Reddit Posts
I'm a professional money manager and this is what I'm watching/Expecting for the week ahead.
I'm a professional money manager and this is what I'm watching/ Expecting for the Week Ahead
NEGG is Strong, when Market is weak. That’s a great sign 💪✊🚀😎 stay calm and soldier on!!
Why does a stock/fund not change when market goes up
BULLISH: Seastar Medical Holding Corp ($ICU) Has Serious Potential
Do you guys think that the DOW is likely to be back at over 34k levels, even if just for a couple days, before the end of November?
Why do exchange indices jump by massive amounts after the close when futures are indicated?
Pullback Buy In The US100? Neel Kashkari Speaks
Why is September and September 30th a bad month for stocks to dip?
Does the DOW and S&P always crash on September 30th?
Broader market redux , Month End July 23
Coup in Russia: How does this affect US equities in the coming week?
Coup in Russia: How does this affect US equities in the coming week?
Steak (Live Cattle) hits an all time high.
How long can we range for? 5-11-23 SPY/ ES Futures, VIX, 10Yr Yield and DXY Daily Market Analysis
In 1950, retail investors owned over 90% of the stock of U.S. corporations. Today, retail investors own less than 30%.
Deciphering the direction of the stock market after the confusing Powell speech
prosperous decades for the US economically?
What were some prosperous / good decades for the economy on a global scale?
BLOOD ON WALL ST! Why My Bearish Case Proven & Others Missed. DOUBLE TOP showed itself within ASCENDING TRIANGLE! SPY & DOW TA WEEKLY RECAP 03/10/23
BLOOD ON WALL ST! Why My Bearish Case Proven & Others Missed. DOUBLE TOP showed itself within ASCENDING TRIANGLE! SPY & DOW TA WEEKLY RECAP 03/10/23
Most were Bullish, While I was Bearish. Why Buyers LOST AGAIN & Sellers PREVAILED! SPY & DOW TA 03/09/23
Stop Following Bad Traders w/NO INSIGHT! Why I beat the Market more than 70% of the time! SPY & DOW TA 03/08/23
I’m Interested in Investing in Corporate Bonds. Where to Start?
The Truth shall set you FREE Mr. Powell! Why Data mattered more than the Lies! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 03/07/23
All Eyes on J.Powell!! Two Patterns in 1?! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 03/06/23
Right Ascending Triangle?! BUT WAIT?! Consider the OPPOSITE TOO! SPY & DOW Weekly TA For 03/06/23
Waiting For The Pullback, Patience Prevails! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 03/01/23
THE TREND IS THE TREND UNTIL IT'S NOT! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/28/23
Nothing Has Changed! Don't be fooled! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/27/23
Rising Wedges and Double Tops?! Why I'm Bearish! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis for Week of 02/27/23
YOUTUBE VIDEO: PETE BUTTIGIEG SAYS, TRAIN LINKED TO DOW CHEMICAL LINK IN THE COMMENTS
Bearish Case: Why I predicted more downside while everyone else was Bullish? Yikes. SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/22/23
AS PROMISED, MORE DOWNSIDE! FOMC MINUTES & WHAT'S NEXT? SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/21/23
SHORT WEEK! MORE RISING WEDGES, BEARISH CASE. SPY & DOW Technical Analysis for the Week of 02/21/23
THINK LIKE AN INVESTOR! DON'T TAKE THE BAIT! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/16/23
THE TREND IS THE TREND UNTIL IT'S NOT! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/15/23
U-TURN! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/14/23
Beginning of End or New Beginning? DOW & SPY Technical Analysis 02/13/23
CPI WEEK! RISING WEDGES VS ASCENDING TRIANGLES. SPY & DOW TA for the Week of 02/13/23
CPI WEEK! RISING WEDGES VS ASCENDING TRIANGLES. SPY & DOW TA for the Week of 02/13/23
SOUND THE ALARMS?! OR NOT. SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/20/23
JUST AS I PROMISED! MORE DOWNSIDE. SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/08/23
MMs WON'T GO DOWN WITHOUT A FIGHT! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis 02/08/23
WTF? THIS MARKET DID WHAT?! DOW & SPY Technical Analysis 02/07/23
TREND BREAKER ALERT! SPY & DOW Technical Analysis For Week of 02/06/23
WHAT A DAY! JPOW DID WHAT?! SPY BEAT THE DOW?! WHAT GAVE? Let's discuss the matter
SPY Ascending above DOW Rising Wedge? Earnings and FOMC?! SOMETHING IS AMIDST! WHAT? Let me help you figure that out.
