NVDA

bearhunter429

As long as you you have diamond hands. During the 2022 bear market NVDA dropped 70% from top to bottom. LMAO🤌

opsqttt

I’m gonna send my entire 300k port into NVDA shares tomorrow and hold for 5+ years. Am i regarded for this? I’ve made up my mind

MaxEhrlich

I remember the bull run that was NVDA from sub 200 up to 1100 before its split. It’s my opinion (NFA) that MU is in that phase as demand for what they provide is key to much of the world’s evolution into AI.

phatpham1803

Should I sell all my NVDA and AMD shares to all in MU ?

wm313

I'm *back* in. I sold way before the huge run they just had. The best thing about MU is their room for growth. NVDA wasn't the leader until one day they just were. MU doesn't need to lead any time soon, but they have a real path to $1T, and that's the best thing you can ask for right now. The shift you see, plus investor sentiment, could shoot this up into high PE territory but that's ok if they are securing contracts and ramping up production. They could be a quiet NVDA-type of company if the demand shifts. They don't even have to be like NVDA. They just need some good quarters and some hype, and they'll be on their way before we can even really notice. They've already had the big year of returns. I'll happily take 30% next year, which is still crazy to think of as an expected return. They'll likely do more than that though.

FullCopy

Love NVDA. The rides are fun and never a boring day with options.

gly-rad

Agree with this point but would like to add that forward P/E is more like NVDA (24x) and AVGO (35x). Both of which are much more reasonable than the 46x and 73x today.

MaxDragonMan

Just saw that news about NVDA buying INTC stock. That's bonkers - somehow I totally missed that news. Either that, or it came out only today.

SkierBuck

Yes. The big difference is P/E where NVDA is an expensive 46x and AVGO is an absurd 73x.

mehmilani

Honest question: for the "average" investor, is this a good spot to buy or sell NVDA?

chumbubbles

Up across the board 50% Main holdings GOOGL RKLB NVDA AAPL HOOD NBIS

broncoelway100

Snagged Goog and NVDA in April also sold TSSI at a 110% gain on average. Only 10% of my portfolio is in individual stocks. My Roth says 26% return. Rest was index funds majority in VTI. Value index funds underperformed but I will maintain my allocation.

sharkykid

Isn't that NVDA's P/S ratio as well?

Even-Square-6246

I wish NVDA is the price of Google right now and hood the price of NVDA

Even-Square-6246

NVDA does best on Tuesday tomorrow nvda pls

DarthOniichan

NVDA overnight making me sad.

KittyLover-7

NVDA

BagHolding

Yeah I sold NVDA off.. at a 1,300% gain. How dumb are you? We need to put you as the poster boy of retards on WSB

nknk_3

Can anyone please start a fake news about China invading Taiwan, I have some NVDA puts.

Away-Personality9100

Better to write for example: Bought NVDA call strike 200 exp. 21.01.28 Sold NVDA call strike 200 exp. 02.01.26

alexbananas

Wtf was I doing in Elementary school that was more important than buying NVDA leaps? Fuck I’m a regard

tabrizzi

For the next year or two, $MU is going to rally like $NVDA did at one time. Won't be surprised if it rockets to $500+ by the end of 2026.

Constant-Bridge3690

I'm trying to find mid cap stocks to research but nothing seems like a better opportunity than just buying the Mag 7. NVDA is projected to grow revenue 50% in 2026 and has a 59% operating margin. That is the baseline and nothing, except for MU, comes close.

Crazy_Donkies

Breaking news: "NVDA accidentally wrote the $20b check to Grok, instead of GROQ. Elon cashed the check anyways saying it's too hard to live on $1 trillion dollars.

Abject-Shopping-4492

My 25 percent stop loss is based on option premium paid. When lol buying stocks or using the chart your stop loss must be below the previous support level preferably a moving average like 20/50/200 or the VWAP or 8/21EMA. Options are riskier. Keep in mind and stock in bull uptrend can pull back 38.2 percent of the last move up and still be bullish. Good luck. Also not all options trade the same. If I am trading a stock option on NVDA I will observe how it moves with price fluctuations to learn its personality.

oralgimmick

Well if you think that you should have just bought NVDA in 2004. Your cost basis would be around $.20 cents

CuteDust3475

Given where you’re at, I think LEAPS make more sense than short-dated CSPs. With NVDA’s volatility, 1–2 week CSPs can move against you fast, especially while you’re still getting comfortable with the Greeks. LEAPS give you more time, cleaner risk, and a better learning curve for a 5–10% goal

