Reddit Posts
Roast/review my portfolio. AI, Semis, Infra + ETFs. 40M, Europe. Rotate into Nasdaq?
Is it too late to get into SMH?
If you’re young, increase risk until you are 100% you’ll hit your goal!
Semiconductor shorts pile on as winning trade reverses - CNBC
The market panic looks overdone follow up- choppy ahead of CPI, but positioning is improving
RACK Vaneck New ETF Is the new future Growth like DRAM or was it just another overhype?
The market panic looks overdone - Korea, SMH,SOXX, VIX, Jobs, and Oil
Should I trim my AMD position? Looking for thoughts on this portfolio reallocation
Space companies - The real underdogs
I am trying to buy calls, but this stock keeps going up. SMH. Is this the next MU?
Forced to sell early because I had an exam @2:00 SMH
I want to diversify significant NVIDA position into AI specific ETFs- How would you think about this?
After 200% gains - i’m out. (B-B-BUBBLE!)
32 y/o Canadian Investor , Need honest suggestion please.
Aschenbrenner Blinked
I feel like it’s very difficult to get a read on the AI trade… (chips, smh, intc, bubble)
Straddle rule between similar but no identical ETFs like SMH and SOXX
NVDA beat earnings, semis rallied hard, and institutions spent the day selling calls into strength. What does that tell you?
Leopold Aschenbrenner just filed his Q1 2026 trades with the SEC His tracker's been live since March 5th It's up ~78%, even with the delay Today the portfolio was rebalanced to match his latest trades. Screenshot from: Stock Insider App
Leopold Aschenbrenner's 13F just dropped Check this out, this is absolutely INSANE. Every major name. All brand new this quarter: SMH VanEck Semi ETF – $2.04B NVDA – $1.57B ORCL – $1.07B AVGO – $1.01B AMD – $969M MU – $584M TSM – $535M ASML – $494M INTC – $159M
Actual performance of Leopold fund Semiconductor PUTS
$20k in SMH - thinking of selling the ATH and going all-in on MU or NVDA before earnings?
You don't have to make up losses from the stock that caused them
Can someone ELI5 why SMH would be a better investment in the current market than a 3X leveraged ETF like SOXL?
Anchoring Bias. Why is it so hard to buy GOOGL & AMZN at all time highs? Why do we chase 10x underdogs over proven winners with 1x upside?
SMH Other Subreddits are so behind on the news cycle
And Another Ai Bubble = SMH. ( this isnt normal)
Why does the market keep pushing toward highs even when the macro backdrop still looks bad?
New to US market, Need advice for SIP in Tech Etfs
I wrote a full thesis on why AI hits white collar jobs first and credit markets next. Here’s my position.
Add more on Monday? (Added $40k on Thursday)
How do you evaluate infrastructure stocks beyond surface level AI hype?
How's this ETF portfolio for a 15 year monthly investment plan?
How's this ETF portfolio for a 15 year monthly investment plan?
It’s a dang shame I took $22 and turned it into over $1100. SMH sure wish I would’ve bought more of this.
TSMC earnings lifted the whole semiconductor sector
24 - Give me stocks for an AI play long into the future. Rate my portfolio
China to Approve Nvidia H200 Purchases as Soon as This Quarter ✅
2025 Recap: Silver +139%, Critical Minerals +86%, Space +65%, Gold +61%, Semi +47%, Nuclear +47%, AI +44%, Quantum +33%
YTD 2025: Silver +164%, Critical Minerals +94%, Space +67%, Gold +70%, AI +50%, Semi +50%, Nuclear +50%, Quantum +35%
Eternal question. Buy the market now, or wait? Got rid of my individual stock portfolio and decided to get back into ETFs
Should I (would you) sell VGT/SMH/FTEC/XLK and maybe MGK and just buy something else?
Should I (would you) sell VGT/SMH/FTEC/XLK and maybe MGK and just buy SPYM or something else?
Is the "Dot-Com" Setup to 50% Complete? - Crypto Tax-Selling, The Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc., Ukraine War and the BoJ Trap.
Is the "Dot-Com" Setup to 50% Complete? - Crypto Tax-Selling, The Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc., Ukraine War and the BoJ Trap.
Stock and ETF portfolio with real world utility for the next 40+ years
Mentions
Buy winners and profitable industries. For example SMH, DRAM, Energy, defence etfs. All are better then buying losers from the SNP
That's the beauty of the bubble. SMH will go up 100% as the S&P moves up 10%. Then when the SMH gives back 50%, the S&P will go down 20%. You only win in this super concentrated market if you are in the concentration, which is why no one wants to buy anything else.
