SOXX

iSOBigD

Unless I lump sum DRAM and SOXX then the entire market crashes ans AI hardware is apparently useless.

Significant_Speed854

GLD and SOXX charts (1yr or 5yr) have striking resemblance

Ok_Structure1184

Anyone buy the SOXX dip?

IcyDistance8444

Today ended dangerously low for SOXX almost broke the last trendline before the next big leg down 😬

Sufficient-Flan1565

loading puts now on SOXX

Spiritual_Exam_8528

I will short SOXX next week so we get a pump. You’re welcome

drew-gen-x

If you look at $VTI, ($SPY), $VXUS, $VT, and the $QQQ charts, the Nasdaq is the only index close to falling below prior support levels. If I was a bigger gambler I would buy $QQQ, but I'd rather take my shot buying $SOXX at $498 if it retest support. I did buy $VXUS yesterday at near the same price as it is now so I guess I did take 1 shot at a bounce into close today.

Informal-Lime6396

VOO: https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/voo#portfolio-composition, check out the holdings and exposure diagram QQQM: https://www.invesco.com/us/en/financial-products/etfs/invesco-nasdaq-100-etf.html#Portfolio, see the holdings Buying these 2 are a good idea. Use https://testfol.io/ to back test what you would've gotten in the past 10-20 years to get a rough idea what the future ***can*** look like. Here are some other tickers worth looking at: * VGT * SOXX (or SMH) * VXUS * VT * VOOG

95Daphne

Unless the SOXX really reverses hard today (may be in the process lmao, but even then, you're still in a tenuous spot), I think a breakthrough that is going to lead to further tech declines has been found as of today. But before today, yes, you have had similar trading to November - February.

Upset-Motor-2602

I am glad SOXX is correcting gently. There's plenty of runway for another leg up.

Spac55

$SOXX. Memory semi crash just beginning 1st month loss is a good loss, before big crash of hype stocks

Spac55

Semi high capex, less margin $QQQ $SPY $SOXX How many semi Zombies survive at 10yr rate 4.6%

Spac55

$QQQ $SPY $SOXX How many semi Zombies survive at 10yr rate 4.6%

Spac55

$SPY $QQQ $SOXX $SMH High debt load scare, cut down spending, then semi & memory crash hard like meme

Spac55

If $ORCL, $META debt is a issue They stop buying semi, then what happens to semi $SOXX

Spac55

$STX 780 close All memory red at close $SOXX

Spac55

$NBIS $META $MSFT all have debt $ORCL all bad news priced in. Earnings still strong. 345 to 126 , when all scare at $650 Billion Backlog, loading at bottom here . $MU $SNDK $STX $WDC $QQQ $SOXX all give strong earnings

PutSpreadDaddi69

Ppl are all excited about the premarket green SOXX. Then you look at the daily chart and its like...yikes

erstwhile_estado

USO up, KOSPI down. QQQ and SOXX up? Something is not grocking.

Informal-Lime6396

In your taxable, given you're investing for 25-30 years, I recommend going a bit harder on SMH/SOXX, VOO, and other riskier ETFs.

Own-Recipe5908

Not saying they don't, I'm saying those names echo into the US markets through the SOXX.

Own-Recipe5908

SOXX is a pretty large load of the US indexes right now, and MU being dragged by Korea drags SOXX, which drags the indexes.

gamblingPharmaStocks

> NVDA trailing P/E is around 40. Cisco peaked at 200+ in 2000. PE is meaningless at top of a cycle. Look at PS and it is about 20 for NVDA, 35 for the equivalent CSCO moment in 2000. > Big tech AI spenders are generating real cash flow. Pets.com was not. Pets.com was small and irrelevant. The big CapEx spending was done by JP Morgan, Coca Cola, Ford, Walmart... They all had FCF, but at some point just decided they had enough networking equipment. > Microsoft, Google, Meta are posting actual revenue growth from AI products. Negligible when compared to the CapEx numbers. And anyway, you think telecom companies were not showing revenue growth? My positions are puts on SMH, NVDA, SOXX; calls on SSG, NVD, SOXS.