Bitter_Macaron_4032

Fair question. Let me ground this in what actually happened with Intel/AMD: Intel during AMD's EPYC takeover (2017-2025): * Market share: Went from 99%+ server share (2017) to 72.7% (Q2 2025) * Stock performance: -15.45% total return over 5 years vs AMD's 53.30% annualized * Intel didn't die - they're still generating revenue. But shareholders got crushed as margins compressed and growth stalled. My NVDA valuation thesis follows the same pattern: NVDA current: \~$187, 47x forward PE, 73% gross margins If AMD takes 15-20 points of share by 2027 (same cadence as EPYC), NVDA's margins compress to 68-70% and PE contracts to 35-40x. That puts fair value around $130-145. Not collapse - just repricing as the monopoly breaks. AMD current: \~$215, 22x forward PE, 35% projected CAGR If MI400 executes like Milan/Genoa did, AMD continues scaling from here as GPU revenue accelerates and margins expand toward NVDA levels (still lower, but closing the gap). The trade: Long AMD from $116 (now \~$215, up 85%). Adding NVDA Jan 2027 $180 puts ($26.65 premium, breakeven at $153.35) betting on margin compression repricing the stock to $130-145 range. That's 50-88% return on the puts if the thesis plays out. The thesis isn't "NVDA goes to zero." It's that AMD starts growing faster in NVDA's core market, margins compress, and NVDA reprices lower even while revenue grows. Intel's still alive - their shareholders just wish they'd rotated earlier. What's your take on fair value?

PennyStonkingtonIII

I like to target 80% of my stocks to be conservative and 20% more speculative. My entire 401k is in broad based ETFs with some bonds and a few energy stocks. My taxable portfolio is more speculative. I combined 2 basic advices to make my “strategy”. 1. Invest in what you know. 2. The best holding period is forever. So when I see a stock that I see as an opportunity based on my own experience and knowledge, I’ll buy it IF I believe I can hold it very long term. Right now I’m only holding 2 like this - RDDT and NVDA.

cbusoh66

Today may be the last day you can buy NVDA under $190, maybe tomorrow, but come January, $200 will look like a fucking bargain. Not many understand that Groq inference play and the big money is waiting until January to enter/reenter. Good luck chasing it then.

Fhyzikz

NVDA got its retard strength back it seems. NVDA baggies rejoice. We are coming back for our fallen brothers at 190+ soon

Bitter_Macaron_4032

Fair points on ROCm - it's still catching up, no question. But the gap is closing faster than people think. PyTorch has official ROCm support now, and Meta/Microsoft are already deploying MI300X at scale for inference. At the very least it's being integrated and considered by players that once stood by NVIDIA. That's enough for me to see the value. Basically ROCm sucks until it doesn't, and it's getting closer to not being shit every day. On the RAM modules: MI400 is coming with 432GB HBM4 at 19.6 TB/s bandwidth. If NVIDIA's pluggable RAM strategy works, great for them - but AMD's already shipping competitive memory specs on integrated packages. The question is cost and time-to-market. Your 40/40/20 split is actually pretty reasonable for risk management. I'm more concentrated (heavy AMD, short NVDA) because I think the 2026-2027 window is the inflection point, but I respect the diversified approach. The CUDA moat is real. I'm just betting that when CFOs are looking at $30B infrastructure budgets and ROCm is "good enough" for most workloads, the 4x cost gap becomes impossible to justify. Same thing happened with EPYC - Intel's ecosystem was "better" until the economics forced adoption. Appreciate the thoughtful take instead of just "AI FUD" dismissal.

DiamondHandzXD

NVDA 190

OGWFORLIFE

Yeah man can’t wait until NVDA is 20 trillion dollars because people talk to something that the internet provides already

mindrunner

$AMD has really bad software. As much as I like it as a competitor, now that RAM prices have skyrocketed and $NVDA will release GPUs with pluggable ram modules, CUDA will still be the goto for AI training. I'd still be like 40% $NVDA 40% $GOOG 20% $AMD

Own-Philosophy-3986

NVDA comeback

csr8765

COST double the multiple of NVDA. Thing could get cut in half again from here and still be wildly overvalued

bodaflack

There is a massive TAM increase in the coming years that only 3 companies can fill. Only one of those companies is US based. It takes many years to compete in the market and the costs are insanely high, so chances of major competition entering the market in the 0-5yr time horizon are slim to none. They have insane pricing power right now that is going to go almost 100% to the bottom line. They guided for 30$ plus run rate. Do the math. This is the same thing that happened when NVDA was guiding for massive growth. The market was always behind because everyone said it was cyclical.

