SPY

graphite_paladin

!Banbet SPY 696 1d

Memes_Jack

SPY is blue balling 700 constantly since last year and I can't take it anymore.

tastypieceofmeat

SPY ATH by noon

Roxorek

time for SPY ATH this week

albearcub

I agree there is instability in US markets. But there is no evidence based on previous data to suggest govt shutdowns negatively affect the market. It's pretty close to 50/50 as for if the market will rise/fall from a shutdown. Last shutdown, SPY rallied 3% during that time.

_WhatchaDoin_

I have had the same problem, and I played with a few things. Here are my learnings: 1. Get cash by shorting SGOV. You have to pay the dividend for the shorted shares, which is not tax-deductible. 2. Get cash by shorting BBOX, use it withdraw $. Because there is no dividend, the increased value will create a short-term loss (shorting is always considered a short-term position, regardless of whether you shorted for more than a year), which is tax-deductible against your capital gains (or up to $3000 income per year). If something happens to BBOX (due to its construction and the potential IRS issue as a long position) and the share price crashes, you would benefit tremendously. 3. Create a box on SPX yourself (not SPY, XSP would be okay if you need the 1:10 notional, or a more granular reimbursement of the box). It is not that complex. Lowest amount of fees. The interest rate will be paid in the form of a loss (60% long-term, 40% short-term), which can also be offset against your capital gains. Interestingly, if the rate drops, the SPX positions change accordingly, and in rare cases, you can buy it back a year later at no cost! 4. Take a margin loan. By far the simplest. Your fees will be the interest rate + X%. However, unless you itemize your taxes, the interest rate is not tax-deductible. \--- For (1) and (2), you would need to check your shorting fees for that specific instrument with your broker; it would be a relatively small fee as %, but they can change over time. If you short SGOV or BBOX, you will get additional fees and deductions being tacked on (which mostly cancel each other), and overall the cost ends up a bit higher than a margin loan (but much, much cheaper if you use, say, Schwab). Interactive Brokers is better for these operations, as it is one of the lowest-cost brokers. If you use Schwab or something like this, expect to pay 2x the fees or more. (Margin loan would, for example, jump from 5% to 10%). For (1), (2), and (3), withdrawing $ is a double whammy on your excess liquidity (margin portfolio), because you still have the short position, and you removed the cash. (4) is better for that, followed by (3), then (1) & (2). Having some additional leverage is okay most of the time, as long as you keep it in the 10-20% range (amount withdrawn relative to the full portfolio size). The higher above that, the greater the risk of a margin call if the market crashes (unless you buy some protection, which will create a drag in the long term).

ComplexEntertainer13

> where everything but cash is going up You say that, but my SEK balance has appreciated considerably against the USD and outperformed SPY YoY.

Minimal_Lobster

For me, the breakthrough wasn’t finding more data — it was deciding what to ignore. Options has infinite noise, and most of it doesn’t help with entry quality. I trade mostly SPY, so I stripped things down to a short checklist before I even look at Greeks or spreads: • Where is price relative to VWAP? (am I entering near value or already late?) • Is this a pullback or extension? I avoid trades when price is stretched in ATR terms. • EMA alignment / structure first, options details second. If price location and structure aren’t right, I don’t care how attractive the premium looks — it’s usually a trap. Once I started filtering that early, I stopped needing multiple platforms just to convince myself a trade was “reasonable.” Fewer trades, clearer yes/no decisions, way less mental load.

2darka

More that even if SPY and US stocks in general do well.. the dollar is weakening with inflationary policies and dick moves.. so if you were to bring it back home in your home currency.. you've done shit. With a general view.. and there's more to it.. the us basically needs a weak dollar and inflation to shrink their debt, bring manufacturing back home

corndog_messiah

Same could be said of SPY

CDulst

The day SPY falls off a cliff while corn goes straight up like GLD and SLV have been doing is the day you should consider buying

A_Guy_Oz

Look ma, I’m a day trader! Maybe too early to celebrate calls on SPY and SLV but fuck it I can dream

PaperHandsTheDip

Except that we're \~0.5% off an ATH on the SPY. The "selloff" people are talking about doesn't really exist - almost everything is riding ATH's

PaperHandsTheDip

"All the selling happening in the markets". Uhhh... We're less than 0.5% off the ATH on the SPY

JamesSt-Patrick

The results of what? 20% in the past year. Okay, VOO has done 14-15% over that timeframe, QQQ has done 18% iirc. Emerging markets have done 40%. Canada has done 30%. EAFE has done 30%. You easily could have beaten VT by just looking at what was going on. You could have done 50% on semis. Let’s not even talk about commodities. And these index funds don’t provide downside protection. I could have gotten you better returns than SPY while actually providing you with some downside protection via alternative strategies.

