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2023-05-01 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Bob Ross
2023-04-26 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Harley Quinn
2023-04-20 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Dwight Schrute
2023-03-31 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Goofy
2023-01-30 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-01-19 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-12-01 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-27 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-24 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-18 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
Why would other party exercise options exercised early?
GOLDEN GODS RETURNS. Gamma is Dead. Long Live the TUTE SQUEEZE (ESSC vs ARCE)
ARCE (and ESSC comment) - Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
$ARCE – Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
ARCE – Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
Chart-traders weekend update for investors who want to know where markets are headed (purely TA based)
Long straddle for EWZ (Brazil) ahead of next year’s presidential election
Chart-traders weekend update for swing traders and investors who like to know where markets are headed (totally TA based)
$3.5M in $EWZ 6/18/21 $38 Calls were traded today at 2:52PM!
$2.8MM worth of $EWZ 7/16/21 $44 Calls were traded at 10:59AM. That’s 60,000 contracts worth!
$2.88M worth of $EWZ 7/16/21 $44 Calls were traded at 10:59AM! That’s 60,000 contracts!!
$2.88MM worth of $EWZ 7/17/21 $44 Calls Traded at 10:59AM! That’s 60,000 contracts! WTF
Now is not the time to be long... remember the market moves in cycles
Finding value or putting cash in at all time highs
Mentions
Gather around good folks, I call this, the 'every man for himself trade', nations are treating their own stock exchange like national olympics: 1Y performance: SPY: 15.04% TSX (Canada): 32% EWZ (Brazil): 54.68% EPOL (Poland): 62.21% EWI (Italy): 44.64% EWP (Spain): 64.6% EWY (South Korea): 131.29% (this really is crazy, lol) Freakin' things are ripping, I can list several more national indexes just boomtowns, and what's interesting is that many fund managers with international and even emerging mandates tend to OVERLOOK above nations, still favoring Japan, China, France, Germany, the U.K often times.
PBR has been good to me. I am looking at EWZ to stash the profits.
Ya I'm up on EWZ bigly.
Not a lot of CHEAP commodity big dawgs left. VALE is my favorite. Forward P/E of 7 with emerging market and commodity bull tail winds. Brazil major index EWZ just broke out of a massive pattern….VALE is 10 percent of that index…
Literally all of them. But cheap ones (on a relative basis) still are coal, oil, nat gas, iron ore, lithium, potash, agriculture to name a few. Emerging markets are fantastic as well like EWZ, EEM, ILA Other good ones that are breaking out so not at their cheapest but still low are copper, uranium, and of course silver gold platinum palladium have all led the way. Everything else is following. But this is only the start. Chart commodities against S&P and you can see us breaking out from a generational falling wedge into a double bottom
Brother with $1000 you will feel tight. Like really tight. You need to find something that is regularly overpriced volatility wise. You can try IBIT or EWZ: with the US going after Venezuela, the country risk around brazil is increasing. So you can just sell ATM straddle 28 dte, every other week. It's boring but it should work well this year.
Anyone buying EWZ puts on BRLUSD weakness? If Yen keeps shitting the bed and EM currencies follow it I cant see how EWZ doesnt take a dump of at least 10% first Q 2026
19 year old college student mostly surviving off dividends. EPD - 25% EGO - 19% BP - 17% RF - 15% EWZ - 14% SOFI - 10%
$EWZ brazil down 5.6% lol, count your lucky stars you live in a "stable" economy
Country specific ETFs could be an option. NFTY (India), EWZ (Brazil) etc, if you want to avoid specific areas. Personally I wouldn't shy away from PRC - but all EM markets are going to be more volatile
Bullish on Brazil. Got EWZ in the Roth
Emerging Markets are in Bubble territory! no sustainable growth above 2pct + with increasing fiscal deficits and explosive debt dynamics heading to socialism like Brazil (EWZ/EEM)!
Oil holding up well. Crude, XLE, and EWZ are having good days so far. Oil hasn’t had a solid breakout this year so I’m skeptical but so far so good
I'm not saying you should hold it forever. EWZ went 1989% up in about six years, from October 2002 to May 2008, while the S&P 500 went up 66% on the same timeframe. Many people in the Brazilian investment subreddit (myself included) believe national stocks are undervalued right now and a correction is due. You can speculate with ETF from individual countries, if you keep in mind that it's speculative. The ARGT (Argentinean stocks) went 31% up last month alone, because of local elections. I'm sure there are people in the US and in developed countries who made a lot of money wit that trade, and it's pretty much the same as betting in election results: it's risky, but it's less risky when you know what you're doing. Or when you're a huge hedge fund with a lot of analysts who know what they're doing.
