ROI

abroadbroadband

Do MILFs get ads about me being in their area? ...because I'm getting no ROI on these ads that I'm paying for

FullCopy

2024 is the year of AI ROI. ChatGPT got everybody excited last year. Now, companies will need to see the value, not just the hype.

TipTup85

I work for them. It's crazy how they didn't care about spending money until around October last year when they began to layoff a lot of the fat at positions they created during covid and finally caring about ROI before you spend money on a project. It's finally starting to show in the recent quarter results

Logical-Dust9445

I'm initiating a long, so I'm not really concerned with short term. Here are the other pieces of the puzzle you're missing: 1. There's significant energy price inflation right now. All my relatives talk about it constantly. With the 30% tax cuts on solar installations, I predict it will be even easier for SPWR to demonstrate ROI, ESP. as rates decrease later. I think they can do it right now due to the high energy cost inflation + tax credits. 2. They're one of if not the only providers operating in all 50 states. 3. Bills to further reduce tax credits have bi-partisan support, there's even [additional credits considered for low-income folks that are experiencing hardships due to inflating energy costs.](https://citylimits.org/2024/03/11/updated-tax-credit-would-help-low-income-homeowners-afford-solar-panels-environmentalists-say/) I think enough investors are starting to see the value and shorts are caught between a rock and hard place. If it stays between $3-$3.50 for much longer, it's just going to force them to take a loss. Because it is a good long term value play, I think it could have short term positives.

_hiddenscout

I think something that gets lost on investors that aren't technical is that "AI" can be somewhat ambiguous. A lot of companies where working more on Machine Learning, ML, before LLM's got more popular the past year. What feels like now is people are trying to figure out how to use LLM's. Like Machine Learning is more akin to what Google was doing with DeepMind. It's also still probably where a lot of companies will find value and ROI. Still feels like the LLM's aspect of AI where the capex is going now and we are still trying to figure the thing out. Like even with the notion of companies working on "AI" laptops, still makes me wonder how much the consumer actually wants some of this stuff compared to companies just pushing it out. I still think there is going to be huge use cases for in the future, but just not sure how long it's going to take. Especially since this LLM models take way more power and computing compared to just doing something as a ML.

I-am-in-Agreement

Idk how many microchips will NVDA sell to big companies before they all realize that the ROI is just not worth upgrading every year.

JBob250

I don't know anything about stocks, but anything promising A.I. that's not a big fish like Google is snake oil. I know a lot about these erp, crm, advertising types, they're useless ROI and they won't last, they're just riding the A.I. wave in an industry small business owner types think is magic

_hiddenscout

At some point the capex will stop. Investors at some point will need to see ROI from all the investment. The thing is, a lot of the capex is going towards AI chips, but really AI is kind of ambiguous. Like before LLM's got popular, there was already a ton of work going on with Machine Learning, ML. ML I think is actually where companies can get a lot of ROI. The chatbot stuff is cool, but still feels like we are trying to discover and figure out more business use cases. Like I think at some point, we will see it take more effect in places like call centers, but for things outside of business, still not sure how popular LLM's are for just regular people. Polling still feels like it's very early on: [https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/03/26/americans-use-of-chatgpt-is-ticking-up-but-few-trust-its-election-information/](https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/03/26/americans-use-of-chatgpt-is-ticking-up-but-few-trust-its-election-information/)

LitrlyNoOne

By that logic, their streaming service is just people opting into advertising. Not a bad perspective. Ads are a cost with an merch ROI.

Jaybru17

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/1rcHh3lGmT I posted about them a few months back because the loan announcement was imminent (though the size of it surprised me). I think getting in under $4 is a good time but don’t expect to see any kind of actual ROI for at least 2-3 years when they get production ramped. Even then it’s a gamble that they’ll be profitable. I made some money on options for the loan announcement but still hold just 20 shares.

karangoswamikenz

Tech is real and useful. But there is an ROI that it will have to make for all this investment. The amount of investment going into this tech is 3 times that of what went into making literally all the iPhones in the world, but the current ROI is less than 1/4 of a quarter of iPhone sales.

its-a-me-im-a-back-a

C. Neither of the above It's a scam pushing the idea that there's some "hidden value" that only Crashie can see in trash companies that nobody wants to touch. Magic beans stuff. It's not just that people are aware of how idiotic this woman sounds that guarantees that there will never be a comeback. Look at the fund's 5-year history. From now and for \*the entire next 5 years to come\*, this fund will be showing something like: 5-year ROI : -400% see my point? NOBODY will touch this toxic cesspool for at least 5 years.C. Neither of the aboveIt's a scam pushing the idea that there's some "hidden value" that only Crashie can see in trash companies that nobody wants to touch. Magic beans stuff.It's not just that people are aware of how idiotic this woman sounds that guarantees that there will never be a comeback.Look at the fund's 5-year history. From now and for \*the entire next 5 years to come\*, this fund will be showing something like:5-year ROI : -400%see my point? NOBODY will touch this toxic cesspool for at least 5 years.

devereaux

I keep saying that CapEx isn't unlimited and capital isn't free so people better be delivering ROI quickly

Affectionate-Tax9885

I think CRM might be a canary in the coal mine — tech valuations are contingent on monetizing AI capex. If you can’t demonstrate ROI soon, investors will punish you

Brazilian-options

You have no idea about business lol Show me the ROI of all this CAPEX on Data Centers being built with Nvidia’s GPUs. For NVIDIA to justify it’s price their revenue must go up by more than 5x, if they maintain monopoly margins, by 10x if their margins go to 30%. It’s not reasonable to assume perpetual annual capex of 1 trillion dollars worldwide over data centers that so far have not made any returns lol

Staticks

If you've actually done the ROI calculations for credit spreads, and compared them to naked options, you would have found that they actually have a greater percentage return on capital than selling naked. This is especially true if the spreads are narrow. But I doubt you've actually done those calculations.

