ASML
ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares
Mentions (24Hr)
-60.00% Today
Reddit Posts
I just noticed the big 3 U.S. chip equipment makers are down 50%
Can someone help me understand placing a "market order" before the stock market opens? And how limit orders work as well?
ASML Q3 2026: record quarter, full-year guidance raised
Current state of the market/AI trade (my view)
AI Demand Holds Firm, Treasury Yields Retreat, OPEX
Warsh and factories: will today's data force an October Fed hike?
Q4 Bull Case Holds, Bonds Push Back Against Hot CPI, TSMC Reinforces AI Demand
CPI Sets Up Potential for a Squeeze, ASML Reinforces the AI Bull Case
ASML says it's getting order interest through 2030 as profit smashes expectations
ASML reports €11.7 billion total net sales and €5.0 billion net income in Q3 2026
ASML smashes earning and expect overwhelming demand through 2030
ASML says it’s getting order interest through 2030 as profit smashes expectations and overwhelming demand
Broadcom CEO questioned AI investment returns and chip stocks fell on 3 continents
Broadcom CEO questioned AI investment returns and chip stocks fell on 3 continents
Korean Chip Stocks Slide on China's DRAM Push
ASML and TSMC report back to back this week, and I think ASML’s own guidance has set a harder bar than people realise
Earnings week watchlist, can't stop staring at TSM next Thursday
My Earnings IV crush story on MSFT and sharing October data
AI Rotation from Harness to Model: How To Play It
Why is SK Hynix losing so much market share and should investors be concerned?
Fake Sell? (YMTC not better tech in the future and bound by ASML, just another player in the race and with 14 percent market share)
Sk Hynix operating profit MIND BLOWING FACT + SHAREHOLDER STATS
Sk Hynix operating profit MIND BLOWING FACT
Why do some people want to hold the same stocks for (possibly) the duration of their lifetime/work life time?
Roast my first little portfolio, complete newbie. Constructive criticism also welcome
focusing on grid infrastructure/electrification/energy storage/etc. - thoughts?
How today's highly valued AI stocks can turn into the next IBM like turn around
Why did ASML just drop ~8%? China started building its own chip machines
Why did ASML just drop ~8%? China started building its own chip machines
ASML and U.S. chip stocks sink on report of China’s DUV breakthrough
The ASML and Chip Stocks Sell-off is an Overreaction
China begins making homegrown DUV chipmaking tools, The Information reports
ASML Slides After Report of China Beginning DUV Tool Production
ASML Q1 Results: Net Sales hit €8.8B, Net Profit at €2.8B, FY26 Outlook raised. With AI driving relentless lithography demand, is ASML the ultimate AI bottleneck?
I gonna sell these stocks and they will fly, based on recent data.
One week, one story, three companies, IBM loses the budgets, ASML builds the capacity, TSMC prints the record quarter
ASML Raises 2026 Sales Outlook to €43-45 Billion on AI-Driven Demand
ASML hikes sales forecast for second time this year on strong AI chip demand
IBM dropped 24% today on a green day. Could this be AI infra capex eating into IT spending or just an IBM-specific stumble.
ASML earnings July 15, put/call ratio above 1.3, should I be worried about my calls?
SK Hynix opened 14% above IPO price Friday, Micron is up 200% this year,seems like memory trade still has legs.
The next memory trade is still the memory trade (receipts from one year ago included)
Are semiconductor shares still a good investment, or too much growth is already priced in?
Geopolitics vs. Cyclical Demand: How much did global tensions actually impact ASML and NXP's profits?
How much did the Russia-Ukraine war and global tension actually impact ASML and NXP's profits?
South Korea dropping 800T won on chip fabs, who actually wins this capex cycle?
AMAT is making me rethink who the real winners of the AI boom are
ICHOR Holdings DD: I bought this random semi stock, made 5k€, and now I’m reverse-engineering the thesis before earnings
After Micron earnings, July is a complete minefield. $31 EPS guidance by Micron and now 10 upcoming earnings reports = R.I.P. traders
Micron’s Earnings Were Incredible But Are AI/Semiconductor Expectations Becoming Dangerous?
Micron’s Earnings Were Incredible - But Are AI/Semiconductor Expectations Becoming Dangerous?
Micron crushed earnings and dragged the whole chip sector green, but is this enough to save the broader tape?
