Reddit Posts
What's with the price-dependent periods of reduced volatility?
Martingale the US 40trill government deb 🎰
Beware of smart beta ETFs. 9.75 year review. After taking into account fees and dividends, they kind of suck.
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Behind the Treasury Intervention - The Setup That Could Force the Fed to Follow
Convince me SSO (2X SPY) is a bad idea for long term investors
Full send calls on MRNA tomorrow 160 0DTE?
Treasury Intervened As Expected - Here’s What It Means
Trump Name-Drops Hyperliquid at the White House, How Will HYPE Price React?
I built a free dealer-gamma + live options-flow terminal for SPX/SPY/QQQ. No signup. Tear it apart.
Trump pauses 50% tariffs on Canada for 3 days
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
We preregistered a bearish gamma structure and measured it running the other way. Method inside.
Please help fuel my gambling addiction
[DD] Why $RDDT goes to $1,000 the exact second their AI team figures out Post-Nut Clarity
SPX is realizing 12.4 vol and the options market is only pricing 11.3
VIX Buying Points to a Short-Term Pullback Next Week but SPY Could Still Squeeze Above $780
SPY is fake. US Bonds are fake. Bitcoin is ready for you.
Closed SPY $763.00C 08/04/26 for $79,709.00 gain (+4003%) last week, I didn't know I could post like this. No body text so this is in title
Tried trading SPY 0 DTE and my account glitched and I'm now a multi-millionaire.
Can my 64-year-old dad retire soon? $700k assets + Social Security
MY FELLOW DEGENS AND APETARDS. PUTS AT OPEN. $SPY
SPY Is Coiling Below $775 What Could Trigger the Breakout
made some bad choices this week, inexperienced, need advice.
Sell ODTE puts on SPY then sell Monthly Calls?
At what point does owning SPY + QQQ + a growth ETF stop being diversification and start being the same bet in different wrappers?
I trade for a living - why I’m still bullish into CPI and the levels I’m trading on SPY, QQQ, oil and DRAM
Built a free dealer-gamma (GEX) map for SPX/SPY/QQQ — tell me where the methodology is wrong.
DD - The case for SPY 130,000 by 2048
Option Loss No Internet +30k to -$20k
UPDATE #7 (The End. For now at least.): I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
From Olive Presses to Power Laws: A 2,600-Year History of the Call Option
gonna full port SPY 8/14 $800C with 40k monday at open AMA
For anyone wondering exactly how much QQQ and VOO/SPY actually overlap, here is the math.
Do you think HTZ will help me recover the $23k loss from SPY ODTE?
Do you think HTZ will help me recover the $23k loss from SPY ODTE?
UPDATE #7 (The End. For now at least.): I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
The Nasdaq 100's valuation premium over the S&P 500 is near a 9-year low. Is tech actually expensive anymore?
I Trade for a Living - Why I’m Buying Dips After the Forced Buying is Over and More DD on Gold and Liquidity
SPY predictive dashboard with ChatGPT contd. not financial advice just for fun
While I Profited a Couple Hundred….this is the worst loss I’ve ever experienced
YOLO: SPY 7900 by Friday. I’m all in on 7850 Calls,
I Trade for a Living - What Comes After the Rally & the “Hidden QE”
SPY at $774 in overnight trading
Mentions
there is one buyer and one seller for every trade what this means is that the price is intrinsically the point at which the number of buyers equals the number of sellers for a stock/option, this means that at any given time half the people think any given thing will go up and the other half think it will go down a buyer or seller must enter the market for the price to actually go up or down given that half the people think it will go up and half think it will go down, it follows that the next price movement is literally exactly 50/50 random this is why everything is all just random walk theory and it always has been and it always will be $SPY 830
If an HFT is buying, say, SPY shares, in quantities of millions of shares, long and short per second, which is what HFT does by definition - it will effect volume. There's absolutely no rule that says, for example, that an HFT firm can't buy and sell large quantities of SPY, IWM, or QQQ at a recent pivot, while an affiliate large trading outfit makes a contrarian bet as retailers get "Pavlov'd" and assume the vol spike means the pivot's in play again for a reversal. I see it constantly, SPY reaches a pivot in it's channel, vol spikes, price staggers for a few minutes and then drops more or continues it's rise beyond recent "key levels" as retailers call them. This direction likely hinges on retail order flow, if enough muppets are in cred spreads under the assumption a swing will reverse - liquidity sweep, welcome to the 97% of retailers who fail. Watching intraday volume is almost pointless now, 15 years ago it was a helpful indicator. And, yes, I've been trading that long. .
It is effectively a put / floor on price of long term bonds. The US bond market is so enormous that the bond vigilantes cannot possible corner the market. So this will play out as intended by Bessent, with inflation doing its work and real interest rates going south. I guess that means 'calls' on SPY.
