SOXX

SamRHughes

Your number one fear should be getting the stats wrong. There is a lot of weirdness here -- the 3x ETF but not the 1x ETF, an AI model (how big is it?), and backtesting on the last 10 years (which raises the question, what was the training set? You didn't train the AI model on the same data you're testing it on, are you?). Also weird is how you need daily candles -- wouldn't there be signal in prices 5 minutes before expiration? 15 minutes? There should be -- maybe it's weaker -- because you'd have some ability to predict the signal's likely to be triggered. I'd think if you have a 25% chance of signal, that's tradeable. Especially, trading after-hours, you'd want the most liquid security, right? Is the 3x ETF more liquid than the 1x? It's not like there should be much of a distinction here, given you're getting 0.25% slippage. How many live trades have you done? As for options, based on your numbers right now, you could just trade in larger size, without options. You could buy cheap OTM protective puts before market close when the signal's likely to be triggered, and use that to get higher leverage. You could also buy protective puts in a correlate like QQQ or SPY (or something else), which trade 15 minutes after close. If you consider options with more extrinsic value, like near-ATM or OTM calls, then you need to worry more about volatility pricing, and how stuff like calendar events can affect that. I think you should figure out why you can't use SOXX with 3x the size, maybe with cheap protective puts bought before market close. Then figure out why you can't buy SOXX or SOXL before market close when the signal is imminently likely to be triggered. You could probably do this before the next trade you make if it's only 25 per year. I would think the set of closing prices of the index that would trigger the signal is some kind of interval-like thing and not something with fractal complexity.

DerpnessDerp

April 21 to now as you can see in purchase history. I’d be wary of just looking at the cyclical chart. The underlying is SOXX and I think you’re discounting the dangers and volatility decay of leverage ETFs. It’s possible but I’d rather use that free capital elsewhere for me

b0men

I’ve made more than “20 bag returns” just buying stocks that have strong upside based on areas I’m deeply familiar with. And I’m not a value investor For example I doubled a few of my accounts going heavy on semi conductors when they just looked super undervalued after liberation day ($SOXX, $SOXL). Yes it took me 2 weeks instead of an afternoon but buying 0DTE options with your life savings is retarded

am22fcw

SOXX trying to break 240 for the 100th time in the last 6 months

Piyush4758

Portfolio Value - $88.20 Invested Value - $79.99, gains - 8.21(+10.26%) Key holdings - TSM SOXX VOOG PPLT Open for any suggestions.

MisterPink

My take is that both those targets are going to be difficult because of the decay that has happened since the peaks. You can use SOXX, even though it technically doesn't track that, and see that it's almost at the ATH while SOXL is nowhere near. I thought it had more room to run when I jumped out but I saw some weakness and my plan was to pull out at a profit and buy back in lower. The lower never happened so I switched to another equity. So the moral here is that I don't know what's going to happen either just because I've made money so far. In other words don't take what I say as good advice because it's potentially not.

fuzzywuzzy123

\- SOXX and general markets hitting historical resistance (breaking ATH on SPY) \- SOXX trading above VWAP starting from multiple major points spanning up to 2 years back \- Multiple days of market gapping up \- Extremely large, consistent volume on SOXS 1D across past 2 months since gap down \- A few other secret ingredients, but also It's fun to be a bear

cinJESUS

SOXX is at YTD high now, how much more can SOXL run? 🤔

Electronic_Bet_8827

Maybe calls on SOXX would be a safer bet.

Boys4Ever

Been in the S&P 500 since the 90s. Ask AI to project investing in S&P 500 based on data starting from which would reflect retirement being today and starting at age 27. Want to get clever and blow your mind. Tell it current salary. Assume x% contributions per pay check based on salary with merit increases of 3%-5%. Granted past experience isn’t likely to repeat but it shows you the power of compounding on the broader market which based on fundamentals always expected to grow including surviving frequent crashes. Having said that. Today perhaps tech a better option such as QQQ or semis such SOXX or SMH or 25% in all four thereby having increased diversity.

am22fcw

SOXX cannot break out of this range ffs

MajikoiA3When

This shit aint dumping today. SOXX is regarded straight line up today.

