ASML

tachyonvelocity

If you’re not in one of or all of the 3 semiconductor materials companies, you’re missing out. LRCX AMAT KLAC, special mention ASML. These companies are literally forever holds because of oligopoly status. In fact most of semis are now oligopolies because of how specialized everything is, completely different than even dot com when companies had no moat. The technology to advance to even a fraction to compete with these requires a gargantuan effort. When competition happens, what you get are like software collapsing. There is almost no way new companies will come compete with them. Who will make a new company to compete with CPUs with AMD or Intel??? Who? Moat in investing is of paramount importance.

ethereal3xp

The four horseman - ASML - AMAT - LRCX - KLAC Killing it today!

toxicsmokinagimonkey

ASML isn't falling.

portbouncer5000

ASML, my queen

portbouncer5000

Need a ASML +5% day for the morale 

ez399017

ASML has just been steadily climbing the last year.

ArthoriasOfTheLight

One thing I am not sure of regarding the future of AI driven stocks, is where will the revenue come from to the ones at the end of the chain? ASML, TSMC, fabs and other hardware companies like MU, SK etc. are making their money now, that is fair. But what about the ones spending 100 billions on compute, such as google, openai, anthropic etc.? How will they get their returns on these investments? I doubt there is this much money from consumers to spend on AI subs? Let's say I don't think AGI is possible and never happens, and we just get stronger and better versions of the current chatgpt, claude, gemini models. What then? How are these 100+ billion investments worth it?

hi-imBen

the company that makes the next big thing or improves it's process for better profit margin could change over time and hard to guess, my picks today could be wrong in the future. I'd probably go for a broader exposure by picking an ETF and/or a mix of the bigger players for multiple categories of semiconductor stocks... like digital/cutting edge processors, analog semiconductors, memory, suppliers to semiconductor manufacturers (like ASML, AMAT, LRCX), and there's probably a couple other categories I'm missing. obviously the returns wouldn't be as good as picking the biggest winners with massive gains but it's less risk, and if someone was investing in broad semiconductor ETFs the past 5 years their returns would still be massive and multiple times the S&P500 return

Jadeclone1

Elon x ASML talks incomming

Snorlaxative9

felt like some hot shot locking in ASML calls at 3:59pm.. and it immediately drops another .5% AH

Apprehensive-Mine364

ASML I'm not holding currently. That said, I do realize that the ASML customers are a small group and demand is probably not easy to forecast. But on the other end....ASML also has a big share of that market as its not easy to start a hardware company that could compete with them. Not to mention I'm sure they have some kind of support contracts with customers.

Apprehensive-Mine364

Only tech I am long term investing in would be manufacturing like TSMC or something like ASML where even though they make chips....they have a diversified customer base and regularly see demand.

Jadeclone1

Elon gonna talk about pumping INTC during his ASML talk

Snorlaxative9

full port ASML and throw the phone in the river

JPL_WSB_BRRRRR

Running laps on spy and vwce this year. It's really not that hard when you are overweight on ASML 😉 https://preview.redd.it/4vou0g2ukh6h1.png?width=1188&format=png&auto=webp&s=46686322a2167e62eed010351b73529a625c81e1

Marketdeigh

The only thing that keeps my portfolio alive is ASML. Bought at 600 and is ever since I started trading 6 years ago my best stock ever. But I also own Software and Volkswagen which is eating me. On the other hand if that goes tits up I might be able to have kids one day

NewMetaTrades

Not financial advice, but if I were you and thinking rationally, I would split this into 3 tranches: 1. 200K BTC - I’m guessing you’re a believer and this way, you’ve automatically secured your cost basis + made a significant return. You can’t lose from this point on if this is your high conviction bet. 2. 200K on a Long term quality compounder- for me, this is an ASML, TSMC, GOOGL, type play. Essentially something you would never sell even if it corrected 15% in one day because you are CERTAIN of the fundamentals. OR, if you’re not a stock picker, VOO 3. Let’s be honest. If you’re in this sub, you’re likely a gambler. Feed the beast. This is your “fuck it, it could go to zero, but I’m gonna die trying to be a billionaire” tranche. Continue to roll the dice. This way, you’ve mitigated the downside and secured your future, but you also have a shot at that sub-1% yolo dream. Just my 50 cents

drew-gen-x

Yeah $VXUS is affected by the AI trade. But Taiwon semi, Samsung, ASML, and SK make up 7.9% of the market cap of $VXUS compared to $VTI having 30.91% market cap in the Mag 7 AI cap ex hyperscalers. Which fund is really overleveraged AI cap ex???

