Reddit Posts
Beware of smart beta ETFs. 9.75 year review. After taking into account fees and dividends, they kind of suck.
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Behind the Treasury Intervention - The Setup That Could Force the Fed to Follow
Convince me SSO (2X SPY) is a bad idea for long term investors
Full send calls on MRNA tomorrow 160 0DTE?
Treasury Intervened As Expected - Here’s What It Means
Trump Name-Drops Hyperliquid at the White House, How Will HYPE Price React?
I built a free dealer-gamma + live options-flow terminal for SPX/SPY/QQQ. No signup. Tear it apart.
Trump pauses 50% tariffs on Canada for 3 days
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
We preregistered a bearish gamma structure and measured it running the other way. Method inside.
Please help fuel my gambling addiction
[DD] Why $RDDT goes to $1,000 the exact second their AI team figures out Post-Nut Clarity
SPX is realizing 12.4 vol and the options market is only pricing 11.3
VIX Buying Points to a Short-Term Pullback Next Week but SPY Could Still Squeeze Above $780
SPY is fake. US Bonds are fake. Bitcoin is ready for you.
Closed SPY $763.00C 08/04/26 for $79,709.00 gain (+4003%) last week, I didn't know I could post like this. No body text so this is in title
Tried trading SPY 0 DTE and my account glitched and I'm now a multi-millionaire.
Can my 64-year-old dad retire soon? $700k assets + Social Security
MY FELLOW DEGENS AND APETARDS. PUTS AT OPEN. $SPY
SPY Is Coiling Below $775 What Could Trigger the Breakout
made some bad choices this week, inexperienced, need advice.
Sell ODTE puts on SPY then sell Monthly Calls?
At what point does owning SPY + QQQ + a growth ETF stop being diversification and start being the same bet in different wrappers?
I trade for a living - why I’m still bullish into CPI and the levels I’m trading on SPY, QQQ, oil and DRAM
Built a free dealer-gamma (GEX) map for SPX/SPY/QQQ — tell me where the methodology is wrong.
DD - The case for SPY 130,000 by 2048
Option Loss No Internet +30k to -$20k
UPDATE #7 (The End. For now at least.): I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
From Olive Presses to Power Laws: A 2,600-Year History of the Call Option
gonna full port SPY 8/14 $800C with 40k monday at open AMA
For anyone wondering exactly how much QQQ and VOO/SPY actually overlap, here is the math.
Do you think HTZ will help me recover the $23k loss from SPY ODTE?
Do you think HTZ will help me recover the $23k loss from SPY ODTE?
UPDATE #7 (The End. For now at least.): I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
The Nasdaq 100's valuation premium over the S&P 500 is near a 9-year low. Is tech actually expensive anymore?
I Trade for a Living - Why I’m Buying Dips After the Forced Buying is Over and More DD on Gold and Liquidity
SPY predictive dashboard with ChatGPT contd. not financial advice just for fun
While I Profited a Couple Hundred….this is the worst loss I’ve ever experienced
YOLO: SPY 7900 by Friday. I’m all in on 7850 Calls,
I Trade for a Living - What Comes After the Rally & the “Hidden QE”
SPY at $774 in overnight trading
Experiment: 1 month, SPY ODTE closest to $X (up to 100), buy at specific time T_buy and sell at T_close constantly fixed over the time. Can alternate between put or a call. What are your suggestions for X, T_buy and T_close?
Question: How do passive index funds like VTI, VOO, SPY, ETC., work?
Mentions
\> To recap, these are all the same basket of stocks, No, they are not. MTUM and QUAL are large and midcaps. Even then, MTUM has outperformed SPY for the past decade while QUAL has underperformed. What you showed with those two actually is large caps outperformed midcaps for the past ten years... and by a lot too. (SPY +313%, MDY +180%) SPY's "factor" is "large caps in the S&P 500 by market weight". For the past decade that has beaten equal weight and pure value factors by a lot, but it is illogical to compare MTUM and QUAL to SPY. If you use SPMO, which only draws from the S&P500, it is up 516% for the past decace compared to SPY's +313%. So instead of the wrong conclusion you drew, the correct one is... some smart beta options will outperform, others will underperform.
