SPY

ExplanationNormal339

Been keeping [$SPY](https://aimytrade.io/ticker/spy?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=comment&utm_campaign=SmallStreetBets&utm_term=SPY&utm_content=template_1780727906265_u00e24) on my watchlist. The volatility around it is really the whole story.

Hour_Tie1533

0 DTE opsiyonlar, özellikle SPX gibi büyük endekslerde, genelde profesyonel traderların kullandığı, çok hassas zamanlama ve risk yönetimi gerektiren bir alan. Küçük bir hata bile büyük zararlara yol açabilir. SPY gibi daha likit ve takibi kolay ETF'ler, özellikle bu stratejiyi yeni uygulayanlar için, başlangıçta daha makul bir seçenek olabilir.

UnderratedReplyGuy3

Lol yeah Once it's into normal trading bankroll numbers, getting at or above the 30 year moving average of 11.87% annually that $SPY already does would still be a win tbh lol

ClaudesSexBot

So I asked Claude (see my name) to analyze all days where SPY was down 2% or more, 19 years where this happened, I filtered further to see if there was a crazy runup before to imitate current market conditions, so take lowest price at least 20 trailing days away but not further than 60 days away, then see if there was a runup of at least 10% before a drop occurred. (Current run up is 47 days, and 20% rally) Out of 41 instances, these are the returns. So taking into consideration that we have a crazy AI momentum, and these percentages, I can confirm that its calls. |Horizon|Avg|Median|Win rate| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |1 Day|\+0.22%|\+0.33%|24/40 (60%)| |1 Week|\+0.47%|\+1.01%|23/40 (57%)| |1 Month|\+0.37%|\+1.26%|23/40 (57%)| |3 Month|\+6.83%|\+8.14%|32/40 (80%)|

MansBarelyHot

15 years to double ? Might as well get SPY and have less exposure

Haferflocke2020

Come on dude. Who's gonna buy my puts if WSB stops gambling. I need these regards. BTW, yesterday I couldn't trafen because I was coming back from holiday, otherwise I would have lost a shitton from selling puts on SPY. Sometimes you gotta be lucky, most times bears are fckd.

UnderratedReplyGuy3

😂😂😂😂😂 literally LOL'd Step 1: Share this with any AI Chat bot and ask them about gaining 27% on your bankroll every trading day starting with $500 to see how much you finish with at EOY 2026 Step 2: Realize they're not going to recognize how much of a multiple that is from the entire global economy, let alone the just the US Stock Market or the underlying $SPY these 0dte Calls and Puts are based on, unless you mention that to them Step 3: Immediately remind yourself how inflated the seemingly likely AI Equity and Valuation Bubble is going to be Step 4: SELL SELL SELL ... Earn 27% ... Rinse and repeat ... Become a Quatrillionaire 😂😂

UnderratedReplyGuy3

Generally speaking with a 38% win rate you/I'll have to limit commitments to about 30-55% of equity bankroll So that means the Google Sheet showing 27-28% every day would be unsustainable from a *bankroll* growth perspective every single trading day even if you had good trading days like a 3% collapse like today or a mostly straight slide up 0.5% like yesterday (which is also unrealistic) But then also, the "bankroll growth" gains early on with so little in play will be outsized at the start and eventually seem almost fractional once the bankroll actually gets above historical PDT clearing levels (that number was $25,000 from 2001 until 2 days ago when it dropped to $0 but the premise of that ballpark amount remains given overall SPY ATM Call/Put bid/ask sizes) Cuz you're rarely wanting to need to capture even as much as like 5% of open bids or asks on entry, on average So the amount of bankroll that can be traded on 0dtes in this way (Robinhood Retail which is Pay For Order Flow) continues to decline as the bankroll amount goes up Eventually it gets to a point where you're not making 10% average every trading day unless you're doing something wrong and taking on more risk than the return suggests you should. ...which is why everyone posts 98% bankroll losses on here (and on Yahoo! Finance back around 2001 when the US decides to institute PDT limitations) I might have explained that wrong. But long story short, this doesn't work unless it is at minimum keeping pace with the underlying ETF and that's it's 30 year moving average number since inception and therefore is the most conservative estimate that would be provided.