JimBeanery

I am not a knowledgeable options trader by any means. I started about 4 months ago and I've made 11 trades (2 losers, 9 winners) for a 15.5% ROI. Currently no open positions. It's been going pretty well so far. I've been taking it extremely slow. Prioritizing taking profit over maximizing gains. Looking for my next play atm.

mirthfun

Your ROI for your investment is pretty long. If you made it back in 10 to 15 years that'd be optimistic. If you just want to have more place to hang out with friends and more variety and money is not a problem for you,then go ahead. If you are looking for a sound investment to make more money than you will likely not make more money for a really long time and it's probably not worth the effort And you should find other ways to invest your money. Improving your property soon. Always just be about making it worth more or ROI. You are living in it. If doing upgrades makes you happier and you can afford it, then go for it.

IllUpvoteEverything

My aunt told me I shouldn't be so cavalier with my investing. My outsized gains could just as well lead to massive losses that wipe me out. I told her to never talk to me about money again. "You invested in an aggregate bond fund for the past 30 years. Your annual ROI is approximately 4.059%, 6% less than that of the S&P500. Why anyone with two cents to rub together thought it was a good idea to put you in charge of the family's portfolio, will forever be the greatest mystery to me. If you'll excuse me, I now I have to get off of the phone so I can try to make up for the last 30 years of your mismanagement. Love you."

Randomperson0012

Prob around .70 as long as momentum doesn’t get killed off. If people start selling the movement will die long before it can get started, but the volume indicates a positive ROI

dumbinvestor00

Here's my take on NVDA. There's frantic build out now by cloud service providers (e.g. Microsoft) as many industries are trying out various Gen AI applications. The build out (and hence demand for NVDA hardware and systems software) will moderate or slow down if companies don't realize significant ROI from their AI investments. This will first show up as slowing demand for cloud devices and on prem servers, and then slow down for NVDA. As of now, the demand exceeds supply. Another aspect to consider is the emergence of small models that require less compute, at least for specific applications. This will also result in smaller demand for NVDA. Finally, competition is inevitable. Cloud service providers will deploy their own systems to implement AI services just to be independent of any single vendor. But this will take some time and the NVDA ecosystem is advanced. Right now, the stock is going up disproportionately compared to revenue and earnings beat numbers. The momentum is likely to continue, but the friction increases a lot with every 5-10% up. The easy money has been made, IMO.

TraverseMaster

Everyone will say different stocks and companies. However... the best investment and ROI I got was investing in myself. This is to include education (not college), formal training (trades), travel and first and foremost funding the right partner with similar values to yours.

shazoocow

Why is this so low? Few things deliver an ROI higher than education. Maybe that's less true today than it has been in times past, or maybe not all educations are equal, or whatever. It's still true. A few times in a lifetime stock selection might return 10x. A good education returns 10x easily, often more, and does it consistently.

Riddlfizz

QQQ closed Friday at $457.95, near it's 52-week high. Over the course of the last 52 weeks, it has a low of 343.66 and a high of 460.58. In that context, it's not reasonable to conclude that a mechanical long put strategy on QQQ is/would be reliable 'quick and easy money". This assumption of a constant move down is faulty. QQQ has surpassed prices during its rise up that it may never dip below again (or, at least, anytime soon). People often buy further OTM options while chasing higher ROI % gains. E.g. (Random example) The idea of buying 3 OTM puts that are three strikes OTM for the same cost of buying two OTM puts that are 2 strikes OTM. The whole point is not to "hit the strike and go beyond it to make profit". It is simply "to make profit". That can be accomplished by favorable (and timely) changes in the price of the underlying. Hitting the strike price isn't an explicit requirement for that.

ninetykman

try to read "one up on WS" by Peter Lynch. Google Warren Buffet portfolio. Invest in quality stock with Earnings and ROI plus dividends. There are no shortcuts.

Kamikaze_Cash

I am on WSB discord but didn’t see a user fausterion18. There are many users named Faust. What is your discord name? This is really good additional info because it adds much-needed context. I know you prefer to only post the Ws, but that significant drop from $10mil to $3mil is equally interesting. You were pretty deep in the red by late April. It’s also helpful context to see that $8mil of your $12mil portfolio was deposits (to this account), meaning it’s a 50% ROI after all expenses and fees. There is a whole journey here. You have one of the most volatile portfolios I’ve ever seen. I’m like everyone else and want to see the full adventure, not just the casual $1mil wins.

