JPM

Sarge6

Allocate a portion of your money to the financial sector. Strong financials are gonna benefit from rising interest rates. They aren’t going to go crazy high but should increase in value. It’s a safe place to put your money with a dividend. JPM, BAC, GS, MS, and WFC are a good start,

voxpopper

I have oil stocks as well as GUSH. Also hedged with some physical, GLD, NUGT and a few miners. Problem is metals and oil are pegged to the dollar so as long as King Dollar rules it's (Not to mention the JPM of the world that spoof to drive the price down etc.) So ibonds are just there as my can't lose any principle hedge. \-And to others yes, this probably should have been posted to investing board, my bad, pretty boring over there though

kriptonicx

Everything is speculation. People invested their retirements in companies like GE expecting they were getting a fairly valued, safe stock. This idea that you're better off investing in a dinosaur company because interest rates are going up a bit isn't true and is equally reckless imo. Especially when you consider how so many of these "safe" stocks have seen something like 2-3x multiple expansion in recent years despite only having single digit growth (Apple, JPM, etc). I'm not saying go all in on a stock like SNOW, and I don't even own it myself, but putting a portion of your portfolio in a few up and coming companies operating in growing sectors of the economy with valuations that they could very reasonably grow into isn't reckless speculation... IMO that's pretty reasonable portfolio management so long as you allocate sensibly.

GypsyPhoto

JPM for right now. Tech is still to high.

Qs9bxNKZ

Sorry for the delay, and I'll caveat this with "my information is limited combined with I don't know what I'm talking about" to keep from getting into trouble. **VISA/MC/Discover/AMEX** are payment card processors making money from the transactions. We're talking 2-4% typically, which is their profit margin (and it's mostly a convenience fee that gets charged to the merchant) which reduces what I would consider upside to profit. Plus they lose money with promotions (e.g. AMEX gains through their partnership with Delta, but someone pays for the Skymiles). Would I invest? No. I'd prefer to go with a dedicated financial firm like JPM, WFB or other Fintech). **PayPal, Stripe, Square, Coin** and other tech based C2C solutions have a low threshold for entry and also high compliance threshold. When you go global, you encounter problems with compliance in foreign countries (or risk being blocked). Would I invest? Depends PayPal? No. There are no strong moats protecting them even as they continue to buy companies (e.g. Venmo), versus WFB rolling out Zelle. About 10-years back I sent a message to the CTO of PayPal telling him to make the move towards becoming a financial institution. This would allow them to hold money, and to trade in a variety of other assets (e.g. equities or BTC before anyone really was into it). It was ignored, but the compliance hoops covering this would have taken years and put them into a stronger position than today. But for C2C payments? No moat plus other countries (EU) use wire transfers or (China) Alipay. Walmart and Western Union still transfer billions due to remittances sent to countries like Mexico from the US, taking a cut. But direct payments to someone's bank is equally as easy if you know how to shop. For example, there's a new UK based company called wise (wise.com) which allows you to hold and send money internationally even, with very good arbitrage rates and the cheapest cost to transfer money. They lay out why and how they're the best which makes it easier for people to see how much they can save by transferring money through them. Would I invest in them? Yes. **Adyen and other payments processors for C2B** ... it's a struggle for many companies and I'll use eBay as an example. They had the source code prior to their split with PayPal back in 2015 (and a contractual limit as to how soon they could enter the payments space) and still have been unable to fully deploy a payments solution on their back-end, utilizing Adyen. Companies like FB and GOOG try to create their own wallet and poaching people from different companies because it really is a challenge. Would I invest? Yes, once they're embedded with a platform.

deadjawa

One thing I’ve found about stock market trading in the US especially is that people are heavily influenced by “CNBC thought.” What are the hallmarks of this? * They read booms written in the golden age of bond (1940s-1980s) investing like “the intelligent investor.” * They worship capital allocators like Warren Buffet vs business creators * They heavily weight what hedge fund managers say in public settings What they don’t take into account is that people like buffet or Dalio or Simonds are a unique thing throughout history. Historically, in the US the richest people have always been business creators - not strictly investors or fund managers (Vanderbilt, JPM, Carnegie, etc). But post WW2 high interest rate environments created unique financial environment where huge amounts of money could be created by compounding money. People who really focus on CNBC though focus so much on this long-gone golden age that they can’t comprehend what’s happening in the market today where the biggest winners are business creators - not financial engineers. And that is why there’s so much drama out there about fed watching. A hedge fund golden age can only be created if rates go way back up again.

