NVDA

JZ4012

new NVDA holders must feel like the dude sitting in the cuck chair watching AMD and MU skyrocket lmao

mathaiser

Potential 5-10 years? NVDA is valued at 89 quarters, that’s 22.5 years of record profits in a row right now. It’s insane.

InspectorDabbit_

Cmon, NVDA Scoot on down to 200 while the rest of the sector goes +20% I wanna feel the desperation and taste the tears of NVDA bols

TipEmpty8429

For smarter people than me, where is the money coming from for MU? I think yesterday market cap was increasing around 20 billion each trading hour. Is money coming from other stocks? Is it retail? Is it institutions? Are people shifting money from NVDA?

Accurate-Exchange298

Fully agree. In the meanwhile, I do have some math around the IV crush that happens around earnings on a long call that I posted a while back, and actual model around NVDA long straddle that I tracked for three days to see what the profit zone would be after the earning. The models show the actual $ conrtibution frm Delta and Vega to the final position based on your assumption of where it will land. Granted that both these are debit trades, and not relevant to what you are asking, conceptually the math is still around IV , Delta etc and BSM should work on these. I will revert back to you after. Please look at this blog and see the IV crush before earnings on the long call . For full disclosure, I have my own app that I use to manage my trades [https://myoptiondiary.com/blog/iv-crush-trap](https://myoptiondiary.com/blog/iv-crush-trap) I cannot paste any excel files here so it you DM me, I would be able to share the excel spreadsheets via e-mail around the NVDA Straddle. After three days of tracking NVDA , post earnings the math showed this: NVDA pre-print: $221.55 NVDA post-print: $220.77 (-0.35%) Implied move was 5.9% Realized move: under 1% P&L by entry day (1 contract): the BSM model was used to predict profit zones for each day & move in the stock after the earnings. 5/18 (225 strike, $17 paid → $8.20): -$880 (-52%) 5/19 (220 strike, $15 paid → $6.55): -$845 (-56%) 5/20 (220 strike, $13.10 paid → $6.55): -$655 (-50%) Note: 5/19 lost more in percentage terms than 5/18 despite costing less. The 225 strike had intrinsic value buffering it; the ATM 220 took the full crush. In the meanwhile, I will see if the app can be modified / enhanced for puts sold to validate how things works for puts sold.

InspectorDabbit_

Because everyone is interested in stocks that can actually grow, NVDA a slow plodding mess right now But, hey, JEPI and JEPQ thank you for buying their covered calls

Flashy_Lie3912

why NVDA is a whore?

Rocky_The_Champion

May 15 “MU looks like it wants lower, may go below $700”. May 18: MU trades below 700. Trade executed perfectly. Today, MU look like it wants 1000; calling blow off the top due to signals. 50% increase in volume, UBS assuming 15x earnings in y28, which reflects the NVDA premium. The multi expansion is pricing memory as if it’s sustainable moat like. The boat is filled. This last move will be big. Aka 30% in 2 days on a trillion company. Everything I said is 100% accurate. Do what you want. Downside is greater than upside from here.

InspectorDabbit_

LMAO, NVDA bols gonna get wrekt by TSM today It's hilarious how the entire sector is mega green and these fools still keep buying NVDA calls

CheffromNowhere

Inb4 the morning NVDA pump, then dump

Reggio_Calabria

I love the risk profile of Micron and SK Hynix. Either it 2x and hits the NVDA ceiling either it flash crashes -40% in 5 trading sessions. The risk profile is really conducive to borrow money and bet it all on 0DTE MU and SK calls.

ClueLessWits

i think we're gonna roll pretty hard for the next few months at the very least, and then dip, and then resume bull run in SNDK, AMD, MU, and space shit. People are cycling out of NVDA and Meta for these gains. Are you seeing the big buys? That's big money. Ride that wave. Let big dick money pay for your next vacay, that's my bet. I'm not here to get rich, I'm here to cash out once I have enough moolah for a nice summer vacation.

thedarkpolitique

Just got more MU and NVDA on my payday today, I’m here for it

Rocky_The_Champion

Memory isn’t being priced as a commodity anymore. UBS just slapped the NVDA valuation to the EPS. This is the biggest land mine stock I’ve seen since MRNA 2022. The blow up will be massive.

