Reddit Posts
Aurora Innovation ($AUR) Analysis: Autonomy's Next Frontier or Financial Pitfall?🛻
Aurora Innovation AUR stock has doubled in a month, and quadrupled in a few months.
Is Aurora (AUR) an attractive buy for y’all?
Let the robots make us rich! Self-driving truck stocks (AUR, TSP, EMBK)
Need help, bought $AUR a long time back and now wanted to exchange or sell it but every time i try to do that it shows i only have (4020.59417210166) where my wallet shows i have (4020594172.10166) coins can any one explain why that is p.s. i use ape swap to do the exchange
EXPR written up in VIC yesterday, looks CHEAP
AUR, does anybody know SI for this stock?
I’m surprised no ones talking about Aurora (AUR)
❤️ Enjoying Black Friday? 🎯 Buy Aurum ($AUR) NOW at reduced taxes 😎 50% off 🍾 on ✅ Apeswap and ✅ Pancakeswap 🥂The first token to reward 🏆 in ANY BEP-20 token you choose 👌🏻
Canoo ($GOEV) 42% Short Interest (ORTEX) Christmas is coming early + HUGE catalysts Incoming.,
Watching this one. Autonomous driving like AUR. Recent deSPAC. High redemptions. Haven’t bought any yet.
Maybe you PROG idiots should stop posting about PROG. People missed AUR and LGVN because of you clowns
$EMBK coming alive!!!! Chasing $Astra, holding $AUR. Not financial advice, do your DD. Only pic of $EMBK
$EMBK Embark Trucks DD: the winner in autonomous trucking
$AUR stock is ready to explode on Monday check the images below +$20 . Pictures are showing short shares available to borrow is less than 500 and this just got listed as a hard to borrow stock.🚀
$AUR in the green after patiently waiting , $EMBK is my next play. 4400 shares around $8. Not financial advice, do your DD.
What is this, gain for ants? (Yes, it is, thank you whoever posted AUR dd) sold right at the top
$AUR up over 40% today! Thank you to the guy who told me to invest yesterday!
Unusual Whales has spotted bullish activity in the options market for $AUR. This is the first time $AUR has hit UW’s screening tool.
$AUR looking good out of the gates. I think this could go to 20+. Do your own DD. Trade carefully.
AUR Aurora Innovations the MOST UNDERVALUED SELF DRIVING EV SPAC BREAK OUT
The next 200x Stock play and here’s why!!! AUR is already up 14% AH! 🚀📈
I posted this one today. No one seemed to care. Obviously the AH % isn’t accurate. But still nice movement. $AUR
🤖🚗 = 🔥💰 $AUR - Aurora Innovations - Don't sleep on this 10x Play. Superior LIDAR self-driving product, ex-Google and ex-TESLA founders = 🚀
The next 200x Stock play and here’s why!!! Trade of AUR! 🚀📈
$AUR: Automating Your Portfolio with Self-driving Tech DeSPAC Play🔥
$AUR - Called it - Now is moving! And it has JUST STARTED!
🤖🚗 = 🔥💰 $AUR - Aurora Innovations - Don't sleep on this 10x Play. Superior LIDAR self-driving product, ex-Google and ex-TESLA founders = 🚀
Anyone know anything about AUR? Low float recent SPAC?
Big chance to jump! $AUR 60k shares to $19!! This is a BUY THE ASK AND 🚀 !! 700k shares shorted to push it up easily!
$AUR on the move. Self driving trucks. Also take a look at $EMBK. Do your DD, not financial advice. I am invested in both.
$AUR: Automating Your Portfolio with Self-driving Tech DeSPAC Play🔥
$AUR: Self-driving tech deSPAC Play. 🔥Breaking out now
UPDATED: Why $AUR is much closer to a Gamma Squeeze than HF would like you to think
Why $AUR is much closer to a Gamma Squeeze than HF would like you to think
$AUR - A Gamma Short-Squeeze in development. Here are the numbers:
AUR on watch ..new spac ready to take off .. AI
AUR new in the block AI company driving
Mentions
Not unusual at all. It’s holding steady and has a ton of institutional support that’s growing, and they are going through milestone achievements to prove their product, and jump through all the regulatory hoops and testing. Volvo made it clear that they are 100% about safety and they will take the time and effort to do this right and AUR is backing them up on that, even if it slows them down a little. There are good people in place and Uber Freight has a stake in their success, and shares that at some point they might sell some shares to take profits which is normal for in this process. This is why the volume and share price is remaining consistent and steady.
