Reddit Posts
Has Michael Burry officially dethroned Jim Cramer as the king of financial flimflam, or is there still time for Cramer to mount a comeback?
For anyone wondering exactly how much QQQ and VOO/SPY actually overlap, here is the math.
The Nasdaq 100's valuation premium over the S&P 500 is near a 9-year low. Is tech actually expensive anymore?
QQQ 10 dollar green rocket up my anus at open
Buying QQQ is easy. Holding through the drops is a whole different thing
Racking up 100% trading options day after day adds up to big money
I Trade for a Living - Here’s My Setup for Semis, SPY and QQQ
Buying QQQ is easy. Holding through the drops is a whole different thing
Deconstructing 0DTE Option Losses: Traders Freeze During Intraday Volatility Surges
$200 > $5,000 challenge day 1
SPY closed the week in the deepest positive gamma I've seen in a while (IV ~9%)
When I put $5 on a stock I win , put $50 in I lose almost every time.
Buying the APPLE dip might not be a pro move.
Prepare yourself for the Regime Shift
Prepare yourself for the Regime Shift
QQQ $660 calls expiring today, ngl thought it was over at one point
July 24/27/28 is the first time in history that the S&P 500 was positive 3 days in a row while QQQ was negative 3 days in a row.
Bought 60k worth of QQQ LEAPS and 20k worth of DRAM LEAPS
HYG Just Broke Down From a 3-Month Triangle Consolidation. Is the Equity Market Next?
Stared into the abyss today
SOX just hit bear market territory. This earnings week is make or break for semis
I model dealer gamma daily. Right now all three big index ETFs are negative-gamma below their flip,
1DTE $21K SPY FD Yolo - 735P 7/20/26 220x @ .96 Each
Regarding the Recent Stock Market Movement
Regarding on the Recent Stock Market Movement
June CPI missed big but I'm not buying the full rally yet
Always a Pleasure $HOOD. Thanks again QQQ
Always a Pleasure $HOOD, Thanks again QQQ.
QQQ gonna spike soon (UP or DOWN)
Held these 0DTE over weekend. 11K QQQ calls am I cooked?
If June CPI comes in hotter than expected, is the better trade Treasuries or SPY/QQQ puts?
Investing is really a lifelong battle against our own emotions
A huge trade just happened on the Nasdaq 100. Bulls are taking notice
Your wheel is probably less diversified than delta makes it look
SpaceX is trading below its opening day price in its third week. Bag holder or bargain.
SpaceX is trading below its opening price, might not be the red flag it looks like.
Not meaning to spread FUD, but I just found this on the QQQ graph, and it's freaking me out
I think QQQ goes higher. Do I sell or keep this because theta?
Liquidated all positions: Sitting on $1.2M cash for a 2026 macro restart. How would you deploy this for the next decade?
I have currently sold all my stocks and have $1.2 million in cash on hand. I would like to purchase a new batch of stocks to hold for the lo
Trying to generate alpha using Nasdaq retail activity data
It ain’t much, AMZN, XSP, QQQ this week! First fully green week!
I built a simple “Regime Filter” using SPY and QQQ to decide when I’m allowed to buy new positions
Want to hear from the people who sold their QQQ (and other Nsdq 100) because of the addition of SpaceX
When will QQQ be more $ per share than SPY?
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Mentions
Hold it until the first big new ATH day on QQQ and sell it that day and then buy further OTM
You clearly didn’t see the part where I had 400+ SPY trades and 200+ QQQ trades.
Agree — I just buy QQQ index then try to round-out with a handful of the best financials (JPM, BLK, IVZ) + industrials/energy. That way it sort of simulates a well-rounded portfolio without the “zombie companies” in SP500 indices.
How could you have possibly gone red for a few days if you were buying qqq in 2022? I buy qqq every day in an automated investment. I have done this for 3 years now and the position has never ever turned red. I just DCA $50 a day, every day at open market price. I will do this forever. If you buy qqq every day for 20 years you will not lose money and you will be green forever. If QQQ is too volatile then switch to VOO.
I am in uk so can’t trade SPY options so I trade SPX instead. What alternative can I use for QQQ
What do you look for when it comes to finding the upcoming or start of a breakout? I made a few bucks on QQQ after it had dipped, but couldn't catch it at the dip...just on the way up.
