NVDA

prana_fish

Remember how $NVDA bulls were salivating over the weekend from the Reflection AI rumors and a guaranteed Monday pop? lmao

Glittering_Dig3798

same NVDA collaboration story for the 4th time

Legitimate_Risk_1079

NVDA and SFTBY used to be 2 years ago. I have posted about them several times on WSB.

Jagged_Tide

NVDA coil?

syedhuda

**NVDA gang members checkin in**

No_Current3675

Still big in semis, I don't think this dies too soon. Buy into FUD sell into FOMO. Biggest positions right now MSFT KLAC LRCX ASML, sizeable positions in GLW WDC NVDA MU and a few others.

soupaman

I lost like 50k across a series of shitty trades in a week like 6 years ago. Still pains me today. To make matters worse, I sold stock positions in NVDA, MSFT and TSLA to fund them. 

Open_Pollution_8038

Portfolio: META RDDT SMCI NVDA MU Bangers bruh.

banditcleaner2

NVDA has had very strong revenue growth for many years even pre-AI, MU hasn't as its always been a cyclical stock

banditcleaner2

Everybody with a brain kinda knows that what anthropic and openAI are doing are not at all sustainable. They're trying to push towards AGI, but it just does not seem like LLMs are scaling the way that they thought they would forever, and if AGI is impossible then the rally will fade at some point. Unless they can both keep their revenue and even expand it. As insanely effective as a lot of the LLMs are, both openAI and anthropic need to raise prices and/or cut expenses massively to make themselves profitable. Raising prices results in a slowdown in demand. That's just a fact. The competition also doesn't help them because if chatGPT raises prices, I'll go to claude, or some other free alternative that is 95% as good but is free or low cost. So how are they going to retain revenues in the face of rising expenses? Because definitionally in the long term, they NEED to do this. There's no doubt to anyone that uses them professionally that LLMs are effective. They are helpful. They've saved me immense time myself. But I'm not sure that my employer would pay lets say $500-1000 a month for access for just me. But those are the kinds of prices that these will need to justify their valuations, and that is without any further improvements I think people are just scared that the current spend will not be justified. NVDA still mostly holds a monopoly for GPUs, but there are multiple options for memory. If MU was a monopoly in the same way it might be double the current price.

PaulAtreides3301

For anyone revisiting this Reddit post - you are correct, as of 2026, fractional options do in fact exist, and will be available for you very soon. For years the answer here was a flat no, since one contract meant 100 shares and that was simply how the market worked. That rule didn't change because a broker got generous. It changed because someone rebuilt how the contract itself is made, so you can now hold a slice of a real option the same way you'd hold a slice of a share. Each contract has a 1x multiplier instead of 100, and orders can be any fraction down to $1 of notional, so the at-the-money SPY call that costs $600 on a normal broker costs $6. The first underlyings are SPY and QQQ, the options are European and cash-settled, and the book never closes, so you can trade nights and weekends. Your collateral stays yours the whole time, and there's no wallet, seed phrase, or gas anywhere in the process. We'll leave the details for when you go looking. But if you landed here because one NVDA call costs more than your rent, you're early, and you won't be for long. Your good Omen is coming.

Jensen-Hung

There's literally zero volume behind this NVDA dump

prana_fish

Damn. They really bull trapped semis last week with false breakouts. Can't hold gains for shit. $MU had one day of gooning only to dump next 3 days in a row erasing goonage. $NVDA takes like 69 years to break $230 only to hold above for like 5 seconds before dumping. $INTC bout to go below $100 again.

KillerWhale1999

Go listen to NVDA

True_Brief7876

NVDA calls???

LetsGoBucs09

The full blown aerial assault on $MU, $NVDA, $SNDK, and others is crazy. Very interested to see where this goes the next 30 days.

Opposite_Engine_6776

Damn. Check out what they did to my boys NVDA and MU.

YouDontKnowDino

Thanks NVDA oof

Bravadette

NVDA movement is insane rn.