I looked into AUR. I try to make it a rule to not buy anything pre-revenue. In a broader market selloff this thing will get crushed. They had a really high volume day on Monday where the price didn't even move which was very interesting.
OP is talking about Aurora Innovation on the Nasdaq, $AUR.
BULL and AUR have plenty of room to run.
AUR - there is a lot of short interest right now, very much like last year at this time and it proceeded to double going into the end of the year. It’s AV trucks that are integrated with two of the major truck producers
AUR - self driving trucks, it’s a much better bet than flying taxis
I stg if AUR doesn’t moon after all this Waymo talk
My rule: Use options to enhance stock positions, not replace them. Example:Bullish on AUR? Sell $4 puts to lower entry cost Holding IBIT? Cover with 10% OTM calls for income TL;DR: Don’t blame the hammer when someone uses it to smash their thumb
RR for robotics AUR for automated 18 wheelers. I own both. And unlike most of the stocks I’ve seen posted these aren’t already up 100-500%
AUR is an obvious one for me. Recently started buying it and it does not have the constant hype around it that plagues a lot of the bagholder stocks.
$AUR is not very well known but big leader in autonomous trucking, trucking in the U.S. alone is roughly $1 Trillion dollar market.
In terms of things that are talked about little/not at all on here: CLPT. AUR. XMTR is potentially interesting *if* more industrial production is moved to the US. OUST (interesting example of a current OUST project: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GuHlPhjWoAAs7_U?format=jpg&name=large) PSNL is a tiny name that was thrown out post 2021 bubble that has a considerable partnership with TEM that has been expanded since the start. "Tempus is serving as the exclusive commercial diagnostic partner for Personalis’ ultra-sensitive tumor-informed MRD product, NeXT Personal® Dx, for broad patient adoption in breast and lung cancers, and for immunotherapy monitoring across all solid tumors." NET is up over 100% off the low and 63% YTD and nobody seems to talk about it on here anymore. ABBNY with it potentially spinning off its large robotics division next year.
Ah so this is why AUR jumped
Waymo raised private funds late last year at $45b valuation. Remember now it's Alphabet as the parent company that owns the subsidiaries of Google and Waymo. Autonomous vehicle (AV) driving doesn't help society? It can drive day and night (assuming fuel/charge), day and night, day and night, without getting tired - can a human do that? AV driver has full 360 awareness of their surroundings, no blind spots. It doesn't need/want to drive aggressively and cut other cars off. AV driver is not distracted by a text, phone call, facetime, a cat/dog, good looking man/woman - it has a job to do and that's all it does and cares about. Do you think a human can be a safer driver? Because AV will drive at speed limit and not drive agressively, traffic will flow better and there will be less traffic and congestion. In commerical space, do you think UBER LYFT AMZN WMT TGT CART will have higher margin with human driver or AV driver for last mile delivery? There is also the company AUR working on AV freight.
Been in AUR for 18 months in a long term plan. Bought more this evening with some profit trimming from other stocks. Fantastic CEO. Great choice for those who are patient, and the price right now is a blessing.
Agreed. Sometimes you’ve just gotta laugh it off and cut bait. My current annoying dud is AUR. I got assigned AUR at $7. Then it fell to $6.50. Then $6.00. Then $5.50. I’m looking at it sitting at $5.35 right now and planning to cut bait any day now.
AUR - self driving trucks are going to be ubiquitous in 10 years
Hahahha fair, I'm betting on AUR
How are people feeling about Aurora Innovation (AUR)? I'm thinking it's a better play than Tesla in that if Tesla proves full self-driving works, then AUR also benefits, yet if Tesla's Austin trials are a failure then long-term believers in the tech are going to look to other operators with slightly different approaches. Essentially Tesla is taking all the risk, could work or not, but AUR capitalizes on the outcome either way... that's the theory anyway.
Im loving $AUR, Aurora Innovation. Autonomous truck driving company that is partnered with Nvidia and they have been gaining momentum recently
Stay in touch I’ll let you know when I’m buying. I think the next one takeoff is a AUR take a look at it. Big catalyst is coming out.
What's even worse for TSLA is you already have GOOGL Waymo way ahead in passenger vehciles and AUR ahead in freight (Tesla Semi???). I could at least see some bull case value had TSLA been the innovator in this space - but nope they are just a catchup copycat.
