FCF

CapitalClimate9639

NVDA actually has 60.85 billion in FCF, a 125 percent increase YOY. Their debt is a little over ten billion but has decreased 7 percent YOY. If you're going to try to spread FUD at least get your numbers right.

shasta747

ORCL is shit, fundamental doesn't matter until it does, well it's the only hyper scaler that has negative FCF, that explains the massive pull back. Market is not as regarded as we thought. But 110P is also regarded :))

ApartmentEvery6303

No. They have debt but they have 50m cash and FCF covers the interest. They have 19 months before any debt issues and they are marketing the company for sale. Prior bids at 9/sh and 7/sh. We believe it sells for over 5/sh. They also have zero dilution, zero warrants, zero ELOC, zero ATM. If it gets the volume it needs, this could potentially be a 5x that has next to zero risk

CanYouPleaseChill

FCF - SBC is currently negative. Perhaps instead of spending money like crazy they should return capital instead in the form of a dividend. The "Oh, but they're reinvesting for growth" narrative is never quantified. The longer it takes to see meaningful FCF, the greater it has to be, as future cash flows are discounted.

MutaliskGluon

NVDA will beat and raise. And I say that as the biggest bear here. But everyone knows they will beat and raise on non GAAP because thats the whole point of using non-GAAP lmao. The real test is what FCF looks like, and what revenue recognition, AP, AR and inventory looks like.

microcapman

Could you walk us through your assumptions in your DCF? If DUOL reaches $5B in revenues by 2035, they will likely be doing 35% FCF margins, no change from today, which is very conservative. The current EV is $7.5B. If they are still growing mid-teens at that time, fair value is more like $35B, excluding all the cash generation during the next decade. But that assumes 17% growth for a decade, whereas it's more likely to be frontloaded for the next 3-5 years and come in higher. This also excludes ARPU growth / further monetization. So today's valuation basically gives value for current users only. Seems mispriced.

anon4crypto

PayPal is spending money on AI like crazy! They'll be one of the biggest losers and all their FCF will get absorbed.

MutaliskGluon

Markets peak/bottom before earnings peak/bottom. NVDA needs to beat earnings, also beat guidance, and also show that the FCF math supports it and not just more creative accounting to pump up EPS while having FCF be less than stellar. Spouler: the first two will happen, but the FCF stuff will be shady and will scare thr market

MutaliskGluon

DYODD. But expenses rising faster than revenues, and they guided to that trend not only continuing, but also getting worse. That means operating income growth will slow a lot, and FCF is going to decrease. Tech traded at high multiples because of great margins, good growth, and low capex. Now all those are becoming less true and that means they need to re rate

CanYouPleaseChill

FCF- SBC is what matters and it’s not so hot for Meta.

LarryStink

Credit default swaps for mag7 still rising. MAG7 is undergoing a phase shift from asset-light free cash flow monsters that funneled their retained earnings into endless stock buybacks into asset-heavy machines with agressive amortization schedules and levering up to further fund the AI capex build as runway for self-FCF-funded AI capex buildouts nears its end.  As that levering up occurs for assets with agressive amortization (GPUs), credit spreads and CDS need to rerate to better reflect this change. These aren't the FCF darlings they were 5 years ago. Tldr they getting balls deep in debt to fund their AI buildout and the market doesn’t like it.

GoldenPresidio

That’s revenue Their FCF was 52 B in 2024. The trailing 12 months into q3 2025 is 44.8B so presumably their 2025 FCF will be something like $40B. Their capex spend in 2025 is between 70B-72B and zuck said it’ll be 105B in 2026 So they’re gonna increase capex spend by $35B, when they were already only yielding $40B. Thats $5B left lol wtf. Sure there will be some taxes avoided on that spend so maybe it’s $10B but still to go to from $52B ATO $10? Yeah I’m standing by what I said. He’s killing all their free cash flow with nothing to show for it

MagnesiumKitten

Hey even he projected free cash flow varies one company will have it calculated at 33 cents and other like Allinvestview will say It's -$0.84 cents per share "FCF is a favourite metric for many investors because it strips away a lot of accounting noise and focuses on actual cash generation. Unlike **net income (earnings)**, which can be clouded by non-cash charges and accounting rules, cash flow is harder to fake." "Strong free cash flow means the company is bringing in real money, not just paper profits."

MagnesiumKitten

Hey the Peter Lynch Earnings Line is about $5.30 "A Peter Lynch chart compares a stock's P/E ratio to its earnings growth rate, and for Rolls-Royce, its current price relative to its growth rate suggests it is trading at a premium, a finding corroborated by a high P/S and P/B ratio, even though its P/E is moderate. " like I said before the PSR shows when stocks get toxic "As of 2025-11-15, the Fair Value of Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC (RR.L) is 335.35 GBP. ($4.36 USD) This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 1,106 GBP, **the upside of Rolls-Royce Holdings is -69.7%**." so my Lynch Value is $5.30, another has it at about $4.40 for Rolls. Mind you Lynch wouldn't invest in Lockheed Martin either wanting it at $265 over the current price of $465 and Lockheed is like 5x more profitable for the year ahead \- The Lynch value shows a company's potential fair value based on its growth rate and like I said Rolls isn't great at growth Lockheed's growth is good, I give that like a 7 out of ten. /////// Lockheed Martin: Growth Outlook and Valuation The company's fundamentals remain solid, supported by steady defense spending and reliable contract flow: Revenue is expected to grow about 4% annually through 2027. so value investors can look at the median PSR and not like Rolls very much and with growth investors, some will love Rolls-Royce, like you do, and others like the Lynch crowd wouldn't see any opportunities for Rolls or Lockheed in what they seek out Mind you the Lynch chart will overestimate the fast growers and underestimate the the slow-growth stocks But Lynch would give Nvidia $87 as a price he would like not $190, it's twice as expensive as the stuff he likes to hang onto mind you with Peter Lynch's Ideal stocks of about 30 of them, I've owned about 10-15% of them over the past few years It's an interesting metric, but nothing I'm terribly crazy about, but I watch the Lynch values for most anything I follow, just like the PSR and as I've stated in the past year, Rolls Royce has a moderate issue with the PSR in the aerospace sector but it's more of a severe one for the graph of Rolls-Royce but it's not bad enough that it'll tank in the next year, but give it 3 4 5 years, and it might if profitability and growth don't get a kick in the pants. Not everyone looks at growth the same way, but Lynch fits the bill like 10% of the time I wouldn't think it's essential for Rolls, but I think the Projected FCF of 33 cents is more relevant ........ I look at the price to projected free cash flow in one of my valuations of Rolls Royce, by the way for the sector, rolls is lousy but for the stock chart it's mediocre so it's two metrics that knocks the valuation down the PE ratio for the sector and the stock chart would be a thumbs up to the valuation but the Forward PE would be a minus

