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$CAKE $OWL $ET $MRO Todays YOLO bets for Earnings BULLISH
Blue $Owl | Professional Sports Minority Investments Commenced | 2021 AUM: $0.2 billion
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Read away. Alot of options trades in the note. 1. Oracle (ORCL) Strategy: Long Puts Expiry: January 2026 Thesis: Credit & Capital Expenditure Risks: Betting on credit deterioration driven by aggressive capital expenditures. Context: Concerns center on the massive infrastructure spend required for AI ambitions, which may pressure free cash flow and credit metrics over the next 12–18 months. 2. Blue Owl (OWL) Strategy: Long Puts Rationale: Tactical Short Dividend Avoidance: Blue Owl pays a high dividend yield (typically ~6-9%). Shorting the stock directly would require paying this dividend to the lender (negative cost of carry). Option Advantage: Buying puts provides downside exposure without the obligation to pay the dividend, improving the risk/reward profile of the bearish bet. 3. Structured Note: "The Santa Claus Shark Fin" Underlying: S&P 500 (SPX) or Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Tenor: 12 Months Downside Protection: 100% Principal Protection (at maturity) Payoff Structure Upside Participation: 150% (1.5x leverage) on positive returns. Barrier (Knock-Out): +15% Condition: If the underlying index rises by more than 15% at any point (or at maturity, depending on specific terms), the participation feature is eliminated. Rebate: 4.00% Fixed Coupon Trigger: Paid only if the barrier is breached (i.e., if the index goes up too much). Scenario Analysis Market Move Outcome Payoff Calculation Moderate Bull (+10%) Participation Active Principal + (10% × 1.5) = 15.0% Return Strong Bull (+20%) Knock-Out Hit Principal + 4.0% Rebate (Upside lost) Bear / Flat (-5%) Principal Protected 0% Return (Principal returned fully) Structural Composition Long: Zero-Coupon Bond (funds the principal protection). Long: 1.5x At-The-Money (ATM) Call Options. Short: 1.5x Out-of-The-Money (OTM) Knock-Out Barrier Options (at the +15% strike). Note: The sale of the barrier option funds the leverage (1.5x) on the ATM call.
For the love of God, get out of chips and into small caps or dividend studs. OWL is the best! And I think I own 10% of them by now. Now if I only knew what they actually do
If you ever feel stupid, just know today somebody is going to invest in AMD and/or NVDA instead of OWL. 🤤 / 🦉
How tf did you make an entire sub out of this. Only stock that matters is OWL. It's on the mat right now, but beloved. CEO has the most perfect egghead with horseshoe hair and offers a dividend that would make even Warren Buffett hard. 🦉
OWL looks fine despite the hysteria going around.
It kind of does though. Those two things are still in the AI trade. Like nuclear is pumping because of the power needs and thought that it will power data centers. It's possible to have certain parts of the AI trade be a bubble while the whole thing isn't. Just like I would also be worried about stuff like OWL that does the financing. I'm not worried about like some of the biggest companies in the world during a lot of Capex.
Ever see the movie Platoon when that guy said, voice quivering, "I got a bad feeling about this man" and then they got lit up by the Viet Cong hours later. Yeah, that's these momentum stocks about to fold, hard, en masse. Get out, drop in the steady dividend snores. PG, VZ, OWL, O, etc. Save yourselves!
The dominoes are falling in this shit hurricane and NVDA is in the eye of it. Crwv -> Nvda OWL -> other scam ai infra startups Owl -> crwv To name a few And nvda has 7 years of crwv support in its plans and books and has stake in crwv.
Just read on which entities are exposed via stake in CRWV, WULF, CIFR, OWL Holy fuck, gfc was a grain of rice compared to this entire fucking sack
Based on previous crashes, it's the credit market where this thing finally breaks. I'm guessing that the first place you'll see the insanity of the AI boom hit corporate bottom lines is in the $$ being laid out for datacenter capacity. For the all hype, very few organizations are moving to use AI at anything like enterprise scale. But tech's big players have gone all-in on building out the capacity to delivery AI infrastructure. A huge portion of the data center capacity built over the past couple of years is sitting dark. Demand just doesn't exist and won't exist for a very long time. I'm keeping a close eye on Blue Owl Capital NYSE: OWL as a potential crash warning. Blue Owl has been doing a lot of data center financing. It's a shady investment group that went public through a SPAC. They've been making huge investments in financing data center buildouts. When companies start reneging on those contracts, they'll be one of the first to get hit. Interestingly, they're way down during a huge year for the markets, despite massive revenue growth.
