ASML

option-trader

I like ASML and NET. Come back in 12 months and let me know how both are doing.

LumpyShock9656

How TF did you lose money on ASML? It's up 70% in 6 months

elgrandorado

I sold 70% at $1,000, 30% at $1,450. Happy with the returns, ASML will likely continue to outperform but there's a lot of expectations on them and I don't know how long the AI supercycle will last. Too much uncertainty with other opportunities at real value for my eyes. Keep in mind I was buying at 2023 lows of $570, $580

UnObtainium17

I bought that dip, but sold all of it too soon. I thought there was no point in holding ASML, AVGO and TSM.

MitchCurry

Just watched Veritasium's video from a couple months ago on ASML and I still can't believe we had the opportunity to buy shares at a 40%+ drawdown a year ago.

greg_r_

Yeah lol. Ignore the copers. LLMs are here to stay for the foreseeable future. MU, NVDA, ASML, LRCX, and TSM are all great options(heh) over a \~3-4-year timeline.

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML is going to send me to wendys

CMDR_Shepard96

Currently getting murdered by Gold, the Bag7, and ASML all simultaneously. I think my port is going to zero. Fuck.

CMDR_Shepard96

Is ASML ever going to pump again. Fml

Hamzehaq7

nice choice with ASML, they're definitely in a sweet spot with chip demand. if you're looking at secondary plays, check out companies like KLA and Lam Research too—they ride the coattails of the big guys. tbh, those toll booth companies can be solid, especially in tech. but keep an eye on any potential market shifts, especially with all this geopolitical stuff going on. like, the news about Trump and Israel impacting the energy sector could shake things up a bit. how's your overall portfolio doing with the current market volatility?

Low-Cranberry100

I think ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC aren't going to go down much even if the market correction continues. Together you could argue that they're the most important group of companies on the planet without which no chips and hence no technology could be made.

CMDR_Shepard96

My account topped out in October at 130k - I swapped from gold to software and got obliterated in Q1 '26 (thought gold has definitely topped out after that October dump - then MSFT nuked me). Then ASML is burning my account alive 😆 I've mostly rotated to software LEAPS in the hope they're a safe bet (March '27)

tomjava

ASML makes the DUV and EUV machine, Not TSMC or Samsung.

CMDR_Shepard96

Wtf is this price action on ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML pumps & dumps every fucken day. Just go up damnit..

FarrisAT

It’s relatively easier for Hua Hong to achieve 7nm class production since SMIC has already done so since ~2023. The knowledge and some tools are handed down. As long as they have enough ASML DUV scanners, they can multipattern to the proper resolution and scale assuming they utilize similar suppliers.

metalheadabhi

Booked all my SNDK and ASML profits today, just gotta sit on cash for a few weeks

Vegetable_Push6542

The only stocks that probably won't go much lower are ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. MU/SNDK/WDC/STX will depend on MU earnings tomorrow.

No_Current3675

I shoulda dumped all of my ASML at $1500. Oh well.

Historical_Air_8997

It’s better than what I can make, but isn’t ASML at like 2nm now? With a next gen machine coming out in a couple years. It’s all good, but was just curious if it’s actually a decade behind or is it a big jump putting them like 5 years? Or slower than expected and they’re 15 years behind?

Historical_Air_8997

7nm is still not super impressive right? Like a decade+ behind ASML release of 7nm machines. This is also assuming they aren’t just using old ASML machines.

hakim37

They're almost certainly still using ASML's immersion DUV machines which are no longer prohibited to sell to China. China's home grown lithography efforts are still struggling at 28nm.

Better-Call-SauI

Europe be like: ASML, NBIS, Mercedes, BMW ,Ferrari, Lamborghini 🥭US be like we wuz hicks n shieet: McDonald's, Walmart, some social media crap Leave NATO and raise tariffs and you can admire in awe how rich the great recession folks were.

