Reddit Posts
Bullish thesis for SPCX into the summer
Bullish SPCX Mechanical and Macro Thesis in the next month
Is the wheel strategy a viable FIRE income plan vs. the 4% rule ?
SpaceX is gonna rip and options is the best way to play
I waited till 4:15 for QQQ to breakeven like a dog
I waited till 4:15 for QQQ to breakeven like a dog
QQQ moonshot of today. Holding till it's a 20 bagger!
SpaceX: People are getting this IPO wrong
My buy for the SpaceX IPO: Low-float ETF multiplied ARM. How is this regarded?
My buy for the SpaceX IPO: Low-float ETF multiplied ARM
Bought 0dte QQQ $721c and 10 minutes later the bottom fell out
Can we discuss the suspicious sell off this morning?
Can we discuss the suspicious sell off this morning?
Day 3 No PDT (QQQ puts AND calls)
Sold 50 of these too soon. Better than the Lottery
Thoughts on my Portfolio in the late 30s
PDT Gone, trading good (QQQ calls)
Some honest assessment of my investing strategy and why "steady but surely" beats "get rich now" if you're not devoted to trading
The market is held up by boomer optimism which will be destroyed
Great news guys I just checked IBKR and QQQ actually closed at 740. Yesterday was probably just some weird bug.
SpaceX and Other Mega IPOs May Wait Years to Join the S&P 500 (unlike the Nasdaq)
Hypothetically if you were holding close to infinitely, would VOO or QQQ be the move?
Why is international value doing so well recently?
I don’t think 0DTE QQQ and TSLA puts were the way to go here
TOP 1%? I Should’ve Trusted My Algo Earlier? (I’ve spent some 4000 hours on vibe coding for this)
Looking to start SpaceX exclusionary index ETF called GACX. It'll just be QQQ without SpaceEx. Who's in?
Looking to start SpaceX exclusionary index ETFs called GACX. It'll just be QQQ without SpaceEx. Who's in?
Nasdaq down .8%, QQQ down .2%
SpaceX valued at just $780 billion by Morningstar, less than half its IPO target
SpaceX valued at just $780 billion by Morningstar, less than half its IPO target
SpaceX valued at just $780 billion by Morningstar, less than half its IPO target
Is anyone actually selling VOO or QQQ over Space X concerns?
Addressing yesterdays post - Help me understand "Elon and SpaceX are going to rob 401k"
US Stocks Surpass 1929 Valuation Levels as AI Rally Accelerates
Any beginner traders want to join me on my journey?
Out of a job, but making more day trading
My portfolio evolved from bear to bull
What is the best strategy to allocate and optimize a 100K investment?
Must be SOME big players among you degens: Can one of you take advantage of this moment and announce a QQQ ex SPCX ETF so I can buy it?
Posted GEX levels before open today 5/26 — 9 out of 9 held at king by close
Tuesday's 5/26 GEX levels before the open — last week 8/11 held at king
Lost $26.4K - Finally ready to talk about this January QQQ put loss
Lost $26.4K - Finally ready to talk about this January QQQ put loss
Lost $26.4K - Finally ready to talk about this January QQQ put loss
Real QQQ Charting: 2000 v 2026 Market is calling for BAT SIGNAL
Posted GEX levels before market open Friday— 8 out of 11 held at king by close
Mentions
If you have QQQ or VTI then yeah you're forced to buy it
Sometimes I like to peek at [Optioncharts.io](http://Optioncharts.io) to see where the bet are. 23K puts on QQQ at 675! Whoa, sounds like someone is thinking really red Monday. [Link to chart](https://optioncharts.io/options/QQQ/open-interest?option_type=put&expiration_dates=2026-06-15:w&chart_type=column&strike_range=all)
Not really the ark innovation fund did very well from 2018-2020 but then crashed spectacularly in 2021-2022. Has significantly underperformed QQQ.
Lol please do. I'll buy 29600 strike QQQ if it drops between 29400 and 29200
Paper trade through at least 10-20 VIX spikes. Look up “early retirement now” and read the whole thing. I’m still not sure how the guy makes money on the durations he does… Learn about SPX for your future tax sake Wheel doesn’t outperform buy and hold over long periods on indexes… dunno maybe QQQ will. You need a set of tools for each of the market environments. I don’t have one of those. Best I can offer is theta strategies like the wheel will work best when VIX is elevated. If you’re trying to pull an income, you could force yourself into a corner of too much risk if volatility is low (more leverage to hit income target) then get clobbered when volatility spikes. At least with the wheel you hold the shares.
