Reddit Posts
Oi, get on the car. The market took a sharp dive.
YOLO (~20k in puts): If $TSLA hits $200 by Friday I donate $5.5k to Special Olympics
Investing in AI as opposed to a specific company
Everything there is to know in premarket 29.01. Including positioning analysis of GOOGL NVDA and AAPL
The AI innovation storm has swept through CES 2024, The annual CES has become a Tech-Stage
Who should replace Tesla as the newest member of the “Mag 7?”
I present you a $27K NVDA yolo - I seem to offended quite a few NVDA bears and haters with my gains post for earlier 😂😂
NVDA share gains from last week … overall $35K ish in gains to date. Bears are you winning yet? Idgaf actually - I realized my gains
Any advice on what to YOLO on this week?
Would it be a bad idea investing in the same investments in a Roth IRA and a regular brokerage account?
$6k profit this week from flipping NVDA calls within 1st hour after open.
$6k profit this week from flipping NVDA calls within 1st hour after open.
Strangely the US wants to Intel to succeed but their price does not look that way
Seeking Advice on NVDA Investment Dilemma - Diversify, hedge or ride the wave?
Question for people who profited from both TSLA and NVDA ?
Down the rabbit hole we go. What should I yolo my last on?
Damnit to heck, Cramer just recommended NVDA
CES 2024: AI field still have a large potential
I believe them puts on NVDA and AMD I guess?
My top suggested post is a 6 year old NVDA WSB post
KitKat Canada AI Ad? I’m Bullish on NVDA, AMD, & SMCI
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Nancy Pelosi Made $500,000 From Her Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) Bet, Doubling Her Annual Government Salary In Just 2 Months
Anyone buy 0DE Spy Puts to hedge their weekly NVDA calls?
Follow up from my previous post! Still holding NVDA and up a 105% gain
Anyone get frustration with themselves not buy more Magnificent 7 ?
How much longer is NVDA going to run?
I'm 100% certain that if I buy SPY calls expiring 02/15/23, the market will reverse direction.
If NVDA keeps pumping 2-3% a day, it’ll be the biggest company on earth by end of February
Part two- been practicing option trading (80 % success rate)
PART 2 Been practicing option trading for a year
NVDA bears - TY ❤️ for your sacrifice. $11.5K in gains (+44%). Apologies in advance for upsetting people that don’t know how to take profit.
Jensen Huang Illustrating How big of Dump NVDA Stock will take
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
$PYPL Ad: Six innovations that will revolutionize commerce
$2K to $50K in 90 Days - Options Trading Challenge (Day 1 +$250 Unrealized)
Ticker that is 40% shorted, beaten down, 100M float, and runs with NVDA
All in on AI today over 40% short and bottomed for reversal!!!!!
💰Going Long on TSM: The Unseen Goldmine Behind NVDA’s Success💰
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
TSM - I was right, kind of, and i think there's still more value here.
Update: NVDA yolo - I’m gunna keep holding. Probably sell some covered calls. For the NVDA bears, the color you are seeing is called “green”
Am I too late for NVDA calls?
Everything you need to know about AMD in 8 bullet points, before the ER.
How can NVDA be "ignored" when it is a $1.5Trillion company?
How I am Positioning myself in the Markets going into 2024
Mentions
NVDA doesn't run the market anymore, SPX decoupled it their last earnings if you hadn't noticed
Thank God I sold all those NVDA calls. If I had held them, there's a chance my wife would come home.
NVDA big green and AMD red. Does this mean AMD calls are the play?
NVDA and the semiconductor run, and not being a part of it, that's what happened to Cathy Wood.
NVDA big green and AMD red. Does this mean AMD calls are the play?
People are still buying them. Private software companies also put out earnings early yesterday to ease negative sentiment. Also NVDA signed a $30m lease deal of 500 chips. So yeah, people are still buying gpus.
There's no longer any "surprise" as everyone knows just how much AI spend there is. It seems we are also reaching an upper limit to the spend being deemed "acceptable" to the market... I don't think the risk:reward is any good on NVDA at this level.
