Reddit Posts
What Market makers do for a living and how it affects your options trading
House Rep Gil Cisneros disclosed 3 $VLTO buys. His industrial sector trades have a 8% SPY-adj return 90 days after disclosure.
House Rep Gil Cisneros disclosed 3 $VLTO buys. His industrial sector trades beat SPY 72% of the time after disclosure
I think the market is one bad headline away from absolute chaos and nobody’s ready for it...
Diversification Isn’t Just About Reducing Risk
Posted GEX levels before market open Friday— 8 out of 11 held at king by close
Does this mean to full port SPY puts?
What is the 0DTE meaning behind the last hour of trading on big days
The effects mentally of throwing everything in SPY vs Managing your assets yourself and making trades several times a month.
100% winrate today scalping SPY and TSLA, made $14k and it’s my birthday too 😝
I built the most honest VRP put credit spread backtest I could. 7 years, 5 symbols. Terrible
Fired my old fart financial advisor, stopped swing trading, started taking profits, started buying the dip (PT. 2)
minute-by-minute SPY options replay tool for backtesting strategies using historical options data
Print tomorrow or Fries with that?
TGT (Target) is probably the only recession proof stock
The New York Knick's winning the finals will trigger the collapse of the global economy.
Rep. Tim Moore just disclosed a new $T (AT&T) buy, his Communication Services trades have been crushing it
How do I short my dad? (Pigeonmaxxing)
interest data for spy puts over the next month is off the charts?
INTC 15:1 LEVERAGE POSITION CLOSED, TRADED SPY 0DTE $5K --> $22.4K
18 year old who just started - any advice would be appreciated! I don’t know how to diversify properly.
Home Depot ($HD) Earnings Tomorrow - Insider Buying Just Hit
Do you withdraw or invest if war breaks out or society begins to collapse?
The ultimate bear signal was formed last week
I’m the guy behind the Wendy’s dumpster, markets will go green
Concentrated O&G, offshore drilling, infrastructure, fertilizer and coal.
Can one of y'all please screw up take a physical shipment of 100 barrels of oil to my local gas station
Don't wanna be part of Elon's $1.75t valuation SpaceX passive investing bank heist of SPY? Here's how to build SPY ex-SpaceX on the day.
Book-level delta def matters more than I thought for condors
Is there any way for the market to recover?
Anyone else get in their head watching people make huge money on options?
This is either the most or least regarded contract I’ve ever bought.
I analyzed every congressional disclosure for $SNOW since Feb 2025, buying on disclosure day returned +37% median, 100% win rate across 8 trades
Is this the beginning of the End? All indices across the world go negative - All at Once.
The market giveth, the market taketh and giveth back again in 20 days.
CME crypto index futures are kind of a big deal imo
Scaling out fixed my 0DTE entries, but made my exits more inconsistent
Putting the profits I made from SPY yesterday into AMAT and UMAC!!
How I 10exed my money in SPY in 6 years . 200k --> 2 million
SPY +0.17% at Record | Energy Leads Sectors | Silver Surges +6.79%
I moved 20% to treasuries a while ago betting on a pullback. Some data came in this week that wasn't in my thesis.
Lost 350 on SPY puts yesterday. That was the first and last time I ever buy puts again.
Broker that let's me set trades based off % of portfolio? i.e. buy as much SPY with100% of portfolio or cash available. Also set a time?
As a gambling man, it's clear it's time to take profits
3K to 16.5K SPY gains. Bought on the dips yesterday and today. Just closed during my flight with WiFi.
DADDY’S LITTLE DISAPPOINTMENT: Lost the college fund on SPY Puts and now I hear the belt unbuckling.
The payoff for betting on the right direction: SPY Put 137%
I backtested share buybacks from 2006 to 2026.
Robinhood is missing out by not offering 0DTE parlays
Mentions
That's funny. Jokes aside, i feel anyone with less than 100k should almost never go cash(unless it's needed). Their ability to time the market is more likely delayed and will miss more upside if they just sit and hold. And if you need to get out of a risky trade, move it to something like SPY, VOO or VTI, don't sit cash.