Sufficient_Nose629

NVDA's run from March 2023 to June 2024 took it from 1T to 4T. We might be looking at a similar run with MU

EnginrA

NVDA MSFT META AMZN can’t compete with these young bucks

Happy-Champion1661

~~MU 1T is surely the top! MU $1000 IS THE TOP NOW ITS TIME TO SELL! MU TO 5T IS THE TOP!~~ ~~MU > NVDA is the top!~~ Ok fine MU to 99999999999999999999999999999 is still a buying opportunity.

amazingfishy

I predict NVDA makes its comeback today after their insane earnings beat and 80 billion dollar stock buyback guidance

ez399017

I bought some NVDA, NBIS, ASML, BMO today, my port is 80% MU right now though

Valkorion335786

NVDA dip buyers eating good

No-Bee-4692

Don’t mention NVDA here, if it doesn’t 10x this year people hate it

TheDankestOfAll

I smell a NVDA catch up trade coming. Everything else in the AI space has run 5-50% higher since earnings while it slid 5%, plus NVDA had a forward PE of x21.

circadiggmigration

NVDA green dildo

W0lv3rIn321

Bruh NVDA already priced at forward p/e 24.5x and highest company valuation. MU less than 10x a this movement based on a prediction that prior assumptions on the cyclical nature of its business no longer the case (lolmaybe?)

ez399017

I am not ready to price MU at similar multiples as NVDA, if the market rerates that way, then 2k is not unreasonable, I would say it’s inevitable actually

Fun_Training6342

#Thesis: As MU hits 1 trillion, NVDA is getting repriced to where it should be. If MU just by making a one part of the whole AI chain is now worth 1/5 of NVDA, then the Daddy of AI Nvidia which sits on every part of the chain is being mispriced, investors will now slowly push it to $8T—it's fair value.

0DTEKing

Today will be day of NVDA, grandpa of all Chip stocks

Quirky_Row_2080

Cool NVDA up just to crash at open and trade -.8% sideways all day

LayerClear5664

Yeah I agree that NVDA is also making a push for robotics both with edge computing and training VLAs, hence why I'm not full porting calls.  But NVDA's market cap is way too big to expect big moves so we look for other opportunities.

Own-Cauliflower-6992

!banbet $NVDA $250 5D

LeftBullTesty

!banbet NVDA 5% 7d

Own-Cauliflower-6992

!Bantbet NVDA 250 5D

Background-Nothing71

If NVDA can’t figure out how to pump today, I’ll need have a serious conversation with Jensen and review his business plan.

circadiggmigration

I agree with you, but NVDA's history tells a different story.

circadiggmigration

I own both SPY and NVDA (who knew there were two of us). But it's for long term holding. If that's what you want, you can probably sell for a profit and reallocate soon.

Saurabh_yadav909

Sounds awesome until you remember that liquidity will be terrible and spreads will be savage at 7:30am. As for the asset class, I have traded PLTR and NVDA perps 24/7 on market XYZ, or simply placed premarket limit orders via any big broker.

LarryBlink

Yeah, I full ported APLD a few months before they signed their first lease. I sold all my NVDA because I lost all my profits in April 2025 when the tariff war was going on, I was tired of it, and full ported APLD. A week later it sunk to $3 ps tho but after signing their first tenant, it soared

mneymaker

NVDA employees already applying for Jr positions in MU instead of that no name Nvidia Company they work for, enough is enough after years of becoming poor-er LMAO

circadiggmigration

Ok, don't laugh, NVDA.

dljmonkeyboiz

And NVDA

vienna_woof

\> NVDA comprises 8% of the S&P 500 That's crazy bro. Nvidias value will at least half within the next 5 years and it will take 4% of the SP500 with it.

