NVDA

verified-trader

**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 2W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** | $234.77 (below) | $242.21 | -3.1% | Tue, Oct 13, 10:16 AM ET |

Fit-Frosting-7144

!banbet NVDA 234.77 1w

ggRezy

Just bought NVDA calls expiring in March. The top is in. Sorry guys

IvoryTowerResident

VT? Told holding NVDA, MSFT. AAPL. AMZN. GOOG, TSM you are so protected from AI downturn

ExtraSmooth

The user you replied to was not talking about the economic standing of the "average person." They were talking about the disconnect between stock market prices and business fundamentals. The highest valued companies, like META, NVDA, TSLA, and GOOG, are not making profits that justify their valuations. They are valued based on growth despite already being the largest companies on Earth. For them to grow, the entire economy would have to grow dramatically more than it ever has before. Growth in the past has been driven by increased populations, improved living standards and consumption, and expansion into new markets. In the absence of these factors, it is not rational to imagine economic growth would accelerate or even remain constant. What you are suggesting about the distinction between luxury spending and general consumer spending would only make sense if the top companies were luxury companies. Current growth is not driven by luxury stocks (e.g. RACE is way down from last year), and in fact the vast majority of stocks are trending downward. The main stocks driving growth are technology companies that play in advertising spaces (GOOG, META), companies that sell consumer technology (AAPL, MSFT), and AI-related companies (NVDA) which currently have no profitable end user to speak of. These companies are not profitable from the spending of the top tenth or quartile of consumers. Their stock growth is based on speculation.

DJAnarchie

I'm so confused, how can everything I have be so red, WDC, AAPL, TSLA, SNDK, GOOGL, all red, but SPY just got a giant dildo, is it all just NVDA lol

Fhyzikz

SPCX and NVDA are the index

tnguyen5057

Only dumb people would buy memory options when they’re the most popular stocks. You know it’s gonna go sideways like NVDA did for a whole year.

Yolopoloanimelover

NVDA baby

Rocky_The_Champion

Nike is currently where Meta was in October 2022. LULU is where NVDA was in Sept 2022. Mark it.

LongAppointment5976

OMG NVDA!!! :money:

Upstairs_Whole_580

I hear ya, but I just sold about 11,000 shares of AMD(we'll see if that was a good call), 5,000 of MSFT and I've been buying the 30 year when it's around 5.7). Not a ton, but... enough. And I'm still heaviest in NVDA and AMZN. So it's not a YOLO type trade. It's... probably good advice as a general rule, but I fucking LOVE SKHY's set up. I love MUs, but I think SKHY is even better.

That-Decision-7194

NVDA going to 240 today?

dorkstar1

Michael Burry sold his $LULU position near 52-week lows today while $NVDA, his big short, hit a record high

WSB-mods-are-

Back in my day every day was +5% or higher for NVDA

IndependentUsual7444

SPY QQQ NVDA breaking ATHs get calls

jadepig

You sure about that? Without doing deeper research, my interpretation of “weighted” means 1k into SPX sends more to NVDA since it’s bigger. My interpretation of “unweighted” RSP is that 1k into that sends $2 to NVDA and every other equity in it. 

Advanced-Mail6279

calls on NVDA?! company only goes up

verified-trader

**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 4L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** | $245.69 (above) | $241.58 | +1.7% | Wed 8:36 AM ET |

Redrammer

!banbet NVDA $245.69 1d

Over-Young8392

!p NVDA

Ampliified

NVDA 250 eow

pureboobs

Who here got into NVDA early? I want to pick your brain

Bichael-Murry

wen $NVDA 10T valuation? EOY prolly fucking lol tbh

Upstairs_Whole_580

EVERY other time I've bought calls, or leaps(only ever leaps) I've held for less than 1 month. NVDA, MSFT were at 163 and 350 earlier this year. I bought 200 and 202 contracts at 215 and 500. In one month(almost exactly) it was at 210 and 480 and I sold. Just... took the winner. Same with shorts on WLMT and COST in Feb of '24. 3 weeks, sold. A couple other examples, but I don't do this much. But SKHY should hit 300 by the time those first set expire and I think it could go earlier. It's bigger than Micron, their price caps are off. They're selling almost 3X as much HBM4 to NVDA for Rubin and the COST is about 2.7X as much... and they are responsible for about 55-60% of the HBM4 share. PLUS, 2027 and 2028 being the largest memory shortages in history, unlike MU, THEY can still raise their price for peak pricing. I also think it's going to become less cyclical and it deserves a forward PE of at least 10-12. If it traded at JUST 12X Forward, it's 484. So I don't need some heroic move to get there. Also, I'm not using any leverage.

