Reddit Posts
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
CPI, Earnings and the return of the corporate bid
Retiring in 8 to 10 years, going 80% S&P 500 / 8% QQQ / 6% SMH / 6% single stocks. Rate it.
Why do people constantly argue overvaluation when the earnings tell a different story?
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Sold my QQQ $758 puts expiring today at $4.21 Before Sell Off
🚀 [DD] WHY $MONQ50 IS THE NEXT MULTIBAGGER ROCKET SHIP TO THE MOON (GME VIBES INTENSIFY 💎🙌)
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Rate my Portfolio. What would you do differently?
Lost close to $5000 of capital and need help
I think I got robbed on this QQQ iron condor today 🤦♂️
Pension Funds Are Selling $32B of U.S. Equities But the Setup Is Improving
Selling 30-DTE TQQQ cash-secured puts after large QQQ red days — looking for criticism
Has anyone consistently beaten QQQ over the past 15 years?
The cucks favorite investment basket is voo
2-year update 37, blue collar lawn care business owner. $173k then, $248k now. Still aiming for $1M or retire by 45. Posted here two years ago at $173,000 and got a ton of advice, some of it good. Figured I owed an update.
I Was Too Cautious Yesterday, But I’m Not Chasing
My Iron Condors got absolutely racked today
$QQQ Gains- All because I fell asleep on Friday
$QQQ I bought these to sell same day in mid afternoon but fell asleep… any chance here in getting out alive?
NEVER KYS PART 2 — We are almost even with QQQ since I downloaded Robinhood❤️
Took $2 profit and missed out on close to $600 profit
$250k invested in an eToro QQQ CFD for 20 years, should I move to IBKR despite a huge tax bill?
What % of your portfolio is in single stocks vs ETFs?
What % of your portfolio is in single stocks vs ETFs?
I stopped journaling option spreads using the mark price
The Warsh Effect and Wednesday's Rate Announcement
What % of your investments do you have in single stocks?
Don’t underestimate the impact of Dario saying “we must slow development of AI due to safety concerns”. Should impact QQQ bigly
Investment thesis for week 9/14 - 9/18
For poor man 0DTE options, is IWM my best bet? 🤔
Options buying with a $100K account ? (Intraday vs Swing)
Debit spreads taught me that being right too early can still be annoying
Can a squirrel trade options better than me?
Looking for a meme that was posted a while ago
Making a living and much much more trading options on $1K a day
Tax straddle treatment for downside protection of portfolio with puts
Can you guys tell when I started following this community?
Individual stocks or VGT, why take the risk?
Does anyone avoid diversification (like me)?
Four years in, what’s everyone’s take on JEPQ?
Post Jackson hole & next week Japanese government bonds
Can we break out of the QQQ channel that we’ve been in since 2023
NVDA Confirms the Memory Bottleneck, PCE Stays Mechanically Hot & Positioning Turns Bullish Into Jackson Hole
Bear season on the way. Rainbow gay bear reporting for duty!
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Everyone loves tech stocks right now. That’s exactly what worries me about the next 10 years.
Mentions
Just woke up from a nap, excited to check on my QQQ calls
QQQ is up 4% since a month ago though
full port MRNA at the peak, sell it at a 2x for QQQ and retire
Goto Tradingview and type in IWM/QQQ or RSP/QQQ It's higher interest rates, or worries of, hitting the banks, regional banks, high debt smaller companies, companies that need more financing. SOXX and DRAM are starting to get whacked. They might lead QQQ. Watch XLK,XLF,XLV. If it rotates between those 3 it's rotation. If they all go down together it's more than rotation.
Put the rest into QQQ Dec puts. We’re on the precipice now.
awww sheet yea that was QQQ top, see you on the other side
FFS I know we haven't event corrected, have not event broken the ATH bounce check for QQQ but this pull back feels fucking deep man.
That's a good point, and I agree that defining the indicators and timeframe beforehand is important. I've been looking at IWM/QQQ over roughly 20–60 trading sessions. The ratio has been deteriorating, suggesting persistent small-cap underperformance relative to Nasdaq leadership. However, I recognize that relative underperformance isn't necessarily the same as deteriorating market breadth. Comparing equal-weight versus cap-weighted indices, alongside the percentage of constituents above their 50- and 200-day moving averages, would help distinguish broader participation weakness from sector-specific repricing. My main question is whether we're seeing a temporary rotation or a more persistent withdrawal of risk appetite from smaller growth companies.