DarthOniichan

Should I hold onto my 01/02 190 NVDA calls?

beejee05

Will NVDA hit $200 by New Years?

Own-Philosophy-3986

NVDA 👑

KittyLover-7

Now NVDA is going to spend all time it’s time till Jan opex to bounce between 185-190

Ecstatic335

In September, NVDA invested in Intel, and the two are working together on things like packaging. It feels like Nvidia is throwing Intel a lifeline, while also teaming up on AI and PC projects.

Own-Philosophy-3986

NVDA 🚀🚀🚀🚀

Own-Philosophy-3986

NVDA please do something

Low-Pomegranate-5585

NVDA

SuspiciousStable9649

Why would NVDA buy shares of INTC?

Machine8851

NVDA has gained roughly 40% for the year, I wouldnt be surprised if it hit all time highs and gained at least 40% or more in 2026 with a price target in the upper 200's

mathewgilson

Let’s be real here, the only reason NVDA ponied up any money is because of trump. If they didn’t then there would not be a possibility of selling anything to china

SnowballWasRight

This was my first year of trading. I’m 17 and was just playing with some money I’ve saved for years. Decided to be a lil silly and bought mostly NVDA and some VOO. Even though I’m up 30 percent I’m going to be rethinking my investment strategies now that I have a regular income and can open a Roth. It was fun gambling while it lasted. I can’t help but feel like I’ve been incredibly spoiled this year. Can’t wait to be in a bear market lol

VotedOut

>"I structured an investment thesis the way analysts have structured them for decades." I disagree. There's variance in their formatting, structure, language style from what I've seen - and they don't all look like the ChatGPT stereotype response. But whatever, I'll let this one go and ask you: Do you have any analysis on what you think NVDA and AMD's valuation should be?

manlymatt83

I've got $25k in an account and I'm down 10%. Don't ask but I have $15k of Costco and $10k of NVDA. Thinking of switching this all to TQQQ and checking back in 6 months. Simple and still a good chance of getting my $3k back. Thoughts?

PhilosophyMammoth748

how many cents NVDA cost in 2004?

Bitter_Macaron_4032

Fair. You did argue specifics - my bad on the dismissive opener. On the short: It's a hedge and a conviction play on margin compression. You're right that both can grow in revenue terms. But if NVDA's gross margins compress from 75% toward 65-70% as AMD takes share and pricing pressure builds, the stock reprices even if revenue grows. The market pays 30-40x for dominant margin businesses. It pays 20-25x for competitive ones. Theta is real risk. That's why Burry's using 2027 expiries - long enough for the margin pressure to show up in guidance, not just speculation. I'm sizing the puts small relative to the AMD long for exactly this reason. Your portfolio makes sense - you're playing the rotation without timing NVDA's peak. That's probably smarter risk-adjusted returns. I'm just willing to pay the theta cost because I think the 2026-2027 window is when NVDA guidance starts reflecting real competition and margins get questioned. If I'm wrong and NVDA holds 80%+ share with 75% margins through 2027, the puts expire worthless and I eat the premium. But the AMD long still works. If I'm right about rotation, both legs print. Appreciate the actual pushback instead of "get a job" bullshit. I have a job btw and it's somewhere relevant to my reasoning.

thinkneo

Smart approach. picking the winning robot company is a crapshoot, but they all need components. The actual supply chain breakdown: Precision reducers/gears (this is the niche monopoly): \- Harmonic Drive (Japan: 6324.T) and Nabtesco (Japan: 6268.T) control \~75% of the precision gear market for robot joints. every robot arm needs these. extremely hard to replicate - takes years of manufacturing expertise. closest thing to a monopoly in robotics. Servos/motion control: \- Yaskawa (Japan: 6506.T) - largest servo motor manufacturer globally \- Fanuc (Japan: 6954.T) - dominant in industrial robots AND makes their own servos \- Rockwell Automation (ROK) - US play on industrial automation \- Parker Hannifin (PH) - motion and control systems Machine vision: \- Cognex (CGNX) - dominant in industrial machine vision. high margins, niche leader \- Keyence (Japan: 6861.T) - sensors, vision systems. insanely profitable, 50%+ margins Lidar/sensors: \- this space is crowded and bleeding money. Luminar, Ouster, Hesai all struggling. I'd avoid until there's a clear winner \- Sick AG (Germany) is the boring profitable option for industrial sensors Chips: \- NVDA for AI training and edge compute (Jetson platform is popular in robotics) \- AMD growing in data center, also has embedded solutions \- Qualcomm (QCOM) for mobile/edge robotics \- Texas Instruments (TXN) and Analog Devices (ADI) for the less sexy but essential motor control chips The picks I'd actually consider: 1. Harmonic Drive or Nabtesco (duopoly on precision gears) 2. Cognex or Keyence (machine vision, actual moats) 3. Rockwell or Yaskawa (automation exposure)

