Reddit Posts
2023-05-01 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Bob Ross
2023-04-26 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Harley Quinn
2023-04-20 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Dwight Schrute
2023-03-31 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Goofy
2023-01-30 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-01-19 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-12-01 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-27 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-24 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-18 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
Why would other party exercise options exercised early?
GOLDEN GODS RETURNS. Gamma is Dead. Long Live the TUTE SQUEEZE (ESSC vs ARCE)
ARCE (and ESSC comment) - Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
$ARCE – Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
ARCE – Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
Chart-traders weekend update for investors who want to know where markets are headed (purely TA based)
Long straddle for EWZ (Brazil) ahead of next year’s presidential election
Chart-traders weekend update for swing traders and investors who like to know where markets are headed (totally TA based)
$3.5M in $EWZ 6/18/21 $38 Calls were traded today at 2:52PM!
$2.8MM worth of $EWZ 7/16/21 $44 Calls were traded at 10:59AM. That’s 60,000 contracts worth!
$2.88M worth of $EWZ 7/16/21 $44 Calls were traded at 10:59AM! That’s 60,000 contracts!!
$2.88MM worth of $EWZ 7/17/21 $44 Calls Traded at 10:59AM! That’s 60,000 contracts! WTF
Now is not the time to be long... remember the market moves in cycles
Finding value or putting cash in at all time highs
Mentions
Nice write up, OP. I have EWZ in my 401k for Brazil exposure and am swinging PBR commons and calls in my trading account since March 2nd to nice gains.
EWZ. O Brazil tem performado bem e tem estrutura pra aproveitar a oscilação das comoodities. A bolsa brasileira tem um longo caminho pela frente, e com as eleições se aproximando ela chance do socialismo ser derrotado aumentado, o mercado tem precificado este cenário e a tendência é a favor, ao contrário de XLE que pode surfar no curtíssimo prazo mas sofrer muito com as especulações do 'Soberano'.
The 1st week of Feb the market liquidated Gold. The 1st week of March the market liquidated World Stocks ex US. I wonder what will be liquidated next? I'm guessing US stocks?? So this bear is BTD on entire coutry ETF's. I do get your point on South Korea being in a bubble. I liquidated that position for a 5% loss Wednesday. But if you look a 20 year chart for $EWJ or $EWZ a 25% drop takes you to dot com prices. At some point it's pointless to sell some of these world economies like Japan and Brazil in a liquidation crisis. Now $VXUS will be my largest position when all this dip buying is done.
Do half and half, bro. Always takes the mental strain off. Pick a few etfs , it's a good way to check out other areas, market wise and geographically. IEZ, MOO, SI, EWZ (If we have a global recession I think Brazil might outperform US. Also Norway, Canada and Australia.) An individual stock I like is FIX.
If the war is long term, energy surplus producing or energy independant countries with stable democracies far from the middle east would probably do best. Many country's outperformed our S&P last year and were already on track to do it again. If we have a recession they will probably fare better. Whole country etfs for Norway ENOR 19% ytd, Brazil EWZ 12%, Australia UWA 6.6%, Canada EWC 2%. I expect Canada and Australia especially to rise quicker given their energy sectors. If gold, copper and silver surge Mexico EWW 3.2% and Peru EPU 13% stand to gain with their stable energy sectors and heavy mining industries. This is without all the people like you and me who are going to rotate into these in the next few days and weeks as we begin to believe our eyes that this has probably only just begun. Here goes my first year of self directed investing!
While the [West](https://www.reddit.com/r/Indiana/comments/1nqa72x/indianapolis_residents_have_shut_down_a_proposed/) [rallies](https://www.reddit.com/r/Syracuse/comments/1or5w3c/micron_chip_factories_in_upstate_ny_will_be/) [against](https://www.reddit.com/r/AskEurope/comments/1r63k0h/how_do_europeans_feel_about_the_data_center/) building more advanced infrastructure and getting highly-paid jobs, India and the developing world receive them with open arms. Short $SPY and $IEUR. Long $EEM, $INDA, $EWZ
Invest in countries that are outperforming SPY. . EWY, EWZ, EPU, THD, AIA.
Haha. I mean Brazil EWZ is up 20%this year, easy move until USA chills out
I am in EWY, EWZ, EEM. July calls Saw EPU (Peru) is actually as good as Korea. Then EWP, EPOL, even EWC, and many different Es are rocketing up, new ATH daily.
