Reddit Posts
Will holding I-Bonds an extra month or two make any more money?
Nvidia sorta reminds me of Cisco during the dotcom.
I would like to discuss my portfolio, what do you think about it?
Anyone not playing the SS on crypto miners is missing out. Big moves coming for CIFR, BITF, WULF etc.
Broker not offering the product I need - poor market transparency?
I'm bully on $UBER and $LYFT but mostly UBER. Why? ....(Edited Repost with Positions-Per Moderator Request)
Question For SUCCESSFUL Day Trading Veterans - How Would YOU Do This?
Why cant you use an OTOCO order with a Buy at Market, then a PERCENTAGE Based Sell Stop Loss and Percentage Based Sell Limit????
Is THIS Method Possible With a "OTO" Order For Buying a Stock?
Copper is the #1 Medium to Long Term Opportunity Out There, Here's Why
Challenge my Thesis, "Copper is the Opportunity of the Decade"
Dynamic SNP500 Allocation based on Moving Averages - Almost beat the market?
Can someone please explain what's happening with a stock I bought?
if a stock goes below your investment and couple days it goes goes back up, do you still lose your investment?
Best Podcasts, YouTube Chanel, Books, Blogs, or advice for a newbie to investing.
How to think about returns of extra mortgage/principal payments
Meta ordered to suspend Facebook EU data flows as it’s hit with record €1.2BN privacy fine under GDPR
Fund liquidation and TER change approaches of Vanguard vs State Street Global Advisors; VHVE vs SWRD
Vanguard vs State Street Global Advisors' liquidating funds and changing TER approaches; VHVE vs SWRD
Job Openings and Fed Speakers - Daily Trading Report
Job Openings and Fed Speakers - Daily Trading Report
Update to the rules -- Rule 2 and 4
Epazz Holdings: ZenaDrone, Inc. 1000 AI Predictive Received a Letter of Support from the US Air Force for Drone Cargo Delivery and Intent to Use ZenaDrone 1000 Platform
LEAPs - Do I have to go to Jan 2025 for a long term cap gain goal?
Epazz Holdings: US Government's Chinese Drone Ban Will Assist ZenaDrone in Generating Revenue; Phase 1 SBIR Submitted
Epazz Holdings: US Government's Chinese Drone Ban Will Assist ZenaDrone in Generating Revenue; Phase 1 SBIR Submitted
Epazz Holdings: US Government's Chinese Drone Ban Will Assist ZenaDrone in Generating Revenue; Phase 1 SBIR Submitted
Epazz Holdings: US Government's Chinese Drone Ban Will Assist ZenaDrone in Generating Revenue; Phase 1 SBIR Submitted
Let's play a game friends...
Weekly Trend Scalping Strategy / Trade Reviews WEEK 1
Not educated enough on selling Put Credit Spreads, but I did it anyway.
Help me understand my accumulating ETF iShares S&P 500 IUES NA / IE00B3ZW0K18
Basing entire portfolio on ETFs. Advice needed!
for those of us holding stocks now- do you think by the end of the year we will be up or down?
CuriosityStream - rapidly growing company valued below cash & cash equivalents, no debt, targeting positive cash flow in 2023. P/B of 0.45
Is it a good or bad idea to put money in the market right now?
William Bernstein The Delusions of Crowds: Why People Go Mad in Groups Summary
My current positions the last 3 months and other stocks I'm eyeing
How fast do prices of the same security tend to stabilize across different exchanges?
Opinion: People are still underestimating Twitter's risk on TSLA
The 0- 0.05 delta options are the best options to sell. Change my mind.
Suggestions/ideas for a simple long-term buy and forget ETF-Growth-Portfolio
Explanation needed: Why are short term US treasury ETFs not reflecting the rise in interest rates?
WisdomTree Global Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF
Shills pushing a revenge action of GME
Rule of thumb time period over which to invest a lump sum?
$BBBY Options Activity Explosion - Stacking Kegs of Gunpowder.
$BBBY: What is coming next week and why you will regret not buying it today
Trying to explain the difference in performance between these currency hedged/unhedged ETFs
I expect further downturn in industry until inventory and lead times get better.
Mentions
You keep writing "IE." What is that?
I’m not sure that I totally follow. This kind of goal is good for a percentage of your assets as you near and enter retirement. It’s also good for medium term savings (IE saving up for 10 years to buy a house). It makes no sense for long term growth or retirement investment over the first 30 ~ years of your career. Maybe I’m misreading your post though.
Wasn’t asking you. And I meant when the announcement came out. IE liberation day.
A lot of is experience trading and understanding and watching options. I don’t have a specific indicator. Since I watch various products I can tell when they get out of whack (IE when Tesla dropped when Elon and Trump first started their feud) Or when United Health care gapped down on the bad news about their shady dealings. When the options get so out of whack, its just high probability when I sell (and manage the risk) When I did Tesla I think my put strikes were well below 200. As for a more solid answer, you can look at the premium charts too of the option, chances are if it peaked somewhere before it may hit that peak again and reverse
Strangle is an option strategy where you have sold an OTM call and and OTM put. Your max gain is the premium gained. A sell level is just my own terminology meaning once I am seeing established selling being confirmed. IE if a stock is just going straight up each day, eventually there will be a pullback when it starts dropping, that would then confirm there is selling
If you have a lot of assets either free and clear or on fixed interest rates and you can easily afford the cost of living, inflation is great. IE: Who cares if the cost of groceries went from $1000/mo to $1700/mo if my real estate portfolio went from $2000009 to $3400000.?
