SOXX

drew-gen-x

It looks like we are gonna retest Thursday's 6/4 close in the $SOXX and $VXUS. Since I am neither bullish or bearish and I BTD pretty heavily this week I am closing my $EWY position. $199 is a nice round number and it's become a 3x directional move of my largest position $VXUS. I'll DCA the gains into $VXUS and $VT over the next week or 2. There's too much volatility right now for me to be leveraged.

NeuroManXy

I bought MSFT instead of SOXX and I can’t take this BS anymore.

bulrfuc

I am fine sacrificing SPY, QQQ and SOXX for Elon to become multi-trillionaire. Not even kidding. Take their money!

Smart_Money_HQ

SOXX was hit by about $32 million in call premium on the 9th; up 10% since

IndependentUsual7444

SOXX is not going to reclaim it highs, it's going below 500

Hopeful-Internal-919

Thanks for the recommendations. I'm in VGT for the year, will check SOXX and AIS in particular. Why not skip international for the year? It's very volatile with Iran and the US.

RayU_AZ

I maintain a watchlist of about 20-25 stocks which I like to buy more. I usually wait until the specific stock has a dip in price and get a good entry point. Swap out my lowest price momentum stock for the better stock. I use a stock screener to sort out the stocks based on fundamentals, PE ratio, earning growth, 20 day moving price and price momentum. I currently own about 20 stocks and 5 ETFs, You can get more diversity by adding ETFs investment outside the VOO and also focus on specific sectors for higher returns with some additional risk. You can expand your ETF mix beyond VOO to get a higher return with some more risk. The stocks that I currently own have had a recent high run up in price and I'm at the point of cashing out of some of the stocks to capture profit before market down-turn. **Take a look at theses ETfs with 3 year total returns:** 1. SOXX- 3 year total return 2611%- semi-conductors 2. AIS- 1 year total return 101% -Ai stocks 3. QQQM-3 year total return 102%- Nasdaq index fund 4. VXUS 3 year total return 51% International stocks outside USA 5. EEM 3 year total return 69% Emerging Markets outside USA Good luck.

drew-gen-x

Agreed. I am long even thou I'm not that bullish. You pointed out that $VXUS is mirroring the $SOXX trade so I guess I'm all in now on this AI circle jerk bubble w/o really realizing it. I can convince myself that buying mostly $VXUS, $VT, and $GLD are better uses of money than sitting in cash; but I am done with individual stocks in this casino. It's gonna pop eventually or we will have bigger problems w/ the USD & economy than caring how our stock positions are doing.

patricktu1258nsfw

QQQ up 3%, SOXX up 7%, MSFT down 2.5%. It’s literally insane.

drew-gen-x

Some people have speculated that retail would be forced to sell their winners $NVDA, $SOXX, Mag 7, and $SPY positions to pay for the Space X IPO shares they want to buy. Huge IPO's can be liquidity drains unless the buyer has cash on the sidelines to pay.

siboq

Pls just need a slight pullback on SOXX I promise I won’t buy more puts

drew-gen-x

Well, you were exactly right pointing out the correlation b/w $SOXX and $VXUS. I didn't notice their daily moves were that correlated.

drew-gen-x

If we can get thru Friday w/ $VTI, $SOXX, and $VXUS all holding above last Friday's close then I think the bottom just might be in.

jnas_19

SOXX

Much_Candle_942

SOXX is dominated by MU, AMD and Marvell. WDY expect!

FoodCooker62

Pre market barely open and we are already violently meme'ing 😎 Its not a 2026 trading day without a 7% swing in SOXX. 

drew-gen-x

Until the AI cap ex hyperscalers run out of cash, I prefer to bet on $EWY (Samsung, SK Hynix) over the Mag 7. I would rather own $SOXX over every company listed above as well. But since we get a choice in the markets, I'll buy the Korean stocks trading at half the valuations than the $SOXX stocks. Now once $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT, or $AMZN announce a cut to cap ex spending then the AI circle jerk bubble is over and the 5 AI hyperscalers you listed above become buys again. But it's always a better bet to buy the stocks receiving more cash than God over owning the stocks spending more cash than God.

