SPY

TimingEzaBitch

!banbet SPY 690 1d

Fine-Barracuda3379

you definitely want to do a lot of reading on futures before jumping in there are a lot of gotchas that could really ruin your day. It's a very different animal from buying something like SPY where even if you do it wrong its not a likely to result in a massive problem for you. With the current oil volatility you could easily buy into a coin-toss situation with a max-loss equal to or greater than your position size depending on how quickly and effectively your broker auto-liquidates you if it moves against you. I realize I'm not answering your questions here but I don't think i could do it justice and I don't want to create a false sense of security.

StraitOfHummus

Currently waiting for the Marc Thiessen interview to begin on Fox News and I'm watching Levin justify how losing 100,000 during the Korean and Vietnam war was not a lot and "worth it". He's comparing it to the murder rate in America, so 100,000 or more, "wouldn't be that bad." The messaging seems to be, troops on the ground, and losing troops on the ground, "wouldn't be that bad." Bottom isn't in. Not even close. SPY 600 by end of April.

Outrageous_Tip_2133

Half of all your holdings should always in an index fund like VOO, VTI, SPY, or QQQ.

Long-Spend-9587

So are my SPY 590P for Tuesday gonna print or what?

Unemployable1593

i hate when people bring their bikes on the subway bitch, you’re carrying around a mode of transport ffs SPY 1/15 325p

shortitforever

He made a banbet of SPY 630

Gom_KBull

They could choke out Red Sea, amplifying the shock and sending SPY to low-to-mid 500s

Happy-n-Healthy

Let me see a show of hands holding SPY Leaps

yeppbrep

The only thing I do on wsb nowadays is banbet that SPY will lose half it value in a single day

SeaweedLeft9746

!banbet SPY 600 1w

SeaweedLeft9746

banbet! SPY 600 1w

IndependentUsual7444

SPY hitting correction on Monday how long until official bear market

zynabuser67

SPY is headed to 575.

Infamous-Ad-8215

All this bear talk is making me feel better about my SPY Mon/tues calls

motomeru2526

!banbet SPY 689 3d

rbraalih

SPY is yo uncle obv but why do you call yoself 600?

D3vilUkn0w

Just short SPY. Its printing pretty well atm

AcanthocephalaIcy571

Latest post on Truth. SPY touches 600 this week

NunuTitobu

Houthis hit a ship in the Red Sea this week, SPY to 600

dljmonkeyboiz

Fake agreement tweet on Monday morning. SPY pump to 660, oil to $90. Iran says it’s “fake news” .. drop to SPY 650, oil to $100. Boot on ground next week.

modder9

I’d like it to go up Monday to unload my SPY bags I picked thinking 640 was a good entry.

TJMBeav

5600 or lower. That would be a technical bear. By Oct this year. I am playing this exactly how I played the market (extremely successfuly) in 2022. Which was about the same time line. At some point the Federal government will respond to rising unemployment and what I think is already a recession. Impossible to game that now. Who knows what kind of programs they might dream up. But in order to do something bild it will require a crisis. The air raids ate trigger enough to start what was coming regardless. I am playing this with deep ITM $SPY puts (currently hold 680 strike) roughly 3 months out. I will sell shorter dated puts against them (have twice now), roll them when appropriate and even some very short dated calls to profit from bear market rallies. It has been a very lucrative three months and I am confident I have the general trend and levels correct. I expect to make significant returns the rest of the year.

sac02052

Personally, I would split it into four $4500 buckets and focus on ETFs rather than specific stocks. Buy one bucket each of SPY and QQQ at market, shortly after the market opens to avoid surprises. Or place a limit order for at the Friday closing price, just to avoid surprise premarket jumps. Then place limit orders for 3-5% below that for the other two buckets of SPY and QQQ

SoulzovFrost

Puts or Calls on SPY next week?

TinyDelegation

this week im thinking ITM SPY puts monday 30 minutes after open and on tuesday before close ITM Nike puts

A_Stoic_Dude

There haven't even been major corporations going bankrupt. We're far far far away from blood in the streets. Wake me up when SPY is a minimum 20% from its highs for weeks or months on end,, rumors of stimulus and bailouts, and entire sectors are in dire straits. The war is just a distraction from the real problem and even if it ended today the buying would be short lived.

TJMBeav

I believe holding both does not accomplish anything so I would not hold both. But I feel that QQQ, SPY even to a degree IWM are all basically the same investment. But I also believe in not holding more than a dozen or so equities total. And that includes ETFs.

