SPY
State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust
Mentions (24Hr)
-75.00% Today
Reddit Posts
11K paper hands... 30 seconds later could have been 30k more.
AI Demand Holds Firm, Treasury Yields Retreat, OPEX
Can someone explain or poke a hole my future strategy
Scalping SPY options paid off for once, so today I quit Wendy's and kicked my wife's boyfriend out of the house.
Q4 Bull Case Holds, Bonds Push Back Against Hot CPI, TSMC Reinforces AI Demand
ATOS - Old dog, upcoming catalyst, trading near cash
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
CPI Sets Up Potential for a Squeeze, ASML Reinforces the AI Bull Case
Does dealer gamma actually predict next-day SPY range? I measured 60 days of it
CPI, Earnings and the return of the corporate bid
SPY on Friday had the lowest daily volume since Dec. 24th 2019 (and that was a half day).
New paper: an AI options trader made 18.3% in 6 months, until researchers let it read the news
Wave Theory Levels for SPY & NVDA (Week Ending Oct 9)
Investment thesis for trading week 10/13 - 10/16
Anyone else trade SPX broken-wing butterflies? Here’s the structure I use
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
I have 11k in stock and I am 20 years old. Where do I invest?
November 16th 2026: An urgent News bulletin declares the Russian Plague has reached our border (I'm holding SPY puts).
Let 2 $SPY options expire accidentally at a wedding
Lost close to $5000 of capital and need help
PCE came out as outlined in yesterday's write-up, MU Earnings Review and a More Bullish Q4 Setup
Calling BS on the fake peace deals and economic data - SPY
Expectations for PCE, MU Earnings and a Dovish Williams Repricing Rates
Wanting to buy LEAPS calls, but the stock market doesn't look good
Pension Funds Are Selling $32B of U.S. Equities But the Setup Is Improving
Iran Headlines, 19 Fed Speakers and Quarter-End Flows Put SPY Under Pressure
My portfolio strategy for this week is foolproof
Seeing the premarket bounce, I kept averaging down SPY 0DTE Calls.
The Art of Chasing Rallies: Does Buying That Gap Up at Open *Actually* Work?
The Art of Chasing Rallies: Does Buying That Gap Up at Open *Actually* Work?
The Market Is Starting to Hedge a Fed Reversal
[Data Post] SPY's option-implied probability of being up in a month is at the 94th percentile since
I Was Too Cautious Yesterday, But I’m Not Chasing
S&P 500 is near all-time highs, but the average stock tells a very different story
My Iron Condors got absolutely racked today
Sold my SPY Call at open like a moron
The PDT rule is literally just a poverty tax
20 SPY 0 dte options were sold automatically at 3:57 enough though I was actively monitoring
OPEX, September Weakness and the Setup Into October
I'm out. 100% into 5%. Bubble vibes are too mucho no bueno!
Fed Preview - What Options, Bonds and Positioning Are Telling Us
The Warsh Effect and Wednesday's Rate Announcement
I stopped choosing SPY put spreads by delta alone
Mentions
I just know we will be testing 774 on SPY next week sometime and 726ish on QQQ. Just like when we reached ATH last week and everyone was so sure it would come back to the 760s well here we are. See you back at the top. Play accordingly
84% of SP500 stocks 10% or more from ATH, 47% are more than 30% from ATH. SPY being held up by a few big names, the correction already happened it just isnt showing yet
holy shit that's creepy af 🤣 SPY to 0 confirmed
If you had put your $50k tesler roadster deposit into SPY back in 2017 you'd have almost $200k today, but instead you have still no tesler roadster
Cyber stalking means SPY 780 Monday
Black Monday is canceled, we might instead get a 1% bounce $SPY Every Monday crash was AFTER the market was falling 1987 — Dow was already -17% off its peak 1929 — already -21% off the peak 2008 — already -40% off the 2007 high The big red day was the middle of the collapse, not the start. The real resemblance is October 2025 — SPY was ~3% off its ATH, just like now. If it repeats, Monday gives us a +1% bounce. Not a Black Monday
On Monday we get a small recovery into open, on open we dump a little bit to trap the bears, then recover all day back to SPY 770.
