SPY

Secure-Carpenter-839

Do you own any yet? If you don’t then start off with small purchases of the big ETFs - maybe SPY , VOO, and so on (I was gonna say etc but didn’t want you to think tha was an ETF or index fund 😂) 20k is nothin to scoff at - do some research (like you are) watch a few YouTube videos and find someone you can talk to whose been in the game for a decade or so - someone who understand how the market works in crisis and when things are good . Also might want to look at diversifying - recently Ive been buying silver but I buy silver rounds and bars. Just look into it.

Hamzehaq7

bro, 0dte puts can be a wild ride lol. but a good week is a good week, right? just make sure to lock in those gains before the market flips again. SPY can be sneaky with the swings... and with WAR dropping today, things might get even wilder. how's your portfolio looking overall?

Kattilaeikka

Dumb dumb and Iran both threatening with more war crimes. Circut breaker monday. SPY 400 by summer, 200 by years end.

Strumtralescent

SPY is below 200

Forsaken-Bid8757

Friday, SPY bounced off a bullish trend channel that has been mostly intact since end of 2023. The last time it broke was April/May last year, causing a panic.

kryptonyk

OP hasn’t tried his strategy through a volatile market yet. Wonder what a 3% SPY gap-down will do to his “stop loss”

cannythecat

He didn't taco last time until SPY was down 20 percent lmao. Bol in trouble.

Mr_Canada1867

6yrs ago this time, SPY was at 220 We’ve 3x in 6yrs Let’s count our blessings my regards

Soccer_Stewy

!banbet SPY 630 4d

Soccer_Stewy

!banbet SPY 640 4d

bearhunter429

#SPY just had 4 red weeks in a row. The last time this happened was last year during the liberation day drama but even then the 5th week was green. This is upcoming week is red, it will be the first time in the last 4 years that we had 5 red weeks in a row. LMAO🤌

Wowmuchrya

The tweet could read "I'm gona nuke everything tomorrow" and there would still be retards here going "Well actually what he meant by that was he's going to TACO and SPY will go to 700 by yesterday!"

IndependentUsual7444

!banbet SPY 600 4w

Pure-Marketing-4236

Oil 200/SPY 350/VIX 100 wen?

shmito17

The faster it dips, the better. Get back down to 550 SPY, VIX 50+ and then let's rip again.

FallenKams

!banbet SPY $610 1d

Maximum-Side-9391

SPY

User_UnKn0wn00

SPY TO 500

BioRam

If SPY closes green on Monday I will staple my portfolio to my nuts

toastedcoconut1

!banbet SPY 660 3d

MadSkyGlider

I think Monday will be down till probably 6 pm if trigger gets pulled well a red candle will triggered on SPY and we will be in bear party! Anyways I’m MSFT BAGHOLDER so I know I can make it

ronjohnson987

I don’t see why so much focus here is on whether letting SPX or other expire on the same day you entered the trade would count as a day trade. Of course it doesn’t. The bigger question is if it gets assigned overnight of the day you entered, is that a day trade? I’ve seen yes and no. If it’s SPY or another equity, yes because that’s technically assigned during the day or at the close (American style). Thoughts on if SPX/XSP assignment counts?

Valkorion335786

What about war ending and SPY mooning

Icy-Painting-4361

Lost about $60k yesterday…. Yesterday was a wild ride for SPY options 😭

amanj41

I have puts but agree. This is giving vibes of that first weekend after liberation day. Sunday open was blood red, I believe SPY bottomed that night. Then Wednesday he pulled most of the reciprocal tariffs and things ripped like 9% or whatever. I could see a 3-4% gap up this week, might grab some OTM calls

colinr813

Trump’s automated truth for SPY sub 500 is “Hey guys, I guess that’s it.”

colinr813

The rest of the year? SPY 200 unironically.

Wowmuchrya

"Black Monday was actually really green and not red like the leftist democrat history books tell you. In fact it might have been the greenest day of all time at +90532% and SPY, which did not even exist yet, was at 9000." Retarded.

