JPM

Specialist_Exam_8433

Stocks are so pumped up that no matter how good earnings they are dump anyways. GS, JPM, ASML all dumped originally on earnings (then recovered later). Makes me wonder if we are just gonna dump hard this earnings season.

Specialist_Exam_8433

Everything has been dumping on earnings. GS, JPM, ASML. They all bounced after but initially dumped.

Specialist_Exam_8433

We're going to dump on earnings this time. GS, JPM both dumped despite big beats AND in the midst of the greatest 2 week bull runs in history. If that level of euphoria isn't enough then idk. Earnings will be sell the news.

iShitBloodandCumShit

Heavy AF put OI for June/july, today Griffin was crying about how there was supposed to be a recession due to whoremoans being closed. Gave off major “sold the dip” vibes. Plus JPM and others had huge bearish positions.

wrongrobertpatrick

We don’t know Markets are forward looking JPM collar forces buying If oil drops significantly, then not a bull trap Positioning unwind is my guess Options expire Thursday and Friday We’ll know more by then

iShitBloodandCumShit

I for one, would be extremely sad if JPM, Citadel, Jane street, Michelle Dickburriedinass, and others got squeezed and hit by a bus.

iShitBloodandCumShit

So, JPM and citadel are fucked. How heartbreaking. Hope Jane street is next.

CatsBy6969

Is the JPM collar free money?

Competitive_Corgi_12

Front-month (CL/Brent 1st) can be down even with SoH traffic \~-90% because the marginal price-setter in the prompt contract right now is “probability + timing of normalization,” not today’s physical scarcity. 1) Paper is pricing a non-zero “deal / reopening” path, and it’s very headline-sensitive The last 1–2 weeks have repeatedly seen: rallies on escalation/blockade headlines, then sharp givebacks on “talks could resume / Iran wants a deal” type remarks (see ANZ 4/14: WTI gave up gains late after Trump said Iran wants to “work a deal”). That optionality compresses the front month most, because it’s the contract most exposed to “reopen next week vs next month.” 2) stress is in physical contracts 3) Buffers + policy flow (SPR) mute flat price, even as the system is stressed The market entered with buffers; SPR releases and “oil on water” delivered in March bought time (MS 3/30; “oil at sea” depletion dynamics also discussed in JPM 3/27 and the 3/17 note). 4) Demand destruction / macro-risk is being pulled forward into the prompt barrel With refinery run cuts in Asia due to crude availability (MS 3/30: +2–2.5 mb/d Asia refining curtailed; JPM notes runs down materially), the immediate crude bid can soften even while products blow out. 5) Microstructure/positioning: de-risking and vol control often hits the front first When vol spikes, systematic de-leveraging and discretionary risk reduction tend to sell the most liquid point (front month) even if the fundamental story is bullish. (General market microstructure; not explicitly in docs.) Net: the tape is effectively saying “yes, the physical situation is ugly, but we’re trading the distribution of outcomes.” If the market’s implied path shifts even slightly toward “talks resume / partial reopening / workaround flows (Fujairah/Yanbu/Iran exports) continue,” front month sells off hardest even though SoH traffic is still massively impaired.

mixtape312

Most brutal short squeeze of all time. Easy when you have an infinite money account funded by the Fed, JPM, and GS.

PurpleReign123

Shhh! You’re not supposed to write any articles that may impact negatively on the stock market! JPM and MS have a bigly IPO to sell to you in a couple of months … Please delete this post /s

Comfortable-Boss7382

Lmao this guy's portfolio probably consists entirely of SPY calls and GME shares The Iran-US war angle is wild though - pretty sure that's not happening in any timeline where JPM is still giving 2026 guidance

PurpleReign123

Reminder: https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/s/Z8Y4TMDp4n JPM and MS want **you** to buy stocks!

iamwhiskerbiscuit

There is no fundamental reason for the price action we've been seeing. The jobs market is shit. We're experiencing severe inflationary pressure on our economy. And we're teetering on the edge of recession. The presidents working group on financial markets allows price collusion amongst the Fed, the Treasury, the CFTC and major investment banks like Schwab and JPM. Normally it's only supposed to be activated during economic downturns to ensure timely market recoveries. Through a mechanism that demands essentially zero oversight. But I'm this case, it appears to be nothing more than pure market manipulation. And I'm guessing there was an outlay where the Fed and Treasury lost funding to pump the market explaining the sudden severe volatility... Then more recently, the funding went through and they're back at it.

