Reddit Posts
Update 7: Oops, lol. ~$1,447.94 -> ~$2,712.06 -> $222.20
Warsh's first FOMC presser is Wednesday and nobody seems to be talking about the dot plot risk
Warsh's first FOMC is tomorrow and I have no clue what to do with my port
How many of you have actually calculated your returns against the S&P, properly, and how many are just assuming you're beating it because your portfolio is green?
How viable is a hedge fund that trades exclusively in SPY 0dte’s
I have lost every position I've taken since june started.
Serious discussion: Is it time to full port healthcare, or am I regarded?
All My Eggs in One Basket: Keep holding NVDA or Sell at a Loss?
Sustainability of Weekly Covered Calls + Cash Secured Puts ATM on 50% of SPY Portfolio
My 15-point GO/NO-GO checklist before any options trade, because I kept breaking my own rules
When Iran war started SPY was at $686 and today $756 (Nearly +10%)
100k SPY 6/16 744c YOLO held through iran deal / Trump's birthday weekend
RSUs and ESPP, cash out and invest in ETFs, Dividends, SPY, or leave it?
[OPEN SOURCE] Last month, I deployed an options portfolio managed by AI. I'm up over $4,000 since
Europe Is Too Scared to Grow, So Their Money Keeps Buying My SPY Calls
$300 deposit Tuesday -> $6,120.97 ($5k withdrawn + $1,120.97 cash left in account)
Tesla is worth $100 trillion not $1 trillion. Here's why.
Tesla is worth $100 trillion not $1 trillion. Here's why.
Why not SPY puts with SPCX IPO
What’s SPY closing @ tomorrow? Place your bets
Bought 2 minutes before the news dropped.
SpaceX: People are getting this IPO wrong
Yesterday: $300 -> $33 -> $770 into today -> $382 -> $2,494 -> ended $2,177 but with CALLS, bitch!
Yesterday: $300 -> $33 -> yesterday -> $770 into today -> $382 -> $2,494 -> ended $2,177 but with CALLS, bitch!
Tried to join bulls today but we know where the money is🐻📉
I Sold All My VOO for a Concentrated NVDA Bet. Should I Have Just Bought Options Instead?
Me watching the SPY shit its pants for the 4th straight day in a row, like:
What's the equivalent of SPY for europeans?
Is the macro pivot actually happening or are we just being played by the Fed?
Why I think Berkshire Hathaway is the best investment right now
Going all in today on SPY puts, wish me luck.
Bought this for today, is it realistic?
Came across buy and hold 17% CAGR portfolio backtested since 1987
I missed out on 10 grand because I had a meeting at 11am
🚨 New Congressional Trade Disclosed 🚨 15% return, 70% win rate (Buy at disclosure, sell 90d later)
Bogle vs. Buffet vs. Dalio - Long-Term Investment Strategies Backtested over the last 20 Years
Bogle vs. Buffet vs. Dalio - Long-Term Investment Strategies Backtested over the last 20 Years
The market panic looks overdone follow up- choppy ahead of CPI, but positioning is improving
I analyzed which sector is most sensitive to hot CPI reports (24 - 26)
First time day trading with PDT gone, doubled my account today. SPY puts Friday and today. All intraday trades, wins in red boxes.
Mentions
I completely derisked and went 100% short term reserves a month ago Will buy back in at SPY 525
My gut tells me bad things are happening in the background. My gut tells me today will be a terrible day on wall street, and begs me to buy 0dte puts way out of the money. Therefore, I will wait until around 9:50am, after SPY sells off further to the $733 / $732 range, then load up on 0dte calls at the $738 strike against my better judgement. Will report back with my findings.
I must be dreaming.. how tf I load up on SPY 744p **and** MSFT 377c and both these about to hit 🤣🤡
MSFT really do be inverse SPY huh
It's gonna be green candle up at 930 trust. SPY ATH by friday
$SPY -1.25%, $MSFT +1.25%…error in the matrix
Why did SPY say the N word.
