Reddit Posts
A BBL, Butt For Your Portfolio 🇧🇷 (EWZ, XP, PICS, AGBK)
Keep selling premium in EWZ, it has elevated IV rank
Today (Jun/26) my country stock market is suspiciously cheap again, where is the catch ?
The Brazilian Fintech "Miracle" is a House of Cards
2023-05-01 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Bob Ross
2023-04-26 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Harley Quinn
2023-04-20 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Dwight Schrute
2023-03-31 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Goofy
2023-01-30 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-01-19 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-12-01 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-27 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-24 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-18 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
Why would other party exercise options exercised early?
GOLDEN GODS RETURNS. Gamma is Dead. Long Live the TUTE SQUEEZE (ESSC vs ARCE)
ARCE (and ESSC comment) - Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
$ARCE – Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
ARCE – Emerging Market Education Play, Recipe for Crowding
Chart-traders weekend update for investors who want to know where markets are headed (purely TA based)
Long straddle for EWZ (Brazil) ahead of next year’s presidential election
Chart-traders weekend update for swing traders and investors who like to know where markets are headed (totally TA based)
$3.5M in $EWZ 6/18/21 $38 Calls were traded today at 2:52PM!
$2.8MM worth of $EWZ 7/16/21 $44 Calls were traded at 10:59AM. That’s 60,000 contracts worth!
$2.88M worth of $EWZ 7/16/21 $44 Calls were traded at 10:59AM! That’s 60,000 contracts!!
$2.88MM worth of $EWZ 7/17/21 $44 Calls Traded at 10:59AM! That’s 60,000 contracts! WTF
Now is not the time to be long... remember the market moves in cycles
Finding value or putting cash in at all time highs
Mentions
There was 600k in otm EWZ calls and another thousand ks in PBR OTM as well
I have a short strangle on EWZ because holy volatility. We'll see if I have to roll Monday or vol crush takes over. Playing for Bolsonaro win (with great hope for our southern neighbors).
EWZ already done run up. Unless they rename the country to Braizil
Option volume on EWZ is insane today. Sitting at 1.3M so far. Brazil stocks really bumping.
Ah the instrument? Both. 70 delta calls in the cases of EWZ and EWZS I bought them before the pump though, and I’m up around 26% all in all.
I mean stock or options bro, I was thinking of geeting EWZ calls but didnt get filled
Brazil lmao EWZ/EWZS/MELI/NU About 350k USD all in all. Bolsanaro better be voted, and ease the fiscal policy for a nice run
$EWZ Brazilian market ETF, Brazilian Market is very cheap
Read the news. a good short term play would of been the Russian Plague. NVAX was a short term play. one of my current plays is on the Brazil Election. NU $15 call march 2027 expiry. cost me $1.07 bought on 10/2. also looking at EWZ. i just use a 6 month 1 day chart with a 50 SMA and Fibs. no drama.
EWZ...but it takes a real speculative mindset to ride that train.
March 2027 at least gives the thesis some time instead of turning the election into a binary weekly bet. I would probably watch NU against EWZ and the broader Brazil trade rather than treat the stock in isolation. I have been putting those side by side on Moon because sometimes NU is moving with Brazil risk and sometimes it is very clearly doing its own thing.
EWZ calls on brazil election over the weekend. 5 year breakout, about to smash higher?
90% of the underlying of EWZ or 4BRZ are the local stocks, so they react directly by the change of price and the FX movement.
EWZ >> Brazilian market is ultracheap, there are companies valuated at less than 10 P/E >> EWZ
Brazilian market is ultracheap, companies valuated at less that 10 P/E >> EWZ
EWZ >>> Brazilian market is ultracheap, companies valuated at less than 10 P/E
EWZ >>> Brazilian market is ultracheap, companies valuated at less that 10 P/E
iced note that while EWZ’s IV rank is sky‑high from the election, juggling a single 35 call and an 80‑point‑long put could be risky if the vote swings more than 10% in a month – you’ll end up assigned or losing a chunk. 5 out of 5 wins isn’t proof it’s a sure thing; VWAP‑driven exits or a weak correlation to the market can grind a trade down if the narrative you borrowed turns out to be off. if you’re set on premium play, a tighter strangle or even a tail‑hedged delta‑neutral setup might reduce the surmise along with the pool of buyers you’re leaning on. “selling boring stocks” is fine as long as you factor the size, liquidity and event‑risk before scaling up.
ishares EWZ is only up to 43 from about 31.81 this year, that's a horrible investment, you end up better just investing in good old school SP500. anything that doesnt beat SP500 is horrible imo because even if you track SP500 5 years return that's barely just grocery inflation percentage in HCOL cities.