True_Brief7876

NVDA call??

Status-Run-8610

NVDA :clifford: :clifford: :clifford: :clifford: :clifford:

Bright-Wait-4572

On the first one: a 78 call with a 100 call sold against it is just a 78/100 call debit spread, and at a penny the short leg does almost nothing except make the position show up as defined risk on the platform. That’s a habit from their “always sell something” framing, not an edge. The NVDA one you liked is the same idea in the other direction. An ITM put with an OTM put sold under it is a put debit spread, so the max gain is the width minus what you paid, not open-ended like a short. Reading every analyst trade as a spread with a width and a debit makes most of them click.

xinvmy

NVDA TSM，can buy it？

Itry31

Yeah but NVDA raised the RTX 6000 from 8k to 16k in one year. Those same massive profits they make are just being given to these AI companies for a handjob and to buy those same GPUs.  Their plan is to circle jerk each other to infinity and to self regulate super duper duper AI so open weight models don't eat their lunch.

Status-Run-8610

NVDA - 5% today

floodlight137

Not necessarily. I actually trade single tickers, but tickers like TSLA, NVDA don't really have liquidity issues unless you're buying the long tail. 

awry_lynx

Yes, this is the real point. I mean the metaphors for past booms and busts are fine (I'm partial to the railroad one too) but the lack of moat is huge. I bet big on NVDA a few years ago and that went well, I'm staying out of Anthropic except for a little play money. Sure, I like the product, but it's incredibly replaceable.

Bagholder147

Buy SNAP. NVDA, AMAZON. Partnership.

Philosoraptor_Think

No, semis are looking fine, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO and AMD are all up. It's memory only.

PentaJet

Dang I begged my dad to put in any amount of money into NVDA, even like 2k back in 2015. He just said all investments are scams and made me scared of stocks too rip

filwu

The post gives explicit reclaim levels and invalidation points for both SPY and NVDA. To make the wave count testable, could you keep a dated ledger of each weekly level—close relative to the trigger, whether invalidation or target was hit, and the forecast horizon? A small calibration table would show whether these levels add information beyond a simple breakout/mean-reversion baseline.

Brilliant_Daikon6387

Realizing I have to hedge against AI taking over my job by buying NVDA.

doronj

None. NVDA instead

filwu

From an NVDA perspective, the key distinction is whether this is only a SKU/channel-allocation rumor or a confirmed production change. The post says the source is an unverified factory message; I’d wait for NVIDIA or board-partner confirmation, then look for a measurable shift in Gaming vs. Data Center revenue, gross margin, or channel inventory before treating it as a fundamental change. The 5090 demand alone doesn’t size the earnings impact.

Legitimate_Risk_1079

NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation - Current Price: $229.28 - Current Market Cap: $5.54T - Bull Target (12–18m): $285–$320 - Bear Target: $175–$190 - Upside: +24% to +40% - Downside: -17% to -24% - Reward-to-Risk: ~1.6:1 - Success Probability: 70% (estimated) - Expected ROI: +19% (estimated) - Return per 1% Downside: ~0.9% - Forward P/E: 18.96 - Debt-to-Equity: Low - 1-Year Return: +19.35% 🟢 - 5-Year Return: +1,005.52% 🟢 - Profitability: Highly Profitable 🟢 - Revenue Growth: +83.4% YoY 🟢 - Earnings Growth: +122.7% YoY 🟢 - Free Cash Flow: Strongly Positive 🟢 - Price Trend: Long-term bullish 🟢 - Bull-Case Market Cap: $6.88T–$7.73T - Comparable Companies: Broadcom, AMD, TSMC ($2.05T) - Risk: Moderate-High - Conviction: 8/10 - Grade: B+ NVIDIA dominates AI accelerators, GPUs, and data-center computing. Exceptional growth, profitability, and shareholder returns support my bullish outlook, but its enormous $5.54T valuation limits realistic upside over the next 12–18 months, preventing an A grade despite outstanding business fundamentals.

