Reddit Posts
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 23, 2024
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 16, 2024
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 09, 2024
How the algo works that delivered + 37.1% in dec.
I'm sure you've looked at ATR, but have you ever looked at range to ATR?
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 02, 2024
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Dec 26, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Dec 19, 2023
for traders looking for high volume & high range days | SPY analysis | not financial advice
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Dec 05, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 28, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 21, 2023
put the odds in your favor by trading on days that show opportunity NFA
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 14, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 07, 2023
Looking for a serious trading partner to day trade with and share game plans with?
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 31, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 24, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 17, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 10, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 03, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 26, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 19, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 12, 2023
pre-market plan | SPY - my thoughts at 9AM EDT this morning
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 05, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 29, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 22, 2023
Hut 8 Mining Corp. [$HUT] is predicted to experience an increase up to $1.50. What might be the subsequent developments?
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 15, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 08, 2023
Is Hut 8 Mining Corp. [$HUT] still a good investment, considering its impressive 309.41% YTD growth?
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 01, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jul 25, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jul 18, 2023
Hut 8 Mining Corp. [$HUT] is currently 6.15 above its 200 period moving avg: What does this mean?
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jul 11, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jul 04, 2023
Bit Digital Inc. ($BTBT) has dropped -6.88%. What comes next? Don't freak out.
HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. ($HIVE) jumps 3.81%: A look at the most likely path going forward
Hut 8 Mining Corp. ($HUT) is expected to rise to 3.00 USD!
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jun 27, 2023
The OLB Group Inc. ($OLB) is still worth a look despite - 58.40% fall from high
Why Bitfarms Ltd. [$BITF] is a good choice for investors after new price target of $2.00
Morning Briefing 🌞 June 21st 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jun 20, 2023
Hut 8 Mining Corp. ($HUT) is a safe investment now, isn’t it?
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jun 06, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - May 30, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - May 23, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - May 16, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - May 09, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - May 02, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Apr 25, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Apr 18, 2023
Toast Inc. ($TOST) stock initiated by Deutsche Bank analyst, price target now $20
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Apr 11, 2023
If you’re not bullish on Bitfarms Ltd. ($BITF) now, you’ll kick yourself later.
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Apr 04, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Mar 28, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Mar 21, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Mar 14, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Mar 07, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Feb 28, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Feb 21, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Feb 14, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Feb 07, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 31, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 24, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 17, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 10, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jan 03, 2023
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Dec 27, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Dec 20, 2022
Has anyone used UnusualActivity to find stocks to trade avoid chop
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Dec 13, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Dec 06, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 29, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 22, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 15, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 08, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Nov 01, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 25, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 18, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 11, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Oct 04, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 27, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 20, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 13, 2022
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 06, 2022
$AMC Weekly Chart and Daily.. Turning Bullish IMO
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 30, 2022
Mentions
Indicators for: daily volume higher compared to average volume; price change greater than average true range (ATR); price at/near 52-week low; price at/near 52-week high; some measure of news articles today versus average (or just a count of articles, the more of them the better).
You need to look at the ATR and base it off of that
The fly you are looking at might be cheap for a reason, as you are buying a very narrow range. The ATR on the ES is above 100 points for the last week, and you are betting that the ES will finish inside a 45 point range in exactly 7 days. Since most of the value comes from the last day of trading, you are betting on the probability of hitting a very tight price range at a very specific time. Also, it is practically impossible to open a fly for a credit, as arbitrage doesn't allow you getting paid for taking on no risk. A credit fly is something you might find by taking the mid-price on instruments with very tight bid/ask spreads, like SOFR futures. Where it's not possible to get a fill on all legs that is better than the bid or ask (example mid-price on all legs), so it is important to always take the correct price for calculating the fly, and it will always be for a debit.
Avoid the temptation to sell spreads on 0DTE indexes like SPX, or ETFs like SPY. Just don’t do it… Stick to stocks and ETFs with longer dated periods, like a 30 - 45 DTE. Keep in mind your position sizing. When you get some wins you’ll be tempted to increase your position in some trades that go beyond how much you should be risking given your account size. Stick to a small size despite the win streak. With spreads, one max loss could wipe out a long series of gains. Some people will make it seem like spreads are easy money if you just go way out of the money. It’s not a revolutionary idea, many have tried that and gotten burned because they weren’t careful or didn’t manage their trades once they went against them. Learn to manage them by trading in a paper account. Also, “rolling” will be your friend as long as it’s done before the spreads go ITM. At least initially (and maybe perpetually), stock to stocks with somewhat a low to moderate volatility. The higher the volatility, the higher the premium - but also the wider the movements. For example, I sell spreads on V which has an IV of only 29% and an ATR (average trade range) of just 6 and I’ve made good money just selling spreads on them with my short legs at 5 delta. Oh and one last time in case you missed it earlier: position sizing, position sizing, position sizing. Don’t risk more on any trades than you should given your account size. I sell Iron Condors on V and I only risk 1% or my account value each time. You don’t have to be that conservative, but just pick a risk % assuming a losing streak, not a winning streak, then stick with it. I know that in my case I’d have to max loss a lot of times to do any real damage to my account. Good luck!
I feel your pain. I subscribe to Unusual Whales. I look at option flows and try to find setups from high-order trades. I bought a bunch of options the first week. Increased my portfolio by almost 8% in a week. Told friends, and we made some money. But then I got greedy. The stock ran up 15-25% and I held, but they dropped, thinking they would come back, and I lost. One trade cost me 3% of my portfolio on a company I had never heard of. Just last Friday, I saw a bunch of orders for CIFR, almost a million in orders from 1 trader. Then a couple of other orders. Did the DD and I sat that one out. Not terrible stock, but I wanted an A+ setup. Fuck, up 17% today! My point is, I’m learning to read ATR & watch order blocks. Take the small wins and don't buy stocks like BYND, POET, or even RANI. They run, but they will kill your portfolio. If you do, take the small wins. Cut your losses fast. You lose 1 big, and it takes 20 winning trades to make up for it.
That was just specific to how I’m using an algorithm with ATR exclusively, but from your interpretation now I actually would like to cluster indicators in addition to testing different features. I have been generally just looking for convergence of signals from the different indicators, but that’s a new concept to try out
IVF is actually more volatile than FEMY, both have a 14-day ATR, but IVF’s is 0.09 higher than FEMY’s according to Finviz. Bottom line: volatility is normal in this space, and both have solid fundamentals.
[Up over +$600k on GLD debit call spreads and /GC long futures. I think its time to finally close the position.](https://i.imgur.com/cWXx5Dh.jpeg) Been holding /GC since 3448, could be my best futures trade of all time. I already sold 1/3 of the GLD position in the past few days but it's currently at 7+ ATR, looking frothy
For the first couple of trades I was going all in, but I am scaling that down and adding in the stop losses after I had the big drawdown yesterday. Trend detection is mainly from a k nearest neighbors indicator and a k means clustering using the ATR. Going to work on developing several more like HMM‘s.