95Daphne

The SOXX drawdown from the highs is only 20%ish, so believe it or not, but this can get a whole lot messier based off recent history. (It fell 45%ish in 2022 when the Nasdaq fell 35%ish)

PopoDontKnow

Ya everyone saying this is a bubble, but these companies are the next economy. They are building the data centers that will power that. Not trying to say there is no risk, but SOXX doubling is not that hard to believe. We went through an AI bear scare with all these same arguments in March. The market went down but rallied after that. Of course be diversified but I see specific companies like the ones you mentioned becoming more expensive in the future, if things hold up. They have very high growth. In a couple months we could move from fear to greed. How do you know?

Sea_Local2557

sell SOXX call spread on a green day or buy a buy spread if you have balls and enough BP, just short call it lol though i guess that would create a bull market i personally am shorting SOXX and long DRAM, memory shortages seem to stay for a few years more and they are moving to long-term contracts while the chip designer play is too crowded

Dude_HaHa

That Kimi model is pretty good. Hopefully jt cucks the semi and memory chips for price gouging and circle jerking about "bottlenecks". SOXX back to double digits.

drew-gen-x

I agree as long as I stick to BTD's in $VTI, $VT, and $VXUS. I'm already extremely heavy ex US $VXUS and $EWJ b/c I like the AI & Robotics growth potential in Pacific Asia vs USA. I bought heavy & tried to catch the bottom in $SOXX and $DRAM this month and lost 20%. I decided to move that cash into $TSM, $SKHY, $EWJ, and $VT. Semis can rally now that I am lowering my risk. The market is acting like a casino right now w/ all the leveraged ETF's & leverage stock options avail rn.

Tricky-Ad-6225

SP500 is down 2% from ATH, SOXX is down nearly 20%, I think rotation has started

need20goodmen

Its July 22nd. Google starts their earnings by saying CAPEX for 2027 is increasing to 1 trillion dollars. Deals with Nebius, Coreweave and even IREN are announced. Bagholders rejoice. Sundhar releases a video of a day in the life of a CEO. He spends his time driving between the offices of Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron to beg for just 1 more memory chip. Life is good. Microsoft returns to 350 as SOXX rips to a new ATH.

drew-gen-x

All the semis & memory stocks are moving together so I fail to see how $SOXX, $SMH, or $DRAM is doing any good diversifying. I think all these stocks will continue to move lower until all the leveraged ETF's both long and short work themselves out. Which means they may going bottom until many people just give up. If you just have 1 position like $SMH; it's prolly good as any of the individual stocks. I just had 3 ETF's $SOXX, $DRAM, and $EWY over these last 3 months. I have a lower position in semis now than I did a week ago. I needed a fresh start so I decided to DCA what I just sold into SK hynix and TSM over the next year. But I am not going to put all that cash back into semis right now & go all in right trying to time the bottom.

thenuttyhazlenut

rolling in ADBE money as SOXX dies

Spac55

More AI use in Robotic surgery, good for $ISRG $UNH $ISRG too many baby boomers spending big at old days, no one going China for health safety and treatment. $ISRG earnings not bad. $MU $SNDK $STX recover with $SOXX

drew-gen-x

I just opened a position in $TSM. I sold all my semi and memory ETF's $SOXX, $DRAM, and $EWY; and I'm only going to hold SK hynix and TSM stock which I believe are the 2 best of the best. I'm just sticking w/ these 2 stocks for my semi positions and leaving every other semi stock and ETF alone.

Phx_trojan

I'm buying SOXS here. SOXX can't get above the 50ema, shit looks cooked

drew-gen-x

$DRAM is green, let's see if the $SOXX follow as I think they will. There are a ton of options expiring today. I would expect profit taking from shorty shorts soon.

p3dal

>When you see one of the worst high beta momentum crashes ever recorded SOXX is up 65% YTD.

