GEO

Fun_Necessary1021

Is this another GameStop because holy fuck a dying fast food chain is not a deep value. Deep value would be GEO and Core Civic which wsb wanted to hear nothing about and I've made thousands off in the past few weeks.

nortern

GEO doesn't decay, so they'd almost certainly hit regulatory issues. No one wants that orbit permanently cluttered by GPUs that are going to be cooked by radiation in 5 years.

PCjabber

Hughesnet and Viasat are [GEO](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geosynchronous_satellite) satellite internet services, not [LEO](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_Earth_orbit) (like Starlink). Services that use the latter will always be lower-latency than the former, because of the huge distance from Earth to a GEO satellite (we still can't bend the rules of physics).

Maleficent-Row1840

**Geostationary Orbit (GEO):** Satellites sit high above the Earth and are illuminated over 99% of the time, entering a brief shadow for a maximum of 72 minutes per night only during the spring and fall equinoxes. \[[1](https://www.livescience.com/space/the-sun/solar-maximum-just-knocked-3-satellites-out-of-orbit-heres-why-more-may-be-on-the-way), [2](https://www.enel.com/company/stories/articles/2024/05/solar-panels-in-space), [3](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space-based_solar_power), [4](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OqWURHko3QA&t=5)\]

flarepsychflayer

Calls on $GEO

ice_up_s0n

>Many or maybe most firms have aspects that I don't like on moral or social grounds. That has nothing to do with whether I will take their dividends. Maybe it should though? I am willing to take a moderately lower return on my personal investments, if it means not giving my money to the most flagrant abusers of our society. Investing doesn't have to be in contradiction with our morality. In fact, I'd argue you'll be better off in the long run by avoiding investing in companies that profit from doing social harm. Would you invest in the private prison industry? GEO Group and CoreCivic are well-positioned as growth stocks in the current US climate. It may not be much, but we do have the freedom to vote with our wallet. You can strive to align your portfolio with your own values and find a happy medium, and still profit.

Due_Marsupial_969

Yeah, I sold my 100 shares of MU at 125. They were getting slaughtered. Didn't know they were gonna run to the Trump administration for protection from China. I sold all INTC at 24 bux when that Lip Bu Tan or whatever CEO of theirs went to the white house to bend the knee to Trump. Another dumb move on my part lol. I'm now a changed man. No matter how much government subsidies or involvement NVDA or META or HOOD or GEO gets, I'm holding.

saazbaru

How ya gonna get non shit latency in GEO numb nuts?

1ess_than_zer0

Bro you don’t even know if ASTS sats are GEO or LEO and you’re trying to tell me why SpaceX is better than ASTS. Gtfo of here. Go doom somewhere else.

Fun_Necessary1021

I only did this bc I sold my GEO stock and made like 3600 on that with 9000 in geo so it's definitely risky don't hate yourself Best play i ever did was silver at 15 a pop and it's worth 20k now and that was like 7 years ago at this point

cristalarc

Active users is the de facto metric Wall Streets loves to measure social media with. The problem with this site, same as TikTok, is that Twitter is absolutely flooded with people teaching you how to create hundreds of bots, warm them up and use them to create "organic" advertisement for your products or GEO. Of all the peers, reported MAUs for reddit would be the ones I less trust.

captainbling

there was starlink before starlink. That’s how satellite phones worked. Starlink was just more extensive to keep a signal more often. Like Canada had been using GEO. Russia will soon have its own Rassvet equivalent. So all he did is take a system that already exists and make more of it which I admit is a nice thing. I can’t say for other countries but Canada is committed to bringing fibre optic to everyone rurally and has been doing so for a couple years. It’s very possible starlink becomes obsolete in Canada unless your on a boat or hiking back country.

__Augustus_

Debris, latency, radiation concerns in GEO belt rule this out

Koraboros

$GEO Once AI replaces workers, there's gonna be delinquents all over the place so you need prisons to lock them up. I have a real "conviction" about it.

