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19 MAY 2026 , WHAT ARE THE BIGGEST WINNERS AND WHY ?
The Inevitable Capitulation: Welcome to Physical Reality.
📊 Market Movers | Updates at: 2026-02-09 EST | Gainers: $VAL $BLSH $GENVR | Losers: $KD $PGY $MNDY Which ones caught your eye? 👇
[DD] How to Profit Off the Trade War [$500k invested]
Jourdan Resources a key beneficiary of Sayona Mining’s lithium development (TSXV: JOR, OTCQB: JORF)
💰💰💰Good morning! #premarket #watchlist 10/19 $KTRA -Pauses REM-001 Program to Conserve Funds to Support VAL-083 International Registrational Study, $RDHL -RedHill's Oral Broad-Acting Antiviral, Opaganib, Granted New COVID-19 Treatment Patent, $SOBR -Secures Large Industrial Customer
💰💰💰Good morning! #premarket #watchlist 10/19 $KTRA -Pauses REM-001 Program to Conserve Funds to Support VAL-083 International Registrational Study, $RDHL -RedHill's Oral Broad-Acting Antiviral, Opaganib, Granted New COVID-19 Treatment Patent, $SOBR -Secures Large Industrial Customer
6 high-risk, high-reward stock bets with upside & 5 stock picks for the long-term: ($PINS $CRWD $EQT $UNH $ZS $VAL $OXY $ASND $AMT $BTU) DD
Investing in 1 global index fund vs 1 global + 2 additional funds
KTRA ready to go, what do you think guys!!!
My university research work about Influencers and Financial markets.
$VAL $$VAL.AX probably the only ASX listed company with the most U projects at HOT Zone Athabasca Basin Canada look how undervalued it is now 🤯🤯🤯
Mentions
\---Merger--- in September --->🛢OIL🛢..RIG Transocean and VAL valeris...2 of the biggest
\---Merger--- happening in September --->🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️ 🚀...RIG Transocean and VAL valeris.... 🚀 two of the world's largest oil rig companies in the world with a massive back log on 🛢oil contracts
Wow!! --->🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️ 🚀...RIG Transonean and VAL valeris.... 🚀 two of the world's largest oil rig companies in the world to merge by September ..Today they will certify compliance with DOJ
Disclaimer - I am not a financial advisor or a trade advisor . The below mentioned comments are for educational purposes only and present how I make my CSP ans covered call strike choices. If you have access to kindle unlimited, you can read about how I make adjustments in general on trades gone wrong (not that this one is at [amazon.com/dp/B0H7P6CQSG](http://amazon.com/dp/B0H7P6CQSG) Not sure how you decided $190 as the strike to place your CSP trade with low probability of assignment. I normally use volume profiles, POC/VAL\_HI/VAL\_LO as guide posts since I believe delta is not enough. You can read about this here. [https://www.reddit.com/r/options/comments/1u3qbv1/picking\_option\_strikes\_based\_on\_delta\_is\_not/](https://www.reddit.com/r/options/comments/1u3qbv1/picking_option_strikes_based_on_delta_is_not/) I also assume you are comfortable with NVDA as a stock you would want to on if assigned. If you have access to kindle unlimited, you can read about how I make adjustments in general on trades gone wrong at [amazon.com/dp/B0H7P6CQSG](http://amazon.com/dp/B0H7P6CQSG) Hoping your trade will end in the outcome you had planned when placing the trade. All the best.
As a followup, the Volume profile bands for SLV show POC = $54.42, VAL\_HIGH = $60.17, VAL\_LOW = $50.24 These shift over time, but there is a very thin shelf above $65 as you see in the graph below, so you can probably get a little aggressive with your strikes and sell ITM calls around $68-$70 to get a slightly higher premium. As a rule, I never sell below my cost basis. https://preview.redd.it/xehbdtm5d7ch1.png?width=1367&format=png&auto=webp&s=bc5980522d3f791d14916229de17fe10e7247f65
I am nor a trade advisor so what I say below is just what I would do in this situation and I am not implying that you should do the same . I am not liable for any losses so trade at your own risk. It is always unfortunate that we run into these situations at time, and it requires patience and perseverance to manage the trade and hopefully claw back to break even. Having said that, I do not know if you sell covered calls, but you can use that to reduce your cost basis over time and . The only problem is that you have to pick the right strike so that you do not get assigned. You can start with a few of those positions to test the waters if you prefer. The link below shows how I pick strikes to sell covered calls based on Volume profiles (POC/VAL\_HIG/VAL\_LOw that have helped me reduce (not eliminate completely) the risk of getting assigned. This will help you make an informed decision. [https://www.reddit.com/r/options/comments/1u3qbv1/picking\_option\_strikes\_based\_on\_delta\_is\_not/](https://www.reddit.com/r/options/comments/1u3qbv1/picking_option_strikes_based_on_delta_is_not/) Here is what I would do: Your portfolio - 1100 shares at avg cost $73.3 Safest best - Sell December $75 Covered call (Note - is is above above your cost basis) for $1.74 You get $1914 upfront and your cost basis reduces to $71.56 If SLV does not hit 75, the calls