NVDA

Electronic-Advisor72

Just wait until the AI sex robots (powered by NVDA) get released.

verified-trader

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** | $240.00 (above) | $217.70 | +10.2% | Sep 29, 10:48 PM |

Rebel8787

!banbet NVDA 240 1m

WordsHappenedHere

Clowns in here don’t know how to buy weakness or have any conviction in anything. They only know how to chase. Smart money was loading MU last year at $65 and retards in here have a cost basis of $1000. There are hundreds of tickers that can turn into the next NVDA or MU. But no one in here would buy them

Three_of_a_kind3515

Nice! I looked it up after asking.. was going to guess May of 2023… my wife and I have owned NVDA since it was first recommend by The Motley Foole.. like 2012? It is a great one just to hold on to. Good luck. Winner for many more years to come!

Few-Coyote5744

No better option than NVDA and APP right now

MaxDisdain

Bear case is that AI is not sustainable in its current form. If the end users ultimately see it as not worth it or only worth a bit of money like paying for M365 then the sector will be red more than gree. NVDA/chips are also making a lot of money on the fact that they are still buying the cutting edge. If end users ultimately just want a bit of a helper app there is no need for the cutting edge hardware, just any old shit will do. People are running local AI on their shit computers and it's not completely terrible. NVdia pivoting to data centers doesn't really address this, as customers will just run to the cheapest service they can get. It all ends in margins getting smaller. I'm not sure why anyone would invest in NVDA when you can invest in MU or related companies for a higher upside with a similar bear case. You take the risk either way, get some possible upside at least.

wileywyatt

Post your shares of NVDA & gains from them now, and we can compare what’s “insanity”.

wileywyatt

In this case I discovered NVDA before most other Investors heard about NVDA, and I bought the stock for cheap in 2021. I haven’t sold the stock since, and NVDA has grown to be one of the biggest companies in the world. My “technique” was reading about new technology, and the companies producing it. NVDA started making custom GPUs for blockchain mining & then realized they could make custom chips for anything (ASICs). Do your research & invest in companies you believe in!

buddumz

That next morning after NVDA he would have had a very small window to get out. After that it was all down hill. By Friday those contracts were 0.50

Opposite-Lobster2470

I have two NVDA $217.5 calls 9/18 exp how cooked am I

d33p7r0ubl3

Huh? Cramer has been owning NVDA since 2017 or so iirc

TopDesigner6211

Do my NVDA puts expiring tomorrow stand a chance yes or no

MeanieManh0le

shorted semis after NVDA earnings

whyshw

Car makers financing their overpriced trucks and SUVs = cool NVDA financing their overpriced GPUs = not cool

Queasy_Soil9646

Monday NVDA back to $230

Sean_VasDeferens

The CFO for NVDA referred to it as the "flywheel". When the CFO of a multi-trillion dollar company starts talking about perpetual motion and magical flywheels we should all be scared of what's to come.

Homeless0DTESPX

Voodoo5 was the coolest graphics card, sorry NVDA bolls

music_is_gud

> once weights are public... There is licensing > Not their business model today... Doesn't mean they cannot pivot > why devs is it... Lots of companies (that were not historically AI first) use it cuz they don't have the in-house expertise and resources to do it on their own . My previous company which was a startup used it for this exact reason. Like I said, the more important reason for this acquisition is the Jevons paradox. Own the AI stack and provide it to the user for free/cheap so it indirectly supports your hardware growth. NVDA already tried this with their Nemo efforts in house, so this makes a lot of sense.

syedhuda

NVDA biggest shareholder is Vanguard group.....second biggest is blackrock......black rock's biggest shareholder is vanguard group....and somehow i suspect citadel in everything

music_is_gud

If AI gets commoditized, hugging face will be at the forefront of selling cheap open source AI models. Not to mention, selling cheap AI to smaller companies would enable them to use AI more which will translate to more sales for NVDA. It's a clever move.