Net incomes for mega cap AI companies, including Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix
The whole world is red, and now is time to think about physical side of buildout
Tech sell-off on AI spending jitters drags stock markets lower
AMAT is making me rethink who the real winners of the AI boom are
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - June 17, 2026 📈 📉
UBS sees generational semiconductor boom, highlights stock winners
ASML is an underpriced AI bottleneck
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - June 10, 2026 📈 📉
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - June 9, 2026 📈 📉
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - June 8, 2026 📈 📉
I accidentally bought a Japanese printer company
Which AI stocks will be a winner for coming years?
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - June 4, 2026 📈 📉
LAM research, the next AI slop stock that will reach 1T USD.
TRUMP + CONGRESSIONAL TRADERS SIGNAL MONITOR | DATE: JUNE 3, 2026 | SECTION 1: TRUMP’S RECENT TRADES (Past 30 days
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - June 2, 2026 📈 📉
SK Hynix to double wafer capacity amid AI memory shortage
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - May 29, 2026 📈 📉
What’s the wide moat stock you’d still be comfortable holding if the market went nowhere for 10 years?
Up 60% on “safe” ETFs… do I cash out before I get humbled?
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - May 25, 2026 📈 📉
Top stocks hitting 52-Week Highs/Lows - May 22, 2026 📈 📉
Assuming you have $1 million, which of the following stocks do you think would maximize your returns over the next 10 years?
Mentions
Ngl ASML down 1.5% again so we might be cooked
Today, I’ve seen many friends in the secondary market sharing their account statements—drawdowns of tens of thousands of dollars in a single day are everywhere. The chart for SOXX (a semiconductor ETF), which has fallen 16.06% over the past month, serves as a perfect microcosm of the current "risk-off" storm hitting tech stocks. From my perspective—working in the primary market on pre-investment due diligence (DD) for private equity and industrial funds—I’d like to offer a reality check: don’t let the panic-driven stampede force you to surrender your core holdings. 1️⃣ Look-through Audit: The 16% decline represents an unwinding of the "liquidity premium" in the secondary market, not a collapse of the underlying core assets. The global monopolistic pricing power of companies like ASML, TSMC, and Nvidia—along with the long-term capital expenditure (Capex) trends in the AI industry—remains fundamentally intact. 2️⃣ Valuation Anchoring: Market panic often signals the moment for long-term industrial capital to begin "buying into the dip" (contrarian positioning). This correction in SOXX is bringing the semiconductor sector’s forward P/E ratio closer to a more attractive historical mean. A "margin of safety" is created by price declines, not by rallies. 3️⃣ Risk Management: Should you liquidate a position that’s down $30,000? That depends on your concentration risk. If you are deploying unleveraged "dry powder" to build positions incrementally during a downturn, this "downcycle" is actually an ideal window to accumulate high-quality assets. For those of you engaged in high-frequency trading or managing long/short funds: are you currently executing stop-loss orders, or have you begun accumulating long-dated, high-delta call options—or perhaps the underlying stocks themselves? At this juncture, do you think the "other shoe has dropped," or is there more to come?
ASML and TSMC also signal strength going forward, but stocks down anyways
Thought LCRX would be a great long here but in fact ASML looks even more attractive and that one I wouldn't even rush into. Time to take it easy with chips and memory. Slowly long yes
They can make the chips, the only issues they have is buying the machine from ASML to make the chips
They can make the chips. the only problem they have is is not being able to buy the machine that makes the chips, which is ASML’s machine.
if u waited till LRCX reported to know that the AI trade is dead then u r certified retardium. did you not see what happened with ASML and TSM? they reported great weeks back and the market didn't give a f.
Why doesnt anyone try to compete with ASML
Sorry bears. Bull market time. SPCX 220 DRAM 80 GOOGL 440 ASML 2400 These are your safety picks boys
look at ASML - it will never hold though - never does.
I think meta will increase their AI spending and given TSMC and ASML had spectacular earnings it is highly likely that rest of the chip stocks will also be doing exceptional. Because of this i am all in chip stocks
Wish I cpuld same the same about ASML
They do have ASML lithography machine orders. That question was answered during the call.
The one without the ASML lithography machine orders? Me neither.
ASML down 3% on Amsterdam market. Beware bulls.
