NVDA

Vlisa

price action "reports" are pure slop. They only exist to generate ad revenue. Just look at NVDA's most recent earnings calling the market's response tepid... until the next day when it jumped to 229

Able-Calendar7508

NVDA… NOW!!!

SuperBrazilNuts

OK I'm going to stop complaining and actually think about my moves because the casino WILL open soon. 1. I am probably buying IREN and swinging it for a couple days, weeks or until the next earnings. 2. I am probably buying NVDA for the same reason 3. I am watching for LITE to make a doodoo move and heavy scalp it or hold overnight. 4. I am basically buying dum dum stuff that bounces like bouncy ball. I'm probably waiting until Wed, my prediction is tape will be red for a few days. If monday's tape is good, I'm in, but more conservative sizing.

Shoty6966-_-

NVDA 220 calls expiring Wednesday close

Samjabr

Never buying NVDA again. I don't give a fk if they make a $Trillion in revenue.

sorryabouthewindow

I sold my sons bike to buy NVDA calls. He doesn’t understand money anyway.

irakhmatov

Strike and expiry are fine. It's the $400 target I'd push back on. You'd make about 4.5x gross there, which is a great payoff, no argument. But $400 from $228 is +75% in 1.4 years. That's 49% a year, compounded. NVDA just doesn't move like that anymore. Look at how far it actually traveled each year, high to low as a % of the low (split-adjusted): 2023: 260% 2024: 223% 2025: 145% 2026 so far: 44% Peaked in 2023 and it's been coming down every year since. Vol says the same thing, 52% in 2024, 50% in 2025, and trailing twelve months is 37.7%. Quietest it's been in five years. Which is the annoying part, because that $300 Jan 28 call is marked at 40.54% IV. So you're paying up for vol the stock hasn't actually delivered. https://preview.redd.it/rz8i6sawlcmh1.png?width=1500&format=png&auto=webp&s=22c13a761eb56d1c3fa1c9f438ccacc818d17dce Rough odds from where it sits now: $300, +31.6%, call it 24% Breakeven around $321.90, +41.2%, about 19% $400, +75.5%, about 9% So $10,900 for roughly a 1 in 5 chance of even getting past breakeven. I'm not saying don't do it. If you've got a specific 2027 thing you're betting on, revenue ramp, margin story, whatever, then fair enough, that's a real thesis. But if the reasoning is basically "it's run hard before," that's the exact thing the numbers say has changed.

remilk123

he claimed a $230k profit shorting NVDA but never posted proof so it might just be talk? :hug: Michael Burry over here but not posting gains at all?

Shoty6966-_-

Please. I got Wednesday calls for NVDA. Fuck I lost everything I gained lmaaooo

Dependent-Panic-9457

I will ask Google to explain this to me. I am buying deep in the money calls on NVDA, MSFT, Apple for 2028. The premium more or less corresponds with the difference between current price and the strike price. So if the share price stays flat for 2 years I am neutral (more or less). If it falls to 0 I am no worse off than if I’d bought the underlying shares, in fact better off - and can just buy the shares at their new low price. Isn’t that all there is to it? Why do I also need to sell a call?

Commercial_Sound1448

NVDA back to 230 on Monday 

CoconutAmbitious2580

I read a bunch of comments and it seems the consensus is: Don't do it! Don't buy the option you specified. IVR on NVDA is super low right now so a good buy for LEAPS most likely, I didn't look. But go with a smaller position and choose a strike at least at or near the current price and better still is DITM 80 delta or higher. Practice that with 1 contract and set your gain for a 50% gain.... Milk it and move to the next one.... Gather the experience by making smaller and more trades rather than large trades fewer times. It's safer and you'll learn more, quicker. I like the Jan 21s.

HitWhereItHurts

applying AMD's p/e to NVDA and calling it a valuation argument is backwards, AMD's the one priced for perfection here. it's sitting right on its 465 put wall with dealers net negative gamma, that's a name priced for volatility…

PapaCharlie9

You just described a strategy called The Wheel: https://www.reddit.com/r/Optionswheel/comments/1gpslvk/the_wheel_aka_triple_income_strategy_explained/ Downsides are underperformance compared to just holding the stock, the high up-front capital requirement, over 50k for just one lot of NVDA, for example, and the inherently bullish bias of the strat. If you are in a bear market that lasts many multiples of your desired holding time, you'll end up bagholding.

