COST

Sandvicheater

By what WMT or AMZN? There isn't a single competitor that can even touch COST for membership based shopping.

Sandvicheater

I don't know what to even buy anymore except COST that company will outlast everything else.

sailortyx56

WMT and COST are clocking 50X P/E. lol. Incredibly retarded market.

Disgruntled_FSO

COST leaps here? Thinking about setting and forgetting from this circus.

whodey84

Maybe for SaaS but people are buying WMT/COST/MCD at 45 P/E's lol

whodey84

lol Get COST/CAT/MCD too Value Investing!

27onfire

God bless all the retards that show their presence here today. For all you normal people that have happened by may your dollars slip through your fingers into the nether, may your COST hotdog be cold and your DPZ pie be undercooked. Love ya all. Have a good week.

Distinct-Yak-7385

Defensive ETFs often look “expensive” because staples and large caps have run up, that’s pretty normal in drawdowns. If you’re hunting value, consider sector-rotated or equal-weight defensive ETFs rather than market-cap weighted ones, and don’t just look at staples. For example, equal-weight consumer staples or healthcare ETFs tend to trim the big WMT/COST dominance and give broader exposure. Other areas worth a look for defence are utilities and low-volatility strategies (they won’t be as pricey as mega staples now). No magic ticker, but shifting away from market-cap heavy defensive funds toward equal-weight or multi-sector defensive baskets gives a fresher, less concentrated exposure right now.

bigmeatbag

OMG the Mexican drug cartels are burning Costcos trying to destroy my COST calls

bigmeatbag

COST, WMT and AMZN gonna put their foots up Donnie's ass to get their tariff cash back

Outrageous_Tip_2133

I know, infact some retail stocks like WMT, COST in deep red rather than rebounding. Market believes tariffs will stay in some other form.

Outrageous_Tip_2133

The best tariff rebound play was AMZN and furniture stocks, they had been hurting badly due to tariffs. All of them up bigly today. I am surprised WMT and COST arn't up.

daftstar

$COST

liverpoolFCnut

Going by your "genius" explanation, what should we be pricing COST? 100 yrs of "steady growth" ? 1000 yrs of "steady growth" ? Yeah, it is expensive as shit and it is no hyper-growth tech company, deal with it!

3D-spaghetti-monster

I did some research on stocks that tend to do well even during recessions. Some of the companies mentioned were WMT, COST, TJX, and auto parts retailers such as AZO and ORLY.

FalseDiamond7930

The real bubble was WMT and COST all along.

ahopye

I'm completely in agreement. This isn't a proper sector rotation imo, it's temporary refuge. We didn't have big earnings misses, didn't have major negative catalysts, etc. We had a noisy short term macro environment, a higher than expected capex shock, and a technical cascade that's led tech giants to sit firmly in oversold territory. If SPY had dropped significantly, I'd think we were moving to a longer term defensive positioning - we'd see the money flow not just into defensive stocks but other safe haven asset classes. It could unwind quickly from here, or it could consolidate into a drawdown - but I'm heavily betting against an equity drawdown. We've got NVDA earnings coming up, PCE figures, and a potential Supreme Court tariff decision. You've got earnings calls still to come for the likes of WMT, COST, etc - the stocks that the money has shifted to and are now very overcrowded. Earnings could give liquidity for an exit for institutions, as well as a potential "sell the news" effect regardless of results. Once that starts unwinding, and the opportunity to buy into the hyperscalers at exceptionally low P/Es (and with potential for massive growth over the next few years) starts to disappear, we could see a flood re-entering. If we get a cool PCE, it's hard to see how this doesn't play out. Oracle is a bad move though. Shits fucked.

