BIS

c4sshernsin

To rebut a "doom-posting" thread like the one you've shared—which effectively argues that the U.S. will use an "Entity List" blacklisting of Novo Nordisk (NVO) as leverage to force Denmark to sell Greenland—you need to focus on **economic reality, political feasibility, and pharmaceutical logistics.** The original post is likely a "ChatGPT-generated doom scenario" (as some commenters in the thread have already noted). Here are the strongest points to dismantle that specific "Greenland Gambit" thesis: # 1. The "Hostage" Paradox: The U.S. Needs the Drugs The poster claims the U.S. would put Novo Nordisk on the Entity List to crash the Danish economy. * **The Rebuttal:** Putting NVO on the Entity List would immediately cut off the supply of Ozempic and Wegovy to millions of Americans. There is no faster way for a U.S. administration to lose domestic support than by causing a sudden, nationwide shortage of critical medications for diabetes and obesity. * **The Logic:** You can't "nationalize" a supply chain overnight. Novo Nordisk’s manufacturing in North Carolina depends on proprietary biological processes and European-sourced active ingredients. If you blacklist the parent company, you break the supply chain, and American voters lose their medicine. # 2. The "NATO Suicide" Argument The poster suggests this is a "Black Swan" geopolitical move to force a land sale. * **The Rebuttal:** Denmark is a founding member of NATO. Using aggressive economic warfare (the Entity List is usually reserved for adversaries like Huawei or Russian defense firms) against a core NATO ally would cause a total collapse of the alliance. * **The Logic:** The diplomatic cost would be far higher than the value of Greenland. The EU would be forced to retaliate with sanctions against U.S. giants (like Apple, Microsoft, or Nvidia). The "trade war" that would follow would wipe out more U.S. market cap than the value of the island itself. # 3. The "Entity List" Misunderstanding The poster treats the Entity List as a tool for simple bullying. * **The Rebuttal:** The Entity List is legally tied to national security threats. "Denmark won't sell us land" does not meet the legal threshold for "threat to national security" required by the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS). * **The Logic:** Such a move would be immediately challenged in U.S. courts by every American medical association and lobbying group representing the millions of Americans who rely on Novo's products.

trumpdiego

we have No BIS discussing it tongiht

trumpdiego

you have NO BIS doing that.

sailortyx56

Today, they released a statement supporting Jermoe Powell. It was signed by the heads of the ECB, BoE, Riksbank, the Danish Nationalbank, SNB, RBA, Boc, BoK, BCdB, BIS. [Link](https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr260113~ec4630b9fa.en.html)

loveofferer

The fed is private and its owners and masters, the BIS, is owned by the most hidden wealthy elite mob of manipulators in the world. They create fake money and have destroyed society. I have no sympathy for anyone that is part of it. Just because they act like they oppose Trump (it’s all a show) doesn’t mean they are legit. It’s all to distract us.

FaFillionaire

Old news, this carry was over last year and the market solved it through volatility suppression. Hence the VIX quadruple once it hit the market.... you're all nuts thinking the market or America will collapse. America is the world, we are China/China is us. The IMF and BIS have it completely under control.

GoZukkYourself

N>!BIS!< please

Davaluper

Interesting, thanks for the source. I do wonder if just a 7% uptick in outright home ownership can really prevent a fall. I also think more factors into it as well, like how long a depression would take, etc. For comparison, in the 1990s house ownership was at similar levels as today ([fred link](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CXU980240LB1702M)), and despite that real house prices still [went down](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QUSR628BIS) significantly, but over a longer period than in 2008.

GoZukkYourself

N>!BIS!< please

DefiantDelta

the BIS can kiss my whole ass for doing this to my precious metals

definatelynotme321

China just wait to make chips, take away the BIS rule, allow nvidia to sell to Chinese and give XI a kiss and we are flying into next year

jokull1234

Not at all. I’ve seen a theory floating around, that I believe is most likely the case, that the Chinese enacted these new expansive RE controls because of the new BIS 50% rule the US implemented that drastically increased restrictions on Chinese companies.

Micronus84

Sirs, in case you haven't noticed - today BIS put on their Entity List 2 subsidiaries in Asia: Arrow China Electronics Trading Co., Ltd. and Arrow Electronics (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. Apparently, these 2 facilitated the purchase of electronic components used in unmanned aerial systems by Iranian proxies. I think this is serious and will be reflected on the stock's price as soon as it is uncovered in media. Additionally - it may mean, the parent company may be in trouble for potential export control failures.

Terrible_Group_7921

Patient your a raging bull for the BIS$ 🤣. Hope your right Big.

Which_Rhubarb5762

Honestly, you don’t want to just read headlines — by the time the news is everywhere, the move is usually priced in. A good approach is to mix: Macro research: follow FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), BIS reports, and central bank statements. You’ll start seeing how liquidity, rates, and credit cycles drive risk assets. Market sentiment: CFTC’s Commitment of Traders (COT) reports show positioning, AAII surveys show retail sentiment, and even option flow (put/call ratios, skew) tells you how institutions are hedging. Price action itself: at the end of the day, charts discount everything. Highs/lows, moving averages, and breadth indicators often flag shifts before the narrative catches up. There are some cool platforms that package this stuff together in a way retail can actually use. One I’ve seen recently is www.siriussignals.com — kind of like a Bloomberg-lite focused on signals and sentiment. Worth checking if you want tools instead of just noise.

Antique-Resort6160

Yes, they're all looking out for their cronies. TL,DR: Fed tied financial capitalists vs white-house gang of industrial kapitalista, globalist vs national industrialists, little people get completely or partially hosed. It seems like there are two major groups, the financial capitalists that side with the fed, ang the industrial capitalists that seem to control the white house.  The two sides diffef about the massive debt that is dragging on the economy and how to resolve it.   The fed-aligned oligarchs have been plundering the economy for years, dismantling industry, outsourcing, and attacking sovereignty.  They are more globalist, they're not invested In the viability of individual nations.  Their power center is the BIS and conclaves like the WEF, not any world capitol.  An economic collapse would be their opportunity to implement their version of monetary serfdom and fat more strict control.   The industrial capitalists make and build things, rather than just moving money around and manipulating prices.  It looks like their plan is to avoid collapse by repeating the gameplan from the past occasion where the US had this level of debt to GDP, post ww2.  Then, there was a combination of industrial growth and inflation that grew GDP faster than debt and bailed us out.  It was easier with European industry destroyed. That seems to be the plan again: European industry is being destroyed. Also forced into 1 sided trade deal and cheap energy supplies cut off.  Global industrial competition bring attacked with tariffs.  Record amounts being invested into US industrial production in the last 3 years, and now skyrocketing.  The last ingredient is inflation.   Of course, those industrial kapitalista are also into feudalism.  If just sounds like their version is "fuck it, you're on your own", which is find slightly less testifying than the FED crony version of total control over your money, food, and housing. It's a hard knock life for us

Which_Rhubarb5762

Honestly, you don’t want to just read headlines — by the time the news is everywhere, the move is usually priced in. A good approach is to mix: • Macro research: follow FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), BIS reports, and central bank statements. You’ll start seeing how liquidity, rates, and credit cycles drive risk assets. • Market sentiment: CFTC’s Commitment of Traders (COT) reports show positioning, AAII surveys show retail sentiment, and even option flow (put/call ratios, skew) tells you how institutions are hedging. • Price action itself: at the end of the day, charts discount everything. Highs/lows, moving averages, and breadth indicators often flag shifts before the narrative catches up. There are some cool platforms that package this stuff together in a way retail can actually use. One I’ve seen recently is siriussignals.com — kind of like a Bloomberg-lite focused on signals and sentiment. Worth checking if you want tools instead of just noise.