I want the reverse Santa rally. -50% on SPY by Christmas. -75% on QQQ. -99.9% ON SOXX.
Banks shit the bed, ppi and cpi fucked, QQQ -.1%
Look at the RSP. Look at QQQ. It's literally that simple.
https://preview.redd.it/rk3brxgfv3vh1.jpeg?width=1645&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4118debaf67aec75279b167f0fc1a06fb72bacf9 4 year old bull market lol QQQ pictured
VOO and QQQ are so concentrated in AI it is literally just an AI trade or one step removed. Not nearly the diversification you think it is
you're young. You'll make more money in your job and soon forget about this little loss. Don't get discouraged by this loss. Stock market is the best instrument for wealth accumulation over time. But learn your lesson. Don't put all your eggs in one basket, unless you are buying an ETF (VOO, QQQ, etc). If you buy individual stocks, diversify across a few and think longterm.
Woke up from a dream that QQQ was +9% now I’m angry 😡
Meaning you don't think price inflation is a problem, and you also believe the "growth" from the AI boom is sustainable. Everyone always thinks rates won't hurt equities much...and they're wrong each and every single time. It just takes longer than they think it will. Clearly people have convinced themselves at this point that tech is somehow immune to rising bond yields, even though higher rates have already caused a correction in utilities and real estate sectors...and communication doesn't seem all that happy either. Tech will be last, but it will fall the hardest. The best comparison is 2000. Tech was the last to get \*thwapped\*, but then it fell nearly 80%. Look at the indices today...DJIA +.41 and QQQ -.71%. There's a whole lot more ground to make up there. ...and much of the reason rates are up 870% on US 10y paper since 2020 is because of the massive tech borrowing. They're gobbling up so much private equity capital they're strangling the irresponsible government borrowing machine. lol
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** ▼ | $700.00 (below) | $745.53 | $745.61 | -6.1% | Thu, Oct 29, 1:24 PM ET |
Got some QQQ calls for tomorrow, wish me luck
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** ▼ | $700.00 (below) | $745.53 | $745.90 | -6.1% | Thu, Oct 29, 1:24 PM ET |
**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 0W - 4L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** | $723.57 (below) | $745.95 | -3.0% | Thu 4:16 PM ET |
Yeah that's the best move. My main regret is not picking individual stocks (at least I don't do options lol) and putting more in QQQ and VOO.
Got pinned down to QQQ 745 and fucked in the ass today. I hope that colonizer son of a bitch is rotting in hell
At 40 yeah. But I bought VUG/QQQ on next red day
Hopefully, Data is hot again so they do another hike and QQQ we’ll go up another 10%
I picked up 3DTE QQQ puts myself
I just disagree. SaaS companies are also evolving, AI features and agentic workflows are now common. They'll continue to evolve to stay at the bleeding edge. Regardless features isn't what get business. They've built up relationships with customers with sales engineers and account executives. They have solution architects that help integrate the software with the customer alongside building custom solutions. They have on-call technical support staff that have direct communication lines with the companies. They have cloud integrations in order to scale their services. They have robust ci-cd pipelines and other platform infrastructure. I can go on and on. Software is so much more complex than the surface level UI and features users see. I can see some products like maybe adobe's photoshop hobbyists will use some other free solution. SaaS revenue continues to grow. There's literally not one major SaaS company in the SP500 or QQQ that is losing revenue quarter over quarter. AI is mature enough to where if apparent disruption were to happen it would have happened by now. Retail investors are extremely unsophisticated. SaaS isn't going anywhere. I can't predict where the stock prices will be but I absolutely am confident their revenues will continue to grow through the near and medium term, they'll actively evolve their products and services alongside AI. Side note - there have been some disruption like Chegg and stackoverflow only because AI made their business models uncompetitive. not because of cloning their software but rather AI can cheaply and trivially produce answers to queries which was their business models.
B00m. 125% on 746c QQQ 0DTE
They don't need to be, plenty of growth companies are not profitable and their stock prices are based off of future earnings expectations. Many tech stocks in QQQ are like this, it's nothing new.
Based on the chat a lot of you guys exclusively trade SPY, QQQ, and semis Not that that was the wrong choice considering the last year or so, but a lot of individual stocks are doing quite well today.
What tech bubble? QQQ expected earnings for next year is 22x, or about the same as the lowest point of the dot com bust in 2002.
