Reddit Posts
$100 Challenge Day 1- Day Trading is not for me.
The stock market is closed today, but this week is going to be wild
My portfolio vs the market +8.28% , Thanks Pfizer ! (PFE)
My portfolio vs the market +8.28% , Thanks Pfizer ! (PFE)
Entera Bio Attracts Former Pfizer Group President as It Enters a New Phase (NASDAQ: ENTX)
$NVAX: MASSIVE PFIZER PARTNERSHIP + 40% SHORT FLOAT 🔥
Please Convince Me These Pfizer LEAPS Will Expire Worthless: PFE $25 CALL 1/21/2028
A tiny JNJ call position I took for 67 dollars ended up paying almost 18x
What dogs have you sold this year with more than 15% loss
Buying the Dip midday tomorrow after some early selling.
Student with 80,000 dollar buying power, what to do?
PFE Jan '26 $20 Very Unusual Volume - What do you guys think?
Is $LEXX a multi bagger in the making???
ITM CSPs vs buying shares - impact of ex-div date on assignment and liquidity?
Should I sell ? ASST(ps new to trading lost 20 usd with PFE 24.5 call)
What are your thoughts on PFE (Pfizer)?
Is it a good time to get into PFE(Pfizer) right now?
PFE Position… good or bad news coming up tomorrow??
$PFE | Pfizer about to get the shot it needed
Whats your take on big name biotech stocks? PFE, BMY, NVO
Why real companies perform moderately worse than meme like stocks?
Statements by Kennedy that are not very clear are causing quite a bit of intraday volatility in PFE and MRNA.
Trump and RFK Jr. to Ban COVID-19 Vaccine ‘Within Months’
At what moment do you realize the market increase has broadened out
What’s on your position adjustment watchlist?
What are the long term stock holdings you are trimming right now?
Hold or Sell....When Is It Best to Sell and Cut Your Losses
Pfizer (PFE) quarterly earnings of $0.78 per share, beating the Estimate of $0.58 per share.
Built a tool to easily run monte carlo simulation.
$MDGL Madrigal - Baker Bros Windfall again like $SGEN
CRDF - Positive Data From Randomized Phase 2 Trials
Here is PFE loss porn from “value” investing. Should have bought OPEN
[Discusión] Mis 3 elecciones para comprar y mantener: PFE, ZENA y Oro
Raymond James says ACHV will surge to $20 (it's at less than $3 now) — big opportunity ahead
The Portfolio I’d Build If I Worked at Berkshire Today
I saved a years worth of my salary working at Burger King, what should I do with it?
What are the losers you keep holding and think they would come back? and why?
$NTLA - FDA wants Cures, Intellia is Delivering, Asymmetrical Bet.
Let's try like this - I bought today AES and PFE
Unh with other companies with similar drop
(05/12) Interesting Stocks Today - Major Reductions in Tariffs!
Next week's big pharma drug pricing crackdown rumors
Congress has been up to some interesting stuff this week
Congress has been making some interesting moves this week
CVKD Quick breakdown, Collab with Abbott, FDA orphan drug designation, fast track and more
CVKD Quick breakdown, Collab with Abbott, FDA orphan drug, fast track, analyst coverage and more
CVKD Quick breakdown, Collab with Abbot, FDA Orphan drug, fast track, analyst coverage and more
Eli Lilly Soars 14% in Pre-Market After Weight-Loss Pill Results Rival Ozempic’s
Not financial advice but would like opinions
Any advice on what to YOLO on this week?
How I am Positioning myself in the Markets going into 2024
Does FSR really look like a buy or YOLO?
Mentions
$NFLX $NKE $PFE undervalued, when all options gambling semi
I’m doing the same thing. Going even higher on margin (only 28% equity percentage). But to limit risk, I am letting covered calls run ITM as much as possible. So if for some reason the market or an individual stock tanks I won’t get a margin call. I do leave a slight buffer on the 28% too. My overall strategy then is to roll on down days. This maximizes the amount of credit on the roll. If for some reason the stock tanks sharply, I close out or let the calls expire worthless then regroup. I just did this for SOFI…16.5/17.0 strike calls went worthless post earnings, then I sold 17.5 strike CCs once the stock popped up again. I don’t panic when the stock goes way ITM. Either it comes back down later, or it gets called away and capital goes elsewhere. I do think it will help to diversify, especially don’t get all stocks that swing together. If gas prices shoot up, your portfolio goes down in unison, especially F and AAL. Try adding healthcare stocks like PFE, consumer staples like GIS or GAP, maybe even precious metals like SLV as a buffer. OP feel free to PM me. Would love to bounce ideas around with someone working the same strategy!