Chef_The_Ferret

No price in this market is more important than yields. Certainly not NVDA earnings numbers, not even crude. Yields. If they cant be reigned in, it gets very bad very quick.

Lazy-Gene-7284

Exactly this, and there were worthless companies with zero earnings at all going public with .com attached to their names and getting bid up. I’ve seen people make the analogy of NVDA to CSCO and Lucent for the circular financing, but none of them had profits like this and NVDA and many of the memory companies trade for 5-18 times earnings. Now if the data center backlash suddenly catches more fire and they stop EVERYTHING, then you have a serious crash. But even some of those would be offset by what’s already built by google amazon and meta making more money, and they’d probably still build around the world.

Rav_3d

It’s not that complicated. NVDA got back to its June high and ran into sell orders. Earnings gaps that don’t clear prior resistance typically fill. Will not be surprised if NVDA fills that gap next week and then resumes higher. NVDA didn’t “drop” it is still above where it was trading before the earnings announcement. It is simply an issue of supply and demand in the short term.

Ayyyeah17

I got some NVDA calls with the same expiry but with a strike of $225. I’d have to agree with the comments that your strike is a bit far out. You might as well pick a strike closer to ITM and have less contracts than bet on the 300 strike

GoZukkYourself

Michael Burry tanked NVDA by buying calls.

ShittyUsernane1222

fun fact: Micheal Burry folded and bought calls on NVDA

shamroggg

Why don't you just buy a call spread 265/400? 1 contract cost you similarly. You have lower break even point (285 vs 320 in your idea), you have capped profit but still it's on 400 giving you 545% if NVDA is over 400 in Jan 2028.

Exotic_Definition1

Show them you bought NVDA after earning as a proof of qualification

Wade12323

NVDA should be at 250

abramoam1

NVDA gave me the noodle on Friday. Not crying just happy to be here

FatAssBastard-8758

For the trade to break even, $NVDA will need to gain \~45% in the 16 months… that’s a tall order: not because of Nvidia’s leadership in AI, or the circular financing chatter, but because of its large positional size across many funds already today - big headwind for large moves. I would love it to happen as I own a lot of $nvda, but difficult. And you’re hoping for 80%+? Good luck to ya.

SubjectAfraid

NVDA

Flat-Focus7966

NVDA ATH within next 7-8 days..... With all the great earning numbers & yet the pullbacks that already happened, this Septembear will be Septembull

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/thetalentedmrbowser (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** ▼ | $215.04 → $175.00 | -18.6% | 5d | Lost |

FartPolluter

NVDA has PE 25 when its gpu chips have increased in price by 200%-500%. You are making a bet these prices will stay at this level or keep increasing. Even if you are massively bullish on AI, chip production has increased massively so there is still risk.

sunburn74

I think for leaps you're better off buying leaps on qqq or spy then Nvidia. If Nvidia moves, those indexes will move too. Leaps are cheaper for those indexes as well and you don't have to worry about single stock exposure. Unless you have some specific information or a specific theory as to why you're sure NVDA will perform a certain way, just buy a broad index and if you really want leverage get a LEAP as a stock replacement tool 

ShittyUsernane1222

\> micheal burry buying calls on NVDA dangerous top signal

HowIsEmuWarriorTaken

Oh for sure. They are never gonna make money as open weight models are great for like 90% of the tasks enterprises usually do. But those models would still run on hardware sold by NVDA/TPU by GOOG/AMD/...

SunMoonBrightSky

No. When I said “I expect AMD stock to continue outperform NVDA stock for the next few years” I look forward. AMD has the best and will dominate the datacenter CPU. Its GPU and rack-scale Helios system is catching up to those of the market leaders’.

BigBear92787

Klipsetrades is smart. Listen to him. To add to this. Its not that its a bad idea but like he said. Time decay is a killer. You lose everything if you are not right. NVDA must go far enough. Fast enough. You're making a tail bet. A more conservative is a stock replacement approach. Look into a ZEBRA or zero extrinsic back ratio. You buy 2 deeper ITM calls because their value is most intrinsic. Their extrinsic value is minimal Target around .7 to .8 delta Then sell 1 call with enough premium to off set the extrinsic from the 2 calls. Now you have basically mimics owning the shares, for a fraction of the price. The most important thing is that if NVDA goes side ways, and you expire, you still have your money. Because you're paying for real intrinsic value and not paying for hope.

