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COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
YOLO on $COST. You know that hotdog’s going to $2.50 🌭
Understanding the correct application of Price Implied Expectations (PIE)
As I've said before, Disney will completely cease to exist early this year.
Disney will completely cease to exist early this year.
Low cost hedge- Capping downside while maintaining upside with QQQ? Am I overlooking anything?
The biggest lesson that I've learned in my 10 year investing career.
Will COST stock price drop $15 after special dividend day?
Reminder: Costco ex-dividend date for special dividend 12/27
Why COST calls might be the play today for earnings
What is a good strike price for 0DTE COST calls?
COSTCO Earnings--ChatGPT Says Calls OR Puts, then Says Calls
Economic Events and Notable Earnings for the week starting 12-11
How to gain 3x with Adobe (ADBE) earnings today
How to gain 3x with Adobe (ADBE) earnings today
DOCU Earnings Alert: Everything you need to know 🚀🔥
Disney will completely cease to exist soon after this year.
Disney will completely cease to exist soon after this year.
HEAVY CAUTION!!! Closing a Short Put Option deep ITM...
I'm bully on $UBER and $LYFT but mostly UBER. Why? ....(Edited Repost with Positions-Per Moderator Request)
I’m just starting to invest and i’m 17 so far i’ve put into $ASO $SONY and $COST
Down 12k in 20 minutes. Disregarded my rules and lost 30% of my gains this year.
9/27/2023 - Monthly put credit spread to sell with highest ROC sorted by %OTM
Costco (COST): The Good, the Bad and the Ugly from Costco's Earnings Call
The Important News from the Stock Market Today (09/26/2023)
COST to the Moon? YOLO Time As Earnings Drop Today 🚀
Hopefully a redditor (?) can provide input -- JPY:USD spot forex position fully hedged via CME JPY
Match Group (MTCH) DCF Analysis: Tinder, Hinge and OkCupid DCF.
Hai Di Lao (HKG:6862) DCF Analysis: China's Best Hotpot Chain.
Quora user: "Warren Buffett is not the nice grandpa you think he is!"
PUTS on $COST they replaced the strawberry smoothie with this mango smoothie 🤮
Holy shit. Costco Karen came into my self checkout line to intercept scanning my Costco membership from my Google wallet,
🚨Apes this is a public announcement🚨AMC is Officially #2 out of 7,667 companies, Worldwide, for COST TO BORROW share rates 🚀 Battle of the apes: Buy hodl drs! Apes together strong 💪 🦍
$BOF new Peru manufacturing facility with help increase production and the bottom line
If Depreciation is MUCH higher than PP&E does it mean that the company will be incurring a big CAPEX spending very soon?
If Depreciation is MUCH higher than PP&E does it mean that the company will be incurring a big CAPEX spending very soon?
$BOF launches new snack product with $COST
Collagen supplement promoted by Jennifer Aniston recalled from $COST shelves; pieces of a broken plastic lid contaminated the product!
Frozen Strawberries at $COST recalled due to Hepatitis A Contamination!
How would you design your portfolio if your aim was to have the dividends from each company cover your purchases from that company?
This is the last time I try to help you all, after this I'm just here LOL with you Apes
ONCS Dilution withdrawn, FDA meeting.. MAY and over 573% COST TO BORROW.. FILL THAT GAP!
$PXMD - 66% SHORT / 375% COST TO BORRW / #3 on Fintel - TIME TO RUN AGAIN
$TOPS - UPDATED DILIGENCE - ENTERING STAGE 5 ELLIOT WAVE / 300% COST TO BORROW / OVER 40% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK
$TOPS - 300% COST TO BORROW / OVER 40% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK – OLD RUNNER!
Nike Reporting Q3 Today - This is why I'm getting puts.
$PXMD - 480% COST TO BORROW / OVER 50% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK - ROCKET TIME LADS!
$PXMD - #1 SQUEEZE PLAY / OVER 50% SHORT / 400% COST TO BORROW / MASSIVE FTDs
Dow Jones Rises After Key Economic Data; AI Stock Soars 23% On 'Dramatic Change' In Sentiment
$COST (Costco Latest Earnings) EPS Beat but Sales Miss. Sales +6.48%, Operating Income +5%, Net Income +12.86%
$COST (Costco Latest Earnings) EPS Beat but Sales Miss. Sales +6.48%, Operating Income +5%, Net Income +12.86%
$SINT 70% SHORT - NEW NUMBER 1 on MARKETWATCH - S3 also showing 70% short - 300% BORROWING COST on FIDELITY
Mentions
\#1, The Market is a hedge against Inflation...AKA Dollar devaluation \#2, The Market tells us where investors are going: Risk or Safety Check you Costco, COST and you'll see it's recent accumulation since January.