Spac55

$SOXL $SPY $QQQ $SOXX Nothing new , all know AI spending. What’s new news to scare , when no recession Big banks gave strong earnings Hyper scaler have big cash flow annually, so debt load and they pack easily, not an issue

i_goon_to_tomboys___

!banbet SOXX +15% in 31 of July

btoned

*chip index lingering into bear market territory* SOXX:+107% YoY

jasperCrow

SOXX +20% in 3 months. Panicans gunna panican 🥱

jasperCrow

Last time SOXX was this oversold it shot from $530 to $650

jasperCrow

SOXX looks like it’s about to get omega bid.

hydrated_purple

I'm in tech, and recently went to an AI conference. I immediately bought more $SOXX right after the conference and have been week by week since. I don't even think we scratched the surface of the amount of chips we need. I think people get stuck on "well, AI isn't THAT useful". Doesn't matter. Companies are going to try and push it anyway to find value to sell. That requires chips,memory, etc. That's my logic and that's why I'm buying.

Informal-Lime6396

/r/ETFs VOO, QQQ, VGT, SOXX. Everything is getting hammered, semiconductors even more. The sell off has been a while so I think we are approaching bottom. I don't know when the bottom is so I'm deploying capital bit by bit rather than lump sum.

Medical-Lecture-6053

hey guys i was doing TA with my crayons and i saw that SMH/SOXX (Semis) are making a Head & Shoulders Top, Based on my calculations of overnight trading value they are set to open and break the neckline which gives a downside target of 20-25% thank you for listening

projangle

Current demand is different than projected demand. The market is king. "Experts" are speculating just the same - the ones you tend to hear are just perma bulls for whatever is the new thing. Don't you see how much compute is coming online? Everyone seems to think that just because AI will be used more and more, that commodified hardware does too. No, growth will slow as it always does. I'm not saying we're currently overbuilt. I'm saying a lot of companies are adjusting there spend, some decided they need to spend more a couple months ago after getting scared by Claude Code and agent usage exploding for code these past few months. Others will soon lower spend projections, they'll still spend a lot, but it'll cause a re-rate. That explosive growth is what is now decelerating and fast because it was adopting so quickly. Now, what's next? The best use case for agents has already been fulfilled, Anthropic is on track probably for $70 billion revenue 1 year out now. Add OpenAI and factor some in house use. That's just not enough to support $700 billion in yearly capex, most of which is for memory/chips. You're just not understanding the other side of the equation which is how much compute we have and how new expensive models are not worth the price for most use cases. A cheap ass model is amazing, it is magical - but that's the problem, it's efficient and cheap as shit. We will keep using it more but it's simply about when will compute availability catch up to demand... Everyone and their mother is pumping out GPUs and ASICs. You think SOXX related stocks will keep going up for 4 years just because their revenues will continue higher?

nbaphilly17

SOXL/SOXX, should clarify

SpongEWorTHiebOb

The average stock in the SOXX was trading at over 20x TTM revenue. Total bubble territory. But but but these companies and AI aren’t going anywhere. That’s a weak argument for pricing stocks. Supposedly good earnings and outlooks did not matter for 2 of the major players in TSM and ASML. That means the whole sector is getting repriced. If the Fed raises rates later in the year the 20% correction will turn into a wipe out.

IvoryTowerResident

long term adbe holder as of last week. Lets Go! I am still worried about a correlation = 1 day where everything just drops. SOXX has been dying but overall index holding up too well

thenuttyhazlenut

Me rolling in ADBE money as SOXX slowoly dies

coffeetrdr

SOXX... Sucks!

