Reddit Posts
The Nasdaq 100's valuation premium over the S&P 500 is near a 9-year low. Is tech actually expensive anymore?
I Trade for a Living - Why I’m Buying Dips After the Forced Buying is Over and More DD on Gold and Liquidity
SPY predictive dashboard with ChatGPT contd. not financial advice just for fun
While I Profited a Couple Hundred….this is the worst loss I’ve ever experienced
YOLO: SPY 7900 by Friday. I’m all in on 7850 Calls,
I Trade for a Living - What Comes After the Rally & the “Hidden QE”
SPY at $774 in overnight trading
Experiment: 1 month, SPY ODTE closest to $X (up to 100), buy at specific time T_buy and sell at T_close constantly fixed over the time. Can alternate between put or a call. What are your suggestions for X, T_buy and T_close?
Question: How do passive index funds like VTI, VOO, SPY, ETC., work?
SPY at ATH ($773) with 40 minutes to go
Racking up 100% trading options day after day adds up to big money
I Trade for a Living - Here’s My Setup for Semis, SPY and QQQ
Made $200 Off PUTS on SPY’s Most Bullish Day
SPY at unsustainable levels. Could go a hair higher. The maco situation does not support a forever run.
Deconstructing 0DTE Option Losses: Traders Freeze During Intraday Volatility Surges
Why the actual fuck is SPY pushing ATHs this week?
UPDATE #6: I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
UPDATE #6: I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
Why $TT is going to 10x your degenerate portfolio: The Great Heat Wave Shortage of 2026 DD
delta hedging and your returns - community research pt8
There’s no way these ppl at simpler trading make money
Gamma setup into next week — SPY’s pinned in deep positive gamma, $AMD $PLTR Earnings
SPY closed the week in the deepest positive gamma I've seen in a while (IV ~9%)
UPDATE #5: I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
UPDATE #5: I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
UPDATE #5: I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
UPDATE #5: I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
SPCX: from "new space age" to a measuring stick for the AI bubble
Just when your puts expire worthless the market tanks
SPY hitting us with the middle finger EOD
$326 -> $78 -> $16,619 in less than 96 trading hours (over 213x from low point)
1DTE option held overnight SPX went up .75% but I still LOST money
Solid week: Up over 3,000% on SPY/SPC 0DTE calls and puts, cashing out
Update: Now $502 -> $5,741 in 6 trading days + looking like I'll double if the market opens where it's at
Generational lock in. 15k-6000-45k-700-15k-2.5k(now) next week 100k
Even with SPY jumping up 0.65%. TSLA still stayed red 😂📉
Yea, I'm thinking I'm back. $502 -> $4,369 in a week doing SPY 0DTE trades
I lost 3k in stocks and options, how do I come back from this?
You guys are down how much? SPY is barely off the highs
Chips vs. SPY: SMH +46.89% and SOXX +64.66% YTD — The Performance Gap Is Widening
The Democrat focused fund DEMZ was featured in the New York Times on Friday
HYG Just Broke Down From a 3-Month Triangle Consolidation. Is the Equity Market Next?
A true degen day: $326 -> $906 after dropping below $100 3 separate times
$SPY 0DE Gains - Claude Bot Making Me Money Now
Stocks tank yesterday, Trump account funded…coincidence?
I'd give anything to go back and never try trading.
I'd give anything to go back and never tried trading
$214K USD Value In Shares Yolo $AMPG | 36,200 Shares @ 5.90 Cost Basis
Mentions
Whenever we talk meme, SPY drops heavy.
mango realized he didn't have to fudge the job numbers to make the SPY go up
Can someone wake up SPY and let them know the market is open
holy shit, SPY is dead as fuck off the open
**BanBet Lost** — /u/old_copper_kettle (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $776.14 → $790.00 | +1.8% | 2d | Lost |
It’s what happens when SPY flatlines for a couple of days
3.25 is fair price for end of day. Edit: On SPY
HTZ dont care about SPY
All I gotta say is SPY to the moon baby
The St realizing the economy is going to the shitter? Normally this is a +1% on SPY
Jeff Bezos I know ur reading this. I want you to take SPY to the fookin moon big daddy. I want you to 4x, no 5X the price of SPY today… please I know you can do it Mr. Bezos
SPY -2% and I’ll go to the library and scream while shitting on the table.
Alright I was just joking SPY & QQQ we don't actually have to dump b/c of the jobs report
Need SPY to make a healthy pullback, or there won't be a Christmas this year.
