Reddit Posts
If your portfolio is red today, don't assume something broke.
Review of last week: AI remains the main theme, but the market has become selective
Throwing in the regard towel, finally.
Strategy to exercise OTM options after market close on Expiry Day (becomes ITM after hours)
Shelly Group: Tiny Smart-Home Boxes, Fat Margins, and Actual Profits
Hyperscalers are implementing techniques that could compress memory usage by up to 40x
Most of the stocks are at the bottom of the tariff prices. Way too oversold. Massive pump incoming.
Now that SPCX hype is done, can we start pumping NVDA again?
Market rotation is becoming obvious but retail is still stuck in old narratives
Qualcomm +12% pre-market after doubling 2029 non-handset revenue target to $40B and targeting $15B in AI data center sales
Micron Price Target Analysis Part 2
PSA: RAM (2x DRAM) open for retail day after MU beat
How I feel after seeing Micron report 86% margin
📓 Daily Brief: Theta Gang Goes To Wendy's
Is NVDA dead or are they creating a buying opportunity for themselves?
What’s with all the NVDA call buying?
Reflection AI will pay SpaceX up to $6.3 billion for access to NVDA GB300 chips and Colossus infrastructure.
Specs were already net short the Nasdaq at a 1-year extreme before Tuesday's crash.
Watchlist Update | What Am I Still Focusing On After the AI Pullback?
NVDA annual meeting today at 9am PT, stock sitting around $200... anyone else watching this closely?
AI Token Prices Keep Falling.
Chip selloff: bargain or "wait till Micron prints"? what's actually pulling semis back green
SPCX has been quietly making my year, anyone else in this one?
NVDA 210P 7/31 expiry - Should I take profit or hold?
TSMC's CoPoS packaging tech could lock in AI chip dominance through 2030, anyone else paying attention?
Holographic/VR/AR Industry Development Weekly Report, Week 25
SpaceX signs computing power deal with open-source AI startup Reflection worth up to $6.3 billion
Watching MU raise while NVDA stays stall is killing me. Too late to switch to MU?
The AI trade is starting to look like a copper trade too
THE WALL-E PROTOCOL: Elon is Using a 2008 Pixar Film as a Corporate Roadmap and Nobody Has Noticed
THE WALL-E PROTOCOL: Elon is Using a 2008 Pixar Film as a Corporate Roadmap and Nobody Has Noticed
US asset managers file for first ETFs targeting Wall Street's new obsession, AI and the 'MANGOS'
Accessing US Stock Leverage from Europe: Platforms, Limitations and Alternatives
All My Eggs in One Basket: Keep holding NVDA or Sell at a Loss?
Elon Musk Says He's Building a Chip '2-3x Better Than Nvidia' at 10% the Cost. Should Nvidia Investors Be Worried?
CELH (Celsius) is to MNST (Monster) like AMD is to NVDA
Got some cash to play - Thinking all tech. Should I buy individual stocks or an ETF?
Reddit mentions for NVDA, GOOG and GME all collapsed 45-66% in one week. One IPO ate the entire conversation.
Is anyone else looking at this perfect storm hitting by November? ($150 oil, US debt spiral, and the IPO index drain)
Does most of the analysis on this sub miss the key point? What can be done to answer the key question?
I have 235k to invest. How should I split it?
How to ensure you're not investing too wide as opposed to too deep?
Would love some honest feedback on my portfolio - heavy on tech, open to criticism
Would love some feedback on my stock portfolio - heavy on tech, open to criticism
NVDA Government Contract Analysis: Not Compelling
That is all i need to know about SPCX
The most interesting SpaceX trade might not be SpaceX.
Picking Option strikes based on Delta is not enough - Volume profile can change your decision
Picking strikes by delta alone has a blind spot: what's underneath them matters to
Is Blackberry Primed For a Comeback?
Is Blackberry Primed For a Comeback?
New midweek expiration dates getting approved by regulators
The most interesting SpaceX trade might not be SpaceX.
I Sold All My VOO for a Concentrated NVDA Bet. Should I Have Just Bought Options Instead?
🚀🚀 $OCC, THE FIBER OPTIC ROCKET WALL STREET FORGOT ABOUT 🚀🚀
“Book Talking” from Jensen – NVDA’s Jensen Huang called a global tech stocks selloff a buying opportunity
AAPL officially a NVDA customer: Blackwell B200s powering new Siri on GOOGL Cloud
RELL (Richardson Electronics): The most misclassified AI infrastructure play Wall Street is completely ignoring? (Deep Dive)
chip names ripped today after friday's bloodbath, but the tape under INTC looks weird
chip names ripped today after friday's bloodbath, but the tape under INTC looks weird
Bought AMD 180 calls last week thinking earnings would rocket it, now staring at -45% and bagholding like a dumb ape
I Think MU Beats NVDA From Here And Yes I Know That Sounds Insane
Mentions
NVDA legendary recovery Monday on the back of KOSPI gains or continued death spiral?
