Reddit Posts
$GEO = Deep Value. Trades at $10, but worth $20-25 based on EBITDA and $40 based on Replacement Cost. (Bonus: Short squeeze potential).
Don't like Trump?... Hedge against his potential win by buying $GEO. And at least you'll make a TON of cash if he gets elected again.
Geo Group NYSE-GEO = Deep Value. Trades at $10, but worth $20-25 based on EBITDA and $40 based on Replacement Cost. (Bonus: Short squeeze potential).
$GEO = Deep Value. Trades at $10, but worth $20-25 based on EBITDA and $40 based on Replacement Cost. (Bonus: Short squeeze potential).
$GEO is a significantly undervalued stock, and now it’s looking to make a comeback.
$GEO = Deep Value. Trades at $10, but worth $20-25 based on EBITDA and $40 based on Replacement Cost.
$GEO is Going Vertical like Maverick in Top Gun... 15% short interest trapped!!
$GEO is Going Vertical like Maverick in Top Gun... 15% short interest trapped!!
$GEO has now hit $10/share. Big milestone reached. Fair value is $20 and shorts (15% short interest) are likely starting to panic!
Do I have to spell it out for yall in WSB baby talk? Correctional facility property is cheap AF rn. Meaning GEO and CXW
$MAXR Maxar Technologies agreed to pay $27M settlement to investors after misleading scandal
$MAXR Maxar Technologies agreed to pay $27M settlement to investors after the misleading scandal
anyone have a lil insight on Geovax Labs?
Cerrado Gold: Stability & Growth – Q2 Production Results
Cerrado Gold Q1 2023 Results: Gearing Up for Production Growth
GEO Group stock slides after Q1 earnings fall, poor outlook (NYSE:GEO)
Cerrado Gold Announces 6% Gold Production Increase in 1Q 2023
Laurion Mineral Exploration LME LMEFF - A Buffett Worthy Investment
Where do you think GEO Groups stock will be in six months from now?
indie stock surges +13% after B Riley praises $180M GEO purchase, ups rating to buy (INDI)
Who else hopped on the Michael Burry train and went in on GEO.
Shortsqueeze potential on a profitable company, GEO!
Charting and watching GEO for an entry when it dips again. Heavily shorted and trending up, but still needs more volume to really kick off.
Going Forward: FFEI has a lot of room to run as it becomes more widely followed (resistance after $1 is fairly weak). $GETY (75%+ short float) and $GEO (30% Short Float/ Fwd PE <9) may start to heat up next week.
$GEO is insanely over-shorted: 37.53% float shorted
JBLU now has more US Govt contracts than KTOS & GEO combined.
$GEO Short Squeeze: The Clearest EOY Opportunity.
Investor Michael Burry recently disclosed his fund’s holdings, showing that he has a large stake in GEO stock. This makes the stock worth looking into, considering how well-known he is for making bold predictions.
When I look at my $GEO positions after getting in mid-August… 😉
Michael Burry’s investment in the The GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) has been profitable
Michael Burry is buying stocks again after selling all of his stocks last August except GEO. In Q3 he purchased more GEO making his portfolio now over 50% in prison stocks. His new buys are QRTEA, CXW AJRD, CHTR, and LILAK
Michael Burry is buying stocks again. Last August, he sold all his stocks except GEO
Prison stock GEO up 7% today, 12% in a month and 34% since April. Not a good sign for humanity. Who else is in? (besides Burrrrry)
Top Ten Reddit Short Squeeze Mentions This Weekend: GME, AMC, MMAT, BBBY, BBIG, APRN, CALM, SEE, GEO - Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:CALM), GEO Group (NYSE:GEO), Vinco Ventures (NASDAQ:BBIG), Sealed Air (NYSE:SEE), Blue Apron Hldgs (NYSE:APRN), AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC), Meta Materials (NASDAQ:MMAT), B
Undervalued and potential for a squeeze.
Legend + High Volume $GME Investor(The BiG shORT's)Michael Burry's fund (Scion Asset Management) unloads full Portfolio (x11)positions,re-bought (x1)- $GEO (GEO Group). #Recession proof/Govt secured cash
Michael 'Big Short' Burry Makes Another Dire Prediction
Michael Burry has tweeted "And yet I keep getting asked "wen crash?" with a chart of the S&P 500 movements since 2017. Last May he predicted the S&P 500 could fall to 1,862 and sold all of his US stocks except GEO last month. Do you think a market crash is imminent?