Crazy_Donkies

I argued specifics. I disagree with the premium claim because of the entire NVDA ecosystem ensuring ongoing value. Finally, per your statements, if NVDA can still grow, with AMD growing faster, why are you shorting NVDA?  Seems to me theta will eat you alive you're better off putting more into AMD. Funny enough the only MAG7s I own are GOOG and AMZN (new position) and I'm long AMD, AVGO, MU, and some others.  I see rotation into AMD and AVGO, but think it's stupid to short NVDA.

Own-Philosophy-3986

NVDA is like that one college girl who can’t pick which football guy she wants to commit to but still ends up on top

Even-Square-6246

NVDA use the A more than the V

Bitter_Macaron_4032

"Priced in" is what people say when they can't argue specifics. On depreciation: I didn't say GPUs become worthless overnight. I said there's a mismatch between accounting depreciation (5-6 years) and economic depreciation (2-3 years for cutting-edge training). Yes, older GPUs get rotated to inference - that's exactly my point. They lose their premium value faster than the balance sheet reflects. Burry's thesis is about earnings quality, not whether H100s turn into paperweights. On market growth: You're making my argument for me. If NVDA loses 10% share while the market grows, that's... gradual rotation. Which is literally what I called it. AMD doesn't need NVDA to collapse. They need to do what they did with EPYC - take 15-20 points of share over 3-4 years while the market expands. Both can grow. AMD just grows faster. On "easy button" premium: This logic worked for Intel too. Right up until it didn't. Nobody wants to pay 4x for convenience when ROCm works and your capex budget is $30B. The "easy button" premium exists until CFOs start asking why the fuck they're paying it. On my positions: I'm long AMD because they're taking share. I'm short NVDA because their margins compress as competition arrives. This isn't "rotating out of tech" - it's playing the shift within tech. Intel didn't die when AMD took server share. They just stopped growing and their multiples compressed. Same pattern. You're confusing "bullish on AI" with "bullish on NVDA specifically." I'm extremely bullish on AI. I just think the profits distribute differently going forward. Enjoy your bags.

Crazy_Donkies

Priced in. The depreciation claim is invalid. Whitepapers and managements' assertions have already invalidated much of this.  Experts have stated older GPUs are still very much being used for inference and rotated into less demanding work over years.   Do some math on NVDA vs AMD.  NVDA could lose 10% market share while still growing sales and forward profits because the market is growing so much.   However, you don't realize just why people are buying NVDA; they're an easy button for infrastructure.  The premium is worth it in many cases. Finally, your argument for this is bat shit crazy and collapses on itself.  You claim depreciation is a problem but instead of rotating out of tech you're recommending another tech company.  Price to performance is similar between NVDA and AMD and any difference is negated by the easy button. You touch yourself to spreading the ongoing AI FUD.  Get a job.

GoZukkYourself

I see you NVDA 👀

Own-Philosophy-3986

NVDA carry

Own-Philosophy-3986

NVDA 190 eod

Own-Philosophy-3986

need NVDA to come back already

KittyLover-7

Only need NVDA at 210 by next week, nothing major

UltraBonerFartLord

Buy the NVDA dip, this is obvious

DarthOniichan

Let’s go NVDA.

loud-spider

haha, so last week getting INTC to do manufacturing for NVDA wasn't going to work and the stock went down, and this week they're buying a chunk. Welcome to the Too Big To Fail Consortium.

DiegoMilan

Depends on your conviction for NVDA long-term. If you feel doubtful/don't have peace of mind, sell and throw into index until you feel there's another opp like what you identified 🤷‍♂️

CEOofBeanz

Someone send an OF whore to NVDA’s house so he gets hard

TheNplus1

Sell it and buy some NVDA calls. You show her!

composer98

Since 12% of that fund is in NVDA, for which you'd be charged 0.86% per year, on top of what you'd pay the financial advisor, why not take $12,000 and buy NVDA directly? Then, over 8% is MSFT, same fee per year plus. Why not take $8000 and buy MSFT? Then AAPL, nearly 8%, so $8000 AAPL. Now you only have $72,000 to worry about and haven't paid a dollar in fees. $5,000 AVGO and AMZN each, down to $62,000. Gets more and more obvious that this would not be a good choice.

JesusChristDisagrees

True. But now I just overly obsess over NVDA each day wondering if I should sell or not. Having the index retirement on set and forget certainly has a quality to it.

