Reddit Posts
All BS aside, how’s calls on MSFT looking this week?
Me going into earnings week with $5000 in SMCI, MSFT, & AMD calls
Need to practice option trading with paper money
Who’s ready to burn their life savings this week
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
This is a small dumb little thing but it's HUGE in its Implications - Google Puts Chrome On Windows ARM - Effectively Seeding Chromebooks
Who’s buying MSFT & AMD calls for earnings?
I took too long to move my MSFT stocks and now I don't know if I should wait after the weekend to buy.
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia's Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses 🚀
Equinix Launching Service for Nvidia’s Al Supercomputing Infrastructure to Businesses
Wall Street Newsletter S03E06: All-time highs are here. What's next?
Poor Man’s Covered Call What it is, why I’m doing it with $30k worth of MSFT calls , and why you should consider trying it. TLDR at TOP
MSFT has now overtaken AAPL in market cap.
Some predictions for Microsoft, Palantir, AMD, Amazon, Spotify and Tesla.
Is it normal for the index funds to be weighted this heavily by mega caps?
What are your top picks for the top performance stocks for this year?
Epic V Continues to Show How Little Risk Exists
Has anyone seriously looked at Global Foundries [$GFS]
$CBDW News 1606 Corp. CEO Attends Consumer Electronics Show (CES) For Collaboration Meetings
$MSFT has potentially created a "new battery" with AI - Musk / $TSLA Says Interesting
Top 10 S&P 500 companies by market cap weighting since 1980. MSFT is the reining champ for persistence.
The true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
A true interpretation of Friday's Jobs Report
Lumen $LUMN Insider & Big Boys Buying Spree Post Dividend Halt, Kate Johnson & Co. Personally Buying the Dip
LUMEN $LUMN INSIDER & BIG BOYS BUYING SPREE POST DIVI HALT, KATE JOHNSON & CO. BACK THE DIP HARD!
And the AI Show Goes On - GPT 4.5 Turbo Leaks - $MSFT - Its Real And Available -https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/ai-services/openai
Taiwan Semi (TSMC) will be 'back to strong growth in 2024' - JPMorgan (holding small position)
Potential for massive shorts/puts tmrw (Jan 4th) after the release of the Epstein List (likely today after market close, Jan 3rd)?
If Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s list is this a great put buying opportunity for MSFT?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on the Jeffrey Epstein Client List sound like a bad idea?
Does buying puts on MSFT if Bill Gates is on Jeffrey Epstein’s client list sound like a bad idea?
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if Buffet needs a new #2.
80% on the year for 2023, wonder if buffet needs a new #2.
How would you spend $1500 if you regularly forget stocks exist for months at a time? How do you decide which stocks are to be held and which losses cut?
Keep an eye on $MSFT (potential put money making opportunity)
If you had $40k to invest right now, what would you do with it?
The NYTs is suing Microsoft and I think there is a profitability play on their stocks
New York Times sues Microsoft and OpenAI for copyright infringement
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
The commercialization of multimodal models is emerging, Gemini now appears to exceed ChatGPT
Do you ever buy stocks outside of the indexes and Mag 7 near all time highs?
Question regarding this type of Play Option?
The biggest lesson that I've learned in my 10 year investing career.
MSFTs Open Ai will raise funds with valuation of $100B
Mentions
Anything on MSFT? Its been drifting down all day.
I agree with you, if you look at recent META and MSFT earning you can see them announcing decent headcount cuts yet venture into record profitability
Really MSFT? Right in front of my UNH?
I am so fucked on MSFT calls its not even funny anymore.
waiting for MSFT to move is like watching paint dry.
World peace is bearish Which I’m definitely not surprised but why would it be bearish on META and MSFT lol
Why is MSFT completely flatlined? Never seen minute candles like these on a megacap
MSFT is killing me
Anyone know what’s going on with MSFT?
MSFT Big Buy Wall vs Big Sell Wall. Who will win? Find out today on Market Ball Z.
$MSFT, like wtf. Satya had some blowout earnings and guide your bitchass just slowly bleeds ever since.
