Reddit Posts
Update 7: Oops, lol. ~$1,447.94 -> ~$2,712.06 -> $222.20
Warsh's first FOMC presser is Wednesday and nobody seems to be talking about the dot plot risk
Warsh's first FOMC is tomorrow and I have no clue what to do with my port
How many of you have actually calculated your returns against the S&P, properly, and how many are just assuming you're beating it because your portfolio is green?
How viable is a hedge fund that trades exclusively in SPY 0dte’s
I have lost every position I've taken since june started.
Serious discussion: Is it time to full port healthcare, or am I regarded?
All My Eggs in One Basket: Keep holding NVDA or Sell at a Loss?
Sustainability of Weekly Covered Calls + Cash Secured Puts ATM on 50% of SPY Portfolio
My 15-point GO/NO-GO checklist before any options trade, because I kept breaking my own rules
When Iran war started SPY was at $686 and today $756 (Nearly +10%)
100k SPY 6/16 744c YOLO held through iran deal / Trump's birthday weekend
RSUs and ESPP, cash out and invest in ETFs, Dividends, SPY, or leave it?
[OPEN SOURCE] Last month, I deployed an options portfolio managed by AI. I'm up over $4,000 since
Europe Is Too Scared to Grow, So Their Money Keeps Buying My SPY Calls
$300 deposit Tuesday -> $6,120.97 ($5k withdrawn + $1,120.97 cash left in account)
Tesla is worth $100 trillion not $1 trillion. Here's why.
Tesla is worth $100 trillion not $1 trillion. Here's why.
Why not SPY puts with SPCX IPO
What’s SPY closing @ tomorrow? Place your bets
Bought 2 minutes before the news dropped.
SpaceX: People are getting this IPO wrong
Yesterday: $300 -> $33 -> $770 into today -> $382 -> $2,494 -> ended $2,177 but with CALLS, bitch!
Yesterday: $300 -> $33 -> yesterday -> $770 into today -> $382 -> $2,494 -> ended $2,177 but with CALLS, bitch!
Tried to join bulls today but we know where the money is🐻📉
I Sold All My VOO for a Concentrated NVDA Bet. Should I Have Just Bought Options Instead?
Me watching the SPY shit its pants for the 4th straight day in a row, like:
What's the equivalent of SPY for europeans?
Is the macro pivot actually happening or are we just being played by the Fed?
Why I think Berkshire Hathaway is the best investment right now
Going all in today on SPY puts, wish me luck.
Bought this for today, is it realistic?
Came across buy and hold 17% CAGR portfolio backtested since 1987
I missed out on 10 grand because I had a meeting at 11am
🚨 New Congressional Trade Disclosed 🚨 15% return, 70% win rate (Buy at disclosure, sell 90d later)
Bogle vs. Buffet vs. Dalio - Long-Term Investment Strategies Backtested over the last 20 Years
Bogle vs. Buffet vs. Dalio - Long-Term Investment Strategies Backtested over the last 20 Years
The market panic looks overdone follow up- choppy ahead of CPI, but positioning is improving
I analyzed which sector is most sensitive to hot CPI reports (24 - 26)
First time day trading with PDT gone, doubled my account today. SPY puts Friday and today. All intraday trades, wins in red boxes.
Mentions
I have 747c on SPY expiring tomorrow 😔
Notice how SPY dumping overnight but SpaceX magically holding up
Out of say 10 people trying on their own, what’s the win/loss rates of 0dte options with SPY or QQQ? I’m sure there’s 10 here lol
SPY trades at night...semiconductor and memory stocks are trading and dipping.
Does anyone ever take a gander at SPY price to sales ratio? The first hint of trouble in tech hardware margins or US exports and the market is falling 40-50% straight down. [S&P 500 Price to Sales Ratio - Multpl](https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-price-to-sales)
SPY not even half a percent down and yall committing seppuku Stop over-leveraging into memory/semiconductors
Genuinely what is going on, can we just get SPY to pump and let me exit my positions. Genuinely the market makes no sense rn
SPY is going to be range-bound for a while Blow your 0dte load carefully or not Im gay
Possible. I will buy SPY options calls/ puts depending on the signal.😂. Today I bought first put at $2.35, then averaged it buying few more to $1.65.
Crazy, if this move for SPY holds then MSFT might shit it’s fucking brains out completely at open and go below 300
The alternative of course is to just not play the game. Abandon consumerism, stack cash, live debt free, and fuck everyone else. But you're mostly right. You'll never catch those at the top by playing the same game they are, so you might as well play just long enough to not need to. Wait, this is WSB, what am I saying? SPY calls until the heat death of the universe!
