ASML

CherryRoutine9397

Calling any stock an anchor stock is where people start getting a bit blind without realising it. It’s fine to have conviction, but anchoring yourself to one company makes it harder to think clearly when things change, because you start defending the position instead of reassessing it properly. ASML is a great business, no doubt, but the price you pay still matters. Even the best companies can underperform for years if expectations are too high, and that’s the part people ignore when they get too attached to one name. What usually works better is having strong positions without emotional attachment. If the story changes, you adjust. If it doesn’t, you hold. Most people say that, but don’t actually do it when money is on the line. Random but a lot of people say anchor stock when what they really mean is biggest position, which is fine, just don’t let it turn into blind loyalty. I write about investing in a simple way from a normal starting point, check my profile if you want

superbikelifer

I'm gripping onto ASML wondering if I should do the same thing

No_Current3675

I had a bunch of ASML that I bought from like 700 - 1000. Sold most of it around 1450 - 1500. Held onto six shares, hoping to get 1550. Sold dat shit a few days ago at 1400. Glad I did. Shit is FUKT.

Jacobpapi

Need ASML to 1300 and COHR to 330 so I can buy calls

GlokzDNB

Im buying, I dont care. I was buying GOOG when it was dipping, look where it is now. Ive been buying ASML when they blocked exports to China. Look where it is now. There are two types of people, those who read news and those who follow earnings and big trends.

AntoniaFauci

Forward PE of 4x Their peer just ordered the most equipment from ASML ever. Micron CEO, who is not usually prone to hype, is saying they have generational demand and margins. Every hyperscaler who could easily just talk up some cost efficiencies on data center spend is very much doing the opposite. Universally they are saying the thing limiting their revenues is compute. Micron makes memory that is still needed for the multi year DC boom with or without AI.

Muadib001

Reliance on nvdia does not matter. Nvdida chips are made by tsmc which also uses ASML. There is no alternative and there wont be for several years

PhasedVenturer

ASML just kinda does its own thing, huh?

AntoniaFauci

I’m aware it can fall more, but MU in the $300s we’ll look back retrospectively and wonder why we didn’t load the truck. Every hyperscaler continues to unflinchingly spend and endorse data centers and AI, when they don’t really need to. Any of them could, if they wanted a snap record-breaking quarter, just pause their capex. They’re not doing that, like, at all. Instead they’re all in. You have multiple of them saying the only thing holding back their revenues is they need compute. AI or no AI, you don’t get compute without memory. Micron is the domestic choice, during an isolationist admin. Is the demand cracking? Well, Micron’s peer SK Hynix just placed a record large order with ASML. Doesn’t sound like demand is getting slack. Is Micron expensive though? It’s a 4x. Be your own judge whether 4x is expensive.

CMDR_Shepard96

Sold my ASML April17 1500C when it dumped to 1200 odd. Fml

Gamma_Gains

If TeraFab actually gets off the ground, which of these names do you think benefits most - NVDA, ASML or AMAT?

nachi_w

I prefer ASML when it comes to moat. Nothing beats ASML I feel

Not_Boss674

ASML is the only company that produces EUV lithography machines. Why? Because it's extremely difficult and expensive to do so.

mrtomd

This is good for multiple companies: $NVDA, $QCOM, $TXN, $MU, $NXPI, $AVGO, $ADI, etc. The question is: how much $TSM will try to f... it and block suppliers like $ASML providing the machines.

Impressive-Mud5074

He has the money to do it, he can even build ASML machines, but it's a 20 year business plan. the only way to revolutionize is to not use silicon transistors 

FullstackSensei

You're assuming the equipment suppliers even have the capacity to sell him anything. Nobody will give him $30B without a solid roadmap and supply chain agreements in place. You don't just buy from those suppliers. They need to setup shop next to your fab and have hundreds of staff each to support operations. Keep in mind that Intel, Samsung and TSMC are shareholders of ASML. They'll always have dibs on capacity. Without EUV, the project is dead in the water.

Trader-Trader-Trader

If Musk is genuinely crazy enough to throw $20B-$30B at this just to try, doesn't that make the equipment suppliers the ultimate "picks and shovels" play? Even if TeraFab produces a 0% yield for 5 years, $ASML, $AMAT, and $LRCX still get paid upfront. If he actually starts issuing purchase orders, which equipment ticker do you think gives the best asymmetric upside right now?