expire worthless and you can write a new call three months out again above $72 strike to lower your cost basis. If SLV hits $75 suddenly and you get assigned , they will take your shares at $75 and you will come out head with a net profit of $3784 at expiry. https://preview.redd.it/crdqqn4897ch1.png?width=597&format=png&auto=webp&s=06042123b0884a38f162ccee90b99f3ab0f382fc Your wife's portfolio: 800 shares at avg cost $70.69 Safest best - Sell December $71 Covered call (Note - is is above above your cost basis) for $2.12 You get $1696 upfront and your cost basis reduces to $68.57 If SLV does not hit 71, the calls expire worthless and you can write a new call three months out again above $69 strike to lower your cost basis. If SLV hits $71 suddenly and you get assigned , they will take your shares at $71 and you will come out head with a net profit of $1944 at expiry. (Reddit will not allow me to add a new screenshot for her trade. The only catch is that is SLV suddenly took off, your capital is stuck till expiry in December when they get assigned or if silver continues to fall... And it might take a bit to recover, but all is not lost. You can DM me if you have any questions on the post or the mechanics of it. All the best
I am starting to think retail and day trader investors are RETARDED....look at this chart today......????? and the big guys what they are doing on RIG...waiting for the low point patiently ....--->🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️ back log of oil contracts 🚀... ...... RIG ....Transocean and VAL..Valaris 🚀.. just wait and play long...don't worry just be happy
RIG is acquiring VAL so either work. Any good US listed sulphur names?
MERGER of the 2 biggest drillers --->🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️ happening soon.. back log of oil contracts 🚀... ...... RIG ....Transocean and VAL..Valaris 🚀
Hey! Do you read the Goehring & Rozencwajg commentary? I think they do a thorough job and they align with your thesis. Off the top of my head, I own FANG, RRC, VAL, SDRL, and a couple more that I can’t think of right now.
I share your thesis, although I am diversified into other sectors as well. But definitely overweight natural resources. CF is my fertilizer play, but I,might pickup aome MOS as well. I bought a bunch of RIG when it dipped under $3, which is basically the same as ownong VAL now with the oending merger. Still think it's undervalued, especially if our shared thesis is true. I also went with EXE to get some natural gas exposure. Still interested in picking up a lot more in these sectors and if they tank on news of thr Strait of Hormiz opening I will be going on a buying spree.
| # | Ticker | Score | SQ | MO | TA | VAL | Name | Rec | |---|--------|-------|----|----|----|----|------|-----| | 1 | \*\*GRPN\*\* | 73/100 \`███████░░░\` | 34/35 | 24/30 | 10/20 | 5/15 | Groupon, Inc. | ⭐ STRONG BUY | | 2 | \*\*FIG\*\* | 52/100 \`█████░░░░░\` | 25/35 | 14/30 | 12/20 | 1/15 | Figma, Inc. | ✅ BUY | | 3 | \*\*SNAL\*\* | 52/100 \`█████░░░░░\` | 15/35 | 22/30 | 10/20 | 5/15 | Snail, Inc. | ✅ BUY | | 4 | \*\*HCWB\*\* | 45/100 \`████░░░░░░\` | 10/35 | 22/30 | 10/20 | 3/15 | HCW Biologics Inc. | 👀 WATCH | | 5 | \*\*QUCY\*\* | 42/100 \`████░░░░░░\` | 10/35 | 22/30 | 10/20 | 0/15 | Quantum Cyber N.V. | 👀 WATCH | | 6 | \*\*LCID\*\* | 42/100 \`████░░░░░░\` | 25/35 | 8/30 | 4/20 | 5/15 | Lucid Group, Inc. | 🔀 SQUEEZE WATCH | | 7 | \*\*PROK\*\* | 37/100 \`████░░░░░░\` | 26/35 | 5/30 | 6/20 | 0/15 | ProKidney Corp. | 🔀 SQUEEZE WATCH | | 8 | \*\*INR\*\* | 36/100 \`████░░░░░░\` | 11/35 | 2/30 | 8/20 | 15/15 | Infinity Natural Res | 👀 WATCH | | 9 | \*\*HUBC\*\* | 35/100 \`████░░░░░░\` | 20/35 | 2/30 | 8/20 | 5/15 | Hub Cyber Security L | 🔀 SQUEEZE WATCH | | 10 | \*\*ALP\*\* | 35/100 \`████░░░░░░\` | 5/35 | 20/30 | 10/20 | 0/15 | Alpha Compute Corp | 👀 WATCH |
your scare tactics worked for us of course saying shit about the merger...just keep scaring weak hands into selling while the big guys buy blocks and me buy it up. Beacause there are not many shares left to buy...LOL.......🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️ 🚀🚀... RIG ....Transocean. and VAL..Valaris merger🚀
you have to love the turds that pass out misinformation about mergers not happening.. the only good thing they do is scare of the weak retail investors giving the rest of us a another load up point RIG 🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️ 🚀 and the big boys take that chance to load up on a shit ton of shares. of course when you buy a millions shares as a block it does not change the price much.. only weak hands day traders cause that. 🚀... RIG ....Transocean. and VAL..Valaris🚀
The dude pumps his bags every week like it’s his part time job. You can’t take these posts seriously because he’s been holding VAL whose price is pegged to the RIG price based on the upcoming merger terms, and as VAL price is ~2% ahead, the obvious move is to sell it for RIG as an arbitrage, which he hasn’t done still, which means there is no research into these holdings, they’re likely random.