Finish this sentence. “SPY reminds me of the last fart I trusted. It was…”
I’m doing a LETF for bonds exposure. RSSB. It’s 100% global stocks + 100% treasuries. There’s also NTSX which is 90% SPY + 60% treasury futures. NTSXSIM actually backtests better than SPYSIM, and beats it. Higher sharpe, lower drawdown, higher CAGR. Pretty compelling. But sadly with a single LETF you don’t really get the rebalancing benefits, but I think they’re nice if you REALLY want some bond exposure. Just throw some equity on top and call it a day. https://testfol.io/?s=2vn1QtoljJM
I don't understand. Why not just buy SPY index funds when you already have this amount of money?
SPY's had 1 hollow candle in 2 weeks. I feel like this might mean something, or maybe not.
First time looking at $CASY. Never heard of Casey's General Store but would've thought they were in the tech industry or something just based on their 5 year chart. Casually kicking SPY's ass.
SPY 0DTE -5% puts (usually 0.01 per contract at close day before)
Are we ready to push to SPY 800 finally?
We need another SPY rally overnight market
Take profit on SPY calls or average down on SPY calls (on red days)
Today I did not buy any SPY or QQQ options! Hope I was right 🙏
When are getting a proper green day in SPY?
SPY goes 0.1% down in extended hours and bers start saying the top is in
**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 2L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $780.00 (above) | $765.91 | +1.8% | Aug 29, 2:14 AM |
No way they let the market drop with a 2 Put to call ratio for tomm-SPY
**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 1W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $755.00 (below) | $765.91 | -1.4% | Aug 28, 1:52 AM |
**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $760.69 (below) | $765.91 | -0.7% | Aug 29, 1:51 AM |
Straight down to 760 tomorrow SPY. You ain't got the balls to do it while I'm holding calls
i'm long QQQ, BTC, Copper Miners, SPY, Gold, Healthcare, wide moat stocks, china and semis while short gold miners. hopefully they aren't all the same trade tomorrow
This for sure looks like the leg down 😂 !banbet SPY 755 24hr
Unless the rest of this week has some insane volume (which it might because PCE/NVDA), **August is on track to have the lowest** **daily avg** **volume on** **SPY** **in 2****0 years.** Jan 2002 (16.6M) Dec 2003 (30.8M) Aug 2003 (36.8M) Sep 2003 (39.0M) Jul 2003 (40.7M) Dec 2004 (41.3M) 👆==22 Years==👇 **Aug 2026 MTD (41.7M)** Aug 2004 (41.9M) Oct 2024 (42.4M) May 2026 (47.3M)
SPY: $230 by 935am, $800 by 1450pm. Positions: Missionary and Reverse Cowgirl Don't shoot the messenger.
-2% 5D +4.8% 1MO Oh, and -28% 6MO which is a 40% spread if you just sat in SPY and did nothing Through the roof? Fuck outta here with this nonsense.
SPY didn't go down, unlike your momma
SPY isn't just two memory stocks.
Big money already decided if they’re selling the news or running up tomorrow. Technically the SPY needs. Healthy pullback to 745, so I’d bet on either sell the news or a bad earnings. But no one can predict earnings and what big money will do. Just my guess
KOSPI is up 22% since July 30. SPY what's your excuse?
**BanBet Lost** — /u/teachingroland (0W - 2L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $763.47 → $725.30 | -5.0% | 1d | Lost |
Honestly I wouldn't trust any of the price action right now. Trading volume across the board has been pretty low this week. SPY just had the lowest volume day since February 2025
RIP bers 8/26/26z Here lies the bers, who spent all month screaming “top is in” while SPY casually marched to another ATH. 🪦🐻 Their puts expired worthless, their VIX calls became tax write-offs, and their final words were, “Just wait until September.” In lieu of flowers, please send margin.
SPY calls are a good investment right now if they print
My main brokerage account only up 10% ytd so under performing SPY, perhaps I am dogshit at options and trading and should just voo and chill
I love buying SPY its safe. Anyway I'm gambling in cancer research
Gulf of America Strait of America Lake America Where else do investors think the water for data centers be coming from? SPY should be 800 already
The only 4 STOCKS/FUNDS/ETFs I'm actively trading are $SPY $MSFT $USO & $LCID. Through six months of active research she thanks to you doctors of degenerate regardency, I have learned about crack spreads and derivatives. I'm a Medical Biller and Compliance Officer in Infectious Diseases. I know arbitrage and actuary. The casino is a blast. Shout out to the @MODS for putting up with my shit memeing and rapid messaging. TL:DR. Calls until the election then wait and see. Everything ends at some point. 🤡🫡
Dude, this is the definition of efficient markets, the best prediction is a martingale. That’s why a lot of pricing theory is even built around it. What all you refuse to realize an acknowledge is that the index is calculated using the weighted average of the underlying and not the SPX options market. The tail doesn’t wag the dog. The other channel is the macro via the futures market. That’s the classic ES -> SPY arb that moves prices. The ETF arb leg between SPY and constituents covers the rest and removes and misgivings. None of you understand this market structure and y’all just look at the chain. How can you even pick a level if the max on strike is purely 20 bps away from the martingale which is the naive prediction. You think gamma is some magic and call/out walls are some magic?
