IMO and still have room to fall before they bottom, but on my watchlist: GOOGL, AXP, and AMD
I’ve been waiting for NVDA to go below 163 for a long time and here we go.
NVDA sells hardware Chips. When margins are that great you will have 100 Companies copying your business model.
cmon NVDA, OpenAI, Anthropic, MSFT, AMZN do an “AI deal” with MU *pokes stick*
He is retarded but so are you, NVDA is printing 60% net margin while trading at a 34 trailing p/e with 4T market cap. I'm a permabol but it's pretty clear this is your first bear market, if it's not then you're obviously too retarded to realize the average tech stock already priced in years of gains in advance during the standard bull market. AI ain't dead, but it's still overvalued in a bear market. Overvalued stocks going up eternally only happens in a safe bull market with no volatility, which is not until that retard's term ends or mid terms put a leash on his retarded plans. Now everyone is trimming and will keep trimming until all the situations resolves itself, or something new comes out to prop the market up.
Dude, it’s more tricky than this. The AI has been forming a top for 10 months now. Zoom out the NVDA chart.
6440 Will be retested AGAIN: (1) With SPX closed 0.4% lower, VIX dropped too, that is a signal of local bottom. (2) plus, both DJI, $NVDA, $MSFT, are sitting on a multi-year support zone, which SHOULD stop the crash scenario--for this week.
If someone knows something there would have been a sharp inflow from specific sources, which would make institutional traders and Wall St immediately jump back in to follow. This happened in 2020 before the printer started, this happened in 2023 when retail was still selling while whales and Wall St were jumping into NVDA despite all the negative economic data. Institutional traders, whales, global funds, and Wall St are still net selling, only thing they're pricing in is the energy crisis worsening from oil eventually hitting $200.
"MSFT NVDA AAPL AMZN are that much different from a month ago." 3 of those 4 megacaps are down between 7-10% in the month you're referring to. "They are at similar levels." You're an idiot. Love seeing ppl like you in the market.
They are not down that bad, yes NVDA is down from 180 to 165, guess what it has been at 180 for months with ATH at 210. MSFT was at 380 last month, it's now at 360, AMZN being down 3.5% is a lot? It's higher now than its earnings day price! They are at similar levels, AMD is practically unchanged, semis in general are strong. If SPY wasn't down 10% you wouldn't even notice this up/downs
It is, I'm so far down on RKLB and UUU and even SPY, HOOD, and NVDA. luckily in a position to hold for the long run but it's so hard to watch in the meantime. You do have great pointers - I was just a little late seeing your post this time around and got in at 2.55 a little late today. We'll see tomorrow if I get out or get lucky.
MSFT is down 10% in the last month. NVDA is down 10% in the last month. AMZN is down 3.5% in the last month. What on earth are you gibbering on about?
Is there any point in buying NVDA or is it going to zero? https://preview.redd.it/75cqd9ao49sg1.jpeg?width=228&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=827f06ea37b4ef5f554ea353531e87405c4ff56a
SPY down almost 10%, QQQ 13%. Yet I don't feel that bad, compared to November (actual panic moment). NVDA earnings, we open +2.3% and end up -2.3%, 4.5% intraday swing, no possibility of recovering, the bubble has popped. That was the exact bottom btw. Maybe it's because tech started to dump early, but it's not like MSFT NVDA AAPL AMZN are that much different from a month ago. META MU GOOGL got kinda fuk the last week yes, but overall it doesn't feel "that bad" to me. Stonks that were already beaten down have practically bottomed, maybe we keep the downtrend but not for long, bounce from 610-620 and then we'll see the future.
You can't buy a loaf of bread with NVDA. And you still need bread even if you don't have a job.
Tesla have been bearish for years moron haha. NVDA is up 10x since late 2021 while Tesla is down 20%. From 2023 even worse
Those picks may be particularly volatile. In comparison TSM, INTC, and NVDA did not fall as much.
I suggest that you not invest in the market if you can’t watch a stock that you bought high, fall. Remember that guy that sold NVDA at $89 last year.
