Reddit Posts
Oi, get on the car. The market took a sharp dive.
YOLO (~20k in puts): If $TSLA hits $200 by Friday I donate $5.5k to Special Olympics
Tomorrow’s play TQQQ 400 60 puts (4/11) and TSLA 280 puts (4/11)
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 29 - Feb 04 2024
How did you know that TSLA was priced for a 50% CAGR?
Buying TSLA calls during the dump, I thought we were in a bull market, no?
It's time for Inverse Cramer and buy TSLA
TSLA down, lots of people in puts popping Champagne - LVMH moon!
Question for people who profited from both TSLA and NVDA ?
What do y’all think about using ChatGPT for stock researching?
Call me dumb but doesn’t this chart pattern show that $TSLA is about to shoot to the moon?
Imagine your only narrative to boost your company is restricting all other competitors, $TSLA puts
Any else else see this? $TSLA was watching it during after hours and saw the spike!
First time, am I doing it right? TSLA 185 1/26 call. Roast me
who had TSLA puts and show us your bag
Puts vs Short shares with calls as a hedge
Spent the rest of my life savings betting on a TSLA drop. Didn't think it would happen so soon.
Starting the year off right $TSLA and $ZIM
TSLA: testing 192 support and lower support near 176
What is wrong with TSLA to many short sells? I know Ev Market is not that great but...
This is heading towards extreme oversold territory. How much more will it go 🤔
Are you putting a Stop Order on your $TSLA shares tomorrow?
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Tesla Non-GAAP EPS of $0.71 misses by $0.03, revenue of $25.17B misses by $590M
Just buy SEMI/AI and ride the hype. The roller coaster will end soon but for now it’s green day’s ahead.
Why I'm getting Tesla Puts, A Deep Dive into Earnings (A Must Read)
A Deep Dive into Tesla's Earnings (A Must Read)
Here's to $TSLA big miss on ER. Lotto for fun!
Anyone get frustration with themselves not buy more Magnificent 7 ?
Nice timing for anonymous TSLA leak - reuters
So, this is kinda why I think Netflix will beat
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 22-28 2024
Just went full YOLO on TSLA - $208 per share with 2x Leverage 🚀🚀
A Lamborghini-Style EV: BYD Goes Upmarket to Outmaneuver Tesla
Congrats to the guy with TSLA 215 call options for today
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
Mentions
TSLA filled the gap, $500 incoming
TSLA filled the gap, $500 inc
so? TSLA's first couple of years weren't great either. It is clearly outperforming in TSLA 2025. Sorry facts hurt your feelings.
This will end badly, but it's hard to tell when. Tesla's ttm P/E is over 300, and forward P/E is at 205. A good comparison is Cisco during the dotcom bubble. It's P/E was about 180. The funny thing is Tesla currently has a small fraction of the margin and growth rate that Cisco had at that time. After the bubble burst, it took Cisco stock 25 years to hit a new all time high (it just happened recently this year). Musk has definitely done some great things with the company, but there is a 0.0% chance they will earn their way into this valuation. They still make cool EVs, tho. When the bubble pops, I would not be surprised to see a 75% or more decline in TSLA. My guess is it will happen during Trump's second term based on current economic trends like unemployment and home prices.
And someone bought millions in 635 March Calls on TSLA yesterday. It. Makes. No. Sense!
>it’s somehow him buying all the stocks that keeps pumping it. Elon is an insider. All his TSLA transactions are public. >Or the U.S. government Tesla valuation has been sky high for years. Was the Biden admin buying shares to pump it? >Willing to bet How much? Speaking nonsense is free.
I don't know. I just know that people who are heavily invested in TSLA ain't in it for the cars..
Exactly. I mean I can go after the AI play and subsequently the hardware driving it like MU But I exited TSLA a year ago and instead went overall market. EOY saw me exit some minor positions and I’ll revisit next year when the dust settles in the first week. Minor is $120K or so. Immediate short list includes MU, QQQ (buffet indicator). The AI lawsuits (for some reason excluding xAI) are worrisome so I’m not touching the software plays at this time.