Demand. SOFR is still a market-set rate. It is generally not supposed to go above IORB for long, because when it does banks can arbitrage them back to parity, so IORB is considered a ceiling. SOFR spikes above IORB when there is high demand for cash or collateral. SOFR has been going above IORB at quarter ends for "window-dressing"---essentially everyone trying to get a good balance sheet snapshot for their 10-Qs. The spike in mid-Sept was to pay corporate taxes. But now? There is no obvious innocuous explanation, so it's probably related to regional banks and private credit: JEF, FITB, ZION, WAL, OWL, KKR, BX, etc.
You know what else is dumping - private credit and regional banks KKR, OWL down, WAL down big
OWL got a deal with Qatar (3 billion dollars)
$DUOL is gonna hit $1000 by the end of the year. THAT BASTARD OWL WOULD NEVER FAIL ME
Solid! I can never figure out OWL. If it's legit, that's a great buy. Why would WM be a stagflation hedge, out of curiosity? Wouldn't higher wage pressures put pressure on their margins, which can only be renegotiated periodically? Just curious as I hadn't really thought of them in that fashion.
Fair enough, I'm looking at buying more WM as a stagflation hedge. Already picked up some OXY when it was in the doldrums too. Bought a bit of OWL as a speculative buy for long term, I think there's opportunity for alternative assets when all these 401ks get opened up to them and they have good management.
Is anyone here invested in Blue Owl Capital (OWL) and can tell me something about it? Trump owns 5-25 million $ worth of this stock [https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/President-Donald-J.-Trump.pdf](https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/President-Donald-J.-Trump.pdf) (page 7)
So glad I went hard into OWL last night. There's definitely still room for smaller private equities to grow if y'all want in.
"IT consultancy Gartner predicts that more than 40 percent of agentic AI projects will be cancelled by the end of 2027 due to rising costs, unclear business value, or insufficient risk controls. Using two agent frameworks – OpenHands CodeAct and OWL-Roleplay – the CMU boffins put the following models through their paces and evaluated them based on the task success rates. The results were underwhelming. Gemini-2.5-Pro (30.3 percent) Claude-3.7-Sonnet (26.3 percent) Claude-3.5-Sonnet (24 percent) Gemini-2.0-Flash (11.4 percent) GPT-4o (8.6 percent) o3-mini (4.0 percent) Gemini-1.5-Pro (3.4 percent) Amazon-Nova-Pro-v1 (1.7 percent) Llama-3.1-405b (7.4 percent) Llama-3.3-70b (6.9 percent)" Just thought some ppl need to see this.
...in addition to BRK.A , MKL , & OWL
OWL is where BRK.A & MKL were once. Except, its special is dividends. Those are Infinity Stones for the few real humans here. Our autism knows no bounds!
OWL is where BRK.A & MKL were once. Except, it's special is dividends. Those are real people Infinity Stones
I'm awful at options. Down -$22k over life, mostly done, but still sometimes play. My IRA holdings are GREAT though. (+18% & +20% YTD) Here's one 'not financial advice' picks from both. Traditional, for steady 'bluechip'/steady dividend studs: OWL Roth, for discretionary speculative growth studs: VITL OWL is venture credit with CEO with perfect horseshoe hair. VITL does 'responsible' farming/pricey eggs, but delicious. You're welcome. Remember me! 🤠👍
Why is OWL moving after hours?
Look at OWL How the fuck does 145 share move a stock over 2 dollars!?