Lol dude...use your brain One down day doesn't mean shit But one down day when SPY and QQQ are both green is bad And one down day when it was up around $26 and dropped to $22 is fucking bearish...even for a volatile stock with a large ATR, a 20% drop from high of day to where it is now is nowhere near bullish The only thing that is looking like a positive is that the 8 EMA has held...if that breaks, this is tanking more
Not just the risk total, but how it's calculated. $200 risk using 2 ATR or the 10 EMA will result in smaller positions, but with more cushion for fluctuations. You also get more positions open to be fully in the market, which helps diversify the account. The main downside is that if you're fully in and the market tanks, you're going to take it on the chin no different than of you were fully in one stock, so be aware of how much total risk you have on
wait until the VIX is extremely low, such as if its held below 16 to 17 for months and months. Listen to analysts, when talks about the economic cycle hitting its later bull run stages are happening, consider that (im talking about the bloomberg economists on like page 10 of the site not CNBC people), then find if realized Vol, ie the ATR, has been consistently low for a long time. In that case, taking .01-).1 % of your portfolio depending on risk tolerance and adding a weekly, or even daily, deep OTM put long, looking to purchase for 2 or less cents or 5 for the SPXW, and holding them. Trade as usual, then, when the blowout occurs and Volatility jumps, such as last friday, not only are your open trades protected but you make p/l positive even when you time the market wrong. its called convexity
Chiming in: One of my favorite systems is Saty ATR and Ribbons with Volume Stack. Similar to Ripster ema clouds but a bit more in depth. Saty is super smart and generous to share those for free on TradingView. Take a look
Well, my stops are "tight" for 90dte, but I would still use the same criteria, just on a different timechart. The fluctuations are similar. I use the 1d chart and a 10EMA stop loss or 2ATR, whichever is less. With 90dte, I would use the 10EMA and 2ATR, but use a 1W chart. Using candlesticks, there is about the same amount of periods for the 90dte on a 1wk chart as there is on a 14dte 1day chart. It works on all timeframes. I'd use the same 10EMA or 2ATR on the 5min or 15min charts when day trading. But, I've been getting away from that lately just focusing on swing trades.
It’s easy to just say “buy low, sale high” The people I learned most of what I know often say “once it’s in the news, you’re too late”. Reddit is also a poor source for the most part, especially when you’re not confident. With trading stocks, you’re not really going to make money unless you’re holding for a few days or weeks at minimum! Trading options is really lucrative but, once you’re familiar with charting and balance sheets it gets a lot easier. What prompts are you using within ChatGPT? Are you familiar with EMAs or RSI? How do you chart? There isn’t one set way to make profits, and there are a myriad of tools to get there. You also have to factor in how often you’re willing to sir in front of a screen, watching everything move. Day trading while working a typical job gets hectic at times, but it IS doable! I use technical analysis, most of time it’s finding set ups through various sectors or sticking to SPY or QQQ options, because they both high volume daily. Market structure and movement play a big role in what I chose to trade. The indicators I use are EMA, volume, ADR/ATR, in conjunction with candle stick patterns. I’ve had my moments and successes off and on since 2020… you can look for stock screeners online, or even on charting sites. Recently, I’ve gotten back on the grind. I stopped for a while because I wasn’t in the right space mentally. Just be weary of people selling you bullshit courses or discord subscriptions. There’s alot of info on investopedia, youtube, and individual brokers have an education section. If you choose to pursue options, I STRONGLY recommend paper trading first to build confidence. Give yourself grace and time, it’s not easy at all! Lol Hope this can be of some help to you, OP, or anyone who needs help. TLDR: Find a method that involves technical or fundamental analysis, use screeners, avoid advice from reddit, give yourself time to learn.
Set a stop-loss immediately. You can use % of entry, 2.5 times ATR if below close. Something. You're down, but that doesn't mean you are out.
He’s telling you that your price on your premium will move .30 cents for every one dollar the stock goes up. The theta is around 7 cents so you’ll lose that per day as well. He could make money on the Vega too though before earnings hits. Wouldn’t say it’s a horrific call but I think nvda is probably going to retrace to 166. Before it goes up. That’s a guess though I obviously don’t know there could be news befofe them December is a while away. Use the ATR to get some kind of a stop loss.
The numbers for this company look really bad tbh I would not gamble on this. >Index - P/E - EPS (ttm) - Insider Own - Shs Outstand - Perf Week -2.21% Market Cap 15.65M Forward P/E - EPS next Y - Insider Trans - Shs Float 10.62M Perf Month -28.49% Enterprise Value - PEG - EPS next Q - Inst Own 1.09% Short Float2.60%Perf Quarter -78.27% Income - P/S - EPS this Y - Inst Trans - Short Ratio0.12Perf Half Y - Sales - P/B - EPS next Y - ROA - Short Interest0.28MPerf YTD -84.35% Book/sh - P/C - EPS next 5Y - ROE - 52W High 24.65 -94.60% Perf Year - Cash/sh - P/FCF - EPS past 3/5Y - - ROIC - 52W Low 1.23 8.13% Perf 3Y - Dividend Est. - EV/EBITDA - Sales past 3/5Y - - Gross Margin - Volatility 5.28% 11.46% Perf 5Y - Dividend TTM - EV/Sales - EPS Y/Y TTM - Oper. Margin - ATR (14) 0.31 Perf 10Y - Dividend Ex-Date - Quick Ratio - Sales Y/Y TTM - Profit Margin - RSI (14) 34.67 Recom - Dividend Gr. 3/5Y - - Current Ratio - EPS Q/Q - SMA20 -23.60% Beta - Target Price - Payout - Debt/Eq - Sales Q/Q - SMA50 -40.08% Rel Volume 0.30 Prev Close 1.31 Employees - LT Debt/Eq - Earnings - SMA200 -55.83% Avg Volume 2.25M Price 1.33 IPO Apr 11, 2025 Option/Short No / Yes EPS/Sales Surpr. - - Trades 2,294 Volume 673,445 Change 1.53%
The numbers for this company look really bad tbh I would not gamble on this. || || |Index **-** P/E **-** EPS (ttm) **-** Insider Own **-** Shs Outstand **-** Perf Week **-2.21%** Market Cap **15.65M** Forward P/E **-** EPS next Y **-** Insider Trans **-** Shs Float **10.62M** Perf Month **-28.49%** Enterprise Value **-** PEG **-** EPS next Q **-** Inst Own **1.09%** [Short Float](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)[**2.60%**](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)Perf Quarter **-78.27%** Income **-** P/S **-** EPS this Y **-** Inst Trans **-** [Short Ratio](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)[**0.12**](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)Perf Half Y **-** Sales **-** P/B **-** EPS next Y **-** ROA **-** [Short Interest](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)[**0.28M**](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)Perf YTD **-84.35%** Book/sh **-** P/C **-** EPS next 5Y **-** ROE **-** 52W High **24.65 -94.60%** Perf Year **-** Cash/sh **-** P/FCF **-** EPS past 3/5Y **- -** ROIC **-** 52W Low **1.23 8.13%** Perf 3Y **-** Dividend Est. **-** EV/EBITDA **-** Sales past 3/5Y **- -** Gross Margin **-** Volatility **5.28% 11.46%** Perf 5Y **-** Dividend TTM **-** EV/Sales **-** EPS Y/Y TTM **-** Oper. Margin **-** ATR (14) **0.31** Perf 10Y **-** Dividend Ex-Date **-** Quick Ratio **-** Sales Y/Y TTM **-** Profit Margin **-** RSI (14) **34.67** Recom **-** Dividend Gr. 3/5Y **- -** Current Ratio **-** EPS Q/Q **-** SMA20 **-23.60%** Beta **-** Target Price **-** Payout **-** Debt/Eq **-** Sales Q/Q **-** SMA50 **-40.08%** Rel Volume **0.30** Prev Close **1.31** Employees **-** LT Debt/Eq **-** Earnings **-** SMA200 **-55.83%** Avg Volume **2.25M** Price **1.33** IPO **Apr 11, 2025** Option/Short **No / Yes** EPS/Sales Surpr. **- -** Trades **2,294** Volume **673,445** Change **1.53%**|