Christiano97

SPY gap down again 🤣

Roygbiv-Turtle-98

pretty sure SPY can LU but it would be rare

Wowmuchrya

The year is 2037. Spy is at $1. Delusional bulls are still staring at their monitors with their eyelids taped open spam refreshing Truth Social for "TACO TWEET". "SPY 700 EOW"

freekerosene

Think MSFT just dropped to underperforming SPY over the last 5 years too

1098duc_w_the_termi

I got gas this morning. Had a single mom with 3 kids come up to me and beg me for money. She said she could only afford 1 gallon of gas. I told her if I gave her money, she’d just be in the same boat next week. So I gave her advice instead - whispered in her ear “SPY puts”. She thanked me and left with a new hope.

Wowmuchrya

The only thing that's kept SPY from absolutely cratering is Nvidia not going below 170. On Monday that changes.

neo-futurism

Letting go that SPY 645c seems the worst move in my entire trading career (2weeks) right now. Premarket WTF.

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

Iran has agreed to open negotiations and thus i have extended the 48 hour deadline to 6 months - 🥭 tomorrow night SPY +10% on open monday morning

Pale-Silver-8178

Like I discussed earlier, buttcorn down means SPY down bears your puts will print with a -1% day unless taco tweet something

Worried-Lab-751

Can't be happy, he is just giving me hope for my SPY Puts, Sunday Evening he is posting streets' open and I am cooked.

ImpossibleEnd64

Just buy 0dte SPY puts before rate announcements

AgeMiddle854

BRB, gonna email Robinhood and say my nephew bought SPY calls on my account

brute-forced

SPY will go to $590 EOY. -16%

EntranceHaunting

Where do you follow weekend SPY?

Virtual_Secretary_98

Should I put stop losses on SPY or just let it ride?

Future_Chipmunk_7897

"Hey margin, how ya doin? That's good, not much going on here, just watching my SPY calls after the weekend. Why, what did you want to talk about?"

Aggravating_Sir_4709

Bulls deserve bankruptcy for pumping on TACO headlines. This guy deserves 0 positives for his bad decision making, but you're rewarding him by pumping markets. Everyone should boycott SPY and QQQ.

Wowmuchrya

SPY will be -20% by the end of April and retards will still be going "LOL HES GONA TACO BIG V COMING LOLOLOOLOL" LMAO

thehandsoap

Not holding this position anymore or any SPY related puts lol, I took my tendies already :)

Wowmuchrya

!banbet SPY 645.01 48h

Good_Ride_2508

If I guess, next week, esp Monday may likely be positive day. With that said, I just bought QQQ and SPY calls. That is me ! and my guess work to buy low !

Madsen13140

SPY shares split on monday is nkt a meme

bean_cow

What is this, a pullback for ants? Start panicking when $SPY less than $630

snkscore

One of the main things people don’t realize is that “beating the market” usually means investing in something that really shouldn’t be benchmarked to “the market”. QQQ is riskier and more volatile than SPY. It will often return more. An SP500 growth fund shouldn’t be benchmarked against a value fund etc. Putting all your money into Rocket Lab is a high risk gamble more than an investment strategy.

SeaweedLeft9746

banbet! SPY 630 1w

Veritatis-Cupitor

100%. Maybe higher. Got deeply into UCO calls and SPY puts.

IPAs_StripSteaks_813

SPY 200 Day moving average got my boy Trump taking peace

_LakeCity_

Yeah. I think the SPY chart wants to paint a bull trap next up to the 670ish zone and then tank down to the low 600s after.

Hegecoin_Rules

You think the average person has SPY? That period was basically for the rich to get crazy richer and for the poor to at least have jobs, but still barely be alive

foreverythingthatis

You mean like 2010-2019? One of the longest consecutive periods of economic growth in US history in which unemployment was low and SPY tripled?

CompoteSpecialist618

!banbet SPY 670 4D

pmotiveforce

I hope so. My "bear" port has been shitting the bed along with the rest of the market, so I guess I need this shit buttoned up asap. I even doubled down and bought some TQQQ Friday in a desperate hope. Now, we go back over SPY 675 at any point, it's back to puts.

brute-forced

1. 6 months mark from midterms 2. Thats most likely when SPY 50dMA intersects the 200dMA and I expect it to bounce extremely hard off that. That is only if the Maries don’t go in next week and start to perish. If boots go on the ground, Oil will spike to $200/bl and inflation WILL spike to 6-10%.