Nem csipeket gyárt a gép.Szilikonba vág layereket. Minél kisebb a "penge" amivel vág, annál kisebb a hely, és annál több tranzisztor etc. fér a szilikonba amiből aztán ugye csip lesz a végén. De az ASML gépei önmagában nem csinálnak meg egy csipet. Itt dolgozom, tudom.
Did China break ASML’s EUV monopoly or are you talking out your ass? Because only one of those can be true.
ABBV and ASML. Each about 25% of my port.
good writeup. one thing id add since you say a lot is priced in: valuation vs its own history. at \~€1,477 ASML is worth roughly €570B. on the €44-45B FY26 guide thats \~12.7x sales, vs an average of \~9x over the last 10 years. annualize the Q4 guide (€14.2-15.2B) though and its more like \~9.6x. so the price basically assumes Q4 is the new run rate and not a one quarter pull forward. quality wise its hard to fault, no loss year in 10 years, more cash than debt, return on capital way above 100%. do you see Q4 as the new base or more of a peak quarter?
Can't argue with raw numbers like that. The prepayment jump is what got my attention, €3.57B to €9.30B means customers are literally fighting for slots in the queue Gross margin climbing while they're ramping this hard is rare, usually you see it compress when the push volume Still think the stock reacting flat is more about macro jitters than anything ASML did wrong - 36% growth guidance and the market barely blinks
Not OP, but thought I would chime in some color commentary on what I believe is more relevant today regarding "nationality" and governance, because ASML EUV is already governed by the USA, which is restricting the sales of EUV to China, etc. Another risk to growth today for ASML is the MATCH Act proposed by the USA, which would potentially lead to further restriction of maintenance and tooling sales to China, etc. The spike in (DUV tooling) sales in Q3 to China is a signal that China is preparing for the MATCH Act to pass as a real possibility (however low % of a chance). The progression of the MATCH Act is very important as an ASML investor or potential investor.
Way too much ASML. It's been pretty good to me though.
The puck and ahovels did, TSMC, ASML. The actual infrastructure and financing will be in trouble, that's Oracle or Coreweave. Someone will scoop up the distressed data centers at acbig discount. I see Nvidia with the rhe circular financing more on the losing side, and it's not like no one else can make AI chips.
The leveraged stocks are too many layers removed from the real action(people buying and selling the underlying with conviction, causing big swings in sentiment and challenging price) to get a real gamma move, but they can be useful for high % change exposure with deeper ITM contracts that are more affordable than buying real puts on ASML for example. I would highly advise against OTM contracts on these though. Just like how physical natural gas futures go crazy some times but the micro cash settled natural gas futures dont have the same movement because there is no real physical asset being traded under the micro contract. A lot of the times you get very very diluted gamma/vega moves due to being multiple layers away from the real action. These leveraged etfs almost always come to being at the height of volatility too, and are created in pairs. They will issue a 3x short etf and a 3x long etf almost like creating a massive straddle for the marketmaker and it gives them the ability to manipulate the underlying through the leveraged funds.
Small but important distinction in the semiconductor flows section: the leveraged fund in your Bloomberg chart is SOXL, not SOXX.SOXX is the unleveraged iShares Semiconductor ETF. SOXL is Direxion's daily 3x leveraged semiconductor ETF, so large inflows into SOXL can reflect fairly aggressive short-term positioning rather than necessarily a durable increase in long-term institutional exposure to semiconductors.That matters alongside your observation that hedge funds have substantially reduced their net AI exposure. Those two things aren't contradictory; different types of investors can be moving in opposite directions over different horizons.I agree the ASML and TSMC commentary provides real evidence that underlying AI related demand remains strong. The harder question is how much of that demand eventually converts into sustainable returns for the companies financing the infrastructure.The positioning reset makes the market setup interesting, but I wouldn't treat leveraged ETF inflows or OPEX positioning alone as confirmation that the next move has to be higher.