Very nice, I closed my monthlies earlier this month for a nice profit but stopped checking on it after it kept failing every attempt to breach 125. How do you like EWZ comparatively?
EWZ or BRZU(2x). Option chains aren't very liquid though
Late 30’s 75% US Equities (VTI) 5% Russell 2000 index (IWM) 10% Ex-US Equities (VXUS) 5% Brazil Equities (EWZ) 5% China Large Cap Equities (FXI)
EWY, EPU, TUR, EWZ, EWJV. This SPY is boring. What are other country's SPYs doin?
$EEM has basically become East Asian AI play, it's a great diversifier to $SPY $EWJ has lots of industrials that will likely benefit from the reindustrialization wave in the West $EWZ is Latin America + commodities, another diversifier for the above East Asia and U.S.
USO $70.00 2026-03-20 WFC $80.00 2026-03-20 IBIT $35.00 2026-02-27 EWZ $35.00 2026-03-20 NFLX $68.00 2026-03-20 BAC $48.00 2026-03-20 F $13.00 2026-03-20 ZBH $90.00 2026-03-20 PYPL $35.00 2026-03-20 C $97.50 2026-03-20 IBIT $36.50 2026-02-20 BAC $47.00 2026-03-20 IBIT $34.00 2026-02-27 IBIT $36.00 2026-02-20 XLE $50.50 2026-03-20 Not saying i would take any of these, but this was semi conservative
I somehow did it lol Like a year ago, i had almost 100% US, decided to move 10% to EWZ (brasil) because the index was on its hidtorical minimum even though brasil has growth steadily last decades. It was a very dumb decision, but it doubled in value since then lol Then, when trump won i decided i finally wanted some actual international exposure, not just a random latin american country, so i moved 30% to VXUS, 30% up since then I still have that stupid 10% in brasil, i will probably split that in voo and vxus one of these days Very dumb decisions with which i got very lucky as i was learning to invest
I know nothing about Brazil and am not shorting but 10% of EWZ is NU and 35% is finance companies...OP is saying have fake banks is leading to a crash and provides some anecdotal evidence....if banks collapse (or what people consider banks) then the economy will crash doesnt really matter the sector as in the world in 08. Financial plumbing is crucial to any economy
Imagine being Pam, who is bragging on a measly 16% gain on SPY on an entire year. Whereas, EWY (South Korea) is up 137% annually EWZ (Brazil) is 51% EPOL (Poland) is up 52%, TSX 60/EWC (Canada) is up 35%, EWI (Italiy) is up 43%, FEZ (Euro Large Cap) is up 27% I can go on so, so, soo many South American, Asian and European countries whose indexes are boomtown, ripfest, new moon every day compared to SPY at this point. Thank you for coming to my Ted talk.
I bought EWY, EWZ, EEM calls at start of the year. Freakin' EWZ is up 21%, my calls are big chilling atm, may rotate them into FEZ (Europe) or EWJ (Japan) if a bear thesis on Brazil gets louder.
Brother, ZOOM OUT. Look at Brazil (EWZ) since the early 2000s. That's a bubble??? The rotation is just beginning. Look at the BAK chart. Only apsychopath value investors like me are in that shit. It's the definition of bottom fishing. The only stock of the ones I listed that's richly values is NU. And so what if another fintech IPO'd today. Even if there were idiosyncratic risks in the sector (I don't think there are) why the hell are you shorting the entire economy via EWZ? People have forgotten how to invest outside the US.
Brazil's economy is effectively one gigantic commodity - metals, oil, wood pulp, grain, soybean, sugar, pork, on an on - and this idiot wants to short the country as we rotate into a commodity supercycle. There's a reason EWZ is up \~50% in a year. I personally own: \- EWZ \- Nubank \- B3 SA Bolsy (Brazilian stock exchange) \- BAK (agriculture) Look up any of those tickers and tell me how they've performed since the start of the year. Newsflash: banks perform well in an economic boom. OP is a moron.
Russell **+7%** YTD Brazil EWZ **+20%** YTD Thailand THD **+15%** YTD South Korea EWY **+22%** YTD Gold miners GDX **+20%** YTD My port **+70%** YTD ... SPY **+1.5%** YTD lmao 😂 QQQ **-0.5%** YTD lmao 😂 The US tech multi-year bull run is over. Stop having emotional relationships with your stocks based on past performance.