ThtsWhtImNt

VZ - good quarter, drops on low value after JPM downgrade, though DB, GS increased prices targets. Seems fishy.

aloahnoah

WFC benefits the most from high interest rates if you want to hedge your tech, if you just want a quality bank maybe JPM or GS

Valvoss1

We get this pattern on a regular basis on Silver. Almost like JPM is sending us a message

nassy7

>JPM Global Macro Opportunities This looks pretty interesting, thanks!

Gary_s_1982

There’s a fund called JPM Global Macro Opportunities that barely registered a blip. I think they take a long/short strategy to minimise risk relating to market conditions. And to be clear, this isn’t a boring low growth fund. It has grown nearly 35% over 5 years.

MikeJamesBurry

Why you have 13 Holdings? You must sell one, or buy one more stock. Secondly, if I were you I would add some Stocks like JPM, JNJ, UNH, PG, XOM, INTC, PEP,

KingSurfer2001

Remember 3 weeks ago when JPM recommended buying the dip. That went well.

porchpisser

True. Everything you said. They dont heavily rely on tech but def use it for day to day tasks. JPM/ABR get some of my money but thats only as far as i am willing to take my real estate investments not including my house and other two land properties i own or i should say make payments on.

porchpisser

oh for sure. Real estate relies on it these days.. 10% of my portfolio is JPM/ABR/XOM. Rest is tech/health, heavy on NVDA/AAPL/JNJ/ABBV/MSFT.

SoulReaper850

So, 206 staff at JPM vs 4.54 million apes. Which one is the smart money and which is the dumb?

Emotional-Coffee13

Cuz the same people who collapsed the global economy were given trillions on a promise not 2 do it again. Cuz policy is more loop hole than policy & b cuz the same debts & crimes were kicked down the decade ++++ they should’ve changed shit but instead we got covid & boom more trillions out of thin air for the same people who have longer rap sheets than most in jails. Look at JPM 5 felonies - google bank cartel & boom they r caught in some scandal often. The lending & borrowing of what doesn’t exist our options mrkt - 2 much 2 list

ilai_reddead

This isn't a good argument mainly because of two reasons. One talent being shuffled around in the corparate world is very, very common for example Lehman brothers was able to hire many very smart people away from competitors in 2008, that didn't make them a good investment, or more recently Peletons CFO is a former JPM MD and worked at high positions in Morgan Stanley's equities division, the fact she works at peleton doesn't make it a good investment. They could be living for many reasons, one of which is a higher pay package and a higher role at said company.

Bigcat1148

It cracks me up when JPM says we can go 10% lower potentially. It’s like what do you mean? You and your 5 cronies either all decided to sell 10% or you didn’t.

Gressi0

Waiting for JPM to hit the 120s, some AAPL and maybe Intc idk how tomorrow goes.

Vaselinee

What do you think about JPM ? The pe is 9. Why is it cheap ?

hardcore_softie

I love how pre earnings, JPM said to buy the dip, then the dip just kept on dipping and JPM missed earnings and kept dipping too. Morgan Stanley analysts might be better than JPM

y90210

They got approval to be a bank. >I'm loaded with BAC, JPM, HSBC, C, COF. Why those? I honestly don't know. Is SOFI a bank yet?

Infinite_Prize287

I'm loaded with BAC, JPM, HSBC, C, COF. Why those? I honestly don't know. Is SOFI a bank yet?

melvincaneatmyshorts

Let’s go to JPM for more on the topic

ChairPowellman

if JPM Bloomberg and those vampires really bought the dip yesterday this is where they get fucked and by them getting fucked I mean we get fucked and by we I mean the US economy Welcome to GFC^(2)

RonDiDon

NFLX +60%, MSFT +30%, AMZN +45%, GOOGL +32% and JPM +28% are my 1yr anticipations from yesterday's lows when I bought. And for that reason I am optimistic that I *could* see 50% gains. Could be less could be more.

pennystockplayer

My prediction (for what its worth). All the big firms came out with ridiculous predictions about the fed action this week (JPM said 7 rate hikes this year lol) so when the fed comes out with actions much more dovish than that the market will rip higher.

ChairPowellman

can't wait for JPM and pals to be like retail sold *again* right before stocks rebounded 🤡

realister

Never follow retail traders guys. They are always buying at the top and panic selling at the bottom. According to JPM institutional investors have buying up all the retail panic dips. These past few days. Just watch, retail will start to FOMO back in close to all time high again after waiting on sidelines 90% of the recovery pump.

realister

Dumb retail is dumping while whale institutions are scooping up everything for cheap. This is poetry JPM was right yesterday. You are done bears see you in another 12 years maybe.