Opt1mus00

ASML

No_Current3675

LOL ASML green --> red --> green. Sold some shares 1800, shoulda bought em back.

TinyYak8793

I'm planning on buying tech dips, if the initial levels hold i'll get in there if they break i'll get in at the secondary level 1614 ASML -if breaks -> 1506 1927 KLAC -if breaks -> 1811 451 AMAT -if breaks -> 416 308 LRCX -if breaks -> 278 475 AMD -if breaks -> 370 864 MU -if breaks -> 810 if that breaks -> 640

coloredzebra

Followed an ASML whale for 1650p, I'm up 500% lol

elgrandorado

I remember when I was plowing into ASML and people were telling me why I was buying into an overpriced semi equipment company.... in 2023. Now I'm out of the semi trade, and I'm being told that I need to be balls deep? After already having made heavy gains from my two eventual picks (ASML, GOOG). It took a while for people to start piling into semiconductor stocks, but now the noise is booming.

One_Big2047

3 solid long term holds are GOOG, VISA, and ASML- cant go wrong with this trio folks

Xzlk

TSM literally said the new ASML machines were way too expensive and they weren’t buying that shit. Market didn’t gaf

Spac55

Who is buying KLAC tool, when cash crunch everywhere, chip manufacturing using old tool, without purchasing new KLAC, ASML, AMAT probably booking profit

Spac55

$AMAT $LRCX $ASML Who is buying new semi tool, when there is a cash crunch See $AVGO earning pain Many chip manufacturers can use old generation semi tool. No need new tool Make as much as possible, without new Tool investment, high capex, long lead time.

vlatkovr

What do you think about $ASML? Overvalued or still a hold?

Eagerbeaver98

Haha I see what you did there. Funny thing is big institutions are so dumb they couldnt get over their biases that agentic AI is not cyclic and therby we wouldnt have enough memory no matter a reduction is constraints lmao. They dont remember that TSMC and ASML at one point were cyclic too, and they still forgot even GPUs are still supply constrained, now theyre rushing to price it back in thats why UBS was so late 😂. Now jensen is making it obvious for them that memory providers have insufficient supply for 2030, theyre going to flood in now.

Fit_Yard1896

Been grabbing MU, TSM, and ASML everytime it dips. Been solid so far.

Alarmed_Guarantee140

Discovered ASML a couple years ago. Nobody would believe me when I said this company nobody had heard of had a literal monoply on a semiconductor industry bottleneck. I can't help but feel smug when those same people come up to me and say "Hey, you were right."

GatorBo69

Exactly. Pick the stocks you like and DCA buy them weekly. Set it to automate and forget it. I do the same for AvGO, MSFT, NVDIA, MICRON, ASML, and co, and have been for 3+ years.. I’m a big believer in DCA, but you gotta do it consistently

cowboynude

Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are the AI companies and/or their shares go up or down on the exact same narrative. Avoiding AI is not like avoiding hot dogs. Want to invest in oil? That goes up or down with AI. Want to invest in lumber? Goes up or down with AI. The entire global economy has been flat for five years if you take out AI. You’d have a higher ROI if you invested in US dollars and watched them get eaten alive by inflation than trying to un-AI yourself. Here is the cheat: if you genuinely believe AI is overvalued, you should buy **Berkshire Hathaway B shares.** **You heard me. Berkshire is the ultimate anti-AI long play if you’re too scared to short Nvidia and TSMC and ASML and Samsung and Intel.**

Amitriptylinekoning

Thoughts on fullporting ASML?

A55BAG

Reddit gets it sometimes right, sometimes wrong. \-PLTR was a reddit call \-RKLB has always been popular among redditors \-GOOG, ASML, UNH, AMD were clear reddit calls in 2025 I think overall group think here tends to work during bullmarket.

uibrethen99

Love me some ASML and ISRG and also looking into HONA

bellahamface

Intel is the complimentary play to SpaceX, as I believe the pullback is more about everyone liquidating to help get in on IPO. Not just Broadcom concerns which also had Ontel involved as it’s taking some of their Google business and likely future business long term. Intel is the tech behind Terra fab which is going to be discussed in more detail soon. Starting with Elon joining an ASML event. Safest of the semis IMO with the most asymmetrical upside. AMD overvalued and Nvidia is still strong buy.