Well those are recession plays and stocks do split but you can try shorting COST and I wish you the very best of luck
The stock market is ultimately a ponzi. You will never get your money back buying WMT or COST at these prices. That is why it has to go up forever. Otherwise the whole system comes crashing down and the government of the United States will never let that happen, not now, not in 500 years, not ever.
I'm primarily in gold miners and secondarily in silver/uranium miners. I also have some GLD/SLV LEAPS calls, but the IV may be too high for that at the moment. There may be better alternatives, though. I'm no professional. Generally, stuff with low enough P/E (under 15) and high necessity (people can't avoid buying it) may also do the job, but those opportunities have mostly vanished (e.g. retards bidding up WMT/COST to high heavens) and even emerging markets are no longer cheap (when considering the extra geo/political risk).
I'm overweight in LNT, basically a counter-cyclical energy stock. I'm also holding some Costco, which has been kind of a dog, but has rebounded a bit. My mutual funds and index funds have all lost money, but the LNT and COST have kept me in the black overall. I actually went up over $2k yesterday and was up for the week even though the week was so rocky in the DOW and NASDAQ.
COST & WMT Trading at 40+ forward P/E
\-BESSENT ASKED IF COST WOULD EVER MAKE HIM TELL TRUMP WAR NO LONGER AFFORDABLE: "ABSOLUTELY NOT" - SKY NEWS- hahaha
These are the days I love having WMT and COST.
These are the days I'm happy I have COST & WMT as staples.
Yes, but also you don't have to play such short dated positions, this is just pure gambling. You can make educated guesses with options and set stop-losses but it's still very risky. IMO a better strategy is to have cash on hand and look for opportunities to buy beat down stocks with solid balance sheets. NOW, CRM, NFLX, COST are recent examples of good stocks that sold off for various reasons and bounced.
Gold Silver Military stocks Defensive stocks (PG ORLY COST ROST) Might not be a bad idea to put money in bonds to grow it for when this is all over. (My guess is summer/fall)
If Costco relies on shipping does that mean even COST isn’t safe or does it just push through everything forever
im sure sure this admin will launch a BENGAZI like investigation into UNAFFORABLE gas prices, UNAFFORDABLE COST OF LIVING
costco parking lot? come on COST
Sader. I was drilling into a wall in 2018 in my house. My stud finder said I was in wood, but it went through to easily. I pushed further and hit the hot water pipe. It shot a 30 ft maximum water temp through the wall to the other side of my place. I addressed the water frantically. Months later, I was looking for my codes because I'd bought a new trezor. I couldn't find them and couldn't remember the code to get into the trezor I had. I looked everywhere. I eventually found them in my bookshelf that had been hit 30ft across by the water. Water damaged, faded away. all BTC and ETH purchased from 2016-2017, gone. (11btc+, and 80eth+). I was spooked from it all and didnt want to ever touch it again. In 2020, I slowly starting buying again. In 2021, had reaccumulated 1.6 btc from slow purchases. put all of it into SPELL. it ran up to 8BTC + worth. Then it came out that the treasury for SPELL was connected to QUADRIGACX collapse and potential founder death. It fucking cratered before I was even aware since I wasn't frequently checking. It fell all the way back to pretty much my initial, AND I HELD. SUNK COST FALLACY hit hard with LOSS AVERSION. (understand these). I took the 'last' BTC I had and wanted to put it somewhere 'secure'. I SHOULD have put it into USDC or USDT if I had the knowledge I have now. My cousins who had been in before me, and with the feeling of SCF and LA alive in me, had me highly suggestible to any insights or recommendations. They recommended I put I put it into a 'blue chip NFT'. so I bought a high rarity Doodle. :(. A few months later, Doodle pumped and I didn't sell. A few months after that, the Doodle founder came out saying 'Doodle was never meant to be an investment vehicle', CRATERED 80-90%. so from 1.64 reaccumulated BTC (+ 20 ETH that I had on the side making some trades), I went up to 8BTC, greed held, cratered to 0.4 BTC. ETH from 20> 46>4>2). Loss aversion brings me back to this, and other effed up investments
Why is COST struggling?