Hot_Astronomer762

ASTS gonna fall and JPM +4% 🙏🙏🙏

Hot_Astronomer762

Is JPM gonna pump this morning? Is ASTS gonna crash?

FarrisAT

Solid bank earnings as expected. Assuming JPM & Citi & WFC all print similar EPS for the rest of the year, they trade at 13x, 11x, and 12.5x respectively.

Sean_VasDeferens

JPM knocks it out of the park, so naturally they're down 3%.

Specialist_Exam_8433

JPM tanking. Market going to sell off today and use Dimon hawkish commentary as excuse.

TJMBeav

Are you ready for $JPM Earnings?

mattyhtown

They manage trillions. Do i believe he knew something or heard something was fishy? Ya. Did he know what was going on? Probably not. Idk exactly and I’m not defending JPM investments from a moral perspective. Their banking is another matter and again it’s hard to know how much crossover there was really. This is an establishment that has given loans to people who do horrible things. I’m not gonna section 130 bankers or financiers but you’d need smoking gun of a transaction or that he was even in charge of those accounts.

Largeshmarge

7:23pm and spy still moving up. Jamie Dimon is going to give us all stimmie checks after JPM earnings so we can buy fancy OXO kitchen gadgets

prana_fish

I'm not complaining about bullish action, but my fucking god people need to stop talking about the JPM collar like it matters when it's so far dated at this point. All this from a 17 day account as well.

Hot_Astronomer762

ASTS puts and JPM calls 😩😩

garden_speech

That is definitely what happened and it's also fucking stupid. Retail does not have the money to give the ultra wealthy, which own most of the stock market, liquidity to exit their positions en masse lol. Retail could probably absorb an absolutely tiny fraction of the positions massive institutions hold before running out of money. And what's more, most retail buying is just retirement funds being DCA'd, so the fraction of """exit liquidity""" the institutions could get from retail traders who would actually be buying in excess of their usual buys, because they saw a news article, is genuinely negligible. I don't know if this sub is just teenagers or what now, but the takes on here are so fucking stupid. No, JPM does not want you to hold their bag. You literally can't.

WillTheGreat

Easiest play, buy puts tonight. Get out tomorrow. SPX getting pinned at top of JPM's hedge equity collar at 6850 right now. If market moves with strength over that today. I would've said 700+ easy within this quarter. However, volume is literally dying at these levels.

No-Improvement3164

Apparently the JPM Collar is all that really matters. The War is noise. 😂

S-Club-Party

Companies like Apple and WMT and JPM are gonna be able to make money no matter what situation we are in

The_BakedCrusader

JPM, Goldman, and BlackRock all want to convince you that it's a great time to buy. The war is over, profits will be high, the rally will continue, yet volume has been piss poor the past week. They need retail to come out from the sidelines and pump everything for them so they have a good position to sell.

wrongrobertpatrick

Listen to Morgan Stanley and JPM and keep on buying tech rn

astromouse2024

Oh cmon, pumping on not good news with JPM and friends saying to load up on more shares lol

PurpleReign123

Banks are working to rush out three humongous IPOs this year, ie - SpaceX; - OpenAI; and - Anthropic And guess which are the banks with lead roles in these giant IPOs? No prizes: **JPM, MS & GS!!!** Ladies and Gentlemen…. *Stocks are good buys now! We need you to buy, buy, buy … till we tell you goodbye*