Lake-Life

Wouldnt touch IREN with a 20ft stack of unused NVDA gpus sitting in a warehouse somewhere not installed into a data center yet from last announced pump and dump deal

Witty_Elk3874

nice plan but especially the QQQ/SMH and 6% single‑name (NVDA) looks like over‑concentration; consider upping the large‑cap core to about 90% VOO/VTI and putting the 10‑15% into diversified growth or international; keep a bond ladder for the 40‑year‑horizon and test your 10‑year trailing rule against a realistic drawdown before you lock it in.

GAV17

What percentage of earnings from Apple, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL and META are dependant on AI? Most of these companies are the ones being punished in the AI environment because they are the ones spending the Capex. While MU, AVGO and NVDA are the ones benefitting from this spending.

DrXaos

The valuations of many big companies in SP500 really are dependent on AI spending. This is just like the dot com 1.0 era. • NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) – ~8.36% – 8.59% weight • Apple Inc. (AAPL) – ~7.35% – 6.87% weight • Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) – ~5.76% – 4.71% weight • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) – ~3.70% – 4.13% weight • Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL) – ~3.05% – 3.67% weight • Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) – ~2.53% – 3.09% weight • Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) – ~2.45% – 2.92% weight • Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) – ~2.42% – 2.11% weight • Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) – ~1.82% – 1.42% weight • Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) – ~1.51% – 1.96% weight That's 40% of the SP500 valuation. And every one of them is tied to AI (Apple the least). Nvidia, Google, Broadcom, Amazon, Meta and Micron are welded to AI's future. Tesla valuation trades only on the prospect of AI Robotaxis and droids. People underestimate how much SP500 and total US market cap index is literally an AI trade bet.

beeArebel

So now S&P only moves if NVDA moves?! 

doughboy_491

I think it is a low probability that Anthropic will pull their scheduled IPO in November. There is too much of wall street and silicon valley and monied interests to make this happen. Just think what would happen to NVDA and the neoclouds if Anthropic sh!t the bed. That doesn't mean however that Anthropic will achieve a $2T market cap or won't fall on the first day of trading. So I would pull some money from the market and have some dry powder in case the IPO pulls the whole market down. There will be no safe havens except maybe healthcare, oil majors, and Berkshire Hathaway. Cash is probably just as good.

Flimsy_Outside_5508

If you really buy into the thesis on how half of all chips are unplugged or sitting in powerless DC’s/ daddy Jensen is forcing customers to buy in surplus i think NVDA is the clear short winner

Successful_Rabbit907

VOO - 50% VXUS - 25% ISRG - 10% NVDA - 5% USAR - 5% CEG - 5% I'm 24 studying mechanical engineering & I want to start investing long term. How much should I put in roth ira vs taxable accounts? Any advice on the port is welcome I'm going for a basic core-satellite structure.

Whole-Walrus5289

railroads built a single line and then shut down, but the AI ecosystem is a multi‑layered platform. Even if a lab runs out of cash, its models can still be absorbed by Google, Amazon, or Microsoft – big companies with massive cloud bases and recurring revenue. Those giants can shift costs, spin off the assets, or flip them into services. So from a risk perspective, a diversified AI ETF or a core infrastructure play like NVDA gives more resilience than betting on a single fledgling lab. If you’re scared of a collapse, a broad basket of AI‑exposed tech stocks is the safer bet, because the rail‑track logic only applies to one‑off, high‑capex projects with no path to profit.

Stock-Dust6889

This is a thoughtful plan, especially the spending rate, long horizon for your dependent, and precommitted rules. My main concern is that the “tilt” may be less diversified than it looks: the S&P 500, QQQ, SMH, and NVDA overlap heavily in large-cap tech and semiconductors. I’d stress-test the whole portfolio—not just the tilt—against a long stretch of U.S. large-cap underperformance, a major drawdown near retirement, and the dependent’s needs. What bond allocation and cash-flow plan would protect the retirement date if stocks fell hard in years 7–10?

