FRED
First Convicted Raccon Fred
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The FIAT Money was Design for Debasement your Purchasing Power 💡
Predict BTCUSD prices based on net market liquidity
Trading Resources for Traders & Investors from r/CryptoCurrency
Adjust for Money Supply - This Crypto Cycle Correlated to 2019 Perfectly
Your One Stop Dashborad for Economic Conditions and How Not to Guess but Actually Know What Interest Rates Markets are Expecting.
[Serious] How many of you actually understand Inflation?
House Price Index for the United States Priced in Bitcoin (FRED Data)
The US money supply did not increase 400 percent the last few years. Please stop making this claim.
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Just fyi, not fud, but if you want to adjust for both inflation and relative dollar value, the symbol in tradingview is CRYPTO:BTCUSD*(TVC:DXY/99.642)*(FRED:CUUR0000SA0R/31.2) Change the 99.642 to whatever DXY is today, and the 31.2 to whatever the cpi is. This important, IMHO, bc the actual adjusted ath is about 121,340.
well, I looked up FRED m2 [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL) roughly 4 trillion, and 500 billion to answer my question if only counting m2
You will have the opportunity to buy. The American M2 is expanding because while waiting for the new agreement in Congress on the new spending ceiling limit, FRED is using two financial reserves. When the deal is closed and FRED starts to be able to issue bonds, this M2 will be sucking like a sponge and will throw BTC down again
I got the numbers from the graphs of FRED and tried to get the estimated values as of January, 2009 when the block chain started. For example, here is the link for M2: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL That has $8289.4 billion as the M2 supply for Jan 2009, so rounded to 830,000,000,000,000 cents, and did the same for the other supplies as well.
They're only going to print more. This is pretty much 100% why I am bullish on Bitcoin. If you want to see something hilarious and down-right disturbing, take a look at this (click time "All", and then click "chart"): [Historical Debt Outstanding | U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data](https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/historical-debt-outstanding/historical-debt-outstanding). You can make out easily where the government stopped the Bretton Woods system. Now look at the 80-year trend on M2 money supply: [M2 (M2SL) | FRED | St. Louis Fed](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL) The government is basically a junky in heat - forced to print more and more money in order to finance its ever-growing shopping addiction. Forget the idiotic meme "1btc = 1btc". How do real people in the world value Bitcoin? In USD. What happens when you take a fixed asset, with growing demand, and value it in something that is depreciating exponentially relative to it? The expression "Literally can't go tits up" comes to mind. The only thing in my mind that poses a real threat to Bitcoin's dominance and growth is the potential for an ETF hack. Even then, Bitcoin likely wouldn't die - but it would get set back massively. All of the above is why - to me - Bitcoin is the single greatest investing opportunity that I believe any of us will ever see in our lives.
Thank you, fellow Redditor. Actually simultaneously found FRED here on Reddit, via screens in this awesome post: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/s/cL0otMjbdg Another evidence that sometimes browsing reddit directly is more valuable than going to Google.
You can check these. [M2 Money Supply (FRED)](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL) [Trading Economics - US M2](https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/money-supply-m2)
Everyone buy $FRED thank me later
Go for something that is low cap and still trending...like $POU - New pet meme - 2 Million $FLOWER - AI trading bot - 20 Million $FRED - Binance listing soon - 100 Million All these are on solana and are between 2 Million to 100 Million market cap
Yes, unless recession hits first. Inverted yield curve disinverting has a tendency to create financial stress. It's related to the fact that banks make money by doing mortgages/loans on the long end and borrow their money on the short end. Somehow, through the black box of the financial system, there is a buildup of pressure that leads to recessions when we come out of the 10y - 3m inversion. We've just got to watch the Initial Jobless Claims and FRED Financial Stress metrics. High yield credit spreads are very low. Chance that a recession is starting today is negligible. Nothing I'm seeing points to a recession soon, so we're fine. But this needs to be reassessed in 6 months, 9 months, and a year. As long as recession isn't happening, crypto continues to grind up until we reach Pi Cycle Top day
$SSSSS $SnakeWifHat is looking really strong today. Seems to have good community on Reddit. Might be the next $FRED
This PNUT and FRED thing is insane
What the heck is FRED can someone give me the deets. I see something called Freddo on coin marketcap, is it that one?
