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What stocks to invest in according to SynerAI's Foliko ?
Why is Gerdau S.A. (GGB) trading so close to it's intrinsic value?
GGB 30$ end 2023! Who is with me? #wallstreetbets
GGB Gerdau at breakout retest! Anybody tracking GGB Gerdau? Metal cycle isn’t done just yet. I just bought at 5.50. Multi year breakout retest happening. Worth checking out and may be load up!
New owner of HIRU made some moves the last few days. Filed 8-K yesterday and had a lot of action this morning. GGB has a steady increase going on also.
$X - THE ONLY DD You Need on UNITED STATES STEEL CORP - One of the Safest Stocks to YOLO till Mid Summer 🚀🚀🚀
Unusual options activity on Gerdau (GGB)
Gerdau S.A. (GGB): The best long term steel hold you weren't looking for!
Mentions
The GGB has anti-jump nets now. When the big one hits, I’ll be the dude out there selling $500 scissors.
GGB has a nice dividend yield. But if we enter a global recession, it won't fair well.
Just be careful, as it is not a Verano connection as much as it is a SOL Global connection. SOL Global launched Verano in 2018 with a significant investment. This was just a bit before the Aphria short report blew everything up. Verano was supposed to be consolidating Florida assets. More recently, one of SOL Global's main companies is [TYSON 2.0, where Sammy Dorf was also a founding board member](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/tyson-2-0-announces-company-board-of-directors-301418966.html). TYSON 2.0 launched with Sammy Dorf (Verano), Adam Arviv (HEXO/GGB), Adam Wilks (Serruya/Cobb), and Andy DeFrancesco (Aphria/criminal). Flora Growth is currently run by Clifford Starke, who was also a very close Aphria insider from 2018. Flora Growth has already made a deal with TYSON 2.0 through partnering with Hulk Hogan, whose brand is a subsidiary of TYSON's parent company.
All commodity stocks have been rallying this week. I'm up over 10% this week on $VALE, $MOS, $NTR, $GGB. Now most of these stocks have been dogs all year and vastly underperformed. But China is just doing what the USA has always done. If you have tried everything to save the economy and nothing seems to works than just stimulate by ramping up the currency money printing press,
Probably for hemp beverages. Also Ohio was actually one of the states that Tilray (as Aphria) was most connected to in the past. Prominent Ohio businessman [Jay Schottenstein ](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jay_Schottenstein)was partnered with Aphria since 2017. They even had an Ohio license application under Schottenstein-Aphria. Schottenstein was behind Ohio company Green Growth Brands, who during the short report tried to do the "hostile" takeover of Aphria on the same day Irwin Simon was put in place. This led to a Schottenstein family member going to jail for insider trading. Even at the time people were calling out the insider connections. Schottenstein is also an early investor in Jamba Juice alongside Irwin Simon's decades long partner at Hain Celestial (Andrew Heyer). They invested in 2009, alongside the two most notorious Aphria insiders, Andy DeFrancesco and Michael Serruya. Adam Arviv was also one of the people working with Schottenstein at GGB.
Gerdau $GGB reported net income of 8 cents per share. Earnings, adjusted for non-recurring costs, were 9 cents per share. The steel producer posted revenue of $3.19 billion in the period. That was an earnings beat vs estimated of 7 cents. I'm not just a cynical dot com 2.0 doomer bear. I am buying that Brazilian steel stock this morning too. There is more than tech stocks in the world's economy.
Gerdau (GGB) Theyre a Brazilian steel company Recent natural disasters in a rich state of Brazil, 2022 deal with Shell on solar energy in Brazil, Import quotas on steel causing higher costs on foreign steel entering Brazil, The only problem I see is difficulty in expansion to the United States market since there are quotas on steel from Brazil
Some of my commodity stocks are green today. $AA is up over 5%. $GGB up 3.5%. $VALE and $MOS are flat. It's looking like my decision to buy commodity & gold stocks in March & April are paying off nicely.
I just BTD in $MOS - strategic phosphates & potash ahead of the upcoming WW. Also opened a position in $GGB - Brazilian steel. There are much better stock valuations outside of the USA right now.
Yeah, the potential decrease in Chinese demand is concerning. However with a weaker DXY, all commodity prices could have some potential tailwinds. Vale doesn't just mine iron ore thou. They also mine copper, nickel, cobalt, and gold. If I look at $FCX for copper, it is near a 52 wk high. $BHP is selling at a higher premium than $VALE as well. So if I am uncertain about iron ore demand in the future, than $VALE is a nice diversification b/w $BHP, $GGB, and $FCX. I get the copper & iron ore commodity exposure plus some gold.
The DXY found support at 101. The US 10 yr rates fell from 5% to 3.8% in 6 weeks. Both were way oversold in the short term. Lower US dollar and interest rates is very bullish for S&P 500 and tech stocks in particular. Now that everyone and the mother has front runed the Fed supposed rate cut in March, we are left to earnings calls and FUN-D-METALS. I think 1 thing many people have forgotten is IF inflation has been tamed, how are corporations going to continue to pass on those price increases? They aren't. Except very difficult YOY comps from companies that aren't able to cut costs drastically. I've been buying Utility stocks, gold, and good old divy stocks like AT&T & Verizon. If the DXY continues to weaken, commodity EXCEPT crude oil stocks are looking very appealing. Crude Oil seems to rise with rising US 10 yr rates so I expect a short term rebound in Crude Oil futures. Iron Ore has done really well. It's up 21% YOY. $VALE and $GGB are interesting ideas IF the DXY continues to underperform. I'm holding off on buying more short term bank CD's as I believe interest rates will move back up to 5%, which seems to be the sweet spot for buyers of 6mo-12mo US debt. As always it is good to be a contrarian. When everyone is on the same side of a trade; it is more profitable short term to move against the grain. That's where the highest returns can be found.
