Reddit Posts
Post Jackson hole & next week Japanese government bonds
Can we break out of the QQQ channel that we’ve been in since 2023
NVDA Confirms the Memory Bottleneck, PCE Stays Mechanically Hot & Positioning Turns Bullish Into Jackson Hole
Bear season on the way. Rainbow gay bear reporting for duty!
Has anyone had consistent success with the 'retirement trade' strategey of a morning reversal trade?
Everyone loves tech stocks right now. That’s exactly what worries me about the next 10 years.
Everyone is piling into tech, semis and AI stocks. Valuations say the next 10 years of returns will be very low
In 1999 at the peak of the internet bubble, QQQ launched and retail piled in. Then came the 73% drop and 15 years underwater
I found an Infinite Money Glitch for Timing the Market
Buying Index funds will always be better than buying mega caps.
I built a free dealer-gamma + live options-flow terminal for SPX/SPY/QQQ. No signup. Tear it apart.
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Beginner looking to make my first options trade — how would you approach this?
Brought it at the top and sold it at the bottom
The S&P 500 is now more concentrated in tech + AI than during the 2000 bubble. Most investors still don’t realize how extreme it is.
Paper handed my full port, 3.7k gain vs 18-19k gain
Michael Burry Loads Up On QQQ Puts, Boosts MU Short As He Braces For ‘Larger Fall’ — Here’s What He Did To NVDA, PLTR And TSLA
Got exercised at the strike automatically 800k worth!!
It's a sign, market crash tomorrow QQQ to 385
SPY Is Coiling Below $775 What Could Trigger the Breakout
US market - VOO or CSPX QQQ or CNDX or anything else?
Buying QQQ is easy. Holding through the pullbacks is a whole different thing
How should I split my Roth IRA between VTI and QQQ?
At what point does owning SPY + QQQ + a growth ETF stop being diversification and start being the same bet in different wrappers?
I only need to trade like this for another month and I'll blow my account
I trade for a living - why I’m still bullish into CPI and the levels I’m trading on SPY, QQQ, oil and DRAM
These are some real lessons that I have learnt the hard way.
Two years of emotions, ups and downs, all for table scraps
Built a free dealer-gamma (GEX) map for SPX/SPY/QQQ — tell me where the methodology is wrong.
Has Michael Burry officially dethroned Jim Cramer as the king of financial flimflam, or is there still time for Cramer to mount a comeback?
For anyone wondering exactly how much QQQ and VOO/SPY actually overlap, here is the math.
The Nasdaq 100's valuation premium over the S&P 500 is near a 9-year low. Is tech actually expensive anymore?
QQQ 10 dollar green rocket up my anus at open
Buying QQQ is easy. Holding through the drops is a whole different thing
Racking up 100% trading options day after day adds up to big money
I Trade for a Living - Here’s My Setup for Semis, SPY and QQQ
Buying QQQ is easy. Holding through the drops is a whole different thing
Deconstructing 0DTE Option Losses: Traders Freeze During Intraday Volatility Surges
$200 > $5,000 challenge day 1
SPY closed the week in the deepest positive gamma I've seen in a while (IV ~9%)
When I put $5 on a stock I win , put $50 in I lose almost every time.
Buying the APPLE dip might not be a pro move.
Prepare yourself for the Regime Shift
Prepare yourself for the Regime Shift
QQQ $660 calls expiring today, ngl thought it was over at one point
July 24/27/28 is the first time in history that the S&P 500 was positive 3 days in a row while QQQ was negative 3 days in a row.
Bought 60k worth of QQQ LEAPS and 20k worth of DRAM LEAPS
HYG Just Broke Down From a 3-Month Triangle Consolidation. Is the Equity Market Next?
Stared into the abyss today
SOX just hit bear market territory. This earnings week is make or break for semis
I model dealer gamma daily. Right now all three big index ETFs are negative-gamma below their flip,
Mentions
**BanBet Lost** — /u/jyohnyb (0W - 1L, 0%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** ▲ | $719.56 → $730.00 | +1.5% | 1d | Lost |
Yea, stick with QQQ. NDX & NDX100 will bankrupt you in 1 move. Notionally speaking SPY is a mouse compared to NDX. Imagine being on the wrong side of a 1000 point move. Which is typical for NDX.
Raking up so much losses or missed gains during past few months across several tickers. Need a red day to DCA in again. QQQ -5% next Monday?
#Individual stocks may drop, dump or even die but indices like SPY and QQQ will NEVER drop ever again LMAO🤌
At this point half the QQQ are high risk assets
Holding 9/4 QQQ 720C. I looked at the option pricing after close. It was within 5 cents of hitting my limit sell, by EOD it was down over 50%. I have the touch.
