Reddit Posts
SOX just hit bear market territory. This earnings week is make or break for semis
I model dealer gamma daily. Right now all three big index ETFs are negative-gamma below their flip,
1DTE $21K SPY FD Yolo - 735P 7/20/26 220x @ .96 Each
Regarding the Recent Stock Market Movement
Regarding on the Recent Stock Market Movement
June CPI missed big but I'm not buying the full rally yet
Always a Pleasure $HOOD. Thanks again QQQ
Always a Pleasure $HOOD, Thanks again QQQ.
QQQ gonna spike soon (UP or DOWN)
Held these 0DTE over weekend. 11K QQQ calls am I cooked?
If June CPI comes in hotter than expected, is the better trade Treasuries or SPY/QQQ puts?
Investing is really a lifelong battle against our own emotions
A huge trade just happened on the Nasdaq 100. Bulls are taking notice
Your wheel is probably less diversified than delta makes it look
SpaceX is trading below its opening day price in its third week. Bag holder or bargain.
SpaceX is trading below its opening price, might not be the red flag it looks like.
Not meaning to spread FUD, but I just found this on the QQQ graph, and it's freaking me out
I think QQQ goes higher. Do I sell or keep this because theta?
Liquidated all positions: Sitting on $1.2M cash for a 2026 macro restart. How would you deploy this for the next decade?
I have currently sold all my stocks and have $1.2 million in cash on hand. I would like to purchase a new batch of stocks to hold for the lo
Trying to generate alpha using Nasdaq retail activity data
It ain’t much, AMZN, XSP, QQQ this week! First fully green week!
I built a simple “Regime Filter” using SPY and QQQ to decide when I’m allowed to buy new positions
Want to hear from the people who sold their QQQ (and other Nsdq 100) because of the addition of SpaceX
When will QQQ be more $ per share than SPY?
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
SpaceX to join Nasdaq-100 index on July 7
I used ChatGPT and Codex to build and backtest SPY + QQQ 0DTE trading bots
I was a six-figure trader 18 months ago. Today I officially qualify for food stamps. AMA.
Had a good day (with full transparency)
Curious how many of yall are profitable all time?
$SPY -- Bullish? -- 3DTE -- MU Earnings + Semi Catalysts
Why is QQQ/QQQM down 3.5% when NASDAQ is down only 2.1%?
The TSX is holding the line again today
Stocks are not "Plummeting Across the board" Your portfolio is just over-concentrated in tech.
i audited my daytrades from YTD and the results were interesting
QQQ recovers it's losses for the day in AH
Up 4X trading calls on the WSB T10 stock picks starting on January 2nd (thx 4 sndk). What are your new top picks? Will summarize comments
Warsh's first FOMC presser is Wednesday and nobody seems to be talking about the dot plot risk
Warsh's first FOMC is tomorrow and I have no clue what to do with my port
How am I doing? Started options 5/28 Nano account
Iran Peace Deal: QQQ up 2% // TA-35 Down 2% - a First since Trump got elected
SPCX is getting force fed into every index and you regards are measuring it wrong
What $10k invested in 8 major indices would be worth today *PART 2*
SpaceX is gonna rocket then drop to pennies but we have an opportunity here
SpaceX is gonna pump then get dumped but we have an opportunity
What $10k invested in 8 major indices in 2011 would be worth today
Mentions
Semi high capex, less margin $QQQ $SPY $SOXX How many semi Zombies survive at 10yr rate 4.6%
$QQQ $SPY $SOXX How many semi Zombies survive at 10yr rate 4.6%
About the time I decide to pivot out from QQQ, it lures me back in...
I bought a $40 QQQ call to offset my $5000 in puts. Hoping that it takes it down
Oh you need QQQ to go down? Here’s a 30 minute pump for you
Back in June I thought QQQ $745c 7/24 would hit LOL
$SPY $QQQ $SOXX $SMH High debt load scare, cut down spending, then semi & memory crash hard like meme
Lol funny enough I can see earnings *being* the catalyst for further bearish drawdowns I'm a permabull but QQQ has been giving me zero confidence since the end of May/early-June
How fucked are my [9/18 QQQ calls?](https://i.imgur.com/MJXCeHv.png)
QQQ closed remaining gap up to 705 that didn't get filled Friday then immediately dumped
Closed my 0dte puts too soon because I stay true to my flair. But still holding these QQQ 697 Puts expiring at the EOW
Is QQQ ded or is it bouncing
My 9/18 QQQ calls are down 40%... time to dump them right?