Evading_a_reddit_ban

You made a 100% ROI and nuked it away in less then a year, I'm proud of you

PeePooDeeDoo

Chipotle needs to announce they’re investing in Nvidia AI every dollar spent gets 5x ROI

PoemStandard6651

What doe ITM have to do with it? If it's OTM but has doubled in price, that's called a 100% ROI.

bardhizi

Bet all your money….lets figure this out, we put our money in an escrow and if I’m not a ffie bag holder, if I don’t have a ROI that you only dream of…then you take it.

nate2337

Value investing can be great…I substantially beat the market more often than not, by starting and ending w/ valuation, while looking at everything else in between. I know I miss out on lots of good growth company ROI opportunities because of valuation concerns…and I’m fine with it…because I still do really well relative to the indexes and most importantly, relative to risk…aka risk adjusted returns…which means I also don’t lose my @ss when rates go up or the market pulls back, or whatever the most recent black swan is, etc…. But oh btw…there is “value” and then there is “cheap for dang good reasons”…and it took me a bit to figure that first part out…because w/ value, you have to give it time…and then, after realizing that reality, it took me some additional time (but not nearly as much) to teach myself how to tell the difference….LOL.

Isiah_Advantage

RIVN outperforming TSLA this month in ROI was not on my Vons loyalty card

selene20

I use papertrading with schwab/thinkorswim. (From sweden and use their international account since Dec, no cash in the account yet.). Works great, papertrading is great and you can export your trades to excel or google sheets to keep track and calculate P&L, ROI, BP used etc.

Hefty-Interview4460

Ok so 10% a year isnt not more risky than 5% a year, all thing being honest and transparent ? I always only invest in lower ROI products assuming they re safer. For instance most of my money is in 5% CDs, and a bit is in undervalue Chinese equity bring 10 to 15%. Should I roll everything to max return, since risk isnt correlated to return ? Or I could lend to Chengdu, Boston or Manila, if muni bond are as risky as HSBC CDs, hum.

moneyman2222

Lmao my b, your *third* biggest win. The long term ROI probably looking scary. I get it, you're not used to it. But you need to be humbled. And the market will make sure you get humbled with your emotional trading. You're getting braggadocios over a win. Anyone with a legit portfolio knows better. You acting like you "beat IV crush" when you were never in the group people are referring to when they say IV crush just goes to show how little awareness you have. Sad to see

FragrantTadpole69

The higher the ROI, the higher the risk.

ThinkingOfTheOldDays

Resist the urge to go far OTM imo.  Fewer calls closer to money have better overall ROI imo.  Feel free to reach me about the position my time. 

AP9384629344432

Two scenarios I'm thinking about: - AI capex turns out to be highly profitable for big tech companies, capex persists next 2 years, and NVDA continues wild growth for 2 years. (Nothing lasts forever, cycle probably turns into the 2nd/3rd year. Eventually all the data centers / GPUs are in place, TSM easily keeping up with demand) - AI capex ends up failing to deliver substantial ROI, collective pullback on the AI capex. (Tech companies copy each other) NVDA continues wild growth for 1 more year before earnings peaks and then drops significantly (causing broader semi sell-off) I just don't see an outcome where AI capex has poor ROI but then persists for very long at current levels. A high ROI is a necessity for NVDA to not lose steam after a year. If you believe we are in scenario 1, then I think much of big tech (and maybe even NVDA) remains undervalued given the sheer amount they are all investing. (META is spending $40B in a single year--that better translate into profits) Scenario 2 means a bunch of big tech companies are incinerating cash. But that's priced in and these companies have more than enough FCF to do that.

Affectionate_Answer9

As someone who's worked on analyzing the ROI of add/marketing spend at a food delivery company, a 2% retention rate of users from a campaign is not viewed as a success at all. Your analogy also doesn't work here, this is a premium upgrade to a product you've already purchased which should be easier to sell to users, 2% retention rate is not great to say the least. From anecdotal conversations with friends who own Teslas, I don't think a single person kept the self driving subscription, basically saying it's not useful/ready even though quite a few of them were really excited to try it out when they first got their cars.

maffoobristol

Anyway I sold at $1034 for a 250% ROI so not bad going lol

Hefty-Interview4460

What's the risk ? Isn't there some sort of correlation between ROI and risk ?

mdatwood

IMO, the biggest risk NVDA has is their customers are a relatively small number of big tech companies. With those types of margins big tech has the money, and often already have the talent, to build their own chips. Obviously that takes time, but you know it's happening. Additionally, it'll only take one of the big buyers say 'hey we're slowing our AI growth b/c the ROI isn't as high as we thought'. That ripple will not only cut NVDA 20%+, but a large part of the market.

sadus671

Totally this.... NVDA has a small MOAT atm, but Microsoft has already said they are going to make their own chips with Qualcomm. Amazon has already said they are going to suspend buying until new chips are released. Point being.... NVDA isn't going to be able to maintain their current margins.... The stock price is dependent on those margins and continued growth.... Eventually they will have to drop prices to sustain sales (**Cough** TSLA)... Jenson knows they are topping out... See split and Dividend increase. Lower stock price = easier for retail stock purchase investment (less options dependent and more buy + hold)... That's good in that we might see less volatility... but also less squeeze/gamma rallies. Last...but very much not least.... Companies need to start to see a ROI on these $40k chips.... Today it was a race to "have them" between competitor cloud services... Nothing will help if US falls into a major recession... Since no customers = no businesses buying cloud services = no demand = no/limit growth for NVDA = Stock price crashes back down to be more in line with actual revenue. For example... An Apple to Apple... AAPL had an annual revenue in 2023 of $383 Billion and market cap of $2.9 Trillion NVDA has an annual revenue of $26.97 billion in 2023... Yet it is worth 2.3 Trillion+ So should NVDA only be 600 billion behind another company with 10x it's annual revenue???