Impressive_Day_5969

I haven’t bought any individual AI stocks yet, but I’ve been looking into AI ETFs like BOTZ, SOXX, and SMH. Check their holdings breakdown and historical returns on moomoo, which makes it really convenient to compare them side by side.

Regular_Artist_7306

Wouldn’t QQQ or SOXX cover them up ?

Ceyenne18

SOXX vomitting finally

Ceyenne18

Taking profit on my SOXX. I believe whatever good news already priced in. If no agreement, we might see a dump into close. Good luck regards

Ceyenne18

wtf ... my SOXX keeps going up. We just won ww3 or what?

Just_M3nU

Is it better $SOXX or $SOXL ? Thanks in advance

newplayer28

In tech, if you are not first, you are last. They are very far behind NVDA. NVDA holds 90% of the market share in AI training chips with its CUDA software platform. AMD is not industry standard and assuming all future projects keep using NVDA due to their technology advantage, AMD will slowly lose its 3% AI and data center market share overtime. Now I do believe there is some huge upside to AMD as well but it will not overshadow NVDA because NVDA is sector leader. If semi conductor stocks see surge, you best believe NVDA is also up. But if NVDA is down, it will pull the rest of the sector down with it, including AMD. As they say, let your winners run, so I would argue that I could see NVDA with 4t easily vs the market share AMD would need to take away from its competitors to get to 300b market cap. Its easier for Nvda to eat that market share. I am long on semi conductors in general, I believe long term it will be one of the best sectors for investment (and possibly humanity). So while I do support and believe in AMD, I believe in the whole sector, but NVDA will be the cream of the crop in this sector for now. This is one time where a semi ETF I think is gold, they hold all important companies, non fluff, irreplaceable tech such as ASML (lithography), Applied materials, qualcomm, Texas Instruments and more. Long $SOXX $SMH

newplayer28

Long SMH and SOXX

qw1ns

>you're still not calling out which industries and how the break would materialize, how it would echo through the economy, and who is going to be effected. You are asking about future prediction - which no one can exactly know. I am also not an expert of this, but can guess only. Basic premise: Any thing goes up without fundamental backing will come down during a recession. I can guess some hyped AI or cryptos easy target, say bitcoin, mstr...etc. BTW: Here is my focus area (indexes only), I am not basically interested in specific industries, but follow indexes like SPX,NDX,SOXX and using their 3x etfs to grow.

zordonbyrd

There will be a hard crash at some point. Semiconductors are still cyclical by nature. Last cycle there were plenty of bulls saying, including CEOs, saying that semiconductors were no longer cyclical and the SOXX corrected nearly 50%. There will be moments like this along the way, though there is a secular demand trend that's up and to the right. That being said, it's about timing, it's about channel checks, it's about inventory levels. You should be in the know when it comes to those things or you're in a dangerous position to get crushed. A simpler way of gauging things, or at least how it's been done in the past, is looking at the multiples chip stocks are trading at. When they start getting cheap is typically when smart money starts to really bail. When they're expensive again, when things look grim, that's when you want to buy. This cycle is odd because most chips are just coming off their cyclical trough (or are still in them) while AI chips are being gobbled up faster then they can be made. I believe this cycle will end like every other one, but I also think this cycle will be harder to gauge because AI is an unprecedented development.