GEO ON WATCH - 2 million float, great chart. Let’s take it to $25
APRN buyback and what it could mean.
Some guy made an investment in this company with the ticker GEO!
Paperhands! Don't create squeezes! BBBY and APRN are still the plays.
Also something to think about that should be on everyone's radar! GEO
VS - VERSUS SYSTEMS & GEO ON WATCH
Something worth seeing with GEO
Burry dumps all stock except for GEO! Prison camps on southern border are coming
Fresh Idea for Degens, Apes, other various and sundry Low-Lifes
$GEO now the only stock Burry owns has 16% SI and 25 days to cover
Fresh Idea for Degens, Apes, and various and Sundry Low Lifes
$GEO let’s go riding with burry $YOLO on $7 and $8 call options expiring Friday 8/19 ride with me retards 💰🍾🙏🏻
'Big Short' investor Michael Burry sold all but one of his stocks last quarter - after warning an epic market crash is coming
LMEFF/LME.V Report & Update - Potential Buyout & 800-1,400% Return
LMEFF/LME.V Report & Update - Potential buyout & 1,000-1,750% return
LMEFF Report & Update - Potential Buyout & 1,000-1,750% Return
LMEFF/LME.V - Laurion Mineral Exploration - Due Diligence & Buyout Target
LMEFF/LME.V - Laurion Mineral Exploration - Due Diligence & Buyout Target
LME.V - Laurion Mineral Exploration - Due Diligence & Buyout Target
Is Michael Burry a hypocrite?
$216,000 Gain....or Can Someone Help With Taxes?
When the San Francisco mayor says it’s “bullshit”, it’s time to buy private prisons
Michael Burry’s Latest Holdings (Scion Asset Management)
Mentions
Private prison GEO popping
Weird cuz GEO took a nose dive
Is GEO a short now that we are outsourcing prisons?
Eutelsat stands out in the satellite industry in several ways but faces significant challenges compared to major players like SpaceX's Starlink: 1. **Hybrid infrastructure**: Eutelsat is the first operator to integrate geostationary orbit (GEO) satellites and low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites through its merger with OneWeb. This allows it to offer low-latency connectivity and solid global coverage. 2. **European positioning**: Unlike Starlink, an American company, Eutelsat is perceived as a strategic European alternative, particularly for reasons related to digital sovereignty. This attracts the support of European governments, such as in **Ukraine, where Eutelsat is used to address uncertainties regarding Starlink.** 3. **Capacity and cost**: Starlink has a much larger constellation, with approximately 6,000 satellites in low Earth orbit compared to Eutelsat's 650 satellites. Additionally, Starlink's terminals are significantly cheaper, making competition challenging on a commercial level. 4. **B2B focus**: Eutelsat focuses more on providing services to businesses and governments, whereas Starlink primarily targets individual consumers with consumer-grade solutions.
GM, F - they are already crimnally undervalued. GEO, CRW -crime will go up, Any decent dividend stock since their yields is booming with dropping valuation
What goes up when shit goes down? Crime! Leaps on GEO and CRW.
4/20/2025 is the 90 day mark for the DHS and DoD to recommend if Trump should use the Insurrection Act of 1807 for using the military on US soil for deportations. Something he campaigned on. $45 billion in ICE contracts going out, ICE itself has an annual budget of 9 billion. Long on private prisons, GEO Group, CoreCivic.
I sold a bunch of profitable long time green in the IRA tax free today when that freak surge happened. American techs and GEO? OUT with a green parachute, thanks. Unnatural times call for unnatural ways: Nothing but blue chip, my pets and low fee ETFs in the taxable and cashing up as I mine more fiat. If we figure out a way to read their moves great. For now feel better in SPAXX
idk but GEO is a good thing to pickup some leaps on
I thought private prisons were a better bet. GEO, CoreCivic, and any other companies that specialise in oppressing the poor. Debt collectors maybe?
yeah middle class is toast. MCD, DPZ, UNH, GEO
Private prison stocks (GEO or CXW)
Yep, GEO and CXW didn't really crash at all.
