SPY

Hot-Bicycle8217

This is me. But I’m tempted to move more into SPY because it just can’t go down???

mayorolivia

Ackman underperforms SPY

Cav829

“Knew what he was doing” dude he is down on a year SPY is already up 13%+. Honestly it feels very WSB to put this up as proof he knew what he was doing.

Mededitor

It has never been bad advice. I keep about 90% in Mag 7-type stocks and $SPY, and speculate with the rest.

BarbellPadawan

SPY

Pie_Dealer_co

Well nothing is sure SPY going for another 5 years of this is would be weird... but if 5 years pass and it kept going like the last 5... to me the graph looks unsustainable and lets not kid ourself its mainly a handful of companies from those 500. Whats your experience on boring utility companies dont they crash when the entire market crash? Because even something boring as a company making/selling water meters will get burned if the economy is bad and no one build new buildings needing water meters. Of course the segment that is wear and tear is still there but the growth is not it should lower stock price.

MusingsAndMind

Just now realized. My retirement accounts are in index funds. If I buy SPY puts? I break even probably. If I buy SPY calls? I gain along with my retirement accounts. Can't believe I didn't realize this sooner. I am infinitesimally more smarter than I thought.

Plastic_Ninja_9014

On the Mention side AAPL, NVDA, SPY, TSLA-📉

Valkorion335786

Watching SPY and asking God to give me patience because if He gives me strength I will have to pray for bail money next

music_is_gud

Lol no he underperformed SPY by a mile since 2010

CEOofBeanz

I have minority stakes in 500 of the most powerful corporations in the world. You guys wouldn’t get it. You’re not as sophisticated as I am nor will you ever be for I am superior in many more ways than one. (Own SPY)

Aggravating-Buy-1695

HO LEE FUK SPY 800 when?

Competitive-Water944

Very concern for Bul. SPY delist soon

No-Grass-1852

Yeah I've seen most people make gains SPY options. Why not long contracts? If I'm bullish wouldn't I want to buy more time?

Hellmale

Drooling on my QQQ and SPY puts expiring on 8/21🤤

Commercial_Sound1448

0DTE SPY Puts

WalrusHonda

Sure it will come for 2 weeks and then SPY will rip so incredibly hard to 1000 over a year when no one is invested and bears are still short ,

Creepy-Fennel-852

So SPY pump or dump Monday ?

Immapillpopnanimal

Just trade SPY or QQQ.. MU is expensive and wicked volatile.. all I trade these days are those two, Microsoft, Google, and Apple.. and buy puts on amazon, target and some times palantier just cuz I hate them

ShittyUsernane1222

we need 24/7/365 trading on SPY.

Novel-Camera-840

He actually did. For how much noise and PR he gets he acts like he beats SPY by 5x consistently but nope

Sufficient_Habit5091

Ah okay looks like YoY this past week they just edged out 21.7% vs. 21.1%. 2025 VGK dominated though, 35.8% vs. 17.7%. I think you will see the same in 2026 and beyond. Historically yes (including 5y), SPY has dominated but nothing dominates forever. We went from ~30% debt to GDP and surpluses under Clinton during the internet boom, to a country that would be considered unrecognizable during the hope and optimism of those years. Assuming we don't correct course (it doesn't appear we are), 10-20 years the change will be even more drastic.

OptionsDrifter

I bet he’s actually underperformed SPY over the last 20 years, even after beating it by 800% or whatever in a single year in 2009.

FishHammer

"I made $11 on SPY calls grandma!"