I'm pretty sure I learned about him through you! I subscribed after reading a few free articles. I need to still find some more energy (oil) names. AETUF was a big one for me and it got bought out. Now I'm holding LB, TPL, Tourmaline, VAL, and some tanker names (TEN and LPG). So you think KFS is at an attractive point here? I recall you talking about them and KINS in the best (and maybe KNSL?), but I've never followed insurance names too well.
#TLDR --- **Ticker:** VAL, NE, SDRL, CHRD (and 11 other Boomer Energy/Commodity stocks) **Direction:** Up 🛢️📈 (Assuming we avoid a deep global recession) **Prognosis:** Buy shares in companies that pull physical stuff out of the earth (Oil, Gas, Coal, Fertilizer) to farm Free Cash Flow and buybacks. **Diversification Strategy:** Absolutely zero. 15 different flavors of dinosaur juice and dirt. **Underlying Thesis:** A decade of severe underinvestment + industry consolidation = making real money *today* instead of paying sky-high premiums for tech companies that *might* be profitable in 2035.
#TLDR --- Ticker: VAL, SDRL, NE (Offshore Drillers & E&Ps) / Oil Futures Direction: Up (Parabolic) Prognosis: Long offshore drillers and mid-cap E&Ps to ride the "Unhedged Torque" super-cycle. Paper Traders Status: Absolute Shambles Geopolitical Catalyst: Hormuz bottleneck causing a violent physical supply deficit. Institutional capitulation is here.
#TLDR --- Ticker: VAL, SDRL, NE, KOS (Offshore Drillers & Mid-Cap E&Ps) Direction: Up Prognosis: Buy shares of unhedged offshore drillers to capitalize on mispriced oil futures and rising drillship day rates. Catalyst: Structural impairment of the Strait of Hormuz and a multi-year global energy supply deficit that the paper market is ignoring. Skeleton in the Closet: -74.40% on a Banned Ticker (XXX) hiding amongst the massive energy gains.
#TLDR --- Ticker: VAL, KOS, SDRL, NE (and broad Mid-Cap E&Ps / Offshore Drillers) Direction: Up Prognosis: Buy unhedged offshore drillers and hold shares until institutional money realizes the multi-year oil supply deficit is real. Catalyst: The Strait of Hormuz is functionally impaired, and paper traders are delusionally pricing in a quick resolution to Middle East conflicts. Bonus Flex: OP is up +85% overall while casually holding a -74.40% bag on a banned ticker.
#TLDR --- Ticker: VAL, SDRL, NE, KOS (Offshore Drillers & Mid-Cap E&Ps) Direction: Up (Bullish on Oil & Offshore Assets) Prognosis: Buy unhedged offshore drillers and mid-cap E&Ps. Wait for the institutional market to realize the oil curve's back end is severely underpriced and violently re-rate it. Catalyst: The Strait of Hormuz is functionally shuttered and paper traders are delusional to price in a quick diplomatic resolution. Biggest Bag: OP is casually sitting on a -74.40% loss on a "Banned Ticker" while flexing a +50% overall portfolio gain.
#TLDR --- Ticker: VAL, KOS, SDRL, NE (Offshore Drillers & Mid-cap E&Ps) Direction: Up Prognosis: Buy offshore drillers and mid-cap E&Ps with unhedged oil exposure. The paper market is delusional, pricing in a quick resolution to Middle East conflicts and a magical reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Go long and wait for institutional money to capitulate to the reality of a multi-year structural supply deficit. Catalyst: The Strait of Hormuz is effectively shuttered, and the back end of the oil curve is in deep, unjustifiable backwardation. Buzzword of the Day: "Unhedged Torque" Humble Pie: Printing cash on drillers (+50% overall), but taking an absolute -74% beating on NFE just to keep the ego in check.
