Reddit Posts
What's with the price-dependent periods of reduced volatility?
Martingale the US 40trill government deb 🎰
Beware of smart beta ETFs. 9.75 year review. After taking into account fees and dividends, they kind of suck.
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Behind the Treasury Intervention - The Setup That Could Force the Fed to Follow
Convince me SSO (2X SPY) is a bad idea for long term investors
Full send calls on MRNA tomorrow 160 0DTE?
Treasury Intervened As Expected - Here’s What It Means
Trump Name-Drops Hyperliquid at the White House, How Will HYPE Price React?
I built a free dealer-gamma + live options-flow terminal for SPX/SPY/QQQ. No signup. Tear it apart.
Trump pauses 50% tariffs on Canada for 3 days
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
We preregistered a bearish gamma structure and measured it running the other way. Method inside.
Please help fuel my gambling addiction
[DD] Why $RDDT goes to $1,000 the exact second their AI team figures out Post-Nut Clarity
SPX is realizing 12.4 vol and the options market is only pricing 11.3
VIX Buying Points to a Short-Term Pullback Next Week but SPY Could Still Squeeze Above $780
SPY is fake. US Bonds are fake. Bitcoin is ready for you.
Closed SPY $763.00C 08/04/26 for $79,709.00 gain (+4003%) last week, I didn't know I could post like this. No body text so this is in title
Tried trading SPY 0 DTE and my account glitched and I'm now a multi-millionaire.
Can my 64-year-old dad retire soon? $700k assets + Social Security
MY FELLOW DEGENS AND APETARDS. PUTS AT OPEN. $SPY
SPY Is Coiling Below $775 What Could Trigger the Breakout
made some bad choices this week, inexperienced, need advice.
Sell ODTE puts on SPY then sell Monthly Calls?
At what point does owning SPY + QQQ + a growth ETF stop being diversification and start being the same bet in different wrappers?
I trade for a living - why I’m still bullish into CPI and the levels I’m trading on SPY, QQQ, oil and DRAM
Built a free dealer-gamma (GEX) map for SPX/SPY/QQQ — tell me where the methodology is wrong.
DD - The case for SPY 130,000 by 2048
Option Loss No Internet +30k to -$20k
UPDATE #7 (The End. For now at least.): I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
From Olive Presses to Power Laws: A 2,600-Year History of the Call Option
gonna full port SPY 8/14 $800C with 40k monday at open AMA
For anyone wondering exactly how much QQQ and VOO/SPY actually overlap, here is the math.
Do you think HTZ will help me recover the $23k loss from SPY ODTE?
Do you think HTZ will help me recover the $23k loss from SPY ODTE?
UPDATE #7 (The End. For now at least.): I’m Bout To Pull The Greatest Trading Comeback OF ALL TIME $19 to $1 million
The Nasdaq 100's valuation premium over the S&P 500 is near a 9-year low. Is tech actually expensive anymore?
I Trade for a Living - Why I’m Buying Dips After the Forced Buying is Over and More DD on Gold and Liquidity
SPY predictive dashboard with ChatGPT contd. not financial advice just for fun
While I Profited a Couple Hundred….this is the worst loss I’ve ever experienced
YOLO: SPY 7900 by Friday. I’m all in on 7850 Calls,
I Trade for a Living - What Comes After the Rally & the “Hidden QE”
SPY at $774 in overnight trading
Mentions
Metals didn't believe that SPY dip.
SPY 765 generational buying opportunity SPY 766 generational selling opportunity Rinse and repeat
Why does it feel like SPY has been close to 765 for 3 months?
SPY and 765 The most iconic duo of all time
What are you doing step SPY?
SPY the fuck was that candle?
if you couldn't tell that SPY would dump today, you should just buy and hold index funds
Easy almost 2x on that SPY reversal which was obvious. Even my dumbass saw it coming. Think I’ll stay out to NVDA earnings now. Maybe grab Q’s puts EOD for it.
Negative gamma coming at SPY 765 come on come on I need a McMuffin today
Remember the days SPY would be up like 1% overnight then would have a funny dump to red within the 1st 30 mins? Let’s get those days back
How many tax dollars are they wasting by keeping SPY pinned ?
I just full ported SPY puts . See ya next week if it goes south
How long can they pump IWM AND SPY while dumping every stock in existence except BE
Everybody since the beginning of the year. SCHD and KO are both up a lot more than SPY and QQQ ytd
Bollinger bands are tightening on SPY. Holding the daily 20 strong, NVDA earnings are about to spark a huge move one direction or the other.