$EWZ (Brazil) is popping up + 12.5% today. $EWJ (Japan) set new ATH. It looks like the rest of the world is finally following the US Fed & Gov't playbook. Stimulate to solve each & every economic problem. That's not a good sign for cash & bond holders or peeps that love fun-D-metals.
Yeah didn’t buy EWZ calls on Friday sorry 🥲
Man I really should have bet more on that Brazil election. Got big gains on PBR but missed out on EWZ, NU and ITUB.
Explaining. PnL -180 on the call, +80 on 35 October put. Total PnL on EWZ is -100 It moved within the expected range. IV in this ETF been murdered. I also had positive delta position in PBR, and short put in NU. Brazil as a group of positions worked nicely in my portfolio.
MMs absolutely paid with $EWZ calls holy shit
i notice you still have that 35‑put out in October that’s already over the 21‑day mark and you’re not worried about assignment, but if the election tantrum pushes EWZ below 35 mid‑month you’ll be handed the shares. that means you’re effectively shorting a straddle while you also sold the November call. if that call sits ITM by then you could end up selling the shares for less than you’d get over a covered call. just make sure you’re comfortable with that if the market swings hard on election day.
Its an election. Unless the mm's trading EWZ options already know who's getting elected lol
OP doesn't need to know. EWZ is a liquid and well followed ETF, therefore OP can assume the market is up to date on all known information. If that's true, the volatility risk premium exists, and that's all OP needs to know.
I didn't have to :) The agent looked into all this fears and shocks. I went and checked logs just to make sure it didn't miss anything as everybody keeps pointing out. It even went on deliberations about election cycle. Ultimately dismissed it, technicals and risk/reward looked good. I personally agree with the setup. Premium is a premium. The central disagreement is whether the market is overpaying for familiar Brazil fears or pricing a genuine macro shock, particularly around the 2026 election cycle. This is substantial volatility compensation, but EWZ’s headline sensitivity makes the quiet recent tape a weak measure of tail risk."
Good opportunity. Calls are juicy now. EWZ have very low correlation compared to market, 0.21 to SPY. In my portfolio I had many strangles with very high POP, practically all of them were winners - only 1-2 strike was once breached in past few months. It has also very small size - $37. Strangle BP \~ 400USD. When you trade on that big underlying you feel like surfing on wave.
This is true also. But I just keep feeding my kids 😬. EWZ and BRZU are doing good also. I figure Brazil is well insulated and could benefit from US instability and war drama and fuel prices.
Messed up screenshot, sorry These are last few I did on Friday \-1 EWZ 42c 10/16 @ $0.66, opened on 9/4 \-1 HPE 60c 10/16 @ $1.61, opened on 9/4 IRA account, pretty much no leverage.
Uh, I don't see anything in the post. I see an unknown Unicode character after, "Example of a typical trade in the portfolio." Just write it out. Like -1 EWZ 30p 10/21 @ $1.23, opened on 9/3. I just made that up, based on your other reply. It's just meant to demonstrate that writing out a position in standard notation doesn't take that long and is easy for everyone to understand. Even with the edits and the missing (what I assume to be) screenshot, I still have no clue what you trade. I know what you DON'T trade, from your updated introduction, but you seem to think that, "Vanilla premium selling, no strategies," is completely clear and unambiguous. It isn't.
I'm trading just one lot trying to spread BP among as many positions as possible. EWZ has usual liquidity, didn't have problems with it. There is not many opportunities right now, so I'm reaching out to some stocks or ETFs that have life left in the options.