Boys4Ever

Diversification easier by index based ETFs. SPY, SOXX and QQQ adequately cover the major players and spread the damage should any collapse unexpectedly because no such thing as too big to fail.

erniekim

Semiconductor. SOXX or if you wanna ride up on a rocket, SOXL

Charliebush

At 18 y/o, you probably have more insight into what will be big in the future than any investor from an older generation solely because you and your generation will set the trends for the future. When I was in my early 20’s I bought AMZN, TSLA, FB (now META) and MSFT because me and all my friends thought it was the future. Every “experienced” investor I talk to said I was dumb and I’d lose money. After almost 20 years, I think it was safe to say I made the right call. Take time to understand the fundamentals, but identifying trends early on and having high conviction holdings will do well over time. I like NVDA but only swing trade it atm (outside of ETF exposure). AMD outsells NVDA 6:1 in retail, but big money is always B2B. Semiconductor ETFs like SOXX (or SOXL - 3x leverage) may be of interest if you didn’t want to pick a single horse in the AI race.

CJBlueNorther

Serious question, if SOXX is trending near ATH, then why is SOXL trending near ATL?

Boys4Ever

Been buying S&P 500 since mid 90s. Have not once cared who the top companies were. Assuming you’re referring to the Mag 7 yet my approach is buying the broader market. I actively trade SOXX, QQQ and IWM depending on volatility but park my future in the S&P 500 because I’ll never care who the top companies are, were or will ever be.

Boys4Ever

I’m bullish on semiconductors. SOXX but only once it’s bottomed because I’m expecting more pain from tariffs which have yet been reflected in economic data and recent pauses haven’t resolved the base 10% as well as 25% auto and aluminum or fentanyl 20% with latter purely based on imaginary fear mongering.

Boys4Ever

AI as revolutionary as it seems likely not that revolutionary to establishments that have been at it for decades. Only black swan for them being head of development going off on their own and gathering capital and starting a clean slate better than they left assuming they weren't compensated as to unable to compete. Not a filed one can walk away for two years then suddenly emerge on top. I'm trading SOXX and counting on the chips to be my AI boom. Software is nothing without the hardware.

HND171

Wish QBTS was a part of SOXX

Boys4Ever

Hard to beat S&P 500 using the lowest cost ETF instrument. Stress free growth. Assuming enough time to grow. Buying in 1999 would have been stressful for years although DCA every paycheck and today you’re living large off dividends. There are simulators that show you investing $100k at any point in the past with the option to contribute funds periodically allowing you to see growth from different investments although world has changed and no guarantee S&P 500 remains best option but I’m trusting it. QQQ and SOXX or SMH have greatly outperformed even with QQQ taking longer to recover because most hit in 2000. SMH of recent has outperformed SOXX because of heavier weighting of NVDIA and what I mean about not knowing tomorrow and why S&P 500 just less stressful. Trading on cruise control to me. Not sexy. Just reliable. IMHO

onewonyuan

SMH and SOXX are two of the most popular ones. SMH has more exposure to NVDA (around 20%) if that’s what you’re after.

Boys4Ever

SOXX these days more compelling. More concentrated than both tech and S&P 500 and just feel better performance long run. What doesn’t need a semiconductor that has juice running through it and regardless how manufacturing turns out at some point even if made here we have no choice but to pay the higher prices.

kfuzion

Always trade leveraged ETFs based on their underlying. SOXX is pretty much the unleveraged SOXL and SOXX is flat YTD. There’s not much room left to run. Another 10-20% maybe but you won’t get those crazy swings until everyone starts panic selling again next month.

alfapredator

yup. they're going much higher. TSLA and SOXX should at least hit ATHs.

NormandyPark0

the hard data hasn't matched the bad soft data, so the market is ripping. Until hard data prints bad, we won't sell-off again. Also, the Trump put is back given he walked back tariffs. It could go back down, but we're not getting a 30% SOXX sell-off again given that the Trump put is back

NormandyPark0

the hard data hasn't matched the bad soft data, so the market is ripping. Until hard data prints bad, we won't sell-off again. Also, the Trump put is back given he cancelled the tariffs. It could go back down, but we're not getting a 30% SOXX sell-off again given that the Trump put is back