It's like ASML but for anal sex toys
I get what you’re trying to say, but I wasn’t trying to talk specifically about one company but rather an example. I’m referring to the fears about memory manufacturing in china which would directly correlate to a threat towards SKHY, MU, SNDK, etc. the point i was making is that we’ve seen 9 straight days of sector wide selling off in semiconductor stocks / ETF’s, which hasn’t happened for 2 decades. so it isn’t so much about the gains they’ve made, but the question of what is happening to the overall market and whether or not this repricing is being massively overshot or if it’s genuinely what the market is considering it as the new fair valuation. MU alone produced one of the best reported quarterly earnings recently but it goes to show that ASML, which is a completely different type of semi company, is also struggling despite also excellent recent quarterly earnings
$SPY $QQQ $MU $SMH $NVDA $TSM $ASML Nothing burger, AI not going away
As someone in the semi industry, the most volatile portion of the business is the tool. They are the most expensive part in running a fab and it's the first thing the business cuts down on buying whenever there are stormy waters ahead. The other thing that needs to be looked at is TSMC has said it doesn't need the latest and greatest EUV tool from ASML for their next process nodes. Additionally, Nikon and Canon are making real progress on nano imprint lithography tools would could become legit competitors to the EUV platform in 5-10 years.
MU and ASML triple beat and guided up. MU beat as well. What part of this do you not understand?
u bought ASML after earnings dip, right son?
Well, if you were to look back at the big trades over the past two years, you've got Defence, AI, Commodities, and Energy. You didn't need to quant your way through that. A combination of your human judgement and deep analysis, combined with good risk management would have been enough to drive alpha. The push for war with Russia and all the pressure for governments to increase spending has fed directly to defence stocks. The gigantic money flow into AI infrastructure spend presented glorious opportunities at the choke points - ASML, Micron, SanDisk, etc. The Iran attack was telegraphed well in advance, so looking at what would be affected by that made certain products easy to build asymmetric trades. If you are smart, I would say you would do well to try to understand how well you understand what is happening. Not just listening to news, but going way deeper. You can do that with access to decent information rather than fancy data feeds, use your head, try to get a feel for how certain types of fundamental data have influenced markets and over what timeline, and build a way of running research in Claude. Not saying it is easy, but it is simple. If it is built around your personal insights, then you'll develop an edge and will be training yourself over time instead of an algorithm
Nvidia has a strong balance sheet and has a financial interest to grow the AI industry. Companies like Anthropic generate a lot of revenue, the question is how much does each token cost them? That is dependent on a lot of things, but hardware and GPUs are major factors in that question, energy being another. Nvidia is a pick and shovel move, and will keep favorable business terms with Anthropic for as long as Anthropic remains a rational company moving the industry in the right direction that makes all of them money. The round tripping is spooky and not without risk, but all growth requires borrowing, and I'm looking at it more as instead of banks determining risk and capital access for how the industry should allocate capital, it's the money of companies who already made their money in the industry guiding how the industry grows on their own terms, not the banks'. Companies like Nvidia, Google, Microsoft are the "bank" and are growing the larger industry on terms that they believe will make them more money, and are doing so with financial and tech capital. If Nvidia's balance sheets started to degrade, along with Micron, ASML, AMD, or TMSC, I'd start to be worried about the AI trade. That's not currently the case, all companies are very strong, not leveraged to the tits. If the suppliers are good, costs can be low for the distributors. If costs are low for the distributors, profits are returned, the industry matures and diversifies and the debt eventually dwindles as growth outpaces it. The rest of the economy's health certainly impacts the pace at which the profit is generated and the industry matures, but there's nothing really to suggest the companies who already won won't weather storms to come. My biggest concern would be a black swan event like China attempting to cross the strait and invade Taiwan. That would fuck everything up, I don't think it'll happen, but if it does, weather and military indicators will give some warning for invasion windows up through late October (and there are no real clear indicators from my couch that there is a massive amphibious assault planned) or April/May. Weather is everything in military planning and there would be signs. I also can't help but think that with other parts of the world attempting to diversify away from TSMC who remains a persistent chokehold, China would probably wait until Taiwan loses that leverage.