Listen to me if you want to make money: Buy REITS they are extremely undervalued and have dividends dates soon COLD DOC OWL VICI DLR
I'm betting the private credit market will crash by September. Puts on APO, ARES and OWL
https://preview.redd.it/6men8ajden1f1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=fcb6bd9e4d577ac4e67b1f5f487ddb449bea971d HIMS bots, and their masters, hate this guy. It's the OWL CEO. And you know there's no way an egghead like this doesn't know his sh\*t. He's an alternative capital king tailor made for Mark Cuban (who knows he needs this guy) and his Cost Plus Drugs when it goes public. HIMS is on borrowed time with its gas station dick pills and faux fat jabs. As aside, OWL is phenomenal firm, with a better dividend 🦉😃
XLRE / VNQ underperforming vs the market recovery, housing market showing cracks XLF is a different story. not as confident about this anymore as I'm afraid whatever exposure could be covered by the meme-market pumps. IMO if history remains true in the future SOMEBODY has to default and that's why I'm going short on the basket itself, not just individual banks, but I have them too (OWL, ZION, APO, ARES, JPM, BAC, WFC) just in smaller portions and again deep OTM far expiry All in I will lose about $6,000 by 2027 if we don't see some sort of recession by then, but I think the majority of WSB/ Americans are ignoring the warning signs for a **global** recession and are short sighted by the value of american tech / drunk off the bull party
I know just about everything is up today. But really happy with the PE firm sector APO, KKR, OWL, BX, CG etc. Really glad I bought a couple names when the tarrif stuff brought back the FUD of them going bankrupt from either people pulling out money from them or their private credit blowing up on them.
Sold KKR for a loss 2 weeks ago and immediately reinvested equally in APO and OWL for same reasons
I spent a few years learning a TA system called OWL. All my setups come from that framework, with trades being made on a 5min chart. I buy puts/calls on large cap names and will swing shares in low cap names or names that only have an OpEx option. Typically, the size of options position is 1/10th of what I use for shares. I started using an options calculator prior to trades to ensure my cover point was at no more than a 30% loss. At this point I have a typical option price I’m looking for and trade tight, meaning my cover pt is usually half a %pt from my entry. If more I size less. I have absolutely zero predictive ability or directional bias, I just try to read the tape to the best of my ability which certainly creates a sense of humility and keeps me going. I focus on individual charts more than macros but being in tune with the economic calendar and whenever J Powell speaks, anywhere, is key as we saw on Wed.
If you want to do this and harvest losses - you can sell the security and buy something similar. I would not sell to hold cash and try to time the market because you risk losing out if things flip back upward. But for example - I sold my KKR at a loss and reinvested it in APO and OWL which trade in pretty close. Tandem w/ KKR. Locked in a loss to offset some capital gains but don’t lose exposure so I don’t miss out on potential upside. Don’t try to time the market - that’s is why retail investors underperform.
If you want exposure to private equity you can get it via public markets by investing in the firms. You can buy BX, APO, BN, Ares, CG, OWL, or KKR. If private equity does well - so will those securities. You also get the benefit of liquidity.
I was looking at OWL and KRR. Any reason OWL isn't on your list?
Calls on $OWL. That must have been a shitty car to begin with. More shit ain’t shit thought the owl 🦉
OWL invested $5B, $2B market cap, analyst target over $10, that's all I need and get the computers in the building faster. Bought 10 $10 2027 LEAPs and will probably add.
What a report damn! Do you still like OWL at these levels? Seemed like a decent report and surprised by the sell off
Top: APP Flop: GCT Surprise: HNRG Sector MVP: Industrial Most Played: OWL (buying)
I thought thread was going to be about having two stocks in same sector. Like owning two between APO, BX, KKR, OWL.
OWL and the other PE companies because...reduced regulation and more possible acquisitions?
I've been looking into $OWL recently. I haven't been able to figure out what the bull case is for this company. Any hints?
PLTR is in the Trump stock basket now. The Trump trade has been great so far with TSLA, JPM, GS, MS, KKR, OWL. Going to keep riding the trade I think it has some more room to run.
OWL's more invested in private credit these days. But they're very conservative and only work with investment-grade companies with stellar credit quality. Retail investors were acting like they didn't dissect UPST's risk profile and the whole argument was a big error.
UPST up 40% after surpassing analyst estimates. And people - not here, but elsewhere - were doubting why OWL purchased their debt.
Mag 7. For non Mag 7 stocks that dont get brought up as much PE firms such as KKR, APO, OWL, and BX. Also JPM, GS, and MS since there will likely be more mergers and acquisitions and they are the picks and shovels of that were you benefit no matter which company gets bought out.
