NKE

iliketodrinkpaint

LULU under 10x fwd P/E is wild when NKE is still rocking a 25x. Huge valuation disconnect. At this point, it's like PYPL...if it drops any lower, private equity or competitor will just step in and scoop them up. Really nice floor here.

Inner-Crab-5123

Please look at the weekly charts….NFLX…has been in a downtrend…the market has for sometime re-valuing this stock…ours is not to reason why but to preserve our capital…stocks change character and trend over time..just read all the bullish turn around comments on NKE for the lat 100 points down…the trend is not your enemy…it is your friend…put your ego away and see the world as it is…not as you dream

Happy-Champion1661

(1) do you have any proof about Sburry underperforming? I found performance between 2000-2008, he beat the market almost every single year and then he made bank with his big short bet. (2) I don't subscribe to his Substack, and I don't think one should if they just want to copy his trades, his plays get posted online anyways. But I think you are just looking at it the wrong way. Sburry plays are value and take a very long time to play out, sometimes they don't even have a specific catalyst and they fail to ever come back or take years. As sburry once said, *imagine a company that was worth 100 and now trades at 10. The value investor thinks it's worth 30, so he buys. But the company has become so detached from its fundamentals, that it drops back to 5. Now the value investor is down 50%. Eventually, he will be up 200% (500% from the bottom). But in the meantime, everyone thinks he is an idiot.* \--- (3) I do not recommend Sburry plays and I do not believe in his stock picking for long term. What you should actually do, is reading through Sburry analysis. That is very interesting and it's usually pretty good quality. Sometimes it's biased sure, draw your own conclusions. Fundamentals are impossible to ignore long term. You can make money in different ways, couple examples of his past good plays: PLTR short, PFE longs, PYPL, healthcare bets. Even NVDA puts printed at some point, but I bet he still holds them. (4) His worst pick was probably LULU, which is underwater now, down 50% from Sburry entry. It has to be seen if it will ever recover or not. All retails got destroyed this year, there is a chance the stock is good but the sector is bad. It's not like he told you to buy NKE at 30PE, LULU has like 10 PE. And they are both underwater this year. If you got shares you will be fine.

DatYoungSquire

I did sell $70P. I did similar with NKE and the swing came back around and even to the upside the next day before expiration. It would be very generous of market makers to keep the hard downward slide for an AH Thursday earnings. 1DTE degens would feast.

madalytical

my tarot cards for YINN, WHR, BSX, NKE are all going up up up n awayyyyyyy

madalytical

YINN, BSX, WHR, NKE all kaqing-ing

madalytical

YINN, NKE, WHR, BSX all in BOOM BOOM phase; easy gains bruh, money is kaqing-ing

arbitraryBlue

Time to go where the real value is, NKE

MakeOSUGreatAgain63

This is a lesson from the past It’s easy to say that about NKE now Almost 10 years ago… the world was different. AI didn’t exist. NKE was well respected. It’s okay. You can learn the same way I did. Just don’t cry when the falling knife cuts ur hands

MakeOSUGreatAgain63

MSFT is shit Not all value plays are good I thought NKE was crazy value for the #1 clothing brand in the world when it went from like $100 to $70…. I got my ass destroyed The saying “don’t catch a falling knife” is very true Let others take the gamble. Only get on the ride when it seems safe

DudeManBroGuy9

Hilarious stuff. NKE and WHR are insane, love you for that. BSX...maybe, but.. !RemindMe 1 year

stock_dude9

Cramer throwing towel in on NKE is a huge bottom signal potentially, just saying

madalytical

- 100% will not be accepted - PYPL board will reject (stock rallies) - 100% a counter offer will be made (+$75) - PYPL board will reject (stock rallies again) - 100% July earnings report will be EXCEPTIONAL (stock rallies again) PYPL will TOUCH $100 mark this post, I'm the 1% that decimates the market many times over; PYPL is 15% of my entire port Why only 15%? The other port percentages are in other positions that will also go ASTRONOMICAL, some jump before others, I sell, jump to the next; rinse/repeat Here's freebies for yaw on what's next: YINN, BSX, NKE, WHR remember to mark this post, week(s) of not day(s)

Technically_Tactical

Not $NKE

MountainTimeInvestor

ONON has a difficult road ahead in a market that kind of violently knocked LULU and NKE from dominant positions. I think ONON has a chance because the founders are back in control, LightSpray technology decreases lead times that plagued LULU, and they are able to walk the line between a strong brand and strong performance. This allows them to target a premium customer at a premium price and deliver a cool and high-performance running, tennis, or hiking shoe. My belief is this strategy will lead to outperformance while analyst expectations are relatively low.

