SPY

amanj41

Man if SPY had more semis I’d be so fucking rich rn

IdyllsOfTheBreakfast

Not all indexes are cap weight. SPY is float weighted.

Extension-Change-441

hello i am from the future, SPY will crash from 1100 to 900 in 2028

TheIncredibleHodl

So is MU done? I just trade SPY brothers

shortvol_trader

The weekly puts being "1 cent" is the trap — that's not cheap, that's theta eating you alive on a contract that needs a 30% crash this week to pay off. You'd be rolling that every week, and the moment vol spikes (exactly when you need the hedge) the roll becomes way more expensive. You'd be buying high every time it matters. For $1M in S&P exposure, most people running this kind of tail hedge budget around 0.5-1% of portfolio annually — so $5k-$10k/year. The 2-year $500 SPY put at $14 is actually the more honest conversation: that's $1,400/contract, covers 100 shares, so you'd need roughly 14 contracts to hedge the full notional. That's ~$20k for 2 years of protection, or $10k/year — right in the budget range. The more capital-efficient version is a put spread — buy the $500, sell the $450 or $430. Cuts your premium by 40-50%, still covers the sequence-of-returns scenario you're worried about (a 30-40% drawdown in year 1 of retirement is the actual killer). You give up coverage below the short strike, but a 45%+ crash and a 35% crash have roughly the same impact on retirement math. If you want to get fancier, a collar (sell OTM calls to finance the puts) gets you close to zero-cost protection but caps your upside — might not fit a pure buy-and-hold mindset.

LaserGuy626

Wednesday has 0dte's. That's when Nvidia rips. SPY $760 tomorrow

JustinDestruction

You can live in real estate, which transforms “rent” from an expense to a capital investment. Depending on your location, real estate will likely make you more return than VOO or SPY, particularly in light of the “expense” and tax benefits. “Investment” real estate doesn’t sound like your area of interest. From experience, if you don’t want to or can’t fix things when you don’t know how or pull disgusting hair out of sinks and toilets or any number of annoying tenant requests, you will not prosper by constantly hiring tradesmen.

ballzstreetwets

Need SPY 730ish tomorrow

No_Needleworker9613

That's exactly what I'm thinking too. But sometimes, I think if I was just a new investor, ignorant of world news and just looking at graphics, I'd look at SPY/QQQ and just think "oh, it's going up, looks like a safe buy" and, most importantly, I would not have a strong bearish bias due to remembering SPY being under 600 just a year ago.

EpicWhaleSquad

I'm not going to give advice, but BTC is my only losing position at 17% of my portfolio. My returns this year is 33% so far with SPY and SMH. Best way is to be diversified.

R3dFiveStandingBye

I need a 2-3% SPY pump day in my life again

the_humeister

For SPY options though. This is now for certain stock options.

Reasonable_Roger

You're looking at it backwards. No deal is actually being priced in. It's just the rest of the world is more fucked than we are. SPY is the safe haven asset right now.

DesignerSea494

Half my port is in 3x leveraged SPY and has been for a while. Today was another, “this shit can’t possibly keep going like this…” but I’m still holding.

A_Dragon

Honestly. As a teen investor that can afford to lose, well, everything, I would invest in growth stocks and semi-speculative names. The real key is to teach and utilize proper risk management techniques. You’ll learn so much more buying the more volatile semi-speculatively names than you will buying something like SPY and forgetting about it. If you want to actually foster an understanding of investing get her How to Make Money in Stocks by O’Neil and How to Profit in Bull and Bear Markets by Weinstein and slowly build a portfolio the right way.

TastyTrading

I know exactly what you are trying to do. I too am in capital preservation stage and want my nest egg to last. If you have a lot of SPY holding I would suggest selling some Covered calls at around 15-25% above current price at 1 year out. Then take the premiums you receive from this and go BUY a put a comfortable strike. this will cap your downside, but also caps your upside. In reality this end up muting your volatility overall, but this is exactly what you are after. If you want to be slightly more active you can try selling them on 45d or 90d increments instead of 1 year as well. Im keep all my contracts rolling on [ThetaPal](https://www.thetapal.com?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=r-thetagang) with my dashboard to make sure I keep the premiums rolling in. sometimes the premium will burn 90% off in 50% of the time so it is good to close early.

