SPY
State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust
Mentions (24Hr)
-1.38% Today
Reddit Posts
I'm out. 100% into 5%. Bubble vibes are too mucho no bueno!
Fed Preview - What Options, Bonds and Positioning Are Telling Us
The Warsh Effect and Wednesday's Rate Announcement
I stopped choosing SPY put spreads by delta alone
Investment thesis for week 9/14 - 9/18
SPY had $915M in options premium. UNH had $615M. Only one was unusual.
For poor man 0DTE options, is IWM my best bet? 🤔
SEPT 16TH DD: The Fed gonna mess up your calls (OR) J-Pow’s successor is bringing back the 1980s. Grab your helmets? (co-written by Gemini)
How did SPY move on 911 each year
Options buying with a $100K account ? (Intraday vs Swing)
Feedback on my strategy to hedge AI risk in 2027 (collar)
Fact Check: 0DTE Iron Condor Strategy With Zero Losses (Reposted with self-promotion removed)
PMCC is absolutely the best strat out there in risk-adjusted return
I Trade for a Living -Strong AI Flows, Heavy VIX Hedging and Why I’m Trimming
Fact Check: 0DTE Iron Condor Strategy With Zero Losses
Earnings Club: Cheap Rips, Adobe Stakes Ahead of Key Prints
SPY 0DTE after PMI: was this move mostly price, gamma or IV expansion?
Criteria for choosing underlyings for 45 DTE put credit spreads
Do you feel slightly nostalgic for the times when tweets like that moved SPY 3-5% like it was an actual news?
BEST TRADING EXECUTION I EVER MADE SPY + TSLA
Can a squirrel trade options better than me?
Looking for a meme that was posted a while ago
Bro is trading 0DTE SPY like the rest of us 😭😭
Making a living and much much more trading options on $1K a day
Tax straddle treatment for downside protection of portfolio with puts
Let AI agents deploy options bots on paper desks. Worst one: long puts on TSLA/AMD/META/NFLX, 53 tra
Sitting on cash feels safe, but my FOMO is kicking in. Am I missing the boat or saving my ass? 💸🤔
Checked whether SPY's weekend gap is actually bigger than a regular overnight gap.
A ±0.5% wide SPY range only held on 54% of the last 35 trading days. Real intraday data.
Profitable SPY ORB strategy — looking for fresh eyes before taking it further
I backtested ATM short straddles across 50 tickers over 19 years to understand VRP
Does anyone avoid diversification (like me)?
Three ways dealer gamma lies to you, from someone who uses it daily
SOXL loss, bought right before the crash
Someone said Warsh’s speech was “obvious” because he doesn’t do forward guidance. That take completely misses the point.
100% $25K 0DTE SPY Gain (but left $75K on the table)
Has anyone found a good way to get alerted when specific market conditions combine? Not just single indicators.
NVDA Confirms the Memory Bottleneck, PCE Stays Mechanically Hot & Positioning Turns Bullish Into Jackson Hole
What's with the price-dependent periods of reduced volatility?
Martingale the US 40trill government deb 🎰
Beware of smart beta ETFs. 9.75 year review. After taking into account fees and dividends, they kind of suck.
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Behind the Treasury Intervention - The Setup That Could Force the Fed to Follow
Convince me SSO (2X SPY) is a bad idea for long term investors
Full send calls on MRNA tomorrow 160 0DTE?
Treasury Intervened As Expected - Here’s What It Means
Trump Name-Drops Hyperliquid at the White House, How Will HYPE Price React?
I built a free dealer-gamma + live options-flow terminal for SPX/SPY/QQQ. No signup. Tear it apart.
Trump pauses 50% tariffs on Canada for 3 days
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
We preregistered a bearish gamma structure and measured it running the other way. Method inside.