I was watching a clip from opening bell during October 2008 crash and watching tickers and valuation. PFE was 25$ lol
PFE calls 25.50. Will be $27 by Friday
I may throw a little at SNAP, PFE and OPEN just for fun.
ok here it comes. PLTR calls but might be flat. ABTC calls. MAR puts. PFE calls....fuck I just realize. Calls on everything this week if bought on monday. WOW. Literally no puts.
Viagra. All in on PFE! Wait, their patent expired ages ago...SPCX it is, then.
This is such a snooty comment. Just put your money in a long term stock for a while. Day trading isn’t actually “investing”. Collect some dividends like the rich do. Here are some good bets. **Verizon Communications (VZ):** Yields about 6.72% and operates in the communication services sector. **Pfizer (PFE):** Yields about 7.12% and operates in the healthcare sector. **PepsiCo (PEP):** Yields about 4.31% and operates in the consumer defensive sector. \[[1](https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/10-best-dividend-stocks)\]
I may as well buy boring ass PFE for the 6%+ yield instead of losing 10%/day on SNDK
REITs and healthcare. REITs AMT WELL O HEALTHCARE PFE MRK Made 300% on July calls for PFE. I used to work in the pension industry at a very large investment fund and I’m quite familiar with how they rebalance throughout the quarters. My personal theory is that there has been a rotation with options where companies are not placing long-term bets and are using options to target more specific exposures on shorter time frames like 1 to 3 months to stay within a quarter. Something like 80% of all QQQ options are less than one week of expiration right now. Each quarter end option expiration seems to be larger so I have noticed that these cycles of lower beta assets seem to rotate ahead of the rest of the crowd. Same with XLE energy. Take any of the sector ETF and look at the top 10 companies and all I’ve done is pick one or two of them that seemed to have options volume or and cyclical volatility on the 1H and 1D charts. Just like anything in life such as a sports team or your own dog if you intimately track it and observe its patterns and moves every single day you’ll probably pick up some tendencies and repeated patterns. REITs don’t have a premarket or post market generally so that itself is divergence from the norm and has game theory components. Are stocks with less volume and less market hours still traded the same algorithmically? You’ll have to find out.
Time to look for boring dividends $NKE $DIS $WHR $PFE $JNJ and so on When all running out of semi, money rotated to safe house
I was flat today (again) as well. It seems that healthcare is making up for my loses in tech -- LLY, ABBV, PFE, BMY, ABT, and MDT are my healthcare holding.
(1) do you have any proof about Sburry underperforming? I found performance between 2000-2008, he beat the market almost every single year and then he made bank with his big short bet. (2) I don't subscribe to his Substack, and I don't think one should if they just want to copy his trades, his plays get posted online anyways. But I think you are just looking at it the wrong way. Sburry plays are value and take a very long time to play out, sometimes they don't even have a specific catalyst and they fail to ever come back or take years. As sburry once said, *imagine a company that was worth 100 and now trades at 10. The value investor thinks it's worth 30, so he buys. But the company has become so detached from its fundamentals, that it drops back to 5. Now the value investor is down 50%. Eventually, he will be up 200% (500% from the bottom). But in the meantime, everyone thinks he is an idiot.* \--- (3) I do not recommend Sburry plays and I do not believe in his stock picking for long term. What you should actually do, is reading through Sburry analysis. That is very interesting and it's usually pretty good quality. Sometimes it's biased sure, draw your own conclusions. Fundamentals are impossible to ignore long term. You can make money in different ways, couple examples of his past good plays: PLTR short, PFE longs, PYPL, healthcare bets. Even NVDA puts printed at some point, but I bet he still holds them. (4) His worst pick was probably LULU, which is underwater now, down 50% from Sburry entry. It has to be seen if it will ever recover or not. All retails got destroyed this year, there is a chance the stock is good but the sector is bad. It's not like he told you to buy NKE at 30PE, LULU has like 10 PE. And they are both underwater this year. If you got shares you will be fine.
