SPY
State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust
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ATOS - Old dog, upcoming catalyst, trading near cash
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
CPI Sets Up Potential for a Squeeze, ASML Reinforces the AI Bull Case
Does dealer gamma actually predict next-day SPY range? I measured 60 days of it
CPI, Earnings and the return of the corporate bid
SPY on Friday had the lowest daily volume since Dec. 24th 2019 (and that was a half day).
New paper: an AI options trader made 18.3% in 6 months, until researchers let it read the news
Wave Theory Levels for SPY & NVDA (Week Ending Oct 9)
Investment thesis for trading week 10/13 - 10/16
Anyone else trade SPX broken-wing butterflies? Here’s the structure I use
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
I have 11k in stock and I am 20 years old. Where do I invest?
November 16th 2026: An urgent News bulletin declares the Russian Plague has reached our border (I'm holding SPY puts).
Let 2 $SPY options expire accidentally at a wedding
Lost close to $5000 of capital and need help
PCE came out as outlined in yesterday's write-up, MU Earnings Review and a More Bullish Q4 Setup
Calling BS on the fake peace deals and economic data - SPY
Expectations for PCE, MU Earnings and a Dovish Williams Repricing Rates
Wanting to buy LEAPS calls, but the stock market doesn't look good
Pension Funds Are Selling $32B of U.S. Equities But the Setup Is Improving
Iran Headlines, 19 Fed Speakers and Quarter-End Flows Put SPY Under Pressure
My portfolio strategy for this week is foolproof
Seeing the premarket bounce, I kept averaging down SPY 0DTE Calls.
The Art of Chasing Rallies: Does Buying That Gap Up at Open *Actually* Work?
The Art of Chasing Rallies: Does Buying That Gap Up at Open *Actually* Work?
The Market Is Starting to Hedge a Fed Reversal
[Data Post] SPY's option-implied probability of being up in a month is at the 94th percentile since
I Was Too Cautious Yesterday, But I’m Not Chasing
S&P 500 is near all-time highs, but the average stock tells a very different story
My Iron Condors got absolutely racked today
Sold my SPY Call at open like a moron
The PDT rule is literally just a poverty tax
20 SPY 0 dte options were sold automatically at 3:57 enough though I was actively monitoring
OPEX, September Weakness and the Setup Into October
I'm out. 100% into 5%. Bubble vibes are too mucho no bueno!
Fed Preview - What Options, Bonds and Positioning Are Telling Us
The Warsh Effect and Wednesday's Rate Announcement
I stopped choosing SPY put spreads by delta alone
Investment thesis for week 9/14 - 9/18
SPY had $915M in options premium. UNH had $615M. Only one was unusual.
For poor man 0DTE options, is IWM my best bet? 🤔
SEPT 16TH DD: The Fed gonna mess up your calls (OR) J-Pow’s successor is bringing back the 1980s. Grab your helmets? (co-written by Gemini)
Mentions
The fuck? Do you have any idea the fuck you’re talking about? SPX has arguably greater liquidity than SPY, you’re probably thinking of XSP
#Dow futures turned green, SPY futures turned flat, Nasdaq futures still drilling hard LMAO🤌🍁
This is hardly a drop, SPY still too high.
Well if it’s Great Depression part two, SPY 100 calls will print. If it’s only dot com bubble it’s gonna be weak sauce
10 AI stocks are holding the whole SPY up. Everything else is diverging from beta. If someone would've told me 2 years ago that 60% of stocks would be crashing but 10 AI companies would keep SPY at ATH's or near it, I would have laughed. This is all a big con/ponzi scheme. [https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMarket/comments/1x5q2p2/goldman\_sachs\_just\_dropped\_a\_wild\_chart\_on\_sp\_500/](https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMarket/comments/1x5q2p2/goldman_sachs_just_dropped_a_wild_chart_on_sp_500/)
You know what it'd be so funny if SPY gap up to 773 before market open. Please lord god
I feel like with 0DTE SPY options, the hardest part is knowing when *not* to trade. There might be multiple setups in a day, but forcing trades just to stay active can do more harm than good. I'd rather wait for one setup that actually fits my strategy than take 4-5 random trades. How do you guys avoid overtrading, especially on slow or choppy days?
What? Nifty50 is down like 13% this year because of huge offloading by American Institutions, how are Indian markets following US market when SPY and NASDAQ are up?
TSM chad + ppi good = SPY 800 TSM simp + ppi bad = SPY 745 which will it b
\-3-5%? On what? SPY is barely moving. It's all QQQ? How much further is that?
