Reddit Posts
$LUMN the hidden AI infastructure play
Backtested insider buying as an earnings predictor for stocks that have reported so far
Backtested insider buying as an earnings predictor for stocks that have reported so far
📊 Market Movers | 2026-02-04 EST
Lumen (LUMN) Thoughts? I’m bullish.
Palantir and Lumen Technologies Join Forces to Accelerate AI-Driven Telecom Transformation
Lumen Accelerates Multi-Billion-Dollar Network Expansion to Meet Soaring AI Demand
3D Systems Corp (DDD) potential breakout inc.
3D Systems Corp (DDD) 200% breakout coming!
$SURG is attending the All Wireless and Prepaid Expo, the premier event for prepaid wireless and value-added services which will be held at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas from August 19 to 20. SurgePays, a gold sponsor, will exhibit in booth 720 and feature two of its key service offerings.
LinkUp Mobile - A lot of people settle for the $SURG $30 per month offering but clients love our $10 & $20 plans too. The ARPU is about $35.
The AT&T Partnership has strategic advantages Access to AT&T knowledge base Positions $SURG appropriately within the market 3 year contract
LinkUp Mobile - A lot of people settle for the $SURG $30 per month offering but clients love our $10 & $20 plans too. The ARPU is about $35.
LinkUp Mobile allows $SURG to get to the target audience in the convenient store space. We get right into the audience we want to reach the most.
LUMN inverse Head and Shoulders and possibly breaking out!
LUMN inverse head and shoulders and possibly breaking out!
$LUMN Breakout channel OTW Lots of news insane it’s at this price MMs loadinggg imo should be making a $KLTO $KNW $CTXR type move
$LUMN so much news should of been doing a $ASTS $KLTO $KNW $RKLB type move, maybe soonn🤩
$LUMN the company is strong, profits are strong, the moat is large and growing, let the speculators take it where they like, the fact is LUMN is the most undervalued company in the market imo. 🔥🙌🏽
$LUMN the company is strong, profits are strong, the moat is large and growing, let the speculators take it where they like, the fact is LUMN is the most undervalued company in the market imo.
$LUMN amazinggg news! huge company at $3.87 is insane!
$LUMN Might get that $MSFT buyout! Recent $5.75B news 🤩
$LUMN Just sold almost all its quantum fiber for $5.75B!!
$LUMN Market cap is $3.9B they getting $5.75B 🔥🔥
Didn't think this would happen, DD on LUMN
Blackrock just added up to their $LUMN position
Lumen $LUMN Insider & Big Boys Buying Spree Post Dividend Halt, Kate Johnson & Co. Personally Buying the Dip
LUMEN $LUMN INSIDER & BIG BOYS BUYING SPREE POST DIVI HALT, KATE JOHNSON & CO. BACK THE DIP HARD!
Last week Review [LUMN,WOLF,SST] + New trade ideas for early 2024.
12/26 - 12/29 - Downtrend Breakout SETUP - $LUMN / $WULF / $SST / - TA + 🎯
I'm liking $LUMN. For legal reasons, apes, I am not buying $LUMN.
Will TMUS VZ or T buyout LUMN or will private money?
Another insider at LUMN bought up more shares I wonder why?
Good time to add $LUMN - Lumen Technologies, Inc.
LUMN is ready for a pumpanddump
LUMN: A distressed asset play? Timeframes and expectations?
$LUMN - A turnaround play worth buying?
$LUMN - Anyone willing to share CTB and SI?
Is LUMN the most shorted stock at 18%
Could this be a NEW squeeze opportunity?
Lotto Lotto Lotto!!!! [LUMN Lotto Calls! Huge Upside Potential]
LUMN - is it REALLY worth only $4 a share?
LUMN looking real good after shitty earnings but a military contract
$LUMN$ Dump or Bump? Lumin Technologies
22K FD Yolo, Earnings Play | TWLO 55.00 P | DKNG 17.00 C
Morning spark! July 15th 6:30 AM MOVES, Set your alarm!
Low float 5G stock recently partnered with an $11B company...
Low float 5G stock recently partnered with an $11B company...
Normally I'd ask this in the "no dumb questions" subreddit but I'm ready to be hurt again here on an "education / question" :: What is an NOTICE OF EFFECTIVENESS and what does it mean? (No upvotes needed, but hoping for answers that don't involve calling me a "moron")
Question about Par Value $1.00 per share ($LUMN) and recent 8-K filing. No hype here, just a dull inquiry about a slow-growth, high dividend yield telecom company moving toward fiber, cybersecurity (and ties to VMWare)?
Hidden Value in Lumen Technologies $LUMN - DD
Hidden Value in Lumen Technologies LUMN - DD
Is selling an itm cc leap on a high dividend stock a good idea?
$LUMN 8pct div (My post of 15 days ago) and huge design win from US Post Office
Lumen ($LUMN at $12.60) paying 8.3pct div and selling for low Price to Book Vlaue
Why Lumen Technologies is the value play...