Full ported my last 3k into QQQ calls and made $137
I was down almost $3500. The complete reversal of SPY and QQQ saved me. Made only $180 at the end of the day. Bought QQQ and AMZN puts, PL calls😢
Monday’s gap up might be a +3% on QQQ
The very MILLISECOND there is anyways upward momentum on QQQ trading bots sell 4 billion in shares. There is so much buy pressure and then one overwhelming sell just keeping it fucking down. What if retail had its own exchange with no high frequency?
That's pretty hilarious when I'm screaming about the market selling off people are always like "aren't you the guy that always congratulations dip buyers" Besides I was only team bear from QQQ $730 to $702 for a nice 6 figure trade in a week Making money is a hell of a drug, you should try it sometimes
Similar play on QQQ 720p. Left something like 16k on the table :/
IWM down 1% QQQ down 0.7% SPY down 0.25% SPY also was up the most out of every index today All of the uppies none of the downies
Is there any actual chance of QQQ coming back up today or is this doomed
QQQ closing at 706 will make me very happy. :)
I'm thinking 719-720 close on QQQ. Wipe out 20k+ puts.
Thank god I exited QQQ when I did good grief
reminder that GLD and QQQ charts since 2008 are nearly identical. this is financial advice.
I just bought QQQ calls for next week😀
We can't even dump 1% on QQQ? What is this, dump for ants?
QQQ 718p went from 0.15 to 2.20 in 30 minutes lmao
QQQ Puts absolutely minting rn
I’m just jorkin’ your pork boi 😏💅 I’m even more bullish than you are, QQQ ATH mid-September. Warsh ain’t hiking shit 🤗
QQQ 0DTE puts anyone ? It has to come back down with this low volume pump
PLTR in talks to acquire QQQ
QQQ only up 7% in 1 month? Pathetic.
QQQ is moving linear into close $735
You literally said to buy QQQ earlier, 730 early next week 😂😂 Ultimate shill bot 😠😠
I'm not a chart guy but QQQ seems to have a sharp V right now
| Ticker | Target | Entry | Current | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** ▲ | $730.00 (above) | $719.56 | $722.41 | +1.5% | 7h 54m |
QQQ just ruined someone’s account with that move
$QQQ $SPY $SMH looks Dump AI hype stocks, his new policy to punish hype and crash market, bring deflation and rate follow
VIX calls, NVDA puts, QQQ puts Life is great
Today might be a good day but contracts are expensive AF ================================================================================ SPY — MANUAL REVIEW ================================================================================ Fidelity Grade: NO TRADE YET Manual note: CALL leads at 51/110, but the grade is NO TRADE. Wait for stronger alignment before a manual entry. \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Stage: ACTIVE TRADING Candles today: 32 (min 20) Time: 09:01:46 AM CT \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price: 772.12 VWAP: 772.14 EMA9: 772.13 EMA20: 772.08 RSI: 51.6 RVOL: 2.45x OR High: 772.84 OR Low: 771.47 Regime: RANGE\_CHOP Signal age: 0.2s \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CALL score: 51/110 PUT score: 46/110 ▶ Fidelity Bias: CALL Confidence: 51/110 ▶ Fidelity Action: WAIT ▶ Fidelity Entry Timing: 0/100 — WAIT Fidelity Direction Reasons: • Watch: No clear directional alignment Contract guidance: No contract action — no current manual entry trigger. ================================================================================ ================================================================================ QQQ — MANUAL REVIEW ================================================================================ Fidelity Grade: NO TRADE Manual note: CALL leads at 43/110, but the grade is NO TRADE. Wait for stronger alignment before a manual entry. \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Stage: ACTIVE TRADING Candles today: 32 (min 20) Time: 09:01:46 AM CT \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price: 720.29 VWAP: 720.00 EMA9: 720.36 EMA20: 720.36 RSI: 49.6 RVOL: 0.85x OR High: 721.52 OR Low: 718.18 Regime: RANGE\_CHOP Signal age: 0.2s \-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CALL score: 43/110 PUT score: 38/110 ▶ Fidelity Bias: CALL Confidence: 43/110 ▶ Fidelity Action: WAIT
Jackson’s Hole better make my damn QQQ calls print
Bought a few lotto QQQ puts, just in case.
