NVDA

Gorm_the_Old

From Bloomberg: [https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-01/openai-investment-was-never-a-commitment-nvidia-s-huang-says?srnd=homepage-americas](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-01/openai-investment-was-never-a-commitment-nvidia-s-huang-says?srnd=homepage-americas) >Nvidia Corp. Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang said the company’s proposed $100 billion investment in OpenAI was “never a commitment” and that the company would consider any funding rounds “one at a time.” From the original letter: [https://openai.com/index/openai-nvidia-systems-partnership/](https://openai.com/index/openai-nvidia-systems-partnership/) >To support this deployment including datacenter and power capacity, NVIDIA intends to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI as the new NVIDIA systems are deployed. There were a lot of news stories run on the basis of the letter of intent citing the $100B figure as a hard commitment, and NVDA didn't bother trying to correct the record at the time, but now they're saying "one at a time"? That's a change. Moving from "intends to invest" to "never a commitment" is absolutely a change of position, and don't let the CEO-speak fool you into thinking otherwise.

katrav86

~~maximum pain is famous confusion between cause and effect~~ durr max pain is God -- NVDA max pain feb 2 is 187+change holy fuk

Every_Way_8671

Calls on what? NVDA?

Crazy_Donkies

They did say NVDA will be involved and may be their biggest investment. 

Nay_120

Smart for NVDA not joining the sinking ship. Bullish on Alphabet (GOOGLE)

Spatial_Entropy2015

This is the reason most of wsb is peak regard. If they signed the deal with OpenAI, there are memes on circular financing, if they don’t, then there are memes on NVDA dying. Only true regards c*ck themselves thinking it was a good idea to begin with and then question it after being c*cked

Ok-Run-8643

The entire pension system is NVDA.

CHGOGALINSD

The following stocks not based on indexes have 3x a week expiration for their nearby months AAPL. TSLA. NVDA. AMZN.

brintoul

People be like: NVDA makes good chips therefore no price is too high.

IHaveInflatableShoes

Hoping NVDA can still be a 10 bagger into 2035

IWillMakeYouBlush

NVDA is king now…. But everyone’s coming for the crown. Ya know.

janon330

This is why i laugh at all the NVDA doomers.

janon330

Thats what I love about this community. They think this signals the death of AI. IN reality, NVDA saves $100B and can reinvest that into itself or pad its bottom line, and or invest in another company like Anthropic. This NVDA / OpenAI deal was NEVER binding.

WittyMagazine8643

It’s not an assumption when we are seeing it happen in real time. Altman declared code red because “Gemini is eating ChatGPTs lunch”. Altman’s words not mine - a word from the CEO of openAI. Most likely this indicates a declining user base. Secondly, NVDA is thinking of raising their 5090 to an astonishing $5,000 per unit. That’s around double of what it is today. Cost of RAM and SSDs are no longer what it used to be pre 2020. This is only going to get more expensive as the AI landscape develops. It’s already happing right in front of our faces and you can’t even deny it. Where is my assumption when the facts are presenting themselves??

STierMansierre

It seems like MSFT and NVDA are pretty tied in with this IPO. We'll see if Open AI is truly backstopped by these bigger companies that need an LLM or if this company is all hype.

Keeltoodeep

NVDA plans production and R&D way past 4 years as well…. You’re just wrong in any industry lol

Homeless-Coward-2143

BTC crashing in dollars while the dollar is crashing is pretty heinous. At least shitcoins like NVDA are going up with inflation. Again, I've never been a btc "believer" but this is pretty unexpectedly bad.

NeoZexy

Those two probably will be hit harder by NVDA earnings than their ERs

Happy-Champion1661

BREAKING: Iran prefutes just opened, SPY is at 769.42 and NVDA is bankrupt Thank you for your attention to this matter!

Pioladoporcaputo

So tomorrow NASDAQ opens -3%? -5%? I'm guessing everything AI-related ($NVDA, $AMD, $INTC, $ASML, $MU, $IREN, $CRWV, $TSSI, $NBIS, $META, $GOOGL) will bleed badly.

