SPY

ilchymis

Why are people thinking SPY red tomorrow? Any particular indicators, other than I neglected to write some easy premium ccs on friday?

BrandonLeeOfficial

SPY $360 No Scope MAY.

AmbitiousEconomics

They invest in SPY-based ETFs and sell them the day before ex-div (and rebuy them the day after).

Treverer

I checked SPY earlier and thought „wtf, ain’t no way that those -1 million jobs were priced in“, came here and realised that it‘s a holiday. European markets barely move today and all news are about missed expectations by tentai islands nikkei, could it be that the algos don’t get any signal due to the holiday and are just sleeping on the fact and will crash just tomorrow?

Commercial-Hippo6284

If space is a meme then why did ASTS get a government contract deal ? You talking about bonds and yields has nothing to do with a bear market. SPY is around the corner from a ATH. 37% of spy is Tech, so yes if tech is going down it’ll drag it with it. But it’s not because every other sector is either sideways or pumping ATH. Do a little bit of research before commenting. “Space is a meme” 😂😂😂 so I guess rocket ships am satellites aren’t useful? It’s just for the meme ? 😂

SeaEnvironmental756

How are you factoring in /ES and SPY into your decision process for SPX? 

Happy_Discussion_536

At least you're all in SPY and very bullish. All the retards sitting in cash gonna get rekt as 💵 🖨️ goes brrrrrr

Commercial-Hippo6284

You trying to make yourself sound fancy doesn’t mean you’re right. People are takin profits from Ai and Tech stocks, whilst other sectors are either going sideways or pumping ATH. 37% of SPY is Tech, so yes if tech is going down it’ll pull SPY with it, but it isn’t because every other sector is holding strong or pumping.

KMI_Dragon_Knight

My friend, US bond yields are right now lower they've been in more than 6 months, even lower than they were in red October, despite markets generaslly being close to ATH. And still, bond yield is more attractive than most oil companies would ever be, and if you noticed, the 10 year yield got lower, VIX consistently over 21. Oil companies need to compete with bank yields, legacy yields (ATT, PFE) and fight back oil and intl macros; whereas bonds, PFE, ATT, are always there. No, money ain't permanently relocating to other industries within SPY; liquidity is drying up generally, can't run away to GLD without being stolen, which is why SPY/QQQ are red... This is not the market "crashing" it's liquidity drying up, the opposite of your conclusion.

finance-mcp-001

A few people have already voiced this, so to reiterate: just go with a low-cost ETF (like SPY) that mirrors the S&P 500. Much like the dot-com boom and bust, it's going to be hard to pick winners and losers at this point. We don't really know how AI is going to impact the market quite yet, although everyone has an opinion and speaks confidently about it. The S&P 500 will always track the largest companies, so you'll get those gains without the headache and nail-biting drama of worrying about concentrating your risk within a select group of companies.

Realistic_Manner238

Up 34bps and climbing on the SPY. I feel bad for those of you who are short or have puts on the market this week!

privatepublicaccount

You will mostly be paying the financing cost for the position, and obviously still holding a lot of downside risk. I would place limit orders and hopefully you get closer to mid pricing. I think a lot of deep options have wide spreads because the market makers don’t want to get everything filled by hedge funds the second some news drops or there’s a minor fluctuation, but if you leave an order out there someone should take it. One more thing to remember is that you don’t earn dividends on options positions like you would holding the underlying SPY/QQQ with a 10 delta put, but that fact should also be priced in to give you a cheaper call price. Your position will be tied to interest rates, so if interest rates go up, your position will benefit and if they go down it will go down. Check the Greek rho.

jglhk

My wife's boyfriend is going to have to take her out today. I forgot I went full port SPY puts the 2nd half the day Friday to make up my week losses. Forgot my money won't settle till Tuesday, stupid holiday. 

Junkingfool

Well since I bought a SPY call last week not knowing the market was closed today..yeah. Wirth zero tomorrow

Sensitive_Pilot3689

Bondi should be jailed for lying to the people. SPY is NOT at 7000 😡

Hot-Pop-3250

SPY 700 by early 2027

MRROSADOH

Since SPY and NVDA are basically the same thing, can we just coin a tag for both of them

manateaser

By the time Tuesday at 930 rolls around low volume, forever bullish pajama traders are going to have SPY floating over 1% above Friday close. For no notable reason. And with predictable results.