QQQ needs to violently reject this bounce and stay tf below 700
QQQ is such a piece of shit. Totally incapable of holding a lead anymore.
$NBIS $META $MSFT all have debt $ORCL all bad news priced in. Earnings still strong. 345 to 126 , when all scare at $650 Billion Backlog, loading at bottom here . $MU $SNDK $STX $WDC $QQQ $SOXX all give strong earnings
On the durability question: this reads more like a structural feature for IWM specifically, less so for SPY. If IWM was negative gamma every single day for three weeks while the Russell was basically flat, dealers never got a realized move that would force them to buy back that short gamma. So the reading isn’t waiting on a catalyst to resolve, it’s just the ambient state until put demand in that wrapper actually changes. That’s a different animal from a one-print artifact. SPY is more likely to be the one-print case you’re worried about. Right after monthly OpEx, a chunk of positive gamma from the expiring contracts rolls off before the next cycle’s positioning gets rebuilt, so the print right after tends to look more negative than the underlying trend really is. I’d want to see it hold for a week or so past the 17th before trusting the direction, especially with the July 29 FOMC pulling fresh hedging demand into near dated strikes right now. The split you’re seeing between the wrappers and the six names that weight them is consistent with a crowded dispersion setup: index level downside protection getting bought while the concentrated single names get call flow written against them. Those two tend to show up together, and it’s been a persistent pattern this cycle given how top heavy SPY and QQQ both are.
HOW THE FUCK IS QQQ UP BIGLY WHEN MOST UNDERLYING IS JUST RED 🤬🤬 this is why I hate memory stocks.
I bought some futes FDs because they looked dirt cheap, then I realized how regarded this shit is after I see the strike. Is QQQ 710 possible today ? 🤣
LOL, SPY and QQQ lost that 10-day truce pump already.
QQQ ripping while microsloppy drops
There are more ants in Korea than degens in Reddit. So there is hope for QQQ.
When does QQQ start doing something similar is the real question. The 30% increase it saw seems restrained and measured compared with the KOSPI but it’s built on the same house of cards
Not really , judging by the spy 10% and QQQ 15% up on a year. Just AI pull back so far plenty to room for nasty dip
I love coming to this sub. I have some SMH (10% of port) rest is in boring VOO QQQ and VXUS . I sleep peacefully at night
USO up, KOSPI down. QQQ and SOXX up? Something is not grocking.
Dunno QQQ dicking green. Tech might have a relief rally for a little bit until Tuesday
Your thesis is that because apple is at an all time high, it will go down? I mean eventually it will lmao, but how much more room does it have to rise. QQQ ran up for two whole months straight green days until we re-engaged in war. Do you really want to try and time the market because apple is at an ATH? How much loss can you stomach and double down on? You’re gonna end up like those koreans chasing the DRAM bottoms. What’s your counter-argument for apple rising because investors rotate capital from high-growth, high-valuation stocks into companies viewed as more stable. (i.e apple)
My QQQ calls don’t expire until December Plenty of time for a cum back
If QQQ is correlated at all to my dumps, tomorrow will be -3%
I lost 90% of my account last week on QQQ 0dte calls…tomorrow we make it all back fellow regards
Not really, Im not worried about geopolitical events because of my portfolio. Crashes are by far the easiest way to make money. I am just not a fan of needless suffering and if I am right there will be a shit ton of it. In regards to my portfolio, If the shit I described happens, I will walk away rich. I made 25K by buying July 17th QQQ puts for $124 at close on Thursday and sold them for $624 on Friday after open, netting 500% gains and $25k in my pocket. And if I am off base with the bearishness and tomorrows magically green, I will do just fine profiting from that aswell.
Correction: QQQ 0DTE OTM calls
Robinhood has been such an easy money maker. any dip you buy and you make money. May be easier than spy and QQQ
Holding 7/21 QQQ 710c Hopefully tomo it breeze past 710
QQQ futures are red
QQQ gona be down 5% this week thanks to Gyna mogging us
My returns are mostly just QQQ with some individual picks that have exceeded it. That doesn't change the objective truth about the value of ASTS or how big of a rookie mistake it is to buy cyclicals at the top of a cycle.
