JPM

Groucho-and-Harpo

I think it’s easier to look at stocks or sectors individually as opposed to the market as a whole. Healthcare stocks especially PFE and BMY are like a hummer driving through the snow. They are on bullish tracks and generally they don’t follow the day to day market trend closely. Bank stocks are the opposite. They’re the dogs wagging the market’s tail. BAC and JPM have hit both lower highs and lower lows since they peaked end of 2025. The might continue this way or do a flagpole pattern and shoot back up.

Desperate_Stretch855

Don’t listen to people who have no idea what they are talking about. Taking a salary means paying taxes- not doing some defers taxes. I’d work on getting him to focus on building a diversified portfolio of large cap and profitable companies first, before moving onto something like this. A lot of time it’s not “is this a good stock to buy?” But “is this the BEST stock for ME to buy?”. Take a look at stocks like: AVGO MSFT GOOGL BRK B MRK JPM

Otherwise-Leather237

Earnings season just started, and big financial names like JPM are already posting monster numbers. With more financials reporting over the next few weeks, the stress Jamie Dimon warned about probably won’t be the market’s main concern for now. I guess $UPST is just getting started here. I’m done trying to trade every little move here — just going to sit tight and let it play out for a few weeks.

Otherwise-Leather237

Now that earnings season has kicked off and the big financial firms like JPM are already posting monster numbers, with other financials still reporting over the next few weeks, it feels like the kind of financial stress Jamie Dimon kept warning about probably won’t become the market’s main concern *at least in the near term*. So, Yes, $UPST is just getting started here. I’m done trying to trade every little move here — just going to sit tight and let it play out for a few weeks.

kodaksdad2020

JPM collar was blown wide open

WillTheGreat

This rally was kinda expected or at least most traders following acknowledged existed once SPX blew throw JPM’s hedge collar sandwich at 6850. The gamma exposure skyrocketed, meaning dealers had to keep buying calls and buying ES to cover. The next level was 7000, and the gamma exposure massive there too and it blew past that resistance and from there it was 7025 after 7025 it was just an empty void. Short capitulation happened at 6850. I completely expect the broader market to pullback through earning season once gamma is re-established. The rally was a bit of an anomaly, the supply shock and geopolitics is not completely certain, will definitely have impact to guidance for Q3 Compound it with short covering and that’s how you got your squeeze leading up to opex(today).

Brawmethius

LOOKS LIKE BALDY ISN'T GETTING HIS STABLECOIN YIELD. Live reporting from the capital on the state of discussion. "FUCK A YOOOOOOOOOOOUUUUU" - JPM

Wowmuchrya

Off to a good start. JPM GS TSM Netflix all beat and dropped lol

iShitBloodandCumShit

NYT: Janestreet, citadel, JPM paid us to spread FUD. So Fear uncertainty and doubt is what the algos will get.

Master_External9526

both had trading-heavy beats off iran vol but JPM cut NII guide to \~$103B while citi reaffirmed. that's the actual split, not the trading mix. guidance is the only thing that moves bank stocks from here

AlaricConrad23

Now just sitting tight with 418 shares of JPM selling covered calls on it and a few lotto calls on SPX to 7400 by Monday 🤣🤣

Astronaut100

JFC. Cooked books, fake stats, insurmountable debt?! You really think big tech and other large caps like JPM and WMT have those issues? They are the market. Get a grip dude.

Ok_Cry7572

Jamie Dimon sold $JPM shares today Right on schedule Jamie said last month "It's much more important that this thing be successfully completed (Iran), than what the market does." "Now we've got to finish this thing, and finish it right."

Rare-ish_Birb

Like, when GS, JPM, MS all report record trading revenues, in the billions (the fcking billions, with a 'B'), I can't help thinkng they all just stealing it from me and you.... Party on WSB Also: SPY 700p 04/24

BetweenCoffeeNSleep

This is important to understand. Most of the retail investor space thinks about positions in a vacuum. Institutional investors frequently use multiple positions to express a thesis. Example: an investor may think, “I think that financials will roll over. If they do, JPM will fall the least. If they move up, JPM will move up the most.” They may express this by shorting XLF and buying JPM calls.