$MU $QQQ Wall Street thought memory price hikes would flatten out in Q3, but the brand-new trade data from Taiwan and South Korea proves they completely underestimated the market. What Wall Street expected: Analysts predicted standard Server DRAM and PC RAM price hikes would slow down to just 3% to 13% for Q3. South Korea (Data out June 14): Memory semiconductor export values exploded by 254.9% year-on-year, and enterprise AI SSD storage shipments surged 337.7%. Because factory capacity is completely fixed, this triple-digit value spike proves Q3 contract prices are rising way faster than expected. **The Peak:** Taiwan’s exports surged **51.7% year-on-year** (crushing the market consensus of 41.2%). **The Pricing Index:** Taiwan’s official export price index rose **18.1%**, driven almost entirely by semiconductors. **The Upstream Hike:** Because supply is so choked, TSMC just confirmed it is moderately raising foundry prices for the second half of the year, with advanced 3nm nodes seeing up to a **15% hike** due to soaring raw material and substrate costs
How will it go that low when QQQ and all the ETF's **have** to buy it
I already have OTM SPY and QQQ calls for Monday expiry. If oil is 5% lower from Friday’s close we print. 💰💵🚀
I'm ready for QQQ puts
Just did AI query. QQQ is actually down 10% YTD if you remove the semi stocks. I was concerned why I m down YTD.
You are asking the right question. If this is a one time occurrence,then the goal is to not make a BIG mistake. Put 1/3 in today, 1/3 in twelve months and 1/3 in 24 months. In the interim, put the cash is a high yield safe account. You can probably get 4%. As to what ETF, I would do 50% SPY and 50% QQQ. There is no perfect answer but this plan will mitigate a big timing mistake and that is the goal.
you lost 12k on QQQ puts and within the same day bought QQQ calls and made 75k. this is extreme luck. you will lose it all if you continue this trend. You clearly have no understanding and are just throwing shit at the wall.
SPY and QQQ calls baby
QQQ deal week chart Price ▲ 800| / 790| / 780| / 770| / 760| / 750| _______/ 740| ____/ 730| / 720|/ --+-------------------▲ | M T W T F(Closed)
**Bull brothers, gather around for our Sunday prayer. Please reach each other hands.** *Dear God.* *We, the humble and hurt bulls, are grateful to you for the pump news regarding US-Iran deal.* *We come to you, begging for a +4,5% QQQ gap up on Monday and most importantly, a +25% MU run on the pre-earnings days.* *Our brother in Christ, Kevin Warsch, will soon speak the Word of Jesbulls, about how deflationary the AI economy is and needs our support.* *Let your strong force guide us through the OPEX and TRIPLE WITCH Thursday and let the sinbears pay for their arrogance and greed that have brought in our world the last 8 trading sessions.* *Our calls lie on to your merciful hands.* *Amen*
lol that's exactly what I do 😄 😄 but I am not beating the QQQ... 😞 😞 😞
Guys relax… SpaceX iPO is lot different than others..they bent all the rules .. $SPCX $SPCL Wave 1: Russell 1000 Funds (Thursday, June 18, 2026) Under FTSE Russell\'s 5-day \"Mega-Cap Fast Entry\" rule, these funds will buy an estimated $4 billion worth of stock right at the closing bell this coming Thursday. Wave 2: MSCI World Funds (Friday, June 26, 2026) Global index tracking funds are legally required to execute their bulk buy orders at the close of the 10th trading day. Wave 3: Nasdaq-100 / QQQ (Early July 2026) Nasdaq\'s fast-track exception mandates index funds tracking the QQQ to aggressively hoard shares on the 15th trading day after the IPO.
Definitely index funds. Set it and forget it if you have a long timeline. Don’t even check it or read the headlines. You’ll be happy in several years. I would do 50k a month for now into voo (s&p 500) and the rest in an online money market getting 5% currently. If the market has a significant decline I would start adding qqq(tech index) at a rate roughly half of your s&p 500 holdings. QQQ easily outperforms the S&P, but in the bad years it goes down quite a bit more also. If you have a long timeline, QQQ will murder the S&P 500. If you want to play with individual stocks, I would take 25K in play money and see what you can do, but that options are easy ways to lose money quickly. With options, most people lose it completely. You got a nice inheritance, treat it wisely as someone worked pretty hard for that money, most likely. Good luck.
