Reddit Posts
Last week's market performance and economic news review
What do y’all think about using ChatGPT for stock researching?
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
TSM - I was right, kind of, and i think there's still more value here.
My portfolio idea - Going into 2023 betting on supply chains
Taiwan Semi (TSMC) will be 'back to strong growth in 2024' - JPMorgan (holding small position)
Thinking about a higher growth portfolio for the new year.
$KO outperforms half of the Mag 7 in 2024 because of $NVO and $LLY
$INTC Israels : 3.2Billion for a Western Worlds TSM. And that ASML NM Machine. 5nm, 3nm, 2nm coming. No More Taiwan TSM China Fear.
How can normalized-diluted-EPS be increasing while total common equity decreases?
Canon, known for its cameras, launches ASML challenge with machine to make the most advanced chips
ASML Misses Earning Huge. EPS 4.81 vs 4.99 est, Rev 6.67B vs 7.31B est
If China invades Taiwan would ASML explode or crash?
Time for the AI bubble to Pop out.
What allocation approach is implied by Toby Nangle's new FT article on narrow markets driving equity returns?
Tesla CEO Elon Musk: 'We're using a lot of Nvidia hardware'
So with both ASML and TSM(C) earnings/calls complete how do we feel for the future of AI/semi-conductor chips sentiment?
ASML- reporting on 7-19. I bought 740 strike call, Aug 18 expiry.
How to decide from which exchange to buy a stock from in a dual listing NASDAQ: ASML vs AMS: ASML?
Samsung Electronics makes 17-fold gains from investment in ASML
The future picks and shovels of AI may not be GPUs but ASICs, following the crypto trajectory. GOOGL and the dreaded Samsung appear to be the leaders in this space. What is the highest-weighted Samsung ETF and what are other industry-leading AI FPGA/ASICs tickers?
The Giant Behind AI Technology: ASML Holdings N.V.
ASML sales and gross margin beat guidance, but continues to see mixed demand signals
Investment Strategy China Invasion of Taiwan + interefence USA
List of public companies that are integral to AI?
Nvidia released a new "nuclear bomb", Google chatbot is also coming, computing power stocks again on the tide of halt
Daily U.S. Stock Market News Flash (Thursday, March 9)
Why did ASML stock drop 5% between 13:30 and 14:40 CET (Amsterdam time)?
Ride the AI Roller Coaster to Strike Gold: Invest in NVIDIA, ASML, and TSMC and step into the future.
AMD, Nvidia lead chips lower as results from Texas Instruments, ASML spurs caution
There‘s a massive earnings week coming up. All Betards looking for Tesla. I‘m more interested in Blackstone, ASML, Microsoft, Credit card companies, 3M and Intel.
Semiconductor. how did other countries become #1 and not USA?
What are some good semiconductor stocks to hold long-term?
Are these tech stocks all worthy of long term investment?
A globally critical chip firm (ASML) is driving a wedge between the U.S. and Netherlands over China tech policy
What is holding the US back from global semiconductor dominance?
Market Weekly Recap: FAAMG, Chip, Software Sectors jumped heavily, coin market tumbled
must read book to under stand the semi conductor industry - Chip wars, chip shortages - etc
Is ASML a less risky semi conductor play because it is not based in China/Taiwan?
Powell did exactly as i thought yesterday which makes me even more bullish now
Market Weekly Recap: Streaming, Chips, Airline Stocks Led the Gain, Tesla Earnings Alarmed the Tech
ASML shrugs off slowdown, U.S. China sanctions, reports strong Q3 earnings
ASML, a major global chip company, jumps 6% after earnings; do you think semiconductor stocks are about to start rising sharply?
Semiconductor route wipes out $240 Billion from chipmakers - TSMC drops 8.3% and Samsung and Tokyo Electron also declined.
Signs are piling up that the tech downturn may be deeper and longer-lasting than feared.
