SPY

Late_Company6926

Ding dong the witch is dead!!! SPY will now blast through 700 on Monday

Bladee___Enthusiast

SPY 700 monday

Late_Company6926

Ding dong the witch is dead!!! SPY will now blast through 700 on Monday. We may even see 730 by the end of the week if Iran is truly freed from Islamic imperialists

Polysorbate800

By Monday open nobody will ever need to work another day in their life. SPY to $1000

ebfeebfe

US government just took control of the country they fucking produce the fucking rugs in. SPY will rise endlessly

Happy-Champion1661

open the casino, constant buy order on every SPY share under 700.00

Late_Company6926

Ding dong the witch is dead!!! SPY will now blast through 700 on Monday

CheapHero91

SPY 1000 eoy

ebfeebfe

There are 92 million people in Iran, and they'll start buying SPY on monday

breakyourteethnow

I've been using VIX9D and SPY 15 minute chart, when VIX 9 days 15 minute chart stochastic RSI has bottomed, and SPY 15 minute stochastic RSI has topped (crossing back from 5/95), usually institutions move in right afterwards, alert goes off about once a day. Using VIX 9 days you can see where is resistance and support, it correlates extremely well to SPY. With that said, idk what indicators you're using like HOD/LOD, doing well though.

SteakGoblin

I bet it gaps down from scared bears then dicks up to sideways or a little green, then green rest of week to SPY 693ish by Fri (but probably not bullish long term). Gap down may just happen in premarket though. If im right you owe me a Frosty.

Maximum-Magazine-333

Finally, SPY 700

Happy-Champion1661

word on the street Khamenei was a ber and he got fuk # weekend oil dumping / index pumping, the path to SPY700 starts this week🤌

blm4lyfe

Putin is nervous that he’s next. He will sign the peace next week and SPY is finally 700.

knoqd_

Persian baddies will take SPY to 700

Happy-Champion1661

OPEN THE CASINO, I NEED TO BUY THE DIP BEFORE THE HFT ALGO BUYS IT SPY 700 eow

NotEasyOne_Regard

0DTE SPY puts. You’re welcomed.

d33p7r0ubl3

If they hadn’t invested in AAPL would they have beaten SPY?

C130J_Darkstar

You’re attributing a macro bear market to a war that started after the downturn was already underway. The dot-com bubble burst in 2000. The recession began before Afghanistan. The market didn’t fall because of the war, it was already repricing excess and earnings compression. If this were truly unpriced geopolitical risk, you’d see credit spreads widening, oil spiking uncontrollably, and equities breaking structure. SPY sitting near highs suggests the market views it as contained risk. Limited regional conflicts create volatility. Sustained bear markets come from liquidity tightening and earnings deterioration, not headlines alone.

AlmightyCheesusCrust

Supreme leader turned into kabob meat. SPY 700 secured

Physical_Mechanic206

I sell puts (CSP) but -0.014 delta is usually pretty safe on QQQ, SPY, IWM. Just to give idea, for QQQ -0.014 delta strikes are 565, 560, 550, 540 from 3rd to 6th of March. I usually roll max $450k to $480k tied up to option every week only to make $2400 - $3200 a month. When DTEs expire, I do next days -0.014 strikes so it keeps rolling utilizing more cash entire week. It is stressful and risky for sure and I don’t like my method.

SteakGoblin

TBH good chance market is sideways or green Mon. I think this tension was weighing down the market, but if its clear this doesnt mean WW3 then thats weight off the markets shoulders. Shit will move around for sure - specific industry calls will probably print, but i wouldnt count on SPY puts making money...

SouthNice7324

Half the thread says SPY will moon, half say SPY will crater. Sideways it is then

Physical_Mechanic206

Thanks again. This makes sense and very manageable at these ranges. I will give it a test on paper and see my outcome this week. For sure not an ideal week to test with ongoing war but worth to test and experience that. I am total noob on options at moment. All I do is every Friday I sell 2 puts for next tue, wed, thu, fri at -0.014 delta on Think or swim for QQQ, SPY and IWM and keep repeating this in parallel again Monday to Friday with 2 puts at -0.014 delta -and targeting like $600 - $800 a week rolling the money. Tho for that amount of money, stress and daily effort, I have a feeling I can make similar money just from dividend stocks with less risk. Needed a different options approach than mine🙏

DiamondG331

At 4DTE and $12 OTM that is roughly the .20 delta. But if SPY runs back up to $695, I would not sell the .20 delta, I’d go ATM for the call side.

DiamondG331

Yes but not at max loss. I will usually close out one side of the spread and hold the other, if it is still going against me, I’ll roll it out and wait for the underlying to move down before adding back the other side. With 4-5dte spreads, even if say SPY ran $8 towards my short strikes, after 2 days the theta usually will have me at or close to my cost basis so I can get out even. What’s working well for me that hasn’t in the past is keeping my contract size minimal 10-15 max per strike date.