AntoniaFauci

> CNBC reports on stocks after their big moves when we are near short term tops. Where was CNBC talking about $WMT and $COST a year or 2 ago? They weren't. What are you talking about? I will bet your whole portfolio they were.

appletart40

US Large Cap Index - 51.8% NVDA - 13.9% Home Equity - 11.6% Int'l Developed Mkts Index - 9.4% VGT Tech Index - 5.4% AMZN - 2.7% CD & Money Mkt - 0.9% Pension - 0.8% MSFT - 0.7% Brokerage Cash - 0.6% GOOG - 0.5% COST - 0.5% PANW - 0.4% Checking - 0.2% AVGO - 0.2% SNDK - 0.1% High Yield Savings - 0.1%

pachewychomp

The good news is you have until August! TIME TO DOLLAR COST AVERAGE BABY! BUY BUY BUY!

chimble

WMT beats? COST goes down as a competitor. WMT misses? COST goes down in sympathy. I hold COST shares if you couldn’t tell.

drew-gen-x

Relax. Both are great companies. It's just usually CNBC reports on stocks after their big moves when we are near short term tops. Where was CNBC talking about $WMT and $COST a year or 2 ago? They weren't. They were talking whatever tech stock their audience wants to hear them talk about. CNBC is entertainment, not news.

AntoniaFauci

You think CNBC “suckered everyone into buying WMT and COST”? How? Why? Who is “everyone”?

whodey84

COST and WMT are probably at their ATH's for the next 5yrs.

drew-gen-x

CNBC is sure talking up buying Apple as defensive. Didn't they just sucker everyone into buying into $WMT and $COST at ATH's??

MutaliskGluon

oh this question. Well, the thing is, Mag 7 earnings are all bullshit because they arent properly depreciating their assets which pumps their earnings. Also, everything is non GAAP which muddies the water even more. AAPL is stupidly overvalued for example. 35 PE or whatever for their growth over the past 5 years is nonsense. NVDA is paying vendors to buy their chips and many of them arent even hooked up yet because theres no power for them. And now you have things like WMT, COST, etc trading at tech valuations. If you dont think the market is overvalued, thats cool, you are allowed to think that

D74248

COST is crazy. Great company, but P/E 49? So, I trimmed by COST position. My wife turned around and bought the same amount in her IRA. I guess that I am riding this one into the sunset, one way or another.

kerrykingzgo-T

Love when dudes who work at foot locker post on here that NVDA META and COST are trash... damn, I hadn't thought about it like that, guess I should probably sell

Repulsive-Beyond6877

COST is a bit different comparing to the other retailers. Their runway, in my opinion is larger than the others due to membership driving their revenues. They are opening more stores in India, China, and Japan. These are high density markets that COST currently has low levels of exposure to. The others are a bit more saturated in terms of global exposure and access. Comparing to software, COST is less likely to be directly impacted by AI, however, their customer base may deteriorate with the removal of jobs from the workforce. So more chicken and egg there.

InternationalTop2410

Some SaaS companies will be disrupted Market: time to dump the entire software sector and buy WMT and COST barely growing 10%

Spins13

The multiples are unlikely to expand much more. In theory though, 11% earnings growth to infinity could justify any PE level, because over time that 1% over 10% will compound and compress the PE. In practise though, nothing lasts infinitely and it would be way too risky to bet on it. Of the two COST is also the safer bet because they have more pricing power on their subscription than WMT on the sale of goods

greenpride32

I'd agree both WMT and COST valuation is too high to justify buying them as individual stocks, but I'd disagree it's unsustainable. There has always been inbalances in PE ratios and as you said WMT is often viewed as somewhat of a safe haven. But for individual stocks, I'm taking MSFT 17% top line growth (and almost 1/2 the PE) over WMT 7% without hesitation. Also 5 years is really cherry picking dates. Slide back more and WMT isn't pacing MAG7.

favsep

Yea, if financing conditions are tight and there are no meaningful wage increases, consumers do stop shopping groceries and home improvements *or* they just switch to cheaper options in, you know, WMT COST and other retailers that provide cheap wholesale? I don't understand why you are even directly comparing datacenter capex and consumer spending, are you going to compare the PE ratio of Costco and Microsoft?