Mentions
Everything in defense I’m assuming, plus trend shit like Schneider/ASML/ASMI/SAP/Siemens etc But if the dollar keeps debasing then even slow-growers are appealing.
My position on ASML is 10x this post so I guess we're not very aligned
Short ASML pre earnings maybe
EU bazooka incoming. Ever hear of something called ASML? Europe will pop american AI bubble.
Not true. Obviously ASML is a leader in the DUV market as well but competition is a lot fiercer.
As far as i now ASML have near monopoly for the upper end off DUV machines aswell. They have over 95% market share in the high end DUV-segment. So if they stop buying EUV machines from ASML because of price, why can’t asml increase price of their DUV machines aswell.
Instead of giving advice on the OP's question whether to invest in either ASML or Micron, you've decided to pick apart everything about his decision. Is this how you routinely give "advice." I don't see how your response is helpful at all.
It's not easy to explain, and I don't know your level of expertise, but I'll give it a try. Instead of trying to shrink a massive chip into a single, perfect piece of silicon using expensive EUV (which becomes exponentially harder), manufacturers like AMD and Intel are breaking chips into smaller "Lego blocks" (chiplets) and stacking them together. You don't need EUV for every part of the chip. You might use ultra-expensive EUV for the "Brain" (Logic), but use older, cheaper DUV machines (or even non-ASML machines) for the "Memory" and "Input/Output" parts. This is already happening (e.g., AMD Ryzen, NVIDIA Blackwell). It reduces the *square footage* of EUV silicon required per device. Note that this doesn't mean that they will stop using EUV silicon, just that if ASML tries to increase their revenue by driving prices up, chip designers and chip makers have some room for opting out.
Why is EUV the standard now and why aren’t customers actively moving away from ASML if DUV works wonders? Why does ASML continually forecast up? “Trust me, it’s literally my job” falls flat when you know many people that are terrible at their jobs, you could be one
I don’t think the AVGO comparison works here. AVGO is the leader in custom AI chips, which is a very sticky business. You only attract customers with deep pockets committed to 5-10 year roadmaps. If you want custom silicon, you go to them. Marvell is #2 by a mile and they’re looking to pivot more towards networking since they’re uncompetitive on the chips side. AVGO is also 2nd in AI networking revenue after Nvidia. They also have a huge software business in VMWare. Micron is at a 10 forward PE because of the cyclicality of its industry, because memory is a commodity, and because it ranks #3 in HBM (it doesn’t even have 20% share). For these reasons, it will not command the same PE as Broadcom or even an Nvidia (25-40x in recent years). I think Micron will double from here (probably this year) but I don’t expect it to trade at a growth valuation since it doesn’t have a moat like other semiconductor companies. If Micron went out of business tomorrow you could replace them with SK and Samsung. The same can’t be said if Nvidia, Broadcom, TSMC, ASML, etc went out of business.
ASML has a literal monopoly on EUV lithography and zero competitors worldwide. Every chipmaker making advanced nodes needs their machines, period! Their order backlog is already booked out for years. And we're not talking projections here. They have actual contracted orders sitting in the queue. And with AI, EVs, and data centers all screaming for more chips, that backlog isn't shrinking. Shorting ASML is basically betting that the world will stop needing semiconductors. Good luck with that trade.
OK, but if you were hunting for stocks that are overvalued to short, why would you skip over Palantir or Tesla to get to ASML?
If you're in it for the short term, I'd go with Micron. It's cheaper than ASML on a TTM PE basis, forward PE, and PEG ratio. It's growing revenue and profit way faster than ASML. Take a look at Micron's quarterly earnings for the last 4 quarters vs ASML's. Also, there's currently a DRAM shortage which is driving up prices and will go straight to Micron's bottom line. The memory shortage may not last forever but it's expected to last at least throughout 2026 and into 2027 which will keep Micron's margins elevated. The last time I was this confident in a stock was when I bought Nvidia in early 2024.
