SPY

Beagle001

The Strain has been opened and closed so much, it's not really relevant anymore as a news trigger. Oil pop will cause a drop on SPY till oil finds it's range, then SPY will resume it's illogical climbing again. My gummy just kicked in and that's what was transmitted to me by the owl headed god.

No_Turn5018

I'm not trying to be a dick, it's just that the stuff you're saying is so incredibly wrong I'm angry at the people responsible for teaching you math.  But no I'm not saying that's what happened. I'm saying that literally every company in the SPY can be off their all-time high and it's still be at this number. It's like you're trying to compare gas mileage with number of letters in the car brand. They're almost completely unrelated. 

RougarouGumbo

I heard they had enough left to yolo 5 or 6 SPY 0dtes, loss porn incoming

Tigulla_SRT24

I don’t mind crash or pullback as i been shorting SPY AMD MRVL CLS and down 2k already

yolo_astronaut

Is the rally already over? It’s been just over two weeks, and it wasn’t even obvious things were correcting until maybe a week ago. SPY is only up 1% off ATH.

WorkingHorror99

!banbet SPY 720 6d

WorkingHorror99

!banbet SPY $720 6d

JohanLiebert92

SPY 700 wen?

sftheory

!Banbet SPY $600 1m

Happy-n-Healthy

SPY 769 is not a meme!

VacationLover1

#SPY $420 is not a meme

DefiantDelta

SPY stands for Shorts Puts Yes

d33p7r0ubl3

Iran really messed up their bargaining chip. They were having the President crashing out with hilarious tweets. Now that’s all gone and SPY 750 EOY

qx2

!banbet SPY $698 7d

Rolling_in_the_Dip

!banbet SPY +1% 48h

Gloomy_Builder7134

!banbet SPY 690 3d

savemoney_god

!banbet SPY 700 3d

mindminermike

!banbet SPY 600 2w

buyatollah_kuminamy

!banbet SPY 650 2d

AsmallFluffyPanda

Alright SPY +1% minday

tinyboxav

recently, NVIDIA at 170 and MSFT at 364 and SPY at 634

SighRamp

SPY setting up same pattern as 2025

Soft_Repair714

Buy some farther put options on SPX or SPY. I recommend joining my trading group. Sounds like you could use more hand holding and they are good. Botostradingacademy you want to buy a range not just one. Like some that expire in a week a month, further. So you can scale out as they pay. However you want to be careful of entry and wait for confirmation. Monday could be a good day for puts. Come in we trade live everyday during market hours.

jj77985

No, i dont, but I also doubt that the all the other stocks within SPY are up enough to make up for the top 7 all being lower than they were. i didnt look into that, which is why I thought I would ask here, in case maybe someone else already did, since its not that important to me. a simple matter of curiosity.

music_is_gud

SPY red or green next week?

Peshmerga_Sistani

Your comment history suggests you're very new to options trading. You don't even know your way around the IBKR interface.   Asking if the limit price is for the stock price or contract price on a options chain. Same with asking if the stop loss is for the stock price or contract price on an options chain. You even asked how an out of the money SPY call became profitable despite it not hitting the breakeven. You are not ready to trade options. I highly recommend paper trading before actual trading. Good luck. 

music_is_gud

SPY 800 after its Q1 earnings (FOMC) **LMAO** 🤌

sunburn74

Generally agree. LEAPs as a stock replacement tool is relatively efficient. The main downside is the potential for total losses. The 10K loss you report with buying the shares is unrealized losses. You could just hold the shares and wait and perhaps the next year the price goes up. The otherthing i will say is that LEAP prices for many desired stocks are quite high and return only marginally better than the stock in most scenarios. Your example reported a 44% gain which is amazing on a stock. However the performance of the stock vs leap would be much closer if the gain was something like 10%. I personally think the people who should be buying LEAPs are people who mostly invest in SPY/VOO: everynow and then they should buy a 2 year LEAP. Buy the dippers should also buy LEAPs as well.

dataCollector42069

!banbet SPY 697 6d

music_is_gud

Fair enough. SPY ends next week up or down? Use options chain and what not to explain your logic.

music_is_gud

Give me a prediction on $SPY for the end of the month. Make a banbet.

rollinhating

Whats the odds at that mango will remove the blockade tomorrow evening/monday morning, and say the Strait is now open, and that a deal is being signed? And SPY moons +2%?