Desperate-Skirt2440

I made a direct comparison with Micron, I didn't mention that NVDA didn't rise quickly. My point is that NVDA didn't rise as quick as Micron and there's a big difference. If you are still struggling to see that I can't help you.

internetsoci0path

NVDA +2% kinda day I believe

Positive_Back_9335

🚨 BREAKING: I'VE DISCOVERED THE REAL REASON STOCKS ONLY GO UP 🚀🌕 Listen UP While Goldman Sachs is spending $40 billion hiring MIT graduates to build quantitative trading models, I've been conducting groundbreaking research from my couch. THE ENTIRE STOCK MARKET IS CONTROLLED BY THE MOON. Think about it. The moon controls the tides. The human body is mostly water. Traders are humans. Therefore, the moon controls traders. THIS IS BASIC SCIENCE. And the rabbit hole goes deeper. 🌕 FULL MOON: Maximum gravitational pull on my portfolio. SPY calls preparing for liftoff. 🌑 NEW MOON: The moon is literally reloading. Accumulation phase. EXTREMELY BULLISH. ☀️ SOLAR FLARES: The sun is blasting Earth with free energy. How could this possibly be bearish for NVDA? 🪐 MERCURY RETROGRADE: Mercury is going backward, which means the market has to go forward. Newton's Third Law. Look it up. 🐂 CHINESE ZODIAC: Year of the Horse. Horses run fast. Bulls also run. SPY $800 confirmed. I've spent the last six hours backtesting this strategy against three YouTube videos and a fortune cookie. Results: 100% confidence. Zero statistical significance. Infinite upside. I LOOK AT THE SKY. The bears are studying unemployment reports while I'm calculating the gravitational pull of Uranus on the Nasdaq. YOU CANNOT PRICE IN THE SOLAR SYSTEM. SPY $800 EOY. NVDA $300. VIX going to zero. Bears getting liquidated in all 24 time zones. POSITIONS: 100% CALLS, 0% HEDGES, 200% ASTROLOGICAL CONVICTION. 🚀🌕🐂💎🙌 Not financial advice. I have been staring directly at the sun for confirmation.

halmyradov

NVDA wants the next openai or anthropic, they already have the hardware market by the balls but their software side has been a bit of a hit or miss.

Strict_Raspberry4863

the plan is solid on the big index, but the tech tilt feels like a neck‑tied safety net. 80% S&P and 8% QQQ already overlap a lot in FA>NVDA etc. If the same chip cycle hiccups, you could be staring at a 30–40% hit close to your 8‑year mark. Also the legacy leg with 40‑year horizon could use a bit more diversification – maybe a slice of global (e.g. VTI + XWO) and some bonds earlier, the 3‑year-before‑retirement window feels tight. Brown‑out if a shock hits; you’ll still be riding the crash before you start realigning. Consider a 70/30 US/International split plus 10–15% bonds from year –5 to start smoothing out the tail risk.

Desperate-Skirt2440

NVDA vs Micron over the last 5 years. Do you see the difference? https://preview.redd.it/a8mczciarwuh1.jpeg?width=2160&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d7d696a55879b5b59a2553adbdfd3a42612d6af2

Glum_Community3154

i get why you’re flagging the lack of international & mid‑cap exposure – it’s a legit gap. one way to address that without losing your AI tilt is to add a small‑cap domestic layer via an ETF like IJR or IJH, and a global equity wheel like VXUS or ACWI – you can keep the 80/20 core but boost diversification, and you’ll still see the upside during a tech upcycle. just keep an eye on concentration and maybe trim a bit of NVDA if the sector overheats.