As I said, they have a monopoly only for the top cutting edge technology (that was literally the first sentence, but I digress). Clients can opt out of that if you try to leverage this advantage too much. It's not like there is no competition, just that the competition doesn't offer a product as good as them, but clients always have the choice to turn to asml competitors and sacrifice quality to reduce costs. Tl;dr ASML has a monopoly on euv machines, not uv machines as a whole
I disagree with this post. I hold a long position in ASML, and it's clear we view the company's valuation very differently. ASML isn't your typical industrial company where you can simply track order inflows and outflows on a linear basis. This is primarily because they rely on a few key customers: Intel, TSMC, and Samsung. Furthermore, interpreting their income statement on a monthly or quarterly basis is difficult because their machines take months to build. Under IFRS standards, these are only recognized as revenue upon delivery, which naturally leads to a very lumpy and uneven income statement. What we already know ahead of Q4 is that TSMC has reported a necessary increase in CAPEX to $52–56 billion to meet future demand, which will be strongly reflected in ASML’s order book. Additionally, Intel has publicly stated their ambition to be 'first on' with High-NA EUV. With a single machine costing just under $400 million, these orders are worth their weight in gold. Another point many have overlooked—but which is now a reality—is the demand for DRAM. For a long time, RAM manufacturers weren't considered a major revenue driver, but that has changed. With RAM prices skyrocketing, these suppliers must also invest in EUV and DUV systems. Finally, perhaps the strongest driver for ASML today is their service business. As the order book shifts toward EUV, this becomes even more significant because no one else is capable of servicing these machines. With service growing at 25% and machine production at approximately 12% long-term, I’d much rather hold a position with them than against them. But of course, no one has the crystal ball.
You can’t spell abysmal without ASML.
Honestly both are solid plays but ASML is probably the safer bet if you're worried about the AI bubble popping since they're the backbone of chip manufacturing regardless of hype, whereas Micron is more directly exposed to the memory demand cycle. take a look at [this](https://www.trylattice.io/share/cmktpnl9p000v08zoxjd0p14v). covers everything in more detail. for me ASML's moat is just unbeatable.
Realistically speaking how much more can it grow though, considering the already high price? It is basically impossible it will do a 10x at this point. So why shouldn't I invest in a smaller more promising company with still room to grow. But got it, ASML is probably best in the long run and I think you are perfectly right.
Yes let’s see. If they tank +30%, you were correct (and I’m being generous here) and these guys were wrong: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ASML/holders/
Atm ASML do have a monopoly but they are priced to perfection. Simple
ASML. Reason, straight and non-contradicting: ASML isn’t a “bet on AI hype,” it’s a monopoly on progress. Whether the AI bubble keeps inflating or starts leaking air, advanced chips still get built — and every single one needs ASML’s EUV machines. That makes it way less fragile than Micron’s boom-bust memory cycle. If you’re doing a short-to-medium term ride and don’t want to get wrecked by a random DRAM pricing downturn, ASML is the cleaner, safer, higher-confidence play. ASML is currently exhibiting a strong uptrend, characterized by consistently higher highs and higher lows over the past six months. The price has recently broken out to new 52-week highs, indicating robust buying interest. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is likely to continue, potentially leading to further price appreciation. A key characteristic is the stock's ability to hold above previous resistance levels, which then become new support. The current price action shows strong demand, with institutional investors likely accumulating shares. As per ChartScanner.AI analysis, the stock is in a clear Stage 2 advance, showing strong relative strength. Traders should anticipate continued upward movement, with potential pullbacks serving as buying opportunities.
On paper, ASML should be more resilient. Micron will probably drop hard when the AI bubble bursts since they are primarily RAM makers and RAM prices are overinflated because of the AI bubble.
ASML is a weird business because they basically have a single customer which is TSMC, they'll probably be more stable longterm but right now we're in the midst of unprecedented demand for memory and storage so if you're planning to only hold the stock for the short term then you probably want to go with MU.