Congrats to TSLA for holding all top 3 spots for fastest depreciating cars of 2025! 🥳 Lol what pieces of shit
+29.25 YTD. My port AMD TSLA HIMS. HIMS is my only red -20.36%.
This has been my best year! Biggest play was 13k off puts from liberation day. Biggest loss was 3k from TSLA puts. Leaving the year up 23k~ for my options portfolio 😎
I'm glad TSLA was at least a little green at points during the day to give you false hope
LFG my TSLA puts are printing
Things that Elon Musk said would happen by the end of 2025: - FSD Level 5 autonomy - 50% nationwide Robotaxi network coverage - Human SpaceX Mars mission - xAI realizing AGI - A TSLA roadster that uses cold-gas turbines for short flight capability
Still time for TSLA to fulfill 2025 robotaxi promise
TSLA and ISRG are the best for robotics in my opinion
What happened to TSLA?
Alas, Musk insistence on vision only systems cripples TSLA's prospects for full autonomy.
No idea what NBIS,MU,IREN,TSLA are so that brings it down to ASTS RKLB GOOGL AMZN RDDT PLTR Thanks for the picks
Not only identifying and buying, but holding is also challenging ! Believe or not, I bought TSLA at $41 and NVDA at $55, ACHR $3 - both way before all splits. Had I held those, I would have now multi-millions, but sold them after making appx 100% growth (big mistake). Anything you buy, hold long, esp growth companies.
Good for you then. Why are you arguing? Stay out of $TSLA. Let us enjoy the ride
Do you think China's BYD has a greater advantage than TSLA? But China's BYD has a market capitalization that is nowhere near as high as TSLA's.
Its a sure thang baby, trust me bro -TSLA(bag) holders
There’s a lot of money pumped into TSLA from Chinese people. They see it as a blue chip long term hold. I have no idea why but on Chinese social media it is perpetually advertised as the best stock to hold
Yep. I’m not heavy in Tesla. Threw $5k into TSLA into both our joint account and our 2 yr old’s UTMA at $145 per share and am not planning on selling it for a very very long time.
Why are TSLA investor not selling their stocks to get a Tesla and let a robotaxi bring them unlimited passive income for life?
TSLA is very unpredictable. I’m not feeling too good about ASTS or RKLB. Also RDDT is being volatile lately. The remaining look good to me.
Yes. Most people now believe TSLA is overvalued.
Bro, any top that includes TSLA is a regarded top because TSLA is a meme stock.
TSLA calls, back up to test $500 again before collapsing
Why didn't you sell your TSLA shares at $498? Selling at $497 meant your profits were significantly lower.
There's also future potential that they get to a point where they can truly make an everyman car and have a more robust charging network at which point TSLA would be the Ford motor company of its day. But we're both really saying the same thing, speculation.
Following its $498 price point, TSLA's stock has declined for six consecutive trading days.
Nobody really knows why TSLA is as high as it is - people are going to say that the market is pricing in the possibility of robotaxis, those stupid Optimus robots, or whatever else Musk has been tweeting about lately, but none of those things are ever going to happen. Their cars are fine, but BYD would eat their lunch if they were ever allowed to sell in the US market. Tesla’s main product right now is its stock, and for whatever reason, people place a lot of value on that. I think there is an enormous downside risk to Tesla if not just because the fundamental dynamics of the stock are unintelligible.
Fair warning I somehow lost money on the inverse TSLA funds earlier this year even when the stonk was dropping, those leveraged products have some black magic fuckery
2x leveraged NVDA etf is no longer my best friend hello inverse 2x TSLA etf this must be what r/bogleheads feel just lameness
Do you have a car from tesla? No? Sell, Do you buy anything personally from the TSLA company? No then sell. If you buy buy./
TSLA investors are the most cult like investors I’ve ever seen. Often trading around beliefs and memes from the memelord himself. Invest around strong fundamentals and you’ll do okay. I’m staying away from this slop.
