SPY

Kinnins0n

Chinese SPY ATH

cinciNattyLight

“Good thing I don’t own any NVDA, glad I am only in SPY and QQQ…” \-many Americans right now lol

ILoveYosemitePark

Spy is going to kill SPY tomorrow

Icommandyou

All that crypto money will rotate into SPY, calls will print Pls god

ContentBlackberry0

Let Jensen fuck all the Chinese spy he want. It makes SPY go up.

Happy-Champion1661

I saw a comment "the company I bought calls on admitted during a weekend that CEO slept with a Chinese SPY". LMAOOOOOO you cant make this shit up

starstarstar42

Never put calls into SPY

Rockstaru

It was a threesome, he fucked the spy and fucked SPY. 

axewoodsman

Not much of a bounce. I think SPY will end around 748 this week.

jamesrggg

SPY, QQQ, VOO. They all getting smashed Monday

Fully_Retarded69

Jensen gonna fuck another SPY tomorrow.

Valkyrie_Skuld

was he the fucking CEO of 7.3% SPY and 8% of QQQ?

Happy-Champion1661

war is old news. Chinese SPY is the new sector I am bullish on

cryptopolymath

China Spy bring down $SPY

piazzos

Yeah, it's called SPY

wyudtix

Surely this Chinese spy fiasco is bullish for SPY?!

talkingto_ai

Calls on SPY? Does Chineese honeypot have a ticker?

unhappyreach_

If NVDA really dumps on this, SPY is in some trouble as well

gregzicstock

China spy gonna bring down SPY.

QC31

Puts on ~~spies~~ SPY

EqualWeight__

calls on SPY i guess

talkingto_ai

So SPY calls?

wild_cherry1987

SPY AND CHILL. no need this nvdia drama.

verified-trader

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $746.32 (above) | $735.29 | +1.5% | Mon 4:14 PM ET |

Constant_Tomorrow_69

So calls on SPY??

Lil_Giraffe_King

All this to still under preform SPY

shadylex

🚀🌙 $SPY I hope you got your space suit because we going to the moon

shadylex

MONDAY $SPY :shrek: :pray:

Ordinary_Material175

Oil will be down. I think we’ll see VIX compression below 20 leading to a 1.5% SPY up day.

unhappyreach_

SPY does not like that

Melodic_Session1293

No, made his trades (1DTE $754 Put Buy) the day after midterms (Nov 4, Wednesday at 3:13pm & 3:24pm EST) and sold/closed it out the next day around 11am. The SPY would have been \~768ish when purchase and \~740ish when he closed it.

Frequent_Ad7351

SPY cannot be green now

unhappyreach_

I heard the Chinese SPY pegged Jensen's manhole

unhappyreach_

Kinda crazy that the CHINESE SPY EXTRAMARITAL AFFAIR is taking over the weekend headlines

GarthBooks69420

WSB gonna buy poots bc Chinese spy. SPY gonna gain 69% because all of the spy talk. 

shadylex

Waiting for the $SPY :shrek: on Monday :pray:

ssaxamaphone

\*NVIDIA'S BOARD TO PROBE IF CEO WAS CHINESE INTELLIGENCE TARGET \*NVIDIA CEO JENSEN HUANG ADMITS AFFAIR WITH ALLEGED CHINESE SPY Dump your $NVDA while you can

Ok_Zone_4046

Bearish thesis for next week: Jensen is going to get a divorce, and his wife will take control of the company—which she will then transform into a handbag manufacturer. (Positions: SPY 620 put)

Stock-Play1888

Lie to me. Tell me SPY will be green Monday.

helipad668

Nasdaq doesn’t have circuit breaker, only SPY does and its level 1 is -7%

SPEZ_IS_A_JABRONI

SPY +0.37%, Nasdaq at +0.42% fuck you I'll remind you when I want to

UUSWE

nothing, but it is now, SPY +0.37%, Nasdaq at +0.42%

UUSWE

SPY future is at +0.37% now, guh

unhappyreach_

SPY goona hit at least 725 tomorrow

Beerplz94

SPY to 775 in premarket just to open at 738

solid_snake1994

Need SPY up 5% by Tuesday

NOMADGRUBS

SPY almost at 7,400 hyper liquid

EquiblesAI

The numbers, Oct 30 close to Nov 6 close: SPY -2.7% (755.72 to 735.29), QQQ -5.0% (690.49 to 656.10). Almost all of it was Thursday: SPY -4.4% and QQQ -6.5% in one session, on 130.7M QQQ shares, about four times a typical late-October day (30M to 38M). QQQ now sits 9.6% below its Oct 28 close of 725.61. Options are pricing more chop: QQQ 30-day implied volatility is 30.0%, in the 98.6th percentile of its past year. Data: daily prices and option chains, processed by Equibles.