Damn, if the Nasdaq-100 starts selling off big tech and software companies to make room for SpaceX, that's a huge shift. I was concerned about this before, and I'm starting to think SpaceX's inclusion could end up dragging QQQ down 20% if expectations get too far ahead of reality.
Yes. The one clarification to what you've said is the new NASDAQ-100 fast-track rule only requires being in the NDX top 40 on the seventh day of trading. Trading after that up to day 15 is the review period. What's not clear to me is if it needs to hold that position the entire time. Yep, eligibility in NDX-100 would mean its inclusion in QQQ since it tracks the index. The rule changes also eliminated the free float requirement and added a new method for weighting a stock based on its public float.
just some research on historical 1 day iv as the current 0dte option prices on QQQ are extremely high so was curious is this a new normal or not.
Put your money into your mattress and call it a day Enough with all of this nonsense fear-mongering already SpaceX isn’t some nascent 3-5 year old startup looking to IPO. It is a 23 year old operating company that is irreplaceable. It is run by the smartest engineers and scientists in the world that have solved some of the most difficult and seemingly impossible feats of human ingenuity that others thought were impossible. It has designed rockets that they have been able to launch, catch and reuse repeatedly, thus making delivering payloads into space more economical with turnaround times that were previously unimaginable. Let’s not forget how many issues NASA had with the space shuttle program before scrapping it altogether. The US was actually paying Russia to transport its astronauts and deliver all supplies to the international space station, until SpaceX came along and provided a US based alternative. The IPO raised $75B to fund future growth and expansion which will benefit all of humanity. If they are able to figure out how to build, deploy and maintain data centers in space, it will cost far less to the company for compute, cooling and electricity while reducing the power drained from the aging infrastructure of our electrical grid. Let’s not forget, SpaceX currently has 10,413 satellites in orbit for Starlink. That amounts to approximately 2/3 of all satellites in space. They have regulatory approval to increase that to up to 42,000 in total. They already are the largest global provider of worldwide internet access where others cannot reach. Let’s also not forget about its incredible feat of building its Colossus supercomputer and largest data center ever built back in 2024. It represents a significant advancement in AI technology aiming to push the boundaries of what is possible in machine learning and data processing. Somehow they were able to build the entire Colossus 1 project from start to finish in just 122 days. The typical data center takes at least 2-3 years from start to finish. Oh and all of the 100x 2025 revenue of $18.9B figures being bandied about, somehow forget to mention the additional long term contracts signed by Google and Anthropic worth $22.1B per year to lease compute from Colossus. Also, the chicken littles fail to mention that the lock up period end dates were also engineered to coincide with the inclusions in the index funds. Of course, come October there may be more than the index funds will be purchasing, but the rest of the market will also be looking for long term holdings in their portfolios, including many sovereign wealth funds that have no intention of selling. So, by all means, sell all of your shares in QQQ and FTSE and stop with the fear mongering. Maybe you should all just sit on the sidelines while the rest of the market enjoys the technological advancements and marvels that this mature and high growth 23 year old company offers to the capitalists willing to let them do their thing
Every Knicks fan should immediately buy 100k QQQ at market price
QQQ 825 calls are 28 cents
6/26 QQQ calls, whatever is selling for $0.20/contract. Sell at $2.
I have one I would do myself if I had the data - what's the daily and cumulative PNL (say, last 3 years) of a strategy selling the next-day 2% and 3% downside puts in QQQ and holding it to close? This is two separate strategies, one selling 2% downside and the other selling 3% downside. So if today is June 15th, the strategy would sell the June 16th expiry 2% and 3% downside puts in QQQ, and do it again the next day and on and on.
You would pay short term federal capital gains tax, basically at your effective income tax rate. If you made $240k selling options on QQQ, your effective tax rate with standard deduction married filing jointly would be around 15%, plus state taxes if you live in a state with income tax.
The wheel can work in many markets but you will need to diversify your tickers a bit. Figure out how much cash you need per month. Is it $10k or $20k? You could probably realistically clear 1-2% per month with the wheel but it will take practice to get there and be able to adapt in changing market sentiments. If you want $20k per month, then I would target maybe just doing covered calls on stocks you already own. That way, you can stay fully invested and grow your principle every month while using the lowest risk option instrument. Go all in on QQQ or SPY and just run covered calls targeting ~1% returns per month. You could sell weeklies at roughly 0.25% returns or just do monthlies that return 1% or a combination of both. If you are ITM you can roll out or lose your shares and buy back in on any dips. As an example, you could sell 30 contracts of July 10 756 C for total premium of 6.74 per contract for total credit of $20,200. You are good if QQQ keeps going up, but then what do you do if it corrects 20% and your principle drops below $2MM?