These SPY put spreads seem to be working. I’m going to try more of these.
just all in on SPY 0DTE and hope for the best.
Have fun buying 1/10th of SPY lol
Made 520% this morning off 746 puts SPY 0DTE https://preview.redd.it/hgghlw2m1y8h1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=59bd1f433761022a1927bd3d3526f0cc67be3f18
I need some SPY green on my end brah, this overnight red hue is a disgrace
# once SPY breaks 746 with high volume, “Calls” 🤌😂
Convenient little fucking vanishing act: the gain gets a spotlight,the $250k SPY crater supposedly gets swallowed by the void. Post the receipts or spare us the fucking mythology, because without them this is just another fucked-up,fuck-heavy, motherfucking victory lap with the ugly part cropped out.
When an index ETF like SPY hits a major psychological level like 750, encounters a massive **dark pool print** ($12B+), and immediately reverses ("rejects"), it triggers significant discussion among technical traders. Here is exactly what that setup means in investor terms, how dark pools work, and why it has people bracing for a move. --- ### 1. Breaking Down the Terms * **The Rejection:** SPY briefly pushed past 750 to hit an intraday high of 750.12 before sellers flooded the market, dragging the price back down to the 744–745 range. In technical analysis, a sharp drop after touching a new high is a "hard rejection," signaling strong resistance. * **Dark Pool:** These are private, institutional exchanges run by large banks and networks (like Goldman Sachs or Citadel). They allow massive institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, hedge funds) to buy or sell hundreds of thousands of shares at once without tipping off the public market and causing immediate price chaos. * **The "Print":** By law, trades executed in dark pools must eventually be reported to the public tape. When a $12 billion order is finalized and reported, traders see a massive "print" at a specific price level (750.05). --- ### 2. The Bearish Interpretation: Institutional "Distribution" When people say **"you know what's coming,"** they are usually implying a sharp market downturn or correction. The bearish thesis behind this setup looks like this: > **The "Selling Wall" Theory:** A $12 billion print right at the 750 ceiling implies that giant institutional players used that peak liquidity to dump massive amounts of shares. Because SPY immediately rejected that level and headed down, it suggests the sellers completely overwhelmed the buyers. In institutional terms, this is called **distribution**—smart money quietly unloading their positions onto retail or late-buying investors before a potential drop. If 750 acts as a hard institutional ceiling, the market may look to test lower support levels (like 740 or 732) next. --- ### 3. The Counter-Perspective: The Illusion of the Tape While it looks incredibly bearish on the surface, dark pool prints can be deceptive for two major reasons: * **Prints are Lagged:** Dark pool trades don't always happen the second they appear on your scanner. They can be reported hours—or sometimes even a day—after the actual matching occurred. The print at 750 might simply be the tape catching up to a massive block order that was accumulated over time. * **Buy vs. Sell Ambiguity:** A dark pool print doesn't explicitly tell you if it was a massive buy or a massive sell; it just shows a transaction occurred. It could be an institution *accumulating* a massive position at 750, believing the market is going higher, or a market maker rebalancing their options hedges. --- ### 4. What This Means for Everyday Investors For a retail investor or swing trader, a setup like this serves as a major **caution flag**. When $12 billion moves at a single price point, that level becomes a **line in the sand**. * **If SPY stays below 750:** The bears are in control, and the 750 level will act as a heavy lid on the market, increasing the probability of a broader pullback. * **If SPY reclaims and holds above 750:** It means the massive block of shares was absorbed by buyers, trapping the short-sellers and potentially fueling a powerful "short squeeze" to new all-time highs. The smartest move here is to watch for follow-through over the next few sessions rather than guessing which way the giant whales are leaning.
SPY CEO said the N word on live TV
And as far as SPY, you’d need this bitch opening at 0.66% to even recover from today, and that’s not happening. Tomorrow will be a bloodbath for what I can see.
I bought SPY puts before close. I’m a genius.
12/18 is likely an ex-dividend date for SPY also (typically it's on the 4 triple-witching opex dates), so if that 750 call is in the money it's getting exercised and you're out another ~$180 (based on the last dividend). So you're guaranteed to have a $5000 debit at expiration, with the risk that you're also down another amount based on the dividend. The prices bake that in.