Please help fuel my gambling addiction
[DD] Why $RDDT goes to $1,000 the exact second their AI team figures out Post-Nut Clarity
SPX is realizing 12.4 vol and the options market is only pricing 11.3
Mentions
**BanBet Lost** — /u/PJonathan24 (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $775.69 → $800.00 | +3.1% | 4w 2d | Lost |
Still confused- if there’s a likely rate hike, which traditionally means SPY will drop, shouldn’t there be a massive sell off happening rn?
So then wouldn’t that cause massive sell offs so SPY should be dropping?
Where were you when SPY went up 1% when everyone predicted it would go down
u see it too eh SO obvious that market is pumping (SPY) and dumping oil so when remarks happen oil pumps again and spy dumps but it doesn't look so dramatic
Why did SPY open up today when everyone is expecting a rate hike?
SPY is trying to climb the highest possible trampoline before the jump
Why SPY pump out of no where!?
SPY setting up for the most diabolical head and shoulders dump ive ever witnessed
SPY 750 and I'll donate half my trendies
SPY puts are tickets
just need SPY to catch up to QQQ
I feel like today is very binary. Bears have had so many chances the last two weeks to break key levels and keep coming up short. If they can't do it here, we're ripping toward SPY 8k-8.2k in the next month against all logic. But I've learned enough from years of investing not to try to overrule price action with logic.
Yeah. I sort of expect an initial dump either way while everyone waits for the commentary. The important thing to me is how good is the bounce and do key support levels hold here. I want to stress: if the bears can't crack key supports here (SPY 754, QQQ 700), we are going to rip. Bears have had chance after chance for weeks to crack these levels and haven't been able to. But yadda yadda on advice and this is my own opinion as an online individual dufus.
SPY is dying to make a deal with 760
SPY being green makes no sense but that's the game I suppose
So this is what happens when all of wsb holds SPY puts overnight and doesn't sell them
Volume is less than one percent of average on SPY. Barron can move this shit if he wants.
man we need some proper shake out 10% SPY correction
I know low volume has been a theme this month but SPY's basically being traded by three dudes right now.
Puts at 760, calls at 756, rinse wash repeat until range is broken. Here’s your SPY cheat code.
Why SPY 0DTEs so expensive today?
Bought SPY 770c 17/09 . We are here to gamble
SPY calls SPCX put???
SPY calls and SPCX puts??? (Scalping only)
Wow playing 0dte puts is surprisingy hard today. Trying to find the right price point but SPY keeps rising
Looks like SPY just learned oil's falling.
whats the news? SPY spike
The days QQQ is holding upward momentum but SPY is collapsing are the absolute worst because I have SPY calls instead of QQQ ones
Hell of strange to see Qs leading SPY on this day...fat pump or rug pull
so we should buy SPY 0DTE's at 1:59pm today?
Dont worry everyone, ill dump my entire portfolio into 0DTE puts on SPY and QQQ . Kevin will have NO choice but to maintain interest rates causing ATH by EOD. Youre welcome 🥲
Apple yet again keeping SPY from tanking lmao
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $775.00 (above) | $757.86 | $759.28 | +2.3% | 7h 21m | | **Record** | 0W - 4L | 0% | - | - | - |
i have 750 SPY puts that expire today...
So basically you’ve got 3 or 4 ultra wealthy c&nts shopping at Nordstrom holding up the entire sector. The economy will be doing better than expected even when humanity is gone. SPY 10000c 2030.
SPY is pumping in the wrong direction.
I bought one SPY put to hedge my 6 figure portfolio, this is how pros do it
**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $753.00 (below) | $760.08 | -0.9% | 23h 60m |
**BanBet Created** ▲ | **Record:** 0W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** | $770.00 (above) | $760.19 | +1.3% | 23h 60m |
Honestly, you’re probably best off just buying SPY or VOO! Research it…. Near Infinite amounts of people have proven it’s extremely hard to beat the market long term. That should be the goal…to get the market average or slightly above.
The script for this week is SPY 800 EOW
You could have bought any other stock, SKHY, MU, META, indexes like QQQ and SPY in that case. Why NVDA, what was your catalyst 😆?