These stocks are already at the highest especially TSLA GOOG. And where is $NVDA lol
TSLA can’t even sell cars anymore and look at their share price. Nothing makes sense anymore
And there goes the TSLA pump into bad deliveries on Friday lul
What'd you use to calculate this? Are you only counting parent level comments or feedback comments as well since I can't see how TSLA made it into the top 10 based on that post. It definitely has less parent level recommendations than other stocks.
In order to understand the speculation in Tesla, you need to look at other companies like Amazon’s stock price history relative to profits and or P/E. For the longest time, the general public thought Amazon was just an online book store but it leveraged that start into an e commerce giant and then eventually getting huge profits from its cloud computing services. The speculators in TSLA hope for a similar story for Tesla. The stock will go up or down based on how likely trader think Tesla is to capitalize on these other revenue streams in the future.
At some point the TSLA bros cash out to buy rings and houses and lip fillers for their GFs.
Most stocks trade on the fundamentals: that is, the expectations that revenues, operating incomes, profits, and cash flows are predictive of future revenues, operating incomes, profits, and cash flows. These can be discounted to their net present values and the stock can be valued accordingly. Tesla is an interesting case. Brian Feroldi likes to illustrate companies with six phases of the business cycle--startup, hyper growth, self funding, operating leverage, capital return, and decline. Tesla was a startup for much of the 2000s and a hypergrowth company for the 2010s when it rewarded its earliest shareholders handsomely and turned many of them into lifelong cultists. However, the operating leverage phase only lasted 2-3 years before it abruptly turned fell into decline (operating income falling by about two-thirds since its peak three years ago). Since then, it has been looking for a new narrative. True, it has a growing energy segment, but this represents only about 15% of its 2025Q3 revenues (slightly more of its gross profits). It has speculative plays in robotaxi and robotics, but while these represent synergy, they do not represent any revenue. Contrary to investors who hate anything associated with Musk, I do believe he should get some benefit of the doubt for being a successful entrepreneur. But unlike the Kool-Aid guzzlers, I also think we should acknowledge the reality that even the promises he's eventually delivered has been delayed by about a decade. Moreover, this success has been more than priced into the stock: these should be priced as incremental a small startup would, not as huge multipliers to a trillion dollar market cap. Currently, it is the narrative, rather than the fundamentals, which has been driving the recent price action. To be more precise, it trades on short-term options activity (driven by the volume of unsophisticated retail investors most likely to buy the narrative) and the subsequent price action that results when market makers (who buy or sell options) need to buy or sell the underlying stock to hedge their positions. Consider TSLA vs. MSFT and BRK.B. I chose these because they are also two megacaps in the trillion dollar club and because they have similar prices per share, meaning that the notional value of each options contract will be similar. Now look at how much difference there is between the option volume for the expiring January 2, 2026. (Note that I've been tracking this for several weeks now, and today 12/31/25 is a much lower volume trading day due to the holidays and a much more bearish day than normal for TSLA by put-call ratio) |Underlying|Current Price|Call Volume|Put Volume|Operating Income (TTM)| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |[TSLA](https://optioncharts.io/options/tsla)|453.84|203,355|179,029|$4,767M| |[MSFT](https://optioncharts.io/options/msft)|484.83|15,694|8,075|$135,937M| |[BRK.B](https://optioncharts.io/options/brkb)|504.74|1,196|391|$90,654M| Today, TSLA has nearly 13 times the 0DTE call volume of MSFT and more than 170 times the 0DTE call volume of BRK.B, despite the fact those stocks have 20 and 30 times the operating income. Those stocks trade on expectations of future earnings, TSLA trades on arbitrage and hedging. That's why Tesla's P/E ratio is out of wack.