If I can do the same strategy on futures I will always use that instead. IE if I was going to sell a put on SPY or ES (sp 500 futures) I would do the trade on ES always. My account is large enough I can position size accordingly to make the trade the same.
All options have a ticker, thats technically when you submit a trade that it is utilizing. IE the apple 200 strike put expiring July 18th ticker is .AAPL250718P200 On Think or Swik you can just hold your finger on the option strike to pull it up
Thank you for being open to share. If you are ever in Richmond VA I'll buy you a beer. Here are my questions: What are your thoughts on selling strangles? What delta do you normally sell naked puts @? I know you mentioned the stop loss at 2x premium received, but do you ever take assignment then sell covered calls on the shares? (IE run the wheel strategy) Do you have a structured plan on what you do with your earnings (aside from taxes)? Like for example do you leave them all liquid? Or maybe use them to buy shares to sell calls on later? Do you have any strategies that you employ for low volatility periods? Or do you always just wait? How familiar do you have to be with the underlying before you feel comfortable selling options against it? Do you research fundamentals or will you trade an underlying that youre not really versed on as long as it has enough vega/volume/premium available?
Most companies are tied to the broader index they are a apart of. The tail wags the dog. (Even more so with futures and hiw this is manipulated) IE if its part of the SP500 what the Sp500 does 80% of the time is what the stock will do.
Long future contracts. For option specific trades a couple things: Back spreads, I described as using this on 0dte options but if Volatility is really low they are VERY effective on longer duration option. IE sell a put like 5-10% OTM for 90-180 days, this put id for ASSIGNMENT and you must be willing to own at this price and have enough capital, Take the premium and buy two puts further down of the same duration with the premium. You now have a 1-2 backspread. Typically since volailtity is low, when the underlying drops 5-10% VIX is mean reverting meaning its going to Juml a lot. Since you have those two long puts, they are going to boom in value. You can then close the spread for a profit. In the event the market continues upward, you loss nothing because the short put paid for the two long puts.
I explained it in a couple replies: 1) Using ToS Iv Percentile 2) Using the various Vix’s. Lot of commodities have Vix’s and so do some stocks. There was a day too when the futures had Vix’s until CME and Cboe’s partnership ended. I learned a lot from watching those 3) Charting the premium of the option itself. Majority don’t know you can pull up the chart of the specific option and see what its been trading at. 4) Some of it is experience too. When you trade long enough and have watched products you know when something is high. IE feb 2018 in ES futures options ATM for 6 hour duration were over 100 points. I have traded ES so much I can look at the option pricing and typically know.
I have my watch list which is mainly comprised of my futures tickers. Stocks I can pull up by just looking at the NASDAQ or Sp500 list and sorting by whats higher IV percentile. Or I look at the varioud meme stocks when they pop up and find trades too (IE. hims, circle, coreweave,) I know last year I had found Rumble and did about 40k off that selling strangles when it was around like $18 I think
1) I won’t touch a stock if it doesn’t have weekly options. Not that I want weekly, but there has to be enough liquidity. 2) I want high volatility because I will be shorting the vega (I don’t want to get assigned most stocks, for something I want assignment on IE spy I am willing to sell options in lower volaitlity) Thats what generally draws me to a stock is the options being overpriced due to high volatility. Likewise for a futures option trade.
Generally when a broker won’t give you a higher level it gets complicated for them to pass you. I would probably seek another broker and just recheck your trading experience, IE have you had a 401k the last 10 years? Thats 10 years of trading experience! Also make sure to put investment goals as speculative, growth, risk tolerance high if you want max tiers
You have calls and puts, Sell puts BELOW current price, sell calls ABOVE current price. You can sell puts as a method to enter a stock long (called a cash secured put) IE if price is at $150 a share you could sell a put at $145 a share for 20 days and get paid $2 of premium. In this case if the price doesn’t end below 145 in 20 days you keep the $2 of premium (which is $200 because a put is for 100 shares) If it does end below you still keep the $2 of premium and have bought the stock at 145. Sincs you got it at 145 with $2 premium your cost basis is $143 a share (this applies to taxes too) For calls its the opposite, you must sell at the call strike if its above that strike at expiration. Lets say you got the shares at $145 a share and now sold one call at $150 for $1 of premium for 20 days If price stays below $150 for the 20 days you still got the $1 of premium ($100) If price ended at 150.50 you sold the stock at $150 and still kept the $1 of premium. In this case you gained $5 from the stock going up plus $1 from the premium so you netted a total of $6 gain. ($600)
I typically avoid earnings UNLESS the options are so jacked it is worth selling (typically this would line up with a down market ie like in April) because the premium is not worth the risk. Even though the options are “big” during earnings you have to look at the options across all earnings for the stock. IE if said stock earnings typically has options pricing a 10% move, but next week’s earnings is now pricing in a 25% move I would look at stepping in. As for tail end risk, you can do a couple thing: 1) Buy tail end options. I actually have puts on Circle I sold but I also bought cheap options I bought for .25 at strike 60. My sold options were around $11 each. 2) Position sizing like you said. For most stocks, I don’t want my exposure more than 50% of my total account. For really volatile stocks it may be closer to 25%% IE if you had 100k and your put options at max loss (if it went to zero) you wouldn’t want more than 50k exposure. This includes even tail end risk options. I don’t count the long options so that way one doesn’t overleverage. This is also due to there is EPR point of no return risk, sometimes the broker sets EPR at 100% meaning they are calculating your loss if the stock goes to 0 or doubles and if your account would be wiped
When the market is down like it was in 2020 and recently I lean more toward selling longer duration options (ie 60 days) for assignment. You get big premiums and can get good entry prices. IE if the market was down 20% and you sold a put at another 5-10% down you could net anywhere from 5-10% for 60 days.