If EWZ is your typical trade I would imagine you are trading with very low option liquidity. Hard to close positions when 1 contract is a percent or multi percent of the open interest. I’d stay away as much as you can from options in nickel increments. Trade higher volume names.
It’s nice that you’re trying, but yes, unfortunately selling unhedged options is, in fact, asking to get your face ripped off. Your calculated IV is, again, something the entire market can see (and it certainly isn’t better than the IV rank used by funds, banks, and market makers). It’s descriptive, not predictive. Saying something is in the 98th percentile is not at all a reason to sell an option. It’s a naive way to lose a lot. Brother, the market doesn’t respect 52 week ranges. Again, that’s simply descriptive. There’s no reason EWZ cannot blow right through $42, and the fact that your option is not 0 @ 0 should be punching you in the face screaming that. That is a very bad reason to select the $42 strike. Selling a 10% OTM call in a foreign ETF is the literal definition of begging to get your face ripped off. None of this addresses anything predictive or even understanding of why vol is high. It’s not for no reason. The markets aren’t stupid. To make the call to sell that particular option, you need to have a prediction of future realized and a way to model at least that expiration. If you’re going that far out into the wings, you’d then to come up with a reason as to why the curvature there is too extreme. Why is the market overpricing big moves relative to your world view?
\>> Everyone can see It probably looks like a dumb scanner how I'm describing it but there is a lot of data processing went to make it work. See my other post on options strikes range modeling - its extremely effective way to make selling premium consistent and not get "face ripped off" as you mentioned. And the metrics I'm using are high quality. For example, calculated IV rank - most brokers and screener just show whatever data feed have. I also made high quality liquidity grades, which was a pain in the butt to work without. As for understanding what underlying is doing, I get a brief on each stock I'm considering (below full text for EWZ trade) - there is a large amount of data pulled and processed for AI to analyze. These briefs in vast number of cases are annoyingly right. >EWZ trades at $38.02 within its $28.7–$42 yearly range. October implied volatility is 38% against 25% 20-day historical volatility, while IV rank is 62. Sell the October 16 $42 naked call for $0.66. The strike is $3.98 above EWZ and matches its 52-week high. The $3,471 IRA margin requirement produces an 8% annualized trade return. The $0.65 bid and $0.67 ask support execution near the stated premium. A currency rally, commodity surge, or favorable Brazilian policy development could push EWZ through $42, leaving unlimited upside exposure. The event-loaded premium compensates for that risk better than the lower-return calls while keeping the strike at the yearly high Also, despite all the effort to get these trade ideas - I had to go over a lot of trade refusals returned from AI. Wrong setup, not enough IV, upcoming event or it just... doesn't like it.
Thoughts on brazil etf as a commodity play? It got hit pretty bad last few months. Still historically quite low. EWZ peaked at 100$ right before the 2008 crash. Kinda worrying though.
Currently researching Brazilian big booty latinas. Will invest in EWZ.
**BanBet Won** — /u/Ednaldo_Pereira (1W - 1L, 50%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **EWZ** ▲ | $33.70 → $33.90 | +0.6% | 8h 53m | Won |
I read about it when I was looking at EWZ, I like it
Why is Brazil EWZ crashing?
Bolsonaro will go to jail again, EWZ $42 by EOM
Full ported EWZ Calls Friday, am I cooked?
> Global equity willl not go down over a long time period. Fuck outta here you gambling retard. lol You're the only one here with terrible advice. 60 years worth of ETF payouts instead of 30 is meaningless to anyone with a brain, and you're a moron for staying in a HCOL city when you don't have to. Enjoy going broke on EWZ or whatever the fuck you risk it on instead of just leaving the casino with the jackpot.
Dude. Again, we **already** have the gains of someone who benefitted from a 30-year ETF, except we got it 30 years before they did. We do not have to grow money like that anymore. If you actually had this kind of NW, you'd understand that. Having $4 million instead of $2 million isn't going to alter our lives. You are going to lose your entire bankroll by going all in on EWZ or something and I wish I could be there and laugh at you when it happens
Insurance like ALL or PGR (PGR is 15% of my portfolio). Pharma like JNJ or Merck. PFE has a nice dividend. everyone oughta have an energy stock of some sort like CVX, XOM, or just buy the XLE etf. Hold something outside the us like EWZ or EWC. I think this AI event is a wave, like Josh brown said. It’ll end like everything does, but you’ve gotta ride it.
