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COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
COSTCO Stock Analysis: 571$ Fair Value - DCF, Graham, Fear & Greed, DuPont
YOLO on $COST. You know that hotdog’s going to $2.50 🌭
Understanding the correct application of Price Implied Expectations (PIE)
As I've said before, Disney will completely cease to exist early this year.
Disney will completely cease to exist early this year.
Low cost hedge- Capping downside while maintaining upside with QQQ? Am I overlooking anything?
The biggest lesson that I've learned in my 10 year investing career.
Will COST stock price drop $15 after special dividend day?
Reminder: Costco ex-dividend date for special dividend 12/27
Why COST calls might be the play today for earnings
What is a good strike price for 0DTE COST calls?
COSTCO Earnings--ChatGPT Says Calls OR Puts, then Says Calls
Economic Events and Notable Earnings for the week starting 12-11
How to gain 3x with Adobe (ADBE) earnings today
How to gain 3x with Adobe (ADBE) earnings today
DOCU Earnings Alert: Everything you need to know 🚀🔥
Disney will completely cease to exist soon after this year.
Disney will completely cease to exist soon after this year.
HEAVY CAUTION!!! Closing a Short Put Option deep ITM...
I'm bully on $UBER and $LYFT but mostly UBER. Why? ....(Edited Repost with Positions-Per Moderator Request)
I’m just starting to invest and i’m 17 so far i’ve put into $ASO $SONY and $COST
Down 12k in 20 minutes. Disregarded my rules and lost 30% of my gains this year.
9/27/2023 - Monthly put credit spread to sell with highest ROC sorted by %OTM
Costco (COST): The Good, the Bad and the Ugly from Costco's Earnings Call
The Important News from the Stock Market Today (09/26/2023)
COST to the Moon? YOLO Time As Earnings Drop Today 🚀
Hopefully a redditor (?) can provide input -- JPY:USD spot forex position fully hedged via CME JPY
Match Group (MTCH) DCF Analysis: Tinder, Hinge and OkCupid DCF.
Hai Di Lao (HKG:6862) DCF Analysis: China's Best Hotpot Chain.
Quora user: "Warren Buffett is not the nice grandpa you think he is!"
PUTS on $COST they replaced the strawberry smoothie with this mango smoothie 🤮
Holy shit. Costco Karen came into my self checkout line to intercept scanning my Costco membership from my Google wallet,
🚨Apes this is a public announcement🚨AMC is Officially #2 out of 7,667 companies, Worldwide, for COST TO BORROW share rates 🚀 Battle of the apes: Buy hodl drs! Apes together strong 💪 🦍
$BOF new Peru manufacturing facility with help increase production and the bottom line
If Depreciation is MUCH higher than PP&E does it mean that the company will be incurring a big CAPEX spending very soon?
If Depreciation is MUCH higher than PP&E does it mean that the company will be incurring a big CAPEX spending very soon?
$BOF launches new snack product with $COST
Collagen supplement promoted by Jennifer Aniston recalled from $COST shelves; pieces of a broken plastic lid contaminated the product!
Frozen Strawberries at $COST recalled due to Hepatitis A Contamination!
How would you design your portfolio if your aim was to have the dividends from each company cover your purchases from that company?
This is the last time I try to help you all, after this I'm just here LOL with you Apes
ONCS Dilution withdrawn, FDA meeting.. MAY and over 573% COST TO BORROW.. FILL THAT GAP!
$PXMD - 66% SHORT / 375% COST TO BORRW / #3 on Fintel - TIME TO RUN AGAIN
$TOPS - UPDATED DILIGENCE - ENTERING STAGE 5 ELLIOT WAVE / 300% COST TO BORROW / OVER 40% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK
$TOPS - 300% COST TO BORROW / OVER 40% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK – OLD RUNNER!
Nike Reporting Q3 Today - This is why I'm getting puts.
$PXMD - 480% COST TO BORROW / OVER 50% SHORT / MASSIVE FTDs DUE THIS WEEK - ROCKET TIME LADS!
