QQQ

sloanemonroe

And I hope QQQ opens flat or even up a couple of dollars so I can get in puts.

Fantastic_Welcome_61

!p QQQ

Fantastic_Welcome_61

How come WSB Dashboard is showing QQQ at 637.47?

Jericho3434

I give you a 1/6 because of QQQ (assuming it’s not options).

DragonflyOrdinary848

!banbet QQQ 740 7d

Suitable-Gate-528

First thing at the opening bell tomorrow: we need to see if QQQ and SMH can stop the bleeding and start outperforming SPY again. If they keep lagging behind small-caps and defensives, it means the AI hardware cooldown isn’t over yet.

flowingwin

its best to play the trend and not try and time a reversal on options. The support level on QQQ has not been hit yet.

Particular-Nose-8932

Woof and here I’m worried about my QQQ 717 calls for Monday

Successful-Tea-5733

The primary counterpoint is that MSFT is already a large component of VOO and QQQ so if you own this indexes you already have sizeable exposure to MSFT. I bought ADBE for the same logic but also they are not a large component of thise indexes. 

lhbruen

My QQQ 733 Calls expiring Tuesday are RIP ☠️

Fun_Training4330

QQQ 770 by End of next week.

Chance_Note9368

This year is insane. Overall my accounts are up 80% YTD. I’ve been doing some speculative LEAPS on SOXL which is leverage on leverage on leverage and those returns have been a nice boost. Aside from that I’m all in on QQQ. This last week sucked and I’m down 20% from the previous week but still, the good far outweighs the bad.

SeasoningTheAbyss666

You need to limit your window. Middle of the day and end of day sees a lot of sideways churn. First 30 minutes of trading every day is when I limit my QQQ trade window, then open a 1DTE SPX short vertical in the afternoon at a .03 delta. I don’t use margin and I limit my trading to 10% of my account. I did well in May, but like you lost in June. It’s easy to get caught up in the gains and thinking you can make it back after taking some losses, but it’s that mindset that will always get you in a deeper hole.

Miamiconnectionexo

the bit about "downloaded 5-minute SPY/QQQ data from TradingView" stands out — TradingView's 5m bars aren't clean for 0DTE backtesting because they include pre-market and after-hours prints that don't align with 9:30-4:00 SPY options settlement. you might be getting phantom signals from 4:05am or 8:00pm candles that flat out don't exist in live 0DTE trading. worth checking if your backtest filters to regular session only, or if those extra candles are inflating your win rate.

RepairSubstantial735

Weekend futures are red. Where the fuck did you see them green? SPY and QQQ are both down more than their closing Friday price right now

Frequent-Gap-5088

So what I’m hearing is that I shouldn’t trade 0DTE QQQ options

StocksStormTrooper

SPCX is joining QQQ

Sea_Local2557

when people are taking out high interest personal loans to make leveraged bets on semiconductors you know that it's time to short SOXX and QQQ

LhasaMama3

Mostly traded 0DTE QQQ is likely where everything went wrong. Let me guess, you bought those 0DTE’s and hung onto them for long periods of time hoping?

Candid_Payment_4094

A lot of QQQ is already deep in 🌈🐻 territory. ORCL is essentially back to April 8 levels. GOOGL is back to pre-earnings. META is at March 31 levels. We all know about MSFT. NVDA is down 18% from ATH. Not saying load up on 0DTE calls, but this isn't the worst entry to step in

guy_cloutier

Restart the "war". QQQ to 650. World peace. We pump again.

