SPY

Flat-Focus7966

!banbet SPY 660 7d

Dude_HaHa

In all honesty, a good fair value for SPY is like 40-45% down from here. But we do not have an honest market 🙁

thecheese27

I sold all of my SPY shares at the high in November and put it all into Pokemon cards that are now up 50%+. Feeling like something of a genius right about now.

NarpRocks

Patience young grasshopper.  It may still happen in the next 2-4 weeks.  Buy SPY puts for a month out and chill.  Not too aggressive, though.  Something near or slightly lower than the current price.

shimmy_kimmel

SPY with its lowest close in nearly 8 months lol (early August 2025)

TinyDelegation

No I made 77 bucks today. Im planning ITM SPY Put and ITM OIL calls monday morninge

Happy-Champion1661

honestly.. yeah I am clearly early. But fuck it, I'll buy some SPY on Monday for my long-term non-gamble port 9% discount isn't bad at all, there is a chance (small) that we open red and I get a better price as well, even if we drop another 10% from here this will be good long-term

infinitewaters107

I think we finish here at NDX 20000, or about another -13% on QQQ. Maybe another 8-9% on SPY.  We just dropped 11-12% from ATH. What’s not to say we easily do another leg down before real capitulation sets in? There is no good news right now. Not even the long-awaited fed cut is going to inject anything meaningful to the market in the short run. We have no saving face exit out of this war when this administration has counterintuitively confused escalation as a means to encourage any off-ramp. Meanwhile, valuations continue to compress. The AI trade unwinds. Inflation isn’t going away, actively being fueled by energy costs. Even if the war were to end tomorrow because of taco, the structural deficits to the economy remain. 

NYGiants181

So what does this mean for SPY? Brutal months still ahead?

No-Dust-1722

I think we’re getting SPY 500 before SPY 700

cannythecat

Full porting SPY puts and oil calls on Thursday before the long weekend. That's when the invasion happens.

New-Length5593

Daddy remember to tweet Sunday evening. I loaded up all USO shorts and SPY longs. Thanks daddy.

PurpleSausage77

It has always been this way. Possibly more so at this current time than ever. That and being more broadcasted across social media nowadays. JPow/fed treasury lower or raising rates as well as speaking (hawkish vs dovish) at the Fed FOMC meetings, election cycles, jobs and consumer data, mid terms, … the stock market was having a rough time under Biden as well, wasn’t long ago SPY was heading down to $360 whereas it recently hit just about double that. All these things are part of the cycle; ebbs and flows. Having a good understanding and finger on the pulse of these things can assist with investment (or trading) decision making.

TomatoSpecialist6879

I was gonna be nice until you sprouted that revisionist bullshit, are you genuinely retarded or were you just not trading then? The war stopped being the main cause after it took a year to resolved all the problems the war brought up. 1. That's why market started crashing early on "inflation rumors" as institutional traders were pulling out record cash. Then we later found out it was because US Q1 GDP for 2022 posted its first decline since covid, EU also posted stalled GDP growth rates. So insiders got out early, while retails had to found out the hard way when the numbers were announced in April<-- First crash that lead to a 2 month long -20% crash . 2. Russia started selling oil via dark fleet in international waters, which crash the price despite sanction. In response OPEC and OPEC+ decide to hike production in June to counteract ships rather risking sanction to buy below market rate oil than from gulf states. The oil stabilized by June which curbed fears of inflation growing further, hence the recovery till Aug as market started coping on rate cuts. Which was hilarious because we had a hike in July and market responded by rallying because JPow was dovish and they thought the hike meant the system is fine. 3. Then we had another crash in Aug through September as JPow was insanely fucking hawkish and straight up said more rate hikes possible at the Jackson Hole symposium, the entire rally before that was on copium hope that Feds would not hike rates. This was when the legendary reported dead eyes meme were born in this sub because that retard pissed JPow off enough to straight up just drop the "No rate cuts for rest of the year." line. SPY ended 2022 -19% btw. It's a multifaceted issue but the GDP numbers were 100% due to the surprise invasion that nobody expected, followed by Europeans pulling out of US markets in record numbers due to economic situation worsening at home. Then BLS commissioner William Beach said the supply chain shock the surprise war brought upon absolutely changed everything about how inflation went in US. This was a war that barely affected us. Strait of Hormuz was actually the saving grace during that period, now it's the one that's putting the globe in a crisis. US market the most globally invested market in the world, now other countries are pulling out trillions of dollars to deal with issues at home the same way Europeans did in 2022. As I said, you can double down on calls early while downplaying everything just like the retarded permabols did in 2022. Just don't cry like them when you regret going in too early and either get theta fucked, or have too little funds to deploy by the time the market is back to rallying.