Mentions
This happened to me with LUMN. Bought around 12-14 back when dividend was 10%. They eliminated the dividend and it sunk hard and bottomed below $1. I doubled down around $1 because why tf not. Rallied back after a new CEO came in and currently in the 6s. If I did the math, it'd probably be breakeven at this point, maybe a little profit since I sold call options on half the shares a few times and got them called away a year or so ago. Still have half the original position.
LUMN Earnings rally begins now. 8/6 Earnings. 📈
\*Looks at unloved stepchilds LUMN KEEL n HIVE\* I knew they were up to no good [https://i.postimg.cc/rFFzv5Yh/Screenshot-20260705-210130-Brave.jpg](https://i.postimg.cc/rFFzv5Yh/Screenshot-20260705-210130-Brave.jpg)
Until the stock drops further and your dividend greed costs you money. I got fucked over by LUMN chasing high dividends a few years ago.
Yeah I think names like $LUMN, $SHEN, etc are still attractive (at least to me), but with recent rate hike concerns they’re getting sold off because they’re debt heavy. I struggled a bit on that, but ultimately decided to keep $SHEN because my thesis or opinion (whatever conveys not financial advice lol) is that they’ll break out of the heavy debt with datacenter partnerships/contracts. Let’s see how this plays out.
LUMN real space stock to 50 easily
so... not LUMN, MRVL, or any other pure play in the space? it's WOLF?
I’d take $KEEL over $LUMN, but good luck!
No relevant posts about LUMN in 4 months and there was not even a thesis then.
Yolo $LUMN. It's my only trade right now. https://preview.redd.it/vm3t2e8glp3h1.png?width=1075&format=png&auto=webp&s=b5bc77c7797053a9b84e2ebf3a96c2fcbef3061d
Physical data networks - I’ve been going hard on LUMN.
$LUMN small account yolo. Fiber optic networking to the moon. https://preview.redd.it/cm7y62kl2p3h1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=b9df440c488eabb5af650a302c20f95fe068288c
All in on $LUMN. The rotation into the fiber stocks helping the AI build out is inevitable. https://preview.redd.it/8gq30xxbjk3h1.png?width=1073&format=png&auto=webp&s=2824c7eb8710c32cabd428afe7b1c3139818b4f4
Just bought 50 $10 calls for July on LUMN. Lets rip
Why the conviction on LUMN? I assume you're treating LUMN as an asset play that will go up in value if there is a constraint on fiber optics.
I’m being kinda careful here given how toppy the market looks Some longs I have conviction in are: $LUMN $RDDT $NOW For non tech I like the housing trade here. It’s so beaten down and I think the govt will intervene and boost builder stocks. For this I have $QXO and $NAIL the 3x etf (high risk)
Been riding SLS since it was $1.5, we hit $9 today but the party is just getting started. LUMN is my long-term play - cost basis around $5, throwing $1k/month in there. Slowly shifting a larg portion of my port into bonds in anticipation of blazing hellfire.
*scared crappiest-SP500-company noises* Say goodbye to Newell Brands (NWL) Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Lumen Technologies (LUMN Say hello to SpaceX OpenAI TacoPhone
Northline by Lumen connecting Seattle to Mpls for high speed AI data. AWS and/or MSFT partner?? Go LUMN!
I think I just remember someone saying something like "the CEO seems legit" and I had a little fuck around money from LUMN calls so I bought like 100 shares somewhere around $6.25.
All jokes aside, I cannot believe LUMN is so stuck. This shit should be $11-14. Where's my AI buildout play?
Real positions: 4600 HOOD 8000 QXO 600 QCOM 6200 LUMN 200 ARM 40 RKLB
Real positions: 4600 HOOD 8000 QXO 600 QCOM 6200 LUMN 200 ARM 40 RKLB
Long call options have very little time delay(theta). If you are truly worried about it you could roll them into a later expiry but you have so long I wouldn’t worry. When an option moves ITM its delta skyrockets meaning it moves closer to the stock price movement eventually reaching 1:1 The deepest ITM option available will move 1. Go look at SPY calls, scroll down far enough and you’ll get past 0.999 to 1. I have leaps on LUMN, ACHR and BBAI. I don’t even look at them aside for earnings to reassess slightly. Why Nokia?
I have so much conviction behind LUMN it is insane
My view is Lumen (LUMN). It is not “safe” (still loss-making and revenue is declining) but the company has a large fiber base, has been signing AI/private connectivity deals, sold its consumer fiber business to AT&T to reduce debt, and guides to $3.1–$3.3 billion of 2026 adjusted EBITDA (6.4x–6.8x)
I actually am considering buying leaps on LUMN Jan 2028. I think this could pay off very well if photonics turns out to be what I believe it will along with their phone business
Sold al my SNDK today, grabbed some more MUU. I’m think of buying leaps on LUMN though, anyone thoughts?
LUMN did the same shit last night. Look where they ended today. Post-earnings. Went as low as $8.42 last night I believe.