Longjumping-Cook-842

Appreciate the detailed response — you're right on the implementation, and it changes my numbers. The missing piece was the entry logic: first trigger TOUCH locks direction, that same candle must close beyond or the setup is dead, no later candle confirms. Once I implemented that exactly, my SPY count drops from 85 to your range — and with a 14:00 ET entry cutoff I reproduce N=38 exactly. SPY trigger-fill total comes to +55.24 vs your +57.37 (within 4%). My earlier 85-trade version was a genuinely looser strategy, so that critique of mine was off. (What's your actual entry cutoff? 14:00 reconciled my count — curious if that's it.) One residual gap: my win rate lands \~68% vs your 84% — I book more small losers on what's otherwise the same day set. Best guess is my data runs a few June sessions short plus next-bar fill granularity, not a rule difference. The part that I think actually matters, though: I ran your EXACT rules in other years. Because price levels differ across eras I express results in basis points of underlying (bps), so they're comparable: 2026 H1 2022 2023 SPY +13.1 bps +2.2 +4.8 QQQ +12.6 bps -1.4 +0.1 The underlying edge is strong in 2026 H1 and \~zero (QQQ negative) in 2022 and 2023, with your exact entry logic. Win rates stay high (56-69%) in those years too — but expectancy is flat-to-negative. That's the scale-out signature: lots of small wins, a few scaled stops, high win% that doesn't translate to P&L. Whatever positive shows up OOS comes almost entirely from the short side in down/chop tape, not a stable edge. So I'd push back gently on "confident with the strategy overall." On the underlying it looks robust in-sample and regime-dependent out-of-sample — exactly the profile that tends to disappoint live. On options: fully agree neither of us priced the contracts, so I won't claim theta/spread "kills" it. But the flip side is the same — a high underlying win rate doesn't prove option profitability either, and the underlying base outside 2026 is \~0, so the options version would start from flat-to-negative in a normal regime. The thing worth doing before risking capital is pricing it against historical 0DTE quotes or honest paper fills. That's the only test that settles it. When I was starting I did this exact thing between gpt and Claude. Anyways, that’s it from me good luck dude 👍🏼

saffystaffie

so this was written by chatgpt because i can't be bothered to write it all, but i thought you'd be interested. i ran and reran the numbers I have, and I'm confident with the strategy overall: Thanks for running it, but there are several implementation differences here. The 38 SPY trades are reproducible once the full rules are applied: the first trigger touched locks direction, that same 5-minute candle must close beyond it, a failed trigger candle ends the setup, and there is an entry cutoff. Allowing any later candle to confirm either side produces your larger count, but that is a different strategy. I accept that I omitted those implementation details from the original post. I also reproduced the QQQ result directly from my TradingView file: 27 trades, 25–2 and +34.104. I did find one floating-point boundary issue where a displayed $4.28 range was stored as 4.279999…, so after correcting that it becomes 28 trades, 26–2 and +34.438. Holidays are already absent from both datasets; the 120 days are actual trading sessions. Your fill criticism is fair insofar as trigger-relative targets are not identical to movement captured after the confirmed entry. On the actual 38 SPY trades, adjusting to the next-bar entry reduces approximately +57.37 to +42.97, not +33.7. Your 52% reduction is calculated on your separate 85-trade implementation. I also agree that the width band needs OOS testing. However, your 2022 test percentage-scales every dollar rule and replaces the fixed band with a rolling percentile band, so it is a useful robustness test rather than a replication of the exact strategy. The 2026 period was directional, but it was not simply a bull tape with no downtrend: QQQ had an approximately 11.8% decline, 15 of the 27 trades were shorts, and about 62% of QQQ points came from shorts. Finally, I agree that underlying points do not prove option profitability. That requires historical option quotes or live paper fills. But because neither backtest priced the contracts, saying theta and spreads definitely eliminate the edge is also not demonstrated yet.

Ordinary-Bee-6351

If toy has just left in the QQQ, you would be up huge!