RandomC6

Its funny how brokers like JPM, GS etc switched to bullish on April 8 after already being up +8% from lows. Just gotta play the narrative I guess, so who cares. One week prior they said more escalation and ground troops is the most likely case. Basically everyone was saying ground troops haha.

filthimartini

One data center DOES NOT move the index. Options move the index. The tail wags the dog brother. The JPM collar moves the index. Peak Vega moves the index. Options positioning and VOL control / CTA price agnostic buyers can cause liquidity cascades. For your own sake turn off cnbc bro. If you don’t understand what I’m saying, put it in chat GPT. You don’t have to stay dumb. It’s a choice.

Cosmorto

I'm holding JPM calls (blood red) during this historical session...we're not the same

Future_Hyena2562

Still have some red on my red. Looking at you JPM

Far-Requirement9180

You knew it would be time to full port TSLA last week when JPM downgraded it Lmaoooooooooo

Refrading

Price is the story. SP500 coupled with predcitio markets tells you the market has completely moved on from the Iran conflict. JPM told us this week, no change in any consumer behavior. We are back to the same market we had in January. Massive AI capex, AI replacement risk for software, investors looking carefully for CAPEX ROI from AI spend etc. It’s a great setup for a bull market.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Stocks are so pumped up that no matter how good earnings they are dump anyways. GS, JPM, ASML all dumped originally on earnings (then recovered later). Makes me wonder if we are just gonna dump hard this earnings season.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Everything has been dumping on earnings. GS, JPM, ASML. They all bounced after but initially dumped.

Specialist_Exam_8433

We're going to dump on earnings this time. GS, JPM both dumped despite big beats AND in the midst of the greatest 2 week bull runs in history. If that level of euphoria isn't enough then idk. Earnings will be sell the news.

iShitBloodandCumShit

Heavy AF put OI for June/july, today Griffin was crying about how there was supposed to be a recession due to whoremoans being closed. Gave off major “sold the dip” vibes. Plus JPM and others had huge bearish positions.

wrongrobertpatrick

We don’t know Markets are forward looking JPM collar forces buying If oil drops significantly, then not a bull trap Positioning unwind is my guess Options expire Thursday and Friday We’ll know more by then

iShitBloodandCumShit

I for one, would be extremely sad if JPM, Citadel, Jane street, Michelle Dickburriedinass, and others got squeezed and hit by a bus.

iShitBloodandCumShit

So, JPM and citadel are fucked. How heartbreaking. Hope Jane street is next.

CatsBy6969

Is the JPM collar free money?

Competitive_Corgi_12

Front-month (CL/Brent 1st) can be down even with SoH traffic \~-90% because the marginal price-setter in the prompt contract right now is “probability + timing of normalization,” not today’s physical scarcity. 1) Paper is pricing a non-zero “deal / reopening” path, and it’s very headline-sensitive The last 1–2 weeks have repeatedly seen: rallies on escalation/blockade headlines, then sharp givebacks on “talks could resume / Iran wants a deal” type remarks (see ANZ 4/14: WTI gave up gains late after Trump said Iran wants to “work a deal”). That optionality compresses the front month most, because it’s the contract most exposed to “reopen next week vs next month.” 2) stress is in physical contracts 3) Buffers + policy flow (SPR) mute flat price, even as the system is stressed The market entered with buffers; SPR releases and “oil on water” delivered in March bought time (MS 3/30; “oil at sea” depletion dynamics also discussed in JPM 3/27 and the 3/17 note). 4) Demand destruction / macro-risk is being pulled forward into the prompt barrel With refinery run cuts in Asia due to crude availability (MS 3/30: +2–2.5 mb/d Asia refining curtailed; JPM notes runs down materially), the immediate crude bid can soften even while products blow out. 5) Microstructure/positioning: de-risking and vol control often hits the front first When vol spikes, systematic de-leveraging and discretionary risk reduction tend to sell the most liquid point (front month) even if the fundamental story is bullish. (General market microstructure; not explicitly in docs.) Net: the tape is effectively saying “yes, the physical situation is ugly, but we’re trading the distribution of outcomes.” If the market’s implied path shifts even slightly toward “talks resume / partial reopening / workaround flows (Fujairah/Yanbu/Iran exports) continue,” front month sells off hardest even though SoH traffic is still massively impaired.

mixtape312

Most brutal short squeeze of all time. Easy when you have an infinite money account funded by the Fed, JPM, and GS.