AcademicStandard3701

JPM Going CRAZY. 🤑 🤑

Historical_Air_8997

Eh that would be short term thinking, JPM has $350B in cash, say they invested 100% of that and got a 20% return, that’s $70B. But JPM has $4.5T in AUM. It’s objectively better for them to keep investors in the market and performing well. If investors pull out 20% of their funds, that’s a hit of $1-10B ($1b would be assuming a 0.1% fee on AUM and 10B ish typical 1%, but I’m sure it’s somewhere in the middle). That’s all annual fees they would get. Now if investors are bullish and put in an additional 10% then market performance pushes it up 20%, then they’re getting an extra $1.35-13.5B in management fees a year. Keep in mind this is essentially risk free very high margin income for them. Earning money off *other* people’s money instead of risking their own. So yeah the 1-2 year benefit, assuming they’re not bs’ing and the market actually performs well, is in their favor. But the 3+ year benefit of bullish investors making more in the market and using their platform/funds is wayyy better.

CLYDEFR000G

You had me until you hit us with the - Ai pump bot from JPM

Fhyzikz

JPM urging people to "buy the dip" is an extremely bearish signal. I will dca put leaps until I'm out of money

Nick_Gilberts_Bowtie

Ok guy who works for JPM lol

isolated-cat

JPM, Morgan Stanley and BOFA coming out at the same time to announce "buy the dip" and "market positioned for deescalation trade" is SO sus

WillTheGreat

We’re also top of JPM’s collar. So it makes sense that they expect a V if we break the top.

WillTheGreat

Kinda tempted to buy puts at these levels just because both JPM and MS calling retail investors to buy the dip and suggesting a V shape recovery. Tells me there one more rug pull before the next leg up

BagHoldersOfAmerica

JPM says now is a good time to buy according to investing.com 🤔

Nick_Gilberts_Bowtie

JPM says buy the dip is hilarious

Extension-Ad917

Morgan Stanley and JPM telling us to buy the dip. I think it might be over

Specialist_Exam_8433

JPM is going to suffer the same fate as GS on earnings and dump tmrw morning. Dimon's hawkish commentary on the war will tank the markets, 🥭 will panic and announce the 🌮 after hours on Tuesday.

Interesting-Bite-468

$NOW - 260$ price target.. over at JPM [https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428](https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428)

trust_it_bb

Half the spacs i was in are bankrupt despite JPM giving them $30 or whatever PT.

Interesting-Bite-468

Service. The time is $NOW. Even Bear Michael Burry says so. JPM price target at 260$. 52 week low. RSI at 22. At the very least, a dead cat bounce is coming. [https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/savingandinvesting/michael-burry-says-market-at-peak-ai-threat-flags-intu-now-as-software-plays-worth-watching/ar-AA1ZZ6iT?apiversion=v2&domshim=1&noservercache=1&noservertelemetry=1&batchservertelemetry=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1](https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/savingandinvesting/michael-burry-says-market-at-peak-ai-threat-flags-intu-now-as-software-plays-worth-watching/ar-AA1ZZ6iT?apiversion=v2&domshim=1&noservercache=1&noservertelemetry=1&batchservertelemetry=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1)

Specialist_Exam_8433

I personally think that this week is going to be dictated by JPM and TSM earnings more than anything Iran related. Heavyweights that are going to give the first real insight into how this war is affecting finance and semis (arguably the two most important industries in the world).

Specialist_Exam_8433

We can't go down too much today because the market needs to save room to tank on Tuesday when Jamie Dimon goes full 🐻 mode and gives hawkish commentary on JPM earnings.

systerix

depends on VIX, upcoming macro events (earnings, vixperation, triple witching, JPM collar reset etc), and personal view on macro (view on war, oil price, tariffs, inflation etc)

SelenaMeyers2024

That's the dumbest take ever. Biggest investment scam in history, therefore can't buy financial software. He primarily managed assets for clients. So I'm guessing by your logic Brookfield, JPM, goldman, blackrock, absolutely can't touch those stocks right?