QQQ Will drill at open
Individual stocks have a tendency to drop significantly over time, go up, go down, last or vanish to 0 and shake so many people out. If I was advising my teenager, I would have them do 50% in voo 20% in Vt (total world including international) 15% in QQQ and then just randomly do the last 15% in a few different ETFs that he might have interest in like biotech, semis, health, sciences or insurance, etc. I would heavily discourage individual stocks unless he just wants to buy the mag seven or similar stalwarts and hold them forever. Individual stocks are the ones that weigh you down and you actually have to manage and they drawdown significantly in downturns. The ETS will get him rich by 50 if he just stays the course and keeps investing and doesn’t go in and out of the market. Broad picture advice encourage him to do ETF and not individual stocks unless it’s it one to 2% of his portfolio just for fun.
This was mostly my idea post 2022. If you think the makret is frothy, stay the course in QQQ or SPY because the opportunity cost of being wrong is too high. But if the market does crash then SPY will likely only be down 30% or so meanwhile many tech stocks will be down 50-70, so you can sell spy at a loss to rotate into the beaten down yet good companies. I suppose you could do something similar with TQQQ
VOO, QQQ, BRK, AMZN, GOOG are fine. IMO VOO should be larger even as a kid (foundational), woth the single stocks as satellites. The rest is a bit of a meme portfolio which I guess is not surprising. I made some dumb single stock investments as a kid too, but it was a decent learning experience 🤷 Also does he understand expense ratios? There are cheaper momentums so you keep the gains vs paying the fund managers. Momentums are great for tilt but this one costs quite a bit. Also something I didn't learn as a kid, selling decision should be made before buying, or setting a stop loss. Guardrails on the gambling. Sometimes that turned into a pleasant surprise, but more often than not, followed all the way to zero.
I sold NVAX at $2, micron. recently bought Netflix and Space X.i think I'm up 4% in my account and QQQ is up al17% ytd. it's a dividend account so I'm ok with 4% and my free paychecks all the time.
You were probably going to get further decline regardless then because it had become clear that the Nasdaq was in distribution from late fall and there was "woe is me AI is not going to work out" going on (which is now going on again for the past 6-7 weeks). Maybe not a 9% drop by the SPX (probably at least 5-7%), but it had become clear by late Jan that a -10% by the Nasdaq was programmed even in a no-Iran world because QQQ kept being rejected at $627ish constantly.
I mean QQQ dropped like $50 recently any of those days a cheap 0DTE would’ve printed
Nah what, shorting QQQ is insanely profitable if you time it right Shit can easily drop 2% while SPY won’t break 1%
Made me look. I’m down 8% since my mostly SPMO/QQQ/VONG IRA peaked on 30Jun and 13% in my regard port since my 01Jun peak. I hold some defensives and broader stuff, though.
I’m in shares. As far as what it’ll do, don’t be surprised if it just goes the opposite direction as QQQ most days regardless of earnings.
I'd cut the bonds out, and replace QQQ with QQQM. It's the same thing with lower expense ratio.
If Monday is a Luther down day, go full port outs on QQQ 4 months out 5% OTM. Give me 10% if it works out
What is that green spike on QQQ on hyperscaler?
>10% developing (SPYM) Is SPYM in the UK different than SPYM in the US? In the US it is S&P 500, which is basically the furthest thing you can get from developing. >20% Nasdaq 100 (QQQM) On including QQQ(M): Remember this has heavy overlap (over 80% by count last I checked) with the S&P 500 or US total market. **Look only at the inclusion criteria, not past returns** (as they’re a terrible way to judge future returns, at least in the way most people tend to believe). Do they make sense to you? Does it make sense to over weight these stocks based on the inclusion criteria of the index? They don’t to me, I view it as complete nonsense.
Lets see, the opposite would be: You buy TQQQ until you start seeing a down turn, then shift to QQQ until TQQQ breaks even.... If you want to lose money, yeah, I'd make sense.