I sold at around ~407 in early March after reading some article about NVDA no longer being a major customer of Micron. At first, I was so disappointed that I missed the bull rally over 450. But now... I feel like I dodged a bullet. I want to reenter a position given it's record low P/E, but I don't know how long I should wait
Right now, I'm not buying yet, I'm trimming slightly but mainly holding. I'm about 40% or so in safer equities. I had Claude Code churn for half an hour doing research, maybe someone else finds this helpful. This is the chapter analysing current situation and most likely scenarios (bear/bull/base): ## PART 3: THE THREE SCENARIOS ### BEAR CASE (20% probability) **What happens**: April 6 deadline passes without a deal. Trump follows through on threats and strikes Iran's energy infrastructure. Iran retaliates by escalating Strait closure, activating Hezbollah and Houthis more aggressively, and potentially striking US military bases or allied oil facilities in the Gulf. The conflict drags into 2027. Oil hits $150-200/barrel. **Market impact**: - S&P 500 enters bear market territory (-20%+ from highs), bottoming around 4,600-4,800 - Full recession in H2 2026 (unemployment rises above 5%) - Fed forced to choose between cutting rates (to save economy) and hiking (to fight inflation) — likely freezes, worst of both worlds - Tech/AI stocks drop another 15-25% from current levels as consumer spending collapses and energy costs eat into data center profitability - Gold potentially retests and exceeds $5,279 high, silver could hit $90+ - Energy stocks and defense stocks surge further - Tanker rates stay at record levels indefinitely **What this means for your AI positions**: NVDA, GOOG, AMD, TSM all take another major leg down. BUT — and this is crucial — the underlying businesses don't break. AI demand is enterprise/government, not consumer. The capex commitments from Meta ($27B Nebius deal), Microsoft, etc. don't get cancelled because oil is $150. The stocks just get cheaper while the businesses keep growing. This is the "painful but ultimately an opportunity" scenario for a long-term AI bull. **What triggers this**: Trump following through on April 6 threats. Iran launching a major retaliatory strike. Houthi blockade of Bab al-Mandeb. Chinese intervention on Iran's side. --- ### BULL CASE (25% probability) **What happens**: Pakistan-mediated talks produce a framework by mid-April. Iran agrees to reopen Strait of Hormuz in exchange for a ceasefire, partial sanctions relief, and face-saving concessions. Both sides claim victory. Hormuz partially reopens within weeks, fully by June. Oil drops back to $75-85 by summer. **Market impact**: - S&P 500 rips 10-15% higher in weeks (massive short-covering rally) - Nasdaq and tech lead the recovery — they always bounce hardest from oversold conditions - AI stocks could recover most or all of their war losses within 2-3 months - Gold/silver sell off 15-20% (safe haven trade unwinds) - Tanker stocks (STNG) crash 30-40% as rates normalize - Defense stocks give back some gains but retain elevated spending levels (European rearmament is structural) - The "AI bubble is over" narrative dies — everyone remembers the AI buildout is real **What this means for your AI positions**: NVDA back toward $200+, GOOG toward $300+, AMD toward $230+. The beaten-down stocks bounce hardest. This is the scenario where you kick yourself for selling too much at the bottom. NBIS, PLTR, and other high-beta names could rally 30-50%. **What triggers this**: Iran's government, under severe economic and military pressure, accepts a face-saving deal. Trump needs a "win" before the political cost of oil prices gets too high. Both sides have incentive to find an off-ramp. Pakistan/Turkey/Egypt provide diplomatic cover. --- ### MOST LIKELY CASE (55% probability) **What happens**: A prolonged, messy, inconsistent de-escalation over 2-4 months. Here's how it plays out: 1. **April 6 deadline gets extended AGAIN** (most likely). Trump has already extended twice. He doesn't actually want to bomb power plants — the humanitarian optics are terrible and it would guarantee Iranian escalation. He's using the threat as leverage. 2. **Strait of Hormuz partially reopens** through a combination of Iran's "tollbooth" system expanding (more countries get access) and quiet diplomatic agreements. Oil doesn't drop to pre-war levels but gradually declines from $115 to $85-95 by June/July as supply partially normalizes. 3. **No formal peace deal, but an informal ceasefire** emerges by late May/June. Air strikes taper off. Iran saves face by claiming it defended itself. Trump claims he destroyed Iran's nuclear program (partially true). Neither side achieves maximum goals. 