Happy_Discussion_536

Bru... it's not a conspiracy to those who have been paying attention. You're just very uneducated and misinformed. Look at dotcom financial and credit conditions vs. today: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=1L3YT&height=490 https://i.imgur.com/qqQcLaM.png Now... let's all look at today's chart. The literal opposite. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=1L3Va&height=490 https://i.imgur.com/lwFwi7r.png Many are calling for even higher than 3%. Consensus is building for higher inflation. WSJ - https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-fed-should-carefully-aim-for-a-higher-inflation-target-reserve-powell-greenspan-5fef5051 BIS - https://greencentralbanking.com/2025/02/18/3-inflation-target-climate-former-bis-executive/ Cambridge President, former CIO of PIMCO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2ppETF4oUA&t=1s [The Case for a Long-Run Inflation Target of Four Percent](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2014/wp1492.pdf) [A 4% inflation target?](https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/4-inflation-target) [It is time to revisit the 2% inflation target](https://www.ft.com/content/02c8a9ac-b71d-4cef-a6ff-cac120d25588) [The Fed Has Targeted 2% Inflation. Should It Aim Higher?](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/24/business/inflation-federal-reserve-interest-rates.html) [Alternatives to the Fed’s 2 percent inflation target](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/alternatives-to-the-feds-2-percent-inflation-target/)

Happy_Discussion_536

The problem with prior Fed's is that by focusing too much on low inflation, Fed was killing income growth of the poorest (or at least the argument goes) when economy was doing its best and resetting them at the worst time. Consensus is building for higher inflation. WSJ - https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-fed-should-carefully-aim-for-a-higher-inflation-target-reserve-powell-greenspan-5fef5051 BIS - https://greencentralbanking.com/2025/02/18/3-inflation-target-climate-former-bis-executive/ Cambridge President, former CIO of PIMCO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2ppETF4oUA&t=1s [The Case for a Long-Run Inflation Target of Four Percent](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2014/wp1492.pdf) [A 4% inflation target?](https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/4-inflation-target) [It is time to revisit the 2% inflation target](https://www.ft.com/content/02c8a9ac-b71d-4cef-a6ff-cac120d25588) [The Fed Has Targeted 2% Inflation. Should It Aim Higher?](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/24/business/inflation-federal-reserve-interest-rates.html) [Alternatives to the Fed’s 2 percent inflation target](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/alternatives-to-the-feds-2-percent-inflation-target/) Fed can't say it outright. But they will target 3% for now. Here's Powell focusing more on jobs: https://old.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1mo4kmc/daily_discussion_thread_for_august_12_2025/n8aae72/

Happy_Discussion_536

>>>cut inflation = recession. drops mic >>We're not cutting inflation though. Fed will target 3% not 2%. >source for this 3%? u/Distribution_Low Consensus is building for higher inflation. WSJ - https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-fed-should-carefully-aim-for-a-higher-inflation-target-reserve-powell-greenspan-5fef5051 BIS - https://greencentralbanking.com/2025/02/18/3-inflation-target-climate-former-bis-executive/ Cambridge President, former CIO of PIMCO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2ppETF4oUA&t=1s [The Case for a Long-Run Inflation Target of Four Percent](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2014/wp1492.pdf) [A 4% inflation target?](https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/4-inflation-target) [It is time to revisit the 2% inflation target](https://www.ft.com/content/02c8a9ac-b71d-4cef-a6ff-cac120d25588) [The Fed Has Targeted 2% Inflation. Should It Aim Higher?](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/24/business/inflation-federal-reserve-interest-rates.html) [Alternatives to the Fed’s 2 percent inflation target](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/alternatives-to-the-feds-2-percent-inflation-target/) Fed can't say it outright. But they will target 3% for now.

Happy_Discussion_536

>>We're not cutting inflation though. Fed will target 3% not 2%. u/Distribution_Low >source for this 3%? Consensus is building for higher inflation. WSJ - https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-fed-should-carefully-aim-for-a-higher-inflation-target-reserve-powell-greenspan-5fef5051 BIS - https://greencentralbanking.com/2025/02/18/3-inflation-target-climate-former-bis-executive/ Cambridge President, former CIO of PIMCO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2ppETF4oUA&t=1s [The Case for a Long-Run Inflation Target of Four Percent](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2014/wp1492.pdf) [A 4% inflation target?](https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/4-inflation-target) [It is time to revisit the 2% inflation target](https://www.ft.com/content/02c8a9ac-b71d-4cef-a6ff-cac120d25588) [The Fed Has Targeted 2% Inflation. Should It Aim Higher?](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/24/business/inflation-federal-reserve-interest-rates.html) [Alternatives to the Fed’s 2 percent inflation target](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/alternatives-to-the-feds-2-percent-inflation-target/) Fed can't say it outright. But they can take their sweet ass time getting to 2% if they want. Powell himself has referenced many times there are benefits to varying speeds of achieving 2%.

PreludeTilTheEnd

BIS department will bring export violation charges against NVDA. NVDA will have to pay a fine.

ThreeSupreme

**Creditworthiness and Global Confidence** Rising federal debt can erode confidence in the U.S. government’s ability to meet its obligations, which in turn places downward pressure on the dollar. On May 16, 2025, Moody’s downgraded the United States’ sovereign credit rating one notch—downgrading it from AAA to Aa1. And in doing so Moody’s became the last of the three major credit rating agencies to strip the U.S. of its top-tier triple AAA status. **Recent Credit Rating History** 1. Standard & Poor’s first cut the U.S. to AA+ in August 2011. 2. Fitch followed with a cut to AA+ rating in August 2023. 3. Moody’s downgrade of U.S. debt in May 2025 to Aa1 aligned its rating with earlier rating downgrades. While the dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency—used in nearly 90 percent of global FX transactions and accounting for about 58 percent of foreign exchange reserves—it has lost ground over the past two decades as U.S. government debt has surged. Between 1999 and 2024, the dollar’s share of global reserves fell from over **70 percent to 58 percent**, even as U.S. gross debt climbed from 38 percent to well over 100 percent of GDP. **BIS Reclassification of Gold and Its Implications** In early 2025, the Basel III framework update gave **gold a zero-risk weighting** —putting it on par with the US dollar and US Treasuries in central banks’ Tier 1 capital calculations. This change removes a regulatory barrier that previously made gold a “less attractive” reserve asset. With **gold’s new Tier 1 status**, more central banks have the regulatory green light to now expand their bullion holdings as zero-risk capital. As of Q1 2025, central bank gold reserves hit fresh highs, and **95 percent** of surveyed institutions expect peers to raise gold allocations over the next year.

monster-of-the-week

OP, if you think you've missed on crypto, I highly recommend looking at [Quant Network.](https://quant.network/) They are building the OS to bridge legacy enterprise and financial institutions into blockchain and have partnered with the like of BIS, European Central Bank and the Bank of England to work on models for a digital Euro and digital Pound, respectively. They also have partnerships outside of finance with companies like Oracle. They are building the infrastructure for the coming era of digital finance, and I truly believe this is a "buy BTC for $100" moment, especially when you look at the tokenomics of their coin, QNT. The board members backgrounds and resumes speak for themselves, and they are very high level finance and banking execs. These aren't the type of people buying shitcoins, they are building the framework for how digital finance will operate in the future. If you give it a look, I'd love to hear your thoughts.