Longjumping-Cook-842

I ran it through my system for the same period and one oos just for quick test and this is what it returned. \# Reddit "ChatGPT 0DTE SPY+QQQ bot" — Independent Replication & Findings Layer tested: UNDERLYING-POINTS ORB only (their backtest was also underlying-points, not option premium). Honest causal fills. \## THE STRATEGY (as posted) \- SPY: 9:30–10:30 opening range (5m), trigger $1 beyond range, enter 0DTE call/put AFTER a 5m candle closes beyond trigger. Scale 25% @ +1.50/+2.25/+3.00, 25% runner to +5.50. Hard stop -3.00. Time-stop if +1.50 not hit in 60min & <+0.50. Force-close 15:30. \- QQQ: 9:30–10:00 range, trigger $0.75, ONLY trade if range width in \[4.28, 5.14\]. Scale 40%/40%/20%, runner +5.50, stop -5.00, runner->BE after TP2. Force-close 16:00. \- KEY: targets/stops measured in UNDERLYING points, NOT option premium. \- Their claim: SPY 38 trades 32-6 (84%) +57.37pts; QQQ 27 trades 25-2 (93%) +34.10pts; combined +91.47 over Jan 1–Jun 25 2026; every month positive. \## REPLICATION 1 — their window (Jan–Jun 2026) Their claim Mine (honest close-fill) SPY trades 38 85 SPY win rate 84% \~50% SPY pts/trade +1.51 +0.40 QQQ trades 27 30 QQQ win rate 93% 77% QQQ pts/trade +1.26 +0.81 Why it breaks: 1. SELECTION — a $1/60m-OR trigger fires \~73% of SPY days = 85 triggers, not 38. Their 38-of-120 implies an undisclosed filter or a hand-picked subset (the mechanism that manufactures an 84% win rate). My QQQ count (30) \~matched theirs (27), validating the OR math — so the SPY gap is real, not a bug. 2. LOOK-AHEAD FILL — their rules require a 5m candle to CLOSE beyond the trigger, but P&L is measured FROM the trigger (already in the past at close). Honest fill (close/next-open) halves SPY: +69.9pts (trigger) -> +33.7pts (close), -52%. 3. NO OUT-OF-SAMPLE — SPY +9.3%, QQQ +20.6% over the window, sharp drawdown then V-rally = wide opening ranges + trend-day follow-through, the friendliest possible tape for ORB. No downtrend, no chop, no OOS. 50W/8D over THAT is evidence of a trend, not an edge. 4. QQQ width band \[4.28, 5.14\] admits only \~26% of days = pre-selects clean mornings (tested separately below). \## REPLICATION 2 — out-of-sample regime test (2022 full year, down/chop, 251 days) Era-portable method: all dollar levels scaled to % of price; P&L in bps; width band defined causally on trailing 60-session \[p25,p75\] (no in-sample peeking). Does filtering for "clean" opening-range width add edge OOS? NO. No filter Mid-band width filter Delta QQQ (trigger-fill) +0.5 bps -1.8 bps -2.4 bps/trade WORSE SPY (close-fill) +0.9 bps -1.4 bps -2.3 bps/trade WORSE Their exact band (re-expressed %): \~0 bps QQQ, -3.5 bps SPY (worst SPY bucket). \- Whole strategy is flat-to-negative in 2022 regardless of filter (\~+1bps SPY, \~0 to -1bps QQQ, all within noise). Confirms the regime call: 2026 was the artifact. \- Win% stayed 64–70% while avg bps went negative — high win rate is NOT profitability. \- Honest caveat: magnitudes are single-digit bps/trade, within sampling noise. Precise statement: "no detectable positive transferable width-filter effect; point estimate negative on both symbols and both band definitions." \## THE OPTIONS LAYER (why points never mattered) "+X underlying points" is NOT a return. Their backtest priced zero options. Translating to actual 0DTE P&L only makes it worse, three ways: \- THETA: a 0DTE ATM option bleeds extrinsic continuously; a +1.50 underlying scale (\~+0.20% on $745 SPY) booked an hour in can be flat-to-negative after decay. \- SPREAD: 0DTE bid/ask is routinely 5–15% of premium round-trip — paid on every one of 85+ scale-out legs; the points model never pays it. \- STOP ASYMMETRY: risks -3.00 underlying (frequently a -60% to -100% premium loss on a 0DTE) to make +1.50 first (a small, theta-eroded gain). The option translation flips a marginally-positive points tape into large-loss-for-small-gain. \## BOTTOM LINE 1. Edge is REAL BUT \~HALF the claims (SPY \~+0.40/trade @ \~50%, QQQ \~+0.81 @ \~77%) — and only in-sample. 2. The 84% SPY win rate is NOT reproducible (their 38 trades vs my 85 = selection). 3. Entirely inside one trending half-year; flat-to-negative in a 2022 OOS test. 4. The "clean range" width filter does not transfer — flat-to-negative OOS. 5. None of it survives translation to actual 0DTE option P&L (theta + spread + stop). => No edge worth trading.