I_ruin_nice_things

0dte scalping based on price action and support/resistance levels and BBs.. +107k Wed-Fri via SPY only. Next week I’ll be trying using more credit spreads on SPX for the tax advantage.

sailortyx56

SPY chart for the last month. Monday, Tuesday: Pump Wednesday-Friday: Dump lol

McKoijion

* If the US surrenders to Iran and removes all troops from military bases in the region, Iran will reopen the Strait and oil prices will drop. SPY will fall in the long term because the petrodollar system would be over. * If the US "declares victory" and keeps its bases in the region, Iran will keep the Strait closed to any countries associated with the US and Israel. Oil prices will remain high and the S&P 500 will drop in the long term because the petrodollar system will be over. * If the US puts boots on the ground as part of a "quick military action" to take Kharg Island or grab nuclear material, Iran will destroy all oil and gas infrastructure in the Gulf states. Oil will immediately skyrocket and will remain elevated for many years. The S&P 500 will immediately crash. * If the US escalates into a decades long ground war, oil will skyrocket. The main street American economy will crash into a new great recession and taxpayers will be on the hook for enormous amounts of debt. The stock and real estate markets will drop temporarily, but after poor people are forced to sell to the rich at a loss, they will recover. The owners of American oil companies, defense contractors, tech companies, Wall Street firms, etc. will make a fortune. Israel will create Greater Israel and build a large oil pipeline from the Gulf states to Israel that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz. A ton of Americans, Iranians, and migrant workers in the Gulf will suffer and die. But the Israelis, Epstein elites, and Gulf state monarchs will make a fortune in the long run. It's obvious that Netanyahu, Trump, MBS, etc. are going to go with the fourth bullet option. It's been the plan for years as outlined in the Abraham Accords. It's why Mossad helped Trump get elected, helped MBS purge his family for the crown, helped Keir Starmer become the British Prime Minister, etc. The biggest risk is that the rest of the world has figured out what they’re doing. (Using Jared Kushner as a fund manager and a diplomat at the same time made it particularly obvious.) That includes foreign powers like China and Russia as well as the domestic populations of their own countries. They need to escalate this war as quickly as possible before they’re overthrown through a peaceful, democratic process or a violent rebellion.

HalaMadridPapaFlo

lmao. SPY gonna hit 700 next week. 

_Rexfest_

!banbet SPY 669 2D

sl3azebag

They would've been better off with SPY 0dtes. Take some notes, Qatar.

Comfortable_Oil6642

SPY calls no brainer

mo_sultan98

Full port spy shorts? No doubt there will be some rally days, but SPY has been downtrending AND crossed (and closed!) below the SMA 200. It's so over.

Wowmuchrya

I enjoy the SPY 700 spam cope Yes bro, Spy 700, but in 2028

pmotiveforce

You clearly underestimate how delusional bulls can be. SPY could hit $200 next Wed and they would swear there is a V coming, hold the line, BTFD, and if SPY then hit $205 Thursday they would mock bears and declare ultimate victory.

Roxorek

won't be surprised if SPY is red next 4 months in a row snowball effect from hormuz will be huge

johyongil

Whoops. I was thinking IVV. SPY is full replication with sampling ability.

Thethrowawaycfp

You would have to show me one of these ETFs. You mentioned SPY and said some of these ETFs hold less than half the index. SPY has 503 holdings.

Holden_Makock

Msft is below SPY over 5 years. Thats pathetic by any standards.

Holden_Makock

I never understand people who invest in microsoft. There are 100s of better companies than Microsoft. Actually, SPY (an index) beats Microsoft most years. Even on a 5-year scale, SPY is beating Microsoft.

Deep-Sock-8588

So to clarify, is the falling knife problem that you're citing equivalent to saying that volatility can remain elevated for long periods of time or even go up? It would, for example, tempting right now to sell SPY calls for example given the elevated volatility and the index is dropping. So, in that case, you're saying that this strategy might not work out regardless?

ozz3121

On Monday SPY opens at 655, by lunch we're at 630, by close we're at 654.95

cannythecat

March 31st SPY 700 calls only cost a few cents, the war is won, im gonna full port and become a millionaire

SouthNice7324

I have a leveraged ETF 5x SPY, but as I am in Europe, it’s on UK time. If you can believe it, the etf will open up on Monday compared with where it closed on friday. After SPY reached 647

neutralpoliticsbot

>Bush gave “Mission Accomplished” speech on May 1, 2003 aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln, saying “major combat operations in Iraq have ended.” Next trading day, May 2, 2003: stocks moved higher. The S&P 500 closed at 930.08 +1.50% By the end of the month SPY was up around **+6%**. Even though the war went on for another 8 years the market reaction was clear. Same thing will happen in Iran, doesn't matter if war will end or not the announcement itself will send the stock market higher.