Farttroll

!banbet SPY $688.00 2d

Farttroll

!banbet $SPY 688.00 2d

MizDiana

"When someone says “the market” they almost always mean the broader US or global market, essentially SPY/VTI or VT. " Thank you. Though I'd add that SPY/VTI and VT are significantly different things. "Regardless of which of the two I was referring to, you are trying to beat both by timing when you buy and sell based on what you perceive as macro conditions" Yes, I agree, in as much as I sold out of USA holdings for broadly diversified long-term holdings in Jan. 2025. But, then, I would argue that someone investing in SPY or VTI is trying to beat "the market" in the same way as I am (just with a different thesis). I think this statement is the only place we disagree. I'd define "the market" as the "global market", weakly using VT for lack of a better stand-in.

Level_Counter3062

Tickers to prop up SPY on Monday ExxonMobil (XOM) Chevron (CVX) ConocoPhillips (COP) Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Schlumberger (SLB)

Val44x

If this happened on Sunday it would be good for BERS The fact they did it Saturday morning means by Monday market open everything will be cleaned up and no one will care We thought NVDA earnings would take SPY to 700 but it was actually dropping bombs in Iran that will take us there lmao

AyumiHikaru

So what SPY also up 100%

clavitopaz

SPY 0 DTE ITM calls on the first sign of a failed breakdown

teh_herper

#SPY 700 might as well be the speed of light, we can only approach it, never reach it

theipd

So as we were just saying, are you not afraid about Monday morning now? Although I’m not confident the SPY won’t tank further, delta 0.1 and 30dte gives me some time to rethink or just continue to watch. In the old days we had rare Black Swan events, but now I see weekends as a time for worry when holding equities or options on indices.

PhysInstrumentalist

It could be used as a measure of psychology; what I think we saw today is what we’d see w SPY if the news was announced during market hours

TomatoSpecialist6879

Yeah no shit, that doesn't change the fact that SPX and NDX has been rangebound since fucking Oct 28 last year from all the damage he's done to the market. We would be sitting at SPY 720 right now with Sleepy Joe stuttering through 0 self-made economic disaster if DNC stfu and fielded him

SlartibartfastMcGee

If they actually got Khomeni, the IRGC commander and the Secretary of Defense on day 1, SPY is gonna hit 700 Monday.

rooftop_druid

U won’t banbet SPY 640 Monday

MrUnbekanntovic

SPY 700 is a dream

Got_Engineers

I noticed Thursday and Friday there is a shit ton of volume on puts for next week. You could see more volume on put on the SPY and QQQ on NTM or OTM strikes. Next Friday NVDA expiration had more out volume than call volume yesterday. Over 214k volume on the $150 NVDA tails and they were entirely purchased near close….. You can add option contracts to trading view and see volume details and price action. Volatility has been increasing, realized volatility has increased, volatility in general has been very sticky and not gone anywhere. Correlation index has been spiking +30% for back to back days, dispersion decreasing, volatility increasing. Single stock volatility is at extreme highs making IV% very rich across single stocks. Last week QQQ traded in a $0.71 range. The market moved no where yet saw massive gains and losses but bubbling correlation and volatility. On the daily calendar QQQ been below the 8/20/50 EMA. Closing below common metrics for equilibrium and trend. The information and clues are right there in front of you people.

Perfectionist2026

I went long on SPY on Friday. This suck ass I'm so cooked.

wsb_fml

Someone’s Friday banbet of SPY to 0 would actually hit

pmotiveforce

Hmm.. I am heavy in oil, gold, silver and have quite a bit of defense funds. Also SPY straddles for Friday. Am I a war profiteer? Trick question, answer is "no" because I will somehow end up making no profit.

gtheory1

For oil companies I don’t think this is priced in. For SPY who knows. 

Got_Engineers

I noticed Thursday and Friday there is a shit ton of volume on puts for next week. You could see more volume on put on the SPY and QQQ on NTM or OTM strikes. Next Friday NVDA expiration had more out volume than call volume yesterday. Over 214k volume on the $150 NVDA tails and they were entirely purchased near close….. You can add option contracts to trading view and see volume details and price action. Volatility has been increasing, realized volatility has increased, volatility in general has been very sticky and not gone anywhere. Correlation index has been spiking +30% for back to back days, dispersion decreasing, volatility increasing. Single stock volatility is at extreme highs making IV% very rich across single stocks. Last week QQQ traded in a $0.71 range. The market moved no where yet saw massive gains and losses but bubbling correlation and volatility. On the daily calendar QQQ been below the 8/20/50 EMA. Closing below common metrics for equilibrium and trend. The information and clues are right there in front of you people.