TTTTsixandtwo

JPM won't benefit from rate hikes as much as $WFC and $BAC. If that is your thesis, then you might want to rotate.

beefcake_123

I'm holding my JPM shares.

exidis527

Should I sell JPM or hold because of interest rates?

BandicootCorrect9864

At the same time [the deep was exaggerated ](http://"Le plongeon des bourses est exagéré selon JPM, qui anticipe des bénéfices rassurants" https://fr.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/le-plongeon-des-bourses-est-exagere-selon-jpm-qui-anticipe-des-benefices-rassurants-2065654)

thejoker4059

It's a JPM and BRK world imo

Due-History517

364. SPY says Bye bye JPM

realister

Institutions are buying according to JPM this means JPOW will save the market tomorrow load up on calls

2sexy_4myshirt

MSFT, V, JPM, HON, FB are some of the names i like here. I think NVDA can still move down.

sixscreamingbirds

I think large cap growth is mistly dangerous af right now. Value and small cap is the way preferably both. I like BGFV a boring sporting goods retailer with a low P/E and a solid balance sheet. Small cap. I like BRK.B a great value play from the great value guy. Also GS and JPM. Only growth stock I'm touching now is GGPI because I like the projected market cap and the car - Polestar.

GypsyPhoto

JPM

Blahblah_Yadayada

Add BOA GS and JPM to the list

mulemoment

The fed "changed sentiment" [in November](https://money.yahoo.com/fed-chairman-jerome-powell-retires-the-word-transitory-in-describing-inflation-162510896.html). Then we made a new ATH. I agree with your thesis that the structure of the market started crumbling back then and created technicals that allowed for this kind of harsh selling now. But I disagree that TA had nothing to do with it... it also doesn't make any fundamental sense. If your thesis is that everyone started selling because they're scared of ERs and FOMC, and the major ERs so far have been bad (JPM, GS, NFLX)... then why would they wake up on a random Monday and start buying? Why wouldn't they wait for the ERs and FOMC to either confirm or deny their fundamental thesis?

RonDiDon

NFLX +60%, MSFT +30%, AMZN +45%, GOOGL +32% and JPM +28% is my 1yr anticipation from today's lows.

Pooh_Shmoo

So, I'm institution now. Thanks for the recognition JPM

Sapere_aude75

Excited for my RIVN, QQQ, and SPY puts. Not so excited for my new IWM, VTV, RSP, JPM, AMD, XLF, and TSCO calls/shares

DB_Dutch

Thanks u/RonDiDon. I wasn’t expecting such a heavy trading fee from EJ, so I may have to switch that up eventually. Next stuff I am looking at are Amazon, Chevron, JNJ, JPM, Raytheon, Caterpillar. Basically looking for dividends or something that’s just on a fire sale. Also considering putting $20k of my banked cash into I-bonds because it’s going to ensure me more than $12 per month in interest. Has some non-liquidity issues though, anyone have thoughts on that?

AyyMG63

What? lol. It’s a supply side inflation issue. . Raising rates too much will throw us into a recession. Stop reading JPM who are sour about their stock loss saying 7+ hikes lol.

jrebney

Also JPM had data out midday day that retail massively sold in the morning when the market tanked. Sooner or later the smart money will start aggressively buying when retail hits peak “omg it’s 2008 all over again” panic, just like how individual investors panic sold the crash in March 2020 and people like Ackman made a killing. No one knows when the market will turn back up but when it does it will be fast and retail will be the ones with the rug pulled out from under them. In conclusion: unless you think this is a historically bad disaster bear market (it’s not) trying to time the perfect time to buy is a fool’s game. DCA into positions you find attractive and chill.

5999s

JPM analyst says institutional bought for the day, yet DIX says institutional sold for the day JPM analyst is a stinking liar? or are bears fuked

zg44

JPM and Bloomberg trying to push this story that retail panic sold early in the morning to the tune of $1.36 billion. And I'm like "uh markets lost $2 trillion in value in the first 4 hours"; volume on SPY alone today was worth $110 billion; volume on QQQ was $70 billion. Like yeah sure some retail panic sold and panic bought today, but this was an institutional story. Big money moved a lot today. 252 million shares of SPY traded today, QQQ saw 200 million volume; we saw crash-like spikes in volume everywhere. Was basically March 2020 levels of volume. That's not retail.