Apple is literally the final boss of this market, if it sends it’s taking SPY with it 😂 Only thing that scares me is how crowded this trade feels, everyone and their grandma is loading AAPL calls right now. I’m riding with you but I’ve got tight exits, Cupertino rug pulls hurt different.
just SPY and chill man....assuming no financial crisis
Bers will soon realize that there is no fighting this market. Oil is still at 100$ but we are going to pump 1-2% everyday till we reach SPY 1000.
Bols will soon realize that there is no saving this market. Oil is still at 100$ and we are going to drill 1-2% everyday till we reach SPY 700.
Are futes and SPY aftermarket open today/tomorrow?
Mango furiously negotiating the deal with a hallucination of Jeffrey Epstien while staffers look on helplessly. SPY to 900
SPY is going to pump. Sorry but this market isn’t rational.
SPY is going to crash. Sorry but this market isn't rational.
If anything this all just shows how powerless civilization truly fucking is. We’re genuinely just at the mercy of the whims of fate as it installs benevolent and hopeful folks to mentally unstable demagogues into positions of power through completely random sequences of events, and whatever and wherever you’re born into is just sort of what you get. Anyway, SPY 760 by EoW buy calls.
🥭 has enough to manipulate oil, interest rates and stock prices .. until SPY is at 500 he won’t make a deal.
SPY $800 wen??? Kevin sees no inflation! Full port 800 Spy call..
The “deal” they’re negotiating is another 60 day ceasefire anyways … we’re gonna be at SPY 900 with a few more fake deals by then
Monday peace deal signed, Tuesday SPY hits 300 and MSFT will still find a way to tank below 400
SPY is up 80% in five years. Find me a better safe return
All this noise just for SPY to gap up 2% at open https://preview.redd.it/srjtizy8q43h1.jpeg?width=160&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=36dfa7e71f743b7e8aa4f35340db4d0c82728276
You’re so clueless that you shouldn’t be stock picking. Just buy SPY and forget about it
short its weight in SPY, buy SPY if its 5% of SPY For every 100$ SPY exposure, sell short 5$ SPCX
Serious question, how do I avoid buying this piece of shit if I own SPY or VTI? I'm assuming it's pretty much impossible but cur
!banbet SPY 760 4d We all know reality matters not
Buy SPY and stocks, DCA and wait . Trade options in paper trading to learn and in a year, you’ll be ready. Or switch brokerages if you can’t wait.
Concepts of a deal managed to pumped SPY past 700
Chin up: $1000 of gold bought in 2003 should be worth about $13,600 today. Compared to being responsible with $1000 of SPY you beat the market (SPY would be worth about $11,250 today). Now go pawn that ring and buy some NVDA.
I made a strategy the other day and back tested it on tesla from 2022 to now and it was up 30000% percent. It did the same on a few other ones but on SPY it was down like 30% lmao
Well boys my sunday prayer is seeing SPY +5% EoW.
A Tuesday open green SPY candle of +2.5% will add how many inches?
Mango you better sign this deal and send SPY up 5% this week
🥭Tuesday at 8:30: The Iran deal is almost finished, there may be few small sticking issues to be resolved such as Uranium, Hormuz tolls, sanctions, proxy terror financing, war reparations, etc. But other than that, it's really almost done. SPY pumps 2% at open
I’ve been trying to make a ban bet for SPY 776 for the 250th anniversary. I wouldn’t be surprised if King NVDA was 250 to join in on the meme market.
SPY up 13% since the first fake deal/ceasefire. I sure hope I can continue to be exit liquidity in this way! Use me baby!!
Definitely full ported SPY calls for 800 EOM
Of course its Ted Cruz and Lindsey Graham getting in the way of SPY going up +4% at 8pm tomorrow
Deal was lie all along: SPY -0.1%. Announcement of new deal, completion imminent: SPY +2.0%
September SPY 760 puts. 🥂. For the future of USA. Too much winning Mr. President
https://preview.redd.it/n1g55e75k33h1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2d1800a03cbcae0bd2cb1561fcb2cdfedca53809 End of 2023 beginning of 2024 I was trailing SPY and QQQ. Ended 2024 with 50% gains, 2025 with 40% gains, this year 23% so far. Not gain porn by any means but still doubling the S&P and almost the NASDAQ gains over the last 2.5 years. It isn't over until you give up and decide to only contribute to your retirement accounts like all the others settling for an average of 7% annual growth
SPY at 500 and Iran can have whatever it wants
I have about a million in SPY and then also a bit of some other things. I do a bit of the wheel also
🌮 “We have a deal” Tuesday 9:31am 🦅🇺🇸 .. it’ll be a lie but SPY 780 anyways
Damn so trump lied his ass off? SPY $900 monday
Should’ve said we had a deal at 9:45am on Tuesday. Too much time for everyone to figure out this is the same thing as the last 8 weeks. Anyways SPY 780 EOW.