LunaD0g273

ASML, Novo Nordisk, and nothing else.

Domingues_tech

You can’t time the market. But you can time valuation + emotional dislocations. When a great company drops because of fear — not broken fundamentals — that’s where opportunity lives. UNH. BRK. Google. ASML. REGN. The method is simple: Wait. Watch. Ignore the noise. Buy quality when panic misprices it.

Study_Queasy

The mechanics you mentioned seem correct, but there are two big reasons why the 'buying the dip' on Mag7 might not work as easily as it sounds, and why the chip companies got hit. First, a 2% shift sounds small, but 2% of the Nasdaq-100 is roughly $500 billion to $600 billion in total market cap. Shifting that much capital in a 15-day window is a massive liquidity shock. Even if retail traders try to 'buy the dip' on Nvidia or Apple, retail volume cannot compete with institutional algorithms "price-agnostically" liquidating billions of dollars of shares all at once to meet legal index tracking mandates. Second, regarding the chip companies (semis): The 'making room' logic applies heavily to them because they are the heavyweights now. Nvidia alone is nearly 13% of the index, Broadcom (AVGO) is around 5%, and AMD, Qualcomm, and ASML make up huge chunks. Semis aren't a side sector anymore; they are the literal engine of the Nasdaq-100. To find billions of dollars in cash, index managers must dump the hyper-liquid chip stocks alongside Apple and Microsoft. Your idea on a QQQ Covered Call is actually smart IMO and aligned with this thesis. Because the index will be forced to suppress its reliable cash-cow drivers (Mag7 and Semis) to absorb a highly speculative, volatile SpaceX launch, the overall upside of QQQ will likely be heavily capped or dragged sideways. Selling covered calls or call spreads to capture that premium while the index chokes on the reallocation would be a good play IMO. For some reason, folks on this thread are jumping on my throat. Looks like these are all Musk groupies or that they hate it when someone mentions reasons to be wary about in the market. I cannot change my opinion for those reasons. It is what it is.

CoolEnergy581

No TSMC is quite replaceable I expect, not in the short term but long term everyone is busy with replacing them. You must also consider that the EUV ramp up at ASML is real and that total TSMC euv ownership is now about 3 or 4 years of production and coming down even more in a few years.

vinkulafu

Please take one ASML EUV machine for me and I’ll swing by your place this weekend to pick it up. I’ll bring a six pack for your troubles. Also if they ask if I’m a shareholder, just tell them I’ll be a DRAM bag holder next week from my $55 CSP. Thanks man.

cowboynude

I agree with almost everything with one slight point of discussion. If China wipes Taiwan off the map, there are or will be replacement level fabs within 5 years. I don’t necessarily think ASML’s moat is longer (quantum). But insofar as ASML has at least some buyers outside Taiwan, and insofar as next gen chips can be made outside Taiwan faster than they can be made without deep EUV, I would argue ASML faces a bit less geopolitical risk, but also less growth potential.

cowboynude

ASML is my biggest position. If you think TSM is too sketchy avoid TSM.

EmbarrassedCow2825

I was going to say this. ASML is the crown jewel of Europe, and arguably one of the most (if not the most) important companies on earth.

Doclub29

ASML today for sure.

callsonreddit

What are some good dip buys at open that may run up 5%+? I'm looking at ASML MU SNDK VSH Maybe PL

Fair_Lychee2839

Yes and also think about ASML. They follow TSMC with a little bit of delay. Check the graphs. 

levendeabortus445

Nah I think ASML gets to a trillion dollar market cap faster than SAP!

Mammoth_Bank_7886

It's gonna be another shit day to conclude a shit week. All my calls are fried, and I'm tired. Wanna full port on something steady like ASML or MRVL and relax once I break even again.