Quirky_Row_2080

Cool everything up with NVDA chilling in the trash again

Teckel22

NVDA about to file for bankruptcy as MU and AMD takes it all

Coffeewin

Prayer circle for NVDA to join the other semi stocks today 🤗

InspectorDabbit_

Oh shit, NVDA is off the list of tickers at the top Bottom might be in

circadiggmigration

You could always by NVDA. NVDA is 5 years more advanced than AMD *and* NVDA has full stack integration. Yes, AMD sells comparable chips as NVDA but their shitty output prevents the racks from utilizing their full power. NVDA is being ignored now because everyone wants the next nvda. But they're a great company that, I think, is down a little post earnings. They have 58 buy / strong buy analyst ratings with an average price target of 300 a share a trailing P/E of 32.9 If you're looking for more of a MU, you could take a flyover on OKLO. It seems pretty obvious the only way we're powering these data centers is through Nuclear energy. OKLO is up 20% in 5 days on that sentiment but slightly down YTD.

Brass_Biscuits

Don’t feel bad…I was too dumb and poor to even own $1000 of NVDA 23 years ago. Now I’m 59 trying to hold onto the $120,000 in my 401k and never had a wife or kids. 😏

Fine_Specialists

#NVDA GANG Members checking in

schanuzerdog

H200 dropping 37% while newer B200 only drops 7% looks like Blackwell finally ramping up and displacing older Hopper chips. Spot rental prices on thin markets like Vast.ai are not a reliable indicator of NVDA's real revenue base, which is based on hyperscaler contracts that do not reprice anything like that fast. Real bearish signals would be B200 prices dropping too or hyperscaler capex cuts.

GooglySoft

What’s with AMD? Aren’t they a more inferior NVDA? Would be keen to find out the drivers of recent AMD outperformance

tocinoman

I full ported my IRA into the top of NVDA at $235 cost basis, so I will be selling $30 CCs for the next few years to try to chip away at that unrealized loss 🫡

skrid54321

It's because rapid growth is vulnerable to rapid shrinkage. If AI can't get profitable, or instead manages to reduce hardware consumption, it's a quick road down. NVDA is selling everything they can possibly make as fast as they can make it, and they are still priced for growth. They need the spend to stay obscene.

cat-from-the-future

lol that’s so false dude…GPUs aren’t a moat but the god of all GPU makers has the biggest AI moat in existence. There is no comparison between a company like NVDA and one like SNDK, the latter literally is a commodity business that will not persist at these prices.

Fun_Training6342

gonna sell all my NVDA and put into QQQ this crappo isn't moving

DiarrheaFartLover

Brother, anyone with two eyes can see that this is a bubble. The time to get in was a year ago, if not more. When it does eventually pop, the fallout is going to be biblical. And I'm like $570,000 deep into NVDA.

Dry_Introduction813

Yes, this is the part that still blows my mind every time I think about it. NVDA has a 5 trillion market cap, but the actual dollar invested directly into the shares is likely nowhere near that amount.

Independent_Rent_315

The May 8 top thesis had merit at the time — positioning was crowded, vol suppressed, NVDA carried unusual concentration risk into earnings. But the catalyst broke the right way: +85% revenue, Q2 guide raised to $91B (±2%). NVDA going into the print was the single biggest reason markets *could* have rolled — and the print resolved the uncertainty bullishly. The top-call needs a different anchor now. If you're still leaning short, the better setup looks like late summer when hyperscale capex commentary updates on Q2 earnings calls (late July / early Aug). If MSFT/META/GOOGL flatten their AI capex trajectories or extend deployment timelines, that's the credible deceleration trigger — not vol positioning. The K-shaped breadth concern is fair though. SPY ex-NVDA / AVGO / MU is barely positive YTD. If the market is going to roll, it'll be the leadership cracking — and the leadership just printed +85% revenue. Hard to fade that until you see hyperscale capex guides bend.

ga643953

How can the market think NVDA's growth is priced in so they're not getting a higher multiple while projecting MU's EPS to be down 10% come 2028 and down another 60% the next year and still buy it up? What happened to look at forward PE?