siboq

What is this sideways bs on SOXX

lavaeyeye

Because none of the CAPEX is sustainable. Data centers are plagued by delay, probably that a majority of microsoft ai chips are sitting in warehouses, not a single company can give a ROI to their AI spendings. SPV financing scheme needs stellar liquidity from private credit, and that liquidity has taken a hit in the last few months. Company are stopping tokenmaxxing as costs were way higher than expected. Core Nvda buyers like coreweave are going through a bond crisis with rates around 12% and 35B in expected Capex this year, which in my opinion they have no way to find the cash. Us power grid is not following expected data center buildout. Chinese competition has closen the gap and is only 4-6 month behind leading US models for around 1/20th of the cost. Investors are worried that Space x ipo might be weaker than expected setting a bad precedent for future AI IPO, and these ipo needs to be stellar otherwise OpenAI and Anthropic will have difficulty to respect spending commitment. Credit default swaps of major hyperscaler have seen an increase in the last few month, this will increase the cost of borrowing of these company. I can't seem to find the rational on why going long other than hyperscalers can theoretically sustain CAPEX expenditure if they wreck their financials. Disclaimer : I have NVDA puts march and june 120 SOXX PUTS 300 march

SpongEWorTHiebOb

Anyone who thinks that SOXX and its components can’t fall 20% to 30% from these elevated levels does not know the long term history of this stock sector.

Kungpaospic

SOXS back down to <5, SOXX over 600 would lowkey put some crazy bread in my pocket. 87 $5 calls at .06 and .08 avg, expires Friday. Also watching PAVS, Elong Power, and HUBC, for some reason I've seen multiple several hundred percent runners these past 2 weeks and these are my top watches rn

IvoryTowerResident

Top holdings for VXUS is basically DRAM + SOXX minus nvda

YoungMonty619

I'll raise you Semiconductors & Hardware Architectures \\\* SMH \\\* SOXX AI Software & Cybersecurity \\\*IGV Energy, Power Grid & Infrastructure \\\* XLU

SpongEWorTHiebOb

Just buy SOXX.

drew-gen-x

The trade this week has been to buy the close and then sell the open. 1230 EST today was the first time in the last 3 trading days the indices have had anything but a fade all trading day. Semis or $SOXX has become the new $BTC and is driving the futures market for the entire market. $VXUS is looking like it will close above Friday's close, but $VTI and $GLD will not. It's a mixed bag where neither the bears or bulls can claim victory I'm afraid.

Orkapork

Its after such a green morning, at least for chips that makes me wonder if this isn't the top. SOXX opened up like 2.5%. Pretty harsh to turn around so violently, it indicates yesterdays bounce might've been the dead cat that follows a sudden market top.

Secure-Emu-8822

I have no single position in Mu. I’m short the whole SOXX. Pretty large short position. That’s for my thesis don’t need any gratification from sharing

japan_eq_nerd

One angle missing from this thread: VT's geographic diversification doesn't protect you as much as you'd think when semis correct, because the Japan and Korea allocations are heavily weighted toward semiconductor supply chain companies. Tokyo Electron (TSE:8035), Disco (TSE:6146), Shin-Etsu Chemical (TSE:4063) — these are major components of VT's Japan slice. They're geographically "diversified" but highly correlated with SOX during downturns. In the 2022 correction, Tokyo Electron fell \~50% while SOXX dropped \~35%. So VT's effective semiconductor exposure is meaningfully higher than the headline 10-12% figure. The diversification is real for country-specific risk, but semiconductor cycles tend to be global and hit the supply chain regardless of where companies are listed. Also worth considering the demand side: there's a structural new market forming that isn't priced into most semiconductor cycle analysis. Ukraine is consuming an estimated 5,000+ drones per day. Both NATO members and non-NATO allies are now treating drone fleets as standard military inventory — a replacement for conventional missiles, not a supplement. The EU rearmament wave, accelerated by US pressure to hit 3%+ GDP defense spending, is creating procurement pipelines that didn't exist 5 years ago. Drone-scale semiconductor demand is a different profile from AI or mobile — FPGAs, microcontrollers, RF chips, sensors — and it's largely recurring since drones are expendable. Japanese companies like Renesas (TSE:6723) and Murata (TSE:6981) are quietly exposed to this theme. The bear case for semis assumes a cyclical correction in AI/consumer demand. It may underestimate this new defense-driven baseline.

