SPY
State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust
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I backtested 17,100 option-selling strategies on SPY and QQQ (2022 to 2026)
Lost $200k, quit for 3 years, came back and lost another $100k. Decided to go full regard one last time.
Deleveraging, Forced Selling and the Setup for a Rebound
AI Cybersecurity risk is under reported in mainstream media, normal people unaware
Always fade the market. The last time sentiment was this low, SPY shot up 20%
There is absolutely no reason for today to open this way. Fullporting <1w calls.
Proof of life and that I rotated SPY PUT YOLOZ
I drew a line on a chart and found it mildly interesting.
Mid day breakout stocks to watch
AI Fundamentals Strengthen, but Market Positioning Calls for Patience
Oracle 20 x MD 3.0 (50/50 Merger) + 5.02% Dividend.
Before the close, longs at support
A Positioning Reset Beneath a Resilient Market
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Lost 268k in 0DTE options - I will never be able to recover from this financially
11K paper hands... 30 seconds later could have been 30k more.
AI Demand Holds Firm, Treasury Yields Retreat, OPEX
Can someone explain or poke a hole my future strategy
Scalping SPY options paid off for once, so today I quit Wendy's and kicked my wife's boyfriend out of the house.
Q4 Bull Case Holds, Bonds Push Back Against Hot CPI, TSMC Reinforces AI Demand
ATOS - Old dog, upcoming catalyst, trading near cash
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
CPI Sets Up Potential for a Squeeze, ASML Reinforces the AI Bull Case
Does dealer gamma actually predict next-day SPY range? I measured 60 days of it
CPI, Earnings and the return of the corporate bid
SPY on Friday had the lowest daily volume since Dec. 24th 2019 (and that was a half day).
New paper: an AI options trader made 18.3% in 6 months, until researchers let it read the news
Wave Theory Levels for SPY & NVDA (Week Ending Oct 9)
Investment thesis for trading week 10/13 - 10/16
Anyone else trade SPX broken-wing butterflies? Here’s the structure I use
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
I have 11k in stock and I am 20 years old. Where do I invest?
November 16th 2026: An urgent News bulletin declares the Russian Plague has reached our border (I'm holding SPY puts).
Let 2 $SPY options expire accidentally at a wedding
Lost close to $5000 of capital and need help
PCE came out as outlined in yesterday's write-up, MU Earnings Review and a More Bullish Q4 Setup
Calling BS on the fake peace deals and economic data - SPY
Expectations for PCE, MU Earnings and a Dovish Williams Repricing Rates
Wanting to buy LEAPS calls, but the stock market doesn't look good
Pension Funds Are Selling $32B of U.S. Equities But the Setup Is Improving
Iran Headlines, 19 Fed Speakers and Quarter-End Flows Put SPY Under Pressure
My portfolio strategy for this week is foolproof
Seeing the premarket bounce, I kept averaging down SPY 0DTE Calls.
Mentions
Swap the photo for Kegsbreath and change Allah to God, and it's basically the same as MAGA. Just saying... Looks like I need to be up Monday morning for SPY puts.
Just my 2 cents - my dad and I had done this for about 2 decades but almost went bankrupt a couple of times. This strategy can be very painful at the wrong time. It's one thing that you accept the risk, it's another when the disaster actually happens. Because you're selling puts, when the drawdown is huge, it also means your underlying SPY will suffer. Conversely, selling longer dated options have worked really well for me over the past few years. Ofcourse, there's some adjustments and firefighting required once in a while, but I'd say I've gained that skill to a decent extent. Otherwise, good strategy overall for the portfolio. Very similar to what I do. I've purchased bonds and bond ETFs worth the entire money I have. The average margin/haircut overall is about 9% - so I have the remaining 91% which I use to trade SPX options. I ensure I have about 40% excess liquidity at all times (which is what helps me firefight when things go against my longed dated option positions)
#Monday: #SPY down 0.1% #Nasdaq down -1% #Semis down -10% #Your portfolio down -100% #LMAO🤌🍁
SPY +2% on Monday and I’ll stick 20 watermelons up my ass
Time to feel how highly concentrated is the SPY
1- 2 months ago, the weekend thread was.. "GET FUK BEARS". We are going ATH, SPY 800, QQQ - 800.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/Many_Tip_3973 (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $769.17 → $777.00 | +1.0% | 5d | Lost |