Scary-Oven8260

They will eventually collapse like TGT. Like TGT can drop 70% because LGBT people don’t go there any more. Then don’t get surprised for whatever stupid reason wallstreat give you for the collapse of WMT and COST

g3tr1ghttt

Right, play a longer game by buying boring ass companies like WMT COST sitting at 45-50 forward PE while MSFT sits at 23. The only reason making sense to me is buy-side wants tech titans for cheaper while sell-side doesn’t want to pay for calls written as they can’t make money when the stock always goes up, there’s no volatility.

g3tr1ghttt

PE is def overstretched on NVDA compared to other top tech stocks excluding TSLA. But still lower than WMT COST. Boring retail stocks command 46-50 froward PE while MSFT sits at 23, man in what Universe does this make any sense. It seems to me that it’s not the “market is taking approach” but rather coordinated effort to trap retail investors into one thing, then move on to another and trap them there, and repeat the cycle over and over. Nothing else can explain the market movements.

g3tr1ghttt

Rise to match what exactly? Defensive sectors where the news tell us institutions repositioned their money? Hyperscalers’ profits must tank at least by 50% to match WMT COST etc. Not even mentioning other financial metrics on most of which these “defensive” companies look extremely overstretched in comparison. WMT might eventually become another Blockbuster once boomers phase out and everyone folds into AMZN contactless shopping experience. Nobody seems to care?

EvolvingDior

We're not going to hit bottom until COST has a reasonable PE.

gopoohgo

Lol wut.   The reason why COST has a higher PE than WMT is a combo of 24% growth in online sales, combined with a wealthy demographic that shops there.   TGT, grocers, Kohls etc all have PEs half that because they haven't pulled off what those two players have.

EveryoneCanWin

I bought WMT a while ago at $47. I bought COST more recently around $920. I don’t go to Walmart often. But we go to Costco often and business seems always good there. I think COST is expensive. But it should be good in the long run.

casey-primozic

COST hot dogs and pizzas are the best, calls on COST

Happy_Discussion_536

COST is run by business prodigies and the 96' Bulls of management hits ATH again. >"People didn't know they needed a 16ft shed until they entered our store." >"We wanted to keep our hot dog at $1.50 so we made our own hot dog plants." >"Our chicken suppliers refused to work with us and make prices reasonable for our customers... so we made our own chicken plants." They exemplify creativity, resourcefulness and value creation by sheer will for customers, employees, all stakeholders.

MarginCuck

Got myself costco flowers and a hotdog this morning Calls on COST

kakadakuhiyyyyya

because some companies are good long term investments? i’m up over 100% with WMT and COST and will probably never sell them. I do hold a large amount of VTI, IDVO and VGT as well.

Keizman55

First thing is I only trade companies that I understand what they do and how they make the majority of their money. Next, I am a Fidelity customer so I use their resources and check what the analysts recommendations are. If they don’t align with my view I try to see what I am missing. I also use their screener to filter on the major variables that others have listed but am not strict on those unless some negative really stands out. I also read or listen to their earnings calls and have alerts set for any news on their tickers. I picked up AMAT a few months ago and had a good understanding of their business and have done really well with it, wish I had trusted myself enough to hold through earnings overnight. My other tickers that I have done well with here and there are V, GS, KO, MA, MSFT, COST. I try to avoid holding through earnings because I got burnt with Costco - was 100% right on fundamentals but earnings call comments killed it (“…something, something, something, expect tariff headwinds…”)

EveryoneCanWin

I have XOM, CVX, ORCL, MSFT, NET, VZ, WMT, COST and a lot of silver and gold.

LumpyShock9656

Lol nice one See above comment: It's not even 493, it's retardedly overvalued COST, WMT, DE, GE, CAT... Industrials. The rest (financials, consumer discretionary, software) are all bags too. My plan is to continue bagholding

LumpyShock9656

Bag 7 lol. It's not even 493, it's retardedly overvalued COST, WMT, DE, GE, CAT... Industrials. The rest (financials, consumer discretionary, software) are all bags too. My plan is to continue bagholding

CriticalBlackberry90

Heads up this market is being propped up by the Dow where you have stocks like WMT and COST trading at the same premium as NVDA. Next week WMT is going to tank on earnings and once that happens we'll see a hard hit to SPY. I think next week we dip into the 670s.

