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Most Important Stock Market Earnings from Today - (10/24/2023)
2023-04-12 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Gordon Ramsay
Digital Age for Big Oil using Big Tech $HAL & $MSFT ; $AMZN & $BP, $SHEL
SMAR, S rises on earnings; CP higher on Kansas buyout approval; CS, FRC, RIG, HAL slide
2022-11-18 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-10-27 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
Anyone under 40 has never invested in a Bear Market & It shows - Long $GLD and $XLE
58.4K to 129.6k over the past year on oil - mix of shares and leaps
This time is really different - The Market is way oversold
Out of NVDA, GOOGL, and MSFT, which one do you think will have the best future in the next five years?
Gains for the month (threading GM, SONY, APPLE, and HAL)
Shoutout to my fellow smooth brained ape
Degree of automation in apps for retail traders
$PBF - time to buy refinery - key facts
CL=F is still rising, but Oil itself is not the play. Do this instead.....
Dow Rallies on Bullish Bets in Energy, Materials
Mentions
I just bought $XLE today instead of buying energy names I've bought in the past like $HAL or $OXY. Energy ETF's are easier to trade & buy and hold than the individual stock names. I will say if you look at the 5 year chart for $DVN you could make a very good case that this is a support level to BTD.
HAL, NESR, any companies that’ll get paid bank to rebuild ME infrastructure in a hurry maybe
HAL SLB BKR KBR pure play
Open the bomb bay door HAL. (Get back to work already)
bought the dips in April, and generally bought LEAPS on Mag 7, held HAL leaps, sold at the top too so a mixture of luck and hold solid companies with LEAPS
I DON'T KNOW WHAT YOU'RE TALKING ABOUT HAL i mean CLAUDE
Now we can put AI in the ship to help the crew with some cool acronym name. Like HAL or something
Aggressively bought OXY,SLB, BKR, HAL, VG, XOM, MOS, NTR and CF because when you’re down 25K, what else are you gonna do? I doubled down because taco doesn’t matter I have the 403 457 for rational investing https://preview.redd.it/dzn582t1j2ug1.jpeg?width=1320&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9cd84f055b2fa227545d6350e7379b8d86f035de 2k going in tmrw
Loaded up on HAL, BKR and SLB aftermarket and don’t regret it
https://preview.redd.it/g0y2m4c91ztg1.jpeg?width=1320&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=17b331ff457945c17c92d1cf487cb575c23776f4 Bought SLB, BKR and HAL yesterday right before 8 PM
SLB, HAL and BKR recovering
Got an entry back into $HAL with $PSLV profits, so it's a good day so far.
HAL SLB BKR KBR will make huge money. First Venezuela, now whole Middle East.
I'm looking to get into HAL again after the market open selloff.
I would like to buy back into $HAL and $SLB if they fall enough. There's a lot of infrastructure to be rebuilt, unfortunately.
HAL should win no matter the outcome lol
Up 5 percent only due to buying HAL, CE, Dow chem and a couple of other oil holdings in the last 4 months.
HAL shorted bc MM want it for cheaper
"im sorry Dave, I cannot let you do that" -HAL 9000
Hoping to get a good deal on reentry to HAL SLB tomorrow morning. Not quite to where I want to get back in yet though.
Bols thought this rally was going the last, the moment bers got extinct it was over for bulls too. to quote HAL 9000 "im sorry Dave, I cannot let you do that"
Time to put on the tin foil hat: If the straight stays closed, oil prices stay up, meaning fracking will be lucrative and sustainable in the USA. The largest company responsible for fracking, you ask? Fucking Halliburton (HAL), 50% of revenue.
Source? I want to know if my HAL calls are going to sky rocket or just go up a bit LOL
I always like the service companies (SLB, HAL, BKR) but the issue is they have already risen near their 52 week high. If they drop 15-20%, I will be back in.