Ok-Fee9097

You’re not overthinking it — you’re just paying attention to the part of the market a lot of people are ignoring right now. The AI narrative and rate cut optimism have been so dominant lately that structural risks like these new EU tariffs are flying under the radar. But you’re absolutely right to question their long-term impact. A 15% tariff on core hardware and software is no small thing, and if the EU follows the GDPR playbook — strict, far-reaching, and permanent — this could be just the first round. For companies like Apple and Nvidia, margin compression is a real concern, especially if they absorb the cost instead of passing it on to European consumers. Microsoft might be more insulated due to enterprise stickiness, but even they could take a hit if regulatory hostility spreads. As for ETFs like XSD and SOXX, I agree they’re probably more exposed than the broader QQQ or S&P, since they include smaller players without the pricing power or geographic flexibility of the megacaps. You’re also right that China’s response could escalate this into something bigger. If supply chains get tangled or retaliatory tariffs hit U.S. exports of chips, semis, or software services, that’s another layer of risk most aren’t pricing in yet. If you’re long QQQ and have a multi-year view, this may just be noise you can ride out. But if you’re feeling uneasy, hedging with puts or trimming a bit from the most exposed names isn't unreasonable. I’ve been trying to stay balanced by moving some capital into private opportunities through LPShares. It’s helped diversify my exposure away from headline-driven swings and into less correlated, longer-term positions. You're asking the right questions — the market might not be pricing this in yet, but it often doesn’t until it’s forced to.

jpric155

!banbet SOXX 240 8W

jpric155

I think we're turning the corner on the chip cycle. A lot of chips on SOXX have dipped 50+% recently and "liberation day" basically sent them to the lowest possible level. Earnings have been turning more positive and I expect a new wave of AI hype cycle to start or is already started.

jpric155

Chips. SOXX or SOXL (leverage)

IPleadThaFifth

so this is why SOXL and SOXX had high trading volume in the pre-market? crooks, all of them

Grindr_Master

All in SOXX puts hoping for that semi tariffs? 

softboiledjadepotato

Large dark pool order on SOXX right before market close... I mean, I guess it could be a buy 🤔

Wowmuchrya

What if, for once in our lives, AMD and ARM do something useful and cause SMH/SOXX to break out and rally the nasdaq? For once Lisa Su SHOW US WHY YOU WERE CEO OF THE YEAR 2024, BUT REALLY BE CEO OF THE YEAR 2025!

jpric155

Semis (SOXX) are looking really strong right now compared to the rest of the market. Is it just because they're so beat down for so long?

jpric155

SOXX has 3 million volume so far today SOXL (3x SOXX) has 200 million vollume today Use this information wisely.

ser_kingslayer_

SOXX green despite that horrible number from Super Micro yesterday. Make it make sense!

Perfect_Change_1586

Hello, I am a nineteen year old, currently making my way through college while living at home, who's recently come to the decision to bump up the amount that I'm investing on a monthly basis. I'm also looking to further diversify my portfolio, and could use some advice on how I should go about doing so. Previously, I've been investing, roughly, $750.00/per month into two primary stocks. Nvidia, and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF. I've decided to bump up my investment amount by double, and am now going to be putting in $1,500.00 per month. This is my current idea for allocation at the end of each month: Per month/$1,500.00 General ETFs: $1,200.00 (80.00%) —(SPY) SPDR S&P 500 ETF; $600.00 (40.00%) —(IVV) ishares core S&P 500 ETF; $250.00 (16.66%) —(SOXX) Ishares Semiconductor ETF; $250.00 (16.66%) —(ITDI) ishares 2065 target date fund ETF; $100.00 (6.66%) Dividend Funds: $150.00 (10.00%) —(SCHD) Schwab US Dividend ETF; $100.00 (6.66%) —(PLD) Prologis Inc.; $50.00 (3.33%) REITs: $100.00 (6.66%) —(VNQ) Vanguard Real estate ETF; $100.00 (6.66%) High-risk; $50.00 (3.33%) (Crypto, individual stocks, emerging markets, etc.) —(IBIT) iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF; $25.00 (1.66%) —(BITX) 2× Bitcoin Strategy ETF; $25.00 (1.66%) Any advice is appreciated, and thank you for your time!