Anyone else unable to buy PNUT or FRED via Coinbase? The buy buttons just aren't showing up
If you guys arent using the Moonshot app to mess with some of these low cap meme coins…i highly suggest doing so FRED is up 1,000,000% since Nov 2nd I bought RIZO on Moonshot yesterday because it was one of the smallest caps, I was up 1000% earlier today…freakin nuts!! Im hoping RIZO becomes a new meme sensation lol its only 6M MC at the moment. But there are sole crazy meme coins on Moonshot. PNUT?! It has a 1.6B MC!! Crazy
Unemployment has literally been trending up for the past few months if you look at [FRED data](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE). And it’s only going to trend up more rapidly the further along we get into this upcoming crash, as you can see for the past several recessions
Hmmm FRED says that M2 has declined in supply over the past 2 years? Its good of you to acknowledge that the recent inflation is nothing to do with the supply of money and everything to do with the war and Covid, in which case a fixed supply currency wouldn't have fared any better. Is your business in Crypto? Can you tell me what real-world problems it solves?
That is a very strange take to claim that government induced inflation is a conspiracy theory. I'd be more concerned about knowing where that idea comes from and what her sources for that take are. It smells as if she has a person or a group of people who she believes more readily rather than what is fairly common knowledge. In the best case that person might just have a buttcoiner as their spirit animal. In the worst case they could be actively gaslighting her or trying to drive a wedge between the two of you. Either way, until then each solid argument - like the FRED data should have been - will be met with another bogus counter claim. I bet she also believes that grocery inflation is only caused by greedy corporations which is provably false too, but alas, is exactly the line the oh so trusted government took until it became obvious that they were just scapegoating. Good luck finding an official government statement, sealed and hand delivered by the president.
Criminals always use the best technologies. The first cars were used as get away cars after bank robbery. Doesn’t make the cars “bad”. It’s just a neutral tool. A powerful tool. A knife can be good or bad depending on the hand holding it. As for “official” money printing. FRED is official data from the Federal Reserve.
FRED is the federal reserve. It is the phukking government.
They are taking in 3 times more federal tax revenue than they did in 2000 (per FRED). Revenue isn’t the problem.
Yep. Here's the FRED chart on steak. It was just over $8.50 lb during the Trump years. Currently averaging $11.50 lb. That's definitely more than 3% inflation a year. It's about 9%, by the government's own data... and keep in mind that they get to pick their own basket of goods, so they're not calculating in the more expensive prices. They pick the lowest, to make their number look better. Most people have no clue how CPI is calculated. Steaks in my area are at least 50% more. If I get the really expensive cuts, they're probably closer to 200% higher. [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703613](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703613)
There's literally a video in my reply that proves this out. Is everything up the same amount? No! Are eggs up considerably more? Absolutely... and definitely more than 12%. Are steaks? Easily 100% where I live. But even 20% disproves your point. Were the steaks you're buying now for $10 a pound only a combined total of 12% less 4 years ago?! There's no freaking way that's true, in any state. A simple Google search would prove this out for you. You asked for REAL evidence ( because somehow a reorder at a grocery store is anecdotal? :D ) ? Here's an actual FRED chart (Federal Reserve Economic Data) showing eggs are up 85%! Just stop dude. [https://twitter.com/kashyap286/status/1811670523836821597](https://twitter.com/kashyap286/status/1811670523836821597)
Bitcoin has no rules or guidelines when it comes to fiat valuation. It's just Bitcoin and it follows the white paper and community changes over time. If you want to see how it's performed against the money printer, in TradingView you can type in CRYPTO:BTCUSD/FRED:M1SL to see its entire history. Depending on what country you live in, you most likely can beat inflation with any asset that outperforms around 8% year over year on a regular basis. If you can do that over the long haul, then you're not just preserving capital, you are appreciating it
They have two options, crash the system or lower the rates, which do you think they would rather be responsible for? [https://www.tradingview.com/chart/qtSKD3H5/?symbol=FRED%3AFEDFUNDS](https://www.tradingview.com/chart/qtSKD3H5/?symbol=FRED%3AFEDFUNDS)
I think the better argument in the US anyway is not that *unemployment* is under-reported, but that meaningful *employment* is over-reported. Gig economy, contractor, and low paying jobs are taking over, and the real median income has taken a huge hit over the past 5 years as a result (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N). The past 2 years of data are not available from FRED yet but piecemeal reports have shown the trend has only continued down. Basically, unemployment is down but people are making less money.