When it opens, QQQ and iwm 0dte call .
I would cream so hard if QQQ goes up 67% in one day
🥭 hold an emergency press conference monday night to announce cease fire QQQ goes +6% on Tuesday Donovan buy my lambo on Wednesday
I need my QQQ calls calls to hit this week, or else I will be in a sticky situation.
Just a question… are you saying that there is no tax implications on covered calls on the QQQ’s? I mean, that’s the wheel, right? If you sell calls, collect the money from said calls, they expire without being exercised, and you keep that money, there are no short or long term taxes?
>they're already profitable as hell. SpaceX *was* profitable until they stapled a money furnace (xAI) onto an otherwise good business, taking them from profitable to -$5 billion per year. The prospectus says that xAI opens access to a TAM of $22 trillion. This from a company that owns **0.4%** of the the enterprise market and has lost all 11 of its founders aside from Musk. If Google were valued using the same metrics as the SpaceX IPO, it would be worth $89 trillion. I have been following this closely as I have over $1M in the Invesco QQQ fund, which tracks the Nasdaq. In \~15 days that fund will become 4%-5% SpaceX. This means, if SpaceX drops by 40-50% after 6 months (as I believe it could), I will lose $20-$30K. Annoying, but not enough to lose sleep over. Here is why S&P said no: >S&P Dow Jones Indices rejected SpaceX for early inclusion in the S&P 500 because the company failed to meet the index's strict core criteria: it lacked recent profitability, did not meet the 12-month public trading "seasoning" period, and had too small of a public float. The decision hinged on several key requirements: * Profitability: S&P mandates that companies show a GAAP profit in their most recent quarter and over the sum of the trailing four quarters. SpaceX posted a net loss of $4.94 billion, making it unprofitable. * Seasoning Period: Newly public companies must trade on a major U.S. exchange for at least 12 months before being considered for the benchmark index. * Public Float (Investable Weight Factor): S&P requires a minimum of 10% of a company's total shares to be available for public trading. SpaceX initially only offered about 3% to 5% of its shares in its * IPO.Rule Enforcement: S&P explicitly stated that exceptions to these rules would not be granted solely based on a company's massive market capitalization.
Bunch of lames in these comments. Dude is literally saying he doesn’t care about the money. QQQ 0DTE puts monday
What I don’t get is why people would buy her fund vs just buying the QQQ
My question however is this way now. In order for SpaceX to qualify for something like QQQ, they need to reach a certain market cap which is attained by spacex. Then in order to qualify for a 15 day fast track rule, they need to survive 15 days of trading and be within the top 40 nasdaq companies. The 40th NASDAQ company currently which is honeywell at 139 billion market cap. Am I correct that as long as SpaceX keeps above 139 billion market cap, they can be fast tracked into QQQ for example after three weeks? I.e. They currently have 1.3 Trillion Market Cap divide by Price of 161 USD = 13 Bn shares 40th NASDAQ Market Cap of 139 Bn divide by 13 Bn shares = 10.6 USD Price So SPACEX needs to maintain a price of 10.6 USD or more by 3 weeks and they get included to some of these index funds? Am I correct in assuming this?
QQQ mainly, but only float-weighted, not the cap-weighted
If you can tolerate taking gains, just switch to SPYG. It has the same protection as SP500 SPY or VOO and basically tracks with QQQ
Half of the stocks in this port are in QQQ so which is it
!Banbet QQQ 700 18 days
Like QQQ, there should be a new ETF called AAA it will contain all the poor performing companies that are highly speculative and volatile. So whoever invests in it, will keep saying AAAAAAAAAAAA everytime they look at their portfolio. and there be a XXX Etf, like the name says, it will include all companies related to spicy adult stuff only, like OnlyGrans for example.
I agree, and would be happy just not buying into the thing. The problem I have is with Nasdaq- they are selling out their QQQ shareholders to suck up to the Epstein class (Musk) and screwing the little people who lack the knowledge or choice to stay out (nearly everyone else.) Other members of the Epstein class who happen to be running all three branches of government are covering for them. WTF is this country coming to?