DOW in a Rising Wedge while SPY in a Ascending Triangle? WHAT GAVE?! Here is how and what happened!
Index Analysis for the Trading Week of 01/30/23. DOW in Rising Wedge but SPY in Ascending Triangle? WHAT GIVES?! Let me help you
Rockwell’s Blowout Earnings Show U.S. Manufacturing Is Strong
Something a little different, SMRs for industrialized use..Ares Acquisition Corp (X-energy) Warrants - NOT THE CLASS A SHARES
Happy New years everyone! Do not be to hard on yourself for 2022. DOW down 10% SP 20% and Nasdaq 33% A recap of the year, what we can do going forward, some of my errors. This may be to long to read, but this is a long game, a learning process. Any thoughts, feel free to share
Admitted novice, but if my lines are correct, could we be seeing a possible upward trend?
S&P500 down another 10% in 2023. Nasdaq probably closer to another 20% loss. Agree?
DOW vs NASDAQ - are we witnessing the burst of the tech bubble ?
Macro Trends on Gold during instability
NASDAQ, S&P500, DOW JONES from Webull
Stocks climbed after Fed Chair Powell speech: DOW +1.71%, Nasdaq +3.84%, S&P 500 +2.68%
Fauci Admits Sars-Cov-2 May Be From A Lab Leak - 1:36s Mark
2022-11-15 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
everyone talking SPY, and I'm here buying long x15 leveraged Nasdaq, because it's scraping lows and far behind SPY and DOW
Dow futures surge more than 800 points after October inflation report is lighter than expected, time to be bullish again
2022-11-08 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
How did the stock market do so well in 2020 when it was the worst year for economic growth since WWII?
Just me or is there a larger than normal discrepancy between futures and SPY?
Mentions
NASDICK flat, S&PP dogshit, DOW cowshit
There will be no 're-rating' of the sector. S3 is meaningless for almost all - since they're weren't paying anyways. Mass bankruptcies coming. Its not the worst sector in the history of the market for nothing - and will continue to be so. Put whatever multiple you want on 'effective zero' valuations. This doesn't even account for mass opportunity cost with years of waiting, already in the past, while DOW soared, and years waiting to come.
Do yourself a favor and look at the DOW 10 year chart….. how often does it go down? Not that often right? And when it does it’s extremely sharp and extremely fast. Trying to time sell offs is the number one thing that wipes people out trading options. It’s like 1 out of 10 chance. So stay the fuck away from puts. Pretend they don’t exis.
Wall Street is over inflated in spades. We got out and glad we did. Some investors are heading toward precious metals and bit coin. Is that wise? Don’t know. Maybe buying land is safer. Anything other than cash, the DOW or NASDAC.
Quiet grandpa no one knows what DOW is
I agree to disagree on this. I’ve done the math. If you worked with real numbers instead of hypotheticals we might be having a different look at this (i.e. current cost of long term puts you’re suggesting on Russell or that DOW actually drops more than QQQ other than when the UNH drop shocked the index as compared with how cheap SQQQ calls actually are).
I closed my covered call short option on DOW. How long do I need to wait to sell Dow stock at a loss to avoid wash sale?
Invest in Canadian banks, energy, Shopify. They ain’t going anywhere. DOW Jones can plow rocks
Time to get out those DOW 50,000 caps
DOW > SPX > NDX -- not really a tech rally.
Let’s give this man his due. He beat the DOW by 706% today. Applause!!! HODL on friend No one ever achieved a damn thing without optimism
GOLD - new ATH SILVER - new ATH S&P 500 - near ATH NASDAQ - near ATH DOW - new ATH 🌽 - 30% down from ATH
Well, we know you didn't buy Bitcoin...lol. My mostly DOW 30 and some smaller companies and banks is up 5.9%. Or I'm up 90k this year. No I don't own Nvidia, MU, or AMD, wish I did.
IWM and DOW closed in the middle. Honestly it’s a toss up going into next week
I shot the VIX but I did not shoot the DOW.
I want a -50% DOW black Friday! Give me Armageddon!!!
I don’t think so None of the winners this year have been juiced And the big losers in the DOW have yet to be cracked
Lmfao. DOW always gets rekt twice as much as any other index on a down turn but only ever goes up at the same pace. Only a true retard would chose that as their index of choice.
That and the DOW. Prolly some other AI trades like CLS.
Volatility next level today. DOW swinging 200 points back and forth.
