Reddit Posts
Why do people constantly argue overvaluation when the earnings tell a different story?
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Sold my QQQ $758 puts expiring today at $4.21 Before Sell Off
🚀 [DD] WHY $MONQ50 IS THE NEXT MULTIBAGGER ROCKET SHIP TO THE MOON (GME VIBES INTENSIFY 💎🙌)
Before the close, breakout stocks to watch
Rate my Portfolio. What would you do differently?
Lost close to $5000 of capital and need help
I think I got robbed on this QQQ iron condor today 🤦♂️
Pension Funds Are Selling $32B of U.S. Equities But the Setup Is Improving
Selling 30-DTE TQQQ cash-secured puts after large QQQ red days — looking for criticism
Has anyone consistently beaten QQQ over the past 15 years?
The cucks favorite investment basket is voo
2-year update 37, blue collar lawn care business owner. $173k then, $248k now. Still aiming for $1M or retire by 45. Posted here two years ago at $173,000 and got a ton of advice, some of it good. Figured I owed an update.
I Was Too Cautious Yesterday, But I’m Not Chasing
My Iron Condors got absolutely racked today
$QQQ Gains- All because I fell asleep on Friday
$QQQ I bought these to sell same day in mid afternoon but fell asleep… any chance here in getting out alive?
NEVER KYS PART 2 — We are almost even with QQQ since I downloaded Robinhood❤️
Took $2 profit and missed out on close to $600 profit
$250k invested in an eToro QQQ CFD for 20 years, should I move to IBKR despite a huge tax bill?
What % of your portfolio is in single stocks vs ETFs?
What % of your portfolio is in single stocks vs ETFs?
I stopped journaling option spreads using the mark price
The Warsh Effect and Wednesday's Rate Announcement
What % of your investments do you have in single stocks?
Don’t underestimate the impact of Dario saying “we must slow development of AI due to safety concerns”. Should impact QQQ bigly
Investment thesis for week 9/14 - 9/18
For poor man 0DTE options, is IWM my best bet? 🤔
Options buying with a $100K account ? (Intraday vs Swing)
Debit spreads taught me that being right too early can still be annoying
Can a squirrel trade options better than me?
Looking for a meme that was posted a while ago
Making a living and much much more trading options on $1K a day
Tax straddle treatment for downside protection of portfolio with puts
Can you guys tell when I started following this community?
Individual stocks or VGT, why take the risk?
Does anyone avoid diversification (like me)?
Four years in, what’s everyone’s take on JEPQ?
Post Jackson hole & next week Japanese government bonds
Can we break out of the QQQ channel that we’ve been in since 2023
NVDA Confirms the Memory Bottleneck, PCE Stays Mechanically Hot & Positioning Turns Bullish Into Jackson Hole
Bear season on the way. Rainbow gay bear reporting for duty!
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Everyone loves tech stocks right now. That’s exactly what worries me about the next 10 years.
Everyone is piling into tech, semis and AI stocks. Valuations say the next 10 years of returns will be very low
In 1999 at the peak of the internet bubble, QQQ launched and retail piled in. Then came the 73% drop and 15 years underwater
Mentions
Looks great! Real shit. This is what 99.9% (my self included) should be doing. Only thing I’d change is cut DGRO and move it to SCHD. And cut the other three things that are less than 2% of portfolio value. So 50% SP500 index. 15% QQQ. 25% SCHD. 10% for one of the other three depending on age and risk tolerance.
Fair points. This is not an AI/ML algorithm or a price-target model. It is a date-based market-timing hypothesis overlaid on actual QQQ closes. Before the next update, I will publish one locked forecast card: probability for each scenario, the base-case invalidation level, expected QQQ ranges for October 31 and December 31, and the benchmark used for comparison. The original card will remain unchanged, with weekly results appended rather than rewritten. The useful test is not whether one of three narrative paths can fit after the fact. It is whether the timing model improves directional accuracy, range calibration, and forecast error versus a simple hold-price and trend baseline.
Since you're planning to track how the model ages, I'd make the forecast testable before the next few weeks unfold.The levels are useful, but with bullish, bearish and sideways paths, almost any market outcome could eventually fit one of the scenarios.I'd assign probabilities to each path now, define what invalidates the base case, and record expected ranges for fixed dates like October 31 and December 31. Then keep those original forecasts unchanged as new weekly updates come in.The most revealing comparison would be against a simple benchmark, such as projecting the current QQQ price forward or using a basic trend model. If your algorithm consistently produces smaller forecast errors or better-calibrated probabilities, that's evidence it's adding something beyond a plausible scenario map. One small clarification: the chart says weekly closes through October 7, which was a Wednesday. Are those weekly sampled observations or actual week ending closes?I like that you're publishing the forecast before the outcome is known. Defining the scoring rules now would make the follow-up much more informative.