dvdmovie1

> Something can be at a 5 year low and seem cheap but if it doesn't have a catalyst it can go to a 10 year low' I think there has to be some sort of considerable thesis for anything that one invests in, preferably with a catalyst in the reasonably near-term. If something is "cheap", what exactly will cause that to change in the next 6-12 mo? Frequently re-assess as time passes as to whether or not the desired story is playing out as hoped or not - if not, then on to the next. Is something truly cheap or was it expensive and has now re-rated to "less expensive" or "reasonable" but not "massively cheap?" I think you saw that with some of the obliterated SaaS stocks; names that had been expensive for years simply re-rated but weren't insanely cheap and now faced a different environment. Does something have reinvestment opportunities? People were going on on here about PYPL for 3 years and the same two things every time: "it's cheap" and "the buybacks." I could never get anyone to seem to make a case for the business itself. What were the opportuntiies for Paypal the business, what else could it do to restart the growth story, what can it do that half a dozen other fintech businesses couldn't copy? Never seemed to get any answers beyond "it's cheap" and "buybacks" (and no guarantee buybacks are done well) - and the stock is down another 35% this year. The stock is still optically cheap, but arguably a mature business and doesn't pay much of a dividend. It's the kind of thing the market doesn't have an appetite for and probably won't unless things broadly change or there's some consolidation in fintech. People looked at NKE in 2024 half off the high; it got a brief boost later in the year when a former exec was brought back to revamp the company. Less than two years later the stock is down 50% from that announcement. I think you have a market that already has little patience for turnaround stories, but when one is going slowly/has been somewhat mixed, even worse. Sometimes stuff simply trades poorly and if days become weeks and something is trading heavy, sometimes the market is right. Allocation/position sizing also plays a major role imo both in terms of specific positions and broad thematic/style.

Creativelydesigned

NKE calls 7/17 $45

Short-Mixture1823

What do y'all think about NKE in the coming months (toward 2027)

IvoryTowerResident

i think consumer discretionary is making a comeback at least in the short run, NKE LULU are some names im seeing rallying off of lows

doublea365

Puts on NKE and ALC: [https://cybernews.com/security/nike-customer-data-breach-claims/](https://cybernews.com/security/nike-customer-data-breach-claims/) [https://cyberpress.org/nike-alleged-breach/](https://cyberpress.org/nike-alleged-breach/) [https://breachnews.com/](https://breachnews.com/)

madalytical

fantastic question! it's because the rest of my port is in other positions that will also go ASTRONOMICAL; some move earlier than others, and I cash out on those gains and jump to the next, rinse/repeat over and over here's a few freebies for u on those positions. u can mark them as well YINN, NKE, WHR, BSX Keep an eye on these, they'll go UP UP and away within week(s); ill cash out and then on to the next, quite simple

madalytical

99% don't know how to trade/invest; I'm the 1% that does; not ego, pure fact it's extremely easy let me give u the next stocks that'll EXPLODE, just for fun ok? NKE, YINN, WHR, PYPL, BSX There's 5, watch them closely over the next day(s)/week(s); then come back to me and ull see wizardry in action, without any crystal balls involved mark it, remind it, watch it happen live; ta ta for now!

Malaysia_Kini

If you look at $NKE, it actually gave the biggest return today.

Malaysia_Kini

$NKE price in 2021: $163 (ATH) $NKE price in 2026: $44

Spac55

$DIS, $NFLX, $NKE. Time to look, adding long

EquivalentMobile7883

NKE 5% green?????

OkIntroduction9139

NKE is too cheap to ignore now, wish I had more $$ to put into it

eloquentboot

Downvote all you want, but I was signalling a purchase of NKE

DoubleFamous5751

\> My initial thought was that the day LeBron announced his new team would lead to a significant jump in NKE stock. There was absolutely no evidence of this but I already bought a small amount of lotto calls for this event so I guess I’m rolling with it. This place fucking kills me lmfaoooooooo 😭 https://preview.redd.it/uobn7udeu8ch1.png?width=2731&format=png&auto=webp&s=4a97b714d05cdad466368921cf753a02b5e302e5

TigerWooded

Try owning NKE….