A few examples, from Sep 30 close to Oct 23, 2026 close: HAS (Hasbro) +33.94%; TRU (TransUnion) +33.31%; EFX (Equifax) +32.88%; OVV (Ovintiv) +24.99%; PEP (PepsiCo) +7.14%. SPY was -0.35% over the same dates. These are selected examples, not a ranking of the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. They show the weakness wasn’t uniform; they don’t explain why AI stocks sold off. Checked in a fresh Claude chat using [Monk.trade](http://Monk.trade), which I build. Quick check: [https://i.imgur.com/x6F1gxc.gif](https://i.imgur.com/x6F1gxc.gif) Research only. Not investment advice.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/IndependentUsual7444 (0W - 9L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $778.57 → $800.00 | +2.8% | 2w | Lost |
Lol your worst month and SPY is only down 2.5% from ATH
Clearly y’all are in fear here. Clearly we are going at least 2% up on SPY
Congratulation on your new found success and may this continue for you and not stop! I don't understand the hate in the comments when we're all trying to get where you're at and there are plenty of money to be made for all of us. Not outgrowing jealousy and hate for something you have no control over and not effecting you is wild to me. Any chance you would share on any specific strategy or indicator you use or if I can pick your brain privately? I'm currently kind of in the same boat as you (minus the success). I started right during the GME fiasco and have been on and off ever since. I use to trade a lot of big name tickers and lost quite a bit when I first started. I stopped for a while now, but still look at the market everyday, mainly SPY/SPX. At this point I am slowly feeling confident in terms of how SPY moves but haven't really started truly trading again until last Thursday with a small trade that I got right. I have about 40k that I am ready to use for my next option trading chapter and would love to gather more insight before I crash and burn, or hopefully succeed like you.
You’re too concentrated, obviously. My portfolio is -4.92% from my ATHs (SPY is -2.77%), while I am still +32.68% YTD (SPY is +14.88%). As someone else said, there are still bull markets, you’re just not in them. Stocks include AAPL CRWD PANW PLTR. I did the above while holding SOXX, and that’s mainly because I didn’t buy at the tops. But mainly because it’s not a huge part of my portfolio, I’m spread out over other indexes and boring cash cows like AAPL.
I watched the new edgerunners s2, felt it was a lot less memorable and good than season 1. Puts on everything. GLD 357 QQQ 680 SPY 750 fuck ur stock market
Judging from previous posts, he started out solely trading SPY (600k profit) but then learned about SPX's tax advantage from WSB and made the switch recently. He's thanking WSB for letting him know about the tax advantage with SPX and just lamenting about how much of his profits will be taxed as short term gains under his SPY trades. He knows the difference and wishes he knew about SPX from the jump.
Well I decided to check how my port has been over the last 16 months since I started playing with the market again instead of just leaving it in SPY like a boomer. My port is +16.5% while SPY is +22.0%. Hm. Honestly I'll take it
The way I go about sizing the positions: * Worst possible 1 day SPX drop: 20% is the worst SPY day ever, you could say 15% below your strike is the worst that you believe can happen * Max realistic loss (on 1 contract): `SPX value * 15% * 100 = 7700 * 0.15 * 100 = $115k` * Share of your account you're comfortable having at risk: say this is 80% (for me, I go with 50%) * Min account size: `max loss / account allocation = 115500 / 0.8 = $144k` Depending on your risk appetite, you could run this at a higher allocation, but around the $125k is the minimum I'd say. There are folk out there who run the same thing, but with /ES, which is 1/10th the size, but the liquidity is worse and fees eat into your profit more. Personally, I'd ony run this in a 150k + account.
What I mean is that historically, those catastrophic days of 10+% SPY drops rarely come out of the blue, and are usually during a period when VIX is already elevated, which causes your strikes to be further out than the usually 1-1.5%. E.g. during the Iran war start, I was regularly selling 3 or even 5% OTM, so even if a 10% day happened, my max loss would be "only" 5% of the SPX value. Obviously still a terrible day, but not quite eating the whole hit. Now, I'm not saying it's impossible we have a 15% drop on some terrible sudden news, out of the blue when VIX is <15. I'm not expecting it, and it would hurt, but I size to survive that
Really love what 🥭 has done to the country. I support our president and his amazing decisions which have directly benefited the stock market. SPY to, idk, $1 million dollars?
Just consider that she has destroyed more wealth, ~14.5 billion, then she currently manages. You'd be better off just investing in SPY, less risk of some lady making another massive bad bet and wiping you out.