I made $40 on a QQQ call today and half of it is about to go to McDonald’s. Take that, brokies.
prediction: QQQ/SPY will hit 1 and then that will be the top. lost decade starts then
What pumped yesterday? QQQ? Why is everyone trading QQQ
You're just... Doing it all wrong. Weekly dividends?? SpaceX???? You need to stop thinking of your port and a gambling mechanism and start thinking of it as a fantasy football team. Obviously you'd take more than one "pick" in each of these rounds, but you get what I mean-+ First round, aka the core of your portfolio/team, you mostly go with the guaranteed picks. VOO, QQQ, VT, etc. you wouldn't take some 10th round flyer in the first. Second round, you add a highly ranked player, like GOOG, NVDA, AMZN-- take your pick, but you still want something that you know will get you fantasy points (or in this analogy, growth) Third round, maybe a stable vet (BRK?) or an undervalued stud, like MSFT or AMZN. For the later rounds (or the bottom ~20%) of your portfolio, you can have a little more fun. Maybe add some RKLB or whatever you think is going to go to the moon (literally or figuratively,) take some chances, but spread your bets. Don't worry about having a small dollar-amount total in your portfolio right now. Think about it more in terms of portfolio construction at first, and then as you gradually get more money to add to the portfolio, you can put a few dollars into each position, and more heavily weight the safer positions or things that have dropped recently. Fantasy and investing both involve a lot of luck, but the main goal of both of them is to score / profit as much as you can, while managing risk. The best way to do that, consistently, is to construct a team or portfolio that is durable, but has room for upside. You build the core, and then you take small bets on higher growth opportunities.
Too much story telling, once $NVDA CEO told $MRVL will be $1 Trillion, it pumped all optical components like $COHR $LITE $AAOI $GLW etc with many semi in $SMH $QQQ See today $MRVL earnings. Do you feel it’s $1 Trillion earnings hope? Story telling & financials media pump going everywhere.
Counter arguments to your puts: Bond buybacks Oil has remained stagnate (if oil rose you would already be seeing a dip) CPI shows inflation cooling PCE shows economic growth End of the month is half right, but that ship sailed last month when mosh of the EOMs got sold last week. Also, Kevin Warsh is speaking tomorrow and most of what he is going is say is expected to be dovish....market has priced that in. The only thing keeping you in game right now is if Kevin Warsh appears hawkish towards inflation at 9 a.m. central tomorrow, but even then you are WAY FAR OUT OF THE MONEY. You best pray to God that QQQ and spy at least move 2% for you.
Are yall bullish on QQQ going forward? QQQ vs LMT , NOC, RTX?
I only trade SPY and QQQ but today took unusual trades IREN
Big leaders build legacy & what legacy now? DOGE, Tariff, Trade,China,Epstein, Greenland, Venezuela, Iran & back to Canada, just before midterms. When gas & groceries price comedown? $SPY $QQQ $NVDA $SMH $XLK $XLF $XLC hedge fund buddies vibe pump few to divert all, when 10yr high.
the liquidity event always happens before the hyperinflation. you're the one who doesn't know economics or history we dont live in the 1970s anymore bro. look up gold and QQQ. literally nearly identical charts on the month chart
you are retarded. gold crashes right along side the stock market every single time. if you look at gold and QQQ chart, over the long term they are nearly identical. you buy gold after the crash, not before. retard
i see you're 31 from an earlier comment. honestly i'd just do QQQ (or QQQM - same but less fees). picking single stocks looks good but even winners often dilute. if you want to pick stocks, you could carve out maybe 20% or so but the best thing is to let compounding happen. try this: in excel, put your portfolio value in cell A1 and then in cell A2 put the formula =A1 * 1.11 (this uses the ETF's average annual return of 11%). fill this down for 29 rows and that's what the portfolio will be when you are 60 *without any additional contributions*. of course you'll want to make more, but as you can see this is a healthy return. you have time on your side - use it. stock picking sounds great but it is tough to beat the market year after year and any massive returns come with incredible risks.
So, tomorrow SPY and QQQ will drill down to…..?
Decided to DCA into QQQ for the rest of my investing days. Goodbye everyone.
**BanBet Created** ▲ | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** | $730.00 (above) | $719.56 | +1.5% | 23h 60m |
I’m prob screwed. 65 QQQ 715p expiry tomorrow
Same bro. Loaded up on SPY and QQQ puts. 1 DTE LFG!!! 🫡
its priced like a tech stock and the only reason its share price is what it is is because its in fucking QQQ for some reason LMAO
$SPY $QQQ can we ever go back to BlackBerry, and leave without smartphones ? can we ever go back to Yellow-Cab , without $LYFT and $UBER ? Can we ever do coding by humans ? Can we ever go without internet? In few years , ask, Can we ever go back to SAAS , without AI modified ERP. Or $IGV
NVDA earnings pump is 100% markets last hurrah. Loaded tf up on QQQ puts at close. I am officially gay ber now
I'm kind of tired of this market. Might just QQQ and chill.
I can't see anything bullish in this market even as a bull. You 🌈🐻 are neither safe. I just want this to crash hard and blow up in 🥭 face. Give me SPY -20-25% and QQQ -20% down. No one is having fun anymore, we need a hard reset.
