SPY
State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust
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Investment thesis for week 9/14 - 9/18
SPY had $915M in options premium. UNH had $615M. Only one was unusual.
For poor man 0DTE options, is IWM my best bet? 🤔
SEPT 16TH DD: The Fed gonna mess up your calls (OR) J-Pow’s successor is bringing back the 1980s. Grab your helmets? (co-written by Gemini)
How did SPY move on 911 each year
Options buying with a $100K account ? (Intraday vs Swing)
Feedback on my strategy to hedge AI risk in 2027 (collar)
Fact Check: 0DTE Iron Condor Strategy With Zero Losses (Reposted with self-promotion removed)
PMCC is absolutely the best strat out there in risk-adjusted return
I Trade for a Living -Strong AI Flows, Heavy VIX Hedging and Why I’m Trimming
Fact Check: 0DTE Iron Condor Strategy With Zero Losses
Earnings Club: Cheap Rips, Adobe Stakes Ahead of Key Prints
SPY 0DTE after PMI: was this move mostly price, gamma or IV expansion?
Criteria for choosing underlyings for 45 DTE put credit spreads
Do you feel slightly nostalgic for the times when tweets like that moved SPY 3-5% like it was an actual news?
BEST TRADING EXECUTION I EVER MADE SPY + TSLA
Can a squirrel trade options better than me?
Looking for a meme that was posted a while ago
Bro is trading 0DTE SPY like the rest of us 😭😭
Making a living and much much more trading options on $1K a day
Tax straddle treatment for downside protection of portfolio with puts
Let AI agents deploy options bots on paper desks. Worst one: long puts on TSLA/AMD/META/NFLX, 53 tra
Sitting on cash feels safe, but my FOMO is kicking in. Am I missing the boat or saving my ass? 💸🤔
Checked whether SPY's weekend gap is actually bigger than a regular overnight gap.
A ±0.5% wide SPY range only held on 54% of the last 35 trading days. Real intraday data.
Profitable SPY ORB strategy — looking for fresh eyes before taking it further
I backtested ATM short straddles across 50 tickers over 19 years to understand VRP
Does anyone avoid diversification (like me)?
Three ways dealer gamma lies to you, from someone who uses it daily
SOXL loss, bought right before the crash
Someone said Warsh’s speech was “obvious” because he doesn’t do forward guidance. That take completely misses the point.
100% $25K 0DTE SPY Gain (but left $75K on the table)
Has anyone found a good way to get alerted when specific market conditions combine? Not just single indicators.
NVDA Confirms the Memory Bottleneck, PCE Stays Mechanically Hot & Positioning Turns Bullish Into Jackson Hole
What's with the price-dependent periods of reduced volatility?
Martingale the US 40trill government deb 🎰
Beware of smart beta ETFs. 9.75 year review. After taking into account fees and dividends, they kind of suck.
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Behind the Treasury Intervention - The Setup That Could Force the Fed to Follow
Convince me SSO (2X SPY) is a bad idea for long term investors
Full send calls on MRNA tomorrow 160 0DTE?
Treasury Intervened As Expected - Here’s What It Means
Trump Name-Drops Hyperliquid at the White House, How Will HYPE Price React?
I built a free dealer-gamma + live options-flow terminal for SPX/SPY/QQQ. No signup. Tear it apart.
Trump pauses 50% tariffs on Canada for 3 days
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
We preregistered a bearish gamma structure and measured it running the other way. Method inside.
Please help fuel my gambling addiction
[DD] Why $RDDT goes to $1,000 the exact second their AI team figures out Post-Nut Clarity
SPX is realizing 12.4 vol and the options market is only pricing 11.3
VIX Buying Points to a Short-Term Pullback Next Week but SPY Could Still Squeeze Above $780
Mentions
Did SPY really open overnight at 770? Lmao
I am starting to second-guess my stack of SPY calls for this week
As a SPY put holder, I am now 300% convinced this AI slowdown plea is an intentional fear trap. No competitors willingly agree on anything. They want open source dead and buried. I think I'll be lucky to break even tomorrow.
Ok guys.. quit messing with me. What about SPY pumping am I missing?
SPY $1000 tomorrow or $300.
SPY crashing after receiving bad touch from Bill Kospi
All that fear mongering this weekend, and SPY is pumping 🤣
SPY = 10% how are you not green lol
Can someone explain to me why /ES is higher and SPY lower?