You have calls and puts, Sell puts BELOW current price, sell calls ABOVE current price. You can sell puts as a method to enter a stock long (called a cash secured put) IE if price is at $150 a share you could sell a put at $145 a share for 20 days and get paid $2 of premium. In this case if the price doesn’t end below 145 in 20 days you keep the $2 of premium (which is $200 because a put is for 100 shares) If it does end below you still keep the $2 of premium and have bought the stock at 145. Sincs you got it at 145 with $2 premium your cost basis is $143 a share (this applies to taxes too) For calls its the opposite, you must sell at the call strike if its above that strike at expiration. Lets say you got the shares at $145 a share and now sold one call at $150 for $1 of premium for 20 days If price stays below $150 for the 20 days you still got the $1 of premium ($100) If price ended at 150.50 you sold the stock at $150 and still kept the $1 of premium. In this case you gained $5 from the stock going up plus $1 from the premium so you netted a total of $6 gain. ($600)
I look for stocks or futures that have had extreme moves recently, IE Crude Oil, Good ways to measure vega is the VIX and some commodities and such have vix’s as well IE OVX is oil vix. I don’t try to predict when something is going to go up because its easier to react when something is trading at extreme.
Not 100% move in the underlining 100% meaning like you are 100% right on direction. IE it went straight up or down from the open
I sell just calls and or puts on aggs. IE May June is a good time to sell calls on Corn, likewise selling puts during the harvest lows in Sept is good too. Same with soybeans. Oil tends to peak in may and bottom in Dec
Hard to explain without direct experience but let give a few examples and something you can measure: 1) Using Think or Swim they have an implied vol gauge, you will see this as “IV PERCENTILE” basically it takes the options pricing from the last year and plots them in a range and puts them into a percentile. So if options are trading at 60% then they are 60% higher than all the options in the past year. Using this, I would look for something above 70 and love when it gets to 90’s. Be aware it can go above 100% and or below 0 (although the number won’t reflect this) IE if the options were at 100% today and higher tomorrow, it would be at 100% 2) Another way would be to look at the straddle price and be familiar with the product. IE if tesla has a typical straddle of like say 30 points for 30 days and suddenly its at 100 that could be a trade. 3) lastly, another way is when i see things like Circle or Coreweave, when there aren’t enough strikes to keep up with demand that will ultimately be a big vega crush
Sure, I think buying cheap gamma and doing a backspread is a great one for unit acquisition. Example: Sell a put 1-2% below current price for ASSIGNMENT, Take that premium and buy something like 7-10 puts further down. If the market does a small dip IE 1-2 % you get a good entry and acquired it for a long. If its something chaotic and does a big drop your long puts will go up a TON in value and you can just close the position.
If I sell a covered call its typically anywhere from a few days to 60 days (if the volatility is extreme longer duration better) If it was ITM and the premium was fairly tapped out (IE only 50% or less of the time value left) I would just buy the put adjacent to it which creates a synethetic. I have portfolio margin so when I do that the margin goes to almost 0 for the position as its considered flat. Its easier to do that then sometimes trying to buy deep ITM calls followed by selling the underlying
Of course, if you aren’t in cash at times then you aren’t picky enough. You need to be picky to make money. A good strategy I employ is actually looking at option premium on a chart. I use Think or Swim and on the mobile app you can hold your finger kn the bid or ask of a strike and pull up the chart for that exact option. I typically look back at least 7 days to see the range the premium traded at. IE if it traded at $10 but its now at $4 I wouldn’t sell it for $4. You could probably get at like 7-8. (Assuming its an option of at least 15 days or more) On the other end, if the premium is just going up and up probably not a good idea to sell it quite yet
What makes a good trader is not predicting what will happen, but reacting to what is happening. IE , SP500 and NASDAQ are at all time highs, I am long the market. There is nothing indicating that selling is occuring. However, I have risk management in place in case I am Wrong.
I think the question you want to ask is what is your rate of return, because profit doesn’t matter (unless you mean risk to reward ratio) I could say I made 10 million dollars but have a billion dollar account… you could make that off just doing t bills. When I began over a decade ago I started with about 20k, I have traded well over 1,000,000. As for rates of return, first goal is to outperform by and hold SPY. I have had returns from 30-100% while using risk management (IE less than 2% exposure)
Even if it hits positive, you may not get a max return IE: Max Loss $100 Max Return $125 Actual return $13
But they aren’t always mean reverting. Some go hyperinflation. IE. Argentina pesos
You typically denominate in the invested currency. IE: If I invest euros, I'd denominate the investment in... euros. Same thing with YEN, CAD, USD, etc, etc. I want to see the % return in the currency I invested (I only want my investments to go up!). It's not attractive to invest foreign currencies into the US right now, whereas previously it was. This means (in the eyes of most of the other major currencies - the US shrunk / was a bad investment). The bitcoin denominator could be used if you use bitcoin in your day to day investments (although that's a strange one as people don't treat it / trade it like a foreign currency, yet it follows the same rules).