Let’s goo QQQ let’s moonnnn
QQQ avg vol: 31.73M today: 9.50M
This price action is actually not gay enough for me, can the MMs make it even worse and exponentially more boring, so the entire world is just looking and sighing at SPY and QQQ? Thanks
I still own some QQQ but outside of that I am so done with MU and other semis. Yeah it's going to go back up eventually but these wild swings either way are so stressful. Glad I got out of it a few months ago and it used to be over half of my port.
Man at this point I need Ayatollah Khamenei himself to get on the camera and say to pump QQQ
I'm the regard that thought QQQ would be 750 today
QQQ will almost certainly continue to win, but it definitely still feels a lot scarier to buy in now then it did lets say 4-5 years ago
QQQ shitting the bed as usual.
For anyone revisiting this Reddit post - you are correct, as of 2026, fractional options do in fact exist, and will be available for you very soon. For years the answer here was a flat no, since one contract meant 100 shares and that was simply how the market worked. That rule didn't change because a broker got generous. It changed because someone rebuilt how the contract itself is made, so you can now hold a slice of a real option the same way you'd hold a slice of a share. Each contract has a 1x multiplier instead of 100, and orders can be any fraction down to $1 of notional, so the at-the-money SPY call that costs $600 on a normal broker costs $6. The first underlyings are SPY and QQQ, the options are European and cash-settled, and the book never closes, so you can trade nights and weekends. Your collateral stays yours the whole time, and there's no wallet, seed phrase, or gas anywhere in the process. We'll leave the details for when you go looking. But if you landed here because one NVDA call costs more than your rent, you're early, and you won't be for long. Your good Omen is coming.
QQQ is mostly tech. The other sectors are up today because of rotation out of tech
QQQ giving those scary jerks downward. Im out on my calls. TYFYATTM.
whats better for 0dte, SPY or QQQ
QQQ Shrek Dick incoming
QQQ really really wants over the EMA9.
QQQ about to rocket to 752.
You sure about that? KORU moves like QQQ and SOXL, when risk on env is on, all go up. Single stocks shouldn't have problems with recovery, KOSPI/EWY may because whole rally was fueled by leveraged ETFs, and leverage is kinda banned now.
goodbye QQQ, it was nice knowing you (*NOT*)
Getcha QQQ puts while they're cheap
QQQ gonna float $750 - $747 all day
QQQ stop dropping please thanks
SPY flat. QQQ selling. Nice.
Have some QQQ calls that look dead on arrival. Feeling like today’s gonna be a holding pattern.
lmao the QQQ comment is actually the most reasonable take here. at least that one has some historical precedent of actually working out. putting money on black is just gambling with extra steps
cant wait to buy QQQ at 600 waiting for the 20% correction
intel doesn't even make money, try holding MU which is one of the most profitable companies on earth and is still dumping while QQQ is at ath.
Cuz my greedy, greedy, greeeeddyy ass had watched it not move for a whole 7 weeks while the market hits ATHs and now I’m getting the QQQ fomo
Options Either QQQ calls at open or 4dte puts at high of day
this has been disastrous to your portfolio and returns. $QQQ is up 44% since he took office. we're here to make money, not to comment on politics.
nice plan but especially the QQQ/SMH and 6% single‑name (NVDA) looks like over‑concentration; consider upping the large‑cap core to about 90% VOO/VTI and putting the 10‑15% into diversified growth or international; keep a bond ladder for the 40‑year‑horizon and test your 10‑year trailing rule against a realistic drawdown before you lock it in.
SPY and QQQ need the day Kospi is having
80% S&P plus QQQ plus SMH is the same 10 companies wearing three different tickers. and the january rule means you'll cut the tilt right at the bottom, nice system
80% S&P plus QQQ plus SMH is the same 10 companies wearing three different tickers. and the january rule means you'll cut the tilt right at the bottom, nice system
what a roller coaster ride already at your age. i got shaken out of some positions during liberation day that would have been massive today too. with the benefit of hindsight, at your age i feel like if one has a decent income and just accumulates QQQ shares, it seems like the best risk-adjusted way to hit a million dollars relatively quickly.