Buy XOM, HAL, SLB, RTX, CVX, GD, and LMT. These are free money after shit that is about to happen this weekend.
Buy XOM, HAL, SLB, RTX, CVX, GD, and LMT. War will pay massive returns Monday
Buy XOM, HAL, SLB, RTX, CVX, GD, and LMT. These are free money after shit that is about to happen shit weekend.
Buy XOM, HAL, SLB, RTX, CVX, GD, and LMT. These are free money after shit that is about to happen shit weekend.
Haliburton salivating over Kharg Island. $HAL
Trump is losing control of the narrative in the media. Buy XOM, HAL, SLB, RTX, CVX, GD, and LMT. 15k boots on the ground tomorrow. He needs something fucking crazy to happen. These will go up.
Just went deep on XOM, HAL, SLB, RTX, CVX, GD, and LMT. 15k boots on the ground tomorrow. Dump Monday.
If XOM and CVX feel overextended, traders often look at mid-cap E&P companies or oil service stocks (like SLB or HAL), which can show higher beta and volatility. Since you're targeting delta, watch for price consolidation near support levels rather than chasing peaks.
was thinking about "HAL" and a few other service providers, but its so fucking capped upside, longterm and the multiples are not all that attractive right now.
No I think the push for efficiency that’s been happening this past year or so is going to put a damper on capital equipment purchasing. HAL is looking for 30 percent this year, and they are starting to pivot to Tier 2 inventory where that efficiency gets magnified. And COP is in the middle of a complex merger and not at all growth focused at the moment. That is not investment advice. Just my opinion.
I lost patience on HAL and SLB before they gapped up this week so the lesson I need to learn, again, is patience. Definitely not selling at 24.
Question. Do you think oil equipment companies will benefit from the increase in US Shale? I’m thinking firms like HAL. Would we expect to see an increase in capex guidance from oil companies like COP?
Just exercised 1000 HAL calls at $35. I’ll take a little $2-3 bump and cash that out.
What I weird ass day. At one point was down 3% ended at 0.10% down. Basically my Port was saved with WEN, HAL and AR....
I bought HAL. Because my friend’s name is Hal.
I just sold my positions in $OXY, $HAL, and $KMI this morning. Crude Oil might go higher but I like to buy when crude oil is under $60 and sell when crude oil is over $100. Buy low, Sell high.
Yeah but it's not helping my HAL, VG, or FRO calls still deep in the red
Oil services will probably be making bank when everyone wants everything fixed HAL SLB BKR.
IPI and NTR fertilizer is going to moon. The gulf states are going to spend stupid amounts of money getting oil production back on line later HAL SLB BKR If the desalination plants really get wrecked FLS ERII
The historical breakdown: Integrated majors (XOM, CVX, COP) tend to outperform most in sustained + regimes because they benefit across the full value chain and can hedge downstream margin compression. Services names like SLB and HAL typically see backlog acceleration if operators believe prices hold. The less obvious plays: midstream infrastructure like EPD and ET don't move as much on spot price but benefit from volume throughput increases when production ramps. Refiners face a mixed picture since crack spreads can compress even as crude rises if demand gets destroyed faster than supply adjusts. What usually gets forgotten: insurance and shipping rates. War-risk premiums on tankers routed around Hormuz add 3 to 5% to landed cost for Asian buyers. That's a structural Brent-Dubai spread widening that stays even after prices settle.
Bought calls early too.. only they were on HAL and OXY. Made NOTHING on those garbage bins. Should have found out about this
Yes but shouldn't the "baked in" ness wear off at some point? I'm hoping HAL goes bananas next week but VG is keeping me afloat right now. They are the only exporters of LNG right now
I agree with everything you're saying but like why are oil services down? I had some HAL calls I bought a couple weeks ago and I loaded up on SLB and FRO calls Monday but like why are they staying flat/going down? Shouldn't services correlate with crude price? My calls feel fukd but I'm regarded so I bought a ton more thinking I'm smarter than everyone else (which happens a lot but I never prove fruitful).