GEO private prisons. Middle class people will become lower class and we all know it's illegal to be poor
I asked chatgpt for a few prison tickers and came up with GEO & CXW (nyse) saying *"Both are real estate investment trusts (REITs) that operate private prisons, detention centers, and reentry facilities. They also provide electronic monitoring and rehabilitation services.* *These companies profit primarily from government contracts (federal, state, and local) to house inmates or detainees, often related to immigration enforcement and criminal justice policies.* ***Side note****: In 2021, the Biden administration issued an executive order to phase out the use of private prisons by the federal Bureau of Prisons, which has impacted these companies. But contracts with ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) and state-level deals still remain.* *Let me know if you want stock performance, controversies, or a deeper dive into how they make money.* **me - didn't mango undo Biden's EO?** *"Yes, President Donald Trump reversed President Joe Biden's executive order that had directed the Department of Justice to phase out its contracts with privately operated criminal detention facilities. On January 20, 2025, President Trump issued an executive order titled "Initial Rescissions of Harmful Executive Orders and Actions," which revoked several of Biden's directives, including Executive Order 14006."*
# Top Public Companies Profiting from Prisons (U.S. Exchanges Only) 1. **The GEO Group, Inc.** *(NYSE: GEO)* * Private prison ownership and operations * Services include incarceration, reentry, and electronic monitoring 2. **CoreCivic, Inc.** *(NYSE: CXW)* * Owns and manages private prisons, jails, and detention centers * Also leases correctional facilities to government agencies 3. **Centene Corporation** *(NYSE: CNC)* * Provides healthcare services, including in correctional facilities * Previously owned major prison healthcare contractor 4. **Palantir Technologies Inc.** *(NYSE: PLTR)* * Offers big data and analytics used by law enforcement and ICE * Supports surveillance and detention data management 5. **Axon Enterprise, Inc.** *(NASDAQ: AXON)* * Supplies Tasers, body cameras, and software to police and prison systems * Profits from law enforcement and correctional tech integration
Look who supported this presidency: Elon Musk: $290 million Timothy Mellon: $150 million Adelson Clinic for Drug Abuse Treatment & Research: $106 million Linda McMahon of WWE: $16 million Hendricks Holding Co: $15 million Bigelow Aerospace: $14.1 million Laura & Issac Perlmutter Foundation: 12.4 million ABC Supply: $11 million Cantor Fitzgerald: $11 million Uline: $10 million Pratt Industries: $10 million British American Tabacco: $10 million Southern Waste Systems: $9 million Elliott Management: $7 million Andreesseen Horowitz: $7 million Viotl Inc: $6 million Timothy Dunn of CrownQuest: $5 million Jeff Sprecher of Intercontinental Exchange and Kelly Loeffler: $4.9 million Phil Ruffin, a business partner of Trump’s: $3.3 million Jimmy John Liautaud of Jimmy John’s: $3.1 million Geoffrey Palmer: $3 million Bernard Marcus, former CEO of Home Depot: $2.7 million Robert Johnson, owner of New York Jets: $2.7 million Winklevoss twins: $2.6 million Kenny Troutt of Excel Communications: $2.2 million George Bishop of GeoSouthern Energy: $2 million J. Joe Ricketts of TD Ameritrade: $2 million Chevron: $2 million Robinhood Markets: $2 million Andrew Beal of Beal Bank: $1.8 million Don Ahern of Xtreme Manufacturing: $1.1 million Roger Penske of Penske Corporation: $1.1 million Steve Wynn: $1.1 million Richard Kurtz of The Kamson Corporation: $1.1 million Antonio Gracias of Valor Equity Partners: $1 million Douglas Leone of Sequoia Capital: $1 million OpenAI: $1 million ExxonMobil: $1 million Amazon: $1 million Meta: $1 million Uber: $1 million Boeing: $1 million Qualcomm: $1 million Coinbase: $1 million Kraken: $1 million Galaxy Digital Holdings: $1 million Crypto.com: $1 million Paradigm Operations: $1 million Goldman Sachs: $1 million Altria: $1 million Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America: $1 million Bayer: $1 million Johnson & Johnson: $1 million National Association of Manufacturers: $1 million AT&T: $1 million Comcast: $1 million Verizon: $1 million Carrier: $1 million Intuit: $1 million Coupang: $1 million GE Vernova: $500,000 QCells: $500,000 Ericsson: $500,000 CoreCivic: $500,000 GEO Group: $500,000 Abbott Laboratories: $500,000 PayPal: $250,000 HCA Healthcare: $250,000 Oklo Inc: $250,000 Coca Cola: $250,000 American Beverage Association: $250,000 Syngenta: $250,000 International Flavors & Fragrances: $250,000 Elevance Health: $150,000 American Clean Power Association: $100,000 Instacart: $100,000 Airbnb: $100,000 Socure: $100,000 Barnes & Thornburg LLP: $100,000