POLR | Polar Capital Holdings - Current Price: 752p (£7.52) - Market Cap: ~£748M - Bull Target (12–18m): 900–1,000p - Bear Target: 625–675p - Upside: +20% to +33% - Downside: -10% to -17% - Reward-to-Risk: ~2.0:1 🟢 - Success Probability: 60% - Forward P/E: ~12–13 - Debt-to-Equity: Very low 🟢 - Cash: ~£151M 🟢 - Dividend: 46p annually - AUM: £43.7B as of Sept. 30 🟢 - Six-Month Net Inflows: £3.6B 🟢 - Profitability: Strong 🟢 - Shareholder Returns: Dividends + buybacks 🟢 - Price Trend: Recent improvement, but weak five-year chart 🔴 - Bull-Case Market Cap: ~£895M–£995M - Risk: Moderate - Conviction: 7/10 - Grade: B+ Polar Capital is a profitable specialist asset manager with excellent recent AUM growth, strong inflows, substantial cash and an attractive dividend. I like the fundamentals at 752p, but the negative five-year price chart prevents me from giving it an A-range grade until long-term shareholder performance improves. --- SMGB | VanEck Semiconductor UCITS ETF - Current Price: £76.91 - Fund Size: ~£7.1B - Bull Target (12–18m): £100–£110 - Bear Target: £62–£66 - Upside: +30% to +43% - Downside: -14% to -19% - Reward-to-Risk: ~2.1:1 🟢 - Success Probability: 65% - Debt-to-Equity: N/A, ETF - Expense Ratio: 0.35% - Holdings: 25 - Top-10 Concentration: ~83% 🔴 - Major Holdings: AMD, Broadcom, NVIDIA, TSMC, ASML, Micron - Semiconductor Exposure: 100% - Price Trend: Strong long-term trend with high volatility 🟢 - Risk: Moderate-High - Conviction: 7/10 - Grade: B+ SMGB provides concentrated exposure to the world's major semiconductor companies. I like the underlying businesses and approximately 2:1 reward-to-risk at £76.91, but the extreme sector and top-10 concentration keep this below my A-range. --- LGND | Ligand Pharmaceuticals - Current Price: $298 - Market Cap: ~$5.9B - Bull Target (12–18m): $400–$440 - Bear Target: $235–$250 - Upside: +34% to +48% - Downside: -16% to -21% - Reward-to-Risk: ~2.1:1 🟢 - Success Probability: 65% - Forward P/E: ~43 🔴 - Debt-to-Equity: Elevated after convertible financing 🟡 - Cash & Short-Term Investments: $1.36B 🟢 - 2026 Revenue Guidance: $270M–$310M - 2026 Adjusted EPS Guidance: $9.00–$9.50 - Royalty Growth: +32% YoY in Q2 🟢 - Profitability: Strong 🟢 - Price Trend: Strong long-term trend 🟢 - Bull-Case Market Cap: ~$7.9B–$8.7B - Risk: Moderate - Conviction: 7/10 - Grade: B+ Ligand operates a capital-light pharmaceutical royalty business and recently expanded substantially through XOMA Royalty. I like the profitability, royalty growth and balance-sheet liquidity, but the premium valuation prevents me from pushing it into A-range at $298. --- GROW | U.S. Global Investors - Current Price: $2.72 - Market Cap: ~$34M - Bull Target (12–18m): $3.50–$4.00 - Bear Target: $2.00–$2.20 - Upside: +29% to +47% - Downside: -19% to -26% - Reward-to-Risk: ~1.7:1 🟡 - Success Probability: 45% - Debt-to-Equity: Extremely low 🟢 - Cash: $24.3M 🟢 - Net Working Capital: $35.7M 🟢 - FY2026 Revenue: $10.3M, +21% 🟢 - FY2026 Net Income: $3.1M 🟢 - Operating Income: -$603K 🔴 - Average AUM: $1.5B - Share Buybacks: 734K shares repurchased 🟢 - Price Trend: Severe long-term underperformance / water-slide 🔴 - Bull-Case Market Cap: ~$44M–$50M - Risk: High - Conviction: 4/10 - Grade: C+ U.S. Global Investors is a tiny specialist asset manager with exposure to thematic funds including JETS. The balance sheet, buybacks and return to profitability are encouraging, but a roughly 54% five-year decline, weak underlying operating profitability and mediocre reward-to-risk deserve a major penalty. I need to see a sustained reversal before considering this a B-grade investment.
ASML TSMC amazing earning and guidance , Bond yield going down. Yet u regards still buying put today
3 2 1 crash https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dp0RPUctTfU$ASML
Intc will tank like FUCK on earnings like TSM ASML did You knew that already ofc
fucktards. MU ASML TSM all posting face-ripping profits. wtf else do u want.