$PXMD - #1 SQUEEZE PLAY / OVER 50% SHORT / 400% COST TO BORROW / MASSIVE FTDs
Dow Jones Rises After Key Economic Data; AI Stock Soars 23% On 'Dramatic Change' In Sentiment
$COST (Costco Latest Earnings) EPS Beat but Sales Miss. Sales +6.48%, Operating Income +5%, Net Income +12.86%
$COST (Costco Latest Earnings) EPS Beat but Sales Miss. Sales +6.48%, Operating Income +5%, Net Income +12.86%
$SINT 70% SHORT - NEW NUMBER 1 on MARKETWATCH - S3 also showing 70% short - 300% BORROWING COST on FIDELITY
Mentions
If the margins on COST improved too much, everyone would stop shopping there. God forbid they charge $1.75 for a hot dog, it would be front page news
Even after getting used to bunch of retail growth tech stocks driving insane PE, COST and WMT valuations are almost equally difficult to swallow
Honestly I had some COST for a bit a few years back, it went up a lot and started to become silly so I sold, but it just never stopped. I really don't get how it got to that high of a PE for that long.
The discussion is on COST, not TSLA. I think elon is a full of shit conman, but if the robots actually take off, then you CAN argue TSLA is undervalued. I think its a stupid argment, but its an argument. COST is a retailer trading at 50 PE. It cannot grow too fast, its margins cannot get materially better, its a retailer. COST is almost 100% certain to underperform the SPY from here on a longer time frame just due to its valuation
> of investing, but if you use any of their products in the workplace, you probably understand I’ve said as much. Nobody in their right mind likes any Microsoft product or subscription. Meanwhile people are delighted and happily addicted to their COST subscriptions.
Counterpoint: Most people are forced to use Microsoft products and hate them more each day. They especially hate software as a subscriptiiom. Given the chance, they’d abandon Microsoft products in a heart beat, and that’s certainly evident in the mobile space. In B2B, everything Microsoft offers has 6+ hungry competitors. Costco is the the most beloved subscription business. People just using it, even without hype or frills. Subscription renewals lead the industry, even better than Netflix. They have no real competitor other than (maybe?) Sam’s Club, but that’s a stretch. One could argue Microsoft is vulnerable and Costco is uniquely the opposite. That said I’m not going to trade either. I’m more about relative strength and COST share price does tend to have its ups and downs.
Thanks for your input. Yeah, I’m a bull on MSFT, however I don’t short COST or any stock for that matter. For the reasons you pointed out. Just wanted to put these into perspective, in an only semi-serious way
I wouldn’t ever want to be short COST. I’m very long SOFI however
I get the logic, but I think this is mixing two very different kinds of risk and calling it value because the multiples look far apart. Microsoft at low 20s earnings makes sense if you believe earnings durability stays boring and compounding continues. That’s a business with pricing power, enterprise lock in, and very real switching costs. You’re mostly underwriting stability plus incremental upside. Shorting Costco at 50x is a different game. You’re not betting the business is bad, you’re betting sentiment cracks or growth disappoints enough for the multiple to compress. That can work, but it’s timing dependent and can stay wrong for a long time because Costco is one of the few retailers the market is happy to permanently overpay for. The Google comparison is interesting but not identical. Google’s multiple compressed because of ad cyclicality and regulatory fear at the same time. Costco’s multiple is tied to trust and execution, not growth hype alone. Those stories unwind differently. I agree with the broader point though. Wall Street often underestimates how sticky enterprise software really is, and overestimates how fast disruption actually happens. Most software “replacement” talk ignores migration cost, compliance, and the fact that companies hate changing tools that already work. Long MSFT feels like patience being rewarded. Short COST feels like being right eventually but having to survive the meantime. I write a bit about valuation versus narrative and where people get tripped up by multiples. If that kind of thinking is useful, it’s on my profile.