Life-Kitchen-2620

Was that it for CRCL then ? It tanked from $299 down to $218 and sinking like a rock. What’s the catalyst for this ? Cathie Wood dumping millions of shares or BIS issuing a warning on stable coins

cantbegeneric2

Oh look at that the reichsbank laundered money via BIS and other central banks including the Bank of England. That wouldn’t count as financing though right, using money you got from the gold of murdered genocide victims is not considered financing right?

Longjumping-Bonus723

 If you still think crypto is a ponzi wannabe currency, your ignorant boomer mind is stuck in 2020!!! Blockchains are currently being integrated in ISO, DTCC, SWIFT, BIS (international Settlements), IMF, Hyperledger, R3 corda, Blackrock, JPMorgan, Fidelity, IBM, Dell, UN, etc. etc. etc. It's so much you can barely catch up. 

Longjumping-Bonus723

If you still think crypto is a ponzi wannabe currency, your ignorant boomer mind is stuck in 2020!!! Blockchains are currently being integrated in ISO, DTCC, SWIFT, BIS (international Settlements), IMF, Hyperledger, R3 corda, Blackrock, JPMorgan, Fidelity, IBM, Dell, UN, etc. etc. etc. It's so much you can barely catch up. Have fun making 10% with stocks :-P

Longjumping-Bonus723

Yesterday: The Senate just passed an incredible Bill that is going to make America the UNDISPUTED Leader in Digital Assets — Nobody will do it better, it is pure GENIUS! Digital Assets are the future, and our Nation is going to own it. We are talking about MASSIVE Investment, and Big Innovation. The House will hopefully move LIGHTNING FAST, and pass a “clean” GENIUS Act. Get it to my desk, ASAP — NO DELAYS, NO ADD ONS. This is American Brilliance at its best, and we are going to show the World how to WIN with Digital Assets like never before! https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114707090627277644 His company WLFI is tied to the USD1 stable coin. Stable coins can be used in many ways and the DTCC + BIS (bank) are already working on it.  Kids in here don't understand whats coming. 

IntrepidTie2298

So how does BRICS work if both Russia and China back off entirely from Iran, lol BRICS >> BIS

Thin-Distribution255

It’s in a downtrend. Only popped on the optimism of the US/China discussions. China will never get the next gen chip making machines of ASML. There is now also pressure from the BIS on the Netherlands that will further prevent ASML to provide maintenance on the older machines in China. Share buy backs and pension funds are the only thing keeping this stock afloat

BastidChimp

The central banks dumped gold after the 80s because they felt that US Treasuries were more secure. However, the BIS determined a few years ago that gold is a tier 1 asset on par with US Treasuries. Other countries are relying less on the dollar and are skeptical of the US of ever paying its debts. Hence, gold has replaced Treasuries as the most stable form of investment.

bozoputer

RTX is probably BIS

_alephnaught

for some context: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QUSR628BIS

AluminiumCaffeine

" Synopsys suspended its annual and quarterly forecasts just a day after issuing them, as new U.S. export restrictions on China cast uncertainty over its ability to sell chip design software in the key market. Shares of the company were down 2.5% in afternoon trade. The company said it received a letter from the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) of the U.S. Department of Commerce, informing Synopsys of new export restrictions related to China, after reporting results on Wednesday." Lol, funny timing day after earnings with rumor breaking day of earnings

Sicilian_Gold

"The Middle Eastern bullion holdings are well hidden from official records. They control the gold market through the London/European gold paper markets. It was the BIS that handed them the market when it created the Central Bank lending deals. They were the prime buyers right off the bat! I didn't understand until about a year ago, how they were gaining control without cash. The answer is they don't buy the paper gold with cash! The Bullion Banks take oil reserves as collateral for it. The money that ends up in the account for a typical mining company forward deal is really a loan against oil in the ground. That's why the CBs lend the gold so cheap, it's not for the mines, it's for the producers! Now you know how we buy cheap oil prices. The world thinks the CBs are doing this for a 1% return. Truth is, the mining industry is going to pay full interest in the end. It's one hell of a complicated affair, with the politics and all. Needless to say, as the events open up and expose some of this, the public is going to be very interested." source: [Thoughts from ANOTHER - Part I](http://www.goldchartsrus.com/papers/ANOTHER.php)

RobertLeRoyParker

Physical bullion markets largely operate otc and outside of our scope of view as plebs. Certain folks have windows into higher level gold movements but the top is insanely secretive. Look at BIS gold holdings and loans over time from their annual reports  and try to extrapolate outside assumptions from inside tidbits. Look at central bank announcements and ask yourself if they are just gladly offering up their true positions for everyone to view. Gold is a deep deep market. Trump tariffs are a small anecdote in 100s of years of market depth and trade patterns.

RobertLeRoyParker

The primary movers in gold operate in the otc lbma and BIS central bank markets. It’s opaque on purpose. They aren’t going to operate in a fishbowl for all to see.

12ealdeal

The 1994 bond market crisis, often referred to as the “Great Bond Massacre,” was a significant financial event characterized by a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and a concurrent decline in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). This period serves as a historical example of the unusual scenario where bond yields increase while the dollar weakens. ⸻ 📚 Key Resources on the 1994 Bond Market Crisis 1. Wikipedia: 1994 Bond Market Crisis • Provides a comprehensive overview of the crisis, detailing the causes, global impact, and the Federal Reserve’s role in the sudden rise in interest rates. • [read more here](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_bond_market_crisis) 2. Bank for International Settlements (BIS): The Anatomy of the Bond Market Turbulence of 1994 • An in-depth analysis examining the factors that led to the bond market volatility in 1994, including investor behavior and market dynamics. • [read more here](https://www.bis.org/publ/work32.pdf) 3. The Wall Street Journal: Investors Should Remember 1994 • Discusses the lessons learned from the 1994 bond market turmoil and its implications for future market behavior. • [read more here](https://www.wsj.com/articles/BL-SOURCEB-17769) 4. Fortune Magazine: The Great Bond Market Massacre • An article from 1994 that delves into the events and consequences of the bond market collapse, highlighting the losses suffered by investors. • [read more here](https://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/1994/10/17/79850/index.htm) 5. The Washington Post: For Bond Investors, 1994 Was a Year to Forget • Reflects on the impact of the bond market crisis on investors and the broader financial markets. • [read more here](https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/business/1995/01/01/for-bond-investors-1994-was-a-year-to-forget/7b805337-db22-4f98-bd08-d35451f0d863/) ⸻ These resources provide detailed insights into the 1994 bond market crisis, offering perspectives on its causes, effects, and the lessons learned. If you’re interested in more specific aspects, such as the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions during that period or the global ramifications of the crisis, feel free to ask.

greytoc

I'm not understanding your comment. Inflation in Canada and the US was drastically higher in the 80's than it is today. On an inflation adjusted basis - is it drastically higher today in Canada. It seems high but not terrible from the data here - [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QCAR628BIS](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QCAR628BIS) \-