MSFT keeps fucking my ass
bought more MSFT at 515.8, what a deal 👌👌👌
Calls in META and MSFT today.... how I pick the worst performers on a day I do not know. I may as well burn money!
A massive rebound is brewing for MSFT, buy now or never. 👌
continue to load MSFT at 516.6 and 516.8, 👌👌👌
VIX going down while market leaders like MSFT are selling. This is going to very sharply snap upwards once the broader index joins the leaders.
Ok MSFT, if you could please go back to 520, it would be greatly appreciated it 🙃
I swear, every time I buy MSFT calls, this all-conquering behemoth turns into complete piece of shit
lept adding MSFT around 518.4, 👌👌👌
Well that why it bothers me when you see tag lines like "Invest like billionaires do" ; "Invest like the 1% do" ect. Ok , lets talk billionaires , while not always the case but many will have a very large chunk of their wealth tied to one company , possibly a company they founded or own. So they may have a concentrated position and 80%+ of their wealth invested in a single company The 20% they want to invest elsewhere is maybe to diversify or hedge some of their risk from their highly concentrated position , meaning they may not be looking to "Maximize profits" on that 20% When looking for other investments they may have a preference of tax efficiency , uncorrelated returns , ect, over total return. So you can't just be like "Oh I see Bill Gates is investing in farm land, I should invest in farm land" I don't think Gates is investing in farm land because the thinks it going to give outsized returns, 90% of his wealth is tied up in MSFT , Also I think the gates foundation is making the investment and they want constant returns and its a small % of their portfolio
bought more MSFT at 518.5, what a deal 👌👌👌
sold some MSFT at 522.8 (cost 519.5) and took profit, 💰
Wrong thing I did was sell covered calls when I didn't even have to do anything. It was just my mind trying to say do something to make some money. Missed out on 50k worth of profits from getting assigned on my Nvidia,AMD and MSFT covered calls.
Calls on ~~SHOT~~ $MSFT for making hot garbage AI summaries.
Why is Bing so attrous? I would rather use Ask Jeeves. You would think Microsoft would have fixed it by now. PUTs on MSFT
Context: someone bought MSTR for earnings instead of MSFT that week and lost 5% on shares
Actually, if you want a good comparison, $FNGS has the same holdings as $FNGU but it isn’t leveraged. FNGS 1y: +41.67% QQQ 1y: +25.47% FNGU holdings are NVDA, NFLX, NVDA, AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, META, CRWD, NOW, AVGO all weighted around 10%
The usual suspects, NVDA, MSFT, META
Had a dream last night that MSFT was up 84% after hours.
In hindsight, buying short dated MSFT calls based on vibes probably wasn’t a strong decision on Friday. Purchased before the dip to $520 too
I wouldn't short it because it's hard to know how long this bubble is going to last. Better to put money into the sort of stocks that aren't getting hyped and when AI starts crashing, people will pour money into those companies. But I don't like MSFT as an investment. I think most of their money in Azure is coming from cloud migration, not AI growth.
Just asked Microsoft’s AI (Copilot) for the best stock to hold long term, and not to mention any others. They said GOOGL. Would’ve been funny if they said MSFT.
Scam Altman getting ready to be acquired. Teams leaving, MSFT over watching, Elon hating, Zuckerberg picking out top talent, Google still killing earnings and Jensen is racking cash on all sides.
If the AI bubble replicates the run from the dot com bubble then sign me up! I would be a billionaire just sitting on MSFT and Google in the 2000s.
Any valid commercial quantum solution will be bought by AMD, INTC, or NVDA. Maybe MSFT, GOOG, or AMZN. Otherwise I’d stay out of directly investing in quantum until one of them is validated by an acquisition and real due diligence.