To be fair I am like 85% port SPY on my big account
SPY / VOO is really the only answer here
[DETAILED MODE] ### PHASE 1: THE TEAR SHEET (LIVE DATA DASHBOARD) * Stock Name: Nokia Corp ADR * Stock Symbol: NOK * Price Action: $15.47 (Live) | +9.02% (Live Daily Change) | $14.45 (Open) | $14.19 (Prev Close). * Historical Price Return: +55.20% (1-Month Return) | +110.51% (Year-to-Date Return). * Options Structural Data: May 29, 2026 (6 DTE Expiry) | $16.00 (Target 1 / Call Wall Strike) | $17.00 (Target 2 / Exhaustion Ceiling) | $15.00 (Local VPOC Floor) | $14.00 (Historical Macro Floor). * Volume & Liquidity: 95,081 Call Vol / 54,954 Put Vol (Live Volume) | Heavy (vs. 30-Day Avg). * Volatility & Risk: $0.26 (Live ATR). * Sector Benchmark: Technology Equipment Sector is +1.29%. * Broad Market Benchmark: SPY is +0.05%. ### PHASE 2: THE FUNDAMENTAL REALITY CHECK (DATA + NARRATIVE) * Valuation (Hard Data): 89.69x P/E Ratio vs. Lower Sector Average (Trading at a steep premium to historical norms). * Profitability (Hard Data): Positive Operating Cash Flow | ~$19.2B Annual Revenue. * Cash Runway: N/A (Self-Sustaining, cash-dividend paying). * Revenue Reliability: Stable hardware revenues, though traditional telecom growth is slowing. * Competitive Moat & Maturity: Telecommunications Infrastructure & Networking | Established global player transitioning into AI data centre networks. * Momentum Exhaustion Flag (The Journey Context): The stock has surged over 55% in the last month and over 10% in the last session alone, placing it in an extended, high-momentum channel that is susceptible to rapid profit-taking. * The Recent News Mandate: The massive volume surge is driven by the launch of Nokia's AI Network Innovation Lab in California and a wave of Wall Street analyst upgrades (e.g., Deutsche Bank, CFRA) highlighting their pivot into AI cloud infrastructure. * The Future State Mandate: Q2 Earnings on July 23, 2026. * Fundamental Synthesis & Conviction Level: Fundamentally sound, legacy tech giant successfully rotating its narrative into the AI supercycle. Viable for a longer-term swing hold, though short-term price action is technically overbought. ### PHASE 3: THE PRESSURE TEST (THE SETUP) * 1. Short Interest Percentage (SI%): < 5.0% (Background Noise). Normal market mechanics. * 2. Cost to Borrow Rate (CTB): < 1.0% (General Collateral). No financial pain. Shares are abundant, and shorts can hold indefinitely. * 3. Days
We're giving SPY to Iran as part of the negotiation
At least SPY is at a new ATH 🤌
Yes, the chickens will be coming home to roost hard with that one. SpaceX will be what, 3% of SPY or QQQ? So what will happen is that the investor will open the short position equaling 3% of his entire passive portion of the portfolio -- which by the way is a lot. I'm an active trader and I rarely risk 3% of my entire capital on a single bet, and never on a short bet or something where I don't have an extremely high conviction. And the short will just mostly sit red there. In the best case, SpaceX is basically floundering around and treading water, which means your position will also roughly flounder around or be slightly positive, but probably it will be red most of the time. At that point, you're just asking yourself, why did I even do that? What's the point? These 3% could work more productively. That hedge makes sense for large hedge funds, I don't think passive investors need to concern themselves with this.