HungryMatumbo

I need some insider tips for ***NVDA*** I wanna YOLO in US Tech Tell me that I need to go long with leverage

givemethestars000

NVDA needs donations

erebuxy

So NVDA just saved 100B. Very bullish. Put on MSFT tho

AyumiHikaru

No way NVDA changed its mind just in a day. Someone lied

jonneh

Jensen to reporters in Taiwan > $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang on talk that he’s “concerned about competition” at OpenAI: # “That’s nonsense. That’s complete nonsense.” # “We are going to make a huge investment in OpenAI… I really love working with Sam.” # “We haven’t made the investment yet because they’re closing their round, but we’ll definitely be involved in the coming round. We’ll invest a great deal of money, probably the largest investment we’ve ever made.”

gamjatang111

i mean NVDA putting in less than 1% of their market cap to potentially save 10%+ of their market cap. If open AI and their ecosystem collapses Semi stocks will as well.

RecommendationFit996

Picking just one stock was the problem here. If you are at a brokerage that allows fractional share purchases or Schwab with stock slices, you could spread that $130 out and split it across ten stocks so she can actually learn about diversification. I did this with my daughter several years ago, but I picked 30 stocks in various industries and put them each on index cards and laid them out to let her pick which stocks she wanted to buy. One of her favorites was TGT because she liked shopping there, which has underperformed and lost money (now worth $8 after 5 1/2 years). She picked GOOGL, APPL and AMZN which have done very well, but her best pick was the $10 investment in NVDA which is worth $150 today. There is nothing wrong with teaching her to just invest in index etfs, but if she shows interest in learning how the market works and might consider a career in finance (or even how to handle and invest her own money), I’d suggest trying the diversified approach with fractional shares

Silver_Variety_1108

$CPSH They are growing revenue at 107% and profitable. Just moving into a bigger warehouse to satisfy growing demand for specialized heat shields for NVDA AI chips, Defense like golden Dome and many others. Recently “broke out” at a little over $5. I believe it is very early. Good financial position with no debt.

IslandExact429

NVDA is a bubble

MaxDragonMan

I find I've stepped back from watching the portfolio. It feels... Weird. Almost like I'm back in that time period of 2022 where I mostly ignored the portfolio, let it do its thing, and then looked back in 2023 for the fun stuff. Anyway. It's been a mixed January to start off 2026, with the most brutal losses being this last week. Yet even then NVDA and GOOGL managed to have a positive week, and 4/6 of the below have had a positive year so far: * AMD -7.74% 5-Day, +10.54% YTD, -8.84% off ATH. (January) * NVDA +2.07% 5-Day, +2.5% YTD, -7.68% off ATH. (November) * GOOGL +3% 5-Day, +8% YTD, looks like it's just about at ATH. * MSFT -7.47% 5-Day, -11.03% YTD, -20.6% off ATH. (November) * RDDT -16.79% 5-Day, -21.58% YTD, -33.41% off ATH. (September) * RKLB -7.75% 5-Day, +14.78% YTD, -16,85% off ATH. (January) Definitely not too surprised to see MSFT take a hit like this, or to see NVDA or AMD cool off a bit. I miss the days where this sub was rabid about buying NVDA and calling it a day. It's clear that the 'easy money' time is over, and it's time to either double down or start re-examining my reasons for owning what I own. I'm starting to get more and more frustrated regarding OpenAI. Personally I prefer Gemini and think they'll end up winning the day, so it bugs me that so many of my holdings engage in such circular financing with what I believe to be the inferior LLM provider. I think Reddit still has growth ahead, but to my understanding their recent decline is because YouTube is now the number one cited platform for answers from AI models. Checking out my holdings in my home country (the the Canadian ones): * BN -3.2% 5-Day, +4.78% YTD, -8.59% off ATH. (January) * ATRL +1.48% 5-Day, +7.68% YTD, -9.83% off ATH. (September) * Rule 7 (still!!) -20.47% 5-Day, -29.17% YTD, -32.68% off ATH. (January.) Supposedly BAM had some great earnings just a couple days ago, so I'd love to see the mothership benefit from all the good news. I suspect they will have done well, but you can never quite tell until the reports are out with BN. They've had a surprisingly flat year, but I'm not complaining - ultimately a stable place to keep my cash. Overall: relatively happy. Everything is cooling off, but I'm still pretty certain money's going to continue pouring into equities.

wattap

Imagine not having a large portion of your port NVDA

cekmeout

NB — Huge potential at current market cap, they have niobium and scandium which are very important and no other mines. They need funding, but are super far into the EXIM loan process for $800M $CRML - pure scam $AREC - massive potential, they have tech to process heavy rare earths and already have a partnership with the government $USAR - they have a shitty mine that will take years to develop. They have no progress on magnets or processing, but have a deal with the government that was massive dilution that should help them achieve that $MP - the NVDA of rare earths. No company comes close But check out UURAF, more potential than any of these :)

Shdwrptr

The mega caps are the least likely to 100x. Do you seriously think NVDA can get to a $460t market cap?

samuelj264

I have no idea, I could say NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT. But look 20 years ago at the largest companies in the US, it’s not those ones.