Real estate REITs and healthcare? I’ve made like 500% on O realty calls and Pfizer calls lately. PFE has gapped up the last week. Find companies in the top 10 of a sector etf and track them. Healthcare MRK ABBV PFE GILD REITs O AMT WELL
Just enough to be compliant with PFE requirements… for now
Follow the 10-q/k reports.... and in particular, revenue and margin trends. Especially if the former is consistently shrinking? 10 years is way too long to hang on and hope. Even 5 years is probably too much. Dig into leadership changes and study turnaround plans (and then track the 10-Qs to see if the plans/promises hold water). I mentioned PFE - it's my current dog - but sometimes? You give up too soon. My PFE inverse is CVS. I liked the idea behind their spree acquiring prescription services. I thought it would work, but take time. Alas? I was impatient and gave up too soon.
Pfizer/PFE. RX stocks are a crapshoot anyway, especially the large cap RX's. The small caps - you can pretty much just follow/place bets on various stage level trials. But the big ones? It's all pipelines and patents. PFE's pipeline is still shit. I know I should dump it. Not that I necessarily chase dividends, but the yield is still healthy and the position is small enough that I continue to just carry the dog in the hopes it figures something out. The debt load is getting troublesome, but the margins are still great. Flat/declining revenue (but, see pipeline troubles). For now, I'm continuing to give it more rope.... We'll see how much longer that continues. When year-end comes and I start thinking tax optimization and maybe time to harvest some losses, PFE will be at the front of the line.
Where is that guy that talked shite about PFE? I have calls on it so stfu
**"Wow, today's a red day! Perhaps I should buy more NVO and a bit of PFE?"** \-r/valueinvesting
oday’s pick: PFE (Pfizer). Watching the $23.58-$26.06 entry zone, with a short-term target around $31 and a potential 10%-30% upside over the next 1-15 days.
I think these explanations are just made up after the fact, but there was a little rotation into defense this morning. I know when I see PFE and KO spring up in my port the tech stocks are going to be down.
I know today is going to be rough when I see the PFE and KO mooning in my port
I like UPS and PFE, both solid balance sheets with a 6% yield. A little higher risk is BGS with a double digit dividend. XOM at about 4% also worth a look.
What do you all think about PFE. It seems to be kicked down and down for way too long. Can't seem to be able to make my mind on call put or do nothing. What's the catch with this one?
Zero semis. been trading BA, BABA, HD, PFE, AMZN, CRM, WMT, F, LEN and other stuff. Ive traded the SOX short and long, but sure ain't holding semis
after hours volume is saying buy calls on CMCSA IBIT ETHA PFE ONDS thank me later
Some depressed non tech stocks I like are $PFE and $DPZ.
Healthcare sector is up and PFE at lows. What is going on with this stock?
Even those are run up too much. I liked PFE and then some bad trial news, not so sure now
When a company starts pumping for seemingly no reason - "Woah did STOCK cure cancer or something?!" PFE actually making solid progress in curing or treating cancer - "Dump that shit the CFO left"
If there was a 24/7 market it would cause mass anxiety therefore causing people to need anxiety meds. Thus $PFE leaps
PFE has been a "value buy" for the last 2 decades and it went nowhere. Its the same story every single time.
PFE literally on the path to curing cancer and still drilling into the dirt just because a CFO is leaving. Love this market.
As a fellow MRNA & PFE holder, I'll add that you might also wanna check out NVO. I just picked some up last week, under a similar value thesis to PFE. NVO doesn't have the pipeline that PFE does, but what it does have is LLY way out in front of it. AFACIT there's just no longer any reason NVO should be lagging LLY as hard as it is. I still like MRNA and PFE more, but I've got room for multiple bets as I rotate into healthcare.
It's an S&P health care ETF, it's not anything crazy. LLY, UNH, PFE, JNJ, etc
Yes to both. PFE is a good 10-15% of what I got. It makes divi and is cheap, they acquired a ton of stuff, cut fat, and have a 100 drug deep pipeline. They are at the end of a pivot. Execution this year will make it growth+divi ideal.
PFE at 26 is still an amazing deal. 6.5% divi like clockwork and a pivot in the works. Also rode mRNA from 26 this year and it is going to have even more upside when profitable 2027.
Healthcare is also largely recession proof if you’re worried about one. Last I checked, most of healthcare was undervalued. I was early on PFE and mRNA last year, but I like this play now. Problem is that it ain’t sexy. I may follow you on this.
PFE too. It’s been mentioned a few times by 🥭 and they are building new facilities in Michigan right now.
