Reddit Posts
US market - VOO or CSPX QQQ or CNDX or anything else?
Gambled my girlfriends account on MSFT and paid off
SK Hynix $SKYH Earnings Shed Light on Memory Capacity and Demand
Chips vs. SPY: SMH +46.89% and SOXX +64.66% YTD — The Performance Gap Is Widening
going all in on “small satellites”
SOX just hit bear market territory. This earnings week is make or break for semis
38M Canadian with Defined Benefit Pension: Looking for Honest Criticism of My LongTerm Investment Plan
AI still looks strong long term, but I am watching the whole chip sector now
MU puts bought in large size 7/2/26. SMH puts 7/6. Will Apple receive approval to buy chinese memory chips? If yes that would explain
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Is $DRAM the greatest ETF ever created objectively?
Are Semi-Conductors worth investing in at this point? Tech?
Critique the direction of my 14yo son’s Roth IRA we started this year
How does this mixture look for my 14yo son’s Roth IRA?
Roast/review my portfolio. AI, Semis, Infra + ETFs. 40M, Europe. Rotate into Nasdaq?
Is it too late to get into SMH?
If you’re young, increase risk until you are 100% you’ll hit your goal!
Semiconductor shorts pile on as winning trade reverses - CNBC
The market panic looks overdone follow up- choppy ahead of CPI, but positioning is improving
RACK Vaneck New ETF Is the new future Growth like DRAM or was it just another overhype?
The market panic looks overdone - Korea, SMH,SOXX, VIX, Jobs, and Oil
Should I trim my AMD position? Looking for thoughts on this portfolio reallocation
Space companies - The real underdogs
I am trying to buy calls, but this stock keeps going up. SMH. Is this the next MU?
Forced to sell early because I had an exam @2:00 SMH
I want to diversify significant NVIDA position into AI specific ETFs- How would you think about this?
After 200% gains - i’m out. (B-B-BUBBLE!)
32 y/o Canadian Investor , Need honest suggestion please.
Aschenbrenner Blinked
I feel like it’s very difficult to get a read on the AI trade… (chips, smh, intc, bubble)
Straddle rule between similar but no identical ETFs like SMH and SOXX
NVDA beat earnings, semis rallied hard, and institutions spent the day selling calls into strength. What does that tell you?
Leopold Aschenbrenner just filed his Q1 2026 trades with the SEC His tracker's been live since March 5th It's up ~78%, even with the delay Today the portfolio was rebalanced to match his latest trades. Screenshot from: Stock Insider App
Leopold Aschenbrenner's 13F just dropped Check this out, this is absolutely INSANE. Every major name. All brand new this quarter: SMH VanEck Semi ETF – $2.04B NVDA – $1.57B ORCL – $1.07B AVGO – $1.01B AMD – $969M MU – $584M TSM – $535M ASML – $494M INTC – $159M
Actual performance of Leopold fund Semiconductor PUTS
$20k in SMH - thinking of selling the ATH and going all-in on MU or NVDA before earnings?
You don't have to make up losses from the stock that caused them
Can someone ELI5 why SMH would be a better investment in the current market than a 3X leveraged ETF like SOXL?
Anchoring Bias. Why is it so hard to buy GOOGL & AMZN at all time highs? Why do we chase 10x underdogs over proven winners with 1x upside?
SMH Other Subreddits are so behind on the news cycle
And Another Ai Bubble = SMH. ( this isnt normal)
Why does the market keep pushing toward highs even when the macro backdrop still looks bad?
New to US market, Need advice for SIP in Tech Etfs
I wrote a full thesis on why AI hits white collar jobs first and credit markets next. Here’s my position.
Add more on Monday? (Added $40k on Thursday)
How do you evaluate infrastructure stocks beyond surface level AI hype?
How's this ETF portfolio for a 15 year monthly investment plan?
How's this ETF portfolio for a 15 year monthly investment plan?
It’s a dang shame I took $22 and turned it into over $1100. SMH sure wish I would’ve bought more of this.