shmito17

SPY at 738 on Hyperliquid. Nothing to celebrate yet.

jnbnbco

Ahhh figured it out. I read it wrong. You sold to close meaning you were long $SPY puts. Damn you were this close to being out of the money friendo.

sketchmuffin51

SPY is looking pretty tasty rn

golden_log

If SPY actually drops 15% in a week, nobody’s calmly piling in at 620. Imo Half the sub will be waiting for 550

SmoresPies

How do you spot these reversals within a ~1 day or less hold time? Looking at the 1h/4h bollinger bands on the SPY and some opportunities at the band limits carry over until late in the following day

Super-Activity-4675

that's where I'm at. Seems like the market has returned to calls Mon-Wed and Puts Wed afternoon late through Friday. With VIX elevated, I wouldn't be surprised to see 1+% moves. I am kinda eyeing Tuesday for a big run up. Thursday for a run down. Not sure if I'll play Tuesday, but if I like what I see on the daily early in the week, I'm probably going to grab a few puts late Wed. I fully expect the SPY to break its 200 day MA sooner than later and start flirting with correction territory.

Dazzling-Cheetah5951

Going to guess -2% more on SPY, It's just really bearish right now suddenly, fundamentals have changed, Anthropic seems to be a potentially negative catalyst now, DT has no reason to Taco anymore now that midterms are over so he could escalate, and DT said 1 week before midterms the market would crash if Dems won. He has already begun to blame them as I predicted a month ago. Inflation, raising rates, the Ai debt, neoclouds could go bankrupt, bringing down the whole industry....I could see them finally using all of this stuff for a "major correction" at this point. It all depends on if they decide to continue to manipulate the market to keep it up like they have been for last 7 months. However, there is an election in 2 years, and a great way to get a Dem potus would be to blame DT for a major recession so the backdoor deals have probably already begun. If DT is aware of this as he predicted, then he might have no reason not to keep oil up and escalate with Iran.

Cav829

Depends how much worse the Iran situation gets. It would make more sense to let the bulls set a lower high and sell into it than try to go lower. If we just like gap lower out of the gate into like sub $720 SPY, we probably set a capitulatory low for the moment and then get a bigger rebound. The more bulls buy the dip and refuse to let the market properly correct, the more I think we set ourselves up for a much more painful bear market. What the KOSPI did the last few months is a really good possibility too: from here we rebound and go sideways for months before finally capitulating into a more extended bear market.

automaticg36

I think we have a bit more downside in the tank personally. I’m looking at 720 on SPY as a level to watch for but someone else I know said 700 but I think that’s a bit dramatic. My personal thesis is that this is just a bunch of panic and the market will flush out retail and then the institutions will load back up to pad the end of quarter returns for their investors. But we need confirmation first. I’m planning to buy if we see a really strong move off lows but if we don’t see that I’ll stay sidelined. I’m a trader so that’s my plan. If you’re an investor DCA is the best option but never a bad idea to buy on any of the dips like this one.

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/english_fool (11W - 8L, 58%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $738.78 → $735.00 | -0.5% | 2d | Lost |

Bagholder4lifez

SPY will go under the 200 MA like a champ

URMomPaysFirMyCalls

What’s the chances SPY ends up negative this year?

HoneyBadger552

Outperforms SPY and SPMO

verified-trader

**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $713.23 (below) | $735.29 | -3.0% | Wed 8:59 AM ET |

Beneficial_Ad9547

!banbet SPY -3% 3d

jnbnbco

OP, SPY closed at $733 on 11/5. How did this print?!