DrSeuss1020

NKE and PYPL, market just doesn’t want to provide liquidity there apparently

Sufficient_Habit5091

Supreme court did a number on some of the tariffs. NKE got a massive $1B windfall in extra profits on refunds.

trsx5

i did that with NKE except it was Clifford's dick

ThetaThoughts

I’ll say it again. NKE looking 👀 cheap rn

madalytical

Yes indeed, NKE is going to EXPLODE sky-high My port is 30% NKE Mark it, watch it happen live; market WILL dictate reality

----0___0----

NKE is down 70% since Zion blew out his sneaker in a game

Moist-Guava-732

this sub is so retarded people in this [POST](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/PmZEh2HOOO) think his shoes are this way because of NKE quality vs the fact he has a blister on his heel which ANY shoe would irritate so it doesnt matter what brand he wore he would cut out the heel regardless

LabyrinthLayers

Feels like NKE pulling an UA. will it ever recover or just continue dying off

TigerWooded

NKE

Independent-Tree-985

as opposed too ... NKE? APPL? Elon Musk's net worth? Hello, where have you been the last 80 years where USD is not the de facto global reserve and measure of wealth

glasshalfdipped

I spoke too soon about NKE. I stand corrected.

jvaritek33c

I made a 50% return on my Iron Condors by closing them this morning. NKE is currently up \~2.5% so I'm waiting for a pullback closer to $40 before selling my puts

br0botic

After all the gnashing of teeth last night, NKE is green

SatelliteWaffles

How is NKE green? They were like $37 AH yesterday

verified-trader

**BanBet Won** — /u/kmouratidis (2W-0L, 100%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NKE** ▲ | $41.13 → $42.00 | +2.1% | 17h 42m | Won |

MrDinken

Model your cumulative p&l curve in Excel using Jan ‘27 option prices to get your in the money probabilities. Then convert that to delta/number of share exposure. Just because NKE is above $40 now doesn’t mean the probability it will end below $40 is 0%. It’s more like 55%. Once you’ve done that, just buy some Jan ‘27 puts to cancel some of that delta exposure. Because your expected profits is quite high in the $40-$60 range, you probably only need about half of the contracts you need to cover 2,000 shares at a strike of $50, just somewhere you can get a decent fill and pay too much theta/extrinsic value. Whoever sold you the contract is going to have a more sophisticated model than you do, with better access to data. So your goal here is not to win, but to limit your exposure.

Me-Regarded

Cramer said sell NKE. Load the fkn boat boys 🚀🚀

Pereise1

Lol NKE with awful earnings getting its target price lowered across the industry = green

Asmalex

wait my NKE calls aren't completely worthless?

wentwj

NKE has already fallen so you can now get protection from the $60 standpoint without essentially paying for the gap between current and $60. Had you bought a $60 out when it was above $60 that insurance would be cheaper. Any put now will essentially be pricing in the $20 already. You can still buy them instead of the $40s but buying them will basically be about $20 more than buying the $40s unless NKE recovers

Good_Character_20

The payoff you're describing is a barrier put. NKE closes at $40 or above and nothing happens, below $40 you owe (60 minus close) times 2000, so at $39 you owe $42k not $2k. The mismatch between the $40 knock-in barrier and the $60 payoff strike is what makes this hurt once NKE is anywhere near $40. The most exact vanilla hedge is 20 long $60 puts. They pay ($60 - close) × 2000 for close below $60, which matches your obligation exactly below $40 and over-hedges (creates profit) between $40 and $60. Downside is cost. NKE at $39 means each $60 put is already $21 in the money, so 20 contracts run roughly $44k in premium (mostly intrinsic). That's essentially paying today's mark-to-market loss upfront in exchange for fixing your total loss around $44k regardless of where NKE ends up. Cheaper alternative if you think NKE has real odds of recovering above $40: 20 long $40 puts, roughly $10k in premium. Caps your worst case at the $40k barrier jump plus $10k premium ($50k total) below $40, but if NKE closes above $40 you're only out the premium instead of $44k. That's the right structure if you think there's meaningful probability of a rebound. Separately worth asking the counterparty if they'll accept an early buyout at fair mark. "Cannot be terminated early" sometimes means no automatic termination, not no negotiated close-out.

OnceALoser

Buy the dip doesn’t work for me. Got SNAP PYPL NKE ADBE NFLX MSFT on dips. I am sure if I sell these and buy memory stocks, I will tank them too.

MoonsofPluto

They had a one time tariff recovery which masked some underlying performance deterioration [https://www.stockmarketinfo.io/market-cap/NKE](https://www.stockmarketinfo.io/market-cap/NKE) https://preview.redd.it/9metytnqamah1.png?width=1277&format=png&auto=webp&s=db1302ee6d8c1772813bd3fa4ed9cbe7ac35f76a

m1nhuh

Sounds like you need wsb to buy NKE on Dec 31 and push it above $40.

