SPY

hermeskino715

Airlines better be fucking red on Monday ^(Also SPY/Qs)

Pale-Silver-8178

If SPY couldn't touch 700 it won't touch 600 play within those lines

Optimal_Ad5461

!banbet SPY 650 1d

RandyMossMN

I would literally just buy SPY until u have $200k  Put it on auto pilot 

Optimal_Ad5461

!banbet SPY $650 April 6

Original_Wonder6088

But why not do that in a tax advantaged account and hold puts or maybe put spreads 3 months out? Instead of trying to catch a falling knife, swing puts until midterms while adding SPY and Bonds according to your system?

SovietPower777

Impossible, SPY below 550 in 2027, mark my words

kellkinn

wtf does this have to do with putting my third mortgage on 0dte SPY puts? Regard.

Aggravating-Buy-1695

SPY 700 wen?

MagJack

if you dont even have 25k just do the boring couple grand a month into SPY or something till you get there. you got no business gambling

modder9

+20% SPY day. +200% day for PLTR and every other CEO thiel has molested (that includes JD)

Dewton

Dying is literally the ultimate TACO, and then SPY to 700

SPY_0DTE

New AI technology will cause such an economic boom that not a single company will be making any losses. Dozens milions job creations. If regulation is blocked and investment happens within this month i fully expect SPY to boom above 1000$. Spy can rise 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy above 1000, that would be very much likely if fullscale ai boom in Silicon Valley were to happen.

RyannCope

!banbet SPY 660.50 1D

madhewprague

War in Iran will cause such a economic colapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens milions lay offs. If strait is not opened and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash below 300$. Spy can fall 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy bellow 100, that would be very much likely if fullscale war in Iran were to happen.

AppropriateAnnual455

All that matters is the REAL earnings rate on the SPY vs the earnings rate of having cash earnings interest. Right now earnings rate is below 4% and holding onto cash pays 4%. Therefore the market needs to go down to get back in line with that. That’s it. That’s finance in a nutshell. More money in bonds or eps/spy price. Whichever is greater invest in. Done. Right now bonds. Stocks to go down an additional 10-20%

SeaweedLeft9746

RIP Donald Trump, Joe Rogan, SPY 🙏🙏🙏

LengthObjective2253

Shit likes this will make SPY 800 eoy

SPY_0DTE

War in Iran will cause such a economic colapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens milions lay offs. If strait is not opened and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash bellow 300$. Spy can fall 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy bellow 100, that would be very much likely if fullscale war in Iran were to happen.

dljmonkeyboiz

Oil +3%, SPY +2%, UAL -5%

borkdpasito

Oil +5% SPY -1.5%

zuziannka

At what price we expecting SPY to open on Monday?

UglyMort

!banbet SPY 670 3D

HugeAd5056

GLD call makes sense XLE put probably gets you nothing SPY put probably gets you nothing if held too long If you’re trading a scenario setup, you have only one high probability scenario: inflation will show up in CPI reports and everyone knows GLD hedges inflation. World wide inflation is inevitable at this point. The only question is how much and for how long. SPY is too resilient thanks to passive holders and optimists. And there’s evidence the war is cooling down, even though two jets were shot down (one of which is an A/10 which is slow enough to be shot down even when it was newer 4 decades ago; this isn’t evidence of much new difficulty). In essence, I doubt SPY pulls back much from here at all really. But if that’s a scenario you envision, you’d be far better off with VXX calls out of the money because they’re way cheaper and if SPY is going to drop that much, VXX will be moving sky high. That and SQQQ. XLE lags oil price. And even if oil decreases but stays elevated you can expect XLE to only go up. This isn’t like past scenarios, and you and others have outlined why where you’ve mentioned it’s not only the Strait that is impeded but also Russian oil. Oil is definitely going to be elevated for a while… XLE’s value isn’t going anywhere. I’d simplify to GLD calls and VXX calls. Less waste. Even if the war was concluded tonight, GLD still rises as inflation hedge. If you don’t think so then the combo might as well be: GLD calls - **inevitable**, lasting inflation (world wide; only question is how much) VXX calls - in case sentiment get worse SPY calls - in case of early resolution

A10cc

I wanna speak with the CEO of SPY. I need to tell them to make the market go up.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Do bers realize that we already bottomed? SPY 630 was the bottom. If we're ever at risk of going below that, this admin will announce some fake news to cause a pump.

cannythecat

Is there gonna be a SPY ex-Elon etf so i dont' have to baghold his overvalued meme stocks?