I guess I was speaking relatively. IE: If I invested into the euro & just held it - I'd have more buying power than if I invested in the US markets & they went up 5%. Basically, you were actually better off holding euros (no risk, 0% return) than investing in the us market on average. The european economy also grew, but only... 6%. I'd have done ~17% better by investing into the european market vs the US one
Literally not even close.... https://www.justetf.com/en/etf-profile.html?isin=IE00B5BMR087#overview
any thoughts on $achr vs the competition -- joby, evtl, hovr? all have had sessions with 20%+ gains at points in the last two quarters. Archer, however seems to have much better PR, as they made a big splash securing rights to air taxi for the 2028 LA Olympics a few weeks ago. Jimmy Fallon did a hype piece on the tech after it was announced, and I have no doubt NBC will be parading around plenty of free PR in the lead up to 2028. Not really sure how to parse out to these companies for investing based on the quality of a tech, leadership, partnerships and scalability? I would think first mover Advantage would be pretty huge here, but I also see plenty of downside to making a big promises and then coming up short in the quality of the final product or not meeting the deadlines, IE not making enough of these air attacks and time for 2028 after all the hype.
Sure see this chart https://ei.marketwatch.com/Multimedia/2020/04/22/Photos/NS/MW-IE963_mc2004_20200422103601_NS.jpg?uuid=96dc64ca-84a6-11ea-8471-9c8e992d421e
dont forget they are selling puts IE JPM
Yes...but there's is very lengthy process to enforce those laws. Most cases of litigation are Civil actions IE some one sues large company cause the drug did a thing they said it wouldn't. Then you have a while differe t process and Most times people just settle out of court meaning no laws are to be enforced. Thank you for proving my point. Learn to Merica, doo doo head.
401(k) up to the match, minimum. This is always the right answer. The follow on question would be “why” IRA over 401(k)? It may or may not be the right answer. Here is the order of operations that I follow: 1) 401(k) up to match; 2) fully funded emergency cash savings; 3) HSA to max; 4) Any other tax advantaged retirement accounts to max (IE Roth or IRA if available); 4) finish maxing 401(k); 5) MDBR (if available depending on some variables you might skip straight to taxable); 6) taxable brokerage and or 529 if applicable. Some of these can be a little interchangeable and some companies don’t offer an HSA and some people are income limited out of IRAs but this general framework works for most people. Keep going down the list until you’ve got no more cash to invest.
What are your total monthly expenses? Typically you want at least 3 months and no more than 12 months worth of expenses in cash. After that everything should be invested. Short term savings to buy real estate or other assets should probably be invested something very safe like SGOV. Metals and equities are better suited for long term (IE retirement) investments. It’s too volatile if you’re gonna need the money back out in a few months or a few years. Silver/metals can have a place in a portfolio but metals don’t grow earnings and create value like companies do. Silver and gold are great ways to diversify but your primary long term investments should almost certainly be in index funds and maybe real estate. Here are long term trends of the S&P v Silver v Gold FWIW.
Positions like this and sales like this are the best. You kick yourself for not dropping 5k back in the day and you imagine what life would be like if you had, but you're still happy at the end of the day "Remember that investments aren't really real. They don't actually have any impact on your life until you realize them. This is that realizing. Investments are also best when you no longer have need for the money in a meaningful way, IE house, cars, debt, etc. When all of those needs and wants are taken care of than the 200k in a stock or the 600k in the 401k doesn't really mean anything and its free to continue to grow in the background without having an impact on your life."
IE seems completely different. Microsoft became dominant through normal business model, then pushed the other software because of general dominance. Android is free *if* you bundle. My prediction of Android needing to charge device makers isn't that crazy, as that's apparently basically what has already happened. Android has been charging EU device makers since 2018 if they want the play store or other Google products on the phone, they're just not charging for android specifically. It turns out businesses do indeed need to make money in some way and the cost is being passed onto the device makers: https://www.theverge.com/2018/10/16/17984074/google-eu-android-licensing-bundle-chrome-search Also, the post wasn't trying to be "edgy," it seems like a genuinely bad decision for consumers, and I presented it in a very fair way, which has literally already happened. EU phones are more expensive now after this ruling.
Scalping but then you enter higher risk territory and you need to be actively trading it IE: you now devote a lot of time to it. Every strategy is priced in and has a risk ratio wheeling is found to *slightly* tilt that risk reward ratio in the sellers favour eg theta. 15% is beating the market that's a great return. Maybe wheeling with some carefully chosen calls and puts is a good balance.
Positions like this and sales like this are the best. You kick yourself for not dropping 5k back in the day and you imagine what life would be like if you had, but you're still happy at the end of the day to cash out 250k take a 20% capital gains haircut and buy a house. Remember that investments aren't really real. They don't actually have any impact on your life until you realize them. This is that realizing. Investments are also best when you no longer have need for the money in a meaningful way, IE house, cars, debt, etc. When all of those needs and wants are taken care of than the 200k in a stock or the 600k in the 401k doesn't really mean anything and its free to continue to grow in the background without having an impact on your life. Smart move realizing your gains and purchasing an asset that you can live in. There will be more investments later. :)
It has to be very convenient and somewhat economical. There will still be times where you own vehicle would be better. IE. You need to pick up items at multiple stores and in-between stores you need a place to securely store you purchases. Possibly we will get to a point where you rent the car for a day etc to do exactly this. I do not mind driving but I am not apposed to being driven around.
I did a project on Crocs that was for a buy decision in 2019 IE Private equity buying out Crocs Of course including the premium one would have to pay for a private equity firm to buy out a public company almost all of the time it would be a bad play Funny enough after running the numbers the decision was clearly buy even under the worst case scenario estimates While looking at their numbers and their strategic plan I was like damn this is a shockingly solid company with a good plan they are incredibly self aware that crocs are the Post Malone of shoes The real risk and what we are seeing now is differentiating from knock off crocs imo but I got out a while ago so idk how it looks now Anyway I yolo’d into Crocs and it paid off, between crocs and the gamestop play I was able to finish grad school comfortably… I have like $14k in student loans total only and well as you know that is still in forbearance interest free and I’ll ride Fucking Crocs helped change my life, I’m not rich but being able to comfortably finish grad school with 2 kids was a blessing.