davidbigham

NVDA hitting new ATH becoz Burry shorted and have put 🤣🤣

42thefloor2011

No way the indexes don't gap down as soon as market opens. With NVDA at ATH tutes will rush for the exits and bring QQQ and SPY down with it

Upstairs_Whole_580

I REALLY need SKHY and NVDA to keep running. Not "need" NVDA so much, but I have 3 tranches of leaps on SKHY, 135, 145, 155 bought on July 29th when it was at 126, 200 contracts each. Then doubled down Aug 10th with 175, 195 and 205, again, 200 each. Then, struggled to find a market, but 215-40 contracts, 225-40 an 235-80 for Jan '29 Pretty fucking cheap too... given the irrational price SKHY dropped to... can't wait for earnings.

Upstairs_Whole_580

My SKHY calls from July 29th are fucking printing! 135, 145, 155-200 contracts each all at 126, 10 months left, then, 175, 195, 205 at 136 with 16 months, THEN last week, Jan '29 calls for 215, 225, 235(couldn't even get 200 contracts at each)... then 205 NVDA is breaking out... life is good and retirement will be better!

sthlmtrdr

Not only these, large and “safe” stocks like AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, NVDA, etc can drop -10% in one day. If one account for safety distance the premium one get is small, less than 10% return in one full year. Most people gamle and take the excessive risk thou.. it works until it doesn’t work

znightmaree

Crypto up like 100% in a month, tech going straight up, indexes at ATH, NVDA breaking though ATHs. You are genuinely a retard if you buy puts.

acart005

The market is fLaT - everything else is dowm 90% but TTWO and NVDA are up 69420%.

TripleChocolate123

True but with the dot com bubble it was VERY different. Interest rates were dirt cheap, so tons of venture capital went to almost every startup on the internet. And unfortunately most startups fail miserably. The difference is AI has essentially 2 monopoly companies right now. Nvda also has a monopoly on AI chips. No ones throwing money into every and all AI startups nowadays. I think there are a lot of risk associated with certain AI dependent companies like NVDA (all it takes is a Chinese company to make it cheaper and better) but the industry i doubt gets a reset

willcorry781

The internet transformed everything too. You're literally using it to tell me this. The Nasdaq still fell about 78%, and Amazon dropped more than 90% and survived. A bubble isn't the tech being fake, it's the prices running ahead of it. And you just called OpenAI a ticking timebomb. That's kind of my point. What happens to NVDA's order book if it goes off?

Nepalus

>My guess is it won't pop until the money behind it changes. Right now it's mostly paid for out of Big Tech's cash flow, and that's hard to break. Once it shifts to debt, that's when I'd get nervous. I guess someone hasn't been paying attention. You're right that nobody's panic-selling, and the career-risk thing is real. But your sell signal already fired. The shift to debt happened over the last 18 months, and NVDA hit a record on October 2 anyway, nearly 25% off its late July lows. The numbers: * Hyperscaler bond issuance went from about $17B in 2024 to $108B in 2025 to $194B so far in 2026. UBS has full-year 2026 at $270-290B, and Goldman has 2027 around $420B. * FactSet has new debt going from 9% of hyperscaler capex in FY2024 to 32% by mid-2026. * Amazon's trailing FCF fell to $1.2B in Q1 from about $26B a year earlier. Oracle's capex hit 174% of operating cash flow in FY26, its FCF is negative, and S&P cut it to BBB-, one notch above junk. Even Microsoft spent $37.5B on capex against $35.8B of operating cash flow in its fiscal Q2. Epoch AI's trend has aggregate capex passing operating cash flow around Q3 2026, the quarter that just ended. * Nvidia itself sold $25B of bonds, its first in five years. That's before off-balance-sheet stuff like Meta's Hyperion SPV. The bond market noticed even if equities didn't. Cover ratios on hyperscaler deals fell from about 5x in February to about 2x in July. 78 of 91 hyperscaler bonds issued this year were trading at higher yields than at issue by late July. AI issuer spreads sat around 115bp in September vs about 78bp for IG overall. The only thing that is going to make a sell-off start: 1. Hyperscalers start cutting CAPEX guidance significantly. 2. Oracle loses its investment grade. It has one notch left, and IG-only mandates would become forced sellers. Would arguably be the most direct refutation that the AI trade ends in sunshine and rainbows for everyone. Oracle is a big name even if it isn't a leader anymore. If they go under to junk status I think a lot of things in this space get re-valued. 3. A big hyperscaler bond deal getting pulled or pricing way wide. Since none of these has happened, no pop yet.

heikici

Fking NVDA is going to smash 6T today at this rate

NOVA_CORE-

NVDA hitting 245?

