VT
Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund ETF Shares
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As a strict Boglehead indexer, I went in hard on $SPCE calls as soon as I heard the case for it.
Will VT tank severly when correction on semiconductors comes?
What is the best strategy to allocate and optimize a 100K investment?
Recently gifted a $12,500 brokerage account with E*Trade
Automated investing for retirement accounts (fidelity/schwab) vs picking your own distributions. The good vs the bad. Discuss
For parabolic gains DO NOT read this. It's just a Samaritan text for thise in despair.
Forbparabolic gains DO NOT follownthese advices.
Thought Experiment: What if everyone just DCA’d into VT?
Funds like VT that don't have the typical index problems
Questioning if the extra etf in my portoflio actually improves expected returns or just adds volatility
Roth or Brokerage for individual holdings - what is best?
What would you do with money gifted from family?
DD: All-in-one ETFs are probably the smart play right now… but I’m still YOLOing options cuz I’m broke at Wendys
Today is the day I finally accepted the truth about stocks.
85/15 VTI & VXUS in brokerage, 85/15 FZROX & FZILX in roth ira
Any tax implications/forced sale if/when a massive company gets absorbed into VT/VTI?
When It's Your Time, It's Your Time-
Unpopular Opinion: QQQM beats VOO over a 30-year horizon
EHang’s 2026 Strategy: Moving from the EH216 to the VT-35 (200km range)
EHang’s 2026 Strategy: Moving from the EH216 to the VT-35 (200km range)
Any specific ratio to set up recurring investment for Roth IRA long term?
Begginer here first buy: should i buy UCTIS ETFs or US? Eu based
Just YOLO'd $89k into QQQ / VT (65/35 split)
Non-US resident. Alternatives for US ETFs for 5 to 10 years’ investment period.
Risk-free flip with loc to buy XEQT(VT equivalent)
Seeking Advice: Living Off $1.8M Portfolio, Growth vs Dividend ETFs
Add more on Monday? (Added $40k on Thursday)
VTINX (Vanguard retirement fund) as a medium term investment in a taxable brokerage account
Just moved $200K to VT because I stopped believing in the American Exceptionalism narrative
Does VTI have ~5% higher expected future returns than VT in tax-advantaged accounts for U.S. investors?
VTI or VT?? (70% VTI - USA and 30% VT - International)?
36yo – Simple ETF portfolio. Overthinking factor tilts vs simplicity. Thoughts?
VT and chill but what if I added a little somethin' somethin' ?
Any criticism for my portfolio
Are Index Fund Holders About To Be Exit Liquidity For Mega IPOs?
Are index funds investors about to get fleeced by Musk and Altman?
Here is why it’s not always priced in: EMH is misunderstood
Trust investment claims outperformance vs indexes, looking for advice
How do I (28F) develop the correct mindset to invest?
Have any stocks/ETFs ever swapped ticker symbols?
How to calculate the true percentage holdings of a portfolio that's mixed with multiple ETFs and stocks?
In retirement (safe withdrawals) - is it better to have a single VT to sell, or US Broad & International Broad...then sell the better performer at time of withdrawal?
History of US equities, t-bills, treasuries, gold, and international returns
History of US equities, t-bills, treasuries, gold, and international returns
History of US equities, t-bills, treasuries, gold, and international returns
Seeking Advice: Best ETFs for Wealth Preservation
$PAVS is now 240+ % Short interest.
Front-Running Populist Reforms: Eyeing SYF Puts to Capitalize on Credit Cap Risks
Looking for portfolio feedback- GGUS/UGL/Senior AUD bank bonds
Do Fidelity.com comparison charts already factor in fees?
Elon Musk Donated Over 210,000 Tesla Shares Worth Almost $100 Million
Worth selling an old active fund (and paying capital gains), or hold indefinitely?
Unsure on VTI + VXUS or VT in taxable brokerage
Suggestions on tickers to park some money while looking for other opportunities
IBKR: Are fractional ETF purchases (fixed dollar amounts) actually possible?