SpeedyAudi

Regardless of who makes what chop… everything goes thru $ASML

FullstackSensei

I have the feeling this will be another FSD or Roadster 2 coming soon announcement. There's so much missing from his announcement that it's comical. Where is the process coming from? Poaching engineers won't magically give you a process, nor will it give you a competitive transistor design overnight. Where's the advanced machinery coming from? ASML EUV capacity is booked for like another two years or so. You can do multi-patterning without EUV, like China is doing, but that's extremely uncompetitive. How many years until the fab is built and equipped? How many years until it has a viable transistor and manufacturing node? And how many years after both until yields are commercially viable? For context, Intel got a research EUV machine from ASML back in like 2020. They were rumored to be one month or less behind where ASML was during the development of the machine. Intel still needed that to gain experience with the new technology and develop it's process. 18A is the result of some 5 years of learnings, and that's on top of the almost 60 years of making chips. Getting to 18A cost Intel over $100B over the past 5 years. At one point, they had booked the entire EUV supply of ASML for 12 months. This isn't some lazy industry that moves slowly like automotive or rockets. TSMC's capex for 2026 is over $50B. In 2025, they spent $40B. Their 2nm process isn't expected to ship until Q3 if not Q4 of this year, all because they were a couple of years behind Intel in getting EUV machines.

Beetlejuice_hero

Also American company vs Euro. With maybe ASML & TSM excepted, non-American stocks just suck. Goes far beyond just pharma.

A55BAG

Semis that do circular financing AMD, NVDA, AVGO are in a 6M long downtrend. Semis that only take cash like TSM and ASML have been only going up.

Vegetable_Push6542

Lol yeah my long term holdings are 25% split 4 way among ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. I think they are the 4 most solid technology stocks to own right now.

Icebxrg_

AMAT and ASML fighting against MU and MSFT on whether my port is red or green today

YondaimeHokage7

That’s true for accessibility, but there’s a tax catch depending on where you live. For example here in Bulgaria capital gains realized on regulated EU markets are tax-exempt. ​However, the National Revenue Agency doesn't view fractional shares as being traded on a regulated market because they are usually a broker-side 'feature' not an actual exchange-listed security. So while whole shares of ASML on Euronext are tax-exempt, fractional shares are treated as over-the-counter transactions rather than trades on a regulated market. So basically if I buy and sell whole shares, I pay 0% tax. If I buy fractionals, the NRA sees that as an off-market transaction and hits me with 10%.

MadHat0815

So, I’ve been on holiday for the past week, and now you’re telling me that our favourite Ketamine Addict wants to surpass both ASML and TSMC in terms of technology, while they’re not even able to produce their own battery cells with a decent yield at scale? Sure Elmo sure... Anything to pump the stock I guess...

A55BAG

Today I learned from twitter that Tesla is going to disrupt ASML and TSMC with it's chip business. The narrative always has to change now that TSLA is behind in humanoid robots and self-driving cars 🫠

albearcub

You can't really believe in AMAT, ASML, or Lam independently. They each play a separate role in the fab process that is dep, litho, and etch, respectively. If you think any of these companies will do well, there's no reason not to think they all will. Imo it's mainly just about what you think of this ai hardware phase.

callsonreddit

SK Hynix commits $8B to ASML EUV tools through 2027 as AI memory race accelerates and chipmakers lock in supply [https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/sk-hynix-buy-8-billion-074136395.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/sk-hynix-buy-8-billion-074136395.html)

MitchCurry

SK Hynix announced it will buy $8B worth of ASML's EUV lithography tools, the largest single order publicly announced by an ASML customer. Assuming ASML were to grow the topline at 15% this year and next, that's an additional \~8% of expected revenue.

Vegetable_Push6542

At this point better to invest in ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC if you want exposure to semiconductors than NVDA/AVGO

No_Current3675

Nah, but I sold off the remainder of my ASML. Will buy back at 1250.

Advanced-Bison-99

Considering they have ASML engineers building EUV prototypes for them, using DUV machines probably isn't a big deal for them. 

CMDR_Shepard96

Hahahaha ASML calls were not the play.