Under 100%? I was late for the move and still managed to hit 700% on SPY
Random Iranian guy, Pakistani guy and Omani guy walk into a bar. SPY +3%
No one in their right mind that has been invested for the past 5 years but especially for the past decade should keep a substantial amount of their port in stocks here. Imagine profiting so insanely off one of the greatest bull runs in history, with so much market manipulation, cash injection, hype and mania needed to get here and you dont take these ill gotten profits. Like that level of greed is insane, I sold most of what I had near SPY 700 the first time and just been playing options since and Im very happy to continue doing so until the market becomes a place for sound long term investments based on financials and boring stuff again. The gains in the last 7 years since covid have been extraordinary and uncharacteristic, anyone that remains searching for even more and even higher and asserts that the market will literally never stop doing what it has been is so greedy its unreal.
> You can't buy "substantially identical" stocks or it would trigger a wash sale. So what do you buy? There are a few things being mixed together. The "substantially identical" and wash sale issue typically refers to *funds.* Like VOO, IVV, and SPY; all S&P 500 tracking ETFs. Those would probably be considered substantially identical, whereas a total US market fund and S&P fund are *highly correlated in price movement* but not identical for composition. Individual stocks themselves aren't substantially identical, other than maybe some edge cases I haven't considered. Exxon and Chevron are in the same industry, similar-ish market cap in the grand scheme of things, but they're still two totally separate companies. I can't speak to the rule sets in place in the major brokerages and how their tax loss harvesting engines work. How they decide to sell X holding and buy Y, and what subset of say a US large cap index. I can say though that the results can be substantial. Last year I had ~9% of the account size in harvested losses while tracking the S&P.
Since covid I basically just bought whatever triple leveraged stock was beat down the most during down periods - TQQQ, FNGA (FNGU now), TECL, SOXL, and sold once it got close to previous ATHs and sat in something boring like SPY to ride out any more potential gains. Although I'll admit this last bull run has caught me off guard rising to higher ATHs while real trouble is brewing. I just want a good re-entry point into one of the leveraged stocks again lmao
go ahead and invest in SPY. u got about 2-3 atocks holding things up right now while 60-70% of stocks are down since august 👍
Who thinks the market is crashing when SPY is 2.5% off its ATH?
$780-800 SPY, maybe we roughly established the new ATH
You said, “More people don't do it because the wheel underperforms buy and hold.” I sellputsthencalls vs SPY in my IRA. When SPY goes through the roof, the wheel DOES underperform B&H of SPY. And that is, & MUST BE, the compromise of the wheel. But in the other 4 outcomes - up modestly, flat, down modestly & into the tank - the strategy has a very good chance of beating B&H. Very importantly, when B&H goes into the tank, the wheel generally also loses, but loses less. Because of these “other 4 outcomes,” I continue to sellputsthencalls.
If the daily reset is that bad, why do all of the charts have the exact same structure as the underlying asset? Compare SPXL to SPY, if you buy and hold at any point and simulate it, you still would make a higher return, the trade off is the volatility
SPY calls at open, no hyperbole
Agreed. I tried anyway. All last week I tried to warn people, not that they should sell everything and run away, but that the tech heavy SPY was getting ready to roll over and it was the AI trade that was decelerating. I brought clear & concise evidence that was the case. In response few took it seriously and engaged in conversation about it. The majority simply lob insults. "broke boi" "doomer" "moron" etc. Anything to not examine the evidence...since it makes them feel some kind of way. sigh.
Tsmc, asml and micro dropped due to the news that China is going to flood the market with cheap rams. It was the same reaction when deepseek came out and google and nvidia dropped. Over reaction to hot air. I don’t have any position in tsmc, asml and mu. Bought some SPY yesterday.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/nocashflow_ (0W - 2L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $779.17 → $795.00 | +2.0% | 5d | Lost |
I aint saying i love gambling but if SPY decides to open and move to 773-774 on Monday i would be a happy boy
SPY less than 3% from ATH and all I see is people talking about a crash lol
I think it gets worse next week yeah. About another 5% left to go down on QQQ and SPY could start going down too. Then yeah after midterms I also expect a rally
Heads up Starting Monday mega caps and index ETFs options like $SPY $QQQ will have extended trading hours. 7:30 a.m. and 9:25 a.m. ET and 4:00 p.m. to 4:15 p.m. ET.