GoochPhilosopher

SPY has already been down the last two weeks. It can't go down three weeks in a row. Shrek's boner won't allow it.

SquallFromGarden

>0-day expiry SPY calls You literally did the most retarded thing I've ever seen that you looped back around into genius. Good shit.

pmotiveforce

Yeah, I know, you guys are slow  By all means buy calls on e.g. SPY or QQQ and get your .4% or whatever that will be gone in two days while silver goes up 5% in same time, lol.

tinydisaster

Repricing SPY in Euro for 2025 is also a great exercise for any doubters.

TomorrowSavings7579

New announcement coming friday: Market now open on Saturday. SPY goes up 12% because of the news and FOMO. Regards become rich. 

Fit_Neighborhood9251

SPY(dxy) YtY is 1%. All is OK in the kingdom of heavenly oranges. So I can explain it easier to slower audience: with 3-4% inflation, -11% DXY, if you made 100k on January 2025, You are making 86k today. Don't try the "DXY doesn't matter" bulshit. Start growing bananas locally and we can talk again. But until you stop importing basically eveything on the shelves - you poorer.

Roygbiv-Turtle-98

I spent 10+ years in the industry working for these companies during the post-GFC bull run. I worked for all these solar companies. Let me tell you why ENPH will never hit 300 again anytime soon. *Do you understand WHY solar did so well for 10+ years?* The Fed kept interest rates artificially low after 2008 GFC: *"Saved the economy"* And, again post-Covid. *"Saved the economy, again"* Except they didn't factor in the effect: **INFLATION** (transitory, he said, lol) Investors were willing and able to pile in (and lose) cash into solar companies like *Sunrun, Vivint, Solar City*, etc. Solar companies were operating on **very** cheap money. *"But the Fed is lowering rates again"* Yes, which will also keep **inflation high**. Precious metals are pumping. Treasuries are being dumped. De-dollarization is in process. **The macro is much differen't "this time" for the solar industry.** Who in their right mind would light their cash on fire investing in solar companies, whether through stocks, options or direct capital investment into these companies? Only people that want to lose money. What home owner is going to actually finance solar these days when long term rates aren't coming down? What home owner would put up liquid cash to pay for solar when they could invest it at bare minimum in QQQ or SPY or better yet GDX and SLV? The "savings" from solar on your electricity bill are not better or equal to other means of investments. Solar is a not a "consumer staple" - you don't need it. You just want it. RIP SUNE, ENPH, SEDG, RUN, VSLR, SPWR, SCTY, TSLA, (their solar department is basically a skeleton crew) Residential solar had its run. The "golden years" of making 20k a month selling "free solar" to homeowners is gone. Investors aren't looking to pile in expensive cash into a failed business model. ENPH makes good products. But the economic stage is not set for ENPH 300 again, not anytime soon.

Oblivious-Speculator

what about the three wars that happened in between and caused SPY to go back to 400 and gold and silver drop to all time low?

pmotiveforce

If SPY is over 689 at 10am, 0dte puts are, like every day that happens lately, free money. Put in a limit sale at 2X sit back and collect free money.

pmotiveforce

The year is 2031. Bulls finally declare victory with SPY at 800, an ATH. Meanwhile, gold is $7800/oz and silver is $279/oz and we all just laugh patronizingly at bulls. You did it, guys!

pmotiveforce

We already won. Do SPY in Silver or Gold based dollar. You already lost and are yesterday's news.

pmotiveforce

Let's just keep current status for tomorrow. Frankly don't care about SPY and its piddly +/- tomorrow. Bulls already lost, doesn't matter. I just want commodities to stay up so I can dump most of them, make a shitload, and nope out to mostly cash for a bit.

JakeSal10

If/when SPY gets back to $690 I can’t see it going further, puts it is

ViriditasBiologia

You mean the last 4 months we've hovered between SPY 680-690? Fucking sheep farmer over here.

imaxwellp

!banbet SPY 691.41 1/25/26

BurritoFucker6969

SPY rises +3% after this

DanqueLeChay

Biggest gap down for SPY: -4%, that would be 659. ☠️ We should make these banbets and if both get banned: Theta conspiracy confirmed.

diamond-hodl

I bought 117, 705 options for $SPY expires Friday so probably gonna lose it all

Badmoodsbear

Yes, like my shiny yellow pet rock which has outpreformed SPY over the last several decades.

nat-n-emore

Look into ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) that hold international stocks. It is a very easy way to invest in equities based outside the USA. Don't let anybody tell you that you will have to sacrifice earnings or growth in your portfolio by avoiding US-based stocks. International performed much better than US over the past 12 months. And most likely will continue to do so, unless and until the government in Washington DC changes policy. ESGD is an international ETF that screens for Enviro, Social, and Governance issues. It had a total return of about 30% over the past 12 months. VXUS is a broad international ETF. It had a total return of about 36%, so slight better. SPY is an S&P 500 ETF. It had a total return of about 15% over the past 12 months... so less than half of the return from international.