Of course we could. But as you said, it depends on many factors. Maybe the real question is: what would it take for the QQQ to break out of that channel? Which tailwinds would have the highest impact, etc? I don't have those answers for you right now, but I am sure you could find out if you spend time researching that.
Damn. QQQ options didn’t execute by close… Guess we’re parlaying to tomorrow.
I thought you were asking if the subreddit could please stop talking about QQQ stocks. Which I mean, fair.
What in the hell was that on QQQ
hot damn QQQ - mooning while NVDA dips. Interesting
QQQ 728 tomorrow. Easy money, please keep shorting this market, I love all you gambling addicted put buyers
In my younger years i did some dividend chasing not accepting that i needed to focus on growth instead. A tale as old as time. Anyway my dividend positions never surpassed my index funds but i have had some money in them 8k and 7k in SPYD and SCHD respectively. I also have recently sold 4k of SCHD that I’ve been sitting on. Im 30 and looking for quicker/slightly aggressive growth so im not scared of something like TQQQ but i was thinking maybe a step back from that like QQQ or QQQM or some sort of allocation strategy for QQQ/QQQM, TQQQ, and VTI. My question is what would you do? Consolidate out of the dividend funds? If so, what would you go into?
Mostly agree with the mechanics. Sign inference is the fatal flaw and you're right to lead with it — every vendor is guessing who bought and who sold, and the quote-rule error rates on spreads and combos make that guess worse than most people assume. Counterparty is the other one. A large share of the other side is vol funds, dispersion desks and systematic overwriters, not a delta-hedging dealer book. And nobody hedges SPX or QQQ gamma by trading SPX or QQQ. They hedge the book, in futures, in a basket, discretely, with a tilt. The 0DTE OI lag is the sharpest point in the post and it doesn't get made enough. Same day you have no OI. You're reconstructing from volume with assumed signs and no way to separate opening from closing unless volume clears prior OI. That's the weakest possible input environment for the metric, and it's exactly where retail leans on it hardest. Where I'd push back: You're conflating "the causal story is unverifiable" with "the levels carry no information." Those are separate claims. Strike concentration is observable whether or not you correctly infer who's hedging what. Pinning shows up empirically without anyone needing to get dealer sign right. An unmeasurable mechanism doesn't mean an absent footprint. "Dealer gamma is often positive rather than negative" isn't a refutation. That's a finding about sign, not existence. Positive gamma predicts suppression and mean reversion — that's the mechanism running in the other direction, not failing. And the literature isn't settled against it. It's mixed. There's real published work on gamma and realized vol / fragility effects that cuts the other way. What you've actually indicted is the retail products, not the concept — and that indictment mostly lands. They sell a positioning measurement and deliver a positioning estimate built on three stacked inferences, with no error bars disclosed. Two vendors will hand you different zero-gamma levels off the same chain, which tells you it isn't a measurement. Your carve-out is the right conclusion. Regime as a sizing and expectation input, not a direction input. I'd add one: it's fine as a passive location and target reference as long as it never generates a trade on its own. If it's step five of eight and a trigger has to fire before you act, the sign error can't compound into your P&L. If it's step one, you've built on sand. Disclosure since it's relevant — I trade QQQ 0DTE daily and publish gamma reads, so I'm not neutral. But the position above is where you land after using it every session, not despite it.
Catch the SPY or QQQ dips
SPY and QQQ gonna close grey because f*** me in particular... right?
Sold my QQQ puts too soon. I still made money, but I want more money. Am I making sense to you?
If QQQ drops to 700 I'll give free BJs behind wendy's for happy hour
IWM has outperformed SPY & QQQ over the past year
Soldd my QQQ calls wayyy to early
$SPY $QQQ Fundamentals getting worse, Algo vibe here and there very short term Japan Yen crash, Treasury helpless at higher rate. 40 Trillion Debt, all has impact coming soon
QQQ 713 incoming... watch out.
They ran QQQ to the pre-market low and ripped it straight back up. Savages.
Sold QQQ puts too early damn it. Still a nice 8% gain
How is it that QQQ is only up 1%?
Semis stagnant while QQQ jumps back near ATH. Sad day for semi holders
You do realize that NVDA, SPY, and QQQ are still down from ATH
We’re about to rip hard into tomorrow. Super bull mode. Loaded up on QQQ and WULF
I did know QQQ was a hibachi restaurant. Enough with the chop and go somewhere.
im such a paper handed bitch - My NVDA and QQQ Calls paid off, but if I had held those CRWD $200 Calls, I'd be wiling right now.
QQQ will end 3% up today. Inshallah.
You can kind of feel it in your bones that spy and QQQ won’t hold