Wall_St_Bussy

SPY 680 Monday

johyongil

Sorry for the incoming wall of text. When you look at sub 250k investment platforms, a large majority of them don’t care about taxes not because they don’t exist, but because they’re negligible, at least on a nominal basis, if not also on a percentage basis. If I profit $500 off of $5000 in capital gains as a lower income bracket, my tax is around $70. Negligible. It is what it is at this point. When we look at everything else above the 250k mark, most of the time taxes are much larger in nominal AND percentage basis; typically we have to calculate in +20%. Now, ETFs are pretty tax efficient as they are: they’re cheap and they allow an investor to not face capital gains from moves inside the etf so long as they only hold it. Much more so than mutual funds. But there’s two main weaknesses with ETFs: 1. They’re only tax efficient because of a tax loophole and is why they’re constructed the way they are (at a distance). Because of this, etf managers only really care about performance metrics. 2. Inflexibility. ETFs are largely like lunchables or microwavable dinners. No subs, no exclusions, no customizations. They are what they are. Take it or leave it. Which allows costs to come down. SMAs, by comparison, while having higher capital requirements, have a number of advantages. They are tax efficient because they utilize tax laws as they are. There is far less risk to legislative measures that could affect its tax efficiencies. They also cost about as much as ETFs do. Yes, they’re higher as they’re actively managed, but not by an insane delta. Most ETFs are around 0.01 to 0.40. SMAs are from 0.00%-0.40% depending on the product and the firm platform housing them. They’re also super customizable. Don’t like Elon companies? Request that they get taken out of your portfolio. Want more Meta? Request a higher concentration. Don’t want as much Apple because you work there and have a ton of RSUs? You can request a lower percentage. Investing in a Total Global SMA but want less US exposure? You can ask for that. Like going to a nice restaurant, if you will. And one of the biggest advantages SMAs have is that they can pass surplus/unused tax losses to the investor that can be utilized to offset any capital gains incurred. Recently, there are new SMAs called Direct Indexing SMAs where the portfolio’s entire purpose is to basically be an open architecture ETF but WAY MORE tax efficient. You select an ETF to mirror, select how much tracking error you’ll allow (how much can this portfolio be off the mark by) and other customizations. (As a note: the lowest capital requirement I’ve seen for a DI SMA is 100k. This is for practical purposes as you cannot efficiently function according to the purpose with a smaller portfolio. Average size requirement is 250k.) Now here’s an important piece of information: When looking at ETFs like SPY, they are following the SP500 index which is made up of 500 large cap companies. But if you look inside the actual etf, they don’t actually hold 500 positions. They typically only hold a little less than half. This is because every position isn’t going to be a winner. They just choose a roster that most closely aligns with the investment approach/philosophy of the fund. DI SMAs will typically hold much larger amount of positions, specifically the loser positions as they can generate more taxable losses (hence selecting the tracking error) by trading winning positions for losing positions or vice versa depending on what they need to do. It’s more complex than this but that‘s a very simplified view of the mechanics. As an example, take last year. SP500 returned 17.9%. SMAs tracking the SP500 unusually returned 18.2% (typically it’s about 1.5% lower than the benchmark) BUT ALSO returned about a net of $150k (from a 1M portfolio) in tax losses. If someone liquidated all 1M from SPY, all of the 179k profit would be subject to capital gains tax. Investors in the DI SMA who liquidated their whole portfolio would be subject to….$32,000 worth of gains being subject to capital gains. EVEN if that 32k was subject to 20% and the 179k was subject to 10%, the DI strategy is going to have WAY MORE money post tax. You don’t even have to utilize the tax losses for the portfolio. You can apply it to anything that would be subject to capital gains. So here’s an everyday scenario: Let’s say a client has 500k worth of APPL stock and wants to liquidate it down but really doesn’t like the tax liability. We can employ a high tracking error strategy with emphasis on driving down the tax starting in Jan 1 and by December 31, the tax liability be less than 20% of what it would have been if the client just liquidated it on his own. Oh, and the portfolio will be diversified according to whatever index the client would like to adopt and be up on the year, provided the index also had a profitable year.