TSMC earnings lifted the whole semiconductor sector
24 - Give me stocks for an AI play long into the future. Rate my portfolio
Mentions
Borrow against IRA and 401k Max out margin on HOOD Buy TQQQ and SMH leaps Never work again
DRAM, SMH, neoclouds, MAG7, the usual
Interesting fact is if you need to make a power plant, you’re gonna need semiconductors for the power plant equipment.. and every single other thing along the entire grid. Even if someone reinvented power supply and delivery, you’re gonna need semiconductors for that as well. If put SMH in your basket, you get everything that will ever be invented or made for the remainder of your lifetime and beyond. Nothing can exist without the help of semiconductors at this point.
SMH! My AI trading bot…it caught itself lying about its win rate once, deleted 17 of its own posts before they shipped, and yesterday its auditor AI stopped ME from posting our stats because “the sample size wouldn’t survive a hearing.” I wanted Skynet. I accidentally built the SEC 😂🤌
I can’t believe i have to explain this. Everyone knows you click the red button if you expect it to go up SMH
Idk I’m just memeing, if im being honest qqq longs might be the move. Like 2 weeks out for it to reclaim ATHs That and SMH is looking ready to break out, I might possibly swing trade it I’m also eyeing longs on NOW APP ASTS GOOG TSM
I was in your shoes, very recently, and I am 37 so I have a few more years on you. My wife and I contribute to VOO/QQQM mainly and a little into SMH/TSLA. We plan to do this for the next 25-30 years and we are confident we will be fine by the time we retire.
I lost 10% on SND and SMH before I pulled out and invested in reasonable blue chip. Fucking AI bubble 😂
**BanBet Lost** — /u/tenfthigher (3W - 1L, 75%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SMH** ▼ | $545.28 → $500.00 | -8.3% | 2w | Lost |
Brother asked for a play I gave him a winner and now he thinks he’s Warren Buffet. He full ported his account into options SMH.
I agree. SMH was doubly good. Sold some of it to lock in my gains.
I think today was the last pump of IGV. Tomorrow top and its SMH turn
I was working for a company making chip fab machine components. Our customers were super busy. I bought a bunch of SMH at 27. Took profits at an average of 520. Still have 85 shares left.
SMH, i bought more in the recent dip.
SMH/QQQ look good here both at Vwap
I’m all out of ideas in the near future. Jpm, Eaton, and copx have been my big winners with BR and intuit. ITA, SMH, and XLE are where I just put a bunch of money this week
Or just the SOXX/SMH index itself. Incredible strength.
You can open an account at Morningstar and test your portfolios. They have a free trial. A lot of US equity IMO and a lot of Mag7 overlap. For me, SPY and SPDW and some focused ETFs if I want to increase some sectors. Like XLK, XLF or SMH
It's a Roth. Get aggressive. You want big gains. Big tech. It's not going anywhere. Big tech will run this world for at least another 100 years. QQQ Voog, SMH,FYEE (8% dividend)
I got into the semiconductor trade around 2015, and I’ve been stacking SMH ever since. How I arrived at that investment was by thinking about the fact that in 1985 there were, I think, something like 17 information systems technology companies, and today there are over 70. As technology advances exponentially, we’re going to need more semiconductors. Until we invent something greater than the semiconductor, we’re all going to need more of them. It seemed like a pretty solid investment, so I went with it, and so far it’s paid off very well.
The P/C ratio is so low, folks are in for a rude shock when this implodes. All because some money-losing Neocloud company posted a smaller loss than expected. Some never learn, SMH.