KSFL

Anything particular you like about $WDC? I already have some $SNDK and $MU fairly recently opened positions. Heavy in on $NVDA 500+ shares thinking of selling and moving to something else.

grizzly_teddy

A few observations: 1) The core premise is overstated The post talks like Nvidia “bought” Groq outright. What was announced on Dec 24, 2025 was described as a non-exclusive licensing agreement + key hires, with Groq continuing independently; the “$20B” figure is reported/estimated rather than cleanly described as a traditional acquisition price. That matters because the post’s “Nvidia must now secure massive fab capacity for Groq chips” logic is much less forced if Nvidia didn’t actually buy the whole company / roadmap. 2) The Groq → GlobalFoundries link is real (this part is solid) Groq has publicly discussed deploying LPUs manufactured by GlobalFoundries. So “Groq chips involve GFS” is directionally correct. 3) The Dec 19 volume spike is real, but the inference is not The post’s cited 52.58M share volume on Dec 19, 2025 checks out. But “big volume + little price movement” on quad-witching is not evidence of informed buying by itself. It can also come from: options market-maker hedging flows, index/ETF rebalances, large crosses / block prints that clear without moving the tape much, systematic funds rolling exposure. To make the “someone knew” claim credible you’d want corroboration like unusual block-trade prints attributable to specific brokers, unusual options OI changes before news, or subsequent filings/position disclosures. The post doesn’t provide that. 4) “Shorted to the gills” is likely exaggerated The post cites Yahoo Finance stats showing institutions >100% and short % of float ~11.66%. Two caveats: Institutional ownership >100% can happen in reported data because of timing, share lending, and double-counting mechanics; it’s not automatically “proof of a trapped short.” Even taking the Yahoo figure at face value, “short squeeze imminent” usually needs tight borrow + high days-to-cover + a clear catalyst. Another data source puts short interest as 10.05M shares but only ~1.82% of public float (definition differences matter), and days-to-cover looks low. Net: you can argue “short interest exists,” but “dangerously shorted” is not clearly supported. 5) The Wedbush downgrade happened, but calling it a “hit piece” is a leap Wedbush did downgrade GFS on Dec 31, 2025. That’s compatible with “downgrade didn’t stop the rally,” but downgrades are common and not inherently manipulation. 6) The “Nvidia must buy a stake in GFS” conclusion is speculative Even if Nvidia wants more “physical AI / robotics” exposure, a stake in a foundry is only one (and not the most common) path. Alternatives include: long-term capacity agreements, prepayments/financing arrangements, joint packaging/assembly capacity, co-design programs. Also, Nvidia already has deep foundry relationships elsewhere; a GFS equity move would be a big strategic pivot and would likely leak via credible reporting/filings before being treated as “must.” (No solid confirmation surfaced in what I saw; mostly commentary/speculation.) What would actually validate the WSB thesis If you want to treat it like a hypothesis, the confirming signals would be concrete: GFS earnings call explicitly naming Nvidia/Groq-related capacity commitments, an 8-K / press release describing a strategic partnership or equity investment, credible reporting corroborating an equity stake discussion, sustained borrow tightening + rising days-to-cover + persistent call OI increases ahead of news. Bottom line: The post stitches together several true facts (Groq↔GFS manufacturing, the Dec 19 volume spike, a Dec 31 downgrade), but then makes two big jumps—(a) “informed accumulation” and (b) “short squeeze + NVDA stake incoming”—without the kind of evidence that would normally justify those conclusions. Treat it as an entertaining narrative, not a rigorous assessment. (Not financial advice.)