Better-Call-SauI

🥭Europe's deepest wish rn is that US leaves NATO and stops trading with us. Europe makes stuff like Mercedes' and ASML while US sells us Coca Cola and McD's. Gtfo of Europe with your tariffs!

bihari_baller

> in the following order - ASML, AMAT, LAM, KLA = TEL Process control intensity is only going to go up with more advanced chips, not down.

hubblebubble7

Jensen thinks he has ASML style monopoly, bullshit

CMDR_Shepard96

Looks like everything is gonna pump except for my deep red ASML calls.. I just wanna break even at this point 😮‍💨

rickster555

No they’re not, ASML, the second most important (or just as important some would say) company in the manufacturing of chips would not side with China. China would be way behind. So no, China does not have incentive to invade because TSMC is just as important, if not more, to them

Aggressive_Finish798

I feel like some winner have it locked in already. ASML, Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom, TSMC. Who can knock them out of the places? The smaller up and comers? Yeah, there all jockeying for a spot at the table.

ArQ7777

I don't think Elon Musk knows he need to order equipment from ASML. He forgot about that.

Vegetable_Push6542

China is willing to throw Iran under the bus if they were able to get access to say, ASML machines. But I don't think that would ever happen. They'd get access to every Nvidia chip possible before access to any high EUV ASML machines.

Usual-Memory-3668

The majority of your portfolio should likely be in that VOO, and a couple others like it but for different sectors.  For individual stocks: I wouldn't Do Vertex or Inthitice. Pharmaceutical stocks are too volatile with news one way or another one new approvals or finding out their product is 2% worse than a competitor so stocks soar massively and rank massively. Energy stocks are generally slower growers, but lately have been quicker, though also are now becoming volatile as well with news on approvals or disapprovals of new projects. Only buy cheniere if you truly believe in them regardless of news one way or another affecting the stock in short terms.  ASML was a good choice long ago, this generation of tooling is peaking though. There is no guarantee ASML will be topdog in the next set of tooling. They were nothing before this generation and could very well be nothing in the next. In fact, ASML hasn't even talked about working on next gen tooling yet which is pretty bad. I wouldn't hold them more than couple more years as it is too risky at that point. 

JR-FlowCapGroup

I like Vanguard but make at least 50 percent or so. It feels like you don't know how to pick businesses.ASML, coca cola and Waste management are good bets. The others I am not familiar with. Try to invest in businesses that have a moat and a predictable business with predictable earnings. It is mentioned but indeed, don't take reddit advice. If you're looking for stock picks, go to dataroma and watch the superinvestors and what they pick. You'll do far better with those. Good luck 

elegance78

ASML should tell Musk to go pound sand, no litho machines for him.

Nelsons93

Hey welcome to investing! It is awesome that you are committing to 400 to 500 a month. Honestly that consistency is the most important part. Looking at your list, it is great that you have VOO as your top holding. You also have some fantastic companies in there like Waste Management and ASML. But since you mentioned wanting relatively steady gains, your balance is a bit off right now. Only having 22 percent in your foundation like VOO and putting huge weightings into single companies like almost 15 percent in Nutrien adds a lot of risk. You also have a pretty big chunk tied up in highly speculative stuff like CRISPR and Joby which brings a lot of volatility. Usually for a newer investor wanting steady growth, you want to flip that ratio. Think about making a broad market ETF your core holding around 60 to 80 percent, and then use the rest of your money for these individual conviction plays. If it helps, I actually run a public pie on Trading 212 that a lot of people copy to build a reliable foundation. It keeps 60 percent in broad global ETFs to capture the whole market safely, and the other 40 percent in rock solid blue chip dividend payers like Microsoft, J&J, and Coca Cola. You definitely do not need to copy it, but looking at how it is set up might give you a good idea of what a more balanced portfolio looks like.

Longjumping_College

Yeah.... don't chip fabrication facilities take 5+ years? He said this a year ago Did he bribe ASML?

OrcOgi

ASML is near ATH... wtf you clowns doing lmao.