For comparison: GGB has a P/E of \~5, yielding 14%. NUE has a P/E of \~9, yielding 1.24%
Just taking this opportunity to remind of some of Canaccord Genuity's conflicts of interest in the sector. Michael Auerbach (Tilray founder) is currently on their board and recently tried to take them private: [https://www.canaccordgenuity.com/investor-relations/investor-resources/corporate-governance/board-of-directors/michael-aub/](https://www.canaccordgenuity.com/investor-relations/investor-resources/corporate-governance/board-of-directors/michael-aub/) Dan Daviau - Canaccord Pres/CEO. Dan Daviau from Canaccord was talking directly with both Andy DeFrancesco and Irwin Simon during the Aphria short report scandal. [https://www.teribuhl.com/2019/11/22/defrancesco-serruya-engineered-green-growth-brands-takeover-plan-of-aphria-apha-ggb/](https://www.teribuhl.com/2019/11/22/defrancesco-serruya-engineered-green-growth-brands-takeover-plan-of-aphria-apha-ggb/) From the texts: **Andy writes to Serruya**: *Daviau and Irwin are talking now. I told Daviau we would handle it- you & I. Have you had time to think about our conversation?”* *“I bounded it off Jay this morning and he was fine with it. We’d prefer…would be best to go on the board if you’d invite him to. Also we would want to announce some kind of working relationship in CBD. We should set a deadline to figure this out and don’t want to waste to much of either of our time on it."* Note that "Jay" is Jay Schottenstein of Green Growth Brands, and that soon after these texts, it was Tilray and Green Growth Brands that formed a working relationship for CBD, via partnering with Greg Norman to launch his brand. [https://www.newcannabisventures.com/green-growth-brands-taps-tilray-and-authentic-brands-for-greg-norman-branded-cbd-products/](https://www.newcannabisventures.com/green-growth-brands-taps-tilray-and-authentic-brands-for-greg-norman-branded-cbd-products/) 12/27/2018: Irwin Simon appointed Aphria chairman 12/27/2018: Green Growth Brands announces takeover of Aphria 1/15/2019: Tilray makes deal with Authentic Brands Group for CBD 2/7/2019: Tilray, Authentic Brands, and Green Growth Brands team up for CBD Incidentally, Adam Arviv (GGB/HEXO) will later partner with Authentic Brands Group for his Ghost Retail company. [https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ghostretail-emerges-to-unveil-transformative-live-video-shopping-platform-with-top-retailers-on-board-301393559.html](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ghostretail-emerges-to-unveil-transformative-live-video-shopping-platform-with-top-retailers-on-board-301393559.html) This is just a couple weeks after Arviv first demands changes at HEXO. Less than 6 months later Arviv takes over HEXO. Tilray then buys their debt 1 month later. The only other partners named with Arviv's Ghost Retail are American Eagle (Schottenstein company), Canada Goose (Tilray's Jodi Butts), and Maple Leaf Sports (Tilray's David Hopkinson). [https://ir.tilray.com/board-member/david-hopkinson](https://ir.tilray.com/board-member/david-hopkinson) [https://tilray.gcs-web.com/board-member/jodi-butts](https://tilray.gcs-web.com/board-member/jodi-butts)
It's spelled Serruya. He and Andy DeFancesco were two of the earliest Aphria investors, and are two of the worst people in the entire industry. Michael Serruya, Andy DeFrancesco, Adam Arviv, Brady Cobb, George Scorcis. All were heavily involved in the Scythian/Aphria/Liberty scandal and subsequent "hostile" takeover, along with other people. One of the Schottenstein family from GGB went to jail over insider trading of Aphria and a couple other stocks. Serruya (MedMen), Arviv (HEXO), and Scorcis (Entourage) have all recently found themselves involved with Aphria/Tilray again. https://hindenburgresearch.com/aphria-a-shell-game-with-a-cannabis-business-on-the-side/ https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2018/12/31/1679260/0/en/Green-Growth-Brands-Reaffirms-Commitment-to-Takeover-Aphria-Inc.html https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2022-4 https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2023/09/15/2743919/0/en/Entourage-Health-Announces-Amendment-to-Key-Supply-Agreement.html
This is a real threat though. Adam Arviv is from GGB and tried to take over aphria previously. Now he along with his entire crew have a large stake in tilray after the hexo transaction. AA ousted hexos previous CEO and basically took over the company with Montours. These guys are sketchy af. I've been saying this entire time the secret institution investor in aphria was likely Surreyas back in 2019. Collectively him, AA, Montours, hightrail have a big position. AA is also an 'activist investor" he cried in public regarding hexos previous CEO and completely destroyed the share price
TLRY holder here. 1) dilution doesn't matter if its accretive. will it be? maybe 2) increasing authorized sharecount can prevent a hostile takeover. GGB tried to take over aphria in 2019. Irwin fought that off, doesnt hurt to take precautions. Especially now that the Montour's, AA, Surreyas are involved. They took over hexo by ousting SSL 3) i don't think anyone said this 4) saw diageo's planes in Leamington 5) maybe 1 6) $TLRY I was bearish on this news at first but reacted too quickly without reading the filings. Going to wait and see how this plays out. No point speculating
Haha it has my name all over it, and I also like Brazilian stocks. But no, I don't own it. And I dunno. I never really got into miners TBH, I can't explain why but just never felt really attracted to them. And their inconsistent (though often windfall) dividend payouts turned me off. Check it out for VALE: [https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/VALE/vale-sa/dividend-yield-history#:\~:text=Historical%20dividend%20payout%20and%20yield,14%2C%202023%20is%205.21%25](https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/VALE/vale-sa/dividend-yield-history#:~:text=Historical%20dividend%20payout%20and%20yield,14%2C%202023%20is%205.21%25). I've also been saying "veil", lol. The closest I own to this is SID (Brazilian National Steel). I'm probably an idiot and don't understand the difference between a company like SID and VALE, but I like the fact that SID is actually producing something rather than just digging it out of the ground (it does that, too). Plus SID tends to have a more consistent dividend on top of the windfall years. As a quick note on Brazilian market, definitely undervalued IMO. Lots of interesting names to explore there but I only own SID and PBR right now. LND on my watchlist. Had looked into GGB as well.
