SPY

BarbellPadawan

Any overvalued stocks right now? Don’t say SPY.

BarbellPadawan

Awesome that you found this investing sub so quickly! Doesn’t really matter, just buy SPY FDs. The lower the delta, shorter the expiry, and more negative the theta, the BETTER!

sunburn74

I would probably not do single stock leaps unless you have high conviction. LEAPs on SPY or QQQ are totally fine though.

Dagger_000

Should be an interesting week. $SPY and $QQQ are still holding up pretty well. Keeping an eye on $NVDA too, and $SPCX has that Aug. 20 lockup coming up. Fed minutes Wednesday could shake things up a bit. Let's see what happens.

HauHauHauHauHauHau

Why would SPY tank that much off of NVDA? QQQ would.

robinhoodscams

SPY 765 after NVDA earnings

Outside_Ad4446

As long as $SPY hits $970 by Nov 20th my calls will make me RICH BIIIIIITCH...

Elephant_Ambush_2000

I don't know how you're so down in an up year. My portfolio has been spiking since april thanks to VGT/QQQ/SPY, you know....the standard

robinhoodscams

Alright so lost $75,000 in April. Swore off the market until last SPCX earnings. Got calls at $109. Made 200%. Ended up day trading SPY afterwards. Managed to lose another $7,000 of savings in about 2 days. I have lost EVERYTHING… AGAIN. I fucking hate you Wall Street !

TopDesigner6211

SPY and GOOG will run up tomorrow and make me monies yes or no?

BriackYOLO

0.5%, 1% OTM right at market open. If SPY rips 1% those contracts will 10x easily without needing a miracle move

Outside_Ad4446

🤣🤣🤣 $SPY puts are in play too...

Outside_Ad4446

$SPY the new $SPCX...

pineapplekiwipen

SPY is hitting 800 this year source: i feel like it will come to me in a dream

HauHauHauHauHauHau

Congrats on those QQQ I have no idea why SPY is being a bitch 🤦‍♂️

Competitive-Elk9326

Bers in disbelief as the VIX opens at -10 and SPY opens at 800

aioliravioli

this jus makes me bullish sounds like the entire planet knows to just siphon their money into SPY and co

QuinnOneTrick

Yes because everyone thinks its going to naturally keep rallying another day because SPY inclusion but its already rallied

SomePolack

SPY is higher now than it was back then tbf But that shit was easier to trade

Micahftww

SPY range bound tomorrow

s1234en

Over 50 years nothing will beat SPY, if that's what you're looking for

CultofCedar

I mean it’s not Wsb but yea I’ve had most of mine split something like 40% VOO, 40% QQQ, 15% random long term, 5% yolo wsb style money. Overall I’m up around 70% ytd last I checked which is more than enough since I thought I was good years ago lol. Obligatory need money to make money but SPY options have treated me well and they’re not that expensive. Hard to be mad seeing 1000% gains over the weekend when the mango man says some dumb shit lol.

GodLevelRedditor

Just got the DM from orange man, SPY to be up 1.8% at open

windwineJQC

https://preview.redd.it/zsz4a2pr7ujh1.png?width=2046&format=png&auto=webp&s=7f3a955ad2a6849e0977a391fa87c6fc326992b6 This is my backtest with SPY w/o the momentum overlay. The momentum overlay is making things worse.

All_YourBase

SPY doesn't outperform QQQ

Eastern-Contact-2034

So sideways SPY chop this week or? How high we think we’ll see by Friday realistically

WaterBedsAreNice

Lol this is precisely why SPY is and will always outperform anything and everything. God himself will need to come down to stop SPY.

stonetrade

SPY. Not a healthy breakout. Was supposed to retest 700 first We are doomed

WordsHappenedHere

SPY isn’t close to bearish unless $760 falls. It’s not even out of the uptrend unless you go below $750. So why tf are you even trying to short it. Sit on your hands, wait for a retest of $760 before you even think about trying to short it aggressively. The bull flag on it has a measured move all the way up to $824. That will catch a shit ton of Permabears off guard. Just hang on for the ride because that’s where it’s headed. So much money to be made here. Stop being a fucking idiot.