Split with both SMH/DRAM if you’re doing options, SMH gets you GPUs and CPUs Tilt toward DRAM…more of a shortage
I'm going to hold on to Microsoft if/when it reaches $450/share then sell it. I'll put that money in SPMO or SMH
Was up 7k but ended up only +2k because i was holding out for the SMH waterfall to 600 because a bear can dream 😤
😂 they are trying to pump it again. 😂 SMH stonks only go up. Markets closed Friday so tomorrow we either Shrek or get a Satan cock
well he F'd it up glad I went in with SPY SMH and QQQ puts
way too much bull talk so went with QQQ SMH and SPY puts very solid and TY Warsh
I hold both, and when SMH dropped 10%, SPY was down like 2%, this is what de-risk means.
Voo shouldn't crash as hard as SMH when the bubble deflates. It's all about beta...
Tech is up, S&P500 is down. Why are people still investing in this boomer bullshit? SMH gonna be worth more then VOO by the end of the year and these dipshits will tell you, "VOO and chill" like if the market crashed VOO wouldn't take a hit too. At least when the market crashes SMH, or SOXX, or SOXQ or whatever tech ETF you invested is will given you massive returns. SPY, VOO and IVV are gonna give you tiny baby dick returns and fuck you in the ass just as hard when the market crashes.
I’m holding for now, for lack of anything else to invest in. Stopped day trading SOXL and SMH before that last big drop…
All that really matters is SMH and SOXX still up 3%. Long as semi’s and memory stay ripping the rest of the market could go to zero
I really dislike most of my coworkers and management. For the love of god Warsh, say something to make the SMH Puts I just bought print.
Full margin DRAM + SMH coming in T-minus 2.5 hours
The biggest no-brainer is silicon chips. Until they invent something better, we will only need more and more. Do a analyst of SMH from the point that it was created till today. It is the easiest trade of all time.
MOOMOO platform sucks. Accidentally bought puts on MSFT. But I madea profit. SMH
Hi everyone, I am 32y/o, live in the United States. I am employed, 62k pre-tax/annually My goals are for retirement, but taxable brokerage account for retirement + possible home/car purchases in the future. No strict time horizon, maybe 5-15 years for taxable brokerage account. Risk tolerance is med-high for taxable brokerage account, low-med for roth IRA. Plan to invest max roth IRA annually, plan to invest 10-20k into taxable brokerage account (at the beginning and will do small deposits throughout the year, I don't make much right now). No debt. Brand new to investing, currently no stock holdings. \------------------------------------------------------- I am aiming for a few things through fidelity: \- Roth IRA \- Taxable brokerage account For Roth IRA: I will max annually. Have narrowed down to FSKAX, and currently debating the weighting. Open to 100% FSKAX, but also 80-90% FSKAX and 10-20% FTIHX. I was wondering if you guys recommend doing a lumpsum of $7,500 for this year, and then monthly deposits from next year on? For 401k: Starting a new medical residency this fall, don't remember the 401k details right now but I think they match between 2-10%. For HYSA: Still shopping for one, but also considering CD due to fluctuations of APYs. Emergency fund will likely remain in my bank's MMA (\~2.0%). \*\*For taxable brokerage account\*\*: This is where I could really use some advice. I am aiming for a breakdown of -> 35% VOO/30% SCHD/20% QQQM/10% SMH/5% VXUS. I am open to a lot of advice, I haven't bit the bullet in any element of this plan yet, aside from opening a roth IRA account. Apologies if there are silly plans above, I am completely new to everything as I mentioned earlier. Super grateful in advance for any advice/guidance. Thank you!
You won’t be able to afford MU LEAPS. Go with DRAM LEAPs instead Or SMH LEAPS
Time travel could be invented and IPO tomorrow, and you guys would short it bc it doesn't have any profit yet, LMAO Well, on second thought, it depends on who the CEO is for you guys, SMH...
SMH closed on the LOD. Reversed all gains from yesterday.
I think AVLV is a good hedge if you have riskier funds such as SMH or SOXX, not broad based funds such as VT or VOO.