Whom bought SPY calls at close today and how’re you feeling about them?
Time for some fun lotto SPY puts at open. Nothing like throwing $1K down the pisser for a chance at a 10 bagger.
Bears can celebrate today and tomorrow, but they always get fucked in the long-term. Calls on SPY everyday.
#Realistically speaking SPY should drop 30-40% from here LMAO🤌🍁
Spy pumping on Trump thinking about using a MOAB. We probably get to SPY 950 if he drops a nuclear bomb instead.
Yeah, that’s the case, they are dropping because SPY and QQQ had a bad day
Genuinely BAFFLED that gay bears saw SPY posting 30% earnings growth and decided to double down on 3 red days in a row
Could be a capitulation candle yes. But it's just that SPY went sideways on low volume for sometime and now breakdown on GUH volume. It's literally like "Breakout on high volume" but in the opposite direction ⬇️
What's the orange charlatan going to tweet tomorrow, "SPY is at ATH's?" Lol. He appeals to low IQ boomers.
My SPY calls are dependent on manipulation and corruption
Why did I have faith in SPY and bought calls before the market close. Fuck me I'm so cooked.
Realistically SPY could open at zero tomorrow
Just want SPY to touch 772 and then drop so I can sell my call for minimal profit and switch to puts
What an ugly portion of the SPY 5yr this admin has...
What the fuck did you guys do to SPY and QQQ? Went for a beer and come back to QQQ under 721. What the actual fuck!
Sorry, SPY needs to dump 10% first to go up another 25%
Why is SPY -.5% overnight then?
Circuit breakers tomorrow. Expect SPY 750, with all AI and tech -10-15%
SPY getting rammed overnight lol
Tech stocks hit hard. US market is like 35% tech stocks. Down 1.3% Japan almost all value names yet it’s down 5%!!! Imagine if SPY had a -5% move lol makes no sense
Right except when SPY is at 0% then KOSPI dips 8% that night, like most nights.
**PEOPLE: SPY IS -1.6% ATH. why sad? YOUR PORT IS DOWN 2% RIGHT? RIGHT?** # me:🥹🥹🥹🥹
SPY really went down to close the gap from 2 weeks ago GUH
Dude 90% of SPY is down 10-15%
What about adding SP500 into the mix to be like 30% SPY and 60% bonds?
I'm bearish and all. But don't you think you guys are celebrating a little prematurely, SPY is -1.6% from ATHs.
ES futures may be down overnight, but if you bought SPY for a bounce at the close today then what gold is doing should put you at ease. SPY and Gold have had a positive correlation, and where Gold leads SPY typically follows.
Do you have a certain % gain you exit at? What do you mean when you say you do this on SPY and then mention you’re doing it on PLTR and NVDA too? Do you mind sharing what your gains look like?
People already saying this is the crash lol. No crash before SPY 800
The scary part is that the SPY still pretty close to ATH. I hate to know what would happen if it did take a -5% in the next couple of days
SPY would’ve hit 850 by now.. Only thing these retards had to do was twiddle their thumbs and jerk each other off.
I think the stats say the day after cpi is green like 75% of the time, with an average around 0.7% gain on SPY.
Once 4pm eastern time hits then that’s it… You only get the extra 15 minutes with SPY, QQQ, etc.
SPY is 1.6% from ATHs.
SPY dipping further dipping overnight
I know. I’m sorry. It’s so hard to put the math into words. But basically, because SPY is a compressed (almost exactly 1/10th) SPX, when a SPY contract gets down to $.01 that’s equivalent to the “identical” SPX contract getting down to .10. So you see how the SPX contract has more room to maneuver? Also, number of contracts traded is larger on SPX and they’re for a 10x nominal value. Plus SPX has the 60/40 tax split rule so it’s really the best to utilize.
so more slippage for SPY??? I don't think I follow well you what you mean by "deviation"?
Ohh that’s the Korean index. I thought you guys were complaining about something real like SPY or QQQ.
The worst part of it all for SPY bulls? The yen carry trade has not unwound yet.