I have impeccable timing, unfortunately always the wrong kind.
Long-term investor (47, 20-25 year horizon) - Tempted by speculative plays after years of index investing. Looking for perspective.
Mentions
Congrats on the sale. Whatever you do, don't dump it all in one stock or meme coin. Put at least 6 months expenses in a HYSA, max out your Roth IRA for the year, and maybe throw the rest in a low-cost index fund like VOO or VT. Also talk to a tax pro - you might owe capital gains on that. Good luck man.
I guess I'm confused. Are you a true long term investor or not? Why do you care about always having the hottest returns? Do you require huge returns to meet your goals? That'd be unrealistic. No matter what you pick, something will always be doing better. A few years is NOTHING and much of those gains could easily be wiped away. Those people are playing with fire and it isn't a serious and evidence based long term strategy. Remember that people will never tell you about the many losses they've experienced. These gamblers are not going to beat indexing in the long term. Professionals can't do it (check SPIVA) so why would airheaded retail investors be able to do it? Think about it. I highly recommend distracting yourself with any other interest. I would also recommend VT over VOO because US can stagnate and go nowhere for a decade and how would you react then? There are realistic scenarios in which international outperforms significantly ss valuations do end up mattering (eventually). Stay focused on the long term. Good luck. Or don't listen to me and go all in on DRAM.. you do you 🤷♂️.
Only Nasdaq is artificially inflating the float. CRSP (VTI, VT, etc) got rid of their rule requiring 10% float to be included in index but is still going to do normal float adjustment.
VT and chill. Look at VXUS and VEA 2025 returns they handily beat VOO so some international exposure may be boost returns
I cashed out and am back to boring ass VT / VOO until it all goes tits up
Doubled my 401k in 2 weeks with DRAM NOK PENG BB. Coming from boring ass VT , VXUS ect ect
Ignore the headlines and narratives meant to scare you. Realize that past exceptional performance tells you nothing about the future. Don't performance chase. Don't cave into FOMO. A lot of investors will underperform the simple VT (total world stocks) over decades. Stock pickers looking for fast hits are going to eventually get burned.
Lot of performance chasers in these communities just going after what the hottest current thing is. They make judgements based on the short term (no 10 years is not really long term and can be incredibly noisy). Little do they realize past amazing returns don't persist forever and tell you nothing about the future. People are looking to get burned. Better to be highly diversified than not. Something like VT will smoke these airheads trying to chase quick unsustainable hits after decades.
This is me analyzing charts 😂. It’s why I VT and chill
nothing, spacex iuts gonna be 0.04%–0.07% of VT
?? what poercentage of VT do you think its gonna be Spacex? its about 0.04%–0.07% what the fuck are you guys on???
SpaceX alone won't do much. You're looking at a 0.1-0.2% impact most likely on something like VT, which is basically losing 50 cents on its current valuation. I am concerned about the larger implications of the rules on other IPOs going forward however
Get him a physical share certificate of Disney because it has the characters on it (at least it once did), put everything else in VOO or VT
You have that about right. SpaceX will affect everything from SPY to VT to QQQ and more. "Stealing retirement" just is more attention grabbing. Almost every major index has changed their rules to allow SpaceX to dodge rules limiting the impact of crazy valuations based on overhyped IPOs. So now all of us get to buy it at the worst price it will ever be at
80 to 95% sleeve of your savings, yes very much so. VT and chill even better. 5 to 20% no. Feed the WSB goblin. Resistance is futile. Embrace and enjoy.
My main worry is the general investing fear that: my portfolio is pretty conservative but has had ok returns The second I switch to something like VT the market will turn on me and I will regret not staying super conservative. I do realize I am missing out on a good amount of gains though. Not only that, but my understanding of VT is that you are essentially betting on the world as a whole, rather than just US companies etc
That does seem quite aggressive but I’m sure it pays off when it does! I think I will shave down my SGOV position for VT or VOO/VXUS.