People freak out if the market drops 1% or if it drops for a few days straight. Like there is a perception that stocks are a magic money tree. Few recall that SPY was flat for almost 15 years. Shoeshine boy effect for years now. Teenagers daytrading (and gambling, and memeCoining) Politicos trading stocks and coins. Stocks making more than their dayjobs. Jobs are for suckers. Degrees are for suckers. Just gamble instead. Free money hack genius. Wealth without production is the ideal. Stocks only go up. despite big disparity between individual stocks down 50-98% from peak vs. indicies near all time highs. Market as retirement wealth machine, but never as potential retirement destroying machine. Markets down 50-80% in dotcom & GFC. 8% annual but ignoring 10-20 year flat periods that occur. Buy the dip vs. falling knife mindset. Can't lose mindset. Never sell stocks to pay debt. Paying off a 6% mortgage is "stupid". Market pays more. Can't lose. Risk either does not exist, or is heavily discounted Not owning stocks is reckless. Valuations. Vibe market. The bigger the red, the more the green (Calls, it is) IPO cashouts with 80%+ crash bagholders. Wild claims by CEOs. Space data, planet colony, flying robo cars, etc Circular financing. Enron vibes. Leverage. 3x, 5x, 10x ETFs, even for single stocks. Inverse ETFs. 0DTE options casino market. People going from $50k to $3mm in a single year. (yea, survivorship bias) Rotating bubble sectors. EV, Space, nuclear, weed, robot, rare earth, quantum, chips, AI, psych, etc Alternative bubbles? Sports betting, sports collectibles, Pokemon, NFT, memeCoins, DeFi ponzi/FTX, etc. What does "bubble" and "mania" mean to you? Anything above resonate with you? What else can you add?
People freak out if the market drops 1% or if it drops for a few days straight. Like there is a perception that stocks are a magic money tree. Few recall that SPY was flat for almost 15 years. Shoeshine boy effect for years now. Teenagers daytrading (and gambling, and memeCoining) Politicos trading stocks and coins. Stocks making more than their dayjobs. Jobs are for suckers. Degrees are for suckers. Just gamble instead. Free money hack genius. Wealth without production is the ideal. Stocks only go up. despite big disparity between individual stocks down 50-98% from peak vs. indicies near all time highs. Market as retirement wealth machine, but never as potential retirement destroying machine. Markets down 50-80% in dotcom & GFC. 8% annual but ignoring 10-20 year flat periods that occur. Buy the dip vs. falling knife mindset. Can't lose mindset. Never sell stocks to pay debt. Paying off a 6% mortgage is "stupid". Market pays more. Can't lose. Risk either does not exist, or is heavily discounted Not owning stocks is reckless. Valuations. Vibe market. The bigger the red, the more the green (Calls, it is) IPO cashouts with 80%+ crash bagholders. Wild claims by CEOs. Space data, planet colony, flying robo cars, etc Circular financing. Enron vibes. Leverage. 3x, 5x, 10x ETFs, even for single stocks. Inverse ETFs. 0DTE options casino market. People going from $50k to $3mm in a single year. (yea, survivorship bias) Rotating bubble sectors. EV, Space, nuclear, weed, robot, rare earth, quantum, chips, AI, psych, etc Alternative bubbles? Sports betting, sports collectibles, Pokemon, NFT, memeCoins, DeFi ponzi/FTX, etc. What does "bubble" and "mania" mean to you? Anything above resonate with you? What else can you add?
The year is 2050. SPY is at all time highs. MSFT continues to invest heavily on AI CAPEX hoping for it to pay off
And today I have…. broken even. Fuck SPY you dirty boy
Why can Koreans get a proper -1% day but somehow SPY barely gets one intraday
SPY 0dte OTM puts or calls 6/23
I’ll buy some when SPY has the next big 2% negative day
If SPY opens at 755 tmr I will stick any object or animal up my ass. Taking suggestions please
SPY will open at 9:30 am tomorrow. You heard it here first
> I'll buy in around $50/share, so you'll never buy in, just like the people who said they were waiting for SPY to go under $500 back in april 2025.
At this rate SPY opening at 9:30 am eastern tmr 🙏🏻
If we are going to have the SPY at ATH on the 4th of July then the Mag7 are going to have to do some Pamping instead of Drilling. Rotating out of Memory into heavy lifting.