The numbers for this company look really bad tbh I would not gamble on this. || || |[Scroll to Statements](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&p=i1#statements)Index **-** P/E **-** EPS (ttm) **-** Insider Own **-** Shs Outstand **-** Perf Week **-2.21%** Market Cap **15.65M** Forward P/E **-** EPS next Y **-** Insider Trans **-** Shs Float **10.62M** Perf Month **-28.49%** Enterprise Value **-** PEG **-** EPS next Q **-** Inst Own **1.09%** [Short Float](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)[**2.60%**](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)Perf Quarter **-78.27%** Income **-** P/S **-** EPS this Y **-** Inst Trans **-** [Short Ratio](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)[**0.12**](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)Perf Half Y **-** Sales **-** P/B **-** EPS next Y **-** ROA **-** [Short Interest](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)[**0.28M**](https://elite.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RBNE&ta=1&p=d&ty=si&r=)Perf YTD **-84.35%** Book/sh **-** P/C **-** EPS next 5Y **-** ROE **-** 52W High **24.65 -94.60%** Perf Year **-** Cash/sh **-** P/FCF **-** EPS past 3/5Y **- -** ROIC **-** 52W Low **1.23 8.13%** Perf 3Y **-** Dividend Est. **-** EV/EBITDA **-** Sales past 3/5Y **- -** Gross Margin **-** Volatility **5.28% 11.46%** Perf 5Y **-** Dividend TTM **-** EV/Sales **-** EPS Y/Y TTM **-** Oper. Margin **-** ATR (14) **0.31** Perf 10Y **-** Dividend Ex-Date **-** Quick Ratio **-** Sales Y/Y TTM **-** Profit Margin **-** RSI (14) **34.67** Recom **-** Dividend Gr. 3/5Y **- -** Current Ratio **-** EPS Q/Q **-** SMA20 **-23.60%** Beta **-** Target Price **-** Payout **-** Debt/Eq **-** Sales Q/Q **-** SMA50 **-40.08%** Rel Volume **0.30** Prev Close **1.31** Employees **-** LT Debt/Eq **-** Earnings **-** SMA200 **-55.83%** Avg Volume **2.25M** Price **1.33** IPO **Apr 11, 2025** Option/Short **No / Yes** EPS/Sales Surpr. **- -** Trades **2,294** Volume **673,445** Change **1.53%**|
I’ll say for your core conviction you should never sell For the moonshots, look at some technical indicator like ATR and see how volatile they are, place a trailing stop loss and never look at them again. Then you never have to worry when to sell
Gradually scaling out and locking in gains on META. Very nice +8% port for the week. Will be deleveraging longs in general since NDX/SPX are both at 3+ ATR with $PCALL at lowest reading since April. Opening fresh new longs right now doesn't have a great R/R. Also end of September tends to be weaker
I can easily verify brother, input into your Chat GPt, wanting to trade using RSI, VWAP,EMA. On a 5 minute chart, with ATR, OBV, MACD, ADL, and how it can help you identify winning trades
$PCALL is lowest it's been since April with major indexes at 3 ATR. Scaling out of META and AMZN to reduce risk into FOMC tomorrow
Stop asking AI stuff, Tell AI to work for you. RSI/VWAP/EMA All above 50. 5 minute charts Indicators MACD/RSI/ATR/OBV/ADL THREE AMIGOS ONLY AGREE ABOVE fifty to trade. If they do not agree find one that does and buy call options Set SL/TP -30%|+50% Go have fine When your profits hit, replenish capital Remaining profits invest high yield dividend with drip. Each trade rinse wash repeat, do this in a Roth account, or Mega Roth account as a contribution deposit to trade with and your tax free with every trade. Thank me later 🫡
Oh man, I don’t think there’s enough space to list my mistakes. For one, I tried too many strategies. Next I chased high volatility stocks for CSP’s. I was assigned many times. Writing calls on stocks I wanted to keep. So, I’ve changed. Smaller but more frequent CSP wins, look for delta under 20 and < 45 days to expiration. Lower ATR/volatility.
I just use the free version and then thinkorswim for when I want to get frisky with advanced screeners and indicators and whatnot. Finviz too for just quick charts to browse through real quick. Unsual volume and low ATR is my jam, but has to look good on the chart too.
Level 3 options - spreads and condors - Tasty Trade and Robinhood. Position sizing is managed by having a four-sleeve portfolio management strategy. First, I do volatility arbitrage on news events through the use of calendar spreads. Close them before the event to prevent major directional risk. I have an income generation sleeve that I run iron condors or credit spreads on. This is on 0dte or weeklies, with a few mmonthly contracts from time to time. I have a directional overlay that I purchase long options or debit spreads on. I usually use this on stocks at a major support level showing signs of being undervalued, with a rising RSI and ATR. Finally, I run a tail risk hedge of 20% of my capital. An easy way to do this is long puts 90 days out or long debit spreads 90 days out. The biggest challenge on a small account is bypassing the PDT rule. It is easy to bypass by opening wide condors or credit spreads on SPX or XSP 0dtes and letting them expire (this doesn’t count as a day trade because there is no closing trade.) The biggest thing here is knowing how to manage these types of trades, and using small position sizing to grow your account. Also, save your day trades for managing positions by using the XSP and SPX day trading trick on the income sleeve. Good luck and happy trading!
case was opened for public comments and there are 4000+. comments closed early July. case it still open and i'm sure they have a lot of work to do. [https://www.regulations.gov/document/ATR-2025-0002-0002/comment](https://www.regulations.gov/document/ATR-2025-0002-0002/comment)
that's like 3 ATR away .. lol, i'd get calls on that any given week and perhaps print
You are right to be suspicious. Comparing ATR to implied vol is like comparing a yardstick to a compass — different units, different purpose. Pros do not look at ATR at all by the way. They compare realized volatility (annualized properly from returns) to implied and that spread, called the variance risk premium, is the basis of many strategies or at least positioning. If you want to level up from “income strategy crash courses,” here are a few nice and practical addition to your bookshelf: * Sinclair’s *Volatility Trading:* the best bridge from retail heuristics to professional vol thinking. * Sinclair’s *Positional Option Trading:* even better for the system-builder mindset, where you stop asking “which spread?” and start asking “what edge does the market give me?” This one is particularly useful to start looking at trading like a business. * Taleb’s *Dynamic Hedging* dense, dated, but still the trader’s manual. Not for everyone and if you had only one take away: always buy some very OTM options, and usually far in time, because the market is notoriously bad at predicting tail scenarios. Start calculating realized vol yourself, line it up against the term structure of implieds, and you will see why the “ATR vs IV” framing is a dead end. Once you see the VRP, you cannot unsee it.
Scale out/roll out. Have multiple price targets at key levels. Move SL to breakeven and up. Once a trade hits the first PT, there is no reason to let it go to red. Leave a runner or two. Watch ATR levels and market levels as the price moves.
I’ve backtested this exact thought using pinescript. Not sure what wall you’re hitting, but Claude can probably get your backtest compiling properly in tradingview for you. Ther only strategy I was able to get working somewhat profitably was using ATR bands to decide when to purchase the dips and placing bracket orders to lock in both up side and down side. Even the profitable strategy gets stopped out of the trade most of the time, but the few winners were able to make enough to compensate for those losses. It didn’t seem that solid to me honestly, but it did technically work with the right governing rules in place.
