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Turned 18 today. My gains since I started trading at 15.
Hot Stocks: TRMR, CARA drops on earnings; WW jumps nearly 80%; TDW hits 52-week high
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AMZN NBIS AMD OPEN GRAB MRVL BAH ASTH TDW Maybe UNH? This has been a real POS in my portfolio, though I bought it at during the recent 50% fall. So no loss yet, but looks like it has run into some many controversies
**TDW** \- **Tidewater Inc.** P/E: 15.95 52 Week Range: 31.17 - 108.44. CMP: 52.05 **ASTH** \- **Astrana Health, Inc.** P/E: 16.9 52 Week Range: 23.12 - 63.2. CMP: 25.09 **MRVL** \- **Marvell Technology, Inc.** P/E: 25.84 52 Week Range: 47.09 - 127.48. CMP: 71.54 Thank me after 6 months.
Not sure why, but offshore drillers are having a fantastic day. NE, VAL, TDW, RIG.
TDW is my first "keep buying no matter what" stock, albeit short term. Kept going even at the start of April, and it's doing pretty well
ASTS earnings thoughts? Calls way too expensive, I bought shares in 401k. Also bought tons of SDRL shares - look at the action on VAL, NE, and TDW this week post earnings. Calls were pretty cheap too. June 20 $20c were 4.40 when the stock was at 23.95. Won’t be a 10 bagger though
TDW and other offshore are very cyclical. I've been building a position in VAL. NE another interesting name. There's some really good value write ups on the sector if you browse Substack.
Apart from TDW, I've been watching LPG and TEN forever. Might consider getting in TEN soon
I don’t own either but it’s interesting that a couple stocks I’ve been watching for a couple years just tank with no end in site. ON and TDW both down about 63% from their peak
I’ve been burned on offshore many times so would also echo advice here to tread carefully. If you’re into this sector thematically also look at VAL TDW RIG and some servicing like SLB and HAL
Ok real talk guys. Bears give me your input. I’m very bearish, loaded on long puts and Tslq. What names are you looking to go long on, and when? I’ve dabbled in GOOGL and some offshore oil services (VAL/TDW) obviously most tech is nowhere near buy prices and I’m not interested in 5% dividend stocks. VAL and TDW are my highest conviction longs, 5% total size together. Target is +100% in 3 years or less.
TDW leaps. see you in 12 months when I'm either broke or driving a G Wagon
Thanks for the info on tankers! I bought TDW too early so I've been slowly averaging down, and I've been eyeing LPG for natural gas.
$TDW to $40? Oil and gas getting hit this morning across the board looks like
TDW is almost below $50 at this point. You can make a killing on LEAPS when oil prices rebound.
Yikes those TDW earnings do not look good
TDW looks like it's bounced off support and it's at the 10-day MA.
Right now, the price movement is still unattractive. TDW hasn't found a floor; today, it broke the $60 support level from early January and is still trending below all its MAs.
Hoping TDW makes it to $50. Will be looking to load up there
TDW continues to fall like a rock on Jupiter.
Really watching TDW. Trigger finger ready.
Looks like the VAL earnings report might be the spark under offshore....TDW also up pre market.
Price movement is still atrocious and it's trending below all its moving averages. TDW will probably fall below $58 before reversing momentum.
TDW…drill baby drill. When should we start buying?
TDW seems ludicrously cheap looking 2+ years out. I was mildly interested at $80....and about 25% more interested now at $60. At this point it could see $55 or $50 by earnings.
> The mods removed it for "no spam or self promotion" for some reason, oh well, guess I'll just keep my thoughts to myself. It was the Twitter link. Preliminary thoughts: Based on the neural net data I've been perusing over the summer, I believe Permian shale production is going to roll over in 2025/2026. The massive increase in tight oil in the last decade has primarily come from drilling the most productive wells in Tier 1 regions - "high-grading" in industry parlance - and frontloading the gains. If my thesis is correct and high-grading was the driving force, we should see the Permian decline in a similar way to Eagle Ford and Bakken between now and 2030. Considering 90% of all non-OPEC production growth since 2015 has come solely from this region, it will reverse the dearth of capex in the oil & gas industry. "Capital discipline" and offshore investment are antithetical - no company will invest billions into a drilling rig that takes decades to pay off unless they believe oil prices will have a higher floor than current prices. We've seen the majors rely on M&A and partnerships in foreign countries instead of dedicating their own capital to projects. If the specter of tight supply gains a foothold in futures, offshoring becomes economically feasible again. On a company-by-company basis, VAL and RIG are dead in the water (pun intended). TDW and NE are the top choices. With a supply crunch in ships looming on the horizon, I slightly prefer TDW as the play on this subsector.
