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COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
YOLO on $COST. You know that hotdog’s going to $2.50 🌭
Understanding the correct application of Price Implied Expectations (PIE)
As I've said before, Disney will completely cease to exist early this year.
Disney will completely cease to exist early this year.
Low cost hedge- Capping downside while maintaining upside with QQQ? Am I overlooking anything?
The biggest lesson that I've learned in my 10 year investing career.
Will COST stock price drop $15 after special dividend day?
Reminder: Costco ex-dividend date for special dividend 12/27
Why COST calls might be the play today for earnings
What is a good strike price for 0DTE COST calls?
COSTCO Earnings--ChatGPT Says Calls OR Puts, then Says Calls
Economic Events and Notable Earnings for the week starting 12-11
How to gain 3x with Adobe (ADBE) earnings today
How to gain 3x with Adobe (ADBE) earnings today
DOCU Earnings Alert: Everything you need to know 🚀🔥
Disney will completely cease to exist soon after this year.
Disney will completely cease to exist soon after this year.
HEAVY CAUTION!!! Closing a Short Put Option deep ITM...
I'm bully on $UBER and $LYFT but mostly UBER. Why? ....(Edited Repost with Positions-Per Moderator Request)
I’m just starting to invest and i’m 17 so far i’ve put into $ASO $SONY and $COST
Down 12k in 20 minutes. Disregarded my rules and lost 30% of my gains this year.
9/27/2023 - Monthly put credit spread to sell with highest ROC sorted by %OTM
Costco (COST): The Good, the Bad and the Ugly from Costco's Earnings Call
The Important News from the Stock Market Today (09/26/2023)
COST to the Moon? YOLO Time As Earnings Drop Today 🚀
Hopefully a redditor (?) can provide input -- JPY:USD spot forex position fully hedged via CME JPY
Match Group (MTCH) DCF Analysis: Tinder, Hinge and OkCupid DCF.
Hai Di Lao (HKG:6862) DCF Analysis: China's Best Hotpot Chain.
Quora user: "Warren Buffett is not the nice grandpa you think he is!"
PUTS on $COST they replaced the strawberry smoothie with this mango smoothie 🤮
Holy shit. Costco Karen came into my self checkout line to intercept scanning my Costco membership from my Google wallet,
🚨Apes this is a public announcement🚨AMC is Officially #2 out of 7,667 companies, Worldwide, for COST TO BORROW share rates 🚀 Battle of the apes: Buy hodl drs! Apes together strong 💪 🦍
$BOF new Peru manufacturing facility with help increase production and the bottom line
If Depreciation is MUCH higher than PP&E does it mean that the company will be incurring a big CAPEX spending very soon?
If Depreciation is MUCH higher than PP&E does it mean that the company will be incurring a big CAPEX spending very soon?
$BOF launches new snack product with $COST
Collagen supplement promoted by Jennifer Aniston recalled from $COST shelves; pieces of a broken plastic lid contaminated the product!
Frozen Strawberries at $COST recalled due to Hepatitis A Contamination!
How would you design your portfolio if your aim was to have the dividends from each company cover your purchases from that company?
This is the last time I try to help you all, after this I'm just here LOL with you Apes
ONCS Dilution withdrawn, FDA meeting.. MAY and over 573% COST TO BORROW.. FILL THAT GAP!
$PXMD - 66% SHORT / 375% COST TO BORRW / #3 on Fintel - TIME TO RUN AGAIN
$TOPS - UPDATED DILIGENCE - ENTERING STAGE 5 ELLIOT WAVE / 300% COST TO BORROW / OVER 40% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK
$TOPS - 300% COST TO BORROW / OVER 40% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK – OLD RUNNER!
Nike Reporting Q3 Today - This is why I'm getting puts.
$PXMD - 480% COST TO BORROW / OVER 50% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK - ROCKET TIME LADS!
$PXMD - #1 SQUEEZE PLAY / OVER 50% SHORT / 400% COST TO BORROW / MASSIVE FTDs
Dow Jones Rises After Key Economic Data; AI Stock Soars 23% On 'Dramatic Change' In Sentiment
$COST (Costco Latest Earnings) EPS Beat but Sales Miss. Sales +6.48%, Operating Income +5%, Net Income +12.86%
$COST (Costco Latest Earnings) EPS Beat but Sales Miss. Sales +6.48%, Operating Income +5%, Net Income +12.86%
$SINT 70% SHORT - NEW NUMBER 1 on MARKETWATCH - S3 also showing 70% short - 300% BORROWING COST on FIDELITY
Mentions
We're not going to hit bottom until COST has a reasonable PE.