No_Current3675

Imagine not buying NVDA 190.

Radiant-Scene-5171

NVDA is still pumping wtf

Spac55

At Oil Price $88 handle, inflation & CPI probably already below 2% All sectors at 52 week low, where only few stocks pump index to all time high with AI-vibe $META $GOOG $ORCL $AMZN $MSFT $CRWV $NBIS $NVDA $MU $AVGO look market cap vs earnings power, when negative cash flow big

trader69420_

This is why leaps are elite. Nice play brotha. I have NVDA 1/28 $230C’s and AVGO 1/28 $320C’s. Would love a similar result 😂

Valval_et_Felfel

$SPCX makes no sense, can't follow that, discarding that shit to stay on the very logical $NVDA

Fritzkreig

Well my best is NVDA at 4026^^% So it is all relative!

Sharp-Direction-6894

I think the -933 means they sold 933 calls for $0.14 premium each? But then again, nobody here has 93,300 NVDA shares for covered calls, nor does anyone have whatever millions to purchase the shares.

BossIhavaCancer

NVDA blood green calls at open

ChewbaccaIsBear

Burry closed his $LULU long today as it hit 52w lows Meanwhile $NVDA, his largest short hit new 52w highs today

DemandOk5785

Yo Korean buy memory and NVDA

Plastic_Ninja_9014

You got to handed to you NVDA, you possessed absolute resilience.

beeArebel

$NVDA used to be cool from 2019 -2023. there I said it. 

That-Decision-7194

Any chance that NVDA tanks this week?

BossIhavaCancer

NVDA never going below 235 again

Over-Young8392

NVDA

JimLahey12

People have been calling it a bubble since before COVID. Sorry you missed out. I didn't and I won't again. Lets see next month when AMD reports earnings (and NVDA).

bigfan49

MSFT and NVDA saved my life. Archer Aviation tried to put me out

josehdezq

Hit on GME :o And yep, I'm looking for a less volatile porfolio than owning 40% of the total portfolio on AMD and NVDA

financiallythriving

NVDA almost at 6 Trilly

Used-Goal-2655

I mean if Beijing cracks the green flag for H200s, NVDA’s share might just do a quick upload. The risk is more hype than deal, but I’m betting the FOMO will push price up at least a few points for a day.

ConsiderationKey1658

!banbet NVDA 244 10d

Meeting_Ok2

NVDA actually hit $240

That-Decision-7194

How cooked are my NVDA $235 puts? Expire Wednesday.

YourChildhood5762

I like the monthly updates. They show the thoughts of a normal investor instead of the worries of the get-rich-quick posters we frequently see here. That's an odd mix of stocks but I won't criticize the choices. You had your reasons and I support them. I'm less interested in how well they're doing then the process of what positions you are considering adding to, decreasing, or buying for the first time. You had an encouraging 2023 and 2024 to make up for the 1st year, and I think you were wise to diversify and accept lower gains. Although you may have some regrets on NVDA and AMD, I think it was the right move in decreasing those positions. McDonalds was a brave choice this month since they are struggling, but it could pay off nicely. The company is unlikely to disappear. I'm unclear on some of the purchases this year. I can't tell if you were adding to existing positions or creating new ones. If all new, you've been especially active and I hope you've done your research instead of acting on fears of missing out. I think you might consider more ETFs. Picking the right individual stocks is hard. Maybe sell off 10% of MSFT sometime next year and get an ex-US ETF or a large-cap value ETF.

Top-Use7021

So NVDA is worth almost six Elons. I'll bet one Elon and raise you two Jensens.

Swimming-Dingo-9695

Honestly, SPCX has to be the most undervalued stock out there rn NVDA is right there with it

SuccessfulSir9611

Before SoftBank acquired it, the stock was at around £17 in 2016. With a bit of AI premium, ARM IPO’ed at $51 in 2023. Currently it trades at 309x Trailing PE and 129x forward P/E. A lot of their future growth blindly depends on everyone using Muse like agents, they selling their AGI CPUs, and massive royalties coming in from these IN FUTURE NOT NOW. But only 2% of people even pay for AI in US. With OpenAI actively working on developing AI designed architectures, AI bubble popping when consumers just don’t find enough value to pay for AI, etc concerns, they will never be able to make enough money to match their current stock price. Wrt Muse agents, many have assumed that CPUs are equal to number of users, they are not! They are virtualised and can scale up and down based on number of users at any point of time. Meta has not disclosed this number, but that would clearly put out the limitations of Capex required for this. You would be better off putting your money in NVDA or AVGO at this stage, because, though in same boat as the AI capex cycle, they are still wildly undervalued.

