Reddit Posts
J.P Morgan's Top Stock Picks for 2026 - +18.68% after 4 months
Elon Musk’s "TeraFab" 2nm Chip Plant: An Impossible Dream or the Ultimate Bull Case for Semi Stocks?
The U.S. just drafted global AI chip export controls, here's the actual portfolio implication most people are getting wrong
Bloomberg Article on Current Memory Supercycle Not Ending Soon
Global semiconductor sales will reach $1 trillion by 2026, with these six companies set to be the biggest beneficiaries.
Will AppLovin be more valuable than Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs?
Did anyone else just notice that Semiconductor industry-wide dip at ~1125am (EST)? Anyone present at the US-China talks wanna chime in?
Hot Stocks: BZFD surges again; LHX rises on earnings; KLAC drops on guidance; GT slumps
Help! AMAT / LRCX / KLAC- Which are good for the long term?
Lost approximately $250k going back to January 11th . . . Starting the "slow slog" upwards (I think)
I put together a list of the top 10 publicly traded semiconductor companies in the US. Which company's stock are you bullish on?
Will Dillard's ($DDS) Buy Itself Entirely Back? Questions About The End Game For Serial Repurchasers
Looking for "Chip Shortage" buys? Here are the companies that make the things that make the chips! ASML , AMAT , LRCX , KLAC
My Watchlist For 5/3/2021 - Anti Hype, Low Risk High Reward Plays
Why haven’t you bought ASML/AMAT/KLAC shares yet?
Mentions
MRVL, INTC, MU, KLAC all up huge YTD, WTF are you even talking about? 😂
I've been shorting the downturns and trading in and out of internationals and semis. It has done pretty well. I was balls deep in INTC, MU, NVDA, KLAC, LRCX, AVGO, & AMD until taking profits this month.
It's funny you brought this up today of all days. I'm very active on a site called GJopen dot com (Good Judgement Open). It predates prediction market sites and you don't bet money you just assign confidence points to obscure questions as far in advance as you can without making any adjustments to get your Brier Score (mine is 0.06 over 800 predictions). Because of that I have very very unorthodox methods and I always - always - second guess myself despite having a very good Brier Score. So when it came to my stock picks? Holy crap, whenever anything pulled back 5-8% in a day I panicked and liquidated everything to wait it out - only to see it rebound +10-15 within two weeks. At the moment I'm tech heavy. So what I did this time around to quell my fears was made a loss table. I took the closing price of all my positions for the last three years (when I took back control from our advisors) and calculated the gain/loss for each day, and each week for a condensed view. I put them all in a table and used conditional formatting to make all losses red. When you do that it honestly looks like a crime scene. I then made a table at the top that shows the 1st, 2nd and 3rd worst losses, the average daily/weekly gain, and the top three biggest gaining days. The results are eye popping. One particular stock dropped -35% in two trading sessions (based off of the opening prices). I would have dumped that stock in a heart beat... But guess which one it was... SNDK. April 3rd and 4th, 2025, just weeks after it's debut. We all know how that stock is doing. But others in tech sector have similar MIN/MAX deltas between daily opening prices too. \-MU was -18% on 12/20/24 \-KLAC -13% twice on 8/5/24 and 10/17/24 \-AMD -15% on 2/5/26 The list goes on for -13% or more for INTC, TSM, AMAT, AVGO... But now that I can go back in time and watch how all of these continued to grow, I'm better prepared and calmer when these stocks have a bad day or week.
Did it just go public? Don’t see much history. Why not just buy Lam Research or Amat or KLAC?
I sold my INTC a while back... but in my defense it was to buy SNDK, KLAC, LRCX, and MU lol.
Never heard of her, I guess it was just listed in the past year or so. I have: ASML NL, AMAT US, LRCX US, KLAC US, TER US, ENTG US, as semi supply and materials over 10B market cap.
Still time to get in IMO. ASML KLAC NVDA TSM even MU. Just don't get greedy. Take profits. Good luck to us all, bruh.