SPY is ATH QQQ has mostly recovered SMH is still 10% behind, but already bounced back a lot
$CRWV 90-100 today possible Companies with \~ $50 Billion market cap, $F $GM $NKE $CAT $SWK $HOG $MMM $DE $CRWV see See how is net margin &cash flow. CRWV is miserable worse $SMH $QQQ $SPY Algo make many Situational Awareness push, like old SPAC days. Higher debt &higher rate catch reality Profit time https://preview.redd.it/mn06tdbb7yih1.png?width=764&format=png&auto=webp&s=4a5b72b920e2f94d0c908f7ec68c6ae3adce6154
Leverage unwind is more painful than anything. Size of AI debt , Too Big to Fail ? At GFC-2008, $AIG Lehman, $BAC $C $MS $GS struggled to survive in 2008. “Situational Awareness “ blow up $45 Billion for leverage. All datacenter on debt load is worse than CDO of CDO Look market cap of semi and many cash burning Zombies or even all semi. $SPY $QQQ $SMH $MU $NVDA https://preview.redd.it/ikjp07kvkuih1.png?width=752&format=png&auto=webp&s=fb5597e1e9465f40af3f2a0fcea2edd0587705e7
Why we need so much AI information? What is use of too much unnecessary information from AI? If AI just brings all available information from internet & summarize nicely, is it useful to spend big for AI & neglected all human needs, schools, hospitals etc? $SMH $MU $NVDA $QQQ $NVDA etc too high market cap pump , even many Zombies those burning cash.
This place has gone downhill ever since they got rid of the 4 for $4 deal. SMH
I have 25% SMH and it’s still my best performer even after the correction.
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SMH** ▼ | $500.00 (below) | $545.28 | $571.70 | -8.3% | Aug 14, 3:06 PM | | **Record** | 3W - 0L | 100% | - | - | - |
Tell that to all of the people that voted for him. They will tell you that "companies pay for the tariffs!!!!" and that the American people gets to keep the money...SMH... Man, I'm extremely disappointed in how ignorant and gullible so many people are when it comes to Trump. He was so right that stupid people love him.
I added more SMH, currently 50% SMH and 50% QQQ.... 100% tech. Annoying weeks ahead, but end the of the year things will be a lot higher.
God damn SMH really waited for end of day to make new day lows
$SPX $SMH $QQQ Earnings crash 10-30% for all AI hype stocks nowadays Check which hype earnings stocks this week $LITE earning crash tomorrow $MU $STX $WDC all crashed at earnings
2k isn't much if you have 30k+.... Investing has been a nightmare since last october unless you dodged all blow off tops in crypto, metals, space and memory OR if you were all in SMH exclusively and didn't try to play anything else. Else VOO and chill really was just the best play. Right now there are still a few beaten down stocks that could pop 20% in a few days, especially now on earnings, but you'd first need to find the right ones and even then the question is if they are a good long term hold. I think the ai party will soon come to an end, though there could be one last bout of euphoria left. Even the cheat code of just buying the mag 7 has underperformed for the first time in years. I would stay the course for now, avoid leverage, just stay in voo, keep some cash handy to buy gold/crypto for whenever they bottom out or if we do crash. Could buy treasuries as well because imo the upside ain't so bad especially if we do get a substantial crash, else you still get over 5% a year. I'm also bagholding memory but i do expect it to still bounce a bit. That will be my top signal though, i'm not gonna try riding them out for big gains anymore.
I’m on a train to work in the Netherlands and some baddies come walking in but some Asian nerd with pimples sits next to Me SMH 🤦🏻♂️ 😡
Why do we still watch the numbers out of the Dept of Labor and Statistics when they haven’t been reliable in 50 years? ADP has a better accuracy rating. SMH...
People keep talking about the market should crash. Where the fuck have you been in the last 2 months lol. SPY may be up but QQQ and SMH is still down. KOSPI will probably go to Zero soon. The market want en excuse to pump and TACO give it to us a few days ago... We should be able to slowly pump from here on out.
"safe" route would be QQQ calls. Riskier with more upside would be DRAM + SMH calls. I have switched to margin only, though, so not able to get those kind of returns, but also not totally losing my ass anymore
if you wanna skip individual stocks but dont wanna be as boring as VOO at least do VGT and SMH of something that outperforms
>But beneath the surface, leadership has narrowed. Over the past five trading days, the S&P 500 gained 5.8%, while the equal-weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) fell 1.9%. That means the average large-cap stock actually underperformed, with a handful of mega-cap names doing most of the lifting. What are you talking about RSP is at ATH while the SPY is not. Breadth is much better than the SMH rally of April - June. Market is healing and we are in a broader bull market
Any stock recommendations? My pltr just triggered and I have about 50k in my ira account. I am thinking VTi if there's nothing with good potential growth to look at. I do have MU and SMH and some other stocks totaling 18% of my savings (counting 401k, ira etc) with the rest in index. .I could also use this opportunity to rebalnace and put all in vti.