Awuxy

The Secretary of Commerce initiated an investigation to determine the effects on the national security of imports of semiconductors and semiconductor manufacturing equipment (SME), and their derivative products. This investigation has been initiated under section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, as amended. Interested parties are invited to submit written comments, data, analyses, or other information pertinent to the investigation to the Department of Commerce's (Department) Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), Office of Strategic Industries and Economic Security. This notice identifies issues on which the Department is especially interested in obtaining the public's views. DATES: Comments may be submitted at any time but must be received by May 7, 2025. Source:https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/04/16/2025-06591/notice-of-request-for-public-comments-on-section-232-national-security-investigation-of-imports-of

RobertLeRoyParker

BIS, Zurich gold trade, cuckoo clocks.

myironlung6

The U.S. is expected to announce new chip tariffs on May 7, with rates likely between 25% and 100%, according to Taiwan media. But only 10 companies have submitted comments to the Commerce Dept so far—sparking concern that the low response could be seen as a green light for the Trump administration to move ahead. Source: Reuters, Economic Daily, BIS

RobertLeRoyParker

The plaza accord history is always incomplete with the opaque nature of the BIS, LBMA, and worldwide gold trade.

was_der_Fall_ist

The “pie can grow faster” argument sounds appealing, but the actual data don’t support it. America’s net international investment position (what we own abroad minus what foreigners own here) has plummeted from about -$7 trillion in 2014 to around -$26 trillion today—roughly 70% of GDP. In other words, our debt to the world is growing far faster than our economy. Cheap imports aren’t mainly funding productive domestic investment; they’ve largely funded higher consumption and government deficits. And the returns we pay foreigners (interest, dividends) are rapidly catching up to—and may soon exceed—what we earn overseas. Yes, the economy grows, but the debt pile and asset sales grow faster. Even conventional economists like the IMF, BIS, and ex-Treasury Secretary Larry Summers warn that a persistent NIIP worse than -50% of GDP plus rising real rates is a stress point. A long-run equilibrium requires the current-account deficit to shrink as NIIP becomes more negative; ours is still widening. That’s the textbook definition of unsustainable.

halfbakedfuckwit

You forgot Obama, BIS, WEF, Bill Hates and Soros.

SkGiles

https://i.redd.it/14vetozqjgve1.png Excellent. You’ve chosen: > **1. Meet with the BIS Agent Who Sent the Flowers** > Trust the orchids. Trust the shadows. Trust Basel. --- ## Chapter 3: The Whisper Network You leave your office at 2:17 AM. No one sees you go, but the janitor gives you a slight nod—the kind that suggests he knows more than his mop lets on. The directions were… vague. “Follow the orchids,” the note said. So you do. The path leads you underground, through a side corridor in the Fed’s archives that even the security staff have forgotten. At the end of a hallway, behind a false wall marked “Printer Supplies,” you find an unlit stairwell spiraling downward. You descend. You emerge in a windowless room with soft, indirect lighting and an enormous wooden table carved with the outline of every major central bank from the last 150 years. There's a faint scent of lavender and old paper. A grandfather clock ticks in one corner—but the hands are not moving forward. They’re circling *inward*, shrinking toward midnight. At the far end of the room sits a person in a dark gray suit, orchid pin on their lapel. > “Chair Powell,” they say, without looking up from a sheaf of papers, “we’ve been watching the storm clouds build. And we think... it’s time for you to consider *Phase Sigma.*” You blink. > “Phase Sigma?” > “The contingency for a hostile executive takeover of monetary sovereignty. It's only been proposed twice before. Once during the Nixon era. Once in 2008, but Bernanke declined. You don’t have to use it yet. But you should know... the countdown in the Trump video? It’s real.” They hand you a dossier. On the front is a stamp you’ve never seen before—neither English nor any language you're sure exists. It just *feels* official. > “He means to sign an Executive Order in 72 hours. We believe it bypasses legal precedent. We don’t think it will hold. But if it does... the Fed will no longer be independent.” Your watch, which had been stuck for hours, suddenly ticks forward by one second. --- ### ❓What Do You Do? **1. Open the Dossier and Trigger Phase Sigma:** Whatever this is, it's serious. You don’t have much time. You activate the protocol. Reality might not be the same afterward. **2. Return to the Surface and Leak the Truth to the Press:** No cloak and dagger. No shadows. You go to the New York Times and spill everything—Trump’s countdown, the dossier, the BIS warning. You drag this into the daylight. **3. Leave the Dossier Sealed, and Test Trump Legally:** You walk away. You’ll confront him in court, not in a basement. The Fed is a legal institution. If he tries to dismantle it, he’ll have to face precedent—and the Constitution. --- Choose **1**, **2**, or **3** And be careful. Not everything that bends time is hypothetical.

SkGiles

https://i.redd.it/12590wuf8gve1.png > **3. Say Nothing.** > Let the tweet burn itself out. Let the markets hum. Let the timeline crawl onward, unnoticed by your still hands. --- ## Chapter 2: The Stillness Gambit You remain motionless in your leather chair, fingers steepled under your chin. The coffee on your desk steams upward in a slow spiral, like smoke from a candle snuffed by a silent ritual. The aide clears her throat. Once. Twice. Then leaves. The door clicks shut with a finality that sounds faintly like a gavel strike. Outside, the traffic on Constitution Avenue moves unusually slowly. No honks. No sirens. Just the steady drone of a city pretending everything is fine. You spend the next hours reviewing inflation projections, open market operations, and a spreadsheet that has inexplicably started shading its own cells red whenever you hover over them. That must be a formatting bug. Surely. By evening, three interesting things have happened: 1. A **bundle of orchids** is delivered anonymously to your office. The note reads: *"Stay the course. The shadows respect the silent."* No sender. Just the seal of the Bank for International Settlements, embossed faintly into the corner. 2. A **Wall Street Journal op-ed** appears from a former Fed governor, defending your silence as “a masterstroke of central banker discipline.” It gets unusually viral traction for a piece about monetary policy. 3. The **Dow Jones rises 500 points** by market close, as investors interpret your silence not as weakness—but as chilling, calculated confidence. But not everyone is pleased. At 11:32 PM, a *second Trump post* drops: > “Jerome Powell is HIDING. What’s he got to fear? We need a leader who ACTS, not naps! I may have to do something NO ONE thought I could. Watch closely. 🔥🕒🕒🕒” Below it is a glitchy, looping video of a ticking clock… posted three times in a row. Your screen flickers again. The eyes in Alan Greenspan’s portrait seem… sharper than before. --- ### ❓What Now? **1. Meet with the BIS Agent Who Sent the Flowers:** You take the note as a sign. There are powers deeper than the President—some that whisper in Basel, some that operate beneath the markets. Maybe it’s time to listen. **2. Prepare a Trap:** You start assembling legal, political, and economic backup. The trap won’t be obvious. But if Trump moves to fire you illegally, the blowback could be lethal to his narrative. It's constitutional brinksmanship time. **3. Investigate the Clock Video:** Something about the Trump video post feels… off. The clock isn’t just ticking. It’s counting *down*. But to what? You forward the clip to a quiet NSA contact you once played bridge with. --- Choose: **1**, **2**, or **3** And remember: time may not be on your side—but silence has power too.