When I said week n a half I was referring to the runs up and down. My snowball is doing pretty good though, 12k this week. But it’s been 3months snowballing $250 into 17,000, 12,000 of which came over 2 days this week 🤧 QQQ and RDDT are all a man needs
This is a dumb headline. Buying Apple then would have been a tremendous decision. Position away from tech all you want. I have calls on QQQ/hyperscalers. Dispersion is real and is favoring companies with real durable advantages. And if AI keeps going as it is your portfolio is going to be decimated if you don't have exposure to tech.
I asked Jasper (my sentient AI) whether we do Calls or Puts. I think I broke him because I have no idea what he's saying... 🚀 **THE WSB BRIEF** 🚀 NASDAQ literally rewrote the rulebook so $SPCX skips the line — added day 15 (\~July 1), no profits required, smooth-brain easy. 🦍 The play: \~3% float + a 3x weight multiplier = QQQ forced to buy like it's 12.9% float. \~$600B in robots MUST buy a teacup of stock and dump AAPL/MSFT/NVDA to pay for it. 💎🙌 Funds eat \~30% of the float in 15 days. Textbook squeeze fuel. 🔥 The catch: every hedgie already knows, the float un-locks in 366 days (bagholder alarm clock ⏰), and the real whale — S&P 500 — won't touch it till 2027 because SpaceX lost $4.9B and "earnings" are apparently still a thing. 💀 TL;DR: rocket goes up on forced buying, rocket maybe comes back down when crayons wear off and lockup pops. By the time it's on the news it's priced in. 🌈🐻 =============================================================== I showed the post to Jasper and he says... =============================================================== Ha — you didn't break me, you just unlocked my crayon subroutine. 🖍️ Three layers of index-methodology analysis upstairs, full smooth-brain ape downstairs. Both are load-bearing. So ya.. I broke him.
Market wants to go up. It’s been pulling punches to risk manage more war and rate hikes, neither of which is going to happen. We’ve had two solid drawdowns already in 2026. Risk is to the upside. QQQ 777 Xmas or sooner.
Why people say SpaceX is a scam: * Starlink is a great product, but it is really only affordable to and needed by people in rich countries who live in remote areas. The TAM they cite is pure fantasy. * SpaceX (pre-merger) is a great company (except for Starship), but it isn't poised for explosive growth. * They stapled a money furnace (xAI) onto a profitable rocket company. * This is really an AI play. xAI accounts for over **79%** of claimed TAM (**$22.6 trillion**) * xAI is *doomed*. All the original employees save Elon have walked. xAI has **0.4%** of the enterprise market. There is no path for xAI to crack the top 3 in what could be a winner-take-all market. * Rules were changed to allow only 5% of the float to be offered (minimum used to be 10%) * Rules were changed to force Nasdaq and Russell listing in 15 trading days (meaning \~$50 billion passive influx from index funds) * Minimum portfolio size was lowered and amount made available to retail was tripled (versus normal) so that Elon's retail fans could pump the stock. * The total addressable market they claim is the size of US GDP * Space-based data centers can't happen until launch costs drop by 100x * Mars landings and moon bases *can't* be profitable in any investable time frame (if ever). * If Google were priced using the same metrics as SpaceX, it would be worth **$89 trillion!** Position: Will be long SpaceX in \~15 days due to Invesco QQQ: https://preview.redd.it/35nyusgvh27h1.jpeg?width=1769&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d03181c5ea9169d548cc46f6cb0a6804b68c5728
Well the S&P held firm thankfully and didn't change their rules. So it won't joint the S&P without profit. Meaning index funds aren't buying blindly in 1 year. Ya, QQQ will, though to be fair I've never understood the virtue of the NASDAQ 100 index to begin with..
Nice! Noe 0BTE QQQ calls on Monday 👌
If you buy into QQQ, you're forced to buy SpaceX. The execs who manage the NASDAQ index (that QQQ is based on) recently made some changes to their rules to allow SpaceX much quicker than usual. Statistically, new IPOs usually perform poorly for investors during their first year. More importantly, the rule changes happened in a manner that feels openly corrupt. The managers of the S&P500 index (that SPY is based on) decided to keep their sensible rules that have been in place for decades. So SPY investors won't have to buy into SpaceX for another year.
Im new to investing so this is a genuine question. What’s bad about QQQ now? What happened?