I backtested like crazy when I first was on a paper account, I kept hitting consistent profits at like \~30% also scalp, not holding the positions for over 5-10mins.I also have a mentor who's been doing this for a lot longer than I have and he's been very profitable. I use the 9/21 EMA and Levels primarily with a VRVP with VAL VAH and POC to enter my trades. I think its primarily a discipline issue but I might trade another instrument
CVX, VAL, COP turning red
In the Futures market after hours, all it did was go back to a high volume pivot. The VAL for the day’s session. It does that. We’ll see what Asia and Europe paint Sunday night - Monday morning.
There has been these last 2 week various stock acquisitions by various large entities of 6 digit stock figures right after the shorts make their moves to suppress 🛢RIG🛢 especially after 1. The MERGER between RIG and VAL.... 2. Energy⚡️ Enthusiast Berkshire CEO Greg Abel sniffing around 🛢RIG🛢Transocean🚀 ....don't believe me just google it and do you research..--->🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️
Start your engines for this morning race and check the--->🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️ happening soon..MERGER with over 6 Billion in back log contracts 🚀... RIG ....Transocean. and VAL..Valaris 🚀 ...2 of the biggest oil drillers in the world happening soon
MERGER of the 2 biggest drillers --->🛢OIL🛢<-- = energy⚡️ happening soon.. back log of contracts 🚀... RIG ....Transocean. and VAL..Valaris 🚀
MERGER on---->🛢OIL🛢<--is energy⚡️ happening soon 🚀... RIG ....Transocean. and VAL..Valaris🚀
🛢OIL🛢 world wide ocean drilling 🛢🚀 RIG ...Transocean Ltd 🛢🚀 bought Valaris..VAL for a merger
92% insider buying in March on RIG before the merger with Valaris..VAL🛢OIL🛢 ocean drilling 🛢🚀 RIG ...Transocean Ltd
THIS---> will not hold at this low level for too long ocean oil with prices climing....--Merger happening--- (RIG buying VAL)...Drill baby Drill🛢73 high tech OIL rigs and 33 ultra deep water drill ships to RIG massive fleet controlling the (Worlds Oceans) OIL sea drilling🛢🛢🚀. Friday Canada closed a contract for o e of the rigs off the coast off Canada.. Transatlantic rigs are getting book very fast specially with this energy oil war
Oil supply routes and oil shipment being cut of in Straight Hormuz, Saudi Arabia oil refinery being shut down cause of a drone attack fire and oil prices going up🛢🛢. Well well it is time to get in on the safer oil specially after this massive -> merger <- between the 2 biggest ocean oil rig companies in the world with the biggest oil rig fleet now 🛢🛢🚀..( RIG and VAL ) ..Back log of many oil contracts...safe from geopolitics and wars..... The red scare week is over🛢🚀RIG
Oh -> oil supply routes and oil shipment being cut of in Straight Hormuz, Saudi Arabia oil refinery being shut down cause of a drone attack fire and oil prices going up🛢🛢. Well well it is time to get in on the safer oil specially after this massive -> merger <- between the 2 biggests ocean oil rig companies in the world with the biggest oil rig fleet now 🛢🛢🚀..( RIG and VAL ) .... power minute is coming.. The red scare week is over and the chart is showing the run.. POWER MINUTE is coming up 🛢🚀.RIG
and there it is the little hint on the chart and volume from the merger of RIG and VAL ...Drill baby Drill🛢
THIS---> will not hold at this low level too long just during these red days cause of fear....--Merger happening--- (RIG and VAL)...Drill baby Drill🛢73 high tech OIL rigs and 33 ultra deep water drill ships to RIG massive fleet controlling the (Worlds Oceans) OIL sea drilling🛢🛢🚀. Just like SOUN and no one believed me when it took off and I was preaching like crazy about it...