TJMBeav

Everyone focused on the air raids when the biggest news will come from the $JPM conference call

BlackKnightsOptions

So fucking stupid lol GS and JPM would do better to hire us dumbasses

Specialist_Exam_8433

Who cares about Goldman lmao, market is gonna sway more on JPM on Tuesday

TJMBeav

$JPM will start it with shitty guidan e

Interesting-Bite-468

So I expect tomorrow to be a Red Day but I think $NOW and $NOWL can provide at the very least a dead cat bounce... The stock is at it's 52 week low.. RSI is at 22... all because of UBS downgrade but one analyst at JPM on same day said the new target is 260$... I'll take JPM over UBS and then, Michael Burry who keeps warning about an AI bubble and shorting PLTR, was actually considering BUYING Service Now 7 days ago but was waiting for a more attractive price entry. It's one of the only AI / SAS name that he is considering. Well guess what 15% lower than when he wanted to buy it.. I think the price is pretty attractive now... Finally the stock close the last 30 minutes really well and it gave sign of life for what has been a DISMAL 6 months... So I think even if market is Red a dead cat bounce is possible for $NOW Thoughts ?

Apple2o

How insane is it to be on 160k of JPM and GS on margin for this week

sorengard123

JPM checks most of my boxes—high institutional ownership (~70%+), strong balance sheet, and not trading at extreme multiples. Considering 20–25 delta puts into earnings, but only at a level I’d actually want to own.

AcademicStandard3701

You guys think Jamie dimon gonna crash the market Tuesday with JPM earnings. “Oil is the new cockroach.”

TJMBeav

Tuesday. $JPM guidance is going to tank the markets (unless they are already nuked).

No-Improvement3164

Free falling to 6100. JPM collar speaks

TJMBeav

JPM will be leading us lower

TJMBeav

The most important ER of this quarter will be $JPM. I have a feeling their guidance isn't very bullish.

Beelzebussin

So what’s the deal with the JPM Collar, does that shit actually matter or what? I ignored it at the end of Q1 and got fucked

No-Improvement3164

What’s this JPM Collar? Short calls sold at 6865 on SPX?

Specialist_Exam_8433

Short summary of this week: JPM is going to report cautious guidance, we drill a bit Tuesday then ignore it and pump Wednesday. TSM also reports cut guidance, drill Thursday pump Friday. Market continues to go up until semiconductor earnings come in and then goes to SPY 600.

daviongray

I'm liking GS/JPM and ASML.

Beret888

The dealers are long that call, JPM HEQX fund is short it. If the market is rigged like many think then you would think the dealers want it to blast through that call. The reality is the dealers don't care and JPM doesn't care. The reason we stopped going higher was because there's alot of sold calls above, not the calls that are 3 months away from expiry like that collar trade.... Gamma is highest ATM and and expiry so positioning expiring on Friday and next weeks etc has far more influence on price then a call thats 3 months from expiry

yuckfoubitch

JPM has a balance sheet larger than most countries GDP, FX reserves and ability to raise debt combined, so they’ll probably be fine hedging the deltas. Also they’re likely up a ton of money on the vol coming out. When you have on a collar, in market maker space we call this structure being short the risk reversal. Essentially now they’re short an ATM put spread that’s delta hedged, so they benefit from volatility decreasing and as volatility decreases they gain both Vega PnL and they derive longer delta since they’re short vanna (as vol increases they get shorter delta since the delta of the short call and long put increase, but since the short call is ATM it’s delta is capped whereas the put can increase, so if volatility comes out then the short put loses delta and they are still long the underlying against it, deriving longer delta).

Junior-Association78

It was one analyst at JPM with an astoundingly abysmal 35% success rate.

Specialist_Exam_8433

JPM and TSM earnings are going to matter more than Iran this week methinks.

Routine-Phrase457

lol😂😂😂 and you believe JPM will use open ai with ads? Or average joe will trust a hallucinating robot that suggests products?

Specialist_Exam_8433

JPM and TSM earnings will be the first two dominos to fall next week.