Not for this NVDA puts haver https://preview.redd.it/0flqoj2dc7bh1.png?width=864&format=png&auto=webp&s=4e5072c24abe92a62284dcc4dda561f19c57ce74
No, it's more like memory chips are in everything so when they jack up the price, it causes inflation as you can already see in the recent price hikes of PC, consoles, and other electronics. If oil comes down, but chips are still pushing up PMI and CPI, inflation won't go down as quickly as the Fed would like. Trump wants interest rates to come down, so it's not a good thing for him if this becomes an issue. He's already told Chevron and other oil companies to lower prices or face consequences. I think the same think will happen to memory chips if it turns out to be an issue. Democrats are also turning the younger generation into communists by latching onto affordability issue so they can win midterm. So if people are screaming electronics are too expensive and memory chip pricing power is the issue, you bet they're going to come out and say they're taking MU's equity of some dumb stuff like that. And then you also have Apple starting to explore options outside of the US for low-end chips and other mag7 trying to develop their own chips much like the TPU situation with NVDA, your pricing power will get hit. So my thesis is the stock is priced for perfection. Analysts are projecting for the EPS growth to slow down drastically in 28. If you have 2x or 3x'd on the stock you take your profit and move on. People that aren't in it don't see a good risk/reward for them to jump in so there's no new incremental buyers at this price. We are just waiting for fundamentals to catch up. Best case scenario, the stock stays stagnant for 2-3 years and maybe go up another 10-20%. But the downside is massive and could be triggered by any tech innovation.
So adding TSLA, MU, NVDA… to my Roth. What else??
Diamond hands. NVDA has the best cleanest bull case for the next year imo. You’re set. just don’t sell calls.
I made bank trading msft in the first half and now we’re all getting a second look at apparently identical price action just weeks later. Maybe don’t wait on the market crash when the stock is already doing it. META, NVDA, & NOW pretty damn cheap too. And watch NAIL if you have the stomach, obscene beta
I do two things. Large positions on small cap bets I like long term, and selling covered calls on more stable companies (NVDA, AAPL, AMZN) as an example. I'd use Claude to explain some of these concepts to you so you get a better handle on it.
The new-gen but boring ones: MU, NVDA, TSM, DAVE (too high now), and companies that profit from cheap gas, companies that can profit from medical AI, energy companies that can fund datacenters, semicons (maybe but timing is important), quantum companies (too soon), and keep an eye on weak businesses that might profit if Democrats gain power-of-the-purse again. Just DO NOT make the mistake of staying in a losing stock if there is a better stock that can make your money back quicker. It's America, we are still free for now! You get to choose your own gamble !!!!
This week had nothing to do with S.Korean people, and everything to do with the fact that S.Korea has two global-powerhouse companies that dominate their KOSPI 200. The gains in those companies were SO LARGE in 1H'26 that the June 30 rebalance in their index caused a lot of selling. Selling was magnified by the world's 3rd-largest pension fund which had to dump tons of Samsung & SK Hynix. Finally, the 2x Hynix ETF funds (leveraged funds) FLOODED the market with sell orders of Hynix. The Korean market was a mess. It impacted semicon exchanges there, and bled over to USA's SOXX, which impacted all the Nasdaq semicon stocks. Worst-hit were the higher-PE semicons, which got lambasted in the suspiciously-timed Morningstar report about semicons. (Tell me how many insider-trades occurred from the people who planned that Morningstar publish date!!!) Not to be outdone, Zuckerberg pre-empted the rebalancing with an admission that Meta prolly bought too much AI and needs to rent it out -- and then the black-sheep Burry says "Hey me too, I shorted MU and NVDA and SOXX cuz I always gamble 2 years too early, and my friends told me that Koreans might start something this week, and I missed the MU high of 1255 but I still wanna sound ballsy by shorting it at 1051. I'm relevant !!!" Koreans will be kind Monday because they're always kind. It's the governments & fund regulators/managers that do the foolish all-at-once rebalancing. They know about it far in advance. There are many less-destabiizing ways that they could rebalance. The truth is that funds make money by scaring individual investors. So they're incentivized to do sneak attacks on stock prices. Funds profit from the volatility (options), and individuals lose, and funds spread the message that individuals can't make it on their own, they need to turn all their investments over to paid managers who can "avoid the losses and scares".