SPY was $210 on the day Harambe died
Tuesday predictions SPY $760 MU $850 NVDA $240 SNDK $1750 MSFT $390
Iran deal not priced in SPY opens -5% 🤡
Iran deal priced in? Or $800 SPY on Tuesday?
SPY is up 18% in a month and a half of war/fake peace deals since march 30th. Does anyone really think this is sustainable and not leading to either a crash or massive devaluation of the dollar? I'm genuinely curious? I plan to keep making money on weekly calls until it fails but really can't see this ending well...
I dont think my strategy is well thought out. I trade using VWAP and 200 SMA. I’m usually looking at charts on Thinkorswim off my mobile device and place trades on Robinhood. I have other indicators such as RSI and TTM squeeze but some don’t work on SPX as there is no volume. While I’m at work I’ll just watch SPY on yahoo finance with VWAP and SMA. With lower equity between 1-5k I’d have to buy 20-30 points on the money. I think this is psychologically where I struggled as I would frequently get up to a decent account value 2-6/7 k and then I would blow my account trying to get my option to increase 50 to 100%. Most of the time I would be up during the morning catching the momentum and jumping out by 9-10 central and would feel bad about missing out on larger moves. I scaled to two contracts once I was past 5k. Still at the same types of strikes but generally 10 points away if it was later in the day. But after 5k I had enough to enter a position close it and open another to try to make back any losses. Psychologically, the hardest part was of course selling for a loss knowing that I couldn’t trade anymore and was at a loss. I think I kept the same strategy in scaling once I got past 12k and got up to 16/17 bit I was buying 5 points on the money and jumping out of positions way quicker. At this point my goal was to make margin maintenance requirements to be able to consistently jump in and out of positions. Once I got 25 I scaled to about 5-10 contracts 5 points in the money and would close out my position once they were 5 points or more on the money, holding of the momentum was there but also cutting all but one contract for fun. I got pretty reckless at the end immediately scaling between 10->20->30->40 contracts just scalping. Usually I’ll watch futures and read headlines and what not. But my final trade looked like consolidation and figured we were due for a breakout. I bought in at 40 contracts and price action moved against me by 10 points. I was down roughly 10k but at this point I no longer feared losing money like that as I didn’t have anything else left to pay off besides student debt. I noticed how quickly buyers stepped in after hitting VWAP and bought in for another 15 contracts. Sure enough price broke out and I immediately exited all my positions. Content with paying off my students loans after a 26k plus gain. Throughout the week I kept moving money out but keep my maintenance margin requirement but I was overall less worried about the losses and focused on maintaining margin
I do 3x leveraged S&P ETF and puts on SPY. I am retired, so it is just cash flow (sale & withdrawal) management for me.
Yea you could tax loss harvest but that also messes up whatever exit strategy you had for 30 days. You could hedge with a similar stock/option but it's not quite the same. But also the benchmark is SPY, taxes just makes it that much harder to beat literally just doing nothing
Based on my current tax burden and TTM SPY yield, my trades have to average >35% annualized to beat holding SPY for a year. That’s not even considering the compounding effects of tax deferment that come with holding SPY for a longer period.
POTUS sure is a crafty squirrel. No matter what happens he just calls it a win and SPY pumps on the great news of America's continued success.
#SPY could realistically open at $800 on Tuesday LMAO🤌
!Banbet SPY 9999 4D
#As part of the peace deal, Iran agreed to buy $300 billion of SPY LMAO🤌
If we all went to the bank to take out loans on our shares instead of selling, SPY would be looking at 1100 by now, easily 3000 by end of 2028.
Bulls gonna be shocked when the market crashes from the strait reopening, SPY LOVED that shit being shut
SPY 1000 is not a meme.....
SPY going to open blood red Tuesday probably like +0.30%
SPY pumping to 800 then a decent pullback to 720 seems reasonable
#SPY is already well above where it was before the war started but a peace deal is still not priced in LMAO🤌
My YTD (10.9%) is beating SPY (8.5%). I am happy with how I am doing so far. If I keep grinding it I'll hopefully end the year up another 5%.