IIINevermoreIII

I brought October SPY calls at 645 but now that I’m thinking about it I haven’t priced in how long it’ll take for this economy to heal from oil…. But then again that’s probably already priced in as well… I feel like boots on the ground is already priced in also but only by big hedge funds who have inside info and not by normies like us… this market is driving me crazy yall. 

BlissfulSage099

Ok I’m doing SPY puts next week thanks

Yousoldmetohigh

!banbet SPY $645 1w

Ozqi

I’m in my mid 20’s I hope SPY goes to $30 a share, all the boomers have a heart attack as I buy the dip, and then SPY goes to $800 ez pz

xyphrrrrr

Dear WSB please explain this to a fellow regard For the past 3 months I have read 500000 posts here saying “war is bullish” So how come we are in a war now and the last two weeks have had the same percentage decline in SPY that liberation day did?? Is war no longer bullish? Should I stop listening to WSB? Am I regarded? Will I ever stop losing money? Signed The worlds worst trader

LitThatFireTV

For that reason once day 10 hits. I want to get into calls, but I feel we take Kharg over Easter weekend and instead of Iran "giving up" like trump and the Pentagon thinks will happen, i feel this move will turn this into another month of fighting and could really send us to under SPY 500, especially being a midterm year!

midwestck

It was this or Monday expiry SPY calls

Gandalftron

5%?  I want what you are smoking.  SPY is down 10% and the Nasdaq is down 12% from their highs. Dow is down 10% from high. 

LitThatFireTV

Yea. Well tbh with that amount of money I cant just let it ride and hope for the best. 9.9 times out of 10 I made the right move. Turned 7k to 9.5k is not bad at all, but what worried me was one tweet from Trump sending the market up 1.5% again. Even though I really felt in my gut this time was different bc there's a 10 day stretch of uncertainty and knew the SPY would sell off before the weekend.

TinyDelegation

SPY 620-625 next leg down?

Poor_Life-choices

Get the feeling SPY died for my sins

Inevitable_Gainz

I’ve seen enough. SPY 700 by no sooner than 3036

LasyKuuga

Calls on HSI Puts on SPY Thank you 🥭

ConstantAd1

just a little to the right and SPY would be at 700 right now

ThatOneRedditBro

Make belief poll: Lets say we wake up tomorrow morning and the US pulled off a Maduro by taking Kharg, took out their leaders, and executed an overnight complete annihilation. How much do you think SPY rebounds Monday?

TomatoSpecialist6879

At this rate SPY will be delisted by end of April lmao

Worried_Quarter469

SPY delisting by end of month

BarbellPadawan

SPY had recovered a bit. Now at daily lows. Maybe there will be some short covering early in the week 🤞

Top_Category_2526

When the SPY is down 9% im down 50%, but when the SPY is up 10% im up 6%

readyreadyreadyready

SPY 400 by end of April is realistic imo. The bleeding won’t stop until debt monetization really picks up and the dollar collapses

light-yagamii

The market might seem down right now, but I don't think it fully appreciates the higher oil prices yet. The market was begging to tank hard on March 9th and March 20th. SPY will tank to at least 600 in the coming weeks

Haunting_Ad_6021

True. But you gotta play the Delta Stocks like Ford have a .03 Delta on a .01 call but SPY call only is a .001 Delta Big difference in the odds.....