Added MSFT, GOOG, and to my short COST this morning (and PYPL which has been bruising) Searching through the rubble of the past week looked through my shorts yesterday to see which ones I'd go long. \- I think Sofi is a good buy right now even at 30x Fwd PE given how fast they are growing (40%+, 1 million members in Q4 to the 13m they already have) and how it's not dependent on crypto/options. More a better diversified banking experience with multiple verticals Still wouldn't touch \- Robinhood I just can't touch as even though they are around the same valuation, their earnings are so levered to crypto and options trading. \- COIN is just such a scummy business I won't touch them, would be long HOOD before COIN
Added MSFT, GOOG, and to my short COST this morning (and PYPL which has been bruising) Searching through the rubble of the past week looked through my shorts yesterday to see which ones I'd go long. \- I think Sofi is a good buy right now even at 30x Fwd PE given how fast they are growing (40%+, 1 million members in Q4 to the 13m they already have) and how it's not dependent on crypto/options. More a better diversified banking experience with multiple verticals \- Robinhood I just can't touch as even though they are around the same valuation, their earnings are so levered to crypto and options trading. \- COIN is just such a scummy business I won't touch them, would be long HOOD before COIN
COST inversing market…lol
Hey fam! Sorry in advance for the long post. Last month my wife and I had our firstborn, and friends and family gifted him some cash. Growing up, my parents were new to this country from a third world country working hard and using every penny to put food on our table and keep a roof over our head, and they never thought to open some sort of savings account for my sister and I. All our gift money was sort of put in a “piggy bank” and over time used for necessary expenses. I had decided a while back that I am going to do something different for my kids and set them up for financial success, and have something built up for them in case they want to buy a house or a car or even pay for school when time comes. I didn’t like the idea of a 529 plan since the funds have to be used for educational expenses. Instead, I decided to open a UTMA account through Fidelity and invest the money. This is basically a long term investment, at least 18 years if not more. As of now, with my very limited knowledge and experience with the stock market & investing, here is a breakdown of the portfolio: 60% - VOO 15% - VXF 10% - VXUS 3% - FBTC 2.5% - AAPL 2% - MSFT 2% - GOOGL 2% - V 2% - COST 1.5% - NVDA I would love to get some feedback if what I did was smart, or what any of you might have done different for your child? I just based these investments on somewhat of a safety net + what I believe in! There is currently $2500 invested with the breakdown I gave (down to about $2437 this last couple says) and my wife and I will be depositing $500 into this account monthly at least until he turns 1 and God willing longer than that, and all his gift money will go into this as well. And like I said, I don’t have too much knowledge about any of this and am new to investing myself. Thanks in advance!
We aren’t talking about slowly and carefully expanded the geo fenced locations you operate in. We are talking about market wide acceptance and scale at that kind of level. It’s not remotely debatable that Tesla is best positioned to scale at that level, BY A MILE and at WAY WAY LOWER COST. The question isn’t about ability to scale, it’s about whether their cars will get past regulatory scrutiny and adopted( which if it’s cheap it will) Like I said the two best bets are Tesla or no one for quite a while
It wasn’t bad either. Anyway, like I said WMT and COST still pumping
FWIW, WMT and COST are both pumping. This isn’t an economy problem, it’s an AI scare.
Your point is solid, but COST is not a grocery store. You could rewrite this with WMT and it works.
When are META and COST getting destroyed?
I don't follow COST, but Apple is overvalued too. Just because they didn't throw a ton of money into AI, doesn't mean they are valued correctly.
Hey look, COST isn’t being a POS finally
Well at least my COST shares have recovered 🤣 that and AVUV have saved me from total destruction
Lower p/e than a literal grocery store, COST
at least COST is getting close to 1k again
WMT, COST, any other 2% topline grower at 50x earnings..
do you not understand how buying and selling works? you dont get shit for free you have a COST AVERAGE
mfw COST and WMT have higher P/E ratios than tech companies
Generational rotation into COST
I somehow have turned into COST and AAPL value investor.
Here’s some guidance SMALLER COST MORE CHIPS
Saylor buying Bitcoin with now underwater bonds at the top: THIS LITTLE MANEUVER'S GONNA COST ME 15 YEARS IN FEDERAL PRISON
WMT and COST PE is double MSFT.
I’m old enough to remember people in here saying COST was overvalued at 850 and it went up $130 right after
The all in COST is 16. Meaning it's what it costs to mine and refine. If they sold at 16, they would make no profit. So clearly that isn't happening. There is a TON of silver in the ground. Ramping up production isn't that hard. The shortage story is a lie.
Story of my ~~life~~ current portfolio (Currently only COST)
Stock market is chaotic, crypto is ass, treasuries are useless with inflation, even ol reliables like COST aren't safe, its spiked 15% in the last month and has has been +- 5-15% each month. I asked this the other day as a joke but now im legit curious... What is safe? Gold has always been an insanely safe way to store wealth and now it feels like a memestock.
Lots of people talking about buying MSFT but the reason seems to be "I know of Microsoft and it's down a lot." People seem to view MSFT as "an exciting AI name!" when you could have done better in EAT, WING, COST and WMT over the last 5 years, among other things. When Chili's is outperforming what is supposed to be an exciting tech company that's....not great. Could have done a lot better in IBKR over the last 5 years as people piled into stocks. All the medical distribution companies have beat mega cap tech (aside from NVDA) over the last 5 years...
