QQQ

InvestAISavvy

Worth pulling apart what "risk-on" actually means here. I track social attention and sentiment data across about 10 platforms, and the picture on SPY/QQQ this week is more split than the price action suggests. Sentiment on both is sitting around 76-78% which is elevated but not euphoric. What's interesting is the *critical* themes — for QQQ, about 30% of the bearish conversation is geopolitical/oil-driven inflation fears, and another 25% is technical resistance and death-cross stuff. SPY shows the same pattern, with oil shock fears as the dominant critical narrative. So the bearish case isn't being ignored at all, it's actually loud. What's holding the bid up on the supportive side is mostly passive long-term index advocacy and oversold bounce / dip-buying language. That's not really "risk-on conviction" — that's structural flows plus technicals. Reads less like investors choosing to ignore the risks and more like the market is being levitated by passive money while active commentary is pretty cautious. Different setup than 2024 when the supportive narrative was actually about growth. Worth watching whether the dip-buyers keep showing up if oil sticks above $100 for another week.

EarthConservation

Personally I wasn't looking for huge upside, just a little bump to around 61,800 today to peak out before rolling over. Guess I would have been better off betting on QQQ upside, lol. My options expire next week anyways, I was just hoping to finally get rid of them. Looking at the BTC chart, and comparing it to last cycle's similar bear flag, that last cycle flag peaked at the major H&S neckline. There is a major H&S neckline just above 81,600 that it could hit. I wrote it off because I was hoping for a peak today and it would be above a major channel I have drawn in. Guess I shouldn't have dismissed the possibility; would have saved me a few bucks today. However, if the peak hits on, say, Tuesday (or later), then it could hit that neckline at around 83,000, within my channel, and within one theoretical bear flag resistance line I have drawn. (There are a few tangible ways to draw it) Plus, 83k is a nice round number. (Could peak higher if it takes longer to get up there... for my Calls sake, I hope that isn't the case) That said, in the last cycle bear flag, the peak occurred at the same time that Nasdaq saw a peak during a relief rally. My bet is the same thing happens this time around. Nasdaq is definitely high, but it may not have peaked yet. The major bull flag channel lines had peak price today just under the resistance line. That doesn't mean Nasdaq will hit the resistance line, but the indexes generally like to hit their major trend lines before a major reversal. There's also a major measured move target that price was just under today. I think Nasdaq goes higher before this rally is over. That said, it doesn't mean price can't back off first, consolidate for a bit, then surge to its ultimate peak. Or maybe everyone is entirely wrong and Nasdaq isn't even close to peaking. I'm starting to get the sense of euphoria, and the put/call ratio and fear and greed indexes are both at levels we saw during the 2022 peak. Guess we'll see if the top is in today or over the next couple of weeks.

cannythecat

European stocks -2 percent this week, QQQ up +2.5 percent. America truly is the chosen land. 🇺🇸

PuzzledLeader8941

Weekly QQQ calls on Monday?

jerome-yellen

QQQ gap down Monday

ATPsynthase12

So I am currently getting into investing and learning the basics but would appreciate some input on my current portfolio distribution. The goal is long-term sustained growth over 30 years or so with a “buy and hold” mentality. I like the Bogleheads mentality, but got a 3 day ban from their sub for even mentioning investing in QQQ. Currently my distribution is based on a standard 3 fund portfolio with tilts in tech and real estate because I think those markets will continue to improve over the next 30 years. My distribution is: 40% VTI 20% VTXUS 20% BND 10% VNQ (REIT) 10% QQQ Any input or changes you’d recommend? I’m aware the REITs aren’t the most efficient in a taxable brokerage, but with my income tax bracket, it would be negligible bump. I like them as an inflation hedge and the extra investable income via dividends. If I were to cut something, I’d sell my. Shares here and move it to VTXUS for more foreign market involvement. I am also aware that tech and QQQ is volatile in the market, however, I do not think we are going to see tech become less of an integral part of our society or economy especially with the rise of AI. It seems silly to not tilt your portfolio to tech a little given that we are closer to colonizing the moon than going back to analog clocks and dialup internet.

xShiftfaced

Bought 4/30 $600 QQQ puts and SPY 4/28 $707 puts at close.

Sick0h

I did it. I have the single highest QQQ buy in history rn.