ShittyUsernane1222

mamdani learned chinese. [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxspeoTRjuk](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxspeoTRjuk) calls on SPY puts on USA

IvoryTowerResident

1 yr returns SPY >VGK YTD reutnr SPY > VGK 5 yr return SPY returning double

sashazaliz

your math checks out for the last few years, and i won’t pretend otherwise. but you’re comparing two strategies that aren’t trying to do the same thing. buy-and-hold SPY is going for max growth and you eat every drop. writing calls on a boring name trades some upside for income and a smoother ride. those aren’t better-or-worse, they’re different jobs. and the part that’s easy to miss: “just buy SPY” only looks obvious because SPY went up. that’s hindsight talking. nobody sitting in 2022 down 25% knew the bounce was coming, and plenty of people sold right there. holding through that is a lot harder than it sounds after the fact. in a flat market or a falling one, the income and the smaller swings are the whole point, that’s when giving up some upside looks smart instead of dumb. in a crazy bull market like we just had, yeah, you underperform, on purpose. So if your magic crystal ball is telling you the next five years look like the last five, buy SPY. i’m not that sure, so i like getting paid while i wait and not getting steamrolled when it does drop.

SpicyElixer

Yep. When managing hundreds of billions of dollars, it is virtually impossible to beat the market by the massive 20%+ annual margins he achieved in the 1960s through 1990s. Buffet has said this many times. That said: 1) A lump-sum investment in Berkshire has beaten SPY over nearly any rolling 20+ year period. 2)Berkshire significantly outperformed the S&P during major drawdowns (e.g., the 2000 dot-com crash, 2008, and 2022). SPY distributes ~1.5% in taxable dividends each year. Berkshire pays zero dividends, allowing 100% of the capital to compound tax-deferred in a taxable account.

pegasusCK

That's uhhhh not a good thing for SPY lol.

poopy_wizard132

Will SPY drop 1% tomorrow?

IvoryTowerResident

>VGK has been beating SPY, working very well for me and I believe that will continue. My data shows SPY outperforming VGK

Illustrious-Egg7514

I do not like the idea of selling now after a more than 50% haircut. But I also do not like being all in BTC. So perhaps middle ground? 50/50. Capture some SPY and potentially a massive BTC run but you will need patience for a couple of years…

carlos5577

When will people learn. SPY and QQQ always go up

Sufficient_Habit5091

>Secret outperformer: Dispelling the ‘myths’ about an unloved stock market >BNP Paribas believes Europe is more likely to be an AI beneficiary rather than a developer. >For Goldman Sachs, Europe being behind on the AI trade may not be such a bad thing, either. VGK has been beating SPY, working very well for me and I believe that will continue.

BentoMan

I think Nvidia is going to dump after earnings and probably take SPY with it. I need to figure out when they report. 

HundoHavlicek

When SPY is only up 14% ytd but you’ve also seen this meme 100 times over that time period

WordsHappenedHere

SPY be like https://preview.redd.it/1jmaw2c2bqjh1.jpeg?width=1293&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b9e52086168ca04d5618ec268e5515d7ef151ba3

the6ixgirl

All my SPY lottos were worth $9k 🤣.

eirinite

What was your last trading dream about? Last night, I dreamed I knew $SPY would crash COVID-style, and all I had to do was buy as many deep OTM puts as possible and wait for Monday’s fallout. But, I had no money in my trading account (just like IRL), and funds take a week to process.

imustbegthequestion

What's the consensus? SPY and QQQ, calls or puts for a Wednesday 11:30am strike? Or stroke? Or strobe? I don't know. It's just u/imustbegthequestion

Mods4Bers

Im interested in Puts on SPY, but shorting memory right now is beyond retarded. Its clearly gaining strength relative to the market.

messageemile

He was also saying the SPY would crash like 8 years ago

AngusMcTibbins

You're not wrong. I've made some money in semis. But most of my money is in SPY because it only goe ls up.. but it goes up too slowly for me to escape the anus-tier life

luckysharms93

Buffet hasn't beat the S&P in a long time. His overall return comes from early years. If you run a backtest where you DCA into BRK and SPY, you have to go back to 1993 for BRK.A to win

Pale-Silver-8178

ppl brag bout SPY being up 20%, bro inflation and other shit cancels those gains out youre break even economic wise