I mean you can have theta (the decay) work for you and not against you using different strategies, honestly I am shocked that you have not learned this yet with this large of an account, You have basically been rolling a large rock up a hill but I'm surprised it didn't crush you, I worked as a previously registered investment advisor and stock broker before my back has gotten so bad with idiopathic scoliosis and no solution and not a candidate for surgery that I'm waiting for disability income, and I will never be able to do a full time regular job so this is it for me , I've learned for over 12years but because of poverty mindset I never broke out I really want to encourage you that if I was well enough where you are dear God put some away with some for of target date retirement fund or VOO or SPY (ofc once a viable dip presents itself) but please dear God don't keep trading single legged options with this size of money, at least without learning more about every strategy you can do with this, even with smaller sums You do realize pattern day trader rules are gone? I would immediately take out 100k or more and just start start an account with 2k God speed! Check out theo trade with don Kaufman he's one of the creators of think or swim and teaches , even his free weekend videos are amazing and can get you more curious about how you might squeak better edge out with this size of an account without risking so frickin much
I'm not saying, I'm asking. It appears to me everyone says wait 15 minutes and mark the candle. but when I do that it seems irrelevant. There is a combination of news and data flowing in the morning that sometimes means that you need to just ride the momentum wave in whatever direction the ticker is moving. Beginning of the month with SPY moving up for a couple days meant wait a few minutes and then start buying calls and then sell them a few minutes later. But that only works for so long. What do you do when the markets are in the churn? It seems to me that NVDA and SPY typically do a little morning swing a couple days a week. I saw this 'strategy' promoted and thought it made sense. I have been trading options just long enough to know I need more information. I would like to be able to make a little every now and then to supplement any income I have. This seems a lot like what I normally try to do. I just need consistency. What consistently works for you? I usually wait for a reversal and play the trend. But it does not have consistency for me. Mostly because instead of cutting my losses right away I double down and fiddle with my stop losses when it doesn't work. I was hoping I would get some pointers on reversal trades and while a couple responses have been helpful and sincere, it seems a few blank profiles would rather just BS about whatever. Which is cool, I mean, internet points are still points, right? But mostly I am looking for reliable entry and exit strategies on trend reversal trading.
SPY -3% on Monday and I’ll buy a Tesla Y model to stick it up my ass
Honestly I don't care whether SPY goes up or down, as long as volume picks back up again
This is interesting and I applaud investing your own money for the test. However, the 'beware' in the title is misguided. - you didn't lose money with any of those ETFs, at least in nominal terms. - you didn't know in 2017 what would happen by 2026. - that last ~9 years don't predict the next 10 years, and the last ~9 years may or may not be typical. from 2003 to 2013, RSP outperformed SPY by a wide margin. https://imgur.com/a/v4Uow9Z - SPY is not necessarily an appropriate control or benchmark for all those ETFs. for example QUAL uses the MSCI USA Sector Neutral Quality Index as a benchmark, not the S&P 500. Comparing every investment on the planet to SPY/VOO is a common error I see on reddit. - as others mentioned, some of the ETFs may have smaller drawdowns -- which certain investors might prefer. some of those ETFs might also have higher dividend income potential, which is also a perfectly valid strategy for those who want it.
No sex until SPY 10% correction
You will need to have the infrastructure to listen to the OPRA data feed which is a multiple terabyte data stream per day in real time to establish whether the trades were a buy or a sell to an MM. It will still be fuzzy at best since most trading is inside the spread and you won’t know it the MM lifted that quote or some retail inside the spread order bought it. For anything that is in SPY/QQQ the MM positioning is based on the total book they hold across all tickers and looking simply at any of these in isolation gives you nothing useful. So unless you can replicate the MM book market wide and then also have a feel for whether they are over/under hedged based on their estimate of the stock valuation these GEX models are completely useless. I think you won’t even be able to get the step 1 of listening to the OPRA feed done in a cost effective way to make your service cheap. Forget the rest of the challenges.