$NVDA Semi in downtrend NVDA. Can crash 10-20% at earnings, even earnings flat and low outlook $5 Trillion, 20% crash means 1 Trillion wipes, imagine margin call $3-4 Trillion See how many semi crashing in $SMH
From all the millions of bad things that there are, they chose a cringey video of Melon. That is why RDDT dropped 20% after earnings. SMH.
50K shares at $2.04 Trading AH $2.77 Bro SMH https://preview.redd.it/xgcmwvgtcvhh1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fc5b3795ea7c5586346cf6be3ab3718c46324da6
Today could have been a text message. SMH
COVID pandemic taught us nothing apparently. SMH
How do you invest in the hottest sector of the hottest stock market this century and still lose money? Grab an index fund ETF, even VGT, QQQM or SMH. AI has made my early retirement possible, and I didn’t even have to pick the right companies. Just bought the market and sectors.
$NVDA. Can crash 10-20% at earnings, even earnings flat and low outlook 5 Trillion, 20% crash means 1 Trillion wipes, imagine margin call 3-4 Trillion See all semi in $SMH
$SNDK what a great earnings, strong demand $MU $SMH https://preview.redd.it/qq79re9wyqhh1.png?width=779&format=png&auto=webp&s=e9fb8d893b9350556b78512dd0b668be977dc5f9 Yesterday numbers extremely strong demand for SNDK-, NAND memory
$WDC Check last 6 quarters earnings, very strong $WDC $MU demand sky high $SMH https://preview.redd.it/3jci74r6uqhh1.png?width=777&format=png&auto=webp&s=5aeb3c9fd1157b081c242d458e26189926b9261d WDC. Earnings 6 quarters
Not for all of them. SMH isn't 10+ years old.
The risk is indeed higher, but the returns have been explosive. We all know VGT is a returns machine, and SMH has returned more than double VGT’s returns in the past five years.
Surprised SMH is so high. I would have thought TJ risk would be much higher, bringing final number lower, but it’s interesting that the gains outweigh the risks so much.
My 5-figure QQQ investment in 2016 is a healthy mid-six figure value today. I originally allocated 70% of my portfolio in 2016 to QQQ but then in 2022 decided to go 100%. Today, my portfolio is 80% QQQ, 10% SMH, and 10% VOO. Going forward, I’m only making contributions each month to VOO in order to diversify given my age (34).
**Ranking by 10-year Sharpe ratio:** **SMH** (2.45) **VOO** (1.38) **VGT** (1.33) **QQQ** (1.11)
SMH had the cleanest breakout lol idk what you’re saying
Meanwhile SMH is up while SPY is down 3 hours into open This market makes complete sense
SMH red while NVDA up nearly 4 percent… I don’t like this boss
SoXx Caps individual top holdings at about 8% and this reduces single-name risk and forces more exposure to mid size and equipment companies.. SMH concentrates heavily on mega-cap
AI bubble crash is good for future AI-technology. All look for ROI. Once AI bubble crash, all hardware parts &cost of GPU, CPU & memory drop hard. Many datacenters expansion cost lower, economy grow all sectors, not just few narrow AI stocks. $SKHY $MU $NVDA $SNDK $SMH $AMD
Buy SMH right now…. You will be glad you did
Was up $100 on AMD before market closed and didn't take profits SMH...
$NVDA $SMH $MU $SKHY $EWY $SNDK Banks shutdown AI-debt financing. Now BigTech has negative cash flow negative Who buy semi and where liquidity come to buy semi think? Story telling & PT pump like “Situational Awareness “ kid
When cash flow negative for BigTech, how long they pump semi? $SMH $MU $SKHY $NVDA $QQQ $SPY $STX $SNDK like Situational Awareness story telling ? Banks story telling price target pump dump going big. All price target by MEME analysts has no fundamentals.
When cash flow negative for BigTech, how long they. Buy semi? $SMH $MU $SKHY like Situational Awareness story telling
$SMH $MU $SKHY $SNdK $TSM $INtC $AMD $STX How many Trillion AI-margin debt , when total margin debt 1.5 Trillion , last week wiped $45 Billion in a day, Situational Awareness. Memory is cyclical, AI doesn’t mater Ask any AI , why memory is cyclical?