FabulousLanguage6216

SPY would be now at 900 with any other than 🥭in charge. Rates would be lower, no tariffs, no war and the world would trust US and invest in it.

Derpy_Mc_Burpy

Iran is letting 20 Pakistani Ships through the Strait of Hormuz. Is this bullish or a nothing burger? Iran and Pakistan were somewhat in an alliance with Iran so I can see why they were able to make a deal but you guys think SPY will rebound just on this alone? On the other hand houthi is in the war now too, so they pose a risk for the red sea which is a whole other can of worms. With how sensitive the market is it could really go either way. Anyone remember how the market reacted when Houthi attacked the commercial ships in the red sea back in 2023?

git0ffmylawnm8

I can't speak for others. My thesis aligns quite a bit with yours, but I stick to puts on broad market ETFs like SPY/IWM/XLE. As for PSKY, it's deeply entangled in politics so it's hard for me to see a clear future trajectory

StochasticCalc

Oh hey that's the fund that "launched" with recycled performance history from a t bond index fund. Tricked every midsize institution into buying because institutions are suckers and then delivered shit ass performance until they just started proxying SPY for a higher fee.

-IQ200

SPY go down = good until -20%

EmeraldEnvyBop

Nice, you basically turned “buy the dip” into “buy the dip but also buy insurance” Those SPY puts on the oil dips were sneaky smart. Correlations have been all over the place, so hedging broad market while leaning into the commodity move is kinda the only way to stay sane right now. You still holding any of those puts as protection, or just trading them around each spike? I’m debating if I should keep some index puts on while I let the oil stuff ride, or if I’m just gonna end up bleeding theta while Jerome prays the VIX back down.

fpsstreak

Realizing SPY is at 632….this must hurt 😔 more. I do my business in RH as I do it with women.. Go in and stay a bit longer if it’s a fun time. If right off the bat things are getting too hot. Pull out. Better chances to deal with a slight drop than emptying out a full load of money. -$200 or such is easier to recover on a good day than -50%/70%. Then get in love with the stock. It will mess you over hoping for a extreme correction

AlGAdams

I hope SPY goes below 600, it could based on historically similar incidents, bit I would be surprised if it reached 500.

BlatantPlatitude

The bears can stay regarded longer than the market can stay regarded too. Wait, we're both regarded? Maybe the real dip was the friends we made along the way? (I am part of the community, QQQ 560p 5/1/26, SPY 670p 5/1/26, USO 118c 6/18/26, CVNA 300p (don't remember the date rn lol))

DriftWoodBarrel

I'm thinking calls on oil and puts on SPY for the next few weeks at least. I honestly don't think this situation will improve until Trump is removed from office.

ArsonDub

Okay guys, here's how it will play out - SPY goes down another 5% into monday/tuesday, followed by a dead cat bounce into the 650s the rest of the week and then it continues downward after that. I am retarded and this is not financial advice.

Comfortable_Oil6642

I can’t believe how many people are saying this is similar to Covid. Covid was a literal shutdown of the whole economy, including flights and shipping. The Strait of Hormuz controls 20% of *oil production*. It is bad, and bearish sentiment is the correct response, but this won’t last. This is a buying opportunity. Every downturn from war since the stock market began has been a buying opportunity. Remember, every time there were bears saying “this time is different”. SPY 700 Dec 2026.

AnotherDegenerateFK

Why every other country can have nukes except Iran? What’s the point of having nukes and not using them? I demand SPY 500

FatShort888

SPY retracing 50%. I have it under good authority... https://preview.redd.it/znwp1xwvvtrg1.png?width=2270&format=png&auto=webp&s=79266b627fc560fe57532cc7aad327ebf9d02c72

AstockcollapseNow

A healthy triggering of the first circuit breaker (7%) Monday would take SPY to the June 2024 "obliteration day" lows.

ConfusionFlat691

14 day RSI for both SPY and QQQ is below 30, which is usually a huge oversold signal

optimaleverage

Yeah it's like, shhh nobody tell him... But really man? SPY is off 9% from it's ath. Reddit is down from 282.95 around last Sept to 121.40! It's not news that Reddit has headwinds, but it's also being compounded by macro pressures at the moment. Context is a little bit important.