Russell +7% YTD Brazil EWZ +20% YTD Thailand THD +15% YTD South Korea +22% YTD Gold miners GDX +20% YTD ... SPY **+1.5%** YTD lmao 😂
Basically just go with the country ETFs of EWY, EZA, EWC, EWZ, EWN
I just created a watch list in IBKR with most of these names listed on this thread, added the many that I own as well. ILF, MXF, EWL, EWZ and so on. I think, and this is not a popular opinion, that investing outside of the USA offers tremendous value and safety when you look at the yields and price metrics compared to the USA. That said, ALL equities everywhere are extremely highly priced, the international names of whatever flavor are up somewhere around 50% over the last two years, just like the USA. We have become conditioned to assume this is normal, but its not. Timing is hard, but adding a significant amount of capital (relative to your net worth) probably isnt a great idea right now.
Posts like this remind me there's going to be an entire generation of investors who are going to learn you have to rotate out of tech.....the hard way. The VOO and chill crowd doesn't need to worry, they are still a stone's throw away from ATH. But the stock pickers, especially the tech ones, are confused why they are down 20-30% and will bag hold through the next bear market. Look at international stock market (EWZ, EWJ, EWY), the Russel, metals, even energy. Lots of things are ripping and new bubbles are forming elsewhere. People have just been spoiled by the mag 7 and these other tech companies and think that's all there is to investing.
VEA / VEU / PICK a bunch of country etfs too, look on the ishares website for tickers like EWW, EWZ, ILF, etc etc
Gather around good folks, I call this, the 'every man for himself trade', nations are treating their own stock exchange like national olympics: 1Y performance: SPY: 15.04% TSX (Canada): 32% EWZ (Brazil): 54.68% EPOL (Poland): 62.21% EWI (Italy): 44.64% EWP (Spain): 64.6% EWY (South Korea): 131.29% (this really is crazy, lol) Freakin' things are ripping, I can list several more national indexes just boomtowns, and what's interesting is that many fund managers with international and even emerging mandates tend to OVERLOOK above nations, still favoring Japan, China, France, Germany, the U.K often times.
PBR has been good to me. I am looking at EWZ to stash the profits.
Ya I'm up on EWZ bigly.
Not a lot of CHEAP commodity big dawgs left. VALE is my favorite. Forward P/E of 7 with emerging market and commodity bull tail winds. Brazil major index EWZ just broke out of a massive pattern….VALE is 10 percent of that index…
Literally all of them. But cheap ones (on a relative basis) still are coal, oil, nat gas, iron ore, lithium, potash, agriculture to name a few. Emerging markets are fantastic as well like EWZ, EEM, ILA Other good ones that are breaking out so not at their cheapest but still low are copper, uranium, and of course silver gold platinum palladium have all led the way. Everything else is following. But this is only the start. Chart commodities against S&P and you can see us breaking out from a generational falling wedge into a double bottom
Brother with $1000 you will feel tight. Like really tight. You need to find something that is regularly overpriced volatility wise. You can try IBIT or EWZ: with the US going after Venezuela, the country risk around brazil is increasing. So you can just sell ATM straddle 28 dte, every other week. It's boring but it should work well this year.
Anyone buying EWZ puts on BRLUSD weakness? If Yen keeps shitting the bed and EM currencies follow it I cant see how EWZ doesnt take a dump of at least 10% first Q 2026
19 year old college student mostly surviving off dividends. EPD - 25% EGO - 19% BP - 17% RF - 15% EWZ - 14% SOFI - 10%
$EWZ brazil down 5.6% lol, count your lucky stars you live in a "stable" economy
Country specific ETFs could be an option. NFTY (India), EWZ (Brazil) etc, if you want to avoid specific areas. Personally I wouldn't shy away from PRC - but all EM markets are going to be more volatile
Bullish on Brazil. Got EWZ in the Roth
Emerging Markets are in Bubble territory! no sustainable growth above 2pct + with increasing fiscal deficits and explosive debt dynamics heading to socialism like Brazil (EWZ/EEM)!