Retropixl

Curious what percentage they are of the S&P and QQQ after today, gotta be close to 20%

Eviscerator28

You should try investing in VOO. Once you are ready for some risk, you can try QQQ.

softboiledjadepotato

ATH QQQ Leaps and chill.....I guess?? 🤷‍♂️

ToonamiNights

14 day RSI is 71.5 on QQQ. Previous 14 day RSI before drops were in December 28th at 73.8, July 15th at 76.2, and March 2024 at 72. That being said. Nah I'm not saying calls this time we got a 5-7% fall coming on Tuesday

Valkorion335786

LMFAO that QQQ green candle

GreenGameboyColor

You're welcome whoever I sold my QQQ calls to at a minimum profit 😒

rowdygentleman

Loading up on $QQQ 6/18 $700 calls

HystericalSail

It'll be up to the managers of each fund, describing their strategy for keeping up with theoretical indexes is not something that would benefit the funds to disclose to the public. Just like any other re-shuffling when companies get added or subtracted the managers likely exit using derivatives rather than just everyone taking a 6% holdings dump on the market simultaneously. They'll make various moves in the 15 days between SpaceX being listed and getting included in the theoretical QQQ. In theory the companies exiting indexes provide the liquidity to buy the new entrants. But the laggard exiting will not be enough to cover a 6% total index weight in SpaceX. So, since liquidity has to come from somewhere, I expect a major sell-off in previous winners.

thedosi

Going martingdale strategy on QQQ puts has depleted my account.

whodey84

Best thing about seeing SPY/QQQ rip is TSLA isn't part of it. LOL

TheBestCanadianGoose

What are the options level for the QQQ today

Remote_Drive_5588

For all you technical chart readers.... Will QQQ have a chance at touching 665 today? SPY 715? Don't want to hold calls over the weekend and trying to gradually sell out contracts at profit. Thanks!

spudbro00

they wont even let QQQ or Spy drop a dollar lol

_rockthemike

QQQ 700 not a meme

Valkorion335786

Just 2 more dollars QQQ You can do it! **LETS GO, ROCK HARD!**

Ahamadrayasbaboon

I’ve got the CEO of QQQ on the line and he says….nope. 

UnivalveX

we're not in a market where QQQ pumps +2% on good Intel earnings.. after pumping +15% the three weeks prior. this is a raging bull market

Wfan111

When building a house, when does the builder make profit? When they sell the house. I'm happy you brought up the Mag7 being hammered because of Capex. The largest, if I'm not mistaken, in Capex spending for AI right now is Amazon. They literally just hit all time highs. QQQ keeps going all time highs as well. No matter what, the market as a whole is looking toward the future and picking (stock wise) who will benefit the most. Ultimately that's why the market is going up because the majority of the tech sector should benefit when more chips are produced and there's more competition in the industry. More competition will eventually lower prices of chips and ultimately other companies will benefit with higher margins as they are able to get the same productivity from lower cost chips. That's why Intel coming to also play with relatively "good enough" chips is so important to the overall industry.

InvestAISavvy

Intel's only like 1.5% of QQQ — you're right... the math doesn't work on direct weighting alone. What's actually happening is sentiment contagion across the whole semi complex. When Intel prints a data center beat that big, the market re-rates AI infra demand broadly — NVDA, AMD, AVGO, MRVL, MU all caught bids. Those names are massive weights in QQQ. NVDA alone is something like 8-9% of the index. So the tape isn't really reacting to Intel, it's reacting to what Intel's numbers *imply* about everyone else. The social side of this is interesting too. I track attention across about 10 platforms and the chatter volume on AI infra names spiked hard right after the print — not just Intel, all of them. That's the kind of cross-ticker sentiment sweep that moves indexes more than any single stock. The Tesla partnership piece probably added some fuel separately but the semi rerate is doing the heavy lifting.