SPY $750 at Tuesday market open as fast as you can for generational wealth 🫶🏽
cuz I too scared to buy SPY at 750 LOL
Markets closed Monday so I’m gonna it’s still gonna be SPY 743.74 NVDA 214.28
Pretty sure SPY will be 745 on Monday
Oh shit. Activate the SPY pumping. Barron must have loaded up on Friday EOD.
🫲🫱 We've got peace like nobody has ever seen before, some say maybe even the greatest peace deal in the history of peace deals. All tolls on the Strait of Hormuz will be paid for in SPY calls. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER 🫲🫱
As usual counting my chickens before they hatch - i am thinking 770 SPY by open is totally reasonable. Right?
Sorry kid, bull run continues. There’s still 2.25 more put option interest than calls on SPY. Heavily imbalanced. There’s still much more squeezing to do. Market makers and option writers control the market. There’s too much money to lose if it drops. The low volume upward rally continues noob
It's another user. Someone put 163K in SPY puts expiring next week
Last time it dropped 7% how much SPY up?
This guy is. Like I think he's actually fucking retarded. And he spends his entire life on this sub posting the EXACT same shit. He worships the market like a god and never stops talking about how it can predict absolutely everything. Reality itself is priced into the SPY.
So it was just the local crazy ber who decided to fire some shots. Nothing to see here. SPY 800 eom.
This degenerate needed SPY to open -0.5% just to break even. If we open where the weekend markets are showing, this position is going to open -99%. Your only hope is for Bibi to get spicy and stir something up.
I'm holding so many SPY monthlies I really hope this pulls through for me
Calls on SPY, DRAM, GOOGL. any memory stock (but idk tho cuz i'm just a dude with an erection)
I don't think you can trial, I'd just do the monthly and see how it correlates. When you say dealer positioning, could you explain how you used it in an example... helios I'd see how it provides different information to normal options flow when it comes to intraday flow. Because flowalgo/cheddar will give you a sense of urgency when the SPY calls/PUTS come in fast and furious. Trying to narrow down which one as time isn't infinite.
Average SPY return is 10%/year. 1.1\^10 is 2.59. $1.5m x 2.59 is $3.89m. You don't need "multibaggers" to make another $3m in 10 years, you just need \*very slightly\* better than average returns. 12% compounding gets you there in 10 years.
SPY 800 when? Realistically lol.
!banbet SPY 776 7-4-26
Can’t believe you guys keep falling for this fake pump. SPY at 300, 400, 500, 600, 700, and 800 within the next few months is all fake. You’ll see, I’ll wait until SPY is back at 150 with an PE like Benjamin Graham would look for and then I’ll go all in on the dip. Right fellow bers?
I don’t know, this post seems a lot of recency bias to me. And clearly, the data shows (1) it is not a lie, and (2) it has not been decades. But heh, you do you, and can use confirmation bias to prove your points. You can compare BRK, SPY, and QQQ since 1999. BRK did overall better than SPY for pretty much all the time (except in 2000 when it dipped more, but caught up, then did better). BRK did better, by far, than QQQ until 2019. And yeah, in 2006, perf of QQQ for the past 7 years was god awful. QQQ then increased a lot, and dropped a lot in 2022, matching the overall perf of BRK. Then after it bounced back. So here, we are just saying that tech had a crazy growth in the past 3-4 years. I know that people on reddit are saying that investors who did not invest in DRAM stocks are idiot (because it did +100% in a month). Well, we’ll see how it will do in the next 5-10 years. [https://totalrealreturns.com/s/SPY,BRK-B,QQQ](https://totalrealreturns.com/s/SPY,BRK-B,QQQ)
Bears, What’s your target drawdown % on SPY for you to buy in
I literally came here to say the SPY will hit $760 Tuesday but NVDIA will dip to $205 haha
Check the Volume on the 680 SPY and QQQ options. 6/18 It's weird as hell. But who knows. I'm sure it will run at first. But these changes scream dump.
🚨details of the deals emerge per Axios: * Iran to buy MU 0dte calls $1000 * Iran US agree to invest $700bn in SPY * Iran will purchase $400bn worth of MSFT PowerPoint slides * NATO Iran China will jointly launch attacks on anyone trying to short this market
That will make SPY hit 1000 on Tuesday