Is that still not true? “Since 2020, the US has printed nearly 80% of ALL US Dollars in circulation. “ https://x.com/kobeissiletter?s=21 They seem pretty data driven, graphs from FRED
[Average Price: Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average/Coinbase Bitcoin*100000000 | FRED | St. Louis Fed](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=PUbY#)
People need to understand macroeconomics. Nothing is gonna move much until interest rates come down. The last bull rallies were when interest rates were low. 2017 Rates were near 0 2021 rates were near 0 TODAY rates are 5.33% [Federal Funds Effective Rate (DFF) | FRED | St. Louis Fed (stlouisfed.org)](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFF)
That FRED data isn't what you think it is. If you look at the description, it says: > The Board of Governors consolidated this series onto the Statistical Release H.6, "Money Stock Measures", after the H.3 statistical release was discontinued. For more information on the consolidated H.6 release, see the [H.6 Technical Q&As](https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/h6_technical_qa.htm). > This series is a sum of total reserve balances maintained plus vault cash used to satisfy required reserves. You're focusing on the second paragraph, which was the original description, which is now deprecated. If you look at the info for H.6: > 4. What H.3 release items have been zero since the elimination of reserve requirements? When did these items first go to zero? **> A.** The following H.3 release items have been zero beginning with the two weeks ending April 8, 2020: * Reserves, required (table 2) * Vault cash, used to satisfy required reserves (table 2) # These are zero now. See the latest up-to-date figures (still zero) here: [https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/files/bcreg20231127a1.pdf](https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/files/bcreg20231127a1.pdf)
If only there were public and regularly updated charts from FRED on this!
This shows exactly why I'm worried about our economy and think bitcoin is a good alternative to fiat. I don't know much about these charts from FRED, is this one they generate automatically or did you create it somehow?
Look at the 1980s in the U.S. where the relationship between M2 money supply and inflation broke down. This is publicly available on FRED. Numerous papers on this topic.
Bitcoin's lowest price is set by the cost to make one. The cost to make a Bitcoin is based on the network hashrate and Halvings. We can reasonably project that the hashrate will increase at least 20%/year for 20y and the Halving effect will increase cost by 20%/year. At 40%/year CAGR and $30k/Bitcoin present value, the price of Bitcoin should reach ~$10 million. Another way to think about it would be: If it takes $27million daily inflows to keep a stable $30k price against 900BTC daily outflows, if the amount of inflows quadruples (rate of M2 growth according to FRED), but the outflows reduce to 38BTC daily outflows by 2044, Bitcoin should reach at least $4million. Halvings actually happen a tiny bit faster than every 4 years, so it's likely that we get 6 Halvings instead of 5, putting $8million each by 2044 at fair value. Within 6 Halvings, 0.1 BTC is an entire Block Reward.
Lol, it doesn't matter if you can't trade a house for bitcoin. Can you trade dollars for a house? ✅️ Can you trade dollars for a bitcoin? ✅️ Simply take the median housing price index from the FRED database, and normalize it using the BTC index from your favorite exchange. In math terms: (USD / Median House) / (USD / BTC) => (USD / Median House) * (BTC / USD) => (BTC / Median House) * (USD / USD) => BTC / Median House * 1. And just like, we've trivially eliminated USD. We can do this because both houses and bitcoin have liquid-enough markets and both can be readily-traded for USD, making de-facto houses for bitcoin trades possible.