My issue is that EWZ is only up 65% since August 1 2000 (the earliest trading date I can see atm). That is horrendous. I don't think it did any better in the 20th century
https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/perf.php?VT,VTI,EWZ&n=4371&O=011000
EWZ for example isn’t that broad, just 44 companies
You've got the right idea but you should be comparing to gold - aka real money. Also it's unpopular to use NYSE as a market barometer. I'd use Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq instead. Gold is smoking them all by the way. Smoking the EWZ Brazil ETF too.
SP500 is up 91% last 5 years. Also Brazil's market hasn't recovered from the 08 crisis, still like 30/40% down from pre great depression peak. Even EWZ was like usd 100 back then and valued in the low 30s today. Brazil has become a buy below 30 sell above 40 for almost a decade now. Incredibly cheap right now though, I would agree with that.
I'm unfamiliar, whats EWZ? From what I saw it just tracks the index' value?
Been in EWZ for a few weeks. No idea if it’s the best one.
And EWZ also has a 1 year return of 3%, and a 5 years return of 11%. Currency fluctuations happens. The dollar index is down 11% YTD, but it up from 3 years ago. Selecting arbitrary dates can tell different stories depending on the narrative you want to sell.
Here in the US ticker EWZ which is an index etf of Brazilian stocks has a YTD return of almost 36%.
ppl are a bit clueless about the next few days because historically these are the worst of september which is the worst month but at the same time the market is at a big high so people don't wanna miss out. holding ONDS, ACHR. sold BIDU, HIMS. Considering getting in on SOUN, BRF, XRP, EWZ. maybe more ACHR. Would appreciate corrections on my read or suggestions ofc.
Mexico, China, Canada, Europe most exposed and probably in that order. Brazil, Poland/Eastern Europe, India are where I'm allocating for less exposure. High conviction on Brazil (EWZ) and India (INDA) as they are independent, secular growth stories.
China Brazil BABA EWZ
What else was excluded besides aircraft, energy and oranges? No country got a blanket tariff. Brazil got fucked here trying to play hard ball. That's because it's more political than just trade. Look at EWZ right now and tell me it's a win for them. Its not good for long-term US relations and will push them closer to Gyna
He only excluded aircraft, orange juice and energy. The rest got hit with 50%. That's worse than most countries. India got 25% with exemptions on tech. Most countries received some exemptions on key products. Brazil literally got the worst tariffs. How is this a better outcome? Look up EWZ, the ETF that tracks Brazilian tickers. That will tell you everything you need to know. While Japan and Korean markets flew after their deals were announced, it is still down.
Increased tariffs on Brazil, ok buy EWZ (Brazil etf puts). EWZ moons. wtf?
up $0.12 on the tracking share of EWZ i bought yesterday. https://preview.redd.it/5ucecny4ltff1.png?width=99&format=png&auto=webp&s=d8f97516df8c64081f7e1d911889a43d89987665
Various country ETFs, eg EWZ / ECH are down bigly. I'm interested in the Chile ETF, given the copper exposure
Everything Brazil; ERJ, STNE, NU, PBR, EWZ
YOLOed weekly EWZ puts. If Brazil survives this, I’ll eat my keyboard.
*EWZ to zero. Thanks Lula.*
Liking EWZ, already got in, I am fading the 🥭sell off
EWZ has done nothing for 20 years...
Same for my EWO (Austria), EWP (Spain), and EWZ (Brail) ETFs. These countries are going to benefit hard from the chaos 🥭 has unleashed.
I’m in EWZ! See Brazil my friend. Yeah that’s the dividend paying country that is GROWING
not just people but foreign investors as well. For example look at a ETF like EWZ the brazilian stock ETF. Even though the economy has grown over the past 20 years the ETF is not up much.
It’s a brazilian stock lmao what do you expected? Just look at the EWZ chart and you will see the shit you got into lmao.
EWZ. Brazil. Pays a nice dividend to
Seems like Brazil is gonna be one of the winners out of 🥭 tariff war. Is EWZ a good buy rn?