No_Presentation9490

You know when you use an LLM to tell you what's happening it doesn't factor in super obvious and super important things like all mag7s testing their 50 SMAs and exhibiting a pattern of rejecting their 50 SMAs for the past several weeks, Nasdaq breaking under 50 SMA, SOXX breaking under 50 SMA, S&P about to test its 50 SMA, and extreme divergence between individual stock implied volatility and VIX. Your LLM also won't look at how NDFI/S5FI are doing (it's pretty bad). These are all basic things any macro analysts looks at and you should too if you're serious about understanding what's happening in the market and not just a surface level overview generated by claude or gpt

Sufficient-Flan1565

If you not buying calls on DRAM and SOXX right now, you hate money boys

tenfthigher

SMH and SOXX keep breaking resistance, only down from here

MrBootyPops

You think it SOXX will recover and continue growing by next year?

iSOBigD

At this point I'm convinced someone decided semis and memory are worthless and all stocks will go to $0. We will literally have companies with billions of dollars of profits every quarter and a market cap of $100 cause fuck you that's why, DRAM and SOXX have to go to $0.

Spac55

$DELL $MU $SOXX $QQQ $SPY $NVDA Can we stop using smartphones? Can we stop using social media? Can we stop using streaming? Similarly we can’t stop using AI ? More semi demand in future. Big red days buying opportunity for $SMH

deadlyvagina

SOXX still up 78% on the year LOL

I_am_Nerman

SPY can't run without the Q's. QQQ can't run without SOXX. Market = SOXX

InternationalMany795

I want to sell a bit of my SOXX but am painfully waiting til this group has been held for one year, watching it go dn each week.

Rav_3d

SOXX DOUBLED IN LESS THAN THREE MONTHS! Zoom out and have a realistic view of how the stock market works. After such an INSANE move higher, volatility and pullbacks are to be expected.

PutSpreadDaddi69

SOXX chart lookin' head and shouldersy

esInvests

whats up brotha - if you ever need anything man hit me up, happy to help however i can. technical indicators are mapped to profit mechanisms, its not technical indicators for the sake of them. the important part here is defining the profit mechanism THEN figuring out what kind of signals help you measure and capture it. for example: \- momentum: moving averages, volume profile, Absolute returns, Residual returns, (ranking and sorting via cross sectional (this just means ranking across tickers) and relative (ranking against itself), catalyst measurement, etc. \- vrp: implied and realized vol from various periods, VRP (variance risk premia, the gap between implied and realized) measurements, seasonality, percentiles (seeing how extreme things are), etc. How far out, and how many strikes away from the current price are you buying or selling? \> you might've guessed it, but it entirely depends on the strategy. options are known as "strategic investments" this simply means you can use them to build very specific things. what this means is there is not really a set: pick these kinda thing. it depends entirely on what your hypothesis and thesis are. based on those, we go into the options markets to build something that allows us to optimally express that idea. example, i was recently trading the relationship between SOXX and USO - for this trade, i actually used a synthetic short and long respectively because i actually wanted to REMOVE most of the greeks from the idea to better isolate the pair relationship. If you’re using the Greeks, what are the best indicators for buying/selling? \> doesnt exist. same as above. that said, greeks are mandatory to deeply understand, they help you with everything. just as with your rifle, you needed to learn it inside and out, it was your instrument. options are the instrument here. same knowledge is required. As a general background, I’ve been doing 0DTE or less than a week because I don’t usually have the money for options if they’re long-dated. I know it’s gambling at that level. But I’ve been using an I dictator called “sniper entry/exit” with 3 standard deviations, and a stochastic to show momentum. But these are slow to show a reliable entry/exit. \> i cannot emphasize how much i encourage you to not do this. the probability of you doing anything productive like this is so low its not even funny and even if you do happen to make money, the overwhelming probability is you'll just give it back. pls reconsider. youd be SO much better off aggressively saving your money, DCA into some tickers you like and papertrade to learn. just like before you ever sent rounds down range, you spent tons of time training, learning, practicing. same thing here. dude, i want this to work for you so bad. keep me in the loop and reach out whenever you need anything.

Apple2o

With that much cash why didn’t you just leverage into SOXX yourself?