IvoryTowerResident

SOXX leading

FoodCooker62

SOXX up 9% in 24 hours again. The meme market doesnt give up so easily it seems

tocinoman

My portfolio SOXX

Neemzeh

Not since I started talking about it lmfao. You don't think I'm aware that software has drilled over the last year and semis moonshot? Did you see me talking about the rotation a year ago? Good lord dude, literally you can see that IGV has outperformed SOXX since I started talking about it. Facts.

Neemzeh

Oh look, SOXX is down after hours and IGV is flat. Guess I win? Do you see how stupid looking at short time frames are? Zoom out lmfao.

RubAlarming3563

I stopped trying to use my brain years ago, best decision ever. Just went long QQQ and SOXX, doing good.

ten7four

> "There's a memory shortage" > > * DRAM +126% last 3 months > > * SOXX +82% last 3 months > > "There's an oil shortage" > > * Oil futures 0% last 3 months Based

csr8765

With the SMH and SOXX reclaiming more than half of fridays decline today, likelihood of ATH this week is extremely high

NeuroManXy

The guys saying here you have shares you will be fine probably don’t understand see that MSFT is almost flat in a period almost a tech random stock did at least 50%. I bought MSFT instead of SOXX. If I bought the SOXX i was gonna be up 60-70% but with MSFT I am almost at break even.

NeuroManXy

Why I was so afraid to buy SOXX dip even though I knew it was gonna go up?

Mantis_Tobbagen

Meanwhile SOXX up 5% premarket

jnas_19

Jensen is so talented at pumping semi stocks it’s incredible. Chances of SOXX recovering all of yesterdays losses seem pretty good here

NeuroManXy

I missed another opportunity to sell MSFT for buying SOXX. The first one was in Iran War. I wish I was not a chicken.

TPBBanker

my puts on NVDA PLTR ORCL SOXX are all eroding in the premarket, surely its going down at the open. Such BS from wallstreet

TPBBanker

puts on NVDA PLTR ORCL SOXX Am I good in the open?

illinformed-will

SOXX green atm is hilarous

Beagle001

I mean, I don't mind as long as SOXX doesn't.

NeuroManXy

It's painful to hold MSFT while my other other SOXX is almost doubling

NeuroManXy

The obvious move on Friday's close was selling MSFT and buying SOXX. This POS has no upside potential at all.

ApathysLastKiss_

The SOXX is looking at nq and looking at kospi and having an identity crisis

freekerosene

Don’t trust this green with KOSPI eating absolute shit…unless they’re pulling funds from overseas to dump in BTC and the SpaceX IPO. That would be super bullish. Cmon SOXX

95Daphne

Yeah, I just don't think Friday had much to do with rate hike fears. Maybe some, but there has been another factor that has been going on for a while that I do dog Trump on that we've seen since COVID 2020. To expand further, the style of markets that we've been seeing with Trump for going on 3 years now is pretty annoying to me as a non-trader because while it can be high reward, fierce runups like what we saw in the SOXX from April-May (Nasdaq too, but not as crazy) can open up the risk that you'll get crashes like Friday last week just on the ole' adage of "it ran up too fast." In the end, this stuff usually ends up being a blip, but it's still annoying to me. 2022 did suck, but I'd absolutely prefer the relatively lower vol with Biden and most of the Obama years (if I'm not making it clear, I didn't get hyperfixated until the COVID era, and I started investing more in 2019, in some ways, I'm healing from having been hyperfixated to markets).

Sphinxyy5

SOXX traded at 70 p/e and that’s the top 60 companies combined. We are in a bubble that’s starting to pop. Or at least needs to correct heavily before continuing

rhinest0necowboy

What's crazy is the drop in QQQ was actually more of a setback (time-wise) than SOXX/DRAM. QQQ back to where it was \~12 trading says ago while semis/memory only lost 8-9 days of gains

bulrfuc

SPCX will suck the very soul out of RKLB, ASTS, LUNR, etc. Once that happens, Elon will absorb all those companies into SPCX. Then TSLA merges into SPCX. Superstonk. I just hope the semis die off and the money from SOXX gets vortex'ed into SPCX.