Available-Love8064

damn trump really pulled that one out of nowhere didnt he. was watching the futures tank all night thinking my calls were completely dead then boom everything just rockets back up. reminds me of 2016 election night when i had puts and got absolutely demolished watching SPY climb while i was sleeping. learned my lesson about betting against america that night but apparently some people never learn lol. crazy how fast sentiment can flip in the markets these days

Automatic-Scene5621

Correlation between opening/closing of the strait and SPY? A chart would earn bonus points

Odd-Block-2998

still profitable in the long run and likely beat SPY and QQQ

buyatollah_kuminamy

!banbet SPY 600 2d

mbathrowaway241

Let’s not forget on April 7th, 🌮 said “a whole civilization will *** tonight” and the next day SPY went up 1%. GREEN

According_History149

Seen a tweet from the big short guy "markets never seen a needle top" Argo - - > small violent and quick pull back shake out paperhands (both bulls and Ber) Mango tweets peace talks going well.... SPY closes ATH

TomBradysNightLight

!banbet SPY +3% 6d

wyudtix

Same. SPY puts gonna print

AmbassadorGloomy8915

SPY 702 Monday how do I banbet???

shower_optional

!banbet SPY 720 3d

itsnotshade

Doesn’t matter. A new rumor that it’s open will send us to SPY 720

Vulknar44

Seriously use ChatGPT, show it charts and as it to break it down..let it teach you how to read the charts but never use it to trade for you…once you learn the charts will seem to slow down and you will see things more clearly..I do SPY 0dte options and I plan to eventually buy shares in certain major stocks and ETF’s but for now SPY is the best, most simple and a quicker way to build but you must be disciplined on your exit strategy

No-Relationship8261

Bers still think with GOAT president of USA in charge, markets can go down. US could nuke Iran and we would still hit 800 SPY by the end of the month. What kind of delusion they live under I wonder?

kazkeb

SPY is gonna bust through stop losses on Monday like a bunker buster bomb

Micheal_Hancho

Yeah, like i said above, you can sell a 725 call and buy the 735 call for 5/29. The premium you get is the premium for the 725 call minus the cost of the 735 (which nets to about a $300 credit). You will typically have to put up the width of the spread in collateral (in this case $1000) so this will use about $700 in buying power ($1000 -the credit received). Say SPY is at 740 at expiration. Then the long call offsets the short call, and you will have to buy back the entire spread for $1000. But you got the $300 credit up front. So your max loss is $700. Because the max loss is defined you do not need to own 100 shares of the underlying. In the ideal situation, SPY would stay below 725 or even go down. In that case you keep a portion of the $300 premium (a good rule of thumb is to close the trade at 50% profit). When setting up a short call/put. spread, I typically look at the short leg being \~32 delta. If I can get about 1/3 of the width of the spread in credit then that is a good risk reward. If you are setting up an iron condor then I like the short call and put to be about 20 delta. [Tasty live](https://www.tastylive.com/concepts-strategies/bear-call-spread) has a lot of good educational material if you want to learn more.

raisedeyebrow4891

This was at the bottom, I had an actual SPY position that o wanted to secure if the bottom really fell out, and as my luck would have it I bought the puts at the bottom as it immediately reversed around 645 and went on tear. I always lose on puts. Except USO puts, those are actually doing ok since no bought them around 130, but they are leaps. I’m hoping that we settle shit and oil goes back to 60

qwase123

When SPY shoots up, buy in the money puts. When it dips, buy in the money calls. I have made literally dozens of dollars doing this. I have also lost thousands doing this.

Sharaku_US

XSP is about the same as SPY. SPY is already 1/10 or so of SPX.

Visible_Sir7057

So full port call for SPY 750?

tika_dengu

No shots fired in Ba Sing Se. SPY 5%+

Academic_Level_3407

But puts six months out on SPY strike price depending on how much you want to spend to protect your portfolio. If it hasn’t dropped by 3 months, sell.