Exactly. I definitely have too much cash, and have known this for a couple years now but this is the year I finally want to do something about it. For reference, I had all cash in an HYSA until I realized it could be in SGOV instead and skip out on the state taxes. That was my “big” move this year lol. Now I am starting to realize I truly don’t need this amount of cash and might shave it down some into VT. I already have a separate trading account on Robinhood but only a few thousand in it so will probably just keep that. I will most likely reset my retirement accounts and put it into VT or a mix of VOO / VXUS. Thanks for the reply.
VTI/VT is indexed based off of free float, not market cap. So if say SpaceX only IPO's with a free float of 5% and a market cap of 1 trillion, it would only have a 50 billion valuation as far as VTI is concerned. How free float is calculated is removing stuff like restricted shares or shares held by founders. So not zero exposure but not as bad as full market cap indexes.
Why are people so worried of it becoming .1 percent of VT or any other major etf?
The question is a waste of time. It doesn't matter because nobody knows what is going to happen in the future. The smartest thing people can do is stay invested and be highly diversified so you aren't relying on a concentrated bet (even all in only US large caps is a bet..) to provide returns. If one is in a low cost highly diversified global find such as VT and perhaps a cash buffer if desired they should have little to worry about.
This is all incredibly simple. There is a mountain of evidence showing that stock picking is likely to underperform long term over a simple low cost highly diversified global fund like VT. If that simple fund sounds boring.. that is the point. Disciplined long term investing isn't about chasing hot stocks and funds (that is unlikely to persist) and excitement. Ben Felix on YouTube, the Rational Reminder podcast, and Bogleheads community/wiki are all excellent resources for truly wise investing for the long term. Also books from Bogle, Bernstein, Malkiel, etc. People are overconfident in their abilities and read false stories from other stock pickers who claim they have this great track record when it likely isn't true because they're going to selectively discard their losers and only tell you about their winners. If they actually compared their full performance they would see especially long term it is a waste of time and a significant opportunity cost. The evidence is clear. Stay highly diversified and global. Past winners don't continue on and on. Every strategy will eventually have rough times. Don't performance chase. Don't cave into fear of missing out. Slow and steady wins the race. Don't check your account more than a few times a year. Don't concern yourself with the headlines meant to scare you. But you can lead a horse to water and they won't drink. Some people will sabotage their financial future because of desperation and frankly.. stupidity. What's the saying.. oh.. a fool and their money. To each their own.
Yes, VT uses the exact same float-adjusted method as VTI, meaning your fund only buys based on the tiny fraction of shares actually available to the public rather than SpaceX's multi trillion dollar headline valuation, capping its actual weight in your portfolio at a microscopic fraction of a percent.
VT sucks and is easily beaten. Over 5 years: VT 70% VOO 93% QQQ 127% SPMO 187% Why would you want to hold all the companies including the worst trash?
You’re hardly beating inflation with VT. Also makes you invest in shit stocks like Tesla
Does it matter? This fear of missing out will likely result in you underperforming VT long term. If you are excited by your investments, something has gone wrong.
VTI tracks the CRSP US Total Stock Market Index. VT tracks the FTSE Global All Cap Index. Both CRSP and FTSE have already changed their rules. Vanguard doesn't necessarily have to have the same basket of equities but it's likely Vanguard follows to some degree to maintain the respective tracking errors.
Stock picking is a loser's game. You're going to get burned. VT will easily outperform your strategy over the long run. You'd be better off increasing your human capital.
VTI or VT. Not sure if there's been any announcements from Vanguard but if it does get added it'll be one of thousands of companies at a low weighting regardless.
Boglehead nerds will point to a 5% correction and say "see, i told you so" and look at their VT smugly while my portfolio is still up 70%.