Actually, I disagree that it is political suicide. It is the opposite if done right imo. With confidence, collaboration, a new party could be born that will rule for the next 60 years by taking out the trash. The first Republican to grow the balls and support to impeach Trump, Vance, Pete Hegseth, Michael Waltz, John Ratcliffe, Tulsi Gabbard, Repeal Tariffs and pass legislation to limit them to a 90% vote by Congress, curtail executive orders, Fire Pam Bondi, Fire Leavitt, Fire & Jail & Sue Elon Musk and every member of DOGE, Restore CFPB, FEMA, USAID, DOE and reinstall our antimoney laws. Repeal pardons as illegal for Bitmex, Bitmex founders, J6ers, prosecute the Tate brothers, End the sovereign wealth fund, end all government contracts with Tesla, xAI, SpaceX and any other government subsidies Elon Musk is getting, increase hiring in the NPS, IRS, balance the budget, end all prison contracts with GEO & El Salvador, free all political prisoners, End ICE and prosecute all ICE Agents, pilots and administrators. Restore health funding for NHS HHS and CDC, and so much apologizing we need to do publicly and abroad, establish worker rights and investments into key industries and infrastructure. It is a long list of things that need to be done just to start.... but for the right leader it is not impossible. But the first person to start DOING IT and stop talking about it will basically have a party in their name for the rest of this generation's lives.
2 people in 2 weeks. Both instances they were plain clothes unmarked and hid their faces. Don’t hurt a rabid nation states ‘ feelings or you get snatched. Calls on GEO.
I can imagine GEO is going to do quite well…
GEO mentioned that conference recently. Who’s attending and who will make a real difference at that meeting? Otherwise, it’s just a boondoggle and distraction from the real results we’ve all been waiting for. Serious investors want “sustainable” action, not short-term pops and soundbites.
Calls on GEO. It has really big swings up for the past few weeks.
Eutelsat woke up this month and chose to crush Starlink. A high bandwidth internet sat service with GEO platforms doesn't suffer the horizon issues of their American counterparts.
(I’m ootl today, what exactly are you referring to?) Would outright refusing the courts be Rubicon for you? Or would it need to be a larger power grab? Are you familiar with Mahmoud Khalil’s arrest? I think GEO calls are the play here if 1A speech is being challenged by the admin.
They want to make it illegal to hurt the feelings of a certain nation-state in the Middle East  GEO calls might print.
Eutelsat Group and Türksat have announced a new multi-million-dollar, multi-year agreement between for Ka band services on Eutelsat’s Konnect VHTS satellite. Under the agreement, Türksat will leverage multiple beams over Europe to provide services to airlines. Konnect VHTS entered into service in October 2023 to address the European fixed broadband and in-flight connectivity verticals. With Ka-band capacity of 500 Gbps, Konnect VHTS embarks the most powerful on-board digital processor ever put in orbit, offering capacity allocation flexibility, optimal spectrum use, and progressive ground network deployment. Eva Berneke, Chief Executive Officer of Eutelsat, said: “We are honored to be selected by Türksat to reinforce its aero mobility offer. Konnect VHTS is one of the most advanced satellites in our GEO connectivity fleet, specifically designed to address the European inflight connectivity market. We look forward to partnering with Türksat as an anchor customer on Konnect VHTS as its deploys its capabilities in the mobility market.”
So puts on GEO might be the play?
I don't even know if the overall chaos that would happen if they wanted to round up all the illegals is priced into the market. Forget GEO, this could be very bad for the US economy as a whole.
I just zoomed out on GEO and realized it doubled the day after the election. That’s BLEAK. 
You could be right but the comparison doesn’t account for connection speed, bandwidth available or terminal costs. Both are important factors when selecting satcoms in my opinion. I personally prefer SES A.S. over Eutelsat, as SES following completing the Intelsat acquisition (hopefully) will have GEO & MEO constellations as well as contracted access to OneWeb LEO satellites. SES has also signed an agreement to backhaul data for Lynk Global‘s direct to device (Sat2Phone) service which will hopefully result in healthy future profits (e.g. the U.S. DoD is a customer). Add to that the possibility of $2.94b of C band revenue in 2026… [https://news.satnews.com/2025/02/11/ses-and-eutelsat-possibly-in-line-for-c-band-bn-bonus/](https://news.satnews.com/2025/02/11/ses-and-eutelsat-possibly-in-line-for-c-band-bn-bonus/)
Calls on GEO. They will only criminalize any and all harm reduction measures for fent addicts.