Check out Flora Growth's chart/volume today. Something's got to be going on with them? My suspicions around them are regarding the fact that **SOL Global (via House of Lithium)** put Kevin Taylor there as chairman recently. Flora Growth has a deal with **Hoshi International**. Luis Merchan (who left when SOL put their guy in at Flora), moved over to Hoshi International. Hoshi connects the SOL crew back to an old friend **Shawn Dym**. Dym's **Green Acre Capital** is invested in Hoshi and Fire&Flower, and Hoshi has execs from Aphria, Fire & Flower, and Mettrum Health all over their board. **Mettrum Health was a George Scorcis** run company, before it got bought out by Canopy long ago. Scorcis promptly went to lead **Liberty Health**. That's where all the **Aphria/Scythian/Liberty** drama originated leading up to the short report. Ok so we have SOL connecting back to Shawn Dym and maybe Scorcis recently with Flora/Hoshi. For reference, during the Aphria short report, Shawn Dym was with Adam Arviv at GGB when they faked the "hostile" takeover of Aphria. Well lets see: **Adam Arviv** recently took over HEXO, and right after he did Tilray bought HEXO's debt, bringing Arviv back into the fold. **George Scorcis** currently leads Entourage Health. After Arviv took over HEXO, they signed a supply deal with Entourage. **Scorcis is back.** **Andy D., Adam Arviv, and Serruya** (via Adam Wilks) are main guys at **TYSON 2.0**. Also recently signed a HEXO deal. **Andy D. is back.** **Serruya** has been back with Tilray for a while with MedMen, and re-joined when they partnered with Tilray. The person that just joined him at MedMen, **Ellen Deutsch**, not only connects to **Hain Celestial, but to the Scythian crew** as well. She spent 2.5 years at Stem Holdings in Florida recently. One of the few people on Stem Holding's leadership is **Roger Rai, who was with Scythian** back in the day. Not only that, but when Roger "Rajiv" Rai re-joined Stem Holdings recently, it was with **yet another Hain Celestial** representative, Daryl Simon. Take note, from the first link. I only discovered recently that **Renah Persofsky**, who is still with Tilray to this day, was one of the **original Scythian directors along with Vic**. I feel like the Scythian crew never left, they've just been biding their time in the shadows.
$MOS +5.65%, $GGB +5%. $LEVI -6.15%. So of course I added to my biggest losing stock today.
I have an entire post I want to do about Adam Arviv, but I ran across something interesting while researching I thought I'd throw out there. **Adam Arviv is very associated with Eight Capital, and is also very close with the old Aphria crew.** Well I was digging into Eight Capital, and happened to run across **Timelo Investments**, because someone from Eight Capital went to their board. They actually let you download their entire portfolio to Excel. So I did, and cross-checked for cannabis-related companies. Out of **292 investments**, they have **exactly 4** related to our industry. Couche-Tard, Altria, Cronos Group, **and.....Decibel Cannabis??** Not only do they have Decibel randomly in their portfolio, but they have more than double of it compared to CRON (0.22% vs 0.09%). So that's pretty weird. But who runs Decibel? Oh, it's **Jakob Ripshtein and Shawn Dym** (chairman), who are two extremely influential Aphria execs from back in the day. Shawn Dym has also specifically been associated with Adam Arviv, back when Adam Arviv was leading the "hostile" takeover of Aphria after the short report. Adam Arviv co-founded Green Growth Brands, and Shawn Dym was a director as well. Aphria also funded Green Acre Capital (Shawn Dym again), who were subsequently investing in GGB. Ok so we have an Eight Capital linked investment firm with a weirdly large position in the old Aphria crew's company Decibel. Eight Capital has also helped finance most of the companies that ended up rolled up into HEXO (Arviv) and SNDL. Two of the other directors of Decibel are from companies SNDL rolled up. Shawn Dym's investment firm is also the 2nd largest investor in Fire and Flower (Couch-Tard one of the 4 investments of Timelo). So Shawn Dym is directly connected with Couche-Tard and Decibel, two of Timelo's random cannabis related investments. But where does Altria/Cronos fit in? If you remember, back when Dym was involved with Aphria, before Cronos got the investment, it was actually Aphria who was supposed to be partnering with Altria. If I had to make a prediction from all this, it would be SNDL buying Decibel Cannabis. Eight Capital is currently advising SNDL on their strategic arrangement with NOVA. So I'm thinking maybe once that strategic arrangement is settled SNDL might move on Decibel.