SkGiles

https://i.redd.it/12590wuf8gve1.png > **3. Say Nothing.** > Let the tweet burn itself out. Let the markets hum. Let the timeline crawl onward, unnoticed by your still hands. --- ## Chapter 2: The Stillness Gambit You remain motionless in your leather chair, fingers steepled under your chin. The coffee on your desk steams upward in a slow spiral, like smoke from a candle snuffed by a silent ritual. The aide clears her throat. Once. Twice. Then leaves. The door clicks shut with a finality that sounds faintly like a gavel strike. Outside, the traffic on Constitution Avenue moves unusually slowly. No honks. No sirens. Just the steady drone of a city pretending everything is fine. You spend the next hours reviewing inflation projections, open market operations, and a spreadsheet that has inexplicably started shading its own cells red whenever you hover over them. That must be a formatting bug. Surely. By evening, three interesting things have happened: 1. A **bundle of orchids** is delivered anonymously to your office. The note reads: *"Stay the course. The shadows respect the silent."* No sender. Just the seal of the Bank for International Settlements, embossed faintly into the corner. 2. A **Wall Street Journal op-ed** appears from a former Fed governor, defending your silence as “a masterstroke of central banker discipline.” It gets unusually viral traction for a piece about monetary policy. 3. The **Dow Jones rises 500 points** by market close, as investors interpret your silence not as weakness—but as chilling, calculated confidence. But not everyone is pleased. At 11:32 PM, a *second Trump post* drops: > “Jerome Powell is HIDING. What’s he got to fear? We need a leader who ACTS, not naps! I may have to do something NO ONE thought I could. Watch closely. 🔥🕒🕒🕒” Below it is a glitchy, looping video of a ticking clock… posted three times in a row. Your screen flickers again. The eyes in Alan Greenspan’s portrait seem… sharper than before. --- ### ❓What Now? **1. Meet with the BIS Agent Who Sent the Flowers:** You take the note as a sign. There are powers deeper than the President—some that whisper in Basel, some that operate beneath the markets. Maybe it’s time to listen. **2. Prepare a Trap:** You start assembling legal, political, and economic backup. The trap won’t be obvious. But if Trump moves to fire you illegally, the blowback could be lethal to his narrative. It's constitutional brinksmanship time. **3. Investigate the Clock Video:** Something about the Trump video post feels… off. The clock isn’t just ticking. It’s counting *down*. But to what? You forward the clip to a quiet NSA contact you once played bridge with. --- Choose: **1**, **2**, or **3** And remember: time may not be on your side—but silence has power too.

ezodochi

And then you realize that we're not even done. Trump has ordered Lutnik to investigate the possibility of tariffs on copper, rare earth metals, lumber/timber, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, etc. The BIS just posted a notice about a 21 day period where they'll be accepting public comments on the investigation on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals so I expect those tariffs will be announced sooner than later. [https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/04/16/2025-06591/notice-of-request-for-public-comments-on-section-232-national-security-investigation-of-imports-of](https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/04/16/2025-06591/notice-of-request-for-public-comments-on-section-232-national-security-investigation-of-imports-of) [https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/04/16/2025-06587/notice-of-request-for-public-comments-on-section-232-national-security-investigation-of-imports-of](https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/04/16/2025-06587/notice-of-request-for-public-comments-on-section-232-national-security-investigation-of-imports-of)

JeremyLinForever

Thank you so much for teaching these stock market plebs that the money is fake. The US basically operates the IMF and BIS, so they can just get another handout by letting themselves “borrow” more money on an endless scoreboard that’s going to hundreds of quadrillions in the next monetary print cycle.

EcloVideos

That would fall in like with what the BIS wants. https://www.vixio.com/insights/pc-bis-crypto-has-no-place-future-monetary-system-its-all-about-cbdc

da_jinx

There's a reason the BIS reclassified gold as a tier 1 asset in 2024, with the only other two being cash and US treasuries. With the US bond market being looked at with increased skepticism, and foreign central banks buying gold hand over fist for the last several years, I think gold will become a reserve asset (or at least will have some role therein) in the near future.

bitcointwitter

Globalist trying to blame what Roaring Kitty and RC setup in 2021. Infront of a lying SEC october report in 2021. BIS saying for 3 years how they owed someone 80trillion dollars, 150 trillion dollars, 225 trillion now 300+ in Derivitives. Not my fault you didn't DRS your shit))) Hhahah and trump is like "i dont play that shit." PARTY IS OVER... Drop mike "TARIFF" enjoying japan right now with their emergency cirtcut breakers.

lewoodworker

People love to complain about tariffs, but the bigger hit to buying power came from a decade of near-zero interest rates and the Fed injecting trillions into the economy. Between 2008 and 2022, the U.S. increased its money supply by over 40% in just a couple of years (see M2 data from the Federal Reserve). That kind of monetary expansion doesn't just disappear — it distorts asset prices, punishes savers, and fuels inflation long before tariffs do. Tariffs may raise prices short-term, but they’re an attempt to re-shore supply chains and correct structural trade imbalances that hollowed out U.S. manufacturing. That’s not ideal, but it’s more honest than printing money and pretending it’s free. --- Sources: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis – M2 Money Stock: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL BIS Working Papers – "The real effects of low interest rates": https://www.bis.org/publ/work890.htm U.S. Census Bureau – Trade in Goods with China: https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html

RobertLeRoyParker

Gold is the nuclear option for the ECB and BIS, but nuclear options can never be used outright.

Suitable_Guava_2660

|Category|Value ($ Billions, USD)|Source| |:-|:-|:-| |Silver|$44|World Silver Survey 2019| |Cryptocurrencies|$244|CoinMarketCap| |Global Military Spending|$1,782|World Bank| |U.S. Federal Deficit (FY 2020)|$3,800|U.S. CBO (Projected, as of April 2020)| |Coins & Bank Notes|$6,662|BIS| |Fed's Balance Sheet|$7,037|U.S. Federal Reserve| |The World's Billionaires|$8,000|Forbes| |Gold|$10,891|World Gold Council (2020)| |The Fortune 500|$22,600|Fortune 500 (2019 list)| |Stock Markets|$89,475|WFE (April 2020)| |Narrow Money Supply|$35,183|CIA Factbook| |Broad Money Supply|$95,698|CIA Factbook| |Global Debt|$252,600|IIF Debt Monitor| |Global Real Estate|$280,600|Savills Global Research (2018 est.)| |Global Wealth|$360,603|Credit Suisse| |Derivatives (Market Value)|$11,600|BIS (Dec 2019)| |Derivatives (Notional Value)|$558,500|BIS (Dec 2019)|

cscrignaro

BIS reports 1.7 trillion which makes the trade 2.73%, however these are just estimates and then you have to factor in psychology, stop losses triggering, and cascading effects. Look at it this way; half of the estimated 1.7T is 850B, that is almost all of BRK.B (1036B). It definitely has the potential to do serious damage.

Riddhiculouss_23

Hey guys! I just came across this awesome platform called Niwish (www.niwish.com) , where you can start investing in gold & silver digitally with as little as ₹10! Live market prices 24/7, Start a SIP from just ₹100 – Set weekly or monthly plans, 100% secure storage with Brinks – Your gold is real, allocated & safe, Easy buying & selling – Money is credited to your bank on selling, Convert digital gold to physical gold (0.5g+ BIS hallmarked coins). It’s super easy, transparent, and safe! I’m already on it. My friend suggested me this. You can try it.