Legitimate_Tailor858

So let’s match moneyness. NVDA $200 is about 8% ITM. The equivalent BE strike is roughly $195. That BE LEAP costs around $93.50, or 44% of the stock price, for roughly 75 shares of delta-equivalent exposure. The high volatility explains the price — it doesn’t make the leverage attractive. That’s exactly what I’m trying to measure. So with both validations you reach the same poor leverage . The PAR give you all this info quickly

Coda70

Nice. I just pulled out a quarter mil after making a killing on NVDA and put it into my house which is something not enough peeps do around here. Just added a couple more Nov contracts on oracle. I’ll get out of those when there’s a month to go or sooner. 9/10 will be exciting. I don’t see oracle going much lower. https://preview.redd.it/mevqj0ecdjmh1.jpeg?width=2752&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4843ab451abfc117febe40f84762380acb8a95a7

PapaCharlie9

**RED FLAGS** - To all readers of this OP, please think about the following claims and ask yourselves these questions: * OP defines "premium at risk" to be total premium (not just extrinsic value) / stock price. What is the derivation of this metric? What does it prove or disprove? * The NVDA to BE comparison compares an ITM call to an OTM call. Is that a fair comparison? * No effort is made to account for intrinsic value. The NVDA "premium at risk" includes $2, or about 1%, of intrinsic value. The BE case, being OTM, has no intrinsic value. Consider XYZ shares at $200 and a 100 call whose premium is $100, i.e., all intrinsic value. The "premium at risk" would be 50%. Is that bad? It's more than either of the examples in the OP. Oddly enough, most people could call that 2 to 1 leverage, which is a good thing. * The OP asserts, "Both also have IV near the lower end of their own one-year range," and yet, the OTM call for BE is 0.70 delta. Think about that. An **OTM call has a delta greater than 0.50.** Unfortunately, this being a Sunday, I can't look at live quotes to verify that the deltas for OTM calls are being that inflated by IV, as would be necessary for an OTM call to have a delta above 0.50. But assuming that is not a typo, it's a hint that the IV on BE calls is many times larger than the IV on NVDA calls, which make comparisons between the premiums of calls on both tickers even more problematic.

FartPolluter

My prediction: Next week flat broadly af as we all are on a slow death march to Anthropic IPO. We will get another titan of the tech world warn we "have moved beyond Terminator 1 and are more at a T2 type scenario" or something similar. The bols desperately seeking leverage to buy catepillar because every data center needs a panic room while Burry says that while T2 is very much on the cards, NVDA will see a drawdown first tldr; theta week, maybe pump on earnings for something retarded

Shoty6966-_-

Fuck it dude just buy 9/2 230 calls for NVDA at open. 50k might retire you. Or you work until you die.

Shoty6966-_-

If NVDA goes to $600 by Wednesday I’m a millionaire!

Kantmzk

I didn't go into stocks intending to have a Roth IRA made up of MSFT and NVDA but it has been working.

volckerwasright

Nah NVDA and AAPL both crush them

Samjabr

I'll see you in hell, NVDA

Aioli_Abject

I know. I have covered calls sold on both. NVDA is somewhat of a slow burn compared to BE which is a more exciting name (and so more risk and so more premium and so more need to roll aggressively if/when needed) and that is all in summary is high volatility.

Dealer_Existing

I mean, paying 50% of the full stock ownership is still better capital deployment than owning stock. For example the jan 28 NVDA $150 strike goes for $85. This is still 2.7x better capital deployment than buying 100x NVDA for 21.7k

rupert1920

> Higher BE volatility explains the premium, but it doesn’t make the LEAP attractive. That’s why I like looking at Premium at Risk as a separate filter. Or you just look at IV... All you're saying here is heavy call skew and high IV made BE options more expensive than NVDA.

Muted_Start5727

You're paying more premium on BE because it's a higher volatility name and the market knows it can move a lot. NVDA is also volatile but the options are priced relative to each stock's own history, not against each other. For me if I'm paying over 30% of share price in premium I start looking at just buying the stock instead, unless I have very strong conviction the stock will run far past my strike. That 41% on BE means you need the stock to go to like $306 just to break even at expiration, which is a lot to ask even in two years.

Legitimate_Tailor858

Right — NVDA doesn’t need a crazy move to work. That’s the point. With much lower Premium at Risk, a smaller move can still give a good return. BE has a much higher hurdle because so much premium is at risk.