Were SPY calls and CRWD puts a good idea or na
**BanBet Lost** — /u/ashdbs (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $778.57 → $801.93 | +3.0% | 5d | Lost |
There's too many people confident that market will go down next week. So it will go up by 5% next week. SPY 800
I have lost $30,000 since liberation day in my one account. I have lost maybe another $15k maybe in other accounts. Every time I think about it I brake down out of shame. Before the chip stocks really started going bananas I had developed a system that was working well. Not huge gains, just enough where I was considering making a day job of it. As stocks blew up with the Ai craze my success rates went down. The last 9 months or so have been so brutal that whatever I was putting money into would reverse immediately. I could take a small loss and it would reverse back or I could try to wait it out and the losses wouldnt stop until I sold, at which point the security or option would reverse. I tried selling calls and puts and everything is so volatile that the option would go ITM and then close to break even. So I would roll out the option and the stock would go the other way. Id lose premium until it wasnt worth doing. Even today - the constant downward SPY trend - i buy one little just OTM put and that is exactly when the reversal started. I had VOO shares slowly losing money for hours so I dumped them and IMMEDIATELY after it there was a $1 spike. These are all small losses but they have added up. I know I over trade but like I said, what I buy starts losing money until I sell. I have been trying to scalp a bit here and there. I’m down to $56k in my retirement. Im about to be 47. If I had never touched my accounts I’d be doing alright for my age. If I think about all the losses I want to kill myself. I put $19,000 in a target retirement plan but Id be losing even more if I had all my money in that. Now I feel like I have to trade to make enough for retirement. Had I done better I was going to take a small early distribution to help fund a divorce so I could escape my awful marriage. I am considering doing a YOLO trade or two but I would off myself if it didnt work out and I am not quite ready to put myself in that position yet. Also, I’d hate to blow that money when I could just leave it for my family. The market has turned into one big suicide machine. I don’t know what happened - i cannot figure out why I became so fucking bad at this. I have wasted so much time. I dont know what to do or how to bounce back. People do it all the time here. The “cursed” feeling has killed my risk tolerance. If anyone is still reading this I could use some advice.
Y’all wanted the pullback, here ya go. All these sideline investors missing gains all year lol SPY (2026 dips) in March $631, June $726, Jul $729, Sept $754…… today $761 SPY will break $800 on next rally.
> I luckily make 10K a month after tax wth my job that I am thankful for, but I am so embarrassed with myself as I have no investments or savings at 33. Well then just don't do this dumb shit again and in a few years you'll have it all saved up again, this time in SPY or ETFs like a sane person. Nothin to cry about just learn a lesson from this
You don’t get from 0 to 1.1m in 7 years through SPY homie lol
Some more context, there's no real magic. Since my window is SO small you can kind of feel if it's going to bounce around. SPY/QQQ tends to bounce off round numbers so if i see it heading towards one I'll set a buy at where the option is likely to be when it's close, take the quick win. I'm always watching the 9EMA first and i'll get puts or calls depending on it's current move up or down when it tests the 9EMA. I've been thinking of how to automate w/ AI and i'll try it eventually but so far it's too much of a "feel".
Why wouldn’t you just put the money in VOO or SPY???
SPY is down 2.5% from ATH and we get posts like these, lmao
It's you, the CFO. I've been meaning to talk to you about my damn SPY calls refund. 🤨
eh the Lehman comp gets thrown around too easily imo, but the circular financing point from Nepalus is the real tell. when the hyperscaler is simultaneously the lender, the customer, and the equity holder propping up its own suppliers, you've basically recreated monoline insurer math from 08 with extra steps. doesn't mean systemic blowup, Nvidia's balance sheet isn't AIG, but it does mean the equity story and the credit story are the same trade now, and nobody's pricing that correlation risk properly. fwiw I trimmed some long-dated SPY calls into this, not because I think it's 2008 but because a 2% day on debt headlines tells you how thin the risk premium cushion actually was.
Stop gambling and get a plan. DCA and hold VOO or SPY. https://preview.redd.it/5l6zcxdxbxvh1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dabe1d834bf209fc1540c8fcbeebcd203c028d93 I sold this for profit later but know it would be worth 40k more now. Get a good entry and plan the exit. Then rinse and repeat. 🔁 Stay away from MEME stocks and garbage.
I need SPY at 780 by end of this week dawg
anyone have SPY guestimates for next week? 755?
says the person insulting me while I never did so, lmao. Anyway I am not even sure how I am supposed to believe you 20x a million dollars account unless you took insane risks. RSP return was 0.34% over the past 5days and that's what you r suggesting me? LMAO 🤌 The real play was noticing that 325 stonks in SPY were red over the past 3months (avg ret -11%). Market simply started rotating on October1st (very convenient day) from leadership into broad, from winners into losers. I've told you bonds and stonks that behave like bonds were a good play and they got an amazing week, while RSP is basically flat. Next week could be different, maybe I buy the dip on AI, maybe I don't, I already reduced some of my exposure to the boring names. and still, I didn't time the market. I simply said "AI stonks here are not good for me, I prefer to buy low risk shit" and guess what happened... TLT is up 3% this week, 7 consecutive green days, huge volume. Just admit you were wrong. Doesn't mean bonds can't go higher next week and tlt crash... but I explained you my reasons and seems people agreed for this week.
