NVDA

Syllabub_Visual

My response to what is your age and net worth on askreddit: 26, ~$30-50m, work in tech/finance (intentionally vague, but I have a computer science background and have not quit my 9 to 5 job yet) since getting my masters and last year I WAS broke as shit (obvious gambling problem) but started a b2b ai automation tool that I built with literally $39 and did $1 million in revenue in 2025 and this year managed to $6 million year to date with client demand rapidly increasing month over month and sold to a pe firm for mid to high 8 figures (paid an absolute shit ton in taxes because it didn’t even qualify as long term capital gains and even though I’m in Miami now California and newscum still consider me a resident because I have an address in the state). In addition father is a physician who is worth a lot more than me (even today, probably a couple hundred million) from buying and selling practices and later expanding into hospital roll ups and he had a major exit in recent times and I had a small equity stake in it (put it all into NVDA calls even before my own exit and the rest is history). Couple years ago he was given an opportunity to invest in a healthcare startup but passed on the opportunity and handed it off to me and I raised an SPV to invest in it and it recently ipo’d well into the billions and I got a huge return off that. Been a pretty wild ride but nothing I can really complain about and am still figuring the next steps (might try my hand at another startup). Reconnected with a couple guys from university doing a classic non tech business, which is something I’d seriously considering as well. If I don’t do entrepreneurship immediately, considering either a CS PhD, try to get into product management, or pursue an mba (which I originally planned to do) and try to get into high finance. Pretty crazy that I was able to do this given how broke I was not too long ago but when hyperscalers are spending TRILLIONS on ai this can happen, no bs.

FallenKams

NVDA 225p lookin mighty tasty right about now

ralphy112

Its deciding which stock is a trade and which is an investment position. NVDA maybe used to be a trade but now it’s an investment, buy and hold for me. i had some trades in STX and WDC that flew high earlier in the year, that were never meant to be investments but I held too long. Choose wisely my friend.

Cyril818

I think the market can go higher as nominal GDP continues to grow, but it’ll remain very K-shaped—tech will drive the market while weaker sectors struggle. NVDA is trading at around 12x forward earnings versus Starbucks at around 32x, while tech earnings continue to grow at an incredible pace. Higher rates are a headwind, but strong tech earnings can offset much of that pressure.

Cyril818

I’m still bullish overall. NVDA is trading at around 12x forward earnings while Starbucks is around 32x, and tech earnings continue to grow at an incredible pace. Corrections are always possible, of course, but I don’t currently see a reason to expect a major one.

wathappen

You can always go back to the original trade. Sell NVDA at 66$ Buy again at 100$ Sell for 200$ Still profit all around. If your thesis is strong, just follow it

Frequent_Rub2351

Love it congrats!! Need some of that in NVDA too

Harp-Note

MU the new NVDA now

Cyril818

I think AI still has room to run. It’s a technological shift unlike anything we’ve seen before, AI investment is contributing to nominal GDP growth, and tech earnings continue to beat expectations. Even NVDA’s forward P/E is below 13. Disclusure: No position in NVDA.

ReggaeBusRider

NVDA is king. Mild drop today. Buy the dip fools. It only goes up. Trust me bro

Cyril818

Personally, I think the reason AI stocks can continue to rise even with higher interest rates is that AI companies’ earnings are flying. NVDA’s forward P/E is around 13 because of its strong earnings growth. The whole S&P forward P/E is reasonable (if not low) given the earnings growth. At the same time, we’re in a K-shaped economy. For companies that are not AI-driven, higher interest rates will be an issue. Meanwhile, nominal GDP is rising partly because AI-driven productivity and efficiency are increasing, and I think the 10Y Treasury yield will move higher to chase nominal GDP. So you can have higher interest rates and a strong AI sector at the same time, while non-AI-driven parts of the economy struggle under those higher rates. Disclosure: No position in NVDA.