I might have to yolo on SPY puts later to save the market
# Dip buyers should rejoice they'll be able to buy their favorite stocks at deep discounts. Hopefully at like -50% SPY
SPY will be find but tech heavy QQQ gonna get slaughtered
At what price would you go all in SPY
Tomorrow my 500 calls on SPY will go to zero. They will expiry zero. After tomorrow SPY will probably run up to 780 by eow
Everyone is full on panic, *checks SPY*, down .51% 🤌
Wow we're less than dollar away from where we were 3 months ago on SPY
Damn now that’s a crazy five minute first candle on SPY there. Wish it’d move this much when market is open. Been lucky to get $4 move in one direction all day for weeks yet it flips out an over $10 single candle when it’s closed
\> it will eventually crash SPY and your 401k? Or printer will go brrrr. I tend to think it will be the latter. Noone in sane mind with IQ above room temperature can think antropic or other ai can be break-even, let alone profitable
Futures are fake because the whales still on their yachts. SPY gonna go up +1% for no reason.
Crude +3%, AI trade blowing up, treasuries 5%, 90% rate hike odds - SPY -0.5% CPI hot - SPY +1%
Ever seen so many people cheer for their personal failure before. Y’all do know that if Anthropic is faking profits it will eventually crash SPY and your 401k?
after watching a documentary on Youtube, I think SPY leaps might be a no brainer. The Russia/Ukraine war has to end soon. There's no way Russia can keep losing 25,000 able bodied men every month. seriously, wtf.
SPY hasn’t even retraced its Friday pump from gapping up on bad news even though Oil is surging and we have the worst macro and news since the Chinese bat soup flu
how regarded would it be to buy SPY puts at open on wednesday. Im thinking it'll be a -1% red day. Tuesday is definitely a taco to bring the price up right before it comes crashing down.
Well, looks like SPY and QQQ got their period flows
Has anyone read the news this last week and felt like the world is going to shit? SPY 800 on Monday.
QQQ WILL surpass SPY EOD.
Oil down, SPY up! That's the way we like to fuk ^^^our ^^^economy!
What was SPY up on Friday? 1%, with almost zero selling pressure?
So SPY mooning tomorrow?
SPY $765c tomorrow. $760p Tuesday
Trump: lifting tariffs on Irish whiskey SPY +5.12%
Do you find it strange that SPY was up over 1% on Friday?
Can someone answer? Is SPY & Qs deep red or something?
How much is SPY down currently?
How much are indices down? I got SPY puts Friday
All AI related stocks gonna get rug pull tmr lmfao. SPY -3% at least.
SPY 764p expiring tomorrow for under $1.50 basis. Hold till close? Or dump at open if gap down?
We will be so green tomorrow. All the dark pools on Friday close were huge buys on indices etfs: SPY, IVV, SPYM, QQQ and DDM.
what you saw is IV crush in real time. when SPY whipsaws fast in both directions, implied volatility spikes on the move then collapses once it settles, and that premium evaporates from both calls and puts simultaneously. theta on top just accelerates it on 0DTE or near-expiry contracts. the deep ITM red across both sides is the IV deflating after the volatility event, not a directional problem. your entries weren't necessarily wrong, you were paying a premium for volatility that immediately vanished.
If you check margin usage on retail, then check the compounding effect of the 3x leverage on leveraged ETFs, then follow the flows of Koreas biggest gamblers into us equities after June, etc etc we’re looking at under SPY 450
Answering honestly. Assuming you are young, employed, and willing to have the goal take time. Your conservatism also indicates that if you lost the money it would be an emotional and financial blow. \- Start by breaking your goals down into capital pools. I assume you want to have some liquid cash on hand (a small amount), save for a down payment on a home, pay down student debt, whatever. Just be aware and make sure that anything you do builds toward and doesn’t threaten those goals. \- Take the remainder of your capital and put it in index funds. Some mix of SPY, QQQ, VXUS that matches your risk appetite. Pretend this money doesn’t exist and let it grow untouched. \- If you want to keep actively trading, do it with a small amount of capital. Come up with a repeatable pattern (this sub and swing trading are full of them) and invest away. If you get wins, put a portion of it in your ETF fund. If you don’t, don’t backfill your losses with gains from the ETF fund. \- Lastly, continue to save at a high rate. Generally, the market goes up and people that keep capital in it will do well. The data suggest that retail investors that trade more frequently get lower returns. Honor what you’ve accomplished by preserving it (in the market though not some cash account.) DM me if you want more details on how we manage our portfolio.
We are going to $100 SPY
Same song and dance, different Monday. Pre-market will recover, dip to 0.5% at open and then chop all day. SPY closes $764.01.