WallStreetSchnitzel

Sorry to blow your thesis, I have experience in robotics and we Indeed Build a Sex bot using an NVIDIA jetson. NVDA all over again. But qualcomm is comin to europe and is open for sweeping robots, might be the move still

Independent_Rent_315

Solid roll — locks the gains, extends duration past the next two big catalysts (Rubin ramp Q4 '26, then Q1 '27 print). Quick math on the $150 strike: with NVDA's '26 profit est \~$258B and '27 growth at conservative \~30%, you're looking at roughly $335B in '27 earnings. At the \~$3.68T market cap implied by the strike, that's a forward P/E around 11x — basically you're betting NVDA doesn't compress below 11x forward by 2027, which is *below* current AAPL's multiple at lower growth. The trade math says these go deep ITM unless the AI capex cycle breaks. Risk is a guide-down before the option goes ITM and you lose your roll cushion — but with 2027 expiry that's a lot of beats to disappoint through. If you ever sold covered calls against the LEAPS, the $150 strikes give you room to scalp 2-3 cycles of premium without capping the underlying. Worth it if you're comfortable with the management.

barnshaw292

I have shares in NVDA and MSFT whilst everything else is mooning, AMA

Clear_Judge5062

It sounds absurd but NVDA

KayMS_

# NVDA is the new MSFT...

Independent_Rent_315

Solid framework, but the historical analogies argue the *other* direction once you pressure-test them: **Railroads and telecom fiber both had years of overcapacity BEFORE the bust.** Pacific Railway laid track in 1869, didn't crash until 1893. My family helped Pullman Wa with the freight wars. Telecom fiber was dark in 1999, didn't burn investors until 2002. The leading indicator both times was utilization falling below 50% while capex kept compounding. AI compute today: utilization on H100/H200 clusters reportedly >90% across hyperscalers. Blackwell/Rubin lead times 6+ months. Nobody's building speculative capacity — they're filling pre-booked orders. That's the *inverse* of the bust pattern. **Other break in the analogy:** railroads and fiber were capex-then-rent business models — build it, lease it, hope utilization comes. AI is pay-per-token / pay-per-GPU-hour with current consumption — closer to electricity than to fiber. Demand has to actively evaporate, not just fail to materialize. Where your thesis has teeth is the **IPO pop trade**. Late '26 has a real chance of a euphoric mark-the-top moment (CoreWeave 2.0, sovereign AI SPACs, whatever). Shorting that vs being short NVDA itself is a much better risk/reward — and probably what gets the timing right on your 2027-28 call. What would invalidate your thesis for you — H100 utilization staying >85% through 2027? Hyperscaler capex guides not stepping down by mid-'26?

Independent_Rent_315

> The concession is real — Jensen said it plainly. But the framing of "95% → 0%" misses two things: **1. The H200 detail in your title is key.** NVDA effectively pre-conceded H200 to China when export controls hit; almost zero H200 silicon was ever shipped to the mainland. The "loss" is mostly forfeited rather than actively taken — different from telecom losing customers to a cheaper alternative. **2. Ex-China TAM is where the math lives.** China was \~25% of NVDA's data center revenue at peak. Today it's effectively zero, and DC revenue still hit $75B last quarter (+92% YoY). That means ex-China demand more than compensated — sovereign AI deals (KSA, UAE), US hyperscaler capex, EU buildouts. The actual risk isn't "Huawei takes China" — that's priced. The risk is **Huawei + SMIC leaking into SE Asia / LatAm** where price-performance matters more than CUDA. That's a 2027-28 watch item, not a 2026 one. What gives me more pause than the concession itself is the framing: Jensen telling investors to "expect nothing" is the kind of public bottom-call that often precedes a quiet re-engagement attempt via an export-compliant chip. Worth watching.