Sometimes, I look at the stars, and wonder if aliens have their own equivalent of WSB and degen gambling 🤔 Anyways, NVDA <180 next week 😈 https://preview.redd.it/ahonp9csb4bh1.png?width=864&format=png&auto=webp&s=82b83e6df79e9da73277d4efeefc056504ecf873
NVDA market cap 2016: $75 billion. 2026: $4.71 trillion. whats the difference between $4 trillion and $400 trillion hahaha
Ok, agree that NVDA has probably hit a wall, but at 5T market cap wtf do you expect
No. Just smart. BTC went from $126k to $60k from October 2025 to today. During this period of time NVDA went from $184 to $196. During this time AMD has 2x'd. LITE has 5x or more.
Are you seriously excluding NVDA? Are you a noob?
If you're ever down on yourself, just remember there are people that held BTC down to $60k while watching nearly every AI stock (except NVDA) 2x to 4x.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/Crazy_Donkies (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** ▲ | $199.57 → $207.00 | +3.7% | 3d | Lost |
Actually earnings growth and stock prices usually go hand in hand (at least for everything except Tesla). For growth stocks the market is pricing in future growth and profitability. Look at NVDA for example, which has increased in market cap or stock price by approx. 800% over the last 5 years. Their revenue went up from $17B in 2020 to to $216B in 2025, whilee increasing their Net Income Margin from 26% to 56%. But the moment that hyper-growth inevitably stalls, the market will re-rate the stock to a lower valuation multiple, and the stock price will plateau or correct. S&P 500 earnings growth was good this year and after the US-Iran war shakeoff we have seen a proper rise in the index. Same with the Emerging Markets, which are also driven by Semis and Memory as of SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics and more.
Would NVDA have a similar path forward if the Zuck does as expected, I wonder (and hope so) 🤔
NVDA is too cheap for shorting do something a high pe
ASML TSM KLAC would probably be at the top of my list. 2nd tier NVDA LRCX GOOG AMZN MSFT. That said, I am an avid dip buyer and if any particular stock dropped 50-75% there's a good chance I'm picking it up, even garbage memestonks.
MU isn’t anything like NVDA, NVDA has a huge tech moat, MU primarily has a manufacturing moat.
I mean tokens are now starting to cost their actual price not the subsidized one. One token is what you pay MU, SNDK, NVDA, energy companies, OpenAI/Anthropic, plus Hyperscalers cut. It is getting more expensive not cheaper. The only future for AI is cheap AI Models
You are wrong. Here are my SaaS holdings p/cfc: MSFT - 39x CRM -12x NOW - 24x WDAY - 13x Here are the p/cfc of popular semis: NVDA - 43x MU - 43x TSM - 65x AVGO - 54x
I didn't miss any boat kid. I was an early investor in AMD, NVDA, INTC, and NBIS. The difference is that I'm not blinded by the illusion of infinite growth just because of some trend you saw on Instagram or TikTok. Hardware is fundamentally cyclical due to obvious energy, demand, and cost constraints. Resources aren't infinite. For instance, advertising is a constant. You always need to advertise, which is exactly why GOOG and META are fundamentally non-cyclical businesses. Hyper growth has nothing to do with being cyclical or not. Microsoft already looking for cheap AI models, why? Because they know it is not sustainable, because no one will pay that much for it. So far it has been mostly subsidized by hyper scalers, this has stopped. I work as a software engineer, and I can tell you that token cost has dramatically increased, which makes companies be more careful with AI spending.
I didn't miss any boat kid. I was an early investor in AMD, NVDA, INTC, and NBIS. The difference is that I'm not blinded by the illusion of infinite growth just because of some trend you saw on Instagram or TikTok. Hardware is fundamentally cyclical due to obvious energy, demand, and cost constraints. Resources aren't infinite. For instance, advertising is a constant. You always need to advertise, which is exactly why GOOG and META are fundamentally non-cyclical businesses. Hyper growth has nothing to do with being cyclical or not. Microsoft already looking for **cheap** AI models, why? Because they know it is **not sustainable,** because no one will pay that much for it. So far it has been mostly subsidized by hyper scalers, this has stopped. I work as a software engineer, and I can tell you that token cost has dramatically increased, which makes companies be more careful with AI spending.
I am totally out of NVDA and have lost conviction in them. Missed out on a lot of profit thinking they would finally break out
Why are so many of you guys so confident that you’ll be the first to know when Semiconductor demand is waning. Like, in what world would you get to exit first? I think we’re seeing a constant exit of NVDA with no need for a reason.