Reminder: No crying in the casino. You made bad decisions. All you had to do was buy SPY and literally do nothing.
Did you buy SPY or QQQ puts?😝
SPY 0dte is not gambling if you have a strategy. And my strategy is to gamble
NVDA ER miss and hawkish FED for SPY 800
I got out of my SPY puts at a break even, I'm just buying KURA to ride the cancer vaccine wave
Ew, Jesus Christ. Why does SPY lose its decimal points when it’s at exactly $766 in the widget. Unnatural. It needs to show .00 for my autism
August 20th SPY low was 762.04 then August 24th the low was 762.08. Today it made a higher low at 763 and closed well above it at 765. Potential double bottom there im already in some calls expiring next week, a break and hold above 767-768 would be a good confirmation for double bottom but im buying now and more after NVDA earnings. Im also expecting 🥭 to change his mind on Iran war as he usually averages 11 days between war on and war off and I believe that will happen next weekend. He is already privately talking to other countries such as Pakistan telling them they need to get Iran to the negotiation table. TLDR - CALLS
Here’s how you become a millionaire Check SPX/SPY NY session opening price, if it’s under that buy calls, if it’s over that buy put Because this junk magically keeps closing at the opening price everyday after jerking options around all day
I make the best trades when SPY just chops. The money is going elsewhere, find the rotations. Up huge on HOOD and Spotify calls after cashing in Groupon calls
At the very least to help SPY get to AT LEAST 770. 💯
SPY goes down .3 my port crashes 5%. Market moves up .3 and my port goes up 1%.
#September will be the flattest month in history. SPY will move like 0.01% during the whole month. LMAO🤌
Well that was quite the green candle on SPY, wish I had bought my calls 😭
Dump it all into a Friday SPY 0DTE 766 call at 10:00am sell it when it V’s back above 766.50
Tomorrow we get SPY below 759
Pls close above 766. Thanks for your cooperation to this matter SPY
Thetagang has been doing this for years and makes tons of money off people buying lottery tickets. I personally sell covered calls on SPY/QQQ/DIA at conservative strike prices and try to make $100-200 a day off those options.
Full port HOOD puts. This is disconnected from SPY moves currently and it ALWAYS past few month acts like a turd
Does SPY ever fucking go down?
RIP if you bought these expensive ass SPY options with this little movement you didn’t stand a chance
We need that guy who loves wearing panties so he can cuck SPY otherwise my puts are cooked
Dolly would have wanted SPY to close above 767 😞
Rejecting SPY Asia high all day. 6 taps. Might be Joever unless we get a big end of day breakout.
Last time CIA director went to Moscow, Ukraine got invaded days later. Ratcliffe is in Moscow for 3days. SPY PUTS? Hotel? Trivago
Efing SPY will probably hit 767 today
So have we decided what that random dump candle was on SPY earlier this morning? Seemed very suspicious. Can't tell if it was a big player getting out, algos spiking vix to sell options, or a dump to stop people out before a face ripping rally on NVDA earnings.
Don't say anything about SPY
SPY 755p after NVDA earnings tomorrow… I’m tempted.
Bubble gum is holding SPY
Ah, the SPY is pinned. Fmp
#765 is the sweet spot SPY would like to be at for the next 12 months LMAO🤌
Cmonnn just dip a toe in SPY
SPY should be approaching 760.. today is absolutely bullshit
Bro that’s been the entire year. Avg SPY volume has dropped from like 70m to 50m over the past 18 months.
Can you make up your fucking mind already SPY?
Sudden drop on SPY so that regards, like myself, suddenly buy puts only to watch those puts lose money in the next minute. A story as old as time... or at least since they lifted the PDT rules.
1 share of SPY costs $765 and it will, until pre-market tomorrow
It sure feeeeelllllsss like the SPY should be 762
SPY use to be so fun to trade, now its just dogshit
Just make up some retard info, send it to axios, its now fact. Problem solved. SPY 30 trillion eoy
SPY means vomit in my language.
SPY fair price is somewhere between 765 and 766
congrats, meanwhile I’m down $100 on SPY options that I sold too early. Eez what it eez, onto the next.
I had a dollar win on my SPY calls last week...I laughed and then just quit for the day because green is green
You think SPY a bitch? Then why you try n fuck em like one?
SPY bols can yall just like stop buying pls? Why yall buying more calls?