AppropriateGoat7039

This just sounds like more NVDA FUD. Are you short or holding puts? I hold $60k in NVDA shares and 2027 leaps…I have conviction, do you? The idea that China has “caught up” in AI chips is wild to me. Chinese firms are still trying to order massive volumes of NVIDIA hardware. There are reports of order of 2 million H200’s across only 3 Chinese companies. If Chinese chips were competitive, that kind of demand would not exist. Let’s also remember this is China. What China says publicly is not the same as what it does privately. Their chips remain multiple generations behind NVIDIA, and with Vera Rubin coming, the technology gap is only going to widen. Everyone in the industry knows NVIDIA chips were smuggled into China and used to train models like DeepSeek. That is not speculation, it’s common knowledge. China has also trained models outside the country specifically to access NVIDIA hardware, while also smuggling chips through Malaysia, Thailand, and Singapore. So ask yourself this. If Chinese AI chips are truly competitive, why go to such extreme lengths to acquire NVIDIA hardware while claiming equality in the media? Because the narrative is Chinese propaganda. NVDA earnings will tell the truth.

SolarNachoes

It made my NVDA swole

ACutter75

TBH it all feels cyclical at this point amongst the circle jerk of a few companies, Mag 7 or maybe 10. We might hear on Monday that OpenAI has a breakthrough over Gemini or Nvidia has a crazy new sth and suddenly everything changes. MSFT and NVDA rockets while GOOG tanks. It’s all about the next big news at this point, no earnings, no future guidance, nothing matters.

ThanklessWaterHeater

Jensen Huang‘s comment was to say NVDA would invest “a great deal of money“ in OpenAI. Exactly how much is a great deal? NVDA could give Open AI $10 million; that would be a great deal of money. But it would also be 1/10,000 of the $100 billion they previously said they would give, and would be essentially the same as not giving them $100 billion.

Specialist_Exam_8433

OpenAI = Epstein, MSFT NVDA CRWV ORCL = Bill Gates, DJT, etc cause the former has the latter by the balls and can bring them down instantly if they don't do what they want

Tocharian

So does market dump until NVDA er saves the economy in the final week of Feb? Or does NVDA finally disappoint after 10 quarters in a row of earnings beats?

Stumpertons

Listen up you beautiful, illiterate gamblers. While you were arguing about crayons vs glue for lunch, I did something financially irresponsible but spiritually correct. I went $400,000 DEEP ON MARGIN INTO MICRON (MU). Yes. Margin. Yes. All-in. Yes. My broker called. No. I didn’t answer. ⸻ THE DD (DUMB DETERMINATION) 🧠 Memory is the backbone of AI No memory = no AI No AI = no America No America = Europe (🤮) Micron doesn’t make chips. They make THE THING THAT REMEMBERS YOUR BAD DECISIONS. Every AI model, every data center, every “disruptive platform” needs: • HBM • DRAM • NAND • 🇺🇸 MADE 🇺🇸 SUPPLY 🇺🇸 MU isn’t a stock. It’s a strategic national asset with a ticker symbol. ⸻ WHY NOW? Because: • Everyone is scared • Everyone wants a dip • Everyone is waiting for “confirmation” Meanwhile: • AI demand is exploding • Memory pricing is tightening • Capex discipline is real • Shorts are comfy and unaware This is exactly when WSB history books get written. ⸻ THE PLAY 💥 $400K margin 💥 Shares + calls 💥 Time horizon: either retirement or ramen Price target? • Bears: “$380” • Analysts: “$500–$600” • Me: STRAIGHT THROUGH $700 LIKE IT OWES ME MONEY ⸻ THE RISK Could I lose everything? Yes. Could I be right? Also yes. Would I rather be early than late? ABSOLUTELY. If this hits, I’m a genius. If it doesn’t, delete app, move to woods, raise goats. ⸻ FINAL THOUGHT They laughed at NVDA at $300 They laughed at TSLA at $200 They laughed at every man who pressed BUY when fear was loud Now excuse me while I stare at premarket and pretend I’m calm. MU TO THE EFFING MOON 🚀🚀🚀 SEE YOU AT $700 OR THE SOUP KITCHEN