VTI is whole (US) stock market, and VT is total world stock market. that will make SpaceX a smaller piece. but these "every single stock" funds are much less picky. they let in new entrants after 5 days, and have operated that way for years. if you switch now you will end up getting SpaceX sooner. VTV is a value based fund. if SpaceX is classified as "Growth" it will not be there. it is in either VTV or VUG. i expect them to follow the same rules as VOO since they are VOO split in two pieces, but i have not confirmed this. you may want to go to actively managed funds if you are trying to outsmart the market. or use options to offset the SpaceX and Tesla stock. buy a put and your downside is limited but it will pay off big if the stock drops.
No, but your investments cause the fund to buy stock in companies. Those shares come from somewhere and the seller gets your money in exchange for the share. So when the SpaceX owners sell their shares they are directly getting your money. Putting SpaceX into an index will require a lot of retirement funds to purchase shares. My issue is those shares will be overpriced based on on earnings. I have the same concerns about Tesla being in VT and VTI. But that’s what you get when you buy the index.
I do not know if moving my VOO into VT will shield me more from SpaceX, but that's currently my plan. I welcome any advice on avoiding musk shit.
Sell my kidney and buy VT calls, got it!
Sitting on cash is literally getting cucked by the Fed and the government. The guy enjoying the fight while smoking weed is VOO/QQQ/IWM/VT & MAG8.
What % of VOO/SPY/VT/VTI/etc do you think SpaceX will be? Hint: an insignificant %
If I could go back and give my 17 year old self advice it would be the following: Put the money into a low cost ETFs. Vanguard have some good options ($VOO, $VTI, $VGT, $VT), then add to it as you can. Will it make you a millionaire in 5-10 years? Nope. But it’s a much less stressful introduction to the stock market than jumping into individual stocks. It will help you understand how news, policy and earnings impact individual stocks that make up these funds. Once you’ve got the fundamentals in place you’ll have a much easier time investing into individual stocks if that something that still interests you down the line. At 17 you have plenty of time. Best of luck!
My portfolio was nearly all NVDA the past decade, since last fall I have been diversifying it into VT/VOO and a little SPMO/SMH. I put a small amount in MU and DRAM for FOMO but it triggered -15% stop loss and sold, then continued taking off 🤷♂️ I also have a HYSA at 4.40% APY with 3 years of expenses in it but am otherwise suspicious of the openly acknowledged market manipulation occuring by our current administration, the oil situation, tech CEOs cutting AI spend from "tokenmaxxing", public outrage against datacenters, ect. What's clear is those in power will do anything to prop up the market economy under the auspices of national security, but I already had a good run and left the corporate world and have less appetite for risk now.
If you unsure about current valuations the best thing you can do is just buy VT. I do think it’s a good idea to have a cash allocation in Sgov or something similar though.
Only time you can do it cost effectively as a retail investor without just being lucky pretty much. Just buy VT and SPCE.
Unfortunately history shows that the largest companies have several disappointing lengthy poor return periods. And stock picking is highly unlikely to be better than VOO and especially VT after decades. You are overconfident in your abilities and are falling into common biases that will erode returns over time. Stock picking is a loser's game. Maybe one day you'll learn that. Good luck.
I thought this was $25M. Just buy VT my dude
If you stop while you’re ahead and shift that into VT, at your age you’ll easily set yourself up for FIRE. But what fun would that be?
Well this is precisely why I hold VT. I don't have to gamble and try to pick any winners...I end up owning all the winners.
Yeah and I do VOO vs VT, more upside to me while still being safe. Small amount in VXUS as well just for international exposure. I don't expect it to beat US markets long term, but this current regime showed me the market can drastically shift with a single tweet lol.
The average tech stock dropped 75-80% in the dot com crash. Many speculative stocks dropped to near-zero. I think it’s reasonable to say a semiconductor crash of similar proportions would bring DRAM/SMH/SOXX down 90%+ compared to 50% in an absolute worst-case for VT.
4% is pretty bad. VT is up over 11% YTD. Probably best if you stick to index funds instead of trying to pick stocks.
exactly. Just save aggressively and DCA into VT and chill. You'll be a billionaire in no time when you're 98 lol
Or just VT, to simplify even further.