Oil holding up well. Crude, XLE, and EWZ are having good days so far. Oil hasn’t had a solid breakout this year so I’m skeptical but so far so good
I'm not saying you should hold it forever. EWZ went 1989% up in about six years, from October 2002 to May 2008, while the S&P 500 went up 66% on the same timeframe. Many people in the Brazilian investment subreddit (myself included) believe national stocks are undervalued right now and a correction is due. You can speculate with ETF from individual countries, if you keep in mind that it's speculative. The ARGT (Argentinean stocks) went 31% up last month alone, because of local elections. I'm sure there are people in the US and in developed countries who made a lot of money wit that trade, and it's pretty much the same as betting in election results: it's risky, but it's less risky when you know what you're doing. Or when you're a huge hedge fund with a lot of analysts who know what they're doing.
My issue is that EWZ is only up 65% since August 1 2000 (the earliest trading date I can see atm). That is horrendous. I don't think it did any better in the 20th century
https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/perf.php?VT,VTI,EWZ&n=4371&O=011000
EWZ for example isn’t that broad, just 44 companies
You've got the right idea but you should be comparing to gold - aka real money. Also it's unpopular to use NYSE as a market barometer. I'd use Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq instead. Gold is smoking them all by the way. Smoking the EWZ Brazil ETF too.
SP500 is up 91% last 5 years. Also Brazil's market hasn't recovered from the 08 crisis, still like 30/40% down from pre great depression peak. Even EWZ was like usd 100 back then and valued in the low 30s today. Brazil has become a buy below 30 sell above 40 for almost a decade now. Incredibly cheap right now though, I would agree with that.
I'm unfamiliar, whats EWZ? From what I saw it just tracks the index' value?
Been in EWZ for a few weeks. No idea if it’s the best one.
And EWZ also has a 1 year return of 3%, and a 5 years return of 11%. Currency fluctuations happens. The dollar index is down 11% YTD, but it up from 3 years ago. Selecting arbitrary dates can tell different stories depending on the narrative you want to sell.
Here in the US ticker EWZ which is an index etf of Brazilian stocks has a YTD return of almost 36%.
ppl are a bit clueless about the next few days because historically these are the worst of september which is the worst month but at the same time the market is at a big high so people don't wanna miss out. holding ONDS, ACHR. sold BIDU, HIMS. Considering getting in on SOUN, BRF, XRP, EWZ. maybe more ACHR. Would appreciate corrections on my read or suggestions ofc.
Mexico, China, Canada, Europe most exposed and probably in that order. Brazil, Poland/Eastern Europe, India are where I'm allocating for less exposure. High conviction on Brazil (EWZ) and India (INDA) as they are independent, secular growth stories.
China Brazil BABA EWZ
What else was excluded besides aircraft, energy and oranges? No country got a blanket tariff. Brazil got fucked here trying to play hard ball. That's because it's more political than just trade. Look at EWZ right now and tell me it's a win for them. Its not good for long-term US relations and will push them closer to Gyna
He only excluded aircraft, orange juice and energy. The rest got hit with 50%. That's worse than most countries. India got 25% with exemptions on tech. Most countries received some exemptions on key products. Brazil literally got the worst tariffs. How is this a better outcome? Look up EWZ, the ETF that tracks Brazilian tickers. That will tell you everything you need to know. While Japan and Korean markets flew after their deals were announced, it is still down.
Increased tariffs on Brazil, ok buy EWZ (Brazil etf puts). EWZ moons. wtf?
up $0.12 on the tracking share of EWZ i bought yesterday. https://preview.redd.it/5ucecny4ltff1.png?width=99&format=png&auto=webp&s=d8f97516df8c64081f7e1d911889a43d89987665
Various country ETFs, eg EWZ / ECH are down bigly. I'm interested in the Chile ETF, given the copper exposure
Everything Brazil; ERJ, STNE, NU, PBR, EWZ
YOLOed weekly EWZ puts. If Brazil survives this, I’ll eat my keyboard.
*EWZ to zero. Thanks Lula.*
Liking EWZ, already got in, I am fading the 🥭sell off
EWZ has done nothing for 20 years...
Same for my EWO (Austria), EWP (Spain), and EWZ (Brail) ETFs. These countries are going to benefit hard from the chaos 🥭 has unleashed.
