ASML

LibertarianPrime

U.S. produces about 12% of global chip supply and that is likely to grow based on current fabs under construction. But the main mechanism of the export ban is IP. Nvidia designs the chips, so it is American IP and therefore subject to U.S. laws. Similarly, ASML used American technology (and parts) in their lithography machines, hence how the US was able to ban ASML exports to China.

elgrandorado

I unwinded the last of my ASML position because of this. We're definitely in the throes of the AI CapEx supercycle, but the moment one of the hyperscalers flinches, the ride down will be gnarly. It could be two years from now, but the time to buy into the shovels was 2-4 years ago. I'm debating on GOOG. They've proven their ability to reinvest in the business and continually fend off competitors, but I don't like to see FCF multiples compress like this to starve out AI labs.

CMDR_Shepard96

Even if they wanna start a war, you know what missiles need? Chips. Calls on ASML & LMT/RTX.

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML wiping 30 billion off its market cap after all the AI companies smash earnings and commit to give capex, makes total sense

fire_alarmist

There is no way they waited to shake me out of an atm ASML put and OTM ASML put, 30 SPY puts and MU puts before dropping it like this... Holy shit man I hate this market so much. Shit never makes sense.

Opposite_Engine_6776

All my names are getting gaped… NVDA, MU, GOOG, ASML Only one that isn’t is PLTR ….. oh wait, never mind, just end me.

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML wtf happened

TheGraeme95

ASML wyd bro

CMDR_Shepard96

My ASML bull spreads got fucken obliterated

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML and GOOGL getting murdered

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML what are you doing bro

M_from_Vegas

Samsung... which means essentially South Korea It's a spicy meatball like ASML or Rheinmetall for foreign exposure But you can gamble, I mean invest, using options Have fun!

elgrandorado

More the timing of buybacks. It irritated me to no end how ASML would do their buybacks constantly at ATH because they had a buyback cadence. Being in a cyclical industry like that, they know they should hold off until the market decides to rear it's ugly head.

Vento_echo

ASML has been better!

InverseTheUniverse

Diamond hand it playa I promise you we haven't been drip buying NVDA, ASML, MU, and TSM like goblins.

Cruian

>The main point to buy an international index is diversification to mid and smaller companies which are underrepresented in the sp500, which by design is the 500 largest companies. International has several large companies as well that likely would be S&P 500 members if they were located in the US. Toyota, Samsung, ASML Bayer to name a few. International is about getting exposure to how foreign stock markets behave. We've even seen long term where they've done better than the US at 10, 20, 30, 40, and 60 year periods.

Aggravating_Sir_4709

Like I get TSM and ASML are must owns, but there comes a time where these guys will be the death of someones port, and its another one of those 10% juice left kind of situations.

ReynardMuldrake

Nearly 60% of my portfolio is shared between NVDA, ASML, TSM, SNPS, and GOOGL. That's not by design. I've been holding since 2017-2019 and they used to make up more like 10-15% I've already sold enough NVDA to lock in my gains, so I'm fine letting it ride. I don't mind the short-term turbulence. I believe in this sector long-term.

MeowTheMixer

They make more than just fiber. They are in AI pretty heavy though. - Leader for materials required for lithography (for companies such as ASML) - Sole supplier of [touch screens for iPhones, and iWatch](https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2025/08/apple-corning-to-manufacture-all-iphone-apple-watch-cover-glass-in-kentucky/) - Decently large in auto infotainment systems - Moving into solar panels (not sure how I feel about this)

corndog_messiah

ASML is such a fucking chad

greenpride32

Mine is about 35%, not because I intended it that way, but because my semis have gone up so much (NVDA AVGO are the 2 biggies). I don't feel the need to diversify out yet... because the companies are still growing with no end in sight. Here's the thing, semis were hot back starting in 2017-18-ish timeframe. That's because the world is moving more digital, electric, "smart" and connected - all of this grows the semi market - it's not just about AI. AI made it go exponential since big tech is trying to accelerate AI advancements with huge upfront capex spend. Just look at your charts for LRCX ASML CDNS AMAT ADI SNPS KLAC and many others - upwards since 2017.