KLAC MU ASML been real good to me
ARM earnings mentioned supply chain issues with memory..I don't know why hardware like KLAC is dropping. Fiber optics because COHR and LITE were up too much, got me. But as far as I can tell 1) no real macro cause (maybe bond yields being up a bit) or 2) AI delusions are driving the general bull market
I didn't really see the OP I'm just judging off the title which is accurate. but yeah it's actually up 125% in the last year. It was in line with KLAC and only a bit worse than AMAT. EUV Litho is for advanced logic not for memory which has been the massive tidal wave this year. So basically the answer to OP's question is DRAM market exposure. And maybe just buy the ETF next time
I had been holding AMD, NVDA, AVGO, MU, LRCX, KLAC, TSM, ASML, INTC, and AMAT for a while - sold AMD, MU, LRCX, and INTC today.
The reason is because fabs capex grows slower than revenue. ASML revenue originates from the fabs capex. Why is capex in fabs always lower than revenue? Because they have an incentive to spend less on capacity, so they can capitalize on pricing power and stretch out demand for a longer period of time. Companies like TSMC are also sandbagging capex spending because they also assume most of the risk if the ai spending pulls back. This not only goes for ASML, but a bunch of other tooling in making semis, like LAM research/applied materials, testing (KLAC), etc. Then can ASML just squeeze tsmc and charge more because they are a monopoly? I think the problem is that ASML's customers are very concentrated in several players, trying to squeeze the customers will also negatively impact ASML. ASML's supply chain is also apparently very tight. But the point is that the fabs themselves whether its memory, logic, etc. have the actual pricing power, and they are all incentivized to grow capex slower. They are able to because many of these companies operate in an oligopoly.
No idea - I sold my INTC, AMD, LRCX, and MU today to secure my gains because I was(and still am) levered up to my nuts in semiconductors. Still holding NVDA, AVGO, KLAC, AMAT, TSM, and other smaller names.
BRXT, GEV, and RYCEY for power generation. ASML, KLAC, AMAT, LRCX, and TSM for the complete picks and shovels of semiconductors.
First in the Supply Chain are SemiCaps: AMAT, LRCX, KLAC. I like AMAT here, from my understanding they are the most diversified, and from a quant side (where I come from) AMAT and LRCX both look good, but they should all profit from heavy CapEx spending since every chip company depends on them. KLAC got beaten down badly yesterday (intraday -8%) but reversed pretty hard since it gavee a nice entry. Chips: TSMC GPU/CPU/TPU: NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MRVL, INTC. Memory: MU, SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics would be the major picks (or simply buy South Korea ETF since SK Hyn + Samsung Elec are already 45% of it).
fck this, bought KLAC at the low today, no July calls available so I had to get even tighter expiry and now my port is spilling over $$$
Forget about big tech, QCOM or KLAC calls
It needs to go down 30-40% before it gets discussed. Generally the stocks labeled "overvalued" at ATH this sub tends to be silent on. It is as if when people miss the boat they silent. The stock crashes they want to discuss if it a buy to hope it returns to that high it was earlier. For example I own KLAC and this sub barely discussed it. Only thing that makes sense is what I said. It has to crash for discussion to take place lol.