Perfect_Change_1586

Hello, I am a nineteen year old, currently making my way through college while living at home, who's recently come to the decision to bump up the amount that I'm investing on a monthly basis. I'm also looking to further diversify my portfolio, and could use some advice on how I should go about doing so. Previously, I've been investing, roughly, $750.00/per month into two primary stocks. Nvidia, and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF. I've decided to bump up my investment amount by double, and am now going to be putting in $1,500.00 per month. This is my current idea for allocation at the end of each month: Per month/$1,500.00 General ETFs: $1,200.00 (80.00%) —(SPY) SPDR S&P 500 ETF; $600.00 (40.00%) —(IVV) ishares core S&P 500 ETF; $250.00 (16.66%) —(SOXX) Ishares Semiconductor ETF; $250.00 (16.66%) —(ITDI) ishares 2065 target date fund ETF; $100.00 (6.66%) Dividend Funds: $150.00 (10.00%) —(SCHD) Schwab US Dividend ETF; $100.00 (6.66%) —(PLD) Prologis Inc.; $50.00 (3.33%) REITs: $100.00 (6.66%) —(VNQ) Vanguard Real estate ETF; $100.00 (6.66%) High-risk; $50.00 (3.33%) (Crypto, individual stocks, emerging markets, etc.) —(IBIT) iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF; $25.00 (1.66%) —(BITX) 2× Bitcoin Strategy ETF; $25.00 (1.66%) Any advice is appreciated, and thank you for your time!

Agitated_Mess3942

You're basically saying the next 3-5 years will be like the last 3-5 years. While it might be, the future could also be different than the past. For example, SOXX semi conductor ETF, rode the AI bull market, up 150% from October 2022 to July 2024. It's down 32% since then, mostly over tariff uncertainty as semi conductors will probably be very affected by tariffs. Do you think the next years are going to be the same as the past or is there a new environment that will produce different outcomes? For example EUAD, Europen defense, hadn't done very well until the past few months when EU countries started to pledge more defense spending, so is it's past performance related to the future?

95Daphne

Yeah, if that "massive rebound" occurs, it's probably coming from QQQ $440. Fully recognize it's an unpopular take, but the Nasdaq decline was not tariffs only this year. It was also AI fears related, and the damage with the SMH/SOXX is so bad at this point, it's not an easy fix. The good news is that the worst MAY be over, the bad news is that the drama probably isn't. 

jpric155

I think it's just so beat down the selling has lowered and Semi ETFs like SOXX / SOXL are gaining steam agian.

95Daphne

I think there's a chance lows are in at the index level, but this is going to be far from easy and I suspect NVDA will be a big laggard for the rest of the year. It was obvious in hindsight, although I was warning of part of this from the start. The SMH/SOXX not hitting new ATHs with the Nasdaq in December (this was a dynamic I was saying to look for), and TSLA going completely nuts after more on the line of quality in tech ran first.  The final blow was the lower high by NVDA in February. I'll say it again. If I'm not around. @ me when TSLA goes crazy again (if it's similar dynamics and they don't turn out to be a key leader when we rally again). It was the last piece of info needed before two bear markets for the Nasdaq now.

HND171

Why a 3x SOXX call? Thx

ixvst01

Why did SOXX just rally 3%? Was there semi news I missed?

95Daphne

IMO, I probably wouldn't be planning on initiating fresh buys in the semi sector period until we get to 1 full year from the SMH/SOXX top.

95Daphne

If this isn't reversed tomorrow, it shows that we very much still are in the thick of it on the tech stock bear market. As I've said a few times, this hasn't just been tariff chicken related, it's also been related to major semiconductor weakness from July. In hindsight, it was obvious. No new ATHs from semiconductors when the Nasdaq made one last push in December was a GIGANTIC warning. I'd say probably the earliest that this ends is at one full year from the intermediate top for SMH/SOXX.