JackoPubs

From my perspective, the action made a lot of sense. Pre-market seemed like a liquidation event (not too surprising after Friday). This scared retail, and they capitulated HARD--JPM and Bloomberg both had articles about it. Once Retail drove price down, funds and dealers stepped in and started buying (which typically happens after Opex anyway). With the negative GEX, the directional move fed on itself.

ilai_reddead

Okay first of all markets move irrationally almost all the time a perfectly rational market is not just rare but expecting one is just stupid. Markets are also heavily automated now driven by algos and machines, this causes markets to behave differently than they would have 10 years ago, however extreme volitility and price drops cant be attributed to this, remeber the 1987 crash happend without algos at all. As for today's specific situation it is to early to tell however JPM has compiled some data and found a huge ammount of retail outflows this morning, which for sure put pressure on the market, I'm sure this isn't the only reason however, that selling pressure could have caused a chain reaction in algos that drove us lower this morning, it's impossible to know 100% but I think its important to remeber that markets get really volatile & crazy during downturns, so this price action while amazing to watch isn't unexpected per se.

ChairPowellman

it started this morning and even JPM is running headline with it now seems sus, like they want us to believe this is the bottom

ChairPowellman

If I was JPM and about to be caught holding bags I would say something similar rule #1 in this business: don't trust any entity that has a conflict of interest

Cnastydawg

> JPM retail flow tracker: near record retail capitulation before institutional buying stepped in. Lmfaoo gg t4p

Embarrassed_Fennel_1

Made more money gambling haha. Yea I fully intend to drop some big bucks into more JPM and BCRX when the time is right. I’m up another 50% on some SQQQ puts. Got a big shit eating grin right now tbh. I’m heeding your advice though, only gambling with profits from previous gambles, and not even all the profits. I’ve lost all my money on options before and now that I’m more independent i can’t afford that happening again. Im excited so I just can’t help telling someone.

dismal__quote

earnings are in a month. they may not go that low, but I wouldn't mind passing for now in that case. 330 would bring it to a 2% dividend yield. if it's less than 2% I would focus on building up my other positions that have better yields (TROW and JPM)

zxc123zxc123

This. Selling (and shorting) is a necessary and important part of how the market functions. People might not remember to times before the Melvin/Citadel/UnnamedGamingRetailerLovers beef. But the short selling hedgers were actually the less-evil guys on wall street. The big banks (BAC/JPM/C/GS) and mega whales (Vanguard/BLK/SStreet) were the evil ones who bet to big and caused the financial crisis while their CEOs got out with golden parachutes. The shorts were analysis based and often looked for corruption/fakes. There were also those that just shorted bad companies which hastened their timelines to change or close. Just like how LK (now LKNCY) got exposed for faking sales/revenue. Do you think those analysts just do that shit for free? Why aren't r/investing, WSB, the government, JPM, or Blackrock doing it for free? Everyone on wall street is there for the money. That said. Certain hedges like Melvin took it overboard and paid for it. Pigs get slaughtered whether your big or small. That doesn't mean being a bear, selling, or shorting itself is the problem.

SergioVamos

Should I sell my thousand pound index fund and dump into Nio or JPM ? I already have a stock portfolio but want to adds more

DiorIsHome

Anybode working at JPM that doesnt know about a $10b broker should be fired lmao

exidis527

I don’t even think JPM knows what Robinhood is

ajrmz

JPM has absolutely no interest in the small retail client business from robinhood

DiorIsHome

$50 bucks says either Apple or JPM buy Robinhood this week

Blahblah_Yadayada

BAC, JPM, GS all seem a bit over valued imo 🤑

jacob62497

Lol he told me one of the advisors just bought another 300k of JPM for a client at 167 right before the drop

SwetzAurus

if you're not buying banks, particularly JPM, wtf are you doing?

The_Weekend_DOW

Goldman Sachs are the bear gods. When we were near ATH, they out out a note saying tech overvalued. Meanwhile, JPM and others put out statements saying to buy. Goldman now saying we could get five rate hikes. Thank you, Mr. Goldman

Bamboo_MS21

JPM said buy the dip 3 weeks ago. They legit told they were going to fuck us.

webulltrade

Wouldn't JPM or GS be better? Those have been dropping a lot. XLF moves at a snail's pace.

webulltrade

Seems like inverse index ETFs would be a better hedge. Looking at the history of gold, it's kinda crap. Gold/silver bulls will say it's due to banks like JPM manipulating prices but weak returns is still weak returns. Internet money has high risk and crazy volatile but also has much higher rewards.

sincitygames

MeetKevin said tonight his trade is to rotate into small caps including some despacs, because he thinks they are too heavily shorted. He's saying it will be biggest short squeeze ever. JPM said the same thing in December...