After BearStern bailout, $AIG, $WAMU , Lehman one by one. $SPY $QQQ $SMH $XLC $XLK $XLY Leopold Aschenbrenner’s hedge fund bailout last week. Situational Awareness by June 2026 his fund was worth $45 billion How much today ? Fully liquidated Margin debt, 1.5 Trillion https://preview.redd.it/sua4c64y9dhh1.png?width=776&format=png&auto=webp&s=0fddf8265f61db9061505235eab48cc1ca46aeed See how crash wipeout at downturn
IGV up 3% SMH up 4% correlation ppl in shambles as well
Why not use SOXL instead if you have high conviction? I trade both at various times depending on my conviction, but I only use the SOXX and SMH charts for setups. I do the same with QQQ and TQQQ.
SMH or SOXX. I prefer SOXX
Oh boy, here we go again, selling the hyperscalers to buy chips and industrials. SMH...
1. Don't buy 'New' Vehicle, 2-4yr old nice one. Not FORD! 2. Don't invest in Crypto. VOO/SPY-Middle of road (the market S&P) Your young add some XLK/QQQ/m, SMH/SOXX (Nasdaq/Tech & A/I). 3. Short the Inverse if gonna play with LEFT's.
Do I buy SMH tomorrow or Voo like normie
SMH, QQQ, and chill
o dang nice. what expiration date and price? i've only been doing leaps tbh. i bought SMH puts 2028 but a bit early and chickened out when i broke even
I can’t really advise you on CSPs or covered calls because that’s not how I trade, and I don’t want to pretend I’m an expert in instruments I don’t use. But first, stop thinking about “making it back within a year.” The market doesn’t care what your account balance used to be, and trying to recover losses on a deadline is how one bad trade turns into a blown account. Personally, I’d keep it much simpler: wait for SPY to pull back into a major level like the daily 50 or 100 EMA, look for confirmation, and use 60–90 DTE calls. Risk no more than 5% of the portfolio on any single trade. Another option is to look for recurring trend patterns on the daily or weekly charts in stocks and ETFs. Recently, SMH gave a setup around the psychological $500 level. MSFT also spent a long time building liquidity around one of its recurring higher-timeframe patterns. Don’t risk more than 5% per trade, and once the position moves in your favor, move the stop to breakeven quickly. You already donated enough money to the 0DTE liquidity pool. With longer expiration, proper position sizing, and repeatable higher-timeframe setups, time and probability have a much better chance of working in your favor. Some trades will still lose. That’s completely normal. The goal now shouldn’t be to win back $107k as fast as possible. The goal should be to never lose $107k in 15 minutes again
At this points. People just want an excuse to get QQQ/SPY/SMH to ATH....
The post was about why the spy is up, the spy isn’t up because some inconsequential amount of money was given to companies, it’s up because the massive capex has demonstrated payoff. SMH you guys can downvote as much as you want.
When you send in real estate salesmen in, instead of real experienced negotiators. SMH.
Top 3 US ETFs seeing inflows in the past week? SMH, SOXX, SOXL Source: Bloomberg
$SPY $QQQ $SMH Algo pump and Algo crash going daily basis nowadays Anything pump book profit, before next day crash even BigTech
KORU usually sets the pumping value for its cousins, which include EWY, FLXK, FLKR, and, on occasion, SMH. A strange casino.
kinda interesting that all the Neo-Clouds are exploding while SMH is down.
Yep I sold my individual semis and memory (still bagholding SMH and DRAM) but went long on the stocks you mentioned and my portfolio is making a decent recovery. Not going to lie I did FOMO into a few like MRVL near its ATH
Heavy concentration in SMH/FSELX. Cant complain. It got me where I was before that!