18% for the year for S&P. 14% DOW
OP talking in years but the market is up this year with: * S&P500 +14.3% * DOW +12.5% * QQQ +17.5% * R2K +11.87% * Gold +67.74% * Silver +128.27% * Markets in Korea, Germany, Canada, Japan, UK, and most of the world outperforming the US. * Single family homes still chonking up * Cash ~4% Sounds like a still issue. Like how the fuck do you even lose money this year unless you're a 🌈🐻.
Didn't the DOW just hit a new record this or last week? And yeah, the markets have always been a joke, I don't think the fundamentals support the gains since last year but staying out of the market cost me a bunch, though I didn't lose money.
Nasdaq +18% this year. S&P +15% this year. DOW +12% this year. Crazy how its up this year when you say its always down.
What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little bitch? I’ll have you know I graduated top of my class in NASDAQ NIGHT OPERATIONS , and I’ve been involved in numerous TRADES ON DOW, and I have over 300 confirmed TRADES. I am trained in gorilla ALGO TRADING and I’m the top TRADER in the entire US stock market.
🥭 update today: changing Department of War (DOW) to Department Of Offense we like offense DOn’t we fOlks (DOODOO)
Shares: LYB, DOW, CAG.
He can do a lot. One thing up for review is changing the name DOW to DON
His full title is, Always-Grinning Monkey Kevin Hassett, author of "DOW 36,000", in which he predicted the DOW would reach that level within a couple of years, published in, wait for it... 1999.
DOW futes pumping 100 point like anyone cares about it.
Nah. We’re cooling off for a couple days while they hunt stop losses and pretend the Russell matters the DOW isn’t nitro gay.
One of the reasons S&P DOW and nasdaq keep rising is because they increase the money supply which causes inflation. Your buying power is worth less but these companies hold their value or increase their value being tied to many assets other than dollars. There is no better place to put your dollars than these indexes because they employ the smartest people in the world and if the dollar decreases they always increase. Picking winners and losers is tough because emotions take place. Buy the indexes and don’t look back.
Uhh friendship with NASDAQ has ended, DOW JONES is new best friend..?
Probably don't count as defensive, but I like LYB and DOW at current prices. They are part of the oil & gas mafia, the current administration will save them if they get too distressed.
The DOW did. The S&P is still a little ways off from a new ATH, as is the nasdaq.
Did you listen to the con call? Hock Tan may be a brilliant engineer, but he’s not the one that should be talking for the company. Or could just be everyone is jumping off AI again for DOW stocks given oracle’s quarter, which IMO is not reflective of what’s in the pipeline and what’s coming
You are not going to see this banner often: DOW +650, Russel: + 1.25% S&P flat, Ndaq -100 and $BTC -1200
Chad DOW mogging NASDAQ https://preview.redd.it/b5pyvdpy4m6g1.jpeg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0d15ef9ca2159c4def62d7caa29191c80bf0bb93
I would not have guessed DOW and Russell would make a new ATH before Nasdaq
DOW up over 550 leading the Santa Rally - Nasdaq to follow 🧑🎄
You bet against Donald Trump, the President who only measures how he is doing by the DOW.
That's true but historically the DOW performance is very similar to the S&P 500 index. S&P 500 index is weighted by market cap, which also has its problems. There are S&P 500 indexes that are weighted by pure average no one stock has more influence than the other
The DOW is dumb. It only gets talked about because it was the OG of stock market indexes. Personally I only pay attention to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite.
It is ancient. Started in the days when all this was computed by hand. There is no reason for anyone to look at or consider the DOW for anything but it limps onward due to inertia. You would be a better investor by simply ignoring that it even exists.
The DOW lost about 7% in ‘22. Look it up.
DOW implementing Gemini? BULLISH?
DOW is such a POS its supposed to carry us today
Lmao SPY, QQQ, and DOW were all just -0.45% wtf, completely equal
BASF, DOW and LYB are all sucking wind right now. The sector is down as a whole. My opinion is that won’t last, but I don’t know anything in my opinion has no value.
LYB and DOW shares. Loom out to 5+ years. I don't think the world is about to stop using chemicals and plastics. I think there's good money to be made here. https://preview.redd.it/ck73upwwnk5g1.png?width=1148&format=png&auto=webp&s=20a627ca6d3a5e2457bfba919725be92ccaeb55b
I only buy shares in the DOW because I’m a bitch.
My apologies, next time. I’ll still hold this one , selling the feb calls soon. I’m currently looking into LEAPS on boomer stocks . Value stocks. Still an AI growth play, I only play AI. I’m thinking maybe DOW. I initially wanted IWD but they have low liquidity at 10% OTM
One of those regarded days where QQQ is flat and DOW is pumping
What is going on with the DOW?