bestkoreaa

8425 glorious pages of JPM's silver (custodian of SLV) bullion holdings as of yesterday: https://emea-markets.jpmorgan.com/metalicsWebAppJanus/publicUnauthenticated/BONY_SLV.pdf

bestkoreaa

Can we meme PSLV again? Give JPM a little boink

BlackDahliaMuckduck

Bullish on JPM lol

lookingatstocks

Well according to them (JPM/Goldman) the fed meeting will not have any further “hawkish developments” and everything bounces from everyone realizing the overreaction of Ukraine/NFLX earnings. That’s what they claim though, I personally agree, however I am very aware they could just be shilling for a bigger dip this week. However in my experience these big banks are correct when they first announce things, and I have made a lot of money from playing on their side. I am prepared for both sides though and do have a plan for either side, I am just leaning more bullish

ThatKarmaWhore

You only have to make that (I made more than that) when you are an analyst for a couple years. I did mine at JPM. After you get a specialized enough skillset you should be making at least $70k+ as an associate just a few years out. A lot more if you are in a high CoL area. I make much much more than that at 10 years out.

brook__trout

The year is 2050, JPow is reassuring everyone that the recent 150% CPI print is due to bandwidth shortages in the metaverse, virtual land is selling for 5 trillion a square foot, interest rates have yet to move from their 2022 levels, JPM forecasting 120 billion 0.25bps rate hikes a month, 10yr treasury chillin at 1.77%

Phoenix_Heat

Well he posted screenshots of the sales on his JPM

BlackDahliaMuckduck

They ask for cash, he doesn't have cash. Forced to re reduce his position, selling at a loss. Gets discouraged. Sells everything fearing the pain will continue. JPM made a nice profit off of him in all likelihood.

ToHellWitheShorts

No one is forcing you to buy his picks. And no one picks perfect winners all the time. He has been very right telling everyone to stick with GOOG , Applle, Nvidia, MS, Ford, JPM. The majority of his portfolio is solid and the companies pay dividends. AMC and GME arre a joke and will decline even more. If I had to chose his portfolio vs Cathy Woods. I’d take the chills picks any day of the week. He also admits when he’s wrong. DIS is a perfect example. Everyone has been wrong with DIS. It’s time that you 35 year olds and under know what a real Bear market is because what you have seen since 2009 ( a market that only goes up) is NOT normal and it is ending, and it will take 5 to 10 years to recover your losses. You are fucked! So get get a job bitches and save your money in cash. Invest only what you are willing to lose.

Engineerxd

JPM > Paypal > SQ/SHOP

robogarbage

I agree squeezes are rare, when everyone was obsessing over finding high short interest I told them not to bother, hedgies aren't stupid and they saw GME. On how commodities are traded/handled, do you mean where I talked about the guy who counts bars? Yes I just made that up, I don't know how that works. But the conspiracy theory (and I don't use the term derisively) is that JPM holds tons of physical and manipulates the market and if they're ever caught short they can just fudge it and promise the same bar to two people, knowing it's unlikely they'll both actually take delivery. My point was that they would have a hard time getting away with it, and/or wouldn't take the risk.

RandyMacLahey

We had two shares of Tilray, seventy-five shares of JPM, five sheets of high powered TSLA puts, a salt shaker half full of dogecoin, and a whole galaxy of multi-colored SPACs, IPOs, options, ETFs... and also a quart of GME, a quart of AMC, a case of BABA, a pint of raw Ethereum and two dozen crayons. Not that we needed all that for the trip, but once you get locked into some serious margin, the tendency is to push it as far as you can.

fatezeroking

I know you were trying to be funny... but you're dealing with a pro managing a $10 billion portfolio. A bond trader, who's entire career is to follow interest rates. Now, with that said, the FED is a bunch of idiots. They will raise a minimum 100bps in 2022. The market is projecting 4 rate hikes, this is reflected in FED fund futures. [https://i.imgur.com/dy6EAkf.jpg](https://i.imgur.com/dy6EAkf.jpg) JPM 6 - 7 hikes [https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jp-morgan-ceo-projects-up-to-seven-rate-hikes-in-2022-172427525.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jp-morgan-ceo-projects-up-to-seven-rate-hikes-in-2022-172427525.html) Ex Fed Chair 4 - 5 hikes [https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2022-01-10/dudley-fed-may-need-four-or-five-rate-hikes-this-year-video](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2022-01-10/dudley-fed-may-need-four-or-five-rate-hikes-this-year-video) ​ Do you understand why they need to raise rates? When you understand how they came up with 3 rate hikes, you'll understand why they will need to do more than 3 in 2022.