Not me. I had some shares, made a little and got out. ATR too high for me.
Thanks for your advice! I used -25% stop loss on every option trades I entered, but I didn’t enforce it enough. 1.5ATR sounds like a good idea, I tried with ATR for swing trades earlier but it’s hard to keep track of the amount. So I made it simple to use percentage. Yes I do need a consistent strategy that proved effective!
Unfortunately it’s very hard for people who have full time jobs to trade options. It doesn’t sound like you have an edge or a consistent strategy. This comes with time and tens of thousands of hours of chart reading. Keep your chin up and just focus on slowly investing in good names and perhaps swing trading shares with stop loss based on 1.5 daily ATR. If you don’t know what an ATR is, then again I would just kick back and enjoy your job and life. Trading consistently and profitably month after month takes the same energy as a full time job. Good traders can take a 25k account slowly and safely to 30k or 35k in a few months. But it takes time and patience. No 0 dte, and rarely does it mean you’re buying options. Instead these traders use shares because it’s easy to get out at breakeven due to the stop loss feature on these platforms. Take care
Leaps ITM is too expensive. I only buy Leaps ATM or OTM. The key is to look at ATR. If ATR is high, it will reach OTM price in no time. Just like UNH, it went up $30 in a day. If you bought $300 OTM a week ago, it already becomes ITM.
Warren Buffet looks at a monthly chart and says "look this is overbought, in two till three years we will see a correction. That guy plans for 5 years or 25. Not for a day or a week. And not even Copilot with "deep thinking" knows anything about stock indices... as an experienced trader I use the ATR on the daily or weekly but Copilot gives me 5000 points of ranges for a day's price. Could be 24K but also 21.5 or 26.5.
Shs Outstand368.87MPerf Week-13.66%Market Cap4.06BForward P/E-EPS next Y-0.23Insider Trans-3.46%Shs Float360.91MPerf Month-10.13%Enterprise Value3.82BPEG-EPS next Q-0.09Inst Own42.12%Short Float33.75%Perf Quarter10.49%Income-188.52MP/S39.73EPS this Y109.62%Inst Trans20.14%Short Ratio3.23Perf Half Y-27.79%Sales102.23MP/B10.22EPS next Y-330.00%ROA-43.07%Short Interest121.82MPerf YTD-49.04%Book/sh0.99P/C16.52EPS next 5Y-ROE-68.22%52W High24.98 -59.53%Perf Year104.24%Cash/sh0.61P/FCF-EPS past 3/5Y-37.66% -ROIC-47.19%52W Low3.94 156.60%Perf 3Y166.75%Dividend Est.-EV/EBITDA-Sales past 3/5Y58.68% -Gross Margin34.35%Volatility7.01% 7.80%Perf 5Y-Dividend TTM-EV/Sales37.37EPS Y/Y TTM-42.58%Oper. Margin-132.17%ATR (14)0.82Perf 10Y-Dividend Ex-Date-Quick Ratio4.92Sales Y/Y TTM101.39%Profit Margin-184.41%RSI (14)40.92Recom2.00Dividend Gr. 3/5Y- -Current Ratio4.92EPS Q/Q368.04%SMA20-13.03%Beta2.77Target Price11.83Payout-Debt/Eq0.01Sales Q/Q151.24%SMA50-4.95%Rel Volume0.68Prev Close10.33Employees842LT Debt/Eq0.01EarningsAug 07 AMCSMA200-6.88%Avg Volume37.74M
QQQ and SPY has a smaller ATR than a few months ago, so I’m finding that ITM options work better in the current market. I aim for around a 60 Delta.
ATR is average true range and I think Saty is the name of the creator of a specific version of an ATR indicator.
My entries are whenever I notice a reversal. The stops are a proprietary formula that is similar to ATR, but they tighten up based on different EMAs.
i've been trading for three months and my biggest challenge at the moment now that I have improved at executing my risk management is exit plans. I dont know where to take profit or exit. What im learning is using what if statements are helping me . So say I use FIB I will say I will take profit at x but if it moves back to this level I exit. Or if I use 15 min timeframe as an indication if candle moves down to 50 % and closes red I exit or if I use ATR if it moves from a breakout to middle band i'll exit. Journal, test your strategy and find what works for you. I will say that entering at a great level where even if you have a drop you're still in green is a big factor for your psychology. The drop on IXHL I was still in green and had conviction in a rebound, that meant instead of panic selling I saw it as a discount opportunity. Best of luck
Hi Steve, Thanks for sharing, I’m keen to get any thoughts you might have please regarding Australian company ATR (Astron Corp LTD) - Australian miner that has 51% ownership in the Donald Project that UUUU has an interest in. Thanks in advance, have a stellar week ahead mate! 😊
You can try with previous daily lows (calls) and highs (puts) or previous daily close (put) or open (calls). When the market is moving faster replace with the 4h time frame. You can screen in or out with ATR or keltner channels.
DNUT is setting up for a potentially powerful move today, supported by strong technical momentum, aggressive options flow, and bullish sentiment across the board. The recent price action shows a sharp bounce off support with rising acceleration and positive crossover in the True Strength Index, while the ATR indicates expanding volatility.
Combined with technical index optimization Moving Average (MA): set the stop loss below a certain moving average (such as the 20-day moving average) and adjust it dynamically with the moving average. Bollinger Band: Set the stop loss position on the lower rail (long position) or the upper rail (short position) of the Bollinger Band to adapt to the fluctuation. ATR (Average Real Volatility): Stop loss distance = current price-ATR× multiple (such as 2 times ATR), the greater the volatility, the wider the stop loss distance.
Personally, I prefer to buy contracts at least near the 8 EMA or the point of control (VRVP) on whatever time frame I am analyzing. With OPEN at 5 ATR on multiple timeframes, I believe a pullback is imminent. The markets are unpredictable. OPEN could rise to $3.95 with only minor pullbacks of $0.25 each time it pauses, or it could drop to $1.70 by Monday at 4 pm. You never know for sure, but you definitely don't want to pay $1.20, because if OPEN opens where it is currently, those contracts won't be worth $0.89. You could end up losing significantly by the close, with your position down. In summary, make sure you understand the risks before you accept them. Good luck!
Not worth the risk. What's been working for me is simultaneously playing technicals on SPY, SPX and VIX while paying attention to ATR. If ATR remains elevated during a dip, I'm entering a short position after we get a decent bounce and an looking for a rejection on SPY or SPX on the 50, 100, 200 or 320 SMA, VWAP, or the 21 EMA. Simultaneously looking for technical resistance on VIX. If ATR starts dipping while SPY is falling, I'm entering a long position looking for a bounce off technical support coinciding with technical resistance on VIX. If we're nowhere near technical support or resistance, I consider that no man's land and don't trade.
When a stock keeps hitting all-time highs (like NVDA or MSFT recently), it gets hard to know when to take profits — there’s no clear resistance above. I don’t use fixed targets. I trail with the 21-day EMA or an ATR-based stop. If price closes below that, it’s usually time to trim. If price keeps going up but momentum (RSI/MACD) starts to weaken, that’s often a warning sign. I watch for high volume with no follow-through or overly bullish sentiment. Sometimes AI tools can spot sentiment shifts early — like if news turns bearish while the price is stalling.Also, I take profits in chunks — e.g., sell 1/3 at +15%, another at +25%, then trail the rest. It’s a good way to stay in without being greedy.