beeArebel

The AI bubble won't burst until top CEOs start fighting with each other. Until Jensen gets in a big feud with Lisa , NVDA and AMD calls will continue to print 

Any-Walk1691

This is how I sold 2,000 shares of NVDA at $66 for a 3x profit 🤣

zendaddy76

I sell half once my investment doubles. Probably would have way more money in some positions eg NVDA CRWD AMD SNDK etc but I’m comfortable with my plan and try to stick to it. Good luck! 👍🏽

MagnoliaRoofConsult

Only way this happens is if they actually formalize and monetize asteroid mining before Meta hits. Don’t think it happens. Meta is first, NVDA second, Aapl Third, SpaceX fourth.

EnginrA

NVDA

JackfruitCapital4132

Do you guys really think NVDA will run higher after Xi’s visit? What’s the reasoning im out the loop

LilPrinceTrashMouth

Stubbornly held NVDA 230 calls… 3 trading days til expiry. Is this why I’m destitute?

english_fool

my NVDA 225p just got sold for me, thanks IBKR!

GPUssydestroyer

His NVDA and PLTR expired worthless

DesmondDigs

27.5% in NVDA is a bet on the whole portfolio, not a position. You're basically running an undiversified tech fund with a lawn business attached.

Loud_Pineapple_4294

When did you sell? That’s insane, NVDA ia at ATH…. Same thing with your SNDK options, it’ll will blow past $2080 right after you sell… happens to me all the time

HellaReyna

We've had a bull run since 2016 essentially. If AI cash flow rev hits a certain metric, then it'll prove that AI is for real and the ROI is real. Then watch NVDA/AMD/Semis/Memory stocks sky rocket. **BUT**....if it doesn't.....watch them probably go -50%

lionelmessiah1

ATH was back in may. I guess you sold at the absolute bottom. Just hold next time. NVDA isn't going anywhere

internetsoci0path

idk i have senses that NVDA gonna pump like 2% into close outta nowhere

Middle-Conclusion-67

thinking KOSPI linked stonks like MU, SNDK, NVDA

lionelmessiah1

NVDA is about 3% down from ATH. The dip was every so small. How are you loosing money on this?

internetsoci0path

why is NVDA pumping

LumpyShock9656

What did you buy NVDA at and what did you sell it at?

River_Bastard

Sorry, I don't understand something. How did you and why did you realize loss with NVDA shares?

SomeHSomeE

Fuck me I'm glad I sold my NVDA calls yesterday.  Sitting the rest of the week out - good luck

Only4TheShow

I don’t agree. Forward PE not even close compared to Cisco. Cisco was over 100x. NVDA is the cheapest stock in the portfolio technically around Cisco's peak multiple was roughly four to five times NVDA's. And NVDA throws off cash Cisco never did: $48.6 billion of free cash flow in a single quarter, an $80 billion buyback, and a raised dividend. Cisco in 2000 was priced for perfection

tldamico

Bought a 0DTE 225 NVDA lotto call... what can go wrong? It's like a $34 lottery ticket.

tldamico

Too soon for an NVDA 225 call?

Shot-Bowl3016

Whats with the NVDA shrek dicks?

la_lunamoon

i want this rebound so bad but my gut says we're about to crash hard??? NVDA looks overextended and bonds are screaming danger yet everyone is still apeing into tech lmao i don't know what to do anymore just waiting for the other shoe to drop or for us to moon into oblivion 🤔

TurbodToilet

My NVDA calls were burned to a crisp

Is_so_cuul_sonbbich

Come on NVDA keep going down 📉🐻

TheFoolishNeuron

why down? NVDA why

parsley_lover

Honestly, it looks like AI doesn't care about oil prices or bond yields. I work for a non-AI company, but we still invest heavily in AI no matter what. Because if you lose the race, you're basically gone. Consumer spending might take a hit, but I'm not sure if the consequences will actually reach NVDA's bottom line.

generic0one

For anyone curious I bought SPY, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN and GOOG yesterday so naturally that was the top.