Illustrious_Low1903

If you're bullish for 2028, I'd focus more on the strike, IV, breakeven and how much you're risking. The $300 calls are still OTM with NVDA around $226, so you're paying for a lot of future upside.

HowIsEmuWarriorTaken

Worst bubble in the history of bubbles ever. Like the NVDA PE is still 25. At least make it feel like a bubble with 3 digit PEs. My daughter makes better soap bubbles

SunMoonBrightSky

Market looks forward, not backward, often a few years out. NVDA stock returned +25% in the last 12 months, AMD stock +186% — that should tell you something. I expect AMD stock to continue outperform NVDA stock for the next few years.

New-Nectarine-4116

300 puts into earnings is wild lol. hope NVDA moves hard enough or IV crush is gonna be brutal.

weekendwala

every earnings thread somehow turns into “priced in” vs “to the moon” 😂 NVDA just keeps making both sides look dumb eventually.

etotheipiplus_1

If I were you I would've mentally accepted assignment, and already thinking into selling covered call.. But then my next thought would be, why not kick it down the road one more week and collect more premium. I'll do covered call next week. If NVDA drops and becomes deep in the money, I let the short put expire and get assigned on expiration date, to not give up any extrinsic value. I'll short 30 delta call after it gets assigned.

GrumpyScroogy

Dude bragging about buying NVDA in 2022 LMAO. greetings from 9800 gtx users buying since 2008

Findletrijoick

You think in 1.5 years NVDA will gain 5 trillion in market value?

Queasy_Soil9646

NVDA get back to $230 you bitch

BSP9000

Vanguard has been calling for a lost decade since 2019. The market instead tripled since 2020. The latest pessimistic forecasts could be true, but trusting them hasn’t helped in the past. If AI is successful, forward returns will continue to be good — NVDA will sell ever more chips, the hyperscalars will find some way to profit from AI and chips. Big companies with AI will kill more small businesses, so the stock market can grow faster than the economy, and economic growth itself might pick up a bit. The latest trillion dollar company is spacex (probably doesn’t deserve that market cap) and the  next 2 trillion dollar companies are openAI, and Anthropic, but they are all doing trillion dollar IPOs so the only people getting 100X rewards are private early investors. You can probably find some 2X or 10X opportunities if you spot small companies that are AI bottlenecks faster than other investors do. If AI fails for some reason, chip makers all crash but the hyperscalers might actually do well so the whole market doesn’t necessarily crash. Maybe you do get some stagnation in that scenario.

Grouchy-Image-7825

That delta point is huge, and something a lot of people gloss over when sizing these. If the delta is 0.60 on a 300 strike that far out, you're really only getting movement on \~300 shares worth of stock, not 500. The leverage is nice when it works, but the decay is still there even on LEAPS, just slower. What's your plan if we get a broad tech pullback and NVDA sits at 250 for a year? Those calls could bleed more than you'd think while you wait for a recovery that might not hit your timeline.

need2sleep-later

What makes you think NVDA doubles in a year and a half? The 400 strike has a delta of only .18 and a Prob of OTM of 92%

klipsetrades

The problem is you don’t know whether those contracts were bought, sold, hedged, or part of spreads, so I probably wouldn’t use the 95k OI as the thesis. Also, 5 calls technically control 500 shares, but they don’t give you the same exposure as owning 500 shares. Your actual exposure would be closer to delta x 500 shares. So the next questions you should ask yourself are — what’s your actual thesis beyond, say, “NVDA could cross $400”? What happens to the trade if NVDA stays flat for the next 6–12 months, or what would invalidate the trade and make you exit before 2028? I think these are important to ask yourself before putting the trade on

Swiftnice

No the real reason is concentration risk. Since no company comes close to NVDA's valuation and NVDA is in a ton of weighted ETFs whenever the price rises and a hedge fund has NVDA shares and ETFs that contain NVDA the % of their portfolio value in NVDA goes above the funds limits on concentration so they have to either trim the ETF or shares of NVDA. You won't see NVDA go higher until other stocks catch up to it's market cap especially outside the tech sector.