This reminds me of time when NVDA went from 970 to 760 or so(pre split) So many people sold & it went to 1300+ in a few weeks
But more players entering the space including multiple Chinese companies, which have historically over saturated tech/ hardware markets by flooding supply. “compute” demand could slow more than what has been priced in, which has only been bull case expectations. Which is why SNDK had a near 30% pull back on META news that implied that the companies creating all the “demand” may have actually over-ordered and now have excess that they need to find other ways to generate revenue from than just “training AI.” GPU rental prices have pulled back massively over the last month which implies a decline in pricing power aka declining demand or supply/ demand equilibrium. It’s starting to look like the mass hoarding of GPUs/ borderline fraud that’s taken place by big tech as it pertains to the circularity that has driven the market and beat/raise machine for 3+ years on AI trade could have been a ploy for the big players to create a massive barrier to entry for competitors. It’s an open “secret” that big tech companies fueling NVDA’s revenue and chip demand for 12+ quarters have thousands of GPUs in warehouses collecting dust. SNDK’s 4,000% stock price increase has priced in 5+ more years of NAND prices and shipments at extremely elevated levels and the cyclicality of memory being a thing of the past, so current reporting figures don’t matter as much as reassurance that they could provide that it will indeed continue for the foreseeable future. Any crack in that narrative or anything less than extreme-spread beats above consensus estimates would be detrimental for the stock. Having said that, I wouldnt be surprised to see the stock go up 20%+ on reporting what is already expected/ priced in. But in that event it’s still questionable if that move would sustain for very long outside of the initial hype/ headline/ algo/ fomo driven pump, as evidenced by MU earnings pump that didn’t even hold up for a week before a crazy drawdown
The all new NVDA x Italian Night Club allows you to mine dogecoin onto 5x faster while you consume 900 calories in your moms basement
That level of investment would be a rounding error for NVDA. If the memory gouging keeps up, maybe NVDA becomes a memory player.
CAT and NVDA as well. He’s off to a good start on all 3.
most people do not beat the S&P 500, don’t be greedy, take your profits and put them into an index fund while you’re so far in the green. could they keep going up? yea, but they could also crash any day now. The S&P’s largest holding is NVDA anyways, so you will still have plenty exposure
It really depends on how much any given stock drops. A 25% bear market could mean a company like NVDA is down 75% while MSFT is down 20%. Therefore, I can't give a good answer beyond "it depends".
Dude... Forget post pandemic, MU was 62 in April of 2025, are you really telling me you would had held its flat ass for 5 years meanwhile NVDA climbed to a trillion dollars? MU was the junkiest semi short of SMCI for a long while, this AI pump literally fell into its lap. Nobody saw this coming
If NVDA keep falling he will have to open one
I stopped with my ROTH IRA when I decided to stay in the Army instead of get out. In three years I will get 50% of Lieutenant Colonel pay then any disability from three deployments to AFG and getting a Purple Heart. I buy a share of VOO a month then a share of LMT, PLTR, and NVDA. Then I also have 7500 shares of HUMA that are busting my balls right now. The science is great already have FDA approval but slow sales for the first product. Hopefully dialysis approval gets it moving back in the right direction.
SPY ripping without NVDA. Imagine NVDA pops
I remember when NVDA was everyone’s favorite child. Now it just sits in the corner.
Burry with the autistic timing on NVDA
Yeah, I think that NBIS just got put in second place in neocloud, in a AMD/NVDA dynamic, very bullish imo
Sold a csp on for NVDA 180. Come home, my son
Is this a “buy the dip” dip on NVDA or fair value
fucking NVDA, man. What the hell?!?!?!
AMD goes up 10%, NVDA goes up 1% AMD goes down 4%, NVDA goes down 4%
NVDA what are you doing!? Not on the bed!!
I have become a long term NVDA bag holder.