I'd rather continue to own where companies are spending than the companies doing the spending. People keep habitually/default buying Mag 7 while things like memory, optics and other things have mooned. Another $6B from Meta the other day to Corning for fiber optic, for example. That's what's done better/best over the last 2-3 years and so far this year that has absolutely continued. Is META fine? Sure. But are there a lot of things - some of which are relatively boring - out there that have done better in recent years? Yeah. Even something like COST has outperformed META, MSFT, AAPL and AMZN over the last 5 years. EAT is up there - if the parent company of Chili's is outperforming a tech stock, maybe it's just me but that's... not thrilling. You'd have done meaningfully better over the last 5 years in WMT than in AMZN, AAPL or MSFT and yet people keep pressing the same bets on here. In any case, where large companies have been spending has continued to be a better bet than a number of the large companies themselves. Does that flip eventually and the large companies do better? Perhaps but 2-3 years of MSFT underperforming WMT of all things is some absolute opportunity cost in the meantime.
I'm not bagholding (yet) but could we get some love for COST
Over the last 5 years, 1 year and YTD you'd have done better with WMT/COST than MSFT. This sub is buying every Mag 7 habitually rather than looking at how some of them are doing in recent years vs even boring other things. There used to be so much more discussion on here about various growth names, now it's so much Mag 7. Might as well be r/cnbc at this point
I just wanted 185. Nobody is predicting for it to go to the moon and I don’t want here anything about too high. People are making full positions in MU at these levels I don’t give a fuck what the P/E ratio is. I also heard people telling me COST was too expensive at 850 now look at it so miss me with that
COST hot dogs are the anchor that is keeping USD from falling off the cliff
I think WMT and COST for consumer staples. As price pressures keep up, they will seem to struggle but really they will win market share and long term loyal customers.
Why is COST trading at near $1000 again where is their growth
Puts on $GM and calls on $COST - got it !!
What is your thesis to short COST ?
Collectively lost $10k from shorting SLV, GLD, USAR, COST and UUUU via naked calls.
I can complain that I'm never going to COST again because COST wants the shed in my backyard full of chicken bakes, but where else am I going to get $1.50 hot dogs? Money gives people short term memory. Foreign investors will be back to pump this more
COST up 15% on the 1M chart
COST +15% in the past month means depression is coming
Yall said the same thing about COST and it jumped $123 right after. Everyone was saying how overvalued Costco was in the low 800s now people are buying at 973 you fucktard
MU just passed COST in market cap
COST 11 greens days in a row beast
Dear Jonas: Considering your Country decided **not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize** for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace, although it will always be predominant, but can now think about what is good and proper for the United States of America. Denmark cannot protect that land from Russia or China, and why do they have a “right of ownership” anyway? There are no written documents, it’s only that a boat landed there hundreds of years ago, but we had boats landing there, also. **I have done more for NATO than any other person since its founding, and now, NATO should do something for the United States.** **The World is not secure unless we have Complete and Total Control of Greenland.** Thank you! Pr.DJT MAN, JUST GIVE THE MAN THE NOBEL PRIZE...OMG... WHAT DOES IT COST????
Holy shit I just gassed up 3.60 a gallon at COST. Last time it was like 4.30. Thanks King Trump?
Yeah but it would have been 950c not 1000c like OP says. I added COST to my watchlist and completely forgot about it. That’s why it ripped
Loaded up on APP and TEAM. Also can COST stop rising every day? Sold 2 naked $915Ps, feeling stupid.
Would just caution with stocks viewed as "safe" that they can still be overly expensive and not act like safe stocks if something happens to cause a re-rating. WMT trading at 42x earnings can go on for a while and maybe get more expensive but for many years it traded in the 20's/30's. COST trading not that far from the p/e it traded at in the dot com era. I'd rather RSG than WM.
Yeah adding a couple boring anchors won’t hurt. Your current lineup is all spice, no potatoes. COST/WMT/WM are solid ‘sleep at night’ names. You’re not too thin yet.. you’re just rounding out the chaos with some grown-up stocks
Yes. COST is already up 10% this month. It will be sell the news.
Rich people don’t have to deal with Greek fuckery. Shares and leaps for them always. It must be nice trading that way. Most of the time my thesis is correct just don’t have enough money for time.. $COST perfect example
TGT and COST up > 1%. Guessing people are hoping for a SCOTUS rullng on tarriffs in 20 minutes?
APPL, INTC, WMT, COST, cant believe I am saying this one (NKE), FDX, Steel companies
Trump precious metal deal announcement today at Ford. REDUCING THE COST OF SILVER FOR OUR USA MANUFACTURERS!!