cowboynude

I cannot fathom rotation out of AI. The genuinely revolutionary nature of this technology is magnitudes more powerful than wars, natural disasters, sketchy IPOs, etc. You don’t have to think Pets.com will survive 2000 but you have to see the internet will. I see AI the same way. I don’t want to own any AI companies but I want to own all the companies that will inevitably sell to whoever the inevitable winner is. I am personally comfortable with the weight already given to QQQ’s main holdings in more diversified index funds like VOO and even VT. I already own Nvidia and TSM and Google thru VT. Buying QQQ is just doubling down on hyperscalers, only one or two of whom will survive. That’s not even getting into the bad valuation around SoaceX (although I very bullish on SpaceX long term). And then with my satellite I am personally comfortable ally more comfortable with avoiding the American market entirely and betting directly on continued AI capex thru 2029 on ASML. 80/20 VT/ASML

cowboynude

High enough that I am spending 2026 in 80% VT and 20% ASML to ride the wave without the drama. If SpaceX changes the world, ASML gets more buyers. If SpaceX sucks $100b out of every other stock and causes a selloff, and the magnificent hyperscalers scale back capex, ASML gets hit less than QQQ. When the dust settles, I will buy back into QQQ one way or another. I will either have less shares or more shares. I think I will end up with more QQQ shares by pivoting away from QQQ for the next 2 months in a way that still captures some if not all tailwind. (Real risk is China. But why can’t we be friends? Why can’t friends let other friends sell deep UEV lithography to other friends?)

cowboynude

I have $200k in an IRA with no debt at 32 allocated as follows: 80% VT (Core) 17% ASML (Satellite) 3% cash (Powder) If ASML goes over 2100 I take profit and buy VT. If ASML goes to 1500 for cyclical reasons like capex cooldown I sell VT and buy more ASML. If ASML goes to 1500 for structural reasons like China export bans or quantum competition, I sell all and VT and chill until I find a new monopoly satellite. Alternatives I considered to ASML for my satellite: - LEU/BWXT combo (nuke ren picks and shovels with monopolistic upside, but nuke ren is more speculative than continued ai capex… if i was looking to retire at 60 instead of 40 i’d own more LEU). - ASTS (seems like a clearly better product than global star and starlink, although the fundamentals are a mixed bag) - AMAT/LAM (basically the same chip-chokepoint-play as ASML except at a discount because the moat is not as crazy… all three rely on the same 3 buyers (TSMC, Intel, Samsung) who in turn rely on the Megacap capex. I see AMAT/LAM as cheaper riskier little cousins of ASML) Long story short, 80% VT and chill, 0-20% satellite based on conviction (can be literally anything other than VT, doesn’t have to be a stock, it could be the DJIA or the S&P. Just something to test against VT. Whatever you have conviction on. It doesn’t have to be semiconductor wafer fab equipment or small reactor fuel in 2040. It could be Nike ACG driving hype and returning Nike to prominence. At one point my biggest stock holding was the Uniqlo parent company because I really liked Uniqlo. Almost every stock is priced perfectly. Hence the 80% VT. Remember, investing 100% of your portfolio into something like VT is still not “boring.” It’s boring compared to QQQ or individual stocks. But VT is still roulette compared to bonds and mutual funds.

cowboynude

Edit: cash is boring, I hedged the Nasdrama by going 80% VT, 17% ASML, 3% dry

Nike_J

Oh definitely. Once the hyperscalers finish their data centers and stop buying chips the demand will fall 50-75%. Memory companies like Micron, SK Hynix and Samsung are gonna suffer even more due to chinese competition and not having a technological moat like TSMC and ASML have.

corndog_messiah

ASML is just built different 🤌

No_Current3675

Nah bro it’s all in good fun.  I’ll consider MRVL profits when I’m up 25-50%. MU already took a lot and holding the rest until 1500 likely. ASML took a lot and holding remainder until 2000. KLAC never selling, it’s going to absolutely fly after the split. NVDA perpetual hold. TSM too. Smaller semis will have to consider it as we go. Been buying more and more metals, software, and boomer shit as a counterbalance. Holding $500K cash.

No_Current3675

LOL. Some cunt gave me shit for buying MRVL yesterday. Just like the cunt who gave me shit for buying MU. Just like the cunt who gave me shit for buying ASML…

nachi_w

Will they buy more machines from ASML?

Loightsout

It’s not even just about the fed money. The commission free trading apps are a world wide thing. Where are all these guys going to invest? The local market? Brother I was in Thailand last year. On the way to the airport my taxi driver was trading stocks while in traffic. Solely American stocks. The American stock market is so profitable and dominant in these apps as well as positioned in all big ETFs you have an insane influx of money since 2020. I’m a prime example. I’m German and live in Germany. I don’t own a single German stock. I have over 200k in the American market. The only European stock in my portfolio is ASML.

