SPY

dljmonkeyboiz

I’ve seen enough, full porting SPY 700 calls at open. I refuse to be rational and broke. I’d rather be retarded af and rich.

Ferret_Rough

BTC up, SPY ATHs by June 

throw2503

I feel like SPY will dump on Monday if the ongoing US-Iran negotiation has a positive outcome. Not because I'm a ber but because the market seems to have already priced that in the past few days, which was the reason for the pump in the first place.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Short summary of this week: JPM is going to report cautious guidance, we drill a bit Tuesday then ignore it and pump Wednesday. TSM also reports cut guidance, drill Thursday pump Friday. Market continues to go up until semiconductor earnings come in and then goes to SPY 600.

No-Improvement3164

Whys does seem like there’s not as much Call volume and OI on SPY January 2027. I might be wrong but I expected to see more.

StopAndThinkPleaseTy

It'll probably dump after the 14th after the massive amounts of puts on SPY expire. Of course, I haven't looked recently at the ratio, so I'm just confidently saying stuff

NationalOwl9561

Wondering if you've tried the new AI tool on the "Flow" plan of GEXstream. Looks interesting but no idea if it's actually good. I just use NDX GEX from GEXstream daily and it does a decent job for me trading SPY/SPX.

DisgrunltedDan

If that’s true , to ur point , BTC is now at the price SPY was back in March at 660s-670s

RunsaberSR

I'm famously bad at timing oil other than the Ukraine/Russia kick off. I finally said I'll do some exposure right around SPY 640 and grabbed $12k worth of XOMO. I'd have clipped for a loss if it didnt pay a weekly dividend. Time to DCA for abit.

Aigpil

the 2020 thing that gets overlooked is spread width. same 10-delta short put -- but a 5-wide vs 20-wide are completely different when SPY drops 10% in one session. tight spreads on SPX that month were basically max-loss tickets, no time to react.

grantern2

The strait is open again. SPY is going to open at minimum 700 on Monday

SeaEnvironmental756

It knows the exact amount of pain inflicted by .02% red candle on SPY one minute after opening ODTE calls. 

SlartibartfastMcGee

SLS has a binary catalyst coming up - if it passes phase 3, it will go up 5-10x. If it fails, it drops 75% overnight. Even assuming a 50/50 chance of success, isn’t that a better bet than most SPY weekly options?

GroundbreakingDark30

Trade SPX instead of SPY with that capital. You save on taxes and save on commissions

Formal_Cockroach_314

definitely is, last time I touched options was during tariff szn and I did the same thing but ran it to zero, so I consider this a W planning on running SPY calls all week

LeagueofData

SPY is gonna pump some how

Professional_Con_007

If 2026 V is any resemblance to 2025 V we going to SPY 800 soon enough

Worried_Quarter469

SPY yearns for the circuit breakers

hermeskino715

I only find it funny that ships are heading to US for oil makes me believe that a ceasefire or even a deal, 🇺🇸 and 🇮🇱 are still going to continue the war Anyways, SPY 700 Monday

Sweaty_Platypus69

Hyperliquid showing not much movement for the indexes - QQQ/SPY which seems to confirm what everyone is saying here. Pretty much the indexes have priced in whatever likely outcome this weekend discussion.

PapaCharlie9

Why SPY? SPY has all the disadvantages of an index (market beta, institutional competition for edge) without any of the advantages (no early assignment, cash settled at expiration). I'd recommend SPX over SPY, if you can afford to 10x over SPY. If you can't afford the 10x, XSP might be worth a look, but the spreads are pretty bad on XSP. An often overlooked risk is overhead costs. Trading options is expensive and the expected returns aren't always enough to pay the transaction fees. So unless you're getting some kind of family office discount on your trades, as well as some kind of tax shelter, it's an expensive way to underperform just buying shares of SPY.