Burry tweeted sell on Jan 31 2023, since then QQQ is up 110% and S&P 500 is up 75%
i bought 15k worth of spacex at $184 and just angry at this point because thats all i have in my roth. should i just sell it and buy QQQ??
See what happens with the Kospi first. If the whole markets down then puts on indexes like SPY or QQQ or their related levered ETF’s would have cheaper premiums relative to SNDK. Of course if we go green the same holds true.
Still outperformed QQQ and SPY since 2000
I am feeling AMAZING about my QQQ 700 Ps that expire in August. Bought those when QQQ was 734 2 weeks ago
Feeling great about my QQQ 700c
Nasdaq 100 does 14.5% on average. If i beat it, i beat the market in my vieuw. If not i better stick to QQQ instead
Well I suppose some people learn better lessons from experience. At least score yourself against the ETFs. When you can’t equal what QQQ is returning swing trading, switch to ETFs. I made money day/swing trading as well, but it took a lot of time and stress, and I made more at my day job. The life changing money came from simple buy and hold ETF funds over the last 10 years.
These people are idiots, the articles youre reading make sense. You can just buy QQQ and "beat the market" over a decade if the market is the S&P 500. You can buy the S&P 500 and "beat the market" over a decade if the market is the total US market. You can just lever up risk to a certain point and "beat the market", but you're only beating it when its going up, youre also losing more when it goes down. You have to match the beta of your portfolio to the beta of the index and adjust accordingly to know if you actually generated alpha or if you just took on more risk
We have not seen a true bear market in 17 years so it has felt like you do not need any risk management and stocks only go up. QQQ was negative for 16 years from its all time high in the early 2000s. That is a long time to miss out on gains if you just hold and chill index funds. Look up SGIIX mutual fund and it beats the sp500 since the 1970s very handily.
Just because someone posted a chart doesn't make it right: "Yes, the chart is wrong (or at least highly misleading). portfolioslab.com The image shows TQQQ (red line) dramatically underperforming QQQ (black line) over the full period since ~1999, with TQQQ ending far below QQQ (roughly in the low tens of thousands vs. over $100k for QQQ). That's not accurate based on real/hypothetical performance data.Key Reasons Why It's Wrong:TQQQ launched in 2010 — any "since 1999" chart for TQQQ requires hypothetical backtesting (applying 3x daily Nasdaq-100 returns to the pre-2010 period). This is common but sensitive to exact methodology, fees, and rebalancing. Post-2009/2010 bull market dominance: The Nasdaq-100 (and QQQ) had one of the strongest sustained uptrends in history, driven by tech. This environment heavily favors leveraged ETFs like TQQQ despite volatility decay. Real data since TQQQ's inception shows it massively outperforming QQQ. averageannualreturn.com Recent performance examples (with dividends reinvested, approximate as of mid-2026):10 years: QQQ ~$10k → ~$60k–$70k (annualized ~19–21%). TQQQ ~$10k → ~$350k+ (annualized ~42–43%). averageannualreturn.com Since ~2010 inception: TQQQ has turned $10k into millions in many backtests/charts (often 20,000%+ total return vs. QQQ's ~1,000–1,500%). totalrealreturns.com"
Sell puts on index funds QQQ/spy that you don't mind holding. Then sell covered calls if you are assigned. Read about options wheeling. Buying calls/puts feel like gambling to me.
Here's the play for the next 2 weeks. Every single day that we open green, buy 0dte QQQ puts.
Most who follow LETFs would not advocate for unhedged buying of TQQQ or any other 3x leveraged ETF. Most instead would combine leveraged ETFs with uncorrelated (not necessarily negatively correlated) assets that limit exposure. For instance, backtesting for this exact same period with 50% TQQQ, 20% ZROZ, 15% GLD, and 15% DBMF, and annual rebalancing, yields leverage tech at 1.5x - 1.8x QQQ that also combines other assets (treasuries, gold, trend following managed futures) that have a positive total return over long periods and allow for rebalancing into these assets during a tech bull run. There will always be risk of treasuries or gold and tech moving in the same direction during a cash (uncorrelated is not negative correlation), but since 2000 strategies such as these backtest with returns approximating 2x QQQ with the same max drawdown, and better sortino and sharpe ratios than QQQ, even when including the dot com bubble and great financial crisis, among other market events. While nobody should hold only TQQQ alone, strategies using TQQQ or leveraged ETFs that, at least on a historical basis, give the holder a good opportunity to beat the benchmark on a longer term basis.