This whole MSFT inverse SPY shit needs to stop. MSFT such a rebel.
literally no buy wall. its selling all the way to QQQ delisting and SPY taken private by CEO at $420
The way I approach things is I pay attention to the macro and find undervalued companies to go long in based on where I think we are in the economic cycle. ASTS is a special case because its real value won't show up on the financial statements because they currently don't have real earnings from operations. However, when they have 3 billion or more subscribers within a few years that will have to approach somewhere around that price at some point and institutions that understand this will float it there eventually, regardless of the macro. I usually just buy SPY Puts or something with low IV that covers the broader market as a hedge, rather than pay all that premium to bet against a stock like ASTS directly. I would've shorted SPCX if they had options earlier but money was tied up and I do believe I called that correctly even though it rallied for a few days. As far as when the market will crash, I've been saying that for a while and it hasn't happened yet, but that doesn't mean the warning signs aren't there. That's why I have all these mining stocks even though precious metals have run up so much. If the stock market tanks and we have persistent inflation, and the bond market keeps selling off, precious metals will continue to be bought up as far as I can tell. Miners are just a cash flowing version of holding the metals outright, taking into account things like the price of oil of course. Copper miners might even be dual purpose as a hedge for currency debasement or to ride another rally into LA LA land with semiconductors. It's also possible the bond market does finally bottom out and we get the end of a major cycle but with long term yields continuing to rise things aren't looking good. I considered buying Swiss bonds in case the USD completely debates but honestly who the fuck knows at that point.
Who's ready for SPY to hit ATH today???
Selling my SPY puts at open and buying as much MU as I possibly can on this dip
multi decade bear market starts today only in the year 2100+ will you see SPY slowly start a recovery bulls are actually fucked
I lowkey think SPY will hit all time high today. It will not V but make a big ✔️
fuckkk SPY CEO?!?!?
SPY CEO said the n word on conference call?
SPY just -1.4% in pre-market still
Taco Tuesdays used to mean pump. I don’t even know what anything means anymore. I bought SPY calls Monday so I feel like this is on me.
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $730.00 (below) | $755.08 | $733.55 | -3.3% | Jul 16, 1:40 PM |
MSFT is the true SPY hedge.
Will someone open the strait of SPY
That failed flash pump on SPY was hilarious
If I understand correctly anyone on SPY with x100 is bust
How is SPY moving .5% at a time
Am I high or is SPY having big spikes?
Is just one SPY circuit breaker day too much to ask for?
BREAKING: SPY files for bankruptcy!
*** Attention Iran has gone all-in on SPY 600p.
Um SPY is apparently trying to find the floor, what is the plan tomorrow. Calls or puts? Theres no way we go any lower than 730.
MU actually has the sharp V, probably saving SPY a little lol
SPY was already negative MoM yesterday. Market held together by AI and duct tape. The leader of the free world thinks Antifa planted algae in his reflecting pool. Godspeed if youre full port in this environment.
Was OTM yesterday obv since SPY closed at 744, don’t know what the contracts are worth til this bitch opens
Good thing I held my SPY 740 put. Should be ITM the way things are going. Bought for 3.17 tho so break even SPY at 736.83 sadly. Long as I don’t lose money idgaf
Men only want one thing and it's fucking disgusting (SPY 0DTEs).
#When SPY dips 0.2% MSFT crashes -5%. Imagine how bad it will crash tomorrow when SPY opens down -3% LMAO🤌
if SPY opens under $736 my PUTs will be up $10k… I started last week with $150 trying to trade only PUTs to $10k and have already locked in $6k profit
I know what the headline tomorrow is going to be to pump the market “🥭 finds solution to algae problem” SPY 800
People solely into semis and SPY surprised it was semis holding everything up. Bro have you looked at rest of market?