Yup - an ETF like VGT (Vanguard's Tech) absolutely destroyed compared to SPY.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/Kachowxboxdad (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $765.18 → $763.00 | -0.3% | 1d | Lost |
SPY -2% on Monday and I’ll stick two watermelons up my ass
Sent wife to buy some steaks and she came back w/ some tofu & canned beans instead. SPY to 800 on Monday.
It recommend me SPY 600p 0dte on Monday
Tariffs on maple syrup SPY -20%
What’s your strategy for scalping SPY and QQQ? Do you just wait for whichever way it’s trending for that day?
In my expert opinion, SPY will keep going up until it doesn't. This is not investment advise, but also it is.
RIP my SPY calls for next week....
**BanBet Lost** — /u/Infinite-Unit7010 (0W - 2L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $777.54 → $700.00 | -10.0% | 5d | Lost |
Then why buy Friday 0dtes for SPX/SPY if options expiring on Monday are just better?
**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $842.29 (above) | $765.72 | +10.0% | Aug 29, 10:35 AM |
Get out of USD assets. My VGK crushed SPY in 2025, 36% vs. 17%. VEU was similar. Going forward people are catching on country is politically unstable, institutions breaking down, broke, defaulting on debt, getting ass kicked in wars and printing money to cover it all up.
I for one believe in social justice for marginalized groups. WBNA should let those bearded ladies ball. SPY TO SEVENTEEN DOLLARS
0TDE SPY calls what are we doing here?
SPY at 6650 on Hyperliquid
SPY at 6650 on Hyperliquid
Safe practice is 15% of take home should be investments, minimum. That being said, what’s your income AFTER your living expenses? Like how much of that $11k remains after paying all your bills, debt, and food? What’s your risk tolerance? Do you want to be aggressive? Do you want to watch the markets and make pivots and trades often? Or would you rather “set it and forget it”? Then you need to think about your investment vehicles. Do you want to “lock up” your investments in retirement accounts to take advantage of tax strategies? Or are you okay with the taxable brokerage? I guess what I'm getting at is there is no easy correct answer. Everyone has different priorities and preferences. Just know that the sooner, the better. If you’re still figuring these questions out, just throw it all into SPY or VTI on Monday.
SPY down 1.5%... we are in a bear market now
So we are getting the tariffs. You know what to do SPY :clifford:
I think now is a good time for me to buy SPY as a Canadian
SPX and XSP settle to cash, not shares, correct? SPY is an ETF, XSP isn't.
Remember SPY dropped like a rock when the first tarrif was added for Canada. It's not something SPY even flinch now, CALLS are still the play.
You can trade SPY contracts for a few bucks. Recheck your first sentence first.
And how much more would you have made just parking it in something like SPY or VOO?
1. he bought it during market hours. 2. he can't cancel it , it rides and he get's to see where it's at Monday morning. What /ES futures before open -- Will give a good idea where SPY will be .
SPY just has to touch $667.5 (that's only 50c away from its final price today), and these will be up 30%. Will be close to 3x on them if SPY crosses $670 for a bit. I think both scenarios are highly probable given the biggest options expiration is done for August.
Theta Decay unless SPY goes above 767.75 (breakeven for $1.75), winning chances are less ! I really doubt winning ! Let us see.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/IWishIwasAwhale1 (1W - 5L, 17%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $769.06 → $778.00 | +1.2% | 2d | Lost |
$0.35, not $35. SPY doesn't even move that much per day. He'd never recover his contract the second he executed it
I have a sizable position in the Schwab Fundamental Index funds, which *do* take almost all stocks in a category and then weight them very differently. The net result is very value tilted and moderately small tilted. They’re extremely well diversified and are effectively “indirect smart beta” by their very nature. FNDX, their closest equivalent to SPY, has performed better than most of the funds you listed, hitting $1242 in your experiment in an era infamously bad for value and for smaller stocks. I’m continuing to hold, hoping that a rotation is due (I’ve been saying that for awhile…) but in the meantime I think the results have been very respectable for having a heavy value tilt in an era where value has been pummeled.