Posting same thing I posted on your main WSB thread got removed: I don't know if I'm reading what you wrote wrong but I understood that you think the LEO constellation OneWeb isn't up and running and is planned? Although its unfinished it is running. OneWeb works, and its the only real StarLink alternative LEO constellation they just need to add to it. I suggest you read around the UK / French Sale ( [https://www.gov.uk/government/news/oneweb-merger-with-eutelsat](https://www.gov.uk/government/news/oneweb-merger-with-eutelsat) ), the fact the UK retained a sovereign share, and StarLink's early association with it (Elon Musk was an early business partner, he went away and built his own - read about it on wiki). I don't want to speculate too much on undervalued as there's forward capital needs with sattelites. Market cap is only 3bn and that was the value for OneWeb alone and the UK thought it took a write-down then. Eutelsat was initially valued this year as if there was no real demand for competition against Starlink, based on the flawed assumption that Starlink would be seen as both neutral and sovereign. Many believed Eutelsat would struggle to secure the necessary capital to expand or replace its LEO constellation. Analysts examined its credit rating, revenue trends, and retreat from the consumer market and concluded, “Short it.” Goldman Sachs analyst now humble: [https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/goldman-says-sell-rating-on-eutelsat-stock-was-the-wrong-call-ups-to-neutral-3915514](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/goldman-says-sell-rating-on-eutelsat-stock-was-the-wrong-call-ups-to-neutral-3915514) That turned out to be a mistake—at least at the price it reached, which dropped well below book value and significantly underperformed competitors in GEO/MEO like SESG. Now, with the stock rebounding to €6, shifting recommendations to neutral or hold is effectively supporting the price. Analysts are now suggesting that the recent uptick might be justified. **And yes, the EU has its own lunch capacity via ESA / ArianeSpace, and its partnering with Rocketlabs for certain things:** [https://www.rocketlabusa.com/updates/airbus-awards-rocket-lab-contract-to-power-next-gen-oneweb-constellation-for-eutelsat/](https://www.rocketlabusa.com/updates/airbus-awards-rocket-lab-contract-to-power-next-gen-oneweb-constellation-for-eutelsat/) \- SpaceX isn't the only launch capacity in town, though it may be cheaper ;) Strong speculative play revealed by many governments now worrying about dependence on one vendor. As they should ;)
I don't know if I'm reading what you wrote wrong but I understood that you think the LEO constellation OneWeb isn't up and running and is planned? Although its unfinished it is running. OneWeb works, and its the only real StarLink alternative LEO constellation they just need to add to it. I suggest you read around the UK / French Sale ( [https://www.gov.uk/government/news/oneweb-merger-with-eutelsat](https://www.gov.uk/government/news/oneweb-merger-with-eutelsat) ), the fact the UK retained a sovereign share, and StarLink's early association with it (Elon Musk was an early business partner, he went away and built his own - read about it on wiki). I don't want to speculate too much on undervalued as there's forward capital needs with sattelites. Market cap is only 3bn and that was the value for OneWeb alone and the UK thought it took a write-down then. Eutelsat was initially valued this year as if there was no real demand for competition against Starlink, based on the flawed assumption that Starlink would be seen as both neutral and sovereign. Many believed Eutelsat would struggle to secure the necessary capital to expand or replace its LEO constellation. Analysts examined its credit rating, revenue trends, and retreat from the consumer market and concluded, “Short it.” Goldman Sachs analyst now humble: [https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/goldman-says-sell-rating-on-eutelsat-stock-was-the-wrong-call-ups-to-neutral-3915514](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/goldman-says-sell-rating-on-eutelsat-stock-was-the-wrong-call-ups-to-neutral-3915514) That turned out to be a mistake—at least at the price it reached, which dropped well below book value and significantly underperformed competitors in GEO/MEO like SESG. Now, with the stock rebounding to €6, shifting recommendations to neutral or hold is effectively supporting the price. Analysts are now suggesting that the recent uptick might be justified. **And yes, the EU has its own lunch capacity via ESA / ArianeSpace, and its partnering with Rocketlabs for certain things:** [https://www.rocketlabusa.com/updates/airbus-awards-rocket-lab-contract-to-power-next-gen-oneweb-constellation-for-eutelsat/](https://www.rocketlabusa.com/updates/airbus-awards-rocket-lab-contract-to-power-next-gen-oneweb-constellation-for-eutelsat/) \- SpaceX isn't the only launch capacity in town, though it may be cheaper ;) Strong speculative play revealed by many governments now worrying about dependence on one vendor. As they should ;)
This one point is good to know. # Future Growth * **Eutelsat**: * Eutelsat has made efforts to transition into **LEO satellite networks** and has partnerships with companies like **OneWeb** to develop **next-generation satellite broadband**. However, the company still relies heavily on its GEO satellite network. * **Starlink**: * Starlink has ambitious plans to **expand its satellite constellation** and eventually provide **global high-speed internet**, including for mobile and in-flight connections. As more satellites are launched, the service’s coverage and speeds will continue to improve.