Every day SPY ends red I sleep better at night.
Where is your data from? SPY went down 36% in 2008, but 2009 and 2010, went up 26% and 15%.
Everything reminds of SPY 300
Iran MOAB strike Saturday morning. Oil above 130, SPY -3% Monday easy
***Shoutout to WSB for letting me save on tax dollars with SPX options - about 600k of gains is from SPY*** This doesn’t make any sense, did you make money from SPX or SPY? You do know the difference? Nevertheless, congratulations OP! You have achieved something everyone else can only dream of. I hope you can see how incredibly risky this has been, and be humble enough to acknowledge the crazy luck you had. Please make it real by buying a house, a car, and leave enough in treasury bills to pay tax. If you truly only traded SPX and NDX options (no SPY or QQQ!) your tax bill should be around a quarter million? Else much more (no tax advise)
So big money has a a lot of 10/30 SPY puts. Probably too late for an entry though
in an actual crash SPY will start with a 4 instead of a 7
SEMIS suck, SPACE sucks, TECH sucks, what the hell is even keeping SPY and NASDAQ from plummeting right now and how do I invest in those sectors
Do you have a day job? I can’t get anything done when I have SPY positions
$IWM! Stay on the cheap tickers! I know there’s ppl on Twitter who’s callouts for $SPY OTM are cheap but idk that cheap but def $iwm!
crazy that SPY went absolutely nowhere since August
Something I noticed, plain positive GEX passes on QQQ but not on SPY (p = 0.21), and your QQQ 0DTE 0.25 delta strangle goes from +0.35 to +1.38 with the filter. My guess is the positive GEX days are mostly the low vol days anyway. Could you take the same count of days by lowest ATM IV at the prior close, same 0DTE strangle, same fill, and put the two Sharpes next to each other? I would like to understand if the edge comes from the dealer gamma or just the vol level
Has SPY ever gone up 2% in one day?
I knew these fuck face pieces of shit were going to ramp SPY EOD I sold my puts for a profit so suck it
u/Hellmale not everyone knows your talking about $SPY
#If SPY drops 1% per day it will drop to zero in 100 days. It's called maff. LMAO🤌⛹🏾🍁
SPY down, RSP down, Yields up, etc. We just selling everything today huh?
So where’s the dip the last week? You just miraculously missed multiple 1% + drawdowns in the last week in SPY?
SPY/Qs look like shit but you're telling me software names like CRWD and the absolute shit PLTR are still up and pumping? The hell?
If you're 90% cash and that's 400€, your problem isn't market timing. Buy RSP if you want the carnage to actually show up in your statement, the equal weight version tells the truth that cap weighted SPY hides behind NVDA and Microsoft. The 70% dumpers you're looking at are small caps that were never in the index to begin with.
Going to eat dog jizz out of a cup if SPY dumps Monday
What is the tax benefit of SPX over SPY? And what is your strategy with the 0dte options? How do you choose a price point and strike?
Will we see 666 on either SPY or QQQ come Halloween? Will see.. will see..
Whoever slows down AI, creates roadblocks for datacenters, and obliterates the AI trade wins in my book. SPY $300 please.
They'll need to take SPY to $10.00 for me to consider being an "investor" cuz I won't be holding shit overnight. Seriously, watch your ass. No one else will be.
Not crash, but continue to wave up and down. Only 11 more days, then we have clarity for a Santa Clause rally that we all know is coming. SPY to 790, BTC to 90k, GLD below 360, 10Y yields approaching 4.0%
95 percent of my account is QQQ SPY. the 5% of 0DTE and Futes have been a drag this year
It's cause all the WSB darlings and actual high-growth stocks are down so much. QQQ and SPY are detached while by revenue all sectors excluding Tech (40%) and Energy (26%) have grown less than 8%. Google as a blue-chip and the second most profitable company in the world is down 20% from ATH.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/azog1337 (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $761.06 → $765.00 | +0.5% | 8h | Lost |
**BanBet Lost** — /u/ftrhgf364 (4W - 9L, 31%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▲ | $761.49 → $766.00 | +0.6% | 8h | Lost |
SPY 711C 0DTE. Nothing happened. Not sure what I expected lol. Probably won't let than happen again though.