_AnecdotalEvidence_

Unless he is dead. Then it’s SPY $700

ruskyandrei

Houthi's sank two ships in the Red Sea this week, looks like they're ramping up with Iran's support. [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEwkztDzYgc](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEwkztDzYgc) If ships stop sailing through the bab el mandeb because of this, oil will go to 200 in days. Which I guess means SPY to 800 soon /smh

borkdpasito

With 2 hours to go: The GREAT and POWERFUL country of Iran have agreed to a ceasefire, maybe the greatest fire that has ever been ceased. I have personally overseen highly productive negotiations with some random homeless person in Tehran. SPY is GREAT. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

No_Inspection649

Only Trump could make me concerned that I am holding SPY over a 3-day weekend.

Superente_

Wait, the strait is opening now? SPY 670 next week? Or even SPY 700?

buyatollah_kuminamy

!banbet SPY 584 2d

Syonoq

I realize what you mean, but I just looked it up and 2022 was when SPY went daily. Man I feel old.

Big_Generator

That is *the best* way to trade options! You can buy and sell *hundreds* of contracts a month and there are no tax implications until you take distributions. If option trading was disallowed everyone would just pile money into index funds and you can see how well that strategy works in a flat market like 2026 so far. (SPY down almost 4%, QQQ almost 5%). Oof!

Put_Er_There_Sport

Imagine the market if the world got an Easter miracle. +5% on SPY alone

git0ffmylawnm8

5 SPY 638P dated for Friday. It's been getting ass fucked over take peace headlines last week. I haven't even gotten a goddamn reach around

Bluecoregamming

Don't. Last week only paid because we escaped the weekly expected move, to the upside. Yet all those weeks of selling? Not once did SPY break out the weekly expected move to the downside. You would have gotten killed with straddles even as the markets puked. Just pick a direction and have conviction.

Legitimate_Treat_762

i think you should max out your 401k. i've done that my whole life and it's worked out pretty well. I think you should get in now and DCA. maybe every friday for as long as you can. SPY or VOO

Appropriate_Trade450

Sign me up! Let me know where you wanna chat. I trade SPX and SPY daily.

jlw993

Apologies, I've been tracking overall momentum and individual stocks not just SPY price. It's been pretty clear things started losing momentum around September/October. The time BTC/META/MSFT etc all started falling. It has looked eerily similar to end of 21/start of 22 which I've been saying for a long time

cat_herder4

!banbet SPY 655.91 1d

progmakerlt

SPY is not traded over the weekend. Or am I wrong?

Iceman12145

!banbet SPY 648 1d

AvocadoPurees

!banbet SPY 650 1d

Electronic_Sky_1413

Not true. SPY was testing all time highs right before this went down. Macro trends don’t seem fundamentally great but the stock market is divorced from the average consumer’s experience.

Fkn1v1mem8

All this bad news and bearish sentiment finally means SPY 700 lets goooo

Salty-Bid1597

The real question is whether a dead 🥭 would cause SPY to +5% or -5%

slimeystevebob

Since SPY 680 would defy all logic, it's actually likely. But since it's likely, the opposite will happen. Therefore, puts. But since I just called puts, calls it is. But since I just called calls, puts it is. You're welcome.

greenpride32

I have been in the market for over 25 years, holding SPY shares dating back to under $100 and plenty of SPY/VOO from $100-$500. Thanks for the luck, but I don't need it. While you're guessing (gambling) on all the little dips and bumps here and there, I've captured every penny of SP500 gains over the years and grew my net worth; not to mention all the distributions. When I was in accumulation phase, the dips (though it didn't seem like it at the time) were actually much more benificial in the long run because it allowed me to acquire more shares with same dollar amount.

Spidaaman

The same SPY chart that’s up over the last week?