Vegetable_Push6542

Memory (MU, SNDK, WDC, STX) and semiconductor suppliers (ASML, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC) have been straight up hulk dicking it while other stocks crumble

CMDR_Shepard96

Microsoft nuked my port (was long calls). Pivoted to ASML, that finished me off lol

Vegetable_Push6542

Iran War has nothing to do with this. Look at how stocks like MU, SNDK, ASML/AMAT are doing. The Iran War is being used as an excuse to sell off stocks that were overpriced for a long time and then when we get some sort of resolution we'll pump back up. This isn't a bear market, we may have some correction in 2028 or 2029 but not now, markets are going to be fine within the next few months.

Vegetable_Push6542

Hear me out; we are selling off not because of the Iran war, but because stocks were way overvalued in the first place and now we need an excuse to correct. And this is why you see certain sectors doing well ex. MU/SNDK/etc. and fab suppliers ex. ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC

Dphotog790

i bought in 2020 during pandemic. stopped obsessively looking due to it being like a gambling addiction like waking up to check EU market opening and again for east coast US opening. the idea was because at that time AMD had just produced the first 7nm cpu and intel at that time were stuck at 14nm +++++ for 4 to 5 years snot improving. Writing was on the wall even Linus tech was saying buy the stock lol i dont put much into a tech youtuber but after finding out amd didnt even make their own cpus thats why i heavily invested into TSMC after learning what they did and who they made it for... Again it was more about what was going at that time i didnt bother looking at who made tsmc machines so that was a fumble on my part also not investing into ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

Ofc Sandick pumps whilst ASML continues to do fuck all

CMDR_Shepard96

Another day, another reaming from ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML Back to dumping again. Fuck sake..

Successful-Tea-5733

The move away from US Assets recently has been more political than financial. The largest company on VXUS, TSMC has a market cap of $1.5 tril. Next is ASML at $500bil. For comparison TSMC would only come in around 7 on the S&P 500. ASML would be around 16. The US is simply a better place for business and you'll see that in stock returns. And keep in mind, both of these are going to go up and down with the same AI/Chip/Semi volatility that the Mag7 are exposed to. I'm not opposed to having a piece of VXUS or other international. Just making the point that VXUS went up because of politics, but is falling for the same reason other large cap tech stocks are falling.

Rohat19

why tf did ASML and TSMC fall off a cliff? did Iran bomb chip farms

aizver_muti

ASML didn't beat expectations.

Vegetable_Push6542

Fake pump on Oracle. Hopefully it goes negative tomorrow. ASML pumped 10% on earnings and sold off all day to end the day at -3%.

jnas_19

Plaza Accord, Louvre Accord, Forcing Allies to Exclude Huawei, Vietnam War, Banana Wars/Latin America, Export Controls around ASML/TSMC, Iraq War Coalition, Tariff trade deals that heavily favored US, Dollar-Oil/Petrodollar Pact, etc etc. I'm still waiting for the huge economic impact from such a "damaged relationship"

AnonThrowaway998877

Do they have manufacturing capacity to produce mass quantities to sell, and if not, is it "easy" to get there or is it something more like ASML that takes lots of time and money?

IntergalacticBurn

I bought into ASML in April 2025 and held it since =\]

Diamondhands4dagainz

Huge AI pump. Look at AVGO MU ASML lmfao jfc

kal14144

ASML absolutely shrieking

jgcraig

You would like ASML

CMDR_Shepard96

Praying for my ASML Calls after the last week. I'm so cooked

justinsst

ASML was 1500 two weeks ago, what happened? I sold at the top but just curious if there’s some news I missed after earnings. Just market anxiety over AI?

CMDR_Shepard96

So, you think my MSFT & ASML calls might not have a good week?

CMDR_Shepard96

So, how do we think this will effect MSFT & ASML. My calls are so cooked

twk1212

Isn't ASML a Dutch stock traded in NYSE? Do you have to pay more taxes on this? Is this in taxable brokerage or Roth?