Masterandcomman

I would be surprised if this was a Buffett pick. Apple made sense because of it's entrenched position, mature product cycles, huge FCF, and commitment to buybacks. Alphabet is slowing, maybe soon even reversing, their net buybacks to fund multi-year growth capital expenditures. That's great if you believe in the vertically integrated AI story, but it's closer to venture capital than the Apple investment. More likely, this reflects more capital given to Combs and Weschler.

ratskin69

"Analyst consensus and discounted cash flow (DCF) analyses generally forecast continued healthy growth in cash flow through to 2029 and beyond" Stop making up numbers. Zodiacs are more accurate than you |**Metric** |**2025 Guidance**|**Mid-Term Target (\~2028)**| |:-|:-|:-| |**Free Cash Flow (FCF)**|£3.0bn – £3.1bn|£4.2bn – £4.5bn| |**Underlying Operating Profit**|£3.1bn – £3.2bn|£3.6bn – £3.9bn|

MitchCurry

On a reverse DCF with a 30% FCF margin (they've reported 31% and 34% the past two years), MELI is priced for 1.5% revenue growth annually over the next 10 years. Drop FCF margin expectation to 25% and it's 4%. Over the past 10 years, their FCF margin is 26%. Even if you drop the expected FCF margin to 20%, it's priced for just 7% revenue growth annually over the next 10 years.

MutaliskGluon

SP PE is high. Its also a load of bullshit as EPS gets pumped with creative accounting. Compare EV to FCF and we are only like 15% below dot com high and that was notorious for being the most overvalued market ever and it aint even close.

_hiddenscout

Totally. Honestly, nothing wrong with that. I invest in some companies just because I think they are cool lol. Like CODA and MIND fit into that bucket. Both actually generated FCF, but still cool. Yeah, when I was doing the drone research stuff, could never find anything that made sense, in terms of what I want to buy. Plus I own a lot of smaller defense names already, so don't want to get too over saturated into one thing. Actually just came across this name, I'm starting to look into: PAHC Sucks because it's been on a solid run, but the valuation isn't too bad: [https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=PAHC](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=PAHC)

debatetradernj

Can you explain what the profit and FCF issues that data centers have are?

jrex035

Not just that, look at the FCF too. META should print cash and instead they've been incinerating it for years for minimal gains

MitchCurry

Crocs (CROX) is currently priced as if FCF will shrink 10% annually for the next 10 years.

Voaracious

TMUS is not a growth stock. It's a value stock. The telecom sector is fully mature and dominated by the triarchy TMUS VZ and T.  Whatever growth TMUS had was at the expense of VZ and T. That is not sustainable. VZ just got a new CEO who looks like a market share pugilist. T can shift that way at any time.  So think value metrics. PE debt FCF etcetera. If you're looking at TMUS thinking growth metrics smack yourself in the head and stop it. What do the value metrics say? That TMUS is ok but not as undervalued as T and VZ. 

WickedSensitiveCrew

I went back through the thread content. There’s almost no comment that: - References actual T-Mobile metrics (ARPU, churn, debt, subscriber growth, FCF, spectrum spending, etc.) - Mentions telecom-sector trends (e.g., Verizon/AT&T pricing pressure, network CAPEX cycles) - Discusses macro-level effects (interest rates affecting debt-heavy utilities/telecoms) Basically, the thread lacks any analytical reasoning tied directly to T-Mobile’s business model or valuation. Was just generic advice you can copy and paste into any thread like "buy the rumor sell the news".

TrueCommunication440

Playing devil's advocate here... as soon as someone shoots down your primary metric (profitability not actually going up if you judge by FCF) you jump to a secondary one (revenue) and say it is more important?

thalassamikra

They only have about half of that in FCF. They'll have to borrow the rest. Should be fun.

EffectivePoet4572

FCF is low because they decided to spend it on chips. Their earnings and revenue is doing very well.

atdharris

Tbf their FCF is less than what it was when the stock dropped 70%, but I much prefer capex to go towards AI data centers over reality labs. Their revenue is also growing at 20%+ whereas it was declining in 2022.

atdharris

Yeah I am aware of the FCF and increased capex guide, but I didn't expect a 20% decline as a result of that. Capex increased I believe \~$2B/year

MutaliskGluon

Dont look at E, look at FCF. E is being propped up by BS depreciation (which I have been mentioning for months). FCF is not painting a rosy picture, and Meta guided for even more increasing capex which means FCF is going to be declining. Cash is king

Galactiator

https://preview.redd.it/7ohhxyrt7u0g1.jpeg?width=596&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=00d0a8bab61d52857a5ac558ad556f8dd1e6fbbc No hiding RTR's been battered by headwinds: COVID fallout, debt overload, and runs a very niche model. And the product requires an intelligent, organized user to extract full value- certainly not for everyone. But cut the sh\*t: This isn't some pump-and-dump scam; there's been a structural reset worth a fresh look after the Oct 2025 recap slashed and extended debt, handed 86% control to PE (APS, STORY3, Nexus who've sunk $240M+ into it), and supercharged AI personalization that's already showing teeth (Q2 subs +13.4% to records, NPS +77% YoY). If you still think this has the same odds as past efforts run by a CEO who just likes pretty dresses, fine, but now there are turnaround pros at the wheel, not just garment enthusiasts. I laid this out upfront: an execution-dependent thesis- not blind hype. If they nail, or market believes in possibility of, subs growth, AI efficiencies, and FCF flips, minority, early entrants bag 4x+ on a squeeze; if not, it tanks. I called out the thin 4.8M float from day one: volatility's baked in, not hidden. And yes, I bought in- the small retail fry that I am - so of course I'm sharing the narrative and rooting for a re-rate. That doesn't make it a pump-and-dump, where insiders juice a turd then dump bags on retail. I'm no insider; who the hell am I dumping on with a 1% float/ .15% total ownership? Lazy jargon from folks too lazy to read a 10-Q. Dismissing this as "pump" because there's a turnaround attempt (factual, post-recap) and a float that could meme on a whisper? That's low-effort analysis- is every distressed play a scam? The game's changed: PE muscle on ops, AI tilting profitability, $300M+ revenue proving demand. If you don't see why that's worth fresh eyes, cool. But I'm cautiously optimistic PE and AI crack this; happy to listen to real counters.