FatShort888

# SPY doing 50% retracement to 6000? https://preview.redd.it/xo9oqq7zrtrg1.png?width=2270&format=png&auto=webp&s=3bb8df52be4a54978f95519b8c5e4efd8f99499a

MutaliskGluon

People really overuse this saying lol. You are right, blood on the streets is referencing people jumping out of buildings frommlosses, not from retail degenerate idiots going all in on RDDT on margin and being down 50% SPY is like 9% from ATH. Blood in the streets when its down 40

Rare_Use9363

You're out performing SPY this year. Don't be a fucking pussy

me_xman

SPY 628 next week.

Evening_Control6034

So barron bought SPY 600 PUTS but market is not there and his puts are at a loss :P Sad!!!

ZealousidealSector19

SPY 600 would be a awesome

Thesaint7811

Here’s my take on the timeline…. Trump is setting up to take Kharg island. His best chance is to do it Thursday after market close. Friday is a market holiday so that gives him 3 days to take it. We are going to use the 82nd airborne to drop in and try to set up an operating base in or near the oil infrastructure to try and limit drone strikes as the Iranians don’t want to damage it. It lines up well with the monthly SPY chart as well, we just entered one of the sawtooth dips that usually last a week so if it works and we take it over the weekend it’s going to blast off.

FartPolluter

USA is not going to fight to the last American and Iran wont fight to the last Iranian. In all liklihood, USA wont even fight for a 15% drop on the SPY.

Derpy_Mc_Burpy

Ok so Houthi an actual threat or is it a nothing burger? They attacked red sea in 2023 but this time they seem to only be attacking Israel specifically. What's the odds of them attacking red sea and is that bad for SPY?

FartPolluter

USA is not going to fight to the last American and Iran wont fight to the last Iranian. In all liklihood, USA wont fight for a 15% drop on the SPY

tristis_veritas

What are you whining about? Nothing a few more trillions thrown at tax cuts and AI data centers won't solve! Pump SPY with more debt and soon we'll vibe code aluminum and oil into existence! /s

shasta747

Gamecock +9% YTD, SPY -8% YTD, make a lot of sense for folks in this sub

Alicyclobacillus

Probably about a -1% drop every day on SPY until the US retreats

yeppbrep

!banbet SPY 316 1D

wright_on_

Bragged to my wife about a single successful SPY put, undoubtedly a bottom signal

chadhindsley

With SPY there is for 15 minutes

SeaweedLeft9746

!banbet SPY 600 1w

SeaweedLeft9746

banbet! SPY 600 1w

bytesizethots

As long as SPY rallies within 3 years you'll be fine. 3 year SPXL return has always been at least 2x of SPY.

ImthatRootuser

Well I was gonna stay cash gang but couldn't hold myself that's why I went negative for the year with SPY🤦🏻‍♂️

Ok_Wealth_3433

Outperforming SPY, that’s not bad imo

DTF_Truck

!banbet SPY $690 2w

liikenneaksioma

He says Cuba is next. SPY 600 incoming

Amazing-Topic2827

But when everyone is a bull that is a sign that SPY 700 at open

Jadedtrader33

Dude shut the fuck up SPY already down 10% don’t jinx it. Fucking retard. 🫵🤡

hermeskino715

My version of SPY 700 dream came true #160 USD/Yen baby

Altruistic_Emu_146

I am 70 to 80% mutual funds and ETFs. 10% cash. When times are good, I make triple in my individual stocks compared to SPY and mutual funds but I am a long term investor and I invest in companies I am very familiar with and do my due diligence.

coalmine543

!banbet SPY 600 15d

James_W_Bottomtooth

I’m making whatI can with SPY puts then buying 6 months or greater call options on a wide variety of tickers. Godspeed, regards.

StockCasinoMember

My plan is to DCA into SPY/VOO/QQQ while also building a small cash reserve(which I always do). Then eventually I’ll hit up regular stocks and leveraged ETFs if the slaughter is great enough.

bhaaaaaaa

Prob cause the majority just play SPY and MSFT for some reason.

pmoO0

Nobody remembers SPY 570 ...

ewzetf

you should do better than the SPY since mango was elected by just buying euro bonds murica is cooked

chichi127778

Just buy a put on SPY during these times, it will hedge your losses and keep your portfolio stagnant. Better than selling your positions, especially when you’re invested in great stocks with long term value.

Chloepricebae

This is an accurate analysis. It’s not easy to swallow that SPY could dip 15-20% from where we are but things can ABSOLUTELY get worse before they get better. I’m not buying the dip yet

WocketWaccoon

Dave “contrarian cuck” Hunter reiterates his unrealistic SPY $950 price target by summer

djai50

Problem with SLV is speculative, one is hoping it pumps again… I would close it out and buy LEAPS on SPY or QQQ.