**Eutelsat**: * **Satellite Type**: Geostationary (GEO) satellites, around 35,786 km above Earth. * **Speed**: Up to 100 Mbps, but high latency (600-700 ms). * **Target Audience**: Primarily for **businesses**, **government**, and **telecommunications**. Provides coverage for large areas but not ideal for consumers needing low-latency internet. * **Pricing**: Varies, often more expensive due to enterprise-focused services. **Starlink**: * **Satellite Type**: Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites, around 550-1,200 km above Earth. * **Speed**: 100-200 Mbps with low latency (20-40 ms), ideal for real-time applications like gaming, video calls, and streaming. * **Target Audience**: Designed for **consumers** in **rural and remote areas** where traditional broadband is unavailable. * **Pricing**: Affordable, around **$110/month**, with setup costs of around **$549** for equipment. **Summary**: * **Eutelsat** is ideal for **businesses** and **government** users needing satellite services. * **Starlink** is best for **individuals** or **families** in remote areas looking for affordable, high-speed internet. Let me know if you need further details!
Grok AI, trust what you will, says Ariane sends 5-7 commercial rockets to space a year. SpaceX sends 50-70. Scale is completely different. Maybe being a different technology GEO, they won’t need as many. But capacity and scale will be a huge bottleneck.
Starlink and OneWeb are both LEO. the legacy Eutelsat business is GEO
Straight to $GEO if you are mean to TSLA
That GEO pump makes me sad. If you buy that shit you're a terrible person.
GEO. I looked up private prisons the moment he said that being mean to TSLA was terrorism.
Being mean to TSLA owners is now terrorism. Calls on GEO?
GEO stock? That's booming bruv.
Honestly a lot of connectivity use cases on the sea or in rural areas don’t need a lot of data. And they also have partners in LEO so they can have a LEO + GEO solution
What about sharing information that explains why sectors are where they are while using the colorful language of the sub? For example BAH, SAIC, and CACI have fallen off a cliff while GEO is up bigly because of certain policies.
GEO group wins 15yr contract. Ethics be damned lets make some dolla dolla
Kim mentioned for whatever litigations reasons that trulieve is in a unique position that they believe will wont have to pay the 280e taxes that they have been withholding, although she does foresee years of litigation happening to confirm this. She doesn’t think that all companies are in her position as well to win. I have no clue about their legal argument, but I think GEO might be on to it with saying this product was technically compliant due to the farm bill. If Trulieve wins, gtbif doesn’t automatically get theirs back. Most likely they would also have to go through litigation. So if trulieve wins in 2028, gtbif might win in like 2031+ or something. In that term it would have been wiser to spend that money on the business….that’s if they win of course. So overall I don’t think it’s as black and white for which companies at which points MIGHT get retro repayment. But yes, if S3 happens, all boats lifted moving forward.