Good_Ride_2508

Do you know options are not allow immediately after IPO until certain block period? You did not understand the rug pull happened yesterday, rumored instituitions dumping stocks to cash preparing for IPOs buying ! Why NDX dropped 4.18% and SOXX dropped 11% (SOXL came down $285 to $175), all are like you did, dumped existing stocks at ATH, moving to IPOs. SPCX may be oversubscribed and create a FOMO, that is what cassava is telling (FOMO back in), other IPOs may or may not come down. Still All IPOs are blocked from options and shorting fro specified number of days after IPO !

luis-barata

The 10 percent one-day move on flat guidance is the part that should worry people more than the drop itself. SOXX getting hit that hard on a single earnings disappointment tells you how much of the rally was built on consensus extrapolation rather than diversified support. When the entire sector reprices off one company's guide, you're looking at a positioning unwind, not a fundamentals reset. The fundamentals haven't actually changed yet. Earnings still grow next quarter and the capex narrative is intact. What changed is the willingness to pay for that growth at this multiple. Worth watching how the next two semis report. If they confirm the demand softening that flat Broadcom guide implied, this gets revisited harder. If they re-accelerate, yesterday looks like a vol event, not a regime change.

fatronin

I mean SOXX this and past week was negative. Check before that, all have been nuts

RayU_AZ

I had some cash sitting on the sideline and bought some Tech & stock chips on the big dip today to finance my ROTH IRA for thsi year, $8,000, at the closing bell around 3:20. Tech and chip sectors got killed today. The usual defensive sectors were up today, consumer staples, Utilites and heathcare. Banks & financials broke even. I have some value stock that did okay today. Morst of my stocks were down versus up. It's good to have some diversity and not be concetrated in a single sector, SOXX. The Invesco large value cap ETF, PWV, held it's own today, slightly up. * WMT +0.97% * KO 3.5% * UNH +0.75% * Visa +1.1% * RTX +1.3% * FDX +0.91%

booobReviewer

Semiconductors are in a weird spot — the AI buildout CAPEX is real and growing, but the market is demanding perfection on execution. Broadcom's drop wasn't about bad results, it was about the stock running up 40% YTD and the bar getting impossibly high. The key question is whether the selloff is driven by fundamentals or positioning. If Broadcom, Marvell, and Nvidia are all dropping on in-line results, that's positioning (profit-taking, option unwinding) not demand destruction. That tends to be buyable on a 6-12 month view. If you start seeing companies pre-announce weaker AI chip orders, that's different. I'd wait for the next earnings cycle to confirm demand is still there before going heavy. In the meantime, SOXX at its 50-day moving average is a reasonable entry for a starter position if you're bullish on the long-term AI thesis.

WritesWayTooMuch

Pretty normal IMO. SOXX....was up 87% YTD....and dipped 11%....only up 76% YTD now.....a fund comprised of large positions in multiple trillion dollar companies....was UP ....87% in 5 months...... Nothing should be shocking you here..... it's called a correction.

Neemzeh

Biggest lost on SOXX in 6 years 🤡 🤣 🤡

Neemzeh

Hey dipshit, just want to point out that IGV has outperformed SOXX in the last two weeks. SOXX +0.43% IGV +1.47% damn, imagine not listening to me two weeks go when i mentioned the rotation. look who's right hey? moron. maybe don't open you shit trap 2 mins into the first trading session.

tachyonvelocity

Parabolic moves anywhere, both up and down, are inherently unstable, SOXX went to a 31x forward P/E, this is actually the highest since 2008, when earnings for semis were close to zero.

TheBlackBaron

So to be clear, nobody actually looks at technical indicators on SOXL, they look at them on the underlying SOXX. It broke below its 20-day EMA and then bounced off as the algos treated it as a buy the dip opportunity. We'll see if it holds.

TacoAlPastorConQueso

Meta and Google diluting, isn't that bullish for semiconductors or i am regarded for buying more SOXX?

Waste-Milk2716

SOXX to 350 eom 

inb4ElonMusk

SOXX finally gonna return to earth

jrex035

Very frustrating to see beaten down sectors selling off as hard as SOXX

callsonreddit

Done. Any others? SOXX?

tocinoman

Discounted calls. September $555 call on SOXX has a break-even at a price that it was at yesterday

NoOneMan79

Wow! We are in the GREEN (fingers crossed) when SOXX is -8% and Korea is battered. This is crazy. Serious support here for the squeeze in the middle of a market pullback. You people rock!