Out of the companies I listed: $NVDA, $TSMC, $TER, $META, $ASML, $MU, $SNDK, $MSFT Name one that is currently "making less money than it is spending" ? Or "not making money".
ASML is a collection of things from around the world joined together in a duck tape. it's not a Dutch machine.
TSMC is making the chips designed by an American company (Nividia) on machines designed and built by a Dutch company (ASML). Its not really that straightforward.
US is destroying ASML
So where do you sit with ASML? Will China catch them or are they too far ahead?
Just gonna keep on buying ASML/TSM and not looking at the market till the end of the year.
Why is ASML and the whole semiconductor market down so much?
Why is nobody talking about ASML?
ASML down 6.6% at the open wow
$NVDA, $TSMC, $TER, $META, $ASML, $MU, $SNDK, $MSFT, the fuck? The list goes on and on. This is also during the scale-out period when the companies need to spend insane Cap-ex. Imagine if that cap-ex pays off and translate to scaled revenue?
The fear of the market: and the results of Samsung, ASML and TSMC….🤔
ASML just opened over 5% down, nice
Hey look it's the same story as last time, every semi company beat and raise guidance with demand projection going up, ASML, Samsung, TSMC, MU, etc. but their stocks continue to drop 5-10% a day. You know what to do.
TSMC earnings in an hour lol cheers to you, Taiwan even though ASML earnings couldn't save us maybe you can
ASML didnt and neither did Claude lol
So retarded. We've had multiple past seasons where semis companies absolutely smash earnings and guide only to drop immediately post earnings. People still never learn. Look at how $ASML was treated just yesterday.
I added some NVDA ASML and GOOGL today. I’m not leaving
Sheesh the macroeconomic environment is so bad rn.. I’m gonna dump a lot of my high beta stocks. Photonics are sold out for like 7 years though and I don’t wake to let them go even though they’re being so beaten down. ASML earnings were great tbh but this macroeconomic situation just overshadows any semblance of strength or optimism about the future.
At this moment... ASML. It's getting beat up but will come back with a vengeance in the next day or two.
AI hype is down since June, hardly off the charts. The major players are also trading at pretty modest valuations, look at hyperscalers, NVDA, TSM, ASML, memory etc.
TSM is sold out of advanced nodes until 2030, ASML just announced they are sold out until 2029, and are massively increasing production while simultaneously raising prices and your plan is to short AI? I mean there's a non zero chance it will work, but I doubt the entire premise of your argument, especially when rich people on TV say opposite things.
Yep just the regular jitters until hyperscalers blow earnings. ASML beat so the rest ar food
in theory at least because in practice people still confuse ASML with companies like Frito-Lay who make fucking deep fryers for potato chips.. in all seriousness was listing to investor news radio channel in my country and they confused 3d hybrid bonding with wafer stichting and gave the opposite advises then they intended to.
10/14/26 10:47:00: Why the Chip Stocks Slump Is Deepening After ASML's Strong Earnings -- [Barrons.com](http://Barrons.com) YEAH ITS CPI WE KNOW FUCKO
Fun fact, their nett profit margin last year was the same as ASML's. About 27%
I just spoke with 🥭. We are getting a ceasefire, nationalizing Micron, and the US government is acquiring ASML. Your SOXL calls are saved
Didn’t ASML beat the fuck out of eanribfsb
Semis go off a cliff at ASML earnings, neutral, or recovery begins? Based off what I'm seeing, I'm assuming ASML earnings will make everything dump even more, hard to say though since the last trading week has basically all been downward
Treating ASML’s long‑lead equipment orders as some kind of real‑time demand signal, but those orders are literally multi‑year capex commitments that fabs make regardless of short‑term market conditions. Saying “customers are expressing interest for 2029–2030 orders” is not proof of an AI supercycle, it’s just how the semiconductor supply chain works. That’s basic industry structure, not a bullish omen. Pivot to CPI and pretend a 0.23% MoM core print is some magical threshold that will unleash a Treasury squeeze. But never explain why that specific number matters and ignore the fact that headline inflation is still being pushed around by energy volatility, which doesn’t tell you anything about underlying disinflation. Cherry‑pick John Williams’ comments to imply tightening is basically over, while completely skipping the part where he explicitly says another hike may still be appropriate. That’s not dovish; that’s conditional. And the “Treasury squeeze” argument assumes everyone is positioned bearishly, but cite options pricing as if that’s a full picture of positioning. It isn’t. It’s one slice of sentiment, not a macro thesis. Finally, the Anthropic bit is pure hopium. This will leak 100% and Broadcom says a $2T IPO isn’t overvalued is not analysis. It’s vibes.
