Reddit Posts
Weekly SPY forecast (730$๐)
I built a simple โRegime Filterโ using SPY and QQQ to decide when Iโm allowed to buy new positions
Iโve back tested every single imaginable 0dte strategy, in short. No consistent edge exists.
SPY is pumping on 1/3 normal volume while $8B in dark pool prints load. You are the exit liquidity. Stop buying.
SPY is pumping on 1/3 normal volume while $8B in dark pool prints load. You are the exit liquidity. Stop buying.
When will QQQ be more $ per share than SPY?
ELI5: Why would an ETF like VOO or SPY outperform the S&P500, if even for a single day?
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
My fiancรฉ discovered options trading and turned 2k into 212k in 3 days. Her balls and port are 10x the size of mine
Is it possible to have a broadly invested portfolio, without automatic purchasing of SPCX or AI IPOโs?
I used ChatGPT and Codex to build and backtest SPY + QQQ 0DTE trading bots
Does anyone scalp SPY options or any other ticker/exchange?
Without Wendyโs there would be no dumpster
Does anyone know why these sudden price drops happen?
On last minute before the close SPY wicked down 2.3% on 10x volume
SPY 0DTE gains to close out the week
Is this a Robinhood glitch? Why is the Open Interest on this random bank put so high if nobody is trading it?
Is this a Robinhood glitch? Why is the Open Interest on this random bank put so high if nobody is trading it?
Am I in the Cool Guys club? I know I'm in the Retard Boys Club tho
Finally made all my Investment back after 7 years!!! Part 4
SPY be really drawing today cats lol
I can't beat the market. I won't ever beat the market. After years I realize that now. It's VOO for me.
๐ Daily Brief: Theta Gang Goes To Wendy's
Quick SPY hit today, a trust small street bet W
Almost lost my ass with SPY puts today
Trading off Biblical Prophecy [SPY Jan 16 2030 $650 Put]
climbed the mountain just to fall straight down.
I HAD A DREAM!!! Choppy summer market
I built a free tool that keeps a daily history of your Finviz screeners
I used ChatGPT to backtest a SPY 0DTE strategy and Codex to build an automated IBKR bot
$SPY -- Bullish? -- 3DTE -- MU Earnings + Semi Catalysts
Help me understand what is limit price
๐จ๐จ๐จ $WEN DD: WHY WENDY'S IS ABOUT TO SEND YOUR PORTFOLIO TO THE MOON ๐๐๐
Yes, You CAN "Time The Market." And I'm Going to Prove It, Again.
Reddit Is Buying the $SPY Dip. Are They Right?
Yes, You CAN "Time The Market." And I'm Going to Prove It, Again.
SPY Isn't Pricing Much Movement, But Protection Is Still Expensive
Has anyone ever heard of a "K-Shaped stock market"?
Update 7: Oops, lol. ~$1,447.94 -> ~$2,712.06 -> $222.20
Warsh's first FOMC presser is Wednesday and nobody seems to be talking about the dot plot risk
Warsh's first FOMC is tomorrow and I have no clue what to do with my port
How many of you have actually calculated your returns against the S&P, properly, and how many are just assuming you're beating it because your portfolio is green?
How viable is a hedge fund that trades exclusively in SPY 0dteโs
I have lost every position I've taken since june started.
Serious discussion: Is it time to full port healthcare, or am I regarded?
All My Eggs in One Basket: Keep holding NVDA or Sell at a Loss?
Do you integrate "Quality" indices and "Value" indices?
Sustainability of Weekly Covered Calls + Cash Secured Puts ATM on 50% of SPY Portfolio
My 15-point GO/NO-GO checklist before any options trade, because I kept breaking my own rules
When Iran war started SPY was at $686 and today $756 (Nearly +10%)
100k SPY 6/16 744c YOLO held through iran deal / Trump's birthday weekend
RSUs and ESPP, cash out and invest in ETFs, Dividends, SPY, or leave it?
Mentions
All i ask is that SPY opens up at +2% please. Id like to change my life please and thank you.
**BanBet Created** โผ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $740.00 (below) | $744.78 | -0.6% | Jul 10, 9:28 PM |
!banbet SPY 740 5D
Not at all. Buy the right companies, sell the dogs if they drop 10%, hold some cash for opportunities, buy calls on winners, trim when it climbs high. Been an active daily investor for 15 years and lost to SPY once in 2022.