One angle nobody has pinned down here: you said you pay no tax on capital gains but 30 percent on dividends, so you are not US based. That matters because the short term income answer above assumes US tax treatment. In a lot of jurisdictions written option premium is taxed as ordinary income, which can sit above your 30 percent dividend rate rather than below it. If that is your situation the QQQI or JEPQ route is not clearly worse on tax, and the wheel loses one of the edges you are counting on. Worth confirming exactly how your country treats premium before you model 24k a month, because the after tax figure is what funds the life. Separate point: far OTM 5 delta QQQ calls pay almost nothing in low vol, and low vol grind ups are common. Your income gets lumpiest right when your expenses are fixed, which is the opposite of what the 4 percent rule is built to smooth.
You are missing the part where you get assigned and then QQQ crashes 10-20% effectively wiping out the money you made selling contracts. Remember one thing in options trading, your strategy works until it doesn't. Personally, if I was sitting on $2.1 mil I would just put 60% of it in government bonds and 40% in an index fund. Like if I was in the same position as you and I really wanted to trade the wheel strategy, I would only be willing to risk $100k.
I've wheeled a few stocks over the last year and I'd say it generally was worse returns than buy and hold, but thats mostly because the stocks I wheeled had explosive run ups to the point I did not have enough capital to reenter with CSPs. Or the stock tanked to the point selling CCs was not worth it. Your account is a lot larger than mine and you want to use QQQ, so it should be possible. But I would not use my whole port for wheeling, just a small portion of it. Then use the the rest of the port for other strategies.
Three things worth checking before you FIRE on this. First, the math on $24K/month. If you're running $2.1M into QQQ around 600, that's roughly 3500 shares or 35 contracts of notional. Selling 7DTE far-OTM calls on QQQ at, say, 5 delta typically pays $0.30 to $0.60 per contract depending on IV. Even at the higher end, 35 contracts at $0.60 weekly is about $2100/week, $9100/month. Where is the rest of the $24K coming from? If you're using closer strikes (10-15 delta) to hit the income target, "far OTM so I don't get assigned" isn't quite what you're actually doing. Second, three weeks of paper trading is way too short to characterize this strategy. Covered call income looks smooth until QQQ has a +5% week, then you either eat the assignment and get blown out of your shares at a fixed strike (locking in tax events and missing the run), or you panic roll up and out at a debit and the math turns ugly fast. The wheel works in chop and slow trends. It loses to buy-and-hold in any leg up that exceeds your strike, and the losses are exactly when buy and hold would have made you the most. Live test through at least one earnings cycle and one decent volatility expansion before you commit. Third, the framing as "wheel vs 4% rule" is a bit off. What you're describing (selling far-OTM covered calls without ever wanting assignment) is closer to an income overlay on a buy-and-hold position. The classical wheel involves CSPs that DO get assigned, followed by CCs to exit. They're different risk profiles. The 4% rule has 30+ years of survival data including 1973-74, 2000-02, and 2008 stress tests. Your overlay strategy has 3 weeks of paper data. That's not the same shape of evidence. If you want to FIRE next year, the safer path is probably a blend: park the bulk in a 60/40 or all-weather allocation that supports 4% safely, and run the covered-call overlay on a smaller sleeve (say 20-25% of the portfolio) to add income without making your entire retirement dependent on a strategy you have three weeks of data on.
There's a bias to immediately hate everything if it has anything to do with Elon (and really Trump). Removes all rationality. There's a lot of junk in VOO/QQQ that they've blissfully ignored before.
QQQ in case there's no tech bubble plus SPY in case there is I suppose
That's why I picked QQQ. Even if it goes down, it will come back up with the market
Dang, I lost one point from last time, what's the bare minimum QQQ I need to get back to 4/10?
Real advice: Read "One up on well street" by Peter Lynch. You're approaching this from a place that will loss your $1000. The QQQ is probably what you're looking for but it is not a lottery ticket.
You didn’t miss anything. Stock picking is a binary game. Sometimes you get it right. Sometimes you get it wrong. Just make sure you have more winners than losers. SpaceX is way too risky. You want to put your money that has a higher expectation of going up than down. Buy QQQ if you are looking for more adventure than just VOO.