GPT's take: This guy on r/wallstreetbets appears to have accidentally turned a relatively small options trade into a $7.8 million stock position using borrowed money. And the crazy part? He seems to think he's just become wealthy. What actually happened is considerably more dangerous. # 1. He bought SPY call options The first screenshot shows: ORIGINAL TRADE Contracts # 100 Strike price # $765 Premium per share # $2.36 Total premium paid # $23,600 Each call contract controls 100 shares of the SPY ETF. So 100 contracts give him the right to purchase 10,000 SPY shares at $765 each. He apparently expected the contracts to expire or be settled automatically without acquiring the shares. But the calls finished in the money, and he failed to close them before expiration. # 2. His broker exercised the options When his options were exercised, he purchased: 10,000 shares × $765 = $7,650,000. Except he didn't have $7.65 million in cash. His broker apparently allowed the exercise to proceed, creating an enormous margin debit. The second screenshot shows: POSITION AFTER EXERCISE # $7,785,700 Market value of 10,000 SPY shares at $778.57 Unrealized stock gain # +$135,700 Stock price increase +1.77% Notice something important: the $135,700 is the gain on the stock relative to the $765 exercise price. It does not account for his original $23,600 options premium, financing costs, or other trading expenses. # 3. Here's where things get insane The third screenshot shows his actual account equity: BROKERAGE ACCOUNT SUMMARY Net liquidating value # $212,034 Stock buying power −$7,497,331 Options buying power −$3,748,666 He has roughly $212,000 of equity supporting a nearly $7.8 million position. That's approximately 37 times leverage. For perspective, look at what happens if SPY moves just a little. # 4. What happens if SPY drops? Simulate his SPY position 0.0% −5% SPY \+5% SPY Estimated account equity # $212,034 Change in equity: $0 Illustrative mark-to-market calculation, assuming the full 10,000-share position remains open. Excludes margin interest, fees, and broker liquidation. A decline of just 2.72% from the displayed SPY price would theoretically wipe out all $212,034 of his equity. His broker would likely issue a margin call or liquidate the position well before that point. In fact, the enormous negative buying power suggests an immediate margin deficiency. # 5. Is he actually a millionaire? No. Not according to these screenshots. He owns almost $7.8 million in stock, but that stock was financed almost entirely with borrowed money. His actual net account value is about $212,000, not $7.8 million. There's another curious detail: he mentions having roughly $400,000 in available margin previously, yet the account now displays huge negative buying power. That doesn't represent a windfall of usable credit. The most astonishing part is that he's planning to keep the shares and use the margin to make even more trades. That's a serious misunderstanding of how brokerage margin works. The broker can sell his position without waiting for his permission, and depending on the account agreement and market movements, he could potentially owe additional money. The ironic thing is that he may have genuinely made a profitable trade. But instead of closing his options and realizing the gain, he accidentally took on a multimillion-dollar leveraged stock position. He's confusing control of $7.8 million in assets with ownership of $7.8 million in wealth. Those are very different things. so is he up or down? He's up, at least on paper. Based on the screenshots: * Stock gain: +$135,700 * Original options cost: −$23,600 * Estimated trading profit: +$112,100 * Current account equity: $212,034 So he appears to have made roughly $112,100, before margin interest and fees. But here's the catch: he's holding $7.8 million in stock with enormous leverage. Every $1 SPY moves changes his account value by $10,000. If SPY drops just 1%, he loses approximately $77,857. He's currently winning, but he's one modest market decline away from losing everything. And unless he sells, that $112,100 profit isn't locked in.
I mean, who cares about SPY, I am talking about memories here.
My point was SPY has not even had a real correction. But I didn't get your thesis - QQQ not moving since May implies what?
SPY doesnt even react to this shit anymore
I got laid off This is bullish for SPY
Yet, somehow, SPY will still make ATH
Question for you, how far is SPY from ATH right now?
I trade solely based on your comments. Like the whole thing about SPY defying gravity was alarm bells for today — just as you predicted
High beta stocks. Feel free to take a peak around. Not referring to SPY. See post above - high beta stocks
We’re still higher than we were (for SPY) 2 weeks ago lmao
Huge buying opportunity! SPY is at levels not seen since… *checks chart* …a whopping 13 days ago!
I will never understand how people end up trading this much SPY rather than SPX.
Actually not the exact same dollar amount. I track both SPY and SPX dailies and because SPY options are slightly less liquid, and because the notational value of the option gets compressed in SPY vs SPX it will have a greater deviation closer to 0.00-0.09 because it has to release in whole .01 values.
I can easily stop this bleeding on SPY by buying over priced SPX puts premiums right now
As bearish as I might be, I’m not sure why SPY went down and TLT went up with horrible trade deficits and hot cpi data 🥴🤔🤔🤔
Most 401ks are basically SPY.