LasyKuuga

SPY closes flat today I’m killing to bet a flair on this mods

processed-cheese-

Where's the fun in shares? If I wanted to be sensible I'd put the money in an all world or a savings account. Closing on Tuesday and putting it all in 0dte SPY calls, wave to me if you pass the roulette table

UnivalveX

back to SPY 696 by wednesday morning (max)

Uniball38

SPY is 2.5% off of its ATH

Necessary_Ad_9800

SPY 800 eow.

NotEasyOne_Regard

Still, 0DTE SPY at a national level would be spectacular.

NotEasyOne_Regard

USA has national debt? The gov should just full port on 0DTE SPY. It will pay it’s debt easy.

lysergalien

SPY 695 eow

SeveralBollocks_67

$SPY

pogkaku96

Just when I went all in Feb 20 SPY calls hoping that I can get a job at Wendys if I lose it all. smh.

MRROSADOH

SPY rebound tomorrow?

ahopye

Same. The money hasn't left the market, SPY is still sky high. It's just temporarily rotated into more defensive plays. I'd expect it to hold fairly steady this week at worst. AMZN, GOOG and MSFT look like bargains right now. WMT earnings could be a "sell the news" event that sparks the re-rotation. Throw in NVIDIA earnings as another potential catalyst. And then (for Amazon in particular) a positive supreme court decision on Friday would really light the touch paper. Could be a gradual climb or it could be hard and fast depending on these potential catalysts. Regardless, it's going up and I'm loading up on Wednesday.

Sick0h

What would make the most sense is that NVDA has a huge miss and absolutely rockets SPY to 715 and QQQ to 650 because that would make the least sense.

GuyFaulks77

Basically SPY hits $690 Wednesday or my account is gaped

Realistic_Manner238

SPY will be up .5% - .75% Tuesday

Pale-Silver-8178

SLV done and Buttcorn done, those who got calls on oil might make bank QQQ, SPY lotto puts at open its boutta get real nasty.

greg_r_

International indexes are brutally framemogging SPY and Nasdaq. The US continues to jestermax while getting brutally mogged by the Europoors and Asians

JackWagon1990

I’m not advocating for young people to go full port on high risk stocks. I would ideally like to see them have a decent amount in VOO or SPY or something similar. But 10% annual compounding also isn’t a guarantee. Sure, over the long run but there’s risk no matter where you invest your money. Even the damn banks. Just saying it’s not the end of the world for a young person (who has a safer mix of equities, maybe some bonds in a retirement account) to also put on some home run bets in a separate account. This isn’t tax advice.

donfonz

BREAKING: After another week of downturn in [$SPY](https://x.com/search?q=%24SPY&src=cashtag_click), Tom Lee has been found hiding in the same hole where the U.S. found Saddam Hussein. "I promised 1000x and now people are trying to find me." He stated in the CIA report. "It's probably still gonna happen, tbh."

azure275

Swapping out of SPY/VOO or whatever S&P 500 into VT or similar funds will provide some international diversification while keeping the core low risk strategry If you want to play at picking stocks I would dedicate a certain portion of your money to that while playing it safe with the bulk of it

EKUSUCALIBA

Thank you for your input! I guess I could incorporate shares of SPY into the mix, but TBH my capital is too low to effectively buy shares or even sell a short put. I think I’ll see how this strat goes for this year or two, and see where I’m at!

brute-forced

“America First” trump policy is really fucking this country up. VXUS is outperforming SPY by a significant margin again already this year.