Warsh will hike. Won’t give much guidance. SPY will go up 1% led mostly by high beta. 30 year yields drop a bit as well. If he holds, spy will drop 1% instead. It’s actually kinda funny lol
I think my SPY calls I bought at close yesterday might actually print today!
As a matter of national security, the market can’t go down and SPY is limited to go down at a maximum of 0.5%
Market’s default mode is to hit SPY 800 by EOY. Algos are already set. Why you fight?
I'm a little concerned this SPY pump isn't fake and ghey enough.
I'm starting to get a little concerned that SPY is pumping and ORCL isn't drilling at the same time. Such an unpredictable market we have...
SPY should be at 850 right now btw
At this rate, SPY may pop over 760...
I have some SPY puts expiring in March. I’m expecting this as well.
I spent my last 10 $LAPTOP on this crack rock and put the remaining on 1DTE 763 SPY calls
my port is ready for SPY 1% today
https://preview.redd.it/dr01issr4vph1.jpeg?width=1206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fe73923eec692421a7ff53d0f4b3dce6dc0bc655 SPY call wall moved to $700. 👀
The one day I hold SPY puts overnight lol
Sp500 returns 9-12% average in the long term, and the largest crash was 56% during the subprime crisis. This robinhood thing is a 7% yield with a 100% downside because it's uninsured and unregulated. I won't say which one is a "better" investment since it depends on your financial goals and outlook. But your comments that this is low risk / SPY is higher risk needs to backed up more objectively.
SPY movement looks positive for bols, until you check the volume. I smell a dump coming on but I do expect a rally after the rate announcement as long as they do what's expected.
I use yfinance in python to collect data on the options chains daily at close. I don't do SPY but my understanding is it is available. The only downfall is yfinance doesn't have greeks. Those you'd need to do some calcs based on OHLCV data. I was recently looking to add Delta into my parameters and found how to calculate it manually. Since this is all handled in Excel it's not too out there.
I should have waited to buy my puts today, oh well. SPY still -10% tomorrow
These Options are reacting very suspiciously. Yesterday I hedged my SPY calls with 2:1 puts. Meaning I own twice as many calls than puts. My puts now lost more money although spy barely moved upwards.
You think there's a higher chance of SPY going down (on what timescale?) than a single company (a member of SPY, no less) failing?
What else would you get a 7% interest from? To me putting it in SPY seems like much bigger risk.
What will do shit is if warsh announces more than 1 additional hike. Also I dont think the hike is fully baked into the stock market yet. All this threat about a hike and SPY is only ~2% down from ath
Just buy more VOO, overwhelming majority of people who play the stock market make less than they would have just holding VOO or SPY
no,no,no SPY-wrong direction
How do you define “high risk”? If you define it as the odds of it going down, going down relative to what? At this point Nvidia is 10% of SPY/Q’s. If Nvidia goes down, so does the whole market. Any stock can go down. Even Berkshire dropped like 50% in 2008 even though they spent years preparing for it. So high risk to me is more the odds of it not going higher. But then again higher relative to what? The odds of Nvidia becoming a $10T company within five years seems slim right now, but five years ago the very idea of any company being worth $5T seemed ridiculous. If that’s “high risk”, then maybe.
guess who bought 757 calls when it was under 757. I broke my cherry on 3ODTE on SPY> But the opening bell is so far away lol
XSP is overnight 1/10 SPX options. SPY is retard cousin bilo
Donny gets his rate cut, SPY squeezes, and my peen grows 3 inches
mfs love buying 10 SPY MGC MNQ MES MCL instead of 1 real contract :kek:
A record of over 20 billion dark pool inflows was registered on SPY, IVV and QQQ on close today. Whales are not buying if the market dumps
"really good odds" isn't a number. Do you have timestamped out-of-sample predictions, with the losers included, and a hit rate against just holding SPY over the same periods? Because a technical backtest that looks great in-sample is the easiest thing in the world to build, and it means nothing until it's forward tested. I'll look at the site when there's something to check it against.