-GuyDeLombard-

Prepare for SPY 600

someroastedbeef

when you buy a share of SPY do you directly own each individual stock? there’s your answer

borkmaster0

Google Take this example, SPY. By buying shares of SPY, you don't own any of the shares that SPY holds because SPY owns the shares. You own shares of SPY, not the shares that SPY owns. You -(invest in)-> SPY -(buys)> Shares

MunichBucko

Watching the news and SPY at the same time feels like speedrunning anxiety one headline and your portfolio either breathes or flatlines

Unlikely_Proof_7772

Monday SPY 300 or SPY 800

iFunnyImmigrant

!banbet SPY -5% 1w

MilesDelta

Fair point. Calendars are cleaner for pure term structure plays. My positioning is more directional with a term structure thesis layered on top, if I was trading the curve itself I'd be in VIX calendars not SPY put spreads. Different trade, same view.

tika_dengu

Alien invasion will cause such a economic collapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens millions lay offs. If portal is not closed and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash below 300$. Spy can fall 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy below 100, that would be very much likely if alien invasion were to happen.

Substantial-Use-2867

This is looking for evidence to fit a pattern you already decided exists. Back in November, people were overwhelmingly negative when SPY dropped 5% in a week. That certainly wasn't the bottom and 5 months later, macro conditions look to keep sliding.

LasyKuuga

>SPY 550 next week Well ig we’ll be done with the spam by then 😂

madhewprague

!banbet SPY 300 1m

madhewprague

War in Iran will cause such a economic colapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens milions lay offs. If strait is not opened and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash below 300$. Spy can fall 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy bellow 100, that would be very much likely if fullscale war in Iran were to happen.

Senior_Professional4

New AI technology will cause such an economic noon that not a single company will be making any losses. Dozens milions job creations. If regulation is blocked and investment happens within this month i fully expect SPY to boom above 1000$. Spy can rise 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy above 1000, that would be very much likely if fullscale ai boom in Silicon Valley were to happen.

Firm-Brilliant622

I had this theory I lose at a lot of options trades I’m in the money probably 10-20% when I enter trades on SPY and then it goes in the opposite direction 100% sometimes 1000% so I figured if I mark my charts and go opposite of what I think the SPY is going to do I would be right 90% of the time lol… your thoughts?

madhewprague

War in Iran will cause such a economic colapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens milions lay offs. If strait is not opened and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash below 300$. Spy can fall 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy below 100, that would be very much likely if fullscale war in Iran were to happen.

n1ck90z

Iran could release the kraken in the strait and SPY would still moon on monday

thehandsoap

I lost 40K in 2 trading days playing with SPY 0DTE, idk if your post makes me feel better or worse because you were actually up significantly before deciding to seppuku, whereas I was only up a little and then got greedy. I guess we just need to be thankful for any gains we get and remember it could always be way way worse

Time_Molasses_1581

Bulls think 🥭 is currently coming up with a master plan to open the Homo Strait, meanwhile he fapping to pics of Kristi Noem’s husbands knockers 😂😂👊 SPY 635 Monday

Ecstatic_Formal6739

Would love to join! Currently trading 1DTE SPY actively

StraitOfHummus

You've heard of dead internet theory, but what about dead market theory? It feels like algos (and MMs) are trading back and forth at low levels and artificially manipulating the price. How else could SPY be green on news like we're seeing?!

djai50

48 hours boys, we either see 10% SPY green or red, place your bets haha

Warm_Implement3088

Mango lies so much he makes himself look schizo, "Hormuz will naturally open" -> "Open it up or I'll push fake talks back again with the new Regime that doesn't exist" SPY $800 Unemployment is folk lore

UnivalveX

- mango threatening complete destruction: SPY -0.2% - taco delaying supposed destruction: SPY +2%

callsonreddit

I'll feel better if Mon SPY -3% and runs up to green

absolutxtr

“Remember when I gave Iran ten days to MAKE A DEAL or OPEN UP THE HORMUZ STRAIT,” 🌮 wrote in a post on his Truth Social platform. “Time is running out – 48 hours before all Hell will reign down on them.” - 🥭 But but .. I thought it was already open? The French ship! 😥 😂😂🤣 SPY to 600 by Tues

UNEXPECTED_PREQUEL

My G-spot is SPY 690c 04/17

StraitOfHummus

"Imagine if the SPY gets delisted!"