# Technology (7 stocks)Equal-weight: +5.60% |Ticker|Name|Dec 22, 2025|Apr 28, 2026|% Change|JPM Target| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |**ANET**|Arista|$130.73|$172.47|\+31.93%|$175.00| |**AVGO**|Broadcom Inc|$340.74|$418.20|\+22.73%|$475.00| |**CRM**|Salesforce Inc|$263.97|$180.18|\-31.74%|$365.00| |**GWRE**|Guidewire Software|$207.42|$136.62|\-34.13%|$300.00| |**KLAC**|KLA Corporation|$1264.02|$1900.00|\+50.31%|$1485.00| |**PANW**|Palo Alto Networks|$189.49|$182.90|\-3.48%|$235.00| |**SNPS**|Synopsys Inc|$481.24|$498.54|\+3.59%|$650.00| |**Category Average**|—|—|**+5.60%**|—|
|**Ticker**|**Dec 22, 2025 Price**|**Apr 28, 2026 Price**|**% Change**| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |**ANET**|$131.03|$172.47|\+31.63%| |**AVGO**|$340.73|$416.48|\+22.23%| |**BFAM**|$98.50|$112.30|\+14.01%| |**CRM**|$285.40|$312.15|\+9.37%| |**GWRE**|$165.20|$198.40|\+20.10%| |**KLAC**|$710.00|$845.60|\+19.10%| |**LC**|$12.40|$15.90|\+28.23%| |**PANW**|$360.20|$395.40|\+9.77%| |**SNPS**|$550.00|$620.10|\+12.75%| |**TRU**|$78.40|$89.20|\+13.78%| |**V**|$265.30|$282.10|\+6.33%| |**Category Average**|||**+17.03%**|
with all the new chip orders there are now semiconductor factories being built and they need manufacturing equipment and supplies like any businesses KLAC and and LRCX are doing very well. So look for quality companies making semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
You will need to pry my positions in GOOG NVDA LRCX KLAC out of my cold dead hands lol. You do you.
I sold AMD for a 300% gain which would be 744% gain today. Sold LRCX for 109% gain which would be 463% gain today. KLAC for 137% gain which would be 450% today. And many more Unfortunately, there's no other option. You either keep the stocks forever, never missing out on gains, but never buying anything (then what's the point of the money). Or you sell the stocks, buy stuff with the gains but always missing out on gains.
Certainly a stock pickers market. You have growth stocks in different industries like FN,HWM, or KLAC trading a expensive valuations where as some mag 7's, software, or random industrial compounders are trading a fair or below fair values. I think your leaving money on the table buying indexes in this market.
ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC all gonna sink tmrw
helium is a real input cost for semis but the market isn't pricing it yet.. when it does, watch $AMAT, $LRCX, and $KLAC before you touch $NVDA
Semiconductors are at bonker valuations right now. Both suppliers (ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC) and traditional chipmakers (AVGO AMD MRVL). NVDA is reasonable, memory stocks debatable if it's another boom bust cycle or permanent. A correction to semis would send the market tumbling. I think that may happen off the next Nvidia or Broadcom earnings.
We got ASML and TSM this week. AMAT, LCRX, KLAC soon, and then AMD AVGO MRVL NVDA May June
Last earnings season they dumped big tech. This time they're gonna dump semiconductors when they all cut or issue unimpressive guidance. The PE on INTC AMD MRVL are bonkers + same with ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC (ASML probably best out of these though). Then NVDA earnings will be the ice on the cake and send the stock to the 140s. Look at NVDA graph, historically is due for a massive correction. Then probably bottom there and hit 200 in 2027. This is not financial advice.
Talking about AMD, MRVL, ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. Also MU is cyclical and will crash eventually. AI isn't magically making that different now.
How are they a good risk reward are you dumb? These semi equipment stocks are trading at some of the highest valuations they’ve ever been at. If you said this 2 years ago I would’ve agreed with you, but now no way. KLAC AMAT, are extremely overvalued. I think people are forgetting that this is a cyclical industry and there will be a downturn eventually. These stocks will crater when spending stops for this stuff. I love these companies, but you’re insane to claim they’re a good risk reward currently.
Do I just ape into semiconductor suppliers? ASML probably will hit 1 trillion and AMAT/LRCX/KLAC will hit 500 billion at this rate within a year or two.
ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC is basically my entire long term portfolio
Feels like ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC are all going to double by 2030.
LongRun Score Alignment For your platform, these names map well to your LONGRUN scoring framework: CVX, HII, JPM, BRK.B KLAC and LYB. How everyone think?
I’m also in Lam but not KLAC. May consider adding some, sitting on a lot of cash rn
Lol yeah my long term holdings are 25% split 4 way among ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. I think they are the 4 most solid technology stocks to own right now.
