Reddit Posts
The Nasdaq 100's valuation premium over the S&P 500 is near a 9-year low. Is tech actually expensive anymore?
QQQ 10 dollar green rocket up my anus at open
Buying QQQ is easy. Holding through the drops is a whole different thing
Racking up 100% trading options day after day adds up to big money
I Trade for a Living - Here’s My Setup for Semis, SPY and QQQ
Buying QQQ is easy. Holding through the drops is a whole different thing
Deconstructing 0DTE Option Losses: Traders Freeze During Intraday Volatility Surges
$200 > $5,000 challenge day 1
SPY closed the week in the deepest positive gamma I've seen in a while (IV ~9%)
When I put $5 on a stock I win , put $50 in I lose almost every time.
Buying the APPLE dip might not be a pro move.
Prepare yourself for the Regime Shift
Prepare yourself for the Regime Shift
QQQ $660 calls expiring today, ngl thought it was over at one point
July 24/27/28 is the first time in history that the S&P 500 was positive 3 days in a row while QQQ was negative 3 days in a row.
Bought 60k worth of QQQ LEAPS and 20k worth of DRAM LEAPS
HYG Just Broke Down From a 3-Month Triangle Consolidation. Is the Equity Market Next?
Stared into the abyss today
SOX just hit bear market territory. This earnings week is make or break for semis
I model dealer gamma daily. Right now all three big index ETFs are negative-gamma below their flip,
1DTE $21K SPY FD Yolo - 735P 7/20/26 220x @ .96 Each
Regarding the Recent Stock Market Movement
Regarding on the Recent Stock Market Movement
June CPI missed big but I'm not buying the full rally yet
Always a Pleasure $HOOD. Thanks again QQQ
Always a Pleasure $HOOD, Thanks again QQQ.
QQQ gonna spike soon (UP or DOWN)
Held these 0DTE over weekend. 11K QQQ calls am I cooked?
If June CPI comes in hotter than expected, is the better trade Treasuries or SPY/QQQ puts?
Investing is really a lifelong battle against our own emotions
A huge trade just happened on the Nasdaq 100. Bulls are taking notice
Your wheel is probably less diversified than delta makes it look
SpaceX is trading below its opening day price in its third week. Bag holder or bargain.
SpaceX is trading below its opening price, might not be the red flag it looks like.
Not meaning to spread FUD, but I just found this on the QQQ graph, and it's freaking me out
I think QQQ goes higher. Do I sell or keep this because theta?
Liquidated all positions: Sitting on $1.2M cash for a 2026 macro restart. How would you deploy this for the next decade?
I have currently sold all my stocks and have $1.2 million in cash on hand. I would like to purchase a new batch of stocks to hold for the lo
Trying to generate alpha using Nasdaq retail activity data
It ain’t much, AMZN, XSP, QQQ this week! First fully green week!
I built a simple “Regime Filter” using SPY and QQQ to decide when I’m allowed to buy new positions
Want to hear from the people who sold their QQQ (and other Nsdq 100) because of the addition of SpaceX
When will QQQ be more $ per share than SPY?
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
Rally into July 44th and July 17th, Q3 20% market correction, October melt up.
SpaceX to join Nasdaq-100 index on July 7
Mentions
I made more this week on QQQ shares
Are you willing to hold for more than 5 Years? Because if so SPY / QQQ blend hands down and if you want some risk 10-15% allocation toward ASTS (no more than 15% or you will cancel out the gains from your other holdings)
that would be the biggest single day drop in QQQ by an insanely large margin. That is not happening at all and with circuit breakers, couldn't even physically happen
QQQ 617 few mins before market closes
Wish QQQ did this while my Puts were extra heavy early morning. Now I’m only recovering losses with 1/4 of the risk than before
Alright so lemme guess QQQ gonna run right back up to the forced 2 hour chop and do a “failed breakdown”
SPY/QQQ way too flat the last few days. Going to need another shakeout to get the next push higher.
QQQ looks like a weakening fart stream
I’m seeing some good pumps out there. OKLO, SPCX, LUNR, RDDT. SPY & QQQ chilling. Are we crashing next week?
unreal theta burn on QQQ
Only way for QQQ to get back to ATH is if semis catch a bid.
