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SMH

VanEck Semiconductor ETF

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Mentions (24Hr)

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-20.00% Today

Reddit Posts

•r/StockMarket•See Post

After the Big Tech shock, can today's wage data calm yields into month end?

•r/stocks•See Post

Chips en AI kaatsen na de schrik van 22 oktober flink terug: een herstelrally of een nieuwe opmars?

•r/StockMarket•See Post

Big Week for the Market’s Next Move

•r/stocks•See Post

Fed, PCE and Big Tech earnings: the week that could reset the AI trade

•r/investing•See Post

The stock market is only UP ~55% of the days, why is everyone's suggestions/Portfolios 1 Directional?

•r/StockMarket•See Post

After a 6.7% chip crash, can today's PMIs and a 4.7% inflation gauge calm the market?

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

30K to invest - Oct 19 Market open

•r/StockMarket•See Post

Warsh and factories: will today's data force an October Fed hike?

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Portfolio Review: 3–5 Year Horizon, Moderate Risk

•r/stocks•See Post

Anthropic reports $16.8B in 3Q26, up 50% QoQ, $SMH -2% AH, MoM calculation in Post

•r/options•See Post

Margin vs Cash in PM accounts

•r/investing•See Post

Retiring in 8 to 10 years, going 80% S&P 500 / 8% QQQ / 6% SMH / 6% single stocks. Rate it.

•r/StockMarket•See Post

More on Why I’m Getting More Constructive

•r/investing•See Post

Question For Semiconductor Investors

•r/investing•See Post

Just starting out, does this portfolio make sense?

•r/StockMarket•See Post

2-year update 37, blue collar lawn care business owner. $173k then, $248k now. Still aiming for $1M or retire by 45. Posted here two years ago at $173,000 and got a ton of advice, some of it good. Figured I owed an update.

•r/stocks•See Post

NVDA vs SOXX, SOXQ, SMH for Long Term (21yo Portfolio Advice)

•r/investing•See Post

Moving into VOO & QQQM from stock picks

•r/investing•See Post

So 90% of my portfolio is in a World Index Fund

•r/investing•See Post

24yo looking for advice! IRA and Brokerage

•r/options•See Post

Let AI agents deploy options bots on paper desks. Worst one: long puts on TSLA/AMD/META/NFLX, 53 tra

•r/investing•See Post

Lump sum or DCA portfolio into the market?

•r/investing•See Post

Portfolio Allocation by Risk Level

•r/StockMarket•See Post

Us stocks recommendation.

•r/investing•See Post

US market - VOO or CSPX QQQ or CNDX or anything else?

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

SMH Gains

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Gambled my girlfriends account on MSFT and paid off

•r/StockMarket•See Post

SK Hynix $SKYH Earnings Shed Light on Memory Capacity and Demand

•r/Wallstreetbetsnew•See Post

Chips vs. SPY: SMH +46.89% and SOXX +64.66% YTD — The Performance Gap Is Widening

•r/StockMarket•See Post

going all in on “small satellites”

•r/pennystocks•See Post

going all in on “small satellites”

•r/investing•See Post

SCHD in taxable vs growth

•r/StockMarket•See Post

SOX just hit bear market territory. This earnings week is make or break for semis

•r/investing•See Post

38M Canadian with Defined Benefit Pension: Looking for Honest Criticism of My LongTerm Investment Plan

•r/stocks•See Post

MEMORY & SEMICONDUCTOR PROTOTYPE STOCK THESIS

•r/investing•See Post

21, opening my first brokerage account

•r/StockMarket•See Post

AI still looks strong long term, but I am watching the whole chip sector now

•r/investing•See Post

Looking to move money from CD

•r/investing•See Post

i think the bubble is going to pop

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

MU puts bought in large size 7/2/26. SMH puts 7/6. Will Apple receive approval to buy chinese memory chips? If yes that would explain

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.

•r/investing•See Post

Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.

•r/stocks•See Post

Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.

•r/investing•See Post

Is $DRAM the greatest ETF ever created objectively?

•r/investing•See Post

Are Semi-Conductors worth investing in at this point? Tech?