'Severe deceleration' - yeah no shit no company can do 147 percent quarter on quarter growth for long, but the 2026 revenue already is going to be over 70 billion which means we're already seeing revenue out of this business similar in scale to Lockheed Martin or Amex. There's only 62 companies in SPY with more than 70 billion in revenue and this is year 2 for the business and it still has high double digit growth. Everything depends on just how much 'adjustment' is required but this business is obviously going to do >100bn in revenue next year. Also, for all the 'there's no profitability here' people - you need to ask yourself if you would have bought Amazon in 97 or 01 before it showed profitability or not, or even 05 when profitability was bad. Because people did and held until today; you can read Nick Sleep's letters to investors and watch it happen.
SPY is -2% from all time highs and bears are out in full force all over social media. That never ends well for them. And this is coming from someone who is cash gang...
WTF SPY Just crash already!!
Someone smart said SPY 22SMA is 769. We are below that now…
SPY 700 is not a meme.
Where's the dude with the dirty ass .. he can wipe em with my SPY calls
I encourage everyone to look at the 3 year SPY/QQQ chart for reference. This is nothing so far
I feel like for SPY to under 700, it will require at least 400 of the S&P 500 to go into receivership...
If SPY were to go back to 700, what prices are these stocks going to
People are invested in more than just SPY and you know it
Zoom out of SPY lol - I suspect there's gonna be panic in the market. It's still riding an ATH & all gains have been from AI / AI labs this year.
SPY enjoyers: chillin QQQ enjoyers: shambles
SPY puts about to be 20 baggers
Such a massive overreaction! SPY over 770 by the end of the month.
SPY is less than 2% from the ATH. That means to either not worry about it because we can be back to ATHs in no time or we have a hell of a long way down.
SPY 300 has a nice ring to it.
I didn't 😭 I was mostly in SPY today but didn't open any new positions. Do you think there's still time?
Well while its true SPY had a minor drop R200 is real close to correction territory.
Fool just gave the algos the bottom signal SPY going up 2% tomorrow
Meanwhile, SPY is $9 for the peak.
CPI: "only a tenth hot" 🤡 Second 0.3% core in a row, gas +9%, and now rent and airfares are joining the party. The 10y tagged 5.33% and SPY went 775 to 766 before lunch. The Beige Book said the economy is "flat to slight" but prices are "robust." Stagflation speedrun anyone? Meanwhile big tech is setting ~$800B on fire on GPUs this year to chase ~$150-200B of actual AI revenue. That's a 4-5x capex to revenue ratio, the business plan of a guy who bought a boat to start a fishing charter and has caught one (1) fish. OpenAI "found" its revenue is $50B, not $70B, once you stop counting its landlord's money. Anthropic showed its numbers to the suits today behind closed doors ahead of a $2T IPO, so naturally we get nothing until the leak. Jensen is the only one getting paid. Everyone else is paying Jensen. PPI tomorrow. If it's hot too, 771 is the rejection and 758 is the destination. If it's soft, bears get their annual reminder that this market runs on vibes and buybacks. Positions: cash, because I waited for confirmation at the open and watched puts print without me. This is the way.
All these things are reason why the market will go up when these numbers come down. There’s funny stuff going on with oil prices. After the midterm, oil is going to plummmet, gas will go down, price of goods will follow, inflation down, interest rates will drop. S&P will go up. This is the dip I’m buying SPY.
Lets get SPY back to 750 and QQQ back to 700
my big boy accounts are almost all indexes and was 60% SPY, at close I sold SPY and put 30% in RSP and 30% in SGOV. those accounts have been chopping flat for 6 months despite contributions and I am sick of it, but some of that was my fault. my gambling account was just straight shares but has been losing 5% per day every single fucking day for like 10 trading days. I don't want to paperhand and sell at a 6-month low when I intended to hold for at least a year or several but it is starting to really hurt. I finally cracked and bought puts as a hedge so at least it will stay mostly flat for a few days. I unexpectedly had to buy my wife a new car last week which kind of changed my risk tolerance. woe is me, right? the losses are pennies compared to some of the degenerates here but I am just a middle class schmuck. but your advice was what I was looking for, the emotions are amplified and I don't think options are for me even on a normal day. I need to figure out how to exit or manage these positions over the weekend or something.
Time for private equity to open a plasma donation centres across the US with bedside terminals offering western union transfers w/8% transfer fee, payday loans with 20% interest, quick draw scratch and win lotto, 0-DTE quick buy with buttons for SPY and QQQ, and Tr@mp coin auto-deposit.
And this is while SPY barely moved
Bro this must be the scariest week of your life SPY is hovering at 769 right now
Look at how SPY is weighed.
Down about 50%, $400k since I started “trading” in 2016. Have $680k remaining mortgage at 5%. Meanwhile SPY almost tripled since then. I don’t know what to do anymore. Feel like crying every waking moment but the tears don’t fall.