Hot-You-7366

Everyone might as well throw all their money into semis and hardware plus the QQQ. Iran is going to be a mess. But all of wall street decided they want hamptons and nantucket houses this summer so we are going on a tear through July

Viktri1

Short Intel with puts and go long QQQ. You're welcome

Jerikolol

The Bers have been obliterated. Entirely destroyed - their puts, their shorts, their defensive longs. Our risk-on troopers have totally obliterated the Bers. We won. We completely won. The straights of QQQ are entirely open for investing once again. AI/semis is not a bubble. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

NotGucci

401k and Roth just hit new ATH today. Love to see it!! SPY, QQQ, amd, mu, avgo Intel, SNDK all new ATH today. Next week amzn, msft, Meta, and googl and apple. Expections are increase in capex, beat and raised in NYC guidance.

xShiftfaced

Uhh so yeah let’s see SPY 717 EOD and grab some QQQ puts for over the weekend

MadDabbed

QQQ puts now this is dumpy

soscribbly

Nvidia, Google, AMD, Apple, Amazon, SPY, QQQ ALL TIME HIGHS…. Tesla? 🥴🫵🤣

spellbreaker

> Is AAPL an inverse QQQ now? It actually has been trading pretty close to inverse NVDA on a day to day basis for a few months now, generally. When NVDA is having a good day AAPL underperforms and vice versa. Prob just big money messing.

laurencenor

Is AAPL an inverse QQQ now?

Eldritchsails

QQQ scaring me with this volume/movement

Disastrous_Tax6664

SOXS has ruined me, and now I took what was left and put into SPY/QQQ puts expiring in June. That's my last chance to make back my losses. I know this market is gonna boom even more. This is regarded.

laurencenor

At this point I just take it for granted that on Monday QQQ will be up another 1% or more

kawkface

$QQQ 670 after earnings next Wednesday

TheBestCanadianGoose

At this point i have no idea man, i thought the 650 QQQ was gonna be toppy

Dornitz

QQQ is literally printing money rn.

SlimPerceptions

QQQ up 100 dollars in the last few weeks alone. Absolutely insane

miss_L_fire

Shoutout to whoever said to go for QQQ instead of SPY I love you

SighRamp

11:44 was finally the time ES got over major resistance 7185.75 and caused NQ to spike up hence the QQQ spike. If this level holds for ES we are going up much much more since up to this point the ES/SPY has been slightly pressing on the breaks during the spike up this week.

UnivalveX

QQQ's the name, pump +1% every day''s the game

Valkorion335786

Bro I opened today +$500 and then fucked it up and went -$53 for the day before just throwing $1100 at 658C for QQQ and then fucking off to do whatever Back up to +$500 and I'm out for the day Fuck this POS market

Valkorion335786

QQQ at 662??!!

SighRamp

there we go QQQ

carloscede2

!banbet QQQ $700 1w

Initial_Ad_9250

QQQ700 is not a meme

Valkorion335786

Why is QQQ at 661 LMAO

okbetokbetokbet

so we just pumped more than $100 on QQQ in less than a month?

NoProfessional4650

Bruh my QQQ and AMD leaps are fucking printing holy shit

SighRamp

If you really believe market is fake (it's not, look at returns on QQQ and SPY over last 6 months before the run up) then why are you in it? lol

VotedOut

Once this daily NVDA pump here ends, then all-time-high top for QQQ is in. Yes, I'm calling the top. No, I don't care if this ages poorly.

Lytalm

QQQ Just doesn't give a fuck huh?

csr8765

QQQ is about to take off, want to be loading the 4/28 $670 calls right here

NoProfessional4650

NVDA baby taking us QQQ bois for a ride too

GreenGameboyColor

Thanks whoever bought my QQQ puts 🤣

TurbodToilet

How the fuck did QQQ fully reverse that flip

csr8765

More QQQ calls on that opening dip. Another 30 min or so of consolidation then it’s ripping

ten7four

Holy fuck QQQ is only up +1%... what a bloodbath

rjbarn

QQQ

ebitdasga

It feels like that .3% QQQ dump was concentrated to stocks in my portfolio

ThaliaFaye

good boyyyyyy QQQ go and drop for me 🖤

ThaliaFaye

QQQ pls go back to flat so i can buy more

Coley44

!banbet QQQ 590 90d

SighRamp

need QQQ pullback around 657

Alive-South-8808

QQQ+%2 today is happening isn't it?

SighRamp

wait for the QQQ pullback until you get in boys

Noddite

QQQ up like 5x higher than SPY, feels like it is guaranteed to drop by end of day...but it could still pump for a bit.

xxxMarilee

I guess you are right. I just can't figure out why QQQ is popping in premarket. The other big tech are causing it.