Stumpertons

Listen up you beautiful, illiterate gamblers. While you were arguing about crayons vs glue for lunch, I did something financially irresponsible but spiritually correct. I went $400,000 DEEP ON MARGIN INTO MICRON (MU). Yes. Margin. Yes. All-in. Yes. My broker called. No. I didn’t answer. ⸻ THE DD (DUMB DETERMINATION) 🧠 Memory is the backbone of AI No memory = no AI No AI = no America No America = Europe (🤮) Micron doesn’t make chips. They make THE THING THAT REMEMBERS YOUR BAD DECISIONS. Every AI model, every data center, every “disruptive platform” needs: • HBM • DRAM • NAND • 🇺🇸 MADE 🇺🇸 SUPPLY 🇺🇸 MU isn’t a stock. It’s a strategic national asset with a ticker symbol. ⸻ WHY NOW? Because: • Everyone is scared • Everyone wants a dip • Everyone is waiting for “confirmation” Meanwhile: • AI demand is exploding • Memory pricing is tightening • Capex discipline is real • Shorts are comfy and unaware This is exactly when WSB history books get written. ⸻ THE PLAY 💥 $400K margin 💥 Shares + calls 💥 Time horizon: either retirement or ramen Price target? • Bears: “$380” • Analysts: “$500–$600” • Me: STRAIGHT THROUGH $700 LIKE IT OWES ME MONEY ⸻ THE RISK Could I lose everything? Yes. Could I be right? Also yes. Would I rather be early than late? ABSOLUTELY. If this hits, I’m a genius. If it doesn’t, delete app, move to woods, raise goats. ⸻ FINAL THOUGHT They laughed at NVDA at $300 They laughed at TSLA at $200 They laughed at every man who pressed BUY when fear was loud Now excuse me while I stare at premarket and pretend I’m calm. MU TO THE EFFING MOON 🚀🚀🚀 SEE YOU AT $700 OR THE SOUP KITCHEN

kingbish01

Thanks Bluebird, all good info. Feel free to DM me some tickers to keep an eye on. I play this game with NVDA or AMD as they fluctuate +/- a dollar all day.

Odd_Neighborhood969

NVDA is a theta farm

SpongEWorTHiebOb

PE on current year 6-30-2026 estimates is 25. That is cheap historically for MSFT. It usually trades with a PE of 30 to 35. Only MSFT and NVDA have monetized AI meaningfully. I bought more this week and plan to add to my position if the weakness persists.

Dudewutdaheck

Bc Groq is developing in-memory TPU-like chip designs that will bring down the cost of inference by orders of magnitude. The manufacturing capability still only lies with TSM. GFS is incapable of leading edge nodes. TSM spends GFS's entire market cap on R&D each year to stay leading edge. NVDA/Groq chip designs only work on leading edge. So if your entire thesis is based on GFS making NVDA chips, that isn't going to happen.

VictorDanville

NVDA, I can't wait for the 6090

No_Feeling920

This company uses legacy processes for automotive and such, since they stopped keeping up their manufacturing process with the industry leaders. Low margin business and they have trouble getting and staying above 0 EPS. Not sure why NVDA would invest in them. GloFo does general logic manufacturing, which is different from specialised RAM/Flash manufacturing, so they can't even serve that purpose.

SuperNewk

Jensen not on the list = NVDA to 10 trillion and our new president?

acegarrettjuan

You know what else is volatile? Silver Gold and NVDA. I am up 10x on my bitcoin. Again you dont know what you are talking about.

Pijoto

Yeah, $GFS has gone nowhere for over 5 years, while it's being shorted into the ground.... I see this stock hitting ATHs again if $NVDA does a buy a stake in GlobalFoundries....

AI-is-4-StupidPeople

Good !! Well deserved crash ! There is another 2000 dollars to go down . And another 30-40 % for silver !!!!This is a pre warning to PLTR, NVDA, TSLA and all other tech pump holders for their upcoming awakening

Pijoto

$AMD shoulda kept it's 1/3 stake in $GFS if it turns out $NVDA was gonna invest in them....

Specialist_Exam_8433

Sam Altman has MSFT ORCL CRWV and to some extent NVDA all by the balls

canon2nikon

Right there with you and have 369 shares with a cost basis of $342…. been buying these dips. Memory shortage, price increases, and astronomical demand due to AI. $MU is way undervalued and is having its $NVDA moment🚀🚀. Do your DD folks, their financials and demand are strong! 💎🤲🏼

IHaveInflatableShoes

I hope all this crypto money pours into NVDA, sending NVDA to 10T this year

Master-Marionberry35

It was just an example, but all food companies primarily buy from 2 different companies now. It was 'easier' and 'cheaper' (back then), and lowered the quality of the experience of the customer. This also applies to tech companies... people invest in NVDA because they think it will go UP, not because they like the company, which make's sense in short term, but do these ivestors actually believe in the comapny? I think I'm answering my own question now.