Popular_Register_440

Duolingo. Sold after it dropped 50% and chucked it into gold and ASML but regret that now too 🤣

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML sending me to poor.

maneil99

Nobody is sitting on product that would decay (tech wise) if bubble bursts. Nvidia AMD would scale down orders if buyers broke contracts or would eat fee of doing so with fabs like TSMC. TSMC and ASML have increased capacity but would likely wouldn’t be in trouble even with AI demand gone. The companies that would be in big trouble are those entirely reliant on AI not those that manufacture hardware.

iloveaccounting64

This is the first time I saw someone lose money on ASML! You, my regard, are special.

charon-

UCTT and ICHR. Service all the large semiconductor manufacturers. 7%+ of costs for ASML, LRCX, and AMAT. Beaten down but vital to performance.

tomjava

China can easily make a ballpoint tip. You keep underestimating China industrial capability. Making an EUV machine similar to ASML is hard but overtime and budget China will definitely capable to make one. Even none of US companies: AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, and others is able to make a similar EUV machine.

option-trader

I like ASML and NET. Come back in 12 months and let me know how both are doing.

LumpyShock9656

How TF did you lose money on ASML? It's up 70% in 6 months

elgrandorado

I sold 70% at $1,000, 30% at $1,450. Happy with the returns, ASML will likely continue to outperform but there's a lot of expectations on them and I don't know how long the AI supercycle will last. Too much uncertainty with other opportunities at real value for my eyes. Keep in mind I was buying at 2023 lows of $570, $580

UnObtainium17

I bought that dip, but sold all of it too soon. I thought there was no point in holding ASML, AVGO and TSM.

MitchCurry

Just watched Veritasium's video from a couple months ago on ASML and I still can't believe we had the opportunity to buy shares at a 40%+ drawdown a year ago.

greg_r_

Yeah lol. Ignore the copers. LLMs are here to stay for the foreseeable future. MU, NVDA, ASML, LRCX, and TSM are all great options(heh) over a \~3-4-year timeline.

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML is going to send me to wendys

CMDR_Shepard96

Currently getting murdered by Gold, the Bag7, and ASML all simultaneously. I think my port is going to zero. Fuck.

CMDR_Shepard96

Is ASML ever going to pump again. Fml

Hamzehaq7

nice choice with ASML, they're definitely in a sweet spot with chip demand. if you're looking at secondary plays, check out companies like KLA and Lam Research too—they ride the coattails of the big guys. tbh, those toll booth companies can be solid, especially in tech. but keep an eye on any potential market shifts, especially with all this geopolitical stuff going on. like, the news about Trump and Israel impacting the energy sector could shake things up a bit. how's your overall portfolio doing with the current market volatility?

Low-Cranberry100

I think ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC aren't going to go down much even if the market correction continues. Together you could argue that they're the most important group of companies on the planet without which no chips and hence no technology could be made.

CMDR_Shepard96

My account topped out in October at 130k - I swapped from gold to software and got obliterated in Q1 '26 (thought gold has definitely topped out after that October dump - then MSFT nuked me). Then ASML is burning my account alive 😆 I've mostly rotated to software LEAPS in the hope they're a safe bet (March '27)

tomjava

ASML makes the DUV and EUV machine, Not TSMC or Samsung.

CMDR_Shepard96

Wtf is this price action on ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML pumps & dumps every fucken day. Just go up damnit..

FarrisAT

It’s relatively easier for Hua Hong to achieve 7nm class production since SMIC has already done so since ~2023. The knowledge and some tools are handed down. As long as they have enough ASML DUV scanners, they can multipattern to the proper resolution and scale assuming they utilize similar suppliers.

metalheadabhi

Booked all my SNDK and ASML profits today, just gotta sit on cash for a few weeks

Vegetable_Push6542

The only stocks that probably won't go much lower are ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. MU/SNDK/WDC/STX will depend on MU earnings tomorrow.

No_Current3675

I shoulda dumped all of my ASML at $1500. Oh well.

Historical_Air_8997

It’s better than what I can make, but isn’t ASML at like 2nm now? With a next gen machine coming out in a couple years. It’s all good, but was just curious if it’s actually a decade behind or is it a big jump putting them like 5 years? Or slower than expected and they’re 15 years behind?

Historical_Air_8997

7nm is still not super impressive right? Like a decade+ behind ASML release of 7nm machines. This is also assuming they aren’t just using old ASML machines.

hakim37

They're almost certainly still using ASML's immersion DUV machines which are no longer prohibited to sell to China. China's home grown lithography efforts are still struggling at 28nm.

Better-Call-SauI

Europe be like: ASML, NBIS, Mercedes, BMW ,Ferrari, Lamborghini 🥭US be like we wuz hicks n shieet: McDonald's, Walmart, some social media crap Leave NATO and raise tariffs and you can admire in awe how rich the great recession folks were.