No-Strike635

It’s pretty embarrassing too. Not just them, but everyone with an opinion trying to claim that they would miss when 1) history says they rarely miss and 2) every IaaS, PaaS, and SaaS company was saying that they are increasing AI spend. Plus, we’re in an AI race. China told its companies to avoid American GPUs and they’re still finding a way to buy them. One thing about races is you can’t afford to change. To use something cheaper all the while converting and building out their API. There’s too much technical debt to build out ROCM etc. Pay $250k a year engineers to hopefully catch up, eventually or just pay for the superior ecosystem. If anyone is going to catch up, it’s going to happen if AI spend is burning way too much with bad ROI. So if you’re betting that AMD et al will eat Nvidia lunch soon, do realize that it’s going to happen on an AI downturn.

PickleTickleKumquat

Yep I agree. I think companies greatly undervalue the intangibles because there isn’t an immediate ROI to the bottom line.

Quik_17

It's a lot worse than gambling imo. OP would have a much better ROI if he just went to play blackjack every weekend

JsonPun

as someone in the industry the projects green lit all have real ROI attached. Plus the stuff is moving so fast more things become possible every month 

_hiddenscout

Their growth stories are completely different though. Like if you're point is that META is undervalued, I completely agree with you, but you don't need to make that point while comparing to LULU. I could do the same exact thing to disprove your point as well. DECK for example, has a higher PE than META and even a higher PEG, but offers higher ROI and has good gross margins for a shoe company. DECK is also about the same return YTD as META, but crushing it on the 1Y and has like 4x the returns over the last 5years. See how dumb this exercise is when comparing a shoe company to META?

149AssetManagement

Saudis and Russians be buying that sh*t. They don’t need a discounted cash flow analysis to know it’s a good ROI

Miss-6am

Nah man.....Magic the Gathering has a better PE and ROI!

mfgg40

I would strongly consider doing this. There could be other benefits besides just the ROI on the stock itself.

Imfuckintiredbruh

How have you not considered moving some of those stocks into other areas of the market? 186k is quite a bit, so delegating it into a few different options probably would’ve given you a better ROI.

RobfromHB

This is a big IMO here: Awards - The content creation will never reach what it does on other platforms because the engagement with content creators is so poor here. There is little entertainment value and generally low effort for anything that hopes to be more than entertainment. Why would I follow someone on reddit when I can go to video platforms or substack? Not to mention the 'content creators' here are so transparently posting with anterior motives. There's an uncanny valley thing going on where you can find the corporate and political posters before you even click into it. Ads - Reddit can probably make money here, but their targeting will never be high ROI from a business' perspective Reddit simply doesn't know anywhere near as much about its users compared to the next 10 alternatives. Data Licensing - It remains to be seen if Reddit can generate any more money here than the deals they currently have lined up. Written text has already been scraped and is in the models. New data types and unique content is valuable and Reddit generates little of both. Granted, there are lots of posts by volume, but none if it makes for very valuable training data to do anything marketable.

Ok_Swimmer634

The right situation, absolutely. Alabama Power has both a 14% ROI guaranteed by state law, and an employee stock purchase plan. A friend of mine's dad made himself a very wealthy man just off that alone over the decades.

juhasan

In my opinion, anything S&P 500 ETF will be good. She has enough time to compound the investment. Don't look at charts or news; just invest money on the same day every month until she is an adult. BOOM! At a rate of 6% ROI, a $2000 initial investment will rise to $85,483 if you continuously invest $250 per month.

Icy_bcorrect2326

have you ever tried crypto investment? you should give that a try with some few bucks and see how it yields ROI.

ScottishTrader

The problem with options and ROI is how complex it can be to calculate. What is the investment? In many margin accounts a short put can be opened for 10% of the stock cost, so is the "investment" the full cost of the stock or the lower margin rate? As you note the capital is used over and over so it is hard to track. Stocks are easy as you buy X shares at a cost of $Y and then sell the shares later on to make a ROI easy to calculate. What I do is look at the opening value of my account on a YTD basis and account for any withdrawals or deposits, to get an approximate p&l for the year. If this is really important to you then look at a service like [Sigfig.com](http://Sigfig.com) which may help.

SnooCats5302

Thanks for the feedback. I agree most established companies, particularly those established over 5 years ago, likely have a Microsoft infrastructure. That said, new companies are starting on a variety of non-Microsoft platforms. From what I see, I would say 75% non-microsoft, especially outside the US. With the upcoming rise of AI it fundamentally changes everything, and I am pretty confident Microsoft's stack is going to be heavily impacted. Note that I've also been in IT for decades, have been Microsoft certified, and still do Windows admin tasks. If I were starting a business today there is zero chance I would standardize on Microsoft unless it was required for some reason. Too pricey, poor products, high technical overhead. If you could point me to a company who says they have found an ROI in Copilot, I'd be happy to change my view.

SnooCats5302

Sell. It's a contrary play, but I think long term Microsoft's business is highly at risk. Note that I advise companies on AI. Although many purchased Copilot this last year, not a single company I've talked to thinks it is giving an ROI, and they plan to reduce their licenses in the next renewal. Further, new companies are not using Microsoft products, and there is no reason to because of difficulty and cost, and you can get cheap and simple AI powered apps instead, that also don't require an IT team to support. That impacts long term MSFT growth. Lastly, Microsoft's primary business is based on user licenses. With AI coming, there will be fewer employees for those licenses, and you don't need Microsoft's entire office suite and ecosystem for AI agents to do work. I do expect Azure to continue to do well, but I think there are very strong signals the rest of the company is sunk over the next 5 to 10 years. Would love to get other views on this.