DenzaloSays

I think buying a put with the same expiry or a little longer is the right hedge. The question is which one? If you buy the $60 put it’s going to cost you $40k for 20 contracts and you are unnecessarily protected if NKE ends in the 40-60 range because your clause won’t trigger in that range. But every dollar lower than $40 is covered basically 1:1 as you are losing money on your stock trade but gaining money on your put trade. And don’t forget if the clause does not trigger you’ll still be able to get rid of the puts at that time, but you won’t be getting your full money back. Let’s say it closes at 45 at the end of your agreement and it doesn’t trigger, you’ll be able to sell your puts for $30k after paying $40k for them. Getting some of that hedge back and only losing $10k on the hedge. If it closes above $60 you are out your whole $40k unless you decide to sell the puts before expiration because you feel confident in the other trade. But if you buy $50 puts, that’ll cost around $22k initially. You lose the full $22k above $50, lose some of it between $40-50 (using the $45 example from earlier you should be able to sell these for $10k and have a loss of around $12k) and every dollar under $40 is perfectly hedged Or since all of those scenarios have some loss already, you could buy 20 of the $40 puts for around $10k - you’re still covered for every dollar downward under $40 but you lose all of the $10k for every dollar above it unless you sell it before expiration due to confidence (though it won’t be worth much) So you need to do some math to see what each put does at each strike between $40-60, not just my $45 example; and figure out which scenario you are most comfortable with. Additionally a bit of data I’ll help with is that market makers are currently pricing in a $12 move in either direction by the end of the year. Meaning they’ve priced in a range of $29 - $53 with the price currently at $42. That’s the one standard deviation outcome with \~70% probability. Of course it can go higher or lower as the market is unpredictable but those are the odds

borrokalaria

Hey, NKE bagholders. A quick observation from a recent week-long hiking trip to a national park. About half of the hikers were wearing either HOKA or Merrell. The other half were a mix of everything from KEEN and Columbia to Danner. Nike was maybe 2-3% of the thousands of people that I saw on trails and around town. The brand is doomed IMHO.

ssuurr33

I don’t believe NKE is closing under 40 tbh, but if you’re trying to protect yourself, it’s not the worst idea.

verified-trader

**BanBet Created** ▼ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NKE** | $39.50 (below) | $40.16 | -1.6% | 23h 60m |

SetRestart

!banbet NKE 39.50 1d

Pure_Veterinarian374

Lmao NKE you crazy sumbitch

ShellfishJelloFarts

!p NKE

Pure_Veterinarian374

NKE coming back to life?

BigWarning8696

NKE and META may be the worst run companies since COVID

glasshalfdipped

I had a feeling NKE would tank. Who’s still buying new Jordan drops every month???

Electrical-Salt-7671

I think your approach makes sense in principle. The key question is really the implementation details and how to balance hedge cost. One thing I’m still trying to understand: although the trigger happens when NKE closes below $40, my actual loss starts from the $60 purchase price. For example, if NKE is at $35 at expiration, my loss is $25/share because I’m forced to buy at $60. So I’m wondering whether a $40 put would provide enough protection, or whether the hedge structure should somehow account for the gap between $60 and the market price after the trigger.

Electrical-Salt-7671

I understand the idea, but if I decide to buy shares, I would rather wait until the end of the year. At that point, I may be able to buy at a lower market price, or if NKE is above $40, I may not need to buy at all. Buying shares now would mean taking the downside risk earlier without reducing the obligation itself.

razeusv2

NKE gonna fuck around and get bought out.

azkxv

Why do you think NKE can reverse their decline this quarter ?

verified-trader

**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **NKE** | $43.74 (above) | $41.66 | +5.0% | Jul 2, 10:03 AM |

thisMatrix_isReal

I shorted NKE (earnings tmrw) finger crossed!

boglemydingleregard

What does a racist position look like? Puts on NKE?

PROMlSED

All NKE has to do tomorrow is announce an AI pivot and my 10% OTM calls retire me

Independent_Name_601

NKE Calls, NVDA Puts that’s my strategy.

Complex-Video-2202

Imagine buying calls for NKE, because of earnings 😄

ThinkingOfTheOldDays

There are no catalysts for discretionary consumer brands and NKE in particular is dependent on International sales growth. 

trsx5

NKE calls, just do it.

No-Improvement3164

Rotation out of MU into NKE 😂

Temporary-Basil-3030

1$ short of breaking even on NKE. Don’t do it.

savingstrainagain

No way NKE has completely lost its branding. Now it’s just another shoe company. STAY AWAY FROM THAT TRASH

Sufficient_Habit5091

NKE is attainable luxury for poors and middle drowning in inflation. Top of K shape doesn't buy that shit.