You can buy 3% OTM options a month out on SPY, TLT, ACWI, EWZ, ILF, EWJ if you want a sure thing. Global small caps should rip as well
I see I got downvoted yesterday for mentioning I trimmed yesterday before CPI. The position I sold was $EWY just b/c it seemed bubblicious overpriced. Today I read South Korea is considering an AI citizen dividend on AI and $EWY is down over 8%. Do not think for 1 moment that this idea couldn't make its way to the USA. Just wait until mid term elections when the voters are complaining about lost jobs & higher utility costs to AI. I opened a position in $EWZ (Brazil) which is mostly financials, Vale (materials), and Petroleos (crude oil). I can't think of a more non AI region to invest in. I also bought more $SONY but no one else here is interested in their growth in music & next gen image sensor , or robotics. It's semis or bust here : )
I've been following this since Stanley Druckman bought a lot of EWZ last year. He timed the bottom though
EWZ - Brazil bout to breakout and nobody paying attention
Short EWZ guys, currency is currently overvalued and the index is overpriced as fuck lol
i disagree with the small cap thesis, feds hands are tied, higher rates disproportionally hurts small cap, I am especially bearish on $KRE Personally think the reshoring play is $EWW (Mexico ETF) and $EWZ (Brazil ETF)
Nice write up, OP. I have EWZ in my 401k for Brazil exposure and am swinging PBR commons and calls in my trading account since March 2nd to nice gains.
EWZ. O Brazil tem performado bem e tem estrutura pra aproveitar a oscilação das comoodities. A bolsa brasileira tem um longo caminho pela frente, e com as eleições se aproximando ela chance do socialismo ser derrotado aumentado, o mercado tem precificado este cenário e a tendência é a favor, ao contrário de XLE que pode surfar no curtíssimo prazo mas sofrer muito com as especulações do 'Soberano'.
The 1st week of Feb the market liquidated Gold. The 1st week of March the market liquidated World Stocks ex US. I wonder what will be liquidated next? I'm guessing US stocks?? So this bear is BTD on entire coutry ETF's. I do get your point on South Korea being in a bubble. I liquidated that position for a 5% loss Wednesday. But if you look a 20 year chart for $EWJ or $EWZ a 25% drop takes you to dot com prices. At some point it's pointless to sell some of these world economies like Japan and Brazil in a liquidation crisis. Now $VXUS will be my largest position when all this dip buying is done.
Do half and half, bro. Always takes the mental strain off. Pick a few etfs , it's a good way to check out other areas, market wise and geographically. IEZ, MOO, SI, EWZ (If we have a global recession I think Brazil might outperform US. Also Norway, Canada and Australia.) An individual stock I like is FIX.
If the war is long term, energy surplus producing or energy independant countries with stable democracies far from the middle east would probably do best. Many country's outperformed our S&P last year and were already on track to do it again. If we have a recession they will probably fare better. Whole country etfs for Norway ENOR 19% ytd, Brazil EWZ 12%, Australia UWA 6.6%, Canada EWC 2%. I expect Canada and Australia especially to rise quicker given their energy sectors. If gold, copper and silver surge Mexico EWW 3.2% and Peru EPU 13% stand to gain with their stable energy sectors and heavy mining industries. This is without all the people like you and me who are going to rotate into these in the next few days and weeks as we begin to believe our eyes that this has probably only just begun. Here goes my first year of self directed investing!
While the [West](https://www.reddit.com/r/Indiana/comments/1nqa72x/indianapolis_residents_have_shut_down_a_proposed/) [rallies](https://www.reddit.com/r/Syracuse/comments/1or5w3c/micron_chip_factories_in_upstate_ny_will_be/) [against](https://www.reddit.com/r/AskEurope/comments/1r63k0h/how_do_europeans_feel_about_the_data_center/) building more advanced infrastructure and getting highly-paid jobs, India and the developing world receive them with open arms. Short $SPY and $IEUR. Long $EEM, $INDA, $EWZ
Invest in countries that are outperforming SPY. . EWY, EWZ, EPU, THD, AIA.