Terrible_Champion298

When a position fails to make decent money for the amount of effort and risk put into trading it, usually because the spreads die with the underlying volatility or too many losses, I dismantle that position. If it’s making $$, I keep working it. 30dte+ options are considered to be paying well if they’re making 3% of the strike price in that amount of time whether they survive that long or not. Others positions being churned quickly with their underlying’s volatility swings make ~6%, although I’m not complaining if they don’t. ROI is a fuzzy metric here, annual P/L is my focus. The trailing 30 day profit of a position is annualized. If it meets or exceeds overall profit goals, I keep working the position.

Prestigious-Tiger697

But if you take it at 62 and just reinvest the money that’s 8 years of 1k per month plus gains. If you wait until you’re 70 you would break even at age 78 before accounting for any gains. That’s longer than the US average for men…. so I guess the question is…. how long are you gonna live and if you take it at 62, what sort of ROI will you get? Also, quality of life generally decreases as we age… enjoy life while you still can or better the farm that you will be healthy well into your 80’s and can actually enjoy your $$$.

Bigsal0009

I personally invested a couple weeks ago. Since then, Ive seen close to %500 ROI, and have continued to purchase more to add to my portfolio. Risky? Sure. But I’m not putting anything in I’m not willing to lose and have up to this point doubled my money. Since then, I have joined the social media groups and have seen first hand the work ethic and marketing that is going into this project. Not to mention some of the names of people that have been getting involved. Of course do your own research, but we live in a volatile world, and I was willing to invest a small amount of capitol into a volatile market. So far it has payed off well, and the more I engage with this project the more confidence I have that it’s going to enormously successful.

eolithic_frustum

I read some of your other responses and you seem to be leaning in the correct direction. But I want to give you one last piece of boomer wisdom: The amount of money you make long term largely depends on how much you can contribute to your investments. You can get incredibly wealthy with a low ROI if you invest in yourself and put more and more of your ever-increasing income into safe stuff. Slow and steady and all that.

Thunder_Nipples

Petco has had a negative ROI since its IPO back in 2021. Anyone clued into this company’s financials? So many people with dogs nowadays, it seems ridiculously undervalued.

LuckyCaramel922

Whats the largest ROI% you've gotten on a weekly option?

Cosmic_Travels

I bought overnight shares 2 hours after the tweet and had 100% ROI over Monday and Tuesday. It wasn't dumb to buy it after he tweeted, it was dumb to buy it in the days following and not sale the obvious pump.

John_Bot

I think I average more like 15 cents per 2 weeks / 2% ROI - 4% / month I don't sell 7.5 puts though. Just the 7s

SmooveMari

Cannabis stocks are for the long term play. They will have great ROI’s in the next 5-10 years

Lord_Greedyy

you should begin planning on your entry strategy and exit strategy, find the correct stock, and invest, stop loss in a year if you do not see expected ROI.

Sofubar

I made a 20% ROI in about two weeks, no regrets.

Ehralur

The best investors in the world only buy high, because the best companies in the world, on average, go up A LOT. The problem is not buying too high, it's selling too early and by extension low. The reason that happens is because identifying a great company is easy; anyone with half a brain will have been able to identify every single one of the MAG7 companies as amazing businesses anywhere between their IPO and probably 80% below today's price. What's difficult is knowing when to sell, because it requires you to actually have an accurate financial projection of how much the company will be earning in the future to know if the ROI is still there or not.

chronictherapist

Not entirely as black and white as you make it sound. But also, foreign aid tends to provide more chances of an ROI versus corporate welfare that only ends up being a transfer of wealth to rich people.

el_tacomonkey

I compute annualized ROI for every trade, but only use it to when reflecting and grading my performance (also this is automated through a Google Sheet, and I wouldn't bother if it didn't happen automatically). I used to get options data and compute annualized ROI for every strike and expiry, but quickly realized that this just called attention to risky trades and so turned off that data pipeline. I use it when entering into a CSP, though. I know what strike price I'm okay with, and I'll compute what premium would be required to beat SGOV, make 10%, 15%, and 20% annualized ROI over a range of expiration dates. I use these figures to say "no" to trades that aren't worth it. The main learning I'd pass on is to be careful when focusing on annualized returns as a tool for deciding which options to sell. It's deceptive for this because it can make really stupid trades look brilliant. It can be a decent tool for evaluating individual trades in hindsight, but it's just one of many. One caveat to all my advice, though, is that I'm a value investor first and an options trader second, and I carry a value investor's risk aversion over to options trading. My priorities are: * don't lose money * seriously, don't lose money * collect premium so I can't help anyone find retina-detaching returns.

selene20

Honestly I think many of those videos you are looking for are behind paywalls. The most important thing is to start papertrading!!! Im using a site walled [optionswatch.io](http://optionswatch.io) which helps you in finding trades with % of probability of profit. This site also shows the open interest resistance/support on each strike price. Other than that is looking at Moving average combined with MACD and for me ST\_Squeeze on tasty. This way I can see the trend, IV% and premium to see if the trade is even worth considering. The most important thing in trading is to have Rules and follow them strictly. When do you enter a trade and why? When you do you exit for profit or stop loss? Automate the process so you dont have to spend your days looking at the trade wondering what you should do and live your life instead. Stick to boring stocks that dont move much and avoid highly volatile stocks like TSLA, GME, AMC and some chinese stocks. Just my experience from learning from someone else. I have been papertrading since oct 2022 (Started with $25 000 to avoid the PDT rule). Might not say much but in 2023 my ROI is 110% (would have been higher if the fees were lower). So far in 2024 im up 24% .