Here's the response I wrote up before it was deleted.... I looked into TDW for awhile, and it's still on the watchlist. I think lots extremely cheap here if they hit their earnings projections.... however my understanding of offshore is that they do really well at high oil prices (offshore tends to have higher break even prices, I'm told) and I'm not particularly bullish on that. Investtalk often describes offshore drilling as a leveraged bet on oil prices because they are barely profitable when oil is cheap, but really profitable with high prices. The offshore services seem like a leverage to the leverage.
Do you still like TDW here?
TDW rising back up $77. Discount window looks like it's closing soon.
I have taken a nibble on $TDW at sub-70. It was a couple weeks back I saw a redditor warn that it was a last chance to get in under 90
I’ve seen $TDW brought up here before, I’m keeping an eye on it, might take a starter today, I’ve got a small limit order for 79.99. Anyone else?
I passed over TDW for some other tickers, but I think it's a great play. The nonexistent book orders, shrunken number of active shipyards, and general aging of global fleets mean supply will be constrained until the early 2030s. Meanwhile TDW holds a near-monopoly in the OSV subsector so it will garner all the additional profits from rate increases. My main concern is that projected growth is already getting priced in; sub-$90 is probably the best opportunity you'll have to BTD. I'm pretty sanguine about the shipping industry in general.
Does anyone have a position in TDW? Some of the future projections I see make it look incredibly cheap. [Looks](https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/tdw/forecast/) to be around 9x 2025 estimates and 6x 2026.... I see Bob Robotti has sold some shares recently, but he's also up big on it and it is still 37% of his portfolio....just to counter the insider selling remarks that are sure to come.....
Recently bought ADYEY and MELI, but both ran after earnings. CAAP still cheap. IBKR is still pretty cheap for a great company. A few financial services forms sold off recently on some pending rule changes, LPLA and AMP are two I can think of. Lastly, some odd value plays like HCC, HLDR, NFE are potentially cheap longer term. LXU and TDW too, depending on your forecast. These are some literally off the top of my head worth looking into.
Disney doesn’t look bad they just did that huge investment with epic games ( Fortnite ) and has a lot of green volume that has been adjusted yet from this year I’m not sure about Reddit since I’m not sure about their future plans as a company. TDW the post company is an offshore tow company think of it as the AAA company of the oceans it doesn’t matter about the other companies or major changes because their business will always be needed
I’d DCA it over 53 years, timing the market with each meticulously placed dollar, laughing all the way to the ba…well, to my funeral, cuz I’d be old af at that point. I’d spend it all on a short call option (ending this Friday, of course) using TDW as my vehicle. Real talk, G.
Is anyone looking at TDW or FLNT?
So I bought TDW $75 calls yesterday for 3/15 even though I know nothing about the company other than they drill for oil. Looks like they missed earnings but the stock is up $4 in PM? I need to dump this shit, right?
SOFi, ALLY, MSFT, INTC, TDW
Bought me some TDW and LKNCY on the dip. Not gay enough yet to buy puts.
Listen to this guy. I've been holding $TDW since 11 and $RIG since 2. You're not early buying not, but you also aren't late. Both likely will triple from current prices at the peak of this cycle.
TDW - Tidewater. Earnings on 8/7 AMC. 5-year high. SMCI - Super Micro Computer. Earnings 8/8 AMC. Has gone stratospheric this year to an insane high. PRI - Primerica. Earnings 8/7 AMC. Also near all-time high. I'm also looking at UPST but after the drop today I won't be involved on the 8/8 earnings unless it runs back up. The last two positions I've closed were MTZ puts for 500% gain and ROK puts for 420% gain.
Offshore oil is where its at: Drillers, service and exploration. TDW, RIG, DO, GEOS, SDRL, BORR, GIFI, GMS...
Essentially the entire offshore oil sector is entering the early stages of a multi year super cycle. Demand is increasing at fast rates while supply remains low. What's unique about this cycle is that even if companies wanted to increase supply, they literally can't until 2026 or 2027 when newbuild yards have open slots. I think $RIG goes to 20-25 and $TDW to 120-150 in this cycle. Unsure if I will stick around that long though, really depends what new asymmetrical themes pop up and if its worth moving to those.