This is a profit / loss claim by ChatGPT that it claimed to have backtested the strategy for me....all day it's been saying that version 0.1.5 will be delivered in the next few hours though lol. # Profit/Loss Curve (Summary) * **Sample Run:** EURUSD, 5 years, 1.0% risk per trade, ATR stops, all regime management logic enabled, real tick data. * **Equity curve:** (Graph not shown here, but the P/L curve steadily rises with drawdown periods—**no catastrophic loss or blowouts**, growth is stepwise with clear clusters of wins and flat periods.) * **Typical results from a 5-year EURUSD run:** * **Initial Balance:** $10,000 * **Ending Balance:** $23,800 * **Max Drawdown:** \-9.4% * **Largest Losing Streak:** 4 trades * **Largest Winning Streak:** 7 trades * **% Profitable Trades:** 57% * **Sharpe Ratio:** \~1.5 (very solid for an automated FX system) * **GBPUSD results (parallel):** * **Initial Balance:** $10,000 * **Ending Balance:** $17,200 * **Max Drawdown:** \-8.1% * **% Profitable Trades:** 53% * **Sharpe Ratio:** \~1.2 * **Combined Multi-Symbol Test:** * Slightly smoother equity curve (due to diversification). * Max exposure never exceeded target risk. * **Key Takeaway:** * **No equity “crashes”**, even with multiple consecutive losses. * **No runaway risk or overtrading events**—risk logic held through volatile markets (e.g., COVID, Ukraine war spikes).
No add ons would occur when half the ATR is met. If the ATR was 100 stop would be at 200 points below and you would add on another “unit” (unit would be amount of contracts that keep initial risk below 2%) Once you add on stop is raised half the ATR. If you do this to about 4 units your maximum risk is about 5% And yes thats correct the profit could be gone. Most people lose money because of two simple reasons 1) They stay in losing trades and take a big loss 2) They exit winning trades early and miss out on big profits.
Really simple rule: If the 55 day high or low breaks I go long and or short. In other words, if its making an all time high I am long. I begin stacking more into the position the more right I am, with initial stop at 2X the ATR average of the last 20 days. I wont move the stop until a break of the 20 day low is positive. As for your options question, yes you always want to manage your risk. I take profit when the 20 day low is broken in that case. As for your last question, I think the above answers it.
Damn, my SLs are generally like 1-3% or 1.5x ATR max. Especially when it’s a trend stock.
I would pay closer attention to ATR here. You really shouldn't be buying the dip when ATR remains elevated unless we you've got a pretty big put wall that you're confident will act as support.
Indicators don’t matter if you don’t have a solid underlying asset. First you have to choose a solid mix of assets (portfolio) you would like to trade from. Stick to those, don’t chase the hyped money. I also know this is probably the wrong place, but stay away from options. Timing things is not your forte rn so don’t try to time something that has a short time limit for you to be right. Instead just buy the underlying and you have all the time now to be right or wrong, but at least your stock won’t expire in a few weeks/year so it won’t be %100 loss. As for technicals since you asked; please know you should watch a vid on each of these and how they are used as followings buy/sell signal will not always work, you have to learn when and how they work best. ichimoku clouds ☁️, this is an absolute unit of a indicator, it may be tougher to learn at first but it has a lot of the benefits of moving averages crosses, predictive clouds and price levels, clear way of showing support or resistance above/below the cloud, is it red/bearish, green/bullish. If I could only choose one it would be this, not because it’s easy but because it provides so much information in an easy to visualize manner. (Now ChatGPT the best conditions for exit/entry). I also use volume profile, (lets you see where the price most shares traded for a particular period.) VWAP, RSI- to check overbought/sold on multi timeframes, ATR, for trends. (All checked on multiple timeframes depending on my trading strat, which is usually swing style, so I look at 15sec, 5min on entry and the 5,15min on exit. For you I recommend the 30m and 1hr, for first watch levels and the 4hr and 1d as your secondary levels. This give you more time and aligns with more learning less trading. Also I would recommend breaking up your buys. Don’t just use all your cash in 1 buy, ease into the market by splitting your buys. buy when you think it’s good, buy more at those lower levels, when your good price evaporates. I save enough cash for 4 ~equivalent buys. Usually pyramid style like this, 1:$100, 2:$125, 3:$200, 4:$250. For selling I set two targets and close a portion on 1 and will trailing stop loss until it hits the target 2 or fades. All that said if your underling is not solid none of this matters, you may be better off sitting your money in an index until you’ve learned more and really studied and practiced using indicators if you wish to trade. Lmk if you need non casino investment advice!
I use webull to plan my entries using MACD, RSI, and ATR indicators for extra guidance https://preview.redd.it/8euzfu1i3kaf1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c50ba41e7c058cef720aef0b04341920c050d657
Yeah, ATR is going down. Doesn't matter, I'm going to do OK no matter what this stock does.
I use Think or Swim, I don’t use any indicators I do use ATR for a stop loss on futures directional contract trades (not the options on futures)
I like Think or Swim and I don’t use any indicators besides the IV percentile in it sometimes. (I use ATR for a specific futures contract type of trading, the risk management portion but not for options) My stock options I can hold for days to weeks. People will also tell you trading you loss your money and such too, Guns are dangerous too and so are machine guns. If you learn how to properly use it can be a deadly weapon but someone inexperienced could end up hurting themselves. Trading is no different
if you got assigned on either of those would you hold them or use something like 2x ATR as a stop and hold to see what happens?
Short netflix. Volume leader guy on X tracked 2 large prints. The OI is starting to skew to puts. Be careful that the spreads are stupid wide and only get worse with farther OTM. If you skeerd, you can swing NFXS for an inverse move. Nat gas has been making some larger than ATR moves of late. That high to low on Friday was almost 9% If they pump it on some bullshit war narrative, just know that it has next to nothing to do with the war. The less we can export, the more of it piles up here. Don't take your eyes off of BTC. It'll stop bleeding somewhere, start to turn, then set up new longs
Agreed but it’s a great daytrade if you know how to read price action and can catch a trend day because it has a huge ATR. Hell: I made a few hundred in three candles today with a single weekly option catching that opening drop into the gap. Shoulda stayed but I thought we’d get back through wvap on that first bounce. Looks like a great short if it stays in the gap and SPY continues drifting down.
You're asking the right questions. I take the ATR number and convert it to a percentage daily move. This normalizes the number so I can compare across symbols and markets such as /ES vs /GC. I use excel to make a histogram and compare them. For /GC here, I mainly wanted to make sure that the premium I can collect from a 7DTE ATM Put is 70% (or better) compared to the ATR. Here (34/73 * 100) it's equal to 73%, so that's good enough. The histogram also shows me the daily return distribution. I can see that /GC has *more days of positive returns* than /ES. Further, I can see the frequency of the negative days and their magnitude. Overall, /GC has fewer negative days than /ES and their overall magnitude is smaller. Good for selling Puts! ATR for GLD and IAU should be similar as all of the gold markets are highly correlated. I wouldn't bother computing those separately unless you plan to trade those instead. Futures and FOPs (Future OPtions) have a lot of embedded leverage. They are always going to beat stocks and ETFs. Remember that leverage cuts both ways. Manage your buying power closely or suffer.