Just my two cents, but my contrarian view is that WMT is pretty much the only consumer staples company out there that won't go under when the market is having a hard time (COST has been struggling hard), so people are putting a lot of faith in them as the only leader of that sector. It doesn't help that they recently swapped to the NASDAQ, which (like LLY) anchors their market cap to that shiny $1T valuation. TL;DR: There's probably too much institutional money parked in WMT right now for being the only decent staples play. So there are hard floors that'll be difficult for bears to plough through.
Bitcoin taught people that you can make money off of literally nothing. WMT rallying to this valuation is the same thing that happened to COST 2 years ago, people asked the exact same questions lol. It's a different market now. Institutions use stocks like WMT COST AAPL as a money sponge when uncertainty arises with the consumer.
I always trade the nearest expiration - in this case, Friday the 16th. I play from both the short and long side. I'll go long when implied volatility appears to be underpricing the potential move and I can structure a trade with a solid reward-to-risk ratio and positive expected value. The short side requires the opposite - last week, for instance, $COST options appeared overpriced heading into the event, so I sold an iron condor and closed it shortly after the open once vol crush was nearly fully realized, booking a solid profit. I look at several metrics to make the decision, including: 1. Vol crush 2. Historical actual moves versus implied move 3. Standard deviation of historical moves 4. EV of the structure's payoff using a PDF using at-the-money IV
Calls on Oil, Defense stonks, and COST because its a winner
My mom just told me she has a bunch of FE stock. She told me a while ago she bought a lot of COST when it was $80 a share. Might have to start asking her for financial advice.
>GOOGLE, MICROSOFT, META, AMAZON AND SEVERAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE COMPANIES SIGNED A PLEDGE AT THE WHITE HOUSE TO BEAR THE COST OF NEW ELECTRICITY GENERATION TO POWER THEIR DATA CENTERS "Companies pledge billions they don't have, to build a non planned electric grid, for data centers not financed yet, running on models from fundraising startups" That will go well
Bought some more KLG and COST lol.
I don't think you understand what the term bubble means in stocks and finance. It means an asset's value has increased sharply and beyond any reasonable fundamentals, purely based on speculation and lack of supporting instrinsic value. NVDA only added $4t worth of equity value to its shareholders over past 5 years. It passed AAPL last quarter for highest ever quarterly profit for a US public company. NVDA currenlty trades at a lower P/E than WMT and COST. I don't know what you look for in a stock, but doesn't get much better than that.
made about $189 on a COST iron condor for earnings. Now at Costco and just spent $417 what a scam
The market is absolutely retarded on AMZN. WMT and COST 45 and 53? What the absolute fuck. All 3 should be 30pe.
Why COST don't move?
Looking at COST chart, you wouldn't even know they had earnings today
About to be some 5yr bag holders of MCD,COST,WMT etc...
COST earnings is a nothing burger. -0.30% lmao
Would be fun if COST announce a split
Why nobody talking about COST?
Imagine if COST increases the hot dog price we would be so fucked
Especially with COST earnings tonight
How worried should I be that COST (Costco) swings more than 3% overnight? (below 954 or above 1050)?
This is a post that would have been way better off if you just copy pasta from Chat GPT since you clearly don't know much about the retail / ecom business or either of these companies WMT has literally the best tech in retail / ecommerce behind AMZN, they've been crushing it in ecommerce, they have stores in virtually every town in the US, Sams has 95% of the same stuff Costco does for a cheaper subscription, they are growing FASTER than COST...I could go on The are both overvalued IMO but you think Costco is justified at a HIGHER PE because "vibes" I guess
Really, since when? I’m relatively heavy in $COST & think they will have great earnings tomorrow. Also when it comes to market rotation it’s best to look at the sector ETFs. I use the [State Street Sector Tracker](https://www.ssga.com/us/en/individual/resources/sector-tracker?WT.mc_id=ps_etf-sec_sectors-funds_us_google_slink_psnb_mf1_lp-sl1_nov25&gclsrc=aw.ds&&_bt=781354252522&_bk=sector%20etf&_bm=p&_bn=g&_bg=70797238455&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=1939483851&gbraid=0AAAAACz5AuMeFzVDec3wkPP8IE_jIZfOM&gclid=EAIaIQobChMInNHZwPyHkwMVH07_AR2biBf7EAAYASABEgIs0_D_BwE#currentTab=monthThree) and 3 months into the year energy is up 23%, materials 16%, industrials 14% and consumer staples 11%.