Evolvedyouth

Perfect — here’s a one-page investment memo for PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL) as of November 2025, summarizing the company’s latest financials, strategic momentum, valuation view, and key risks. 📄 Investment Memo: PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Date: November 2025 Analyst: ChatGPT (GPT-5) Sector: Fintech / Payments Ticker: PYPL | Market Cap: ~$75B Recent Price (Nov 2025): ~$68–70 52-Week Range: ~$50 – $82 🧾 Investment Thesis PayPal is executing a credible turnaround under CEO Alex Chriss, transitioning from stagnation toward profitable, diversified growth. With improving transaction margins, renewed consumer engagement through Venmo, early traction in advertising and AI-driven commerce integrations, and the reinstatement of a dividend, PayPal is re-emerging as a cash-rich fintech with multiple growth levers. Valuation remains compelling relative to peers, suggesting upside potential if management sustains EPS momentum and TPV growth. 💰 Recent Performance (Q3 2025 Highlights) Revenue: $8.42 B (+7% YoY) Non-GAAP EPS: $1.34 (+12% YoY) TPV: $458 B (+8% YoY) Free Cash Flow: $1.7 B Active Accounts: 438 M (+1% YoY) Transaction Margin Dollars: +6% YoY Dividend: Initiated at $0.14 / quarter (first in company history) Buybacks: $1.5 B repurchased Q3 alone Outlook: FY25 non-GAAP EPS $5.35–5.39 (raised). Management emphasizes “quality growth” and cost discipline. 🚀 Key Catalysts & Positives 1. Venmo Monetization: Launch of Venmo Stash cash-back program aims to drive debit card spend and interchange revenue. Venmo card penetration now a key monetization vector. 2. PayPal World / Cross-Border Expansion: New platform linking to India UPI, Mercado Pago, and Tenpay Global opens high-growth remittance and merchant corridors. 3. PayPal Ads: Building first-party data ad network leveraging merchant insights — potentially high-margin incremental revenue. 4. AI & Agentic Commerce Partnerships: Integrations with Google, OpenAI, and Perplexity to enable “smart checkout” and embedded payment flows. 5. Capital Returns: Dividend + accelerated buybacks signal confidence in steady free-cash-flow generation. 6. Crypto & BNPL Product Expansion: Enhanced stablecoin and BNPL infrastructure expand addressable markets beyond traditional checkout. ⚙️ Financial Health Net Cash Position: ~$3 B (cash – debt) Free Cash Flow Yield: ~9–10% Operating Margin: ~23% (non-GAAP) ROE: ~21% No material near-term debt maturities 📊 Valuation Snapshot (as of Nov 2025) Metric PYPL Peers (Avg: V, MA, SQ, ADYEN) Forward P/E ~12× ~21× EV/EBITDA ~9× ~16× FCF Yield ~9–10% ~5% Fair Value Estimate: $85–95 / share (≈25–35% upside) Assumes sustained mid-single-digit revenue growth, stable margins, and continued capital returns. ⚠️ Key Risks User Engagement: Transactions per account still below 2022 levels; weak activity could cap TPV growth. Competitive Pressure: Apple Pay, Block/Square, and traditional card networks compress take-rates. Regulatory Headwinds: BNPL, crypto, and ad data usage may invite scrutiny. Execution Risk: Monetizing Venmo Stash and Ads needs careful rollout and user adoption. Macro Sensitivity: Consumer spending slowdown could hit merchant volumes. 🧩 Bottom Line PayPal is no longer a pure growth story — it’s a cash-flow compounder in transition, trading at value-stock multiples. Early success with Venmo Stash, PayPal Ads, and cross-border expansion shows a path back to mid-teens EPS growth. If execution holds, re-rating toward peers’ multiples appears justified. 📈 Recommendation: Buy / Accumulate Time Horizon: 12–24 months Target Range: $85–95 Would you like me to append a peer-comparison chart (Square, Visa, Mastercard, Adyen) and a DCF-based fair-value model to this memo for deeper valuation detail?

Galactiator

Anecdotally, I know users who love the product. Data: Rev near all time high; subs at all time high. Not a "dying"product. Drag has been ops inefficiencies (high CapEx, logistics bloat) and scale hurdles- not lack of interest. This is why Nexus is a great partner. PE commitment signals belief in the turnaround. The story is about execution on those levers for FCF positivity. May or may not appeal to your risk tolerance. In theory, PE could buyout anytime post-90% ownership. Trading strategy would be enter cheap, feather out on preferred exit levels (moving target), let PE's incentives do the work. If no squeeze by mid-2026, reassess on FCF trajectory. Volatility = opportunity, but patience pays.

InquisitorCOC

Based on WS estimates, they don't believe themselves OpenAI can come up with that kind money For example, they expect hyperscaler capex $381, $471, $543 billion from 2025-2027, which implies only 23.6% and 15.3% growth for the next 2 years But already in this year, the combined TTM operating cash flow of Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft grew 29% over the previous period. In Q3 2025, their OCF growth is definitely accelerating: - Amazon 37% - Google 58% - Microsoft 32% - Meta is the only laggard at 21%, and sees its stock punished Despite their rapid capex increase this year, these 4 still field $205 billion in TTM FCF. If their future capex growth only matches their OCF growth for the past 12 months, then WS estimates are crazily **conservative** It's possible that they **can't spend** as much as they want, because the current bottleneck is in power generation, not GPUs Finally, their capex mostly goes into semiconductors, and Nvidia especially. The money is still out there and investable. Nvidia has already shown great willingness to **reinvest** much of its FCF back into the infrastructure

MutaliskGluon

The headline numbers mean nothing. We need to see the filings, thats where the fun begins :) I cant wait to see the balance sheet and FCF calculations

MutaliskGluon

you listed 1 stock. FCF growth is not robust overall when comparing to EPS growth across the market.

