Reddit Posts
When do we think the actual BTC bottom is coming? What’s your playbook?
I backtested astrology as a crypto trading strategy. Jupiter was my portfolio manager, Mercury my risk assessor. It made +3.4% in 45 days, beating every other bot I built :| But there's a catch.
Altcoins and crypto ain't dead and BTC and ETH is not the only way (although it's the safest one). Prove me wrong.
👀 Sneak peek at this year's Cryptocurrency Village badge for DEF CON 34!
Anyone else planning to check out the Cryptocurrency Village at DEF CON 34?
Has anyone heard of “Trump Accounts Funded” token on RH?
Mentions
Vibes TA. The highest form of intellectual acuity
it didn't "work" because of your trendlines dude. It's an accumulation RANGE. You had a 50/50 chance of going up or down. Its still bullish accumulation in a range. How do you not understand this? . But you didn't "call" shit. There were two outcomes. This was shit discretionary TA at its worst, but you can still be right. You deserve 1% credit. But I hope you made money on this.
Trading is pushed on every one (by the trading platforms) and almost no one makes reliable money trading (except the trading platforms). As someone who has been in crypto from 2018, my opinion is that only reliable way to make money in crypto is to 1. Dollar cost average BTC in bear markets and hold for dear life. 2. If you want to buy alts find some category leader that has held up relatively well in the bear market and has similar winning characteristics as BTC/DOGE/XRP etc. (multi cycle winners): organic hype, loyal community, outrageous/delusional price targets, cult status. And then hold that also for dear life. A good indicator is that the less some coin has trader TA posting around it and the more it has insane sounding "conspiracy theories" or people flocking around it as a community/identity the better.
This is the laziest TA I’ve ever seen
I'm not diminishing what you own, where you live or whatever success you've had in life. I'm happy for you. I want people to be rich af. I was, however, diminishing the fuck out of that shit-slop discretionary TA the OP posted. A fucking chart crime against humanity. You got offended by the wrong person is all.
Oh? You don't one of these, too? Is that why you can't show me yours? "dependent" lol. Dude, GTFO and learn to accept the truth, especially when you don't like the way someone said it. This guys TA is complete and utter retard horseshit and now you look stupid af, too.
Will you listen to someone that has 10 years of experience in trading, has the logs to back it up and basically mastered TA, Fundamentals and probabilities?
Can be either. Its a lagging indicator. At least 4 of the line on this chart are followed by downtrend. TA can be manipulated, often lagging, often doesnt matter.
Very little. TA is like using horoscopes to predict your future.
Wdym less than a 6 month timeline? There is definitely value to TA
If you bought it at 96k then you would be down 20%? So it’s not the bottom, these TA posts are meaningless
Don't hold any coin/token for 5-7 years. 99% will be gone. Learn TA and try to DCA around the dip and sell when you have profit.
Josh Olszewicz on Youtube is the only decent TA I've found. He does some altcoins but mostly sticks to the big ones and macro.
I always forget most people here trust TA astrology and don’t think about the development competitive landscape.
I charted for 12 hours once and my conclusion was also up, down, or sideways. your wife boyfriend is the real TA genius here, happy kitten is always bullish
I am not a prophet but I expect another dip before the real break out. Technicals and TA calls for another dip but it can be also invalidated if we properly break 82.500
dream market analysis is the only TA that matters tbh. i had one where i was buying a coffee with a single satoshi and the barista thanked me for the generous tip
Finally, some TA I can actually understand.
Maybe my TA was right this time after all.
Maybe my TA was right this time after all.
I remember almost all (except the GOAT Ben Cowen and Gareth Soloway) were telling that Bitcoin is going to 50K-40K-30K showing TA and FA data up until that news came from Scott Bessent. As soon as the price surged to 80K all of those morons with the speed of light changed their shoes and started claiming that bear market is over.
Bro is really trying to day trade bitcoin and lose all his money LOL you ever heard of support/resistance flipping? Its the most basic TA strategy.
This post is a clear TA indicator. Time to short it https://preview.redd.it/icr53nlv74nh1.jpeg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6794297e0e894e63ecbc0a2b4725df12bf1cf55b
Imho TA works best when the trading market is liquid and transparent. In the case of BTC the latter is not possible so TA does not work as it should.
TA of this sort is completely meaningless as long as we have a decrepit, diseased, malignantly narcissistic, horrifically incompetent, mentally deranged, haphazardly erratic piece of fucking shit in the White House. It is pointless to make ANY prediction when our future is left to the maniacal whims of this lunatic.