PurpleReign123

Shhh! You’re not supposed to write any articles that may impact negatively on the stock market! JPM and MS have a bigly IPO to sell to you in a couple of months … Please delete this post /s

Comfortable-Boss7382

Lmao this guy's portfolio probably consists entirely of SPY calls and GME shares The Iran-US war angle is wild though - pretty sure that's not happening in any timeline where JPM is still giving 2026 guidance

PurpleReign123

Reminder: https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/s/Z8Y4TMDp4n JPM and MS want **you** to buy stocks!

iamwhiskerbiscuit

There is no fundamental reason for the price action we've been seeing. The jobs market is shit. We're experiencing severe inflationary pressure on our economy. And we're teetering on the edge of recession. The presidents working group on financial markets allows price collusion amongst the Fed, the Treasury, the CFTC and major investment banks like Schwab and JPM. Normally it's only supposed to be activated during economic downturns to ensure timely market recoveries. Through a mechanism that demands essentially zero oversight. But I'm this case, it appears to be nothing more than pure market manipulation. And I'm guessing there was an outlay where the Fed and Treasury lost funding to pump the market explaining the sudden severe volatility... Then more recently, the funding went through and they're back at it.

Hot_Astronomer762

ASTS gonna fall and JPM +4% 🙏🙏🙏

Hot_Astronomer762

Is JPM gonna pump this morning? Is ASTS gonna crash?

FarrisAT

Solid bank earnings as expected. Assuming JPM & Citi & WFC all print similar EPS for the rest of the year, they trade at 13x, 11x, and 12.5x respectively.

Sean_VasDeferens

JPM knocks it out of the park, so naturally they're down 3%.

Specialist_Exam_8433

JPM tanking. Market going to sell off today and use Dimon hawkish commentary as excuse.

TJMBeav

Are you ready for $JPM Earnings?

mattyhtown

They manage trillions. Do i believe he knew something or heard something was fishy? Ya. Did he know what was going on? Probably not. Idk exactly and I’m not defending JPM investments from a moral perspective. Their banking is another matter and again it’s hard to know how much crossover there was really. This is an establishment that has given loans to people who do horrible things. I’m not gonna section 130 bankers or financiers but you’d need smoking gun of a transaction or that he was even in charge of those accounts.

Largeshmarge

7:23pm and spy still moving up. Jamie Dimon is going to give us all stimmie checks after JPM earnings so we can buy fancy OXO kitchen gadgets

prana_fish

I'm not complaining about bullish action, but my fucking god people need to stop talking about the JPM collar like it matters when it's so far dated at this point. All this from a 17 day account as well.

Hot_Astronomer762

ASTS puts and JPM calls 😩😩

garden_speech

That is definitely what happened and it's also fucking stupid. Retail does not have the money to give the ultra wealthy, which own most of the stock market, liquidity to exit their positions en masse lol. Retail could probably absorb an absolutely tiny fraction of the positions massive institutions hold before running out of money. And what's more, most retail buying is just retirement funds being DCA'd, so the fraction of """exit liquidity""" the institutions could get from retail traders who would actually be buying in excess of their usual buys, because they saw a news article, is genuinely negligible. I don't know if this sub is just teenagers or what now, but the takes on here are so fucking stupid. No, JPM does not want you to hold their bag. You literally can't.

WillTheGreat

Easiest play, buy puts tonight. Get out tomorrow. SPX getting pinned at top of JPM's hedge equity collar at 6850 right now. If market moves with strength over that today. I would've said 700+ easy within this quarter. However, volume is literally dying at these levels.