It was the first one that came to mind: it came in second place between OWL when I was choosing an alternate asset manager for the portfolio. BIPC and BBU are pretty good choices too.
PE firms such as KKR, APO, OWL, and BX stand to benefit. Less taxes and less scrutiny on M&A. Also JPM and GS for two other stocks over the coming years.
Public equity stocks such as KKR, APO, OWL, etc seem to be loving the election results.
**OWL Q3 2024 Results** * 3Q EPS of 4 cents a share, up from 3 cents a share last year. They'll never fix this goofy accounting nonsense, but whatever. 🙄 * Revenue up 40% YoY to $600.9 million. * Excluding certain items, adjusted distributable earnings came in at 20 cents a share, in line with the average Wall Street estimate. * Revenue (categorized as fee-related earnings) up 38% YoY to $568.3 million. * Assets under management rose 50% to $234.6 billion, beating FactSet consensus of $228.8 billion.
BIRD up 4.5%, HRNG up 10%, OWL up 3%, PSIX breaking 20.75 resistance. Nice day.
Its to protect kids. Theres currently a class action suit against all the big firms. OWL, COD, RBLX. Cause kids these days dont come out there bedrooms and when the parents force them to eat they throw fits. Its taking a toll on their psychology and developing the same type of disorders drug addicts have. The dopamine rush of a win in battle royal is taking more out of the dopamine reward for doing something useful.
WHATS THE OWL?? BIRD * and bird bitches
Interesting. What’s the bull thesis for OWL?
OWL ABL JBI (whacked recently)
Jim Cramer saw my X/Tweet. (I ain't hard to find) This site/shit is less current, happenin', and cool than Hamster Dance. If have any wits about you. Invest in OWL. Yes, invest...NOT options (but it let's you)...or something of sort. Flair users are cringe dull mod/bots/alts. Hi all 😁
WSB mods hate this one simple trick: Fuck options. Place OWL in port, limiting exposure within reason. Sit back and let it go and grow. But, yes...mods, err, 'users' with flair. Tell us more about your Kohl's position 🤤😴
Ever spend...way, way...too long on response, ya wish ya made its own post. I'm doing both. -- No idea what you're trying to say. Take or leave it. I have no other connect to OWL but observing it over years from pre-pandemic or me on WSB thru now. It's as solid as any single equity. With moderate fluctuation, but legit...let me say this once more...legit...one of the best dividends, not only relative to price. But, stability. It's great invest, minding exposure. In bulk practice, they provide capital ($) to private firms. The danger with class is if they get rugged by major invest, they can fold in sec. But, they seem cut above. Again...I'm not selling option (but OWL offers those. DON'T) Just get small position relative to port. 5 shares? 5000 shares? (If like the corrupt loaded r/wallstreetbets mods *with flair). I'm regard just watching simpleton RH 'charts' since 2018. They are a rock. G'luck a'hole
No idea what you're trying to say. Take or leave it. I have no other connect to OWL but observing it over years from pre-pandemic or me on WSB thru now. It's as solid as any single equity. With moderate fluctuation, but legit...let me say this once more...legit...one of the best dividends, not only relative to price. But, stability. It's great invest, minding exposure. In bulk practice, they provide capital ($) to private firms. The danger with class is if they get rugged by major invest, they can fold in sec. But, they seem cut above. Again...I'm not selling option (but OWL offers those. DON'T) Just get small position relative to port. 5 shares? 5000 shares? (If like the corrupt loaded r/wallstreetbets mods *with flair). I'm regard just watching simpleton RH 'charts' since 2018. They are a rock. G'luck a'hole
*IWL = OWL. The ticker is OWL Just correcting unfortunate typo
Oh, before this cake day thing under my name expires. I'm not a parasite like the mods/ops. Decent ticker to check is OWL. I'm invested. But only in IRAs. It's good in general. For retirement, naturally hedged ETFs are best. But, many, including me accept limited exposure to single tickers. IWL is relatively stable (+/- $2.50 skew around $17, at moment) Awesome dividend. Is option play. But, don't. Great choice, especially to grow with div reinvestment. Just have limited shares relative to port. And let it go
I don't have flair. I'm not on RDDT/WSB payroll. I'm just offering something I've held pre-pandemic, meme-frenzy, and ppl going to hell that try to exploit folks exploring something new here. 0DTE 🤤 OWL is a good one. That's it
WSB fears boomers. What if you suggested a single ticker, that does trade options. But is more a sustained, quality, investment play. That yields more than many ETFs, yet oddly, likely more secure...and almost certainly with a better dividend. OWL Full disclosure: I'm invested. But only as investment in IRAs. It's tops among private equity investment firms. The danger with this class is. If undisclosed project goes south, tanking them, at snap of finger, they gone. If feared, wouldn't have... OWL
Primarily EPD and NLCP. Waiting for OWL to bottom out.