Swimming-Dingo-9695

How long has NVDA been hanging around 5T? SPCX just IPO'd a few months ago, so yeah that has a lot of potential.

EngimaGenesis

NVDA weight in SPY roughly 8.3%. Anyone know what the rebalancing quota is? A sharp decline will enable a reversion to the mean if they don’t want to shave some ownership but my god

wrongsyourgrammar

NVDA took 15 years to reach it's valuation by the means of forward p/e and only on the last 2 years did it grow exponentially. Spcx has not shown any such signs and this pop that's happening should happen AFTER they report and show that expectation is matching up.

itsalwayscalls

I don't. I think hyperscalers are going to PE crush to 16x to 19x forward between now and the next few earnings. So as profits grow the market is going to give them less of a multiple for a period of time until they return to 16x forward give or take. Source: NVDA.

heikici

The NVDA Michael Jackson meme is launching the stock to 6T market Cap nocap

Puzzleheaded-Net-273

Your stock sales were ill-timed I would say after today's moves in NVDA & MSFT, especially.

thegoldenfinn

Great. Gawd maybe I should just sell those shares and buy more NVDA.

Guilty_Ad_8433

Sold NVDA at 240. How long before it dips under 200 again?

isomojo

Not OP but that data center project in Texas is basically space X’s version of being NVDA, MU, and TSM/Intel all at once. Being from Texas and being able to have been to both his space X sites and Tesla plant…. One thing Elon does deliver on is building these gigantic buildings. It’s much more than rockets.

No-Most2405

shorting NVDA eazy money until fed meeting

jcpopm

Burry's fund did *not* consistently beat the market and was absolutely destroyed by the market the past three years. Regardless, LULU is a personal holding, his largest position, and he is down enormously on it while also being short NVDA (new breakout today). He has been absolutely rolled by both his longs and shorts and is clearly just emotionally throwing darts without any plan other than get attention to his substack.

Turd_burglar76

Can’t wait for NVDA to get shit on. The company is trash.

Acceptable-Two5692

!banbet NVDA +5% 4d

bexamous

You're on reddit though, a $30B company selling your data to AI companies buying NVDA GPUs. Nobody's opting out of this. Everyone's participating at whatever scale they're at, this is just what the system looks like from the inside.

Mission-Mammoth-8388

Was the decision for SPMO to drop NVDA regarded? Not looking great so far

gigglychaddy

What’s your guys’ take on when NVDA is hitting $300? Do you also think that’s likely the top of the cycle?

Individual_Dog8329

How on earth NVDA double the size of Amzn and Google

syedhuda

**NVDA gang members checkin in**

HateMoney1

NVDA 255 1wk

Reddit_name_insert

My $195 NVDA Jan call looking good rn

toydan

wer you wen $NVDA ATH

amagithecruiser

Finally dropping… NVDA down to 230 tommorow

DudebroMcCool

trimmed 3 shares of NVDA at $238.90

d33p7r0ubl3

NVDA 6T wen

zephyrs85

Sold NVDA at $100 in 2024 because y'all genius investors started saying it's overpriced

falling_knives

NVDA at $10 trillion when?

Feisty-Bumblebee-280

!banbet NVDA -8% 15d

Frequent_Ad7351

NVDA goat

verified-trader

**BanBet Won** — /u/The_Unforgiving_Kram (4W - 2L, 67%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** ▲ | $228.63 → $240.00 | +5.0% | 1w | Won |

Supertainment

NVDA just broke 240

footlong24seven

NVDA and MSFT double top situation kinda got me nervous ngl

reaper527

> NVDA new ATH 😎 s&p not far behind.

InternetSlave

NVDA new ATH 😎

dr__paco

I keep buying NVDA and the gains keeep comiiiingg ^Of ^course ^i ^have ^my ^Trail ^Stop ^ready ^to ^gooo

LordWop

I knew I should have started a bigger NVDA position

financiallythriving

BREAKING - Michael Burry admits on his newsletter that he was wrong to short the market and has closed all positions at a loss. In an attempt to recover losses, Michael Burry has opened ITM calls on NVDA at the 150 strike expiring in 2028