I guess trolls or people who missed the bandwagon. I own now Micron, ASML and Intel. All of them got me at least +25% already, and I bought them late enough to miss the best run. The only companies who are having a hard time (especially Oracle) didn't popped in a day, they're on a constant descending pattern for months now.
Intel does not need to be the best in absolute performance terms; it only needs to be good enough and located in the right jurisdictions. As AI increasingly automates chip design and optimisation, traditional design moats erode and architectures converge, shifting advantage away from IP and toward manufacturing access, scale, and trust. In that world, location, political alignment, and assured capacity become the scarce assets — and Intel is uniquely positioned with leading-edge fabs in the US and Europe, ownership of advanced packaging, and first access to the latest ASML EUV tools. The winner is not the fastest chip, but the company that can reliably ship advanced silicon when others cannot. TSMC’s dominance carries an inherent strategic risk because the core of the US and global technology stack is effectively concentrated on an island just off the coast of China. Regardless of short-term political assurances, this creates a single-point-of-failure for advanced computing, where disruption does not require invasion—only blockade, coercion, insurance withdrawal, or export-control escalation. As AI, defence, and critical infrastructure become inseparable from national security, governments and regulated buyers cannot rationally base their technological future on a supply chain that depends on uninterrupted stability in the Taiwan Strait. Geographic concentration alone makes TSMC a systemic risk.
Any thoughts on ASML?
They’re very different businesses, so it’s not really a “which is better” question. ASML is basically a picks and shovels monopoly for leading edge manufacturing. Slower moving, more durable moat, but tied to capex cycles and geopolitics. Micron is more cyclical. You can get huge upside in tight supply / AI demand periods, but you’re always exposed to memory boom bust pricing, inventory swings, and margins whipsawing. If your goal is a small “AI trade”, MU usually gives you more beta. If your goal is “own the infrastructure behind the bubble”, ASML is the cleaner long duration bet. Not advice, just how I’d frame it.
ey’re not really substitutes, they’re different bets. ASML is basically a monopoly on the picks and shovels side. Every advanced chip roadmap depends on them, regardless of who wins AI. Micron is more cyclical, higher upside but also way more sensitive to pricing swings and memory cycles. If you think AI is a long, sustained build out, ASML is the cleaner hold. If you think we’re closer to a shorter boom phase, Micron probably moves more but you’ve got to stomach volatility. Personally I’d treat ASML as infrastructure and Micron as a cycle trade. Or just split and size it small like you said, because both are solid businesses even if AI hype cools off.
My bet is market looks down, there are a bunch of articles coming out about how AMSL and the whole chip industry is going to get exposed(correctly) this earnings and that will be the nail in the coffin. ASML starts to dip down, people load puts. Because the stakes are so high and there are so many companies still left to announce earnings afterwards and so many big tech positions associated with chip making that ASML earnings is fraudulent and the price action is even more fraudulent and we see a big +10-20% afterhours candle out of no where to lure dunces back into big tech names.
You're asking about, let me see... comparing two companies that do unrelated things... for a half year time horizon... that you are bearish on but still bullish on... but only for a small investment... just to chase hype but you've done "research" in the sector. - MU and ASML do unrelated things. Comparing these two is like comparing KO and WMT because they are consumer staples with some overlap in the supply chain. - What do you expect when asking for predictions on half year time horizon, for one of the most capital intensive industries that require multi-year projects? - You want to invest even though you believe it's going to pop. This means you aren't the "huge believer" you think you are, or you think you can time it within a half year time frame. - You're already biased, so any "research" you do is moot. You're just trying to validate a conclusion you've already made that was based on hype. And now you're seeking approval from social media. - Why does any of this contrived, backwards logic even matter. You're only putting in a small fraction of your portfolio. Go put it into an ETF if you're just looking for limited exposure.
Yes but as others have said ASML Is an equipment maker (for lithography) and LRCX is an equipment maker (for etch) where MU is a chip maker much like TSM. It's apples to oranges but they both grow on fruit trees. It's better in my opinion to compare the chip makers to the chip makers and the tool makers to the tool makers because they're fundamentally different parts of the chain and function differently. You are correct though they're all a part of the same bubble if and when it pops.