My defensive portfolio is holding mostly green. PG ABBV BRK-B TGT HD CI UNH PFE and APPL are on the red edge tho
Exactly - and as per recent NRs the business development room is hot 🔥 “We are experiencing record-high levels of business development and collaboration interest in our DehydraTECH platform, even before the upcoming BIO conference; said Richard Christopher, CEO of Lexaria Bioscience. Although confidential information, by its nature, cannot be publicly disclosed, Lexaria’s BD program has already generated a number of collaborative and potential business partnering discussions with a wide range of companies from innovative smaller biotech developers to well-known global pharmaceutical giants.” $LLY $NVO $VKTX $PFE
VOO #1 VXUS #2. Stocks…MO, ABBV, IRM MAYBE PFE
> Everything is so inflated In 2023, lots of people on here said that NVDA was overvalued and to buy cheap PYPL instead, or the tons of people on here who kept pushing PFE instead of LLY because "PFE was cheap and had an obesity drug too." PYPL and PFE are much lower than they were 3 years ago while NVDA and LLY are multiples of their 2023 prices. I'm not saying that a lot of the market isn't expensive, but 1) buying the cheap but worse thing is not always a good idea and 2) it's to a point with this sub and wanting to be bearish and contrarian where the true peak of valuation will probably be when the majority of this sub gives in and starts liking the market. "Right but how severe will the correction be? " How many people on here went to cash in March because of geopolitics only to have tech stocks go vertical off the end March lows? People scrambling to avoid a what, 10% market correction (which used to be considered healthy and normal?) This sub doomposted right through the correction and continues to, much like it did last year. At some point it really becomes, build a portfolio you can sit with and stick to it and not invest with one foot constantly out the door and feeling like you have to micromanage every day. People making investing way more stressful than it needs to be.
Today... BA, PFE, LTC, DG, ELF, GLD, META, ..MU at close
That would be interesting. My PFE and LTC boring divi stocks did well too, actually most of my stuff. I missed most of the semi rally which I hate, thought this war thing and oil would be fixed so housing and HD, and LEN , etc might move. Nope...just semis every damn day. I shorted them cuz I hated them
This was tech possibly starting a correction. Healthcare and Financials were green today. JPM, UNH, ABBV, MO, PFE, O. SPY is right where we were prior to the AI run up.
ABBV, PFE, MO, UNH, JPM, O were green. I sold JPM so there is a 99% chance it gaps up on Monday. Trimmed UNH too so there ya go! lol
KO, PFE, WM, AVY, TMO, DHR, Or just SPHD to ride out the storm.
Both are dividend stocks. PFE also up
Doing your own research helps. I also think that the restriction on certain analysis here creates a barrier to this, particularly with the cannabis sector, as many opportunities are, by their very nature, outside of common knowledge. I had a recent analysis I had to post elsewhere. Maybe the policy is a net benefit, but it will undoubtedly restrict proliferation of certain information which could be lucrative in the future. There are very few companies that yield such impressive short term returns without being obscure. There are always companies that are positioning to grow aggressively, REITs that are paying outsized returns without dilution or capital erosion, and zero to hero stories. There are a larger number of the inverse: Big companies that are about to catastrophically fail, REITs that dilute and erode into insolvency, and once great companies that go the way of Sears, Kodak, etc. It's also worth remembering that someone who turns 30k into $1 million and then realizes that will only walk away with 500-700k, give or take, depending on where they live. That's a lot of money, but a pile of cash is only as good as the income you can turn it into. Don't get me wrong, those returns are amazing, but if that's the only big hit they get over 50 years in the market they won't beat VOO or similar broad market funds. If you keep buying good companies with solid financials that you would be happy to own for 10-20 years then eventually you'll find one that will make dramatic returns. For me, one of those was NVDA, but I've also seen significant returns from RIO, EPD, some cannabis stocks I can't mention here, AMZN, UMC, and a few others. I bought each of these companies because I thought they were excellent companies at a fair price. I have many other positions which have had modest returns over the years: O, PFE, XOM, and a few others. I don't regret owning these companies, but it's important to remember that this usually follows a Pareto distribution, where 20% of your stocks will account for 80% of your gains, and 1% will account for 50%. So my advice is this: Just buy companies that you think will do well over the next decade or two, re-evaluate periodically, and eventually you'll find one that unexpectedly blows past your expectations. Also, avoid selling your winners and holding your losers, and avoid making snap decisions and impulse purchases/sales.
KVUE and PFE are the two i like the most. I dont bother with dividend companies i dont know well.
Not exactly timing the top but rotating into defensive healthcare $PFE because $SPCE people are scaring me
Well I bought META and PEP and they both went down. I bought WMT and it went down. Let’s see I bought PFE and it went down. I sold a Put on RTX and it went down. I think I’m think good for now.