EastSatisfaction405

I'm exactly in the same boat. I do not need the money right now but I am learning this so that I have a way to generate some income in case the seemingly inevitable layoff happens. I just started in January with a put credit spread and then moved to iron condors. I was doing great until Microsoft shat the bed, so right now I have had 88% success ratio. Here's what I am doing with the caveat that I am also learning, have margin available and I am very conservative. I will shift most of my trades to QQQ and SPY, always enter under .150 delta and will try to get out as soon as possible. I may take opportunistic trades on other tickers but being very careful. This Delta is non negotiable for me, I want as low risk as possible. I am doing mostly 5-spreads on credit vertical spreads and 10-spread on iron condors. I still need more discipline getting out of a losing trade, sadly didn't manage it with MSFT and I got burned with a max loss, it was just 5 contracts fortunately. Another important thing. This account is a 1/3 of my investments so I can tolerate some losses there

hallett21

🌽 says we won. Mission accomplished. SPY 700

Warm_Lecture_4461

Since everyone is so bullish here for Monday, SPY 650 by EOD

cruisin_urchin87

SPY 750 by Monday morning is reasonable in Mangomarket

PhysInstrumentalist

SPY has become a total joke, probably smarter to trade USO at this point for income, even Bitcoins price action makes more sense than this.

Ahamadrayasbaboon

If you lump sum it at the peak, yes, that’s suboptimal. In fact, I just backtested exactly that.  If you had bought at the exact peak preceding the 4 biggest crashes in the last ~25 years, starting with .com, and only at those peaks, same $ each time, SPY would barely win in account value today.  DCA’ing this would have beaten SPY by a lot. I’m as surprised as you are. 

DeltaNeutraltrading

Indeed. Avoid 0DTE options! Agreed. If you want to increase consistency in options, income trades are much better (at least from my experience). I moved to BWB in larger timeframes (80-90DTE) and it completly changed my returns. Lower but more predictable. I live well with 3-5% per month! I am doing the SPX Best and SPY Ride Trades from myoptionsedge. They're good. I was following them for about a year, but now I learned to process and trading on my own... not so complex and there is no need to adjust frequently.

Aware_Secret_8910

Why can't my portfolio V like SPY everyday

marketmispricing

I lived this situation. Not fun. If you’re open to some advice: deep is better than wide (in my experience.) I think where we can get in trouble is if we veer too far off the path of what we know and then the peanut-butter spread of doing call/put credit spreads starts to stack more losers than concentrated winners. I ended up building something for this and if you want let me know if it’s looking interesting to you and I’ll give you a free user profile for it. Www.marketmispricing.com is the site and it’s exclusively focused on SPY 0DTE Also! The M2 AI you’ll see in the bottom right corner has been enginnerred over the last 18 months to help answer questions like the one you are asking. I’d be forever grateful if you tested it out and let me know if it’s helpful. It’s free to use and doesn’t require any account or login :) Please let me know if it helps!

Ordinary_Basis_1599

If you didn't load up on SPY calls for Monday you haven't paid attention all year. REGARDLESS of the reality of the war Trump will pump the market for Monday morning opening. After that I have no clue but I'm loaded up on 4/13 SPY calls 25c 682, 25c 684, and 50 SPY calls 685 strike. F U for not paying attention to this matter! 🌮🌮🌮🌮🌮 🥭

derprondo

Imagine not holding pewts over the weekend, like did you guys forget this is a gambling sub? Da fuck are you betting on, that SPY will go up 1.5% on some peace talks? Nah I’m betting on the 100 bagger that this shit falls apart and we’re below 600 by Friday.

ratbaby86

Well, JD and the dipsh1t crew are still over there but yeah, I don't actually believe anyone wants a deal here. Endless war is an often used tool by autocrats and oligarchs to siphon money and repress their people. The Iranian regime was in a critically weak position prior to these strikes -- the economy was/is in free-fall, civil unrest and massacre of protesters as they lost control and then all of a sudden, their spiritual leader was martyred, children have been murdered and ancient sites and religious sites have been bombed and/or covered in petroleum. They needed an external enemy and the US and Israel were happy to oblige. Bibi and Trump just care about lining their pockets and avoiding prison while Putin is delighted one of his proxies isn't immediately folding. And of course Xi is just like "what sort of national suicide is this sh1t but I guess keep going." And of course this week, SPY is pumping, oil started falling despite literally nothing changing on the ground except the US isnt currently killing Iranian civilians.