Smart-Customer7503

everything is fucking priced for bankruptcy compared to COST. Shits 50+ PE on a fucking 0 margin business thats already grown everywhere it can.

Happy_Discussion_536

To clarify COSCO is NOT Costco (COST).

No-Improvement3164

COST is higher yet

A55BAG

MCD, WMT, COST, CVX and so on for now at least...

squirrelmonkey99

BRK - it should be obvious, but it has great businesses and is still set up for long term success. COST - super well run, employees love it, customers love it. Both are great businesses/companies worth holding long term IMHO. I may end up holding other companies until 2030 but that depends more on what the market offers by then.

Crazy_Donkies

Until big tech actually earns their high forward PE, yes.  Problem is, there's also a lot of overinflated other stocks.   WMT and COST at 50x PE.  We may be here a while.

OriginalStarwars501

COST cooked while the market Bled 😩

Unassisted3P

COST Calls tomorrow then?

CurveAhead69

Lower than COST. It’s online shopping faster than AMZN (really chewing that pie away. Consumer condition driving more sales. Imho, the PE is ok because WMT isn’t anymore just physical cheap stores.

btroberts011

COST

memoryyyuh

Abba-zaba (COST), you my only friend.

EuphoricWizard

KO, WMT, COST, XOM trading at higher multiples than big tech.  Boomer Buffet would be selling his dividend trash to buy undervalued tech 🤣😂🤣😂

Mysterious-Device-53

Look at WMT and COST 🤷‍♂️

LumpyShock9656

It's so fucking retarded. The market is saying yes we want COST at 50 forward pe and WMT at 48 forward pe but not Microsoft and meta at 22

feti_wap

COST only hedge left, hot dog and soda will be the new GLD

Molten-Helldiver

lol @ COST going up at a 45 again

Newflyer3

Cheaper than WMT or COST at this point. Down 50% in one month with a solid earnings report to boot, this thing is trading as if management announced accounting fraud

suckuma

COST til the day I die

Crazy_Donkies

white bread companies trading like tech. the bubble is COST, WMT, CAT, and etc. good luck with no long term growth.

EvolvingDior

If I didn't think the market was retarded, I would be shorting the shit out of COST.

CallsOrPutsYES

#Save my PORT COST and NVDA

GoZukkYourself

I only invest in high growth tech stocks like COST and WMT.

MaterialInitial

Anyone compare COST to WMT lately?

Inevitable-Staff-113

'Particularly high amongst lower income zip groups aswell as younger generations' $COST $HOOD

BiscottiMaster3455

I think they waiting for the AI bubble to burst and stocks like COST are gonna blow up... here's the thing, at some point NVIDIA is going to catch up on the "demand" and they will plumet even if its for years away

CriticalBlackberry90

S&P would be in the 6700s if not for the mindless propping up of the DOW. You have boomer stocks like WMT and COST trading at higher multiples than NVDA.

CriticalBlackberry90

This market pushup is going to end hilariously. They want to dump tech but don't want to dump the overall market so they push up WMT and COST to 50 P/E higher than NVDA. At some point people are going to realize this is so stupid and dump everything all at once.

Molten-Helldiver

AAPL and COST inverse of the market, checks out

Neat-Voice2456

The problem is that the valuations don’t reflect that. Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon are all cheaper than KO, WMT, COST, PG, CVX, and tons of other low growth companies.

mikeytho1

$COST can really run if it can break $1000 this week definitely a name to keep an eye on

LumpyShock9656

True makes sense. Crazy that MSFT has 22 FPE and COST is 48 (WMT 44.5). Everybody chasing defensives lately

sailortyx56

Last 5 years AMZN: +30%, WMT: +179%, COST: +184%

Domethegoon

Shorting COST is crazy work. The stock has appreciated massively in the last 4 to 5 years and just keeps going up.