No-Improvement3164

Apparently the JPM Collar is all that really matters. The War is noise. 😂

S-Club-Party

Companies like Apple and WMT and JPM are gonna be able to make money no matter what situation we are in

The_BakedCrusader

JPM, Goldman, and BlackRock all want to convince you that it's a great time to buy. The war is over, profits will be high, the rally will continue, yet volume has been piss poor the past week. They need retail to come out from the sidelines and pump everything for them so they have a good position to sell.

wrongrobertpatrick

Listen to Morgan Stanley and JPM and keep on buying tech rn

astromouse2024

Oh cmon, pumping on not good news with JPM and friends saying to load up on more shares lol

PurpleReign123

Banks are working to rush out three humongous IPOs this year, ie - SpaceX; - OpenAI; and - Anthropic And guess which are the banks with lead roles in these giant IPOs? No prizes: **JPM, MS & GS!!!** Ladies and Gentlemen…. *Stocks are good buys now! We need you to buy, buy, buy … till we tell you goodbye*

AcademicStandard3701

JPM Going CRAZY. 🤑 🤑

Historical_Air_8997

Eh that would be short term thinking, JPM has $350B in cash, say they invested 100% of that and got a 20% return, that’s $70B. But JPM has $4.5T in AUM. It’s objectively better for them to keep investors in the market and performing well. If investors pull out 20% of their funds, that’s a hit of $1-10B ($1b would be assuming a 0.1% fee on AUM and 10B ish typical 1%, but I’m sure it’s somewhere in the middle). That’s all annual fees they would get. Now if investors are bullish and put in an additional 10% then market performance pushes it up 20%, then they’re getting an extra $1.35-13.5B in management fees a year. Keep in mind this is essentially risk free very high margin income for them. Earning money off *other* people’s money instead of risking their own. So yeah the 1-2 year benefit, assuming they’re not bs’ing and the market actually performs well, is in their favor. But the 3+ year benefit of bullish investors making more in the market and using their platform/funds is wayyy better.

CLYDEFR000G

You had me until you hit us with the - Ai pump bot from JPM

Fhyzikz

JPM urging people to "buy the dip" is an extremely bearish signal. I will dca put leaps until I'm out of money

Nick_Gilberts_Bowtie

Ok guy who works for JPM lol

isolated-cat

JPM, Morgan Stanley and BOFA coming out at the same time to announce "buy the dip" and "market positioned for deescalation trade" is SO sus

WillTheGreat

We’re also top of JPM’s collar. So it makes sense that they expect a V if we break the top.

WillTheGreat

Kinda tempted to buy puts at these levels just because both JPM and MS calling retail investors to buy the dip and suggesting a V shape recovery. Tells me there one more rug pull before the next leg up

BagHoldersOfAmerica

JPM says now is a good time to buy according to investing.com 🤔

Nick_Gilberts_Bowtie

JPM says buy the dip is hilarious

Extension-Ad917

Morgan Stanley and JPM telling us to buy the dip. I think it might be over

Specialist_Exam_8433

JPM is going to suffer the same fate as GS on earnings and dump tmrw morning. Dimon's hawkish commentary on the war will tank the markets, 🥭 will panic and announce the 🌮 after hours on Tuesday.

Interesting-Bite-468

$NOW - 260$ price target.. over at JPM [https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428](https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428)

trust_it_bb

Half the spacs i was in are bankrupt despite JPM giving them $30 or whatever PT.

Interesting-Bite-468

Service. The time is $NOW. Even Bear Michael Burry says so. JPM price target at 260$. 52 week low. RSI at 22. At the very least, a dead cat bounce is coming. [https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/savingandinvesting/michael-burry-says-market-at-peak-ai-threat-flags-intu-now-as-software-plays-worth-watching/ar-AA1ZZ6iT?apiversion=v2&domshim=1&noservercache=1&noservertelemetry=1&batchservertelemetry=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1](https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/savingandinvesting/michael-burry-says-market-at-peak-ai-threat-flags-intu-now-as-software-plays-worth-watching/ar-AA1ZZ6iT?apiversion=v2&domshim=1&noservercache=1&noservertelemetry=1&batchservertelemetry=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1)

Specialist_Exam_8433

I personally think that this week is going to be dictated by JPM and TSM earnings more than anything Iran related. Heavyweights that are going to give the first real insight into how this war is affecting finance and semis (arguably the two most important industries in the world).