Haha. I mean Brazil EWZ is up 20%this year, easy move until USA chills out
I am in EWY, EWZ, EEM. July calls Saw EPU (Peru) is actually as good as Korea. Then EWP, EPOL, even EWC, and many different Es are rocketing up, new ATH daily.
Very nice, I closed my monthlies earlier this month for a nice profit but stopped checking on it after it kept failing every attempt to breach 125. How do you like EWZ comparatively?
EWZ or BRZU(2x). Option chains aren't very liquid though
Late 30’s 75% US Equities (VTI) 5% Russell 2000 index (IWM) 10% Ex-US Equities (VXUS) 5% Brazil Equities (EWZ) 5% China Large Cap Equities (FXI)
EWY, EPU, TUR, EWZ, EWJV. This SPY is boring. What are other country's SPYs doin?
$EEM has basically become East Asian AI play, it's a great diversifier to $SPY $EWJ has lots of industrials that will likely benefit from the reindustrialization wave in the West $EWZ is Latin America + commodities, another diversifier for the above East Asia and U.S.
USO $70.00 2026-03-20 WFC $80.00 2026-03-20 IBIT $35.00 2026-02-27 EWZ $35.00 2026-03-20 NFLX $68.00 2026-03-20 BAC $48.00 2026-03-20 F $13.00 2026-03-20 ZBH $90.00 2026-03-20 PYPL $35.00 2026-03-20 C $97.50 2026-03-20 IBIT $36.50 2026-02-20 BAC $47.00 2026-03-20 IBIT $34.00 2026-02-27 IBIT $36.00 2026-02-20 XLE $50.50 2026-03-20 Not saying i would take any of these, but this was semi conservative
I somehow did it lol Like a year ago, i had almost 100% US, decided to move 10% to EWZ (brasil) because the index was on its hidtorical minimum even though brasil has growth steadily last decades. It was a very dumb decision, but it doubled in value since then lol Then, when trump won i decided i finally wanted some actual international exposure, not just a random latin american country, so i moved 30% to VXUS, 30% up since then I still have that stupid 10% in brasil, i will probably split that in voo and vxus one of these days Very dumb decisions with which i got very lucky as i was learning to invest
I know nothing about Brazil and am not shorting but 10% of EWZ is NU and 35% is finance companies...OP is saying have fake banks is leading to a crash and provides some anecdotal evidence....if banks collapse (or what people consider banks) then the economy will crash doesnt really matter the sector as in the world in 08. Financial plumbing is crucial to any economy
Imagine being Pam, who is bragging on a measly 16% gain on SPY on an entire year. Whereas, EWY (South Korea) is up 137% annually EWZ (Brazil) is 51% EPOL (Poland) is up 52%, TSX 60/EWC (Canada) is up 35%, EWI (Italiy) is up 43%, FEZ (Euro Large Cap) is up 27% I can go on so, so, soo many South American, Asian and European countries whose indexes are boomtown, ripfest, new moon every day compared to SPY at this point. Thank you for coming to my Ted talk.
I bought EWY, EWZ, EEM calls at start of the year. Freakin' EWZ is up 21%, my calls are big chilling atm, may rotate them into FEZ (Europe) or EWJ (Japan) if a bear thesis on Brazil gets louder.
Brother, ZOOM OUT. Look at Brazil (EWZ) since the early 2000s. That's a bubble??? The rotation is just beginning. Look at the BAK chart. Only apsychopath value investors like me are in that shit. It's the definition of bottom fishing. The only stock of the ones I listed that's richly values is NU. And so what if another fintech IPO'd today. Even if there were idiosyncratic risks in the sector (I don't think there are) why the hell are you shorting the entire economy via EWZ? People have forgotten how to invest outside the US.
Brazil's economy is effectively one gigantic commodity - metals, oil, wood pulp, grain, soybean, sugar, pork, on an on - and this idiot wants to short the country as we rotate into a commodity supercycle. There's a reason EWZ is up \~50% in a year. I personally own: \- EWZ \- Nubank \- B3 SA Bolsy (Brazilian stock exchange) \- BAK (agriculture) Look up any of those tickers and tell me how they've performed since the start of the year. Newsflash: banks perform well in an economic boom. OP is a moron.