No-Understanding2406

the equipment companies are "neutral" framing is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. ASML just reported flat Q4 bookings and guided cautiously. if chip export controls tighten further, foundries outside the US reduce capacity additions, and suddenly ASML, AMAT, LRCX have fewer customers building new fabs. the whole "they sell equipment not chips" argument ignores that equipment demand is downstream of chip demand. also the "domestic demand is exempted so everything is fine" angle misses the bigger picture. the entire AI capex thesis depends on hyperscalers eventually monetizing that spend internationally. if Microsoft builds $80B worth of US data centers but can't fully deploy AI services in half the world because of restrictions on the underlying chips, the return on that capex gets harder to justify over time. honestly though, while everyone debates this export control draft, the actual underpriced risk to the chip supply chain right now is energy. Qatar's Ras Laffan going offline means Taiwan's LNG supply is getting squeezed hard. TSMC runs on gas. 60 days of reserves sounds comfortable until you realize Asian spot LNG just went vertical and every available cargo is getting outbid by desperate buyers. the intersection of the Hormuz energy disruption and semiconductor manufacturing is where i'd actually be looking, not some bureaucratic licensing framework that'll probably get watered down before it's finalized anyway.

dustsmoke

They don't have a monopoly on EUV. China has reverse engineered it from ASML and now have their own

AcousticMayo

I'm no expert, but I think once a stock catches mainstream exposure its just what people think about when they think chips. I invested in ASML back when it was criminally undervalued and most people didn't give it much of a look despite it having the same monopoly. On a tangent its like when Google wasn't going through the roof, people doubted its AI capabilities, now look at it AND people says it's undervalued still. Retail market sentiment still weirds me out

Morten14

I feel like ASML is the play. They make the equipment for making RAM

albearcub

Having worked in the tool space for my entire career, I'd argue that you should prioritize investing in the tool companies in the following order - ASML, AMAT, LAM, KLA = TEL. I really don't see good long term arguments for investing in Lam > Applied as deposition and product diversity is just so much more important. Once (if) the memory cycle dies down, Lam just goes back to being an solely etch company. ASML's litho monopoly is definitive but the closest one following is AMAT's dep dominance, then followed by Lam's etch dominance.

External_Pattern9950

depends on your timeframe. if you are buying for 3+ years then ASML is the one i would look at first because they have a literal monopoly on EUV lithography and every chipmaker on earth needs their machines. the selloff is a gift if you have patience. TSM is the other obvious one since they manufacture for everyone and the geopolitical risk is already priced in more than it should be. for a more speculative play, LRCX and KLAC are the picks and shovels of the industry. avoid trying to catch the exact bottom. set a price you like and start a position, then add more if it drops another 10-15%. the semiconductor cycle is real and we are closer to the bottom than the top of this correction.

Always_Curious_One2

The tax effects by country are complicated. But I’ll add that many public companies in Europe are “legacy” industries like banks, consumer products, chemical companies, telecom, automotive… An outstanding leader is ASML in semiconductor manufacturing . And there are brands like LVMH etc and some solid drug makers, but otherwise not a lot of leading edge industries (there are privates).

Haikoe

Trying to get that EUV machine out of my backyard. Those ASML guys refuse to believe they have to deliver at Intel, not incel

gamjatang111

It appears Trump wants to hinder China's AI growth first import restrictions on Chips and other things essential to semi conductor production like EUVs from ASML. I think the boldest play would be to take Taiwan now that US fleet is spread thin (If they go protect ships in Strait or Hormoz), they also have an embargo in Cuba and whatever force they have in Venezuela. Cutting off taiwan means cutting off US chip production and bolster China's own AI advancement