Soy_tu_papi_

SpaceX will only make up like 0.2% of SPY because they are only making like 5% of shares public

financiallythriving

Bears need a -20% day on SPY tomorrow to break even

ryan178us

Most ordinary people are still struggling through working life just to survive. Who really cares about space or Mars right now? Stop hyping some scammy SpaceX IPO narrative, and please don’t include those kinds of companies in QQQ or SPY.

HowDoesIAdult

Nah man they said that they are closing the stock market when trump leaves office, this is everyone's last chance to get rich quick. $1,500 0DTE SPY calls, before its too late.

Condhor

SPY shares. Sell calls.

hallett21

Inflation near zero. Gas prices all time guy. Real estate at a stand still with rates. Stocks at all time highs with the hopes that AI solves problems other than writing code. Am I missing something or should SPY be $599?

comancheranche

SPY open 752 maybe?

Radiant-Place-6400

Tomorrow will be a historic crash SPY will go down -7% or more QQQ will go down -10% or more Iran is striking US Military bases tonight

Unlikely-Evening2919

how? SPY went up +0.6% today

LeppaPig

At this point just go all-in on Pokémon cards. SPY-tier security + meme stock-tier ROI.

Evening_Control6034

This is why I do just SPY and QQQ. Let market decide who is good and who is bad. During covid times so many stocks went up a lot (Twilio, Shop, Paypal, Zoom) they are all dead now but SPY and QQQ are up 60-70% in 5 years. Once AI optimism settles Sandisk and Micron might crash hard but SPY and QQQ will choose the next winners and chug ahead.

theshiniestbrighstar

War is over bro, get with the program. Just dump ur money in SPY or an AI/semi stock and make $$$. How hard is that to understand?

gopoohgo

My 401k is a 50 50 mix of equivalents to SPY and QQQ. It always yells at me saying its too aggressive lol

Ken385

SPX and VIX options have been trading overnight for many years. They trade starting early evening. These tickers will trade at the last part of this session. I am surprised SPY isn't listed though.

hftrobo9285

Same. I put my entire 401k in the lowest fee fund that’s an exact mirror of SPY lol

LadderAdmirable

I feel sorry for all those who didn't buy calls for cheap today. Tomorrow is a holiday in Iran and they are likely to release "good news". That's why they restarted internet today. Tomorrow's cabinet meeting is our version of victory lap. I am retiring tomorrow if SPY hits 770 LMAO.

FuckleUp

Oil and SPY dropping?

OnceALoser

For Sell on May and Go away to work in 2026, SPY needs to drop atleast 4.17% to go to 718.66, closing price of April 2026.

Hellmale

SPY $755c after opening

xbitxfatxstonkx

Holding my SPY calls. No war until Hajj is over. Let's go!

aDonkeyWithACarrot

Just buy SPY or QQQ calls dude How hard can it be?????

CumomEileen

Lost so much money being a ghey ber I need SPY to go negative just to breakeven 

amanj41

SPY gonna trade sideways and barely rest of week for eternity. Sold off the pump hard today

LadderAdmirable

Did you guys buy deep OTM calls for tomorrow on SPY? If not, you are going to regret it when SPY opens at 770 tomorrow LMAO.

bigniso

if i were u i would full port SPY $1000 0dte tmr, ez multimillionaire

hodl_poke_stay_calm

Yes I understand and I agree. I am just saying the opportunity for 50% gains in SPY purely through shares was there, even if only for a short period of time. You could have purchased shares on the dip and made a historical 50% return in a little over a year. That is kinda wild

hodl_poke_stay_calm

I just realized that SPY is up 50% since April 2025. Isn't that insane?

Moepenmoes

SPY 800 EoM, you know it, I know it, everyone know sit

ThanksDependent1001

banbet SPY $756 tomorrow

chimera240495

!banbet SPY -2% 3d

BeepBoopDep

Ber logic: it hit ATH, this is the top, has to go down. Absolutely brilliant. Common knowledge stocks never hit new ATH. Just ask SPY, still stuck at 44 when it began trading in 1994. Oh wait 😂

dontfret71

From just SPY? No

IndependentUsual7444

SPY hasn't even really started pumping yet

TheoryInttro

SPY 7000 incoming. SPX 70 000.