MQ, AUR, LUNR, PL.. these are my winning team..
LOL let me introduce you to a little company called Aurora (AUR) [https://aurora.tech](https://aurora.tech) They're focused on self-driving semis but their tech is light years ahead of Tesla's. Tesla uses cameras and not LiDAR (radar with lasers, immune to precipitation and darkness) bc they are cheap and don't care about safety.
I don’t do much digging outside of ASTS since i feel it’s such a good company right now with such a good risk reward. I had RKLB at a 7 avg but sold at 25ish a few months ago. that’s another good bet but i’m sure you know all about rklb. but i’ve recently looked at AUR, and QS. QS price action is so disgusting but i think the concept is there, just need to execute obviously. anything that screams future to me is probably where id head; regardless of political climate. that only lasts so long. autonomous cars, AI, etc
deSPAC **Aurora** ( AUR AUROW ) is another. [Aurora Begins Commercial Driverless Trucking in Texas, Ushering in a New Era of Freight](https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250501031863/en/Aurora-Begins-Commercial-Driverless-Trucking-in-Texas-Ushering-in-a-New-Era-of-Freight) Plus actually had a SPAC deal 4 years ago, and terminated it: [Hennessy Capital Investment Corp. V and Plus Mutually Agree to Terminate Business Combination Agreement](https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211108006149/en/Hennessy-Capital-Investment-Corp.-V-and-Plus-Mutually-Agree-to-Terminate-Business-Combination-Agreement) \- HCIC HCICW
VERV and AUR. Gene-editing could be next big thing and Tesla's failures could be AUR's gain.
Please don’t go bankrupt, AUR. I’d be sad on a few levels….
I like [Aurora Innovation (AUR)](https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/aurora-innovation-nasdaqaur-trading-2-higher-should-you-buy-2025-06-04/) on the thesis that Tesla is getting all the self-driving attention these days but it'll be these more under the radar companies that will actually succeed.
Continue scale into MSTR calendars and buy back or write or buy more contracts there. And…well, keep catching this blade slicing straight through my palm on AUR, apparently. Also, sell short term ASTS calls remaining at open. All maybe, ofc.
MQ, AUR, PL, LUNR, little giants 🚀
Puts on $AUR they faked commercial launch (the new Nikola) and now key stakeholders are leaving the company. It's a complete shit show
The bonds recently sold price the shares at 8.5, I actually think the valuation reasonable right now, though think AUR will grow immensely.
$AUR (Aurora Innovation). Autonomous trucks.
AUR: self driving trucks
Tell them to get rid of their worst performing ticker and buy AUR. Do your own DD and ask them if they are value investors or speculators? If they like money, you’ll get into the club. If they don’t let you into the club, buy AUR yourself, and have a good laugh in a few years time. This is not financial advice, always do your own DD and never buy more than you’re willing to lose.
What do you make of Uber’s notes convertible to AUR stock?
AUR massive dip entry point looks juicy and I took it just got 4k shares
AUR shares getting hammered. Apparently UBER is selling $1 billion dollars of exchangeable notes they had in the stock.
I also have a bull case theory for AUR —-> Aurora innovations little background they have a partnership with NVdia/VOLVO/ Continental they specialize in autonomous technology
The thinking is starting to change though with all the partnerships Uber highlighted in their recent earnings and in the news. I also like how UBER a percentage of GRAB and AUR.
Buying puts, ones I’d written and SPY/QQQ slightly OTM for September. Also, 6/20 AUR 9c, if they fill by close (looks to be selling off, so maybe.)
Get in on $AUR guys!!
They also invested $2 billion into AUR. Uber owns majority and might also dominate the autonomous trucking industry.
I think they will probably be one of the biggest winners of autonomous driving vehicles. AUR looks to be working with Uber for freight and Waymo is ramping up production as well. Plus they are working with PonyAI in the middle east. Seems like a trend that will benefit them.
It’s always hard to say when it’s this early and before the earnings call. However, I do think they are going to be big winners with autonomous vehicles. Someone posted about AUR the other day and Waymo partnership seems strong. Plus some news around Pony AI. I don’t mind a top line revenue miss if they are crushing EPS.
To be clear, I still hold AUR in longterm. Just, and, I’m sorry, DMs overwhelm me. No. Not out of all. Closer to clear neutral in some accounts, liquid in others. I don’t see a great path this year for AUR at 10B. I just don’t. I think, in time, yes. But that’s not what got you guys into this. In general, downtrend on freight. A very high valuation and perhaps some more lessening of shareholders. Also, volatility is quite low. So.