RepairSubstantial735

Considering SPY and QQQ are lower right now on 24 hour markets than they were on Friday, i wouldn't get my hopes up

Key_Category_8531

Recent news has not be good with top AI researchers leaving. Other tech stocks are down as well and the index is doing bad. QQQ is eating shit and VOO no where close to all time highs. So the market is just bad now

RepairSubstantial735

And right now 24 hour markets show everything under their closing price on Friday such as SPY and QQQ. Although it's not decisive until Monday it's a pretty good outlook that Monday will in fact be fucked

NotMe357

Nahh...war is over. Oil didn't do anything. Ever QQQ/SPY didn't do anything after the news came out. Hell, ever Weekend Oil or index didn't move either now.

saffystaffie

I listened to those that mentioned a stop loss, and I changed the strategy- i posted my new one. the first one didn't run, partly because of me not being able to leave my laptop running and partly due to the trades not filling the requirements. I also looked at QQQ as well, and made a similar strategy. have a look at my new post on here.

PathofEnlightment

Yes. I was swinging middle of the day 0 DTE QQQ in quantities of 1500 contracts looking for 5 dollar gain per contract. Also MARGIN

Sharky-Li

Did you change what you traded because whatever you were doing before was clearly working unless the losses are from changing market conditions. Are you doing 0 DTE on SPY/QQQ or something?

Waste_Island_7980

You put six figures in and consistently lost. You did have a one or two big wins but by that time you're only breaking even. Anyways maybe don't invest 100k Like that. If you just put it in QQQ or VOO or SPY or whatever ETF you wanted you'd make a good bit of change in 10 years or if you just put 50% in ETF and indexes than 30% in single stocks you think are going to go up or give dividends than spend the rest on options you still would have probably been in the green after a few years. anyways. Sell you're food stamps and put it on 0DTE calls.

JSC077

Since SPCX joined the NASDAQ, all the MAG 7 companies are being sold off to make room for it. That's the fun of having a speculative, unprofitable company join the QQQ tea party by forcing the host to allow it's entry. Everyone has to make room for it.

blrtgj

What does 0DTE QQQ mean? I'm not from US and I'm a beginner with stocks

Cautious_Possible_18

All you had to do was buy QQQ and you’d have 150k.

cannythecat

QQQ 750 was the top, bol doesn't realize we are already in the lost decade

VolcanicCupid69

For the same reason, I usually play a small, ODTE when the market moves significantly at open the opposite direction of where weekly momentum is trending. When I see .5% move in spy Or QQQ early and have conviction the day will end the opposite direction i go OTM with 30% stop loss. I only need to be right about 1/4 times to be well ahead with outsized returns when I am correct. Mind you, this is a very very small position when I do it. Had 500% and 250% trades this last week going in on first move and being out by noon.

Fun_Training4330

My holdings: 50% QQQ, 50% NBIS, about 3% DRAM Am I safe for the next 10 years?

SnooCrickets5450

35% DBS - Singapore Bank, local stock for me 30% AMD - Rose from 7%, it was a small old bet that paid off 20% GOOG 15% A mixture of MSFT, BRK.B & QQQ Currently DCA monthly into GOOG annualized XIRR is 27.2% 6.5 year old portfolio

DealerOk4741

QQQ is my play next week

time_alliance

Lots of mixed sentiment across big tech this weekend, QQQ is the clear standout here.

Puzzleheaded_Soil275

Losing money on QQQ in this market is a legitimately impressive feat

Iunatic

\>AI is gonna crash reasonably soon I remember reading this when NVDA ripped 30% in a day to 500 in May 2023(?) lol. And again when it went from 500 to 1400 in like 4 months. QQQ would need to crash almost 60% and 40% just to get back to where this happened.

MotorUseful7474

QQQ ytd 17%, 1yr return 33%. Why so greedy?

Mavnas

> Mostly traded 0DTE QQQ options. Well, that answers most of my questions, TBH.

FraggDieb

This happend to me befor because I just forgot to delete my Stop Sell Order. When I trade SPY Options I mostly open two sell orders after buy. One for Stoploss and one for Profit taking. I normally do a OCA Order so when one is triggered, the other gets deleted. Yeah somehow I setup two different orders. My Sell Limit was executed and I took my profit. My Stoploss Sell order was still there and I sold a QQQ Put option. Luckily it closed above and I was able to take the premium. But this is how something like this happens

Technical_Scallion_2

I figured out that if you buy 0DTE OTM QQQ options every day, you run out of money

Far_Base_1147

Crazy to me that your takeaway is that it’s the market’s fault… Brother you were trading 0DTE QQQ options. That’s not “market rationality” testing. You obviously were throwing orders around without any idea of what you were doing. Quit it, you’re horrible at this

HotSpicedChai

Hey! you gave your money to that other guy who made a mil trading 0DTE QQQ that was on here earlier this week! It’s like we just witnessed the Circle of Life! Queue Lion King music. 