You also. If it makes you feel any better after the spike in oil today my HAL and FRO calls are still flat lmao
Consider looking at companies that are at cyclical or secular lows, pay a dividend (preferably large % of free cash-flow), and look at buying the underlying security + writing current month OTM calls + buying 3-5 year timeline out of the money calls/leaps. So you're earning interest, earning income as a function of the current month call with high volatility, and buying convexity in the leaps when the name comes out of a secular/cyclical turn. As a reference, SLB and HAL fit this criteria about 3-4 years ago. Now, DEO and BF-B fit this criteria. It's also important to note that as you get to about 10 days to expiration on the front month calls, you'll roll them forward to the next month. By the 4th or 5th month, you should have fully paid for the 3-5 year out leap.
Until my HAL calls print I really don't care lol
HAL and SLB are built for this apocalypse but have been red all week. Turn the beat around, guys.
Buy the rumor sell the news. HAL, BKR, SLB. Did you see how far they were above their 10EMA on the weekly? But guess who’s going to be rebuilding infrastructure in Venezuela and Iran and any other ME country that got damage for the next 10 years? Wait for them to come back in.
HAL down 3 percent in the last 30 days and an oil war just broke out 4 days ago, yeah okay
Yeah my thoughts exactly. I guess up 30 percent YTD, then a war in the middle east erupts and it goes DOWN? I have HAL calls I bought last month and Sunday night I thought I was gonna wake up rich. They went up %200 Monday, and did I sell? No way. Why would I, war just started right? My 3/20 exp are worth .10 cents now. Oh well I've got some 4/17 VG calls that should pan out, cause you know they're the only exporter to EU now. But I'm sure that'll go fuk too
So my HAL and FRO calls aren't cooked?!
$KMI - $75B - Pipelines are cash cows w/ a huge moat. There ain't a politician alive that wants to be re-elected that's gonna approve the construction of new natty gas or oil pipelines. $HAL - $28B - This is the growth tech stock for oil equip & svce. Plus Trump is gonna steal that Venezuela oil & all that infrastructure needs rebuilt. $AGCO - $9B - Mini-Me Deere & Co
That might be more correct. Crude Oil bugs are upset that the huge spike higher might be done. Look I own a shit ton of shares of $HAL. I think crude oil is going higher long term. But huge assets like crude oil and gold rarely go up in a straight line. Look how long it took crude oil to move from zero to $50 after Covid. If your an oil bug look at the charts and find a level to start BTD.
HAL and SLB need to get going.
Don't worry my HAL calls are calm lol
Yeah my HAL calls are flat after this shit??
I was banking on my HAL calls that stayed flat all day...
TREE fucking me up this morning lol 2 more hours until I see what happens to my VG and HAL calls
Idk about puts but adding to my HAL call leap position probably isnt a bad idea.
I've got HAL and VG calls but something tells me I'm cooked
It's Sunday. Set up some reasonable Stop Losses, so you don't lose all your portfolio. There is actually a formula using something called ATR, but, in reality, you can just use a calculator and pick 5% 7%, 10% or 12%, whatever sacrifice you can tolerate. Be aware that Stop Losses can trigger on the open, and at a lower price than the one you pick. Still, no one knows what Monday will bring. I am long USO and HAL myself. But, I have a diversified account. It is possible most oil stocks will go up, ironically, as we will all have to pay more. Who knows.
I bought USO last week, so I am smiling. But, I also took both cars and all of our gas canisters to the gas station and filled up yesterday. THIS WAR, the war that no one wanted except Israel and some Iranians, will now drive up the price of everything for months. Which will increase freight costs, drive up inflation, cause more job losses. Meanwhile, the oil companies, and companies like HAL, LMT, RTX, BAH, GD, HII and others will go up. Full disclosure: I am long USO and HAL, and plan to get some RTX and BAH. Just to even the score for me.