Here's how you do options... The cost of the contract is SECURED LOSSES IE. Whatever you pay for the contract is the LOSS YOU'RE HAPPY WITH It's fine to put all your money on something, like stock, provided you are okay with the x% loss that it may dip. If you aren't happy with that loss, then DONT FUCKING BUY IT Again, options are securing a loss. You've accepted the ~10k loss already. The end
The EU itself stated in a strategic review last year that they would target 50% of procurement needs being sourced domestically by 2035, they are low 40s today (IE only a marginal increase). EU defense stocks, especially RHM, are already effectively priced to perfection on 5% of GDP defense spend which has been the latest signaling from Germany (and some other Nato members). You can see price action reaction to each incremental increase in assumed % of GDP increase decelerating. 2%->3.5%->5%, each bump has seen diminishing returns on share price gains. EU has no military industrial base (realistically), now they are working towards having a minimal one which is why we have seen the massive short term share price appreciation. At this point a long position on RHM is all execution risk on what is effectively a welfare economy converting a significant % mix of its government spend to military production. It's possible they pull everything off perfectly, but risk weighting is to the downside in my opinion relative to a BAE, LMT, CW, etc.
I'm heavily invested in EXUS - IE0006WW1TQ4
you can look at just ETFs for some good option. I am not from Europe but maybe something like [https://www.justetf.com/en/etf-profile.html?isin=IE0006WW1TQ4](https://www.justetf.com/en/etf-profile.html?isin=IE0006WW1TQ4) would be good for you.
>[Comment](https://www.reddit.com/r/nuclear/comments/1kz0m93/comment/mv1myz4/) by[u/Comfortable\_Tutor\_43](https://www.reddit.com/user/Comfortable_Tutor_43/) from discussion in[nuclearComment](https://www.reddit.com/r/nuclear/) They haven't produced anything yet and any attempt to be contracted to actually build has resulted in the client backing out due to rising costs. (Before the project even starts; IE Romania or Idaho) And, as the comment linked points out, they still need regulatory approval once they actually get a customer. Have you heard anything about actual customers? It looks like Google, Apple, etc. are going elsewhere...
Paint dry. IE; This market.
I think the market distribution implied by the options market has us pinned around 590-600 for spy with left tail risk increasing in probability. IE: Market has skewed downside risk favoring upside. Im positioned for 5700 on spx which is the equivalent of around 570 on spy.
That’s wrong. It’s a 55% tax, IE a deterrent, on producing things in China, whether it’s cheaper to produce elsewhere - US or otherwise - or not. And, spoiler, it is of it will be cheaper to produce elsewhere. You see, the idea of “bringing back American jobs” is, while noble, unrealistic for most things. It’s equally about not continuing to fund your primary rival’s expansion. From a geopolitical perspective it’s much better to move the production to Mexico, or somewhere else, than leave in China.
Hello first of all sorry for posting here, i have been following this sub for quite some time and also portfolios one , although im posting here since i have not enough karma ahah Back to the main subject im currently at 29, im self-employed and live in Portugal, my incomes varies a bit although i also don't have high expenses so i always keep some money aside and this year i decided to do some changes and think ahead in future and start investing, before i only used to leave my money at the bank at a low rate (2%) for 6months and just renew it. Started taking around 400euros every month and deposit it at a brokerage called XTB mainly because it is the only one with office in my country and has no commissions bellow 100k invested monthly and i use it to lower the expenses. It has various etf's and stocks, i did read most part of the bogleheads wiki, and did bought some shares on a low TER S&P 500 [SPYL.DE](http://SPYL.DE) (ISIN; IE000XZSV718) but since i'm aware it alone is not sufficient to build a portfolio i'm looking for some more diversification and have some ideas where to invest: 1) MSCI WORLD ex-US (main idea would be to have a part of the other developed countries) 2) MSCI CORE EUROPE (avoids the Japan allocation that the above point offers and historical has better performance) 3) FTSE ALL-World (well it alone covers pretty much everything developed and emergent but historical perfomance..., well i dont like it that much but i might be wrong) 4) And as an additional backup i think would be wise to hold some commodities such like gold through an ETC with a lower allocation of my portfolio What i was thinking is (S&P500) 70%/ (one of the options above or more but divided) 20% / ETC GOLD (10%) I already do have a fund emergency capable of living from it for more then 12months and in case of a bear market i could increase the monthly invested looking for better opportunities My goal is for retirement in 30'ish years and live comfortable with it, and since i have a good fund emergency i can live well with my investments, at the moment the etf i hold is on my coin, euros Forgot to mention currently i have no debts and very low expenses or basically none Thank you for reading it all and thanks in advance for all the advices
Lol metro link is actually a lot better than before. I usually rent a car if I'm visiting my friends/family in the scrotum of California (IE) but I'd just take the train if I'm staying in westwood or DT.
This whole LA thing is an Indian psy-op or some shit, check this out. [Youtube "Livestream" ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPRwGkh5JXw)which is just looping the FOX News chopper feed from yesterday, claiming its live, claiming the source is Reuters. [CRUX Livestream, again just looping. ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lNa0Xxkj82Q)However this shows what it was like last night, fucking NOTHING happened. However CRUX is News18, another Indian news source Meanwhile dig a little deeper and you get a[ CNBC Livestream](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDnSphPbaUU) focused on the actual action. IE: There is no action. There are no riots going on in LA. There is however literal fake news from India being pushed EVERYWHERE.