ClaytonKershaw22

Feeling like a genius for selling my NVDA for META LEAPS in June

InvincibleRoman

i went into fucking NVDA thinking it was a little sell off and it nearly liquidated me.   Fuck you NVDA... then i was able to buy some calls LOL... now I need like 748 to break even fuck 

SteakEater137

Its the entire semiconductor playbook, NVDA has been doing this for a long time now. AI companies - "We actually dont make money" Semis - "Thats OK here's some money as long as you use it to buy our products so we can keep getting high revenue growth $s. Also we own your company now thanks"

BruceMee

NVDA gonna V, reach 232 (that's me being positive)

MaterialGuy007

Chip companies don’t make money. AI was a fluke! Go back and look at AMD, INTC, NVDA earnings you’ll see!

spurkulator

I shouldve bought that NVDA put this morning. its tripled already

TurbodToilet

Sold my SPY puts too early, and held my NVDA calls too long… fuck my stupid chungus life

Spac55

Too Big to Fail ? Is AI debt load too big & it can collapse basic economic fabric of society? $NVDA $MU $AMD $GOOG $META $AMZN $INTC $AVGO & $CRWV $NBIS Neo cloud look their market cap & cash burning rate.

Street-Television755

Yeah, sure, happy to do so. The Fragility Ratio reveals how well investors are compensated for the fragility they endure from being in a stock. Fragility here is the return of the stock divided by the variability of price and volume in 2 regimes: higher prices on lower volumes, and lower prices on higher volumes. NVDA is sitting now at around 2 units of return per fragility unit. In other words, for every unit of fragility-specific volatility NVDA carries, the stock delivered about 2 units of return, meaning the compensation / the return was *substantially above par* (1:1) for the fragility undergone.

davidbigham

AVGO just like NVDA . They become the ultimate Theta stock .

icydragon_12

I'm a professional analyst, I'm on the fence for NAND flash, but got into dram stocks pretty early after I saw a [chart similar to this](https://ayarlabs.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Memory_Wall_Chart.svg) . This is the bull case. It shows that up until 2019, training was compute limited, and after that point, it became memory limited. The company that solves the performance bottleneck wins the prize: market share, pricing power. The performance of a server is limited by both compute capability and memory bandwidth x arithmetic intensity. You can quite literally see this in NVDA's hardware evolution: H100 (80gb HBM 3tb/s) -->B200 (180gb HBM 8tb/s) --> Rubin (288gb 22TB/s) Importantly, despite this evolution, RAM is still falling orders of magnitude behind in this game of matching compute/memory bandwidth. In a perfect world, Rubin would probably have 1-2 TB of HBM at much higher speeds.

TurbodToilet

Well looks like my NVDA calls are going to go to 0 real quick

SummertimeInParis

IONQ made a quantum breakthrough + announced a partnership with NVDA. Not too shabby.

TrainingLime6839

They don’t need to rival NVDA on equal grounds lol. Taking even some market share from a $5+ trillion company over the next few years is going to be an enormous win for the stock.

OutOfBananaException

> always thought that NVDA had a moat with the environment built around their chips so not sure how that holds up? They do, hence the deal. It's not enough to have a good product. EPYC CPU blew the competition out of the water, but it took years to achieve a solid market share. This is a shortcut to establish market share, which comes at a cost.

DM_KITTY_PICS

Sounds bullish for NVDA

ReggaeBusRider

Why we crashing. NVDA save us please

arslanefe

Hi, the analysis here utilized rolling 1-month 4-hour candle closes. I understand your concerns and acknowledge the valid points you raised; the objective is essentially to evaluate the "realm of possibilities" based on supporting data from the correlation regime analysis. https://preview.redd.it/6818ycfwb9rh1.png?width=1199&format=png&auto=webp&s=c0215fd8c7a03f5ec0ce569e039afae7020f76ac Furthermore, a quick check reveals that the regime mentioned in the post has ended: a downtrend at the +0.26 level began on September 2 at 12:00 ET and concluded on September 15 at 12:00 ET (32 candles, 128 trading hours). During this period, NVDA fell 6.64% and TSLA rose 2.10%. Since September 15 at 12:00, the correlation between them has been in an uptrend (22 candles, 88 trading hours), with NVDA rising 7.83% and TSLA rising 4.97%.