I’ve been considering HAL and I may pull the trigger this week. Perhaps I should look at Monday.
I was in HAL and SLB and there's a range on both. The gap up will come before you can get in.
YTD % aka since January 1 LMT 32% NOC 23% RTX 8% (SAD!) ExxonMobil is 12% BKR is 38% HAL is 21% All baked in
Good thing I sold off half of my HAL stocks last month I’m sure they won’t be going up
Nah if its a full overthrow then enter HAL.
Honestly wtf are we doing? The president is tweeting about which unqualified LLM is going to have the honor of hallucinating us into WW3? Why are we still collectively pretending that these “AI” companies have any value in advisory roles? This isn’t HAL. These companies have for the most part succeeded in making meme generators; but were acting like they made a machine god. It’s like we’ve fucked the world so much, we’re now just desperate to hand over control to someone/something else to fix things.
The main take away I got was that data centers / infrastructure is the main driver of consumption and not the consumer. This is a shift from consumers leading consumption. They really didn't recommend any names, just buy my fund. I am not against the data center trade. I own $DE, $CAT, $XLU, $IGB, and $HAL all indirectly due to the data center build out. I am just not buying the fricking chip names like $NVDA or the big spenders like $MSFT and $AMZN. I am buying the stocks selling the equipment & energy not the buyers that are spending.
You are better off buying the actual shares on margin than calls I'm afraid. Even when the trade goes against you, you still own the shares. True you may own those shares on credit. I've messed up so many picks & trades that I've started to cast a wider net. I bought $EWY & $EWJ instead of just $EWJ and went half each. Good thing too as my 1st choice has underperformed the 2nd. $MOS was my 6th biggest position and it dropped 6% after earnings yesterday. Good thing I went 50/50 b/w $MOS and $HAL last December. I'm a huge Gold bug but I sold 10% of my $PHYS (Gold) shares Monday b/c Gold had reached 30% of the value of my port. Today I bought half $CAT and $DE instead of just buying $DE b/c I could be wrong. It's easier to brag on Reddit when I have 20 positions over 5. There is a good chance one of my positions is outperforming the $SPY for the day : )
I'm sleeping pretty soundly with $TLT, GOLD, $EWY, and $EWJ as my largest holdings and a bunch of boring commodity & industrial stocks like $HAL, $MOS, $OXY, $AGCO, $DE, and $CAT to round out my port. It's my belief that the market is replacing the US 10 yr with Gold as the world's reserve currency. This explains gold 2x over the last 2 years and it's continuous bull run higher. The market is also repricing physical cap ex heavy asset stocks higher and repricing low cap ex data/bytes stocks lower. Foreign countries & investors are selling their US Big tech stocks & USD to stimulate their domestic economies whose companies are usually more industrial, manufacturing, and financial Vs US high reliance on Silicon Valley. This explains foreign stocks outperforming the $SPY for over a year now. Investors are also paying a premium for stocks in industries that seem more free from disruption from AI. $CAT and $DE for example aren't likely to be disrupted by AI until AI can plant & harvest crops or build a data center. We had a similar cycle b/w 2002-2012 after the internet infrastructure boom & bust.
I like HAL and SLB. Not flashy but this is a stretch of history in which they are performing well and should continue. I also like FMCC FNMA at the current price point. There is some risk though because the White House is unpredictable.
First I’ve heard the term, but I’ve been hearing this strategy lately, a few months back I picked oil infra- HAL and SLB - for this reason and they’re doing well.