I have heard absurd things the last few days like the market priced in 4 rate hikes. I think if we got 4 rate hikes, we'd be at SPY 550, so Imma gonna doubt that one.
I know how SPX works but if a spread is breached enough or fully, the money is gone (minus the credit) versus SPY where OP would have shares. Either way, as the old saying goes, picking up pennies…
I lived through it too, I was in ninth grade and already had 10,000 shares of SPY
1% rate cut and Zimbabwe inflation, SPY moon's
During the AI Boom? Legit easy mode. I'm not saying things haven't pumped or been buoyed by this mongoloid, but he fucking nerfed & reset the market last year, only to inflate the cost of everything & lose a war. And S&P is up like 75% in 4 yrs I think? Mitch's corpse could've smiled at the ghosts he's seeing & SPY would likely be in the $800s.
pump overnight, tank at the open, V by 10AM, dump at 2PM, and recover after he starts saying some stuff about guardrails n shit. !banbet SPY +0.67% 1D
OP is gambling so he’s probably better off with SPY cause they’ll have shares if it goes ITM. It’s even worse they don’t know of SPX.
Hey I'm looking to write some backtests on selling OTM monthly puts on SPY too, may I know what data sources you're using for the option chain/greeks?
I do not like NKE, or any other stock for that matter. People freak out if the market drops 1% or if it drops for a few days straight. Like there is a perception that stocks are a magic money tree. Few recall that SPY was flat for almost 15 years. Shoeshine boy effect for years now. Teenagers daytrading (and gambling) Politicos trading stocks. Stocks making more than their dayjobs. Jobs are for suckers. Degrees are for suckers. Just gamble instead. Free money hack genius. Wealth without production is the ideal. Stocks only go up. despite big disparity between individual stocks down 50-98% from peak vs. indicies near all time highs. Market as retirement wealth machine, but never as potential retirement destroying machine. Markets down 50-80% in dotcom & GFC. 8% annual but ignoring 10-20 year flat periods that occur. Buy the dip vs. falling knife mindset. Can't lose mindset. Never sell stocks to pay debt. Paying off a 6% mortgage is "stupid". Market pays more. Can't lose. Risk either does not exist, or is heavily discounted Not owning stocks is reckless. Valuations. Vibe market. The bigger the red, the more the green (Calls, it is) IPO cashouts with 80%+ crash bagholders. Wild claims by CEOs. Space data, planet colony, flying robo cars, etc Circular financing. Enron vibes. Leverage. 3x, 5x, 10x ETFs, even for single stocks. Inverse ETFs. 0DTE options casino market. People going from $50k to $3mm in a single year. (yea, survivorship bias) Rotating bubble sectors. EV, Space, nuclear, weed, robot, rare earth, quantum, chips, AI, psych, etc Alternative bubbles? Sports betting, sports collectibles, Pokemon, etc. I'm out. 100% into 5% Treasury
SPY needs to retest 100 before the bull run continues
Don’t worry guys when $SPY hits $605 tomorrow they will close the market for the rest of the day
I just checked my trading history. My SPY is up 50% from 2 years ago. Everything else combined is up 8%. I should stop trading.