Burt_Macklin_FBI_123

SPY is essentially 7 tech companies propping up 75% of the nations b economy at this point.

Edawg661

SPY ATH as usual

Fantastic_Pirate3948

SPY puts for Monday and GLD calls

AndThisGuyPeedOnIt

Yeah, I got tanker company calls, QQQ puts, SPY puts, aerospace shares, etc.​

long_jons

I’m actually expecting SPY to be green. A lot of people don’t even know there’s a war going on.

ProblemOk4641

My $SPY put is going to print!!

alien_on_acid

Monday will be ATH on SPY Let’s fkin Gooooooooooooo

No-Improvement3164

Look at the June 640p on SPY. Volume was heavy on Friday and OI was already stacked

Forward_Structure692

I've been 100% in cash for four months now. SPY has basically been naught since November. No way in hell I'm getting back in the swimming pool until after a crash in 26 or 27. I do feel like Warren, I'm expecting to actually hold things again in 2028.

No-Improvement3164

We have 30-60% dips in tech stocks that no know if they should be buying because of AI cannibalism and we can’t even get a 2% pull back on SPY because everyone buying it like it’s their last meal. I don’t understand it. WTF happened to 5-10% pull backs

ercanbas

Bought 40 $670 SPY puts expiring Monday. Let’s see what happens.

Late_Company6926

Believe it or not, calls. When this is over we will see SPY finally blast through 700. Islamic imperialism will end without much more than a whimper.

RockwelInternational

Exactly, no actual "seasoned trader" is using SPY for this. SPX is superior in nearly every way.

unexpectederection30

Fuck I didn't load up on SPY puts and GLD and SLV calls... the signs were all there too.

ercanbas

Bought 40 SPY $670 puts expiring Monday. I may be a genius.

unhappyreach_

SPY is 2.5% away from 666 ... aint no way right ?

slideweasel

Also the SPY always recovers. Might take some time but always recovers. Going high doesnt mean it will turn around if ever for that position. My mental stop is usually on high and if lose low - well that is the risk I will take. Only ever 10% of account not including credits.

diamond12923

SPY 700 or 670?

Happy_Discussion_536

This is what retard bers don't get. It was the uncertainty keeping stocks down. Once we find out this is indeed a quick operation SPY can finally break out of its trading range.

SaneLad

Friendship ended with SPY. New best friend is UCO.

Inner-Platypus-7534

When someone says “the market” they almost always mean the broader US or global market, essentially SPY/VTI or VT.  Regardless of which of the two I was referring to, you are trying to beat both by timing when you buy and sell based on what you perceive as macro conditions, so my answer doesn’t reframe the discussion in any way. 

randomnameforme123

Mods told me SPY $700 Monday

Perfectionist2026

Calls? You seriously think Monday is green for SPY?

booose6

Im salivating thinking about the amount of SPY puts im holding

kim82352

All of them to buy SPY on Monday at open ?

DCHamar

90 Million people about to be reconnected to the international market. What does this mean to SPY

Diamondhands4dagainz

Gapping up on Monday lol. SPY 700

ReelGoated

Bulls during war headlines: “Defense stocks will moon. Buy calls.” Market makers: “Actually we’re pricing in uncertainty.” *SPY: -4% premarket* The calls: “We regret to inform you we have joined the fallen.”

Solid_Writer1072

https://preview.redd.it/my7hdtr849mg1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=d2c98ae701e80b0cd00620160b49303011260a58 SPY will close at 680

DilbertedOttawa

This is a transitional period. Everything is either in distribution, accumulation or redistro reaccumulation. That means low volume, high volatility, wild bounces at levels out of nowhere as the price gets moved to places where big exchanges can take place. I hadn't lost a day in 6 weeks until february. So I took a step WAYYY back and went the route of extreme simplification. When i get solid data and setups on the SPY, I play it and exit at target. Then I do nothing else until another setup presents. I focus on no more than 2 or 3 tickers at a time always. I concentrate my money on these so i can have bigger impacts and returns on smaller moves. 1 strike, 1 direction. Cut out if it fails and suck it up. Took me two weeks of losses to get into a new disciplined routine though because my brain wanted to keep going as normal. So tldr: trade way less. Play only known levels. Tight stop losses. Accept smaller gains. Accept losses as they come as well. Losing a little os better than losing a lot.

Valkorion335786

None of this means anything good for my poots lol SPY gonna open at new ATH

DiamondG331

Ideally when we are in a defined trading channel which is where we are now with SPY/IWM/DIA.