**BanBet Created** โฒ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $760.00 (above) | $744.78 | +2.0% | 23h 60m |
$800 10/30 SPY calls? Regarded or?
SPY 900 eod you heard me eod
SPY better close above 850 or my calls is gonna be sweating bullets
If SPY doesnโt hit 800 by EOW Iโm cooked
Thanks for confirming SPY 770
The AI bubble isn't gonna burst until your girlfriend's boyfriend's second girlfriend is also buying into the AI stocks. Until then, don't expect SPY to go below 680 any time soon
Margin on the shares used on SPY or more Google if ur feeling frisky
A few came back during the previous week when SPY was in that $730 range. Then they went all in on Puts and got fucked and died off before seeing SPY $750 again.
SPY below ATH. Very concern for Bul
Investment elections will include SPY, BND, and DJT
**BanBet Created** โฒ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $755.95 (above) | $744.78 | +1.5% | 23h 60m |
100%, that's the discount you're paid for. It's why TSM still trades below its AI peers despite outgrowing most of them, the Taiwan discount has narrowed since the days Buffett bought and dumped it over exactly this fear, but it's still in the multiple. You're getting paid to hold it. And honestly, if China actually moves on Taiwan, there's no hiding in the rest of the market anyway. Apple, Nvidia, AMD, half the S&P's earnings run through TSMC fabs. SPY doesn't dodge that bullet, it just gets shot slower. It's systemic risk wearing a single-ticker costume. Meanwhile they're de-risking it in real time. Arizona fabs are producing, Japan's running, Germany's building. Not fast enough to matter in an invasion scenario, but enough that the "one island" story gets weaker every year. I'll take a priced-in risk over an unpriced one.
Yes I'm a proud holder of RSP for precisely this reason, the regular S&P, SPY etc funds were all jacked up from tech stock speculation. I think the more accurate term is rotation, not a full sell-off. Rotation from tech into consumer staples, finance etc.The fact that that is happening now makes me a little more confident that the AI crash will move along at a reasonable pace and not create a crisis that will require more money printing.
Iโve examined some chicken entrails and think SPY climbs another 25% from here to eoy and 2027
Very Interesting ... I had put in a broken wing butterfly as a hedge against a sudden drop in SPY in June for August 680(1)/600(2)/555(1) for $432 debit. But my broker held up the entire 120K for the 600 strike shorts so I took off the trade. Wasn't wroth holding up the capital.
Iโve doing the same first 30 minutes play in SPY 0dtes
the SK found more capital to leverage after finding out China will buy their kidney, this monday is going to be the greenest green the world has ever seen. billions in buys about to hit monday. SPY 800 coming.
If you have a long time, that's a cause for NOT being aggressive. A simply SPY will work reasonably well for a 10 year horizon and you won't be accidentally wasting it because you're too aggressive.
If SPY hits ATH this week, I don't have to get a job for like 3 years lol.
Imagine gambling via voice commands while driving. "Yo siri, buy 3 shares of SPY" ๐ค: Affirmative, bought 300x deep OTM SPY 0DTE calls
Praying for SPY AND TESLA ๐๐พ
Bought $760 SPY calls expiring July 12th for $.20. we usually have a good week after 4th of July weekends and anticipate my $150 purchase to be up $8500 by end of day July 12.
That is why I choose QQQ over SPY or VOO.
1.TSLA holder could also sell calls, very profitably, much more so than SPY. 2. Somehow, competition that's been coming, is still coming and can't catch up. 3. Robotaxi and humanoid robot 1st mover advantage is the next edge.
Have a great weekend boys Iโm hammered coming off the boat.ย I promise you, if you feel too anti patriotic , your life will suck and the system wonโt adapt to your wishes while youโre alive. Quit being an internet dweeb and get out thereย Weโre bringing it fucking home on Monday by the way and SPY is going to $800
world is in full of hurt if the SPY never hits 750 again in 10 years
VOO and SPY are both the same funds both invest in the S&P500 index. so there is no reason to have both. pick one and most all your money into that fund And there is no need to have a large cap and small cap fund or a tech heavy fund. S&P 500 already has a lot of tech in it. You could invest in VTI which covered most of the US stock market and then add VXUS for international growth. OR you drop all of this and invest in VT which increase in all stocks domestic and international.