BratacJaglenac

Can also mean some institution just hedged their SPY long position

BladeFireQ

Calls on SPY

Suavecore_

Remember when they crashed SPY to 485 in like 2 days and then they boosted it back up to ATH a day later

am22fcw

SPY needs to drop another 10% minimum

TreGet234

Safe to say the average IBRK user won't be beating SPY this year.

suizman

In IBKR if you play SPY and you don’t have the underlaying money they just sell if you’re ITM and give you the gains. If you’re OTM near or at expiration they just expire worthless and you lose the prime you paid for the options. If you buy options the loss is under control if you sell the lose is potentially unlimited. With that said I bought 10 SPY760@11/9 contracts for total of $40. The theoretical P&L is around 3K at 760. So yeah this are 99,99% lottery tickets ..

hotforlowe

No. You’re missing core concepts. Let’s avoid language like trendy while we’re at it. The IV is the mathematical result of market supply-demand in essence. It is back calculated from the option price and roughly correlates to anticipated fluctuation of an assets price in a given time (this is not exactly true but I’m meeting you half way here). Volume alone has little to do with IV, SPY options trade at enormous volumes comparative to many stocks with comparatively lower values of IV. Regarding the second point, that’s just wrong. An options value can be conceptualised as extrinsic and intrinsic. Longer dated options cost more largely due to the time component of extrinsic value. IV is annualised at any rate. The reason it may appear that way is due to the term structure. Usually uncertainty compounds with time so most derivatives markets are in contango which means longer dated options may have higher IVs but it’s not always the case. Binary events often cause backwardation event conditions where the opposite is true. IV crush is different from what you are describing which is more akin to theta decay on the latter part. IV crush is due the sudden uncertainty collapsing into an outcome, eroding the uncertainty of a binary event. I suggest to study this with the help of an introductory textbook. You don’t seem to understand the concept at all.

D3AtHpAcIt0

hyperliquid has the equivalent of like 20 shares of SPY traded every day basing anything on it is regarded

OnlyForMobileUse

Great question! For a standard retail trader, you cannot create a custom option. For all high-liquidity stocks/ETFs, there will be a huge number of options on many days of the year that are available for purchase and sale. For SPY for example, which is extremely liquid, there is a very large list of availabe options expiring each trading day of the year. If you wanted to, you could buy a put option expiring end of day Monday with a strike price of $550, despite SPY treating around $737 currently.

Dazzling-Cheetah5951

Every single time in history SPY has fallen 4% in one day, the average bounce the next day is 180 points. It's extremely rare for SPY to fall 4% in a day, but when it does the next day it always bounces up at least 1% on average. Also, 1 week after a 4% drop, it's almost always red/lower than the 4% mark. But two to three months later, it's usually considerably green above the 4% except for the biggest major crises in history.

no1_finland_enjoyer

I mean 10 points for SPX is 1 for SPY/QQQ, so there's that to keep in mind; if you're holding to expiry it absolutely makes sense to do a debit spread since you save a lot on the premium and should have much better exit in case it goes against you - OP on the other hand seems to scalping, in which case a debit spread basically kills most of the profit, and short time of the trade should let you mostly ignore the premium as you're catching short term price changes anyway or should exit quickly if it goes against you anyway

Dazzling-Cheetah5951

Every time SPY dropped 4% in one day in history (even though the average following day average point gain was 180 points like Friday was good, not quite that much but a bounce), 1 week after that 4% drop, the market was at least a few points even lower than the 4% drop except for 1 day and even on that day it was only up a few small percentage points pretty sure, still most days it was lower. However, in 3 months it was usually higher, except for the biggest financial crises, if it is one. It's very rare for S and P to drop 4%, but there is solid data for how it performs the day after and the week after, and even 3 months later it's usually up from the crash but not in the biggest collapses.

Odd-Block-2998

SPY only down 6%

Dazzling-Cheetah5951

Mean if AI bubble is popping and crashing, don't think SPY will hold up and not also crash another 20%+ on the way down even if it's primarily QQQ that drops 40%+. SPY may not fall as much, but it will still fall, bc people will selloff their ETFS (401Ks) since boomers hold most of the 401k money and are at the end of retirement and won't risk another Dotcom or 08 like crash this late in their life.

Dazzling-Cheetah5951

Reading a lot of coping after scanning posts about the Ai bubble, and many are making valid arguments SPY won't crash as much as QQQ and should be okay. My problem is that SPY was only so high because of Ai, and most non-Ai stocks are down 50-70% already, what's been called the "K-market"......so if Ai crashes too, I don't see how those 60%+ of stocks are going to withstand the fall together. Let's say they rotate out of Ai and back into those stocks. Okay, but most of the ETFs are heavily weighted into AI stocks right now as a %age. Also, AI is consensus being viewed as the only future to keep the markets and economies up (If you don't have Ai, you will be a poor nation popular theory) as economies will be predicated on it predominantly for production, etc. Even though right now, the money has moved into consumer staples and pharma, many of those stocks are reaching absurd valuations too, like 40pe on Walmart and Costco. Just don't see how the rest of the market can't fall further if Ai crashes since the ETFs people will be selling (401ks) are mostly AI but also contain the others.