Nah someone have to go terribly wrong for a 10% down day for nasdaq or SPY. Earnings are still good and economy data isn’t too bad yet. Has to be more than leverage like Korea which is only a few companies
Just give us a -3% overnight if you're going to act like a bitch SPY
Statistically speaking, if you’re asking others how to make money in the stock market quickly, you’re likely gonna end up taking you’re account the other way. Trading out of desperation, or trading for some sort of quick gain is the secret recipe for financial ruin. You’re better off investing some in SPY and saving up traditionally.
A lot of stocks were already down pretty badly out of the gate Monday and outside indicators were for a down day. I don't know why SPY cliff-dove rather than drop at a more normal rate, but it actually still ended above where I'd have put it.
The market is being irrational. We should be at SPY 1200
I remember when SPY was at $260, heh, it was only a few years ago.
I need SPY to go to 700
If you extrapolate the current rate of decline in SPY since close, we’d be down nearly 2% by open.
I skipped the first 0dte I've wanted to play in a while today because I'm sick, was desperate for sleep before work, and was worried because it was almost a half hour in and going the wrong direction that it might take till late in the day to play out. I saw the missed three-bagger before I passed out. The only thing I did do was because of the early pump on SPY I decided the market was too optimistic and so I flip-flopped a second time and sold my dinky MU holding. I plan to buy again, I just think think the market is stupid and great results won't be nearly enough.
Why does everything happen after hours / overnight? I got my ass chopped trying for SPY 741 today & now it’s speed running to lower levels. 😩 Bounce off 737 tho plz for calls.
Imagine if you just put in SPY
I believe the stock market has absorbed far worse than some retard in office. If you think shorting it is the way to go, power to ya. Couple years from now SPY will be above 1000 and nobody will care about "Donnie" or the nicknames you give him. Lmao. Grow up and buy the dip.
Are my July SPY 750 calls safe? Regret buying at close today already damn
Guys they're dumping Korea so they can put it all in MAG7 tomorrow. SPY to 775
SPY hasn’t made a new ATH since June 2 & the 5 of the MAG7 have rolled over below their 50DMA.
420 means weed, SPY $720 means whiskey.
HOOD and SPY charts are identical.
SPY is now unloading the second leg dump... overnight price: now at 739.. 735 is just around the corner ..🩸are we gonna see it tomorrow ?
SPY 750 end of week. Buying calls for Friday
I have 747c on SPY expiring tomorrow 😔
Notice how SPY dumping overnight but SpaceX magically holding up
Out of say 10 people trying on their own, what’s the win/loss rates of 0dte options with SPY or QQQ? I’m sure there’s 10 here lol
SPY trades at night...semiconductor and memory stocks are trading and dipping.
Does anyone ever take a gander at SPY price to sales ratio? The first hint of trouble in tech hardware margins or US exports and the market is falling 40-50% straight down. [S&P 500 Price to Sales Ratio - Multpl](https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-price-to-sales)
SPY not even half a percent down and yall committing seppuku Stop over-leveraging into memory/semiconductors
Genuinely what is going on, can we just get SPY to pump and let me exit my positions. Genuinely the market makes no sense rn
SPY is going to be range-bound for a while Blow your 0dte load carefully or not Im gay
Possible. I will buy SPY options calls/ puts depending on the signal.😂. Today I bought first put at $2.35, then averaged it buying few more to $1.65.
Crazy, if this move for SPY holds then MSFT might shit it’s fucking brains out completely at open and go below 300
The alternative of course is to just not play the game. Abandon consumerism, stack cash, live debt free, and fuck everyone else. But you're mostly right. You'll never catch those at the top by playing the same game they are, so you might as well play just long enough to not need to. Wait, this is WSB, what am I saying? SPY calls until the heat death of the universe!
These SPY put spreads seem to be working. I’m going to try more of these.
just all in on SPY 0DTE and hope for the best.