**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 0W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $690.16 (below) | $766.84 | -10.0% | Aug 29, 2:04 PM |
**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $782.17 (above) | $766.83 | +2.0% | Aug 29, 2:04 PM |
duh!......if only NVDA put all its funds into SPY, well then we never wouldve had that AI boom
Just dump 1 dollar, SPY. You won't - no balls.
All good brother!! You surely closed in profits I'd imagine. The puts were a lil iffy I'd admit, but BTC was looking sketch before open. Honestly, (Not financial advice), but days when the SPY/NASDAQ are red.. Puts on anything quantum computing or speculative work real well. But all good! your close should be a win and I totally understand why you did
SPY contracts expensive as FUCK! im going to get a coffee
it's over chat, SPY is taking another dump, sell everything
Tom Cuck Lee promised SPY 800 And he wouldn’t like… cucks can’t lie :kek:
Will SPY stay red today because of those numbers??
Let me guess, all my stocks down 10%, SPY somehow .01% green
The 1 month SPY chart looks strange
Aren't we overreacting much here for some numbers? SPY enough with the goddamn chop
Went in big on LUNR yesterday. You can see on the charts that once SPY has a half decent day and money returns to space stocks, this will fly up towards 20 again and beyond
It really was. I had a short position, reached around $35k and thought I was hot shit, then SPY shot up. Still made 12k but a big lesson (don’t know what the lesson was, but it was big).
So if we didn’t have the tariffs and Iran fun do we think SPY would be 850 by now?
SPY up 11.57% ytd. Passive beating tactical
!Banbet $SPY +3% 1 week
when my port is 0.05% above SPY I'm a damn genius
SPY red. No one trusts the data.
What the fuck just happened SPY
What kind of choppy shit is SPY doing
Guys i think SPY is having a stroke
to stay on the safe side, divide your pounds across these four ETF's, VOO, VTI, QQQ, SPY.. good luck
They're building 5,000 new Theta Centers all around the nation. Theta Centers are fueled when SPY stays flat.
Oh but what would have happened if you put this cash 💰 n SPY instead? Just curious.
SPY 0dte calls. Sell quick
I think it was two NVDA ERs ago. Next day SPY opened at like +2% only to close at -2% lol I still remember that day
Personally I think SPY/SPX will rally today
Welcome to another day of Why the fuck is SPY going green
Lmao holy shit is SPY having a seizure?
there is one buyer and one seller for every trade what this means is that the price is intrinsically the point at which the number of buyers equals the number of sellers for a stock/option, this means that at any given time half the people think any given thing will go up and the other half think it will go down a buyer or seller must enter the market for the price to actually go up or down given that half the people think it will go up and half think it will go down, it follows that the next price movement is literally exactly 50/50 random this is why everything is all just random walk theory and it always has been and it always will be $SPY 830
If an HFT is buying, say, SPY shares, in quantities of millions of shares, long and short per second, which is what HFT does by definition - it will effect volume. There's absolutely no rule that says, for example, that an HFT firm can't buy and sell large quantities of SPY, IWM, or QQQ at a recent pivot, while an affiliate large trading outfit makes a contrarian bet as retailers get "Pavlov'd" and assume the vol spike means the pivot's in play again for a reversal. I see it constantly, SPY reaches a pivot in it's channel, vol spikes, price staggers for a few minutes and then drops more or continues it's rise beyond recent "key levels" as retailers call them. This direction likely hinges on retail order flow, if enough muppets are in cred spreads under the assumption a swing will reverse - liquidity sweep, welcome to the 97% of retailers who fail. Watching intraday volume is almost pointless now, 15 years ago it was a helpful indicator. And, yes, I've been trading that long. .
It is effectively a put / floor on price of long term bonds. The US bond market is so enormous that the bond vigilantes cannot possible corner the market. So this will play out as intended by Bessent, with inflation doing its work and real interest rates going south. I guess that means 'calls' on SPY.
Finish this sentence. “SPY reminds me of the last fart I trusted. It was…”
I’m doing a LETF for bonds exposure. RSSB. It’s 100% global stocks + 100% treasuries. There’s also NTSX which is 90% SPY + 60% treasury futures. NTSXSIM actually backtests better than SPYSIM, and beats it. Higher sharpe, lower drawdown, higher CAGR. Pretty compelling. But sadly with a single LETF you don’t really get the rebalancing benefits, but I think they’re nice if you REALLY want some bond exposure. Just throw some equity on top and call it a day. https://testfol.io/?s=2vn1QtoljJM
I don't understand. Why not just buy SPY index funds when you already have this amount of money?
SPY's had 1 hollow candle in 2 weeks. I feel like this might mean something, or maybe not.
First time looking at $CASY. Never heard of Casey's General Store but would've thought they were in the tech industry or something just based on their 5 year chart. Casually kicking SPY's ass.