SignificanceLate7002

Gold Royalty (NYSE American: GROY) reported record first-quarter 2026 results with $7.2 million revenue, $9.4 million total revenue, land agreement proceeds and interest, 1,920 GEOs, and adjusted EBITDA of $7.0 million (≈318% higher YoY). The company exited the quarter with $13.6 million cash, no debt and a fully undrawn $150 million credit facility. Management promotions and portfolio updates across multiple royalties were announced. The company reaffirmed its 2026 GEO outlook and scheduled a conference call and capital markets day in June 2026. https://www.stocktitan.net/news/GROY/gold-royalty-reports-record-revenue-and-cash-flow-in-the-first-rtveq3lo0uxi.html A conference call will be held at 11:00 a.m. ET (8:00 a.m. PT) on Thursday, May 7, 2026 to discuss these results. https://edge.prnewswire.com/c/link/?t=0&l=en&o=4683001-1&h=2953856473&u=https%3A%2F%2Fevent.choruscall.com%2Fmediaframe%2Fwebcast.html%3Fwebcastid%3Dh3X5yMnn&a=Click+Here

No_Edge_7964

GEO, betting on immigrants being arrested en masse and private prisons. Actually no wait, that's a great investment!

richbeezy

Airplane fights about to drop by 85%, puts on GEO.

SetRestart

That's why i'm asking. I done some research and apparently they do System on Chip that puts everything on a single die which reduces bill of material costs by roughly 30% and It also makes the electronic boards smaller and lighter, which is a massive selling point for EVs where every gram of weight affects your battery range. They also offer open architecture but the competitors have closed systems that require the rest to be their software etc. They have also bought out smaller companies GEO Semiconductor: Gave them instant access to world-class image processing used by 20+ major car makers. TeraXion: Gave them a massive head start in Silicon Photonics (the future of high-speed LiDAR). Silicon Radar: Put them ahead in high-frequency radar technology.

InvioMitchell

The SpaceX falcon heavy can do HEO and GEO as well.

QuantitativeNonsense

Everyone seems to forget about United Launch Alliance, which with an exception of simple LEO payload deployment has a monopoly over space/rocketry. If you want to put something into a nonstandard orbit or if you need is HEO or GEO the only option is the Atlas 5 (or ask for Russian help). Furthermore, which capsule did NASA go with for Artemis? Orion Seriously, do you guys do any research into industries you invest in or is it all just vibes.

Competitive-Ant2876

Seriously GEO, that’s insane. Imagine if this was any other sector, that share price would drop so fast and analysts would have so many questions on the earnings call. Could it be that the reason curaleaf is doing buy backs is because the senior note holders had something in the terms of the refi that if the stock price deeps below a certain number they are able to get back a certain amount of money sooner on that refi?

ShowMeTheIncentives

Ah man, I dunno. There's definitely more icky companies/ industries out there. Looking at you GEO 👀

captainri66

LUNR, RDW, LHS, LMT, NOC and several smaller private space companies just got a massive Space Force contract to replace older GEO satellites https://breakingdefense.com/2026/04/space-force-slates-1-8b-for-commercial-sats-to-replace-gssap-neighborhood-watch-birds/

severed02

“We are going to kill an entire civilization (RTX) and spy on you (PLTR) and poison your food (MON) and imprison crop workers (GEO). Thank you for your attention to these stock picks.”

kanduking

And yet Eutelsat with 5-10% LEO satellites + small GEO fleet as well is trading at $2B lol

hammeredtrout1

About ~6m ish people on the US are on DSL. Some more have GEO/WISP or nothing. But correct, even if they capture 70% or whatever of these customers, they won’t be as big as charter. But - Starlink is a global company. This is the difference. How many people in other countries don’t have access to high speed broadband?

windycityzow

The question is: is it ethical to give that psychopath money to build a dystopian future or nah. Go invest in GEO while you’re at it, slavery is very profitable I hear 🤦‍♂️

HumidMind

Burned by the GEO freeze out by Rubber Face and her boy toy as invest prior to Cheeto winning on chance he would go full deportation mode if he won. Almost 60years old here and I cannot stay in this corrupt market.