Yep I agree, I don’t think Apple is a perfect hedge. A drawdown would affect them too if the QQQ starts breaking down but they should be the quickest MAG7 to recover
This is a thoughtful plan, especially the spending rate, long horizon for your dependent, and precommitted rules. My main concern is that the “tilt” may be less diversified than it looks: the S&P 500, QQQ, SMH, and NVDA overlap heavily in large-cap tech and semiconductors. I’d stress-test the whole portfolio—not just the tilt—against a long stretch of U.S. large-cap underperformance, a major drawdown near retirement, and the dependent’s needs. What bond allocation and cash-flow plan would protect the retirement date if stocks fell hard in years 7–10?
Nothing I just have CSPs on QQQ and holding NKE for a quick flip while holding 70% cash earning interest. Waiting for the dip before I open bigger positions
https://preview.redd.it/gvamybuv4xuh1.jpeg?width=1206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6d7c548609bae413532088d4cbef8fa5042f8d43 Okay here I mainly trade QQQ and big tech
I will renounce my homosexuality and delete Grindr if QQQ closes above $760 tmrw.
Let it be a 3% up day on the QQQ based on vibes and nothing more
the plan is solid on the big index, but the tech tilt feels like a neck‑tied safety net. 80% S&P and 8% QQQ already overlap a lot in FA>NVDA etc. If the same chip cycle hiccups, you could be staring at a 30–40% hit close to your 8‑year mark. Also the legacy leg with 40‑year horizon could use a bit more diversification – maybe a slice of global (e.g. VTI + XWO) and some bonds earlier, the 3‑year-before‑retirement window feels tight. Brown‑out if a shock hits; you’ll still be riding the crash before you start realigning. Consider a 70/30 US/International split plus 10–15% bonds from year –5 to start smoothing out the tail risk.
Puts on SPY and QQQ all day.
Nice! Congrats. ; ) Do you ever buy options on QQQ or SPY?
Age is the central question. Or brass tacks, number of years you plan on living, I suppose. In any case, this portfolio doesn't make much sense. 8% QQQ? Why bother, considering the overlap. And OP cites NVDA as a single stock, but it's the biggest position in both QQQ and S&P. Just pointless. /u/Inevitable_Abies_777 not trying to slam your concept here, but it's just fussing around the edges. If you're going risk-on, just VOO it up, or if you're looking for a reason to actively oversee it, 90%+ VOO with a splash of individual SMH components. Otherwise, you're better off derisking from the S&P, not leaning into it. Take a lesson from the train industry—the sign is a big RXR—as in, do not cross Risk and Retirement
you are pretty heavy nvda, SMH is a large part of QQQ and SP500, NVDA is the largest part of SMH
Q3-earnings time 10yr rate at 22 years high. AI companies revenue shrinking, as companies see not big profits from tokenized spending plan. Performance improvements doesn’t mean profits gain. Existing models good enough, no need new models, where is profit ? $SPY $QQQ see it
It most definitely is. I can’t argue that. QQQ puts also work. lol
Yeah, I'm semi-retired and I wouldn't want anything in QQQ if I'm in in SPY (which I am not). I'd recommend much more VXUS (or equivalent for your country).
Tech Weekend is pumping https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/mkts:QQQ Bears are fucked!
Because QQQ is heavy into AI companies which is going crazy right now. If/when the bubble pops then it will most likely fall more than the S&P. It's not bad to invest in both. Just know what your risk exposure is to a small amount of stocks.
Okay well explain to me why QQQ is out performing SPY
Spy isn't a diversified basket anymore anyway. QQQ beats everything (or even SOXX) so why even dilute your gains by not fullporting into tech?
>QQQ and SMH add the chip-making and memory layer the S&P under-owns Semis are \~20% of the S&P 500. Do you really call that "under-owned"? Compared to what? I see that you're going all-in on AI. I understand that. I believe AI is a revolution not a fad. But the reason why semiconductor stocks have risen so much is partly due to a supply shortage which has caused margins to skyrocket. Micron's gross margins have traditionally been near zero. Now they are 75%. Even if revenues will stay permanently higher than they used to be (and I think they will), margins will not, because high margins attract new supply. Memory chips in particular are a realtively simply component that will be commoditised. Nvidia is a great company that will do well, but their 75% gross margins are not sustainable either. They hail from a time when there was no alternative to Nvidia (because of CUDA) and almost all GPU use was training rather than inference. Mass market inference will not permanently pay anyone 75% margins. So while I believe in the AI story in the long run, I think we are in an extremely unsual phase of this development. Capital investment in this technology is at historical extremes as a percentage of GDP. Only the railroad boom in the late eighteenhundereds is comparable and could yet be dwarfed by the AI investment boom. I'm not predicting a crash and I have no idea about timing. But while you can ignore normal business cycles when your investment horizon is 10 years, I think you cannot ignore the historical dimensions of what's going on right now. This is highly unusual. In my opinion you are way overexposed to semis. You're doubling down procyclically on the one part of the AI industry that's currently profitable. If AI is to succeed then others will have to benefit from it as well and semiconductor margins will need to come back to earth.