Legitimate_Tailor858

Fair point — the BE call is basically all extrinsic while the NVDA call has intrinsic value. That actually makes BE even less attractive to me as a LEAP buyer. Going deeper ITM would reduce the extrinsic portion and make it more stock-like, but then I’m committing even more premium. And make stock buying much better R/R That’s the reason I look at Premium at Risk in addition to delta. At some point the capital saving versus owning the shares just isn’t worth the option risk.

DKtwilight

NVDA isn’t gonna swing up 100 points in a week at 5 trillion. Unless it unwinds to the downside

TreGet234

NVDA will be a great pickup at 10$/share in 6 months post ai bubble pop.

Le7emesens

Exactly that's what i keep saying! It was back in the 2010s, people worried on antennagate, iphone market saturated, end of the 2 years phone carriers deal, end of the smartphone upgrade cycle, blablabla, lots of fears AAPL dropped like 20% from its peak, lots of crying and then ...it just kept going up, then for those who were patient, Buffet jumped in... then in 2026, they are crying again over NVDA... Lol.. Lots of buying opportunities here while we can....before Buffet jumps ... again ...into the AI trade ... History often rhymes...

Lootoholic

I don't know anything about this stock, but the AI trade is not dead. There will be another major bull run later this year or next. I prefer major companies, NVDA, MU, AMD, etc.

FailOk1528

NVDA itself looks fine. I’m more worried about whether the guys buying all these GPUs eventually make money on them lol

OptionsDev_81

NVDA earnings is always a coin flip. The main risk here isn't just direction, it's the IV crush right after the call. Even if NVDA pulls back, if the drop doesn't beat the priced-in straddle move, the delta gains won't offset the vega crush on those puts. Hope you have a strict exit plan for market open!

FeverTreeCloud

should have paper handed on MRVL was up $20k the night before earnings thanks to NVDA

SuperBrazilNuts

Yup. GOOG was the easiest to scalp and swing trade last year. It is now anti-correlating during the day time with AI CapEx sell offs. MRAM looks like some juicy bullshit, do you know diff between MRAM and DRAM? I scalped SKHY after the NVDA print and sold off for a nice profit.

sunms1

I’d go 70% NVDA and MU (both still fairly valued) and 30% VOO. Also, I’m A big Jenson fan!

Spiritual_Plum581

Being 18 gives you a huge advantage: time. But I don't think having a long time horizon means you need to take maximum concentration risk. NVDA, TSM, Broadcom, Micron and AMD may look like five different stocks, but many of the same forces drive them: AI spending, semiconductor demand, capex expectations and market sentiment toward AI. So this is much closer to one concentrated bet than five independent bets. The other thing I'd separate is "AI will keep growing" from "AI stocks will keep outperforming." Both can be great companies in a great industry, while the stocks still disappoint if today's prices already reflect very optimistic expectations. At 18, you don't need to choose between boring index investing and going all-in on AI. You could build a diversified core and use a smaller portion of the portfolio for the AI thesis you strongly believe in. Your biggest advantage isn't that you can afford to gamble more. It's that you have decades for compounding to work.

Creative_Youth_4982

what do you think? maybe think in terms of consistent base hits instead of home runs. like buying NVDA on the dip

Queasy_Soil9646

Are we done with NVDA? No movement for 3 more months?

ApathysLastKiss_

That Friday candle on NVDA is just another nail in the coffin of the semi trade. At this point, I'll be interested in soxl when it gets below its previous ath of 60 bucks

longGERN

NVDA bro I do not want a new driver every week just to play on excel and watch porn I miss one driver update and it's like fucking stranger things just tryna open one browser tab

music_is_gud

MU is one of the strongest among the semis sector atp. Idk why some of your talk out of your ass, not sure if that's what you "think" is happening or what. You look at relative strength and NVDA, MU and MRVL are the 3 best stocks in the semis sector

Vlisa

The best returns you ever could have had was invested in every company you knew about (NVDA, AMD, MU, etc.) as an addicted gamer in 2016. Right now, you should be asking what dumb shit your terminally online nephew is using right now and just buy that.

Vlisa

price action "reports" are pure slop. They only exist to generate ad revenue. Just look at NVDA's most recent earnings calling the market's response tepid... until the next day when it jumped to 229

Able-Calendar7508

NVDA… NOW!!!