RamCockUpMyAss

NVDA FCF is skyrocketing right now, $72B for 2025. These companies are literally printing money and you are concerned

MutaliskGluon

and because of accounting magic. If we reported on FCF instead of EPS people would not be so bullish

MagnesiumKitten

Keep talking about the one metric like your life depended on it then. Fine, let's discuss the Gross Margin It's mediocre when you compare it to other defense and aerospace companies, but as for the history of Rolls-Rotice it's in okay territory the margins on Net, Operating, FCF, EBITDA are all peachy but overall it's still mediocre with Profitability Rolls-Royce revenue per share has been sliding for the past 5 years to me that's way more important than you obsessing over Gross Margins which as I've said perform well in one way, and do not perform well in another way rant all you want about how the sky is fucking blue, it doesn't change any of my comments. And as for the analyst targets, I guess you can take it or leave it, as well And sure you can make money October 2023 to July 2025 with Rolls Royce that's how high risk stocks go, you get lucky But you got this wildly optimistic view for the future of the stock something the analysts aren't exactly in agreement over If you want to live in a bubble about Rolls-Royce, great but you're hardly the mainstream view on it

Hambone6991

Hence why FCF is king

Ok-Day-8425

The rationale is because depreciation and amortization, while “real” are non-cash in nature. They approximate overtime usage of capital investments (capex) but there is a timing difference between capex and depreciation. The metric commonality used in my profession is cash EBITDA or FCF, which removes D&A but then layers in capex. The rationale why income taxes and interest are removed is because they are entirely dependent on tax and capital structure, which differs greatly across companies, industry, etc. EBITDA is commonly used as a comparison metric (so makes sense to remove items that will are not driven by operations, like tax structure) and also valuations (e.g. if I’m going to buy your company, I will have a different capital structure than you, I don’t care about the PL effects of your capital structure). And when a company presents adjusted EBITDA, you better believe those adjustments get heavily scrutinized before anyone takes action. In fact, there’s entire professions that revolve around diligencing those adjustments.

Pretend-Mark7377

Meta isn’t running off-books bonds, and majors haven’t stopped buybacks. Meta issued \~$10B debt in 2022 on-balance-sheet; Apple’s $110B and Alphabet’s $70B show buybacks are alive. AI capex is up but FCF is still solid-check the 10-Q. I track with Koyfin and YCharts; for idle cash, Fidelity T-bills or gainbridge.io. Bottom line: heavy AI spend alongside active buybacks, not Enron-style stuff.Meta isn’t running off-books bonds, and majors haven’t stopped buybacks. Meta issued \~$10B debt in 2022 on-balance-sheet; Apple’s $110B and Alphabet’s $70B show buybacks are alive. AI capex is up but FCF is still solid-check the 10-Q. I track with Koyfin and YCharts; for idle cash, Fidelity T-bills or gainbridge.io. Bottom line: heavy AI spend alongside active buybacks, not Enron-style stuff.

cakeandale

> The Dot-Com bubble was driven by speculation on a concept. The "Web" Hype: Investors were so hyped about the potential of the internet that they threw money at anything with ".com" in its name. That sounds similar to me. > The "Companies": The vast majority of these companies were burning cash, had zero (or negligible) revenue, and were years away from any profitability. Which of the AI leaders are profitable now? How many of them are also years away from any profitability? > The Metrics: No one cared about free cash flow (FCF), revenue growth, or balance sheets. It was 100% hype. When the money ran out, they collapsed. I have never heard anyone care about any of those things, just how much money is being invested by the market or other AI companies. Which parts of these elements of the last crash are you saying are supposed to be different this time?

M000lie

Meta earnings crippled because of the one time non cash tax charge. Did we read the same report? It doesn’t affect their FCF or operational efficiency. They will continue to make tens of billions in the coming quarters especially now that they will face lower effective tax rates after deducting the tax credits this quarter

rpat2550

Correct, apart from Tesla, the companies with the deepest pockets and highest FCF have the ability and are investing into building out AI in a race of computing power to obtain the most superior models.

Desmater

Gotta use that FCF.

Punchmeinmyface25

They cure cancer. They make ton of FCF. Pay 7% dividend. I love Pfe

hil_ton

only thing that should matter is FCF and net profits.

yobabbymomsdaddy

I started taking a position in TOST on the drawdown. Reported its best quarter this week. Expanded its FCF by 50% YoY and growing at a solid 30% annually. Margins are improving to the tune of 20%+ and trades at a very reasonable forward PE for that growth. Additionally, how did you get to a 1.2%? By my calculations, it is more like a 3% FCF yield based on their guidance of $613 mil for the year.

barrybadhoer

I bought it a few months ago, but sold around 4-5. from what i could see they ditched their European assets and bought an already operational 5GW solar panel assembly plant in the US, with the plan of eventually sourcing material and producing as much as possible in the US. i invested because if the plant is running at the 5MW capacity their revenue would be around 1800 million, and they had a backlog of like 1.75MW a few months ago and sight on more orders. so they had a market cap of \~200 million (and like 800m debt so ev of 1b) and a facility that could produce 1800m annually. my reasoning was that if they could somewhat max out production and eek out a \~5-10% free cash flow margin thats an EV/FCF of \~1 to \~3 which seemed cheap. now its pretty much what my DCF mdel suggests is fair value so i sold but might get back in if it drops a lot further and trump doesn't stifle green energy to much.

mdatwood

According to Google, Worldcom's FCF peak was ~580M. There was also fraud, etc... involved. MSFT's FCF from operations last quarter was ~25B. I don't think people fully understand just how much money big tech was making prior to AI coming along. Now instead of giving that money back to investors through dividends or buybacks they are directing a large portion to AI investments.

EnoughValuable8025

Look at the chart of big tech's FCF and capex. Once the gap between the two shrinks considerably, then you can start to worry. Until then, enjoy the gains!

_hiddenscout

$CW * Reported sales of $869 million, up 9%, operating income of $166 million, operating margin of 19.1%, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.31; * Adjusted operating income of $170 million, up 14%; * Adjusted operating margin of 19.6%, up 90 basis points; * Adjusted diluted EPS of $3.40, up 14%; * New orders of $927 million, up 8%, reflected a 1.1x book-to-bill; * Backlog of $3.9 billion, up 14% year-to-date; and * Free cash flow (FCF) of $176 million, generating 137% FCF conversion. **Raised Full-Year** **2025 Adjusted Financial Outlook:** * Sales guidance increased to new range of 10% to 11% growth (previously 9% to 10%), which continues to reflect growth in the majority of Curtiss-Wright's end markets; * Operating income guidance increased to new range of 16% to 19% growth (previously 15% to 18%); * Operating margin guidance range of 18.5% to 18.7%, up 100 to 120 basis points compared with the prior year; * Diluted EPS guidance increased to new range of $12.95 to $13.20, now up 19% to 21% (previously $12.70 to $13.00, up 16% to 19%); and * FCF guidance range of $520 to $535 million, which continues to reflect greater than 105% FCF conversion. "In the third quarter, Curtiss-Wright continued to deliver strong results under our Pivot to Growth strategy, with higher revenues and growth in operating income across all three segments,” said Lynn M. Bamford, Chair and CEO of Curtiss-Wright Corporation. "We achieved adjusted operating margin of 19.6%, mid-teens growth in diluted EPS and improved free cash flow generation. We also demonstrated solid order growth of 8%, yielding an overall book-to-bill of 1.1x. Based on our strong year-to-date performance, we have raised our full-year guidance for sales, operating income and diluted EPS." "In addition, we recently expanded our 2025 share repurchase program, targeting a new record in annual share repurchases of more than $450 million. This return of capital to shareholders reflects the Company's confident outlook and demonstrates our commitment to leveraging our strong balance sheet in support of disciplined capital allocation.""