G0D5M0N3Y

I agree with your chart. SPY is also in a great big parallel. We are only barely off the top of the parallel channel. I predict bear market all year until we do some gap fills or hit the lower end of the parallel which is 15% lower.

ButterRollercoaster

Stupidly overcomplicating it. This is just DCA with extra steps and more decisions. With SPY, QQQ, VIG, and GLD, simplicity usually wins. Lump sum or DCA and move on. Stop fucking with options for no good reason.

SeaweedLeft9746

So fucking close to winning my banbet! If SPY could just drop 2 more points 😞

Bad_Prophet

It'shardly even happened. SPY was at 580 a year ago. If this is the bottom, a position opened in February or March of last year would be up like 10%.

Samjabr

Since 1980, the S&P 500 has experienced a **5% or greater** intra-year pullback in **93% of years** (43 out of the last 46 years). |**Decline Magnitude**|**Approximate Frequency**|**Estimated Occurrences (Last 50 Years)**| |:-|:-|:-| |**5% to 10%**|\~1.1 times per year|**\~55 times**| |**10% or more**|Every 1.6 to 1.9 years|**\~26 to 31 times**| |**20% or more**|Every 6 to 7 years|**\~7 to 8 times**| As I said before, considering everything going on in the world - not to mention OIL/LNG through the roof... "we should be up 7% and rolling another 20% year." - Really? Is it your contention that pullbacks are not necessary, and every year should be 20%+ growth? At that rate, the Rule of 72 would put US markets doubling approx every 3 years. Ergo 2029 = SPY 1250 2032 = SPY 2500 2035 = SPY 5000 So... S&P 500 = **50,000** in about a decade - That's a **40X RETURN in 10 years** US Markets current value = $**70 Trillion** US Markets in 10 years using your expected RoR = **2,800 trillion** **Or at that point, I guess we will all be so rich, we will just use quadrillions?** **= 2 QUADRILLION and 800 trillion -** Basically, we don't go to war anymore. We just buy countries outright in cash

BreakfastMedical5164

structural issues like people not being able to afford col? innovation that results in AI/ any indian hires? property bubble, not like 2019 homes doubling/tripling in 6 years pushing cost of home ownership beyond the 70th percentile of incomes job growth, extremely negative in the high dollar sectors SPY to 525 by end of year

JohnBrownsErection

I nearly always buy naked calls and puts directionally, about 30-45 DTE, slightly OTM. I am extremely conservative with my sizing on an "if this goes tits up and expires worthless, can I handle this loss?" basis and typically sell either at halfway to the expiration date or when my signal reverses. Most recent trade was riding SPY $681 puts down at a decent profit. You can roughly guess when and where I got in based on my general guidelines. 

Happy-Champion1661

sorry Sir, here is your change. Would you like to donate $0.02 to the "OTM-lotto 0dte SPY calls" foundation? Your $2 could mean a lot to us. We just need a taco, a very good beautiful taco.

Happy-Champion1661

There was a guy on this sub couple months ago, named happy-discussion I believe. He was saying I was an idiot and that the money printer was coming!!! He was 100% sure SPY would go higher in the first 6 months of this year, making record highs, not a single doubt!!! "YOU WILL SEE YOU IDIOT, YOU DON'T UNDERSTAND SHIT". I think he deleted his reddit account now 🤣🤣🤣 we lost a great permabol soldier. tbf he still has like 3months LMAOOOO

looool_k_libtard

Puts straight through SPY $300. Nasdaq back to $100. Mag 7 are going to fire every CEO.

Kind-Recognition4528

Waiting for SPY to drop even harder just so I can say I lost my money in the SPY instead of day trading like a retard highly leveraged

good-times-

Drank to much last night SPY 700

confused_teabagger

Didn't DOW and SPY reach ATH under every President?

mayorolivia

Mango’s speech in Miami was peak regard. He said DOW and SPY reached ATH under him while inflation has come down. Alternate reality.

Visible_Sir7057

So realistically , let's say they call it quits on the war and the strait of hormuz opens in about a week or 2 from now , will we be rebounding back to 670-90 levels or has the damage already been done to the point where we would need multiple quarters of good corporate earnings and favorable economic data for us to get out of the 630-40 SPY zone? Dont be a ber/bol just realistic

ImpressiveAmount4684

SPY 700 was always a myth

Frosty_Dig4148

!banbet SPY 590 10d

Frosty_Dig4148

!banbet SPY 614 6d