CarcossaYellowKing

I’m offering a reverse conversion therapy camp. Come live the life a gay bear and instead of being ignored by girls SPY will ignore your feelings and keep going up. $19.95 a month non refundable results may vary.

Sick0h

^ SPY trades flat for 3 months and this is what you get. Until some other country has a similar consistent return under any reasonably meaningful timeframe, your whole argument remains retarded.

Overall-Fold-9720

Damn, SPY blue pills already fading

Makingbwed

SPY $676 Tomorrow 🩸🩸🩸🩸🩸😬😬😬

metamorphosis

You can all thank me. Last few weeks usually on Fridays, I place calls on metals , puts on SPY. Betting on scenario like we are seeing This time I decided to go opposite .

Old_Beyond_2095

All I know is that these $SPY puts exp 2/6 will be so far deep in the money.

Gom_KBull

Poor SPY bols, they really refuse to see this will go back up to 695 just to come back down to 685 after all the 700cs are rebought.

DeFi_Ry

Definitely tech heavy, considering the weight of those tech companies in say the SPY Hopefully tech continues to perform well for you 

FoundInForests

With the margin requirements potentially falling to $2,000 this year, I’m starting to consider spreads, namely credit spreads as a way to semi-safely grow my account. Please tell me if I’m missing something here. The plan: Daily far OTM 0DTE SPY credit spreads. Starting fund: $3,500. Right now SPY is around 689, I would be looking at the following options. Jan 26th Long put(buy) - 640 strike 35 contracts @ 0.02 Short put(sell) - 641 strike 35 contracts @0.03 Entry credit: $35 Max risk: $3,465 The problem: So I am risking $100 to make $1 per contract a day, betting that the market will not fall 7% tomorrow and wipe out my position. I’ve heard this as picking up pennies in front of a steamroller, where one bad day could wipe out 100 wins in my case. From what data I can find SPY has fallen 7% in a day on 11 occasions in the last 25 years, and most of those were in groupings like during COVID. So I would need a way to protect against days like that. The solution: I plan to purchase a separate long put contract each day to cut into my daily earnings and protect as much of my credit spread as possible, and try to bail on the main credit spread if it approaches a 5% daily drop. Jan 26th Long put - 661 strike 2 contracts @ 0.05 From what I can see, if the strike were to drop to $642 these contracts would be worth $3,786, so this would cover my fund amount in the event of a large drop. That would bring my daily profit to $25 each day. Naturally I’d want to reinvest my winnings and grow this account so I could earn more a day, while setting aside money for taxes. Am I missing anything else though?

swampassOG

HOOD and SPY calls

Logic_Turbine

Watching to see if SPY closes in the green

PatientAd9394

It will be year 3085 and SPY still hasn't broken 700

CapriKitzinger

I calculated it out and it doesn’t make a difference. I forgot how/why. But I think I get a slightly higher premium with SPY and that made up for the tax offset. It was something like that.

srnx

no idea tbh, one thing that Trump II has done is errode any confidence I had left in the markets. Rates will be cut aggressively once Trumps lapdog is in charge of the Fed and inflation will ramp up but thats also a bunch of cheap money pouring into the markets, at least short term. So im thinking growth over value since value wont be able to outpace the dollar devalution. Gold is an obvious one but its already run so much now and has dropped as much as 70% a bunch of times in the past after comparable runs. If you look at currency adjusted valuations SPY has been one of the worst performing indices in the world 2025, barely broke even. Im definitely staying away from broad US exposure.

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

SPY 1000 in that case

ThickUnderstanding22

So in your opinion, SPY will have a fall this year but Europe and gold a rise?

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

2020 2011 1980 1975 theres always some 🤡 spouting this nonsense SPY 700 EOW

ThickUnderstanding22

I’m more invested into tech, I’ll leave you my portfolio Mine is 7.90% ARKK 8.18% CVX 8.42% NVDA 13.60% AAPL 16.05% GOOGL 16.85% SPY 28.96% LMT

nanopicofared

I moved out of SPY last fall with the government shutdown and then Trump threating people over the economic reports.

Gom_KBull

SPY bols... yall do know most SPY bers arent holding puts right? That most of them just went calls on metals instead?

tcmart14

Good news: SPY 800 EOW. Bad news: you’ll need to sell 1 share of SPY to buy 1 roll of toilet paper

AlmightyCheesusCrust

All 🥭 has to do is sing hakuna matata and hug everyone and we would hit SPY 1000 by next week

SouthKoreanDefector

SPY & QQQ slow rotation into oil and gas, poor labor markets, higher inflation than anticipated, FED speak, another government shutdown this upcoming month, potential Iran Strike, and Greenland shenanigans, Gold is gonna blow through $5500 in a month

zackacz

SPY in a medically induced coma at $687.81

JakeSal10

SPY puts at 7 am and then selling no later than 10 am

UpwardCharterhouse

!banner SPY 693 24hr

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

bears watching everything around them cost more and more and think SPY wont go up with it all

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

the cheapest fast food meal combo cost more than $10 and bears think we wont hit SPY 700 eow

MrBlueEyedFox

After comparing SPY and VGK. Trump made VGK great again this past year.