Specialist_Exam_8433

We can't go down too much today because the market needs to save room to tank on Tuesday when Jamie Dimon goes full 🐻 mode and gives hawkish commentary on JPM earnings.

systerix

depends on VIX, upcoming macro events (earnings, vixperation, triple witching, JPM collar reset etc), and personal view on macro (view on war, oil price, tariffs, inflation etc)

SelenaMeyers2024

That's the dumbest take ever. Biggest investment scam in history, therefore can't buy financial software. He primarily managed assets for clients. So I'm guessing by your logic Brookfield, JPM, goldman, blackrock, absolutely can't touch those stocks right?

TJMBeav

Everyone focused on the air raids when the biggest news will come from the $JPM conference call

BlackKnightsOptions

So fucking stupid lol GS and JPM would do better to hire us dumbasses

Specialist_Exam_8433

Who cares about Goldman lmao, market is gonna sway more on JPM on Tuesday

TJMBeav

$JPM will start it with shitty guidan e

Interesting-Bite-468

So I expect tomorrow to be a Red Day but I think $NOW and $NOWL can provide at the very least a dead cat bounce... The stock is at it's 52 week low.. RSI is at 22... all because of UBS downgrade but one analyst at JPM on same day said the new target is 260$... I'll take JPM over UBS and then, Michael Burry who keeps warning about an AI bubble and shorting PLTR, was actually considering BUYING Service Now 7 days ago but was waiting for a more attractive price entry. It's one of the only AI / SAS name that he is considering. Well guess what 15% lower than when he wanted to buy it.. I think the price is pretty attractive now... Finally the stock close the last 30 minutes really well and it gave sign of life for what has been a DISMAL 6 months... So I think even if market is Red a dead cat bounce is possible for $NOW Thoughts ?

Apple2o

How insane is it to be on 160k of JPM and GS on margin for this week

sorengard123

JPM checks most of my boxes—high institutional ownership (~70%+), strong balance sheet, and not trading at extreme multiples. Considering 20–25 delta puts into earnings, but only at a level I’d actually want to own.

AcademicStandard3701

You guys think Jamie dimon gonna crash the market Tuesday with JPM earnings. “Oil is the new cockroach.”

TJMBeav

Tuesday. $JPM guidance is going to tank the markets (unless they are already nuked).

No-Improvement3164

Free falling to 6100. JPM collar speaks

TJMBeav

JPM will be leading us lower

TJMBeav

The most important ER of this quarter will be $JPM. I have a feeling their guidance isn't very bullish.

Beelzebussin

So what’s the deal with the JPM Collar, does that shit actually matter or what? I ignored it at the end of Q1 and got fucked

No-Improvement3164

What’s this JPM Collar? Short calls sold at 6865 on SPX?

Specialist_Exam_8433

Short summary of this week: JPM is going to report cautious guidance, we drill a bit Tuesday then ignore it and pump Wednesday. TSM also reports cut guidance, drill Thursday pump Friday. Market continues to go up until semiconductor earnings come in and then goes to SPY 600.

daviongray

I'm liking GS/JPM and ASML.

Beret888

The dealers are long that call, JPM HEQX fund is short it. If the market is rigged like many think then you would think the dealers want it to blast through that call. The reality is the dealers don't care and JPM doesn't care. The reason we stopped going higher was because there's alot of sold calls above, not the calls that are 3 months away from expiry like that collar trade.... Gamma is highest ATM and and expiry so positioning expiring on Friday and next weeks etc has far more influence on price then a call thats 3 months from expiry

yuckfoubitch

JPM has a balance sheet larger than most countries GDP, FX reserves and ability to raise debt combined, so they’ll probably be fine hedging the deltas. Also they’re likely up a ton of money on the vol coming out. When you have on a collar, in market maker space we call this structure being short the risk reversal. Essentially now they’re short an ATM put spread that’s delta hedged, so they benefit from volatility decreasing and as volatility decreases they gain both Vega PnL and they derive longer delta since they’re short vanna (as vol increases they get shorter delta since the delta of the short call and long put increase, but since the short call is ATM it’s delta is capped whereas the put can increase, so if volatility comes out then the short put loses delta and they are still long the underlying against it, deriving longer delta).