Monkey bought SPY calls yesterday because monkey was told stock usually goes up on Friday. Monkey was right. Monkey about to make some money. Monkey happy. Monkey about to eat good tonight
-1m jobs, 90% unemployed ... SPY 100,000
Why is SPY pumping. Make it make sense!
One thing that would change how I read that chart. A lot of the S&P side of the comparison is the same stocks. Something like 86 of the Nasdaq 100's names are also in the S&P 500, and roughly 87% of what QQQ holds is already inside SPY. The Mag 7 on its own is about 34% of the S&P now. So the spread can compress without any stock re-rating at all. If those names keep taking weight in the S&P, its multiple drifts toward the Nasdaq's as arithmetic. That is a third option alongside your two, and it needs neither tech getting cheaper nor everything else getting dearer. Before concluding anything I would run the same comparison against the equal weight S&P instead of the cap weighted one, or against the S&P with the top 10 taken out. If the premium is still near a nine year low there, something real happened to relative valuations. If it is not, the chart is mostly telling you how concentrated the S&P got.
My SPY call is back to life
Wait why do I suddenly get the HTZ graph instead of SPY?
**BanBet Won** — /u/Mental-Revenue-4213 (1W - 0L, 100%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $768.85 → $773.00 | +0.5% | 21h 12m | Won |
That would imply 74+% of the market being tech if the growth is only in tech; if not still likely at least 70%+. That ain’t plausible in any way shape or form. SPY would also need to reach nearly 2k.
I don't think QQQ vs SPY is really a valuation question anymore, it's more of a concentration one. between how top-heavy SPY already is and how much overlap there is with the Nasdaq 100 names, picking one over the other isn't really diversifying away from tech, it's just choosing how much extra you're layering on top.
SPY I’m so sorry I doubted you, these calls are ITM BAAABBBYYYY
I have a hunch this is the last SPY pump day for awhile. The may get silly with it, lol.
You’re trying to tell me that the 5% pump on SPY and QQQ that directly started the day after fed didn’t raise rates was in no way pricing in probability of rate hikes going down and was STILL mispriced by nearly 1%?
Chat, why is QQQ and SPY pumping? Any good news?
USD dropping like a rock rn. You might gain 0.3% on SPY today or something, but that's just your currency that lost value.
Congrats to all you unemployed tards! SPY thanks you!
What to do with my SPY 800c I bought on Wed?
Everyone talking about HTZ but also missing out the pump on SPY
I bought one SPY put just to make sure the market go up today
SPY dumping, time to full port into HTZ
Same I saw it at 1.85 my degen ass decided let me buy some SPY calls instead 🫠
Hoping in SPY calls today. I’m thinking 775 strike in 2 weeks
I'm sure that today the algos will let SPY break away from the 769/671 range #real #trust
I bought puts yesterday, you better buy some SPY 790c
the HTZ play makes me feel sensible buying 0DTE’s on SPY
SPY stuck between 768-771 all week. At least HTZ will be fun no matter what happens
I used. Literally ALL. Of my money on SPY puts & NVDA puts. I have 96 hours to know whether or not I should start applying for a second job.
okay now i’ve finished jacking off it’s time to load up my SPY 0DTE’s and my cases of beer 👌
Believe it or not, SPY 8000
The relative premium has clearly compressed a lot. That part is true. The open question is whether tech actually got cheaper or the rest of the market just caught up in valuation. A smaller gap doesn’t automatically mean QQQ is a bargain in absolute terms. I still lean toward having exposure to both. SPY for the broader market and some QQQ (or similar) for the growth/quality side, rather than treating it as an either/or decision. The old “tech is ridiculously expensive vs everything else” argument is definitely harder to make now.
Concentration is high, so my question would be at what percentage of SPY would tech be overvalued? It is around 37% I believe
QQQ vs SPY is basically growth vs diversification. Depends what problem you're trying to solve
Only two likely possibilities here at the index level. Either we get a proper breakout with extreme overbought conditions taking is into the SPY $800+ range BEFORE the midterms which sets up some kind of 5-10% correction. Or we just go sideways. The sell off will never happen at these SPY levels. Earnings have grown 29% and estimates are rising. The dollar is shit and the broader market is up barely 12%. That just means another 2-3 months of sideways without a proper extreme greed and extreme RSI signal. Tdlr; trying to short the index here is dumb
What's your thoughts for today on SPY?
people buy SPY for 10% year, I buy HTZ for 20% in like 12 hours. We are not the same.