I think the gross margin jump from 54% to 57.5% is the more interesting line than the sales beat, because it says ASML has pricing power even while adding capacity. The risk I'd watch is customers' AI capex outrunning their own AI revenue, since ASML orders are one of the first places that would show up. Getting nervous about the shovel seller while everyone is still queuing for shovels is a fun trade, but I could easily be wrong.
Unlike Samsung and SK Hynix, ASML is very restrained in raising prices
ASML just stated they can't keep up with chip demand......and you all think the AI trade is slowing down...hahahaha, first inning fuckers
ASML earnings were dogshit who the fuck is buying
Sounds like ASML’s running full speed into the future. It’s rare to see a company that can barely keep up with demand, proof there’s real hunger behind the AI hype. Makes you wonder how many others will get left behind trying to catch up.
ASML earnings almost broke the VIX containment strat overnight, they got it squared away I guess. No market shock too big for the hedgies these days I guess. Lets add a perfectly cooked CPI number here in a few mins at 8:30 and we got a crime pump brewing. Time for more short dated calls.
Because the news you are expecting the market to react to was already priced in. ASML doing well in the middle of a semiconductor boom surprised maybe 4 people and 3 of them are r/wallstreetbets regulars and the other just came out of a 10 year coma
The order interest through 2030 is what stands out to me. Chipmakers don't talk to ASML about machines four years out unless they're fairly confident in their own building plans, so this says as much about what the big chip factories expect as it does about ASML. I hold ASML, and the thing I watch most is export rules around China. To me that's the biggest risk for the stock, and one strong quarter does not really change it.
So CPI is holding back the markets? Anthropic Q3 revenue reveal will also be a bit catalyst imo. ASML crushed earnings already.
Lol you must be the worst trader ever then, I bought ASML around a year ago and its up over 80% since then.
So what is the consensus on ASML earnings? Looks overvalued at 28x forward PE but please change my mind
ASML with post nut clarity
ASML has just reported crazy earnings and admitting they cannot meet all the demand, even after all the improvements to their production output.. but some regard on wsb says the bubble is about to burst, so I guess I should buy puts
Wtf why did ASML reverse for no reason?
ASML Guidance is beautiful . Semi continues the run .
ASML last reported net bookings numbers last time it had earnings (trailing revenue was down, bookings looked like they were slowing, crashed market). They got rid of reporting net bookings and now only report long term liabilities, which beat expectations a lot. Hmm 🤔 at changing what's reported
ASML is seeing longer term demand now with the order book filling up all the way up to 2030. This is completely new, where in the past these semi/memory companies were very reluctant with orders because the market is so cyclical.
Throwing a hundred grand into a single ticker for ten yearsis basically financial Russian roulette unless you pick someone with a monopoly moat like ASML holding the keys to every chip fab on earth.
ASML Biggus Dikkus Long
reddit broke and ASML said it can't build enough machines through 2028. only one of those is a problem for chip bears
Dude, ASML is a monopoly. The only thing that can damage it is reduced demand (unlikely) or mango trying to prevent it from selling to a larger market.
Time lag. ASML/Nasdaq is tracking ASML/Amsterdam live market while rest of stocks are still behind due to low liquidity.
ASML and CPI will save us all!
ASML recovering, but that's impossible because I was assured it was a dead company by everyone here?
So ASML is recovering but semis are not. Makes sense.
So ASML is recovering but semis are not. Makes sense.
Why ASML not included here?
ASML selling only 65 of their products in a year is somehow funny
People said the same thing last year and ASML is +75% since then
Couldn't catch a break ASML Raises Sales Forecast For A Third Time, But Q3 Revenue Miss Sends Stock Lower: Earnings Selloff Spreads To MU, SNDK, INTC https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/asml-raises-sales-forecast-third-061145434.html
you can trace the price movement for last couple of hours directly from ASML -> NQ -> SOXX -> Rest of semi stocks. Down to the last minute.