Lol wut. The reason why COST has a higher PE than WMT is a combo of 24% growth in online sales, combined with a wealthy demographic that shops there. TGT, grocers, Kohls etc all have PEs half that because they haven't pulled off what those two players have.
I bought WMT a while ago at $47. I bought COST more recently around $920. I don’t go to Walmart often. But we go to Costco often and business seems always good there. I think COST is expensive. But it should be good in the long run.
COST hot dogs and pizzas are the best, calls on COST
COST is run by business prodigies and the 96' Bulls of management hits ATH again. >"People didn't know they needed a 16ft shed until they entered our store." >"We wanted to keep our hot dog at $1.50 so we made our own hot dog plants." >"Our chicken suppliers refused to work with us and make prices reasonable for our customers... so we made our own chicken plants." They exemplify creativity, resourcefulness and value creation by sheer will for customers, employees, all stakeholders.
Got myself costco flowers and a hotdog this morning Calls on COST
because some companies are good long term investments? i’m up over 100% with WMT and COST and will probably never sell them. I do hold a large amount of VTI, IDVO and VGT as well.
First thing is I only trade companies that I understand what they do and how they make the majority of their money. Next, I am a Fidelity customer so I use their resources and check what the analysts recommendations are. If they don’t align with my view I try to see what I am missing. I also use their screener to filter on the major variables that others have listed but am not strict on those unless some negative really stands out. I also read or listen to their earnings calls and have alerts set for any news on their tickers. I picked up AMAT a few months ago and had a good understanding of their business and have done really well with it, wish I had trusted myself enough to hold through earnings overnight. My other tickers that I have done well with here and there are V, GS, KO, MA, MSFT, COST. I try to avoid holding through earnings because I got burnt with Costco - was 100% right on fundamentals but earnings call comments killed it (“…something, something, something, expect tariff headwinds…”)
Lol nice one See above comment: It's not even 493, it's retardedly overvalued COST, WMT, DE, GE, CAT... Industrials. The rest (financials, consumer discretionary, software) are all bags too. My plan is to continue bagholding
Bag 7 lol. It's not even 493, it's retardedly overvalued COST, WMT, DE, GE, CAT... Industrials. The rest (financials, consumer discretionary, software) are all bags too. My plan is to continue bagholding
Heads up this market is being propped up by the Dow where you have stocks like WMT and COST trading at the same premium as NVDA. Next week WMT is going to tank on earnings and once that happens we'll see a hard hit to SPY. I think next week we dip into the 670s.
everything is fucking priced for bankruptcy compared to COST. Shits 50+ PE on a fucking 0 margin business thats already grown everywhere it can.
To clarify COSCO is NOT Costco (COST).
MCD, WMT, COST, CVX and so on for now at least...
BRK - it should be obvious, but it has great businesses and is still set up for long term success. COST - super well run, employees love it, customers love it. Both are great businesses/companies worth holding long term IMHO. I may end up holding other companies until 2030 but that depends more on what the market offers by then.
Until big tech actually earns their high forward PE, yes. Problem is, there's also a lot of overinflated other stocks. WMT and COST at 50x PE. We may be here a while.
COST cooked while the market Bled 😩
Lower than COST. It’s online shopping faster than AMZN (really chewing that pie away. Consumer condition driving more sales. Imho, the PE is ok because WMT isn’t anymore just physical cheap stores.
Abba-zaba (COST), you my only friend.
KO, WMT, COST, XOM trading at higher multiples than big tech. Boomer Buffet would be selling his dividend trash to buy undervalued tech 🤣😂🤣😂
Look at WMT and COST 🤷♂️
It's so fucking retarded. The market is saying yes we want COST at 50 forward pe and WMT at 48 forward pe but not Microsoft and meta at 22
COST only hedge left, hot dog and soda will be the new GLD
lol @ COST going up at a 45 again
Cheaper than WMT or COST at this point. Down 50% in one month with a solid earnings report to boot, this thing is trading as if management announced accounting fraud
white bread companies trading like tech. the bubble is COST, WMT, CAT, and etc. good luck with no long term growth.
If I didn't think the market was retarded, I would be shorting the shit out of COST.
#Save my PORT COST and NVDA
I only invest in high growth tech stocks like COST and WMT.
Anyone compare COST to WMT lately?