No_Current3675

KLAC ASML MRVL savin my shit

No_Current3675

Christ Jesus. ASML.

Nike_J

tl;dr Jensen pumping his investment Nvidia bought some 2 billion worth of Marvell stock. They make tech that allows high spees communication between Nvidia GPUs. Chip to Chip speed essentially. This week Jensen Huang made a comment that Marvell will be the next trillion dollar company. The stock was climbing before that already, as all the other stocks that are somewhat involved in the AI value chain (TSMC, ASML, Micron, SK Hynix, AT&S,...) all of them went up at least 200% YTD. Jensens comment just put more fuel to the fire

ShittyUsernane1222

quantum field theory is a bunch of spinning stuff on curved surfaces (pseudo vectors and spinors) , infinite dimensional version of linear algebra and a special derivative (gauge covariant derivative) derived from copious applications of product rule, chain rule on symmetry transformations (rotation, translation etc.) and their generators. finance is stochastic / randomized linear algebra with gambling characteristics. AI is linear algebra but with derivatives, copious applications of chain rule and nonlinear functions. what computer chip is really good at linear algebra? GPUs and TPUs. who produces and operates GPUs, TPUs? magnificent 7 and Huawei who do they rely on supply chain? Taiwan (TSMC) , Netherlands (ASML) , China( for end product manufacturing) who do Taiwan, Netherlands, China rely on for their oil, energy supply? gulf states and iran Is that supply chain broken? Yes, see ongoing hormuz strait blockade

Happy-Philosophy9211

ASML is goated and deserves every green candle

PMmeuroneweirdtrick

Semis are critical infrastructure. Even after a crash they will go back up. Invest in the companies building stuff and you will be fine. ASML TSMC AVGO NVDA ARM LAM etc

Total-Savings6385

Wtf ASML is doing at European open

Joejoecornrow

ASML. I’ll die on this hill . If it were an American co ……

tke248

LRCX — semi-cap equipment / etch & deposition — **B+**. Correct ticker for Lam Research. Belongs with AMAT/ASML/KLAC in the “machines that make the chips” bucket.

AgathormX

honestly, I think the fastest way up would be to keep an eye at the infant semiconductor industry in China. Huawei and Moore Threads' GPUs aren't showing much promise right now, but if there's one thing I'll always bet on is the Chinese, and the fact that they even exist in the first place is excellent. It's not going to happen in this decade (2020s), and probably not in the next 10 years or so, but if they can come up with competitors for ASML and TSMC, it'd be a massive opportunity for anyone who gets in early. Going back to Huawei, it's one of the companies that is most promising right now. I don't think Xi prohibiting exports of NVIDIA GPUs, even though they are still getting smuggled into the country, is just him throwing his weight around to get a deal, it's probably more in line with a protectionist push to further incentivize the development of the semiconductor industry in China.

Joejoecornrow

IBKR say they have a whopping 973 spce shares for short. This is gona pop tomorow imo. All my cash is tied up in ASML atm, it’s 60+% of port and not selling.

94Rangerbabe

I’m up 66.7% from May 2. Finally figuring out a system. Swing trade (w/Mu and MRVL core pos) $MU $MRVL $AVGO $CRWD $MDB $StX $AMAT $ASML $LITE

JackieChanX95

Before AMD, ASML? Doubt

tke248

ASML — lithography / semi-cap equipment — **A- / B+**. Obvious, but unavoidable. It’s the machine layer that makes leading-edge AI chips possible.

iostack

What about ASML?

tke248

ASML — lithography / semi-cap equipment — **A- / B+**. Obvious shovel, but still one of the most critical. It’s basically the machine that makes the machines.

BigAnt3645

ASML

elgrandorado

That's frustrating for you. Samsung's biggest business unit, even before this current semi cycle was their memory fabs. I looked at them in passing before investing in ASML, and never imagined this sort of demand for memory. Hard to kick yourself without knowing how this cycle would play out. You got in on SNDK though, which has absolutely ridden this wave.

corndog_messiah

Nobody talks about the actual goat ASML

Terrible-Deer1398

Europoors pump ASML every night only for it lose its gains during the day

Maleficent_While2653

VXUS top holdings are TSMC, Samsung, ASML, and SK Hynix, among others in various industries. I would keep it as a large portion of my portfolio just for that. There is a lot of value outside of the US and way more depth in comparison (the US is pretty much only driven by AI spending and semiconductor stocks at this point).