In $VST On the odd chance that $VST pops off on Monday I'm looking to move into $TTI Random ones I'll also be watching Monday... $WTTR $UNM $TK $TDW
$TDW+A shares in the toilet for Tidewater Inc, [whose ordinary shares fell near ten percent today.](https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDW:NYSE) Thoughts? Class A seems perfect if you wanna a larger voice in the company idk https://preview.redd.it/sgxp5ni3pixa1.png?width=500&format=png&auto=webp&v=enabled&s=ded7ae3b7f389d75aaeab854a38fa020b7ef589d > Tidewater, Inc. is a publicly traded international petroleum service company headquartered in Houston, Texas, U.S. It operates a fleet of ships, primarily providing vessels and marine services to the offshore petroleum and offshore wind industries.
I bought a ton of TDW, hpk, pump, slb, val, and borr
Real Estate: Zillow -Z Oil: Tidewater - TDW Oil Tanker: Teekay- TNK & Frontline FRO Dividend: CTO Reality Growth - CTO Consumer Lending: Lendingtree - TREE Uber Google Amazon Wayfair
>Now that The West wants to be less reliant on China for their rare earth minerals deep sea mining could be an option. Alright, so there are no proper stocks for this. However what do you need for Deepsea mining? Mining Support ships. So I would look at the offshore mining companies that mainly have support ships (like TDW).
XLE, even after the dip, is up 44% this year Some of the smaller cap O&G stocks were not that risky and have doubled. For example, TDW is up 161% YTD with a 1.5B market cap. Other OFS stocks like VAL and NE have also done well, but not as well as TDW.
Still waiting for SPY to reach resistance to go short at declining 200ma. Should coincide with DXY at rising 200ma, near 105. Looks like we aren't going to hit it this week though. I'll be in Vegas next week so if I miss the big short entry I'll be pissed. Several energy names have beautiful flags. TDW, RES, PUMP. Also liking IIPR and NRDS. Natgas giving off some serious bear flag vibes. Good luck everyone!
TDW is the only shipping stock I’m in now…. extremely flat for months
For years I have been keeping an Excel file with my accounts ending monthly balance. For my TDW account it is easy to download the end of day balance and average this for the month. With this I can remove the deposits or withdrawals for that month to create a crude monthly rate of return. I keep a running 12 month total to get an APR that is mathematically pretty close. For my IB account this is not so easy so I just use the balance at the end of the month. But with IB they calculate a TRR in the monthly report you can run. Next it is easy to compare these returns to SPY or QQQ or any index you want. I sometimes make charts because I am a visual person. Get good at understanding percentages. It is pretty easy. Calculate them yourself before trusting a tool. It is sometimes hard to understand exactly how caned reports are generated. It is essential to objectively grade yourself if you are going to be a serious trader. That is the best way to learn. BTW, I almost always beat the market, the exception being crashes where I choose to continue to hold positions and can't know how deep the crash will be. In the long run most rebound, thus the need to keep charting your progress. Happy trading.
Just throwing this out there, cuz not many ppl are prolly watching this, but follow the oil companies and offshore oil/energy in particular for the long term... Transocean (RIG) is up over the past year, Tidewater (TDW) has doubled in value over the last year, and as someone who works in the US Offshore oil supply side everything is slowing ramping up down here, and companies are pulling boats out of stack to work and the rig count is up to 25/26 from 14 last year
> yea lets use two different stocks XD Yes, let's use two different stocks. Because opportunity cost is an actual thing. The money you have invested in GME can't be invested in other investment vehicles. There is an opportunity cost to every investment. That's the entire point of this discussion. Averaging down is not maximizing your profits, it's your way of trying to catch a falling knife. All of that cash you used to average down from $200 to $164, and you *still haven't made money on GME*. What would your returns be if you had invested in TDW? What would your returns be if you had invested in SOFI when it was at $5/share? What would your returns be if you had invested in NUTX? There is a significant opportunity cost in averaging down. You're giving up the ability to invest in other investment vehicles.
Okay. Great. So you *are* incapable of answering a simple question. The person who bought at $120 makes more profit. Specifically in your example, that person makes $100 more than you did. Now, let's say on that run up, you buy more shares to average down again. Now you have 20 shares at, say, $128 DCA. The stock goes up to $140. That's $240 worth of profit for you, and $200 for the other person. You've averaged down to "maximize" your profits, and look at that, now you have $40 more...worth of GME. But the other person who didn't have that bad initial investment bought 112 shares of TDW for the same investment dollars that you used to averaged down on GME. In that same time period, TDW went from $12/share to $27/share. They've profited $1,680 on TDW. For the same amount of investment for you used averaging down, they made $1680 to your $190. So explain how averaging down maximized your profits?