**BanBet Lost** — /u/Wild_Meeting_9650 (1W - 2L, 33%) | Ticker | Entry → Target | Move | Time | Result | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** ▼ | $720.77 → $710.00 | -1.5% | 1d | Lost |
the 94% weight number is the right one to lead with, the ticker count is nearly meaningless in cap weighted funds and people quote it constantly. one thing i would add though. overlap by weight still understates the issue, because what actually matters is how much of your portfolio VARIANCE the two share, and that is higher than 94%. the unique 6% of QQQ is not some independent sleeve, its mostly other large tech that moves with the same factor as the overlapping 94%. so the diversification you get from that 6% is close to zero even though it looks like a real slice on paper. the flip side of your point is more interesting to me. holding both is not pointless, its just not diversification, its a deliberate tech overweight with extra steps. if someone actually wants that tilt they should size it on purpose rather than discovering it. the honest way to state a QQQ plus VOO position is "i am running roughly X% more tech than the market" and most people holding both cannot tell you what X is. if you want to make the post even harder to argue with, run the return correlation of QQQ against a synthetic SPY-plus-tech-tilt portfolio. it will be up near 0.99 and that number lands with people in a way that a holdings table does not.
QQQ is like 30$ away from ATHs? I think when people talk about crashes they mean AT LEAST <600, but more realistically 50%+ down
People keep talking about the market should crash. Where the fuck have you been in the last 2 months lol. SPY may be up but QQQ and SMH is still down. KOSPI will probably go to Zero soon. The market want en excuse to pump and TACO give it to us a few days ago... We should be able to slowly pump from here on out.
"safe" route would be QQQ calls. Riskier with more upside would be DRAM + SMH calls. I have switched to margin only, though, so not able to get those kind of returns, but also not totally losing my ass anymore
To earn QQQ‑level annualized returns, you must be able to withstand drawdowns. Aside from long‑term holding, the most reliable approach for QQQ also requires rebalancing when markets stabilize and when markets turn risky — in other words, during bull and bear markets.
you are not doubling down if S&P is 8% NVDA and QQQ is 8% NVDA and you put equal amounts in both, you are not 16% in NVDA. You are 8% in NVDA. If you own only S&P you are 8% NVDA If you own only QQQ you are 8% NVDA
yes, I remmemmber QQQ down 15% then
bers when QQQ dips 1$ https://preview.redd.it/jxtzgq0e33ih1.png?width=1320&format=png&auto=webp&s=3f470dfcf687d6d6cd2a7fa0779bbfd11aaa6711
beauty of this economy is even if QQQ/SPY goes to 1$ u can just take out a massive loan, back the truck up and fill that bitch with 3x leverage shares, and in no time youll be piss rich while retard bear john malds about his bitch wife and going back to work on monday
This is entirely true. Tech has had a historic, legendary run. But if you are using past performance to justify holding both funds today, you are missing two massive structural traps: Market leadership rotates in massive multi-year waves. **2011 to 2026:** Tech dominated completely, making QQQ look like an unstoppable winner. **2000 to 2010:** QQQ suffered a brutal **"lost decade," finishing down roughly -50%**, while the un-overlapped parts of the S&P 500 (value, energy, financials) completely carried the market. If you hold both funds right now, you aren't diversified against a sector rotation. If tech drops, both of your "jackets" get soaked at the exact same time. Even if you are 100% correct that the Nasdaq-100 will continue to beat the S&P 500 for the next 15 years, **buying QQQ is still the wrong move for a long-term investor.** Invesco literally created a twin fund for this exact reason: **QQQ (0.20% fee):** High liquidity, tight spreads, built specifically for day traders and options. **QQQM (0.15% fee):** Holds the exact same companies but at a cheaper price, built for long-term buy-and-hold investors. If you want to intentionally overweight big tech because you believe it will keep winning, that is a valid strategy. But do it efficiently. Drop QQQ, buy **QQQM**, and stop paying a premium to duplicate the exact same mega-cap stocks you already own in your core S&P 500 fund.