Sweaty_Platypus69

We theta between now to ATH range and then in Oct big plunge like July and then resume making another ATH End of the year. SPY 800

HighwayExotic2808

\*A nuke detonates over Tehran \*SPY creeps up another 0.1%

WordsHappenedHere

The only indicator that matters is price. Retards in here just over complicate it. You aren’t a geopolitical expert. You aren’t an oil supply expert. Whatever reasons you have for being bearish, no matter how valid you think they are do not matter. Price and trend are all that matters. Trying to short SPY, during a clean uptrend. In the midst of a clear bull flag is a pure retardium. Maybe the market knows something that you dont. Just follow the fucking money and stop arguing with the market.

CobblerInternal2703

if SPY hits 800 by thursday ill suck you off

BriackYOLO

I'll bet you $10 right now, that the moment he posts 'DEAL SIGNED', headline reading algorithms buy up SPY before you can even refresh the feed.

BarbellPadawan

SPY 800 EOW probably.

methylaminebb

The melt up to SPY 800 is here

bemeandnotyou

$SPY is the real HONEYBADGER

kdestroyer1

888 is just a better number than 777. SPY 888 by Tuesday

Iron-condor-6050

The upvote and downvote swing on this comment is like SPY on a volatile day. I saw +5, -3, and now flat.

pineapplekiwipen

SPY FUTES UP 0.01% BER R FUK :money: :money: :money:

Sufficient_Habit5091

MoU ceasefire technically expires tomorrow. Naturally, crude will plummet and SPY will rip to new ATHs.

music_is_gud

SPY fading like bers' will to live tomorrow

BruceMee

More convinced than ever that the drop is imminent, so cue SPY 785.

Micahftww

what do we think SPY is gonna do tomorrow?

Hot-Bicycle8217

This is me. But I’m tempted to move more into SPY because it just can’t go down???

mayorolivia

Ackman underperforms SPY

Cav829

“Knew what he was doing” dude he is down on a year SPY is already up 13%+. Honestly it feels very WSB to put this up as proof he knew what he was doing.

Mededitor

It has never been bad advice. I keep about 90% in Mag 7-type stocks and $SPY, and speculate with the rest.

BarbellPadawan

SPY

Pie_Dealer_co

Well nothing is sure SPY going for another 5 years of this is would be weird... but if 5 years pass and it kept going like the last 5... to me the graph looks unsustainable and lets not kid ourself its mainly a handful of companies from those 500. Whats your experience on boring utility companies dont they crash when the entire market crash? Because even something boring as a company making/selling water meters will get burned if the economy is bad and no one build new buildings needing water meters. Of course the segment that is wear and tear is still there but the growth is not it should lower stock price.

MusingsAndMind

Just now realized. My retirement accounts are in index funds. If I buy SPY puts? I break even probably. If I buy SPY calls? I gain along with my retirement accounts. Can't believe I didn't realize this sooner. I am infinitesimally more smarter than I thought.

Plastic_Ninja_9014

On the Mention side AAPL, NVDA, SPY, TSLA-📉

Valkorion335786

Watching SPY and asking God to give me patience because if He gives me strength I will have to pray for bail money next

music_is_gud

Lol no he underperformed SPY by a mile since 2010

CEOofBeanz

I have minority stakes in 500 of the most powerful corporations in the world. You guys wouldn’t get it. You’re not as sophisticated as I am nor will you ever be for I am superior in many more ways than one. (Own SPY)

Aggravating-Buy-1695

HO LEE FUK SPY 800 when?

Competitive-Water944

Very concern for Bul. SPY delist soon

No-Grass-1852

Yeah I've seen most people make gains SPY options. Why not long contracts? If I'm bullish wouldn't I want to buy more time?

Hellmale

Drooling on my QQQ and SPY puts expiring on 8/21🤤

Commercial_Sound1448

0DTE SPY Puts

WalrusHonda

Sure it will come for 2 weeks and then SPY will rip so incredibly hard to 1000 over a year when no one is invested and bears are still short ,

Creepy-Fennel-852

So SPY pump or dump Monday ?

Immapillpopnanimal

Just trade SPY or QQQ.. MU is expensive and wicked volatile.. all I trade these days are those two, Microsoft, Google, and Apple.. and buy puts on amazon, target and some times palantier just cuz I hate them

ShittyUsernane1222

we need 24/7/365 trading on SPY.