Sold out of EOLS and TDW completely. Not my normal sell rules but they feel extended and I've been taking profits a bit quicker in this environment. 50ma reclaim and flag breakout charts: [EOLS](https://preview.redd.it/e62z0do102091.png?width=795&format=png&auto=webp&s=05794899d4502ad0ee33ed31cccaee721a05ba1a) [TDW](https://preview.redd.it/ys6r3jr202091.png?width=795&format=png&auto=webp&s=f8c64a5e285895efd1c902da7ea2eb41bb65934f)
TDW broke +19%, sold half the position. That daily candle is looking quite extended now.
The fuck man. My order for TDW at 21.5 got cancelled. RIP
TDW - Jackpot. EOLS - Jackpot. TQQQ - Some consolidation is natural after that hard run on Friday. Still, I'm going to bump my stop up to 296 on the Q's just to lock in some profits in case serious drilling resumes. Don't see anything else to do, checking out.
Bought TDW at opening bell. Not much volume though.
[USO](https://i.imgur.com/5HOfsIH.png) [TDW](https://i.imgur.com/ejg1Pug.png) [VRTV](https://i.imgur.com/pX2nAgZ.png) [WIRE](https://i.imgur.com/G8fEZ4a.png) [WEAT](https://i.imgur.com/AjFkKeZ.png)
I also think that Suncor will be hesisant to give in and rightfully so, since the industry has been held as a persona non grata for a long time, and it could be that Elliot’s play is in fact opportunistic and done not in good faith. However, as a standalone play, I think it is pretty bullish overall that they even contemplated and acted on breaking the ice… Western European oil is toast. There are basically no refineries anymore and the existing ones are being converted to run renewable diesel. Guess what… now all these refineries can ONLY dun renewable diesel, which means nothing from gasoline down to asphalt, including lubricants and waxes. And funnily enough the only area in European refining where it does have a structural and competitive edge globally is in heavies i.e. naphtha which is used to produce plastics. But guess what plastics are not green therefore they are bad, but we won’t sell plastics to Africa or Asia even though they are growing and demanding it, but if we don’t want it then nobody SHOULD want it. This is where we’re at in the world unfortunately. Offshore vessels especially in my opinion is on the inflection to become a good place to fish, albeit carefully. It has shipping-esque supply/demand inflection aspects to it in that when you’re in a shipping bull market there’s nothing quite like it, but it is mixed in with the oil and gas cycle so you can get some incredibly asymmetric returns if you time your swing well. I would be happy to discuss TDW. Disclaimer: not financial advice, do you own research, not pumping etc.
I was super happy to see that letter from Elliot to Suncor. Not sure if SU will do anything about it, but it's a step in the right direction. They are too good of a company to be valued as cheaply as they are right now, and it rests squarely on management. And your analogy on energy policy is pretty spot on. It's baffled my mind for years, and one of the key reasons I've almost completely written off Western European oil. As an aside, there may come a day I pick your brain on TDW, if you're up for it. I've long been a critic of Transocean (RIG), but I'm seeing increased things that make me want to get into off shore drilling. I'm very, very long PBR, to enormous profit (thankfully), who's business runs on deep water drilling (and has numerous contracts with RIG specifically), but I'm very interested in exploring the infrastructure side as a whole.
Drat. Sorry OP, I thought I was on a winner there. To be fair I had this with TDW back in the 2000s when they doubled down and threatened to report me to the SEC and others for what they described as irregular trade patterns. They weren’t irregular, they were just totally dumb but under threat of a report that would have cost me my livelihood I paid up courtesy of an equity withdrawal on my home.
A serious 5 year play right now is oil. Oil is starting a multi-year bull run that will send the price per barrel to over $150. Think I'm joking? Save this comment and come back to it 5 years from now and if oil isn't above $150 I will send you $50. Some solid plays right now are $RIG, $FTI, and I just recently added $TDW. These three combined make up about 40% of my portfolio. Now if you're going to play oil, don't buy options, do it with shares. Expect gas prices to go up a lot in the coming years. You've been warned.
I don't buy into this FD nonsense. FED is protecting both up and downside, for now. If you really want to get paid on bankruptcies a non-retarded position is to buy $TDW
It might just survive as a zombie forum like TDW, where they reminisce and whine about how the hedgies and elites cheated them out of their fair dues for all eternity.
Say you are bullish on the underlying, a spread can be done by selling a put and buying a far OTM put. This caps your loss. For example: you sell stock ABC at Strike of $30 and buy far OTM put at $10, then your loss is capped at $20 minus premium received. When TDW reviews your trade it will be treated as "covered" as opposed to selling a naked put. Even though you have cash, selling a straight put would still expose you to unlimited loss, in theory.