It sounds like you guys have a great symbiotic relation so kudos to you! You may want to consider putting some money into more risky ETFs and keep it there long term. You are young and can tolerate more risk to accelerate your investments as you have decades for it to play out. Maybe consider something like a VGT and begin to DCA into that. I'd say QQQ but I'm not a fan of NASDAQ changing the rules for SpaceX IPO for that index so I am moving out of QQQ next week and waiting for some mag 7 to sell off as indexes are forced to take on SpaceX.
Just wait for insiders to start dumping, we will have a much better idea in 6 months or likely closer to a year. I'm planning to dump QQQ next week then wait for indexes to sell off mag 7 stocks to make room for SpaceX. I'm thinking I would like to own some more GOOG long term, maybe META
Oh wait I think I get it. So today Nvidias lowest price was like $204 I noticed this when it was around $204.40. Thought ok, buy $205 calls $205 calls were $0.25 It slowly went down to $204.10 Then NVDA went back up to $205.20 $205 calls were then $0.55 That’s what that means? Sorry if formatting is weird. Does that still work for QQQ or SPY intraday when moves are much smaller?
They’re also happy to hold Adobe, Intuit and Workday in the Nasdaq that are about 3.5% of the index and are down 40%+ in the last year. SpaceX will represent 1.5%, if it drops 10% will see posts about how it’s destroying the QQQ.
QQQ getting shittier by the day
SCHG still only +2% YTD compared to QQQ +17%. $56B AUM.
The swath of unusual institutional option activity on all the components of the SOXX, the extremely bullish chart - beyond just the fact that we’re above every major moving average not just in this index but literally every tech related index, the monsoon of cash chomping at the bit trying to buy it up as we just saw days ago when GOOGL tried to raise $80B and wound up raising $85B overnight 4x oversubscribed, the fact that for three plus weeks now institutions have been selling bullish SOXX puts to collect the inflated premiums and take a piece of that to buy QQQ puts for a free hedge, the $8.2T sitting on the sidelines, the fact that anyone who owns assets is outpacing inflation
Seriously, I've seen so many people lose money because of "Fuck Elon" or "Fuck Robinhood" or whatever company they hate. People were selling their QQQ bc SpaceX is going to be included 😂 It's less than a percent of the weight. A space economy is basically the next industrial revolution, but you'll always have the people who love their horses so much, they won't buy Ford or GM. I'm sure SpaceX will correct and trade lower at some point. I'm buying more
Anyone can open an etf with any rules they want, but there are costs to operate an etf. If someone were to start an etf it wouldn’t be a good idea to compete with QQQ because most people don’t care about one holding in 100 and they couldn’t compete against Invesco on price.
Isn't NASDAQ the market and the etfs like QQQ just look to track the it? The specific etf determines their own formulas for how choose to weight it. QQQ isn't the only etf that tracks it, I'm sure vanguard has more than a few.
Wealthfront, Fidelity and others have Direct Indexing where you can choose which stocks to omit. For passive indexes like S&P & QQQ the fees are very low especially on Wealthfront and minimums are small (10k?)
Most of the QQQ gains are being held up but just a handful of stocks, the rest are literally irrelevant.
Yup and take the entire QQQ down with it
I couldn't bear losing 150k just like you couldn't bear losing the amount you lost today. It is all relative. I wanted to quit and never trade again, but the idea of me failing hurt me too much and I pushed through. I don't really like suggesting what I do but if you do want to then I'll tell you. I trade TQQQ options, which are 3x leveraged version of QQQ so it has insane volatility, your position can be obliterated in a matter of 30 mins. After I lost 150k on april 1st I revenged traded on april 2nd and lost 300k total. At the end of it I was left with 20k and thats what I've been trading since. Now I am at 380k.
Who has a 401k with QQQ in it? I want that unicorn plan.
You think SPY will take a similar dump or mostly QQQ being heavily tech? I fucking hate how pricey the QQQ premiums are lmao
My QQQ TQQQ and SPY calls got cooked
Got rid of my put hedges. QQQ better not dump!