HND171

TXN moving up is helping SOXX today

Superb_Marzipan_1581

No Individual stocks! Plenty of ETFs & Funds that would cater to you. From your list I would say MAGS/XLK/SOXX are good for what you want.

willdapill07

Roughly 95% of QQQ’s asset weight is already held within VOO, so adding QQQ to VOO offers minimal new exposure, and semiconductors account for about 11% of the S&P 500, so adding SOXX to VOO boosts exposure to a high‑growth niche without heavily duplicating VOO’s broader market holdings.

willdapill07

I don’t trust financial advisor’s typically, but everyone’s situation is different. If you’re keeping things simple then it seems unnecessary to have a financial advisor for a VOO + QQQ / SOXX portfolio. As you get closer to retirement though you’re not gonna want to be so exposed to equities, but a lot happens over 20 years.

willdapill07

Consider SOXX > QQQ in my opinion.

Fa-ern-height451

Have some of you forgot the mkt drop from 11/1/2020 to 9/26/22. Dow was at 36,327 (C) on 11/1/2020 and dropped to 28,725 (C) by 9/26/22? Gas prices went from under $2 up to $4 give or take depending where you lived from early 2020 to end of 2022. Same for heating oil. The energy factor hurt most sectors due to shipping costs, etc. And then inflation whacked us down further. Where was the outrage then? I'm just saying, we got through those tough mkt times and we'll get through this one. There are some buying opportunities here. There are stocks that I can now consider to add to my portfolio like Costco, Waste Mgt., Palo Alto, and some others. I've been through the 1987 Black Monday and people considered that to be the modern day 1929 crash. We got through that event. This current mkt was predicted to correct prior to 2025 as it shot up like a rocket. How long can we expect it to have not gone into correction mode no matter what the reason was? yes, this is because of a global reset caused by the current admin's policies on tariffs but we also had a reset because of the Covid shut down which the cost was approx. 90% of GDP. After we recovered from it, the mkt took off. Look for opportunities, don't panic, stop blaming this person, that person and be strategic with your planning. My weekend research will be JEPI and JEPQ - monthly dvds, decent yield and more stability. Up in the air about buying SOXX, down 50%. Mulling over the statistic that 85% of time, tech stocks rebound which will affect my decision to avg down on some semi's. Good luck everyone.

Worried_Quarter469

The iShares Semiconductor ETF (NYSE:SOXX) — a key proxy for the U.S. chipmaking industry — has plunged 16% this week, on track for its worst performance since September 2001 at the height of the dot-com crash.

Cap_Space

Wait but SOXX is long semi or am I incorrect

texdotorg

Semiconductors are exempt from tariffs. Considering SOXX as its gotten wrapped in with everything else. Looks pretty cheap here. Really cheap.

95Daphne

Nope. While there's some shades of the 2020 crash here, we're much closer to 2018/2022 still ultimately with the Nasdaq high vol flu in a best-case scenario. The BEST CASE here is that the SOXX bear market follows the recent bear markets and it ends near the end of the month imo. When it ends, the Nasdaq bear market/crash will effectively be over because I think semis are too intertwined now, but it's going to take a while here to pull off a full recovery again since there isn't going to be major Fed help.

terrybmw335

The 5 year SOXX vs SOXL chart is interesting. Then SOXX is increasing SOXL goes parabolic despite the higher costs. Of course, the same thing happens on the way down. :( [https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/SOXX/SOXL](https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/SOXX/SOXL)

terrybmw335

No just look at the 5-10 year chart. They generally trend up as stocks always go up. Check this wild action on SOXX vs SOXL at 5 years. [https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/SOXX/SOXL](https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/SOXX/SOXL)

OverwroughtPraise

When precisely is a chip considered a "semiconductor?" Is each wafer a semiconductor? When an h100 is assembled, is that when it meets the definition? How much of that assembly can be onshored in the next 3 months? Did you research that to inform the trade? Regardless of the answers, the lack of detail, clarity, and foresight is enough to tank SOXX and any individual chipmaker another 10% easily. I'm long nvda and a few others, but there is so much more short-term pain to come. If you have diamond hands then more power to you.