TomatoSpecialist6879

I don't know what you're even insinuating. SPY was already down 8% by February from rate hike fears and recession signals, but the correction started with META crashing 20% post earnings followed by Russia invasion of Ukraine all within the same fucking week. There was a small relief recovery on "this war doesn't affect us" until the numbers came out that showed it do in April, which index funds proceed to crash 20 fucking percent across the span of 2 months.

i_simp_f

SPY 420 is not a meme

stupidber

Nah SPY is going to 700

hey-coffee-eyes

Tie me to a 600P and fire me at SPY, I am ready

Moepenmoes

Can't wait to hit SPY 690 again, somewhere next year perhaps

Pristine_Afternoon96

SPY 7,000 seems like it was a fever dream

I_Study_The_Patterns

SPY is going down

kazkeb

With SPY going up in during this shit show presser instead of drilling like it should... green on Monday

Toothlesskinch

Something big is gonna go down this weekend. Moved back in to GLD on Thursday. At some point oil risk and volatility combined with SPY dumping is going to send it back to December levels.

jamieperkins9999

At some point in the next 4-6 weeks SPY will bounce to around 660 which will be the lower high before going lower again. We are in a bear market, don't fall for the violent upswings.

SeaweedLeft9746

RIP Tiger Woods, Joe Rogan, SPY

SlartibartfastMcGee

What’s throwing a wrench in it is that SPY and especially MAG7 are all trading at historically low PE ratios. Yes we are only down 8% or so, but when big tech has a PE that looks like a boring industrial or banking stock, that’s a giant buy signal.

AlGAdams

Damn have none of you doomsday posters been investing for longer than a year?  I bought 20 shares of SPY just today and will continue for a while yet.

DFW_BjornFree

Let's say SPY goes to 655 next week though, I'd rather reload at that price than ride it up and down. So ride it down, reload when higher.  This is how I like to trade and it's how I turned $3k into over $80k trading OPEN last summer / fall. 

DFW_BjornFree

Sold my April SPY puts 1 hour before market closed.  Not saying market will pump on Monday but we fell alot this week and they were well in the money so figured I'd cash in and wait to see what happens over the weekend / Monday before I put a position back on.  Still see SPY going to 610 or lower but I'm not trying to take it in the butt over some optimistic tweet

WordsHappenedHere

Who tf has lost 5 years worth of gains in two weeks holding equities. SPY is up over 60% over 5 years. This is some delusional permabear shit right here.

a_human_21

We gonna drill baby drill, he was talking about SPY

ckami_91

Bull at the open: “dUmB BeRz fUkd SPY 700” Bull at close: “$200 a barrel of oil is actually bullish” LOLL

stupidber

I bought some VOO today so SPY 500 eow

PaperHandsTheDip

June - SPY 600!

OnceALoser

Every morning at open, I buy SPY calls hoping that 🥭 will make my day. I lose all the time. Waiting for Barons book “How to win all the time in stock market”.

No-Dust-1722

Oh buddy it’s too late to hedge. You should be either sitting on cash waiting to buy back in or controlling the bleeding. At this point I would just look into protective puts on index ETFs like VOO or SPY. It will not be cheap but putting bounds on your risk is likely worth it.

Key-Bottle7634

Not touching anything until SPY is under 10%

dljmonkeyboiz

I KNOW WHAT I GOT. NO LOWBALLERS. (I got SPY 690c)

unusual_xyz

historically, the period leading up to a war has been bearish due to anticipation and uncertainty, while the market often rallies once the war actually begins. Claude AI research: Gulf War 1990-91: Buildup phase: Markets fell 20% War starts: Markets RALLIED hard "Sell the rumor, buy the news" Iraq War 2003: Buildup phase: Markets choppy/down War starts: Markets ripped higher SPY up 25% in months after Iran Pattern Now: Feb 28 strikes began: Markets initially sold off Then partially recovered on ceasefire hopes Now: Buildup + pause = maximum uncertainty

DelphiTsar

SPY futures still open

Significant_Speed854

Is the 0DTE SPY strategy as it was this week... wait for it to hit ORH or just above, then buy puts?

TechnologyEven6926

Feb 25th SPY 700 March 23rd SPY +2% Today SPY -2% Nice

Dizzy-Green-3188

Manego has to make a decision. Take the L or SPY 560

whatsgoingonhonestly

SPY 1Y chart has taken the gay rainbow shape the bers have risen

Happy-Champion1661

me too, I am waiting for SPY 625 at least. Software sector is also fuk. But at the current valuations I am starting to consider leaps already

Wowmuchrya

He may back down. But he will do it after SPY -20%s. Ao yea, hold through the -20 to get a +5 and still be down 15. Seems good. Also in this instance it’s not up to him since he’s an Israeli puppet.