TomatoSpecialist6879

MU kissing my forehead and telling my everything will be fine while NVDA and GOOGL are taking turns raping my asshole raw

JesusChristDisagrees

I bought 1100 shares of NVDA in April. I'm good Index retirement did well

RED-WEAPON

I just saw an article saying Cramer was bullish on NVDA and BTC.

FuckingJPMAlgos

Stock so regarded that it pulled in POTUS and NVDA for a liftoff but still got beaten by fucking RKLB, GLD, SLV.

TomatoSpecialist6879

NVDA and GOOGL being dead beat dads while MU is the father that stepped up

EdnaBDO

As long as NVDA ends up at 185 or above by the end of the trading session January 2nd 2026, you will get your shares called away (and sold at that price). The premium you've collected is not affected by any of this, that's cash that you already own upfront.

nokittythatsmypotpi3

Shut up cnbc clown NVDA is never in the wrong for anything ever

ShittyUsernane1222

My prediction. Taiwan announces peaceful reunification with China renames itself "Taiwan SAR". NVDA and TSMC get sold to china and move know-how and HQ to Shanghai. All of that because 🥭 fucked up a press conference and military planning.

drew-gen-x

It's looking like the Oct 29th high for $QQQ and $NVDA will remain this market cycle's top. Since then we have seen lower highs and lower lows. The reddit bulls stop looking like geniuses when the avg stock buys are all in the red for the last 3 months. It's much harder to hold once your positions are all in the red.

BeneficialQuality899

NVDA is unstoppable

Sensitive-Radish-292

nope, but the question was of "when would they allow it" as it is quite a key deal. Part of it are custom Xeon components for datacenters, every sale of NVDA gpu will now include those. (bullish for INTC) On the otherway it's custom APUs with RTX gpu inside, this way NVDA can get more into corporate. (bullish for NVDA) Both things are bullish, just each one for a different company that's part of this deal.

MoneynRacks

Okay thanks. About VOO, I actually do not like its heavy exposure to tech stocks because I think the AI bubble is bound to pop at some point. So I’ve opted to hold SCHD long term since that is comprised of more defensive stocks and prioritizes dividends growth. But since I am still a young man with (hopefully) lots of time left, I hold NVDA alone as my tech exposure since that is the heavy hitter in that industry. I think that alone would capture the majority of % gains that I would see from the industry as a whole. Last question. What do you think about holding CPB long term? I know it’s historically a major US food company, but recently it’s sort of been forced to adjust its business strategy and re-balance its product offering portfolio. But for long term, I like to think that it is bound to recover at some point because of brand strength and its wide moat. Do you have any thoughts on this?

ZincHead

I was really out there running around on a playground like a goddamn idiot when I could have full ported into NVDA with my $5 weekly allowance. 

iShitBloodandCumShit

Spy dipping while NVDA ripping lmao

lipmanz

NVDA on a damn spending spree

DarthOniichan

My NVDA calls are coming back 🥹

UltraBonerFartLord

NVDA going back to 190 by end of day, obvious as hell

mathewgilson

But you didn’t read where all NVDA testing has been stopped due to the quality doesn’t meet the standards set by TSMC, oh snap

mathewgilson

First of all long time NVDA holder here but this just confirms to me at least, that intel isn’t even close to TSMC.

FuckingJPMAlgos

Does anyone know if Pelosi is still holding on to the NVDA from 3 years ago?

Ok-Assistant-1761

Yes you all should buy all of these stocks at record prices with crazy valuations that may require doubling of revenue YoY forever(NVDA) or else the market panics. This is the way, I am not selling ;) a significant portion of my semi stocks in Q1 in anticipation of a Q3 correction. I am regard. But I do agree GOOG is solid just not a great buy price point in the immediate short term, but it’s an unbeatable investment (have held my shares since 2019)

Own-Philosophy-3986

!banbet NVDA $190 1w

Radiant_Benefit_5623

NVDA move into ASIC shows foresight but AI still needs GPU so NVDA market is secure the key is sticking to your own investment strategy

FuckingJPMAlgos

Alternative version (whichever makes stonks go up, you choose) - Intel then takes $5B stake in NVDA, NVDA then takes $5B stake in Intel, Intel then takes $5B stake in NVDA ... OMG Intel is a 10T market cap company and NVDA is now 100T market cap behemoth!

mathewgilson

Their chips are shit and NVDA already put them in timeout last week because they don’t standup to the high standards

EmuIntrepid7374

NVDA gonna head back to 180 eoy isn’t it? 😭

keemosupremo

See! NVDA just had to fill those gaps