Reddings-Finest

Interesting that near all time highs, this surged 9% after hours and even more overnight. Is an enormous slow growth insurer. Had expected a 4-5% pop at best, but the hype seems bigger because it was a "secret". Back of napkin calcs, it looks like Buffet has accrued since summer 2023 though today. If we loosely say he accrued slowly at the 200 day moving average, is acquisition price is somewhere around 225 on avg, so he is up about 13% + 1% dividend. And if we assume the stock holds around it's all-time highs or better (265+) that's closer to 19-20% Not a bad ROI and beating the market up about 16% in that time while not taking as much risk exposure as the market.

Existing-Ad-1857

$JMIA Key DD points for ppl here- 1) Structural - the ONLY platform that can move people, goods, services, money across intercontinental Africa efficiently and at scale. monopoly in e-commerce, #2 in payments, #1 in logistics, highest ROI digital ad platform (on par with instagram). $300mm revs this year, 11 countries, over 10k employees - this is a big company, unlike what the market cap says. i have visited it multiple times in person. only 15% or so capacity utilized! this is worth $10bn plus on its own 2) Fundamentals - undergoing a massive fundamental inflection... growth accelerated in the Q last week from 29% to 57% and guide for further accel all year. losses almost eliminated and now only -$1.6mm last Q, however gross margins are massively profitable and expanding - so very healthy unit economics. Pure expansion of LTV (life time value) / CAC (customer acq cost) happening in the most healthy way. Growing faster than $MELI, $BABA, $SE and $JD and only 1 accelerating 3) Stock set up - trades very clearly on the dollar levels. Off Q4 earnings when grew 29% - stock went from mid 3's to 4.90 day of print, pulled back for 5 days and consolidated around 4, then EXPLODED to 8. same pattern here - stock went from mid 4's to 6 the 2-3 days of the print, pulled back for 5 days and consolidated around 6, now about to EXPLODE to 10 on 59% growth. Makes absolute perfect sense given the leg higher in fundamentals, this next leg higher for the stock is much higher to match 4) Valuation - on conservative estimates, only trading at 1.5x 2024 revs of ~$300-320mm, 1x 2025 revs of ~$500-530mm. given mgmt commentary, this could be low. Cheaper than of $MELI (5x sales half the growth), $SE and $BABA 5) Balance sheet - NO DEBT, $100mm in cash which is enough to last them literally forever at current rate. NO NEED to raise cash, and when they eventually do will be likely via a strategic partnership and positive for the stock 6) Short interest / low float - over 65% of shares here don't trade, top 5 owns over 30%. 10mm shares short, on roughly 30-35mm tradable shares = 30% SI or 4 or so days to cover. every single one of them has to cover, big potential 7) Risk / reward and TP - best risk reward I have seen in 20 yrs professionally investing. No crystallizable downside risk IMO - at this valuation with no debt no reason to ever have to sell it lower than here, upside to $20 at least this year - but this becomes a $100 stock or $10bn co within 5 yrs time for sure. Trillions in e-com market cap everywhere else, tech enablement in africa is ripping, foreign direct investment thru the roof, penetration is nearly zero in the largest TAM in the world. No reason this can't even be a $50bn company. Much better investment than $SE, $BABA, $MELI etc 8) macro - perfect for rates down / cut environment. roughly $20 from the top was solely due to rates and EM storm

Fun_Platypus6377

Do you have student loans? 6%? Pay those off. Guaranteed tax free ROI. And if you want to play it safe… stay far away from this thread.

AP9384629344432

Suggests investors believe companies will spend a lot of money on AI, not that AI will be wildly profitable. That's why they're buying up the chip-makers (obvious beneficiaries of spending), not the producers of AI services (questionable ROI).

jonnyd93

Bc you sold you'll need to pay capital gains tax, so you'll really only have about 60% of that left. It's a large amount. If you want to stop gambling life savings put the amount into a fund that gives a steady ROI. Even 5% APR at 500000 would give you 25k a year. Which isn't enough to live off of, but is incredibly stable. Or you can be a degen and just gamble it all on btc, and other crypto. I know I would

MineETH

The value of FFIE for new readers: 95.3% short interest. Basically the whole company is sold short with a low Market Cap. There's potential thousands of ROI, if retail holds as the hedge funds will need to buy back shares. The point is to squeeze the hedge funds, not value invest. You can see institutions are aware of this and are buying as well in the last two days: [https://fintel.io/so/us/ffie](https://fintel.io/so/us/ffie)

MineETH

THE WHOLE MARKET CAP (95.3%) is sold short for Faraday. Insane potential ROI for retail in the upcoming days as the whole list of institutions buying last two days are green on Fintel

Demon0fTh3Fall

Find an alchemist and transmute it into gold. I know the cooldown is 24 hours so it'll take some time, but the wait is definitely worth the ROI.

ToTheMoonStNotWallSt

You need to put in some work. Riskier than shares but done well, they have a higher ROI

Formal-Blueberry-203

But gotta ask yourself what is the ROI on the sketchy things you bought??