Median selling price in Q4 2022 was 479k. Median selling price in Q4 2023 417k this is FRED data. So I'm not sure where you're getting your data but id be taking a state farm discount double check mate.
If all one cares about is the price in fiat, they are completely missing the point. It's about owning a foundational asset class that cannot be diluted. Show these knuckleheads a chart of the FRED money supply over the last decade. The Fed thinks it can print its way out of debt. This of course inevitably crushes fiat savers and conservative portfolios. It should not take a brainiac to understand that 0% fractional lending and unlimited money supply printing hurts fiat. Once that fact sinks in, storing wealth in **the** decentralized/trust-less yet peer-to-peer/global/semi-anonymous/limited supply yet liquid 24/7/365 asset that **cannot** be debased might..just maybe..start to make a little bit of sense for these thick skulled muggles. And to fully appreciate these benefits, you have to look at the technology in order to internalize it and develop trust in it. That's the only path to true orange-pillage.
According to FRED data (CDCABSHNO) there is still an extra 3 TRILLION USD sitting in US household and non-profit checking accounts over and above what was on deposit Q1 2020. So there is still money out there. Next time BTC gets hot I reckon 45k. Might struggle after that just due to general macro shitty conditions, but who knows? If it can break through previous ATH then 100k is not unreasonable. Inflation affects nominal value of BTC too.
The public can't tell its ass from its face. And US debt is not money supply. I know why people say it increased that much: Because FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) posts a pretty graph of its calculated M1 that shows a massive increase over Covid. But influencers just point to the graph, never mentioning the footnotes for changes to the calculation, nor their explanation of the nuances behind the numbers during Covid that FRED goes into; and why would they, it's lengthy and doesn't make for sensational content. Nuance doesn't sell). If you look at M2, a much better gauge of money supply, you'll not that it did indeed increase during Covid, but not by the same magnitude: [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL)
Fed been engaging in QT since May of 2022. The surprising thing is that Bitcoin price is going up the past 9 months in spite of the QT shown in FRED data. How long will Fed be able to keep up QT?
The biggest issue I have with some of the younger content creators who now include macro content is when they mention the fed funds rate being “high.” —as if this would be a barrier to a mania phase. I was a working adult during the Dot Com Mania. Look at the SP500 measured in the money supply. We still haven’t had a mania as large as the Dot Com Bubble. All that for websites. Company websites. Back when people didn’t buy things online. Pull up a chart. (FRED: effective federal funds rate) Check the fed funds rate from 93-99. No zirp. And yet we had a massive speculative bubble. We don’t know when another mania phase happens. AI reminds me of what the early dot com bubble felt like. I worked in San Francisco in the late 90s and the entire city was changed in a few years. But something could happen (yay fear of being paperclipped) to spook people and it never lifts off. I think the Halving is a narrative. 4 Year Cycle? Who knows. But if AI Mania ramps up, Halving happens and….let the bull rage on…
For those who don't know how FRED works, you can take any charts and combine them in different ways. For example you can take the average house price divide it by the price of bitcoin. So this isn't an official chart from the Fed, this was generated by a Bitcoiner.
now, FRED has a graph for anything uh? =)
If they aren't accurate then the real numbers are almost certainly going to make the situation look even worse as opposed to better. The numbers on the charts in FRED already paint a pretty dire picture if you understand what they mean, so the fact that they could be worse is irrelevant. The shit is going to hit the fan eventually either way.