Etherius

No one is hoping for those plans to pan out more than me. I’ve been an INTC bag holder since 2019. But I have no delusions. These fabs take a long time to get up and running And frankly if the world knew about some of the holes in ASML’s supply chain I think we’d all kinda shit ourselves a little bit

jpgnewman195

Today I bought $VOO $ASML $AMAT $LRCX

BassFull0

https://preview.redd.it/50q9fb5u1o4h1.jpeg?width=1672&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7fc733705cc14a71671d178b4f3a1aa6d0197b0a Calls on INTC MSFT ASML TSMC

FalseDiamond7930

Biggest positions are Google, ASML, AMD, SONY, RKLB, Nintendo. I have 30 US stocks, 15 Japanese stocks, 13 from other countries (no Chinese stocks).

kgangadhar

I mean, isn't it how moat work? ASML, no one can do what they are doing, same with SpaceX. Not that I agree with SpaceX's valuation. But they do have moat on couple of things.

jaajaajaa6

You have a lot of duplicate stocks across these accounts. Nothing prevents you from selling a piece, especially the ones that have had a great run. Just remember, the first AI hiccup and many high fliers will give a lot back. Nothing wrong with selling 1/3 or so of a TSM or ASML and playing with house money.

WhyAreYallFascists

Dog, they have fabs running. The best tools on the fucking planet are in said fabs. There isn’t anywhere to get those tools soon, ASML cannot make them fast enough. It’s much closer than you think homie. 

Joejoecornrow

ASML

cwalking2

> I've been following Intel since the 90s. Me, too. I designed semiconductors for a decade. > They didn't stumble at all > They didn't stumble at all I don't know how you can say this. The 14nm transition was plagued with challenges, and 10nm is where they shot their dick right off. None of that had been _preceded_ with deep cuts to their process division (_i.e.:_ pre-2015). They just failed... and failed and failed and failed. > Intel had the very first (and for quite a while, only) R&D EUV machine outside of ASML ... when the first commercial machines started rolling out of ASML, Intel had bought practically all the supply for an entire year. This was back in 2024 TSMC offered EUV lithography for mass production in [2019](https://pr.tsmc.com/english/news/2010) (N7+ node) EUV was a strategic and execution misstep for Intel. For 14nm and 10nm, Intel chose to continue with 193nm lithography, but that forced the use of multi-patterning (multiple exposures per mask layer). For 14nm, it was dual-patterning, then later growing to quad-patterning for 10nm. If successful, multi-patterning would represent a cost advantage for Intel over everyone else in the industry. Unfortunately, it didn't work out; Intel was plagued with high defects, poor yields, and poor outcomes at both 14nm and 10nm. It's not enough to point at this and claim "Intel chose to cut corners." It was a strategic decision which didn't work out. They thought they could engineer their way through the complexity, but failed. In contrast, Intel's avoidance of partially-depleted silicon-on-insulator in the 2000s in favour of standard, bulk silicon (cheaper, lower inherent performance) worked out just fine for them, giving them (yet another) cost advantage over AMD.

FullstackSensei

I've been following Intel since the 90s. R&D going up nominally doesn't mean there weren't cuts. There were several rounds of layoffs in R&D, several strategic mistakes were made (like the exit from the mobile market), capex on equipment and facilities didn't go up as much as originally planned (especially compared to the industry). You're looking at a chart after the fact. I'm talking about repeated quarterly reports where senior management announced cancelation of projects and layoffs in R&D. You don't see that in a bar chart. They didn't stumble at all. Successive penny-pinching CEOs squandered a 3 year lead in manufacturing vs the industry and turned it into a 3 year lag between 2010 and 2019. 22nm was 6 months late. 14nm was about a year late (excluding the previous 6 month delay). Repeated layoffs in senior engineering positions to save costs led to the bottom falling off of 10nm. Ice Lake was supposed to come in 2015, but was pushed back 6-12 months every 6-12 months for 5 years. Cascade Lake and Cooper Lake were the penny pinches trying to salvage the situation at minimal cost. The Intel you see today is the result of over $100B spent between 2020 and now, mainly Pat Gelsinger's plan to bring things back on track. He re-hired a lot of the old guard that were let go during the past decade to save costs. You don't see those $100B in an R&D chart alone. There was a ton of capex "catch-up" the company had to do. Just as an example, Intel had the very first (and for quite a while, only) R&D EUV machine outside of ASML. They run 2-4 weeks behind ASML's internal R&D for over 3 years, and when the first commercial machines started rolling out of ASML, Intel had bought practically all the supply for an entire year. This was back in 2024. By the time the first machines were installed in a fab, Intel had run something like 30k wafers through that R&D machine. This level of expenditure is what tanked the stock in the past few years, but enabled the company to roll out 4 nodes in 5 years (not counting 10nm), which is unheard of in the industry. They didn't stumble at all. They shot themselves in the foot by diverting money that should have gone to R&D and capex into stock buy backs.