I'm on the opposite end of some of your trades/investments it looks like. I am more bullish on LNG than coal so I bought more $KMI Kinder Morgan today. I also opened position in $HOG and added to $LEVI since consumer discretionary stocks are so unloved right now. I sold half of my position in $GGB and also trimmed $CLF. I added heavily to my local utilities stock $LNT, $T, and $IP International Paper. I BTD in even more shares of $GOLD as Mark Bristow has signaled that he wants to invest cash into more copper mines. I'm trying to add to beaten up dividend stocks that should still be able to support their dividends while everyone else is selling them and going long growth/tech. A lot of trading, but a net increase of $500 into stocks today. I really don't expect any of my investments to pay off in the short-intermediate timeframe. But if I am going to continue to buy stocks right now, I'd rather not FOMO into the current flavor of the month.
Did you ever buy into $X? My steel stocks $CLF and $GGB have been doing well since June 1st.
I'm sure you had a good time where you went instead and I totally get erring on the side of paranoia when it comes to safety of your kids. But your Cali friends were being alarmists. It would be perfect safe to bring your kids to a Giants game and to go walk the GGB. And tons of other touristy stuff around the city. I have young kids and live in the South Bay and I just wish we had more opportunity to make more visits than we do up to the city to visit friends who live there, with kids. We go every few months and have a great time. There's hundreds of thousands of people living in the city and tens of millions who visit each year. The norm is people out and about and enjoying the city, not living in fear while they're in the city and generally trying their best to be somewhere else.
It’s happened to me a few times. Poor luck. Most recent was GGB Gerdau. Not exactly struggling, but I get your point.
Any reason $GGB(Gerdau SA) is down over 2%?
the fuck is GGB 
So... should I sell some shares of $TSLA to then use all those available funds to buy $SOFI, or possibly even $GGB???
Today I got dividends from Gerdau (GGB) but rather than cash, I got paid in stocks it seems. Is there any reason that Gerdau pays in stocks. Last time I got the dividend (in December), it was simply the cash.
I'm not sure what to make of this market. However payday was yesterday so I am making my planned bi-monthly stocks purchases. When the market seems expensive to me I prefer to buy dividend stocks. I'm adding to Kinder Morgan $KMI and Gerdau $GGB (Steel). I'm not as optimistic here as many that a soft landing is in the cards. So I am more bullish on high dividend infrastructure stocks. I am expecting increased government spending to try and stimulate this economy.
GGB and PBR considering buying some zim in the future but well see what happen to the company
I suggest you check out Gerdau S.A. (GGB). The Brazilian steel maker has been paying out variable dividends over the last year equal to 19.8% annually. Now the dividends are usually paid quarterly and every dividend is variable based on their quarterly results so past dividend yields are not guaranteed in the future. You need to do your own DD, however my thought is Gerdau provides products to both the North American and South American markets. This is important as I am more bullish on the South American markets than the North American markets in the near future. If there is a steel product, they manufacture it. And I will take the risk on a foreign stock that pays out a substantial portion of it's profits via dividends rather than stock buybacks. My position has increased over 19% via dividend reimbursements alone since early 2020 when I opened the position. I am lazy tonight so I am copy & pasting their steel products from their Yahoo finance summary. $GGB provides semi-finished products, including billets, blooms, and slabs; common long rolled products, such as rebars, wire rods, merchant bars, light shapes, and profiles to the construction and manufacturing industries; drawn products comprising barbed and barbless fence wires, galvanized wires, fences, concrete reinforcing wire mesh, nails, and clamps for manufacturing, construction, and agricultural industries; and special steel products used in auto parts, light and heavy vehicles, and agricultural machinery, as well as in the oil and gas, wind energy, machinery and equipment, mining and rail, and other markets. The company also offers flat products, such as hot-rolled steel coils and heavy plates; and resells flat steel products. Investing in foreign markets is riskier than just buying $X or $CLF, however due to potential foreign government intervention, however the upside is also much higher IMHO.
I usually don't give my own tickers because most of my stocks are microcaps or small caps. I can give you a midcap stock ticker. GGB is a Brazilian steel company that is highly rated by analysts, pays a > 12% APY dividend on a quarterly basis, and is more than 20% below its target price. However, there are a lot of moving parts to the steel industry right now because a global recession could lower steel demand while China reopening can raise steel demand. Also, when the Fed hikes rates, the dollar strengthens and foreign commodities drop, so if the Fed hikes a lot more there will be some downside. However, when the Fed stops hiking, commodities denominated in foreign currency will jump. So basically, this is a stock with a possible 20% upside plus a 12% dividends over the next 12 months, and then possible currency move upside if the Fed stops hiking soon. However, you have to follow the steel market, the currency market, China reopening & possibility of recession to stay on top of its market in 2023, so that's a lot of work.
I'm looking to add to OHI first, LND also looks interesting to start a position but need to wait for funds and double check on the valuation. Have also looked at GGB and SID. QSR is a good one for dividends plus growth potential but I'd like to see valuation come down a bit. Finally, VGR is on my watchlist but as I'm overweight in tobacco I'm not totally sure about adding more. They're actually growing because they're in the growing discount segment.