InevitableSwan7

Trades at very high FCF but I scooped more up @ 560

CannaVestments

Solid Q3 showing from Trulieve: revenue was in-line with expectations considering the seasonally weaker quarter in AZ/FL while margins came in nicely above expectations. The FL machine continues to operate at a high caliber despite price declines and increased competition in the state, as the company again leads the charge on spending ahead of another AU initiative in the state ($34M spent YTD). The cash flow profile and balance sheet continue to be dictated by their ongoing challenge of 280e with strong press release numbers and now an indication to pay down the majority of their debt in Q4, but alongside significant unpaid taxes that continue to accumulate under the UTP (now $616M). Looking ahead, few changes on the horizon for most of their core markets with potential for adult-use in FL/PA although certainty on those states remains murky. Full review: **Revenue:**  QoQ: $302.1M to $288.2M / YoY: $284.3M to $288.2M *Down 4.6% QoQ and up 1.3% YoY, in-line with analysts consensus of $288M during the seasonally weaker Q3 in FL/AZ. Trulieve opened 1 new store in OH during the quarter, and relocated 1 AZ store so largely working off the same base.* **Adjusted EBIDTA:**  QoQ: $110.6M to $102.7M / YoY: $96.1M to $102.7M *Down 7.1% sequentially but up 6.9% YoY, nicely ahead of expectations of $96M. Industry-leading margins remained strong at 36% in the quarter, down from 37% in Q2 but up from 34% last year. Note that 6.3M in campaign contributions (now $33.7M YTD), $8.8M in one-time costs, and $5.8M in SBC were removed from this figure.* **Gross Margins:**  QoQ: 61% to 59% / YoY: 61% to 59% *Down slightly QoQ and YoY but still at very strong levels.* **Operating Expenses:**  QoQ: $130.3M to $127.6M / YoY: $172.7M to $127.6M *Nice cost control sequentially and a big drop YoY (largely due to a $48M campaign expense last year). Removing the campaign expenses, OpEx was $121.3M here compared to $125.9M in Q2 and $124.3M last year.* **Operational Cash Flow:**  QoQ: $86.1M to $76.8M / YoY: $30.3M to $76.8M *Good headline number but always have to factor in unpaid taxes. Tax-adjusted OCF was +$20.2M in Q3 and now $+42.5M YTD ($76.2M if you factor out the campaign contributions). This compares to +$37M in the first 3 quarters of 2024 and +$99.7M if you factor out campaign contributions so actually down this year apples-to-apples. CapEx was $12.3M in the quarter and $40.8M YTD so just above break-even on FCF when factoring in unpaid taxes.* **Cash:**  QoQ: $392.6M to $449.2M / YoY: $238.8M to $449.2M *Cash rise continues driven by positive OCF, although the uncertain tax position along with it. Debt stands at $477.5M with Trulieve indicating they will pay off $368M of notes in December. The uncertain tax position now stands at $616.3M and will continue to rise*

RiPFrozone

Today it trades at 166x FCF and 67x 2027 FCF It’s got a long ways to go to even be considered undervalued. The underlying business and story is good, but the stock has definitely got ahead of itself these past few years.

yobabbymomsdaddy

Yes, of course. What investor hasn’t! Every position is different and there is so rarely a one size fits all. It is always a learning experience. Im going through this now with tost stock. It reported yesterday, 50% increase in free cash flow YoY, 30% increase in ARR YoY. I bought it down 27% going into the print. Barely up today and it’s flat on the YTD. It’s not really an AI stock and I’m assuming it is the economic back drop that is concerning for the market but idk. Bottom line, it is down 27% from the ATH and up 50% in FCF from a year ago. I think i just need to wait.

Fit_Swordfish558

I have the same line of thinking. Strong brand, sticky product, network effect, increasing paid-subs, AI-loser narrative overhyped, 65%+ of language learning market share, energy system will increase arpu, social media strong, little to no CAC, love the company and also the optionality with new verticals (I saw some people talking about coding and ESL potentially). Also strong financials and 30% FCF margin I believe and trading at multi-year lows for valuation multiples. I'm looking at paid subs, user growth in chess, and management's vision for fy2026 and beyond. I have some models from equity research coverage if you'd like to see...

CanYouPleaseChill

Because he's a clown. Share count keeps going up. Their adjusted FCF guidance for FY2025 is around 2B. At a market cap of 491B, that's a P/FCF of 245. It's even higher if you subtract share-based compensation, which one should. And they have the audacity to write "Crushing Consensus Expectations" in the earnings release. The valuation is a joke.

RampantPrototyping

I think their FCF allowing them to buy back so many shares a makes its a great long term value hold, but it could take a long while to see it in the share price

AzureDreamer

Its a boring company, maybe its a melting ice cube I don't believe that I think over 10 years it will have 1-5% growth if you spend a decade yielding 16% FCF an investor cannot help but do well imo.

CanYouPleaseChill

Share count keeps going up. Their adjusted FCF guidance for 2025 is 1.9-2.1B. At a market cap of 491B, that's a P/FCF of 245. It's even higher if you subtract share-based compensation, which one should. And they have the audacity to write "Crushing Consensus Expectations" in the earnings release. The valuation is a joke.

M-spar

Not much risk with the market cap where it's at and FCF that the company will produce going forward.

InquisitorCOC

Big tech earnings are excellent Google's is the most impressive. They grew their operating cash flow by a whopping 58%, so despite raising capex by 89%, their free cash flow still grew by $7 billion in absolute term over a year ago Amazon's earning is good as the AWS revenue growth deceleration has reversed. But its free cash flow has now been exhausted, so any capex increase beyond the growth of its operating cash flow requires tapping the credit market Microsoft's looks great on paper, but it chickened out earlier in the year and must now pay more to play catch up, hence the stock underperformance after ER Meta's is also great, but Zuck is spending like a drunken sailor again. With the memory of the 70% plunge in 2022 still fresh, investors are justifiably worried. Plus Meta's own model sucks, and there's obvious power struggle going on inside the company Apple is hopelessly behind in AI, and continues milking off its iPhone user base. It still generates good FCF, but worth a PE of 40?