SuperBrazilNuts

OK I'm going to stop complaining and actually think about my moves because the casino WILL open soon. 1. I am probably buying IREN and swinging it for a couple days, weeks or until the next earnings. 2. I am probably buying NVDA for the same reason 3. I am watching for LITE to make a doodoo move and heavy scalp it or hold overnight. 4. I am basically buying dum dum stuff that bounces like bouncy ball. I'm probably waiting until Wed, my prediction is tape will be red for a few days. If monday's tape is good, I'm in, but more conservative sizing.

Shoty6966-_-

NVDA 220 calls expiring Wednesday close

Samjabr

Never buying NVDA again. I don't give a fk if they make a $Trillion in revenue.

sorryabouthewindow

I sold my sons bike to buy NVDA calls. He doesn’t understand money anyway.

irakhmatov

Strike and expiry are fine. It's the $400 target I'd push back on. You'd make about 4.5x gross there, which is a great payoff, no argument. But $400 from $228 is +75% in 1.4 years. That's 49% a year, compounded. NVDA just doesn't move like that anymore. Look at how far it actually traveled each year, high to low as a % of the low (split-adjusted): 2023: 260% 2024: 223% 2025: 145% 2026 so far: 44% Peaked in 2023 and it's been coming down every year since. Vol says the same thing, 52% in 2024, 50% in 2025, and trailing twelve months is 37.7%. Quietest it's been in five years. Which is the annoying part, because that $300 Jan 28 call is marked at 40.54% IV. So you're paying up for vol the stock hasn't actually delivered. https://preview.redd.it/rz8i6sawlcmh1.png?width=1500&format=png&auto=webp&s=22c13a761eb56d1c3fa1c9f438ccacc818d17dce Rough odds from where it sits now: $300, +31.6%, call it 24% Breakeven around $321.90, +41.2%, about 19% $400, +75.5%, about 9% So $10,900 for roughly a 1 in 5 chance of even getting past breakeven. I'm not saying don't do it. If you've got a specific 2027 thing you're betting on, revenue ramp, margin story, whatever, then fair enough, that's a real thesis. But if the reasoning is basically "it's run hard before," that's the exact thing the numbers say has changed.

remilk123

he claimed a $230k profit shorting NVDA but never posted proof so it might just be talk? :hug: Michael Burry over here but not posting gains at all?

Shoty6966-_-

Please. I got Wednesday calls for NVDA. Fuck I lost everything I gained lmaaooo

Dependent-Panic-9457

I will ask Google to explain this to me. I am buying deep in the money calls on NVDA, MSFT, Apple for 2028. The premium more or less corresponds with the difference between current price and the strike price. So if the share price stays flat for 2 years I am neutral (more or less). If it falls to 0 I am no worse off than if I’d bought the underlying shares, in fact better off - and can just buy the shares at their new low price. Isn’t that all there is to it? Why do I also need to sell a call?

Commercial_Sound1448

NVDA back to 230 on Monday 

CoconutAmbitious2580

I read a bunch of comments and it seems the consensus is: Don't do it! Don't buy the option you specified. IVR on NVDA is super low right now so a good buy for LEAPS most likely, I didn't look. But go with a smaller position and choose a strike at least at or near the current price and better still is DITM 80 delta or higher. Practice that with 1 contract and set your gain for a 50% gain.... Milk it and move to the next one.... Gather the experience by making smaller and more trades rather than large trades fewer times. It's safer and you'll learn more, quicker. I like the Jan 21s.

HitWhereItHurts

applying AMD's p/e to NVDA and calling it a valuation argument is backwards, AMD's the one priced for perfection here. it's sitting right on its 465 put wall with dealers net negative gamma, that's a name priced for volatility…

PapaCharlie9

You just described a strategy called The Wheel: https://www.reddit.com/r/Optionswheel/comments/1gpslvk/the_wheel_aka_triple_income_strategy_explained/ Downsides are underperformance compared to just holding the stock, the high up-front capital requirement, over 50k for just one lot of NVDA, for example, and the inherently bullish bias of the strat. If you are in a bear market that lasts many multiples of your desired holding time, you'll end up bagholding.