Ziegelmarkt

>\- When do you sell a winner? Depends on a lot of factors like which account it's in and what the purpose of that account is. I have both IRAs, the household brokerage we live off of and a "slush" account that I use for vacations, cars, whatever. But normally I'll consider selling when it starts to plateau and there is another opportunity. LIke NVDA for example. Yes they're ***\_the\_*** dominant name in semiconductors/chips but if you ignore the April Boom they were actually very very flat YTD. The same can be said for a lot of stocks obviously, but I was surprised the largest company in that space was flat. I had them since 2023 so I went ahead and trimmed at first and then finally sold my remaining shares in order to buy more in to MU, ASML and SNDK. >\- Do you ever take gains for things like a vacation, home project, or car? Yes, see above though. That slush account is valued around $200k, but since it's also in a taxable brokerge I need to be diligent about keeping track of capital gains. But short answer, yes, why else be growing my money if I'm not going to spend it frivolously? >\- What do you do with losers? Give them a while to see if they're showing signs of rebounding. Otherwise I have no qualms at all selling for tax loss harvesting or just cutting them loose to chase after something else. >\- Do I need to rebalance? \- Are any of these positions no longer worth holding? I'm not going down that rabbit hole with your money. Like my example above with NVDA; that was the right decision for me with my money at that point in time. You have it in three of your accounts because you "like it". If it's working for you, leave it be.

YourRumAndThumb_Umm

Really? ASML sucks? Like the only research and manufacture in the world of the current and next gen semiconductor manufacturing machines... ok

Timid-Tiger

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RadiantReason2063

Alibaba, which has the most popular open source LLM (QWen) has a market cap of 300B and revenue of 150B. Also, ASML which is pivotal to the AI ecosystem: mktcap of 600B, revenue of 40B (estimate for '26) Meanwhile Anthropic and OpenAI are yet to make a profit, are under constant attack by Google, and are valued in the trillions. The bubble is mostly American.

cyclosciencepub

TSMC moat is lower than ASML's

Master-Weight-2676

China has a massive project to break it's dependence on TSMC and ASML in the coming decade. That would greatly reduce the cost for China if it can afford losing access to both of these companies after invading Taiwan.

Mag_Meyreddit

Bro read about TSMC yesterday and decided to write a book about it. Man we know. But you know about Intel and Samsung? They are also producing Chips within the sub 2 nanometer node and they do have gate all around and backside power delivery transistor technology, which TSMC currently does not have yet. Also Intel will use the new ASML High NA EUV Litography machines. TSMC does not… There is a reason the entire industry looks for alternatives. Finally if China is really going to invade Tiwan, that’s even more bullish for Samsung and Intel and very bearish vor TSMC.

GeneralOwn5333

Small customer base. ASML is a price taker not a price marker.

teddpole

At the start of year I tried to diversify myself away from US market. I put money in 1211 (BYD), ASML and some in SNDK. I told myself I am not gonna touch it until 31 march. At quarter end (the ceasefire was on horizon), SNDK had a good run, ASML was mehhh and 1211 was horrendous. I kept thinking through April what to do (meanwhile SAAS was getting murdered). By April end it was okay to assume that war will not rage like last time so I chose high beta stocks namely RKLB and RDDT (1/3rd each). I will hold RKLB until SPACEX IPO. RDDT still has lot of room till analyst’s estimate so hold that too. Their financials are too good to be this low. My last 1/3rd is MSFT. I think SAAS fear was overblown. I myself use codex and claude code and believe it’s a long way before they replace office suite. So yeah there it is https://preview.redd.it/ef2wnev7794h1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=661e0edf2acf0d5c3f10b27c02336d9a97267ad4