1250 SID, 300 GGB, 109 KGHM, 600 LND, 89 FLXB (ETF). Started October 2022, now standing at a 10.9% gain
* Brazil is much more stable than the DRC. Although Bolsonaro supporters like to pretend otherwise, their faction has no real power and definitely doesn't have the numbers for a military coup. * Lula will do lots of big government investments: infra, education, health, ... so there is a huge macro-economic potential * Brazil does not suffer from the Ukraine war fallout. Commodities (VALE and SID) and base products like steel have become more expensive worldwide so the big steel companies like SID and GGB are making more money already. And because Brazil has no energy crisis, the cost base is much lower. * has better relations with China so China is shifting its buying of soja to Brazil instead of the USA. * ABEV is the largest beer producer in the world and has a track record of good investing. They need to reform though but it is a solid company * VALE: I am not a fan because of the disaster they caused a few years ago but in the commodity boom, they will be a winner. * PEBR: simply an example of a massive company with an in-demand product. Not much to say about that * ITUB (I suppose ITAU): a bank, banks are more regulated in Brazil than in the USA so there is no risk of a bankruptcy.
Metals GGB. MT. SID. BBBY and COSM for fun TSLA dips.
I have been checking out LND. The average yield over the last 5 years has been 9.6% (slightly ratched up thanks to this year). Looks like a consistent payer but revenue is spotty as would be expected. Not sure about SID and GGB. If we are headed into a global recession shares may not be as cheap as they seem. SID looks like a consistent dividend payer though even if this year was an outlier, GGB not so much. LND looks like one I'd be ready to jump in on right now barring a tad bit of further research into its valuation. Agriculture should have a less elastic demand making returns more consistent. I would need to do a lot more research into steel and the current valuations before pulling the trigger on SID (more interested in SID thanks to consistent dividends, but analysts seem to prefer GGB). Just my 2 cents, not an expert here.
I recently restarted my portfolio after moving out of the UK. I am bullish on Brazil as I see a massive infrastructure investment wave coming from the government. So I bought into SID and GGB, and now I am eyeing up Brasilagro, an agricultural company that I think will do well with rising food prices. I feel that the prices are very low now as the dividends of these stocks are 10% and in case of Brasilagro even close to 20%. My only bad bet for now is an ETF that follows Brazil. I think that the share prices will start going up from January on though so I am not too worried about that ETF.
I'm not an expert on Brazilian stocks but do know a thing or two about the politics and economy. I own PBR and also have SID and GGB on my watchlist. Energias de Brasil is also an interesting one though I'm not sure there's an ADR. EDPFY is the parent company. Had also looked into CBD for a time.
Luckily $VALE headquarters is in Brazil. The foreign taxes are way lower than Canadian foreign taxes. I lose over 20% of every dividend from Barrick $GOLD to taxes. $VALE and $GGB foreign taxes are barely noticeable.
Ok, good points. I just own $VALE and $GGB. Great dividends. Iron Ore, Steel, and Copper : )
Gold & miners are 1/4 of my port. 1/4 in Oil & Gas stocks; 1/4 in commodity stocks like $FCX, $GGB, $CLF, and $MOS. 1/4 in manufacturing such as $DE, $TWI, $TITN, and $GT and the ilk. I believe we will see a less global economy due to countries & economies becoming less reliant on cheap energy from Russia and cheap goods from China. This will create cost-push inflation vs the demand-push inflation that everyone is betting on. EM markets will do well. Especially Brazil. The EU may outperform the US after the war ends due to their more manufacturing economy vs the US tech heavy economy. I maybe wrong, but this is where I see the highest reward and the lowest risk for the next 3-5 years. We have had 30 plus years of deflationary headwinds due to a global economy. The last 2 years signal to me that peak globalization is now over. That is not good for tech stocks that are overly reliant on cheap microchips and components from China.
The Brazilian Reel has done very well I have 2 Brazilian stocks in my port. $GGB and $VALE. I think it is far more likely that EM outperform the USA in the next 12 months. Especially in China abandons their Zero Covid policy which I believe they will be forced to for their economy and civil unrest. China does more trading with EM than the USA due to needing natural resources for production /manufacturing.
I just added to $IPI. I am of the belief that the market is going to soon price in stagflation which is stagnant growth and higher prices. The last time we had stagflation was the 70's and early 80's. The best performing assets then were 1) Gold, 2) Commodities. My top 7 holdings are now $HAL, $GOLD, $IPI, $KMI, $MOS, $FSM, and $GGB. Halliburton has been my best performing stocks and Barrick has been the worse. Somehow my port is only down 10% for the year. Commodity stocks aren't for everyone; but there are other port holdings that can outperform the market. Some here are big into Financials, Energy, Industrials, and Consumer Staples which have also done well. Just a reminder, Tech stocks aren't the entire market. Good Luck
I think great dividend companies tend to rise to the top. I give you props for putting the information out there in the first place. OHI has been questionable for years. BTI has a superior balance sheet to VGR, why not just own BTI? I generally stay away from restaurants. Even so I like others in the space better i.e. FCPT. GGB the dividend is all over the road. Why when EPD has 24 years of consecutive dividend increases. That’s just my take.
GGB is a China reopening play, I believe, as are other emerging market commodity producers.
I know it's not your exact pennant setup, but may I suggest keeping an eye on BBAR, GGB, AGR, MOD, FLEX, ILF, GIL in case those ones meet your conditions later on.
Everybody loves $10 stocks. GGB $4.83. I made 40% this year. Buying again. Mining industry is not good for holding long term but great for trading and pays good dividends. PBR $14. Buy it under $12 and keep it for crazy dividends (47% yield!). Check KGC $3.64 and BTG $3.40 if you feel like researching gold mining companies.
I've bought $HAL, $MOS, $GGB, and $GOLD today. We can all roll our eyes on this insanity and suits crowing demand destruction. Or we can profit on this insanity. This is what happened in the 70's. Inflation should have lasted maybe 2 years. But those damn politicians extended it to over 10 years with their braindead policies trying to help.