Happy-Champion1661

I agree. People saying correction and that's fine, but tech especially started to go down way earlier than SPY (while the rotation into energy, defensive and consumer was happening). Let's say SPY goes down another 5%, then what happens to MSFT META for example? Do they go down 10-20% into a 50% drawdown from ATH? like wtf

CreamyBehemoth

Over the weekend- Ceasefire and peace deals are made. Monday- SPY rips to $700 everyone cheers Tuesday- the world finally decides if Adele is hot or not lol jk we’re fucked

neox29

right now its time to deploy 20% of you dry powder imo. Im waiting for the rest... have marked 3 additional buy zones at SPY hitting: 610, 570, and 520

Big_Cryptographer863

Nah. SPY.

Hang_Man1

was today a 2 legged push down on SPY?

cscrignaro

I agree that the war will be resolved likely soon and that markets will recover. SPY isn't in a long term downtrend, only short term. A bounce is inevitable. The timing and size of said bounce is unknown. The only thing that would have me screaming total market crash would be if after the bounce happens we break the bounce lows proceeded by liberation day lows. Only then would we have an 08 style collapsed in the sense that it would be a long term bear market and not just a flash crash.

vermilli21

So when is the hotline gonna get posted? When SPY is under 600?

6hchill

okay SPY next monday gap down overnight another $30 then we we bounce the faster we go down the faster we will bounce( im in calls fullported)😩🦦🐩

cupofchupachups

Other indices are crushing it. ZCN, Canadian index is 26% over the last year vs 11.8% for SPY. 

CunningPianist

🔻 SPY

dljmonkeyboiz

I was able to sell $5 worth of naked SPY 700c until today

McKoijion

It's Mossad vs. the American economy. Spy vs. SPY.

Pleadthe5thAlways

I agree! But I feel the panic selling was today. $SPY went up $11 overnight when we got the news Trump made an agreement with Iran Monday. $SPY went down $11 today.

Educational_Pass5854

SPY is approaching 600 fast. If a ground invasion starts over the weekend, it could open at \~500 on Monday.

ten7four

I called some dude retarded two days ago for buying 4/17 SPY 540 puts. Still think he's retarded but you know what if he gets a lambo out of it he earned it

rootoo

How low will Spy go? I'm thinking this will not be like the Trump Tariff Crash where it crashed then bounced back immediately. This is going to be a long slog, recession, energy pinch that goes on for months or longer. I'm seeing SPY around 600 by next week, especially if the ground invasion happens.

abroadbroadband

Never thought we'd see SPY 630s this year Good thing we have this goddamn fucking idiot in charge

Different_Being368

!banbet SPY 550 30 days

PaperHandsTheDip

SPY 600 when?e=

Oblivious-Speculator

So u r telling me, i brought at the top of SPY 🤮

Force_Hammer

Correction territory for SPY is 628! We're so close! Let's do it! 😀😀😀

DrummerCompetitive20

just like that SPY -10% LOL

yeahyoubored

come back when SPY is 500

No-Put2311

Iran just launched more missiles at Israel, looks like they have 630 SPY puts

DigitalKaiju2919

How are we almost there when the SPY is only down like 9% from ATH?

dontslambro

2026 Market ETFs SPY -7.04% QQQ -8.42% DJI -6.03% IWM -1.24%

Ok_Cry7572

I’m calling for a $VIX crush next week and dead cat on $SPY to form a lower high near 645-647-650. Before the next leg down

Careful_Response4694

QQQ and SPY contain a lot of distressed companies that have unhealthy balance sheets for prolonged supply issues though. Better to just pick and choose winners who barely care about oil IMO. Like LLY for example.

Official05

Imagine selling your house and putting all the money on SPY when it reached 692 😂 Who the fuck is this retard (spoiler: me)

Bob_the_peasant

Day 171 of Wolverine in bed looking at a picture of SPY 680 in October

Pale-Silver-8178

Imagine SPY -3% monday

tcmart14

Bols tryna manifest SPY 700: We shall need a crossbow, an hourglass, three goats, one of us must learn to play the trumpet, whilst the other one goes like this