ZealousidealSector19

Expert level talks! We mooning all the way to SPY 678!

unholy-confetti

SPY 700 eow trust me on this bro

rubsdikonxpensivshit

Well couldn’t hold above $681 on SPY. If we can break it and hold for more than part of a day I’m hesitantly a 🐂. If instead we drop and hold below $678 I’m full on 🐻. What craziness will this admin, Israel, and Iran bring over the weekend I wonder

rwc5078

I bought SPY puts expiring Monday if that helps And PLTR calls expiring this Friday They are different, but somehow feel the same

Bagholder147

Hope so I got calls Friday. SPY, AMD, MSFT. MSFT is probably a bad idea but I think it's beyond oversold.

bjxxjj

honestly this earnings season I’m watching margins more than revenue. feels like a lot of companies grew top line but quietly gave up profitability last year. SPY multiples still look kinda rich to me if margins don’t bounce back soon.

kountconk

SPY 678 PUT 4/13 or something like that. So inverse that and make bank.

n1ck90z

JD is in Pakistan for talks with iran. People will say these were the best negotiations and SPY will reach ATH on monday

hermeskino715

Gyna sending weapons to Iran? War for longer and 100% tariffs on Gyna for heling 🇮🇷? SPY deserves a $40 gap down Monday but it'll probably get another $20 gap up

Masala-Papad

Retail counts to 5% of total stock market. If every retail will team up and buy at the same time, SPY will go from $679 to $670, because the big institutions will start selling it.

Significant_Speed854

The news would be bullish. SPY +2%

RunsaberSR

Hell yeah. I've been in since '14. I learned i suck at long dated options and am great at 0-3dte SPX/SPY. I can also hold shares for a long time. Most of what people say online is noise (or bots). Good luck for the future.

curtmaster22

That Put is too low for SPY, it won't go that low. 

Specialist_Exam_8433

Works until it doesn't. Different when SPY is at 630 vs 680

Significant_Speed854

You must not remember how SPY was green as Lebanon was bombed within minutes to hours of ceasefire announcement

PhysInstrumentalist

Has nothing to w SPY

lucasjkr

You want cancer research? Is t that just a biotech ETF? If you just don’t want to feel bad.about your investments, there is Vegan Funt Clinate Change a etf (vegn). Fron their website, they built a index that excludes: * companies that harm animals, ( animal testing, animal-derived products, as well as animals in sports or entertainment) * companies involved in fossil fuels and their use in energy production and also excludes companies involved in military and defense, as well as human rights abuses. https://veganetf.com Since 2020 it did 13.09% annually, SPY did 13.55%. So slightly behind. (Insert Past performance disclaimer here. ) https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio#analysisResults Disclaimer: I looked at it, I liked it, but I’ve decided to go absolutely crazy in my play money account. And there isn’t an index/mutual fund version that my retirement plan can invest in. Therefore I don’t own any.

Infinity_ashim

Hi, I'm Ashim from MarketCrunch AI. I agree that sentiment is pretty beaten down for software, but the "sandbag and cut costs" playbook is getting tougher to execute for a sustained bounce. We're seeing more companies get dinged for weak forward guidance even after a beat, suggesting the market is looking past the immediate quarter. While AI efficiency is a common narrative, the actual impact on margins and growth needs to show up in the numbers, not just on the earnings call. That's the real hurdle for a "monster comeback." $SPY $QQQ

Clappindemcheekies

You can literally search SPY option ratio for next week. But on fidelity when I’m searching options it tells you the ratio.

Clappindemcheekies

For SPY options expiring next week (primarily the April 17, 2026 monthly expiration), the open interest put-call ratio is 3.88, indicating a heavily bearish sentiment as traders hold nearly four times as many puts as calls.

BeautifulAuthor9167

If $SPY is near your strike on Friday afternoon, close the trade. 2020 saw massive after hours moves that turned safe spreads into max losses by Monday morning.

ConfectionDry7881

There is only one right way of investing - 1. SPY and chill 2. zero DTE OTM calls Pick the right one or the left one 🚀 🌙

wenxuan2

People think you need good news for market to go up. It doesnt. It just needs boomers to keep buying every week/month. Market naturally goes up, so SPY 700 is confirmed next week. This is financial advice.

SonOfLuigi

Bruh the black astronaut just asked how his 04/08 635 SPY puts did

pineapplekiwipen

now that SPY 700 is secured on monday let's think about when we'll get 800

Brilliant_Voice1126

You’re not reading for comprehension. The Juice that Berk had wasn’t matching the S&P, or outperforming it by a little. People who invested in the 70-80s from compounding from those big years became millionaires and saw numbers like 2000% if you stuck with him then. No one is on “stocks” looking for a “matches S&P” stock. That’s what SPY is for. The question relevant to BRK here is, are we ever going to see the magic again? Almost 30 years of data now suggest “no” is the answer.