Singularity-42

Agent orchestration is just not that compute intensive at all though. And much of it is done on the edge. For example if a developer is running Claude Code on his machine all the orchestration is done locally and Anthropic only receives the LLM API calls. 2:1 ratio sounds wild, where is your source? Is this why AMD is up so much? Maybe time for me to sell... Also NVDA makes CPUs too BTW.

thrillho145

If I had had the balls to move all my NVDA together RKLB, not just 10%, I would be rich now 

daytrader7222

UBS Timothy Arcuri has the strong buy rating for NVDA with the target price of $515. Now you get it? Same dude that who came out with the new buy rating for MU with $1625 target price today, Up from $535 last week.

EnigmaSpore

Being bearish on MU now is like being bearish on NVDA in 2024. Follow the capex money. There’s still meat on the bones.

rblbl

I sold my NVDA in October 2022 right before it took off :(

TipEmpty8429

Man I remember when people calling the top of NVDA when it hit $2 trillion market cap, now it’s $5.2T

UnableCurrency

This is the right away. Alternatively, a few get lucky and time the market - and get in and out of stocks at the right time. Have a few friends who got in NVDA, MU, SNDK and Space sector stocks at the right time and exited also.

Sharp-Direction-6894

Let's all whisper words of encouragement for NVDA. It's been a bit down lately.

JPM0912

Someone help me make some money back. I got burned bad due to timing of some calls. Everything is up so I am struggling to determine what has most steam to run…MU is too expensive. Was thinking a quick in and out morning call on RKLB and ALAB. I also think NBIS may have one last pop before it corrects. Seems like there’s gotta be a rotation back into NVDA after its typical post er slump. What should I throw $1k at ? SOXL?

SangerGRBY

Watched NVDA go from 500b to 4t on the sides.. I genuinely think MU is going to be next.

iLov3musk

Last time was the rise of NVDA

B2BContinuum

Sing like no one can hear you, dance like no one can see you, hold NVDA like a regard

tradematesHQ

NVDA at 32.7x P/E with 74% margins is still a beast, but the insider selling is a red flag tbh. Analyst median target is $300 so there's upside, but with beta at 2.25 you're in for a bumpy ride. I'd wait for the consolidation to play out before adding - no point catching a falling knife even if the fundamentals are solid.

le_pedal

My 12 month plays are MSFT GOOG NVDA so whatever

DrummerCompetitive20

NVDA seem severely under valued here compares to MU

shivaswrath

Don’t buy into hype. Rotations will happen. Remember when NVDA was $100 and Apple $105? It wasn’t that long ago.

Prudent-Corgi3793

That “someone guy” is right. I love MU. It’s grown into my second biggest position (after GOOG, tied with NVDA), but you also have to know what you’re getting into. MU has had multiple brutal drawdowns, including >95% during the great financial crisis. SK Hynix has had a parabolic rise, but only recently broke its all time high from the dotcom bubble (shortly after it started trading as Hyundai Electronics). Why? Because it lost \*\*>99.5%\*\* of its value through 2003. And keep in mind these are the few survivors of the RAM consolidation. Are things different now? Let’s hope so.

Kranoath

So bigger than NVDA soon?

bearhunter429

#Once NVDA goes bankrupt AMD will be able to acquire them for $25 a share LMAO🤌

Fritzkreig

I woke up and was like WTF; at this rate I am up +2000^^% and it might just catch my NVDA; if that keeps trading sideways‽

dontfret71

I sold all my NVDA position today, felt like top to me

MeanieManh0le

Good thing I sold my cases at the top and bought NVDA and AMD calls. Obvious win for gamers with real brains

g1184

Bitcoin was once in a generation TSLA was once in a generation AAPL was once in a generation NVDA was once in a generation ... and this is just the past 10 years