SPMO is 20% of SPY/VOO Pick the 20% of SPY/VOO that's high risk.... What's the riskiest 20%? Anytime you go from 500 to 100, there's definitely more risk. You definitely risk more volatility this way. Still, it's far less risk than a market specific ETF. I stand by my statement that any random 20% of the S&P500 is low risk. That goes for any 20% of it, and especially the best performing 20% (over the last 6 months).
SPY please big green open monday, do it for America, I really need it right now
This year ranks 44th out of the last 100 years for SPY return so farโฆ
Move with Market Makers. Keep an eye on volume, gamma, and delta exposure. Heavy call-skewed volume ratio (1.0 and below) is a good sign it's going to pound against a ceiling all day or melt down slowly. Take Thursday for example. SPY 750, 749, 748 and 747 calls were the heaviest traded contracts during the day. It had zero gamma/delta support at 740 and below. Not many, if any, contracts being dealt below the 740 strike. It was pinned from the start. Even as the price went down during the lunch period, calls were still being hammered hard. If you can look at the daily options volume and see Calls stacked up to the roof...think about how much, just ballpark it, would be paid out if those current calls hit. I think Thursday had about 1.4 TRILLION$ in just 747 - 750 calls and above being thrown around. Can't buy a contract unless someone is willing to sell it. I sure as hell can't afford 100 shares of SPY to even sell a single covered call...so someone besides me is making the moves, and I'll just do what they do.
BofA Deez Nutz Jk, Iโm 50/30 SPY/QQQ an 20 DRAM
I mean that's just demonstratively not true even if you decide to pretend you do have a time machine. Tesla over the last 5 years beat SPY by less than 3%. And that is assuming that the owner of the SPY did not cell cover calls, which usually have a lot more no pun intended options than a single stock. There are several times during the last 5 years when Tesla has been down, including some where if you had bought the put then and had it now still you'd be ahead. The stock had a great Bull run when it had a first mover advantage. That time frame is over. It was aided by one of the biggest bull runs in history. That time is if not over at least heading into extreme unpredictability. Like I get it you're a fanboy or whatever but if we're limiting ourselves to things that we can abstractly demonstrate it's just not the horrible oh no I could never do this investment you seem to want to paint it out to be.ย
**BanBet Error** โ Could not get current price for SPY
!banbet SPY +3% 48h
I feel incredibly lucky. Made $30k last year and $18k year to date in realized gains. In June, decided to just put $50 into the SPY every day will put $100 a day under $700. It is fun playing with options, but the stress just aint worth it
Cant wait to see SPY +3% at open now
SPY calls and puts. I play both sides so I always come out on top.
if you Google SPY it comes up, that's how I bought it in Fidelity as well. I'm truly prepared for the game, friend.
You regards had better not be hung over on Monday, you have work to do. Even the TSX is up 1.4% more than SPY YTD. Fucking pathetic
Wendy's SPY EZPW That's all I got brothers, I'm not fully redacted yet.
Why can't shitcoin go to 0 and move all that liquidity to SPY/Qs?
The only thing I would say is that if there's an ETF that matches or is close enough to the mutual fund, go with the ETF, if only for the fact that you can trade it during market hours. Mutual funds get priced at the end of the day after the close. If you put in a buy or sell order in the middle of the day, it doesn't get executed until after the market's closed. As for Roth vs other types of accounts, there can be reasons to put certain types of stocks in a Roth (or other retirement-type account) instead of a regular brokerage account, but spcifically when it comes to aggressiveness or your investment mix, personally I wouldn't use different types of account to segregate growth vs income. There's nothing wrong with just having SPY and/or VOO plus maybe some QQQ until you get close to/in retirement at which point you want to get a little more defensive.
The fact that SPY is flat today is truly unpatriotic.