Hi, thanks for the reply. I think. I know what Average True Range is, but do you use it to inform your trading? Do you look at the 46 number and go, "Wow! That's really not volatile!" I have no feel for that. Do you know what the ATR is for GLD or IAU? A 7DTE ATM Put selling for 34 against 19k BPE is 17.9%, very impressive.
Here's what my analysis on GC has shown. In 2025, average ATR is 46 and median is 39. Biggest daily move was $145 or about -3.6%. A 7DTE ATM Put provides around $34 premium (so $3400) while buying power reduction is roughly $19,000. If you look to pull $10-$15 out, you need a $20-35 move up or 3-5 days of stagnation (for theta to rot it away). Average ATR indicates you'll probably close a Put or two every day or every other day. On a percentage basis, it is much less volatile than equities. Good candidate for hold-the-strike if you have the bankroll... the micro gold (/MGC) doesn't have options so you have to play in the full contract along with its $300k+ notional value. Fun!
I really like this idea. However, I would recommend looking for a trigger before entering the position. I believe August provides ample time for a potential upward move. We've seen two previous bounces in this zone, at 226 and 234. The point of control is around 310, indicating that LULU is likely to head back up there eventually. Given the $62 monthly ATR, this move could occur within 30 days, which aligns well with your chosen expiration date. Personally, I would feel more comfortable with December calls. Nonetheless, I believe it could at least reach the $270-$290 range by August. Good luck!
Since I don’t understand any of this, I had ChatGPT analyze it for me: Your swing trade strategy: 1. Stock is trending up 2. It’s not near all-time highs (ATH) 3. Break of 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart …is a solid attempt to catch medium-term momentum in a “value zone” within an uptrend. Here’s a breakdown of the logic and how it might perform, along with strengths and risks: ⸻ 🔍 Strategy Breakdown 1. “Stock is trending up” • Why it’s good: You’re aligning with the prevailing market direction. Trend-following generally outperforms countertrend trading over time. • How to define it: Make sure you have an objective rule (e.g. price above 50 and 200 EMA on daily, higher highs/lows, etc.). 2. “Not near all-time highs” • Why it’s good: Stocks near ATH often face psychological resistance and may be extended/overbought. You’re aiming to enter on a pullback. • Interpretation: You’re likely catching a dip or consolidation phase in an uptrend—often a safer entry with more room for upside. 3. “Break of 200 EMA on 4hr chart” • Key signal: You’re using the 200 EMA as dynamic resistance, and a break above it as a bullish trigger. • Why 4-hour? It gives a balance between daily (slow) and 1-hour (noisy). This suggests you’re targeting swing moves (1–10 days). • Potential confirmation: Volume spike or RSI divergence could help confirm the move. ⸻ ✅ Strengths of the Strategy • Combines multiple timeframes: You’re evaluating trend direction (likely from daily or weekly) and using 4H for entry. • Buys weakness in strength: Not chasing highs—often results in better risk/reward. • Uses EMA, a proven dynamic support/resistance: 200 EMA on 4H is widely respected by traders. ⸻ ⚠️ Risks and Weaknesses 1. False breakouts: A break of the 200 EMA may fail. Price can whipsaw around this level, especially in low volume or choppy markets. 2. No stop-loss/exit rule specified: Without risk management, even good setups can become costly. 3. Earnings or macro events: Can override technical patterns. Always check calendar before entering. 4. No volume filter: You may be buying into illiquid or manipulated stocks. Consider adding a volume threshold. 5. Ambiguity in “not near ATH”: How far from ATH is enough? A clear metric (e.g. “20% below ATH”) helps with consistency. ⸻ 🛠️ Suggestions to Improve • Add a volume confirmation: E.g. “Break above 200 EMA with 1.5x average volume.” • Define trend criteria more clearly (e.g. price above 50/100/200 EMA on daily). • Include entry, stop-loss, and profit target rules (e.g. ATR-based). • Consider RSI or MACD to confirm momentum shift at 200 EMA breakout. • Backtest this setup on 10–20 charts to see win rate and avg return. ⸻ 🧪 Example Setup: • Trend: Price above daily 50 and 200 EMA • Pullback: Stock is 10–20% below ATH • Entry: Bullish candle closes above 200 EMA on 4H with volume >1.5x average • Stop: Below recent swing low or 1 ATR • Target: Next resistance or 2:1 risk/reward
Been actively trading options for over 6 years now. My most successful strategies? Directional spreads in momentum markets, straddles during event-driven volatility, and systematic credit spreads in consolidation phases.I pivoted from naked options to defined-risk plays after realising how skewed the risk-reward was. I follow sector rotation, OI shifts, and global risk sentiment (VIX, INR/USD, US yields). For exits, I use ATR-based targets or IV crush zones post-event.The biggest game changer? Having a clear rule-based system, reviewing trades weekly, and attending strategy events to stay current.For anyone serious, I highly recommend the 5paisa Options Convention in Chennai,Pondicherry,Bangalore,Mysore,Hyderabad,Mumbai . It’s a great blend of veteran insights and real market application—not fluff. Here's the link: https://www.5paisa.com/blog/options-convention-2025-schedule
🤔 indeed…that stock can fly. Huge ATR.
I use Think or Swim and I like their charts. They show a nice visual indicator of earnings date so I can avoid that. I also look at the MACD+RSI to get a quick feel for overbought/oversold. I also added a script to give the current ATR (average true range) number so I can then go to the chain with some knowledge of what I'm looking for. Once a trade is on, I go back to the chart and quickly add a price line for the strike and dates. Then each day I can quickly scroll through the charts for a visualization of how the trades are holding up. BTW, I trade weeklies and have about 10 trades open so the charts are helpful for visualizing my status.
I considered it, but if it is based on ATR, I don't think it would be useful on timeframes other than 1D.
Herein lies the great options conundrum. If the underlying doesn't move, the options will be worthless. There has to be some risk involved for there to be an opportunity to profit. Take some times and learn about IV Rank and modifying your options strategy based on volatility. Don't ignore other measures like ATR and ADR as well.
market rhetoric is funny because it's always something. i do think we're in a more range driven market for sure, and we can see this represented in total ranges, and shorter term volatility metrics like ADR and ATR. that said, these are the kinds of markets that tend to be the most profitable for options traders because there is actually volatility - which we are ultimately slaves to. the trick is having a well rounded toolbox to pull from. traders that struggle in these markets tend to have one or two things they do which is to their own detriment. one of the few benefits of being a retail trader is our ability to rapidly reposition and change our approach quickly (for most, this is more of a drawback as they'll meander, strategy hop, etc - but in reality, for those that can manage this, it's a benefit). with my typical approach, I am trying to measure the market and make my portfolio fit appropriately. so with current markets that means im scaling back my core allocation (longer term momentum strategies) and leaning more heavily into shorter term strategies (breakouts/downs, PEAD, mean reversion, relative vol, etc) and uncorrelated returns (earnings, biotech, etc).
I use a 9 day and 20 day EMA crossover. But puts if it is a bearish crossover under VWAP, calls if it is a bullish crossover above VWAP. I use Bollinger Bands on VIX to look for reversals and breakouts. I confirm bullish or bearish using MACD, RSI, and I look at ATR, but those are secondary to the other indicators. When the indicators line up, I look for an option contract that is around $10. I try to get contacts that have a strike that is a multiple of 25. I find those give higher liquidity. I buy 10 contracts, around $10,000, give it take about $1000. When I buy the contract, I use a conditional order that puts a trailing stop at $1.00 based on the bid. I used to use the last price, but these contracts move so fast that it would go past my stop. I then set up a replacement order on the trailing stop, which changes it to $0.10 when I click place order. I then place this order when I get to my take profit, usually around $1500-$2000. That's it. It's basic. I backtested. My win rate is over 50%, and my RR is about 1:2.
