SPY

WillTheGreat

> Why do you put so much faith in GEX? It's not faith in GEX, it's just a tool to observe levels to help me make decisions on where I go. Earlier I made a comment about getting 711 puts to look out for a strong move towards the put wall. When SPY showed some strength bouncing off of 710, I saw a regime change and flipped my position to grab calls and road the move up. Because there was a strong call wall acting as support and massive gamma build up between 712-715, as long as we bounced off 710 any moves towards those legs would trigger an even stronger move. What GEX told me yesterday was strong put buying and weakness. What happened in the morning was a different story, flow slowly and call buying slowly crept up as SPY hover around 710. So once the SPY start using 710 as support, the next thing was to monitor for strong flow and regime change. And basically you follow the money. The more gamma there is in a specific range, or at a specific strike, the more violent and volatile the swing up would become. When I say next five expirations, I'm referring to the daily expirations. I think because the nature of this sub, I tend to post more regarding short term. Moves I expect within the next week. I build a tool for me to track GEX based on specific expirations which establishes my range where I expect violent moves above or below certain levels. The thing about tools is it's just that. It lets me visual the market, and understand where money is flowing so I'm not blindly trading against large structure of money. Because tools like these, my portfolio is up 6k% since 2016. It's not faith, it just works for me.

NeuroLeak

If 🥭would just sleep through the next 2 years, SPY would be at 1000

MrNo_Balls

The year is 2029 crude oil is at 1350$/Bbl and the SPY is at 50000. Surprisingly the DXY is still at 97

RothTo0DTE

First I'd start out with what options are and how they work. You can find that on YT. I've only been trading since 2020 but the best teacher for me was just watching the market on a daily basis and seeing how it reacts to news, financial or political or black swan (COVID), etc. I look at the market as a whole and look at my favorite individual stocks too. I got more from that than anything. Let me give you an example: SPY. Normally, it don't finish the day more than about .3 to .5% but it'll swing like crazy within that. All these clowns talking about 5% up or down on that never have traded it or attention to how it works. A 1% day on SPY is a big day and 2% is a crazy day. Anything more than that and there's extenuating circumstances (not feelings related).

TheDudeAbidesFarOut

This is when I like to remind myself, that SPY is always at a ATH.....

briggssteel

I made this mistake back in early to mid 2021 when trading was the hot thing. I kept thinking the more research I did I could figure it out and outperform the market. Ended up doing terrible. I lost $300 in all which isn’t really all that bad but I lucky don’t put all that much into it. Dealing with the taxes for day trading is also a huge pain in the ass. Once I accepted that I was never beating the market I opened a Roth IRA and just dollar cost averaged into a retirement mutual fund, VOO (Vanguard’s version of SPY), some VT (Vanguard World Market ETF). The majority in the retirement fund though. Now after 5 years I’m up 14.5% and I can see that it’s growing a bit quicker as it compounds. The only time I stray from the dollar cost average is when there’s a sizable dip in the market (like the Iran oil fiasco for a week) and I’ll add a little more than normal, but not a lot. Basically invest in a retirement fund, automate it and forget about it, so much less stress and you’ll actually make money almost guaranteed.

amanj41

If R’s hold, economy is fucked long term even if we briefly pump to 1k on SPY

trust_it_bb

Remember you’re never wrong. Just too early. This is for the bears blowing up their ports. Its straight line up until summer energy crisis, then if we move past that with a nothing burger, its SPY 900 till nov elections and if dems win, you’ll get your 50% crash. If repubs hold though, SPY 2000 by 2028 is on lock. This is financial advice of the highest order.

kts2019

Buy a 0DTE SPY put that is OTM. Most likely expire worthless. I bought an option for $275 earlier this week, and it went down 99.64%.

ateranol

So now Witkoff, after having so much success with RU-UA war, will now be handling Iran talks? SPY 800

InvestAISavvy

Worth pulling apart what "risk-on" actually means here. I track social attention and sentiment data across about 10 platforms, and the picture on SPY/QQQ this week is more split than the price action suggests. Sentiment on both is sitting around 76-78% which is elevated but not euphoric. What's interesting is the *critical* themes — for QQQ, about 30% of the bearish conversation is geopolitical/oil-driven inflation fears, and another 25% is technical resistance and death-cross stuff. SPY shows the same pattern, with oil shock fears as the dominant critical narrative. So the bearish case isn't being ignored at all, it's actually loud. What's holding the bid up on the supportive side is mostly passive long-term index advocacy and oversold bounce / dip-buying language. That's not really "risk-on conviction" — that's structural flows plus technicals. Reads less like investors choosing to ignore the risks and more like the market is being levitated by passive money while active commentary is pretty cautious. Different setup than 2024 when the supportive narrative was actually about growth. Worth watching whether the dip-buyers keep showing up if oil sticks above $100 for another week.