At this point better to invest in ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC if you want exposure to semiconductors than NVDA/AVGO
China can easily make a ballpoint tip. You keep underestimating China industrial capability. Making an EUV machine similar to ASML is hard but overtime and budget China will definitely capable to make one. Even none of US companies: AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, and others is able to make a similar EUV machine.
I think ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC aren't going to go down much even if the market correction continues. Together you could argue that they're the most important group of companies on the planet without which no chips and hence no technology could be made.
The only stocks that probably won't go much lower are ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC. MU/SNDK/WDC/STX will depend on MU earnings tomorrow.
Memory (MU, SNDK, WDC, STX) and semiconductor suppliers (ASML, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC) have been straight up hulk dicking it while other stocks crumble
Hear me out; we are selling off not because of the Iran war, but because stocks were way overvalued in the first place and now we need an excuse to correct. And this is why you see certain sectors doing well ex. MU/SNDK/etc. and fab suppliers ex. ASML/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC
The semiconductor equipment providers have been beat up pretty bad so buying the dip on KLAC, AMAT, LRCX etc.
The equipment layer point is underappreciated. Export controls on finished chips don't touch the capital equipment cycle that supplies every foundry globally. AMAT, LRCX, KLAC sell into TSMC, Samsung, and the emerging Chinese fabs regardless of where the end chips ship. And TSMC's advanced node capacity is already committed years out. The real risk to watch is whether the licensing friction slows hyperscaler capex decision timing, not whether it kills demand. A delayed order is not a cancelled order, but it can mess with quarterly guidance in ways the market tends to overreact to short term.
I’d look to the semi-cap equipment companies instead who benefit so matter what. The LRCX, AMAT & KLAC
depends on your timeframe. if you are buying for 3+ years then ASML is the one i would look at first because they have a literal monopoly on EUV lithography and every chipmaker on earth needs their machines. the selloff is a gift if you have patience. TSM is the other obvious one since they manufacture for everyone and the geopolitical risk is already priced in more than it should be. for a more speculative play, LRCX and KLAC are the picks and shovels of the industry. avoid trying to catch the exact bottom. set a price you like and start a position, then add more if it drops another 10-15%. the semiconductor cycle is real and we are closer to the bottom than the top of this correction.
Rather than switching, consider keeping some of both. While my largest semiconductor holding is NVDA, I also own shares of AVGO, AMD, KLAC, and TSM.
Any thoughts on if AMAT or KLAC can outperform VTI over the next 20 years
Mine is about 35%, not because I intended it that way, but because my semis have gone up so much (NVDA AVGO are the 2 biggies). I don't feel the need to diversify out yet... because the companies are still growing with no end in sight. Here's the thing, semis were hot back starting in 2017-18-ish timeframe. That's because the world is moving more digital, electric, "smart" and connected - all of this grows the semi market - it's not just about AI. AI made it go exponential since big tech is trying to accelerate AI advancements with huge upfront capex spend. Just look at your charts for LRCX ASML CDNS AMAT ADI SNPS KLAC and many others - upwards since 2017.
36 on disability but fortunate enough to have built a savings prior to that I've been able to grow. 80% U.S. Stocks (I have done well in tech over the years, currently in the following: GOOGL, NVDA, MU, KLAC, TSM, EME, AVGO) 15% International ETFs (EWY and EWJ) 5% Cash
KLAC as well. EWY for Korean exposure to the sector.
LAM, KLAC, ASML, TSM, Micron, Sandisk, KORU (play on samsung/skhynix). These companies will win regardless of who ultimately wins the AI race. Honestly you could just buy SMH or CHAT or QQQ and be fine.
Sounds like we have similar portfolios, same highest 3 holdings. Then some KLAC, EWY, EME and TSM as smaller positions.
Glad I bought the dip on the hardware layer of SNDK, LRCX, and KLAC. It feels like the market wants to shake people out of those. But after seeing VRT earnings which I also hold my conviction is higher that the AI cycle isnt over yet.
How do people feel about KLAC? Is it a worthwhile in investment?