They have already partnered with AMD last year, why didn’t take so long to announce somthing with NVDA
P/E 143 for a company that sells commodity industrial (70%) and niche hobby (30%) products. Debt/equity ratio 2.74. Net profit margin 3.8%. Return on investment 4.1%. This thing has economics of a convenience store, but with P/E of 2x of AMD, 3x of NVDA, and 7x XOM.
Prepare your anoos dumb ber we testing upper range again and breakşng through with NVDA earnings.
I swear NVDA was at this price just before the recent "tech rout" LMAO
GOOG is my biggest position 20% of the portfolio. AAPL is expensive and lagging behind in the AI race(though still quite safe), NVDA's moat is not strong in my opinion, because every single Mag 7(-NVDA) tries to take NVDA down, which will eventually squeeze margins imo. MSFT price/risk ratio is not favorable in my opinion, because they also lagging behind in AI application adoption and depend on OpenAI too much.
If you want mega tech then MSFT, GOOG, AAPL, NVDA are better businesses with better long term investments.
After the Meta deal and earnings for NVDA next week? Calls on whatever you’re smoking.
He's not getting assigned if NVDA drops that low, he's getting auto liquidated lmao. Hell, if he falls below the minimum 20% maintenance margin (is likely much higher due to earnings volatility), he's getting that call.
NVDA is the poster child of "Buy the rumor, sell the news".
This is extremely ballsy considering NVDA is notorious for crushing earnings, having stellar guidance, and STILL selling off like a mf. If NVDA pumps into earnings, I'd ditch these and bank the profit early tbh.
you’re buying cheap options/way out of the money, short-dated and u have 9 positions. this way u are doomed to fail every single time having 9 positions is ridiculous. keep it 1-3. no more than 3 at the same time. if there are no plays, then stay cash. A+ setups ONLY buy close to the money and long dated contracts. if i were to buy NVDA calls right now at the current price (185), for example, i’d buy 190C 4/17. let’s say i like the 200C more, then i’d buy 200C 6/18. less profits because it’s long dated and closer to the money, but u get consistent gains. consistent gains = you’ve made it. i usually sell at 15% and 20%. idc about catching 100% on every single play. 10%, 15%, 20% gains, etc., it adds up. by the end of the week, i’m up 1000+. anyway, long dated and close to the money contracts prevent theta from eating up ur contracts and u can wait patiently for the trade to work out i assume you’re new. i’d suggest u learn everything first and discipline urself before getting into trading. based on what i’m seeing from ur post, u will keep losing money. i don’t wanna see anyone lose money
NVDA and META deal are going to pump AI stocks tomorrow
Up 25% on NVDA, took me a year Down 25% on MSFT, took me a month
Nah buying NVDA is normal it's always 180
Looks like another flat day!! (Nothing is going to happen until NVDA earnings)
Woah NVDA didn't drop to $178 last week
I think that NVDA earnings is going to be the catalyst that takes us to 7000+. I do not believe we are in a bear market. Year end target 7700-8000.
why NVDA pump, meta deal is alreaady known, and classic earning will double beat dump at open
Theta usually wins NVDA earnings
lol I had NVDA calls today. Made a little. Sold my Apple calls way way too early
Are NVDA puts before earnings a good play? I’m split because it could beat earnings and go up but with the AI fear lately it could drop
Why does META need to enter into a partnership with NVDA to buy GPUs? Do I need to enter into a partnership with Nvidia if I want to buy a 5090?
For NVDA I usually split it into two calls: business call and positioning call. Business call is demand trajectory + margin guide + capex commentary. Positioning call is what expectations were into print and how crowded the trade is. You can be right on fundamentals and still get a down move if the bar was even higher.
Last I heard, she sold NVDA, picked up TTD, and has been loading up each time it dips.