VictoriaAutNihil

Buy long time holds that have good balance sheets. I own AAPL, NVDA, AMAT, AMD, PANW, GOOG & AMZN. I don't intend to sell anytime soon, I hardly ever look anymore to see how they're doing, unless something traumatic is triggering a downtrend overall in a broad based market. Then I will decide if I want to increase positions in any of them.

Leroy--Brown

I suppose my question and the bigger picture perspective that I'm grappling with has nothing to do with the minute of training models vs inference in models and which chips are used. The bigger picture perspective is this: LLMs are just a commodity. Another version of deepseek will come along eventually that hits a price/performance point that people find is preferable to pay for compared to paying for Claude/gpt/Gemini. The race to the bottom is a real problem, because with multiple players in the sector, eventually someone will disrupt with a low cost model that is preferable for most customers. Back to Microsoft: how much of their investments in data centers are being funded directly by open AI? Initially MSFT invested heavily in open AI, but about 2 years ago nadella and Altman's relationship started to sour. MSFT did help with a second funding round, but turned off commitments for future investments. This was when altman began to shop around for other investors to fund them. So my question from the 10,000 foot view perspective is how much of MSFT future revenue seen as liabilities is committed to come from open AI, which still does not have revenue and is likely to lose its most in the next 2 years? Everyone is focused on the circular funding relationships of the various companies involved. I am less worried about the circular relationships for the companies that have real tangible revenue (MSFT, NVDA, GOOG, AMZN etc) but I am worried about the companies that are heavily exposed to revenue and financial agreements from companies that don't have any revenue (open AI) even Claude/anthropic is projected to have stronger revenue growth than open AI if you compare both companies and also include projections for operational expenses and capex in your calculations. So yeah: how exposed is MSFT to open AI for future liabilities and future revenue? Their other clients will be able to foot the bill, but open AI is the one that might not be able to pay up.

gainsusmaximus

How are my NVDA puts for 2/2 looking? 🫥

-Crash_Override-

NVDA wants to be MORE involved. The profitability trajectory is accelerating. And we have only just scratched the surface of AI powered robotics.

IHaveInflatableShoes

NVDA homie

Wonko-D-Sane

https://preview.redd.it/5jg1e5d6mpgg1.png?width=474&format=png&auto=webp&s=b180f8e4b29897a9f124ff4492cff2f18a275dbe "Quick" huh? tell that to the chunk of my port that isn't exactly lock step with the NVDA chunk

laughncow

never happened before LOL a blow off top? This happens all the time. GO look at any bitcoin rally or the last top on MSTR or NVDA over the last 10 years this is a blow off top it very normal in aggressive trading. Don't be stupid

_TheGoogz

Profit is profit. Look at NVDA. Most people (myself included) would look at it run from $3 in 2018 to $35 in 2021 and say "missed the move, glad I didn't get trapped" as it sold back down to $11 in 2022. Any idea how many shafts I'd choke on for an $11 entry on NVDA today? That said, this post feels more "sound investing" than "irrational gambling" so probably the wrong sub. But it does shine a light on the fact that really any entry on profitable "good" companies (especially ones being backed by insiders with true conviction) is a good entry and that none of us in here will ever have the best entry that can be had. I was trapped in this "I have to have the perfect entry" mindset for years and lost out on so many tendies because I would refuse to buy things that were actively running saying "I could've had a better entry" or "It's just going to crash back down."

NotMe357

NVDA is not out. They just invest less than $100B. OpenAI want to raise $100B and Amazon want to invest up to $50B into OpenAI so NVDA will probably do the rest.

ThinkingOfTheOldDays

I wonder why Jensen or the NVDA investment committee didn't invest in or try to buy MU and the other storage names last year during the tariff panic.  Surely tech Jesus knew memory was the next bottleneck

TimeTravelingChris

Maybe. A savvy business person would see this for what it is. Between the Sovereign Wealth Fund discussions, the IPO coming soon, and all the equity deals with NVDA, AMD, and others, Open AI is ABSOLUTELY SCREAMING that they need cash. They need insane amounts of cash. So if you are NVDA what do you do? Well, you make sure that you get a chunk so big and a deal so good that it's worth the risk. That could translate to a lot of different things. Think preferential shares where they can collateralize the investment.