Index based such as tied to broader market, tech or semiconductors how I roll. Individual stock carry too much risk unless blue chip with large cash reserves and history of innovating to stave off competition. Apple and Microsoft come to mind and yet holding QQQ contains both. ETFs the easiest I've found to diversify yet know they will rebalance if components underperform and need to be switched like happened in the DOW with NVDIA. Keep It Simple
Over the next 5yrs, DOW will outperform NVDA, no doubt. Google stole your lunch Nvidia. (And I'm a big fan of materials [nailed MP from 20 before Gov stake, but sold way early...🫤])
Kohl's cash gonna be worth more than AMD by year end. DOW is better than AMD. Cheaper in terms of straight cost & def P/E. Nevermind dividend. If ya think materials aren't play, see MP
What do you think? Googles TPU thing is apaprently cheaper and far less energy hungry than the Nvidia AI things. That's Deepseek 2.0 and Michael B. has possibly just guessed that one day or another Nvidia is toast. Huawei is planning an AI chip, so Qualcomm does. AMD makes TPUs as well... so what? We still have Nvidias order book. I am currently moving away from native tech stocks, they all carry the "AI disease" in them I now trade the DOW industrial (DJIA)
I think other sectors in SPY and DOW saved the sentiment for QQQ today :) Could have been a really bad day; now it is just a weird ok day.
Why does the DOW always ruin the party?
its bizzare only a few years ago we were joking about DOW 30,000 hats and now we are about to wear DOW 50,000 hat. https://cdnph.upi.com/pv/upi/01596369abe23753dcacae3c43e59649/NYSE-DOW-30000.jpg
Weekend DOW mooning. Ber fuk is not coping, it's just fact
The similarities between 1929 and 2025 are so precise that it's almost like watching history repeat. In 1929 valuations reached never before seen extremes, P/E of DOW Jones reached 33, which we are seeing mirrored now in S&P 500 at P/E of 28. The public in 1929 believed that new technology such as electricity, radio, and the automobile had created a permanent new economy where old valuation rules no longer applied. "This time is different!" No, it wasn't. People are saying the same thing now with AI, like the fundamentals just no longer matter and that the line can only go up. It took *25 years* for the market to recover to previous levels following the Great Depression. Even if we assume recovery would come quicker when the current bubble pops, you're still looking at a decade or more before you bounce back from the loss, even if you hold long. In 1929, margin debt reached record levels which forced people to liquidate at the worst prices when margin calls came, so better hope you're not trading on margin right now if holding long is the strategy. Margin debt was a huge contributor to the 1929 crash. In 2025, margin debt as a percentage of GDP is at similar levels. But modern leverage extends beyond traditional margin accounts. Options trading by retail investors has exploded, people are using credit cards to buy stocks, companies are borrowing money to buy back their own shares at inflated prices. The leverage in the system is everywhere, hidden in derivatives, options, and debt structures. Wealth inequality in 1929 reached extremes (top 1% control 25% of total income) that weren't seen again until you guessed it, now. This concentration means, just like it did in 1929, that the economy depends on a small handful of wealthy individuals to continue spending and investing. I could go on but this is already really long. TL;DR, inverted yield curve is an indicator with zero false positives over the past century. But it's just one indicator in a sea of shit just waiting for cascade.
Unfortunately when companies pay a dividend it becomes built into the premium and anything beyond constantly raising the dividend is intolerable for investors and you have a situation like you see with DOW and also KMI is another example of this from another sector. For the most part I think in modern dividend investing you can just hope to buy in low and capture price appreciation plus the dividend to have a buffer from future dividend cuts
I used to be in $DOW but sold a few quarters ago, cash flow was and still sorta is a mess. I was in $LYB for a shot-time but exited after last quarter once there was a bounce. Both commodity names are in a tough place, and I want to own them but they need to cut those dividends. $LYB has been stacking cash for a few years so they can sustain for a bit longer but from a business execution standpoint its just really bad to be selling off assets (even if non-core) and issuing more debt. If next quarter they give better outlook then might jump in. $LYB is yielding over 12% which is kinda insane. I have been eyeing $CC, $SOLS, $Q, $EMN, $DD, and $CTVA lately but haven't pulled the trigger. $CC is only expecting \~4% top line growth next year; however, they have improved operations and balance sheet that its fairly undervalued here. They primarily deal in refrigerants which competes against $SOLS. $DD just spun-off its electronics division into $Q which I was looking over its business the other weekend. I haven't put a thumb on what fair value is yet.