40StoryMech

SPY 420 4/20/26

kazkeb

SPY is going to bust through stop losses on Monday like a bunker buster bomb

Joey-Cap

We hit the very top of a 5 year trendline on SPY and just like magic we pullback based on world events.. Proof they we live in a simulation

ChampionshipOdd947

Remember how bulls made fun of bears for buying puts in the 630s? It will be the bears turn to make fun of them for buying calls in the 710s when SPY is back down to 650 next month

Quick1711

I bought SPY puts just thinking the market would dump and the motherfucker hit ATH. Nobody knows wtf is gonna happen in this ~~casino~~ market

kodaksdad2020

The S&P does not care about poor people in America. If you think paying 8 extra dollars to fill up your car makes a shit of difference to the 500 biggest company’s in the market then you’re too poor to even have an opinion. Markets running on capex not poors spending SPY 800 2026

dunkeater

(Deals made x 1.5) - (deals rescinded x 0.5) = % SPY moves. Sounds like a money glitch to me.

sprakes_

What would you improve upon from this visualization? If we are saying the SPY is ATH (i.e. 52WH), wouldn't comparing the 52WH of any company within the SPY show you, relatively, how that company is contributing towards that ATH?

N0downtime

It depends on how you define the risk. I could lose 70k buying 100 shares of SPY or about 13k buying an 80 delta leap. With the shares you can wait for it to come back, with the leap, you can’t wait forever.

kodaksdad2020

Just like tariffs and low interest rates did in 2021. SPY has been fine every time

LengthObjective2253

!banbet SPY 750 this Friday

dunkeater

"We've gone full port into SPY calls as a sign of good faith."

Oneok-Field

Ends up the aliens like collecting foreign currency as hobby and SPY 900

PooPooPointBoiz

Dude, so the strait closed again, the US market about to experience the lack of oil personally in the next week. Is it time to load up on puts? I literally do not understand how SPY is at ATH's when there's been 6 weeks of oil shipments just gone from the world market. Billions spent on the war in Iran.

Life_Personality_862

Rotation yes but sector rotation, not market cap rotation. There are no small caps in SPY and just a few dozen mid-caps with tiny weightings so don't affect the index much. Its large cap materials, energy, etc. that have perked.

reddsht

30/4 is $7.5  SPY is cooked. Bears are back baby.

rollinhating

Are people here actually worried about their calls..? 🥭 Hasnt tweeted anything regarding Hormuz today, hes probobly preparing them for tomorrow to make SPY go green 1%..

OverallBlock9028

- We crash to SPY 500 - Super Taco to SPY 800 - Then allien invasion and SPY 200

MusingsAndMind

The moment I increase my 401k contribution thinking I'd be buying in at a dip SPY hits ATH lmfao. DCA in at every local top.

TobiasBloyd

So I bought SPY puts 4 minutes before close on a whim. All 🥭's statements were clearly lies, and I had a feeling things would massively reshuffle this weekend. Woke up this morning and it seems I guessed right--but I still doubt I'll make anything off my puts. There's still two more days to buffer the market reaction, and 🥭 will probably just say some new crazy BS Sunday night. The only way I make $ is if my puts happen by chance to align with whatever Barron decided to do

NewToTradingStock

As of now SPY still in the green.

Routine-Agent-160

Buying past all time highs is a real trading strategy. SPY is hitting 1000$.

JTexpo

why buy so many so far out, this just feels like gambling thinking that the SPY would drop $20 in 1 day

iron_condor34

Also, if you had absolutely nothing. Since you're looking at an ATM SPY put. Just look at the voli index or the vix.

LikeWhite0nRice

No you don't. Why are you poor if you know exactly what SPY is going to do?

ConsciousScar7821

I’m convinced that the Iranian guy who tweeted that the Strait was now open yesterday (Aragachi) made a shitload of money on oil puts and SPY / Nasdaq calls. Ain’t no one regulating the people over there.