Novel-Camera-840

He actually did. For how much noise and PR he gets he acts like he beats SPY by 5x consistently but nope

Sufficient_Habit5091

Ah okay looks like YoY this past week they just edged out 21.7% vs. 21.1%. 2025 VGK dominated though, 35.8% vs. 17.7%. I think you will see the same in 2026 and beyond. Historically yes (including 5y), SPY has dominated but nothing dominates forever. We went from ~30% debt to GDP and surpluses under Clinton during the internet boom, to a country that would be considered unrecognizable during the hope and optimism of those years. Assuming we don't correct course (it doesn't appear we are), 10-20 years the change will be even more drastic.

OptionsDrifter

I bet he’s actually underperformed SPY over the last 20 years, even after beating it by 800% or whatever in a single year in 2009.

FishHammer

"I made $11 on SPY calls grandma!"

ShittyUsernane1222

mamdani learned chinese. [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxspeoTRjuk](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxspeoTRjuk) calls on SPY puts on USA

IvoryTowerResident

1 yr returns SPY >VGK YTD reutnr SPY > VGK 5 yr return SPY returning double

sashazaliz

your math checks out for the last few years, and i won’t pretend otherwise. but you’re comparing two strategies that aren’t trying to do the same thing. buy-and-hold SPY is going for max growth and you eat every drop. writing calls on a boring name trades some upside for income and a smoother ride. those aren’t better-or-worse, they’re different jobs. and the part that’s easy to miss: “just buy SPY” only looks obvious because SPY went up. that’s hindsight talking. nobody sitting in 2022 down 25% knew the bounce was coming, and plenty of people sold right there. holding through that is a lot harder than it sounds after the fact. in a flat market or a falling one, the income and the smaller swings are the whole point, that’s when giving up some upside looks smart instead of dumb. in a crazy bull market like we just had, yeah, you underperform, on purpose. So if your magic crystal ball is telling you the next five years look like the last five, buy SPY. i’m not that sure, so i like getting paid while i wait and not getting steamrolled when it does drop.

SpicyElixer

Yep. When managing hundreds of billions of dollars, it is virtually impossible to beat the market by the massive 20%+ annual margins he achieved in the 1960s through 1990s. Buffet has said this many times. That said: 1) A lump-sum investment in Berkshire has beaten SPY over nearly any rolling 20+ year period. 2)Berkshire significantly outperformed the S&P during major drawdowns (e.g., the 2000 dot-com crash, 2008, and 2022). SPY distributes ~1.5% in taxable dividends each year. Berkshire pays zero dividends, allowing 100% of the capital to compound tax-deferred in a taxable account.

pegasusCK

That's uhhhh not a good thing for SPY lol.

poopy_wizard132

Will SPY drop 1% tomorrow?

IvoryTowerResident

>VGK has been beating SPY, working very well for me and I believe that will continue. My data shows SPY outperforming VGK

Illustrious-Egg7514

I do not like the idea of selling now after a more than 50% haircut. But I also do not like being all in BTC. So perhaps middle ground? 50/50. Capture some SPY and potentially a massive BTC run but you will need patience for a couple of years…

carlos5577

When will people learn. SPY and QQQ always go up

Sufficient_Habit5091

>Secret outperformer: Dispelling the ‘myths’ about an unloved stock market >BNP Paribas believes Europe is more likely to be an AI beneficiary rather than a developer. >For Goldman Sachs, Europe being behind on the AI trade may not be such a bad thing, either. VGK has been beating SPY, working very well for me and I believe that will continue.

BentoMan

I think Nvidia is going to dump after earnings and probably take SPY with it. I need to figure out when they report. 