TheBlackBaron

Kospi didn't really have anything to do with the Japan jobs report. Samsung and Hynix make up nearly half the market cap, and they specifically were dumping over fears that Chinese memory is going to flood the market and replace demand for their HBM (it won't, that fundamentally misunderstands what makes HBM different) and that hyperscalers are developing architectures that won't need as much HBM (much more plausible). Plus the Kospi is more volatile than a cocaine squirrel in regular markets. If that was all it was then semis and DRAM would have take a dump today but everything else would be fine. Overreaction to the jobs report is what caused a -2% SPY day.

BlueCubRoar

With gambling issue, OP is not suitable for equity market. Even with SPY and VOO, you can still gamble away everything.

UnderratedReplyGuy3

Nah the early Red were the 0dte SPY Calls and had to switch to afternoon 0dte SPY Puts to take the green pill lolol

irrelephantiasis

remember SPY 420.69? i do and i was buying puts 💁

UnderratedReplyGuy3

Shortest explanation points out that today the Strat said "No Go" but since it was Day 1, I figured I'd get some active tick to tick active day trading experience since I haven't done that since like 2007 at a CBOT/E tangent place If O10MH (opening 10 minute high) is eclipsed between 10-60 minutes of opening trade, buying 0dte $SPY Calls, typically ATM or +1+2ITM with about a 45% Trailing Stop for 60mins, 35 for 60-120, 25 for 120-180 and 15 for the rest of the day until Robinhood boots us out 30 mins prior to EOD There's a bit more to it than that and much more in terms of Entry and early false flag reversal signals. But that's a basic explanation of the general trend. It can kinda work in the inverse on down days but then it almost works better in the afternoon (like today) on the Puts than it does in the morning on the Calls. 11.87% annual growth is the true projection from the models, so we'll see. I figured the OP being a 💩 post was funnier tho lol

Original-Try-1666

lmao this dude really said "I am the canary in coal mine" and dropped his whole CV like he's applying for job at NOAA 😂 Still gonna buy calls on railroad stocks tho because why not, worst case scenario I lose money on something that at least sounds cooler than my usual SPY puts 💀

Neon_Camouflage

If anything the rule going away should've let people easily swap to puts once we saw SPY going to the depths of hell.

Complete-Cat-6618

I’m so sick people are like “$1T wiped from US market” and it’s a big deal. SPY is at 735. JFC, were you around during Covid? Like if you said SPY 735 June 2026 in 2019 pre-COVID, you would be considered retarded. Idk man, headlines are just fucking bullshit propaganda. Makes me upset fr.

unhappyreach_

Take a look at the SPY all time week chart and tell me how this isn't over over

music_is_gud

0.01 billion dollars (on the SPY)

Internal_Control_320

liquidation and risk adjusting ahead of this IPO onslaught ... the Q's got killed today... will be very interesting to see SPY and QQQ diverge

Richard_Musk

Um yes, I’d like 1 SPY put please

MeetingDue8240

With market having a bloodbath, VOO -2.6% & Vgt -6%. Is your 75% port consists of SPY, bonds and the rest in modest risk stuffs like VGT?

Regular_King_4157

Monday may be the greatest day in stock market history. BTC at 80k, SPY open at 770.

Xtal_D

I just saw the final number on SPY. I tried to buy a put at 748 for 1.62 (the auto-filled number) but the limit got missed and I didn't chase it. The last trade was at 13.94. Whoopsie to me for not remembering to set it to market order, but I was tired.

madboneman

!Banbet SPY 757 96h

polio_vaccine

16.62% 1-year return, with the caveat I had $1k of SPY I sold in March

Any_Influence_8305

I just started investing less than 2.5 years ago and RKLB is a 30+ bagger for me so far. It's tempting to try to do that again, but I'm also aware I'm very lucky and have been investing in bigger, safer stocks and ETFs the last several months. I still believe in the stock, but I invest for retirement and SPY/VOO are reliable picks I'll be choosing until then

mista_r0boto

Just wait. Being included in SPY June 22.

memmolemmo

Wed exp $10 otm SPY/QQQ calls from Monday open.