2023 Stock Market Dates you should know I’ve also added the time! If any important dates are missing let me know and I’ll add them! Quick definitions: **FOMC**: The Federal Open Market Committee. The main monetary policy-making body of the Federal Reserve System, responsible for setting interest rates and determining the direction of monetary policy in the United States. **Interest rate decision**: The Federal Reserve interest rate decision refers to the annual target range for the federal funds rate set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which affects the cost of borrowing money in the U.S. economy. **JOLTS** The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) program produces data on job openings, hires, and separations. **CPI**: The Consumer Price Index. A measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services. **GDP Estimate**: Gross Domestic Product estimate. The monetary value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given time period, often used as a measure of a country's economic output and growth. **The Beige Book**: A report compiled by the Federal Reserve that provides anecdotal information on current economic conditions across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts. **Jobs numbers**: The statistics on the number of people employed and unemployed in a specific time period, usually released by a government agency such as the Bureau of Labor Statistics, used to gauge the health of a country's labor market. **PCE inflation rate:** The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE). It is calculated by staff at the Dallas Fed, using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Jan 31-Feb 1 FOMC meeting Feb 1 Interest rate decision 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern Feb 1 JOLTS report for December 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Feb 3 January job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Feb 4 Jerome Powell’s Birthday Feb 14 January CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Feb 22 FOMC Minutes of January 31-February 1 meeting 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern Feb 23 Q4 GDP second estimate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Feb 24 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Mar 7 Beige Book release Mar 8 JOLTS report for January 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Mar 10 February job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Mar 14 February CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Mar 21-22 FOMC meeting Mar 22 Interest rate decision 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern Mar 30 Q4 GDP final 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Mar 31 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Apr 4 JOLTS report for February 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Apr 7 March job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Apr 12 March CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Apr 18 Tax day Apr 18 Beige Book release Apr 20 4/20 Apr 27 Q1 GDP first estimate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Apr 28 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern May 2 JOLTS report for March 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern May 2-3 FOMC meeting May 3 Interest rate decision 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern May 5 April job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern May 10 April CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern May 25 Q1 GDP second estimate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern May 26 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern May 30 Beige Book release May 31 JOLTS report for April 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Jun 2 May job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Jun 13 May CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Jun 13-14 FOMC meeting Jun 14 Interest rate decision 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern Jun 19 My birthday Jun 29 Q1 GDP final 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Jun 30 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Jul 6 JOLTS report for May 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Jul 11 Beige Book release Jul 12 June CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Jul 25-26 FOMC meeting Jul 26 Interest rate decision 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern Jul 27 Q2 GDP first estimate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Jul 28 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Aug 1 JOLTS report for June 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Aug 4 July job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Aug 10 July CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Aug 29 JOLTS report for July 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Aug 30 Q2 GDP second estimate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Aug 31 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Sep 1 August job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Sep 5 Beige Book release Sep 13 August CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Sep 19-20 FOMC meeting Sep 20 Interest rate decision 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern Sep 28 Q2 GDP final 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Sep 29 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Oct 3 JOLTS report for August 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Oct 6 September job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Oct 12 September CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Oct 17 Beige Book release Oct 26 Q3 GDP first estimate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Oct 27 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Oct 31-Nov 1 FOMC meeting Nov 1 Interest rate decision 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern Nov 1 JOLTS report for September 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Nov 3 October job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Nov 5 Remember, remember… Nov 14 October CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Nov 28 Beige Book release Nov 29 Q3 GDP second estimate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Nov 30 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Dec 5 JOLTS report for October 7:00am pacific/10:00am eastern Dec 8 November job numbers 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Dec 12 November CPI 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Dec 12-13 FOMC meeting Dec 13 Interest rate decision 11:00am pacific/2:00pm eastern Dec 21 Q3 GDP final 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern Dec 22 PCE inflation rate 5:30am pacific/8:30am eastern *Sources: BLS, BEA, FRED St Louis fed, Investopedia*
hey this is cool and I was hoping someone would do this for.a long time. request. add cost of one acre of prime farmland in Bitcoin you can get the data from USDA site if not FRED. farmland sort of condenses a lot of info about inflation , ag commodities and energy into one variable and so it particularly useful.