Good idea. I will need my pirate chest to hold all the cash I am making from $HAL, $GGB, $MOS, and $CLF stocks as well. My port is up 3% for the day. How are my fellow techies doing today : P
The dollar is not done. But it is moving lower from 109 down to 100. I am just looking at charts. J-Pow is also very aware that a strong US dollar puts the entire world into a depression. So I am buying stocks that will outperform on a weaker dollar. I just bought more $GGB Brazilian Steel whose profits are in Reals. And also $IPI since fertilizer stocks are moving up with grain futures. Commodities are priced in US dollars. A weaker dollar gives a tight commodity market even more legs. I could be wrong. But this is what I am seeing. Everyone is on the side of a strong US dollar. Usually that means a trade is developing against the dumb money.
Yep. I made 40% this year on GGB (Gerdau). Terrible stock to keep, great stock to trade. Besides that who doesn't like $5 stocks?
Last week I bought $GT, $GOLD, and $GGB. I like the letter G. Today I trimmed and sold some $MOS at open and sold out of $MO. I am less bullish on the letter M right now. I am debating buying more $GOLD today even after the 5% pop as no one is talking about Gold. I like to buy what people are bearish on and sell what people are bullish on.
I should have bought $X. I bought into $GGB instead even more than $CLF. Gerdau S.A. pays a divy like $VALE. Plus the Brazilian Real give. s me a hedge against the USD
Added to $GGB which bounced off it's 200 DMA on 2 yr charts. Added to $MOS which bounced off it's 50 DMA on 2 yr charts. Opened a position in $FCX and added to $IPI. Steel, Ag Fertilizer, and Copper. Too much smart money is shorting commodities right now. If we have demand destruction I am screwed; however I am not seeing demand destruction at the gas pumps. The US durable goods May print today missed to upside of 0.7% act vs 0.1% increase exp. I am only seeing/hearing demand destruction talk on CNBC & Reddit and not in the real world. The numbers don't lie.
That's why I have been buying mostly small caps and cheaper valuation commodity stocks. Both have been hit very hard this year but I am looking at the long term picture. The commodity stocks (minus Oil) like $CLF, $MOS, $GGB, $IPI, etc could end up being expensive if commodity prices fall off a cliff. So those are a gamble. However, there is still this nasty supply/demand problem. But look at the Forward P/E's under 7 for $HOG and $GT just as 2 examples off the top of my head. They are priced as if no one is ever going to buy a motorcycle or tires ever again. And there are so many other small caps trading at the same low low forward valuations. Sure if demand falls and the cost of inputs like Steel, Oil, Copper, etc keep rising those Forward P/E's could double, maybe in a worse case scenario. But then they would still be trading at a Forward P/E under 15. And the bull case is that these stocks could double and still be under priced. History might show that I bought a whole bunch of value trap stocks at the top. But this market has completely mispriced growth from value that Coca-Cola is trading at a forward P/E 4x that of Harley-Davidson and Coca-Cola is even trading at a slightly higher valuation than Paypal and Apple for christ sakes. End of Rant.
Most of the stocks I own pay dividends. $T, $KMI, $VZ, $PSX, $GOLD, $GGB, and $INTC are a few. The oil and Gold stocks are volatile thou and not for everyone that doesn't like volatility. AT&T has held up rather well if I add in the dividends I have received and subtract from the loses. Intel dividend yield is getting over 3%. Utilities are another good choice, but research your local utility providers as they are in regional markets.
GGB looks good but 32% insider isn't a good sign IMO. I recommend DELL + HPQ + QRVO all have better value than PYPL
I bought $GGB with the rest of my cash in my account. Gerdau S.A., Brazilian Steel, with a forward P/E of 0.19 and 9.4% dividend. I need to wait for funds to clear tomorrow to do the rest of my stock buying for the month. I am thinking $KMI, $LNT, $T, and more $GGB & $MOS. All dividend stocks. I might buy Paypal back as well so I can say I do own some tech stocks : )
Gerdau SA is really a good one to look at GGB
$GGB has done well for me. The Brazilian Real is the best performing currency in 2022. And Brazilian Steel is doing well
Try to view (in your broker like fidelity, schwab for actual dividend) **VALE,GGB,SID PBR-A,SBLK and ZIM**. Except VALE, GGB,SID, I have not bought any previously. Now, I do not have any stock.
Another selloff for $GT after another earnings beat. I added to $GT and $GGB this morning. These stocks are either going to be value traps or eventually rebound if they keep beating on earnings in future quarters. I might put too much into Forward P/E ratios, but when they get below 7, I see value as long as revenues don't decline.
I just added to $GGB (Brazilian Steel) to go along with adding to $MOS, $HAL, and $GOLD. $MOS forward P/E is 5.2. $GGB forward P/E is 0.16. This peak inflation story is way too early. These companies are printing cash and hiking dividends.
So Gerdau ($GGB) up or down? They are multinational with plants in US
Is this for real to scale?! I cant fathom it being as tall as the GGB.
This is feeling like a post-Soundgarden Chris Cornell day in the markets. So I am listening to Audioslave & solo Chris tunes while buying $HAL, $KMI, $GGB, and $GOLD. Those type of stocks did well in 2002-2008. This may NOT be the best technical investment advice thou.
Well If I waited 1 more day I could have sold $MOS for another 6% profit. Bad move on my part. I am done waiting. I just added to $KMI, $GGB, $HAL, and $CX. My purchases are in for the day. Cemex might be a mistake as it has no support.