SPY will be sideways until your puts expire
bessent has manipulated rates 5 times for a single day now. that gave wall street 5 outs to unwind some of their long SPY long QQQ. everyone in financial media harping on the "ineffective measures by bessent" when they dont even realize what the actual game is
the market isn't irrational on this, nobody moves the prices of these stocks except institutions with hundreds of billions, and they are now a significant portion of both SPY and QQQ
For the first time in my life I bought SPY puts on Friday, the bottom might actually be in boys
It took a massive dive on Thursday and then SPY went +1% on Friday. Sentiment doesn’t matter when MMs going to inverse it.
SPY 800 by November
I'm pretty sure we'll see SPY 750 before oil declines
Remember Friday when SPY and TLT were just green for no reason? It was like a miracle!! Ya know? Just suddenly green
in a couple years from now, we'll look back at this moment: 10y at 5% oil at $100+ SPY up 12% but its PE is down 10% ytd high inflation and shit job market Circular financing OpenAI burning cash with no profit. Anthropic calling a slowdown because they are also out of money, GOOGL cash flow negative for the first time in history Sburry crashing out. Berkshire holding a massive pile of cash *"I am the House"* is the new "Dow is 50k" and still... # "tHeRe WeRe No SiGnS!!!! I thot stonks only go up? 🤡🤡🤡"
world peace, SPY hits 850
Dude, there have been like 10 “peace deals” in the last 2 months lmao. How do you even remotely believe this? I’ve been selling weekly covered calls on SPY after every one and my profit rate is over 80%. One of the 2 I missed I rolled to Monday and it expired worthless.
I don't understand why people here buy SPY (or its variants) options, instead of futures. You can get more leverage with futures, pay less in commissions, and don't have to deal with time decay.
My puts on SPY and HOOD are in danger?
Bers are going to eat good this week won’t they? Holding SPY 750 9/16 lotto puts. Hoping for a breakdown to 745 this week by Wednesday.
Do not sell covered calls against your leveraged ETF unless you’re totally okay letting them go. I’m have some cash sitting around waiting for SPY to hit weekly oversold condition. Once it does I’m buying SOXL, Tqqq, SPXL, UPRO, LABU, FAS, RAM, DFEN
Fuck yeah but we need more. SPY 420
Rate hike now at 98%... SPY 700 inevitable, maybe circuit breakers
> but I'm not sure Morningstar allows you to compare multiple funds growth of 10,000. You can, if I'm understanding what you're wanting. * I look up VOO, and go to the chart tab * Data Type drop down above the chart, select Growth With Dividend, put 10,000 in the % Change input, and click outside of the dropdown for it to close * Now in the "Compare" input box above the chart I enter in SPY * I now see the chart showing the growth for both funds for whatever timeframe is available, and I can keep adding funds to the list
11% Bro you could have just bought SPY
SPY is beating you lol
Good for CD rates but we will most likely see SPY below 700
Good job at being smarter than 95% of the people here. Now is the time to play it safe so you can never worry about it again. Assuming you put it all in SPY and it averages 10% a year, $463,000 will turn into $1,000,000 in 8 years, and contributing $200 a week will bring it down to 7 years.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/nverloseinstocks (2W - 3L, 40%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $765.66 → $762.00 | -0.5% | 1d | Lost |
SPY 760 or lower Monday open.
Your right 10% is high and you’d be taking on more risks than this woman could handle. But there are a fair amount of safe 6-7% yielders right now that she would probably be comfortable with ( VZ, PFE, UPS) and you could still get some upside from them . Obviously it would be MUCH better if she’d just go full SPY or other market ETFs, but you can take some baby steps in the meantime. Invest 10 grand each in a few, when she sees they don’t bite it’ll get easier to go further
**BanBet Lost** — /u/APOLARCAT (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $765.85 → $800.00 | +4.5% | 1d | Lost |
Yes, let's get a person who's scared of SPY into options. What can go wrong?
I tested the 200 day rule before using it, so here is what it actually does. SPY, 1993 to 2026, dividends included, decide on the close and fill at the next open. Long above the 200 day, cash below. It returns 8.1% a year against 11.0% for just holding. It loses in every bull run, 1993 to 1999, 2003 to 2007, 2010 to 2019, 2020 to 2021, 2023 onward, by 5.5 to 7.7 points a year. It wins in every bear, 2000 to 2002, 2008, 2022. Worst drawdown 29% against 55%. Eight periods, eight the same sign. That is rare. Most technical rules I have tested flip sign depending on which decade you look at. So it is not a return tool. It is insurance, and the premium is about 2.8 points a year. Whether that is worth paying depends on whether you would have sold at the bottom in 2008 without it. On Sharpe it is a wash, 0.70 against 0.65, inside the noise. Two footnotes. 200 is a convention, not a tuned number. 300 beat it on every metric in my run and the improvement was monotone from 50 to 300, which means the optimum is somewhere nobody has looked. And I have not tested MACD, so I cannot give you a number for it, only that nobody in this thread has one either.