I have to add one thing: I am dumping 100k into LUMN because the fundamentals play is so obvious, I literally could not give a fuck about anything else
LUMN blew earnings damn
I swear to God, if LUMN doesn't hit $11 this quarter, I'm going to jump out a fucking window
Anyone hold LUMN shares? I’ve got some but want to load up ahead of earnings
Bottleneck is how much heat is generated and how fast data can be moved in and out. For those problems, photonics are key. Companies like LITE, COHR and POET. Then, focus on fiber optic networks, like LUMN.
Looking at LUMN and PATH long options around ‘28. Thoughts on these two and any others you might be playing?
The actual advice is to prowl WSB, find the DD posts with 300 comments that are all saying "looks good, im buying as soon as market opens" and ride the train If you see a DD that has majority negative comments, or the stock is already up >100% over the past few weeks, dont buy, its a trap Another piece of advice is to find good DD's from 6+ months ago and see how the stock is doing now If the stocks price is deflated, but the core fundamentals of the dd are still in play, it might be an oportunity. LUMN, POET, and PAA are all stocks that I rode the hype the first time they showed up on WSB, sold when the hype died down, and rebought several months- a year later when the stock prices were at what I thought was a good entry point If youre serious about this, take a look at your losses and analyze what went wrong- was it buying into hype that had already played out? Was it risking more money than you should have on short term plays that may not pay off? Was there any analysis done on the catalysts that would move the stock in the direction you wanted to go? Also, you may realize its just not for you. I tried trading SPY daylies for 3 months until i realized im just not cut out for it. Too much stress + im just too greedy. I like buying leaps (1 year + expirations) cause the risk is lower and i can still make decent money if i play the momentum right Not financial advice.
I was gonna put $5,000 into Lumen (LUMN) when it was 80¢ in 2023 because of the future outlook and their strong foundation. I didn’t and did other trades instead. In June of 2024, it was just under a dollar and I have it thought again, same amount. Within a couple weeks, it popped to above $10/share. I was kicking myself on missing roughly $60K. I can’t be too frustrated, though. The trading experience I gained along the way in that time led me to be the profitable futures trader I am today and have well made up those profits. Still, that’s my missed one.
Holding LUMN $6.40 average
LUMN 7.20 thank you orange jesus
Appreciate you pulling this together OP! I also traded Ulta a few years ago and think that Centene is interesting. To throw a few names at you: - Lumen Technologies, LUMN. Has been volatile recently, but I think they're well into a successful turnaround, and have established an oligopolistic moat in enterprise fiber. I've been adding at current prices; I think their performance post earnings has been unfortunately impacted by Anthropic's tiff with the current administration. I think they'll be a $10 stock again in 2026. - Teledyne, TDY. Industrial "sensing" conglomerate, that I think is still an underappreciated backbone to much of the coming machine/robotics age; also holds a number of US defense contracts where they're essentially the only supplier. I've been a shareholder since 2023 and TDY has frankly been a drag on my portfolio...very happy to see them finally gain traction over the last few quarters; still think they have room to run. - Heico, HEI. Aerospace and defense component OEM and refurbishment/replenishment provider. The stock has tanked (due to lower than expected forecasts?) after beating earnings last quarter; I've added to my position as I believe the ongoing global hostilities will lead to continued earnings beats in 2026+.
LUMN, F, and a biotech, RXRX. I did exit RXRX premiums all but disappeared when the stock fell below $4.00.
What are we bag holding these days. I’ll go first: LUMN. I’m in it at a cost basis of about 8.30 current share price is 6.65. I’m thinking about finally DCAing but my cash secured puts keep expiring OTM so I haven’t had any luck buying. But on the plus side I’m earning nice premiums on those cash secured puts.
A few tickers for you to consider; most are "value" from a "I think the Friday close was a reasonable entry point" rather than low P/E or small-cap value but, FWIW, I have positions in all of the below. - LUMN - Lumen Technologies. Enterprise fiber (legacy phone line provider) that I think/hope is on a successful turnaround path. I first entered <$2 a few years ago and had been trimming a large position...but I picked up more when they dipped following earnings earlier in the month. I think this is a $10-15 stock in 2026. - HEI, Heico Corp. Aerospace/defense component provider that unexpectedly dipped following an earnings beat last week. Heico makes the components that keeps the Air Force/Navy flying, and I think they're going to continue to run with all of the military deployment activity. Every hour of flight time eventually translates to revenue for HEi. -TXT, Textron. Industrial/Aviation conglomerate (best known brands include Cessna and Bell) with a very interesting defense business; I particularly like what they're doing with drones. P/E still under 20. - VEU, Vanguard ETF- all World not including US. This (plus a ton of commodities) is my play on the US debasement trade. I also have EWJ (Japan), FLKR (South Korea), AFK (Africa), and EPU (Peru) as specific country/region ETFs. - NVO, Novo Nordisk. Huge growth as the first GLP-1 provider...I think they're oversold now as the market is afraid of competition. This is a recent entry for me; they're now at pre-GLP 1 prices, with a P/E ~10. All that said, I think value is hard to find right now...but the current volatility makes for a lucrative (but risky) environment for swing trading.