I’m in EWZ! See Brazil my friend. Yeah that’s the dividend paying country that is GROWING
not just people but foreign investors as well. For example look at a ETF like EWZ the brazilian stock ETF. Even though the economy has grown over the past 20 years the ETF is not up much.
It’s a brazilian stock lmao what do you expected? Just look at the EWZ chart and you will see the shit you got into lmao.
EWZ. Brazil. Pays a nice dividend to
Seems like Brazil is gonna be one of the winners out of 🥭 tariff war. Is EWZ a good buy rn?
I have exposure to it through EWZ
Almost time to buy some EWZ calls for January. Brazil could benefit bigly.
Almost time to buy some EWZ calls for January. Brazil could benefit bigly.
I use an ETF strategy similar to this for 2 accounts I manage directly for myself. The recent market swoon us giving you a very attractive entry point on any total market ETFs. Professional managers have been going overweight in Europe for a few months now. EWZ, EUFN, etc. VXUS has more exposure to Asia. Bond ETFs are on an uptick given falling interest rates.
Go check out thetagang. Find low priced stocks and ETFs with good liquidity and sell some options. Get a system and start learning. I like many of the tastytrade principles and the wheel. Some good starting tickers could be F, GM, EWZ, X, M, CCL, LUV, W, FXI, OXY, XLRE, GME (might be a little wild, would t sell naked) Small positions, net credit, 45DTE, good quality tickers, 68 delta, close 21 DTE or 50% profit. Have fun
LOL. I'm here considering to sell my $EWZ shares. PBR is controlled by the Brazilian government, and the government is right now: 1. Spending like a drunken sailor, making billions in debt while publicly stating they have no plans to stop spending. With elections next year, they will be spending even more like there's no tomorrow, and this is leading to interest rates that don't stop going up. 2. Taxing the US as much as 100%, so the retaliatory taxes will hit Brazil hard. 3. Fighting against Elon Musk, including the president's wife saying "F U Elon" on TV. 4. Pushing the BRICS to stop trading in USD, something that Trump is very upset about. 5. Pushing for Big Tech censorship, something that Mango is crazy to retaliate against. Once Mango is done with the current issues with Canada/Mexico/Europe/Russia/Ukraine, he will be back to attack Brazil. It's just a matter of time. He's just a bit too busy right now.
Thanks I'll check out EWZ
Brazil and China are the only markets you should be betting on right now everything else you get theta fucked EWZ and FXI > SPY
I loaded up on EWZ. Will be buying some NU.
How bout some boring, low PE stocks, with a nice dividend like UPS, F, EWZ, Vale, T
I watch the stock market very closely and I want to explain something: Look at OP position What is the only stock that isn’t red? #Vale Why Vale? Iron ore demand has been extremely low as the Chinese economy has been stagnant Look at Chinese stocks this past month and look at Vale they trade in sympathy because the stimulation of their economy directly correlates with increased profits for Vale due to increased demand for iron ore to build new construction That and a general rebound among undervalued Brazilian stocks is why EWZ is one of my top plays I have made a lot of money on NEM options the past month because of strength in gold but prior to that was down a lot of them if you look a couple months ago when gold declined the miners go hit twice as hard and still haven’t recovered to previous highs so you have to be mindful of the current market sentiment because gold thrives only in times of economic uncertainty
Yeah EWZ is heavily political The div yield is interesting though, 8.8% last year I bought some shares after the massive dip a month or so ago, not expecting much recovery until the next elections in 2026
EWZ is cheap now but as the article says, there's a fiscal crisis, the government is spending too much
Brazil is basically a political stock right now. Currently on stupid-as-hell low valuations, even for safe stuff like oil companies If it comes clear that the right will win again next time it will likely come back to the valuations before the current government (about x2), in the meantime, they have massive div yields (e.g. EWZ has 8% right now) I wouldnt place too much money on them but i bought enough to make EWZ 4% of my portfolio on the last dip Same happened to argentina when milei won, ARGT increased 50% on his first year of govt
because you can't trade it... [https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=EWZ&p=d](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=EWZ&p=d) Second point: The liquidity shortage among Brazilian and global retail investors is real. Sooner or later, retail investors will either be liquidated or see their holdings become worthless. Lack of liquidity, higher risk exposure compared to hedge funds, limited time, impatience—all of this ultimately leads to zero value.