Take a break. SPY goes up but it feels like nothing is back to ATH so it’s confusing
bring back PDT if it means SPY can move more than $3 during trading hours
SPY is going to gap up on Monday isn’t it
VOO, SPY, QQQ and keep adding your salary.
AH is fine, prices lifted up a bit. SPY right at $767
Can't trust SPY since it got infected with Tech stocks
$3.83/contract now today, so better than yesterday. You got these for a heck of a price. Even if VIX jumps a lot on a small self off, I could see these going above your break even. On the other hand - you only need SPY to jump 1.7% over the next two and half weeks, which is extremely probable. Still feeling really good about these.
We closed SPY for the week at 767 after yesterday’s dump? Yeah low 770s Monday.
SPY $400p about to print 🥰
Year to date youre up less than 3%. Just stick to $SPY or $VOO. You clearly cant do this right. Underperforming being lazy by 9%
Yeah, recommending SPY because the options are liquid is different from recommending it for covered calls in a small account. If you want to sell covered calls, find something you can afford to own 100 shares of and would actually be comfortable holding. Then check the option volume and bid-ask spread before doing anything. A cheap stock with high premiums can still lose way more than the calls bring in.
Throw it all on a single SPY 0dte.
What happened AH? Just checked my phone and saw SPY climbing after hours.
SPY really waited to crush everyone's calls before mooning,gotta respect the disrespect!
**BanBet Lost** — /u/anon4crypto (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $767.18 → $751.84 | -2.0% | 3d | Lost |
Pick a number between $100k and $100k and YOLO it into 1DTE SPY calls
The amount of dick I'd suck for SPY to open +2% on Monday...
SPY opening at 767 then plummeting Monday?
Straight SPY market weight capped is, in its own way, already incorporating momentum, as the fastest growing companies/stocks will take up more and more of the index. The argument to go equal weight is to increase diversification, not to increase gains. They also aren’t all the same baskets of stocks. MTUM and QUAL aren’t S&P, they are MSCI USA which includes medium caps. Also, they do not hold all 500 S&P companies, they hold the ones that align with whatever their goal is. ie: if RPV doesn’t believe MSFT is value, it may not hold any MSFT.
SPY +5% by AH close
Where are the people saying SPY is opening $755?
Hopefully SPY is back to feeling like itself and stops moving like a penny stock
They already own everything. You know Oligarchs make money on both sides? When the market is tanked in coordination, they buy puts. Typically in a flash crash, they know when to buy calls as well. This is not a pullback. SPY needs to touch 420, minimum.
Look at SPY ripping
Rich people are buying and dumping NBA teams like they’re scalping SPY 😂 NBA is absolutely cooked
SPY puts for Warsh speech at Jackson hole? If there’s no guidance again markets gonna drill to middle earth
Yes, let me jump on that 🌽 that is -28% 6MO, -46%1Y because of a 7% day Just in SPY over 6MO and doing nothing, you would be up a 40% differential
I buy 1dte puts or calls depending on the set up. At end of day like the last 10 or 15 minutes. I use 50 to 60% of my portfolio on 3 different companies. Then the next morning at open it will either immediately pump or start dropping like a rock.. Its either all puts or all calls.. I prefer Nvidia, apple, Microsoft, amazon or Google. Those are the top 5 included in SPY. I've had success just buying SPY this way too but have had much better success buying 3 of the 5 I mentioned.. worse case scenario you cut out the losers and hopefully score big with the winners
🚨 Ballroom approved 🚨 SPY to 800 next week.
How you lost money on QQQ and SPY puts?