pineapplekiwipen

once dollar collapses i look forward to buying SPY for 1.3 goats

ImFilou

SPY 700 calls for end of this month are so cheap rn, I'm close to blowing up my account

ahopye

I am telling you now, MSFT/GOOG/AMZN to the moon this week. We've just erased 2.5m workers, yet GDP grew by 2.6%? And how have we done that? AI. Much weaker job numbers than expected? JPOW's rate cut money printer is coming out to secure the soft landing legacy. A measurable productivity spike enabled by AI makes a clearer path to monetization for MAG 7, and starts to justify the AI capex for the build out. Meanwhile MAG 7 are slashing headcount while still rocketing growth in areas like Amazon's AWS. Tech has bled but SPY is 2% below ATH. We've not lost the money, it's rotated into defensive stocks including Costco, Walmart, etc. Lower jobs numbers will likely open some sort of income gap, hurting consumer staples, sparking a sector re-rotation. WMT earnings (and NVIDIA), and possibility of supreme court tarrifs decision on Friday, we are going to the fucking moon.

sonofalando

Y’all saw that rotation into long duration treasuries last week. If inflation prints cool further expect more upside on TLT and crushing depression for SPY holders 🥂

ahopye

I am fucking bullish on MSFT/GOOG/AMZN etc. Much weaker job numbers than expected? Fed have kept it too tight too long. Couple it with the cooler than expected CPI? Time to cut those god damn rates JPOW. GDP growth is steady despite fewer workers than expected? Productivity per worker is higher. SPY earnings power is higher than we realized. What's helping enable these productivity gains? AI. A measurable productivity spike enabled by AI makes a clearer path to monetization for MAG 7, and starts to justify the AI capex for the build out. Meanwhile MAG 7 are slashing headcount while still rocketing growth in areas like Amazon's AWS. Now, tech has bled heavily but SPY is only 2% below ATH. We've had a huge rotation out of tech into "defensive" stocks, heavily centred on consumer staples (Costco, Walmart, etc). Significantly lower jobs numbers opens up a bit of an income gap, which should hurt retail. This should in turn spark a sector re-rotation back to tech (or oblivion). June/July rate cuts by 50bps. Calls to the wall, regards.

Necessary_Ad_9800

SPY 800 eow.

ConstantAd1

Toyota winning the Daytona 500 is bearish for SPY historically

Wowmuchrya

Except Warsh won’t cut until there’s a global crisis and he has said that in the past it’s not the feds goal to be predictive but to come in after the damage is done. Cua at SPY 500.

DoinIt4DaShorteez

It really comes down to risk tolerance. I'm kinda risk-averse, so when I was still buying, I would buy equal numbers of **shares** of SPY and QQQ each time. QQQ is 60% tech. VOO and SPY are 40%. So QQQ boosted my overall tech allocation/weighting while not feeling like I was going overboard.

vertigo88

PYPL is dead. It’s held by SPY and QQQ aa an immaterial volume, which is by design for an ETF. If it goes to zero, or more quickly, gets kicked off, then it is sold. And if I as a user gets $600, who is paying for it? The shareholder of PYPL. Or in your case - the bag holder.

Arnab_Goswami_RTV

Inflation means SPY goes up, freaking bullish.

Arnab_Goswami_RTV

Rate cuts are confirmed since the job market is so bad, SPY will definitely rocket over 800 🔥

Maximum-Side-9391

Na I quit SPY I like money

Desperate-Top9528

Don’t do it fam. BTC bottoms when SPY bottoms…. That hasn’t happened yet. SPY gonna hit 650 by the end of the month. The recovery from there will tell if it’s going lower or not.

PaperHandsTheDip

I agree. IMO it's an overreaction to the tech sector. If you remove AI from MSFT - it's still in value territory imo. There's been a massive rotation from tech -> value in fears of a crash happening. What occured is that actually caused big tech to crash and value to get pumped. SPY went sideways, QQQ went down slighlty, but some legit / large / valuable companies got rekt. I'm seeing 20-40% down on some solid companies -- MSFT being one.

Smok3dSalmon

If everyone sees it coming, they can’t maximize profits from crashing the economy. RIP to 2/13 SPY put holders who played the jobs report lol

pineapplekiwipen

SPY 0 soon loading up 100P on tuesday

AmbassadorGloomy8915

Didn’t fuck up the job finna have more moenyto gamble on SPY 0dtes on my moms robbinhood lets go

PaperHandsTheDip

Oh, yah that's old news. He gave his ex an sti and slipped some antibiotics in her drinks. Literally will have the same effect on the market all the other files have had on SPY. Calls!