Seems like a bunch of people who failed high school level math and economics are answering. Here’s the actual data and how it works into the big picture: [FRED table of data](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?eid=1194201&rid=20) And if you don’t know what that data means, don’t worry about the random charts people tell you to lmfao
>The central bank creates only a tiny fraction (on the order of 1%) of the total currency supply. The overwhelming majority of it is created by commercial/retail banks. Yeeeep >Go on FRED and bring up the data series of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. That'll tell you how much money the central bank printed into existence. That recent giant spike is the QE regime. Mostly treasuries, bonds, etc. These were "acquired" from the commercial bank system, and "swapped" with reserves. Some people think of reserves as "base money", but they don't leave the Fed or its member banks' balance sheets. So.. not a very useful "money" even if being generous with the definition.
>We agree commercial private banks create a lot of money too. Regarding which one is higher, we'd like to see statistics Go on FRED and bring up the data series of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. That'll tell you how much money the central bank printed into existence. Then look up M1, the most liquid currency supply. The central bank creates only a tiny fraction (on the order of 1%) of the total currency supply. The overwhelming majority of it is created by commercial/retail banks.
I can relate to this. Lol! HODL while I can. I am surely accumulating $FRED to of metarollers in their gartic game night in discord.
FRED is gonna ease his rates again and fuck up our bags
Don't be fooled into thinking rates aren't gon a have to go to as close to 5% as possible without completely obliterating the GFC. There's been a smattering of blood on the streets to date, but just wait until markets really feel the strain. Unlike USA many countries have variable rate mortgages with fixed rates only offered for 2-5 years. Anything over 3% will mean 6-8% on variable rate mortgages and that's when we'll see the 'Max Payne' until unemployment soars high enough. Just look at the FRED credit swap lines and see the bids. A lot of banks are already in big big trouble.
Whatever happens today, don't be fooled into thinking rates aren't gon a have to go to as close to 5% as possible without completely obliterating the GFC. There's been a smattering of blood on the streets to date, but just wait until markets really feel the strain. Unlike USA many countries have variable rate mortgages with fixed rates only offered for 2-5 years. Anything over 3% will mean 6-8% on variable rate mortgages and that's when we'll see the 'Max Payne' until unemployment soars high enough. Just look at the FRED credit swap lines and see the bids. A lot of banks are already in big big trouble.
I agree that the conclusions are somewhat misleading from the information presented but still there are some valuable info there which shows that we haven't been in this kind of situation for a long time FRED graph you linked does show couple of times it went negative but that was just for a brief moment and it looks non significant to the situation we see today
The only analyst I trust (like it or not) is the fucking FRED). If the want to keep raising rates for 10 more Months, then don’t expect the bear market to end any time before that. Also, big events that the war can dictate and influence this as well. Once the FED stops raising rates and decides to actually start lowering rates, then we are good.
**FRED Chart** of [The Dollar Purchasing Power Index](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0000SA0R) You know what means this Chart for your "Wealth/Savings" in FIAT Currency?💡 **Bitcoin** fights Against **Devaluation** (*CPI Inflation mechanics*) of **FIAT Money**👌 Watch the documentary (*You need to know the History of FIAT Money!*)
Smoke and mirrors at it's finest. Why else the clawing back of official recession model (which is clearly outlined on the FRED site) and substitute it with "other" that fits their narrative.
Based on what average home price index? I think 416k is most recent per FRED
Real estate is already losing jobs. Go on FRED and look up residential construction payrolls.
Whether CPI is fair may be at the center of where we are in this discussion now. There are some compelling cases out there for better measures, and it isn't difficult to look at the weighting on FRED, compare that to experience, and start to see something isn't right. But, you're right, general consensus is still CPI is the best measure we have. I think this is by design, as CPI is one of the few tools in the governments economic toolbox to manage the publics perception the current state of the economy and outlook of the future. Unfortunately many things through time that have generally had consensus agreement are wrong. You might find interesting some of the cases for a more accurate measure of inflation being closer to the annual return of the S&P500. As far as capital accumulation and the erosion of that capitals value, I don't have anything to add beyond what I've already said. I don't think people should be forced to take on risk to preserve the capital they've accumulated. Don't really have the time to continue that debate. Thanks for the conversation, best of luck.