HAL is going to pump so hard when 🥭 shoots up Iran and oil spikes
In an event of an attack fundamentals will matter a bit less, lol. CHRD is a clean play though, zero middl east exposure. In general in oil sector refiners will probably have a mixed reaction, depedening on crude access. Tankers will enjoy a rates spike because of disruption in Strait of Hormuz disruption . Defense stocks go up, may be RTX, LDOS, PLTR . I have XOM, HAL, SLB, HON, MSFT, MCD all having subsidaries in middle east but not sure how much they would be impacted. But whatever it will be , will be negative. All the susbidaries I have for CHRD are 100% in US
It's very possible. Many of these commodity names run together. I am adding $BTU to my $AA, $MOS, $HAL commodity bucket. I don't need more metals so I am buying coal. I am building a very diversified port that is very tech light. I want cap ex heavy asset stocks. Atoms are more valuable than bytes in this market cycle.
My Stock Portfolio: NBIS MVST HAL BLK AVGO MU META RIOT MSTR
HAL and SLB were cheap today
You are better at this than I am. I mentioned earlier I bought $EWJ, $EWY, and $PHYS. This is with the cash from selling out of $SQQQ. That's the areas where I am thinking long term. I'm considering trimming $TLT since I still have a shit ton of shares from last April. I also added a small lot to $HAL. US big oil is going to steal that Venezuela oil. I think I should stick with trading ETF's. These market moves feel like there's either liquidity or margin calls issues and everything could drop at the drop of a hat. I'm worried that gold may not hold up as well as I would like.
I'm getting out of the way of these overpriced US stocks. I've been putting off buying $EWY and $EWJ waiting for a pullback that has never come. I just bought & will DCA in both starting today. Reddit can have fun with these overpriced American stocks. I'll bet on Mitsubishi and Samsung along with Gold. The world is watching the US AI bubble pop and pulling their Yen, Yuan, and Won back home. I guess I am now long Japan, South Korea, Gold, commodities $AA, $MOS, $HAL, and $OXY, and US treasuries. I will let reddit BTD in software and tech. Even US staples like $WMT and industrial stocks like $CAT are expensive.
My take (which judging by my wallet, is usually 100% wrong) is that more are slowly realising that the AI we’ve leveraged the economy against has more in common with the Wizard of Oz than HAL 9000. As for crypto, maybe just cause… it doesn’t do anything and is basically literally worthless and stupid?
Agreed. That's why I have been buying $MOS which is potash & phosphorus and trading at a discount to $NTR. Crude Oil is interesting. I am more interested in the $OIH stocks ($HAL) and the pipelines over the pure crude oil stocks. I do think we are seeing a repeat of the market being to forward looking on the electrification of America. I've long compared crude oil stocks to the tobacco stocks in the 1990's. Yeh, we are moving away from crude oil, but the market is pricing in the transition 30 years to early. Just like when I was a kid, everyone could tell cigarettes were on their way out beginning in the 90's. The problem was the market was discounting the next 30 years of revenues until that transition happened. And even now, those nasty nicotine pouches are still making Phillip Morris & British Tobacco profitable.
Nice day for $MOS up +4%. $HAL is up 3%. Those are the 2 stocks I've been buying and spamming reddit about along with BTD in Gold.
Halliburton. There is 303B barrels of Venezuelan crude oil now available to be drilled and $HAL sells the equipment & service that are necessary to drill for that crude oil.
Well think of how tech is the largest concentration of the indexes. So if that goes down likely tech or macro. Have to find the value investments. I had BTU, HAL, NOV, AQN, PAX before their runs. Also long the Yen bc I think the carry trade is screwed
I prefer to buy stocks that are going up, not the Mag 7 AI circlejerk stocks that are always upvoted here. I bought $HAL, $MOS, and $AA today. Hard Assets > Financial assets during this cycle.
I got some short puts and PMCC on $XOM, $CVX, $MMM, and $HAL. They’re a bit of boomer stocks but you need the capital and connections to play the energy and infrastructure game. Oh and $DOW too.
Nobody with money cares about ICE. We're buying ITA and HAL.
If the US is going to go full Iraq in South America HAL a great track record.
I am going to buy HAL in 10 minutes!