It’ll be hard due to the ATR but also spy and qqq would have to have a red day all possible but it most definitely can hit 312 without major resistance 320 is where I’m looking to get in puts if market conditions are right
Your command of Statistical analysis is simply elementary at best. AH,, the scalping expert. 1 minute charts at the very best illiminate at best Micro Levels of price fluctuations. Using ATR generally is a decent indicator for minute intervals. And by the way 1-minute charts for BTC is ridiculous no matter what your direction is.
I'm not sure you're understanding what I'm laying down. I could give you some settings, but when the current market volatility changes, they'll likely not work anymore and then you'll be mad at me. Instead, I'll give you a process for your own experimentation. I use a combination of ATR and VIX to decide on the underlying's volatility. You could use others, such as IV Rank, etc. However, you can look at a combination of these indicators for any underlying and make a decision on whether it is in a historically high, medium, or low volatility market. You then pick a direction for your underlying based on other indicators to include a mix of indicator types (cycle, trend, etc) and then choose an options strategy based on that conclusion (divided into bullish, bearish, and neutral). More advanced option strategies can usually be divided up into low or high bullishness or bearishness. I generally use SPX, but if you're just starting out, you might consider XSP, or maybe some SPDR etfs (no ODTE here, though) instead for less risk until you nail down a process that works for you.
I typically target a spread around the expected move for the expiration period sometimes a little beyond expected move sometimes a little less. The expected move is a theoretical number implied by the options market. My broker offers it for me but you can do a easy calculation by adding the at the money straddle premium. Theoritcal Example: spy 5dte atm call is 5$ and atm puts are 5.5$ so the 5day expected move is 10.5$ So I would place my spread strikes around 8$ out of the money for the long option and 10-12$ otm for the short option depending on how much I believe volatility is mispriced. These trades typically have a 1:3 to 1:5 risk to reward. As far as what im looking for to place the trade, I try to line up the charts, looking for a type of consolidation such as a flag, pennant, head and shoulders, double top/bottom, to me it's all the same. Its price equilibrium and a distribution/accumulation of positioning. Once these areas are formed I set an alert and wait for price to confirm a breakout of the structure and this is where I enter the trade. I will say thay while I say to ignore news and media, im specifically referring to narratives. I dont care what the narrative is i care what the price is showing me. Often times they are conflicting and only after a move has happened does the narrative align with price. Its hindsight. The macro economic data is a little different and I think its important to watch and factor in to the trade plan. Will I be holding a position through any key data releases? Am I worried the data release will conflict with my trade and cause problems? Do I have enough time in the trade to hold through any short term volatility if it goes against me? These are all factors I consider when placing a trade, and while in a trade. If at all possible I try to align the aforementioned chart analysis and time it with the data releases. As aligning the two gives incredibly higher probability of success. Another thing that really helps finding trades and confirmation of the trade is cross asset correlations. If im trading dollar vs other currencies im watching gold as they tend to be inversely correlated. If im trading equity indexes im looking at VIX and other volatility metrics, and the 2y treasury note/spy ratio chart. Using this type of analysis is a great way to find confirmation in a trade that supports the underlying technicals. I also have chart indicators i use on my chart platform (trading view) that help me distinguish favorable risk to reward setups. If a underlying security is showing overbought conditions via any of the numerous indicators that show this, im much less likely to have a bullish bias, purely based on the risk to reward of that potential trade. Similarly, using average true range (ATR) indicator helps me distinguish the volatility. In the world of options, particularly being a buyer of options, money can't be made without volatility. And this goes back to my strike placement around expected moves. If the ATR is not increasing while price is moving in my favor, that trade is much less likely to pay me because the options were fairly priced. If I see ATR is increasing than it gives me more confidence in the options mispricing volatility and that is when I get paid. Combining all of these things, takes time and patience, and objective decision making. Its easy to only see what we want to see as a result of confirmation bias. But when aligning all of these ideas together it makes the picture a lot more clear and allows for profitable trading. There is still a subjective intuitive element to my trading and that comes with time in the markets. Your emotions as a beginner trader hurt you. As a seasoned veteran they can be invaluable in managing trades.
Yes, obviously. ATR is an indicator of what is happening with the underlying instrument.
ATR has reduced so SPY is moving less than before.
Honestly, you are minimizing your time in the market and severely decreasing risk, which is great. Typically the stock can only go so much during a day based on the ATR, so, again, you are minimized there too. I think what you are doing makes sense. I was doing this with $GUSH on oil and it worked, but I messed up on my stop loss on other stocks and now waiting on 1D entries and focusing on my career as day trading is pretty much it’s own career.
Jesus Christ, using 300k margin and risking 25k (based on ATR of roughly 5) to make 7k profit
“ Here’s a distilled, powerful version of everything you just said—trimmed down, sharpened, and ready to post if you want to clap back while keeping your edge, clarity, and command: ⸻ So let me get this straight: for a beginner trader, you’re seriously suggesting “learn the Greeks” as foundational advice? That’s like handing someone a calculus textbook on their first day of arithmetic. You think a noob trying to figure out how to buy to close or sell to open is going to make sense of Vega decay or gamma scalping? Stop cosplaying as a mentor. This isn’t about ChatGPT being wrong—it’s about you being lazy with the prompt and posting low-effort, regurgitated “truths” with zero nuance. “Boring equals profitable?” What does that even mean? Define boring. Low ATR? Low IV? If it doesn’t move, it’s not profitable for long calls or puts. If you’re selling, now you’re too close to the money. That’s not boring—that’s dangerous. Cash is a position? Sure. But why? When? Relative to what risk? What setups? You could’ve built an entire post around journaling alone—entries, exits, thesis, emotions, post-mortems. But instead, we get brochure-level clichés that do nothing but waste time. Stop using AI like a copy machine. Use it like a weapon. Think deeper. Say something worth reading. ⸻ Want to make it even more brutal? Or more sarcastic? Or keep it neutral but piercing? I can adjust the tone. “
0dte what? If you're talking spy... No the spread isn't bad at all on SPY, or QQQ... Not sure where you're getting that from. SPX, spread can be pretty wide on the lower volume strikes, but I've seen it pretty low like 5 cents. But generally it's around 10 cents on average for most well traded strikes, towards end of day that can go to like 20-30 cents if not worse, if we are talking like last 10-20 min of open. Value is 10x spy so spread is usually around that, but volatility is 10x spy. If daily ATR on SPX is 100, SPY daily ATR will be like 10. If you are talking long calls and puts trading, if you get into a strong setup on SPX 0dte or otherwise, you'll be surprised how quickly the spread is covered on the trade. A single 5 min candle on SPX can be 10-20 points sometimes. Idk I think you are inexperienced and are missing something in your evaluation, or you are guessing, back testing etc, but haven't tried it live...yes I make money with 0dte options it's about all I trade anymore. Now if you were talking NDX...yeah, that shit can be annoying to get filled, spreads can be stupid wide there so you gotta be careful at the strike you pick. Volume and open interest isn't as high on NDX as it is SPX, and definitely not SPY or Q's. But volatility, is very high on NDX, daily ATR has been very high on NDX, NQ etc... like 350-400...a single 5 min candle on NDX can be like 30-40 points sometimes, so even there... If the spread is wide, and you can get a solid like mid fill, or a little bit below the ask, you will be surprised how quickly a good move for you will move into profit. Contracts are expensive AF on NDX though, even 0dte. So yeah, that's all I have to say about this.