MemoryEXE

I already have QQQ. I dont want more exposure to MSFT

TreGet234

Yet QQQ 5% off ATH

DressedInPolo

"Mostly traded 0DTE QQQ options." There are so many strategies, and shit available, fuck you could even buy a stock 1$ less today and sell it 1$ mroe tomorrow. Everyone defaults to the highest risk shit? Eh fuck it, its just numbers on a screen

Solid_Caterpillar340

I feel you, I thought that if QQQ goes up, Bitcoin will catch up fast as well…

_AT198

S&P futures (SPX), 60% is taxed as long term capital gains/ 40% is short term vs Options which is 100% short term capital gains. S&P and SPX are virtually the same, except add a 0 to the price. Overnight gap is the index’s moving while the market is closed. Buy options at the close to trade the next day. Many hedge funds use SPY/QQQ to hedge overnight gap. Good Luck to you.

PirateCorrect

Thank you for the tip. I think I’ll use my iPad close by next time What platform do you use if not robinhood? What do you mean by SPX 60/40 tax treatment? Care to elaborate what you mean by overnight gaps on QQQ? Appreciate the feedback

_AT198

If you’re going to do this, use another platform from a computer. Scalping on Robinhood is not the way, you need hotkeys and fast fills to do this right and scale it. Also, use SPX 60/40 tax treatment. Good Luck. Trading overnight gaps, I use QQQ and wake up pretty happy.

Fun_Training4330

Why is QQQ still showing +1.4% after one month, just shut down this fkn sub

ExoStreaM

Kudos, best answer here. OP, you might even be lucky and SPY opens higher than $733 on Monday and you make a small profit. I once had some guy exercise an OTM short put on me. Next day, I basically got margin called because I was assigned $300k of QQQ at $594. Mind you, QQQ ended the day at $597 so that was crazy, I was already $3 in profit. As luck would have it, QQQ opened higher at $601 and I managed to sell for a tidy $2,750 of profit after including the broker’s interest of $300 on the $300k I borrowed. Lesson learnt for me was to play the cash settled options like SPX or XSP. SPY and QQQ were too scary for regards like me.

Sweaty_Platypus69

Just realized this week was really bad for the indexes - Spy -2% & QQQ -4%.

TacticalcalCactus

The fact that their PE is almost half of Walmart with their main growth drivers up dozens of percent with over half a trillion in legally locked in backlog id say its about as safe as it gets. Half the PE of QQQ and even lower than VOO with better profit growth. Maybe you can say buying at 500 was strained but the 350 range is very much a bargain.

TacticalcalCactus

I pulled my entire QQQ position last night and put it into MSFT, today MSFT was up 5% and QQQ was down 1% so I just rotated back with a free 6% QQQ gain. If it hits 355 ill do it again

solidsneeze

SPCX add to QQQ 15 days after ipo is not news. Nice try

Peeeeech

I guess QQQ is going to zero

frumpydrangus

You degenerates probably didn’t notice IWM is beating QQQ YTD

Junior_Barracuda_245

I’m about to start investing significantly more and looking for any tips. I’ve been putting almost all my extra income into paying off my mortgage as fast as possible, but want to increase my contributions towards investing. Loan rate = 6.125% and I’m hoping I can do better than that with a few etfs. I’ve been doing about $100 per month for less than a year. Would like to increase to $500 per month. I don’t really know what I’m doing, but plan on avoiding stocks (have VOO, QQQ, SCHD) and just making consistent contributions without panic selling. Is having just those few for example relatively safe? What picks do y’all have? Have you observed >6% growth from those over extended periods (want some assurance this is a smart plan rather than putting all my extra income into the guaranteed rate I pay on mortgage)? I’ve only got like 6 months and $600 history, but estimated growth is already VOO 6.3%, SCHD 12.0%, and QQQ 14.0%. I’ve kinda just randomly contributed so perhaps I accidentally timed a couple of those well idk, but 6 months history is a good sign so far and hoping y’all actually see high rates over longer periods.