Yo, SPY still dropping... what am I going to do?
Omg so jelly i took a loss today because i made terrible SPY bets
NVDA, AMD, Meta up for month. So is SPY.
You’re dumb, have you considered the fact that not everybody is in SPY?
97% still winning. MSCI South Korea national ETF still up +71.19% year over year as of close today. Most of their long term wealth is the equivalent of VOO-and-chill, so yeah, could you imagine SPY being up 71%, even today? They've still good and things are going to have to unwind a lot further before families start locking in gains.
SPY is 2% off all time highs and bears have already crawled out of their Wendy’s dumpsters claiming victory 🤣🤣
At OP’s age, he’s better off 100% in SPY.
Bull markets climb a wall of worry, and this wall is a big one. SPY tagged its 50-day, but the trend is still up and credit isn't cracking. Railroads, electricity and the internet all looked like bubbles too, and they still made the world richer. Bears get to be right for a day; bulls get to be right for a decade. 🚀
SPY doesn't stop bleeding either it's like tf is happening
What is this bs oversold SPY nonsense in AH was the dump today not enough!?!
Honestly OP - that's probably the right move. First standard deviation on SPY leaps is between 6 and 9000 and if you land on the downside of that it wrecks your monte Carlo retirement sim. Stocks recover but you may be working an extra 10 years. Nice knowing you, now head on over to the retirement subs and talk about bond ladders, annuities, rmds and tax optimization strategies
Market expecting something big to happen in the Middle East. USO looks like a perfect inverse of SPY. Hopefully nothing happens.
Just have to put $100 a week in SPY shares like the normies now.
Glad it helped. One more thing worth checking before you decide: your broker's assignment rules, since early assignment on a call can happen around ex-dividend dates even when it's out of the money. If you still want to try it, paper trade a few cycles or backtest against plain SPY first so you can see how often you'd have been called away and what the after-tax difference looks like.
Physical precious metals 15% BTC 5-10% 5+% 10 year treasury 25% 65% cash until the crash when you are ready to jump back into SPY or the market in general or into property or land
Anyone wanna guess with me what the SPY ends up bottoming out to? I guess 758.
I step away for a few days and SPY is fucking nuking itself and everyone is fucked. What the fuck happened?
SPY is what, 3% off ATHs? Worried for this sub lol
i just sat and watched 2 MNQ longs bleed out another 3k today for no reason, no stops. i was too busy also losing money scalping SPY to realize i should sell, until my buying power was approaching 0. enabling futures was a mistake
SPY goes 2% from ATH and everyone loses their fucking mind.
Realistically where does SPY drop after AI trade ripples through big tech? SPY 650?
tech down 20% SPY down 2% not sure I agree with your policework
SPY 800 EOY, say it again Tom
The only valid play today tbh. That, or SPY puts
SPY is a whopping 9% up from last year October highs. We are in a clear bubble Cant wait for the same cinema that we had this spring. Bers ya have been warned 🦅
Weekly SPY calls to the balls. This has to stop falling eventually, right, right, right....????
Weekly SPY regime score: +3.0 (late bull, down from +3.5) Every Friday I score SPY on trend, VIX, breadth, credit and oil, plus or minus one point each. If SPY closes under its 40-week or 10-month average, it drops a band no matter what. Trend: 763, way above the 40-week (726). The bull is alive. VIX: 20.11, so −1. Twenty cents over the line. Breadth: fine. Shockingly, it's not just 7 stocks. Credit: HYG under its 200-day, −1. Oil: Brent at 109.6. One close above $110 and it's another −1. Levels: sellers at 776–782, the dip-buy zone at 762–770 (we closed at 763), then 757, then a low-volume gap from 751 to 756. TL;DR: The bull is tired, semis are down 8 days straight, oil's flirting with $110, and the Fed is Oct 28. Size like you might be wrong. Not financial advice.
Everybody have fun today? We got a nice ski lift SPY chart.
Reminder that SPY only $18 below ATH. Skill issue.
tbf SPY is ATH but single stonks are pretty much all beaten down
Because its selling off with everything else on AI fears because all the Mag7 are involved in some way. Market apparently forgot Amazon is diversified as fuck and has the highest revenue in the SPY, so isnt nearly as dependent on AI success. If the market does continue to dump on AI fears and Amazon follows with it, Im loading up.