Antestor01

12 % HSBC NASDAQ Global Semiconductor ETF 10 % iShares AI Infrastructure ETF 10 % ASML 8 % TSMC 6 % Alphabet 6 % Amazon 6 % Microsoft Total: 58 % As you can tell I'm a big believer that long term, the compute need on the planet will only continue to go up. If you wanna maximize gains yet minimize risk, I highly recommend the mentioned Global Semiconductor ETF. The only reason why my ASML and TSMC positions are so big is because they grew over time and I don't want to trim then right now, since I would need to pay a lot of taxes.

CartoonLamp

I mean, Intel "found" it then ASML/TSMC blew past them

hotcornballer

They don't, a lot of AI research is iterating and incremental improvements on existing core concepts (kinda like all research), the real magic comes from techniques that play well with scaling laws. So the real magic will always be throwing more compute (and data but that's getting rare) at the problem. As much as the AI labs would like to make you believe that their model is special and magic and that they have a moat and the best researchers, the real gains will come from companies like Nvidia, ASML and Google that actually make the damn hardware.

DNosnibor

ASML doesn't design integrated circuits. They design and build equipment that is used to make integrated circuits.

rain168

ASML is ALWAYS ATH. Even when trading sideways.

PaperHandsTheDip

why would you bet against ASML?

Top_Category_2526

All the stock i bought last year are down 50% or more, but the only stock i sold its at all time high right now (ASML)

DegenBagholder_

I think about 3 weeks ago, I just bought a bunch of random stuff, I had sold a large 5x ASML position back then and didn't want to sit on cash

DonnieG3

Who spends most of their cash at ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

Should've bought ASML..

DamiensDelight

Porque no ASML?

joe-re

I hate waking up to my net worth dropping significantly just because Xi Jinping had a bad hair day or high blood pressure. Given geopolitics, I don't consider TSMC "safe". I got into ASML a while ago. That paid off, but it's a slow burner.

ThinkingOfTheOldDays

my mistake, I thought they were based in Netherlands I must have been thinking of ASML

OilAny787

ASML is overvalued.

Some-Internet-Rando

My list of things I'd be happy to have calls on: NVIDIA Google TSMC ASML Samsung SK Hynix Micron

TomorrowSavings7579

Do you appreciate ASML for what they do in the ecosystem?

Some-Internet-Rando

Google and NVIDIA are well positioned if AI actually pays off. TSMC and ASML and possibly Hynix and Samsung and Micron are well positioned for sustained hardware demand. Buy one percent of your portfolio as UVXY OTM calls; if there's a crash, they print; if there's not, it's cheap insurance.

Rand-Seagull96734

I have a slightly different take: there is a real shift happening here and the street is not wrong in detecting it. Just like the value on the LLM stack has moved down to the chip companies and their suppliers - NVDA > ASML + TSM as one example, or GOOG (TPU) > BRCM > ASML + TSM as another - with models and cloud providers losing value, or having to invest a lot just to stand still share wise, the value in Cyber security will move down to hardware with enterprises being able to easily build agentic Cybersecurity workflows. This is based on the fact that a lot of what these Cybersecurity SAAS firms do is mask the grodiness of today's hardware as well as change and version management of messy underlying hardware elements not designed properly. Hardware elements are going to improve by cleaning up their data and agentic/API interface so enterprises can build their own cbersecurity workflows with agentic API without having to pay an arm and a leg to the Cybersecurity SAAS companies. Another reason SAAS companies are suffering in general has been their escalating costs after lockin which no CFO likes. PANW will suffer just like Adobe for that reason.

pgpnw

Found this the other day. Interesting scenario re ASML: [https://breachingpoint.substack.com/p/the-trade-war-the-president-doesnt](https://breachingpoint.substack.com/p/the-trade-war-the-president-doesnt)

Due-Reporter-7004

Im still in AI bottlenecks like AMAT,ASML, or TSM

stompinstinker

Any good ETF. Vanguard has VEA for example. PE is 17, dividend yield is 2.9%, and highest allocation is 1.86% for ASML. And it’s across dozens of countries. Compare that to VOO which has a PE of 27.5, dividend yield of 1.1%, and highest allocation is 7.83% for Nvidia. And that’s one country.