Brazilian stocks are interesting. I have a small position in $GGB (Brazilian Steel) which is up 16% overall. I am looking for stocks outside of the USA. Good call on Nintendo too. I unfortunately went with $SONY instead.
Wow. OP crushed this. I found this de bc I want to get into GGB now. You saw it 11 months ago. Right on. Hell yea.
Right now my bigger positions in those sections are $T, $INTC, $KMI, $PSX, $GOLD, $LUMN, $MOS, and $GGB. I am trying to add others and not be so concentrated in a dozen or so stocks. I also want more exposure to non USA stocks so I recently opened a small position in $CX and $SONY.
Investulator, Thank you for your analysis. I should have clarified better that the ETFs that had the 77% drop were; RSX, ERUS, RSXJ, RUSL, and RUSS. [https://finviz.com/map.ashx?t=etf&st=w4](https://finviz.com/map.ashx?t=etf&st=w4) My funds didn't settle in time to take long positions, before these funds were banned from trading in us markets. There is a rumour that you can still buy RSX on Robinhood, and a russian pegged index on the london exchange. I took positions in CEE, EEA, GF, IFN, and will continue to cost avg in. CEE - was trading 15 - 30, now at 7.5. -50% from the low end EEA - was trading 9.5 to 10, now at 8.5 -10% from the low end IFN - was comparing the recent price movement to its 52wk trading range, 20-22 now at 18-19. however i am always open to learn more about how to evaluate stocks. GGB and GOGL may be undervalued depending on how Russian sanctions impact global trade. For GGB, I believe their recent down trend correlated with the price drop in BRIC markets. While their price increase comes from; Brazil declaring their neutrality, the Russian sanctions restricting the world supply of metal, and good fundamentals at $6 price point. Will the world turn from Russian to Brazilian steel? Gogl, is a shipping company with good fundamentals that paid a 20% dividend last year. i believe with oil at $100 a barrel, railroads and shipping will dominate the transportation industry. I would love to hear what positions your taking or considering.
$MOS and $HAL I've had for over a year since they haven't fallen below their 50 DMAs. $GGB less than 2 weeks. $EXK 1 month. $DNN 1 week. $GOLD & $AG 3 months. If any of these stocks fall below their 50 dma's on the 3 month chart sell immediately unless you are willing to hold for a year.
Yeah $MOS and $HAL are my biggest winners. I need to get back into $VALE. I sold way too early. I bought pretty big in to $GGB, $EXK, and $DNN the last 2 weeks. Brazilian Steel, and small cap silver and small cap uranium.
Of the six you mentioned: 1. IFN: -12% YTD, -13% 1Y 2. ING: -30% YTD, -16% 1Y 3. GGB: +24% YTD, +19% 1Y 4. GOGL: +22% YTD, +70% 1Y 5. OEC: -11% YTD, -19% 1Y 6. VEON: -79% YTD, -80% 1Y Are we looking at the same data? (3) & (4) are actually doing better than the market. I think only ING is considered "big dip". It has $5.3billion loans in Russian and $500million loans in Ukraine. $6B war exposure may seem like a lot, but ING's loan book is $600B, so this is only 1% of loan/sales, thus -30% seems excessive. VEON is an ISP in 10 countries (Russia, Pakistan, Algeria, Uzbekistan, Ukraine, Bangladesh, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Armenia and Georgia) and its maximum revenue derives from Russia. So -80% seems normal.
LMAO. $MOS and $HAL have been saving me. Unfortunately I bought more $GT than $MOS over this last year. I should have gotten into Alcoa. I bought $GOLD and $GGB instead which have done ok.
BM - $VALE or $GGB Energy $HAL or $FCEL RE- None Utilities - $LUMN
Currently hold: CLF GGB Veon USL Bought KSS at bottom today hoping to dump tomorrow for a profit.
Added to $EXK, $GLDG, $GGB, $BP, and $RAIL. Sold out of $EBAY. $INTC is the only semi-tech stock left I own.
I sold out of $EABY for a nice loss. I opened a position in a Uranium stock that can't be named due to low market cap along with $RAIL I added to $BP, $GLDG, $GGB.
My plan for the week.. Buy $HAL, $CLF, $MOS at open. Buy $AG and $GOLD on the dip right after CPI Thursday. Sell all $INTC for a loss on the pump after CPI Thursday. Get out of $BP for a slight gain after it hits it's 50 dma. Sell my 1257 shares of $MOS once wsb actually starts mentioning the stock. Rotate my shares of $CLF into $GGB on every pop in $CLF. And sell 25% of my $GOLD holdings b4 CPI. Buy that 25% back after the dip when people realize J-Pow isn't raising rates more than 025 bsp with 8% inflation and the Russian/Ukraine war will end after $5 gasoline : P
I'm selling all non dividend and all non commodity stocks at market open. I'll put that cash back into more shares of $GOLD, $HAL, $XOM, $AG, $MOS, $FCX, $CLF, $GGB, and a few other commodity stocks. Good luck everyone.
Finished the day up +0.46%. My portfolio is completely Bi-Polar though. Biggest loser are $GT -7.41%, and $CX -7.06%. Biggest winners $MOS + 7.48%, $GGB + 3% & $AG + 3%.
I squeezed out a + 0.19% gain solely on $GGB, $MOS, $HAL, and $GOLD gains. $BP and $REV were my biggest loser. $TITN and $LUMN also were up big today, but I am expecting to lose those gains tomorrow. I added to $FSM and $CX today. Silver and Cement, 2 of the most boring assets in the world.