Love how on QQQ we sliced through this exact level 3 times on the day with zero complications but now suddenly it’s a massive decisive point for over an hour and can’t make up it’s mind playing both sides like 18 times now on the 3 min
17th time the charm for QQQ? How many times you ever seen the ma rejected 17 times and keep getting more chances?
Dafuq is this movement on SPY and QQQ. Makes me wanna rip my nutz
Without fail somehow someway QQQ always getting a bit in the last minute of a candle to paint the tape
How many times does QQQ get to reject the ma and still not go lower? Cause when I’m long it’s about 3 max and then we just completely fall off a cliff
8 rejections at the ma on QQQ in the last hour on the 3 minute but nah sure thing let’s just keep giving it chances
Shit what do I do sell my oil calls and full port QQQ? Axios | **Barak** **Ravid**: A diplomat from one of the mediating countries told me Iranian negotiators are waiting for final approvals from the Iranian supreme national security council about the deal with Oman and the US. "We expect this approval soon", the diplomat said.
Got scared to pull the trigger on 0DTE MSTR since figured it would just chop if QQQ did naturally goes down 4% immediately for an hour straight
Sooooo what stocks are keeping QQQ up? It used NVDA to pump earlier and now quite literally every single thing that pumped has gone lower yet here it is itching to climb higher with constant bid yet none of the names that make up the heaviest pieces of it are budging?
https://preview.redd.it/3qdxt8ndizhh1.png?width=2575&format=png&auto=webp&s=e39164741146b9abeae71108fb7ffe1b1b3fd16f last time QQQ looked like this, MACD aimed up, holding against 200MA into resistance, high RSI QQQ ripped from 610 to 740 do what you want w that, im staying long
Sold my Puts at a loss on QQQ. Am I regarded
why my QQQ and SPY putz printing boys?
QQQ puts were super obvious up there. It was free money
If QQQ goes red I’ll quit gambling for the rest of the week I swear to it
yeah this shit is just gonna trade between 720 and 723 on QQQ today isnt it
Yeah that QQQ chart looks terrible too. Lower highs constantly
Cloudflare fits the high-beta theme of QQQ better Likely will be in both QQQ/SPY
QQQ and PLTR puts. Hope they print.
goddamn that was a big rally QQQ rest up son u deserve it
Did you unload the clip on the .11% QQQ dip anon
WTF was that candle to push QQQ over 723 No me gusta
the red candles are getting weaker on QQQ its time for this resistance to fucking end itself!!!
**BanBet Created** ▼ | **Record:** 1W - 1L | Ticker | Target | Entry | Move | Expires | |:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:| | **QQQ** | $710.00 (below) | $720.77 | -1.5% | 23h 60m |
How many more 1 minute candles does QQQ have to get a bid on in the last 15 seconds for this to just give up and get it over w/ . The tease is pissing me off
Oh word a 2nd rejection of the range on QQQ is bullish now?
2nd rejection of the opening range on QQQ
QQQ i just need u to hit 723 again
Man you are going to have a really bad time with the 'fake pump' to $750 on QQQ
Fake pump all night, add to it fake pumping on bad news. Retrace the entire thing, get 3 major attempts at going back up when market opens, all three get rejected, get decisive action supporting price moving lower and then the second you get a new 15 minute candle to manipulate just erase the entire thing and go back up. Am in a fucking twilight zone? Mu is like 5% of QQQ and it’s down like 7% since open but sure lets pump it
Sure let’s test the same zone for the 8th time on QQQ and if it doesn’t flash crash from there let’s just run the highs again
All the Nasdaq 100 index funds like QQQ buy in proportion to the publicly traded shares. If the public shares double, they have to buy twice as many shares.
No shit I see everything drilling but QQQ is still doing OK wtf is this black. Magic
All biggest holdings of QQQ down since open but somehow staying afloat w/ ease
QQQ put 700 monthly at open
Alright I was just joking SPY & QQQ we don't actually have to dump b/c of the jobs report
Correct, and the market is at all time highs since Aprils 30% move up on QQQ when nothing has changed. You are the one who said it’s not priced in.