•r/investing•See Post

Critique the direction of my 14yo son’s Roth IRA we started this year

•r/investing•See Post

How does this mixture look for my 14yo son’s Roth IRA?

•r/stocks•See Post

Portfolio Advice

•r/options•See Post

SOXX or SMH

•r/stocks•See Post

Big gains today

•r/investing•See Post

Roast/review my portfolio. AI, Semis, Infra + ETFs. 40M, Europe. Rotate into Nasdaq?

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Is it too late to get into SMH?

•r/investing•See Post

If you’re young, increase risk until you are 100% you’ll hit your goal!

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Semiconductor shorts pile on as winning trade reverses - CNBC

•r/StockMarket•See Post

The market panic looks overdone follow up- choppy ahead of CPI, but positioning is improving

•r/investing•See Post

RACK Vaneck New ETF Is the new future Growth like DRAM or was it just another overhype?

•r/StockMarket•See Post

The market panic looks overdone - Korea, SMH,SOXX, VIX, Jobs, and Oil

•r/stocks•See Post

Should I trim my AMD position? Looking for thoughts on this portfolio reallocation

•r/stocks•See Post

Space companies - The real underdogs

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Space companies - The real underdogs

•r/options•See Post

Trying to understand protective puts

•r/options•See Post

Option tool Covered call and Cash secured Put

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

I am trying to buy calls, but this stock keeps going up. SMH. Is this the next MU?

•r/smallstreetbets•See Post

Forced to sell early because I had an exam @2:00 SMH

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Guys did Elon Scam me in 2020?

•r/options•See Post

Recovery path

•r/stocks•See Post

10k to invest? What in?

•r/investing•See Post

I want to diversify significant NVIDA position into AI specific ETFs- How would you think about this?

•r/options•See Post

compare exit tactics

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

After 200% gains - i’m out. (B-B-BUBBLE!)

•r/stocks•See Post

Thoughts on my AMD and DRAM positions

•r/WallStreetbetsELITE•See Post

1k to gazzillion day 7

•r/smallstreetbets•See Post

1k to infinity day 7

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

32 y/o Canadian Investor , Need honest suggestion please.

•r/WallStreetbetsELITE•See Post

Aschenbrenner Blinked

•r/investing•See Post

I feel like it’s very difficult to get a read on the AI trade… (chips, smh, intc, bubble)

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

$45k Puts on SMH and AMD

•r/investing•See Post

Straddle rule between similar but no identical ETFs like SMH and SOXX

•r/smallstreetbets•See Post

NVDA beat earnings, semis rallied hard, and institutions spent the day selling calls into strength. What does that tell you?

•r/WallStreetbetsELITE•See Post

Leopold Aschenbrenner just filed his Q1 2026 trades with the SEC His tracker's been live since March 5th It's up ~78%, even with the delay Today the portfolio was rebalanced to match his latest trades. Screenshot from: Stock Insider App

•r/stocks•See Post

Morgan Stanley Advisor?

•r/WallStreetbetsELITE•See Post

Leopold Aschenbrenner's 13F just dropped Check this out, this is absolutely INSANE. Every major name. All brand new this quarter: SMH VanEck Semi ETF – $2.04B NVDA – $1.57B ORCL – $1.07B AVGO – $1.01B AMD – $969M MU – $584M TSM – $535M ASML – $494M INTC – $159M

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Actual performance of Leopold fund Semiconductor PUTS

•r/smallstreetbets•See Post

Gates Foundation sold MSFT. What's next?

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

I found $POET's office

•r/RobinHood•See Post

One Year Into Investing… any tips?

•r/stocks•See Post

$20k in SMH - thinking of selling the ATH and going all-in on MU or NVDA before earnings?

•r/investing•See Post

Thoughts on My Long Term ETF Portfolio?

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Puts loaded $QQQ $SMH

•r/investing•See Post

Need review on US market portfolio

•r/investing•See Post

I fele like im playing it too safe

•r/stocks•See Post

You don't have to make up losses from the stock that caused them

•r/stocks•See Post

Target Date Funds - outside of 401k

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

Can someone ELI5 why SMH would be a better investment in the current market than a 3X leveraged ETF like SOXL?