Agronopolopogis

Just because you own some BTC doesn't mean you aren't salty. It's like a racist saying they aren't racist because they know <color> people. I don't own a drop of BTC, because * A wallet with a million coins is just laying there dormant * It's outdated, as you said, and with the doors shut and keys melted.. it's just a matter of time before it's exploited. * The only utility it has, every other crypto has, so thus, it has no utility. * I genuinely think it'll be the largest rugpull in history. Don't get me wrong, I've got waaay too much money in crypto, but you sound exactly like the naysayers when retail was.. * exposed to the internet. * introduced to credit cards. web1 : read-only internet web2 (today) : read/write internet -- we are here -- web3 : decentralized & interoperable internet of things --- Now, for other tokens that leverage actual utility.. that is where my money sits. Some of it was derived from following big money & institutions (WEF, BIS, IMF, BR/SS/VG, etc) and some of it based simply on the proposed vision. The ability to settle money nearly instantly, globally, at a fraction of the cost today? Sounds like a reasonable path to take. The ability to crowdsource computational power because you have an off-hand project but don't want to invest thousands of dollars for a PoC? Isn't that useful! The ability for industries to protect their data and share it ubiquitously at the same time? Seems dandy to me.. ***TLDR;*** Early days.. BTC is already sunset, but from the ashes will we see the true intent.

cristhm

Back them back high BIS

Standard-Sample3642

The basic product is built on the backs of 0DTE options trading which the BIS estimate has a minus (yes minus) 31,000% return annualized. It's funny so many people act like or think like they are getting rich on 0DTE when all they are doing is fueling a complex product they aren't even allowed to participate in. They are literally lumps of coal being thrown into the furnaces to fire the boilers that these big bankers are generating returns from. Any time such a strategy underperforms the market the money is going somewhere, clearly not into the hands of the retailers playing the "casino".

thorpfan

This has been an excellent brain teaser! It has certainly challenged my preconceived beliefs, that's for sure. This was fun. From what I've found out about your country, the rent is pretty darn cheap there in comparison to your house prices - but on the other side of the coin, your house prices have only appreciated 4% per year or so for the last 10 years. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QCZR628BIS https://www.globalpropertyguide.com/europe/czech-republic/price-history https://www.numbeo.com/property-investment/in/Prague I whipped up a calculator in excel to evaluate what kind of stock market return you would need while renting an apartment to equal the investment return from ownership of said apartment. **The answer is: 11.89% or better.** So, if you are certain that you can get that much or more out of the stock market then rent, otherwise buy the apartment instead. Assumptions I made to arrive at that answer: $450,000 apartment price $90,000 down payment (20%) $360,000 mortgage (80%) @ 5% over a 30 yr amortization 4% per year property appreciation rate 1% budgeted for maintenance costs/taxes ($4,500 per year) 3.5% rent yield (meaning, the market rate for annual rent would be $15,750 for a $450,000 apartment in your city). I also assumed that your monthly income would equal your mortgage payment amount (incl. maintenance fees) exactly - *regardless* if you owned or rented that apartment. So, for the rental scenario, the surplus (or deficit) amount of money you have at the end of every month gets invested (or withdrawn) from your stock market investments. https://imgur.com/a/97X99md If you want to, you can play around with the variable inputs yourself (blue highlighted cells). Here is my excel file: https://uploadnow.io/f/rby34yd

pron_jovi

RXD is down 79% in 5 years, down 26% in 12 months, down 16.67% year to date, down 8.31% in 6 months. Not exactly a great suggestion. BIS down 81% 5Y, -31% 1Y, -11.5% YTD, -14.3% 6mo. Also terrible. We all know that past performance isn't necessarily indicative of future performance but those still look like losing bets.

Testy_McDangle

Yeah but most of those products are only providing maybe 5% actual risk. The BIS stated (don’t quote me, it’s been a little bit) about ~80T globally in actual risk. Which is still stupidly large and would be impossible to contain if it blew up. Also that same report noted the heavy concentration of many of these products in NBFIs which would make it even more difficult to control. It’s a serious enough problem as is, just think there’s no need to get hyperbolic

Testy_McDangle

The derivatives market is what I think is going to blow this whole thing up. The BIS has published a couple of reports outlining exactly this scenario. But two things: A) I think you’re probably referencing notional values not actual values. B) If the global derivatives market implodes your ETFs will be worthless thanks to counterparty risk. Best to have physical assets in that scenario.

tlssni

What’s is your source? Residential property prices are only down 10-15% from their peak [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QCNR628BIS](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QCNR628BIS)

lost_electron21

yeah Canada was also flagged by the BIS as the G7 country having the highest chance of going through a credit crisis, and this was in 2018. Since, then household debt has gone even higher, mortgages have deteriorated, etc. Truly scary. But dont worry, we can extend mortages for 90 years after you are dead if you cant make payments! So fucked

DemisHassabisFan

Here you go: Stock Market News, Aug. 5, 2024: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Slide Amid Global Selloff Tech shares lead broad decline, Japan’s Nikkei plunges 12%, most since 1987 Last Updated: Aug. 5, 2024 at 7:01 PM EDT Live Coverage Feed Updated 1 day ago Why the Yen Carry Trade Unwind Has Further to Go Chelsey Dulaney hedcut By Chelsey Dulaney , Reporter The carry trade isn’t unwound yet. Investors are rushing to close out one of the most popular investment strategies of recent years: making investments with borrowed Japanese yen. Many investors have been participating in the so-called carry trade. Here’s how that works: an investor borrows the currency of a place where interest rates are low, like Japan or China, and uses it to invest in a currency where interest rates are higher, like Mexico. The trade depends on the borrowing currency remaining cheap, and market volatility remaining low. Both of those factors have turned against investors in recent weeks as the yen surged, forcing them to close out out their positions. Hedge funds and other speculative investors were holding more than 180,000 contracts betting on a weaker yen on a net basis, worth more than $14 billion, at the start of July, according to CFTC data. By last week, those positions had been cut to around $6 billion. But this is just a small corner of the market for borrowing in yen, notes Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING. In recent years, banks, asset managers and others have also aggressively borrowed in the Japanese currency. They were encouraged by Japan’s negative interest rate policy, which it only ended in April, years after Western central banks began aggressively raising rates to combat inflation. Japanese banks had lent about $1 trillion to foreign borrowers in yen as of March, according to BIS data, up 21% from 2021. Much of the recent growth in cross-border yen lending has been in the so-called interbank market, where banks lend to each other, and to non-bank financial firms like asset managers. The problem, Turner said, is that it’s been expensive to hedge currency risk for the past few years, so many of those borrowers likely didn’t. As they rush to do so now, it essentially creates more demand for yen, he said. This risks a vicious circle, as the yen’s strength causes investors and others to close out their weak-yen bets, by buying more yen

likamuka

The establishment of the BIS was the culmination of the central bankers’ decades-old dream to have their own bank—powerful, independent, and free from interfering politicians and nosy reporters. Under the terms of the founding treaty, the bank’s assets could never be seized, even in times of war. Most felicitous of all, the BIS was self-financing and would be in perpetuity. Its clients were its own founders and shareholders—the central banks. The BIS, boasted Gates McGarrah, an American banker who served as its first president, was “completely removed from any government or political control.”

abx337

USD will be replaced by some version of "World Coin" under the control of the BIS, the central bank of central banks. The difference will be that CBDCs will have the ability to restrict where you spend it, and will have an expiration date. Not a popular topic in this sub, but once they're tied to social credit, the US will look like this: https://youtu.be/NXyzpMDtpSE

AmericanSahara

Apparently not as shown in real prices: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QCAR628BIS When I compare to other countries, it seems that the prices in the US refuse to come down because we want to trade up to a better house.