Stuff like MSTR TSLA SOUN PLTR all these shitter stocks exist and bears short the oldest currencies known to man lmao
Ummm, why did TSLA make this list
Lots of haters here. TSLA is taking safety-rider fares in Austin, and testing driverless rides. “But Waymo can already do that”, yes, but what waymo does not have is cars. Tesla can put 1 million driverless taxis on the road with a simple over the air software update. it’s a franchise model where the owners own the cars and keep up on them. For Waymo to do the same, they need to build 1 million cars at a cost of around $150B, then they need to build hundreds of garages to charge clean and maintain them, And they need to hire a staff of about 200,000 people to maintain them (based on 1 hr per car per day to clean and maintain). Tesla is at least five years ahead of everyone else on “winner take all” in self driving taxi fleets.
If you bought TSLA on December 16th… 😆
Mango 2026: "Crooked Joe Biden left us with a weak, failing energy grid—total disaster, folks, blackouts everywhere while Big Tech and AI geniuses suck up more power than the whole country! Sleepy Joe killed our nukes, but YOUR PRESIDENT is bringing back the strongest, most beautiful NUCLEAR ENERGY—nobody does energy like me, the best! " NVDA, TSLA, AMZN, APPL, GOOGL announces 100B investment into DJT to build up US Nuclear Energy. DJT: +100000% YTD Mango: Worlds first trillionaire (officially), he learnt it from his best friend Putin
last chance to buy TSLA before terminator takeover on Jan 1 2026
It's not meaningful. It's another measure that shows that Tesla's business has declined. The price-to-sales ratio may be more useful. [Tesla Price to Sales Ratio 2011-2025 | TSLA | MacroTrends](https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/tsla/tesla/price-sales)
This isnt retail holding it up. Retail loves them some TSLA, but it’s not them keeping the price up. Its the big guys
TSLA coiled like a snek, which way will it pounce?
\-7% day for TSLA please. Lets start 2026 on the right note (fuck elon)
Resume TSLA unloading in 2 minutes
Sixty percent of people believe TSLA is overvalued, yet TSLA has continued to climb, nearly breaking through the $500 price point.
Yes. Holding shares of TSLA, he also receives additional dividend income annually. It's worth owning.
For 80 years scientists have worried about over population, and all it took was Instagram, OF and Venmo to cure every country's population rate. Positions: QQQ and TSLA.
bought TSLA because Burry isn't shorting it
Nvda and TSLA pre market are green, that means we'll have a little SPY jump this morning so I can dump my irresponsible March 2026 calls right??
TSLA sales tanking. Naturally, the stock is up
Tesla bulls think a -3% drop on TSLA is a juicy dip to buy LOL. Shits still over valued by 85%
They asked Burry if he would bet against TSLA and he said: I am not short. The man made all of his money last time on swaps though 🤔
That's how research typically goes. This is theoretical stuff and is very valuable. However, in practice, the performance of the stock is often uncorelated with their profits. See TSLA for more details.
As much as making and losing 90k hurts, at least I’m not the Canadian guy who made $415M on TSLA and lost every single penny of it. Could’ve been much much worse. Seems impossible to ever regain your sanity again after something like that.
True, and my statement is a bit weaseley to account for that. All of the broker PM definitions I have read refer to SPAN, describe an additional variable or two, and don't publish a PM formula that can be followed. I sell SPX, RUT, NDX option spreads and the BP difference between those and, say, TSLA options is obvious.
Fidelity's Clean Energy ETF (FRNW) has had a great year. While it stalled recently, it had been climbing so regularly for a long time that I was able to buy, wait for a rise, sell, wait for a slight dip, buy back and repeat for much of the year. Mixed with international stocks, gold, and a few selected US investments, FRNW has buoyed my retirement portfolios for much of the year since I bailed on US markets early in the year. I'm at a point where I'm most comfortable being heavy in cash, but with this mix, I've been able to track well ahead of US bonds with much less risk. All of those investments have kicked ass on US stocks this year. FRNW is a nice way to spread out risk and still be in the alternative energy sector. It has much less liquidity than big funds though so you do need to be mindful of bid-ask spreads and such. Overall, it's been nice feeling like I could make money on an investment that seemed like it was doing something positive, and I've been glad that TSLA isn't part of the mix. If AI is going to happen anyway, it might as well be supported with green energy. I do wonder if concern over an AI bubble might be what's causing this fund (and so the sector as a whole) to lose its momentum.