AnotherThroneAway

Age is the central question. Or brass tacks, number of years you plan on living, I suppose. In any case, this portfolio doesn't make much sense. 8% QQQ? Why bother, considering the overlap. And OP cites NVDA as a single stock, but it's the biggest position in both QQQ and S&P. Just pointless. /u/Inevitable_Abies_777 not trying to slam your concept here, but it's just fussing around the edges. If you're going risk-on, just VOO it up, or if you're looking for a reason to actively oversee it, 90%+ VOO with a splash of individual SMH components. Otherwise, you're better off derisking from the S&P, not leaning into it. Take a lesson from the train industry—the sign is a big RXR—as in, do not cross Risk and Retirement

Acceptable-Two5692

Can NVDA please start the day without a rugpull

IvoryTowerResident

you are pretty heavy nvda, SMH is a large part of QQQ and SP500, NVDA is the largest part of SMH

Informal-Lime6396

SOXX or SOXQ to avoid high concentration in NVDA

Happy-Champion1661

7 days non-technical analysis: META will be sub700 and NVDA back to 180s in a month from now

Ok_Commission605

I just picked monthly bc my argument was based on leveraging the shares as passive income and most bills are due monthly. Easier for people to understand and digest rather than picking 72 days or some other arbitrary length of time. I've also heard people say choose 45 days (closest to 6 weeks) and close at 75-90%. Plus, the farther out you go, the less you make in theta per day as theta is basically calculated as the premium divided by number of days remaining if the strike is OTM.  Giving more time also gives more opportunities for the stock to actually make it there, sounds like he doesn't rly want to sell. Also because NVDA is a "hot stock" with lots of trading volume and volatility, the premiums 1-4 weeks out are plenty high, going to get diminishing returns the farther out you go. The extra premium you farm for pushing it out further is not worth having lower turnover and higher chance of assignment while also dealing with lower volume (contracts 3-6 weeks out will be traded in greater quantities than 3-6 months out, therefore the further out we go the wider the spread and lower liquidity).  Most platforms actually give you %s of closing in the money for that strike on that expiration. Based on your goals, you can use that to pick the one that makes sense for you. Instead of just selling the strike 5% over the current price, u can look at the options chain and pick one with these projections in mind. Selling the 68% level, 1 SD, will pay more premium but will get assigned about 1/3 of the time. 84% (2 SD) will pay a little less but u will keep the shares 5/6 of the time, 95% (or 5% stock will close in the money) u get very little premium but u will also keep the stock nearly every time and if u DO get assigned, then you're selling way above current value.

Glittering_Dig3798

It'll 2X before NVDA does, I'll tell ya that much

PaperHandsTheDip

There's not a "huge" point throwing 6% into individual stocks if you have 80% in the S&P500. NVDA accounts for almost 8% of the S&P500 already, so 5-6% of your money is already in nvidia.

m0nk_3y_gw

The market turned in 2022. TSLA out performed the rest of MAG7 META went from 333 to 113 MSFT went from 343 to 221 NVDA went from 27 to 11 TSLA went from 400 to 300 WITH the CEO cashing out billions in stock BUT THEN he kept dumping billions and billions (to by xitter) and it dumped to 105 by Jan 2023. He said he was done dumping and it double in a 4-6 weeks. so... TSLA moves more on CEO whackiness and not broader trends

Affectionate_Fly7659

🥭 announced ceasefire. Oil to 60, NVDA 300, AMD 750, SPY 850. My Christmas wish list

839402388888

Well, with this allocation you've rested like 20% of your retirement on NVDA, and like 30% on chip makers all together. Some diversification would be wise.

Chonan_Akira

NVDA: 8% of S&P 500, 9% of QQQ, 22% of SMH, 100% of NVDA Numbers not exact but watch for concentration risk.

lista94

this old reddit link error is literally the state of my mental health right now. broken interface, no context, just a button that doesn't work. reminds me of buying calls at the top thinking i had insider info but really i was just staring at a glitch. the platform decay matches the market decay perfectly. we are all just clicking refresh on a 404 page hoping for alpha. my ergonomic chair hurts because i've been sitting here watching $NVDA tank for three days straight. maybe i should have bought a pool float instead of options. the signal is gone. list94 signing off into the void where nothing matters and my broker fees eat my soul. whatever.