RubAlarming3563

I bought the dip on SOXX heavy

colemusic1

There’s some genuine strategies to this, if you’re actually curious. Semiconductor stocks / ETF’s are clearly booming. That’s as clear as day right now, AI is in enormous demand with a supply shock. This is why SNDK for example has gone literally 45x in a year. Same with MU lately (memory / HBM has been super in demand). As for your actual question? A solid little idea is to actually just jump onto something like [SMH’s holdings](https://www.vaneck.com/offshore/en/investments/semiconductor-etf-smh/holdings/), and check the weighting of them all, especially the very lowest weighting. Those with the lowest weighting can either be enormous winners where you end up getting in early before it soars off the ground, or it perhaps doesn’t move that well. SOXX is another great ETF where you can apply the same strat. But even the biggest majors like MU, AMD, MRVL etc are still absolutely worth buying right now. Personally I prefer just buying SOXX since I’d rather a small cluster of semi stocks that are all moving while not having to pick which stock is today’s or tomorrow’s winner

drew-gen-x

Sold my Berkshire B position as $490 appears to be resistance. Putting that cash into $EWY b/c the bubble people are about to BTD in the $SOXX.

Turd_burglar76

SOXX circuit breaking going to start tripping if it goes down 1% more. 😆👉🍟🛍️

Sphinxyy5

PSA SOXX max pain was 480 as of market open and as we trade under that and options are bought it gets dragged down so I honestly wouldn’t expect much of a move for the rest of the day

tocinoman

This crash is because I bought SOXX yesterday. As soon as I sell for a loss it'll go back up

tocinoman

I had plans for tomorrow's open, but not if I'm stuck bagholding SOXX by then

tocinoman

Aww SOXX. I can't believe you've done this.

Poptart_Salad

Ughh SOXX looks ripe for a short but it feels insane to do it

illinformed-will

Wow that vol on SOXX on close was something to witness

tocinoman

SOXX giveth, SOXX taketh away

JellyfishFestival

if you were looking at the AVGO 4 hour and the SOXX price channel that was a really bad spot for an entry

jnas_19

sell and buy SOXX

FatFluffyFish

Hey bers? SOXX bers and memory bers? Doing good bro? MU 900 next am I right???? SNDK 1000 too am I right???? 🤣🤣🤣🤣

Pazzaaaaaa

SOXX about to go green after being down 5% is insane

jnas_19

SOXX

NeuroManXy

It’s even underperforming SPY. I had two options in the war dip. MSFT and SOXX. If I chose latter I would be a millionaire by now. But this fucking POS can’t even get to beat SPY

JellyfishFestival

Looks like I picked the right time to take off my SOXX

Sphinxyy5

Godspeed soldier I’m with you just on a much smaller scale and SOXX puts bought yesterday and the day before. Listening to that earnings call, I imagine semis could get shocked as a whole and after waking up this morning looks like it’s starting to play out. Best of luck 🫡

Neemzeh

How we looking for today dipshit? Gonna be so funny when IGV closes the week better than SOXX. You just can’t help yourself look like an idiot can you? Looking forward to you blocking me again little bitch boi. Can dish it but can’t take it. Seething as you see your port drill off a cliff. Do me a favor and post your loss porn before you block me, ok? I need to nut. Lmao. Lmfao even

Pazzaaaaaa

Are semis gonna scam pump at open or is this the start of a 10-15% pullback on SOXX.

FaithlessnessIcy3875

SOXX -10% day here we go

Sjgreen

SOXX gonna maintain 600 support 👀

gen_x_og_0DTE

KOSPI show is about to start. Let's see if those crazy bastards buy the dip and lever up more, or all become bag holders. SOXX and chips on the line.

ComprehensiveKiwi489

Calls to Puts across individual semiconductor stocks reach ATH, while SOXX carries its second highest put to call ratio on record at 7.5. Odd.

Sphinxyy5

SOXX has piss poor volume after hours every day, better off looking at QQQ, SPY, and invidious ticker volume but yeah I agree semis have a lottt of room to get shocked it’s trading at 60 p/e

Shot-Ground-9898

SOXX. No momentum. No net buyers on the dip. Tomorrow is going to be BAD 

crazybitcoinlunatic

Observe the daily candle close for SOXX

oilywalrus07

SOXX green 🤣

Sphinxyy5

SOXX max pain is currently 550 and the fund is trading at like 60 p/e, this soft bear could shock semis a little