I did receive a lot of critics about posting this information on Reddit. There are a lot of new investors and it may help them, also may have long investor that doesn’t dig deep enough to small details that can make a huge difference ahead. Just think about paying 7x time fees over 10, 15 years, how much money will be losing if fees. Using the Python tool to calculate the exact fee drag and total opportunity cost. We will assume a $100,000 portfolio growing at a standard 8% annual return to see exactly how much money is lost to the higher fees. A $100,000 portfolio invested in QQQ instead of VOO will lose an extra $7,379.10 over 15 years purely to management fees and lost compounding returns. The Immediate Cost (Year 1) VOO (0.03% Fee): You pay $30 a year. QQQ (0.20% Fee): You pay $200 a year. The Difference: You lose an extra $170 in just your very first year for the exact same top holdings. 10 Years Because your investment grows over time, the fee is calculated on a larger balance every year. That means the dollar amount you lose grows exponentially.\[1\] VOO Portfolio Value: $215,293.55 (Only $598.95 lost to fees) QQQ Portfolio Value: $211,927.64 (A massive $3,964.86 lost to fees) The Total Penalty: You have $3,365.91 less money in your pocket with QQQ 15 Years VOO Portfolio Value: $315,897.74 QQQ Portfolio Value: $308,518.64 The Total Penalty: You have lost $7,379.10 straight to the fund managers. The money lost isn't just the flat fee; it is the growth that the fee would have generated over 15 years if it had stayed in the market. That $7,300+ penalty is real money that could have paid for a vacation, a down payment, or months of living expenses in retirement. Thanks for all downvotes in advance
I did receive a lot of critics about posting this information on Reddit. Just because the information looks obvious to you, doesn’t means over millions user on Reddit Investing the information is meaningless! There are a lot of new investors and it may help them, also may have long investor that doesn’t dig deep enough to small details that can make a huge difference ahead. Just think about paying 7x time fees over 10, 15 years, how much money will be losing if fees. Using the Python tool to calculate the exact fee drag and total opportunity cost. We will assume a $100,000 portfolio growing at a standard 8% annual return to see exactly how much money is lost to the higher fees. **A $100,000 portfolio invested in QQQ instead of VOO will lose an extra $7,379.10 over 15 years purely to management fees and lost compounding returns.** **The Immediate Cost (Year 1)** **VOO (0.03% Fee):** You pay **$30** a year. **QQQ (0.20% Fee):** You pay **$200** a year. *The Difference:* You lose an extra **$170** in just your very first year for the exact same top holdings. **10 Years** Because your investment grows over time, the fee is calculated on a larger balance every year. That means the dollar amount you lose grows exponentially.\[[1](https://www.instagram.com/p/DagP3cej-8j/)\] **VOO Portfolio Value:** $215,293.55 *(Only $598.95 lost to fees)* **QQQ Portfolio Value:** $211,927.64 *(A massive $3,964.86 lost to fees)* *The Total Penalty:* You have **$3,365.91 less money** in your pocket with QQQ **15 Years** **VOO Portfolio Value:** **$315,897.74** **QQQ Portfolio Value:** **$308,518.64** *The Total Penalty:* You have lost **$7,379.10** straight to the fund managers. The money lost isn't just the flat fee; it is the **growth that the fee would have generated** over 15 years if it had stayed in the market. That $7,300+ penalty is real money that could have paid for a vacation, a down payment, or months of living expenses in retirement. Thanks for all downvotes in advance
That QQQ daily was bottomed and curling, I should have jumped on it, and I didn’t. I had a colonoscopy yesterday and I was mentally preparing for that, but man.. I missed out on such a financial opportunity.
Tempted to just buy QQQ long lotto calls on the dips. Can’t believe I missed out on it this week.
You hit the nail on the head. That is exactly what is happening. To make it worse, you are paying a premium for that second jacket. When you buy both, you are paying two different management fees to hold the exact same top positions: \[[1](https://www.reddit.com/r/ETFs/comments/ummgke/why_is_fund_overlap_an_issue/)\] **VOO (S&P 500)**: Costs a rock-bottom **0.03%** expense ratio. **QQQ (Nasdaq-100)**: Costs **0.20%** expense ratio. By adding QQQ on top of VOO, you are actively paying **nearly 7 times more** in fees for QQQ's portion just to double-down on Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, and Meta. **The Same Fabric** **Top 5 Holdings**: Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, and Meta. **What happens**: These five stocks already make up roughly 25%+ of VOO. In QQQ, they make up over 40%. **The Result**: Your 50/50 portfolio isn't diversified; it is just a super-concentrated bet on a handful of tech executives **The Only True Difference** **What QQQ adds**: A tiny 6% sliver of Nasdaq-exclusive stocks (like mid-cap biotech or tech firms not yet in the S&P 500). **What QQQ drops**: You completely lose exposure to the S&P 500’s financials (JP Morgan), energy (Exxon), healthcare (Johnson & Johnson), and industrials (Caterpillar) on that portion of your money. **How to Actually Fix It** If your goal is to actually add a *different* fabric to your portfolio rather than just overlapping large-cap US equities, you have a few structural options: **For Small/Mid-Cap Exposure**: Pair VOO with an un-overlapped fund like **AVUV**or **IJR** (Small-Cap Value) to capture the bottom of the market. **For Sector Diversification**: If you want tech but want to avoid the exact same top 5 stocks, look into an equal-weighted tech ETF like **RSPT**, where every tech stock gets the same slice. **For True Diversification**: Keep VOO as your core, drop QQQ, and add international exposure (**VXUS**) or bonds (**BND**) depending on your time horizon. Source: Gemini Ai
SPY or QQQ only my broski
So you r telling me everyone holding both QQQ and VOO thinking they are diversified is basically wearing two jackets made of the same fabric and calling it layering. 94% overlap is like paying two expense ratios to own the same stocks twice with extra steps
RSP close near all time high as well. Seems like a good signal for market breadth then. QQQ is still off of ATH so it is not just a tech market. What other evidence do you want to see?