And for everyone else, it’s calling home to the US? Is that better? Americans can’t buy BYDs, because they’re “Chinese” and “not safe”, but the rest of the world still does. Maybe in the US, that trade off isn’t worth it for “data security” (yeah right) but the NVDA/OPAI/Anthropic/google/meta/amzn/oracle mega cap circle jerk can’t charge their monopoly pricing if there is a legitimate competitor that offers the same thing for cheaper. All of the valuations hinge on NVDA having this absurd speculative monopoly, where they’re charging whatever they want and filling demand immediately for their price. If that’s not the case, I don’t think the tradeoff of “but China bad so the American version costs 10x more” plays anywhere except the US. All the companies using NVDA is tied up in this pricing, now. If NVDA loses the CUDA “moat”, or their exclusivity , does that not shaft every company that committed to paying this peak AI-mania price? Because all of the American companies capex is based on NVDA’s pricing for what they’re valued at right now. Who knows what the supply on the market looks like when project Hyperion is finished in 2029. I think China easily figures out a competitive solution by then, because they have an education system that works and isn’t for profit, while we’re just gonna be hiring Chinese educated professionals to American companies to farm our citizens data and sell us our dead relatives AI consciousness.
Is NVDA switches bad for ANET?
NVDA will be above 195 this week
Yeah, but the valuations of NVDA right now are because of the absurd capex that the American big tech companies are putting into their data center buildouts. If they jumped the gun, and you don’t actually need that much compute, then it’s not Jevon’s paradox, it’s just a waste of an obscene amount of money.
#NVDA GANG Members checking in
I keep trying to short NVDA but my broker wants me to sell my shares. I don’t wanna sell MY shares, I wanna sell someone else’s shares. Why is that so hard?
Everyone already knows NVDA is gonna blow out earnings. You can extrapolate based on the Mag7 CapEx projections, as they all report several weeks before NVDA does.
NVDA just cooked APLD lol
You don’t remember when his retarded ass announced that he’s shorting NVDA and everyone jumped off the cliff with him? I was way up on calls and lost my ass for absolutely no reason and then he announced that he’s giving up his hedge fund because he’s too retarded.
META, NVDA, TSLA all gonna have 0dte options tomorrow. You know what that means, right? …
Na, NVDA will smash earnings/raise forecasts and everything will pump like mad. Once we hit peak euphoria a few weeks later, THEN the bubble will burst. It needs a catalyst though, like OpenAI or Meta announcing that progress on AI is slowing down.
AI Bubble bursts next week after NVDA earnings. Plan accordingly
She bought NVDA at the bottom and sold very high, just not the top. No need to lie - she did plenty of dumb stuff
NVDA hasn’t done much for a while, so that isn’t really the problem, but the rest of her fund has been poor.
NVDA is propping up the entire US stock market. All it takes is 1 missed earning and the house of cards will come falling down
Wow NVDA trimmed all of its APLD
NVDA gonna fade that Wild how companies are literally telling us they’re expecting to make money and it’s just straight sell mode atm
We will be both wrong and right. Personally fake pump this and next week leading into NVDA earnings. Then the real dump begins March to May.
I’ve got a lot of calls 3/20 and a few NVDA/NFLX LEAPS. I’d be happy with a fat gap up too don’t get me wrong
Selling is drying up. We pulled a massive bullish reversal today. I am confident. Fed minutes will be bullish, PCE Friday will be bullish and next week NVDA earnings BULLISH
Not true, selling is drying up. We pulled a massive bullish reversal today. I am confident. Fed minutes will be bullish, PCE Friday will be bullish and next week NVDA earnings BULLISH
SPY $685 tomorrow then $690 and then $700 after NVDA earnings
last time NVDA had 'good' earnings we went from +2.5% to -2.5% intraday
I feel like the market is always on edge before NVDA earnings now
It's always the people who don't do research, I've made a killing on APLD when it was sub 15 because they had good financial metrics. NVDA invested a shit ton in CRWV and it continues to trade like trash. CRWV is still contracted with APLD. APLD still has billions of potential financing.
Nice writeup and props for actually logging the rationale. Only thing Id flag is how much of the edge is coming from the assumptions (IV, regime tag, sizing) vs the market moving your way. Do you have backtests on this scan across multiple tickers/earnings cycles? Also, are you stress testing for gap risk (esp around NVDA earnings/news)? If you want more general notes on framing trade ideas and communicating risk (more like "marketing" your thesis), weve got a couple posts here: https://blog.promarkia.com/
Well that pump in NVDA was bait
Any AI tech company that isn't already producing in house AI chips like GOOG or prototyping them like MSFT isn't going to win the AI wars. META having to crawl to NVDA for their chips just shows you how far behind in the AI race they are.