Swiftnice

I don't get why TSMC doesn't gouge the shit out of NVDA. NVDA doesn't make anything and yet they mark their GPU's up so much because their customers have to buy them.

ClippingTetris

https://preview.redd.it/qyaeb28ny8mh1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3782431c07007de30a887e51abc4f3922f0578bd Save from last year. This was 1-day gains, some up 1900%. Oracle LEAPs. Funny, I also own NVDA of 150 shares total too, around 1100%. My two cents, getting overly attached to gains (or losses) in the end inhibits gains. I’ve debating selling some of my Nvidia to add to already stronger stakes in $CRWD, $PANW (or $CIBR combined), $DDOG, $CRM, $AAPL, $NOW, $GLW, $UNP or $XBI (health etf). Nvidia is a great company, up 22% YTD. But look at diversifying into other barring a big tax implication selling. IMO ¯\\\_(ツ)\_/¯

Swiftnice

If I was CEO of TSMC I would short NVDA then put out a press release that we are canceling NVDA orders and prioritizing other customers lol

KF8EPI

Diversify man. I did exclusively SPY options until recently, so much volatility in META and TSLA. Also profited from both calls and puts on NVDA

lemmecook-99

I think AMD is wayyyy ahead of its self, 3xx P/E. Like wtf. NVDA valuation is reasonable, and now that NVDA is stepping into personal computer CPU play. Not sure what are they missing. One concern tho, sophisticated financing circulation as it may conceal weaknesses.

Swiftnice

Lol NVDA above 225 you should buy puts because it will be guaranteed to drop back down. It will stay flat until the bubble bursts then tank hard

TrainingTear3464

I barely even know what people do on Wall Street or how it works. But is NVDA always a good bet or something why are people making so much goddamn money - I am approaching all you nerds

music_is_gud

The usual suspects. MU, NVDA, AVGO, SNDK, NBIS everything. I'm basically Leopold's port that survived

Sawyerthesadist

I’m declaring war. I’ll decide to actually act on that when I’m not drunk off my ass because of NVDA being a bitch. WAR!!!!!

Swiftnice

NVDA 190 by Friday and below 150 by end of September

Simalt443

Price was 209.93 on wednesday before earnings. Price closed 217.86 today. NVDA is up 3.89% since earnings.

Delulu_Maximus

NVDA is so predictable 🤣

Harp-Note

I try to avoid checking charts after I finish trading, but I had to look at NVDA again and saw that it tanked even more today. Should've held those puts longer.

Nihilistic_Response

Not exactly apples to apples, but still worth considering. IV for a NVDA Sep18 $225 call was around 43 in the minutes before market closed on the NVDA earnings date (OTM, stock was trading at $209 before close). IV for a MRVL Sep 4 $240 call was ~130 just before market close on MRVL earnings date (ITM at the time by a few dollars, MRVL was trading around $243 before close and obviously moved OTM after hours and IV also crushed post-earnings). IV for a Dell Sep 4 $470C ahead of earnings closed at 103 today, and Dell stock closed at $456 today. When people talk about IV crush they are referring to the portion of an option price that is comprised of volatility + time value (theta) reducing in value immediatley after earnings reduces the implied voltatility component of that extrinsic value. The option would only have intrinsic value if the option was ITM at the time the option price is being looked at. All this to say, Dell options look even riskier than MRVL options did (and those zeroed out a lot of people), and are much riskier than NVDA OTM options were ahead of NVDA earnings because the market had priced in less than half the volatility for NVDA options as they are pricing in for Dell options, so there is much more IV to be crushed immediately following Dell earnings than there was for NVDA.

Energy_Bol

I bought the wrong strike put on NVDA and bought a weekly 207.5 put for $50 instead of a $217.50 and I somehow got out with $11 profit.

ZaraBloom418

I made $240k off NVDA and just paid $10k down towards a Kia from NVDA gains. Another $15k sell and it’s paid off. I’d write off the gains with my $40k Roku loss and have no car payment

BriackYOLO

At least the tombstone will be green from the grass growing over it while I wait for NVDA to recover😭

FlowerrBud

I bought a 2026 Kia k4 lxs 25k out the door. I paid $10k in NVDA gains, but that $292 monthly payment for 5 years sounds annoying as hell. Do I just sell more and pay it off?