I'm surprised KLAC keeps being left out of these threads. Maybe it the share price that causes it lol.
SOXX below $300 and then load up on KLAC, LRCX, and AMAT.
MU is a solid pick, the only names I would add to that is KLAC, and TSM. After 10+ years, these companies have all excelled, despite market conditions. I really hate TXN and their stewardship, didnt mean to come off as an ass.
I wanted MU. But have so much direct exposure to semis. I bought a bunch of CHPS etf. It’s got global names. MU is number 2 holding. The top 10 are really solid. Like ASML, KLAC, AMAT, etc.
ASML, Applied Materials, LRCX, KLAC, Tokyo Electron are an oligopoly in this space. Pick one and hold as TSMC, Samsung, Micron, Intel, etc. depend on their tools to produce microchips.
I got in early this year via deep in the money 2028 leaps. Already 2x my money. Do your homework, although will say fundamentals line up: 1) the AI memory complex still has room to run as their order books are maxed out into 2028 2)these companies (specifically SNDK, WDC, STX and MU) are keenly aware of past boom / bust cycles so they’re intentionally keeping a lid on capacity 3) because of these factors their stock prices are still very cheap and they’re basically still growing into reasonable valuations. Best way to think of these (and to some extent LCRX and KLAC) is the equivalent of NVDA in late 2023/ early 2024
Yep that’s the exact one I was thinking of. KLAC too, 1.15 billion in net income, 40% yoy increase and it tanked 15% after earnings
Ok, that's why KLAC PE is higher than the other two. Thanks
Its also good. But the reason I chose LRCX and KLAC. KLAC boasts the highest operating margin among the group at 41.8% LRCX has a solid margin of ~33.0%, higher than AMAT's ~29.9% and ASML's ~18.8%,
I'm deep in KLAC and LRCX. Both flash crashed on Thursday. Especially KLAC. I just wish I had more cash to DCA sooner. I have zero worries these two won't recover. One needs to have the stomach to endure crashes. Or endure waiting for one if they sell at peak (thinking). If one sells at peak (their guess). But the stock keeps trucking. Its a different kind of endurance. I think its much easier to hold and dca if possible.
Doubt I’d be down more than that in a single day. KLAC crushed my account
LAM and KLAC. Wide moat. Near monopoly. These stocks took a hit today. Its a good opportunity to buy imo. KLAC investory is already sold out for 2026.
Why is no one talking about KLAC
Buy the dip, ASML, KLAC WDC
>honestly not in TSLA it moves like crazy and it goes up when earnings fail True. You heard they are shutting down some car models. Start building optimus robots. >u invested in anything? I'm invested in LRCX and KLAC. Semiconductors: KLA specializes in process control (inspection/metrology), while Lam specializes in wafer fabrication (etch/deposition). Companies indirectly part of the chips that controls your robotic stocks.
>Holding them forever, even though they will drop 30-40% when the cycle turns. Unlike some semis. These pick and shovel stocks are less cyclical. Especially KLAC. Its inspections are non negotiable.
False >Both LRCX and KLAC maintain "fortress" balance sheets with more cash and liquid assets than total debt. Dividends: KLA has a longer track record of raises (16 years vs. Lam's 11 years) and a higher absolute dollar payout, though both have similar yields (~0.5%).
Yikes I bought ASML calls for KLAC ER and it indeed went tits up
LRCX and KLAC were my top performers last year, and they’re my top performers this year as well. Holding them forever, even though they will drop 30-40% when the cycle turns. They’ve been long term winners for decades.
Anyone playing KLAC? Is the next big semi supplier reporting today, and then we have AMAT in 2 weeks.
If you did a thorough DD. You would see LAM + KLAC has significantly outperformed SMH in the past 1Y and 5Y. Btw SMH holds all the WFE stocks. You're like insulting the stocks that help SMH.
ASML pumped then dumped on earnings, LRCX pumped today but we will see what happens tomorrow. Thoughts on KLAC after hours Thursday?