KissMyRichard

I'm holding long positions in physical silver, miners, TLT, LAND, puts on SPY and BAC.

Junior-Appointment93

Yes. Watch the price today and Monday along with pre market on Tuesday. Pay attention to the VIX and S&P. The VIX will give you an idea of where the market is going. SPY for point to point follows the S&P. It’s best to place any option play ATM. For instance on Friday I placed a $685 call option took until lunchtime to exit with $30 in profit. Never hold 0DTE spy options past lunchtime for me that’s around 12-1pm central time. After 12pm central theta starts moving fast. 1pm you will lose at least 3/4 of what you paid if it has not reached your break even price. By then

Affectionate_Yak_562

Now we should be back to normal and have SPY going up without moving the same way as some made up currency

OxRedOx

Check expense ratios and compare the returns on these assets over the last decade to SPY/VOO/VTI on one hand and BND on the other. I personally would be a bit risk averse because I feel like be markets are overvalued but you should invest it soon in diversified ETFs (not just in VOO but also things like VT, DIA, VGK, some bond ETFs, etc) and some portion in a HYSA so you can take money out and put it in while you’re in college.

OxRedOx

Worth stating that what you bought did worse than actual VOO/VTI/SPY which did 14.5% in the last 365 days.

OxRedOx

I would broaden beyond just the S&P, at least because I don’t think the top 10 holdings in all of those indexes will continue to rise that fast for long. So like VT and DIA and not just SPY

UnivalveX

I know this all feels like doom and gloom but SPY is only -0.3% down YTD lmao. plenty to go

callsonreddit

Doesn’t mean AMZN will go up. It’s been going down regardless of SPY

knoqd_

Never seen Twitter this bearish. SPY 700 next week

REEMFMetalHead

https://preview.redd.it/fyr7wz0flojg1.png?width=1482&format=png&auto=webp&s=4caadb6c49a3943e50d45fe270c956b0e9e9c915 I think the reason why the market has been so crappy these last few weeks, is because everyone sees the market (specifically, SPY) trying to roll over. Now, this goes against my theory that money coming out of megacaps will be looking for a new home - and penny stocks are the only thing in the Everything Bubble that isn't a part of the bubble, because they've been shorted so aggressively for years now. That's definitely not happening - at least, not right now. That money seems to be going toward metals - price be damned. Which isn't really creative, if you ask me. But this is going to be the overall theme, going forward, I think. Money will be rotating out of everything that's been artificially pumped, and into everything that's been artificially suppressed since Powell took over the Fed. I want to follow it. Anyone else here thinking this way? And if so, what ideas do you have in mind? All I have at the moment, are gold and silver companies.

fire_alarmist

Bull market been over since October and dunces STILL looking for SPY 700 tommorow LOL

No-Improvement3164

I’ve been thinking the same thing. SPY safety everything falling I’m going to jump in there and then they rug it.

olearygreen

Internet stocks like GOOG, META, AMZN blew up too, just to the moon. I’m hearing what you say, but as long as you take profits and are OK not picking the winners, you got to take some risk to find a winner. I had some RKLB before it was cool. I sold 3x what I paid and still have half my portfolio in it. Should I sell more? Probably yes, sold some covered calls instead. But at some point you got to believe in a company or you should just stick with SPY and QQQ, but then you don’t need to be on this sub. I am concerned about Reddit putting too much emphasis on the crazy valuation stocks, as you mentioned, but I’m not sure how to change that if we’re trying to find the winners?

stupidber

How is SPY still so high when everything else is so lo?