You can see this on TradingView by using the following ticker: **COINBASE:BTCUSD/FRED:WM2NS** Present day price of $20k is roughly equivalent to Dec 6, 2017's price of $13k.
I think you can use the BTC price / M2 money supply or something like that. No idea how accurate it is but tradingview this: 'BITSTAMP:BTCUSD/FRED:M2SL'
First at all, if you are looking the **DXY Index** as "The **Strength** of the Dollar" you are right, but **only against other FIAT currencies👌** ➡️ [Country's FIAT Currencies vs Dollar📊 Over the Last 10 Years...And Bitcoin!](https://twitter.com/AnalisisSeguro/status/1535817168209715200) ➡️ [DXY Index Composition (Image)](https://ibb.co/zG6PSY4) The **Composition** of the **DXY Index** is a Composition at the **Foreign Exchange Rate**👌 # You should also Understand the recently history of FIAT Money (Monetary Policy) its Important👌 Like **Bretton Woods Agreement**, where **Dollar** became the **Reserve of the rest of Currencies of the World**, an **Gold** became the Reserve of **Dollar Supply (M2 Chart)**. But what happen in **1971**? **President Nixon** banned the **convertibility** of Dollars into Gold, **breaking** the Bretton Woods agreement and shoot down the **Gold Standard**. Without Gold Standard there is nothing backed the Dollar Supply, just the **confidence** of the poeple in Goverment and Central Bank - *FIAT is a Latin word meaning Faith or Trust.* This history event was the **beginning of FIAT Money System** actually we have, where Central Bank and Goverments can **Print Money** everytime they want only with just a **Monetary Policy Modification** \- *This is what they did in 2008 to Bail Out the Big Banks.* # Now that you know about part of the History of how the dollar became the world reserve currency...➡️ [IMF Data of Global Foreign Reserves (DXY Composition)](https://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467-C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A09EC4E62A4) Now you need to Understand the MONETARY POLICY of Central Banks, but this is more Complicated to explain, and in a Single Commentary it's Impossible😄 So I will leave you 2 videos, one is from the **famous Hedge Fund Manager Ray Dalio** and another where it is **explained very well** how **FIAT Money** loses **Purchasing Power👌** ➡️ [How The Economic Machine Works - By Ray Dalio](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0) 👈 Pretty Basic Explanation (30 Minutes Duration) ➡️ [End of the Road - How Money Became Worthless (Documentary)](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cTMna_vYDJg) 👈 Great Explanation (53 Minutes Duration) ➡️ [Dollar Purchasing Power (FRED Economics Data)](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0000SA0R) 💩 ➡️ [How Bitcoin is a Hedge from this Loss of Puchasing Power of FIAT Money](https://twitter.com/AnalisisSeguro/status/1532119057918414848/photo/1) 💪 # I hope this help you and solve some of your doubts😁 Cya👋
FRED is a program of the St. Louis branch of the Federal Reserve. The St. Louis branch is the one tasked with maintaining and analyzing historical records.