Dstein99

The only reason Robinhood is worse than Schwab is Schwab has great customer service and Robinhood only has a live chat. To me the UI alone isn’t enough to make up for this. There are advantages to RH, for $50/year they give $1,000 in free margin which I have in SGOV and earn a risk free $35.40/year in interest at current rates, they give a 3% IRA match I max out my IRA so I get $225 added to my Roth per year, plus I have the credit card that gives unlimited 3% cash back. They don’t give me any benefit to having a taxable account there so I keep this at Schwab, but for the accounts I have at RH I am paying $50/year to get $260/year in benefits. Some people may say that the fills aren’t as good on Robinhood, but from my experience there doesn’t appear to be a difference. I tested selling an identical SPY LEAPS on Fidelity and Robinhood earlier this week. Robinhood gave me a slightly better fill but within a margin of error and I was charged a lower transaction fee with RH than Fidelity. The details is this transaction was 1 contract SPY $565 C 12/17/2027 Fidelity executed at $19,325 - $0.65 commission - $0.42 exchange fee = 19,323.93. Robinhood executed my order at $19,330 - $0.04 exchange fee = $19,329.96. Robinhood gave me a better fill net of fees by $6.03 (0.03%). I am not claiming that Robinhood’s fills are better, but they aren’t necessarily worse like I have seen claimed.

Greyvy86

Sold two 710c on SPY, 15 minutes before it decided it wanted to shoot up to 714.

TiredTired99

I have a puts ranging from SPY690 to SPY710 with expiries of 5/22 and 5/29. I honestly feel like my worst case scenario is break-even because I don't think SPY can stay at these levels another week, let alone a month. Separately, I have some OTM puts expiring 4/30 that are likely to be worthless unless the market stops ignoring the Strait of Hormuz closure. You win some, you lose some. Overall, I feel like the market isn't properly accounting for oil supply issues, other commodity issues tied to Hormuz (and the long, slow road to recovery even if the Strait opens), an AI bubble (even just a modest one), or the sharp spike in layoffs (especially in the tech sector).

LadderAdmirable

!banbet SPY 700 3d

LadderAdmirable

!banbet SPY 705 3d

LadderAdmirable

!banbet SPY 708 3d

henrycrutcher

This is exactly what I'm looking for! 1. Shares increasing faster than 5% -- annualized returns of -2.5%, underperformed SPY 20/26 years 1. The low cashflow did all the work on the rising debt term 1. cash flow yield < 3% alone -- -0.3% annualized return, underperformed 18/26 years 1. cash flow yield < 3% with debt 50% higher than last year -- -2.5% annualized, 21/26 years underperform 1. net margins shrinking -- I must be holding it wrong. I couldn't get anything truly loss making until I screened for stocks that had their margins go down by 90% (!). So I'm at a loss there. 1. Adjusted earnings games -- I want to know more, but couldn't figure out how to put that into formulas 1. Insider selling -- I don't have the data :-(((

Electrical-Message67

I know exactly how you feel, last week I bought $3k in SPY puts

vermilli21

Remember when GYNA use to tweet something at 3am and market crashes -2% overnight. Or when 🥭 held up a chart and we saw SPY go instantly -4% What catalyst do we have next?

Electronic_Train_775

Fair price of SPY around 450 right now

ThanksDependent1001

Nope. Long term gain is just regular holdings 😂The 10k loss is all SPY options and 90 percent of the loss came over the last two weeks. I am definitely losing spectacularly.

Salty-Bid1597

Adjusted for inflation SPY is now 2.5x higher than the peak of the dotcom bubble. lmao fingers

Actual_Difference617

The internal news is that there has been negotiations that if SPY goes over $750 next month, Iran will have to surrender and vacant the country.

PalpitationSmooth992

they held SPY at 713.8 for 4 straight hours lol paper traded 713 straddle and 712/714 strangle all options dead this is why you never touch SPY individual stocks way easier

GeneralSEOD

If we had Harris it would be SPY 800 easy.