* **What specific market indicators (beyond just VIX and gold) should we be monitoring for signs of** ***social*** **instability risk in the US context?** Credit spreads? Specific sector performance? Currency movements? Unemployment seems the most obvious to me. * **Are there any historical market precedents for predicting social unrest that we can learn from, even if imperfectly?** Academic research or anecdotal observations welcome (cite sources if you can, bonus points for not just saying "trust me bro"). I think you're onto something, but it's an example of correlation does not equal causation. It's recession that predicts social unrest and recession also causes the stock market to fall. In recent history, consider that the riots in 2020 followed massive unemployment, particularly among low-wage service workers. However, no riots followed the 2008 crash (Occupy was small and largely nonviolent). * **If you** ***were*** **hedging against potential US societal instability through market positioning, what strategies would you realistically consider (beyond the usual "buy puts on everything" WSB knee-jerk)?** Geographic diversification? Specific asset classes? Defensive sectors? (Again, not financial advice, just brainstorming for intellectual stimulation). Off the top of my head? I'd buy stock in private prison contractors (e.g., GEO Group), private security firms, gun manufacturers, defense, and construction (social unrest will largely be confined to the cities, so I'd predict a mass movement of anyone with the means to do so from cities to exurbia and rural areas - see Detroit in the 1960s). Also, I think mass violence would have a similar effect that COVID had: people would retreat to their homes and would stop going to public places. So the same stocks that did well during COVID (Zoom, Amazon, DoorDash, etc.) would probably do well again. In any case, I think the recent market downturn is the result of the AI bubble bursting, and not because investors anticipate major social unrest.
My biggest win is $GEO. I bought around $25k worth in late 2021. I just let it sit and didn’t sell it mainly bc I heard they were heavily undervalued with their RE holdings. Then Trump came back and it skyrocketed. I still haven’t sold. Maybe I should lol.
How TF is $GEO down 20% over the last month, should be taking in cash rn
everyone is so damn jittery right now - Tariffs, GEO, disappointing earnings, etc. If NVDA misses, we are going to Satan's land.
Buying calls on lunr, archer, Hood and GEO at open. Change my mind
GEO upside is limited by capacity utilization...how many beds are still available in existing locations. If you think ICE will fill those beds with illegal aliens being deported, then yes: calls. But if they're already at 95%, then you're just buying momentum and everyone *else* buying based on zero dd. In which case: also calls. So, yes: calls. Monthlies, next strike up from Friday's close prolly print if we get some good press.
Anyone looking at GEO?
Spend some time at GEO corporate and you’ll see MAGA everywhere. Got to drink the kool-aid if you work there. That lack of diversity not good for any company. Need balance in thought.
Surprised private prisons aren’t doing much better since Trump took office. The publicity around ICE, I would’ve thought they were filling up awaiting deportation. Past month GEO is down twice as much as MSOS.
Does Burry still own GEO or is he only Chinese stocks now
Stuff like this must drive him absolutely bonkers lol- he had a decent sized position in GEO in 2023/2024 and it close to doubled since the election
GEO and NBIS. Their huge price swings make no sense. And I can't see how it isn't manipulated. But both seem like they will grow in the near future.
C HIMS, C HOOD, the daily QQQ plays, P VG, META for nightly cash sweep, long CLOV. Eyes on RKLB & (TH, GEO, CXW).
How many trump stocks are still worth calling? GEO did not work out. TESLA free falling everyday. what else worth playing?
I thought he’s too busy trolling me, GEO, and a few others that speak to truth.
Anyone playing the $CXW earnings tomorrow? Kind of a hard call considering $GEO hasn't done great, but with Mango being so pro-private prison, I can't really see major cons on this one. Other than demand outpacing supply, and alternatives coming out i.e. Guantanamo and salvador
GEO owners control like 80%. I think a lot of companies like that will come out of nowhere.
Once the border bill passes take a look at GEO…….
I would hope he would be selective. Some things in the public service section of the economy would be way shittier being regulated by the free market. (Looking at you GEO and CXW) As far as handouts to billionaires, I'm still less worried about the richest guy in the world moving the money around than the people taking amounts around $1m from lobbyists for most of America's existence prior to present time. The wealth disparity is getting to the point where USD itself is starting to look like the likelihood of it being abandoned is much higher presently than it has been for quite some time. Whatever money wouldn't get spent before that would suddenly be worthless if USD loses confidence if inflation gets out of hand. The pendulum needs to swing back if you're Elon Musk, whether your intentions are selfish or altruistic. Whether you're rich and captain of the boat or just a poor bastard rowing, if the ship goes down everyone dies. Doesn't matter who carries the title and when you have the most to lose, you can see what their motivation will be.