_LakeCity_

Looking at the chart, SPY really is due for a bounce, especially when you look at where RSI is sitting. A bounce to the 675ish range looks due. But I think it'll be a dead cat and then head back down to the 590 level as the Iran conflict predictably worsens.

Vulknar44

I trade SPY on 0dte daily..it’s as simple as watching,waiting and entering on confirmation

Ok_Persimmon9849

Copium is why, look at SPY 6 month. NVIDIA announced 1 trillion in revenue in 2027, the bubble is set to burst, there are so many issues besides the war they are praying a fake pump from the war "ending" can save them because they didn't take one of the 101 chances to get out they had this week.

neutralpoliticsbot

Remember when 🌮 literally tweeted this: >"THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT," he wrote at 9:37 a.m. And bears on WSB were still buying puts remember? Less than 4 hours later after that tweet he cancelled the tariffs and SPY rocketed up **+9.5%** that day #thats +9% on SPY in a day. This is what's coming for you bears. Get your anuses properly prepared. 🤡

Happy-Champion1661

quick quick someone sell me some oil I cannot wait for market open omg oil to $300 on Monday anyway SPY ~~700~~ *600* eow

VeganTurkishBaklava

That’s how options trading is so retarded. I lost money w SPY puts yesterday.

DialSquar

$600 SPY

deepserket

Everyone know the buy signal is SPY@420

Forsaken-Bid8757

The bounce started before the tweet. The tweet just fueled it. A retest of SPY 660 is kind of expected either way. It’s not like all bulls are dead.

L_DUB_U

I copied your comment into chatgpt because I am slightly hungover and not feeling like figuring it all out myself. With currency exchange it's a 2% win for the CAC. However all of those gains are lost after fees and currency conversion. I'm not here to argue I have owned VXUS since 2019. It's an ETF I just let ride because for many years it just remained flat. In 2019 I purchased it for 50.96 a share and in December 2024 it was 59 a share. It wasn't until this past year that there was much growth. The shares I bought in 2019 have a 46% growth where my share of SPY bought in 2019 have132%. Being diverse is important but I don't think I'm going to change how much international stock I buy from what I am doing.

conkilln

Will Smith slapped Chris Rock at the Oscars!! SPY to 500 monday

Basis_404_

Imagine going full port into SPY 680 calls on Wednesday morning when SPY was at 673

SnapPunch

This is the answer. Those SPY 650P options were huge. Not sure if they actually executed at 4:15 as SPY got close to 650 there

cynicism_is_awesome

Jane Street is a plague upon the stock markets… well.. anything they touch. They should be banned. They are the biggest holder of SPY and many other ETFs and they thrive on creating volatility to shake out weak hands, intentionally triggering stop losses and margin calls so that they can profit from that.

TheInkDon1

"Something is *always* going up, it's our job as traders to find it." That's my philosophy, and I believe it's true. Though in 2000 and 2008/9 I wasn't paying as much attention to my trading as I am now, so I can't 'prove' it. But now I'm watching daily (or nearly) and taking notes of all my trades, as well as weekly account balances. Are we in a bear market now? No. Are we in a correction? No. But are we headed in that direction? Sure looks like it. Have you looked at a 1-year or 3-year chart of the S&P or Nasdaq lately? Going down. This is [SPY and QQQ](https://stockanalysis.com/etf/compare/spy-vs-qqq/). Change the view to 5 years, then 3 years. Both are clearly going down. SPY peaked at 695 on 2/2. It's at 648 today, down 6.7%. 10% is a "correction," and 20% is officially a bear market. Did you look at the chart of the 3 ETFs I'm in? Let me pull one of them out and compare it to SPY: [XOP vs. SPY](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/compare/xop-vs-spy/) The 3-month is a good view: XOP up 42%, SPY *down* 4.7%. Do you see how it works? The *whole market* doesn't go into correction or bear at the same time. It's just an average of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 Index. And even though that index is going down right now, I guarantee you could look through those 500 companies and find many that are going up. That's why I say it's our job to find them. Just because you're told we're in a bear market, don't sit in cash: find the things that are still going up. There'll always be some. Take care.

JohanLiebert92

SPY's slowly becoming a meme stock

WordsHappenedHere

And indexes are done much more than 5%. Dow is down 9%. SPY was down 7% at the lows Friday. My god look at IGV and software. And every Mag 7 down mix more than 5%.