I'm also watching DOW and LYB. I don't think chemicals are going to recover until China stops oversupply though
I have been so focused on this AI bubble that I forgot that I was going to buy $DOW and $MOS. I still might next week. It's possible this might turn into a simple market rotation instead of market sell-off.
DOW futures made a 4 standard deviation move from the average price...hmmmmmm
WMT joining the NASDAQ is honestly a lark. Smells like an attempt to diversify the Qs, whose whole purpose is to be tech heavy. Why dont we just put Neflix into the DOW?
Is it true if you match the DOW with inflation we’re actually doing much worse?
Check, similar to the DOW hitting those $10,000 marks 10, 20, 30 each is less significant.
DOW from +700 to -300 in a flash is... something.
DOW struggling to stay green while S&P rockets lmao
The reason is that a large % of the S&P 500; NASDAQ; and, DOW are buoyed/supported by the Mega caps, e.g., NVDA, AMZN, META, etc. Simply go see how they are doing this last week and you will know exactly why the stock market is down the last couple of weeks. As they go . . . the market goes. 'Nuff said.
I think when he says every company would be affected he means every company. This is because the over investment in AI and loss of that investment that could have funded other companies is a permanent deletion. That is exactly what happened during the tech bubble. The DOW Jones lost 37 percent of value while NASDAQ lost 78%. It has broader market implications that will affect everyone including private equity investment going forward.
DOW is down over 400, NASDAQ also down 300. Market is backwards still. explains a lot.
Ask the CBOE about affilated brokers... check the FINRA poison list... there are two, three other web sites they rate brokers in terms of "dot com bubble survival" "2009 survival", "2011 survival", "2020 survival" etc But before you explore options as income strategie, go into a casino. Because there you have defined chances to gain or loose but with options you dont. The safer the strategie is, the less you earn and at a certain point in time you may ask yourself why you dont put your money in three good performing ETF, QQQ (the S&P500 ETF) or a DOW ETF, emerging markets ETF and FTSE100 ETF and if you're in the US, some treasures. They yield at least 4%, that's safe money.
Yup. DOW going to 27000. Hold on to your hats!.
I guess you are not an old enough investor to have witnessed a REAL crash. I was there for a few: **Black Monday -** DOW down 23% in a single day. I was not in the market but freshly graduated from college and it was nearly impossible to find a job for a while. **Dot-com Bubble Bust -** Nasdaq dropped almost 80%. During the exuberance I went full stupid buying AMZN options and making $... until I didn't and that margin call was very painful. **Global Financial Crisis -** I had learned a bit by then and panicked before everyone else did. Made some adjustments but portfolio still went down 18% (S&P 500 dropped 60%). Did not sell at all during crash and recovered nicely within a year. **COVID-19 Pandemic -** S&P 500 fell 34%. I had already FIREd and just quit looking at my portfolio. Didn't place any trades and let it ride. Recovered fully within a few months. As you can see, 5% is not a crash. 20+% within a couple of days is a crash and it is coming sooner that we want to accept. ***Based on my observations and past experience, there are already signs:*** Erratic market behavior 3-5% swings over several weeks. The drops become more severe than the recoveries. Then one catalyst creates a panic snowball and there goes the ACTUAL CRASH.
You guys ever see SPY/QQQ/DOW all down by such a similar % like this? Clearly not a rotation. Just risk off but feels weird
NASDAQ, great day, DOW not so much
Come on now. Illegal pirated content sites that will get shutdown and your mom’s shows not on it is the bear case? No wonder people can’t understand how it got to $1340. Definitely doesn’t have anything to do with their tech, ad rev, subscription numbers, catalog of content w/ legal rights, and hugely profitable. Now entering a new stage where retail can join back in and price will stabilize and they will be added to the DOW.
i looked at DOW vs BTC over last 3 months and its exactly opposite correlation. Bears thinking they got it finally lol.
DOW up 8,000 points year to date is a slump?
I got calls not for qqq but some for DOW. potentially we both can make profits but its highly unlikable.
DOW is pretty much the least representative metric to gauge the stock market performance/sentiment
I prefer using the DOW as the indicator
what makes you say that? any catalyst? I got DOW calls not spy
Spy and nasdaq green but DOW still in red. Can you make it green plz chat
Over here watching the DOW, “PUUSSHHH”
If the DOW starts recovering its over for BER
honest question if NVDA report bad earnings is the whole market cooked? will DOW drop too?
Except you used the DOW index which is not the best example. If you use the Nasdaq or spy it beats the other index’s. Over a 20 yr time frame I would much prefer to the American indexes. Maybe the Indian index I would prefer to be a small percentage of my portfolio.