1LazySusan

I fully get this. I invested in this $GEO prison systems and I felt dirty, I had to sell within a week

CenlaLowell

I work with GEO and would never invest a dime in the company. Slow to no growth and as soon as a Democrat wins stock will plummet

Sudden-Purchase-8371

Anyone who invests in GEO is a ghoul.

qualityskootchtime

Fuck GEO

NormEget85

GEO Group Ticker: GEO (NYSE) What they do: Prison management, detention facilities, and related services. Notes: **Has contracts with ICE and other federal agencies**

NormEget85

Time to load up. GEO Group Ticker: GEO (NYSE) What they do: Prison management, detention facilities, and related services. Notes: **Has contracts with ICE and other federal agencies**

Hertock

You never said „large portions of the world won’t become uninhabitable during our lifetimes“, btw. You said: >From a purely financial perspective, the risk of destroying the environment is unlikely to be economically catastrophic during any of our lifetimes. And that’s just plain wrong. How do you define „economically catastrophic“, if not climate change and our current scientific predictions?! Scientists are ringing the alarm bells for decades, and you make comments like that. Basically saying not only you, but EVERYONE currently alive definitely won’t be personally (and potentially catastrophically) negatively hit by climate change, is naive at best, intentionally misleading at worst. No wonders, since Big Oil & others are pushing „Its all a hoax“ for decades as well. Still, depressing to read from a supposed other fellow human being falling for the brainwashing and propaganda tactics from the profiteers. https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/story/without-big-changes-what-environment-will-look-2050 „GEO-7, the work of nearly 300 scientists, created a model of what the planet would look like in 2050 if nations continued to do three environmentally destructive things“ „surge in heatwaves, which are expected to affect nearly everyone on Earth – some 9.2 billion people – by 2050. Almost no corner of the planet will remain untouched by extreme heat.“ „Climate change alone is expected to shave 4 per cent off global gross domestic product annually by 2050. As temperatures rise and the crisis deepens, that number will rise to a staggering 20 per cent by 2100. That would be just a little less than the contraction the United States of America suffered during the Great Depression of the 1920s and 1930s. The downturn will be magnified by the effects of pollution and the disappearance of nature. The poor will suffer the most from this economic upheaval and the gap between them and the rich will continue to widen.“ „The report estimates that air-pollution-related deaths will cost the global economy US$18-25 trillion through 2060.“ „Climate change, left unchecked, will expose about 1.1 billion more people to heavy rains and an additional 900 million people to intense drought by 2050. This climactic one-two punch will help push up to 132 million people into poverty and put another 24 million people at risk of hunger by 2040. By 2050, 3.3 billion people – one third of the planet – will face water stress.“ Basically, just read the short paragraphs or conclusions of literally any environmental study or report regarding climate change. It’s a disaster, and yes, an economic one too. One that many, many people currently alive are already feeling the consequences of, and many, many more will experience them in the future.

OilerFanRakingitin

The Oil companies have had enought time to Firm up sales at these prices and will reflect at their next Quarter results. So if there is a dip they will dip back up per company as results should mirror. Now that the Reserves have been let and price maintains it is clear that this is not the only factor but All the issues GEO politically. So do to that they will have to fill those reserves up again but will do so gradually as they will have to fill them up at these high price and who would? So therefore prices are going to hold. With the push in Canada for industrial independance and with all the Major Projects announced the alone will maintain Canadian equities. Add F35 and SAAB planes . Canadian oil Equities are going to have moment in the Sun for about 3 years. These are just observations. But I can list about 10 other indicators. So This guy am pumping up Oil stocks again but as heavy as I can this time.