Everyone trying to be the next Roaring Kitty. SMH
Here is what I would do: **10 Years left for Retirement** - 50% VOO - 35% VGT - 15% SMH Rebalance every year **20 Years left for Retirement** - 30% VOO - 45% VGT - 25% SMH Rebalance every year **40 Years left for Retirement** - 80% VGT - 20% SMH Rebalance every year Yes, there is significant overlap … but that should not matter. I am fully aware there is significant overlap between these funds, but I’ve decided that doesn't really matter for my goals. Curious to hear what you guys think—am I being too aggressive with the sector tilt, or does this structure make sense for a long-term growth play?
how tell me how much SMH XLK and DRAM went up yesteday
Yeah I’m done trading for the day. I lost about 25% of portfolio in about 1 and a half due to overtrading. SMH man I need to be better
Semi’s will be bought up. Buy the SMH and take advantage of the free money
> SMH! Are you saying that companies like Cursor dont enforce the data privacy contracts they sign with other companies? Yes. That exactly.
Retail still paying tuition. SMH, regarded mofo's.
Time to just fullport SMH and chill.
Ah ok. Personally, I don’t put mutual funds into taxable accounts - if they ever distribute capital gains, it’s much less tax efficient than ETFs. I’d have FXAIX in Roth, and if you want S&P 500 in taxable also, VOO is a good low-cost option. If you want to have a bit of Semiconductor exposure, SMH has been an absolute monster - since it’s sector-specific, though, I’d limit it to max about 5-10% of your total portfolio.
I would put all into VOO, if you want some semis, put like $50 of it max into SMH
gonna add to SMH puts too
I also started investing at 36, and currently I've bought VOO and SMH.
SOXX. They are basically the same except SMH is a bit heavier on Nvidia. It's not I think nvidia is too big to grow, I just think that I think the other companies have more room to grow. Soxx our performed nvidia the past year mainly because nvidia was stuck between 170 and 190 for like 8 months. SMH vs soxx is really decided on whether or not you are bullish on nvidia relative to the others.
wdym i already have one SMH 🙄
SMH and DRAM red overnight. SpaceX +10%.
USO calls and SMH puts
I think it's good. Developed markets ex-US hasn't been doing great for me. Everyone jumped in at the beginning of last year and drove the prices higher than growth could keep up with. I'm not losing but gains are close to flat. Emerging markets are doing very well but you coming in late may hit the same situation I did with Developed. Small caps has also been doing decent after two years of barely staying above water. You'll have to keep an eye on that as well as your internationals. I don't think they are as reliable as large-cap US indexes but I'm not dumping mine. I have GRID since February 2025 and it's given me a 63% gain. I'd keep VOO and QQQM the same percentage. Take VXUS down to 15% and apply 7.5% each to AVDV and AVES. AVUV at 10% and 5% to all the rest (If I counted correctly, you have to drop one). I think we're at the end of the tech boom but 5% isn't huge and some of those should hit at least 10% gain a year to balance out any losses. Since I think you'll need to drop one, that would be either HUMN or WQTM. But that's based only on vibes I haven't done any research. Or BTC which I don't trust at all but it's popular. Full port DRAM means put everything on memory. You have SMH so ignore that. He's trolling. Plus you've got more chip exposure with VXUS.
IMO - the ETF's at 5% and under are not worth holding (7.5% is borderline as well). When you have an individual stock with high potential (ex NVDA AVGO), a low weight can still make a substantial difference to the overall portfolio. But most ETF's returns will be much more muted since it will combine both winners and losers (again compare NVDA and AVGO versus SMH). You can run some possible scenarios, but how much does XAR or GRID have to blow up to make a meaningful difference? If VOO weight is 25x that of XAR weight, VOO doubling would add same nominal amount as XAR going up 11x. High percentage weight times lower return multiple equals lower percetnage weight times much higher return multiple. You took on more risk on concentrated asset/ETF, yet you need an extreme peformance for it to just match the conservative choice with conservative return (SP500 long term CAGR with dividends reinvested is over 10% or doubles your money every 7 years). TLDR - I'd go higher weight on a more selective set of industry specific ETF's to supplement your core ETF's. If you want to hit a home run on a potentially up and coming sector, try to pick their biggest winners with low weight.
1st off congrats 2nd you wont stop. 3rd- see you in a month when you post a porn loss. 4th- i hope im wrong. if you really want to degen use that money and go degen into SMH shares. same rush but at least you can sell options on it.
SMH, it’s a semiconductor ETF, that is up 80% YTD.