Good lesson to learn. One of the best quotes I’ve heard regarding investing which applies to all this TA bollocks speculation: “Don’t tell me your opinion, tell me your position”
TA is essentially a snapshot of human psychology when it comes to trading. You can somewhat predict support and resistance levels if all the big players are using the same patterns, etc. Of course from time time there will be sudden shock events that can move the price with no regards to TA.
It’s been proven over and over for 100yrs. You really think big financial firms are going to create entire departments based on TA if it doesn’t work. But, you keep on losing money if you want and I’ll keep on taking it. Thanks for your bags.
Think about it. Every big financial firm uses TA. Do you think the big wigs like Blackrock would use them if they are BS?
You crazy! TA has been proven to work over 100yrs. Just because YOU don’t know how to do TA, does not make it be. You think these giant companies like Blackrock would be using them if they didn’t work? Use that noggin of yours
It's useful if you know what you are doing, but it is just a tool, nothing else. You have to understand that it is not a predictor of what will happen, it just gives you context, that you use together with other info. People critize TA saying that its astrology, but what they don't understand is that the purpose of TA is not to predict price. In their mind, it either works 100% of the time or it doesn't work at all, but that is far from the truth. Another thing that haters don't take into account is that a lot of people use TA, so it is self-fulfilling. If a lot of traders are using TA and expecting something to happen, that has real effects.
Now this is some TA I can get behind 😝
Yea but this is a very bad anology. Because finding a 100$ bill is not a consistent way of making money. If TA realy worked/works it is. And once there is a way of making consistent & exponential money, without a huge entry barrier, like millions of dollars, people will be one that.
Seems like there is always some goofy TA term I've never heard of. The hash ribbons! The ichimoku cloud formations!
TA is a waste of time. Like most things in fiat, it’s a game controlled by those with the most access to information first. Ie you can do all the TA you want but if you don’t have a Bloomberg terminal you’re late to information and your competition has had hours to exit and enter trades based off of getting the news/narrative shifts first. I’ve been in Bitcoin for 5 years. The best way to win in Bitcoin is the simplest way that no one likes to listen to: just DCA and ignore the price.But traders not want to hear logic they rather complicate things because they think Bitcoin is fiat when it’s a parallel system
All of this text to speak about fucking star alignment in the sky. You TA people really are a special kind.
Since everyone looks at TA, it acts as a psychological indicator. That's all.
I spent time doing a bot and then tested it 5 years back. Some (but not all) TA works great for me!
“Not in the same league” lol You’ve outed yourself as someone who thinks they are an expert because they’ve been watching TA YouTube videos for 3 months and can parrot back what the influencers say. Anyone in a different league wouldn’t be posting in this thread on Reddit.
You have to statistically analyze and prove it. TA by itself as the layman believes it to be (eg bull flags, wedges etc) are not how day traders do it. People who label it astrology etc have either never done the required research and work or don’t have the mental capacity to understand it. You also can’t just take “TA” from a YouTube channel and expect it to work for you. If you do you’ll probably end up in the “astrology” camp
I do TA myself with multiple tools. I'm not using it to predict the price, I'm searching for probability for the next move and handle based on it. And yes it took some time to find the right tools and understand them. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose. Levels: volume profile, fib retracements, DnPOC, WnPOC, MnPOC Momentum: Marketcipher B (GOAT) Confirmations: Divergence, SFP, Failed auction Example: before the $65K - $80K move we were above the value area low with a 2 week bullish divergence and money flow coming up
TA caused countless morons a chance to buy bitcoin for 60k in 2026.
Most technical analysis is helpful when it is used well. Most traders do not use technical analysis well. TA can be good if you keep things simple. I read Tom O'Brien's book Timing the Trade long ago, and it can still teach anyone how to be a better trader. If you can't trade with just price and volume, don't bother dealing with indicators, patterns and other fancy stuff, it simply is not likely to ever work before you're fluent in the interrelations of price and volume and how they move markets. It takes most people 10-20 years to REALLY get it. I got back into BTC long in July. Through studying and understanding it over the years I was able to start trading it, and when it got back to the 60K plus level and stayed there for some weeks, I thought it is building a right hand base for a future breakout. That is when I added long exposure. That trade has been one of my best ever. It took me nearly 15 yrs to get here. It doesn't happen on a timeline that most people want it to happen. You could be a genius and do it in months. But you could also be like 99% of everyone else and it requires FAR longer to master your trade.