GeneralSEOD

Thinking Intel would go down after it's rally (it didn't my puts are crumbling) Thinking SPY would react to the inaction on Iran and shit going south (it didn't, my puts are crumbling) I need Trump to nuke the Iran HQ and AMD to forget what a CPU is to rescue my port.

SherbertOk2563

Don't short SPY. You can short BTC

Ok-Analysis4121

Can we please get a 2% SPY day? Not asking for much

bearhunter429

#Pam Bondi getting her ass fired was literally the bottom. SPY up almost 15% since her firing. LMAO🤌

WSB-mods-are-

3 of the 5 top comments bragging about their SPY puts for Monday tells me everything I need to know we're opening big green. Take a screenshot because these dickweeds delete it by premarket 😂

FairMongoose5583

when someone says “VOO and chill”, they mean to buy into the broad market and let it sit for a while. this of course is assuming they have decades to chill. also, VOO here is interchangeable with any broad market ETF. for some people it’s the S&P 500 (SPY, VOO, SPYM, IVV, SWPPX, among others). some people it’s the broad US market like VTI, some people it’s the broad world market like VT. the catchphrase is more investing advice than anything

davidbigham

Now that I am holding SPY call , I just need him to dont say stupid shit.

bearhunter429

#In the last 1 month SPY is up 9.6%. That's almost 120% annualized. LMAO🤌

bearhunter429

#SPY doesn't always have a green year but when it does, it ALWAYS pumps 20% or more. Look up 2017, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2023, 2024, 2025 and now this year LMAO🤌

bullrfuk

It's year 3637. Humanity went extinct 300 years ago in WW14. SPY still continues to pump 20-25% per year as algo-driven Fed computers in a secret underground bunker continue to bid up stocks.

Illustrious-Low4128

SPY 720 Monday

kts2019

Bought last minute SPY puts expiring Monday. I don't know why I think this time will be any different.

WSB-mods-are-

SPY: Makes a new ATH nearly every month for the decades it has existed Bears: in complete shock it doesn't align with their batshit insane worldviews

SuffiecientSapian

Monday - SPY 714 calls 100x expiring Friday

Fhyzikz

Tonight at 8:01pm on the dot: drop 17 MOABS on all energy infra and the capitol in Iran Monday 6:55am: We won! Peace talks going well! SPY 720

bearhunter429

#It's year 2030. SPY at $2500 on the news that ceasefire talks going well LMAO🤌

HaveTwoBananas

sold some SPY 720/722 call spreads for tuesday :l

jasperCrow

Breaking: 🇨🇳sending 🇺🇸🐼x2. SPY 800 🚀🌕

xShiftfaced

Bought 4/30 $600 QQQ puts and SPY 4/28 $707 puts at close.

SuspiciousHumor7127

Lol SPY closed with 3mill volume candle to sell side

Ill-Trip7965

Bro you speedran the full WSB character arc in like 12 months 😂 From AMC degen to ICT giga brain timing TQQQ bottom and INTC LEAPS is wild, congrats on actually making it out of the hole. Now the real boss fight is not sending it all back on some zero day SPY YOLO.

apurimac777

If only I had balls and full ported SPY 632c leaps a moment ago

daynightcase

lol insanity, SPY $750 by next month is free money at this point

WSB-mods-are-

SPY puts to calls going 3 to 1. Monday is going to be a massive green open 🚀

Who_is_Your_Zaddy

SPY jittery

Fhyzikz

SPY -.0000000000000000005%

dontslambro

If you told me oil would sustain over 90/barrel for weeks and we would hit ATHs several days over. Running a 15% SPY run at the same time I’d laugh and literally bet my balls against it. Here we are.

Disastrous_Tax6664

It's amazing how SPY has just sat around a range between .70 and .79% for hours. Odd case.

pineapplekiwipen

SPY monthly candle looks absolutely mindblowing wtf is this

Ok_Initial_6150

Anyone swinging anything over the weekend for $SPY? Calls or puts? Why?

Valkorion335786

SPY will teleport up right after all those 0DTE options are sold forcefully

MrNo_Balls

well that is a very true statement. with 1.8 mil in SPY dividend is about 23k/year enough to live off of and basically no risk in the growth side of it.