Chef_The_Ferret

No price in this market is more important than yields. Certainly not NVDA earnings numbers, not even crude. Yields. If they cant be reigned in, it gets very bad very quick.

Lazy-Gene-7284

Exactly this, and there were worthless companies with zero earnings at all going public with .com attached to their names and getting bid up. I’ve seen people make the analogy of NVDA to CSCO and Lucent for the circular financing, but none of them had profits like this and NVDA and many of the memory companies trade for 5-18 times earnings. Now if the data center backlash suddenly catches more fire and they stop EVERYTHING, then you have a serious crash. But even some of those would be offset by what’s already built by google amazon and meta making more money, and they’d probably still build around the world.

Rav_3d

It’s not that complicated. NVDA got back to its June high and ran into sell orders. Earnings gaps that don’t clear prior resistance typically fill. Will not be surprised if NVDA fills that gap next week and then resumes higher. NVDA didn’t “drop” it is still above where it was trading before the earnings announcement. It is simply an issue of supply and demand in the short term.

Ayyyeah17

I got some NVDA calls with the same expiry but with a strike of $225. I’d have to agree with the comments that your strike is a bit far out. You might as well pick a strike closer to ITM and have less contracts than bet on the 300 strike

GoZukkYourself

Michael Burry tanked NVDA by buying calls.

ShittyUsernane1222

fun fact: Micheal Burry folded and bought calls on NVDA

shamroggg

Why don't you just buy a call spread 265/400? 1 contract cost you similarly. You have lower break even point (285 vs 320 in your idea), you have capped profit but still it's on 400 giving you 545% if NVDA is over 400 in Jan 2028.

Exotic_Definition1

Show them you bought NVDA after earning as a proof of qualification

Wade12323

NVDA should be at 250

abramoam1

NVDA gave me the noodle on Friday. Not crying just happy to be here

FatAssBastard-8758

For the trade to break even, $NVDA will need to gain \~45% in the 16 months… that’s a tall order: not because of Nvidia’s leadership in AI, or the circular financing chatter, but because of its large positional size across many funds already today - big headwind for large moves. I would love it to happen as I own a lot of $nvda, but difficult. And you’re hoping for 80%+? Good luck to ya.

SubjectAfraid

NVDA

Flat-Focus7966

NVDA ATH within next 7-8 days..... With all the great earning numbers & yet the pullbacks that already happened, this Septembear will be Septembull

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/thetalentedmrbowser (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** ▼ | $215.04 → $175.00 | -18.6% | 5d | Lost |

FartPolluter

NVDA has PE 25 when its gpu chips have increased in price by 200%-500%. You are making a bet these prices will stay at this level or keep increasing. Even if you are massively bullish on AI, chip production has increased massively so there is still risk.

sunburn74

I think for leaps you're better off buying leaps on qqq or spy then Nvidia. If Nvidia moves, those indexes will move too. Leaps are cheaper for those indexes as well and you don't have to worry about single stock exposure. Unless you have some specific information or a specific theory as to why you're sure NVDA will perform a certain way, just buy a broad index and if you really want leverage get a LEAP as a stock replacement tool 

ShittyUsernane1222

\> micheal burry buying calls on NVDA dangerous top signal

HowIsEmuWarriorTaken

Oh for sure. They are never gonna make money as open weight models are great for like 90% of the tasks enterprises usually do. But those models would still run on hardware sold by NVDA/TPU by GOOG/AMD/...

SunMoonBrightSky

No. When I said “I expect AMD stock to continue outperform NVDA stock for the next few years” I look forward. AMD has the best and will dominate the datacenter CPU. Its GPU and rack-scale Helios system is catching up to those of the market leaders’.

BigBear92787

Klipsetrades is smart. Listen to him. To add to this. Its not that its a bad idea but like he said. Time decay is a killer. You lose everything if you are not right. NVDA must go far enough. Fast enough. You're making a tail bet. A more conservative is a stock replacement approach. Look into a ZEBRA or zero extrinsic back ratio. You buy 2 deeper ITM calls because their value is most intrinsic. Their extrinsic value is minimal Target around .7 to .8 delta Then sell 1 call with enough premium to off set the extrinsic from the 2 calls. Now you have basically mimics owning the shares, for a fraction of the price. The most important thing is that if NVDA goes side ways, and you expire, you still have your money. Because you're paying for real intrinsic value and not paying for hope.