FabulousLanguage6216

Let’s make this comment great again! : “War in Iran will cause such a economic colapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens milions lay offs. If strait is not opened and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash bellow 300$. Spy can fall 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy bellow 100, that would be very much likely if fullscale war in Iran were to happen.”

madhewprague

War in Iran will cause such a economic colapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens milions lay offs. If strait is not opened and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash bellow 300$. Spy can fall 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy bellow 100, that would be very much likely if fullscale war in Iran were to happen.

wubbalubbadabdabdab

My brother in whatever you believe in, 99 trades on SPY is gambling. Don’t know if you are following any plans. Go touch grass and put your money into index funds

hermeskino715

SPY 610 or we riot

Autogreens

Why puts on SPY on XLE both, are you hedging your own directional bet?

CEO-of-SOXL

At this point I feel like we could be undergoing a World War Z scenario this weekend and SPY would still hit 700 on Monday. Nothing in this market makes sense. Sent from Motorola StarTAC

madhewprague

War in Iran will cause such a economic colapse that not a single company will be making any profit. Dozens milions lay offs. If strait is not opened and invasion happens within this month i fully expect SPY to crash bellow 300$. Spy can fall 90% by the end of this year. Imagine spy bellow 100, that would be very much likely if fullscale war in Iran were to happen.

1One2Twenty2Two

So you think SPY will drop an additional 20% in the next 2 weeks?

MilesDelta

Fair point. The 520/500 was a cheaper structure to keep premium outlay low given elevated IV but you're right, delta exposure is better ATM. A 545/525 gives you immediate P&L sensitivity without needing a 5% move to reach your short strike. I sized the 520 small as a tail hedge, not a primary position. The SPY 540P 4/17 is the ATM leg doing the heavy lifting.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Wen SPY 700?

Time_Molasses_1581

I will be in surgery Monday and unable to sell my puts. I hope I wake up and SPY is 615 🙏

SpaceCatVII

I'm finally beating SPY YTD because SPY fuk lol

kountconk

Is there any hope for real downside next week? We floated on low volume, have a ton of overhead resistance on SPY, and not a lot of volume on support until 639. Can we please, *please* have some consistent downside, for once, so bears can eat? Or are we going to continue have oil spike and somehow SPY just bounces from here to 700 for no apparent reason other than "Buy the dip, guys! Bottom is in!" This shit is insanely frustrating bears got like an hour or 30 minutes to eat before market inexplicably rips to the upside. Hope bulls get completely slaughtered this month sick of this shit man. SPY to 625 and QQQ to 545 this fucking week. Let's let oil rip and dive to a lower low.

baconography

Redemption arc path is that OP uses SPX options instead for the recovery, and gets a way better tax treatment on the gains than he would have had winning with SPY.

UnivalveX

it doesn't ever matter how bad things are, one war is almost over tweet or "unconfirmed report" of some bullshit will pop SPY +2% in 5 mins

BoolTwentyFourSeven

!banbet SPY 615 8w

arthriticpug

!banbet SPY 700 8w

SmexyFlexyStudley

!banbet SPY 725 4w

AlGAdams

Yeah I add to SPY and SCHD still.  Im 40% in SPY, 15-20% SCHD and then for individual stocks AMZN, GOOG, NVO, PFE, KSPI and BEAM.  I sell calls on everything and will normally buy more through CSPs.

Fit_Neighborhood9251

We are fucking sending people around the fucking moon. If it wasn't for the stupidest war in the fucking world, he could have just made the following at 9pm: Walk out on stage and say: Artemis is good go. We are sending people to the moon again. And walk off stage. That's it. Or Just - Amerika is back to sending people to the moon. And mic drop. And we could have gotten SPY to 1000. That's it. instead - nobody will be eating normal food for 6 months again until the fertiliser market stablises.

vermilli21

How are my SPY 600p looking for Monday?

slothropdroptop

The fact 🥭 can get voted in an do this shit is just unbelievable. So numbed to it but sometimes it bleeds through. WTF. The US has lost the plot and maybe its not up and to the right on SPY