GamerHaste

Don’t worry SPY will jump two points on Monday for sure.

Secret_Stick_5213

The “bloodbath” = one red day after 9 weeks of green 😂 SPY is back to where we were less than 3 weeks ago

Liquidate-Me-Daddy

Harry Potter and the 0DTE SPY Scalper *Expecto Loss Porn*

Ok_Cry7572

!Banbet SPY +2% 7D

Navayirk

Will the Market Tide feature for SPY tell me reasonably in time if it is going to be a trend day or choppy day, so I can decide if I should play directional or mean reversion trades that day?

NotMe357

Higher chance for rate hike in USA and 99.99% chance of rate hike in Japan in 2 weeks. In other words there will be less "free" money to gambler....errr...I mean investing in the stock market in the future. So the market probably just try to priced-in the new "normal". After we found the bottom then we pump again. Iran war make the market go down like around -10% and today QQQ is down almost -5% and SPY -2.5%. I think MMs will dump more early next week, then use fake CPI to pump the market back up before SpaceX IPO.

Iunatic

I lost 50k in 2 days just holding SPY and Mag7 stocks wtf

Independent-Egg9086

Hmm looking at SPY chart this looks like Mar 27th play all again 🤔 dropped 657 to 631 on friday back to 655, following week ATH 660+ 🤔 let us repeat history.

Czech_Thy_Privilege

Up 4%. Had great timing (and luck) scalping a SPY 0DTE call and shorted bitcoin.

Toxicview

I put an order in for 800 SPY $744p around 9am. Cost was $4k… Robinhood rejected the order — something about my recent deposit still not cleared. Would’ve been \~700k a few hours later. Weird thing is Robinhood let me trade multiple other 0DTE today.

booobReviewer

Jobs report came in at 185k vs 150k expected, which was strong enough to rattle the rate-cut narrative. Nasdaq -4.80%, worst day in over a year. Semis led the sell-off — AMD -10.86%. SPY finished at $737 (-2.58%), which erased maybe 2-3 weeks of gains but this isn't a crash by any measure. CPI report Wednesday is the next catalyst. If you weren't planning to sell before Friday, Friday's prices shouldn't change the plan unless something fundamentally changed about the companies you own. (Not financial advice.)

Rare-ish_Birb

Again...Copenhagen. Anyone have anything to share on how to be entertained in Copenhagen. Plz.💕 Also: SPY 630p (again, also) 🙄😬

Famous-Shoulder1440

You should buy VOO / SPY / QQQ every month and call it a day. Or better yet keep it treasury bonds. Actually keep it in CDs, or you may be better off keeping it in a bank account earning 0.1% interest

No-Improvement3164

Anyone notice MCD has been the inverse of SPY YTD?

Roxalon_Prime

So today SPY fell, nosdaq fell, oil fell, metals fell... Do we have anything that grew today (except for my butthole of course)?

financiallythriving

SPY +200% over the span of 5 years from here It will be beautiful

mayorolivia

Why? I bought more MRVL during the day. They have a lot of momentum and held up well until entire market broke down midday. In addition it was rumoured they’d be added to SPY next Friday. Happened 1 week early. I closed positions with high debt exposure.

Singularity-42

Wake me up when we trigger circuit breaker on SPY

version-two

Well, if we’re not at a support for SPY, it sounds like harder dip is possible. Otherwise i think we gonna get theta gaped.

Regular_King_4157

No panicans tweet usually means a pump worthy news around the corner. BOLS only hope is that it gets released before Monday market open, else SPY is opening at 720

Travelingbunny20

I get that sentiment. But only in hindsight you know when the big wars, the depression etc happened. And none of it happened in our lifetimes here. But it can happen tomorrow. So your little bit better return or the SPY of the last 30 years does not really matter that much. Protecting my portfolio for that is what I care about.

Scarfaceb1tch

I was actually swinging shit all day! Started with TSLA puts then took profit and started swinging SPY and TSLA and it just snowballed

VIPDeluxeTendies

SPY 0dte puts lol

Regular_King_4157

Yes, SPY is going to 500 LMAO

Hasegawa_Hatsu

Don't worry, I'm sure he hedged his 500k margin call with 3 shares of $SPY and half a box of stale tendies.