•r/stocks•See Post

Anchoring Bias. Why is it so hard to buy GOOGL & AMZN at all time highs? Why do we chase 10x underdogs over proven winners with 1x upside?

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

464% gains on Halloween $SMH LEAPS

•r/stocks•See Post

Smart money has puts on $SMH

•r/wallstreetbets•See Post

SMH Other Subreddits are so behind on the news cycle

Mentions

SMH is still $7 below its premarket price. Ridiculous

Mentions:#SMH

Not one of you have the Bloomberg terminal. SMH

Mentions:#SMH

So buy the index, QQQ, VGT, SMH, you’ll hold the winners and make reasonable money.

Mentions:#QQQ#VGT#SMH

I guess you've never heard of Wheeler Walker SMH https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=osLTSjP7gw8

Mentions:#SMH

Over the last 5 months I've been slowly DCA-ing into broad market ETFs & defensive equities (healthcare, consumer staples, energy) and diluting my AI plays (SMH & PAVE). I've noticed defensive has outperformed AI & tech in the last few months. Investors have been slowly rolling into defense so there is still liquidity in the market, it's just in VDE, LLY, WEYS, and bonds. This will be a slow leak of a bubble that will head to correction territory after a dead cat bounce. Whether or not gets to a bear market will be up to investors who don't blink and stay in the market. November is historically a market-positive month before the "Santa Surge".

Imagine all the ass I can eat after these 0dte SMH puts print

Mentions:#SMH

That’s not how PE ratio’s work. SMH.

Mentions:#SMH

They offered voluntary buyouts to 60k people, that’s not at all the same as laying off 60k people. Why are people so dumb here that they can’t understand basic facts? SMH

Mentions:#SMH

Guys, wall street is clear that only bear market for next 2 months. SMH back to $400, QQQ back to $600.

Mentions:#SMH#QQQ

SMH down 7% yesterday, while being up 40% YTD at the same time. Not a wipe out, wouldn't call it a sale either.

Mentions:#SMH

Getting some SMH for semiconductor exposure that I didn’t have b4, some Broadcom, nvda(i know this already there in smh but I think forward P/E ratio justifies higher concentration) and google after the drawdown

Mentions:#SMH

Yeah good call on the amd puts. Probably some SMH too

Mentions:#SMH

SMH is still up 43% from when he first called AI a bubble in October 2025. Might be a bit early for a victory lap

Mentions:#SMH

Yes, buy SMH! I added today

Mentions:#SMH

Personally, I believe it ultimately comes down to conviction. I strongly believe that technology and growth stocks have greater growth potential than traditional “old economy” stocks, and I expect this trend to become even more pronounced in the future. Regardless of high valuations, I think the market will continue to go through corrections and eventually regain momentum and move higher again. Of course, the Nasdaq isn't a perfect index by design, but at the moment I don't see any serious alternative with comparable trading volume. Specialized technology sector ETFs exclude too many tech companies due to their sector classification criteria. For example, my portfolio consists of 50% Nasdaq 100, 25% SMH, and 25% BTC/ETH. I'm certainly in for a wild ride, but conviction is what makes the difference.

Mentions:#SMH#BTC#ETH

Personally, I believe it ultimately comes down to conviction. I strongly believe that technology and growth stocks have greater growth potential than traditional “old economy” stocks, and I expect this trend to become even more pronounced in the future. Regardless of high valuations, I think the market will continue to go through corrections and eventually regain momentum and move higher again. Of course, the Nasdaq isn't a perfect index by design, but at the moment I don't see any serious alternative with comparable trading volume. Specialized technology sector ETFs exclude too many tech companies due to their sector classification criteria. For example, my portfolio consists of 50% Nasdaq 100, 25% SMH, and 25% BTC/ETH. I'm certainly in for a wild ride, but conviction is what makes the difference.