LuckyAce369

Gamble it slowly daily for the highest ROI and best screenshot ever

masalaswag

It’s difficult to make a suggestion without knowing more about your risk tolerance or ROI expectations. I like Amgen because I’m bullish on the potential of olpasiran, a cardiovascular medication that will potentially have wide usage even after the GLP craze winds down. Even skinny folks will have lingering effects of poor diet, genetics, or diabetes. But the stock isn’t going to 10x or anything like that because it’s a buy and hold at this point. It’s also not going to go to fall apart like a speculative ticker, either.

pleasestoppbanningme

JD/MBA here.  Your downplaying of the downside risks seems a bit counterintuitive (e.g., you trust your partner, you’re not particularly concerned with ROI, etc).  If your relationship with your partner is great and you're not necessarily concerned with ROI, then why make this post?   You’re concerned about something, or you would not have made this post.  Or perhaps you’re just curious. In any event, and more to the point, the simplest way to avoid problems is to hold the property as joints tenants with full rights of survivorship (JTWROS), assuming that the State in which the property is situated recognizes this type of ownership.  Here’s why. Owning property as JTWROS gives each of you an undivided interest in the entire property.  More importantly, JTWROS is a probate avoidance device, so when one of you dies, your interest in the property automatically vests in the other owner.  The reason you want this is so that if your partner dies and his interest is bequeathed to some crazy, unlearned, contentious, aggressive, \[insert other bad characteristics here\] friend or relative, you are going to have problems, and costly litigation will most likely ensue.  Your relationship with your partner may be magnificent, but unless you share that same magnificent relationship with all of their friends and family members (or anyone else who might inherit the property even if it is through intestate succession laws), you are assuming unknown risk to allow a portion of your investment to be conveyed to an unknown third party who you may or may not know at some unknown point in time in the future. If either of you want to be able to bequeath their interest in the property, then holding it JTWROS will not work.  In that situation, at least get a written Right of First Refusal (preferably with a valuation attached to the property so there is no dispute about valuation in the future).  This way, whichever partner survives the other has the option to purchase the other partner’s intertest in the property and above all of the aforesaid problems inherent in a potential new and unknown investor entering the picture. There are other ways of holding the property jointly.  You can hold it as tenants in common (which is alienable but requires probate and probate expenses upon death).  You can hold it in a trust, which can also serve as an asset protection device.  You can hold it in the name of a business (which allows you to convey interests through private share purchases that do not become part of the public record), but you may lose property tax benefits in some states by doing so.  Aside from the tenants in common approach, all of these will require significant legal expenses to create and to maintain the legal structure (e.g., trust, business, etc.) Lastly, I do not know what enterprises you and your partner have previously engaged in, but you need to make them more formal.  Everything needs to be in writing, in detail, with contingency plans in place.  To operate upon anything less reeks of inexperience and unnecessarily assumes a lot of risks that can and do arise every day. I hope this helps.  I don’t really use this site, so I doubt I will see any responses or respond to them.  If nothing else, this response should give you an idea of how complex the problem is and how various factors (e.g., death, taxes, asset protection, privacy, control, etc) all come into play.   Good luck.

notchatgptipromise

I have money in the market and in other investments. This is more of a "two birds with one stone" thing than it is maxing out ROI. As I said in the OP, we will eventually want to move in, so buying now affords us that later on. Houses in this area are extremely rare. I posted in this sub since I thought others might have done the same thing, albeit with different goals. We would be buying cash, and there's no realtor, and setting up the right legal structure is a few thousand. So diversifying (we'd rent it out for a few years) + guaranteeing the ability to live there later (assuming we setup the LLC correctly and things go to plan) is more interesting than just plowing this into some index fund or REIT or something.

Sharaku_US

Try a portion of your account with ROI app and copy invest Nancy Pelosi or Michael Burry.

winedogsafari

In all fairness, Bloomberg has been reporting than some “mothballed” reactors have been “considered” to be rebooted. All the “talk” has been speculation and there is nothing finalized. With that being said and even “if” plans were executed on to energize a nuclear power plant it would take years of planning, then approvals, then reconstruction / engineering before they came online. OKLO or old plants rebooted is 5 to 10 years out before any ROI develops. Play this accordingly - IMO