Insider buying is historically a **12–24 month signal**, not a next-quarter earnings predictor. You’re testing a long-term conviction signal against a short-term volatility event. Earnings moves are mostly: • positioning • expectations vs whisper numbers • guidance • macro flows Not fundamentals in isolation. The LUMN example proves it perfectly beat earnings by 209% and still dropped. That wasn’t fundamentals, that was positioning. Would be interesting to see: – Performance 6 months after earnings – Or insider buys clustered within 30 days of earnings – Or buys >1% of insider net worth My guess? The signal probably shows up on a longer horizon.
LUMN but this was a while back when they still had a large dividend. Bought at $10ish and they fell to a little under $2. I held through it and dumped it all eventually around $6-7. I learned that investors get very upset when a company cuts dividends. More recently….PYPL. I bought some shares at $67ish and then added to the position as it fell but after it tanked to the 40s last earnings, i just gave up and dumped my position. Oops. Not sure if I learned my lesson because Im still tempted to hop back in again. Most of my blunders in stocks have been selling stuff too early rather than losing heaps on a stock tanking.
https://preview.redd.it/mtdvpap27ikg1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9bd8750a726f233c22e2be7f50b9e3dff1ddab8a Thanks to #LUMN Klarna had that glorious beat. Buy more LUMN.
Because they were on Lumen Optic Fiber Technology [LUMN](https://x.com/search?q=%24LUMN&src=cashtag_click) = CIENA NEWS TODAY IS EXCELLENT. SEE PICS BELOW. A few things I know about this company, in the screenshots below, and link. I know a single strand of Optic fiber carries more data than Arm thick of copper. I also Know the Lumen Box, they sell to connect to racks offers both a copper & optic fiber port. Enlighten us... [COPX](https://x.com/search?q=%24COPX&src=cashtag_click) prices don't help in the optic fiber full on transition? Lumen boxes literally have Fiber Optic or Copper legacy slots, where the ethernet cable connects to. Company is on a cusp transition period, and CEO is doing an excellent job in this pivot. CEO's She's never been under after her purchase of shares, this last purchase was the largest in two years. Debt pay down, AI agent taking over software. Stock will continue to climb. Beautiful floor from where the CEO bought at 6.35 ; ) Longs thesis will outstrip any short term volatility / shorting. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. These Are the CIENA Boxes Lumen Uses. The Physical Box (Front View) Here is the actual hardware. You can see the distinct difference between the "blocky" copper ports and the "flat" fiber slots. Ports 1-4 (Copper): Standard Ethernet jacks. Ports 5-6 (Fiber): The empty metal cages on the far right. The Problem: Most buildings only have copper. The Solution: This box doesn't care. Lumen mails this to a CEO, they plug their "old" copper internet into Port 1, and the box's software instantly builds a "fiber-quality" encrypted tunnel to Lumen's cloud. The Upsell: Later, when that customer needs more speed, they don't need a new box. They just pull the copper plug, run a fiber line, and plug it into Port 5. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. The 800G Barrier: We are now entering the era of 800G and 1.6T (Terabit) speeds. Copper cables (like Cat6 or Twinax) physically cannot carry that much data further than about 3–5 meters before the signal turns to heat. Heat & Power: Copper is an electrical conductor; it gets hot. In a data center with 100,000 GPUs, the heat generated by copper wiring alone would melt the racks. Fiber uses light (photons), which generates almost zero heat. The Verdict: Between data centers (and even inside the new AI racks), copper is being ripped out and replaced by Active Optical Cables (AOC). Copper is being relegated to "the last 10 feet" and low-power office connections. This is exactly why Lumen ($LUMN) is a "battleground" stock right now. The Bull Case: They own the "arteries" (the long-haul fiber) that AI needs. They are building Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) because they know beaming isn't a threat to the backbone. The "Straw" vs. the "Firehose": Wireless beaming (5G, 6G, Starlink) uses the atmosphere. Air is a "noisy" and crowded medium. Even with the best lasers, beaming can only handle a fraction of the data a single fiber strand can. Latency (The AI Killer): AI compute clusters (like those used by Microsoft or Meta) require microsecond synchronization. Light travels \~30% slower through glass than air, but in the air, signals scatter and "fizzle" over long distances. Fiber provides a controlled, interference-free environment that wireless simply cannot match for high-fidelity AI training. Obsolescence? No. Wireless is for mobility (your phone, a remote farm). Fiber is for mass-scale compute. You can’t run a city’s water supply through a garden hose, and you can’t run AGI through a satellite link. [https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:\~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster](https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster)