Fun_Coyote_2402

Money blackhole. Stock market isnt supported by yuge stacks of cash anymore and values plummet. Going to zero is a possibility. Black swan people lose significant amount of their retirment or some of it (401k). Treasury is running dry so it would be hard to float the market and worse things happen. black swan where suddenly nobody has money. BIS already indicated there is a huge huge liquidity crisis between countries. So it oculd snowball. Or the US could try to pass the hot potato to europe where exchanges crash and bad things happen to them.

Jijelinios

I am shocked to my core. I cannot believe this happened. This goes to show how deep it all goes. THEY want us under their control. THEY want us enslaved and obedient. Trump is the ONLY goof guy out thete. All the rest jsut want everything to be the samr ad it always was. BUT WE WILL NOT STOP WE WILL NOT BACKDOWN THID BIS OUR COUNTRY WE EILL TAKE IT BCCK AND WE WULL WIN TRULP WILL LRAD US TO THR KINGDOM OF HEAVEN AMERICA QILL BE GTEAT AGAUFB

HaHawk

"BIS: Central banks on brink of victory against inflation" get a load of Baghdad Bob over here ... and people wonder why we don't trust the media anymore 🙄 BB Commodities index bout to break out btw

likamuka

LMAO no BIS is one of the biggest banks out there created for the WW2 loans and settlements.

kuprenx

BIS - CENTRAL BANKS ON BRINK OF VICTORY IN INFLATION FIGHT the hell is bis

ddrt2345wert

It dies when CBDC from BIS is complete. Project Aurum still in development. institution banks owning huge % to dump, crash, maybe 2+yrs or so. But not now, its still useful

ItradebetterthanU

BIS ass rally !

Wonko-D-Sane

To get AMD's PE, NVDA's purchase of ARM for 40billion wouldn't have been cockblocked by a bunch of looser policymakers... then NVDA would and taken a giant write down to get the PE ratio that AMD has in the same way AMD did when they bought Xilinx for 49billion At least AMD purchased Xilinx which manufactures the FPGAs being used by Cadence and Siemens to build the emulation platforms used to prototype and develop processors. Sucks that NVDA got screwed by europoors and chinese that were too worried that if all (relevant) chip design was owned he US they'd be shit out of luck if a US president decided to pencil certain places in on the BIS entity list. PE ratios are meaningless when your corporation can bring down governments.

Big_Forever5759

I do understand the question. Essentially this is the reason so many tried to push for nft and all sort of crypto scams. For examples there was folks trying to sell nft/crytpo/whatever of their music and even others peoples music. They ran some sort of nft/crypto tool and develop their own coin to attach ownership to a specific mp3 file or jpeg. As you can guess, anyone could claim anything just because they were the first to do it. They owned a Beatles mp3 or a render of the Mona Lisa and so on. But of course it doesn’t mean they owned the original, just some sort of certificate copy, almost like you own a physical cd of my music album but the music is still mine. Or more scammy of me recording a Beatles song and saying it’s mine and selling you my cd. Ownership is where the issue lies. The concept behind is indeed interesting but because it’s so new and too many people had too much money, the whole thing essentially became a scam. What’s funny though, once the word descentralice was kicking around, the central banks took notice. The BIS and many central banks went on a propaganda campaign against it and at the same time are developing their own crypto ledgers. So the idea is sound, it’s just the implementation that’s sketchy to say the least. Here is a whole documentary about why your question is a good and why exactly crypto and nft and ledgers etc are a scam https://youtu.be/YQ_xWvX1n9g?si=-zRb-gl6yiRJlvRe

ddrt2345wert

All central banks use a master forex clearing house bank from WW2 called BIS. BIS is introducing policy and framework for master CBDC's, forex/bitcoin/private coins will collapse when central bank CBDC"s readym apps aready developed by google and apple for normies to use

ddrt2345wert

Corn and its fraud following systems won't die until the BIS has finished the digital AURUM system for central banks and the layers of projects are ready to take over current currency. The forex market CBDC by the world's central bank clearing houses is called project mariana's trench on their website. project aurum does have working prototype apps for google/apple users tho viewable on the BIS YOUTUBE. a 2008/2001 crash wont happen till aurum is ready for mass use over billions of phones but some countries in the caribbean are already testing it. 2030 at most and physical currency dies to clear debts on central banks balance sheets.... [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H57iqd88iNQ&ab\_channel=BankforInternationalSettlements](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H57iqd88iNQ&ab_channel=BankforInternationalSettlements)

ddrt2345wert

Last time swiss francs involved poland, the BIS was taking dead J\*W's gold from concentration camps and using it to keep the forex market alive while issuing dividends to montegue normans BoE and the Reischbank as working class shot each other and banker enemies met for caviar besides a chocolate ship in Basel. Bans give no fuck about war, and the BIS is the clearing house of central banks

absoluteunitvolcker2

One of my favorite podcasts is "Macro Musings" with David Beckworth. Two great ones lately: One discusses the merits of the full employment mandate from the Fed. Where inflation is going and political biases surrounding inflation. Link and short summary: https://www.mercatus.org/macro-musings/skanda-amarnath-and-preston-mui-tribal-transitory-debate-and-future-feds-framework >Skanda Amarnath is the executive director of Employ America, a think tank that promotes full employment in the American economy, and Preston Mui is also a senior economist at Employ America. Skanda and Preston join Macro Musings to talk about U.S. disinflation and the debates surrounding it, as well as what we can expect from Fed policy in 2024 and beyond, and finally, the Fed’s framework review that is set to begin later this year. Another one discusses some of the arguments for the "ample reserves" regime. Maybe central banks SHOULD actually keep flooding markets permanently with capital? The old scarce reserves framework aka "corridor" system, meant that banks lent to each other and Fed was a "lender of last resort". In the new system, banks no longer need to lend to each other since they are all sufficiently capitalized. In the post GFC world, Fed is now the "lender of first resort". Fed acts before scarcity ever happens. Link and short summary: https://www.mercatus.org/macro-musings/claudio-borio-future-central-bank-operating-systems >Claudio Borio is the head of the Monetary and Economic Department at the Bank for International Settlements, or BIS. Claudio is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about central bank operating systems and the challenge of large balance sheets at central banks. David and Claudio also discuss the basics and uniqueness of the scarce reserve system, the arguments in favor of an abundant reserve system, the politics of large central bank balance sheets, the possibility of a tiered reserve system, and a lot more.