---Merger happening--- (RIG and VAL)...Drill baby Drill🛢....Time to buy in safer offshore oil drilling especially now... #1 sea oil driller Transocean Ltd ..stock RIG.. is mergin with #2 oil driller Valaris.. VAL... adding 73 high tech OIL rigs and 33 ultra Deepwater drill ships to RIG massive fleet controlling the (Worlds Oceans) OIL sea drilling. Closed on various contracts like Brazil and most likely Venezuela offshore massive back log of future contracts for oil and safer from Geopolitics or Wars.. 🛢RIG🛢
Drill baby Drill🛢🍺....Time to buy in safer offshore oil drilling especially now... #1 sea oil driller Transocean Ltd ..stock RIG.. is MERGIN with #2 oil driller Valaris.. VAL... adding 73 high tech OIL rigs and 33 ultra Deepwater drill ships to RIG massive fleet controlling the (Worlds Oceans) OIL sea drilling. Closed on various contracts like Brazil and most likely Venezuela offshore 🛢🚀 massive back log of future contracts for oil and safer from Geopolitics or Wars.. 🛢RIG🛢
guess is time to buy in safer offshore oil drilling especially now... #1 sea oil driller Transocean Ltd ..stock RIG.. is merging with #2 oil driller Valaris.. VAL... adding 73 high tech OIL rigs and 33 ultra Deepwater drill ships to RIG massive fleet controlling the (Worlds Oceans) OIL sea drilling. Closed on various contracts like Brazil and most likely Venezuela offshore 🛢 🛢🚀 massive back log of future contracts for oil and safer for Geopolitics or Wars.. 🛢RIG🛢
# u/1 sea oil driller Transocean Ltd ..stock RIG.. is merging with #2 oil driller Valaris.. VAL... adding 73 high tech OIL rigs and 33 ultra Deepwater drill ships to RIG massive fleet controlling the (Worlds Oceans) now in OIL sea drilling. Closed on various contracts like Brazil and most likely Venezuela offshore 🛢 🛢🛢🚀 massive back log of future contracts for oil and safe from Geopolotics
guess is time to buy in offshore oil drilling especially now... #1 sea oil driller Transocean Ltd ..stock RIG.. is merging with #2 oil driller Valaris.. VAL... adding 73 high tech OIL rigs and 33 ultra Deepwater drill ships to RIG massive fleet controlling the (Worlds Oceans) now in OIL sea drilling. Closed on various contracts like Brazil and most likely Venezuela offshore 🛢 🛢🛢🚀 massive back log of future contracts for oil and safer for Geopolitics
#1 sea oil driller Transocean Ltd ..stock RIG.. is merging with #2 oil driller Valaris.. VAL... adding 73 high tech OIL rigs and 33 ultra Deepwater drill ships to RIG massive fleet controlling the (Worlds Oceans) now in OIL sea drilling. Closed on various contracts like Brazil and most likely Venezuela offshore 🛢 🛢🛢🚀 massive back log of future contracts for oil.
# #1 driller Transocean Ltd ... RIG.. is merging with #2 driller Valaris.. VAL... 73 high tech OIL rigs fleet added to RIG and control of the (worlds Oceans) OIL drilling
Watchlist up \~12% in 10 days. Big movers (>10%): [$FTI](https://x.com/search?q=%24FTI&src=cashtag_click) [$SBMO](https://x.com/search?q=%24SBMO&src=cashtag_click) [$BKR](https://x.com/search?q=%24BKR&src=cashtag_click) [$TS](https://x.com/search?q=%24TS&src=cashtag_click) [$RIG](https://x.com/search?q=%24RIG&src=cashtag_click) [$VAL](https://x.com/search?q=%24VAL&src=cashtag_click) [$TDW](https://x.com/search?q=%24TDW&src=cashtag_click) [$NE](https://x.com/search?q=%24NE&src=cashtag_click).
IMO VAL isn't a useful earnings play, look at the chart after the acquisition was announced... RIG on the other hand maybe.
VAL is under acquisition, resulting in the extended price right now. As a result, it's too hard to guess how earnings will play, and likely priced in due to the pending sale.
What do you think of VAL? I agree on LMND
Sold all my VAL for 89% gain (I bought January 2025) and my CROX for break-even (bought between 2023-4). I clearly got the CROX thesis wrong and the growth has remained much worse than I hoped.
What effect would VAL holders getting RIG shares have on the value of RIG in the long term
I remember a year ago there was this dude who purchased a shit ton of $VAL with his Wendy's salary. He must be smiling today if he didn't have paper hands.
Nice small win on VAL after prospective acquisition from RIG. I have shares at $46
Transocean to but valaris (VAL) in all stock deal. VAL up 20% on the news. Looks good for offshore broadly as we're seeing some value get recognized. Did not have this one in the cards.
VAL , Valterra, platinum mines have hardly moved compared to the PT price
There's some really good long form write-ups on Substack if you want to learn about the industry and the players. I'm long NE. They pay a dividend, but I own it in a tax advantaged account so I'm fine with that. Helps if I have to hold a year or two before I see other gains. They recently did an acquisition so there's not much chance of another, which I like. Management is highly regarded, so there's less downside risk, but probably lower upside (though I still think 3-4x is reasonable over the cycle ). VAL is popular, but there's a big risk right now of management making a.stupid acquisition instead of buying back shares. If not, it's probably got more upside than NE. RIG, SOC are so e other popular names. Any good writer will cover a breadth of the names.
Offshore drillers: $RIG, $VAL Uranium miners.
VAL earnings: Financial and Operational Highlights Total operating revenues of $615 million, with revenue efficiency of 96%; Net income of $114 million; Adjusted EBITDA of $201 million; Cash from operating activities of $120 million and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $63 million; Strong safety performance, including no Lost Time Incidents (LTI) through the first half of 2025; Secured over $1.0 billion of new contract backlog since April's fleet status report, including attractive contract awards for 7th generation drillships VALARIS DS-15, DS-16 and DS-18, increasing total backlog to approximately $4.7 billion; and Agreed to sell jackup VALARIS 247 for cash proceeds of approximately $108 million. Also, rumors continue that VAL might try to make an acquisition, which is why they halted buybacks. It's also why I switched to holding NE recently.