SPY 0DTE -5% puts (usually 0.01 per contract at close day before)
Are we ready to push to SPY 800 finally?
We need another SPY rally overnight market
Take profit on SPY calls or average down on SPY calls (on red days)
Today I did not buy any SPY or QQQ options! Hope I was right 🙏
When are getting a proper green day in SPY?
SPY goes 0.1% down in extended hours and bers start saying the top is in
**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 2L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $780.00 (above) | $765.91 | +1.8% | Aug 29, 2:14 AM |
No way they let the market drop with a 2 Put to call ratio for tomm-SPY
**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 1W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $755.00 (below) | $765.91 | -1.4% | Aug 28, 1:52 AM |
**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $760.69 (below) | $765.91 | -0.7% | Aug 29, 1:51 AM |
Straight down to 760 tomorrow SPY. You ain't got the balls to do it while I'm holding calls
i'm long QQQ, BTC, Copper Miners, SPY, Gold, Healthcare, wide moat stocks, china and semis while short gold miners. hopefully they aren't all the same trade tomorrow
This for sure looks like the leg down 😂 !banbet SPY 755 24hr
Unless the rest of this week has some insane volume (which it might because PCE/NVDA), **August is on track to have the lowest** **daily avg** **volume on** **SPY** **in 2****0 years.** Jan 2002 (16.6M) Dec 2003 (30.8M) Aug 2003 (36.8M) Sep 2003 (39.0M) Jul 2003 (40.7M) Dec 2004 (41.3M) 👆==22 Years==👇 **Aug 2026 MTD (41.7M)** Aug 2004 (41.9M) Oct 2024 (42.4M) May 2026 (47.3M)
SPY: $230 by 935am, $800 by 1450pm. Positions: Missionary and Reverse Cowgirl Don't shoot the messenger.
-2% 5D +4.8% 1MO Oh, and -28% 6MO which is a 40% spread if you just sat in SPY and did nothing Through the roof? Fuck outta here with this nonsense.
SPY didn't go down, unlike your momma
SPY isn't just two memory stocks.
Big money already decided if they’re selling the news or running up tomorrow. Technically the SPY needs. Healthy pullback to 745, so I’d bet on either sell the news or a bad earnings. But no one can predict earnings and what big money will do. Just my guess
KOSPI is up 22% since July 30. SPY what's your excuse?
**BanBet Lost** — /u/teachingroland (0W - 2L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $763.47 → $725.30 | -5.0% | 1d | Lost |
Honestly I wouldn't trust any of the price action right now. Trading volume across the board has been pretty low this week. SPY just had the lowest volume day since February 2025
RIP bers 8/26/26z Here lies the bers, who spent all month screaming “top is in” while SPY casually marched to another ATH. 🪦🐻 Their puts expired worthless, their VIX calls became tax write-offs, and their final words were, “Just wait until September.” In lieu of flowers, please send margin.
SPY calls are a good investment right now if they print
My main brokerage account only up 10% ytd so under performing SPY, perhaps I am dogshit at options and trading and should just voo and chill
I love buying SPY its safe. Anyway I'm gambling in cancer research
Gulf of America Strait of America Lake America Where else do investors think the water for data centers be coming from? SPY should be 800 already
The only 4 STOCKS/FUNDS/ETFs I'm actively trading are $SPY $MSFT $USO & $LCID. Through six months of active research she thanks to you doctors of degenerate regardency, I have learned about crack spreads and derivatives. I'm a Medical Biller and Compliance Officer in Infectious Diseases. I know arbitrage and actuary. The casino is a blast. Shout out to the @MODS for putting up with my shit memeing and rapid messaging. TL:DR. Calls until the election then wait and see. Everything ends at some point. 🤡🫡
Dude, this is the definition of efficient markets, the best prediction is a martingale. That’s why a lot of pricing theory is even built around it. What all you refuse to realize an acknowledge is that the index is calculated using the weighted average of the underlying and not the SPX options market. The tail doesn’t wag the dog. The other channel is the macro via the futures market. That’s the classic ES -> SPY arb that moves prices. The ETF arb leg between SPY and constituents covers the rest and removes and misgivings. None of you understand this market structure and y’all just look at the chain. How can you even pick a level if the max on strike is purely 20 bps away from the martingale which is the naive prediction. You think gamma is some magic and call/out walls are some magic?
Reminder: No crying in the casino. You made bad decisions. All you had to do was buy SPY and literally do nothing.
Did you buy SPY or QQQ puts?😝
SPY 0dte is not gambling if you have a strategy. And my strategy is to gamble
NVDA ER miss and hawkish FED for SPY 800
I got out of my SPY puts at a break even, I'm just buying KURA to ride the cancer vaccine wave