No, stocks are better.I will assume the stock is 100 for the math only. 100 shares are 10k and your leaps cost 7k and your breakeven 115. The stock after 3 years with 30% is 100(1.3)^3=219.700. let’s say 220, so your shares are worth 22k so you profited about 12. Leaps Intrinsic value = 219 – 115=104, payoff =10.400 and the profit here is 10.400 – 7000 = 3.400 I will also speculate that the 3k you saved, you will reinvest them into something that will perform about 10% and I am being generous. 3.000(1,1)^3=3.993 fk it and say 4. Adding them up total returns for your money if you bought the stock is 12k, and your leaps is 7400. Without even using covered calls while you hold. In a situation where the return is less than 30% annually you can still sell calls, while your leaps would be probably sht. Edit. Just realised your info. Your data presented could actually apply to MSFT but their leaps are way more cheap, close to 25%. You can look into that, better than paying 70% premium to a stock that has returned 30% the last year, which based on the timeline, the returns start from the lowest price, around covid.
Right: Bought a lot of GOOGL and MSFT in the dip, also increased my position in SP500 Wrong: Sold quick MSFT, at 15% up and now could be even 30%, and sold Tesla and NVDA, first one in loss and second without gain or loss
Hyperscaler-level demand is spilling across and there will be winners and losers, however, multi-year contracts with OpenAI, NVIDIA, Google & MSFT of the big names makes me bullish.
GME ruined WSB. Before the apes took over, we lost money on MSFT $200 calls. Now we have people holding shares.
MSFT - might be, at some point, the most profitable company - has a PE of 40 GOOG - the most profitable company - has PE of 20 🤔
21.5% MSFT + NVDA + AAPL… super diverse!
I think the amount of money MSFT has wasted on AI will cause it to fall but it will continue to sell software and services
Sooo lazy… on NVDA, TSLA, AMD, ORCL, SPY, MSFT, AMZN etc etc (I can name 10 or more tickers) The spread is literally .99-1.00 (0.01)almost always every single day. And that’s for OTM calls, once you get into ITM or ATM you can make it even easier with higher delta. 1% stop can be done daily, insta filled with 0 problem on the most liquid options in the world.
Jackson Hole has been a bearish event the last few years. I don’t expect this year to be any different. The Fed should cut rates to help the lower end consumer, which was their stated goal when refusing to raise rates in the summer of 2021. At this point, higher rates significantly benefit the wealthy and inflation is raging irrespective of the Fed fund rate anyway. This is all just a massive mess that was brought about by a ridiculously overblown reaction to COVID. The COVID response was an attempt to paint Trump in a negative light since the Democrats were clearly ceding power to him after their failed Russia-gate debacle. Now Trump is back in power not only due to Biden’s falters and mental decline, but the Democrats’ poor choice of Kamala Harris as their candidate. All of this nonsense is just as much the fault of Democrats’ missteps as it is Trump’s incompetency. I have been increasing my crypto holdings and decreasing my equities exposure this past week. I don’t feel great about this market at all unless the companies I own are being supported by strong fundamentals (NVDA, PLTR, HOOD, MSFT, GEV) or are being run by CEOs willing to kiss the ring (looking at you AAPL).
Bought Sept 5 calls on MSFT 10 days ago. Got theta fucked.
bought back some MSFT at 519.5 and 519.8 before close, for a swing next Monday.
MSFT dump to $520 EOD like clockwork.
Bubble or not, most of the AI valuation gains are in tech giants that are making massive profits and either already have large and rapidly growing AI revenues (like NVDA and MSFT and AMZN) or are very profitable and investors see a fit with them plus AI (like META).
UNH 2027 leaps up +115% 🤌 Added more MSFT put credit spreads + calls
MSFT is possibly more diversified and rooted than any of those, even if it is not very sexy for average joe. AMZN is the only one close. I’m surprised it is not in your list.
Think it’s split between NVDA, MSFT, and META. Many other companies are negative or at best flat YTD yet those 3 companies are 25-40% up YTD. Absolute insane consolidation on the back of AI mania.
