SPY

Sea_Condition_6999

Won't happen. He doesn't really care where SPY is at. The important thing is the bond market. Once yields get close to 5% he has to something. I don't fully understand the bond market, but if that goes then it's really fucked.

inevitable_fallen

Whatever happens SPY will never go below 700 ever again.if we need another dip we need to go to 750 and dip to 710.

ThetaFarmingRegard

fact that the TACO dynamic is becoming so mainstream in trading and is conditioning the market that it won’t fail is…scary What if one of these days he doesn’t TACO and SPY goes to 200?

greenpride32

I don't see the point of comparing QQQ to DGRO - they have different investment objectives; one growth and one income. But QQQ absolutely crushes DGRO in return, so what does it matter on the SFV metric? You'd buy QQQ if you are young and don't need the money until decades out. You'd buy DGRO if you need your investments to generate income; typically for later in the life cycle. Also you can just buy RSP ETF (SP500 equal weight) if you are concerned about high concentration. Historically it's pretty close to SPY/VOO returns. But more recently with big gains from NVDA GOOGL AVGO, the weighted index has done better.

Necessary_Fly_9266

Premarket SPY drops 1%, TACO, boom SPY +1.5%

drbigtoe

every meme that gets posted like this adds +.01 to SPY on monday

Liquidtears

lol SPY to 800 eow

Micheal_Hancho

Been gay for a while now, but SPY went to 710

avdvetf

market will reach aths because it knows mango is cooked and eye ran won, the war is over, we're only waiting for the mango surrender see you guys at SPY 911

ElianaJones7

https://preview.redd.it/c4n3y6unmyvg1.jpeg?width=320&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ff46e5573218939b8d174ab4c3c99dc9cf6d5c6e SPY CALLS

avdvetf

market will reach aths because it knows mango is cooked and eye ran won, the war is over, we're only waiting for the mango surrender see you guys at SPY 911

demi9od

NVDA options. Super liquid and 1/3 the spot price of SPY. With the new SEC rule is basically as good as cash for broker dealer collateral, so you can treat it as a bond too lol

Micheal_Hancho

🙄 Fuck, again with this shit on the weekend? # SPY TO 720 NEXT WEEK

Beagle001

I guess that last min UVIX call and SPY put I grabbed will mitigate the damage a little on Monday.

avdvetf

c u guys at SPY 400

ChampionshipOdd947

Strait is officially closed again with ships getting attacked and Israel and Lebanon breaking their own ceasefire, with Israel attacking and killing a French soldier in southern Lebanon. This means only +1% on SPY on Monday instead of +2%

Financial_Fan1763

I feel my calls are safe right? SPY 1dte $715 😭

Small-Maintenance-65

!banbet SPY -2% 5d

orsomeshitidk

This shit tiresome bro. I hope 1/3rd of yall grow up after living through all this lmao. SPY is rigged they’ll keep it as pumped as they can through midterms.

stinker_pinky

Thinking SPY heads up to $777, then back down to $333

Initial_Ad_9250

See this 🌮 has at least one layer left bros. And that is US ending the blockade and Iran reopening it. SPY750 by EOM

wyudtix

A moment of silence for every regard that bought SPY calls at the top yesterday

CaterpillarSilent886

it's all survivor bias. Absolutely no one was talking about TSLA calls or SPY calls the weeks before

ChunkyBrownEye

the SPY QQQ.. buy puts with appropriate exipration dates..

dataCollector42069

i made about 6k last week on SPY puts while I got to enjoy buying Goog at 275 and AMZN at 199 lol

heyheyitsandre

26M. Currently I have 8 shares of DIA, 15 SPY, 17 XLK, 16 VXUS. 10k liquid in an emergency HYSA, usually leave about 3-4k liquid in checking. No type of debt of any kind for my fiancee or me. I earn about 85k gross, contribute 8%, company matches 6% and puts discretionary 2% into a Roth 401k as well. I get 100(64) shares every year plus my regular bonus so I get about 4-6k every February, too. I have a personal Roth IRA I haven’t touched in about a decade that I used to put all my money in when I was 16 working part time, about 8k in that last I checked. My fiancee and I are both in fortunate positions family wise where whenever our parents pass we should come into 4+ million dollars. So we won’t really need money by the time we are 60. I know maxing my personal Roth is probably best but I just think I should be trying to be a little more aggressive to maximize my net worth by age 40 or 45, rather than needing to make sure I can retire at 65. Should I be doing anything differently vs just pumping 2-3k into these ETFs whenever my checking acc starts to grow more than I need it to be? Are there any other ETFs I should be looking into? I feel like I tick all the industries with these but might be overlooking something. Also don’t know if there are any medium term bonds or something I’m not considering like that that are targeted to pay off in 20-25 years.