ReggaeBusRider

AI is projecting NVDA to reach 30T in 5 years. It is so different this time. Screw the bubble people

Street-Television755

If it helps, you can check how fragile some gains can be for NVDA or other tickers via this Fragility Ratio indicator from TradingView: [https://www.tradingview.com/script/j8lAn18Q-Fragility-Ratio/](https://www.tradingview.com/script/j8lAn18Q-Fragility-Ratio/) https://preview.redd.it/75t2cl4969rh1.png?width=1781&format=png&auto=webp&s=006fabf04d0d355360497c70c209abdecefdfa4b

verified-trader

| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NVDA** ▲ | $240.74 (above) | $229.28 | $228.07 | +5.0% | Sep 25, 1:35 PM | | **Record** | 1W - 1L | 50% | - | - | - |

maschin1982

If NVDA break ATH next week, we will see 260-270 before next Earnings

Impossible-Fun603

Correlation between NVDA and TSLA can look surprisingly strong during broad risk-on moves and then disappear exactly when company specific catalysts hit. I would be careful treating it as stable enough to structure an options trade around without rolling window data. I have both charts paired in Moon mostly to see when their relative strength starts diverging.

IsThereAnythingLeft-

NVDA do the same thing but just cash instead of shares

x7_omega

The First Bank of NVDA, meet the Second Bank of AMD. Everything is levered to the tits and more, hinging on options flows instantly changing on bot-read tweets.

oliver2022

yeah, AMD has been doing some stuff to make their chips more appealing to AI companies, but NVDA is still king and by far, they NEED people to start using and developing stuff around their chips. They also have similar deals with META and Antrophic, now time will tell, maybe they can finally rival NVDA in equal grounds, or just inflated their stock.

Pure_Spinach327

Ok looked into it. They will now be a direct competitor to NVDA with this deal. I always thought that NVDA had a moat with the environment built around their chips so not sure how that holds up? The shareholders can see this deal was inked at $200 a share and the warrants only kicked in at $600 so anyone in at that is pretty darn happy a year later with 200% gain. Even if they give up 10% to dilution. AMD is now a direct competitor to the largest company in the world? Good for them but what a way to do it.

lost_in_haste

"Ummm If NVDA drops It wont be due to any of the things you mentioned here…" Or if China decides to play hardball, declares Taiwan theirs again. But I trust President Trump will talk Xi out of that when they meet shortly. God, bless our President.

Valkanaa

At the consumer level I wouldn't say worlds apart. NVDA is safe and secure behind their CUDA wall. Putting some holes in that wall is s solid move for AMD.

OonaPelota

NVDA go brrrrr

dysenterygary69

It’s alright bro. I sold 11 shares of NVDA in 2017 when I was trading on my phone at a jobsite. They were just a gaming company back then. Live n learn

DanTaude599

Fwiw, going from $173k to $248k while running a lawn care business is solid progress. I’d separate the $1M goal from the retire-by-45 goal: $1M at a 4% withdrawal rate is about $40k a year before taxes, so your actual spending matters more than the round number. I’d also check how much of the portfolio is riding on NVDA and the other tech holdings before counting on that balance at 45.