One thing that would change how I read that chart. A lot of the S&P side of the comparison is the same stocks. Something like 86 of the Nasdaq 100's names are also in the S&P 500, and roughly 87% of what QQQ holds is already inside SPY. The Mag 7 on its own is about 34% of the S&P now. So the spread can compress without any stock re-rating at all. If those names keep taking weight in the S&P, its multiple drifts toward the Nasdaq's as arithmetic. That is a third option alongside your two, and it needs neither tech getting cheaper nor everything else getting dearer. Before concluding anything I would run the same comparison against the equal weight S&P instead of the cap weighted one, or against the S&P with the top 10 taken out. If the premium is still near a nine year low there, something real happened to relative valuations. If it is not, the chart is mostly telling you how concentrated the S&P got.
I don't think QQQ vs SPY is really a valuation question anymore, it's more of a concentration one. between how top-heavy SPY already is and how much overlap there is with the Nasdaq 100 names, picking one over the other isn't really diversifying away from tech, it's just choosing how much extra you're layering on top.
well gg there goes USO calls and QQQ puts. Full port into HTZ
You’re trying to tell me that the 5% pump on SPY and QQQ that directly started the day after fed didn’t raise rates was in no way pricing in probability of rate hikes going down and was STILL mispriced by nearly 1%?
Chat, why is QQQ and SPY pumping? Any good news?
QQQ gonna go up just enough pre market and right at the open so even if it does fall I’ll basically end up B/E and if hold it’ll just chop all day or keep climbing but if I sell at open cause I don’t wanna play anymore it’ll sell
ffs did taco say something? gonna get nuked on my USO calls and QQQ puts :(
A narrower premium does not automatically mean tech is cheap, it can also mean the rest of the market got expensive while the index overlap got bigger. QQQ vs the S&P is less clean than it used to be because so much of the same mega caps sit in both. I’d look at absolute valuation and concentration risk, not just the spread.
Easy mistake. You typed an S instead of a T in front of the QQQ.
Knew QQQ would manage to just climb up all night since I got trapped in puts couldn’t sell at the close yesterday much wow so much fun
The relative premium has clearly compressed a lot. That part is true. The open question is whether tech actually got cheaper or the rest of the market just caught up in valuation. A smaller gap doesn’t automatically mean QQQ is a bargain in absolute terms. I still lean toward having exposure to both. SPY for the broader market and some QQQ (or similar) for the growth/quality side, rather than treating it as an either/or decision. The old “tech is ridiculously expensive vs everything else” argument is definitely harder to make now.
QQQ vs SPY is basically growth vs diversification. Depends what problem you're trying to solve
I’ve been doing this long enough to know that if I longed after a 5% run on ES and a 10% run on QQQ in < a week when it cools off and I lose it would be “well duhhhh what did you expect it needs to cool off” and if I short on the idea of taking a breather and things clearly being short term overheated it’s “hahahaha gay bear cope harder”
Tinfoil hat time but since $APP is a high-beta QQQ proxy play, it got punished accordingly. What I mean is, Sandisk, WDC, APP all had the exact same candle after the print. Purely algo driven. QQQ was also running an 88 hourly RSI from July's "bottom", we went straight up. This is simply just institutions derisking and if/once QQQ resumes its uptrend so will APP. It was never about the 1% miss
Any SPY or QQQ plays today?
Can QQQ just dump, tired of holding cash and need a dip to buy
Cloudflare is not listed on the Nasdaq so no QQQ listing. Unless they decide to switch their listing from NYSE to Nasdaq. They would have been in long ago. Once they are GAAP positive in 1-2 years, they'll join S&P 500 though.
QQQ will shed poorly run companies Intuit, Super Micro And add the ones doing well Cloudflare
I'll save you guys the time: VOO YTD +13%, 1-year +23% OP's portfolio, which he's promoting for money, is YTD +12%, 1-year 17% Since he seems to be also concentrated in tech, the appropriate benchmark is actually QQQ, which is YTD +17%, 1-year +26%. I am up YTD +22%, 1-year +44% on a non-concentrated portfolio. Maybe I should make my own fund.
Thanks for the perspective. This is the only biotech stock I own, I bought the majority of my shares back when it was $3 a share. It's a company I've followed for years going back to when it was NantKwest...I otherwise don't invest in this sector. IBRX is a long term speculative bet for me. Curious if by "write options against them" you're referring to writing covered calls? If yes, I've been interested in that but not sure if it's a strategy that still works (even if you're conservative with how you do it). Additionally, when VOO, QQQ, VTSAX etc. are returning 15%-25% (give or take?) over not just a short, but intermediate to long term horizon...I also have a hard time arguing against investing in those, although I worry about whether or not those index funds, given that they track market cap weighted indices like the S&P, are truly as diversified as people think they are.