sentientshadeofgreen

I believe that AI isn't going away, what we'll actually see is a shift away from microelectronic semiconductors into photonic chips. With photonics, the absurd miniaturization that only TSMC can achieve using only ASML's EUV machines is not necessary. You can accomplish the same performance on a larger wafer. I think it's possible a Taiwan crisis happens before photonic chips usurp electronic chips, more likely it could even be a catalyst, but things are already moving that direction. That being said, I'm keeping some TSMC stock, geopolitical risk or not, there is nobody else on the planet that can do what they do and electronic chips are not going away. Samsung is second. Furthermore, in the context of AI, AI is waiting on a photonic chip revolution. We're talking light speed communication versus the speed of electrons through materials with resistance. There is a lot of money invested in de-risking the global supply chain away from one company in Taiwan who relies on one company in the Netherlands, so I think the photonic computing revolution is happening one way or another by the end of the decade. If I'm picking one company I think will be very successful, it takes very little creativity - it's going to be Nvidia. That being said, I have investments in Coherent (COHR), Corning (GLW), IBM, and IPG Photonics (IPGP). I'm planning to open positions in POET and Broadcom. Possibly will invest in Lumentum, nLight, and Cisco as well but I have to do more research and get a better idea of what I'm willing to pay. I'm waiting for a big stock market dip to tax-efficiently diversify more into this sector. A lot cheaper to actualize a loss and buy a market dip the same day, than to actualize a profit and overpay the same day. I don't like sitting on cash otherwise.

Pleasant_Arugula7571

The semiconductor angle here is the one I do not see discussed enough. Taiwan fabs run almost entirely on LNG for power generation. TSMC alone consumes roughly the equivalent of a small city worth of gas. They have approximately 60 days of reserves on island, which sounds like a lot until you realize the Ras Laffan plant going offline is not just a Qatar problem - it is a global LNG allocation problem. If you want to understand what happens to NVDA, ASML, and the entire AI infrastructure trade if this drags into April, look at what happened to DRAM prices in 2022 when European energy costs spiked. Manufacturers started throttling production not because of demand but because running at full capacity became economically irrational given input costs. Same logic applies to foundry capacity. The market is pricing this as an oil story. It is actually a global energy allocation story, and the second-order effects hit equities that most people assume are insulated from Middle East risk.

Pleasant_Arugula7571

The semiconductor angle here is the one I do not see discussed enough. Taiwan fabs run almost entirely on LNG for power generation. TSMC alone consumes roughly the equivalent of a small city worth of gas. They have approximately 60 days of reserves on island, which sounds like a lot until you realize the Ras Laffan plant going offline is not just a Qatar problem - it is a global LNG allocation problem. If you want to understand what happens to NVDA, ASML, and the entire AI infrastructure trade if this drags into April, look at what happened to DRAM prices in 2022 when European energy costs spiked. Manufacturers started throttling production not because of demand but because running at full capacity became economically irrational given input costs. Same logic applies to foundry capacity. The market is pricing this as an oil story. It is actually a global energy allocation story, and the second-order effects hit equities that most people assume are insulated from Middle East risk.

CMDR_Shepard96

Had some MSFT & ASML Calls 😀

CMDR_Shepard96

I thought ASML might bounce this week if Drumpf TACOd. Instead my calls are now -60% & -20k lol

CMDR_Shepard96

So uh, ASML bounce when?.....

GreenPRanger

Man you are really out here trying to gamble a hundred grand in a digital cage and calling it a strategy. Those names like Google and Microsoft are just the high priests of the cloud lords and you are just paying them rent to stay in their cathedral. This nine month window you talk about is a total silicon mirage designed to keep you trapped while they harvest your agency. Investing in ASML or TSMC is just funding the masters who build the cages for your own data. Real sovereignty is not about a fifteen percent gain in a bubble but about owning the iron yourself so the machine cannot flip the switch on your soul. You are just a vassal trying to pick a favorite master in a game where the house always wins. No cap you should stop chasing their tokens and start building your own castle with your own hardware before the theology of the machine leaves you broke and powerless.