Pie_Dealer_co

With your 25 years of experience can you explain this? Real inflation is around 20% last half a decade if not more. SPY 500 and similar move around 30% last couple of years every year. Then you can even get stocks that moved 60+% no issue the last 5 years. Not making it hard saying X jumped 100% then jumped to Y it made 60% and so on. I have picked a nice flat stock it moves up 5% every year so we beat inflation but growth is lacking. Lets say its a utility or REIT. I sell CC for 2 years and never get assigned. Then we do the math... I made less than just putting it in SPY 500

frogger1988

No SPY????

buyatollah_kuminamy

Shes either A: waiting for me to text and im in or B: she hope i dont and i blow everything This is tougher than a SPY put or call on a friday

twat_muncher

I think SPY has 800 soon, but after that seems like we could be flat for a year

user4443337

An LETF I like is NTSD. It’s quarterly reset, so less volatility decay. Only 1.5x so modest. And it’s 90% SPY 60% EFA - so kinda close to 1.5x VT. Just missing small caps and emerging markets. As long both go up steadily, that leverage will help a ton and I’m up a big amount already on this. It’s an underrated ETF IMO, even that financial YouTuber Ben Felix was saying he’s in favor of using leverage when young. And one of the guests on his podcast was suggesting LETFs instead of margin.

fightoraccept

Let me know if SOH anything like Cancun, might go... A great beach spot is one with light blue Caribbean water, soft Sand and topless woman ranging from fake big titty American spring break hoes to European milfs. I'm sure 🥭 gonna fly out all the bad bitches to SOH, probably will run Miss America pageant down there. SPY $8008

ThatOneRedditBro

In the last 2 years spy dropped at least 1.5% 31 times. Out of all the trading days that is a 6% chance. Given a lot of these drops were in short term draw downs in the market, you essentially have a less than 3% chance to buy weeklies to score big.  Maybe next week will be that 3% where we give up 3-5% on SPY

davestufff

anyone else buying put's on SPY?

Sufficient_Habit5091

Naturally, and face-ripping rally to new ATHs for SPY.

ThetaEdgeHQ

papakong has the core mechanic right, a disallowed loss is not gone, it rides into the cost basis of the replacement and comes back to you when you finally close flat. So the doomsday framing is overblown for anyone who fully exits by year end. Two things nobody has flagged that actually matter for how you trade. First, the gray area you are sensing is substantially identical, and for options it reaches across instruments, not just the same contract. Selling stock at a loss and then selling a CSP or buying a call on the same name inside 30 days can trip it, and that is exactly the trap for covered call and collar traders who are always holding shares next to the option. It is rarely the option versus itself that bites, it is the option against the stock. Second, if you trade broad based index options like SPX or XSP, wash sale does not apply to them at all. They are 1256 contracts, marked to market at year end with 60/40 treatment, which is the mark to market point the first reply gestured at. So part of your answer is instrument choice, SPY options carry the wash question, the index equivalents make it vanish. The two month pause is way more than you need. Wash only defers a loss, it does not delete it, and it only reaches 30 days each side of the loss, so the clean fix is just not rebuying the same name inside that window rather than going dark for eight weeks.

BentoMan

You bears need to touch grass — go to any decent restaurant this evening and they are slammed. SPY ATH makes perfect sense. 

Iulia_M

I smell a new ceasefire and SPY 790 Monday

Agreeable_Muscle_279

Why not 1 month? That gives you more time.. I had tired something similar in the past.. lot of decisions to make still...strike when to enter and exit.. For me, I wasn't disciplined or systemic but the losses when SPY went down were significant

Similar_Athlete_7019

Just ask yourself.. why are you betting against the US economy? When you’re shorting SPY or QQQ, you’re essentially saying the economy should not be this good and I rather see people lose their jobs because our economy is f up. I’d rather be an optimist and betting for or just not invest at all. That said it’s a bit different betting against individual company if you think they’re doing shady stuff.