aka0007

2000 - TSLA went up and up 2021 - market went regarded and meme stocks went crazy 2022 - I am trying to forget still 2023 - NVDA started going up and up and up 2024 - PLTR started going up 2025 - MU started going up and up Basically from 2020 - current the market has been on a tear From 2010-2020 the market did overall decently but was not very exciting. Its returns were nothing like this. From 2000-2010 the market did pretty much nothing, except crash in 2020 (dotcom bubble), crash in 2021 (9/11), and crash in 2008 (Mr. I may be early but I am also not right... apologies if I got that phrase wrong). Assuming these valuations stick I think you have to consider that these last few years are unique. The arguments I would make that we are in a transformative era is I think we may be seeing the combined impact of several major advances that can in theory drive economic efficiency and hence greater wealth as never before. 1. AI - this is rapidly reshaping every business and is enabling increases in operating efficiency that drive profitability. There are legitimate doubts as to how much benefit it will have, but I am seeing real-world impacts in so many things so I really believe in its value. 2. Robotics - Right now this is a much unseen technology as they operate in Amazon warehouses and so on, but we should include with this self-driving which is very visible. These are technologies that directly solve the critical economic scarcity issue related to labor. 3. Space - Simply going to point to SpaceX. With their new Starship v3 rocket proving itself as a vehicle capable of achieving orbital velocities and deploying satellites, Space travel as been fundamentally changed once again (last time it as the Falcon9). Even without reusability the cost to launch mass to space should be far lower with the Starship then with the Falcon9, essentially making the Falcon9 obsolete in many ways. You take these three together and you get the following: AI now has a path to massive scale and power generation via space based data centers which are only possible with the Starship. AI that can scale is the brain for robotics and technology advances. Robotics is the labor force to enable building this out. Long wheat futures for when it all crashes...

Ziegelmarkt

Same. Got in at $444 and was starting to panic a little with the subsequent -25% drop but I held firm just because I had strong gut feelings about their place in the sector's landscape. MU is to SNDK as AMD is to NVDA. Maybe you missed the train for the latter two, but the former two are proving to be juggernauts.

whatthewhat_007

NVDA was +239% in 2023. MU is +184% YTD. There's room to pump

XgenAccordBen

Bought NVDA pre split in June 2023 at $387 a share I had 51 shares was around $20K like you i'm currently at 455% ROI. However, I sold 1/5 of my stake and bought 400 shares of DRAM for 51.67 and now I'm up 15% on that trade. I'm gonna hold the dram until at least the next SNDK earnings report. I honestly think we will see Dram in the 80 to 90 range.

user4443337

I mean the average forecast for NVDA on there is 295, implying 37% upside. The average price target for MU is only 640, it’s moved up so much that all the targets listed are out of date. I would suppose something along the lines about AI’s growth benefitting both companies significantly. I don’t know much about markets but it makes sense to me that NVIDIA could continue to dominate, and that it’s a “winner takes all” kind of world. I know there’s talks of a bubble but from what I can tell, the AI buildout will last several more years. I am generally pessimistic about AI - I don’t think we’ll reach AGI for decades and I think we’re reaching diminishing returns. But, the markets seem optimistic about AI so who am I to know?

iloveaccounting64

I do own leaps on SaaS and cybersecurity and NVDA. The shorts are to hedge for downsides.

TazFanBoys

Or owning NVDA & MSFT 😪

No-Improvement3164

I’m going to buy a NVDA 12/28 100c and sell CC’s on it if it’s good to be flat for another year

account-names

I lent it to NVDA who lent it to other firms that then bought NVDA devices

ParticularWarthog319

Tried to diversify some of my more regarded plays with META, AMZN, MSFT, NVDA calls and they’re brining me down big time.

RainieY

NVDA is the cheapest but because it has larger market cap people bet on smaller companies because they have FOMO and want quick returns. There is also some risk/fear that it will eventually lose its margins in 2,3,4+ years but for now that is not the case so it's staying flat. It will eventually test highs because the ratios can only compress so much before people start buying it. I think NVDA is what bitcoin is for the crypto, people buy shitcoins during bull market.

dimadomelachimola

Yes NVDA has to fall first