The problem with the way the question is worded is that TA is not a single thing. It's a huge variety of different things and methods that all have one thing in common: looking at price action data only. Most people will never be able to make profitable use of these tools. To enter the markets and compete, you can use technical tools to guide you, yes. But the issue is that too many others have too large an edge for you to be consistently successful. It's like playcalling in the NFL: you're trying to predict what others will do and then call successful plays based on that. Could you get lucky once or twice? Sure. But do you think you could playcall for an NFL team successfully over a season? No way. And you're not going to compete against the pros in the financial world, either.
If TA astrology was right more than half the time, we’d all be millionaires.
I recommend starting getting the data (quotes and trades) in and making sure its correct. Then create bars and replayer where you take some random positions and calculate results. Then add indicators such as RSI or SMA. When all that is stable start adding strategies (I call them algos) you read about or have traded manually. If you dont have one you can start with TA patterns.
https://preview.redd.it/nobywud3f8mh1.jpeg?width=1260&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9c1ab24b97f0e39b2407ea993795dc1ccc13d7c0 4H set up for you. The finest SOL TA right here.
I wouldn’t read too much into TA for a case like this. We had a bond buyback announcement during very low volume, when shorts had been piling up on heavy bearishness. This created a violent short squeeze breaking any ´usual’ patterns. TA is fine for probabilities on average usual price pattern. But even then, you’re oversimplifying. And it’s still not gonna be that reliable.
"...Solana TA..." 
Yep , random Bullshit TA , as if the market makers are going to move by exact date and point just so people can buy . When it’s a bear market just DCA and eventually it will move the opposite way . Every YouTuber was saying bottom will come September/ October now they are starting to change their mind but marks already moved
Well this is definatly low effort slop... but i rather see this then all TA and crystal balls.
That's basic TA and nothing special.
TA only works on symbols traded by many traders/a lot of money. USDT Market Cap Dominance is just a visualizer, but nothing you should apply TA and trade on...
Using AI to help make posts and post shit TA everyday that people who actually have a basic understanding of finance laugh at is not what we do in retirement. I could walk into pretty much any financial firm, show a junior associate your posts and even thry could break down why it’s a load of shit. If it is your only chance to make money I get why you do it, but it’s not going to work.
I'm an expert on crap, it's a pile of TA.
if it's reading classic TA patterns then 80% accuracy on historical data is basically the default, backtesting always looks clean until you run it live
82k would be the signal regarding purely TA
respectfully... your posting history has all the red flags of a hedge fund bot that is trying to steer sentiment. Maybe avoid WSB if you want to avoid that "I'm not TA expert though" mentality.
You are wrong to be so sure, yes. All the "indications is will fall" did not account for this pump. TA is astrology for traders that does not account for macro economics. What's happening with the US Treasury is real and theres a chance this move was just in anticipation of a greater liquidity event coming soon.
I am an expert on TA, it's a pile of crap
Whats the thoughts today? Sad we couldn't hold 80k... I'm not TA expert though.
""TA is astrology for men" something gamblers say when they have no idea how the market works and want to feel good about themselves" something insecure basement dwellers say because they can't face the reality that drawing lines on a chart is in fact just as reliable as astrology
"Absolute price points" are called supports or resistances, and it's call TA. So you flip a coin to decide if buy or sell?
yes. TA is psychology. That's known. And when bots implemented that psychology and started to dominate 80%+ of the volume, that one got cemented in. It is one of the reasons for why it works. But you severely underestimate the number of participants in the market. Your fear is about as realistic as being afraid of the world popping out of orbit because all chinese people jump up at the same time....
TA can show what might happen, not what will happen. Bitcoin loves ignoring the textbook, much like gamdom and probability.
"TA is astrology for men" something gamblers say when they have no idea how the market works and want to feel good about themselves
The only thing making TA reflect reality is that every bot is trading according to it.
Historical price targets are meaningful indications support and resistance. If you can agree with that at a minimum then you you agree TA works in some manner
First thing to get out of the way is that if enough people believe something, then it becomes a legit tool. That's the main reason people use it. But the other interesting fact is that Bitcoin's lack of earnings actually makes it a lot more applicable to TA. With equities TA means a lot less because there are so many underlying factors. Anyone using exclusively TA in equities is playing a dangerous game. In Bitcoin or other non-productive assets, it's actually a lot more reasonable to use because price action and sentiment are such larges part of the equation.