Russell **+7%** YTD Brazil EWZ **+20%** YTD Thailand THD **+15%** YTD South Korea EWY **+22%** YTD Gold miners GDX **+20%** YTD My port **+70%** YTD ... SPY **+1.5%** YTD lmao 😂 QQQ **-0.5%** YTD lmao 😂 The US tech multi-year bull run is over. Stop having emotional relationships with your stocks based on past performance.
Russell +7% YTD Brazil EWZ +20% YTD Thailand THD +15% YTD South Korea +22% YTD Gold miners GDX +20% YTD ... SPY **+1.5%** YTD lmao 😂
Basically just go with the country ETFs of EWY, EZA, EWC, EWZ, EWN
I just created a watch list in IBKR with most of these names listed on this thread, added the many that I own as well. ILF, MXF, EWL, EWZ and so on. I think, and this is not a popular opinion, that investing outside of the USA offers tremendous value and safety when you look at the yields and price metrics compared to the USA. That said, ALL equities everywhere are extremely highly priced, the international names of whatever flavor are up somewhere around 50% over the last two years, just like the USA. We have become conditioned to assume this is normal, but its not. Timing is hard, but adding a significant amount of capital (relative to your net worth) probably isnt a great idea right now.
Posts like this remind me there's going to be an entire generation of investors who are going to learn you have to rotate out of tech.....the hard way. The VOO and chill crowd doesn't need to worry, they are still a stone's throw away from ATH. But the stock pickers, especially the tech ones, are confused why they are down 20-30% and will bag hold through the next bear market. Look at international stock market (EWZ, EWJ, EWY), the Russel, metals, even energy. Lots of things are ripping and new bubbles are forming elsewhere. People have just been spoiled by the mag 7 and these other tech companies and think that's all there is to investing.
VEA / VEU / PICK a bunch of country etfs too, look on the ishares website for tickers like EWW, EWZ, ILF, etc etc
Gather around good folks, I call this, the 'every man for himself trade', nations are treating their own stock exchange like national olympics: 1Y performance: SPY: 15.04% TSX (Canada): 32% EWZ (Brazil): 54.68% EPOL (Poland): 62.21% EWI (Italy): 44.64% EWP (Spain): 64.6% EWY (South Korea): 131.29% (this really is crazy, lol) Freakin' things are ripping, I can list several more national indexes just boomtowns, and what's interesting is that many fund managers with international and even emerging mandates tend to OVERLOOK above nations, still favoring Japan, China, France, Germany, the U.K often times.
PBR has been good to me. I am looking at EWZ to stash the profits.
Ya I'm up on EWZ bigly.
Not a lot of CHEAP commodity big dawgs left. VALE is my favorite. Forward P/E of 7 with emerging market and commodity bull tail winds. Brazil major index EWZ just broke out of a massive pattern….VALE is 10 percent of that index…
Literally all of them. But cheap ones (on a relative basis) still are coal, oil, nat gas, iron ore, lithium, potash, agriculture to name a few. Emerging markets are fantastic as well like EWZ, EEM, ILA Other good ones that are breaking out so not at their cheapest but still low are copper, uranium, and of course silver gold platinum palladium have all led the way. Everything else is following. But this is only the start. Chart commodities against S&P and you can see us breaking out from a generational falling wedge into a double bottom
Brother with $1000 you will feel tight. Like really tight. You need to find something that is regularly overpriced volatility wise. You can try IBIT or EWZ: with the US going after Venezuela, the country risk around brazil is increasing. So you can just sell ATM straddle 28 dte, every other week. It's boring but it should work well this year.
Anyone buying EWZ puts on BRLUSD weakness? If Yen keeps shitting the bed and EM currencies follow it I cant see how EWZ doesnt take a dump of at least 10% first Q 2026
19 year old college student mostly surviving off dividends. EPD - 25% EGO - 19% BP - 17% RF - 15% EWZ - 14% SOFI - 10%