CartographerLeft5002

I picked the wrong time to buy the Canadian equivalent of SOXX lmao. it's down 17% since I bought it

fixing_a_hole

Which way you gonna go SOXX?

TheBeckofKevin

I agree and my portfolio has been pretty heavy in semi's for years. But I think there is a significant chance stock prices see a major swing down. Like if I was in 2022 and someone said in 2026 SOXX would be $300 i would have been pretty impressed and very happy. If i was dumb, i'd try to sell and buy back in, but fortunately I've put a few things into a never-sell category that I plan on dying with. But man, these valuations are insanely high. I think the future could be both scientific and world changing technology, and stocks drop from here for a while. We've priced in world changing tech and rapid advancement. Anything but *more* *faster* changing tech and advancement will result in a stock drop.

erstwhile_estado

SOXX is plummeting but not taking dram with it. WTF

TheInkDon1

I'm assuming you sold a Put? Nothing happens until close of business on expiration Friday. Is that this Friday? But yes, if the Put is ITM at expiration, you'll automatically buy 100 shares for each contract. Maybe you *want* those shares (to sell Calls against them for the other side of the Wheel), or maybe you don't. If you *don't* want the shares, then yes, you need to do *something* before 4PM on expiration Friday. And that something is exactly what you said, one of 2 things: Buy the Put back. Or roll it OUT in time and hopefully DOWN in strike. Which you choose depends on your outlook on SOXX. Because remember that selling a Put is a *bullish* play; you think/hope the ETF will go up. But if you no longer think it's going up, then maybe you don't want to be in the play anymore. Neither is the wrong choice, and rolling isn't some magical fix. You're realizing the current loss either way, it's just a matter of if you think the ETF will go up so that you eventually turn a profit on the trade. I look at its chart and see it going down, *maybe* trying to flatten out. But I got out of it yesterday (I was long some LEAPS Calls). Hope that helps.

WordsHappenedHere

IGV and SOXX working on the same day? It’s witchcraft

PutSpreadDaddi69

SOXX is telling you something is wrong

Own-Recipe5908

Oh, c'mon, *now* SAAS moves the same direction as SOXX? Really?

amanj41

Knew I should have bought SOXX calls. All this shit does is alternate between +4% and -4% every other day

booba2005

This is the right thing to watch. NVDA green while SMH and SOXX lag is narrow leadership, and narrow leadership is historically the fragile kind. Broad participation across the chip names is the healthier tape. The concentration point is the real risk too, if the index only rises because a few names do, you're barely diversified even in an ETF. Are you tracking equal-weight vs cap-weight to gauge how broad it actually is?

Mysterious_Vast_8889

Hi SOXX If I Am ITM they automatically withdraw cash from account? Roll over is good idea or just close position?

adamschw

Yes and no. It would be a short-ish term problem. Aging hardware would just not be replaced. Public cloud costs would come down due to oversupply, which would mean more orgs invest private data center money to public cloud. Would it hurt? Yeah, it would - but - all the hardware valuations would be absolutely motherfucked. Hyperscale revenue takes a, let’s say, 15% revenue hit. Hardware revenue hit is like 70%. NVDA revenue, for example, has went from $29b to $215b since 2023. $MU is up 350% in 1 year. Over the same span, MSFT is only $211b to 281b AWS was about $90b to $150b over the same time. In my eyes, the hardware business carries incredible downside risk vs the hyperscalers, especially since it feels like AI bubble has already somewhat been priced into valuations for them, but not at all for all of the SOXX tickers.

Own-Recipe5908

It's Soxx, and SOXX is the biggest chunk of SPY.

ConclusionEven6917

Are semis back in favor? SPY down .2% AH and SOXX green?

coffeetrdr

SOXX will trade 450 by September.

Own-Recipe5908

Kospi is more equivalent to SOXX than SPY and SOXX is down almost 5%.

Rocket233Man

This is the most balanced take I've seen. NVDA alone doesn't make a healthy rally—I'm watching SMH and SOXX just as closely.