HundoHavlicek

When SPY is only up 14% ytd but you’ve also seen this meme 100 times over that time period

WordsHappenedHere

SPY be like https://preview.redd.it/1jmaw2c2bqjh1.jpeg?width=1293&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b9e52086168ca04d5618ec268e5515d7ef151ba3

the6ixgirl

All my SPY lottos were worth $9k 🤣.

eirinite

What was your last trading dream about? Last night, I dreamed I knew $SPY would crash COVID-style, and all I had to do was buy as many deep OTM puts as possible and wait for Monday’s fallout. But, I had no money in my trading account (just like IRL), and funds take a week to process.

imustbegthequestion

What's the consensus? SPY and QQQ, calls or puts for a Wednesday 11:30am strike? Or stroke? Or strobe? I don't know. It's just u/imustbegthequestion

Mods4Bers

Im interested in Puts on SPY, but shorting memory right now is beyond retarded. Its clearly gaining strength relative to the market.

messageemile

He was also saying the SPY would crash like 8 years ago

AngusMcTibbins

You're not wrong. I've made some money in semis. But most of my money is in SPY because it only goe ls up.. but it goes up too slowly for me to escape the anus-tier life

luckysharms93

Buffet hasn't beat the S&P in a long time. His overall return comes from early years. If you run a backtest where you DCA into BRK and SPY, you have to go back to 1993 for BRK.A to win

Pale-Silver-8178

ppl brag bout SPY being up 20%, bro inflation and other shit cancels those gains out youre break even economic wise

Pie_Dealer_co

With your 25 years of experience can you explain this? Real inflation is around 20% last half a decade if not more. SPY 500 and similar move around 30% last couple of years every year. Then you can even get stocks that moved 60+% no issue the last 5 years. Not making it hard saying X jumped 100% then jumped to Y it made 60% and so on. I have picked a nice flat stock it moves up 5% every year so we beat inflation but growth is lacking. Lets say its a utility or REIT. I sell CC for 2 years and never get assigned. Then we do the math... I made less than just putting it in SPY 500

frogger1988

No SPY????

buyatollah_kuminamy

Shes either A: waiting for me to text and im in or B: she hope i dont and i blow everything This is tougher than a SPY put or call on a friday

twat_muncher

I think SPY has 800 soon, but after that seems like we could be flat for a year

user4443337

An LETF I like is NTSD. It’s quarterly reset, so less volatility decay. Only 1.5x so modest. And it’s 90% SPY 60% EFA - so kinda close to 1.5x VT. Just missing small caps and emerging markets. As long both go up steadily, that leverage will help a ton and I’m up a big amount already on this. It’s an underrated ETF IMO, even that financial YouTuber Ben Felix was saying he’s in favor of using leverage when young. And one of the guests on his podcast was suggesting LETFs instead of margin.

fightoraccept

Let me know if SOH anything like Cancun, might go... A great beach spot is one with light blue Caribbean water, soft Sand and topless woman ranging from fake big titty American spring break hoes to European milfs. I'm sure 🥭 gonna fly out all the bad bitches to SOH, probably will run Miss America pageant down there. SPY $8008

ThatOneRedditBro

In the last 2 years spy dropped at least 1.5% 31 times. Out of all the trading days that is a 6% chance. Given a lot of these drops were in short term draw downs in the market, you essentially have a less than 3% chance to buy weeklies to score big.  Maybe next week will be that 3% where we give up 3-5% on SPY

davestufff

anyone else buying put's on SPY?

Sufficient_Habit5091

Naturally, and face-ripping rally to new ATHs for SPY.

ThetaEdgeHQ

papakong has the core mechanic right, a disallowed loss is not gone, it rides into the cost basis of the replacement and comes back to you when you finally close flat. So the doomsday framing is overblown for anyone who fully exits by year end. Two things nobody has flagged that actually matter for how you trade. First, the gray area you are sensing is substantially identical, and for options it reaches across instruments, not just the same contract. Selling stock at a loss and then selling a CSP or buying a call on the same name inside 30 days can trip it, and that is exactly the trap for covered call and collar traders who are always holding shares next to the option. It is rarely the option versus itself that bites, it is the option against the stock. Second, if you trade broad based index options like SPX or XSP, wash sale does not apply to them at all. They are 1256 contracts, marked to market at year end with 60/40 treatment, which is the mark to market point the first reply gestured at. So part of your answer is instrument choice, SPY options carry the wash question, the index equivalents make it vanish. The two month pause is way more than you need. Wash only defers a loss, it does not delete it, and it only reaches 30 days each side of the loss, so the clean fix is just not rebuying the same name inside that window rather than going dark for eight weeks.

BentoMan

You bears need to touch grass — go to any decent restaurant this evening and they are slammed. SPY ATH makes perfect sense.