(Guys, I’ll explain AUR tmw. I am still long, longterm.)
Check out AUR, they have created the first self-driving big rig trucks that are already driving on the roads recently.
Good shout on holding AUR, The CEO will do us proud. Hadn’t seen AUROW before so thanks for the info Skyndel
AUROW is a tradeable redeemable warrant. AUR is the company stock. The warrant can be exercised at 11.50 common stock price so the price of AUROW is the premium on the common stock price. The warrant expires 03 nov 2026
Solid! I didn't know about UBER's stake in AUR. I made the mistake of not buying UBER shares in the 60s but instead getting calls back then. Held it through December and it stayed flat and I exited. I should've just grabbed some shares and held them! Live and learn :)
I didnt enter AUR. I just bought more UBER in the 60s. This was due to UBER owning 19-25% of AUR. Looking back when these things works out it seems to be the smaller company that shoots up more in these partnerships. Just look at HIMs after their NVO partnership. But Im still up on UBER from buying in the 60s so not that bad of a trade off.
I agree. Uber reports earnings next week. They may highlight their AV partnerships and how far along those companies are. I just went with Uber as my holding since they seem likely as the demand aggregator winner. And they have their own investments in some of those interesting companies such as AUR and GRAB. So if GRAB for example does well you have exposure to them through UBER investment.
Do you have shares of AUR? I recall us talking about it before but not sure if you exited/re-entered. Honestly I love this daily discussion thread. I've learned a lot (+ heard of so many new names) over the last few years. I also catalogue a lot of discussions to do retrospectives on later. But the more regular-posters here get drowned out pretty bad when VIX spikes, so you gotta sift through it and ignore some of the people. I tend to skim it every day and search for the interesting discussions and see what the regulars are saying (including you!). I haven't commented as much as I'd like recently but that's just because personal life has been busy and I'm late to the comments. I do wish I bought more on the bottom though. I missed a lot of big, quick, wins by staying out longer. From a pure technical analysis perspective, my old teacher called the buy on April 8th [here](https://www.wishingwealthblog.com/2025/04/blog-post-day-31-of-qqq-short-term-down-trend-in-late-february-i-posted-this-chart-suggesting-that-dia-had-made-a-double-top-t2108-monthly-chart-is-very-oversold/) (and follow-up [here](https://www.wishingwealthblog.com/2025/04/blog-post-day-32-of-qqq-short-term-down-trend-16-us-new-highs-570-lows-and-4-aths-last-nights-t2108-called-the-bounce-see-monthly-chart-from-yesterday-and-explanation/)), but I thought to myself "eh lets wait a day and see". The tweet and pause came too quick when I wasn't paying attention. For calls, I should have got RCAT and UMAC leaps. I'm sure they'll get the Trump-pump (especially with DJT Jr on UMAC's board). Will keep an eye out to grab them on a pullback. I have some shares already but nothing very substantial.
I should be like you too. And buy calls of these companies in silence. You start talking about them like I just did and you kinda get push back. Especially since I mentioned Mag 7 company in same sentence as AUR. This sub isnt the place to get advice on buying AUR before the rally. It more of a place to talk r/politics or tarrifs on front page.
I missed my change to interview with them! Will keep an eye on positions opening up. In my mind, Waymo will be more city travel while companies like AUR will provide long-haul. I think Kodiak is a competitor to AUR? Not sure of others. Just bought 5 AUR 12/19/2025 7.00 C! Wish I got some more. Will wait for a pullback to grab some.
I don't know much about AUR, but aren't they more long haul trucking? Not sure if that's fair to compare to Waymo.
AUR up 19% after launching driverless semi-trucks. Great for Uber too. There was a time people were saying Waymo would be a monopoly on AV vehicles. Or Waymo/Tesla would control entire market. I thought the safest bet was there would be other companies launching AVs. But that was unpopular to go against Google/Tesla controlling an entire market.
Honestly think WSB is sleeping on $AUR. They just launched the first driverless longhaul truck. [https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/01/business/first-driverless-semis-started-regular-routes](https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/01/business/first-driverless-semis-started-regular-routes)
I missed the truck on AUR. Didnt buy because I own UBER and UBER owns in range of 19-24% of AUR. So felt I already had exposure to AUR.