MU’s forward PE is still just 12. I think it settles somewhere between 15-20. So arguably still a better deal than ASML.
ASML is more picks and shovels with near monopoly tools, while Micron is much more cyclical and tied to memory pricing. If you want steadier exposure to AI capex, ASML is usually the safer bet.
Are you saying that this is a high entry level? Therefore not a good entry point? High valuation is relative, especially if the AI bubble does to Micron or ASML what it did to SanDisk and we get a 1000% per year
OK, fair enough. I do think too that 1/2 year is short. But at this time if you pay both micron and asml at ultimate high valuation - you'll most likely make little gains, or even lose, it's a if the bubble does burst within that time frame so I would bother unless there is a big correction drawdown. For which of the two, I cannot say. ASML has arguably a stronger MOAT, but Micron probably higher short term growth explosivity. I am long term investor so I'll always favour - if hesitation, the stronger long-term option which is ASML (at least, in my opinion)
I don't quite understand that mindset how can you go from: I am a huge believer in AI bubble, and that it will pop, so it will be a short ride To: which ai tech would at the height of their valuations would you recommend. The two are different. ASML makes highly care of complicated machines that enable chips manufacture. Micron makes these chips. So what would you want to be exposed to?
That strategy doesn't work. Look at ASML, currently trading at $1387. So the strike you are looking at is $416. So I scroll through all the expiration dates until I find a date where I can sell an option at $416. Earliest is June 18, 2026, premium is $0.25. So your strategy is to hold $138,700 cash as collateral for 5 months to make $25 profit. You can do this 2.4 times a year, so in total you collection $60 profit on your 140k. That's like getting 0.0005% interest on a savings account
Wednesday has ASML in the am, LRCX in the pm. This could be interesting on Thursday.
Didn't want to hold META in case of another wall street knickers wetting from capex V/MA moon or good results and flat due to the looming issues ASML I think ran up too much and they don't usually give optimistic guidance so I think it'll drop
last chance to get TSLA before it turns into ASML
Wednesday could be crazy, MSFT, META, TSLA and ASML, 4 of the top 20 market caps atm. Add the FOMC decision on top. Inb4 flat market that day.
ASML 0DTE's are a fucken wild thing Jan23 1400C were $11 yesterday, and I just picked up 4 for 50c a pop.
Agreed. Foundry problems? Nothing that a gunpoint deal with TSM / ASML can't fix 😉
>Intel is the American horse in the foundry business. And yet Trump is forcing TSMC to build a shit ton here. >Intel is also working actively with ASML on next gen High-NA EUV development for 14A. The overall benefits of high NA EUV for 14A is pretty debatable. Intel also has standard EUV versions of 14A with the same yield as their high NA EUV variant. >Companies like nvidia did not invest in intel just to appease the turd; intel has some legit tech in the works. None of which seems to leapfrog TSMC on the foundry side, or AMD/Nvidia on the design side.
You should have a look not only on tungsten but also molybdenum. Those are critical for a very specific domain: Waffers for electronics. If you look up on how a waffer is made these days, there is only one machine that can do the job made by ASML to have the 2nm resolution. They are using very specific mirrors to concentrate the energy for x-rays made of those. And when you see how they wanna scale the chip production, the need for those will rise. There are 2 stocks I am eyeing since a while that showed growth: $ALM: Almonty industries $FJZ: Zijin mining group
Some truth, but exaggerated. The U.S. has grown faster, mainly due to Big Tech and deeper capital markets. Europe lags in consumer tech, but it’s far from irrelevant. Its strength is deep tech and industrial infrastructure, not apps. ASML isn’t a one-off, and it’s not alone: Siemens, SAP, Airbus, ABB, Novo Nordisk, Infineon all matter globally. The U.S. leads in scale and speed; Europe in precision and system-critical tech.