Halbaras

The whole 'bear' vs 'bull' distinction is a bit of a Reddit circlejerk. There are almost no permabears and an enormous population of permabulls. On long enough timescales, permabulls always win (though a US with a declining population and pension fund withdrawals exceeding inflows may test this in coming decades). But there are always loads of individual stocks, sectors and markets where the bears are right at any one time. Shorting SPY every day is so moronic that nobody can actually do it for long, but for the options degenerates crowd, the bears often win. About half the days in a year are red, and the people that sell options price in the fact that calls are more likely to end up being correct. There's also the fact that someone can be bearish about a particular stock/market/sector while being fully invested on something else. They may underperform if they're wrong but there's zero opportunity cost from hoarding cash, and theyre not really a bear because they're still betting on something going up.

OriginalFatPickle

holding SPY puts overnight. it will probably open +0.5%

Last-Register-934

underperforming SPY by 32% in the past 12 months

Successful-Tea-5733

The ADBE love is largely that they have rising earnings, are sitting on a pile of cash and their stock value has gone down quite a bit. Looks like an oversold-against-AI possibly. Yeah I've thought about that with MSFT that it's a large component of SPY and QQQ

zhilde

SPY puts

J_da_CPA

SPY 800 fr fr

InspectorDabbit_

If she's "investing" by buying shares of VOO/SPY, she's probably beating 90% of the people here

Competitive_Ride

Even people who never read news are asking about stocks now. This girl didn’t even know there was a war in Iran a month in to the thing and she’s investing now. We are going to SPY 900 by July

SxeySteve

!banbet SPY 760 3 days

Valkorion335786

SPY Ironically also my best

PenguinsfortheCup

first ever 0 SPY, made 210$ usd, not bad?

DietFoods

Anyone here buying and holding SPY instead of QQQ, whyyyyy? 

Valkorion335786

I made $9 on SPY calls after watching be -$20 for hours lol I'll take that win

seanhealy43

Once again got calls on SPY and NVDA

WallStreetThreats_

SPY 755 tomorrow, dump comes with the reports on inflation, repump over the weekend on some BS

el-que-queda

SPY pumping. 🌽 dumping. 🧐

Sick0h

If you bought MU at the peak of the dotcom bubble and held you’re still outperforming SPY.

JimmyWhatever

Are you buying or selling? I sell 0 DTE calls on SPY. As long as you set strike price above what you paid you make money. Might get stuck holding your shares for a while if big drop in price but you still don’t lose money unless you sell below what you paid. And only set strike price at a number your ok being assigned. Not sure why many people seem to be so down on 0 DTE calls. Unless maybe buying puts and calls and gambling they guess right?

Aggravating_Fig6288

As long as memory (MU) keeps ripping and the Mag 7 dump like trash everyday, the play is QQQ dailies over SPY.

Sibo321

Yes i know that but long term like nore than 10 years which is my timeline QQQ is better than SPY historically

LadderAdmirable

Tomorrow we get one of the largest gap ups in SPY/QQQ. 4-5% on both indexes. Get your regarded OTM calls now.

Sibo321

QQQ has higher gains than SPY historically

SerMumble

It's good to have layers of volatility by the time you retire especially because it really sucks selling QQQM compared to SPYM during a recession. Buy SPYM and/or QQQM from now on. Cheaper than SPY and QQQ. There are always better performing etfs. QQQM < SPMO < VGT < FMTM < SMH < AIS < DRAM < etc. The difficult part when performance chasing is knowing when too much is too much. You're not going to ruin yourself selling a little of SPY over time to put into QQQM but definitely plan out the taxes before selling. If a SPY share has a short term gain, don't sell it. If a SPY share has a long term gain, that's more reasonable. Taxless accounts are simply amazing for these kinds of rebalancing.

fulbrooktarynli1ty

i could lose $640k on 0dte SPY calls way faster and have a lot more fun doing it

theperezident94

QQQ about to be a higher price than SPY and frankly that’s scary as hell

Fangore

I have both QQQ and SPY (except mine is CSPX) Yes, my QQQ has greatly outperformed my CSPX. But I still buy into CSPX every 4 months. Just because QQQ is doing better/has done bettee, doesn't mean it always will. In times where the market is not as bullish/growth heavy, you will be thankful for your SPY for providing stability.

gervs99

SPY final push plz

gh0st-33

SPY has been a snooze fest today

Sibo321

That's what AI said. Bad idea to switch cuz I will get taxed. Im just mad seeing QQQ gains much higher than SPY.