Switched from SPY to TSLA options for the first time today and it’s crazy how much I don’t give a duck about the strait or oil anymore
Put it all in SPY and don't touch it
SPY is still over 700. 🌽 is waking up. Bers are fucked. 🥰 Have a nice weekend 🤓
The mini index everyone points at doesnt help here. XSP is a tenth of the S&P index, but so is SPY, so one XSP contract is the same size as 100 SPY shares. Same 76k problem. NANOS is the one that actually shrinks it. Same index, multiplier is 1 instead of 100. So one contract is about one share of SPY instead of 100. Cash settled, so no shares ever. Catch is almost nobody trades it, so youll pay for that in the spread.
Put 75K in SPY and never touch that part again. Then gamble away the remaining 25K like you would've done with the 100K.
SPY 766 calls look mighty fine
Manifesting SPY to open at 770 on Monday
China equal weight LLM model release, nuclear strikes against Iran, yen carry trade, tech debt blow up all over the weekend for SPY to open +0.3% on Monday
Thanks to the final 2 minute SPY dump, I was able to get out of my puts for next Friday, make $3 profit per call lol, and avoid tons of theta decay over the weekend. Now I’ll have to opportunity to watch those same options double on Monday morning
**BanBet Lost** — /u/IndependentUsual7444 (0W - 6L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $763.07 → $750.00 | -1.7% | 1d | Lost |
Lmao that last minute nosedive on SPY. Cooked my 766Cs that I scooped up for cheap in the first place
Sinister final candle on SPY.
MU shoots up and SPY dives. Crazy.
SPY and QQQ up today just because of tesla LMAO
Funny. This is the greenest my entire port has ever been. And SPY is barely green
Fullport 0dte SPY Calls on Monday
come on SPY.... grab them heels bitch!
The worse the pattern on SPY looks the more I buy.
A 1% dump on SPY right now would be nice
Do I scalp my puts SPY, MAG7, HOOD for minimal profit? Or let it ride 🤔 over the weekend
it would be funny if SPY dumped 20% or more during afterhours
\> green candle on SPY peak ragebait would be if right as wsb is rotating into calls they rug it before theta the rest of day to prevent puts from print.
Yeah, fomo on a drive up is always going to screw with my head. I was able to grab a little when spy was going from 740 to 770 but that was just gravy, and I only took little chunks on the way up. I have trouble believing in all time highs being anything more than a bull trap. Then I miss out and decide ok, it's top, now i can buy. Luckily my stops are tight at those levels but man, I miss out on a lot of dip and rips because I stop out. Now in the churn it seems it gets a lot trickier. I give back a lot trading the chop. And every so often I get a bright idea that goes awry, but i need to focus on getting consistent with my entries. It seems like if I wait for confirmation I miss out on most movements up and end up getting stopped out. Now, I'm kinda torn between 0dte and 1-2 dte on SPY and NVDA. 0dte is brutal and unforgiving. I cannot put a stop wide enough because my entries are usually one or two candles too soon. And if I go too wide I'll lose too much, and if I'm too tight it will constantly stop out. When trying to wait on the second green candle closing over the 9 ema on the 5 minute chart, I often get in too late and get stopped out 1-2 dte is less volatile but that can lull me into a sense of , 'oh, it's safer'. Which is madness. It also takes a little more directional swing to make a profit which is rough in choppy days. Todays SPY candle for the whole day so far is only 3. NVDA is 4 but it is a higher percentage range which allows for more movement in the option price. So, today the NVDA price was falling on the 15 minute chart for three candles until puttered out in the 4th. It was riding the lower -2 deviation on the VWAP and usually bounces off there a little. The candles showed a resistance to selling and starting to consolidate on the 5 minute chart so I started waiting for the 9 ema to come into play and voila. it did reverse enough for me to catch .19-.32 of the move. But I entered one or two candles too soon and could have saved some stress by waiting another few minutes. But then I would have only caught .19 -.25 of the move. I'm just wondering if anyone can tell with specificity, what they use to enter a trade when trading options.
2 of the biggest companies in SPY are financial engineering companies (tesla and nvidia). bogleheads have something else coming for them