Your overall approach seems reasonable given your 2.8% spending rate and long investment horizon. But a few things stick out to me. QQQ, SMH, and your individual stocks add considerable concentration to technology and semiconductors already heavily represented in the S&P 500. You acknowledge the risk of another technology bust like the one following 2000, but limiting your additional tilt to 20% doesn’t account for the exposure already embedded in your core holdings. The AI investment thesis is plausible, but enormous capital spending doesn’t necessarily translate into superior stock returns. A lot depends on how much future growth is already reflected in valuations. Lastly, you may want to focus more on managing sequence of returns risk as retirement approaches rather than waiting until three years out to begin shifting toward bonds. Overall, you’re in a much better position than most. Congrats, and good luck on your journey toward a comfortable retirement!
Why do you keep referring to outperformance? Financial planning includes more than solely stock gains. We all have access to the same index funds and QQQ. It’s not rocket science. Some people need more than performance picks. It’s simple. Speak for yourself.
NVDA: 8% of S&P 500, 9% of QQQ, 22% of SMH, 100% of NVDA Numbers not exact but watch for concentration risk.
can’t relate only holding QQQ, SOXX, and UPRO
I’d keep Bitcoin at about 10–12% and trim a little from VT, then add a 3–5% position in a high‑quality semiconductor ETF like SMH or a diversified tech ETF like QQQ. To hedge against a 40–50% market drop, put a small cush‑er in a low‑volatility bond or money‑market UCITS‑compliant fund—those are hard to liquidate but provide a safety net while you still chase upside. Also double‑check the tax rules for crypto in your country; selling can trigger a tax event even if capital gains are nominally exempt. That’s a balanced way to boost risk‑adjusted return without blowing the diversification that keeps early FI realistic.
i just checked, both are behind QQQ
Looks great! Real shit. This is what 99.9% (my self included) should be doing. Only thing I’d change is cut DGRO and move it to SCHD. And cut the other three things that are less than 2% of portfolio value. So 50% SP500 index. 15% QQQ. 25% SCHD. 10% for one of the other three depending on age and risk tolerance.
Fair points. This is not an AI/ML algorithm or a price-target model. It is a date-based market-timing hypothesis overlaid on actual QQQ closes. Before the next update, I will publish one locked forecast card: probability for each scenario, the base-case invalidation level, expected QQQ ranges for October 31 and December 31, and the benchmark used for comparison. The original card will remain unchanged, with weekly results appended rather than rewritten. The useful test is not whether one of three narrative paths can fit after the fact. It is whether the timing model improves directional accuracy, range calibration, and forecast error versus a simple hold-price and trend baseline.
Since you're planning to track how the model ages, I'd make the forecast testable before the next few weeks unfold.The levels are useful, but with bullish, bearish and sideways paths, almost any market outcome could eventually fit one of the scenarios.I'd assign probabilities to each path now, define what invalidates the base case, and record expected ranges for fixed dates like October 31 and December 31. Then keep those original forecasts unchanged as new weekly updates come in.The most revealing comparison would be against a simple benchmark, such as projecting the current QQQ price forward or using a basic trend model. If your algorithm consistently produces smaller forecast errors or better-calibrated probabilities, that's evidence it's adding something beyond a plausible scenario map. One small clarification: the chart says weekly closes through October 7, which was a Wednesday. Are those weekly sampled observations or actual week ending closes?I like that you're publishing the forecast before the outcome is known. Defining the scoring rules now would make the follow-up much more informative.
QQQM isn't a tech ETF. It happens to have tech in it route now but there are actual dedicated tech ETF's if that is what you want. My understanding is QQQ and by extension QQQM doesn't have a methodology that makes sense and it just happens to have ended up in a perfect situation. The data testing on other timelines did not do as well. But because of that it has been popular. Nothing wrong with it. It seems like it will do well. But I have seen mention that is is a arbitrary set up. I don't think there is any scenario where it massively fails or anything. I just focus on different tech ETF's myself.