HearshotKDS

!banbet SPY 660 6d

HearshotKDS

!banbet SPY 662 6d

HugeAd5056

LOL 0DTE can be good for precision plays. When I do it I never lose much because there’s a technique to it. While this guy goes in with over a grand for a single 0DTE contract, I went in for 3 SPY 0DTE (cost = $250) exiting around $450 while letting the last run with a stop loss above my entry. That’s clean technique… but I only do this when there’s a reason for certainty. Checked inflation report… cooler than expected (as I hoped it would be), watched for when all three major indices reacted positively (with they did), and pulled the trigger on this play. 0DTE is technically a high reward for the risk if done correctly. But that’s a big IF. For MU I went in with about $400 and out within minutes. Considered letting it run with a stop loss of $300 to cap my total costs at around $100 but it was way too choppy at open, so I was happily out.

Tanpopomon

SPY goes down to 270 Everything goes down SPY goes up to 290 Everything stays flat SPY goes down to 270 Everything goes down SPY goes up to 290 Everything stays flat repeat

UnSeriousMarkets

OK thanks, this makes sense to me. I usually trade SPY or QQQ and the recent volatility makes it so that I can exit way before expiration. I've just heard things like, "Even if you're a penny over your short leg strike price by expiration, you get 100% of the gains EZ."

Nightkill02

SPY? KO? If you wheel on a comapny like hood you deserve to lose your ass

Impressive-Joke-3119

I have a single contract SPY call over the long weekend; hence SPY will go to 675.

MRROSADOH

So SPY full recovery Tuesday right?

Happy-n-Healthy

Damn SPY is down 15 points just like that? I haven't looked in a few days..

DH64

It better crash or moon soon. Just want SPY to pick a direction

Jadedtrader33

SPY

Asleep_Emphasis69

SPY +1.8% YTD SCHH (REIT etf) +9% YTD what. the. fuck.

seekChristnow

Focus on college and securing a decent job after graduation. Nowadays it’s not just graduate and walk into a nice office job, especially with AI. You should be researching internships or how to get a job over trading. You can still trade on the side with money you don’t mind losing but just know penny stocks are always a gamble. You’d probably feel better learning to swing trade ETFS like SPY/QQQ if you’re passionate about trading. But seriously, I’m not trying to knock you I’m just looking out for you. This time is crucial for you to set yourself up for stable income in the future. With stable income and investing, you could generate much safer and probably larger returns than penny stocks.

orangeyougladiator

SPY599 eow

Worried_Quarter469

stocks fell for the fourth week in five even as corporate earnings continued to beat analysts’ estimates. An S&P 500-tracking ETF (SPY) has lagged TLT by 2 percentage points since December, the worst start to a year in a decade.

lavenderviking

So SPY 350, QQQ 300 is where I’d be looking for a long entry

TrackEfficient1613

Honestly you could buy 50 shares of SPY and do nothing and you will have a 99% better chance of making a profit that what you are considering. There is something called “paper trading” where you learn to trade options without putting up real money. I would recommend to try that first!

JPowTheDayTrader

Terrible. Now if they choose RATM playing Bulls on Parade, SPY would moon to 1k.

Sad-Literature-5341

If the NFL would choose Iron Maiden to play the halftime show next year. SPY would fly to 800

Competitive-Elk9326

Sounds like the perfect time for you to diversify and buy SPY…… let me know if you do

EducationalMango1320

Haha, fair enough. But if you’ve got a decent position, that $0.96per share payout is going to buy you a lot more than just one SPY FD. Most of these checks are like $5, but for Under Armour, a 500-share position is a $480 bonus. That’s enough to blow on at least 20 FDs and *really* feel the pain in 8 minutes. Better to take the house's money than let the lawyers keep it lol.

WizardOfWires

Significant drop on SPY, QQQ, and DIA. Select semiconductor / SMH up during next 45 days.

Delicious_Put_5857

no, at the moment SPY/DXY is > cash/DXY. but not so sure that lasts.

ETFBro4DaWinz

So youd have beaten cash gang in SPY?

ChazHollywood

The SPY people told me it’s opening at 688 on Tuesday.

EyEmSophaKingWeTodEd

SPY peak at 6900 confirmed

JeNeSaisPasOuAller

If I'm reading the latest right, your clown administration seems to even be admitting now that Epstein arrests would bring it all down. Well, as a europoor I wonder if could you hurry it up a little? Imagine the glorious SPY Shrek dickening we'd get when some normalcy is reintroduced