SugarPhoenix

Has anyone else noticed the old advice around assets seemingly doesn't matter anymore? The only risk when it comes to assets seems to be not owning and being priced out. In 2020 SPY was in the 200s, its now almost 700. Gold is up like 100% in two years with zero downside, literally just straight up. Real estate went up the most in recorded history in 2020/21 and literally never went down. People keep saying the market goes up 7-11% per year. SPY has gone up more than that almost every single year since 2020. What the fuck is the downside here? Specifically housing/gold literally do not go down....?

Party_Reference2540

Anyone have an accurate ES-SPY calculation

financiallythriving

Chad VXUS versus Virgin SPY

WinstonBuddyBro

SPY at levels not seen since Friday morning

bearhunter429

#If SPY is red -0.3%, MSFT will be down at least -3% LMAO🤌

Unicornsh1ts

I guess my 1/27/26 SPY PUTs at 687 might print huh? 🖨️💵

voxpopper

Silver above $107 SPY down 0.36% DXY 0.25% Looks like dollar downdraft is accelerating (means metals up)

Miserable-Ad-8994

!banbet SPY 680 1d

zuziannka

Weird that SPY hasn’t hit 700 yet.

nt-yur-fathers-usrnm

!banbet SPY 650 5d

LadderAdmirable

!banbet SPY 680 1d

LadderAdmirable

!banbet SPY 685 1d

Professional_Con_007

Ok back to normal SPY 700

nadoterisback

Futes blood red. The last 32 years of SPY was just a big bull trap. Starting from 2026, the next multiple decades will be straight down. Your grandkids will see SPY back in double digits. Bull is fuck.

Gom_KBull

# SPY bols still waiting for 700 like Gametards waiting for MOASS # LMAOKEKWLMAO

Happy-Champion1661

I heard SPY puts always expire worthless, so they are probably inversely correlated

fapveteran

we prefer a civil war so SPY is going 7000 within this year, elon can sell kill machine robots to both sides, so Tesler is going to 600 also

Puzzleheaded_Bag9063

Serious question, if S&P is down 30pts, what’ll SPY be down? 3? Is there a direct correlation?

Gom_KBull

# METALS ARE UNBREAKABLE! fuck off SPY you beta bich

pandadogunited

The futures market opens a bit before the regular market does, so you can think of it as a more liquid aftermarket. If you saw that SPY was down 0.84% in the aftermarket would you be concerned? Hopefully not, that's not particularly notable. This post is fearmongering about a complete nothingburger.

Gom_KBull

Saw the 1yr chart for SPY, its a real life calculus limit approaching 697 LOL

Crazy_Donkies

QQQ, IWM, maybe SPY.

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

META MSFT AAPL this week “were making stupid amounts of money” SPY 700 EOW

DDMadeMeDoIt

I am new to options trading too, I was planning on purchasing an ITM SPY Call, $685 strike price on March 20th, Delta is .59… reasonable trade? I’m sorry if you hate answering questions like these, I’m not asking is this the right thing to do, mostly want to know if I am way off the mark of what a solid beginner call option would look like.

Memento_mori9608

SPY?

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

fool me once shame on you fool me twice shame on me fool me three times makes me a bear SPY 700 eow

ExplanationNormal339

SPY has been hanging around that resistance zone, but the RSI on the daily chart suggests we could be approaching an overbought condition. If it fails to break through soon, a pullback to the $675 support zone seems more likely. You can check the latest levels and indicators here: [link].

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

full porting SPY 0DTE calls at open to 3x again

Significant-Zebra-17

SPY 700 EOW is confirmed with both meta and MsFTs big move.

jsie-iaiqhsi816278

im convinced we’ll never limit down again especially now since theyve changed it from a -5% to a -7% SPY 700 eow

DDMadeMeDoIt

1 ITM SPY contract for 3 months out…first time.

callsonreddit

Wtf SPY -0.75%?

bearhunter429

#Half of America is buried under snow right now. SPY needs to drop 50% to reflect that. LMAO🤌

ArchegosCapitalCEO

SPY off the top rope!

Independent-Cress382

I picked the wrong day to long SPY and IWM I guess I should long ROPE next.

baconography

Please don't do this. VIX options are horrible. Just buy what it's derived from, SPY/SPX puts.