Junior-Association78

It was one analyst at JPM with an astoundingly abysmal 35% success rate.

Specialist_Exam_8433

JPM and TSM earnings are going to matter more than Iran this week methinks.

Routine-Phrase457

lol😂😂😂 and you believe JPM will use open ai with ads? Or average joe will trust a hallucinating robot that suggests products?

Specialist_Exam_8433

JPM and TSM earnings will be the first two dominos to fall next week.

GammaReaper_

It seems you don't understand the "JPM collar" strategy. It's a static strategy, rolled quarterly, not dynamically managed by the JPM "guys." If anything, the other side of the trade - whomever purchased the calls written by the fund, is long gamma and should be happy about the rally

MusicoftheMarket

Well, that used to be miners for me but those very recently became "exciting" after years of being ignored. I continue to hold large positions. This isn't quite the answer since I haven't actively bought more in a bit over a month but have increased my position this year: MO Altria Group. That thing has given me marvelous dividends for years but has recently seen an unusual jump in price. I have eased off buying more but am continuing to hold. JPM used to be one of my largest positions, often my largest individual name but I have been easing off on it and have trimmed significantly. I did this due to a lager concern around credit markets more broadly and I don't like some of their exposures. I do still have some of that position however. The last one I'd put in the boring category is AGNC. That has paid well and when the market has been there I have sold some options on it as well.

maeynor

Should never have dropped in the first place. Like 15% of the world’s oil goes through there. The oil move has been overstated this whole time. The reality is AI is still expanding growth and companies with fantastic earnings q1 got absolutely whacked. We’ve been oversold and Goldman has been calling it for weeks. I only listen to GS, JPM, and Ms. nobody else is worth paying attention to. Retail saw max flows out last week and max inflows this week after 7 straight up days. Buyers are already late

Interesting-Bite-468

$NOW - DOWN 25% this week and down 10% on dumb UBS downgrade.. meanwhile JPM still has a 260$ price target.. [https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428](https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428)

waterpup99

No. I'm simply including underemployment (noted as jobs not requiring college degrees, if you went to college and are working at wendys that isn't a success) in the metric. If you Wan to call that narrative bending okay but I don't think it is. It's 42% atm not 40% btw I just couldn't remember the number. I can't speak to gs and ms I never worked at either. My connections are senior in BofA Citi and JPM and yes I have an nyc IB background as well although you're braver than me for disclosing specific employers. I use the word retard on here way too much to add that info lol. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/24/business/economy/college-graduates-job-market-hiring.html#:~:text=The%20unemployment%20rate%20for%20college%20graduates%20ages,college%20degrees%2C%20the%20highest%20level%20since%202020.

WrexyWrex

Both Citadel and JPM noting a change in the behavior of Retail over the past month... "Today’s relief rally brings confirmation that the shift in retail behavior that we have observed over the past month is persisting: retail moved from ‘buying the dip’ (e.g. this time last year), to now skipping the dips, selling into rallies, and positioning more defensively, report. Overall, retail activity remained extremely subdued this week, driven by net selling in single stocks and weak ETF purchases. Even more so today, despite oil posting its largest decline since 2020 and VIX breaking below 20, intraday retail flows showed no signs of strengthening." (JPM) "The most notable change has been a decisive rotation into puts. Over the past two weeks, total retail put activity has surged to the 99th percentile relative to all other 10-day trading periods since the start of 2020. Call activity has simultaneously fallen into the 70th percentile (in just the 13th percentile versus the past 1 year). This divergence culminated in a rare inflection point on April 2nd, when more puts than calls were traded by retail at Citadel Securities – only the sixth such occurrence in the history of our platform." (Citadel)