HoneyBadger552

momentum and other factor ETFs really step things up. but SPY is up30% this yr

Scary-Bobcat-9444

Because I'm using leverage on SPY.

davidbigham

Look at that SPY juicy -0.05% dip , BTFD . 🤡

_TheOoze_

I'm writing SPY 5/1 700P 10 minutes before EOD. The weekend can lick bofa deez

apurimac777

We gonna see Kevin going from being the biggest 🦅 to being a massive 🕊 USD to 0, SPY to 9000 LFGOOOOOOOOOOOOO

davidbigham

I bought some SPY put to make sure the market keep pumping next week 😎

SundayAMFN

orange dies: SPY -10% orange turns out to not be dead: SPY +20%

Scary-Bobcat-9444

Made 1000 from the dump of SPY yesterday but missed Intel yesterday... What kind of dumb I am.

Scallywaggin_

SPY running on DonT McDees farts

Iamhappilyconfused

Lol I'm glad I did not trade today, I would've definitely bought puts on SPY and gotten destroyed throughout the day

876General

Want to compare stats and numbers of each performance over the last 5? SPY 71% and VXUS 26%. Lmao laughable that you would even compare the two

WailingWarbler

I bought both SPY calls and puts for next week cause either way something is gonna x3

Jebusfreek666

Good entry point here for 1 more SPY put quick.

ChampionshipSoggy618

Bull trap to sell off incoming !banbet SPY to dip down to 711 before EOD

ughilostmyusername

Tell us more about your SPY puts pls

-Ophidian-

How about SPY YTD, killa?

spellbadgrammargood

SPY annual return is 12%; SPY since March 30th is +12%

davidbigham

Cant let my future son know that SPY been going straight up for 2 weeks and I did not got rich from that

SouthNice7324

I just need one -1% day day for SPY in the next two weeks to make a bag. I am confident this will happen

vermilli21

SPY 750 calls are cheap for Monday, buy the from me

Electronic-Advisor72

Hmm… Concepts of a negotiation. SPY ATH

Jaredthegoat_

hmm SPY might get pinned at 713.50-714 by EOD

GoldenAries4

Nah, SPY will be up another 5%

Rock_Flaccid

I gor puts when SPY hit 714, and we have been in cryogenic stasis since then, sorry everyone

Jaredthegoat_

The ber cope is so real, the tech rotation is a defense move against businesses more impacted by the oil shock so SPY will be flat/bullish unlike RSP which is down for the day

Gristle__McThornbody

There is a gap on SPY at 150 when is that going to get filled?

Portland-

learn [this](https://www.barchart.com/etfs-funds/quotes/SPY/gamma-exposure) and [this](https://www.barchart.com/etfs-funds/quotes/SPY/put-call-ratios)

Jaredthegoat_

imagine paying attention to SPY gamma exposure ...

Jaredthegoat_

SPY pumps to +1% EOD

shasta747

So tempting to grab some weekly SPY 700Ps tbh

Aggravating_Fig6288

Hmmm….maybe I need to test 713 again? NO YOU DONR SPY I NEED 715 in an hour HURRY UP

throwawayyhs

MSFT turned me into a gay bear SPY 705 EOD please

vraj0709

Double bottom here on SPY

The_BakedCrusader

SPY's YTD percentage gain has a 1-1 ratio with the amount of wars the U.S. wins, so 🥭's milking Iran for all it's got

WSB-mods-are-

The only things worse than SPY puts are  reddit servers

Meteyu32

SPY went up $2 within 15 mins of my buying Puts earlier … just sold them, so let’s watch it go down $2

nocashflow_

SPY you slay gurlll 💅

WSB-mods-are-

SPY puts to calls ratio increasing. Prepare yourselves for a +2% Monday open lol

whodey84

Best thing about seeing SPY/QQQ rip is TSLA isn't part of it. LOL

nocashflow_

Alright alright pop off SPY, you queen 👸

DabblingInIt

Closed out my 0DTE SPY 710 calls, not at the best price but at a good one. Got a little bit of what I lost on that dump yesterday back. I was a day early on my 706 puts for that crash. I was up on calls, sold just before the top then jumped back in when it pushed up more like a regard and lost most of two accounts. This market is just wild. 60k to 90k, to 1k to 72k to 4k to 54k to 10k to 26k. I gotta get my shit together and start listening to myself. At least I funneled some money out on my wins, got some toys and payed some bills off.

Remote_Drive_5588

For all you technical chart readers.... Will QQQ have a chance at touching 665 today? SPY 715? Don't want to hold calls over the weekend and trying to gradually sell out contracts at profit. Thanks!