No. NFLX, QS, IONQ, BB, PFE etc etc etc. I could name 20+ tickers that id take over MU at MUs current price in a port that is 30% exposed to it. Get that back to 5%-10% exposure, put it into bluechips and take some fresh risks in QS/BB/IONQ
He name dropped PFE this week too.
HD, WMT, BA, PFE... Housing, consumer goods, building supplies. All that stuff is moving as it was hit hard by oil prices
One of these days between here and the end of June you are going to wake up to the biggest PFE rally you ever seen in your life
IBRX will be in the $20’s easily and DDD could be between $10-$30. I’m already collecting 25k annually in divs from F and PFE have a paid off property and renting another out for almost 3k a month that’s 75k away from being paid off. I’m thinking yeah, 2030 is pretty realistic based on my current setup but thanks for your projection!
CLX, PFE or similar stocks. Beaten up price but still good companies with strong track record. Or go schd. Perhaps rsp if you think we won't have a recession and the market will eventually broaden out with growth. If the market continues to run the dividends are decent. If the market collapses they both have great dividend histories and will likely pay well through a downturn while the market in general goes down. Tech could continue to run, but history suggests fairly strongly that concentration of the sp500 doesn't last long at these levels. Either the stocks involved collapse back to earth or the rest of the market has to take off in a massive broadening out. Who here thinks conditions are going to support a massive broadening out of the market? Who here thinks the broader market is struggling mightily from a whole host of issues that makes broadening out highly unlikely? The most likely resolution is the AI companies either fall back hard at some point or they trade sideways for a long period of time while the rest of the market slowly expands to shrink the concentration. That could happen soon or in several years or over several years. No idea. But buying those stocks right now is a bet on a different outcome that flies in the face of how concentration gets resolved. That's nothing against the companies themselves, just the stock price and market cap have gotten to absurd levels. NVDA for example is over 5 trillion dollars which is 3x the gdp of Mexico or 1.5x the gdp of France. Think about that for a minute. Are you seriously buying the idea that a single company, any single company should be worth that much relative to the gdp of either of those nations? Just to maintain its market cap that company has to continue to grow at some incredible rate well above the rate of inflation so it's expected to become even bigger relative to the rest of the economy. Idc what company you are that is a fantasy and it will run into trouble long before that price can be justified.
I’ve been buying ADBE this year. I also have positions in TTD and OMC. Been buying PRGO and PFE and NVO. I’ve had some big winners and wanted to get into some really beaten up names. It huge positions, but some of them will turn around. I only need to be right on a couple.
Insurance like ALL or PGR (PGR is 15% of my portfolio). Pharma like JNJ or Merck. PFE has a nice dividend. everyone oughta have an energy stock of some sort like CVX, XOM, or just buy the XLE etf. Hold something outside the us like EWZ or EWC. I think this AI event is a wave, like Josh brown said. It’ll end like everything does, but you’ve gotta ride it.
While you nerds are over there all fondling over at MU. I bought more : $LLY $PFE Lets gooo
NKE and PFE cooking, boomers eating as usual
KHC, DOW, PFE, NKE, are looking forward to your investment
>Market Sure w/e. I hate 🌈🐻s too. >Samsung, INTC, and semis like SOXX/SMH They've gone exponentially nuclear. They aren't to the moon but past Uranus. I've sold out of my INTC and gone to VOO. Cause I'm old enough to remember the last time this happened. I'll settle with my 3-4x or so. Even if folks aren't old enough or weren't into markets for the 90s .com boom, it's not like we hadn't seen this pattern with one-trick-pony pandemic winners like PTON/ZOOM/PFE/SNAP, meme stocks like GME/BBBY/AMC, crypto/NFTs, 2020-2021 junk IPO/SPACs like [HKD](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/xeaavv/hkd_47_this_morning_half_an_hour_ago_it_hit_275/), etcetcetc. Anything with the potential to go nuclear on the upside also has the potential to do so on the downside.
The best way to go for individual stocks is when the top 200 Bln or more S&P companies are drastically dropped, buy them, hold long. I monitor such stocks and buy them at near bottom like PFE ($20), T and VZ, MSFT ($375) LLY ($625) , UNH ($240) and Recently NVO at $38 etc. When such companies are crashing you will obviously notice it, but need confidence to invest in it.