VT performs worse than an sp500 index fund such as IVV and VOO
I’m in VT. It was 90° three days ago lol
Semiconductors are around 10% of VT. So if every semiconductor company went to 0, a semiconductor fund would be down 100% and VT would be down 10%.
~12% of VT is semiconductors, so if the industry crashes it could be a >Since VT is so much diversified it has pretty mediocre gains compared to say DRAM or SOXX. DRAM is about 90 seconds old, has most of the holdings in 3 socks, and is being pumped up by Korean retail investors using record levels of margin. I'm sorry but it's just ridiculous to compare DRAM to VT, they have completely different strategies and holdings. In 2022, SOXX dropped 35% while VT dropped roughy half as much at 18%. So hot trendy investments can be a lot more risky and volatile than a more diversified or boring option.
There's no reason to underperform the market when you can buy the market. VT or VTI and chill
VT will get hit as the mega-caps still move that ETF. Not only the U.S., Taiwan (mostly TSCM) … but now Samsung, Sk Hynix from South Korea as new entrants to the mega biggie leagues ($1trln mkt caps).
That's what I did w/ MU profit. Put some in DRAM to hedge as well. I basically use VOO & VT as savings accounts
Given how thin your investment strategy is I would highly recommend trimming and reallocating to QQQ, VOO, or VT based on how bullish you are on big tech/USA. The more you put into ETFs the less you'll worry about individual picks getting too bloated or huge drawdowns. You must first understand that chasing FOMO is the worst investment strategy because you'll trade mainly on emotion. Otherwise you'll just be ping-ponging back and forth, getting frustrated watching stocks skyrocket past your steady ship. If you want to time the market my best advice is to DCA but have a multiple for when the Fear and Greed index is in the red. Say you want to put in 1K every month, you do 1.5k when the F&G is in the red and 500 when it's in the green. Alternatively you can swap into a leveraged ETF like TQQQ (3x QQQ) when the index is on extreme fear and trade back into the regular QQQ once it's back in the green. These are some general ideas I use.
My point and concern is VT gets hit despite its low exposure to chips, as investors may start withdrawing their money from wide stock market, not just semiconductors. If that happened, that would mean divesification doesn't really pay off. Don't know, just speculating.
Your time would likely be much better spent on many other things, while just sticking with VT and letting it ride. If one insisted on doing this.. there are better ways, like some funds that AQR offers. Good luck
It is right that during dot-com VT would've gotten wrecked, but the point about the 27% tech exposure is key - semis are maybe 5-8% of that. The real risk isn't semis specifically, it's that VT's at ATH with forward P/E ~18x and only 2% upside to fair value per trademates. A 10% broad correction wipes out any near-term gains. Staggered entry makes sense here, not all-in.
VT would have still fallen 50 percent during the dot com crash, in a broad market sell off everything is going down together
What people arn't considering is how far reaching into other sectors of the market a tech correction will reach. Yes VT will be affected, obviously not as much as funds with higher concentration levels but it still will be felt.
Without a doubt it'll be impacted somewhat.. but by being much less concentrated in those names, it won't be as destructive. The difference between the 2000s burst and now is that back then international was richly valued too. Today it's different and VT would definitely fare better (but still take a sizable hit). If one really felt strongly about avoiding a major tech downturn, small value is an option as well as alternatives like managed futures which zig when the markets zag (though beware they are very challenging to hold individually without portable alpha/return stacking). What these high flyers gambling into these tech and semiconductor stocks and funds don't want to realize (or care.. because their capital is so low anyways) is that the downswing can be just as fierce as the upswing. Good luck to them..
VT won’t tank like semiconductors even if that sector has a big correction. It only has a small exposure to chips and AI stocks, so losses there get diluted across thousands of global companies in other sectors. U might still see a dip if tech drops hard, but it would be much milder compared to SOXX or similar ETFs. That’s basically the whole point of diversification: less upside, but also much smaller crashes.