It’ll behave like TSLA, completely irrational and high volatility.
Yeah, I probably didn't explain it too well. But for example, I bought 8 stocks on Kazakhstan's exchange. Essentially bought everything that didn't look like complete crap and wasn't evidently overvalued. Most stocks didn't move much, but one made 6x. Sold it. Started buying back when it was cheap again. Reinvested capital gains into the other 7. You're not gonna get those spikes in Mag7, especially not these stupid valuations. Largest companies at 30-50 P/E is insane no matter how you calculate it. If they fall back 10-19, perfectly possible, it's happened before, META Nov. 2022, GOOGL Apr. 2025 I'm in again. TSLA has been a bad stock since late 2020. If I look at a 5 year chart, it underperformed most of the major ETFs while also paying no dividends and being very volatile. 300 P/E today. I'm not even gonna bother with it. I'd rather close my eyes and hit buy on a random BRVM stock. It is less destructive.
I understand the fear — macro cycles, liquidity, and speculation absolutely matter. But calling a **90% Nasdaq crash “next week”** is where history and probability start to part ways. Especially given **today is the last day of 2025**, it’s probably worth zooming out instead of anchoring on a single date-driven prediction. Looking at **actual historical behavior of the Mega-7 (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, META, TSLA)**: * Even across **2000–2002**, **2008**, and **2020**, we don’t see instant, straight-line collapses — we see **volatility clustering, sharp drawdowns, counter-trend rallies, and regime shifts**. * Rate cuts historically show up during periods of **maximum uncertainty**, but they’re usually **reactive**, not the starting gun for a multi-year 90% wipeout. * What really matters is **earnings durability + balance-sheet strength** — and mega-caps behave very differently from broad speculative indices when stress hits. From a probability perspective: * Around policy pivots, **downside days increase**, but so do **large upside reversals**. * Mega-caps show **higher pivot frequency** (trend breaks and reversals) rather than one-directional crashes. * Historically, **all-in exits during peak fear** have a lower long-term win rate than **measured de-risking** (position sizing, diversification, staged exits). Being defensive makes sense. Being **certain** about extreme outcomes usually doesn’t. Markets don’t move on narratives — they move on **distributions, probabilities, and liquidity**. Genuinely curious how others here are thinking about risk management *rather than* all-or-nothing calls.
TSLA is a company selling dreams
Seriously wouldn’t normally ask but I’ve become retarded and my 18k in TSLA calls are now worth 2k expiry 1/09 so I hold through an hope for 500+ before expiry or cut my losses 🫣
TSLA weekly calls fucken cooked to bits, I done fucked up bad this time
Coming soon Tesla robots you can kiss. Calls on TSLA
Ok smarties, why should I not full port a bunch of poor man’s covered puts on TSLA at this point?
Sat in BYDs in Thailand and Mexico. Honestly it’s kinda mind blowing how much value they offer. People always compare the models to the TSLA equivalent to point out their flaws but for the price, looks, features - they are badass vehicles for sure.
TSLA is rather gonna be $600+ by spring or… $250 - $300.
TSLA valuation has been divorced from reality for years. This shit actually does run on vibes.
TSLA missing car sales # is actually bullish
I think easy solution is that xAI, boring company, neuralink to buy a bunch of — model 3s for mid tier and lower levels model y for senior techs model s & x for upper management Must turn to a performance metric as well. Do you $TSLA ? Yes/No 😁😂
Nope. As soon as I started seeing the Tesla cult spamming this board with 'TSLA to 500' all month, I had a feeling it would start dumping as soon as it gets to around 490
TSLA probably not hitting 500 this year at this rate
Fuck. Watching TSLA price action right now is making me regret selling my short position earlier. Im absolutely livid 😩