__redruM

Asking here may get a one sided answer. SPY/QQQ is the way I would go. I had a rental for a few years as I waited for home prices to recover a bit and made out OK. But I sold and got my money in the stock market, and I’m better off.

hioman01

If you want to short SPY, just buy bag7

Chiinoe

SPY you POS how are you flat with everything mumping???

bigswordmeatlord

So no power hour for SPY, got it

stonetrade

Bear market starts when QQQ officially hits the same price as SPY

VesperGilchrist

Algos doing most of the trading is absolute bollocks. LUNR crashing spooked the algos and the entire market is down. It literally erased almost $1 from SPY in minutes. You thought the algos were coupled to SPY, but SPY is coupled to LUNR it turns out. And now it's slowly climbing back again. ETFs aren't any better than meme stocks if one random meme stock can cause something like this. And you just sit there like the absolute bellend that you are and watch your port lose thousands because one random penny stock took a dive. This is literally lunacy.

TheyCallMeCool1

Insane watching the entire market collectively decide that nothing is overvalued and the fair value for SPY is $1000

OrdinaryMix4013

fuck it SPY 800 end of may calls it is.

JonnyP0T-SmokR

Need a refund from SPY.

InevitableAd2436

Just invest in SPY every month. $10K per year over the next 18 years at 10% annual will get you $455K Can easily accomplish this at Wendy’s while living at home.

thesupahobo

I see a lot of problems with your perspective, and this same perspective is probably going to continue to make you lose money. For one, I don't know what stocks you are buying. If you are buying random stocks/penny stocks, you are gambling. If you want individual stocks, buy big companies and just hold. Also, an immediate 1% dip doesn't matter, especially in the long term. If you hold you probably would've made money. You put these sell limits on stuff you just bought and you are trading a stock. Most people fail when they trade short term. You want to know how to not feel anxious when a stock dips? Seriously buy and just wait. When you see dips, you don't sell like a moron. You wait for the recovery or buy more. That is how you get used to it and reframing how you see red days. I am going to use myself as an example, I bought 510 shares of AMD nov 2024. It dipped below $100. As you can imagine, I was probably down like $30k at some point on AMD. Now it is almost $500 a share. Im literally up $175k+ by holding for a long time. Another one. I bought RKLB only $2000 worth on april at $84.30/share. It dropped to like $77/share. Who cares. I hold and it is $143/share right now. Granted, I probably got a bit lucky on this. What i am saying is stop fucking selling when you see red. It is a moronic move. Stop buying shit stocks. If you can't deal with red or large fluctuations, stop being an active investor. Have an automatic system put in money weekly into an ETF like $VOO or $SPY and just forget it. Come back to actually making money.

_AnecdotalEvidence_

Is it too much to ask for another .5 percent on SPY today?

nauurthankyou

>Pick yourself up, first yourself off, chalk this up to the cost of learning and **buy SPY calls*

bilingualbunny

True lol, sold half my MU today and put it in SPY. I looked through my entire watch list and nothing was worth

euphoricmoonberry

Do we think SPY will hit 755 this week 🤔

KingKongdoor

Feel like I should buy some SPY puts....

R3dFiveStandingBye

Bro SPY break 750 youve done it before

thegreatgumbini

Teacher: "Can anyone in the class give me the definition of insanity?" Me: >!"Me buying 0dte SPY puts after a massive run on the rumor the war is over only for it to not drop and I wait till expiration and lose all my money?"!< Teacher: "Correct!"

Routine-Agent-160

SEND ITTT 🚀🚀🚀 Need another 1% for SPY before close.

Nuclear_N

And this is why I am QQQ AND SPY

iAmGrimTV

Just reverse the whole move down SPY I will forgive you 😘