GammaReaper_

It seems you don't understand the "JPM collar" strategy. It's a static strategy, rolled quarterly, not dynamically managed by the JPM "guys." If anything, the other side of the trade - whomever purchased the calls written by the fund, is long gamma and should be happy about the rally

MusicoftheMarket

Well, that used to be miners for me but those very recently became "exciting" after years of being ignored. I continue to hold large positions. This isn't quite the answer since I haven't actively bought more in a bit over a month but have increased my position this year: MO Altria Group. That thing has given me marvelous dividends for years but has recently seen an unusual jump in price. I have eased off buying more but am continuing to hold. JPM used to be one of my largest positions, often my largest individual name but I have been easing off on it and have trimmed significantly. I did this due to a lager concern around credit markets more broadly and I don't like some of their exposures. I do still have some of that position however. The last one I'd put in the boring category is AGNC. That has paid well and when the market has been there I have sold some options on it as well.

maeynor

Should never have dropped in the first place. Like 15% of the world’s oil goes through there. The oil move has been overstated this whole time. The reality is AI is still expanding growth and companies with fantastic earnings q1 got absolutely whacked. We’ve been oversold and Goldman has been calling it for weeks. I only listen to GS, JPM, and Ms. nobody else is worth paying attention to. Retail saw max flows out last week and max inflows this week after 7 straight up days. Buyers are already late

Interesting-Bite-468

$NOW - DOWN 25% this week and down 10% on dumb UBS downgrade.. meanwhile JPM still has a 260$ price target.. [https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428](https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/jmp-securities-upgrades-servicenow-stock-rating-on-ai-integration-93CH-4607428)

waterpup99

No. I'm simply including underemployment (noted as jobs not requiring college degrees, if you went to college and are working at wendys that isn't a success) in the metric. If you Wan to call that narrative bending okay but I don't think it is. It's 42% atm not 40% btw I just couldn't remember the number. I can't speak to gs and ms I never worked at either. My connections are senior in BofA Citi and JPM and yes I have an nyc IB background as well although you're braver than me for disclosing specific employers. I use the word retard on here way too much to add that info lol. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/24/business/economy/college-graduates-job-market-hiring.html#:~:text=The%20unemployment%20rate%20for%20college%20graduates%20ages,college%20degrees%2C%20the%20highest%20level%20since%202020.

WrexyWrex

Both Citadel and JPM noting a change in the behavior of Retail over the past month... "Today’s relief rally brings confirmation that the shift in retail behavior that we have observed over the past month is persisting: retail moved from ‘buying the dip’ (e.g. this time last year), to now skipping the dips, selling into rallies, and positioning more defensively, report. Overall, retail activity remained extremely subdued this week, driven by net selling in single stocks and weak ETF purchases. Even more so today, despite oil posting its largest decline since 2020 and VIX breaking below 20, intraday retail flows showed no signs of strengthening." (JPM) "The most notable change has been a decisive rotation into puts. Over the past two weeks, total retail put activity has surged to the 99th percentile relative to all other 10-day trading periods since the start of 2020. Call activity has simultaneously fallen into the 70th percentile (in just the 13th percentile versus the past 1 year). This divergence culminated in a rare inflection point on April 2nd, when more puts than calls were traded by retail at Citadel Securities – only the sixth such occurrence in the history of our platform." (Citadel)

BigShmokeBuffer

This is why I sold my puts yesterday and ate the loss. CPI impacts are always lagging. You’ll see Iran impact on CPI in May and it’ll all be resolved by then, so just ignored. We’ll go over 6840 today over the JPM collar and probably squeeze upwards on current momentum, especially if there’s even slightly positive news from Islamabad (I think there will be because Iran are done fighting)

iShitBloodandCumShit

JPM and Rothschild bailing out the US again eh?

dljmonkeyboiz

We nearing the top of the JPM collar. Gonna be huge sell walls there.