Nice call. Are you in long term cap gains or still short term? Wait until the difference in cap gains tax changes to long term as that is a huge savings on taxes. The commodity stocks are interesting and should continue to rally thru the summer. I am still kicking myself for selling 10% in $MOS yesterday and my entire $CLF position, although I still have a huge stake in $GOLD, $BP, $HAL, $EXK, $PSX, and $GGB. Alcoa has never fell below any of the DMA's though. If you are in long term cap gains territory maybe sell 10%? Sure you'll be upset like I am with $MOS if it continues to run but you'll still have 90% and you locked in some profits?
The market drives politics and politicians; not the other way around. Regardless, war = Oil, Steel, Wheat and more. Got a few plays to recommend? I like GGB, PBR, GORO ( got to have that gold ), and good old future options.
I managed a very small gain for the day thanks to Silver miners $EXK and $FSM both up over 10%. Barrick $GOLD was also up 4%. I sold out of $CLF with a 15% gain. I bought heavily into $HAL and $PSX into the close. I also opened a position in $REV and added to $GT & $GGB. I haven't bought this much in one day in over 6 months.
If you feel like you missed out on $CLF or $X steel train, check out $GGB. Gerdau SA, Brazilian Steel selling for a forward P/E under 1.
I bought $GGB as well. Brazilian Steel. I like $CLF, but $GGB and $CX are way cheaper right now.
...says the co founder of GGB. Hahahahaha. I could have given Redecan better advice.
This article is old (as in very old news). Not a thing in here hasn’t been talked about, hashed and rehashed dozens of times on this board. A lot of us have pointed out (and did so at the time when Medmen and Ianthus did these GGB deals) the dangers of these senior secured, nominally non-dilutional deals, which always have a bunch of undisclosed covenants and restrictions. What the article didn’t say was that Ford’s team didn’t execute. They were losing money hand over fist. I’m not saying GGB isn’t nefarious. The personal loan to Ford, the “Don’t pay. Let us foreclose” conversations are the essence of slimy (and should be illegal), but GGB would have been crazy to give Ianthus the last tranche. They could get 97.5% of the company for what they’d already lent them. Also, the situation on the ground changes. March of 20, a 19 month bear market in cannabis stocks began. As the stock price drops, the cushion that debt holders have falls. Right now GGB controls up to 97.5% of a company worth $32m.
GGB and CLF are both strong buys imo. Hope they go full retard like they did back in 07’-08’
Commodities are rallying. This won't help inflation. $MOS, $CLF, $FCX, $GGB, are all up 3-4%
Haha I got out of that bullshit couple years back. I'm in hemp now on a more public standard. Still got plans for marijuana investment though. I was on the grow team for that whole charade, from aphria with LHS, to the whole GGB butt fuck scenario in FL. So yeah, they're all full of corrupt shit.
Absolutely, but probably unlikely as it relates to this particular insider trading incident. Although it'd be really nice if while investigators were digging that they looked at everything going on, saw all the overlaps of names across various related companies, and dug even deeper. Biggest problem is Serruya, Defrancesco and Co. are VERY well-versed in complex structuring that allows them to pull off their self-enrichment schemes legally. Everything related to Andy Defrancesco going on at that time was shady as f**k -- and especially the hostile takeover attempt. Hell, the same characters are still all joined at the hip and pulling investor rip-offs to this very day. (I'm glued to keeping an eye on Captor Capital, MedMen, and a few others they're involved with current day) Serruya's the big money, quietly operating in the background and never caught in the spotlight of the shady dealings that go on. Andy's the grunt man, pulling whatever shit he can to make sure he and his pals turn a profit, regardless of who gets hurt along the way (which is most often the retail shareholders). I think for the most part Andy's the ringleader and some of the other names are/were just along for the ride (ie. Vic, etc.). One of the 'funny' things is that Brady Cobb's name never gets caught up in all the crap that has (and still) goes on. He's been there, attached to many of the companies along the way. In fact, EVERY job he's had in the cannabis sector has been with Serruya funded companies. But I suppose at the same time he's not one of the guys orchestrating the bullshit -- he's just a yes-man pawn who keeps quiet about the background shenanigans while doing his job and benefiting from the scams. It's a shame Teri Buhl is so messed up and untrustworthy herself. Because if some of the things she has written are accurate, they become too easily dismissed based on her unprofessional manner and obvious hate for Andy & Co. [Defrancesco-Serruya Engineered Green Growth Brands takeover plan of Aphria: $APHA $GGB](https://www.teribuhl.com/2019/11/22/defrancesco-serruya-engineered-green-growth-brands-takeover-plan-of-aphria-apha-ggb/) >Text messages from early February 2019 show Andy Defrancesco writing Michael Serruya upset that Irwin Simon, who was chairman of the board at the time, was talking directly with the Green Growth guys. >Andy writes: Daviau and Irwin are talking now. I told Daviau we would handle it- you & I. Have you had time to think about our conversation?” >“I bounded it off Jay this morning and he was fine with it. We’d prefer…would be best to go on the board if you’d invite him to. Also we would want to announce some kind of working relationship in CBD. We should set a deadline to figure this out and don’t want to waste to much of either of our time on it. >[Daviau is Dan Deviau the CEO of Canadian investment bank and broker dealer Canaccord Genuity } >Serruya wrote back: “Irwin and others are bushing back on the Schottensteins and board seat” >Andy writes: “What would you suggest then? Sort of blows up our entire idea if we don’t have all the parties in line.” >Serruya doesn’t respond.