Impressive how we're only 2% below SPY ATHs yet the fear greed index is all the way down at 36. Conventional wisdom says that means it's a good time to buy the dip, but it sure feels like the market is being held up on a house of cards right now
Boofing gas station dick pills rn SPY 742 open
SPY really loves the 744 - 745 channel
SPY is literally just the ETF version of SPX so trading SPY will not be less volatile, it’s just cheaper but then OP will just size up so it’s pointless. Plus SPY is not tax efficient like SPX. Anyway, I think learning how options move by buying one and watching it can help. Learning the Greeks deeply also helps. But I think it’s just a matter of getting in there and trading, like seat time if you will.
Imagine thinking 💯 % SPY allocation is aggressive
I hope SPY recovers a bit tomorrow 😅 MSFT still down regardless
Pliz I need SPY to go up 🫠
Because a bunch of retards keep bidding up Micron and other semi names, many 4 or 5 companies 50% of the entire SPY. And when they dump everything else does for no reason.
#For every 0.1% SPY drops, tech stocks drop another 1% and Microsoft drops another 2-3% LMAO🤌
Pliz come back up by even just 1% tomorrow SPY, I beg of you 🙏
**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $739.00 (below) | $743.41 | -0.6% | Jun 24, 11:54 PM |
SPY dropping $10 between now and close tomorrow would make my lil guy grow to a slightly bigger guy
Buy SPY or QQQ 0DTE options. Just look at the technical analysis and hop in.
Muu is great but if earnings disappoint it'll also crash 2x as hard. I'm not sure what will happen but I hope to hold or buy more if it dips. The other week it was down like 50% and right back to ATH. Don't ask me about SPY options though, that thing always does the opposite or what I want, or is sideways all day if I buy puts and calls. I also 2x or 10x when I buy $50 but lose everything if I put $1k or more.
Where else are they going to gamble? $CORN? GOLD? The other 490 stOnks in the SPY500? r/E? The enshitification of fiat currency is not only still running it's accelerating.
$NVDA it has GPU monopoly. 2022-2025 $MU don’t have memory monopoly, Samsung, SK Hynix, few China suppliers making HBM On top low end memory by $STX $WDC $SNDK & few Japanese companies doing. So hype of memory bs, look market cap pump ? $SPY $QQQ $SOXX Now Options gambling.
My AI told me: SPY +1.0% tomorrow
I have $745 Puts that expire tomorrow so a bigger dip in afterhours would be nice SPY thx
I’ve never used margin before today. Used $90k at close to buy 50 6/23 SPY 744C and 60 shares of MUU. Real genius or full regard?
You’re completely discombobulated. That’s why you’re this pressed about my trade lmao You don’t even know what beta is (lol at you thinking it was more volatile than SPY). You’re literally a meme coin bag holder
ChatGPT says: I see why a regard like you might think that, but... no actually it said: "So my overall read: **significant risk, yes; systemic crash certainty, no.** It is most concerning for **BDCs, private-credit-heavy alt managers, non-traded/interval funds, insurers/pensions with concentrated exposure, and software/AI-disrupted borrowers**. It is less obviously a direct “SPY crashes because private credit implodes tomorrow” setup unless redemptions force asset sales, marks gap down, bank funding lines tighten, or defaults spread into public leveraged loans/high yield."
SPY is getting wrecked even harder, that bitch barely goes up unlike daq
They are, but GOOGL was ready to fall today anyway because they lost the SMA 20 and 50 late last week (a short-term trend line as well if you believe TA is worth anything). It really was kind of that simple. So you got a weak looking Google stock coming into the week with SPY looking weak and the need for more capital to fuel the semi run. Not nearly as sexy an explanation, but more likely what happened. Granted negative news can always amplify that.
I need my SPY calls to print so I can go balls deep on SOXS and never look back.
As if buying SPY did not have built in survivorship bias. It's not the same stocks, the garbage gets rotated out and in goes the FotM. It may not be you, but someone else (the S&P agency) is still picking the "luckiest" stocks for you. When you're buying and holding individual stocks, it's not nearly as trivial as you make it sound.
An literal black swan event happened. [https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-06-22/black-swan-wipeout-predicted-amid-bird-flu-outbreak/106824910](https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-06-22/black-swan-wipeout-predicted-amid-bird-flu-outbreak/106824910) puts on SPY
**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $750.00 (above) | $744.53 | +0.7% | 23h 60m |
Bers see doomposts with thousands of upvotes on the WSB front page and think the top is close lel, not even near peak euphoria. SPY 800 is inevitable
Trimmed my LEAPS. Sold google and SPY leaps. Keeping intel and AMD
SPY died for memory today lmao
do my 740 6/23 SPY puts have a chance? Yes, but theta will erase it.