A55BAG

If the strait gets closed and opened again next week SPY could hit 780

I_am_Nerman

I was wondering why that $11 million in short dated SPY puts hit the wire right after the bell yesterday. Barron always knows.

SkepticalInvestor21

You're right that concentration of wealth creates market distortions, but be careful about jumping into "manipulation-proof" alternatives without understanding the tradeoffs. Crypto markets, for example, often get pitched as decentralized solutions but actually have *worse* manipulation problems - lower liquidity means whales can move prices with smaller amounts, and there's basically zero regulation. I've seen plenty of people lose money chasing "fair" markets that turned out to be even more rigged. The reality is that broad market index funds (VTI, SPY) are actually pretty hard to manipulate because they represent thousands of companies. Individual stocks? Sure, those can get pushed around. But if you're worried about billionaire manipulation, ironically the "boring" diversified approach is your best protection - it's really hard to manipulate the entire S&P 500. Focus on what you can control: diversification, low fees, and not chasing whatever's trending on social media.

__nameless____

War is back on the menu? Yeah, sure, SPY 750 on open

Financial_Fan1763

My SPY calls r soooo FK….. 🤬my bh got a heart beat 😭😭😭😭😭

Necroglitchh

I bought SPY puts on Friday evening.

Inevitable_Estate459

!banbet SPY 760 4w

MrMasterPP

!banbet SPY 735 2w

MrMasterPP

!banbet SPY 733 2w

MrMasterPP

!banbet SPY 730 2w

MrMasterPP

!banbet SPY 730 2 weeks

shindiggaa

SPY 720

MrMasterPP

!banbet SPY 730 EOM

jaypowwow

!banbet SPY 715.00 4D

Inevitable_Estate459

SPY 150 end of month

_rockthemike

Don’t get too excited about those puts. IRGC gunboats “fired upon” a ship. Crew and ship are safe. I think we chop a bit until full resolution, but don’t be like the guy who YOLO’d SPY 350 puts.

Bloo_Horseshoe

Keep your $10k and invest in money market. Then, when fhe market corrects, go long SPY

Daneish09

Why don’t you do 30 SPX instead of 300 SPY? Each SPX = 10 SPY and has better tax treatment.

cheesygordita

SPY 800 when the strait is open for 10 minutes next week

BeginnersDuck777

Wasn’t there like $6.6 billion in moves out of SPY?

VolcanicCupid69

Sold my 75 oxy calls a bit early it seems…. Did buy $3500 worth of SPY puts expiring Tuesday to hedge

king_of_all_retards

!banbet SPY 700 4d

Fit-Marionberry5248

Straight: Closed Israel: Firing shots like never before 🥭: Shitposting Jesus-pictures of himself JPow: Getting replaced  SPY? All time high👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽

FartPolluter

*... we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender, unless SPY drops like 8 bps ofc then we'll probably surrender tbh*

Inevitable_Estate459

Heard this the last 2 weekends and look how it turned out. SPY 720 next week.

Pale-Silver-8178

Anyone who BOUGHT USO calls going to be dummy rich come Monday is what I'd say if there wasn't the great TACO, so SPY 720, or am I wrong, bols?

_caraaaward

for smaller amounts SPY-tracking etfs like VOO or IVV have the same exposure but slightly different option chains. mini SPY options (XSP) are cash-settled and 1/10th the size which helps alot. if you're open to perps instead of leaps, markets.xyz runs 24/7 with index multipliers up to 50x.

Fhyzikz

SPY 730 by eow next week. Calls

Basic-Kale3169

!banbet SPY -5% 7 days

n8walker_ger

NFLX and AMC will produce a AI porn movie about opening the strait, titled SPY vs. SPY or 🥭 does Iran 

Time_Molasses_1581

Need SPY 680 on Monday. Thanks for your attention to the matter !