Relevant-Trad

QQQ

iFiredIce

Will it? INTC is only like 1.66% of QQQ lol

deepsvar

Damn, again missed out on QQQ end of March. I terribly suck at this.

xxxMarilee

And that will take down QQQ

drakilian

Believe it or not that drop from 1.5 to 1.2% gain in QQQ was a generational buying opportunity

cleatosthefetus

The dollar has devalued heavily, but I don’t trade based on biases, I follow trends. I average a thousand dollars a day trading futures/ options. These all time highs are definitely inflated, and that’s not what I’m trying to argue here. Don’t trade based on your opinion of the economy, follow the trend, and trade stocks that have momentum off of catalysts. This isn’t a debate on whether or not the economy is in shambles, it’s about stocks continuing to make higher highs and reaping the benefits of a runaway retard market. I think we’ll ultimately see a major pullback in the future here, because the market has pushed way too far way too fast. I’m not holding any long term positions at this point other than VOO, QQQ, and POET, because the market is so dangerous at this point. As a day trader it’s not my job to trade based on biases, it’s to follow the trend. I went to school for software engineering and worked in the industry for almost 10 years, but have chosen to focus on my trading after years of success in the market. I think the entire market is extremely inflated, and there’s a multiplicity of reasons for it being inflated. I am not buying any stocks at this level. My only recent purchase is 10,000 shares of poet that I bought at 8 dollars a share and other than that I’m simply holding VOO and QQQ which I will continue to buy on dips for years to come.

A55BAG

If the news about talks about talks keep coming the QQQ can keep climbing. 😊

Clubpenguin8888

QQQ seems to be outperforming spy/voo at pretty staggering rate

Happy-Champion1661

QQQ lolololol puts on tech for next week eanings will make me generational wealth

FabulousLanguage6216

I’m calling QQQ top at 666. It’s the perfect number

GreenGameboyColor

Profit it profit, but I think I left around 3k on the table with QQQ calls yesterday if QQQ opens this high

cleatosthefetus

Nasdaq and SPX are indexes, SPY and QQQ are etf’s sporty spice. By the way intel is at 86 right now. The whole market has rebounded quickly off of the lows. There are some laggards, but the market as a whole is back in greed territory and we’re continuing to make higher highs as time goes on. I agree that the indexes are skewed, I just don’t understand what you’re even trying to argue at this point. Even the Russell two thousand is at all time highs.

ResidentPack4103

Told you boys 660 on the QQQ today....hope you loaded up

Happy-Champion1661

idk man you tell me why semis just went up more than 50% after \*nothing changed\*. Not to mention, they didn't even go down that much during March 10% drawdown for SPY and QQQ

Ok-Art6659

QQQ 666c

The_Juice_Gourd

I like how SPY, QQQ and oil all go up together like it was intended.

Happy-Champion1661

what's more regarded, INTC @ $90 or QQQ up 1% pre mkt while SPY +0.20%?

UnivalveX

these days anything below +1% for QQQ premarket is considered a red day

MadDabbed

Alright start the little thread, what plays are you making today like for real not just eyeing and why. SOXL semiconductors are the bees knees POET? WSB regards need to fill me in on this play AMD/INTEL I’m sure will pump with some profit taking here and there. QQQ/SPY is always acceptable as the play

DietFoods

I don't remember very many times that QQQ is up nearly 1% in premarket while SPY is essentially flat.

TieDependent3180

Is QQQ or SPY more interesting for 0dte yolos

wallstreetstonks

Vm, thoughts on SPY & QQQ, please?

Forward-Surprise1192

Idk rules on old posts but this happens to me a lot too. A few days ago I paper traded QQQ all day and made money every time. Then I finally spend real money on one trade and literally 30 seconds later the stock drops a ton and the stop loss kicked in, then it jumped back up high where I’d have made a lot of money

UnivalveX

will QQQ open +1% every day?

Strange_Specific655

SPY and QQQ are skewed indexes that poorly reflect the market as the top 15 companies in SPY make up 40-45% of the AUM, so growth stocks and mid caps that are not AI hype haven’t done as hot. Meanwhile it has only been around 3 weeks since the SPY has gone vertical but that is all due to manipulation tactics by orange man, little guy

rollinhating

QQQ just keep going up..

skymagic

1000% correlation between QQQ and USofO 🤔