KMPItXHnKKItZ

Things like this is why I stopped trading. It took me a year to see that options was just gambling, very dangerous, and fully rigged against you. I now see them as nothing but lotto tickets for anybody that is not a bank or institutional investor that knows what they are doing and/or are using them for their more intended purpose. I have lost over $1k on options since last year, which for me was life-changing since I was pretty poor early last year. But after forgetting about "trading" (gambling), and working hard for over a year straight, I have now managed to go from only having $4k to my name to now having $33k, about $23k of which I have invested into SPY, and it is in profit by $1,300, it was +$2k but today's dip brought it down a bit. But in 20-30 years I should be a multimillionaire since I mean to invest about $20k+ a year. I may still do cheap and fun options lotto plays here and there, but I have come to the realization that for retail, it is basically impossible to be a successful trader, you can really only become wealthy on the market by investing in broad market index funds, but that is a truth that not a lot of people want to hear since they think that it is boring. But it is a sure path to wealth. You may be up $100k with options one year, down $50k the next, and then could lose it all the next year + another $100k. Whereas if you just keep DCAing into a broad market ETF for your working life you WILL come out on top and will not regret it. All options profits that you see screenshotted and posted are just blind luck gamble winnings, and what you do not see are the losses and if anybody is actually in total profit or just profit for that day, week, month or year. I doubt that many here are actually in a massive profit and even if they are it is all blind luck gambling winning, let's be real.

hermeskino715

People were also calling me stupid for calling out a H&S a few days ago and look at that 4H on SPY. Just need a dead cat bounce to complete the right shoulder now lmao

ballzstreetwets

The only time I could make huge money is when I go completely and ridiculously against the grain and against everybody 💯 The rest of the time only small change or big losses. Yesterday, I closed my 65 SPY puts 752s that were expiring today. You do the math because I can't, I get sick.

-IQ200

After deeper anal^ysis - today’s dump was extra fake and gay. Only 93.77M volume on SPY daily candle. 🤔

MrNo_Balls

It barely dropped 1%, does not mean it is going to keep going down. If you had said that about SPY , now that would have been fucking crazy. If anything, it is incredible that google barely dropped while SPY fucking went to the hospital. did you have a position?

Hank3hellbilly

Bought a few June 12 SPY calls at close.   Probably dumb, but maybe not.  

ObviousDoxx

If you gave me back all the money I lost today, I would buy the same shit lol. America fuck yeah. SPY 800 EOY.

EngineerElectrical73

I love it when on a down day media writes articles like - trillions lost, recession, collapse etc. But then after SPY recovers by three percent they do not write trillions gained.

w8w8dont

The SPY will rise again!

crazy_akes

Yeah SPY was up 19% that year real tough times 

-IQ200

Yeah, tried timing the bottom lol. Thought we’d get a little bounce on SPY 740 and it didn’t even try.

Sandvicheater

Suddenly DCA SPY no longer feels like some ancient boomer strategy but an expert ones during blood red times lol

WSB-mods-are-

Today was nothing compared to the bloodbath that awaits us Tuesday. BRKB created multigenerational wealth with all the SPY calls they sold to wsb to baghold over the weekend. 

Fawkinchit1

For sure, SPY ain't gonna crash yet.

WordsHappenedHere

You have to learn that you don’t have to trade everyday. Learn to spot signs of a top. Overheated RSI. Breadth and sentiment indicators like $S5TW are very useful. They are indicators that tell you when it’s not a good idea to take alot of risks. When they do, just raise cash and wait. Then when the weakness comes, use it to average into SPY or other high quality names. Save some cash for the gambling trades. Do this for years and you’ll eventually be rich. Just don’t expect it to happen in 5 years. 10-20 years of simple DCA into SPY and you’ll have a huge amount of capital.

Boss1010

Put your money where your mouth is and buy Monday SPY calls then

TripleWisdom

For everyone panicking, SPY hasn’t seen these levels since… *checks notes*… two whole weeks ago.

New_Reindeer9153

I panic sold my QQQ and SPY puts by 9:40 am, Coz I couldn't believe I was green. Ended day +ve, but those puts went like 10x (my sell price in am) by close.