Basic-Kale3169

In the short term, a market is a zero sum game: which means if you want to make money, you have to take it from someone else. Right now, even the gayest bear is convinced of 🥭 being a 🌮. This is when a crash happens. Black Monday on the menu again 🖤 Please downvote to further prove my point. !banbet SPY -5% 7 days.

Sexy_Kumquat

My SPY calls https://preview.redd.it/6apjbiukqxvg1.jpeg?width=811&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8b369f865419006b64cc0a486f7c8d4bef92b741

Beret888

Futures have carry costs you pay the risk free rate to buy a future its embedded in the price, SPY or SPX or any non future doesn't have a carry cost

jasperCrow

Bers if you want your puts to print you need to be saying the opposite in here to trick the algos. Just spam “SPY 800 EOW” “full porting 0dte calls Monday morning”. Things like that.

Star_Lord924

Holding some SPY 710/712c. Figured why the fuck not. Scared money dont make money. Also have my 20c for sofi for 5/1.

Pazzaaaaaa

There’s a big difference between SPY at 670 vs SPY at 710

chiswis

at this point let’s just ignore everything SPY $800 on monday

LossMax

Bears just incase you get excited this weekend try to remember SPY opened -1.3% on Sunday and the strait was still not open. LOL

RunsaberSR

Nice. I didn't really hold any calls over the weekend and sat on cash. The market felt tired going into Friday then proceeded to make that insane move. I've stubbornly done weekend SPY call swings pretty often but didn't after that. 😅

No-Consequence-8768

SH/SDS/SPXS and others are 'Inverses' to Buy. YET, it is not 'Shorting'. Simply Short Sell SPY/VOO... Yet you need to understand Shorting, you pay The Dividends, you may pay a borrow fee(0 for SPY/VOO, unless with those 3rd rate brokers, IBKR/Hood,etc). ALL profits are taxed at Short term Gain(if in Taxable acct). You get Paid(or Pay) Daily with M2M accounting. Fees involved are Tax Deductable. Can Lose(owe) an Infinite amount, unless using Options. to much to explain.... GL

UnivalveX

the strait will "reopen" for the 4th time this week and SPY will pump to 750. thank you for your attention to this matter.

FatFluffyFish

And for mango’s next market trick: War on Cuba: SPY -3% Negotiations ongoing: SPY +15% ATH

Ahamadrayasbaboon

It was never 50/50. On average SPY goes up around 55% of sessions. The magnitude of those deflections also favors upside asymmetrically, and it gaps up more often than down. This is why that .55 probability is around .7-.9 on the year scale.  And then there is theta, further skewing odds by skewing payout breakeven odds. 

_cynicaloptimist

You can short SPY or VOO directly. You can do the same with MES or ES futures.

knoqd_

Straight is closed again? SPY +2% on Monday

spookendeklopgeesten

yes it will leave SPY one day.

cock_pussy

So, ships not running and not using oil. Puts on oil and Calls on SPY?

Iunatic

If Strait closes then reopens premarket Monday SPY will be up another 2%. Mango man's infinite money glitch.

1StunnaV

Yes. 0DTE SPY options

adventurer784

Good point on liquidity. The Hormuz normalization contracts had $14.6M in volume across Polymarket and Kalshi, so this wasn't a thin market getting pushed around by one trader. That's actually what caught my eye. The steady climb over 7 days with real volume behind it feels more like distributed conviction than a whale signal. On thinner contracts I'd definitely be more skeptical. Thinking second-order though, $14.6M is still nothing compared to oil futures generally / SPY. So there's kind of a circular reasoning I guess: if people started thinking the prediction markets were good leading indicators for the "real" markets, it'd be easy for someone with size to move the prediction market and then profit off the change in eg oil futures. Sigh

Rolling_in_the_Dip

!banbet SPY +0.5% 48h

xViscount

You have two ways to do this. 1. Buy out options. Idk your time frame, but if you think things are overvalued over the course of 2 weeks to 9 months, you buy put options. Those are options that think the market will go down. 2. The US markets that have ETFs that are widely traded are SPY (ETF for the S&P 500) and QQQ (ETF for the Nasdaq). Both options are viable for betting short