Well to be honest my advice would be that if you plan to hold an European market ETF and an American Market ETF you may as well simplify the process and consolidate and buy a Developed Markets option that will give you both the exposure to US and Europe plus other developed countries such as Japan and Australia. I recommend this one IE00BFY0GT14
Since you’re already investing in the S&P500 which is heavy in the American Tech sector I would suggest balancing it with SMEA imo the best EU large to medium cap ETF which predominantly focuses on everything else outside of tech (it has a very small 7% allocation to tech only). You care read more about it here: Take a look at this security at justETF: iShares Core MSCI Europe UCITS ETF EUR (Acc) – https://www.justetf.com/en/etf-profile.html?isin=IE00B4K48X80 I invest in two ETF’s imo it’s all your need, the two are FTSE All-World VWRP and SMEA.
Look out for wash sale if you have the same holdings in multiple accounts. IE try really hard not to trade the same stock in a taxed account and in a retirement account. You cannot legally take a loss on a stock in your taxed account, if you purchased it within 30 days of that sale in any account. ["Rev. Rul. 2008-5," Page 4.](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/rr-08-05.pdf) > Wash sales that happen in an IRA permanently disallow actual losses that occurred in your taxable account.
Yeah sure but do the math. What’s the reward here? And note that this is not what OP had asked about. He asked about investing in equities and even implied that he might want riskier funds like a Nasdaq fund or even something with potentially higher returns potential (IE even more risk).
I also pulled out a few months ago and I'm up compared to the current market (IE. I could buy in for less than I sold). Most of my money is money markets, but some is in gold and some is in international funds. I suspect the market will not do well over the next 3 years.
There are a few issues with this. For starters it's very tax inefficient. Also after the Ex Dividend date the stock will fall generally around the same amount you receive from the dividend. Think about it, who would pay the pre dividend price when the stock no longer has the cash on it's books or value of the dividend? IE: The stock you buy is worth $1 it pay's a cent dividend. You can then sell it for .99c and keep the .01c check. You're not better off.
Lets look at a 23% annual return rate on a $1mm account: 1- 23% of 1mm is $230,000 2- Short-term capital gain would be in the area of 20%, and quite possibly you would be hit with Net investment Income tax( NIIT)too. Then you need to file regular old income tax also. 3- You need health insurance, 401k plan, cost of your expansive/extensive research and operational cost, IE: Bloomberg etc 4- So $46,000 capital gains tax, and whatever the others cost. You have not taken a vacation yet which would reduce your overall return because you are not trading then. 5. I typically had 5 weeks of paid vacation, and Banking regulations required those with Books and Records access to take 2 weeks consecutively off. I got paid for that and not deducted from vacation time. 6- My health benefits were covered by the firm. 7- My salary was 2x line 1 8- Annual total compensation as a trader was dependent on your P&L statement. As a Managing Director, we got half cash and half 5-year Stock options and usually it was twice what I made as a Trader. 9- Last but not least, I retired at the ripe old age of 45, and do not need to work EVER AGAIN
Not advice, just my situation. Your's maybe different. This could go belly up, and honestly the vast majority of pharma stocks do. I was in early-ish enough to feel comfortable where I am currently. Please read up reliable info where possible (IE NOT Reddit.) And hopefully that helps you make smart choices. Good luck, my the odds favor us.
Edge is also Chromium based As in Google’s chrome is open source and competitors - even IE the former 800lb gorilla in browsers - are able to run the near identical software. For free Bad for the consumer??
Yeah but you gotta respect say, IonQ putting together a niche product legitimately and happening to get swept up in the quantum wave more than Tesla running several scams and intentionally putting out a shit product to cut costs and hope their cult buys in anyway (IE a scam).
Never invest money you can’t afford to lose. Also for anything close to a situation like this I do as a “gods must be crazy” limit order. IE if it’s at 270 set a day buy limit of 240. We fear losses much more than we value gains.
It does, but those restrictions are on medical providers themselves. IE, Musks doctor couldn't reveal drug test results or prescriptions they wrote to the NYT without his express permission, but there's nothing stopping someone unrelated to the medical field who witnessed Musk taking a bunch of prescribed drugs from revealing that to the NYT.
anybody here believe in the Strauss-Howe generation theory? If correct the last "crisis" happened in 1929-1945, meaning that 85 years later we should see another crisis, IE between 2014 and 2030.
Tariffs are fine when used as intended. IE protecting specific local industries. Not as a sweeping blanket of poop on your economy.
If the US maintains a targeted 2% inflation and gdp keeps increasing by a greater amount, it's fine. IE, the amount of debt stays constant, but the amount you get paid increases over time (the buying power stays the same, however). When it comes to debt buying, power doesn't matter as it's already been spent. This is why real estate is one of the best investments.
If the US maintains a targeted 2% inflation and gdp keeps increasing by a greater amount, it's fine. IE, the amount of debt stays constant, but the amount you get paid increases over time (the buying power stays the same, however). When it comes to debt buying, power doesn't matter as it's already been spent. This is why real estate is one of the best investments.
What do you mean? "arbitrary rules", nah there are none. At any given time all assets sum up to 100% - the only thing that really changes is who owns what percentage of said assets. IE: Their ownership distribution. That's the real game being played. How you decide to play it is up to you - but ultimately we are all playing it. The optimal strategy in this game is "own more of the pie" - irregardless of it's underlying value.