What was the trailing setup? Fixed percentage? ATR?
I used to momentum trade SPY option scalps up until two weeks ago. It's ATR has compressed so that strategy and also the ORB strategy won't work when there are limited breakouts and the range of movement has reduced. Either you need to change your strategy or move to a different instrument/stock that fits your method.
Idk if you're into technical analysis..I am, and it's made me a much better trader contrary to the average dumb wsb opinion..but anyways, if you are a chart guy, you should look at Average True Range, or ATR to help with stops. It's basically a metric that measures the volatility of any given ticker over time and essentially allows you to create an expected move based on the beta of the stock itself, along with current market vol conditions, so that you can place your stop more strategically. There's tons of YouTube videos on it. I've just gotten burned by S/L's more often than I have been saved by them. Now a days, I let the auction finish for the day, and then make a judgement call. And that's just for my swing positions. My core positions I'll never sell, so no need for a stop loss there either. That said, I will set really loose stop losses in case some headline causes a giant liquidation. Usually around -8% to 10%. But those are essentially my "circuit breakers"
I understand this is an old post, but just in case if others are revisiting this, here is a scientific article written which performed the ORB strategy on multiple time frames and found the 5m time frame on the opening candle to be the best: [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract\_id=4729284](https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4729284) They compared to other time frames such as the 15m, 30m, and 60m and found the 5m to work the best. They made sure also to select stocks which had the following criteria: 1. The opening price had to be above $5. 2. The average trading volume over the previous 14 days had to be at least 1,000,000 shares per day. 3. The ATR over the previous 14 days had to be more than $0.50. 4. The Relative Volume had to be at least 100%. 5. Trade the stocks with the top 20 Relative Volume.
I hope so. I want the volatility to stay high like this for as long as possible. When we truly rebound pressure is gonna get way weaker and my style of trading isn't as good in those conditions. I'm seeing the daily ATR's on ES/SPX, NQ/NDX faulter slightly, this last wee, moves still good but a little weaker. I want it to stay high so yeah I'm wanting more carnage, big intra day moves happen in markets like this, not boring bullish. So yeah I hope you're right but yeah I don't think we've seen true bottom yet, I think we'll bounce around in the short term but yeah months down we'll keep heading down. 🤞🏽
Here's my cheat sheet: 1) if volume spikes 3x the average, stay with it; 2) trailing stops at 2x daily ATR; 3) never let a winner become a loser (move stops to breakeven after taking 2R profits).
On which TF do you use the ATR? And why did you choose 1.5x as multiplier and not 2x?
Well, I'm only focusing on one at a time and right now SPX feels adequate and moves around enough. I don't think it would work if I tried doing several at the same time because I'm doing fast entries and with tiny movements when there's momentum. I'm an amateur, so I trend the same index on three separate time spans with the fastest being 30s. I look at the trend behavior and take my entry points based on the Bollinger bands, the RSI, MACD, RVI, ATR and the usual MA50, MA200
Thanks for your reply. I normally take into account the stock volatility and ATR, but my average is 0.3 delta too.
Over the 180-day observation window (Oct 28, 2024 – Apr 27, 2025), the discrete-time step count series exhibits a multi-regime stochastic process, initially modeled effectively as an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) mean-reverting process with a low β-mean reversion coefficient (~0.3) and suppressed realized variance (annualized σ² < 0.2). During the Nov–Feb window, the system demonstrates pronounced anti-persistence (Hurst exponent H ≈ 0.35), validating stationarity under Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) tests (p < 0.01), favoring countercyclical alpha harvesting strategies. Transition dynamics into March 2025 manifest through a bifurcation point characterized by volatility expansion, spectral density flattening, and an increase in Approximate Entropy (ApEn > 1.2), suggesting a stochastic drift toward a non-linear chaotic attractor. The April breakout displays an explosive move exceeding 4σ from the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA, λ=0.94), with accompanying kurtosis spike (κ > 8.5), and positive skewness, satisfying conditions for a regime switch under Markov Regime Switching (MRS) models. A Johnson SU distribution fit yields a better log-likelihood estimation versus Gaussian (ΔAIC > 12), implying the necessity to transition away from Brownian assumptions toward heavy-tailed Lévy processes. Under a dynamic factor decomposition framework, eigenvalue decomposition of the covariance matrix reveals first principal component dominance (>70% explained variance post-April), consistent with emergent monodimensional trend reinforcement. Realized Sharpe ratio optimization under rolling windows (30d) would trigger alpha migration from mean-reversion strategies (half-life = 8.3 days) to momentum capture systems (optimized lookback ~21 days), with layered convexity overlays (dynamic gamma-hedging straddles) to absorb tail exposure from anticipated mean-reversion events. Parametric VaR models (Gaussian and Cornish-Fisher expansions) both fail backtesting (Kupiec POF test, p < 0.05), mandating a shift to historical simulation or EVT-based (Extreme Value Theory) models for accurate risk calibration. Immediate allocation recommendations would favor volatility breakout algos with dynamic trailing stops calibrated to ATR(14) volatility bands. From a pure mathematical finance lens: the system has transitioned from a damped stochastic harmonic oscillator to a chaotic semi-Markovian process with boundary-skewed potential wells, now requiring entropy-maximizing stochastic control methodologies for efficient alpha extraction.
Generally when structuring positions that rely on a certain amount of movement, reviewing ATR for the relevant timeline is essential. What you didn't note here is the potential for total loss on these positions due to gamma/theta is quite high. Any kind of middling movement in SPY or whatever security will lead to you losing twice. And we have had weeks as such many times, where despite significant swings, SPY/SPX will finish a week near net neutral. If you really want to get into the math of straddles, you're gonna need some calculus experience or a computer's help modeling the Black-Scholes pricing structure. But this is a good rule of thumb. Required move to ensure profit on a straddle: call premium/call delta+put premium/(-1*put delta) Ex $1 premium on both options. .5 call delta, -.5 put delta. 1/0.5+1/(-1*-0.5)= 2+2=4 Minimum move required to guarantee breakeven in this position is $4 on the underlying. Gamma, theta and passage of time in general complicate this, and an option moving ITM and acccruing intrinsic value throws it out the window (you would need an option approx 2.5-3$ ITM to breakeven), but if you plan your positions on that idea you'll have a fighting chance. Options are complicated, and the market makers have supercomputers running the market. Don't ever think you're smarter than the other guy. Right or wrong there is no free lunch.
well, with SPY ATR (14) over 15pts, you're right they probably did well since april 3 or so!
I did well when I kept it as simple as possible. For the sake of not getting into all the details….. PMH, PML, PDH, PDL levels on the chart along with hourly levels and ATR for price targets. 9 & 20 SMA to help with entries and exits. After market open wait for a clean break with volume of either previous day or pre market level or both, and enter on a retest of said level or one of the 9/20 SMA. I refrained from entering any trades between 11am-2pm and always take profit along the way. Hot take: I really started profiting consistently when I quit using stop losses. I found myself getting stopped out leaving lots of money on the table more often than not. I’ve got a high risk tolerance which can lead to some very red days but the Green Day’s far outweigh them.