I will be very, very upset if SPY is over 1% tomorrow
Omg SPY what the hell was that?!?!?!?
I lost all my calls today, watch SPY be green tomorrow, FML!
When all the gfs are making more money than you, just buying and holding some shit companies they know nothing about, it makes you think all the research and dayto day option trading is just a waste of time when you could just sit tight and get rich. Anyway. SPY 700p 07/31
$MU 197% above of 200 day $SNDK $STX $WDC $SMH got Archegos like move by few bankers to scam all $SPY $QQQ see Nasdaq rebalancing next https://preview.redd.it/bd3oxsvudw8h1.png?width=1782&format=png&auto=webp&s=7fbdd0898f412b7dc194b8cdabb7b7953267048e
Hi there, glad you found the comment helpful! The advice you're getting now would have been more valid a few years ago. Right now we're late in the cycle, valuations are ridiculously high, and any position you take is seriously at risk in the next recession. That doesn't mean don't invest anything. It does mean that since you're not invested today, you should keep most of your position in cash for now. You're not "doing nothing" or "doing it wrong" by being in a HYSA. You're getting 4-5% with zero risk at a time when risk is unusually high, which you have already identified. Don't let people pressure you into doing something you're not comfortable with for good reason. I wouldn't think about this in terms of "this week vs. next week." The problem isn't going to play out next week, and even if it started today, we wouldn't be anywhere near a buy zone by then. Think more like 6 to 12 months. The rest of this year is an important watch window, especially around what narrative plays out with AI capex. If we start to see that spending translate into real margin expansion over the next few quarters, it can potentially delay a recession. If it doesn't, that disappointment could be the catalyst that causes one, along with rate hikes and sticky inflation. The markets are stretched by most key indicators, and not just a little. We're at levels that have historically preceded major downturns. The more important question, though, is where would any new upside actually come from at these prices? The bulls have an answer for that, but in my opinion it's not a compelling one. If you absolutely need to get some exposure, keep it small. Something like 3% in VOO (or SPY if you prefer) and 4-6% in IAU as a hedge. On the VOO side, watch for a particularly weak day and pick up a small position. On the IAU side, build it in three tranches: a small starter now with gold near $4,150 (IAU \~$78-79), a larger add when gold is around $4,000 (IAU \~$76), and the rest if gold flushes into the high $3,000s (IAU \~$74-75, or a little lower on volatility). The $4,000 level is the key one to make sure you participate in, since it's a major psychological and technical support. That's it. Keep the rest in cash. TLDR; be patient. Your money is already working for you. Let this cycle play out, buy into the trough, and you won't have to watch your current cash get cut in half. That kind of drawdown is psychologically shocking and tends to drive poor decisions at the bottom, especially for newer investors.
2 SPY 751c expiring tomorrow 🫡
No matter how you get your info, whether it's a bull or bear case, you're gonna lose. Those big shots have algorithms and stuff to help them react super fast to news. You, on the other hand, by the time you get this news and react to it, the market will have already priced it in from that news seconds ago. Doing 0DTE on SPX is basically gambling at this point. I really think you should stop doing 0DTE on SPX and do something else before you end up like those Redditors who lose almost all their money. Learn how to trade options first on something like SPY or less volatile stocks before you jump into the big leagues of SPX. I won 3k this year, and I also easily lost 3k on SPX in 30 minutes of trading.
**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $750.00 (above) | $744.90 | +0.7% | 23h 60m |
**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $150.00 (below) | $744.86 | -79.9% | 23h 60m |
Too lazy so I did what you suggested and asked ChatGPT about the reliability of your information. >this is a mix of real trends + exaggerated scale claims + several misleading or incorrect interpretations of how private credit actually works. Some parts are directionally right, but the framing pushes it toward a “shadow banking crisis imminent” narrative that isn’t supported by the evidence. SPY 1000
SPY 0DTEs teach me a lesson I’ll forget tomorrow when I ape into more 0DTEs
SPY new ATH tomorrow.
Nah I sold I usually trade SPY not SPX so I was confused a bit on the settle but thankfully I found out it was 4pm before it was too late lmao
Since Semis are carrying both PSY and QQQ, they should change the names of the index to honor the companies. SPY to MUY and QQQ to SNDQ.
fuck hype, its SPY or nothing
Imagine if he just bought SPY 0DTEs instead