Illustrious_Low1903

If you're bullish for 2028, I'd focus more on the strike, IV, breakeven and how much you're risking. The $300 calls are still OTM with NVDA around $226, so you're paying for a lot of future upside.

HowIsEmuWarriorTaken

Worst bubble in the history of bubbles ever. Like the NVDA PE is still 25. At least make it feel like a bubble with 3 digit PEs. My daughter makes better soap bubbles

SunMoonBrightSky

Market looks forward, not backward, often a few years out. NVDA stock returned +25% in the last 12 months, AMD stock +186% — that should tell you something. I expect AMD stock to continue outperform NVDA stock for the next few years.

New-Nectarine-4116

300 puts into earnings is wild lol. hope NVDA moves hard enough or IV crush is gonna be brutal.

weekendwala

every earnings thread somehow turns into “priced in” vs “to the moon” 😂 NVDA just keeps making both sides look dumb eventually.

etotheipiplus_1

If I were you I would've mentally accepted assignment, and already thinking into selling covered call.. But then my next thought would be, why not kick it down the road one more week and collect more premium. I'll do covered call next week. If NVDA drops and becomes deep in the money, I let the short put expire and get assigned on expiration date, to not give up any extrinsic value. I'll short 30 delta call after it gets assigned.

GrumpyScroogy

Dude bragging about buying NVDA in 2022 LMAO. greetings from 9800 gtx users buying since 2008

Findletrijoick

You think in 1.5 years NVDA will gain 5 trillion in market value?

Queasy_Soil9646

NVDA get back to $230 you bitch

BSP9000

Vanguard has been calling for a lost decade since 2019. The market instead tripled since 2020. The latest pessimistic forecasts could be true, but trusting them hasn’t helped in the past. If AI is successful, forward returns will continue to be good — NVDA will sell ever more chips, the hyperscalars will find some way to profit from AI and chips. Big companies with AI will kill more small businesses, so the stock market can grow faster than the economy, and economic growth itself might pick up a bit. The latest trillion dollar company is spacex (probably doesn’t deserve that market cap) and the  next 2 trillion dollar companies are openAI, and Anthropic, but they are all doing trillion dollar IPOs so the only people getting 100X rewards are private early investors. You can probably find some 2X or 10X opportunities if you spot small companies that are AI bottlenecks faster than other investors do. If AI fails for some reason, chip makers all crash but the hyperscalers might actually do well so the whole market doesn’t necessarily crash. Maybe you do get some stagnation in that scenario.

Grouchy-Image-7825

That delta point is huge, and something a lot of people gloss over when sizing these. If the delta is 0.60 on a 300 strike that far out, you're really only getting movement on \~300 shares worth of stock, not 500. The leverage is nice when it works, but the decay is still there even on LEAPS, just slower. What's your plan if we get a broad tech pullback and NVDA sits at 250 for a year? Those calls could bleed more than you'd think while you wait for a recovery that might not hit your timeline.

need2sleep-later

What makes you think NVDA doubles in a year and a half? The 400 strike has a delta of only .18 and a Prob of OTM of 92%

klipsetrades

The problem is you don’t know whether those contracts were bought, sold, hedged, or part of spreads, so I probably wouldn’t use the 95k OI as the thesis. Also, 5 calls technically control 500 shares, but they don’t give you the same exposure as owning 500 shares. Your actual exposure would be closer to delta x 500 shares. So the next questions you should ask yourself are — what’s your actual thesis beyond, say, “NVDA could cross $400”? What happens to the trade if NVDA stays flat for the next 6–12 months, or what would invalidate the trade and make you exit before 2028? I think these are important to ask yourself before putting the trade on

Swiftnice

No the real reason is concentration risk. Since no company comes close to NVDA's valuation and NVDA is in a ton of weighted ETFs whenever the price rises and a hedge fund has NVDA shares and ETFs that contain NVDA the % of their portfolio value in NVDA goes above the funds limits on concentration so they have to either trim the ETF or shares of NVDA. You won't see NVDA go higher until other stocks catch up to it's market cap especially outside the tech sector.