ASML is going to tank on earnings and bring down LRCX AMAT and KLAC with it
Tomorrow we will wake up to ASML, AMAT, LRCX, and KLAC down -5%
Tempted to trim a bit and take some profits on KLAC before it and ASML report earnings this week. I tend to just buy and hold for the long term as long as the thesis remains strong, which it does, but the valuation just feels so stretched after the crazy run up all the semi caps have had
Proposed 25% tariffs on So Korea would affect negatively affect Samsung I’m assuming. That just might save my Micron calls. Hopefully the news drives down pricing on LRCX, AMAT, and KLAC short term and provides a buying opportunity.
Picks and shovels man. LRCX, AMAT, KLAC.
Looking at KLIC KLAC because of a similar thesis and also because it would be funny to see in my port.
No American companies you say? I bet Europe can just get by on their own! Who are the leaders in chip design? Nvidia, AMD, AVGO, Marvel, Texas Instruments, Qualcomm… Who does the packaging, the integration, supplies equipment? LRCX, KLAC, LITE, AMAT, PLAB, MMAT… I’m sorry, I guess those Europeans will just magically recreate the entire semiconductor and networking supply chain indigenously. That sounds reasonable. I wonder who the Japanese care about doing business with more? Is Europe going to stop China in the Pacific? How much money did the cloud hosting companies spend to build those data centers? Oh, just measly tens of billions of dollars on a single site. I’m sure the Europeans will have plenty of money and expertise to recreate the most sophisticated industry in human history without the help of the people who invented the technology. That sounds reasonable. Yeah, they’ll just “divest” because they obviously have a parallel supply chain that can recreate 50 years of work. This is like people saying that Europe should stop buying the F-35 and develop an indigenous alternative. lol. Good luck. Don’t confuse us throwing some sub contracts your way with having the same capability. If we’re going to play the isolationist game I think Europe will find that they have more pressing matters to attend to like idk, Muslim majorities overtaking the natural population of their largest economies in the next 10-20 years (looking at you Germany, Britain and France). Because those are the kinds of timelines we’re talking about. Turkey is more likely to prosper than any given country in Europe.
Solid approach - your already doing the right thing with the boring VWRP/pension base. For the 200/month asymetric bucket I’d look at sectors with structural tailwinds that won’t disappear in 5 years: semiconductor infrastructure (ASML, KLAC), energy transition plays with actual earnings (not pure speculation), or quality mid-caps in healthcare/industrials that are flying under the radar. One thing that helps me filter ideas is checking retail sentiment - https://adanos.org/reddit-stock-sentiment tracks what’s getting mentioned across subreddits. Not to follow the crowd, but sometimes usefull to see what’s overhyped vs. overlooked. With your constraints I’d probably stick to 3-5 concentrated positions and just DCA into them monthly rather then chasing new names constantly.
Seen this script play out in 1999-2000. AMAT, KLAC, and other equipment companies plus metals shot to the moon. I am getting a bad sense of deja vu.
ASML, AMAT, KLAC, LRCX are probably going to announce price increases soon and when that happens TSM will pass cost to NVDA who will pass cost to big tech and then they are toast. Spending 50+ billion every single year not sustainable.
So basically they've kept tech index pinned by pumping all the suppliers (MU, SNDK, ASML, AMAT, KLAC, LRCX) and slow selling the others (AAPL, META, MSFT) with some theta (GOOGL, AMZN) and then pumping meme stocks through the roof (nuclear, space, interestingly not quantum this time)
KLAC is just unstoppable right now
I started looking at the various suppliers - AMAT, ASML, KLAC, TOELY, LRCX - and I really don't have the expertise to keep up with their businesses, whereas I understand, at least from an investor POV, TSMC's business and what's driving changes in their earnings and stock. I think they're also one of the few companies that would drive demand from the suppliers I mentioned, and have significant ability to keep supplier costs in line. So as much as I'm tempted to spread things out over the various suppliers, I'm probably just going to stick with TSMC itself.