Useful_Alarm730

NVDA and AVGO removed at this point in time?... nah, I am good

IntrepidToday0

I think that’s the most common mistake I see that all AI bears make. They see NVDA investing in their ecosystem and automatically assume that means that everything is fake. All big tech companies invest in other tech companies. MSFT invests in OpenAi. Google invests in Anthropic. Could list hundreds of examples. NVDA is printing so much fuckin cash, what else are they going to do with it? Pay a dividend for boomers? They’re already doing $100B+ in buybacks. Much of their investments are in companies that supply the materials that NVDA relies on. The entire industry is supply constrained. For example, investments in COHR, GLW, and LITE allows the suppliers to build new capacity to meet the insatiable demand, while allowing NVDA to lockup that supply until 2028, while their competitors scramble. But somehow, this means that AI is a bubble.

TrollChampion

Wen NVDA build quantum chips

Weak_Emu3659

NVDA should be $600.

d33p7r0ubl3

Nice. That’s above my NVDA average

PrairieFirePhoenix

Yes, that would be wild. Because if you did that in 1998 or 2005, you'd be crushed. Because if you are wrong on 2 out of 5, you are crushed. It is all about size and risk. First, remember that if you own SPY, right now that is \~28% NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOG. Going index already exposes you pretty heavily to these companies. If you want to skew that heavy, I am with you. But skew, not go all in. You can add in some QQQ and lean heavier, while still having diversification support and exposure to up and coming companies (like how 2016 you would have missed NVDA). If you really want to stock pick, make it the secondary. Vast majority of my investments are in broad index funds. That is my wealth. I do have some other, smaller accounts. A trading (not investing) account, and then an account that is my medium term buy and hold - companies that I want to be heavy in. Yes, that account has outperformed the market pretty much every year. However, I have had some horrible, terrible, no good investments in there. If they were sized up to be a tenth of my total portfolio... they would be devastating. But as just a tenth of my side account... the risk is appropriate. If that account went to zero tomorrow, I'm changing vacation plans but not changing retirement plans.

footlong24seven

Mr Gorbachev, tear down this 230 wall for NVDA.

cardinal1742

Attempt three of “can NVDA break 230?” This week!

Weak_Emu3659

$400 NVDA price target...I dig it.

Interesting-Iron2587

NVDA Will double

cfaawlday

NVDA employees on Forbes

Middle-Conclusion-67

dont short TSLA or NVDA you'll get steamrolled

Arrowhead_Pride15

And that is exactly why you shouldn't sell. You are diversified in other, tax friendly accounts. The taxable account is where you can have fun with some "play" money and as much as I love my 401k invested in VOO/VTI etc those funds do not hold any TSM, very little NBIS, and by playing individual stocks you don't always beat the market, but i have a handful that I have held for years that absolutely HAVE outperformed (NVDA, GOOG, TSM, funnily I have NBIS too but wayyyyyyy too early to call that one...) and if you aren't buying individual stocks with your excess "fun" money then the odds of ever outperforming are Zero. You paid for the ticket on theses positions, take the ride!

True_Brief7876

I have Tsla and NVDA puts

True_Brief7876

NVDA puts or Tsla puts? Which one?

Different_Goat3444

NVDA, good bye

internetsoci0path

NVDA dump to close?

cultoftheclave

leas compute=bad for semis less DRAM=bad for memorycucks, meh for NVDA, but moon juice for CBRS

Sawyerthesadist

Bought NVDA Yieldmax back in July for 11.97 held for 2 months soaking up the divys. Sold today for 12.80. And people say all it does is losses money 😎

SolitaryIllumination

Did u see the article that NVDA is currently priced at the cheapest levels in over a decade? Just cuz the actual price is high historically, doesn’t mean it’s expensive.

jhthrowawayjh

Please pump my 1 DTE 235 NVDA calls!!!!!!

True_Brief7876

I still buying NVDA puts damn

prana_fish

$NVDA grinding up against $230 key level

PuzzleheadedSummer35

What happened to NVDA ?

SpruceJuice5

NVDA got shrek on the phone 

Fhyzikz

Oh they're using NVDA to prop it

joeyeats

open your eyes anusdestroyer. AMD hovering around 0. TSM +0.56, NVDA +0.8, AVGO +0.15, QCOM +1.15. It’s what we call a loser on the day dumbass