RLBA

I lost a lot on them... get rid off it on the first climb and move to QQQ. Life becames 100x easier

ThetaEdgeHQ

The inverse ETF route is the worst version of this for the reason already noted, vol drag compounds against you the longer you hold. If you want a fixed budget crash bet, the structure that actually does what you want is a defined risk long put or put spread on SPY or QQQ, where your maximum loss is the premium by construction and nothing decays past it. A flat long put still bleeds theta and IV though, so if you are paying for the move and not for insurance, a put spread or a put ratio cuts the volatility and time cost a lot. And size it as a hedge ratio against what you already hold, not as a standalone 100k coin flip. The naked directional bet on timing the crash is the part most people get wrong, the structure is the easy part.

BananaBeach007

What is QQQ?

BananaBeach007

What is QQQ?

Biostatistix

Gamma exposure huge on QQQ at 700. If we break below 700 it’s gonna be a waterfall of red Monday. And all these retards are buying calls

Biostatistix

Got my QQQ puts ready 😩

Biostatistix

Why does the ticker tracker say QQQ is at 637$ LOL

Imaginary_Cow9217

Idk how I'm positive today when QQQ is down 1.5% I must've sucked the right pp in my previous life 🍆🙏

wildcat1055

QQQ hit 744 on Monday morning 😬

Biostatistix

!banbet QQQ $690 4d

Cautious_Panic_4167

Scalped every dip on QQQ. Today was awesome

Biostatistix

!banbet QQQ $690 06/30

elitepilot09

[https://imgur.com/a/o3hKFjV](Looks pretty flat to me. QQQ is not an index)

LadderAdmirable

SPY opens at 700 and QQQ at 670 on monday. Don't be a regard and ape into calls, give it 2-3 days for IV to calm down.

dreggers

QQQ down 1.5% is not a flat day

Serenaded

Because 5 years down the line, 95% chance you'll be saying "Damn I would've made more money had I just put it in QQQ"

NervousChemistry7401

QQQ was diving about 10 minutes before SPY. Should have seen that coming.

tropicalia84

Imagine buying QQQ instead of IWM

TokiAsuma

Uh why did QQQ just nuked?

Valkorion335786

Looking at QQQ 750c for next week I can hear the green goblin laughing

Embarrassed-Sky6890

The only put I had was a long dated 1 year QQQ put to hedge any losses

jamieperkins9999

Should have sold QQQ on the MU pump

wwb_99

I'm in a bit of a similar situation. This can make sense, especially if you have been successfully setting it, forgetting it and are sitting on large taxable unrealized gains you don't want to realize. I like buying long-dated QQQ or SPY puts -- pick the one that looks more like the rest of your portfolio. Like 18 to 24 months out. Outcome is you will either sell for a loss -- a loss that can be used to offset some other gains -- or end up with cash to invest when the market is crashing. There is a price tag, but this is buying insurance in most cases.

greyenlightenment

shorting btc, long QQQ free money still. my dad and i are both up huge running this method, I told him to run it on one of his retirement accounts

Samjabr

Buying QQQ Calls for end of next week DD: MURICA

Sweaty_Platypus69

QQQ going the wrong way again... 😂

pleasantchaos17

Ok QQQ, just drop off the cliff already. You know you want to.

Ambitious_Question15

QQQ 715 por favor

SayWhatOneMoreTiime

I can't get a beat on QQQ and can't seem to nail down any fucken trend. The moment I did guess right with enough confidence to go in, my coworker came to tell me some stupid fucken story about his lunch and I missed jumping in for a quick 50% gain. Fuck.

ChampionshipSoggy618

QQQ closing below 710 for sure

LadderAdmirable

SPY 725 and QQQ 700 by EoD. There is no happy ending here bols, get out while you can. LMAO

HopefulPlace7146

Just bought so many puts on QQQ. Hopefully I won’t need to get a job at Wendy’s

HopefulPlace7146

Just buy puts on SPY or QQQ a month out and you’ll make your loss back. Source: trust me bro

HopefulPlace7146

Just bought QQQ 660P 7/31. Wish my luck regarda