Desmater

They will have to spend a lot of CAPEX to build out infrastructure. While the competition in the industry has FCF to do so.

Ok_Tension_4564

* My take, fundamentals / leadership performance. Or just food for thought: 🔹 **Fundamentals** • Wilson-Davis net income +49% • 3 clearing clients onboarded • Legacy liabilities cut 83% • Awaiting full 10-Q * **Leadership** • John Schaible: NexTrade, MatchbookFX • Craig Ridenhour: 30+ yrs FINRA-licensed • Strong fintech DNA, but past ventures = high risk/high reward * **Capital Structure** • $20M financing closed • Convertibles priced at $0.60–$0.75 • Insider ownership: 0.02% • Institutional: 0.41% * **Valuation** • Current price: $0.37 • Monte Carlo EV/share ≈ $2.10 • Deep-value thesis hinges on margin + client scale-up **Discussion Points** • Can they turn clearing traction into durable FCF? • Will dilution cap upside? • Is this a fintech infrastructure sleeper? These are based on EV/Sales multiples, clearing revenue growth, and dilution-adjusted equity value: |Scenario|Target Price| |:-|:-| |Turnaround|**$6.00/share** → assumes strong execution and multiple expansion| |Survival|**$2.25/share** → assumes modest growth and conservative multiple| |Bankruptcy|**$0.25/share** → assumes severe dilution or restructuring| The actuals would result in a $2.40 EV/share, but I ere on the more conservative $2.10 side. Not an analyst, just an enthusiast. Only in at 2K shares at 0.36 when it dipped recently. Looking DCA on more dip, otherwise hold, as the following factors concern me: * Low insider ownership * Aggressive capital history (past ventures (e.g., NexTrade, AtlasBanc) succeeded in infrastructure but didn’t always deliver durable returns to public investors.) * Press releases are optimistic but lack granular financials. * If share count increases by 50–100% due to conversions, the **realised upside per share drops proportionally**.

LongNVDA

The only bubble is OAI, MAG7 is justified capex given growth rates and FCF. So look at companies who are exposed to those fictitious trillion dollar OAI spending deals..

Mrsquare2002

respectfully this is mostly waffle. pure waffle. The business's past is not relevant as VEVYE was only acquired a few years ago, they've now added two biosimilars and IHEEZO + TRIESENCE. Management has RSUs vesting at $100 + they've guided for $250m revenue or $1bn run rate revenue by 2028. That would equate to around $12.5 dollars per share in FCF. So its trading at 3x 2028 FCF. Their business model is distribution, which is why they've managed to acquire most of those drugs for very little upfront capital. Price to book is pointless in pharma as most of the assets are intangibles anyway. Case in point VEVYE they bought it for $8m it will do more than $100m in 2027. Yet the value on the books will be $8m, so again pointless.

FastAssSister

How else do we know you can pick stocks? Every single stock price in history has followed the company’s FCF/share over the long run. As Buffett has, if you buy businesses—not pieces of paper, as most hedge funds do—but businesses that compounded their cash FCF/share, you will win. While difficult, this is nowhere near impossible. Not even close. Except people are stupid, emotional, and lazy, and believe things on their face like yOU cAn’T bEaT thE maRkET. Except the best investors do. Over and over and over again. Literally zero chance this is a coincidence, when every single one of them follows them the same principles. Now let’s look at market timing. Please point out one billionaire who cites market timing as their strategy. I’ll wait. But I won’t hold my breath. Because they don’t exist.

highmemelord67

Thanks for the comment! Yes i am using a discounted model, but a variation I have made that allows me to do models for FCF, EPS and revenue. I explain more in detail in the article where i link to how I do the calculations, where I also do an example go through with google. But to get the answers for filters and calculations, you can read the article :)

Desperate_Bath_4299

Even so, its also 15x p/b, terrible FCF per share. No debt but also almost no tangible growth assets. At least Meta, Google, Apple own their data centres and labs designing AI chips

feenixOmlette

Everyone is saying chipotle big disappointment. Did you guys even read the actual report or just the CEO and media buzz? --- Tldr Place is profitable and decently run business making good money with growing cash flows. CEO spouts some inane bullshit about genZ, price crashes 50%. Probably so he can buy more shares cheaply from idiots. analyze Chipotle's latest earnings releases etc. independently ignoring critics and news but actually looking at the numbers analyse the business from a revenue, EBITDA, cashflow and balance statement perspective Chipotle's latest quarterly results reveal a business continuing to grow but now facing sharper macroeconomic headwinds and margin compression. The analysis below is based purely on their reported numbers and not on media reaction or external commentary. ### Revenue Trends - Q3 2025 revenue hit $3.0 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year. This growth was mainly driven by new restaurant openings, with comparable restaurant sales up just 0.3%. Growth in average check size (up 1.1%) only partially offset a 0.8% decline in transactions, indicating both pricing and volume pressures[1][2][3]. - Digital sales remain a strength, at 36.7% of food and beverage revenue[1]. ### Profitability and EBITDA - Chipotle’s operating margin decreased to 15.9% from 16.9% the prior year[1][2][4]. - Restaurant-level margin also dropped slightly to 24.5% from 25.5% last year, signifying inflation and possibly waning pricing power[1]. - Estimated trailing-twelve-month (ttm) EBITDA is $2.34B on about $12.5B revenue, with a margin in the 20% range. For Q3 specifically, EBITDA margin is roughly in line with company forecasts at ~20%[5][6][7]. - Net income for Q3 was $382.1 million, or $0.29 per share, representing only a slight year-on-year gain versus $387.4 million and $0.28 per share last year[8]. ### Cash Flow Analysis - Free cash flow (FCF) for the trailing twelve months remains robust at over $1.4 billion, although 2025 may see a slight dip versus 2024 as capex accelerates with store openings[6][7]. - Capex for 2025 is projected at nearly $676 million, suggesting reinvestment intensity is up (about 27.6% of EBITDA)[7]. FCF margins, however, remain strong at around 11–12%[7]. - Operating cash flow growth has been strong in recent years, nearly tripling since 2020, supporting continued expansion[9]. ### Balance Sheet Strength - Cash position is about $1.55B, and net debt is essentially zero given Chipotle’s longstanding asset-light, unleveraged model[5][10]. - Book value per share continues to climb, now around $2.7/share with a projected year-end book value of $2.7–$3.0 per share[7]. - The company maintains high returns on equity (ROE mid-40% range) with minimal leverage[7]. - Capital intensity remains moderate, closely managed, with capex to FCF ratios stabilizing in the 40–50% range, supporting sustainable self-funded growth[7]. ### Summary Table: Fiscal Health Snapshot | Metric | Q3 2025 / TTM Value | Trend | |-------------------------------|---------------------------|------------| | Revenue | $3.0B (Q3) / $12.5B (TTM) | ↑ YoY | | Comparable Sales Growth | +0.3% | ↓ vs prior | | Operating Margin | 15.9% | ↓ YoY | | Net Income | $382M (Q3) | ≈ Flat YoY | | EBITDA (TTM) | $2.34B | Stable | | Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $1.4B+ | Slight ↓ | | Capex (2025 est) | $676M | ↑ | | Cash Position | $1.55B | High/stable| | Net Debt | $0 | N/A | | Book Value per Share | ~$2.7 | ↑ | | ROE | ~45% | ↑ | ### Core Takeaways - Chipotle's financials still show solid growth and excellent cash flow conversion, but comparable sales and traffic are faltering[1][2][11]. - Margin compression (in operating/restaurant lines) and slowed transaction growth are key operating risks. - Balance sheet robustness and high returns on capital remain a distinct strength, enabling reinvestment without new debt[5][10][7]. From a pure numbers perspective, Chipotle remains highly profitable with conservative financial structure, but its near-term momentum is softening as inflation and consumer sensitivity weigh on sales and margins[1][2][7].