What's with the price action on NQ/ES QQQ/SPY
Like 70% of their market cap at ATH was two single stocks and it ran up 4x in a year This is not remotely surprising. If anything it's more surprising that QQQ hasn't suffered a similar fate
QQQ staying on its bullshit into AH is crazy
SpaceX is not Tesla. I believe in Starlink (amazing product) and Falcon rockets, but **70% of SpaceX's value proposition is xAI.** xAI currently has **1%** of the enterprise AI market and all of the founding employees aside from Musk have left. They are renting out excess compute to Anthropic, but the money in AI is in frontier models and semiconductors. The rest of the story is space-based data centers and moon mining. Total bullshit. [Patrick Boyle: SpaceX IPO Scandal](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8rS3fTbC7TE) Position: Long SpaceX via Invesco QQQ (thanks Nasdaq) https://preview.redd.it/mrc2guf1vuhh1.jpeg?width=1669&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b18285cfef3e80df7957447de5adb18b4bea78c9
NASDAQ made a few new rules for SpaceX. It's great, anyone holding an ETF tracking the NASDAQ 100 Index in any way is forced to buy. I would love an ex-Elon QQQ ETF. Anything he has ever touched can't be included from PayPal, Tesla, SPCX. I don't care if it underperforms over the short term because over the long term he's now the captain and no one can tell him anything.
I'm up like 10k in the last week, I sold like 150k worth of CSPs today on lagging stocks and got some calls on SPY/QQQ What has my full attention? A dying car company that was only saved because COVID caused used cars to triple in book value and they were able to refinance their obligations that I've tied up $500 in calls in
SPY and QQQ are old unc plays. Hertz and the like are for Chads
Nice, I have a bear credit spread on QQQ expiring end of the month. Cheers to us both!
QQQ just does that randomly? I thought they did a quarterly rebalancing.
Depends what the index fund is. QQQ and VTI are not the same.
I hope the same people that sold me my chopped QQQ calls/puts this week sold me the hertz calls as well. I want them to burn
Some how Robinhood shorted 1 QQQ from my account. But I was able to buy it back with $1 profit 😝
QQQ down only <1%, how can you all be down more than 10%?
You cannot trade options after hours or pre-market unless you are in a major index such as SPY or QQQ which do allow you to trade up until 4:15pm. If you have regular stock holdings you can trade pretty much 24/5, none on the weekend.
Shocking so NVDA closes the day exactly where the fake bullshit to keep it all propped up started and QQQ ends exactly where the fake bullshit started and I end the day breakeven so well played market you win everytime
QQQ saved once again by magic green candle LMAO
I am trying to be more disciplined and not hold any stock that is trading below its 150 day simple average. Looking at QQQ recently re-enforces that rule. Rather than the whole NASDAQ I am investing in sectors when the institutional money starts to move into that sector. It is more work than buy and hold, but I only manage my stocks one day a week (when the market is closed, so I am not as emotional).
lost so much in QQQ SPY options need that HTZ savior
0d QQQ puts at open. Almost instantly down 50%, sold for loss. Revenge traded and account is now at $400
Your basis is price, not returns. That’s ok because that’s where all beginners start. When you realize it’s about reducing your risk WHILE getting returns, you start to look at metrics that matter more. Look at the high and low for QQQ vs VOO. That’s called variance and when you standardize it you are looking at risk adjusted returns. As an example, would you rather have a 90% chance of 5% gain or a 1% chance of a 200% gain? Seasoned investor picks the first because not only is it better returns you also compound the higher return. Math part for above: The first option has an expected return of 4.5% (0.9 x .05) Second option has an expected return of 2% (0.1 x 2) The examples are extreme to illustrate the point. A more realistic understanding is compare the standard deviations for VOO and QQQ. The greater that number, the more risk you take. And remember it’s percentage of the dollar number. A lot of people assume if you are up 50% in one year and down 50% the next you are break even. But use a simple example to convince yourself it isn’t: YR 1: start with $1,000, 50% return, end with $1,500 YR 2: start with $1,500, negative 50% return, end with $750 So you could be up massively with QQQ versus VOO but the reason those returns are higher is because the risk works the other way. TL;DR better to pick the turtle than the hare.