Mentions:#SMH#BTC#ETH

I saw the crash a mile away, cashed out SMH when it peaked a few weeks ago

Mentions:#SMH

QQQ is down 10% from the high and 0.5% from the 200 MA. SMH is down 23% from the high and sitting right on it's 200 MA. I wish it was a bigger flush and the VIX was higher, and the selling is orderly, but you can make a lot worse mistakes than to take a little down here.

Mentions:#QQQ#MA#SMH

Spy holding 750 for dear life SMH

Mentions:#SMH

I was going to grab the SMH low earlier @ 520, 513 like an hour later, my god.... We F'd

Mentions:#SMH

BigTech are global. They have big cashflow. They saw future with AI adoption As big cash flow growing. They keep spending for AI-infrastructure build up Look coding jobs, now all coding by AI $MSFT $META $GOOG $AMZN $NVDA $AMD $AVGO $ASML $QQQ $SMH $SPY Watch liquidity today

Dip on $SMH ?

Mentions:#SMH

SMH down 7.7% lol

Mentions:#SMH

Why is all AI down a fuck tom genuine question can’t fine shit as to why my SMH is down 6%

Mentions:#SMH

I’ve always preferred SMH. More liquid and I prefer market cap weighting over the fund picking winners. Let the market decide who should win.

Mentions:#SMH

How you feeling about SOXX vs SMH. I’ve monitored SOXX’s portfolio balance over time and it just comes across as stupid at times with their modified market-cap weighting. Like why is it holding more intel than nvidia

Mentions:#SOXX#SMH

Adding semi & INTC $SMH $DELL Government upgrade all PC for AI infrastructure Buy, that’s big revenue for PC and chips

Hold. Intel will recover but it’ll be a slow slog. It ran up 200% this year on vibes that agentic AI will result in massive TAM expansion for CPUs. I believe it’ll show up in Intel’s finances but it will take a few years. Intel is going to be a $300 stock by the early 2030s. I don’t buy individual semi stocks anymore since SMH gives you comparable growth and picks the winners for you. Intel will be fine though.

Mentions:#SMH

You’ll be fine. Semis all print cash and will bounce back. SMH is my #1 position.

Mentions:#SMH

RDDT is on my list, but INTC having such mind boggling price swings and govt' intervention to essentially rescue the firm... that then falls like this. no thanks. have no idea what the fundamentals are... <$40 on INTC and I might add 1%, simply as a goof. tbh, having to pick a single semi hasn't worked well for me other than ARM and QCOM this year. however, SMH has been a scalping wonderland.

Idk but the double top on SMH with the failed 3rd one… doesn’t look too promising

Mentions:#SMH

Spy is not even down 5% SMH

Mentions:#SMH

VanEck SMH being up 56% still YTD is insane with the loss porn we have been seeing

Mentions:#SMH

I'd like to see SMH hold 540 tomorrow

Mentions:#SMH

SMH is still up 48% YTD… could easily drop 10%+

Mentions:#SMH

Every R admin passes a shitstorm to the incoming D admin, and then when they don’t fix everything in 2 years these morons vote the R’s back into office so they can fuck shit up again. Same story for decades. SMH

Mentions:#SMH

I just picked this book up…and was going to start it next week. SMH

Mentions:#SMH

We got Google delisting before GTA6. SMH

Mentions:#SMH

It was a beat SMH….

Mentions:#SMH

Buffett bought the top! SMH!

Mentions:#SMH

Capex slowing. SMH is fucked

Mentions:#SMH

The key points: - A limit on additional fundraising: Oracle says it will raise another $20 billion through fiscal 2030, split between $10 billion of equity and $10 billion of debt. This excludes refinancing and comes on top of the $20 billion equity raise already completed. - A clearer path to generating cash: It expects positive free cash flow in the second half of fiscal 2028, and $30 billion-plus in fiscal 2029, with growth self-funded from FY2029. - Long-term targets: At least $225 billion annual revenue, a 40%+ adjusted operating margin, and $21+ adjusted earnings per share in fiscal 2030. These are management forecasts. Full release Why that could lift SMH: My interpretation is that greater clarity on financing Oracle’s AI expansion could ease worries about whether its enormous chip and data-centre spending is sustainable. That would support confidence in semiconductor suppliers.