I have exposure to it through EWZ
Almost time to buy some EWZ calls for January. Brazil could benefit bigly.
Almost time to buy some EWZ calls for January. Brazil could benefit bigly.
I use an ETF strategy similar to this for 2 accounts I manage directly for myself. The recent market swoon us giving you a very attractive entry point on any total market ETFs. Professional managers have been going overweight in Europe for a few months now. EWZ, EUFN, etc. VXUS has more exposure to Asia. Bond ETFs are on an uptick given falling interest rates.
Go check out thetagang. Find low priced stocks and ETFs with good liquidity and sell some options. Get a system and start learning. I like many of the tastytrade principles and the wheel. Some good starting tickers could be F, GM, EWZ, X, M, CCL, LUV, W, FXI, OXY, XLRE, GME (might be a little wild, would t sell naked) Small positions, net credit, 45DTE, good quality tickers, 68 delta, close 21 DTE or 50% profit. Have fun
LOL. I'm here considering to sell my $EWZ shares. PBR is controlled by the Brazilian government, and the government is right now: 1. Spending like a drunken sailor, making billions in debt while publicly stating they have no plans to stop spending. With elections next year, they will be spending even more like there's no tomorrow, and this is leading to interest rates that don't stop going up. 2. Taxing the US as much as 100%, so the retaliatory taxes will hit Brazil hard. 3. Fighting against Elon Musk, including the president's wife saying "F U Elon" on TV. 4. Pushing the BRICS to stop trading in USD, something that Trump is very upset about. 5. Pushing for Big Tech censorship, something that Mango is crazy to retaliate against. Once Mango is done with the current issues with Canada/Mexico/Europe/Russia/Ukraine, he will be back to attack Brazil. It's just a matter of time. He's just a bit too busy right now.
Thanks I'll check out EWZ
Brazil and China are the only markets you should be betting on right now everything else you get theta fucked EWZ and FXI > SPY
I loaded up on EWZ. Will be buying some NU.
How bout some boring, low PE stocks, with a nice dividend like UPS, F, EWZ, Vale, T
I watch the stock market very closely and I want to explain something: Look at OP position What is the only stock that isn’t red? #Vale Why Vale? Iron ore demand has been extremely low as the Chinese economy has been stagnant Look at Chinese stocks this past month and look at Vale they trade in sympathy because the stimulation of their economy directly correlates with increased profits for Vale due to increased demand for iron ore to build new construction That and a general rebound among undervalued Brazilian stocks is why EWZ is one of my top plays I have made a lot of money on NEM options the past month because of strength in gold but prior to that was down a lot of them if you look a couple months ago when gold declined the miners go hit twice as hard and still haven’t recovered to previous highs so you have to be mindful of the current market sentiment because gold thrives only in times of economic uncertainty
Yeah EWZ is heavily political The div yield is interesting though, 8.8% last year I bought some shares after the massive dip a month or so ago, not expecting much recovery until the next elections in 2026
EWZ is cheap now but as the article says, there's a fiscal crisis, the government is spending too much
Brazil is basically a political stock right now. Currently on stupid-as-hell low valuations, even for safe stuff like oil companies If it comes clear that the right will win again next time it will likely come back to the valuations before the current government (about x2), in the meantime, they have massive div yields (e.g. EWZ has 8% right now) I wouldnt place too much money on them but i bought enough to make EWZ 4% of my portfolio on the last dip Same happened to argentina when milei won, ARGT increased 50% on his first year of govt
because you can't trade it... [https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=EWZ&p=d](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=EWZ&p=d) Second point: The liquidity shortage among Brazilian and global retail investors is real. Sooner or later, retail investors will either be liquidated or see their holdings become worthless. Lack of liquidity, higher risk exposure compared to hedge funds, limited time, impatience—all of this ultimately leads to zero value.
EWZ up today with all other markets down Brazilian Real up 0.60% against USD on tariff panic day with Dollar Index up 0.50%.. PE and other fundamentals are just better for non US industrials. Looking at CAD now after it stabilizes. 20 year low against the USD.
https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/EWZ? Up 12% year to date..