Glittering-Fail-8056

Guys if I am interviewing for ASML and they ask me about what do you know about company? Should I start a discussion about their stock valuation and this weeks earnings?

PuffyPanda200

The article states: >In the last six months, U.S.-domiciled investors have pulled some $75 billion from U.S. equity products, with $52 billion flowing out since the start of 2026 alone, the most in the first eight weeks of the year since at least 2010, according to LSEG/Lipper data. To be fully clear the two numbers are basically the same number. The 52 B is in the last 2 months (ish) and the 75 B includes those two months and four more in 2025. 75 B (taking the bigger number) is just not a large number at all. The SP500 market cap is 61 T. So this is ~.12%. This is a small shift. So I would also question if there is a whole lot of meaning in the national origin of a company. Toyota has almost as many American employees as Japanese. 20% of ASML's employees are in the US. Airbus has a final assembly plant in the US. Buying EADSY stock along side Boeing isn't necessarily a flight from US companies. It is (in my case) a desire for diversity in a critical market.

Electrical-Two8267

This is emotional betting vs professional. Invest in good stocks - AMAT, ASML, NVDA, AMD, GOOG etc I'm sire there are many good stocks out there

JC878

Should have bought Rheinmetall AG (RHM) before. Now the stock price is on the moon, even higher than ASML.

Complex_Aardvark_661

Retail buying the software dip is interesting because software moats are exactly the kind that AI threatens most. Not all of them obviously, but the ones whose competitive advantage is organizing or processing information. Adobe, for instance, has a great moat by traditional metrics, but AI-native design tools are doing things in seconds that used to take hours in Photoshop. Compare that to something like ASML or TSM where the moat is physical infrastructure. AI literally cannot disrupt owning the only machines that make advanced chips. The "buy the dip" thesis works if you believe these software companies adapt fast enough. But it's worth asking whether the dip reflects a real structural shift, not just a temporary selloff.

TDn6I

I have held ASML and TSM for a couple years now as stand alone stocks, but likely will just go with a VSUX for broader international exposure.

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML V wen Pls don't be the next Microsoft.

fire_alarmist

ASML breaking down LOL. ai trade FINITO

Les7X

This morning I opened a small position on ASML, so it's guaranteed it will drop tomorrow, possibly for the entire week even. Free money for you guys, you deserve it XOXO

Retropixl

Yeah I think a lot of people have written off the possibility of there being a massive cyclical downturn in the near future. A lot of these semi companies, especially the equipment names, are so overvalued. A lot of people are gonna get burned really badly, I would not want to be holding ASML at an average of $1400 that’s for sure.

Rare_Steak_

You dumb? ASML is up 33% YTD while Mag7 was snoozing.

moonrust-app

ASML laid off a couple thousand workers recently.

Retropixl

They’re just late to the game, I had a massive amount of ASML and LAM up until about August and then I sold it off. Anybody buying at these levels is an idiot, ASML at these levels looks just like the peak in 2024.

elgrandorado

People talking about buying semis right now were the same people that thought I was crazy when I was amassing my ASML stake in 2023.