I'm not saying that trading cannot work... Statistics just do not speak for the traders. TA does work though. But most people believe it predicts the future, when in reality, it is just a snapshot of market sentiment. Biggest misunderstanding is that it is a statistical probability, which means that it gains value, the more trades you make that are the exact same. Using it for one single trade on one single stock is not very reliable. If you run algorithmic trading bots with a high-frequency access to the market, you can do tens of thousands of trades per second. That's where the statistical properties of TA come into play. When a method has yielded 60% success on the last 10,000 trades and you can reliably reproduce that, 40% losses are paid of by 40% profit, leaving you with 20% as a net gain. Essentially, the setups say "We looked at 10 million trades that had this exact setup and in 60% of the time it went one way, in 40% the other" If you look at TA through that lense, it's a tool. If you think it's telling you what will definitely happen, you are going to lose money. That's not what it is for.
ETH is breaking out against BTC in the daily charts. If that break out confirms and continues, you will do better holding ETH than BTC. But that’s a big if at the moment, chart needs confirmation and even then it’s just a TA indicator
TA getting more complex as price edges higher lol
TA is not for predicting. Nobody can do that. TA is for planning a trade and trying to get better odds in your favor. It can help you make a plan that you can stick to it. But it is not for long term investing mindset. Most people lose money trading. I would not do TA and trading.
1. Get a peice of paper 2. Outline a chart 3. Grab some crayons 4. Draw a bunch of lines, in any direction be it up / down / left right - In the crayons that you grabbed in point 3. And there is your TA. Now chuck in a few random terms like, MACD, Oscillator, Fibbonachi etc... And to a stupid audience it will sound convincing. Finally, please dont tell me you (or anyone else) is stupid enough to believe that... No one knows Sh.. about F...
Unpredictability makes for a poor investment and gamble. I believe there is sense to bitcoin's trajectory, but not in the TA borrowed from stock trading. There are some risks, but it is definitely not a gamble.
It doesn't apply to anything. TA is nonsense. Its a fundamental misunderstanding of the information that retrospective price charts contain. People who believe in this nonsense think it contains explanatory knowledge about future conditions, whereas really they contain raw information about past conditions. They have 0 predictive capacity beyond what random chance would yield.
If price goes up and continue to go up, it could be at a higher price than it was before going up. Insightful stuff. Thank for you for the advanced TA.
Ah yes... TA the astrology for gambling addicts....
Are people really doing TA on 1 minute charts? Have we really reached that point of degen gambling already?
They were told by their crypto TA gurus that BTC would bottom in the $40ks, and they believed it like sheeps.
Yeah, it’s not real TA you realize this right? It’s all bull shit. I’ve been in crypto since 2017-2018, it’s always the same story and people try to act like they know what’s going on when in reality no one knows
Who said October I did hear this? Bitcoin was flat from June to August - if you believe in TA that is the bottom
I thought it was r/bitcoinmarkets but that’s just full of weird TA people trying to sound smart. But at least a little bit more in depth macro discussion. But yeah mostly on Reddit people talk about price and not much else
I have also been trading for years, and I have learned you TA people dont know shit
TA is astrology for men I guess.
There's no such thing as reading the chart, it's all chinese tea leaf astrology. You'll legitimately have a better time charting out the movement of coins with the moon cycle than using whatever TA techniques the "pro" courses tell you to do.
Yep, all of the YouTube influencers stopped because they couldn’t make reliable TA
Yeah, it cracks me up how we got some “TA” saying a breakthrough was about to happen lol anything to make triangles and lines hit the curves I guess
Nobody knows. No amount of technical analysis, comparisons to previous cycles or “gut feels” will be accurate other than by sheer luck. It’s either going to go up or down or stay sideways. There are too many external market forces and variables that render TA all but useless.
I'm looking at the 1W and 1M charts. Zoom out from the noise and you'll understand why I have this opinion. Short-term TA can tell you what might happen next, but the higher timeframes show you the bigger trend and market structure. That's where my conviction comes from.
TA is just tea leaves with squiggles You guys can really make life easier for yourself and simple if you just follow the cycle structure + power law. It’s why I knew we’d peak in late 2025. Oh no October not November! It’s why I knew we’d dump in 2026. And it’s also why I knew 30-40-50k were never on the table