Friendly_Problem564

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Federal-Hearing-7270

This isn’t analysis, it’s astrology for people who think Excel is a personality. SPY isn’t hitting 750, but your $1K probably is hitting zero right on schedule.

Soundsgoood5

"Vu" is a common Vietnamese surname. It's not SPY that goes to 750, it's VOO! Prepare for more massive gains!

hftrobo9285

A -0.2% chop day on SPY is overdue

hftrobo9285

Bitcoin could go to 0 and it wouldn’t affect SPY

AutomaticAerie4672

Your theory doesn't explain why SPY dropped to $640 in March. If nobody gave a shit about geopolitics, it would have still gone up during that time.

Czyzzle

Looks like that SPY 711 strike protective put will come in handy to protect 2 weeks of outrageous gains on 50 shares of SPY

Czyzzle

Looks like that SPY 711 strike protective put will come in handy to protect the outrageous SPY gains I've gathered in last two weeks

Dstein99

LEAPS aren’t gambling in the sense that you’re betting on black or red with 0 day options. Anytime you take on leverage you are taking on extra risk and the shorter you go out with the closer to at the money, the more risk you are taking on. Shares are essentially $0 strike options, so I can’t say that SPY shares are investing and a $5 strike SPY call expiring in Jan 2028 is gambling. It’s possible to use options wisely and there isn’t a line in the sand between smart use and gambling.

Great-Engine7416

Fair enough. I’d go back and add a few more screenies if I could. But I will keep it in mind. The trade that kicked this off Monday was SPY 689C 4/14 purchased contracts for 0.19c each times 4, on 04/13 around SPY 682. The next morning SPY was 694 and I sold those contracts for 4.22 each. For ~$1700. SPX 6990C 0dte on 4/15, paid $660 and sold for $2620 SPX 7950C 4/17 purchased late at night on 4/16 for $1400 exercised at close for $7606

manlymatt83

Does bitcoin falling indicate anything about where SPY will be Monday?

i_love_cocaine89

The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. SPY to 7250 by 22/04. Lots of earnings next week which could help pump

mindminermike

!banbet SPY 630 4/30/26

Gendark

I've literally lost every at the money put spread played last week opened at end of day. SPY literally gapped up nearly every day and moved up at least 1%. The bulls did not pump the markets to ATH just to sell it off. SPY 705 might be the mammals. pullback. Followed by a company barely made earnings, but said nice things in guidance, +40% stock value, mrestaurant. And then like clockwork, there will be never-ending posts about the sexuality of large furry mammels getting reamed or needing to be behind a fast food restaurant. Stop falling for the news, because the markets have already decided that mainstream news doesn't matter. Number releases don't matter. Everything is bullish or priced in if bearish with no sell. The bulls have won at everything. SPY easily to 800 EOY and probably 1000 next year, before finally a pullback to 790. Why? Because numbers don't matter. Only talking nicely in guidance does.

mindminermike

/banbet SPY 630 by April 30th

genjky

Bers had 1 hour this week SPY was ever below open price. Let them cope with shit posting on the weekend before they lose more money.

what_could_gowrong

Bought 2 1DTE SPY puts so... A nice to have lottery ticket

jj77985

this is what i was wondering too. the mag7 and most other SPY stocks are individually lower than they were on Christmas, but SPY itself is higher by a lot. didn't make sense to me

fuf3d

They probably will though, so SPY is going to moon whether you like it or not at this point.

SkepticalInvestor21

Bro, you just described textbook gambling addiction but with financial instruments. "Didn't go bankrupt" is a pretty low bar when you're using $150k in margin. The 650 USO position combined with the short book is an interesting macro bet on oil, but I'd push back on the execution: why USO specifically? It has significant contango drag from rolling futures contracts - if you're bullish oil long-term, physical oil ETFs or integrated energy companies give you better exposure without the decay. The short portfolio concerns me more though. Profitable short-selling requires being right on both direction AND timing, and the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. What's your max drawdown tolerance on those shorts before you cover? Genuinely curious - what was your original thesis for flipping from long SPY/QQQ to this? Was this tariff/macro driven or something else?

svtboxer

If you put all the companies at all time highs SPY would be 8,000+