>I saw that the safest place for it to be would be an isa since it's low risk You can choose between two types of ISA: (a) The cash ISA is just a tax free savings account. Your risk is that the interest paid is less than inflation so your savings could lose value (purchasing power) over time. Right now, I would not put my money in a savings account or cash ISA that pays less than 4% interest. (b) The stocks and shares ISA is a tax free investment account. You can buy stocks, bonds, money market funds or ETFs inside a stocks and shares ISA. The risk you're taking depends entirely on the investments you make. Many stocks and shares ISAs pay interest on uninvested cash (e.g Trading212 pays 4.35%). So what you could do is put your savings in a stocks and shares ISA that pays enough interest on uninvested cash and wait for the right time to buy stocks (maybe when the next crash comes along). If you're asking whether now is the right time to buy stocks then I don't really have a good answer for you. Stocks (US stocks in particular) have gone up a lot in the last 15 years and are now rather expensive. The world is highly unpredictable right now. So if you have no tolerance for losses then it may not be the best time to buy stocks. My own assets are currently 50% stocks and 50% money market funds. I used to hold almost all of it in stocks until the end of last year. If you don't need your money in the next 10 years or so then it doesn't really matter. You could just put everything in an index ETF and sit out any downturns. Statistically speaking this is a pretty good investment strategy over the long run. Or you could put half of it in an index ETF now and wait for the next crash to invest the other half. But if you're saving for a deposit or if you may need the money in emergencies then it's probably better to look for the highest interest cash ISA or buy a money market fund in a stocks and shares ISA (Ideally inside a flexible ISA where you can temporarily take money out without losing your ISA allowance) If you open a stocks and shares ISA and you plan to buy shares in foreign currencies, pay attention to the broker's forex fees. They are often egregious and far higher than the actual trading fees. If you buy ETFs, choose the ones that trade in GBP rather than USD. Here are some stock index ETFs if that's what you decide to buy: SPDR ACWI is a broad based ETF covering the whole world including developing and emerging markets. The annual fee is 0.12%: [https://www.justetf.com/uk/etf-profile.html?isin=IE00B44Z5B48](https://www.justetf.com/uk/etf-profile.html?isin=IE00B44Z5B48) SPDR SPXL is an S&P 500 ETF if you believe that the US will continue to outperform the rest of the world. The annual fee is 0.03%: [https://www.justetf.com/uk/etf-profile.html?isin=IE000XZSV718](https://www.justetf.com/uk/etf-profile.html?isin=IE000XZSV718) Both trade in GBP.
The biggest difference between AI and crypto is that AI has inherent value (IE making people or businesses more efficient) whereas crypto is purely speculative. Both are risky though and being concentrated in a speculative high growth thing is just a shitty idea.
I agree that there are many ways to profit within markets. The way I see a position within a set time horizon may be different than others but neither may be wrong. I do stick to select few tickers and have for a few years. With conviction on sector or world trend I will pick new ones up. OKLO is a perfect example. Without power there is no ai scaleability. I’ve played this name since IPO and have done very well. Option liquidity is meh sometimes but I believe in the company along with having the risk tolerance of the swings within the name. I will set stop losses for weeklies if I’m buying on a Monday to force emotion out of the trade. Hope of a recovery within a name is a very strong thing especially if there’s a lot of conviction within the thesis. Theta obviously eating the option while one waits for a turnaround is another reason for a stop losses. Outside of a week I do not use stop losses. I get that especially in today’s markets the noise and volatility of weeklies is plentiful. I understand your point though. I do buy a fair amount of OTM calls and puts based on my view of the markets. Upcoming catalysts, meetings, bond auctions within the week, general market sentiment, VIX, overall view of what the future looks like for a company in a world I see evolving a certain way ect.. I rarely play earnings unless I’m very confident in a directional move IE Nike last year missing earnings and crashing 15-20% overnight due to market shifts and the lack of what I believe is the markets understanding of competition in the space. Again, I’ve done well and wanted to start this thread to get ideas on how to continue to evolve. This game is something I’m passionate about and I enjoy the psychology of it all. I appreciate your story. I too lost money the first 2-2.5 years and much of it was stupidity, poor timing, and lack of understanding on the why things move the way they do. I’ve found journaling each trade has been undoubtedly the best thing I’ve done for my growth. Understanding my thought process with entries and exits has lead me to far less mistakes. I’ve made it a habit to review every week as a Saturday morning routine.
"maximizing utility" and maximizing profit are more or less the same thing. Plenty of businesses have put quality first with the expectation that profits would follow. I think Toyota and apple are the greatest examples of this. So quality is good for profits. In general businesses that don't make quality products won't survive in a long run unless there's a significant trade off between quality and price that some consumers would prefer. IE Dollar general and timu 😂
PSA this is a long weekend so take your theta figure and x3 it. IE dont hold fucking weeklies
Hoping you are asking for real: Every federal reserve around the world has cut rates, the US has changed and the Tariffs are working for all of America, just not the stock market, keeping money so hard to get by keeping rates un touched allows inflation in set in and all of us coalesce around those prices…. interest rate levels will eventually come down, but if Powel waits and then only cuts the minimum- the market will assume these are rates that we have and adjust, making the dollar weaker and prices stay high, which makes progress difficult … IE the guy is so obviously political (see 50 pt cut right before election) and therefore his international credibility is gone, unless you are a free Palestine type
Agreed. I’m just saying that in a MAD situation, IE everyone launching their nukes so we have something like 10,000 in flight, if you were able to get that to only 9 or less, it wouldn’t make earth completely uninhabitable. The post nuke world would probably be worse than most movies show though, even if only 9 hit. Because as you pointed out, nukes gone now, and now into traditional warfare once the radiation settles
Look at their reviews on Glassdoor, they have even missed payroll before. https://www.glassdoor.com/Overview/Working-at-Healthcare-Triangle-EI_IE3815407.11,30.htm
There are going off of Weekend Dow/SPY/QQQ, a product of Ig. IE they are regards quoting the prices of several regards trading back and forth amongst themselves.