Rolling_in_the_Dip

!banbet SPY +1% 48h

419Penguins

Listen ur put wasnt a bad thing but if SPY is going up for 9 days straight, thats a trend. So it might stay up. It might go down but u have no guarantee however if the trend is bullish, well statistically ur at a disadvantage. It isn’t 50/50 anymore

Micheal_Hancho

SaaSypocolypse💅 = DeepSeek 2 🐳 Gay of hormuz 🏳️‍🌈 = Liberation Day 2 🇺🇸🌎 I think this means MSFT to 600 and SPY to 750 😎

Man_76

Why not SPX? 50 SPY ~= 5 SPX. 1256 section - 60% long-term capital gains tax treatment and 40% short-term capital gains tax treatment.

adventurer784

To say it another way, I'm unfortunately not currently located somewhere where I can use Polymarket OR Kalshi (not sure if there any others with meaningful liquidity). But I'm hooked on tracking the data, and I'm kicking myself for not using it as a signal to buy SPY.

MiddleMysterious459

1) Buy **SH (ProShares Short S&P 500)**. It is a -1X inverse ETF. Avoid leveraged (-2X, -3X) funds . 2) If you want a higher-reward "crash" play, buy **Long Puts** on SPY.

Low_Administration22

So much gains with people saying they sold, but SPY still ticked up at end. Weird week next week.

AdCritical5383

SPY 12k would be fucking crazy. Where do I sign up?

Dazzling_Marzipan474

Honestly just don't imo. It has very rarely paid off in the long run. Timing is the problem and it's very expensive to short. You need like a -5% move just to breakeven for 6 month SPY puts. Everyday it goes sideways you lose to theta -$55 for a 10k bet for 6 months on average. So it costs you $55/day just for the opportunity to short the market. Not even counting the other dollar or so you can get from the risk free rate.. You have to overcome, monetary expansion, automatic retirement buys, drip, corporate buybacks, and pay for it and get the timing right. Of course the market is stupidly overbought but there's no reason it can't continue. Good luck if you do though.

SexyBunny12345

Buy SPY puts

Elegant_Primary_7133

QQQ and IWM are your best bets both cheaper than SPY with solid liquidity. Just don’t go too cheap or you’ll pay for it in spreads

DoctorBaconite

Hopefully this helps make up for stupidly selling 3 SPY $700 03/17 CCs last Monday. I knew it was a bad idea and did it anyways so I kind of deserve it.

d33p7r0ubl3

VM what do you think SPY will do on Monday?

MartinMcFly55

25–4/17 expiry $700 lotto calls I bought on SPY Monday, because I convinced myself the market is being just irrational enough. Bought at .04, sold at .15 the same day, because I felt like a degenerate. _They went to $985 two days later._

Impressive-Trash382

With 300 contracts, you are a day trader who snipes. I'll bet that position was open less than 10 minutes. Swing trading 300 contracts of SPY, you account better be 400k already to back up risky moves like that.

stonketship

I think both sides want the war to end but neither knows how to do it without looking weak. 🇮🇱 will likely fuck up the ceasefire (heard they already did but havent confirmed) so curious how Iran will react to that. War back on may be enough for a red monday or SPY could be up 5% who tf knows anymore 🫠

Intelligent-You-6144

SPY700 calls at 630, 2mo..err...weeks out

QuickInvestIQ

I personally wouldn’t not buy an S&P 500 inverse ETF like some people have mentioned. These are not meant for long term holds. The beta slippage will erode the value of your position even if you are correct about the direction of the market. Buying SPY puts is probably the most effective way to short the overall market but be aware that there is both a time and volatility premium associated with them.

Hairy-Literature8672

1. Enable options in your trading platform. Accept disclaimers about risk. 2. Go to SPY and open the Options Chain during trading hours. 3. Buy to Open 10k worth of put options with strike price close to whatever market price is at that time, and make sure the expiration is 3-6 months from now. You'll notice the cost to you is 100x the price you see on the screen, per contract. So 1 contact for 5.00 is $500. In this example, you'd buy 20 contracts for 10k. 4. Cross your fingers and take profit or cut losses anytime before expiration during market hours by clicking Sell to Close. Good luck!

bikkhu42

!banbet SPY 620 1w

CultofCedar

Shit straight cooked this week for me. Bought BULL on a whim with some SPY calls earlier in the week and now I’m picking up a Leica and lens tomorrow. Easy pocket money. I love this casino.