Mentions:#SMH

Why is SMH pumping?

Mentions:#SMH

Why is SMH pumping?

Mentions:#SMH

What made the SMH spike up?

Mentions:#SMH

Why did SMH spike up?

Mentions:#SMH

What did he say that pushed SMH to 2.13% immediately?

Mentions:#SMH

I always carry a tail risk hedge. That kicks in past 17% drawdown. However, I run my income portfolio like a business and allocate a certain amount as a “business expense/insurance cost”. Can do this with S&P, NAS, or SMH put options. Since people are most worried about those. Adjust for how much protection you need/makes you sleep well at night. However, IMO. You will see volatility and market corrections, but no crash. Not for quite some time. Market should continue up after midterms and earnings growth will continue. Sitting on sidelines will give up a lot of compounding power. But it’s always better to be prepared than not.

Mentions:#SMH

It’s soo stupid to add additional volatility to nasdaq. It already feels like a casino. SMH

Mentions:#SMH

Just leave everything as is.. who gave him authority to rename things?? What's next? Washington DC becomes Trump DC?? SMH..

Mentions:#DC#SMH

Nah SKHY had blowout earnings, time for another SMH dump. It’s getting really old. But i do think the trend is or should be reversing.

Mentions:#SKHY#SMH

SMH was -0.5% in futures, now +0.16%

Mentions:#SMH

I bought a flat fully with my pure AI investments; I’ve been in SMH for 5 years which has done +320%. Those tulips kind of changed my life, doubt I’d be able to have started a family otherwise with a big mortgage and inflation.

Mentions:#SMH

Diabolical dump of SMH before close

Mentions:#SMH

Why the SMH crash before close

Mentions:#SMH

What I am trying to say, your precious open source models are not going to cause a collapse in QQQ, SPY or SMH.

Mentions:#QQQ#SPY#SMH

Farewell sweet prince. I have cashed out my SMH after holding for a couple of trading days for roughly a 4% profit. https://preview.redd.it/ddva37w4m0yh1.png?width=888&format=png&auto=webp&s=c90dfaa6aa6fd9260e38fe7e07a78e046d30f1f6

Mentions:#SMH

Knee deep in SMH

Mentions:#SMH

The American media that is owned by Trumps best friend Ellison? Gee I wonder why they dont report it SMH

Mentions:#SMH

Another day of no sleep, gym opens in 6 minutes (5am est.). 24 years old, medically separated from marines, medically withdrew from college. Fucking hate my life man. Nobody wants me At least I’ve got the church and claim to be waiting for marriage. SMH. I just want someone to love man.

Mentions:#SMH

Dude being arrogant and ignorant at the same time. These folks are (likely were and not anymore) trying to help you. Instead you ride your 1 day high horse. SMH. See you at $0.

Mentions:#SMH

Depends on the investment. I would gladly DCA into ETFs like VOO or SMH; as I know the market will continue growth in those funds. However, with individual stocks, DCAing is much more riskier as even if you do average down your share price as the stock tanks; you are still losing money. A lump sum prevents that by cementing a large singular position that you can make more predictable decisions based on your sole share price

Mentions:#VOO#SMH

Der SMH notiert heute zumindest einen Tiefpunkt. Vielleicht ist der Boden erreicht an der 200 Tage Linie.

Mentions:#SMH

Put 30% of your money in SMH, 30% in QQQ, 30% in short-dated treasuries and 10% in bitcoin.

Mentions:#SMH#QQQ

I grabbed a semiconductor ETF, SMH as well as some GOOG since youtube should become increasingly dominant.

Mentions:#SMH#GOOG

Wrong sub. Try r/investing if buying SMH is a dream play for you

Mentions:#SMH

i just full ported long we are oversold due for a bounce right the 200 EMA on SOXX/SMH RIGHT??