Why bother with all of that? Just buy VT and be done with it, as most people won't be able to beat it long term. Stop focusing on the headlines and what stock pickers say. None of that analysis is going to benefit you or anyone else.
Stock picking is a loser's game. Stick with VT.
VT is about 60% US and 40% international. My ratio at the moment is the other way around. I've been moving away from US funds in the past few years, so just doing VXUS + VOO.
I think global population decline is not just noise and would affect VT
Nobody knows what is going to happen. Serious long term investing ignores the noise and what ifs. Pick a highly diversified global strategy (like VT) according to your risk tolerance and let it ride for decades to come. Simple.. but not easy.. and that is how you earn the equity risk premium. Stay in your seat and ignore the headlines. If one was really concerned there could be different styles like alternative strategies that are zero or negatively correlated to the stock market (I believe in these), but they require an enormous amount of conviction that won't be found on here. Best of luck!
Anytime someone is talking an individual stock, they likely are performance chasing and have a fear of missing out. If you want to be wise, invest in VT and earn the global market average return which most people, even professionals, will fail to beat after decades..
This is one of the reasons why the momentum factor exists. Anyways.. this doesn't really matter as picking individual stocks is a proven loser's game. Vast majority would be better off in VT. If one wanted to systematically pursue higher expected returns, then factor funds are an evidence based way to do that.. but you need very strong belief as negative potential tracking variance allows for potential positive tracking variance over the long term (there is no strategy that can do well at all times).
That's a lot of work to just likely match VT. Why don't you just go VT?
I held NVDA the past decade, cashed out last fall and now am in boring old VT/VOO resisting blowing it, but even that makes me nervous now TBH.
How do you know you are "moderately successful"? Are you certain you aren't wildly overconfident in your abilities? Have you tracked your entire performance against VOO or VT? How long have you been doing it, as obviously a lengthy track record is more meaningful than a short term track record.. though technically even 10 years could be luck. Wise long term investors just sit in VT, which will end up outperforming around 90 percent of investors over decades. Good luck.
Is this a joke post? Investing for 2 years? You hold cash or a short term bond fund.. You do not know nearly enough about investing if you think a 2 year timeframe is appropriate here for equities. IF you had a 10 year plus horizon you invest wisely into VT or AOA. Not playing the loser's game by picking sectors or individual stocks. All the evidence shows your strategy will not work reliably. Good luck
Timing a crash is impossible. People have said for 10 years the US market is overvalued. While I believe the market is due to an extended downturn, I don't know when that will be. It is possible things keep going up for another year or two or three... But there are decent ways to deal with this concern. First.. be exposed to global markets not just US (VT is an excellent fund). Second.. consider adding some value exposure. Third.. consider alternatives that are zero or negatively correlated to the market.. Fourth.. simply add more cash/bonds. All depends on your personal beliefs and tolerance for tracking variance. A crash isn't just about the initial drawdown which could go on for years but also the recovery and for example US large caps could stagnate for a decade while other segments do well. It's possible and many people aren't prepared for that. Good luck..
TSLA is 2.38% of the S&P 500 and 0.96% of VT. I'm doing VT and chill, so I am 1% concerned about TSLA. I actually hope it tanks. Elon is a jackass and bad for society, but please have some perspective here.
Thats good. You'll make more with the 20% VGT than you will with 80% VT
VT and chill. The math supports this over the long term. Go have a real life!
Optionally buy a total world etf, like VT.
Right? Just put 1.5m into VT and withdraw as needed.
At this level, Id probably be a little bit more conservative, 90% into VT, 10% into whatever bond fund. Then I'd retire.
You don't stick the derisked portion into a savings account, you roll in into a broad market ETF. It's also not going to zero (AMD is still a well run, profitable company with physical assets) but it definitely could tank 70% (it also could keep running). You'd be in a position where it'd be like if you'd bought VT or VOO with that initial money, plus received "free" shares in AMD equal to 2/3 of you current AMD share position. The point is to set a floor under your winnings where you won't backslide below where you'd be if you did the safe thing in the first place, without completely sacrificing future upside.