Offshore oil production is where most growth is coming from currently (I own some $VAL)
VAL got two more contracts announced? I'm surprised I'm finally in the green on it.
Not sure why, but offshore drillers are having a fantastic day. NE, VAL, TDW, RIG.
Solid foundation with the S&P 500 For a 20-30 year timeline, I’d build a ‘barbell strategy’ using just three funds from your options: 1. SP 500 INDEX (50%)– Keeps your core large-cap exposure. 2. SP MID CAP IDX CL F (30%)– Mid-caps historically outperform long-term (+9.5% annualized vs. S&P’s 7.5% since 1992). This is your upside engine. 3. MGL SM CAP VAL INST (20%)– Small-cap value is the ultimate recession hedge (outperformed S&P by 18% during 2000-2002 and 2008 downturns*). Why this works: - Growth + Defense Mid-caps chase growth while small-cap value stabilizes volatility. - Automatic Rebalancing Your 401(k) contributions will naturally buy more of the underperforming assets over time (dollar-cost averaging on steroids). Pro tip: Set quarterly reminders to rebalance back to these ratios—it forces you to ‘buy low’ systematically. (Note: Avoid the ‘blue chip growth’ funds—they overlap heavily with your S&P 500 base and charge higher fees.)
Yes. Also they did an acquisition recently so are less likely to do another. VAL is on the perspective list to buy something. That said, in a taxable account I'd go with VAL because it probably has higher price upside.
Rolled my VAL into NE for what its worth. Better management and owning it in my ROTH I don't get hit by taxes on the dividend. Still think either is a great play.
EIA projecting US crude oil production to fall in 2026, the first time since 2021, and ignoring Covid impacts, since 2016 and then 2008. [Wood Mackenzie today is predicting](https://i.imgur.com/JSTMtCJ.png) slight growth, but that the majority of it is going to come from offshore oil production in the Gulf of Mexico. This year, half the growth from offshore, next year, all of it. [Article on offshore](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-10/trump-s-energy-dominance-push-helped-by-gulf-oil-output-revival?srnd=phx-industries-energy) from Bloomberg, and [article on EIA prediction](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-10/us-sees-oil-output-falling-in-2026-in-blow-to-trump-s-agenda?srnd=homepage-americas) here. We've dropped 50 oil rigs in 2 months. Steel/aluminum tariffs at 50% now. Price stuck in the mid $60s. OPEC bringing back barrels. Recipe for disaster in the shale patch. Have had a starter position in VAL that I'm basically break-even on today. Slightly more bullish on these news.
PHAT. Going back to $18 quick now that the FDA cleared up the exclusivity period. DOW. Going back to $50 this year. VAL. I see $70 in short order.
VAL and SDRL should double within 12 months
ASTS earnings thoughts? Calls way too expensive, I bought shares in 401k. Also bought tons of SDRL shares - look at the action on VAL, NE, and TDW this week post earnings. Calls were pretty cheap too. June 20 $20c were 4.40 when the stock was at 23.95. Won’t be a 10 bagger though
>How serious in relative terms do you think this downturn is going to be? No idea. Oil is so cheap we're seeing production come offline. That's usually a sign that a bottom is near. Personally, I'm in the offshore drillers (VAL, but there's others). Offshore tends to have very low break even prices and the drillers are trading below NAV. There's a lot of good work online about the sector. Harrison Kupperman did a great fund letter about offshore a quarter or two ago. Great reading.
Valaris Limited (NYSE:VAL) ("Valaris" or the "Company") announced today that it has been awarded a five-well contract offshore West Africa for drillship VALARIS DS-15. The contract is expected to commence in the third quarter 2026. The total contract value, based on an estimated duration of 250 days, is approximately $135 million, including upfront payments for rig upgrades and mobilization. The total contract value does not include the provision of additional services. The contract includes priced options for up to five wells with an estimated total duration of 80 to 100 days.
Both NE and VAL reported strong bookings in offshore and increasing revenues. Both are trading at or below 7x earnings. VAL is shredding their share count, NE is paying a 10% dividend. As terrible as oil is doing, offshore is actually holding up well. If there's another run-up in oil (let's be real, probably at least 2026 on that now) these names will explode.
Hate it when Yahoo Finance glitches with the percent gains/losses. It has this bug where if I say am down $115 on a stock, it will show -11.5%. And in this market, that's completely possible. Also LOL at crude oil in the $58. Granted I have some portfolio bets that would very much gain from higher energy prices (VAL, XOM, BTU), but at the same time, this is negatively impacting all the actors that deserve nothing better: OPEC, Russia, MAGA oil bros who vilified Biden, Iran. (Sorry if I've offended any warm water port enjoyers). This is not just because a bad GDP print, btw. [Saudi Arabia said today it's giving up on supply cuts](https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/saudi-arabia-signals-it-can-live-with-lower-oil-prices-sources-say-2025-04-30/). This is 100% a lie, that sid--they need $90 to balance their budget and they are spending like crazy. This is real Art of the Deal negotiations to degrade the economies of other OPEC cheaters + shale.