Logical-Law1815

Seen those JPM calls before. Sell side targets are just scenarios, not timing tools. 60% downside usually assumes a full bear case playing out cleanly, which rarely happens that way in reality. What matters more is whether the fundamentals keep deteriorating or start stabilizing from here.

dljmonkeyboiz

We got a natural top of the JPM collar that will cap this. It hits that and algos sell.

sir_dreads

Been watching AMD JPM and AMZN for weeks, could have been sitting on at least 30k right now

iamwhiskerbiscuit

I think we would have gotten a pretty major recession if Trump wasn't heavily manipulating economic releases like CPI and jobs numbers, promoting fake peace deals and multi trillion dollar investment pledge from foreign countries... on top of activating the plunge protection team. a semi legal mechanism for the Fed, Treasury and commodities futures trading commission to collude with large investment banks like JPM and Schwab to pump the market from buying leveraged futures contracts at the right time to continuously squeeze out sellers. This is the most heavily manipulated market in history and it should have tanked hard when most economists were predicting those tariffs would land us in a recession by now. It probably already has, but our metrics are so fucked, you can't tell by merely looking at the official statistics.

dljmonkeyboiz

The top of the JPM collar

MechRxn

I am 39 yrs old - have never been able to save up until this point in my life. I am making 105k salary and I put in 5% - my company matches 10% so ~15k goes into my retirement per year. I only have 10k in there. 30% of that and my contributions goes into a personal choice fund - I select the stocks. I have mostly MSFT, HOOD, SWMR, SCHD, META, MRNA, JPM, BROS, PLTR, and RDDT. My question is - should I even have SCHD in there? I know its basically a dividend stock, but I am wondering with my age (40 in a week) and lack of savings if I should put it into more aggressive / growth based stocks such as my other selections. Let me know what you think!

iShitBloodandCumShit

“As of March 16, 2026, J.P. Morgan's equity derivatives team, led by Bram Kaplan, recommended a target-buy strategy for Salesforce (CRM) by selling out-of-the-money puts, specifically the June 2026 175 puts for a premium of $9.25” Apparently JPM is Jim P craMer I bought those fuckers when I saw this article.

Bansionboy

Hood is the next day too, feels like JPM and others are shorting SOFI

undergroundmusic69

JPM said they expect a 60% decline in Tesla stock

iShitBloodandCumShit

Ahahahh. Fucking CRM. JPM putting out news to convince retail to sell 175p for June/July was fucking golden!

I_am_Nerman

You said it won't go down when, in fact, it's dropped over 30%. The chart indicates it will continue to drop even though Cathy has been buying 10s of millions this week. JPM put out a report this week that it could drop another 60%. I play Tesla both ways, and right now, it's a shorters paradise.

dljmonkeyboiz

We pump to the top of the JPM collar then drop is my guess. SPY to 682-684 then dump it.

iShitBloodandCumShit

Inverse all news. JPM says sell CRM 175p for June? Buy house fuckers. Surprise surprise, CRM is teetering at 175 already. PT upgrades? Short it. PT downgrades? Go long. 🥭 starts rapid posting nonsense garbage? Get the fuck out of your calls. Figure out the gex/dex. Retail news says retail is mostly in puts: full port calls. Never fomo a rip/dip. Giant green dildo/clifford EOD but seems stuck at a price? Someone is offloading/loading shorts. How’s my take?

iShitBloodandCumShit

Guiz I’m starting to think JPM was full of shit when they said selling 4-5 month out CRM puts was free money. Wat do if no money to buy 600 shares

imunfair

JPM said we're back to risk-on baby, those are the rules.

Still-One-1665

I feel I missed out by not buying prior to today. I don't know why it didn't occur to me to do so when I was going back and forth because it seems obvious and hindsight that Trump wasn't going to follow through on his threats I'm at the market with jump. Is it too late now to jump on stocks like Amazon Google Microsoft and vda and JPM and you? Are they going to be a better entry point sometime in the next few weeks or is you guys think it's just going to continue to go up? Feels like such a missed opportunity on those big texts that went down 20 25 or 30%

Sharp_Web_140

JPM downgraded Tesla. So it may continue a bit choppy - but TSLA is always whiplashing around [https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-jpmorgan-is-warning-tesla-stock-may-crash-60-113447869.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-jpmorgan-is-warning-tesla-stock-may-crash-60-113447869.html)

manofjacks

Tesla is a volatile stock. $150 price swings from peak to low is not uncommon. Probably some big boys like JPM shorting it. Wait till it rockets up $150 in 2 months and people are posting, 'why it tesla stock going up so much?"