SeniorVibeAnalyst

Everyone was like maybe NVDA earnings will be different this time and not dump and then it dumped anyway

AMadWalrus

You got smoked shorting NVDA these last 5 years haven’t you?

GoZukkYourself

Cathie bought $53 million of NVDA today. No wonder it got hammered.

nevertradestock

Nobody I know has purchased a PC with an NVDA or AMD chip. The entire thing is such a scam can we please just give it up for once

mardigrasmoker

NVDA hit its high during the lead up to 🥭 meeting with Xi. Member that?

No-Improvement3164

NVDA hit ATH on a squeeze from March war dip and can’t go higher on blow out earnings. You be the Judge

A55BAG

Why would you own Iren over NVDA?

wileywyatt

ASCIs +AI is the future of Tech. NVDA isn’t going anywhere but up ⬆️

Swimming-Dingo-9695

So NVDA is valued at 12.5% of the current national debt, for reference

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/stock_dude9 (3W - 2L, 60%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** ▼ | $210.18 → $205.00 | -2.5% | 2d | Lost |

i2ye

You know what NVDA needs? Memory

amanj41

I mean most if it was. Between August 21st and 26th we moved literally 0.13%. One big pop from NVDA and then today despite the intraday -0.25% by close. Dealers long gamma, lot of dampening price action

amanj41

I mean most if it was. Between August 21st and 26th we moved literally 0.13%. One big pop from NVDA and then today despite the intraday -0.25% by close. Dealers long gamma, lot of dampening price action

livingbyvow2

Seeing how NVDA closed today, maybe Jensen had higher priorities when it comes to using his voodoo to stop a stock from going down.

DrumpfTheBern

Coiling up near a local low, volatility steadily dying off over the last two weeks, NVDA good earnings, and EOM rebalancing. All of this to say: It’s all vibes bro.

Sharp-Direction-6894

The wsb board says NVDA is at 225. I thought it recovered so I check webull and its fucking 217!

Lootoholic

I bought some AVGO instead, also bought more NVDA today. they all go up and down together for the most part, so you're welcome :P

TheRealArmament

Sold some CSPs on NVDA no way we fall under $200 right?

Pure_Spinach327

I think we just saw a study where CEO’s with too much power tend to underperform? Musk and Tesla with a 5 year of zero stock gains on the average and now Nvda? NVDA has endless cash and is at the center of it all so whatever he says or does is going to happen but not all decisions are good.

Josepth_Blowsepth

Thank you to everyone who bought my NVDA 220 covered calls. I will spend your money on my sick buffalo

dweeegs

Damn son NVDA didn’t have to dump 5% it just did it for the love of the game

Valkorion335786

Russia: Launches Coca-Cola, Fanta, and Sprite alternatives after soda company exodus Me: Too late to buy NVDA, MU, and SNDK at their lows, too early to profit off space stocks, just in time to become an international beverage smuggler

Valkorion335786

**NVDA: PC no longer stands for Personal Computer, now it's Partifical Cintillegence** Stock opens +30% and closes -0.05%

Swiftnice

NVDA fan boys already counting down the days to the next earnings report hoping next time will be different lol

Low_Plastic363

AMD is up 134.4% in the last six months. Intel is up 96.64% in the last six months. NVDA is up 19.22% in the last six months. TSMC is up 13.12% in the last six months. That's a semiconductor bubble popping?

whatsgoingonhonestly

I don't care for NVDA 🧍🏼‍♂️

nevertradestock

I literally need to get a tat that says Never Trade Again on my forehead. I can’t even stop myself from doing it at this point. I always end up back in the throws of this bullshit. Fuck NVDA too the CEO is a commie and no one questions it. His cousin literally runs AMD. They have infiltrated America

Ketamine-Cuisine

What are the odds they are just trying to shake weak hands with NVDA today?

dogefool88

Shorting NVDA is the easiest money the mankind has ever seen

Swiftnice

NVDA probably gap down to 200 on Monday

Avict001

I got Monday 215 puts for NVDA. I hope it trades like it did today

LarsTarkas

So why did NVDA cut its own dick off today

makshelah

Why did I hold my NVDA calls to 0? Why?

Fit-Frosting-7144

I'm wondering if they are selling lol look at the performance in the last year it's pathetic. Look AMD it used to be shit the point is NVDA isn't a Multibagger anymore and the golden days are over