Better-Call-SauI

🥭Europe's deepest wish rn is that US leaves NATO and stops trading with us. Europe makes stuff like Mercedes' and ASML while US sells us Coca Cola and McD's. Gtfo of Europe with your tariffs!

bihari_baller

> in the following order - ASML, AMAT, LAM, KLA = TEL Process control intensity is only going to go up with more advanced chips, not down.

hubblebubble7

Jensen thinks he has ASML style monopoly, bullshit

CMDR_Shepard96

Looks like everything is gonna pump except for my deep red ASML calls.. I just wanna break even at this point 😮‍💨

rickster555

No they’re not, ASML, the second most important (or just as important some would say) company in the manufacturing of chips would not side with China. China would be way behind. So no, China does not have incentive to invade because TSMC is just as important, if not more, to them

Aggressive_Finish798

I feel like some winner have it locked in already. ASML, Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom, TSMC. Who can knock them out of the places? The smaller up and comers? Yeah, there all jockeying for a spot at the table.

ArQ7777

I don't think Elon Musk knows he need to order equipment from ASML. He forgot about that.

Vegetable_Push6542

China is willing to throw Iran under the bus if they were able to get access to say, ASML machines. But I don't think that would ever happen. They'd get access to every Nvidia chip possible before access to any high EUV ASML machines.

Usual-Memory-3668

The majority of your portfolio should likely be in that VOO, and a couple others like it but for different sectors.  For individual stocks: I wouldn't Do Vertex or Inthitice. Pharmaceutical stocks are too volatile with news one way or another one new approvals or finding out their product is 2% worse than a competitor so stocks soar massively and rank massively. Energy stocks are generally slower growers, but lately have been quicker, though also are now becoming volatile as well with news on approvals or disapprovals of new projects. Only buy cheniere if you truly believe in them regardless of news one way or another affecting the stock in short terms.  ASML was a good choice long ago, this generation of tooling is peaking though. There is no guarantee ASML will be topdog in the next set of tooling. They were nothing before this generation and could very well be nothing in the next. In fact, ASML hasn't even talked about working on next gen tooling yet which is pretty bad. I wouldn't hold them more than couple more years as it is too risky at that point. 

JR-FlowCapGroup

I like Vanguard but make at least 50 percent or so. It feels like you don't know how to pick businesses.ASML, coca cola and Waste management are good bets. The others I am not familiar with. Try to invest in businesses that have a moat and a predictable business with predictable earnings. It is mentioned but indeed, don't take reddit advice. If you're looking for stock picks, go to dataroma and watch the superinvestors and what they pick. You'll do far better with those. Good luck 

elegance78

ASML should tell Musk to go pound sand, no litho machines for him.

Nelsons93

Hey welcome to investing! It is awesome that you are committing to 400 to 500 a month. Honestly that consistency is the most important part. Looking at your list, it is great that you have VOO as your top holding. You also have some fantastic companies in there like Waste Management and ASML. But since you mentioned wanting relatively steady gains, your balance is a bit off right now. Only having 22 percent in your foundation like VOO and putting huge weightings into single companies like almost 15 percent in Nutrien adds a lot of risk. You also have a pretty big chunk tied up in highly speculative stuff like CRISPR and Joby which brings a lot of volatility. Usually for a newer investor wanting steady growth, you want to flip that ratio. Think about making a broad market ETF your core holding around 60 to 80 percent, and then use the rest of your money for these individual conviction plays. If it helps, I actually run a public pie on Trading 212 that a lot of people copy to build a reliable foundation. It keeps 60 percent in broad global ETFs to capture the whole market safely, and the other 40 percent in rock solid blue chip dividend payers like Microsoft, J&J, and Coca Cola. You definitely do not need to copy it, but looking at how it is set up might give you a good idea of what a more balanced portfolio looks like.

Longjumping_College

Yeah.... don't chip fabrication facilities take 5+ years? He said this a year ago Did he bribe ASML?

OrcOgi

ASML is near ATH... wtf you clowns doing lmao.

Vegetable_Push6542

Memory (MU, SNDK, WDC, STX) and semiconductor suppliers (ASML, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC) have been straight up hulk dicking it while other stocks crumble

CMDR_Shepard96

Microsoft nuked my port (was long calls). Pivoted to ASML, that finished me off lol

Vegetable_Push6542

Iran War has nothing to do with this. Look at how stocks like MU, SNDK, ASML/AMAT are doing. The Iran War is being used as an excuse to sell off stocks that were overpriced for a long time and then when we get some sort of resolution we'll pump back up. This isn't a bear market, we may have some correction in 2028 or 2029 but not now, markets are going to be fine within the next few months.