JimLahey12

AMD or NVDA in my opinion

funbike

OMG, NVDA is up 440% since your comment. It up 21% over the last 12 months. It was at ATH. As I said in a reply, I converted MSFT to NVDA. I've also invested a ton more into NVDA since this post. You gotta see what's happening when you invest long term. I knew AI was the next big thing, and I was right.

funbike

NVDA is up 440% since your comment. You gotta see what's happening when you invest long term. I knew AI was the next big thing, and I was right.

femalediesinendgame

Oooh boy, where do I even start with this… I know I’m about to make some of you WSB regards who bought AMD at the tippity top really mad, but it’s ok. Let’s see… To be fair, the fact that it’s gone parabolic recently makes an investor who doesn’t want to incinerate their money a little suspicious that this stock is a bit overvalued, but let’s ignore that; it happens. [Here are the values of some core valuation metrics for AMD](https://prnt.sc/dOM3ewxR0QGo); even when compared to its own ridiculous historical valuation metrics, it still prints as overvalued currently, or at the very least fairly elevated. But let’s ignore this too; at the end of the day, it’s a growth stock, right? And it also has low debt. That’s a good thing. Having a clean balance sheet is nice, but not going bankrupt is the absolute bare minimum for a company trading at such top-tier valuations. Let’s start talking numbers: ROIC is a measly 9.11%. NVDA: 72.42%, AVGO: 24.39%, MU:59.39%, TSMC: 31.23%, all way cheaper (in terms of multiples) than AMD too. The highest EV/EBITDA of all these is 33.87 for AVGO; AMD’s is 103.39. You’re paying $1T for $41B of sales and $6.4B of earnings, and all of that while AMD is also doing tiny buybacks and SBC is 18.8% of operating cash flow and 22.6% of free cash flow. The company is surviving on pure growth expectations; it’s not even funny. The TTM SBC-adjusted FCF yield is a mere 0.65%. AMD is actively diluting you through all this too; its shares outstanding have been increasing 5.78% p.a. for the last 5 years. EVEN after accounting for its good revenue growth, you’re still paying an unfathomable premium for the absolute bottom of the elite semiconductor pack; almost every other major player has been growing quicker, more efficiently, with better prospects of further growth, higher gross margins, AND without diluting their shareholders as much as AMD has been at the same time. Oh, and they are ALL cheaper. I’ll add my own little analysis here; I’m going to calculate a rough estimate of a fair price for this thing, and I’ll give you a little peek at how much you’re paying for actual existing cash generation and business, and how much you’re paying for pure SPECULATION and EUPHORIA. The 3-year normalized average owner earnings (FCF-SBC-CAPEX) is a tiny $3.01B. Applying an asset-light-business multiplier of 12.5x to that, adding the current $13.11B in cash, and dividing the total by the current float, you get a structural target price of $31.12 per share… Assuming a 4% equity risk premium over the 10Y Treasury yield of 5.24%, you get an annual cost of equity of 9.24%. Capitalizing owner earnings + current cash at that rate and dividing by a current float of 1.63B shares, you get a macro target price of $28.02 per share. Current share price is COMPLETELY detached from cash-generating reality; it’s literally funny how much hopium it takes to buy at the current valuation. The growth premium multiple is 608.49/31.12=19.55x meaning that out of the 608.49 you’re paying per share right now, $577.36 (1-1/19.55=0.9488 or 94.88% of the price) is PURE SPECULATION, and $31.12 is anchored on real current cash generation. The unlevered cash yield on this thing is only 0.3%, bro… Mind you, ALL the figures in that analysis completely ignore the $3.23B in debt you’d have to pay before paying the shareholders. Taking that into account, the intrinsic values have become $29.14 and $26.04 respectively, making the case for buying even worse than it already is. The growth premium multiple becomes 20.88x the real value of the company, meaning you spend over 95% of the share price on PURE SPECULATION and yet UNPROVEN growth expectations. At this point, I think it’s relevant to remind you that we are talking about a highly cyclical industry at peak euphoria; the real question here then is what exactly on earth makes you think AMD is anything near an opportunity at this price?