Mariox

If PLTR posts a 60% revenue growth and guides for at least 55% in Q4 it will hold up. The P/E will start to fall very fast the same with forward earnings as analysts continue to move up their estimates after each earnings. my fair value in 2030 based on FCF is $427 and with 35% growth and 80% margins the stock should be around $600. This is based on Karp's guidance of 10x US revenue over the next 5 years and me assuming very little international growth. Don't matter who controls congress or white house, the growth will be coming from commercial. Funny seeing people think PLTR does surveillance and they collect data. That isn't what they do.

UnitedDengistFront

>there is some material boost to earnings To the cashflow statement you mean. Look at FCF yield charts for big tech companies over a few years. They're way down. It's all been priced in.

Happy_Discussion_536

Oh no.... FCF will skyrocket and buybacks will soar. How awful.

easye_was_murdered

They are investing that FCF for future growth in AWS.

MutaliskGluon

Or just ignore FCF and look at non GAAP earnings like amzn. Amzn should be red with those numbers yikes.

MutaliskGluon

EPS numbers look great in there reports. But you can creatively account to make that so. FCF numbers look fucking DOGSHIT in these reports, which you cannot creatively account away. How the fuck is amzn up 13% with that FCF decrease. We're really pumping 13% on a 1 time gain when operating income and cash flows are flat and negative. Jesus christ this bubble is so inflated this is insane

MitchCurry

And their operating income is on pace to be \~$78B this year, growth of 12%. Drop that growth to 5% in 2026 and operating income is still $82B which would easily filter down to being FCF positive with $70B in AI capex. They could be FCF positive this year YTD with $70B in capex.

MitchCurry

I'm as anti-Zuck/anti-Facebook as they come, but even I wouldn't say something this inane. It takes 12 seconds to find Meta's ER and see they generated $11B in FCF in Q3 and $31B YTD.

_hiddenscout

Solid quarter from $HII Revenue: $3.2B vs. $2.95B est. (+16% Y/Y) EPS: $3.68 vs. $3.36 est. (+44% Y/Y) Company posts strong FCF beat, +$16M vs. -$150M est. Raises FY2025 FCF guidance to $550-$650M.

Either-Lie-9000

META choosing to burn FCF instead of buyback kinda gives me hope. when mag7 CapEx slows the carousel stops

Humble-Cantaloupe-73

The Trillion-Dollar Text Box: Why OpenAI’s IPO Is the Mother of All Hype Bubbles Reuters breathlessly reports that OpenAI? (yes, the outfit that sells you a blinking cursor for $20 a month) is “laying groundwork” for a $1 trillion IPO, potentially as soon as late 2026. Let that sink in: a company burning $15 billion this year, with no path to profit, wants to be valued like Apple + Tesla combined. Their CFO, Sarah Friar (ex-Nextdoor, the ghost town of social apps), whispers 2027 to insiders while bankers salivate over a $60 billion raise. This isn’t a business plan; it’s a heist dressed in PowerPoint. The product? A text box. The moat? Habit. The switching cost? Zero. Grok, ChatGPT, Claude, DeepSeek: they’re all the fucking same. If one charges a penny more, we bolt. Coca-Cola owned childhood; Ducati owns my midlife crisis. OpenAI owns nothing but our muscle memory. Brand dominance? In LLMs, that’s a punchline. Google flipped the script in 48 hours with Gemini 1.5. DeepSeek will do it next week at 1/10th the price. The only “loyalty” here is the laziness of not opening a new tab. The Moat Is a Mirage. It’s Already Crumbling OpenAI’s supposed superpowers? data, feedback loops, “human preference alignment”; are commodity slop. Reddit, arXiv, and the open web are scraped by everyone. xAI slurps X in real time. Anthropic trains on constitutional principles any intern can copy. The only path to lock-in is enterprise plumbing: APIs jammed into Slack, Salesforce, Figma with memory, permissions, and audit trails that CIOs pay to avoid rebuilding. Microsoft tries this with Copilot ($30/user/month bolted to O365), but it’s fragile as glass Slack can swap in Claude tomorrow. Consumers? Doomed. The second a Chinese open-weight model matches o3 at $0.01 per million tokens, every non-technical user jumps. Price is quality in this game. A $0.10 token premium is as defensible as a Blockbuster late fee. Meanwhile, OpenAI bleeds $20 billion annually on capex just to stay in the race. NVIDIA makes 75% margins selling the picks and shovels. OpenAI? Negative gross margins on inference. This isn’t a tech company; it’s a government-subsidized science project. Regulatory “Moats” Are Just Handcuffs in Disguise The last-ditch bull case: regulation will save them. EU AI Act, U.S. safety mandates, “certified” models with audit trails? As if : only Big Tech can comply, right? Wrong. That turns OpenAI into a regulated utility, not a growth stock. You’ll pay $20/month not because ChatGPT is better, but because your insurer demands it. Congratulations: you’ve built ConEd for chatbots. Meanwhile, the FTC is probing, copyright lawsuits stack $100 billion in contingent risk, and Sam Altman’s 2023 boardroom coup still reeks of governance rot. A non-profit shell still looms over the cap table like a guillotine. Employees will bail when RSUs dilute at $1 trillion. This isn’t a company; it’s a legal Jenga tower waiting for one wrong move. $1 Trillion? That’s Not Valuation; That’s Delusion Crunch the numbers: $15–20 billion 2026 revenue, 50–67x sales, 500x EBITDA (if any), capex eating 100%+ of revenue. NVIDIA trades at 35x with $100 billion FCF. Meta at 9x with 40% margins. Even peak-2021 Tesla was “only” 25x unprofitable sales. OpenAI at $1 trillion is priced for AGI yesterday. Fair value? $600 billion base case (15x $40 billion 2027 revenue). Bear case: $160 billion. The $1 trillion fantasy is 67% air. IPO day? Sure, retail FOMO might pop it 30%. Six months later, when $20 billion losses hit the 10-K and lockups expire? 50% crash incoming. This is WeWork 2.0: narrative over numbers. Smart money shorts the pop, buys puts, and waits for secondary sales at $300 billion. Keep switching LLM's. The only “brand” that matters is who controls the pipe: Azure, GCP, Oracle. Bet on them. OpenAI? Just another text box in a race to zero.