Dazzling-Cheetah5951

October 28th, 2026: "If the Dems win, the market will CRASH"- Potus Nov 3rd, 2026- Dems win in a landslide Nov 5th- worst 1 day crash for SPY and NASDAQ in years if not history, one of the worst all time, in the top 50 at least. Note: Every single great bubble crash took around 6 months to hit rock bottom after the bubble popped.

Dazzling-Cheetah5951

"If the Dems win, the market will crash"- DJT- October 28th, 2026...... Nov 3rd- Dems win Nov 5th- one of the worst crashes of SPY and Nasdaq in history, if not the worst point drop in 1 day. It doesn't drop 20-50% in ONE DAY. It takes 3-6 months.

confused_teabagger

SPY short term anyway

Krammsy

I hate XSP, if I want the small size I use SPY, much better liquidity, despite the tax advantages of XSP, SPY also has better premium. It's even better than SPX, but for it's size and resultant fees.

Low_Foundation8900

no just that this was a massive oversell, of course SNDK and MU, I still wouldn't touch SPY with a ten-foot pole but AI stocks been getting hammered and its just strange

iLoveAloha

Very interesting. How wide do you normally go on your SPX credit / SPY debit spreads? Also, do you prefer not to use XSP for the debits because of bad liquidity?

ILove0DTE

Tomorrow 0DTE SPY calls full power

Then-Wealth-1481

That’s just SPY. Semiconductor index is down 40% since June. Nasdaq down -15%.

ShyElk84

you need to look at which stock outputformed SPY last week. double down on that

PatientMoney88

Have you considered Mariner? It is often easier to manage this strategy if done through an established brokerage that has a relationship with Mariner. They maneuvered very well during the tariff crash mostly by closing the bull put contract early. This did lose the premium for the prematurely closed contract but then more contracts were bought at same time of market uncertainty (best time for this strategy) which covered for the loses, and even brought in more. They use, like most others in their business, 6-week puts, 18 - 20% margin. Since SPY activity follows European options rule and these cannot be exercised until date of expiration, with the tariff crash, they just needed to close the upcoming 2 weeks of contracts. As the fundamentals of the market were otherwise solid, the index recovered over the coming weeks and we were back playing ball. I have done it since 2021, returns 5 - 6%, fees are 0.65% of AUM. Minimum for this strategy is I believe 1M. If they can generate 60K in an overlay strategy with me spending 0 minutes/year of my time, more than happy to pay the hard working soul executing this strategy $6500 per year. If it was not an overlay strategy, I would not have paid any management fees, as I don't with all my other investments.

bearhunter429

#Bols think bottom is near when SPY is barely down -5% from all time high LMAO🤌⛹🏾

IvetteMccoy

with longer-dated SPY options, be careful about adding too many confirmation indicators. GEX and Gamma Flip already give you a picture of the positioning, while RSI and ADX are looking at price behaviour from a different angle.. they can end up filtering out a really good setup simply because price hasn't confirmed yet

Afflictedx1

How are you determining what direction QQQ/SPY will go?

Afflictedx1

QQQ and SPY options etc have basically no bid/ask spread

dogefool88

SPY 700 Monday eod

Super-Activity-4675

they're just jealous they didn't fuck the spy and only got fucked by the SPY.

Full-Passage4412

he can fuck whoever as long as it's not the SPY :kekw:

unhappyreach_

You don't need to be Chinese to be a Chinese SPY lol

unhappyreach_

Imagine getting busted for banging a mid-grade Chinese SPY Must be lonely at the top

Super-Activity-4675

I turned an 1800 investment into 11k and I sold way too early Thursday. There will come a day when the SPY opens down 100+ points.

Happy-Champion1661

we already tried the bounce on Friday and failed. I bought MU shares on Thursday last minutes candle but I sold already at +10%. No one wants to hold the bag on a weekend so yes maybe Monday is green. Or maybe its a trap. Idk yet. Gonna see vibes, but I honestly dont like what I see here. I am usually a big dip buyer but it feels strange this time. \---- btw I need to correct myself on the previous point, I am actually wrong. For SPY it's basically 50/50. The nasdaq100 has more green than red days (> 6.5%) actually. The reason being during the dotcom bubble there were a lot of violent dead cats (22days > +6.5% and 18days < -6.5% according to claude, big if true)