Physical_Pepper8177

Walmart hitting $1T feels less like a hype moment and more like the market finally pricing what the business actually is... I ran a comp screen for companies with similar structural qualities to Walmart & not “retail vibes,” but the boring stuff that compounds: * scale * logistics and distribution advantages * steady ROE * consistent cash generation No surprise, names like HD, COST, TJX show up quickly. But what stood out to me is how long the market tends to treat these as “just retail” before eventually repricing them as something closer to infrastructure with cash flow. The pattern looks familiar: * Growth slows, expectations reset * Margins hold up better than expected * Cash keeps compounding * Multiple quietly expands * Suddenly it’s viewed as a platform, not a store Walmart just crossed that psychological threshold. The more interesting question (to me) is whether a few of the other large-scale, logistics-heavy names are earlier in that same arc. Not saying “next Walmart,” but the data suggests scale + distribution + pricing power still matter a lot, even when narratives change. Is this a one-off rerating, or do a few of these models still have room to surprise? Curious what others think..

f1ve-Star

Ha. I got lucky. I love flat/stable stocks with delta. I bought COST about thanksgiving for a little less than 900 (a whopping 10!shares) I have spent all day trying to decide if I take the @12% or hope it does go to 1050 like consensus. This relatively safe stock swings like $900-$1100 about once a year. Patience (or in my case neglect is key).

skilliard7

im seeing 25x earnings for Microsoft. COST at 50x earnings seems expensive but I wouldn't short it, it seems really risky to short a solid company just because they are overvalued.

jeeeeek

Let’s go COST

AlbinoWino73

Shorting DOES work if you know what you're doing, but that's probably less than 1% of the investable community. Shorting COST is not something I would recommend despite the lofty P/E ratio. That's a recipe for pain if it works against you. If you want exposure to the dark side and don't have a track record of shorting stock or a ball made out of brass, I'd recommend the myriad ETFs that provide short exposure to minimize your risk. Plus, negative rebates are no fun and god help you if margin calls come in.

3pinripper

If the margins on COST improved too much, everyone would stop shopping there. God forbid they charge $1.75 for a hot dog, it would be front page news

helloWorldcamelCase

Even after getting used to bunch of retail growth tech stocks driving insane PE, COST and WMT valuations are almost equally difficult to swallow

mxmcharbonneau

Honestly I had some COST for a bit a few years back, it went up a lot and started to become silly so I sold, but it just never stopped. I really don't get how it got to that high of a PE for that long.

MutaliskGluon

The discussion is on COST, not TSLA. I think elon is a full of shit conman, but if the robots actually take off, then you CAN argue TSLA is undervalued. I think its a stupid argment, but its an argument. COST is a retailer trading at 50 PE. It cannot grow too fast, its margins cannot get materially better, its a retailer. COST is almost 100% certain to underperform the SPY from here on a longer time frame just due to its valuation

AntoniaFauci

> of investing, but if you use any of their products in the workplace, you probably understand I’ve said as much. Nobody in their right mind likes any Microsoft product or subscription. Meanwhile people are delighted and happily addicted to their COST subscriptions.

AntoniaFauci

Counterpoint: Most people are forced to use Microsoft products and hate them more each day. They especially hate software as a subscriptiiom. Given the chance, they’d abandon Microsoft products in a heart beat, and that’s certainly evident in the mobile space. In B2B, everything Microsoft offers has 6+ hungry competitors. Costco is the the most beloved subscription business. People just using it, even without hype or frills. Subscription renewals lead the industry, even better than Netflix. They have no real competitor other than (maybe?) Sam’s Club, but that’s a stretch. One could argue Microsoft is vulnerable and Costco is uniquely the opposite. That said I’m not going to trade either. I’m more about relative strength and COST share price does tend to have its ups and downs.