I read a fair amount on my research for the field. Ended up with VAL, but there's several interesting names. I'm actually rooting for some low oil prices for awhile to take production off line. It just cools the spring further in the rebound. Harrison Kupperman (Kuppy) did some good writing on the subject.
I would love it if you could tell me! Ha! I have VAL and RIG
Added VAL at $30. Energy is oversold.
# **TLDR** --- **Ticker:** MP Materials (MP), UUUU, LAC, ABAT, VAL (and others) **Direction:** Up **Prognosis:** Buy calls on the above tickers, focusing on domestic US mining and refining of critical minerals. This is a long-term play, tied to the current US administration's policies. **Portfolio Value:** ~$500k **Important Note:** This is highly speculative and concentrated in a single sector. DYOR!
# **TLDR** --- **Ticker:** MP Materials (MP), UUUU, LAC, ABAT, VAL (and others) **Direction:** Up **Prognosis:** Long positions in US-based mining, refining, and processing of critical minerals and metals; leverage used. Focus on companies with government contracts, strong institutional backing, and those positioned to benefit from the trade war. **Portfolio Value:** $500,000 (excluding HSA) **Additional Note:** Author anticipates continued government actions to bolster domestic supply chains and views current market sentiment as a misunderstanding of the emerging sector rotation. **Funny Note:** Author's portfolio looks like a shopping list for a post-apocalyptic survival kit.
TDW and other offshore are very cyclical. I've been building a position in VAL. NE another interesting name. There's some really good value write ups on the sector if you browse Substack.
Valaris (VAL) said Monday it has been awarded a two-year contract offshore West Africa for its drillship Valaris DS-10, with a total contract value for the firm term of $352 million. The contract is set to start late in Q2 or in Q3 2026, Valaris said. The contract value doesn't include the provision of additional services, the company said. It also said the contract includes two unpriced options, each with a one-year duration.
>Bought some VAL because offshore drilling is set to have a great 2026. Is it? If global oil demand falls off a cliff due to a major economic downturn, and Saudi continues with their planned output cuts, the price of oil will drop below $60 a barrel which would put tons of US producers out of business.
Bought some VAL because offshore drilling is set to have a great 2026. Bought UFPT because it's reasonably priced. AMTM LEAPs because it's silly cheap after it's spin off.
I’ve been burned on offshore many times so would also echo advice here to tread carefully. If you’re into this sector thematically also look at VAL TDW RIG and some servicing like SLB and HAL
Pracap writes about this regularly (more VAL) but this is included. John Fredriksen has upped his stake in VAL to 9% and I think the Maersk family recently filed close to 20% on Noble. Thesis is market value is trading at a tiny fraction of replacement rates so no new ships. The rates required to stimulate new ship builds would see existing players earn obscene returns for a few years before competition can come online (at levels where divies are greater than the share price). When you have zero supply for a long period of time then any short demand shock for whatever reason will see enormous inflecting. Might take some while so need companies with the balance sheets to allow them to be patient.
Wow, NBIS down 55% off the recent highs. Still moderately interesting at $20, but it's still kinda popular. THRY now below $13.50. I'm really liking the risk reward here. We're getting closer to 1x SaaS revenue plus the remaining cash flow from their print business. Have to redo my math over the weekend. I've been buying VAL, but leaving a lot of room to buy more. The offshore names are too cheap and with insider buying and contract renewal pending I'm happy to just wait. Plus the whole oil is too cheap for the Permian thing. I still think we see a lot of selling in big tech/over owned names as the world pulls back from US markets.
Ok real talk guys. Bears give me your input. I’m very bearish, loaded on long puts and Tslq. What names are you looking to go long on, and when? I’ve dabbled in GOOGL and some offshore oil services (VAL/TDW) obviously most tech is nowhere near buy prices and I’m not interested in 5% dividend stocks. VAL and TDW are my highest conviction longs, 5% total size together. Target is +100% in 3 years or less.
I have something in my 401k Portfolio called "MELLON STABLE VAL M" that I don't seem to be able to do anything with. It isn't much, but it seems to have a value of $1/unit but it never changes and has no growth. It's just a static value of X dollars. I can't seem to trade that value or move that value anywhere. It's just a bunch of money that's just sitting there doing nothing. Any thoughts on what this is or how to manipulate it so that it's more useful?
Looks like the VAL earnings report might be the spark under offshore....TDW also up pre market.