SorryLifeguard7

ASML

No_Purpose8162

I’ve been investing in semiconductor stocks for years. At first, I did it through a semiconductor ETF. But a few years ago, I realized that ASML, TSMC, and NVDA already made up a huge portion of the fund. So I sold the ETF and bought those three stocks directly. Since then, it has performed extremely well. I’ve significantly outperformed any semiconductor ETFs. So my question is: why own a semiconductor ETF when it’s heavily concentrated anyway and you can just buy the main stocks directly?

Ok-Commercial-924

How fast is ASML going to leave?

Antestor01

This guy fucks. Same from my side, go for a Semiconductor ETF. I personally really like the HSBC Nasdaq Global Semiconductor USD. Biggest positions are TSMC, Nvidia, ASML, AMD, Broadcom, SK Hynix, Micron, LAM Research.

reap3r28

It's not just about who can operate the fastest and at the lowest cost. It's also about who controls the moat on components the entire supply chain relies on. **$NVDA,** **$ASML,** **$MU, $TSM** all control critical components that the entire AI stack uses. Personally I own SMH for broad based exposure, got in last April during the tariffs concerns. I built a dashboard (**semiflow.io**) tracking 18 core semiconductor companies with metrics gathered from 10-K filings. I wanted to see where the real supply and demand is through monitoring revenue, margins, and inventory levels (to see who is actually being efficient vs. who is building up a glut).

fire_alarmist

When does the news drop that China has managed to recreate the lithography machines and that the semiconductor boom is now over and semiconductors will become another low margin, high volume bs industry? ASML going to 700 overnight at somepoint this year, mark my words.

ShadowLiberal

So how would this effect foreigners who hold Netherlands stock like ASML? Am I going to get screwed over by this in the US if I hold ASML?

funnymanus

there is a lot more in the world than AI, in fact almost all chipmakers (that is pretty fundamental for AI) are depending on ASML which is based in NL.

rumNpugs

No GLD? I’m like 25 percent cash, 15 percent GLD, rest stocks with heavy AI focus (MU, SNDK, ASML, GOOG, TSM…)

mdedetrich

This is entirely the wrong take, EU makes the most advanced machines on the planet which requires tight co-operation with many EU countries (ASML). There is also AirBus, which was formed by all of the EU airline manufacturer’s getting together. The reason why EU used visa/mastercard is simply that there was no pressing reason to move away from it until now, it’s not that EU couldnt do it. In any case the EU digital wallet is on track

sunburn74

LAM, KLAC, ASML, TSM, Micron, Sandisk, KORU (play on samsung/skhynix). These companies will win regardless of who ultimately wins the AI race. Honestly you could just buy SMH or CHAT or QQQ and be fine.

WordsHappenedHere

Watch the rotation. Today for example, SPY was flat. What was up? IGV. CRWD. NOW. The things that were heavily beaten down for months. What’s been up huge this year? Or over the last 12 months? CAT MU SNDK ASML. All this AI buildout stuff, infra and the AI adjacent stuff like CAT. What’s up huge is going to be the next source of capital (selling). CAT will probably draw down soon. Also look at ASML for weakness soon. The key is where will it go? Most likely for the next few weeks IGV forms a base. NOW and CRWD and HUBS work as short term tactical trades. Long term start picking real software winners. The next phase of AI after the buildout is going to be software. Cyber security is all oversold and the most logical place for money to flow. Agentic AI and all these AI agents increase attack surface areas. CRWD should work next week and into March at least. Key is to watch what’s working. Money usually flows first into the most oversold areas.

jensenskawk

Regard, these are not GPUs. GPUs currently need the latest node processes from TSMC / ASML. Those infrared sensors can be manufactured on old processes.

Even-Watch-5427

I think if there is one company that can make money out of AI, it's Google, and it's ecosystem providers. The only other company part of that ecosystem is AVGO, and obviously ASML/TSMC Nvidia will find it difficult to compete simply because of Google's vertical integration, and they have been playing tricks to extend their reign, often relying on clueless partners who don't have the ability to execute, but showing them a rosy demand picture. I believe companies without high technical expertise in AI will simply be washed away. This includes companies like orcl (they're really most at risk), but also companies without products that can use AI to charge end customers (Amzn). Msft may still be somewhat ok. But yeah, if you believe in the promise of AI, then the best long term bet is Google. And they will likely make far more money than people imagine.