WMT hits new ATH yet again. As prices continue to rise, WMT, AMZN and COST will crush all the competition.
COST undervalued???
what are some good undervalued earnings plays for this earnings season? AMZN, COST, NFLX, META?
what are some good undervalued earnings plays for this earnings season? AMZN, COST, NFLX, META?
The big news this week will be the Supreme Court verdict on tarrifs. Who benefits from reversal? COST, AMZN, WMT? if we get a decent broad market selling tomorrow, may be a good idea to get calls on some of the tarrif-related retail names.
The big news this week will be the Supreme Court verdict on tarrifs. Who benefits from reversal? COST, AMZN, WMT? if we get a decent broad market selling tomorrow, may be a good idea to get calls on some of the tarrif-related retail names.
I trust you can recognize the difference between "NDX excludes financials & overweighs tech" and "NDX is a tech exclusive index." I named the two companies from the top of my head because they are in the consumer sector (not just non-tech,) with COST being a close peer to WMT. So yes, I'm battled when people ask "is WMT a tech company now"?
Bought LAC. Bought RVMD. Bought NFLX. Bought LULU calls. Lost on COST. Keeping my TGT March calls on.
COST or NIKE as tarrif bets?
Big retailers like WMT/TGT/COST, importers like LULU/DIS/AAPL. If steel/aluminum tariffs are part of this then F and GM.
Calls on COST, UUUU, ASTS, SLV and GLD. I’m either going to make enough money to buy groceries tonight or going bankrupt, there’s no in between
COST 0dte is happening. Let’s goooooo
Once the tariffs get shot down tomorrow, bulls need to be ready with their wands to cast regardiam leviosa… just like Hermoine “full bush” Granger. Get calls on AMZN, NKE, COST, WMT Don’t be a Panican and buy puts
dont forget COST, they already start the tariff refund lawsuit
RH UP 4% NKE UP 3.23% COST UP 3.71% HD UP 2.98% M UP 5.52% Wanna know what all these stocks have in common? Big impact from tariffs. Wanna know what happens tomorrow? Possible decision on tariffs. Possible front running of them being struck down.
I think its a solid play. I think the tariff announcement will be huge for COST but probably already priced in. Its been gaining all week.
I have been on the sideline all week watching COST calls like a cuck.
The issue with Target is primarily trade downs that started 3-4 years ago. Look at the last WMT earnings presentation: "Broad-based share gains across income brackets led by upper-income households." "What did worry me though was Ulta beauty announcing that they were ending their long term partnership with Target," There has been a lot of discussion that Ulta areas were inadequately staffed. "“Staffing needs, loyalty program synergies, shrink, and [return on invested capital] were likely key considerations,” TD Cowen analysts said in a Thursday note shared with Retail Dive, which also referenced “conscious uncoupling.” Target has been tackling out of stock issues more generally since the Ulta partnership debuted in 2021. Similar to other mass retailers dealing with theft, Target also increased its use of locked merchandise, including beauty products, since the partnership began. The locking up of merchandise to prevent shrink had become a point of frustration for Target shoppers, per comments from GlobalData Managing Director Neil Saunders last year." (https://www.retaildive.com/news/target-downgrade-ulta-partnership-ending/757758/) "My continued faith in the company stems mainly from the fact that girls have always loved Target" They loved other Becky index holding Starbucks, too and that's below where it was in 2019. Target is capable of turning things around but it won't happen overnight. I don't know what changes the current environment that is the core reason of why it's where it is. 2-3 years ago WMT didn't think all the trading down would be sustained but it's only continuing; at what point for these people does shopping at WMT become more ingrained? Or people can order from AMZN or look for value at COST. If there was a recession (which I don't see imminently, but if) TGT is going lower.
Retailers let's gogogoooo GAP TGT COST M
Sold my COST calls right at open. Was afraid it would pull back. I’m so fukin regarded.
I bought straddles on SPY and COST. Just need movement either way
AMZN, COST and other retail front-running the tariff ruling?
Valhalla trades on TGT and COST
Going to use that an buy COST 1/9 calls hoping for a major jump
$HII, $LMT, $BLDR, $MOS, $COST, $F, $BBY, and $DE are all up +4% plus. This is a hell of a rotation out of the reddit Scan Altman AI stocks into everything else. If you threw a dart at a board listing all the stocks never mentioned on reddit, you'd have a great chance hitting a stock that Green today.
What will the SCOTUS decision do to COST?
Just look at COST… the market knows what the court is gonna do