AssociateLate1116

GEO calls…

Th3DarkFunk

I am confused because first you talk about the war, and then you talk about commercial markets. Not the same. As I pointed out, Starlink is well known to western consumers, but there are many competitors for different use cases. I am just providing information since you asked the question. The Russian military has its own assets. They certainly aren't dependant on an American company for crucial links. There are other solutions for drone control, albeit not as easy to deploy as LEO connectivity. Russia has its own fleet of GEO satellites, and is developing a LEO constellation "Sfera"

Th3DarkFunk

What are you asking? What does this have to do with Ukraine? There are many LEO constellations for a variety of use cases. For consumer internet service Starlink and Amazon Kuiper are big. There is OneWeb, Telesat Lightspeed is on the way. Iridium and AST are for mobile. Kepler has its niche as well. Take your pick of any LEO, MEO, GEO operator and I guarantee you that they have govt/military contracts and are assisting with connectivity for drones etc.

AssociateLate1116

GEO is so insanely undervalued right now. Buying calls

crunchsoop

This should have been the play the whole damn time. GEO FOR LOBBYIST!

Ok_Cartoonist6749

EONR depends on the GEO politics as long as more tension in IRAN/ISRAEL Oil n LNG this will run.JUST BUY N SPREAD THE LOV WE NEED VOL. FUNDA n Catalyst is with US.

AssociateLate1116

GEO calls

TempusFugit314

GEO

AssociateLate1116

GEO calls. Fear based article released last week and stock plummeted, new article out saying GEO was added to pre approved list where they don’t even need to bid stuff to win contracts.

Metacog_Drivel

GEO ded

Spiritual_Candle_312

I will be watching $GEO for the day and tending to my profits [https://www.reddit.com/r/DefenseStocks/comments/1r5wbkm/geo\_group\_wins\_piece\_of\_55\_billion\_navy\_contract/](https://www.reddit.com/r/DefenseStocks/comments/1r5wbkm/geo_group_wins_piece_of_55_billion_navy_contract/)

Cutlercares

Bullish GEO

Huckleberry-V

Back in business baby. GEO UNH LMT.

Stocks_N_Bondage

Notes for above: Most are about delta 25 ish, but APP and HUBS are bear put spreads. The "Detention" calls relate to ICE detention center companies, and are here only as Taco is currently expanding centers, and both CXW & GEO were knocked down due to the incidents in MN. Assuming these companies are involved in the recent expansion, they should pop. However, I'm otherwise not certain of their quality, so separated them.

Huckleberry-V

Used the opportunity to buy more GEO. Earn a couple K a month on covered calls for it. God bless private prisons. Pays the rent and makes days like today a mixed blessing.

Kachowxboxdad

GEO to break 20 this week

Kachowxboxdad

I actually think making the halftime show be in Spanish for the biggest televised sports event is going to increase preference for deportations Calls on GEO

Eduardo4125

The physics isn’t actually on your side here. The Stefan-Boltzmann radiation equation gives you ~850 W/m² at 350K. For a 100 MW cluster that’s ~120,000 m² of radiator surface, which is definitely absurd, but thin-film radiators are about 1-2 kg/m², so total radiator mass is like 200 tonnes. At *reusable* Starship cost targets that’ll be anywhere from $10-50M (literal peanuts against data centers costs rn). Further, the ISS comparison doesn’t hold up because it was launched at ~$50,000/kg before spacex. As humanity continues dropping launch costs by orders of magnitude, the scaling problem looks completely different. And the real bottleneck isn’t cooling—it’s power. On Earth you can’t get a 500 MW grid interconnection approved. These companies are constantly finding alternatives, and some are even proposing build LOCAL nuclear reactors to power them. In GEO you get 1361 W/m² of solar flux continuously.

GeoBro3649

I believe its GEO that built the ICE detention facilities across the country. They should be shorted to oblivion just because.

ATUGA

TIL that GEO and CXW are the two largest private prison operators... calls on incarceration is wildddd, lol.

blackpotoftea

There bunch of unknowns: * in which orbit they are going place: is EOL/GEO? if EOL it has much lower radiation so doesn't need that protections compared GEO orbits * heat dissipation is serious problem, even if you can concentrate into single high temperature interface for higher efficiently, still it's limited. Vacuum is terrible medium for heat dissipation * hardware failure at scale become predictable, like you have replaced ssd/hdd almost every day if you have them enough in cluster * Most data centre usage in space make sense if you need locality like space exploration data processing or military application My prediction we will get space elon coin that mined in space!