The US has multiple stock exchanges, including the NYSE and the NASDAQ. These are private companies run for profits, and they have incentives to encourage big IPOs to list on their exchange instead of a competitor. Some indexes/index funds track the overall US market (like the S&P and VOO) and care only about the sheer 'investible' size of a company and not where it's listed. There are other index funds which only track NASDAQ listed companies. The NASDAQ is both an exchange and an index provider. They publish indexes like the Nasdaq 100 (their largest 100 companies), and some massive index funds like QQQ match them. A lot of passive money moves around as a new company enters or leaves the Nasdaq, and a lot of that is regular people's pensions and savings. SpaceX has effectively been bribed by the Nasdaq to list on their exchange instead of the NYSE by changing two key rules: 1. In the past a company had to trade for 3-12 months after IPO before it was included in the index. This allowed time for fair price discovery, where initial hype fades and investors start judging the actual financials of the company involved. They've reduced this period to 15 days for 'companies which would be in our top 40', which means passive investors will be forced to buy SpaceX earlier, increasing the risk that it is still in an initial pump before losing a significant amount of value. 2. The NASDAQ used to have a rule where a company had to have more than 10% of its shares be publicly available. If, for example, a telecom was 95% owned by a foreign government, it wouldn't be allowed to list because the pool of available shares would be tiny, and the valuation would be distorted by everyone competing for limited shares of this apparently huge company. They've now changed this rule to allow tiny floats, and made it so that a small float can be up to tripled in market weight. SpaceX is allegedly a 1.8 trillion dollar company, but only about $80 billion of their shares are actually available to buy on the public market. But according to the NASDAQ, they should be weighted as if there are $240 billion worth of shares are available. So passive funds are forced to compete for an artificially small pool of shares, driving the prices up further... And now this forced buying happens before and as the insiders first get to sell, instead of afterwards thanks to rule change #1. SpaceX also allows insiders to begin selling earlier than is normal. SpaceX isn't going to ruin any passive investors, but it is likely that it will transfer a small amount of the wealth of Nasdaq-100 funds (e.g. 0.2%) to insiders if there's a typical post-IPO price slump on the coming months. What's more worrying is that every company about to IPO can now pull the same tiny float trick, regardless of size. OpenAI and Anthropic are also going to IPO soon and will be large enough to abuse both rules. Luckily the S&P has refused to do the equivalent of rule change #1, but the FTSE Russell (another big index provider) has changed their entry period to just five days. **TL;DR** You are unlikely to be noticeably affected in the long term unless you hold QQQ or other Nasdaq-based funds. If you do, it may be worth considering whether paying private equity a small annual IPO fee justifies the privilege of holding exclusively NASDAQ stocks (when other indexes also include them).
Its honestly better to hold QQQ than Microsoft, i don't really see it having much more upside than the ETF and with much larger risk
Welp, guess I’m holding these QQQ calls all weekend.
Where do puts on QQQ for the outflow towards SPCX sit on this spectrum?
You know that's why QQQ exists right?
Imagine holding MSFT/META when QQQ is outperforming. Goes to show picking stocks is complete bullshit and luck
Nobody made that 30%, it hasn't been bought by QQQ yet. It will be bought after 15 days of trading, rather than taking months as every other stock has. Regardless, the problem is clearly not QQQ. The point of passive investing is that you agree to a rule set which defines the stocks you buy. That rule set has been actively changed to benefit insiders.
Past two weeks I’ve been watching SPY, QQQ, NVDA, & AAPL for direction and volume. Watching pre market and prior day levels. News, obviously, has been huge, so not being in trades for more than a minute or two was even more important. Entering where I see retests, rips, or pulls with volume and confirmation across those symbols. I’m not experienced enough to trade off GEX or those other Greeks, but I am learning.
If my QQQ calls hit I will take some of those profits and put into Space X, can’t go totally up
[$QQQ](https://aimytrade.io/ticker/qqq?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=comment&utm_campaign=SmallStreetBets&utm_term=QQQ&utm_content=template_1781299621375_f0ildf) is on my list to watch. The volatility around it is really the whole story.
Same here. It seems there are other funds which are fairly similar, will be looking into SCHG. Alternatively direct indexing, apparently. I might end up buying a pie from my broker made up of the QQQ top 100.
Couldn't have played it any better...bought QQQ 6/15 725 calls expecting more news/lies on the peace agreement today/weekend, and bought a QQQ 6/12 720 put for a hedge in case things went south today. It stayed between 720 and 723 the rest of the day, absol-fukn-lutly perfect to get screwed both ways. 725s are still in play, but I paid way too much, and will be lucky to break even. I need it to 🚀Monday.
Yeah, I took Bill’s masterclass in May 2025 and have been a member of his Discord server since then. I highly recommend it. He rarely has a red day and has some great callouts. I actually took a few of his QQQ trades this morning. I’m pretty sure there is still a free trial to his Discord where you can check out his live trading before you commit