Anything is possible. You can have both and diversify, but definitely consider it more long term than anything. My biggest positions are NTDOY and SCHD, and I plan on keeping them in my Roth IRA so I don't pay taxes on the dividends. I'm a newer investor but these are the ones I see most value in based on how cheap they are currently compared to most other index ETFs doing the same thing. I'm also considering investing in QQQI/QQQM and one of the higher yield SPY ETFs. NTDOY is more so for diversification and the fact that they're just a solid profitable company in gaming that I personally see growth in for the next few decades. NVDA is solid, but I think all semiconductors and most tech is incredibly volatile and uncertain with AI development futures. Sure, it's going parabolic, but for how long? AI might be utilized well in the future, but it's getting a lot of push back for good reason, and is mostly unprofitable outside of the companies getting their stock bought out to build and run data centers that are getting cancelled left and right. Do what you feel is right though, do as much research as possible and take it day by day!
#ITS TIME FOR YOUR BAX SPY DAILY FORECAST ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ > Happy july 4th regards! ๐ซก > Mondays is the start of program alteration - a matrix update. The old patterns and rules will change, the puzzle shuffles, and old winning strats become losers. > spy opens a little greener than it closed on thursday, bait whips back to back for the first hour with a rare vollyball kickoff leading up to lunch time. > the 2nd half slumps quick into the red and continues an unforgiving downtrend until the final hour which ends flatter than hank hills ass.
I spend some of that money on clothes though. I mean still looks basic af but nice clothes are very nice especially if Iโm lounging all day. Just picked up a few linen outfits from Outlier and was like wearing nothing during the last few days of 100 degree heat. No way Iโd normally be able to afford it working since a single shirt was $420 and I got like half a dozen new outfits for vacations. Still less than the amount I made off my weekly SPY lotto though! Also married a doctor. Stable high income means much nicer car and an insane credit line I have no business accessing since Iโve only ever made 30k a year working. Hell neither of us should be accessing it since they preapproved her for 2.5m before she even got a job via โphysicians loansโ or something lmao.
The other 40% is in SPY calls.
Take 180K and spread it out among broader ETFs like SPY and QQQ. Leave 20K in AMD bc it has a nice future but no need to put all your eggs there.
Trump Accounts is live on Monday correct? We're fuarking mooning SPY +5%
What is SPY gonna open at Monday, 755 too hopeful?
Yeah lots of the "the market stayed irrational longer than I could stay solvent" and its just them buying puts on SPY
Itโs 0dte. You really canโt place trades at strikes that are too far from spot. The premium would have decayed too hard for it to be worthwhile. If ur looking buy 0dte calls/puts and try to win a lottery ticket, buy them just slightly OTM. The Greek youโre betting on is gamma and gamma for 0dte options are very low on even few dollars OTM on SPY
BTC is the future of world currency. It's the last easily tracked way to spend money on illegal things. It literally leaves a trace of every transaction from inception to when it ends up in an exchange to be converted to "Fiat" where government can require the exchanges to provide the owner's KYC information. If this is not private, I don't know what is. It's also a store of value though. This is especially important since nobody wanted Bitcoin to be the future world currency. If you had purchased BTC with conviction last September, this technology would have stored roughly 50% of your moneys value whereas SPY would have only stored 115%. I think the most revolutionary approach that normies don't understand is that MSTR has created a brilliant strategy to leverage the non believers stupidity into more BTC. It's a proxy and therefore has stored a whopping 30% of it's value. This is the future. You guys are just idiots.
KOSPI went up 5% so guaranteed semis will pump SPY to 750
IWM moved really clean in June vs QQQ or SPY.
I donโt want to be too bearish butโฆ SPY 800?
RSP is an interesting "diversification" option. Since 2013 is underperforming the SPY, but traditionally it outperforms it, and periods of underperforming are followed by periods or strong overperforming. Now it's at ATH while the SP is not.
Finally acquired 100 shares of VOO (about 1/3rd of my โfolio). Going to sell my first covered call late Monday, so youโre all welcome for sending SPY to ATH
Are we getting a generational pump to ATH on SPY as part of the 250th celebration. Also, imagine if market ended deep red after the opening bell being rung at white house.
That's theta alright. Like the other comments said you can do shorts or spreads. If you like playing directional there's always the option of buying further out expiries. You can buy more time and buy more delta. More time (say 30-45 DTE instead of same-week) makes each hour of chop cost far less. More delta (deeper ITM instead of cheap OTM) means the contract tracks the stock more directly and carries less extrinsic value to bleed off. You give up some leverage, but you stop getting punished for being early. The other thing worth checking is how big a move you actually need versus what you paid. If the option needs the stock to move \~1.5% just to cover the premium and your take-profit is a 1% move, direction alone was never going to get you there the trade was a losing position at entry. If this is for liquid tickers at 0dte might need to learn other strats, people lose a lot on SPY 0dte especially
Me to the cute Wendy's drive thru girl when SPY is +0.4%.