Brave-Side-8945

Thanks for your input. Yeah, I’m a bull on MSFT, however I don’t short COST or any stock for that matter. For the reasons you pointed out. Just wanted to put these into perspective, in an only semi-serious way

grackychan

I wouldn’t ever want to be short COST. I’m very long SOFI however

Inevitable_Pin7755

I get the logic, but I think this is mixing two very different kinds of risk and calling it value because the multiples look far apart. Microsoft at low 20s earnings makes sense if you believe earnings durability stays boring and compounding continues. That’s a business with pricing power, enterprise lock in, and very real switching costs. You’re mostly underwriting stability plus incremental upside. Shorting Costco at 50x is a different game. You’re not betting the business is bad, you’re betting sentiment cracks or growth disappoints enough for the multiple to compress. That can work, but it’s timing dependent and can stay wrong for a long time because Costco is one of the few retailers the market is happy to permanently overpay for. The Google comparison is interesting but not identical. Google’s multiple compressed because of ad cyclicality and regulatory fear at the same time. Costco’s multiple is tied to trust and execution, not growth hype alone. Those stories unwind differently. I agree with the broader point though. Wall Street often underestimates how sticky enterprise software really is, and overestimates how fast disruption actually happens. Most software “replacement” talk ignores migration cost, compliance, and the fact that companies hate changing tools that already work. Long MSFT feels like patience being rewarded. Short COST feels like being right eventually but having to survive the meantime. I write a bit about valuation versus narrative and where people get tripped up by multiples. If that kind of thinking is useful, it’s on my profile.

marcjones281

Added MSFT, GOOG, and to my short COST this morning (and PYPL which has been bruising) Searching through the rubble of the past week looked through my shorts yesterday to see which ones I'd go long. \- I think Sofi is a good buy right now even at 30x Fwd PE given how fast they are growing (40%+, 1 million members in Q4 to the 13m they already have) and how it's not dependent on crypto/options. More a better diversified banking experience with multiple verticals Still wouldn't touch \- Robinhood I just can't touch as even though they are around the same valuation, their earnings are so levered to crypto and options trading. \- COIN is just such a scummy business I won't touch them, would be long HOOD before COIN

marcjones281

Added MSFT, GOOG, and to my short COST this morning (and PYPL which has been bruising) Searching through the rubble of the past week looked through my shorts yesterday to see which ones I'd go long. \- I think Sofi is a good buy right now even at 30x Fwd PE given how fast they are growing (40%+, 1 million members in Q4 to the 13m they already have) and how it's not dependent on crypto/options. More a better diversified banking experience with multiple verticals \- Robinhood I just can't touch as even though they are around the same valuation, their earnings are so levered to crypto and options trading. \- COIN is just such a scummy business I won't touch them, would be long HOOD before COIN

Molten-Helldiver

COST inversing market…lol

vsvpjr

Hey fam! Sorry in advance for the long post. Last month my wife and I had our firstborn, and friends and family gifted him some cash. Growing up, my parents were new to this country from a third world country working hard and using every penny to put food on our table and keep a roof over our head, and they never thought to open some sort of savings account for my sister and I. All our gift money was sort of put in a “piggy bank” and over time used for necessary expenses. I had decided a while back that I am going to do something different for my kids and set them up for financial success, and have something built up for them in case they want to buy a house or a car or even pay for school when time comes. I didn’t like the idea of a 529 plan since the funds have to be used for educational expenses. Instead, I decided to open a UTMA account through Fidelity and invest the money. This is basically a long term investment, at least 18 years if not more. As of now, with my very limited knowledge and experience with the stock market & investing, here is a breakdown of the portfolio: 60% - VOO 15% - VXF 10% - VXUS 3% - FBTC 2.5% - AAPL 2% - MSFT 2% - GOOGL 2% - V 2% - COST 1.5% - NVDA I would love to get some feedback if what I did was smart, or what any of you might have done different for your child? I just based these investments on somewhat of a safety net + what I believe in! There is currently $2500 invested with the breakdown I gave (down to about $2437 this last couple says) and my wife and I will be depositing $500 into this account monthly at least until he turns 1 and God willing longer than that, and all his gift money will go into this as well. And like I said, I don’t have too much knowledge about any of this and am new to investing myself. Thanks in advance!