Legendary-Lemon

SPY getting diluted to finance mangonomics LMAO

Illustrious_Gift1609

This was tech possibly starting a correction. Healthcare and Financials were green today. JPM, UNH, ABBV, MO, PFE, O. SPY is right where we were prior to the AI run up.

octopus_serenader

so was this all a giant tantrum because twittergroklinkspacesex isn't going into SPY right away?

drew-gen-x

You might be right. But I think there is more risk owning $SPY when the 5 largest stocks in the world are spending every last dollar they will make in 2026 and borrowing even more money on AI cap ex spending.

vremains

Down 30%, 5k. Bought some 6/9 SPY calls at EOD, only hope is a rebound early next week and I can at least make some back. Otherwise it sucks... A lot.

hcmartinez

Odds the War in Iran ends over the weekend to rip SPY up 6%??

taxman1922

0dte’s with SPY 743 puts

tesseramous

Where are you getting your volume? I see twice as much volume on SPY and ES.

taxman1922

0dte’s with SPY 743 puts

Valkorion335786

Them SPY 800C's gonna hit hard once we get scam tweets

DesktopSurfer

I sold off all of my call options today at a large loss and chucked the money into SPY 0DTE puts. My portfolio rose 170% today. I sold all of my puts fairly early too, had I waited even an hour longer I could have net 6 figure gains. Regardless it's the largest my portfolio has been and I'm gonna sit on the cash for a bit until the markets stabilize a bit. o7 OP I have had many moments like yours, there's always another shot down the road.

burtburtburtcg

Some of you bought at SPY 760 and it shows

SnowballWasRight

Waiting for the next robinhood infinite leverage glitch to go x50 on SPY puts

Legendary-Lemon

Offfff SPY -3% no joke

Mindless-Bug-8397

Monday SPY 650

Fun_Control_7908

Is it a good idea to buy SPY puts on Monday if market keeps crashing in first 20 minutes? Idk what to do i lost so much money today

WordsHappenedHere

Pro tip: when the VIX spikes from 14 to 21 in a single day and you load outs at the end of the day. You aren’t doing this correctly. If you weren’t already holding them, you missed it. That $5 out of the money SPY put you paid $500 for will be instantly cut in half if the market just opens flat Monday.

financiallythriving

SPY 500 EOY Take care everyone

hillmanoftheeast

Sorry, folks. Bought SPY today so this is my fault.

ballzstreetwets

I told you couple of days ago when SPY hit 760 that we will see SPY 700 in the next couple of months. The way this moved today that might happen in the next week or so.

metallhd

I could have also, I bought SQQQ but then a SPY call when the market turned up first thing, and sold the SQQQ. I did not chase when the call went sideways, I could have but maintained discipline. I did OK this week, I just gave it back is all; because I also had a NVDA call that expired today - if not for that I would have only lost on the call. I put the coulda woulda shoulda out of it, just eat it and move on, tomorrow is another day. My whole port is way down today, more than I lost on options, but that's the part that gets overlooked in the options frenzy

stonetrade

MRVL getting added to SPY

gatovision

Lost my mind today. Tried to be a bull on index calls, i always buy fucking puts. Lost about >$10k on SPY/QQQ calls and ive been a bear for ages. This is after losing prob -25k on puts past 2 months. and shitloads shorting shares. Tried to time a reversal mid day after it was down -2% and kept going. Because it always bounced on that. market is absolutely shredding me to bits on both ends. Disgusted with myself. Seriously lost control, this was a golden day for bears and i fucked up

Valkorion335786

You see how MRVL is moving SPY? Do that on monday.

W-33-

QQQ has returned nearly 2x SPY since the early 2000’s. Getting really hard to argue that SPY is the superior index.

eli5howtifu

I did theoretical math during my lunch break exactly on this and SPY. If i had full ported this morning I’d be retired right now fml

707-5150

SPY

whodey84

SPY 3% off ATH's and people are posting the suicide hotline. We have so much more to go.

Gloomy_Necesary

Who you guys got on SPY inclusion in 15 mins? Do rddt and mrvl actually have any shot?