“VT and chill” income category
I think if it's in VT I already am. If not, I'm not.
Buy VT or some shit. Don't like it? Equal weights, small cap, value, small+value... There are many research-backed choices. Or YOLO into one random stock like a proper degen.
Whatever diversified ETF of fund you buy, you will always have a lot of tech. You could sell everything and buy a 60% VT and 40% BND or something like that. In Canada we have a lot of asset allocation ETFs (VBAL, XEQT, etc), but for some reason I can’t find a US equivalent.
How did you get 37% though? VOO/VT are at 28%. Factor tilts? Margin? Includes contributions as gains?
What would SCHD be doing for you? Single fund portfolios: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bogleheads/comments/tg1az5/should_i_invest_in_x_index_fund_a_simple_faq/ This is one of over a dozen links I have that can help explain the reasoning behind that: * https://www.pwlcapital.com/should-you-invest-in-the-sp-500-index - invest in the S&P 500, but don't end there (this covers info on both the US extended market and ex-US markets) [a total US market fund combines S&P 500 + extended market into one] US only is single country risk, which is an *uncompensated* risk. An uncompensated risk is one that doesn't bring higher expected long term returns. It should be avoided whenever possible. Compensated vs uncompensated risk: * https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/uncompensated-risk/ >An uncompensated risk is a risk that you can diversify against. * https://www.northerntrust.com/middle-east/insights-research/2024/wealth-management/compensated-portfolio-risk or if that doesn't work, the archive link: https://web.archive.org/web/20260107205255/https://www.northerntrust.com/middle-east/insights-research/2024/wealth-management/compensated-portfolio-risk >But not all risks are compensated with an expected return premium. * https://www.pwlcapital.com/is-investing-risky-yes-and-no/ (Bold mine) >Uncompensated risk is very different; it is the risk specific to an individual company, sector, **or country.** Consider this: https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Three-fund_portfolio The bonds are the part that adjust volatility level (if you really can stomach 100% stock, they can even be set to 0%, however not everyone is actually able to tolerate 100% stock). More bonds should equal less volatility. Alternatively, a target date (index) fund or target allocation (index) fund are effectively the 3 fund concept in a single wrapper, managed for you. They are designed to be "one and done," the only thing you hold. They're fully diversified internally for you. These can be found with expense ratios as low as 0.08%-0.12% for the Fidelity, iShares, Schwab, and Vanguard index based ones. The target date and target allocation funds typically are not recommended for taxable accounts but are fine for tax advantaged. VT (2 letters)/VTWAX would cover both stock roles in one fund. >I want to keep it as passive as possible. Then I'd really be looking at the target date fund.
Dump it all into VT and let it ride
Without the '87, '88 and '89 returns: Risk free rate: 4.3357 VT 8.8874 / 17.4237 P2 with initial weight: 69% US 9.8736 / 16.8207 (B&H) 9.8315 / 16.7229 (R-1) 9.8090 / 16.6840 (R-5/25) 60% US 9.8292 / 16.7189 (B&H) 9.6412 / 16.9113 (R-1) 9.7233 / 16.8746 (R-5/25) 50% US 9.5003 / 17.3797 (B&H) 9.4115 / 17.2484 (R-1) 9.5301 / 17.2628 (R-5/25) P4 60% US 9.7846 / 17.2569 (B&H) 10.0081 / 16.9741 (R-1) 10.0052 / 16.9816 (R-5/25)
If it were me I’d do VT and forget about it. Adds some international exposure too.
5 years from retiring, I think I’d be tempted to buy something much broader than the S&P. Maybe something like VT. Sure, you might miss out on some gains, but with your proximity to retirement, you may also not dip as low if there is a correction. You’re nearing capital preservation mode.
VT especially with the short horizon to retirement.