Mahrez-

Call on NVDA

janon330

Yeah people think this is somehow bad for NVDA. The agreement was never binding. And if anything they can go partner with Anthropic now if they choose. It gives NVDA flexibility and freedom.

ShittyUsernane1222

I wonder if there was an informal backdoor deal regarding China, NVDA and US. 1. China won't invade taiwan so long as it compute imports from taiwan are not threatened or comprised by Backdoors 2. China agrees to hand over TikTok to US 3. China may at any moment buy Nvidia for a big discount if it wants to

tika_dengu

Can NVDA do a SLV next week?

Financial-Today-314

Nice breakdown, INTC is interesting here but I would also look at MSFT, NVDA, AMD, AAPL, and META for clean technical setups across different timeframes

wattap

12-hours after yet another OpenAI hit piece Jensen says NVDA will invest a “great deal” into it and that it will be NVDA largest investment to date

JoyLimbPrivateHldgs

NVDA

dvdmovie1

Optimally, would love for everything i own to ultimately become a long-term holding but feels fairly rare today. If I own something several years later great because if I'm still owning it at that point it's because it's done well. NVDA is an example. Some things wind up being medium term - I owned TTD for a few years starting several years ago, was a huge position, did very well - the story has significantly changed and I wouldn't consider it beyond a trade today (and that's low on the shopping list.) If I had just kept on owning TTD based on how good it *was* and didn't keep re-assessing the story, I'd be pretty bummed right now.

dvdmovie1

I thnk the market has become faster since covid, but ultimately I think if you own a great business it's not that hard to continue to own and have a reasonable allocaton - trim a little into excess, add a little into opportunity but keep a core position, especially if you have a great cost basis. My cost basis in NVDA is such that the company would have to be in financial trouble to get back there. A great cost basis in a great company helps the long-term view because you can have a correction and it's still green. I am more active than I used to be and think that the market post-covid requires that to *some* degree, but great companies stick. If you churn everything all the time in your portfolio, every time there's a correction you're probably looking at all red because everything is recent. If there's a correction and someone opens their portfolio and the entire thing is red, how are they going to react? How would they react if they had the exact same portfolio and had a lower cost basis because they'd held onto the names and the whole thing wasn't just red?

Homeless-Coward-2143

Don't worry NVDA holders, you'll still see gains as the USD drops another 10% next week.

dvdmovie1

I wouldn't want to own EAT, occasionally have owned PM. It's more an illustration that the returns for *some* of these names have become a little less compelling over the last half decade (which includes the 2022 downturn but also the tail end of the 2020/21 bubble.) Microsoft is up 85% over the last 5 years. If you bought at the bottom in 2022 somewhat better at 95% but if you look around, can you find relatively boring names (look at something like MCK over the last 5 years; beautiful chart) where you could have had a better return with less volatility over either of those time frames? AAPL similar. AMZN has done better off the low - because it tanked harder in 2022 - but over the last 5 years the return is ... not great (although not helped by Bezos continually dumping into increases for a while.) GOOG has done well, META has done reasonably well. NVDA has obviously been the biggest beneficiary. None of these are bad companies, certainly. But I think that they've worked so well for so long that it seems like people have gotten to the point of habitually buying *all* of them without question and some of them have been lesser performers than others over the last half decade. IMO, too many people "collect 'em all" rather than focus on their best one or two ideas in the group. There's also been increasingly less discussion on Reddit of tech beyond Mag 7. Memory has been a giant theme. Years ago there would have been *tons* of talk about something like SNDK or MU. There's not really been much at all - a bit more lately but only after so much of the move has happened. I see little if any talk about what's going on in optics names. As someone who's been on Reddit for 10+ years, the variety of names talked about has shrunk considerably down to a lot of "the kind of things I'd hear about if I turned on CNBC" + a handful of selected reddit speculative names. There's also the question of whether the spending on the increasingly sizable fleet of data centers will ever end or even materially slow. When you look around over the last 5 years, the biggest beneficiaries have largely been where the money is being spent (FIX, STRL prime examples), not who's spending. If that is going to continue, maybe focus a bit less on Mag 7 (best couple of ideas rather than buying all of them) and more elsewhere? That's all.

hermeskino715

Jensen not bailing out Scam Altman!? Curious if NVDA gets a big move on Monday

Severe-Appointment40

Bro this DD is longer than my attention span but those revenue growth numbers are absolutely wild - 348% last quarter and projecting 400% next year? Either this is the next NVDA or someone's cooking the books harder than my wife's boyfriend cooks dinner That monopoly on Si-28 is actually pretty bullish though, quantum computing gonna need that stuff bad

JessKingHangers

Might finally dump all my NVDA shares. It was a good run but thus last stagnant year was boring.