I ran across IWM a while back. Spreads, liquidity, and delta/gamma/movement seemed favorable so I dove in. I am familiar with SPY but not RUT. Which donโt prefer of the 3?
So why IWM and not SPY? More importantly, why not RUT to save on commissions and taxes.
SPY is going to open at 750 and then sell off again. We are destined to be in this cursed range for next 3-4 months LMAO
I just went to a party and ate hotdogs and burgers and played yard games. SPY gonna pump obviously
Did you read the post? This is the performance of WEN vs. SPY while Bob was COO
**BanBet Error** โ Could not get price for SPY
Agreed. That's my view of ES/SPY. https://preview.redd.it/2nrimip7o4bh1.png?width=1834&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e7c0e823a370d443337d30b096979be5636ca07
i caught an automated admin ban from saying 'DIE SPY DIE' once lol
Better odds than SPY DTE
Nope I buy SPY calls Fridayโs for the weekend pump and itโs been like 90% win rate lol. Ones I bought yesterday closed up 50%, rest were 100-300%. How are people not cooking?
**BanBet Lost** โ /u/drizzyjake7447 (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry โ Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** โฒ | $745.60 โ $800.00 | +7.3% | 1d | Lost |
Just a regular single guy scrolling. SPY4L
VLUE (iShares MSCI **USA Value Factor** ETF) outperform VVL xD YTD (%) Peformance: 1. VLUE โ 38% 2. MTUM (iShares MSCI **USA Momentum Factor** ETF) โ 25% 3. QQQ (Nasdaq100 ETF, Invesco ETF, **USA Index) โ** 16% 4. VVL (**Global Value**) โ 15% But in 5Y Performance (%) or more (Long-term) QQQ ETF beats everyone. Yes, in recent years the Value Factor has 'more traction', you can also see it with the ratios: * IWD/SPY Ratio โ value relative performace vs index benchmark. * IWF/SPY Ratio โ growth relative performance vs index benchmark. **๐จโ๐ซ BUT HERE IS THE MOST IMPORTANT PART TO UNDERSTAND ๐๐ป** 1. **US Market Indices like the Nasdaq100 (QQQ ETF) their holdings are weighted by Market Cap.** 2. **The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA ETF) is price-weighted.** 3. **And the Value ETFs we are sharing are weighted by fundamentals, e.g VLUE and your VVL ETF. In fact, this ETFs are more a 'Invesment Style ETF' than a 'Factor ETF' ๐ก** 4. **This drives different performance (%) ๐ก๐** Unfortunately, there is no "Global Growth Factor" ETF. Perhaps because most of their holdings would be US technological stocks (QQQ Holdings), so have nonsense to make one. Most of global ETF compositions has more than 50% on US Markets, even factors like Value, Dividend, Momentum, etc. Growth factor have a big concentration in United States (*main region for global markets*) markets.
Itโs my fault. I bought some SPY 750P 0DTE yesterday morning and then thought it was going to keep going up so I sold them at a small loss. Look at me saving capital. They were up almost 10x later in the day.
is my SPY 745c for Monday fuk or ber fuk
Offff so many peace deals SPY 9000 EOY
Strategically placed puts are also help or at least a short term defensive position (I.e. Coca Cola). The bounce of 750 SPY was highly predictable. The next move to break above or down to $710 is 50/50 Iโd say atm.
+740% in last two weeks, but only +11.29% all time. You know SPY went up almost 300% in that time, right? lol. Free advice: Take your winnings, quit while youโre ahead, and stash most or all of it into an index fund. <Narrator: OP did not, in fact, quit while he was ahead>
This is my view on ES/SPY (4hr). Obviously I have no clue what's going to happen Monday (or any day ever) but I feel like this shows there's more room to go down soon than up. https://preview.redd.it/6zfgpayme2bh1.png?width=1834&format=png&auto=webp&s=8224cee2b0b4b3fd135802ac758c270354b08a2f
eh maybe, I think we pump Monday tbh but SPY will outperform again probs cuz I donโt think memory and semis get too huge of a bounce