Have fun buying 1/10th of SPY lol
Made 520% this morning off 746 puts SPY 0DTE https://preview.redd.it/hgghlw2m1y8h1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=59bd1f433761022a1927bd3d3526f0cc67be3f18
I need some SPY green on my end brah, this overnight red hue is a disgrace
# once SPY breaks 746 with high volume, “Calls” 🤌😂
Convenient little fucking vanishing act: the gain gets a spotlight,the $250k SPY crater supposedly gets swallowed by the void. Post the receipts or spare us the fucking mythology, because without them this is just another fucked-up,fuck-heavy, motherfucking victory lap with the ugly part cropped out.
When an index ETF like SPY hits a major psychological level like 750, encounters a massive **dark pool print** ($12B+), and immediately reverses ("rejects"), it triggers significant discussion among technical traders. Here is exactly what that setup means in investor terms, how dark pools work, and why it has people bracing for a move. --- ### 1. Breaking Down the Terms * **The Rejection:** SPY briefly pushed past 750 to hit an intraday high of 750.12 before sellers flooded the market, dragging the price back down to the 744–745 range. In technical analysis, a sharp drop after touching a new high is a "hard rejection," signaling strong resistance. * **Dark Pool:** These are private, institutional exchanges run by large banks and networks (like Goldman Sachs or Citadel). They allow massive institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, hedge funds) to buy or sell hundreds of thousands of shares at once without tipping off the public market and causing immediate price chaos. * **The "Print":** By law, trades executed in dark pools must eventually be reported to the public tape. When a $12 billion order is finalized and reported, traders see a massive "print" at a specific price level (750.05). --- ### 2. The Bearish Interpretation: Institutional "Distribution" When people say **"you know what's coming,"** they are usually implying a sharp market downturn or correction. The bearish thesis behind this setup looks like this: > **The "Selling Wall" Theory:** A $12 billion print right at the 750 ceiling implies that giant institutional players used that peak liquidity to dump massive amounts of shares. Because SPY immediately rejected that level and headed down, it suggests the sellers completely overwhelmed the buyers. In institutional terms, this is called **distribution**—smart money quietly unloading their positions onto retail or late-buying investors before a potential drop. If 750 acts as a hard institutional ceiling, the market may look to test lower support levels (like 740 or 732) next. --- ### 3. The Counter-Perspective: The Illusion of the Tape While it looks incredibly bearish on the surface, dark pool prints can be deceptive for two major reasons: * **Prints are Lagged:** Dark pool trades don't always happen the second they appear on your scanner. They can be reported hours—or sometimes even a day—after the actual matching occurred. The print at 750 might simply be the tape catching up to a massive block order that was accumulated over time. * **Buy vs. Sell Ambiguity:** A dark pool print doesn't explicitly tell you if it was a massive buy or a massive sell; it just shows a transaction occurred. It could be an institution *accumulating* a massive position at 750, believing the market is going higher, or a market maker rebalancing their options hedges. --- ### 4. What This Means for Everyday Investors For a retail investor or swing trader, a setup like this serves as a major **caution flag**. When $12 billion moves at a single price point, that level becomes a **line in the sand**. * **If SPY stays below 750:** The bears are in control, and the 750 level will act as a heavy lid on the market, increasing the probability of a broader pullback. * **If SPY reclaims and holds above 750:** It means the massive block of shares was absorbed by buyers, trapping the short-sellers and potentially fueling a powerful "short squeeze" to new all-time highs. The smartest move here is to watch for follow-through over the next few sessions rather than guessing which way the giant whales are leaning.
SPY CEO said the N word on live TV
And as far as SPY, you’d need this bitch opening at 0.66% to even recover from today, and that’s not happening. Tomorrow will be a bloodbath for what I can see.
I bought SPY puts before close. I’m a genius.
12/18 is likely an ex-dividend date for SPY also (typically it's on the 4 triple-witching opex dates), so if that 750 call is in the money it's getting exercised and you're out another ~$180 (based on the last dividend). So you're guaranteed to have a $5000 debit at expiration, with the risk that you're also down another amount based on the dividend. The prices bake that in.