MrYOLOMcSwagMeister

I should have full ported ASML like my boomer dad lol

90sRiceWagon

Trying to milk the early ASML holders dry

Sodiac606

Google is literally my only AI play besides a small position in in Nvidia and ASML. I am holding Google since 2019, should've bought A LOT more. But hindsight is always 20/20.

InquisitorCOC

"The AI fever is breaking" Are you really that clueless? Two days ago, $100 billion were chasing $10 billion Google **100 year bond**! Today, [Anthropic announced another $30 billion raise](https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/02/12/anthrop), from an originally planned $10 billion. Its ARR (Annualized Revenue Run-Rate) increased to $14 billion in January from $9 billion in Dec 2025, or an increase of 50% in one month TSMC, the ever conservative number 1 chip maker, finally caved in to customer demand and planned massive capex increase in coming years That's why chip equipment makers such as ASML and Applied Materials are scaling new highs, despite some lukewarm trailing results Smart investors watch **future fundamentals**, not the past

type_error

I guess we all missed the real play... AMAT damn... and it pumped ASML with it

CMDR_Shepard96

How do I only pick losers ASML calls MSFT calls SPY calls GOOGL calls SLV calls

CMDR_Shepard96

SNDK green dicking 10% and ASML being red - makes sense

Narkanin

I bought ASML last year, up over 90%. Put a decent amount in but wish it had been way more

coopermug

Im not selling any of my 100 shares. Recently I've sold some of my 2026 calls to take profit since I've upped so much (around 1000%). Now i still have 1 June 2027 call. Looks like this stock is getting ready for another breakout to 500. Love this stock but im avoiding adding more at the moment. Maybe I'll buy more leap calls when this pulls back. I think if you have concern about it being cyclical, then you must do the same for other pure chips stocks like TSM, ASML, etc anyway.

notsurewhator

It’s undervalued. It’s up 40% YtD. Market hasn’t even been hot. The AI spending is out of control. It will take a hit at some point but I don’t see Ai bubble crashing in 2026. ASML however is my top pick for next 1-2 years

kalakesri

ASML doing layoffs is it joever?

WizardOfWires

MAG7 is trending down; only AAPL looks sweet for a short term, rest of them on a downward trajectory. 1. MU and STRL has strong uptrend. 2. LITE, BE, ASML, TSEM in buy zone. 3. GLD as a bet if things go bad.

Ancient_Sort5820

SCHD and ASML are the only reasons im not drowning this year

sabertoothed_tiger

Broadcom and ASML

tired_ani

TSM is already my largest individual position , I am at a 175% gain on my cost basis. I have ASML too.

elgrandorado

Down significantly on MCO, FICO, SPGI, & CSU over the past six months. Bought some RDDT this week as I finally got comfortable enough with the business to add at these levels. I'm extremely patient though and am willing to add when I see opportunity. I'm pulling forward some cash to add right now because some of these companies look too solid regardless of short term fear. I remember getting a lot of flack for buying ASML on the way down due to China & geopolitical fear. I took a near 50% drop from it's Q2 2024 peak, and that holding has been my largest winner ever since, even after I cut 70% of the stake.

ThanklessWaterHeater

Imagine an investor who simply puts a little money into the market at a time, never more into one company than he’d be willing to lose. He never invests in the companies making headlines at the moment, he looks for smaller companies that are growing, and that are in growing sectors. Thirty years ago he likes pharmaceuticals; he puts a few thousand into Eli Lilly, Amgen, Regeneron. Twenty years ago he puts a few thousand into Apple; he also likes medical technology and puts a few thousand into Becton Dickenson, Stryker, Medtronic. Ten years ago he thinks silicon is becoming more important and puts a few thousand ino Micron Technology, Lam Research, ASML and Taiwan Semiconductor. There are so many scenarios people can come up with where this person must inevitably fail. But the simplest one—no catastrophe comes along and the investor sees his investments grow a hundred fold—is not even thought plausible.