Deal comes out Sunday evening right before futures open coincidentally….and market opens up QQQ 4.5% SPY 3%
I made more this week on QQQ shares
Are you willing to hold for more than 5 Years? Because if so SPY / QQQ blend hands down and if you want some risk 10-15% allocation toward ASTS (no more than 15% or you will cancel out the gains from your other holdings)
that would be the biggest single day drop in QQQ by an insanely large margin. That is not happening at all and with circuit breakers, couldn't even physically happen
QQQ 617 few mins before market closes
Wish QQQ did this while my Puts were extra heavy early morning. Now I’m only recovering losses with 1/4 of the risk than before
Alright so lemme guess QQQ gonna run right back up to the forced 2 hour chop and do a “failed breakdown”
SPY/QQQ way too flat the last few days. Going to need another shakeout to get the next push higher.
QQQ looks like a weakening fart stream
I’m seeing some good pumps out there. OKLO, SPCX, LUNR, RDDT. SPY & QQQ chilling. Are we crashing next week?
unreal theta burn on QQQ
Only way for QQQ to get back to ATH is if semis catch a bid.
Love how on QQQ we sliced through this exact level 3 times on the day with zero complications but now suddenly it’s a massive decisive point for over an hour and can’t make up it’s mind playing both sides like 18 times now on the 3 min
17th time the charm for QQQ? How many times you ever seen the ma rejected 17 times and keep getting more chances?
Dafuq is this movement on SPY and QQQ. Makes me wanna rip my nutz
Without fail somehow someway QQQ always getting a bit in the last minute of a candle to paint the tape
How many times does QQQ get to reject the ma and still not go lower? Cause when I’m long it’s about 3 max and then we just completely fall off a cliff
8 rejections at the ma on QQQ in the last hour on the 3 minute but nah sure thing let’s just keep giving it chances
Shit what do I do sell my oil calls and full port QQQ? Axios | **Barak** **Ravid**: A diplomat from one of the mediating countries told me Iranian negotiators are waiting for final approvals from the Iranian supreme national security council about the deal with Oman and the US. "We expect this approval soon", the diplomat said.
Got scared to pull the trigger on 0DTE MSTR since figured it would just chop if QQQ did naturally goes down 4% immediately for an hour straight
Sooooo what stocks are keeping QQQ up? It used NVDA to pump earlier and now quite literally every single thing that pumped has gone lower yet here it is itching to climb higher with constant bid yet none of the names that make up the heaviest pieces of it are budging?
https://preview.redd.it/3qdxt8ndizhh1.png?width=2575&format=png&auto=webp&s=e39164741146b9abeae71108fb7ffe1b1b3fd16f last time QQQ looked like this, MACD aimed up, holding against 200MA into resistance, high RSI QQQ ripped from 610 to 740 do what you want w that, im staying long
Sold my Puts at a loss on QQQ. Am I regarded
why my QQQ and SPY putz printing boys?
QQQ puts were super obvious up there. It was free money
If QQQ goes red I’ll quit gambling for the rest of the week I swear to it
yeah this shit is just gonna trade between 720 and 723 on QQQ today isnt it
Yeah that QQQ chart looks terrible too. Lower highs constantly
Cloudflare fits the high-beta theme of QQQ better Likely will be in both QQQ/SPY
QQQ and PLTR puts. Hope they print.
goddamn that was a big rally QQQ rest up son u deserve it
Did you unload the clip on the .11% QQQ dip anon
WTF was that candle to push QQQ over 723 No me gusta
the red candles are getting weaker on QQQ its time for this resistance to fucking end itself!!!
**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 1W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** | $710.00 (below) | $720.77 | -1.5% | 23h 60m |
How many more 1 minute candles does QQQ have to get a bid on in the last 15 seconds for this to just give up and get it over w/ . The tease is pissing me off
Oh word a 2nd rejection of the range on QQQ is bullish now?