absoluteunitvolcker2

One of my favorite podcasts is "Macro Musings" with David Beckworth. Two great ones lately: One discusses the merits of the full employment mandate from the Fed. Where inflation is going and political biases surrounding inflation: https://www.mercatus.org/macro-musings/skanda-amarnath-and-preston-mui-tribal-transitory-debate-and-future-feds-framework >Skanda Amarnath is the executive director of Employ America, a think tank that promotes full employment in the American economy, and Preston Mui is also a senior economist at Employ America. Skanda and Preston join Macro Musings to talk about U.S. disinflation and the debates surrounding it, as well as what we can expect from Fed policy in 2024 and beyond, and finally, the Fed’s framework review that is set to begin later this year. Another one discusses some of the arguments for the "ample reserves" regime. Maybe central banks SHOULD actually keep flooding markets permanently with capital? The old scarce reserves framework aka "corridor" system, meant that banks lent to each other and Fed was a "lender of last resort". In the new system, banks no longer need to lend to each other since they are all sufficiently capitalized. In the post GFC world, Fed is now the "lender of first resort". Fed acts before scarcity ever happens. https://www.mercatus.org/macro-musings/claudio-borio-future-central-bank-operating-systems >Claudio Borio is the head of the Monetary and Economic Department at the Bank for International Settlements, or BIS. Claudio is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about central bank operating systems and the challenge of large balance sheets at central banks. David and Claudio also discuss the basics and uniqueness of the scarce reserve system, the arguments in favor of an abundant reserve system, the politics of large central bank balance sheets, the possibility of a tiered reserve system, and a lot more.

Testy_McDangle

Because it’s mostly non bank financial institutions central banks don’t have a ton of visibility on it. That and the insane scale would make it almost impossible to stop the fallout. The BIS has published a couple of reports sounding the alarm on it over the past few years. As for a trigger, could be anything, I’m not going to pretend to know the likely cause. I will say it could be as simple as a random hedge fund in some random country going under to trigger contagion.

CrabFederal

Great - A PhD in finance doesn’t necessarily require those classes, even from Wharton. If you would have taken classes involving vectors you would know the the term “positive change” is widely used, especially in math and physics. Here is the BIS using the term: “shock variables, we include a measure of the net positive change in real oil prices “ https://www.bis.org/publ/confp04i.pdf “Positive change” is also commonly in declarations.

DesmondMilesDant

Look man i dont wanna debate rate cuts. Just be open minded and look for both regime. We are still in the twilight zone. That's what BIS and CBOE told me.

DesmondMilesDant

BIS today came out with a piece that says its the EMs that will suffer more from debt rollover. And bofa mentioned in their research that S&P 500 debt rollover is manageable as compared to russell. Meaning if rate cuts do happen then its the EMs and small caps that will benefit the most atleast in the short term. https://preview.redd.it/tjmaxrlwsb4c1.png?width=1270&format=png&auto=webp&s=cd01ec692d16218ed736edc841ad73641fe6285b

DesmondMilesDant

BIS today came up with a new narrative. It's the EMs that will suffer more from debt rollover. https://preview.redd.it/g6fz6nu2sb4c1.png?width=1270&format=png&auto=webp&s=efb7e4d46c10706d462d85a39613b8cb08ce7efc

Alchemist_2345

Some ETFs that are not heavily exposed to the tech sector include: * ICLN, a global clean energy ETF. * RXD, which dives into the healthcare sector. * BIS for added exposure to the biotechnology sector. * VXUS for international exposure of stocks in a diversified manner.

Rustyteeth5

Should have bought BIS

grimkhor

OP wrote this. He wrote to a governor about the CPI being fake and gold price being manipulated. Full nutjob. >I have now dedicated more than 6,000 hours outside of my employ over the past 5 years. > >However inputs of inflation, which impact economic growth calculations, had been altered through adjustments in calculating the index by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) resulting in inflation being understated. > >John Williams maintains a website [www.shadowstats.com](https://web.archive.org/web/20080112115936/http://www.shadowstats.com/) where he provides a calculation of inflation using a constant method initially utilized by the BLS before modifying it with the above noted methods. The SGS (shadow government statistics) calculation of CPI differs by 8% from the current CPI-U. > >Coordination of gold leasing by key G7 central banks appears to have occurred through the BIS in Switzerland. William R. White of the BIS in a 2005 speech noted that the organization has served as a vehicle for the influencing of the price of gold "where this might be thought useful". > >It can be observed that with real interest rates of approximately -3.8% in 1980, gold surged to approximately $5,000 in 2007 dollars but then began a distinct departure from tracking the real interest rate starting in late 1987 to the point today where we now have real interest rates of -5% (using a constant methodology) and gold prices that are nowhere near their norms. Absolute freaking busted in the head.

Big_Forever5759

Maybe related or more scary so shadow lending or shadow banking. The BIS said that it’s getting to dangerous levels and could trigger a collapse. https://www.worldfinance.com/special-reports/the-dangerous-spread-of-shadow-banking

Ok_Seaworthiness_709

There's FRED, statista, BIS, but all yee really need is WSB m8

Big_Forever5759

It’s more about the speed of the increases and also the prior 10yr with extremely low rates. Basically the fear a bunch of companies defaulting because they got used to cheap money that could have been running the hot air of bad products or services. Take that away and things can end up badly. Just look at commercial real estate. Not only there’s toooooons of empty units. The prices don’t go down and even have gone up. Many of these companies might have just a few egomaniacs running it thinking it’ll pass while holding billions in cheap debt that will need to be refinance at 5-10% with regional banks. And the bill is so big that if they fail they think goverment will bail them out. And regionals banks holding the commercial real estate laons going under would be pretty bad. Also keep in mind developing countries have debt in usd and the rate increases is killing their economy. Argentina and Colombia for example. Having a badly ran goverment at 2% rate is one thing but a whole other thing at 4-10%. Defaulting could create a big contagion event. Also, so far it’s been quiet but BIS mentioned that at least 70% of all debt is shadow lending. Like $56 trillion dollars. I’m no expert but if these debts cannot be repaid or refinance is too expensive then who knows what would happen. People got used to higher rates before and planned accordingly and had time to figure out issues. The Feds QE game and cheap rates for a decade might have distorted the game. Now it’s all a crapshoot in planning as we’ve seen in the summer where everyone thought rates would go down. So rates at these levels are not bad, it’s the speed of increases Since big loans are 3-10yrs and also the many many companies sucking on that cheap debt for a decade now.

kimmykimkoV2

Go woke, go broke. Its just that simple. I haven't stepped foot in Target since they targeted kids. It's all by design, folks. Btw how's Budweiser doing lately? 😆 wake up. You can't have communism in a capitalistic economy, and they're headed there. Its written for all to see, but none pay attention. BIS, WEF, Do you know what those are?

Impossible_Buglar

[https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QCNR628BIS](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QCNR628BIS) on this chart its been going down all year and is what...7% down but also lol getting accurate data out of china did you know china, the birth place of covid, had like insanely low covid deaths? their youth unemployment numbers are so low they don't even feel the need to report them anymore! amazin' stuff. long live pooh bear

Worried_Quarter469

Thomas Krueger, a former U.S. National Security Council export control official, said "the organizing principle for all these rules is to keep them focused on those capabilities that can enable Chinese military systems. They're not interested in going after broad consumer applications. They're really trying to thread that needle." U.S. officials asked for input in devising a "tamperproof" way to keep systems that might contain up to 256 AI chips from being strung together into a supercomputer. "This approach could constrain (controlled AI chips) from being used to train large dual-use AI foundation models with capabilities of concern, while allowing AI training capabilities at a small or medium scale," the BIS wrote.