Webull will need Fiber Optic: [LUMN](https://x.com/search?q=%24LUMN&src=cashtag_click) = CIENA NEWS TODAY IS EXCELLENT. SEE PICS BELOW. A few things I know about this company, in the screenshots below, and link. I know a single strand of Optic fiber carries more data than Arm thick of copper. I also Know the Lumen Box, they sell to connect to racks offers both a copper & optic fiber port. Enlighten us... [COPX](https://x.com/search?q=%24COPX&src=cashtag_click) prices don't help in the optic fiber full on transition? Lumen boxes literally have Fiber Optic or Copper legacy slots, where the ethernet cable connects to. Company is on a cusp transition period, and CEO is doing an excellent job in this pivot. CEO's She's never been under after her purchase of shares, this last purchase was the largest in two years. Debt pay down, AI agent taking over software. Stock will continue to climb. Beautiful floor from where the CEO bought at 6.35 ; ) Longs thesis will outstrip any short term volatility / shorting. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. These Are the CIENA Boxes Lumen Uses. The Physical Box (Front View) Here is the actual hardware. You can see the distinct difference between the "blocky" copper ports and the "flat" fiber slots. Ports 1-4 (Copper): Standard Ethernet jacks. Ports 5-6 (Fiber): The empty metal cages on the far right. The Problem: Most buildings only have copper. The Solution: This box doesn't care. Lumen mails this to a CEO, they plug their "old" copper internet into Port 1, and the box's software instantly builds a "fiber-quality" encrypted tunnel to Lumen's cloud. The Upsell: Later, when that customer needs more speed, they don't need a new box. They just pull the copper plug, run a fiber line, and plug it into Port 5. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. The 800G Barrier: We are now entering the era of 800G and 1.6T (Terabit) speeds. Copper cables (like Cat6 or Twinax) physically cannot carry that much data further than about 3–5 meters before the signal turns to heat. Heat & Power: Copper is an electrical conductor; it gets hot. In a data center with 100,000 GPUs, the heat generated by copper wiring alone would melt the racks. Fiber uses light (photons), which generates almost zero heat. The Verdict: Between data centers (and even inside the new AI racks), copper is being ripped out and replaced by Active Optical Cables (AOC). Copper is being relegated to "the last 10 feet" and low-power office connections. This is exactly why Lumen ($LUMN) is a "battleground" stock right now. The Bull Case: They own the "arteries" (the long-haul fiber) that AI needs. They are building Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) because they know beaming isn't a threat to the backbone. The "Straw" vs. the "Firehose": Wireless beaming (5G, 6G, Starlink) uses the atmosphere. Air is a "noisy" and crowded medium. Even with the best lasers, beaming can only handle a fraction of the data a single fiber strand can. Latency (The AI Killer): AI compute clusters (like those used by Microsoft or Meta) require microsecond synchronization. Light travels \~30% slower through glass than air, but in the air, signals scatter and "fizzle" over long distances. Fiber provides a controlled, interference-free environment that wireless simply cannot match for high-fidelity AI training. Obsolescence? No. Wireless is for mobility (your phone, a remote farm). Fiber is for mass-scale compute. You can’t run a city’s water supply through a garden hose, and you can’t run AGI through a satellite link. [https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:\~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster](https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster)
Buy the AI super highway to make all that money lost at wanna be Target: [LUMN](https://x.com/search?q=%24LUMN&src=cashtag_click) = CIENA NEWS TODAY IS EXCELLENT. SEE PICS BELOW. A few things I know about this company, in the screenshots below, and link. I know a single strand of Optic fiber carries more data than Arm thick of copper. I also Know the Lumen Box, they sell to connect to racks offers both a copper & optic fiber port. Enlighten us... [COPX](https://x.com/search?q=%24COPX&src=cashtag_click) prices don't help in the optic fiber full on transition? Lumen boxes literally have Fiber Optic or Copper legacy slots, where the ethernet cable connects to. Company is on a cusp transition period, and CEO is doing an excellent job in this pivot. CEO's She's never been under after her purchase of shares, this last purchase was the largest in two years. Debt pay down, AI agent taking over software. Stock will continue to climb. Beautiful floor from where the CEO bought at 6.35 ; ) Longs thesis will outstrip any short term volatility / shorting. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. These Are the CIENA Boxes Lumen Uses. The Physical Box (Front View) Here is the actual hardware. You can see the distinct difference between the "blocky" copper ports and the "flat" fiber slots. Ports 1-4 (Copper): Standard Ethernet jacks. Ports 5-6 (Fiber): The empty metal cages on the far right. The Problem: Most buildings only have copper. The Solution: This box doesn't care. Lumen mails this to a CEO, they plug their "old" copper internet into Port 1, and the box's software instantly builds a "fiber-quality" encrypted tunnel to Lumen's cloud. The Upsell: Later, when that customer needs more speed, they don't need a new box. They just pull the copper plug, run a fiber line, and plug it into Port 5. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. The 800G Barrier: We are now entering the era of 800G and 1.6T (Terabit) speeds. Copper cables (like Cat6 or Twinax) physically cannot carry that much data further than about 3–5 meters before the signal turns to heat. Heat & Power: Copper is an electrical conductor; it gets hot. In a data center with 100,000 GPUs, the heat generated by copper wiring alone would melt the racks. Fiber uses light (photons), which generates almost zero heat. The Verdict: Between data centers (and even inside the new AI racks), copper is being ripped out and replaced by Active Optical Cables (AOC). Copper is being relegated to "the last 10 feet" and low-power office connections. This is exactly why Lumen ($LUMN) is a "battleground" stock right now. The Bull Case: They own the "arteries" (the long-haul fiber) that AI needs. They are building Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) because they know beaming isn't a threat to the backbone. The "Straw" vs. the "Firehose": Wireless beaming (5G, 6G, Starlink) uses the atmosphere. Air is a "noisy" and crowded medium. Even with the best lasers, beaming can only handle a fraction of the data a single fiber strand can. Latency (The AI Killer): AI compute clusters (like those used by Microsoft or Meta) require microsecond synchronization. Light travels \~30% slower through glass than air, but in the air, signals scatter and "fizzle" over long distances. Fiber provides a controlled, interference-free environment that wireless simply cannot match for high-fidelity AI training. Obsolescence? No. Wireless is for mobility (your phone, a remote farm). Fiber is for mass-scale compute. You can’t run a city’s water supply through a garden hose, and you can’t run AGI through a satellite link. [https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:\~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster](https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster) https://preview.redd.it/e84pyhc50ikg1.jpeg?width=1225&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4d19d62db9af62bcf692ab1eb29947b5d1aa8f38
Buy LUMN: [LUMN](https://x.com/search?q=%24LUMN&src=cashtag_click) = CIENA NEWS TODAY IS EXCELLENT. SEE PICS BELOW. A few things I know about this company, in the screenshots below, and link. I know a single strand of Optic fiber carries more data than Arm thick of copper. I also Know the Lumen Box, they sell to connect to racks offers both a copper & optic fiber port. Enlighten us... [COPX](https://x.com/search?q=%24COPX&src=cashtag_click) prices don't help in the optic fiber full on transition? Lumen boxes literally have Fiber Optic or Copper legacy slots, where the ethernet cable connects to. Company is on a cusp transition period, and CEO is doing an excellent job in this pivot. CEO's She's never been under after her purchase of shares, this last purchase was the largest in two years. Debt pay down, AI agent taking over software. Stock will continue to climb. Beautiful floor from where the CEO bought at 6.35 ; ) Longs thesis will outstrip any short term volatility / shorting. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. These Are the CIENA Boxes Lumen Uses. The Physical Box (Front View) Here is the actual hardware. You can see the distinct difference between the "blocky" copper ports and the "flat" fiber slots. Ports 1-4 (Copper): Standard Ethernet jacks. Ports 5-6 (Fiber): The empty metal cages on the far right. The Problem: Most buildings only have copper. The Solution: This box doesn't care. Lumen mails this to a CEO, they plug their "old" copper internet into Port 1, and the box's software instantly builds a "fiber-quality" encrypted tunnel to Lumen's cloud. The Upsell: Later, when that customer needs more speed, they don't need a new box. They just pull the copper plug, run a fiber line, and plug it into Port 5. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. The 800G Barrier: We are now entering the era of 800G and 1.6T (Terabit) speeds. Copper cables (like Cat6 or Twinax) physically cannot carry that much data further than about 3–5 meters before the signal turns to heat. Heat & Power: Copper is an electrical conductor; it gets hot. In a data center with 100,000 GPUs, the heat generated by copper wiring alone would melt the racks. Fiber uses light (photons), which generates almost zero heat. The Verdict: Between data centers (and even inside the new AI racks), copper is being ripped out and replaced by Active Optical Cables (AOC). Copper is being relegated to "the last 10 feet" and low-power office connections. This is exactly why Lumen ($LUMN) is a "battleground" stock right now. The Bull Case: They own the "arteries" (the long-haul fiber) that AI needs. They are building Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) because they know beaming isn't a threat to the backbone. The "Straw" vs. the "Firehose": Wireless beaming (5G, 6G, Starlink) uses the atmosphere. Air is a "noisy" and crowded medium. Even with the best lasers, beaming can only handle a fraction of the data a single fiber strand can. Latency (The AI Killer): AI compute clusters (like those used by Microsoft or Meta) require microsecond synchronization. Light travels \~30% slower through glass than air, but in the air, signals scatter and "fizzle" over long distances. Fiber provides a controlled, interference-free environment that wireless simply cannot match for high-fidelity AI training. Obsolescence? No. Wireless is for mobility (your phone, a remote farm). Fiber is for mass-scale compute. You can’t run a city’s water supply through a garden hose, and you can’t run AGI through a satellite link. [https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:\~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster](https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster) https://preview.redd.it/wwxv9blxzhkg1.jpeg?width=1225&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cf293a5fa9d522417d5ec8ff3c33a36ecc815044