LiquefactionAction

The subscribers was a bit of an issue with the Utah-specific project, yeah, but not the only issue. It's estimates for per-Megawatt were like 250% higher than even the Georgia project. And overall, the estimated unsubsidized cost of these from Lazerous was $141 - $224 per megawatt, that's really fucking expensive [https://www.lazard.com/media/2ozoovyg/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf](https://www.lazard.com/media/2ozoovyg/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf) https://preview.redd.it/mw8e1ie8dpzc1.png?width=994&format=png&auto=webp&s=f41c32c50a6e3322f3254c412b2b61a213135286 And then there's this (before the project imploded catastrophically): [https://static.ewg.org/upload/pdf/FINAL\_NuScale\_analysis\_for\_EWG.pdf](https://static.ewg.org/upload/pdf/FINAL_NuScale_analysis_for_EWG.pdf) >On January 2, 2023, UAMPS released a set of “talking points” that provided a new cost estimate: from the **$5.32 billion, the project is now estimated to cost an eye-popping $9.3 billion f**or just 462 MW of power capacity.xlii In per kilowatt terms, that estimate for the **UAMPS project is around 250% more** than the initial per kilowatt cost for the Vogtle project in Georgia, which consists of two AP1000 reactors capable of generating 1250 MW each (gross capacity), at a comparable stage – that is, when it was still on paper. The Vogtle cost has since exploded from $14 billion to over $30 billion as the reactors near completion.xliii A similar fate may await the UAMPS project if and when construction starts. > >After all, nuclear reactors have routinely exceeded initial cost estimates. O**ne historical survey found that 175 out of 180 nuclear construction projects had experienced cost increases and delays. Cost escalations averaged 117 percent; and construction took 64 percent longer on average than projected**.xliv And the cost of the UAMPS project will likely further increase prior to start of construction, especially if NuScale has to modify its design to address the safety issues identified by ACRS and NRC. > >Even before the recent escalation in costs, NuScale has been struggling to raise investment capital. Its key investor, Fluor, has been systematically trying to reduce its equity stake in NuScale and has ceased to invest in it; as a result, NuScale is looking for other investors.xlv As early as 2019, a senior > >Credit Suisse analyst wrote to investors recommending that Fluor could reduce “underperforming investments,” including its NuScale small modular nuclear reactor startup “which is long overdue, in our opinion”.xlvi The NuScale holding is a very small part of Fluor, which is a large, multi-billion dollar multinational construction and engineering firm. > >As of 2021, the total investment in NuScale has been over $1.1. billion, including around $400 million from the Department of Energy (DOE).xlvii The DOE has supported NuScale through competitive and non-competitive awards, most prominently a $226 million award from 2014-18 and an ongoing $263 million award for 2020-24. In 2020, DOE also awarded $1.355 billion for the UAMPS NuScale project to be used by 2030.xlviii The Government Accountability Office (GAO) has criticized the lack of oversight of these awards; as of September 2022, when the GAO published its report, DOE’s Office of > >Nuclear Energy were still “developing their oversight plans”.xlix > >Despite this handsome support from the DOE, NuScale is clearly in need of much more funding. Specifically, NuScale has created a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) as a way to obtain public money.l In April 2022, two Japanese companies, Japan NuScale Innovation and Japan Bank for International Corp., purchased a part of Fluor’s equity in NuScale for $110 [million.li](https://million.li) Fluor, however, “remains the majority owner in NuScale”.lii NuScale’s stock price (Symbol: SMR) has been stagnant around $10 per share. Capital woes may well be part of NuScale’s rush to get in a certification application France, which has some of the highest nuclear power of any country and the most extensive working knowledge of building nuclear power, is spending $15 billion on their Flamanville 3 project, and most importantly, it's 4x more expensive than what it was initially budgeted for, and has gone from a 4.5-year timeline to a 16-year timeline. And this is a country with the highest amount of nuclear engineers and experience! That's insane if even the most experienced people with a huge working base for constructing and maintaining nuclear can't even do it affordably. What hope do these plucky tech moguls with no idea what they're doing have? Like I actually love nuclear, it's a shame what America did in the 70s-80s shutting most of it down, but it's not a practical privatized venture. Investors won't have the patience for that much expensive, extremely overbudget, capex spending when it can be invested elsewhere for much higher ROI.

Accomplished_Emu903

Where’s the ROI?

_hiddenscout

It could. I'm a software engineer and I think AI will have and continue to have a big impact, but I do think it's been like over a year since OpenAI got a lot of hype with ChatGPT and investors will want to see some ROI or some revenue increase via AI at some point. It's starting to happen, but it does feel like some names have a really lofty valuation because of the AI hype. Investors will need to see more in my opinion in the near future to keep the valuations as lofty.

ddttox

Getting ready to retire at 62. At the moment a 5% yearly ROI is about 30% larger than my current salary and bonus. My house is paid off due to buying NFLX early on and doubling down every time an analyst said it was doomed. But most of it was just maxing out 401Ks in S&P index funds and living below my means and investing the excess.

dritsn

Calls on BA, their ROI in hitmans will be huge

Pretend_Sector685

What the hell is this post? Why is it in r/stocks? It just repeats itself over and over. All it really says it’s that Musk likes Moderna…okay? And? So am I supposed to invest in Moderna? What is the point of this post? The only time it doesn’t repeat itself is when it says biotechnology is the future, which of course it probably will be. But science fiction writers have predicted that for decades and decades—this isn’t a new “aha!” moment. Is this in r/stocks because it is a suggestion to buy biotech stocks? If it is, good luck. Those companies are a dime a dozen. One of them will make a huge breakthrough, surely. But dumping enough money into *that* company’s stock, and no other biotech company which could lose you money, is pretty much like posting in r/stocks about how a $2 powerball ticket has the highest potential ROI.

AmbitiousEconomics

I do flipping pretty successfully and beat market returns, but factoring in my labor costs it's definitely not the best ROI.

Business_Knee6165

That's always the risk! If they can turn it around... there could be quite the ROI on these guys... I still like them a lot and their assets are worth metric shit ton, so I still have faith they'll be OK

ragnaroksunset

The point is that when there isn't a grid outage you are supplying your own power as well as potentially offsetting costs during low-production days by generating credits. The point is that you generate return on investment. If you are looking for off-grid redundancy, that's fine, but please don't act like that's what you are being sold when people talk about how far the tech is coming. It's just something you want that isn't yet met by the tech without sacrificing the ROI that straight solar promises.

Americanboi824

Yup. I bought 100 reddit shares then sold a covered call for Friday and make like $350. For a sec I thought I had lost out on some gains but now it looks like I'm going to get like a 8% ROI in 5 days