Mentions:#EMA#SOXX#SMH

Friedman had an interesting article in NYT today, suggesting the development of AI as the second Big Bang. He makes interesting points. Of course he is not a scientist, but, he travels and talks to a great many well informed people. He has access, in a very wide circle, which most of us do not. He is not a fool. He does not address investments. It makes sense to participate in AI growth. I’m just a casual user of ChatGPT. Happy to subscribe, great information. I’ve been long XLK, SMH, MSFT, NVDA

Finally AI-buildout is slowing down. $CRWV bond collapse, slowly bleed \&amp; push it to bankruptcy. Other Neo clouds follow one by one. Like BearStern \&amp; Lehman, it took 6 months to realize , 12-18 months slow bleeding for market see recession bottom. All rogue agents now show that buildout is over for 99.9% performance improvements of 99.5% population. Many semi in $SMH unwind one by one.

Mentions:#CRWV#SMH

Yeah, it's the SOXX/SMH collapse people should be looking at. They broke very long multi-year supports and didn't show much bounce (unlike the Leopold liquidation day). Heck, the main thing even holding up the Nasdaq toward the end of the week was runs on CRWD and PANW because of the whole phpshell incident.

SMH

Mentions:#SMH

AstroZan on X 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗗𝗼𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗹𝘆 #𝗪𝗧𝗜 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁 𝗧𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗨𝘀? 𝟭𝟬/𝟮𝟰/𝟮𝟲 🔴 𝗧𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗟𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘀 — 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 The monthly #WTI chart shows oil testing a powerful, long-term descending resistance line originating from the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) oil price peak. Following that historic top, WTI established a lower high after the COVID dislocation, followed by a third lower high in April 2026. See the three red circles marking these major tops. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗯𝗶𝗴 𝗾𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: Why should oil suddenly break above this multi-decade resistance when the Iran conflict, at least in its current form, has not produced a disruption comparable in scale to the GFC or COVID? 🔴 𝗧𝗵𝗲 $𝟭𝟬𝟯 𝗟𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹 — 𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗥𝗵𝘆𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴? WTI is currently trading near $103, a historically important price zone. Notice the horizontal red line connecting three major resistance tests. Each previous encounter was followed by a significant price breakdown. 𝗪𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗲𝗮𝘁 𝗻𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸, just as oil bulls anticipate a geopolitical breakout on renewed Iran war fears? The chart suggests the risk may be to the 𝗗𝗢𝗪𝗡𝗦𝗜𝗗𝗘, not the upside. 🟢 𝗠𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘄𝗵𝗶𝗹𝗲, 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝗔𝗿𝗲 𝗦𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝘆 𝗗𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗦𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹! Friday's price action in $SMH, $SOXX, and $DRAM supports the broader bullish equity reversal thesis. Remember: 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝘀 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝘆 𝗗𝗢𝗪𝗡, 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝘆 𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗼𝗳 𝗮 𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻. On Friday, semiconductors demonstrated relative strength. $VXN behaved better than $VIX, while $SOXX and $SOXL closed positive despite the VIX remaining near 20. This is a 𝗕𝗨𝗟𝗟𝗜𝗦𝗛 𝗗𝗜𝗩𝗘𝗥𝗚𝗘𝗡𝗖𝗘, suggesting that underlying market strength may be developing even as fear remains elevated. 🚀 𝗠𝘆 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 $𝗦𝗠𝗛 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗜𝘀 𝗙𝗹𝗮𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴! My custom $SMH coiling/compression indicator currently shows compression 𝟮𝟱𝟬% 𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 than at the March 30 bottom. It is also 𝟮𝟬% 𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 than at the July 29 bottom. This degree of compression suggests 𝗘𝗫𝗣𝗟𝗢𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘 𝗨𝗣𝗦𝗜𝗗𝗘 𝗦𝗤𝗨𝗘𝗘𝗭𝗘 𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗞 heading into next week, particularly if the bullish semiconductor signals are confirmed. ⚠️ 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗗𝗼𝘄𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗦𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗜 𝗔𝗺 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴: The principal short-term risk to my bullish outlook is an unexpected escalation with Iran, potentially involving a sudden, decisive, one-and-done military operation or leadership-targeting strike. Such an event could trigger a 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗳𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗵, followed by a 𝗦𝗔𝗠𝗘-𝗗𝗔𝗬 𝗩-𝗦𝗛𝗔𝗣𝗘𝗗 𝗥𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗩𝗘𝗥𝗬 as the initial panic subsides. This will keep the long geometric structure in tact with a daily price wick. One speculative political scenario is that @netanyahu and @realDonaldTrump could view the approaching elections as a narrowing window for decisive action. Should Netanyahu lose his bid for another term, a caretaker government could face greater political constraints on launching further strikes. 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗻 𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼, 𝗺𝘆 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗮 𝗿𝗮𝗽𝗶𝗱 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗮𝗹, rather than a sustained breakdown. 𝗠𝘆 𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸: 𝗕𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗵 #𝗪𝗧𝗜. 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝘀. 𝗨𝗽𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗦𝗾𝘂𝗲𝗲𝘇𝗲 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗘𝗾𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀. I will discuss the $SMH chart and its extraordinary compression setup in a separate post later today.