Minervini has interviews with great traders who are members and they all say to buy whatever Minervini’s buying does not work. You need to develop all the skills like de-risking trades. He literally always de-risks his trades meaning he is up 8% or 12% etc he’ll sell half and he now has a free trade. If you can keep doing this over and over you’ll have a better return then holding a great stock as long as the market is favouring swing trading. Last year was CANSLIM and holding a select few great stocks. other years it will be 30% gains and implosion. Minervini says every strategy takes its turn. When it doesn’t work it’s great because you are getting close to it working great. He continues that no strategy works all the time and the undisciplined are laying the foundation for your strategy. They are not exercising tight risk control and blow up. Then when your strategy is working then are in disbelief and the whole cycle plays out again. We all feel upset when we sell big winners for 15 to 25% gains but we also sell stocks that only have 25% before they are back to break even. You do this enough times and a 100% gain is not too far away. case-in-point had GEO bought perfectly Jan 3rd took a 13.5% profit a few days later then sold half again at 22% then rode it down to 2% on only a 25% of what was originally bought. This was a mistake in hindsight. I should have back stopped say another 10% gain for another half. Overall didn’t execute perfectly but this trade averaged 15%. So all this data is added into the analytics section where I track my metrics. It keeps track of my average gain, average loss and batting average plus holding time of gains and losses so I can see where I need work. I am finding I don’t hold gains long enough. My losses are great at 3.48% over 14 months. Some great months like last Feb my average gain was 15.3% and losses 3.2% so the environment helped. I can then go back and see what did I do well in my best periods. Lastly, we also keep a trade grader. We are all inputting these data points. We then look 6 months down the road was this a good sell, bad buy or emotional buy or did I choke off the trade too early when the stock did nothing wrong. We are given a drop down menu to decide what kind of trade this was. I have graded 217 trades encounting. We can see from this what our tendencies are and what we need to change if we want to get better.
I bought up hundreds of shares of private prison stocks GEO and CXW the day after the election and since I made about 70% gains in both. Both stocks have been doing horribly lately since very recently Trump has suggested shipping US citizens who are in prison for violent crimes to other countries. I still think these private prisons could operate and even build more.
Thoughts on GEO puts? Pumped big bc of fruit man jailing illegals but now hes just shipping them back home and pubically said private prisons are too expensive.
Interesting theory but GEO will still be making boatloads of money regardless of how many illegal immigrants end up out of the country.
GEO - Can anyone explain to me why the stock has been dropping the last weeks or two? Is it because Trump said (which can't be real) he wants to deport immigrants to Guantanamo Bay instead of using the private prison firm? Is there a Peter Thiel backed competitor I'm unaware of poised to steal the prison accounts?
Now that the Mango is shipping criminals to El Salvador. How will this effect GEO prison stock??
Look at TSLA, GEO, AXON, PLTR, regional banks. Or for negative reactions, take any of the Inflation Reduction Act related plays. Their massive over/underperformance is more or less 100% due to the change of President. You yourself are interested in NVDA apparently. Have you not thought about the implications of tariffs on chips + more export controls? Perhaps you should consume *more* news, not less, if you invest in individual stocks.
My retirement is all tied up in etf for the most part so those will be fine over the next couple years My taxable brokerage is tied up in fun things like CALM, VITL, GEO, RKLB
lets go GEO then (please)
The GEO group says "No way, José!"
It's already priced in, GEO is up 100% from November
THE GEO GROUP $GEO - With Buckley Military Base set to hold 1500 illegals and Guantanamo Bay set to hold 30k illegals this seems like it is becoming bearish in the near term - Especially when factoring in that we have yet to hear any news about contracts with the US gov and GEO.
What are yall regards opinions towards GEO? US for profit prisons seem so hot rn
Still wrong. Almost every GEO satellite in current service is 3000kg+. Even in LEO there are plenty of larger/heavier or more power spacecraft.
why is GEO going so down? shouldn’t it be going up due to all the deportations?
United Health, Raytheon, BlackRock, Chase Bank, JP Morgan, GEO Group, CoreCivic, Palantir, Apple, Nestle is a good starter pack
GEO some people consider as an “immigration stock/private prison stock”. They also conveniently seem to be set up for an increase in profits.
GEO Group. The balance sheet is fantastic and they are poised for income growth. The bad news is that they cut costs by denying healthcare to prisoners so as a result prisoners with diabetes end up going blind and needing emergency amputations.
You forgot about the impact that the mass deportations will have on the economy, but in general yeah I think you are on to something. In regards to the deportations, just watch GEO stock, if that starts to sell off then the market thinks it was a bluff and will be a non-issue.
Man, it only takes ONE twit from Trump where he mentions INTEL as a strategic company for US. Instant fomo and back to 25$+ levels. And all the clowns bashing the company will jump in head first. Look at BKKT, DJT, GEO. Fundamentals? Forget about it. It is 2024 hype trading.