PFE. I'm not sure if it's all or what, maybe bigger paying divided kings or som6
You guys should invest in companies like PGR (insurance) and PFE(Pfizer) much more stable
Hey guys we have been doing a great job pumping DOW this year but let's not forget KHC and PFE tomorrow.
Im a long term holder. I had to sell a bunch of shares around 2018, they are all up a little from my sale price now, but that's to be expected some 8 years later. I made money on all but one, so its all good such is life. My only real regret was the one that I lost money on, selling GE back then and holding PFE. I'd make that swap in hindsight.
✍️ STOCK VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) ———-—- 6.2% Healthpeak Properties Inc. (DOC) — 6.2% Pfizer Inc. (PFE) —————————— 6.5% United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) —- 6.6% Best Buy Co. Inc. (BBY) ——————- 6.6% Kraft Heinz Co. (KHC) ———————- 6.8% General Mills Inc. (GIS) ——————— 6.8% Campbell's Co. (СРВ) ———————- 7.3% Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG) ————- 9.8%
Deja vu of the month leading up to the wuhan virus, might as well buy some MRNA and PFE calls while you're at it
ARVN and PFE are in the final stages of selecting a third-party partner with specialized capabilities to maximize the market potential of Veppanu.
It's a great time to sell both PFE puts and calls. You are selling?
Shhhh, I hold PFE. It's gonna moon 🚀🚀
All the pandemic plays are starting to move. PFE, HD, NFLX, etc...
Watch PFE come out with a vaccine
Adding PFE to the watch list.
Sweet, my NVO and PFE might moon
NVO good news, PFE, good earnings and guide, drugs showing promise and 6.5% ex divided Friday if you are into that. Not biotech in the way you might be looking, but close, safer
There were so many penny stocks that were trade-able because of Covid. In the end, it was JNJ PFE and MRNA. They’re expensive. I hope the Hanta news comes to the stocks again. I thrived during the last pandemic. I have been lost since. Let’s go pandemic 2.0!
My problem with PFE is it's low $ price. Contract fees eat my profit. Otherwise it looks solid. Good luck.
I think dump uber when you hit your number or brake even. make a little capital to buy SNDK after the split (the split coming soon) DIS SPX should be all long term. PFE looks like a ball and chain. Don't get involved in COIN or SNAP my opinion
Updating my stupid AI further Results from yesterday's suggestions: * UBER long ✅ * AMD long ✅ * MSTR long ✅ (exited this morning before it dropped - it didnt swing much in general but still some gains) * DIS short ❌ (I did some other runs and it recommended long, but I stuck with the original suggestion) * SPX short ❌ * PFE long 💤 (nothing happend) Today it is suggesting: SNAP long, COIN long, OIL long, SPX long
the strategy has a real edge but the diversification piece is doing less work than it looks. COST, WMT, and MA all load heavily on the consumer defensive plus rate sensitivity factor. when markets de risk into staples and rates pull back, all three rip together. when rates spike or recession sentiment hits, all three sell off together. you've got three names that read uncorrelated by sector code but trade like one factor bet. running the same BPS structure on all three at the same DTE compounds that single exposure rather than diversifying it. the gamma piece at 10 to 15 DTE matters more than the IV piece on low IV names. with strikes near ATM the short put gamma accelerates inside the last 5 days. if a name moves 2 percent against you on day 12, you can be at 0.30 delta short. on day 4 with the same 2 percent move you are at 0.45 to 0.50 delta. the win rate stays at 90 plus percent but the average loss when you do take one is fat enough to eat 8 to 10 wins. that's the actual risk, not the headline win rate. the structural improvement that addresses both is staggering DTEs (some 30 day, some 14 day, some weekly) across the three names rather than all 10 to 15 DTE. that smooths the gamma profile and keeps you from being caught with all positions at peak gamma during a single regime shift. plus rotating in a name with different factor loading (energy, healthcare like Groucho's PFE point, materials) for the same systematic approach kills the hidden correlation.
Like it. I do the same with PFE. Also own the stock so I can collect dividends and throw covered calls at it when it gets overbought. This protects against the inevitable deflating that happens once excitement surrounding FDA approvals runs out of steam.
I vibecoded myself a little AI trader, wish me luck. LONG: UBER, AMD, MSTR, PFE SHORT: DIS, SPX If it is wrong I am just going to inverse it, cant go wrong right
I been bullish on PFE for a long time. Well maybe not bullish since their dividends hedge against their own volatility but I still have a lot and like it.
Let’s goooo PFE 🚀 Loaded up on May 8 $27c for hella cheap yesterday