GreenPRanger

you are literally planning to throw $100K into a Silicon Mirage because you think the money furnace has not hit the energy wall yet. Picking those hardware giants like ASML or TSMC is just classic agency laundering where you bet on the lords of the cloud to keep drinking rivers dry for their matrix multiplication dreams. You are falling for that automation bias where you trust the stock ticker more than the actual physics of a bubble that is about to pop. A 9 month window for a 15% gain is just time confetti gambling in a techno feudalist system where they want to turn every investor into a data cow. The theology of the machine says 2027 is the finish line but really it is just an enclosure of the commons where they suck the planet dry to power a sophisticated autocomplete that has no world model. Stick to reality because this whole AI infrastructure play is just behavioral strip mining dressed up as a smart investment strategy while the planet burns.

fire_alarmist

ASML puts pricing in the possibility of a drop back to the day's low.

Terrible-Zucchini-23

China, could sound like a problem. But it's not in reality. China are few generations behind in their DRAM and HBM, and current AI build out/language models won't risk not buying only the best and latest. Another bottleneck is EUV from ASML, not that easy for any random company/China to crank up production. Memory demand is only going get higher. At least the demand for the latest generation DRAM/SRAM/HBM

fire_alarmist

My comment was based on me holding a big BAC 48.5 P position and ASML 1305 P Position from yesterday, that expires today and being forced to sell for not as much as I should have got after all this theta cuckoldry when it really should have just kept going. My vix puts that I bought to try to hedge were useless and didnt appreciate at all, and the whole thing is just gay and fake.

daedalus_dance

ASML being down 3.86% on oil prices is crazy lol

understated_vibes

If the goal is to ride the AI boom the obvious plays are still the picks and shovels like semiconductors and cloud infrastructure, so companies like TSMC, ASML, and Microsoft make sense. But the funny thing about AI right now is that some of the biggest players are still private companies like OpenAI or Anthropic, which retail investors cannot buy directly. That is why I have been looking a bit more at private market exposure lately and saw that Fundrise has an Innovation Fund that invests in late stage tech companies.

TradingTennish

Gosh, I bought ASML around 2005 when a buddy started working there. Zero reason since to sell it, amazing company with a healthy future imo. Also my friend still works there and is very happy to do so.

CMDR_Shepard96

Aaand ASML -5% before we even fucking open. Jfc

daedalus_dance

ASML hitting its 50 Day EMA lol

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML. Fuck me dead

daedalus_dance

Why the hell are we selling ASML over oil prices. Isn't AI the new oil?!?! (partially sarcasm)

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML sending my port to zero before I can even unload these bags 🫠

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML APR17 1500C @-50% now.. cut losses?

CMDR_Shepard96

Where are the dip buying retards. ASML needs you 🫵

CMDR_Shepard96

ASML headed for another -5% day.. fkn obliterated my port in a week

CMDR_Shepard96

If we have another all green day and ASML still dumps I will probably rope

fire_alarmist

wtf, ASML moving like the bubble done popped L0L

CMDR_Shepard96

Buy the ASML dip you retards. Save my calls..

PhasedVenturer

Apparently ASML is now a higher beta stock than AMD or NVDA because what are these swings?

CMDR_Shepard96

My ASML APR17 1500C Went from +50% to -50% in the space of a few days. This is depressing

CMDR_Shepard96

Well. I'm pretty much fkn done. 130K-30k in the space of a month thanks to MSFT & ASML lol. Made it last year on some lucky trades, lost it on what I thought were safe bet longs.

CMDR_Shepard96

First MSFT trashed my port. Now ASML. Fuck sake.

CMDR_Shepard96

Why is shit always red overnight/premarket ASML stop being a pussy and pump that shit. Everyone needs chips for their missiles, even the shit box shaheed drone has a computer onboard.

Portfoliana

most interesting thing here is MU at 9.11% basically matching NVDA at 9.20%. a year ago nvda was probably 20%+ of this fund. i moved about half my smh position into individual semis back in late 2024 specifically because of that concentration risk, bought ASML and TSM directly. down maybe 11% on the swap overall but at least i control the weights now. for a 2030 hold id be careful with the tipranks targets tho. those etf consensus numbers basically just aggregate indivdual stock price targets which assume everything goes right for every holding simultaneously. not really how semis work when TSM and NVDA are competing for the same capex dollars