Interesting to note that ASML is currently the sole supplier of commercially viable EUV machines. These things are impressive feats of engineering with a price tag to match at $400 million each.
Maybe not ASML. That would only be one share.
MSFT, META , TSLA and ASML next wednesday.Now that’s a day. PUTS ON EVERYTHINg .
Intel is the American horse in the foundry business. Intel is also working actively with ASML on next gen High-NA EUV development for 14A. Intel's finances likely arent going to look good "for a while" but I think it is still a very valid pick up during dips. Companies like nvidia did not invest in intel just to appease the turd; intel has some legit tech in the works.
Sold my ASML, prepare for a quad after earnings
Sold my puts on MSFT yesterday for a nice profit, now puts on ASML because their production is limited and price is fixed and puts on TSLA because FSD won't be ready in 5 years and they are being beat by price, quality and image by their competitors.
Rutte warned him about the Dutch and withdrawing the Dutch pensions out of America and losing more control on ASML ..
ASML 1T market cap by end of year?
ASML is basically an American company at this point.
>put that money into Europe, where there are still lots of great companies. What great companies? pretty much the only one that comes to mind is ASML...
I live in Europe and it is impossible for us to overcome the US. Not even all together. Too many regulations. Look at the companies, besides ASML and NVO, which companies are groundbraking?? My country saw the highest growth of Europe in their stock markets. Besides 1 GREAT company, all of the index is full of utilities, banks and old state monopolies that are run by fools. And even if they wanted to grow, they can't. And if you want to creat a Palantir, Oracle, SpaceX, Alphabet... company. You can't. They kill you even before you make your first buck with al the paperwork. The EU markets were undervalued because they were overlooked, but it is IMPOSSIBLE for us Europeans to beat the US stock market. Never ever. Not happening.
I see your port is not going to like the facts here but its actually fine to keep AWS and ban Facebook and doing so would still have a funny affect on the US stock market given the concentration in MAG7. And before you go "hurrr durrr but they have this other thing", europe too, has other things they depend on, like ASML. This is the stupidity of hard ball.
Wed 28 Jan - along with ASML & META.
MSFT & SPY have destroyed me. ASML, you're my only hope.
Is INTC using ASML equipment?
The orders are all locked in through 2026 and into 2027. Not sure if you took a listen to TSM, ASML, Nvidia, Micron earning calls lately but ...it's not speculation.
There are many ways. A European wide digital tax would hit Google, MSFT, meta, Adobe and other companies hard. While the European country's need some of these products like Microsoft, others like advertising on meta and Google can be reduced easily. A European wide minimum tax would hit companies like Starbucks hard. Other ways beside the taxes: - ASML is a European company. Open the export of these machines to China and close it to USA and you have an US Stock crash within minutes after just talk about it seriously. - full stop of us military components / systems and produce in Europe. - start looking for new Partners. China has no hate against Europe, it's the US with it's dollar dominance that they hate.
imagine they test his patience and he decides he also wants Denmark because we need ASML to be American
lol no. Europe does not need the US, they produce nothing of value of Europe. Tech and software are easily replaced but you cant replace ASML for example. And pls understand what will happen the moment EU and UK will ban retail and institutions to invest in US. SP500 will not be able to process that liquidity, EU + UK is a big part of the biggest bonds holders. Trump cannot afford bullying europe.
What does the US has that we want? We can do without facebook for a while. EU has ASML and the money to keep the US floating. US needs EU more than vice versa
and ASML's lithography shit is so advanced cutting edge physics and comes from an ecosystem of single source components. No one is scaling that. It's everyone's only fruit basket. And if EU disrupts the supply for itself, the world goes south real quick. The chip market is so precarious and has no redundancy, it's nuts how we got here.
"tech" at this point is AMZN/MSFT/GOOG/META/OpenAI/Anthropic + the chip companies associated with AI. Only company based in the EU among those is ASML.