I know, what the Hell is it with some of these people? I'll read a post talking about SPY pumping or something so I quickly go to my account and see it's up 30 cents...
I bought IWM and SPY puts yesterday that expire Wednesday and Friday. We will see.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/manlymatt83 (0W - 2L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $762.39 → $754.76 | -1.0% | 1d | Lost |
**BanBet Lost** — /u/Play_Background (0W - 3L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $762.23 → $754.61 | -1.0% | 1d | Lost |
Megacorps pulling in 100s of billions of revenue via circlejerk economics, all of it being used to outbid and gobble up all available raw material and computing power above anyone else. Consumers paying out the ass for a simple gaming system other electronic device. Huge swaths of Earth at war or nearing it. AI about to replace you. Fear and panic is coming. SPY 680
hitting the jackpot with 0dte SPY options is my last shot at escaping the permanent underclass once AI takes over everything (including my Wendy's job)
**BanBet Lost** — /u/WallyWally12345 (0W - 2L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $763.41 → $700.00 | -8.3% | 2d | Lost |
is there a SPY but without the shit companies?
Vodka is the SPY of alcohols.
Wednesday at 1:59 PM, load up on SPY 1dte calls that are 0.05 each. Load 500 of them
I built my first autonomous options-trading bot in Python today. It analyzes SPY using my MACD, slow stochastic, and volume rules, automatically launches Monday through Friday, monitors the market, selects call or put options, places paper trades, and manages the exits. Pretty excited about it!
SPY and QQQ are 0DTE, and big names like MU are normally 1 week to expiry
Probably did I survive this +1% on SPY. I did, I sold the shit out of 0dte options and ended up green on the day
One thing from Friday's close that is worth a look before Monday, and it is not a call on anything. **SPY closed at 765.04. Its max pain for that expiry was 765.** A gap of 0.01%. Before anyone gets mystical about that: max pain is not a magnet and nothing forces price toward it. It is an accounting fact — the strike at which the largest total dollar value of open options expires worthless. It is computed, not predicted, and it moves as open interest moves during the week. So what does a 0.01% gap actually tell you? Mostly that Friday's close landed where the largest concentration of option value sat. That happens more often on index products than chance alone would suggest, and the boring explanation is the likely one: a lot of that open interest belongs to dealers and systematic sellers who hedge continuously, and that hedging tends to dampen movement near the heaviest strikes. Mechanics, not intent. Nobody steered it there. What it does **not** tell you is anything about Monday. Open interest resets, new positioning comes in, and the level itself will move. If you find yourself building a trade off "it pinned at max pain", you have converted an observation about the past into a forecast, and the data did not do that for you. --- Rest of the board for Friday's session, ranked by how far each name moved from **its own** 30-day baseline rather than by absolute size — otherwise you just get NVDA and TSLA every single day: * **SWKS** — option premium $2.31M against a $224k baseline. 10.3x, and a z-score of **23.75**, the highest on the board. * **ALLY** — $269k against $17.9k. **15.1x**, z = 13.4. * **GAP** — call open interest 38,542 against a 12,339 baseline. 3.1x at z = 20.8. * **KR** — moved on two axes at once: put OI 4.2x its normal *and* put/call ratio 4.1x. Two independent measures on the same name is rarer than either alone. * **HRL** — the odd one. Put/call ratio 0.22 against a **6.55** baseline, z = **−12.9**. That is puts collapsing, not building, which almost never shows up in these scans because everyone screens for the other direction. Scanned 2,001 tickers; 1,118 cleared the threshold on a full end-of-week run. Each compared to itself, with the market-wide multiple for the day divided out so a broad risk-off session does not light up the whole board and look like signal.
SPY puts rammed my ass so hard today.
I split the 500 and QQQM for about the last 7 years with about 65% of my investments. I have a large holding of AAPL in a brokerage account that is tax trapped, and I have about 5% in LEAPS of QQQ, and SPY. Then a small smattering of SOXX and others. Sounds like you are heading to the same place.
I am focusing on SPY 0DTE last hour.
Way too many people are positioned for a draw down so no way it’s happening in September. Put to call ratios are 3 and 4 to 1 for SPY through 9/18. They’ll run it sideways. That 5 or 10% draw down everyone expects (and wants so they can buy) will come when no one in retail is ready for it. If it even comes at all.
Ohhh no wonder SPY and TLT opened up +.8% 🤷♂️ 🤷♂️