'Particularly high amongst lower income zip groups aswell as younger generations' $COST $HOOD
I think they waiting for the AI bubble to burst and stocks like COST are gonna blow up... here's the thing, at some point NVIDIA is going to catch up on the "demand" and they will plumet even if its for years away
S&P would be in the 6700s if not for the mindless propping up of the DOW. You have boomer stocks like WMT and COST trading at higher multiples than NVDA.
This market pushup is going to end hilariously. They want to dump tech but don't want to dump the overall market so they push up WMT and COST to 50 P/E higher than NVDA. At some point people are going to realize this is so stupid and dump everything all at once.
AAPL and COST inverse of the market, checks out
The problem is that the valuations don’t reflect that. Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon are all cheaper than KO, WMT, COST, PG, CVX, and tons of other low growth companies.
$COST can really run if it can break $1000 this week definitely a name to keep an eye on
True makes sense. Crazy that MSFT has 22 FPE and COST is 48 (WMT 44.5). Everybody chasing defensives lately
Last 5 years AMZN: +30%, WMT: +179%, COST: +184%
Shorting COST is crazy work. The stock has appreciated massively in the last 4 to 5 years and just keeps going up.
Walmart hitting $1T feels less like a hype moment and more like the market finally pricing what the business actually is... I ran a comp screen for companies with similar structural qualities to Walmart & not “retail vibes,” but the boring stuff that compounds: * scale * logistics and distribution advantages * steady ROE * consistent cash generation No surprise, names like HD, COST, TJX show up quickly. But what stood out to me is how long the market tends to treat these as “just retail” before eventually repricing them as something closer to infrastructure with cash flow. The pattern looks familiar: * Growth slows, expectations reset * Margins hold up better than expected * Cash keeps compounding * Multiple quietly expands * Suddenly it’s viewed as a platform, not a store Walmart just crossed that psychological threshold. The more interesting question (to me) is whether a few of the other large-scale, logistics-heavy names are earlier in that same arc. Not saying “next Walmart,” but the data suggests scale + distribution + pricing power still matter a lot, even when narratives change. Is this a one-off rerating, or do a few of these models still have room to surprise? Curious what others think..
Ha. I got lucky. I love flat/stable stocks with delta. I bought COST about thanksgiving for a little less than 900 (a whopping 10!shares) I have spent all day trying to decide if I take the @12% or hope it does go to 1050 like consensus. This relatively safe stock swings like $900-$1100 about once a year. Patience (or in my case neglect is key).
im seeing 25x earnings for Microsoft. COST at 50x earnings seems expensive but I wouldn't short it, it seems really risky to short a solid company just because they are overvalued.
Shorting DOES work if you know what you're doing, but that's probably less than 1% of the investable community. Shorting COST is not something I would recommend despite the lofty P/E ratio. That's a recipe for pain if it works against you. If you want exposure to the dark side and don't have a track record of shorting stock or a ball made out of brass, I'd recommend the myriad ETFs that provide short exposure to minimize your risk. Plus, negative rebates are no fun and god help you if margin calls come in.
If the margins on COST improved too much, everyone would stop shopping there. God forbid they charge $1.75 for a hot dog, it would be front page news
Even after getting used to bunch of retail growth tech stocks driving insane PE, COST and WMT valuations are almost equally difficult to swallow
Honestly I had some COST for a bit a few years back, it went up a lot and started to become silly so I sold, but it just never stopped. I really don't get how it got to that high of a PE for that long.
The discussion is on COST, not TSLA. I think elon is a full of shit conman, but if the robots actually take off, then you CAN argue TSLA is undervalued. I think its a stupid argment, but its an argument. COST is a retailer trading at 50 PE. It cannot grow too fast, its margins cannot get materially better, its a retailer. COST is almost 100% certain to underperform the SPY from here on a longer time frame just due to its valuation
> of investing, but if you use any of their products in the workplace, you probably understand I’ve said as much. Nobody in their right mind likes any Microsoft product or subscription. Meanwhile people are delighted and happily addicted to their COST subscriptions.
Counterpoint: Most people are forced to use Microsoft products and hate them more each day. They especially hate software as a subscriptiiom. Given the chance, they’d abandon Microsoft products in a heart beat, and that’s certainly evident in the mobile space. In B2B, everything Microsoft offers has 6+ hungry competitors. Costco is the the most beloved subscription business. People just using it, even without hype or frills. Subscription renewals lead the industry, even better than Netflix. They have no real competitor other than (maybe?) Sam’s Club, but that’s a stretch. One could argue Microsoft is vulnerable and Costco is uniquely the opposite. That said I’m not going to trade either. I’m more about relative strength and COST share price does tend to have its ups and downs.