13jfncjai31

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/physical-oil-prices-hit-record-highs-near-150-barrel-hormuz-crisis-worsens-2026-04-07/ Physical oil just hit 144/barrel, do you really think the market can ignore the price of energy at near ATH for the next 8 months? The market can pretend oil is under 100 all it wants but the fact of the matter is that factories run on oil not paper contract derivatives of oil. The reality of the most important commodity on planet earth upon which the entire economy depends on staying cheap having just jumped 2.5 fold can only be ignored for so long. Check back in Q2/3 and then we’ll see how SPY is doing. I’m more than willing to eat my words, I hope that I’m wrong

trader_dennis

why would they do this on SPY and not SPX

PooPooPointBoiz

Man, you remember like a year or a year and a half ago when news came out that buy-no-pay-later could be used for Chipotle burritos and shit? And everyone said that was a recession indicator? What happened man? I lost so much money back then going deep into SPY puts.

No-Relationship8261

I think the war will continue SPY 900

hermeskino715

I feel like 🥭 is going to do the same 🇮🇷 deal Obama did only a lot worse. That's the best case scenario for SPY 700 Monday Anything other that, SPY 800

cripky

These iranian diplomats could get blown out of the sky after this meeting and SPY would still moon bigly next week

FarrisAT

The SPY was at $700 when 150 ships passed through in February, yes. Why would it jump to $750 when that returns?

Sweaty_Platypus69

SPY reclaims its ATH and then drills back down when people digest that the high oil price will be sticking around even come Q4. I.e. Earnings from companies will be squeezed.

ItzChiips

Less than SPY dude. Literally behind the overall market. I am up over 1000% in past 5 years by making sure I have cash for prime buying opportunities.

MarketCrunchAI

Totally agree with the sentiment on international diversification. I've been doing something similar, not quite 25-30% yet, but definitely increasing my exposure beyond just US large caps. Valuations here feel stretched, and while the US market has been incredible, it's hard to ignore the potential in other developed markets. My main concern is still currency volatility, especially with the dollar's recent strength, but I think the long-term benefits of diversification outweigh that risk for me $SPY $QQQ $VYMI

rwc5078

Just as I expected SPY down PLTR up

Brilliant_Voice1126

Cherry picking windows. 3 years Spy 66% to its 53%. One year 18% vs -7%. 10 years spy is about 15vs brk 13. 20 years they perform about the same. You can’t just pick the one favorable window. I prefer to look at BRK based on how it really delivered historically. SPY is going to be a pretty steady climber but BRK in the early years had some years with peak performance that blew SPY out of the water which is what biases it towards such seemingly huge gains over time. Those “big years” with > 50% returns happened in 83, 85, 88, 89, 95 and 1998. Since 1998 though their best year was 2013 at 33%. They’ve had a lot of good but also some sharply negative years. But that early juice hasn’t been seen in 30 years.

Charming_Hedgehog766

I see it on the chain. It’s certainly an institution or someone with that kind of $.. Butterfly spread is a great way to play the circumstances at hand if one believes SPY has reached a relief high this week. the 150k short at 535 is a really bold price target with ~20% in a bit over a month. I think collection of premium could indicate a hedge. ill come back to this post if it happens lol

music_is_gud

SPY flat as Zendaya's boyfriend's back

Significant_Speed854

How do you do this on SPY

bearhunter429

#SPY to 700+ next week LMAO🤌

Flat-Resolution905

They could drop a nuke and oil will go up 1% while SPY stays flat Idk man, overall I bet my house that the war will continue, short term idk

banff_lover

No, they have underperformed SPY slightly in last 10 if we consider dividends and as of today. Look at SPY/BRK.B.

Put_Er_There_Sport

1 ticket to SPY 710 please

gentlesandwich

I don't know when, but someday soon MSFT will become the mag 7 star to carry SPY

UnivalveX

SPY back to green aftermarket 😂

WideZookeepergame775

Can’t wait for SPY 2

AmbassadorGloomy8915

SPY 700 moday Mark my words! UGLY bears will tremble with Fear! This weekend will be CRAZY! -Mark D. S. Offfical

poopieuser909

tomorrow negotiations fail and on monday the spy hits 1000$ unlocking the SPY2

hallett21

SPY 700 Monday morning.

Ahamadrayasbaboon

$GOP etf has outperformed SPY quite a bit over the last 12 months. For obvious reasons, I’m sure. 