Hahaha look at that shitty meme HTZ dumping then theta cocking like SPY
What kind of prediction is that lmfao. “SPY will MAYBE hit 800 by 2080!! Guys I swear, it MIGHT be possible!”
Lmao did they seriously replace the SPY chart with HTZ on the wsb thing?
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $777.00 (above) | $771.50 | $770.07 | +0.7% | 23h 33m |
**BanBet Lost** — /u/Delicious_Roof_4154 (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $770.97 → $777.00 | +0.8% | 1d | Lost |
I feel like that SPY is gonna move up and down for a bit then theta and fuck everyone , maybe even dump a bit at the end and Monday it will shoot up again after the usual Donny stuff
Any SPY or QQQ plays today?
**BanBet Lost** — /u/BradleyStickland (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $771.20 → $773.18 | +0.3% | 1d | Lost |
Ready for another day or gamma pin on SPY. Shit won't break 772.
Perfect. Big green candle on SPY big red on AAPL because both of those hurt me. Thx
SPY really bounced off Leopold’s liquidation and hit ATH’s lol
Well, today is the day. I'm about to blow up for the second time. Unless SPY magically drops 1% reap what I saw for having the audacity of being bearish
IV crush is very much a thing, and it's probably the most expensive lesson in options that nobody explains until after you've paid for it. Earnings dates get priced in way ahead of time, so by the time you're actually holding through the report, a huge chunk of the option's price is just "the market expects a big move here" — and the instant that uncertainty resolves (earnings happen, move happens or doesn't), that premium evaporates even if you were directionally right. You can be correct on direction and still lose money because the move wasn't bigger than what was already priced in. Cheaper way to learn this one is to just track IV on a name into earnings a few times before actually putting money on it. On the sizing question — going from $1k fixed to 5% of total isn't really "increasing proportionally," it's compounding variance on top of variance. 0DTE SPY has enough swing on its own; scaling the bet size up with the account means the good days get better and the bad days get proportionally worse at the exact same time your account is smaller and has less room to absorb a bad stretch. Fixed size actually protects you more than % sizing does in a strategy with this much day-to-day variance, not less. The Micron run is a wild chart regardless of what happens next.
What ticker do you trade BNO or USO looking to get into oil options but I don’t know a whole lot about them. Been trading SPY tech and semis.
Ok so he bought 45 options contracts at 3 cents 135$ with a 48 hour expiration date, the stock spy at the time that day was going down, so he got them at 3 cents, the next day it pump 3% which sounds low but is a decent pump for the stock, the reason the contract was 3 cents is it looked like the next day would be red, turned out to be green went up 3% he sold his contract at a much higher rate, someone who bought 3.5 million in SPY paid him 10k to buy at 768 when the stock was likely at 771, so they both made money. Very rare event, you can usually get 20% returns on options or lose your money sometimes you can make double and 1% of the time you yolo it on a crazy bet like stocks going up while they are currently going down and get 500x lol
Anyone have faith SPY can go down today? 🥲
**BanBet Lost** — /u/DipSniper69 (1W - 4L, 20%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $769.79 → $762.09 | -1.0% | 1d | Lost |
Tech is not 37% of SPY how much more could it reasonably be before it is overvalued?
It's more so I think people would have a better grasp of themselves what their actual limits are. I only do shares/leaps. I'm beating SPY handedly but still down 33% from ATH. Does it make me a better investor? No, but I at least feel confident in my boundaries and my limits, at least compared to the common WSB'er. As much as we make the joke where some hits it big and considers themselves the next WB, it does happen a lot. I think someone making a gamble and chewing through 5% of their account might teach people to be a little more humble and maybe a little less likely to panic sell when they are in the red.
Many of them will borrow against their stocks (i.e., start SBLOCs) for their consumption and will only have to sell in case of a margin call. The larger holders will do trust stacking, with their trusts slowly diversifying/chipping away their stock. The regular selling will start with newer employees' RSU vesting. The truth is, many newly startup-stock-rich people (10M+ SPCX) have never done anything more than a bit of 401k contributions and Robinhood trading. Many of them will likely be very unsophisticated, just like lottery winners are. How many lottery winners buy a diversified SPY/SCHD to last a lifetime over a luxury car and a yacht? Surprisingly few.