Thanks for your input. Yeah, I’m a bull on MSFT, however I don’t short COST or any stock for that matter. For the reasons you pointed out. Just wanted to put these into perspective, in an only semi-serious way
I wouldn’t ever want to be short COST. I’m very long SOFI however
I get the logic, but I think this is mixing two very different kinds of risk and calling it value because the multiples look far apart. Microsoft at low 20s earnings makes sense if you believe earnings durability stays boring and compounding continues. That’s a business with pricing power, enterprise lock in, and very real switching costs. You’re mostly underwriting stability plus incremental upside. Shorting Costco at 50x is a different game. You’re not betting the business is bad, you’re betting sentiment cracks or growth disappoints enough for the multiple to compress. That can work, but it’s timing dependent and can stay wrong for a long time because Costco is one of the few retailers the market is happy to permanently overpay for. The Google comparison is interesting but not identical. Google’s multiple compressed because of ad cyclicality and regulatory fear at the same time. Costco’s multiple is tied to trust and execution, not growth hype alone. Those stories unwind differently. I agree with the broader point though. Wall Street often underestimates how sticky enterprise software really is, and overestimates how fast disruption actually happens. Most software “replacement” talk ignores migration cost, compliance, and the fact that companies hate changing tools that already work. Long MSFT feels like patience being rewarded. Short COST feels like being right eventually but having to survive the meantime. I write a bit about valuation versus narrative and where people get tripped up by multiples. If that kind of thinking is useful, it’s on my profile.
Added MSFT, GOOG, and to my short COST this morning (and PYPL which has been bruising) Searching through the rubble of the past week looked through my shorts yesterday to see which ones I'd go long. \- I think Sofi is a good buy right now even at 30x Fwd PE given how fast they are growing (40%+, 1 million members in Q4 to the 13m they already have) and how it's not dependent on crypto/options. More a better diversified banking experience with multiple verticals Still wouldn't touch \- Robinhood I just can't touch as even though they are around the same valuation, their earnings are so levered to crypto and options trading. \- COIN is just such a scummy business I won't touch them, would be long HOOD before COIN
Added MSFT, GOOG, and to my short COST this morning (and PYPL which has been bruising) Searching through the rubble of the past week looked through my shorts yesterday to see which ones I'd go long. \- I think Sofi is a good buy right now even at 30x Fwd PE given how fast they are growing (40%+, 1 million members in Q4 to the 13m they already have) and how it's not dependent on crypto/options. More a better diversified banking experience with multiple verticals \- Robinhood I just can't touch as even though they are around the same valuation, their earnings are so levered to crypto and options trading. \- COIN is just such a scummy business I won't touch them, would be long HOOD before COIN
COST inversing market…lol
Hey fam! Sorry in advance for the long post. Last month my wife and I had our firstborn, and friends and family gifted him some cash. Growing up, my parents were new to this country from a third world country working hard and using every penny to put food on our table and keep a roof over our head, and they never thought to open some sort of savings account for my sister and I. All our gift money was sort of put in a “piggy bank” and over time used for necessary expenses. I had decided a while back that I am going to do something different for my kids and set them up for financial success, and have something built up for them in case they want to buy a house or a car or even pay for school when time comes. I didn’t like the idea of a 529 plan since the funds have to be used for educational expenses. Instead, I decided to open a UTMA account through Fidelity and invest the money. This is basically a long term investment, at least 18 years if not more. As of now, with my very limited knowledge and experience with the stock market & investing, here is a breakdown of the portfolio: 60% - VOO 15% - VXF 10% - VXUS 3% - FBTC 2.5% - AAPL 2% - MSFT 2% - GOOGL 2% - V 2% - COST 1.5% - NVDA I would love to get some feedback if what I did was smart, or what any of you might have done different for your child? I just based these investments on somewhat of a safety net + what I believe in! There is currently $2500 invested with the breakdown I gave (down to about $2437 this last couple says) and my wife and I will be depositing $500 into this account monthly at least until he turns 1 and God willing longer than that, and all his gift money will go into this as well. And like I said, I don’t have too much knowledge about any of this and am new to investing myself. Thanks in advance!