kickoff_advertising

I’m with you—it feels euphoric *and* fragile at the same time. Two things can be true: * AI revenue is real (hyperscaler capex, GPU backlogs, software adoption), **and** prices can run ahead of fundamentals via reflexivity and FOMO. * Near-term momentum can continue, **and** the payoff curve for AI may be lumpier than the market’s straight line. How I’m thinking about it (not advice): * **Watch the “plumbing,” not headlines:** hyperscaler capex guidance, data-center power build-outs, lead times, memory pricing, and actual AI software revenue (not just “AI mentions”). If those flatten, multiples usually follow. * **Follow free cash flow math:** FCF yield, gross margin trajectory, and capex as a % of revenue. Great stories still have to convert to cash. * **Position sizing > predictions:** I trim into vertical ramps, ladder entries on dips, avoid leverage, and keep a small hedge so I don’t have to “be right” on timing. * **Differentiate within “AI”:** picks-and-shovels (power, cooling, optical, memory) vs. model providers vs. application layer. The cycle won’t reward them equally.

MutaliskGluon

FCF and OI havent been as good as EPS due to all the "creative accounting" everyone does nowadays. Comparing PE now to PE back in 1999 shows that this bubble has a lot of room to run. Comparing FCF:EV now to 1999 shows that anothewr 20% gain in SPY from here puts us as more overvalued than even 1999

jrex035

Of course it is, they're dumping all of their FCF into AI infrastructure. In fact, FCF for hyperscalers is the lowest its been in decades. They better hope the payoff is better than META's investment in the metaverse, otherwise the whole market and economy will go tits up soon

FoodCooker62

FCF terrible measure for palantir wirh share based compensation out of control. Its like 20% of revenue.

OSRSkarma

Why buy growing companies with ridiculous FCF I should just buy vaporware How fucking stupid am i

CanYouPleaseChill

Look at FCF - SBC. Big Tech is a lot more expensive than it looks. Also, why are we comparing Big Tech to Dot Com startups? Big Tech is much more comparable to the Four Horsemen of the Dot Com bubble: Dell, Cisco, Microsoft, Intel. These companies were all very profitable and ushering in a new era of mass communication. Their stocks still fell dramatically. The equivalent of Dot Com startups are all the unprofitable shitcos around now, and there are plenty of them. A bubble doesn’t have to be an exact repeat of the past to be very similar in spirit and absolutely still a bubble.

CanYouPleaseChill

Look at FCF - SBC, not net income.

insightful_pancake

In aggregate, they are paying cash, handsomely. Nvda had over $60Bn in FCF in FYE2025 from $27Bn the prior year. Until that trend changes, I’m bullish on nvidias fundamentals (not necessarily the stock).

thenuttyhazlenut

Honestly, I couldn't find anything specific to the company relating to why it dropped today. All Chinese fintechs are down right now. QFIN was downgraded yesterday by an analyst, and a few days ago when asked about QFIN Jim Cramer said he's not interested in Chinese fintechs, but that's it lol. I have it trading at about 2.1 P/FCF right now which is ridiculous. 27% ROIC, modest revenue growth, big repurchases, and the big dividend. I feel like it can easily pop +50% over a few months when it finally recovers.

According_Fish_1248

Alphabet ($GOOGL) reports earnings tomorrow. Analysts expect EPS ~$2.25 on revenue near $94B (+10% YoY). Cloud and AI investments are front and center — with ad/search growth stabilizing but margins likely tightening. Key factors to watch: • Cloud momentum — can they stay above 25% growth? • Ad revenue resilience vs TikTok, Meta, and AI search • CapEx — AI infra spending might pressure FCF • Guidance for Q4 and FY2025 Options market is implying a ~4% move post-earnings. So what’s the bet — earnings beat and breakout, or AI spending hangover incoming?

The_Hindu_Hammer

In a market where everything seems overpriced PYPL is actually a great deal. 16 PE, 2.3 PS, 14 P/FCF, massive share buybacks, and now dividend, earnings beat, guidance raised, and OpenAI partnership. I'm buying.

The_Hindu_Hammer

In a market where everything seems overpriced PYPL is actually a great deal. 16 PE, 2.3 PS, 14 P/FCF, massive share buybacks, and now dividend, guidance beat, and OpenAI partnership. I'm buying.

Tathorn

It's all about discounts to FCF and outputs like dividends and buybacks. No one should assume buybacks grow a company. It literally does the opposite. That's like assuming dividends grow a company.

Beautiful_Lettuce603

"Aggressive" is not in absolute terms but in %Market Cap or %FCF. Look at stocks like Crox, Adobe

Gandalfderblaue41

Which bubble...yeah AI Stocks are running hot...but the companies also show growing margins, NTR, more FCF... Other sectors like medicine are not very good at the moment....

Psychological-Wish51

Entered my position on Friday. It’s a pretty obvious interest rate play, with very little downside. Name another company with $7B in FCF.

five__head

Are my Screener settings good to find generally undervalued stocks that i can look further into: P/E < 15 Marketcap > 5B P/B Ratio < 2 Debt to equity Ratio < 0,8 Beta 5 Years < 1,2 P/FCF < 20 EPS Growth 5Y: > 10%