FewUnderstanding2214

It happens with NVDA every time

Desperate-Skirt2440

NVDA didn't rise this quick, it was over time.

Ready-Molasses-7093

how are you having liquidity issues on the top 2 most traded options underlyings? i can trade dozens of shares of tickers like XSP and XND just fine. NVDA and TSLA are highly liquid. make sure ur using the proper model for it

handsum-devil

Sell covered calls. Very juicy on NVDA or other volatile tech. Worst case you sell at a higher price than today, but you get paid for the calls immediately.

ChainmanAtHeart

I have no idea what that means. I don't read news. If 2008 happens again, NVDA drops, google drops, MU drops man its not that complicated. You're hedging with another tightrope.

JRQ_Pizzeria

Ugh you’re stupid. And now you’ve probably actually looked up NVDA’s revenue and realized… uh oh what does it say??

JRQ_Pizzeria

Are you actually stupid? Google NVDA revenue, it’s well over $200B this year.

floodlight137

This ^ even on the most liquid tickers like NVDA and TSLA, I often have liquidity issues when dealing with short-dated options in even moderate volumes (50-70 contracts). Fractionals would make it ridiculous. 

Arrowhead_Pride15

Yeah this "obsolete in three" thing is what Burry had been betting (and losing) on for a while, meanwhile rental rates for three year old NVDA GPUs has gone up in price

zedk47

Dumped all my NVDA shares. Video games are a dead thing. Put it all on safe bets like Enron and GM.

Vlisa

All of their recent purchase like Huggingface are aimed at local AI. I firmly Altman/Dario are canoodling with the admin to have regulations set that provide them a moat by forcing enterprise business not to use Chinese AI as a security risk. That's why Jensen spoke out against the "AI slowdown". As long as compute is in demand NVDA is happy. In fact, the whole AI trade would be in a much less risky spot if the majority of compute was being bought by profitable companies to host their own local servers. I'm peronally of the opinion that regardless of what happens with the current valuations the technology is here to stay. I'm not going to pretend if I know if an implosion is coming, but if there is one I'm going to buy tons of anything that is local LLM adjacent.

SteakEater137

So NVDA’s business model is essentially creating/buying AI companies, and then having that subsidiary company turn around and use that seed money to buy NVDAs products? Smart way to have great quarterly earnings, but surely at some point these AI startups need to actually be able to produce their own positive cash flow to keep this gravy train rolling… …right…?

Weekly-Gazelle329

circular funding loop is hurting fundamentals; NVDA buying chips, OpenAI fueling research, Anthropic renting AWS - investors rejoice, valuation climbs while cash flow remains thin, that explains the weird boom.

HowIsEmuWarriorTaken

NVDA also owns a significant percent of these AI labs

Vlisa

They've been on a tear buying local LLM adjacent businesses. My read has been NVDA sees the writing on the wall for these AI labs in the long-term and sees a trend toward local LLMs for the majority of enterprise work.

OptionsHuduga

NVDA cannot go down. ever. it's one of the laws of the universe.

gizamo

Was it OpenAI or NVDA that started the circular funding? I thought it was NVDA, but my memory is pretty shit nowadays.

la_lunamoon

Sold NVDA at $40 because I needed groceries. Paper hands for life, fuck me.

hoopaholik91

Are they? Goog/MSFT/AMZN are all FCF neutral or negative. SpaceX and Tesla, lolol. AAPL revenue is only up like 20% in the last 4 years. AVGO and AMD are more based on future earnings. Only NVDA and MU have materially changed the past 4 years

Flaky-Campaign-9374

This is so stupid. Can you imagine if you kept by NIO back in 2022 thinking it was rhe next tesla lol...AAOI sounds just like that. If you got 1M bro buy the dip on NVDA and Aaple good companies not some fly by shit. Why dont you sell CSP using $1M on aaoi and collect insane prem and if you get assigned Cherry on the cake..... Cant believe this

garysb007beta

Have same dilemma. Would have to pay uncle Sam a fortune to cash out and go with Micron, Broadcom, Spacex, etc. The forward PE on Nvidia has become incredibly low and there is a real moat. The fact that Google makes TPU's but sells them and rents Nvidia chip usage for nearly a $Billion a month from Spacex still promotes the Nvidia Moat safety to some extent. Curious about what stock would you trade in NVDA for to put in the market right now and would it be worth paying taxes? Have some margin room tho.