We aren’t talking about slowly and carefully expanded the geo fenced locations you operate in. We are talking about market wide acceptance and scale at that kind of level. It’s not remotely debatable that Tesla is best positioned to scale at that level, BY A MILE and at WAY WAY LOWER COST. The question isn’t about ability to scale, it’s about whether their cars will get past regulatory scrutiny and adopted( which if it’s cheap it will) Like I said the two best bets are Tesla or no one for quite a while
It wasn’t bad either. Anyway, like I said WMT and COST still pumping
FWIW, WMT and COST are both pumping. This isn’t an economy problem, it’s an AI scare.
Your point is solid, but COST is not a grocery store. You could rewrite this with WMT and it works.
When are META and COST getting destroyed?
I don't follow COST, but Apple is overvalued too. Just because they didn't throw a ton of money into AI, doesn't mean they are valued correctly.
Hey look, COST isn’t being a POS finally
Well at least my COST shares have recovered 🤣 that and AVUV have saved me from total destruction
Lower p/e than a literal grocery store, COST
at least COST is getting close to 1k again
WMT, COST, any other 2% topline grower at 50x earnings..
do you not understand how buying and selling works? you dont get shit for free you have a COST AVERAGE
mfw COST and WMT have higher P/E ratios than tech companies
Generational rotation into COST
I somehow have turned into COST and AAPL value investor.
Here’s some guidance SMALLER COST MORE CHIPS
Saylor buying Bitcoin with now underwater bonds at the top: THIS LITTLE MANEUVER'S GONNA COST ME 15 YEARS IN FEDERAL PRISON
WMT and COST PE is double MSFT.
I’m old enough to remember people in here saying COST was overvalued at 850 and it went up $130 right after
The all in COST is 16. Meaning it's what it costs to mine and refine. If they sold at 16, they would make no profit. So clearly that isn't happening. There is a TON of silver in the ground. Ramping up production isn't that hard. The shortage story is a lie.
Story of my ~~life~~ current portfolio (Currently only COST)
Stock market is chaotic, crypto is ass, treasuries are useless with inflation, even ol reliables like COST aren't safe, its spiked 15% in the last month and has has been +- 5-15% each month. I asked this the other day as a joke but now im legit curious... What is safe? Gold has always been an insanely safe way to store wealth and now it feels like a memestock.
Lots of people talking about buying MSFT but the reason seems to be "I know of Microsoft and it's down a lot." People seem to view MSFT as "an exciting AI name!" when you could have done better in EAT, WING, COST and WMT over the last 5 years, among other things. When Chili's is outperforming what is supposed to be an exciting tech company that's....not great. Could have done a lot better in IBKR over the last 5 years as people piled into stocks. All the medical distribution companies have beat mega cap tech (aside from NVDA) over the last 5 years...
I'd rather continue to own where companies are spending than the companies doing the spending. People keep habitually/default buying Mag 7 while things like memory, optics and other things have mooned. Another $6B from Meta the other day to Corning for fiber optic, for example. That's what's done better/best over the last 2-3 years and so far this year that has absolutely continued. Is META fine? Sure. But are there a lot of things - some of which are relatively boring - out there that have done better in recent years? Yeah. Even something like COST has outperformed META, MSFT, AAPL and AMZN over the last 5 years. EAT is up there - if the parent company of Chili's is outperforming a tech stock, maybe it's just me but that's... not thrilling. You'd have done meaningfully better over the last 5 years in WMT than in AMZN, AAPL or MSFT and yet people keep pressing the same bets on here. In any case, where large companies have been spending has continued to be a better bet than a number of the large companies themselves. Does that flip eventually and the large companies do better? Perhaps but 2-3 years of MSFT underperforming WMT of all things is some absolute opportunity cost in the meantime.
I'm not bagholding (yet) but could we get some love for COST
Over the last 5 years, 1 year and YTD you'd have done better with WMT/COST than MSFT. This sub is buying every Mag 7 habitually rather than looking at how some of them are doing in recent years vs even boring other things. There used to be so much more discussion on here about various growth names, now it's so much Mag 7. Might as well be r/cnbc at this point
I just wanted 185. Nobody is predicting for it to go to the moon and I don’t want here anything about too high. People are making full positions in MU at these levels I don’t give a fuck what the P/E ratio is. I also heard people telling me COST was too expensive at 850 now look at it so miss me with that
COST hot dogs are the anchor that is keeping USD from falling off the cliff
I think WMT and COST for consumer staples. As price pressures keep up, they will seem to struggle but really they will win market share and long term loyal customers.
Why is COST trading at near $1000 again where is their growth
Puts on $GM and calls on $COST - got it !!
What is your thesis to short COST ?
Collectively lost $10k from shorting SLV, GLD, USAR, COST and UUUU via naked calls.