Menu-Quirky

I'm beginning to buy SOXX with prices below 155$

LIGHTNINGBOLT23

> Even if SOXX gets back to your original target, SOXL won't recover equally because of time and vol decay This is true, but in the grand scheme of things: if SOXX recovers, then SOXL will eventually recover as well as SOXX will inevitably hit new heights. The market's trajectory is positively biased.

terrybmw335

It's a 3x leverage of SOXX reset daily. You lose over time due to the cost of maintaining leverage. One month SOXX is down 18.20% but SOXL is down 49.65%. Over the last 12 months SOXX is down 39.93% but SOXL is down 75.04%. But one big day where SOXX swings up 10% could cut my potential losses in half here!

myironlung6

If you were holding normal shares you'd be right.... Inverse and leveraged ETFs experience "decay" or value erosion, especially in volatile markets, due to their daily rebalancing and compounding effects, which can lead to returns diverging from the intended target over time. Holding this kind of asset over a long period of time could compound losses. Even if SOXX gets back to your original target, SOXL won't recover because of time decay and it will be harder to compound due to the lower number of shares you'll hold. I experienced this with SOXS last year, they had a 1 for 10 split.

95Daphne

Eh, semis haven’t acted well since July last year. It’s fairly likely an AI/semi reckoning was coming and there’s probably a few more weeks of this to go before a bottom in the SOXX and effectively the Nasdaq. Electing Trump just signed us up for sure for #4 in 8 years on bear markets for the Nasdaq. It may have been possible to avoid if not although I have my doubts because semis have gotten too weighted for QQQ.

mistresslust69

I have invested around $500 in US ETFs just before elections in January , majorly in VOO , SCHG , VGT , SOXX , XMMO , AVUV. My portfolio is 18% down. I am from India so applying the conversion rate the invested amount is neither huge nor little. I also have 250$ cash ready for DCA if needed. Can anyone who has an idea about long term prospects suggest me should I exit all or wait for some weeks and average it out ? My view is long for etfs 4-5 yr min. Any advice would be appreciated. My goal was to diversify but uncle trump is making it hard. I am a student studying in india so capital is limited for at least 2-3 years.

alderson710

Lololol AI iS dEaD bEcAuSe SOXX iS dOwN. 

Kanye_Is_Underrated

There are sites like volume leaders that follow these. And some videos/comments/etc i sometimes see around make the argument "this was the biggest trade in SOXX in the past X months, smart money was taking profit/buying the dip". if someone else took the opposite, equally sized trade, i dont follow how this would be a sign of anything...

Wowmuchrya

The problem is Nvidia is in like 50000 indices. If they want to short SPY/QQQ/SMH/SOXX/DIA they will target Nvidia. Just dumb as fuck they can get away with it.

Wowmuchrya

Either sell a put or buy shares. Don’t be dumb and buy calls for now. Clearly SMH/SOXX are being shorted hard.

SpongEWorTHiebOb

But the SOXX was up today….wtf

epictantrum

Wouldn't this tank SOXX?

jackperitas

If NVGUH closes under 200MA it's going under 100 and will take SOXX with him 

ser_kingslayer_

Semis can't catch a big. PUTs on SOXX

NewAlCapone

U mean hedge my longs using a short ETF position? That's one way. Or even sell calls. But I'd rather be in cash. Right now I have puts in $SOXX and short positions in NVDA and NU.

tachyonvelocity

Overall Semis SOXX flat 1 year return, meanwhile overall China, FXI, up 50% 1 year. Despite everyone being negative China and bullish AI, this is obvious right looking at all the “fundamentals?” Crashing chinese economy and AI hype. Yet actual stock returns are completely different. This just shows you’re supposed to buy when everything is bad and stop buying when everything is good.