Netflix and AI agents gonna need a ALOT of OPTIC FIBER: [LUMN](https://x.com/search?q=%24LUMN&src=cashtag_click) = CIENA NEWS TODAY IS EXCELLENT. SEE PICS BELOW. A few things I know about this company, in the screenshots below, and link. I know a single strand of Optic fiber carries more data than Arm thick of copper. I also Know the Lumen Box, they sell to connect to racks offers both a copper & optic fiber port. Enlighten us... [COPX](https://x.com/search?q=%24COPX&src=cashtag_click) prices don't help in the optic fiber full on transition? Lumen boxes literally have Fiber Optic or Copper legacy slots, where the ethernet cable connects to. Company is on a cusp transition period, and CEO is doing an excellent job in this pivot. CEO's She's never been under after her purchase of shares, this last purchase was the largest in two years. Debt pay down, AI agent taking over software. Stock will continue to climb. Beautiful floor from where the CEO bought at 6.35 ; ) Longs thesis will outstrip any short term volatility / shorting. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. These Are the CIENA Boxes Lumen Uses. The Physical Box (Front View) Here is the actual hardware. You can see the distinct difference between the "blocky" copper ports and the "flat" fiber slots. Ports 1-4 (Copper): Standard Ethernet jacks. Ports 5-6 (Fiber): The empty metal cages on the far right. The Problem: Most buildings only have copper. The Solution: This box doesn't care. Lumen mails this to a CEO, they plug their "old" copper internet into Port 1, and the box's software instantly builds a "fiber-quality" encrypted tunnel to Lumen's cloud. The Upsell: Later, when that customer needs more speed, they don't need a new box. They just pull the copper plug, run a fiber line, and plug it into Port 5. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. The 800G Barrier: We are now entering the era of 800G and 1.6T (Terabit) speeds. Copper cables (like Cat6 or Twinax) physically cannot carry that much data further than about 3–5 meters before the signal turns to heat. Heat & Power: Copper is an electrical conductor; it gets hot. In a data center with 100,000 GPUs, the heat generated by copper wiring alone would melt the racks. Fiber uses light (photons), which generates almost zero heat. The Verdict: Between data centers (and even inside the new AI racks), copper is being ripped out and replaced by Active Optical Cables (AOC). Copper is being relegated to "the last 10 feet" and low-power office connections. This is exactly why Lumen ($LUMN) is a "battleground" stock right now. The Bull Case: They own the "arteries" (the long-haul fiber) that AI needs. They are building Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) because they know beaming isn't a threat to the backbone. The "Straw" vs. the "Firehose": Wireless beaming (5G, 6G, Starlink) uses the atmosphere. Air is a "noisy" and crowded medium. Even with the best lasers, beaming can only handle a fraction of the data a single fiber strand can. Latency (The AI Killer): AI compute clusters (like those used by Microsoft or Meta) require microsecond synchronization. Light travels \~30% slower through glass than air, but in the air, signals scatter and "fizzle" over long distances. Fiber provides a controlled, interference-free environment that wireless simply cannot match for high-fidelity AI training. Obsolescence? No. Wireless is for mobility (your phone, a remote farm). Fiber is for mass-scale compute. You can’t run a city’s water supply through a garden hose, and you can’t run AGI through a satellite link. https://preview.redd.it/am4wrd6mzhkg1.jpeg?width=1225&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fc1b5f90ff26bd49284ef67c00032acc1c406656 [https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:\~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster](https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster)
[LUMN](https://x.com/search?q=%24LUMN&src=cashtag_click) = CIENA NEWS TODAY IS EXCELLENT. SEE PICS BELOW. A few things I know about this company, in the screenshots below, and link. I know a single strand of Optic fiber carries more data than Arm thick of copper. I also Know the Lumen Box, they sell to connect to racks offers both a copper & optic fiber port. Enlighten us... [COPX](https://x.com/search?q=%24COPX&src=cashtag_click) prices don't help in the optic fiber full on transition? Lumen boxes literally have Fiber Optic or Copper legacy slots, where the ethernet cable connects to. Company is on a cusp transition period, and CEO is doing an excellent job in this pivot. CEO's She's never been under after her purchase of shares, this last purchase was the largest in two years. Debt pay down, AI agent taking over software. Stock will continue to climb. Beautiful floor from where the CEO bought at 6.35 ; ) Longs thesis will outstrip any short term volatility / shorting. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. These Are the CIENA Boxes Lumen Uses. The Physical Box (Front View) Here is the actual hardware. You can see the distinct difference between the "blocky" copper ports and the "flat" fiber slots. Ports 1-4 (Copper): Standard Ethernet jacks. Ports 5-6 (Fiber): The empty metal cages on the far right. The Problem: Most buildings only have copper. The Solution: This box doesn't care. Lumen mails this to a CEO, they plug their "old" copper internet into Port 1, and the box's software instantly builds a "fiber-quality" encrypted tunnel to Lumen's cloud. The Upsell: Later, when that customer needs more speed, they don't need a new box. They just pull the copper plug, run a fiber line, and plug it into Port 5. The box stays, the software stays, but the revenue to Lumen likely triples. The 800G Barrier: We are now entering the era of 800G and 1.6T (Terabit) speeds. Copper cables (like Cat6 or Twinax) physically cannot carry that much data further than about 3–5 meters before the signal turns