I bought more of SMH.

Mentions:#SMH

SOXX/SMH really looks identical to the classic bubble pattern with all the phases clearly market. This is it. SOXS will print millionnaires.

Have you beaten the SMH ytd? I doubt it, if so, AI investors are already way ahead of you, they’re currently 4x ahead the SP500 investor.

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Nah, its just the word thats used to describe an object that goes around one's neck. SMH

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Held out hope till the last minute but it’s looking like these puts are officially dead. SMH

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QQQ/SMH green. I think SPY can flip green

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I also bought some SMH at the same time. Think it's down about $50 from where I bought. Hard to predict the bottom!

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People celebrating the overnight markets. SMH

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Thank god you said this. “Merely”. SMH. Disgusting. This is HUGE!

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I think I am going to start adding to semis after watching the 50dma hit a slope of a zero on a daily based on SMH

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Yes, this is the disconnect. The new batch of models like Fable, Astra and especially Opus 5.5 are absolutely amazing, unlocking so many new capabilities. Where we are now is already mind blowing, but we know that the frontier labs already have far better models internally (like Bel). This will disrupt almost every business in the world (and if you don't get disrupted you'll simply go out of business). I just don't see demand for AI and semis go down anytime soon. This is just way to powerful. As Dario said "country of geniuses in a datacenter". We've seen this already play out with Navier-Stokes. And we'll see more results soon in practical areas like physics and biotech. Also the security angle - yes, AI is and will be used by nefarious actors to hack whatever they can (we just saw it with what some call Black October). The thing is that the only defense will be your own AI watching all activity at all times and be ready to act, autonomously, as soon as an attack is detected. I think this is a classic shakeout. I've got about a million riding in AI-adjacent stocks (mostly semis and GOOG). I bought some more SMH earlier this week, yeah, I wish I waited a bit, but in any case I remain bullish. I've still got almost half a mil in defensive equities like SGOV and BRK.B, thinking about trimming that to double down and go into more AI with that as well....or maybe not...

Bro wrote this with ai SMH

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Market would be blood red as soon as I buy micron. SMH

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Last time I saw AI Jensen dance, SMH -10% next few days.

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That’s been around for weeks. Markets been resilient to it the whole time. But today SMH wants to drop 6% on no clear reason or news?

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Fun fact: SMH is officially at bear market today again. lmao

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SMH did -5% today

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When I actually follow my rules I do good but I always abandon them for some reason. SMH

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SMH is up 44% Ytd…

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Every time I look, SMH is lower

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SMH -6%... yikes

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SMH is totally oversold, most orders and backlog are through 2028.

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I've already lost all of my gains for this week..... SMH. Not sure about this one. Are you still holding?

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SMH getting close to the 200 SMA.

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SMH

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SMH $535 floor

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Kospi & SOXX/SMH are the bear flag to hell break below its jover

Mentions:#SOXX#SMH

Gee whiz - another casualty. This is like once a day now. SMH. The stock market is not a get rich quick scheme. You gamble the house usually wins…in the end. Shouda dumped everything on SpaceX today and come out with a small profit.

Mentions:#SMH