-Crash_Override-

This is because of the AWS deal OAI just signed. That will see OAI moving a good amount of compute to Amazon Trainium2 chips. Nvidia doesnt like that. Its not, as many people are going to jump to, a canary in the coal mine, its not because nvidia wants to distance itself from OAI...its quite the opposite...because NVDA wants OAI all to themselves.

SpongEWorTHiebOb

It’s stalled because Amazon is going to be the big investor in this round. OpenAI will then use AWS servers and Amazons AI chip not NVDA.

kabirsbhutani

Possibly. NVDA benefits either way without needing equity. Likely noise soon enough.

DryGeneral990

Well this isn't NVDA but hopefully it's the next best opportunity!

_rockthemike

NVDA JAN 2023- $15 NVDA JAN 2024- $50 NVDA JAN 2025 - $135 NVDA JAN 2026 - $186 If you bought on Jan 2024, it was after it had already tripled If you bought it 2025, it was after it tripled again Congrats and give it time, we’re heading to $850 EOY imo

-Crash_Override-

This has to do with the AWS news, less about earnings directly, although they are related: MSFT is pouring money into Azure/infrastructure buildout but its still got a giant backlog. Most of that backlog is openai. OpenAI has the money and desire to keep scaling. OpenAI does not want to wait/be bottlenecked by being with a single hyperscaler (msft) OAI signs deal with amazon. Part of that deal involves using amazon chips (trainium2). MSFTs giant backlog is now shakey. Wallstreet doesnt like shakey. NVDA is now passed because that means OAI will move some compute to a competitor. Ballsy move for Amazon and OAI...we'll see how.ir plays out.

DirichletComplex1837

Unless I'm missing something you would still need like 10 million back when Google went public, on the other hand 100k during NVDA's IPO would have been enough too which is even crazier

Intelligent-Roll-300

They got sold to electronics companies for cheap where did you think those NVDA 100000% gains came from?

klembcke

It's bad for NVDA because people are realizing that data centers filled with thousands of GPUs don't actually create a profit and NVDA's whole thing the past few years is selling all these GPUs to people who want to build said data centers.

janon330

The amount of people here thinking this is bad for NVDA is crazy. Saves them $100 billion from their bottom line and they are still supply constrained. Any GPUs that OpenAI doesnt buy will go to other people.

shinigami_2245

Silver lining (no pun intended) to blowing up my account is now I’m out of my loser MSTY position, my theta dying NVDA calls and I don’t have to lose sleep over hoping I can get out of my /SIL

Far-Requirement9180

NVDA plans to invest 100b in OpenAI is fucked. Oh boy, the bubble would burst so badly if they ever go public Lmaoooooooooo

Fantasma369

I’ve held and DCA into NVDA GOOG AMZN APPL TSM for the past 3 years (Feb 23) and been pretty happy with my choices. I understand the risk but these are products I use everyday and I’m pretty good at emotionally detaching myself from certain investments that I truly believe. The saying time in the market beats timing the market has worked for me.

rameyjm7

Just as I thought yesterday about buying into gold. Nice.. missed that painful drop. NVDA and GOOGL are my gold

jonneh

> **The $100 Billion mega deal between OpenAI and NVDA is on ice** — WSJ # > Nvidia’s plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI to help it train and run its latest artificial-intelligence models has stalled after some inside the chip giant expressed doubts about the deal, people familiar with the matter said. > Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has privately emphasized to industry associates in recent months that the original $100 billion agreement was nonbinding and not finalized, people familiar with the matter said. He has also privately criticized what he has described as a lack of discipline in OpenAI’s business approach and expressed concern about the competition it faces from the likes of Google and Anthropic, some of the people said.

Useful_Alarm730

Sometimes strategies can be extremely simple, depends on whether you can stomach the risk..for example, if you hold only tandem of NVDA and AVGO (50% each) or just GOOG and AMZN in 2026, I bet you will beat the broad market