Buys more NVDA calls before buzzer: hell yeah Has APLD calls: whelp....
They've got endless money to spend. And recently, NVDA has been throwing money around too. That money is definitely coming from somewhere.
More likely because isn’t a big shock. META announced huge Capex spend at their earnings. We knew it’s either going to be NVDA/AVGO/AMD
Guhhhh, every quarter it comes to this.. algos jerking eachother off til NVDA reports
Same thing that’s happened to every big cap every day this week. Huge move overnight, open spike in its premarket direction, then melt up towards 0.00% . AMD got dumped bc NVDA/META deal. Once the exit liquidity has been created, get out and enjoy your free +50%
If I hadn’t bought NVDA calls a couple months back NVDA would be at 275 and the AI boom would be flourishing
This is NVDA’s market. We just hang out in it and lose money
Some top tier tangential NVDA cope emerging 🤣
1) NVDA sold all APLD 2) META accelerating NVDA collab on data centres 3) NBIS shrek?
NVDA - their GPUs are churning out illegal stuff
> People have become way too jaded with NVDA. They’re going to be putting up generational numbers for at least the next 2-3 years. You may be right. For discussion though: is it possible that well known and obvious fact is why the valuation is what it is? Even if the valuation doesn’t fully capture the revenues of the next one or two or three years, isn’t there a current risk that one headline or event can provide a cliff type dropoff for those generational revenues? For instance, a headline saying competitor A or country C has an equivalent product that will be priced much cheaper? Or that customers B, D, F and O all say they’re considering a “quarter of efficiency” to respond to their own market conditions, a statement which NVDA investors could view with extreme pessimism? In some ways it’s a setup like Boeing. On paper they have years of cash flow and order backlog and a duopoly. However they’ve also built a legacy of failure and cover up which means they’re one plane crash away from market whiplash.
Meta said bye to AMD and hi to NVDA
NVDA has been going down after earnings for a long time. People know it'll be huge and people know it'll drop. Only then will people buy.
I'm invested in all of them (mag 7) except Tesla. NVDA isn't going anywhere anytime soon. Google is my favorite though mid to long term (5-10 years). They're vertically integrated meaning the own the whole stack. Hardware, software models, and consumer applications. It leads to greater efficiency, lower costs, and faster innovation. With a push of a button they can role out their AI to half the world who are using Chrome, Android, Youtube, Gmail. They pretty much own the entire smartphone AI search engine market share. They have a deal with Apple which uses Gemini under the hood. So virtually every smart phone in the world is being run on Gemini AI.
NVDA’s 13f released after hours. It’s also being covered on X right now.
I believe you are viewing them through very narrow scope. AFAIK for NVDA the era of GPTs is mostly over. Going forward they are going to focus on further applications of AI - be it autonomous vehicles/robotaxis, healthcare, manufacturing, etc. This is why \*I\* believe they're going to become even more relevant than we currently think.
Bought a 1DTE NVDA call at close. Hope it’s up 3x at open
NVDA STOCK SPLIT coming sooon?
NVDA sold their entire stake
NVDA dissolved their stake
NVDA sold it's position in APLD. Bubble is bursting
Apld biggest customer is coreweave which is a huge NVDA investment so not like they're losing much really
APLD getting slaughtered because NVDA pulled its $177 million position from a $10 billion company. Stock falls almost 15%. Shares and calls boys, shares and calls.
NVDA had a pretty small stake but still sucks yeah
Because it involved NVDA and they announced AH for a reason.
NVDA limp dick micro pump getting sold off and AMD still down 4% LMAO 🤌
🥭 "Our MASSIVE Trade Deal with Japan has just launched! NVDA and meta chip deal NVDA invests more in Intel 0 effect 😂
NVDA keeps loading INTC. 60 percent of their holdings now. Nice to see a fellow retard in charge of Jensen’s money.
NVDA selling all APLD stake doesn’t change anything fundamental on APLD’s success. Temporary drop
shouldn't $CRWV get some pop from this $NVDA $META deal? chips gotta go somewhere
That risk is so far off and NVDA is so far ahead that you’d have years to bail before tanking losses like that. Years.
Ofc this NVDA & META deal just has to fuck over AMD. Of course it fucking does smh