Hi all. Any advice appreciated. Just invested last week: || || |Name|Symbol| Cost Basis % | |Berkshite Hathaway Inc|BRK/B|8%| |Blackstone Inc|BX|8%| |Blue Owl Cap Inc Class A|OWL|8%| |Energy Transfer L P LP|ET|7%| |Enterprise Prods Part LP|EPD|7%| |Dimensional U.S. Small Cap ETF|DFAS|3%| |Innovator Equity Managed Floor ETF|SFLR|12%| |Vanguard Mid-Cap Index Fund ETF Shares|VO|5%| |Cascade Private Capital Fund Class|CPEFX|12%| |DFA U.S. Micro Cap Portfolio Institutational Class|DFSCX|8%| |Stepstone Private markets|SPRIM|12%| |Cliffwater Corporate Lending|CCLFX|6%| |Cliffwater Enhanced Lending|CELFX|4%|
I'm not buying the blue owl ticker $OWL. I am buying into their tech income corp where they do direct lending to tech companies.
TELL. Negative part: 1) LNG related companies are heavily shorted by hedges since the pause policy. 2) natural gas price has decreased hugely since 2023, which brings huge challenge to get enough money for their driftwood project. Positive part: 1) they are trying their best to raise money to push driftwood project, including lease-back with OWL and agreement with Aethon. 2) US LNG pause policy will not affect driftwood project, which brings huge opportunity for TELL to raise money from investment, Saudi Aramco have made three contacts with them and visit Driftwood project site also. In general, there is potential for TELL due to exemptions from pause policy. The natural gas price is also gradually recover. Will keep an eye on it. Not financial advice. P.S. the shorting interest for this stock is ridiculous high up to 20% for 3 months already. In the meantime, the price continues to climb from 0.4 to 0.8. Possible Short squeeze detected. Not financial advice.
TELL. Negative part: 1) LNG related companies are heavily shorted by hedges since the pause policy. 2) natural gas price has decreased hugely since 2023. Positive part: 1) they are trying their best to raise money to push driftwood project, including lease-back with OWL and agreement with Aethon. 2) US LNG pause policy will not affect driftwood project, which brings huge opportunity for TELL to raise money from investment, Saudi Aramco have made three contacts with them and visit Driftwood project site also. In general, there is potential for TELL due to exemptions from pause policy. The natural gas price is also gradually recover. Will keep an eye on it. Not financial advice.
OWL looks like a great value play if it craters below $16.50. Its current price is based on FUD and nothing else.
LFG got bought out after 12 months above NAV JBI MLTX OCS NAMS OWL CCCS
If you want to buy an alternative asset company I would buy ARES or OWL. Both have been killing it lately and have much more room for growth than blackstone. Owl just raised their dividend 28% yoy and their gp stakes business is the best out of all alt asset managers. Can't go wrong with either.
Puts on $MDB, $TSM, $WKD, Calls on $OWL, $XOM
My calls printed a bit, not much because there was not 08/3 dated ones but I was but I was bullish since my father thought he was paying monthly for the family plan but 85$ got taken out and he just accepted it as it makes sense. Bullish on the murderous OWL.
OWL earnings in. Nailed it!!
OWL reports tomorrow premarket Near ATH with 5% short interest 
Should have put it on OWL. https://preview.redd.it/sd4y9su4xdfc1.png?width=1079&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=083952f554897917430c45b9b594093fa1c82c3e
Full port OWL shares and wait