2nd rejection of the opening range on QQQ
QQQ i just need u to hit 723 again
Man you are going to have a really bad time with the 'fake pump' to $750 on QQQ
Fake pump all night, add to it fake pumping on bad news. Retrace the entire thing, get 3 major attempts at going back up when market opens, all three get rejected, get decisive action supporting price moving lower and then the second you get a new 15 minute candle to manipulate just erase the entire thing and go back up. Am in a fucking twilight zone? Mu is like 5% of QQQ and it’s down like 7% since open but sure lets pump it
Sure let’s test the same zone for the 8th time on QQQ and if it doesn’t flash crash from there let’s just run the highs again
All the Nasdaq 100 index funds like QQQ buy in proportion to the publicly traded shares. If the public shares double, they have to buy twice as many shares.
No shit I see everything drilling but QQQ is still doing OK wtf is this black. Magic
All biggest holdings of QQQ down since open but somehow staying afloat w/ ease
QQQ put 700 monthly at open
Alright I was just joking SPY & QQQ we don't actually have to dump b/c of the jobs report
Correct, and the market is at all time highs since Aprils 30% move up on QQQ when nothing has changed. You are the one who said it’s not priced in.
One thing that would change how I read that chart. A lot of the S&P side of the comparison is the same stocks. Something like 86 of the Nasdaq 100's names are also in the S&P 500, and roughly 87% of what QQQ holds is already inside SPY. The Mag 7 on its own is about 34% of the S&P now. So the spread can compress without any stock re-rating at all. If those names keep taking weight in the S&P, its multiple drifts toward the Nasdaq's as arithmetic. That is a third option alongside your two, and it needs neither tech getting cheaper nor everything else getting dearer. Before concluding anything I would run the same comparison against the equal weight S&P instead of the cap weighted one, or against the S&P with the top 10 taken out. If the premium is still near a nine year low there, something real happened to relative valuations. If it is not, the chart is mostly telling you how concentrated the S&P got.
I don't think QQQ vs SPY is really a valuation question anymore, it's more of a concentration one. between how top-heavy SPY already is and how much overlap there is with the Nasdaq 100 names, picking one over the other isn't really diversifying away from tech, it's just choosing how much extra you're layering on top.
well gg there goes USO calls and QQQ puts. Full port into HTZ
You’re trying to tell me that the 5% pump on SPY and QQQ that directly started the day after fed didn’t raise rates was in no way pricing in probability of rate hikes going down and was STILL mispriced by nearly 1%?
Chat, why is QQQ and SPY pumping? Any good news?
QQQ gonna go up just enough pre market and right at the open so even if it does fall I’ll basically end up B/E and if hold it’ll just chop all day or keep climbing but if I sell at open cause I don’t wanna play anymore it’ll sell
ffs did taco say something? gonna get nuked on my USO calls and QQQ puts :(
A narrower premium does not automatically mean tech is cheap, it can also mean the rest of the market got expensive while the index overlap got bigger. QQQ vs the S&P is less clean than it used to be because so much of the same mega caps sit in both. I’d look at absolute valuation and concentration risk, not just the spread.
Easy mistake. You typed an S instead of a T in front of the QQQ.
Knew QQQ would manage to just climb up all night since I got trapped in puts couldn’t sell at the close yesterday much wow so much fun
The relative premium has clearly compressed a lot. That part is true. The open question is whether tech actually got cheaper or the rest of the market just caught up in valuation. A smaller gap doesn’t automatically mean QQQ is a bargain in absolute terms. I still lean toward having exposure to both. SPY for the broader market and some QQQ (or similar) for the growth/quality side, rather than treating it as an either/or decision. The old “tech is ridiculously expensive vs everything else” argument is definitely harder to make now.
QQQ vs SPY is basically growth vs diversification. Depends what problem you're trying to solve
I’ve been doing this long enough to know that if I longed after a 5% run on ES and a 10% run on QQQ in < a week when it cools off and I lose it would be “well duhhhh what did you expect it needs to cool off” and if I short on the idea of taking a breather and things clearly being short term overheated it’s “hahahaha gay bear cope harder”
Tinfoil hat time but since $APP is a high-beta QQQ proxy play, it got punished accordingly. What I mean is, Sandisk, WDC, APP all had the exact same candle after the print. Purely algo driven. QQQ was also running an 88 hourly RSI from July's "bottom", we went straight up. This is simply just institutions derisking and if/once QQQ resumes its uptrend so will APP. It was never about the 1% miss