Nah never had 100k at one time. Kept borrowing over time. Maybe at one point had 35k. Looking back at my history, first option trade ever was 1 QQQ call. https://preview.redd.it/blxpl6sk41eh1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a1b87b9c2f3dcead4e03cbfd7c291338d49c15dd
Kind of curious to see how my QQQ put opens on Monday. I was about to close it before the market closed on Friday, but those fragmented entries in that position totaling almost half a million really intrigued me.
Oof, this is painful. I 100% agree with the point being made, but the way it is made, particularly with that super misleading chart, is so sus. * The chart is log scale, which exaggerates the red line decline while obfuscating the red line's recovery. If the 10k line is the middle line, 1k is the bottom, and 100k is the top, a decline from the middle to bottom line is only 9k, while a gain from the middle to top is 99k, huge difference! This makes the early decline of the red line look like it's much worse than it actually is, in comparison to the black line. Furthermore, when the redline recovers, it obfuscates that the recovery is 100x, whereas in the same timeframe, the black line only gains 10x. * This kind of chart is being criticized in comments for being start-time dependent and that moving the chart to various other start times, like 2010, would have a different result, which is correct. But the higher level point to make is that **all such charts are sensitive to start-time** and thus should be avoided altogether. Much better metrics, like rolling 5 or 15 year window averages, would average out the impact of start-time selection. I'm not able to go back to TQQQ inception with my free account, only to 2016, but according to portfoliovisualizer.com, the rolling 5 year annualized average return for QQQ vs. TQQQ was 19% vs. 32%.
Damn this is a 840 pages book. Will look at it Thank you I am keeping my 401k regardless and not taking it off in any way, this is on top of that that I have in SPY, QQQ and other stocks, as well as options which led to this situation
You’re learning the wrong lesson here. You can’t know when the top is in. You can’t time the market. You buy and hold long term. That way you will end up selling for a profit. Maybe switch to ETFs? I like VOO, QQQM, and maybe SMH. I’m: - 60% VOO - 30% QQQ - 8% SMH - 2% DRAM
QQQ is +15% since the US has attack Iran. Seems pretty bullish to me 🤔
QQQ has the highest growth potential, but is the most volatile along with QQQM. I would stick with VTI rather than VTO if you’re going to put a small percentage in QQQ/QQQM because VOO has more overlap compared to VTI as it covers most of the market. You’re extremely young, which means you are in the best position to invest for the long run.
40% VOO, 30% QQQ, 30% VXUS and chill
option sellers on mag7/SPY/QQQ.
Good to admit it. Put that money into QQQ and never look back. Auto deposit 5k a month and literally never check it. Thats what I do. If shit gets REALLY red? Buy some TQQQ to scratch the itch.
670 or 640 the stop on QQQ?
That research proves exactly the opposite: never trade options on leveraged ETFs. In every single case, you're far better off using QQQ instead.
Dumb comment. “People acting like geniuses because of what happened now”. No, you don’t need to be a genius, but as a trader you at least need to have situational awareness. Among other things that means: watching the indices (SPY/QQQ already started to chop in early June for example), watch the leading stocks, track sector rotation (plenty of other sectors that have been going up (healthcare, insurance, biotech) while high beta/tech has been getting crushed). The market gives feedback all the time. It’s important to know when to take the foot off the pedal and step back. You can’t always keep pressing hard, that’s how you blow up your account.
Probably put money in QQQ until you start seeing a downturn of a certain percentage, then shift to TQQQ until it QQQ breaks even.
Stop buying QQQ and stick to equal weight indices and the Diamonds - $DIA adopted GOOG and AMZN adding to MSFT IBM and Apple.
Id you put 76k into QQQ and you get the 14,5% historic average nasdaq 100 return its 1.2 million in 20 years… but its depends on the what OP earns and how fast he can save up to that 76k again i guess
QQQ is down 3 days in a row. It has NOT gone 4 red days in a row this year
Is this a QQQM advertisement or is it really that much better than QQQ