4. **The economy avoids recession** but growth slows. GDP growth drops from ~2.5% to ~1.5-2.0%. Unemployment drifts up slightly. Inflation bumps to 3.5-4% temporarily but doesn't become embedded because the Fed holds firm and energy prices gradually decline. 5. **Markets grind back slowly**. Not the V-shaped recovery of the bull case, but a steady climb back. S&P 500 reaches new highs by Q4 2026 or Q1 2027. **What this means for your AI positions**: - **Near-term (April-May)**: Continued volatility. Stocks trade on headlines, not fundamentals. Every Trump tweet moves markets 1-2%. AI stocks stay choppy but stop making new lows. - **Medium-term (June-August)**: As oil gradually drops and Hormuz partially reopens, the "stagflation" narrative fades. Tech/AI starts to outperform again as the market remembers these companies are growing 30-200% per year. - **Longer-term (Q4 2026)**: AI capex cycle is intact. Meta, Microsoft, Google, Amazon are not cancelling their AI buildout plans over a temporary oil shock. NVDA, ASML, MU, AMD all re-rate higher as the war fog clears. Your positions recover. **Key supporting evidence for this scenario**: - CNN analysis (March 27): "The dynamics suggest the war is likely to end with a whimper not a bang" - Bloomberg (March 25): "Markets bracing for Iran war shock are ignoring resilient US economy" - Analyst consensus: 25% chance ends by May, 45% settles fall 2026, 35% extends into 2027 - Historical pattern: Average correction recovers in ~4 months once it bottoms. Average war-related selloff recovers within 6-12 months. - Trump is transactional — he wants a deal, not a prolonged war. The economic cost to his base (gas prices) is a political liability.
i'm in a similar boat as you. NVDA was a kingly pick to make a few years ago
Glad I sold all my NVDA shares couple of weeks ago…from now on only SPY puts
NVDA hanging onto September lows by like five cents, and if it goes any lower, it’s back to the lows of July
I blame NVDA earnings. But seriously, this all started right after their idiotic drop.
This is all because NVDA made the entire earnings month look bad. Goes to show you, don't try hard.
Smart money legit salivating at the thought of retail panic selling NVDA so they can load up for cheap
Remember when NVDA was a 5T company? KWAAAAAAAAAB
NVDA working on losing the 3Trillion market cap
NVDA red is dumb bro wtf, they have trillion rev pipeline
Like, I'm surprised bulls seeing that overnight low liquidity pump on literally nothing, after seeing the weak ass TACO pumps last week, thought it would actually hold during regular session. No one gives a shit about how cHeAp $MSFT/$NVDA/$META has become fundamentally. IT'S ALL FUCKING VIBES.
About 10% mostly due to NVDA and AMZN decline
NVDA off 1 trillion cap off ATH
NVDA hasn’t been this low since July 14th. Thanks Donald, you dumb fuck.
Crazy thing is NVDA is just STARTING to break down. Can you imagine if it actually breaks what the market is gonna do?
Why did I buy NVDA calls last week when it was $169
Time to buy is very near guys when retarded grumpy old bears say this time its different . It never is. And companies like MSFT,NVDA and Meta are cheap on a forward basis unless you think their earnings will be terrible in 2027.
Oops, one of ai bubble neck popped up? Lol. 1. Nbis - former russian roots or not former ? No im sorry. 2. Apld. Qs why NVDA pulled off their investment? So must be useless as f..k
Spotted the dude who missed NVDA, MU, and SNDK. Lmfao.
The 10y is telling the truth here. But what's wild is how differently U.S social media is processing this compared to the actual market signals. I track social sentiment across a bunch of platforms and the divergence right now is massive — retail sentiment on US equities is sitting around 86% bullish on names like NVDA even while VIX is above 30 and the 10y is screaming risk premium. Consumer confidence just printed 53.3, lowest in over a year. The crowd is still buying the dip on muscle memory from 2023-2024. Meanwhile oil is above $100 with the H Strait still effectively closed, and the bond market is pricing in a sustained conflict that equities haven't accepted yet. That gap has to close one way or the other — either the war ends fast and bonds are wrong, or equities smash down hard.
AAPL going to overtake NVDA in mkt cap again?
Shit bros is NVDA cooked?
Shit bros is NVDA cooked?
Hyperscalers and NVDA getting destroyed. There must be leaks that reduction in CAPEX can be coming
This market won’t bounce back until NVDA takes the initiative
NVDA fighting 166