SkyPL

in GEO it's 23/7. 👀

No_Assistance5652

🥭 backed off in Minneapolis. Puts on GEO. On another note, they are trying to bring floor prices for critical minerals. These pump and dumps are getting out of hand.

Kachowxboxdad

GEO / CXW this is your moment

Kachowxboxdad

Nice GEO / CXW

devereaux

Zero, because CoreCivic and GEO Group exist

No_Assistance5652

GEO, CXW are being shielded by her from investigations and lawsuits. You can buy puts when you think her impeachment is near. Or you can seduce her when she needs a shoulder to cry on. And make her your wife.

FutureMartian97

Starlink isn't for people who have access to cable or fiber. It's for people like me who live in the country and my only options are radio tower or GEO internet. I've had it since the beta program in 2021 and it's been life changing for me. I'm able to have Starbase Live on constantly on my TV while gaming on my PC with no problems. My speeds have basically doubled since I got I and is now comparable to some cable options in the nearby towns. My latency has also never been a problem. It's also unlimited

Kachowxboxdad

Ignoring gains after hours, up 2% YTD just from stocks having not messed w options or metals Slightly above S&P YTD and I’m feeling decent about holdings I think RKT and GEO are both way oversold on reasons irrelevant to their earnings QXO is sitting on like $11b cash ready to make some purchases and it sold down this week like a publicly listed roofer

shadowpawn

$GEO donated a $$$ to trump in 2024

Kachowxboxdad

Holding lots of real asset stuff and ex-US but I also have US financials and the US private prison stocks I may buy more GEO and CXW if they fall enough

No_Assistance5652

GEO

Kachowxboxdad

Yikes I bought GEO and CXW yesterday not great timing

TaberAber

From what I understand mission details like where they're landing is entirely up to NASA. And they still got paid for IM2. There's going to be a lot of trial and error in space. The data gathered from just the "trial" is still very valuable. And landers are no longer going to be the main focus of the company. The money maker is expected to be the NSN that was awarded to IM in 2024. The contract itself is worth potentially 4.82 billion and IM is expected to build a lunar data relay satellite constellation**.** Once built IM is looking to charge customers by the minute to use their services. And with the acquisition of Lanteris IM is hoping to have LEO, MEO, GEO, and LUNAR satellites. Nearest catalyst is also the LTV contract thats worth up to 4.6 billion. Announcement of the award is expected this month and IM is one of three finalists for that award.

explorer_soul99

**Key Metrics (Private Prison Operators)** | Metric | GEO | CXW | |:--|:--|:--| | Market Cap | $2.4B | $2.2B | | ROE | 6.5% | 7.4% | | ROA | 2.4% | 3.5% | | EV/EBITDA | 9.2x | 9.5x | **Income Statement (TTM)** | Metric | GEO | CXW | |:--|:--|:--| | Revenue | $2.45B | $2.09B | | Op Income | $280M | $240M | | Gross Margin | 80.6% | 23.7% | | Op Margin | 11.6% | 11.3% | **Cash Flow (TTM)** | Metric | GEO | CXW | |:--|:--|:--| | Operating CF | $240M | $230M | | Free Cash Flow | $130M | $210M | Both trade at similar valuations (~9x EV/EBITDA) with similar ROE (6-7%). GEO has higher gross margin (80.6%) but CXW generates more FCF ($210M vs $130M). The ICE contract risk is real. these are essentially government contractors with political risk. At 6-7% ROE, you're not getting paid much for the headline risk. If you want the sector, CXW's better FCF conversion provides more margin of safety.

humble_hodler

GEO and AXON. Prisons and body cams. I don’t think the demand for either is going down in 2026.

No_Assistance5652

There are about 15 million natiralized browns in the US. The prison capacity is 100k as of now. Only 2 major players in the market who get all the federal funding. GEO & CXW. If it happens it is a wealth transfer from naturalized browns to these companies with govt as intermediary. They have 6.6 trillion$ wealth. Hmmm.