tldr; The St. Louis Federal Reserve compared the price of eggs in USD to Bitcoin on its FRED blog. The blog is designed to crack a joke about Bitcoin, but the Fed ended up with egg on its face. The Fed is legitimizing Bitcoin as a unit of account by comparing it to the dollar. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.*
tldr; The St. Louis Federal Reserve has compared the price of eggs in USD to Bitcoin on its FRED blog. The blog is designed to crack a joke about Bitcoin, but the Fed has ended up with egg on its face. The Fed is legitimizing Bitcoin as a unit of account by comparing it to the dollar. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.*
Egg price change over the FRED period in USD: +72% Egg price change over the FRED period in BTC: +9%
I think it can, and 28k has been my line in the sand since Jan 2021. Doesnt feel like max pain yet and it's definitely not Nov Dec 2020 prices. Alas, looking at the weekly all the signs are that the local bottom is in. Huge wick down below support (our 25k flash crash) with crazy short volume. Comparing it to historical weekly data, I'm becoming more bullish that this run isn't over yet with each passing day. But the housing market hasn't crashed yet and without ever really know what's going down in China its hard to really gauge when the global economy will collapse. FRED charts all indicate its inevitable, and coming soon, with GDP/reserves down but global USD always up up up. Stocks are still way overvalued especially nasdaq, and all projected revenues are decreasing. Even gaming is slowing down its growth as an industry which is classically and fundamentally recession proof. All these tiny rate hikes are just exit liquidity and prompts for the big boys to get out imo, 6 months down the line fed will prob pull out a 100 or 200 basis point hike to finish everyone else off, then turn around and claim success at dampening inflation.
Will be the FRED M2 money Supply chart ever updated ?
That's why you got to look at Real GDP, FRED St. Louis is a good source
The scary part comes when you bring up charts pertaining to Money Velocity (FRED) from the 60s to current. Read into it what you will and act accordingly.
Or coin a new acronym like FRED= Fucking Read Everything Dickhead
Now show him the FRED charts on YoY inflation and ask why gold hasn’t been going up by that amount…
> By February 2021, the dollar supply in circulation increased by +40% since the start of the pandemic. That is probably like +50-60% by now. If you turn your own research you'd show us the FRED graph proving it. Why are you guessing when the data is public?
Look at the FRED chart, and see how much M2 Money Supply has grown, since the start of The Plandemic. It's WAY more than 5-6%. More like 20-25% If the gubmint is telling you 5-6%, multiply that to the 3rd power. They have no incentive to tell you the truth. The S&P500 is closer to the cost of capital than the manipulated CPI will ever be
trading view, chart: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD/FRED:M2SL, SP:SPX/WM2NS, TVC:GOLD/FRED:M2SL
[FRED M1SL](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1SL) this graph shows the amount of us dollars on circulation, draw your own conclusions
FRED:ASPUS/BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on TradingView gets you how much bitcoin you need to buy an average house in the USA: https://imgur.com/9ojpnU2
That link is actually according to FRED, his buddy down in St. Louis.
Possible. But I feel like there’s some more to my thought process than just bias. Home starts and all that info can be found on FRED. Only time will tell.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/dv5GB6A4/?symbol=FRED%3AM2SL
Oh you children. "It wasn't real democracy!1!". This is what democracy and the political economy surrounding it produce. Also, go look up "incidence of corporate tax" (hint, corporate tax has always fallen on labor and consumers more than shareholders), and find FRED graph of IRS receipts/revenue from the upper tax brackets...it hasn't changed much over the decades since WWII, despite higher top marginal rates....because that's how democracy works- the rich and concentrated interests will always use it to their advantage. You will never be able to use democracy to stick it to them. That's not how it works.
Regarding commercial paper claimed as assets on their balance sheet (that has no context). Foreign CP outstanding relative to the total amount of CP outstanding peaked at 42%. This same time, BTC price also peaked. For context, peaks in FCP outstanding vs total CP between 2013 and 2019 was around 29%. Total CP at present is about $1,100 billion outstanding ($1.1T). In March 2020, when BTC was right around $5-6k, FCP to Total CP was 27%. Since BTC price peak in April, FCP to total CP has fallen from 42% to around 35%. Strange correlation. Source: FRED graphs
You’re not the FRED..are you?
FRED-O-MATIC Manchester United’s official robotic vacuum partners.
Only way BRUNO and PAUL coins pump together is if FRED or MATIC pump too
I haven't heard of FRED coin yet but maybe we need to check that out
FRED now has over 8 trillion in assets being held. About half of that was propping up the stock market.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1SL I very could be wrong, but I think this is the chart from FRED showing this. If I am wrong, please let me know which one it is (I know its on there somewhere)