Aheads up, the guy that bought SPY calls today that made it DUMP here, making everyone aware I purchsed HTZ shares so prepare once again for the impending DUMP.. Thank you for your attention to this matter..
Day two of begging SPY to do ANYTHING! Up, down, I DONT CARE DO SOMETHING PLEASE THIS IS SO BORING
People are so much better at SPY than me.
If SPY hits 776 tomorrow I will taste my own cum for the first time ever
Options give you the right to buy (calls) or sell (puts) a stock at a certain price (the strike price. This guy bought 45 contracts for just 3 cents a piece with a $768 strike. Each contract gives him the legal right to buy 100 shares of SPY at $768 a share, regardless of what the actual market price of SPY ends up at. When he opened this contract, SPY was at ~$740 with only 3 days till expiration. So if the price of SPY stayed under $768 for 3 days, he loses whatever he spent in the contracts ($135) but nothing more. If it goes over $768, the contracts gain a massive amount of value. Say it closed at $770, he gains $2 per share and remember the contract “controls” 100 shares. With 45 contracts, his gain is $2 x 4500 shares, or $9000. So in short, your intuition is correct in thinking that he should have more money at risk to make such a massive gain. The reason the market priced these contracts so cheaply is that there was almost no chance of them paying out. In other words, if he made this same play 100 times, he would probably lose 99 times, and lose money over all or at best break even. He just got very very lucky.
The problem with FD’s hitting is you’ll never be able to look at prices for things the same way again. “5 dollars for a burger? That could’ve been $1500 if I put it on SPY this morning.”
Yo mama's ass So flat her nickname is SPY
SPY tomorrow? ODTE? Friday Lottos? whats the worddddd
SPY, I'm asking you to show some respect for these lines I randomly drew on a chart 😔
“You simply sell the 100 SPY.” Yeah that’s not how it works if you don’t have the money. If you have the $77,000 to buy 100 shares, then yes, you can simply instantly sell and just eat the cost of any price difference. However, if you do not have $77,000, your broker still forces you into the purchase. Imagine your account only has $20,000 of assets. A forced $77,000 purchase would put you into a deficit of $57,000, well above the $20,000 of margin your broker will loan you, which mean they’ll automatically liquidate your positions in a forced margin call. If you do not have the funds to cover the SPY shares and it is significantly more than what your account value is, you’ll wake up to a share-less account that was liquidated by force, and a debt balance to cover the difference.
SPY puts, the S&P routinely drops aggresively off its highs after a day or two.
Bitcoin is dead. Its over. It has zero value, has trailed SPY and the quantum hack threat killed it.
Yeah dude, I actually used to spend a lot of time here. Made a lot of money then lost it in covid. Since then I'm still doing crazy shit by most people's standards but it's probably not retarded enough to really be of interest to people here. I came back to this sub because I saw the 1%+ candle and thought there may be some funny stories going around I made my self a synthetic unweighted Spy-esc portfolio by buying roughly equal amounts of something like the top 200 SPY stocks, then leveraged about 4x using Box Spreads. Not sure how this is allowed but so far my broker hasn't complained 🤷♀️ But yeah dude, everything for me is now about Fee and tax reduction. I take as much risk as I can, and I won't ever pay any tax. I believe he box spread "losses" even offset dividends. The last major play before this I did was leveraging 10x on futures with the intention to buy and roll and hold forever. Made 100k, lost it when Putin invaded Ukraine and then got hit with a 16k tax bill because I lost it in March and I made it the year before. After that, I think differently about this shit. And you should too now that you have a sizable position.
bought 45 contracts of SPY 768c for 3 cents each and turned it into 10 grand. this is either the luckiest man alive or the protagonist of a gambling anime
SPY tbh cause everything else is regarded rn
**BanBet Lost** — /u/poopy_wizard132 (1W - 1L, 50%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $769.79 → $763.75 | -0.8% | 1d | Lost |
SPY will not have another green day until Nov 20th when my call options expire.. Thank you for your attention to this matter..
Besides my HTZ position the rest of my port is in SPY 758p for 8/11
Good or bad Jobs report and SPY tanks 2%
I got SPY coming down anyone else?
Imma Kospi hands my way out of these SPY calls
"The OCC will post an unsettled trade of 100 SPY shares to your account, and will expect $77,000 in your account" . . . . you simply sell the 100 SPY. Sure, it can open the next day below 770 and you'll have to make up the difference, but it has nothing to do with "If your stocks are not doing so well".
NVDA and SPY flat lining wyd is going on bro