People freak out if the market drops 1% or if it drops for a few days straight. Like there is a perception that stocks are a magic money tree. Few recall that SPY was flat for almost 15 years. Shoeshine boy effect for years now. Teenagers daytrading (and gambling, and memeCoining) Politicos trading stocks and coins. Stocks making more than their dayjobs. Jobs are for suckers. Degrees are for suckers. Just gamble instead. Free money hack genius. Wealth without production is the ideal. Stocks only go up. despite big disparity between individual stocks down 50-98% from peak vs. indicies near all time highs. Market as retirement wealth machine, but never as potential retirement destroying machine. Markets down 50-80% in dotcom & GFC. 8% annual but ignoring 10-20 year flat periods that occur. Buy the dip vs. falling knife mindset. Can't lose mindset. Never sell stocks to pay debt. Paying off a 6% mortgage is "stupid". Market pays more. Can't lose. Risk either does not exist, or is heavily discounted Not owning stocks is reckless. Valuations. Vibe market. The bigger the red, the more the green (Calls, it is) IPO cashouts with 80%+ crash bagholders. Wild claims by CEOs. Space data, planet colony, flying robo cars, etc Circular financing. Enron vibes. Leverage. 3x, 5x, 10x ETFs, even for single stocks. Inverse ETFs. 0DTE options casino market. People going from $50k to $3mm in a single year. (yea, survivorship bias) Rotating bubble sectors. EV, Space, nuclear, weed, robot, rare earth, quantum, chips, AI, psych, etc Alternative bubbles? Sports betting, sports collectibles, Pokemon, NFT, memeCoins, DeFi ponzi/FTX, etc. What does "bubble" and "mania" mean to you? Anything above resonate with you? What else can you add?
People freak out if the market drops 1% or if it drops for a few days straight. Like there is a perception that stocks are a magic money tree. Few recall that SPY was flat for almost 15 years. Shoeshine boy effect for years now. Teenagers daytrading (and gambling, and memeCoining) Politicos trading stocks and coins. Stocks making more than their dayjobs. Jobs are for suckers. Degrees are for suckers. Just gamble instead. Free money hack genius. Wealth without production is the ideal. Stocks only go up. despite big disparity between individual stocks down 50-98% from peak vs. indicies near all time highs. Market as retirement wealth machine, but never as potential retirement destroying machine. Markets down 50-80% in dotcom & GFC. 8% annual but ignoring 10-20 year flat periods that occur. Buy the dip vs. falling knife mindset. Can't lose mindset. Never sell stocks to pay debt. Paying off a 6% mortgage is "stupid". Market pays more. Can't lose. Risk either does not exist, or is heavily discounted Not owning stocks is reckless. Valuations. Vibe market. The bigger the red, the more the green (Calls, it is) IPO cashouts with 80%+ crash bagholders. Wild claims by CEOs. Space data, planet colony, flying robo cars, etc Circular financing. Enron vibes. Leverage. 3x, 5x, 10x ETFs, even for single stocks. Inverse ETFs. 0DTE options casino market. People going from $50k to $3mm in a single year. (yea, survivorship bias) Rotating bubble sectors. EV, Space, nuclear, weed, robot, rare earth, quantum, chips, AI, psych, etc Alternative bubbles? Sports betting, sports collectibles, Pokemon, NFT, memeCoins, DeFi ponzi/FTX, etc. What does "bubble" and "mania" mean to you? Anything above resonate with you? What else can you add?
The year is 2050. SPY is at all time highs. MSFT continues to invest heavily on AI CAPEX hoping for it to pay off
And today I have…. broken even. Fuck SPY you dirty boy
Why can Koreans get a proper -1% day but somehow SPY barely gets one intraday
SPY 0dte OTM puts or calls 6/23