Literally $NVDA dumping for nothing
NVDA’s rise from shit lasted one day
I’m gonna follow the “NVDA lets me know if markets going up or down for the day” guy from yesterday, I’ll lyk how much I lose
Its more of a sign their model probably dont need that much. Over CAPEX. NVDA lower on the morning not sure its this news
TF happened on NVDA?? 😭😭
meta selling excess AI capacity means capex is gonna go down since it means they HAVE excess capacity, NVDA MU SNDK dump on open
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** ▲ | $210.00 (above) | $199.40 | $196.74 | +5.3% | Jul 2, 10:07 PM |
Sure bets: MSFT AVGO ASML NVDA TSM
I've never been this bullish on nasdaq since 2022. M. Burry is hella wrong this time about NVDA, the p/e chart speaks clearly
Who bought NVDA at 210……..this guy that’s who
NVDA has been garbage since the Iran war started
trading algo must've flipped a sign or something no other way to explain those giant red candles on NVDA
Mag7 spiking except NVDA lol NVDA = 🚮
I'm running one right now on NVDA and selling CCs against it. Works great! Now I just need NVDA to go back up at some point by the end of this year. Lol
Can we see NVDA over 200 today!? 👀
What are the chances NVDA actually does something today
I tried to go in on puts probably 10 times yesterday on TSLA. Didn't work out super well. Maybe 7/10 I had profit, 3-5%. But then an hour before market close I lowered DTE and went in with a bigger position and lost all my scalp gains. Made money on NVDA calls. Ended the day down 20% from open. I knew TSLA was going to keep fucking me but I was too stubborn to try and get a win on the puts with it. I'm a stubborn ass bear, working on fixing that.
NVDA up 3.5% YTD. What to do with all these gainzzz
NVDA. Zero originality here but if I get one last YOLO I’m riding the AI bubble until the wheels fall off and praying for one more stupid melt up before the music stops 😂
Spcx is scam. Only Google and NVDA made more profit than MU right now
I need $NVDA to $250 expeditiously
Are my NVDA nov 240Cs fucked?
Im fucken day trading NVDA. Did 4 rips yesterday. 190 target bulk entry. 187 backup limit DCA. 192 start entry.
I regret to inform you that your NVDA calls have stage 5 LIGMA. Im so sorry 😔
All big tech going debt market and free cash flow disappearing $GOOG $AMZN $NVDA $MSFT $META all free cash flow wipeout and soon all see ROI of AI is negligible. Soon all dump semi $SMH , it can crash 80% semi stocks
I mean I beat the snp easily over the last 6 years…but that was largely d/t NVDA and Broadcom….
Bought NVDA in 2017/2018. Sold about half over the years and now thinking it's time to dump the rest
No but I'm 10% RKLB, and AMD, NVDA, GOOGL were all up as well.
NVDA gonna have a 4% day very soon
I'd always go picks and shovels. I have copper miners for this very reason - datacenters will use loads of copper. Lithium miners for the lithium with the uptake in EVs outside the US and battery storage in and out of the US etc etc. To me, all the NVDA companies are all mega overpriced.
the NVDA pullback movement was super predictable … why the fuck did i buy leaps two weeks ago
I think the interesting question isn't whether NVDA or AMAT is the better business—it's how much exposure you actually want at each layer of the AI stack. You could make a reasonable case for owning: Infrastructure (NVDA, AMD), Equipment (AMAT, ASML, LRCX), Foundries (TSMC), Hyperscalers (MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL), Software/app layer. That way you're not making a single bet on where the economic profits ultimately end up. History shows that sometimes the biggest winners aren't the companies everyone talks about today. The harder part is deciding the allocation between those buckets rather than picking one "winner."
Mattel needs to integrate Ai into He Man and introduce She Man and we be printin tendies. How about Hor Wheels but with Ai steering or self driving levitating tracks? Integrate memoy in track with NVDA chipset. Why they too stupid to do?
What’s the next NVDA, MU? I’m tired of small gains.
Seriously though, on a day like this... NVDA barely moves? What's happening to it?
A few points and problems I'm seeing with those (again, my Highly Regarded Opinion) are the following: This Rally has been based on a small part of the Market running White Hot for years now and trying to carry everything else. So far it's not translating to making more consumer growth, which makes up most of the Market. And the reason I think it will probably never translate to real consumer growth (the "AI Abundance" promise) is because AI is fundamentally about efficiency, not growth. The rally has been at least partially on how many consumers can lose their jobs to AI. Mass layoffs happen when new tech comes in, but that is usually the very cause of Recessions too. There has never been a Rally that celebrates how many consumers can be laid off i n a consumer driven economy. And we are already seeing that, despite monster earnings, stocks MU and NVDA have selloffs the same night or next day. That's WallStreet knowing the AI story is ending imro.
Just waiting on the Big Dram names to start doing what NVDA is and create more circular investment 🔁 .
Wanted to buy some Amazon but all my money is tied up in NVDA bags……
Remember the days when NVDA would just pump 5% for no reason. Tomorrow is that day.
Why is NVDA in this awkward ass angle where they dont pump when the MAG7 pumps and they dont pump when semis pump? But they for sure go down when everything is down!!
I bought lots of IREN and NVDA calls today
NKE Calls, NVDA Puts that’s my strategy.