AssociateLate1116

GEO calls

Shapen361

Corruption has been quite profitable. Its arguably better to by the MAGA bootkickers companies like Oracle and GEO Group.

AssociateLate1116

This end of day spike on GEO means next week gonna be hella fun. 20+

AssociateLate1116

Waiting for GEO to cool off to go back in. Going to $20+ in the next week or two

AssociateLate1116

Peep that 1 yr chart on GEO, price targets, and recent contract won. This will run to 20-25 in the short term

Awesome____Sauce

So go long on $GEO?

AssociateLate1116

GEO finally printing. Knew that once the year started all the selling would finally stop. This runs to $30+ in the coming months

AssociateLate1116

GEO already multi baggin it. Earnings coming up in a couple weeks it goes back to $20 very soon

AssociateLate1116

GEO gonna be a 10 bagger. Long overdue. All price targets $35+ and just won a recent contract on top of it

AssociateLate1116

GEO 20 calls will print hard

AssociateLate1116

GEO calls fellas. In the beginning of a big breakout spanning well over a year now

AssociateLate1116

GEO to $20+ next week

AssociateLate1116

GEO actually looking like it’s gonna gap up hard next few days. Only a matter of time. If it dips again I load even more

Beverlydringus

TSAT, let me know what you think. Its core business (GEO) has been around forever, but the LEO angle is what’s interesting.. Cdn. Gov very focused on military spending right now so I love the partnership.

AssociateLate1116

GEO, look at that coiling. Breakout imminent

AssociateLate1116

GEO $20 calls

AssociateLate1116

I’m tellin ya, GEO is going to run hard and IV on calls insanely low still. Just won another contract, been so coiled lately and price targets are all atleast double current levels.

AssociateLate1116

GEO calls fellas. Finally breaking out of its coil

AssociateLate1116

I think GEO calls are due to print here. Been coiling on $16 for a while now. Price targets all $35+

AssociateLate1116

Don’t sleep on GEO. Well overdue for a run.

AssociateLate1116

GEO calls here are a safe haven. Look at the chart and recent price targets

AssociateLate1116

GEO calls. It’s time. Extremely oversold with all price targets atleast double its current price.

Vikingnorris

The "Infinite Labor" Glitch: How the $10B Assistance Freeze is Bullish for Corporate Margins (and why we’re all cooked) Listen up, you absolute regards. I was messing around with some AI prompts today and stumbled into the ultimate macro bear case. We’ve been focused on interest rates, but the real play is the Modern Day Slavery pivot. The administration just froze $10B in assistance to blue states. Think about that from a "supply and demand" perspective. If you strip the safety net from the poors—and yes, that includes the trailer park and the suburbs, this isn't just a city thing—what happens? Labor Vulnerability goes to the moon: When you can’t pay for childcare or SNAP, you don't "look for a better job." You take any job. You become a sub-prime human asset. The 13th Amendment Loophole: They’re doubling down on "Law and Order." More arrests = more incarcerated labor. Incarcerated labor = $0.12/hour wages. It’s literally a legal slavery glitch that’s been in the US Constitution since the 1800s, and they’re finally scaling it for maximum ROI. The "Poor White" Rug Pull: If you think you’re safe because of your skin color, you’re trading on bad data. The AI is showing that the economic mechanics of debt bondage and "work or starve" don't care about your identity—only your bank account balance (which, for most of us here, is currently $0.00). The Trade: Short the working class, long private prisons (GEO/CXW), and long any mega-cap that needs desperate, un-unionized labor to keep their EPS from cratering. The government isn't trying to fix the economy; they're trying to lower the cost of the "human resource" input to zero. We are the overhead they’re trying to cut. TL;DR: Assistance is being rugged to force a desperate workforce into modern-day serfdom. It’s bullish for the 1%, bearish for literally everyone else. See you behind Wendy’s dumpster.