to heat. Heat & Power: Copper is an electrical conductor; it gets hot. In a data center with 100,000 GPUs, the heat generated by copper wiring alone would melt the racks. Fiber uses light (photons), which generates almost zero heat. The Verdict: Between data centers (and even inside the new AI racks), copper is being ripped out and replaced by Active Optical Cables (AOC). Copper is being relegated to "the last 10 feet" and low-power office connections. This is exactly why Lumen ($LUMN) is a "battleground" stock right now. The Bull Case: They own the "arteries" (the long-haul fiber) that AI needs. They are building Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) because they know beaming isn't a threat to the backbone. The "Straw" vs. the "Firehose": Wireless beaming (5G, 6G, Starlink) uses the atmosphere. Air is a "noisy" and crowded medium. Even with the best lasers, beaming can only handle a fraction of the data a single fiber strand can. Latency (The AI Killer): AI compute clusters (like those used by Microsoft or Meta) require microsecond synchronization. Light travels \~30% slower through glass than air, but in the air, signals scatter and "fizzle" over long distances. Fiber provides a controlled, interference-free environment that wireless simply cannot match for high-fidelity AI training. Obsolescence? No. Wireless is for mobility (your phone, a remote farm). Fiber is for mass-scale compute. You can’t run a city’s water supply through a garden hose, and you can’t run AGI through a satellite link. h[ttps://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:\~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster](https://assets.lumen.com/is/content/Lumen/corporate-fact-sheet?Creativeid=4f7e6499-2b20-423c-a7e5-c6f7a448a1cf#:~:text=Lumen%20Technologies%20(NYSE:%20LUMN),to%20achieve%20their%20goals%20faster) https://preview.redd.it/lm63i994yhkg1.jpeg?width=1225&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=09d7f463f4caaafe8192a4c493e34df9f3aac682
Is LUMN a good optics company to buy? There are many optics companies in this sector (GLW CIEN NOK LITE etc) so I'm not sure what their MOAT is
LUMN. datacenters are going to keep being built. Someone needs to connect them.
LUMN another Govt contract.....Lets Go!!
Long hold on a lot of LUMN at $5, expecting big things from SLS (been there since it was $1.5). Gambling a decent chunk on POET. Holding a few other things but also weighting heaving in SGOV and SCHD because things are feeling funky.
And who bought all that fiber? LUMN
LUMN should be pumping since seahawks won.
The FOMO on LUMN is so real. I should have bought at $6 *scratches head*
My entire portfolio lost 17% today. Two largest holdings were LUMN (-21.8%) and IREN (-17%). Tough day, feeling numb, geez they both shit the bed.
I wouldn't be surprised if AI loses steam and AI infrastructure picks up. Calls on LUMN
I saw some post about RKLB when it was like $6 and threw a few hundred at it cause I had some gains from juicy LUMN calls. I should have maxed the CC though.
LUMN just completed a huge debt restructuring combined with an upcoming debt pay down in the first quarter and last week someone on ST board mentioned the CVNA example 🤔
LUMN is building out critical AI infrastructure and still valued like a dying telecom.
LUMN for sure. Maybe ONDS. Theres a small cap stock 330m I’m pretty hot on. Once it hits 500 I can post about it here.
I expect 4x from LUMN after their deal closes next year.
Agree that its valuation is insane at the moment. I wouldn’t touch it even with a mile long stick at the current price level. Having said that, let’s wait for SpaceX IPO. What percentage of that would be Starlink? We will find out. ASTS should benefit greatly if SpaceX really hits 800-1000B market cap! The whole idea of actively managing your portfolio is also to actively manage risks. Else I would just invest in ETFs. Sure, investing in a potential multibagger is a risk. You just have to manage the risk until the greater market finds out the potential. I also bought Alphabet at 120, RKLB at 4, QS at 3.75, LUMN at 5. These have paid me off well! All of them were deemed risky when I bought them. Now they all have a floor below which they just refuse to trade. Get in early if you can!
Multiple waves of people made money on MSTRbate but there’s always the last wave that buys in at 19000% all time high and loses their ass. My big wins were OPEN PATH GETY UAMY LUMN PTON OPTX It was the best year financially in my 40+ years. Am down about $50K from a couple months ago but took plenty of money out to make it real.
Surprised that LUMN has not caught fire yet. They own a ton of the network infrastructure needed for these data centers, have a world class leadership team (their CEO ran Microsoft’s business in Americas) and knows how to modernize the business model, and the stock is still priced like they are about to go bankrupt. I think 2-3x returns in the next few years is inevitable.
What's up with **$LUMN**. First, partnered with PLTR, then debt issuance. Hold or quit?
Strange I did the same thing with PLTR and rolled into LUMN. Great minds…
LUMN just go up for like 2 straight days gotdam
Tossing my favorite for the year out there, LUMN. All these AI datacenters have to connect somehow. LUMN
Thanks kind stranger for calling the LUMN pump today!
Christ Almighty, is LUMN a short squeeze?
!banbet LUMN $10 1w
LUMN, PLBY, LYG, TE are my moves tomorrow. buying more
How tf does LUMN go up 7.5% yesterday and then right back down 7.5% today?
Don’t sleep on LUMN, formerly CenturyLink
Very nice, I forgot about LUMN
buying more of LYG, TE, CIB, NU, LUMN tomorrow
Girl friend wanted Lulu lemon. I bought LUMN. 😔