Moepenmoes

At what point is it a good time to buy $NKE? I mean, surely it's going to recover at some point... right?

jcdevel

NKE earnings?

Ninja_Cooter

NFLX got some hopium optimism yesterday and NKE earnings Tuesday can’t possibly be worse than expected since they got a tariff credit.

Ninja_Cooter

Everyone buying the tech dip next week in addition to the end of the saaspocalypse and the resurrection of NKE and NFLX royally fuks your thesis tho

legible_print

Is there any case where NKE can turn it around? I’m seeing the brand everywhere still. Their STC marketing great. Online platform/logistics are still outstanding.

abbykchen

NKE

VegetableResource204

NKE puts most obvious play

IHadTacosYesterday

GG's for NKE. Delete it from your watchlist

Secret-Revolution172

NKE, bought low 80s

jvaritek33c

I'm wheeling NKE, GOOG, and WEN at the moment. The short squeeze stuff certainly helped

KingGarunas

Puts on NKE?

trsx5

I mean who has shares of NKE that they are left selling? People from 2012?

legible_print

What is NKE’s problem exactly? Execution is phenomenal. The online commerce side is great and the logistics of delivery are outstanding. The product remains cool.

Beetlejuice_hero

I just can't imagine a scenario where NKE has a high chance of outperforming the S&P. Brutal, brutal sector. Fast changing trends, changing tastes, competition getting better. Not just about Adidas & Hoka & NB anymore (even UA shoes are improving - I know cause I wear UA to gym). Now formerly joke *Chinese* brands are getting big. Curry signed with Li-Ning.

arbuge00

$NKE is down 75% from its 2021 price. Just saying'...

Tremulant1

NKE down 75% over the last year. This dog gonna turn around?

Spac55

$CAT, is it an AI company ? $NKE also an AI company. Those worker using $CAT tool, using Nike shoes too. $PLTR $SBUX , $IBM , $GOOG , All AI company or not ?

Spac55

$CAT, is it an AI company ? $NKE also an AI company. Those worker using $CAT tool, using Nike shoes too. SBUX , IBM, GOOG, AI company or not ?

SpecialistRecord2065

I completely understand those who say that Nike has lost its touch and that brands like Hoka, On and Adidas have started to emerge more in America. There is truth in these arguments, it is hard to argue with what we are seeing on the streets right now. But if we put aside the hunting sentiment for a moment and look at the numbers – the picture changes. NKE shares have been dragged down to **the $41 area**. To get a sense of the market's insanity: this stock is now trading at a quarter of its price at its peak 4 years ago (which was around $170). The market has simply erased 75% of the value of the world's most powerful sports brand, **while revenues have only fallen by about 10% from their peak**, and is pricing it according to the dress code of a world that has decided that it will now go barefoot. Here's my cold analysis, without marketing stories: 1. A strong return to intermediaries: Nike's biggest mistake in recent years was the pretense of cutting out intermediaries (like Foot Locker) and selling only on its app. This experiment failed, management admitted to the mistake, and the goods are now returning to the shelves in the real world with full force. In my personal opinion, the money is going to follow this logistics much faster than the fearful analysts think. 2. The operational diet: Nike is in the midst of a $2 billion cost-cutting drive. In a sleepy capital market, everyone looks at the top line (revenue) and yawns, but financial statements are not built to reflect revenue alone! In the new lean expense structure, any slight increase of one or two percent in sales (which could emerge as early as this summer thanks to the 2026 World Cup) is going to bounce EPS like a spring loaded. 3. A fortified balance sheet: We’re not talking about a dream stock or a tech company trading at a fantasy multiple and bleeding cash. Nike has one of the strongest balance sheets in the S&P 500 – mountains of cash, debt managed at historically low interest rates, and a dividend yield that, at a floor price of $42, has become a magnet for large institutions. They’re already picking it up under your radar. The bottom line: The stock market is an emotional trend machine in the short term, and a value-scavenging machine in the long term. Buying a company with a crazy business moat (as Buffett says) at a 75% discount to its peak while its business fundamentals are being rebuilt is exactly what separates momentary gamblers from patient value investors. So do your own DD. I just like buying systemic moats when they are temporarily broken. gavrik, https://preview.redd.it/x8mz5j79ug9h1.jpeg?width=407&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9aac000ed33c7b1fce5164390b56157a49e18c58

harbison215

I had a guy on Reddit tell me how he constituently and easily beat the market. When I looked into his comment history, he also was talking about having a six figure stake in NKE. Lol