I don’t know about that but my Swiss ETF EWL returned ~32% last year and it still is at a 24 P/E. Also, one of the larger emerging market ETFs, IEMG also returned ~32% last year. If the dollar is weak buy emerging markets. This trend may not continue but IEMG is up ~7% YTD. The US government spent all the tariff money and all the companies spearheaded by COST’s 2025 lawsuit want that money back. I have zero confidence in the federal government to reign in spending and prevent hyperinflation. They want another $50 billion for the “not a war” in Iran.
True. Average Eloncel port: TSLA, WMT, COST. Thats it.
Ngl I've been malding watching WMT and COST not tank at these valuations. I have no idea why regards are still buying these FUCKING SUPERMARKETS at 50x earnings and dumping MSFT at 24. Market is more emotional than my ex
The stock market is in a major bubble. Look at the PE for $COST. The people buying these stocks at these prices are bat-shit crazy. However, note that most of the shareholders of these stocks are institutions. Why? Because institutions manage ETFs, such as SPY, VOO, QQQ which all contain WMT. People put alot of their retirement money into index ETFs. They do that blindly, with no thought as to what that is doing to the PE of the constituents. That money has to go somewhere. So it goes into all of them, driving up the price. The more indexes a stock is in, the worse it gets.
Same reason as COST. Solid companies that and still growing. Even if not at crazy levels. Do well even in recessions or war.
COST is overvalued at the current price point
Escort FOR A COST. Did you not read his own words?? This is meant for upper-income countries. It's intended to achieve U.S. foreign policy objectives not some benevolent civilian escort service and specifically for oil whose cost will be passed to consumers. Spin it anyway you want, Trump profits off selling US assets. Ask Jared.
Have to go tomorrow and get groceries. If my full port was COST I’d be so fine tomorrow
What’s the next play? I’m looking at COST 👀
COST is going to absolutely murder earnings.
GOOG flat, AMZN, WMT, COST and MRVL up, NFLX mooning
Forget Mag7, COST and WMT are the new overlords of the stock market
COST stock split this time? Dare I dream?
COST reporting next week
COST Hot dog and Coke still one of the best deals in the Western World.
These are good things. Let's hope they're buying the tech dip and not more WMT or COST.
The P/E is inflated by COST and WMT. The equal-weight S&P 500 consumer staples ETF has a P/E of 18.
Could and would/will are two very different statements. Still have no idea why COST trades at such a premium.
I like NVIDIA, but it needs to work a little harder for a WMT or COST multiple
COST has been trading sideways for an eternity
WMT and COST trading at around double the PE with half the growth of MSFT AMZN GOOGL is pretty wild.
Sold COST and added AVGO to the port because I ain't no boomer
what else do you want to know? WMT is trading at a 43 forward P/E with 11% EPS growth and Costco is trading at 44 forward P/E with 9% EPS growth. Nvidia is trading at a 24 forward P/E with 67% EPS growth. WMT / COST are overvalued and NVDA is undervalued but wall street thinks the opposite at the moment.
WMT COST They are trading at 40+ forward P/E
This has been a very momentum-driven market in both directions. Expensive stocks like COST, WMT, CAT, and DE keep going up despite having P/E ratios of 53, 46, 41, and 36. Then you've got stocks like ADBE and NVO at P/E ratios of 15 and 11. NVO is a long even without obesity treatment at all. Their core diabetes business will continue to grow for decades. ADBE has a buyback yield over 10%. "Mr. Market is there to serve you, not to guide you." - Warren Buffett
So...are we in a market where valuation is literally irrelevant and stocks like COST and WMT will just go up on slight growth? Is that the gameplan or is this all setting up for a massive rug later in the year?
By what WMT or AMZN? There isn't a single competitor that can even touch COST for membership based shopping.
I don't know what to even buy anymore except COST that company will outlast everything else.
WMT and COST are clocking 50X P/E. lol. Incredibly retarded market.
COST leaps here? Thinking about setting and forgetting from this circus.
Maybe for SaaS but people are buying WMT/COST/MCD at 45 P/E's lol
lol Get COST/CAT/MCD too Value Investing!
God bless all the retards that show their presence here today. For all you normal people that have happened by may your dollars slip through your fingers into the nether, may your COST hotdog be cold and your DPZ pie be undercooked. Love ya all. Have a good week.