QQQM isn't a tech ETF. It happens to have tech in it route now but there are actual dedicated tech ETF's if that is what you want. My understanding is QQQ and by extension QQQM doesn't have a methodology that makes sense and it just happens to have ended up in a perfect situation. The data testing on other timelines did not do as well. But because of that it has been popular. Nothing wrong with it. It seems like it will do well. But I have seen mention that is is a arbitrary set up. I don't think there is any scenario where it massively fails or anything. I just focus on different tech ETF's myself.
Super interesting display here. I’ve been lucky. Bought into nvda in 2020 and have held Apple, Amazon, meta and Google since 2010 ish. Held Berkshire for years and this confirms the lag it feels like I’m getting. Sold Tesla in 21 after buying in 2012. I missed most of the other winners here except for QQQ. I had been trying to sell some of these winners to diversify, but the things I’ve diversified into have lagged significantly. I assume someday I’ll be happy with this outcome as AI comes back to earth. Or maybe not. Either way- I won!
Sorry for your loss buddy. My partner passed away a few years back. I am in my late 30s and working full time in IT, based in UK. After I had her funeral, I told myself I need to focus and I started learning and d ay trade options once a day. It is not that complicated. I have been sorting out some things and one of my goals is to reach a certain amount to stop working full time before I lose my job. It is a matter of time with how it is going in the economy. You can see my post in the subreddit in my profile over last 20 weeks. I have been growing a small accout to encourage people that one trade a day, 2-5 times a week is enough to grow an account consistently. I only have 2 vids on my youtube channel from march if last year, will try put more. I don't do any complex strategies, and trade only ETFs like SPY, QQQ, IWM etc
You’re fine since you’re young. I’m 45% QQQ 10% BTC and 45% VOO
An actually responsible bear doesn’t pull out of stocks or short, but derisks. I’m moderately bearish, but all I’ve done recently is pull out some QQQ and VOO to put into VT.
The current stock market is an absolute joke and is solely being held up by those few companies that you named...once we start assigning TRUE valuations of money losing companies like OpenAI or Tesla, the SPY & QQQ will be in the 200s instead of the 700s
Markets goes up when companies make money. Markets drop for two/three weeks after a war starts, then ignore it, and focus back to company earnings. That's your simple answer. Iran war happens to coincide with the biggest technological revolution in our lifetime. Inflation isn't high enough for consumers to stop spending. So companies keep earning. You think it feels odd now? Give it 5 more years when unemployment keeps going up, yet the market is still going higher. Labor and productivity relationship changing. React to earnings season, not wars. If you're nervous, buy a hedge, don't exit the market. For example, buy some PSQ instead of selling all your QQQ. Then if the market does crash, you have a nice chunk to buy back at a lower price. If it doesn't, you still participate in gains. Best of luck!
60% VOO, 30% QQQ, 10% on whatever you want. Once the 10% hits your target e.g. 100k, rebalance back to 60%/30%/10% and continue on. Don’t buy options unless you have very high conviction in a move occurring, only sell options. If you don’t wanna sell options, just trade shares, no positions above 10% of port, rebalance if it happens. No leveraged ETFs because of vol decay unless you have high conviction in a sustained directional move. Set rules for yourself around psychology to take the emotion out of it e.g. if you’re waking up thinking of a position, it’s probably too large/risky for you and you need to reduce position size to more manageable
Couldve invested in QQQ and been up almost 30%. Effortlessly
I’d say quit trading options. Invest in the SandP500, QQQ, and QQQI
Just keep it simple QQQ
He could have straight up bought QQQ shares and would have made $56K YTD
Dumb shit... bro think thats a flex cause you wanna do 0dte ... silly ass guy right here lol.. couldve got a few leaps on QQQ
QQQ could dump 10% and still be up 10% YTD
QQQ seems perfectly setup for a gigantic move to the right on Monday
Holding QQQ puts over the weekend bc I will not attack Iran sounds like attacking Iran is imminent.