Its not a bad portfolio. If you went to r/Bogleheads they'd tell you it's wrong because you are concentrated more than 0.2% in the nasdaq-100. I'd remove the outlier ETFs in specific industries though. SMH, GRID, XAR, WQTM, HUMN, etc. There is nothing wrong with prioritizing some exposure, but I do not think a 2.5% holding on a specific industry going up 200% is going to change much in your portfolio long term. If you just want a broad, super aggressive fund, I'd prioritize QQQM on a heavily weighted percentage (30%) instead of all those. Updated: * QQQM 32.5% * VOO 25% * VXUS 20% * AVDV 7.5% * AVUV 7.5% * AVES 5% * BTC 2.5%
Going unleveraged is the right instinct. SOXL is 3x daily and bleeds from decay, so writing calls on it is selling premium on a melting ice cube. SOXX and SMH don’t have that problem. SMH is concentrated, NVDA and TSMC are a big chunk, it pays more premium but moves harder. SOXX is spread across more names. Pick based on how much concentration you want to underwrite. Premium’s high because semis can rip. You cap your upside in a sector most likely to have a monster month and you keep all the downside. Mechanical weeklies on a high-beta sector often lose to just holding it over a full cycle. The called-away gains never cover what you give up in big runs. Fine trade if income’s actually the goal and you’re ok with getting capped. Bad one if you secretly still want the upside. If you do it, have a plan for when it gaps through your strike, rolling up and out on semis is expensive.
October crash thesis still in play. We are super late cycle and a 2008 style meltdown could happen at any point and fulfill several cycles. Now, i want zo stay bullish despite that. Still considering fullporting SMH with a stop loss to hopefully escape any potential meltdowns. Though in a real 'multiple circuit breakers in a row' scenario i doubt it can sell in time.
You're welcome. Don't own it myself, yet. Everything already in SMH and AIFS but will probably get some when I free up some other funds
Look at an easy ETF like SMH. This year I'm up like 50% in it. As it continues to carry my portfolio I'm trimming back to keep it weighted where I want. I've already made a ton on it and it's funding non bubble things. You missed out on 50% gains which is years of investing. Furthermore companies like MU have a price to earnings below the S%P average. In the Tech Bubble, there were no earnings.
Thanks for this! How about SMH and/or SOXX?
Reddit isn’t always bad, but if there’s a political slant, forget about it. Buy SMH and DRAM came from reddit, and both are in lunar orbit.
My idea is that in a stupid bull market like the last few years it really isn't that difficult. Risk factors: sliding into a bear market makes boomer stocks and beaten down stocks and boring sectors perform better than momentum growth. Also the 2021 meme run followed by the 2022 crash absolutely vaporized a lot of momemtum meme stocks. But the last 3 or so years? Fullport SMH and you will have beaten several decades of spy performance.
SMH at ATH premarket??
SMH and SOXX +10% tomorrow
The S&P500 is probably the best long term choice in your portfolio. Nasdaq 100 and SMH would simplify your individual holdings. Your portfolio is approximately ~75% tech and ~55% S&P500 top 10 stock concentration. US large cap Broad market index: 23.7% S&P500 (SXR8) € 23.7% . S&P500 or Nasdaq 100 tilt: 44.1% Amazon 11.9% Broadcom 7.6% Google 9.2% Microsoft 7.7% NVIDIA 7.7% . SMH tilt: 9.7% TSM 7.5% Marvell 0.6% Micron 1.6% . AI cloud: 1.2% ServiceNow 1.2% . Regional indexes: 14.1% Japan (IJPA) € 7.1% Korea (FLXK) € 7.0% (majorly samsung and SK Hynix tech stocks) . Materials: 7.1% Gold (IGLD.DE) € 5.1% Silver (XAD2) € 2.0%
Here is what I would do: **10 Years left for Retirement** - 50% VOO - 35% VGT - 15% SMH Rebalance every year **20 Years left for Retirement** - 30% VOO - 45% VGT - 25% SMH Rebalance every year **40 Years left for Retirement** - 80% VGT - 20% SMH Rebalance every year
Wait - 6.5 years later and you think the baseless tyranny was due to a virus no one can prove exists? Wow. FOIA requests for proof go unanswered \[look up Christine Massey\]; Canada loses in Patrick King vs the Crown when the defendant of a social distancing ticket asks Canada for proof the virus exists; and the former Pfizer Chief of Science, Dr Michael Yeadon, says it was a gigantic hoax. But no, let's believe Trump 1.0 and the mainstream media - they are both so reliable. SMH.