Tallwhitedude123

I think that you’re thinking about the hyperscalers. The pick and shovel plays like MRVL, NVDA, AMD, ALAB, etc all have very high margins and low CapEx.

Not_Sure_68

The problem is that "the earnings" are massively concentrated in four companies. MSFT, NVDA, META, and AAPL. Those four companies accounted for 300 pts of SPY gain last quarter, while the other 496 companies combined for -150pts. Because of the weighting of the index, 41% of new inflows go to the top 10(2%) companies. Nvidia in particular is so concentrated by the weighting mechanism that it alone gets new investment flow equal to the bottom 256(51.2%) of companies...combined. The result is two different S & P 500s in one. Since September 14, the cap weighted S & P 500 is up 2.32%, while the Equal Weighted S & P 500(RSP) is actually -.95% during that time. What you're looking at is a bear market in the broader market being hidden by weighting mechanisms. The top few companies feast, while all the other companies are starved and most are already in a correction...or even bear markets. When the few tech leaders turn down, the index will drop like a stone.

financiallythriving

Tried my agentic trading and it liquidated my entire AAPL + NVDA positions for Dominos Pizza on margin

bearhunter429

REVEREND BEARHUNTER'S BOOK OF GENESIS, CHAPTER 6: WALL STREET EDITION "And the Lord spake unto Noah, saying, Thou shalt build an ark, for a great flood cometh upon the earth. "And Noah gathered two of every animal, two of every bird, and two of every stock." Noah asked, "Lord, why hast thou commanded me to bring two shares of NVIDIA?" And the Lord replied, "Because, Noah, thou shalt need to average down during the Great Correction." 💀 "And Noah did bring forth two shares of NVDA, two shares of AMD, two shares of GOOG, and two shares of TSLA. Then came the Great Flood. 🌊 The bears drowned. The bulls survived. The S&P 500 reached an all-time high. #LMAO🤌

WorryDesigner8152

okay that makes a lot more sense now. having 25 years before you need the retirement money definitely changes things. but having $100k in NVDA alone would still have me checking my portfolio every 5 minutes 😂 what would actually make you decide it’s time to take some profits?

matt2621

Nope letting it all ride. I'm 34 and around 450-500 of that is in 401k and roths so I've got 25 years before I can even touch that money so there's no reason for me to not be aggressive especially with regular contributions. The 150-170k that's in brokerage are about 100k of highly appreciated NVDA and the rest is a diversified equity model so some of that money is at least mkre spread out.

Far-Description1808

i get that guilt loop – you look at NVDA chips powering datacenters and feel like you’re fueling carbon. the reality for most of us is you’re just moving cash around other investors, not paying to those tech giants. but if you want peace of mind, stick to a clean‑energy or ESG–heavy index ETF instead of picking names. that way you still grow your nest egg without feeling like you’re propping up the worst offenders.

FuckleUp

I swung NVDA calls against my rules

Street_Sir_9967

I've been doing well with selling a daily 7 DTE SPX PCS 25 wide at the 0.08 delta and selling another if I see an intraday dip of about 0.6-0.75% or so. Then I sell a weekly 30 DTE with the same setup and layer in 2 NVDA puts every week. If the market rips up one day, I might sell 2 contracts at sub 0.05 delta or not trade that day. These have been printing for months. No charts. No constantly checking the computer. Not a lot of stress. I accept the tail risk.

NFAsucksballs

If you made so much money on NVDA wtf are you doing arguing on reddit?