sold more MSFT at 524.3 (cost 522.4, 522.5), 💰💰 max pain 522.5
There are absolutely certain corners that are outrageously valued and unsupported by revenue (PLTR,CRWV, etc.), just like the dot com bubble. But, then there are other, much larger companies, that seem to be making a bunch of money (or claim to be) and claim that in the future, that revenue bump will be even greater from their current AI spend. That was not really part of the dotcom bubble. It was all hype and window dressing. I suppose it comes down to whether you believe what MSFT, GOOG and META are competent enough to create what they claim is possible and then sell it at a reasonable price. The internet bubble was truly built on the unknown. Start a website? Lets make this guy a millionaire. It was known that it was the next big frontier in business, but there were no real businesses that were profitably using it. It took a while for saturation of the market and for people to switch from buying in person to buying online. In short, it required a retooling of the way that consumers were willing to buy things. The AI thing is laser focused on specific types of software tools that promise to change day to day work as we know it (and you can already see that promise coming to fruition with coding, video, etc). They are efficiency driven, and efficiency is the lifeblood of a growing economy (and higher wages). Business leaders will force this tech onto employees, rather than businesses having to wait for fickle consumers to come around. Sure, there will be revaluations and many of the tiny startups that pop up around the frenzy will fail. But. it is hard to imagine that this new tech will not be a large part of the workplace/everyday life very soon. For me, this means NVDA for the long run. It doesn't mean buy NVDA when it is hitting all time highs, it means grab it when it falls. GL
sold some MSFT at 524.1 (cost 521.8, 521.9) and took profit, 💰💰
Im pretty sure MSFT and META having record growth and various medical companies reporting improved execution when they report earnings will tell you something totally different.
MSFT looks like it wants 460
Microsoft traded at most time below current p/e. I believe google is doing really great with deep mind, waymo, investing in ai infrastructure, having full ai stack and p/e below average p/e. This is due to the fact markets discount it for its ad revenue which is threatened both by regulatory and chatbots. However this still grows and it's uncertain if it falls and by how much. by that time cloud YouTube and other profits might not only mitigate that loss but actually lower the overall dependency on that revenue. My bet is that google is becoming data center software powerhouse after MSFT and amazon while being a money making machine in the process of getting there. Staggering 85b investment into ai infrastructure which seems to be backbone of progressing LLMs and it's commercial capability. While MSFT already monetize AI and prob will grow earnings faster than google in short term
sold some MSFT around 523.1 (cost 520.2, 520.5) and took profit, 💰 max pain 522.5, not much meat.
Bought back MSFT at 520.2 and 520.5; NVDA at 180.4 Thanks!
The hedge fund shifted capital into U.S. tech stocks, raising its Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stake by 154% to 4.61% of its portfolio, and significantly boosting holdings in Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) (+112%), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (+84%), and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) (+90%), SCMP reported on Thursday.
I'm looking for someone to call me an idiot. Yesterday and today I shifted my portfolio massively from "growth" to "maintain value". I use to have AMZN, MSFT, AMD, INTC, NET and a bit of AAPL. I also use to have some QQQ, and a much larger proportion of VOO. I no longer believe the current rate of growth is sustainable, and I've fully bought into the "we're in a giant bubble and it is inevitable that it will burst any day now" FUD. So, to that end, I sold all my direct tech stock holdings, and I also sold all my QQQ. I also lowered the amount I had invested into VOO by a good 60%. I still have some All-World ( forgot the ticker exactly now ), DAX, a polish ETF ( also forgot the ticker ) and the little bit of the S&P I have left over. The freed up money I split between Berkshire Hathaway B, and an iShares Physical Gold ETF. I'm really thinking 2026 is going to be a bad year, and I'm basing this on all the nonsense Trump has done, but also on the general state of delusion surrounding AI. I believe companies are taking actions on the premise of "we'll use AI instead", when actually the real reason behind it is because it's harder now for them to get money to do those things. Maybe it's all conspiratorial, maybe I'm just paranoid. Or, maybe I'm just an idiot :)
Port update: long MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, INTC, BRK.B short TSLA, UNH
MSFT has already been through that. A lot of posturing for 7 years and then nothing came of it
Sold 10% of my MSFT and bought google with it
MSFT call unless you hate money
Covered calls are the worst. I had covered calls on MSFT that absolutely fucked my upside. Never again. Just LEAPS
The executives CAN'T sell in almost all cases. Steve Balmer ($MSFT) just collects dividends. About a billion per year in dividends. Here is how the game works. The company will lock executives in preventing them from selling shares above a certain amount (usually just enough to pay taxes.) The reason they do this is because if an executive were to sell their positions the stock price would plummet. In some cases, the shares can be hidden in tax protected accounts. Thiel did this with some of his Palantir stake before IPO. The public sector is basically manipulated in this way to control liquidity (i.e. how many shares are freely available to trade). It also allows most floats to stay slightly negative in bull markets. So there is always one share short than can't cover at the mid of the spread. This provides constant buoyancy. The market hasn't been going up because companies are worth 10-100x more than they were. It's been going up because the float is manipulated. Limiting executives from selling is just one way this happens. Share repurchases is another. ETF positioning another. Market makers, trade execution services, investment banks, CEOs all have the same goals. Don't sell shares on the market because that would increase the risk of a crash. When a person buys a share of stock they are paying the CEILING value for that share. When you buy a stock, only a fraction of existing shares have been priced by the market. MOST have not. The company's market cap includes all shares even those that have never been priced at market which allows the company to borrow at artificial evaluations. Banks are more than willing to loan against share positions because they directly benefit from the stock price being over inflated constantly and for decades. Banks get paid fees on doing offerings (both equity and debt.) Bank clients benefit from the stock price being driven up in this way. All this works until it doesn't. If your company is trying to do this for retail stock holders, best of luck to you.