Ob33zy

I’ve been doing the same thing for a few months pretty successfully. I trade 1DTE iron condors on SPY with deltas around 0.1 in both directions. Average premium around $0.30 and I’ll hold them until expiration for max profit. I only trade when VIX is below $20 and on days when there isn’t any major announcements scheduled

Jadedtrader33

SPY like 2% off all time but individual stocks are already -90%. Calls.

HomingSunlight

I opened all of them this week most of them when SPY was at low 680s. I missed opening them in 670s this month (my orders didn't get filled) so I'm probably getting another chance this time. I have a 6630P / 6600P 3/13 spread, the rest is also expiring in the same week earlier with short strike 6600 or lower. So I have spreads expiring 4 days in a row in total lol, should be exciting. I kept wishing for it to go down so I can go in cheaper, well here it is... I still have some buying power left.

DiamondG331

SPX requires higher margin and the only trade in $5 wide spreads. Let’s say you go out a proportional distance with both, you may get $1.8 credit, which is the equivalent of $.36 per $1. With SPY you can get $.44. That would be like getting a $2.2 credit with SPX. You’re getting 20% more so you should hypothetically have higher returns which will more than offset the tax advantages IMO. I would trade SPX for deep ITM options so I don’t hav to worry about early assignment near dividend dates. Like if SPX gets close to $7k again, I may go to June and sell a $6800/$6810 credit spread.

DiamondG331

What I personally do is not necessarily the right or best strategy for others. I don’t have a set percent loss close system. In the past few weeks as the indexes have traded near ATHs and within trading channels, I have often closed one side of the spread when it’s approaching the short strike of the other side and added more contracts to that spread. Or added an extra 5 contracts to my next setup to help offset a loss. For example, this past Tuesday 2/24, when SPY was around $683, my Friday spread was $697/$698, $673/$672, as it approached $692 the following day, I closed out the out spread, added more $697/$698 call credit spreads and then added $697/$698 calls credit spreads for 3/2 at that time. I wasn’t worried about SPY breaking past ATHs. This time, that strategy worked well. Next time, I might get wrecked so it depends on multiple factors for my risk management preferences.

Comfortable_Tea9824

I’m all in 1 DTE SPY Calls expiring 03/02/2026 Will it print or am I fucked?

Confident-Window4928

It’s already down 50% since October. SPY is still near all time highs

Zyklon_Bussy

RIP to the regards not loaded to the gills with calls (Silbur, SPY, OIL, SOY, IODINE)

Gom_KBull

You can tell its a great economy because SPY is above 682.

Comfortable_Tea9824

I’m all in in 1DTE SPY Puts expiring 03/02/2026 Will it print or am I fucked?

uhfgs

One word of advice, slow and steady win the race. Just get passive s&p 500 ETFs like VOO or SPY. Otherwise go get a education in finance so you actually understand what the f you are doing. I'm too lazy to get educated/ fall for the "500% return in a year if u buy my course" scam so I just put all my disposable income in VOO, worked out pretty well so far.

PennyStonkingtonIII

I think SPY might dip a half percent, out of a sense of propriety. Then it's back to business by lunch.

IntrepidToday0

I think this war is needed to reset SPY. Needs a good 10-20% shakeout, before climbing back above 700. Valuations are at an all-time high.

schweinekuchen_

bro will fomo buy again at the top when we reach new SPY ATH next week

wookie767

Same here. Sell SPY puts and collect every 2-3 days.

booose6

Im getting downvoted for saying SPY 650 on Monday as if thats not actually possible lol it is very possible

ShowerMotor

No. I decided to move half of my folio into EURO STOXX 50, but I keep my other half in the SPY. Anytime I have sold part of my SPY I always regretted it, this time I am not selling just rotating, and eventually all back into SPY before the election. Never bet against the US.

eirinite

Looks like 🥭 found a justification to launch SPY into the 700s. Not even 24 hours after the OpenAI/DoW deal. I find myself wondering how do the far-leftists manage to convince themselves "KAMALA WOULD HAVE DONE THE SAME" every time we see a headline about the Middle East.

DiamondG331

I reduced many positions in case but I am not concerned with SPY going down 2% over Iran.

booose6

SPY 650 monday?

Broad-Belt-5888

I was full ported in $696C SPY 3/20s and had a sell order placed. Twenty second before market close they filled and I set the highest trade mark of the day. Made 11% I was pissed because I had meant to cancel the order before driving home because I figured Monday would open green and I could sell at 30-50% profit. Kinda glad I’m sitting on the sidelines now. I’ll buy those calls back at a discount Monday afternoon now.

HesFromBarrancas

It’s not a bank balance. It’s a money market call. USD up. Oil up. SPY down. I’ll give that one to you for free. I’m feeling generous. Speak soon.