I've often thought the same thing, and your conclusion will even get stronger over the years (that US-dominated multinational companies will be benefactors of "international growth"). ETF's are OK but they're almost always in some kleptocratic bureaucratic companies that were de-nationalized like petrochemicals or banks. For instance, look at the top holdings of EWZ. It's all petro/old bank garbage with the exception of NU. You could have bought just NU by simply following what Buffett does. The "but you must invest in international markets to diversify" mantra doesn't hold us much water now as it did 20 years ago (when intl outperformed US for a hot minute). The large US players are truly huge and their reach, and thus profits, are much larger now than ever.
VALE revenue is mostly dollars, costs mostly Brazilian Real, and debt is a small enough size to be a non-issue even if denominated in USD. So why is a currency sell-off that big a deal to Vale, in fact could it even be an advantage? Btw, that currency / geopolitical risk is why I'm not just going long Brazil via $EWZ or something. I'm not actually that optimistic about Brazilian governance or its economy. Just think Vale is very cheap and fairly insulated from currency fluctuations (correct me if I'm wrong on that).
I was big in among other things MU, EWZ, MSTR, IWM and I use leverage. Spreadbet mainly and some options. Lots of commons in MU and EWZ.
EWZ 1x etf, KORU 3x Bull (obv choice)
In the past, it was much more difficult to invest in other countries. It’s not been 10 years since they made it easier to invest abroad. It’s no wonder that the EWZ Ishares MSCI Brazil ETF has been falling since 2008. Nobody wants to invest here, hahaha.
In the past, it was much more difficult to invest in other countries. It’s not been 10 years since they made it easier to invest abroad. It’s no wonder that the EWZ Ishares MSCI Brazil ETF has been falling since 2008. Nobody wants to invest here, hahaha.
Don’t mean to razz you, after hours is crazy and I’ve definitely lost dough because of it! Wade into TLT, EWZ, and EWY with me and let’s make $ !!!
You get assigned on the short. The long expires worthless. Once I was on vacation and forgot that there was a dividend coming and ended up with short shares. The position was an ironbutterfly on EWZ. (In my case someone exercised, it was not expired yet) I was lucky because the price dropped enough to give me some profit on the whole position.
My thoughts too. Rates are still historically very high and rate sensitize stuff has really been popping, I’m actually building an XBI (biotech) short with LABD. For longs, Brazil is cheap with huge divs, VALE, RIO, EWZ. I like S. Korea and Mexico here too.
We’ve already seen a lot of bounce off the falling rates sentiment, I just started building a quant short strategy with LABD, on this premise. Wait for the dip in these sectors (XBI for small cap biotech or LABU for real juice, REITs, TLT, etc) and buy in. For now the rates sentiment hasn’t really saved S. America, so RIO, VALE, EWZ, low prices and huge divs will draw back investors. S. Korea too for international, so EWY. Good luck and if you want to be a rotate your portfolio guy, remember to rotate your portfolio out too!
like 6k USD down additional 4.5 but hoping for a pullback or USD strengthening next week should have just held my EWZ long for 2 weeks instead of getting out early, shorting and longing VIX and then coming back and thinking "wow EWZ is now so high, I should short" when the original plan was to long it and hold until current levels
finally flipped short on EWZ, Brazil no longer the best country USD I believe in you now AMERICA the best country FAANG tech giants and sororieties better than BBL & Neymar
longing VIX today after riding EWZ 26.2 to 28.3
EWZ premarket: 27.4 Entered yesterday at 26.3 with 5x leverage full port Don't say I did not warn you guys
EWZ ATH incoming by EOW
my move is to buy EWZ no matter what happens in the US of A
its not going to affect EWZ only positively EWZ buy EWZ EWZ EWZ
just buy EWZ recession proof stock
I am not losing $ because I bought EWZ EWZ EWZ
Yes that is why you need to abandon American stocks and buy EWZ EWZ EWZ
EWZ is the king, EWZ is the future
EWZ nearly made back all it lost over the weekend BRAZIL SUPREMACY BUY EWZ EWZ EWZ
EWZ you magnificent beast
EWZ EWZ buy EWZ now if you did not after the open +1% already since the open
US of A is TOAST invest in Brazil NOW! EWZ EWZ EWZ
ladies and gentlemen, US is done- time to invest in the next superpower Brazil EWZ EWZ EWZ immune to WW3 a lot of oil dirt cheap Brazil is the next NVIDIA
EWZ BIG UP ALREADY AT THE OPEN THE BEST TICKER I am buying buying buying
EWZ GANG where are you my boys
LAST CHANCE TO BUY EWZ Brazil = the next world hegemon