> The mods removed it for "no spam or self promotion" for some reason, oh well, guess I'll just keep my thoughts to myself. It was the Twitter link. Preliminary thoughts: Based on the neural net data I've been perusing over the summer, I believe Permian shale production is going to roll over in 2025/2026. The massive increase in tight oil in the last decade has primarily come from drilling the most productive wells in Tier 1 regions - "high-grading" in industry parlance - and frontloading the gains. If my thesis is correct and high-grading was the driving force, we should see the Permian decline in a similar way to Eagle Ford and Bakken between now and 2030. Considering 90% of all non-OPEC production growth since 2015 has come solely from this region, it will reverse the dearth of capex in the oil & gas industry. "Capital discipline" and offshore investment are antithetical - no company will invest billions into a drilling rig that takes decades to pay off unless they believe oil prices will have a higher floor than current prices. We've seen the majors rely on M&A and partnerships in foreign countries instead of dedicating their own capital to projects. If the specter of tight supply gains a foothold in futures, offshoring becomes economically feasible again. On a company-by-company basis, VAL and RIG are dead in the water (pun intended). TDW and NE are the top choices. With a supply crunch in ships looming on the horizon, I slightly prefer TDW as the play on this subsector.
VAL is putting val in value stock. Going to rocket to 65. Doesn’t get any cheaper than it is. Buffet is looking for good company’s with sound financials, so should we.
All on VAL. Just hit its low, and trends show it always climbs back up to 70, company numbers and strong. Thank me later 🚀
Not a scam you just have to size down really hard and take advantage of volatility I trade mean reversion strategy try to get involved in the VAH and I get out at VAL when I lose I stop I am funded 6 accounts and have over 2k on each I literally make 50-100 sometimes I make the big 500-800 but thats how you trade it otherwise you are just resetting 24/7
Little late on the comment here, but imo, the debt is a feature, not a bug. It provides volatility/torque to the upside and to the downside. Especially given the stock will get a massive rerate to the upside on rate cuts and/or higher oil prices. VAL and BORR baggies will be wondering why they were left in the dust. If I'm RIG management, I'm not substantially paying down debt (they can't really do that anyways until 2025 at current projections) until the equity actually prices the rigs at EV, not at the 1/2 of EV or so, a substantial discount (and one of the drivers to a PT above $30) of equity valuation. Which speaking of stock, luckily for us, equity valuations does not incentivize company management to consider newbuilds until dayrates are above $700kish, and a stock price will be easily higher than $20, if not near $40 bucks. So, new builds ain't on the menu.
So to be specific, I am talking about offshore oil services companies like VAL and RIG and frackers. And I only like them during the early days of his presidency. I agree Trump may be bad for the price of oil (assuming he doesn’t start a war), but that will come on the back of a lot of drilling (both on and offshore). RIG almost doubled during the first months of his 2016 election.
//Rate my portfolio //Canadian investor //Age 53 //Target retirement age 58 //75/25 asset allocation //Canadian Stocks - //XIC - 10% //US Total Stock Market - //VTI - 40% //US SML CAP VAL - //AVUV - 10% //International stocks - //VXC - 15% //Portfolio Stocks = 75% //Canadian Bonds - ZAG - 25% //Portfolio Bonds = 25%
Where is OIL BULL guy? I need to know if he's in VAL
I will give you my experience here. I lost most of my capital in a lot of investing ways but i finally landed at investment platform called [VAL](https://val-investment.com) i invested 5k and i get paid 2k monthly returns ,they are great they talk to me any time the monthly withdrawals never been late. You should take a look and good luck.
6 leg parlay Seahawks spread, Jags ML,heat spread,( the fucking loser)Missouri ML, UNCG ML, and VAL spread
I don’t know. That’s not really my game. If you want growth, I think XBI and CIBR are good ways to play it. Unlike the FAANG, many cybersecurity names are still generating massive top line growth and the secular tailwinds are strong. I’m primarily a capital cycle investor. I like to buy really cheap stuff in sectors that have been starved of capital. Usually with the commodity prices near or below the marginal cost of production. Oil is an obvious play and should be bought aggressively on this pullback iMO. If you want risk and torque, look at the services stocks (VAL, NE). The Colombian and Canadian stocks are really cheap on a relative basis. Uranium, Tin and North American steel companies are also very interesting to my eye. I am heavily invested. ASTL is almost impossibly cheap. I also am looking to buy Europe at some point this winter. BASF, VW and Vonovia all super cheap.
XLE, even after the dip, is up 44% this year Some of the smaller cap O&G stocks were not that risky and have doubled. For example, TDW is up 161% YTD with a 1.5B market cap. Other OFS stocks like VAL and NE have also done well, but not as well as TDW.
Nice news today on possible 1st vaccine for Lyme: * Phase 3 [showing persistent elevated antibodies at 6 months](https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2022/12/01/2565538/0/en/Valneva-and-Pfizer-Report-Six-Month-Antibody-Persistence-Data-in-Children-and-Adults-for-Lyme-Disease-Vaccine-Candidate.html) * Valneva ($VALN IN USA, or $VAL in Europe) up 6% at moment, partner Pfizer ($PFE) up 1%