Crackbot420-69

There’s not even a Korean stock in SOXX / SOXL, fucking dicks.

drew-gen-x

That's why I am buying $VXUS, $EWJ, and $VPL over $VTI. I want Kioxia, ASML, SK Hynix, Samsung, and TSM over NVIDIA, AMD, and the US $SOXX stocks. This is another variation of the HALO trade buying the actual fabs manufacturing the damn chips. IP only gets you so far and then you are at the mercy of paying the price for fab manufacturing capacity just like everyone else.

Practical_Estate_325

Just makes you an imbecile compared to me. Yup, I was the owner of the SOXX. Actually, I got out at 617 over a month ago. Once again, the point is that even imbeciles (like you) can make money in the melt up, just as a monkey throwing darts at a board can rack up some points. I am eager to feel the vibes coming thru the airwaves as your palpable screams reverberate in realization that Shiller CAPE has cut all your profits down to squat, as is the forward-looking fate of your lot. (Also, lose the "internet tough guy" commentary. The more you use it, the more you just confirm the imbecile narrative).

Practical_Estate_325

You're bragging about only a 75% YTD in this current overextended market? Thanks at least for being honest. Even an imbecile would have known enough at the beginning of the year to just park their money in SOXX (up 90%+ on the year), so looks like I was insulting imbeciles by calling you one. But the bigger point is what Shiller CAPE says about the future, and not the past. As such, happy landings in advance!

iSOBigD

I haven't sold yet so DRAM and SOXX companies will have amazing returns and crash another 30%

ivystrategies_

Build your base early. Focus on ETFs and Sectors that will play into future. You have time on your side. Main portfolio $VUG (low fees) Sector specific ETFs that could appreciate considerablely given time. $NASA - Space Sector $DRAM or $SOXX- Memory/AI $QTUM - Quantum $NLR - Nuclear/Uranium Auto invest on a monthly basis. For a few years in a Roth IRA and through your employers 401k. Max out annual contributions if able

Informal-Lime6396

Queue the VOO and chill crowd. I subscribe to the risk taking while young, so VOO + some sector ETFs like VGT and SOXX. Whatever you do, don't do Boglehead at 18, it's for older people closer to retirement. Don't gamble with options. Keep a 6 month emergency fund if you live alone, or less if still with parents. The rest belongs in ETFs. A good resource is https://www.youtube.com/@clearvaluetax9382, see the high view count videos first.

verified-trader

**BanBet Lost** — /u/MoneyBagsMilosh (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **SOXX** ▲ | $569.26 → $640.00 | +12.4% | 1w | Lost |

iSOBigD

Since I own semis and memory, I'm sure all the companies will do amazing and still crash just to fuck me like Micron, Samsung, DRAzm, SOXX...no amount of profits seem to move these stocks up.

FreeFloatingFeathers

You played options on 3x levered ETF and not just options on SOXX? lol ok

Optimal-Dig2330

Glad my SOXX Puts haven't expired yet!

Etherius

My holdings are exclusively large or mega cap companies or sector ETFs. And they’re not esoteric or obscure or anything My cost basis on AMZN is $38 from 2017 GOOG cost basis is $35 from 2016 SOXX $72 from 2019 INTC $45 from 2019 none of these were obscure names 5-10 years ago It wasn’t hard to identify them

iSOBigD

Yeah and it did not affect any other memory stocks or etfs. Meanwhile, if it dips 1% any night DRAM and SOXX crash 10%. Fuck this market, just go up already.

Dinosauce_841

It's like SOXX but better

IvoryTowerResident

SOXX\*

GneissFrog

semis so flat, SOXL looks like SOXX

DrVonSchlossen

Sigh what a week to exchange my Nvidia for SOXX on Monday. 10x the gains last 12 months until I traded, of course.

iSOBigD

Yes but only when Korean stocks go up. If they're down 3% we dip 10%. If they're up 3% we dip 3%. If SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron and Sandisk are all up, DRAM and SOXX still go down because I own them.