This gambling port started at a similar level about a year ago. I’ve just had the mindset of “if I lose the money, I never had it anyway” and that thinking makes you really objective. It’s actually growing better than the safer ports this year :hmmm: Prolly blow a giant hole in it now with these QQQ put spreads
It’s my more aggressive port on IBKR, I refuse to call it a gambling port, it’s my “aggressive strategies” port. Has a mix of short straddles that you really shouldn’t sell and some directional bets. I bought the QQQ put spreads at a bad price and they were the biggest loss on the day :hmmm:
Picked up some OTM QQQ Monday puts. Seemed pretty cheap actually……
has to be the most algo driven daily chart I've ever witnessed on QQQ
If I played SPY rather than QQQ today I’d have been green 😭
The QQQ daily is legitimately hilarious to look at, wtf is that formation
I successfully incepted the algos by ranting like a nut job about how everyone knew QQQ was going to get rugged while loading calls, LETS FUCKING GO
I only wish I bought SPY instead of QQQ calls this morning
QQQ is just a den of retardation and corruption now, it can never go anywhere in open anywhere again outside of a gay ass tight range
My bot is freaking out about QQQ monday strikes idk why
max pain QQQ 250 and look at price pinning, yet max pain is reactive not deterministic? 🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔
give me a QQQ shrek plsssssss
QQQ 760 by close and I will stuff 7 pineapples up my butt
dear 8 lb baby jesus, if you give me QQQ shrek dik i will never ask for anything again
Choppiest useless bullshit QQQ fuck you
Yeah QQQ sure seems like a stable place to trade
Love how QQQ ignores oil spikes and pumps hard when it drops lol
They just fucked everyone on QQQ beautifully
Jesus fuck QQQ 750 is like an anchor
The bar code on QQQ is disgusting lol
They've done it, QQQ is at peak retard levels, congrats everyone
Saw 751, immediately got scared and will now drop .50 to ensure theta does its thing. It shouldn’t be this damn predictable QQQ
If I was a gambling man, I'd bet that QQQ is going to go right back to 750
Semis are stopping QQQ from shrekking and it's really starting to piss me off
We are never getting normal price action again on SPY/QQQ, it's dead and buried
QQQ green while ai hardware bubble is popping.
Is the guy who traded QQQ still up?
Bruh it cannot be more obvious that they are pinning QQQ
If AAPL and NVDA could stop holding back the QQQ that would be great
Alright enough joshin' around gonna need that QQQ bounce now
Because NVDA is down and it's basically the whole QQQ
Since when do SPY calls move more than QQQ calls, why is tech so flatttttttt.
They are going to pin QQQ to 750
Theta has eaten enough today, we are so overdue for a new QQQ ATH
QQQ closing at 750, gonna start the weekend early :dance:
QQQ: How would you like to die today, motherfucker?
Look at QQQ since Tuesday morning, and tell me we’re gonna lose :chad:
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** ▼ | $700.00 (below) | $745.53 | $749.35 | -6.1% | Thu, Oct 29, 1:24 PM ET |
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** ▼ | $700.00 (below) | $746.01 | $749.56 | -6.2% | Thu, Oct 29, 1:38 PM ET | | **Record** | 1W - 2L | 33% | - | - | - |
yes I get it, QQQ wants to test the same price 100 times
QQQ tracks semis far more than SPY
QQQ 760 and you know it
Anyone else feel like QQQ is about to run like a scalded dog
QQQ rocketship all the way to 750 close :kek:
EMA 9 and 21 just crossed on the QQQ NOW WE JUST NEED FOLLOW THROUGH CMON ALGOS
The number is QQQ 749, and MMs say we must stay here forever
What're you talking about there was a huge opportunity on QQQ after it started falling with PUTS? I already made 18% gain today
Keep buying 745 P on QQQ every pop. It’s paying
QQQ shitting the bed as usual.
QQQ being rejected off of 749.50 8 times today already
Sold QQQ puts with profit, now in calls
dam aapl id dragging down the QQQ index
QQQ puts got me 120% gains. Done for the day before the goofiness starts
Just made a 15% gain on that QQQ drop, lets see if can V up now
Except for the rest of my QQQ straddles 🤗
Bought QQQ puts after market open. 😝
QQQ puts would've been nice. Still, glad I'm not in calls lol.
QQQ yikes not a lot of confidence and that is the problem when everyone knows it’s a bubble. Nobody wants to be left holding the bags
QQQ just straight dump since open lmao
QQQ getting crushed rn
QQQ what are you doing step bro
god damn its so embarassing how shit IWM is. Cant run up more than half a percent at a time after getting the god roll of treasury auction demand, long end buy backs, and QQQ dump. (bag holder at 285c)
Real talk tho, will QQQ touch 800 or at least 790 before the new years reset?
What, QQQ went to 747 in a heartbeat and bounced back, is my app tweaking or, I almost shat my self
god fucking damnit i was staring at QQQ 754c 1dte all last session - they were fucking 65cents at close but i was too scared
idk about you. I like making money and I am loading up on more QQQ to see it ATH today again
Time to check QQQ and see how much I’m about to lose!