Tech-100

I see no 0DTE SPY calls?

pc349

Bro , I lost $700 this week on SPY puts

fightoraccept

🥭 says he will soon declare the Strait of Hormuz "territory of the United States." Why didn't he do that sooner?! No war, free oil and now we can charge a fee TO iran for oil. THE TRIFECTA... or as some people may know it, THE ART OF THE DEAL. SPY 1k...or 100...iono.

No_Database9822

You need to gamble your life savings in SPY 0DTE it’s safe and healthy

Ok_Apricot_6202

Calling it now. SPY will reach new ATHs

SlartibartfastMcGee

Select equity options leads me to believe it’s for tickers like SPY NVDA AAPL etc.

Chef_Royardee

Who’s 13F should I copy? Citadel Ken is just SPY calls and MU. Thiel is just Amazon and a bunch of energy companies that are down YTD

Micahftww

annex the strait? someone smarter than me tell me what this means for my SPY calls Monday

Got_Engineers

SPX/SPY 65-70% NQ/QQQ 85% Are the % of option flows that have an expiration within the next 5 days. That is to say that the majority of option flows and therefore the majority of price action is influenced by option flows expiring within the next few days with a bulk of them expiring 0DTE. On August 4, 2026SPY complex recorded the largest single day option volume with over 4.5 million contracts. So right now there’s more leverage than there’s ever been and the majority of that expiration and effects of volatility being played out within each week.

GneissFrog

Taco will ask Google Maps to rename Iran to the Islamic Republic of America, thereby granting the US 'total control' over the Strait of Hormuz. SPY 808s & Heartbreak eow

Plastic_Ninja_9014

NBIS, NVDA, SPY, TSLA-Now in the red

JayRoo83

Ok SPY you get to do one more all time high but then you need to let you little brother communism have a chance to play ok, mister?

SignificanceLate7002

Grabbed 745 SPY puts and 792 SPY calls with Friday expiration. Theta week incoming.

your-basic-idiot

Imagine not beating SPY lol

Munch2287

SPY Puts? https://preview.redd.it/6y5plsl95kjh1.jpeg?width=708&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e5135ddbe962b3ae335378e37bef1acfa75e6ec5 It’s pretty much gone up over the last 30 years

Sweaty_Platypus69

At some point, US will stop bailing the Yen and a mini Yen Trade carry part 2 will happen = you will see a dip in SPY again

ThatOneRedditBro

Its wild to me how many people are unaware of the SPY 1DTE and 0DTEs. Its life changing how you can make hundreds to thousands in a day in the matter of a seconds if you have good timing. Really makes you question working a regular job. Trading is addictive.

OuterBlue090

Take a good look at the long term QQQ and SPY. Being a bull is more often profitable than a bear. If I'd buy puts on QQQ or SPY, it would be with 1% of my porto only.

Beerplz94

SPY opening at or close to 780 , hitting it then dropping to 772-773 seems doable to me , also i feel like TSLA despite those weird earnings has a cult following that will bring it back close to 400 in a month or so

ThetaEdgeHQ

Worth separating two things people are conflating here. GEX is not a data feed you buy, it is a calculation on top of the options chain (open interest and gamma per strike). So the thing that costs money is historical open interest and greeks, not "GEX" itself. dolthub has some free EOD options data, ORATS and CBOE DataShop sell the clean historical chains. Once you have the chain you compute GEX yourself, which also lets you control the assumptions instead of trusting someone else's line. And the assumptions are the whole ballgame, which is why bradley is seeing it lag. Retail GEX bakes in a guess that dealers are long calls and short puts, and the published flip level lives or dies on that sign convention. When you backtest price reaction around a GEX level you are really backtesting the accuracy of a dealer positioning assumption, not a law of physics. That is most of why the correlation looks weak. The bigger trap for your exact tickers: GEX built from end of day OI will systematically misplace levels on SPY, QQQ and SPX, because those are precisely the names where same day 0DTE flow dwarfs the resting OI, and none of that intraday flow is in the EOD snapshot you backtest on. So an EOD historical GEX backtest on SPX is close to measuring the wrong book. If you are serious about backtesting those you need intraday chain snapshots, which is exactly the expensive part nobody is selling cheap. On the "does it provide an edge" question: it is a map of where dealer hedging can amplify or dampen a move, useful as context for how price behaves once it reaches a level, not a predictor of which level it goes to. Pair it with expected move so you have both the where and the how far.