99.89% chance of SPY -20% tomorrow
Welp. "**My call: a quarter-point hike tomorrow, roughly 85–90% likely.** A hold is maybe 10%, and a half-point hike is under 5%. The more important prediction is how he'll message it: open-ended ("until we're confident"), not "one and done." First, a correction: I was wrong last time. That file is named "28_aug," so there's no mismatch. ### What the words show I pulled Warsh's own words out of all four documents (reporters' questions removed) and counted marker words per 1,000 words. | Marker | Jun 17 | Jul 14 | Jul 29 | Aug 28 | |---|---|---|---|---| | "Task force" | 4.6 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | | Tighten/act/restrictive | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | | Inflation/prices | 7.6 | 10.4 | 9.8 | 12.5 | | Hedges (unscripted Q&A) | 9.6 | — | 11.7 | — | What that means: - **The dodge disappeared.** In June, "we've got a task force for that" was his way out of hard questions. By Jackson Hole he barely mentions them and says outright they have "no bearing" on current decisions. - **Action words tripled** from June to August, and inflation talk steadily crowded out everything else. - **July was his most evasive moment.** His hedging peaked in that Q&A, and he repeatedly denied pausing ("nothing inertial," "not a pause," "not watchful waiting"). People insisting they aren't doing the thing they're visibly doing is a classic sign of discomfort. He was defending a hold he didn't fully believe in. One caveat: the counts are small (the tighten row is about 3 uses in June versus 8 in August), and scripted speeches read differently from live Q&A. Treat the table as supporting evidence. The logic below is the stronger case. ### Why the logic almost forces a hike **1. He closed every exit.** Each dovish argument for holding got shut down, one by one: - "Policy is restrictive" became "hard pressed" to call conditions restrictive. - "Inflation cooled this summer" became "better than expected" prints that don't change the trend. - "Hiring is weak" was explained away as slow labor-supply growth. - "Wages are tame" was dismissed as not a reliable predictor. - "AI productivity allows lower rates" was his own pre-Chair view, now walled off from current policy. Nobody spends a whole speech removing the reasons to do nothing unless they're about to do something. **2. The July hold was explicitly temporary.** At Jackson Hole he described July as the majority choosing to "await new information in the intermeeting period... before deciding." That's a deferral, not a verdict. Three members already dissented for tightening in July. **3. His own test is failing on his own numbers.** His standard is inflation moving to 2% "clearly and at sufficient speed." Six-month PCE (4.1%) running above twelve-month (3.7%) means inflation is going the wrong way, not just slowly. **4. A hold would undo the tightening he took credit for.** In July his defense was that the bond market had already tightened for the Fed. Skipping a hike that markets now treat as near-certain would pull yields down and ease conditions, the exact opposite of his stated goal. A hold defeats his own argument. **5. Commitment psychology and credibility incentives both point the same way.** He has said "we will deliver" publicly at every appearance. The research on public commitments (Cialdini) says people act to stay consistent with them, especially once reputation is at stake. The economics literature (Rogoff's "conservative central banker," Barro–Gordon) says new central bankers have the strongest incentive to prove toughness early. He's a Trump appointee whose independence is questioned, and he told Jackson Hole that 65 months of inflation "sits squarely with the central bank." A third hold would contradict three months of his own words. **Why not 50?** Every document rejects urgency and fine-tuning: "no magic wand," not "in days or weeks." His temperament is a steady grind, not shock and awe. ### Decoder for tomorrow's presser - **"Discipline," "work to do," "underlying trend not improved":** more hikes are coming, even without saying so. - **"Markets have done work," "observe," "watch the effects":** he's setting up a pause in October or December. - **Mentions of housing, agriculture, or recent-graduate strain:** a dovish hedge; he's building the case for stopping. - **Task-force deflections come back:** he's avoiding the question of what comes next. - **Dissents:** I'd expect 1–3, now likely from the dovish side. Hawks who wanted a hike in July got what they wanted. ### What this means for your trade The hike itself is priced in. The risk is the messaging. If he repeats his open-ended "until we're confident" standard, markets will read more hikes into it. That's less of a relief rally than a clean "one and done," which argues for patience on the SPY call re-entry. Remember that he reads rallies and low volatility as evidence policy isn't tight enough. This is a probability read from the documents, not a certainty, and not financial advice.
98.89% of SPY +3% tomorrow
Assuming you bet it all, then one wrong flip and it's back to zero. Just timing the SPY 752 puts and using whole options for tomorrow based on 5 minute averages, went from 100 to 500.
So let’s say you could predict every move on SPY and you scalped all the swings that lasted for at least 5 minutes or more. About how long to you thing it’s take to turn $100 into a million on 0DTE?
i paper handed spy calls earlier this year (early Apr) that ran from $3k to $48k within a few days… they were like 3 weeks out so I had plenty of time. That was during the SPY run to $700. Sold them for a $50 loss; made some good gainz since but that one still stings