Vegetable_Push6542

Hear me out; we are selling off not because of the Iran war, but because stocks were way overvalued in the first place and now we need an excuse to correct. And this is why you see certain sectors doing well ex. MU/SNDK/etc. and fab suppliers ex. ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC

Dphotog790

i bought in 2020 during pandemic. stopped obsessively looking due to it being like a gambling addiction like waking up to check EU market opening and again for east coast US opening. the idea was because at that time AMD had just produced the first 7nm cpu and intel at that time were stuck at 14nm +++++ for 4 to 5 years snot improving. Writing was on the wall even Linus tech was saying buy the stock lol i dont put much into a tech youtuber but after finding out amd didnt even make their own cpus thats why i heavily invested into TSMC after learning what they did and who they made it for... Again it was more about what was going at that time i didnt bother looking at who made tsmc machines so that was a fumble on my part also not investing into ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

Ofc Sandick pumps whilst ASML continues to do fuck all

CMDR_Shepard96

Another day, another reaming from ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML Back to dumping again. Fuck sake..

Successful-Tea-5733

The move away from US Assets recently has been more political than financial. The largest company on VXUS, TSMC has a market cap of $1.5 tril. Next is ASML at $500bil. For comparison TSMC would only come in around 7 on the S&P 500. ASML would be around 16. The US is simply a better place for business and you'll see that in stock returns. And keep in mind, both of these are going to go up and down with the same AI/Chip/Semi volatility that the Mag7 are exposed to. I'm not opposed to having a piece of VXUS or other international. Just making the point that VXUS went up because of politics, but is falling for the same reason other large cap tech stocks are falling.

Rohat19

why tf did ASML and TSMC fall off a cliff? did Iran bomb chip farms

aizver_muti

ASML didn't beat expectations.

Vegetable_Push6542

Fake pump on Oracle. Hopefully it goes negative tomorrow. ASML pumped 10% on earnings and sold off all day to end the day at -3%.

jnas_19

Plaza Accord, Louvre Accord, Forcing Allies to Exclude Huawei, Vietnam War, Banana Wars/Latin America, Export Controls around ASML/TSMC, Iraq War Coalition, Tariff trade deals that heavily favored US, Dollar-Oil/Petrodollar Pact, etc etc. I'm still waiting for the huge economic impact from such a "damaged relationship"

AnonThrowaway998877

Do they have manufacturing capacity to produce mass quantities to sell, and if not, is it "easy" to get there or is it something more like ASML that takes lots of time and money?

IntergalacticBurn

I bought into ASML in April 2025 and held it since =\]

Diamondhands4dagainz

Huge AI pump. Look at AVGO MU ASML lmfao jfc

kal14144

ASML absolutely shrieking

jgcraig

You would like ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

Praying for my ASML Calls after the last week. I'm so cooked

justinsst

ASML was 1500 two weeks ago, what happened? I sold at the top but just curious if there’s some news I missed after earnings. Just market anxiety over AI?

CMDR_Shepard96

So, you think my MSFT & ASML calls might not have a good week?

CMDR_Shepard96

So, how do we think this will effect MSFT & ASML. My calls are so cooked

twk1212

Isn't ASML a Dutch stock traded in NYSE? Do you have to pay more taxes on this? Is this in taxable brokerage or Roth?

No-Understanding2406

the equipment companies are "neutral" framing is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. ASML just reported flat Q4 bookings and guided cautiously. if chip export controls tighten further, foundries outside the US reduce capacity additions, and suddenly ASML, AMAT, LRCX have fewer customers building new fabs. the whole "they sell equipment not chips" argument ignores that equipment demand is downstream of chip demand. also the "domestic demand is exempted so everything is fine" angle misses the bigger picture. the entire AI capex thesis depends on hyperscalers eventually monetizing that spend internationally. if Microsoft builds $80B worth of US data centers but can't fully deploy AI services in half the world because of restrictions on the underlying chips, the return on that capex gets harder to justify over time. honestly though, while everyone debates this export control draft, the actual underpriced risk to the chip supply chain right now is energy. Qatar's Ras Laffan going offline means Taiwan's LNG supply is getting squeezed hard. TSMC runs on gas. 60 days of reserves sounds comfortable until you realize Asian spot LNG just went vertical and every available cargo is getting outbid by desperate buyers. the intersection of the Hormuz energy disruption and semiconductor manufacturing is where i'd actually be looking, not some bureaucratic licensing framework that'll probably get watered down before it's finalized anyway.