AUR saving my bearish ass today
Up 15% on yesterday's AUR buy in. Probably will hold those shares until after earnings. Looking for it to hit $10 at least before I take any profit.
Might want to pop over to AUR ... ^12%
Sold about half of AUR position, still very much like the company, but don’t think 2025 is their year…
AUR launch announced today. I bought a bit more and may try to get another 100 shares before Q1 earnings on the 8th.
$AUR has successfully launched driverless. Buy the shit out of this stock immediately. https://x.com/truffleortulip/status/1917586491800199591?s=46&t=vtRhCpy60hgnFDIg57toiQ
Y'all are sleeping on AUR seriously
Aurora (AUR) is your next big play. Sept 19 $14 call. Hop on before it’s too late. Big bag awaits anyone who goes full regard. Always go full regard
ok so u missed TEsla just get the thing that runs it AUR
I always enjoy reading your posts for you show great breadth in the sectors and companies you invest in while many people just go for the latest or the most well-known companies. How do you find out about companies like AUR and NN? Screening or just reading a lot?
Increased my holding of AUR to 200 shares. I think that's all I'm gonna do for now, since I assume it will get a significant bump if they announce the commercial launch this month.
"Which industries are currently still in their infancy but have great potential for the future?" I think the concern that I have is that we're already in a period where you want to be less early stage and more high quality and that potentially could get worse. This is the time for making a shopping list if you want early stage stuff, but I don't think I'd be piling into it. I think most of the last five years has been unusually fantastic for growth, first with the "disruptive growth" bubble and then the AI theme, which has cratered this year. I think people see this as just another 2022 before growth works again but what if it isnt? The disruptive growth bubble was followed by AI - I don't think you get another theme of that magnitude following AI. The data center theme was one of the most fantastic themes I can recall, but Stargate in January feels like it was the top. VRT is a little over 50% off the highs of January - that's not a mere correction, that's saying something a bit more about the data center theme imo. The IPP stocks that were huge in 2024 on the concept of data centers as far as the eye can see that need power have cratered, too. The data center theme has translated into fantastic earnings for NVDA, but AI really hasn't translated into fantastic AI-related earnings for many of its customers. If that continues to be the case, how much longer does AI continue to translate into fantastic earnings for NVDA? Quantum computing is a ways away and too many people piled into small QC cos that were lifted by hype. If you buy something early stage and the market lifts it on hype to the point where the company is early stage and the stock looks like it'll be a thing tomorrow, eventually reality sets in and someone can wind up a bagholder for eons until the early stage thing actually genuinely gets closer to commercialization. All that said, if you buy an early stage thing and wind up bagholding it, how many equity raises is it going to take along the way to keep the unprofitable/early stage company going? "the desire to understand more and explore space is definitely there." The desire to understand space is certainly there by some, but I think the sort of space tourism stuff is doing it no favors. I said a number of times that there is no way that SPCE was ever going to be a sustainable business - popularity of the space theme lead in 2020 for Branson to be able to dump it on retail investors - and people got so upset about that. Branson sold more than 75% of his shares for a total of $1.4B; the stock's market cap is now about $100m. There's also a fair amount of space stuff that has tremendous headline risk. LUNR is an example of something where they could land their vehicle and it goes up 50% and then all the sudden you get a headline that it tipped over and it's down 50% It's almost like biotech passing or failing a phase three, but in this case it's like "it passed" (things falls over) "nevermind." I can appreciate something like ASTS (have a small position) more but that company's success certainly is not guaranteed by any means. I do have a basket of early stage/more speculative companies, but it's not a giant part of the portfolio. AUR is a large holding that remarkably nobody ever talks about - was mentioned by T Rowe Price's CIO last year as a name he thinks of when people ask him what the next NVDA is. To me autonomous freight is less crowded than autonomous taxis - too many people focus on the technology of self driving taxis but nobody focuses on the unsexy part of what it will take to keep them clean (how many times are they going to have to be cleaned on weekends?)/maintained. NN is another name that's never discussed, but I think that the technology is interesting/useful and they also own a fair amount of spectrum which I think is underappreciated. But I've largely stopped adding to that basket of names and the remainder of the portfolio moved more towards more boring names earlier this year. I own the least tech I've owned in years. I'd already dialed back tech in 2024, but did really well last year focusing on industrial/utility/energy AI-related beneficiaries. A lot of that was sold late last year/early this year. So, hopefully I'm wrong, everything going on works itself out and somehow we get back to a growth-driven market but the longer everything that's gone on this year continues the more I think that the next few years might be more volatile (not as volatile as the market has been, but elevated in comparison to much of the last decade or so) and you might see lesser returns/different leadership. After two very lucrative bubbles in the last 5 years, I don't think it's unreasonable (especially with what's going on) to think that the next 5 years might be less/much less compelling for investors - people might have to change the playbook somewhat and include some boring names in your portfolio/not just "what's the next 10x?"