The countries that responded forcefully (where possible) are the ones that Trump has backed off on. I think that Canada has done a really good job navigating Trump so far. Their economy has taken on damage but they are reacting strategically to survive. Europe also has ASML and an export ban to the United States would be a significant threat.
I'll be picking up some ASML
That simple allocation looks pretty brilliant, really. The only fairly minor duplication is in the big Asian stocks, Taiwan Semiconductor, Tencent, ASML, Alibaba. All the fees are as low as possible.
Well unfortunately there's a bunch of essential US companies who supply ASML..
How about they just don’t export ASML 🤔
If it does that, there will be no ASML for anyone as 55% of components come from the US.
Fucking with ASML is a lose-lose as many of its components and software come from the US. Cutting off supply would result in the US cutting off component supply so that no one gets them which just fucks everyone. That will never happen baring extreme circumstances (like actual war declared)
This is an interesting conversation, to me. I am constantly learning too. I think I am following your narrative. I do a lot of strangles and get ITM often on these AI stocks. Is it possible the free money you refer to is due to time duration of the calendar that you sold ($150 Dec)? Similar to your roll, I was recently rolling up call strikes by $10 and $20 (with a credit, no less!) on ASML. I guess it is the high IV that makes this possible.
Maybe ASML JAN30 1500C weren't a good idea last week.
I got out of gold and into MSFT/ASML/SPY That seems like a dumb idea in hindsight
Up 90% on ASML, wanna hold but don't want some bonkers drop and lose most gains
They got ASML us isn't doing shit.
LTR & LYC giving my port a taste of what SPY/MSFT/ASML will do to it when the US market opens..
So, what happens to my ASML 1500C at open 💀
Even though I don't believe it to happen, it wouldn't be because of existing products, but because ASML has bound 100s of billions into equipment to meet demand. They have to keep producing, even at much lower prices - and that will turn into cheap graphics.
German market down 1.06% as of now. Worth noting the German market is thin on US equities, so this is directionally useful but not true price discover. Additional tickers. GOOG -2.15% $PYPL -1.72% $ASML -4.05% $NFLX -1.29% $AAPL -1.56% $HIMS -7.62% :O
I just checked, I'm Dutch, there's no mention of ASML.
Read my other reply about ASML and Novo Nordisk. Watch what happens if they won't do business with the US any more.
I had already been saying that if Trump acquires Greenland by force, if it doesn't immediately kick off WW3, it will still likely end or strain many business relationships... specifically those with ASML and Novo Nordisk - resulting in really bad things, exactly as the AI said. They don't make you read *Animal Farm* in high school because there's an actual talking animal society; just because something is fiction doesn't mean it's without value.
As soon as these talk become reality, ASML will become an EUROPEAN asset. Probably nationalised by the dutch and guarded with all available resouces. In the meantime alternatives will be developed and Europe might be forced to develop a domestic chips industry . Probably another tech race. In the meantime the US will be crushed by sanctions from all directions.
Sure, ASML could commit divide if they wanted
China and the US are the only countries who could pull it off. The US has the core EUV tech already (since they developed it) which does put them ahead of China. And they have the money - this would likely be done in a consortium with Nvidia, Apple, Intel, AMD, Qualcomm, etc. who have absolute mountains of money to spend. it would cost an absolute fortune and take years so it’s obviously a last resort. The status quo is still very much the best arrangement for the US and ASML.
No. They’ll just ensure ASML no longer produces EUV machines.
> They’ll be required to adhere to their agreements with their partners. Aah, like NATO. i see now. You understand that Going against an ally opens a different can of worms. ASML can simply be dissolved. We'll call it LMSA now and it will be governed by the EU body. Wacha gonna do Donald? Put more tarrifs? Invade Tenerife next? Beat yo wife?
Of course they work like this - see Nord Stream. ASML will no longer be able to produce EUV lithography machines if they break their agreements with the US.
Yeah, things dont really work like this. ASML can be ok, ZEISS is still a thing, and other miriad of suppliers. It;s enough for some of them to boycot ASML just enough to prevent ASML doing their job.