Vikingnorris

Title: The "Infinite Labor" Glitch: How the $10B Assistance Freeze is Bullish for Corporate Margins (and why we’re all cooked) Listen up, you absolute regards. I was messing around with some AI prompts today and stumbled into the ultimate macro bear case. We’ve been focused on interest rates, but the real play is the Modern Day Slavery pivot. The administration just froze $10B in assistance to blue states. Think about that from a "supply and demand" perspective. If you strip the safety net from the poors—and yes, that includes the trailer park and the suburbs, this isn't just a city thing—what happens? 1. Labor Vulnerability goes to the moon: When you can’t pay for childcare or SNAP, you don't "look for a better job." You take any job. You become a sub-prime human asset. 2. The 13th Amendment Loophole: They’re doubling down on "Law and Order." More arrests = more incarcerated labor. Incarcerated labor = $0.12/hour wages. It’s literally a legal slavery glitch that’s been in the US Constitution since the 1800s, and they’re finally scaling it for maximum ROI. 3. The "Poor White" Rug Pull: If you think you’re safe because of your skin color, you’re trading on bad data. The AI is showing that the economic mechanics of debt bondage and "work or starve" don't care about your identity—only your bank account balance (which, for most of us here, is currently $0.00). The Trade: Short the working class, long private prisons (GEO/CXW), and long any mega-cap that needs desperate, un-unionized labor to keep their EPS from cratering. The government isn't trying to fix the economy; they're trying to lower the cost of the "human resource" input to zero. We are the overhead they’re trying to cut. TL;DR: Assistance is being rugged to force a desperate workforce into modern-day serfdom. It’s bullish for the 1%, bearish for literally everyone else. Positions: $SPY 200P Dec '26. See you behind the Wendy’s dumpster.

explorer_soul99

Private prison data for the portfolio: **Prison Stock Fundamentals:** | Ticker | Company | Op Margin | P/E | 52W Position | |:-------|:--------|:----------|:----|:-------------| | CXW | CoreCivic | **24%** | 31.0 | 17% below high | | GEO | GEO Group | 13% | 70.2 | **54% below high** | Interesting divergence: CXW has better margins (24% vs 13%) but GEO is more beaten down (54% below highs). **8-Quarter Margin Trend (GEO):** | Period | Op Margin | Trend | |:-------|:----------|:------| | Q3 2023 | 14% | — | | Q1 2024 | 13% | ↓ | | Q3 2024 | 14% | ↔ | | Q3 2025 | 6% | **↓ WARNING** | GEO's margins are compressing despite the "favorable" political environment. The 70x P/E is pricing in a turnaround that hasn't materialized. **CXW** is the better play: higher margins, cheaper valuation, and more stable trend. If you're going full unethical, CXW + tobacco (MO) gives you 24% and 55% operating margins respectively. That's a cash machine.

banditcleaner2

$GEO skyrocketted right after the election lmao. because of course it did.

Aureliamnissan

Even “too big to fail” is beside the point. If that really does come to pass and the US guarantees private credit investments in AI datacenters that will only prolong the inevitable Investors will still want their money back in order to fund a better vehicle as was the case with housing and MBS in 2008. IMHO the AI investment cycle is doomed to collapse under it’s own weight at this rate unless someone achieves miraculous efficiency improvements. The things that AI can currently generate with the grid strain and investments we already have *are* impressive, but they aren’t sustainable and are already dicey enough that watering down quality to extract profits will probably kill the model. On the other hand the *future* investments are so staggeringly large that if they really honestly need that in order to achieve their stated goals then I have a hard time believing it will actually be cheaper *or better* than just using existing human labor. Right now it looks like everyone is dumping money into a slim chance of a moonshot technology (like fusion decades ago). Don’t get me wrong, the achievements of the chip manufacturers and data center designers are remarkable, it’s just that they barely have a use-case. It’s like if SpaceX suddenly offered the ability to launch an entire container ship to GEO orbit, but we’ve decided to use it to power a wind turbine. Like cool I guess, but where are the adults?