I had been expecting the correction but it still totally caught me by surprise. I thought it was going to happen further into data center investment concerns.. I agree with OP because the ai/chip market sells off every few months or so and no one wants to touch it and then when it recovers it does so rapidly and then moves higher but this time it isn’t… which makes sense because everything is so hyper inflated. ARM hitting $400/share?? That is bananas. These stocks have a long way to fall.. there just needs to be another catalyst. I think im gonna buy some put leaps on SMH. That motherfucker was bringing in so much money but now it is like the pope trying to bury his turds on a frozen pond with no arms or legs, because ponds do not have bodily appendages.
In reality if the war ends the market goes flat or down because inflation goes down. I mean look at how SCHD preformed prior and SPY SMH and SPMO were flat for a year before the war. Was this all just a squeeze?
Could be. I chose SMH and FLKR for my concentrated semis exposure. I’ll keep buying SMH and FLKR on drops, and averaging into FLKR routinely.
SMH LEAPS have been insane for about the last year. I’d consider pairing with DRAM LEAPS. Keep cash to buy dips though.
The plan: fullport SMH leaps but with a stop loss at breakeven. Why doesn't everyone do that? Seems foolproof.
Still holding, so by extension I believe it’s not too late. The case in brief: do you think we’re closer to the beginning, or the end, of the economic processes that have driven SMH’s growth? I’d say: almost certainly the beginning. You should always be evaluating the competing opportunities for every investment dollar, but for my money, tech is still the best investment opportunity the American economy has to offer, and SMH’s components are “selling the shovels” to tech.
> Meh. 20% is underwhelming considering the risk. You would have done better with a 0DTE SMH call. If you think the risk is similar on an overvalued meme stock and a 0 dte, you belong here.
Meh. 20% is underwhelming considering the risk. You would have done better with a 0DTE SMH call.
Same sized position here also in an IRA which makes it easy, obviously. I broke the 50k into smaller chunks adding to existing SCHB and SMH positions which sorta kinda balance each other out risk-wise and also added a couple new tickers. I totally get sidestepping NASDAQ shenanigans for now (and most likely forever). There are too many good alternatives and it’s easy to swap around in an IRA.
It’s all the same to me. SMH will just swap in those Chinese companies at that point.😝
When is MSFT reversal SMH
Exactly, buy SMH with full margin
# Deep OTM puts on SMH Tuesday Power Hour.
Unless you have any other positions, you did not purchase shares. You purchased calls that expire January 15, 2027. That does not mean you own the underlying stock as an asset. You have a contract right now, not a stock. SMH 🤦♀️
Long as the SMH is above is 21EMA (which it is now) the market will be full steam ahead
SMH back to ATH please and thank you
After insane run ups in April and May - you all are losing your minds over a 2.5% pull back. SMH
You guys have one little trillion dollar corrections and you freak out. SMH 🤦
NGL been way more successful ignoring news and financial shows on TV and just trade off price action. Been able to remove completely the "markets should be doing x because I think y" mindset has done wonders. It doesn't matter what I think the market should do so those days are over. AMD and MRVL puts yesterday and today at open has been glorious and even took some QQQ puts at around 2 when it failed key level. Have AMD MRVL and SMH runners left.
This. I got Stopped out of my SMH position the other day (been holding it for several months) because I had a Trailing Stop of 12% with a GTC order.
Meet me in SPY, its goin down Meet me in SMH, its goin down Meet me in Gold, its goin down Anywhere you meet me, guaranteed to go down
Retail is exit liquidity once again. SMH
Why do we all get treated like IREN bag holders? SMH, so unfair
why not SMH - that’s going to move far faster.
I have a limit buy order on SMH pricing in a 15% drop and another one on a world etf for a 10% drop. If you don't go long today you deserve to be broke.
Ha. They tickled my 65% SMH bag. Suckers.
\>SMH put-buyers are going to force market-makers to short the stock LOL. You paranoid. Those folks don't even have enough money involved to change the price of SMH away from equilibrium. They can't force the entire market to do shit.
I canceled my order. Tops 170 and order trigger in queue probably at 160, and then by the time I trigger a sell, the system will process it at 140. The smart money will pounce on us. SMH
Also QQQM, SMH, and a few more I can't think of
It all depends what your tradong plan is obviously. Agreed with the VOL being high, but it's OK to buy like a 15 wide call spread out of the money. Defined Risk and you don't need the stock all the way back . I also have been doing Super Bull Spreads on exaggerated pullback.. like MU today. Selling a put spread to finance the out of the $$$ call spread. I also did one on SMH.