ShootsnLadders

Given almost everyone’s advice here is still and buy an index, please keep taxes in mind if you go that route. Personally I would hold AAPL, GE, GEV, INTC, MSFT, SPY and sell the rest. Keep adding to SPY, maybe get 100 shares and sell covered calls, etc.

WordsHappenedHere

You are doing way too much here. Just Hold SPY VOO XLK. Way too much individual stock risk for me.

Inevitable_Mud7265

I lost my first real profits ever from July $5000 bc I went all in on the SPY falling after it hit the 760 and and since then it’s been down hill since the beginning of August

_Stylite

You took losses this year while SPY and VOO made all time highs. Just buy them and move on with your life

plantalkaloidplug

I had this happen with SPY calls on my ToS account and it got closed automatically the next morning but not before I lost $6k, the account went negative and eventually got shut down and I lost ToS for life even years later I made money and called them saying I could pay it off but only if I got my account back, they declined. It's been more than 3 years now so I assume its charged off, but I can never use what I think is the 2nd best trading platform (after robinhood for options) ever again, maybe til I die which I think is crazy, they should forgive after like 7 years or something but nope

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/Over-Tangelo-2067 (5W - 4L, 56%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $778.44 → $785.00 | +0.8% | 1d | Lost |

Neel_Crashkari

SPY 900

Spirited-Efficiency6

Not bad diversity for fun and learning. My SPY and QQQ helped me retire early, along with my employer’s stock, DUK. AAPL and MSFT are like staples now - invest, don’t trade.

WordsHappenedHere

Classic bull flag on SPY daily and wannabe top callers think they can vibe trade their puts and get lucky. It’s not even close to bearish unless 750 falls on high volume. You could go all the way to 758-760 and still be in a clear flag. Measured move on the flag runs all the way to $824. That’s going to catch a lot of Permabears off guard. There is no reason to be bearish until the measured move fulfills or the flag breaks down.

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/UglyMort (0W - 3L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $778.52 → $799.00 | +2.6% | 1d | Lost |

HailX3

This is just SPY every Friday

Justiceenforcer4711

So you own an SPY Etf and to diversify your Portfolio you Hold Single Stocks like nvda and spcx 😂

Sebastian-S

I’m chuckling about the “automatically exercised” part. Playing with 1,100 contracts worth of SPY worth $80M but doesn’t know how options work LOL.

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/georgesoflydda (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $774.39 → $750.00 | -3.1% | 5d | Lost |

Medium-Elevator4870

What are we thinking boys, puts or calls on SPY Monday?

hollywoodrew

SPY we’re at the time frame of April 17-May 14 is up boyz 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

Key_Astronomer310

It's got to be fake... Who has $900k to gamble on SPY and doesn't even know what SPX is...

ExplanationNormal339

The volatility profile on [$SPY](https://aimytrade.io/ticker/spy?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=comment&utm_campaign=SmallStreetBets&utm_term=SPY&utm_content=content-volatility-context-1786769885978-gxx4f2) changes how I read this setup. The volatility around it is really the whole story.

TradersUni

Mainly SPY and QQQ. I may try SPX as well.

growerdan

Everyone here thinks SPY is so high because of tech. Has anyone looked at RSP? The equally weighted version of SPY that is outperforming it by 3%

Iulia_M

SPY up 10 dollars on Monday?