And AUR. Feel like there may have been another.
AUR back below $6. Probably will pick up another 100 shares at least today ahead of this month's commercial launch.
By the way, Ceausescu’s national-communist regime name was EPOCA DE AUR (Romanian’s Golden Age)
They also conveniently forget that LePens party still exists and they can still go to elections with another candidate. Same for AUR in Romania. But if your main selling point is the person, not the program, then I understand why they are mad.
The issue is that you're looking for the next big growth thing/theme in what has been a risk-off market. If you think the market is bottoming, great - but if it isn't the case then growth (especially very early stage growth) could have further to go South. A main speculative name that I do like is AUR, but I definitely think there's going to be better opportunities in the months ahead, especially if the market continues to be risk off.
BTC facing, AUR or ASTS.
CEO is the former CTO of Waymo, CPO "led the design, development, and launch of the award-winning Tesla Model X, and led the team that delivered Tesla Autopilot", Chief Scientist was formerly Head of Perception and Autonomy Architect at Uber's Advanced Technology Group and the CFO was at GM for 20 years. Autonomous trucking doesn't really have the same "unsexy" side that autonomous passenger cars have: you don't have to stop to clean them five times on a Saturday night because drunk people barfed in them. There's not really the competition in autonomous trucking in the way that there is in autonomous passenger vehicles. T Rowe Price's CIO said last year in Barrons when people ask him what's the next Nvidia, Aurora is what he mentions. Points from the Barrons discussion: • $AUR sells autonomous trucking software & systems. • In David's view, when clients ask - What's the next $NVDA or $TSLA - $AUR has the four key attributes. • First, great mgt team. Second, a giant TAM, autonomous trucking, is a $1T market in the U.S. & $4T globally. • Third, you need a product/service that creates value for customers/shareholders - $AUR software replaces the driver and delivers savings of 26 cents a mile. • Finally, you need to be the clear market leader with high barriers to entry. $AUR is #1 in its market, & most competitors have exited the business. • $AUR has been testing its technology for 7 yrs, running hauls from Dallas to Houston - the technology works. • $AUR has projected $1.3B of revenue by 2028 (it's essentially pre-revenue now), & David believes it can be a $8 stock in 2 years ($3.70 share today). • By 2034, David believes $AUR could generate +$10B in revenue and be a 25-bagger from current levels. I've mentioned it on here at times and have been surprised that nobody else really has.
Waaaay too many trades open…SPY ICs (just two though,) diagonals on NVDA (but closed most short legs, and those were directional taking advantage of volatility,) strangles and spreads on BYND (for May, keeping those intact and resisting the urge to leg out, would be mad to get assigned, esp on short calls bc I think it junk,) I have been dithering on other “real” trades; decided to study some before moving forward (also figure out how much BP to use these days, I was sloppy in the free-for-all.) I’m reading “The Next Leg Down,” and reviewing Euan Sinclair, looking to balance risk with more consideration. For “fun” trades, I did sell some skew, a few put spreads, & built some synthetics on some smaller volatile companies I think have upcoming catalysts, just a few, though, on ASTS and AUR (and a handful on ACHR, but legging out of those already.) I was writing calls on core positions and wrote too many recently, so have been closing (then regretting it bc no real opportunity has arisen to open again that I feel confident about, then thinking it’s too many, repeat.) I still struggle with short calls as long calls were intuitive when I started, and I was lucky with the bull market/ underlyings. But I made a bunch of bad trades, directional debits, undefined risk, last month and got burned. (Knew better, but did it anyway when my portfolio was at ATH.) And just recently came to understand fully that credits make far more sense (though collecting premium and getting long calls for “free” by writing puts was irresistible on some small tickers.) AND wrote some puts on an embarrassing ticker that I got stuck on - so cleaning up those messes (without rolling out or closing at a loss) is a focus while making an actual plan for exposure etc. That’s tricky because it’s still down to experience, or at least not so clear to me from reading a book to putting into practice. I did clean up most shorter dated long calls and now hold as spreads. Kept LEAPS calls though (I heart LEAPS.) I was building collars for protection as well, but puts got expensive. And I was too tempted to sell them when they spiked. So I’m working on dynamic hedging of my most volatile positions. (Got rid of the ones I am not so confident in, and the impulse buys I collected.) Using