Malevin87

Nah. Its America trying to prevent TSMC and ASML from selling to China. The problem is America. Corruption + preventing free trade.

robertlt

If you google the exact phrase "how much did euro tech companies pay in 2024" all discussions circle back to the image you are referring to, this one: https://scontent.fbma6-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/606478377_1195436312731783_1781636673720926720_n.jpg?_nc_cat=106&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=127cfc&_nc_ohc=U5NCbVHePPMQ7kNvwHXEWBM&_nc_oc=AdkMNW9MNEqItslqh9zYYAfsW7urnIdhCpkvSsE8sAQYBjpcWnWMMsO-ySYMC6KWKVw&_nc_zt=23&_nc_ht=scontent.fbma6-1.fna&_nc_gid=Cao420kZgf2pDBJnCSa8FQ&oh=00_Aft-oom9lugj3ubkODfIswOGHbjnx-88a0-D7Q5RWgmZ2w&oe=69924E11 This image claims to include ALL european tech companies. Where is ASML? Where is Siemens? You are making a factually incorrect statement based on a factually incorrect image. Look up what ai refers to when it tells you the number 3.2 billion, its discussions about this image. Ok so just a figment of your imagination, got it.

robertlt

Yes, i understand you saw a reddit post and took it as fact but it is still not factually correct. ASML paid 2.336 billion in taxes in 2025, SAP SE 2.98 billion. Public figures. Real figures. It is very funny you want me to apologize based on a reddit post you once saw lol. "They are more interested in producing a mass surveillance nanny state and social credit score than bringing innovation." This is just a figment of your imagination or did you see another reddit post saying so?

myothercarisayoshi

TSM and ASML are just enormous slam dunks. Wish I had bought more TSM last year.

Psychological-Egg561

Invested in this company years ago and I still believe it should be worth 3…4 times the market cap. But as long as the US is in a position to keep those companies small with corruption and military pressure it is not worth to invest. Same with ASML

RD_006

x4.5 less compared to $1400 ASML. Without TSM there's no tech.

Zann77

If I was going to yolo into anything, I’d buy SMH or SOXX. The semiconductors have done fantastically well for me-I’ve owned FSELX for well over 20 years and am up enormously. I also own NVDIA, ASML, and TSM, because I like owning some individuals and am addicted to the gains to be made in semis. Need to rebalance, badly. I have also owned APP for a while. Be wary, it’s extremely volatile. I’ve bought and sold, made some money, but am currently underwater. Consider building a foundation in VOO or SPY or IVV. Risk is exciting, but having a good amount in steady eddies (that grow) can take the edge off when APP drops $100 over a couple days.

Jacobpapi

Lets pump MU and ASML, attackk

Prudent-Corgi3793

I would like to include TSM and ASML as well, but Stock Analysis does not perform currency conversion and Macrotrends rarely updates non-US stocks.

No_Current3675

Eh. I like to place orders and then fuck off. I'll miss some moonshots (my 700 order for ASML last year didn't fill, FML), but I don't lose money.

APC2_19

Its not really aboyt automation. Is more about the skills required in making the products and the supply chain. We need more companies like ASML and Airbus, and a stronger defence industry.  But a wealthy country cant just rely on manufacturing, so tech and finance should also be a priority

Eclipsed830

ASML makes the oven... Nvidia provides the recipe... TSMC is the chef that gathers the ingredients and makes the pizza. 

wish-resign

Intel also buys and relies on ASML machines, they aren’t competing with them. They are competing with TSCM in actually producing the chips for NVIDIA and AMD while also completing with said companies for their own chip designs to be integrated in consumer technologies