SPY is up 0.01% in ah, we are so back
Except tech accounts for nearly 50% of SPY's total weight but sure LMAO🤌
You have it backwards. SPY doesn’t make up those companies. Those companies make up SPY. If those companies go down, SPY goes down. If those companies go up, SPY goes up.
Reminder that SPY only $18 below ATH. Stock market still ATH.
I understand what you're saying, but there are differences between SPY and SPX. The bid ask spread on SPY is always tight, on SPX, it can sometimes be pretty crazily wide, and with the kind of extremely fast scalping that I do, I could lose because of bid ask spread slippage. For example, about a half hour ago, I was looking at SPX options and they were fluctuating as much as $50 or more in the bid ask spread! When I bought those 25 SPY calls ($0.01 spread), I sold them literally right after buying, and it bounced between +$300 up to +$800 down to +$500 where it settled when it sold, since the candlestick at 11:06 was going all over the place. If I had tried the same thing on something with a bigger bid ask spread and/or less liquidity like SPX, then I likely would've just lost, and big. That's why I respectfully say that both of you are wrong because you probably don't know my strategy or what I was doing. But don't get me wrong, I understand that one SPX contract is about 10×1 SPY contract of the same rough price/strike, so I understand that one upside to trading SPX aside from the favorable tax treatment is that you only have to worry about selling one contract on SPX to equal about 10 SPY contracts, whereas the main problem with buying a bunch of SPY contracts, like 10+, and then trying to sell them very quickly within like 10 seconds is that obviously by the time that all of the contracts sell you can lose some profit due to that kind of slippage, which has also happened to me before. But in my experience, when SPY makes a really big move like that, when the candlestick is jumping between +$1 to +$5 up and down very fast, and then it just starts to rocket upwards towards the sky, you're almost guaranteed not to lose as long as you get in and out very fast and sell into the upwards momentum rather than selling when it looks like it has reached the top of the candle. I have never had that strategy fail on me, or at least whenever it didn't work, I didn't actually lose money, I just broke even. But I am going to look into SPX because it has me intrigued and I have already made a page for it on my trading platform, and I almost bought an SPX call today until I saw the wide bid spread right before close, but as of right now, I have not yet found a set up for it, although I'm sure that eventually I will, and then I'll be posting SPX gains on here too. I always take comments like this as a chance to learn something new that I may have overlooked before, so thank you for that.
#how much each stock dropped from its 52-week high: #SPY: -2.5% #NVDA: -13% #GOOG: -17% #MSFT: -17% #AMZN: -14% #META: -10% #AVGO: -34% #MU: -30% #AMD: -20% #If SPY drops 10% these stocks will all die LMAO🤌
You must be absolutely deluded if you are in the stocks subreddit and think that everyone here is talking about SPY. Did you think the VIX spike was because the S&P was down 1%? Bogleheads is that way --->
At least my settlement account funds beat SPY today
SPY what is this Bogleheads we solo 1 v 10 memestocks cry or die here we are the -2%
Because we buy, SPY immediately goes the wrong way, we sell, SPY immediately shoots the other direction, etc
Oh no! SPY is at prices not seen since….\*checks chart….2 weeks ago. LMAO
its not 1987 nerds, SPY's only down 1%
#SPY barely down -2% from all time high yet most stocks are down 20-30% from their recent highs LMAO🤌
#SPY barely down 2% from all time high and most of you already dead. LMAO🤌
Looks good for a Monday reflex bounce so far. In addition to the VIX putting in a +22% day making it a 95% probability of a bounce within the next 2 sessions, we can see on the 30m $SPY chart that at 2:30 the candle closed below the lower bollinger band while the RSI was below 30 which is a mean reversion signal. At the same time we got a 9 count buy signal.
SPY didn't recover to 767 Looks like we will see 757 I regret everything
This market is fucked, as long as semis continue to show weakness there is no place for the broader market to go since that’s the only driving force in the economy right now. A close at the lows of the day, week, and month is not at all encouraging and as long as those stocks continue to sell so will the broader market. A day like today was expected when SPY had held so strong while SOXX tumbled, there’s only so much it can handle before it follows suit
I beat SPY today (still loss making)
How the hell is SPY still so high when it was 630 in March and stocks are mostly the same as back then.
made $77 in SPY today and even got to keep about ten bucks of it after Schwab's commissions
Someone opened $1.6M worth of $SPY 768C for November OPEX Someone opened $2.2M worth of $TQQQ calls for January, 87c. That is an ATH bet on $QQQ by New Years
SPY is up 11% YTD. wtf are you talking about?