I still think RKLB is a good hold, that company will be worth double in a few years time. I trimmed NVDA and MSFT
Well wasn't alive in 86, but in 96 instead of pissing my diapers should have been buying MSFT
My dumbass was still in my dad's sack instead of buying MSFT
I am in the same boat but with MSFT. My gains are in the 6 digits and I don’t know if I should sell or diversify.
My view is 2 fold. First, the run up to the .com burst was mental. I am old enough to remember it. The S&P did 250% in a few years. There were companies which were literally just a guy in his basement that were worth hundreds of millions of dollars in the space of a few months because someone thought it was a good idea. Whilst the S&P did 250% in say 5 years, the pull back over the 2 year crash was "only" 50%. So you would have had to have literally gone in on the worst possible day. Second, crashes and bear markets are becoming shorter (IMO). Back then if you wanted to buy $10k of microsoft it may have taken several days. If you were a big fish and had your own broker you might be able to cut that down to 2 working days. I remember the days when the trading desks had to open for your order to even get into the system. Thats before anyone else got hold of it. There were times (although rare) that the desk didnt even open. Good luck with that! Today if I wanted to buy $10k MSFT it would take me <1 min and I dont need a limit order. Now, this does mean market crashes could get deeper - IMO. Because retail can be spooked and as easily as they can buy they can sell. However, I think this is why we are seeing such short sharp pull backs with a V shape recovery. This is likely a future trend for when we see sudden and sharp problems. A long term economic crisis might last a bit longer, but IMHO the same will apply - broadly.
No NVDA, MSFT??
Go ahead MSFT make my fuckin day
Today was pretty gey tbh, made a couple hundred scalping MSFT puts but all my shares got hammered
Sold some MSFT at 523 (cost 520.2, 520.8, 520.9) and took profit, that was a surprise 💰💰💰
almost all my negative delta expires in december where i hold a synthetic short The rest are volatility plays with MSFT and SPY (excluding a 1DTE iron fly im going to have to close for a loss before the bell now) So im mostly looking to scalp calendar spreads in the very near term (1 to three weeks out)
Weekly max pain for MSFT is about 522.5 👌
There are massive puts at 520 on MSFT; that's why it always catches bottom there. 👌
Just caught MSFT bottom again, market-makers need to be creative next time. 😋
continue to load MSFT at 520.2, 👌
Weird price action on MSFT. Was pinned at 524.00 for like a full hour, then 522.50 then now 521.00
got more MSFT at 520.8, volume surged bottom is IN. 👌👌👌
Added more MSFT at 521.9, bottom is near.
kept adding MSFT at 521.8, hurry up.
Use a place like Fidelity or Robinhood that supports fractionals and buy on a weekly basis. At your age, it is not a bad idea to get you some super long term buy and hold. Some NVDA, some MSFT, AAPL. Whatever you like. The majority of the auto should be VOO or QQQM, granted. But at your age, get you some companies you like. Best of luck young buck!!
Bought otm puts and calls MSFT going to get weird