Blame_my_Boneitis

I think mining is a fair play. I’ve got a big chunk of my IRA in PPLT (platinum etf) but I may adjust that. I’m not overly concerned about risks in the price of platinum currently but a deep recession would probably reduce industrial demand for platinum (as it did in 2008 and 2009. Otherwise I’m feeling it’s a relatively stable choice for now with some medium term upside potential. Again though I may reposition this, kinda undecided. Before the AI run up I had everything in SOXX which turned out to be the right play as it ended up being the top performer for the couple years I held it, now I’m unsure so it’s all in platinum for now until I figure out what to do.

greenpride32

TSM built a fab in Arizona - https://www.tsmc.com/static/abouttsmcaz/index.htm. While it's still not a domestic company the production will effectively be domestic. INTC has a poor track record of keeping up with the latest and greatest technologies - I would not be surprised to see them run into issues with their fabs. You do realize that INTC sourced some CPU manfucturing to TSM because they couldn't do it themselves? INTC stock says a lot about their past performance and future outlook - in the past 10 years they are down while every other reputable semi is up 3-10x +. Even the wider SOXX ETF is up 7-8x with INTC dragging it down. Now go look at the peformance of others members in SOXX.

Ok_Ganache_789

I like a bit more risk, I’m going: $5k QQQ $2k SPY $1k SOXX $1500 individual stocks that I research to $500 crypto Open a Fidelity account so you can purchase feactional shares

david13an

Should I sell SOXX and put it into just AMD?

CwRrrr

Anyone following SOXX/SOXL? How is SOXX which is cap weighted barely up when 4 of the top 5 holdings in Nvda AVGO AMD and QCOM are all up huge? What the fuck is going on with this scam ETF

Fapados

An equally weighted combination of those 10 ETFs have an annualized return of 15.81% over the past 10 years. VOO has 13.45% in comparison. VTWO is definitely an underperformer with just 8.27%. Also, I don't think there's any reason to have both SPY and VOO, as they track the same index. I've been told SPY is for trading, VOO is for holding. SOXX is the higher performer with 23.35%, but it's a sector ETF, so anything could happen in the long run. Same goes for IYW with 21.05% and XLK with 20.55%. I personally wouldn't pick 10 different ETFs. If you want higher returns than VOO, then I'd go for VOO + QQQM.

Stunning_Junket_4266

I personally have my money in SOXX, I believe the industry as a whole, not just any particular company. Hence I put it in a ETF instead of a individual stock.

haryj

I track a couple of thousand ETFs and some large single stocks. I have a tool that calculates the APR for all strikes under 60 DTE. I rank these based on rules that most tools, like Fidelity, etc, don't provide. The goal is to limit risk trading options but try to take a few percent a year above the market. There's always a risk; I might get assigned QQQ/SOXX/SMH, and then the market tanks, but I would likely be holding them anyway. I have no doubt I could pay for a tool that does this and more, but there's some satisfaction and knowledge to be gained from building it.

Chart-trader

We peaked. If SOXX drops below 210 the rest of the market will follow.

gjdhbdufy

SOXX has been dogshit for 7-8 months now. SOXL is the play rn semis are -21% from ath and soxl -64%. SOXX will be back at all time highs by summer, Soxl will double by summer.

Small_Fortune2712

AVGO has 11% weight in SOXX and AMD is only about 6%. AVGO is up today big. So SOXL hasn’t moved much.

Chart-trader

Yes. I can not post a link (or I get banned) but you can find SOXX chart when you click on my profile

Ok_Ganache_789

Did you see my last point? I just said I was answering the question “1 stock”. Yes, SMH and SOXX are better is the question was “how would you invest $100”