Spiritual_Taste_1253

SPY has lost its mind, it’s not reliable to make plays on anymore. Individual stocks are where it’s at. META, PLTR, and NBIS show that the market is still somewhat rational and can be predicted based on catalyst

Academic_Minimum4732

Welp ended up holding my SPY 4/14 676P.

Jagged_Tide

SPY

RansomeRandom

Put in for some SPY 700C 5/15 because why the hell not. It'll probably hit.

Loose_General4018

paid $22,339, got back $1,590, and the app has the audacity to say *Done* like it just completed a grocery order... $20,749 lesson that 0DTE SPY is not a trading strategy, it's a donation with extra steps.

ShittyUsernane1222

the year is 2050, the US is in its 2nd republic period, communist and an close ally of China. Earth is united under an socialist federation. The world is rebuilding from the first contact wars and ww3, war rationing is slowly ending. The leading superpower is the Peoples Republic of China which decisively defeated the reptilian and US (first republic) forces in the battle of Saturn and battle of Kuiper Belt, causing the US to sign a instrument of unconditional surrender and Reptilians to retreat to Cygnus system before capitulating unconditionally to China and signing an treaty of unconditional surrender at Kepler 440b. The PRC is allied with grey, mantids and regularly participates in galactic and inter dimensional peacekeeping operations and regularly supports socialist proxies in Kepler 452b, K2 72e, Kepler 22b and other planets. SPY has begun to recover to 100 dollars as US-Chinese joint ventures slowly stimulate the US economy in a joint rebuilding effort. New York, Maine, California, Oregon and other US states are slowly exiting the martial law period as biohazard and war cleanup accelerates. The world is slowly recovering from the short term war related damage caused by shaking off its parasites. Life may not be good, the world is in ruins of the last wars but growth and quality of life have improved and are improving rapidly. Life is becoming good, you went from shoveling biohazards and wearing Hazmat suits to enjoying a nice cozy quiet upper middle class lifestyle in less than 5 years, the flashbacks of the war remain lingering but fading.

TheMallard1

Artemis II crew are going to bring home Aliens that look like green dildos, SPY 1000 Monday

CLYDEFR000G

The first red day for SPY in all of April. Next week will be blood red

wallstreetbets-ModTeam

Thanks for your submission! r/WallStreetBets is ultimately a community about making money through trading, and our conversations should shift around that. Politics are fundamentally intertwined with making money, and political actions almost always have an impact on financial markets. Still, we need to make sure that when we have these discussions, we're explicitly calling out the financial impacts of the politics we're discussing. Otherwise, the conversation can very easily veer off into flamewars and boring, unproductive, discussion. Here's an example of a political comment that doesn't offer any value: * "I hate this new green policy from the Biden administration. What a fucking idiot" Now compare it to this: * "I hate this new green policy from the Biden administration. It threatens the profit margins of oil companies because they will need to expand their OpEx. I have calls on Shell that are going to get decimated at open." The latter is significantly more interesting and offers a great jumping point into market related discussion. Put succinctly: If you choose to start or engage in arguments about libtards or Nazis instead of making fun of their bad SPY long then you're in the wrong place and we'll show you the door. If you're not sure if your content is political, it probably is, and there's probably a better way to post it without making things weird. --- All that being said, we are here to help. We want to make it as easy as possible for you to post to our community. We have to balance this with making the subreddit interesting for our readers. If you need some guidance, don't hesitate to [reach out to modmail](https://old.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) and we'll give you some pointers!

Templar_Swamp_Stake

He’s gonna start some shit with Iran over the weekend and Monday SPY will go red. Midweek he’ll call another ceasefire and SPY will go green. Place your bets accordingly.

MissMatriarch

Just FYI: Some LARGE sell-orders on the SPY minutes before close.

Spiritual_Taste_1253

SPY is dead. It’s gone off the rails. Time to go back to scapling individual stocks

1UpUrBum

That was still in the dotcom crash. These are short term it only takes a day or 2 to wipe out large amounts. A 15% relief rally can be gone fast. Just do it yourself. Get a chart and put on a moving average envelope. For SOXX set it at 10 days and 10% range (noramlly6-7%). SPY is 10 and 3%. QQQ is 10 and 4%. See what happens. In hard selloffs it can go down more. But not for long.

Cav829

It just means more people are trading individual stocks than the SPY ETF.

Expensive-Big-8725

most of the individual stock volumes look pretty alright for the day but SPY and QQQ are measly - whats up with that?