For me, 45 DTE is still short term. 120 is better, 180+ is better still. You still have convexity, but less convexity. I do like to pick wide OOM bear spreads for initialization. LT expiries are more expensive up front though, so you can narrow the bear spread a bit if that is an issue. My logic is that is that when own stocks with the most quickly ramping earnings and margin, I have to put up with a ton of volatility, especially overnight and Asia but I don't want to be forced to sell. If the spot drops all the way through a spread, like it did with SPCX and RKLB recently, I mostly just close them, sometimes roll, because I always have layered spreads. If spot drops through the spread, you already made most of the money, and you have lost convexity. But, I don't like to default to rolling because the best time to sell spreads is NOT the best time to buy them. I plan to permanently run with at least 5% of the value of my portfolio in bear spreads, unless the bottom falls out, then I may go straight long again. Because of this, I want to minimize the cost per day of hedging. Year-DTE bear spreads are even better, but again cost more up front. With layered LT expiries, you can afford to wait for great times to buy them, when the sun is out, when stocks are hitting new highs on fierce volume, when MTUM is ascendant, when call interest >> put interest, when there are no massive put floors right underneath the price. Most importantly, when IV < HV. If IV == HV, then I think the options are still underpriced. Black-Scholes models assume a random-walk Gaussian distribution, which is plain wrong. Actual forward distributions are much narrower than Gaussians and have much longer tails on both sides. The market dramatically overestimates the time that the spot will stay in a narrow range. If IV<< HV, on a stock, that is a juicy price. So wait for rallies to find firesale prices on LT puts. No one is forcing your hand. The middle of a crash is a bad time to buy bear spreads, but with 4-12 months DTE, that's fine, because you already have them. I always have a spread because I never expect a security to fall by 50%, though it happens, so why not make it cheaper? With this setup, your portfolio is the equivalent of a Poor-Man's VIX structure. This means you would just flat out buy SPY and buy a SPY bear spread or put at the same time. This is arguably cheaper and better than buying VIXY. I probably have some SPY bear spreads, but I like to concentrate on more volatile stocks but only when IV is low and spreads are good. I like SPCX and TSLA because they are so active so they have tight spreads, so you don't lose on the bid/ask spread just to enter. I'm flat out bearish on TSLA, and a little scared of SPCX because the last falcon heavy launch was a good one. Still overvalued, but I think a lot of retail traders who are rich from betting on TSLA (I was long until the cybertruck and semi delays happend) will give Elon all the funding he needs. I also think that these fanboys are leaving TSLA for SPCX, which is conventional wisdom, and behind all the talk that Elon will try to merge them. I think we does want to merge them, but he would rather hit TSLA capitalization targets first, then roll into SPCX to it SPCX valuation targets. In this market, I don't think he'll get the TSLA kickers, but he certainly could if SPCX made an offer for TSLA that is just ridiculously far above spot. SPCX and RKLB puts were super cheap with great spreads in the early days of the IPO, and let's face it, we know the average trajectory of an IPO. It will open too high, rally to a blow-off-top peak, then fall below the entry point as investors that have been in 5-10 years rush to the gates to unload as the lockup ends. I even have some low-value SMH spreads for more direct volatility purchases. But yeah, tl;dr: OOM bear spreads are very convex when the price falls into them. I just think it makes financial sense to go as LT as you can afford if you want to run with hedging; volatility can literally give me ulcers without them. Every down day, you can sort your portfolio by daily gains, see a lot of green, then think about when you want to close spreads, before you think about selling stocks with strong margin growth into a panic/value-at-risk unwind. Also, when you buy LT bear spreads, you don't have to buy them as often, so you lose money on the spread ONCE, not many times. But, everyone has their own style. I used to take a lot more concentration risk, I've made all the mistakes that noob investors make. Never buy LT spreads when the market is crashing because the MM and Wall Street will be busy stacking puts, IV>HV, a dumb condition.
Terrible Idea especially at these prices, if the prices drop further maybe... And besides you can just invest in SMH (VanEck Semiconductor)
SMH is more memorable imo
Just loaded up on 40k of SMH and DRAM, I like these dips as another entry point, but I don’t have a strong investing track record so inverting me also wise.
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SMH** ▼ | $500.00 (below) | $545.28 | $540.07 | -8.3% | Aug 14, 3:06 PM | | **Record** | 3W - 0L | 100% | - | - | - |