Weekly regime check 📊 my score went from +3 to +4 this week, which is strong bull territory on my sheet 🐂 not official until it holds 2 weeks in a row, so next Friday decides it What improved: 10yr slipped just under 5% (4.988) and VIX dipped under 20 (19.72) 📉 both right on the line though, either one pops back and we're at +3 again What's holding it back: Brent at $111 🛢️ and HYG still under its 200 day Price hasn't caught up yet 😤 SPY closed 759.97, red on the week, below the 50 day (767.8) after getting rejected at 774 Wednesday. Reclaim 768-770 and price finally agrees with the score 🚀 My levels: 776-782 is where I sell rips 🔴 768-774 is first resistance 757-766 is my dip buy zone 🟢 737-750 is where I load up 💎🙌 721-730 is where I admit I'm wrong 🏳️ Big week coming: FOMC Wed 2pm, PCE Thu, jobs report Nov 6 ⚠️ no new swings for me after Tue afternoon. Not financial advice, I eat crayons 🖍️
#The next support level for SPY is at $700 and then $600 followed by $500 and $400. We'll probably breach them all very soon. LMAO🤌⛹🏾🍁
All this for SPY to be $780 Monday
I saw the license plate "2SPY845" on the road, confirmed SPY 845 in 2 months
#Up to 70% of stocks are in a bear market while SPY is barely down -3% from all time high. Even semiconductor index is down -30% since June's high. LMAO🤌🍁⛹🏾
First full candle close under the 50ema on SPY since April...omen or buy the dip? :jpow:
I bought courses by a person who goes by the codename SPY.
#Fed is spending $20-30 billion a day from keeping SPY from collapsing while 80% of stocks are collapsing underneath the hood LMAO🤌
SPY is forming a head and shoulders on the daily chart :)
#I predict 5 red days next week. SPY should dump about 2-3% while most stocks dump another 10-20%. LMAO🤌🍁
Another week getting burnt trying to bet on which way SPY moves. I buy puts, money printer kicks in with a pump, calls and printer shuts off. I'm quitting options until Orange Man is gone.
#Next week: SPY down 0.1% to 0.5% every day while individual stocks will dump 1-5% per day. LMAO🤌⛹🏾🍁
#I love how SPY dipped 0.1% in the last hour while every stock dumped 1-2% during this time LMAO🤌
SPY + 3% by market open
#When SPY is down -1% every stock is down 5-10%. When SPY is up 1%, most stocks are barely up 0.25% LMAO🤌🍁⛹🏾
#SPY goes up 0.2%, then down -0.3%, then up 0.3% then down 0.3%, then up 0.2% and down -0.2%. All in all it changes very little but individual stocks dip every time it does but never pump when it does so every stock is down 2-3% LMAO🤌🍁⛹🏾
#They are going to start liquidating all stocks. One by one every stock will go to $0 while SPY remains within a $20 range. LMAO🤌🍁⛹🏾
#SPY went from 0.4% to 0.5% and every stock dipped another 1% LMAO🤌🍁⛹🏾
I am betting TACO, just bought my SPY weekly calls.
**BanBet Won** — /u/english_fool (4W - 6L, 40%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SPY** ▼ | $762.95 → $760.00 | -0.4% | 3h 43m | Won |
Bought calls on the SPY for monday get the fuck on the train boys and girls taco by sunday
SPY 760 is impregnable
Oil just keeps going up. Past 2022 levels. Higher than the peak in March. SPY has no reason being above 7k lol. Hell, even 6k is too much. Fed will be forced to keep raising rates as long as mangos senseless war continues.
USO is almost at 170... SPY holding up as well as it has is wild
Every stock in the S&P could be down -50% and SPY would still be -0.46% and flat
Entire marker down SPY -0.46%
SPY stuck at 760.5 looks like a trap for bulls and bears both!
I’m starting to hate trading $SPY
4 minutes til SPY decides pump dump or theta chump
bring back $SPY 666 like it was 6months ago
I woke up, and someone had shit in my pants and bought a bunch of OTM SPY calls that are now worthless What the frick guys
SPY when I said do something I didn't mean it
Are we doing $SPY PUTs or CALLs to close. Asking for a friend
SPY has been in a 50 cent range the past hour
> the stupid exchange You mean $SPY? Yes, yes I have
Uh oh. Sending you all the SPY fairy dust 🧚♀️
Fuck GameStop for ever making the news and making me invest in anything other than SPY
Time to invest in SPY and delete the app. Don’t ever come back.
*So this is how SPY dies... with thunderous selling.*