inverse leveraged ETFS and the longs. Lots of portfolio clean up and rebalancing, learning and getting my act together now that the markets aren’t so easy. It’s kind of embarrassing (especially now I’ve typed this I realize I burned some capital, still very much ahead, but…) I have a penchant for some smaller growth companies, so wanted to find ways to keep some of those (oh, tossing the random biotechs with covered calls lately, too,) and my portfolio intact and growing, and wisely allocated (paying off all margin finally, which is part of the seriousness, once that money is transferred, no net anymore except actual income.) Making a plan to use a portion of intraday BP, mostly for writing puts, I think. I have several calendar butterflies and condors that I legged into on LEAPS calls, too, so learning to close things together, as well (risk management and holy cow, I wasted a lot on fees.) Obviously I got quite carried away in the past year - over two hundred positions still, now winnowing down and trying to make the whole more resilient for the long term. (Just realized I need to look at those short puts and calls that were unwise tonight again, sleep on solutions.) It’s interesting, I used to love debit strategies, but now it’s difficult to enter them, unless meant as investments or very inexpensive with spreads that I know I can close individually. And I couldn’t bring myself to buy puts just to trade bc the premiums were so high. I meant to short VIX directly, but was too late (and I decided, over-extended.) Messy, but evolving!
I hear you, lack of liquidity has bitten my butt in the past as well. I’ve actually been trading AUR for about a year, and so far it’s worked out, as others enter the trade on catalysts. Gotta get out fast, though, or do LEAPS calls in case (I also invest in them, I’m bullish on their future.) Also, there are some large unusual trades, and I sometimes use their strike/expiry to be safer. But while waiting, does wacky things to BP and account total during accumulation bc of sparse trades. Uber is safer and same catalysts/timeline. Any other thoughts on AUR? No one talks about it much, not even in the echo chamber sub, like to check myself.
Eh. I don’t know about AUR, but you could be onto something. I don’t like the volume have been burned in the past on this.
I have one. There are super cheap calls (including low IV premium) on AUR all down the chain right now. Commercial launch in the next month may make it pop. Thinly traded, though, so have to hold a bit. Uber is also a play for that catalyst.
Opened a new 100 share position in AUR today at 6.10 may get more if it falls into the $5 range. I'd like it to get down to $4-5 again but I'm not sure it's going to happen. I took 25% gain from a previous position last year.
It's not a popular opinion, but I do like a few actively managed mutual funds. That said, if I was looking at index funds I'd go with ETFs - if I was wanting to own the S and P 500 and both the mutual and index fund both offered exposure to the same thing I'd rather have the ability to sell whenever than the ability to sell only at end of day (if you buy/sell a mutual fund, you put in the order, at close that order is locked in and the fund sells in the evening at whatever price the fund calculates at the end of the day.) "As for ASTS and RKLB i plan to view this as my could go up high stocks." If this period turns out to be more than a correction and turns into a more of a recession/some sort of 2022 sequel, these would be "go much lower stocks." I'm not saying that they're bad, but they're highly speculative names and I think people piled in over the last 12-15 months during the escalator up, but you can see when a RKLB suddenly gets rug pulled and valuation suddenly matters, the escalator up is followed by an elevator down that in that case was almost -50% in a little over a month. Compelling stories in this kind of market (and 2020/21) quickly get ahead of themselves and people take huge stock moves as validation rather than a bubble. I own ASTS, I own AUR, I own a couple of other things in a basket of selected early stage things that I like, but they are small positions. If these companies gradually/opportunistically improve themselves over time, the position is added to. If that does not happen, they're dropped. The core of the portfolio are companies across various industries that I think are relevant, well-managed companies that have delivered for shareholders over time. There's some international stocks. There's some value stocks (not tons, but certainly more now than ever.) For many years, I was majority/all growth but when growth stocks don't work, they're often all correlated and it may not matter if they're very different businesses. If you own 20 varied growth companies and growth isn't working - like lately, like 2022 - they're all probably down. I'm not saying that someone has to be majorly divesified, but over time having some diversification in sector and also style does often help at least somewhat.