Defensive ETFs often look “expensive” because staples and large caps have run up, that’s pretty normal in drawdowns. If you’re hunting value, consider sector-rotated or equal-weight defensive ETFs rather than market-cap weighted ones, and don’t just look at staples. For example, equal-weight consumer staples or healthcare ETFs tend to trim the big WMT/COST dominance and give broader exposure. Other areas worth a look for defence are utilities and low-volatility strategies (they won’t be as pricey as mega staples now). No magic ticker, but shifting away from market-cap heavy defensive funds toward equal-weight or multi-sector defensive baskets gives a fresher, less concentrated exposure right now.
OMG the Mexican drug cartels are burning Costcos trying to destroy my COST calls
COST, WMT and AMZN gonna put their foots up Donnie's ass to get their tariff cash back
I know, infact some retail stocks like WMT, COST in deep red rather than rebounding. Market believes tariffs will stay in some other form.
The best tariff rebound play was AMZN and furniture stocks, they had been hurting badly due to tariffs. All of them up bigly today. I am surprised WMT and COST arn't up.
Going by your "genius" explanation, what should we be pricing COST? 100 yrs of "steady growth" ? 1000 yrs of "steady growth" ? Yeah, it is expensive as shit and it is no hyper-growth tech company, deal with it!
I did some research on stocks that tend to do well even during recessions. Some of the companies mentioned were WMT, COST, TJX, and auto parts retailers such as AZO and ORLY.
The real bubble was WMT and COST all along.
I'm completely in agreement. This isn't a proper sector rotation imo, it's temporary refuge. We didn't have big earnings misses, didn't have major negative catalysts, etc. We had a noisy short term macro environment, a higher than expected capex shock, and a technical cascade that's led tech giants to sit firmly in oversold territory. If SPY had dropped significantly, I'd think we were moving to a longer term defensive positioning - we'd see the money flow not just into defensive stocks but other safe haven asset classes. It could unwind quickly from here, or it could consolidate into a drawdown - but I'm heavily betting against an equity drawdown. We've got NVDA earnings coming up, PCE figures, and a potential Supreme Court tariff decision. You've got earnings calls still to come for the likes of WMT, COST, etc - the stocks that the money has shifted to and are now very overcrowded. Earnings could give liquidity for an exit for institutions, as well as a potential "sell the news" effect regardless of results. Once that starts unwinding, and the opportunity to buy into the hyperscalers at exceptionally low P/Es (and with potential for massive growth over the next few years) starts to disappear, we could see a flood re-entering. If we get a cool PCE, it's hard to see how this doesn't play out. Oracle is a bad move though. Shits fucked.
> CNBC reports on stocks after their big moves when we are near short term tops. Where was CNBC talking about $WMT and $COST a year or 2 ago? They weren't. What are you talking about? I will bet your whole portfolio they were.
US Large Cap Index - 51.8% NVDA - 13.9% Home Equity - 11.6% Int'l Developed Mkts Index - 9.4% VGT Tech Index - 5.4% AMZN - 2.7% CD & Money Mkt - 0.9% Pension - 0.8% MSFT - 0.7% Brokerage Cash - 0.6% GOOG - 0.5% COST - 0.5% PANW - 0.4% Checking - 0.2% AVGO - 0.2% SNDK - 0.1% High Yield Savings - 0.1%
The good news is you have until August! TIME TO DOLLAR COST AVERAGE BABY! BUY BUY BUY!
WMT beats? COST goes down as a competitor. WMT misses? COST goes down in sympathy. I hold COST shares if you couldn’t tell.
Relax. Both are great companies. It's just usually CNBC reports on stocks after their big moves when we are near short term tops. Where was CNBC talking about $WMT and $COST a year or 2 ago? They weren't. They were talking whatever tech stock their audience wants to hear them talk about. CNBC is entertainment, not news.
You think CNBC “suckered everyone into buying WMT and COST”? How? Why? Who is “everyone”?
COST and WMT are probably at their ATH's for the next 5yrs.
CNBC is sure talking up buying Apple as defensive. Didn't they just sucker everyone into buying into $WMT and $COST at ATH's??
oh this question. Well, the thing is, Mag 7 earnings are all bullshit because they arent properly depreciating their assets which pumps their earnings. Also, everything is non GAAP which muddies the water even more. AAPL is stupidly overvalued for example. 35 PE or whatever for their growth over the past 5 years is nonsense. NVDA is paying vendors to buy their chips and many of them arent even hooked up yet because theres no power for them. And now you have things like WMT, COST, etc trading at tech valuations. If you dont think the market is overvalued, thats cool, you are allowed to think that
COST is crazy. Great company, but P/E 49? So, I trimmed by COST position. My wife turned around and bought the same amount in her IRA. I guess that I am riding this one into the sunset, one way or another.