I have only ever done true CCs I did a bit of buying an selling CCs with gld before on margin (felt gold was a relatively safe ticker to use margin on((only used to get to the next option breakpoint IE 157 units to 200)) I don't know much about PMCCs I was planning on regular wheel because with the idea that a worldwide blanket 10% tariff despite deals should add a constant buying pressure to gold sushi that it goes up a couple dollars each week. If I were to PMCC GLD what would that look like? When I was doing it before I sold options for every two/three days to try and collect the most premium. Though weeklies look like they might be better.
The market & economy were going good. Unlike past downturns that were bubbles, this one was purpose-made. Basically, trump put cement shoes on the market and economy; artificial barriers to trade. With him pausing and pulling back, a lot of market investors figured the market was ready to go back to normal. IE: go back to the upward trends we saw before Trump was adding artificial drag to it. So, the market has rebounded quite a bit. But, long-term damage has been done.. to trade partners, to businesses, to people. And those chickens will come home to roost soon. By that I mean real numbers will come out that validate the damage that's been done. We already have some downward numbers, but 1 data point doesn't make a trend. Once folks see Q3 and Q4 numbers also showing downward, they'll start to consider the economy in a downward slide. The issue we're having right now is too many folks look at the past 15 or 30 days and try to predict the next 10 years of market based on it. Folks going "we're seeing record rise in stocks!" Yeah, you take someone on a tightrope, and you pull the tightrope down artificially, then release it, you'll see a record rise of them back up. Doesn't mean it was a good thing. But, there's opportunity in turmoil.
I assumed the market didn't care about this because other agencies already did this years ago, Moody's was just the lagger who is catching up to everyone else. IE, this is not news.
Oh uhhh sorry might have not been clear enough. I mean my strategy rn from 2025-2030 is to invest into MIC (military industrial complex) in Europe and other companies that involve manufacturing to follow there 2030 rearmament plan. Where from starting in the year 2025 they are diverting more percentage of GDP to there Defence spending and buying new equipment. Germany for example recently increased it to 5%. Which shot up the stock of Rheinmetall AG up 1% and over all sense the start of the year of 2025 Rheinmetall has shot up 200% not just investing in Rheinmetal tho also Deutsch bank, or infrastructure companies like energy because Germany announced a 1 billion dollar loan 500 million of which focusing on infrastructure After 2030 is when I’m going to be looking towards other prospects. IE- investing into the American market.
I think it is because the market is acknowledging the same thing trump is acknowledging by moving it from 145 to 30...IE The tariffs won't last; the attempt was a failure.
Sounds like you're of the herd. IE you yourself *"followed what they read"* and put yourself up a creek like everyone else in the herd did... These times of volatility and uncertainty truly reveal who bought stocks off the wrong principles. Gets 'em every single time. One of my principles is that no matter how much I dislike a sitting US President, I will never allow it to steer me into making bad investment decisions, such as panic selling.
This dip has really reinforced to me how terrible bots and woke people are at investing. They got foaming mad and rage quit (IE they sold low and took a bath.) Now they want company in their misery. But don't worry, they'll repurchase their shares once they hit record highs again... And then they'll get hosed off once again, not learning their lesson, when the next bear market comes.
The best advice to avoid these kind of things is to consistently invest in a diverse portfolio automatically out of every paycheck. Simplify it as much as possible (IE with fewer than 5 ETFs) and stop looking at the market. Just stick with it over your 40 year ~ working career and you’ll end up in a great spot.
These tech deals Trump is making are barely keeping the market afloat. SMCI, AMD, NVDA, GOOG, all are holding the market up. Other sectors are down, IE financials, industries, real estate, health care... all are down except tech. If one of these tech deals does not go the US's way, we are in for trouble. Thankfully, Trump is good at making deals, which is all the market cares about, even if the deals are not good ones!
It can also mean that the total return on other assets are higher than the interest rate offered by bonds. If people think that the stock market is going to yield returns of 10% because of lower inflation, trade deals etc, then they are going to sell their bond holdings and buy stocks. In order for yields to fall, either you need less supply where either the government issues less debt, or another entity to buy the debt (IE fed); Right now i think people are seeing the additional 4 trillion in spending for the tax bill and are positioning accordingly. 5% is a arbitrary number, the 10yr has been has high as 15% in the past. Its not like all the sudden all 32Trillion gets refinanced at 5%, only new debt does. The treasury does a good job of spreading debt around into different maturities to avoid massive refinancing requirements.
Wouldn't a tariff pause be bad news for CVNA? IE, new cars don't have to be more expensive? Or is every news good news...
I legit hate Trump, you have me wrong about that. My point is, he could achieve legitimately good results, but because it’s Trump, everyone will focus on far-fetched name calling, orange man bad. I hate him and disagree with him on most things. Even when I like something he does, I hate how he does it. IE deporting illegals, tariffs… God forbid I want out president to achieve greatness for our country…. I should probably just side with Ukraine and China
*Bro’s still holding GME at $300. 🦍 IE vibes*
Cool, so you have no idea what you're talking about. Youre suggesting small, retail investors are 'propping up' (IE buying) TSLA. That simply CANNOT be true, the figures are too high, retail aren't buying hundreds of billions in shares pushing this back up over a trillion dollars. What relevance to your initial argument do you propose PE ratio has?
How about letting the original Trump tax cuts expire, and not antagonizing foreign holders of US debt with tariffs so we can continue to borrow at lower rates to pay back the old debt. IE, do nothing, and win.